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Speaker 1: All right, we are live. It is Friday. It is

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time for total basis. I was joking with the boys

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off air. The last week made me realize that I

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don't have many hobbies outside of this. I've been bored

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as hell. I was on college basketball message boards for

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the past couple of days and I'm like, what am

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I even doing here? It's July, thrilled to have baseball back,

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and I got to bring this point up and then

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we'll bring you guys in and start talking about this.

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Robert s makes a point that I thought about this

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morning where I just couldn't believe this, and he's right.

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How can you have a four day break and return

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on Friday morning with eight teams that don't have a

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starter listed or eight Like there's literally four or five

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games that aren't even listed at most books right now

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that don't have a lineup because they don't know who

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their starter is. And yeah, how is that possible? That's

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that's frustrating. I know I have holes in you know,

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my list here because certain teams haven't figured out a

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starter yet yet they've had a week to do it.

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Have you guys noticed that as well? Have they popped

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at your books? And any any thoughts there.

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Speaker 2: Well, the thought is during the first half of the season,

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or once the second half gets going, they have their

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rotation and everybody likes to pitch on their certain day

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five days off, six days off. So if you followed

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Stridery yesterday, you know that the guy after him is

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so and so. So that's the way it is the

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Ringer season. But when you get the break, let's say

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your fifth starter is due to pitch you don't want

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to start the second half of your fifth starter. That

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means he's going to get one more start than he

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should get. Sure, So then you switch back and you

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go from you know, from your one to year five,

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but even a lot of times depending on who you

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match up with. Just on that first series. Well, let's

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say you're playing a team that's really good against lefties. Well,

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you may not want to start your lefty against him.

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You might, I mean, he may be your third starter.

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You're moving back to the four starter. So I see

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what it is. It's just frustrating where you don't know

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exactly who it is. The Yankees really, I don't know

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who they're gonna what they're gonna do, because they've got

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free is injured or came back from an jury. He's

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got a blister, so he's probably gonna start. But if

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the blister is bothering him, maybe he doesn't start today.

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Who knows.

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Speaker 3: I'm seeing the Angels, Reels, and Yankees the only teams

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that don't have their starters list. I see ever the

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team with a starter.

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Speaker 1: I think they've started to pop up. I know, like

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an hour ago to maybe seven thirty am, when I

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was really kind of making my first yeah, like real

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pass through it, I noticed quite a few without without starters.

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But yeah, I miss I missed doing the show. I

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missed baseball.

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Speaker 3: I missed doing a show. But the four days gave

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me a chance to kind of put my stats in

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a nice format. So I put them downloadable free on

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my page on wage of talk dot com, so you

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guys can go do that and use it for your dfs.

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That's how I filled my time. Brian, did you actually

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talk to your wife?

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Speaker 2: I actually uh downloaded that and it was it looks

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really nice. I had to talk to my wife because

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it was my thirtieth anniversary over the weekend.

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Speaker 3: So Okay.

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Speaker 2: Went out and had a nice dinner ands off show.

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So it was very nice.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, it's it's nice to take a break

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and stuff, but I'd rather be doing this that just

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just straight up rather be doing this, I'd rather figure

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out these games, even if we have starters or not.

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I will say this, And as we go into the

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first game that we're gonna cover, Markinzho wants to cover

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Guardians A's that's when we have starters for and I

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think we're all gonna kind of have opinions on that,

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so we're gonna kick off with that one. But I

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will say, like I approached the three days out of

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the break similar to I approached the three days into

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the break, because you'd never really know who's gonna come

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out ready to rock and who might be still sleeping

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a little bit. So I always find this week and

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particularly very interesting, and I'm willing to I kind of

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tread a little lightly kind of the same way as

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I go into the break. I didn't even make a

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play on Sunday for that reason, and I'll be pretty

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tight here because of that. So Brian Leonard, let's go

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to you a team that you know, I would say

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started to play well going into the break, Your Cleveland Guardians.

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They're now at home as a favorite against the West Sacramento.

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As you went to this series out in Sacramento, now

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they're back in Cleveland. How are you approaching this one?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's I just want to touch on something about

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starting the second half. You mentioned the way the first

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half ended. That's Sunday, and I said this going in.

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Unfortunately we didn't have a show that day, so I

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probably should have tweeted it out. But your last day

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like that is very similar to your last day at school.

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You just can't wait to get out of there. The

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umpires want to get home, the players want to get home,

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and two thirds of the games went under. I think

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we're going to have something very similar today. So you

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have you have hitters who haven't hit in four or

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five days. They are creatures, I have it or whatever.

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A lot of the pitchers who made the All Star

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team starters did not take the time to go to

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the game. They wanted to, they wanted to rest up

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for today's start. And the other guys have already been

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rested from a starting standpoint, and all the bullpen's are rested.

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So this if you like to play an unders, this

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is a great way to do so. Unfortunately, this was

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probably gonna be my best bet. When I went to

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bed last night, these lines have been up for a

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day or so, so it was easy to tell who's

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gonna play. But I I wanted to play this game

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under it was eight and a half. I said, this

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is going to be my best bet on today's show.

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And here we go with the with the line movement

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is down now down to eight everywhere. I actually it's

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leaning a little bit towards eight under. Cleveland's about a

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one thirty favorite in this game. So everybody saw the

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same thing as I did. Didn't get out to clients

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soon enough, and I that's my own fault there. But yeah,

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we've got JP series going, and uh, he's one of

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the guys that should give Cleveland problems. He's a lefty,

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comes in with a four point seven to nine e

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RA not very good but expected dras four. His whip

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is one point two five And you had mentioned when

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they played Cleveland last time he went at home, he

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went five innings, gave up three earned runs. I was

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at that game and he was pitching very well. Then

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he kind of fell apart. A couple of walk, a

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couple of questionable calls by the ops and then he

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got shaken a little bit. So I think I'll come

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back and pitch a better game here. He's a high

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he's a flyball pitcher. He's only in the four percent

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ground ball percentile, so that's that's not good. But for

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the most part, unless you hit it in the right

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center field, the ball is just normal here in in

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Cleveland for the for the weather or affixes me for

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the home run power in that one, but we also

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have going for Cleveland as Slay Chaconi, he's been good

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since he's come back. He's got three point four four

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ERA four point seven six expected, so maybe a little

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lucky with one point two seven. But he can be hit.

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If you take a look at his average exonvilastly fourth percentile,

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chase percent four percentile, or hit rate fourth and barrel seventh,

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that's not what you're looking for. His numbers look pretty

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good this year, and I've actually watched him, he's been good.

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He's usually a guy who doesn't walk batters. He's walking

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seven point eight percent right now, but he's a big

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streckout to walk guy. He's up a sixteen point three,

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which is better than the league average, So I like

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the under in this one, but unfortunately my clients aren't

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going to get it because lost the eight and a half.

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Speaker 3: So I was told I should only drink fireball when

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I have something to celebrate. I just won two kbo bets,

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so I'm going to celebrate for a minute, and oh

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that's so good. Regarding this game, I have the A's

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kind of better at everything, but just a little bit better.

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I mean, they're bullpen performing better. But you guys know

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you guys know me. I'm big on current form, and

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after a four day break, current form doesn't really mean

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as much. These guys are creatures of habit and everything

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is very They're very fluid, so after a four day

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break kind of don't know what to expect.

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Speaker 1: I do know that the A's have a.

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Speaker 3: Little bit better hitting and a little bit better bullpen.

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I also know that Taconi has really bad numbers at

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home for some reason. His era is quite bad. JP

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Series does not have good numbers against these batters. But

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I don't want to take an over because, like some

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people are saying in the comments, hitters are still a

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little bit in vacation mode and pitchers are all rested,

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so generally I would look to unders today, but I

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don't know if I'm gonna do an under in this game.

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The A's they were crushing the ball right before the break.

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The Indian or the Guardians weren't. A's bullpen is a

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little bit better. If anything, I'd go with A's, but

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I'm probably gonna lay off it today.

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Speaker 1: That's how I feel too. I think there's some value

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here on A's money line plus one twenty. You know,

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they're the type of team where just the makeup of

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the A's this year, a lot of young kids, a

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lot of kids in their first full big league season,

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some in their first big league season at all. You know,

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guys like Nick Kurtz, and you know, Jacob Wilson came

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up for a little bit last year. But like I think,

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I think I've talked about it a couple of times

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at this point, like they're the type of team that's

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gonna They're gonna be streaky, They're gonna sort of like

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it's gonna snowball in one direction or the other. And

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I don't think that they like suffer from a few

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days off, because I don't know that half of that

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team even knows what their approach is yet right, like

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like they they haven't even figured out their routine. They're

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just young kids that are happy to be up playing

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Major League Baseball and a lot of other organizations. They

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might not even in the beat, be in the big

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leagues yet if they were behind more season players, more

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veteran players. So the A's are the type of team

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where they roll into this series. I kind of agree

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with you, Tokio Brandon. I don't think there's that big

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of a difference between the A's and the Guardians that

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that's how out I am on the Guardians as a whole.

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Certainly the Guardians are gonna win more games than the

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A's this year, but I'm talking about the the caliber

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of team that's on the field is not that different.

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And so you're talking about coming into a spot where

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neither team has played for four days. The Guardians maybe

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so of you know, they had some momentum before the break.

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Maybe they've lost it. But when you go back to

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the price being that you're getting plus one twenty, I

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still have Seers rated a little bit higher than Seconi.

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The one other thing I'll throw out to you guys,

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Slaveezecconi spent a lot of time at Reno. Okay, the

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last couple of years in the Diamondbacks organization. So there's

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ten teams in the PCL. All of these guys in

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the A's lineup have seen him a ton, because I

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mean they'll play, I mean they play every single time

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Vegas plays Reno, They'll they'll see Seconi at least once.

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So there's probably a huge sample size here for the

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the A's hitters against Seconi. That's probably not you know,

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it's not at the big league level, so you're not

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gonna hear about it. But I bet these A's hitters

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top to bottom have seen him a ton. And he's

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not the type of guy that's really you know, if

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you've got a beat on him, you're gonna be able

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to hit Slade Cecconi. So A's money line is the

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way I'll go here, And as I talk about it,

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I start to like it even more. But I'll go

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to Ethan's comment Versut, Yeah, this is a very challenging

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weekend last weekend, coming into the break, this weekend, coming

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out of the break, Ethan, I agree with you. It's

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as challenging of a a week as you're gonna find

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in the entire MLB schedule. So but I do think

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there's some value there with the a's and uh, we'll

239
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move on. So titan ct says, can we discuss Brewers?

240
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This was one that I don't think many places had

241
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aligned for, but I think it's probably I think it's

242
00:12:28,240 --> 00:12:33,320
probably popping up right now. Yeah, Brewers Dodgers, we got

243
00:12:33,320 --> 00:12:36,200
to get this one in. On the show, someone asked,

244
00:12:36,240 --> 00:12:38,759
who's the pitcher here? My guess is if it's it's

245
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either Quinn Priester or it's Quinn Priester as the bulk guy.

246
00:12:42,639 --> 00:12:45,600
I know last time around they put Hall in front

247
00:12:45,600 --> 00:12:49,039
of him and Priester it seems to work. So Brian Leonard,

248
00:12:49,080 --> 00:12:52,440
I'll go to you Brewers Dodgers. They really like putting

249
00:12:52,440 --> 00:12:55,159
Priest in this bulk roll and he seems to be

250
00:12:55,240 --> 00:12:57,360
able to give him five six good innings every time

251
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they set it up that way for him. So, uh,

252
00:13:01,000 --> 00:13:02,919
I thought there was a little value here on the Brewers.

253
00:13:02,919 --> 00:13:05,919
But do the Dodgers wake up to start the second half?

254
00:13:06,000 --> 00:13:07,120
Is the question. We'll go to you.

255
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Speaker 2: That's what we talked about it. And to get back

256
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to the last question, I think the game the week

257
00:13:12,759 --> 00:13:16,279
going into the break is worse. That's the one, and

258
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you know, for the most part, and I think we

259
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all struggled that week. But this one, this one, I

260
00:13:22,039 --> 00:13:24,679
don't think is that difficult, as long as you know

261
00:13:24,720 --> 00:13:28,200
who's going to pitch, and to me, the best way

262
00:13:28,279 --> 00:13:32,000
to know is when all the teams are equal. We've

263
00:13:32,000 --> 00:13:34,399
talked about the bullpens. All the teams in the bullpens.

