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Speaker 1: What is up, fellow sickos.

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Speaker 2: I am Dan Valley coming at you with my certified

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fantabulous goes. Mister Grant Hughes taking a break from sort

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of day to day reactions to look at more macro stuff.

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This is something we might try and do once a week,

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just these little mini things to give you a third

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full type episode of the week if we can. No promises,

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but we're always what did we call grant hashtag? We

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try shit, we try, continue to try shit. We are

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behind on this, but we're going to react to some

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of the rookie extent or all of the rookie extensions

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that were given out and maybe some of their bigger

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picture implications. I will say, Grant, before we throw it

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on screen, have you figured out, like what's the best

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way for you to frame how you feel about an extension?

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And it's not even just for the rookies but for

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any team. And what I kind of mean by this

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is what I've kind of settled on is now I'm

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kind of looking at Okay, well, how much what percent

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of the cap is.

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Speaker 1: The final year worth? Now?

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Speaker 2: And that's probably the best way because you could look

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at it in general. Oh, the first year is this

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percentage of the salary cap? But I think even scaling

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out forward and saying, well, how is this contract going

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to age? But I'm also trying to view it through

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a lens of as we're talking about this, I talk

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in circles. You're just super smart. I don't want it

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to be like inaccessible wire rambling on or throwing too

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much information at listeners and viewers. And I think I

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settled on that might be the best nutshell way aside

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from the raw number, to say, okay, like this is

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again zooming forward, fast forward, what does this contract look

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like down the line? How might at age that might

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be the number that I view is most important?

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Speaker 3: Now does that mean you know it totally? Because you

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got to find because the raw dollar figures still just

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like don't compute sometimes because of the rising cap, and

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you're comparing it to older deals. You know? That seemed like,

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how is how is Scottie Barnes getting X? And when

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I can't even think of a good example now, and

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when like so and so signed five years ago to

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his rookies el Max, it was why It's like those

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numbers kind of stick in your head. So some kind

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of distant point of comparison helps for me. I just well, one,

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I think we both view it and this is a

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weird thing, but this is just how it is. From

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the team perspective, Don't you default to that where it's like, oh,

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is this a good value for the team, sort of

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unavoidable because otherwise it's like if you go from the

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player perspective, it's like he got the most money that

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he could, therefore it's a good deal.

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Speaker 2: It's like not, I think because especially when these like

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rookie extensions are signed, it's the team that in all

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like wood is taking the bigger risk because like, these

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players are never finished products, right, and then it gets

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to and with them it's the only time you're taking

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not a risk is if you signed for less than

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the max. And so if you're a player looking at

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ahead to next season, and this is me being generous,

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we're talking like the Spurs, the Hornets and the Nets

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can have cap space if they really want to, Like,

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there are some other teams that can sneak in there.

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And we saw zero restricted free agency offer sheets go

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out this past summer and last summer. Grand I think

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Paul Reid the only player who signed on and that

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was because the Jazz did that.

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Speaker 1: I love it, I favor it.

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Speaker 3: Yeah that was a weird one. No, So yeah, it's

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team perspective. I I mean really, because the numbers get

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funky and like I still am not I don't. I

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think that you do this way better than I do.

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Where you look at what's the percentage of the cap, Like,

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just tell me what percentage of the cap this this

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is going to be on an annual basis, and that

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that at least keeps things like scaled correctly for me.

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I just still kind of look at it relative, like

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in relative terms, where Scotty Barnes got this, kid Cunningham

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got that. Now a lot of these are gonna be identical,

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but in general, just like what's the because I'm just

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looking for what the market says a guy's worth and

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did you pay more or less than that? And that's

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like kind of my starting point for evaluating these. It's

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not sophisticated or like all that inventive, but that's just

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how I try to like keep it straight.

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Speaker 1: Let's begin with the Max guys.

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Speaker 2: I think these were the four that just signed their

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deals first, right, So Scottie Barnes kaid Cunningham, who I

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have up there twice for some reason, I'm tized for

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everybody watching h Franz Wagner and Mobley was the other one.

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So they all got five years, two hundred and twenty

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four point two million. All of them can get up

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to two hundred and sixty nine point one million, depending

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on whether they make an All NBA team or win

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DPOY slash MVP. There is with Mobiley and Franz Wagner,

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specifically Grant, there's differentiation. There's like differential language that says

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their contracts can also increased to two forty six point.

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Speaker 1: Seven depending on what happens.

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Speaker 2: So I wanted to I have two just overarching questions

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on this one. Was there any of these contracts that

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you felt most done easy about?

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Speaker 3: I mean, you know what it is, right, Like, I

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think this is the consensus. It's just it's Wagner's He's

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proved the least of these three of these four three

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other guys, of the of the four that got Max's,

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his ceiling seems the lowest, and he's also not the

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best player on his team. That doesn't disqualify you like

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Mobiliy's not either. I guess you'd say, because Donovan Mitchell

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just has been more decorated. Uh, but but that's that's

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the one where the moment it was signed, it was

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like really like that the just going all the way there, huh.

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And then when you get a couple other guys after

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the fact that are signing for less than the max,

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I think it looks the iffiest of the four by

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far right that that's that has to be the answer

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for sure.

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Speaker 2: And who do you think has the best chance of

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getting to that thirty percent max, which would be two

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hundred and sixty nine million.

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Speaker 3: I mean, I think you have to go mobilely because

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he could win Defensive Player of the Year like that.

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I don't I immediately went to that. Yeah, yeah, that

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that's just the way you get there. Like Cunningham's not

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winningn MVP Cunningham, I mean, Cunningham could make an all

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could be all NBA. I've really I think everybody but

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Franz has a shot at all NBA here. But yeah,

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that so just of those, maybe we should confine it

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to just those other three. We'll take Franz out of Mobile,

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Cunningham and Barnes. Do you just view those as like

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it's a three way tie for like that's sensible, or

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do you do differentiate any of those three and say,

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like maybe one of them shouldn't have got the max,

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or maybe maybe one of them could have pushed for

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a player option, which kind of used to happen more

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often than it does on that last year.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, no, don't worry.

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Speaker 2: Patrick Williams got a player option, though I think it

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would probably be Barnes had the most leverage because he

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is the most important player to his team and is

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also just shown more than Kay Cunningham to date, in

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part because he's played more. If you were asking of

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those three, forget about defensive player the year, who's more

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likely to make it all NB a team this year?

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I actually might it's probably Mobile because maybe I'm skewed

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by the Barnes at orbital fracture where it's always even

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gonna have the games played at the end of all

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this for the Raptors. But he's playing on a good team.

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He has a chance to be the second best player

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on that team this season. So whether it do you

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want to frame it as overall getting to that thirty

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percent max as of right now, though for all these

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deals are currently worth projected to be worth about twenty

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two and a half percent of the coup salary cap.

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In their final year, that number will take up a

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bit if anyone actualizes the thirty percent language.

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Speaker 1: I will say I will be fairly surprised.

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Speaker 2: If any of these four players wind up getting the

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thirty percent max.

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Speaker 3: I just don't.

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Speaker 2: I don't feel great about any of them making an

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All NBA team this year.

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Speaker 3: I think I agree with that and like, and as

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we always say, if any of them does, then that's

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a great problem for their team to have, because you

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just that means, that means this deal was a good

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one if the guy basically just proved that he could

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hit the accelerators in the contract in that first year.

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Speaker 2: Honestly, the only team really quickly that I think probably

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should have negotiated harder. Like even if you thought, well,

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why not just use restricted free agency to our advantage,

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The Cavs weren't gonna have cap space.

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Speaker 1: The Raptors, you just don't.

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Speaker 2: Have anyone other than Scotty Barnes, the Pistons. You don't

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get to treat players like this when you're the No,

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we're gonna make you wait.

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Speaker 1: Even though we probably not gonna have cap space.

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Speaker 2: Either it's Orlando because Franz is not your most important player.

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You had the ability to be flexible, but you decided

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in other areas, as we'll get to with Jalen Suggs,

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that you're not going to use that flexibility.

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Speaker 1: So next up.

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Speaker 2: As we go through this, it was really in no

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particular order. We're on to jail and Johnson five years,

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one hundred and fifty million, no options. That'll be worth

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thirteen point twenty five percent of the cap in year five.

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As of now, Grant, it looks like it will be

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where it's going to be at a flat rate. So

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that's that's always you normally see an increase or decrease.

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I feel like maybe a flat Atlanta. Did they give

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a flat rate thing with John Collins too?

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Speaker 1: I think they might have.

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Speaker 3: That sounds right. Actually, it's a weird thing usually because

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it used to just be just standard what eight percent

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raises or what. Depending on the length of the deal

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and the type of contract, it was always increasing this.

