1
00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:00,240
Speaker 1: One.

2
00:00:01,000 --> 00:00:04,879
Speaker 2: You're a lot loaded show, loaded show for this Friday, September,

3
00:00:04,919 --> 00:00:07,240
the twenty sixth Wager Talk Today, we are live at

4
00:00:07,320 --> 00:00:10,480
noon Eastern Archive twenty four to seven afterwards for your

5
00:00:10,560 --> 00:00:12,640
view and pleasure. I am Steve Merrill, filled in for

6
00:00:12,679 --> 00:00:15,320
Andy Lang. Don't you worry. He'll be back on Monday,

7
00:00:15,359 --> 00:00:16,960
but it'll also be here Sunday, I believe for end

8
00:00:17,039 --> 00:00:18,920
zone line, unless he's going to the fourth round of

9
00:00:18,920 --> 00:00:21,399
the golf tournament. So maybe I spoke a little prematurely,

10
00:00:21,440 --> 00:00:23,160
but nonetheless, I will be running the ship today and

11
00:00:23,199 --> 00:00:26,039
we've got a great show on Friday, NFL heavy as

12
00:00:26,079 --> 00:00:28,440
Friday should be as we head into this great weekend

13
00:00:28,440 --> 00:00:30,519
of college and pro football. Going to start off with

14
00:00:30,600 --> 00:00:34,679
Yannie the Greek with the Steam Report, Teddy Covers, Marco DiAngelo,

15
00:00:35,159 --> 00:00:37,399
Kelly Stewart. What a great show, let's get right to

16
00:00:37,479 --> 00:00:39,920
it and Yannie two days in a row. What a treat,

17
00:00:39,960 --> 00:00:42,640
What a pleasure. We broke the news yesterday that your

18
00:00:42,679 --> 00:00:45,880
steam room will be free on Sunday. Just a reminder.

19
00:00:45,880 --> 00:00:47,479
We'll talk a little bit more about the details for

20
00:00:47,479 --> 00:00:48,679
that in a moment, but I want to get to

21
00:00:48,759 --> 00:00:50,039
what's the steam report for Friday.

22
00:00:50,560 --> 00:00:52,799
Speaker 3: Indeed, yeah, real slow so far.

23
00:00:53,439 --> 00:00:56,759
Speaker 1: Major League Baseball just two dogs got bat at Detroit

24
00:00:56,920 --> 00:01:01,200
plus one ten and Minnesota plus one forty even been

25
00:01:01,240 --> 00:01:03,479
slow so far as looking.

26
00:01:03,200 --> 00:01:06,239
Speaker 3: Into the weekend college football and NFL.

27
00:01:06,400 --> 00:01:09,959
Speaker 1: Yesterday we saw a lot of the college football totals

28
00:01:10,040 --> 00:01:14,519
get hit that usually happens on Thursday. Later tonight, with

29
00:01:14,760 --> 00:01:19,680
all of the NFL injury reports being looked over with

30
00:01:19,719 --> 00:01:23,239
a fine tooth comb, you'll start seeing some NFL movement

31
00:01:23,359 --> 00:01:26,159
over the next twenty four hours. But it isn't until Sunday,

32
00:01:26,439 --> 00:01:29,120
when we get a lot of the public money weighing

33
00:01:29,319 --> 00:01:33,840
in and forcing the books to adjust to limit some

34
00:01:33,920 --> 00:01:36,840
of the risks, that will see some of the bigger movements. Now,

35
00:01:36,879 --> 00:01:40,920
we do have some primetime action tonight. I already fire

36
00:01:41,599 --> 00:01:45,200
two premium plays two subscribers, both four percent best bets

37
00:01:45,239 --> 00:01:48,879
on Tonight's college football currently number one in college football

38
00:01:48,879 --> 00:01:51,439
in twenty twenty five, coming off a loser last night,

39
00:01:51,519 --> 00:01:54,400
with Arizona Man still number one over the last thirty

40
00:01:54,439 --> 00:01:55,280
days in profit.

41
00:01:55,599 --> 00:01:58,920
Speaker 3: That one burned got to push on the total.

42
00:02:00,200 --> 00:02:02,519
Speaker 1: Stung a little bit because I thought we were gonna

43
00:02:02,519 --> 00:02:05,159
catch that one, all right. So here's what we got

44
00:02:05,159 --> 00:02:10,000
looking at tonight's college football one sided actually on Florida

45
00:02:10,000 --> 00:02:12,800
State and Virginia. A lot of Florida State money, a

46
00:02:12,840 --> 00:02:16,280
lot of over money as well. Florida State teased with

47
00:02:16,400 --> 00:02:20,000
the over Florida State parlayed with the over Florida State

48
00:02:20,120 --> 00:02:23,719
money line, Florida State teased into other games, so there's

49
00:02:23,759 --> 00:02:25,560
a lot of risk on Florida State.

50
00:02:25,680 --> 00:02:30,159
Speaker 3: I'm surprised it's not painted seven all across the board.

51
00:02:30,280 --> 00:02:33,919
Speaker 1: In fact, earlier this morning it did get painted across

52
00:02:33,960 --> 00:02:37,599
at sevens. So obviously someone bet Florida State that got

53
00:02:37,639 --> 00:02:41,879
some respect, but then immediately came back down the six

54
00:02:41,919 --> 00:02:45,080
and a half. So obviously you're seeing some sharp money

55
00:02:45,120 --> 00:02:47,120
grabbing the sevens at even money.

56
00:02:47,159 --> 00:02:49,240
Speaker 3: It looks like on Virginia.

57
00:02:49,879 --> 00:02:51,840
Speaker 1: So the books, I think, no, if they go to seven,

58
00:02:52,560 --> 00:02:54,639
put it at even money, juice to big to the

59
00:02:54,680 --> 00:02:58,080
minus seven, they'll probably get some love.

60
00:02:58,280 --> 00:02:59,520
Speaker 3: On the Virginia side.

61
00:02:59,599 --> 00:03:02,840
Speaker 1: Arizona to State TCU, this is one of those dogs

62
00:03:02,840 --> 00:03:05,159
that are getting love by the betting public.

63
00:03:05,800 --> 00:03:07,599
Speaker 3: TCU being teased up.

64
00:03:07,800 --> 00:03:10,319
Speaker 1: I don't know why they're using them in teasers, but

65
00:03:10,400 --> 00:03:13,639
they are taking them up to like plus nine. I

66
00:03:13,680 --> 00:03:16,199
see them in seven point teasers up the plus ten.

67
00:03:16,280 --> 00:03:19,840
I guess it sounds safe, but they're taking TCU, they're

68
00:03:19,840 --> 00:03:23,520
taking TCU moneyline. They're also betting that game over. But

69
00:03:23,599 --> 00:03:26,599
as you can see, Steam came in on the under.

70
00:03:26,599 --> 00:03:28,759
As soon as that over came out at fifty six

71
00:03:28,840 --> 00:03:31,240
and a half, you saw some under money come in.

72
00:03:32,039 --> 00:03:35,599
And then finally the last game Houston, Oregon State all

73
00:03:35,680 --> 00:03:39,879
one sided. Surprise, that's not at fourteen yet, and it'll

74
00:03:39,919 --> 00:03:42,639
be interesting watch that odds logic screening here at least

75
00:03:42,639 --> 00:03:45,439
the way you're talking odd screen to see if it

76
00:03:45,479 --> 00:03:48,080
gets to fourteen doesn't get bit because I haven't seen

77
00:03:48,120 --> 00:03:50,759
it yet at my sharp bounds, I've seen thirteen and

78
00:03:50,800 --> 00:03:53,719
a half, I've seen thirteen and a half minus one fifteen,

79
00:03:54,080 --> 00:03:57,800
but I haven't seen fourteen's yet. It'll be interesting to

80
00:03:57,800 --> 00:04:01,199
see what happens there. And no surprise that game's also

81
00:04:01,280 --> 00:04:04,479
getting bet over by the recreational betters. But you did

82
00:04:04,520 --> 00:04:07,199
see some sharp money coming under of the opener at

83
00:04:07,240 --> 00:04:09,000
forty eight and a half, but there hasn't been any

84
00:04:09,039 --> 00:04:11,000
follow through on that one.

85
00:04:11,479 --> 00:04:13,280
Speaker 3: So again, just to.

86
00:04:12,960 --> 00:04:19,839
Speaker 1: Reiterate one signed public money on Florida State, TCU and Arizona.

87
00:04:20,040 --> 00:04:23,360
I mean in Houston and all three overs by the

88
00:04:23,360 --> 00:04:27,199
betting public. Whyse guys seem to like the under in

89
00:04:27,360 --> 00:04:32,360
Arizona State under in Houston as well, And it looks

90
00:04:32,399 --> 00:04:36,680
like they're picking off any sevens on Virginia at even

91
00:04:36,759 --> 00:04:37,480
money or better.

92
00:04:38,240 --> 00:04:40,439
Speaker 2: Yeah. I mean, all three games tonight are standing on

93
00:04:40,519 --> 00:04:42,759
key numbers. And we touched on this a little yesterday

94
00:04:42,759 --> 00:04:44,680
six and a half seven on the Florida State game.

95
00:04:44,759 --> 00:04:46,560
Like you said, Arizona State's gone from two and a

96
00:04:46,560 --> 00:04:49,360
half to three, and then as you said, Houston thirteen

97
00:04:49,360 --> 00:04:51,879
and a half hasn't moved all week. Hard to like

98
00:04:51,959 --> 00:04:53,879
Oregon State. They've been about as ugly as any team

99
00:04:53,920 --> 00:04:55,800
in college football, yet that mine has not hit that

100
00:04:55,879 --> 00:04:58,439
key number of fourteen. Yeah, I gotta ask you two

101
00:04:58,439 --> 00:05:01,040
about last night. I mean, once again, an NFL game

102
00:05:01,079 --> 00:05:04,120
comes right down to the number Lands forty three. Had

103
00:05:04,160 --> 00:05:06,360
it gone to overtime, maybe at Lands forty six.

104
00:05:06,959 --> 00:05:07,079
Speaker 4: Uh.

105
00:05:07,120 --> 00:05:09,319
Speaker 2: The look aheadline the week earlier was actually forty six

106
00:05:09,319 --> 00:05:10,839
and a half, and then they opened it forty two

107
00:05:10,920 --> 00:05:12,439
and a half, forty three and a half. All around

108
00:05:12,439 --> 00:05:15,800
that range. These NFL lines we talked about teasers yesterday.

109
00:05:15,839 --> 00:05:18,040
Obviously the stronger the lines are they more accurate the

110
00:05:18,040 --> 00:05:21,160
better teasers are, But these NFL numbers are incredible. College

111
00:05:21,160 --> 00:05:23,279
football numbers, in my opinion, have been incredible. I've lost

112
00:05:23,360 --> 00:05:26,240
several games now by half a point this season in

113
00:05:26,279 --> 00:05:29,759
college football with four or five touchdown favorites. Have you

114
00:05:29,800 --> 00:05:31,240
noticed this as well. I mean, I know they get

115
00:05:31,279 --> 00:05:33,040
sharper every year, but they seem to be point on

116
00:05:33,079 --> 00:05:33,800
so far this year.

117
00:05:35,040 --> 00:05:38,199
Speaker 1: And I mean it just goes back to the simple

118
00:05:38,319 --> 00:05:42,800
rule of don't take bad numbers and have multiple outs

119
00:05:42,800 --> 00:05:45,319
to shop and if the number passes you by, let

120
00:05:45,319 --> 00:05:47,519
it go. Like if you don't have the power to

121
00:05:47,560 --> 00:05:49,920
move the market and bring the number back with ninety

122
00:05:50,000 --> 00:05:53,120
nine point nine nine percent of us, don't then let

123
00:05:53,160 --> 00:05:56,720
it go that. I mean, that's that's the bottom line.

124
00:05:57,079 --> 00:05:59,680
I've just tried to make it a rule not to

125
00:05:59,720 --> 00:06:02,480
take bad numbers because I got burned so many times

126
00:06:03,000 --> 00:06:05,439
because you think you're on the sharp side, but you're

127
00:06:05,480 --> 00:06:09,319
not if you're on it at a bad number. And

128
00:06:09,360 --> 00:06:11,759
that was the case. You know in the NFL, where

129
00:06:11,759 --> 00:06:13,839
the margins are so slim. I talk about it all

130
00:06:13,879 --> 00:06:18,000
the time. You see a one point line movement and

131
00:06:18,160 --> 00:06:20,240
sharp money ends up on both sides of the game,

132
00:06:20,480 --> 00:06:23,040
like the lines are that tight in the NFL, where

133
00:06:23,079 --> 00:06:25,879
it's not surprising when you know lines move one on

134
00:06:25,879 --> 00:06:27,480
one and a half point to see a difference of

135
00:06:27,519 --> 00:06:31,600
opinion from respected winning betters, because again the lines are

136
00:06:32,040 --> 00:06:35,600
that tight in the NFL, which also helps the teaser,

137
00:06:36,040 --> 00:06:39,079
which you touched on me and yesterday was a great example.

