Speaker 1: Welcome to wage you Talk today, the gold standard of
sports spinning shows where we talked to Talk and Walk
the Walk Tuesday, gotta dive deep into the Big Dance.
Speaker 2: We got some NBA to talk about.
Speaker 1: We have an incredible wtf LFG Play of the Day,
and we will talk about the let It Ride mission.
Speaker 2: We are on a roll and we're gonna.
Speaker 1: Talk pretty pretty, pretty open and honest about myself and
Dan's bank roll.
Speaker 2: Seth.
Speaker 1: If you're joining us, would love for your opinion on
what you're gonna do. But Dan locked the loaded show.
It's still snowing where I am. But like I told
you before, my family is in Mana to Walk, Wisconsin.
Speaker 2: They have three feet of snow, So.
Speaker 1: I don't three feet. I don't feel quite as bad.
Speaker 3: You're wrong.
Speaker 2: I ain't happy. I ain't happy about snow on Yeah.
Speaker 3: Mean meanwhile, meanwhile, when when we are guests that we
have coming on here, we have Jesse Shule who's gonna
kick us off, and Ross Benjamin. But I was talking
to Jesse before the show. I was like, oh, Jesse,
you're looking good. Buddy was like, I don't feel good.
I was like, what are you sick? He was like, no,
I'm sunburnt. And I was like, Jesse, you mother, you
got You're gonna complain about your pool sunburn to me
and Andy and Ross who's up in Buffalo. So Jesse
will have to speak uh for for for his his
his complaint of I got burned by the pool.
Speaker 1: I got chapstick because my lips are so cold and
win burned.
Speaker 2: I got my my my handbalm because my feet hands
are so dried out.
Speaker 3: So whose idea wasn't Andy for me to buy a
house outside of Philadelphia? Because dear God, yes see, Shane,
we're here for you. This is this is a safe place,
and we can all just we're already gonna bash Jesse
in the comments because whatever reason, Jesse can't get any
it's all the flak down there in the comments, even
though he's telling you which teams you should not be
picking to advance in your brackets, the teams that you
should probably look and be looking to fade here in
March Madness. He's also got an NBA best bet for you,
Lakers and Rockets, and then Ross Benjamin the first four well,
I guess the second part of the first force, the
last two of the first four Prairie View A and
m and Lehigh. That's a match that was made for
the first four play and Dear God. And then one
that's a little bit more interesting, Miami Ohio and SMU.
We're gonna give your best bets in both of them
right here, right now. Andy's got a great WTFLFG. We
got all around the world. So Andy, locked and loaded,
let's get over the hump together.
Speaker 2: Man, All right, here we go. Jesse, come on in here.
Speaker 3: See you look to sunburn? You look good?
Speaker 2: Yeah, you look fine, Look fine.
Speaker 4: I always got a bit of color living here in Thailand.
Speaker 2: Happy Wednesday. How is everything going with this, sir?
Speaker 4: Well, Venezuela cashed a ten to one ticket for me
last night in the World Baseball Classics, So there is that.
Speaker 3: Oh what made you think to go Venezuela Because that's
their first one ever, I'm believe. I mean, it's not
like the WBC's been some big thing, but it wasn't
a first time championship for them. So what what made
you feel like Venezuela is gonna get it done? And
did you throw that one out to the clients or
was that just a bet for you?
Speaker 4: That was just a video for pix and Marley's Network.
But what it was just the price. I mean, America
was like even money or minus money, and doesn't matter
how good they are. There's a big field of very
competitive teams. They had to go through Japan, likely or
Dominican or you know a lot of good teams.
Speaker 3: They got to go through.
Speaker 4: No value. It doesn't matter how much you like America,
no value. And still with Japan even at three to one,
again no value, Dominican four to one, no value. The
first team was providing some value on the board was Venezuela,
So that was the team I went with.
Speaker 3: Well done.
Speaker 1: It was I don't I don't watch the Baseball Classic.
There's just too much going on at this time of
the year.
Speaker 2: Did you watch Were you able to watch much of it?
Speaker 1: Because apparently it just got all the praise in the world,
like this was no pun intended, This was just a
home run for them, and this just got the all
the right publicity.
Speaker 4: I saw Aeriel Epstein's tweet about ticket prices and ripping
the NBA and the NFL for their ticket prices and
saying if you lowered ticket, if the ticket prices were
more reasonable, you'd have the same reaction for NBA and NFL.
Speaker 1: I can't argue with with with her on that, But
I also can't argue with the NFL saying, would you
rather sell a ticket to a guy for twenty bucks
who's going to be hammered and yelling and screaming the
whole time, or would you rather sell a two hundred
dollars ticket to somebody in the suite.
Speaker 2: It's tough. It's really really tough. Get the I get
the connected.
Speaker 4: I guess it's the NBA that's more struggling with the ratings.
I think the NFL is doing just fine. Actually that's
a good point.
Speaker 2: NFL is good.
Speaker 1: The weird thing about the NBA. I know this because
I've talked to them. They just don't know how to
do the ratings on social media just yet. NBA is
a social media jugger, not like the replays and all that,
but they don't know how to translate that into the rating.
Speaker 2: But anyway, I've digressed.
Speaker 1: We got to talk about some teams to fade, and
we got to talk about the Lakers in the Rocket.