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Do you feel like maybe this is a response to

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some of the second apron fears of just like, okay,

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we just want to lock this number in so that

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we know what it's going to be going forward and

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we don't have to account for rising pet salaries.

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Speaker 2: I don't know.

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Speaker 3: It just felt to me like there have been more

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Well in the Magic do this all the time with

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like flatter declining deals, but there's been more I don't know,

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inventiveness and how you're there teams are structuring these deals.

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It seems like lately I think so.

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Speaker 2: In Atlanta's case, and by the way, I was wrong,

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they did not do a flat salary with John Collins.

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In Atlanta's case, they didn't even have the option really

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of making it declining because they're so concerned about the

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tax in these coming years. Flat is interesting is always

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interesting to me though, because okay, so you know what

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that number is going to be, and you know it's

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always going to be less of the salary cap moving

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forward than it was in year one, despite not declining,

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how did you feel about, like, Okay, this is not

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this was noticeably blow what his max could have been.

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He has not started. Jalen Johnson's not look good to

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start this season. I think they've given him too much

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agency agency on offense. I don't know if that's an

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issue of Okay, look at the personnel that's available they're

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dealing with some injuries here, but I think they need

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to get back to streamlining his role where it's like

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get out and transition, put him the ball in situations

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where he already has advantages to go downhill, rather than

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asking him to create or giving him a license to

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kind of not even operate from dead stops but to

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try and initiate.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I this is this is one where upfront it's

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like one hundred and fifty over five, Oh my god,

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but that's really just eventually going to be by the

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time this deal is done, thirty million a year is

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just like it's what fifteen used to be in terms

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of Okay, that's a solid starter more or less. So

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like that's just what it is. I'm fine with it.

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I'm not going to read too much into his struggles early.

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I just think if you just I care more about

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like the trajectory that he's on more broadly, and the

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fact that last year he showed several new facets and

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I would expect him to just continue to get better

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and and like I don't know, I don't think a

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Max was ever really in play, but this is a

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significant deal that does bring some risk. But I think

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I think odds are he's going to be worth this,

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just whether you have Trey Young there or not, which

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is kind of another factor I think in Atlanta's thinking.

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Speaker 2: I think it was probably a good bet by him,

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just based on how Atlanta has on multiple occasions now

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marginalized important talent around Trey Young when you kind of

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look like what happened with John Colin, we look at

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what happened.

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Speaker 1: With de Johonte Murray.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, in many ways, so I think this was probably

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I think it's team friendly still, but I do think

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it was probably a smart decision for Johnson, who he

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is someone though that I think teams would have given

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an offer sheet to in RFA. Next up, if you

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want to take us through his footnotes, is another Jailen,

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Jalen Suggs.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Jalen Suggs also gets five for one point fifty.

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Looking a little different though, and you've got it up

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here on the graphic, it'll be just under twelve percent.

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His salary will be just under twelve percent of the

264
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cap in the final year. Uh So obviously it declines

265
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he's gonna make thirty five million the first year, which

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is just inside four million of the of the max, so, like,

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you know, pretty close to what the best he could

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have done, at least in that initial year. But then

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by the end he's down to twenty six point seven million,

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which is just like, that's that's a low number five

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years from now so or yeah, five years so uh,

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if he stays exactly as good as he's been, that's

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a that's a heist number. If he gets any better

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then like, and that'll just come on offense. We've talked

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about it plenty and this is still totally fine, and like,

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I don't know that he's going to be a thirty

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five million dollar player in the first year of the deal,

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but he might be, and then after that it just

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gets easier and easier for him to clear sort of

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the value bar. So I guess I would ask you, like,

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you're spending the same amount of money on Jalen Johnson

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and team teams and situations are different, But do you

283
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like one of one or the other of these one

284
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hundred and fifty million deals one hundred and fifty million

285
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dollar deals more or less than the other?

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Speaker 2: Wow, it's probably the Sugs one because I think he

287
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has the higher two way ceiling. Even if Jalen Johnson

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has the overall higher offensive ceiling, and maybe I'm skewed

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a little bit too much by the start of the season,

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but when you look at it declining, and also just

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what the this is magic specific So it's not a

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reason they like the deal better. But now it's okay,

293
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maybe there's a year that you have to cause is

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this going to be a team even if it's good,

295
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that's paying the tax? I don't know, But now can

296
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you suck it up for a year? But his deal

297
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is going to decline as you are Franz and Paala

298
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Banko kicking in. Does that make it easier to keep

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your core intact while not just we're gonna keep those

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three guys regardless, but now adding talent around them or

301
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paying talent that you need around them.

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Speaker 1: So I like that.

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Speaker 2: Aspect of it for Orlando. But I think I'm curiously

304
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what your answer be. I think I like the Sugs deal.

305
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Let's forget about the salary scales just in net value.

306
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I think I'm more confident in Suggs actualizing his value

307
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on this than I am Jalen Johnson.

308
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Speaker 3: I think Suggs is the safer bet because you sort

309
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of you know that he can be a key player

310
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on a very good team because he was last year,

311
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and that's that's true. While he still has pretty obvious

312
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areas for growth, some of which I think are like

313
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pretty doable. I kind of can't get away from Johnson

314
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having like the higher ceiling, Like if he hits his

315
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you know, ninety fifth percentile outcome, I think then Jalen

316
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Johnson is like a two way big wing slash forward

317
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that can kind of do everything, and that player type

318
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just matters more than like an essentially like a combo guard.

319
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I don't know that that's that's the thing. Maybe Sugs

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00:13:59,600 --> 00:14:03,120
eventually proves he is actually a point guard, which hasn't

321
00:14:03,120 --> 00:14:05,879
really happened yet, so there's upside there. But I think

322
00:14:05,919 --> 00:14:08,840
Johnson has Johnson's the ceiling play. Suggs is maybe the

323
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floor play, And so with the declining structure, I think

324
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I still like the Suggs one a little better. But

325
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I do think you have to acknowledge that Johnson, because

326
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of the athleticism, size, position, like, there's a chance that

327
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that's one of the there's a better chance that that's

328
00:14:23,879 --> 00:14:25,960
one of the best value deals in the league in

329
00:14:26,039 --> 00:14:27,679
like three years than there is for Suggs.

330
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Speaker 2: I'd say that's Jalen Johnson is more of an anomaly

331
00:14:32,399 --> 00:14:34,759
offensively for sure at his peak. But I will say

332
00:14:34,759 --> 00:14:37,320
with Suggs is we see defensive playmaking even this season

333
00:14:37,360 --> 00:14:40,879
from JJ. But Jalen Suggs has a way of defensive

334
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playmaking without it costing his team or being viewed as gambles.

335
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And that's a very tough line to straddle that I

336
00:14:46,639 --> 00:14:50,360
don't know sure if Johnson does well just yet. Next

337
00:14:50,440 --> 00:14:52,840
up and this will be my guy. We have mister

338
00:14:52,919 --> 00:14:55,799
Trey Murphy who has yet to play this season. Four years,

339
00:14:55,879 --> 00:14:58,799
one hundred and twelve million dollars projected to be fifteen

340
00:14:58,879 --> 00:15:02,600
point zero six percent of the cap in year four.

341
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What did you make of this one grant? I was I,

342
00:15:07,000 --> 00:15:10,720
I think I'm surprised this is what help. I'm surprised

343
00:15:10,720 --> 00:15:11,879
at how team friendly.

344
00:15:11,919 --> 00:15:15,679
Speaker 3: It ended up being interesting. I think my first thought

345
00:15:15,960 --> 00:15:18,399
was not so much about the deal but what it

346
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meant for the team, because, as everybody immediately jumped to,

347
00:15:21,120 --> 00:15:23,279
it's like, Okay, well Brandon Ingram is really gone now

348
00:15:23,279 --> 00:15:27,039
because you're not you're not paying Tray Murphy this to

349
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come off the bench. I don't think it wouldn't be

350
00:15:28,759 --> 00:15:31,559
like an insane salary for a really really good six man.

351
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But it does to me suggest that like the Ingram

352
00:15:35,879 --> 00:15:37,840
trade is just more likely.

353
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Speaker 1: That or the trade I guess.

