Speaker 1: Welcome to Wager Talk Today, the gold standard of sports
betting shows, where we talk the talk and walk the walk.
Football Friday, I'm on the road. Dan is on the road,
but we got you covered. Wrapping up a big, big
Thanksgiving week Monster Show. Yanni the Greek is gonna kick
things off with the Steam Report. Marco is gonna break
down bills, Steelers in Vanderbilt, Tennessee. Give us he normally
does a wing sauce of the week. I'm hoping he
brings us a Thanksgiving meal or side dish of the week.
And Jovenire he's going to join his Teddy's traveling, So
Joevenire's going to join us. He's been been on fire.
That's why we had to have him on the show.
He's gonna talk LSU, Oklahoma and Texans versus. My colts.
Don't know if we're gonna get Dan's pick five picks.
His WiFi is a little spotty. Mine's a little bit spotty.
But let's get it started. Everyone. I hope you had
a great Thanksgiving. I have already had my first plate
of leftovers and it just hits a little bit different
in the morning. My god, let's do it let's bring
in Yanni and let's get the steam report. Yanni, happy
post Thanksgiving? How are you, sir?
Speaker 2: Happy?
Speaker 3: Black Friday? Never better hit my five percent on the
Green Bay Packers the over in the Baltimore game. Let
me down. They scored forty six points. They screwed a
scored sixty six points in that damn game. But it
could cost me the over, but otherwise I'll take it
going into this big, big weekend. Got a lot today, Tomorrow, Saturday,
and Sunday. This is a huge few days of opportunity
on that betting board. Again, We're gonna find a lot
of good plus EV spots. The question is will they
play out the way we think? That's the bottom line.
But there's definitely a lot of value on the board
and I'm really excited already been firing today.
Speaker 1: I had two plays yesterday, Yanni. I went one in one.
I had a player prop Lamar Jackson under twenty six
and a half he lands on twenty seven. Come on, man,
come on.
Speaker 3: I had the player props that I sent it quick
in the end was I'm on Saint Brown under receiving
yards under unders. Yeah, I saw that get hit in
the multiple counts like twenty minutes before the game, and
I was trying to stay low volume and just sending
that extra stuff to the steam sheet. But I'm like, dude,
this is legit. Something's up here, So I bet it.
And then like five minutes into the game, he gets
taken out.
Speaker 1: Come on, how did they know that? Give me a break?
Maybe maybe maybe we are thinking the simulation. Maybe it's
all scripted, all right, that steam report? Where do you
want to s Let's let's start with football. Let's walk early.
Speaker 3: Team total that just came in. I gave out to
subscribers three percent. Don't know if you could get down
over Iowa Nebraska over team total, over team total Iowa
first half, Iowa team total over ten will juice it
the minus one twenty one, twenty five, will even go
over ten and a half at even or plus money,
So over iowall first half team total that just came
in of the early games in the steam sheet. I
know they got Kansas, but they got Kansas at like
plus twelve and a half. I put that in early
early in the week in the steam sheet of the
early games. What else can I give you? Mississippi State,
Mississippi State was also in that steam sheet, but that
was at plus eight. I think now it's down to
like seven. I didn't mess with it. Yeah, that's pretty
much it for the early action, and a lot of
under money from the public on Mississippi. Mississippi State, that's
a high total of sixty three. Haven't seen wise guys
steam it over, but I am seeing a ton of
under money from the public sticking out in that game.
So yeah, that's about to go off in a couple minutes.
Speaker 2: Some of the.
Speaker 3: Later action one sided. Let me give you the public
money out of the way first, none bigger today than
because I'm mixing up the Saturday games with the Friday games.
So for today, we got to go down to who's
the busier one sided. It's tomorrow where they're really the
public's heavy, like the Missouri, Ohio states, they're getting a
lot of money today. I'd have to say the most
one sided probably Utah State because it's a wise guy
plays sharp money. They faded Boise, So there's a lot
of sharps on Utahl State, and there's a lot of
public money on Indiana. So you have public and even
sharps on Utah State, and you have a lot of
public money on Indiana, Texas and M and Texas. That's
the big game of Friday. Early early steam on Texas.
Knock this number off that key three. We were even
seeing twos earlier in the week, but Texas, A and
M money obviously coming in from the public push that
line back up. So not all that much risk. And
that's why you're looking at threes even money or two
and a half juice, depending on you know what book
you're working with.
Speaker 1: All Right, we have a huge day of I mean
basketball NBA with tons of NBA games. Are you seeing
anything this early on Black Friday?
Speaker 3: Yeah, and you're absolutely right. Today is a ton of
hoop action. Now, like I said, tomorrow is that the
big day of like really mar Quye college football. But
let's get that the NBA out of the way. Most
one sided. This sticks out because it's they're on the dog.
They're taking the Hawks as home dogs, the Atlanta Hawks
as dogs.
Speaker 2: The public's on heavy.
Speaker 3: They're taking the Knicks over the Bucks. That's one sided.
And where else because I know you guys like to
know what the public's on. And the Lakers, the Lakers,
those three are the most one sided that I see
sharp money. I saw Orlando. Orlando got bet from plus
five all the way down. The plus four was the
last bets I saw on Orlando New York. So you
had the public and the sharps on the Knicks. Sharps
laid seven, seven and a half and eight. Public's now
laying the eight and a half's and nines. They took Charlotte.
Wise guys took the three and a half's and the
threes out on the Charlotte side. And what else I know?
There was one more, Yeah, that the Memphis over the Clippers.
They took seven and seven and a half even six
and a half's out on the Clippers. So that's some
of the NBA action college basketball huge slate. There also
some of the Sharper stuff. Oklahoma Mark against mark Quette.