So let's talk college basketball. Two teams that you're fading
in the Big Dance.
Speaker 4: Yeah, Well, my philosophy is a little bit different for
March Madness. And you guys know, I'm not here to
tell people what they want to hear. I'm here to
piss people off and tell them what they don't want
to hear. Teams to fade, and my philosophy is I
don't like betting underdogs in the tournament. I think that
everybody wants to chase dogs, and chasing dogs is a
fool's Errand in my opinion, if you look at who
actually makes the final four and who wins the tournament,
it's rarely teams that aren't a one or two seed.
And in the few cases where it has been a
team that wasn't a one or two seed, several of
those few cases were Yukon when they probably should have
been a one or two seed would have been based
on their Ken Palm ranking. So we're fading dogs here
in this show, and we'll get it started with Texas
A and M A slight dog. Saint Mary's is a
three point favorite, and I know a lot of people
are going to look at this and say, an SEC
team against a team from the West Coast Conference, you
got to be out of your mind. Lay In three
points with Saint Mary's. Well, you know, I'm out of
my mind and I'm laying the three points with Saint Mary's.
Texas A and M eleven and seven, sixth in the SEC.
Only three teams in the conference allowed more points per game.
Texas A and M not very good on defense, giving
up seventy nine point six points per game. They lost
seven of their final eleven games. They were winless against
ranked teams this season. They're ranked just inside the top
forty number thirty nine, an bomb eleventh in the SEC,
and free throw percentage a respectable seventy three point seven percent.
But Saint Mary's comes in with that sixteen to two record,
tied for first in the West Coast Conference with Gonzaga,
number one in the conference. In defense, one of the
best defenses in the country. They give up just sixty
four point six points per game. I like beton on
teams that can play defense in these tournaments, and I
like Bettan on teams that can hit their free throws.
First in the West Coast Conference in free throw percentage,
hitting eighty and a half percent. And I don't know
if you guys remember last week, but I guess Saint
Mary's must have been playing Oregon almost every second game
to be hitting over eighty percent with their free throws.
That pour free throw defense over there in Oregon. Also
Saint Mary's first in West Coast Conference three point percentage
thirty eight point nine percent from beyond the arc, twenty
seven and five overall, ranked inside the top twenty five
and Ken Palm, I think the three point spread is
a little short. Give me the team from the West
Coast Conference that probably some people that don't know better
will be sleeping on. I'll take the favorite with Saint Mary's.
Speaker 2: I like that, man.
Speaker 1: I liked that you're actually fading Don because everyone loves
the upsets and then the ratings say, no, we don't.
Speaker 3: Exactly well, and unfortunately for either of these teams. I
love to play there, Jesse and is one that I
actually bet myself, so I'm right there with you. Unfortunately,
your your prizes that you get to play Houston.
Speaker 4: So yeah, look at the comments. Jesse hates America.
Speaker 3: They already started it off, Jesse. They already started it off,
all right. So we're fading Texas A and M. We're
laying the points against them. Makes a hell of a
lot of sense to me, what's the other team that
you're looking to fade here in the first round, folks,
Maybe a little bit of a bracketbuster.
Speaker 4: Potentially, we're gonna fade South Florida. They won the conference tournament.
In the American I'm gonna take Louisville. And this is
gonna be controversial because a lot of people probably don't
like Louisville. They've got that key injury to Michel Brown.
They were just seven and five without him in the lineup. Still,
this Louisville team eleven and seven in the ACC twenty
three and ten overall. They did win three of their
final four games. They lost seventy eight to seventy three
to Miami in the ACC Tournament, but they had just
beaten Miami in Miami prior to that. They also beat
Syracuse and they won their first ACC tournament game against SMU.
This team ranked first in the ACC in scoring eighty
four point eight points per game. They were third in
the conference in field goal percentage, hitting seventy six point
nine percent. And you got a UCF or USF team
fifty and three in the American twenty five and eight overall.
Won the conference tournament, but you know they were playing
Wichitas State. Their non conference schedule included double digit losses
to Alabama, Colorado State VCU. They lost at Oklahoma State
by eight points. This line sitting at five and a
half and this South Florida team. I don't like betting
on teams that aren't very good defensively. They ranked ninth
in the American in scoring defense, allowing seventy five and
a half points per game. Of course, they scored a ton.
They were the leading scorer leading scorers in the American
scoring eighty seven points seven points per game. But they
were not playing the same schedule as a Louisville team
that ranks inside the top twenty with Ken Palm. This
line has been bet down a little. We'll take Louisville
minus five and a half.
Speaker 1: Just casually throw out there that if you parl the
money line on Saint Mary's and Louisville, you get plus
one forty.
Speaker 4: I'm all about that, all about that.
Speaker 3: The Jesse that's my man special right there. I like it,
the little money, like Harlay action, the.
Speaker 4: Guys in the chat that say they disagree. I love
those guys. I want more of those guys. The more
guys and actually spice it up a little bit, call
me a little bit of names, not nothing too harsh,
but a little bit of you know, this guy doesn't
know what he's talking about. That's what I like to hear.
