WEBVTT 1 00:00:01.960 --> 00:00:05.639 Meaning a live man like this man letting butterfly flaven 2 00:00:05.679 --> 00:00:07.759 his wing, big down in the force. Man, it gonna 3 00:00:07.799 --> 00:00:11.000 cause a tree fall, letting five thousand miles away. Man, 4 00:00:11.000 --> 00:00:17.519 evening nobody's seen, nobody else I see. 5 00:00:17.839 --> 00:00:20.559 You don't mean no man. It's like you follow a 6 00:00:20.559 --> 00:00:22.679 little story. 7 00:00:21.800 --> 00:00:24.440 And you got directed fect that that's the win. Man. 8 00:00:24.839 --> 00:00:26.039 Don't like to dag on the panel. 9 00:00:26.160 --> 00:00:36.200 Man, you don't matter many. There are a few things 10 00:00:36.560 --> 00:00:40.159 more difficult to be honest about than President Donald Trump. 11 00:00:40.920 --> 00:00:43.520 To say that opinions on the man are polarized is 12 00:00:43.600 --> 00:00:48.039 perhaps an understatement. The right wing coalition brought together in 13 00:00:48.079 --> 00:00:52.159 twenty twenty four is fracturing on any number of lines, 14 00:00:52.240 --> 00:00:56.159 with foreign policy being perhaps the most visible. But at 15 00:00:56.200 --> 00:01:01.719 a more basic level, we're seeing a shifting, a shifting 16 00:01:01.759 --> 00:01:06.680 coalition with highly disparate priorities. People want different things. A 17 00:01:06.680 --> 00:01:10.040 few weeks back, of course, we spoke about Thomas Massey's 18 00:01:10.319 --> 00:01:14.599 loss in the Kentucky primary against Ed Gallarin sort of 19 00:01:14.680 --> 00:01:19.359 Navy seal cipher, and we saw a sharp divide, sort 20 00:01:19.359 --> 00:01:23.879 of illustrating these two camps. Under fifty five, we see 21 00:01:23.920 --> 00:01:27.719 concerns about foreign policy or entanglement with Israel. And the 22 00:01:27.760 --> 00:01:33.640 economy ranking well above loyalty to the president perceived or actual. 23 00:01:34.280 --> 00:01:37.359 In the spirit of this divide right kind of delving 24 00:01:37.400 --> 00:01:40.200 into it, I thought it might be interesting with my 25 00:01:40.280 --> 00:01:45.560 friend Stormy Waters to go through the president's campaign promises 26 00:01:45.920 --> 00:01:52.120 Agenda forty seven, a list of twenty promises he made 27 00:01:52.519 --> 00:01:57.000 on the campaign, the broad themes of course, order and 28 00:01:57.120 --> 00:02:00.879 immigration at the top, which to be we have seen 29 00:02:00.959 --> 00:02:06.040 some successes, albeit some setbacks. Economy. A major part of 30 00:02:06.200 --> 00:02:12.159 the protest vote against Biden was disastrous economic decisions. Some 31 00:02:12.240 --> 00:02:17.560 of this was, unfortunately out of even Biden's hands, right, 32 00:02:17.599 --> 00:02:21.319 simply the sort of changing tides of global finance, but 33 00:02:21.439 --> 00:02:26.560 other parts were deliberate choices. Obviously, this has produced a 34 00:02:26.599 --> 00:02:29.639 lot of the angst, a lot of the anger against 35 00:02:29.759 --> 00:02:34.120 President Trump. Many young people, particularly I say young people 36 00:02:34.240 --> 00:02:38.240 people under fifty five, who are still wage earners, don't 37 00:02:38.280 --> 00:02:41.960 necessarily care about the stock market as much. They don't 38 00:02:42.280 --> 00:02:47.280 necessarily even feel or see that as a win because 39 00:02:47.560 --> 00:02:51.599 they are still in their earning years. Things like gas prices, 40 00:02:51.800 --> 00:02:55.879 things like their ability to keep a decent job when 41 00:02:55.919 --> 00:02:59.599 faced with foreign competition. Well, that's a lot different than 42 00:02:59.639 --> 00:03:04.080 a guy who's on Social security medicaid or their own 43 00:03:04.199 --> 00:03:10.080 personal retirements. They have different priorities. Obviously closely related. Energy. 44 00:03:10.879 --> 00:03:13.759 The Biden energy policy is very very odd, right. We 45 00:03:13.840 --> 00:03:16.280 had this sort of green mafia running things, throwing a 46 00:03:16.280 --> 00:03:19.599 ton of money around in government contracts. And while there 47 00:03:19.639 --> 00:03:26.080 have been some progress made, well, gas is five dollars 48 00:03:26.400 --> 00:03:29.319 depending on where you are, and that really gets us 49 00:03:29.400 --> 00:03:34.319 to the crux of the issue. Foreign policy. Trump promised 50 00:03:34.439 --> 00:03:38.319 peace in the Middle East and negotiated into the Ukraine conflict, 51 00:03:38.599 --> 00:03:42.639 focusing on America first. I feel like I don't need 52 00:03:42.639 --> 00:03:45.960 to tell you that has not happened, That isn't working. 