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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It's Friday. It's time for total Bass.

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I'm here live from the final four. I think I

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think the Indianapolis Motor Speedway is like right there. I'm

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looking and pointing out my window. Your boy could not

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get close to Lucasoil Stadium. Forget about that. I'm like

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way on the other side of town here in Indie.

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But we're here to talk about baseball, and so that's

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what we're gonna do. A respectable slate today, boys. Yesterday

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was was rough, just three games. The idea of leaving

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the weather day, I guess kind of backfired because there

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was no game through schedule that we didn't have a

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ton to talk about. Today, we've got the full slate

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and we've got day games, night games. It's a great

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day of baseball. We're gonna start with one of the

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day games, though, and I'm gonna go to Tokyo Brandon

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first because we have.

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Speaker 2: So.

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Speaker 1: I will say this, I don't typically revise my ratings

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this early, but because I had the Mariners and the

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Yankee or the Mariners in the Yankees one A and

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one B. After the Yankees took two of three from

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the Mariners, I felt like it was only right to

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bump them to the top of my American League power rankings.

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So I now have the Yankees one. They get off

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to a five and one start. They come off of

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taking two of three from the team I previously had one,

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which was the Mariners, and they face a Marlins team

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that's also five and one. But I don't think these

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two five and ones are are quite equal. So Tokyo Brainon,

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kick us off Marlin's Yankees in the Bronx today the

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home opener for the Bronx Bombers. How are you seeing

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this one?

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Speaker 3: I'm feeling good. I won my five percent yesterday, which

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was the Twins Royals first five under loved it, and

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then I won the Atlanta Money Line. So yeah, I

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had a good day. So let's keep it rolling this game. Yeah,

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Will Warren has no history against this Miami team in Miami.

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If you said six games into the season, Miami is

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gonna be five, everyone, probably someone would have institutionalized you.

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But they are talented, and we've talked on this show

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several several times that all three of us think Miami

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is an up and coming team with a good, young,

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solid roster, and their management has their head on straight.

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So it's an up and coming team. I don't know

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if it's a playoff team, but two months ago I

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bet a future Miami Marlins over seventy three wins, So

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I'm kind of liking how this is going. I think

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I got it for like plus no, no, no, I'm sorry,

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it was minus one ten, but so I'm liking how

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that goes. So regarding today, Will Warren has no stats

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against this team, I don't really know what to expect,

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but I know that New York's bullpen is pretty good

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and they're rested, so I would temper my expectations for

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Miami Uri Press though he has really good history against

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these New York batters. I like Miami's bullpenned currently ranked

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number one in MLB in current form, So I like

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the New York Yankees team total under in this one.

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If I'm going to play it. It's not a client player.

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I haven't put it out. I have several plays out today,

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but that's not one of them. But I'd say Yankees

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team total under if I was going to bet this game.

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Speaker 1: Brian Leonard, you were kind of ahead of the curve

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on the Marlins. A couple of years ago kind of

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overhauling their player development and you know, sort of bringing

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some of these guys along, like the Uri Perezes and

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just the multitude of young players they have in their organization.

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I think we're both on the same page thinking that's

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going to pay off at some point for this team.

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Five and one start, though, is that paying off or

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is that just a kind of an easy schedule out

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the gate.

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Speaker 2: Well, actually, if you take a look at expected wins,

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both teams have five wins and they were expected to

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win four point four, so both of the little bit

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a little bit lucky so far. Obviously, the Marlins have

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taken advantage of some lesser competition. The Yankees web percentage

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should be seventy four percent, the Marlins basically seventy two

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point nine. But if you take a look at the

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starting pitchers here, Geri Perez, he'll be facing three left

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excuse me, three righty's and six lefties. He doesn't have

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any splits between the two. He's a very good picture

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either way. He's got like a nineteen percent strikeout mars

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walk ratio to both. He's been very good. His expected

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WOLBA against lefties is slightly higher, point three h nine

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against two seventy four. But when you take a look

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at the Yankees picture Will Warren, Will Warren against Ready's

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last year twenty eight point six, strek out rate against

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lefties twenty walk right five point five percent, walk right

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against lefties twelve point one. So he's very good against

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Ready's not so good against lefties, and today he's going

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to face five of the nine batters are going to

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be lefties. Will Warren does pitch better at home. He's

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been very good at home. If you take a look

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at his numbers, He's a much more comfortable pitching in

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the Yankee Stadium than he is on the road. I

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will point out today as we're as I'm sitting here

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in my office in my home office in Vegas, wind

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is blowing like crazy, and I think wind and rain

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around the country today is going to affect a lot

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of games. So keep that in mind. We may see

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some some situations where it rains in the middle of

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the game. We talk about this a lot. If there's

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a rain delay and you're putting a lot of your

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your handicapping on the starting pitchers, then all of a

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sudden there's an hour rain delay. He's not coming back out.

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Chances are he's not coming back out to pitch again.

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So if you're one of those kind of guys, this

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may be a day to really look at your weather.

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And if you're also playing overs and props, that would

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be a concern for the pitchers. Also, the number to

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me seems about right. Obviously, I like Perez better than

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I like Warren, but the Yankees have been a very

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good home team over the last few years. They've built

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their team around the dimensions of this stadium, and I'm

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just I know Perez will probably last longer because he's

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been stressed out a little bit more than Warren has.

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But I think the lines about what I thought it

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would be, and I don't know if I'm to be

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involved in this one.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Brian, I'm with you. The lines about what I

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thought it would be as well. I was hoping for

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a Marlins plus one and a half that was a

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that was better value. I think there's an edge for

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Perez over Will Warren. I mean, if you just look

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at you just fought the stat cast page from last year,

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Warren's got a lot of blue outside of a good

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basketball and good extension, and it was mostly not great

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now I think he could potentially improve upon that. But

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I look at Uri Perez from last year and I

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remember to myself, you know, this was a guy that

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was on almost a full year of rehab. So it's like,

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if you go back to the beginning of the year

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last year, they really eased him along in terms of

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like the way they allowed him to come back from

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pretty a pretty catastrophic injury. I mean, correct me if

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I'm wrong, Brian, did he not miss almost like two years?

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It's about two years?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it was. It was over a full year, and

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he had such a bright future at the time. And

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also Octo missed a lot of times. So Miami had

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some guys that were really good pitchers and they ran

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inswer that I do want to point out. You mentioned

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the first half you're paying about twenty five thirty cents.

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Is you're getting a less twenty five thirty cents if

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you're going to the first five. But if you really

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liked the starting pitcher, that might be the way to

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take a look at it.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, listen, like Perez almost two I said,

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two two and a half months just in the minors

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to start the year last year, where they pretty much

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let him work his way from like rookie ball all

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the way back through Triple A, multiple starts at each level,

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and then again he kind of came up, had one

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really good start, started overthrowing. So I'm like willing, I'm

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more willing to throw his last year out than Warren,

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which I think maybe we stall, you know, my gut says,

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maybe that's what Warren is more so than Perez, because

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I know Perez was coming off the injury. And of

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course if you go back three years ago when Perez

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was a prospect, I mean there was a lot of

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people very excited about him, which I still think he

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could realize that upside down the road because I think

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his skills that is, you know, more appealing than Warren

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in terms of like an upside standpoint. I think back

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to last year, coming out of the Break, the Marlins

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and the way they slapped the Yankees around in that series.

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I think it was one of the first series out

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of the All Star Break the Marlins ended up I

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believe sweeping. They were up for it. I think they'll

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be up for the trip to the Bronx. Here. You

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have to ask yourself, you know, Yankees, they have the

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Netflix special to open the season. Then they have a

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huge series in Seattle. I know it's the home openers,

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you know, And I'll throw this out to either of you, Tokyo, Brandon,

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maybe you can chime in. Is this a little bit

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of a letdown spot even though it's the Yankees home opener,

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because they had that big series and then they fly

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all the way back home for this game.

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Speaker 3: I don't think so. And the reason is because yesterday

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was a day off. So I think, you know, I

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think more like a home team coming home today, such

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as the Twins, who had I had a two game series,

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they come home and they play right away. That I

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think is more of an effect than having a day off.

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You know, you get to pet your dog and then

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you got to go play baseball, right, But the Yankees

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got a day to just chill out.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, Brian, what about what about you?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? I think home opener. Everybody gets excited for the

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home opener, So even though they had the day off,

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I think there's a lot of nervousness. You kind of

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you touched on it, but you didn't go into it

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a lot, Yesterda. Yeah, last year the Yankees played in

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Marlins three times. And the Marlins won all three games.