Speaker 3: That's what gets Jesse up in the morning. Some people
they are looking for their cup of coffee. Jesse's just like, no,
I'm looking for the ship talkers because I want to
prove them wrong. So Jesse, those are the teams that
he's fade and comment below and let us know, folks,
which team do you think you should be fading here
to kick off the first round of the tourney. And Andy,
we're gonna have plenty of talk coming up here. His
games are going to be starting tomorrow, so plenty of
March Madness action here for you folks. And I saw yesterday, Yeah,
Lina's classy. You are classy. Lead are class and he's
a gentleman up there in Massachusetts. That's uh, that's for sure.
But yeah, Andy, somebody wasn't too happy with me yesterday
saying you're not gonna have a perfect bracket. He was like, Dan,
why don't you just shit all over our brackets and everything?
And I was like, honestly fair, I did kind of
shit on the whole bracket thing. That being said, Andy,
I too will be filling out a bracket, and I
too will be entering it in to be the perfect bracket.
Just spoiler alert, it's not gonna be the perfect bracket.
Speaker 2: We're all going to why wouldn't we.
Speaker 1: It's like it's like when the power ball gets up
to four hundred million, why wouldn't you go, like spend.
Speaker 3: A couple bucks, Like what's the worst that can act me?
So I love the chapter.
Speaker 4: Jesse is not on crack.
Speaker 3: For once. He went on vacation. He went on vacation
from the crack usage. We're good to go.
Speaker 1: Oh god, oh it's so good.
Speaker 2: Let's move to NBA. Two teams that.
Speaker 1: I in my opinion, and they're kind of headed in
opposite directions. The Lakers somehow seem to have a little
momentum as we get towards the playoffs. The Rockets, I
don't know if I trust this team. Depping said, they're
both depending on aging, you know, call them superstars, you know,
whatever you want to call them. I'm interesting your take
on these two teams, because right now, if you're telling
me who I trust a little bit more in the playoffs.
I can't believe I'm going to say it, but it's
the Lakers. For the purposes of this game, Houston is
minus two and a half over under two twenty two
and a half.
Speaker 2: What are we doing with this game?
Speaker 4: Well, Andy, we could debate about how how much we
trust the Lakers in the playoffs. That certainly is up
for debate. But what makes this a different story, though,
is obviously these two teams just played each other in Houston,
and in these situations, I absolutely love coming back with
a home team that just lost on their home court
and now they're playing the second game of a bout
to back in the same city they lost one hundred
and ninety two to the Lakers on Monday. You know,
all the numbers are going to tell you Lakers here. Statistically,
this is an easy call. Bet the Lakers. All the
trends are going to tell you bet the Lakers. The
Lakers have lost five of their last seven at Houston.
Houston does have a solid home record twenty three and
nine at home, but this revenge angle, the fact that
the Lakers are one nine of their last ten. If
they could let up a little. So I'm going to
actually say I like Houston for the first half money line.
I think you could probably get it for a buck
twenty bucking a quarter. Houston first half money line. Team's
coming off a loss. I like betting them for the
first half. But Kadi, he had just eighteen points on
eight of sixteen, shooting oh for three from three point range.
After the game, he said that loss is on me.
I'm supposed to be the offense. He wasn't aggressive enough,
I believe is what he was getting at. I think
Katie is going to be a lot more aggreat of here.
In his career, He's averaged twenty eight point one points
in thirty one career games opposing Lebron James. Speaking of
people who hate America, I don't hate America, but I
know a guy who might. And I hate the Lakers.
I'm a Lakers hater. But we're gonna go with Kevin
Durant's points total twenty four and a half points will
take the over. I say Durant scores twenty five plus
and I like the Houston Rockets to win the first
half of this revenge game.
Speaker 1: Okay, all right, well we got time, so let's debate
a little bit here about the future of the Lakers
of the Rockets. I love your take, but real quick,
I'm gonna do an a fairly insane trivia No googling this,
don't don't ruin.
Speaker 2: It in the chat.
Speaker 1: Okay, the Thunder and the Lakers are tied for the
best record last ten games at nine and one. There
is a team that is ten and zero in their
last past ten games. I'll give you, guys, fifteen to
twenty seconds.
Speaker 2: Don't google it.
Speaker 1: Don't google it, try and guess what team this is.
But Jesse, these team the Lakers, Rockets, Nuggets, and Wolves,
they're all just clumped together, I mean, within you know,
a game and a half of each other.
Speaker 2: At what do you do with these teams? Of the playoffs?
Which one do you trust?
Speaker 4: It's gonna be tough to bet against the Lakers because
you know that the league is sort of invested in
Lebron James and the Lakers' success. And there is a
lot of warning signs with Houston. You know, they've averaged
or they sort they've alternated wins and losses over their
last ten games. They don't look consistent. Garnett is passed
his or sorry, Durant is past his prime. I mean
to me, it's it's Oklahoma City and the San Antonio Spurs.
I think one of those two teams will win the
NBA Championship. I'm hoping it's gonna be the Spurs, and
based on the head ted record between those two teams
this season, I feel pretty comfortable. Strong chance that will happen.
Speaker 2: Uh, yeah, Leno got it.
Speaker 1: The Atlanta Hawks, of all the teams, the Atlanta Hawks
at well, we'll get it.
Speaker 3: We'll give him parcels crant.
Speaker 1: It's not a great look for when you trade Trey
Young and then you bench your number one pick in
and then you win ten games in a row.
Speaker 2: It does doesn't speak highly of those guys.
Speaker 1: So Jesse, congrats on that ten to one call in Venezuela.
