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<v Speaker 1>And we are back with another edition of the Federalist

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<v Speaker 1>Radio Hour. I'm Matt Kittle, Senior Elections correspondent at the Federalist,

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<v Speaker 1>and your experience sharpa on today's quest for Knowledge. As always,

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<v Speaker 1>you can email the show at radio at the Federalist

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<v Speaker 1>dot com, follow us on ex at FDRLST, make sure

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<v Speaker 1>to subscribe wherever you download your podcast, and of course

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<v Speaker 1>to the premium version of our website as well. Our

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<v Speaker 1>guest today is Neil Chilson, former FTC Chief Technologist and

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<v Speaker 1>currently head of aipolicy with the Abundance Institute. Where are

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<v Speaker 1>we taking artificial intelligence? Where is artificial intelligence taking us? Well?

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<v Speaker 1>We ask those questions and many more on this edition

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<v Speaker 1>of the Federalist Radio Hour. Neil, thank you so much

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<v Speaker 1>for joining us. It's great to be here speaking of here.

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<v Speaker 1>Is this really you? Or is this AI? Or as

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<v Speaker 1>they used to say when I was much younger dating

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<v Speaker 1>myself here, is it live or is it memorys? We've

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<v Speaker 1>come a long way since cassette tapes, certainly in America.

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<v Speaker 1>I jest, of course, this is the real Neil Chilsen,

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<v Speaker 1>but it does raise the question of just how much

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<v Speaker 1>we are inundated with AI and the difficulty sometimes of

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<v Speaker 1>telling artificial intelligence from reality. I think this thing is

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<v Speaker 1>only going to intensify, of course, as we move forward.

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<v Speaker 1>Where are we going with all of this?

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<v Speaker 2>Well, as much as my wife and my kids might

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<v Speaker 2>appreciate an AI upgraded dad and husband, they're stuck with me,

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<v Speaker 2>and so are you guys, the real me.

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<v Speaker 3>But you know that's I say that sort of jokingly.

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<v Speaker 2>But where we are right now with AI is continuing

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<v Speaker 2>a long trend of adding new capabilities to computers. And

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<v Speaker 2>they're surprising in this case, and they're surprising in some ways.

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<v Speaker 2>But the history of artificial intelligence, a term that was

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<v Speaker 2>coined in the nineteen fifties, has been exactly this, surprising

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<v Speaker 2>new things everybody gets excited about. We figure out, oh,

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<v Speaker 2>this is not actually the same thing as human intelligence,

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<v Speaker 2>not exactly. It's powerful, and then we sort of it

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<v Speaker 2>gets adapted. It's in our phones, it's in our computers,

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<v Speaker 2>and we move on. So, you know, artificial intelligence. The

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<v Speaker 2>cutting edge of artificial intelligence technology when I was first

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<v Speaker 2>getting into computers in the.

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<v Speaker 3>Nineties was chess playing.

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<v Speaker 2>And now everybody's phone can play chess better than ninety

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<v Speaker 2>nine point nine percent of humans on the planet, and

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<v Speaker 2>we don't think of that as somehow you know, terminator

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<v Speaker 2>style artificial intelligence.

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<v Speaker 3>And so so.

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<v Speaker 2>Where we are now is we have these really powerful

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<v Speaker 2>tools called large language models that can be used for many,

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<v Speaker 2>many different types of things. But one of the ways

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<v Speaker 2>they're being used is in a sort of chatbot form

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<v Speaker 2>where you can ask questions and get really comprehensive, detailed,

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<v Speaker 2>sometimes made up answers, and that's that's really powerful. It

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<v Speaker 2>teaches us that there's a lot to learn about humans

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<v Speaker 2>that you can that you can collect and gather into

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<v Speaker 2>computers in these in these formats and then query in

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<v Speaker 2>a way that gets you know, very persuasive, very interesting,

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<v Speaker 2>often very entertaining content, whether it be text, video, audio.

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<v Speaker 2>I love making songs. Actually, my little girls love making

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<v Speaker 2>up new songs using some of the apps out there

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<v Speaker 2>where you can just type in a prompt and get like,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, a song about unicorns or a song about

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<v Speaker 2>you know, their kids club running around the neighborhoods as

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<v Speaker 2>kids spies or something like that, and so like we

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<v Speaker 2>love that stuff. And so yeah, there's a lot of entertainment.

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<v Speaker 2>There's a lot of power in these tools, and there's

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<v Speaker 2>some risks and people need to be aware of that,

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<v Speaker 2>and policymakers do as well.

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<v Speaker 1>Some of the uses that you mentioned, you know, are

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<v Speaker 1>fun to play around with. Certainly, like you said making

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<v Speaker 1>up songs, I've seen that in play and the technology

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<v Speaker 1>is really quite good and it takes you literally seconds

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<v Speaker 1>to do what the Beatles spent, you know, the better

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<v Speaker 1>part of a year doing to make Sergeant Pepper's Lonely

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<v Speaker 1>Hearts Club band. I'm not sure saying that the artistry

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<v Speaker 1>is the same, but I'm you know, the production value

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<v Speaker 1>is certainly there. Yeah, the risk that you talk about

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<v Speaker 1>in this arena copyright infringement, Where are we with that today?

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<v Speaker 1>And where are we heading in terms of intellectual property?

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<v Speaker 2>So there's two concerns on the copyright front. One is

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<v Speaker 2>on the training side, So when a company is building

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<v Speaker 2>these models and they use a bunch of different content

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<v Speaker 2>in order to train on, what are the legal restrictions

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<v Speaker 2>on that? And then the other side of it is

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<v Speaker 2>on the output side. So when a user types in

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<v Speaker 2>a prompt and says, you know, give me a picture

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<v Speaker 2>of Mickey Mouse, you know, battling the Marvel team or

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<v Speaker 2>something like that, and the model puts out something that

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<v Speaker 2>includes you know, maybe some sort of intellectual property protection

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<v Speaker 2>protect and content.

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<v Speaker 3>Who's responsible for that? Is it the user, is it

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<v Speaker 3>the model? And so on.

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<v Speaker 2>The first thing about like the sort of ingestion of

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<v Speaker 2>this content, the use of this content. We've had some

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<v Speaker 2>court decisions and there is a category of this that

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<v Speaker 2>judges are thinking of as fair use right. And so

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<v Speaker 2>you're training these models the way you might train you know,

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<v Speaker 2>anybody reading a book, and so the content of the

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<v Speaker 2>model or the content isn't copied into the model, It

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<v Speaker 2>is used to train the model, and then the model

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<v Speaker 2>understands that content in the context of you know, lots

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<v Speaker 2>of other content. And so there are ways in which

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<v Speaker 2>the courts are saying that that is fair use. There

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<v Speaker 2>was an anthropic settlement in this space where the big

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<v Speaker 2>problem the anthropic had was that they hadn't paid for

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<v Speaker 2>the original content, right, and so they hadn't bought the

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<v Speaker 2>books that they were scanning. They had just downloaded pirated

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<v Speaker 2>copies of the book. And the court said, no, no, no,

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<v Speaker 2>you can't do that. You need to buy the content.

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<v Speaker 2>You need to buy you the copy of the content

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<v Speaker 2>and use that to train. You can't just use pirated content.

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<v Speaker 2>But overall, that doesn't that doesn't say that much about

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<v Speaker 2>you know, I think that still leaves the door open

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<v Speaker 2>for companies to train on a lot of this data,

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<v Speaker 2>which I think is probably the right decision. I think

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<v Speaker 2>it is very analogous to training to reading a book.

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<v Speaker 2>And therefore, you know, we don't have copyright that says

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<v Speaker 2>you can't learn from a book without permission from the

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<v Speaker 2>copyright holder, and so on the other side, we don't know.

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<v Speaker 2>We don't know yet. Those cases are still ongoing. We

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<v Speaker 2>don't know how courts are going to partition liability for

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<v Speaker 2>copyright infringement between the user who writes the prompt and

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<v Speaker 2>the company who is running the model or trained the model.

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<v Speaker 2>There's some really complicated questions there about what is infringement

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<v Speaker 2>even on that side, but then splitting it up between

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<v Speaker 2>the user who's asking for something and the model who's

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<v Speaker 2>generating it, it gets pretty complicated there. You know, we

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<v Speaker 2>don't we don't sue pencil companies because people draw images

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<v Speaker 2>of of you know, Mickey Mouse, sure with using a pencil,

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<v Speaker 2>and that wouldn't.

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<v Speaker 3>Make a ton of sense.

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<v Speaker 2>And so we're just trying to figure out the right

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<v Speaker 2>analogies here and what makes sense economically.

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<v Speaker 1>Still, that's very complicated in the same legal neighborhood. What

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<v Speaker 1>about reputational damage. We've already seen some cases on that front.

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<v Speaker 1>And listen, there are AI companies you know that are

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<v Speaker 1>I think very responsible AI companies. They're doing what they

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<v Speaker 1>can and they're investing a lot of money to make

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<v Speaker 1>sure that these systems are working right and they don't

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<v Speaker 1>cause damage. But sometimes they do reputational damage. What about

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<v Speaker 1>the liability issue on that front? Where are the courts

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<v Speaker 1>on that particular matter?