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They went seven to three, they went two to nothing,

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and they went thirteen to twelve. So they've been able

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to win a normal a normal game scoring ten runs.

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They won the pitching battle and Eurie Perez was the

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one he went. I got Schlittler last year, and then

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they won with Junk and Rodin, So they've been able

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to win the high scoring game, the low scoring game.

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In the middle of game, Miami gets up. Everybody wants

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to beat the Yankees. That's just the way it's always

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And when you're a National League team, how do you

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hear about the Yankees? You finally get a chance to

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play them, you're going to be up for that. And

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starting the season five on one, you know Miami's coming

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to play in this one.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think they're going to come to play. I

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ultimately think the Marlins plus one and a half would

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be the correct way to play it, getting that road

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team on the run line. But at the current price,

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it's it's kind of tough to justify as a straight bet.

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Maybe it'll make the parlay. You'll have to wait till

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the end of the show to find that out. You

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get all of our plays, someone in the chat says,

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I'm just here to fade Trig. Well, listen, if you

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want to fade me, you can get all of our

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plays on the double play package and just fade them

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if that's what you want.

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Speaker 3: To do, Or you can get Brian and me and

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fade out him.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I mean listen, I will probably beat you

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long term, especially if you're trying to fade the minor

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league baseball that I put out. But hey, if that's

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what you want to do, it's a free country.

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Speaker 3: Last I checked to, I'd like to challenge some of

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these trash tuckers in our chat, to challenge some of them,

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say let's go one week, let's go one on one

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and if you can beat me, fair game.

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Speaker 2: You know outide of the day before we got lineups,

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we have anything going on. So and I'm I'm totally honest.

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I've gotten off to a rough start to Brandon's been running.

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If you're lucky to buy that package and you're you're

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you're looking for a short term Brandon, make sure you

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got Brandon in there, because he's doing a great.

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Speaker 1: Than anyone anyone in the chat. Anyone in the chat.

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You want to book me let me know. We'll set

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it up. We're gonna figure it out.

240
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Speaker 3: We're gonna get three thousand bits the time, we're gonna

241
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have a hot streak, We're gonna have a cold streak.

242
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You know it's gonna happen.

243
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Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah, So anyway, but let's let's move on. TB.

244
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I want to come back to you because you mentioned

245
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a game, uh that I'm interested in. I'm actually gonna

246
00:12:50,120 --> 00:12:52,279
give the guy that said that a play to fade

247
00:12:52,360 --> 00:12:54,120
in a minute right here. But you brought up a

248
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game that you kind of made the point well, you know,

249
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maybe it would play better in this and I tend

250
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to agree with where you were going with that. So

251
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I'm gonna throw you Raised Twins. You talked about the

252
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twins coming home from Kansas City where they had to

253
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sort of fight the elements for a few days, and

254
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then they turn around with off without the off day

255
00:13:14,279 --> 00:13:16,000
to play this game at home. So talk to me

256
00:13:16,039 --> 00:13:19,039
about Raised Twins and sort of you know the point

257
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you were making in the last breakdown.

258
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Speaker 3: Okay, So I made a free play video on this game.

259
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Uh and uh, wayger talk probably has not uploaded it yet,

260
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but it'll be on wayger Talk's YouTube channel very shortly.

261
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Bailey Ober is a guy I like to fade. I don't.

262
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I don't like backing him, and there's a couple of

263
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reasons why he's not very good. It is the main reason,

264
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but uh, if you look at how he pitches against, uh,

265
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these Tampa Bay Rays, it's not very good. Well, I'm sorry,

266
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he doesn't actually have that have good stats against them,

267
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but he's getting off to a poor start this season.

268
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And I like Joe Boil better actually, so I've got

269
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Boyle ranked higher than him. Both bullpens I have ranked

270
00:14:12,559 --> 00:14:16,360
as being somewhat trashy so far to start the season,

271
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but I got Tampa Bay hitting better. I've got both

272
00:14:21,440 --> 00:14:24,759
bullpens bad. But I like Joe Boil better than Bailey Ober.

273
00:14:25,120 --> 00:14:31,039
Despite Ober's numbers in the past against these batters. I

274
00:14:31,159 --> 00:14:34,960
like the Rays. The Twins came off. They had two

275
00:14:35,080 --> 00:14:38,200
nights ago. They played a night game where they got crushed,

276
00:14:38,399 --> 00:14:40,519
and then they came back and played in the morning

277
00:14:41,399 --> 00:14:43,519
where they won five to one, and now they have

278
00:14:43,639 --> 00:14:46,840
to go home and play another game. I think that's

279
00:14:46,879 --> 00:14:50,559
pretty taxing, even though these guys are pretty used to

280
00:14:50,639 --> 00:14:53,840
the travel because that's basically part of their job. That's

281
00:14:53,879 --> 00:14:58,639
their life is traveling and playing. But yeah, that's pretty exhausting.

282
00:14:59,240 --> 00:15:02,279
So I expect to let down here for the Twins.

283
00:15:02,360 --> 00:15:06,120
And if you cap baseball, you know that the come

284
00:15:06,159 --> 00:15:10,279
home play the next day letdown is a real thing.

285
00:15:12,799 --> 00:15:16,080
Speaker 1: Yeah. I bet the race here. Bet I bet raised

286
00:15:16,120 --> 00:15:18,440
minus one oh four. I made it closer to minus

287
00:15:18,440 --> 00:15:21,639
one twenty. I see a lot of those same sort

288
00:15:21,639 --> 00:15:25,679
of situational angles for Tampa. They actually had probably a

289
00:15:25,720 --> 00:15:29,000
better travel setup, had a day off. They were in Milwaukee,

290
00:15:29,039 --> 00:15:33,559
So Milwaukee day off over to Minnesota probably better than Minnesota,

291
00:15:34,399 --> 00:15:38,200
playing in rain and fog and whatever, oversleeping, whatever else

292
00:15:38,320 --> 00:15:40,320
was going on. You know, people oversleep in the game,

293
00:15:40,360 --> 00:15:43,320
although that wasn't their team, but still early start time.

294
00:15:43,759 --> 00:15:46,360
It was just a messy few days in Kansas City.

295
00:15:46,360 --> 00:15:48,679
And now you have to go and sort of quickly

296
00:15:48,720 --> 00:15:50,600
get ready for your home opener. There's going to be

297
00:15:50,600 --> 00:15:52,720
all the fanfare surrounding that. I think they could be

298
00:15:53,159 --> 00:15:55,320
And I'll come to you to close this one down, Brian.

299
00:15:55,399 --> 00:15:58,879
I think they could be, you know, more focused than

300
00:15:59,200 --> 00:16:01,639
the Raise. That is more focused for this game than

301
00:16:01,679 --> 00:16:04,360
the Twins. One other thing I'll put out there before

302
00:16:04,360 --> 00:16:07,360
I throw it to Brian. You know, Boyle, he was

303
00:16:07,399 --> 00:16:10,080
supposed to start the season in Durham, Okay, he was

304
00:16:10,120 --> 00:16:12,240
supposed to be in Triple A to start the season.

305
00:16:12,279 --> 00:16:16,080
This rotation spot opens up for him because Ryan Pepio

306
00:16:16,200 --> 00:16:18,639
goes down with the injury. And this is a guy

307
00:16:18,679 --> 00:16:21,799
that has had his shot at being in a rotation

308
00:16:21,919 --> 00:16:25,320
in the past and it hasn't worked out. And he's

309
00:16:25,360 --> 00:16:30,039
also been phenomenal for like seasons at Triple A and

310
00:16:30,120 --> 00:16:32,480
he just has not been able to stick at the

311
00:16:32,480 --> 00:16:35,799
big league level, and it's been a consistency thing. But

312
00:16:35,879 --> 00:16:37,639
I really felt like he was coming into this year

313
00:16:37,639 --> 00:16:40,440
and his best chance to succeed to this point. You

314
00:16:40,519 --> 00:16:43,039
go back to his first start a couple seeing I

315
00:16:43,240 --> 00:16:45,519
singles in the first inning of that game against the Cardinals,

316
00:16:45,840 --> 00:16:47,799
a little bit of tough luck to go down to nothing.

317
00:16:48,279 --> 00:16:50,799
He ends up going six innings a quality start, gives

318
00:16:50,879 --> 00:16:52,919
up nothing the rest of the time, and doesn't walk

319
00:16:52,960 --> 00:16:56,080
a single batter. I kind of like Boyle coming into

320
00:16:56,120 --> 00:16:57,960
this year, and I think the Raids are going to

321
00:16:58,000 --> 00:17:00,679
be in better position to play today than the Twins. Brian,

322
00:17:01,559 --> 00:17:02,960
go ahead, what did you have to say about this?

