1 00:00:01,320 --> 00:00:05,639 Speaker 1: Love good morning. As you guys can tell, I am 2 00:00:05,639 --> 00:00:07,120 not in my home office. I'm gonna Ruba and I 3 00:00:07,160 --> 00:00:08,919 would open up the curtain behind you, guys and show 4 00:00:08,960 --> 00:00:11,679 you the beautiful view, except it's just gonna be completely 5 00:00:11,919 --> 00:00:14,320 backlit by the sun. Speaking of the sun, we got 6 00:00:14,320 --> 00:00:16,440 a shorter show today because I need to get out 7 00:00:16,480 --> 00:00:19,760 in the sun. Aaron Epstine is already patiently waiting by 8 00:00:19,800 --> 00:00:22,320 the pool, VR is patiently waiting in the wings. And 9 00:00:22,320 --> 00:00:24,719 then Marco DiAngelo is gonna be joining us to take 10 00:00:24,760 --> 00:00:27,640 some college football question. So you guys are basically getting 11 00:00:27,760 --> 00:00:30,120 an extended version of this week's bet on It with 12 00:00:30,160 --> 00:00:34,600 my two favorite guys, Yanni and Marco Paulogy's no Kyle 13 00:00:34,640 --> 00:00:36,920 Anthony today, but you guys can head over to his 14 00:00:36,920 --> 00:00:39,600 homepage WT Dot buzz backslash Ka if you're looking for 15 00:00:39,880 --> 00:00:42,840 some of his UFC picks. I got some needs from 16 00:00:42,920 --> 00:00:46,439 Art to Caesar at the Westgate super Book. He said, 17 00:00:46,439 --> 00:00:49,399 they're gonna need Navy, They're gonna need Temple, they're gonna 18 00:00:49,399 --> 00:00:52,399 need Louisville, They're gonna need A and M. He put 19 00:00:52,479 --> 00:00:54,159 North Carolina on that list. That'd have been nice to 20 00:00:54,159 --> 00:00:57,119 know last night, Art that you guys were gonna need 21 00:00:57,159 --> 00:01:00,399 North Carolina. We'll see how the rest of the needs 22 00:01:00,399 --> 00:01:02,560 pan out for today. I'm gonna retweet the show here 23 00:01:03,159 --> 00:01:06,280 really quickly while we get VR waiting here in the wings. 24 00:01:06,719 --> 00:01:10,000 Sharp money came in on Nebraska plus three down to Pickham, 25 00:01:10,400 --> 00:01:14,879 Kinnesas State minus seven now minus ten. Kansas saw sharp 26 00:01:14,879 --> 00:01:16,480 money early in the week. If you guys did see 27 00:01:16,599 --> 00:01:19,120 bet on It, you guys remember that VR gave out 28 00:01:19,400 --> 00:01:22,200 the University of Kansas plus six now four and a half. 29 00:01:23,120 --> 00:01:25,239 Hawaii was a seven and a half point underdog, now 30 00:01:25,280 --> 00:01:28,040 down to six and a half. Georgia minus seven now 31 00:01:28,239 --> 00:01:33,439 nine the foremost public sides today at the Westgate Superbook Maryland, 32 00:01:33,760 --> 00:01:37,840 Oregon Duke and Iowa State and art to Caesar is 33 00:01:37,879 --> 00:01:42,719 going big time contrarian here. His favorite play is Florida 34 00:01:42,879 --> 00:01:46,879 minus three, so very interesting there. We saw Florida take 35 00:01:46,959 --> 00:01:48,159 up to three and a half. If you guys have 36 00:01:48,239 --> 00:01:51,760 your Odds logic page open, I highly recommend it because 37 00:01:51,799 --> 00:01:54,200 you're gonna need it for this next segment. Let's bring 38 00:01:54,200 --> 00:01:57,480 in VR busy Saturday morning for my guy. I appreciate 39 00:01:57,599 --> 00:02:01,400 him coming on early as all. I got my pin 40 00:02:01,519 --> 00:02:04,000 and paper ready. I gotta take some notes. I'm headed 41 00:02:04,000 --> 00:02:05,799 down to the pool here shortly, but before we do, 42 00:02:05,840 --> 00:02:08,039 we got to lock in all of those last minute bets. 43 00:02:08,240 --> 00:02:10,400 Speaker 2: Indeed, I got so much information for you, kell and 44 00:02:10,479 --> 00:02:12,400 forgive the hair, it's still from last night. It's that 45 00:02:12,479 --> 00:02:14,800 kind of morning i've been. I don't think I even slept, 46 00:02:14,840 --> 00:02:17,080 maybe two hours, but we've just been firing. So let 47 00:02:17,080 --> 00:02:19,400 me give you guys two props real quickly, because I 48 00:02:19,400 --> 00:02:22,560 couldn't even give these two subscribers just got so much 49 00:02:22,599 --> 00:02:23,080 to give you. 50 00:02:23,479 --> 00:02:23,719 Speaker 3: LJ. 51 00:02:23,879 --> 00:02:27,479 Speaker 2: Martin rushing yards LJ Martin rushing yards under sixty nine 52 00:02:27,560 --> 00:02:31,960 and a half. And then in the NBA Indiana Denver game, 53 00:02:32,280 --> 00:02:36,039 Andrew Nemhard, I gave that out to subscribers that was 54 00:02:36,039 --> 00:02:40,479 still readily availuable. So that's Andrew Nemhard over three and 55 00:02:40,560 --> 00:02:43,879 a half minus one fifty total assists good to minus 56 00:02:43,879 --> 00:02:46,159 one sixty five, so that's over three and a half. 57 00:02:46,400 --> 00:02:49,199 And then, real quickly, let me give you three added games. 58 00:02:49,319 --> 00:02:53,159 These have done really, really well, but again, lines move 59 00:02:53,159 --> 00:02:54,759 a little bit quickly, and I don't like the piss 60 00:02:54,800 --> 00:02:57,800 subscribers off, so I kind of only share these when 61 00:02:57,800 --> 00:03:01,520 we're going live. Added game THREEHO eight nine oh nine. 62 00:03:01,599 --> 00:03:05,120 New Hampshire Monmouth over fifty eight and a half, over 63 00:03:05,159 --> 00:03:09,039 fifty eight and a half, uh, Firman Chattanooga under fifty 64 00:03:09,080 --> 00:03:11,599 four and a half. Firman Chattanooga under fifty four and 65 00:03:11,639 --> 00:03:15,919 a half. Then Colgate Lafayette, Colgate Lafayette over fifty six 66 00:03:15,960 --> 00:03:17,759 and a half. So that's over fifty eight and a half. 67 00:03:17,840 --> 00:03:20,400 New Hampshire, Monmouth under fifty four and a half, Firman 68 00:03:20,479 --> 00:03:23,919 Chattanooga over fifty six and a half, Colgate Lafayette. 69 00:03:23,960 --> 00:03:25,120 Speaker 3: All those are gold. 70 00:03:25,240 --> 00:03:30,039 Speaker 2: I'm telling you now some college football for you real quickly. 71 00:03:30,080 --> 00:03:32,120 Here's some of the most one sided. Let's get that 72 00:03:32,159 --> 00:03:33,680 out of the way, because I know everybody likes to 73 00:03:33,680 --> 00:03:35,719 know what is the public on. I don't know why 74 00:03:35,719 --> 00:03:39,159 they're so interested because you're not booking them. But here 75 00:03:39,199 --> 00:03:42,680 you go. Indiana, Indiana, one of the most one sided 76 00:03:42,919 --> 00:03:46,560 bets I've seen all week. They've been betting in Indiana. 77 00:03:46,759 --> 00:03:49,520 They've been betting A and M, A and M money 78 00:03:49,520 --> 00:03:52,400 line A and M, teaser A and M spread. So 79 00:03:52,479 --> 00:03:54,639 a little surprised that they need A and M this 80 00:03:54,759 --> 00:03:55,919 morning at the Westgate. 81 00:03:55,960 --> 00:03:57,039 Speaker 3: But every book's different. 82 00:03:57,919 --> 00:04:01,639 Speaker 2: Iowa, Iowa another doll that's getting a lot of money 83 00:04:01,680 --> 00:04:07,599 from the public, even getting moneyline action also uh Georgia 84 00:04:08,159 --> 00:04:14,080 Steam sharp and public on Georgia Alabama one side at 85 00:04:14,120 --> 00:04:19,680 Alabama money like ton ton of exotics tied in with Alabama. 86 00:04:20,680 --> 00:04:23,399 Texas Tech. That was the signe that I liked as 87 00:04:23,439 --> 00:04:26,279 well the Texas Tech signed. That's up to eleven and 88 00:04:26,279 --> 00:04:28,600 a half. That's why are the public is still betting it. 89 00:04:28,680 --> 00:04:31,680 Whyse guys got down at about nine and a half, 90 00:04:31,839 --> 00:04:35,160 so different number that they're betting now in Ohio state, 91 00:04:35,199 --> 00:04:37,839 which gets money every single week. When you're number one 92 00:04:37,879 --> 00:04:40,399 in the country, you're gonna get money every single week. 93 00:04:40,519 --> 00:04:44,399 Some sharp moves that I got down on for the 94 00:04:44,439 --> 00:04:47,160 groups I work with or have been shared with me. 95 00:04:48,759 --> 00:04:52,920 That was yesterday USC that got there one fifty, Rutgers 96 00:04:52,959 --> 00:04:58,439 plus one, that one flipped to minus one, BC one 97 00:04:58,560 --> 00:05:02,519 thirty six, Bollston College twelve plus eleven, one forty three, 98 00:05:02,680 --> 00:05:05,959 Stanford plus nine, all the way down the plus eight 99 00:05:07,199 --> 00:05:11,319 one eighty nine, Nebraska, Nebraska plus three, UH one sixty 100 00:05:11,399 --> 00:05:15,800 nine LSU opposite Alabama plus eleven plus ten and a half. 101 00:05:16,439 --> 00:05:19,600 The fighting Irish of No tre Dame, as Joe says, 102 00:05:19,680 --> 00:05:22,519 no Tre Dame minus twenty five and a half minus 103 00:05:22,560 --> 00:05:24,720 twenty six and a half. They came through for the 104 00:05:24,720 --> 00:05:27,079 Sharps last week in the public, they're coming right back 105 00:05:27,120 --> 00:05:30,000 with them today. They also went under in that game, 106 00:05:30,160 --> 00:05:32,560 so if they're laying Notre day Amen, the under may 107 00:05:32,600 --> 00:05:35,600 want to look at that Navy team total under also 108 00:05:35,959 --> 00:05:38,079 because they expect only one team to do the scoring. 109 00:05:38,120 --> 00:05:39,959 So if the money, if the line gets away from 110 00:05:40,040 --> 00:05:43,639 you get creative like that. If the under's gone, if 111 00:05:43,759 --> 00:05:46,720 Notre Dame's gone, then look the Navy not to score 112 00:05:46,759 --> 00:05:50,240 a lot of points. Kansas. I gave you Kansas on 113 00:05:50,360 --> 00:05:52,639 bed on it. If you're watching that show, you've got 114 00:05:52,759 --> 00:05:56,639 nothing but gold for me, Kelly and Marco. Then towards 115 00:05:56,639 --> 00:06:01,120 the bottom of the board, last one ninety seven plus ten, 116 00:06:01,519 --> 00:06:03,759 all the way down the plus nine and a half, 117 00:06:04,040 --> 00:06:07,120 and then what aren't touched on Florida that actually just 118 00:06:07,199 --> 00:06:09,439 came in with the guys actually work with. 119 00:06:10,800 --> 00:06:12,199 Speaker 3: They want Florida. 