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<v Speaker 2>So the big, the big challenge. The courts have looked

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<v Speaker 2>at this a couple of ways. There's a bunch of

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<v Speaker 2>challenges when you're talking about defamation or libel. The biggest

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<v Speaker 2>challenge is that often this involves public figures, and public

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<v Speaker 2>figure liability requires showing that there was a sort of

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<v Speaker 2>malicious intent.

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<v Speaker 3>By the party.

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<v Speaker 2>And the question again, the same question comes up here

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<v Speaker 2>that comes up in the generation who is the party

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<v Speaker 2>at fault here? Is it the person who typed the

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<v Speaker 2>prompt who said, like, tell me everything you know about

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<v Speaker 2>you know X public figure? Or is it the model generation?

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<v Speaker 2>And then on top of that, unless it's made public,

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<v Speaker 2>this type of generation by itself is not. I don't

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<v Speaker 2>think it's usually subject to defamation law. So the question

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<v Speaker 2>is if I generate, If I type a prompt into

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<v Speaker 2>chat GPT and I get inaccurate information back, but then

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<v Speaker 2>I publish it on my social media website or in

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<v Speaker 2>a newspaper article or something, it's the publication of that

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<v Speaker 2>that is the real problem. It's not the fact that

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<v Speaker 2>the chat GPT came up with it, because nobody sees

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<v Speaker 2>that except the person who asks for it. And so

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<v Speaker 2>I do think that these defamation cases against the models

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<v Speaker 2>are going to be complicated by that factor. I think

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<v Speaker 2>that it's difficult to say that the model is that

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<v Speaker 2>fault for the distribution of a falsehood when the model

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<v Speaker 2>just generates content and then the person has to make

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<v Speaker 2>a choice to then.

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<v Speaker 3>Put it out into the world. And so I think

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<v Speaker 3>that's a complicating factor. And I think that.

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<v Speaker 2>Means while the models are trying very hard to be

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<v Speaker 2>accurate on this sort of stuff and users, it's still

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<v Speaker 2>really on the users to verify that the content that

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<v Speaker 2>they're posting, that they're taking from that and using in

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<v Speaker 2>the real world is accurate. And I think that's where

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<v Speaker 2>the liability probably should sit.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, tied end to that. We have some very interesting

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<v Speaker 1>cases on free speech. We have some and AI. We

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<v Speaker 1>have some some concerning moves by politicians, by lawmakers. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>thinking of a guy who would like to be president

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<v Speaker 1>of the United States in twenty twenty eight. There's no

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<v Speaker 1>doubt about that. Gavin Newsom in California and the battles

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<v Speaker 1>that have gone on there legally speaking in terms of

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<v Speaker 1>content that is driven for political advertising political parody. Really,

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<v Speaker 1>that's the interesting part about this, the brave new world

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<v Speaker 1>of political advertising or political parody where, for instance, you

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<v Speaker 1>have a famous AI video that came out last year

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<v Speaker 1>that had Kamala Harris, then the Vice President of the

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<v Speaker 1>United States, and a candidate, the candidate the Democrats candidate

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<v Speaker 1>for president. The AI technology made her say some things

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<v Speaker 1>that she certainly did not say. It was very amusing

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<v Speaker 1>to about half of the country. Wasn't so amusing to

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<v Speaker 1>the other half. So Gavin Newsom and crew in California

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<v Speaker 1>took that and some other instances and used that as.

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<v Speaker 3>Kind of a red flag law for or a red flag.

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<v Speaker 1>Incidance for AI and communication and put limits on what

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<v Speaker 1>you could do or penalties on what you could do

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<v Speaker 1>if you did this. Kind of thing. The courts have

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<v Speaker 1>entered into this case. Where does all of that stand today?

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<v Speaker 2>So yeah, So California and some other states have looked

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<v Speaker 2>at how to govern the use of AI generated content

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<v Speaker 2>in advertising, in political advertising in particular, and they faced

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<v Speaker 2>some real constitutional challenges here. Political speeches right at the

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<v Speaker 2>core of First Amendment rights. Lying in political speech is

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<v Speaker 2>not policed by the courts as because they often say, essentially,

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<v Speaker 2>now you might be able to bring a defamation case possibly,

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<v Speaker 2>but again we're talking about public figures, and even in

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<v Speaker 2>the political context that gets even harder. Courts tend to

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<v Speaker 2>really say, like, if you're going to do political ads,

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<v Speaker 2>it's going to be up to the voters to decide

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<v Speaker 2>who's telling the truth. And and AI doesn't really change

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<v Speaker 2>that that much. It's always been easy to create false

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<v Speaker 2>content right now. What you can do maybe with AI

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<v Speaker 2>is the types of deep fakes that you're talking about,

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<v Speaker 2>the types of putting words in somebody's mouth in a

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<v Speaker 2>very convincing way.

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<v Speaker 3>I think deceptive content.

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<v Speaker 2>Like that is still it's right for you know, competitors

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<v Speaker 2>to call it out. I think that companies are trying

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<v Speaker 2>to figure out how to balance at but political parity

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<v Speaker 2>is highly protected free speech, and I think any type

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<v Speaker 2>of you know, government thumb on the scale about what

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<v Speaker 2>people can and can't say is just ripe for abuse.

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<v Speaker 2>You'll end up getting police, you know, from one political

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<v Speaker 2>perspective or another. One party will will bear the brunt

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<v Speaker 2>of this more than the other. And I just think

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<v Speaker 2>that it's a super risky road to walk down. The

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<v Speaker 2>better the better options here are more speech, not censoring

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<v Speaker 2>the ability to create content in the first place.

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<v Speaker 3>And I think that some of the companies.

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<v Speaker 2>Have had some early experiences in trying to shape the

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<v Speaker 2>content that was coming out of their models, and I

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<v Speaker 2>think they've dialed that back to say, like, hey, we're

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<v Speaker 2>going to largely try to lean on the side of

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<v Speaker 2>generating what the user is asking for and protects protect

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<v Speaker 2>speech there as long as they're not generating illegal content.

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<v Speaker 2>I think that's the better that's the better frame.

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<v Speaker 3>I hope that more and more companies move towards that direction.

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<v Speaker 4>Did a single company save the stock market from crashing

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<v Speaker 4>into a recession? The Watchdot on Wall Street podcast with

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<v Speaker 4>Chris Markowski. Every day, Chris helps unpack the connection between

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<v Speaker 4>politics and the economy and how it affects your wallet.

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<v Speaker 4>Tech powerhouse in Nvidia's earnings report did not disappoint, But

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<v Speaker 4>what does that tell you about the value of AI?

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<v Speaker 4>This cannot save the market forever. Whether it's happening in

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<v Speaker 4>DC or down on Wall Street, it's affecting you financially.

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<v Speaker 3>Be informed.

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<v Speaker 4>Check out the watch Dot on Wall Street podcast with

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<v Speaker 4>Chris Markowski on Apple, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, let's face it, if the courts really did punish

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<v Speaker 1>politicians for lying, our correctional system would be just overbroad.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, political speech is full of half to true misframeans

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<v Speaker 2>and courts just don't want to get into that. I

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<v Speaker 2>think that's that's just fraught territory, and I think I

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<v Speaker 2>think it's right to leave it to the people to

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<v Speaker 2>make the decisions about who they trust.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, that is America, and that's the bottom line. The information,

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<v Speaker 1>of course is it's a different age for all of that.

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<v Speaker 1>But we've had the same issues and the same problems

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<v Speaker 1>over the two hundred and fifty years of this one.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's turn our attention to the emotional aspects of AI.

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<v Speaker 1>Harvard Business School has an interesting piece up came out recently.

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<v Speaker 1>Feeling lonely an attentive listener is an AI prompt away,

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<v Speaker 1>and it delves into the brave new world of companionship

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<v Speaker 1>with AI. There are well, I think what we're finding out, Neil,

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<v Speaker 1>over the last year or so is that there are

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of lonely people out there, and they have

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<v Speaker 1>turned AI to solve that loneliness problem. Where does all

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<v Speaker 1>of that stand today, and where do you think that's

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<v Speaker 1>all going?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean, I think you're totally right. I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>we do have an epidemic of sort of people isolating

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<v Speaker 2>themselves from others, and I think this is an outgrowth of,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, some really bad policies that we had around

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<v Speaker 2>the COVID pandemic, as well as just some general fracturing

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<v Speaker 2>of American you know, socialization institutions that we've you know,

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<v Speaker 2>historically relied on to bring us together with people.

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<v Speaker 3>And so I.

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<v Speaker 2>Think that trying to fill this gap with AI chatbots

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<v Speaker 2>is at best a sort of temporary measure.

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<v Speaker 3>I think that.

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<v Speaker 2>I don't know how to exactly measure this. You know,

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<v Speaker 2>these chatbots are general purpose. Most of them are general purpose.

