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Speaker 1: Seven one in three NFL teams, We're gonna tell you

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exactly how.

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Speaker 2: To bet them.

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Speaker 1: The wild Card starts today, We're gonna tell you how

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to bet those, plus a whole lot of sports betting

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information coming your way. This is the best betting show ever.

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I'm Lawrence Pressman, Joe Raniery joining us, and of course

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the great Art de Caesar. Gentlemen, Wow are the Jets horrible?

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The Battle of the Capri Pence and Miami One art

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to Caesar? And did you take more bets on the

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Jets game or the Denver game? Oh?

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Speaker 3: The Denver game by far. The Jet Dolphin game was

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kind of a low handle game for a Monday night game.

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Speaker 4: Now.

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Speaker 3: I think it's because they had another Monday night game

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to bet, you know, man, It's just nobody seemed to

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have any interest in the game.

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Speaker 1: Wonder why Yeah, Joe sportscrap terrible price, terrible dude, it

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was the Battle of the Capri pens, dude. Aaron Glen

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versus Mike mc annual uh art. Have you seen Joe

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nii's dating profile. He is wearing capri pants. I'm not

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even kidding.

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Speaker 5: I wouldn't even know where to get capri pants Art, Like, honestly,

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I'd have no idea where you can pick those up

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besides the press closet. That would be the only place

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I would know to look.

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Speaker 1: I will say I'm officially go ahead, Art.

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Speaker 3: I've never seen anyone more fascinated with someone's dating profile.

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That's not stating, I mean it's unbelievable.

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Speaker 4: Every show.

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Speaker 1: Well you know why, Art, I'm trying to do the

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guy a solid right you help? Thank you profiles for

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a living?

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Speaker 5: Yeah?

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Speaker 1: Right? Dating?

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Speaker 5: Hi so high? Shocker yeah shocker. Yeah, my name is.

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Speaker 1: Jo Nia like slow walks while talking about NFL football

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fast jogs while thinking about baseball, Art, how did the

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books do this past weekend in college football and NFL?

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What was the best position you had and the worst?

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Speaker 4: Saturday?

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Speaker 3: Was the best Saturday we've had all year, one of

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the best we've had, maybe in two years. It felt

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like we won every decision, All the big games went

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our way. Oregon was good, Alabama doing what they did

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even earlier in the week when we took all this

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Alabama money, we took all this Georgia money late because

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we got under the field goal. It was really an

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outstanding day. I can't pinpoint one game. I can't even

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pinpoint a game we lost on. But then you have

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to go to Sunday, where outside of the Giants winning

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early for us and being the only basically big time

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dog to do anything for us that helped. You would

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have thought that the Sunday night game ending in a

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tie was positive.

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Speaker 4: It really wasn't.

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Speaker 3: We really needed Dallas outright because it would have killed

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all the money line or lays with green Bay in it.

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Obviously those become voids as far as that leg goes.

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So Sunday was not as positive as Saturday.

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Speaker 4: Sunday.

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Speaker 3: We really outside the Giant game could get a game

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to land our way. And then last night, everything you

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know that rolled over from Sunday rolled into Denver on

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money lines and teasers, and that was no sweat for

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the people. So NFL Sunday slash Monday not as positive

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for the sports books.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm glad you brought that up.

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Speaker 4: Art.

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Speaker 5: If we could just take a look here at our

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three team NFL parlay from the past week, I'm starting

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to sense a theme here. You added land on the

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money line that was that seemed to get a lot

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of juice once Daniels was ruled out there and then oh,

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look at that Jacksonville three and a half. That was

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an outright win. That had to be pretty decent for

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the books. That Oh look at the press that the

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team total over at sixteen and a half. Art, that's

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how many points did Cleveland actually get there in that game?

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I believe ten ten, ten, So that's not coold, that's

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under okay, just wanted to clarify that.

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Speaker 1: So I guess I'll use this opportunity everyone to give

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out a promo code for my NFL. I started the

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season nineteen and nine. That's nineteen wins, nine losses. I'm

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sixty eight percent. I'm the second most profitable handicapper wage

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you talk, and I'm kicking the crap out of Joe Rniari.

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You can get thirty days all access to my NFL.

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Use the promo code NFL thirty. That's at thirty. That's

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thirty days to my NFL. Thank you for setting me

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up so beautifully, Joe Rnari.

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Speaker 5: That was that was a problem. I'm glad you're brought

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up college football too. If we can take a look

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at the college football three team parlay from the S show,

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Oh Ye're not President Houston laying thirteen and a half

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and they barely what Washington unfortunately got their ass handed

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to them by a hot Oh but look at Duke.

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Duke did win outright, look at that press. So at

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least one of us is holding up their end of

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the bargain there on.

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Speaker 1: These three teams just gives me a perfect opportunity to

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promote my five percent.

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Speaker 5: There we go, There we go this Saturday.

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Speaker 1: What kind of bends are you taking on the wild

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card games today? Anything we need to know about?

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Speaker 5: Yeah?

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Speaker 3: Absolutely, I mean obviously, you know, if you love baseball,

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this is an enormous day for baseball, and we love this.

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Where we start with all the games, you know, basically today, tomorrow,

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and Thursday. So early money for us came in on Cleveland.

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We took sharp money at plus one fifty and not

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Cleveland down a plus one forty. Cubs and Padres has

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been pretty good two way accent. Basically we had to

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pick them Cubs slight favorite minus one eight.

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Speaker 4: We're on the low end of the Yankees.

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Speaker 3: We were minus a dollar twenty five, where basically everyone

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else in the market was a dollar thirty. Now we

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deal the ten cent splits in baseball. We try to

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be as fair as we can with our baseball split.

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So that's why we were just a little bit lower

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on the Yankees because we're dealing minus one fifteen on

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the Red Sox anyway, which most people are Dodgers, obviously

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almost a two dollars favorite. They're very popular in parlays.

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All the totals are low. You got three sevens and

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a six, and I would say as far as series

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prices go, the two we've seen the most money on

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are the Padres, which we had as high as plus

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one oh five now minus one oh five. And we

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saw some money on the Indians at plus one fifteen

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slash Guardians. I know it was called the Indians, but

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we didn't really move off the Indian number. It was

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still plus one fifteen when I left work last night,

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it's still plus one fifteen. It wasn't necessarily sharp money.

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It was just people looking to fade the Tigers. I

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will say the Padre money at plus one oh five

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for the series was sharp money.

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Speaker 5: Art I'm still saying the Brewers for when we look

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at World series prices, you know, it feels like, all right,

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there were Phillies and Dodgers. Yeah, we get it does

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make a difference who makes it from the American League,

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because apparently National League's gonna win everything. But I'm still

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seeing the Brewers that what seven to one would It

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feels like there's still some value here in the World

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Series future markets, as long as you don't think the

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chalk is gonna rain here.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, we're a little bit larger over six

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to one. And it's interesting that you bring up the

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World Series. We win on everybody who's not named the

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Padres and the Reds.

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Speaker 4: The Dodgers for us is a tiny loser.

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Speaker 3: And I don't even like for us if we lose

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a little bit on the Dodgers, that's a win because

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of the way they've basically bet the Dodgers here over

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the last three or four years. I mean to see

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the Dodgers coming to this and I know they haven't

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been good, but the Dodgers to be as high as

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five to one for us basically all season, you know,

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opening they were two to one, and you know, five

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to two, and you started seeing that and for them

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to creep up that way and the Dodgers you got

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to remember too, with the popularity now of future parlays,

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Dodgers are in a lot of future parlays, you know,

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Dodgers to Bills. You know, you see a lot of

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that type of stuff too. So we don't mind being

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a small loser on the Dodgers. We don't think the

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Reds are gonna win. The Padres is the team we

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really want to avoid.

