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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It's Monday. It's total basis, two

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man show today, Brian Leonard. I gotta be honest as

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someone that really likes driving around. If you follow me

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during college basketball season, you know I get out on

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the road. I think like this would be like a

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deem dream day for me to be like in the

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car with Tokyo Brandon just driving to the middle of

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nowhere in Japan. That sounds awesome to me. That's where

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TV is today, so we'll miss him. He'll be back tomorrow.

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But your MLB go to MLB three Pick show right

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here on the wager Talk YouTube channel will go on

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as scheduled with myself and Brian Leonard. So it's Monday,

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it's a little bit slower of a day. How is

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your weekend, Brian.

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Speaker 2: Well, it was good for my betting and for the clients.

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It's been bad for me personally because my air conditioning

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has been off all weekend. Oh geez, and can't get

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anybody out here till today. So I've been sweating my

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ass off. And we actually he'd been staying it one

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of our local casinos out here in the sun Coast

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and they've got a great sports book over there, so

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we spent the day there yesterday, and you know, I

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know Tokyo Brandon likes to talk about music. We went

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to see Rick Springfield last night in Henderson, and he's

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gonna be seventy six years old next month. Puts on

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a hell of a show. He's at his age. He

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and Mick Jagger are the only two guys I've ever

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seen in that age group that can just run around,

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run around, run around, and he still sounds great. It

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was a really nice show. It's called back to the

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eighties or whatever. So John Waite and Wang Chung and

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Paul Young. Paul Young's not so Paul Young anymore. But yeah,

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it was a nice show and it didn't cost a

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whole lot. Nice night out with the family.

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Speaker 3: Now, that's that's Jesse's girl, right, Rich spring Listen.

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Speaker 1: I grew up listening to mostly my parents' music. So

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I was born in nineteen eighty six. People think I'm

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much younger than I am. I'll be forty next year.

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Someone in the chat was like, just shocked at that.

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I got the baby face. But yeah, I was born

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in eighty six, and I mostly grew up listening to

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music from the seventies and the eighties, which is why

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I'm such a big Billy Joel fan. And I actually

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took eleven years of piano lessons because of Billy Joel,

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and haven't. I don't think I've tried to sit down

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at the piano since I was about sixteen years old,

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So that's too bad. I wish I like kept on

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that later in life. Would be cool to still be

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able to play, but anyway. Would also be cool is

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if we can find some winners today, Brian, I feel

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like there's gonna be a theme in a couple of

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these plays, and the theme is gonna be teams playing

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well in spite of management wishing they didn't play as

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good as they were playing. Okay, that's the theme that

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comes up this time of year every single year. It's

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who's gonna Who's gonna spite there the front office? Right,

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And one of the teams starting to do that is

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the Minnesota Twins. Okay, the Minnesota Twins. We're not that

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far out of it. Okay, I mean they were out,

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they were you know, I mean, it wasn't looking great

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for them, but they certainly weren't like if you go

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back twenty years, you know they're still trying to win

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baseball games.

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Speaker 3: What were they six games back?

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Speaker 1: And they they made a historic number of moves at

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the trade deadline, selling pieces off. On top of that,

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they're leaving guys like Mick Abel. Why is mcabel at

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Triple A? Why is he still at Triple A? Second

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great start for Able at Triple A, Yester, not as

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good as the first one, but still, you know, they're

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leaving guys at Triple A that would probably help them

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at the big league level right now? And but what

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do they do? They walk off the Royals yesterday take

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two of three. Before that, they took two of three

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from the Tigers. You were totally right about Luke keshel

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By the way. I gotta shout you out because I

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think before he even played a big league game, you

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said he might be the best player in their organization,

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and he is fantastic, Brian, They're going to Yankee Stadium tonight.

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Suddenly these are kind of meaningful. So how are you

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seeing the Twins? And is this the team you want

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to bet on?

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Speaker 2: It?

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Speaker 3: All right now?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? I listened to a about an hour an hour

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and a half long podcast as much as I can

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with some Minnesota Twins podcasters and the writers. I think

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they worked for the work for either the newspaper or

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work for the team. But yeah, they had a nice

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breakdown this week about what's going on in Minnesota. And

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you mentioned Kishel. He is, he's a young guy, he's

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playing hot, and he's a spark for this team and

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they just got him back and he has been terrific Minnesota.

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You know, they didn't trade away their hitters for the

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most part, other than Korea, who I didn't think was

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very good anyway at this point in his career. So

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they've got some pretty good hitters on this team in

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the future. It was it was the bullpen that they

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traded away everybody, and that was really the strength of

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the team for a few years now. But they seem

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to have weathered it a little bit and they got

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Zebbie Matthews going on the mount today against Will Warren.

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Warren's about a one seventy five favorite total of nine

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to the under, eight and a half to the over.

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And you're right, this is the team now starting to

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believe in themselves. I thought I was going to be

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baiting Minnesota on a regular basis after the trade deadline

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and we had success doing that for the first few games.

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But lately they're playing very well. As you pointed out

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going against the Yankees, who found another way to lose yesterday.

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They are just not playing well. They're making minor league

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mistakes defensively, throwing to the wrong base, getting caught and

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run downs. There's never been a very fundamental team. I

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don't like the manager. I've never liked Boone. I think

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he should be fired. I don't you know. I'm not

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Tokyo Brandon that jumps off the handle on on a

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lot of these things. But I think we've seen enough

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out of him, and they've got more talent than what

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they should with their record. Granted, the starting rotation has

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been a problem this year. They've had some injuries, but

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they just get heel back, and he's not the greatest

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pitcher in the world, but he gives you some innings

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being cut down on the walk, so it's going to help.

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But he consider the continue to throw Williams out there.

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He threw him out in the sixth inning yesterday, I

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believe it was and he did not pitch well. Again,

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when you can you count, can you just cut the guy?

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I don't know he's going to be free agent. I

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guess they don't want to do that in case they

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want to try to sign him, or maybe maybe something happens.

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But yeah, there, you've got to have some balls to

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play the Yankees right now. And the only problem is

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Zebbie Matthews is a guy I really like, but he's

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been very inconsistent. He was He's been pretty good. When

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he's good, he's good. When he's bad, he's bad. He's

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a flyball pitcher four teen percent ground ball or fourteen

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percent of ground ball, right and this is not a

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very good stadium to play in if you are a

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fly ball pitcher. Comes in with a five point one

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seven e RA, but is expected the RA is three

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point eighty five. His whip is really high, one point

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three eight. In fact, in his two seasons it's a

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one point five to one. It doesn't walk a lot

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of batters, only six percent of the batter as he walks.

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Strike out rate twenty eight point nine, which give him

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a twenty two point nine, which is excellent, but these

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had some problems. Barrel rate thirty three percent. Overall, I

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like him, but he's just like a lot of young pitchers.

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He's very inconsistent. Speaking of young pitchers, we get the

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same thing out of Will Warren here. One day looks great,

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next day looks terrible. In his stetcast page shows that

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four point four to four ERA four point one zero

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expected one point four to two whip after a one

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point nine whip in limited action last year. Uh, he's

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got great extension in the eighty second percentile, stretch percent

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in the seventy sixth but ex average ex velocity twelve percentile,

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chaser eight tenth, walk grade sixteenth, hard hit rate sixteenth.

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So we've got two pitchers here that can be hit.

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And the Yankees right now, the Yankees lineup is better

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than it has been for a while now that they've

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got you know, they got Stanton back, they've got judged

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back now. And so the first thing I look at

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on this game would probably be the over. It opened

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eight and a half twenty. Now it's at nine under

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twenty at most places. If you can get that eight

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and a half twenty, and there's you know, if you're

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if you haven't got kicked out yet. ESPN bet has

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eight and a half over twenty. Uh. Circa here in

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Vegas eight and a half over twenties in Caesars eight

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and half twenty five, So that would be the way

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I would look here. I still like the offenses here,

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Questions about the pitching staff, especially the Minnesota bullpen. They've

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been on borrowed time, I believe, But that's the way

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I would look at this one. And the Yankees got

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to turn it around. It's gonna have any chance to

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make the playoffs. I think us and the fans of

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the show are rooting against that for the most part,

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because admit some pretty good bets on not to make

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the playoffs for the Yankees.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think you've sort of nailed this game. I'm

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just going to try to play off a lot of

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the points you made. So first thing, well City by

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the base, is how does Boon still have a job?

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Speaker 3: Listen, I was sympathetic toward his situation.

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Speaker 1: I would say, like maybe two years ago, because I

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do think there's a lot that goes into being the

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Yankees manager that maybe we don't really understand as just fans,

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and it's a I think for the most part, he's

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done a job that sort of like at least earned

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him the right to stay around for a little bit.

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That being said, I started to realize like this last

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year watching now, remember the Yankees are still our local

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team here in Central New York, So I end up

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watching a lot of Yankee games just because right like

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they're they're always on if I'm if I'm not at

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home and with all the games and I'm over at

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the in laws out like it's such.

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Speaker 3: The easiest game to turn on.

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Speaker 1: Last year they started making a lot of these mistakes.

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But last year's team was a lot better, right that.

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Last year's team was so much better than this year's team.

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Last year's team had Wan Soto and he was good

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Wan Sodo, right, like you really it. It's crazy how

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much better they were last year than this year. But

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it's like they got away with playing bad baseball last

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year because the caliber the team was just so much better.

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They could overcome a stupid error, a base running mistake.

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They just overcame it with being the best, one of

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the best teams in the league.

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Speaker 3: This year, they're just not that.

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Speaker 1: And it also they overcame like they would get to

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the eighth the ninth.

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Speaker 3: Inning and it was just nails.

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Speaker 1: It was Luke Weaver, it was you know, they they

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had they would just lock it down. No problem. This

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year hasn't been that. You talk about Devin Williams. You

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said this last week, Brian, they got to send him

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to the miners. Let him go back to the minors

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for like three weeks and just figure some stuff out.

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Because really, if you're the Yankees, you you need Devin

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Williams back in like September, right like you can get

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you can you can live life without him for like

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three weeks. You gotta get him back and have him

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be productive in September. I'm not saying he's got to

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be your closer, but he's got to give you like

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a good inning and like the sixth or seventh inning

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that is that is just just another example of the

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Yankees going in the total wrong direction. On the other side,

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I love Zebbie Matthews. So this is where this is

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where watching baseball matters, like and and listen, like I'll

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probably get in trouble for saying this, but like I

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can't stand when I hear like the crowd that it's like, oh,

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like I don't even watch the games or it's just

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like all you know, it's like, well it's just the numbers.

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I mean, we have people let sell picks on the

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site that that don't watch baseball games, and like, I'll

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just call like it's that's crazy to me because there's

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so much more than just the numbers that goes into it.

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And I feel like Zebi Matthews is a perfect example

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of that. You see the numbers, Yeah, the numbers at

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the big league level are not great, but if you've

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been watching this guy. I've been watching this guy since

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last year. I watched him fly through the Twins minor

244
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league organization because all he could do was throw strikes.

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Speaker 3: Guy didn't know how to throw a ball.

246
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Speaker 1: And then he got to the big league level last

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year and and sort of learned quickly that you can't

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just throw strikes in the big leagues, right Like, you

249
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can't just have all of your pitches be in the

250
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zone all of the time. This year, he's actually been

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much better at that. But he's but he's battled some injuries.

252
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He's had to work around some injuries. He s had

253
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to work around having time off, shutting it down and

254
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then sort of getting going again, which is a whole

255
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nother battle, right like that, that's just a whole nother

256
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sort of battle to have to do that, and that

257
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in the middle of the season because he wasn't hurt

258
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coming into the season.

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Speaker 3: He got hurt, had to come back.

260
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Speaker 1: So now if I get him like post All Star

261
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break where he's had some time to come back Nationals.

262
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Six innings of shut out ball, seven strikeouts, no walks,

263
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Well that's obvious, no walks. The guy just he's allergic

264
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to throwing balls. I mean he literally throws everything in

265
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the zone. The Red Sox got to him a little bit. Well,

266
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the Red Sox are hotter than any team on the

267
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planet right now, or during that run July thirtieth, it

268
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was like the start of the Red Sox hitting anything

269
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and everything.

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Speaker 3: So I'll give him a pass.

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Speaker 1: Their last time out, Tiger's five innings, one run, six strikeouts,

272
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one walk. So this is a guy where it's like

273
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you're not gonna you're not gonna get the full sort

274
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of rub by just looking at the numbers or having

275
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not seen him pitch. If you've seen this guy pitch,

276
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he's got a lot of plus stuff. There's a lot

277
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of reason to think that he could.

278
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Speaker 3: Be pretty good.

279
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Speaker 1: Will Warren like he's got some upside, But again I

280
00:13:52,080 --> 00:13:55,279
was almost argue he's been more inconsistent than Matthews, and

281
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he has less upside to be like a really, really

282
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good major league starter. I think he could hang around

283
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in this fifth starter role for a while, maybe on

284
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a different team. But let's be honest. If the Eighties

285
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were full strength.

286
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Speaker 3: They're not. You know, they're not having Will Warren as

287
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the fifth starter. So I like the Twins.

288
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Speaker 1: I would have probably played this if it was if

289
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I could get Twins plus one and a half at

290
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a playable price. But for now, I like the Twins

291
00:14:18,120 --> 00:14:20,600
on the money line, so that that's the play here.

292
00:14:20,600 --> 00:14:22,960
I don't know if that'll be like my parlay leg,

293
00:14:23,440 --> 00:14:25,639
but we're only gonna have a two teamer today, so

294
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the price point is appealing for the parlay.

295
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Speaker 3: But yeah, I really like the Twins.

296
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Speaker 2: I'll point out about Boone the thing that really bothers me,

297
00:14:35,039 --> 00:14:37,559
and he got thrown out a game again yesterday, fifth

298
00:14:37,600 --> 00:14:40,200
time this season. How do you get thrown out of

299
00:14:40,240 --> 00:14:42,879
five games when you can't argue ball and strikes, balls

300
00:14:42,919 --> 00:14:48,440
and strokes. He wins too much. He's a cry baby. Sorry.

301
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The Boone families had a lot of success in Major

302
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League baseball, but nothing irritates me more than having that

303
00:14:54,600 --> 00:14:57,600
and it got a veteran team, you don't need to

304
00:14:57,720 --> 00:14:59,440
fire up your team. If you've got a lot of

305
00:14:59,440 --> 00:15:02,000
young kids on team, yes, you go out, you kick

306
00:15:02,039 --> 00:15:03,840
the base as you throw, you know, the whole Earl

307
00:15:03,919 --> 00:15:08,399
waiver shit. But if you've got a veteran team and

308
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your manager is making a fool out of himself all

309
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the time out there commenting about everything, that's a negative

310
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to me. I I think the Yankees need to make

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a chance.

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Speaker 3: All right, Tom, it's bo. Thanks for joining.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if we've pulled one of your comments

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up before, so very much appreciate you interacting as always,

315
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please like subscribe and Brian, I have to get this

316
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out real quick.

317
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Speaker 3: I have I have a five percent play.

