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Speaker 1: You are alive, my friend. Welcome to the best sports

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betting show on the planet.

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Speaker 2: This is Wager Talk Today. I am your host, Andy Lang.

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It is Wednesday, and today is all about college football.

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We're gonna break down multiple teams, multiple matchups. We're gonna

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talk a little Major League Baseball. Ross Benjamin's gonna be here.

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We're gonna do this line makes no sense, and Ralph

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Michaels is here to talk about some charts and some trends.

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Here to help you guys with your betting. This is

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the show to watch. Thank you so much for joining

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us and hit the like button and we're gonna get

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right into it because Ralph Michaels is on deck. We're

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gonna talk n C State and Wake Forest and NFL

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Week two trends. Let's bring in Ralph, Ralph. We're gonna

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start with college football. We're gonna do an individual game breakdown,

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and then we'll talk some trends.

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Speaker 1: How are you today, sir?

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Speaker 3: Doing awesome?

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Speaker 4: Andy?

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Speaker 3: I can't wait to hear your exciting new news at

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the end of the segment. I'm gonna stay in the

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back room in the green room and listen to it.

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So congratulations in advance.

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Speaker 1: Thank you very much.

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Speaker 2: I will talk about my new that launches today. Thank

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you to wager Talk for giving me this platform. But

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let's talk a little bit of college football. Let's do

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NC State wake Forest. How do you break this game down?

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Speaker 3: Well, again, we talked about early in the season, don't

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overreact because we really don't know if the teams were

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that bad and the opponent was that good or vice versa.

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But let's look at what the teams do you know?

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NC State took care of East Caroline and their opener

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twenty four to seventeen, but they failed to cover as

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they were a fourteen point home favorite and only had

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a ten yard edge in their home opener. They did

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good to Virginia last week. They were a small favorite.

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Excuse me, they did host Virginia last week. They were

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a small favorite, covering that two and a half point

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spread thirty five to thirty one. The major issue for

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NC State is the defense. They allowed East Carolina to

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pass for three hundred and eighty three yards and last

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week against Virginia, not a team known for their offense,

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they allowed two hundred fifty seven yards rushing and eight point.

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Speaker 4: Zero yards per carry.

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Speaker 3: Last week in that game against Virginia, they actually trailed

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by ten at a halftime, scored twenty one points in

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the third quarter, and held the Cavaliers scoreless to get

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that win. NC State has a very good O line.

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Their starters have one hundred and eleven career starts, and

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of course they're led by CJ. Bailey, who came in

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last season after an injury. His nickname Baby Giraffe, the

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six foot six mobile quarterback can move the chains. I

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look at wake Fourth while Week one was a shock

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ten to nine as a nineteen point favorite against Kennesaw

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State and only a three forty eight to three hundred

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seven yard edge. Last week against Western Carolina they were

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a nineteen point favorite. They did take advantage of that

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weaker foe, winning forty two ten with a five forty

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two to two thirty eight yard edge. Wake Forest with

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their new head coach dicko he comes. He was the

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DC at Wyoming. What do you think of Wyoming after

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Josh Allen left? They ran the ball, they played stout defense.

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I look at wake Forest now you know they pulled

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the upset as a four and a half point dog

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last year in this series, and I looked at him,

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and I think with them wanting to run the ball

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and them trying to slow the pace. Now again, I

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can tell you this wake Forest has allowed fifty percent

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pass completions on the season. Wake Forest has allowed two

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point five yards per carry on the season. But I'd

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also have to tell you this wake Forest has played

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the number one hundred and thirty three schedule. When you

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play both games at home and you're a touchdown of

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almost three favorites, you really don't know how to quantify

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those stats. But a couple surprising TNA numbers here. I

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don't cherry pick games like game Game one and game

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two are significant, Game five, Game six to Game seven.

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I think there's just randomness in there. But I did

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find it interesting because NC State played a conference game

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last week in Game two, and now they're playing Game three.

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They're only the ninth team in the last ten years

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to play a conference game Week two and win it

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and then play a road conference game in Week three.

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Those teams only one and seven against the spread. NC

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State did cover three of their last four road games

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last season. No, they covered their last three and four

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of their last five, but they haven't been in a

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way favorite of more than a point since twenty twenty three,

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and they've lost seven straight as in a way favorite

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against the spread. Again, no situations last year, so I

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really don't take that much into consideration. But how about

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this Thursday, home Dogs in Game two, Game three, in

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game four. The first month of the season, only one

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ten in one ATS and zero to ten against the

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spread as a dog of two or more. So I

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don't want to play the North Carolina state side. I

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don't want want to play the Wake four side. And

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I do want to share this from the gold Sheet newsletter. Guys,

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it is the perfect compliment. If you have your favorite

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handicapper that you use at wager talk, or if you're

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just doing your own handicapping, make sure you check out

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the gold Sheet. Listen to what they put in about

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this game. After the game. Coach Dickard said, it's been

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a marathon day. That's they had a six hour game

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with two major time delays, and he says that's not

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what you want to hear when you're preparing for a

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short week against the conference opponent that's hungry for revenge.

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Thank you for that note the gold Sheet. With that said,

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I am going to go North Carolina State team total

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under thirty and a half. We have wake forced again

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seventy eight runs, fifty four passes home for a third

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straight game. NC State playing their first road game of

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the season, playing back to back conference games, again under

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team total for the wolf Pack for Thursday night.

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Speaker 2: Oh don't you threaten me with a good time with

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team totals there, Ralph, you know you know me. I

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love my team totals. A great breakdown. You're the king

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of charts. You always bring the heat. And you were

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telling me before, like, hey, there's not like a slam

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dunk eighty five percent, like you know, winner on this chart.

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Speaker 1: But you know we don't need that to take away.

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Speaker 2: You know, some really insightful things that we can use

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in our betting for NFL Week two and NFL Week

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two can really be it could really be strange because

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we overreact to week one and teams make adjustments. So

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let's go over some charts here that we have for

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NFL Week two. Let's see what we can take away

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from it. Let's see if anything applies here. So walk

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us through this week's charts.

