Speaker 1: Welcome to another edition of Puck Time. It is Tuesday,
five dollars Tuesdays over at wager Talk, and as you see,
he's up on the screen, and there he is as
well too, Brian Leonard. Uh, he's gonna be doing a
little bit of double duty today, Brian. We brought you
on early because I know you got it. You have
to get out, you have an appointment, so we really
appreciate you coming on to discuss. You're gonna do the
Seattle Kraken and Anaheim Ducks right off the top, Pittsburgh Penguins,
New York Islanders. Andrew and I were gonna do Toronto
and Edmonton as well too, same game, parlay a pod.
I'm disgusted by the pod. Yesterday should have been a
Winnipeg Jets power play and overtime. If you guys watched
that game. Too many men on the ice for Dallas
guy jumped into the play on the two to one
one before the other guy had gotten to the bench.
But Uh, I can't complain about everything, Brian, because if
I did, I can't it would be a whole show
of me just complaining. And Andrew's been through that already.
Andrew watches me complain the first fifteen minutes of every
show as well too, Brian any surprises. Last night, somebody
mentioned Colorado eighty seven games at home without allowing a
goal to Detroit Red Wings.
Speaker 2: Go in there and shut.
Speaker 1: Them out, I said on yesterday's show, because I think
Andrew mentioned the total, and I said, well, you know
Detroit's going to score at least a couple of goals.
I didn't know that those were going to be the
only goals of the game.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I was somewhat surprised by some of the games yesterday.
Saint Louis took a ton of money. Yesterday it was
a few teams. It took a ton of money. Chicago.
I think of my stuffer not playing Chicago. That was
an obvious play. I didn't get there. I only had
one play up for clients. I had the Buffalo Sabers
and that was a nice winner for us. But you know,
we're on the show free plays, and I ended up
losing both of my free plays. So today I am
going I know it's a five dollars Tuesday, it's zero
Tuesday for me because I'm going to give everybody my
five dollars play here since I lost both my freeplays
on the show yesterday, and I'm going to take a
look at the Seattle game tonight against Anaheim, really important
battle for playoff positioning before the break, has a lot
of games coming down to some very important games for
some of these teams. You know, Seattle currently has sixty
one points. Anaheim comes in with the same sixty one,
but they've got one more game played, So a slight
advantage there for Seattle when it comes to playoff positioning.
The Ducks are the better team currently. It's six excuse
me at eight two to zero record over all, the
last ten Seattle five to four on one. But it's
been five straight winners for Seattle. They're playing pretty good
hockey right now. Both teams playing really good hockey, and
it's a shame that the break is coming up right now.
But the visitor has played seven games at home, while
the Ducks have played five or six away from home.
So I think that gives a little advantage here for
Seattle when it comes to the situation in this game.
The road teams also won each of the earlier meetings.
In fact, the last loss for Seattle overall was the
last time they played these Ducks, and I was sported
two at home, so you got somewhat of a quick
revenge that was twelve days ago. So you got the
team with a quick revenge in a series this year
that's been dominated by the road team. And now this
is also and you could discuss this after I'm done here.
Is it just me or is it a situation where
this is the last game of the first half or
whatever you're going to talk before the break for Anaheim.
And if you or anything like me, and you remember
back when you were in school, or if you're at
work and you're just about to go on vacation, the
last day is the one that you look past a
little bit. I know these two is I just mentioned
they're both fighting for playofposition here and it is a
little bit of a rivalry obviously, but the King's got
to play the cracking place the Kings tomorrow, so they're
focused on this game. Well, this is the last game
before the break for Anaheim. It's also the tenth game
in nineteen days for Anaheim with only two occurrences without travel.
Like I said, we've all been there, the last game
before you leave your last day of school. It's something
that I think teams overlook a little bit, and we
see that a lot of times. Not only are these
two teams tied in points, but Seattle has a nine
goal differential on the season. This should be much closer
to a toss up as opposed to the line when
I wrote this game up. It has moved a little
bit towards Seattle. It's still in my range obviously. I
like Seattle is the underdog here. I think there's nice
betting value on the kracking. And I don't get to
say cracking very often on the show.
Speaker 2: I love that word.
Speaker 3: But Alex Seattle in this game.
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, Brian, I don't blame you on this one.
The the road teams in this series have fared well.
I think six of the last seven games between these two,
the road team is one which we kind of back
up your your Seattle play in this one. You know,
these are two teams I think are playing well well enough.
It should be a good one. I was looking at
the total and it just just because of the way
Seattle plays. I don't want to take I don't want
to take the over. Normally you look at Anaheim and
they're one of the better over teams in the league,
and it's like an auto you just kind of have
that auto opinion. Okay, I'm gonna bet the over there home.