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Speaker 2: Go Blue Jays, Go Art.

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Speaker 1: The Caes are joining us like always Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday,

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Risk Manager over at the Westgate super Book.

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Speaker 2: Jor Niari, slave to Sports Grid.

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Speaker 1: Guys hit that like button. Well, dude, you work at

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Sports Squid more than any human being on the planet.

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I mean you literally are on that show twenty four

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to seven.

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Speaker 2: Am I wrong?

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Speaker 5: I'm also on this show every goddamn day of the

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week two as well. There, Braan, So yeah, talk about him? Yes,

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thanks very much.

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Speaker 2: Yes, yeah, you might need a new dating profile.

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Speaker 5: Oh god for.

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Speaker 1: This coming week, arn't the Caesar? Before we get into

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our parlay of the day and are fate are not made?

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You want to talk Bucks, Seahawks, Giants, Saints, Pats and Bills.

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Where's the money going in these three games?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, let's just start with the three games, you know,

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our weekly rundown and we start just hammering some of

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these games. Look Ahead lye on this game was Tampa

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Bay minus one. We're now Seattle minus three, minus one eighteen.

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I think eventually we will hit three and a half.

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There are plenty of three and a half's out there.

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Bucks are still dealing with some offensive line issues. Seattle's

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been good Seattle on a short week, so as of

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right now, we will need Tampa in the game. This

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Giant Saint game is very fascinating. Look aheadline on this

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was Giants minus three. Now they go to the rookie quarterback,

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they win a game, but still the game reopened as

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a pick them. We've seen a little bit of Saint

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money which has moved us to Saints as a slight

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home favorite now minus one. I think that's fascinating. It

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does seem though, and they did it last week. They

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drove that Saint number all the way down to fourteen

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at kickoff against the Bills. I mean, it feels like

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they've got the Saints every week that is not stopping

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this week and then Patriots Bills believe that's the Sunday

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night game. Look aheadline on that was Buffalo minus eight

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and a half got all the way up to nine

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and a half when we reopened the game, and then

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we've seen some Patriot money which has taken us down

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to seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: People.

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Speaker 3: You know, bills have been good, but they haven't been

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that sharp. Divisional game people are happy to take over

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a touchdown. But you know, Buffalo being a Sunday night

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game with the seven seven and a half eight out there,

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they're going to be very popular for moneyline parlays and

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teasers will need New England in the game, regardless of

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the early money that's come in on them.

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Speaker 5: On the side art, we got a right one month

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in the book, September is done in the NFL. Now,

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a year ago we saw the well the shops, A

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lot of contrarian betters made out in September, and then

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once we got to October, November, December, it was chalk

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in public USA here. How are we trending so far

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through a month?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean last year was incredible with the Trump

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and you know we have been fighting it early in

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the season too. I mean you see every Sunday when

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I'm sitting in that risk room, I see so many three, four, five,

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sixteen parlays, all moneyline favorites, all teasing the favorites. I mean,

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it just feels like the people who were probably very

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successful last year are just rolling that concept into this year.

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I mean, Sundays haven't been I think out of you know,

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the four Sundays, we've had really one dynamite Sunday and

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then the rest of them either like a small winner

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or a small loser. You know, Like I said last week,

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it was not a profitable NFL week for us, So

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you know, we're we're kind of fighting against the tide

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a little bit right now.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and that's a perfect lead in for me to

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promote my parlay record. I have had five money line

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parlays and I have won all of them, five and

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zero used the promo code.

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Speaker 2: Okay, fine, aren't.

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Speaker 5: But Art, let me ask you a question though, because

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we had a lot of outright dog winners this past week,

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right Jacksonville, you had Pittsburgh, you had the Giants, and

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we had a lot of outright winners here from a

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goals yeah, I mean so almost Dallas there, so really

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even still, it wasn't it was just blaff of the books.

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Speaker 4: Huh.

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Speaker 3: You know it's funny when you talk about Pittsburgh. You

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talk about Jacksonville. Those are games two and a half, three,

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three and a half in the ring, right, The ones

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we really need to happen are like the Giants and

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Dallas Howard. Like I said that game ending of the tie,

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no joke was a six figure swing for US. Dallas

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swinging outright would have been enormous for US. Yeah, Pittsburgh

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was good as far as the side goes, because it

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felt like every bet we took was on Minnesota. So

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that was good just from like, hey, this was a

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good single game win. But outside of like the big

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seven point favorites in parlays, those are the ones we

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need to lose. We need those teams to go down.

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We need, you know, we need Detroit to go down

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the Cleveland. We need those, you know, the Bills to lose.

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We need those type of things. That's why the Giants

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early was good, but it didn't salvage today. Denver losing

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Monday night would have been missed for US.

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Speaker 2: I'm sure you.

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Speaker 1: I'm sure you had a lot of teasers and part

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money line parlays going into that. All right, let's turn

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our attention to college football real quick, guys, hit that

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like button and make sure to comment. I forgot to

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give out a word of the day yesterday. The word

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of the day today is schmock. Schmock.

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Speaker 5: Yes, yes, the first word that popped into my head. Shock.

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Speaker 1: You were you were in the middle of writing your

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dating profile. So I understand that, Ohio, ball State, Duke,

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cal Vandy, and Bama.

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Speaker 2: Where's the money going to these three games?

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Speaker 4: Yeah?

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Speaker 3: This Mac game has seen some pretty good action. Ball

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State's taking a lot of money at sixteen and a half.

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We're all the way down to fourteen and a half

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now on that game. Seen some under money as well,

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fifty one and a half down to fifty. This Duke

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colgame is fascinating. All these three games in college seem

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to just get back and forth all week two and

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a half, three, two and a half three. We saw

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initial Cal money at three. Now we've seen Duke money

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at two and a half. Weird spot for Duke. They

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have to go and play a super late game on

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the West coast seven thirty kick and that's ten thirty

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East co It's gonna be a tough game, but that's

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seen really good split action. I'd be shocked though, if

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we don't need Cal in the game because it feels

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like Duke is a little bit more popular, especially with

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the public and the sharps. And the Vandy Alabama game

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is also fascinating. Vandy took money a plus ten and

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a half, but we didn't budge.

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Speaker 4: Off that number.

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Speaker 3: The total went from fifty seven to fifty five and

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a half. Bama obviously comes off the really big win,

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and Vandy has been very under the raidar and they

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beat Alabama last year. I know we're gonna see Alabama

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money yet we just have not seen it yet. And

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I think it's you know, like I said, it's to know.

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You have to note when even we took that sharp

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not sharp, but we took that initial flood of Vanderbilt money.

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We did not move off our original number. We're not

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worried about taking more Vanderbilt money. If we need Alabama

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in the game, we'll feel good about that.

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Speaker 5: Interesting couple of really big games coming up this week here,

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maybe none bigger than the Florida State and Miami game.

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And all I'm seeing is Florida State money. I mean,

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what do we have in a look ahead here? Spot?

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What was it seven to seven and a half and

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I'm seeing four and a half now in the spot,

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which is crazy to me.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, we had six and a half on a look ahead.

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You know, I saw some places open that game four

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and a half five, We were four on our opener.