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Speaker 1: What are we seeing here and how does it apply

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to week two?

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Speaker 3: Andy, I do want to mention that every week now

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I do at least three NFL trends, three college football trends.

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They are attached to the bet on It or available

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wager Talk YouTube tea. I do those every Wednesday. They

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are loaded either Wednesday night or Thursday morning. So if

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you like the TNA stuff, make sure you check that

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out as well. I'm going to go very simple here, Andy.

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It doesn't get easier than this game. Two. How do

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teams do after winning their NFL season opener? How do

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teams do after losing their NFL season opener? Can't get

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more easy, can't get more basic? But surprising results to

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me really that it's this crisp across the board. So

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on the top you see since twenty twenty one I

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used the last four years, the top line is P,

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cole and L.

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Speaker 4: That means a previous loss.

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Speaker 3: So teams that lost the season opener, no matter where

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they are home, away, favorite dog, fifty five percent against

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the spread, if they lost on the road, fifty four

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percent lost at home, fifty five percent lost as a favorite,

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fifty four percent lost as a dog, fifty six percent

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against the spread.

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Speaker 4: So no wow numbers.

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Speaker 3: But again circle those teams because it is a it

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is a bit of an edge with a fifty six

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percent situation.

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Speaker 4: Now let's look at teams that won.

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Speaker 3: Pretty simple, look at that.

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Speaker 4: If you won your season.

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Speaker 3: Opener, only forty four point eight percent have covered game two.

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I means fifty five percent of not covered, forty four

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percent off and away win, forty six percent off of

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home win. If you did win as a favorite, you

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do have a slight edge basically the break even point

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of making money on an ATS. But if you one

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week one is a dog, only thirty five percent against

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the spread. I do want to mention, since two thousand

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and nine, if teams lost Game one playing a team

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that won game won, they are fifty eight percent against

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the spread this week, that applies to Atlanta, Carolina, Houston,

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Kansas City, the New York Jets, New Orleans, Seattle, and Tennessee.

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And I know that list is ugly because a couple

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of those teams lost in an ugly fashion. But again,

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history tells that these patterns are consistent, and this is

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one I do follow quite closely.

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Speaker 2: Give me the J E. T. S Jets, Jets, Jets.

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I like that team, Ralph. I think they were I

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think they were I think they're good. I think that

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even though they lost, that was a good performance. What

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read those teams again one more time, just a little

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bit slower that that this applies to.

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Speaker 3: He's ore in alphabetic quarter Atlanta, Carolina, Houston, Kansas City,

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the New York Jets, New Orleans, Seattle, and Tennessee.

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Speaker 2: A lot of teams, a lot of teams that that

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fill that gap.

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Speaker 1: So chat, if.

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Speaker 2: You're paying attention to these teams, let us know which

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ones that you think are that this is going to

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fit to. So anything else that we can take away from.

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Speaker 1: This chart, Ralph, because I'll be honest with you, I like.

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Speaker 2: The more the fifty eight and the sixty percent trends

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than the eighty five percent trends because I think those

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eighty five ninety percent trends there, they're very long. You know,

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there's there's some regression going here. What's your favorite trend

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out of this chart.

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Speaker 3: Well, I'm going to give you one more supset that

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I was going to mention on the bet on it segment.

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And if teams are off a home loss and they're

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now on the road, and we're excluding dogs of eight

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or more, so you're not a very crappy team, you're

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on the road and you're either in a favorite or

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a dog up to a touchdown. They are actually seventy

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one percent since two thousand and ten. That applies to

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four of those teams from above, Andy, Atlanta, Seattle, New England,

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and Chicago all fit in that seventy one percent situation.

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Speaker 1: It's great stuff.

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Speaker 2: Then, this is what I like these segments almost even

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more than the individual game breakdowns because it applies to

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a bunch of teams. We can make our own decisions.

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We can figure out which trends we like. Ralph, this

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is great work. As always. Tell what about gold Sheet

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real quick? We don't talk about gold Sheet enough. There's

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so much information that gold Sheat releases.

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Speaker 3: I mean, guys are right up on every FBS versus

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FBS team, gives you their power ratings, a write up

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on every NFL team. And remember, even if you're not

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betting the plays, or even if you have the plays

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that you want to bet, there's so much information like

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that tidbit I shared with you, you know from Wake Forest.

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That is that is written in the newsletter. So to me,

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it's my must start. I have to every Tuesday go

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through it. From cover to cover, writing down notes on

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my schedule, and then I move on continuing my handicapping.

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So wagertalk dot com you could buy it weekly or

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for the season and save again, the perfect compliment to

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any wager Talk handicapper.

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Speaker 1: All right, Ralph, it's Wednesday. What do you have up

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personally for clients?

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Speaker 3: I passed guys, if there's no value, don't worry about

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forcing a play. I've only been using no run, first inning,

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no value. I do have a free play loaded, but

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I will say this, Andy, I will have a five

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percent NFL taser loaded by Thursday morning. Probably get it

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done tonight. Let me tell you this, that is thirty

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five dollars. The weekend Warriors, Saturday and Sunday football that

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is forty nine dollars. So for fourteen dollars more, you're

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getting all of my plays, my four percent and five

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percent football plays twenty one and four eighty four percent,

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my NFL teasers four percent and higher seven and oh

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and fourteen and one ninety three percent since November twenty

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twenty three, and last year in the NFL five five percent,

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A perfect five.

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Speaker 2: And oh took the words right out of my mouth.

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Ralph's that's great work. And yes, for forty nine dollars,

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you can get all college and NFL plays Friday through Monday.

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Ralph Michaels, great work. Enjoy Florida, my friend. I know

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you're going to be enjoying the Sunshine State for quite

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a while. Jealous of the weather. It's allergy season up here.

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I'm probably gonna make my way down there to see you.

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Speaker 1: So have waynsday, Ralph.

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Speaker 2: See if I thanks all right, thanks guys for joining

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us in the chat. Let's do a steam report. Gianni's

255
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not here. There's not a whole lot going on with

256
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the steam report. Green Bay money keeps coming in. It

257
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looks like most places are at three and a half.