It's you know, o some open ice just before the
the Olympic, the Olympic break. But I could see Seattle
coming in here and stealing one of those three one
three two type games. Any thoughts on the total.
Speaker 3: Nothing on the total. Really, I'm with you. Normally Anaheim
at home. It's one of those situations where they've been
very good at home this year. Seattle's turned into a
pretty good road team last few years overall, and they're
playing a little bit better on the road here. Yeah,
Seattle does have to play again tomorrow in LA and
so it's the second of a back to back. It'll
be a tough game for them, but I think they
come to play tonight. I like the Seattle, but I'm
not enough for me on the total in this game
to really give you something good.
Speaker 1: All right, Brian, appreciate you coming on today. You're doing
quadruple duty. You're gonna be around tomorrow. I will keep
you around a little bit longer to do a couple
of games a little more, Brian, a little less Carmine
as far as the talking goes, and that's always a
good thing. It's a positive. I really think it's a positive.
And then of course Don Buster's on tomorrow, and then
you and Don return on Thursday as well too, prior.
Speaker 2: To the break, and we're gonna have a great deal. Guys.
Speaker 1: Listen, the pitchers and catchers are reporting soon. I believe Brian.
And if there's one person at Wager Talk that you
want to get baseball from this season, much like last year,
is Brian Leonard kills it each and every year. I
am gonna put together a deal on Thursday show for
Brian for you guys take advantage of and if you don't,
then from the February sixth to the twenty fifth, there'll
be no pluck time shows as penyans.
Speaker 2: How does that sound?
Speaker 3: That sounds great for me. We're putting a brab up
there for you. So yeah, it should be a pretty
good deal. And I'm really excite. Obviously, if you've followed
me over the years, you know I'm really good in
the money line sports hockey and Major League Baseball and
love the underdogs in these sports. And I know you
guys feel the same way. That good money to be
made and you don't have to lay big prices for it,
all right, it's.
Speaker 4: Always with you. I've really enjoyed getting to know you
and talk about the morning with you. So I like
that play as well. I get what you're saying with that.
I just wanted to follow up on what you were
saying about the the last you know, day before a
vacation and things like that, because I feel like I
always joke around that handicappers can look at quotes from
from coaches or players, right, and we can really twist
quotes to you know, appease our opinion. Right. That's why
I'm not as much of a quote scout. But with
that said, do you agree that that mindset can also
both work for an over and both work for an
under Because if they're looking ahead to vacation, maybe they
play sloppy and it leads to goals. But if they're
also looking ahead to vacation, maybe their mind isn't all
there and we see an under. So I know Carmine
asked it to you already, but I find it interesting
because you can kind of look at it from both
sides of it. Where sloppy because for me, I've always
been an under before the break over after the break
kind of guy. So I'll just say that's kind of
been my opinion on it, and we'll see if that
ends up coming through. But sometimes people think that ret
that rest means, you know, sloppiness, But I think that
a lot of times these because I when I first
started doing this, I always thought that, hey, these players
never forget their offense, they forget their defense. But I
think that sometimes when you come out of the break,
these guys are a little bit more like, Okay, we
got to come out here and we're going to kind
of just roll the puck out and play. But before
the break, it's like, if we're gonna do anything good,
we're gonna go in there and give it our all.
Kind of defensively, Yeah, I think I think a lot
of would have to do with the kind of players
you have on your team.
Speaker 3: Obviously, with the with the Olympics coming up, certain teams
have much more players going to that, and I think
because of that, you may find some advantages about going
against those kind of teams in that regard because they've
got you know, obviously it's not a big well, it's
a somewhat vacation for them because they get to leave
and get to hang out with guys and normally see
and you know, their peers. But yeah, it's important to
a lot of these a lot of these guys out there,
and I know for the local Vegas team, a lot
of our guys are going into this where there's some
teams just don't have nearly as money, so it'll be interesting.
I've never charted that before because it doesn't come up
as often, but that's something you really pay attention to
when you're going down to these last three days of
the side of the side of the.
Speaker 1: Break, right to that point of just add one more
thing to that. Seattle one Seattle five straight wins in Anaheim.
The last four have gone under the total, so three
two Seattle Tonight, I'll find the odds on that one,
and I'll take a couple of pizza slices from Pizza
Rock Down or whatever on it.
Speaker 2: Bright. Thanks man, We're going to see you tomorrow.
Speaker 4: All right, Good look, everybody, take care Karma. I could
be wrong, but only one Buffalo saber is that going?
Or I guess Rasmus Dollen would be going. So how
many sabers is that? Because you could be in looking
pretty good, though it's not too many guys on your team.