53 00:03:46.599 --> 00:03:50.599 Things aren't going as he promised. Ukraine continues to grind on. 54 00:03:51.039 --> 00:03:53.120 More and more men are shoved into a meat grinder 55 00:03:53.159 --> 00:03:55.319 on both sides, although to be fair, it seems as 56 00:03:55.319 --> 00:03:58.879 if the balance has firmly shifted on that front. But yeah, 57 00:03:58.919 --> 00:04:02.639 guess what we got a new war. Even if it 58 00:04:02.680 --> 00:04:07.439 isn't officially labeled one, it is functionally a war now. 59 00:04:07.479 --> 00:04:12.520 Some of the culture stuff, talking about parnal rights, getting 60 00:04:12.599 --> 00:04:16.560 the woke policies out of education, there is broad agreement 61 00:04:16.600 --> 00:04:20.720 on that. Even the most radical younger thinkers agree that 62 00:04:20.720 --> 00:04:24.079 that stuff needs to end. There's been some positive development, 63 00:04:24.240 --> 00:04:30.079 but not a lot. Similarly, the promises around reforming the 64 00:04:30.160 --> 00:04:34.040 deep state, the administrative state, the swamp that we saw 65 00:04:34.120 --> 00:04:38.560 early with the flurry of executive orders and with DOGE 66 00:04:38.759 --> 00:04:41.199 was very, very popular across the board. The only time 67 00:04:41.279 --> 00:04:44.600 where Donald Trump had above fifty percent approval with Generation 68 00:04:44.800 --> 00:04:48.720 Z inaggregate, not simply men, the whole generation was in 69 00:04:48.720 --> 00:04:53.120 those first couple months. Also, we have seen moves to 70 00:04:53.160 --> 00:04:58.360 be fair to basically end the weaponization of the DOJ 71 00:04:58.519 --> 00:05:01.240 and the FBI against people like us. Not perfect, but 72 00:05:01.279 --> 00:05:05.279 it's something that must be said. Now. That is an 73 00:05:05.279 --> 00:05:09.160 issue where sort of the broad coalition is linked up. 74 00:05:09.519 --> 00:05:13.240 Almost everyone agrees on that. But when we get to 75 00:05:13.360 --> 00:05:17.560 be honest, boom er communism, these entitlements for senior citizens, 76 00:05:18.240 --> 00:05:20.279 that's sort of a slap in the face for younger people, 77 00:05:20.399 --> 00:05:24.439 especially when faced with major economic concerns. Why are you 78 00:05:24.480 --> 00:05:27.519 cutting taxes on Social Security when I'm paying out the nose. 79 00:05:28.120 --> 00:05:30.800 Why are you promising no reforms to this program that 80 00:05:30.920 --> 00:05:35.199 is continually almost about to go bust. We are at 81 00:05:35.279 --> 00:05:39.680 the bottom of this pyramid scheme and a lot of people, 82 00:05:39.839 --> 00:05:43.480 particularly under fifty five, are working under the assumption that 83 00:05:43.519 --> 00:05:47.879 they will never get to see the benefit of Social Security. 84 00:05:48.399 --> 00:05:51.720 The removing of taxes, let alone preserving the program doesn't 85 00:05:51.800 --> 00:05:55.639 really help them at all. Now shure the no tax 86 00:05:55.680 --> 00:05:58.680 on tips thing, that's good for kind of lower end workers, 87 00:05:58.720 --> 00:06:02.399 but that feels like chump chain in exchange. And lastly, 88 00:06:02.639 --> 00:06:06.040 the other big platform is election security, which has been 89 00:06:06.040 --> 00:06:10.199 an abject and total failure. The Save Act has been floundering. 90 00:06:10.600 --> 00:06:12.959 It might be dead. I can't remember for a long time, 91 00:06:13.519 --> 00:06:16.639 and just look at the most recent elections in La. Right, 92 00:06:17.319 --> 00:06:20.360 it's not working. So when you lay this out, sure 93 00:06:20.439 --> 00:06:23.040 there have been wins. There have been wins on all 94 00:06:23.120 --> 00:06:27.959 number of different things, regulation, some on the border, law enforcement, 95 00:06:28.639 --> 00:06:32.399 but especially for that under fifty crowd, the people who 96 00:06:32.480 --> 00:06:35.720 swung for Massy. It doesn't seem like it's going well. 97 00:06:36.319 --> 00:06:39.839 And when the president's chosen voices, figures like Mark Levin 98 00:06:39.839 --> 00:06:42.240 are