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If we want to do Friday college football moneies coming

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in on Houston, they're up to five and a half.

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No key numbers really to note there. There's a little

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bit of money coming in on Kansas State, who laid

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in an absolute egg last week for me, thank you

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very much. UCLA is taking a little bit of money.

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And when we go to baseball, basically no movement anywhere.

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A little bit of money coming in on San Francisco,

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A little bit of money coming in on Washington, some

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on Philadelphia. That was an easy cash yesterday, but nothing

268
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really of note. There's not big money at this point

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while we're recording. Even the Dodgers are not taking a

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whole lot of money, So not a big steam report.

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Speaker 1: This is kind of a slow dead day.

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Speaker 2: There's nothing coming on in WNBA, only one game tonight,

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so we'll have some free plays at the end, and

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let's get to Ross the Boss Benjamin and Ross. Sadly,

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I have to bring up something here that just happened

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in our slack channel. Ross, you didn't know what FML

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stood for.

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Speaker 4: You know, I can't follow all this modern jargon, you know,

279
00:14:22,240 --> 00:14:25,960
between trying to get a translator for everything that Johnny

280
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and Detroit text me, because sometimes I just I love Johnny,

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you don't get me wrong, man, but sometimes I just

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can't understand what he's trying to tell me. And then

283
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Kelly comes up with all these you know, I don't know.

284
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You guys need to send me like a chart. This

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means that, Okay.

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Speaker 2: Well, chat, this is the only time I'm going to

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give you permission to put that word in the chat.

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Everyone tell Ross what FML stands.

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Speaker 1: For in the chat.

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Speaker 4: I thought I men. Family.

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Speaker 2: I don't know, No, it's it does not. The first

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word is not family. But Ross, how are you today?

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Speaker 1: My friends?

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Speaker 4: It's always I'm old man, but I'm happy. You know,

295
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I'm very have you guys always remind me of how

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old I am, and I'll behind the times I am.

297
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Speaker 1: We're gonna have Ralph make you a chart for some

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of these.

299
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Speaker 2: Yeah, all right, well, Ross, we're gonna talk some Tigers

300
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and Yankees. We're gonna talk Kansas State Arizona, and then

301
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we're gonna do this line makes no sense, but I

302
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want to start with college football, Kansas State versus Arizona.

303
00:15:47,120 --> 00:15:48,559
Speaker 1: Kansas State broke my heart.

304
00:15:48,600 --> 00:15:51,759
Speaker 2: I had their team total over I think with like

305
00:15:52,519 --> 00:15:54,639
five minutes left in the fourth quarter. They had run

306
00:15:54,720 --> 00:15:58,600
four offensive plays in the second half. What is coming

307
00:15:58,639 --> 00:16:01,559
on with this Kansas State team? They were minus one

308
00:16:01,559 --> 00:16:04,559
and a half. The over under is fifty three. What's

309
00:16:04,559 --> 00:16:06,399
your breakdown on Kansas State and Arizona.

310
00:16:06,480 --> 00:16:10,080
Speaker 4: Yeah, if they're breaking your heart, just imagine how Kelly feels,

311
00:16:10,200 --> 00:16:12,720
you know. I mean he had talker off the bridge

312
00:16:12,720 --> 00:16:17,919
the other night. Anyway, Kansas State, according to odds Logic,

313
00:16:18,039 --> 00:16:22,840
they opened as a pick them and then they Arizona

314
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went to a one point favorite, and now Kansas State

315
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is a one and a half point favorite. So movement

316
00:16:29,159 --> 00:16:32,320
going both ways and a little bit of sharp money

317
00:16:32,320 --> 00:16:35,759
on each side. Look, this is a Kansas State team

318
00:16:35,759 --> 00:16:38,440
that you can make an argument they're the most disappointing

319
00:16:38,519 --> 00:16:41,600
team in the country thus far, even though we're only

320
00:16:41,639 --> 00:16:45,639
in the what mid September, they lost their season opener

321
00:16:45,720 --> 00:16:48,639
twenty four to twenty one against Iowa State and the

322
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game that was played in Dublin, and you know, you

323
00:16:52,200 --> 00:16:54,759
can make an excuse there because Iowa State's and nationally

324
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ranked team. But they went from being this big twelve

325
00:16:59,000 --> 00:17:03,759
preseason fIF to I don't know, are they even gonna

326
00:17:03,759 --> 00:17:05,640
make a bowl game this year? I mean, then they

327
00:17:05,680 --> 00:17:10,319
face North Dakota in Week two and they need a

328
00:17:10,359 --> 00:17:12,759
touchdown with less than a minute to go to beat

329
00:17:13,119 --> 00:17:16,880
North Dakota thirty eight thirty five and avoid an upset

330
00:17:17,000 --> 00:17:21,680
against an FCS team. Then last week I thought, well,

331
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maybe they'll wake up against Army, But you know what,

332
00:17:26,240 --> 00:17:28,480
I don't trust them and I'm glad I stayed away

333
00:17:28,480 --> 00:17:31,519
from the game because there's a seventeen point home favorite.

334
00:17:32,000 --> 00:17:35,200
They lost outright twenty four to twenty one to an

335
00:17:35,359 --> 00:17:40,359
Army team that, by the way, Andy, they lost to

336
00:17:40,640 --> 00:17:45,000
Tarlatan State the week before in her home opener. What's

337
00:17:45,039 --> 00:17:49,680
going on in Manhattan anyway? They were only they were

338
00:17:49,720 --> 00:17:51,680
held at two hundred and forty six yards of total

339
00:17:51,720 --> 00:17:56,240
offense last week. Yeah, I mean, when you talk about

340
00:17:56,279 --> 00:18:01,319
time of possession, Army dominates time of possession again mostly everybody,

341
00:18:01,319 --> 00:18:03,839
but you know, this is an Army team that was

342
00:18:04,160 --> 00:18:06,319
and I don't mean to go on and on about Army,

343
00:18:06,319 --> 00:18:10,880
but you know they lost a lot from last year. Arizona,

344
00:18:11,279 --> 00:18:14,359
on the other hand, after going four and eight last year,

345
00:18:14,680 --> 00:18:18,000
they opened the season with two wins in convincing manner.