Speaker 2: That was awesome.
Speaker 1: Tell her on what you have up at some of
the videos you've been doing, and where we can find
all your plays at.
Speaker 4: Yeah, you can find me at Wager Talk of course,
also on the Picks and Parlays Network Picks and Parlays,
Winners and Whiners sports memo for a seven dollars play,
I do have a seven dollars play available. I only
have one play today and it's only available at Sports
Memo and it's on that first four matchup between SA
you and the Miami of Ohio RedHawks. Interesting matchup that is.
And the videos, Yeah, follow me on the Picks and
Parlays network. Every day or two I'm putting out videos
on that network, and certainly as we get closer to
the summer or this summer, you will see me also
start working on college football previews again. And during baseball
season you can probably expect to see plenty of content
from me in the Major League Baseball department. I was
up fifty eight units with Major League Baseball last season,
third on the Wager Talk network. So we're really excited
about baseball kicking off here.
Speaker 1: Excited too, man, it is it's data and I were
talking just here right before you like, before you know it.
It's a oh, they're already here, So Jesse, great work,
Thanks very much for joining us.
Speaker 2: Good luck on your plays. Go get some alo and
protect that della kid skin.
Speaker 4: Oh yeah, very delicate. Thanks for having me, guys.
Speaker 3: Thanks.
Speaker 2: Uh Blocked is blocked is a big Hawks fan. There
you go, I.
Speaker 1: See that you Let's do let's do our We're gonna
do our all around the world because there's this s
g W t F. We're going to old school with
the WTFL. I'm gonna give you a pick and it's
it's wild. But I want you to tell me if
you believe in it or if you think this is.
Speaker 2: Ridiculous. Okay, all right, so let's go to.
Speaker 1: Let's go to the NBA here and I'm gonna give
you let's see you got it?
Speaker 3: There we go. Okay, what are we doing?
Speaker 1: I'm doing the second one here the thundernets. Isaiah Hart's
line over four and a half points. Okay, so he
he he played against the Knicks, it got injured and
then was out for a couple He's come back and
he's played two games.
Speaker 2: He has no made baskets.
Speaker 1: No made free throws, no made points in his last
three games.
Speaker 3: Oh no.
Speaker 1: And I love the over the nets, of course you do.
The nets give up twenty three points to centers. And
this is the second, the second leg of a back
to back, and last night SGA went off. SGA went
off for forty, Chet went off for twenty. AJ Mitchell
went off for sixteen. Nobody else put up dogel double digits.
This is a great time to give your role players
a little pat on the back, like, hey, let's get
these guys some points. Hardstein no stats for in the
points call him in the last couple of games. If
there is a team to do it against, it's the Nets.
I think they set them up with a couple of
lobs near the basket. I could see the guys celebrating
with him. I don't even mind some ault lines on
Isaiah Hartsteine and maybe even get to like eight points.
Speaker 2: So is this ridiculous?
Speaker 1: Are you taking an over on a man that has
not scored a basket in two straight games? Or are
we riding with the teammates are going to get their
teammate involved theory?
Speaker 3: Well, Andy, I wasn't ignoring you as I was looking
down at the screen. I was just trying to scroll
to find Isaiah Hartenstein's name under this player prop list
because I love this. It makes actually a hell of
a lot of sense. I don't know if you would
be able to get me in on this if it
wasn't that angle the second in a back to back,
because that makes a hell of a lot of sense
to me. Where where you're gonna see some increase playtime. Obviously, it's,
you know, a matchup that kind of makes sense. You
get him there on the inside, a guy who's returning
to play. It doesn't sound like or seem like he's
a kind of guy who they're gonna put any minute
restrictions on. So maybe you even get a hot hand situation.
So Andy, I was not ignoring you. I was looking
down and scrolling for Isaiah Hartenson's name there because this
is a LF. How about that?
Speaker 1: All right, let's do it. Four and a half points.
It's crazy that's available at all the books. I was
really surprised. You normally don't see lines like that, but
we'll take it.
Speaker 2: YEA. A couple other plays for you. There's a player prop.
Speaker 1: It's available on fan Duel in the Prairie View game.
Look at Josh Ingram over fifteen and a half points
plus rebounds. He may play every single minute. He's played
thirty nine minutes in games before. He may play every
single minute tonight.
Speaker 2: In this one.
Speaker 1: He's had seventeen plus and four straight. He's third on
the team in scoring, he's third in rebounding. He's made
ten straight free throws, so he can get you some
free points at the Charity Stripe.
Speaker 2: I like is over here. You know the time of year,
these teams ride their.
Speaker 1: Best players, so that's where all the stats are gonna go,
and then we'll get a NASCAR play out before they
start practicing qualifying here in a day or so. It's
the series good year four hundred. This is that my
favorite track, Darlington. We're gonna take Denny hammeling top five.
There's a there's a legendary story of Dan about this track.
When it was built in the forties or fifties, they
built half of it and then they were gonna build
the rest of it, but there was a guy that said,
my minno pond is on that side.
Speaker 2: So you need to build it different.
Speaker 1: So they built half the track one way and half
the track the other way, and it is now this
just iconic track.
Speaker 2: It's very treacherous.
Speaker 1: Guys run into the wall all the time, and Denny
Hamlin is one of the best at managing his tires.
