Speaker 1: You are welcome to the best sports betting show on
the planet. This is wager Talk Today and I am
your host, Andy Lang. It is Monday. I'm gonna start
the week strong. We've got some MLB we're seeing the
ripple effect of the betting legislation and we're gonna talk
with crack Man about that. We're gonna go over bankroll management.
I'll walk through my bankroll. We had another really nice
winning week, so I'll go over that. Towards the end
of the show, we're gonna talk the Saints. Yes, the
New Orleans Saints season win total five and a half.
Dan and I will break that one down. So Brian
Power is gonna join us talk Twins and Dodgers. Crackman'
is gonna give us an MLB prop. We'll talk about
some of that sports betting legislation. But first we always
start with our good friend Gianni and we're gonna talk
a little bit of the Steam Report. So guys, while
we're watching hit that like button please really helps us out.
And I believe we're like fifty people away from two
hundred and ten thousand. So if you haven't joined the
wager Talk family on YouTube, come on two hundred and
ten thousand people can't be wrong. Scribe to the channel
helps us out, helps your bankroll out as well. Jeohnny,
good morning, Happy Monday. Hope you had a great weekend.
I know it's a little bit slow for the Steam
report this morning.
Speaker 2: Crew, it is.
Speaker 3: It is good morning brother.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I ended up having a losing UFC card on Saturday.
Speaker 3: Five percent went down. Those are rare to go down.
Speaker 4: But it happens. But I did pick up a little
bit over ten units over the last seven days. So overall,
big picture looks good and we're started on the week.
Like you said, it's a slow week, but we do
have a good UFC card. I already fired two bets myself.
Don't know if you dived in, but I'll get right back.
Speaker 3: On that horse.
Speaker 4: I also have a tennis premium play up at wager
Twalk for free. That's on the free picks page. It's
a three percent play. It's a plus two fifty dog. Again,
we're gonna throw those tickets out even when we're running hot,
probably about sixty five percent of the time. So if
you're not comfortable doing that, you probably should wait for
the favorites. But yeah, we took a plus two to
fifty in tennis that's available for free, and a couple
sides and totals real quickly.
Speaker 3: In Major League Baseball, a few of the size that.
Speaker 4: Got hit already nine oh four Washington plus one fifteen,
nine oh two, Miami minus one thirty nine fourteen, Tampa
Bay minus two hundred nine, twenty four Cubbies minus one
thirty five, and Minnesota at plus one seventy five game
nine to twenty nine.
Speaker 3: A few totals real quickly.
Speaker 4: Nine oh five over nine up to minus one thirty
San fran Atlanta, nine twenty under eight and a half
up to minus one thirty Boston, Philadelphia, nine twenty six
over seven at plus money, Milwaukee, Seattle and nine twenty
eight under nine up to minus one ten Houston, Arizona.
Thank you, Seanye. I was on holloway Man. Fortunately the
TV bet remains winning. Those have been on fire, but
when the dust settled, I ended up having an overall
losing card, and it was a money making card. I
mean there was four out of the five main court
fights the undergoal got the money, so there was a
lot of opportunity to make some cash. I hope you
guys did some damage. Again, a couple of those fights
didn't go my way that cost me, but overall can't
complain as we're.
Speaker 3: Trying to do some baseball damage as we await football.
Speaker 1: Uh Gianni. I gotta tell you one of the best
money making things that's been working for us this year
is live UFC betting. Oh yeah, I have made ten
times the amount of money live betting. And I will
tell you, ay, our job could be really easy if
we just bet on UFC fighters retiring. If that's all
we did, that's all we did, bet against the retiring
fighter would be good. I watched Dustin walk out and
he just started crying and I was like, oh, this
is a wrap this come on. You can't be crying
before a fight and expected. But we bet big against
Adam Fugate once we watched him look horrible at weigh
ins and then again it face off off so then
the next day. So there's something about this live looking
at fighters and getting a feel for him that has
been working really good. Kevin Holland was the big loser
for me. He laid a complete egg against de Rod,
but yeah, he got.
Speaker 3: So much sharp money.
Speaker 5: Bro.
Speaker 3: They were not just betting.
Speaker 4: Him to win the fight, and they steamed it up.
They were betting him to win inside the distance, like
sharp money, betting him to win inside the distance, sharp money,
benning him to win by submission. Yes, they really had
him isolated in multiple bets to win that fight against
d ron Yeah that that that cost a lot of
sharp betters cash on Holland.
Speaker 3: And yeah, trust Holland is a favorite.
Speaker 1: Yeah, problem, I want I want to get your thoughts
on this later on this week. But UFC has got
a big problem on some of these pay per views
where the undercard is just way better, like way better content.
But that's for another day. Let's talk a little bit
of baseball. A couple of those lines that you mentioned
that move, Yeah, I thought I thought an interesting one
was I looked like Oakland is getting a little bit
of money, and I looked this up. Did you know
Oakland's much better on the road then then at home?