346
00:18:18,400 --> 00:18:21,319
They beat OAII forty to six and Weber State forty

347
00:18:21,359 --> 00:18:24,480
eight to three. All Right, Okay, the level of competition

348
00:18:24,720 --> 00:18:29,240
wasn't there, but by the same token, they dominated both games.

349
00:18:29,920 --> 00:18:32,240
And this is a team that's going to be seeking

350
00:18:32,359 --> 00:18:36,480
their first three and oh start since twenty and fifteen

351
00:18:37,279 --> 00:18:40,519
and Rich Rodriguez was the head coach. That's how far

352
00:18:40,599 --> 00:18:43,839
it goes back. So they're going to be plenty motivated,

353
00:18:43,960 --> 00:18:46,759
especially when you add in the factor they're going to

354
00:18:46,799 --> 00:18:49,279
be out for revenge from a thirty one to seven

355
00:18:49,440 --> 00:18:54,720
road loss at Kansas State last year. And it's true revenge, okay,

356
00:18:54,759 --> 00:18:59,559
because you got seventeen returning starters and their number fifteen

357
00:18:59,640 --> 00:19:03,720
Nash by the way in returning production. Arizona, by the

358
00:19:03,720 --> 00:19:06,799
way in the first two games, not only dominating both

359
00:19:06,799 --> 00:19:11,680
of those less lesser than quality opponents, but they were

360
00:19:11,720 --> 00:19:15,799
plus seven turnover differential in those first two games and

361
00:19:15,920 --> 00:19:20,200
only allowed three point seven yards per play. I got

362
00:19:20,200 --> 00:19:23,640
a college you know. Rouff inspired me, Andy, so I

363
00:19:23,680 --> 00:19:25,960
had to look up a college football angle on this

364
00:19:26,039 --> 00:19:28,279
game real quickly while I was off air. Do you

365
00:19:28,400 --> 00:19:29,960
you want me to share it with the folks?

366
00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:34,960
Speaker 1: Ross? Please share this with the folks.

367
00:19:35,720 --> 00:19:38,440
Speaker 4: I'm glad you asked, Andy, you know, because I would

368
00:19:38,440 --> 00:19:41,759
have felt bad if I shared it without your permission. Anyway,

369
00:19:42,279 --> 00:19:46,359
college football home teams with a point spread of between

370
00:19:46,400 --> 00:19:49,920
plus three and minus three, like Arizona playing in game

371
00:19:50,000 --> 00:19:52,640
three the season, and they started the season two and zero,

372
00:19:53,200 --> 00:19:55,960
and they scored forty points or more in each of

373
00:19:56,000 --> 00:20:01,119
those two wins. And they have one twenty four or

374
00:20:01,200 --> 00:20:03,680
fewer of their last twenty eight at home. Why I

375
00:20:03,759 --> 00:20:07,279
mentioned that is because it tells me I'm back in

376
00:20:07,359 --> 00:20:11,039
a team that doesn't have a dominant home field, and

377
00:20:11,559 --> 00:20:15,200
it's almost a pick them game. And those teams in

378
00:20:15,200 --> 00:20:19,279
that situation fourteen and zero straight up since nineteen ninety eight.

379
00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:23,720
I say straight up, because look, they're the underdog in

380
00:20:23,759 --> 00:20:26,160
the game. If you win the game straight up, I think,

381
00:20:26,599 --> 00:20:28,759
correct me if I'm wrong. Andy. If you win straight

382
00:20:28,839 --> 00:20:31,279
up and you're backing the underdog, you're a winner. Right,

383
00:20:31,359 --> 00:20:36,000
So you know, brilliant deduction by me is always Arizona

384
00:20:36,279 --> 00:20:39,119
plus one and a half against Kansas State.

385
00:20:40,279 --> 00:20:42,680
Speaker 2: You're you're a fountain of knowledge.

386
00:20:42,880 --> 00:20:43,160
Speaker 1: Ross.

387
00:20:43,240 --> 00:20:45,680
Speaker 2: Yes, if you back the underdog on the money line, yes,

388
00:20:45,720 --> 00:20:47,440
you're doing very well for yourself.

389
00:20:47,480 --> 00:20:49,960
Speaker 4: I thought, I thought that was correct. I just want to.

390
00:20:50,000 --> 00:20:51,720
Speaker 1: Check it's very correct.

391
00:20:52,079 --> 00:20:54,640
Speaker 2: Let's talk Tigers and Yankees, and then I want to

392
00:20:54,680 --> 00:20:56,480
get to this line makes no sense. So we got

393
00:20:56,519 --> 00:21:00,000
flarity for Detroit. We're down for the Yankees. Pretty good

394
00:21:00,079 --> 00:21:05,119
matchup here. Detroit started, they went through that insane run.

395
00:21:05,759 --> 00:21:07,240
They were the best team in baseball.

396
00:21:07,559 --> 00:21:08,160
Speaker 1: They've dipped.

397
00:21:08,160 --> 00:21:11,400
Speaker 2: Now they're plus one forty in this matchup over Underson

398
00:21:11,480 --> 00:21:12,920
at eight and a half. To me, eight and a

399
00:21:12,960 --> 00:21:16,160
half is the most vanilla line in baseball. It's like

400
00:21:16,200 --> 00:21:18,279
the books don't really know what to do. They just

401
00:21:18,319 --> 00:21:20,720
put out eight and a half into the world and

402
00:21:20,880 --> 00:21:22,440
let the betters do what they want with it.

403
00:21:22,480 --> 00:21:24,359
Speaker 1: So what's your breakdown on this game.

404
00:21:25,480 --> 00:21:28,720
Speaker 4: Well, Clarity is last five starts a six point fifteen

405
00:21:28,759 --> 00:21:32,160
to e RA with one forty one whip. Not very good.