323
00:17:03,240 --> 00:17:06,799
Speaker 2: Yeah? First off, with boyle h, he's a guy you're

324
00:17:06,799 --> 00:17:10,279
talking about. Ronick Walkers. In his major league career, he's

325
00:17:10,319 --> 00:17:15,480
walked about eleven percent of batters and Brady Bailey ober

326
00:17:16,960 --> 00:17:18,960
has not been a good pitcher the last two years.

327
00:17:19,440 --> 00:17:22,400
And yet the total in this game is seven and

328
00:17:22,400 --> 00:17:26,680
a half. If I would have without knowing anything else,

329
00:17:27,680 --> 00:17:29,839
just looking at a seven and a half, he'd say, well,

330
00:17:30,519 --> 00:17:32,920
you got to bet the over in this one. But

331
00:17:33,240 --> 00:17:36,359
when you take a look at the weather forecast here,

332
00:17:36,559 --> 00:17:40,160
target field is expected to get twelve twelve percent less

333
00:17:40,240 --> 00:17:43,759
runs in this game, twenty seven percent less home runs.

334
00:17:43,759 --> 00:17:47,880
The win is blowing in and that's why you have that. Also,

335
00:17:50,200 --> 00:17:54,200
I do want you kind of touched on it with

336
00:17:54,759 --> 00:17:59,599
Curter Jensen for Tampa or for Toronto over sleeping yesterday.

337
00:18:00,559 --> 00:18:03,240
I'm on Twitter and we've got a lot of people

338
00:18:03,279 --> 00:18:06,039
now with everybody's betting. You know, sports betting has really

339
00:18:06,039 --> 00:18:09,359
taken off. First thing I hear he's scratched out of

340
00:18:09,400 --> 00:18:11,759
the lineup, the game is fixed. What the hell is

341
00:18:11,799 --> 00:18:14,319
going on? He was planning on betting his homers. Perhaps

342
00:18:14,519 --> 00:18:19,279
it's that's going it's a cheating going. He overslept, and

343
00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:22,200
of course the coach is going to betch him, bet

344
00:18:22,240 --> 00:18:24,599
you what happens. That's what a good coach does, and

345
00:18:24,640 --> 00:18:28,000
so people overreact to something before they even though what happens.

346
00:18:28,160 --> 00:18:30,519
That's the that's the world we live in right now.

347
00:18:31,319 --> 00:18:33,720
But it's funny that the first thing that comes out

348
00:18:33,720 --> 00:18:36,680
of people's mind when he scratched, oh the game has fixed.

349
00:18:36,720 --> 00:18:39,759
Something's going on. Come on, now, step back a little

350
00:18:39,799 --> 00:18:42,559
bit and look at it a different way. He's he's

351
00:18:42,599 --> 00:18:45,519
having a great season so far. He's your number one catcher.

352
00:18:45,599 --> 00:18:48,640
There's a reason why that happened, and I just wanted

353
00:18:48,640 --> 00:18:51,079
to get that out there. It's just very frustrating when

354
00:18:51,079 --> 00:18:54,279
people jump to conclusions without actually putting in the work

355
00:18:54,359 --> 00:18:55,599
and checking it out themselves.

356
00:18:57,079 --> 00:19:00,279
Speaker 1: Yeah. I just want to be crystal clear for the

357
00:19:00,440 --> 00:19:02,799
person or people in the chat that want to fade me.

358
00:19:03,000 --> 00:19:06,079
I bet the race. So I'm letting you guys know

359
00:19:06,480 --> 00:19:09,680
that I bet you, so if you want to, there's

360
00:19:09,720 --> 00:19:11,880
your fate and that will be my parlay leg By

361
00:19:11,880 --> 00:19:14,960
the way, I bet you bet them too, h TV

362
00:19:15,119 --> 00:19:18,200
bet them too, so then you'd be fading Tokyo, Brandon,

363
00:19:18,200 --> 00:19:20,079
I don't think you want to do that right now, Okay,

364
00:19:20,440 --> 00:19:23,319
I understand me. Out of the gate. You know, I

365
00:19:23,519 --> 00:19:26,119
I did win three straight months, but it's uh, it's

366
00:19:26,119 --> 00:19:28,000
been a little slow to start, you know, the last

367
00:19:28,200 --> 00:19:30,119
week or so. So I get that. I would not

368
00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:32,839
pay Tokyo Brandon right now, and that's what you'd be

369
00:19:32,880 --> 00:19:35,039
doing if you bet the twins here, So I wouldn't

370
00:19:35,079 --> 00:19:40,319
do that. Okay, you can see I'm all like jazzed uff.

371
00:19:40,319 --> 00:19:43,920
I was like, you know, Leonard, I got to go to.

372
00:19:45,359 --> 00:19:49,440
Speaker 3: Everyone, so just relax, people, We're gonna bet a thousand

373
00:19:49,480 --> 00:19:51,160
times fired.

374
00:19:50,920 --> 00:19:53,319
Speaker 1: Up I was. I spent like six hours with Andy

375
00:19:53,400 --> 00:19:57,200
Lane yesterday, multiple of which we talked about how we

376
00:19:57,200 --> 00:19:59,319
we left all the winners off of the stuff we

377
00:19:59,359 --> 00:20:01,720
bet yesterday, only bet the losers. So we were like,

378
00:20:01,880 --> 00:20:04,400
you know, we were all jazzed up for for that.

379
00:20:04,559 --> 00:20:06,519
But yeah, no, we had a great time in Indye.

380
00:20:06,799 --> 00:20:10,319
We met a couple of uh uh wager talk viewers,

381
00:20:10,559 --> 00:20:14,079
came up to us at Hinkle took a picture with someone.

382
00:20:14,079 --> 00:20:16,319
So we had a great time. That was. It was

383
00:20:16,359 --> 00:20:19,400
a good uh good time at hinkle Field House. U.

384
00:20:21,599 --> 00:20:23,559
I don't know about that. Yeah. Red Panda was there

385
00:20:23,640 --> 00:20:26,920
by you. She never misses. Red Panda never misses great

386
00:20:26,960 --> 00:20:31,440
halftime entertainment no matter what. But we got more baseball

387
00:20:31,480 --> 00:20:34,920
to talk about. Let's continue, Let's move on. I'm gonna

388
00:20:34,920 --> 00:20:39,000
go to the chat here. I'll go I'm gonna give

389
00:20:39,000 --> 00:20:41,119
this one back to Brian, and then I got a

390
00:20:41,119 --> 00:20:45,079
different one for Tokyo Brandon because Reynolds says, uh, the

391
00:20:45,160 --> 00:20:48,599
A's are swinging at every pitch they see right now. Yeah,

392
00:20:48,680 --> 00:20:51,559
I would say that that is one of my I

393
00:20:51,880 --> 00:20:54,759
I don't think it's like this crazy observation. If you've

394
00:20:54,839 --> 00:20:58,559
watched A's baseball so far this year, you know, we

395
00:20:58,599 --> 00:21:01,440
came into the season and said, I think I called

396
00:21:01,480 --> 00:21:03,400
them a bottom five team. I don't think anyone else

397
00:21:03,400 --> 00:21:05,839
on this panel was particularly high on them. You know,

398
00:21:05,960 --> 00:21:09,119
I cited the pitching being a real issue. But what

399
00:21:09,200 --> 00:21:11,000
I didn't think was going to happen because I like

400
00:21:11,119 --> 00:21:13,960
the lineup, was that they were going to have the

401
00:21:14,000 --> 00:21:17,319
plate discipline of like a little league team, and that's

402
00:21:17,359 --> 00:21:19,440
what we've kind of seen so far. Now, Brian Leonard,

403
00:21:19,839 --> 00:21:22,279
they do flip back to being in Sacramento here, which

404
00:21:22,319 --> 00:21:26,759
may help. So actually, I'm going to frame this question differently.

405
00:21:26,799 --> 00:21:29,359
Do you think it helps them or hurts them going

406
00:21:29,400 --> 00:21:31,960
back to Sacramento for this game against an Astros team

407
00:21:32,440 --> 00:21:34,680
that doesn't matter who's on the roster, all they do

408
00:21:34,759 --> 00:21:35,000
is win.

