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Speaker 1: You are welcome to the best sports betting show on

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the planet. This is wager Talk Today and I am

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your host, Andy Lang. It is Monday. I'm gonna start

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the week strong. We've got some MLB we're seeing the

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ripple effect of the betting legislation and we're gonna talk

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with crack Man about that. We're gonna go over bankroll management.

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I'll walk through my bankroll. We had another really nice

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winning week, so I'll go over that. Towards the end

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of the show, we're gonna talk the Saints. Yes, the

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New Orleans Saints season win total five and a half.

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Dan and I will break that one down. So Brian

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Power is gonna join us talk Twins and Dodgers. Crackman'

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is gonna give us an MLB prop. We'll talk about

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some of that sports betting legislation. But first we always

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start with our good friend Gianni and we're gonna talk

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a little bit of the Steam Report. So guys, while

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we're watching hit that like button please really helps us out.

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And I believe we're like fifty people away from two

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hundred and ten thousand. So if you haven't joined the

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wager Talk family on YouTube, come on two hundred and

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ten thousand people can't be wrong. Scribe to the channel

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helps us out, helps your bankroll out as well. Jeohnny,

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good morning, Happy Monday. Hope you had a great weekend.

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I know it's a little bit slow for the Steam

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report this morning.

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Speaker 2: Crew, it is.

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Speaker 3: It is good morning brother.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I ended up having a losing UFC card on Saturday.

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Speaker 3: Five percent went down. Those are rare to go down.

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Speaker 4: But it happens. But I did pick up a little

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bit over ten units over the last seven days. So overall,

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big picture looks good and we're started on the week.

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Like you said, it's a slow week, but we do

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have a good UFC card. I already fired two bets myself.

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Don't know if you dived in, but I'll get right back.

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Speaker 3: On that horse.

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Speaker 4: I also have a tennis premium play up at wager

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Twalk for free. That's on the free picks page. It's

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a three percent play. It's a plus two fifty dog. Again,

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we're gonna throw those tickets out even when we're running hot,

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probably about sixty five percent of the time. So if

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you're not comfortable doing that, you probably should wait for

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the favorites. But yeah, we took a plus two to

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fifty in tennis that's available for free, and a couple

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sides and totals real quickly.

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Speaker 3: In Major League Baseball, a few of the size that.

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Speaker 4: Got hit already nine oh four Washington plus one fifteen,

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nine oh two, Miami minus one thirty nine fourteen, Tampa

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Bay minus two hundred nine, twenty four Cubbies minus one

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thirty five, and Minnesota at plus one seventy five game

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nine to twenty nine.

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Speaker 3: A few totals real quickly.

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Speaker 4: Nine oh five over nine up to minus one thirty

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San fran Atlanta, nine twenty under eight and a half

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up to minus one thirty Boston, Philadelphia, nine twenty six

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over seven at plus money, Milwaukee, Seattle and nine twenty

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eight under nine up to minus one ten Houston, Arizona.

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Thank you, Seanye. I was on holloway Man. Fortunately the

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TV bet remains winning. Those have been on fire, but

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when the dust settled, I ended up having an overall

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losing card, and it was a money making card. I

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mean there was four out of the five main court

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fights the undergoal got the money, so there was a

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lot of opportunity to make some cash. I hope you

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guys did some damage. Again, a couple of those fights

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didn't go my way that cost me, but overall can't

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complain as we're.

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Speaker 3: Trying to do some baseball damage as we await football.

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Speaker 1: Uh Gianni. I gotta tell you one of the best

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money making things that's been working for us this year

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is live UFC betting. Oh yeah, I have made ten

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times the amount of money live betting. And I will

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tell you, ay, our job could be really easy if

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we just bet on UFC fighters retiring. If that's all

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we did, that's all we did, bet against the retiring

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fighter would be good. I watched Dustin walk out and

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he just started crying and I was like, oh, this

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is a wrap this come on. You can't be crying

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before a fight and expected. But we bet big against

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Adam Fugate once we watched him look horrible at weigh

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ins and then again it face off off so then

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the next day. So there's something about this live looking

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at fighters and getting a feel for him that has

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been working really good. Kevin Holland was the big loser

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for me. He laid a complete egg against de Rod,

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but yeah, he got.

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Speaker 3: So much sharp money.

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Speaker 5: Bro.

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Speaker 3: They were not just betting.

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Speaker 4: Him to win the fight, and they steamed it up.

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They were betting him to win inside the distance, like

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sharp money, betting him to win inside the distance, sharp money,

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benning him to win by submission. Yes, they really had

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him isolated in multiple bets to win that fight against

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d ron Yeah that that that cost a lot of

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sharp betters cash on Holland.

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Speaker 3: And yeah, trust Holland is a favorite.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, problem, I want I want to get your thoughts

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on this later on this week. But UFC has got

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a big problem on some of these pay per views

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where the undercard is just way better, like way better content.

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But that's for another day. Let's talk a little bit

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of baseball. A couple of those lines that you mentioned

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that move, Yeah, I thought I thought an interesting one

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was I looked like Oakland is getting a little bit

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of money, and I looked this up. Did you know

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Oakland's much better on the road then then at home?

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And then I'm sorry, not Oakland, the Athletics, But then

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it makes sense, what is there? What is their home?

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So I was looking at the Athletics, going, oh, that

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makes sense, they're better on the on the road than they.

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Speaker 4: Can I answer this question because It's a beautiful question

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by Andrew, and he's asking Janny, did I have to

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write up for a five percent? And no, I don't

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add the write ups to the place.

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Speaker 3: I just don't have time. I give up enough volume.

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Speaker 4: It just would be impossible for me to write a

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write up for each and every one of those plays.

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But I think I share my reasoning more than enough

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forout a week, and I do multiple shows, I do podcasts.

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I spoke about that fight at length, and the reason

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why I like that particular fighter.

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Speaker 3: But more importantly, the thing I made it a five

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percent and.

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Speaker 4: The market proved me to be right is because I

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thought we were getting the best of it.

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Speaker 3: And that's my job. My job is to find in

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efficient lines. That's it.

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Speaker 4: I can't predict the outcome like you can't do that.

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There's not a single person amongst us that could predict outcomes.

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If you can do that, this is the wrong business

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you're in. There's so many other predictions you can make

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that make a lot more money than if you could

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predict sports betting out sporting event outcomes. That's not what

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the job is to be profitable. The job to be

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profitable is to find inefficient numbers. And the reason was

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a five percent play is because I got myself and

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my subscribers down at plus one point fifty and about

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six hours before the fight, the best you could get

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on him was plus one fifteen. That is a great bet.

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I can't control the outcome. That's exactly what a five

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percent bet should look like. That we absolutely destroy the market.

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We get out ahead of the market, we're correct on

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our pricing. But then everything else has to happen as well.

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The fighter's got to do his job, the ref's got

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to do his job, the corner's got to do their job,

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that the judges got to do their jobs. I can't

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control any of that. But what I can control is

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is that number right or is it wrong? And if

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I betted at plus one fifty and it goes off

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at plus one ten, then the only the job that

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I do to make money was accomplished.

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Speaker 3: Again.

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Speaker 4: If I do that over and over and over again,

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I'm a mathematical certainty to be profitable over time. But

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in the short term, I can't control that randomness of

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a bad call, of a fighter just waking up with

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a headache that day, getting pissed with his girlfriend like

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those are things you can't control.

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Speaker 3: But what you can't control is what did I bet

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it at? What's the number?

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Speaker 4: Now?

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Speaker 3: Did I beat the market?

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Speaker 2: That's that's that's the job.

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Speaker 4: And like I said, the five percent, it lost, but

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we got a good number.

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Speaker 3: And that's what I try to do over and over again.

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Speaker 1: Uh, what's your favorite message?

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Speaker 3: That's what five percent should do.

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Speaker 4: Like if I gave a plus one fifty and before

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the fight he went off at plus one eighty, that

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was a terrible bet even if he won. That's when

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you should come back and be like, bro, how can

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you give out a plus one fifty for a five percent?

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And I could have got plus one eighty the day

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of the fight. It won, but I got a worse number.

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By listening to you that that you gotta be able

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to separate yourself from that thinking in the short term.

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That's that's the key to doing this profitable like that

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that because we all want that short term gratification.

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Speaker 3: That's you know, that's the enemy of all of us.

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Speaker 1: What's your favorite move in baseball today? Which one do

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you agree with the most?

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Speaker 5: Is it total?

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Speaker 1: Is it a side? I thought one of the totals

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was pretty good. You got a couple of pitchers I

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believe with Eras. Yeah, the Giants and Braves. You got

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a starting pitcher with four point one another with five

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point sixty ra I thought that one made the most

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sense anyone.