354
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Speaker 3: Somebody, Yeah, right, you got to clear a little bit

355
00:15:41,639 --> 00:15:44,000
of room because this is now like on trade there

356
00:15:44,000 --> 00:15:48,200
it is first Scoot Henderson on draft night, Right, That's

357
00:15:46,639 --> 00:15:52,840
what I think. Like the shooting is a premium skill,

358
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and the position Murphy play is the defensive potential of

359
00:15:56,240 --> 00:15:59,200
the length like all that stuff. Just that feels like,

360
00:16:00,000 --> 00:16:01,919
you know, it's worth what are we at, like twenty

361
00:16:02,720 --> 00:16:05,840
twenty eight twenty nine a year? Give something with twenty

362
00:16:05,879 --> 00:16:10,159
seven ish? I think that's about right. I do feel like,

363
00:16:10,399 --> 00:16:13,360
don't don't you think that it presumes that Murphy will

364
00:16:13,480 --> 00:16:17,080
continue to be as efficient and effective as he's been

365
00:16:17,120 --> 00:16:20,360
over just larger samples of minutes against better opponents, Like

366
00:16:20,399 --> 00:16:22,879
this presumes that, right, because it's if he's just what

367
00:16:22,960 --> 00:16:25,320
he was last year, which and we love him is

368
00:16:25,360 --> 00:16:27,519
I don't know, this might be a little rich, right,

369
00:16:27,600 --> 00:16:29,440
it like improved his pricet.

370
00:16:29,720 --> 00:16:32,399
Speaker 2: I think I think if you were to if he's

371
00:16:32,440 --> 00:16:34,600
just the same player, but he's locking more minutes and

372
00:16:34,639 --> 00:16:37,120
he's in the starting lineup. I think he's done enough

373
00:16:37,159 --> 00:16:40,000
to deserve this. This does that's interesting. This kind of

374
00:16:40,039 --> 00:16:43,759
feels the number seems to reflect that the Pelicans don't.

375
00:16:44,000 --> 00:16:45,840
I mean, you lock him up with this number anyway.

376
00:16:46,080 --> 00:16:47,360
He is something that I think he could have went

377
00:16:47,399 --> 00:16:49,440
to restricted free agency. He might have had more suitors

378
00:16:49,480 --> 00:16:52,200
than Jalen Johnson or Jalen Suggs just because of how scalable.

379
00:16:52,320 --> 00:16:53,919
Speaker 3: Yeah, universal for.

380
00:16:53,840 --> 00:16:55,919
Speaker 2: Sure, right, but this does when you almost look at

381
00:16:55,919 --> 00:16:57,759
the number and the fact there's no player option at

382
00:16:57,759 --> 00:16:59,519
the end of it, does it kind of say.

383
00:16:59,320 --> 00:16:59,840
Speaker 1: No, that all right?

384
00:16:59,840 --> 00:17:02,039
Speaker 2: They what he is now on offense, like that's just

385
00:17:02,039 --> 00:17:04,680
what they consider him. He's showing me more, but it

386
00:17:04,720 --> 00:17:06,960
doesn't seem like they're prepared to let him try to

387
00:17:07,000 --> 00:17:07,799
branch out.

388
00:17:08,039 --> 00:17:09,720
Speaker 3: I would say, yeah, well, and that's just kind of

389
00:17:09,720 --> 00:17:11,880
the player he's been where he's catch and shoot, catch

390
00:17:11,880 --> 00:17:14,200
and drive. Guy, he's not, you know, handling the ball

391
00:17:14,240 --> 00:17:17,079
a ton. I think if if he had more of

392
00:17:17,119 --> 00:17:19,480
that type of stuff in his game, this just just like,

393
00:17:19,559 --> 00:17:21,559
there's no way he signs for this little right, or

394
00:17:21,759 --> 00:17:25,039
the offers are way bigger, or maybe he's more incentivized

395
00:17:25,039 --> 00:17:27,680
to go to free agency. Because then you're talking about

396
00:17:27,720 --> 00:17:31,319
like a primary scoring like playmaking big wing, which is

397
00:17:31,440 --> 00:17:34,519
that's the premium asset in the league. This this does

398
00:17:34,599 --> 00:17:36,319
to me suggests like I do think he can just

399
00:17:36,359 --> 00:17:39,960
play more and sustain his like permanent stuff over longer stretches.

400
00:17:40,400 --> 00:17:43,079
And I think you're right. I think that does that.

401
00:17:43,160 --> 00:17:45,240
This deal does sort of make it seem like that's

402
00:17:45,640 --> 00:17:48,559
the expectation and not that he's going to be like

403
00:17:49,079 --> 00:17:52,000
contrasted with Jalen Johnson's it's like that seems to prising

404
00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:55,720
you're gonna do some more like on ball stuff probably

405
00:17:55,759 --> 00:17:57,240
where this this doesn't seem to do that.

406
00:17:58,000 --> 00:18:00,200
Speaker 2: And also they didn't have the flexibility to do so.

407
00:18:00,279 --> 00:18:02,079
This is a team that probably could have benefited from

408
00:18:02,519 --> 00:18:05,880
a declining scale because of just thinking about, Okay, you've

409
00:18:05,880 --> 00:18:07,920
paid on if you wanted to pay Ingram, that might

410
00:18:07,960 --> 00:18:10,119
be a way to fit all that in. But they

411
00:18:10,119 --> 00:18:12,759
don't have the They're toning that fine line but beneath

412
00:18:12,799 --> 00:18:17,039
the tax moving forward, so they it is escalating. We're

413
00:18:17,039 --> 00:18:20,640
onto your guy, Mike Goasic Moody.

414
00:18:20,039 --> 00:18:22,720
Speaker 3: Just the I mean three years, thirty nine million got

415
00:18:22,759 --> 00:18:26,079
done right around the mid level range that was kind

416
00:18:26,079 --> 00:18:28,599
of hinted at that that might be where things were

417
00:18:28,640 --> 00:18:31,400
going thirty seven and a half million. That's guaranteed. He's

418
00:18:31,400 --> 00:18:33,880
got one and a half million unlikely incentives, which, by

419
00:18:33,880 --> 00:18:35,160
the way, this is a new trend. I don't know

420
00:18:35,200 --> 00:18:36,759
if you've been kind of keeping up with this, Like

421
00:18:37,119 --> 00:18:40,079
incentives might be just going away because they do count

422
00:18:40,079 --> 00:18:42,240
against the apron now and they didn't before. So if

423
00:18:42,279 --> 00:18:45,799
you throw a bunch of incentive dollars into contracts, that's

424
00:18:45,839 --> 00:18:48,000
counting again. That's but you don't want that to put

425
00:18:48,039 --> 00:18:50,920
you over aprons. So even though if it's not a cap, it's.

426
00:18:50,759 --> 00:18:53,680
Speaker 2: Just like that, and I might have mislabeled it. So

427
00:18:53,680 --> 00:18:56,359
I apologize his are likely incentives, they're considered. I would

428
00:18:56,400 --> 00:18:58,839
love to know exactly what those likely incentives are because

429
00:18:58,839 --> 00:19:02,200
what about Moses Moody performance is considered likely under Steve.

430
00:19:02,039 --> 00:19:07,559
Speaker 3: Karr playing more than Jonathan kaminga. So this is projected

431
00:19:07,559 --> 00:19:09,920
to be worth just a little over seven percent of

432
00:19:09,920 --> 00:19:13,200
the cap in the final year, obviously a very tradeable number. He,

433
00:19:13,519 --> 00:19:16,119
like we said about Murphy, Moody is just kind of

434
00:19:16,160 --> 00:19:18,640
a scalable. You're not scaling him up, but he does

435
00:19:18,680 --> 00:19:21,079
fit everywhere. He's just a three and d wing that

436
00:19:21,160 --> 00:19:23,680
has a little more off the bounce than you might think,

437
00:19:24,640 --> 00:19:25,880
so fits.

438
00:19:25,640 --> 00:19:29,000
Speaker 1: Into the poison pill provision neatly. That's how scalable he is.

439
00:19:29,079 --> 00:19:32,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, outgoing salary of eleven point two million, which fits

440
00:19:32,200 --> 00:19:34,079
into the mL E, which is now like a trade

441
00:19:34,119 --> 00:19:36,000
exception teams have if they didn't use it. So it's

442
00:19:36,039 --> 00:19:39,240
pretty I wouldn't say the deal designed to be traded,

443
00:19:39,240 --> 00:19:41,119
but if you were designing a deal to be traded,

444
00:19:41,279 --> 00:19:42,200
it might look like.

445
00:19:42,119 --> 00:19:44,680
Speaker 2: This, right, because my first thought was because I was

446
00:19:44,680 --> 00:19:46,119
looking at a number and I was, they're gonna trade

447
00:19:46,200 --> 00:19:47,119
him this season, aren't they?

448
00:19:47,119 --> 00:19:47,359
Speaker 1: Still?

449
00:19:47,400 --> 00:19:49,319
Speaker 2: He locked down a pay day and he's gonna finish

450
00:19:49,319 --> 00:19:50,359
the season somewhere else.