406
00:21:32,839 --> 00:21:36,799
And look, here's the thing. When Flerity starts games for

407
00:21:36,960 --> 00:21:40,319
the Detroit Tigers this year, they're eight and twenty. The

408
00:21:40,359 --> 00:21:44,920
rest of their games without Flerty seventy five and forty two,

409
00:21:45,079 --> 00:21:49,880
and Detroit also thirty five and twenty three and away

410
00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:53,799
games in which Flerity hasn't started, and two and ten

411
00:21:53,920 --> 00:21:56,960
with Flerity on the mount. So, if you want to

412
00:21:57,000 --> 00:22:01,960
identify a weak link in the Detroit rotation, again another

413
00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:06,519
brilliant deduction by me, the weak link is Clarity. Rodan.

414
00:22:06,799 --> 00:22:08,960
On the other hand, Carlos rod On, the left hander

415
00:22:09,000 --> 00:22:10,839
for the New York Yankees five and oh in his

416
00:22:11,000 --> 00:22:14,200
last five team starts with a two five ERA and

417
00:22:14,240 --> 00:22:17,480
an ninety eight whip and averaging over six innings pitch

418
00:22:17,519 --> 00:22:20,680
per start. So he's been in good form. He's been

419
00:22:20,799 --> 00:22:24,039
solid for most of the year. Andy, Uh, the Yankees

420
00:22:24,079 --> 00:22:26,519
are coming off that twelve to two loss last night.

421
00:22:27,000 --> 00:22:30,519
They're four and o in their last four following the loss,

422
00:22:30,599 --> 00:22:33,359
and eight and two in their last ten after losing

423
00:22:33,359 --> 00:22:37,440
their previous game. Conversely, the Detroit Tigers oh and five

424
00:22:37,480 --> 00:22:41,759
in their last five following a win in their previous game. Now,

425
00:22:42,279 --> 00:22:45,319
the thing with the Yankees here, I don't you'll never

426
00:22:45,400 --> 00:22:49,039
catch me laying one sixty five one seventy, which they're

427
00:22:49,079 --> 00:22:51,960
hovering around right now on the money line for the game.

428
00:22:53,640 --> 00:22:56,359
But you know the other thing is I would definitely

429
00:22:56,359 --> 00:23:00,400
not even consider them at one forty territory because their

430
00:23:00,480 --> 00:23:04,759
bullpen has been absolutely horrific of late. This has been

431
00:23:04,799 --> 00:23:09,119
an ongoing problem with the Yankees inconsistency from the relievers.

432
00:23:09,599 --> 00:23:13,440
Their last six games an eight forty four staff era

433
00:23:13,720 --> 00:23:17,440
a two to eleven whip and then includes allowing niner

434
00:23:17,680 --> 00:23:20,880
runs and three innings pitched last night. So I'm going

435
00:23:20,920 --> 00:23:24,119
to eliminate the Yankees out of a bullpen, out of

436
00:23:24,160 --> 00:23:28,200
the equation shortness game the five innings, and use the

437
00:23:28,319 --> 00:23:30,920
run line to get a better price, because even on

438
00:23:30,960 --> 00:23:33,279
the run on the money line in the first five

439
00:23:33,319 --> 00:23:36,039
you're laying a heavy number, and that tells me that

440
00:23:36,079 --> 00:23:39,039
they don't trust the Yankees bullpen either. So I'm going

441
00:23:39,119 --> 00:23:41,319
to go to New York Yankees here minus a half

442
00:23:41,319 --> 00:23:45,319
a run at odds of minus one fifteen over the

443
00:23:45,359 --> 00:23:48,480
Detroit Tigers as a first five inning wager.

444
00:23:49,920 --> 00:23:52,240
Speaker 2: Always love the first five innings. You don't have to

445
00:23:52,240 --> 00:23:54,119
deal with those messy bullpens.

446
00:23:54,240 --> 00:23:55,400
Speaker 1: So love that look.

447
00:23:56,200 --> 00:23:59,000
Speaker 2: And now my favorite segment that you do, even though

448
00:23:59,000 --> 00:24:02,160
you've only done one of them. But I can't wait.

449
00:24:02,680 --> 00:24:07,519
This line makes no sense. This is where you get

450
00:24:07,519 --> 00:24:10,960
a chance to look at every line, College, NFL, whatever

451
00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:14,160
you want, and you say, this line just doesn't make

452
00:24:14,319 --> 00:24:15,079
any sense.

453
00:24:15,160 --> 00:24:17,039
Speaker 1: So Ross walk us through this one.

454
00:24:18,079 --> 00:24:22,559
Speaker 4: Well, you're looking at South Carolina, the number eleven team

455
00:24:22,599 --> 00:24:25,200
in the country. They open up as a five and

456
00:24:25,240 --> 00:24:30,119
a half point favorite against unranked Vanderbilt in an SEC matchup.

457
00:24:30,279 --> 00:24:35,440
Vanderbilt much improved, but still not a heavyweight in the

458
00:24:35,519 --> 00:24:40,039
SEC up until this year. That may change, we don't know,

459
00:24:40,279 --> 00:24:43,599
but in any event, as of now, that line has

460
00:24:43,720 --> 00:24:45,920
moved a four and a half. So you got the

461
00:24:46,039 --> 00:24:49,559
number eleven team in the country. It's just a four

462
00:24:49,599 --> 00:24:54,400
and a half point home favorite against an unranked Vanderbilt

463
00:24:54,400 --> 00:24:58,599
team that got just one vote in the AP poll.

464
00:24:58,680 --> 00:25:02,279
This week one, so not even close to being a

465
00:25:02,359 --> 00:25:06,119
top twenty five team according to pollsters. But here's the thing, Andy,

466
00:25:06,640 --> 00:25:09,039
and I've shared this with clients over the years, and

467
00:25:09,119 --> 00:25:10,799
I don't know if I've ever brought it up to you.