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Speaker 4: You'd like Washington at home, I think a coin flip

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at worse. Obviously the opener was better, But I don't

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think that team should be a dogged to Cincinnati at home.

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I think that's live. I leaned also Miami a little bit.

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I just I worry about Miami's bullpen. That's the only

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problem betting a team like that and the totals really fast.

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Would I go under nine six, I'd probably go under

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Houston Arizona.

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Speaker 3: Under Houston Arizona. That nine that ken, I like it.

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Speaker 1: I like it.

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Speaker 5: Uh.

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Speaker 1: You mentioned UFC coming up this weekend.

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Speaker 5: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: I write my article for wager Talk on Sundays, so

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I've already gone through all of them. There was a play,

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I really there was a play I really liked. I

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was like, Oh, I really like Boudai to lose to

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this grappler, and then I wake up. It moved two

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dollars over night, two dollars.

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Speaker 4: That's why I sent out a five percent yesterday, and

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I sent it out right away. I'm like, I think

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the line's gonna move in my favorite I haven't checked

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to see if it does yet, but I gave a

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five percent play and a four percent play that the

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five percent is a really good price, I thought, And

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the four percent, I think it's going to get a

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lot more chalky than we laid.

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Speaker 3: I think we laid like mis one to eighty. I

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don't think it's closed.

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Speaker 1: My one of my favorite plays. The line's moving in

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the opposite direction. So I'm not putting it out, just waiting.

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I'm just just waiting and waiting. It was It's kind

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of like betting a holloway. Like when we were doing

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our live show. We were like, hey, listen, money's going

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to keep coming in on Dustin all night long, so

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let's just wait if you're going to play holloway. And

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then we played it right before the fight, try and

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grab the better of the number. So all right, So

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not much going on in baseball. Hey, we don't have

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to force anything. That's a beautiful thing. We can wake

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up and we can play as many plays as we will.

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We can lay off. Yeah, absolutely, So what do you

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have up for today? On Monday for clients.

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Speaker 4: All right that the UFC for Saturday Abu Dhabi card

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is already up. Like I said, there's a five percent

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play in there, there's a four percent play in there.

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Still over seventy percent on five percent plays still up

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about what forty five plus units on those in UFC.

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So excited for that. There's two plays in there. Baseball

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car will be up. I say wait for ten am,

241
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our time win in forty five minutes to wait see

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what the uh guys from off North bet and baseball

243
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be there as well. And I'll just keep adding to

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the futures package. We got NFL, we got college football.

245
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There's five college football futures in there, two NFL futures

246
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in there, including a five percent play.

247
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Speaker 3: So let's do some damage.

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Speaker 1: Johnny the Greek everyone, thank you so much for joining us.

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Speaker 5: Johnny.

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Speaker 1: Let's have another big week. Let's have another big week. Uh,

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let's bring in I see where Crackman is. Let's bring

252
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in crack Man and then we'll go to all around

253
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the world. Uh, don't, don't, don't, don't bet and drive

254
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crack Well, what's going on?

255
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Speaker 5: I am I am pulled over? Can you guys hear

256
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me on the on this, I could change it over

257
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to my headset.

258
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Speaker 1: If not, I think I think you're pretty good.

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Speaker 5: Good good?

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Speaker 1: Uh all right? First, yes, how is it.

261
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Speaker 5: That Myrtle band? You can see you are on the

262
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beach here Myrtle Beach, South Carolina. You know, it's a

263
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rare time. I get it, you know, all star breaking

264
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usually go away for a week or so. But yeah,

265
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so I'm away for a little bit, but I'm actually

266
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flying back to Vegas today, so yeah, I don't stop. Though,

267
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I don't stop, you know, like Summer League stuff comes

268
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in like last minute. It's all based on lineups and

269
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information and uh so, so I don't stop even though

270
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it's all Star break. To be real blunt, if I

271
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knew how good the Summer League was going to be,

272
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which I've never lost playing it, But if I knew

273
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how good it was gonna be, I probably would have

274
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stayed in Vegas and terrorized those bookmakers too. So but

275
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but I'm glad for the clients. I'm glad for people

276
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out there. Baseball have been good, Rachel, I going. I

277
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hope to keep it going. But yeah, so everything's all right.

278
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How about you guys.

279
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Speaker 1: We're doing good. I know you're busy. We want to

280
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get an MLB prop from you if we could, And

281
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then I want to get your thoughts on we're seeing

282
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the rip effects of this legislation. We're seeing yeah, yeah,

283
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it's getting bad. And and then of course, Eric, what's

284
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to know, what's your favorite restaurant, Myrtle Beach. Let's start

285
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with the MLB problems get let's give some people.

286
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Speaker 5: Brandon woodriff on the Brewers total strikeouts over five and

287
00:13:12,240 --> 00:13:16,080
a half minus a dollar forty. Woodroff has great stuff

288
00:13:16,080 --> 00:13:20,159
in his first two starts this season, coming off an injury,

289
00:13:20,399 --> 00:13:23,639
after cut off the injury, so seventy pitches in his

290
00:13:23,720 --> 00:13:28,679
first ten his first his first game with eight strikeouts,

291
00:13:28,840 --> 00:13:31,720
then eighty one the second game with ten k's. He

292
00:13:31,799 --> 00:13:34,840
should be off for striction, facing a Mariners team that's

293
00:13:35,279 --> 00:13:38,080
never really seen him so and they ranked eleventh actually

294
00:13:38,120 --> 00:13:41,519
in strikeout rate. So over five and a half minus

295
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a dollar forty. I also seen over six and a

296
00:13:44,279 --> 00:13:49,399
half plus a dollar fifteen. And I don't mind rather

297
00:13:49,440 --> 00:13:52,759
take the five and a half situationally, but sometimes when

298
00:13:52,799 --> 00:13:55,279
you take projuice back, there is a number that you'd

299
00:13:55,320 --> 00:13:57,080
actually take the six and a half back. I have

300
00:13:57,159 --> 00:14:00,159
no problem to take it over plus money also, so

301
00:14:00,519 --> 00:14:03,200
there's a prop for today. The reason why the prop

302
00:14:03,279 --> 00:14:07,559
market is so is so beatable is because they just

303
00:14:07,799 --> 00:14:11,240
don't have this information that we They just throw up

304
00:14:11,240 --> 00:14:16,320
all props based on a generalization. When you specialize in

305
00:14:16,399 --> 00:14:19,159
props like my team, this is why you get the

306
00:14:19,200 --> 00:14:22,519
advantages of being coming along for the ride. So there's

307
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one there some great stuff going on, like I said

308
00:14:26,440 --> 00:14:29,240
this looking forward to of course I said pre season,

309
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regular season. But yeah, as far as that that's in Illinois,

310
00:14:34,440 --> 00:14:36,519
am I am? I right? Andy? That that that new

311
00:14:36,759 --> 00:14:37,240
rule again.

312
00:14:37,399 --> 00:14:41,039
Speaker 1: Yeah, So now what they're doing is they're putting in

313
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minimum amount of bet. You gotta bet two dollars at

314
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hard Rock, two dollars and fifty cents. That MGM twenty

315
00:14:47,759 --> 00:14:51,279
five cents per wager on the operators. First twenty million bets,

316
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then fifty cents per bet after that. Last year they

317
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imposed fifteen percent tax on operators. So basically you're looking

318
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at twenty to forty taxes from when they started and

319
00:15:04,559 --> 00:15:08,159
now twenty five or fifty cents per wager. It's amazing.

320
00:15:08,279 --> 00:15:11,240
Speaker 5: Yeah, you know, I don't blame the sports books. I

321
00:15:11,240 --> 00:15:14,039
guess I have to blame the government. They just think

322
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that the margins are a lot wider than they are.

323
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People voting on bills and voting on these laws that

324
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replace the bet in their life. You know, they don't gamble,

325
00:15:24,159 --> 00:15:26,279
They don't know anything what's going on in the industry.

326
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So the operators have passed along these feests. Listen, we blunt.

327
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I say, I don't blame them. They don't have to

328
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do it because they make so much money, you know,

329
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But they're they're the tax has went up from like

330
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fifteen percent to like forty Some of the states charged

331
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fifty percent in taxes. And it's really is it's just

332
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branding it. And I guess we get to that point.

333
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You're just branding your sports book, branding your company. Even

334
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though New York, the highest tax and regulated state, is

335
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the sports betting capital of the United States, people don't

336
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know that that's in what volume they do there. But

337
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I kind of understand how they pass it along, But

338
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I don't. I just you know, they think minimums go up,

339
00:16:11,039 --> 00:16:13,440
minimum bet size and stuff. Of course, I'm against it.