That's a big game. Books put it out at pick them.
Actually thought mark Quette would go to favorite. That didn't happen.
You're looking at Oaklah but did it when it got
up to like two and a half, You did see
some market money. Again, when you're talking about those elite teams,
you're gonna get some two way sharp action. Arkansas State
Steam minus one, one and a half and two six
fifty Seattle at minus ten that was in the steam sheet.
Six point fifty one Lehigh plus eleven and a half.
That should have been in your steam sheet as well.
That was multiple groups Texas, A and M and other
college basketball signed. That's getting heavy sharp money. But the
public's opposite. They're on Florida State there. That's why that
hasn't moved significantly, but did see multiple groups there. And
then finally last game on the board Hawaii minus the
sixteen and a half minus the seventeen minus the seventeen
and a half over North Dakota. And then you know
you have those smaller tournaments and what I'm seeing there.
Let me see South Flowlia was the sharp side, and
that's going opposite the public. That's on Colorado State. But
South Florida got hit as a dog of plus one
minus one, minus two minus two and a half. Now
the three is juiced on South Florida.
Speaker 1: And where was it?
Speaker 3: Stanford over Saint Louis plus four plus three and a
half plus three. They took those numbers out quickly, and
then Santa Clara Public and sharps on Santa Clara over Minnesota.
That's why the sharp books are up to six on
the Santa Clara side, so some of the sharp action early. Again,
it's only nine am here on the West coast, so
a lot, a lot should be coming over the next
few hours.
Speaker 1: Yeah, hone, we got some. Okay, let's do a question
Bears Eagles, anything about that? And then I'm going to
ask you how the sharps attack some of these big
games like the Ohio State Michigan game. You know the
public's going to be all over but wondering if the
sharps have any you know, say in a big.
Speaker 3: Game with that NFL game. Well, not surprising, not one
sided action. The only thing that sticks out is the
over public's betting this game over. Books are definitely going
to need the under there. I don't see enough sharp
money on the under to offset that. I think they're
done going under forty four and a half and forty four,
so a ton of over money from the public. Good
two way action. In fact, I think when this game
kicks off, the books will probably end up needing Philadelphia
to cover the spread. The negative side of that is
Philadelphia is going to be tied into a lot of
teasers and money line parlays, so it's a double edged
sword for the books because on the spread, I'm seeing
more Chicago money. You're able to get Chicago catching the touchdown.
They're an eight and three teen. I mean, that's the
bottom line. The problem with Chicago is their strength of schedule.
They just haven't played anybody. They've had a week strength
of schedule, and the data just doesn't support an eight
and three team. That's the problem. Where with Philadelphia, they've
had a respectable strength of schedule. They're you know, in
the top ten let's say offensive defensive categories that matter,
and you just don't have that for Chicago. That's why
in eight and three teams given a touchdown to another
eight and three team because power rating wise, Philadelphia is
way ahead of Chicago. But somehow, some way, Chicago continues
not just to win games, but outperform the betting market.
Not only have they won for to last five, but
they've i mean not only have they won yeah Ford
to last five, but they've covered now coming in three
of their last four. So again, they're a team that's
outperforming the bet market and winning games. And that's tough
on the books because you have a dog that's getting money.
But again, winning these games outright, and yeah, that's always scary.
But like I said, you're not seeing too much sharp
action on the side. That's why that line's still seven
across the board pretty much where it opened that.
Speaker 1: Yeah, let's talk big game. Hit this Ohio State Michigan game.
I mean, obviously for the lum couldn't be bigger. For
the teams, couldn't be bigger. Public's probably going to have
a pretty strong opinion on it one way or the other.
But do sharps even get involved in games like this
or is it just too hard to find some kind
of edge? No?
Speaker 3: A lot of times, here's what I see for having
moved for as long as I have, Like they do
with college football during the regular season, on a lot
of the number one, two, and three teams ranked, they
know to bet them early to get out ahead of
the public, especially if it's not a line that's too
inflated where they think, you know, other bettingston to gets
will see value on the dog on the opener. If
that's not the case, they're gonna hit that opener because
the limits are low and the line's going to move significantly,
knowing that the public's going to pile on top of it,
all of a sudden, you have yourself a nice middle
open up. I see a lot of that with the big,
high profile games. Otherwise, what I see is them sitting
it out and waiting until today, like game day. Because
two things move money other than you know, whether injury
stuff like that. It's respect. If they respect the account,
they're going to move the line or a lot of money.
If you have a lot of risk, you're gonna have
to have to limit that risk, so you're gonna have
to move the line to entice action. The other way public,
that's a lot of money. They don't get respect, but
they bet a lot of money, so they'll knock some
of these lines out of whack. And that's when you'll
see the wise guys come in and scoop up that value.
If they push some of these games a lot higher
than they should be, then they'll come in and take it.
That's how they usually attack the more high profile marquee
matchups that the public volume is heaviest onn.
Speaker 1: Gotcha. Let's wrap it up with NFL seeing anything big.
I was gonna I was gonna pick my colts of
the Mega Contest, and then I see this news that
Daniel Jones literally has a broken fibula that he's he's
quote playing through.
Speaker 3: That's crazy. Yeah, no takers on the dog there some
of the sharper stuff. Well, obviously Green Bay's off the board.
Atlanta Atlanta four seventy one. I know a lot talk
about Atlanta, but keep your eye on that Atlanta line.
Why aren't they at three yet against the Jets? You
know it's all one sided. I'll tell you why, because
every time a three popped up, there was a wise
guy there to take it. So obviously at plus three
they like the Jets. Tampa Bay wise guys and public
are on Tampa Bay against Arizona. Why isn't this line higher?