264
00:13:34,799 --> 00:13:36,480
They might have pitched in the All Star Game, Pitch

265
00:13:36,559 --> 00:13:39,120
one and whatever, but for the most part, all the

266
00:13:39,120 --> 00:13:42,600
bullpens are equal, so you you know that that's given information,

267
00:13:43,440 --> 00:13:45,399
and if you've been keeping up on the bullpens, you

268
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know who's good and who's not. And obviously Brandon does

269
00:13:48,600 --> 00:13:56,399
that with his numbers in this one. The line is

270
00:13:56,559 --> 00:14:01,639
glass now basically about a one eighty five and lines

271
00:14:01,720 --> 00:14:04,039
eight and a half glass knocking back. They pitched one

272
00:14:04,080 --> 00:14:08,559
time since he's been back from being injured. It looked

273
00:14:08,600 --> 00:14:12,679
pretty decent in that game. So you got two pitchers

274
00:14:12,679 --> 00:14:15,240
here that preachers really having a pretty much of a

275
00:14:15,279 --> 00:14:17,840
breakout year. Three point five to five e r a

276
00:14:17,960 --> 00:14:21,279
three point seven three expected one point twenty five on

277
00:14:21,360 --> 00:14:25,720
the whip, very good ground ball rate ninety fifth percentile.

278
00:14:26,399 --> 00:14:28,759
That's a very good number to have when you play

279
00:14:28,799 --> 00:14:32,120
the Dodgers, who are very similar to the Yankees in

280
00:14:32,200 --> 00:14:36,320
many ways where they home runs mean so much to

281
00:14:36,360 --> 00:14:39,960
this team. The Yankees have always been one that at

282
00:14:40,000 --> 00:14:43,919
least last decade is very important to them. They been trouble,

283
00:14:44,519 --> 00:14:46,799
that's why they're go on such as slump sometimes and

284
00:14:47,360 --> 00:14:50,679
are very streaky. That's something to take a look at.

285
00:14:51,679 --> 00:14:56,840
And as for his opponent today, Glass now, good picture

286
00:14:56,960 --> 00:14:59,840
when he's healthy, great picture many times when i's healthy,

287
00:14:59,879 --> 00:15:03,000
but he's not always healthy. His career ARRA is three

288
00:15:03,039 --> 00:15:06,039
point eight zero after ten seasons. Each of the last

289
00:15:06,039 --> 00:15:08,960
three years as the ARA is basically the same three

290
00:15:08,960 --> 00:15:11,279
point five two, three point four nine, three point five

291
00:15:11,320 --> 00:15:13,440
to three. You know what you're gonna get out of him.

292
00:15:14,080 --> 00:15:15,519
His whip this year is a little bit high at

293
00:15:15,559 --> 00:15:18,600
one point two two. Great extension. He's a one hundred

294
00:15:18,639 --> 00:15:23,120
percent tall extension, so he's six foot eight and that

295
00:15:23,159 --> 00:15:25,399
ball gets on you in a hurry, and then it

296
00:15:25,440 --> 00:15:28,840
makes all his numbers look really well this year so

297
00:15:28,960 --> 00:15:31,759
limitus sample size, but a chase percent, walk percent and

298
00:15:31,759 --> 00:15:35,200
barrel percentage and not been very good. He's only pitched

299
00:15:35,240 --> 00:15:38,200
twenty three innings, but He's a guy that when he's

300
00:15:38,200 --> 00:15:41,399
in a lineup, I like to back him. Because of

301
00:15:41,440 --> 00:15:43,799
his injuries. He's not one of the bigger name pitchers

302
00:15:43,840 --> 00:15:46,799
in baseball, but if you follow baseball, you know how

303
00:15:46,840 --> 00:15:51,159
good he is looking at the line in this game.

304
00:15:51,240 --> 00:15:54,159
As I mentioned last now eighty five and eight and

305
00:15:54,200 --> 00:15:58,720
a half, I would tend to the under in this game.

306
00:15:58,840 --> 00:16:00,519
I think glass now WI give him a good four

307
00:16:00,519 --> 00:16:04,120
to five innings. You probably want six. But with all

308
00:16:04,120 --> 00:16:07,360
the bullpens there, we've got anybody that can use. And

309
00:16:07,480 --> 00:16:10,480
these are two teams who, hey, may see each other

310
00:16:10,480 --> 00:16:12,720
in the playoffs, so this is a big series. They're

311
00:16:12,759 --> 00:16:15,159
gonna want to try to intimidate the opposition if they

312
00:16:15,159 --> 00:16:18,080
do play in the playoffs. So I expect pitching to

313
00:16:18,480 --> 00:16:19,279
roll this series.

314
00:16:21,440 --> 00:16:23,519
Speaker 3: So here's another thing I did over the break. I

315
00:16:23,559 --> 00:16:25,159
don't know if you guys can see it. I got

316
00:16:25,480 --> 00:16:28,159
a new Neon sign there that says Tokyo Brandon. Is

317
00:16:28,200 --> 00:16:32,440
that cool or what? So? Uh, yeah, things are good.

318
00:16:33,639 --> 00:16:38,559
So people are asking me to share my strikeout projections

319
00:16:38,559 --> 00:16:41,519
for some pictures, just go to my page at waygertalk

320
00:16:41,559 --> 00:16:44,120
dot com. I have all my strikeout projections for all

321
00:16:44,120 --> 00:16:46,679
the pitchers who were listed as of yesterday. Some of

322
00:16:46,720 --> 00:16:48,600
them popped up today that are not on the list.

323
00:16:48,639 --> 00:16:51,279
But if you go download that, it's easier than me

324
00:16:51,440 --> 00:16:53,480
checking it and putting it in the chat. I don't

325
00:16:53,480 --> 00:16:56,799
mind doing that, but you know, anyways, regarding this game,

326
00:16:57,360 --> 00:17:00,639
the I bad mouth the Royals about eight shows ago,

327
00:17:00,840 --> 00:17:04,000
and since I'm sorry, the Brewers and since then they

328
00:17:04,039 --> 00:17:07,839
have been like wildfire. Since that series against the Mets,

329
00:17:08,559 --> 00:17:10,799
I have them ranked better than the Dodgers at everything.

330
00:17:10,839 --> 00:17:15,279
But again, my numbers are very My numbers are very

331
00:17:16,119 --> 00:17:20,680
current form reliant, and there's really no current form after

332
00:17:20,720 --> 00:17:24,440
you've taken a four day vacation, so my numbers, I'm

333
00:17:24,480 --> 00:17:27,359
not trusting my numbers very much right now. Give me

334
00:17:27,680 --> 00:17:29,839
two games or so to get them back on track

335
00:17:30,200 --> 00:17:32,920
to catch a little rhythm there. But I do have

336
00:17:33,000 --> 00:17:36,640
the Brewers doing better at everything than the Dodgers. One

337
00:17:36,680 --> 00:17:40,759
thing interesting here is Glassnew's numbers against the Brewers are impeccable,

338
00:17:41,200 --> 00:17:43,200
but I think most of those were acquired when he

339
00:17:43,279 --> 00:17:48,160
pitched for the Rays, probably probably not as a Dodger.

340
00:17:48,839 --> 00:17:52,400
So again, sometimes when you look at face head to

341
00:17:52,440 --> 00:17:55,240
head matchups between pitcher and batters, it was in a

342
00:17:55,279 --> 00:17:58,240
totally different situation in a totally different stadium. I mean,

343
00:17:58,279 --> 00:18:00,279
the Rays aren't even playing in the same stadium that

344
00:18:00,319 --> 00:18:03,559
he was pitching in and the Dodgers. I mean, now,

345
00:18:04,000 --> 00:18:06,799
when a pitcher has a good lineup behind him, he

346
00:18:06,920 --> 00:18:09,440
tends to get a little more motivation to pitch. I

347
00:18:09,480 --> 00:18:11,839
think last NW is gonna have a good second half

348
00:18:11,839 --> 00:18:12,440
of the season.

349
00:18:13,400 --> 00:18:14,440
Speaker 1: I agree with.

350
00:18:14,400 --> 00:18:16,640
Speaker 3: Brian, though, I think this one will probably go to

351
00:18:16,680 --> 00:18:19,599
the under. I think we'll see a couple of lineups

352
00:18:19,599 --> 00:18:22,759
that are a bit stale after a break and got

353
00:18:22,759 --> 00:18:26,319
two really good pictures, so I would think an under

354
00:18:26,359 --> 00:18:26,920
in this one.

355
00:18:29,519 --> 00:18:31,839
Speaker 1: I like the Dodgers here, and I would not be

356
00:18:31,880 --> 00:18:36,279
surprised if the Dodgers slap Milwaukee around all weekend. This

357
00:18:36,480 --> 00:18:38,920
feels like like the more I think about it now,

358
00:18:39,279 --> 00:18:41,319
I did think there might be some value like plus

359
00:18:41,319 --> 00:18:43,640
one and a half on the Brewers, like, but when

360
00:18:43,680 --> 00:18:45,400
the line came out and I was looking at it,

361
00:18:45,480 --> 00:18:47,440
and the more I sort of look at this, I

362
00:18:47,480 --> 00:18:50,279
know I probably contradicted when I said opening this play.

363
00:18:50,359 --> 00:18:54,440
But the more I look at this, I realize Milwaukee's

364
00:18:54,480 --> 00:18:56,440
one of those teams that might really get hurt by

365
00:18:56,519 --> 00:18:59,640
the by the break. I mean they were They've been

366
00:18:59,680 --> 00:19:02,519
a little streaky this year. They go into the break

367
00:19:02,599 --> 00:19:07,000
winning seven straight games as hot as they can possibly be.

368
00:19:08,200 --> 00:19:11,480
They sweat the Dodgers, So now they go to Dodger Stadium.

369
00:19:11,480 --> 00:19:13,960
But what I'm thinking about as you two are talking,

370
00:19:14,000 --> 00:19:18,039
that kind of has me maybe flip from okay like Brewers. Yeah,

371
00:19:18,039 --> 00:19:20,079
there's gonna be some line value on the Brewers here,

372
00:19:20,160 --> 00:19:24,079
no question. But wanting to maybe play against that or

373
00:19:24,920 --> 00:19:27,160
not wanting a part of the Brewers is the fact

374
00:19:27,240 --> 00:19:31,039
that they just smacked around LA last week and now

375
00:19:31,039 --> 00:19:33,759
they're heading out there, And I do think there's some

376
00:19:33,839 --> 00:19:36,400
merit to like something Brian said the last couple of

377
00:19:36,440 --> 00:19:39,160
weeks where you know, the Dodgers kind of go through

378
00:19:39,160 --> 00:19:41,799
the motions. Now they come out of the All Star Break,

379
00:19:42,200 --> 00:19:44,920
and there's got to be like some sort of like hey,

380
00:19:45,599 --> 00:19:50,079
all right, it's time now, right, Like there's two months

381
00:19:50,079 --> 00:19:52,079
of the season left. You guys are the best team

382
00:19:52,119 --> 00:19:55,599
in the league. Go show it. Sean's correct. I think

383
00:19:55,640 --> 00:19:58,519
we'll get the full compliment of Glass now pitches here.

384
00:19:58,680 --> 00:20:02,759
I think he was pretty much full in that last

385
00:20:02,759 --> 00:20:05,480
start at Oklahoma City, and then there was probably a

386
00:20:05,519 --> 00:20:09,799
conversation like why push it going into the break when

387
00:20:09,799 --> 00:20:11,480
you know what I mean, Like we're gonna go into

388
00:20:11,519 --> 00:20:13,640
the break, you know you're gonna get some extended rest here.

389
00:20:13,759 --> 00:20:17,440
So it makes sense that this would be like the

390
00:20:17,480 --> 00:20:20,640
shackles are off type thing ninety to one hundred pitches.

391
00:20:20,799 --> 00:20:24,640
And that is again like if he's on, Like if

392
00:20:24,640 --> 00:20:27,880
you watched his last start, the stuff was there, he

393
00:20:27,960 --> 00:20:30,319
walked a couple of guys. But I think if he's

394
00:20:30,440 --> 00:20:32,920
like back to even close to what he should be,

395
00:20:33,319 --> 00:20:35,119
I mean, this could be like a six to seven inning,

396
00:20:35,680 --> 00:20:39,000
very strong outing for him, and that should put the

397
00:20:39,000 --> 00:20:42,079
Dodgers in position to win. So contradict myself at the

398
00:20:42,079 --> 00:20:44,839
open here, but I do still think see two things

399
00:20:44,880 --> 00:20:47,599
can be true. I do still think there's gonna be

400
00:20:47,680 --> 00:20:50,200
some number value on the Brewers in this series, but

401
00:20:50,400 --> 00:20:52,680
I won't be taking that number value. I think. I

402
00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:55,640
think the Dodgers are probably I think you're gonna see

403
00:20:55,680 --> 00:20:57,920
the beast wake up over the next couple of weeks here,

404
00:20:58,160 --> 00:21:00,599
and so I won't be going against that. So I

405
00:21:00,640 --> 00:21:03,200
think it would be Dodgers or pass for me. Here.