138
00:06:39,319 --> 00:06:42,600
I talked about that, and fortunately I have an Arizona

139
00:06:42,639 --> 00:06:47,439
teaser that's still live, and that's exactly a perfect situation

140
00:06:47,560 --> 00:06:50,199
to use it in. When you got the NFL and

141
00:06:50,240 --> 00:06:53,519
you got lines that are a market that's efficient, that's

142
00:06:53,560 --> 00:06:55,120
exactly what you want for the teaser.

143
00:06:55,160 --> 00:06:57,360
Speaker 3: You want the game to land near the number. That's

144
00:06:57,360 --> 00:06:58,160
what you when.

145
00:06:58,000 --> 00:07:00,560
Speaker 1: You cast your teaser. Otherwise you don't need the extra points.

146
00:07:01,600 --> 00:07:03,680
So for me, you know that that ended up being

147
00:07:04,000 --> 00:07:06,600
a good result. But again it goes to show you

148
00:07:06,759 --> 00:07:09,160
so many of those games come down to that slim

149
00:07:09,199 --> 00:07:12,480
meest of margin. And not only is every half point matter,

150
00:07:12,800 --> 00:07:15,279
but we talk about it's the difference between being a

151
00:07:15,319 --> 00:07:17,879
winning better and a losing better. You go ten and ten,

152
00:07:18,240 --> 00:07:20,079
the juice is going to eat you up. You go

153
00:07:20,160 --> 00:07:22,720
eleven and nine. You can continue to make money over

154
00:07:22,759 --> 00:07:25,160
and over and over again. That's one game every twenty

155
00:07:25,759 --> 00:07:28,079
so that half a point could be the difference between

156
00:07:28,120 --> 00:07:31,040
being a winning better and a losing better every so often.

157
00:07:31,120 --> 00:07:34,839
It really does matter that much, and I can't stress

158
00:07:34,920 --> 00:07:38,199
it enough, especially in an age where people don't you

159
00:07:38,199 --> 00:07:40,480
know that the argument there's still arguing twenty twenty five

160
00:07:40,519 --> 00:07:44,480
whether SELB matters and you still have you know better's

161
00:07:44,519 --> 00:07:47,639
betting big numbers that are out there talking about you

162
00:07:47,680 --> 00:07:50,639
know it doesn't matter. CELB doesn't matter. Then the number

163
00:07:50,639 --> 00:07:52,920
doesn't matter. The only thing that matters is cashing a ticket.

164
00:07:52,959 --> 00:07:55,079
If the bet wins, it's a good bet. Like that

165
00:07:55,160 --> 00:07:57,879
kind of nonsense, And nothing could be further from the truth.

166
00:07:58,000 --> 00:08:02,560
So again, don't take bed numbers. Every half point matters,

167
00:08:02,920 --> 00:08:06,120
and if the number passes, you're buying it, didn't get down,

168
00:08:06,199 --> 00:08:07,680
let it go, wait for a better bet.

169
00:08:08,519 --> 00:08:10,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, and it depends on what type of better you are.

170
00:08:10,560 --> 00:08:12,399
If you're in Las Vegas for two days and you're

171
00:08:12,399 --> 00:08:14,920
making five total bets on the weekend, then it probably

172
00:08:14,959 --> 00:08:16,720
doesn't matter as much if you get a good bed number,

173
00:08:16,759 --> 00:08:19,040
because once again, just about cashing tickets. But if you're

174
00:08:19,040 --> 00:08:21,319
doing this daily, as all of us are, and all

175
00:08:21,319 --> 00:08:24,000
of our clients hopefully are it adds up. I love

176
00:08:24,040 --> 00:08:26,600
the analogy. One out of twenty bets. You know, that's

177
00:08:26,600 --> 00:08:28,279
all you need to cash. With that half point, you're

178
00:08:28,319 --> 00:08:30,759
gonna cover the big for several bets. And right now,

179
00:08:31,120 --> 00:08:33,039
Florida State just dropped a six and a half flat

180
00:08:33,080 --> 00:08:36,600
at Caesars, it's still seven five minus one fifteen the

181
00:08:36,639 --> 00:08:39,159
other way at like Westgate. I mean, these are major books.

182
00:08:39,200 --> 00:08:41,320
You could shop around by just having multiple counts right

183
00:08:41,320 --> 00:08:42,960
now and get either six and a half or seven

184
00:08:43,159 --> 00:08:45,360
depending on which side you like for Florida State Virginia.

185
00:08:45,559 --> 00:08:48,519
Very reasonable juice either way, and there's probably a four

186
00:08:48,519 --> 00:08:50,960
to five percent chance the seminoles went by exactly seven

187
00:08:51,000 --> 00:08:54,720
points tonight. Yeah, and free, free, It costs nothing to do.

188
00:08:54,720 --> 00:08:56,440
Speaker 3: That tonight right now.

189
00:08:56,480 --> 00:08:58,919
Speaker 1: If you like Florida State, if you bet Florida State

190
00:08:59,120 --> 00:09:02,080
and you have a minor seven ticket, you're doing it wrong,

191
00:09:02,320 --> 00:09:04,480
right And if you have Virginia and you have plus

192
00:09:04,519 --> 00:09:06,679
six and a half bet, you're doing it wrong.

193
00:09:07,840 --> 00:09:08,600
Speaker 3: I hope you win.

194
00:09:08,720 --> 00:09:11,080
Speaker 1: I hope you catch those bets, but I promise you

195
00:09:11,120 --> 00:09:15,600
that's a recipe for not long term success. Like that,

196
00:09:16,080 --> 00:09:18,320
you're not gonna win long term doing it that way,

197
00:09:19,360 --> 00:09:21,679
you don't want to be like when there's a better

198
00:09:21,759 --> 00:09:24,960
number of available out there, you want to have it.

199
00:09:25,039 --> 00:09:27,440
If you're not betting it, then you know again you're

200
00:09:27,440 --> 00:09:28,320
doing it the wrong way.

201
00:09:28,720 --> 00:09:30,399
Speaker 2: And one final thing I'll say about the late game

202
00:09:30,440 --> 00:09:32,559
that out of ten thirty Eastern Houston, Oregon State, it's

203
00:09:32,639 --> 00:09:35,159
hard for our novice better, for recreational better maybe to

204
00:09:35,200 --> 00:09:37,639
know which way the market's gonna move. But in this situation,

205
00:09:38,240 --> 00:09:40,320
don't try to guess. If you like Houston, you play

206
00:09:40,399 --> 00:09:43,080
the minus thirteen and a half. Now, if you like

207
00:09:43,159 --> 00:09:45,159
Oregon State, you wait and hope to maybe get a

208
00:09:45,159 --> 00:09:48,039
plus fourteen by kickoff in ten hours or so. And

209
00:09:48,080 --> 00:09:50,279
the reason I say that is because the risk reward

210
00:09:50,320 --> 00:09:52,759
going from thirteen to thirteen and a half is not

211
00:09:52,879 --> 00:09:54,840
as bad as going from thirteen and a half to fourteen,

212
00:09:54,879 --> 00:09:57,320
and vice versa with the dog. So that's the way

213
00:09:57,360 --> 00:09:59,240
I look at it. Do you agree, disagreement? It's another

214
00:09:59,279 --> 00:10:01,360
way to play if you're recreational player trying to get

215
00:10:01,360 --> 00:10:02,600
to get the better the numbers.

216
00:10:02,759 --> 00:10:05,799
Speaker 1: One hundred percent, that's great advice and something like you

217
00:10:05,799 --> 00:10:08,360
said that anybody can do. You know, you don't have

218
00:10:08,399 --> 00:10:10,320
to be a pro to do that and get a

219
00:10:10,360 --> 00:10:13,360
better number. I absolutely think that's something they people should

220
00:10:13,519 --> 00:10:14,519
use real quickly.

221
00:10:14,559 --> 00:10:15,480
Speaker 3: Because of Roger.

222
00:10:15,559 --> 00:10:17,840
Speaker 1: I got to address this because my man says Seahawks

223
00:10:17,840 --> 00:10:20,679
and under teaser was as good as goal. Please just

224
00:10:20,720 --> 00:10:23,879
because the bet wins doesn't make it a great bet.

225
00:10:24,240 --> 00:10:26,480
I'm just telling you this. I'm not talking from a

226
00:10:26,559 --> 00:10:33,639
level of authority. I'm talking as experience, from experience Mathematically,

227
00:10:33,720 --> 00:10:36,639
this isn't an opinion. This is just the math of it.

228
00:10:37,559 --> 00:10:40,080
Just because of a small sample size of twenty thirty

229
00:10:40,120 --> 00:10:44,279
bets looks profitable. If the math shows that it's a

230
00:10:44,440 --> 00:10:49,480
negative ev bet long term, after more and more bets, like,

231
00:10:49,559 --> 00:10:53,240
the end results already predetermined. What I'm trying to explain

232
00:10:53,320 --> 00:10:57,080
is if you're teasing NFL totals, you're already placing negative

233
00:10:57,120 --> 00:11:01,120
V bets, so regardless of your short term results, the

234
00:11:01,279 --> 00:11:04,559
end result is predetermined. Kind of like the casino with

235
00:11:04,679 --> 00:11:07,960
a slot machine, they know what they're going to take

236
00:11:07,960 --> 00:11:10,960
in before they pay out. The end result for the

237
00:11:10,960 --> 00:11:14,720
house is predetermined. They know their profit before they pay out.

238
00:11:15,200 --> 00:11:18,240
Even if the teaser is cashing over twenty thirty bets,

239
00:11:18,559 --> 00:11:22,080
I promise you over statistically significant sample size. You get

240
00:11:22,080 --> 00:11:25,840
into a couple hundred bets, it will no longer be profitable.

241
00:11:26,159 --> 00:11:30,440
That's why you just don't want to tease NFL teasers. Again,

242
00:11:30,919 --> 00:11:33,919
our job here is to try to educate, and most

243
00:11:33,919 --> 00:11:36,759
of the education comes from experiences and mistakes that I

244
00:11:36,879 --> 00:11:40,799
made myself and was taught by better sharper than me,

245
00:11:41,360 --> 00:11:44,399
And it's our job to pass that information along. So

246
00:11:44,559 --> 00:11:47,399
please don't ever take it as an insult, because it's

247
00:11:47,440 --> 00:11:50,279
not stuff that anybody should know unless somebody shares that

248
00:11:50,320 --> 00:11:54,399
with you. And I'm just telling you mathematically, teasing NFL

249
00:11:54,480 --> 00:11:58,440
totals is negative eb That means the house expects you

250
00:11:58,480 --> 00:12:02,159
to lose money, not getting the best of it if

251
00:12:02,159 --> 00:12:05,480
it's working for you cash tickets. But it's just not

252
00:12:05,960 --> 00:12:09,120
a good long term blueprint.

253
00:12:09,799 --> 00:12:11,720
Speaker 2: It's funny when you jumped on that. I was thinking

254
00:12:11,720 --> 00:12:13,559
the whole time. You don't want to tease the Seahawks,

255
00:12:13,559 --> 00:12:15,360
But you're right about the totals. You don't tease enough

256
00:12:15,440 --> 00:12:17,639
NFL totals. There's not enough key numbers. You're cross. You

257
00:12:17,639 --> 00:12:20,279
can maybe make an argument thirty six and a half

258
00:12:20,360 --> 00:12:22,039
up to forty two and a half or vice versa

259
00:12:22,080 --> 00:12:23,879
with thirty seven and forty one. But that was the

260
00:12:23,919 --> 00:12:26,200
old days. We don't see that any yes, and even

261
00:12:26,320 --> 00:12:29,679
then it technically probably wasn't good enough. And now we're

262
00:12:29,879 --> 00:12:31,720
not getting even money or minus one team and you're

263
00:12:31,759 --> 00:12:35,759
laying one twenty five. Yeah, but yeah, you also don't

264
00:12:35,759 --> 00:12:38,120
want to tease over zero with the Seahawks. Although last

265
00:12:38,200 --> 00:12:39,679
nights came out a chance of going to overtime and

266
00:12:39,720 --> 00:12:42,039
any of the tie, it's just there's too many dead numbers.