451
00:19:50,799 --> 00:19:54,799
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean he's he. Whether he plays more than

452
00:19:54,839 --> 00:19:58,000
he has or not is kind of like, I don't

453
00:19:58,039 --> 00:20:00,839
know how relevant it is, because this is a eminently

454
00:20:00,880 --> 00:20:04,960
tradable contract that almost any team would be interested in having.

455
00:20:05,079 --> 00:20:08,279
If the if he just continues to be either the

456
00:20:08,319 --> 00:20:10,880
seventh guy or the thirteenth guy on the war like

457
00:20:10,920 --> 00:20:13,519
that somewhere else, he would just be the eighth man,

458
00:20:13,680 --> 00:20:15,720
maybe better than that, And that's this is a bargain

459
00:20:15,799 --> 00:20:17,000
for that type of player.

460
00:20:17,599 --> 00:20:20,039
Speaker 2: I mean, move on, to Corey Kisbert, who signed for

461
00:20:20,400 --> 00:20:23,680
four years fifty four point one million dollars. There's a

462
00:20:23,680 --> 00:20:27,000
team option on that final year, at which point if

463
00:20:27,039 --> 00:20:28,920
if they pick it up, that's like six point three

464
00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:31,680
percent of the salary cap in the final year he'll

465
00:20:31,720 --> 00:20:32,839
be twenty nine years.

466
00:20:32,880 --> 00:20:33,720
Speaker 1: That can't be correct.

467
00:20:33,839 --> 00:20:35,240
Speaker 2: I have to have a tight there's no way that's

468
00:20:35,240 --> 00:20:37,799
going to be his age, maybe age twenty seven or something.

469
00:20:37,839 --> 00:20:40,319
I know that Corey Kispert's older, but he's not gonna

470
00:20:40,319 --> 00:20:41,759
be age twenty nine at the end of this, is

471
00:20:41,799 --> 00:20:42,240
he grant?

472
00:20:42,440 --> 00:20:45,440
Speaker 3: I think you're right. He didn't come in as a

473
00:20:45,440 --> 00:20:46,200
as a young guy.

474
00:20:46,799 --> 00:20:50,920
Speaker 2: So what do you have any strong thoughts about this deal? I,

475
00:20:51,039 --> 00:20:54,359
if I had to give one, I do think he

476
00:20:54,400 --> 00:20:57,240
actually does more than space the floor, and he's had

477
00:20:57,279 --> 00:20:59,359
some prougher defensive moments than I would have expected.

478
00:20:59,359 --> 00:21:00,759
Speaker 1: And by the way, I was right about his age

479
00:21:00,799 --> 00:21:04,160
twenty nine season. That's that's wild. I still thought this numbers.

480
00:21:04,240 --> 00:21:06,119
Speaker 2: The number is fine, but when you look at the

481
00:21:06,200 --> 00:21:09,920
average annual value, and it's more than Moses Moody, who

482
00:21:09,920 --> 00:21:12,559
I view as he's more scalable at both ends of

483
00:21:12,599 --> 00:21:12,920
the court.

484
00:21:12,920 --> 00:21:14,880
Speaker 1: But it's it's also kind of about the same number.

485
00:21:14,880 --> 00:21:17,359
Speaker 2: It's like they started it, they also made it. They

486
00:21:17,359 --> 00:21:19,319
didn't decline it. But his first two years will be

487
00:21:19,359 --> 00:21:22,079
about fourteen and then it drops to about thirteen. So

488
00:21:22,279 --> 00:21:23,920
just the little extra flexibility there.

489
00:21:24,200 --> 00:21:25,480
Speaker 1: I just I don't know.

490
00:21:25,839 --> 00:21:27,680
Speaker 2: He wasn't someone who was going to get an offer sheet,

491
00:21:27,720 --> 00:21:28,839
and I don't know that you have to worry about

492
00:21:28,880 --> 00:21:31,880
him about performing this. I'm fine with the deal that

493
00:21:31,880 --> 00:21:34,000
that must be. Just like I understand it from both

494
00:21:34,039 --> 00:21:36,079
the player and team perspectives. I don't know that anyone

495
00:21:36,119 --> 00:21:39,319
made out more so than the other here, No, it

496
00:21:39,400 --> 00:21:40,119
does it.

497
00:21:40,240 --> 00:21:42,319
Speaker 3: I mean like you have to view anything with the

498
00:21:42,359 --> 00:21:44,720
Wizards at this point, it's like, well, okay, so this

499
00:21:44,920 --> 00:21:48,119
is done with the intention of it being appealing as

500
00:21:48,160 --> 00:21:50,359
a trade asset, like and then just this is the

501
00:21:50,400 --> 00:21:53,359
cost of shooting. But you know, on the market, I

502
00:21:53,440 --> 00:21:56,359
don't know. I don't I don't love it just cause

503
00:21:56,400 --> 00:21:58,319
I don't know. I don't know how much difference there is.

504
00:21:58,400 --> 00:22:02,039
I don't want to undersell it, but like there's is

505
00:22:02,119 --> 00:22:06,079
Kispert a better fundamentally better player than like Malik Beasley,

506
00:22:06,400 --> 00:22:08,599
you know, I don't know. It's like you can imagine

507
00:22:08,599 --> 00:22:11,480
them occupying similar roles in Beasley's gone. You know, it

508
00:22:11,559 --> 00:22:13,599
was a minimum guy two years ago making six this year.

509
00:22:13,680 --> 00:22:16,400
It doesn't have four years of security like Kispert does.

510
00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:18,720
It feels like a little bit of an overpay, but

511
00:22:19,440 --> 00:22:23,880
not to the point where you couldn't imagine some team deciding, yeah,

512
00:22:23,960 --> 00:22:27,359
we'll give up like a couple seconds and expiring salary

513
00:22:27,480 --> 00:22:30,359
for this guy to just come in and give us

514
00:22:30,400 --> 00:22:32,680
a spacer right like that. That feels like what this is?

515
00:22:33,720 --> 00:22:36,359
Speaker 2: I saved what I believe the most interesting two for last,

516
00:22:36,359 --> 00:22:38,400
and they're from the same team. So we begin with

517
00:22:38,799 --> 00:22:39,720
Alpha and Shangun.

518
00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:43,119
Speaker 3: This this is the one you point to when you're

519
00:22:43,160 --> 00:22:46,359
criticizing the Franz Wagner deal and some of the other

520
00:22:46,519 --> 00:22:49,400
Like you know, you're not going to say, don't give

521
00:22:49,440 --> 00:22:53,039
Kate or Mobley or Scottie the max, but like Shanghun

522
00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:55,759
not getting the max. Even if you want to say, oh,

523
00:22:55,759 --> 00:22:57,720
it's because he got the player option on the fifth year,

524
00:22:58,200 --> 00:23:01,759
that's still I mean five for that's seventeen percent of

525
00:23:01,759 --> 00:23:04,000
the cap and the final year of the deal, you

526
00:23:04,039 --> 00:23:06,400
could make the case that he has been more productive

527
00:23:06,440 --> 00:23:08,200
to this point in his career than any of those

528
00:23:08,240 --> 00:23:11,359
guys that got Maxes. I mean, Mobiley's got an argument.

529
00:23:11,359 --> 00:23:15,640
I suppose Barnes maybe, but like this is just it's

530
00:23:15,720 --> 00:23:18,200
it's a little under. It's almost five million under the

531
00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:19,759
max that he could have gotten in the first year

532
00:23:19,799 --> 00:23:22,680
of the salary. He'll be twenty seven. Uh when that

533
00:23:22,680 --> 00:23:25,400
player option hits. He just like, great deal for the

534
00:23:25,480 --> 00:23:27,279
Rockets and also kind of a good deal for him

535
00:23:27,319 --> 00:23:29,160
because he's gonna get out a year early and be

536
00:23:29,200 --> 00:23:32,240
able to sign another huge deal sooner. I was just

537
00:23:32,279 --> 00:23:35,559
surprised that this got done sub max just because of

538
00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:37,480
where the other max guys came in. Were you.

539
00:23:38,559 --> 00:23:41,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, When I saw Fronz getting the max, that was

540
00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:44,160
kind of well, why isn't Shane Gun? I know, his role,

541
00:23:44,440 --> 00:23:46,920
like the Magic kind of identified Fronz as a guy

542
00:23:47,319 --> 00:23:50,920
in year one and Shane Gun took into what year three? Yeah,

543
00:23:50,920 --> 00:23:53,160
for him to get there, it's a really good deal

544
00:23:53,200 --> 00:23:56,119
for them. I think it only it shocked me. It

545
00:23:56,119 --> 00:23:59,119
didn't shock me that the Rockets did this because you

546
00:23:59,160 --> 00:24:00,880
look at this year's for you agnency class. They didn't

547
00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:02,359
need to care about cap space, and you view it

548
00:24:02,359 --> 00:24:05,359
in conjunction with they're actually lowered. I think Jalen greens

549
00:24:05,440 --> 00:24:08,279
like offseason cap number. By signing him, I think you

550
00:24:08,279 --> 00:24:10,119
looked at it and said, there's more of a chance

551
00:24:10,119 --> 00:24:12,839
that he's going to outperform this deal next year and

552
00:24:12,839 --> 00:24:14,400
we'll have to max him out. So let's just save

553
00:24:14,440 --> 00:24:15,880
the money off the top now and if we need

554
00:24:15,920 --> 00:24:18,559
to cut salary or just do everything via trade, which

555
00:24:18,559 --> 00:24:20,839
it seems like they're going to. But in terms of

556
00:24:20,920 --> 00:24:24,880
upgrading the roster, not moving shangun specifically with him though,

557
00:24:24,960 --> 00:24:27,160
and I think this was actually a stute by him.