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You know it's early and I haven't really I think

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Florida State's the right side in the game. I think

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getting over a field goal in the game at home

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is the right move. Florida State was in a weird

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position last Friday playing that game in Virginia. Game they

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could have won anyway. But yeah, that game's gonna see

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really good.

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Speaker 4: Two way handle.

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Speaker 3: It's old school Miami Florida State game that actually means something.

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Speaker 1: Art the Caesar, let's get into our par lay of

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the day.

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Speaker 2: Am I the one that's gonna mock this up?

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Speaker 5: Are we taking bets on that? What's the line on

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the press? Screwing this up here?

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Speaker 2: Art?

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Speaker 5: What do we got currently?

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Speaker 3: Well, it's baseball and he can't at the blue ja. Yeah,

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I'm gonna say, I'm gonna open my line, and I

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know I'm gonna get pounded on my opening number.

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Speaker 4: I'm gonna lay.

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna say opening yes minus a dollar fifty when

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I take a max when I take a max bet.

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Speaker 4: I'm instantly gonna go over two.

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Speaker 5: Dollars, absolutely one bet. Yeah, consider it over two dollars

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because the money is rolling in hard here. Yeah, you guys,

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what's leg number one?

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Speaker 4: All right, I'll do Leg one Leg one? And you

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know it could be that.

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Speaker 3: I'm a Yankee fan and I'm super nervous, but I

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think Crotcha is the best pitcher in baseball, I really do.

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I know Schoopl's phenomenal. I know Scheins is phenomenal. All

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the pressure is gonna be on the Yankees here at home.

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You're giving me him at plus one fifteen, give me

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the red sox mm praz Joe?

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Speaker 5: Do you want me to go? Okay, press now I'll

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go because somebody's got to come up with a winner here.

359
00:18:04,480 --> 00:18:06,240
Very simple. I'm gonna go to a late game with

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00:18:06,279 --> 00:18:10,559
the Dodgers and the Reds. Depending on which Hunter Green

361
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shows up will depend on which way this game goes.

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But since he's horrible on the road and much better

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in Cincinnati, and this game being a Chez ravine, I

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am going to lay the one in this game here,

365
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I'll go Dodgers minus one. I think this has got

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a six to two Dodgers win written all over it.

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How about you, Prez Well.

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Speaker 1: I will go with scooball Detroit first five.

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Speaker 2: So Detroit first five. There we go.

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Speaker 1: That is our parlay of the day.

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Speaker 2: Hit that like button.

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Speaker 1: Subscribe to channel, make sure to comment. Guys, let's get

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into fade or not. We're talking about one and three

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NFL teams. And the reason I want to discuss the

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one in three NFL teams is this is basically their season.

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You win your two and three, you're in it, you're

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feeling better. You lose your one and four, you're basically done.

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Let's start with the Miami Dolphins, and this is a

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team that has a pathway to a few wins in

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the next couple of weeks. Joe, I'll start with you.

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I'm looking to bet on Miami moving forward. I took

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them as a circa bet against whoever the hell the Jets,

383
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So I've already started to look towards betting Miami, Tyrek

384
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Hill or not. That's I say they're a bet on team. No,

385
00:19:42,079 --> 00:19:45,559
they're hot trash on so many levels here. No, they

386
00:19:45,559 --> 00:19:46,799
are not a bet on team.

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Speaker 5: They are a faith They're going to be one in

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00:19:49,240 --> 00:19:52,640
six coach is going to be fired. Front office is

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going to be changing. It is down. That is not

390
00:19:55,960 --> 00:19:59,200
a good football team, president, any which way, shape or form.

391
00:19:59,279 --> 00:20:04,000
The defense is atrocious. Anybody with half a pulse should

392
00:20:04,000 --> 00:20:06,559
be able to beat this Miami team. Not buying it.

393
00:20:06,599 --> 00:20:08,519
They're a fade for me. I beout you aret.

394
00:20:08,880 --> 00:20:10,880
Speaker 3: Despite their win last night, They've been a fade for

395
00:20:10,920 --> 00:20:14,400
me ever since their Week one debacle, and I just

396
00:20:14,440 --> 00:20:16,599
think that's who they are. They're not the team that

397
00:20:16,640 --> 00:20:19,319
basically snuck out with a win last night against the

398
00:20:19,319 --> 00:20:19,880
bad Jets.

399
00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:22,319
Speaker 4: I do not like anything I see out of the Dolphins.

400
00:20:22,880 --> 00:20:25,640
Speaker 1: They're minus one and a half against Carolina on the

401
00:20:25,759 --> 00:20:31,119
road this week. Let's turn our attention to the next team,

402
00:20:31,640 --> 00:20:36,359
the Las Vegas Raiders. And this is a I don't

403
00:20:36,359 --> 00:20:42,440
know what to do team well coached, maybe I.

404
00:20:42,400 --> 00:20:44,839
Speaker 2: Don't know what to do with the Raiders. You guys go.

405
00:20:45,000 --> 00:20:48,319
Speaker 3: Art well, they look it looks like they're gonna lose

406
00:20:48,359 --> 00:20:52,279
their tackle. Who's their best offensive lineman? Jenty obviously had

407
00:20:52,279 --> 00:20:54,640
a breakout game, but Gino Smith is still the quarterback

408
00:20:55,039 --> 00:20:57,359
if he's gonna still be the quarterback, and I know

409
00:20:57,400 --> 00:20:59,799
their backups aren't any good. I gotta fade them. It's

410
00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:03,160
though this week you saw plus you saw money on

411
00:21:03,200 --> 00:21:06,480
them at plus seven against the Colts, it's now six

412
00:21:06,519 --> 00:21:08,920
and a half. I just don't like Gino Smith, so

413
00:21:08,920 --> 00:21:10,079
I'm fading the Raiders.

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Speaker 5: Joe I could not be in more agreement here within

415
00:21:14,480 --> 00:21:18,480
art is Gino Smith leads the league in interceptions. He

416
00:21:18,559 --> 00:21:21,319
can't figure out which team to throw it to. Uh,

417
00:21:21,519 --> 00:21:24,839
don't trust him. Great final, you know, you know, welcome

418
00:21:24,880 --> 00:21:28,680
to the NFL Ashton genty, But very hard to trust

419
00:21:28,720 --> 00:21:31,039
this team when the back is against the wall on

420
00:21:31,200 --> 00:21:35,279
any competitive teams over five hundred, for Gino you're in trouble.

421
00:21:35,480 --> 00:21:38,119
He's done a great job of beating all of the

422
00:21:38,200 --> 00:21:40,680
crap teams under five hundred teams. He looks like a

423
00:21:40,720 --> 00:21:44,000
world beater. Yeah, but anytime he steps up the competition

424
00:21:44,160 --> 00:21:47,400
levels up, he's a turnover machine. You can't trust him.

425
00:21:47,759 --> 00:21:52,519
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't understand what people's infatuation with him is. Guys,

426
00:21:52,599 --> 00:21:56,000
Let's turn our attention to the Baltimore Ravens. We did

427
00:21:56,039 --> 00:21:58,359
not expect them to be one in three. The line

428
00:21:58,480 --> 00:22:01,440
was minus nine and a half. This week against Houston,

429
00:22:01,880 --> 00:22:04,839
Lamar is out. It's minus three and a half. There's

430
00:22:04,880 --> 00:22:09,039
a three on board already, Cooper Rush. I mean, could

431
00:22:09,119 --> 00:22:11,960
you This sounds like they have to change the entire

432
00:22:12,000 --> 00:22:15,279
offense to me, I can't make heads or tails on

433
00:22:15,359 --> 00:22:18,440
how Cooper Rush is a backup to a running quarterback.