267
00:12:42,080 --> 00:12:43,840
What's a better bet is playing the under and playing

268
00:12:43,879 --> 00:12:45,919
the Seahawks separately, not having to win two plays to

269
00:12:45,960 --> 00:12:48,399
bake the ticket cash. By the way, if you missed

270
00:12:48,440 --> 00:12:50,799
yesterday's episode, Roger probably saw it. But if you missed it,

271
00:12:50,960 --> 00:12:52,919
we went a deep dive in the NFL teasers, Yanni

272
00:12:52,919 --> 00:12:56,279
and myself Steve Merrill so rewatched the Thursday, September twenty

273
00:12:56,279 --> 00:12:59,960
fifth episode after this for some great teaser info. And yeah,

274
00:13:00,000 --> 00:13:01,279
I gonna let you run. But we do have a

275
00:13:01,360 --> 00:13:03,320
question real quick about the UFC. When I wanted to

276
00:13:03,360 --> 00:13:06,159
get to a big fight this weekend, Jake was asking

277
00:13:06,200 --> 00:13:09,000
your thoughts on the USC for this Saturday.

278
00:13:09,320 --> 00:13:10,519
Speaker 3: Real quick main event.

279
00:13:10,600 --> 00:13:13,679
Speaker 1: I like Oldbert, He's got too much power for Reyes

280
00:13:13,759 --> 00:13:15,600
has three straight wins, but if you look at the

281
00:13:15,639 --> 00:13:18,759
level of competition, the only good one was that first

282
00:13:18,799 --> 00:13:21,080
one against Jacoby, where you know, he just landed a

283
00:13:21,080 --> 00:13:22,840
big punch and took got him out of there. So

284
00:13:23,039 --> 00:13:25,840
I like the favorite in the main event. And here's

285
00:13:26,159 --> 00:13:29,840
a reverse line movement that I see everybody betting this

286
00:13:30,039 --> 00:13:32,720
and I don't agree with it. Everybody's taking hold of

287
00:13:32,840 --> 00:13:37,159
that Kolbe thickness. He's uh Bokanovsky's training partner. He lost

288
00:13:37,200 --> 00:13:40,200
his debut to Tapuria's little brother. If you remember, he's

289
00:13:40,240 --> 00:13:41,679
going up against Musasa.

290
00:13:41,759 --> 00:13:42,000
Speaker 5: Dude.

291
00:13:42,080 --> 00:13:47,559
Speaker 1: Musasa lost his debut as a minus eight hundred favorite. Okay,

292
00:13:47,600 --> 00:13:52,120
he's very good. He's a very very good. He just

293
00:13:52,159 --> 00:13:54,039
got he got caught in the submission in the very

294
00:13:54,039 --> 00:13:57,000
first round. He opened in this fight as a minus

295
00:13:57,039 --> 00:13:59,559
three hundred favorite. That's where he should be around a

296
00:13:59,600 --> 00:14:02,320
minus three favor He's now down to minus one fifty

297
00:14:02,720 --> 00:14:06,080
because of the Alexander Bolkonowski connections with the thick knee

298
00:14:06,159 --> 00:14:08,759
side and people seeing Musasa getting subbed like that in the.

299
00:14:08,840 --> 00:14:09,559
Speaker 3: Very first round.

300
00:14:09,720 --> 00:14:11,399
Speaker 1: Trust me, this kid's a lot better than that. I

301
00:14:11,440 --> 00:14:15,000
remember him from the Contender series. Doing research on him.

302
00:14:15,240 --> 00:14:17,639
He wins this fight at minus one fifty is a gift.

303
00:14:18,000 --> 00:14:22,639
So there take Josias Musasa on Saturday, and like I said,

304
00:14:22,639 --> 00:14:25,440
in the main event, Oldberg knocks out Rays.

305
00:14:25,799 --> 00:14:28,080
Speaker 2: Love it little UFC from Yonny the Greek as well.

306
00:14:28,080 --> 00:14:30,879
And don't forget his steam room is free this Sunday.

307
00:14:31,159 --> 00:14:32,679
You will see him again tomorrow. By the way to

308
00:14:32,679 --> 00:14:35,440
the eleven am Eastern on Last Call Saturday. You'll see

309
00:14:35,480 --> 00:14:37,440
him again Sunday, I believe at eleven am Eastern on

310
00:14:37,559 --> 00:14:39,840
NFL Last Call. But then you got the steam room

311
00:14:39,879 --> 00:14:41,759
at noon Eastern Sunday. Tell us more about that. It's

312
00:14:41,759 --> 00:14:43,279
free for everybody this weeknd.

313
00:14:43,120 --> 00:14:46,639
Speaker 1: Now join us at noon Eastern. We're going to go

314
00:14:46,679 --> 00:14:49,600
through every NFL game. I'll share all the information I

315
00:14:49,639 --> 00:14:53,279
have signed totals props. We'll have live bets coming in

316
00:14:53,720 --> 00:14:58,000
as we go over money management, your date, results, the

317
00:14:58,080 --> 00:14:59,960
goal as we close out the end of the year,

318
00:15:00,399 --> 00:15:03,279
and hopefully we're coming off a huge college football Saturday.

319
00:15:03,320 --> 00:15:05,679
I love tomorrow's board. In fact, we're kicking it off

320
00:15:05,720 --> 00:15:08,039
the night. This week's to college football. There's two four

321
00:15:08,080 --> 00:15:11,279
percents in there for you subscribers already get down and

322
00:15:12,200 --> 00:15:13,320
let's have a big weekend.

323
00:15:13,360 --> 00:15:14,200
Speaker 5: You have see tomorrow.

324
00:15:14,240 --> 00:15:16,840
Speaker 1: I love that card. There's four to four percents already

325
00:15:16,919 --> 00:15:19,399
in there. It's a really really good card in Perth.

326
00:15:19,679 --> 00:15:22,519
Let's do some damage this weekend and just keep grinding.

327
00:15:23,159 --> 00:15:24,000
Thanks for having me, Steve.

328
00:15:24,039 --> 00:15:25,919
Speaker 2: Good luck to you, Johnny, good luck to you. It

329
00:15:25,960 --> 00:15:27,440
was great to see him, my man, and once again

330
00:15:27,440 --> 00:15:29,559
you can catch him tomorrow, Saturday and Sunday at eleven

331
00:15:29,600 --> 00:15:31,279
am Eastern. Here a Last Call. You can talk more

332
00:15:31,399 --> 00:15:33,679
UFC tomorrow because we do take the live questions in

333
00:15:33,720 --> 00:15:36,159
the chat on the Last Call shows during the weekend,

334
00:15:36,200 --> 00:15:37,919
so be sure to watch, and of course if you

335
00:15:37,919 --> 00:15:39,720
do miss a live episode, you can watch all these

336
00:15:39,759 --> 00:15:43,279
shows archive twenty four to seven. I referenced yesterday's Thursday

337
00:15:43,279 --> 00:15:46,039
wager Talk today September twenty fifth, check that out for

338
00:15:46,120 --> 00:15:48,399
a deep dot between Yanny and myself Steve Merrill on

339
00:15:48,519 --> 00:15:52,519
NFL teasers. It's must see TV. Lots of promos going

340
00:15:52,559 --> 00:15:54,320
on at wager Talk this weekend, but I also want

341
00:15:54,320 --> 00:15:55,840
to point out one of the sister sites which is

342
00:15:55,879 --> 00:15:59,600
near to the family, Picks and Parlays dot net. Grab

343
00:15:59,639 --> 00:16:03,039
it seven dollar best bets from all participating in handicappers

344
00:16:03,120 --> 00:16:06,879
this Friday right now Picks and Parlays dot net seven

345
00:16:06,960 --> 00:16:09,600
dollars best bets. I don't have a seven dollar bill,

346
00:16:09,639 --> 00:16:12,320
but you can imagine five dollars Tuesday. A blinkin plus

347
00:16:12,320 --> 00:16:14,720
a couple George Washington's gets you a strong best bet

348
00:16:15,159 --> 00:16:18,440
this Friday at picksandparlays dot net and then of course

349
00:16:18,480 --> 00:16:21,120
at wager talk dot com. Tons of special offers on many,

350
00:16:21,159 --> 00:16:22,519
too many to mention here on the show, So go

351
00:16:22,559 --> 00:16:25,039
to the website. Check out any cappers page you will

352
00:16:25,039 --> 00:16:26,879
see them. We have a one year all access, which

353
00:16:26,960 --> 00:16:29,200
is the best offer in my opinion, for just three

354
00:16:29,279 --> 00:16:31,480
dollars a day, all sports, all access, and you can

355
00:16:31,519 --> 00:16:34,679
mix and match cappers, get multiple cappers, no promo code,

356
00:16:34,679 --> 00:16:36,799
need it, and get best bets for three dollars a dance,

357
00:16:36,840 --> 00:16:38,960
about a dollar a play for the next full three

358
00:16:39,000 --> 00:16:41,200
hundred and sixty five days and nights. Check out all

359
00:16:41,200 --> 00:16:43,960
the special offers and all the daily free plays at

360
00:16:44,000 --> 00:16:46,720
wager talk dot com. All right, let's keep it rolling.

361
00:16:46,720 --> 00:16:48,840
We've got Kelly Stewart coming up, Marco D'Angel, but we

362
00:16:48,879 --> 00:16:51,159
got Teddy covers and Teddy I got to do a

363
00:16:51,159 --> 00:16:53,600
better job of watching these Friday episodes because I'm told

364
00:16:53,600 --> 00:16:55,559
there's a sauce pick of the week or something coming

365
00:16:55,600 --> 00:16:57,960
up from Marco. I've told you and I have to

366
00:16:58,000 --> 00:16:59,960
make two sides for NFL games, So you gotta walk

367
00:17:00,080 --> 00:17:01,600
me through this. You were the co host for years

368
00:17:01,639 --> 00:17:04,200
of this show. What's going on here on Fridays? Help

369
00:17:04,279 --> 00:17:04,599
me out?

370
00:17:05,279 --> 00:17:07,160
Speaker 6: So we're going to talk a little NFL, a little

371
00:17:07,200 --> 00:17:09,640
college football, and then we have this sell me segment where.

372
00:17:09,680 --> 00:17:11,359
Speaker 2: Okay, so I got time to prepare.

373
00:17:11,440 --> 00:17:13,960
Speaker 6: Still then well, the whole the whole concept is neither

374
00:17:13,960 --> 00:17:15,000
one of us prepares for it.

375
00:17:15,119 --> 00:17:17,359
Speaker 2: Dan picks the game and perfect.

376
00:17:18,519 --> 00:17:19,920
Speaker 6: You get to sign the side, and I get to

377
00:17:19,960 --> 00:17:21,519
sign the side, and we try to sell the other

378
00:17:21,519 --> 00:17:22,519
person on that side.

379
00:17:22,559 --> 00:17:24,960
Speaker 2: So how I like to roll, I don't prepare, So

380
00:17:25,000 --> 00:17:27,359
I'm good to go. What do you want to talk about? First?

381
00:17:28,640 --> 00:17:30,559
Speaker 6: Let's see wish one' know? What do I have up top?

382
00:17:30,640 --> 00:17:33,559
I have Eagles bucks first and mine's good.

383
00:17:34,440 --> 00:17:36,720
Speaker 2: Yeah. You know, Tampa's interesting to meet Teddy because they

384
00:17:36,720 --> 00:17:39,039
lost the coordinators. You know, Mayfield had a huge season

385
00:17:39,119 --> 00:17:42,759
last year. The Eagles coming off the Super Bowl. Really

386
00:17:42,759 --> 00:17:44,440
your take on both these teams and of course this

387
00:17:44,519 --> 00:17:46,200
game as well, sure, I.

388
00:17:46,160 --> 00:17:47,960
Speaker 6: Mean it's the only matchup of three and oh teams

389
00:17:48,160 --> 00:17:50,599
this weekend, or both teams are three and oh. Of course,

390
00:17:50,680 --> 00:17:53,240
looking at the odds logic live on screen right now,

391
00:17:53,640 --> 00:17:57,880
I'm seeing Philadelphia minus three and a half total. There's

392
00:17:57,920 --> 00:17:59,960
forty three and a halfs out there, there's forty four

393
00:18:00,160 --> 00:18:02,119
out there. There's a couple of forty four and a

394
00:18:02,160 --> 00:18:04,640
half's out there. So let's call it forty four three

395
00:18:04,640 --> 00:18:07,839
and a half and forty four for Philadelphia in Tampa.