120 00:06:11,879 --> 00:06:14,759 Speaker 2: At minus three, So I like that play as well. 121 00:06:15,439 --> 00:06:17,680 Speaker 1: Or if you are a couple of questions from the 122 00:06:17,839 --> 00:06:20,079 chat and then we'll let Marco answer the rest of them. 123 00:06:20,079 --> 00:06:23,160 I know you've got lots to do here before kickoff. 124 00:06:23,319 --> 00:06:26,519 They want to talk college basketball. So it's November eighth. 125 00:06:26,560 --> 00:06:29,800 College basketball started about a week ago, and we've seen 126 00:06:29,879 --> 00:06:33,360 some interesting line moves early. We know those totals get 127 00:06:33,399 --> 00:06:35,680 steamed up the second they basically come out. 128 00:06:35,720 --> 00:06:35,839 Speaker 4: Right. 129 00:06:35,839 --> 00:06:37,800 Speaker 1: I get a whole list from a couple of different guys, 130 00:06:38,279 --> 00:06:40,160 and most of them are at least gone by a 131 00:06:40,199 --> 00:06:42,360 point and a half by the time I get into it. 132 00:06:42,399 --> 00:06:44,959 So you're gonna give out some college basketball for today, 133 00:06:44,959 --> 00:06:46,800 but can you kind of let everybody know, for at 134 00:06:46,879 --> 00:06:50,199 least your clients when you want to give them to them? 135 00:06:50,319 --> 00:06:52,800 But also they've moved considerable, Like, is there like a 136 00:06:52,800 --> 00:06:54,879 threshold you usually recommend. 137 00:06:54,759 --> 00:06:55,439 Speaker 3: Great question. 138 00:06:55,920 --> 00:07:00,199 Speaker 2: The higher the number, the greater the threshold because you 139 00:07:00,279 --> 00:07:03,240 expect more variants. So if I'm laying like today, we 140 00:07:03,319 --> 00:07:06,000 got down on Nebraska, all right. They started betting the 141 00:07:06,079 --> 00:07:09,639 Braska minus eighteen and a half minus nineteen. I got 142 00:07:09,639 --> 00:07:12,199 down at minus twenty. I was still comfortable at minus 143 00:07:12,240 --> 00:07:15,759 twenty because again, when you're talking about a line of 144 00:07:15,800 --> 00:07:19,199 eighteen twenty twenty two, it's not as exact as when 145 00:07:19,240 --> 00:07:22,199 you get down to minus two minus three. Those are 146 00:07:22,240 --> 00:07:25,199 a lot more precise. There's not as much variance in 147 00:07:25,240 --> 00:07:29,000 those games. So with those I'm a lot more disciplined. 148 00:07:29,319 --> 00:07:32,720 Like I want the number. If it's a key number, 149 00:07:32,800 --> 00:07:35,079 I want the key number, I let it go. If 150 00:07:35,120 --> 00:07:37,959 it's not around a key number, then I'll do a 151 00:07:38,040 --> 00:07:41,720 half point, sometimes a point even if I like that side, 152 00:07:41,879 --> 00:07:44,360 like if I have an opinion. If I don't have 153 00:07:44,399 --> 00:07:47,240 an opinion, then usually I'll just let it go kel 154 00:07:47,360 --> 00:07:50,680 because there's more than enough action. The goal is to 155 00:07:50,720 --> 00:07:54,079 get down plus ev bets. If you can keep doing that, 156 00:07:54,240 --> 00:07:56,920 you're gonna make money long term. Like don't focus on 157 00:07:56,959 --> 00:08:00,120 the short term. But if you're taking bad numbers, now 158 00:08:00,199 --> 00:08:03,279 you're gambling, and that's where the problem comes in. So 159 00:08:03,319 --> 00:08:05,839 I always I always put a threshold for my subscribers, 160 00:08:06,040 --> 00:08:07,680 like this is a four percent at this. 161 00:08:07,680 --> 00:08:09,879 Speaker 3: Number, and then they know if you can't. 162 00:08:09,720 --> 00:08:11,800 Speaker 2: Get at that number, drop it down at three percent, 163 00:08:11,920 --> 00:08:15,279 two percent, one percent, Like lower your risk. The more 164 00:08:15,399 --> 00:08:18,800 value you get, the better the bigger bet you should place. 165 00:08:19,040 --> 00:08:22,199 The less value, then the less the lower the bet 166 00:08:22,199 --> 00:08:24,279 should be. So if I'm laying minus eighteen and a 167 00:08:24,319 --> 00:08:26,879 half and you can only get nineteen nineteen and a half, 168 00:08:26,879 --> 00:08:29,560 but you like that side, maybe cut your bet a 169 00:08:29,560 --> 00:08:31,600 little bit instead. Of four percent play, go to three 170 00:08:31,639 --> 00:08:35,960 percent player two percent play. Minimize your risk, bigger the edge, 171 00:08:35,960 --> 00:08:39,440 bigger to bet, lower the edge, lower the risk. And again, 172 00:08:39,480 --> 00:08:41,559 if you don't like it, just pass. If the numbers 173 00:08:41,600 --> 00:08:44,559 not there, little come back for you, Sorry, kel, just 174 00:08:44,639 --> 00:08:46,519 let me get give you these two premium plays I 175 00:08:46,519 --> 00:08:49,919 gave the subscribers. I gave them Nebraska at minus twenty. 176 00:08:50,120 --> 00:08:52,480 That's at minus twenty one right now at bet online. 177 00:08:52,559 --> 00:08:56,720 I would still bet it and six nineteen talson. We 178 00:08:56,799 --> 00:09:01,120 took talson plus twenty seven and a half. That's still 179 00:09:01,200 --> 00:09:03,919 valuable at twenty seven. I would till take it. And 180 00:09:03,960 --> 00:09:06,440 that's another key you gotta remember. If I'm laying eight 181 00:09:06,480 --> 00:09:08,840 and a half and the number and you only look 182 00:09:08,919 --> 00:09:11,240 up and it's minus nine, I would lay the nine 183 00:09:11,279 --> 00:09:14,120 because the worst that happens is you push if I win. 184 00:09:14,480 --> 00:09:16,000 Like if I'm laying eight and a half and I 185 00:09:16,039 --> 00:09:18,200 cash my ticket and you laid nine. 186 00:09:18,159 --> 00:09:20,600 Speaker 3: The worst you can do is push. But if I'm. 187 00:09:20,519 --> 00:09:23,559 Speaker 2: Laying minus eight and you lay minus eight and a half, 188 00:09:23,759 --> 00:09:26,000 that's when the problem comes in because I can. 189 00:09:25,840 --> 00:09:26,960 Speaker 3: Push and you can lose. 190 00:09:27,519 --> 00:09:29,399 Speaker 2: You don't want to put yourself in that position where 191 00:09:29,399 --> 00:09:31,519 I can push and you could lose. But if I win, 192 00:09:31,600 --> 00:09:33,759 the worst that happens is you push fire. 193 00:09:35,399 --> 00:09:38,120 Speaker 1: All right, I like it. I like it. College basketball 194 00:09:38,159 --> 00:09:41,039 season underway over at wager talk dot com VA. We 195 00:09:41,080 --> 00:09:43,200 got a couple more minutes with you before we get 196 00:09:43,240 --> 00:09:46,480 to the third leg of the bet on It trifecta. 197 00:09:46,519 --> 00:09:49,240 Marco D'Angelo, who's gonna take some of your questions here 198 00:09:49,279 --> 00:09:51,559 in the chat? Was there anything you mentioned a lot 199 00:09:51,600 --> 00:09:54,080 of these lopsided games, and you said, I don't know 200 00:09:54,080 --> 00:09:55,960 why these guys want to know they're not booking their action. 201 00:09:56,600 --> 00:09:58,759 I think the reality is it's kind of like what 202 00:09:58,879 --> 00:10:01,159 Art said to me when he sent me the I said, Florida, 203 00:10:01,440 --> 00:10:04,440 everybody loves Kentucky and goes Kelly. We all know you 204 00:10:04,559 --> 00:10:07,840 love to be a contrarian. I do think that part 205 00:10:07,879 --> 00:10:10,360 of a lot of what our audience probably that hangs 206 00:10:10,399 --> 00:10:14,039 on the chat feels better when they like a side 207 00:10:14,159 --> 00:10:16,759 and the public just so happens to be on it. 208 00:10:16,799 --> 00:10:17,559 Does that make sense? 209 00:10:18,879 --> 00:10:20,159 Speaker 2: Talk a little extra. 210 00:10:19,960 --> 00:10:23,720 Speaker 1: Confirmation to know that, Okay, cool, I like Massou today. 211 00:10:23,759 --> 00:10:26,799 Oh everybody loves A and m. That makes me feel 212 00:10:26,840 --> 00:10:29,200 just a little bit better about my bet It doesn't 213 00:10:29,240 --> 00:10:32,360 necessarily mean that I'm going to win, because we do 214 00:10:32,440 --> 00:10:34,360 know the public is sharper. We do know the public 215 00:10:34,480 --> 00:10:36,600 is more educated than they've ever been before. But I 216 00:10:36,639 --> 00:10:39,799 think it's just kind of one of those little little tinbits. 217 00:10:39,840 --> 00:10:42,159 It's like, okay, or when you go on like one 218 00:10:42,159 --> 00:10:44,519 of the Twitter pages and you see ninety seven percent 219 00:10:44,559 --> 00:10:47,200 of the bets are on Indiana, and then I text 220 00:10:47,240 --> 00:10:48,399 my friends, I'm like, I don't think I have the 221 00:10:48,399 --> 00:10:50,639 guts to take Penn State. I don't think I could 222 00:10:50,679 --> 00:10:53,960 do it, even though it is the most lopsided game 223 00:10:53,960 --> 00:10:55,440 at BETMGM today for example. 