basically saying, well, we don't care if we lose. 99 00:06:42.399 --> 00:06:46.240 We don't care if the Democrats, the Democrat Party, as 100 00:06:46.240 --> 00:06:49.439 he says, control everything ruin your life. So long as 101 00:06:49.439 --> 00:06:52.680 we get our war in Israel. Well, it's really no 102 00:06:52.759 --> 00:06:58.720 shock that things are splitting apart. People have divergent interests 103 00:06:59.000 --> 00:07:02.959 people who were getting what they want and people who aren't. 104 00:07:03.720 --> 00:07:07.040 And I think at this point, Stormy and I's thesis 105 00:07:07.759 --> 00:07:11.480 is almost completely and totally vindicated that Gop Samshin option 106 00:07:11.759 --> 00:07:16.360 right this sort of wilful destruction, because clearly things can 107 00:07:16.399 --> 00:07:19.600 be done. Clearly there's a lot of energy behind getting 108 00:07:19.759 --> 00:07:25.079 certain objection objectives accomplished, but not all of them, and 109 00:07:25.199 --> 00:07:28.519 not the ones you and I care about. So without 110 00:07:28.600 --> 00:07:31.600 further ado, let's kick it over the interview with Stormy. 111 00:07:32.040 --> 00:07:33.639 I think it's a good one. It's a little bit 112 00:07:33.720 --> 00:07:36.879 lighter than our previous ones have been. And look, we 113 00:07:36.959 --> 00:07:38.920 are talking about Donald Trump, but we're trying to do 114 00:07:38.959 --> 00:07:40.959 this in a fair way. And this isn't just the 115 00:07:41.040 --> 00:07:44.600 kind of endless dooming. But at the same time, we're 116 00:07:44.600 --> 00:07:47.399 not playing trusters here. This is I think a fairly 117 00:07:47.480 --> 00:07:50.839 objective view of the situation. Before I get into that, 118 00:07:51.480 --> 00:07:53.879 this show is supported by viewers like you. A few 119 00:07:53.879 --> 00:07:56.240 bucks a month on Patreon, Subsack, or gum Road. Get 120 00:07:56.279 --> 00:07:58.439 the episodes early in ad free. If you want to 121 00:07:58.519 --> 00:08:01.399 check out my sponsor, Acxial Remote Fitness and Coaching does 122 00:08:01.439 --> 00:08:03.399 great work. And if you go to Fox and Son's 123 00:08:03.439 --> 00:08:06.759 Coffee and use the code Jay Burton, all one word, 124 00:08:06.759 --> 00:08:10.279 you get fifteen percent off. I like their stuff. It's 125 00:08:10.319 --> 00:08:12.399 pretty good coffee. And if you heard the most recent 126 00:08:12.399 --> 00:08:16.600 episode of Timeline Earth, they also like it. So you know, 127 00:08:16.959 --> 00:08:19.199 these are the kind of people, myself and Timeline Earth, 128 00:08:19.199 --> 00:08:22.279 that you should you should take seriously. You should make 129 00:08:22.279 --> 00:08:26.480 financial decisions, family decisions, legal decisions based off the advice 130 00:08:26.519 --> 00:08:31.160 you get from these two programs. And so yeah, buy coffee. Anyway, 131 00:08:31.680 --> 00:08:35.039 here's Stormy Waters. All right, Stormy Waters, welcome back to 132 00:08:35.080 --> 00:08:35.759 the Jay Burden Show. 133 00:08:35.759 --> 00:08:37.720 How are you doing? Then? Keep tooing? Well, man, know 134 00:08:37.720 --> 00:08:38.399 about yourself. 135 00:08:38.919 --> 00:08:42.320 Never been better. So we have a gimmick for this show. 136 00:08:43.279 --> 00:08:46.159 I've been thinking it would be fun to do a 137 00:08:46.240 --> 00:08:49.799 sort of a grading of President Trump, and not in 138 00:08:49.840 --> 00:08:51.399 the normal way you and I do it, where we 139 00:08:51.519 --> 00:08:54.480 just kind of vaguely whine about things that are, you know, 140 00:08:54.519 --> 00:08:56.440 sticking in our crawl. I wanted to come up with 141 00:08:56.480 --> 00:08:59.879 an actual grading metric like this or a college course. 142 00:09:00.559 --> 00:09:04.440 And conveniently I remembered that in twenty twenty four, the 143 00:09:04.639 --> 00:09:09.840 RNC at the pest to President Trump adopted the Agenda 144 00:09:09.919 --> 00:09:15.559 forty seven, which they split into twenty core commitments. So 145 00:09:15.600 --> 00:09:17.840 this will be easy, right, we can just take the 146 00:09:18.159 --> 00:09:20.240 number of points out of twenty turn it into a 147 00:09:20.320 --> 00:09:24.440 letter grade. So before we get into that stormy, what's 148 00:09:24.519 --> 00:09:27.120 your what's your initial expectation? Right, what do you think 149 00:09:27.159 --> 00:09:28.039 we're going to hit on this? 150 00:09:29.360 --> 00:09:32.919 I think we're going to blackpill, trun out and panic 151 00:09:33.000 --> 00:09:38.759 in our way through this. But I'm thinking a d. 152 00:09:38.360 --> 00:09:41.120 Ooh, you might be overconfident. I'm guessing, and to be fair, 153 00:09:41.120 --> 00:09:43.720 I've read through these, but I wasn't gaming it out. 154 00:09:44.320 --> 00:09:48.840 I'm thinking we're going to land firmly in the f category. 