468
00:25:10,839 --> 00:25:14,440
I probably have, so forgive me if I'm being redundant

469
00:25:14,440 --> 00:25:17,319
when it comes to saying this to you. But you know,

470
00:25:17,920 --> 00:25:21,079
the more you think like an odds maker, the better

471
00:25:21,240 --> 00:25:24,079
off you're going to be. And when I say that,

472
00:25:24,119 --> 00:25:26,759
a lot of you like to talk about, you know,

473
00:25:27,279 --> 00:25:30,759
scams and fixes and all this kind of stuff. Well,

474
00:25:31,839 --> 00:25:37,200
instead of taking that mindset, help yourself out by thinking

475
00:25:37,319 --> 00:25:39,799
like an odds maker, because once something looks too good

476
00:25:39,799 --> 00:25:44,079
to be true, more times than not it is. And

477
00:25:44,200 --> 00:25:48,279
you look at the South Carolina team last week thirty

478
00:25:48,279 --> 00:25:52,880
eight to ten win over South Carolina State. Impressive, right,

479
00:25:53,319 --> 00:25:58,680
Not so fast because they scored three touchdowns, one by

480
00:25:58,759 --> 00:26:02,920
point punt return, one by a black punt, and one

481
00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:05,839
by a fumbo return. They only had two hundred and

482
00:26:05,880 --> 00:26:09,319
fifty three yards of offense in that game against and

483
00:26:09,480 --> 00:26:13,200
the FCS team with this highly touted quarterback that they've

484
00:26:13,200 --> 00:26:18,519
been hyping all off season and leonardas Sellers and one

485
00:26:18,559 --> 00:26:21,279
common opponent for both of these teams this year, each

486
00:26:21,319 --> 00:26:27,160
played Virginia Tech South Carolina. They win by eleven on

487
00:26:27,240 --> 00:26:31,440
a neutral site. Vanderbilt goes to Virginia Tech last week

488
00:26:31,519 --> 00:26:36,200
and pummels them forty four to twenty and outgains them

489
00:26:36,319 --> 00:26:40,519
four ninety to two forty eight. When South Carolina played

490
00:26:40,599 --> 00:26:45,119
Virginia Tech, they were out gained by eleven yards. And look,

491
00:26:45,599 --> 00:26:49,240
going back to thinking like an odds maker, if South

492
00:26:49,319 --> 00:26:52,480
Carolina is only a four and a half point favorite

493
00:26:52,480 --> 00:26:56,920
at home number eleven South Carolina against unring Vanderbilt, that

494
00:26:57,079 --> 00:27:00,119
means the odds makers are telling me, were telling us

495
00:27:00,559 --> 00:27:02,880
the Vandy's either a one or one and a half

496
00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:06,119
point favorite in this smatchup if it was played in Nashville.

497
00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:09,880
So there you have it. That's the one to open

498
00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:10,920
my eyes this week.

499
00:27:12,079 --> 00:27:16,920
Speaker 2: Hmmm, you're onto something there, Ross that that that is

500
00:27:17,200 --> 00:27:18,799
very very fishy.

501
00:27:19,000 --> 00:27:21,359
Speaker 4: Yeah yeah, bad for a guy that didn't know what

502
00:27:21,519 --> 00:27:23,640
FM out means. You still live telling me what that

503
00:27:23,799 --> 00:27:25,519
means anyway.

504
00:27:25,359 --> 00:27:29,359
Speaker 1: Means family my life, family my life. That you're.

505
00:27:31,519 --> 00:27:38,720
Speaker 2: Chris, Chris your tabolical. The F stands for family always,

506
00:27:38,839 --> 00:27:41,480
Ross Ross, that's a great breakdown. That is a very

507
00:27:41,599 --> 00:27:45,519
very fishy, interesting line that does not make any sense.

508
00:27:45,839 --> 00:27:48,000
It's a great breakdown and I can't wait to hear

509
00:27:48,119 --> 00:27:49,480
what this segment.

510
00:27:49,599 --> 00:27:52,480
Speaker 4: Hopefully next week you're gonna you're gonna preface this segment

511
00:27:52,519 --> 00:27:55,599
by saying, we only did two of these segments and

512
00:27:55,640 --> 00:27:56,680
I still like them.

513
00:27:57,799 --> 00:27:58,920
Speaker 2: I love you.

514
00:27:59,039 --> 00:28:01,400
Speaker 4: Starting to sound like my wife, Andy, geez, you know

515
00:28:01,799 --> 00:28:04,440
yesterday I was the best thing since slight spread today

516
00:28:04,440 --> 00:28:07,079
because I didn't take out the garbage. She wants to

517
00:28:07,160 --> 00:28:07,480
leave me.

518
00:28:08,000 --> 00:28:12,160
Speaker 2: I don't know anyway, sounds like sounds like NFL Week

519
00:28:12,200 --> 00:28:16,400
one over reaction, Ross.

520
00:28:17,559 --> 00:28:19,960
Speaker 1: What do you have of her? Everyone at wager talk.

521
00:28:20,279 --> 00:28:22,799
Speaker 4: You know, I don't think I'm gonna use anything today.

522
00:28:22,960 --> 00:28:27,880
I'm still debating, but nothing jumps out off the board

523
00:28:27,960 --> 00:28:32,559
with Major League Baseball for me today. But you know, yesterday,

524
00:28:32,559 --> 00:28:35,839
coming off that four percent best bet winner on the

525
00:28:35,880 --> 00:28:39,279
New York or the Philadelphia Phillies minus won twenty five

526
00:28:39,359 --> 00:28:42,039
over the Mets, easy nine to three win. Major League

527
00:28:42,079 --> 00:28:46,039
Baseball continues to be number one Andy at wager talk

528
00:28:46,119 --> 00:28:48,279
dot com. And it's been that way for over two

529
00:28:48,319 --> 00:28:51,799
months now. And great special folks, two hundred and nine

530
00:28:51,839 --> 00:28:54,039
dollars will take you right through the World Series of

531
00:28:54,119 --> 00:28:57,799
Major League Baseball right now, so take advantage of the

532
00:28:57,839 --> 00:29:00,839
ID offer. And still six and five to start college

533
00:29:00,880 --> 00:29:04,839
football this year. Not real great, but still up four

534
00:29:04,960 --> 00:29:08,680
units and still number one in units earned in college

535
00:29:08,680 --> 00:29:12,680
football since it started the twenty twenty three college football season.