And then I'm sorry, not Oakland, the Athletics, But then
it makes sense, what is there? What is their home?
So I was looking at the Athletics, going, oh, that
makes sense, they're better on the on the road than they.
Speaker 4: Can I answer this question because It's a beautiful question
by Andrew, and he's asking Janny, did I have to
write up for a five percent? And no, I don't
add the write ups to the place.
Speaker 3: I just don't have time. I give up enough volume.
Speaker 4: It just would be impossible for me to write a
write up for each and every one of those plays.
But I think I share my reasoning more than enough
forout a week, and I do multiple shows, I do podcasts.
I spoke about that fight at length, and the reason
why I like that particular fighter.
Speaker 3: But more importantly, the thing I made it a five
percent and.
Speaker 4: The market proved me to be right is because I
thought we were getting the best of it.
Speaker 3: And that's my job. My job is to find in
efficient lines. That's it.
Speaker 4: I can't predict the outcome like you can't do that.
There's not a single person amongst us that could predict outcomes.
If you can do that, this is the wrong business
you're in. There's so many other predictions you can make
that make a lot more money than if you could
predict sports betting out sporting event outcomes. That's not what
the job is to be profitable. The job to be
profitable is to find inefficient numbers. And the reason was
a five percent play is because I got myself and
my subscribers down at plus one point fifty and about
six hours before the fight, the best you could get
on him was plus one fifteen. That is a great bet.
I can't control the outcome. That's exactly what a five
percent bet should look like. That we absolutely destroy the market.
We get out ahead of the market, we're correct on
our pricing. But then everything else has to happen as well.
The fighter's got to do his job, the ref's got
to do his job, the corner's got to do their job,
that the judges got to do their jobs. I can't
control any of that. But what I can control is
is that number right or is it wrong? And if
I betted at plus one fifty and it goes off
at plus one ten, then the only the job that
I do to make money was accomplished.
Speaker 3: Again.
Speaker 4: If I do that over and over and over again,
I'm a mathematical certainty to be profitable over time. But
in the short term, I can't control that randomness of
a bad call, of a fighter just waking up with
a headache that day, getting pissed with his girlfriend like
those are things you can't control.
Speaker 3: But what you can't control is what did I bet
it at? What's the number?
Speaker 4: Now?
Speaker 3: Did I beat the market?
Speaker 2: That's that's that's the job.
Speaker 4: And like I said, the five percent, it lost, but
we got a good number.
Speaker 3: And that's what I try to do over and over again.
Speaker 1: Uh, what's your favorite message?
Speaker 3: That's what five percent should do.
Speaker 4: Like if I gave a plus one fifty and before
the fight he went off at plus one eighty, that
was a terrible bet even if he won. That's when
you should come back and be like, bro, how can
you give out a plus one fifty for a five percent?
And I could have got plus one eighty the day
of the fight. It won, but I got a worse number.
By listening to you that that you gotta be able
to separate yourself from that thinking in the short term.
That's that's the key to doing this profitable like that
that because we all want that short term gratification.
Speaker 3: That's you know, that's the enemy of all of us.
Speaker 1: What's your favorite move in baseball today? Which one do
you agree with the most?
Speaker 5: Is it total?
Speaker 1: Is it a side? I thought one of the totals
was pretty good. You got a couple of pitchers I
believe with Eras. Yeah, the Giants and Braves. You got
a starting pitcher with four point one another with five
point sixty ra I thought that one made the most
sense anyone.
Speaker 4: You'd like Washington at home, I think a coin flip
at worse. Obviously the opener was better, But I don't
think that team should be a dogged to Cincinnati at home.
I think that's live. I leaned also Miami a little bit.
I just I worry about Miami's bullpen. That's the only
problem betting a team like that and the totals really fast.
Would I go under nine six, I'd probably go under
Houston Arizona.
Speaker 3: Under Houston Arizona. That nine that ken, I like it.
Speaker 1: I like it.
Speaker 5: Uh.
Speaker 1: You mentioned UFC coming up this weekend.
Speaker 5: Yeah.
Speaker 1: I write my article for wager Talk on Sundays, so
I've already gone through all of them. There was a play,
I really there was a play I really liked. I
was like, Oh, I really like Boudai to lose to
this grappler, and then I wake up. It moved two
dollars over night, two dollars.
Speaker 4: That's why I sent out a five percent yesterday, and
I sent it out right away. I'm like, I think
the line's gonna move in my favorite I haven't checked
to see if it does yet, but I gave a
five percent play and a four percent play that the
five percent is a really good price, I thought, And
the four percent, I think it's going to get a
lot more chalky than we laid.
Speaker 3: I think we laid like mis one to eighty. I
don't think it's closed.
Speaker 1: My one of my favorite plays. The line's moving in
the opposite direction. So I'm not putting it out, just waiting.
