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Speaker 1: All right, guys, welcome in. It is Thursday. It's time

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for Total Basis. We're back with the full three you know,

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the three man panel for the first time since Monday.

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And I caught some of your guys show yesterday, which

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I thought was excellent. I was on my way out

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to I'm not even gonna ask. I mean, I told

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you guys, I was going to an eerie Sea Wolf's game.

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So I'm assuming you know that the cap is from

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the game, as you see the Sea Wolf right there.

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But I jumped in the comments and I see, you know,

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every once in a while, it's all good, but there's

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always someone that's like, you know, I wish you guys

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just went in order and you guys jump around a lot.

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Here's the thing, Unfortunately, on this show, we show up

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to do this for the live We do it for everyone,

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but the live viewers we play off of, right, Like,

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that's the thing We're always going to get to the

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games the live viewers ask for. However, today is one

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of those unique days all the ocd ers in the

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chat unite because we are going in order and we

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are getting every single game on the board today, a

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rare Total Basis where we will hit every game and

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we will go in order, right down, right down the list.

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Speaker 2: So let's get it started.

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Speaker 1: Brian Leonard, Your Cleveland Guardians the only day game today

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and they're taking on the Baltimore Orioles. Lower scoring game

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than we all kind of thought yesterday, and Cleveland eeked

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out the win three to two.

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Speaker 2: To be hard to believe.

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Speaker 1: It's low scoring with these two characters on the mound today.

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But what do you how you see in this one

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Orioles Guardians?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Orioles cost me yesterday. Is it just me? Or

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is the team not playing with emotion? It just looks

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like they're never excited in the game and just waiting

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for the season to end, and they're playing like it.

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I'm telling you. Charlie Martin going today for the Orioles

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five point five adra four point three five expected, so

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he's got some positive regression coming his way. One point

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five six whip is kind of ridiculous for over eighty

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eight innings. If you take a look at his walk

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rate this year, it's a ten percent and he's had

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problems the last few years. Nine point three eleven point six,

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eight point seven. So that's something that we can grow

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to expect out of him. Is in his careers at

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eight point seven, but as he gets older, he started

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to lose that control a little bit. And the thing

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is his strekout rate has been dropping. It was twenty

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three point eight last year, twenty two point five now,

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so he's got a twelve point five strikeout minus walk

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ratio and his fort saamer he throws thirty percent of

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the time, it's at ninety four point one, which is

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basically about average. If you take a look at the

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lefties compared to right he's lefties is about ninety three

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point one. Ready is about forty nine or not, shooting

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ninety four point nine, which is why when you find

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a left handed pitcher, it throws with really good velocity

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like ms Ross some others. It's tough for specially lefties

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to make the adjustments against him a lefty and lefty situation,

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so they have a lot of success in that regard,

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much more pitchers and baseball or right handers, and they

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throw a little bit harder. So that's where you can

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basically come out and look for lefties to throw fastballs

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ninety ninety four or higher. And I think that's a

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good subset if you were just to look at something

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without handicapping, I think you'd have a lot of success

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doing that overall. But Morton started the season lousey, and

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he's been better as of late. So we'll see how

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it goes here. Logan Allen comes in four point zero

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sixty IRA four point four to one, expected one point

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three to eight, whip part hit rate excellent, eighty seven percent,

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average exit velocity eighty second. But I do have concerns

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he's still lefty. I just said league average is ninety

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three point one, his four receiver is only ninety point nine,

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and that's his most popular pitch. He's got five pitches,

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but he throws that thirty one percent of the time,

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which is why he gets hit pretty hard sometimes. Chase

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r eight nine percentile for eight thirteenth, strike out twenty first.

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So we've got two guys here that can really struggle

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in this game. But it is a day game, and

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it is it's a situation where you've got Cleveland going

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for the sweep, and usually on the day games we

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see more unders because everybody wants to get out there early.

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If you watch Major League Baseball yesterday, you can definitely

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see it out of these umpires that they're just doing

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a terrible jim. I can't wait for the computer to

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take over. If they push it back one more year,

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I'm going to lose a lot of my fandom for

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Major League Baseball. This game, Alan, a lefty, is about

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a one ten favorite over Morton. They're ready total of nine.

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Like to pay both these teams of both these pictures,

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but with it being a being a last game of

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the series, I'll probably pass.

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Speaker 4: Let me address a couple of the comments. First. Who

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is that Adam? Come on Ham, I'm on Hanwah as well,

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and I'm watching the game right in front of me

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and the KBO. Stacey asked me about my bullpen rankings.

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If you go to my page at wagertalk dot com,

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I have all my picture projections and rankings downloadable for

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free right now, So go check that out. Adam and

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Brian and myself, I have a playout in Major League

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Baseball already.

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Speaker 2: Take a minute and visit our sites.

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Speaker 4: Takes you a couple seconds, and we always have free

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plays up. Regarding this game, Logan Allen and Charlie Morton,

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I have, I mean my numbers love the Guardians in

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this game. But it's not so much loving the Guardians,

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it's so much hating the Orioles. And the Orioles in

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current form, their bullpen is ringing dead last and their

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lineup is ranked twenty six out of thirty. And then

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on top of that, to add insult to injury, Charlie

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Morton on the road he has a six to eight

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thirty seven innings. That's not he does have decent numbers

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against this team in his career, where Logan Allen has

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horrible numbers against the Orioles in his career. Small sample size,

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but all said and done, you have to either play

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an Over or the Guardians. In my opinion, I don't

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really have a lot of faith in Logan Allen, but

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the price is not high at all to take the

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Guardians here. The Baltimore Orioles are just playing like garbage

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right now in my opinion. I mean, I don't see

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how anyone could back that team right now. I just

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don't see it.

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Speaker 1: I wholeheartedly agree with two something you both each said

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one TV.

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Speaker 2: I'm totally with you.

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Speaker 1: It's it's it's less about I don't really love this

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Guardians team, but I would love to play against the

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oriol here, and it just it's it's the problem, and

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I'll explain what my problem with is with that in

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just a second. Brian, great point. The Orioles. They look

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they just look checked out. They everything about them looks

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checked out. And then you have a scenario where, you know,

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if I play the Guardians, I have to back Logan Allen,

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who I don't particularly like. If I play the Orioles,

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I have to back a team on the road that

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is nearly dead last in w RC plus against left

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handed pitching on the road this season, the Orioles have

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been horrendous against lefties, and they've been poor on the road.

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When you combine those two things, and now they're on

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the road against the left handed pitcher, even one in

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Logan Allen that I maybe don't love a ton that's

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a problem. So you know, this would have been a

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scenario where if I looked at the Orioles and they

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had a picture I could stomach, you know, like that

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would have maybe because you know, we kind of talked, Brian,

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I agreed with you yesterday. I thought yesterday was the

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spot for the Orioles. They ended up losing that game,

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so I was like, Okay, well, can I come back

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with them here? Well, there's a zero chance I'm playing

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Charlie Morton tell you that. So for me, it has

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to be Guardians are pass and I'll kind of echo

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the sentiments of some of the chat here, who is basically,

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you know, pointing out what we're kind of pointing out.

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The Guardians have played better, So you know, maybe I

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have to step back and say, Okay, you know, maybe,

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like I was very very down on this team for

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a couple of months, I felt like I was right

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about that. But I think we have to acknowledge that

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they have played better in recent weeks.

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Speaker 2: Going into the.

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Speaker 1: Break, they had that nice series against the Astros, and

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now they've won the first three games of this series.

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So it's probably going to be difficult for me to

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find a way in to this game unless I just say,

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you know, what the hell with it. Let's ride the

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hot team, the team that's now won eleven of their

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last thirteen games, and take the Guardians in a scenario

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that's not only favorable to them, but it's a terrible

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spot for an Orioles team that hasn't played well on

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the road and has not hit left handed pitching. So

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I kind of have to agree with the chat, and

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I guess I agree with you guys. Guardian Guardians are

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passed for me right here. Can't see any other way

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I could could possibly play this one, all right. Someone

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in the chat said, you know the Tigers, man. I

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was so yesterday I'm driving to Eerie and Mike quote,

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so I hit my KBO play in the morning and

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my whole sort of plan. The one game I really

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did like yesterday, full disclosure, was the Tigers. And you

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know this is where Brian and I talk about price

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point and stuff. I was like, well, I'm gonna, you know,

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we'll see, i got a three and a half hour drive.

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I'm just gonna kind of check the market and see

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if this comes into range, if it's a playable number,

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if it comes in a range. And then it actually

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went further in the other direction, so it kind of

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kind of priced me out because I wanted under minus

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one forty.

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Speaker 2: It took a little money. I think. I don't know

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where that ended up going off.

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Speaker 1: But it made my day easy yesterday because as soon

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as I saw they were down six nothing, five nothing,

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I kind of went like, you know what, let's take

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the KBO winner and just move on and we'll move

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on to Thursday, because the game I really liked yesterday

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got blown up very quickly and it was very much

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the wrong side. So we'll go to that game here.

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The chat comment is a good one. He's talking about

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Carrie Bonds carry Carpenter. He said, Man, they need him

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back to really get things going. Well, that's happening soon

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because he's in. He's been in the lineup at Toledo,

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which means he's around the corner from coming back Chad

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to Cards and this team just does not seem to

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hit without Carpenter.

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Speaker 2: He needs to set the tempo.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, if you go back to the beginning of the season,

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Brian Leonard, we looked at this Tiger's lineup, and I

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think the consensus was outside of Carpenter, Green and maybe

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by By. I don't even know if we considered bias

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in that group just yet, but it was whoever. They

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had two through four Carpenter, Green, and then there was

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one other guy, Torkelsen.

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Speaker 2: Maybe we were.

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Speaker 1: Basic like this lineup is not very good, and then

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they proved us all wrong, and now they're starting to

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look like the lineup we thought they were going to

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look like going into the season. So they've got a

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big challenge here. The Blue Jays are no joke. This

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is not the team that you really want to run

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into when you're not playing your best ball.

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Speaker 2: So how are you seeing this one? Blue Jays Tigers.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, even if Carpenter was back today, he wouldn't be

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playing because he's going up against the lefty and that

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really hurts him. When you've got your what I consider

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your best hitter on the team and he sits out,

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you know, twenty five to thirty five percent of the time.

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He's gotta they got to give him a chance to

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face lefties. He can't be I mean, his numbers have

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been bad in the past, but you can't have your

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probably your best hitter set out so many games. And

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that's the problem. They're having a Lauer being the lefty

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going against Detroit and Olsen, two guys that have been

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very good. And we're looking at Olson basically about a

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one twenty five favorite in a total of eight and

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a half here. And when I take a look at

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the WRC plus leader. But I've been using thirty days

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I started the season. Then I went to thirty days

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and it kept giving me reasons to play against Cleveland,

240
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and so I switched it to the last fourteen days

241
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and Cleveland's up there at number eight. They went away

242
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as opposed to one of the worst in baseball. We

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talked about this yesterday. The Angels were number one overall.

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Now it's then you've got a WRC plus of one

245
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thirty two, Seattle second at one twenty seven, Toronto one two,

246
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Detroit dead last, tied with the Boston Red Sox at

247
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sixty eight. So there's a huge recency bias for the

248
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offense here. For Toronto, Eric Lawers made some changes. He

249
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hadn't pitched in the major since twenty twenty three. He's

250
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come back this year and he's definitely made some changes.

251
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And some of the guys that I follow the breakdown

252
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pitchers say this is real and it looks real. Is

253
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the ra's two point eight zero He's expected the Ras

254
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three point zero six. His whip excellent zero point nine

255
00:13:15,080 --> 00:13:18,399
to seven. If you take a look at what he

256
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did in twenty twenty three is the last season where

257
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he pitched. He pitched some innings through almost a thousand

258
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pitches that that year. His strike up on his walker

259
00:13:28,679 --> 00:13:31,759
ratio was nine point zero right now, it's at twenty

260
00:13:32,039 --> 00:13:35,639
point four. He's so much better than he is now.

261
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If he didn't come into this season with the name

262
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of Eric Lauer, people would have been jumping all over

263
00:13:43,919 --> 00:13:45,679
this guy as if he's one of the best pitchers

264
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in baseball. He's been really good. He's been held back

265
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from his past in his career. He's gone seven seasons

266
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four point one six e ra A. He's a much

267
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better pitcher now than he than he has been all

268
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season long, and I think that going to continue results.