318
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Speaker 1: I'm like twelve and three in my last fifteen games,

319
00:15:36,679 --> 00:15:38,480
and if I don't promote the shit out of it,

320
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I'm gonna get in trouble. I've already been told. So

321
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if you take away one thing from this shows that

322
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you should watch baseball. If you take away a second thing,

323
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it's that I have a five percent play tonight.

324
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Speaker 3: Those are the two. You have to take those things

325
00:15:49,879 --> 00:15:52,320
away and then anything else you pick up. Uh, you

326
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know that's that's great. That's bonus. But I gotta I

327
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gotta get that out there.

328
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Speaker 1: Uh it's a spot that I really do love and

329
00:15:59,679 --> 00:16:01,200
who knows, we may or may not hit it on

330
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the show, but I'm not going to tell you if

331
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we do.

332
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Speaker 3: So there you go, keep firing games in the chat.

333
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Speaker 1: I want to go to Thomas bow here because this

334
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is example two of I mean, the Pirates front office

335
00:16:11,799 --> 00:16:13,879
has been working against them since the beginning of the year.

336
00:16:14,639 --> 00:16:17,600
They didn't just decide to like work against them at

337
00:16:17,600 --> 00:16:21,360
the trade deadline. They Again, I don't want to go

338
00:16:21,399 --> 00:16:24,720
off on a tangent with this, but it's like a

339
00:16:24,799 --> 00:16:27,679
generational talent fell in your lap. In Paul skeins, you

340
00:16:27,759 --> 00:16:30,840
should be you should be borrowing money from the Steelers

341
00:16:30,879 --> 00:16:32,759
if you have to be, like we got to get

342
00:16:33,120 --> 00:16:35,320
any we had, like this is like our one chance,

343
00:16:35,399 --> 00:16:38,279
Like we have to put anything we possibly can around

344
00:16:38,320 --> 00:16:41,600
this guy while he's still in Pittsburgh because rest assured

345
00:16:41,840 --> 00:16:43,759
when he's a free agent, he's not going to re

346
00:16:43,879 --> 00:16:47,879
sign here, because why would he. But yet they continue

347
00:16:47,960 --> 00:16:51,360
to do things that are not consistent with trying to

348
00:16:51,399 --> 00:16:54,519
win now, which in my opinion, is crazy. That being said,

349
00:16:54,519 --> 00:16:58,840
since July twenty first, Brian, they are eating want let

350
00:16:58,919 --> 00:17:01,759
me just make sure I got this right. Ten twelve

351
00:17:02,159 --> 00:17:05,000
looks like they're they're twelve and seven.

352
00:17:05,440 --> 00:17:06,960
Speaker 3: That's not bad. Twelve and seven.

353
00:17:07,799 --> 00:17:11,279
Speaker 1: Since July twenty first, since that sweep of the Tigers,

354
00:17:12,079 --> 00:17:13,960
and even this weekend, I watched a lot of that

355
00:17:14,119 --> 00:17:17,079
series they played. They played good ball to split with

356
00:17:17,160 --> 00:17:20,799
a Reds team that very much needed probably to take

357
00:17:20,839 --> 00:17:23,519
three or four in that series. And the Pirates I thought,

358
00:17:23,559 --> 00:17:26,880
played really, you know, solid baseball for the most part.

359
00:17:27,000 --> 00:17:30,680
This Sea this weekend lost. They won the first two

360
00:17:30,720 --> 00:17:33,160
games of the series. They lose two to one on Saturday.

361
00:17:33,480 --> 00:17:36,039
They even made a little bid to come back Yesterday,

362
00:17:36,039 --> 00:17:38,880
they end up losing fourteen to eight. Thomas says, the

363
00:17:38,920 --> 00:17:41,319
Brewers are going to lose at some point. I mean

364
00:17:41,599 --> 00:17:44,279
that you think they would, right, They just came thought

365
00:17:44,319 --> 00:17:47,440
they were gonna lose yesterday, and somehow they walk it

366
00:17:47,480 --> 00:17:48,400
off against the Mets.

367
00:17:48,400 --> 00:17:51,119
Speaker 3: So they're red hot. My question to you is is

368
00:17:51,160 --> 00:17:52,400
this the letdown spot?

369
00:17:52,559 --> 00:17:56,200
Speaker 1: Is this where the Brewers maybe drop one, because that's

370
00:17:56,240 --> 00:17:58,440
a big price if you like the Pirates.

371
00:17:58,720 --> 00:18:01,200
Speaker 2: This to me is the most entering game on the card.

372
00:18:01,960 --> 00:18:05,720
I've got a couple lefties handy going against Quintana currentine

373
00:18:05,880 --> 00:18:12,759
Quatana is about that one two dollars and eight and

374
00:18:12,759 --> 00:18:18,039
a half to the total over about one twenty. Yeah,

375
00:18:18,440 --> 00:18:24,160
I Pittsburgh has been playing some pretty good, pretty good baseball.

376
00:18:24,720 --> 00:18:29,000
They make mistakes, they're a younger team, but you have

377
00:18:29,119 --> 00:18:32,519
to think that things are looking up in Pittsburgh if

378
00:18:32,519 --> 00:18:35,319
you could just get the man, get the staffs or

379
00:18:35,680 --> 00:18:38,920
management to spend a little bit of money. They're still

380
00:18:38,920 --> 00:18:42,279
throwing out Andrew Haney. We all thought he would be

381
00:18:42,279 --> 00:18:46,240
traded over the over the break, he was not. Four

382
00:18:46,279 --> 00:18:49,160
point seven to seven e r a five point four

383
00:18:49,160 --> 00:18:52,839
to two expected one point twenty seven whip. He's had

384
00:18:52,880 --> 00:18:59,160
some good starts this year, but overall he's French Major

385
00:18:59,200 --> 00:19:02,759
league pitcher Andrew Haney. If you take a look at

386
00:19:02,799 --> 00:19:05,039
the stack cast page, his best thing he does is

387
00:19:05,039 --> 00:19:07,359
basically he's in the sixty third percentile on the walk

388
00:19:07,440 --> 00:19:12,119
rate seven point four percent walks, which is about one

389
00:19:12,160 --> 00:19:14,799
below the league average. And that's the best thing. Chase right,

390
00:19:14,880 --> 00:19:17,759
maybe you know fifty eight percent about average or whatever,

391
00:19:18,359 --> 00:19:22,359
but so much blue on his stack gass page expected

392
00:19:22,440 --> 00:19:27,160
era eighth percentile expected bating the average sixth fastball velocity

393
00:19:27,359 --> 00:19:32,440
fifth with rate fourteenth, strikeout rate seventh or twelfth, barrel

394
00:19:32,519 --> 00:19:35,559
rate seventeenth, hardhit rate twentieth, grand ball rate twenty second.

395
00:19:36,279 --> 00:19:38,759
He is not a very good pitcher. Now. He is

396
00:19:38,799 --> 00:19:41,559
a veteran. He's been around for twelve seasons. He's pitched

397
00:19:42,599 --> 00:19:45,960
two hundred twenty six games in his career. These older

398
00:19:46,000 --> 00:19:48,079
guys know what they're doing, and he's gonna be facing

399
00:19:48,079 --> 00:19:52,799
another older guy on today's card. But the other older

400
00:19:52,799 --> 00:19:57,640
guy in Jose Quintana, is a much better pitcher. He's

401
00:19:57,640 --> 00:20:01,079
been around fourteen seasons, three point seventy three career ERA

402
00:20:02,039 --> 00:20:04,640
this year three point five to seven, four point seventy

403
00:20:04,720 --> 00:20:07,720
nine on the expected But you know, if you take

404
00:20:07,759 --> 00:20:09,799
a look, and I've probably said this before the last

405
00:20:09,839 --> 00:20:13,680
four years, he's outperformed as expected ERA, So that's not

406
00:20:13,799 --> 00:20:16,839
something to you know, go crazy about. But most of

407
00:20:16,839 --> 00:20:19,240
his stuff on the stackcast page is also in the

408
00:20:19,240 --> 00:20:24,480
blue basketball velocity six percentile with right fourth percentile. But

409
00:20:24,519 --> 00:20:27,359
he doesn't throw us forcinger very often. He doesn't have

410
00:20:27,359 --> 00:20:29,319
a great force singer. He only throws at eleven percent

411
00:20:29,319 --> 00:20:33,079
of the time. He's mostly a sinker change guy, and

412
00:20:33,200 --> 00:20:35,319
he's had success he knows how to win. He's got

413
00:20:35,319 --> 00:20:37,880
one hundred and eleven wins in his career, and that's

414
00:20:38,039 --> 00:20:41,559
that's not bad, especially for a guy that is really

415
00:20:41,640 --> 00:20:46,319
just an afterthought. Nobody really wanted him. And he's back

416
00:20:46,400 --> 00:20:50,519
up in the in the majors, and now Milwaukee's starting

417
00:20:50,559 --> 00:20:54,519
to get some of their younger starters healthy again, and

418
00:20:54,559 --> 00:20:56,319
so who knows how long he's going to be in

419
00:20:56,319 --> 00:20:59,240
this rotation, But while he's in there, he's a guy

420
00:20:59,279 --> 00:21:01,680
I like to bet on. Now, the question you have

421
00:21:01,799 --> 00:21:07,480
to ask here is is this obvious that doown spot? Well?

422
00:21:07,519 --> 00:21:10,039
We saw the same thing when they swept the Dodgers

423
00:21:10,599 --> 00:21:14,200
after the All Star break. They came back out and

424
00:21:14,559 --> 00:21:18,160
played very well after that. The way they won yesterday,

425
00:21:18,359 --> 00:21:21,079
you would have to think they played the Mets. The

426
00:21:21,119 --> 00:21:24,759
Mets was a big deal, and they swept the Mets,

427
00:21:25,000 --> 00:21:28,640
winning some games they probably shouldn't have won. But that's

428
00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:32,519
because the Mets are a team of higher priced guys

429
00:21:32,880 --> 00:21:36,319
that just fundamentally they're not very good. They were in

430
00:21:36,359 --> 00:21:39,359
a nice pitcher's park. I like the lineup for the Mets.

431
00:21:39,599 --> 00:21:41,640
I'd like, you know, the bullpen. They've corrected that a

432
00:21:41,680 --> 00:21:46,079
little bit. Mets are a really good team. But I've

433
00:21:46,200 --> 00:21:48,119
just said they're a really good bunch of rick a

434
00:21:48,200 --> 00:21:51,319
bunch of players, because as a team, Milwaukee play is

435
00:21:51,400 --> 00:21:55,319
better baseball than anybody out there in Major League Baseball

436
00:21:55,359 --> 00:21:58,200
this year. Yes, you're laying two to one on Quitana.

437
00:21:58,559 --> 00:22:00,599
You're not going to find many times in his career

438
00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:02,720
that he's been a two to one favorite. But I

439
00:22:02,720 --> 00:22:05,359
don't want any part of Hanny Hani. If you take

440
00:22:05,400 --> 00:22:10,920
a look at his starts going back, she's like his

441
00:22:11,000 --> 00:22:13,720
last day starts. He's only had one start where he's

442
00:22:13,720 --> 00:22:18,599
gone five innings. So I know TV is not here,

443
00:22:18,640 --> 00:22:20,720
and I know the line would be pretty high, but

444
00:22:20,759 --> 00:22:24,759
if you could find a Hani not to get the win,

445
00:22:27,680 --> 00:22:29,960
that seems pretty nice to me, because I don't the

446
00:22:29,960 --> 00:22:32,119
way Milwaukee is hitting, I don't think he's going to

447
00:22:32,200 --> 00:22:34,799
last very long in this game, and they're gonna have

448
00:22:34,839 --> 00:22:38,039
to go to the bullpen. So rather than laying the

449
00:22:38,039 --> 00:22:42,440
two dollars on Milwaukee, I'd rather lay four dollars that

450
00:22:42,480 --> 00:22:45,960
he doesn't get the doesn't get the win, but yeah,

451
00:22:46,000 --> 00:22:48,319
we'll have to. You know, Milwaukee's just playing so much

452
00:22:48,359 --> 00:22:50,359
heart right now. They don't care. They're just going out

453
00:22:50,839 --> 00:22:52,640
and now they've got a big lead in the division.

454
00:22:52,680 --> 00:22:55,799
They don't care. They're playing great ball. I'm not fading him,

455
00:22:55,839 --> 00:22:56,440
I'll tell you that.

456
00:22:58,359 --> 00:23:00,839
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean so I'll just be honest, Like I

457
00:23:00,960 --> 00:23:03,599
make my first pass through the games, and you know,

458
00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:06,079
Pirates one and plus one and a half staring me

459
00:23:06,200 --> 00:23:08,799
right in the face. It's a it's the setup that

460
00:23:08,880 --> 00:23:11,039
I I typically would go for.

461
00:23:11,200 --> 00:23:12,599
Speaker 3: Price point I typically would go for.

462
00:23:12,720 --> 00:23:15,079
Speaker 1: But the problem is, I'm just not sure I want

463
00:23:15,200 --> 00:23:20,359
Andrew Haney here, Like it's he there's there's I almost

464
00:23:20,359 --> 00:23:22,279
feel like a lot of the stuff.

465
00:23:22,319 --> 00:23:23,079
Speaker 3: So I feel like.

466
00:23:23,000 --> 00:23:26,279
Speaker 1: If you bet the piratesier, you're going you're pretty much

467
00:23:26,319 --> 00:23:30,400
betting on the Brewers just having a letdown, right, Like,

468
00:23:30,440 --> 00:23:34,240
I really think that's the main basis of your bet.

469
00:23:34,519 --> 00:23:38,240
And the reason I say that is like the Brewers

470
00:23:38,319 --> 00:23:40,400
hit left handed pitching. I mean they're they're eighth in

471
00:23:40,440 --> 00:23:43,559
the league WRC plus against lefties. So you can't really

472
00:23:43,559 --> 00:23:45,920
make the case that the Brewers don't hit lefties, because

473
00:23:45,960 --> 00:23:48,400
they do. And Andrew Haney is not a very good

474
00:23:48,440 --> 00:23:51,960
left handed pitcher. So again, right there, I know he's

475
00:23:52,000 --> 00:23:55,039
got I know he's been able to navigate like a

476
00:23:55,519 --> 00:23:58,000
like somehow We're in mid August and he's still got

477
00:23:58,039 --> 00:24:02,240
like a semi respectable season resume, But I would I

478
00:24:02,240 --> 00:24:05,240
wouldn't classify him as even a good left handed pitcher.

479
00:24:05,279 --> 00:24:08,240
I think I think serviceable for a team that's out

480
00:24:08,279 --> 00:24:10,759
of it is probably the best sort of way to

481
00:24:10,799 --> 00:24:12,240
describe Andrew Haney at this point.

482
00:24:13,440 --> 00:24:17,559
Speaker 3: The other problem I have is, you know, the Pirates.

483
00:24:17,920 --> 00:24:20,359
Speaker 1: Yes, they've won some games, and they and they've generated

484
00:24:20,359 --> 00:24:23,079
some offense, but they don't hit left handed pitching either.