558
00:24:27,880 --> 00:24:30,359
I don't know which team of the cap Space Squasma

559
00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:31,720
went out and tried to give him MAXI money. They

560
00:24:31,720 --> 00:24:33,519
would have been signing trades on the table, I'm sure.

561
00:24:33,599 --> 00:24:37,079
But did he look at this roster as the Rockets

562
00:24:37,079 --> 00:24:39,599
and there's just too many guys? And is there just

563
00:24:39,640 --> 00:24:41,880
a chance that even if I'm playing a ton, my

564
00:24:42,000 --> 00:24:45,200
performance slips and my market value suffers as a result

565
00:24:45,440 --> 00:24:47,960
because they can't even five minutes for read Shepard. Right now,

566
00:24:48,000 --> 00:24:50,880
I'm looking at Aman Thompson. I know that the raw

567
00:24:50,880 --> 00:24:53,559
shooting percentages don't necessarily show this. This dude looks like

568
00:24:53,599 --> 00:24:56,319
he's itching to make an offensive breakout well, ending everyone's

569
00:24:56,319 --> 00:24:58,279
lives on the defensive end, and it's oh yeah, like

570
00:24:58,319 --> 00:25:00,839
he's averaging fewer minutes per game than last too, So

571
00:25:01,519 --> 00:25:03,240
I almost wonder. I know they have more of it.

572
00:25:03,319 --> 00:25:05,599
There's not as many like bigs blooting up the rotation

573
00:25:05,680 --> 00:25:07,400
that you have him and Jabbari and Steven Adams and

574
00:25:07,440 --> 00:25:10,599
that's basically it. But with him, I think was probably

575
00:25:10,799 --> 00:25:13,039
smart to do this. More so not even because of

576
00:25:13,079 --> 00:25:14,799
what the market could have been when you look at

577
00:25:14,799 --> 00:25:18,079
the cap space teams or lack thereof. I do view

578
00:25:18,119 --> 00:25:19,759
him as a central part of what the Rockets are doing,

579
00:25:19,799 --> 00:25:23,039
but there's so many guys in Houston that anything feels

580
00:25:23,119 --> 00:25:25,119
like it's on the table, good or bad for these

581
00:25:25,160 --> 00:25:25,960
individual guys.

582
00:25:26,160 --> 00:25:28,839
Speaker 3: I had not thought about that because I really viewed

583
00:25:28,920 --> 00:25:32,160
him as sort of apart from all the other young

584
00:25:32,200 --> 00:25:34,200
guys they need to play. Because he was such a

585
00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:37,960
focal point last year, it's like you're really different talking

586
00:25:37,960 --> 00:25:40,720
about the Rockets if Sengoon is off the floor, like

587
00:25:40,759 --> 00:25:43,519
he just he had such a huge role, I wouldn't

588
00:25:43,559 --> 00:25:46,720
have thought that. Like he kind of scanned the team

589
00:25:46,759 --> 00:25:48,680
and said, like, my numbers might dip and that might

590
00:25:48,880 --> 00:25:51,599
cost me. That's an interesting position to take it. I

591
00:25:51,640 --> 00:25:55,079
get the explanation that I think in conjunction with that

592
00:25:55,079 --> 00:25:56,920
that makes sense is he just wanted that player option.

593
00:25:57,039 --> 00:25:59,759
But I don't know. Man, Like, if I'm him and

594
00:25:59,799 --> 00:26:02,759
I'm seeing those other guys get Max's and I'm just

595
00:26:02,799 --> 00:26:05,480
like comparing my numbers to them, and like frankly, like

596
00:26:05,720 --> 00:26:09,599
he drove winning to you know, on a five team

597
00:26:09,880 --> 00:26:12,319
last year those other guys, I guess mobilely to some extent,

598
00:26:12,400 --> 00:26:14,839
But like, I don't know if I'm signing this. If

599
00:26:14,880 --> 00:26:18,160
I'm him, I would just so like who's got So

600
00:26:18,240 --> 00:26:20,920
it's Charlotte, Brooklyn and San Antonio? Are you are are

601
00:26:21,119 --> 00:26:21,519
like losing?

602
00:26:21,519 --> 00:26:23,279
Speaker 2: Like the teams where by the way, not even all

603
00:26:23,319 --> 00:26:25,640
those teams are actually they're just they're like if the

604
00:26:25,640 --> 00:26:27,519
Spurs were, hey, we will dumb Zack.

605
00:26:27,440 --> 00:26:28,839
Speaker 1: Collins, we could have gap space.

606
00:26:29,039 --> 00:26:32,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, like Brooklyn doesn't have Like, so inserting

607
00:26:32,920 --> 00:26:35,079
Shangun on some teams might be tough because it's like, well,

608
00:26:35,119 --> 00:26:37,279
Shanguon is just a He's a focal point. He's central

609
00:26:37,279 --> 00:26:39,440
to what you do. Like on Brooklyn, that's fine because

610
00:26:39,440 --> 00:26:42,720
they don't have anybody that that occupies that role. Charlotte's

611
00:26:42,880 --> 00:26:45,240
tricky because LaMelo's there, and you want Brandon Miller to

612
00:26:45,279 --> 00:26:48,039
have the ball. San Antonio would be fascinating with him

613
00:26:48,079 --> 00:26:49,880
and Wimby there. I would two of.

614
00:26:49,880 --> 00:26:52,680
Speaker 2: Those teams, by the way, have Wemby's just the big

615
00:26:52,720 --> 00:26:55,799
in San Antonio. In Brooklyn they did for they did

616
00:26:55,799 --> 00:26:58,079
pay Nick Claxton. That's maybe not somebody who stops you

617
00:26:58,079 --> 00:27:00,599
from going to get shanggun. But Brooklyn is also trying

618
00:27:00,640 --> 00:27:02,200
to be bad for the next two years, So why

619
00:27:02,200 --> 00:27:04,200
would you add, right Chun.

620
00:27:04,359 --> 00:27:06,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's tough when you start looking. I would just

621
00:27:06,799 --> 00:27:09,200
look at Santa now. I'm now I've just spoken talked

622
00:27:09,200 --> 00:27:12,559
myself into wanting san Antonio to happen first Singoon. Now

623
00:27:12,599 --> 00:27:16,000
it won't probably, But yeah, I don't know if I

624
00:27:16,039 --> 00:27:18,640
would have taken it, although, like I'm sure him and

625
00:27:18,640 --> 00:27:20,960
his agent they just looked around and said, like, I

626
00:27:20,960 --> 00:27:22,799
don't know that there's going to be more. You might

627
00:27:22,839 --> 00:27:25,720
just want to lock this up. So still, though, Super

628
00:27:25,720 --> 00:27:28,519
Team like my favorite of the of the five year

629
00:27:28,559 --> 00:27:30,880
deals by far, just because it's so much less than

630
00:27:30,880 --> 00:27:31,759
these other guys got.

631
00:27:32,880 --> 00:27:35,640
Speaker 2: Our final like actual extension that was signed I find

632
00:27:35,680 --> 00:27:37,680
to be the most interesting actually, and I think it

633
00:27:37,759 --> 00:27:39,960
says more about the Rockets's.

634
00:27:39,480 --> 00:27:40,319
Speaker 1: Longer term outlook.

635
00:27:40,599 --> 00:27:43,000
Speaker 2: You signed Jalen Green for three years, one hundred and

636
00:27:43,119 --> 00:27:46,200
five point three million. The first year's salary I believe

637
00:27:46,279 --> 00:27:48,200
ends up being lower than his RFA hold was going

638
00:27:48,279 --> 00:27:48,400
to be.

639
00:27:48,440 --> 00:27:49,720
Speaker 1: I don't have it in front of me and already

640
00:27:49,720 --> 00:27:50,440
forgot the number.