269
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And if you watched any of my breakdowns, this is

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a guy I really like. Two point seven one ERA

271
00:14:06,720 --> 00:14:08,799
expected three point sixty six. He's been a little bit

272
00:14:08,879 --> 00:14:12,240
lucky one point one to nine whip his strikeout to

273
00:14:12,279 --> 00:14:16,399
walk Ray Siow is fourteen point nine, a little bit

274
00:14:16,480 --> 00:14:20,159
less than what we want. His extensions bad in the

275
00:14:20,240 --> 00:14:23,759
ninth percentile, average exon velocity six percentile, hard hit rate

276
00:14:23,879 --> 00:14:28,679
sixteenth percentile. I like both these pitchers, but I don't

277
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trust this Detroit betting. The betting here for Detroit they

278
00:14:33,320 --> 00:14:36,759
have not played well, and you're getting the hotter team

279
00:14:37,240 --> 00:14:41,399
in Toronto at plus money, and that's the only way

280
00:14:41,399 --> 00:14:45,840
I would look here Toronto or nothing for me. And

281
00:14:46,080 --> 00:14:48,799
as much as I like Olson, I think Allower is

282
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for real. And I know this Toronto team right now

283
00:14:51,399 --> 00:14:55,159
is hitting so much better than Detroit Is. Detroit right

284
00:14:55,200 --> 00:14:58,360
now is just having a hard time getting back on track.

285
00:14:58,840 --> 00:15:00,519
And as you mentioned a lot of those guys that

286
00:15:00,559 --> 00:15:03,679
were French players coming into the season, a couple of

287
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made the All Star team, they're starting to fade. And

288
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as good as good as this Detroit is team is

289
00:15:11,480 --> 00:15:14,279
from number one all the way down to their last player,

290
00:15:15,320 --> 00:15:17,320
they need somebody to step up and they're not doing

291
00:15:17,360 --> 00:15:18,480
it offensively right now.

292
00:15:20,159 --> 00:15:22,360
Speaker 4: At first look at this game I would love to

293
00:15:22,360 --> 00:15:25,600
play the Blue Jays here. Got a couple of red

294
00:15:25,639 --> 00:15:30,639
flags when I break it down into detail, namely, well,

295
00:15:31,080 --> 00:15:33,480
first of all, the reason I like the Blue Jays

296
00:15:33,519 --> 00:15:36,000
off the bat is because they're hitting a lot better.

297
00:15:36,240 --> 00:15:40,080
The Tigers are ranked almost last, they last in Major

298
00:15:40,159 --> 00:15:43,879
League Baseball in recent form, and their bullpen is a

299
00:15:43,879 --> 00:15:47,759
little bit above average. But the Blue Jays bullpen is

300
00:15:48,039 --> 00:15:50,759
lights out right now. They're playing great. I have them

301
00:15:50,799 --> 00:15:53,440
ranked number one in all of MLB in recent form

302
00:15:54,000 --> 00:15:56,799
and the Blue Jays lineup is ranked eight in recent form.

303
00:15:57,080 --> 00:16:02,200
So those indicators much much, much higher than the Tigers.

304
00:16:02,200 --> 00:16:05,559
Olsen and lower got them ranked pretty close to each other.

305
00:16:05,559 --> 00:16:09,440
They're both top twelve, Olsen a little higher. And if

306
00:16:09,480 --> 00:16:11,679
you look at how Olson's performed against the Blue Jays

307
00:16:11,679 --> 00:16:14,519
in the past, really good. A two eight average against

308
00:16:14,519 --> 00:16:17,919
and a five seven one OPS. So wait, I'm sorry,

309
00:16:18,159 --> 00:16:21,120
it's even better than that. Uh you know, on a second,

310
00:16:21,240 --> 00:16:23,960
I had the wrong team there. Yeah, an eight three

311
00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:26,919
average against and a two thirty seven OPS and thirty

312
00:16:27,120 --> 00:16:29,559
thirty six at bats against. Not a big sample size,

313
00:16:29,600 --> 00:16:34,679
but he has performed well against them. Lower Lawer's not

314
00:16:34,720 --> 00:16:39,600
a bad pitcher on the road. Hmm. If you think

315
00:16:39,919 --> 00:16:42,879
Olsen can hold these bats down, maybe a first five

316
00:16:42,960 --> 00:16:46,200
under would be a play or go with the Blue Jays.

317
00:16:46,240 --> 00:16:49,320
Perhaps I'm still thinking about it, but those are the

318
00:16:49,320 --> 00:16:52,159
two directions I would go. I'm just a little scared

319
00:16:52,559 --> 00:16:57,279
to play the Blue Jays considering how good Olsen is

320
00:16:57,320 --> 00:16:59,919
pitched against him in his passed But the sample size

321
00:16:59,919 --> 00:17:02,200
is small, so maybe I can overlook it. I'll break

322
00:17:02,200 --> 00:17:03,799
it down a little further, but those would be the

323
00:17:03,799 --> 00:17:04,920
two directions I would go.

324
00:17:07,079 --> 00:17:10,599
Speaker 1: So what I've noticed watching Korean baseball for now as

325
00:17:10,640 --> 00:17:13,559
long as I have and just agent baseball in general.

326
00:17:15,200 --> 00:17:18,799
The players that go over it feels like the position

327
00:17:18,880 --> 00:17:21,839
players and the hitters that go over there go over

328
00:17:21,960 --> 00:17:24,559
to get one final payday before they're maybe out of.

329
00:17:24,519 --> 00:17:27,960
Speaker 2: The game, whereas the pitchers that go over there.

330
00:17:28,000 --> 00:17:31,200
Speaker 1: And I think this really started with Chris Flexen in

331
00:17:31,279 --> 00:17:33,960
twenty twenty when he got a lot of attention because

332
00:17:34,119 --> 00:17:36,119
the rest of the world was watching Korean baseball. There

333
00:17:36,200 --> 00:17:38,519
was nothing going on. He got a lot of attention

334
00:17:38,599 --> 00:17:41,079
over there, and then he came back and remade his career.

335
00:17:41,480 --> 00:17:43,960
I think for pitchers, a lot of them are going

336
00:17:44,000 --> 00:17:48,359
over to get the experience and the reps that that

337
00:17:48,440 --> 00:17:51,480
they're not really able to get in this country.

338
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Speaker 2: At like the highest level.

339
00:17:52,799 --> 00:17:55,039
Speaker 1: So what I mean by that is, yes, you can

340
00:17:55,039 --> 00:17:57,440
hang around in Triple A, and you can hang around

341
00:17:57,440 --> 00:17:59,400
in the minors, or you can get to a big

342
00:17:59,480 --> 00:18:02,400
league team. You're pitching out of the bullpen, but there's

343
00:18:02,400 --> 00:18:05,519
no guarantee you're gonna throw every fifth day. And even

344
00:18:05,519 --> 00:18:07,400
in the minors, even if you're a starter, a lot

345
00:18:07,400 --> 00:18:10,480
of times it's still developmental. They got to get everyone innings.

346
00:18:10,480 --> 00:18:12,920
They may not let you pitch into the sixth or

347
00:18:12,960 --> 00:18:15,880
the seventh like they would. Let's say Korea, where a

348
00:18:15,960 --> 00:18:18,960
guy like Eric Lauer can go over there. He knows

349
00:18:18,960 --> 00:18:21,440
he's gonna pitch every fifth day, and he knows he's

350
00:18:21,480 --> 00:18:23,279
the he's gonna be one of the guys, like he's

351
00:18:23,279 --> 00:18:25,960
gonna throw one hundred to one hundred and ten pitches.

352
00:18:26,079 --> 00:18:27,799
And then not only does he get to do that,

353
00:18:28,119 --> 00:18:31,759
but he gets different perspective on pitching the Asian and

354
00:18:31,839 --> 00:18:35,160
TV can speak to this for days. How the Asian

355
00:18:35,559 --> 00:18:38,359
philosophy on pitching is a little bit different. It's it's

356
00:18:38,400 --> 00:18:42,960
a lot more concentrated on on pitch mix and.

357
00:18:43,039 --> 00:18:43,799
Speaker 2: Getting guys out.

358
00:18:44,000 --> 00:18:46,119
Speaker 1: Getting guys out because Asian hitters are just up there

359
00:18:46,160 --> 00:18:48,480
slaping a lot of times. So you really have to

360
00:18:48,559 --> 00:18:51,119
kind of reinvent yourself as a pitcher. So now we

361
00:18:51,240 --> 00:18:56,680
have documented like PROGA, we have five years of documented

362
00:18:56,759 --> 00:19:00,319
like guy goes over, remakes himself as a pitcher, guy

363
00:19:00,400 --> 00:19:03,160
comes back and now he's suddenly not the guy that

364
00:19:03,240 --> 00:19:04,720
the league remembered him to be.

365
00:19:05,119 --> 00:19:06,000
Speaker 2: Now, yeah, I get it.

366
00:19:06,079 --> 00:19:07,839
Speaker 1: Eric Fetti has had a tough go of late, but

367
00:19:08,039 --> 00:19:10,640
look at Eric Fetty when he came back.

368
00:19:10,680 --> 00:19:13,359
Speaker 2: The year after he went to Korea, he was awesome.

369
00:19:13,640 --> 00:19:14,359
Chris Flexen.

370
00:19:14,359 --> 00:19:16,960
Speaker 1: The two years after he came back from Korea, he

371
00:19:17,039 --> 00:19:19,799
had like a sub for Era for the Mariners. Now, guys,

372
00:19:19,799 --> 00:19:21,640
they're gonna catch up with you at some point. But

373
00:19:21,720 --> 00:19:26,039
I'm talking about coming back and having immediate success. Because

374
00:19:26,119 --> 00:19:29,160
of what Brian has said, the league still is still

375
00:19:29,200 --> 00:19:32,640
attacking Eric Lauer like he's Brewers Eric Lauer right, Like

376
00:19:32,680 --> 00:19:35,799
he's Eric Lauer from the brew Oh, the best example

377
00:19:35,839 --> 00:19:38,119
of it. I can't believe I forgot Ben Lively just

378
00:19:38,119 --> 00:19:40,279
because he's been out. He might be the best example

379
00:19:40,319 --> 00:19:43,599
of all. Comes back and he's they That's what Lawer

380
00:19:43,680 --> 00:19:46,119
has done. He went over there, was able to tweak

381
00:19:46,119 --> 00:19:48,920
his pitch mix, but also probably has a new philosophy

382
00:19:48,960 --> 00:19:51,799
on like how he's going to attack hitters.

383
00:19:51,559 --> 00:19:52,880
Speaker 2: And the league just is not.

384
00:19:53,680 --> 00:19:55,720
Speaker 1: I don't think the league is looking at what he

385
00:19:55,759 --> 00:19:57,880
was doing in Korea. I really think the league is

386
00:19:57,920 --> 00:20:00,440
probably more basing it. Like, Okay, he was on the

387
00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:02,640
Brewers in twenty twenty three. This is the type of

388
00:20:02,680 --> 00:20:05,759
pitcher he is. It took major It took Major League

389
00:20:05,759 --> 00:20:08,519
Baseball an entire year to figure out Eric Fetti was

390
00:20:08,559 --> 00:20:09,279
throwing a sweeper.

391
00:20:10,279 --> 00:20:11,119
Speaker 2: That's baffling.

392
00:20:11,119 --> 00:20:13,240
Speaker 1: To me because we watch it every every fifth day

393
00:20:13,599 --> 00:20:16,119
with the Korean Baseball branded But it took the league

394
00:20:16,319 --> 00:20:18,759
literally an entire year to figure out, Okay, Fetti's gonna

395
00:20:18,759 --> 00:20:19,400
throw the sleeper.

396
00:20:19,599 --> 00:20:21,400
Speaker 2: Now they figured it out. Now they're hitting him.

397
00:20:21,599 --> 00:20:23,400
Speaker 1: So right now we're in the sweet spot for Eric

398
00:20:23,440 --> 00:20:26,519
Lower where he was in Korea last year. He's back

399
00:20:27,079 --> 00:20:30,039
and he's just doing things differently than he did in

400
00:20:30,039 --> 00:20:33,519
the past. His command is better. Why is his command better? Well,

401
00:20:33,640 --> 00:20:35,279
he got to go out and pitch every fifth day

402
00:20:35,279 --> 00:20:37,519
in Korea, throw one hundred pitches and pitching the biggest

403
00:20:37,559 --> 00:20:39,319
games for Kia last year.

404
00:20:40,519 --> 00:20:43,000
Speaker 2: That matters too, Right, You're now at the big league level.

405
00:20:43,039 --> 00:20:45,079
Speaker 1: You're not really worried after you go to Korea and

406
00:20:45,119 --> 00:20:48,279
you're pitching in front of those crowds, sellouts every single game,

407
00:20:48,559 --> 00:20:51,240
huge spots. I mean they might not those games might

408
00:20:51,279 --> 00:20:52,920
not mean as much here in the States. They mean

409
00:20:53,000 --> 00:20:56,799
everything to them. You are a much more mature pitcher,

410
00:20:56,920 --> 00:20:59,400
and so I think that's what we're seeing out of Lower,

411
00:20:59,480 --> 00:21:02,119
and I think that can explain why he's done what

412
00:21:02,200 --> 00:21:05,599
he's done. It also, in my opinion, leads me to

413
00:21:05,640 --> 00:21:08,279
believe that it's not fake like He's not just gonna

414
00:21:08,279 --> 00:21:10,839
go get blown up the second half. I think he is,

415
00:21:11,039 --> 00:21:13,480
like what you've seen from him at this point is

416
00:21:13,599 --> 00:21:16,200
now what he is. The rest of the league will

417
00:21:16,240 --> 00:21:17,880
have to adjust and figure out how to hit him,

418
00:21:17,920 --> 00:21:18,960
will they at some point?

