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Speaker 1: What's going on? Everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.

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If you are new, we do always start this show

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by being transparent. Did don't do any shows over the weekend,

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but the weekend was good for me. I believe I

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went seven and two, so profitable weekend. See if we

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can roll that over here into this week be no

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good to be back with you as everything on your end.

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Speaker 2: Things are good over here. Ski Friday night was another

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good NBA night, and yesterday was one loss with Orlando

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team total, so NBA I believe since last Monday is

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now seven and two, last nine moving along pretty well.

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College Hoop was ten and five over the weekend to

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increase what we've been doing since December one. That's been good.

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So yeah, and nothing to complain about except the four

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degree weather with wins out here behind my back freezing

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my ass off over here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't sound like a lot of fun.

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Speaker 2: No, it's cool. Other than that, we're good. All right.

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Speaker 1: Well, let's see we do have an early game going today.

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We have a few other games today, not the biggest slate,

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but should still be some money out there. So we'll

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start with top of the rotation five fifty one five

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fifty two. New Orleans and Charlotte opened up minus six

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and a half looks like six and a half or

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seven total open two thirty three and a half, looks

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like it's down two thirty and a half, two thirty one,

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something like that. For New Orleans. Everybody looks like they're

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they're going to be available in that one. I mean

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minus We know de Jonte Mary hasn't been playing for

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the Hornets. Same two suspects, plumb Lee and kJ Simpson

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are out. Besides that, the rest of the game seems

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to be available. These Hornets man playing basket basketball in

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the Association right now. As far as for January, at least,

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it felt like Pelicans very inconsistent. I mean, I haven't

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thought of the Hornets as a team to lay with,

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but I mean that's how they're playing right now. Rob

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you know, is that how you attack this one? Or

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what do you think about the total going down as well?

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Speaker 2: Well? Couple, I think it's hard to be anti Charlotte

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right now. Even Charles Lee, the head coach, came out

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and talked about how connected the group is, and they

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really are. They're playing great. I think we hit on

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it a couple of times over the course of the

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last week's ski about how good their defense has been.

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But I got some numbers to put to that. The

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last month, so the month of January, the Charlotte Hornets

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defensive efficiency was down to one point zero five to nine.

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Points per possessions are one point zero six. Just to

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put it into some context, Oklahoma City is the best

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defensive team in the league for the entire season. There's

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this one point zero seven so for the last month

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they're playing and on the defensive level that Oklahoma City

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has been on all season long. And when Charlotte plays

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that kind of defense, it's tough to bet against them

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because they can score the basketball. Now, the other thing

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that I thought about here with Charlotte is they got

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Philadelphia in this same weather situation last week, right bad

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weather in Charlotte, Philly had to have the game in Charlotte,

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had to be pushed up to like three o'clock in

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the afternoon Eastern time, which this one is, and Charlotte

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destroyed them. Philly never got on track. It was like

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one thirty to I forget the final there, but it

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wasn't closed. One thirty to ninety three is what it

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was win by thirty seven. I just wonder if New

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Orleans isn't caught up in the same type of thing here.

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Game time has moved up, Charlotte should be ready. New

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Orleans has not been bad covering numbers as of late

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five and two last seven, so that's good. But I

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just even with all their guys in, I don't know

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that the spot sets up well for New Orleans. So

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I'd probably looks Charlotte based on the fact that their defense.

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I guess you could say now in this case and

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in many other cases with Charlotte opponents, that the defensive

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disparity between Charlotte and their opponent is pretty significant at

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this point in time, the way Charlotte's playing, and of course,

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like I say, they seem to have a true pecking order.

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We're scoring is concerned now it looks like Brandon Miller's

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the guy. Then it just follows from there, got a

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lot of guys that can put it in the basket.

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So for me, it would probably be a small look

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towards Charlotte here, just because I think this three o'clock

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time start, it kind of reminds me exactly of what

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happened to Philadelphia they got ambushed in this spot a

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week ago.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so that's the reason for the time move up.

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I don't know, I didn't think about that again, but

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definitely could affect them. Pelicans might not even want to

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play today, so it could be a situation where Hornets

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run away once again. Could call out there to keep

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moving to the next game. That is. The Rockets and

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Pacers opened up minus seven and a half. Looks like

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six and a half total keeps coming down from two

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twenty three to two eighteen and a half. Durant is

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out fleet. We know he's been out over topping it

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as well. For the Pacers. I believe this is the

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first game for the Rockets this season without Kevin Durant, So, uh,

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it's interesting what they're gonna look like. I know they

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depend on him a lot. You know, they need to

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scoring and shooting. Yeah, buckets are gonna have to come

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from somewhere. You know, other people might have to step up.