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<v Speaker 2>They're not aimed at this sort of function. Now, there

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<v Speaker 2>are some companies who are offering specifically this type of function,

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<v Speaker 2>but most of the chatbots that people are using our

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<v Speaker 2>general purpose. People are using them for a wide range

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<v Speaker 2>of things, from academic research to generating funny videos, and

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<v Speaker 2>some people use them occasionally to talk to about like

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<v Speaker 2>personal problems or you know, relationship problems or things like that.

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<v Speaker 3>I think some of that.

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<v Speaker 2>Can be very useful and very helpful, but certainly would

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<v Speaker 2>want to keep an eye out on people replacing time

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<v Speaker 2>with other humans with these these chatbots. It's just it's

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<v Speaker 2>just not it's not the same obviously, and it doesn't

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<v Speaker 2>create the same types of deep connections with community that

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<v Speaker 2>I think are essential to human flourishing.

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<v Speaker 3>And so.

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<v Speaker 2>My hope would be that these systems, as they build out,

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<v Speaker 2>are aimed at improving people's ability to engage with other people,

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<v Speaker 2>because there certainly are people who are not as practice

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<v Speaker 2>at that who maybe spent you know, two years, especially

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<v Speaker 2>when we get into the kids sector, who spent maybe

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<v Speaker 2>two years like doing zoomed school and need to get

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<v Speaker 2>back into the swing of, you know, talking to other people.

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<v Speaker 2>And I think these tools could can help give tips

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<v Speaker 2>on that sort of thing.

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<v Speaker 3>But I hope they don't.

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<v Speaker 2>I hope people don't rely on them as a substitute

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<v Speaker 2>for reaching out, being brave, talking to people they haven't

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<v Speaker 2>talked to before, and getting to know people in their community.

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<v Speaker 1>We certainly have learned over the last few years just

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<v Speaker 1>how dangerous, how much peril lockdown policies have put our

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<v Speaker 1>children in especially, but society in general, when it comes

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<v Speaker 1>to picking up with communication and relationships and all of

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<v Speaker 1>those sorts of things. You know, Neil, though, on this topic,

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<v Speaker 1>they always say the heart wants what the heart wants,

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<v Speaker 1>The market wants what the market wants. And there are

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<v Speaker 1>some strange areas in the marketplace for AI. Not to

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<v Speaker 1>say that, you know, there isn't a market for it,

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<v Speaker 1>but the question maybe should there be a market for it.

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<v Speaker 1>One of those areas is connecting with the dead, and

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<v Speaker 1>this has become an interesting subject of late. But the

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<v Speaker 1>AI products that offer people the ability to chat with

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<v Speaker 1>or hear the voice again of a loved one who's

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<v Speaker 1>passed away, what about all of that?

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, grief is a grief is a crazy thing, right,

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<v Speaker 2>and so I think that people try to deal with

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<v Speaker 2>it in a lot of different ways, some of it

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<v Speaker 2>healthy and some of it not healthy.

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<v Speaker 3>What I would be worried about. Here would be.

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<v Speaker 2>Apps that are you know, claiming some sort of therapeutic

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<v Speaker 2>effect on the heart, like misclaiming that, fault claiming that,

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<v Speaker 2>or falsely claiming that you know, they're going to provide

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<v Speaker 2>some sort of resolution. I think people, like I said,

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<v Speaker 2>people might use these as tools to engage with maybe

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<v Speaker 2>the content that somebody left behind. And I think that

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<v Speaker 2>could be interesting if done in a healthy way. Right,

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<v Speaker 2>if you are able to look at like air quote

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<v Speaker 2>talk to you know, the all the letters that your

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<v Speaker 2>your father or your grandfather left behind, that might be

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<v Speaker 2>a really engaging way to learn more about their life

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<v Speaker 2>and to think about like what they meant to you.

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<v Speaker 2>But I don't think there are healthy ways to do that,

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<v Speaker 2>and there are unhealthy ways to do that, And I

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<v Speaker 2>would be worried about, you know, apps that are claiming

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<v Speaker 2>to provide some sort of therapeutic effect when they're not

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<v Speaker 2>doing that, rather than maybe ones that are talking about

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<v Speaker 2>how they can help you understand you know, your past

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<v Speaker 2>and understand your connection to your family better.

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<v Speaker 3>Some of that could be very interesting and positive.

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<v Speaker 1>I can't wait to get an AI letter the kinds

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<v Speaker 1>of letters I get from some members of family and friends,

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<v Speaker 1>particularly on the older spectrum of family and friends, the

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<v Speaker 1>old merry medical Christmas letters where they tell me about

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<v Speaker 1>all of their health ailments in the space of two

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<v Speaker 1>very long pages.

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<v Speaker 3>I suspect, I suspect, I suspect.

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<v Speaker 2>If you get Christmas cards this you know, this season,

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<v Speaker 2>there's there's a good chance a chunk of them were

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<v Speaker 2>helped in being written by AI. But can I give

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<v Speaker 2>you one example. My in laws recently came across a

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<v Speaker 2>handwritten letter from you know, my father in law's dad.

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<v Speaker 2>It was a very it was a terrific piece consoling

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<v Speaker 2>somebody else in the loss of their their spouse. But

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<v Speaker 2>some of it was actually quite difficult to read because

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<v Speaker 2>it was handwritten. I used, you know, I scanned it

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<v Speaker 2>into chat GPT really quickly and asked it if it

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<v Speaker 2>could create a transcript of it. And that was extremely helpful.

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<v Speaker 2>Actually it decrypted some of the words that we had

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<v Speaker 2>we were really struggling with and uh, and we were

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<v Speaker 2>able to enjoy this this letter in a way that

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<v Speaker 2>I don't think we would have struggled more to figure

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<v Speaker 2>out what the handwriting said had we had we not

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<v Speaker 2>use that.

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<v Speaker 3>So there are really positive uses to this technology. But there.

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<v Speaker 2>You know, people shouldn't be substituting, you know, moving through

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<v Speaker 2>their grief process by you know, pretending that they could

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<v Speaker 2>still talk to their their their past relatives.

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<v Speaker 1>I think, yeah, I don't I don't doubt that that

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<v Speaker 1>kind of positive application and the implications of that. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>you talk about, let's face it, cursive writing as a

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<v Speaker 1>lost art in America anyway, But there's some beautiful cursive writing,

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<v Speaker 1>uh in you know the history of family letters and

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<v Speaker 1>those sorts of things. But I think about those, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>as a history buff those important historical documents, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the letters from Lincoln that I can't always you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm looking at the penmanship, and he's got pretty good penmanship,

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<v Speaker 1>but there are areas where I can't find it. I

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<v Speaker 1>think that's interesting. That's a very interesting application. We're going

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<v Speaker 1>to talk more about some of you know, those very

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<v Speaker 1>useful applications for AI coming up. Our guest today in

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<v Speaker 1>this edition of The Federalist Radio Hour Neil Chilson, former

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<v Speaker 1>FDC Chief technologist and currently head of AI policy with

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<v Speaker 1>the Abundance Institute. I want to get to the jobs

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<v Speaker 1>question though, because that is a huge concern, a growing

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<v Speaker 1>concern for a lot of Americans what is fact? What

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<v Speaker 1>is fiction? About what AI is doing and is about

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<v Speaker 1>to do to the job market.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, sorting out the facts can be challenging in sort

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<v Speaker 2>of the effects of new technology on jobs. What we

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<v Speaker 2>do know is that companies are spending a bunch of

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<v Speaker 2>time on trying to figure.

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<v Speaker 3>Out how to use AI, these new AI.

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<v Speaker 2>Tools in their systems, but the actual implementation is actually

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<v Speaker 2>still in the very early stages for almost all companies,

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<v Speaker 2>and so while they're spending time and money on it,

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<v Speaker 2>figuring out how to use it in their environments is

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<v Speaker 2>less clear. I do think that there are lots of

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<v Speaker 2>individuals who are figuring out how to use it, and

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<v Speaker 2>that is moving faster because they can iterate within their company.

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<v Speaker 2>They can try lots of different things. They can try

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<v Speaker 2>to see how, hey, how does this help me write emails?

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<v Speaker 2>How does it help me draft? How does it help

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<v Speaker 2>me brainstorm? How does it help me take notes?

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<v Speaker 3>But we're still not.

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<v Speaker 2>Seeing like a huge productivity boost yet that would suggest

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<v Speaker 2>that this is sort of replacing a bunch of time

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<v Speaker 2>that people are spent, or that it's enhancing and allowing

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<v Speaker 2>them to move into other areas.

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<v Speaker 3>Not yet.