I'm just just waiting and waiting. It was It's kind
of like betting a holloway. Like when we were doing
our live show. We were like, hey, listen, money's going
to keep coming in on Dustin all night long, so
let's just wait if you're going to play holloway. And
then we played it right before the fight, try and
grab the better of the number. So all right, So
not much going on in baseball. Hey, we don't have
to force anything. That's a beautiful thing. We can wake
up and we can play as many plays as we will.
We can lay off. Yeah, absolutely, So what do you
have up for today? On Monday for clients.
Speaker 4: All right that the UFC for Saturday Abu Dhabi card
is already up. Like I said, there's a five percent
play in there, there's a four percent play in there.
Still over seventy percent on five percent plays still up
about what forty five plus units on those in UFC.
So excited for that. There's two plays in there. Baseball
car will be up. I say wait for ten am,
our time win in forty five minutes to wait see
what the uh guys from off North bet and baseball
be there as well. And I'll just keep adding to
the futures package. We got NFL, we got college football.
There's five college football futures in there, two NFL futures
in there, including a five percent play.
Speaker 3: So let's do some damage.
Speaker 1: Johnny the Greek everyone, thank you so much for joining us.
Speaker 5: Johnny.
Speaker 1: Let's have another big week. Let's have another big week. Uh,
let's bring in I see where Crackman is. Let's bring
in crack Man and then we'll go to all around
the world. Uh, don't, don't, don't, don't bet and drive
crack Well, what's going on?
Speaker 5: I am I am pulled over? Can you guys hear
me on the on this, I could change it over
to my headset.
Speaker 1: If not, I think I think you're pretty good.
Speaker 5: Good good?
Speaker 1: Uh all right? First, yes, how is it.
Speaker 5: That Myrtle band? You can see you are on the
beach here Myrtle Beach, South Carolina. You know, it's a
rare time. I get it, you know, all star breaking
usually go away for a week or so. But yeah,
so I'm away for a little bit, but I'm actually
flying back to Vegas today, so yeah, I don't stop. Though,
I don't stop, you know, like Summer League stuff comes
in like last minute. It's all based on lineups and
information and uh so, so I don't stop even though
it's all Star break. To be real blunt, if I
knew how good the Summer League was going to be,
which I've never lost playing it, But if I knew
how good it was gonna be, I probably would have
stayed in Vegas and terrorized those bookmakers too. So but
but I'm glad for the clients. I'm glad for people
out there. Baseball have been good, Rachel, I going. I
hope to keep it going. But yeah, so everything's all right.
How about you guys.
Speaker 1: We're doing good. I know you're busy. We want to
get an MLB prop from you if we could, And
then I want to get your thoughts on we're seeing
the rip effects of this legislation. We're seeing yeah, yeah,
it's getting bad. And and then of course, Eric, what's
to know, what's your favorite restaurant, Myrtle Beach. Let's start
with the MLB problems get let's give some people.
Speaker 5: Brandon woodriff on the Brewers total strikeouts over five and
a half minus a dollar forty. Woodroff has great stuff
in his first two starts this season, coming off an injury,
after cut off the injury, so seventy pitches in his
first ten his first his first game with eight strikeouts,
then eighty one the second game with ten k's. He
should be off for striction, facing a Mariners team that's
never really seen him so and they ranked eleventh actually
in strikeout rate. So over five and a half minus
a dollar forty. I also seen over six and a
half plus a dollar fifteen. And I don't mind rather
take the five and a half situationally, but sometimes when
you take projuice back, there is a number that you'd
actually take the six and a half back. I have
no problem to take it over plus money also, so
there's a prop for today. The reason why the prop
market is so is so beatable is because they just
don't have this information that we They just throw up
all props based on a generalization. When you specialize in
props like my team, this is why you get the
advantages of being coming along for the ride. So there's
one there some great stuff going on, like I said
this looking forward to of course I said pre season,
regular season. But yeah, as far as that that's in Illinois,
am I am? I right? Andy? That that that new
rule again.
Speaker 1: Yeah, So now what they're doing is they're putting in
minimum amount of bet. You gotta bet two dollars at
hard Rock, two dollars and fifty cents. That MGM twenty
five cents per wager on the operators. First twenty million bets,
then fifty cents per bet after that. Last year they
imposed fifteen percent tax on operators. So basically you're looking
at twenty to forty taxes from when they started and
now twenty five or fifty cents per wager. It's amazing.
Speaker 5: Yeah, you know, I don't blame the sports books. I
guess I have to blame the government. They just think
that the margins are a lot wider than they are.
People voting on bills and voting on these laws that
replace the bet in their life. You know, they don't gamble,
They don't know anything what's going on in the industry.
So the operators have passed along these feests. Listen, we blunt.
I say, I don't blame them. They don't have to
do it because they make so much money, you know,
But they're they're the tax has went up from like
fifteen percent to like forty Some of the states charged
fifty percent in taxes. And it's really is it's just
branding it. And I guess we get to that point.