396
00:18:07,920 --> 00:18:11,519
And of course, you know Philadelphia is nineteen and one

397
00:18:11,599 --> 00:18:15,200
straight up in their last twenty games. Of course, their

398
00:18:15,240 --> 00:18:17,880
twenty first game last year Week four, they went to

399
00:18:17,920 --> 00:18:21,359
Tampa and they lost. The previous season, they went to

400
00:18:21,359 --> 00:18:25,279
Tampa in the playoffs and lost, and neither one of

401
00:18:25,319 --> 00:18:28,160
them particularly close thirty three to sixteen, thirty two to nineteen.

402
00:18:28,480 --> 00:18:31,440
Jalen Hurts just one in three against the Bucks, including

403
00:18:31,480 --> 00:18:34,000
that playoff loss. Now, it is worth noting that in

404
00:18:34,079 --> 00:18:38,319
both of those losses, relatively recent losses for Philadelphia against

405
00:18:38,319 --> 00:18:40,960
Tampa did not have AJ Brown available for either of

406
00:18:41,000 --> 00:18:44,200
those games, and AJ Brown was certainly a difference maker

407
00:18:44,680 --> 00:18:47,599
Last week when Philly rallied from behind to beat the

408
00:18:47,680 --> 00:18:50,400
Rams six catches, one hundred and nine yards and a

409
00:18:50,440 --> 00:18:54,519
touchdown in that ball game. But you know, you read

410
00:18:54,559 --> 00:18:57,839
the quotes out of Philadelphia talking about what Tampa does,

411
00:18:57,880 --> 00:19:01,519
why Tampa's given them credit. White team has given them problems,

412
00:19:01,960 --> 00:19:05,039
and you see some credit going towards Tampa, you know

413
00:19:05,160 --> 00:19:05,640
it hurts.

414
00:19:05,720 --> 00:19:06,079
Speaker 4: Quote.

415
00:19:06,200 --> 00:19:07,680
Speaker 6: Bowl's got a lot of tools and a lot of

416
00:19:07,720 --> 00:19:10,920
things in his system. What he does that is very challenging.

417
00:19:11,160 --> 00:19:13,440
That's what makes him such a great team and a

418
00:19:13,559 --> 00:19:17,359
great defense. Of course, to defending Champs three and Ozho,

419
00:19:17,400 --> 00:19:19,200
but they've won those games by a grand total of

420
00:19:19,240 --> 00:19:22,160
fourteen points. You know, they managed just thirty three yards

421
00:19:22,200 --> 00:19:24,480
of offense in the first half last week before going

422
00:19:24,559 --> 00:19:28,440
nuts in the second half. And Saquon Barkley. We have

423
00:19:28,559 --> 00:19:30,359
to talk about Barkley because this is the guy that

424
00:19:30,440 --> 00:19:35,559
had what four hundred and thirty plus rushing attempts last

425
00:19:35,640 --> 00:19:38,559
year County regular season in playoffs, and he's not, you know,

426
00:19:38,599 --> 00:19:40,119
a young guy to begin with, He's what an eight

427
00:19:40,160 --> 00:19:42,200
year vet. So when you have a guy who was

428
00:19:42,240 --> 00:19:43,920
an eight year vet and that kind of mileage on

429
00:19:43,960 --> 00:19:46,279
his legs and that kind of mileage last year, you

430
00:19:46,359 --> 00:19:48,359
expect to drop off. That's just what we've seen three

431
00:19:48,400 --> 00:19:51,200
games as long as just sixteen three point three yards

432
00:19:51,200 --> 00:19:55,960
per carry. Right now, Saquon Barkley is a bet against

433
00:19:56,240 --> 00:19:58,079
when you're talking about any type of prop you can

434
00:19:58,119 --> 00:20:00,200
find for him, and that, in my mind, it makes

435
00:20:00,200 --> 00:20:03,400
Philadelphia weaker, makes it more difficult for the Eagles to

436
00:20:03,440 --> 00:20:06,599
win games by margin. Of course, he's facing a Tampa

437
00:20:06,640 --> 00:20:08,680
defense and has allowed a single one hundred yard rusher

438
00:20:08,920 --> 00:20:12,000
in the last eleven games. That's best in the NFL

439
00:20:12,160 --> 00:20:15,559
during that span. And of course it's a Bucks team.

440
00:20:15,559 --> 00:20:18,319
He asked me, would you rather have three blowouts or

441
00:20:18,359 --> 00:20:20,319
three come from behind wins to open the season, And

442
00:20:20,359 --> 00:20:23,519
I'll take the ladder as opposed to former.

443
00:20:23,359 --> 00:20:24,039
Speaker 2: Any of the week.

444
00:20:24,359 --> 00:20:28,319
Speaker 6: When a team comes from behind to win games, to

445
00:20:28,400 --> 00:20:32,200
win battles, boy, the confidence you know they're battle tested.

446
00:20:32,240 --> 00:20:35,160
The confidence rises when they're faced with adversity. You know

447
00:20:35,200 --> 00:20:38,319
they can handle it. And that's exactly what Baker Mayfield

448
00:20:38,319 --> 00:20:40,359
and company have done so far this season. You know,

449
00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:44,000
Mayfield quote resilient group. We stick together, the whole team.

450
00:20:44,359 --> 00:20:46,440
One part or phase of it's a little down, others

451
00:20:46,519 --> 00:20:48,079
have to step up and be there for you. That's

452
00:20:48,079 --> 00:20:50,440
what this team is all about we support each other

453
00:20:50,920 --> 00:20:55,359
no matter what. Worth noting. Philadelphia does have some significant

454
00:20:55,400 --> 00:20:58,880
injury concerns for this boggame, so it's Tampa. But Tampa

455
00:20:58,920 --> 00:21:01,319
could get Chris Godwin back. They could get Tristan wursback

456
00:21:02,119 --> 00:21:05,160
this week to impact players in the offensive side. We

457
00:21:05,200 --> 00:21:07,640
know Mike Evans is out for Tampa, but you know

458
00:21:07,799 --> 00:21:11,680
Nolan Smith, Jacoreyan Bennett, Daris Cooper all just wanted into

459
00:21:11,759 --> 00:21:15,000
reserve lane. Johnson's been limited in practice all week. He

460
00:21:15,039 --> 00:21:17,599
left last Sunday's game with this stinger. Zach Bond is

461
00:21:17,640 --> 00:21:21,720
a concern this week. Jackson hasn't practice, so Philly's a

462
00:21:21,720 --> 00:21:24,279
little banged up. They're laying a price against the team

463
00:21:24,319 --> 00:21:26,400
that's mashed up well against them. I think it's a

464
00:21:26,440 --> 00:21:29,000
little too high. If I'm playing, I want the home

465
00:21:29,039 --> 00:21:32,519
dog in this one. Bucks or pass for this better.

466
00:21:33,599 --> 00:21:36,640
Speaker 2: The Bucks are barking, says Teddy Covers in the NFL

467
00:21:36,720 --> 00:21:39,160
this Sunday. Two teams off to a good start, and

468
00:21:39,400 --> 00:21:41,240
Teddy want to look at some college football while we've

469
00:21:41,240 --> 00:21:43,119
got you. I did a standalone video for this game

470
00:21:43,119 --> 00:21:44,680
earlier in the weeks. I want to get your thoughts

471
00:21:44,720 --> 00:21:48,400
as well, and it's number twenty six Alburn against number

472
00:21:48,440 --> 00:21:50,279
nine Texas A and M. And that's because Auburn fell

473
00:21:50,279 --> 00:21:52,559
out of the rankings this past week. They are getting

474
00:21:52,599 --> 00:21:54,680
the most votes in the additional votes there in the

475
00:21:54,720 --> 00:21:56,599
eight peop pole, so they are the twenty six team

476
00:21:56,640 --> 00:21:59,079
technically in the country. So it just missed out on

477
00:21:59,119 --> 00:22:02,279
my top twenty five here on wager Talk TV. Obviously,

478
00:22:02,319 --> 00:22:04,480
if they pull the upset, they will be ranked again.

479
00:22:04,559 --> 00:22:06,319
But Texas A and M is the home favorite off

480
00:22:06,319 --> 00:22:08,079
to a good start this season. What's your thoughts on

481
00:22:08,079 --> 00:22:10,759
this one in the SEC? Sure, let's talk about it.

482
00:22:10,759 --> 00:22:13,839
Speaker 6: Three thirty Eastern, twelve thirty here on the left coast,

483
00:22:14,359 --> 00:22:16,880
Texas A and M. Looking at the os Logic Live

484
00:22:16,920 --> 00:22:19,880
odd screen minus six and a half total in the

485
00:22:19,920 --> 00:22:23,119
fifty three range against Auburn, and it's pretty much painted

486
00:22:23,160 --> 00:22:24,880
six and a half. I don't see sevens out there

487
00:22:25,279 --> 00:22:28,200
at all. And there's a reason we're not seeing sevens.

488
00:22:28,200 --> 00:22:30,799
That's because A and M's has a very disystisco profile

489
00:22:30,920 --> 00:22:33,039
on defense, a roer and two against the s Brettit's

490
00:22:33,039 --> 00:22:36,039
favorites this year. They didn't get the stops against Utah State,

491
00:22:36,079 --> 00:22:39,400
the didn't get the stops against Texas. Stan Antonio and

492
00:22:39,480 --> 00:22:42,400
Frankly didn't get stops against Notre Name either. Three and

493
00:22:42,440 --> 00:22:45,000
OHO to the over Texas A and M this season.

494
00:22:45,480 --> 00:22:50,039
So my handicap begins with thinking about Texas A and

495
00:22:50,160 --> 00:22:53,680
M's defense. Is this defense capable? Are these stats misleading?

496
00:22:53,920 --> 00:22:58,480
Are they vulnerable? That's the question. So let's break it down.

497
00:22:58,799 --> 00:23:01,000
You know, obviously, you beat no you get a bye week.

498
00:23:01,039 --> 00:23:02,920
That's a good thing, all right, You come back home,

499
00:23:02,920 --> 00:23:04,799
you're feeling good about yourself. But then you have time

500
00:23:05,160 --> 00:23:09,279
to come back to earth and start focusing on the

501
00:23:09,279 --> 00:23:13,279
next opponent. Obviously there's an overtime lost element. There's a

502
00:23:13,319 --> 00:23:17,680
revenge element for Texas anam we lost byt to this

503
00:23:17,759 --> 00:23:20,559
team last year, so that's certainly a good focus maker.

504
00:23:21,119 --> 00:23:24,559
So I like a team off of buy with focus,

505
00:23:24,599 --> 00:23:27,039
and that appears to be the situation here. But you know,

506
00:23:27,079 --> 00:23:28,359
there are one hundred and third in the country and

507
00:23:28,400 --> 00:23:31,079
scoring defense, seventy second in rushing defense, sixty six in

508
00:23:31,119 --> 00:23:34,039
total defense, right, which is a far cry from what

509
00:23:34,240 --> 00:23:37,920
Auburn saw last weekn is Oklahoma, who's top ten, you know,

510
00:23:38,480 --> 00:23:43,039
in almost all of those categories. But I'm not as

511
00:23:43,160 --> 00:23:46,720
concerned as the betting markets are about the Aggies defense,

512
00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:49,359
all right. The talent is there. Elco is a good

513
00:23:49,400 --> 00:23:52,839
defensive mind, and just because they've had some early season struggles,

514
00:23:53,000 --> 00:23:56,200
we project forward. I think this defense might be pretty good.

515
00:23:56,200 --> 00:23:58,440
I know already the offense is pretty good, and I

516
00:23:58,519 --> 00:24:01,519
know already that Auburn's offensive line has issues. When Jackson

517
00:24:01,599 --> 00:24:04,319
Arnold gets sacked what nine ten times last week, it's

518
00:24:04,359 --> 00:24:07,079
clearly a problem. As soon as past rush gave Auburn

519
00:24:07,079 --> 00:24:10,240
all kinds of issues in that ball game. And I

520
00:24:10,279 --> 00:24:13,079
think Texas A and M's stronger offensively than Oklahoma. I

521
00:24:13,079 --> 00:24:16,279
know they're stronger offensively than Oklahoma is. So if I

522
00:24:16,319 --> 00:24:20,119
believe in the Aggies defense and I trust their offense, well,

523
00:24:20,200 --> 00:24:22,839
that doesn't make me excited about Auburn. And look, Auburn

524
00:24:22,880 --> 00:24:25,720
has four straight losing seasons, first under Brian Harson, now

525
00:24:25,799 --> 00:24:28,759
under Hugh Freeze. You know the big Week one win

526
00:24:28,799 --> 00:24:31,240
over Baylor's devalued A bit Baylor just lost at home

527
00:24:31,279 --> 00:24:37,200
in the Arizona State two. You know, it's a scenario

528
00:24:37,440 --> 00:24:40,519
in which, yeah, Auburn's receivers could be able to take

529
00:24:40,519 --> 00:24:42,119
advantage of one on one cover. They couldn't do it.