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<v Speaker 2>I think some of that's just because we're still at

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<v Speaker 2>the very early stages of this stuff working its way

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<v Speaker 2>into the job sector. I think, you know, we've heard

425
00:26:14.240 --> 00:26:19.000
<v Speaker 2>some talk about how, you know, early career people are

426
00:26:20.240 --> 00:26:23.359
<v Speaker 2>struggling to get jobs, and the finger is being pointed

427
00:26:23.400 --> 00:26:29.519
<v Speaker 2>at AI. I think that it's it's more about uncertainty

428
00:26:30.079 --> 00:26:32.839
<v Speaker 2>in the economy. And some of that uncertainty, for sure,

429
00:26:33.039 --> 00:26:35.759
<v Speaker 2>is being driven by not knowing what jobs are going

430
00:26:35.799 --> 00:26:38.160
<v Speaker 2>to be affected by AI in the future. And so

431
00:26:38.200 --> 00:26:40.039
<v Speaker 2>I don't want to say that it's not about AI

432
00:26:40.079 --> 00:26:42.400
<v Speaker 2>at all, but there are lots of other factors in

433
00:26:42.440 --> 00:26:48.200
<v Speaker 2>the economy that suggest uncertainty, and so I think teasing

434
00:26:48.240 --> 00:26:50.119
<v Speaker 2>that out is very complicated. We'll have to see a

435
00:26:50.160 --> 00:26:53.359
<v Speaker 2>little bit more. One other area of research has been

436
00:26:53.400 --> 00:26:56.839
<v Speaker 2>about the types of tasks that these large language models

437
00:26:56.839 --> 00:26:58.519
<v Speaker 2>are good at and where they're not good.

438
00:26:58.519 --> 00:27:00.720
<v Speaker 3>And what we know is right now is that for.

439
00:27:00.720 --> 00:27:06.240
<v Speaker 2>Certain types of jobs, AI has this effect of leveling

440
00:27:06.400 --> 00:27:10.240
<v Speaker 2>up quickly people who are earlier or less experienced, and

441
00:27:10.319 --> 00:27:14.039
<v Speaker 2>so in like a call center job, for example, where

442
00:27:14.079 --> 00:27:17.640
<v Speaker 2>you're offering you know, your troubleshooting for customers over and

443
00:27:17.680 --> 00:27:21.119
<v Speaker 2>over and over, these tools can really make somebody who

444
00:27:21.200 --> 00:27:25.319
<v Speaker 2>is new to this job perform at a very much

445
00:27:25.400 --> 00:27:28.839
<v Speaker 2>higher level, much more quickly, But it doesn't help the

446
00:27:28.880 --> 00:27:32.680
<v Speaker 2>people at the top of that experience trend very much.

447
00:27:32.759 --> 00:27:35.680
<v Speaker 2>In those types of jobs and other types of jobs,

448
00:27:35.720 --> 00:27:41.799
<v Speaker 2>say where you're running a scientific laboratory and you're using

449
00:27:41.960 --> 00:27:45.440
<v Speaker 2>these types of models to help you brainstorm. There, it

450
00:27:45.519 --> 00:27:49.200
<v Speaker 2>seems like it makes the highest performers perform even better,

451
00:27:49.599 --> 00:27:52.799
<v Speaker 2>and so the distribution of effect is different. So there

452
00:27:53.200 --> 00:27:56.559
<v Speaker 2>the highest performers get a huge boost and the lower

453
00:27:56.599 --> 00:28:00.359
<v Speaker 2>performers don't, because the highest performers can tell, like sort

454
00:28:00.400 --> 00:28:04.519
<v Speaker 2>of intuitively, which threads of this brainstorming process makes some

455
00:28:04.640 --> 00:28:06.640
<v Speaker 2>sense and which ones don't, and so they get a

456
00:28:06.640 --> 00:28:09.759
<v Speaker 2>productivity boost and the lower skilled people don't. And so

457
00:28:10.119 --> 00:28:12.920
<v Speaker 2>I think it really is job dependent that's going to

458
00:28:12.920 --> 00:28:17.720
<v Speaker 2>be the case. I think for general purpose technologies overall,

459
00:28:18.039 --> 00:28:20.920
<v Speaker 2>we don't know all the applications of AI. We don't

460
00:28:20.920 --> 00:28:24.720
<v Speaker 2>know exactly how it's going to help, but there's lots

461
00:28:24.759 --> 00:28:26.640
<v Speaker 2>of different ways that people are figuring it out.

462
00:28:26.680 --> 00:28:28.200
<v Speaker 3>I actually saw the demo the other.

463
00:28:28.160 --> 00:28:32.039
<v Speaker 2>Day of how people are using AI and what they

464
00:28:32.079 --> 00:28:37.799
<v Speaker 2>call augmented reality headsets on construction sites to be able

465
00:28:37.839 --> 00:28:41.359
<v Speaker 2>to much more quickly and more safely figure out where

466
00:28:41.359 --> 00:28:45.000
<v Speaker 2>they should put pieces, what's the next step that they

467
00:28:45.039 --> 00:28:48.640
<v Speaker 2>need to take. And you can help people coordinate in

468
00:28:48.680 --> 00:28:51.599
<v Speaker 2>a much more safe way using both AI and this

469
00:28:51.799 --> 00:28:55.160
<v Speaker 2>VR together. But this is all still very early days.

470
00:28:55.160 --> 00:28:59.000
<v Speaker 2>I don't think we really know the overall job impacts

471
00:28:59.039 --> 00:29:02.160
<v Speaker 2>of this technology. What we do know is that intelligence,

472
00:29:03.440 --> 00:29:07.640
<v Speaker 2>artificial intelligence is valuable because intelligence is valuable, and so

473
00:29:08.440 --> 00:29:12.359
<v Speaker 2>to the extent that we can use AI to amplify

474
00:29:12.480 --> 00:29:15.440
<v Speaker 2>our intellectual endeavors the way that we used you know,

475
00:29:15.480 --> 00:29:18.720
<v Speaker 2>the steam engine and the combustion engine to amplify our

476
00:29:19.200 --> 00:29:24.480
<v Speaker 2>our physical uh capabilities we had. There is huge potential

477
00:29:24.519 --> 00:29:27.480
<v Speaker 2>here for a lot of productivity and that means that

478
00:29:27.559 --> 00:29:29.279
<v Speaker 2>means change in the types of jobs.

479
00:29:30.640 --> 00:29:32.519
<v Speaker 3>And but we don't.

480
00:29:32.279 --> 00:29:34.400
<v Speaker 2>Really know how fast or how that's going to work

481
00:29:34.440 --> 00:29:36.680
<v Speaker 2>out yet, so there's some uncertainty for sure.

482
00:29:37.160 --> 00:29:41.200
<v Speaker 1>You note that AI can sharpen skills of individuals. Can

483
00:29:41.200 --> 00:29:45.240
<v Speaker 1>it steal the courage of members of Congress? Is that

484
00:29:45.359 --> 00:29:48.039
<v Speaker 1>yet part of the technology suite?

485
00:29:48.839 --> 00:29:52.400
<v Speaker 2>Uh? Wow, I hadn't thought of that as an application.

486
00:29:53.279 --> 00:29:57.599
<v Speaker 2>Somebody should train an app to do that? Uh, you know,

487
00:29:57.640 --> 00:29:59.599
<v Speaker 2>train a model to do that. The question would be

488
00:29:59.640 --> 00:30:02.759
<v Speaker 2>could we and get members of Congress to use it.

489
00:30:02.839 --> 00:30:07.680
<v Speaker 2>I did hear that Josh Holly recently used chat GPT

490
00:30:07.960 --> 00:30:11.759
<v Speaker 2>to explore some sixteen hundred's Puritan history and was quite

491
00:30:11.759 --> 00:30:14.400
<v Speaker 2>impressed with the response that he got back. But I

492
00:30:14.440 --> 00:30:16.160
<v Speaker 2>think that was a very early use for him. So

493
00:30:16.160 --> 00:30:18.279
<v Speaker 2>I hope he digs in, and I hope member of

494
00:30:18.440 --> 00:30:21.400
<v Speaker 2>members of Congress do as well. I think understanding how

495
00:30:21.440 --> 00:30:25.640
<v Speaker 2>this technology works and doesn't work is really valuable, and

496
00:30:25.359 --> 00:30:28.200
<v Speaker 2>it's it's not the type of technology that sits off

497
00:30:28.240 --> 00:30:30.000
<v Speaker 2>somewhere else and you would have to like plan a

498
00:30:30.039 --> 00:30:32.440
<v Speaker 2>trip to go do it. Anybody can try it out,

499
00:30:32.519 --> 00:30:36.920
<v Speaker 2>see how it works, and I think that that experience

500
00:30:37.039 --> 00:30:43.319
<v Speaker 2>is worth doing just to understand, you know, what exactly

501
00:30:43.359 --> 00:30:44.440
<v Speaker 2>we're dealing with here.

502
00:30:45.079 --> 00:30:48.160
<v Speaker 1>Well, I mean, you know, it's always as a computer programmer,

503
00:30:48.200 --> 00:30:53.480
<v Speaker 1>you know the model here, I guess the mantra more so,

504
00:30:53.559 --> 00:30:56.359
<v Speaker 1>and that is garbage in, garbage out. It's what you

505
00:30:56.440 --> 00:30:59.440
<v Speaker 1>put into the system, what you can expect to get

506
00:30:59.480 --> 00:31:01.640
<v Speaker 1>out of it. And I think that pretty much described

507
00:31:01.680 --> 00:31:04.599
<v Speaker 1>the sixteen nineteen projects, speaking of Puritan.