224 00:10:56,039 --> 00:10:58,879 Speaker 3: Now I agree, and I find comfort in that. Keil. 225 00:10:59,120 --> 00:11:01,840 Speaker 2: I don't want to be on the side of all 226 00:11:01,960 --> 00:11:05,240 the recreational betters, because you know, these guys bet for action, 227 00:11:05,360 --> 00:11:07,799 these guys who willing to take bad numbers. These guys 228 00:11:07,840 --> 00:11:11,320 are betting teams, and that's not a plus ev way 229 00:11:11,360 --> 00:11:14,360 to approach it. I much rather find myself on the 230 00:11:14,440 --> 00:11:17,320 side of the sharps, which is what the book tries 231 00:11:17,360 --> 00:11:21,879 to do. They try to move they're in line with 232 00:11:21,919 --> 00:11:24,720 the sharp betters. I'd rather be with them than anybody else. 233 00:11:25,240 --> 00:11:28,000 If the books are afraid of them and they're getting 234 00:11:28,000 --> 00:11:30,399 eleven to ten. It should tell you something. You want 235 00:11:30,399 --> 00:11:33,240 to fall more on their side than the book side, 236 00:11:33,279 --> 00:11:35,320 because the books get me eleven to ten. That's why 237 00:11:35,360 --> 00:11:37,799 they keep making money and they keep printing it. Wise, 238 00:11:37,840 --> 00:11:40,000 guys got to lay eleven to ten and they still 239 00:11:40,000 --> 00:11:42,200 continue to find a way to make money. That's the 240 00:11:42,279 --> 00:11:44,279 side you want to be on. That's where you want 241 00:11:44,320 --> 00:11:48,360 to try to find yourself on. But it's more advantageous, 242 00:11:48,360 --> 00:11:50,960 of course to be on the book side than the 243 00:11:51,000 --> 00:11:53,879 recreational side. So I agree with you there, and I 244 00:11:53,879 --> 00:11:57,240 don't find comfort when I know I'm with them. 245 00:11:58,120 --> 00:12:00,919 Speaker 1: I don't love seeing my NFL plays for tomorrow, like 246 00:12:01,159 --> 00:12:03,559 you know what I mean already being like, dang, everybody's 247 00:12:03,600 --> 00:12:05,600 on the bus. That's just not. It doesn't mean it's 248 00:12:05,600 --> 00:12:06,559 gonna lose, it's just not. 249 00:12:07,519 --> 00:12:10,320 Speaker 2: I'm on Texas Tech. I like Texas Tech. I gave 250 00:12:10,360 --> 00:12:13,080 them out at nine and a half to my subscribers. 251 00:12:12,440 --> 00:12:14,879 Speaker 1: For and now we're seeing thirteens popping up on the 252 00:12:14,879 --> 00:12:18,679 Odds logic screen. Precisely my point. That is a completely 253 00:12:18,759 --> 00:12:23,919 different scenario. Those are completely Those are four point different bets, 254 00:12:24,000 --> 00:12:27,320 essentially half point different bets. I also like Texas Tech 255 00:12:27,360 --> 00:12:29,679 I use them in a stale line on my splash contest, 256 00:12:29,759 --> 00:12:32,360 right because the lines don't move perfect. I used them 257 00:12:32,360 --> 00:12:37,120 in the Westgate College Super Contest. So I do think 258 00:12:37,159 --> 00:12:40,519 that you can still use this information even if the 259 00:12:40,600 --> 00:12:41,240 line is. 260 00:12:41,320 --> 00:12:46,200 Speaker 2: All gone exactly exactly. And you remember, like I tell people, 261 00:12:46,600 --> 00:12:49,080 every line's gonna move. You look at a college basketball board, 262 00:12:49,159 --> 00:12:52,279 college football board, almost every single line moves. The key 263 00:12:52,320 --> 00:12:54,799 is can you do what does that move mean? And 264 00:12:54,840 --> 00:12:57,320 how much confidence do you have in concluding what that 265 00:12:57,399 --> 00:13:00,120 line means. That's why I like to come in and 266 00:13:00,159 --> 00:13:03,559 try to clear that for you guys, like, yes, this 267 00:13:03,799 --> 00:13:07,240 is legitimate, This isn't a middle this was a real 268 00:13:07,360 --> 00:13:10,360 move like that. To me, is what's valuable? Or is 269 00:13:10,399 --> 00:13:12,919 this was just a rogue number? They're taken because there 270 00:13:12,960 --> 00:13:15,159 was this. Everybody else was at three and they were 271 00:13:15,279 --> 00:13:17,759 three and a half like those That kind of information 272 00:13:17,799 --> 00:13:19,960 to me is price the stone Hill plus twelve twelve 273 00:13:19,960 --> 00:13:23,080 and a half college football extra boards stone Hill. Right now, 274 00:13:23,600 --> 00:13:25,879 as I'm talking, it just came in. 275 00:13:25,960 --> 00:13:28,639 Speaker 1: That's funny, all right, stone Hill I've never even heard. 276 00:13:29,240 --> 00:13:31,200 Speaker 2: I'm not going to I can't tell you what state 277 00:13:31,200 --> 00:13:31,759 they play in. 278 00:13:34,159 --> 00:13:37,320 Speaker 1: I think is some of the best parts of the 279 00:13:37,360 --> 00:13:39,200 information that you get. You're just like, yeah, I have 280 00:13:39,279 --> 00:13:39,720 no idea. 281 00:13:40,120 --> 00:13:40,279 Speaker 4: No. 282 00:13:40,720 --> 00:13:43,960 Speaker 1: I mentioned to the show that Kyle was having internet issues. 283 00:13:44,000 --> 00:13:45,840 So we are going to talk to UFC today, guys. 284 00:13:45,840 --> 00:13:48,399 So I do apologize, but we got the guy who's 285 00:13:48,440 --> 00:13:51,080 literally working with the UFC, at least from the on 286 00:13:51,159 --> 00:13:54,480 air media side of things. VR, What are you seeing 287 00:13:54,600 --> 00:13:58,480 for this UFC fight this evening? All right, I'm really 288 00:13:58,519 --> 00:14:00,000 curious kind of to see. 289 00:14:00,080 --> 00:14:03,360 Speaker 2: And I'm going to give you that a disclaimer. I'm 290 00:14:03,440 --> 00:14:07,399 having a terrible year in MMA, in fact, rusting me 291 00:14:07,480 --> 00:14:10,960 from being way ahead for twenty twenty five. And what's 292 00:14:11,000 --> 00:14:12,840 crazy is if you look over the last five years, 293 00:14:12,879 --> 00:14:15,320 I've won every single year in MMA. Three of those 294 00:14:15,399 --> 00:14:18,519 years I finished number one, Like that's a sport. I 295 00:14:18,559 --> 00:14:21,360 get really good information on I do a lot of 296 00:14:21,360 --> 00:14:24,200 originating myself, and I work with two originators. 297 00:14:24,240 --> 00:14:25,919 Speaker 3: But it's just been a bad year for me. 298 00:14:26,600 --> 00:14:28,879 Speaker 2: So I'm just just keeping it real with you guys, 299 00:14:29,000 --> 00:14:31,320 which is good I expect because this year is almost 300 00:14:31,320 --> 00:14:34,559 over and here coming twenty twenty six. Yeah, I'll be 301 00:14:34,600 --> 00:14:37,320 excited for that because we should progress back to my 302 00:14:37,440 --> 00:14:40,759 mean of being profitable. But I like in the main event, 303 00:14:40,840 --> 00:14:42,679 and I want to bring this fight out because everybody 304 00:14:42,679 --> 00:14:45,559 seems to be opposite me. They all on Randy Brown 305 00:14:45,559 --> 00:14:48,440 against Gabriel Bonfien, and I just do not see any 306 00:14:48,519 --> 00:14:51,279 value there at all. Randy Brown's got a nice long 307 00:14:51,320 --> 00:14:54,919 reach advantage, but he always does. The difference is with 308 00:14:55,360 --> 00:14:58,440 Bonfieen is that Brown gave me has once he takes 309 00:14:58,440 --> 00:15:01,799 it there, Brown's gonna be out of his depth with 310 00:15:01,840 --> 00:15:04,879 someone like Bonfiend. More importantly, Bonfien isn't in that much 311 00:15:04,879 --> 00:15:08,080 of a disadvantage in the striking other than the reach. 312 00:15:08,440 --> 00:15:12,600 I rather take the much younger fighter with an obvious 313 00:15:12,679 --> 00:15:15,759 path to victory, and Brown in these situations whenever he 314 00:15:15,840 --> 00:15:19,039 stepped up, that's where he's always not able to live 315 00:15:19,080 --> 00:15:22,519 up to those expectations. So I like Gabriel Bonfien. There 316 00:15:22,759 --> 00:15:25,440 another line that's moved against me. I'm on an island. 317 00:15:25,519 --> 00:15:29,879 I like roast Medic over Salakov Menis was a minus 318 00:15:29,879 --> 00:15:32,879 one sixty favorite. Now he's down to like minus one thirty. 319 00:15:32,919 --> 00:15:35,000 Who was I think he opened it like minus two hundred. 320 00:15:35,600 --> 00:15:37,919 This one's not going to distance heavily favored, not to 321 00:15:38,080 --> 00:15:40,279 These guys are gonna stand there in trade. They don't 322 00:15:40,279 --> 00:15:43,440 go for takedowns. They're gonna throw. The difference is, I'll 323 00:15:43,480 --> 00:15:46,519 take the much younger guy with much more power and 324 00:15:46,559 --> 00:15:50,639 more precision with the better chin. I'll take meditch at 325 00:15:50,759 --> 00:15:53,240 let that line keep dropping. I like the medic sign. 326 00:15:53,480 --> 00:15:56,000 And then two sharp dogs for you really quickly, because 327 00:15:56,000 --> 00:15:58,440 I know other people are waiting to jump on. These 328 00:15:58,480 --> 00:16:01,399 are sharp signs from an origine. He's on t Shap 329 00:16:01,480 --> 00:16:05,679 Pennington t Shap Pennington at plus one sixty five and 330 00:16:05,840 --> 00:16:09,639 Ronnie Barcellos at plus one forty five. So Ti Shap Pennington, 331 00:16:10,320 --> 00:16:14,240 Ronnie Barcellos and then under Bonfim Padilla. Those are three 332 00:16:14,279 --> 00:16:16,440 plus money dogs that are all sharp. 333 00:16:17,000 --> 00:16:19,399 Speaker 1: Ooh, I do love some plus money dogs. I've got 334 00:16:19,440 --> 00:16:23,120 a few myself for this beautiful college football Saturday. That 335 00:16:23,200 --> 00:16:26,440 was some UFC, some college basketball, some FCS, and of 336 00:16:26,440 --> 00:16:28,639 course college football from VR. That kind of gives you 337 00:16:28,679 --> 00:16:30,919 guys a little sneak peak what you can catch in 338 00:16:30,960 --> 00:16:35,159 his steam room Sundays. He does right after this show 339 00:16:35,519 --> 00:16:40,360 at excuse me, twelve eastern, nine am Pacific on Sundays 340 00:16:40,600 --> 00:16:43,960 VR steam Room. If you guys are a wager Talk insider, 341 00:16:44,039 --> 00:16:45,799 that two dollars in ninety nine cents a month does 342 00:16:45,840 --> 00:16:49,720 get you some special privileges, including sometimes getting to join 343 00:16:49,759 --> 00:16:52,919 his steam room with his premium subscribers. R anything else 344 00:16:53,000 --> 00:16:56,039 you'd like to make note of before we bring in 345 00:16:56,080 --> 00:16:56,840 Marco D'Angelo. 346 00:16:57,360 --> 00:16:59,000 Speaker 3: Nah, just don't overlook the fact. 347 00:16:59,039 --> 00:17:01,399 Speaker 2: Just because I'm not firing a five percent big move 348 00:17:01,440 --> 00:17:04,960 in today's college football doesn't mean I don't have strong information. 