434
00:22:18,559 --> 00:22:22,279
But Harborn knows better than me. I don't know what

435
00:22:22,319 --> 00:22:25,200
to do with this team either. Their defense looks horrid.

436
00:22:25,440 --> 00:22:27,400
I'm probably gonna look to fade them.

437
00:22:27,759 --> 00:22:33,200
Speaker 5: Joe, it's not Lamar Jackson that worries me with the Ravens.

438
00:22:33,359 --> 00:22:37,119
It's every other injury on the defensive side of the

439
00:22:37,160 --> 00:22:41,559
ball that worries me. There with Rokwan Smith, their best

440
00:22:41,599 --> 00:22:47,519
linebacker questionable, Marlon Humphrey and the secondary question they have injuries,

441
00:22:47,559 --> 00:22:50,559
cluster injuries on a defensive side of the ball that's

442
00:22:50,640 --> 00:22:55,680
extremely worrisome. I think offensively they'll be fine. If Lamar

443
00:22:55,799 --> 00:22:57,559
needs a couple of weeks, I think they'll be good

444
00:22:57,559 --> 00:23:01,519
to go. But I am waiting see until we get

445
00:23:01,599 --> 00:23:04,519
how many of these defensive guys are actually going to

446
00:23:04,599 --> 00:23:07,720
be available to them hard Otherwise it's very hard to

447
00:23:07,720 --> 00:23:08,440
trust them here.

448
00:23:08,839 --> 00:23:10,519
Speaker 4: Oh it's got to be a wait and see it. Pros.

449
00:23:10,559 --> 00:23:12,359
Speaker 3: First of all, obviously the quarterback, but you hit it, Joe.

450
00:23:12,400 --> 00:23:14,720
It's the defense that's been awful. They got a million

451
00:23:14,759 --> 00:23:17,680
injuries there. There's no way with all the other games

452
00:23:17,720 --> 00:23:19,440
you can bet this week and go run of the

453
00:23:19,480 --> 00:23:22,400
counter and bet this Raven game. And you mentioned present.

454
00:23:22,400 --> 00:23:24,960
We're three on the game. You know, I know there's

455
00:23:24,960 --> 00:23:26,880
a lot of three and a half. We also, this

456
00:23:26,920 --> 00:23:29,079
is a game. We don't do this a lot. This

457
00:23:29,160 --> 00:23:31,480
is a game that we're kind of smaller limits right

458
00:23:31,519 --> 00:23:35,039
now on the game because you know, it's just and

459
00:23:35,079 --> 00:23:38,680
it's we rarely do that. Maybe once a year twice

460
00:23:38,720 --> 00:23:41,519
a year you put a game out like that where

461
00:23:41,559 --> 00:23:44,240
we open it with smaller limits, and we had to

462
00:23:44,240 --> 00:23:45,200
do that with this game.

463
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Speaker 1: A Art this seson joining us Art, let's go to

464
00:23:47,920 --> 00:23:52,599
uh well just really quick, Art. Ravens are minus one

465
00:23:52,839 --> 00:23:56,880
eighty to win the division. They were minus two hundred yesterday.

466
00:23:57,960 --> 00:24:01,720
Are you are you taking any pet on that? I

467
00:24:01,960 --> 00:24:04,920
the value, the money value is a little whack. But

468
00:24:05,519 --> 00:24:06,599
there is a pathway.

469
00:24:07,640 --> 00:24:09,640
Speaker 3: Well, of course there's a path especially two because two

470
00:24:09,640 --> 00:24:12,279
of the teams can't win. You know, the Bengals can't

471
00:24:12,279 --> 00:24:15,119
win and obviously Cleveland can't win. Now it's just do

472
00:24:15,160 --> 00:24:17,920
you trust in Pittsburgh You're right, I mean we That

473
00:24:18,079 --> 00:24:20,359
just goes to show you how good we still and

474
00:24:20,400 --> 00:24:23,200
how much we still believe in Baltimore and you know,

475
00:24:23,319 --> 00:24:25,880
all their infrastructure and their coaching and if Lamar comes

476
00:24:25,920 --> 00:24:28,599
back and all the pieces they have that them to

477
00:24:28,640 --> 00:24:31,599
almost still be a two dollars favorite in that division

478
00:24:31,599 --> 00:24:33,160
at one in three is remarkable.

479
00:24:34,119 --> 00:24:37,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, Browns one in three, horrible spot for this for

480
00:24:37,880 --> 00:24:40,839
them this week. I'm looking to fade them this week

481
00:24:40,880 --> 00:24:44,759
and to basically fade them moving forward. I understand they

482
00:24:44,759 --> 00:24:46,839
have a good defense, but even that is going to

483
00:24:46,960 --> 00:24:49,920
quit at some point. I'm a fade on the Browns.

484
00:24:50,039 --> 00:24:50,359
Speaker 2: Joe.

485
00:24:50,880 --> 00:24:54,000
Speaker 5: The total is thirty six and a half, Like, you

486
00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:57,279
gotta be kidding me in this game here, and why

487
00:24:57,319 --> 00:25:00,440
are we continuing to wheel out week and at Ernie's

488
00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:04,319
and Joe Flacco Browns? Like, what are you waiting for here?

489
00:25:04,559 --> 00:25:07,000
You got two young quarterbacks. You got to figure out

490
00:25:07,039 --> 00:25:10,319
what the future looks like. The future ain with weekend

491
00:25:10,359 --> 00:25:13,200
at Bernie's, Like, you like, get them off the field

492
00:25:13,519 --> 00:25:18,039
and see what these young guys have. But to me, offensively, Prez,

493
00:25:18,079 --> 00:25:22,000
There'll be no overteaen totals with Joe Flacco in your

494
00:25:22,079 --> 00:25:24,599
future under center are call me crazy.

495
00:25:25,039 --> 00:25:27,039
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, Prez you said it. Their defense is

496
00:25:27,119 --> 00:25:30,000
really good and keep them in some games. Eventually that

497
00:25:30,079 --> 00:25:33,119
will quit. The big thing is when do they try

498
00:25:33,279 --> 00:25:35,720
one of these guys? When do they try Gabriel? When

499
00:25:35,720 --> 00:25:40,160
do they try Shador? At what point do we get six? Yeah,

500
00:25:40,400 --> 00:25:42,400
I just can't put my money on the Browns. It's

501
00:25:42,400 --> 00:25:45,319
impossible for me to do. Maybe you could look at,

502
00:25:45,400 --> 00:25:48,000
you know, totals. I mean, I know these totals are low,

503
00:25:48,079 --> 00:25:50,119
but you know the Browns can't score and they can

504
00:25:50,160 --> 00:25:50,799
hold some people.

505
00:25:50,880 --> 00:25:52,000
Speaker 4: Maybe you got to look that way.

506
00:25:52,240 --> 00:25:55,039
Speaker 5: They haven't scored twenty points yet this year, I don't think,

507
00:25:55,079 --> 00:25:57,519
gord I don't think they've hit the twenty point mark yet.

508
00:25:57,559 --> 00:26:00,519
So their total is fifteen and a half week.

509
00:26:00,960 --> 00:26:03,319
Speaker 2: Yeah, I like the under.