Speaker 1: It's weird because I'm watching the Leaf game yesterday and
I didn't think about that. I was watching the Saber
game earlier, and then I'm watching the leaf game and
they're talking about that. There's only three Toronto Maple Leafs
going to the Olympics, and the best one was the
best one on the ice last night. William Nielander. He
was absolutely on fire yesterday. The Leafs only won yesterday
because of two players on the ice. I know that
sounds weird, but William Nielander and Joseph Walling goal. The
guy was unbelievable. Calgary should have scored in that third period,
should have tied it up, and if they did, they
would have won the game. And I had the Leafs,
so it's not a biased opinion. I released the Leafs
to Clients Andrew fourteen to five. The high danger chances
in that Calgary game for Calgary seven to two. In
the third period, they were all over them. The puck
hit the crossbar, drops and lands on the red line
or sorry on the goal line, but it bounces away
from the nets instead of into the nets. It was
just absolutely insane. The least we're holding on for dear
life if they played like that tonight against the Edmonton Oiters.
I seen sevens all over the place. We'll talk about
that a little later on man, but tough.
Speaker 2: How was your night?
Speaker 4: You know what, carm I ended up releasing just one
play and you and Brian talked about it off the hop.
I had the first period over in the Wings an
Avalanche game. We got a goal thirty seconds into the game. Yeah,
and then it lost. I couldn't believe it. I could
not believe we got a goal. Literally thirty three seconds
into the first period. There was a goal, and there
wasn't anything else after that in the first period. So
that was a little bit a little bit tough to
deal with. But honestly didn't like last night's slate as much.
We ended up kind of really liking this slate here today.
So five dollars Tuesday, guys, get after it with Karm's
hockey plays, my hockey plays. I've got college basketball. So
we did go three for three with the player props yesterday,
so that was kind of nice with the player props segment.
The funny thing is, though car and this is I'm
telling everybody now, this has happened too many times where
I give out like three props and then I pick
who's gonna win, or I picked the total. So I
gave out three props on the show yesterday and then
with the Senators game, right, and then I threw in
the first period over. Malkin gets a point, Tommy Novak
gets a point, he scores a goal, and Ka Chuck
gets four shots on goal. But the first period over
didn't hit, so anybody that we can only say this
so much, but if any of you guys took the
Tommy Novak point, that was plus money, mounting point shots
on goal for Brady could shock. Like the props went
three for three, but the same game parlay didn't hit.
So that's kind of we'll take it.
Speaker 1: And you've been telling people the last couple of weeks,
you know what I mean, Like we added that segment
in because you guys asked for during the off season
the same game party one. We ditched the Ladder Challenge
went to a Pod one instead, But you've been advocating
the last couple of weeks play these ones single and
then here's the same game parlay payout if you wanted
to take it. You can lead a horse to water,
but you can't make it drink, you know what I mean.
That's the old saying. So hopefully some of you guys
are taking the individual game props and you know, and
embedded them that way and making money. Because you hit
seventy five percent of your plays and you lose money,
that's a bad thing, right Andrew.
Speaker 4: Yes, I think it's a bad horse. And I'll tell
you guys like I did a little bit of a
ladder yesterday with three shots on goal and four shots
on goal for Kachuk. And when you've got a guy
like Tommy Novak, you know he's plus one forty just
to get one point. I don't need to have that
in a parlay. You don't need to it's already plus
one forty. Right, So we got some props we'll mention
later on the show, and a little bit of a
parlay as well. Hey, Lorenzo, thank you for saying that.
I appreciate that. Broke it up like we've been telling
you to do. You played all three. That feels good
to say. And Colzy, you're right, you know, play him straight,
play him straight. You don't have to. You don't have
to play them any differently. Karen, before we get into it,
I know you and I have talked about this so much,
but I'm not really playing anything that much different besides
figuring out bet on and bet against teams. Do you
care right now? Like what Brian mentioned about Anaheim's last game,
are you taking that intoccount with your handicapping?
Speaker 1: Yes, and yes and no. I think it plays a
small part of it. The whole idea of coming up
with any play is a lot of small parts, kind
of like a puzzle. If the pieces of the puzzle
all come together, you're going to take the play. If
you're missing a piece, you're If you know you're missing
a piece, you're not going to play it because that
could be the key to the piece. And it's similar
to like the pod play Estray I talked about the
fact that whennim piging Dallas play one goal games, I'm
getting a team at plus money, a team that the
is starting to look to play better and Hella Buck
is playing well, and it was there, it was there
for the taking.
Speaker 2: We're losing ot. I am a little bitter just because
of the if they scored.
Speaker 1: Three on three and and I lose the play. It's
one thing, but when it's a and that's why hellabuck
absolutely lost his shit with the referee in overtime because
he's like the guy jumped into the play and touched
the puck before the other guy even got to the
bench automatic too many men on the ice penalty, but
it wasn't called. Miss calls are part of the game.