419
00:21:19,000 --> 00:21:20,519
Speaker 2: Probably is it going to be this game?

420
00:21:20,599 --> 00:21:24,000
Speaker 1: Probably not, because he's still in that like sweet spot

421
00:21:24,000 --> 00:21:26,559
where he's been a starter for a couple months. He's back,

422
00:21:26,960 --> 00:21:31,640
he's rolling along, so lower's been fantastic. I think that's why.

423
00:21:31,839 --> 00:21:34,279
And again, I just don't think the league is going

424
00:21:34,359 --> 00:21:36,480
to figure that out overnight. So I think you're going

425
00:21:36,559 --> 00:21:40,079
to continue to see Eric Lawer have success. I would

426
00:21:40,119 --> 00:21:42,160
have loved for this to be a spot where I

427
00:21:42,160 --> 00:21:44,319
could potentially play the Tigers, because, as I said, I

428
00:21:44,400 --> 00:21:46,759
liked him yesterday. But I also go back to our

429
00:21:46,799 --> 00:21:50,000
conversation from tuesday. I need to see something from the

430
00:21:50,039 --> 00:21:52,119
Tigers really before I bet on this team.

431
00:21:52,200 --> 00:21:53,640
Speaker 2: And that's ultimately what kept me.

432
00:21:53,599 --> 00:21:57,240
Speaker 1: Off yesterday at that price point, Brian Leonard, because I

433
00:21:57,319 --> 00:21:58,400
loved how that game.

434
00:21:58,440 --> 00:21:59,599
Speaker 2: I lovet so Melton.

435
00:21:59,680 --> 00:22:02,119
Speaker 1: They call everything about that I loved for the Tigers,

436
00:22:02,319 --> 00:22:04,119
I didn't love the price point, and I went back

437
00:22:04,119 --> 00:22:06,680
to the little voice in my head saying, you said

438
00:22:06,720 --> 00:22:08,440
you need to see something out of this team before

439
00:22:08,440 --> 00:22:10,359
you're going to bet on them, and you still haven't

440
00:22:10,359 --> 00:22:13,279
seen it, so coming to this game, I still haven't

441
00:22:13,279 --> 00:22:15,119
seen it. So it has to be the Blue Jays

442
00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:17,640
at this price or pass. And again, I am in

443
00:22:17,799 --> 00:22:21,680
no rush to fade Eric Lauer because what he's doing

444
00:22:21,759 --> 00:22:23,680
right now is what we saw that he do for

445
00:22:23,759 --> 00:22:25,880
almost a year and no one figured it out, and

446
00:22:25,880 --> 00:22:27,559
I don't think anyone's going to figure him out either.

447
00:22:27,599 --> 00:22:30,720
Speaker 3: Go ahead, Brian, We've talked about this in the past,

448
00:22:30,759 --> 00:22:32,799
but I know we got a lot more different viewers

449
00:22:32,839 --> 00:22:36,480
than we've had at that time since both of you

450
00:22:36,640 --> 00:22:42,519
handicap the other countries, you know, Brandon does Mexican baseball also,

451
00:22:43,039 --> 00:22:46,079
can you once again go over what you would compare

452
00:22:46,440 --> 00:22:50,839
the Korean League and the Japanese League to American baseball?

453
00:22:51,240 --> 00:22:55,160
Speaker 4: Me, Japanese is chiple A. They got at least five

454
00:22:55,200 --> 00:22:58,880
pitchers in Japan right now that could take over spots

455
00:22:58,960 --> 00:23:02,279
in starting rotations in major leagues, So they're a triple

456
00:23:02,319 --> 00:23:06,400
A league. And I would put Korean either college or single.

457
00:23:06,079 --> 00:23:08,880
Speaker 1: Ah no, no, no, no, no, no no no.

458
00:23:09,160 --> 00:23:12,559
Speaker 4: In my opinion, yes, no way. Their fielding could be

459
00:23:14,039 --> 00:23:17,319
their Their fielding is actually worse than single A. They

460
00:23:17,359 --> 00:23:20,400
don't know how to field, and they they make so

461
00:23:20,480 --> 00:23:23,160
many errors. There's at least five errors of game in Korean.

462
00:23:23,200 --> 00:23:27,319
They can't field, pitchers can't pitch. Their bullpens have v

463
00:23:27,480 --> 00:23:31,279
ra as of over six and I mean, it's just terrible.

464
00:23:31,319 --> 00:23:33,519
I would say single A to be to be.

465
00:23:33,519 --> 00:23:36,799
Speaker 1: Kind, dude, that is that there. That's the second worst

466
00:23:36,799 --> 00:23:38,440
comment you've made on the show this year. The first

467
00:23:38,440 --> 00:23:41,240
one was saying that the Brewers were done. Okay, listen,

468
00:23:41,799 --> 00:23:44,480
you have not watched single A baseball if you If

469
00:23:44,519 --> 00:23:47,359
you're saying Korean is single A, that's single A baseball

470
00:23:47,400 --> 00:23:49,960
is essentially just eighteen year olds, most of which are

471
00:23:50,000 --> 00:23:50,680
not going to make it.

472
00:23:51,119 --> 00:23:53,359
Speaker 4: That's pretty much what I think.

473
00:23:53,880 --> 00:23:58,359
Speaker 2: On what Korea is wrong. I'm gonna very I'm gonna

474
00:23:58,359 --> 00:23:59,400
give it very because we have time.

475
00:23:59,440 --> 00:24:01,599
Speaker 1: You have a very thorough explanation of what the Korean

476
00:24:01,680 --> 00:24:03,119
league is, and then and then you can tell me

477
00:24:03,200 --> 00:24:03,559
I'm wrong.

478
00:24:03,880 --> 00:24:04,839
Speaker 2: Essentially what you.

479
00:24:04,759 --> 00:24:09,880
Speaker 1: Have in Korea, I've been there, but you can watch

480
00:24:10,240 --> 00:24:13,400
minor league baseball in the in this country. To say

481
00:24:13,440 --> 00:24:17,359
it's single A, because that's just that's just inherently false.

482
00:24:18,519 --> 00:24:19,799
Speaker 4: They feel better than that.

483
00:24:20,519 --> 00:24:22,359
Speaker 1: Can I finish what I'm gonna say, and then you

484
00:24:22,400 --> 00:24:23,359
can tell me if I'm wrong.

485
00:24:23,680 --> 00:24:25,079
Speaker 2: This is what Korean baseball is.

486
00:24:25,319 --> 00:24:30,200
Speaker 1: It is a mix of players from basically Triple A

487
00:24:30,599 --> 00:24:31,200
and Double A.

488
00:24:31,440 --> 00:24:32,160
Speaker 2: And I'm gonna finish.

489
00:24:32,160 --> 00:24:34,200
Speaker 1: I'm gonna explain why, and then you can tell me

490
00:24:34,200 --> 00:24:37,279
if I'm wrong. Because the import guys that come over

491
00:24:37,319 --> 00:24:40,880
the couple on the roster are guys that are probably

492
00:24:41,480 --> 00:24:44,680
Triple A type guys, Like look at every roster you've got.

493
00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:46,960
Speaker 2: You know, your two pitchers and your import hitter.

494
00:24:47,240 --> 00:24:50,559
Speaker 1: They're guys that might make it in the MLB somewhere,

495
00:24:51,079 --> 00:24:53,240
Like Mike Taukman has sort of come back and made

496
00:24:53,240 --> 00:24:56,680
it in the MLB right, Like Jonathan Perlaza had a

497
00:24:56,680 --> 00:24:58,880
really good season from Hanua. He's having a good season

498
00:24:58,880 --> 00:25:01,680
at Triple A. So those guys are Triple A. Then

499
00:25:01,720 --> 00:25:04,599
you have the next wave of players is Korean born

500
00:25:04,680 --> 00:25:08,640
players that are like potentially good enough to play in

501
00:25:08,680 --> 00:25:11,640
the MLBS. The Hassan Kims, the High Song Kims, those

502
00:25:11,640 --> 00:25:13,960
guys are are somewhere in.

503
00:25:15,160 --> 00:25:17,319
Speaker 2: No, no, no, no, no, there's there's more than that.

504
00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:20,119
Speaker 1: I'm saying I'm saying those guys, those guys are playing

505
00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:23,119
in the majors. There's another wave of players that would

506
00:25:23,160 --> 00:25:25,640
be good enough to play in Triple A. Then the

507
00:25:25,720 --> 00:25:28,400
majority of the league, I would say, is similar to

508
00:25:28,440 --> 00:25:30,720
double A. What does that mean in this the way

509
00:25:31,039 --> 00:25:34,519
minor league baseball works, Double A is basically prospects.

510
00:25:34,519 --> 00:25:35,079
Speaker 2: They're younger.

511
00:25:35,119 --> 00:25:37,200
Speaker 1: So a lot of the Korean guys who start playing

512
00:25:37,279 --> 00:25:40,240
pro at eighteen now when they're twenty three, twenty four,

513
00:25:40,319 --> 00:25:42,920
they're in the league for four or five years. Those

514
00:25:43,000 --> 00:25:45,400
are are what we have mostly at double A. I

515
00:25:45,440 --> 00:25:47,359
just went to a double A game yesterday. It's twenty

516
00:25:47,440 --> 00:25:50,680
twenty one, twenty two year olds that are like, yes,

517
00:25:50,720 --> 00:25:53,400
they're gonna make errors. They're still they're still raw, they're

518
00:25:53,440 --> 00:25:56,480
still figuring out the game. TV where I'll agree with you.

519
00:25:56,519 --> 00:25:59,720
The bottom half, the very very bottom, the guys on

520
00:25:59,720 --> 00:26:01,920
the bad and the last couple of guys in the bullpen,

521
00:26:01,960 --> 00:26:03,880
and the last couple of guys in the in the

522
00:26:03,960 --> 00:26:07,720
in the team are probably a ball guys. But but

523
00:26:07,839 --> 00:26:12,759
the level of play. I watch more minor league baseball

524
00:26:12,759 --> 00:26:15,759
than everyone in this chat combined, everyone on the panel,

525
00:26:15,759 --> 00:26:18,640
everyone in this chat combined. The level of play is

526
00:26:18,680 --> 00:26:21,440
somewhere between double and triple A. I I have been

527
00:26:21,519 --> 00:26:23,960
to a ball games and I've been to college I

528
00:26:23,960 --> 00:26:26,720
have college kids living with me right now. I watch

529
00:26:26,839 --> 00:26:29,359
college summer ball all year. We host we're a host

530
00:26:29,440 --> 00:26:31,839
family for the summer ball team. The level of play

531
00:26:31,920 --> 00:26:36,160
is significantly better than college and you know, maybe Omaha

532
00:26:36,160 --> 00:26:37,359
when they're playing in the World Series.

533
00:26:37,400 --> 00:26:39,119
Speaker 2: Those are pretty good games. So, dude, watch a lot

534
00:26:39,160 --> 00:26:39,880
of college baseball.

535
00:26:39,880 --> 00:26:42,279
Speaker 1: It's not it's not great, like if you watch, like

536
00:26:42,440 --> 00:26:45,319
if I go to the Siena game, not great. I

537
00:26:45,359 --> 00:26:48,400
mean it's it's somewhere between double and triple A. All right,

538
00:26:48,480 --> 00:26:50,000
I'm off the I'm off the soapbox.

539
00:26:50,000 --> 00:26:51,680
Speaker 2: Sorry. I knew he had signed, but that was an

540
00:26:51,680 --> 00:26:52,599
asinine comment.

541
00:26:52,920 --> 00:26:56,759
Speaker 4: Give me one. Uh my comment was asinine.

542
00:26:57,880 --> 00:27:01,440
Speaker 1: It's not a single A. It's professional baseball. It's it's

543
00:27:01,480 --> 00:27:03,279
it's like the third best league in the world.

544
00:27:03,920 --> 00:27:06,200
Speaker 4: L l SU would be in the middle of the

545
00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:09,039
pack if they played in the KBO and Eric Fetty

546
00:27:09,200 --> 00:27:13,000
was was literally the Cy Young Award winner, would he

547
00:27:13,119 --> 00:27:15,319
be the Say Young Award winner in Triple A?

548
00:27:15,319 --> 00:27:18,680
Speaker 1: Absolutely back and shut down on the majors last year.

549
00:27:19,240 --> 00:27:19,920
Speaker 2: He had a.

550
00:27:19,839 --> 00:27:21,440
Speaker 1: Great season Eric Fetti.

551
00:27:22,240 --> 00:27:27,519
Speaker 4: Okay, and here's another one. Uh, Sinsu Chu was literally

552
00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:32,319
Ichiro in the KBO. Are you telling me that? Are

553
00:27:32,359 --> 00:27:35,599
you telling me that he would be literally Itchiro at

554
00:27:35,599 --> 00:27:36,559
Triple An?