340
00:16:13,480 --> 00:16:15,679
I'm for Joe Public. I don't want Joe to be

341
00:16:15,799 --> 00:16:18,480
betting parlays and betting, sucker bets as it is. So

342
00:16:19,679 --> 00:16:22,240
I try to preach I try to preach all safe,

343
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responsible gambling. I'm down here, like I said in Myrtle Beach,

344
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I have my my friend's son is seventeen years old.

345
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These you know, they're there's gambling everywhere. Literally then it's

346
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not even legal in this state, and there's gambling everywhere.

347
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So these kids just think it's so easy. They see

348
00:16:40,960 --> 00:16:44,559
FanDuel DraftKings, all the companies on air and promoting with

349
00:16:44,600 --> 00:16:49,200
their great all star you know, you know, promotional cast

350
00:16:49,240 --> 00:16:52,279
of stars and athletes, and say, oh, this is so cool.

351
00:16:52,320 --> 00:16:55,759
And listen, like I said many times on many platforms,

352
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every college in America has a gambling problem. Last week,

353
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calli Endo came up to me. He's a comedian. He

354
00:17:02,799 --> 00:17:05,079
was on NFL today a lot of you know with

355
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with Terry Bradshaw and those guys. And I didn't know

356
00:17:08,440 --> 00:17:11,119
who he was because he's doing so great. He lost

357
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like seventy pounds. But he listens to one of my

358
00:17:13,440 --> 00:17:16,200
shows by Fox Show, and we sat down and actually

359
00:17:16,200 --> 00:17:19,720
had lunch together. And his son goes to Arizona State University.

360
00:17:21,000 --> 00:17:24,240
He just he knows more about the gambling and his friends.

361
00:17:24,279 --> 00:17:27,200
And he used the word degenerate before I did, he

362
00:17:27,319 --> 00:17:30,480
used he used the word bots betting with bots. I

363
00:17:30,559 --> 00:17:32,599
was like blown away. A twenty one year old kid,

364
00:17:32,720 --> 00:17:34,960
he's just he's gonna be twenty one. He knows more

365
00:17:35,000 --> 00:17:38,240
about these bet It's exactly what I said. It's sports

366
00:17:38,279 --> 00:17:41,640
betting is everywhere. So I try to teach her responsible

367
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and safe gambling to the people. I know it because

368
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I was a little degenerate gambler growing up on the

369
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Jersey Shore, you know, grew up on a boardwalk town

370
00:17:49,359 --> 00:17:52,680
when I was a kid, going crazy betting parlays, betting

371
00:17:52,799 --> 00:17:56,799
everything and going broke many times before someone shook me

372
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and showed me the right way prop bets, money managed.

373
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I've been there's so many videos up on Waker talk

374
00:18:02,559 --> 00:18:04,559
or I've talked about this. Sorry, Eddie, I can go

375
00:18:04,640 --> 00:18:05,839
on forever. I apologize.

376
00:18:05,839 --> 00:18:09,480
Speaker 1: No, no, you're fine. The audios cutting out. So's your video.

377
00:18:09,559 --> 00:18:11,359
So we're gonna have to let you go. Want you

378
00:18:11,440 --> 00:18:13,720
to be safe on the road. I'm gonna promote you.

379
00:18:14,119 --> 00:18:17,440
So have a great day byway Myrtle and safe travels.

380
00:18:17,720 --> 00:18:21,640
Crack man. So yeah, list listen, Hey, the man is

381
00:18:21,680 --> 00:18:24,960
never gonna miss his spot regardless of where he's at,

382
00:18:25,000 --> 00:18:27,880
so we appreciate the passion. So yeah, check out Crackman.

383
00:18:27,920 --> 00:18:30,319
Summer League's going well for him. Baseball is going well

384
00:18:30,599 --> 00:18:32,720
for him as well. You get all his plays, and

385
00:18:32,759 --> 00:18:34,839
these are again plays that he bets with his own money,

386
00:18:34,880 --> 00:18:37,359
so when he puts out a play, rust assured he's

387
00:18:37,400 --> 00:18:39,519
got money on it. So one of the best in

388
00:18:39,519 --> 00:18:42,400
the business. So thank you, crack Man. I always enjoy

389
00:18:42,480 --> 00:18:44,599
talking to you. And yes, next week we'll get his

390
00:18:44,640 --> 00:18:47,640
thoughts on some restaurants. So all right, let's go all

391
00:18:47,680 --> 00:18:53,319
around the world. Let's do some free plays here. Last

392
00:18:53,359 --> 00:18:56,839
week I had my highs and my lows. My low

393
00:18:57,200 --> 00:18:59,319
was when I said, hey, let's just bet the Rockies

394
00:18:59,359 --> 00:19:01,200
to not win this series, and then they probably won

395
00:19:01,240 --> 00:19:05,160
their first home series of the entire season. But the

396
00:19:05,240 --> 00:19:07,960
high was I nailed every single play on the Open Championship.

397
00:19:08,000 --> 00:19:11,200
So let's get the week started off right here. We're

398
00:19:11,200 --> 00:19:14,680
going to Ralph michaels that we're gonna do nurfy in

399
00:19:14,759 --> 00:19:16,960
the Twins at the Dodgers, which is gonna be interesting

400
00:19:16,960 --> 00:19:20,519
because Brian Power is gonna talk about this one. Ralph says,

401
00:19:20,519 --> 00:19:23,519
Dodgers seven to zero Nurfey run scored a first inning

402
00:19:23,559 --> 00:19:25,640
run once in the last ten games. Twins are on

403
00:19:25,720 --> 00:19:28,480
a six to one nurfy run and Otani four straight

404
00:19:28,519 --> 00:19:32,400
games not allowing a first inning run. The Ryder Cup

405
00:19:32,640 --> 00:19:35,119
USA sits at minus one forty five. I watched the

406
00:19:35,160 --> 00:19:39,200
Open Championship and I've been to the course that they're

407
00:19:39,200 --> 00:19:41,559
gonna play at beth Page Black. It really sets up

408
00:19:41,559 --> 00:19:43,839
well for the US guys. Scheffler is the best in

409
00:19:43,880 --> 00:19:47,160
the world, Bryson Dashabo is a top three guy. Shoffley's

410
00:19:47,200 --> 00:19:50,400
getting into form, and they just played in Europe and

411
00:19:50,440 --> 00:19:54,720
the top four guys were all American. I think Buddy's

412
00:19:54,759 --> 00:19:56,480
gonna come in on the US the closer we get

413
00:19:56,480 --> 00:19:58,440
to the Ryder Cup. I'm actually gonna try and make

414
00:19:58,480 --> 00:20:00,440
it out there and go to that one if my

415
00:20:00,519 --> 00:20:02,880
buddy can get tickets. He lives right down there from

416
00:20:02,920 --> 00:20:05,440
beth Page. But look at the length of beth Page

417
00:20:05,480 --> 00:20:06,960
and looking at some of the guys that we got

418
00:20:07,119 --> 00:20:08,759
on the US team, I think the length is gonna

419
00:20:08,759 --> 00:20:10,519
be a problem for a lot of the European guys.

420
00:20:10,920 --> 00:20:13,000
And then we're gonna look at the Brewers and of

421
00:20:13,000 --> 00:20:16,200
the Mariners over six and a half. Kirby has been

422
00:20:16,279 --> 00:20:19,200
really good, but as Ben Burns points out, he's one

423
00:20:19,240 --> 00:20:21,440
and four with a four point ninety nine e er

424
00:20:21,759 --> 00:20:25,400
in evening games and Woodriff's last start that game finish

425
00:20:25,680 --> 00:20:29,759
six to five. This is a very very low total,

426
00:20:29,759 --> 00:20:31,799
and both teams have been solid at the plate. So

427
00:20:31,839 --> 00:20:33,680
we're looking at the Twins at the Dodgers nurfee the

428
00:20:33,759 --> 00:20:37,160
Ryder Cup USA minus one forty five and the Brewers

429
00:20:37,200 --> 00:20:40,839
at the Mariners over six and a half. All right,

430
00:20:40,880 --> 00:20:44,039
let's bring on Brian Power. We're gonna talk the Twins

431
00:20:44,240 --> 00:20:48,319
and the Dodgers here. Brian, how are you? Of course,

432
00:20:48,400 --> 00:20:51,319
when tany pitches we have to do a segment on it.

433
00:20:51,400 --> 00:20:53,880
You were lucky enough to be to be on here.

434
00:20:54,000 --> 00:20:56,880
So we got fest to going for the Twins of Tani.