485
00:24:23,119 --> 00:24:26,200
So even though Quentin Kintana is someone that I think

486
00:24:26,400 --> 00:24:30,640
might be trending in the maybe like the slightly wrong direction,

487
00:24:30,759 --> 00:24:33,279
right now, I just don't know if the Pirates is

488
00:24:33,319 --> 00:24:35,319
the team I want to I want to, you know,

489
00:24:35,440 --> 00:24:37,759
sort of oppose him with because they haven't really hit

490
00:24:37,839 --> 00:24:38,480
left these all year.

491
00:24:38,559 --> 00:24:40,440
Speaker 3: Now, what could change that for me?

492
00:24:40,839 --> 00:24:42,640
Speaker 1: I'm gonna keep an eye on what the Pirates are

493
00:24:42,640 --> 00:24:44,839
gonna do with their roster today.

494
00:24:45,039 --> 00:24:47,200
Speaker 3: Mondays are a day they tend to shuffle it up.

495
00:24:47,559 --> 00:24:49,960
Speaker 1: They've got three guys in the miners right now that

496
00:24:50,039 --> 00:24:51,599
probably should be on the big league team.

497
00:24:52,039 --> 00:24:53,039
Speaker 3: I don't understand it.

498
00:24:53,039 --> 00:24:56,359
Speaker 1: It's very Twins esque where it's almost like like I

499
00:24:56,359 --> 00:24:58,839
got an argument on Pirates Twitter yesterday. I don't I

500
00:24:59,240 --> 00:25:01,920
don't know why I'm arguing with Pirates fans on Twitter,

501
00:25:02,279 --> 00:25:05,400
But like Cam Devaney was the guy that you traded

502
00:25:05,480 --> 00:25:06,319
Adam Fraser for.

503
00:25:07,200 --> 00:25:08,279
Speaker 3: He's twenty eight years old.

504
00:25:08,319 --> 00:25:11,119
Speaker 1: He's never he's never been in the big leagues, probably

505
00:25:11,160 --> 00:25:14,559
because he wasn't like a super highly touted draft pick.

506
00:25:14,599 --> 00:25:17,279
Speaker 3: Okay, he was like a fifteenth sixteenth rounder.

507
00:25:17,319 --> 00:25:19,920
Speaker 1: I believe he went to Elon and he's never gotten

508
00:25:19,920 --> 00:25:21,799
a chance in the big leagues. The reason he's never

509
00:25:21,799 --> 00:25:23,319
gotten a chant or the reason he didn't get a

510
00:25:23,359 --> 00:25:25,839
chance this year is he was in the Royals organization.

511
00:25:25,880 --> 00:25:28,599
He's a shortstop, so he's behind Bobby wit So it's like,

512
00:25:28,640 --> 00:25:32,119
what are you? Where are you gonna find room for him?

513
00:25:32,160 --> 00:25:34,160
The second the Pirates traded for him, I was like,

514
00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:36,519
oh my god, this is no brainer. He goes right

515
00:25:36,559 --> 00:25:38,359
to the big league team because he was having a

516
00:25:38,400 --> 00:25:41,519
great season for Omaha. And what do they do? They

517
00:25:41,519 --> 00:25:43,279
put him down at Triple A. The guy is a

518
00:25:43,480 --> 00:25:46,200
nine to ten ops at Triple A this year. He's

519
00:25:46,240 --> 00:25:48,880
never gotten a chance in the big leagues. The Pirates

520
00:25:48,880 --> 00:25:51,640
are still running like James Triolo out, Who's I think

521
00:25:51,680 --> 00:25:55,440
badding like one night. Okay, So it's like they literally

522
00:25:55,440 --> 00:25:58,759
can improve their team, and there's like Nick Solax having

523
00:25:58,759 --> 00:26:00,880
a very good season at Triple A A. Well, they

524
00:26:00,880 --> 00:26:03,319
can improve their team by just calling a couple guys up.

525
00:26:03,799 --> 00:26:08,000
Why they refuse to do it is things that keep

526
00:26:08,039 --> 00:26:10,279
me up at night, Brian, I just don't understand what

527
00:26:10,400 --> 00:26:13,319
we're doing not not having certain guys on the roster,

528
00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:16,240
so you know that would make them better against right

529
00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:20,119
handed pitching or I'm sorry against left handed pitching. If

530
00:26:20,160 --> 00:26:22,319
you call up de Vany maybe maybe so lack Like,

531
00:26:22,319 --> 00:26:24,279
there's guys that would make you better in your own

532
00:26:24,359 --> 00:26:27,920
organization against left handed pitching. So I'm gonna watch and

533
00:26:27,920 --> 00:26:30,519
see what the Pirates do today. I do lean their

534
00:26:30,519 --> 00:26:32,279
way plus one and a half. I think that's a

535
00:26:32,359 --> 00:26:35,400
nice number to get him at minus one fifteen. But

536
00:26:35,559 --> 00:26:38,440
they need to like do a couple things, maybe bring

537
00:26:38,480 --> 00:26:40,319
a fresh reliever or two up because they've got a

538
00:26:40,319 --> 00:26:43,559
couple good relievers down there as well. Again, doesn't make

539
00:26:43,559 --> 00:26:46,920
any sense, but I'm not just gonna just say, oh,

540
00:26:47,039 --> 00:26:49,640
this is like the spot where the Brewers are due

541
00:26:49,640 --> 00:26:51,720
to play bad, and so let me bet the Pirates.

542
00:26:52,079 --> 00:26:53,519
Speaker 3: Even though I lean their way go ahead.

543
00:26:53,759 --> 00:26:56,599
Speaker 2: I've got two comments. First of all, I believe yesterday

544
00:26:58,119 --> 00:27:01,960
was the final deal with bringing up minor leaguers the

545
00:27:02,680 --> 00:27:07,359
time that they they can bring them up now. So

546
00:27:07,400 --> 00:27:09,759
if anybody's gonna bring up the minor leaguers, they can

547
00:27:09,799 --> 00:27:12,160
bring them up now. Really with no penalty. They can

548
00:27:12,240 --> 00:27:15,559
still be rookie eligible next year. But I want to

549
00:27:15,559 --> 00:27:21,200
get back to the Brewers. Excuse me, they can out

550
00:27:21,200 --> 00:27:24,079
of the All Star Break, they played the Dodgers. They

551
00:27:24,119 --> 00:27:28,680
swept the Dodgers, freed enough three games to nothing. Then

552
00:27:28,960 --> 00:27:31,519
you would think, Okay, it's a letdown. They're playing an

553
00:27:31,519 --> 00:27:34,400
American League team that was Seattle. They shut them off

554
00:27:34,440 --> 00:27:37,359
six to nothing in that game. Then after that, let

555
00:27:37,400 --> 00:27:40,799
they play a lesser team Miami before playing the Cubs.

556
00:27:40,839 --> 00:27:43,000
That's the big that's the big team deal right now

557
00:27:43,000 --> 00:27:45,400
with the Brewers. They take two out of three out

558
00:27:45,400 --> 00:27:49,559
of the Cubs, and then they face Washington and Atlanta,

559
00:27:50,079 --> 00:27:52,640
two teams out of the playoff race, nothing to play for,

560
00:27:53,319 --> 00:27:56,519
and they swept them six games to zero. Then they

561
00:27:56,559 --> 00:27:58,359
get the big deal, the big deal with the Mets,

562
00:27:58,400 --> 00:28:00,000
the team that they may have to play in the playoff,

563
00:28:00,079 --> 00:28:03,279
so if they get there, they sweep the Mets. Now

564
00:28:03,319 --> 00:28:08,799
they're playing Pittsburgh, then they play Cincinnati and Chicago. So

565
00:28:09,119 --> 00:28:11,519
if there is a letdown, it will be in this

566
00:28:11,599 --> 00:28:14,839
series against Pittsburgh. But if they didn't let down before

567
00:28:14,920 --> 00:28:18,559
after sweeping the Dodgers, and they didn't let down before

568
00:28:18,759 --> 00:28:22,079
after taking two out of three from Chicago, why would

569
00:28:22,119 --> 00:28:24,720
you expect them to have a letdown here against this

570
00:28:24,799 --> 00:28:28,880
Pittsburgh team. Cincinnati's on deck, a team fighting for the playoffs,

571
00:28:28,880 --> 00:28:32,480
but then they play Chicago in a huge series. They've

572
00:28:32,480 --> 00:28:36,640
got five games against Chicago August eighteenth through the twenty first.

573
00:28:37,359 --> 00:28:41,359
That could be the season. If they don't have a

574
00:28:41,440 --> 00:28:44,480
letdown against Pittsburgh and Cincinnati, and then they could take

575
00:28:44,519 --> 00:28:47,440
two out of those five against Chicago, this will be

576
00:28:47,480 --> 00:28:51,480
your division champion. And so I think this team right

577
00:28:51,480 --> 00:28:54,119
now is not going to let down. I like Milwaukee

578
00:28:54,119 --> 00:28:56,240
in this game. Don't want to lay the two to one.

579
00:28:56,240 --> 00:28:58,559
There's probably other ways to bet into it. I'll have

580
00:28:58,599 --> 00:29:00,720
to look at that. And you know, the one thing

581
00:29:00,720 --> 00:29:02,680
I like today is all the games are on the

582
00:29:02,680 --> 00:29:07,359
evening card, the first ones at six' ten, eastern so

583
00:29:07,359 --> 00:29:09,160
we got plenty of time to look at the. Lineup

584
00:29:09,200 --> 00:29:10,680
so we got to look at who's going to be

585
00:29:10,720 --> 00:29:14,440
pitching and if there's any moves because of that minor league,

586
00:29:14,519 --> 00:29:15,960
situation we'll see those.

587
00:29:15,960 --> 00:29:21,680
Speaker 1: Today funny comment from the from the comments on the

588
00:29:21,720 --> 00:29:26,720
YouTube show On, friday and again we read them. All

589
00:29:26,759 --> 00:29:29,039
so we really appreciate you guys jumping in the, comments

590
00:29:29,079 --> 00:29:31,480
getting in there interacting with the, show because it helps

591
00:29:31,519 --> 00:29:34,960
the show, tremendously and it actually is, like it's it's

592
00:29:34,960 --> 00:29:37,759
fun to interact with you guys. SOMETIMES i, mean there's

593
00:29:37,799 --> 00:29:40,480
some some handicappers that watch this show putting some great

594
00:29:40,519 --> 00:29:43,759
stuff in those. Comments but the funny one THAT i

595
00:29:45,000 --> 00:29:47,000
wanted to make SURE i address on this. Show someone's,

596
00:29:47,039 --> 00:29:49,519
like why do you call the show total? Bases you

597
00:29:49,519 --> 00:29:52,559
never talk about? Props AND i was, LIKE i was,

598
00:29:52,599 --> 00:29:54,759
like you, know that is kind of. FUNNY i came

599
00:29:54,839 --> 00:29:57,839
up with the name total bases BECAUSE i so here's

600
00:29:58,039 --> 00:29:59,799
here's the story real quick about why we call the

601
00:29:59,799 --> 00:30:02,319
show total basis because WHEN i had the idea for the,

602
00:30:02,359 --> 00:30:04,319
SHOW i DIDN'T i thought it was just gonna be

603
00:30:04,400 --> 00:30:06,720
me And Tokyo brand and doing the. Show AND i was, like,

604
00:30:06,759 --> 00:30:09,400
well total bases is a baseball, term and if it's

605
00:30:09,440 --> 00:30:11,759
if it's me And tokyo if it's My tokyo, brand

606
00:30:11,759 --> 00:30:14,720
and AN i for The english crowds that because The

607
00:30:14,759 --> 00:30:17,640
english grammar crowd was here On, Friday, Tokyo brandon AND

608
00:30:17,759 --> 00:30:21,119
i doing the, show we're probably gonna talk ABOUT NPB

609
00:30:21,519 --> 00:30:24,400
kbo and SO i was, like, oh total, basis we're

610
00:30:24,400 --> 00:30:27,160
gonna talk about. Everything but it was a funny comic because,

611
00:30:27,240 --> 00:30:29,519
yeah we don't talk props really at. All and that's

612
00:30:29,559 --> 00:30:31,319
really just BECAUSE i think all of us are more.

613
00:30:31,359 --> 00:30:33,920
Tradition we've all been doing this a long, Time LIKE

614
00:30:34,839 --> 00:30:38,880
i started, THIS i mean you and, Too, Tokyo brandon.

615
00:30:38,720 --> 00:30:40,559
Speaker 3: And brian have been at this much longer THAN i.

616
00:30:40,599 --> 00:30:44,640
Speaker 1: Have But I've i've really been been doing this professionally

617
00:30:45,920 --> 00:30:48,319
in some settings since like twenty, ten and it was

618
00:30:48,440 --> 00:30:51,119
props really weren't like a huge thing back then in

619
00:30:51,200 --> 00:30:54,519
terms of like the availability of, it SO i never

620
00:30:54,559 --> 00:30:56,160
really got into the prop.

621
00:30:56,200 --> 00:30:59,279
Speaker 3: Stuff, However i'm gonna give you one. Today. Now this

622
00:30:59,359 --> 00:31:00,319
is a total show in the.

623
00:31:00,400 --> 00:31:03,880
Speaker 1: Dark i've heard nothing about, this but if the pirates

624
00:31:03,880 --> 00:31:07,079
were to call Up candevany today and because it's It's,

625
00:31:07,160 --> 00:31:09,960
monday And brian just made a great point about it

626
00:31:10,079 --> 00:31:11,880
being like the time where they might be able to

627
00:31:11,880 --> 00:31:15,559
do it and not kill his rookie. Status let's just

628
00:31:15,599 --> 00:31:17,920
Say candevany gets called up today and he's starting at.

629
00:31:17,920 --> 00:31:21,640
Shortstop he has been raking left handed. Pitching he's been

630
00:31:21,720 --> 00:31:24,960
raking everything at the minor league. Level, again ops is

631
00:31:25,000 --> 00:31:27,480
like nine to. Ten he he'd have a v WHAT

632
00:31:27,559 --> 00:31:31,079
i would consider a very favorable matchup Against kintana because

633
00:31:31,079 --> 00:31:34,359
he's a right handed hitter against the. LEFTY i would

634
00:31:35,400 --> 00:31:38,079
scour for his, props which the books will have no

635
00:31:38,160 --> 00:31:41,160
idea how to, Price they'll have no, clue and play

636
00:31:41,160 --> 00:31:44,480
them all every which way over THE i, mean he

637
00:31:44,640 --> 00:31:46,880
just he was like three for four On. Saturday he's

638
00:31:46,920 --> 00:31:50,039
locked in right, now and you will probably get prices

639
00:31:50,079 --> 00:31:54,799
On candavany props that are like just totally books have no.

640
00:31:54,839 --> 00:31:57,440
Speaker 3: Clue so there is my best bet for The pirates.

641
00:31:57,480 --> 00:32:00,200
Speaker 1: Game if you See candevany in the lineup for any,

642
00:32:00,240 --> 00:32:02,599
reason better all the props.