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But it'll be interesting to see what they look like

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for the Pacers and getting finally getting healthy here at

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the house, you know, I don't know, it's kind of

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appealing to take that plus plus six and a half.

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How you feel about it.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, we talk about cohesion in lineups an awful lot.

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And when you take Kevin Durant out, not only you know,

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the obvious is the point subtraction, right, he contributed so

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many points, But the other is, you know, the ball movement,

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the situational when you get it to Durant, and I

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mean the whole thing just gets kind of discombobulated for

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a time here with Durant out. So I don't know

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that Houston will be the most fluid looking offense, but

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they could rely on their defense here. I mean, they've

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played five consecutive unders, and they haven't necessarily scored a

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bunch of points lately anyway, one eleven, one oh four

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ninety nine eight one eleven. Houston hasn't been on this

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scoring rampage, played a couple of pretty good defenses in there.

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So I don't know that I would be looking towards

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the Houston side in this game. It would probably be

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a little more towards Under or Indiana. I think Houston

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will try to rely on defense, but covering six and

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a half, that's probably a little bit of a tall

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task here in this instance. If it goes the way

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I see it going, you know, whereas Houston's just not

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the on the offensive end. They're just not as as

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fluid as they've been in the past. So probably I

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didn't play the game. Probably a small look at under here,

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just because Houston has been really really good on the

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defensive end last five or six and they have been

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scoring with Durant anyway.

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Speaker 1: Um, yeah, they probably will struggle even more that I

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can understand why that total is dropping like that. Brian

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likes the Pacers as Rockets have Boston on deck. Joey

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reminded everybody to smashed the light button appreciate that. Brian

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also says Rockets fifteen and two to the under likes

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that under at different things out there in the chat.

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Somebody's got to step up for this Rockets team. Who's

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it going to be. It's gonna be Man Thompson, Shangoon.

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Oh no, I would like Tyr Easton the most people

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probably do too, but that's the guy that I would

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bet on that one dropping dime, says Pacers team total.

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I mean, Rockets have been playing good defense though, like

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Rob said, that's what would hold me off of that.

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All right, next game up kind of got hiccups here

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a little bit or something. I don't know what's going on.

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Minnesota and Memphis open to minus seven and a half.

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And this is strange because I see a lot of

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I see seven and a half, I see a six,

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I see a six and a half. It's all over

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the place. So maybe we're getting some kind of news

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right now. And yes, Jared Jackson Junior upgraded to probable

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in this game. So that's a little bit of the

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line move right there. Total did go up from two

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twenty seven and a half to a half at Oh,

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I know what that is.

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Speaker 2: You know that guy? He scares me half the night.

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I'm telling you, I've told you before. It just comes

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out of but I just shut the volume off.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, I met him again.

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Speaker 2: As you were saying it. That's what popped up, did

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you and Jackson? And your availability here? So the reason

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why the line is moving, I would say this. You

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talked an awful lot about how bad Memphis has been

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since they came back to the States, and they haven't

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really gotten untracked yet. Minnesota has been so good as

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of late ski it. So it's not that long ago

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where you couldn't bet them and trust them in a

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favorite role now it's hard for me to bet against

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them because it seems like they've been a focused team

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as of late. I had them Friday night in a

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really obvious situation, laying ten and a half out West.

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I forget who the opponent was, maybe Portland, it was

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somebody and that wasn't Portland. I forget who it was,

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but regardless, it seemed too easy. The other side was

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banged up a little bit, and Minnesota went out there

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and just destroyed them like they should do on most

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nights when they're given the advantage. But what they haven't

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done all season long, but now they're starting to do

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that again. I just wonder if it's we talked about

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Boston being streaky. It's every NBA team goes through these spurs,

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but Minnesota right now it's four and oh against In fact,

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it was the same it was against Memphis, the same

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team that they're playing today. Okay, one thirty one one fourteen,

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laying ten and a half that night, got home easy,

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was an easy winner, four and oh straight up against

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the number. Last four games over under two to two

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each way, but they're winning by margin. BEATOKC. When twenty

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three to one eleven came back when that game big,

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I don't know. Maybe you could expect because this is

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a back to back with a day of rest in between.