435
00:20:56,920 --> 00:21:00,559
For the Dodgers, Twins just lost a series to the Rockies,

436
00:21:01,319 --> 00:21:04,359
the first home the first home series win this season

437
00:21:04,480 --> 00:21:07,839
for Colorado. So what's your take here on the Twins

438
00:21:07,839 --> 00:21:08,480
and the Dodgers.

439
00:21:09,400 --> 00:21:13,759
Speaker 6: Well, my take is Andy, obviously, Look, the Dodgers right

440
00:21:13,759 --> 00:21:15,839
now are kind of at their low point of the season.

441
00:21:15,920 --> 00:21:17,440
Speaker 2: They just got you know, talking about what happened to

442
00:21:17,440 --> 00:21:19,319
the Twins, in Colorado. Let's not bury the lead here.

443
00:21:19,880 --> 00:21:22,519
Speaker 6: The Dodgers just got swept at home by the Brewers,

444
00:21:22,559 --> 00:21:25,960
their second time being swept by the Brewers this season.

445
00:21:26,039 --> 00:21:27,720
Going back to before the break, they've dropped ten of

446
00:21:27,799 --> 00:21:31,000
twelve overall. Has La so a really tough team to

447
00:21:31,119 --> 00:21:34,680
back on the money line here, obviously, especially because even

448
00:21:34,680 --> 00:21:36,359
though the money has been coming in on the Twins

449
00:21:36,400 --> 00:21:36,880
this morning.

450
00:21:36,920 --> 00:21:38,839
Speaker 2: I mean, we've seen this line just drop, drop drop.

451
00:21:39,319 --> 00:21:42,200
Speaker 6: As I look at the odd screen, there's still you know,

452
00:21:42,240 --> 00:21:44,440
minus one seventy on the money line the Dodgers.

453
00:21:44,480 --> 00:21:47,240
Speaker 2: So you know, I'm not running to bet them now.

454
00:21:47,400 --> 00:21:49,559
Speaker 6: As you pointed out, with Tani starting for the Dodgers tonight,

455
00:21:49,599 --> 00:21:52,960
which that I started looking for alternative ways that maybe

456
00:21:52,960 --> 00:21:55,039
we could bet La here because I'm not crazy about

457
00:21:55,039 --> 00:21:57,400
this Twins team. I think they could be sellers as

458
00:21:57,400 --> 00:22:00,079
we approach the deadline. I think, you know, enthusiasts, and

459
00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:02,680
there could be at a low and that there's not

460
00:22:02,759 --> 00:22:05,200
much to like. But with Otani starting for Dodgers, it

461
00:22:05,240 --> 00:22:07,039
had to be considering, all right, well, maybe we look

462
00:22:07,039 --> 00:22:09,039
at the Dodgers in just the first five innings on

463
00:22:09,119 --> 00:22:12,160
the run line, but even then, still you know, minus

464
00:22:12,160 --> 00:22:14,319
one thirty to lay half a run. I'm like, yeah,

465
00:22:14,359 --> 00:22:17,440
that's not great. So I came up with this for everybody.

466
00:22:17,599 --> 00:22:19,599
Talked about it on the Power five this morning as well.

467
00:22:19,720 --> 00:22:23,160
Let's focus on the Dodgers offense. Even in defeat yesterday,

468
00:22:23,240 --> 00:22:25,559
they put up five runs, and they put up seven

469
00:22:25,640 --> 00:22:28,599
runs on Saturday in a loss. This is the highest

470
00:22:28,599 --> 00:22:30,920
scoring home team in all of baseball five point eight

471
00:22:31,000 --> 00:22:32,599
runs per game. I think you and I have talked

472
00:22:32,599 --> 00:22:34,039
about this before in the show, madea maybe a couple

473
00:22:34,079 --> 00:22:37,359
weeks ago in the discussion a larger discussion of team totals. Yes,

474
00:22:37,599 --> 00:22:39,519
we did, when you had When you have these teams

475
00:22:39,559 --> 00:22:41,160
like the Dodgers that are big favorites and you don't

476
00:22:41,160 --> 00:22:44,240
want to play that you look at their team total

477
00:22:44,440 --> 00:22:46,680
because again the Dodgers, they average five point eight runs

478
00:22:46,680 --> 00:22:48,880
per game at home. And you mentioned festas starting for

479
00:22:48,960 --> 00:22:51,160
Minnesota while on the road this year, Fest is the

480
00:22:51,359 --> 00:22:54,279
ra six point six to eight the Twins bullpen, so

481
00:22:54,319 --> 00:22:56,880
after Fest is out of there, the Twins bullpen bottom

482
00:22:56,880 --> 00:22:59,559
ten in era. I know Freddie Freeman's unlikely to play

483
00:22:59,559 --> 00:23:02,119
in ninety two one on the wrist in yesterday's game,

484
00:23:02,119 --> 00:23:04,000
but I still like the Dodgers to go over their

485
00:23:04,039 --> 00:23:05,799
team total of four and a half. I think from

486
00:23:05,799 --> 00:23:08,680
a price perspective, it is the best way to approach

487
00:23:08,960 --> 00:23:09,839
this game.

488
00:23:12,720 --> 00:23:16,640
Speaker 1: Yeah. I love the team totals, I really do. And

489
00:23:16,720 --> 00:23:19,599
this is a perfect segue. So just a couple of

490
00:23:19,680 --> 00:23:22,839
years ago I started officially playing college football plays That's

491
00:23:22,880 --> 00:23:25,200
all I do is team totals, and I just do

492
00:23:25,279 --> 00:23:29,319
one a week and it works absolutely fantastic. I don't

493
00:23:30,400 --> 00:23:32,599
you know why team totals just work so much better

494
00:23:32,920 --> 00:23:35,039
in certain sport. Is it just because it's less to handicap?

495
00:23:35,079 --> 00:23:38,400
Is there less variables? Is there less like craziness that

496
00:23:38,440 --> 00:23:40,880
can happen. I can't really put my finger on it,

497
00:23:40,920 --> 00:23:42,839
but I just know the proofs in the pudding. When

498
00:23:42,839 --> 00:23:45,319
I do college football, I'm doing team totals.

499
00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:48,160
Speaker 6: For me, it's always a case by case basis. I

500
00:23:48,160 --> 00:23:50,559
will point out that my first five percent baseball player

501
00:23:50,599 --> 00:23:52,599
this season was a team total on the A's And

502
00:23:52,920 --> 00:23:55,240
when I look on this, when I look at this

503
00:23:55,279 --> 00:23:57,000
particular matchup, what I'm saying is, look, you have to

504
00:23:57,000 --> 00:23:59,599
look at it both ways. If the Dodgers, if they

505
00:23:59,640 --> 00:24:02,680
can't get it figured out, if they're losing, they're getting

506
00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:06,680
nine at bats and that helped yesterday. I'm the power

507
00:24:06,720 --> 00:24:08,920
five for yesterday. I said to bet the Dodgers over

508
00:24:08,920 --> 00:24:11,119
four and a half against Milwaukee. They did not get

509
00:24:11,119 --> 00:24:13,480
that fifth run until the ninth inning. Okay, so it

510
00:24:13,519 --> 00:24:15,160
was a bit of a sweat. But here's on the

511
00:24:15,160 --> 00:24:17,000
flip side is if they do get it figured out,

512
00:24:17,079 --> 00:24:19,400
if they do turn it around, well, guess what, They're

513
00:24:19,400 --> 00:24:22,160
probably gonna go over this number inside of eight innings

514
00:24:22,200 --> 00:24:24,480
as well. I know you brought up the nerfee earlier

515
00:24:24,519 --> 00:24:27,279
in the all around the world segment. Hey, that's the beauty.

516
00:24:27,400 --> 00:24:28,759
We got eight or nine innings. They don't need to

517
00:24:28,759 --> 00:24:31,519
score them all in the first inning. So there we go.

518
00:24:32,000 --> 00:24:34,799
That's what I like again. Number one, the Dodgers are

519
00:24:35,119 --> 00:24:37,559
in scoring at home five point eight runs per game,

520
00:24:37,599 --> 00:24:38,559
So over four and a half done?

521
00:24:38,640 --> 00:24:39,519
Speaker 2: Sound too bad for me?

522
00:24:40,720 --> 00:24:43,920
Speaker 1: Is that something you blind bet every game with them

523
00:24:43,960 --> 00:24:46,440
averaging so much? Or do you really take into account

524
00:24:46,519 --> 00:24:49,200
the pitching? Because I'm wondering, hey, is the pitching baked

525
00:24:49,240 --> 00:24:51,279
into the line? Like are the are they just going

526
00:24:51,319 --> 00:24:52,599
to set it at four and a half and then

527
00:24:52,640 --> 00:24:55,400
it's plus one twenty against somebody and then minus one

528
00:24:55,559 --> 00:24:56,839
forty against somebody else.

