Speaker 1: What's going on? Everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.
If you are new, we do always start this show
by being transparent. Did don't do any shows over the weekend,
but the weekend was good for me. I believe I
went seven and two, so profitable weekend. See if we
can roll that over here into this week be no
good to be back with you as everything on your end.
Speaker 2: Things are good over here. Ski Friday night was another
good NBA night, and yesterday was one loss with Orlando
team total, so NBA I believe since last Monday is
now seven and two, last nine moving along pretty well.
College Hoop was ten and five over the weekend to
increase what we've been doing since December one. That's been good.
So yeah, and nothing to complain about except the four
degree weather with wins out here behind my back freezing
my ass off over here.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't sound like a lot of fun.
Speaker 2: No, it's cool. Other than that, we're good. All right.
Speaker 1: Well, let's see we do have an early game going today.
We have a few other games today, not the biggest slate,
but should still be some money out there. So we'll
start with top of the rotation five fifty one five
fifty two. New Orleans and Charlotte opened up minus six
and a half looks like six and a half or
seven total open two thirty three and a half, looks
like it's down two thirty and a half, two thirty one,
something like that. For New Orleans. Everybody looks like they're
they're going to be available in that one. I mean
minus We know de Jonte Mary hasn't been playing for
the Hornets. Same two suspects, plumb Lee and kJ Simpson
are out. Besides that, the rest of the game seems
to be available. These Hornets man playing basket basketball in
the Association right now. As far as for January, at least,
it felt like Pelicans very inconsistent. I mean, I haven't
thought of the Hornets as a team to lay with,
but I mean that's how they're playing right now. Rob
you know, is that how you attack this one? Or
what do you think about the total going down as well?
Speaker 2: Well? Couple, I think it's hard to be anti Charlotte
right now. Even Charles Lee, the head coach, came out
and talked about how connected the group is, and they
really are. They're playing great. I think we hit on
it a couple of times over the course of the
last week's ski about how good their defense has been.
But I got some numbers to put to that. The
last month, so the month of January, the Charlotte Hornets
defensive efficiency was down to one point zero five to nine.
Points per possessions are one point zero six. Just to
put it into some context, Oklahoma City is the best
defensive team in the league for the entire season. There's
this one point zero seven so for the last month
they're playing and on the defensive level that Oklahoma City
has been on all season long. And when Charlotte plays
that kind of defense, it's tough to bet against them
because they can score the basketball. Now, the other thing
that I thought about here with Charlotte is they got
Philadelphia in this same weather situation last week, right bad
weather in Charlotte, Philly had to have the game in Charlotte,
had to be pushed up to like three o'clock in
the afternoon Eastern time, which this one is, and Charlotte
destroyed them. Philly never got on track. It was like
one thirty to I forget the final there, but it
wasn't closed. One thirty to ninety three is what it
was win by thirty seven. I just wonder if New
Orleans isn't caught up in the same type of thing here.
Game time has moved up, Charlotte should be ready. New
Orleans has not been bad covering numbers as of late
five and two last seven, so that's good. But I
just even with all their guys in, I don't know
that the spot sets up well for New Orleans. So
I'd probably looks Charlotte based on the fact that their defense.
I guess you could say now in this case and
in many other cases with Charlotte opponents, that the defensive
disparity between Charlotte and their opponent is pretty significant at
this point in time, the way Charlotte's playing, and of course,
like I say, they seem to have a true pecking order.
We're scoring is concerned now it looks like Brandon Miller's
the guy. Then it just follows from there, got a
lot of guys that can put it in the basket.
So for me, it would probably be a small look
towards Charlotte here, just because I think this three o'clock
time start, it kind of reminds me exactly of what
happened to Philadelphia they got ambushed in this spot a
week ago.
Speaker 1: Yeah, so that's the reason for the time move up.