409
00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:39,519
Speaker 2: Yeah, Houston has been a detriment to me so far

410
00:21:39,640 --> 00:21:43,440
this year. Javier is going against Springs here, Springs being

411
00:21:43,440 --> 00:21:47,400
the lefty. Yeah. I yesterday we talked a little bit

412
00:21:47,440 --> 00:21:50,279
all the Mets wait only three games, Randa get in

413
00:21:50,319 --> 00:21:52,039
more in depth and we normally would yesterday and we

414
00:21:52,039 --> 00:21:56,759
talked about the Mets struggling out of the strike zone

415
00:21:56,759 --> 00:22:00,599
more than anybody in baseball, and that's what's happening Atlanta

416
00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:02,279
or with the Athletics. They've got a little bit of

417
00:22:02,279 --> 00:22:04,119
pressure on him this year because they had a pretty

418
00:22:04,119 --> 00:22:07,160
good season last year and they're swinging the pitches they

419
00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:10,880
shouldn't be swinging at, swinging out on the zone. Yeah,

420
00:22:11,160 --> 00:22:13,480
that happens when you have a young team. For the Mets.

421
00:22:13,519 --> 00:22:15,319
I don't know what the excuse is there other than

422
00:22:15,359 --> 00:22:17,960
they play in New York and there there's a lot

423
00:22:17,960 --> 00:22:20,480
of pressure on them. But Javier is going against Springs

424
00:22:20,480 --> 00:22:23,920
in this one. It's game slightly pick them right now

425
00:22:24,000 --> 00:22:26,039
if you take a look at it. We take a

426
00:22:26,039 --> 00:22:28,640
look at what these teams, these two pitchers did last year.

427
00:22:29,960 --> 00:22:36,920
Javier only through only through a small amount of innings

428
00:22:37,000 --> 00:22:39,400
last year, only four innings. You take a look at

429
00:22:39,400 --> 00:22:41,759
why he's done against lefties and righties. He's much better

430
00:22:41,920 --> 00:22:44,960
against the lefties than he is against righties. Last year

431
00:22:45,039 --> 00:22:48,759
against Reddies he walked twelve point four. And in this game,

432
00:22:48,759 --> 00:22:51,440
we've got five readies going and four lefties going for

433
00:22:51,519 --> 00:22:55,759
the A's. When you take a look at the opposing pitcher,

434
00:22:56,319 --> 00:22:58,480
if I could find it on my chart here, Jeffrey

435
00:22:58,519 --> 00:23:03,000
Springs jeff Rings last year about eleven point three percent

436
00:23:03,599 --> 00:23:06,279
strike out my as walker a show against Ready's and

437
00:23:06,480 --> 00:23:08,920
about you know, eleven point four, So he's been pretty

438
00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:12,400
equal against each other. Uh, he's gonna be facing eight

439
00:23:12,519 --> 00:23:17,519
right handed batters in this lineup today for the opposition.

440
00:23:18,599 --> 00:23:22,440
I have. What I look for in this game is

441
00:23:23,200 --> 00:23:27,319
we're looking at a total of ten ten and a half.

442
00:23:28,920 --> 00:23:31,799
Make sure you check the wind and everything in in

443
00:23:31,880 --> 00:23:33,720
Sacramento today. Let me see if I can get a

444
00:23:33,799 --> 00:23:40,200
quick look at this from the standpoint of weather. Okay,

445
00:23:40,319 --> 00:23:47,240
let me get to that. And we're looking at uh

446
00:23:47,519 --> 00:23:49,640
without without knowing which games coming up. It takes me

447
00:23:49,640 --> 00:23:51,440
a minute to get to everything. And I apologize for that.

448
00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:53,759
It's supposed to. It's supposed to be the way the

449
00:23:53,799 --> 00:23:59,079
way to slightly end slightly from right to left, So

450
00:23:59,319 --> 00:24:00,960
it's not the win's not going to be much of

451
00:24:01,000 --> 00:24:04,119
a factor in this one. Home runs are only going

452
00:24:04,160 --> 00:24:06,519
to be up zero point one over what they normally

453
00:24:06,519 --> 00:24:09,119
would be. So this is one of those games where

454
00:24:09,119 --> 00:24:10,480
I don't think the weather's going to have a big

455
00:24:10,519 --> 00:24:13,000
effect on it. And for this line is telling you

456
00:24:13,079 --> 00:24:16,799
right now that if you've seen a ten and a

457
00:24:16,839 --> 00:24:18,160
half out there, that they think it's going to be

458
00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:20,799
a highest scoring game. I don't know. I don't know

459
00:24:20,839 --> 00:24:22,920
if I'm going to get there on this one. I

460
00:24:23,000 --> 00:24:25,839
would prefer to play the other As you mentioned, the

461
00:24:25,920 --> 00:24:29,079
A's are not swinging the bat well and Houston is

462
00:24:29,200 --> 00:24:33,720
especially Alva has gotten off a terrific start for Houston.

463
00:24:35,200 --> 00:24:38,319
If I play it, I'm maybe looking at the Astros here.

464
00:24:38,559 --> 00:24:41,599
They're a team that I didn't expect to be on

465
00:24:41,680 --> 00:24:44,000
a lot this year, but they're playing very well. I

466
00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:45,920
don't know if I trust Javier as much as some

467
00:24:45,960 --> 00:24:48,440
of the other Houston pitchers I like like Burrows, and

468
00:24:48,480 --> 00:24:54,400
obviously their ace is excellent, but Springs pitched pretty well

469
00:24:54,480 --> 00:24:59,759
in the first time out, got everything together. But yeah,

470
00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:02,119
instid in this price for rage, isn't It doesn't look

471
00:25:02,160 --> 00:25:03,480
to be a bad bet to me at this point.

472
00:25:05,200 --> 00:25:07,759
Speaker 1: Uh Tokyo Brandon, I want to I was gonna move on,

473
00:25:08,279 --> 00:25:10,079
but someone made a point that I want to talk about.

474
00:25:10,079 --> 00:25:12,960
So I'm actually gonna come to you on this game

475
00:25:13,000 --> 00:25:15,559
because I want to get your take on like I

476
00:25:15,599 --> 00:25:18,119
see now, I'm gonna pull this back up on the screen. Sorry,

477
00:25:18,119 --> 00:25:21,039
I couldn't read it. It's very small on my screen. Basically,

478
00:25:21,640 --> 00:25:23,880
if you look at the advanced numbers from opening Day

479
00:25:24,440 --> 00:25:27,039
to now, you have the highest rated offense in the

480
00:25:27,079 --> 00:25:31,240
Astros against the lowest rated offense in the A's. I

481
00:25:31,279 --> 00:25:35,119
would bet my life that the Astros will not be

482
00:25:35,200 --> 00:25:37,559
the highest rated offense in the American League this year

483
00:25:38,039 --> 00:25:41,000
and the A's will not be the lowest rated offense

484
00:25:41,039 --> 00:25:43,559
in the American League. Because I still think the A's

485
00:25:44,039 --> 00:25:47,880
can hit. They're just swinging. They need to they need

486
00:25:47,960 --> 00:25:50,200
they need to tighten up their plate discipline right now

487
00:25:50,240 --> 00:25:53,000
because that that lineup is still has a lot of

488
00:25:53,000 --> 00:25:57,519
offensive upside there. So talk to me about like that.

489
00:25:57,640 --> 00:25:59,680
I mean, that would make me want to play against

490
00:25:59,720 --> 00:26:02,240
the ass and maybe back the A's at some point,

491
00:26:02,240 --> 00:26:04,279
but I still have my reservations on the as so

492
00:26:05,039 --> 00:26:07,440
speak on that point to our viewer here.

493
00:26:09,039 --> 00:26:13,200
Speaker 3: Sure, I mean, you know, my general rule is you

494
00:26:13,359 --> 00:26:16,759
keep rolling with it until it changes and until the

495
00:26:16,799 --> 00:26:20,720
Astros bats cool off. I would roll with them. I

496
00:26:20,759 --> 00:26:22,839
don't have a play in this game, but you know,

497
00:26:23,039 --> 00:26:26,359
you ride the streak until it's over and you'll be undefeated.

498
00:26:26,640 --> 00:26:29,680
You'll you'll have one loss and x amount of wins.

499
00:26:29,759 --> 00:26:30,680
Speaker 2: Right, So.

500
00:26:32,200 --> 00:26:36,599
Speaker 3: A's have the better bullpen and Christian Javier had a

501
00:26:36,960 --> 00:26:42,839
horrible start. Ou He's not that bad of a picture Springs.