530
00:24:42,119 --> 00:24:47,519
Against Oklahoma. But I think the Aggies are the undervalued

531
00:24:47,559 --> 00:24:51,880
commodity in this matchup because of that defensive profile that

532
00:24:51,960 --> 00:24:54,599
isn't pretty. Yet I think the defense from my eye

533
00:24:54,599 --> 00:24:57,039
test and then the defense is better than what we've seen.

534
00:24:57,400 --> 00:25:00,279
So it's Aggie's are over for this better. So I'm

535
00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:02,440
waking look here, Texas A and M minus the points

536
00:25:02,759 --> 00:25:05,920
and or over the total. That's the way I lean

537
00:25:06,640 --> 00:25:09,920
for Saturday in college station.

538
00:25:10,839 --> 00:25:14,359
Speaker 2: And if you like Aggie's and the over, maybe you'll

539
00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:16,559
be interested in the Naggi's team total over. And of

540
00:25:16,559 --> 00:25:18,799
course the college whole team totals pop up more on

541
00:25:18,880 --> 00:25:20,480
game day, but right now I'm seeing it at twenty

542
00:25:20,519 --> 00:25:22,839
nine and a half, So you're getting that key number

543
00:25:22,880 --> 00:25:24,759
of thirty and thirty one working for you. I guess

544
00:25:24,759 --> 00:25:26,200
you would not be opposed to that as well.

545
00:25:26,680 --> 00:25:29,079
Speaker 6: Yeah, so part of my thought process here is that

546
00:25:29,119 --> 00:25:30,960
I think Texas A and M's defense is a little

547
00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:33,839
better than this tiscal profile would indicate. I wouldn't necessarily

548
00:25:33,880 --> 00:25:37,799
parlay the two, but I think the over kind of

549
00:25:37,799 --> 00:25:39,519
hedges you a little bit. Here, got you with the

550
00:25:39,559 --> 00:25:42,240
A and M side if their defense, if this diiscal

551
00:25:42,279 --> 00:25:44,480
profile is real, with their defense, then the you can

552
00:25:44,519 --> 00:25:47,000
catch your overticket. I think the Aggies will get theirs,

553
00:25:47,200 --> 00:25:49,960
but I don't know if I'm looking to go Daggie's

554
00:25:49,960 --> 00:25:51,640
team total over. I rather have to get full game

555
00:25:51,680 --> 00:25:54,480
over between the two teams that protects your Texas A

556
00:25:54,519 --> 00:25:54,839
and m.

557
00:25:54,759 --> 00:25:56,400
Speaker 2: BET like it. Yeah, No, I do that quite often

558
00:25:56,480 --> 00:25:58,119
when I'm doing these videos. I'll mention that as well,

559
00:25:58,160 --> 00:25:59,680
in case we're a little bit wrong the hedge on

560
00:25:59,680 --> 00:26:02,519
the other of worse you go one in one. Let

561
00:26:02,519 --> 00:26:04,200
me ask you your thoughts on these early bye weeks.

562
00:26:04,200 --> 00:26:06,079
You mentioned Texas aam you know, three to zero start

563
00:26:06,079 --> 00:26:08,640
big win by maybe came in a good time for

564
00:26:08,640 --> 00:26:10,559
that reason. I think teams would probably prefer to have

565
00:26:10,640 --> 00:26:12,640
them usually later in the season, just to get rested

566
00:26:12,680 --> 00:26:15,039
and healthy. We see this with a lot of teams

567
00:26:15,079 --> 00:26:17,960
this week though, Alabama Georgia both coming off the bye

568
00:26:18,000 --> 00:26:19,960
week for that huge game I believe, and then Penn

569
00:26:20,000 --> 00:26:22,160
State's coming off of bye week Organs not I believe.

570
00:26:22,200 --> 00:26:25,000
If I'm not mistaken in those games, how do you

571
00:26:25,039 --> 00:26:27,519
factor in these early September bye weeks for college football?

572
00:26:27,519 --> 00:26:30,359
I'm sure it's like the NFL, right, it's situational, but

573
00:26:30,559 --> 00:26:32,039
in general, how do you approach that?

574
00:26:33,000 --> 00:26:37,039
Speaker 6: So it's absolutely a team by team basis. It's absolutely

575
00:26:37,039 --> 00:26:40,000
a case by case basis. In the instance of Texas,

576
00:26:40,039 --> 00:26:42,160
A and M. All right, when you're coming off a

577
00:26:42,279 --> 00:26:45,119
huge win, all right, you know, when you go to

578
00:26:45,200 --> 00:26:46,839
Notre Dame and knock off the Irish, and the Irish

579
00:26:46,839 --> 00:26:48,799
obviously played for the national title last year. The Irish

580
00:26:48,839 --> 00:26:51,759
beat them in college station last year. I was a

581
00:26:51,799 --> 00:26:53,319
huge win for the team. And the way they did it,

582
00:26:53,359 --> 00:26:56,559
you know, basically, you know, come from behind on the

583
00:26:56,920 --> 00:26:59,759
final series of the game to get the wild victory.

584
00:27:00,240 --> 00:27:02,440
You'll like a bye week in that spot, all right.

585
00:27:02,880 --> 00:27:06,680
It makes the team much better prepared to deal with

586
00:27:06,720 --> 00:27:10,039
their next opponent. That said, a lot of them are.

587
00:27:10,079 --> 00:27:14,200
You know, late season bye weeks are probably more meaningful

588
00:27:15,119 --> 00:27:18,799
banged up perspective in early season bye weeks. But and

589
00:27:18,920 --> 00:27:21,480
most teams, many teams in college football have two bye weeks. Now,

590
00:27:21,480 --> 00:27:23,839
I can bet when I first moved to Vegas, you know,

591
00:27:23,920 --> 00:27:26,640
Ohio State and Michigan was played on Thanksgiving weekend and

592
00:27:26,680 --> 00:27:28,640
that was the last week into college football, and then

593
00:27:28,640 --> 00:27:31,519
we added one more and it goes into December. So

594
00:27:32,400 --> 00:27:35,480
teams have more buys than they used to a lot

595
00:27:35,519 --> 00:27:38,720
of teams for two buys, so it's not like and

596
00:27:38,759 --> 00:27:40,720
sometimes you have coach specific track record that are worth

597
00:27:40,720 --> 00:27:43,839
paying attention to. But there's lots of factors to consider

598
00:27:43,839 --> 00:27:46,279
in college football coming off of buys just one of them.

599
00:27:46,680 --> 00:27:48,319
Speaker 2: I agree. I think in this case it is a

600
00:27:48,319 --> 00:27:50,400
good thing as well, after the emotional road dog win

601
00:27:50,519 --> 00:27:53,000
to reset and get healthy again. That's a physical game also,

602
00:27:53,039 --> 00:27:54,880
And don't forget these SEC teams a lot to play

603
00:27:54,960 --> 00:27:57,240
like nothing teams in November. They play some of those

604
00:27:57,319 --> 00:27:59,200
FCS opponents later in the season than they used to

605
00:27:59,240 --> 00:28:01,720
and that's almost like a bye week as well. Later

606
00:28:01,759 --> 00:28:04,519
in the season. Right before we let you go the

607
00:28:04,640 --> 00:28:07,839
sell me segment. First time I've ever done this. So

608
00:28:07,920 --> 00:28:09,240
does Dan pop on the screen?

609
00:28:09,640 --> 00:28:11,920
Speaker 5: Oh yes, yes, indeed screen.

610
00:28:12,640 --> 00:28:14,079
Speaker 2: I get to see Dan earlier than normal.

611
00:28:14,119 --> 00:28:16,599
Speaker 5: That's the yeah, you know, you don't get to get

612
00:28:16,599 --> 00:28:17,039
away from it.

613
00:28:17,039 --> 00:28:19,920
Speaker 7: And Steve, I'm hoping, uh you can step in here

614
00:28:19,920 --> 00:28:23,559
because no, Shade d Andy, he's kind of been Teddy's

615
00:28:23,559 --> 00:28:25,799
punching bag here. I'm pretty sure the side that Teddy

616
00:28:25,839 --> 00:28:28,519
has had to break down and we randomly do this.

617
00:28:28,640 --> 00:28:30,240
Speaker 5: I mean, this is the first time you've ever heard it.

618
00:28:30,839 --> 00:28:32,880
Speaker 7: I give you both the side here, and Teddy has

619
00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:35,319
gone three and oh thus far. So maybe you should

620
00:28:35,319 --> 00:28:38,079
say that I'm the best at picking which side Teddy

621
00:28:38,119 --> 00:28:39,640
has to break down.

622
00:28:40,920 --> 00:28:42,880
Speaker 2: No matter how good or bad, I make this argument.

623
00:28:42,880 --> 00:28:44,640
If I have the losey's side, there's nothing I could

624
00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:45,400
do correct.

625
00:28:45,400 --> 00:28:47,400
Speaker 7: That's exactly it. But it's a hell of the game

626
00:28:47,440 --> 00:28:49,240
that we got this week, guys, that you're going to

627
00:28:49,319 --> 00:28:53,160
be selling me on the Ravens or the Chiefs, and Steve,

628
00:28:53,279 --> 00:28:55,880
we will have Teddy go first here since this is

629
00:28:55,920 --> 00:28:57,960
the first time that you've ever seen this, and Teddy,

630
00:28:58,240 --> 00:29:01,000
you've had to break down games on the Chiefs against

631
00:29:01,079 --> 00:29:04,160
the Chiefs. This time they're sitting here as a home dog.

632
00:29:04,599 --> 00:29:06,920
And both of you, guys, when do we see these

633
00:29:06,960 --> 00:29:11,079
two teams facing off under five hundred. It feels very

634
00:29:11,160 --> 00:29:13,440
rare that you're talking a Ravens and Chiefs game that

635
00:29:13,559 --> 00:29:17,680
both teams are under five hundred. But Teddy, Kansas City Chiefs,

636
00:29:17,799 --> 00:29:19,559
you bet on him, you bet against him, you bet

637
00:29:19,759 --> 00:29:20,519
right both ways.

638
00:29:20,559 --> 00:29:21,279
Speaker 5: That you've done it.

639
00:29:21,599 --> 00:29:23,400
Speaker 7: Now you've got to let me know why the home

640
00:29:23,519 --> 00:29:27,640
dog is the side. Sell me this NFL side, Teddy.

641
00:29:27,759 --> 00:29:30,279
Speaker 6: Sure, this is simple, all right, And in my mind,

642
00:29:30,680 --> 00:29:32,799
Baltimore has this power rating.

643
00:29:32,880 --> 00:29:33,200
Speaker 2: All right.

644
00:29:33,319 --> 00:29:35,400
Speaker 6: I talk to guys after they lost them Monday Night Football.

645
00:29:35,440 --> 00:29:37,559
I'm like, the Ravens are one and two, Like, oh no,

646
00:29:37,680 --> 00:29:39,839
Baltimore is the best team in the NFL by far,

647
00:29:39,960 --> 00:29:42,079
the Ravens the best team in the NFL. And this

648
00:29:42,279 --> 00:29:45,880
points bread tells us that Baltimore is being priced like

649
00:29:46,000 --> 00:29:48,960
the best team in the NFL, despite the fact they're

650
00:29:48,960 --> 00:29:51,000
one and two to fight, to fact their defense has

651
00:29:51,000 --> 00:29:53,640
been gashed, despite the fact that Kansas City has owned

652
00:29:53,640 --> 00:29:57,799
them in the postseason. Baltimore is still priced in a

653
00:29:57,960 --> 00:30:00,680
range where they shouldn't be priced at I don't think

654
00:30:00,720 --> 00:30:03,000
Baltimore is a field goal better than Kansas City on

655
00:30:03,039 --> 00:30:06,920
any field, and in arrowhead with the chief season on

656
00:30:07,000 --> 00:30:11,559
the line. Nah, the points prints wrong and Casey is

657
00:30:11,599 --> 00:30:15,119
a clear choice as home dogs plus three count.