155 00:09:49.000 --> 00:09:52.080 I'm guessing somewhere in the like forty to fifty percent. 156 00:09:52.559 --> 00:09:56.440 But without further ado, I figure let's launch into it. 157 00:09:57.000 --> 00:10:00.000 So the first one, and this is multipart and if 158 00:10:00.080 --> 00:10:03.000 we get some of them, willward partial credit. So number 159 00:10:03.000 --> 00:10:07.000 one seal the border and stop the migrant invasion. So 160 00:10:07.120 --> 00:10:09.519 at least on the first one, I think we actually 161 00:10:09.600 --> 00:10:11.720 have to give him credit for that. Right, that seems 162 00:10:11.720 --> 00:10:15.600 to have been done. The amount of direct border crossing, 163 00:10:15.639 --> 00:10:18.600 like people hopping the fence, seems to be way down. 164 00:10:19.320 --> 00:10:22.600 But as far as stopping the invasion, I'm curious what 165 00:10:22.759 --> 00:10:23.559 your thoughts are on that. 166 00:10:24.279 --> 00:10:27.120 I think we're still being like, Okay, so you stopped 167 00:10:27.159 --> 00:10:31.159 a bunch of people coming from the dairying gap across 168 00:10:31.159 --> 00:10:34.799 the southern border. Uh, you've basically done virtually nothing on 169 00:10:34.840 --> 00:10:37.799 the northern border. The fucking Indians that you kick out, 170 00:10:38.399 --> 00:10:41.840 they get their H one B canceled whatever. They just 171 00:10:41.960 --> 00:10:45.480 fly to Canada and drive back and then work under 172 00:10:45.519 --> 00:10:49.120 the table like you've he's he's closed half of the 173 00:10:49.120 --> 00:10:52.399 borders that we have, and God closed the other two 174 00:10:52.600 --> 00:10:56.519 because we have oceans. But like, Canada's a fucking problem, 175 00:10:56.759 --> 00:11:00.399 and he seems to forget it exists, because I guess 176 00:11:00.480 --> 00:11:01.240 Israel exists. 177 00:11:03.200 --> 00:11:06.720 Yeah, there are many things in that category. Now. I 178 00:11:06.759 --> 00:11:09.120 will also say the one area where I have seen 179 00:11:09.159 --> 00:11:12.840 a lot of genuine reform is in the refugee programs, 180 00:11:13.360 --> 00:11:17.000 so for instance, and this is a genuinely positive change. 181 00:11:17.000 --> 00:11:19.679 Like I obviously, if you've listened to my show, you're 182 00:11:19.679 --> 00:11:23.679 where I'm not particularly positive with regards to the president. 183 00:11:24.159 --> 00:11:28.679 But I follow a lot of progressives and immigration activists. 184 00:11:29.440 --> 00:11:31.600 It's helpful, right you can see what's happening on their 185 00:11:31.639 --> 00:11:35.320 side of things, and they are losing it, freaking out 186 00:11:35.440 --> 00:11:38.200 because I don't think there has been a non white 187 00:11:38.440 --> 00:11:43.639 refugee allowed into the country in four months, which Ogain 188 00:11:44.399 --> 00:11:46.919 like the refugee program was a big problem. It was 189 00:11:46.960 --> 00:11:50.600 never the top line issue. But you know what, that's positive. 190 00:11:50.799 --> 00:11:54.639 And so in the spirit of fairness, Stormy, I feel 191 00:11:54.639 --> 00:11:56.279 like we give half credit on the first. 192 00:11:56.159 --> 00:11:57.759 Well, I mean I would actually go to even further 193 00:12:00.159 --> 00:12:05.080 friend of ours, I'm helping get a visa to come 194 00:12:05.360 --> 00:12:09.879 get out of one European hellhole to come live in America. 195 00:12:10.519 --> 00:12:15.240 And in conversations with like probably like the best immigration 196 00:12:15.279 --> 00:12:18.519 attorney in Florida, he's basically like, all right, well you 197 00:12:18.559 --> 00:12:23.480 can what you're going to do. You know, this strategy 198 00:12:23.480 --> 00:12:25.879 that you're going to go with is like there's like 199 00:12:25.919 --> 00:12:29.759 a one percent chance that this strategy won't work out, 200 00:12:30.440 --> 00:12:33.279 and then of that one percent, you have a ninety 201 00:12:33.360 --> 00:12:35.559 nine percent chance of that not happening because you're white. 