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Maybe Memphis because Jaren Jackson did sit out that game

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the other night. Uh, maybe you could expect that Memphis

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has some bounce back ability here in this one numbers

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now down to six and a half. I guess as

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I look at it, but I don't know that I

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could trust it. Ski. Honestly, I think if Minnesota comes

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to play, they're the winner here. They cover, And I'm

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thinking that, unlike you know, the majority of this season

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so far, that maybe they are showing up to play

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every single game heading into the All Star breaks, so

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too confusing for me. I can make arguments both ways.

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I lay off this one. Don't have a really good

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thought on the total here that other one the other

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night Minnesota scored one thirty one against this team and

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one twenty three to the game before. They run a

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pretty good offensive role here and the defense is coming back.

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Just let me finish by saying one eleventh to Golden State,

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eighty three to Golden State, one oh five to Dallas,

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one eleven to OKC, and then one fourteen to Memphis.

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In a seventeen point round. Minnesota's defense coming around a

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little bit last five games.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean you do have Randall a legenable here tonight.

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But I mean, like you said, it's been Timberwolves just

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blowing people out the past few games. They just played

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the Grizzlies double digit points spread, blow them out. I'll

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come back, don't even travel and the points spread is

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seven and a half. I don't know. I feel like

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the Grizzlies can be competitive in this game. Somebody in

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the chest said it was jam Rock Kick said Ti

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Jerome looked good. He definitely did. He'll give them a

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boost offensively. Getting Jared Jackson in this time around?

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Speaker 2: Is it?

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Speaker 1: You know that's a plus? Could be without and Randall.

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You know, I'll be missing some offense for Minnesota there,

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Minnesota has been able to cover without. But I don't know.

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I think the Grizzlies are the right side in this game,

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all right. Last on the list is Sixers and Clippers

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opened up as a pick on minus two or one

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and a half for the Clippers here total open two

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twenty and a half looks like hasn't really moved. But

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the Clippers, you do have hard unquestionable, Jones Junior doubtful

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for the Sixers. Embiid is probable, Paul George is suspended.

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Clippers are running back to back here. James Harden, if

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he does play, will be probably the freshest one because

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he didn't play yesterday. I feel like in this game

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maybe we could see a lot of points. Embiid has

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been scoring pretty well lately. He could have another good

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game here. Hardened versus one of his old teams could

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show up and have a good game here. Kawhi has

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been playing good. Kawhi maybe motivated after the All Star stuff.

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I think this one could see points. If I was

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picking a side, I think the Clippers have been playing

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too well lately to ignore, So it will be Clippers

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are over for me. What do you think? You know?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm halfway with you there, Ski, because this is

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the one game that I did bet on the board

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and I bet the Philly team total over one on

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nine and a half. They've gotten there five of the

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last seven games. Their offense and the Paul George suspension.

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I think that show the other night where don't I

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don't know how much it really means like they are

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better with him, but I don't know that they're substantially

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worse without him. The other night they walk out there

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and score one twenty four against the one ands. I

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think they'll be just fine for twenty five games without

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Paul George, and it probably benefits them coming into the

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playoffs because he'll be well rested by that time. But

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the back to backs for LA and LA was in

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a game against Phoenix where they played really hard last night.

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The minutes don't show up as these enormous numbers, and

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they did blow them out, but still that was a

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game that it seemed like their focus was on from

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the outset last night and watching that, it just looked

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like LA wanted that game. Come back home play Philadelphia.

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I'm not going to use this as part of the handicap,

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but there is some you know, there's probably still some

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connect for Joel Embiid to wanting to play well against

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James Harden's team, and when Harden left Philly here that

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was not good between Embiid and Harden, and I don't

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think they carry any ill will anymore. But I do

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think in the back of Embiid's mind he wants to

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win when he sees Harden on the other side of

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the floor. N F Harden doesn't play tonight, that's another thing.

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If he doesn't, I'm probably in better shape. Philly can run.

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We've talked about the Clippers. The other time I did this,

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a couple of weeks ago or within the last two weeks,

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was because I thought the Clippers would be slow in

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the second of a back to back. This is back

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to back with travel, albeit short travel. Philly's had rest,

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Philly's got pretty good young legs. I feel like this

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is a spot where Philly can at least score. The

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line isn't enough for me to get there with Philadelphia

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plus points, but I do think getting to one hundred

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and ten might not be as difficult as it's been

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for Clipper opponents recently because the Clips have played good defense.