You're just branding your sports book, branding your company. Even
though New York, the highest tax and regulated state, is
the sports betting capital of the United States, people don't
know that that's in what volume they do there. But
I kind of understand how they pass it along, But
I don't. I just you know, they think minimums go up,
minimum bet size and stuff. Of course, I'm against it.
I'm for Joe Public. I don't want Joe to be
betting parlays and betting, sucker bets as it is. So
I try to preach I try to preach all safe,
responsible gambling. I'm down here, like I said in Myrtle Beach,
I have my my friend's son is seventeen years old.
These you know, they're there's gambling everywhere. Literally then it's
not even legal in this state, and there's gambling everywhere.
So these kids just think it's so easy. They see
FanDuel DraftKings, all the companies on air and promoting with
their great all star you know, you know, promotional cast
of stars and athletes, and say, oh, this is so cool.
And listen, like I said many times on many platforms,
every college in America has a gambling problem. Last week,
calli Endo came up to me. He's a comedian. He
was on NFL today a lot of you know with
with Terry Bradshaw and those guys. And I didn't know
who he was because he's doing so great. He lost
like seventy pounds. But he listens to one of my
shows by Fox Show, and we sat down and actually
had lunch together. And his son goes to Arizona State University.
He just he knows more about the gambling and his friends.
And he used the word degenerate before I did, he
used he used the word bots betting with bots. I
was like blown away. A twenty one year old kid,
he's just he's gonna be twenty one. He knows more
about these bet It's exactly what I said. It's sports
betting is everywhere. So I try to teach her responsible
and safe gambling to the people. I know it because
I was a little degenerate gambler growing up on the
Jersey Shore, you know, grew up on a boardwalk town
when I was a kid, going crazy betting parlays, betting
everything and going broke many times before someone shook me
and showed me the right way prop bets, money managed.
I've been there's so many videos up on Waker talk
or I've talked about this. Sorry, Eddie, I can go
on forever. I apologize.
Speaker 1: No, no, you're fine. The audios cutting out. So's your video.
So we're gonna have to let you go. Want you
to be safe on the road. I'm gonna promote you.
So have a great day byway Myrtle and safe travels.
Crack man. So yeah, list listen, Hey, the man is
never gonna miss his spot regardless of where he's at,
so we appreciate the passion. So yeah, check out Crackman.
Summer League's going well for him. Baseball is going well
for him as well. You get all his plays, and
these are again plays that he bets with his own money,
so when he puts out a play, rust assured he's
got money on it. So one of the best in
the business. So thank you, crack Man. I always enjoy
talking to you. And yes, next week we'll get his
thoughts on some restaurants. So all right, let's go all
around the world. Let's do some free plays here. Last
week I had my highs and my lows. My low
was when I said, hey, let's just bet the Rockies
to not win this series, and then they probably won
their first home series of the entire season. But the
high was I nailed every single play on the Open Championship.
So let's get the week started off right here. We're
going to Ralph michaels that we're gonna do nurfy in
the Twins at the Dodgers, which is gonna be interesting
because Brian Power is gonna talk about this one. Ralph says,
Dodgers seven to zero Nurfey run scored a first inning
run once in the last ten games. Twins are on
a six to one nurfy run and Otani four straight
games not allowing a first inning run. The Ryder Cup
USA sits at minus one forty five. I watched the
Open Championship and I've been to the course that they're
gonna play at beth Page Black. It really sets up
well for the US guys. Scheffler is the best in
the world, Bryson Dashabo is a top three guy. Shoffley's
getting into form, and they just played in Europe and
the top four guys were all American. I think Buddy's
gonna come in on the US the closer we get
to the Ryder Cup. I'm actually gonna try and make
it out there and go to that one if my
buddy can get tickets. He lives right down there from
beth Page. But look at the length of beth Page
and looking at some of the guys that we got
on the US team, I think the length is gonna
be a problem for a lot of the European guys.
And then we're gonna look at the Brewers and of
the Mariners over six and a half. Kirby has been
really good, but as Ben Burns points out, he's one
and four with a four point ninety nine e er
in evening games and Woodriff's last start that game finish
six to five. This is a very very low total,
and both teams have been solid at the plate. So
we're looking at the Twins at the Dodgers nurfee the
Ryder Cup USA minus one forty five and the Brewers
at the Mariners over six and a half. All right,
let's bring on Brian Power. We're gonna talk the Twins
and the Dodgers here. Brian, how are you? Of course,
when tany pitches we have to do a segment on it.
You were lucky enough to be to be on here.
So we got fest to going for the Twins of Tani.
For the Dodgers, Twins just lost a series to the Rockies,
the first home the first home series win this season
for Colorado. So what's your take here on the Twins
and the Dodgers.
Speaker 6: Well, my take is Andy, obviously, Look, the Dodgers right
now are kind of at their low point of the season.
Speaker 2: They just got you know, talking about what happened to
the Twins, in Colorado. Let's not bury the lead here.
Speaker 6: The Dodgers just got swept at home by the Brewers,
their second time being swept by the Brewers this season.