555
00:27:36,920 --> 00:27:37,960
Speaker 2: We're getting off topic.

556
00:27:38,039 --> 00:27:40,559
Speaker 1: Shinsuchu did not play in the KBO until he was

557
00:27:40,599 --> 00:27:42,960
about forty years old. He came over here as an

558
00:27:43,000 --> 00:27:43,720
eighteen year old.

559
00:27:43,920 --> 00:27:44,759
Speaker 2: He did not playing.

560
00:27:45,440 --> 00:27:50,720
Speaker 3: He was like the last question off this, Brandy, You

561
00:27:50,839 --> 00:27:57,839
do the Mexican League also? Correct? Yeah, compared to the others.

562
00:27:57,880 --> 00:28:02,279
How much farther down is Mexican League and Korean Baseball

563
00:28:02,359 --> 00:28:04,079
and japan baseball?

564
00:28:04,640 --> 00:28:07,559
Speaker 4: It's similar to Korean. Actually, a lot of the foreign

565
00:28:07,599 --> 00:28:12,240
players that go from Korea, they're playing like Daspanne Reason

566
00:28:12,319 --> 00:28:14,640
or Dspane is playing in Mexico right now, and a

567
00:28:14,680 --> 00:28:17,759
bunch of others. The thing is Mexico has the altitude,

568
00:28:17,799 --> 00:28:22,720
so it's basically playing in Colorado Ballpark with very unskilled

569
00:28:22,759 --> 00:28:25,079
players and a lot of guys who can crank the ball.

570
00:28:25,160 --> 00:28:28,920
Like Robinson Cano is the lead is the top hitter

571
00:28:28,960 --> 00:28:33,039
in Mexican right now, and he's like having an amazing season.

572
00:28:33,279 --> 00:28:35,160
But he wouldn't do that at Major League and he

573
00:28:35,400 --> 00:28:38,400
probably would do that in the KPO though, So yeah,

574
00:28:38,480 --> 00:28:40,079
it's it's like pinball in Mexico.

575
00:28:40,160 --> 00:28:41,880
Speaker 1: I'm gonna bring this back in because we got to

576
00:28:41,880 --> 00:28:44,079
start talking about Major League baseball. But Jack makes a

577
00:28:44,119 --> 00:28:46,279
really good comment, and I think this should be thrown

578
00:28:46,319 --> 00:28:51,839
on the screen. College baseball is with the once NIL started.

579
00:28:52,279 --> 00:28:54,160
A lot of these guys are staying in college as

580
00:28:54,160 --> 00:28:57,079
opposed to signing pro tract contracts at eighteen or nineteen.

581
00:28:57,359 --> 00:29:00,319
So there is some merit to that TV cop the

582
00:29:00,440 --> 00:29:04,000
highest level of college baseball, the LSUS those teams, I mean,

583
00:29:04,200 --> 00:29:07,039
they might as well be that that never used to happen.

584
00:29:07,359 --> 00:29:09,920
Now you've got twenty one, twenty two kids that are saying,

585
00:29:09,960 --> 00:29:12,559
twenty two year old kids that are saying, I'll go

586
00:29:12,599 --> 00:29:14,880
to minor league baseball later. Let me stay at LSU

587
00:29:15,279 --> 00:29:18,319
and pick up a paycheck. That's new, and that is

588
00:29:19,079 --> 00:29:20,079
a really good point.

589
00:29:20,200 --> 00:29:21,039
Speaker 2: College.

590
00:29:21,160 --> 00:29:25,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, the college baseball has been a lot better. Listen,

591
00:29:25,440 --> 00:29:28,359
guys in the in the chat, we have time today.

592
00:29:28,599 --> 00:29:31,599
We're gonna get to all five games. So we're gonna

593
00:29:31,680 --> 00:29:33,920
if we want to go off on a tangent, today's

594
00:29:33,960 --> 00:29:34,519
the day to do it.

595
00:29:34,519 --> 00:29:35,559
Speaker 2: We've only got five games.

596
00:29:35,559 --> 00:29:37,960
Speaker 1: We're already halfway through, and we're only halfway through the

597
00:29:37,960 --> 00:29:41,319
show and got KP TV. I'm gonna I'm gonna hit

598
00:29:41,359 --> 00:29:44,640
you with another KBO guy here in our transition to

599
00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:49,359
this game. Aaron Wilkerson, former Low TA Giant, was recently

600
00:29:49,400 --> 00:29:51,920
signed by the Saint Louis Cardinals. He opted out of

601
00:29:51,920 --> 00:29:55,680
his contract in Cincinnati, probably because he's having you know,

602
00:29:55,720 --> 00:29:57,880
he's been behind. He's down at Triple A, behind guys

603
00:29:57,920 --> 00:30:00,680
like Chase Burns Heavy. They have so many good young pitchers.

604
00:30:00,759 --> 00:30:03,160
He's never going to get a look there. He's having

605
00:30:03,200 --> 00:30:07,240
a great season at he was at Louisville. He made

606
00:30:07,240 --> 00:30:10,079
his Triple A Memphis debut last night. Eight shutout innings,

607
00:30:10,119 --> 00:30:13,079
four strikeouts, no walks. That is our guy, Aaron Wilkerson,

608
00:30:13,400 --> 00:30:16,319
former Low T Giant. I wouldn't be surprised if he's

609
00:30:16,359 --> 00:30:19,880
the next guy up in that Cardinals rotation. That's my

610
00:30:20,359 --> 00:30:23,640
bold prediction here. Eric Fetti was dfaid. We were just

611
00:30:23,640 --> 00:30:27,079
talking about him. The Cardinals let him go. They dfaide him.

612
00:30:27,440 --> 00:30:31,599
I think yesterday or the day earlier, you've talked about

613
00:30:31,720 --> 00:30:34,279
Micholas not really belonging in a big league rotation. So

614
00:30:34,400 --> 00:30:37,720
my bold prediction here is Aaron Wilkerson gets a crack

615
00:30:38,000 --> 00:30:40,640
as a starter for the Cardinals very soon, but it's

616
00:30:40,640 --> 00:30:42,519
not going to be today because the starter, Sonny Gray,

617
00:30:43,039 --> 00:30:45,880
he's at home. He's opposing you, Darvish. So let's get

618
00:30:45,920 --> 00:30:49,240
back to the MLB conversation. And it's all in good fun.

619
00:30:49,319 --> 00:30:51,720
We just have differing opinions on that, and you know

620
00:30:52,359 --> 00:30:54,319
it is what it is. But let's get back to

621
00:30:54,359 --> 00:30:58,319
the MLB conversation. Sonny Gray, You Darvish, Cardinals, Padres, what

622
00:30:58,319 --> 00:30:58,880
are you seeing here?

623
00:30:58,920 --> 00:31:02,200
Speaker 3: Brian Leonard TODs Bradley got sent to the minors after

624
00:31:02,279 --> 00:31:04,920
yesterday also, so that was something that a lot of

625
00:31:04,920 --> 00:31:07,880
people thought was going to happen. San Diego Saint Louis

626
00:31:07,960 --> 00:31:11,640
DARVISI and Gray Gray won forty two, one forty three

627
00:31:11,759 --> 00:31:17,759
favorite total of eight. Darvish has only thrown thirteen point

628
00:31:18,119 --> 00:31:20,599
thirteen point one innings thus far. Has not looked good

629
00:31:20,640 --> 00:31:24,119
six point oh eight era, but is expected as four

630
00:31:24,160 --> 00:31:28,559
point twenty nine whip one point five, which is not

631
00:31:28,759 --> 00:31:31,839
what we normally see out of Darvish. His walk grade

632
00:31:31,960 --> 00:31:34,480
is eleven point seven. He hasn't had an eleven point

633
00:31:34,519 --> 00:31:38,000
seven walk rate since twenty eighteen, and that was because

634
00:31:38,039 --> 00:31:40,960
he only threw, you know, seven hundred and forty pitches.

635
00:31:42,519 --> 00:31:46,640
His strikeout rate has been the major, major drop off

636
00:31:46,680 --> 00:31:49,720
in the short sample size. Just last year he was

637
00:31:49,759 --> 00:31:52,039
a twenty three point six percent and that was the

638
00:31:52,039 --> 00:31:54,240
worst of his career. And how he's a thirteen point

639
00:31:54,279 --> 00:31:57,319
three obviously small sample size, but when he got a

640
00:31:57,400 --> 00:32:02,319
starter with the one point six strikeout minus walk ratio,

641
00:32:02,400 --> 00:32:05,440
you want to take a look at going against him.

642
00:32:05,920 --> 00:32:14,319
His his uh fastball ninety four point three, which is

643
00:32:14,359 --> 00:32:17,680
slightly less than the league average. But we know he's

644
00:32:17,680 --> 00:32:19,240
got he's got a ton of pitches. He's got what

645
00:32:19,319 --> 00:32:22,720
eight eight different pitches, and when you have eight different pitches,

646
00:32:22,839 --> 00:32:25,799
the good part is when one of them's not working,

647
00:32:26,000 --> 00:32:27,960
you don't throw it. You throw what you've got other

648
00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:33,559
things to throw. Unfortunately, if you're if you're in that situation,

649
00:32:34,079 --> 00:32:37,519
you've got to have your chances of having a pitch

650
00:32:37,599 --> 00:32:40,160
that's not working. He's a lot higher when you've got

651
00:32:40,200 --> 00:32:42,160
to throw it at him. He just has a better

652
00:32:42,240 --> 00:32:45,359
choice of coming out with it. And Sonny Gray is

653
00:32:45,480 --> 00:32:47,640
very much the same. He's got seven pitches, he throws

654
00:32:48,160 --> 00:32:51,079
nine to four record four point oh four uh e

655
00:32:51,240 --> 00:32:54,319
r a three point eight two expected one point one

656
00:32:54,519 --> 00:32:57,759
five whip, but he's been very up and down this year,

657
00:32:57,799 --> 00:33:00,200
and his last start, if I remember correctly, he got

658
00:33:00,240 --> 00:33:03,200
hit really hard and the Cardinals were never in that game.

659
00:33:04,079 --> 00:33:07,680
His walk percentile is great ninety seventh percentile, eighty ninth

660
00:33:07,759 --> 00:33:11,039
chase rate, but his fastball velocity is only in the

661
00:33:11,079 --> 00:33:17,039
fifteen percent. It's ninety one point seven. Now, he does

662
00:33:17,119 --> 00:33:21,839
throw his his fastball more than the other pitch, but

663
00:33:21,880 --> 00:33:24,920
he only throws at twenty one percent, so he if

664
00:33:24,960 --> 00:33:27,799
his fastball isn't working, he can get people out the

665
00:33:27,839 --> 00:33:31,160
other ways. I prefer when it comes to the pitcher

666
00:33:31,240 --> 00:33:35,039
in this game, I like Sonny Gray much better. But

667
00:33:35,440 --> 00:33:37,720
this Cardinals team is not hitting right now. If you

668
00:33:37,759 --> 00:33:42,119
go back to the last fourteen days, Saint Louis is

669
00:33:42,200 --> 00:33:45,960
number five at one oh three overall, where we're looking

670
00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:50,319
at the opposition here in San Diego is number thirteen

671
00:33:50,400 --> 00:33:53,880
at one oh seven overall. So I kind of like

672
00:33:53,920 --> 00:33:56,640
Saint Louis here, but that team is just not playing well.

673
00:33:56,720 --> 00:33:59,079
Let's take a look at the standings. Right here, Saint

674
00:33:59,160 --> 00:34:02,440
Louis is on a three and seven run. They've lost

675
00:34:02,480 --> 00:34:05,880
their last two despite having a winning record on the season,

676
00:34:05,880 --> 00:34:09,559
they've been off scored on the air. I don't trust

677
00:34:09,920 --> 00:34:12,039
either one of these changes right now, so I'll be passing.

678
00:34:15,320 --> 00:34:19,519
Speaker 4: So regarding this one, let's see what I got here,

679
00:34:20,559 --> 00:34:22,760
kind of keeping my eye on this Hama game. They're

680
00:34:22,760 --> 00:34:27,800
about to blow up with another error, So we got

681
00:34:27,800 --> 00:34:30,079
Sunny Gray going against you, Darvus. Sunny Gray is a

682
00:34:30,119 --> 00:34:34,800
picture that generally the books like too much. In my opinion,

683
00:34:34,920 --> 00:34:37,239
he's don't get me wrong, he's a really good picture,

684
00:34:37,280 --> 00:34:40,440
but a lot of times he gets numbers that he

685
00:34:40,480 --> 00:34:44,320
doesn't deserve. Sometimes he's he's an upper echelon pitcher, but

686
00:34:44,360 --> 00:34:48,239
he's not like elite top ten in my opinion, and

687
00:34:48,400 --> 00:34:51,599
the books sometimes price him like that. He is a

688
00:34:51,599 --> 00:34:55,800
good picture, though, And Darvish has come back, he's starting slow,

689
00:34:56,159 --> 00:34:59,840
he's getting basically he hasn't lost. I mean, he sa

690
00:35:00,119 --> 00:35:03,840
getting old and he's losing. He's losing a little bit

691
00:35:03,840 --> 00:35:08,239
of his edge, getting a little old. And the Cardinals,

692
00:35:08,360 --> 00:35:10,320
you know, it's hard to back a team that just

693
00:35:10,840 --> 00:35:14,480
lost to the Rockies like that, but they are hitting

694
00:35:14,519 --> 00:35:17,400
better and their bullpens performing better than the Padres right now.