I don't know, I didn't think about that again, but
definitely could affect them. Pelicans might not even want to
play today, so it could be a situation where Hornets
run away once again. Could call out there to keep
moving to the next game. That is. The Rockets and
Pacers opened up minus seven and a half. Looks like
six and a half total keeps coming down from two
twenty three to two eighteen and a half. Durant is
out fleet. We know he's been out over topping it
as well. For the Pacers. I believe this is the
first game for the Rockets this season without Kevin Durant, So, uh,
it's interesting what they're gonna look like. I know they
depend on him a lot. You know, they need to
scoring and shooting. Yeah, buckets are gonna have to come
from somewhere. You know, other people might have to step up.
But it'll be interesting to see what they look like
for the Pacers and getting finally getting healthy here at
the house, you know, I don't know, it's kind of
appealing to take that plus plus six and a half.
How you feel about it.
Speaker 2: Yeah, we talk about cohesion in lineups an awful lot.
And when you take Kevin Durant out, not only you know,
the obvious is the point subtraction, right, he contributed so
many points, But the other is, you know, the ball movement,
the situational when you get it to Durant, and I
mean the whole thing just gets kind of discombobulated for
a time here with Durant out. So I don't know
that Houston will be the most fluid looking offense, but
they could rely on their defense here. I mean, they've
played five consecutive unders, and they haven't necessarily scored a
bunch of points lately anyway, one eleven, one oh four
ninety nine eight one eleven. Houston hasn't been on this
scoring rampage, played a couple of pretty good defenses in there.
So I don't know that I would be looking towards
the Houston side in this game. It would probably be
a little more towards Under or Indiana. I think Houston
will try to rely on defense, but covering six and
a half, that's probably a little bit of a tall
task here in this instance. If it goes the way
I see it going, you know, whereas Houston's just not
the on the offensive end. They're just not as as
fluid as they've been in the past. So probably I
didn't play the game. Probably a small look at under here,
just because Houston has been really really good on the
defensive end last five or six and they have been
scoring with Durant anyway.
Speaker 1: Um, yeah, they probably will struggle even more that I
can understand why that total is dropping like that. Brian
likes the Pacers as Rockets have Boston on deck. Joey
reminded everybody to smashed the light button appreciate that. Brian
also says Rockets fifteen and two to the under likes
that under at different things out there in the chat.
Somebody's got to step up for this Rockets team. Who's
it going to be. It's gonna be Man Thompson, Shangoon.
Oh no, I would like Tyr Easton the most people
probably do too, but that's the guy that I would
bet on that one dropping dime, says Pacers team total.
I mean, Rockets have been playing good defense though, like
Rob said, that's what would hold me off of that.
All right, next game up kind of got hiccups here
a little bit or something. I don't know what's going on.
Minnesota and Memphis open to minus seven and a half.
And this is strange because I see a lot of
I see seven and a half, I see a six,
I see a six and a half. It's all over
the place. So maybe we're getting some kind of news
right now. And yes, Jared Jackson Junior upgraded to probable
in this game. So that's a little bit of the
line move right there. Total did go up from two
twenty seven and a half to a half at Oh,
I know what that is.
Speaker 2: You know that guy? He scares me half the night.
I'm telling you, I've told you before. It just comes
out of but I just shut the volume off.
Speaker 1: So yeah, I met him again.
Speaker 2: As you were saying it. That's what popped up, did
you and Jackson? And your availability here? So the reason
why the line is moving, I would say this. You
talked an awful lot about how bad Memphis has been
since they came back to the States, and they haven't
really gotten untracked yet. Minnesota has been so good as
of late ski it. So it's not that long ago
where you couldn't bet them and trust them in a
favorite role now it's hard for me to bet against
them because it seems like they've been a focused team
as of late. I had them Friday night in a
really obvious situation, laying ten and a half out West.
I forget who the opponent was, maybe Portland, it was
somebody and that wasn't Portland. I forget who it was,
but regardless, it seemed too easy. The other side was
banged up a little bit, and Minnesota went out there
and just destroyed them like they should do on most
nights when they're given the advantage. But what they haven't
done all season long, but now they're starting to do
that again. I just wonder if it's we talked about
Boston being streaky. It's every NBA team goes through these spurs,
but Minnesota right now it's four and oh against In fact,
it was the same it was against Memphis, the same
team that they're playing today. Okay, one thirty one one fourteen,
laying ten and a half that night, got home easy,
was an easy winner, four and oh straight up against
the number. Last four games over under two to two
each way, but they're winning by margin. BEATOKC. When twenty
three to one eleven came back when that game big,
I don't know. Maybe you could expect because this is
a back to back with a day of rest in between.