502
00:26:43,559 --> 00:26:47,440
Springs is just a guy. So I think Javier is

503
00:26:47,440 --> 00:26:50,119
a better pitcher than Springs, although his first start didn't

504
00:26:50,160 --> 00:26:53,279
indicate that. If anything, I'd play the Astros here, but

505
00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:58,920
I'm not playing this game. So there is one you'll

506
00:26:58,920 --> 00:27:00,480
give me five minutes at the end the show. There's

507
00:27:00,480 --> 00:27:02,039
a bet I want to give out to everyone at

508
00:27:02,039 --> 00:27:02,279
the end.

509
00:27:04,759 --> 00:27:09,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I guess that the Oh sorry, Brian, go ahead,

510
00:27:09,519 --> 00:27:10,160
go ahead.

511
00:27:10,160 --> 00:27:13,000
Speaker 2: I'm sorry. Maybe I should put my whole hand up

512
00:27:13,000 --> 00:27:14,599
from now on so that way, I'm not giving anybody

513
00:27:14,640 --> 00:27:18,640
a finger. I I will just I know I know

514
00:27:18,680 --> 00:27:21,960
what you the way you handicap. It's the current situation.

515
00:27:22,640 --> 00:27:26,480
I will argue that the Houston has got the better

516
00:27:26,480 --> 00:27:28,400
bullpen if you take a look at the entire season.

517
00:27:28,880 --> 00:27:31,720
I'm a I'm a big fan of Blah blah and

518
00:27:31,839 --> 00:27:35,559
uh and bray and obviously when they get their closure back,

519
00:27:36,000 --> 00:27:38,079
they've got some good some good guys in the bullpen.

520
00:27:38,119 --> 00:27:40,200
I really like Ryan Weiss, who should be a starter,

521
00:27:40,640 --> 00:27:44,119
but he's not. But I'm not impressed with the bullpen.

522
00:27:44,640 --> 00:27:47,200
Maybe right now they're pitching a little bit better, but

523
00:27:47,240 --> 00:27:50,279
we we are as as Tokyo or excuse me as

524
00:27:50,319 --> 00:27:53,160
a trigger's trying to get to We're looking to produce

525
00:27:53,960 --> 00:27:58,599
project what's going to happen from now on, and I

526
00:27:58,640 --> 00:28:01,599
think from now on Houston will have the better bullpen

527
00:28:01,640 --> 00:28:02,400
the rest of the season.

528
00:28:04,440 --> 00:28:07,319
Speaker 1: Yeah, this is a series where I will give the

529
00:28:07,359 --> 00:28:11,359
A's a pretty good look. Springs is guilty of leaving

530
00:28:11,400 --> 00:28:13,599
the ball up sometimes and it's something that you just

531
00:28:13,720 --> 00:28:15,559
do not want to do. You can't do that in

532
00:28:15,599 --> 00:28:20,160
this ballpark. So that is probably not enough for me

533
00:28:20,200 --> 00:28:23,880
to get on the A's today, though I get there's

534
00:28:23,960 --> 00:28:26,319
I don't think the Astros are starting this season eight

535
00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:28,440
and two. Let's put it that way, and that that

536
00:28:28,480 --> 00:28:31,119
would be if Fay sweep this weekend. That's essentially what

537
00:28:31,119 --> 00:28:33,720
you're saying they're gonna do. So May. It may not

538
00:28:33,759 --> 00:28:36,240
be here, but I think, I think I will go.

539
00:28:36,640 --> 00:28:38,920
I will likely find my way to the window with

540
00:28:38,960 --> 00:28:41,480
the A's at some point this weekend, and I'll probably

541
00:28:41,519 --> 00:28:43,920
hate myself for doing it. But we'll, you know, we'll

542
00:28:43,920 --> 00:28:48,039
see if that spot presents itself. Togo Brandon, I'm gonna

543
00:28:48,039 --> 00:28:51,680
come back to you here because I can't figure out

544
00:28:51,720 --> 00:28:55,559
if the Astros hot start is the Astros just you know,

545
00:28:56,079 --> 00:28:59,119
once again putting a winning team on the field. Of course,

546
00:28:59,559 --> 00:29:02,119
I you know, folks underestimated them all year last year,

547
00:29:02,160 --> 00:29:04,559
and yet here they are winning all these games. Or

548
00:29:05,519 --> 00:29:07,559
it was the last few days, the Red Sox just

549
00:29:07,680 --> 00:29:12,200
simply not being able to do anything that resembles playing

550
00:29:12,400 --> 00:29:15,440
the baseball anyone expected them to play so far the season,

551
00:29:15,480 --> 00:29:17,839
one in five to start the year. Now the Red

552
00:29:17,880 --> 00:29:21,440
Sox head back to Fenway Park, they take on the Padres.

553
00:29:21,480 --> 00:29:24,200
Do you have any interest in catching the falling knife?

554
00:29:24,200 --> 00:29:26,079
As Drew Martin Bettz likes to say.

555
00:29:26,680 --> 00:29:30,079
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna I have an opinion here that might

556
00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:34,079
not be very popular, But honestly, I don't think the

557
00:29:34,119 --> 00:29:38,720
Red Sox are a very good team. I just don't

558
00:29:38,839 --> 00:29:42,559
like the Red Sox. I think they're playing just about

559
00:29:43,240 --> 00:29:46,759
they're probably peaking right now. In my opinion. This is

560
00:29:46,759 --> 00:29:48,279
about as good as it's going to get for them,

561
00:29:48,319 --> 00:29:52,319
I think, and it's not very good. I know you

562
00:29:52,359 --> 00:29:54,519
guys have high hopes for the Red Sox, you talked

563
00:29:54,519 --> 00:29:58,480
about it on previous shows. I don't, but see this

564
00:29:58,559 --> 00:30:01,519
is the They might be the Milwaukee Brewers of last year.

565
00:30:01,559 --> 00:30:04,640
When I trash them like this, they're gonna surge like

566
00:30:04,680 --> 00:30:09,640
a phoenix from the Ashes. But in today's game, I

567
00:30:10,119 --> 00:30:12,839
actually like King. I thought he was a great acquisition

568
00:30:12,880 --> 00:30:17,839
from the Yankees and Sunny Gray I used to like him,

569
00:30:17,839 --> 00:30:20,880
but the last two years he's faded a lot. And uh,

570
00:30:21,799 --> 00:30:24,359
I think the Padres have the better bullpen. I think

571
00:30:24,359 --> 00:30:27,920
they have the better starter, and neither team is hitting

572
00:30:28,440 --> 00:30:30,960
the side of a barn at the moment. So in

573
00:30:31,000 --> 00:30:33,160
a tight, close game like this, I would give the

574
00:30:33,200 --> 00:30:36,400
Padres a big edge. Padres bats finally caught a little

575
00:30:36,400 --> 00:30:39,359
bit of fire in their last game, and they're just

576
00:30:39,519 --> 00:30:44,359
uber talented. This lineup for the Padres, so yeah, if

577
00:30:44,480 --> 00:30:46,119
if there's any way I would look I would look

578
00:30:46,119 --> 00:30:46,559
that way.

579
00:30:49,119 --> 00:30:51,079
Speaker 1: Saying the Red Sox have peaked when they're one and

580
00:30:51,160 --> 00:30:54,079
five to start the seasons as a diabolical statement, right.

581
00:30:54,160 --> 00:30:59,440
Speaker 3: I told you, I told you to say. I'm telling you,

582
00:31:00,359 --> 00:31:02,160
I told you it's an unpopular opinion.

583
00:31:06,640 --> 00:31:09,480
Speaker 1: They looked. I mean, the Red Sox have looked horrendous

584
00:31:09,640 --> 00:31:12,319
so far to start the year, but that's not gonna

585
00:31:12,359 --> 00:31:14,400
that's not gonna be that the case all year. I mean,

586
00:31:14,400 --> 00:31:17,440
I'm not saying that they're you know, I think the

587
00:31:17,519 --> 00:31:19,240
other day a lot of people. There are people that

588
00:31:19,319 --> 00:31:21,480
I respect that have them a lot higher than I

589
00:31:21,519 --> 00:31:24,640
do to start the year. But I'll tell you who

590
00:31:24,640 --> 00:31:27,799
I don't have very high. That's the San Diego Padres.