510
00:26:04,240 --> 00:26:07,759
Speaker 1: That's a lot of points for that team. The Houston Texans,

511
00:26:07,759 --> 00:26:12,200
they got off the stide look decent win. They didn't

512
00:26:12,240 --> 00:26:15,160
look that great. But this is a team that is

513
00:26:15,240 --> 00:26:18,279
well coached. They made the playoffs the last two years.

514
00:26:18,799 --> 00:26:24,200
That division is not yet run away from them. With

515
00:26:24,319 --> 00:26:26,960
all that said, I think this is a fade team

516
00:26:27,039 --> 00:26:27,799
moving forward.

517
00:26:27,920 --> 00:26:29,759
Speaker 3: Art Yeah, I mean, if they get to play the

518
00:26:29,799 --> 00:26:32,839
Titans every week it will look that good exactly like

519
00:26:32,880 --> 00:26:35,160
you said, even at twenty six nothing, what was it

520
00:26:35,240 --> 00:26:36,480
six nothing at the half?

521
00:26:36,839 --> 00:26:39,359
Speaker 4: I mean it wasn't like they were great in that

522
00:26:39,480 --> 00:26:40,039
first half.

523
00:26:40,160 --> 00:26:43,519
Speaker 3: Tennessee was still kind of creeping around, you know, trying

524
00:26:43,519 --> 00:26:46,079
to steal that game. But they're a net. I'm with you, Prez.

525
00:26:46,119 --> 00:26:48,319
I have to fade the team. Their offensive line is

526
00:26:48,359 --> 00:26:51,839
still not great. And listen the book. I don't think CJ.

527
00:26:51,920 --> 00:26:53,880
Shroud is that good. I know he runs for his

528
00:26:53,920 --> 00:26:56,480
life every week, but I don't know he has regressed

529
00:26:56,519 --> 00:26:57,000
big time.

530
00:26:57,720 --> 00:27:00,440
Speaker 5: I love shout out to cam Ward had to comment

531
00:27:00,480 --> 00:27:03,119
of the weekend. When asked to describe it, He's like,

532
00:27:03,160 --> 00:27:06,279
we as right now, like we can't win a game.

533
00:27:06,839 --> 00:27:09,839
We talked this and yes and they are. But you

534
00:27:09,839 --> 00:27:12,960
know what, so is Houston. And I'm with you, Prez

535
00:27:13,000 --> 00:27:16,240
here that game was six nothing going into the fourth quarter, Like,

536
00:27:16,279 --> 00:27:18,319
are you kidding me? They still can't run the ball.

537
00:27:18,759 --> 00:27:22,599
They just traded Cam Robinson their offensive tackle for some

538
00:27:22,759 --> 00:27:25,759
reason because like what, the backup was so much better

539
00:27:25,839 --> 00:27:28,680
to the Browns. So I don't get it to me.

540
00:27:28,839 --> 00:27:31,559
There's no way you can trust them to score enough

541
00:27:31,599 --> 00:27:35,960
points to beat anybody in the NFL much less this week.

542
00:27:36,359 --> 00:27:38,880
Speaker 1: So before we get into the Giants, and we've got

543
00:27:38,960 --> 00:27:42,000
the Giants and the Panthers left, what do you do

544
00:27:42,160 --> 00:27:45,880
with this Baltimore Houston game? I mean, you got a

545
00:27:45,960 --> 00:27:49,799
backup quarterback, but they still have a power running game

546
00:27:49,839 --> 00:27:53,400
in Baltimore against a team that really is struggling to

547
00:27:53,440 --> 00:27:55,880
score but playing a horrible defense.

548
00:27:56,440 --> 00:27:57,839
Speaker 2: How do you attack this game?

549
00:27:58,000 --> 00:27:58,200
Speaker 4: Art?

550
00:27:59,599 --> 00:28:02,119
Speaker 3: I think I think for me, the only way I

551
00:28:02,200 --> 00:28:05,319
can look is Baltimore, but I wouldn't love it. I

552
00:28:05,880 --> 00:28:08,000
think at three even on a money line, at minus

553
00:28:08,000 --> 00:28:11,480
one fifty minus one sixty, I think Baltimore is still

554
00:28:11,559 --> 00:28:15,359
better than Houston despite them not playing Lamar and I

555
00:28:15,440 --> 00:28:19,559
understand all the injuries, but Baltimore, especially at home too,

556
00:28:19,960 --> 00:28:21,160
I think that's the only way to look.

557
00:28:21,559 --> 00:28:26,839
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with that, Joe, New York Giants and Panthers,

558
00:28:26,839 --> 00:28:32,000
I'll combine them together. I'm looking to bet on the Giants,

559
00:28:32,200 --> 00:28:36,680
likely not this week, and as far as the Panthers go,

560
00:28:36,839 --> 00:28:39,039
I'm staying away from this team and I have a

561
00:28:39,079 --> 00:28:39,880
couple of years.

562
00:28:39,960 --> 00:28:41,599
Speaker 2: What are you doing well?

563
00:28:41,759 --> 00:28:45,240
Speaker 5: The Giants are going to be This is an interesting

564
00:28:45,279 --> 00:28:47,480
game this week to see what happens here, is the

565
00:28:47,519 --> 00:28:50,359
public going to run to the window to back you know,

566
00:28:50,519 --> 00:28:53,680
Dart here? Do we think they finally figured something out?

567
00:28:53,960 --> 00:28:57,839
Or did New Orleans show you enough competitive wise against

568
00:28:57,839 --> 00:29:01,480
Buffalo that you know, maybe more money will come towards them.

569
00:29:01,519 --> 00:29:03,960
It's kind of a wait and see. I think with

570
00:29:04,119 --> 00:29:07,480
the Giants. I think there's gonna be some value opportunities

571
00:29:07,960 --> 00:29:11,720
with them, but maybe not right now and until. Listen,

572
00:29:11,759 --> 00:29:14,559
Bryce Young's doing a great job of great game, you suck,

573
00:29:14,720 --> 00:29:18,440
Good game, you suck. He sucked last week, so maybe

574
00:29:18,440 --> 00:29:19,519
he'll be good this week.

575
00:29:20,200 --> 00:29:23,519
Speaker 1: It's more like great game, you suck, you suck, you suck,

576
00:29:23,559 --> 00:29:24,039
you suck.

577
00:29:24,160 --> 00:29:26,359
Speaker 2: Great game ten you sucks.

578
00:29:26,559 --> 00:29:29,720
Speaker 5: Sounds like your day, That's what it sounds like.

579
00:29:30,519 --> 00:29:32,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, my day, Yeah, profile.

580
00:29:33,000 --> 00:29:35,480
Speaker 3: I think the Panthers are a wait and see approach.

581
00:29:35,519 --> 00:29:38,720
I think maybe you could find some spots with them. Listen,

582
00:29:38,759 --> 00:29:40,640
they had a moment against the Cargos with their back

583
00:29:40,680 --> 00:29:41,160
door cover.

584
00:29:41,440 --> 00:29:43,839
Speaker 4: Obviously they blew at lant Out. They're just really hard

585
00:29:44,119 --> 00:29:44,640
to figure.