643
00:32:02,599 --> 00:32:05,720
Speaker 2: Over, okay moving on one dot. Com it's not about this,

644
00:32:05,799 --> 00:32:09,519
game but something you talked. ABOUT i had this conversation

645
00:32:09,680 --> 00:32:13,319
yesterday with the people at the concert line With WHEN

646
00:32:13,359 --> 00:32:17,079
i was growing, up it was you AND. I now

647
00:32:17,400 --> 00:32:19,799
all the young kids say me and you or me

648
00:32:19,880 --> 00:32:23,079
And bob or, whatever it's correct to say you AND?

649
00:32:23,119 --> 00:32:25,079
I is that? Right from a nice?

650
00:32:25,200 --> 00:32:27,680
Speaker 3: YEAH i always. YES i always think it's.

651
00:32:28,319 --> 00:32:31,359
Speaker 1: Again it's been a, while uh SINCE i was Taking

652
00:32:31,400 --> 00:32:35,440
english and writing classes At, sianna BUT i think that is.

653
00:32:35,480 --> 00:32:38,480
Speaker 2: Correct if, anybody IF i enter the, comments if you,

654
00:32:38,960 --> 00:32:42,720
yeahs the grammar pro grammar police are, watching the grammar

655
00:32:42,799 --> 00:32:43,839
police are, watching so we.

656
00:32:43,960 --> 00:32:46,519
Speaker 3: Yeah if you want to let us, Know, uh let

657
00:32:46,599 --> 00:32:47,039
us know for?

658
00:32:47,079 --> 00:32:50,039
Speaker 1: Sure all, Right, uh let's move on city by the

659
00:32:50,039 --> 00:32:54,279
Basis phillies plus one and a half all. Day i'm

660
00:32:54,319 --> 00:32:56,960
not a Big Taiwan walker, Guy, brian BUT i. Was

661
00:32:57,480 --> 00:33:00,000
it was jarring to see The phillies as an underdog

662
00:33:00,599 --> 00:33:02,640
in this game WHEN i pulled the WHEN i pulled

663
00:33:02,640 --> 00:33:05,319
everything up this, morning BEFORE i knew the, NUMBER i

664
00:33:06,319 --> 00:33:08,640
was not expecting to see The phillies as like a

665
00:33:08,680 --> 00:33:10,920
plus one oh five plus one ten?

666
00:33:11,039 --> 00:33:13,799
Speaker 3: Dog did? That being?

667
00:33:13,839 --> 00:33:16,519
Speaker 1: Said are you trying to go Against Andrew abbit? Here

668
00:33:17,640 --> 00:33:19,319
or are you taking the are you taking the? Plus

669
00:33:19,440 --> 00:33:21,200
are you taking the? Rets how are you looking at this?

670
00:33:21,240 --> 00:33:24,480
Speaker 2: One? YEAH i thought the same. THING i Know walker

671
00:33:25,839 --> 00:33:29,519
by name has not been very, good but he's having

672
00:33:29,559 --> 00:33:33,920
a really good season for. Himself abbot going For Cincinnati

673
00:33:34,319 --> 00:33:36,880
abbit about a one twenty favorite one twenty, two maybe

674
00:33:37,519 --> 00:33:40,319
nine and a half on the. TOTAL i thought the

675
00:33:40,319 --> 00:33:43,000
same thing WHEN i started this AND i started looking into.

676
00:33:43,000 --> 00:33:45,640
It tom On walker comes in with a three point

677
00:33:45,640 --> 00:33:48,960
five three E ra expect a little higher four point

678
00:33:48,960 --> 00:33:52,519
two one whip one point. Three, uh he's, nothing does nothing.

679
00:33:52,599 --> 00:33:57,839
Outstanding his struggles with the whiff rate eighth, percentile struck

680
00:33:57,880 --> 00:34:03,240
out rate eighteenth, percentile fastball velosty ninth teenth. Percentile but

681
00:34:03,599 --> 00:34:06,079
he only throws his fourth semer ten percent of the.

682
00:34:06,079 --> 00:34:08,679
Time so that's WHAT i. Like if you don't have

683
00:34:08,719 --> 00:34:11,400
a great fourth, seamer you got to use it, sparingly

684
00:34:11,920 --> 00:34:15,079
and he. Does his extension is not very. Good he's

685
00:34:15,119 --> 00:34:19,440
six foot, Four he's in the thirteenth. Percentile he must

686
00:34:19,519 --> 00:34:24,159
land straight up as opposed to fully extending towards the.

687
00:34:24,199 --> 00:34:28,960
BATTER i would think The philadelphia would have wanted to

688
00:34:29,000 --> 00:34:31,599
try to teach that a little bit. Better BUT i

689
00:34:31,679 --> 00:34:35,159
think he could have a better success with. That BUT

690
00:34:35,519 --> 00:34:39,599
i was looking At, abbot and every Time i'm looking

691
00:34:39,599 --> 00:34:41,880
to buy On, abbot it's one of those games that

692
00:34:41,960 --> 00:34:45,119
he seems to pop up and struggle eight and two

693
00:34:45,159 --> 00:34:47,719
on the, season two point three four era a three

694
00:34:47,760 --> 00:34:50,039
point four to nine expected one point one to three.

695
00:34:50,039 --> 00:34:54,119
Whip his ground bow rate AND i mentioned this many

696
00:34:54,119 --> 00:34:57,639
Times bechally In, cincinnati great home run. Park it's only

697
00:34:57,679 --> 00:35:01,440
the seventh, percentile and yet he seems to avoid these home.

698
00:35:01,519 --> 00:35:05,599
Runs fastball velocity only in the twenty second, percentile and

699
00:35:05,639 --> 00:35:08,119
he throws the fastball forty seven percent of the. Time

700
00:35:08,599 --> 00:35:12,239
those two things would point to a guy you want to.

701
00:35:12,239 --> 00:35:17,880
Fade but he is hard hit rate against nine Averag

702
00:35:17,920 --> 00:35:22,199
jackson velocity eighty second. Percent he does something that keeps

703
00:35:22,440 --> 00:35:25,679
a lot of people off. Balance And i've, look there's

704
00:35:25,679 --> 00:35:28,320
a lot of guys that follow that really follow. Pitching,

705
00:35:29,039 --> 00:35:31,000
uh they're very, good and they try to break it

706
00:35:31,039 --> 00:35:33,000
down a little. Bit and somebody the Other dave was

707
00:35:33,039 --> 00:35:37,280
mentioning some things because he he if you follow, this

708
00:35:37,760 --> 00:35:41,000
he should not be having any success he. Has that,

709
00:35:41,119 --> 00:35:44,440
said he's a GUY i normally would try to play.

710
00:35:44,480 --> 00:35:48,159
Against BUT i went back and look this year he's

711
00:35:48,199 --> 00:35:51,480
only the most earned runs he's allowed in any game is.

712
00:35:51,559 --> 00:35:57,440
Four every time he has allowed four, runs he's come

713
00:35:57,480 --> 00:36:01,199
back the next, game either thrown a shout, out twice

714
00:36:01,760 --> 00:36:04,880
or gave up one run. Once so he's a guy

715
00:36:05,079 --> 00:36:08,119
that really puts it all together after a bad. Outing

716
00:36:08,920 --> 00:36:13,360
so that takes me off Of philadelphia. Here to, me

717
00:36:13,719 --> 00:36:17,440
he's clearly the results are clearly shown he's the better.

718
00:36:17,480 --> 00:36:21,920
Pitcher cincinnati's not as good As philadelphia. Is but is

719
00:36:21,960 --> 00:36:25,360
this a letdown For? Philadelphia they're just coming off a

720
00:36:25,360 --> 00:36:29,400
big series. Themselves i'm gonna sit back and watch this,

721
00:36:29,440 --> 00:36:30,599
one try to learn a little.

722
00:36:30,639 --> 00:36:34,280
Speaker 1: Bit, yeah there was a there was a lot of

723
00:36:34,320 --> 00:36:37,239
conflicting stuff for me in this game AS i started

724
00:36:37,280 --> 00:36:39,320
to really dig into. It So city by The, bay

725
00:36:39,400 --> 00:36:42,920
LIKE i, agree just at my first glance in this,

726
00:36:43,039 --> 00:36:45,519
GAME i was surprised That phillies were an.

727
00:36:45,599 --> 00:36:48,320
Speaker 3: Underdog but AS i sort of you, know And.

728
00:36:48,280 --> 00:36:51,320
Speaker 1: I've Even i've made it, known you, know that's actually

729
00:36:51,360 --> 00:36:54,440
Something i'll take the l on, That. BRIAN i Thought

730
00:36:54,480 --> 00:36:57,280
Tawan walker was going to be serving up batting practice

731
00:36:57,320 --> 00:37:00,679
this year in this, fit and he's actually not only

732
00:37:00,679 --> 00:37:02,679
has he hung around in The phillies, rotation he's actually

733
00:37:02,760 --> 00:37:06,039
been pretty. Solid like all things, considered he has not

734
00:37:06,159 --> 00:37:08,400
had a bad, season AND i was just sort of

735
00:37:08,400 --> 00:37:12,639
downright wrong on him to this. Point, now DO i

736
00:37:12,679 --> 00:37:15,119
think that means he doesn't get tagged a little bit going.

737
00:37:15,159 --> 00:37:17,880
Forward this is certainly a spot where it could. Happen

738
00:37:17,960 --> 00:37:20,360
you've talked about this sort of ad nauseum on the,

739
00:37:20,400 --> 00:37:23,079
show Like Great American ballpark being very.

740
00:37:22,960 --> 00:37:25,079
Speaker 3: Hitter, friendly long ball.

741
00:37:25,159 --> 00:37:28,519
Speaker 1: Friendly so it's, like you, know this is probably not

742
00:37:28,880 --> 00:37:32,119
the best sort of setup for him to have to

743
00:37:32,480 --> 00:37:35,880
continue the success that he's. Had the sub for E

744
00:37:36,079 --> 00:37:37,880
er like stuff like. THAT i could see him giving

745
00:37:37,920 --> 00:37:40,920
up a few, runs but you, know he's been pretty good.

746
00:37:41,760 --> 00:37:44,199
Now the things that sort of started to take me

747
00:37:44,239 --> 00:37:48,079
off The phillies was one bullpen got used up quite

748
00:37:48,119 --> 00:37:50,719
a bit this. Weekend they won all three games In,

749
00:37:50,760 --> 00:37:54,039
texas so probably not going to Have it's not that they.

750
00:37:53,960 --> 00:37:56,599
Speaker 3: Won't have their best bullpen, arms but the bullpen is pretty.

751
00:37:56,599 --> 00:37:57,639
Tight it's going to be tired.

752
00:37:57,760 --> 00:38:01,159
Speaker 1: Again and then again you go back to being in

753
00:38:01,199 --> 00:38:03,840
a in a park that is definitely hit or, friendly

754
00:38:04,199 --> 00:38:07,559
not super favorable for The. Phillies and then the other

755
00:38:07,559 --> 00:38:09,199
thing that sort of took me off The phillies is

756
00:38:09,239 --> 00:38:13,159
the fact that their lineup is not optimal against left handed,

757
00:38:13,159 --> 00:38:16,000
pitching and by all, accounts this is a very good

758
00:38:16,079 --> 00:38:18,599
left handed, Pitcher so, yeah did he did he not

759
00:38:18,760 --> 00:38:21,519
have maybe not have his best stuff last time out

760
00:38:21,559 --> 00:38:24,400
against The, cubs but he still went into the seventh

761
00:38:24,480 --> 00:38:27,119
inning only you, know, yeah he gave up four, runs

762
00:38:27,480 --> 00:38:29,840
gave up seven, hits but he he was an. Out

763
00:38:30,000 --> 00:38:33,239
he was like a pitch away from getting, out getting through.

764
00:38:33,320 --> 00:38:36,239
Seven so six and two, thirds in my, opinion that's

765
00:38:36,360 --> 00:38:38,880
just as that that's a very very you, know. Decent

766
00:38:38,880 --> 00:38:41,679
that's a very very good start against a solid. Opponent

767
00:38:42,519 --> 00:38:45,440
SO i don't really want The phillies Against abbit because

768
00:38:45,440 --> 00:38:48,079
this is the type of pitcher that that should be

769
00:38:48,119 --> 00:38:51,519
able to give this lineup some. Trouble so AGAIN I

770
00:38:51,519 --> 00:38:54,599
I i kind of don't really know what to do

771
00:38:54,639 --> 00:38:56,440
with this one BECAUSE i don't really know how to

772
00:38:56,440 --> 00:38:58,320
make a case for the. Total you have an inflated,

773
00:38:58,400 --> 00:39:02,000
number BUT i actually could see some runs because it's

774
00:39:02,039 --> 00:39:04,559
still The phillies and so if they don't come from

775
00:39:04,599 --> 00:39:07,559
The reds Bombing walker or getting to The phillies, bullpen,

776
00:39:08,159 --> 00:39:10,639
like Is abbott just gonna totally wipe The phillies.

777
00:39:10,679 --> 00:39:12,800
Speaker 3: Out probably, not but it's a big.

778
00:39:12,880 --> 00:39:15,840
Speaker 1: Number SO i don't have much to offer there other

779
00:39:15,920 --> 00:39:16,960
than just like a.

780
00:39:17,000 --> 00:39:19,599
Speaker 2: Breakdown, YEAH i want to touch on a couple of

781
00:39:19,639 --> 00:39:24,440
things you mentioned the lefty righty's For. Philadelphia the lefty

782
00:39:24,480 --> 00:39:28,639
hitters which who will not likely play today Are Brandon,

783
00:39:28,719 --> 00:39:33,480
Marsh Max, Kupler bryce And. Stott the three guys who

784
00:39:33,519 --> 00:39:37,320
will likely take their Place Otto, Kemp Weston wilson And Harrison.

785
00:39:37,360 --> 00:39:41,440
Vader so the guys coming in are not, great but

786
00:39:41,519 --> 00:39:44,039
the guys that are replacing are not the greatest, either

787
00:39:44,639 --> 00:39:48,320
Especially stott who's having a down. Season he's A vegas.

788
00:39:48,360 --> 00:39:51,239
KID i root for, him but he's not having that

789
00:39:51,280 --> 00:39:52,760
great of a. Season and these are all guys that

790
00:39:52,800 --> 00:39:54,800
are in the bottom of the bat and. Order as

791
00:39:54,920 --> 00:39:58,159
for the, bullpen they are in major problems in the.

792
00:39:58,159 --> 00:40:03,440
Bullpen Duran is pitched back to back. Games kirker and

793
00:40:03,519 --> 00:40:06,800
has pitched two out of, Three Matt strom has pitched three.

794
00:40:06,880 --> 00:40:10,880
Straight Tanner banks has pitched the last two. Days Brought

795
00:40:11,000 --> 00:40:14,079
David robertson back up to the. Managers he'd been In TRIPLE.

796
00:40:14,159 --> 00:40:17,199
A they were let, him letting him after they signed.

797
00:40:17,280 --> 00:40:19,039
Him they were giving him some innings in the. Minors

798
00:40:19,559 --> 00:40:22,199
but he is back and he hasn't pitched in the major.