Going back to before the break, they've dropped ten of
twelve overall. Has La so a really tough team to
back on the money line here, obviously, especially because even
though the money has been coming in on the Twins
this morning.
Speaker 2: I mean, we've seen this line just drop, drop drop.
Speaker 6: As I look at the odd screen, there's still you know,
minus one seventy on the money line the Dodgers.
Speaker 2: So you know, I'm not running to bet them now.
Speaker 6: As you pointed out, with Tani starting for the Dodgers tonight,
which that I started looking for alternative ways that maybe
we could bet La here because I'm not crazy about
this Twins team. I think they could be sellers as
we approach the deadline. I think, you know, enthusiasts, and
there could be at a low and that there's not
much to like. But with Otani starting for Dodgers, it
had to be considering, all right, well, maybe we look
at the Dodgers in just the first five innings on
the run line, but even then, still you know, minus
one thirty to lay half a run. I'm like, yeah,
that's not great. So I came up with this for everybody.
Talked about it on the Power five this morning as well.
Let's focus on the Dodgers offense. Even in defeat yesterday,
they put up five runs, and they put up seven
runs on Saturday in a loss. This is the highest
scoring home team in all of baseball five point eight
runs per game. I think you and I have talked
about this before in the show, madea maybe a couple
weeks ago in the discussion a larger discussion of team totals. Yes,
we did, when you had When you have these teams
like the Dodgers that are big favorites and you don't
want to play that you look at their team total
because again the Dodgers, they average five point eight runs
per game at home. And you mentioned festas starting for
Minnesota while on the road this year, Fest is the
ra six point six to eight the Twins bullpen, so
after Fest is out of there, the Twins bullpen bottom
ten in era. I know Freddie Freeman's unlikely to play
in ninety two one on the wrist in yesterday's game,
but I still like the Dodgers to go over their
team total of four and a half. I think from
a price perspective, it is the best way to approach
this game.
Speaker 1: Yeah. I love the team totals, I really do. And
this is a perfect segue. So just a couple of
years ago I started officially playing college football plays That's
all I do is team totals, and I just do
one a week and it works absolutely fantastic. I don't
you know why team totals just work so much better
in certain sport. Is it just because it's less to handicap?
Is there less variables? Is there less like craziness that
can happen. I can't really put my finger on it,
but I just know the proofs in the pudding. When
I do college football, I'm doing team totals.
Speaker 6: For me, it's always a case by case basis. I
will point out that my first five percent baseball player
this season was a team total on the A's And
when I look on this, when I look at this
particular matchup, what I'm saying is, look, you have to
look at it both ways. If the Dodgers, if they
can't get it figured out, if they're losing, they're getting
nine at bats and that helped yesterday. I'm the power
five for yesterday. I said to bet the Dodgers over
four and a half against Milwaukee. They did not get
that fifth run until the ninth inning. Okay, so it
was a bit of a sweat. But here's on the
flip side is if they do get it figured out,
if they do turn it around, well, guess what, They're
probably gonna go over this number inside of eight innings
as well. I know you brought up the nerfee earlier
in the all around the world segment. Hey, that's the beauty.
We got eight or nine innings. They don't need to
score them all in the first inning. So there we go.
That's what I like again. Number one, the Dodgers are
in scoring at home five point eight runs per game,
So over four and a half done?
Speaker 2: Sound too bad for me?
Speaker 1: Is that something you blind bet every game with them
averaging so much? Or do you really take into account
the pitching? Because I'm wondering, hey, is the pitching baked
into the line? Like are the are they just going
to set it at four and a half and then
it's plus one twenty against somebody and then minus one
forty against somebody else.
Speaker 6: Yeah, I hate, but when it's five and a half,
obviously that's a you know that don't get involved there.
That's too and that takes all, especially if you are
talking about a situation where they've only come up to
bat for eight innings.
Speaker 2: But look, I mentioned the other part.
Speaker 6: You're right, you have to consider the pitcher festa is
not good, especially on the road, like I mentioned that
six point sixty eight e er.
Speaker 2: So it's just the.
Speaker 6: Look, it's rare that there's value in betting the Dodgers
on the money line, right Andy, I mean, they're all
I mean, look at this, They've lost ten of twelve,
they just get swept, and they open north of minus
two hundred.
Speaker 2: I mean, I'm not gonna come on.
Speaker 6: Here and tell, you know, tell the people to bet
the Dodgers on the money line here.
Speaker 2: That's no fun.
Speaker 6: So you know it's long term, it's not profitable bet
favorites of that size in Major League Baseball. So again,
team total, I think I wanted to find a way
to get that price down because the DoD.
Speaker 2: They're not going to keep on going losing forever.
Speaker 6: Guys, They're just not This is still a team, I know,
people are gonna get you know, people get upset when
I bring up my power ratings. But there's still number
one in my power ratings, the Dodgers. Despite this mid
season swoon. I think they turn it around though. Moving forward.