It's gonna happen. It's gonna happen in it report whether
it's basketball, where it's football, where there's hockey. Miss calls
drive us nuts when you're on the wrong side of them.
You don't care when you're on the right side of them.
Speaker 4: So hey, don't forget about that camera man from last week.
Don't forget about man.
Speaker 2: You take that. You take the good with the bad.
Speaker 1: But a good run for me, guys, uh And I'm
happy for you guys who took advantage of that. The
Cup to Cup special which is still available, I think
for a few more days where you get the rest
of the NHL season and you get the World Cup.
Twelve and three NHL run for me and seven straight
soccer winners. Another sweep yesterday two in hockey tow no
in NHL. So I'm pretty happy about that. Back to
back four o days. I'm very happy about that, Andrew.
So done that said, you know, I don't want to
be like that guy the the announcer, because I want
to I want to say I have not lost a
game yet in February, I think nine games. But I
don't want to be like that announcer. This guy is
not missed from inside forty yards all season long. And
then it's like clank off the upright double doink, whatever
you want to call it.
Speaker 2: I just can't take it.
Speaker 1: Speaking of double doinks, let's talk about the New York
Islanders offense right now, Andrew, because it is really a doink.
I talked about yesterday the Washington game, Andrew, and how
I released it as a free play at six and
a half just because I thought Washington would play solid
hockey defensively in front of Klay Stevenson. And they did
it again. But the Islanders. One goal, dude, one goal.
This team is dried up. Their scoring isn't there. And
now you have Pittsburgh coming to town and the Islanders
are favored. It's a coin flip. One fourteen minus one
oh six for the Pittsburgh Penguins. But how are you
playing this one?
Speaker 4: Yeah, carm I'll say here, Look, it's always interesting because
we've got both teams on back to back. I guess
you got to try and figure out which team is
the most pissed off, which team is the most rattled.
I was talking earlier in the show with Brian about
coaches quotes. I often tell you that I'm not a
huge coaches quotes guy, but maybe once a week, once
every two weeks, there's stuff that I notice that I
have to mention on the show. And when Eric Carlson
just says to the media, Hey, we were not good tonight.
You know, this was not our best effort. This is
not a game that we can be proud of. But
he also said, hey, this is just something that happens.
We can accept it. And car I'll keep it short
and Sweeden, we'll have a little bit of back and
forth on this with you. There are certain things where
you can read into like an age of a team
or or you know, the experience. I do think that
this Pittsburgh Penguins team is one of the oldest teams
in the league. And although it's a second half of
back to beck. An old team knows how to bounce back.
An old team knows how to get pissed off and
deal with it the right way, where sometimes a young
team will spiral and it will lead to two losses,
three losses, four losses in a row. I think this
Pittsburgh Penguins team bounces back. One of the sources that
I like to look at right now indicates that this
team is heavily and I mean heavily, relying upon goaltending.
So although it was ritch yesterday, so it's going to
be soroken here today, it's looking like this team is
relying a lot on them. Pittsburgh generating elite quality twelve
point one high danger shots for per game. So this
to me is quality versus goaltending, quality versus defense. And
like you mentioned, Karm, this team in the Islanders aren't
really scoring many goals right now. When it comes to
bounce back situations, this is a spot that I'm willing
to read into a quote. Guys. I'm not always a
quotes skuy, but this is a spot here. You're gonna
give me New York, You're gonna give me Pittsburgh. Two
teams that are pissed off and embarrassed. I'll actually take
Pittsburgh as far as the embarrassed teams go. And Steve
Rodgers shout out to Steve, he says, first period over.
I wouldn't talk anybody out of the first period over
bet either as well.
Speaker 2: Carl, Yeah, I wouldn't. I think I would.
Speaker 1: Lean the over in this game. Andrew, the total sits
here at what six? I think it might have opened
up at five and a half, and I get it's
broken in goal, but I think these teams are back
to backs. I think it's also three and four nights
for this team if I'm if I'm correct, And it's
just one of those ones where Pittsburgh's playing well. They're
they're playing well, They're they're scoring goals. They want to
finish off strong before the before the Olympic break, and
with the Isles being at home, you know they they
weren't scoring a lot on the road, but uh, back
at home at what is a USB Arena or UBS Arena, whatever.
Speaker 2: They call it.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, Andrew, you got to figure that off of
last night's performance, are a little better tonight.
Speaker 2: This is one of those ones where you know.
Speaker 1: When Brian talks about or talked about, you know, the
last games before the international break or the Olympic break,
that you could see some a little bit of open ice.