You're getting a great price if he qualifies in the
top ten. This minus one twenty five goes to about
minus two hundred. So it's my favorite track that NASCAR
race is on all year. So got to do a
free play in that, so Eddy real quick.
Speaker 3: We got Ross Benjamin coming on. We're going to talk
some college basketball. But welcome in and a new viewer.
We always appreciate it. And how you know you're new
here is because we got the one eight hundred comment. Andy,
correct me if I'm wrong, Correct me if I'm wrong.
There is one sport and wager Talk never had a
losing season. I mean, there are several sports that you
could say that for, but one that that shines above
the rest. Reckon if I'm wrong, Andy, your clients have
never lost telling you on auto racing? Am I correct here? Andy?
Speaker 1: Yes, since I've joined wager Talk, we have never had
a losing season. So when I talk about certain sports,
you're more than welcome to tune out. But when I
talk about some sports and some plays, very very smart
to listen. When Dan talks about lacrosse, you listen. When
I talk about auto racing, you listen. When we talk
about darts, you listen. When we talk about golf, you
should listen. But it's your bank roll. You do what
you want. You fire away on your on college basketball brackets.
Speaker 2: Be my guest, be my guest.
Speaker 1: So let's bring in Ross, and then we'll talk about
our let it ride and we'll talk about all the
plays that we have coming up. Look at Ross's glow
from the Buffalo Sabers. That's just a Buffalo Sabers or
like light blue.
Speaker 2: They keep rolling Ross. Congratulations. We're talking about.
Speaker 5: Two to nothing last night against Las Vegas. There's a
dog on the road. Thirty one, five and two in
our last thirty eight games. Guys, they've caught Carolina. They're
on top of the Eastern Conference right now, four point
lead over Tampa Bay for the division. It's been a
long time, guys. You know, and I know you guys
are die hard fans of certain teams, and I don't
know if anybody any of your teams went through the
type of drought that the Sabers have gone through fourteen
years without making the playoffs. And being a Bills fan,
we went through a seventeen year drought up until Josh
Allen came to town. So it's exciting times here in
Western New York.
Speaker 1: That's amazing, man, that's such a what hockey hockey. A
lot of times it's the blue bloods and everything, but
every once in a while they get a team that
just comes out of it. Normally you see it in
the playoffs, but this has just been really fun.
Speaker 3: So although I can say long, long suffering fans, you
are at least this is next to my side over here,
Andy Lang, Indiana football fan, so so so summer no more,
you know, perfect example, Yeah, exactly so. Ross. Speaking of
college athletics that have suffered very long, how about the
Prairie View A and M School of Agricultural Panthers and whatnot.
I love this. This is when you talk, yeah, when
you talk about March madness. Ross, this is a game
tailor made for the first four because really, if you're
looking at metrics, you're looking at kemp'd like, these really
are two of the teams who just missed or probably
should have missed. But this is what we have. We
have Lehigh, the Mountain Hawks near me and Bethlehem. They're
laying three and a half. This totals come crashing down
here a little bit though, Ross, talk about first four.
We're obviously going to talk about how how you attack
March madness, But as far as this game is concerned,
how are you looking to better for the folks here?
Speaker 5: Yeah, you know, if you watch the first four last
night the two sixteen seeds U NBC and OK, howard
that to me?
Speaker 3: That was an entertaining game.
Speaker 5: Uh, this one here, I think is going to be
about as boring as they come. We've got two teams
that you know shouldn't be in the NCAA tournament and
they're just waiting to get crushed in the next game.
Having said all that, something's gonna win, either a total
or side. And I liked the total in this game.
And yeah, it opened at one forty six if I'm
not mistaken, and it's down to one forty two and
a half. And for good reason, in my estimation, Perview
has gone under the total in their last seven and
nine of the last ten games. Their last six contests
a combined one and twenty nine points seven points scored
per game, and the average total in those games one
forty six point two. So not only are they going under,
they're going well under the total in recent games. Lehigh,
on the other hand, three Patriot League wins tournament wins,
I should say, to get to the NCAA tournament. All
three of those contests went under the total. The average
total in those three games one forty two point eight.
The average total today one forty two and a half.
Here's another thing. Per Review has won seven in a row.
Lehigh has won six in a row. So I tapped
into my database on this one. And since it started
a twenty twenty one twenty twenty two seasons, all college
basketball teams coming out six wins or more versus an
opponent who's coming out seven wins or more, those games
have played forty eight in fourteen to the under. That's
seventy seven percent or so, and ten and two to
the under this year in those exacts situations, and the
average total in those sixty two games was one forty
four point nine, So not much different to what we're
seeing right now. And again, you know, we've lost a
little bit of value, Dan and Andy with the total
going down from one forty six to one forty two
and a half. And that's according excuse me, we lost
a little bit of value on the under, let me
be specific, but I still think there's some value left.
And when you look at the betting patterns here, uh,
you're looking at six over sixty percent of tickets wagered
and over sixty percent of the money has gone on
the over in this contest. Yeah, we've seen this line
go down from the opener of one forty six down
to one forty two and a half. It's what we
call reverse line movement and usually indicates very sharp action,
including mine. I'm going Lehigh Prairie View under one forty
two and a half.