406
00:21:03,960 --> 00:21:07,440
Let's talk about another team that was hotter than the

407
00:21:07,480 --> 00:21:10,039
sun going into the all Star break, and that's the

408
00:21:10,079 --> 00:21:13,759
Boston Red Sox. Who you know, they got a lot

409
00:21:13,759 --> 00:21:16,440
of got a lot of heat for the Devs trade,

410
00:21:16,799 --> 00:21:19,359
but uh, they've played much better than the Giants since

411
00:21:19,400 --> 00:21:22,599
that trade, Like win loss record is much better than

412
00:21:22,640 --> 00:21:25,359
San Francisco since that trade. I don't think that has

413
00:21:25,400 --> 00:21:28,279
anything to do with Devers, Brian Leonard. I think that's

414
00:21:28,440 --> 00:21:33,279
just you know, getting like guys like Roman Anthony getting

415
00:21:33,319 --> 00:21:35,319
a few, you know, few weeks under their belt at

416
00:21:35,319 --> 00:21:38,359
the big league level. That is the future. This team

417
00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:41,200
is gonna be good, like they were probably always gonna

418
00:21:41,200 --> 00:21:45,200
be good without Devors going forward. And so listen, you

419
00:21:45,240 --> 00:21:49,240
can criticize how that happened. Certainly, if they shopped at

420
00:21:49,240 --> 00:21:51,440
around they probably get a little bit more in return.

421
00:21:51,960 --> 00:21:54,960
But I feel like the odds makers really held that

422
00:21:55,000 --> 00:21:57,480
against the Red Sox for like a couple of weeks,

423
00:21:57,519 --> 00:21:59,680
like held it against the team that was on the field.

424
00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:03,400
Their front office maybe made a questionable treat. This Red

425
00:22:03,440 --> 00:22:06,640
Sox team's very good. Roman Anthony's going to be a superstar,

426
00:22:07,079 --> 00:22:10,079
and I love the way this team is playing going

427
00:22:10,119 --> 00:22:12,240
into the break. So my question to you is now

428
00:22:12,240 --> 00:22:14,240
that they have the the day game on the road,

429
00:22:14,240 --> 00:22:16,799
at Wrigley to open up the second half. Do they

430
00:22:16,839 --> 00:22:19,880
get sort of stunted by the days off and maybe

431
00:22:19,920 --> 00:22:22,680
not carry them. They're momentum into this weekend. How are

432
00:22:22,720 --> 00:22:24,359
you seeing Red Sox Cubs.

433
00:22:24,720 --> 00:22:27,559
Speaker 2: Yeah, when a team is on a big winning streak,

434
00:22:27,640 --> 00:22:29,359
last thing they want to do is take some time

435
00:22:29,400 --> 00:22:32,839
off and get away from it. It definitely makes plays

436
00:22:32,839 --> 00:22:36,319
a factor in my mind. I want a team that's

437
00:22:36,400 --> 00:22:40,039
focused coming out of the break. Boston on that big

438
00:22:40,039 --> 00:22:42,960
winning streak there, Pat and Sasse as Marko would say,

439
00:22:43,720 --> 00:22:46,359
And it's usually a team that you can make money

440
00:22:46,400 --> 00:22:48,799
on because the lines are going to be more inflated

441
00:22:48,839 --> 00:22:51,440
because everybody knows who the hot teams are, and you've

442
00:22:51,480 --> 00:22:55,279
now had four days for that to sink into everybody is, hey,

443
00:22:55,480 --> 00:22:57,559
you know, I didn't realize. You know, especially if you

444
00:22:57,599 --> 00:22:59,440
if you're a casual fan you just watch the All

445
00:22:59,440 --> 00:23:02,960
Star Fest, is you don't follow the standings, Maybe right

446
00:23:03,000 --> 00:23:06,559
now you see, hey how about this Boston team? So yeah,

447
00:23:06,559 --> 00:23:08,559
that's what you have to go take a look at.

448
00:23:08,799 --> 00:23:11,720
And Gilido's going against Ray here. Ray's about a one

449
00:23:11,960 --> 00:23:16,200
twenty eight favorite line total open eight and a half

450
00:23:16,640 --> 00:23:21,559
under fifteen, and now it's we're seeing so many eighths

451
00:23:21,640 --> 00:23:24,279
to the over twenties, so a little bit bet on

452
00:23:24,400 --> 00:23:31,519
the under in this one. For Gilito, he's been you know,

453
00:23:31,519 --> 00:23:33,599
talking about hot. You know, it's kind of gone under

454
00:23:33,680 --> 00:23:38,480
the radar how well he has done. He's only had

455
00:23:38,559 --> 00:23:42,200
one bad start and with the last let me check

456
00:23:42,200 --> 00:23:43,240
out his game locks here.

457
00:23:43,400 --> 00:23:46,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, since the Angels game when when I called for

458
00:23:46,359 --> 00:23:49,319
him to be DF eight and sent out of the organization,

459
00:23:49,440 --> 00:23:51,759
so I'll take the l there, I was like, they

460
00:23:51,799 --> 00:23:53,960
got to they got to send him away. And he's

461
00:23:53,960 --> 00:23:55,119
been awesome ever since that.

462
00:23:55,400 --> 00:23:58,880
Speaker 2: So yeah, he's gone six six, six, seven, seven point

463
00:23:58,920 --> 00:24:05,960
two six, giving up zero zero two zero one zero runs.

464
00:24:06,279 --> 00:24:09,640
He's been terrific. His extensions eighty fifth percentile, so it

465
00:24:09,640 --> 00:24:12,519
gets right on. He's six foot six also, another one

466
00:24:12,519 --> 00:24:14,039
of these tall guys, get right on you.

467
00:24:15,200 --> 00:24:16,519
Speaker 1: But some of his numbers are.

468
00:24:16,440 --> 00:24:19,400
Speaker 2: A little weak. Expected batting average tenth percentile, heart hit

469
00:24:19,519 --> 00:24:26,720
rate twenty second because of velocity eighteenth. The weather, it's

470
00:24:27,000 --> 00:24:31,720
it's this typical day in Chicago. It's not overly coming

471
00:24:31,759 --> 00:24:34,440
in or going out, blowing in their out. So it's

472
00:24:34,480 --> 00:24:38,559
your normal day in Chicago. And so we'll see how

473
00:24:38,599 --> 00:24:44,039
that goes. Colin Ray is doing very well this year,

474
00:24:44,039 --> 00:24:47,039
although some of the aggressions come in later on the

475
00:24:47,079 --> 00:24:50,319
last few starts. Three point nine to one ERA, four

476
00:24:50,400 --> 00:24:54,119
point ninety five expected, one point two six whip. His

477
00:24:54,240 --> 00:24:56,920
walk rate eighty first percentile, doesn't walk a lot of people.

478
00:24:57,440 --> 00:25:01,319
He's only walked six per nine innings as of right now.

479
00:25:01,319 --> 00:25:06,359
That's a percentage is six percent, which is about two

480
00:25:06,359 --> 00:25:09,279
and a half percent lower than the league average. But

481
00:25:09,400 --> 00:25:11,000
he gets hid a lot too, a lot of blue

482
00:25:11,039 --> 00:25:14,119
on his profile. So we've got two teams coming in

483
00:25:14,160 --> 00:25:16,240
here off the break, obviously you have to worry about that.

484
00:25:17,119 --> 00:25:17,240
Speaker 3: Uh.

485
00:25:17,559 --> 00:25:20,200
Speaker 2: And a lot of the Boston players are younger. A

486
00:25:20,200 --> 00:25:22,160
lot of these guys just coming up now, and they're

487
00:25:22,279 --> 00:25:25,480
they're all coming up together, really about four or five guys.

488
00:25:26,839 --> 00:25:29,799
This is their first All Star break in the major leagues.

489
00:25:29,839 --> 00:25:33,359
It's a little bit different than in the minors. We

490
00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:36,519
still have it at the same time, but obviously this

491
00:25:36,640 --> 00:25:38,440
means more because now they're a star. They're playing in

492
00:25:38,440 --> 00:25:44,519
the major leagues. So some concerns that way. Boston, and

493
00:25:44,960 --> 00:25:48,400
excuse me. While Boston ended the first half red hot,

494
00:25:48,599 --> 00:25:51,839
the Cubs kind of faded a little bit and there

495
00:25:51,880 --> 00:25:53,640
was a lot of talk earlier, and I still think

496
00:25:53,720 --> 00:25:56,880
so that the Cubs are other than the Dodgers, that

497
00:25:57,000 --> 00:26:00,160
probably the team to be in the National League. I've

498
00:26:00,160 --> 00:26:02,039
got more to prove here. Kind of likes them a

499
00:26:02,039 --> 00:26:06,359
little bit here going against the streak, and I see

500
00:26:06,359 --> 00:26:08,359
a little bit of value on the covers with three.

501
00:26:10,319 --> 00:26:13,359
Speaker 3: It's time to celebrate because we're gonna do a promotion

502
00:26:15,279 --> 00:26:19,160
and I think Brian's gonna have plays out. Adam should

503
00:26:19,200 --> 00:26:21,519
have plays out. I already have a playout. So go

504
00:26:21,559 --> 00:26:25,319
to our pages at wagertalk dot com and get some

505
00:26:25,440 --> 00:26:28,839
of our plays. That's worth celebrating, So take a shot

506
00:26:29,400 --> 00:26:31,559
and get some of our plays today. We also put

507
00:26:31,559 --> 00:26:34,359
free plays up almost every day, so go grab those

508
00:26:34,400 --> 00:26:37,359
as well. So the way I'm looking at this, I

509
00:26:37,359 --> 00:26:41,240
mean Dialedo, I was a little wary when he came

510
00:26:41,279 --> 00:26:44,799
back this season because he didn't go through spring training

511
00:26:44,839 --> 00:26:50,680
properly and everything. But he's vintage Giolito right now. I mean,

512
00:26:50,799 --> 00:26:54,039
you can't argue with the fact that in his last

513
00:26:54,079 --> 00:26:56,640
what five starts, he's gone six or more innings and

514
00:26:56,640 --> 00:26:58,759
he hasn't given up more than two earned runs. He's

515
00:26:58,759 --> 00:27:02,359
given up zero one, zero two zero zero in his

516
00:27:02,480 --> 00:27:05,160
last five starts, and he's gone over six innings in

517
00:27:05,200 --> 00:27:08,720
every single one. That's amazing stuff that you can't argue with.

518
00:27:09,640 --> 00:27:12,759
He's got really good stats against these Cubs as well.

519
00:27:13,000 --> 00:27:16,160
The only red flag when I look over this is

520
00:27:16,200 --> 00:27:20,000
the fact that he's on the road he's not quite

521
00:27:20,039 --> 00:27:24,559
as good as he is at home. No, take that back.

522
00:27:24,799 --> 00:27:26,240
On the road he's got a one to nine to

523
00:27:26,279 --> 00:27:28,640
five ERA and thirty seven innings, and at home he's

524
00:27:28,640 --> 00:27:30,759
got a one to eight seven ERA in thirty seven

525
00:27:30,960 --> 00:27:33,799
or thirty five innings. He's just as good on the road.

526
00:27:33,839 --> 00:27:36,839
Give me Boston on the money line and I'll make

527
00:27:36,880 --> 00:27:39,759
that my parlay leg as well. Let me see what

528
00:27:39,839 --> 00:27:44,880
their odds are currently plus one twenty. Holy cow, Why

529
00:27:45,000 --> 00:27:47,599
is Boston an underdog in this game? That makes absolutely

530
00:27:47,680 --> 00:27:49,559
no sense. I have them better at everything. I have

531
00:27:49,599 --> 00:27:53,480
their bullpen better, I have Giolito better, I have their

532
00:27:53,640 --> 00:27:56,880
hitting better. Obviously, the Cubs have a power pack lineup,

533
00:27:57,039 --> 00:28:02,039
no doubt about it. But again current form, it's a

534
00:28:02,079 --> 00:28:05,039
little scary. You gotta bet something, though. I'll take Boston

535
00:28:05,079 --> 00:28:06,839
on the money line for the parlet leg because I

536
00:28:06,839 --> 00:28:08,880
have them better than the Cubs did everything, and gi

537
00:28:08,960 --> 00:28:12,279
Alito just he's he's elite g Alito right now, in

538
00:28:12,279 --> 00:28:13,920
my opinion, that's what.