695
00:35:17,480 --> 00:35:19,280
So if there's any way I would go, it would

696
00:35:19,280 --> 00:35:23,119
be with the Cardinals here, because I don't see how

697
00:35:23,159 --> 00:35:26,840
you could pack, how you could back Darvish. Darvish actually

698
00:35:27,159 --> 00:35:29,880
was when he pitched in Japan, he was actually better

699
00:35:29,920 --> 00:35:33,159
than Otani as a pitcher. Not as a hitter obviously,

700
00:35:33,239 --> 00:35:37,480
but he's the best Japanese pitcher I've ever seen. So

701
00:35:38,119 --> 00:35:42,159
in Japan, probably Tanaka would be the next, and then

702
00:35:42,239 --> 00:35:46,039
Kuroda after that. So he's just getting old and he's

703
00:35:46,039 --> 00:35:48,760
losing a little bit of his edge. He would be

704
00:35:48,800 --> 00:35:51,519
a good middle reliever to eat up one or two innings.

705
00:35:51,679 --> 00:35:53,840
I don't think being a starter is his role anymore

706
00:35:53,840 --> 00:35:58,119
in my opinion, but that could be an asinine comment,

707
00:35:58,199 --> 00:35:58,840
so we'll do it.

708
00:35:58,880 --> 00:36:06,679
Speaker 2: Adham No, I no, that's a won't get back on

709
00:36:06,679 --> 00:36:07,039
that topic.

710
00:36:07,119 --> 00:36:10,119
Speaker 1: Someone did, though, in the chat, said Trigg's been a

711
00:36:10,199 --> 00:36:12,679
slim in those cut waters. So this is this is

712
00:36:12,719 --> 00:36:17,480
a fresco by the way, you couldn't see that. You

713
00:36:17,519 --> 00:36:20,079
want to know what, Brian, I my parents, my dad

714
00:36:20,159 --> 00:36:21,320
used to get this when I was a kid, and

715
00:36:21,360 --> 00:36:22,920
then I didn't see it for a very long time.

716
00:36:22,920 --> 00:36:26,119
And I'm pretty sure Coca Cola purchased them. And now

717
00:36:26,119 --> 00:36:29,280
I see it everywhere, and I'm wondering if it's maybe

718
00:36:29,360 --> 00:36:31,519
not exactly the same, like maybe they had to start

719
00:36:31,559 --> 00:36:35,000
mass producing it. It's it doesn't taste like childhood. I

720
00:36:35,039 --> 00:36:37,239
remember it being like much better than it was. But

721
00:36:37,800 --> 00:36:39,400
I'll still mess with it every once in a while.

722
00:36:39,480 --> 00:36:41,480
It's it's a it's a you know, one of the

723
00:36:41,480 --> 00:36:44,159
healthier sodas out there, trying to get healthier. But anyway,

724
00:36:44,440 --> 00:36:46,840
someone said Trigg's been down in the cut waters. Probably

725
00:36:46,880 --> 00:36:49,320
didn't just probably disagreed with what I was saying, which

726
00:36:49,360 --> 00:36:51,679
again I could care less totally fine with that. I'm

727
00:36:51,679 --> 00:36:54,440
gonna have my opinion. Doesn't really matter what anyone else thinks,

728
00:36:54,960 --> 00:36:58,400
but I have an opinion on this. Cutwater is hands

729
00:36:58,400 --> 00:37:02,800
down the worst hand beverage alcoholic beverage I've ever had.

730
00:37:02,880 --> 00:37:06,880
It is absolutely repulsive, disgusting. So you won't find me

731
00:37:06,920 --> 00:37:10,239
down in a cutwater anytime soon as far as this

732
00:37:10,320 --> 00:37:12,639
game is concerned. This was the easiest kind of pass

733
00:37:12,679 --> 00:37:16,599
for me on the board. I haven't really I feel

734
00:37:16,599 --> 00:37:18,639
like I haven't had the Cardinals right. The one time

735
00:37:18,679 --> 00:37:20,480
I wanted to sort of step in with the Cardinals,

736
00:37:20,519 --> 00:37:23,679
and thankfully I didn't. Well, we had the Cardinals right

737
00:37:23,719 --> 00:37:25,599
the other day in that first game against the Rockies.

738
00:37:25,639 --> 00:37:27,239
But the one time I really wanted to step into

739
00:37:27,280 --> 00:37:29,880
the post break was on Saturday. It was against the

740
00:37:29,880 --> 00:37:34,000
Diamondbacks and thankfully did not. That was the sunny gray start.

741
00:37:34,239 --> 00:37:36,800
He got knocked around there, and I'm just, you know,

742
00:37:36,880 --> 00:37:40,360
I kind of go back to the Marlin series with

743
00:37:40,400 --> 00:37:44,679
this Padres team. I lost that game with the Padres,

744
00:37:45,079 --> 00:37:49,840
the Randy Vasquez game, and I just my gut tells

745
00:37:49,840 --> 00:37:52,360
me the Padres might start playing better again, like they

746
00:37:52,880 --> 00:37:54,280
we go back to the beginning of the season with

747
00:37:54,360 --> 00:37:56,400
this team, I truly thought that they were an elite team,

748
00:37:56,440 --> 00:37:58,360
that they had a very good chance to win the NLS.

749
00:37:58,519 --> 00:38:01,119
Now I don't see them in the same light that

750
00:38:01,159 --> 00:38:04,159
I did prior to the season. But I am like,

751
00:38:04,519 --> 00:38:06,000
you know, is this the type of team I want

752
00:38:06,000 --> 00:38:08,360
to fade as an underdog because they had a very

753
00:38:08,400 --> 00:38:11,199
tough stretch for a period of time and now they're

754
00:38:11,320 --> 00:38:14,559
starting to kind of, you know, kind of dig out

755
00:38:14,599 --> 00:38:16,920
of it. Brian Leonard, where are they at in the standings?

756
00:38:16,920 --> 00:38:20,039
Ten eleven games over five hundred right now? I mean,

757
00:38:21,000 --> 00:38:25,639
the Padres, I think we're like ten. I think they're yeah,

758
00:38:25,639 --> 00:38:28,880
they're they're they're fifty five and forty seven. They're four

759
00:38:28,880 --> 00:38:31,239
and a half games back of the Dodgers. They're not

760
00:38:31,360 --> 00:38:34,119
the team I expected them to be to this point.

761
00:38:34,360 --> 00:38:36,800
I thought they were going to be better. But man,

762
00:38:36,840 --> 00:38:39,840
that bullpen looked good in the Marlins series, and that

763
00:38:39,960 --> 00:38:42,920
is why I'm just really not interested in fading the Padres.

764
00:38:43,159 --> 00:38:46,039
Then you throw in the fact that they have that

765
00:38:46,119 --> 00:38:49,679
you know you're catching some plus money with them. That's

766
00:38:49,719 --> 00:38:51,760
where I'm just like, it's got to be Padres or pass.

767
00:38:51,840 --> 00:38:54,840
They're They're kind of the dangerous underrated team to me

768
00:38:54,920 --> 00:38:57,559
in my opinion right now. That bullpen is really good.

769
00:38:57,719 --> 00:38:59,800
They haven't hit up the potential, but we know guys

770
00:38:59,840 --> 00:39:03,760
like Merrill Tattoos can can you know, get hot in

771
00:39:03,800 --> 00:39:07,760
a moment's notice, and plus one twenty there on the

772
00:39:07,760 --> 00:39:10,639
Padres seems like it seems like a pretty decent price.

773
00:39:11,679 --> 00:39:12,880
Speaker 2: Go ahead, Stars.

774
00:39:12,559 --> 00:39:13,480
Speaker 4: Doesn't get clobbered.

775
00:39:14,719 --> 00:39:19,239
Speaker 3: Just just one comment, James, I appreciate that. I agree.

776
00:39:19,519 --> 00:39:22,360
You don't want to all agree all the time, because

777
00:39:22,719 --> 00:39:25,199
if we've done this long enough, everybody agrees on one side,

778
00:39:25,880 --> 00:39:30,440
that side never wins. And I love people having different opinions,

779
00:39:30,440 --> 00:39:32,039
and neither one of you guys are out there to

780
00:39:32,039 --> 00:39:34,960
try to hurt the other one. But I wanted to

781
00:39:34,960 --> 00:39:38,559
get involved in this. Uh, you had said, Trig that

782
00:39:38,679 --> 00:39:42,760
you could care less. That's the wrong take. It should

783
00:39:42,760 --> 00:39:46,280
be no, no, no. Yeah, you said you said I couldn't

784
00:39:46,559 --> 00:39:49,760
I could care less, which means you could care less.

785
00:39:49,960 --> 00:39:54,280
The correct word is I couldn't care less. Everybody says

786
00:39:54,280 --> 00:39:55,159
it wrong all the time.

787
00:39:55,800 --> 00:39:58,920
Speaker 1: I was an Englishman. It's really bad on my part.

788
00:39:59,559 --> 00:40:01,039
That is really bad on my part.

789
00:40:01,119 --> 00:40:05,760
Speaker 4: Yeah, proper English. We're not going to cover every game

790
00:40:05,800 --> 00:40:06,440
there here we are.

791
00:40:06,440 --> 00:40:07,559
Speaker 3: We all got two more to care we are.

792
00:40:07,639 --> 00:40:10,199
Speaker 2: We only had two more. We got twenty minutes left.

793
00:40:10,639 --> 00:40:13,320
Speaker 4: Yeah, okay, we still got to do our parlay, which

794
00:40:13,360 --> 00:40:14,639
we lost yesterday, by the way.

795
00:40:14,719 --> 00:40:17,280
Speaker 2: Yes, yeah, we'll see.

796
00:40:17,280 --> 00:40:21,000
Speaker 1: It's it's it's you know, there's not much. This card

797
00:40:21,039 --> 00:40:23,159
isn't offering much here. We'll see if we can find

798
00:40:23,159 --> 00:40:24,719
something in one of the later games. I think I

799
00:40:24,760 --> 00:40:26,519
have one of my stronger opinions coming up.

800
00:40:27,079 --> 00:40:28,400
Speaker 2: But we'll see. We're heading out West.

801
00:40:28,400 --> 00:40:31,880
Speaker 1: We've got a pair of AL West matchups to finish

802
00:40:31,960 --> 00:40:35,440
things off tonight. The first one is out in Houston.

803
00:40:36,159 --> 00:40:38,760
And this is a team that again I say so

804
00:40:38,800 --> 00:40:41,280
I say the Pirates are a little bit undervalued in

805
00:40:41,320 --> 00:40:43,880
my opinion where they've been priced in what they could be.

806
00:40:44,440 --> 00:40:46,920
I think the Astros are the team that I can

807
00:40:46,920 --> 00:40:49,880
only see going one way from this point forward. Uh

808
00:40:50,039 --> 00:40:52,199
and I just relative to where they are in the market.

809
00:40:52,239 --> 00:40:54,440
Brian Leonard, I just don't think that they're going to

810
00:40:54,519 --> 00:40:58,079
live up to pricing pricing expectations, at least in the

811
00:40:58,199 --> 00:41:02,400
in the short term. So once again, Astro's favored at home.

812
00:41:02,760 --> 00:41:05,000
But the A's are are looking like the young A's

813
00:41:05,039 --> 00:41:07,280
that might be you know, might lose a boatload in

814
00:41:07,320 --> 00:41:10,000
a row. So how are you handicapping this one? Alexander

815
00:41:10,039 --> 00:41:11,960
Severino Astros as.