Speaker 3: Under is the play for our man, Ross, Benjamin and Ross. Yeah, congrats,
you guys get to play Florida after whoever wins this game,
So enjoy that. Enjoy that. That should go well for
who's ever going to be on a seven game winning
streak or an eight game winning streak for that one
probably coming to a close in the next round, but
you never know what's going to happen Ross. Before we
talk this second game here in first four Action, we
got SMU and Miami Ohio. This one, even though it
spreads a little wider, I would argue this is definitely
the more interesting game of the two. I want to
know first, what do you have locked and loaded for clients?
This is going to be a huge week. People can
check out that buy three, get three three. We obviously
still have that one forty nine get you all the
access all basketball players, whether it's N I T or
in the college basketball the March Madness Tournament, so plenty
of ways if people can get involved ross. But this
is going to be a hell of an upcoming few
weeks for you and your clients.
Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm looking forward to it and my clients shoot
as well. We got off to a bad start last
night in the NCAA. Look, I'm transparent as they come.
I had umbc last night. They fell, But I have
a four percent top play in the NBA tonight it's
a winning side. And my college basketball premium sides have
gone thirty six and fifteen with my last fifty one.
That's good for seventy one percent, folks. Since December thirty first,
my college basketball premium picks are on winning runs of
twenty one to ten sixty six percent, forty two and
twenty two sixty six percent, seventy six and forty nine
sixty one percent, one hundred and forty nine dollars for
March Madness package. I just gave you my long term
runs I got going in college basketball right now. U
one forty nine is an absolute steal. It'll get you
all the postseason action right through the National Championship game,
So take advantage. Folks, because the winning is.
Speaker 3: There and I feel red hot.
Speaker 5: I am red hot, and I will continue to be
red high.
Speaker 4: I love it.
Speaker 3: Ross the Boss Management WT dot Buzz Backslash RB is
where you can get it all right, Ross, This one's
intriguing because I have a feeling people are gonna want
to be lining up to bet Miami Ohio. Here the
team that's thirty one and one, Oh my good? How
are they seven point dogs here? However, Ross you saying
maybe pump the brakes. You're looking to split this game
in half? And uh and handicap it a little bit
different here? How are you looking to bet this one?
Because I think the way you're attacking it makes a
lot of You know, Dan.
Speaker 5: I always like guys to go out on a limb
like yourself and say this is the more interesting game
in a two.
Speaker 3: Boy.
Speaker 5: Oh boy, that's a tremendous prediction because I meant.
Speaker 3: Out of Prairie View and Lee High. I don't know
if it with the pickens or that's that Uh, that
tough to decide between.
Speaker 5: I'm on, Dan, you're man man, I gotta give you
a hard time. You don't hesitate to give me the
one once in a while, so is it anyway, let's
to the game. Look, I'm looking at the first half
line here SMUs minus three and a half. Dan is
right as much as I just gave my hard time,
he's right on Q because people are thinking they're getting
a steal with Miami Ohio as a sizeable underdog in
this matchup, and the betting patterns will indicate that.
Speaker 3: However, I do.
Speaker 5: Like Miami Ohio, but not for the entire game. I
like him in the first half. And let me tell
you why. Because this is a team that's going to
have a chip on their shoulder after going thirty one
and oho in the regular season, they get upset in
their conference championship game and they're one of the last
teams chosen to be in the field, and I think
for that reason alone, emotionally, they're going to come out
real strong with a point to prove. So looking at
them in the first half is something I looked at,
did the deep dive on, and like it more. I
look at it and Miami, by the way, in first
half action in away games and neutral site they've led
at the half and fourteen of those sixteen games. You
look at SMU, they're one in five in their last
six games, and they only led at halftime once, and
that was against Syracuse, a team that fell off the
cliff at the end of the year, had lost six
in a row to finish the season, and they only
led to that game thirty nine to thirty eight at the half. However,
SMU did come back in the second half to win
that game by seventeen.
Speaker 3: You know, I don't have a lot.
Speaker 5: Of confidence in Miami being able to sustain a strong
first half, So that's not why I'm not going with
them for the game. I think eventually the strength to
schedule that they played one of the weekest in the
country against a team from the Big twelve. Over the
long haul, I think SMU will win.
Speaker 4: The game or even cover.
Speaker 5: But I'm not willing to step in front of either
side in that regard. But I am willing to step
in front of SMU is a first half play. I
just think Miami comes out fired up in the first
half of this game. They're a great three point shooting team.
I like Miami in the first half. Year plus three.
That's Miami of Ohio plus three and a half against SMU.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I love that breakdown. Ross a foresure appreciate you
hopping in and joining us here. Ross. So, as far
as the tournament is concerned, you a bracket filler outer
or you just hang?
Speaker 5: I am, I am. I took Arizona to win it all.
You know I didn't go out on a limb.
Speaker 4: I don't.
Speaker 5: I mean, again, who predicts Cinderella's to get to the
final four? But I think this I agree with Jesse.
This might be a chuck type of tournament.
Speaker 3: Was last year? Ye history? So we I mean had Ross.
We had Ross on yesterday, or excuse me, we had
Ralph on yesterday and he was talking about how you
know when people are like, yeah, I'm gonna lay it
with top seeds, I'm gonna pick top seeds. Oh you're
eating chalk. Oh you're eating chalk. The numbers were something
crazy one, two, three, and four seeds, thirty nine and
twenty five against the number over the last four years.