641
00:27:50,680 --> 00:27:53,119
Speaker 2: They have a player option, So we mentioned, like all

642
00:27:53,160 --> 00:27:55,960
these deals Shane Gun and Green, I think we're the

643
00:27:56,000 --> 00:27:58,440
only ones who got player options on all these extensions.

644
00:27:58,680 --> 00:28:00,759
Speaker 1: That's that's that's a little why. But he has a

645
00:28:00,759 --> 00:28:01,440
player option.

646
00:28:01,279 --> 00:28:04,279
Speaker 2: On year three, which will be his age twenty five season.

647
00:28:04,640 --> 00:28:08,119
It's projected to be worth his salary about nineteen point

648
00:28:08,200 --> 00:28:11,480
two percent of the cap. Now, people have said this

649
00:28:11,519 --> 00:28:13,359
is a deal that's designed to be traded, which I

650
00:28:13,400 --> 00:28:15,519
think is where I find it most Like, there's a

651
00:28:15,599 --> 00:28:18,319
chance that Jalen Green ends up being worth this money.

652
00:28:18,519 --> 00:28:20,240
But if you think it's designed to be traded, you're

653
00:28:20,240 --> 00:28:22,079
almost saying, well, then, yeah, he absolutely needs to be

654
00:28:22,119 --> 00:28:24,920
worth this money. It's not happening this season, would be

655
00:28:24,960 --> 00:28:25,319
my point.

656
00:28:25,400 --> 00:28:26,160
Speaker 1: If he gets.

657
00:28:25,920 --> 00:28:29,319
Speaker 2: Traded this year the Rockets, he counts his twelve point

658
00:28:29,319 --> 00:28:32,400
five million dollars in outgoing salary for them, and then

659
00:28:32,440 --> 00:28:36,000
twenty nine point five million in incoming salary for his

660
00:28:36,039 --> 00:28:39,000
next team, and that's just to bridge that different from

661
00:28:39,000 --> 00:28:41,039
the middle of the season. So if he's getting moved,

662
00:28:41,160 --> 00:28:43,200
it's in the off season when you have his salary

663
00:28:43,200 --> 00:28:45,039
coming in at like thirty three million or whatever it

664
00:28:45,079 --> 00:28:49,039
winds up being. So that's where I throw it to you, Grant,

665
00:28:49,119 --> 00:28:51,559
is do you view this one that this is a

666
00:28:51,599 --> 00:28:54,160
deal that they sign so that I know people kind

667
00:28:54,160 --> 00:28:56,880
of fret. Well, actually, let's start here. Let's say they

668
00:28:56,880 --> 00:28:59,559
don't move him. Are you really fretting over the possibility

669
00:28:59,599 --> 00:29:02,160
that you can't extend him off this? I think the

670
00:29:02,240 --> 00:29:04,640
number is high enough. I think what you've risked is

671
00:29:04,839 --> 00:29:07,039
does he want to leave anyway? Because you didn't show

672
00:29:07,039 --> 00:29:10,720
that longer term faith in him out out the jump.

673
00:29:11,400 --> 00:29:13,960
Speaker 3: So I definitely I feel like we got hit over

674
00:29:14,000 --> 00:29:16,839
the head with the take that this was signed because

675
00:29:16,880 --> 00:29:19,160
the Rockets intend to trade him like right away. But

676
00:29:19,240 --> 00:29:21,720
that was my first reaction was was more that, like,

677
00:29:22,599 --> 00:29:28,160
the Rockets aren't sure justifiably that Jalen Green is a

678
00:29:28,200 --> 00:29:32,200
thirty plus million dollar player and a potential cornerstone or whatever,

679
00:29:32,519 --> 00:29:34,759
because he just has sometimes looked like that and most

680
00:29:34,799 --> 00:29:37,680
of the time has not and this is the result.

681
00:29:37,759 --> 00:29:40,680
They're just and he and I think he, like we've

682
00:29:40,680 --> 00:29:42,880
talked about with several other guys sing Goun included, kind

683
00:29:42,880 --> 00:29:44,960
of looked at the landscape and said, like, I don't

684
00:29:45,000 --> 00:29:47,079
know what's going to be out there, why not do

685
00:29:47,200 --> 00:29:48,880
and get back on the market at twenty five. It

686
00:29:48,920 --> 00:29:51,559
just feels like this is risk mitigation by like everybody,

687
00:29:51,880 --> 00:29:54,279
and that's how you get a two plus one in

688
00:29:54,319 --> 00:29:56,880
a situation where it seems like it's almost always four

689
00:29:56,960 --> 00:29:59,480
or five right for guys of like his draft pedigree

690
00:29:59,799 --> 00:30:02,880
and and production really because the counting stats are still

691
00:30:02,920 --> 00:30:05,440
there even if the efficiency hasn't been. So this just

692
00:30:05,480 --> 00:30:09,799
felt like the rockets not comfortable going for four or

693
00:30:09,839 --> 00:30:12,960
five years at whatever that dollar figure needed to be.

694
00:30:13,519 --> 00:30:16,519
And Green and his rep saying like, some of the

695
00:30:16,519 --> 00:30:18,920
things you said about Sangoon like and all the like

696
00:30:19,160 --> 00:30:21,200
you know, minutes crunch stuff applies way more to Green

697
00:30:21,279 --> 00:30:23,240
than it does to Shangoon because there's just more guards

698
00:30:23,240 --> 00:30:25,480
and wings to split the minutes up. It just feels

699
00:30:25,480 --> 00:30:28,039
like everybody mitigated risk here, don't I don't view it

700
00:30:28,160 --> 00:30:30,720
as now he could still be traded, but because so

701
00:30:30,799 --> 00:30:33,359
could everybody on the Rockets. They can't pay everybody. But

702
00:30:33,680 --> 00:30:36,279
I view it more as just like no one was

703
00:30:36,319 --> 00:30:38,559
sure they wanted to commit, and the money's there, and

704
00:30:38,640 --> 00:30:39,960
let's just do it for a couple of years and

705
00:30:39,960 --> 00:30:40,720
see where we're at.

706
00:30:41,079 --> 00:30:42,799
Speaker 2: And by the way, a handful of games of the season,

707
00:30:42,799 --> 00:30:45,200
this deal looks better for the Rockets than it did

708
00:30:45,200 --> 00:30:48,839
when he signed it. Yeah, what I will will say though,

709
00:30:48,880 --> 00:30:51,000
to the evidence that it was designed to be traded,

710
00:30:51,640 --> 00:30:53,799
I view that as, Okay, well, that's an off season thing,

711
00:30:53,960 --> 00:30:55,920
and it's there is logic to it in the sense

712
00:30:55,960 --> 00:30:58,599
of if they wanted to go after they've been linked

713
00:30:58,599 --> 00:31:01,039
to Jimmy Butler. Sure, but if you want to go

714
00:31:01,039 --> 00:31:04,279
after anyone who's on like a big salary, you want

715
00:31:04,319 --> 00:31:06,440
other big salaries because you could talk about, well, they

716
00:31:06,440 --> 00:31:08,359
could have just went the cap space route. There are

717
00:31:08,400 --> 00:31:12,000
a few problem problems with that one. We very rarely

718
00:31:12,000 --> 00:31:14,359
see those lopsided trades where teams are using their cap

719
00:31:14,400 --> 00:31:16,759
space bringing in this big name and teams only want

720
00:31:16,880 --> 00:31:19,839
draft picks. Like there's always a larger contract, even in

721
00:31:19,920 --> 00:31:22,920
the off season ones the bigger trades, there's bigger contracts involved.

722
00:31:23,279 --> 00:31:27,720
The other thing, too, is you can only lament space.

723
00:31:27,759 --> 00:31:29,720
If you thought they were just gonna let Jayalen Green

724
00:31:29,839 --> 00:31:31,440
walk for nothing, and so.

725
00:31:32,000 --> 00:31:35,240
Speaker 3: They're gonna reno just like they were never going.