202 00:12:36.120 --> 00:12:40.440 Because even with like the existing visas, I like the 203 00:12:40.600 --> 00:12:42.840 not h one b's, but like the there's I think 204 00:12:42.840 --> 00:12:46.200 like a hundred different visa categories. What people would do 205 00:12:46.360 --> 00:12:50.360 is do change of status. And like, all right, so 206 00:12:50.440 --> 00:12:53.919 let's say like you know, you're here on a work 207 00:12:54.000 --> 00:13:00.799 visa and you marry some fat woman you know, at 208 00:13:01.080 --> 00:13:03.840 I don't know, at a at a communist bookstore or something, 209 00:13:04.559 --> 00:13:08.039 you could just do a change of status and basically 210 00:13:08.039 --> 00:13:12.919 become a resident in virtually like one step, and they 211 00:13:12.919 --> 00:13:15.360 were basically just letting things go. You saw this in 212 00:13:15.720 --> 00:13:19.519 that in that statement that the State Department put out recently, 213 00:13:19.639 --> 00:13:22.639 like hey, we're cracking down on enforcement. Whatever. It turns out, 214 00:13:22.639 --> 00:13:26.840 cracking down on enforcement means that your change of status 215 00:13:27.679 --> 00:13:32.159 determination is the approval is racial. And the lawyer was 216 00:13:32.240 --> 00:13:34.440 chimping out about it, like freaking out, like, oh, well, no, 217 00:13:34.559 --> 00:13:38.600 you're the Hill. Just be fine, you're white. So even 218 00:13:38.759 --> 00:13:42.639 internally there apparently is quite a bit of racism going on. 219 00:13:43.480 --> 00:13:45.960 So I'm going to give in. I'm going to give 220 00:13:46.000 --> 00:13:48.679 them full marks on that. Okay, we can we can 221 00:13:48.679 --> 00:13:51.600 handle it. We can handle the Canadian problem later, I guess. 222 00:13:51.919 --> 00:13:54.360 But given the before and after, I feel like it 223 00:13:54.440 --> 00:13:57.799 needs to be said. All right, So point two carry 224 00:13:57.799 --> 00:14:03.799 out the largest deportation op in American history. So I 225 00:14:03.879 --> 00:14:07.200 was actually curious right to run the data on this, 226 00:14:07.840 --> 00:14:14.919 because the next best comparable event is Operation Wetback Right 227 00:14:15.159 --> 00:14:18.759 fifty three to fifty four, which peaked at one point 228 00:14:18.759 --> 00:14:24.559 one million deportations. So this is really going to depend 229 00:14:24.840 --> 00:14:30.000 on how you count it, right, So direct deportations are 230 00:14:30.039 --> 00:14:34.799 sitting in about six hundred thousand, lower or higher depending 231 00:14:34.840 --> 00:14:38.360 on who you ask. Now there are about two point 232 00:14:38.440 --> 00:14:42.759 two counted in self deportations. Now we also have to 233 00:14:42.799 --> 00:14:46.080 understand the population of the country has absolutely exploded. 234 00:14:46.679 --> 00:14:49.799 Yep, there are fifty three million people in America. I'm 235 00:14:49.840 --> 00:14:50.759 of Operation Wetback. 236 00:14:51.480 --> 00:14:57.519 So if we're counting direct deportations, not even in absolute terms, no, 237 00:14:57.879 --> 00:15:01.600 if we're counting in relative terms also, So we're gonna 238 00:15:01.600 --> 00:15:03.840 go with a zero on that one. Like it's sure, 239 00:15:03.919 --> 00:15:06.480 it's something, but it is not the largest in history. 240 00:15:06.799 --> 00:15:09.120 And it's one of those promises that if you gave me, 241 00:15:09.919 --> 00:15:12.080 I would forgive a lot of the other thing that 242 00:15:12.080 --> 00:15:14.559 we are going to get to on the scoreboard, right, 243 00:15:14.679 --> 00:15:17.320 and look like I get it, you know what. Things 244 00:15:17.320 --> 00:15:20.360 are difficult, Things aren't going great. But as your no 245 00:15:20.399 --> 00:15:22.679 doubt of where Stormy. Greg Bovino has been on the 246 00:15:22.720 --> 00:15:27.000 podcast circuit. Talked to one of my friends, Kevin Deanna 247 00:15:27.399 --> 00:15:30.960 just the other night. Listen to that and uh, at 248 00:15:31.000 --> 00:15:34.360 least according to the guy in the room, it's not happening. 