349 00:17:05,279 --> 00:17:07,759 I didn't fire five percent last week in college football, 350 00:17:08,000 --> 00:17:10,200 and we went five or six and one on those 351 00:17:10,240 --> 00:17:13,640 four percent. This card's just four percents again, just the 352 00:17:13,680 --> 00:17:16,319 strongest stuff I have spread out our risk. I just 353 00:17:16,359 --> 00:17:18,920 didn't want to narrow it down to that one that 354 00:17:19,039 --> 00:17:21,759 has to win because I like the board a lot. 355 00:17:22,039 --> 00:17:24,200 I feel the same way in the NFL again tomorrow, 356 00:17:24,319 --> 00:17:29,200 So there's NFL up College Football, College Basketball, uh ufc up. 357 00:17:29,480 --> 00:17:32,200 Join me for the weekend and more importantly longer because 358 00:17:32,240 --> 00:17:34,480 this is a good time to be on board through 359 00:17:34,480 --> 00:17:35,720 the end of the year for sure. 360 00:17:36,240 --> 00:17:39,960 Speaker 1: Absolutely at Greek Underscore Gambler on your social channels. Thank 361 00:17:39,960 --> 00:17:41,720 you to VR. You guys can also catch VR with 362 00:17:41,759 --> 00:17:45,039 me Wednesdays on bet on It with a little guy 363 00:17:45,119 --> 00:17:48,160 named Marco DiAngelo. I like to call him Marco Barco, 364 00:17:48,519 --> 00:17:50,880 and that's because somebody in the chat made it up 365 00:17:50,880 --> 00:17:53,240 a long time ago, and I think it's funny. Welcome in, 366 00:17:53,319 --> 00:17:57,079 Marco DiAngelo, our third counterpart here. It's like beat On 367 00:17:57,160 --> 00:18:00,400 at two point zero College Football Edition on Saturday. Are 368 00:18:00,400 --> 00:18:01,960 going to run through all of your guys's questions. You 369 00:18:02,000 --> 00:18:04,759 guys have some great questions in the chat, Marco, we 370 00:18:04,880 --> 00:18:07,480 talked about a few of these, but on bet on 371 00:18:07,519 --> 00:18:09,359 It this week. Excuse me, but I want to kind 372 00:18:09,400 --> 00:18:11,799 of touch on them again here come Saturday, right we 373 00:18:11,839 --> 00:18:14,079 stress on Wednesdays. Hey guys, it's early in the week. 374 00:18:14,200 --> 00:18:17,079 We're doing our handicapping on Monday Tuesday, Wednesday morning, we're 375 00:18:17,119 --> 00:18:22,279 getting our show out. But things do change, right, Injuries happen, 376 00:18:22,640 --> 00:18:25,960 more information comes out. I'm kind of so curious because 377 00:18:26,000 --> 00:18:28,039 this was a game that you and v are both 378 00:18:28,359 --> 00:18:32,200 said where you're barking dogs, Marco, Hugh Freeze gets fired 379 00:18:33,039 --> 00:18:35,599 and Auburn all of a sudden it is getting a 380 00:18:35,680 --> 00:18:38,680 lot of love in the marketplace. And that's because so 381 00:18:38,759 --> 00:18:42,319 far the year, we've had seven football coaches fired, and 382 00:18:42,480 --> 00:18:45,880 out of those seven, six have won their game outright 383 00:18:46,000 --> 00:18:48,319 the following week, or at least covered six and one 384 00:18:48,319 --> 00:18:51,079 against the spread. Talk to me about Auburn here, and 385 00:18:51,119 --> 00:18:54,079 do you also agree with VR on Wake Forest. 386 00:18:55,119 --> 00:18:58,440 Speaker 4: Yeah, I actually like both of those games Auburn, Kelly. 387 00:18:58,480 --> 00:19:01,240 When you get these coaches that get fired, to me, 388 00:19:01,519 --> 00:19:04,680 why I think it is such a good thing to 389 00:19:04,799 --> 00:19:06,720 take that team, And people say, why do you want 390 00:19:06,759 --> 00:19:10,240 to take somebody that's in disarray, Because that's the natural assumption. 391 00:19:10,759 --> 00:19:14,000 This works just about in every sport. You're going to 392 00:19:14,079 --> 00:19:18,599 get an immediate spark from the players. And why well, okay, 393 00:19:18,680 --> 00:19:21,279 if your a coach got fired, it means the team's 394 00:19:21,319 --> 00:19:21,960 doing bad. 395 00:19:22,319 --> 00:19:25,039 Speaker 3: So the coach becomes the scapegoat. 396 00:19:25,359 --> 00:19:28,480 Speaker 4: If the players jump up and win the week he's gone, 397 00:19:28,519 --> 00:19:30,720 well it wasn't us, it was him, you know. So 398 00:19:30,839 --> 00:19:35,319 that's why you get an immediate benefit from them. The players, 399 00:19:35,400 --> 00:19:38,160 they want to prove their worth. And then sometimes he 400 00:19:38,279 --> 00:19:41,839 goes on a roll. And remember our dear friend, you know, 401 00:19:41,960 --> 00:19:44,359 Dave Cochin. I remember a baseball season just a couple 402 00:19:44,400 --> 00:19:47,319 of years ago, when I think it was the Philadelphia 403 00:19:47,799 --> 00:19:51,759 Phillies fired to coach. He rode them the very next 404 00:19:51,839 --> 00:19:55,079 day after the firing, and he kept betting them until 405 00:19:55,119 --> 00:19:58,160 they lost, and they went on an hillatious wind streak 406 00:19:58,240 --> 00:20:01,119 after that, and he said, you know, his right up, 407 00:20:01,119 --> 00:20:03,880 it was hilarious. It ain't broke, don't fix it. That 408 00:20:04,000 --> 00:20:06,440 was his right up. Just kept going until they lost. 409 00:20:06,440 --> 00:20:09,720 So yes, I like that and I like that momentum. 410 00:20:10,200 --> 00:20:13,200 We talked about the wake Forest play, and you know, 411 00:20:13,240 --> 00:20:15,119 this is one of those things when you talk about 412 00:20:15,720 --> 00:20:17,960 wake Forest, and one of the angles that I always 413 00:20:18,079 --> 00:20:19,640 like to look at is when you're talking about a 414 00:20:19,640 --> 00:20:23,160 top twenty five team that's playing an unranked team and 415 00:20:23,519 --> 00:20:26,240 the lines, you know, at a touchdown or under, that 416 00:20:26,440 --> 00:20:28,759 just sets off all the bells and whistles for me 417 00:20:29,400 --> 00:20:31,839 that I am going to look something just doesn't smell 418 00:20:31,920 --> 00:20:35,200 right here. And so often, Kelly, we mentioned it on 419 00:20:35,279 --> 00:20:38,799 the show on Wednesday, when you get to the later 420 00:20:39,000 --> 00:20:42,119 part of the season and you have teams that are 421 00:20:42,160 --> 00:20:47,839 in positions that they haven't been normally, it's uncharted water 422 00:20:47,920 --> 00:20:51,440 for them. In Virginia, they're ranked twelve in the country. 423 00:20:51,640 --> 00:20:55,400 Please tell me the last time Virginia was significant in 424 00:20:55,680 --> 00:21:00,400 college football. Okay, they're in play for play in the 425 00:21:00,400 --> 00:21:02,880 playoffs and the you know, if they hold serve here 426 00:21:02,960 --> 00:21:06,039 in the ACC what happens to teams. 427 00:21:05,759 --> 00:21:08,799 Speaker 3: Like that that haven't been there, done that before. 428 00:21:09,440 --> 00:21:12,720 Speaker 4: Is you know, it's human nature sometimes when earlier in 429 00:21:12,759 --> 00:21:15,279 the season, maybe it was a fourth and two and 430 00:21:15,359 --> 00:21:18,880 you were going for it. Now because there's so much online, 431 00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:22,480 that fourth and two becomes a tougher decision for you 432 00:21:22,880 --> 00:21:26,119 and instead you play not to lose instead of playing 433 00:21:26,119 --> 00:21:29,319 to win, and you punt the football away And that's 434 00:21:29,519 --> 00:21:32,880 never good when you're laying points with the team. And 435 00:21:32,920 --> 00:21:36,759 that's why, you know, teams like wake Forest become very popular. 436 00:21:36,799 --> 00:21:39,359 And then just look at the line in this game. 437 00:21:39,920 --> 00:21:43,240 Last week, wake Forest played Florida State. There were a 438 00:21:43,279 --> 00:21:47,640 double digit underdogar Florida State is not a good team 439 00:21:47,680 --> 00:21:50,240 this year, okay, and compared if you look at the 440 00:21:50,279 --> 00:21:54,839 standings of the ACC, Virginia obviously way up. Yet they're 441 00:21:54,960 --> 00:21:59,319 laying less to wake Forest Virginia than Florida State did 442 00:21:59,400 --> 00:22:03,480 last week. Please, you know, you know, explain that to me, 443 00:22:03,599 --> 00:22:05,559 you know, and it's you know, something that you know 444 00:22:05,599 --> 00:22:08,279 you talk about. You know, we have the luxury of having, 445 00:22:08,839 --> 00:22:11,119 you know, bookmakers come on our shows here. 446 00:22:11,519 --> 00:22:13,759 Speaker 3: I do radio shows. 447 00:22:13,480 --> 00:22:16,759 Speaker 4: Around town where I get to talk to different bookmakers. 448 00:22:16,839 --> 00:22:19,519 Our friend John Murray at the West Gate and these 449 00:22:19,519 --> 00:22:21,720 are the kind of questions that you ask why, and 450 00:22:22,079 --> 00:22:25,440 it's you know, I'm always going to side and I 451 00:22:25,519 --> 00:22:27,640 give these guys. You know, maybe I'm just trying to 452 00:22:27,680 --> 00:22:30,799 stroke the ego, but I always tell don I give 453 00:22:30,880 --> 00:22:34,599 you guys behind the counter more respect than I'm ever 454 00:22:34,680 --> 00:22:37,920 going to give somebody that's sitting in a boardroom watching 455 00:22:37,960 --> 00:22:42,119 games and making rankings pure and simple. And the line's 456 00:22:42,160 --> 00:22:44,839 telling me, wake Forest, yeah, outside. 457 00:22:44,400 --> 00:22:47,759 Speaker 1: You're absolutely right. Virginia right now the front runner to 458 00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:51,680 make the ACC Championship game. That makes it rather interesting 459 00:22:51,839 --> 00:22:54,359 in itself. All right, Marco, we got a couple more 460 00:22:54,440 --> 00:22:58,400 questions here. Garth wants to know thoughts on laying six 461 00:22:58,880 --> 00:23:01,440 with West Virginia. Also, shout out to Garth for the donation. 