Maybe Memphis because Jaren Jackson did sit out that game
the other night. Uh, maybe you could expect that Memphis
has some bounce back ability here in this one numbers
now down to six and a half. I guess as
I look at it, but I don't know that I
could trust it. Ski. Honestly, I think if Minnesota comes
to play, they're the winner here. They cover, And I'm
thinking that, unlike you know, the majority of this season
so far, that maybe they are showing up to play
every single game heading into the All Star breaks, so
too confusing for me. I can make arguments both ways.
I lay off this one. Don't have a really good
thought on the total here that other one the other
night Minnesota scored one thirty one against this team and
one twenty three to the game before. They run a
pretty good offensive role here and the defense is coming back.
Just let me finish by saying one eleventh to Golden State,
eighty three to Golden State, one oh five to Dallas,
one eleven to OKC, and then one fourteen to Memphis.
In a seventeen point round. Minnesota's defense coming around a
little bit last five games.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean you do have Randall a legenable here tonight.
But I mean, like you said, it's been Timberwolves just
blowing people out the past few games. They just played
the Grizzlies double digit points spread, blow them out. I'll
come back, don't even travel and the points spread is
seven and a half. I don't know. I feel like
the Grizzlies can be competitive in this game. Somebody in
the chest said it was jam Rock Kick said Ti
Jerome looked good. He definitely did. He'll give them a
boost offensively. Getting Jared Jackson in this time around?
Speaker 2: Is it?
Speaker 1: You know that's a plus? Could be without and Randall.
You know, I'll be missing some offense for Minnesota there,
Minnesota has been able to cover without. But I don't know.
I think the Grizzlies are the right side in this game,
all right. Last on the list is Sixers and Clippers
opened up as a pick on minus two or one
and a half for the Clippers here total open two
twenty and a half looks like hasn't really moved. But
the Clippers, you do have hard unquestionable, Jones Junior doubtful
for the Sixers. Embiid is probable, Paul George is suspended.
Clippers are running back to back here. James Harden, if
he does play, will be probably the freshest one because
he didn't play yesterday. I feel like in this game
maybe we could see a lot of points. Embiid has
been scoring pretty well lately. He could have another good
game here. Hardened versus one of his old teams could
show up and have a good game here. Kawhi has
been playing good. Kawhi maybe motivated after the All Star stuff.
I think this one could see points. If I was
picking a side, I think the Clippers have been playing
too well lately to ignore, So it will be Clippers
are over for me. What do you think? You know?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm halfway with you there, Ski, because this is
the one game that I did bet on the board
and I bet the Philly team total over one on
nine and a half. They've gotten there five of the
last seven games. Their offense and the Paul George suspension.
I think that show the other night where don't I
don't know how much it really means like they are
better with him, but I don't know that they're substantially
worse without him. The other night they walk out there
and score one twenty four against the one ands. I
think they'll be just fine for twenty five games without
Paul George, and it probably benefits them coming into the
playoffs because he'll be well rested by that time. But
the back to backs for LA and LA was in
a game against Phoenix where they played really hard last night.
The minutes don't show up as these enormous numbers, and
they did blow them out, but still that was a
game that it seemed like their focus was on from
the outset last night and watching that, it just looked
like LA wanted that game. Come back home play Philadelphia.
I'm not going to use this as part of the handicap,
but there is some you know, there's probably still some
connect for Joel Embiid to wanting to play well against
James Harden's team, and when Harden left Philly here that
was not good between Embiid and Harden, and I don't
think they carry any ill will anymore. But I do
think in the back of Embiid's mind he wants to
win when he sees Harden on the other side of
the floor. N F Harden doesn't play tonight, that's another thing.