You're looking at three even money? So now I got
to play juice to get the three on Arizona. That
doesn't make sense to me. And then finally Cleveland. They
bet Cleveland every week, no surprise, I'm on Cleveland also,
but I'm on Cleveland at plus sex it's now four
and a half. I placed the great bet. I don't
know what Cleveland's gonna do. My job's done. Now we
got to see what Cleveland's gonna go out there and do.
That's some of the sharper stuff, the more one sided public.
They're on Tampa Bay, like I said, they're on Seattle.
They're not afraid to lay the double digits with Seattle.
They think it's a gift against Minnesota. That's why that's
up to twelve. And they're betting the Chargers too. They're
not afraid to lay the nine and a half ten,
especially against Vegas's. Let's face it, Vegas is the worst
team on my power ratings. There's nobody that the Raiders
should be favored over on a neutral field, and yet
they were made favorites over Cleveland last week, and every
wise guy on the planet had a Raiders ticket in
their pocket, and we saw how that turned out for them.
So we'll see if they stake the Raiders on Sunday
if this line keeps climbing. But so far is nothing
but the public on the favorite Listen.
Speaker 1: I'm not one to knock the wise guys, but putting
your hard earned money on the Raiders is a very
different called dangerous.
Speaker 3: Yes, it hasn't been profitable.
Speaker 1: No, no, obviously you would. You wouldn't get the best value,
and a lot of times the bad teams give the
most value but yikes, yikes, they're they're pretty rough here.
So all right, Y'aanni, getting this ready for a big weekend.
I know you got a bunch of things up. What
do you have up for clients today?
Speaker 4: Today?
Speaker 3: It's the steam sheets up that's already got like five
college football games, handful of college basketball games. All the
stuff that goes in there made my life so much easier,
able to keep it very low volume and just focused
on the strongest stuff for premium members handicappers. You need
that steam sheet. My Saturday Friday college football package is
up loaded with just four percent. Saturday's up loaded with
just four percent. Same thing with Sunday NFL. Ready for
a huge, huge couple of days. If something pops its
ted out that warrants a five will fire again like
Green Bay did for us yesterday. Otherwise, these fours have
been money. Let's just keep making it.
Speaker 1: That's the luck to all right. Thank you very much, Yanni,
appreciate you getting us ready for a big, big weekend.
Thank you so much guys for joining us on Black Friday.
I hope you had a great I hope everyone stuffed
their faces. That's what I hope. I hope I got
along with your families and all that stuff. I hope
you guys stuffed your faces. We get a lot of
things going up at wager Talk. We're still running that
seven days for sixty seven dollars. Absolutely fantastic deal. I
have a player prop that is up in the NFL
game if you want to jump on board that. Really
it's a big, big night in NBA and NHL. We've
got an NBA prop pack that is up, and we
got a bonus NHL play included with that one four
plays in there. Last time we did this was Wednesday,
went four and one. So big big night. So invest
with us on Black Friday. It's a great, great slate
of NBA and NHL games. We will be recording the
NFL Props video here a little bit later. That's gonna
get you ready for Sunday. And a little birdie told
me we may have another five percent in the props market.
As I'm looking over some of these lines, I'll get
with my team and we'll we'll figure that one out.
So all right, let's bring on Marco. Let's bring on
Marco and find out his take on some of these games.
I know Marco's got to bring it's just like state law.
Marco has to break down his Steelers and we're gonna
talk Vanderbilt in Tennessee. He's gonna give us our sauce
of the week. So Marco, happy post Thanksgiving? How are
you good?
Speaker 5: Looking forward to a big weekend of action Thanksgiving? It's
non stop from Thursday to Monday with college football, NFL
and hockey and basketball. It's a it's a busy time.
Speaker 1: Yeah. My I flew yesterday and so uh, I take
off right as the Lions game is kicking off, and
then I land and I have a monro Saint Brown
on my fantasy team, and I land to turn on
my phone. I'm like, why does he not have any stats? Oh? Well,
I was in the air this ankle guy in the
first no stats. Wonderful and then all your Lions tickets
were dead on arrival after that. So let's let's talk
about this bill, Steelers. You obviously know your Steelers better
than anybody. Two teams with a lot of questions here.
I saw that if Buffalo wins this game, the Cincinnati
Bengals are within two games of the division because Baltimore
and Pittsburgh can't get their act together. Which is just wild.
So what do you make about this Bill Steelers game?
Fascinating one.
Speaker 5: Yeah, you know, I'm gonna lock in on the team
total in this one because I've gone back and forth
as far as you know, the game itself goes and
what we're gonna get. You are going to have Aaron
Rodgers back at quarterback this week. Whether that's good or bad,
that's to be determined. You know, Aaron's last game and
a half that he played was not good. Okay, before
he you know, he left that Cincinnati game two weeks ago.
And of course Mason Rudolph started for the Steelers last
week in Chicago, and I thought Mason would perform better,
but didn't get the job done and had a constantly
turnover and they came up short. But the reason I'm
focusing in on the team total is I've been making
money with these team totals and it's something that I've
zeroed in on and it's really a simple process for me.
And the recipe that I've been using is I want
to take a team that's got a good offense, and
obviously we know the Buffalo Bills have a good offense
that's coming off a loss. The Bills lost last week.
They played on Thursday night football against the Houston Texans.
This is also the second half of it, is that
they're playing a mediocre defense average at best, and that's
what the Steelers are. And Steelers have had trouble against
good passing teams. And we know what Josh Allen can do,
especially after what Josh Allen had a bad game, you know,
last week. It seems like he responds big whenever he
has a bad game. Throw in the fact that Buffalo's
had three extra days to prepare for this game they
played on a Thursday night, and compare the defense they
went against on Thursday night on the road in Houston.