586
00:29:44,799 --> 00:29:47,759
Speaker 3: I think the Giants are real interesting because obviously they

587
00:29:47,839 --> 00:29:49,559
get you know, we all said it was a bad

588
00:29:49,599 --> 00:29:52,599
spot for the Chargers last week, and it was, and

589
00:29:52,640 --> 00:29:54,319
now the rookie's got to go on the road. I

590
00:29:54,359 --> 00:29:56,160
know it's against the worst team in the league, but

591
00:29:56,200 --> 00:29:58,440
he still has to go on the road. I feel

592
00:29:58,480 --> 00:30:00,480
like the public will be on the Giants. I've already

593
00:30:00,480 --> 00:30:03,319
told you early money from you know. The indicators that

594
00:30:03,359 --> 00:30:05,759
we like with groups are on the Saints Day, but

595
00:30:05,880 --> 00:30:08,200
the Saints every week. I think there will be spots

596
00:30:08,200 --> 00:30:10,559
with the Giants, especially at home. The art will be

597
00:30:10,559 --> 00:30:12,960
better at home, and their defense is fine. You got

598
00:30:12,960 --> 00:30:14,480
to pick and choose with the Giants.

599
00:30:15,400 --> 00:30:16,039
Speaker 5: Man Art.

600
00:30:16,079 --> 00:30:19,279
Speaker 1: That was our longest segment with you ever. Wow, it

601
00:30:19,319 --> 00:30:22,039
was amazing, great work. Thank you for doing this, and

602
00:30:22,079 --> 00:30:26,200
you guys can see art on these long versions on

603
00:30:26,319 --> 00:30:29,880
Tuesday and Wednesday, Thursday and Friday. We only get them

604
00:30:29,880 --> 00:30:31,119
for about twelve minutes.

605
00:30:31,559 --> 00:30:31,799
Speaker 2: Art.

606
00:30:31,799 --> 00:30:36,599
Speaker 1: Thanks for doing this, brother, kick ass, and I hope

607
00:30:36,599 --> 00:30:38,000
we win our parlay.

608
00:30:37,599 --> 00:30:38,039
Speaker 5: Of the day.

609
00:30:38,119 --> 00:30:41,920
Speaker 1: Damn it, ladies and gentlemen, standing ovation for art to

610
00:30:42,000 --> 00:30:46,160
Caesar guys, before we get into the rest of the show.

611
00:30:46,720 --> 00:30:49,640
In the comment section right a dating profile for Joe Nire.

612
00:30:49,759 --> 00:30:50,720
Speaker 2: I'm curious how.

613
00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:52,920
Speaker 5: It would help you know this is never going to

614
00:30:52,920 --> 00:30:54,839
see the light of day, right. You just need to

615
00:30:54,880 --> 00:30:56,480
know this, right, because I'm.

616
00:30:56,160 --> 00:30:59,680
Speaker 1: Gonna light it in around the whole show, all right,

617
00:30:59,720 --> 00:31:03,400
why right, so that you can't edit it out? Come on, man,

618
00:31:03,799 --> 00:31:09,000
keep this thin. I challenge you to keep this in.

619
00:31:09,599 --> 00:31:12,079
Guys are about to go on the clock. We got

620
00:31:12,119 --> 00:31:15,079
our NFL best bets, our college football best bets. Joe's

621
00:31:15,079 --> 00:31:17,559
going to take apart every wild card game, and we

622
00:31:17,680 --> 00:31:22,599
got some incredible questions in the mail bag section Joe

623
00:31:22,680 --> 00:31:26,039
from Solutions to world problems. He wants to know when

624
00:31:26,079 --> 00:31:29,119
do we bet money line verse spread? When do we

625
00:31:29,160 --> 00:31:34,079
buy a half point versus a point? Teasers? Good ones

626
00:31:34,160 --> 00:31:36,519
verse bad? Joe and I are going to take all

627
00:31:36,599 --> 00:31:40,519
three of those questions apart. Hit that like button. Subscribe

628
00:31:40,559 --> 00:31:44,359
to our channel, and guys, please, I do have a

629
00:31:44,400 --> 00:31:48,119
promo code up for you, guys for my NFL it

630
00:31:48,160 --> 00:31:52,000
has been absolutely incredible. I'm nineteen to nine on the season.

631
00:31:52,559 --> 00:31:55,240
You guys can get thirty days all access for only

632
00:31:55,279 --> 00:31:58,839
one hundred and thirty nine dollars. Use the promo code

633
00:31:58,960 --> 00:32:06,720
NFL thirty. That's NFL thirty as well. It is five dollars. Tuesday,

634
00:32:06,960 --> 00:32:10,400
I have a NFL total up, Joe. It's a four

635
00:32:10,440 --> 00:32:12,880
percent play. What do you got going for the clients

636
00:32:12,880 --> 00:32:13,680
over at wage you.

637
00:32:13,640 --> 00:32:18,480
Speaker 5: Talk, two five dollars bets, says, one in Major League

638
00:32:18,519 --> 00:32:22,599
baseball and a wild card and one in college football.

639
00:32:23,279 --> 00:32:25,640
I would hop on and grab both of those rather

640
00:32:25,720 --> 00:32:29,200
quickly over at the page at wager Talk, as both

641
00:32:29,240 --> 00:32:32,160
those lines likely moving quickly.

642
00:32:32,279 --> 00:32:36,359
Speaker 1: Here there we go, and guys, Joe's killer in baseball,

643
00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:40,960
So yeah, five dollars for his baseball play. Okay, Joe.

644
00:32:41,039 --> 00:32:43,559
Let's turn our attention to NFL best bets, and here

645
00:32:43,680 --> 00:32:48,240
is one. I'm going with Denver and Philadelphia over the

646
00:32:48,279 --> 00:32:51,599
total of forty three and a half forty four. And

647
00:32:51,640 --> 00:32:54,440
I know it's counterintuitive in the sense that these are

648
00:32:54,519 --> 00:32:58,200
running teams, but does it matter. Philadelphia just put up

649
00:32:58,240 --> 00:33:01,319
thirty one against Tampa Bay, they put up thirty three

650
00:33:01,400 --> 00:33:05,160
against LA they put up twenty against Kansas City on

651
00:33:05,240 --> 00:33:08,279
the road, good defense, and they put up twenty four

652
00:33:09,039 --> 00:33:12,160
against Dallas. This team will run, run, run, and they'll

653
00:33:12,200 --> 00:33:17,400
have a play action pass fifty yards. This team can score,

654
00:33:17,400 --> 00:33:20,960
and we know that they're struggling on defense. Twenty five

655
00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:24,119
points they allowed to Tampa Bay, twenty six to the Rams,

656
00:33:24,319 --> 00:33:27,599
and Denver is stretching the field. Guys, bo Nix is

657
00:33:27,640 --> 00:33:30,799
throwing long bombs and connecting every now and again. They

658
00:33:30,799 --> 00:33:33,440
put up twenty eight against Cincinnati, and frankly could have

659
00:33:33,480 --> 00:33:36,680
put up more if they needed to. Twenty against the Chargers,

660
00:33:36,720 --> 00:33:41,079
twenty eight against Indianapolis, twenty against Tennessee. Both of these

661
00:33:41,079 --> 00:33:44,119
teams are regularly in the twenties, and both of these

662
00:33:44,160 --> 00:33:48,720
teams can score. Take over the total of forty three

663
00:33:48,759 --> 00:33:49,240
and a half.

664
00:33:49,960 --> 00:33:52,319
Speaker 5: Like it, Prez, all right, let's just keep it simple.