536
00:29:13,240 --> 00:29:16,279
So a lot of consistency there in terms of winning

537
00:29:16,720 --> 00:29:19,680
in college football. I did hit my two to five

538
00:29:19,720 --> 00:29:23,680
percent best bets the first two weeks LSU as an

539
00:29:23,759 --> 00:29:30,079
underdog outright over Clemson. Also last week Oklahoma minus five

540
00:29:30,519 --> 00:29:34,640
over the Michigan Wolverines. So stay tuned because I'm going

541
00:29:34,680 --> 00:29:37,279
to have another five percent best bet on Saturday in

542
00:29:37,359 --> 00:29:40,359
college football as well, so take advantage of that. And

543
00:29:40,400 --> 00:29:44,279
by the way, since May thirteenth, all Sports Premium picks

544
00:29:44,480 --> 00:29:46,680
up ninety six units.

545
00:29:47,000 --> 00:29:51,160
Speaker 2: Not bad, Andy, not bad at all, Ross, Thank you

546
00:29:51,279 --> 00:29:53,680
very much, and don't forget to take out that garbage

547
00:29:53,759 --> 00:29:54,319
all right.

548
00:29:54,799 --> 00:29:57,240
Speaker 4: Thanks always with pleasure, Andy, Thank you.

549
00:29:58,880 --> 00:30:02,640
Speaker 2: Thank you very much much, Ross, Benjamin, great segment.

550
00:30:02,720 --> 00:30:03,440
Speaker 1: As always.

551
00:30:03,519 --> 00:30:06,599
Speaker 2: Let's do some free plays here with all around the world.

552
00:30:06,640 --> 00:30:09,039
Speaker 1: By the way, you.

553
00:30:09,079 --> 00:30:13,599
Speaker 2: All have mentioned it, Norway, the Norway free play yesterday

554
00:30:14,359 --> 00:30:17,400
Dolan cashed a big one on that one. We talked

555
00:30:17,440 --> 00:30:20,000
about how Norway was gonna play well and they won

556
00:30:20,039 --> 00:30:23,359
the game eleven to one in a soccer game.

557
00:30:23,759 --> 00:30:24,640
Speaker 1: That's insane.

558
00:30:25,480 --> 00:30:27,279
Speaker 2: So shout out to Norway and shout out to everyone

559
00:30:27,359 --> 00:30:28,440
that brought that up in the chat.

560
00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:30,960
Speaker 1: Big big winner. So all right, let's do some free

561
00:30:30,960 --> 00:30:31,319
plays here.

562
00:30:31,319 --> 00:30:33,400
Speaker 2: We're gonna go to the Broncos at the Colts, we're

563
00:30:33,400 --> 00:30:36,680
gonna go bow Nicks over seventeen and a half fresh yards.

564
00:30:36,720 --> 00:30:39,039
He had twenty three yards rushing last week. That's now

565
00:30:39,079 --> 00:30:42,039
seven games in a row going back to last season

566
00:30:42,160 --> 00:30:47,200
that he's gone over this. Even even against Tua, Colts

567
00:30:47,240 --> 00:30:49,640
gave up one rush for seven yards, So don't be

568
00:30:49,680 --> 00:30:52,440
surprised if bon neext makes this eight games in a row.

569
00:30:52,640 --> 00:30:54,480
We're gonna go to the Twins at the Angels. We're

570
00:30:54,480 --> 00:30:57,880
gonna take the Twins on the moneyline. Bradley for Minnesota

571
00:30:57,920 --> 00:31:01,039
has been pretty good and Soriana for the Angels control

572
00:31:01,079 --> 00:31:03,480
issues recently. He walked five batters and gave up eight

573
00:31:03,519 --> 00:31:08,839
earned runs the last two innings. Let's do the dream

574
00:31:08,880 --> 00:31:10,599
at the Sun and we're gonna do a player prop

575
00:31:10,640 --> 00:31:13,519
on this with Alicia Gray over fourteen and a half points.

576
00:31:13,599 --> 00:31:17,240
She's gone over this in seven straight games over in

577
00:31:17,359 --> 00:31:19,960
five out of the last seven games she's played against

578
00:31:19,960 --> 00:31:23,400
the Sun. This didn't make the client list because she's

579
00:31:23,440 --> 00:31:25,240
gone over this fourteen and a half, but a couple

580
00:31:25,279 --> 00:31:27,880
of those games have landed on fifteen, so just over

581
00:31:27,920 --> 00:31:30,599
by a half. But I can't ignore this seven straight games.

582
00:31:30,599 --> 00:31:33,440
So looking at boonicks to get over those rushing total twins.

583
00:31:33,480 --> 00:31:35,279
On the money line, you're getting good plus money on that.

584
00:31:35,640 --> 00:31:38,519
We're going to dream at the sky. Alicia Gray over

585
00:31:38,720 --> 00:31:40,680
fourteen and a half points.

586
00:31:40,799 --> 00:31:44,599
Speaker 1: So all right, my big launch.

587
00:31:44,359 --> 00:31:48,000
Speaker 2: Day, Johnny Detroit said, go ahead and talk about your product.

588
00:31:48,440 --> 00:31:48,720
Speaker 1: Guys.

589
00:31:48,759 --> 00:31:51,200
Speaker 2: This has been two years in the making for me.

590
00:31:51,359 --> 00:31:55,400
I have literally drained my sports betting accounts, my savings accounts,

591
00:31:55,880 --> 00:31:58,400
and this is my new business. This is the product

592
00:31:58,519 --> 00:32:00,960
I am releasing. A lot of you have reached out

593
00:32:01,200 --> 00:32:03,480
to support and I really really appreciate it. So here's

594
00:32:03,480 --> 00:32:06,160
the story. I was diagnosed with diabetes a few years ago.

595
00:32:06,559 --> 00:32:09,079
The only symptom that I had was very very dry

596
00:32:09,160 --> 00:32:10,839
skin on my hands, on my feet. This is a

597
00:32:10,880 --> 00:32:13,759
big problem with people with diabetics. I went down a

598
00:32:13,839 --> 00:32:16,960
rabbit hole found out thirty eight million people in this

599
00:32:17,039 --> 00:32:20,160
country have diabetes. One in three have bad skin problems.