591
00:31:27,960 --> 00:31:30,440
I think the Padres at two and four is exactly

592
00:31:30,440 --> 00:31:34,680
where I expected them to be. They are compared to

593
00:31:34,759 --> 00:31:36,640
the market. They're as big of a fade for me

594
00:31:36,839 --> 00:31:39,359
in the National League as you're going to find. I

595
00:31:39,759 --> 00:31:42,599
think that this team, I don't think this team sniffs

596
00:31:42,640 --> 00:31:47,000
the playoffs this year. That's my seeing Brian Leonard. I

597
00:31:47,000 --> 00:31:50,519
think the Padres finished third or fourth in the National League,

598
00:31:50,599 --> 00:31:52,400
and I kind of want to go against them here

599
00:31:53,240 --> 00:31:53,559
right now.

600
00:31:53,559 --> 00:31:56,079
Speaker 2: The Padres have two wins, they're expected to have three.

601
00:31:56,480 --> 00:31:58,640
The Red Sox have one win, They're expected to have

602
00:31:58,680 --> 00:32:03,039
one point eight. Both teams have underperformed so far on

603
00:32:03,160 --> 00:32:07,000
what I expect him to do. I agree, Yeah, the

604
00:32:07,079 --> 00:32:10,119
Red Sox or will be in contention. Every team in

605
00:32:10,119 --> 00:32:12,759
that division could be into contention, even Tampa Bay, who

606
00:32:13,119 --> 00:32:15,119
a lot of people have rated higher than I do.

607
00:32:15,759 --> 00:32:17,880
That division is up for grass. Yes, the Yankees are

608
00:32:17,880 --> 00:32:19,680
the best team in the division, but not that much

609
00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:22,759
more than anybody else. I'm going agreement on San Diego.

610
00:32:24,400 --> 00:32:27,160
I'm not a big fan of the Padres. As a matter

611
00:32:27,160 --> 00:32:31,599
of fact, I think Arizona will probably finish in second place,

612
00:32:31,640 --> 00:32:34,680
and I don't think Brandon's a big fan of Arizona.

613
00:32:34,720 --> 00:32:37,880
But maybe I just misread it. But you've got two teams,

614
00:32:38,319 --> 00:32:41,160
two teams right now. Most it's about a one twenty favorite.

615
00:32:41,160 --> 00:32:44,039
In this game, that makes sense. Usually your home team

616
00:32:44,160 --> 00:32:48,559
is a fifty basically a fifty two fifty chance of winning.

617
00:32:49,440 --> 00:32:51,720
So that's basically what we have here. So you're saying,

618
00:32:51,839 --> 00:32:53,880
so the linesmaker is saying that these two teams are

619
00:32:53,880 --> 00:32:57,039
equal from a starting pitcher standpoint. As much as I

620
00:32:57,119 --> 00:33:01,920
like Sonny Gray. I think came slightly by than Sonny Gray.

621
00:33:02,160 --> 00:33:04,160
I'm worried about Gray pitching in this division, to be

622
00:33:04,200 --> 00:33:06,599
totally honest with you, I like him as a pitcher,

623
00:33:06,759 --> 00:33:09,400
but he's going to be facing some really good betters

624
00:33:09,440 --> 00:33:11,200
all the time. And you didn't have that problem when

625
00:33:11,200 --> 00:33:13,920
you pitched in Saint Louis. So I'm not a huge

626
00:33:13,920 --> 00:33:18,559
Sonny Gray fan this season. But from a standpoint of value,

627
00:33:18,880 --> 00:33:21,839
the line is really about what I would have made it.

628
00:33:21,880 --> 00:33:25,039
I probably would have made it about the one fifteen range,

629
00:33:25,079 --> 00:33:26,680
so I'm not thinking I don't think we have enough

630
00:33:26,720 --> 00:33:29,559
advantage to play it, and your total is eight and

631
00:33:29,559 --> 00:33:32,119
a half to the under. For the most part, this

632
00:33:32,160 --> 00:33:34,480
is a good hitting environment. You don't get a lot

633
00:33:34,519 --> 00:33:36,680
of home runs here because the wall on the left field,

634
00:33:37,359 --> 00:33:41,440
but a lot of those easy check swing from left

635
00:33:41,440 --> 00:33:45,640
handers going the opposite way, easy doubles. Let me just

636
00:33:45,640 --> 00:33:48,559
take a quick look at the right now. They expect

637
00:33:48,920 --> 00:33:52,799
the wind is blown out a fanway, but the rods

638
00:33:52,799 --> 00:33:55,319
are expected point three or three percent higher than normal,

639
00:33:55,559 --> 00:33:58,720
But the home runs are expected eleven percent less than normal,

640
00:33:58,799 --> 00:34:01,319
So the way is blowing out. But this is one

641
00:34:01,400 --> 00:34:04,519
stadium in which that big wall in left field. The

642
00:34:04,559 --> 00:34:06,680
winds don't matter nearly as much as it does some

643
00:34:06,720 --> 00:34:08,039
other places.

644
00:34:08,840 --> 00:34:12,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think you know King had such a bad spring,

645
00:34:13,480 --> 00:34:15,880
he came out and pitched okay in his debut. I

646
00:34:15,880 --> 00:34:18,320
think I think he pitched. I don't think he pitched

647
00:34:18,320 --> 00:34:20,639
as good as that stat line suggests. Like you're you

648
00:34:20,760 --> 00:34:23,000
quickly look and say, oh, five shutout innings, one hit,

649
00:34:23,559 --> 00:34:25,960
still had four walks, like he was still putting guys.

650
00:34:26,000 --> 00:34:28,280
You know a couple of guys on base. But I

651
00:34:28,320 --> 00:34:30,840
mean looked much different than he looked in the spring.

652
00:34:31,480 --> 00:34:34,079
I'm with you, Brian. My price comes out right in

653
00:34:34,119 --> 00:34:36,360
the right, in the range of where it is. The

654
00:34:36,400 --> 00:34:39,239
Red Sox have done nothing to inspire confidence, but my

655
00:34:39,559 --> 00:34:42,920
gut says they bounce back at some point this weekend.

656
00:34:43,239 --> 00:34:44,760
I don't know if it's here, it would be Red

657
00:34:44,800 --> 00:34:47,400
Sox or pass. For me, I'm gonna go to Tokyo

658
00:34:47,400 --> 00:34:51,840
Brandon right now and give him the floor parlay leg

659
00:34:51,960 --> 00:34:53,760
what's the bet you wanted to talk about? Tv?

660
00:34:54,199 --> 00:34:59,119
Speaker 3: Okay? If you guys follow me on Twitter, X Tokyo brand, Tokyo,

661
00:35:00,119 --> 00:35:04,480
I put out the ops. Guys who hitter props, you

662
00:35:04,480 --> 00:35:07,639
should back today. I announced that on my Twitter about

663
00:35:07,679 --> 00:35:11,519
an hour ago, and Julio Rodriguez tops the list. I

664
00:35:11,679 --> 00:35:15,880
like this Mariners here, Brian Wu against Debt Meers, Seattle

665
00:35:15,960 --> 00:35:20,079
against the Angels minus one sixty eight. I would not

666
00:35:20,159 --> 00:35:22,519
as a professional cap or put that a minus one

667
00:35:22,599 --> 00:35:24,880
sixty eight out and make people pay for it. But

668
00:35:24,960 --> 00:35:27,280
if it's a parlay, I think it's great odds for

669
00:35:27,320 --> 00:35:31,159
Brian Wu. Brian Wu does struggle on the roads sometimes.

670
00:35:31,480 --> 00:35:34,920
I remember, particularly last year when I had him and

671
00:35:34,960 --> 00:35:38,400
he went to New York and the Yankees crushed him.

672
00:35:38,760 --> 00:35:44,199
But generally he's he's he's a top twenty major league starter,

673
00:35:44,519 --> 00:35:51,360
and Debtmers is not bullpen worlds apart. I think Seattle

674
00:35:51,400 --> 00:35:53,079
on the money line is going to be my parlay

675
00:35:53,159 --> 00:35:55,000
leg And go to my Twitter. I have a whole

676
00:35:55,039 --> 00:35:58,320
list of hitters you should back if you're betting hitting

677
00:35:58,360 --> 00:36:01,639
props today, I.

678
00:36:01,719 --> 00:36:04,239
Speaker 1: Can't argue with you their TV. I still love this

679
00:36:04,320 --> 00:36:06,400
Mariners team, even though they dropped two of three to

680
00:36:06,480 --> 00:36:08,800
the Yankees and I had to bounce them down to

681
00:36:08,880 --> 00:36:11,559
number two. What are we looking at for a line there?

682
00:36:11,840 --> 00:36:16,119
What I said.