I have Houston is one of the top defenses in
the NFL and Pittsburgh is definitely not that anymore, especially
when it comes to the secondary. They've had to move
players around because of injuries. I think Buffalo gets points
and Buffalo's not gonna sit on a lead because they've
had teams come back on them. And with Aaron Rodgers back,
they got to respect the Steeler offense a little more
than they would have had it been Mason Rudolph. So
they're gonna keep wanting to answer scores. That's simple for me. Now,
when we did this game on bed on it. We
did this earlier in the week, the total, the team
total was twenty six and a half. We've seen the
total move down because I will tell you they're fifty
percent chance calling for rain in Pittsburgh on Sunday. Again,
I have found over the years, unless it is when
the public overreacts to weather just way too much. First
of all, you got to have the weather get there.
How many times you see the weather forecast that end
up being wrong In two they make an over adjustment
because of rain or snow, and they still go out
there and perform. Team total now is twenty four and
a half on Buffalo. I still like it. I'm taking
it over. I think Buffalo gets into the thirties in
this game against the Steeler defense. Let's go Buffalo team
total on Sunday for our first play here on the show.
Speaker 1: Mark, I'm with you. The bad weather thing gets so
overblown and then you end up getting like better numbers.
It just happens every single time. Oh bad weather, Well
it's bad weather for the defense too.
Speaker 5: The thing of it is andy. What people don't under
stand is when there is bad weather and there's you know,
slick fields or anything like that. That's a disadvantage to
the defense, not the offense. The offensive player knows what
he's doing and when he's making his cut, the defensive player,
it's a reactionary move, and sometimes when you have to
make that sudden move, you're not prepared for it. That's
when you slip, and that's when you get the big plays.
You see defender slip way more than you see offensive
players slip.
Speaker 1: Absolutely couldn't agree more love the value on some of
these these weather games. Let's go to Vanderbilt in Tennessee.
This game is on Saturday. How do you break this
game down?
Speaker 2: I'll tell you what.
Speaker 5: You guys gave me a tough one here because you
look at these two games and I know one thing
that I will not be involved in in this game,
and that's anything that has anything to do with an under.
These two quarterbacks have been unbelievable. Vanderbilt quarterback he's hitting
seven connecting on seventy one point six percent of his passes.
That's absolutely insane. Over twenty nine hundred yards passing touchdown
to interception ratio of twenty six to seven then you
go Tennessee quarterback Aguilar. He's no slops, sixty seven percent completions,
he's thrown for over thirty one hundred yards, and he's
got a twenty three to ten TDed interception ratio. You
look at this Vanderbilt offense. They've scored thirty one or
more against every opponent this year but two. Who were
the two that they didn't score thirty one or more
against Alabama in Missouri, two very good defenses in the SEC. Tennessee.
Speaker 2: Same thing.
Speaker 5: They've scored thirty one or more against every SEC opponent
except two who were there too, Alabama and Oklahoma. Oklahoma
good defensive team. That's not what you have here. To me,
I look at this game, and it's gonna come down
to you know, what team has the ball last. It's
a rivalry game, and surprisingly, you know, when you think
of an a rivalry game and you think one team's
named Tennessee and one team's named Vanderbilt, you would think
Tennessee would have the upper hand. But the last nine meetings,
Vanderbilt is actually six and three against the spread against Tennessee.
This is like I always like to refer to a
big big brother versus a little brother game, you know, Tennessee.
Obviously the bigger name Vanderbilt gets up for these games.
I got to take a side here. Both teams are
gonna go up and down the field. It might be
who has the ball last, Andy that wins this one.
That means I gotta take any points available, and I'm
gonna go ahead and go with Vanderbilt. And they last
three games, Vanderbilt, they scored thirty one, forty five, and
forty five against Texas Alburn in Kentucky. And they've thrown
for three sixty five, three seventy seven, and five thirty nine.
Give me Vanderbilt plus the points.
Speaker 1: Wow, it's a huge, huge number of passing. I wasn't
aware they were throwing the ball that much. Five hundred
yards is incredible, incredible, All right, Marco, normally do your
wing saucer. You doing wing sauce or Thanksgiving dish?
Speaker 5: Well, you know what. I was back and forth last night,
But after the performance I saw in the Baltimore Cincinnati game,
I had to go with Joe Burrow today. I got
to give him some props this, I mean, I went
to think about this. He hasn't played since week two Okay,
he rushes back to play on Thanksgiving night for a
three and eighteen. He's playing with a metal plate in
his shoe. He's missing one of his key weapons. And
t Higgins and as they said, a three and eight
football team. But let's be honest, you know is out
of the playoff race. But yeah, mathematically because the AFC
North is so bad, still in it. Uh and then asked,
you know, he goes into that game without playing since
week two, You got to expect him to be rusty.
Speaker 2: No, they don't protect him.
Speaker 5: He throws the ball forty six times in that game,
two hundred and sixty one yards, two touchdowns, no interceptions,
converts on a quarterback sneak. Where do you know how
hard it is when everybody's pushing behind you and you're
going off your foot, planting your foot to push forward
against a pile and you're playing with a you know
your injury was turf toe.
Speaker 2: That takes guts. He's the epitome of a leader.
Speaker 5: I can't really say the same for the quarterback that
was on the other team last night, mister Lamar Jackson.
So for me, in honor of Joe Burrow, your sauce
of the week. Joe is honey, habit narrow? Why because
just like Joe, it's sweet and it brings the heat.
Speaker 1: Oh, I love it. Oh honey, Hobin Air and Joe Burrow.
That was wild man like he was scrambling these guys.
He's incredible. He's incredible.