508
00:31:06.119 --> 00:31:07.400
<v Speaker 3>Travel, all of.

509
00:31:07.359 --> 00:31:10.279
<v Speaker 1>That sort of thing we've talked about. You know, some

510
00:31:10.359 --> 00:31:15.359
<v Speaker 1>of the concerns obviously in this emerging technology that's been

511
00:31:15.400 --> 00:31:19.359
<v Speaker 1>emerging by the way for the last seventy years, as

512
00:31:19.400 --> 00:31:23.759
<v Speaker 1>you note, But there are some really powerful applications. I

513
00:31:23.759 --> 00:31:29.160
<v Speaker 1>think about the healthcare arena, what about AI and healthcare?

514
00:31:29.359 --> 00:31:32.839
<v Speaker 1>What about you know, what we're really seeing in terms

515
00:31:32.880 --> 00:31:38.359
<v Speaker 1>of AI really driving positive change in different facets of

516
00:31:38.400 --> 00:31:38.960
<v Speaker 1>our lives.

517
00:31:40.440 --> 00:31:43.039
<v Speaker 2>So I think the healthcare arena is a great example.

518
00:31:43.240 --> 00:31:46.079
<v Speaker 2>The way that these tools work is they take large

519
00:31:46.519 --> 00:31:50.559
<v Speaker 2>amounts of data that human as humans, we can't see

520
00:31:51.000 --> 00:31:54.519
<v Speaker 2>complicated patterns in, and they help expose those patterns. And

521
00:31:54.599 --> 00:31:57.799
<v Speaker 2>healthcare is full of this type of data where we

522
00:31:57.920 --> 00:32:00.720
<v Speaker 2>have a lot of data about you know, we might

523
00:32:00.720 --> 00:32:05.839
<v Speaker 2>have millions of CT scans of breast cancer, for example,

524
00:32:06.839 --> 00:32:10.279
<v Speaker 2>but we still have a very manual process for identifying that. Well,

525
00:32:10.359 --> 00:32:14.160
<v Speaker 2>these tools can can do that type of analysis faster

526
00:32:14.400 --> 00:32:17.720
<v Speaker 2>and more accurately, and often they can identify, you know,

527
00:32:18.039 --> 00:32:22.759
<v Speaker 2>risk factors earlier than doctors could, in particular in the

528
00:32:22.759 --> 00:32:26.000
<v Speaker 2>breast cancer context. That's just one area. One of the

529
00:32:26.000 --> 00:32:29.079
<v Speaker 2>other big applications it's possible here is you know, we

530
00:32:29.160 --> 00:32:33.720
<v Speaker 2>treat and we research healthcare in this country and around

531
00:32:33.759 --> 00:32:38.480
<v Speaker 2>the world, sort of ash in a very generic way.

532
00:32:38.519 --> 00:32:41.200
<v Speaker 2>We sort of treat people as like an average human.

533
00:32:41.480 --> 00:32:44.640
<v Speaker 2>But the truth is there's so much variation in the

534
00:32:44.720 --> 00:32:49.839
<v Speaker 2>human body and in the human health health system. They're

535
00:32:49.960 --> 00:32:55.480
<v Speaker 2>there that being able to diagnose at a much more

536
00:32:55.599 --> 00:32:58.440
<v Speaker 2>personalized level what is going on in your body is

537
00:32:58.480 --> 00:33:01.160
<v Speaker 2>something that AI is getting better and better at, and

538
00:33:01.200 --> 00:33:05.880
<v Speaker 2>I think that that raises just huge potential benefits for

539
00:33:06.079 --> 00:33:10.079
<v Speaker 2>customized medicine that is directed exactly at the problems that

540
00:33:10.160 --> 00:33:13.400
<v Speaker 2>you have and the cluster of problems that you or

541
00:33:13.440 --> 00:33:16.400
<v Speaker 2>your family member might have that won't look like the

542
00:33:16.519 --> 00:33:17.480
<v Speaker 2>vast majority of.

543
00:33:17.440 --> 00:33:18.759
<v Speaker 3>Issues that other people have.

544
00:33:18.880 --> 00:33:22.799
<v Speaker 2>And so we've already seen that in what are called

545
00:33:22.880 --> 00:33:24.079
<v Speaker 2>like orphan diseases.

546
00:33:24.200 --> 00:33:25.720
<v Speaker 3>These are diseases.

547
00:33:25.200 --> 00:33:28.720
<v Speaker 2>That might affect, you know, a thousand people across the

548
00:33:28.720 --> 00:33:31.799
<v Speaker 2>world at any time, and there are millions of people

549
00:33:31.799 --> 00:33:35.759
<v Speaker 2>who are suffering from these types of diseases that are

550
00:33:35.799 --> 00:33:39.960
<v Speaker 2>so small and so targeted that it's very hard just

551
00:33:40.000 --> 00:33:43.799
<v Speaker 2>from a business perspective or an economic incentive perspective, to

552
00:33:43.920 --> 00:33:46.519
<v Speaker 2>create treatments for them. If you're only going to solve

553
00:33:46.559 --> 00:33:49.400
<v Speaker 2>problems for a thousand people, it's hard to know. But

554
00:33:49.480 --> 00:33:52.519
<v Speaker 2>what we're learning and there's some great research. I believe

555
00:33:52.519 --> 00:33:58.279
<v Speaker 2>it's at the University of Washington that is taking existing drugs,

556
00:33:58.440 --> 00:34:02.279
<v Speaker 2>existing treatments and identifying where those treatments could apply to

557
00:34:02.359 --> 00:34:06.920
<v Speaker 2>some of these orphan orphan diseases. And they're really they're

558
00:34:06.920 --> 00:34:10.400
<v Speaker 2>bringing like real benefit, like life saving treatments to people

559
00:34:11.079 --> 00:34:15.119
<v Speaker 2>by applying existing approved drugs that otherwise wouldn't have been

560
00:34:15.360 --> 00:34:20.639
<v Speaker 2>used in that context to these orphan diseases. And that's

561
00:34:20.679 --> 00:34:22.480
<v Speaker 2>the sort of thing that you could really only do

562
00:34:22.599 --> 00:34:26.559
<v Speaker 2>with AI because it can see you can enter in

563
00:34:26.599 --> 00:34:28.559
<v Speaker 2>all this data and you can get these patterns out

564
00:34:28.559 --> 00:34:32.320
<v Speaker 2>that identify, hey, maybe we should try this technique over

565
00:34:32.639 --> 00:34:34.920
<v Speaker 2>on this thing where we've never thought to try it before.

566
00:34:34.920 --> 00:34:37.559
<v Speaker 2>And so I'm super excited about those types of treatments.

567
00:34:37.599 --> 00:34:40.440
<v Speaker 2>I think that's going to make our lives healthier and longer.

568
00:34:41.280 --> 00:34:43.480
<v Speaker 2>And it's one of the areas where we need to

569
00:34:43.480 --> 00:34:47.119
<v Speaker 2>get the policy right because the way we treat healthcare

570
00:34:47.199 --> 00:34:50.079
<v Speaker 2>data in this country is makes it very hard to

571
00:34:50.119 --> 00:34:52.400
<v Speaker 2>do some of these types of things, and so we

572
00:34:52.440 --> 00:34:54.440
<v Speaker 2>need to get policy right. But if we get that right,

573
00:34:55.360 --> 00:34:58.440
<v Speaker 2>the health benefits here are really really exciting.

574
00:34:58.960 --> 00:35:01.480
<v Speaker 1>Well, speaking of palas, see again you know the big

575
00:35:01.519 --> 00:35:07.639
<v Speaker 1>beautiful bill has some interesting things in it about AI.

576
00:35:08.159 --> 00:35:12.519
<v Speaker 1>It aims in many ways to stem the wave of

577
00:35:12.840 --> 00:35:19.599
<v Speaker 1>state AI laws you know that that create this patchwork

578
00:35:19.719 --> 00:35:24.360
<v Speaker 1>of you know, different boundary lines for AI, which you

579
00:35:24.400 --> 00:35:27.719
<v Speaker 1>know is problematic to save the least, I mean, there

580
00:35:27.760 --> 00:35:32.880
<v Speaker 1>has to be clearly some regulation in this area. It's

581
00:35:32.960 --> 00:35:37.119
<v Speaker 1>just what that is now that did not make it

582
00:35:37.639 --> 00:35:42.159
<v Speaker 1>through the you know, the process. Right Where where does

583
00:35:42.199 --> 00:35:43.280
<v Speaker 1>all of that stand?

584
00:35:43.320 --> 00:35:43.480
<v Speaker 2>Now?