462 00:23:01,559 --> 00:23:03,680 Don't worry, we were going to pay that forward, just 463 00:23:03,720 --> 00:23:06,440 like we did last time. All of our donations go 464 00:23:07,160 --> 00:23:09,799 to different fundings and charities. Last time, I believe it 465 00:23:09,839 --> 00:23:12,640 went to Opportunity Village there in Las Vegas. So shout 466 00:23:12,680 --> 00:23:16,000 out to Garth. This is an interesting one, Marco, because 467 00:23:16,720 --> 00:23:21,319 West Virginia just was frustrating last week. John Murray text 468 00:23:21,400 --> 00:23:24,440 me and another buddy of ours that also went to 469 00:23:24,519 --> 00:23:26,559 West Virginia, and he said, ah, Sharps are bet in 470 00:23:26,559 --> 00:23:29,279 West Virginia, And I said, should I consider them for 471 00:23:29,440 --> 00:23:32,359 my parlay? And he said, kid, West Virginia is not 472 00:23:32,359 --> 00:23:35,000 gonna win this football game. And not only did they win, 473 00:23:35,279 --> 00:23:40,000 but they dominated Marco. They dominated Houston, a team that 474 00:23:40,160 --> 00:23:42,680 was kind of a dark horse there at the beginning 475 00:23:42,680 --> 00:23:46,000 of the season to win the Big twelve pretty much crusshows, 476 00:23:46,000 --> 00:23:47,680 hopes and dreams. And now they just have to play 477 00:23:47,799 --> 00:23:52,039 little old Colorado, a team that has looked atrocious all 478 00:23:52,079 --> 00:23:52,680 season long. 479 00:23:53,440 --> 00:23:56,359 Speaker 4: Yeah, Kelly, I did not get involved in this game 480 00:23:56,359 --> 00:23:58,440 with the clients, but if I did. 481 00:23:58,440 --> 00:24:00,519 Speaker 3: I'll tell you it's not West Virginia. 482 00:24:00,640 --> 00:24:02,799 Speaker 4: I don't like a team that was a dog and 483 00:24:02,960 --> 00:24:05,119 had a big win like that on you know, on 484 00:24:05,200 --> 00:24:07,759 the road last week, and now they return home in 485 00:24:07,839 --> 00:24:10,400 her a favorite in her a favorite under a touchdown 486 00:24:10,720 --> 00:24:13,119 that mental. You know, you just look at that, and 487 00:24:13,319 --> 00:24:15,759 I'm I try to look at things, and I know 488 00:24:15,799 --> 00:24:18,640 I sometimes might piss off some of the audience, but 489 00:24:18,759 --> 00:24:21,680 I try to look at things like John Q Public Okay, 490 00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:24,240 is what I refer to them. And you know, I 491 00:24:24,279 --> 00:24:27,160 play a lot of poker around town, and I love 492 00:24:27,240 --> 00:24:30,240 sitting at the poker table and listening to the conversations 493 00:24:30,559 --> 00:24:32,279 leading up to the weekend, because it. 494 00:24:32,240 --> 00:24:33,279 Speaker 3: Doesn't get anymore. 495 00:24:33,359 --> 00:24:36,319 Speaker 4: John Q Public been listening to the guys talking about 496 00:24:36,319 --> 00:24:40,519 their three, four, five, sixteen parlays at a poker table 497 00:24:40,559 --> 00:24:43,720 for the weekend. Okay, and trust me, West Virginia is 498 00:24:43,799 --> 00:24:46,559 John Q Public. Play they won last week is a 499 00:24:46,559 --> 00:24:49,519 double digit dog. Now they're home laying less than a touchdown. 500 00:24:49,680 --> 00:24:52,200 They can't get enough of a play like that. It's 501 00:24:52,240 --> 00:24:55,359 not in my diet. And I'm you as a you know, 502 00:24:55,839 --> 00:24:58,720 you don't like chuck. You love dogs that can't be 503 00:24:58,799 --> 00:25:00,519 in your your either. 504 00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:03,519 Speaker 1: It's not and I definitely am not laying it. But 505 00:25:03,599 --> 00:25:05,680 I don't think I could play it right. I mentioned 506 00:25:05,720 --> 00:25:07,720 to VR earlier. I got some buddies text to me, 507 00:25:07,839 --> 00:25:10,720 you know, oh my god, ninety eight point four percent 508 00:25:10,799 --> 00:25:13,279 of the tickets at bet MGM or on Indiana, and 509 00:25:13,359 --> 00:25:15,599 I'm like, I don't think I could still take Penn State. 510 00:25:16,559 --> 00:25:18,519 Just pull this closure. This is just a spot where 511 00:25:18,559 --> 00:25:21,000 I still don't think I could take the Buffalo starting 512 00:25:21,079 --> 00:25:25,119 a freshman quarterback in his debut on the road. Not 513 00:25:25,359 --> 00:25:27,240 my idea of a good time. We're gonna see how 514 00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:30,279 that one ends up panning out. Maybe uh, West Virginia 515 00:25:30,359 --> 00:25:32,680 gets the win and cover, but again, I just don't 516 00:25:32,720 --> 00:25:34,079 think I can do it. We're gonna take some more 517 00:25:34,119 --> 00:25:36,160 of these questions. If you guys have a question for Marco, 518 00:25:36,519 --> 00:25:39,359 drop it in the chat. We're gonna go up until 519 00:25:39,359 --> 00:25:42,799 there's no more questions. Rob wants to know. Ooh, I 520 00:25:42,839 --> 00:25:45,400 certainly hope not. Yukon was my best bet this week 521 00:25:45,440 --> 00:25:47,960 on bet on It. It's one of my favorite underdogs. 522 00:25:48,319 --> 00:25:51,880 Marco did Yukon make your Sandwich video for this week? 523 00:25:52,880 --> 00:25:55,440 Speaker 4: It did, Kelly, and I actually was waiting and you 524 00:25:55,519 --> 00:25:57,240 jumped in. I was gonna say, Kelly, I got a 525 00:25:57,319 --> 00:26:01,680 question from you. From me, My question to you, swear 526 00:26:01,720 --> 00:26:04,240 to God, was gonna be, how good do you feel 527 00:26:04,240 --> 00:26:08,119 about Connecticut right now? Because I don't know anybody that 528 00:26:08,200 --> 00:26:11,160 hasn't jumped on the bandwagon of Connecticut. 529 00:26:10,599 --> 00:26:11,400 Speaker 3: This week with us. 530 00:26:11,680 --> 00:26:15,400 Speaker 4: And you know, maybe I'm gonna say everybody watches bet 531 00:26:15,440 --> 00:26:18,920 on It, everybody watches Marco's Delhi, and they're all jumping 532 00:26:19,000 --> 00:26:22,480 on because of us, because I don't know anybody that 533 00:26:22,759 --> 00:26:25,599 isn't on Connecticut. And what scares me, Kelly is when 534 00:26:25,640 --> 00:26:28,359 I talk to people around town, and you know other 535 00:26:28,400 --> 00:26:31,359 Sharps and so forth, and there's certain guys that you know, 536 00:26:31,480 --> 00:26:33,680 and I'm sure when you talk to John Murray, you 537 00:26:33,680 --> 00:26:37,680 know he'll tell you, oh, these guys always play sharp dogs, 538 00:26:37,759 --> 00:26:41,559 or these guys never play dogs. I know people that 539 00:26:41,799 --> 00:26:45,039 just don't know how to say underdog. And they're on 540 00:26:45,119 --> 00:26:47,599 Connecticut this week, and that scares the hell out of me. 541 00:26:47,880 --> 00:26:50,400 But I'm holding a ticket when we had a much 542 00:26:50,400 --> 00:26:54,000 better number, okay, earlier in the week. This line's down 543 00:26:54,039 --> 00:26:56,400 to seven and a half in places. So let me 544 00:26:56,480 --> 00:26:59,960 ask you, Kelly, how do you feel about that Connecticut 545 00:27:00,559 --> 00:27:01,400 play right now? 546 00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:03,839 Speaker 1: So it's funny. Ariel made me get up nice and 547 00:27:03,880 --> 00:27:06,119 early after we were at the casino till two o'clock in 548 00:27:06,160 --> 00:27:08,160 the morning a Ruba time, last night, and we walked 549 00:27:08,160 --> 00:27:10,480 over to the sports book because I was told that, hey, 550 00:27:10,519 --> 00:27:12,759 there may be some advantageous lions here in Aruba, right 551 00:27:12,799 --> 00:27:15,400 because it's a local sports book and maybe you can 552 00:27:15,440 --> 00:27:18,240 find some value. And I thought you could. Plus I 553 00:27:18,240 --> 00:27:20,519 didn't hadn't checked my phone, hadn't really been on the internet. 554 00:27:20,599 --> 00:27:22,079 I was like, you got plus seven and a half. 555 00:27:22,240 --> 00:27:24,440 Other of this plays had advantageous numbers. I was open 556 00:27:24,480 --> 00:27:27,319 to maybe get a ten. Sure enough, opened up my 557 00:27:27,359 --> 00:27:29,839 odds lot excrewen on my phone and it was seven 558 00:27:29,839 --> 00:27:32,279 and a half pretty much everywhere, and I thought, boy, 559 00:27:32,440 --> 00:27:36,480 oh boy, we're gonna find out and see what Jim 560 00:27:36,519 --> 00:27:38,279 Morres got up his sleeve. I do think it's an 561 00:27:38,279 --> 00:27:42,440 awful spot for Duke. Still with Virginia on deck, coming 562 00:27:42,440 --> 00:27:45,480 off that win over Clemson. I love this Husky team. 563 00:27:45,480 --> 00:27:48,359 If you guys remember, I bet on them versus Syracuse 564 00:27:48,519 --> 00:27:50,640 they blew a double digit fourth quarter lead. I bet 565 00:27:50,680 --> 00:27:55,240 against them the following week with Delaware. It is what 566 00:27:55,359 --> 00:27:57,480 it is. At this point in time, We're already lost 567 00:27:57,519 --> 00:28:00,720 in noting Marco. I've already got first half game and 568 00:28:00,839 --> 00:28:02,759 money line, so we're just gonna let it ride. There's 569 00:28:02,759 --> 00:28:05,480 nothing I could do at this point, and maybe some 570 00:28:05,559 --> 00:28:08,079 of those public guys will get the win there. Let's 571 00:28:08,160 --> 00:28:09,920 hit a couple more of these questions. If you guys 572 00:28:09,920 --> 00:28:13,160 have NFL questions, those have to wait till tomorrow. Ariel 573 00:28:13,240 --> 00:28:15,720 will be here in the morning in this exact chair. 574 00:28:15,799 --> 00:28:18,200 This is our makeshift set up for the week. Apologies 575 00:28:18,559 --> 00:28:21,400 for the curtains, but it is gonna be fun because 576 00:28:21,519 --> 00:28:24,240 we are gonna still get to all of your questions 577 00:28:24,319 --> 00:28:27,359 regarding the NFL. Aaron will be here, VR will be here, 578 00:28:27,400 --> 00:28:29,160 and I gotta check the schedule because I don't remember 579 00:28:29,200 --> 00:28:31,119 who else. Of course, John Murray will be here as well. 580 00:28:31,319 --> 00:28:33,960 Andrew wants to know afash you Clemson, Marco. This was 581 00:28:34,000 --> 00:28:36,319 just a game that I just kind of pushed to 582 00:28:36,359 --> 00:28:40,000 the wayside. There was nothing really intriguing about it. Florida 583 00:28:40,039 --> 00:28:42,480 State we thought was gonna have a great season after 584 00:28:42,480 --> 00:28:45,720 they upset Alabama week one. After losing to Virginia there 585 00:28:45,720 --> 00:28:48,039 on that Friday night, it's just kind of been derailed. 