816
00:41:11,800 --> 00:41:15,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, this is my Tokyo branded game, Jason Alexander for

817
00:41:15,360 --> 00:41:20,400
Seinfeld going today. I think figure Tokyo. Brandon's got something

818
00:41:20,400 --> 00:41:24,039
to say about that. But Severino Alexander Alexander is about

819
00:41:24,039 --> 00:41:26,360
a one twenty two favorite total of eight and a

820
00:41:26,360 --> 00:41:30,639
half to the over first look, I thought I was

821
00:41:30,639 --> 00:41:33,960
reading wrong because Houston at home against a the A's,

822
00:41:34,679 --> 00:41:36,679
that's a cheap number. But then when you take a

823
00:41:36,679 --> 00:41:39,400
look at what Jason Alexander is done in his career

824
00:41:39,880 --> 00:41:42,239
and sever Reno's been much better on the road. It

825
00:41:42,280 --> 00:41:45,159
makes a lot more sense. Sever Reno five point one

826
00:41:45,199 --> 00:41:48,360
O ERA four point seven one expected one point three

827
00:41:48,360 --> 00:41:51,440
to nine whip. He's gotten bombed at home. He's complained

828
00:41:51,440 --> 00:41:53,599
about the mile and there, he's complained about everything there

829
00:41:53,639 --> 00:41:57,000
and they're trying to get rid of him. His strikeout

830
00:41:57,039 --> 00:42:00,159
to walk right show. This is my major concern with

831
00:42:00,599 --> 00:42:04,039
severin oh He's got a ninety six mile an hour

832
00:42:04,159 --> 00:42:08,880
for singer, which is over a one one mile per

833
00:42:08,960 --> 00:42:12,760
hour faster than a normal but his strikeout percentage is

834
00:42:12,800 --> 00:42:17,079
only fifteen point nine. That is terrible. His strikeout on

835
00:42:17,159 --> 00:42:19,840
his walk ratio is at eight point three on the season.

836
00:42:20,800 --> 00:42:24,239
His whip rate first percentile. He's a much better pitcher

837
00:42:24,280 --> 00:42:27,920
than that strike out right eighth percentile. Even though he's

838
00:42:27,920 --> 00:42:30,000
pitched better on the road. I don't want to have

839
00:42:30,039 --> 00:42:35,440
to back him Houston here with Jason Alexander, he started

840
00:42:35,480 --> 00:42:39,000
off at twenty twenty two five point four oh Eira,

841
00:42:39,159 --> 00:42:43,400
got eleven starts, hasn't pitched the last two years. Now

842
00:42:43,440 --> 00:42:45,559
he's back in the majors in twenty twenty five. He's

843
00:42:45,559 --> 00:42:49,519
had one start six games overall, eight point four OH

844
00:42:49,679 --> 00:42:53,800
ERA five point two seven expected one point eight whip.

845
00:42:54,840 --> 00:42:58,519
His career era is five point nine two and his

846
00:42:58,559 --> 00:43:01,519
whip is one point six five. I don't want to

847
00:43:01,559 --> 00:43:05,039
be backing Jason Alexander. If I knew he was just

848
00:43:05,079 --> 00:43:07,119
going to be an opener and he was only there

849
00:43:07,199 --> 00:43:09,960
for an inning or so, that would be enough to

850
00:43:09,960 --> 00:43:12,960
get me involved here with Houston. The problem is, I

851
00:43:13,280 --> 00:43:15,519
don't think that's the case. I haven't read it. Maybe

852
00:43:15,519 --> 00:43:18,280
somebody in the chat notes how long he's going to go,

853
00:43:19,000 --> 00:43:22,039
But this is one of those things that it may be.

854
00:43:22,159 --> 00:43:23,800
If you see he's in there, he's only for an

855
00:43:23,800 --> 00:43:25,480
in there for an inning, you can get a hell

856
00:43:25,480 --> 00:43:28,159
of a bargain by playing Houston and a live betting.

857
00:43:28,159 --> 00:43:30,000
We'll see how it goes. I expect him to try

858
00:43:30,039 --> 00:43:32,159
to try to get in for four or five innings.

859
00:43:32,159 --> 00:43:34,199
We'll see how that goes. But this is the game

860
00:43:34,199 --> 00:43:35,679
you want to watch if you want to take advantage

861
00:43:35,719 --> 00:43:36,280
of live betting.

862
00:43:38,519 --> 00:43:42,760
Speaker 4: These pretzels are making me thirsty. My favorite Jason Alexander

863
00:43:43,440 --> 00:43:47,920
actually Fendly Industries. That's a good one too. Uh yeah,

864
00:43:50,119 --> 00:43:53,400
I agree with calling in the comments. I'm going to

865
00:43:53,480 --> 00:43:57,679
put his comment up. I like the A's team total here,

866
00:43:57,880 --> 00:44:00,000
I like any kind of over in this game because

867
00:44:00,000 --> 00:44:04,920
because neither both teams are hitting pretty good, and even

868
00:44:04,960 --> 00:44:08,400
when they're not hitting well, they have a lot of

869
00:44:08,440 --> 00:44:13,719
talent and power in their lineups. Both bullpens pretty mediocre

870
00:44:14,079 --> 00:44:17,159
in current form. Sevar Reino, I've got him ranked twenty

871
00:44:17,199 --> 00:44:19,719
seven out of thirty on a curve of thirty out

872
00:44:19,719 --> 00:44:24,079
of all starting pitchers, and Jason Alexander has a eight

873
00:44:24,159 --> 00:44:27,840
plus ERA. Granted it's a small sample size. He got

874
00:44:27,880 --> 00:44:30,800
a win for that, by the way, but not the

875
00:44:30,840 --> 00:44:33,199
guy I want to be back in here. I think

876
00:44:33,440 --> 00:44:36,079
both teams should be able to smash. I would like

877
00:44:36,119 --> 00:44:38,440
the A's team total. I would like the game total.

878
00:44:39,199 --> 00:44:42,239
I haven't played it yet, but I certainly will be

879
00:44:42,360 --> 00:44:45,800
considering it, No I have.

880
00:44:46,679 --> 00:44:48,800
Speaker 1: I just have to, like before I talk about the A's, like,

881
00:44:49,119 --> 00:44:52,280
you know, we're talking like passionately and with conviction here,

882
00:44:52,320 --> 00:44:54,119
like because we just love the game of baseball.

883
00:44:54,199 --> 00:44:55,719
Speaker 2: We love doing this well.

884
00:44:55,760 --> 00:44:58,400
Speaker 1: I haven't even talked about something like I would probably

885
00:44:58,440 --> 00:45:00,719
consider betting yet today that that's just where we're at

886
00:45:00,760 --> 00:45:03,159
with a five game slate, Like you know, I wasn't.

887
00:45:03,440 --> 00:45:06,079
I'm not really disagreeing with anyone on the first three games.

888
00:45:06,280 --> 00:45:08,760
I'm just kind of like talking passionately about how I

889
00:45:08,760 --> 00:45:11,079
feel about the teams, but it's like I don't I

890
00:45:11,159 --> 00:45:13,039
have I'd be shocked if I'm involved in the first

891
00:45:13,079 --> 00:45:15,800
three games that we've actually talked about, Like it's just you.

892
00:45:15,719 --> 00:45:16,880
Speaker 2: Know, with a five game slate.

893
00:45:17,800 --> 00:45:19,559
Speaker 1: I also think I want to point out that, like

894
00:45:20,119 --> 00:45:23,119
the books really reset things during the break, Like I

895
00:45:23,519 --> 00:45:25,920
feel like the line the odds makers have nailed every

896
00:45:25,960 --> 00:45:29,360
slate pretty much since the break, with like the exception

897
00:45:29,480 --> 00:45:32,400
of Tokyo Randon's five percenter when he had the Cardinals.

898
00:45:32,400 --> 00:45:33,960
I think he got on it early when it was

899
00:45:34,000 --> 00:45:36,639
like minus one thirty something and they should have probably

900
00:45:36,679 --> 00:45:39,559
been like a two minus two fifty favorite. Other than that,

901
00:45:39,599 --> 00:45:41,920
the books, I feel like have been on point. Every

902
00:45:42,000 --> 00:45:44,000
day I'm looking at numbers, I'm not finding a ton

903
00:45:44,000 --> 00:45:46,960
of value, and I think that goes back to the

904
00:45:47,000 --> 00:45:49,280
All Star break and them having four or five days

905
00:45:49,599 --> 00:45:53,360
to sort of redo power rakings and reset their ratings.

906
00:45:53,360 --> 00:45:56,039
It feels a lot like April where there's just not

907
00:45:56,119 --> 00:45:58,880
as many numerical edges. Now that's all going to change

908
00:45:58,880 --> 00:46:01,800
within the next seven days because trades are gonna start

909
00:46:01,800 --> 00:46:03,719
to happen and you're gonna see guys start to fly

910
00:46:03,800 --> 00:46:06,039
around different rosters and they're not gonna know how to

911
00:46:06,039 --> 00:46:08,679
handle that. But right now it has been tough to

912
00:46:08,719 --> 00:46:12,920
find value. Similar to here, I love I love the

913
00:46:12,960 --> 00:46:16,159
A's fear in theory. I really like the A's tonight.

914
00:46:17,039 --> 00:46:19,199
As to go back to what Brian was saying, I

915
00:46:19,239 --> 00:46:22,480
don't think alex I think Alexander. I think it's gonna

916
00:46:22,480 --> 00:46:24,559
be go out there and we'll come get you when

917
00:46:24,800 --> 00:46:28,800
when we have to write, whether that's two innings, three innings,

918
00:46:29,039 --> 00:46:32,239
six innings, like when he pitched the other day against

919
00:46:32,519 --> 00:46:35,000
the A's, this was the first time around against the A's.

920
00:46:35,360 --> 00:46:38,280
He went six innings, two earned runs on three hits.

921
00:46:38,639 --> 00:46:40,280
If he can do that, he's gonna be in five

922
00:46:40,360 --> 00:46:44,000
or six innings if he can't, or like the Dodgers,

923
00:46:44,039 --> 00:46:47,280
like I don't think they trusted him to continue against

924
00:46:47,280 --> 00:46:50,159
the Dodgers because he went three scoreless innings, but they

925
00:46:50,199 --> 00:46:54,039
probably were like, we can't let this Dodgers lineup see

926
00:46:54,119 --> 00:46:56,760
him again. They'll they'll crush him. And that's probably what

927
00:46:56,840 --> 00:46:58,480
will happen if it and that's kind of what I

928
00:46:58,480 --> 00:47:01,280
think is gonna happen regardless, Like the A's seeing him

929
00:47:01,320 --> 00:47:04,519
again in short succession could be very.

930
00:47:04,360 --> 00:47:05,039
Speaker 2: Positive for then.

931
00:47:05,079 --> 00:47:08,800
Speaker 1: The other thing is, prior to Alexander being on the Astros,

932
00:47:08,960 --> 00:47:11,559
he was in the A's organization. That's where he came from.

933
00:47:11,559 --> 00:47:14,039
He was with Las Vegas earlier this year, pitching a

934
00:47:14,079 --> 00:47:15,599
lot of games in Triple A if I if I

935
00:47:15,639 --> 00:47:18,519
remember correctly, so if any team might have a beat

936
00:47:18,559 --> 00:47:20,800
on him, it should be the A's facing him a

937
00:47:20,840 --> 00:47:23,679
second time. That being said, can you can you trust

938
00:47:23,679 --> 00:47:26,000
the A's right now, who are clearly having like that

939
00:47:26,000 --> 00:47:29,000
that youth moment where they're just not playing good baseball.

940
00:47:29,239 --> 00:47:31,400
On the other side, you've got Louis Severino, go look

941
00:47:31,400 --> 00:47:34,840
at his home road splits. He's been horrible in Sacramento.

942
00:47:35,079 --> 00:47:37,920
He's talked about hating playing in that ballpark. It's a

943
00:47:38,039 --> 00:47:40,480
it's a park that gives up cheap home runs and

944
00:47:41,239 --> 00:47:43,119
a lot of these players have said it it's got

945
00:47:43,119 --> 00:47:45,679
a cheap feel to it. It just it doesn't feel

946
00:47:45,679 --> 00:47:48,920
like a major league stadium. Brian just went, Brian Leonard can.

947
00:47:48,840 --> 00:47:49,280
Speaker 2: Talk to that.

948
00:47:49,519 --> 00:47:52,360
Speaker 1: It just they don't like the fact that they're like

949
00:47:52,480 --> 00:47:54,119
going to the clubhouse and left field.

950
00:47:54,159 --> 00:47:55,760
Speaker 2: It just doesn't have the big league feel.

951
00:47:55,800 --> 00:47:57,960
Speaker 1: And when you're a guy like Severno who's been in

952
00:47:57,960 --> 00:47:59,840
the big leagues for a while, that might wear on

953
00:47:59,880 --> 00:48:02,480
you more than let's say, the rest of the A's

954
00:48:02,599 --> 00:48:05,760
roster who's been minor leaguers. You know, they just all

955
00:48:05,800 --> 00:48:07,840
got here. They were just playing in the minors a

956
00:48:07,880 --> 00:48:10,760
year ago. So sever Reino loves pitching on the road.

957
00:48:11,199 --> 00:48:13,440
This year, on the road for seven, Reno three point

958
00:48:13,440 --> 00:48:16,400
one ora his home, his home ERA six point sixty eight.

959
00:48:17,000 --> 00:48:20,000
Uh batting average against on the road two point one five.

960
00:48:20,679 --> 00:48:23,000
They're hitting three h two against him at home. So

961
00:48:23,920 --> 00:48:27,039
the home road splits are glaring right there. I like

962
00:48:27,119 --> 00:48:29,039
the A's. I wish I was getting a better number.