799
00:40:22,280 --> 00:40:25,800
Yet and the other, guys you, Know Jordan, Romano Matt,

800
00:40:25,880 --> 00:40:30,559
Laser Max, lazer And Joe ross will be, available and

801
00:40:30,599 --> 00:40:32,639
those are probably the guys you were going to see

802
00:40:32,719 --> 00:40:34,440
in the back end of this bullpen in this. One

803
00:40:34,519 --> 00:40:38,639
so if you do Like, philadelphia maybe the first five

804
00:40:38,719 --> 00:40:39,679
would be the better way to.

805
00:40:39,719 --> 00:40:44,440
Speaker 1: Go all, Right i'm scanning the. Chat they're saying the,

806
00:40:44,559 --> 00:40:48,320
date the call up date Is august. Fourteen but still

807
00:40:48,400 --> 00:40:52,079
if you were to see him in there, Anyway i'm

808
00:40:52,079 --> 00:40:53,360
not gonna Get i'm not gonna go get.

809
00:40:53,239 --> 00:40:54,079
Speaker 3: Back down that rabbit.

810
00:40:54,119 --> 00:40:55,639
Speaker 1: Hole BUT i did see a couple of, people and

811
00:40:55,920 --> 00:40:58,599
the chat is very very confident that it's you AND.

812
00:40:58,679 --> 00:41:00,519
Speaker 3: I the chat is very.

813
00:41:00,519 --> 00:41:03,480
Speaker 4: Common we have an intelligent chat compared to some very

814
00:41:03,519 --> 00:41:06,639
comment that it's you AND. I and that's WHAT i

815
00:41:06,679 --> 00:41:10,039
thought as. Well So i'm glad we Cleared glad we

816
00:41:10,119 --> 00:41:13,480
cleared that. Up all, right this one's popping off in the.

817
00:41:13,559 --> 00:41:16,239
Chat Will will says he loves The.

818
00:41:16,159 --> 00:41:18,480
Speaker 1: Red sox here AND i see a lot of people

819
00:41:18,559 --> 00:41:20,639
bringing this game, up SO i, figured and this is

820
00:41:20,679 --> 00:41:22,599
also kind of a big, game so let's let's make

821
00:41:22,639 --> 00:41:26,639
sure we hit this. One the these two teams just

822
00:41:26,639 --> 00:41:29,760
played In fenway like a week ago or a couple

823
00:41:29,880 --> 00:41:32,719
maybe maybe ten days, ago and it was a total.

824
00:41:32,719 --> 00:41:36,280
Wipeout Red sox just slapped The astros around in that.

825
00:41:36,360 --> 00:41:38,480
SERIES i believe it was one of the first, Series

826
00:41:38,559 --> 00:41:41,800
brian where The astros had their their sort of new

827
00:41:41,880 --> 00:41:44,719
complement of. PLAYERS i believe it was the series right

828
00:41:44,760 --> 00:41:47,199
after the trade deadline when they were sort of getting

829
00:41:47,239 --> 00:41:50,239
guys into the, lineup and they played. Terrible they played

830
00:41:50,239 --> 00:41:53,320
absolutely terrible that whole. WEEKEND i got caught with my

831
00:41:53,719 --> 00:41:55,920
hand in the cookie jar trying to play The astros

832
00:41:55,960 --> 00:42:01,800
once that weekend and it was a blowout. Loss then since,

833
00:42:01,840 --> 00:42:04,840
then the, uh they've looked a little bit, BETTER i.

834
00:42:04,880 --> 00:42:06,400
Want i'm not gonna go as far as to say

835
00:42:06,400 --> 00:42:10,480
they've they've like they are convincing me that they're like

836
00:42:10,559 --> 00:42:13,679
significantly better than they were pre, deadline but let's give

837
00:42:13,679 --> 00:42:15,960
them The we'll give credit where credits. Due they took

838
00:42:16,000 --> 00:42:17,639
two of three from The, marlins and that was A

839
00:42:18,079 --> 00:42:20,719
marlins team that was hotter than the sun going into that.

840
00:42:20,840 --> 00:42:22,880
Series and then they took two of three in the

841
00:42:22,960 --> 00:42:25,159
from The, yankees and both of those were on the,

842
00:42:25,239 --> 00:42:28,480
Road so credit to The astros four and two to

843
00:42:28,519 --> 00:42:30,920
close out that road TRIP a very long road, trip

844
00:42:30,960 --> 00:42:35,639
because that road trip started started At Fenway, park so

845
00:42:35,679 --> 00:42:39,679
that Was fenway To miami To yankees and now they're

846
00:42:39,719 --> 00:42:43,679
heading back, home no off, day big game against The Red,

847
00:42:43,719 --> 00:42:46,480
sox and they and they get welcomed By Garrett. Crochet

848
00:42:47,039 --> 00:42:52,480
so As i'm Sorry, Astros Red Sox. Crochet Christian, hobvier

849
00:42:52,519 --> 00:42:55,039
WHO'S i? Believe DID i see him rehabbing HIS i

850
00:42:55,039 --> 00:42:57,199
think he was coming up coming back from injury BECAUSE

851
00:42:57,199 --> 00:42:59,760
i feel LIKE i watched him pitching TRIPLE a a couple.

852
00:42:59,800 --> 00:43:02,800
Speaker 3: Times how are you seeing this? One while you, Talk.

853
00:43:02,719 --> 00:43:04,639
Speaker 1: I'm going to sort of pull his TRIPLE a numbers

854
00:43:04,639 --> 00:43:07,119
BECAUSE i KNOW i watched at least one of those.

855
00:43:07,119 --> 00:43:08,079
Speaker 3: Starts Red Sox.

856
00:43:08,119 --> 00:43:13,920
Speaker 2: Astros, Yeah crossehet left is about a one seventy favorite

857
00:43:13,960 --> 00:43:16,880
here on the road To. Houston navier al righty seven

858
00:43:16,880 --> 00:43:23,440
and a half to the under. Fifteen to, Me crouchet's been,

859
00:43:23,760 --> 00:43:27,199
fantastic no doubt about. IT i can't say a bad

860
00:43:27,239 --> 00:43:31,639
thing about him other than this is awful high line

861
00:43:32,639 --> 00:43:36,679
when you consider The Houston astros are this big of

862
00:43:36,719 --> 00:43:40,960
a home underdog With Christian, aavier which is a good.

863
00:43:41,000 --> 00:43:43,360
Picture but as you, mentioned he's missed a lot of.

864
00:43:43,400 --> 00:43:45,760
TIME i don't know how long he's going to go.

865
00:43:45,840 --> 00:43:48,679
HERE i have not had a chance, To LIKE i,

866
00:43:48,719 --> 00:43:51,000
said all these Games Red, night SO i haven't had

867
00:43:51,039 --> 00:43:52,719
a chance to see if he's on a pitch limit

868
00:43:53,119 --> 00:43:55,440
or what's going on with. Him he's a guy that's

869
00:43:55,440 --> 00:43:59,159
always slid under the radar For. Houston but he's a

870
00:43:59,239 --> 00:44:03,199
very good. Picture he's been. Terrific in, fact let me

871
00:44:03,239 --> 00:44:08,119
see what his what his career numbers. Are when you

872
00:44:08,199 --> 00:44:13,719
take a look At javier been in the league for

873
00:44:13,840 --> 00:44:16,159
five seasons, Now he's got a thirty three and eighteen,

874
00:44:16,199 --> 00:44:19,039
record three point five to ninety or a career at

875
00:44:19,079 --> 00:44:22,480
one point one four. Whip that's that's a pretty good

876
00:44:22,519 --> 00:44:26,719
pitcher to be getting this big number on if he

877
00:44:26,880 --> 00:44:28,840
was to, Go IF i IF i knew he would

878
00:44:28,840 --> 00:44:32,079
go eighty, PITCHES i would think there might be some

879
00:44:32,199 --> 00:44:35,239
value here On. Houston at this, POINT i don't know

880
00:44:36,400 --> 00:44:38,719
the closer is going to be available To. Night king

881
00:44:39,320 --> 00:44:41,280
pitched the last two. Nights he's a key in that,

882
00:44:41,320 --> 00:44:43,800
Bullpen but The astros have a very good bullpen and

883
00:44:43,800 --> 00:44:45,360
for the most, part all but one guy should be.

884
00:44:45,400 --> 00:44:51,599
Available it's a value play for me On. Houston but

885
00:44:51,679 --> 00:44:54,360
he takes some, balls stand in front Of crochet and

886
00:44:54,400 --> 00:44:56,039
with a total of seven and a. Half they're telling

887
00:44:56,039 --> 00:44:58,760
me right now that they Expect houston to probably score

888
00:44:58,800 --> 00:45:02,400
three runs in this. Game and if they do score

889
00:45:02,440 --> 00:45:04,119
three runs in this, game is that good to be

890
00:45:04,280 --> 00:45:08,440
enough to shut Down. Boston if it, is then that's.

891
00:45:08,480 --> 00:45:10,679
Fine but the under may be a different way to

892
00:45:10,679 --> 00:45:16,119
play this. One pretty, good pretty level hitting situation In

893
00:45:16,159 --> 00:45:19,760
houston if you can pull the, Ball crawford boxes or

894
00:45:20,400 --> 00:45:23,800
big for home. Runs but overall it's like a neutral.

895
00:45:23,840 --> 00:45:27,880
Field so, Yeah i'm gonna take a look at it

896
00:45:27,880 --> 00:45:30,119
a little bit more IF I IF i Know javier

897
00:45:30,239 --> 00:45:33,039
is gonna play eighty pitches with pretty much everybody in

898
00:45:33,079 --> 00:45:36,159
the bullpen, AVAILABLE i may end up With houston some

899
00:45:36,239 --> 00:45:38,960
way in this, game BUT i wouldn't fold anybody for

900
00:45:39,039 --> 00:45:44,159
wanting to Back. Crochet maybe Playing crochet runs under or

901
00:45:44,199 --> 00:45:47,559
something like that if you like that. Side But i'm

902
00:45:47,599 --> 00:45:49,880
not gonna lay one seventy five on the road here

903
00:45:50,320 --> 00:45:51,039
against The Houston.

904
00:45:51,079 --> 00:45:55,159
Speaker 3: ASTROS i just needed to jog my memory for a.

905
00:45:55,199 --> 00:45:57,960
Speaker 1: Second SO i DID i actually bet on Sugar land

906
00:45:58,440 --> 00:46:02,679
In hobber's first rehab, Start the reason BEING I i

907
00:46:02,800 --> 00:46:04,880
knew the, books didn't know he was going to pitch that,

908
00:46:05,000 --> 00:46:07,599
Day AND i also knew that The astros Or i'm,

909
00:46:07,599 --> 00:46:11,559
Sorry sugarland was gonna piggyback the regular starter WHO i

910
00:46:11,679 --> 00:46:14,199
liked behind. Him and so Now i've NOW i remember

911
00:46:14,199 --> 00:46:16,880
WHAT i saw in that, game and and my takeaway

912
00:46:17,440 --> 00:46:20,000
well from that, game AND i caught a piece of

913
00:46:20,039 --> 00:46:23,320
one of his other starts didn't didn't have the, command

914
00:46:23,360 --> 00:46:25,960
and really any of Those TRIPLE a rehab, Starts now

915
00:46:26,079 --> 00:46:28,239
that's not the end of the, world like like that's

916
00:46:28,320 --> 00:46:30,519
not the end all be. All it doesn't mean he's

917
00:46:30,519 --> 00:46:33,000
gonna come out and get shelled. Tonight but that was

918
00:46:33,840 --> 00:46:39,000
my takeaway from that was ten nine and two thirds

919
00:46:39,199 --> 00:46:44,599
innings over Three TRIPLE a rehab, starts ten, strikeouts which

920
00:46:44,639 --> 00:46:48,000
we like to, see but ten, walks so he really

921
00:46:48,079 --> 00:46:50,800
was like kind of all over the, place had some

922
00:46:50,920 --> 00:46:53,880
batters where you, know his dominant stuff really sort of

923
00:46:54,199 --> 00:46:57,360
shoone through and he got some, strikeouts and then he

924
00:46:57,440 --> 00:47:00,760
also sort of offset it with not being able to

925
00:47:01,000 --> 00:47:03,199
find the zone at time and walk some Batter SO

926
00:47:04,039 --> 00:47:06,800
i don't have like a huge SOMETIMES i have pretty

927
00:47:06,800 --> 00:47:10,280
big takeaways from the. REHAB i don't really know what

928
00:47:10,360 --> 00:47:11,960
to pull from, that BECAUSE i don't think it means

929
00:47:11,960 --> 00:47:14,719
he's just gonna come out and walk six. Guys but

930
00:47:14,760 --> 00:47:18,559
at the same, time it's a little concerning that he

931
00:47:18,559 --> 00:47:21,639
he didn't really have one like sparkling sort of.

932
00:47:21,800 --> 00:47:23,079
Speaker 3: Outing that's.

933
00:47:23,159 --> 00:47:26,440
Speaker 1: Concerning now if you want to talk about pitch count

934
00:47:26,599 --> 00:47:28,440
and how DEEP i think he's going to go into this,

935
00:47:28,519 --> 00:47:31,880
game let's see he. THREW i just want to double.

936
00:47:32,000 --> 00:47:35,920
Check so we got most recent start for him at

937
00:47:35,920 --> 00:47:39,239
Sugar lands seventy seven, pitches SO i think that's typically

938
00:47:39,320 --> 00:47:42,199
a good if they let him go seventy seven pitches

939
00:47:42,320 --> 00:47:45,199
in a rehab, OUTING i think you can say seventy

940
00:47:45,239 --> 00:47:49,400
five to eighty is a realistic target for him in this.

941
00:47:49,480 --> 00:47:53,400
Game SO i think it's gonna be his game until

942
00:47:53,400 --> 00:47:55,280
he gives him a reason to take him. OUT i

943
00:47:55,360 --> 00:47:57,920
think if he hits the eighty pitch, mark they'll probably

944
00:47:57,960 --> 00:47:59,519
look to go to the. Bullpen so just if you're

945
00:47:59,519 --> 00:48:01,880
trying to acap this, game that's WHAT i think you

946
00:48:01,880 --> 00:48:06,599
can expect From. Hobbyers seventy five to eighty. Pitches for, Me,

947
00:48:06,719 --> 00:48:10,480
Brian i'm kind of, LIKE i think IF i had

948
00:48:10,480 --> 00:48:13,239
more faith In, hobbyer That i'd be looking at An

949
00:48:13,239 --> 00:48:15,519
astros plus one and a half. HERE i just don't

950
00:48:15,559 --> 00:48:19,320
know IF i, do because it is an number that

951
00:48:19,400 --> 00:48:22,400
is quite. Inflated so for, me more than likely going

952
00:48:22,480 --> 00:48:24,840
to sit this one out and maybe we'll get a

953
00:48:24,880 --> 00:48:27,280
spot to play The astros at a big price later

954
00:48:27,320 --> 00:48:30,039
in this. Series but, UNFORTUNATELY i think the big price

955
00:48:30,400 --> 00:48:33,800
is being dictated By crochet on the, mounder so we may.

956
00:48:33,880 --> 00:48:37,000
Not BUT i THINK i still have to Lean astros

957
00:48:37,039 --> 00:48:38,920
plus one and a half IF i absolutely had to get.