586 00:28:48,680 --> 00:28:50,759 I'm not sure how Mike Norvel still has a job, 587 00:28:50,839 --> 00:28:54,160 but he does. Speaking that I having a job, I 588 00:28:54,319 --> 00:28:57,279 don't know. Daviloisweni still has a job after losing some 589 00:28:57,359 --> 00:29:00,279 of the games that he's lost this year. The game 590 00:29:00,400 --> 00:29:03,640 lines what pretty much Clemson minus two everywhere. It looks 591 00:29:03,680 --> 00:29:04,960 like any thoughts here. 592 00:29:05,839 --> 00:29:06,039 Speaker 2: Yeah. 593 00:29:06,079 --> 00:29:08,039 Speaker 4: I looked at this game and I actually had a 594 00:29:08,200 --> 00:29:10,880 client ask me about this game this morning, texted me 595 00:29:10,880 --> 00:29:13,039 and I said, here's my problem with the game and 596 00:29:13,039 --> 00:29:16,400 why I'm not getting involved. I want to take Clemson 597 00:29:16,519 --> 00:29:18,920 in the game, but this is a team that was 598 00:29:18,960 --> 00:29:22,799 in the National playoffs last year. Okay, when you're a 599 00:29:22,839 --> 00:29:26,680 team that every year you're competing for the playoffs and 600 00:29:26,839 --> 00:29:30,559 we're in the first week of November and you're done. 601 00:29:31,720 --> 00:29:36,400 I that bothers me because you worry about these teams 602 00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:39,920 and kids, you know, throwing into tiel and that's whenever 603 00:29:40,039 --> 00:29:44,240 they actually enjoyed playing for a program. There's no loyalty anymore. 604 00:29:44,240 --> 00:29:47,519 I'm sorry, they're gonna the better players are going to 605 00:29:47,559 --> 00:29:50,920 wherever they can get the best deal with the nil 606 00:29:51,200 --> 00:29:52,839 and your season's over. 607 00:29:54,000 --> 00:29:56,119 Speaker 3: They could check out. That's my biggest concern. 608 00:29:56,319 --> 00:29:59,160 Speaker 4: If I played the game, it would be Clemson, But 609 00:29:59,240 --> 00:30:02,720 I don't try their mentality of the team because of 610 00:30:02,720 --> 00:30:03,839 the situation they're in. 611 00:30:04,880 --> 00:30:07,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, I kind of agree with that as well. I'm 612 00:30:07,680 --> 00:30:09,440 trying to look through some more of these questions see 613 00:30:09,480 --> 00:30:13,680 if there's anything else. The Nebraska UCLA line flipped. Yes, 614 00:30:14,680 --> 00:30:17,640 looked like early in the week the Sharps took plus three. 615 00:30:17,799 --> 00:30:19,960 We broke this down on bet on It as well. 616 00:30:20,039 --> 00:30:22,599 I believe or was discussed at least in a little 617 00:30:22,599 --> 00:30:25,839 bit when a line has gone like that, Marco and 618 00:30:25,880 --> 00:30:27,720 we could say the same thing for multiple other games. 619 00:30:27,799 --> 00:30:31,960 Right BYU Texas Tech has has moved sharply in one direction. 620 00:30:32,559 --> 00:30:35,039 I asked VR this question, but just for our audience, 621 00:30:35,119 --> 00:30:37,839 from your perspective, at what point in time do you say, okay, 622 00:30:37,880 --> 00:30:40,960 I can't bet Nebraska at this point. But then at 623 00:30:41,000 --> 00:30:42,559 what point do you say, okay, this has now gotten 624 00:30:42,559 --> 00:30:44,119 two out of control. I now need to look at 625 00:30:44,119 --> 00:30:47,119 the other side. So whether it's UCLA, whether it's BYU, 626 00:30:47,559 --> 00:30:50,680 or do you just say nope. I originally liked side X. 627 00:30:50,920 --> 00:30:52,759 I just have to let it go because the line's gone. 628 00:30:53,400 --> 00:30:53,480 Speaker 2: No. 629 00:30:53,920 --> 00:30:56,039 Speaker 4: When it depends on what the line is and when 630 00:30:56,039 --> 00:30:58,759 you get these games, And first of all, the three 631 00:30:58,960 --> 00:31:02,319 was there for a heartbeat, that's all. Okay, that was 632 00:31:02,480 --> 00:31:06,680 a heartbeat. This line most of the week was one 633 00:31:06,720 --> 00:31:08,720 and a half U c LA. Then we saw it 634 00:31:08,799 --> 00:31:10,960 go to pick. We even saw a couple of books 635 00:31:11,000 --> 00:31:14,000 actually go to Nebraska one for a while, and then 636 00:31:14,039 --> 00:31:16,920 it come back to UCLA. When you're dealing with the 637 00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:19,880 number that basically is it's picked the winner. When they're 638 00:31:19,920 --> 00:31:22,759 going back and forth between who's going to be the favorite. 639 00:31:22,799 --> 00:31:26,000 I don't let that bother me because the line, and 640 00:31:26,079 --> 00:31:29,000 I know you love the joke with John Oh, games 641 00:31:29,000 --> 00:31:32,359 don't fall on one well, usually they don't what in 642 00:31:32,400 --> 00:31:33,440 the NFL they do. 643 00:31:33,599 --> 00:31:35,839 Speaker 5: And as a matter of fact, we've now had twelve 644 00:31:35,920 --> 00:31:38,640 NFL games Land one Marco and next year I'm gonna 645 00:31:38,640 --> 00:31:40,839 make John put up a prop at the Westgates super 646 00:31:40,839 --> 00:31:42,839 Book and in August, I'm gonna bet it, and I'm 647 00:31:42,839 --> 00:31:45,279 gonna bet the over thirteen and a half. 648 00:31:45,319 --> 00:31:47,039 Speaker 1: I told him that's the number I want for next year's. 649 00:31:49,200 --> 00:31:53,720 Speaker 4: But the situation is that oftentimes what happens with these 650 00:31:53,799 --> 00:31:56,759 numbers when you're floating around, you know, the favorite for 651 00:31:56,759 --> 00:31:59,920 both sides is there's manipulation of the market. This is 652 00:32:00,119 --> 00:32:05,400 something that's becoming more prevalent in sports betting because you know, 653 00:32:05,480 --> 00:32:07,640 before Kelly, as you said, there used to be numbers 654 00:32:07,680 --> 00:32:10,000 where you could you can get a book that has, 655 00:32:10,519 --> 00:32:13,799 you know, a stale number or whatever. Those days are 656 00:32:13,920 --> 00:32:17,160 pretty much gone because what ends up happening and a 657 00:32:17,200 --> 00:32:20,400 lot of the books won't admit it. But I would 658 00:32:20,400 --> 00:32:24,799 say probably eight out of ten books are moving numbers, 659 00:32:25,319 --> 00:32:29,079 not on bets, but on a bet at a key book. 660 00:32:29,079 --> 00:32:31,920 As soon as there's something hits the screen that you 661 00:32:31,960 --> 00:32:36,359 know is sharp, everybody's following along and what the sharp 662 00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:39,960 players are doing. And I'm saying not players, I'm saying syndicates. 663 00:32:40,200 --> 00:32:44,519 What they'll do is early in the week, when the 664 00:32:44,559 --> 00:32:48,359 limits are much lower, they'll send some bets in okay, 665 00:32:48,400 --> 00:32:51,079 and then everybody is so attuned to wanting to watch 666 00:32:51,119 --> 00:32:54,559 the screen, and you know, be steam chasers. They see 667 00:32:54,599 --> 00:32:57,000 a line move early in the week and they go, oh, 668 00:32:57,160 --> 00:32:58,759 sharps are all over it and they run to the 669 00:32:58,799 --> 00:33:02,440 window and then they piggyback it and then that gets 670 00:33:02,799 --> 00:33:05,799 because it's a low minimums the beginning of the week, 671 00:33:05,920 --> 00:33:08,880 it gets the line moving quickly early, and then all 672 00:33:08,880 --> 00:33:12,720 the steam chasers jump on board, moves it even more 673 00:33:12,960 --> 00:33:15,839 because you have all these smaller players making bets on 674 00:33:15,880 --> 00:33:19,599 the same side. Then what happens when you get to Thursday, 675 00:33:20,000 --> 00:33:25,079 when the minimums increase or the maximums increase, then they 676 00:33:25,079 --> 00:33:27,359 can get more money. That's when you start seeing them 677 00:33:27,400 --> 00:33:30,759 taking real positions and they're coming back. They manipulated the 678 00:33:30,759 --> 00:33:33,079 market to get the number they wanted. So no, it 679 00:33:33,119 --> 00:33:36,640 doesn't bother me. Now, if we're talking about six is 680 00:33:36,680 --> 00:33:39,480 going to seven and a half or seven and a 681 00:33:39,480 --> 00:33:41,480 half coming down to sixes and you lose a key 682 00:33:41,559 --> 00:33:44,440 number like that, yeah, that's a different story, Kelly. You 683 00:33:44,480 --> 00:33:47,400 got to say, oh, you know what, I missed the number. 684 00:33:47,559 --> 00:33:50,400 Let's you know, I gotta move on. There's you know, 685 00:33:50,519 --> 00:33:54,000 that's like the sun every day, it's gonna rise tomorrow. 