665
00:33:52,359 --> 00:33:56,119
We talked about this earlier across the pond, Minnesota taking

666
00:33:56,160 --> 00:34:00,119
on the Browns. This total is dropping now thirty six

667
00:34:00,160 --> 00:34:03,160
and a half. I have no idea why Joe Flacco

668
00:34:03,200 --> 00:34:05,359
is still under center, but as long as he is,

669
00:34:05,880 --> 00:34:08,960
we might as well take advantage here. We have not

670
00:34:09,199 --> 00:34:12,559
seen this Browns team score twenty points yet in the game.

671
00:34:12,840 --> 00:34:15,400
They're going to need to if they're ever gonna beat Minnesota.

672
00:34:15,400 --> 00:34:18,119
I don't think they will. Their team total is fifteen

673
00:34:18,159 --> 00:34:20,320
and a half. It's three to three and a half

674
00:34:20,400 --> 00:34:23,480
in the marketplace from Minnesota, who's been there now for

675
00:34:23,519 --> 00:34:26,800
a last couple of weeks. I think they'll They've got

676
00:34:26,920 --> 00:34:31,039
enough help now offensively back with Addison and company. I

677
00:34:31,199 --> 00:34:35,159
expect Carson Wentz and this Minnesota team to kind of

678
00:34:35,199 --> 00:34:38,280
pull away here from Flacco in this lack of an offense.

679
00:34:38,679 --> 00:34:41,400
I will lay it here with Minnesota press.

680
00:34:41,639 --> 00:34:44,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, Joe, real quick, before we get into our college football.

681
00:34:44,880 --> 00:34:48,559
We've just had DraftKings. Move that number to four and

682
00:34:48,599 --> 00:34:49,119
a half.

683
00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:50,360
Speaker 5: There you go, thine and a half.

684
00:34:50,599 --> 00:34:53,840
Speaker 1: Most of the places don't let that phase you, guys.

685
00:34:53,880 --> 00:34:55,639
They cover three and a half, they cover four and

686
00:34:55,679 --> 00:35:00,440
a half. Two Joe and airy college football best. I'm

687
00:35:00,440 --> 00:35:03,400
going to shock you with mine, dude. This is not

688
00:35:03,639 --> 00:35:08,960
a typo, guys. Kent State is playing Oklahoma, and ken

689
00:35:09,000 --> 00:35:12,440
State's team total is three and a half. Three and

690
00:35:12,480 --> 00:35:16,280
a half, not thirteen and a half. Three and a half,

691
00:35:16,400 --> 00:35:20,559
one touchdown, two field goals, three safeties, a field goal

692
00:35:20,559 --> 00:35:23,079
and a safety. It all gets us there. Now, I

693
00:35:23,199 --> 00:35:26,159
understand this Oklahoma team just shot a team out. They're

694
00:35:26,159 --> 00:35:28,559
not going to shut two team out. Two teams out

695
00:35:28,639 --> 00:35:31,480
in a row. And this Kent State team can score

696
00:35:31,880 --> 00:35:35,440
well at least ten points. They put up ten points

697
00:35:35,480 --> 00:35:38,599
in each of their last few games against ranked teams

698
00:35:38,639 --> 00:35:43,559
Texas Tech and Florida State. Plus Oklahoma's QB is out.

699
00:35:43,920 --> 00:35:46,239
Will that affect the blowout?

700
00:35:46,599 --> 00:35:46,840
Speaker 2: No?

701
00:35:47,159 --> 00:35:50,320
Speaker 1: But it will give Kent State maybe one extra possession.

702
00:35:50,599 --> 00:35:52,800
I think this game is going to be a total blowout.

703
00:35:53,000 --> 00:35:55,280
I think Oklahoma will have all their backups in in

704
00:35:55,320 --> 00:35:58,079
the third quarter, and I think ken State will find

705
00:35:58,119 --> 00:36:01,079
their way into the end zone. This is a hold

706
00:36:01,119 --> 00:36:05,760
your nose wait till blowout time begins, and take ken

707
00:36:05,800 --> 00:36:08,119
State over three and a half team total.

708
00:36:08,719 --> 00:36:12,760
Speaker 5: That's a unbelievable number, pres Stocking. Three and a half

709
00:36:12,880 --> 00:36:15,840
is just absolutely crazy, all right. One of my best

710
00:36:15,920 --> 00:36:19,320
bets last week for clients was Louisville to get it

711
00:36:19,360 --> 00:36:22,239
done on the road, laying four and a half against Pittsburgh.

712
00:36:22,280 --> 00:36:25,679
Now they come home. They got that outright win, and

713
00:36:25,719 --> 00:36:27,960
now they're coming home, Pres, and they get to take

714
00:36:28,000 --> 00:36:31,000
on a Virginia team that just pulled the upset of

715
00:36:31,039 --> 00:36:34,400
all upsets here against Florida State, so much so that

716
00:36:34,440 --> 00:36:38,639
their fans while they bum rushed the field and celebrated

717
00:36:38,719 --> 00:36:43,400
like they actually won a national championship. Oops. Sorry, this

718
00:36:43,480 --> 00:36:46,440
is the ultimate letdown spot here on the road. Now

719
00:36:46,519 --> 00:36:50,519
for Virginia, I love Louisville to keep this rolling like

720
00:36:50,639 --> 00:36:55,039
this team. I expect Miller Mosson Company to put up

721
00:36:55,079 --> 00:36:58,320
some points in Louisville's defense to get enough stops to

722
00:36:58,400 --> 00:37:01,639
cover this game seven and a half. I got no

723
00:37:01,760 --> 00:37:04,559
problem backing Louisville Prez Chill.

724
00:37:04,639 --> 00:37:05,360
Speaker 2: Let's keep it.

725
00:37:05,280 --> 00:37:08,199
Speaker 1: Moving, brother, two minutes each segment. It's comet for an

726
00:37:08,280 --> 00:37:11,440
MLB rundown full wildcard games. They're all today. How do

727
00:37:11,480 --> 00:37:12,960
we bet each one of them? All?

728
00:37:13,039 --> 00:37:16,000
Speaker 5: Right? So, one thing they all have in common press

729
00:37:16,039 --> 00:37:17,679
that we should all know is that look at the

730
00:37:17,719 --> 00:37:20,760
totals in each of these games, seven six and a

731
00:37:20,800 --> 00:37:25,000
half six seven. Are you starting to sense a theme here?

732
00:37:25,039 --> 00:37:27,440
And it's going to start off early today with the

733
00:37:27,639 --> 00:37:31,840
Guardians taking on Detroit Tier two teams that have been

734
00:37:32,039 --> 00:37:37,400
absolutely horrific offensively, especially against right handed pitching here, which

735
00:37:37,440 --> 00:37:40,199
is why the Guardians are going with Gavin Williams one

736
00:37:40,239 --> 00:37:43,679
point eight eight ERA in four September starts. He is

737
00:37:44,079 --> 00:37:47,280
two wins already in the last month against these Tigers.

738
00:37:47,559 --> 00:37:51,079
School Goles pitch great, but Schools lost both games against

739
00:37:51,119 --> 00:37:54,480
the Guardians. I don't see how we're getting a ton

740
00:37:54,480 --> 00:37:56,840
of runs in here. I know it's low six six

741
00:37:56,960 --> 00:38:00,159
and a half, but it's worth continuing to expect a

742
00:38:00,280 --> 00:38:02,639
three to two, three to one game here. I am

743
00:38:02,679 --> 00:38:07,000
on the under expecting unexpected with wriggly ten mile an

744
00:38:07,039 --> 00:38:11,840
hour breeze is blowing in at Wrigley Boyd on the mound,

745
00:38:11,920 --> 00:38:14,400
who is kind of running out of steam here? But

746
00:38:14,440 --> 00:38:16,119
I always like a team that can hit the long

747
00:38:16,199 --> 00:38:20,039
ball in the postseason versus a team that well doesn't.