539
00:28:13,960 --> 00:28:16,720
Speaker 2: I'll see one twenties, but I see one fifteen's out

540
00:28:16,759 --> 00:28:17,200
there for this.

541
00:28:17,680 --> 00:28:22,960
Speaker 3: Okay, ESPN, Like we've said in past, Joe's ESPN's not.

542
00:28:22,839 --> 00:28:26,960
Speaker 1: Really Yeah that I think the Red Sox have taken

543
00:28:26,960 --> 00:28:30,119
a little of respected money in the last thirty to

544
00:28:30,160 --> 00:28:33,119
forty five minutes, because that was was plus one twenty

545
00:28:33,160 --> 00:28:37,079
everywhere about about a half hour ago, right right before

546
00:28:37,119 --> 00:28:40,640
the show, I had that jotted down plus one twenty.

547
00:28:40,799 --> 00:28:43,519
I agree with you that the value is on the

548
00:28:43,519 --> 00:28:46,039
Red Sox for sure in this game. In my opinion,

549
00:28:46,759 --> 00:28:48,839
I was a little bit surprised to see them as

550
00:28:49,279 --> 00:28:53,480
big of an underdog as they are. I problem for

551
00:28:53,559 --> 00:28:56,279
me here is like and I'm still gonna, I'm gonna

552
00:28:56,279 --> 00:28:58,839
side with you here TV, just strictly based on the

553
00:28:58,839 --> 00:29:03,440
price because Uz again like I'm gonna, I can't believe

554
00:29:03,480 --> 00:29:06,279
ge Alito's done what he's done. I again, I have

555
00:29:06,359 --> 00:29:08,640
to like I have to go back to I played

556
00:29:08,680 --> 00:29:11,000
against the Red Sox in that game with the Angels.

557
00:29:11,119 --> 00:29:13,640
Came on the show the next day and I was like, see,

558
00:29:14,039 --> 00:29:16,319
I was I was right about gi Aledo, Get get

559
00:29:16,839 --> 00:29:19,359
send him to the glue factory basically, and he's been

560
00:29:19,720 --> 00:29:23,079
Sandy coofax ever since. Like it's's honest, thatly been incredible

561
00:29:23,079 --> 00:29:25,920
to watch how good he's been. Problem is, I look

562
00:29:25,960 --> 00:29:28,480
at like his some of his underlying metrics, and I

563
00:29:28,559 --> 00:29:32,880
don't I don't see anything to support that being the

564
00:29:32,920 --> 00:29:35,640
case going fo like good like going long term. So

565
00:29:36,000 --> 00:29:39,400
we've had we've now had a first half and we've

566
00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:43,400
seen Gilido be god awful and then we've seen a

567
00:29:43,480 --> 00:29:46,720
run where he's been very very good. Now we've had

568
00:29:46,759 --> 00:29:49,559
some time off. I don't think he's gonna be very

569
00:29:49,680 --> 00:29:51,839
very good like he's been the rest of the year

570
00:29:51,880 --> 00:29:54,640
because some of the underlying stuff suggests that he's not

571
00:29:54,680 --> 00:29:57,759
gonna be doesn't have an elite fastball. He's spotting it

572
00:29:57,799 --> 00:29:59,640
well right now, but none of his none of his

573
00:29:59,680 --> 00:30:03,759
stuff elite. So what happens when he's not pinpoint anymore

574
00:30:03,799 --> 00:30:06,559
and like he's you know, does this little layoff get

575
00:30:06,640 --> 00:30:08,160
him out of his groove? If he gets out of

576
00:30:08,200 --> 00:30:11,359
his groove, he's very hittable. If he's hittable against the Cubs,

577
00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:14,559
they're gonna make him pey. Now the saving grace here

578
00:30:14,599 --> 00:30:16,960
in this matchup is I think you can say say

579
00:30:17,000 --> 00:30:19,400
a lot of the same things about Colin Rea, like

580
00:30:19,440 --> 00:30:22,480
where he kind of lives on on that edge too.

581
00:30:23,400 --> 00:30:27,200
Stuff isn't great if he's really not pinpoint, not hitting

582
00:30:27,240 --> 00:30:29,440
his spots, like he doesn't get a ton of swing

583
00:30:29,480 --> 00:30:32,799
and miss, and this Red Sox lineup, in my opinion,

584
00:30:32,839 --> 00:30:36,240
is still very underrated. I think again. I think it

585
00:30:36,279 --> 00:30:39,519
goes back to the Devors trade and this mindset that

586
00:30:39,680 --> 00:30:42,680
everyone decided. When I say everyone, I mean the betting

587
00:30:42,759 --> 00:30:46,079
market decided that the Red Sox just lost their best

588
00:30:46,119 --> 00:30:48,640
hitter and now we need to price the market as such.

589
00:30:48,920 --> 00:30:51,279
Red Sox traded away their best hitter, so we need

590
00:30:51,319 --> 00:30:54,119
to ding this team in the in the you know,

591
00:30:54,559 --> 00:30:57,240
are power ratings because their best hitter is now gone

592
00:30:57,279 --> 00:30:59,079
and they got no him back to replacement, when in

593
00:30:59,119 --> 00:31:03,720
reality they they're his replacement was internal. It was getting

594
00:31:03,720 --> 00:31:06,440
guys like Roman Anthony Moore at bats. It was freeing up,

595
00:31:06,759 --> 00:31:09,160
you know, freeing up space for William or Bray to

596
00:31:09,200 --> 00:31:11,920
come back, moving Kristen Campbell back down to triple A

597
00:31:12,000 --> 00:31:14,279
to figure things out, to get more at bats for

598
00:31:14,359 --> 00:31:16,880
guys that are hitting. That was the other thing, the

599
00:31:16,920 --> 00:31:18,440
Red Sox had a little bit of a of a

600
00:31:18,480 --> 00:31:21,880
player crunch in the outfield there, and so it was

601
00:31:21,920 --> 00:31:25,720
almost like addition by subtraction. So I really like the

602
00:31:25,759 --> 00:31:28,359
Red Sox lineup and I like this team. So I'm

603
00:31:28,400 --> 00:31:31,119
not gonna disagree with you. I gave my reasons why

604
00:31:31,160 --> 00:31:34,000
I can't play it, but I certainly agree with the

605
00:31:34,119 --> 00:31:37,000
value being on Red Sox at plus one twenty because

606
00:31:37,039 --> 00:31:39,599
the Cubs, in my opinion, are trotting out almost the

607
00:31:39,640 --> 00:31:42,960
same team today with Reya on the mound, and and

608
00:31:43,039 --> 00:31:45,759
I think they are two similar lineups at this point.

609
00:31:46,240 --> 00:31:48,799
Andy Lang's in the house. Shout out on Andy Lang.

610
00:31:49,279 --> 00:31:52,119
Speaker 3: Yeah, because it's a parlay, I'm gonna change it to

611
00:31:52,680 --> 00:31:55,799
Red Sox plus one and a half at minus one eighty.

612
00:31:55,880 --> 00:31:58,680
Speaker 1: If that's okay, it's fine. And you know what, because

613
00:31:58,720 --> 00:32:01,720
it's a parlay, I'm fine. Not because it's the road team.

614
00:32:02,000 --> 00:32:04,279
I think you give yourself a much better chance to

615
00:32:04,640 --> 00:32:08,160
cash that leg. I have no issues with that.

616
00:32:07,079 --> 00:32:11,119
Speaker 3: What for the parlay, I wouldn't put that out as

617
00:32:11,119 --> 00:32:13,839
a client play, but I will put it out as

618
00:32:13,839 --> 00:32:14,559
a parlay leg.

619
00:32:15,279 --> 00:32:17,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I have that's a good point. If you're

620
00:32:17,799 --> 00:32:20,920
gonna bet this game straight. I think you have to

621
00:32:20,960 --> 00:32:23,039
either take the Red Sox on the money line or

622
00:32:23,039 --> 00:32:27,160
find something else or pass. But for the the first.

623
00:32:27,200 --> 00:32:29,240
Speaker 3: I don't want to ruin it on the morning game.

624
00:32:30,119 --> 00:32:31,759
Speaker 1: It's fine. That's that's the way I would have gone

625
00:32:31,799 --> 00:32:34,920
as well. Andy Lang, thank you, good to see you're

626
00:32:34,960 --> 00:32:38,440
good to just have baseball back. Second half. Hope to

627
00:32:38,519 --> 00:32:40,640
kick it off with a bang, and Brian and I

628
00:32:40,680 --> 00:32:43,960
will be locking in parlay legs over the next thirty minutes.

629
00:32:44,240 --> 00:32:46,480
We finished the first half on a little bit of

630
00:32:46,480 --> 00:32:50,160
a swoon, but still he loved TV. Why don't you

631
00:32:50,160 --> 00:32:53,839
you put the Tokyo Brandon Neon sign where the ass

632
00:32:53,880 --> 00:32:57,279
Man license plate is? So then when when you're when

633
00:32:57,319 --> 00:33:00,599
you're three boxed, you don't just see ass you see

634
00:33:00,599 --> 00:33:03,160
the Neon time and that when you're full screen you

635
00:33:03,279 --> 00:33:05,279
got the ass license plate down up.

636
00:33:05,920 --> 00:33:07,160
Speaker 3: But I am ass.

637
00:33:08,920 --> 00:33:10,519
Speaker 1: Well not this morning. If you if you went to

638
00:33:10,640 --> 00:33:11,519
an hour right, you know.

639
00:33:12,680 --> 00:33:17,640
Speaker 3: Don't shake your head, don't your head. I'm not ass.

640
00:33:18,559 --> 00:33:22,400
Speaker 1: Appreciate, uh appreciate Andy tuning in. Make sure you're tuning

641
00:33:22,400 --> 00:33:24,400
into Wager Talk today. Now that now that we got

642
00:33:24,400 --> 00:33:27,400
football coming back, that show is going to be on

643
00:33:27,519 --> 00:33:31,079
fire going forward. It's you know, it's gonna be a

644
00:33:31,160 --> 00:33:35,240
go to for football season, and we are pretty close.

645
00:33:35,440 --> 00:33:38,960
We're right around the corner, but we got a couple

646
00:33:39,000 --> 00:33:40,759
of weeks left, so you guys are stuck with us

647
00:33:40,799 --> 00:33:43,640
for a few weeks until until football really gets back

648
00:33:43,640 --> 00:33:46,759
in the full swing. We're gonna move right along. Andrew

649
00:33:46,920 --> 00:33:49,960
Wheeler had had a couple I'm gonna go to the

650
00:33:49,960 --> 00:33:53,839
one everyone's gonna be interested in here. Andrew Whidler says,

651
00:33:54,599 --> 00:33:56,720
I also like the Tigers today. I don't know who

652
00:33:56,759 --> 00:33:58,640
he was replying to. I'm gonna guess it was Sean

653
00:33:59,240 --> 00:34:01,240
that that would be my yes. I don't know if

654
00:34:01,240 --> 00:34:03,960
that's who he was replying to. Maybe it was Colin.

655
00:34:04,400 --> 00:34:07,440
Colin says, hate to say it, but good value on

656
00:34:07,480 --> 00:34:11,480
the Tigers. Now, the Tigers were the team. I think

657
00:34:11,519 --> 00:34:13,840
we talked about it on Friday, our most recent show,

658
00:34:13,840 --> 00:34:16,639
which is Friday going into the break, that the Tigers

659
00:34:16,719 --> 00:34:19,199
might be the team that exhales a little bit like

660
00:34:19,400 --> 00:34:22,440
they've done more than enough, and maybe you don't get

661
00:34:22,760 --> 00:34:26,199
their absolute full focus going into that break into the break,

662
00:34:26,400 --> 00:34:29,360
and you certainly didn't. They were that. That was not

663
00:34:29,599 --> 00:34:31,920
the Tigers team. You know, they kind of that that

664
00:34:32,039 --> 00:34:34,360
just was not the Tigers team we saw all first

665
00:34:34,360 --> 00:34:37,840
half in those three games against the Mariners, and you

666
00:34:37,880 --> 00:34:42,320
know what, the Mariners needed those games. So I think

667
00:34:42,360 --> 00:34:46,159
it's it's Brian Leonard. I'll say this, that series was

668
00:34:46,239 --> 00:34:49,199
so much more important to the Mariners, especially after they

669
00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:52,360
lost to the Yankees in the fashion that they did that.

670
00:34:52,480 --> 00:34:55,079
It doesn't surprise me that the Mariners went in, were

671
00:34:55,079 --> 00:34:58,800
more focused and got the sweep. AJ Hinch is not

672
00:34:58,840 --> 00:35:01,079
going to allow that to happen to this team coming

673
00:35:01,079 --> 00:35:02,519
out of the break. I think you're going to see

674
00:35:02,519 --> 00:35:05,639
a focused Tigers team here and that's kind of the

675
00:35:05,679 --> 00:35:07,920
way I'm looking. So Tigers Rangers will start with you

676
00:35:08,679 --> 00:35:09,800
how you see in this one?