686 00:33:54,119 --> 00:33:55,680 There's gonna be something else I can bet on. 687 00:33:56,279 --> 00:33:59,279 Speaker 1: All right, Well, the ocean is calling my name. But 688 00:33:59,319 --> 00:34:02,240 the comments just keeps going. And I promised you guys 689 00:34:02,240 --> 00:34:05,319 that if you guys were asking questions, I was gonna 690 00:34:05,319 --> 00:34:07,359 stay sitting here. So we're gonna go through some more 691 00:34:07,400 --> 00:34:09,559 of you guys question almost four thousand of you guys 692 00:34:09,599 --> 00:34:11,960 watching live. Shout out to all of you on this 693 00:34:12,119 --> 00:34:15,039 beautiful Saturday morning. And also, if you guys are looking 694 00:34:15,480 --> 00:34:18,920 for a college football contest, just four week eleven splash 695 00:34:18,960 --> 00:34:22,199 sports dot com backslash Kelly in Vegas right now. We 696 00:34:22,199 --> 00:34:24,800 still have a fifteen hundred dollars overlay. It is a 697 00:34:24,920 --> 00:34:29,280 ten pick week eleven college football contest. Only you guys 698 00:34:29,320 --> 00:34:32,119 are looking for that Splash sports dot com backslash Kelly 699 00:34:32,159 --> 00:34:34,639 and Vegas Marco a game I didn't look at here 700 00:34:34,639 --> 00:34:37,599 in the Mountain West Air Force San Jose State hand up. 701 00:34:38,039 --> 00:34:41,639 Mountain West football has kind of really started to subside 702 00:34:41,639 --> 00:34:43,639 for me. I haven't found a ton of value here 703 00:34:43,679 --> 00:34:45,760 and there. But you're still out there on the West coast, 704 00:34:45,800 --> 00:34:47,599 and I know you still follow it because of UNLV 705 00:34:47,760 --> 00:34:49,599 and you and R talk to me about Air Force 706 00:34:49,639 --> 00:34:51,840 San Diego State, San Jose State. 707 00:34:51,880 --> 00:34:53,400 Speaker 3: Excuse me, San Jose State. 708 00:34:53,639 --> 00:34:58,280 Speaker 4: Air Force defense is absolute pure trash. They can't stop anybody. Okay, 709 00:34:59,199 --> 00:35:01,119 if I played, they can score a lot of points, 710 00:35:01,159 --> 00:35:03,480 don't get me wrong. And the reason that they're scoring 711 00:35:03,559 --> 00:35:06,039 even more points this year. When you think of Air Force, 712 00:35:06,159 --> 00:35:08,599 you think about that running game. But they can throw 713 00:35:08,639 --> 00:35:11,519 the football this year, so they do score points. But 714 00:35:11,719 --> 00:35:14,920 I can't trust them on the road. And if you 715 00:35:14,960 --> 00:35:17,119 correct me if I'm wrong, I think last week they 716 00:35:17,159 --> 00:35:21,159 played one of the fellow service academy, so you got 717 00:35:21,239 --> 00:35:24,000 them in a bad spot. That way, it's San Jose 718 00:35:24,159 --> 00:35:27,280 State or pass for me. I would go ahead and 719 00:35:27,400 --> 00:35:32,400 lay it with them in this one or past the game. Also, 720 00:35:32,800 --> 00:35:36,079 I wouldn't be looking at any unders in the Air Force 721 00:35:36,159 --> 00:35:38,559 games because as fast as they can score, they give 722 00:35:38,559 --> 00:35:39,320 it up as well. 723 00:35:40,159 --> 00:35:43,519 Speaker 1: Ooh, very good insight there. Let's keep it going with 724 00:35:43,599 --> 00:35:46,199 the Mountain West Titan CT shout out. He's one of 725 00:35:46,239 --> 00:35:50,440 those Wager Talk insiders. WT dot Buzz backslash Insiders a 726 00:35:50,519 --> 00:35:53,039 joint two dollars and ninety eight nine cents a month, 727 00:35:53,079 --> 00:35:55,679 and that gets you tons of early access to everything 728 00:35:55,719 --> 00:35:59,239 wager Talk Titan CT wants to know about UNLB today. 729 00:35:59,320 --> 00:36:01,840 Marco was kind of one of those programs I thought 730 00:36:01,960 --> 00:36:06,239 was gonna make that up and coming movement, especially with 731 00:36:06,360 --> 00:36:09,920 nil money. Now we've got to see them flatten out 732 00:36:09,960 --> 00:36:10,440 if you will. 733 00:36:11,400 --> 00:36:13,639 Speaker 3: Yeah, they have. And here's the problem, Kelly. 734 00:36:13,800 --> 00:36:16,159 Speaker 4: They had the big game against Boise They went into 735 00:36:16,239 --> 00:36:20,559 the Boise game two weeks ago undefeated, and you know, 736 00:36:20,599 --> 00:36:23,039 we didn't know what to expect after Barry Odom, you know, 737 00:36:23,199 --> 00:36:26,079 left in Dan Mullen come in coming out of you know, 738 00:36:26,199 --> 00:36:29,800 from the ESPN booth and back into the coaching ranks. 739 00:36:29,920 --> 00:36:33,880 But they played well offensively, defensively not so much, and 740 00:36:33,920 --> 00:36:36,039 that has been a problem for this team. And then 741 00:36:36,079 --> 00:36:38,800 once they went up against that physical team of Boise State, 742 00:36:39,079 --> 00:36:41,440 they just got their doors blown off. So what happens 743 00:36:41,480 --> 00:36:45,320 that we talk about so often last week was game two, 744 00:36:45,480 --> 00:36:48,880 the week after they had their first loss in their 745 00:36:48,960 --> 00:36:51,519 dream pressure, because if they would have beat Boise State, 746 00:36:51,760 --> 00:36:54,880 they would have been in the driver's seat to go undefeated, 747 00:36:55,840 --> 00:36:57,760 win the Mountain West Conference and it would have had 748 00:36:57,760 --> 00:37:02,159 themselves in position to win that at large bid for 749 00:37:02,360 --> 00:37:07,400 the playoffs. Dream crusher game. What happened so often? They 750 00:37:07,440 --> 00:37:10,920 lost the same game twice. Now, with everything out the window, 751 00:37:11,639 --> 00:37:15,599 I'm concerned about UNLV the rest of the way. They 752 00:37:15,599 --> 00:37:17,599 still have a chance to get into the Mountain West 753 00:37:17,599 --> 00:37:20,320 Conference championship game, but they got to run the table 754 00:37:20,719 --> 00:37:24,840 and hope that San Diego State slips up a couple 755 00:37:25,000 --> 00:37:27,639 times for them to get in there, because right now 756 00:37:27,679 --> 00:37:30,880 they're the third man out. But I don't trust that 757 00:37:30,960 --> 00:37:34,840 defense to lay points in this game here, so I 758 00:37:35,079 --> 00:37:38,880 lean to UNLV, but I can't pull the trigger on them. 759 00:37:39,000 --> 00:37:41,880 And Dan Mullen because of the success he did have 760 00:37:42,000 --> 00:37:45,719 here his name, you know some rumblings going around maybe 761 00:37:45,760 --> 00:37:48,360 he's gonna get a job offer after the season that 762 00:37:48,400 --> 00:37:51,360 he's had here. And if you're a UNL vague player, 763 00:37:51,400 --> 00:37:53,880 you gotta be saying, oh no, not again. We just 764 00:37:53,920 --> 00:37:57,280 lost Barry Odom last year after we turned the program around. 765 00:37:57,440 --> 00:38:00,360 Is it gonna happen again? So those are my problem there. 766 00:38:00,400 --> 00:38:03,599 But I would play UNLV or past the game, but 767 00:38:03,679 --> 00:38:05,000 too many question marks. 768 00:38:05,280 --> 00:38:09,039 Speaker 1: All right, Marco, all about my bills seven to one six. 769 00:38:09,280 --> 00:38:11,280 You were in trouble because this tells me that you 770 00:38:11,280 --> 00:38:13,679 did not watch bet on It this week. These are 771 00:38:13,719 --> 00:38:17,440 two games at Marco D'Angelo already discussed, so I'm gonna 772 00:38:17,480 --> 00:38:21,119 let him take the floor. You like Celebrity a lot 773 00:38:21,519 --> 00:38:23,599 this week on the show, Marco so much that they 774 00:38:23,639 --> 00:38:26,800 were your best bet. Talk to me about the celebrity 775 00:38:26,800 --> 00:38:30,400 team and then also maybe why you're with everybody on 776 00:38:30,599 --> 00:38:34,480 Alabama full disclosure, I mean Brian Kelly got fired, why 777 00:38:34,480 --> 00:38:36,159 aren't we taking LSU? 778 00:38:36,920 --> 00:38:38,880 Speaker 4: Okay, Well, I'll answer that one real quick, and the 779 00:38:38,920 --> 00:38:41,000 reason for that one is I think they waited too 780 00:38:41,119 --> 00:38:44,760 long to fire Brian Kelly and it ruined their season. 781 00:38:44,840 --> 00:38:48,480 This is a team that LSU. We both were high 782 00:38:48,519 --> 00:38:50,440 on him Kelly going into this season. You know, when 783 00:38:50,480 --> 00:38:53,119 we did the previews early on, I thought they had 784 00:38:53,159 --> 00:38:56,320 a legitimate shot to win the SEC this year, which 785 00:38:56,360 --> 00:39:00,360 would have put them in the national championship conversation. And 786 00:39:00,440 --> 00:39:02,920 they expected that too. They were highly ranked coming into 787 00:39:02,920 --> 00:39:06,239 the season. Remember that first week against Clemson when you 788 00:39:06,280 --> 00:39:10,159 added the battle of top ten teams, We thought they 789 00:39:10,159 --> 00:39:13,599 were for real in the season unraveled. So even though 790 00:39:13,599 --> 00:39:15,960 they fired to coach I don't know that you get 791 00:39:15,960 --> 00:39:19,559 excited because where are you going with the record they 792 00:39:19,599 --> 00:39:23,199 have right now? That's the problem with them. Alabama's coming 793 00:39:23,239 --> 00:39:26,360 off a scare and a bye week. Two weeks ago, 794 00:39:26,400 --> 00:39:29,679 we had South Carolina against Alabama. I thought that was 795 00:39:29,719 --> 00:39:33,519 the flat spot for Alabama, and they almost lost that game. 796 00:39:33,719 --> 00:39:36,360 They needed a late touchdown in the fourth quarter to 797 00:39:36,440 --> 00:39:39,239 win by seven. We got the double digit cover with 798 00:39:39,400 --> 00:39:44,480 South Carolina. Normally, good teams off of scare come to play. 799 00:39:44,559 --> 00:39:47,760 That's why I had Alabama on the show. The Liberty play. 800 00:39:48,239 --> 00:39:51,440 Speaker 3: That was simple. Liberty was a team coming into the season. 801 00:39:51,400 --> 00:39:54,199 Speaker 4: That a lot of sharps were very high on, and 802 00:39:54,199 --> 00:39:56,760 they were supposed to run away with that conference. They 803 00:39:56,760 --> 00:39:58,920 got off to a slow start because they played a 804 00:39:59,000 --> 00:40:02,840 murderous schedule the beginning of the season. Now they're playing 805 00:40:02,880 --> 00:40:06,960 the way they were anticipated to play coming into conference play. 806 00:40:07,159 --> 00:40:10,960 They're three and one. They're only one game behind the leaders. 807 00:40:11,159 --> 00:40:13,960 There's two teams there are four and oh in the conference. 