529
00:24:57,279 --> 00:24:59,079
Speaker 6: Yeah, I hate, but when it's five and a half,

530
00:24:59,119 --> 00:25:01,200
obviously that's a you know that don't get involved there.

531
00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:03,079
That's too and that takes all, especially if you are

532
00:25:03,079 --> 00:25:05,039
talking about a situation where they've only come up to

533
00:25:05,039 --> 00:25:05,960
bat for eight innings.

534
00:25:06,079 --> 00:25:07,599
Speaker 2: But look, I mentioned the other part.

535
00:25:07,720 --> 00:25:09,680
Speaker 6: You're right, you have to consider the pitcher festa is

536
00:25:09,720 --> 00:25:12,000
not good, especially on the road, like I mentioned that

537
00:25:12,079 --> 00:25:13,640
six point sixty eight e er.

538
00:25:13,880 --> 00:25:14,839
Speaker 2: So it's just the.

539
00:25:14,799 --> 00:25:18,240
Speaker 6: Look, it's rare that there's value in betting the Dodgers

540
00:25:18,240 --> 00:25:19,920
on the money line, right Andy, I mean, they're all

541
00:25:19,960 --> 00:25:21,839
I mean, look at this, They've lost ten of twelve,

542
00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:24,160
they just get swept, and they open north of minus

543
00:25:24,160 --> 00:25:24,680
two hundred.

544
00:25:25,160 --> 00:25:26,359
Speaker 2: I mean, I'm not gonna come on.

545
00:25:26,319 --> 00:25:28,640
Speaker 6: Here and tell, you know, tell the people to bet

546
00:25:28,880 --> 00:25:30,079
the Dodgers on the money line here.

547
00:25:30,119 --> 00:25:30,680
Speaker 2: That's no fun.

548
00:25:30,880 --> 00:25:34,640
Speaker 6: So you know it's long term, it's not profitable bet

549
00:25:34,640 --> 00:25:37,640
favorites of that size in Major League Baseball. So again,

550
00:25:37,839 --> 00:25:40,319
team total, I think I wanted to find a way

551
00:25:40,319 --> 00:25:42,279
to get that price down because the DoD.

552
00:25:42,160 --> 00:25:43,960
Speaker 2: They're not going to keep on going losing forever.

553
00:25:44,039 --> 00:25:46,279
Speaker 6: Guys, They're just not This is still a team, I know,

554
00:25:46,279 --> 00:25:48,000
people are gonna get you know, people get upset when

555
00:25:48,039 --> 00:25:49,599
I bring up my power ratings. But there's still number

556
00:25:49,599 --> 00:25:52,920
one in my power ratings, the Dodgers. Despite this mid

557
00:25:53,000 --> 00:25:56,400
season swoon. I think they turn it around though. Moving forward.

558
00:25:57,680 --> 00:25:59,759
Speaker 1: Love it so, Brian. We've got a new college football

559
00:25:59,799 --> 00:26:03,119
show that is coming up. Tell everyone about that. I'm

560
00:26:03,160 --> 00:26:05,640
excited for it. I'll make a few appearances on there

561
00:26:05,799 --> 00:26:07,839
just to talk yes, team totals, but tell us about

562
00:26:07,839 --> 00:26:08,839
our new show, The Blitz.

563
00:26:09,599 --> 00:26:12,039
Speaker 6: Yes, so happy to announce this fall, I will be

564
00:26:12,079 --> 00:26:14,480
hosting a live weekly college football show here on the

565
00:26:14,480 --> 00:26:16,680
Wage Talk YouTube channel, and it is called The Blitz

566
00:26:16,799 --> 00:26:20,599
one pm Eastern every Thursday. So following you, Andy, you

567
00:26:20,640 --> 00:26:22,000
know no better way to get a show going on

568
00:26:22,039 --> 00:26:24,480
the right foot than bravy training off a ratings success

569
00:26:24,480 --> 00:26:28,440
such as yourself. I'll be doing that and we're gonna

570
00:26:28,440 --> 00:26:31,519
be talking about all the big games each and every week,

571
00:26:31,559 --> 00:26:33,880
but the discussions can be driven by you guys, the viewers.

572
00:26:34,000 --> 00:26:35,160
Speaker 2: You can ask any game.

573
00:26:35,279 --> 00:26:37,759
Speaker 6: Again, the show is live, so if you want a game,

574
00:26:37,759 --> 00:26:39,720
it doesn't matter what game it is, ask the way

575
00:26:39,960 --> 00:26:41,640
we'll talk about it. I'll be joined by all the

576
00:26:41,640 --> 00:26:44,799
top college football handicappers a Wage Talk Incoting Andy. First

577
00:26:44,839 --> 00:26:46,680
show is going to be August twenty first. It's a

578
00:26:46,720 --> 00:26:49,440
small card for week zero, but we want to break

579
00:26:49,440 --> 00:26:52,759
those games down for you, and between then and now,

580
00:26:53,000 --> 00:26:55,079
be sure to check out Power five of course each

581
00:26:55,119 --> 00:26:57,880
and every day here on the YouTube channel. And I'm

582
00:26:57,920 --> 00:27:00,240
doing some bonus college football content as well. If you

583
00:27:00,279 --> 00:27:03,240
guys all cite it for the upcoming season.

584
00:27:04,440 --> 00:27:09,880
Speaker 1: Love it. Brian, you're number two in unit's. Nice job, man,

585
00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:13,480
That's that's bragging rights man. Like I know, we catch

586
00:27:13,519 --> 00:27:15,440
a lot of flak, like people are like, why it

587
00:27:15,480 --> 00:27:18,960
will be why are you all number one in everything? Listen?

588
00:27:19,079 --> 00:27:23,559
Number two over the course of this year. That's bragging, right,

589
00:27:23,640 --> 00:27:26,440
So congratulations. Do you tell everyone you have up for clients?

590
00:27:26,759 --> 00:27:28,559
Speaker 6: Yeah, number two in that profit for the year. We've

591
00:27:28,559 --> 00:27:31,559
only had one month all year where we finished down units.

592
00:27:31,559 --> 00:27:32,880
We had a winning record that month, it was just

593
00:27:32,920 --> 00:27:35,000
down a couple of units. So really, with the exception

594
00:27:35,039 --> 00:27:36,920
of those first couple weeks of May, it has been

595
00:27:37,000 --> 00:27:40,200
a great twenty twenty five and I am up sixty

596
00:27:40,200 --> 00:27:43,319
one point six units since May twenty fourth, That.

597
00:27:43,400 --> 00:27:44,799
Speaker 2: Is number one during that time.

598
00:27:44,839 --> 00:27:46,400
Speaker 6: I will point that out if you guys will allow

599
00:27:46,440 --> 00:27:48,200
me to and as you see on the screen, if

600
00:27:48,200 --> 00:27:49,640
you want to get on board for the next week,

601
00:27:49,680 --> 00:27:52,359
you can do so seven days for just sixty nine dollars. Andy,

602
00:27:52,599 --> 00:27:54,039
I don't think you need to be a math major

603
00:27:54,079 --> 00:27:55,960
to understand that is less than ten dollars per day

604
00:27:56,119 --> 00:27:59,119
to get every pick over the next week from me.

605
00:27:59,519 --> 00:28:01,319
I do have one play if you just want to sample.

606
00:28:01,359 --> 00:28:04,200
If you're not ready to get invest for a full week,

607
00:28:04,240 --> 00:28:07,400
that's okay. This deal is not going away tonight. If

608
00:28:07,440 --> 00:28:09,359
you want to just try me out, get tonight's play.

609
00:28:09,359 --> 00:28:11,119
We do have one play in Major League Baseball, a

610
00:28:11,240 --> 00:28:16,480
rare odds makers error, and we always preach respect for the.

611
00:28:16,400 --> 00:28:17,640
Speaker 2: People on the other side of the counter.

612
00:28:17,680 --> 00:28:20,359
Speaker 6: But I believe the wrong team is favored in one

613
00:28:20,400 --> 00:28:23,039
Major League Baseball game tonight, and I have taken advantage.

614
00:28:23,079 --> 00:28:26,599
W T do buzz slash BP is where you go

615
00:28:26,680 --> 00:28:27,079
to get that?

616
00:28:27,200 --> 00:28:32,279
Speaker 1: Of course, well, dude, but we need them to screw up.

617
00:28:33,240 --> 00:28:37,079
Speaker 2: Yes, I don't make money. Look yeah, but you look okay.

618
00:28:37,119 --> 00:28:38,359
I mean I looked out. I mean I don't know

619
00:28:38,359 --> 00:28:39,000
about you. Look.