If he doesn't, I'm probably in better shape. Philly can run.
We've talked about the Clippers. The other time I did this,
a couple of weeks ago or within the last two weeks,
was because I thought the Clippers would be slow in
the second of a back to back. This is back
to back with travel, albeit short travel. Philly's had rest,
Philly's got pretty good young legs. I feel like this
is a spot where Philly can at least score. The
line isn't enough for me to get there with Philadelphia
plus points, but I do think getting to one hundred
and ten might not be as difficult as it's been
for Clipper opponents recently because the Clips have played good defense.
So I'm kind of bucking a couple of things here,
but I think the situation pushes me there. I bet
Philadelphia team total over one or nine and a half.
Speaker 1: Yeah, we're seeing we're seeing this one kind of the
same here. I think this could be very well be
an overgame. I just want to double check one last
thing here. Pace numbers. Neither one are really playing with pace.
Last five games, both bottom ten, Sixers defense, bottom five,
Clippers defense top five, both top ten offensive raided teams.
So interesting, but it is a low total even though
they're they're you know, slow paced. So we'll see how
that one shakes out, dropping downs like six ers king
total over all. Right, that's the NBA slate, only four
piece for today, you know. So we get in, we
get out. Let's go ahead and promo a couple of things.
Let's see what do we have here. We have, well,
this is new super Bowl or super Bowl all access
for only ninety nine dollars per month. It's a good
way to get involved long term. You also, you know,
if you didn't want to go that far, you want
to do ten days of all access for the price
of seven, you'll save sixty nine dollars and get every
play that we're making for ten days here, so we know.
On that note, I'm going to pass it to you.
I ask you if there's anything else you'd like to promote,
and if you have a best bet for the show,
we like to hear it. We'd love to hear it.
If you don't no worries.
Speaker 2: Like those new promos, skip ten days for the price
of seven. I think seven for three worked out really
well for them, so they extended a little bit over
at wage of talk included obviously, if you go now
ten for the price of seven or anytime this week,
all super Bowl stuff gets included in that package right
the game, the props, et cetera, et cetera. So not
only will you have both basketball's NBA college, but you'll
have all that football as well. Ski, I'm gonna leave
a best bet because I bet it, and I still
I think it's a pretty solid play. The Sixers team
total over one on nine and a half. I just
explained why. It just seems to me it's a situational
spot that sets up well for Philly to be able
to score whether they win the game or not. You know,
I don't want to run in front of the Clippers
freight train because they've been covering at such a high rate,
but I do think that defensively they could be a
little sluggish year tonight against Philly. So give me that
team total sixer side over one o nine and a half.
Speaker 1: Good stuff for Robino. Yeah, what you said about super Bowl,
I do have. I have a package up for super Bowl.
It's a five percent best bet there a couple other
props and stuff. I know I have won three to the
last four or for the last five, one of the
two Super Bowls, so I usually do pretty good at
that time. Other than that, I didn't want to put
this up just because I got it extended here. So
pretty much NBA and college basketball. I can get them
both through the championships and at a reduce rate. I'm
pretty sure it's like one fifty off. So it's a
good way to be involved for the rest of the
season in basketball and combined to basketball. Right now, I'm
up forty five a little bit about forty five units
for the season. All right. My best bet for the show,
I'm not gonna put any grass anything up here today,
but I am gonna go with I'm gonna go with
Tarry Easton over one and a half threes. Brian did
mention it in the chat. You know, even though not
the greatest matchup, they're gonna need them tonight, especially to
space the floor without Kevin Durant there, and he's shooting
it well. I mean he's shooting just under forty eight
percent from three, so I like him up and over.
That'll be my best bet for the show. Vino, I
always appreciate you taking the time to break these games
down with us. Helps my process. I'm sure it helps
everybody else as well. We appreciate everybody in the chat,
great people, great cappers, and we all have one goal
just trying to help each other get to the window,
so appreciate y'all. Best of luck everybody on all your action.
We will be back here again tomorrow and we'll catch
you all then.