658
00:30:14,880 --> 00:30:16,799
Speaker 2: Me, Steve.

659
00:30:16,920 --> 00:30:19,759
Speaker 7: Sometimes I just want to have Teddy debate himself and

660
00:30:19,799 --> 00:30:22,079
break down both sides of the game. They won't play

661
00:30:22,119 --> 00:30:25,960
it like like one of those like Steven a clips

662
00:30:26,000 --> 00:30:28,519
where he's flip flopped and breaks down a different side.

663
00:30:28,519 --> 00:30:31,039
But no, Teddy is not bringing down the side of

664
00:30:31,079 --> 00:30:35,319
the Baltimore Ravens road chalk here, Steve, what are you

665
00:30:35,359 --> 00:30:38,119
thinking as they're coming off that loss against Detroit at home?

666
00:30:38,400 --> 00:30:40,759
Speaker 5: Mind? You sell me this NFL side, Steve.

667
00:30:40,880 --> 00:30:43,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think most handicappers would make good attorneys because

668
00:30:43,519 --> 00:30:45,039
you can sell both sides, like Teddy and I. But

669
00:30:45,039 --> 00:30:47,079
I think there's no question Teddy Covers and Steve Merril

670
00:30:47,079 --> 00:30:49,119
would have been the best two attorneys that didn't become

671
00:30:49,119 --> 00:30:51,599
attorneys at wager talking. I think both of us at

672
00:30:51,599 --> 00:30:53,680
some point probably thought about becoming attorneys back in the

673
00:30:53,720 --> 00:30:55,559
eighties and nineties. So I know that for a fact

674
00:30:55,559 --> 00:30:57,920
that we're both government majors. I think so a lot

675
00:30:57,960 --> 00:31:00,200
of similarities. First of all, Teddy don't have, so I

676
00:31:00,279 --> 00:31:02,119
disagree with through Kansas City plus three. But I'm looking

677
00:31:02,160 --> 00:31:04,119
at the Odds Logic Live Odds screen. I'm seeing two

678
00:31:04,119 --> 00:31:06,599
and a half's across the board. So I'm laying it

679
00:31:06,640 --> 00:31:08,279
with the Ravens at minus two and a half eighty

680
00:31:08,519 --> 00:31:11,480
nine to ten percent chance the Chiefs lose by exactly three.

681
00:31:11,640 --> 00:31:13,559
That very well might be the difference in this game.

682
00:31:13,559 --> 00:31:15,240
And as we talked about earlier in the episode with

683
00:31:15,240 --> 00:31:17,720
the Onie the Greek, if you like Baltimore, you play

684
00:31:17,799 --> 00:31:19,839
minus two and a half. Now it's just minus one

685
00:31:19,920 --> 00:31:22,279
fifteen and a lot of spots minus one twenty. If

686
00:31:22,279 --> 00:31:24,880
you like Kansas City, you wait and try to get

687
00:31:24,880 --> 00:31:27,599
a plus three by Sunday. And my early initial public

688
00:31:27,680 --> 00:31:29,359
data does look like the Ravens will be the more

689
00:31:29,359 --> 00:31:31,319
public side. So if you like the Chiefs, you find

690
00:31:31,319 --> 00:31:34,200
a plus three, hopefully late kickoff. I like the Ravens,

691
00:31:34,240 --> 00:31:35,759
so I'd much rather have the minus two and a

692
00:31:35,799 --> 00:31:38,200
half if you're playing a side here, because I do

693
00:31:38,240 --> 00:31:40,240
feel they're the better team. And one of these teams

694
00:31:40,599 --> 00:31:42,480
is going to be one in three after Sunday. Well,

695
00:31:42,519 --> 00:31:44,960
they could both be one two and one. Not likely.

696
00:31:45,359 --> 00:31:46,440
One of them is going to be one in three,

697
00:31:46,480 --> 00:31:48,519
and I think it's more likely the Kansas City Chiefs.

698
00:31:48,519 --> 00:31:50,720
And coming into the season, the Chiefs have been a

699
00:31:50,720 --> 00:31:53,599
play against team for me, not just because they lost

700
00:31:53,640 --> 00:31:55,480
the Super Bowl. We know that those teams almost half

701
00:31:55,480 --> 00:31:57,559
the time don't even make the postseason the next year,

702
00:31:58,000 --> 00:32:00,000
but because they look so bad in the Super Bowl.

703
00:32:00,039 --> 00:32:01,880
It wasn't a fluky loss. You know, when the Eagles

704
00:32:01,920 --> 00:32:04,759
and Chiefs played recently, it was a close game. Both

705
00:32:04,759 --> 00:32:07,240
teams bounced back the next year. When the Patriots lost

706
00:32:07,279 --> 00:32:09,359
a few times, it was always a close game. They

707
00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:12,119
bounced back. The Chiefs got blown out. They had serious

708
00:32:12,160 --> 00:32:14,480
problems on the O line, serious for problems at receiver.

709
00:32:14,759 --> 00:32:16,519
They've gotten a little bit better on the O line,

710
00:32:16,640 --> 00:32:19,759
not saying much. Still have a short sighted receiver corep

711
00:32:19,759 --> 00:32:21,319
in my opinion. And you look at what they've done

712
00:32:21,400 --> 00:32:24,440
so far. They were outplayed by the Chargers, and they

713
00:32:24,440 --> 00:32:27,039
were outplayed in Week two, and then they bounced back

714
00:32:27,079 --> 00:32:30,799
against the Giants. The Giants have scored single digits against

715
00:32:30,839 --> 00:32:33,680
both the Chiefs and the Commanders. Their only breakout game

716
00:32:33,720 --> 00:32:36,200
was against the Cowboys, who have stopped nobody except for

717
00:32:36,240 --> 00:32:38,000
a lightning delay. That's the only thing that's helped the

718
00:32:38,000 --> 00:32:41,279
Cowboy defense all season. I like Baltimore in this one,

719
00:32:41,359 --> 00:32:42,519
and as long as it stays at two and a

720
00:32:42,559 --> 00:32:45,200
half or less, it's a straight up win situation. Yes,

721
00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:47,480
the Chiefs are probably a small favorite this summer. Now

722
00:32:47,480 --> 00:32:50,079
it's flipped, but it still hasn't crossed that key number

723
00:32:50,119 --> 00:32:51,799
of three either way. I like the Ravens to go

724
00:32:51,839 --> 00:32:53,480
to two and two, and at two and a half

725
00:32:53,519 --> 00:32:56,039
or less, it's basically a straight up win situation On Sunday.

726
00:32:56,759 --> 00:32:59,400
Speaker 7: Well, Teddy, we did everything to explain the segment to

727
00:32:59,440 --> 00:33:02,319
Steve than tell him it's a three sentence minimum. But

728
00:33:02,440 --> 00:33:05,440
it is a solid breakdown there.

729
00:33:05,319 --> 00:33:08,480
Speaker 2: Steve, anyway more than three. I didn't realize that.

730
00:33:08,559 --> 00:33:10,160
Speaker 7: No, there were a lot of commas, there were a

731
00:33:10,160 --> 00:33:11,000
lot of Colon's.

732
00:33:11,160 --> 00:33:11,839
Speaker 4: It's all good.

733
00:33:12,079 --> 00:33:14,119
Speaker 7: Yeah, you can one thing I will say to that

734
00:33:14,200 --> 00:33:17,240
experts at their craft. Because Steve made sure that he

735
00:33:17,359 --> 00:33:19,759
hung out with Derek Stevens over at Circa and laid

736
00:33:19,839 --> 00:33:22,200
two and a half. Teddy made sure that he was

737
00:33:22,200 --> 00:33:24,480
hanging out with John Murray at the super Book and

738
00:33:24,559 --> 00:33:28,240
took the three. That's the real point here is step

739
00:33:28,559 --> 00:33:30,079
two and a half, and I'll take.

740
00:33:29,960 --> 00:33:32,279
Speaker 2: Three right now. I'll say a Raven's three point win.

741
00:33:32,359 --> 00:33:33,920
Do I get bonus points for predicting?

742
00:33:34,319 --> 00:33:34,480
Speaker 4: Oh?

743
00:33:34,640 --> 00:33:38,559
Speaker 7: The mic drop, Teddy? The true mic drop is Teddy

744
00:33:38,640 --> 00:33:40,799
letting us know. What do you got to promote here, Teddy?

745
00:33:40,839 --> 00:33:42,599
Before we turned things over to Marco.

746
00:33:42,920 --> 00:33:44,920
Speaker 6: Sure, we had a big weekend last weekend four and

747
00:33:44,920 --> 00:33:47,720
o College football six and one. Overall, the only loser

748
00:33:47,839 --> 00:33:51,200
was the freaking la Rams. But we're over it and

749
00:33:51,319 --> 00:33:53,000
looking to do it again this week. I'll take a

750
00:33:53,000 --> 00:33:56,200
six to one, no problem, lockloader already with one in

751
00:33:56,240 --> 00:33:58,279
the NFL, two in college, and we'll be adding places

752
00:33:58,319 --> 00:34:02,039
throughout the day as well. So check out my homepage

753
00:34:02,079 --> 00:34:06,359
wt dot buzz backslash TCE Weekend Warrior Package forty nine

754
00:34:06,400 --> 00:34:09,719
bucks by thirty days. Get thirty days for three dollars.

755
00:34:09,800 --> 00:34:12,320
It's like you know, it's it's a really good deal there,

756
00:34:12,320 --> 00:34:14,480
three dollars a day. And of course the full sea,

757
00:34:14,559 --> 00:34:16,440
the full year at nine to nine bucks a month

758
00:34:16,760 --> 00:34:19,360
is a great deal as well. So short term, medium term,

759
00:34:19,360 --> 00:34:21,559
long term, however you want to get on board, do

760
00:34:21,679 --> 00:34:25,599
it now. Visit my homepage wt dot buzz backslash.

761
00:34:25,159 --> 00:34:28,239
Speaker 2: TC and as I said earlier, there's some great specials

762
00:34:28,280 --> 00:34:30,320
there for everybody. Always great to see Teddy covers and

763
00:34:30,360 --> 00:34:32,960
find out his Opening Line Report. Also is Monday Live

764
00:34:33,000 --> 00:34:35,159
and like I said, archive twenty four to seven, So

765
00:34:35,360 --> 00:34:37,559
if you want to see Teddy's salts on every NFL game,

766
00:34:38,039 --> 00:34:40,719
check out the Opening Line Report every Monday afternoon or

767
00:34:40,800 --> 00:34:42,440
Monday late morning. I guess now, I'll tell you when

768
00:34:42,440 --> 00:34:44,519
you do it live eleven am Eastern I believe, before

769
00:34:44,519 --> 00:34:45,880
wager Talk TV correct and.

770
00:34:46,119 --> 00:34:48,800
Speaker 6: Late afternoon Monday at eight am my time, dude.

771
00:34:48,719 --> 00:34:50,360
Speaker 2: Right, but what he used to make one eastern? It's

772
00:34:50,360 --> 00:34:53,000
eleven am Eastern now right s morning Eastern time as.

773
00:34:52,840 --> 00:34:55,400
Speaker 6: Well before lunchtime. So when the lines are starting to move,

774
00:34:55,480 --> 00:34:58,199
we get you in front of those line moves every

775
00:34:58,280 --> 00:35:00,920
Monday live right here, I'm waiting you talk to TV.

776
00:35:00,880 --> 00:35:05,039
Speaker 2: Eleven am Eastern, eight am Pacific before lunch, during breakfast,

777
00:35:05,039 --> 00:35:07,360
depending on what time zone you're in on Mondays, and

778
00:35:07,360 --> 00:35:09,320
of course archive twenty four to seven here in wager

779
00:35:09,360 --> 00:35:11,480
Talk TV. All right, let's get to Marco D'Angel and

780
00:35:11,519 --> 00:35:13,639
we got Kelly Stewart still and Marco. I didn't really

781
00:35:13,679 --> 00:35:15,960
prepare either way because I was told not to. Plus

782
00:35:16,000 --> 00:35:18,079
I wasn't going to, but I kind of had a

783
00:35:18,079 --> 00:35:19,599
little bit of a cheat here. At the last second.

784
00:35:19,599 --> 00:35:21,599
I realized you and I are talking Raiders Bears. So

785
00:35:22,159 --> 00:35:23,360
Dan had said it was either going to be the

786
00:35:23,440 --> 00:35:26,119
Chiefs Ravens or Raiders Bears game. For that, I was

787
00:35:26,199 --> 00:35:28,199
ninety nine percent sure that was the sure bet that

788
00:35:28,199 --> 00:35:30,159
we were doing Ravens Chiefs. Because you and I are

789
00:35:30,199 --> 00:35:33,440
talking Raiders Bears. What are your thoughts on this one?