Last time these teams played, I think the first meeting
between these teams and the only meeting thus far the
season was four to three. I could see the same
type of thing that's such a common score for three
in the NHL this season. I could see another one
here that gets you over the total. So at six,
I like the over. If it was at six and
a half, I wouldn't touch it. But even with sorokening
goal for them, I like the over here.
Speaker 4: And you know, it is funny because we talked about
this game on the show, and I like that you
put this yesterday on the show because you know, getting
talking about the same teams, you know, twice in a row,
but that strategy teams have been doing lately with the
playing the number two two goalie the first game in
the back to back. Have you seen that that teams
have had success with that? Because what I see here
is that it puts a hell of a lot more
stress on them moving forward. And you guys know, I've
been talking a lot about the goalie save props on
the show. And as much as I like the over
with karm and I like Pittsburgh here, I also wouldn't
really talk anybody out of a Sorokan save prop. I
mean it like I haven't had as much success on
the season with the shots prop, but then I lowered
my volume, like yesterday's Kuchuk prop and this one here,
this one there. I think that Sorocan's gonna have to
stand on his head a little bit. And Karen, you
remember I keep talking about this. You're probably tired of
me saying this, but I'm gonna say it again. Remember
how good the Rangers were Whistirken and then they have
a little drop off. Maybe people don't realize and give
serroke In enough credit, like why has he not talked
about enough? Like Hellabuck and Vassilevsky and some of these guys.
Why is Sorokan not equally given the credit he deserves.
Speaker 2: I say it every year.
Speaker 1: I like him as a goalie. The problem is in
years past, Like last year is a perfect example. Sorokan
had very good numbers, but the Islanders weren't scoring goals.
So you have a goalie who has like a two
twenty goals against average and he has a record of
like thirteen and nineteen, And You're like, how.
Speaker 2: Is this possible?
Speaker 1: Because they weren't scoring goals, you know what I mean?
And I think it's the same thing with the New
York Rangers earlier on this season as well too. It
it just couldn't score goals, especially at home. You know,
the only thing that worries me about the over Andrew
is do we catch a couple of goalies that are
playing well? Like Sorokan at home is always a good goalie.
But Skinner is a projected number to project at the
start tonight, Skinner's seven and one in January. Let me
see if I can find the number. Skinner was seven
and one in January with a nine ten save percentage
and a two thirteen goals against average.
Speaker 2: Man.
Speaker 1: The Edmonton Olers could really use a goalie like Stuart Skinner.
Oh yeah, that's right, they had them. It's this is
why I don't remember any stretches where Stuart Skinner had
those same numbers for the Edmonton Oilers. Of course he's
I'm sure there probably was some good stretches when they
went through that sixteen game winning run. But sometimes it's
not just a goalie. It's how the team plays in
front of you. And I mentioned Kyle Dubis and what
he's done with I think the top six defenseman on
the Pittsburgh Penguins. I talked about yesterday that I think
it is a good top sixth unit that can play
some defense. It's one of the reasons why I kind
of lean to Pittsburgh in the game, along with the
over I haven't released either play, but I could see
myself releasing one of the two as a client play.
I'd probably go with UH. Of the two, i'd probably
go with UH. With with Pittsburgh, I think there's a
little more upside to the Penguins right now. They're playing
really well and Uh, I have to completely eat my
shoe Andrew on the fact that I said that the
Pittsburgh Penguins would be a seller around trade the trade
deadline which is approaching in March. Uh, they're not trading
anybody if they're playing the way they're playing right now.
Speaker 4: Hey, you weren't alone. You weren't alone with that opinion,
karm You definitely weren't alone with thinking that about the
Pittsburgh Penguins. Nobody saw that coming and it's good to see.
There's been some differences with with kind of how everything's gone.
So I think that, you know, this Pittsburgh Penguins team
is there. They're probably gonna be competitive as long as
Sidney Crosby is on the team. But you got to
give credit to players like Anthony Manta. You gotta give
credit to you know, have Gunny Malkin thirty eight and
thirty nine years old, Malcoln and Crosby for what they've
been able to do. Ben Kindall has done pretty well
for this team. You know, you go down the lineup
some of these guys that have done well. So I
think that they're gonna probably try and pick up a
couple of key pieces. But I can't wait for you
and I to be following the playoff race because nothing's
more fun for me like on our show when we're
tracking every couple of days the who will make or
miss the playoff odds, because that's always good to look at.
West Coast Hockey Jonathan says Sorokan is getting his love
in the betting community. Favorite minus one fifty five for
the Vesna. Definitely, I think we saw you know, we
saw Vassilevsky get injured. We saw some different goalies get injured.
Hella Bucks not having a good year. If he doesn't
get it this year, Jonathan, there's really something wrong with
him there. But yeah, look forward to the carm Hopefully
Pittsburgh can get the job done and we'll see if
we get some goals.