249 00:15:34.720 --> 00:15:38.360 It's not happening nearly as much as somewhat have you believe, 250 00:15:38.879 --> 00:15:42.120 and look, sure it's better than nothing. I'm not going 251 00:15:42.200 --> 00:15:44.320 to pretend that we'd be better with you know, Kamala 252 00:15:44.320 --> 00:15:47.120 in office. Far from it. But sorry, man, I'm not 253 00:15:47.159 --> 00:15:49.720 giving you credit for the largest in history. 254 00:15:50.159 --> 00:15:55.519 Yeah, here's some fucking menstruating faggot on my timeline telling 255 00:15:55.559 --> 00:15:57.840 me that, no, no, they're really doing this when the 256 00:15:57.879 --> 00:16:00.679 fucking guy that was in charge of it, who got 257 00:16:00.679 --> 00:16:04.600 fired replaced by a Jewish guy that tried to push amnesty, 258 00:16:04.759 --> 00:16:07.240 this guy is telling you know it's actually not happening. 259 00:16:07.360 --> 00:16:10.480 I think I'm going to take his word over, you know. 260 00:16:11.039 --> 00:16:13.440 I don't know the next guy to tell me I'm 261 00:16:13.480 --> 00:16:17.000 trooning out or whatever. This is a big failure the administration, 262 00:16:17.320 --> 00:16:20.399 and I think it's great what Bovino's doing. I hope 263 00:16:20.440 --> 00:16:22.960 he really I hope he doesn't even slow I hope 264 00:16:22.960 --> 00:16:25.919 he doesn't slow down, and he probably has a political 265 00:16:25.960 --> 00:16:29.840 career ahead of him, even a paramilitary career who knows. 266 00:16:29.960 --> 00:16:32.559 Here's hoping she's a number three is easy. I feel 267 00:16:32.559 --> 00:16:35.919 like we don't even need to discuss this. End inflation 268 00:16:36.320 --> 00:16:40.759 and make America affordable again. Maybe we need to say 269 00:16:40.799 --> 00:16:45.840 that that isn't working, dude. I was seeing that stated 270 00:16:46.279 --> 00:16:49.519 inflation this year is four point three percent. We've had 271 00:16:49.559 --> 00:16:52.919 conversations I think our last conversation or maybe that was cars, 272 00:16:52.960 --> 00:16:56.279 whichever one of our last couple about one, how that 273 00:16:56.360 --> 00:17:00.120 rate is manipulated and calculated or two I ask you 274 00:17:00.159 --> 00:17:02.399 to pull out a receipt from the last time you 275 00:17:02.399 --> 00:17:04.680 went to the grocery store and asked me if inflation 276 00:17:04.799 --> 00:17:06.279 has been ended anyway. 277 00:17:06.319 --> 00:17:08.759 No point to give something useful to people that listen 278 00:17:08.799 --> 00:17:10.640 to the show, because there really isn't much in it. 279 00:17:11.160 --> 00:17:13.759 That is, it's not for Jay's lack to try. And 280 00:17:15.240 --> 00:17:17.200 inflation is going to be ten percent by the end 281 00:17:17.240 --> 00:17:19.720 of the year, and it's going to be fifteen percent 282 00:17:19.759 --> 00:17:22.400 by summer of twenty twenty seven. This is a fire, 283 00:17:22.480 --> 00:17:27.279 you gay, It's it's baked into the math. They're going 284 00:17:27.319 --> 00:17:29.559 to lie and they're saying it's four. They'll probably even 285 00:17:29.559 --> 00:17:31.920 admit that it's five. But if you if you were 286 00:17:32.000 --> 00:17:34.799 sitting on cash right now, you need to move it 287 00:17:34.839 --> 00:17:37.960 into something else, any type of assets. Don't put it 288 00:17:37.960 --> 00:17:40.839 in stocks. If you're like I can't give financial advice 289 00:17:40.880 --> 00:17:44.599 on the podcast, but just know that that's baked in 290 00:17:44.759 --> 00:17:47.359 like that's going to happen. So from now till Christmas, 291 00:17:47.920 --> 00:17:49.960 your money's going to lose ten percent of its value. 292 00:17:50.359 --> 00:17:52.920 By summer of next year, it's going to be fifteen, 293 00:17:53.359 --> 00:17:56.160 maybe seventeen. This is going to happen. No matter what 294 00:17:56.200 --> 00:17:58.400 happens in the straight of horm moves, the damage is 295 00:17:58.400 --> 00:18:02.839 already done. It's the interest rates, right, doesn't matter if 296 00:18:02.839 --> 00:18:05.680 Trump closes the fucking straight opens a straight doesn't matter. 297 00:18:06.240 --> 00:18:09.359 Bond yields are what's driving this, and the bond yields 298 00:18:09.680 --> 00:18:13.240 the market doesn't believe in, regardless of whatever they do 299 00:18:13.279 --> 00:18:14.079 with the oil price. 