585
00:35:43.519 --> 00:35:46.920
<v Speaker 1>Where do you see that going? Because you know, it's

586
00:35:46.960 --> 00:35:53.199
<v Speaker 1>it's understandable that AI companies have some concerns about trying

587
00:35:53.239 --> 00:35:57.800
<v Speaker 1>to navigate so many different laws in this arena.

588
00:35:58.559 --> 00:36:01.599
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, there's two real concerns here. One is the one

589
00:36:01.599 --> 00:36:02.440
<v Speaker 3>that you said, which is.

590
00:36:02.360 --> 00:36:05.719
<v Speaker 2>A sort of patchwork of you know, there were over

591
00:36:05.760 --> 00:36:09.039
<v Speaker 2>one thousand state laws that related to AI that were

592
00:36:09.079 --> 00:36:13.800
<v Speaker 2>introduced in in twenty twenty five so far, and you know,

593
00:36:13.880 --> 00:36:16.840
<v Speaker 2>most of those were not problematic, but you still have

594
00:36:16.920 --> 00:36:19.039
<v Speaker 2>to pay attention to them a little bit. Some of

595
00:36:19.079 --> 00:36:21.599
<v Speaker 2>them were deeply problematic and didn't pass. Some of them

596
00:36:21.599 --> 00:36:24.239
<v Speaker 2>were deeply problematic and did pass. And so I think

597
00:36:24.239 --> 00:36:27.400
<v Speaker 2>California passed sixteen different AI laws this session.

598
00:36:27.480 --> 00:36:30.199
<v Speaker 3>And so so one of the.

599
00:36:30.119 --> 00:36:32.920
<v Speaker 2>Concerns is just this patchwork compliance, right, Like, how do

600
00:36:33.000 --> 00:36:36.480
<v Speaker 2>I know what? What if I offer this product and

601
00:36:36.519 --> 00:36:38.880
<v Speaker 2>there's somebody who used it in Missouri and somebody who

602
00:36:38.960 --> 00:36:40.920
<v Speaker 2>used it in California, am I going to have to

603
00:36:40.920 --> 00:36:42.920
<v Speaker 2>comply with two different sets of laws? How do I

604
00:36:42.960 --> 00:36:46.039
<v Speaker 2>do That's that's that's a real problem. That's especially a

605
00:36:46.079 --> 00:36:49.519
<v Speaker 2>problem for startups. Bigger companies can kind of afford to

606
00:36:49.559 --> 00:36:52.320
<v Speaker 2>pay like a huge legal shop to try to figure

607
00:36:52.320 --> 00:36:55.320
<v Speaker 2>out how to do this, but smaller companies are just

608
00:36:55.360 --> 00:36:57.760
<v Speaker 2>going to struggle to do that. And so that's a

609
00:36:57.840 --> 00:36:59.920
<v Speaker 2>problem for competition in this space, which I think is

610
00:37:00.159 --> 00:37:03.800
<v Speaker 2>an important dimension. The second problem is what I call

611
00:37:04.320 --> 00:37:08.079
<v Speaker 2>extra territoriality. And this is an old problem in our

612
00:37:08.119 --> 00:37:13.360
<v Speaker 2>federalist system. It's in fact, it's what drove the founders

613
00:37:13.400 --> 00:37:16.000
<v Speaker 2>to move away from the Articles of Confederation and to

614
00:37:16.119 --> 00:37:21.400
<v Speaker 2>move towards the Constitution to have a more centralized government

615
00:37:21.440 --> 00:37:25.000
<v Speaker 2>with limited powers, and then you know, the states to

616
00:37:25.039 --> 00:37:28.199
<v Speaker 2>have you know, other powers, the police powers primarily. And

617
00:37:28.239 --> 00:37:32.280
<v Speaker 2>so what that means is if California passes a law,

618
00:37:32.480 --> 00:37:38.159
<v Speaker 2>say dictating what you know political advertising can look like,

619
00:37:38.880 --> 00:37:43.559
<v Speaker 2>it embeds you know the values of the California legislature.

620
00:37:44.280 --> 00:37:48.679
<v Speaker 2>But because California is such a large market, and because

621
00:37:48.719 --> 00:37:51.360
<v Speaker 2>companies are going to want to sell into that market,

622
00:37:51.800 --> 00:37:54.719
<v Speaker 2>that means that you know, probably the people in Oklahoma

623
00:37:54.760 --> 00:37:59.000
<v Speaker 2>and Missouri and Iowa and you know, North Carolina, they're

624
00:37:59.039 --> 00:38:01.719
<v Speaker 2>probably going to be opera within the same system that

625
00:38:01.800 --> 00:38:04.679
<v Speaker 2>California has dictated. And I think that that is a

626
00:38:04.679 --> 00:38:07.320
<v Speaker 2>real problem, especially when we get into some more of

627
00:38:07.360 --> 00:38:09.880
<v Speaker 2>the political and speech.

628
00:38:09.559 --> 00:38:11.239
<v Speaker 3>Based concerns in this area.

629
00:38:11.320 --> 00:38:14.880
<v Speaker 2>We don't want California to be setting the national standard

630
00:38:15.519 --> 00:38:19.960
<v Speaker 2>for what AI looks like. That's that's Congress's job. This

631
00:38:20.039 --> 00:38:23.840
<v Speaker 2>is a national technology, and so you know, the big,

632
00:38:23.960 --> 00:38:27.320
<v Speaker 2>the you know, big beautiful Bill had there was an

633
00:38:27.320 --> 00:38:32.159
<v Speaker 2>opportunity there for Congress to do something. They tried, couldn't

634
00:38:32.159 --> 00:38:35.079
<v Speaker 2>get it across the line on that particular one. But

635
00:38:35.119 --> 00:38:38.920
<v Speaker 2>there's building interest in this having a federal approach to

636
00:38:39.000 --> 00:38:42.920
<v Speaker 2>this technology, which is a national technology that has both

637
00:38:43.239 --> 00:38:48.000
<v Speaker 2>like nationally economic importance but also just national security importance

638
00:38:48.079 --> 00:38:50.400
<v Speaker 2>as well when we talk about, you know, competing with

639
00:38:50.519 --> 00:38:52.679
<v Speaker 2>China in this area, and so I think there is

640
00:38:52.760 --> 00:38:56.360
<v Speaker 2>building interest in doing something at the federal level. We

641
00:38:56.559 --> 00:38:59.840
<v Speaker 2>just had another opportunity. There was an exploration of whether

642
00:38:59.920 --> 00:39:02.519
<v Speaker 2>or not we could get this into you know, Congress

643
00:39:02.559 --> 00:39:05.840
<v Speaker 2>was going to put this into something like the the

644
00:39:05.840 --> 00:39:11.159
<v Speaker 2>the NDAA, which is the big appropriations bill for National defense.

645
00:39:12.480 --> 00:39:17.000
<v Speaker 2>Ultimately that that didn't It wasn't the right vehicle. It's

646
00:39:17.000 --> 00:39:20.360
<v Speaker 2>a consensus document. It was just challenging to get bipartisan

647
00:39:20.400 --> 00:39:23.559
<v Speaker 2>support there. But I think Congress continues to be interested

648
00:39:23.559 --> 00:39:28.159
<v Speaker 2>in this. I think people recognize that national technology should

649
00:39:28.159 --> 00:39:31.400
<v Speaker 2>be you know, regulated at the national level, and so

650
00:39:31.639 --> 00:39:33.880
<v Speaker 2>I think Congress is going to continue to explore that.

651
00:39:34.519 --> 00:39:36.719
<v Speaker 2>The White House has been pushing pretty hard on this.

652
00:39:36.800 --> 00:39:39.000
<v Speaker 2>President Trump has come out vocally and said that we

653
00:39:39.039 --> 00:39:43.079
<v Speaker 2>need a federal framework in this space. We cannot subject

654
00:39:43.119 --> 00:39:47.760
<v Speaker 2>to this national technology to you know, fifty state patchwork

655
00:39:47.840 --> 00:39:51.159
<v Speaker 2>of laws, and we certainly can't let California dictate what

656
00:39:52.000 --> 00:39:54.320
<v Speaker 2>our technology looks like when we're competing with China.

657
00:39:54.440 --> 00:39:58.880
<v Speaker 1>So well, just just to ask the hard producers of

658
00:39:59.239 --> 00:40:05.519
<v Speaker 1>Iowa about the impact California laws can have on their marketplace,

659
00:40:06.880 --> 00:40:07.199
<v Speaker 1>you know.

660
00:40:07.239 --> 00:40:10.480
<v Speaker 2>Or anybody who's bought a pickup truck right absolutely and

661
00:40:10.519 --> 00:40:14.199
<v Speaker 2>had to meet you know, California cafe like fuel efficiency standards.

662
00:40:14.280 --> 00:40:15.480
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, yeah, exactly.

663
00:40:16.599 --> 00:40:18.800
<v Speaker 1>All right, Well, we're quickly running out of time. I

664
00:40:18.920 --> 00:40:21.880
<v Speaker 1>just have a couple of questions left. The first is

665
00:40:22.400 --> 00:40:28.639
<v Speaker 1>the resources involved in this. Obviously, AI, this technology requires

666
00:40:29.000 --> 00:40:33.880
<v Speaker 1>a great deal of a particular natural resource. Where do

667
00:40:33.960 --> 00:40:35.519
<v Speaker 1>you see all of that going ahead?