963
00:48:29,039 --> 00:48:30,719
I wish I could somehow get it plus one and

964
00:48:30,760 --> 00:48:33,440
a half maybe in the parlay. But this feels like

965
00:48:33,480 --> 00:48:35,519
the spot where the A's have success, and that plus

966
00:48:35,559 --> 00:48:38,760
money it's probably the right play. Do I want to

967
00:48:38,800 --> 00:48:41,000
get involved with them? I'm not sure. Sorry, Brian, did

968
00:48:41,000 --> 00:48:41,920
you want to follow up there?

969
00:48:42,639 --> 00:48:43,920
Speaker 3: Uh? No, I did not.

970
00:48:45,119 --> 00:48:49,800
Speaker 1: Okay, So we have ten minutes left. Timed it out perfectly.

971
00:48:50,519 --> 00:48:55,519
I priced in the rant into the into the timing today.

972
00:48:55,719 --> 00:48:57,440
So we're down in the last ten minutes and we

973
00:48:57,480 --> 00:48:58,760
still have a game to talk about.

974
00:48:59,119 --> 00:49:01,280
Speaker 2: Last one on the board. It's the other half.

975
00:49:01,360 --> 00:49:03,800
Speaker 1: Well, it's two other teams out of the AO West

976
00:49:04,239 --> 00:49:06,159
and what I would consider it to be the game

977
00:49:06,199 --> 00:49:06,880
of the day today.

978
00:49:07,239 --> 00:49:11,639
Speaker 2: So Angels, Mariners, Kakuchi Evans. Is that what we have, Brian,

979
00:49:12,119 --> 00:49:14,519
That's what we've got, all right, take it away.

980
00:49:14,840 --> 00:49:16,480
Speaker 3: I do want to point out these are the two

981
00:49:16,639 --> 00:49:19,599
best hitting teams in the last fourteen days. The Angels

982
00:49:19,679 --> 00:49:23,360
WRC plus one thirty two, Seattle at one twenty seven,

983
00:49:23,840 --> 00:49:27,519
right ahead of the Toronto Blue Jays. We've got Evans

984
00:49:27,519 --> 00:49:31,679
against Kakuchi, Kakuchi being the left hander. The Angels are

985
00:49:31,719 --> 00:49:37,159
about a one thirty seventh favorite total of nine Logan

986
00:49:37,239 --> 00:49:42,400
Evans three point eight one ERA, but it's expected the

987
00:49:42,480 --> 00:49:46,079
IRA is five point five to one. His whip is

988
00:49:46,119 --> 00:49:48,800
one point four to two. If you look at his

989
00:49:48,840 --> 00:49:52,800
stackcast page, there is not any red on his card.

990
00:49:53,800 --> 00:49:56,400
The best thing he does is walk great seven point

991
00:49:56,440 --> 00:49:59,039
seven percent compared to league average of eight point four.

992
00:50:00,000 --> 00:50:05,920
He's in the bottom twentieth percentile in expected RA expected

993
00:50:05,920 --> 00:50:10,199
batting average everas ectx a velocity fIF percentage, strike up percentage,

994
00:50:10,199 --> 00:50:14,079
barrel rate, hard hit percentage, and extension. He is a

995
00:50:14,159 --> 00:50:17,119
guy with the three point eight one AL it is

996
00:50:17,199 --> 00:50:21,000
probably one of the most overrated pitchers in Major League

997
00:50:21,039 --> 00:50:23,559
Baseball at this point. He's going against a good hitting

998
00:50:23,599 --> 00:50:26,039
Angels team. I think the Angels are going to score

999
00:50:26,079 --> 00:50:29,639
some runs against him. Kakuci, even though he has only

1000
00:50:29,679 --> 00:50:31,480
a four point of excuse me, a four and six

1001
00:50:31,559 --> 00:50:34,719
record on the season, three point one three ERA, four

1002
00:50:34,760 --> 00:50:39,599
point two six expected ERA. So he's a guy who

1003
00:50:40,119 --> 00:50:42,480
has been pitching with a little bit of luck as well.

1004
00:50:43,000 --> 00:50:46,440
One point three to eight WHIP. His walk rate is

1005
00:50:46,480 --> 00:50:49,320
ten point three strike out right twenty four point four.

1006
00:50:50,239 --> 00:50:53,119
So we've got two guys here that can be hit

1007
00:50:54,119 --> 00:50:57,960
and the year being going up against two of the

1008
00:50:58,000 --> 00:51:02,320
hottest offenses in baseball. Now. I think Kakuchi from a

1009
00:51:02,320 --> 00:51:05,360
pitching standpoint, is a much better pitcher than Evans is.

1010
00:51:05,519 --> 00:51:07,920
But if you do play Kacuchi, you're gonna have to

1011
00:51:07,960 --> 00:51:09,400
lay that number. You're gonna have to lay them one

1012
00:51:09,440 --> 00:51:13,519
thirty eight. I like the Angels slightly here, but I

1013
00:51:13,559 --> 00:51:16,920
also like this game to go over the total of nine.

1014
00:51:17,840 --> 00:51:21,119
Seattle's hit really well on the road all season long.

1015
00:51:21,440 --> 00:51:23,599
LA is a very good offensive team. A lot of

1016
00:51:23,599 --> 00:51:26,159
home runs out of this Angels team, they're more like

1017
00:51:26,199 --> 00:51:28,519
the Yankees are, or you get a lot. They don't

1018
00:51:28,559 --> 00:51:30,719
have enough guys that can move people along. It's either

1019
00:51:30,760 --> 00:51:33,360
a big day or a bad day for the Angels.

1020
00:51:33,639 --> 00:51:36,320
Toronto's was similar to that in certain regards, but now

1021
00:51:36,360 --> 00:51:39,599
they've got some players back this year that can can

1022
00:51:39,719 --> 00:51:45,000
generate offense. There's three games, three games I'm looking at today,

1023
00:51:45,079 --> 00:51:47,119
and I'm probably going to pass. I just want to

1024
00:51:47,159 --> 00:51:50,960
let everybody know I don't force plays and I have

1025
00:51:51,119 --> 00:51:54,400
everything's not been going great anyway lately for me. There's

1026
00:51:54,440 --> 00:51:56,599
three teams I'm looking for in my parlay. I'm looking

1027
00:51:56,599 --> 00:52:01,199
at Toronto. I'm looking at as as Brandon pointed out,

1028
00:52:01,280 --> 00:52:03,760
the Athletics team total over, and I like the Angels

1029
00:52:03,760 --> 00:52:06,599
team total over. And I will use whichever one of

1030
00:52:06,599 --> 00:52:09,639
those you guys don't use as my brother.

1031
00:52:11,000 --> 00:52:18,320
Speaker 4: I'm not using any so you can use Adam's not okay, guys,

1032
00:52:18,440 --> 00:52:20,719
go to the replay, click the like and leave a

1033
00:52:20,760 --> 00:52:23,400
comment for us. Tell wager Talk that you like our show.

1034
00:52:25,239 --> 00:52:27,599
I have an MLB play out today. And also you

1035
00:52:27,639 --> 00:52:31,360
can download my pitcher projections and all of my bullpen

1036
00:52:31,440 --> 00:52:34,400
and hitter rankings for free. At my page. I'm sure

1037
00:52:34,400 --> 00:52:37,800
Adam will have a play up today as well. Regarding

1038
00:52:37,880 --> 00:52:41,800
this game, I'm not a big Kikuchi fan. As we

1039
00:52:41,920 --> 00:52:45,760
remember my rant before the All Star Game. I couldn't

1040
00:52:45,800 --> 00:52:49,320
believe he made the All Star Game. But I like

1041
00:52:49,400 --> 00:52:53,440
him today actually not to win the game perhaps, but

1042
00:52:53,559 --> 00:52:56,199
if you look at his historical stats against this team,

1043
00:52:56,440 --> 00:52:59,639
they're pretty good. I think he's got a not I

1044
00:52:59,679 --> 00:53:02,199
think he's got a two to fifteen average against in

1045
00:53:02,320 --> 00:53:04,880
ninety three out bats and only a five eight five

1046
00:53:04,960 --> 00:53:08,280
ops where seven fifty is kind of the Mendoza lince,

1047
00:53:08,360 --> 00:53:11,639
So really good stats against this team. And at home

1048
00:53:12,679 --> 00:53:15,719
he's got a He's got a one ERA. I mean,

1049
00:53:16,519 --> 00:53:19,679
pretty good stuff. It's not exactly one, what is it?

1050
00:53:19,760 --> 00:53:23,360
One nine to eight ERA and fifty nine innings at home.

1051
00:53:23,599 --> 00:53:24,639
It's pretty good stuff.

1052
00:53:25,360 --> 00:53:25,480
Speaker 1: Uh.

1053
00:53:26,039 --> 00:53:29,079
Speaker 4: Looking at the Seattle lineup, I have them ranked seventeen

1054
00:53:29,159 --> 00:53:30,920
out of thirty right now, So I would say a

1055
00:53:31,039 --> 00:53:33,320
Seattle team total under would be the way I would

1056
00:53:33,320 --> 00:53:35,800
go in this one if I'm going to play it,

1057
00:53:36,000 --> 00:53:39,440
or I wouldn't argue with Brian taking the Angels on

1058
00:53:39,480 --> 00:53:42,880
the money line as well. The Angels bullpen scares me

1059
00:53:42,920 --> 00:53:46,000
a little bit, but actually Seattle is not performing very

1060
00:53:46,000 --> 00:53:49,719
well either in current form. So yeah, I would agree

1061
00:53:49,760 --> 00:53:50,960
with Brian on that as well.

1062
00:53:52,519 --> 00:53:54,800
Speaker 1: Brian, that was my strategy, by the way, wait, wait

1063
00:53:54,840 --> 00:53:57,800
and see what everyone else does and then then pick,

1064
00:53:58,039 --> 00:53:59,880
you know, because that's because that's just how hard it

1065
00:53:59,920 --> 00:54:02,880
is to decide between these games today where nothing really

1066
00:54:03,239 --> 00:54:03,760
pops out.

1067
00:54:03,800 --> 00:54:05,440
Speaker 2: The lines all seem very accurate.

1068
00:54:06,159 --> 00:54:11,079
Speaker 1: I got I'm not getting like ranking prospects is like,

1069
00:54:11,400 --> 00:54:13,639
this is where it's a problem, like because now the

1070
00:54:13,639 --> 00:54:16,199
Mariners continue to feel like they have to force Logan

1071
00:54:16,239 --> 00:54:19,079
Evans because he came into the season with a lot

1072
00:54:19,119 --> 00:54:21,519
of hype. It wasn't that he was like a So

1073
00:54:21,639 --> 00:54:23,719
the two things you see with these like prospect type

1074
00:54:23,719 --> 00:54:26,679
guys are one, they're drafted too highly and then the

1075
00:54:26,679 --> 00:54:29,800
team feels like they have to like run them out

1076
00:54:29,840 --> 00:54:31,920
there because they've got to get some return out of them.

1077
00:54:31,920 --> 00:54:34,119
If not, someone in the front office probably loses their

1078
00:54:34,199 --> 00:54:36,800
job for drafting someone highly and it turning into nothing.

1079
00:54:37,239 --> 00:54:39,960
And then two, when they they really move up and

1080
00:54:40,239 --> 00:54:42,719
they get in like these top one hundred prospects lists

1081
00:54:42,719 --> 00:54:45,079
and stuff like that, and then it's like we're still

1082
00:54:45,079 --> 00:54:47,800
forcing Logan Evans out into big league games. It's like

1083
00:54:47,800 --> 00:54:50,719
the third try this year, and he's really done very

1084
00:54:50,760 --> 00:54:53,800
little to inspire confidence.

1085
00:54:53,320 --> 00:54:55,360
Speaker 2: That he's going to do much at the big league level.

1086
00:54:55,480 --> 00:54:56,719
So that's you know what I've seen.

1087
00:54:57,360 --> 00:55:00,599
Speaker 1: I didn't think he was ready watching his to call starts,

1088
00:55:01,199 --> 00:55:03,760
and it's like the Mariners are now on try number three.

1089
00:55:04,039 --> 00:55:06,079
Some of that has to go back to like you know,

1090
00:55:06,239 --> 00:55:09,559
they might Emerson Hancock didn't really step up and take

1091
00:55:09,599 --> 00:55:10,079
that spot.

1092
00:55:10,119 --> 00:55:12,800
Speaker 2: And then who's the guy that's hurt? Is it Miller? Brian?

1093
00:55:13,079 --> 00:55:15,119
Is Bryce Miller the one that's still out?

1094
00:55:15,480 --> 00:55:16,199
Speaker 3: Yeah?