958
00:48:38,960 --> 00:48:41,800
Involved but that's the beauty of. It we don't have

959
00:48:41,880 --> 00:48:44,800
to do. Anything that's our. Edge that's our edge as the.

960
00:48:44,800 --> 00:48:46,880
Betters we don't have to bet any of these games

961
00:48:46,880 --> 00:48:49,400
if we don't want, to So i'll probably pass.

962
00:48:49,199 --> 00:48:49,679
Speaker 3: Here.

963
00:48:52,039 --> 00:48:52,159
Speaker 2: All.

964
00:48:52,239 --> 00:48:54,119
Speaker 1: Right we still have ten minutes of show, left and

965
00:48:54,360 --> 00:48:57,000
it's going to be a two teamer, today so we

966
00:48:57,719 --> 00:49:00,000
will have a better chance of hitting the bar license

967
00:49:00,119 --> 00:49:00,519
it's a two.

968
00:49:00,599 --> 00:49:02,119
Speaker 3: Teamer would love to hit one of.

969
00:49:02,159 --> 00:49:04,960
Speaker 1: These Brian, leonard do You i'm gonna throw it over

970
00:49:05,000 --> 00:49:07,480
to you before we go back to the. Chat do

971
00:49:07,519 --> 00:49:09,039
you have a game in mind that you want to?

972
00:49:09,039 --> 00:49:11,159
Target did we talk about something that might be your

973
00:49:11,159 --> 00:49:13,199
parlay leg? Yet Because i'm kind of in the same

974
00:49:13,239 --> 00:49:15,119
boat WHERE i don't know IF i want to use

975
00:49:15,119 --> 00:49:17,119
something we talked about or something that might still come.

976
00:49:17,159 --> 00:49:19,079
Up So i'm going to kind of defer to you.

977
00:49:19,119 --> 00:49:21,559
Here if you want to bring up a, game go, ahead.

978
00:49:22,480 --> 00:49:27,079
Speaker 2: We can take a look At let's take a look

979
00:49:27,079 --> 00:49:28,320
At washington Against Kansas.

980
00:49:28,360 --> 00:49:31,400
Speaker 1: City, okay all, right, yeah the, chat the chat has

981
00:49:31,400 --> 00:49:32,480
brought that one, up so that's.

982
00:49:32,480 --> 00:49:33,719
Speaker 3: Ok that's. Good let's go to that.

983
00:49:33,840 --> 00:49:40,440
Speaker 2: Game we've Got savali making his second start since coming

984
00:49:40,480 --> 00:49:43,679
back from. Injuries first, start he had some success on.

985
00:49:43,880 --> 00:49:44,280
Speaker 3: A lot of.

986
00:49:44,280 --> 00:49:46,679
Speaker 2: Whips he didn't he didn't throw a lot of, pitches

987
00:49:46,679 --> 00:49:50,920
but he had like nineteen, whips which is. Great Bailey

988
00:49:50,960 --> 00:49:54,159
falter going For Kansas. City he's a. Lefty Kansas city

989
00:49:54,280 --> 00:49:57,320
is about a one fifty favorite here and a total

990
00:49:57,360 --> 00:50:00,159
of eight and a half to the, over nine to the.

991
00:50:00,280 --> 00:50:07,280
Under savali's the guy who is really a Guy i've

992
00:50:07,320 --> 00:50:11,639
been waiting. For he's only had you, know one start,

993
00:50:11,719 --> 00:50:13,719
now and he had one start in twenty twenty two

994
00:50:13,760 --> 00:50:15,719
and he got hurt in that. One so it's been

995
00:50:15,760 --> 00:50:19,440
a long. Road As Tom putty would, say it's been a,

996
00:50:19,440 --> 00:50:23,199
long long road for a Kid, sivali BUT i like.

997
00:50:23,280 --> 00:50:26,119
Him he was highly rated in the. Past he's twenty

998
00:50:26,159 --> 00:50:29,800
six years old now and it's been a shame that

999
00:50:29,840 --> 00:50:31,480
it's been this long since he's been able to get

1000
00:50:31,480 --> 00:50:34,360
into the rotation because of. Injuries BUT i like. Him

1001
00:50:35,239 --> 00:50:38,760
ZERO era EXPECTED dra zero point nine four expect to

1002
00:50:38,760 --> 00:50:42,239
win zero point nine. Two he was everything he's advertised

1003
00:50:42,239 --> 00:50:46,760
in that first matchup is he throws six, pitches although

1004
00:50:46,760 --> 00:50:48,960
the cutter and the slider are less than ten, percent

1005
00:50:49,360 --> 00:50:52,920
but his foresaimers at ninety seven point three league average

1006
00:50:52,960 --> 00:50:54,599
for a right he is ninety four point nine and

1007
00:50:54,639 --> 00:50:56,719
he does throw that thirty one percent of the, time

1008
00:50:57,199 --> 00:51:00,199
slightly higher than the curve which is thirty. Percent then

1009
00:51:00,239 --> 00:51:02,400
he throws a sinker in a. Change so he's got

1010
00:51:02,519 --> 00:51:05,840
the pitches he could throw. Here and obviously nobody has

1011
00:51:05,880 --> 00:51:10,159
seen him for a while from the opposition And Bailey

1012
00:51:10,199 --> 00:51:15,840
falter obviously being playing for the teams he's played in

1013
00:51:15,880 --> 00:51:18,239
The National, league but he's in The America league. Now

1014
00:51:18,760 --> 00:51:21,519
his extension is in the ninety six. Percentile other than,

1015
00:51:21,519 --> 00:51:25,199
that it's all blue on a. Stack cast page comes

1016
00:51:25,199 --> 00:51:27,840
in with a four point one FOUR era four point

1017
00:51:27,840 --> 00:51:31,679
eight two expected era whip one point two to, three

1018
00:51:31,719 --> 00:51:36,119
which isn't. Bad but if his numbers aren't, bad but

1019
00:51:36,880 --> 00:51:40,679
his stat cast page is. Terrible fifth, percentage fourth percentile

1020
00:51:40,760 --> 00:51:45,719
strekeout or a fifth percentile expected D ra, eighteenth inspected batting, average,

1021
00:51:45,800 --> 00:51:53,159
twentieth fastball velocity's. Seventeenth his fastball velocity is about one

1022
00:51:53,199 --> 00:51:55,440
mile an hour lower than the league, average and yet

1023
00:51:55,559 --> 00:51:57,840
he throws a For sam forty four percent of the.

1024
00:51:57,880 --> 00:52:02,519
Time that's not, good and that's Some that's the one

1025
00:52:02,599 --> 00:52:06,400
reason Why i'm wanting to fade him. HERE I i'm

1026
00:52:06,480 --> 00:52:08,840
not a, fan, OBVIOUSLY i don't think anybody is with

1027
00:52:08,920 --> 00:52:11,800
This washington. Bullpen so let's take a look at what

1028
00:52:11,800 --> 00:52:13,880
we can get For washington in the first half. Here

1029
00:52:14,480 --> 00:52:19,280
you can Get washington basically either plus one, yeah plus one,

1030
00:52:19,400 --> 00:52:21,480
hundred so you can get. Him you can get him

1031
00:52:21,519 --> 00:52:23,400
at plus one. Hundred there's a couple of one of

1032
00:52:23,480 --> 00:52:26,559
five's out. There but we'll go plus one hundred On

1033
00:52:26,639 --> 00:52:30,360
savale Against falter in the first, five and the total

1034
00:52:30,400 --> 00:52:32,159
of that is four and a half to the Over

1035
00:52:33,840 --> 00:52:40,159
washington with With savali first five plus one hundred will

1036
00:52:40,159 --> 00:52:40,800
be my parlat.

1037
00:52:40,840 --> 00:52:46,239
Speaker 1: Piece that's verse five money line even money is your

1038
00:52:46,280 --> 00:52:49,119
parlay Leg just to clarify for, Everyone i'll read it

1039
00:52:49,119 --> 00:52:52,039
at the end of the show as. Well, YEAH i

1040
00:52:52,840 --> 00:52:56,760
can't argue with. THAT i was you, KNOW i kind

1041
00:52:56,760 --> 00:52:59,159
of Had natch jotted down this is this is a

1042
00:52:59,199 --> 00:53:02,840
spot where if the if The royals were really really,

1043
00:53:02,880 --> 00:53:05,400
INFLATED i WOULD i would try to get like A

1044
00:53:05,480 --> 00:53:07,440
naps plus one and a, half as you guys, know

1045
00:53:07,519 --> 00:53:10,519
that's my, Style but not even a CHANCE i could

1046
00:53:10,559 --> 00:53:13,079
do it at the, price nor will it come into

1047
00:53:13,159 --> 00:53:18,119
price range where it is at right. Now and it's

1048
00:53:18,159 --> 00:53:20,199
not to say THAT i wouldn't like take a flyer

1049
00:53:20,239 --> 00:53:23,400
on The nats here at plus one thirty for the.

1050
00:53:23,480 --> 00:53:26,000
GAME i, MEAN i mean that's probably you, know from

1051
00:53:26,000 --> 00:53:27,920
a value, STANDPOINT i think it's a reasonable.

1052
00:53:27,920 --> 00:53:30,719
Speaker 3: Play but again it's just you, know kind of WHAT

1053
00:53:30,800 --> 00:53:31,079
i look.

1054
00:53:31,159 --> 00:53:35,360
Speaker 1: For that being, said, reason the REASON i look toward

1055
00:53:35,360 --> 00:53:39,320
The nats Is Kai kabali looked really good last time.

1056
00:53:39,360 --> 00:53:41,519
Out and this is a guy that you know was

1057
00:53:41,519 --> 00:53:43,880
a was A i believe he was a first. ROUNDER

1058
00:53:44,000 --> 00:53:45,960
i think he was a first rounder back in twenty,

1059
00:53:46,000 --> 00:53:51,519
twenty lost nearly two years to, injury and you know

1060
00:53:51,639 --> 00:53:56,719
HE i, mean he's got the big fastball like, that you,

1061
00:53:56,719 --> 00:53:59,119
know if it let's let's just say he didn't lose

1062
00:53:59,119 --> 00:54:02,199
all that time to end, Right like he's the type

1063
00:54:02,239 --> 00:54:05,360
of guy that would have been hyped, up, Right, like

1064
00:54:05,440 --> 00:54:09,920
let's say he doesn't lose the time and get. Hurt

1065
00:54:10,320 --> 00:54:12,559
he's the type of guy that like comes up with

1066
00:54:12,679 --> 00:54:15,239
some hype because he was A he was the twenty

1067
00:54:15,679 --> 00:54:18,880
second overall pick in The Major League Baseball draft the

1068
00:54:18,960 --> 00:54:21,480
year after The nationals won The World, series so back

1069
00:54:21,519 --> 00:54:25,920
in twenty. Twenty but he ends up missing the majority

1070
00:54:25,920 --> 00:54:28,360
of all of twenty twenty, three the majority of twenty twenty,

1071
00:54:28,440 --> 00:54:30,880
four and so people forget about. Him and now he

1072
00:54:31,079 --> 00:54:34,440
he sort of makes HIS mlb. DEBUT i want to

1073
00:54:34,440 --> 00:54:36,760
make Sure i'm sorry his his Major League baseball debut

1074
00:54:36,800 --> 00:54:38,760
is back in twenty twenty. Two but he makes his

1075
00:54:38,840 --> 00:54:42,559
return to THE mlb last week and it's it's relatively

1076
00:54:42,760 --> 00:54:46,320
goes relatively. Unnoticed that's as good As i've seen him.

1077
00:54:46,360 --> 00:54:48,920
Pitch And i've got to see this guy probably three

1078
00:54:49,000 --> 00:54:51,440
or four times in, person because he's been he's been

1079
00:54:51,440 --> 00:54:55,840
In rochester for a while, now AND i actually saw him.

1080
00:54:55,880 --> 00:54:57,440
Speaker 3: Pitch For, GOD i think he.

1081
00:54:57,480 --> 00:54:59,480
Speaker 1: CAN'T i THINK i saw him pitch Against syracuse earlier

1082
00:54:59,519 --> 00:55:02,599
this year actually out. Here but the point, is he

1083
00:55:02,719 --> 00:55:06,880
comes up six, strikeouts one. WALK i think he got

1084
00:55:06,920 --> 00:55:08,840
into the fifth. Inning so it's not gonna jump off

1085
00:55:08,880 --> 00:55:11,039
the page from like if you, look if this is

1086
00:55:11,079 --> 00:55:13,039
where we go back, to if you don't watch the,

1087
00:55:13,079 --> 00:55:15,840
games you're just looking at the box, scores not gonna

1088
00:55:16,000 --> 00:55:19,440
not gonna jump off the. Page but that was that

1089
00:55:19,599 --> 00:55:22,639
was a very impressive four and a third in my.

1090
00:55:22,760 --> 00:55:27,840
Opinion he was throwing hard The a's, hitters which WAS i,

1091
00:55:27,840 --> 00:55:31,119
mean The a's have been kind of crushing the, ball

1092
00:55:31,360 --> 00:55:34,079
especially right hand and pitching felt like they had no

1093
00:55:34,199 --> 00:55:38,000
chance against. Him so that was that right there was you,

1094
00:55:38,000 --> 00:55:41,639
know just enough to make me think, like, okay like you,

1095
00:55:41,639 --> 00:55:44,719
know this is a guy that could actually put it

1096
00:55:44,760 --> 00:55:49,000
together at the big league, level because you, know he's

1097
00:55:49,000 --> 00:55:50,679
been at the in the miners for a. WHILE i

1098
00:55:50,679 --> 00:55:53,039
think you can't you can't take what you saw at

1099
00:55:53,039 --> 00:55:55,800
the miners ors minor league numbers at face value because

1100
00:55:55,840 --> 00:55:57,760
a lot of it was just rehab building the arm.

1101
00:55:57,840 --> 00:56:00,880
Speaker 3: Backup so, again just based on.

1102
00:56:00,960 --> 00:56:03,599
Speaker 1: That, NOW i don't love The nats against left handed pitching,

1103
00:56:03,840 --> 00:56:06,679
typically but they have it's not like earlier in the

1104
00:56:06,719 --> 00:56:09,719
year where they're trotting out nine. Lefties it's a more

1105
00:56:09,760 --> 00:56:12,239
balanced lineup than it was earlier in the. Year so

1106
00:56:12,360 --> 00:56:14,039
for all those, Reasons, BRIAN i THINK i got to

1107
00:56:14,079 --> 00:56:16,039
agree with you. HERE i see some full game value

1108
00:56:16,119 --> 00:56:19,599
On nats as. Well SO i will co sign your

1109
00:56:19,679 --> 00:56:22,480
parlay leg with A, listen if you're going to bet this,

1110
00:56:22,559 --> 00:56:24,840
GAME i think you take a flyer on The. Nationals

1111
00:56:24,840 --> 00:56:28,480
take the plus one THIRTY i crushing loss for The royals,

1112
00:56:28,519 --> 00:56:30,480
yesterday by the, way they're gonna have to get off

1113
00:56:30,480 --> 00:56:32,800
the mat from, that and that's not easy to do

1114
00:56:32,840 --> 00:56:35,599
when you're sort of a middling team like The.