So it's just, you know, sixty percent rate to your
cash in at there. So yeah, you want to call
me a chalk eater, be my guest, But I am Ross.
What do you think about Rick Patino? Do you think
Saint John's got any chance at making a little run
here that.
Speaker 5: Didn't do it like the segment me and Andy had
during football season. I'm glad you asked Dan, because I
have two sleeper teams that I think can make deep
runs and possibly even surprise everybody with a national championship.
One of them is Saint John's and the other one
is Guys. You know, because that's I will play of
both teams unless you played them within the conference and
if you're a non conference opponent, very hard to adapt to.
Arkansas very athletic, plays really fast, can shoot the three.
And Saint John's an excellent defensive team under Rick Patino.
They've played it's really tough schedule this year, they've held
up really well and he's a proven coach at this
time of year. So I like Saint John's. It's one
of my sleeper teams along with Arkansas. But I do
like Arizona. If I get you put the gun to
my head, Arizona to win the tournament.
Speaker 3: But he got there. It is right there. Ross. Saint
John's is who I have picked to win my bracket.
So I'm taking the show on Rick Patino and the
and the Johnny so Ross.
Speaker 4: A brilliant mind like buddy.
Speaker 3: That's what I'm saying is that it's that buffalo.
Speaker 5: It's always great to be on with you two guys,
and I wish you nothing but the best throughout the
NCAA tournament.
Speaker 3: Best of luck, Ross, we appreciate it, man. That's Ross
the Boss. Benjamin WT dot buzz backslash r B is
where you can get his best bets. Take advantage of
those deals. For sure. I love it when Ross, who
finds these sleepers, says, yeah, Saint John's Red Storm is
a sleeper, because that's again, Andy, you know that I
don't cap college basketball, but this is the time of
year when we're all college basketball experts. Uh. I think
they got a really good shot. I think if they
get through you know, first three games, you're you're you're
looking at a pretty good chance at having a run
there for him.
Speaker 1: So I I I'm I'm going I think I'm going
even chalkier. I'm what's gonna take forever this afternoon is
the play. Don't if I don't have enough stuff to
do this afternoon, I need to go through and I'm
going to mark every single play that I do in
in Calshie. But not like Duke over so and so
it's the number one seed from the East to advance,
and then the number two seed to advance. I have
my bracket plan every year for the rest of my life,
and I don't need to.
Speaker 3: I like it, and I just me you're not broken.
Speaker 1: And all I need is it for hit to hit
one time, one time. My guess is, and then, like
the last year in my life, I'll be like eighty,
I'll find.
Speaker 3: I'm pretty sure that's in Atlantis more set song, hit
the lottery and died the next day. Right, That's isn't
it ironic?
Speaker 2: And my last dying words are being like, go duke?
All right, all right, let's talk a little serious here.
Speaker 1: We've got actual, actual serious bank rolls here to managing
to talk about. So for those of you who have
been following, are let it ride mission, you're you.
Speaker 2: We've cashed.
Speaker 1: We've cashed every single play except that bizarre uh Colin
Morikawa situation where.
Speaker 2: Everybody got voided here.
Speaker 1: So I just reset mine in all fairness to the clients,
but I have let my I've let it ride on
this game. I'm not cashing out. I'm not just playing
it normal. So I have hit a few legs in
a row. I'm looking make kerry and now I have
four hundred and twenty three dollars on our let it
Ride play. You have a little bit more serious situation
because you didn't reset after Colin Morikawa.
Speaker 3: No so Calin Okaw because it got avoided. I wasn't like, hey,
I just took that as the push we reset. We
didn't bet for a couple of days, but then we
ran it back on a lacrosse play that I really loved.
Like we said, we cashed in on our F one
and our UFC and then we had a lacrosse play.
So technically I got up to the fourth run of
the ladder now because juice was a little bit different
here and there, I had just under this number that
we were looking at one, one hundred, twenty nine and
seventy one. So I'm like, on the fourth run of
the ladder, I think it was around like nine to
eighty that was sitting in my account with a chance
to let it ride. So andy. I know, like hedging
is for gardeners, scared money, don't make no money, all
that good stuff. It sounds really cool when you're in
a movie. I'm thinking, dude, you know, Andy's kind of
on the second rung of the ladder here, So what
my plan and what I plan to do, Andy, And
I'm gonna be cashing it out today. I'm gonna take
that around nine to eighty, and I'm just gonna take
it down to around two hundred. So I'm gonna take
out seventy eighty, you know, seven eighty excuse me. And
then what I'm gonna do is, I'm just gonna restart
the ladder on the same rung that Andy's on, but
started at two hundred. It's a plan for me because
still I mean, like seven eighty dollars. No, it's not
life changing money or anything, but as a new homeowner,
that's some nice little improvements. That's some things for the
guest room. So seven eighty for me right now, I
don't need to take it all the way up to
forty two thousand, Andy, nor do I think I would
have the stones to ride ten straight on it. So
with the initial investment, I'm gonna be up plus still
have two hundred in the game. And that's from an
original one hundred dollars.
Speaker 5: Bet.
Speaker 3: That's what's gonna make sense to me.