620
00:28:39,039 --> 00:28:40,720
Speaker 6: I look up and down the Major League Baseball screen.

621
00:28:40,759 --> 00:28:42,599
Generally speaking, I'm like, yeah, that line's fine. Yeah, that

622
00:28:42,599 --> 00:28:44,079
Lin's fine, Yeah, that Lin's fine, and you have to

623
00:28:44,079 --> 00:28:47,079
dig some of But but there's one line that I dare.

624
00:28:46,920 --> 00:28:49,960
Speaker 2: I even use the term egregious. I think on today's pay.

625
00:28:50,839 --> 00:28:53,480
Speaker 1: I love it. I love it, Brian Power everyone college

626
00:28:53,519 --> 00:28:55,720
football right around the corner, and we're gonna get you

627
00:28:55,799 --> 00:28:58,240
ready for it every Thursday at one o'clock with the Blitz.

628
00:28:58,279 --> 00:29:01,079
Thanks for joining us, Brian, have a great Monday. Appreciate you.

629
00:29:02,279 --> 00:29:05,440
All Right, guys, let's do seven day recap. Feedback has

630
00:29:05,480 --> 00:29:07,759
been you like when we talk about bank roll management,

631
00:29:08,680 --> 00:29:13,039
So let's go over some specific numbers here. I'm kind

632
00:29:13,079 --> 00:29:16,799
of looking at it's almost like a fresh start, or

633
00:29:16,960 --> 00:29:19,480
not a fresh start, just a new start with this

634
00:29:19,599 --> 00:29:22,119
tax bill. I know the tax bill doesn't go intoffect

635
00:29:22,119 --> 00:29:24,400
on twenty twenty six, but we're trying to put in

636
00:29:24,440 --> 00:29:27,880
place the systems to where we can still make money

637
00:29:27,880 --> 00:29:30,079
of this. And what we've talked about is lowering the

638
00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:33,559
volume and betting more on our bets. So this is

639
00:29:33,599 --> 00:29:36,039
what we're doing for myself and clients. Two weeks ago,

640
00:29:36,039 --> 00:29:38,960
we only had ten plays and we went seven to three,

641
00:29:39,559 --> 00:29:41,960
so we said, let's do the same thing. So last

642
00:29:42,000 --> 00:29:44,200
week we did the exact same thing. We had ten plays.

643
00:29:44,319 --> 00:29:46,880
Guess what, we went seven to three. Again, we went

644
00:29:47,000 --> 00:29:49,559
plus five point eight eight units. If you're using the

645
00:29:49,599 --> 00:29:52,799
wager talk percentages four point five units of flat betting

646
00:29:52,799 --> 00:29:55,319
two percent. I'll be honest, guys, I've upped how much

647
00:29:55,400 --> 00:29:58,240
I bet per play. I'm at about three percent. If

648
00:29:58,240 --> 00:30:01,240
that's too much for you, I get it. But that's

649
00:30:01,240 --> 00:30:04,119
what I've been experimenting with and it's worked really, really well.

650
00:30:04,680 --> 00:30:07,880
You can see golf went great. Dan comes through in

651
00:30:07,920 --> 00:30:10,640
the clutch with a two and zero sweep in lacrosse

652
00:30:11,279 --> 00:30:14,160
Crossport parlay with one to zero, and Mma was the

653
00:30:14,160 --> 00:30:17,960
big loser this week two and three, and Kevin Holland

654
00:30:18,079 --> 00:30:20,920
just Kevin Allen and Dakota Ditscheva. Turns out there were

655
00:30:20,920 --> 00:30:23,319
things going on outside the octagon that we just did

656
00:30:23,319 --> 00:30:25,319
not know about, and that is a real bummer. So

657
00:30:26,440 --> 00:30:29,440
we talk about I have three different parts of really

658
00:30:29,440 --> 00:30:32,640
my investments. I've got Crypto, I'm holding strong on XRP

659
00:30:32,880 --> 00:30:35,160
and Bitcoin. I'm actually hoping for a little bit of

660
00:30:35,200 --> 00:30:37,480
a dip on XRP so I can get back in,

661
00:30:37,519 --> 00:30:39,559
but right now we're holding. And then most of my

662
00:30:39,599 --> 00:30:42,400
investments are in Nvidia and Pallentteer. We're holding those. Again,

663
00:30:42,440 --> 00:30:44,559
I am not a financial advisor. I am just a

664
00:30:44,680 --> 00:30:48,440
dude talking on the internet. But I'm waiting for some

665
00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:50,920
more dips in the stock market to buy. Now's not

666
00:30:50,960 --> 00:30:53,200
a time to buy. Now's the time to just enjoy

667
00:30:53,200 --> 00:30:55,400
the profits that are coming in. As far as sports betting,

668
00:30:56,200 --> 00:30:59,319
I'm really loving the lower volume. We can keep adding

669
00:30:59,359 --> 00:31:02,079
these four percent and five percents each week. It's gonna

670
00:31:02,079 --> 00:31:04,240
be really really exciting what this bankroll is going to

671
00:31:04,279 --> 00:31:06,400
look like at the end of six months. So if

672
00:31:06,400 --> 00:31:10,039
you're interested in seven days, I gotta be honest, this

673
00:31:10,119 --> 00:31:12,279
low volume, this works out really well for you guys

674
00:31:12,319 --> 00:31:16,440
because on days that we don't have plays, we pass

675
00:31:16,559 --> 00:31:19,559
and you get that day added on. So, like I

676
00:31:19,599 --> 00:31:21,119
was looking at our plays, I think we only had

677
00:31:21,160 --> 00:31:25,079
plays on three days last week. So seven day pass,

678
00:31:25,400 --> 00:31:27,759
you get three days of profit this weekend, then you

679
00:31:27,839 --> 00:31:29,960
move on to the next. But we do have another

680
00:31:30,000 --> 00:31:32,440
special that's going on. It is for a little bit

681
00:31:32,440 --> 00:31:35,880
more long term. If you get the month of August

682
00:31:36,599 --> 00:31:39,200
and it starts today, you get the rest of July

683
00:31:39,319 --> 00:31:43,480
for free. So we're looking at eleven days, ten days

684
00:31:43,519 --> 00:31:47,079
still to go in July. Those are free, so you

685
00:31:47,160 --> 00:31:50,160
jump on board. Now pick your handicapper. You get it

686
00:31:50,160 --> 00:31:52,160
for two ninety nine, and then you get the rest

687
00:31:52,160 --> 00:31:54,119
of July for free. So if you're interested in jumping

688
00:31:54,160 --> 00:31:59,119
in and getting some of these specials early college football lines,

689
00:31:59,119 --> 00:32:02,240
in these NFL lines, these futures start now, that way,

690
00:32:02,279 --> 00:32:04,519
you get the rest of July for free. So get August.

691
00:32:04,599 --> 00:32:06,559
It's it's it's heating up at wager talk. We are

692
00:32:06,599 --> 00:32:08,839
getting ready for some of these sports that are getting

693
00:32:08,880 --> 00:32:10,920
ready to kick off, and you can take advantage with

694
00:32:10,960 --> 00:32:13,400
get August and get the rest of July free. It's

695
00:32:13,440 --> 00:32:17,039
one hundred and ninety eight dollars bonus value, so take

696
00:32:17,039 --> 00:32:19,559
advantage of that. We run these specials all summer long.

697
00:32:20,319 --> 00:32:22,680
So looking forward to having a good rest of the

698
00:32:22,720 --> 00:32:26,160
month in July and an even better August. All right,

699
00:32:26,240 --> 00:32:28,079
let's bring in Dan.

700
00:32:29,880 --> 00:32:30,079
Speaker 5: Dan.

701
00:32:31,200 --> 00:32:35,079
Speaker 1: First off, I'm starting my fast tomorrow evening. So if

702
00:32:35,079 --> 00:32:36,799
you all, we talked about it last week, so if

703
00:32:36,799 --> 00:32:38,839
you all want to join them starting by tomorrow evening

704
00:32:39,039 --> 00:32:41,039
you were flying back to the East coast, you ain't

705
00:32:41,079 --> 00:32:41,759
doing it fast.

706
00:32:41,960 --> 00:32:45,279
Speaker 7: No fast for me. I get to indulge in all

707
00:32:45,279 --> 00:32:49,359
of my favorite East Coast treats, so getting some pizza, cheese, steaks,

708
00:32:49,359 --> 00:32:51,440
all that. So no, I'll be I'll be basically doing

709
00:32:51,440 --> 00:32:55,119
the anti fast and the anything that you lose I

710
00:32:55,200 --> 00:32:57,799
am sure to find on the East Coast.