726
00:31:35,079 --> 00:31:37,480
Speaker 2: To do that, and so they also weren't What are

727
00:31:37,480 --> 00:31:39,000
the odds that they would have signed and traded him

728
00:31:39,039 --> 00:31:41,039
into a team that had cap space, because if a

729
00:31:41,079 --> 00:31:42,799
team is a cap space to absorb him out right,

730
00:31:43,079 --> 00:31:46,200
why are you brokering aside and trade basically anyway, So

731
00:31:46,319 --> 00:31:48,200
you get into that and it's, yeah, there's a they

732
00:31:48,240 --> 00:31:51,160
do need bigger salaries to be traded if they want

733
00:31:51,160 --> 00:31:54,039
to bring in these bigger guys, especially if let's say

734
00:31:54,039 --> 00:31:56,519
it doesn't happen next summer, grant like they're still gonna

735
00:31:56,519 --> 00:31:58,440
want maybe maybe they want more information on this group

736
00:31:58,440 --> 00:32:00,720
where it's reed Shepherd will finish it's just rookie year

737
00:32:00,720 --> 00:32:03,319
and apparently might have barely played Tom and thompsonilly be

738
00:32:03,319 --> 00:32:05,880
wrapping up year two. You have extensions to figure out

739
00:32:05,880 --> 00:32:08,599
for Tarry Easton Jabari Smith. If you want to make

740
00:32:08,599 --> 00:32:11,799
a move at mid season, you definitely need or want

741
00:32:11,799 --> 00:32:13,039
to be open to it. You need one of these

742
00:32:13,039 --> 00:32:15,519
bigger deals. Now, yes you have Fred van Fleet, but

743
00:32:15,640 --> 00:32:17,559
this now when you're looking at him, at forty plus,

744
00:32:17,640 --> 00:32:18,640
Jail and Green is more.

745
00:32:19,000 --> 00:32:19,599
Speaker 3: He's closer.

746
00:32:19,680 --> 00:32:22,160
Speaker 2: Now what would be considered like a mid end contract

747
00:32:22,599 --> 00:32:24,880
so than these higher ends, and those are just that's

748
00:32:24,920 --> 00:32:26,759
easy to fit in where it's well, we can trade

749
00:32:26,839 --> 00:32:29,000
jail and Green and other stuff and not worry about

750
00:32:29,039 --> 00:32:31,480
the math. Whereas Fred van Fleet, oh we attached him

751
00:32:31,519 --> 00:32:33,720
to another contract and now it's fifty million dollars is

752
00:32:33,720 --> 00:32:36,519
all of a sudden in play. So I think I

753
00:32:36,599 --> 00:32:39,000
understand what both sides are doing here, but I will say,

754
00:32:39,039 --> 00:32:41,160
in terms of the percentage of the cap, even the

755
00:32:41,240 --> 00:32:44,160
raw number, there's still for me for me to look

756
00:32:44,160 --> 00:32:45,799
back and say, oh, Jail and Green is worth this.

757
00:32:46,440 --> 00:32:48,920
He shoulders the burden of proof here more than the

758
00:32:49,480 --> 00:32:51,839
whatever you think the rockets are doing. I think it's

759
00:32:51,880 --> 00:32:54,279
easier to understand than to say, oh, Jail and Green

760
00:32:54,359 --> 00:32:55,240
is absolutely worth this.

761
00:32:55,759 --> 00:32:58,079
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think that's right. You want to talk about

762
00:32:58,119 --> 00:33:00,400
some deals that did not get done. There are three

763
00:33:00,440 --> 00:33:05,759
notable ones, right, yep. So we got Jonathan KAMINGA, Josh Giddy,

764
00:33:06,079 --> 00:33:08,279
and Quentin Grimes. I love that we've got Quentin Grimes

765
00:33:08,279 --> 00:33:09,759
and here among the notable as part of that's just

766
00:33:09,759 --> 00:33:11,880
because we've got a report that he did turn down

767
00:33:12,200 --> 00:33:15,359
a three for twenty seven extension from the MAVs quickly.

768
00:33:15,440 --> 00:33:16,920
Speaker 1: Would you should he have taken that?

769
00:33:18,119 --> 00:33:22,160
Speaker 3: I mean, I hovering over all this is the lack

770
00:33:22,200 --> 00:33:24,559
of cap space out there. Yeah, but I don't think

771
00:33:24,599 --> 00:33:26,559
I'm taking that because if I'm him, I'm just like,

772
00:33:27,200 --> 00:33:29,200
I know, my role may not be huge here. Although

773
00:33:29,200 --> 00:33:32,119
he has looked good, I'm I gotta just see if

774
00:33:32,160 --> 00:33:33,079
I can get the mid level.

775
00:33:33,400 --> 00:33:35,480
Speaker 2: Now, you don't need cap if you there's a mid

776
00:33:35,559 --> 00:33:37,880
level team out there with a NOD done. This has

777
00:33:37,920 --> 00:33:39,640
been beaten, so I think was smart by him.

778
00:33:39,720 --> 00:33:42,039
Speaker 3: Yeah, you want to talk about Giddy, this is a

779
00:33:42,200 --> 00:33:44,640
I think, Well, Giddey and Minga are both really interesting,

780
00:33:44,680 --> 00:33:47,240
but let's let's start with Giddy. So reportedly he wanted

781
00:33:47,240 --> 00:33:50,599
thirty million a year. The Bulls traded Alex CRUs over him,

782
00:33:50,599 --> 00:33:52,720
did not get picks back. So the thinking was that, like, well,

783
00:33:52,720 --> 00:33:54,119
if you're not going to extend this guy, what are

784
00:33:54,119 --> 00:33:56,400
you doing? You just give up Alex Cruso for nothing.

785
00:33:56,839 --> 00:33:58,759
I would argue that extending Giddy at too big of

786
00:33:58,799 --> 00:34:02,119
a number would just compound error. So I'm actually okay

787
00:34:02,200 --> 00:34:05,240
with them saying, let's see what you got, well, we'll

788
00:34:05,279 --> 00:34:07,960
hold on to restricted rights and see what we think

789
00:34:07,960 --> 00:34:10,039
you're worth. And what the market says is that where

790
00:34:10,039 --> 00:34:10,400
you're at.

791
00:34:11,280 --> 00:34:15,559
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm just but you it's wild that you traded

792
00:34:15,559 --> 00:34:17,880
for this guy. You trade Alex Caruso to get this

793
00:34:17,960 --> 00:34:20,320
guy that you want more information on and aren't prepared

794
00:34:20,320 --> 00:34:22,679
to pay, and no draft picks from the team in

795
00:34:22,719 --> 00:34:25,039
the league that has all the draft picks.

796
00:34:25,079 --> 00:34:27,280
Speaker 1: But overall, I don't.

797
00:34:27,159 --> 00:34:29,239
Speaker 2: Think teams used because it exists, whether you think it

798
00:34:29,239 --> 00:34:30,880
should exists, I've said this many times.

799
00:34:30,920 --> 00:34:31,639
Speaker 1: It's a different matter.

800
00:34:31,920 --> 00:34:34,800
Speaker 2: Teams should use restricted free agency more to their advantage.

801
00:34:34,880 --> 00:34:37,639
So I think the Bulls made the right call. It's

802
00:34:37,920 --> 00:34:40,000
just when you look at it through the lens of

803
00:34:40,400 --> 00:34:43,199
how they valued him in the Alex Caruso trade, it

804
00:34:43,280 --> 00:34:44,119
is a little curious.

805
00:34:44,559 --> 00:34:47,360
Speaker 3: And it's just like the thirty a year would just

806
00:34:47,400 --> 00:34:49,920
be a full stop no from me, like just because

807
00:34:49,960 --> 00:34:53,119
you're not you're not Jalen Suggs, You're not Jalen Johnson,

808
00:34:53,239 --> 00:34:56,719
Like if that's your comp Like, that's wild, You're not there.

809
00:34:58,239 --> 00:35:01,039
I agree. I think the restrict think restrict free agency

810
00:35:01,079 --> 00:35:04,599
should be used like much more aggressively by teams and

811
00:35:04,639 --> 00:35:06,920
that's just the right call here, especially if the number

812
00:35:07,000 --> 00:35:08,760
was thirty, Like, what do you even encounter with if

813
00:35:08,800 --> 00:35:12,360
you're Chicago at that point, it's like twenty, I don't

814
00:35:12,360 --> 00:35:12,840
even know if.

815
00:35:12,719 --> 00:35:14,519
Speaker 2: I want to pay him twenty Do you think they

816
00:35:14,599 --> 00:35:16,760
run and every team runs this risk to an extent,

817
00:35:16,840 --> 00:35:18,639
But if you're probably going to be a bad team

818
00:35:18,800 --> 00:35:21,119
and he just puts up numbers, do they run into

819
00:35:21,159 --> 00:35:24,000
the risk of he put up good numbers but it

820
00:35:24,039 --> 00:35:26,599
didn't necessarily drive winnings, so then or do we just

821
00:35:26,599 --> 00:35:28,920
pay him the thirty five at that point that you

822
00:35:29,000 --> 00:35:30,239
might need to to bump up.

823
00:35:30,519 --> 00:35:32,360
Speaker 1: I think what helps though, which.

824
00:35:32,119 --> 00:35:33,880
Speaker 2: Is why I think Chicago made the right call, even

825
00:35:33,920 --> 00:35:36,079
if I still don't support to how they valued him

826
00:35:36,079 --> 00:35:38,440
in the first place, is that he needs to have

827
00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:40,679
another offer sheet out there. And you need to tell

828
00:35:40,679 --> 00:35:42,920
me the team that's coming in with even thirty million

829
00:35:42,960 --> 00:35:45,039
dollars a year for Josh Gidty right now, I don't.