1095
00:55:16,360 --> 00:55:19,280
Speaker 1: Right, So like that's why Logan Evans is here, right,

1096
00:55:19,360 --> 00:55:21,519
Like he's that is why he's here. And when you

1097
00:55:21,559 --> 00:55:23,559
look at the stuff, the under you know, the underlying

1098
00:55:23,599 --> 00:55:26,440
metrics and what and whatnot, he's not a guy I

1099
00:55:26,440 --> 00:55:28,639
want to back and I don't really think he belongs

1100
00:55:28,679 --> 00:55:31,599
in a big league rotation right now. So clear edge

1101
00:55:32,039 --> 00:55:36,199
in the pitching to to the Angels because Kakuchi, Yeah,

1102
00:55:36,239 --> 00:55:39,119
I mean, you know, I TV, I'll agree with you,

1103
00:55:39,159 --> 00:55:40,760
like on any other team he might not be an

1104
00:55:40,800 --> 00:55:42,639
All Star because you know, the Angels didn't really have

1105
00:55:42,679 --> 00:55:44,800
a great candidate outside of them to send it a

1106
00:55:44,800 --> 00:55:47,760
game I suppose, but like he's still.

1107
00:55:47,519 --> 00:55:49,679
Speaker 2: Been pretty good. Yeah, I don't.

1108
00:55:50,199 --> 00:55:52,840
Speaker 1: That's how like little I followed, did did Trout actually go?

1109
00:55:53,000 --> 00:55:55,119
Was he on the team this year? I don't remember.

1110
00:55:55,519 --> 00:55:57,880
Couldn't care less. All Star Games doesn't matter to me.

1111
00:55:59,199 --> 00:56:03,800
The Uji, though, at times, has looked very good. At

1112
00:56:03,800 --> 00:56:06,159
times he's looked very good. He the one thing I

1113
00:56:06,199 --> 00:56:09,360
love about Kakuchi is the ability to pitch, like sort

1114
00:56:09,360 --> 00:56:11,320
of get himself into a jam and pitch out of it.

1115
00:56:11,760 --> 00:56:14,800
Like that's just a good veteran sort of sort of

1116
00:56:14,840 --> 00:56:18,280
thing he has going. And the Mariners have hit better

1117
00:56:18,360 --> 00:56:19,760
on the road, but I think he can kind of

1118
00:56:19,840 --> 00:56:22,719
keep the ball down, throw some off speed stuff here,

1119
00:56:23,119 --> 00:56:25,920
and you know he might be able to limit the

1120
00:56:25,920 --> 00:56:28,920
Mariners in that regard. So I lean the Angels, but

1121
00:56:29,000 --> 00:56:32,039
this price is is not very palatable, so I'll have

1122
00:56:32,079 --> 00:56:32,719
to again.

1123
00:56:32,760 --> 00:56:35,199
Speaker 2: I'm gonna can we go to you TV? Do you

1124
00:56:35,280 --> 00:56:35,960
know what you want to do?

1125
00:56:36,000 --> 00:56:38,760
Speaker 1: Because Brian and I like they don't want to pick yet,

1126
00:56:38,760 --> 00:56:40,199
so why don't you kick off the parlay?

1127
00:56:40,719 --> 00:56:44,960
Speaker 4: Okay, I'm looking at Pinnacle just because I don't have

1128
00:56:45,039 --> 00:56:47,679
draft kings up right now. I like the Mariners team

1129
00:56:47,679 --> 00:56:49,920
total under four and a half and they have it

1130
00:56:49,960 --> 00:56:53,840
at minus one thirty two, So I think I'll go

1131
00:56:54,800 --> 00:56:57,320
with that one today.

1132
00:56:57,480 --> 00:56:58,800
Speaker 2: You said minus one thirty two.

1133
00:56:59,400 --> 00:57:01,480
Speaker 4: That's what it is is on Pinnacle, But usually those

1134
00:57:01,519 --> 00:57:04,480
lines are very nice compared to Draft Kings. It's probably

1135
00:57:04,480 --> 00:57:06,000
one forty five on DraftKings.

1136
00:57:06,079 --> 00:57:12,920
Speaker 3: Right. DraftKings has a totally different number. It's minus one

1137
00:57:13,159 --> 00:57:15,840
forty at a high, minus one twenty seven at the lower.

1138
00:57:15,880 --> 00:57:17,119
So whatever you want to choose.

1139
00:57:16,920 --> 00:57:20,960
Speaker 4: There, minus one forty's all right. It's a big parlayce.

1140
00:57:23,920 --> 00:57:27,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, and again we talk about again we talk about

1141
00:57:27,800 --> 00:57:28,880
parlaying team totals.

1142
00:57:28,880 --> 00:57:30,039
Speaker 2: I know some people can't do.

1143
00:57:30,039 --> 00:57:33,239
Speaker 1: It, like if you can't get on TV's team total.

1144
00:57:34,119 --> 00:57:37,280
Angels winning about the Sea. Yeah, Angels win is about

1145
00:57:37,280 --> 00:57:39,440
the same price. I kind of think they win today.

1146
00:57:39,519 --> 00:57:41,480
I don't love the price. I kind of think they win.

1147
00:57:41,599 --> 00:57:43,679
So that would sort of correlate with with Tokyo brand

1148
00:57:43,760 --> 00:57:45,320
Degrees is.

1149
00:57:45,360 --> 00:57:47,840
Speaker 2: Talking about all right, Brian, who's who's going?

1150
00:57:47,880 --> 00:57:52,000
Speaker 3: You were me, I'll go I'll take Toronto Blower. You're

1151
00:57:52,039 --> 00:57:54,280
getting them at a plus price. I prefer to play

1152
00:57:54,360 --> 00:57:57,760
underdogs as opposed to favorites when I regular chance. And

1153
00:57:57,880 --> 00:58:00,280
since he's got the start of this off with the

1154
00:58:00,320 --> 00:58:06,000
minus one forty. I'll come back with Detroit one ten

1155
00:58:06,920 --> 00:58:11,400
Detroit or Toronto plus one ten. Here, Detroit's been good

1156
00:58:11,400 --> 00:58:13,599
on the season versus lefties, but this isn't the same

1157
00:58:13,599 --> 00:58:17,599
lineup that they had earlier this season in Lower. I

1158
00:58:17,599 --> 00:58:20,480
think we'll continue to pitch well. Like I said, this

1159
00:58:20,559 --> 00:58:24,519
is not the kind of card I like. It's seven

1160
00:58:24,559 --> 00:58:27,599
games and there's nothing that really jumps out at me.

1161
00:58:27,719 --> 00:58:31,119
So I may play some props later on for clients,

1162
00:58:31,119 --> 00:58:33,360
but I'm not gonna have anything for sage or titles.

1163
00:58:34,880 --> 00:58:37,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, once the I'm with you there.

1164
00:58:37,920 --> 00:58:40,360
Speaker 1: I was gonna use this one of you didn't until

1165
00:58:40,400 --> 00:58:43,400
the Tigers stopped playing like the eerie Sea Wolves, their

1166
00:58:43,440 --> 00:58:45,960
double A affiliate. I think you got to keep playing

1167
00:58:46,000 --> 00:58:50,000
against him. They just that they've looked like not the

1168
00:58:50,039 --> 00:58:52,719
same team. So I don't disagree with that at all.

1169
00:58:52,719 --> 00:58:55,079
I really like Lower and since you took that one,

1170
00:58:55,159 --> 00:58:56,880
I'm just gonna you know what, let's go for le

1171
00:58:57,239 --> 00:58:59,079
Let's try to hit a good one today. I'm going

1172
00:58:59,159 --> 00:59:02,639
A's money line. Severino's numbers are so much better on

1173
00:59:02,679 --> 00:59:05,719
the road. The splits are night and day. Someone in

1174
00:59:05,760 --> 00:59:08,119
the chat said the Astros are winning with a Space

1175
00:59:08,159 --> 00:59:11,719
Cowboys roster. They're right that that's referring to the Sugarland

1176
00:59:11,719 --> 00:59:13,840
Space Cowboys, their Triple A team.

1177
00:59:14,159 --> 00:59:15,000
Speaker 2: I mean this, this.

1178
00:59:15,000 --> 00:59:21,079
Speaker 1: Astros lineup nine yeah, like one to nine. This Astros

1179
00:59:21,119 --> 00:59:24,119
lineup very much looks like a Triple A lineup. It's

1180
00:59:24,119 --> 00:59:26,639
been amazing to see what they've done to this point.

1181
00:59:26,760 --> 00:59:29,599
But you you essentially have triple A lineup, and Jason

1182
00:59:29,639 --> 00:59:32,079
Alexander Is is no more than a Triple A starter

1183
00:59:32,159 --> 00:59:33,880
at the big league level. He might be a guy

1184
00:59:33,880 --> 00:59:35,719
that you put in when you're down five and see

1185
00:59:35,760 --> 00:59:36,800
if he can keep you in the game.

1186
00:59:36,880 --> 00:59:38,880
Speaker 2: Like that's what he is in my opinion right now

1187
00:59:38,960 --> 00:59:39,840
at the big league level.

1188
00:59:40,559 --> 00:59:42,440
Speaker 1: So the fact that we can get plus one to

1189
00:59:42,519 --> 00:59:45,239
ten with the guy that remember the A's paid this

1190
00:59:45,280 --> 00:59:47,639
guy at one point they thought Severino was their ace

1191
00:59:48,119 --> 00:59:50,480
like and and actually on the road, he's.

1192
00:59:50,400 --> 00:59:53,440
Speaker 2: Kind of pitched like it. The road numbers are very good.

1193
00:59:53,519 --> 00:59:56,360
Speaker 1: I don't know what kind of like voodoo goes on

1194
00:59:56,480 --> 00:59:59,519
in Sutter Health Park, but he either can't pitch there

1195
00:59:59,559 --> 01:00:00,719
or he doesn't want to pitch there.

1196
01:00:01,039 --> 01:00:02,679
Speaker 2: When he's been on the road, he's been very good.

1197
01:00:02,719 --> 01:00:05,719
Speaker 1: So let's let's go for some Uh, that's a that'll

1198
01:00:05,760 --> 01:00:07,760
be a pretty good parlay. We've got two dogs in

1199
01:00:07,800 --> 01:00:11,960
there today, So I'm gonna, I'm gonna, I'm gonna run

1200
01:00:12,000 --> 01:00:14,000
this one. This this should be over six to one.

1201
01:00:14,280 --> 01:00:16,280
This would this would be the one we we sort

1202
01:00:16,280 --> 01:00:18,159
of need to really get back in the mix. We

1203
01:00:18,280 --> 01:00:21,199
have Brian Leonard's going plus one ten. Brian, what's the

1204
01:00:21,280 --> 01:00:23,280
number on A's that's fair right now?

1205
01:00:24,159 --> 01:00:24,559
Speaker 3: One ten?

1206
01:00:26,039 --> 01:00:28,719
Speaker 1: All right, so we've got a plus one ten. Yeah,

1207
01:00:28,760 --> 01:00:31,039
so we got plus one ten with the A's, plus

1208
01:00:31,039 --> 01:00:33,920
one ten with the Blue Jays, and then Tokyo Brandon

1209
01:00:34,000 --> 01:00:37,960
is on Mariners team total under four and a half.

1210
01:00:38,440 --> 01:00:41,440
It's like roughly minus one thirty two. If you can't

1211
01:00:41,440 --> 01:00:43,760
parlay the team total, you can throw Angels money line

1212
01:00:43,800 --> 01:00:46,880
in there at essentially the same price. Boys, that's plus

1213
01:00:46,920 --> 01:00:49,960
six seventy five that that would get us back on

1214
01:00:50,159 --> 01:00:53,199
track right here in the parlay category, the plus six

1215
01:00:53,280 --> 01:00:54,480
seventy five to three teamer.

1216
01:00:55,119 --> 01:00:55,920
Speaker 2: So let's do it.

1217
01:00:55,960 --> 01:00:59,960
Speaker 1: That's A's money line for me, blue Jay's money line

1218
01:01:00,199 --> 01:01:02,159
for Brian Leonard, and then we've got a team total,

1219
01:01:02,159 --> 01:01:05,000
Mariners team total under four and a half for Tokyo Brandon.

1220
01:01:05,519 --> 01:01:07,119
Speaker 2: That's the three teamer guys. We did it.

1221
01:01:07,159 --> 01:01:10,000
Speaker 1: We managed to turn a five game slate into our

1222
01:01:10,039 --> 01:01:14,639
normal hour show right on the money rant included, priced

1223
01:01:14,679 --> 01:01:18,920
into the priced into the timing. Have a great day

1224
01:01:18,960 --> 01:01:21,039
and we'll be back to normal tomorrow we get the

1225
01:01:21,039 --> 01:01:23,679
full slate. We'll be on the ball, we'll be clicking

1226
01:01:23,679 --> 01:01:26,119
through normal. No, we won't go in order. Sorry, that's

1227
01:01:26,159 --> 01:01:28,199
never gonna happen. It's always going to go off of

1228
01:01:28,239 --> 01:01:31,159
you guys in the chat. Don't forget to like and subscribe.

1229
01:01:31,880 --> 01:01:33,960
Head on over to waiter Talk YouTube channel, drop us

1230
01:01:33,960 --> 01:01:36,280
a comment, and we'll see you guys in the morning.