683
00:36:15,960 --> 00:36:18,760
Speaker 2: Find it as low as one fifty three all the

684
00:36:18,760 --> 00:36:20,840
way up to one sevday. Most of them are in

685
00:36:20,920 --> 00:36:23,559
the one sixty range, so you're getting.

686
00:36:24,199 --> 00:36:28,639
Speaker 1: Expected let's say one minus one sixty minus one sixties good,

687
00:36:29,320 --> 00:36:32,239
minus one sixties. Good for the par life.

688
00:36:33,159 --> 00:36:36,559
Speaker 3: So you makes some weird comments, I'm fedorable today.

689
00:36:36,559 --> 00:36:38,800
Speaker 1: That's good by you. The best.

690
00:36:39,440 --> 00:36:40,480
Speaker 3: I have to ask you real quick.

691
00:36:40,519 --> 00:36:40,880
Speaker 1: I'm sorry.

692
00:36:40,920 --> 00:36:43,280
Speaker 3: I know we're pressed for time. What is that hoodie?

693
00:36:43,280 --> 00:36:44,159
That's that is cool?

694
00:36:44,960 --> 00:36:47,800
Speaker 1: This is an old school Michigan Wolverine soodie. It's the

695
00:36:47,880 --> 00:36:51,280
really old wolverine guy that's like got the mean look

696
00:36:51,320 --> 00:36:53,039
on his face. Yeah, I actually got this.

697
00:36:53,599 --> 00:36:54,199
Speaker 3: What that is?

698
00:36:54,280 --> 00:36:56,679
Speaker 1: I got this at the arena in ann Arbor a

699
00:36:56,719 --> 00:36:58,440
couple of years ago. Actually it was there with all

700
00:36:58,480 --> 00:37:01,440
the wager talking, a bunch of wager talk. We went

701
00:37:01,599 --> 00:37:03,840
I think we had like eight of the pretty much

702
00:37:03,840 --> 00:37:04,920
the whole home office.

703
00:37:05,239 --> 00:37:08,559
Speaker 3: We went to Johnny Michigan, Johnny the Michigan Homer.

704
00:37:09,840 --> 00:37:12,039
Speaker 1: We went to see Michigan take on at the time

705
00:37:12,159 --> 00:37:15,199
number one per Due, Zach Eddie and that great Purdue team.

706
00:37:15,239 --> 00:37:17,760
That was a That was a fun night out in

707
00:37:17,840 --> 00:37:22,920
ann Arbor. Mark Clambert says national champs. Some say the

708
00:37:23,000 --> 00:37:26,000
national championship is Saturday Michigan Arizona. A lot of people

709
00:37:26,039 --> 00:37:31,559
like the winner of that game. That's Tokyo Brandon's to

710
00:37:31,679 --> 00:37:35,000
Tokyo Brandon's alma mater, the Arizona Wildcats. That's gonna be awesome.

711
00:37:35,239 --> 00:37:36,920
I do think I'm going by the way. I do

712
00:37:37,000 --> 00:37:39,079
think I will be in the building. I might be

713
00:37:39,960 --> 00:37:43,320
watching from another planet and the six hundreds, but I

714
00:37:43,360 --> 00:37:45,880
will be in the building for that game. If you're

715
00:37:45,880 --> 00:37:48,079
in Indye, hit me up, shoot me a DM. I'll

716
00:37:48,079 --> 00:37:52,599
be around all weekend. Also, before I go to Brian Leonard,

717
00:37:52,880 --> 00:37:54,639
we have a great double play package. I know I've

718
00:37:54,639 --> 00:37:57,800
said it before on this site. It's you picked two

719
00:37:57,920 --> 00:38:01,320
so whatever to handicappers fit your style or whatever two

720
00:38:01,360 --> 00:38:04,000
handicappers you feel like. I mean, right now, Tokyo Brandon's

721
00:38:04,199 --> 00:38:07,440
is hot. You should probably ride him. And you know

722
00:38:07,480 --> 00:38:10,079
we've all got plays up for sale on the sade.

723
00:38:10,679 --> 00:38:12,800
Anything else to promote in any other sports today? And

724
00:38:12,840 --> 00:38:14,039
what's your best bet for the show.

725
00:38:14,800 --> 00:38:17,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, I've got nothing up right now. I don't have

726
00:38:17,440 --> 00:38:19,320
to do the Hockey Show today, so I will be

727
00:38:19,320 --> 00:38:22,000
able to put out my plays earlier. Keep in mind,

728
00:38:22,039 --> 00:38:26,199
there's a lot of early games today, so as opposed

729
00:38:26,239 --> 00:38:28,440
to yesterday, where we had one early game. I had

730
00:38:28,440 --> 00:38:29,880
to wait I think four and a half hours for

731
00:38:29,920 --> 00:38:32,360
another game to be played. We've got lots of baseball

732
00:38:32,400 --> 00:38:34,760
going on today. I do want to point out that

733
00:38:35,800 --> 00:38:39,320
Dettner's is a different pitcher this year. I like him

734
00:38:39,360 --> 00:38:42,079
better than Brandon does. But I can't argue with Brandon

735
00:38:42,159 --> 00:38:44,719
right now. He's on fire. I'm gonna take a look

736
00:38:44,719 --> 00:38:48,639
at the Dodgers game. She's going against Michelas for Washington,

737
00:38:49,559 --> 00:38:52,840
Washington's a team, as we mentioned many times, has probably

738
00:38:52,880 --> 00:38:57,039
the worst bullpen in Major League Baseball, and I don't

739
00:38:57,119 --> 00:39:01,639
understand why Michless continues to get starts for this team.

740
00:39:01,679 --> 00:39:05,119
He hasn't been good in a long time. Unfortunately, the

741
00:39:05,159 --> 00:39:07,760
total on this is nine and a half. The Dodgers

742
00:39:07,760 --> 00:39:11,119
just faced a very good Cleveland pitching staff. Now they

743
00:39:11,119 --> 00:39:14,519
get to face the Washington Nationals pitching staff. If you're

744
00:39:14,559 --> 00:39:19,159
taking a look at the weather on today's game, the

745
00:39:19,199 --> 00:39:22,719
wind is blowing out straight out to center field, expecting

746
00:39:22,760 --> 00:39:25,960
eight percent more runs than normal. Your home run percentage

747
00:39:25,960 --> 00:39:29,519
is fifteen percent higher than it normally would be. And

748
00:39:29,639 --> 00:39:33,519
another reason, not only is it I want to fade Micholas,

749
00:39:33,559 --> 00:39:37,320
Sheian It was a guy that everybody targeted coming into

750
00:39:37,360 --> 00:39:39,679
the season. They loved him, they thought he could be

751
00:39:39,760 --> 00:39:44,079
the underdog ace of the Dodgers, but he's had been

752
00:39:44,320 --> 00:39:48,440
problems with velocity. Even last time out, he started the

753
00:39:48,480 --> 00:39:51,079
game at about ninety five and a half miles per hour.

754
00:39:51,159 --> 00:39:54,440
By the time he finished, he was at ninety one miles.

755
00:39:54,760 --> 00:39:57,679
Dropping four miles an hour down to ninety one and

756
00:39:57,719 --> 00:40:02,719
a half is something I'm really worried about. So I'm

757
00:40:02,760 --> 00:40:05,519
going to play the over nine and a half between

758
00:40:05,559 --> 00:40:08,920
the Dodgers and Washington. It would not surprise me if

759
00:40:08,920 --> 00:40:11,039
the Dodgers score eight runs in this game and we

760
00:40:11,079 --> 00:40:14,800
only need two out of Washington. But I want to

761
00:40:14,800 --> 00:40:17,239
fed Shan as well, So I'm gonna play the over

762
00:40:17,320 --> 00:40:19,800
nine and a half. It's basically even money miners want

763
00:40:19,800 --> 00:40:22,039
ten either way, and that will be my best bet

764
00:40:22,079 --> 00:40:22,800
on the show today.

765
00:40:24,719 --> 00:40:27,320
Speaker 1: All right, Dodgers, NAT's over nine and a half. That's

766
00:40:27,360 --> 00:40:31,519
an early game. So I didn't come on the show

767
00:40:31,800 --> 00:40:36,039
with the intention of giving out one of my client plays,

768
00:40:36,639 --> 00:40:38,840
but you guys got me fired up. Someone in the

769
00:40:38,920 --> 00:40:41,559
chat said they wanted to fade me, and so apparently

770
00:40:41,800 --> 00:40:44,039
apparently if you talk, you know if you talk enough

771
00:40:44,039 --> 00:40:46,599
trash in the chat, you're gonna talk my plays out

772
00:40:46,599 --> 00:40:48,599
of me. Is what we learned on the show today.