748
00:38:20,119 --> 00:38:24,000
And the Padres, well they don't. The Cubs are a

749
00:38:24,039 --> 00:38:26,519
better home run hitting team. I think that's gonna matter

750
00:38:26,599 --> 00:38:29,639
because Pavetta on the road has not been good. I

751
00:38:29,679 --> 00:38:32,239
am gonna be backing the Cubs to get it done

752
00:38:32,599 --> 00:38:35,719
in this spot. Game one. Don't forget about the Yankees,

753
00:38:35,800 --> 00:38:40,360
of course, and Croche going for Boston. Listen, Freed has

754
00:38:40,400 --> 00:38:44,039
been every bit is good for the Yankees. That total

755
00:38:44,039 --> 00:38:46,920
three and a half in the first five, Prez, I

756
00:38:46,960 --> 00:38:50,800
don't think either team is getting anywhere near the kind

757
00:38:50,800 --> 00:38:53,360
of run support that you think they will. I think

758
00:38:53,440 --> 00:38:55,039
the under three and a half in the first five

759
00:38:55,119 --> 00:38:57,519
is the best look. And I had mentioned earlier part

760
00:38:57,960 --> 00:39:01,519
of my half of the parlow here of the day,

761
00:39:02,159 --> 00:39:05,400
the Dodgers laying one go to the alternate market. There

762
00:39:05,719 --> 00:39:09,199
lay the one. I believe they got this game five

763
00:39:09,199 --> 00:39:12,559
to two, six too. Somewhere in that ballpark. I believe

764
00:39:12,599 --> 00:39:15,599
the Dodgers will cover it. And that is your Major

765
00:39:15,679 --> 00:39:20,159
League Baseball wild Card rundown PRIs There we go, guys.

766
00:39:20,159 --> 00:39:22,440
Speaker 1: You can see me on wager Talk today. And also

767
00:39:22,519 --> 00:39:25,199
I'm doing the NFL Presidential Address later. It'll be up

768
00:39:25,239 --> 00:39:27,920
at a pm Eastern. It's five dollars Tuesday at wager Talk.

769
00:39:28,360 --> 00:39:31,239
I've got an NFL total up for you guys, nineteen

770
00:39:31,239 --> 00:39:35,480
to nine on the NFL season. Joe as a baseball

771
00:39:35,519 --> 00:39:39,480
play and a college football play as well as five dollars.

772
00:39:39,559 --> 00:39:40,159
Speaker 2: Check that out.

773
00:39:40,400 --> 00:39:42,599
Speaker 1: Joe, let's go to our mail bag, and I want

774
00:39:42,639 --> 00:39:45,440
to talk about solutions to world problems. He asked some

775
00:39:45,559 --> 00:39:50,800
great questions. Guys, put questions up in our comments section.

776
00:39:51,000 --> 00:39:53,639
We'll read them and answer them. If you have nothing

777
00:39:53,719 --> 00:39:56,239
to say, just put the word schmuck up. That's the

778
00:39:56,280 --> 00:40:00,599
word of the day. Joe, Earthly Solutions wants to compliment

779
00:40:00,679 --> 00:40:03,719
you on your brilliant hurricane call last night in Miami.

780
00:40:03,800 --> 00:40:04,320
Speaker 2: Well done.

781
00:40:04,800 --> 00:40:07,800
Speaker 1: He also wants to compliment me on calling both Monday

782
00:40:07,840 --> 00:40:08,840
night football games.

783
00:40:08,880 --> 00:40:10,360
Speaker 2: Correct, thank you for that.

784
00:40:10,519 --> 00:40:14,440
Speaker 1: Now, with that said, he asks the following questions, when

785
00:40:14,440 --> 00:40:16,719
do you bet a money line versus spread?

786
00:40:17,119 --> 00:40:18,719
Speaker 2: We've done a very deep dive on.

787
00:40:18,719 --> 00:40:22,760
Speaker 1: This, and I'm going to speak specifically about football, both

788
00:40:22,840 --> 00:40:27,199
college and NFL. Anytime you can get a money line

789
00:40:27,280 --> 00:40:32,480
of minus one thirty five, which is associated with minus two,

790
00:40:33,239 --> 00:40:36,280
you are better off on the money line. So if

791
00:40:36,280 --> 00:40:39,800
it's minus two and a half minus three, you take

792
00:40:39,880 --> 00:40:43,679
the point spread. If it's minus two or lower, you

793
00:40:43,800 --> 00:40:47,119
take the money line. When do you buy a half

794
00:40:47,199 --> 00:40:50,480
point in the NFL or college football? Joe, I'm going

795
00:40:50,519 --> 00:40:54,039
to ask you this too, but my answer is never.

796
00:40:54,840 --> 00:40:58,000
Never do you buy a half point or a single

797
00:40:58,119 --> 00:40:59,400
point ever.

798
00:41:00,280 --> 00:41:04,239
Speaker 5: There, Joe, Not in college. I would never buy points

799
00:41:04,239 --> 00:41:07,239
in college any way, shape or form. The variance is

800
00:41:07,360 --> 00:41:10,239
just too great. It's a waste of money at that

801
00:41:10,320 --> 00:41:14,920
particular point and press very rarely in the NFL, Am,

802
00:41:14,960 --> 00:41:17,039
I going to be running to the window to take

803
00:41:17,119 --> 00:41:19,079
a two and a half and buy half a point

804
00:41:19,119 --> 00:41:23,360
to get it three. I'm not buying it. The books

805
00:41:23,480 --> 00:41:26,719
and the lines in the NFL are the sharpest areas

806
00:41:26,760 --> 00:41:28,920
in all of sports. Here are half a point here

807
00:41:29,000 --> 00:41:32,199
or there. Just don't find many situations where I think

808
00:41:32,239 --> 00:41:34,920
the value warrants spending the extra money.

809
00:41:35,280 --> 00:41:38,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, tomorrow we'll talk about teasers, which ones are good

810
00:41:38,519 --> 00:41:41,360
or bad? But the half point one is a big,

811
00:41:41,920 --> 00:41:47,199
big conversation and real quick. Guys, in an isolated incident,

812
00:41:47,280 --> 00:41:50,320
you might regret not buying a half a point. I understand,

813
00:41:50,320 --> 00:41:53,360
but over one hundred bets, it will not make you money.

814
00:41:53,440 --> 00:41:57,000
You will lose money. When do you buy a warranty

815
00:41:57,079 --> 00:42:01,880
at Best Buy? The answer is never exactly the same.

816
00:42:02,599 --> 00:42:07,159
Do not buy half points Joe. What a fun show,

817
00:42:07,159 --> 00:42:10,599
maybe our longest today thanks to Art to Caesar, thanks

818
00:42:10,599 --> 00:42:14,119
to you guys. Put up a pro dating profilva Joe

819
00:42:14,159 --> 00:42:17,239
ran are in the comments section. He does not want

820
00:42:17,280 --> 00:42:20,719
to see it, so that makes put up two Joe

821
00:42:20,760 --> 00:42:25,719
anything else exactly. Lots of love everyone, Let's all win together.