668
00:40:36.440 --> 00:40:40.400
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, so AI requires a lot of energy. The current

669
00:40:41.519 --> 00:40:45.400
<v Speaker 2>models and the current chips that are used to run

670
00:40:45.440 --> 00:40:50.639
<v Speaker 2>them require energy, and so we are. Unfortunately in this

671
00:40:50.719 --> 00:40:53.960
<v Speaker 2>country we have been operating since the nineteen seventies under

672
00:40:53.960 --> 00:40:56.559
<v Speaker 2>a sort of scarcity mindset when it comes to energy,

673
00:40:56.599 --> 00:41:00.360
<v Speaker 2>This idea that we need to conserve and recycle and

674
00:41:00.480 --> 00:41:03.599
<v Speaker 2>all of these are Efficiency is good, recycling is good.

675
00:41:03.679 --> 00:41:06.039
<v Speaker 2>Using things the best we can is good.

676
00:41:06.480 --> 00:41:07.519
<v Speaker 3>But we have.

677
00:41:07.480 --> 00:41:12.360
<v Speaker 2>A wealth of resources in this country. We should be

678
00:41:12.519 --> 00:41:18.280
<v Speaker 2>using them. Prosperity and energy intensity are directly related. It's

679
00:41:18.320 --> 00:41:20.519
<v Speaker 2>hard to be a wealthy country without using a lot

680
00:41:20.519 --> 00:41:22.679
<v Speaker 2>of energy, and we shouldn't think of that as a

681
00:41:22.679 --> 00:41:25.719
<v Speaker 2>bad thing. We should be trying to build more energy

682
00:41:25.719 --> 00:41:28.880
<v Speaker 2>in this country. And I think it's finally AI has

683
00:41:28.920 --> 00:41:32.039
<v Speaker 2>sort of woken people up to the fact that, hey,

684
00:41:33.159 --> 00:41:35.679
<v Speaker 2>this scarcity mindset needs to go away. We need an

685
00:41:35.719 --> 00:41:39.280
<v Speaker 2>abundance mindset when it comes to energy. Building more energy

686
00:41:39.360 --> 00:41:42.440
<v Speaker 2>is a good thing, and providing more energy is good

687
00:41:42.480 --> 00:41:44.280
<v Speaker 2>and that's the sort of thing that over time will

688
00:41:44.400 --> 00:41:49.519
<v Speaker 2>drive down prices and we'll drive up new solutions, and

689
00:41:49.559 --> 00:41:50.800
<v Speaker 2>so these data centers are.

690
00:41:50.679 --> 00:41:53.119
<v Speaker 3>Sort of the spark for that. But I think we could.

691
00:41:52.920 --> 00:41:57.039
<v Speaker 2>All benefit from having more energy abundance in this country.

692
00:41:57.840 --> 00:41:59.920
<v Speaker 2>And so the balance is going to be like, where

693
00:42:00.079 --> 00:42:01.960
<v Speaker 2>we build this, how can we build it, how do

694
00:42:02.000 --> 00:42:05.000
<v Speaker 2>we deal with the concerns of you know, local communities

695
00:42:05.400 --> 00:42:09.800
<v Speaker 2>about energy prices. All of that means that we should

696
00:42:09.840 --> 00:42:13.719
<v Speaker 2>aim towards, you know, not subsidizing these types of projects,

697
00:42:13.960 --> 00:42:17.239
<v Speaker 2>but finding a way to enable them to help give

698
00:42:17.360 --> 00:42:20.920
<v Speaker 2>back both on the energy production side, but also on

699
00:42:21.000 --> 00:42:24.360
<v Speaker 2>the you know, the the amazing tools that they're building.

700
00:42:25.280 --> 00:42:27.000
<v Speaker 2>We talk about data centers, I have to think we

701
00:42:27.000 --> 00:42:30.960
<v Speaker 2>should just say supercomputers, like people should be like excited

702
00:42:31.000 --> 00:42:34.440
<v Speaker 2>to have a new supercomputer in their backyard. I well,

703
00:42:34.440 --> 00:42:36.559
<v Speaker 2>maybe that just makes me super nerdy. I am excited

704
00:42:36.599 --> 00:42:37.320
<v Speaker 2>by such things.

705
00:42:38.679 --> 00:42:41.639
<v Speaker 1>These are not everybody, not everybody who's excited as you

706
00:42:41.679 --> 00:42:42.400
<v Speaker 1>are about this.

707
00:42:42.559 --> 00:42:45.280
<v Speaker 2>But I think you're right, and I need to I

708
00:42:45.280 --> 00:42:47.840
<v Speaker 2>need to step out of my own bubble sometimes. And

709
00:42:47.880 --> 00:42:51.000
<v Speaker 2>there certainly are trade offs that come from from this,

710
00:42:51.920 --> 00:42:55.360
<v Speaker 2>But I think overall, the benefits are enormous. There are

711
00:42:55.440 --> 00:42:59.880
<v Speaker 2>communities that are very interested in the level of investment

712
00:43:00.519 --> 00:43:03.920
<v Speaker 2>that come with these types of data centers. You know,

713
00:43:04.000 --> 00:43:07.400
<v Speaker 2>Texas is building a bunch of them, Louisiana has is

714
00:43:07.400 --> 00:43:10.960
<v Speaker 2>building some massive ones. These are creating you know, hundreds

715
00:43:11.159 --> 00:43:15.880
<v Speaker 2>of thousands of construction jobs, and then you know the

716
00:43:15.960 --> 00:43:19.400
<v Speaker 2>ongoing like, uh, you know, maintenance of the data centers

717
00:43:19.480 --> 00:43:22.079
<v Speaker 2>is you know, less job intensive, but is you know,

718
00:43:22.159 --> 00:43:25.079
<v Speaker 2>creates prosperity and creates a hub for technology in the

719
00:43:25.280 --> 00:43:27.599
<v Speaker 2>in the nearby area. And so I think there's there

720
00:43:27.639 --> 00:43:30.039
<v Speaker 2>are lots of benefits. I think we need to keep

721
00:43:30.079 --> 00:43:31.840
<v Speaker 2>those in mind, and we need to deal with some

722
00:43:31.920 --> 00:43:34.039
<v Speaker 2>of the myths. One of the biggest myths is around

723
00:43:34.039 --> 00:43:37.280
<v Speaker 2>this water use issue, which is just totally made up.

724
00:43:37.280 --> 00:43:38.039
<v Speaker 3>I mean, there is.

725
00:43:38.519 --> 00:43:41.920
<v Speaker 2>Why data centers use less water than the typical like

726
00:43:42.159 --> 00:43:46.679
<v Speaker 2>mid size brewery. It does, and so or like a

727
00:43:46.719 --> 00:43:50.599
<v Speaker 2>small manufacturer often uses more water than a data center.

728
00:43:51.519 --> 00:43:52.800
<v Speaker 3>They are energy intensive.

729
00:43:52.880 --> 00:43:55.559
<v Speaker 2>But water is not really an issue in this space,

730
00:43:55.599 --> 00:43:58.840
<v Speaker 2>and it's I don't know why that's become such a story,

731
00:43:59.719 --> 00:44:02.559
<v Speaker 2>but I think people just feel, you know, they're there.

732
00:44:02.800 --> 00:44:05.119
<v Speaker 2>They don't want their bodily fluids polluted. We learned that

733
00:44:05.159 --> 00:44:08.960
<v Speaker 2>from uh uh, you know from you know, uh what

734
00:44:08.960 --> 00:44:10.679
<v Speaker 2>what is that movie? I'm blanking on it right now,

735
00:44:10.719 --> 00:44:12.039
<v Speaker 2>But Soil and Green?

736
00:44:12.519 --> 00:44:18.840
<v Speaker 3>That wasn't Soiling Green, it was Blanken. But but you know, people.

737
00:44:18.679 --> 00:44:22.159
<v Speaker 1>I'm trying to remember a movie with bodily fluids as

738
00:44:22.159 --> 00:44:28.320
<v Speaker 1>it's core principle. Actually, I'm sure they're Strange love, doctor Strange.

739
00:44:29.119 --> 00:44:30.760
<v Speaker 1>Now you got it, yes, yeah.

740
00:44:30.920 --> 00:44:31.840
<v Speaker 3>Doctor Strange love.

741
00:44:31.840 --> 00:44:34.079
<v Speaker 2>And so I don't know why the water talking point

742
00:44:34.119 --> 00:44:37.519
<v Speaker 2>has been so viral, but it's just not true.