790
00:35:33,519 --> 00:35:36,840
Your Las Vegas Raiders against somebody's street. We don't have

791
00:35:36,880 --> 00:35:39,199
any Chicago guys. That's hard to believe. That's a sports

792
00:35:39,320 --> 00:35:42,000
That's where the points spread was a Vinte ninety years

793
00:35:42,000 --> 00:35:44,800
ago was in Chicago. Little known fact. What are your

794
00:35:44,840 --> 00:35:46,440
thoughts on this one? Bears Raiders?

795
00:35:46,960 --> 00:35:49,960
Speaker 4: Well, the Raiders are my adopted team. I'm still the Steelers,

796
00:35:50,079 --> 00:35:55,880
I know, But you know what, these two teams, they

797
00:35:55,880 --> 00:35:58,519
were good to me last week because I read both

798
00:35:58,559 --> 00:36:01,639
of the games right in ball these two teams. I

799
00:36:01,679 --> 00:36:04,599
had the Bears as an actual client play last week,

800
00:36:04,800 --> 00:36:07,800
but it wasn't because of the Bears. It was because

801
00:36:07,800 --> 00:36:10,639
I was going against Dallas. Dallas was in a horrible

802
00:36:10,679 --> 00:36:14,239
spot last week, having to go to Chicago, coming off

803
00:36:14,320 --> 00:36:18,119
that thriller against the Giants, that overtime win where both

804
00:36:18,159 --> 00:36:20,840
teams went up and down the field, and then look

805
00:36:20,880 --> 00:36:24,039
at who Dallas has on deck. You know that they're

806
00:36:24,039 --> 00:36:27,159
playing this week, They've got that game with Green Bay

807
00:36:27,199 --> 00:36:30,000
and Micah Parsons on Sunday Night Football.

808
00:36:30,000 --> 00:36:30,679
Speaker 5: So I thought it was a.

809
00:36:30,639 --> 00:36:35,159
Speaker 4: Horrible spot for the Cowboys last week, and that's why

810
00:36:35,199 --> 00:36:37,840
we were on the Bears. And then same thing with

811
00:36:38,000 --> 00:36:42,119
the Raiders. Obviously being here in Vegas and doing Vegas Radio,

812
00:36:42,719 --> 00:36:45,079
I had to break that game down, and I said

813
00:36:45,320 --> 00:36:46,320
Raiders were in trouble.

814
00:36:46,400 --> 00:36:46,920
Speaker 2: Last week.

815
00:36:47,519 --> 00:36:52,119
Speaker 4: The Vegas team had to travel to the East Coast

816
00:36:52,199 --> 00:36:55,440
for the second time in three weeks. They opened a

817
00:36:55,480 --> 00:36:58,440
season in New England, then played Dept Monday night football game,

818
00:36:58,480 --> 00:37:01,400
and if you remember, that was a header on Monday night,

819
00:37:01,599 --> 00:37:05,519
so that game was even later a seven pm start

820
00:37:05,599 --> 00:37:08,360
here in Vegas. And then they had to travel to

821
00:37:08,559 --> 00:37:12,360
Washington on a short week, horrible spot for them. Washington

822
00:37:12,679 --> 00:37:16,400
ran rough shot over them. But this week, different story.

823
00:37:16,440 --> 00:37:18,639
I think Pete Carroll was going to be able to

824
00:37:18,800 --> 00:37:24,679
get his first home win as Raiders head coach. Caleb Williams, Okay, yeah,

825
00:37:24,679 --> 00:37:26,559
he had a good game last week, but let me

826
00:37:26,639 --> 00:37:30,400
just remind you Russell Wilson two weeks ago against that

827
00:37:30,519 --> 00:37:34,159
Cowboy defense had four hundred and fifty five yards passing.

828
00:37:34,239 --> 00:37:36,599
So just about anybody's going to have a good game

829
00:37:36,760 --> 00:37:39,960
against the Cowboys defense. It'll be a different story against

830
00:37:40,000 --> 00:37:42,559
the Raiders this week. I think the Raiders get the

831
00:37:42,639 --> 00:37:45,519
job done. We've seen this line sitting basically at one

832
00:37:45,559 --> 00:37:49,440
and a half basically all week. No movement there, even

833
00:37:49,480 --> 00:37:55,199
though Chicago looks live based on last week's results, not

834
00:37:55,320 --> 00:37:58,599
the right side. I'm taking the Raiders and Pete Carroll

835
00:37:58,760 --> 00:38:01,360
first home wint Raiders twenty seven to.

836
00:38:02,920 --> 00:38:04,800
Speaker 2: Yeah. I was saying that earlier, Marco. I mean, the

837
00:38:04,840 --> 00:38:08,519
Cowboys defense, except for the lighting delay, haven't stopped anybody

838
00:38:08,599 --> 00:38:10,639
all season, right, The only thing that helped the Cowboys

839
00:38:10,679 --> 00:38:12,719
defense was a one hour delay in that opener against

840
00:38:12,719 --> 00:38:16,320
the Eagles and Giants single digits in their other two games.

841
00:38:16,320 --> 00:38:18,639
That put up almost what thirty seven points against Dallas.

842
00:38:18,639 --> 00:38:20,760
That's pretty high. And then you see with Chicago. So

843
00:38:20,760 --> 00:38:22,920
we'll see if the Bears are improving under the new

844
00:38:22,920 --> 00:38:24,760
coaching staff. You know, it often takes three or four

845
00:38:24,800 --> 00:38:26,360
weeks to adjust, and we'll see if they're heading in

846
00:38:26,360 --> 00:38:29,599
the right direction or not against your Las Vegas Raiders. Hey,

847
00:38:29,599 --> 00:38:32,440
speaking of college football, your Penn State Nitney Lyons, I

848
00:38:32,440 --> 00:38:36,239
would assume have a huge game against the Oregon Ducks,

849
00:38:36,400 --> 00:38:37,920
and this is probably one of the best games of

850
00:38:37,960 --> 00:38:41,039
the season. It's a rematch from last year's Big Ten

851
00:38:41,159 --> 00:38:45,000
championship game on Pearl Harbor Day last December. I did

852
00:38:45,000 --> 00:38:46,840
a standalone video on this. It's of course in my

853
00:38:46,880 --> 00:38:49,239
College Football Top twenty five video as well, So I'm

854
00:38:49,320 --> 00:38:51,599
very interested to hear your thoughts in this huge game Saturday,

855
00:38:51,639 --> 00:38:52,840
Oregon and Penn State.

856
00:38:53,639 --> 00:38:56,199
Speaker 4: Well, let's start with the elephant in the room right away,

857
00:38:56,239 --> 00:39:01,159
and that's James Franklin. Okay, everybody knows how he has

858
00:39:01,199 --> 00:39:05,639
struggled when he's faced top twenty five teams, more importantly,

859
00:39:05,960 --> 00:39:09,199
top five teams. He's won in eighteen straight up against

860
00:39:09,239 --> 00:39:12,719
teams ranked in the top five. If we want to

861
00:39:12,719 --> 00:39:15,159
put an asterisk on it, ore Agast not in the

862
00:39:15,239 --> 00:39:16,079
top five.

863
00:39:15,920 --> 00:39:16,480
Speaker 5: They're six.

864
00:39:16,800 --> 00:39:19,800
Speaker 4: Okay, so but it doesn't get much better because against

865
00:39:19,840 --> 00:39:23,719
top ten he's four and twenty. But coming into this season,

866
00:39:23,760 --> 00:39:25,400
and I said it at the beginning of the season,

867
00:39:25,599 --> 00:39:31,679
on paper, this Penn State team, they've really bolstered the offense.

868
00:39:31,960 --> 00:39:36,920
They got Drew Allard, some other pieces to strengthen the offense.

869
00:39:36,920 --> 00:39:39,119
And that's been the knock on James Franklin. When he's

870
00:39:39,119 --> 00:39:42,599
gotten into these big games. He's always had good defenses.

871
00:39:42,639 --> 00:39:45,800
That's been a standard at Penn State. We know how

872
00:39:45,800 --> 00:39:49,559
Penn State's been linebacker, you you know for the NFL,

873
00:39:50,159 --> 00:39:52,239
no problems on that side of the football. But when

874
00:39:52,239 --> 00:39:55,800
he gains into the big games, that vanilla offense of

875
00:39:55,880 --> 00:40:00,360
his causes problems. Well, they went out and got peoplelast year.

876
00:40:00,400 --> 00:40:03,599
They got a new offensive coordinator, they got some pieces

877
00:40:03,639 --> 00:40:06,920
for Drew Aller. They've had a couple easy games to

878
00:40:07,000 --> 00:40:09,719
start the season, They've had a bye week to have

879
00:40:09,760 --> 00:40:12,719
two weeks to prepare for Oregon. What's Oregon done well.

880
00:40:12,760 --> 00:40:15,280
They're just putting up a boatload of points in all

881
00:40:15,320 --> 00:40:18,320
of their games, and they look very flashy getting the

882
00:40:18,360 --> 00:40:22,880
points in this game. This is a very important game

883
00:40:22,920 --> 00:40:26,239
for James Franklin. Even though he's had a great record,

884
00:40:26,280 --> 00:40:29,039
even though he was basically maybe one play away from

885
00:40:29,039 --> 00:40:32,880
playing for the National championship last year, there's been heat

886
00:40:32,960 --> 00:40:37,039
on him because of those failures against the top teams.

887
00:40:37,960 --> 00:40:40,360
They're going to take the reins off of Drew Aller

888
00:40:40,440 --> 00:40:42,519
this week. I think this is going to be his

889
00:40:42,639 --> 00:40:45,880
coming out party. And let's not forget this is not

890
00:40:45,960 --> 00:40:49,519
a twelve noon Eastern start. This is a night game.

891
00:40:49,559 --> 00:40:51,719
And I'll tell you should be scheduling all of your

892
00:40:51,760 --> 00:40:55,880
big games at night. Get that crowd extra juiced up.

893
00:40:56,400 --> 00:40:58,519
And if you've ever been to Happy Valley for a

894
00:40:58,599 --> 00:41:02,119
white out, it is something special, especially when they are

895
00:41:02,280 --> 00:41:05,760
at night. It'll be electric at Happy Valley. I think

896
00:41:05,800 --> 00:41:08,480
they get the job done, and I'm just not sold

897
00:41:08,519 --> 00:41:13,039
on Oregon yet. I know they've done everything asked of them,

898
00:41:13,320 --> 00:41:15,639
but they really haven't played anybody, and this will be

899
00:41:15,760 --> 00:41:20,320
their toughest road test since they've entered the Big ten.

900
00:41:20,679 --> 00:41:24,679
Let's see how they handle this crowd at night traveling

901
00:41:24,679 --> 00:41:27,519
all the way across the country to Happy Valley. That's

902
00:41:27,559 --> 00:41:30,639
not an easy travel situation. I'm gonna go ahead and

903
00:41:30,679 --> 00:41:35,039
go with James Franklin. Hopefully he doesn't blow this one

904
00:41:35,360 --> 00:41:37,559
with conservative play calling, but I think they get the

905
00:41:37,639 --> 00:41:40,719
job done. I'm gonna call it Penn State thirty four

906
00:41:40,960 --> 00:41:41,840
twenty three.

907
00:41:42,320 --> 00:41:45,719
Speaker 2: Woo fading the one in eighteen, which is technical, Like

908
00:41:45,719 --> 00:41:47,719
you said, top five four and twenty top two. I've

909
00:41:47,719 --> 00:41:50,920
forgot to mention those numbers, Marco in my videos, So

910
00:41:50,960 --> 00:41:53,639
I love that you brought them up, because, look, I've

911
00:41:53,639 --> 00:41:55,519
got a lot of Penn State fans and Ohio State

912
00:41:55,559 --> 00:41:57,320
fancy on the East coast that I know personally, and

913
00:41:57,400 --> 00:42:00,480
I've said all along, I just don't feel like states

914
00:42:00,480 --> 00:42:02,239
still at that level of O high stay. We're gonna

915
00:42:02,239 --> 00:42:05,280
find out a lot more about that here on Saturday Night.