Speaker 1: Yeah, if Detroit keeps winning and John Gibson keeps playing
the way he's playing, maybe someone maybe a little attention
should go to Gibson as well too. He had allowed
like what nine goals on like sixty one shots or whatever,
and then he goes into Colorado, into Colorado and shuts
shuts him out to nothing with the empty net or man.
Speaker 2: Unbelievable.
Speaker 1: Speaking of teams who will not shut out their opponents tonight,
let's talk about the Toronto beliefs and the Edmonton orders this.
Speaker 2: I will eat my shoe, Andrew.
Speaker 1: If this game finishes one nothing for either one of
these teams. That's not happening. Edmonton minus one ninety seven,
the leaves plus one sixty to total sevens. I am
seving sevens. It's like a slot machine sevens across the
board at most places, is, Andrew, how you playing this one?
Speaker 4: You talked about it, you said it at the start
of the show. Joseph Wall he stood on his head
in that matchup last night against the Calgary Flames. This
is one of those situations, guys, where it does set
up well for the home team to get the job done.
Home team off a seven to three embarrassing loss, road team,
second half of back to back, and they're off a
four to two win, and obviously empty net goal is
built into that. But you know, you know the way
I look at it, Karen Is and everybody out there watching.
You don't always want to take a team after they
lost a tough game. You don't want to always take
a pissed off team. And I know you guys hear
me use this angle a lot. But there are certain
teams that I do trust when they're upset, when they're
not happy, when they're angry, and I think this Oilers
team is one of those teams. They're an emotional team,
you know, And whenever I see a what I like
to do is have a little bit of a sprinkle.
Not on the three and a half for the team
total KRM, it's the four and a half give me
over four and a half goals for the Edmonton Oilers
plus one forty. The winner of this game, guys, is
going to score five goals. I'm gonna stand firm on
that the winner of this game will score five goals
and reach that five goal mark or more. So I'll
take over four and a half goals plus one forty
at DraftKings Shop round for the best price you possibly can.
It is the last game for the Leafs before their break,
but they are off that win against the Flames, and
you mentioned it, Karm. They don't have any depth. This
team won that game last night because of Kneelander. So
we'll see if this Oilers team responds. But last year,
I'll throw it back to you with this carm. Last year,
games that had a seven ended up actually going under
it pretty good rate, but it closed out with the over.
And so far this year we've seen a couple games
trickle with some sevens, and any game we've seen with
a high six and a half juice or a seven
so far has had a ton of goal. The last
time the Oilers were a seven, it was them against
the Anaheim Ducks. The game finished with like eleven goals.
Car So maybe the books know what they're talking about
when they put a seven out there.
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, I think the leaf saw off a
back to back, obviously having played last night in uh
in Calgary. But you look at like some of the
games from these for these teams, and this is like
going back to like even like the twenty three season
five to two, seven four to two, which is the
only under with six goals, and then six to three,
four to three, four to three, and then six to
three earlier this season when the Oilers came in to
Toronto the second week of December and beat the Leafs
six to three.
Speaker 2: The scoring goals, you know what.
Speaker 1: I mean, what happens one night does doesn't doesn't decide
what is going to happen, or shouldn't influence what happens
the next night. But as I mentioned, there was so
much open ice in that game last night for the
Calgary Flames. If they could even finish half of their chances,
it would have been an easy, easy win. I just
couldn't believe what I was seeing from the Leafs, who
jumped out to a three nothing lead and then almost
blew that blew that game. Calgary had so many chances
so much open ice in that game. If you give
the Edmonton orders that type of room tonight at Rogers Center,
or if you come in with any type of heavy
legs in this one, and Connor McDavid has that puck
where he does those end to end rushes, you might
want to look at those Connor McDavid goal scoring props.
Connor to score McDavid scored two. Maybe they give it
to score a hat trick. Andrew, I'm going to look
at the McDavid to score hat trick. That's got to
be at least fifteen twenty to one odds. I'm not
sure if you can find it. It's got to be somewhere.
If one of you guys can find it, I would
sprinkle some pizza sliced money on that one, because I
do think we're gonna see some goals in this game.
I think twenty to one come from twenty to one.
There you go, guys, that will get you enough pizza
to'll last you through the Olympic break twenty to one.
But if you're putting pineapple on it, we can no
longer be friends.
Speaker 4: With that said, and just to be curious, carm we'll
take a look at the the three points. Three points
is only plus two hundred. How crazy is that it's
only plus two hundred to get three points. Yeah, that's so, that's.