711
00:32:57,839 --> 00:32:59,039
Speaker 1: But don't don't fret.

712
00:32:59,079 --> 00:33:01,640
Speaker 7: I will still be here with you, scheering you on

713
00:33:01,799 --> 00:33:06,200
along the way, producing the show. So I got your back, Andy,

714
00:33:06,240 --> 00:33:08,240
I just I can't ride with you on this one.

715
00:33:08,319 --> 00:33:09,000
Speaker 2: Unfortunately.

716
00:33:09,039 --> 00:33:12,000
Speaker 1: Maybe maybe take pictures, take pictures of the show and

717
00:33:12,119 --> 00:33:15,200
torture you show them to me live so it hurts

718
00:33:15,200 --> 00:33:17,559
a little bit worse. Yeah, absolutely, I wanted to get

719
00:33:17,599 --> 00:33:19,839
your thoughts on this. It was at the fresh market

720
00:33:19,920 --> 00:33:25,119
yesterday and I got mushroom infused honey. Mushroom infused honey

721
00:33:25,599 --> 00:33:28,799
h mushroom accused or yeah, it's supposed to be the

722
00:33:28,799 --> 00:33:31,160
ones that make your mind a little bit more clear.

723
00:33:32,359 --> 00:33:35,880
The word to describe the taste is strong. Yeah, I

724
00:33:35,920 --> 00:33:38,200
don't know, bit good.

725
00:33:38,680 --> 00:33:42,680
Speaker 7: I'm all for, you know, mixing the sweet with the savory.

726
00:33:43,119 --> 00:33:46,039
I'm just not sure of the umami like flavors that

727
00:33:46,119 --> 00:33:49,839
you would be getting from a mushroom infused honey. Like

728
00:33:49,880 --> 00:33:51,319
I just got to be like a you take a

729
00:33:51,359 --> 00:33:53,319
shot of it and just you know, like like when

730
00:33:53,319 --> 00:33:55,079
you do a shot of like apple cider vinegar.

731
00:33:55,160 --> 00:33:57,680
Speaker 2: You just get it down. You move on about your day.

732
00:33:57,759 --> 00:33:57,960
Speaker 5: Right.

733
00:33:58,759 --> 00:34:02,000
Speaker 1: Yeah. So I hot water and cayenne pepper and lemon

734
00:34:02,000 --> 00:34:04,359
and honey all day long. That's like my drink.

735
00:34:04,119 --> 00:34:06,880
Speaker 7: Of Oh so you're used to disgusting stuff, so that

736
00:34:06,880 --> 00:34:07,599
that's your use.

737
00:34:08,519 --> 00:34:11,960
Speaker 1: It's divine, it's divine. But I went a little too

738
00:34:12,039 --> 00:34:13,840
hard on this. I put a little bit too much in.

739
00:34:14,199 --> 00:34:16,679
It was like, whoa, that's a little strong. All right,

740
00:34:16,800 --> 00:34:21,280
let's uhjave. Yeah, it's lion Maine, Lion Maine mushroom. See, damn,

741
00:34:21,280 --> 00:34:25,639
people know about this. I'm late to the parting. Yes, yes,

742
00:34:25,719 --> 00:34:30,360
absolutely so all right, let's talk our next NFL season

743
00:34:30,400 --> 00:34:33,440
win total. We're going down to the Bayou. We're going

744
00:34:33,480 --> 00:34:39,760
down to the cap hell riddled New New Orleans Saints. Uh,

745
00:34:39,840 --> 00:34:42,760
this was rough. I gotta be honest. I I thought

746
00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:45,000
Cleveland's research was gonna be rough. I thought I knew

747
00:34:45,000 --> 00:34:47,800
the Giants was gonna be rough. This one might, this

748
00:34:47,840 --> 00:34:49,880
one might top them all. So the New Orleans Saints

749
00:34:49,920 --> 00:34:53,079
season win total is set at five and a half.

750
00:34:54,519 --> 00:34:57,840
I want to read you what Pro Football Focus ranks

751
00:34:57,880 --> 00:35:01,679
their units. Okay, what do they say in the NFL?

752
00:35:01,679 --> 00:35:03,280
You gotta have a good quarterback and you gotta make

753
00:35:03,280 --> 00:35:08,400
the other team's quarterback uncomfortable. Okay, their quarterback situation is

754
00:35:08,480 --> 00:35:11,920
ranked last and their defensive line is ranked last. Yep,

755
00:35:12,119 --> 00:35:15,039
not off to a great start. Offensive line? Are they good?

756
00:35:15,159 --> 00:35:15,239
Speaker 5: No?

757
00:35:15,400 --> 00:35:18,960
Speaker 1: Twenty second? Running backs? Well, you got Kamars turning thirty.

758
00:35:19,360 --> 00:35:22,880
They ranked twenty first. Wide receivers are twenty third with

759
00:35:23,039 --> 00:35:28,000
the healthy Olave who's coming off of multiple concussions, and

760
00:35:28,039 --> 00:35:32,119
then the twentieth in the secondary. They're off season. They

761
00:35:32,159 --> 00:35:34,559
have no cap space, so they just signed some guys

762
00:35:34,599 --> 00:35:37,320
to some one year deals. They did cite Chase Young

763
00:35:37,840 --> 00:35:41,119
to three years, and then their quarterback retires. This is

764
00:35:41,159 --> 00:35:44,000
a rough one. What did you take away when looking

765
00:35:44,039 --> 00:35:44,639
up the Saints?

766
00:35:46,480 --> 00:35:50,280
Speaker 7: Wolf is the takeaway when looking at the New Orleans Saints.

767
00:35:50,320 --> 00:35:50,920
I mean, you laid it out.

768
00:35:50,920 --> 00:35:51,360
Speaker 2: They're perfect.

769
00:35:51,400 --> 00:35:53,039
Speaker 1: One thing I will say, I'm not one of the.

770
00:35:52,960 --> 00:35:55,599
Speaker 7: People who like worships at the altar of PFF because

771
00:35:55,800 --> 00:35:59,039
I do think, you know, maybe they're waiting a little

772
00:35:59,079 --> 00:36:01,159
bit too much of what we saw last year, because

773
00:36:01,159 --> 00:36:03,599
I think the offensive line is a little bit better

774
00:36:03,639 --> 00:36:07,800
than ranking them twenty second, you know, so there is

775
00:36:07,840 --> 00:36:09,199
something to improve upon there.

776
00:36:09,559 --> 00:36:11,880
Speaker 2: But as far as defense is concerned.

777
00:36:11,719 --> 00:36:15,119
Speaker 7: Not only are they old, not only are they kind

778
00:36:15,119 --> 00:36:19,159
of run down, they're also having a complete schematic change

779
00:36:19,199 --> 00:36:21,440
heading into this year. Andy, They're going now to a

780
00:36:21,559 --> 00:36:24,239
three four defense, So the onus is going to be

781
00:36:24,320 --> 00:36:26,599
on the linebackers a little bit more. And you know,

782
00:36:26,639 --> 00:36:30,719
your your best defensive player is probably a Cam Jordan

783
00:36:30,760 --> 00:36:33,119
who should probably be heading to a retirement home soon.

784
00:36:33,239 --> 00:36:35,840
Right Like, there's not much tread left on the tires

785
00:36:36,199 --> 00:36:40,559
of this New Orleans Saints defense. And that's what concerns me. Yes, uh,

786
00:36:40,960 --> 00:36:45,400
for Tony or fat One, if you will, you're twenty

787
00:36:45,519 --> 00:36:47,599
of Cam Jordan incoming here.

788
00:36:48,159 --> 00:36:49,840
Speaker 2: Here's the thing to be excited about.

789
00:36:49,920 --> 00:36:51,519
Speaker 7: I guess, Andy, if if you want me to play

790
00:36:51,519 --> 00:36:54,840
a little Devil's add again year for the New Orleans

791
00:36:54,880 --> 00:36:58,159
Saints is you do have Kellen Moore coming to town,

792
00:36:58,480 --> 00:37:03,239
who notoriously works terrific with quarterbacks. However, when you look

793
00:37:03,280 --> 00:37:06,400
at the track record with quarterbacks, all of the quarterbacks

794
00:37:06,400 --> 00:37:10,000
that he worked with, Andy were at least talented before

795
00:37:10,079 --> 00:37:13,480
he got there. You got to work with Justin Herbert

796
00:37:13,599 --> 00:37:16,599
Dak Prescott and wins a Super Bowl last year with

797
00:37:16,719 --> 00:37:22,000
Jalen Hurts. Now he gets to work with Tyler Show,

798
00:37:22,199 --> 00:37:26,840
he gets to work with Spencer Rattler and Jake Hayner. Yeah,

799
00:37:26,840 --> 00:37:29,480
I'm not sure if I'm so excited for Kellen Moore,

800
00:37:29,519 --> 00:37:31,639
But Kellan probably wouldn't have taken the job if he

801
00:37:31,639 --> 00:37:34,000
didn't at least think he could build something here. Right,

802
00:37:34,400 --> 00:37:36,519
I don't think Rome will be built in a day.