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So I'm kind of bucking a couple of things here,

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but I think the situation pushes me there. I bet

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Philadelphia team total over one or nine and a half.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, we're seeing we're seeing this one kind of the

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same here. I think this could be very well be

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an overgame. I just want to double check one last

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thing here. Pace numbers. Neither one are really playing with pace.

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Last five games, both bottom ten, Sixers defense, bottom five,

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Clippers defense top five, both top ten offensive raided teams.

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So interesting, but it is a low total even though

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they're they're you know, slow paced. So we'll see how

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that one shakes out, dropping downs like six ers king

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total over all. Right, that's the NBA slate, only four

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piece for today, you know. So we get in, we

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get out. Let's go ahead and promo a couple of things.

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Let's see what do we have here. We have, well,

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this is new super Bowl or super Bowl all access

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for only ninety nine dollars per month. It's a good

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way to get involved long term. You also, you know,

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if you didn't want to go that far, you want

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to do ten days of all access for the price

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of seven, you'll save sixty nine dollars and get every

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play that we're making for ten days here, so we know.

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On that note, I'm going to pass it to you.

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I ask you if there's anything else you'd like to promote,

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and if you have a best bet for the show,

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we like to hear it. We'd love to hear it.

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If you don't no worries.

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Speaker 2: Like those new promos, skip ten days for the price

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of seven. I think seven for three worked out really

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well for them, so they extended a little bit over

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at wage of talk included obviously, if you go now

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ten for the price of seven or anytime this week,

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all super Bowl stuff gets included in that package right

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the game, the props, et cetera, et cetera. So not

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only will you have both basketball's NBA college, but you'll

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have all that football as well. Ski, I'm gonna leave

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a best bet because I bet it, and I still

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I think it's a pretty solid play. The Sixers team

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total over one on nine and a half. I just

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explained why. It just seems to me it's a situational

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spot that sets up well for Philly to be able

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to score whether they win the game or not. You know,

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I don't want to run in front of the Clippers

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freight train because they've been covering at such a high rate,

332
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but I do think that defensively they could be a

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little sluggish year tonight against Philly. So give me that

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team total sixer side over one o nine and a half.

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Speaker 1: Good stuff for Robino. Yeah, what you said about super Bowl,

336
00:18:36,279 --> 00:18:38,759
I do have. I have a package up for super Bowl.

337
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It's a five percent best bet there a couple other

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props and stuff. I know I have won three to the

339
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last four or for the last five, one of the

340
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two Super Bowls, so I usually do pretty good at

341
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that time. Other than that, I didn't want to put

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this up just because I got it extended here. So

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pretty much NBA and college basketball. I can get them

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both through the championships and at a reduce rate. I'm

345
00:19:03,720 --> 00:19:06,799
pretty sure it's like one fifty off. So it's a

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good way to be involved for the rest of the

347
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season in basketball and combined to basketball. Right now, I'm

348
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up forty five a little bit about forty five units

349
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for the season. All right. My best bet for the show,

350
00:19:20,119 --> 00:19:22,599
I'm not gonna put any grass anything up here today,

351
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but I am gonna go with I'm gonna go with

352
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Tarry Easton over one and a half threes. Brian did

353
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mention it in the chat. You know, even though not

354
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the greatest matchup, they're gonna need them tonight, especially to

355
00:19:36,759 --> 00:19:41,240
space the floor without Kevin Durant there, and he's shooting

356
00:19:41,240 --> 00:19:44,000
it well. I mean he's shooting just under forty eight

357
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percent from three, so I like him up and over.

358
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That'll be my best bet for the show. Vino, I

359
00:19:49,720 --> 00:19:51,839
always appreciate you taking the time to break these games

360
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down with us. Helps my process. I'm sure it helps

361
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everybody else as well. We appreciate everybody in the chat,

362
00:19:58,279 --> 00:20:01,519
great people, great cappers, and we all have one goal

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00:20:01,960 --> 00:20:03,519
just trying to help each other get to the window,

364
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so appreciate y'all. Best of luck everybody on all your action.

365
00:20:07,559 --> 00:20:09,799
We will be back here again tomorrow and we'll catch

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you all then.