Speaker 2: Three in eight football team.
Speaker 5: Three and eight football team, you rush back to.
Speaker 1: Play that's the team. Yeah, that's a man that loves
his teammates because he probably ain't doing it for the
Bengals organization and owners. Did you hear what?
Speaker 5: Did you hear what he said when they asked him
why you know, he rushed back, He said, we get
paid a lot of money to play a kid's game.
I wanted to be out there with my guys.
Speaker 1: Come on, all right, he got a lot of fans.
Now you get to win now. Like I said, there
are Buffalo Bills went away from being in the in
the division. Absolutely incredible stuff. All right, Marco, tell her
on what you have about for clients at wager talking
Black Friday, Well, you've.
Speaker 5: Talked about it already. The deal of the year right
now is the seven day package. We know how popular
Weekend Warrior is for forty nine dollars. If you've been
buying the Weekend Warrior, you've got to buy the sixty
seven dollars seven day package. Weekend Warrior gets your Saturday
and Sunday all the football, college and pro, and then
if there's a Monday night play, you get it. Put
with this, you're getting seven days for sixty seven dollars
from your favorite capper. Hey, guys, that's good on anybody.
It includes five percent plays. Now it's time for me
to toot my own horn. Yeah, I'll have a five
percent play going this weekend, but I've got a four
percent going today in college football. Guys, this season, when
I've released a four or five percent play in college
football nineteen and six on the season, we got one today.
Gonna have a five percent this weekend. Jump on board.
And those five percent plays are thirty eight and sixteen
since February of twenty twenty four, best still going last
thirty days at wager Talk where number one in money one.
That's all sports combined. Jump on board in enjoy a
weekend full of action with your favorite handicapper at wager Talk.
Speaker 1: Yeah, Marco, you don't release too many of those plays.
When they do, it's time to fire away, So definitely
quality over quantity. With that, Margot DiAngelo, Happy holiday, have
a big, big weekend, man, Thank you so much for
joining us, always always giving good breakdowns and giving us
as a wing sauce of the week. God, honey, how
banaro sounds good right now? Of course anything sounds good
day after Thanksgiving? So all right, we keep it moving.
We've got to bring on one of the hottest handicappers
at wager Talk. I don't mean looks wise, I mean
record wise. Joe Ornary has just been lighting up the scoreboard. Joe,
every time I go on there, you're popping up all
over the place. So we got to talk a little
college football talk, a little NFL. Of course, we got
to talk LSU at Oklahoma. It's our it's our tradition.
Speaker 2: Here. Did they did?
Speaker 1: I see they just decide it? Did fire Brian Kelly
without jos he is going to get paid?
Speaker 6: Shocker shocker that we had to jump through hoops to
get to that, uh, that conclusion, which we all knew
the minute they will fired him, and the governor got
involved and then fired the you know, the athletic director.
Speaker 2: It's just craziness, you know, I'm sure Lane Kiffin's just.
Speaker 6: Dying to hurry up and get this egg ball over
it so he can announce he's going to Florida and
screw you into dysfunction.
Speaker 2: LSU.
Speaker 1: My god, unreal, cover your ears are Jay in the chat? Sorry,
but you know, you know when Joe comes up, we
gotta rip on LSU a little bit. Let's let's talk
on the field. Let's talk this LSU Oklahoma game. Uh,
I think this still could be a pretty good game.
How do you break it down?
Speaker 6: Well, you know, nuss Myer's out again for for LSU,
and now you're you know you're going to be taking
on what is I think we can all agree one
of the top three or four defenses in all of
college football. And the last couple of times that nus
Meyer has missed, we've watched LSU manage less than five
yards of play eighteen points per game, and they did
that against two horrific defensive teams, Arkansas and Western Kentucky.
With Michael Van Buren at quarterback. Well, he is going
to be in Norman under center here for OU, and
I just I mean call me crazy to oklahow and
the defense which ranks you know, top three or four
in just about every statistical category. Where in the hell
is LSU going to score any points? I don't even think, oh,
you needs to get a whole lot of points in
order to be able to cover a double digit here.
You know, it's been a terrible season all year round,
all around for LSU. Nobody knows what's going on with
the coaching job. Who's going to be there, who's not
now nuss Meyer's gone. This team just struggles in all
the wrong positions to go in against an OU team
who is, let's face it, looking to pad that schedule
and pad that resume and lock themselves into the college
football playoff. Here and I'll take the really good defense.
I like the under in this one. I think it's
thirty six and a half. Norman's not an easy place
to go to. I wish things had worked out for
LSU because this would have been one of the games
of the year, I think Andy, But at this particular point,
I mean, my goodness, there is only one way I
could look, and that is with OU and that defense
to limit this LSU handcuffed offense as it is. You know,
it's got twenty to three, twenty to six written all
over it, and that's more than enough to get the cover.
Speaker 1: You're getting strong agreement in the chat from a big
LSU fan in RJ. The O line sucks the Ads
no power back what's seen.
Speaker 7: He also says, ls under Sometimes the fans know the
team's better than anybody, So RJ shout out to you,
maybe they can pull the upset.
Speaker 2: Listen, I'm an Alclaholm mistake, IY RJ.
Speaker 6: And at least I got good news that they hired
a coach I think, and actually turn the program around
by getting Morris from North Texas, who, by the way,
will be coaching this game against Temple, and who knows,
maybe an outside shot of craziness happens at actually being
that one of those other five that that makes the
college football playoff.
Speaker 1: Let's move to the Texans and my Colts, Joe, I
loved my Colts this week. I don't trust C. J.