300 00:18:14.640 --> 00:18:16.359 Well, and that's sort of the thing that I've been 301 00:18:16.559 --> 00:18:19.359 interested in. I'm looking to keep making progress because you 302 00:18:19.359 --> 00:18:21.440 and I clearly can talk for at least an hour 303 00:18:21.519 --> 00:18:26.000 about the economy. But I was always wondering how long 304 00:18:26.039 --> 00:18:29.240 it would take for the market to stop believing Donald Trump, 305 00:18:29.240 --> 00:18:31.119 because at least through the first couple weeks of the 306 00:18:31.119 --> 00:18:34.480 Iran War, every time we heard the oh, peace talks 307 00:18:34.519 --> 00:18:37.319 are in motion, We're almost done, the market would rally. 308 00:18:37.799 --> 00:18:42.000 And look, maybe I'm more cynical than average, but Wall 309 00:18:42.000 --> 00:18:44.920 Street guys aren't dumb, and at no like the fifteenth 310 00:18:45.000 --> 00:18:47.559 rug pull I was just waiting. I was like screaming 311 00:18:47.599 --> 00:18:49.680 at the sky. Why are they still listening. 312 00:18:50.200 --> 00:18:53.960 They're not listening. They're being strong armed. They don't really 313 00:18:53.960 --> 00:18:57.359 have a choice, right if you control the regulatory apparatus. 314 00:18:57.400 --> 00:19:01.599 The SEC is entirely selective, and four has been for 315 00:19:01.680 --> 00:19:05.640 fifty years since it was created. And yeah, it's from 316 00:19:05.640 --> 00:19:07.720 what I have heard, it has been said in no 317 00:19:07.880 --> 00:19:12.759 uncertain terms to market makers, you are going to fucking 318 00:19:12.839 --> 00:19:16.759 do this right like, because basically you can. You can 319 00:19:16.799 --> 00:19:19.599 control a lot of the flows just by three or 320 00:19:19.640 --> 00:19:23.160 four pension fund managers and a couple of major investment banks. 321 00:19:23.359 --> 00:19:26.720 As far as oil goes, that's another manipulation, but that's 322 00:19:26.720 --> 00:19:29.480 a story for another day. The insider and trading that 323 00:19:29.519 --> 00:19:32.880 you're seeing is basically them recouping the amount of money 324 00:19:32.880 --> 00:19:35.680 that they're losing to suppress the price of oil. 325 00:19:36.279 --> 00:19:40.680 All right, So number four, Stormy meek America the dominant 326 00:19:41.160 --> 00:19:44.680 energy producer in the world by far. So I don't 327 00:19:44.680 --> 00:19:48.039 know anything about energy policy. I realized that there is 328 00:19:48.039 --> 00:19:50.880 at least some amount or a large amount of exporting 329 00:19:50.960 --> 00:19:51.359 going on. 330 00:19:51.799 --> 00:19:55.200 He fucking cheated. If you ncap everyone else, then yes, 331 00:19:55.240 --> 00:19:57.559 we're the largest, which is effectively. What's happening. 332 00:19:58.680 --> 00:20:01.960 I guess that's a half point right, sort of a 333 00:20:02.039 --> 00:20:06.960 monkey's paw esque situation. Yeah, okay, we're gonna have point 334 00:20:06.960 --> 00:20:11.279 in the interest of fairness, I guess, stop outsourcing and 335 00:20:11.359 --> 00:20:14.680 turn the United States into a manufacturing superpower. This is 336 00:20:14.680 --> 00:20:18.720 that happen at all. The outsourcing, particularly as regards tech, 337 00:20:18.920 --> 00:20:22.039 has been apocalyptic. We've seen this over and over and 338 00:20:22.039 --> 00:20:28.839 over again, companies firing off American workers and particularly hiring 339 00:20:29.160 --> 00:20:31.839 you cheap replacements in India. This is a failure. 340 00:20:31.920 --> 00:20:35.680 After with him in the White House, IBM, yes, get 341 00:20:35.759 --> 00:20:40.119 this major fucking contract, meets with President Trump, Hanshakes lays 342 00:20:40.119 --> 00:20:43.920 off seventy thousand workers and all outsources one hundred and 343 00:20:43.920 --> 00:20:48.839 fifty thousand jobs to India. Then next week FedEx see 344 00:20:48.839 --> 00:20:51.960 Indian CEO meets with Donald Trump. They take pictures the 345 00:20:52.079 --> 00:20:55.160 very next day, sixty thousand workers. So not only is 346 00:20:55.200 --> 00:20:57.599 he not doing it, he is allowing him to be 347 00:20:57.680 --> 00:21:00.759 made a fool of by these executives. He's literally not 348 00:21:00.759 --> 00:21:02.319 pushed back at all. 349 00:21:02.519 --> 