808 00:40:14,599 --> 00:40:16,920 They're playing their best ball right now, but people are 809 00:40:16,960 --> 00:40:19,400 still looking at that losing streak at the beginning of 810 00:40:19,400 --> 00:40:22,400 the season. You've got to adjust to how a team 811 00:40:22,519 --> 00:40:25,039 is playing right now. I think seven and a half 812 00:40:25,079 --> 00:40:27,760 is a low number. I've even seen some eights around 813 00:40:27,800 --> 00:40:31,519 town on that game. I still like Liberty, all right. 814 00:40:32,039 --> 00:40:35,400 Speaker 1: I think we're out of questions. I could be wrong. Okay, 815 00:40:35,400 --> 00:40:37,280 we got we got two more questions we're gonna get to. 816 00:40:37,360 --> 00:40:39,920 But before we do, Marco D'Angelo, what do you got 817 00:40:39,920 --> 00:40:42,400 going on? Over at wager talk dot com? The Deli 818 00:40:42,519 --> 00:40:44,840 has been so awesome if you guys have missed not 819 00:40:44,880 --> 00:40:47,599 only on bet on It, but the standalone Deli video 820 00:40:47,679 --> 00:40:50,119 that Marco does every single week where he's showing you 821 00:40:50,280 --> 00:40:53,519 different scheduling spots to take advantage of you guys are 822 00:40:53,519 --> 00:40:54,639 missing out. It's been crushing. 823 00:40:55,480 --> 00:40:58,320 Speaker 3: It's been a really good year for us on there. 824 00:40:58,360 --> 00:41:03,079 Speaker 4: With that, we've had nine episodes, six winning episodes, two 825 00:41:03,199 --> 00:41:05,000 losing episodes, and one break even. 826 00:41:05,960 --> 00:41:06,880 Speaker 3: It's been fun. 827 00:41:07,159 --> 00:41:09,840 Speaker 4: The NFL game, Kelly, we give one NFL game each 828 00:41:09,880 --> 00:41:11,880 week on the Deli eight. 829 00:41:11,719 --> 00:41:14,599 Speaker 3: And one this year on the NFL Game. To head 830 00:41:14,639 --> 00:41:16,400 over there to check that one out. 831 00:41:16,440 --> 00:41:19,559 Speaker 4: And if you want to check out my card today, 832 00:41:19,559 --> 00:41:22,760 I do have a five percent play up today. We 833 00:41:22,800 --> 00:41:25,400 had to play last week of five percent because I 834 00:41:25,440 --> 00:41:27,599 don't want to get Kelly mad at me. I won't 835 00:41:27,599 --> 00:41:35,079 say who that five percent was last week, but it 836 00:41:35,960 --> 00:41:39,199 was an easy win, but it was not as easy 837 00:41:39,199 --> 00:41:41,440 as the final score looked. I did get some breaks 838 00:41:41,480 --> 00:41:43,519 in the fourth quarter in that game, but you know what, 839 00:41:44,440 --> 00:41:46,960 I'll take it and cash that ticket and move on. 840 00:41:47,840 --> 00:41:50,519 But we're on a fourteen and three run, Kelly. For 841 00:41:50,599 --> 00:41:53,079 the clients over the last nine days, you can pick 842 00:41:53,159 --> 00:41:55,519 up the one game today for thirty five dollars, or 843 00:41:56,239 --> 00:41:59,079 the birthday bash is still available. You can pick up 844 00:41:59,199 --> 00:42:02,960 seven days for sixty four dollars. Guys that have picked 845 00:42:02,960 --> 00:42:05,719 it up the first two days Thursday and Friday of 846 00:42:05,760 --> 00:42:08,159 this week, they're three and zero, and the guys that 847 00:42:08,199 --> 00:42:10,840 have been riding along since last week, they're on that 848 00:42:10,920 --> 00:42:13,880 fourteen and three runs. So head on over to Wagertalk 849 00:42:14,119 --> 00:42:18,000 dot com or go directly to my homepage wt dot 850 00:42:18,119 --> 00:42:21,920 buzz backslash MD. You can join me for either just 851 00:42:22,000 --> 00:42:26,400 five percent by itself or seven days for sixty four dollars. 852 00:42:26,639 --> 00:42:29,079 Speaker 1: And if you guys forgot to tell Marco happy birthday, 853 00:42:29,079 --> 00:42:31,440 you guys can do it in the comments section right now. 854 00:42:31,599 --> 00:42:35,519 Happy belated birthday, Marco D'Angelo. Here's one of the last 855 00:42:35,519 --> 00:42:37,400 couple questions this is a game I wanted to talk about. 856 00:42:37,400 --> 00:42:41,960 Mississippi State. Boy, has that team made me some money 857 00:42:41,960 --> 00:42:46,559 but been very frustrating on those money line bets. They 858 00:42:46,559 --> 00:42:48,599 did open up seven and a half this week versus 859 00:42:48,599 --> 00:42:51,480 Georgia now plus nine and a half. Georgia is on 860 00:42:51,519 --> 00:42:54,519 that list that not only Art gave me, but also 861 00:42:54,639 --> 00:42:57,280 VR gave me on a very lopsided game. The public's 862 00:42:57,280 --> 00:43:01,800 all over Georgia. Miss State. Man, I just don't know 863 00:43:01,840 --> 00:43:05,840 how many other games they can win by lose and 864 00:43:05,920 --> 00:43:09,760 cover by close margin. They have just been so damn frustrating. 865 00:43:10,679 --> 00:43:13,000 Speaker 4: They have Kelly, but and I'll be honest, this one 866 00:43:13,360 --> 00:43:16,519 just missed being on a Deli because Georgia's in a 867 00:43:16,519 --> 00:43:20,519 bad scheduling spot with what they've been having to play with. 868 00:43:20,880 --> 00:43:23,760 But they shouldn't look past this team. And that was 869 00:43:23,760 --> 00:43:26,920 the final factor why I didn't put it on the Delhi. 870 00:43:27,599 --> 00:43:31,440 Mississippi State. You're right, They've had so many games where 871 00:43:31,440 --> 00:43:35,159 they've played so well, and they not only were covering Kelly, 872 00:43:35,199 --> 00:43:37,679 they had the leads late in a lot of those 873 00:43:37,719 --> 00:43:40,159 games and then the other team, you know, puts the 874 00:43:40,239 --> 00:43:43,159 dagger in but you get the points spread win, but 875 00:43:43,599 --> 00:43:47,599 they lose the game, you know, late in the game Georgia, 876 00:43:47,800 --> 00:43:49,559 they got to look at the schedule and see all 877 00:43:49,599 --> 00:43:52,360 of those close games that Mississippi State has had. They 878 00:43:52,400 --> 00:43:54,639 shouldn't look past them. And that's the only reason it 879 00:43:54,679 --> 00:43:57,239 made me pump the brakes that it didn't make the deli. 880 00:43:57,440 --> 00:44:00,960 But they were, as you always say, Kelly, my long list. 881 00:44:01,440 --> 00:44:04,760 They were there heading to this week's deli. They just 882 00:44:04,800 --> 00:44:08,679 got left on the editing floor because we put five 883 00:44:08,719 --> 00:44:12,239 plays out for College one NFL and they just missed. 884 00:44:12,880 --> 00:44:13,159 Speaker 3: Yeah. 885 00:44:13,320 --> 00:44:16,480 Speaker 1: I looked at my list and it's like, I just can't. 886 00:44:16,519 --> 00:44:18,880 I can't do it. After the Texas game, they broke 887 00:44:18,960 --> 00:44:22,239 me mentally. They did it, and that probably means they're 888 00:44:22,239 --> 00:44:25,280 gonna cover the nine and a half today. Shot go ahead, market. 889 00:44:25,199 --> 00:44:27,320 Speaker 3: One more for you. I gotta give you credit. 890 00:44:27,400 --> 00:44:29,960 Speaker 4: You know you always you know you're a sharp player, 891 00:44:30,039 --> 00:44:34,199 plus EV player. This was a big plus e V move. 892 00:44:34,639 --> 00:44:38,239 You taken the Saturday last call and given Aeriel the 893 00:44:38,320 --> 00:44:40,599 Sunday one because you only had one night of drinking. 894 00:44:40,719 --> 00:44:41,760 She's got to deal with two. 895 00:44:42,400 --> 00:44:45,840 Speaker 1: Oh. I guarantee she's got a marguerite in hand right now. 896 00:44:47,000 --> 00:44:49,039 She's not calling me because I told her I was 897 00:44:49,079 --> 00:44:50,920 gonna be there on the half hour. I said, we've 898 00:44:50,920 --> 00:44:53,719 only got Mark on VR today unless the comment section 899 00:44:53,880 --> 00:44:56,199 is popping and there's almost five thousand of you guys. 900 00:44:56,199 --> 00:44:58,840 By the way, that's why I'm not out by the 901 00:44:59,000 --> 00:45:00,960 lovely ocean that is right behind me on the other 902 00:45:00,960 --> 00:45:03,760 side of this window. Shout out to Marco at Marco 903 00:45:03,760 --> 00:45:06,719 and Vegas on social channels if you guys want to 904 00:45:06,719 --> 00:45:08,800 give him a follow over. There you can catch all 905 00:45:08,840 --> 00:45:11,239 of his stuff like the Deli as well as bet 906 00:45:11,280 --> 00:45:14,239 on It. Shout out to VR, agrig, Underscore, Gamble, make 907 00:45:14,239 --> 00:45:15,440 Sure because are given to a fall, and of course 908 00:45:15,480 --> 00:45:17,960 you can catch all three of us every single Wednesday 909 00:45:18,079 --> 00:45:21,320 right here on the wager Talk YouTube channel. Marco, anything 910 00:45:21,360 --> 00:45:23,079 you would like to leave our audience with before we 911 00:45:23,119 --> 00:45:23,960 get the heck out of here. 912 00:45:24,760 --> 00:45:27,000 Speaker 4: I hope they played Forever Young last week in a 913 00:45:27,039 --> 00:45:30,960 reader's cup that we gave him right here on Nope. 914 00:45:31,119 --> 00:45:34,599 Speaker 1: I was. I was not on the show. Joe Madden 915 00:45:34,719 --> 00:45:36,440 so kindly filled in for me so I could go 916 00:45:36,519 --> 00:45:39,639 visit some family members, and Marco didn't even text me 917 00:45:39,679 --> 00:45:42,639 about Forever. You couldn't even send me he goes watch 918 00:45:42,719 --> 00:45:46,039 the show, Kelly, this is how I get treated. I 919 00:45:46,079 --> 00:45:47,920 just want you guys know this is how I get 920 00:45:47,960 --> 00:45:50,400 treated sometimes on wager talks by some of the guys 921 00:45:50,400 --> 00:45:52,760 if I consider it to be really good friends of mine. 922 00:45:53,400 --> 00:45:56,320 Shout out Marco, shout out Forever Young, and shout out 923 00:45:56,320 --> 00:45:58,079 to all of you guys who hang out with us 924 00:45:58,119 --> 00:46:01,920 every single Saturday. We'll be back, same time, same place tomorrow, 925 00:46:02,079 --> 00:46:05,239 same ugly curtains behind me, except Ariel will be in 926 00:46:05,280 --> 00:46:08,679 the host seat. Good luck today. I hope you cash him. 927 00:46:08,760 --> 00:46:10,440 Don't trash him, as Vre likes to say.