803
00:37:37,079 --> 00:37:39,239
There's no way you can talk me into betting over

804
00:37:39,320 --> 00:37:41,800
on the New Orleans Saints. That's where it ends for me.

805
00:37:42,159 --> 00:37:45,079
You know, if you Saints fans need something to feel

806
00:37:45,119 --> 00:37:47,519
a little bit optimistic about, you have one of the

807
00:37:47,599 --> 00:37:50,119
easiest schedules in the NFL as far as strength the

808
00:37:50,159 --> 00:37:53,760
schedule goes. Your three out of division opponents are super easy.

809
00:37:53,760 --> 00:37:55,559
You could stack some wins at the back end of

810
00:37:55,599 --> 00:37:59,000
the season. But I just don't think year one, new

811
00:37:59,079 --> 00:38:02,440
head coach, new defensive schematics, at least to start the year,

812
00:38:02,800 --> 00:38:04,920
it's gonna be pretty rough for this team. Sure they

813
00:38:04,960 --> 00:38:07,199
could turn around, Sure they can find some building blocks

814
00:38:07,199 --> 00:38:09,679
to build on towards the end of the season, but

815
00:38:09,760 --> 00:38:11,840
I think it might be too late to find six

816
00:38:11,920 --> 00:38:13,960
wins here on the schedule for the New Orleans Saints.

817
00:38:14,039 --> 00:38:16,119
So for me it will be under. They'll win two

818
00:38:16,119 --> 00:38:18,519
big games, then flop eric yeah, like they did last

819
00:38:18,559 --> 00:38:20,440
year they were.

820
00:38:21,920 --> 00:38:26,000
Speaker 1: To start the year and then uh, big means any

821
00:38:26,559 --> 00:38:27,320
any big.

822
00:38:27,320 --> 00:38:30,440
Speaker 7: Big, big means any. Yeah, under five and a half

823
00:38:30,440 --> 00:38:33,440
for me. For the New Orleans Saints, I think better

824
00:38:33,519 --> 00:38:35,639
days are to come. I just don't think they're going

825
00:38:35,719 --> 00:38:37,159
to be coming in the first you know, two three

826
00:38:37,159 --> 00:38:39,559
months of the season. Uh.

827
00:38:39,960 --> 00:38:42,880
Speaker 1: Their their their schedule is all dependent on how can

828
00:38:42,880 --> 00:38:45,920
they finish strong because they start off with a lot

829
00:38:45,960 --> 00:38:49,639
of l's the Cardinals, the forty nine Ers at Seahawks,

830
00:38:49,679 --> 00:38:54,920
at Bills, Okay, home Giants, potential the Patriots at Bears,

831
00:38:54,960 --> 00:38:59,440
Bucks at Rams, at Panthers, by here's where, here's where,

832
00:38:59,440 --> 00:39:01,920
here's where you can rip off some wins home Falcons,

833
00:39:01,960 --> 00:39:04,719
I'm not sure about that at Dolphins. If the Dolphins

834
00:39:04,719 --> 00:39:10,119
have imploded at that point, that could be a disastrous situations.

835
00:39:10,320 --> 00:39:12,880
No way, home to Panthers. I think the Panthers are

836
00:39:12,960 --> 00:39:15,480
much better this year. But then you got home Jets.

837
00:39:15,519 --> 00:39:17,199
Do we know what the Jets are gonna be? And

838
00:39:17,239 --> 00:39:20,079
then at Titans and at Falcons, and if that game

839
00:39:20,159 --> 00:39:24,800
is meaningless for Atlanta, you could have some. But I

840
00:39:24,840 --> 00:39:27,840
think the marial on this team could be a little

841
00:39:27,920 --> 00:39:32,320
rough to start the year. And Tyler Show is a

842
00:39:32,360 --> 00:39:37,840
few weeks older than Trevor Lawrence, which is just like,

843
00:39:37,960 --> 00:39:40,920
it doesn't it doesn't, it does, doesn't sound right. I'm

844
00:39:40,960 --> 00:39:43,199
with you. I think this could be the worst team

845
00:39:43,519 --> 00:39:45,199
in the league. I I yeah, they're gonna be.

846
00:39:45,199 --> 00:39:45,679
Speaker 2: They're gonna be.

847
00:39:45,840 --> 00:39:48,400
Speaker 7: Honestly, I think a cool way to maybe bet this

848
00:39:48,480 --> 00:39:51,440
team is take them to be the final winless team.

849
00:39:51,920 --> 00:39:54,599
I think because you mentioned it there, the schedule to

850
00:39:54,719 --> 00:39:58,199
start is pretty brutal. So when you compare this team

851
00:39:58,239 --> 00:40:00,239
to other teams out of the gate, yeah there's teams

852
00:40:00,239 --> 00:40:03,760
who might stumble out, but new head coach, new defensive schematics,

853
00:40:03,800 --> 00:40:08,199
like the reasoning lines up, and the schedule lines up,

854
00:40:08,239 --> 00:40:10,719
even with an easier schedule padded towards the back end,

855
00:40:10,960 --> 00:40:13,760
for this to be the final team to be winless,

856
00:40:13,760 --> 00:40:16,000
I don't think they go oh in sixteen oh and seventeen,

857
00:40:16,360 --> 00:40:18,360
but I do think this could be a team. If

858
00:40:18,400 --> 00:40:20,320
you want a plus money way to bet this team,

859
00:40:20,639 --> 00:40:23,400
take them as the final team to be to be

860
00:40:23,480 --> 00:40:26,079
winless through this season, and if you want to know

861
00:40:26,119 --> 00:40:27,719
what the NFL thinks about and this is one of

862
00:40:27,760 --> 00:40:31,079
the only teams who doesn't have a single primetime game,

863
00:40:31,320 --> 00:40:33,199
so we will not be subjected to seeing the New

864
00:40:33,320 --> 00:40:34,360
Orleans Saints.

865
00:40:34,039 --> 00:40:37,519
Speaker 2: A single time in primetime this year.

866
00:40:37,559 --> 00:40:39,880
Speaker 7: So that tells you what the NFL thinks about the

867
00:40:39,920 --> 00:40:42,159
prospects here of the New Orleans Saints.

868
00:40:43,320 --> 00:40:45,960
Speaker 1: The sneaky thing to do with them, believe it or not,

869
00:40:46,079 --> 00:40:49,320
We're going to track the in season win totals. If

870
00:40:49,320 --> 00:40:51,599
they get off to a horrific start, would they get

871
00:40:51,599 --> 00:40:54,000
to that bye week? If they if they have their

872
00:40:54,039 --> 00:40:56,639
win total like three and a half or two, like

873
00:40:56,719 --> 00:41:01,039
just half, sticulously low, you could look at they're gonna be.

874
00:41:01,079 --> 00:41:03,159
Speaker 7: There's three wins on the back end of that season,

875
00:41:03,199 --> 00:41:03,679
for sure.

876
00:41:04,199 --> 00:41:07,440
Speaker 1: I agree, I agree, you know, but pre flop it's

877
00:41:07,480 --> 00:41:12,360
definitely an under under one on this one. So all right,

878
00:41:12,400 --> 00:41:16,920
thanks for joining us. We're we're we're treading lightly today

879
00:41:17,000 --> 00:41:19,159
with baseball, so be careful with some of those lines

880
00:41:19,159 --> 00:41:21,760
out there. There's still some really good spots though, But

881
00:41:21,800 --> 00:41:24,800
take advantage of this August special. You get August and

882
00:41:24,840 --> 00:41:26,800
you get the rest of July. It's the best special

883
00:41:26,840 --> 00:41:28,559
that we got that is sit wide. Go to the

884
00:41:28,559 --> 00:41:30,800
deal's page and check that out. Hit the like button,

885
00:41:30,880 --> 00:41:32,679
leave us a comment, tell us who you like in

886
00:41:32,760 --> 00:41:37,639
today's baseball games. We'll start doing some more swag giveaways

887
00:41:37,920 --> 00:41:39,440
here coming up soon. We got to do some more

888
00:41:39,519 --> 00:41:42,480
guests the scores later on in this week, So thanks

889
00:41:42,480 --> 00:41:44,280
for joining us. Good luck on all your plays. We'll

890
00:41:44,280 --> 00:41:46,599
see you tomorrow for five dollars Tuesday. Take care