Speaker 1: Very andew we talk about like you know, I mean
information and then you make it fit a narrative that
you have. My narrative is that the Orders win this
game by two plus goals. I just think they are
a much better team than Toronto. Toronto is not even
in a playoff spot. They are near the bottom of
the standings. Only teams like the New York Rangers, Philadelphia
and New Jersey are sort of keeping them from being
one of the last place teams in the league. This
team is not looking good. I still think they should
be a seller at the trade deadline and starts sloping
up some first round picks. But with that said, I'll
probably look at like the Oilers puck line as a
small play as well to tonight.
Speaker 4: And at the end of the day, Karen like, not
like we're always going to take the favorite and say, hey, look,
this team's going to bounce back, but it sets up
as a really good spot for this Oilers team. You know,
and I've mentioned this over the years, and I got
to get this from Ralph Michaels. But teams off games
where they gave up seven or more, or six or
seven or more. Like, in my opinion, the second you
give up seven goals, that's where they worn't embarrassing comes out.
Wouldn't you agree you give up seven goals, you feel
a little bit embarrassed by that.
Speaker 2: You know.
Speaker 1: You look at the Oilers, Andrew, because we were talking
about Skinner, here's the Oilers last five games at home
seven to three, losers to Minnesota, beat the Sharks four
to three in which they trailed three nothing in that game,
came back to win it. Beat Danheim Ducks seven to four,
beat the Washington Capitals six to five, and then lose
to the Pittsburgh Penguins six to two. There's a lot
of goals being scored there. So yeah, the narrative for
me is goals scoring tonight. The books know that if
they put it at six and a half minus one,
twenty ish people would pound the over. They tried to
put it at six and a half. It's minus one
forty minus one forty five at six and a half.
In some places, five cents juice on a total is insane.
Speaker 2: You want to lay it on a side.
Speaker 1: Yes, laying it on a total is insane, because sometimes
part of your narrative comes through, Hey, the olders are
gonna score some goals tonight and then the Leafs fire
a blank and you're on the outside looking in as
far as a winning vet go. So I'd rather take
the seven with minimal or no juice on it and
take the over and be And then if it lands
on seven exactly, I get a push, but I protect
the bankroll from some high juice totals. Laying a ton
of juice on totals I think is a bankroll killer.
But with that said, Andrew, it is time for the
world famous, award winning, critically acclaimed same Game Parlay feature.
Speaker 4: Take it away, Let's do it, Let's do it. I
got the Same Game parlay for you guys. Before I
jump into the same Game parlay, I'll just throw a
couple numbers, a couple of stats for stuff that I'm
looking at here for some guys that have done well
in their certain matchups. Today, we're gonna look at a
couple guys that I think are probably worth mentioning Capocaco
four straight games for him against the Anaheim Ducks, he
has a point plus one fifty for him, Matthew Kny's
three games in a row for him with a point
against the Edmonton Oilers. Rasmus Dallen three straight games with
a point for him against the Tampa Bay Lightning. You
can keep scrolling down the list. Look at Oliver Byorik
Strand four straight games for him plus one twenty six
with a point against the Buffalo Sabers, Nugent Hopkins assists
prop and I'll just go really really quick to the
goal scorers head to head markets. I always love looking
at that stuff. Here. We got a couple kind of
intriguing ones. Alex Tuck plus two forty for Buffalo against
Tampa Bay and Bobby McMahon plus three forty for Toronto
against the Edmonton Oilers. Another one of caught my eye,
but it seems a little bit too good to be true.
Sean Monaghan plus three to ninety anytime goal scorer Columbus
Blue Jackets tonight against the New Jersey Devil Sean Monaghan.
So we'll check that out, Karm. As far as the
same game parlay is concerned, here we've got three picks.
Sidney Crosby assist Anthony Manta point. And yes, we're gonna
try and tie in a win here with this one.
Pittsburgh Penguins money line win. This gets you to plus
three ninety five once again. Sidney Crosby assist Anthony Manta
point and Pittsburgh Penguin's money line win. That will take you,
guys to plus three ninety five again. Both of these
props are plus money, guys. Encourage you to take them
both at single bets, and then if you want to,
you can split up all three of these, you know,
point three to three units point three three units point
three three units if you'd like to, and we'll try
and make some money. Who went three for three with
our player props yesterday? And of course you know we
want to make you guys some money and not just
rely on the plus four hundreds of the plus five
hundreds and all that good stuff. I'll just say before
I throw back to Carmine, a lot of you guys
have joined me on the Olympic pack so far. I
keep mentioning this, but the deal that head office gave me,
I don't know if they if they expected me not
to give out that many picks for Olympics or whatever
it is. But fifty nine bucks, guys, for all of
my Olympic men's hockey plays, We're gonna have futures, We're
gonna have sides, totals, player props, We're gonna be dialed
in and with how weird the time is going to
be for these games morning afternoon, you guys are gonna
want to be dialed in with me on these package plays.