743
00:44:37.760 --> 00:44:39.559
<v Speaker 1>It really has been. That's I mean, that's what that's

744
00:44:39.840 --> 00:44:42.199
<v Speaker 1>really what I was getting at is that's the that's

745
00:44:42.239 --> 00:44:45.440
<v Speaker 1>been the topic of conversation. Now. Of course, it's been

746
00:44:45.480 --> 00:44:48.360
<v Speaker 1>the topic of a conversation that's in no small part

747
00:44:48.519 --> 00:44:53.920
<v Speaker 1>driven by environmentalist and extreme environmentalist of course. And they

748
00:44:53.920 --> 00:44:57.320
<v Speaker 1>have certainly never led us astray before right now.

749
00:44:58.639 --> 00:45:02.960
<v Speaker 2>They they I don't, And honestly, there's it's such a

750
00:45:03.000 --> 00:45:08.119
<v Speaker 2>self defeating mindset that that the environmentalists are have been

751
00:45:08.119 --> 00:45:10.840
<v Speaker 2>the primary driver of that mindset I said before, of

752
00:45:10.880 --> 00:45:15.000
<v Speaker 2>like energy scarcity, that basically that that humans using the

753
00:45:15.039 --> 00:45:18.360
<v Speaker 2>resources that God put here on our planet are is

754
00:45:18.880 --> 00:45:21.639
<v Speaker 2>a bad thing. More or less and so I think

755
00:45:22.639 --> 00:45:25.280
<v Speaker 2>they certainly have led us astray before I think on

756
00:45:25.280 --> 00:45:27.960
<v Speaker 2>this water thing, they very much are leading us astray.

757
00:45:28.880 --> 00:45:32.280
<v Speaker 2>You know, electrical use is a energy use is a challenge,

758
00:45:32.519 --> 00:45:34.639
<v Speaker 2>and we need to make sure that we we get

759
00:45:34.679 --> 00:45:37.320
<v Speaker 2>that balance right. And to me, the right solution there

760
00:45:37.360 --> 00:45:39.960
<v Speaker 2>is to build more. We have the ability, we have

761
00:45:40.000 --> 00:45:42.679
<v Speaker 2>the technical capability, we have the deep resources in this

762
00:45:42.719 --> 00:45:43.519
<v Speaker 2>country to do it.

763
00:45:43.880 --> 00:45:45.719
<v Speaker 3>We need to do it, or you know.

764
00:45:46.079 --> 00:45:49.320
<v Speaker 2>These data centers will be being built in China and

765
00:45:49.599 --> 00:45:53.679
<v Speaker 2>in you know, Saudi Arabia and in places where they'll

766
00:45:53.719 --> 00:45:58.519
<v Speaker 2>be outside of the sort of US cultural influence, and

767
00:45:58.519 --> 00:46:01.320
<v Speaker 2>then they won't be serving our national interest. And so

768
00:46:02.800 --> 00:46:05.119
<v Speaker 2>I worry about that as a challenge. I think it's

769
00:46:05.519 --> 00:46:06.840
<v Speaker 2>what we can tackle and we should.

770
00:46:07.800 --> 00:46:11.000
<v Speaker 1>Well. If my AOC clock is right, we have about

771
00:46:11.000 --> 00:46:14.559
<v Speaker 1>two and a half years of existence left. If I'm

772
00:46:14.559 --> 00:46:17.360
<v Speaker 1>not missing because I was out twelve years at one point,

773
00:46:17.400 --> 00:46:20.840
<v Speaker 1>I haven't checked in. I probably should. Final question for you,

774
00:46:21.119 --> 00:46:23.519
<v Speaker 1>and this is it. You know, I've made no secret

775
00:46:23.559 --> 00:46:27.079
<v Speaker 1>to you as we've talked about these issues in the past.

776
00:46:27.840 --> 00:46:30.800
<v Speaker 1>AI technology scares the hell out of me. Yeah, it's

777
00:46:30.880 --> 00:46:37.519
<v Speaker 1>probably because I didn't. I'm old enough to live in

778
00:46:37.559 --> 00:46:42.039
<v Speaker 1>a time where I didn't envision the technology could possibly

779
00:46:42.199 --> 00:46:48.320
<v Speaker 1>get beyond the Atari twenty six hundred and frogger. So,

780
00:46:48.880 --> 00:46:51.639
<v Speaker 1>you know, maybe I'm a ludite on that front. But

781
00:46:52.199 --> 00:46:57.639
<v Speaker 1>here's the question, plain and simple. Will AI eventually become

782
00:46:57.719 --> 00:47:01.880
<v Speaker 1>our overlords and slave us and our progeny?

783
00:47:03.519 --> 00:47:09.400
<v Speaker 2>No, no, no, these are these are advanced computers. They

784
00:47:09.440 --> 00:47:12.679
<v Speaker 2>don't have motives, They don't have initiative.

785
00:47:13.000 --> 00:47:14.000
<v Speaker 3>What they have right now.

786
00:47:14.079 --> 00:47:17.079
<v Speaker 2>What these systems have right now is they have the

787
00:47:17.159 --> 00:47:22.039
<v Speaker 2>ability to identify patterns in a wide range of data

788
00:47:22.679 --> 00:47:27.239
<v Speaker 2>and collate it in a response to a query, and

789
00:47:27.400 --> 00:47:29.760
<v Speaker 2>we can do really amazing things. It turns out we

790
00:47:29.760 --> 00:47:32.840
<v Speaker 2>can do really amazing things with that. But there is

791
00:47:32.880 --> 00:47:37.360
<v Speaker 2>not They do not have initiative or drive. I worry

792
00:47:37.360 --> 00:47:41.280
<v Speaker 2>more about how humans will misuse them than I do

793
00:47:41.639 --> 00:47:44.639
<v Speaker 2>about whether or not the AIS will somehow become independent.

794
00:47:44.719 --> 00:47:47.840
<v Speaker 2>Right now, there is not a clear pathway to that

795
00:47:47.960 --> 00:47:50.280
<v Speaker 2>sort of like autonomy, and so.

796
00:47:51.480 --> 00:47:53.280
<v Speaker 3>I don't worry about that at all. I worry.

797
00:47:53.800 --> 00:47:55.880
<v Speaker 2>I worry about not being able to take advantage of

798
00:47:55.880 --> 00:47:59.840
<v Speaker 2>all the huge benefits that these technologies bring because because

799
00:47:59.840 --> 00:48:03.360
<v Speaker 2>we have people who are too worried about you.

800
00:48:03.320 --> 00:48:05.480
<v Speaker 3>Know, science fiction scenarios.

801
00:48:05.039 --> 00:48:07.920
<v Speaker 1>So well it is. It is a brave new world

802
00:48:08.159 --> 00:48:11.800
<v Speaker 1>in many facets. It's a very interesting new world, and

803
00:48:11.840 --> 00:48:15.000
<v Speaker 1>it's a new world filled with all kinds of possibilities,

804
00:48:15.039 --> 00:48:19.760
<v Speaker 1>as you say, many of them extremely positive. I'm not,

805
00:48:20.440 --> 00:48:22.880
<v Speaker 1>you know, too much of a Luddite to understand that,

806
00:48:23.679 --> 00:48:26.440
<v Speaker 1>but we need to stop every once in a while

807
00:48:26.480 --> 00:48:29.480
<v Speaker 1>and discuss the impacts thus far and get a sense

808
00:48:29.519 --> 00:48:32.519
<v Speaker 1>of where we're going. And you helped us do exactly that.

809
00:48:33.119 --> 00:48:35.960
<v Speaker 2>I appreciate it absolutely, and I should point out that,

810
00:48:36.239 --> 00:48:39.599
<v Speaker 2>you know, it's not just the ludd Eights that like Froger.

811
00:48:39.679 --> 00:48:43.119
<v Speaker 2>My six year old daughter plays Froger all the time,

812
00:48:43.239 --> 00:48:45.800
<v Speaker 2>so it has a long life. Some of these things

813
00:48:45.840 --> 00:48:48.920
<v Speaker 2>stick with us. Great technology can bring joy to people,

814
00:48:49.719 --> 00:48:52.400
<v Speaker 2>you know, for decades. So that's what I'm hoping AI does.

815
00:48:52.840 --> 00:48:55.920
<v Speaker 1>Introducer to dig Doug and you may never see her again.

816
00:48:56.760 --> 00:48:57.519
<v Speaker 3>That might be right.

817
00:48:58.199 --> 00:49:01.360
<v Speaker 1>Thanks to my guest today, Neil Chilse, head of AI

818
00:49:01.519 --> 00:49:05.119
<v Speaker 1>policy with the Abundance Institute, you've been listening to another

819
00:49:05.239 --> 00:49:07.840
<v Speaker 1>edition of the Federalist Radio Hour. I'm Matt Kittle, Senior

820
00:49:07.840 --> 00:49:11.760
<v Speaker 1>Elections correspondent at the Federalist. You'll be back soon. With more.

821
00:49:12.199 --> 00:49:16.000
<v Speaker 1>Until then, stay lovers of freedom and anxious for the fray.

822
00:49:22.880 --> 00:49:28.480
<v Speaker 2>I heard the fame, voice the reason, and then it

823
00:49:28.679 --> 00:49:34.000
<v Speaker 2>faded away.