Speaker 1: Love it so, Brian. We've got a new college football
show that is coming up. Tell everyone about that. I'm
excited for it. I'll make a few appearances on there
just to talk yes, team totals, but tell us about
our new show, The Blitz.
Speaker 6: Yes, so happy to announce this fall, I will be
hosting a live weekly college football show here on the
Wage Talk YouTube channel, and it is called The Blitz
one pm Eastern every Thursday. So following you, Andy, you
know no better way to get a show going on
the right foot than bravy training off a ratings success
such as yourself. I'll be doing that and we're gonna
be talking about all the big games each and every week,
but the discussions can be driven by you guys, the viewers.
Speaker 2: You can ask any game.
Speaker 6: Again, the show is live, so if you want a game,
it doesn't matter what game it is, ask the way
we'll talk about it. I'll be joined by all the
top college football handicappers a Wage Talk Incoting Andy. First
show is going to be August twenty first. It's a
small card for week zero, but we want to break
those games down for you, and between then and now,
be sure to check out Power five of course each
and every day here on the YouTube channel. And I'm
doing some bonus college football content as well. If you
guys all cite it for the upcoming season.
Speaker 1: Love it. Brian, you're number two in unit's. Nice job, man,
That's that's bragging rights man. Like I know, we catch
a lot of flak, like people are like, why it
will be why are you all number one in everything? Listen?
Number two over the course of this year. That's bragging, right,
So congratulations. Do you tell everyone you have up for clients?
Speaker 6: Yeah, number two in that profit for the year. We've
only had one month all year where we finished down units.
We had a winning record that month, it was just
down a couple of units. So really, with the exception
of those first couple weeks of May, it has been
a great twenty twenty five and I am up sixty
one point six units since May twenty fourth, That.
Speaker 2: Is number one during that time.
Speaker 6: I will point that out if you guys will allow
me to and as you see on the screen, if
you want to get on board for the next week,
you can do so seven days for just sixty nine dollars. Andy,
I don't think you need to be a math major
to understand that is less than ten dollars per day
to get every pick over the next week from me.
I do have one play if you just want to sample.
If you're not ready to get invest for a full week,
that's okay. This deal is not going away tonight. If
you want to just try me out, get tonight's play.
We do have one play in Major League Baseball, a
rare odds makers error, and we always preach respect for the.
Speaker 2: People on the other side of the counter.
Speaker 6: But I believe the wrong team is favored in one
Major League Baseball game tonight, and I have taken advantage.
W T do buzz slash BP is where you go
to get that?
Speaker 1: Of course, well, dude, but we need them to screw up.
Speaker 2: Yes, I don't make money. Look yeah, but you look okay.
I mean I looked out. I mean I don't know
about you. Look.
Speaker 6: I look up and down the Major League Baseball screen.
Generally speaking, I'm like, yeah, that line's fine. Yeah, that
Lin's fine, Yeah, that Lin's fine, and you have to
dig some of But but there's one line that I dare.
Speaker 2: I even use the term egregious. I think on today's pay.
Speaker 1: I love it. I love it, Brian Power everyone college
football right around the corner, and we're gonna get you
ready for it every Thursday at one o'clock with the Blitz.
Thanks for joining us, Brian, have a great Monday. Appreciate you.
All Right, guys, let's do seven day recap. Feedback has
been you like when we talk about bank roll management,
So let's go over some specific numbers here. I'm kind
of looking at it's almost like a fresh start, or
not a fresh start, just a new start with this
tax bill. I know the tax bill doesn't go intoffect
on twenty twenty six, but we're trying to put in
place the systems to where we can still make money
of this. And what we've talked about is lowering the
volume and betting more on our bets. So this is
what we're doing for myself and clients. Two weeks ago,
we only had ten plays and we went seven to three,
so we said, let's do the same thing. So last
week we did the exact same thing. We had ten plays.
Guess what, we went seven to three. Again, we went
plus five point eight eight units. If you're using the
wager talk percentages four point five units of flat betting
two percent. I'll be honest, guys, I've upped how much
I bet per play. I'm at about three percent. If
that's too much for you, I get it. But that's
what I've been experimenting with and it's worked really, really well.