So you know, we might be sending out some an
hour before the game, or you know, five hours for
the game, whatever it might be. So WT dop buzz
slash am, make sure you sign up and get the
full Olympic package. Back over to you, Carmen, I know
you've got a great deal going right now as well.
Speaker 1: Yeah, Andrew, that is a great deal. That's essentially too
daily packaging and you get every single hockey play during
the Olympics right up until the gold medal game where
Canada beats Sweden. I'm just kidding, I'm gonna piss off
and alienate all of our US followers. There's only one
gold medal game that makes any sense, and it's Canada
versus the USA.
Speaker 2: So with that said, guys, don't forget.
Speaker 1: First of all, before you get to the pod play,
it is five dollars tuesdays over at wager Talk, every
capper has got like a five dollars single play up.
You can get as many as you want or as
little as you want. I have a couple of plays
up today, one in soccer seven and oero run in soccer,
and then one in NHL for tonight and a twelve
and three run in the NHL, So you can head
over there. And there's some great deals as well too
in the analysis section that you guys can take advantage of.
And I really appreciate you guys who have taken advantage of.
Especially the last few days. We've been on a great run.
So I talk about it is a marathon and not
a sprint. I want to keep this run going. With
that said, let's get to the pod. This pod today
is a goalie based pod play. Very rarely do I
tell you it's a goalie based one. But I'm taking
the Philadelphia Flyers. Yes, hold your nose on this one.
The Flyers minus one thirty three. Why the Flyers minus
one thirty three, Well, we know the goaltending issues the
Washington Capples have right now. They played last night with
Klay Stevenson. It's going to be another goalie that they
called up from Hershey, Darrin Byorkland. He is in Hershey
underwhelming numbers four five and two with a three forty
three goals against average and an eight seventy nine save percentage.
Dear god, those are terrible numbers. I don't care how
well you played defensively in front of him. If this
guy cannot stop a puck at the NHL level, and
he hasn't really played at the NHL level, the Flyers
may actually find find a win somehow. So that is
your pod play. I am taking the Flyers minus one
thirty three. This is a goalie based pod play.
Speaker 4: The Philadelphia Flyers goalie based matchup, goalie based pod. And
you know, Carmer, I think this Flyers team is going
to be interesting to watch in the second half of
the season, or I guess not the second half, the
final third, I should say, because if their offense can
show up, they're a good team. But they can't rely
on their goaltending. They've had some pretty good goaltending throughout
the year, but you can't just rely on the goaltending
all year. So we'll see what ends up happening with
that one. I think it's a pretty good slate today, man,
pretty good slate one play up for me, probably gonna
end up adding more. And I saw a comment here,
but a could possible package you and I could do
with some of your soccer and some of my Olympic packs.
So we always try and listen to the people, man,
So maybe maybe we'll try and put this together because
it seems like a pret a good idea to me.
Speaker 2: Uh yeah, let's fire it up, man.
Speaker 1: I like these deals. Our office always puts together some uh,
some great ones. And Melissa missy uh, they're always on
top of the ball anytime ask them for a coupon
code for a customer because sometimes it's not in a
person's budget and completely get it. That's why we have
five dollars tuesdays. I wait your talk Customer Appreciation to
price it for some of you guys who want to,
you know, dip your toe in the water. And there's
some guys who want like a thirty day package but
sort of want like a beginner's package the first time
buying something. And I'll get them a coupon code as
well too. You just message me, you know, on on
the X or whatever. And I said, I'll do the
best I can with with that.
Speaker 2: But with that said, Andrew, that's pretty much it. Man.
Speaker 1: Tomorrow, we got don Buster, we have Brian Leonard. The
press is still skiing. He hasn't broken a leg or anything.
I think he uh, I think he poached my play yesterday.
Or is it poached when someone steals your play or
pouched or what's the word pouched?
Speaker 2: Pouched?
Speaker 1: I think he pouched my Minnesota play yesterday because he
asked me who I liked. I told him my customer
play was the Minnesota Wild yesterday against Sorry, you're Montreal
Canadians who played some pretty good hockey in that one. Andrew,
I think he pouched my play. I'm going to hide
my thoughts from him over the next little while. But
with that said, guys, poached, poached, that's it, poached. Thank
you Matt, thank you r J. I really appreciate it
from you guys there. Pouch poached, poached, like kind of
like poached pairs. With that said, guys, that's it for today.
Thanks to Brian Leonard for coming on early. I know
you had an appointment today he'll be back on tomorrow
doing double duty, and mckinnis pick up his Olympic package,
and of course a ton of five dollars plays over
at wager Talk on five Dollars Tuesdays Customer Appreciation Day
for myself, Andrew and Brian. This is part time. Guys,
have a fantastic Tuesday and we'll see you tomorrow morning