1115
00:56:35,679 --> 00:56:36,920
Speaker 3: Royals go, Ahead, BRIAN.

1116
00:56:37,000 --> 00:56:40,599
Speaker 2: I want to talk about something somebody in the, Chat

1117
00:56:40,599 --> 00:56:43,639
Mike walker, says talk about the picks you all have for.

1118
00:56:43,719 --> 00:56:47,239
Today first of, ALL i don't know what my picks are.

1119
00:56:47,320 --> 00:56:50,239
YET i don't put them out until a little bit.

1120
00:56:50,320 --> 00:56:52,840
Later i'm still working on. It LIKE i, said these

1121
00:56:52,880 --> 00:56:55,280
are all in a night. Card i'd rather win to

1122
00:56:55,400 --> 00:56:58,320
get them up earlier and the company make a little

1123
00:56:58,320 --> 00:56:59,920
bit more. Money we make a little bit more. Money

1124
00:57:00,039 --> 00:57:02,480
i'm out there trying to. Win H so they are

1125
00:57:02,599 --> 00:57:04,800
going to probably go up. LATER i want to check

1126
00:57:04,960 --> 00:57:06,679
a little bit of lineups and WHO i think is

1127
00:57:06,719 --> 00:57:09,199
going to. Play, also if we were to give you

1128
00:57:09,199 --> 00:57:11,760
out the pits then we have we wouldn't make any.

1129
00:57:11,760 --> 00:57:14,159
Money why'd you? TALK i wouldn't make any money and

1130
00:57:14,239 --> 00:57:16,880
the show wouldn't. Exist SO i know what you're. Saying

1131
00:57:17,400 --> 00:57:20,239
but you want our best. Plays but the company we

1132
00:57:20,320 --> 00:57:22,519
work for does tell, plays and that's why we're doing this.

1133
00:57:22,559 --> 00:57:25,599
Show and, yeah they would fire me in no time

1134
00:57:25,639 --> 00:57:28,679
IF i give out my plays on this show all the.

1135
00:57:28,719 --> 00:57:32,960
Speaker 1: Time Kristin, Hess, yeah we appreciate that everyone hit the like.

1136
00:57:33,000 --> 00:57:34,920
Button it does, help and, yeah that's that's REALLY i,

1137
00:57:35,119 --> 00:57:37,000
listen we do this show five days and. Week we're

1138
00:57:37,039 --> 00:57:41,719
giving you an hour of it's it's probably more geared

1139
00:57:41,840 --> 00:57:43,679
to people that are handicapping.

1140
00:57:43,719 --> 00:57:45,719
Speaker 3: Themselves like that's that's really WHAT i.

1141
00:57:45,719 --> 00:57:48,280
Speaker 1: Think our goal when we did this set out with

1142
00:57:48,320 --> 00:57:52,320
this idea we wanted to provide the like real. Value,

1143
00:57:52,440 --> 00:57:55,440
well we want to always provide, value but, yeah we

1144
00:57:55,480 --> 00:57:58,119
sell our best bets like that's our. Job so as,

1145
00:57:58,119 --> 00:58:00,599
Always Like i've got a PLAY i am absolutely love,

1146
00:58:00,639 --> 00:58:02,679
TONIGHT i can't talk about it on the show OR

1147
00:58:02,679 --> 00:58:04,280
i can't tell you what it is on the show

1148
00:58:04,800 --> 00:58:06,840
because then no one would buy. It and that's up

1149
00:58:06,880 --> 00:58:08,960
at Wager talk right. Now i'm twelve and three in

1150
00:58:08,960 --> 00:58:11,960
my last fifteen and it's a five, Percenter so if

1151
00:58:12,000 --> 00:58:14,559
you're new to the show or the, site five percent

1152
00:58:14,599 --> 00:58:18,480
players are our. Max that's the maximum rating we can

1153
00:58:18,519 --> 00:58:21,360
give a. Play And i've got one, Tonight so that's

1154
00:58:21,400 --> 00:58:23,880
over at the Wager talk site as. Well, Brian i'm

1155
00:58:23,880 --> 00:58:26,159
sure he has stuff. Up do you have anything locked

1156
00:58:26,159 --> 00:58:26,559
in yet or?

1157
00:58:26,559 --> 00:58:29,639
Speaker 2: NO i have nothing. Yet brandon's in the. Chat brandon's

1158
00:58:29,679 --> 00:58:31,599
got some stuff up. Already oh he Was.

1159
00:58:34,199 --> 00:58:37,559
Speaker 1: Tokyo brandon is in the chat somewhere in Central. Japan

1160
00:58:38,239 --> 00:58:41,559
Jesse schule was, like Where's. Tokyo, well he's not In,

1161
00:58:41,599 --> 00:58:43,360
tokyo which is why he's not. HERE i don't know

1162
00:58:43,360 --> 00:58:47,800
where he. Is but LIKE i, SAID, Tv i'd love

1163
00:58:47,840 --> 00:58:49,400
to drive Around japan with. You.

1164
00:58:49,480 --> 00:58:51,360
Speaker 3: SOMETIMES i love, Driving.

1165
00:58:51,119 --> 00:58:53,159
Speaker 1: Like it's a lot of the times WHEN i go

1166
00:58:53,199 --> 00:58:55,920
to these basketball, games unless it's like flying to The

1167
00:58:55,920 --> 00:58:58,760
West coast LIKE i usually, Drive, Like i'll drive fifteen.

1168
00:58:58,760 --> 00:59:01,480
Speaker 3: HOURS i don't. CARE i just enjoy.

1169
00:59:01,519 --> 00:59:04,079
Speaker 1: It So i'd imagine that's an incredible drive that he's

1170
00:59:04,119 --> 00:59:07,079
on right, now just driving out into like the japan.

1171
00:59:07,840 --> 00:59:08,480
Speaker 3: Country that is.

1172
00:59:08,519 --> 00:59:13,480
Speaker 1: Awesome he'll be back tomorrow when he's on internet. Somewhere but,

1173
00:59:13,559 --> 00:59:16,039
yeah so we'll HAVE tv back. TOMORROW i want to

1174
00:59:16,039 --> 00:59:17,599
get THE i want to get the. Chat we'll probably

1175
00:59:17,599 --> 00:59:19,719
go a minute or two longer. Today let's let's get

1176
00:59:19,719 --> 00:59:21,320
them one more game and Then i'll lock in the.

1177
00:59:21,320 --> 00:59:26,639
Parlay let's we got The tigers crowd here AND i

1178
00:59:26,679 --> 00:59:28,199
want to bring this one up BECAUSE i feel LIKE

1179
00:59:28,239 --> 00:59:30,480
i WAS i feel like this IS i know this. Team,

1180
00:59:30,559 --> 00:59:33,400
BRIAN i said Like White sox might go on a

1181
00:59:33,440 --> 00:59:37,599
little losing. STREAK i saw the. Sharps the sharps came

1182
00:59:37,639 --> 00:59:39,719
in every day on The White sox over the, weekend

1183
00:59:40,039 --> 00:59:42,320
AND i think even knocked one of those prices down

1184
00:59:42,360 --> 00:59:44,840
to where you played back at the market and cashed

1185
00:59:44,840 --> 00:59:47,159
with The. Guardians DID i see that? Correctly did you

1186
00:59:47,199 --> 00:59:49,159
have a winner with The guardians this weekend over The White.

1187
00:59:49,159 --> 00:59:53,199
Speaker 2: SOX i had The guardians yesterday or two days, ago and,

1188
00:59:53,440 --> 00:59:56,719
uh a full play and they. WON i COULDN'T i

1189
00:59:56,719 --> 00:59:59,159
haven't had good luck with The, guardians BUT i couldn't

1190
00:59:59,159 --> 01:00:02,480
pass it. Up BUT i had two plays. Yesterday my

1191
01:00:02,559 --> 01:00:06,119
lester play was The guardians yesterday and they. LOST i

1192
01:00:06,159 --> 01:00:10,519
actually to show you that we don't just complain about our.

1193
01:00:10,559 --> 01:00:14,719
LOSSES i had my top play yesterday was The angels

1194
01:00:15,039 --> 01:00:18,840
first five team total over one and a. Half they

1195
01:00:18,880 --> 01:00:22,119
have zero with two outs in the fifth, inning there

1196
01:00:22,199 --> 01:00:24,559
was a walk and then they get Shany well out

1197
01:00:24,599 --> 01:00:27,039
of anybody who hit a home, run he hits. One

1198
01:00:27,199 --> 01:00:29,360
that WAS i was like one strike away from, losing

1199
01:00:29,719 --> 01:00:33,000
and SO i pulled that my ass AND i got that.

1200
01:00:33,079 --> 01:00:35,840
Victory and it's about TIME i got some good. Luck

1201
01:00:35,920 --> 01:00:38,760
So i'm very, happy AND i fully admit it WHEN

1202
01:00:38,760 --> 01:00:40,559
i get. LUCKY i got lucky in that.

1203
01:00:40,639 --> 01:00:44,440
Speaker 1: One SO i want to go to this game because

1204
01:00:44,440 --> 01:00:47,039
this is this is a. Game but this is a

1205
01:00:47,119 --> 01:00:48,679
name THAT i don't think people have seen in a.

1206
01:00:48,679 --> 01:00:49,199
Speaker 3: WHILE i.

1207
01:00:49,280 --> 01:00:53,840
Speaker 1: WAS i was surprised to See Elvis pagero getting a start.

1208
01:00:53,880 --> 01:00:55,800
TODAY i don't know if that's who's going to actually,

1209
01:00:55,840 --> 01:00:59,079
start BUT i saw his name thrown around for bulk,

1210
01:00:59,159 --> 01:01:02,800
innings so you know that's Have have we gotten a

1211
01:01:02,880 --> 01:01:04,519
starter announced for The White sox?

1212
01:01:04,599 --> 01:01:08,480
Speaker 2: YET i see the same thing as you. Do, Uh paguero's.

1213
01:01:09,159 --> 01:01:10,320
Speaker 3: Pitched oh, yeah he's in.

1214
01:01:10,360 --> 01:01:14,079
Speaker 2: There, yeah he's pitched six games out of the bullpen this, year,

1215
01:01:14,440 --> 01:01:18,920
uh seven total, innings so he could be just just you,

1216
01:01:18,920 --> 01:01:22,840
know a one inning. Starter he's gone seven innings and six,

1217
01:01:22,880 --> 01:01:25,400
starts so or six, games so maybe you might get

1218
01:01:25,440 --> 01:01:29,159
two innings out of. Him but the last three years

1219
01:01:29,320 --> 01:01:34,400
he's been a bullpen. Guy one about one hundred and

1220
01:01:34,400 --> 01:01:36,920
thirty total innings in his five, seasons one hundred and

1221
01:01:36,960 --> 01:01:38,880
thirty nine total. Innings let me give you his career.

1222
01:01:38,960 --> 01:01:42,480
Numbers four point one two expected THE, ara four point

1223
01:01:42,559 --> 01:01:45,800
seventy nine, whip one point four to six really good,

1224
01:01:45,840 --> 01:01:49,559
extension ninety fourth. Percentile it's an the limited he's only

1225
01:01:49,599 --> 01:01:51,599
he's only pitched seven, innings so there's not a whole

1226
01:01:51,599 --> 01:01:55,079
lot of value in his. Stackasse at this, Point Chris

1227
01:01:55,119 --> 01:02:00,159
paddock was the guy going For detroit four point nine ONE,

1228
01:02:00,199 --> 01:02:03,599
era four point seven to two, expected one point two

1229
01:02:03,639 --> 01:02:06,840
to five. Whip he was the one that just recently

1230
01:02:06,960 --> 01:02:09,559
played against the team that just traded, him and that

1231
01:02:09,679 --> 01:02:12,280
was against The. Twins he looked pretty good because at

1232
01:02:12,320 --> 01:02:14,719
four point nine ONE, era four point seven to, expect

1233
01:02:14,719 --> 01:02:18,360
a one point two five, whip great. Extension h doesn't

1234
01:02:18,400 --> 01:02:21,079
walk anybody only five point three walks a. Game his

1235
01:02:21,239 --> 01:02:23,280
chase rad is very, good but everything else is in

1236
01:02:23,320 --> 01:02:26,840
the blue hard hit rate fifteenth. Percentile struck out right

1237
01:02:26,920 --> 01:02:30,960
sixteenth with, Sixteenth so we'll have to. See let, me

1238
01:02:31,079 --> 01:02:35,360
let me take a quick look at at The Chicago

1239
01:02:35,400 --> 01:02:37,079
White sox, bullpen because.

1240
01:02:37,159 --> 01:02:39,320
Speaker 1: YEP i know what they're gonna. DO i know what

1241
01:02:39,360 --> 01:02:43,599
they're gonna do with their. Pitching now it looks. WELL

1242
01:02:43,639 --> 01:02:45,239
i was going to, SAY i want you to look

1243
01:02:45,239 --> 01:02:46,639
at their bullpen and then jump back.

1244
01:02:46,679 --> 01:02:48,199
Speaker 3: IN i just want to let you know that it is.

1245
01:02:48,360 --> 01:02:51,039
Speaker 1: Likely it looks like we're going to Have pigero as an,

1246
01:02:51,119 --> 01:02:53,679
opener because he. Hasn't he's been a one inning guy

1247
01:02:53,679 --> 01:02:55,519
At TRIPLE a all year for the in The brewers,

1248
01:02:55,599 --> 01:02:56,920
organization where he's done.

1249
01:02:56,760 --> 01:02:58,000
Speaker 3: Most of most of his.

1250
01:02:58,079 --> 01:03:00,960
Speaker 1: Work got grabbed by The White size through an inning

1251
01:03:01,079 --> 01:03:04,159
last week Against, syracuse and now he's. Up this Is

1252
01:03:04,360 --> 01:03:07,519
this looks like a true just, opener one inning, situation

1253
01:03:07,599 --> 01:03:08,400
and it's Likely.

1254
01:03:08,280 --> 01:03:10,519
Speaker 3: Tyler alexander in bulk after.

1255
01:03:10,599 --> 01:03:13,280
Speaker 1: Him so, yeah go go, AHEAD i want you to

1256
01:03:13,400 --> 01:03:15,559
finish what you were, saying and Then i'll jump back.

1257
01:03:15,599 --> 01:03:20,039
Speaker 2: In, Yeah Tyler alexander did the same thing Last wednesday

1258
01:03:20,079 --> 01:03:24,159
through sixty seven innings or sixty seven sixty seven. Pitches

1259
01:03:24,920 --> 01:03:27,800
other Than Jordan, leisure who pitched the last two, days

1260
01:03:28,159 --> 01:03:33,440
he probably won't be. Available they Brought Cam boozer named

1261
01:03:33,440 --> 01:03:35,280
from the. Past they brought him back up From TRIPLE.