You can see golf went great. Dan comes through in
the clutch with a two and zero sweep in lacrosse
Crossport parlay with one to zero, and Mma was the
big loser this week two and three, and Kevin Holland
just Kevin Allen and Dakota Ditscheva. Turns out there were
things going on outside the octagon that we just did
not know about, and that is a real bummer. So
we talk about I have three different parts of really
my investments. I've got Crypto, I'm holding strong on XRP
and Bitcoin. I'm actually hoping for a little bit of
a dip on XRP so I can get back in,
but right now we're holding. And then most of my
investments are in Nvidia and Pallentteer. We're holding those. Again,
I am not a financial advisor. I am just a
dude talking on the internet. But I'm waiting for some
more dips in the stock market to buy. Now's not
a time to buy. Now's the time to just enjoy
the profits that are coming in. As far as sports betting,
I'm really loving the lower volume. We can keep adding
these four percent and five percents each week. It's gonna
be really really exciting what this bankroll is going to
look like at the end of six months. So if
you're interested in seven days, I gotta be honest, this
low volume, this works out really well for you guys
because on days that we don't have plays, we pass
and you get that day added on. So, like I
was looking at our plays, I think we only had
plays on three days last week. So seven day pass,
you get three days of profit this weekend, then you
move on to the next. But we do have another
special that's going on. It is for a little bit
more long term. If you get the month of August
and it starts today, you get the rest of July
for free. So we're looking at eleven days, ten days
still to go in July. Those are free, so you
jump on board. Now pick your handicapper. You get it
for two ninety nine, and then you get the rest
of July for free. So if you're interested in jumping
in and getting some of these specials early college football lines,
in these NFL lines, these futures start now, that way,
you get the rest of July for free. So get August.
It's it's it's heating up at wager talk. We are
getting ready for some of these sports that are getting
ready to kick off, and you can take advantage with
get August and get the rest of July free. It's
one hundred and ninety eight dollars bonus value, so take
advantage of that. We run these specials all summer long.
So looking forward to having a good rest of the
month in July and an even better August. All right,
let's bring in Dan.
Speaker 5: Dan.
Speaker 1: First off, I'm starting my fast tomorrow evening. So if
you all, we talked about it last week, so if
you all want to join them starting by tomorrow evening
you were flying back to the East coast, you ain't
doing it fast.
Speaker 7: No fast for me. I get to indulge in all
of my favorite East Coast treats, so getting some pizza, cheese, steaks,
all that. So no, I'll be I'll be basically doing
the anti fast and the anything that you lose I
am sure to find on the East Coast.
Speaker 1: But don't don't fret.
Speaker 7: I will still be here with you, scheering you on
along the way, producing the show. So I got your back, Andy,
I just I can't ride with you on this one.
Speaker 2: Unfortunately.
Speaker 1: Maybe maybe take pictures, take pictures of the show and
torture you show them to me live so it hurts
a little bit worse. Yeah, absolutely, I wanted to get
your thoughts on this. It was at the fresh market
yesterday and I got mushroom infused honey. Mushroom infused honey
h mushroom accused or yeah, it's supposed to be the
ones that make your mind a little bit more clear.
The word to describe the taste is strong. Yeah, I
don't know, bit good.
Speaker 7: I'm all for, you know, mixing the sweet with the savory.
I'm just not sure of the umami like flavors that
you would be getting from a mushroom infused honey. Like
I just got to be like a you take a
shot of it and just you know, like like when
you do a shot of like apple cider vinegar.
Speaker 2: You just get it down. You move on about your day.
Speaker 5: Right.
Speaker 1: Yeah. So I hot water and cayenne pepper and lemon
and honey all day long. That's like my drink.
Speaker 7: Of Oh so you're used to disgusting stuff, so that
that's your use.
Speaker 1: It's divine, it's divine. But I went a little too
hard on this. I put a little bit too much in.
It was like, whoa, that's a little strong. All right,
let's uhjave. Yeah, it's lion Maine, Lion Maine mushroom. See, damn,
people know about this. I'm late to the parting. Yes, yes,
absolutely so all right, let's talk our next NFL season
win total. We're going down to the Bayou. We're going
down to the cap hell riddled New New Orleans Saints. Uh,
this was rough. I gotta be honest. I I thought
Cleveland's research was gonna be rough. I thought I knew
the Giants was gonna be rough. This one might, this
one might top them all. So the New Orleans Saints
season win total is set at five and a half.
I want to read you what Pro Football Focus ranks
their units. Okay, what do they say in the NFL?
You gotta have a good quarterback and you gotta make
the other team's quarterback uncomfortable. Okay, their quarterback situation is
ranked last and their defensive line is ranked last. Yep,
not off to a great start. Offensive line? Are they good?
Speaker 5: No?
Speaker 1: Twenty second? Running backs? Well, you got Kamars turning thirty.
They ranked twenty first. Wide receivers are twenty third with
the healthy Olave who's coming off of multiple concussions, and
then the twentieth in the secondary. They're off season. They
have no cap space, so they just signed some guys
to some one year deals. They did cite Chase Young
to three years, and then their quarterback retires. This is
a rough one. What did you take away when looking
up the Saints?
Speaker 7: Wolf is the takeaway when looking at the New Orleans Saints.
I mean, you laid it out.
Speaker 2: They're perfect.
Speaker 1: One thing I will say, I'm not one of the.
Speaker 7: People who like worships at the altar of PFF because
I do think, you know, maybe they're waiting a little
bit too much of what we saw last year, because
I think the offensive line is a little bit better
than ranking them twenty second, you know, so there is
something to improve upon there.
Speaker 2: But as far as defense is concerned.