677
00:35:10,079 --> 00:35:12,199
Speaker 2: Yeap might as well put it out now. The Tigers

678
00:35:12,280 --> 00:35:14,679
will be my part of the parlay today. I do

679
00:35:14,880 --> 00:35:17,880
like the Tigers here at the current line is about

680
00:35:19,159 --> 00:35:23,079
about minus one oh eight, and to me, that's a

681
00:35:23,079 --> 00:35:26,639
little bit of a bargain. As you mentioned the Tigers,

682
00:35:27,559 --> 00:35:29,199
we said it, they were up by what thirteen to

683
00:35:29,280 --> 00:35:31,679
fifteen games in that division and they were having a

684
00:35:31,760 --> 00:35:34,400
kickwalk out of young guys that's not used kind of

685
00:35:34,400 --> 00:35:37,880
success and all of a sudden, they're going to the

686
00:35:37,880 --> 00:35:41,639
break and they're not playing well. And we've always we've

687
00:35:41,679 --> 00:35:44,159
talked about the coaching staff here, a very good coaching staff.

688
00:35:44,960 --> 00:35:47,800
They'll be ready here, especially when you think about the

689
00:35:47,840 --> 00:35:50,719
All Star Game and all the Tigers players. Oh, these

690
00:35:50,760 --> 00:35:52,920
guys on they they had more All Stars anybody else,

691
00:35:52,920 --> 00:35:55,400
and all this other stuff that's all in the past.

692
00:35:55,400 --> 00:35:57,880
Now the coach is going to let them know that, Okay,

693
00:35:57,920 --> 00:36:01,000
you've gotten you've gotten your props for you've done so far.

694
00:36:01,360 --> 00:36:04,480
This is the new second half to the season. I

695
00:36:04,480 --> 00:36:06,960
think there's value here. Corby is going for Texas. He's

696
00:36:07,000 --> 00:36:11,360
a lefty. Detroit is pretty good against lefties also, so

697
00:36:11,440 --> 00:36:16,719
that's not much of a concern. The total is eight

698
00:36:16,719 --> 00:36:20,760
and a half here, which is Yeah, makes sense to

699
00:36:20,800 --> 00:36:23,000
me that one. I don't find any fault with the total.

700
00:36:24,480 --> 00:36:26,480
When you take a look at riese Olsen, he's a

701
00:36:26,519 --> 00:36:28,639
guy I like. He has not been that great this year.

702
00:36:28,840 --> 00:36:31,760
Two point ninety five. He's not been two point ninety

703
00:36:31,800 --> 00:36:36,760
five good. He's expected is three point eight three, So

704
00:36:37,960 --> 00:36:41,280
in a whip with one point two far, he's got

705
00:36:41,239 --> 00:36:45,199
a lousy extension average. X Filosophy has been getting hit

706
00:36:45,559 --> 00:36:49,480
or hit right, obviously very similar. He does have a

707
00:36:49,480 --> 00:36:52,559
great fifth percentage at eighty third percent talents chase right

708
00:36:52,719 --> 00:36:55,599
seventy four, so you'll get people swing a lot of

709
00:36:55,599 --> 00:36:57,599
those balls that are in the dirt, that kind of thing.

710
00:36:58,159 --> 00:37:02,000
He's a picture I like, but he hasn't been quite

711
00:37:02,079 --> 00:37:06,079
as good as what his numbers show. Patrick Corbyn four

712
00:37:06,079 --> 00:37:09,840
point one five ERA four point six to one expected

713
00:37:10,639 --> 00:37:17,679
is first under five expected since twenty nineteen, so obviously

714
00:37:17,719 --> 00:37:21,440
pitching for teams he has has hurt that Washed is

715
00:37:21,480 --> 00:37:24,880
a really good hitting ballpark, but his WEB one point

716
00:37:24,880 --> 00:37:28,880
three to two. His accession is very good, seventy seventh percentile,

717
00:37:29,480 --> 00:37:33,960
seventy third walk rate, seventh second chase rate, but he

718
00:37:34,000 --> 00:37:37,000
does give up fly balls. He's in the twenty six

719
00:37:37,119 --> 00:37:39,920
percentile of ground ball rate. Not a big strikeout pitcher,

720
00:37:39,960 --> 00:37:43,800
twenty fifth percentile. His walk struck out myst walk rate

721
00:37:43,880 --> 00:37:48,039
show on the on the season is eleven point nine.

722
00:37:48,440 --> 00:37:54,599
League average is slightly less than sixteen. So I like

723
00:37:54,679 --> 00:37:56,719
the Detroit side here. I think they'll get to Corbin.

724
00:37:57,760 --> 00:38:03,800
And when it comes to the bullpens, that's something you

725
00:38:03,840 --> 00:38:06,320
always have to take into account. But they're all healthy

726
00:38:06,679 --> 00:38:09,960
and I've got no problem with the Trig's bullpen. I

727
00:38:10,039 --> 00:38:12,519
like them better than Texas. Give me Detroit. I think

728
00:38:12,559 --> 00:38:14,960
it's a very very fair number.

729
00:38:17,719 --> 00:38:20,320
Speaker 3: Well, the way I see it, I got Texas hitting

730
00:38:20,360 --> 00:38:23,320
better and I got their bullpen better than Detroit's. The

731
00:38:23,840 --> 00:38:30,440
problem is the problem is is Olsen and Corbyn the matchup?

732
00:38:30,519 --> 00:38:32,800
How does that match up? So I got a lot

733
00:38:32,800 --> 00:38:35,599
of conflicting data here. I got Corbyn ranked way lower

734
00:38:35,639 --> 00:38:39,519
than Olsen. But I have both of these pictures in

735
00:38:39,960 --> 00:38:43,639
facing the other batteries. They both get clubbed like baby seals.

736
00:38:43,679 --> 00:38:45,760
I mean they're just getting hammered by the other cheek.

737
00:38:46,000 --> 00:38:48,400
They have ops is over eight point fifty for each

738
00:38:48,440 --> 00:38:50,960
of them in their history against these teams. I think

739
00:38:51,039 --> 00:38:53,840
this game is gonna go over. I like both lineups better,

740
00:38:54,440 --> 00:38:57,320
I don't like either bullpen very much, So I think

741
00:38:57,320 --> 00:38:59,920
we're going to see an over in this one, given

742
00:39:00,079 --> 00:39:03,719
the pitchers passed against the batters and the fact that

743
00:39:03,840 --> 00:39:06,960
neither bullpen was really performing before the All Star break.

744
00:39:07,920 --> 00:39:09,639
So give me an over in this one. I'm not

745
00:39:09,679 --> 00:39:11,519
sure if I'll play it. If it's eight and a half,

746
00:39:11,559 --> 00:39:14,880
I might go for it, but I would go over

747
00:39:14,920 --> 00:39:15,960
here than a side.

748
00:39:18,119 --> 00:39:21,079
Speaker 1: Hopefully Pete is not in the chat, but you know

749
00:39:21,480 --> 00:39:27,960
that's yeah, that's anyway. Here's here's the thing with the bullpens.

750
00:39:28,119 --> 00:39:30,719
I'll talk about these bullpens because I've studied them a lot,

751
00:39:30,920 --> 00:39:36,360
and the Rangers, their bullpen numbers are so good this year.

752
00:39:36,400 --> 00:39:39,760
And I find it like fascinating that their bullpen as

753
00:39:39,760 --> 00:39:43,559
good as it is because they really don't have leverage ups.

754
00:39:43,599 --> 00:39:46,079
But what they do have is a collection of guys

755
00:39:46,079 --> 00:39:49,360
that are all very good. So I think that the

756
00:39:49,480 --> 00:39:51,760
Rangers having a good bullpen tends to be a little

757
00:39:51,760 --> 00:39:57,280
bit misleading because their bullpen. I think the strength of

758
00:39:57,280 --> 00:40:02,119
their bullpen is Okay, our starters at in the fourth, like,

759
00:40:02,239 --> 00:40:04,599
we've got guys that are gonna get us to the eighth,

760
00:40:04,719 --> 00:40:08,079
ninth inning, no problem. It's they don't really have a

761
00:40:08,119 --> 00:40:10,960
guy at least right now, at least, no one has

762
00:40:11,000 --> 00:40:14,920
really stepped up and taken the role in my opinion,

763
00:40:15,239 --> 00:40:17,719
that is the guy you want out there in the

764
00:40:17,800 --> 00:40:20,760
ninth inning or the tenth inning. Go back and look

765
00:40:20,800 --> 00:40:23,079
at like the Rangers have played some decent ball. Go

766
00:40:23,119 --> 00:40:25,000
back and look at like how poor they've been in

767
00:40:25,119 --> 00:40:28,360
extra innings over the last month or so. It's because

768
00:40:28,360 --> 00:40:31,400
they get like these inherited runner situations and they really

769
00:40:31,400 --> 00:40:34,960
don't have like the lockdown guy at the end of

770
00:40:35,000 --> 00:40:37,559
the game. The reason I think that that's important is

771
00:40:37,599 --> 00:40:40,119
they're they're kind of this team that's like, I think

772
00:40:40,119 --> 00:40:42,880
they're gonna be in a lot of close games. Their

773
00:40:42,920 --> 00:40:45,079
offense is not such that they're I don't think they're

774
00:40:45,119 --> 00:40:48,079
blowing many teams out this team. The strength of this

775
00:40:48,159 --> 00:40:51,199
team is pitching. Starting pitching. Like if you go back

776
00:40:51,239 --> 00:40:53,559
and look at the first half where they ranked, like

777
00:40:53,639 --> 00:40:57,079
the reason that they're not fifteen games under five hundred

778
00:40:57,679 --> 00:41:00,440
is because they've had elite starting pitching and the bullpen

779
00:41:00,440 --> 00:41:02,519
has been very good and in the respect that they

780
00:41:02,559 --> 00:41:05,760
eat up innings now and against a team like the Tigers,

781
00:41:05,960 --> 00:41:08,159
who you're probably not gonna you know, if the Tigers

782
00:41:08,239 --> 00:41:10,000
come in and they're focused, you're probably not gonna blow

783
00:41:10,039 --> 00:41:13,039
them out. If you get into a scenario where you're

784
00:41:13,079 --> 00:41:15,199
in a game where it's like coming down to the

785
00:41:15,199 --> 00:41:18,280
eighth and ninth inning, you're not gonna out manage AJ Hinch.

786
00:41:18,440 --> 00:41:21,119
You're not gonna out bullpen aj Hinch. So it's like,

787
00:41:21,559 --> 00:41:24,519
I gotta lean Tigers here, and I hate to say

788
00:41:24,519 --> 00:41:27,320
it because you know, Patrick Corbin's my guy, play New

789
00:41:27,400 --> 00:41:30,480
York native right around the corner from me. He he

790
00:41:30,639 --> 00:41:33,519
is going to regress, and I pulled Sewan's comment up.

791
00:41:34,159 --> 00:41:36,480
I don't know that he's regressed quite to twenty twenty

792
00:41:36,519 --> 00:41:39,199
four Corbyn, but but he is still getting some nice

793
00:41:39,239 --> 00:41:42,800
swing and miss, and specifically I think against left you

794
00:41:42,800 --> 00:41:45,880
know teams that struggle against left handed hit a pitchers.

795
00:41:46,519 --> 00:41:49,519
Brian Leonard pointed out the Tigers are they handle left

796
00:41:49,519 --> 00:41:52,159
as well, and if he's not getting that swing and miss,

797
00:41:52,199 --> 00:41:54,159
I think he's gonna start get to get knocked around

798
00:41:54,159 --> 00:41:56,159
a little bit. So yeah, this is a really good

799
00:41:56,159 --> 00:41:58,719
spot for the Tigers and I probably would have thrown

800
00:41:58,719 --> 00:42:00,719
it in the parlay if Brian, so I'm glad that

801
00:42:00,760 --> 00:42:06,320
he got on that. I fully fully agree. All right,

802
00:42:06,400 --> 00:42:10,559
let's move on. Let's go back to Andrew because this

803
00:42:10,639 --> 00:42:12,119
was the other one I wanted to touch on. I

804
00:42:12,119 --> 00:42:14,639
think this is an interesting matchup. I've got an opinion

805
00:42:14,679 --> 00:42:16,400
here too, but we'll go to Brian Leonard first. He

806
00:42:16,440 --> 00:42:21,159
says he's not a huge fan of Verlander. I'll admit

807
00:42:21,480 --> 00:42:25,000
again I backed the Giants with Verlander for a five

808
00:42:25,039 --> 00:42:27,679
percent in his first start out it was against the Guardians,

809
00:42:28,239 --> 00:42:30,519
and I just kind of played the hunch that he

810
00:42:30,639 --> 00:42:33,440
was going to show up ready to pitch, and the

811
00:42:33,480 --> 00:42:35,440
time off was gonna we were gonna get a little

812
00:42:35,480 --> 00:42:39,440
vintage Verlander out of that. I've watched him pretty much

813
00:42:39,440 --> 00:42:42,519
every start since and and I'm almost ready to stick

814
00:42:42,519 --> 00:42:45,119
the fork in in Brian, I think he might be done.