00:21:05.400 So we're going to count that as a miss. Yeah, 350 00:21:05.440 --> 00:21:10.759 all right, can we do well? If we were doing that, 351 00:21:10.799 --> 00:21:14.119 this would be a very boring podcast to me just 352 00:21:14.200 --> 00:21:17.000 be a score of zero, which, well, you know it 353 00:21:17.000 --> 00:21:19.599 does accurately reflect my emotions. We've got to keep up 354 00:21:19.599 --> 00:21:22.839 the gimmick at least for a little longer. Okay, large 355 00:21:22.880 --> 00:21:26.920 tax cuts for workers, no tax on tips. I think 356 00:21:26.960 --> 00:21:29.440 the no tax on tips things that actually passed as 357 00:21:29.440 --> 00:21:30.440 far as I'm aware. 358 00:21:30.240 --> 00:21:33.680 Right, it was the only tax cut for workers. And 359 00:21:33.880 --> 00:21:36.960 a tax on tips is only for two years. Right, 360 00:21:37.000 --> 00:21:42.160 by twenty twenty eight, you're getting tax on your tips again. Bro, Sorry, 361 00:21:41.440 --> 00:21:44.640 it could. We have to give it into law. It's 362 00:21:44.720 --> 00:21:47.880 just a temporary thing, just like we'll just give them 363 00:21:47.880 --> 00:21:50.400 the plubs this and they'll be really surprised. But I'll 364 00:21:50.400 --> 00:21:52.359 be out of here by then, all right. 365 00:21:52.440 --> 00:21:57.200 I mean, I guess technically that's something. It's some credit. 366 00:21:58.079 --> 00:22:01.759 I guess this is not shaping up well. By the way, 367 00:22:01.799 --> 00:22:02.240 for the. 368 00:22:02.319 --> 00:22:06.000 Tax breaks, that didn't happen. Yeah, but the attack on 369 00:22:06.039 --> 00:22:07.079 tips did half a point? 370 00:22:07.720 --> 00:22:12.319 Yeah, defend well, it kind of happened. Whatever. We're desperate here. 371 00:22:12.319 --> 00:22:16.079 We're looking to get anything we can defend our Constitution, 372 00:22:16.319 --> 00:22:19.319 our Bill of Rights, and our fundamental freedoms, including freedom 373 00:22:19.319 --> 00:22:21.599 of speech, freedom of religion, and the right to keep 374 00:22:21.640 --> 00:22:24.599 in bear arms. So on the last point, the right 375 00:22:24.599 --> 00:22:27.640 to bear arms, this is actually something that Trump administration 376 00:22:27.759 --> 00:22:31.599 has done a good job on. So for instance, the 377 00:22:31.680 --> 00:22:35.359 DOJ has announced their intention to fight the Virginia assault 378 00:22:35.400 --> 00:22:40.000 weapons ban. The ATF released a tranch of different suggestions 379 00:22:40.599 --> 00:22:44.519 things they were pondering, you know, to change in law. 380 00:22:44.599 --> 00:22:47.720 This is some reforms to the NFA system which were 381 00:22:47.960 --> 00:22:50.440 much needed. Obviously, you have the removal of the two 382 00:22:50.519 --> 00:22:55.160 hundred dollars tax stamp which passed. Then also some changes 383 00:22:55.200 --> 00:22:57.599 to how guns are sold, for instance, paving the way 384 00:22:57.720 --> 00:23:02.240 for direct to home sales for qualified buyers. So at 385 00:23:02.319 --> 00:23:07.519 least on that front, I think it's that's a win. Uh. Now, 386 00:23:07.559 --> 00:23:10.599 on to freedom speech and freedom of religion, we've seen 387 00:23:10.640 --> 00:23:13.519 a lot of action on anti Semitism, but to be fair, 388 00:23:13.599 --> 00:23:16.160 most of that hasn't been federal. A lot of that's 389 00:23:16.160 --> 00:23:20.359 been state level. So again, at least on the face 390 00:23:20.359 --> 00:23:21.799 of it, I'm willing to give a full point for 391 00:23:21.880 --> 00:23:22.279 this one. 392 00:23:22.839 --> 00:23:25.559 Yeah, because I mean it clearly states in the Constitution 393 00:23:25.759 --> 00:23:28.720 that the exemption for freedom of speech is the nation 394 00:23:28.759 --> 00:23:30.440 of Israel, like I've read. 395 00:23:30.279 --> 00:23:32.880 It, Yes, but I mean as far as like a 396 00:23:32.960 --> 00:23:38.400 pure like legislation standpoint, those people were right to be 397 00:23:38.640 --> 00:23:40.920 justified or right to be angry about that, and we 398 00:23:40.960 --> 00:23:44.839 will certainly get to that later in this uh later 399 00:23:45.000 --> 00:23:49.079 in this series of promises, but purely judging on the 400 00:23:49.079 --> 00:23:53.759 executive level, that's a winning YE book. Okay, all right, 401 00:23:54.599 --> 00:23:57.319