Speaker 7: Not only are they old, not only are they kind
of run down, they're also having a complete schematic change
heading into this year. Andy, They're going now to a
three four defense, So the onus is going to be
on the linebackers a little bit more. And you know,
your your best defensive player is probably a Cam Jordan
who should probably be heading to a retirement home soon.
Right Like, there's not much tread left on the tires
of this New Orleans Saints defense. And that's what concerns me. Yes, uh,
for Tony or fat One, if you will, you're twenty
of Cam Jordan incoming here.
Speaker 2: Here's the thing to be excited about.
Speaker 7: I guess, Andy, if if you want me to play
a little Devil's add again year for the New Orleans
Saints is you do have Kellen Moore coming to town,
who notoriously works terrific with quarterbacks. However, when you look
at the track record with quarterbacks, all of the quarterbacks
that he worked with, Andy were at least talented before
he got there. You got to work with Justin Herbert
Dak Prescott and wins a Super Bowl last year with
Jalen Hurts. Now he gets to work with Tyler Show,
he gets to work with Spencer Rattler and Jake Hayner. Yeah,
I'm not sure if I'm so excited for Kellen Moore,
But Kellan probably wouldn't have taken the job if he
didn't at least think he could build something here. Right,
I don't think Rome will be built in a day.
There's no way you can talk me into betting over
on the New Orleans Saints. That's where it ends for me.
You know, if you Saints fans need something to feel
a little bit optimistic about, you have one of the
easiest schedules in the NFL as far as strength the
schedule goes. Your three out of division opponents are super easy.
You could stack some wins at the back end of
the season. But I just don't think year one, new
head coach, new defensive schematics, at least to start the year,
it's gonna be pretty rough for this team. Sure they
could turn around, Sure they can find some building blocks
to build on towards the end of the season, but
I think it might be too late to find six
wins here on the schedule for the New Orleans Saints.
So for me it will be under. They'll win two
big games, then flop eric yeah, like they did last
year they were.
Speaker 1: To start the year and then uh, big means any
any big.
Speaker 7: Big, big means any. Yeah, under five and a half
for me. For the New Orleans Saints, I think better
days are to come. I just don't think they're going
to be coming in the first you know, two three
months of the season. Uh.
Speaker 1: Their their their schedule is all dependent on how can
they finish strong because they start off with a lot
of l's the Cardinals, the forty nine Ers at Seahawks,
at Bills, Okay, home Giants, potential the Patriots at Bears,
Bucks at Rams, at Panthers, by here's where, here's where,
here's where you can rip off some wins home Falcons,
I'm not sure about that at Dolphins. If the Dolphins
have imploded at that point, that could be a disastrous situations.
No way, home to Panthers. I think the Panthers are
much better this year. But then you got home Jets.
Do we know what the Jets are gonna be? And
then at Titans and at Falcons, and if that game
is meaningless for Atlanta, you could have some. But I
think the marial on this team could be a little
rough to start the year. And Tyler Show is a
few weeks older than Trevor Lawrence, which is just like,
it doesn't it doesn't, it does, doesn't sound right. I'm
with you. I think this could be the worst team
in the league. I I yeah, they're gonna be.
Speaker 2: They're gonna be.
Speaker 7: Honestly, I think a cool way to maybe bet this
team is take them to be the final winless team.
I think because you mentioned it there, the schedule to
start is pretty brutal. So when you compare this team
to other teams out of the gate, yeah there's teams
who might stumble out, but new head coach, new defensive schematics,
like the reasoning lines up, and the schedule lines up,
even with an easier schedule padded towards the back end,
for this to be the final team to be winless,
I don't think they go oh in sixteen oh and seventeen,
but I do think this could be a team. If
you want a plus money way to bet this team,
take them as the final team to be to be
winless through this season, and if you want to know
what the NFL thinks about and this is one of
the only teams who doesn't have a single primetime game,
so we will not be subjected to seeing the New
Orleans Saints.
Speaker 2: A single time in primetime this year.
Speaker 7: So that tells you what the NFL thinks about the
prospects here of the New Orleans Saints.
Speaker 1: The sneaky thing to do with them, believe it or not,
We're going to track the in season win totals. If
they get off to a horrific start, would they get
to that bye week? If they if they have their
win total like three and a half or two, like
just half, sticulously low, you could look at they're gonna be.
Speaker 7: There's three wins on the back end of that season,
for sure.
Speaker 1: I agree, I agree, you know, but pre flop it's
definitely an under under one on this one. So all right,
thanks for joining us. We're we're we're treading lightly today
with baseball, so be careful with some of those lines
out there. There's still some really good spots though, But
take advantage of this August special. You get August and
you get the rest of July. It's the best special
that we got that is sit wide. Go to the
deal's page and check that out. Hit the like button,
leave us a comment, tell us who you like in
today's baseball games. We'll start doing some more swag giveaways
here coming up soon. We got to do some more
guests the scores later on in this week, So thanks
for joining us. Good luck on all your plays. We'll
see you tomorrow for five dollars Tuesday. Take care