Speaker 1: That's how you take a one hundred bet and make
eight hundred. So what we're doing is we're gonna put
out a play, not every single day. It's not gonna
be in the same sport. There's going to be a
legit method to my madness. Uh, there's gonna be some
patients involved. So if you guys want to join us,
please do. We're gonna be continuing this. And yeah, it
doesn't take a few a few of these plays, of
these few of these missions to hit. So Dan's got pebbles.
Speaker 3: Stop.
Speaker 2: Stop.
Speaker 3: It took it to at least get to it. But
then they did shrivel slightly. Andy, I felt I felt
a slight suckering when I was like, am I about
to put you know, nine hundred dollars on this next
this next game?
Speaker 5: You know?
Speaker 3: Yeah?
Speaker 1: Yeah, So I legit believe this is gonna be a
money maker for the over this for the next year.
So what do we have up for today? I can't
believe this just unfolded this. We have three four percent
plays that are on the board for today, so we
put those.
Speaker 2: Into one package.
Speaker 1: So it's twenty five bucks you get three four percent plays.
We have one and then we hit our NBA play
last night we hit our hot play. We're just seeing
the board really really good right now. And I kind
of made it a point too, we need to take
advantage of these really good streaks because we're going to
go through cold streaks and you're not going to see
us do a let it ride mission. So when we're riding,
when we're riding good, let's do it. So the let
it right mission is on a golf play. I've played
it at DraftKings. That is included in the plays today.
The real thing to do is just get the three
days and get three days free, because if we hit
this golf play, which we will know whether or not
it's a winner or if it's dead bye by Friday,
we will roll it over into UFC. There's too many
good plays in UFC, So you lock in six days
and you're gonna get all of our plays we've hit.
We've hit sixty two percent of our four percent plays
in twenty twenty six, which is really really wild. So
that's by far the best deal that's on the board
for us right now. Between now and Sunday, we're gonna
have quite a few plays, some pretty big ones, uh.
In terms of the four percent, maybe even five percent role,
so pretty pretty.
Speaker 2: Blackjack will do that. Blackjack will do that too.
Speaker 3: Sometimes it'd be like that, buddy. Sometimes it'd be like that,
Blackjack will do that to you. Yeah.
Speaker 1: Yeah, So with where I'm at with my bankroll, I
was pretty open. I pulled out basically all of my
bankroll last year, had to build it up. We hit
losing streaks last last summer. So it's been a grind,
but it's been good in twenty twenty six, real good.
So we're already up twenty one units in that one.
Players are starting to get bigger, bankrolls get.
Speaker 3: A little bigger.
Speaker 1: But I just want to swing for the fences here.
I need to have some some big hits in my life.
So that's what we're doing with the let It Ride mission.
So really invite everyone to join us. So h h
that's even worse, Nick, Yeah, when it's against a computer
and not a live dealer.
Speaker 3: Yeah, that burnt me once and then I said never again.
I was like, I'm never I'm never doing it. I mean,
it's basically you're getting screwed either way, but it feels
worse when it's just like a I laughing at you.
It certainly feels worse. And in that package that Andy's
talking about, we locked them loaded the lacrosse play. We've
been seeing it really well in lacrosse. The people who
got the Lacrosse all access are already gonna get it.
But like Andy said, buy three, get three free, you're
gonna get the whole entire weekend. Folks. Yeah, sure, you
can buy the three package for twenty five if that's
what you want to do. But you want to hop
on board because like Andy said, we're seeing it well
right now. I think we're going to continue to see
it well. This play that we have to night liked
it enough to throw it up there as a four percenter,
And I did not bet it myself yet because I
want to give huge people the chance to bet it,
because I have my account dog year that whenever I
bet it, even if it's my usual unit size. Andy,
we're seeing the line move a half point, So you
guys go to WT dos, WT Dot, Buzz Backslash al
grab the plays. Then I will bet it so you
can get the actual line that I like a little more.
Speaker 2: So you can bet it now. It's already moved.
Speaker 3: Thanks a lot, guys. Somebody's tailing Andy, it's.
Speaker 1: Still perfectly within the parameter line. But it's it's fine,
you're you're good to go, brother, So.
Speaker 2: All right, that is gonna do it for us.
Speaker 1: Right after the show today, we're gonna record our golf show.
We're gonna get you ready for the Vaals Bar Championship
tomorrow and subscribe to the YouTube channel. Guys, you get
notified when all these videos are coming out. It's one
of the best times a year to be a subscriber
for your bracket because we're releasing all these videos getting
you ready for all these games. But there's no way you,
guys can know about all of these teams. It's impossible
to know these teams inside and out.
Speaker 2: So we have all these videos breaking it down.
Speaker 1: Myself, I did our same game parlay of the day
and our props market watch on the prop line that
has been released. So it's gonna be a good day
and same time, same place tomorrow. We have a busy,
busy couple weeks here get to get you ready for
college basketball. And this is always one of the craziest
times a year when all you go through a few
rounds of college basketball, Dan and all of a sudden,
there just aren't games and what's going on? And all
of a sudden, you're like, oh, opening days for baseball's
like in two days. So we're gonna get you ready
for everything. But let's root on to root on our
golf plays, root on lacrosse, root on NBA. We've got
a big, big day tonight, and we're gonna meet you
here tomorrow, same time, same place.
Speaker 2: Good luck on your bets.
Speaker 1: Thanks to all the handicappers that joined us today, and
we'll say it tomorrow.
Speaker 2: Take care