Stroud and the nice ce Daniel Jones as a fractured
fibula that he's going to quote play through. Okay, can
you play through a broken lagger? I don't know. So
to me, it changes the whole complexion of this game,
and it does it does kind of give you a
little bit of you look back at Daniel Jones last
couple weeks. Okay, maybe that's why it wasn't one hundred percent.
What do you do here? Colts minus three and a
half now over under forty four? Great defense against the
Colts here with Texans and Colts. Heeddy break it down.
Speaker 6: Well, I wouldn't sell this, you know, revamped Colts defense
short either here, especially against a struggling Houston offense, that
is going to be what Okay, so Stroud's under center? Great,
what's gonna have You're gonna have now to go up
against Sauce Gardner and uh Sarvevius Ward who basically don't
give up any catches or any yards to any wide receiver.
Oh you're gonna run the ball? No, you're not running
the ball either against this defense here. I think Buckner
is also trending to get back here. You know what,
he's also had this injury now for a couple of weeks.
Speaker 2: This didn't just pop up.
Speaker 6: I think that Daniel Jones will is more than capable
of being able to get enough points and utilize enough
of the offensive weapons to be able to score enough
points against a Houston team that quite honestly, Andy, I
don't know where their points are coming from in this one. Also,
and keep in mind, the Colts have not played a
home game since October twenty sixth. It's been almost a
month here, Andy, since they've actually been at home. And
you know this, they're a much different team inside on
their turf in this spot and Houston. While the defense
certainly elite, but they've been much better at home than
they have been on the road here. So I'm glad
the number has come back down. Just gives you a
better number. I still think the Colts role here. I
still think Jonathan Taylor is going to get his and
I still think Dandy Dimes is more than enough healthy
to be able to get them to cover this number
and get back on track and win one at home.
Speaker 1: Can I just as a Colts fan, this says a lot.
When I heard that CJ. Stroud was probably gonna play,
my very first thing was I was a little bit relieved.
I actually think I would prefer to see Stroud over
them what Davis Mills is doing right now, and I
know that's crazy, but yeah, I just look at Stroud
on the road. I mean, his one road win was
against that decimated Baltimore team, you know that was throwing out,
you know, completely backup, so that he's losing to Jacksonville
on the road and all that. So all right, well, Joe,
you're filling in for Teddy, so you get to participate
in sell me. Here's how it works, Guys, Dan is
going to pick a game. He's gonna sign Joe a team,
assign me a team. We have to make the case
for it. And in the comments section after the show
is over, in the comments, type either Joe if you
think Joe's side is right, or Andy if you think
my side is right, and then your wager talk use
a name. We'll pick a winner. We'll get a free
three day pass. All right, So Dan has picked the
Vikings and the Seahawks. It's a big spread.
Speaker 4: I'm sorry, guys, I'm sorry. There's a lot of gross
on the board. I'm sorry, Joe.
Speaker 8: So obviously we couldn't give you the premiere. This is
the leftovers that we have here for you. And not
only do you have to break down this Vikings team,
it's not even JJ McCarthy, which, honestly, Joe.
Speaker 4: We could be looking at that as a positive.
Speaker 8: So we got the Vikings getting all these points here
in Seattle. Joe, the side you're gonna be selling me
and the folks is that Viking side plus the points. Andy,
you'll break down why the home favorite might just be
the way you should be going in this one. But Joe,
let us know why the dog is the correct side.
Sell me the Minnesota Vikings.
Speaker 6: Well, listen, if I'm going to be backing the dog
in this one, it certainly is because what Max bro
Smurrow or whatever the hell this is is gonna be
under center, is gonna get it done. I think it's
gonna be simply that the market is going to overreact
to all of this and give us all the value.
And I think this opened up Andy at what eleven
eleven and a half.
Speaker 2: I think we're almost up to two touchdowns now.
Speaker 6: And let's face it, I mean, as broken as this
Vikings offense might have been, you just watched green Bay
right go in and light up a pretty good Detroit
defense there yesterday, and yet this Minnesota offense did a
really good job of holding that green Bay offense. Rather
that Minnesota defense did a great job of limiting that
green Bay offense. A week ago, holding him the under
three hundred yards. This to me is all going to
be about who knows I mean, who knows the quarterback
of Seattle in Donald better than this Minnesota defense as
well as head coach. I think this game will surprisingly
be a hell of a lot closer than people are
anticipating it. No way am I trusting Sam Donald against
a quality defense who might get a turnover to and
next thing, you know, that back door cover wide open
because a bomb Seattle. I've been much better on the
road than I have been at home over the last
couple of seasons. Very tricky spot for Seattle. I would
only look at the dog or pass in this spot.
Speaker 8: Holy shit, Andy, we may have to be having a
new segment on Thursdays.
Speaker 4: Joe Cape here with the That was really good. He
came with the receipts.
Speaker 8: But the favorite might just be a favorite for the reason, Andy,
And you'll tell us those reasons right now.
Speaker 4: Sell me on the Seattle Seahawks.
Speaker 1: Well, the Seahawks are fresh. They're coming off of a
bye and by by a bye, I mean they played
Tennessee last week. It was one of the weirdest games
you've ever seen. Tennessee held the ball for thirty seven minutes.
The offense just threw the ball to JSN who just
ran for a touchdown. And then Tennessee gets this back
door cover. And I swear if they don't get that
back door cover, this line is fourteen and a half. Listen,
Seattle just did what they had to do to get
the easy win. They've got bigger fish to fry, and
the bigger fish to fry is winning these games in
the NFC. Their only loss recently is at the Rams.
Before that, they win by margin against Arizona. They win
by margin against Washington, They win by margin against a
good defense at Houston. This is an organization in Minnesota
that not once but twice has decided their starting quarterback
was hurt after the game, despite seeing nothing in the
game to let us know that he was hurt. They're
in disarray. I had for Justin Jefferson. I feel bad
for the fans. I feel bad for the coaches. This
quarterback situation might be one of the worst in the NFL.