815
00:42:45,639 --> 00:42:47,880
I don't know what do you think? And are you

816
00:42:47,920 --> 00:42:50,280
are you willing to bet on that? Here is the question.

817
00:42:53,519 --> 00:42:57,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, not something I'm going to doing other than holding

818
00:42:58,000 --> 00:43:03,280
my nose to do it, because yes, it's uh. He

819
00:43:03,320 --> 00:43:05,840
has not done well. In fact, he's got zero wins

820
00:43:05,840 --> 00:43:08,079
on the season. And I read something the other day

821
00:43:09,159 --> 00:43:13,639
that for this far into the season, he's got more

822
00:43:13,679 --> 00:43:17,159
innings in or more starts and has zero wins than

823
00:43:17,199 --> 00:43:20,760
anybody else's. It's just strange how he hasn't gotten any support.

824
00:43:21,280 --> 00:43:24,320
He hasn't pitched well either, But Bassett is the is

825
00:43:24,360 --> 00:43:27,760
the going for Toronto about a one about one forty

826
00:43:27,800 --> 00:43:34,400
favorite totals eight and a half here. Berlander on the

827
00:43:34,480 --> 00:43:36,760
season comes in with a four point seven oh ERA

828
00:43:36,800 --> 00:43:41,880
after a five point four eight last year. Last year,

829
00:43:41,880 --> 00:43:45,800
maybe some excuses this year maybe she's getting old. Four

830
00:43:45,840 --> 00:43:48,519
point eight two expected, the ra one point four two

831
00:43:48,559 --> 00:43:50,719
with the last two years has went one point four

832
00:43:50,800 --> 00:43:55,280
two one point three eight. That's what's given him problems.

833
00:43:55,719 --> 00:43:58,639
He went in his prime, he would walk anywhere from

834
00:43:58,679 --> 00:44:01,840
four to five batters a game. Now he's walking closer

835
00:44:01,880 --> 00:44:05,320
to eight the last two years. His strikeout rate he's

836
00:44:05,360 --> 00:44:08,199
gone down nineteen point nine this year, eighteen point seven

837
00:44:08,280 --> 00:44:11,400
last year. Just three or four years ago it was

838
00:44:11,440 --> 00:44:15,920
thirty three. So he's actually he's a guy that's trying

839
00:44:15,920 --> 00:44:19,480
to hold onto his his career. And I don't blame

840
00:44:19,559 --> 00:44:21,800
him for that. He's got a great life. You got

841
00:44:21,840 --> 00:44:26,519
the hot wife, and yeah, life's good for Verlander. But

842
00:44:26,639 --> 00:44:29,639
he's got to start producing, and this is a big,

843
00:44:30,000 --> 00:44:34,400
really big game for him. I believe Bassett going for Toronto.

844
00:44:36,000 --> 00:44:38,960
Chris Bassett to four point one two e A three

845
00:44:39,000 --> 00:44:42,119
point eight one expected, one point three to five whip.

846
00:44:42,280 --> 00:44:44,119
The last two years, his whip has been really high.

847
00:44:44,159 --> 00:44:47,519
Last year is one point four to six. His walk

848
00:44:47,599 --> 00:44:49,519
rate isn't bad six point three, in fact, is better

849
00:44:49,519 --> 00:44:52,239
than league average by over two but he gives up

850
00:44:52,239 --> 00:44:55,880
a lot of hits and his strikeout rate twenty two

851
00:44:55,880 --> 00:44:59,559
point four, So he's a sixteen point one strikeout chwalk

852
00:44:59,639 --> 00:45:04,039
ratio slightly better than league gabage average because of last

853
00:45:04,119 --> 00:45:08,280
the eighty second percentile heartit rate eighty seventh. So he

854
00:45:08,400 --> 00:45:10,559
keeps people off balance. And that's what you do when

855
00:45:10,599 --> 00:45:13,840
you're a veteran of eleven seasons with eighty one career

856
00:45:13,920 --> 00:45:18,159
wins gains twenty one win or twenty one games over

857
00:45:18,239 --> 00:45:20,360
five hundred and I've always thought of him as being

858
00:45:20,880 --> 00:45:23,880
a good pitcher, not a great pitcher. And you still

859
00:45:23,920 --> 00:45:27,320
have a success for this one. For myself, in a

860
00:45:27,440 --> 00:45:32,840
breakdown from the gambling standpoint, I don't want Verlander, but

861
00:45:32,920 --> 00:45:35,320
yet you've got to think this is one of the

862
00:45:35,360 --> 00:45:38,880
most important starts of his career. This is a team

863
00:45:38,920 --> 00:45:43,159
that's trying to make the playoffs. Toronto the hot team

864
00:45:43,239 --> 00:45:47,840
as opposed to some others coming out and coming into

865
00:45:47,880 --> 00:45:49,760
the All Star Game, they were playing very good ball.

866
00:45:50,199 --> 00:45:53,199
Could have a little bit of a letdown here, somewhat

867
00:45:53,199 --> 00:45:57,039
like San Francisco, but probably the over eight and a

868
00:45:57,119 --> 00:46:00,480
half is probably the better play here. In a day

869
00:46:00,519 --> 00:46:02,000
that I like a lot of andres, I think this

870
00:46:02,079 --> 00:46:03,000
will may go over.

871
00:46:04,880 --> 00:46:07,559
Speaker 3: The only time. It's good to be oh and seven

872
00:46:07,679 --> 00:46:09,800
is when you get to go home to kate Upton.

873
00:46:10,840 --> 00:46:16,039
But aside from that, Verlanders away era is almost five

874
00:46:16,679 --> 00:46:21,199
and Bassett's really good at home. So I give a

875
00:46:21,280 --> 00:46:25,159
huge pitching advantage to Toronto. Here bullpen's pretty much even

876
00:46:25,840 --> 00:46:30,960
and lineup obviously Toronto has a better lineup. What an

877
00:46:30,960 --> 00:46:34,760
interesting thing about Verlander is is he's not pitching well

878
00:46:34,800 --> 00:46:37,480
at all. He's oh and seven, but he's not really

879
00:46:37,559 --> 00:46:39,800
walking that many people. I have his walks to strike

880
00:46:39,840 --> 00:46:42,960
out ratio in the good range. I have Bassett in

881
00:46:43,000 --> 00:46:47,000
the average range. But Verlander's not walking a lot of people.

882
00:46:47,039 --> 00:46:49,639
He still has his command, but he's just getting tagged.

883
00:46:50,360 --> 00:46:55,880
So pitching advantage Toronto bullpen no advantage either way. Both

884
00:46:55,880 --> 00:47:00,320
bullpens will be rested, and so I think Toronto has

885
00:47:00,320 --> 00:47:03,400
a bit of an advantage here. It's missus making a

886
00:47:04,119 --> 00:47:06,079
client play for me by about a point and a

887
00:47:06,159 --> 00:47:08,400
half here, But if I were to play it, it would

888
00:47:08,400 --> 00:47:09,320
be Toronto.

889
00:47:10,599 --> 00:47:13,199
Speaker 1: Me too. I just I'm so high on this Blue

890
00:47:13,280 --> 00:47:16,400
Jays team that that's and I like the excuse me,

891
00:47:16,440 --> 00:47:18,480
I probably like the Giants more than the next person,

892
00:47:19,440 --> 00:47:23,239
but it yeah, it would be like So here's the thing,

893
00:47:23,280 --> 00:47:26,480
So I follow Ben Verlander, that's Justin Burlander's brother on

894
00:47:26,519 --> 00:47:28,920
social media, and he kind of he kind of pointed

895
00:47:28,960 --> 00:47:33,119
out he's a baseball media guy, like he's he's in

896
00:47:33,199 --> 00:47:36,360
the MLB media, So he kind of pointed out like

897
00:47:36,440 --> 00:47:40,000
that that Justin Verlander has been pretty unlucky in some

898
00:47:40,079 --> 00:47:41,960
of his starts, and and I'll say that, I mean,

899
00:47:42,360 --> 00:47:44,639
he was very unlucky in that in that first start

900
00:47:44,679 --> 00:47:47,760
back against the Guardians where he had a couple of

901
00:47:48,199 --> 00:47:50,440
guys just not make plays behind him that led to

902
00:47:50,480 --> 00:47:52,760
like almost all the runs in that game. But what

903
00:47:52,800 --> 00:47:56,360
you can't hide from is the underlying metrics, right, Like,

904
00:47:56,360 --> 00:47:59,320
whether you've been lucky or not, you can't hide from

905
00:47:59,599 --> 00:48:01,800
the fact that he's giving up hard hit, the fact

906
00:48:01,880 --> 00:48:04,880
that you know, he's not getting a ton of swing

907
00:48:04,960 --> 00:48:07,800
and miss, the fact that his expected era is close

908
00:48:07,840 --> 00:48:10,880
to five. Those are the things that like I think,

909
00:48:10,960 --> 00:48:14,079
take luck out of it a little bit. So that's

910
00:48:14,119 --> 00:48:15,920
where I'm just like, Okay, I had to go back

911
00:48:15,920 --> 00:48:18,159
and look and say, yeah, yeah, maybe maybe the right

912
00:48:18,199 --> 00:48:20,599
fielder in that start, you know, got like lost a

913
00:48:20,599 --> 00:48:22,960
ball in the sun and then like the next hit

914
00:48:23,239 --> 00:48:25,920
was an RBI single. Yeah, stuff like that's happened, but

915
00:48:26,000 --> 00:48:29,039
we've got a big enough sample now since he's return

916
00:48:29,599 --> 00:48:33,800
where like all the underlying numbers suggest he is what

917
00:48:33,840 --> 00:48:39,039
he is at this point, Bassett, I mean, aside from

918
00:48:39,079 --> 00:48:42,639
the fact that you know he throws ninety like you

919
00:48:42,639 --> 00:48:44,159
know that he doesn't throw it like he doesn't give

920
00:48:44,199 --> 00:48:47,440
you a ton of you Loo, he's been very very good.

921
00:48:47,960 --> 00:48:52,800
Guys can't square him up. The location is awesome, and

922
00:48:52,920 --> 00:48:56,119
so like for me Blue Jays is, it's kind of

923
00:48:56,119 --> 00:48:58,039
a no brainer here. I just didn't like the price

924
00:48:58,400 --> 00:49:01,000
minus one forty five is a little little too steep

925
00:49:01,079 --> 00:49:05,559
for me. So from a matchup standpoint, I just I'm again,

926
00:49:05,719 --> 00:49:09,360
I'm very much all in on Toronto being like I

927
00:49:09,400 --> 00:49:13,159
think that they are are bordering on being like an

928
00:49:13,159 --> 00:49:15,360
elite team in the American League. I felt that way

929
00:49:15,400 --> 00:49:18,840
for you know, a couple of months now. I could

930
00:49:18,840 --> 00:49:21,360
only go Jay's. I'm not going to do it because

931
00:49:21,400 --> 00:49:23,559
of where the price is, but it would have to

932
00:49:23,559 --> 00:49:26,360
be Blue Jay's for me. I gotta go back. I

933
00:49:26,440 --> 00:49:28,000
just want to go back real quick till we get

934
00:49:28,039 --> 00:49:31,920
to the next game, to something to the last game

935
00:49:31,960 --> 00:49:33,960
we talked about, and I just want to put Chad

936
00:49:33,960 --> 00:49:36,199
Picard made a comment that I forgot to touch on,

937
00:49:36,559 --> 00:49:38,920
saying the Rangers are playing better right now. That's facts.