600
00:32:20,240 --> 00:32:23,359
Kelly and Vegas and I share this passion. Lotions have

601
00:32:23,519 --> 00:32:26,200
so many dangerous chemicals in them it would make your

602
00:32:26,279 --> 00:32:29,759
head spin. So I set out my mission was to

603
00:32:29,839 --> 00:32:33,200
create the best skincare product on the market for people diabetes.

604
00:32:33,480 --> 00:32:35,279
One of my favorite things about this product is this

605
00:32:35,359 --> 00:32:37,759
thing is made one hundred percent in the United States

606
00:32:37,759 --> 00:32:40,799
of America. All the money stays right here. This is

607
00:32:40,839 --> 00:32:44,200
made in Arizona and out in California. This is a

608
00:32:44,319 --> 00:32:48,799
balm that's made with beeswax, and that is the key ingredient.

609
00:32:48,880 --> 00:32:50,799
It puts a layer on the skin, It pushes the

610
00:32:50,839 --> 00:32:55,240
nourishments deep into the skin. And it has completely changed

611
00:32:55,319 --> 00:32:58,160
my life and it's completely changed the health of my skin.

612
00:32:58,319 --> 00:33:02,400
If you have diabetes, your parents have diabetes, your spouse,

613
00:33:02,480 --> 00:33:05,680
your children, anyone that has diabetes, I promise you this

614
00:33:05,720 --> 00:33:08,920
will improve the health of your skin. How confident am

615
00:33:09,000 --> 00:33:11,240
I because I'm all in on this with my money

616
00:33:11,279 --> 00:33:14,039
and my time. If you get this product, if you

617
00:33:14,079 --> 00:33:16,240
want to support me, I really really appreciate it. I

618
00:33:16,279 --> 00:33:19,160
desperately need feedback. Tell me if it's working, tell me

619
00:33:19,160 --> 00:33:21,559
if we need to make some improvements. Right there is

620
00:33:21,599 --> 00:33:24,519
my Amazon listing that just went live a few hours ago.

621
00:33:24,599 --> 00:33:27,880
So you can search a one C skincare on Amazon,

622
00:33:28,400 --> 00:33:30,359
send me an email, send me a tweet, send me

623
00:33:30,400 --> 00:33:34,359
a DM before and after pictures, anything. Amazon reviews are

624
00:33:34,400 --> 00:33:39,160
really important. It's the lifeline to this business being successful.

625
00:33:39,240 --> 00:33:41,559
If you can help me with this launch, I will

626
00:33:41,599 --> 00:33:45,720
be forever grateful. I am a very very passionate person

627
00:33:45,839 --> 00:33:48,880
about this product, and thank you to Waga TAF for

628
00:33:48,960 --> 00:33:52,599
giving me the support. Kelly has taken this product, given

629
00:33:52,599 --> 00:33:54,920
it to her dad, told me it's really really helped

630
00:33:54,920 --> 00:33:57,400
her dad, and I've sent samples out to a bunch

631
00:33:57,400 --> 00:34:00,440
of people in the feedback is really really amazing. I'm

632
00:34:00,480 --> 00:34:02,720
getting a little little choked up just because I know

633
00:34:02,759 --> 00:34:05,200
how hard I've worked and how many resources went into this.

634
00:34:05,240 --> 00:34:08,079
So I am super super excited. That is my pitch,

635
00:34:08,159 --> 00:34:11,079
that is my spiel. This product is called a one

636
00:34:11,199 --> 00:34:14,440
C skincare. It is the best skincare product on the

637
00:34:14,440 --> 00:34:17,000
market for people with diabetes. So thank you so much

638
00:34:17,039 --> 00:34:20,119
for indulging me in this. Any questions about it, please

639
00:34:20,119 --> 00:34:22,559
reach out to me. I will be working non stop

640
00:34:22,599 --> 00:34:24,320
on this basically for the rest of my life.

641
00:34:24,400 --> 00:34:27,159
Speaker 1: So all right, guys, that's going to do it for us.

642
00:34:27,239 --> 00:34:28,039
Hit the like button.

643
00:34:28,239 --> 00:34:33,079
Speaker 2: Much appreciated to all your all. Thank you, Craig, thank you,

644
00:34:33,159 --> 00:34:36,360
says congratulation. Is that vastly No, it's not macline. This

645
00:34:36,480 --> 00:34:40,159
is a thick balm. Come on, RJ now fast a lean?

646
00:34:41,000 --> 00:34:43,119
Is it a good loop? No? Get your mind out

647
00:34:43,119 --> 00:34:46,480
of the gutter. What is wrong with you, guys?

648
00:34:48,800 --> 00:34:49,159
Speaker 1: Fortune?

649
00:34:49,199 --> 00:34:52,199
Speaker 2: Does it work with all skin types? Yes, of course

650
00:34:52,239 --> 00:34:54,000
it works with all skin types. Even if you don't

651
00:34:54,000 --> 00:34:57,719
have diabetes, this works for you. It's great. I promise

652
00:34:57,800 --> 00:35:01,039
you that if your skin is dry, itchy, read this

653
00:35:01,079 --> 00:35:03,280
will help. It is the best product on the market.

654
00:35:03,639 --> 00:35:07,360
I am so passionate about it. So yes, it's on

655
00:35:07,519 --> 00:35:11,039
Amazon A one se skin care. Yes, Colin, thank you,

656
00:35:11,679 --> 00:35:14,679
good luck. I will need it, but much appreciate it.

657
00:35:14,719 --> 00:35:14,880
Speaker 3: Guys.

658
00:35:14,920 --> 00:35:16,960
Speaker 2: We're gonna do this again tomorrow. We're gonna get everyone

659
00:35:17,000 --> 00:35:21,719
ready for the weekend for Thursday night football, MLB, college football, NFL,

660
00:35:21,880 --> 00:35:24,440
all of that. So thank you very much, good luck

661
00:35:24,480 --> 00:35:26,039
on all your bets. We'll see everyone tomorrow.

662
00:35:26,159 --> 00:35:26,559
Speaker 1: Take care,