I will take Seattle to drop the hammer at home
here on this poor bra. I mean, you want to
talk about a bad situation, they're talking JJ mccarthur was
so bad they didn't want to play him against Seattle,
so they filled this guy in. Here is a brutal spot.
I think this could get twenties. I think this could
be a twenty twenty one point win here. I see
no upside on Minnesota whatsoever.
Speaker 8: Sounds like JJ McCarthy might need a new alter ego.
You know you maybe retire nine, change the number and
get a new alter ego for him.
Speaker 4: Great breakdown by both the gentlemen.
Speaker 8: All you got to do, guys, comment below, Andy or
Joe with your wager Talk username. If their side covers,
you're gonna be getting a free three day Flex Picks
pass that we'll have for you. We'll select one random
comment there. It's that easy, So comment below after the video,
and Joe, let the folks know what you have up over.
Speaker 4: There, because you've been you've been seeing it.
Speaker 6: Well, man, well we got two games, I mean, Week
fourteen in a college football season. We have a five
percent best back locked for tomorrow and the same on
Sunday in the NFL. Just too much value to pass
up on both those plays, and you can grab them,
but take advantage of that Thanksgiving special while you still
can I think it ends at midnight?
Speaker 2: Is it tomorrow Sunday? I mean, get seven days.
Speaker 6: All access, including all the five percent best bets for
sixty seven bucks. It doesn't get any better than that.
That's what you need to jump on. And they can
get ball five percent place for the price of and
get everything else along the way for sixty seven bucks.
Speaker 1: Absolutely great stuff. Joe, Congratulations on the run. Hope you
had a great Thanksgiving, have a great weekend. Cash those
big tickets, and yes, you can get Joe's picks seven
days for sixty seven dollars. Don't think anybody's been hotter
in this last month than Joe. All right, if we can, Dan,
you want to go over, I don't know if your
Mike and your WiFi is good enough to give us
your picks. We can go over my week thirteen picks
here while we're pulling that up. Yes, seven days for
sixty seven dollars applies to everybody, myself included. We have
so many props coming up in NFL, in NBA and NHL. Tonight,
we just put a Formula one play up for clients
and qualifying. Those are the kind of plays that you're
going to get November has been a very very good
month for us for seeing the props really really well.
And as I tell everybody, props is how you build
a bankroll. That's what we do, that's what we specialize in.
So partner up with us seven days, sixty seven dollars.
If you're just looking for some quick plays. We have
one play up for the NFL game today. We have
four plays up in the NBA and NHL. So let's
cast get this weekend started off on the right foot,
and let's take a look at the pics here. I
had the Lions versus the Packers. Like I said, I
was flying, I land and I see the score and Dan,
here's the thing. I know that skill position players don't
aren't supposed to affect the spread. If you would have
told me a Monrol Saint Brown wouldn't play in this game,
I wouldn't have picked. I wouldn't have put this like
there are I think there are position players that are
too important to the spread. I mean that changes the
Lions offense absolutely completely. So I took an l there, Colts, listen,
I locked it in. I'm not gonna waffle on it.
I still don't buy this. CJ. Stroud on the road thing.
The injury from Daniel Jones is obviously terrifying, But I
agree with Joe. I don't see where the Texans are
going to put up a lot of points. I think
this is a cult. Like just said, this Colts team
hasn't played at home since before Halloween. So give me
the Colts there. Yeah, favorite play on the board has
got to be the Browns plus five versus forty nine Ers.
It's forty nine ers defense going to play in cold Cleveland,
no way. The Browns have been, like been really really
good ats that was an easy cash last week. So
give me the Browns plus points in that weather. And
we cashed an over on Shador Sanders on his passing yards.
We'll get to him and when we do, all around
the world. I don't be surprised that the Browns win
this game, and an ugly one. So I mentioned the
Seahawks and the Vikings. I like Seattle so much I'm
putting them in the contest, and then I'm dan, I'm
just fading this Raiders team. It's an ineptitude at its
highest level at this point in the season. Chargers have
had a week off to try and get things together.
I think Harbaugh and Herbert will not completely fix the
offensive line, but improve it them to win by March.
I'm just fading this Raiders.
Speaker 8: Well, Andy, would it be a true pick five Friday
if we weren't on the opposite side of the ugliest
game this week?
Speaker 4: I am actually.
Speaker 8: Taking the nine and a half with the Chargers here,
and reasoning for me, Andy is simply, I haven't seen
a single thing from this Chargers team this season that
warrants them being near ten point favorites against anyone, even
a hapless Las Vegas Raiders team.
Speaker 4: And I think with when you fire a.
Speaker 8: Guy like Chip Kelly who players adamantly dislike, like he
tried changing Ashton Genti's stand up, you know running style,
which yes, it's weird, but it worked for him. It
made him a Heisman player. So when you when you
are able to fire a guy that people absolutely hate,
I think it adds a little bit of pep in
the step. And whenever it's in division like this Raiders
team gets up for these games, whether they're good, whether
they're bad. You know, the injuries upfront for the Chargers
Max Crosby should make things tough for Justin Herbert, and
when Justin Herbert doesn't have a clean pocket, it's long
days for him.
Speaker 2: He makes mistakes.
Speaker 4: So do I think am I sprinkling the money line
in that game? Andy? Hell?
Speaker 8: No, but nine and a half, ten points, I think
that's just a little bit rich. My favorite play of
the week is actually this Tennessee side against Jacksonville. You
know that we've had a really good read on Jacksonville.