938
00:49:39,039 --> 00:49:42,760
I couldn't help but think about Kevin Pillar when he

939
00:49:42,760 --> 00:49:45,480
announced his retirement. If you if you heard him talk

940
00:49:45,519 --> 00:49:48,639
when he announced his retirement, he basically came out and

941
00:49:48,679 --> 00:49:50,920
in so many words said, like, no one on the

942
00:49:51,000 --> 00:49:54,360
Rangers like hangs out with each other. Like basically everyone

943
00:49:54,440 --> 00:49:57,039
just does their own thing and they have very little

944
00:49:57,079 --> 00:49:59,960
calmaraderie in the clubhouse, to the point where he was like,

945
00:50:00,119 --> 00:50:02,280
you know what, I probably would have gone till the

946
00:50:02,360 --> 00:50:04,199
end of this year, but I'm just going to hang

947
00:50:04,280 --> 00:50:06,960
them up right now because I'm just not having fun.

948
00:50:07,840 --> 00:50:11,320
That is so concerning to me. Does that concern either

949
00:50:11,320 --> 00:50:13,119
of you guys when you hear something like that, I'll

950
00:50:13,119 --> 00:50:14,000
go to Brian first.

951
00:50:14,079 --> 00:50:17,599
Speaker 2: Oh, yeah, anytime you get somebody to come out talking

952
00:50:17,599 --> 00:50:20,079
bad about his team or good about his team, whatever,

953
00:50:20,119 --> 00:50:22,960
you want to pay attention to that. Yeah, it's it's

954
00:50:23,000 --> 00:50:25,960
been a team that's had some struggles, but they've not

955
00:50:26,079 --> 00:50:28,559
got the short stop back. He's healthy. I would expect

956
00:50:28,559 --> 00:50:31,960
about her second half out of Texas. But yeah, that's

957
00:50:32,360 --> 00:50:35,360
kind of quote you'd like to get to me.

958
00:50:35,519 --> 00:50:38,599
Speaker 3: Not so much. I mean, yeah, I mean on the field,

959
00:50:38,679 --> 00:50:41,679
I don't know how much camaraderie really means. I mean,

960
00:50:41,960 --> 00:50:44,119
if you really like your pitcher, you'll make an extra

961
00:50:44,159 --> 00:50:46,480
effort to grab the ball for him or something like that.

962
00:50:46,559 --> 00:50:49,320
But I mean, when these guys go on the road,

963
00:50:49,760 --> 00:50:53,639
a lot of them do hang out together, and that aspect,

964
00:50:53,199 --> 00:50:55,719
the off the field aspect, yeah, I think it would

965
00:50:55,760 --> 00:50:58,599
make a difference for morale purposes, but on the field,

966
00:50:58,639 --> 00:51:01,000
I don't know if it affects performance that much.

967
00:51:03,079 --> 00:51:05,440
Speaker 1: Just an interesting thing. I thought, you know, guys had

968
00:51:05,519 --> 00:51:08,039
such a long big league career, He's in what seems

969
00:51:08,079 --> 00:51:11,440
to be an organization that's committed to winning, and then

970
00:51:11,480 --> 00:51:13,320
you just hang him up. I know he was probably

971
00:51:13,480 --> 00:51:15,280
you know, probably saw the writing on the wall that

972
00:51:15,320 --> 00:51:16,960
he would have probably spent a lot of the rest

973
00:51:16,960 --> 00:51:18,519
of the year down at Round Rock, and maybe he

974
00:51:18,559 --> 00:51:21,119
didn't want to do that. But that comment was was

975
00:51:21,239 --> 00:51:21,920
jarring to me.

976
00:51:22,880 --> 00:51:24,920
Speaker 3: These guys don't want to go to the miners, that's

977
00:51:24,960 --> 00:51:26,800
for sure, because you don't want to go around in

978
00:51:26,880 --> 00:51:29,559
a bus when you're used to, you know, first class jets.

979
00:51:31,039 --> 00:51:34,159
Speaker 1: Steven says, elite show again, gents, we appreciate you guys,

980
00:51:34,199 --> 00:51:37,159
thank you Steven, and you know, give us those lights.

981
00:51:37,199 --> 00:51:41,400
Subscribed comment on the YouTube channel Tokyo Brandon wants to

982
00:51:41,400 --> 00:51:43,159
promote something. I know he does, so go.

983
00:51:43,119 --> 00:51:46,079
Speaker 3: Ahead, I got I just got a question. Is is

984
00:51:46,119 --> 00:51:48,639
our three Amigos special still valid?

985
00:51:49,320 --> 00:51:53,000
Speaker 1: No? But I think the special that's up. So while

986
00:51:53,000 --> 00:51:56,480
we're on the topic, I think right now there's an

987
00:51:56,480 --> 00:52:00,280
all access special for all handicappers where they'll throw it's

988
00:52:00,320 --> 00:52:02,880
basically just the month of August, but they'll throw in

989
00:52:02,920 --> 00:52:06,239
the rest of July. So the sooner you get on that,

990
00:52:06,280 --> 00:52:08,639
the more free days you're gonna get. Because July is

991
00:52:08,719 --> 00:52:11,039
free and they're gonna run that special the rest of

992
00:52:11,079 --> 00:52:13,679
the month. So you know, you buy it now as

993
00:52:13,679 --> 00:52:17,880
opposed to next week, you're just getting yourself a free week.

994
00:52:18,000 --> 00:52:21,000
So that is the sight wide special. It works for

995
00:52:21,039 --> 00:52:24,400
any of us. It is get August and you get

996
00:52:24,400 --> 00:52:26,840
the rest of July free. And right now that's over

997
00:52:26,880 --> 00:52:30,159
two weeks free. So not a bad deal, not a

998
00:52:30,199 --> 00:52:35,199
bad deal. All right, Let's go back to the chat.

999
00:52:36,079 --> 00:52:38,880
Let's go to Rick Reynolds because Rick is curious to

1000
00:52:38,920 --> 00:52:41,320
hear our thoughts on the Mariners in the second half.

1001
00:52:41,960 --> 00:52:43,760
Is this the year they finally make a move for

1002
00:52:43,800 --> 00:52:47,599
a bat and take the division from Houston. And how

1003
00:52:47,679 --> 00:52:50,760
convenient they're playing Houston tonight, So we've got a nice

1004
00:52:50,800 --> 00:52:55,559
little segue here into that game, which is honestly probably

1005
00:52:55,559 --> 00:52:57,320
could have been at the top of the show for

1006
00:52:57,760 --> 00:53:00,760
sort of like Marquee matchup in terms of just like

1007
00:53:00,840 --> 00:53:05,679
that is a huge series. Brian Leinner Astros Mariners. I

1008
00:53:05,719 --> 00:53:07,760
think it's the last game on the board tonight. Maybe

1009
00:53:07,760 --> 00:53:10,000
a little bit of a degenerate special right here, at

1010
00:53:10,079 --> 00:53:12,639
least for us out on the East Coast. Ten o'clock start.

1011
00:53:13,719 --> 00:53:15,679
You want to answer Rick's question, and how are you

1012
00:53:15,679 --> 00:53:17,400
seeing Astros Mariners?

1013
00:53:19,440 --> 00:53:23,079
Speaker 2: As for the Mariners, they've got the pluses and minuses.

1014
00:53:24,519 --> 00:53:28,719
They haven't brought the guys they've brought in have not

1015
00:53:28,840 --> 00:53:32,679
worked out well. And uh so it's it's hard. It's

1016
00:53:32,679 --> 00:53:35,960
a hard place to hitten for the most part. But

1017
00:53:36,280 --> 00:53:39,199
you know, the weather situations bring your family to such Seattle.

1018
00:53:39,719 --> 00:53:41,840
It's it's sort of like here in Vegas. You know,

1019
00:53:42,000 --> 00:53:47,440
it's very, very very major weather situation you got to

1020
00:53:47,480 --> 00:53:50,039
take into account when you go to move there. But uh,

1021
00:53:50,119 --> 00:53:53,480
they've had some injuries to the starting pitchers early on

1022
00:53:53,840 --> 00:53:56,079
and they should be able to get those guys back

1023
00:53:56,239 --> 00:53:58,320
and pitching mornings in the second half, and that's what

1024
00:53:58,360 --> 00:54:02,000
they are. They're very good pitching team. So I would

1025
00:54:02,000 --> 00:54:04,199
expect the second half to be better. You've got your

1026
00:54:04,320 --> 00:54:07,559
You've got three key guys that should be back all

1027
00:54:07,599 --> 00:54:11,119
pitching in the next week here. So uh yeah, from

1028
00:54:11,440 --> 00:54:13,480
from a team standpoint, Now we'll see what kind of

1029
00:54:13,639 --> 00:54:16,000
a vent. For a betting standpoint, it all depends on

1030
00:54:16,159 --> 00:54:19,000
what kind of numbers we get. But for a team standpoint, yes,

1031
00:54:19,039 --> 00:54:22,199
I think they're gonna have a better second half. Current

1032
00:54:22,280 --> 00:54:25,239
number in this one, Walter is going for Houston, Castillo

1033
00:54:25,320 --> 00:54:28,880
for Seattle. Tittle's about a one thirty favorite total seven

1034
00:54:28,920 --> 00:54:31,480
and a half, which you would expect here in a

1035
00:54:31,480 --> 00:54:35,719
good pitching ballpark with a couple of decent starters. Walter

1036
00:54:35,800 --> 00:54:39,760
at the lefty, who's uh, who's done pretty well so

1037
00:54:39,920 --> 00:54:44,039
far this uh in his rookies or second season, but

1038
00:54:44,119 --> 00:54:47,440
he only pitched nine games out of the bullpen last year.

1039
00:54:48,199 --> 00:54:51,400
Uh three point nine eighty RA two point nine two expected.

1040
00:54:51,519 --> 00:54:54,119
That's why I say that he's pitched better with his numbers.

1041
00:54:54,360 --> 00:54:57,039
One point one whip is excellent. This is the guy

1042
00:54:57,039 --> 00:55:00,000
who doesn't walk anybody. This is one of the guys

1043
00:55:00,079 --> 00:55:03,280
that Tokyo Brandon loves, and that's Brandon Walter one point

1044
00:55:03,280 --> 00:55:06,559
two walk percentage league average is eight point four.

1045
00:55:07,119 --> 00:55:07,280
Speaker 3: Uh.

1046
00:55:07,320 --> 00:55:10,840
Speaker 2: He is not a guy that he's gonna he's gonna

1047
00:55:10,840 --> 00:55:13,920
make you beat him. And his fastball velocity is only

1048
00:55:13,920 --> 00:55:17,239
in the thirteenth percent. Title. Maybe eventually everybody will catch

1049
00:55:17,320 --> 00:55:19,559
up to him, but right now, walk right one hundred

1050
00:55:19,559 --> 00:55:23,800
percent title exsit velocity ninety six, Chase right ninety third.

1051
00:55:24,760 --> 00:55:26,880
This is a guy that I like. I like him

1052
00:55:26,880 --> 00:55:30,719
a lot. And when we got to Seattle, obviously we're

1053
00:55:30,760 --> 00:55:39,599
going with uh with the veteran and he's been okay.

1054
00:55:40,280 --> 00:55:43,199
Luis Castillo has been a guy that comes in with

1055
00:55:43,239 --> 00:55:45,159
a three point four one e ra A. He's been

1056
00:55:45,159 --> 00:55:47,519
solid on his era's. His career is three point five four.

1057
00:55:49,119 --> 00:55:51,360
He is expected though it was four point four five,

1058
00:55:51,400 --> 00:55:53,880
So he's been a little bit lucky. Whip one point

1059
00:55:53,880 --> 00:55:58,239
two far a little bit high. His track out of

1060
00:55:58,280 --> 00:56:01,119
right is what concerns me. He's been a major strikeout

1061
00:56:01,119 --> 00:56:07,719
guy in his career. Just let's go back to just

1062
00:56:08,079 --> 00:56:11,440
three years ago. His strike was twenty seven percent. It's

1063
00:56:11,480 --> 00:56:14,440
gone down to twenty four point three and this year

1064
00:56:14,480 --> 00:56:17,559
it's down to twenty point Spi doesn't have it. His

1065
00:56:17,679 --> 00:56:20,800
extensions only in the first percentile. So if you're losing

1066
00:56:21,159 --> 00:56:25,079
your strikeout pitch and you're giving them more time to

1067
00:56:25,159 --> 00:56:28,199
see that, that's not something I want to bet on.

1068
00:56:28,880 --> 00:56:31,679
Most of his stackcast numbers are in the blue and

1069
00:56:31,800 --> 00:56:34,840
blue is bad, red is good. So I prefer the

1070
00:56:34,880 --> 00:56:38,559
Houston side in this one, and you're getting them at

1071
00:56:39,559 --> 00:56:41,920
like I said before, about about one to eighteen on

1072
00:56:41,960 --> 00:56:45,760
the dog, that would be my preferred side in this game.