773
00:40:48,679 --> 00:40:52,599
So I am going to use the rays in the

774
00:40:52,679 --> 00:40:55,800
parlay because I already said I was going to. But

775
00:40:55,840 --> 00:40:57,760
I'm gonna use my five minutes here at the end

776
00:40:57,760 --> 00:41:00,199
of the show to bring up another game game I

777
00:41:00,280 --> 00:41:02,519
was gonna use in the parlay, and that's the Detroit

778
00:41:02,559 --> 00:41:05,159
Tigers for my guy g Hurt, who you know, I

779
00:41:05,199 --> 00:41:07,679
know he's a little down on his team right now.

780
00:41:07,719 --> 00:41:10,159
They went out to the desert, got smacked around a

781
00:41:10,199 --> 00:41:13,079
little bit. I think the Tigers bounce back today. You know.

782
00:41:13,159 --> 00:41:15,840
I like Mike McGreevy. I think he's gonna be you know,

783
00:41:15,920 --> 00:41:18,000
I think he's gonna be a good piece for the

784
00:41:18,000 --> 00:41:23,039
Cardinals long term. But he his first start was a

785
00:41:23,039 --> 00:41:26,440
little bit deceiving. There was a it was very the

786
00:41:26,519 --> 00:41:30,199
ball was not carrying at all in that game. Uh.

787
00:41:30,320 --> 00:41:32,719
There was a couple of like one one oh eight

788
00:41:33,159 --> 00:41:35,760
mile an hour hits off the bat YONDI Diaz right

789
00:41:35,760 --> 00:41:38,199
to lead off the game ended up getting caught at

790
00:41:38,239 --> 00:41:41,440
the wall. There was like three or four absolute laser

791
00:41:41,480 --> 00:41:44,480
beams that just did not carry out of the ballpark.

792
00:41:44,920 --> 00:41:47,719
He ends up getting through that game pretty much. I

793
00:41:47,719 --> 00:41:49,800
don't even think he gave up a hit when it

794
00:41:49,840 --> 00:41:51,800
was all said and done, maybe gave up one hit

795
00:41:52,440 --> 00:41:56,320
to the Rays. I just don't think that that's gonna

796
00:41:56,320 --> 00:41:59,440
fly in this game in Detroit. I know Detroit's had

797
00:41:59,719 --> 00:42:02,559
their struggles out of the gate, but some of their struggles,

798
00:42:03,119 --> 00:42:05,199
you know, the one game they pretty much I mean

799
00:42:05,199 --> 00:42:08,320
they blew a huge lead, sick you know, lost nine

800
00:42:08,320 --> 00:42:10,840
to six. The first game against Arizona seven to five.

801
00:42:11,519 --> 00:42:14,199
I think some of their struggles were more pitching related

802
00:42:14,239 --> 00:42:16,320
than hitting, and so if they can jump on a

803
00:42:16,400 --> 00:42:19,320
grievy here, I think I like their chances to get

804
00:42:19,320 --> 00:42:22,559
a home win. So we have a couple of minutes TV.

805
00:42:22,679 --> 00:42:25,480
You're laughing, Do you want to chime in on Tigers

806
00:42:25,599 --> 00:42:28,239
or or you know, let us know what you're chuckling

807
00:42:28,280 --> 00:42:29,840
at in the chat right now, right?

808
00:42:30,079 --> 00:42:32,880
Speaker 3: I love our audience, man, our chat is so funny.

809
00:42:33,079 --> 00:42:36,199
Adam's coming out, given to play and someone says it's

810
00:42:36,239 --> 00:42:40,599
the Spike Parley of the day. I love you guys.

811
00:42:40,599 --> 00:42:43,239
Oh yeah, our audience is the best at wager Talk.

812
00:42:43,320 --> 00:42:45,840
By the way, No, I just want to promote my

813
00:42:45,880 --> 00:42:51,119
Twitter because I've been putting out outs props, strikeout props,

814
00:42:51,199 --> 00:42:53,599
all kinds of free information. So if you don't even

815
00:42:53,639 --> 00:42:55,960
if you don't buy our plays, you can make a

816
00:42:56,000 --> 00:42:57,840
good judgment call on your own. And I give out

817
00:42:57,840 --> 00:43:01,800
some free plays as well. And today I am featuring

818
00:43:02,280 --> 00:43:06,639
the album cover for Rush Moving Pictures and I'm in it.

819
00:43:06,760 --> 00:43:10,119
So my Twitter is kind of funny, so give it

820
00:43:10,159 --> 00:43:11,679
a look. That's all I wanted to promote.

821
00:43:14,360 --> 00:43:19,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, two minutes left. Any any any thoughts on tigersh

822
00:43:19,519 --> 00:43:21,480
my god, my mind is escaping me.

823
00:43:23,239 --> 00:43:26,760
Speaker 2: Cardinals. Thanks, it's early in the morning for everybody. Yeah.

824
00:43:29,119 --> 00:43:32,119
McGreevey's a guy. I'm lucky to fade. I I came

825
00:43:32,199 --> 00:43:34,480
to the season thinking there's gonna be value on sating Lois.

826
00:43:34,480 --> 00:43:36,719
So far there has been, obviously, but right now they're

827
00:43:36,760 --> 00:43:40,400
the most overrated team. Uh they should be one point

828
00:43:40,400 --> 00:43:44,719
four wins less than what they have and uh yeah,

829
00:43:44,760 --> 00:43:46,800
the Tiger, the Tigers should be at two point two

830
00:43:46,840 --> 00:43:49,360
wins in there at two, so there's value on that.

831
00:43:49,599 --> 00:43:53,280
I much prefer the starter for the Tigers. I prefer

832
00:43:53,320 --> 00:43:56,079
that Detroit obviously playing at home. This is a big

833
00:43:56,119 --> 00:43:58,559
deal in Detroit. I'm sure Johnny Detroit in the office.

834
00:43:58,880 --> 00:44:01,719
Being from Detroit, will be at the game today. It's

835
00:44:01,760 --> 00:44:04,880
something they do every year. I wish if it wasn't

836
00:44:04,880 --> 00:44:07,400
so damn cold in Detroit and I left Cleveland for

837
00:44:07,400 --> 00:44:09,360
that reason, I would go back and go to the

838
00:44:09,360 --> 00:44:12,840
games with them. But I like this Detroit situations today,

839
00:44:12,840 --> 00:44:14,599
and I think that's a winner. I think you got

840
00:44:14,639 --> 00:44:15,480
a winner there.

841
00:44:16,760 --> 00:44:19,199
Speaker 1: All right, a couple quick promos before we're out of here.

842
00:44:20,000 --> 00:44:22,639
One of our last full Court Press shows will be

843
00:44:22,639 --> 00:44:25,000
in fifteen minutes right here on the wager Talk YouTube channel,

844
00:44:25,000 --> 00:44:27,519
where Robino and I will break down the final four

845
00:44:28,159 --> 00:44:30,920
games in addition to the other games that are still

846
00:44:30,960 --> 00:44:33,440
going on, so check that out. The other thing is

847
00:44:33,480 --> 00:44:36,760
tomorrow we will have our first Saturday Total Basis and

848
00:44:36,800 --> 00:44:39,960
we are at a different time, so Total Basis is

849
00:44:40,000 --> 00:44:43,199
gonna take over the last call time slot on Saturdays.

850
00:44:43,239 --> 00:44:45,639
It's gonna be this show, but it's gonna be two

851
00:44:45,679 --> 00:44:48,440
hours later in the eleven am Eastern time slot. So

852
00:44:48,800 --> 00:44:51,400
for you guys that are not early risers for this show,

853
00:44:52,079 --> 00:44:54,519
we've got it covered. We're gonna go two hours later

854
00:44:54,599 --> 00:44:59,039
on Saturday in our first Saturday Total Bases will be tomorrow,

855
00:44:59,400 --> 00:45:02,920
and then fine the parlay one more time, Tokyo Brandon

856
00:45:03,039 --> 00:45:07,360
Mariners minus one sixty, I'm on the Rais minus one

857
00:45:07,400 --> 00:45:10,239
oh five, and Brian Leonard is gonna kick us off

858
00:45:11,199 --> 00:45:14,960
with Dodgers Nationals over nine and a half. That is

859
00:45:15,000 --> 00:45:17,880
today's show and we will see you guys tomorrow eleven

860
00:45:17,920 --> 00:45:20,400
am Eastern for more total basis, see you guys then,