I think this is a money line game. I think
Tennessee in the position that they're in, they've covered three
straight games, this is their four straight home game. Jacksonville
doesn't travel well and you're getting over a touchdown and
the hook. Tennessee also can still get the first overall
pick even with a win and they're playing better, they
get to be at home six and a half.
Speaker 1: The no brainer for me.
Speaker 8: So that's the favorite play on the board for me,
is that Tennessee side, not even just being a homery.
You see, I got the seven with the Eagles. It's
gonna be windy, it's gonna be cold there today. I
think it's gonna be a long day for Caleb Williams.
I think everyone was talking about the offensive tune up
game the offensive tune up game. I think this is
a Saquon Barkley tune up game. You're gonna be missing
the three starting linebackers for the Chicago Bears, and you're
gonna have Eagles offensive line who finally has the same
starters for back to back weeks the first time this season.
So I think this could be a little bit of continuity.
Get Saquon going in the weather. I'm betting Saquon over
eighty rushing yards and I'm gonna pair that with a
Saquon anytime touchdown as well. So that's how I'm betting
the game today, Andy, and those are the pick five, brother,
but we'll see Las Vegas are Chargers, and well, I
just I can't lay it with the Chargers, but I
get what you mean. Raiders are an easy team to
just fade and forget.
Speaker 1: Yeah. Interesting that both of our favorite players are taking
the points with bad teams.
Speaker 4: Well, I think too.
Speaker 8: You saw you saw yesterday, Andy, I know you broke
down the games yesterday. I mean, could this mean is
it a hardbringer of things to come that it's a
dog week.
Speaker 4: For my Philadelphia Eagles.
Speaker 8: I hope not, but I could see some dogs barking
this week, and it's kind of that time of the
year where you know, teams being as bad as they
are are already factored into the point spread. So you know, yes,
Tennessee is the worst team in the league. If that's
true in Jacksonville, is some stalwart that's gonna come into
their house and beat them?
Speaker 4: Why are they not a seven and a half point favorite.
An eight and a half point favorite. I think that
line's telling a bitter story.
Speaker 1: All right, and you get that seven and a half
on Giants. I believe Jackson Dart is now now gonna
start chuck check them. Yeah, yeah, Okay, so he got
a great line on that one. So all right, we're
going head to head on Chargers and other Raiders before
we get out of here. Let's do all around the world.
Let's give you guys some props. I believe we're doing
all NFL props. And my first one, I'm actually gonna
go to this Titans and Jags game. Cam Ward over
is passing. It's too low. This is just two hundred yards.
He's gone over in five out of the last seven games.
The Jags are twenty fifth in pass defense. They give
up two hundred and fifty three yards passing per game.
I like these quarterbacks getting these insanely low totals. So
if it's a close game, script is in there. If
it's a blowout, somehow he's gonna be throwing late. But
I just don't see a game script where Kim Word
is not throwing the balls. Me over there, sam Mi
shdor Sanders too low. I mean, this total is insane.
He had two hundred plus in this first start, and
they're lying to me at one fifty six and a half.
Come on, forty nine ers, two hundred and forty eight
yards passing allowed at just the sam Fran defense in
the cold Cleveland weather. Now give me Sanders over his
passing and then I'm going back to the Titans. Jags
ty j Spears over two and a half receptions books
keeping giving us this beautiful number here. He's gone over
in six straight games. He's had five and four the
last two games, five targets each of the last two weeks.
And this is a Jags team that gives up four
point six receptions to running backs per game. Taiji Spears
has looked good coming out of the backfield, So those
are your free plays and that is going to wrap
it up for us for Football Friday. Guys. Thank you
so much joining us. I hope you guys had a
good and healthy Thanksgiving. Let's make it a good and
healthy weekend. Let's cash those tickets. Make sure you hit
the like button and remember comment below Joe or Andy
based on which team you liked. In the sell me segment,
Joe had to bravely breakdown why the Vikings are going
to cover. I broke. I gave a perfect breakdown as
to why Seattle's I mean just perfect, very professional breakdowns
why Seattle is going to cover. So comment below, Andy
or Joe. Make sure you're you wager talk. Here's your
name and Ken, if you're watching, please leave a comment.
Uh so we can send you a three day pass.
I haven't seen you in the comment section, so I
want to make sure you're aware when you get your
three day pass. But Ken, you were the big winner
this week, so hit me up in the comment section.
That way we can send you three day pass. Guys.
Thank you so much. Have a great Black Friday, have
a great weekend. We'll be back on Monday. We'll get
you ready for it next week. Hit like button. Don't
forget to subscribe to the channel. Good luck on your
bets and take care.
Speaker 9: Black Friday wager talk dot com and we have Flexpicks
deals for you. What are flex picks, that's right, They
give you the old flexibility to access daily picks from
the handicapper that.
Speaker 1: You want and trust.
Speaker 2: That's what you're gonna do.
Speaker 9: You're gonna choose your favorite handicapper, select the experts whose
plays you want for the day. You're gonna get full access,
so you're gonna get every single selection from them, and
you can plan ahead or go day by day, logging
daily to make your pick, or schedule your selections up
to a week in advance, and you can change your
mind at anytime, switch your selected expert right up until
the plays are released. And of course you can skip
days at your convenience. Use flexpix on your own schedule.
Normally three days price at sixty nine bucks is just
thirty nine dollars. Seven days also thirty dollars off. Right
now for sixty nine dollars, thirty days gets you one
hundred dollars off. Ninety days get you two hundred dollars
off five hundred and forty nine bucks and one year
all access eleven eighty eight. That is the best savings
you can get all season low on Flex Fix All
Wager Talk Flex options revert to regular full pricing Sunday
at midnight