1073
00:56:47,760 --> 00:56:51,760
Speaker 3: So guys, I have broken down almost every starting pitcher

1074
00:56:51,880 --> 00:56:58,000
there hits projections, strikeouts, walks, projections, outs, projections, and that's

1075
00:56:58,000 --> 00:57:01,880
downloadable for free on my page wagertalk dot com. Also,

1076
00:57:01,960 --> 00:57:05,480
I'll be on Saturday tomorrow neon Eastern to break down

1077
00:57:05,519 --> 00:57:09,840
Saturday's games, so tune into that as well. Regarding this game,

1078
00:57:10,719 --> 00:57:13,639
I do agree with Brian that Brandon Walter is a

1079
00:57:13,679 --> 00:57:18,000
great pitcher. Earlier shows I was saying, well, we don't

1080
00:57:18,000 --> 00:57:20,079
have a sample size, Well we have a sample size now.

1081
00:57:21,239 --> 00:57:25,639
And Castillo he has great stats against the Houston Batters

1082
00:57:25,639 --> 00:57:28,000
in his career, but that's when he was a stud

1083
00:57:28,119 --> 00:57:31,280
and he's not that anymore. He's still a very solid pitcher,

1084
00:57:31,480 --> 00:57:34,400
but he's not the pitcher two years ago where he

1085
00:57:34,400 --> 00:57:38,679
would go seven innings every game and allow to or

1086
00:57:38,800 --> 00:57:41,880
less earned runs every single start. He's not that guy anymore.

1087
00:57:42,039 --> 00:57:45,280
He's more of an inning zeter now, a very reliable

1088
00:57:45,320 --> 00:57:48,119
innings zeater by the way. But he's like Brian said,

1089
00:57:48,119 --> 00:57:50,119
he's not the dominant guy that he used to be.

1090
00:57:50,519 --> 00:57:56,199
He's still a very good pitcher. But I like going

1091
00:57:56,239 --> 00:57:59,159
into the break though Seattle's bats were on fire. This

1092
00:57:59,199 --> 00:58:01,159
is the problem with the All Star break is teams

1093
00:58:01,199 --> 00:58:05,719
like Seattle are probably gonna cool off now. And I

1094
00:58:06,800 --> 00:58:09,800
do like Walter. The one thing that scares me and

1095
00:58:09,840 --> 00:58:11,840
going over all the stats and stuff, the first thing,

1096
00:58:11,920 --> 00:58:14,639
the first play I wanted to lean on. If you

1097
00:58:14,679 --> 00:58:18,440
download that sheet, you'll see I project Walter over seventeen

1098
00:58:18,480 --> 00:58:21,480
and a half outs recorded, and that's what it was

1099
00:58:21,639 --> 00:58:24,199
on DraftKings before the show was seventeen and a half.

1100
00:58:24,440 --> 00:58:26,519
The reason I'm not going to make that a play

1101
00:58:26,679 --> 00:58:31,199
is because his away stats are alarming. He's I think

1102
00:58:31,239 --> 00:58:33,760
a four to seven ERA on the road. No, it's

1103
00:58:33,800 --> 00:58:37,239
a five to sevent ERA on the road. Ryan's right,

1104
00:58:37,519 --> 00:58:39,719
he doesn't walk people. So even though he has a

1105
00:58:39,840 --> 00:58:42,760
five point sevent era on the road in twenty two innings,

1106
00:58:42,960 --> 00:58:46,440
he's only walked two guys in twenty two innings. That's amazing,

1107
00:58:46,719 --> 00:58:51,679
So you know, he's not gonna walk people. But given

1108
00:58:51,719 --> 00:58:53,920
the fact that Seattle was hot going into the break,

1109
00:58:54,119 --> 00:58:56,039
I don't know. I don't know if I can trust

1110
00:58:56,119 --> 00:58:58,039
him to go a full six innings here, so I

1111
00:58:58,280 --> 00:59:00,199
probably will lay off that play. But that's the where

1112
00:59:00,199 --> 00:59:01,960
I would go if I were to play it.

1113
00:59:04,159 --> 00:59:08,599
Speaker 1: So I will first address Rick's question about like Mariners

1114
00:59:08,599 --> 00:59:11,639
in general in the second half. I'm very much in

1115
00:59:11,840 --> 00:59:15,519
on this Mariners team. I've taken some positions on them

1116
00:59:15,880 --> 00:59:18,880
just you know throughout the season. I have Mariners to

1117
00:59:18,880 --> 00:59:21,199
win this division. I've got Mariners and this is not

1118
00:59:21,239 --> 00:59:23,239
something I've given out to clients, but I've talked about

1119
00:59:23,239 --> 00:59:25,119
it a bunch on the show. I have Mariners to

1120
00:59:25,159 --> 00:59:27,880
make the playoffs. I think they do that. I even

1121
00:59:27,920 --> 00:59:29,480
think if you can get four to one or better,

1122
00:59:29,760 --> 00:59:31,639
I have no issues with you jumping in on the

1123
00:59:31,679 --> 00:59:34,840
Mariners to win the AL to win the AL West.

1124
00:59:34,880 --> 00:59:37,519
I think when it came up last week TV, we

1125
00:59:37,639 --> 00:59:39,719
even said, like, you know, you shop around, there were

1126
00:59:39,760 --> 00:59:42,079
still six to ones out there. I think last week

1127
00:59:42,079 --> 00:59:44,199
when we talked about maybe last week or like ten

1128
00:59:44,320 --> 00:59:46,480
days ago, you could get six to one on the

1129
00:59:46,480 --> 00:59:48,400
Mariners to win that division when they were like six

1130
00:59:48,440 --> 00:59:52,679
games back. The specific question that was asked, can they

1131
00:59:52,679 --> 00:59:54,840
finally make a move for a bat? I think they

1132
00:59:54,920 --> 00:59:59,159
definitely can. They have one of the most unique trade

1133
00:59:59,360 --> 01:00:02,480
pieces that you're gonna find on the trade market, and

1134
01:00:02,519 --> 01:00:05,639
it's catcher Harry Ford, who's currently at Triple A. And

1135
01:00:05,679 --> 01:00:09,159
the reason that that's so like most teams, when you

1136
01:00:09,159 --> 01:00:12,039
have a catcher like Harry Ford who projects to be

1137
01:00:12,119 --> 01:00:16,440
a very good starting catcher in the big leagues, typically

1138
01:00:16,480 --> 01:00:19,239
you don't trade that guy, even even even for a

1139
01:00:19,280 --> 01:00:22,519
short term fix. But the reason the Mariners can really

1140
01:00:22,559 --> 01:00:24,920
consider doing that is because they got a guy named

1141
01:00:25,000 --> 01:00:27,840
cal Rawley who's not going anywhere for a very long time,

1142
01:00:28,480 --> 01:00:30,920
and they've already sort of messed around with Ford at

1143
01:00:30,920 --> 01:00:33,199
different positions, and I just don't think it's gonna happen.

1144
01:00:33,400 --> 01:00:35,639
I don't think he's the guy that you can really

1145
01:00:35,679 --> 01:00:39,800
make into an outfielder. You're probably not gonna dhim. So

1146
01:00:40,360 --> 01:00:42,559
I think what the Mariners should do and can do

1147
01:00:43,320 --> 01:00:46,039
is trade Ford, and they would basically be able to

1148
01:00:46,079 --> 01:00:48,639
fill any need that they wanted. So I think Rick

1149
01:00:48,760 --> 01:00:51,880
is implying that the need is another bat in the

1150
01:00:51,920 --> 01:00:54,960
middle of that order. Not only do they have him,

1151
01:00:55,239 --> 01:00:58,719
They've got like four other guys at Tacoma right now

1152
01:00:59,239 --> 01:01:03,280
that probably could be on a big league roster, Tyler Locklear,

1153
01:01:03,840 --> 01:01:06,719
Samad Taylor. There are all guys that that you know,

1154
01:01:06,800 --> 01:01:08,840
maybe on their own don't have a ton of trade value,

1155
01:01:08,840 --> 01:01:10,840
but like if you packaged a couple of them together,

1156
01:01:11,119 --> 01:01:14,079
they could absolutely get back the person that they wanted.

1157
01:01:14,159 --> 01:01:17,320
So to answer your question, I love the Mariners. In

1158
01:01:17,360 --> 01:01:20,960
the second half, they probably will finally make the splash

1159
01:01:20,960 --> 01:01:23,440
and get the guy that they want to provide some

1160
01:01:23,519 --> 01:01:26,719
protection to rally in that lineup and provide some pop,

1161
01:01:27,199 --> 01:01:30,599
and they can take the division from Houston in my opinion.

1162
01:01:30,840 --> 01:01:32,679
And so I'm not gonna play this game though. I

1163
01:01:32,760 --> 01:01:35,280
lean Mariners, but I'm not gonna put you off playing.

1164
01:01:35,320 --> 01:01:38,199
Even even if you can get four to one Mariners

1165
01:01:38,239 --> 01:01:40,199
to win the AL West, I think I still think

1166
01:01:40,239 --> 01:01:42,719
there's regression here for the Astros, even if they get

1167
01:01:43,119 --> 01:01:45,199
a little bit healthy. Brian, Sorry, did you have something

1168
01:01:45,239 --> 01:01:46,920
to follow up there. I didn't know if we're trying

1169
01:01:46,920 --> 01:01:51,159
to get in all right, we have reached the end

1170
01:01:51,199 --> 01:01:54,320
of the show. My parlay leg is a leg that

1171
01:01:54,360 --> 01:01:57,639
we've already discussed, and I'm gonna take a play out

1172
01:01:57,639 --> 01:02:00,320
of the Tokyo brand and playbook right here. I'm gonna

1173
01:02:00,400 --> 01:02:02,880
use A's plus one and a half. Brian Leonard, what

1174
01:02:02,880 --> 01:02:03,840
what's the juice on that?

1175
01:02:09,360 --> 01:02:13,159
Speaker 2: As plus one and a half minus two.

1176
01:02:15,000 --> 01:02:17,519
Speaker 1: Perfect, That's what I thought. Yeah, that's what minus one

1177
01:02:17,599 --> 01:02:19,920
eighty minus one. So basically the same as you know.

1178
01:02:20,000 --> 01:02:22,320
So TV and I are both going the route of

1179
01:02:22,679 --> 01:02:25,960
let's try to hit this parlay. Take the visiting team

1180
01:02:26,000 --> 01:02:28,639
and give ourselves that run cushion with the road team,

1181
01:02:29,480 --> 01:02:31,480
and then we'll let Brian Leonard give us the odds

1182
01:02:31,480 --> 01:02:34,719
with the Tigers. So today's show parlay first one of

1183
01:02:34,760 --> 01:02:36,760
the second half. Hopefully we kicked the second half off

1184
01:02:36,800 --> 01:02:40,159
with a win Tokyo. Brandon is on red Sox plus

1185
01:02:40,199 --> 01:02:43,599
one and a half full game. These are all full

1186
01:02:43,639 --> 01:02:46,039
game red Sox plus one and a half. I've got

1187
01:02:46,079 --> 01:02:48,119
the A's plus one and a half, and then Brian

1188
01:02:48,159 --> 01:02:51,079
Leonard has Tiger's money line that comes out to plus

1189
01:02:51,079 --> 01:02:53,239
three sixty six. I'll take that. We need to win,

1190
01:02:53,800 --> 01:02:55,800
and I think that I think this one. I think

1191
01:02:55,800 --> 01:02:57,840
if TV can get us through that first leg, we're

1192
01:02:57,840 --> 01:03:03,639
we're gonna cash this one. So but I mean, hey,

1193
01:03:03,639 --> 01:03:06,920
you're feeling You're feeling great right now, so I feel

1194
01:03:06,960 --> 01:03:09,159
like if you say Red Sox this afternoon, I feel

1195
01:03:09,159 --> 01:03:10,039
like that's gonna be it.

1196
01:03:10,119 --> 01:03:11,159
Speaker 3: So I'm feeling great.

1197
01:03:13,760 --> 01:03:15,760
Speaker 1: So that's it. Red Sox plus one and a half,

1198
01:03:15,800 --> 01:03:18,800
A's plus one and a half Tiger's money Line. We're

1199
01:03:18,840 --> 01:03:22,719
back to the normal schedule next week, Monday through Friday,

1200
01:03:23,320 --> 01:03:25,559
every day nine am for the rest of the season.

1201
01:03:26,039 --> 01:03:28,880
So hope everyone has a great weekend. Cash all your tickets.

1202
01:03:28,960 --> 01:03:31,239
Check out that great promo on the site that gets

1203
01:03:31,239 --> 01:03:33,800
you the rest of July free if you buy August,

1204
01:03:33,960 --> 01:03:36,440
and we'll see you Monday morning. Have a great weekend, everyone,