1262
01:03:35,360 --> 01:03:39,079
A they've had four four guys pitch yesterday for, him

1263
01:03:39,079 --> 01:03:42,280
but nobody threw over twenty. PITCHES i think they'll all

1264
01:03:42,280 --> 01:03:44,880
be available in this. One so, yeah there'll be a

1265
01:03:44,920 --> 01:03:50,039
bullpening game for. Them and, yeah they didn't use the

1266
01:03:50,039 --> 01:03:53,400
bullpen a whole lot Against cleveland because they didn't they

1267
01:03:53,440 --> 01:03:55,920
weren't winning other than, yesterday so a lot of the

1268
01:03:55,960 --> 01:03:58,360
guys are fresh in that, regard so their better bullpen

1269
01:03:58,440 --> 01:03:59,079
arms will be out.

1270
01:03:59,119 --> 01:04:04,719
Speaker 1: There, yeah AND i will play on. That i'm gonna

1271
01:04:04,719 --> 01:04:06,280
Put White sox plus one and a half in the.

1272
01:04:06,280 --> 01:04:08,840
Parlay it's minus one. THIRTY i think that's a good

1273
01:04:08,920 --> 01:04:12,679
price for to get the run to work. With And

1274
01:04:13,119 --> 01:04:16,320
i'll play off of what you were just talking. About

1275
01:04:16,400 --> 01:04:19,719
is the reason Why i've talked about this a ton

1276
01:04:19,920 --> 01:04:20,199
on this.

1277
01:04:20,280 --> 01:04:23,559
Speaker 3: Show like WHAT i like the Way venable has managed this.

1278
01:04:23,639 --> 01:04:25,880
Speaker 1: TEAM i like that he sort of turned it into

1279
01:04:26,679 --> 01:04:30,599
a looser like more of like a developmental atmosphere where everyone.

1280
01:04:30,639 --> 01:04:33,920
Plays he's putting every he's putting everyone on the roster

1281
01:04:34,400 --> 01:04:38,199
in position to potentially. Contribute they're all getting a. Chance

1282
01:04:38,599 --> 01:04:41,360
he's mixed up the bullpen arms really. Well and now

1283
01:04:41,360 --> 01:04:45,079
that they've called up some guys Like Grant, taylor you,

1284
01:04:45,119 --> 01:04:48,599
know there's there's Even leisure has been, okay like what

1285
01:04:49,039 --> 01:04:52,119
the lefty icer is, ier the lefty that gets in

1286
01:04:52,159 --> 01:04:56,199
once in a, While alexander's been, okay like they they've actually,

1287
01:04:56,960 --> 01:05:00,679
been you, know. RESPECTABLE a lot of the relievers have

1288
01:05:01,360 --> 01:05:05,360
done just fine the last month or. So AND i

1289
01:05:05,360 --> 01:05:08,119
think it really has to do with just like they're

1290
01:05:08,159 --> 01:05:10,679
playing the way that so all these guys came up

1291
01:05:10,679 --> 01:05:13,559
From charlotte, Basically so if you look at This White

1292
01:05:13,599 --> 01:05:17,159
sox roster right, now it's very heavy tripa A charlotte

1293
01:05:17,159 --> 01:05:20,920
players from earlier this year And venables managing the same

1294
01:05:20,960 --> 01:05:23,280
way they manage down At, charlotte where it's like you,

1295
01:05:23,320 --> 01:05:26,320
pitch you pitch every couple of. Days it doesn't really

1296
01:05:26,360 --> 01:05:29,119
matter who's in what. Spot it's more about getting your work.

1297
01:05:29,159 --> 01:05:32,360
In we're gonna get everyone at. That we're gonna platoon

1298
01:05:32,400 --> 01:05:34,800
and try to put guys in position to have some

1299
01:05:35,000 --> 01:05:38,400
success because we're not that concerned with wins and. Losses

1300
01:05:38,519 --> 01:05:41,159
but what it's actually done has made them a better

1301
01:05:41,199 --> 01:05:43,800
team wins and loss wise than they were the first

1302
01:05:43,880 --> 01:05:46,480
ninety games where they were thirty and. Sixty SO i

1303
01:05:46,960 --> 01:05:48,960
love the way things are going for The White sox right.

1304
01:05:49,000 --> 01:05:51,480
Now AND i got to, say AND i don't think

1305
01:05:51,559 --> 01:05:54,960
Our tiger's crew is going to disagree with this statement

1306
01:05:55,440 --> 01:05:59,400
that this team has some issues right. Now And i'm

1307
01:05:59,440 --> 01:06:02,079
gonna go back to That mariner series going into the. Break,

1308
01:06:02,480 --> 01:06:05,159
okay they kind of took the foot off the gas

1309
01:06:05,440 --> 01:06:07,159
it was going into The All star. Break they had

1310
01:06:07,199 --> 01:06:10,480
five guys going to The All Star, game, whatever but

1311
01:06:11,280 --> 01:06:14,679
it set the tone for, like This tigers team is

1312
01:06:14,760 --> 01:06:18,599
not that talented in relation to the other good teams

1313
01:06:18,599 --> 01:06:18,800
in this.

1314
01:06:18,920 --> 01:06:21,000
Speaker 3: League they don't have the talent like The.

1315
01:06:21,039 --> 01:06:23,360
Speaker 1: Tigers if you look at where they are win loss,

1316
01:06:23,360 --> 01:06:26,079
wise they don't have the talent that The dodgers, do

1317
01:06:26,960 --> 01:06:29,599
or The phillies, door or The Blue jays, do or

1318
01:06:29,639 --> 01:06:33,360
the choking over Here brian helped me, out The cubs

1319
01:06:33,440 --> 01:06:36,639
the like even The, mets right they don't have that

1320
01:06:36,760 --> 01:06:39,360
kind of. Talent the way The tigers racked up all

1321
01:06:39,400 --> 01:06:42,639
those wins was playing really really good. Baseball and what

1322
01:06:42,760 --> 01:06:44,960
have The tigers not done since The All Star? Break

1323
01:06:45,199 --> 01:06:49,840
they're just not playing like, great fundamentally sound ball. Anymore

1324
01:06:49,920 --> 01:06:53,440
where it's like the bullpen does their part and everyone

1325
01:06:53,519 --> 01:06:57,599
does their, part and it's really turned into a team

1326
01:06:57,639 --> 01:06:59,159
that's just looked, very very.

1327
01:06:59,199 --> 01:07:01,480
Speaker 3: Average and now they're going on the road here and

1328
01:07:01,519 --> 01:07:02,079
you need.

1329
01:07:01,920 --> 01:07:04,679
Speaker 1: Them to win by more than two runs with a

1330
01:07:04,719 --> 01:07:08,239
guy And Chris paddock on the mound that The White

1331
01:07:08,239 --> 01:07:10,280
sox have seen a ton of because he came from

1332
01:07:10,280 --> 01:07:12,800
their division and he's not that good in the first. Place,

1333
01:07:13,199 --> 01:07:15,199
yeah let's do. That White sox plus one and a

1334
01:07:15,239 --> 01:07:17,320
half is What i'm gonna do for the.

1335
01:07:17,320 --> 01:07:18,239
Speaker 3: PARLAY i don't go.

1336
01:07:18,320 --> 01:07:19,639
Speaker 2: Back what do you want to play? In Steve duke,

1337
01:07:19,679 --> 01:07:23,760
Says alexander was. Yesterday he's a Mistaken, Sorry. Steve he

1338
01:07:23,760 --> 01:07:25,400
did not pitch. Yesterday he did pitch On.

1339
01:07:25,440 --> 01:07:29,440
Speaker 1: Wednesday, yeah he's They all the reports On twitter are

1340
01:07:29,480 --> 01:07:31,480
that it's going to Be pigero for an, inning followed

1341
01:07:31,519 --> 01:07:35,519
By Tyler, alexander Not Jason, alexander who's on The.

1342
01:07:35,519 --> 01:07:38,559
Speaker 3: Astros this is a really well he had a Good,

1343
01:07:38,599 --> 01:07:38,920
yeah he.

1344
01:07:39,960 --> 01:07:42,760
Speaker 2: Go against, him and he pitched as, well you run

1345
01:07:42,800 --> 01:07:45,440
into these things, sometimes but you got certain guys and you,

1346
01:07:45,440 --> 01:07:47,840
KNOW i used to work with the guy and he

1347
01:07:47,960 --> 01:07:50,760
said that team's on my, list And i'd, say you,

1348
01:07:50,840 --> 01:07:53,400
know you say that every. Day you know after a

1349
01:07:53,400 --> 01:07:54,800
month you don't have anything you can pet.

1350
01:07:54,840 --> 01:07:59,960
Speaker 3: On, yeah, yeah, LISTEN I i wanted and the other thing.

1351
01:08:00,039 --> 01:08:01,679
TOO i want to point out. HERE i know we're

1352
01:08:01,719 --> 01:08:02,719
going over a few Minutes.

1353
01:08:02,760 --> 01:08:05,920
Speaker 1: Tokyo brandon is still fired out that he must get

1354
01:08:05,960 --> 01:08:09,320
Okay Internet Central japan or phones or, actually you know,

1355
01:08:09,360 --> 01:08:11,559
what they probably have all better stuff than that than we.

1356
01:08:11,679 --> 01:08:13,880
Speaker 2: Do it's like that's actually a modern.

1357
01:08:13,920 --> 01:08:19,359
Speaker 3: Country he, says we need more like. So, yeah and

1358
01:08:19,399 --> 01:08:20,720
we got over a thousand live.

1359
01:08:20,800 --> 01:08:23,680
Speaker 1: Viewers so went a little long, today BUT i think

1360
01:08:23,680 --> 01:08:27,279
it's worthwhile. Conversation going back to last, WEEK i, said you,

1361
01:08:27,319 --> 01:08:29,279
KNOW i really wanted to find a spot that The White.

1362
01:08:29,279 --> 01:08:31,920
SOX i really. COULDN'T i felt like they were sort

1363
01:08:31,920 --> 01:08:34,680
of on the wrong trajectory last. Week, well they did

1364
01:08:34,720 --> 01:08:36,840
get the win, yesterday AND i wouldn't be surprised to

1365
01:08:36,840 --> 01:08:38,680
see them play with a little bit more life this,

1366
01:08:38,800 --> 01:08:42,279
week especially being back home and let's be, honest, like

1367
01:08:42,319 --> 01:08:44,039
what what do they have to get fired up for

1368
01:08:44,119 --> 01:08:46,479
at this? Point not? Much But division leader comes to,

1369
01:08:46,479 --> 01:08:49,399
town you're at. HOME i think that gets the juices

1370
01:08:49,439 --> 01:08:52,359
phone a little. Bit so, Yeah I'm i'm interested in

1371
01:08:52,359 --> 01:08:53,840
The White sox. Here and if this were to get

1372
01:08:53,840 --> 01:08:55,399
bet down a little bit, MORE i MIGHT i might

1373
01:08:55,439 --> 01:08:58,039
need to throw another play on the client. Card but for,

1374
01:08:58,159 --> 01:09:00,840
now it's gonna be the Parlay lake which is locked.

1375
01:09:00,880 --> 01:09:02,880
In it's a two team Or, brian we Got White

1376
01:09:02,920 --> 01:09:05,439
sox plus one and a half for the full, game

1377
01:09:06,079 --> 01:09:06,680
and we've Got.

1378
01:09:06,760 --> 01:09:07,960
Speaker 3: Nationals so that's my.

1379
01:09:08,079 --> 01:09:10,199
Speaker 1: Leg White sox plus one and a half full game

1380
01:09:10,399 --> 01:09:14,319
and then we've Got nationals first five even money two

1381
01:09:14,359 --> 01:09:16,800
team parlay today plus two fifty four.

1382
01:09:16,840 --> 01:09:19,680
Speaker 3: Odds give us the, like.

1383
01:09:19,760 --> 01:09:22,479
Speaker 1: Subscribes if you missed any of the live, show head

1384
01:09:22,479 --> 01:09:24,600
on over to the Wager talk YouTube channel and watch the.

1385
01:09:24,640 --> 01:09:27,720
REPLAY i have a five percent play up tonight THAT

1386
01:09:27,800 --> 01:09:30,880
i love and we did not talk.

1387
01:09:30,680 --> 01:09:33,319
Speaker 3: About, it SO i will say that he did talk

1388
01:09:33,359 --> 01:09:33,840
about it on the.

1389
01:09:33,880 --> 01:09:36,319
Speaker 2: Show i'll just let everybody. Know grab make sure you

1390
01:09:36,359 --> 01:09:39,720
grab that five. Percent brandon will be back. Tomorrow as

1391
01:09:39,760 --> 01:09:42,319
far AS i, KNOW i will be going On. Wednesday

1392
01:09:42,600 --> 01:09:45,640
i'll be somewhere worthy for wi fi is just not

1393
01:09:46,479 --> 01:09:49,199
going to be good. Enough if you've complained About trig

1394
01:09:49,520 --> 01:09:51,319
going in and out on some of his. STUFF i

1395
01:09:51,319 --> 01:09:53,319
don't even want to try my WiFi at this. Place

1396
01:09:53,359 --> 01:09:57,159
So i'll be back tomorrow and i'll skip On, wednesday.

1397
01:09:57,600 --> 01:09:58,760
Speaker 3: Hopefully wherever you.

1398
01:09:58,800 --> 01:10:01,359
Speaker 1: Will wherever you're going On, Wednesday i'll have some air conditioning,

1399
01:10:01,359 --> 01:10:04,000
though BECAUSE i gotta be, honest it has been a,

1400
01:10:04,079 --> 01:10:06,319
hot hot summer here In Central New, york AND i

1401
01:10:06,319 --> 01:10:08,600
don't know how you guys do. It i'm not cut

1402
01:10:08,600 --> 01:10:10,680
out for. IT i NEED i need it to be

1403
01:10:10,840 --> 01:10:13,159
fifty or sixty degrees every. Day i'm just not cut

1404
01:10:13,159 --> 01:10:16,239
out for the. HEAT i hate. IT i can't leave.

1405
01:10:16,319 --> 01:10:18,600
Speaker 2: Every day out here for the last week and the

1406
01:10:18,640 --> 01:10:20,199
time to not hit our Conditional.

1407
01:10:21,600 --> 01:10:24,600
Speaker 1: All, right it's it was a Great monday. Show we

1408
01:10:24,680 --> 01:10:27,760
made it just the two man. Show we're back with

1409
01:10:27,760 --> 01:10:31,000
a three man weave tomorrow if you, will and then

1410
01:10:31,000 --> 01:10:33,359
we'll be two man again On. Wednesday we've got a

1411
01:10:33,399 --> 01:10:37,079
nice two Teamer NAT's first five Money Line White Sox

1412
01:10:37,119 --> 01:10:40,079
full game plus one and a. Half appreciate over one

1413
01:10:40,079 --> 01:10:42,800
thousand of you tuning in on the, live please head

1414
01:10:42,800 --> 01:10:46,439
over and you, know like subscribe on the. Replay if

1415
01:10:46,479 --> 01:10:48,439
you missed, anything it's all there on the Wager talk

1416
01:10:48,479 --> 01:10:51,159
YouTube channel and we'll see you guys back here nine am.

1417
01:10:51,199 --> 01:10:52,079
Speaker 3: Tomorrow take, care