830
00:35:44,840 --> 00:35:45,800
Speaker 1: See that it exists.

831
00:35:46,039 --> 00:35:49,159
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's it's harsh. I definitely just say, go out

832
00:35:49,159 --> 00:35:51,000
and see what you're worth and we'll decide if we

833
00:35:51,039 --> 00:35:53,079
want to match it. Like, I'm not making the offer

834
00:35:53,119 --> 00:35:55,199
to Gidey. I don't think until he comes back with

835
00:35:55,840 --> 00:35:59,519
nobody and nobody offered me anything, you know, any anywhere

836
00:35:59,559 --> 00:36:02,360
close to I mean if Yeah, the odds of him

837
00:36:02,360 --> 00:36:05,000
actually generating that kind of interest as restricted free agents

838
00:36:05,039 --> 00:36:05,960
are pretty low to me.

839
00:36:06,920 --> 00:36:09,280
Speaker 2: Jonathan Kaminga turned down thirty million dollars a year from

840
00:36:09,280 --> 00:36:10,079
the Warriors grant.

841
00:36:11,000 --> 00:36:11,840
Speaker 1: How do you feel about that?

842
00:36:12,400 --> 00:36:15,960
Speaker 3: You know, I don't really have any thoughts he I

843
00:36:16,039 --> 00:36:19,039
wouldn't have given him that if I'm the Warriors. I

844
00:36:19,079 --> 00:36:22,639
can understand why. I don't think it's rational, But I

845
00:36:22,639 --> 00:36:27,039
could understand why he wouldn't take thirty just because he

846
00:36:27,119 --> 00:36:30,039
believes I think that he's a like a singular star

847
00:36:30,199 --> 00:36:33,039
first option, like that kind of thing might have been

848
00:36:33,039 --> 00:36:35,000
a misread based on the depth of this team to

849
00:36:35,039 --> 00:36:37,280
think he'd get the opportunity to prove that this year,

850
00:36:37,400 --> 00:36:40,719
and he's been mostly terrible so far, outside of a

851
00:36:40,760 --> 00:36:43,840
couple flashes. He was good against New Orleans on the

852
00:36:43,920 --> 00:36:47,400
twenty ninth, But yeah, like this is a proven season

853
00:36:47,440 --> 00:36:49,239
now from a guy that is in year four. That's

854
00:36:49,280 --> 00:36:53,320
a little late to be proving it. But I would

855
00:36:53,320 --> 00:36:57,280
put it this way, I can imagine him commanding much

856
00:36:57,400 --> 00:37:01,559
larger restricted free agent offers than someone like Giddy, just

857
00:37:01,599 --> 00:37:04,679
because of the athletic talent, the sort of the little

858
00:37:04,679 --> 00:37:07,360
bit of mystery boxiness that he still has, which someone

859
00:37:07,360 --> 00:37:12,760
like Giddy really doesn't. But that thirty a year, I

860
00:37:13,400 --> 00:37:15,199
don't I wouldn't have got there if I were the

861
00:37:15,239 --> 00:37:18,559
Warriors and COAMINGA probably should have taken it if it

862
00:37:18,599 --> 00:37:21,320
was anything close to that, But I also weirdly understand

863
00:37:21,320 --> 00:37:21,960
why he wouldn't.

864
00:37:22,800 --> 00:37:25,239
Speaker 2: And perb Jake Fisher a Bleacher report, the Nets and

865
00:37:25,280 --> 00:37:27,920
Sixers have interest in him. If the Sixers have interest

866
00:37:27,960 --> 00:37:30,159
in him, he's getting traded this year because they're definitely

867
00:37:30,199 --> 00:37:32,880
not gonna have cap space and the Nets will have

868
00:37:32,920 --> 00:37:35,000
cap space and that might be an where it's oh

869
00:37:35,079 --> 00:37:37,639
who won't impact the tank but fits our timeline and

870
00:37:37,920 --> 00:37:41,239
could be good. But I think the Warriors were smart

871
00:37:41,280 --> 00:37:43,400
not to give him that money. I understand what he's doing.

872
00:37:43,719 --> 00:37:45,239
He is the one to me that took the way

873
00:37:45,239 --> 00:37:46,159
bigger risk here.

874
00:37:46,519 --> 00:37:49,920
Speaker 3: Yes, for sure, and I would say too, I don't

875
00:37:49,920 --> 00:37:53,840
think you I should say phrase it this way. I

876
00:37:53,880 --> 00:37:57,360
think you can view the Moody extension like in relationship

877
00:37:57,400 --> 00:38:01,000
with this, because the Warriors locked up someone that you

878
00:38:01,039 --> 00:38:05,760
know might be eighty percent as productive as Kaminga going forward,

879
00:38:06,320 --> 00:38:08,400
and they're gonna pay him like a third of what

880
00:38:08,480 --> 00:38:11,639
Kaminga wants. So just as a value proposition and as

881
00:38:11,679 --> 00:38:14,400
like a I don't know insurance play, like just having

882
00:38:14,440 --> 00:38:17,639
Moody locked up at you know, some somewhat similar position

883
00:38:18,079 --> 00:38:20,159
is like, okay, we can we we don't need to

884
00:38:20,199 --> 00:38:23,159
extend anything past our comfort zone at all on cominga.

885
00:38:23,199 --> 00:38:25,480
Now he can just he can demonstrate he's worth a

886
00:38:25,519 --> 00:38:27,480
big contract or not, and then we'll just let the

887
00:38:27,519 --> 00:38:28,800
market decide.

888
00:38:28,960 --> 00:38:32,519
Speaker 2: Final thing over under on his contract being thirty point

889
00:38:32,599 --> 00:38:35,239
five million dollars in year one next season.

890
00:38:36,400 --> 00:38:41,599
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go under because I don't think. I don't

891
00:38:41,639 --> 00:38:44,239
think he's going to get the opportunity with the team

892
00:38:44,280 --> 00:38:46,480
as deep as the Warriors, and I am less and

893
00:38:46,559 --> 00:38:49,800
less convinced that even if he did get the opportunity,

894
00:38:50,440 --> 00:38:54,000
he's like he's that type of player. It could change,

895
00:38:54,039 --> 00:38:55,719
but as of today, I don't think he's a thirty

896
00:38:55,719 --> 00:38:56,599
million dollar player.

897
00:38:56,920 --> 00:38:58,440
Speaker 1: I kind of view him on the same level as

898
00:38:58,440 --> 00:38:59,239
a Jalen Johnson.

899
00:38:59,320 --> 00:39:01,159
Speaker 2: Maybe his ceiling will be slightly higher, but I think

900
00:39:01,199 --> 00:39:04,119
Jim Johnson, when you look at the playmaking, he's got

901
00:39:04,119 --> 00:39:06,159
to be the more dynamic even the defense, the more

902
00:39:06,239 --> 00:39:07,320
dynamic player right now.

903
00:39:07,360 --> 00:39:11,119
Speaker 3: No, oh no, totally agree like that. That's why I

904
00:39:11,159 --> 00:39:13,920
would have given Johnson in that deal. I've already said

905
00:39:13,920 --> 00:39:15,519
I wouldn't have given it to Kaminga.

906
00:39:16,000 --> 00:39:17,800
Speaker 1: Take us to what they, mister Hughes.

907
00:39:18,679 --> 00:39:21,920
Speaker 3: We will not be awarded any contract extensions for this effort,

908
00:39:22,000 --> 00:39:24,800
but I hope you all understand the NBA's contract extensions

909
00:39:24,800 --> 00:39:29,480
a little better. Thanks everybody for watching, for listening. If

910
00:39:29,599 --> 00:39:31,920
you have not done so, already a great review, subscribe,

911
00:39:32,079 --> 00:39:35,960
thumbs up, leave comments on YouTube, join our discord, check

912
00:39:35,960 --> 00:39:38,800
out our merch links in the YouTube and podcast description

913
00:39:38,960 --> 00:39:42,719
for all that stuff. Tell your friends quordermouth super helps us,

914
00:39:42,920 --> 00:39:45,119
and uh yeah, let us know in the comments what

915
00:39:45,199 --> 00:39:47,639
you think about some of these extensions. I'm sure there

916
00:39:47,679 --> 00:39:50,320
will be some different opinions on whether any of these

917
00:39:50,320 --> 00:39:53,199
were good or not, except everyone should agree with Shingun

918
00:39:53,920 --> 00:39:57,679
was gotten first deal. Thanks again, Shouts Frank, Apologies, Jared

919
00:39:57,679 --> 00:39:57,920
Allen