916
00:42:05,840 --> 00:42:08,119
My ten thousand game simulation favors them by four and

917
00:42:08,119 --> 00:42:09,920
a half, which is a little bit more above the

918
00:42:09,920 --> 00:42:12,039
line than three and a half. By the way, Oregon

919
00:42:12,119 --> 00:42:14,440
was a three point favorite last year in Indianapolis in

920
00:42:14,480 --> 00:42:16,599
that Big Ten title game. I believe they're ten to

921
00:42:16,719 --> 00:42:20,360
zero since joining the conference. Yet Penn State did outgain

922
00:42:20,440 --> 00:42:23,400
them last year five hundred and eighteen yards the nitney

923
00:42:23,360 --> 00:42:24,920
the Lions had in that loss, even though they were

924
00:42:24,920 --> 00:42:28,000
down twenty eighten in the second quarter. So I'm really curious.

925
00:42:28,000 --> 00:42:30,039
I'm gonna learn a lot about both these teams, especially,

926
00:42:30,039 --> 00:42:32,519
as you said, James Franklin on Saturday night, in this

927
00:42:32,599 --> 00:42:35,280
huge matchup Oregon and Penn State. All Right, you always

928
00:42:35,280 --> 00:42:37,280
make me hungry because you got your sandwich game of

929
00:42:37,320 --> 00:42:39,599
the week and whatever else, and now you got a

930
00:42:39,599 --> 00:42:41,719
wing sauce play of the week or a wing sauce

931
00:42:42,119 --> 00:42:44,280
Team of the week. What are we doing with that one?

932
00:42:44,920 --> 00:42:47,760
Speaker 4: Well, if you haven't seen this one yet, we have fun,

933
00:42:47,840 --> 00:42:50,440
Steve with this one. And what we do is I

934
00:42:50,480 --> 00:42:52,960
either picked on a coach, pick on a player, pick

935
00:42:53,039 --> 00:42:56,039
on a team, and I give you a sauce, or

936
00:42:56,320 --> 00:42:59,639
try to make recommendations so you don't make mistakes with

937
00:42:59,679 --> 00:43:05,000
your choices and This one goes out to the one thousand,

938
00:43:05,320 --> 00:43:10,159
eight hundred and seventeen people in last week's circa contest

939
00:43:10,280 --> 00:43:13,360
that took the Green Bay Packers as their survivor pick.

940
00:43:13,880 --> 00:43:16,119
And let's just set the stage for the day. You're

941
00:43:16,159 --> 00:43:19,280
all excited. You know you're taking the Packers. They're playing

942
00:43:19,840 --> 00:43:22,599
Cleveland cloud Oh did I say Clowns? No, I'm sorry,

943
00:43:22,639 --> 00:43:23,639
the Cleveland Browns.

944
00:43:23,960 --> 00:43:27,079
Speaker 5: And what could go wrong? All you gotta do is win.

945
00:43:27,880 --> 00:43:28,960
Speaker 4: They can't get out of.

946
00:43:28,880 --> 00:43:29,440
Speaker 6: Their own way.

947
00:43:29,519 --> 00:43:34,119
Speaker 4: Joe Flacco is the quarterback. He's ancient. And so you

948
00:43:34,199 --> 00:43:38,480
get to your favorite green Bay Packer bart, you order

949
00:43:38,519 --> 00:43:41,960
your appetizer. Well, if you're a true Green Bay Packer fan,

950
00:43:42,320 --> 00:43:43,639
what appetizer would that be?

951
00:43:43,840 --> 00:43:45,400
Speaker 5: Well, you gotta order cheese curds.

952
00:43:45,440 --> 00:43:48,280
Speaker 4: All right, So you're now on those cheese curds and

953
00:43:48,480 --> 00:43:50,920
you decide you're gonna get some wings. What wings are

954
00:43:50,960 --> 00:43:53,559
you gonna get? Trying to decide? Well, we're gonna go

955
00:43:53,599 --> 00:43:55,960
with a twenty piece order. And there's the reason. And

956
00:43:56,119 --> 00:43:58,280
if you go with a twenty piece order, you can

957
00:43:58,320 --> 00:44:01,519
split two different sauces. We can go ten and ten

958
00:44:01,599 --> 00:44:04,719
and that's cool. It's a long game. So our sauce

959
00:44:04,920 --> 00:44:10,079
choices are sweet chili and hot buffalo. We want, you know,

960
00:44:10,920 --> 00:44:13,599
some diversity in our life. We want that sweetness, but

961
00:44:13,639 --> 00:44:16,480
we want some heat. Well, now let's start eating and

962
00:44:16,519 --> 00:44:20,119
let's start enjoying the game. Green Bay's up ten to nothing. Great,

963
00:44:20,440 --> 00:44:23,440
we've got him in a survivor contest. That wasn't enough

964
00:44:23,519 --> 00:44:27,039
action for us. We had to have a few teasers

965
00:44:27,199 --> 00:44:30,360
with green Bay. Hey, six point teaser, you bring them

966
00:44:30,400 --> 00:44:32,039
down minus one and a half. They just got to

967
00:44:32,079 --> 00:44:35,679
win the game ten nothing. Cleveland can't move the football

968
00:44:35,719 --> 00:44:38,840
at all. You're living large, You're enjoying life. You just

969
00:44:38,920 --> 00:44:42,360
keep mowing down those sweet chili wings because just like

970
00:44:42,480 --> 00:44:46,239
Green Bay, it's sweet watching the game. And then it

971
00:44:46,239 --> 00:44:48,800
gets to the fourth quarter, and then it gets to

972
00:44:49,119 --> 00:44:56,400
under four minutes to play and Cleveland gets into scoring territory.

973
00:44:56,559 --> 00:44:59,599
They've got first in goal. They shoot themselves in the

974
00:44:59,599 --> 00:45:02,079
foot and have to settle for a fueld goal with

975
00:45:02,119 --> 00:45:05,039
the penalty. So fine, it's still ten to three. We

976
00:45:05,159 --> 00:45:07,440
got like three forty two left in the game. We're

977
00:45:07,440 --> 00:45:10,239
getting the ball back. They're gonna kick it away because

978
00:45:10,440 --> 00:45:13,119
they got time outs left and try to hold us all.

979
00:45:13,159 --> 00:45:16,920
We need one field goal or first down, you're probably

980
00:45:16,920 --> 00:45:21,320
good two games over. Fast forward to third and three.

981
00:45:21,880 --> 00:45:26,159
Jordan Love throws his first interception of the season, and

982
00:45:26,360 --> 00:45:29,400
was it hey, god awful, ugly one. There wasn't a

983
00:45:29,440 --> 00:45:32,840
Green Bay receiver near it right into the hands of

984
00:45:33,320 --> 00:45:36,480
the defender for Cleveland, who runs it back inside the five,

985
00:45:37,679 --> 00:45:40,000
and they end up punching it in. It's ten to ten.

986
00:45:40,880 --> 00:45:41,000
Speaker 1: Now.

987
00:45:41,119 --> 00:45:44,000
Speaker 4: All of a sudden, you're nervous. You're eating what wings

988
00:45:44,000 --> 00:45:47,039
are left, and most of the wings that are left

989
00:45:47,039 --> 00:45:50,440
are those hot buffalo ones. Keep eating and eating.

990
00:45:50,679 --> 00:45:51,360
Speaker 2: You're nervous.

991
00:45:51,519 --> 00:45:52,800
Speaker 4: You're driving down the field.

992
00:45:53,079 --> 00:45:53,639
Speaker 5: Don't worry.

993
00:45:53,679 --> 00:45:56,199
Speaker 4: It's all gonna work out. You're gonna kick a forty

994
00:45:56,239 --> 00:45:59,960
five yard field goal with twenty seconds left.

995
00:46:00,320 --> 00:46:00,559
Speaker 5: Game.

996
00:46:00,599 --> 00:46:01,519
Speaker 2: I'm gonna be over.

997
00:46:02,199 --> 00:46:02,280
Speaker 1: No.

998
00:46:03,000 --> 00:46:06,280
Speaker 4: It was chaos Sunday as far as kickers go. It's

999
00:46:06,360 --> 00:46:09,559
blocked ed. Cleveland gets the ball at the green Bay

1000
00:46:09,599 --> 00:46:13,079
forty eight and gets a couple of yards, tries a

1001
00:46:13,119 --> 00:46:16,480
fifty five yard field goal at the gun, and goodbye.

1002
00:46:17,039 --> 00:46:21,880
Eighteen and seventeen survivor picks in circa and all of

1003
00:46:21,880 --> 00:46:24,119
a sudden, all of those hot wings that you ate

1004
00:46:24,159 --> 00:46:27,079
at the end of the game come back with vengeance.

1005
00:46:27,719 --> 00:46:30,679
Don't mix wings, and if you do mix them, keep

1006
00:46:30,719 --> 00:46:34,280
them in the same sauce level. Don't go sweet and hot,

1007
00:46:34,440 --> 00:46:37,360
or if you do alternate your wings, don't leave all

1008
00:46:37,360 --> 00:46:38,679
the hot ones for the end.

1009
00:46:38,880 --> 00:46:39,880
Speaker 5: It could be nasty.

1010
00:46:41,079 --> 00:46:44,559
Speaker 2: George likes his compal spicy. One of my favorite songfel Lines,

1011
00:46:44,760 --> 00:46:47,280
So that's kind of what it came down to there. Yeah,

1012
00:46:47,320 --> 00:46:49,320
you know it's funny, Marco. I thought of you last week.

1013
00:46:49,360 --> 00:46:51,039
I even maybe gave you a shout out in my

1014
00:46:51,039 --> 00:46:54,239
fad the public video because I thought that Packers Browns

1015
00:46:54,280 --> 00:46:57,039
game was the biggest sandwich spot of the entire NFL

1016
00:46:57,159 --> 00:47:00,280
season for a team. I said it in the video.

1017
00:47:00,320 --> 00:47:02,480
I said, do not use them in your survivor contest.

1018
00:47:03,280 --> 00:47:05,239
I would be careful with teasers. Even though it's seven

1019
00:47:05,280 --> 00:47:08,400
and a half, they make attempting teaser. They're coming off

1020
00:47:08,440 --> 00:47:11,519
the division win against the Lions, the Thursday night spotlight

1021
00:47:11,559 --> 00:47:13,920
game against not my Washington Commanders, and then oh, look

1022
00:47:13,920 --> 00:47:16,840
you here this week they're on Sunday Night football at Dallas.

1023
00:47:17,039 --> 00:47:19,119
So I've thought of you with the sandwich situation. So

1024
00:47:19,159 --> 00:47:22,079
it's ironic that it became a wing sauce play of

1025
00:47:22,119 --> 00:47:25,840
the week as well in the follow up Marco D'Angelo,

1026
00:47:25,960 --> 00:47:28,840
he gets it done on bet online, bet online, bet

1027
00:47:28,880 --> 00:47:30,920
on It. We had bet online on yesterday with Dave

1028
00:47:30,960 --> 00:47:34,760
Mason bol Boi is bet on it. Kelly Stewart's coming

1029
00:47:34,840 --> 00:47:36,440
up in a moment. You're on it as well, tell

1030
00:47:36,519 --> 00:47:38,400
us about that. It's what is it Wednesdays. You can

1031
00:47:38,440 --> 00:47:40,920
watch it twenty four to seven afterwards and then also

1032
00:47:40,960 --> 00:47:41,920
what you got a wager? Talk?

1033
00:47:42,760 --> 00:47:45,079
Speaker 4: Yeah, and if you like what I do with those

1034
00:47:45,119 --> 00:47:48,639
sandwich games, Steve where brought it back for the second year.

1035
00:47:48,679 --> 00:47:51,960
I do a Marco's Deli. It's out. It comes out

1036
00:47:52,000 --> 00:47:54,639
on Thursday night and it's been great. We've had three

1037
00:47:54,719 --> 00:47:58,440
episodes so far, and we give you we've had five

1038
00:47:58,519 --> 00:48:01,079
free plays in each of those. We're ten and five

1039
00:48:01,199 --> 00:48:05,320
on a season, three winning episodes in a row. They've

1040
00:48:05,320 --> 00:48:08,239
all been profitable and you can get five more plays

1041
00:48:08,280 --> 00:48:08,639
this week.

1042
00:48:08,719 --> 00:48:09,519
Speaker 2: Check that out.

1043
00:48:09,719 --> 00:48:11,760
Speaker 4: And if you like bet on It, we've got a

1044
00:48:11,840 --> 00:48:15,920
special offer with VR and myself. You can get both

1045
00:48:15,920 --> 00:48:20,159
of us college and Pro football through the Super Bowl

1046
00:48:20,440 --> 00:48:24,519
individually seven hundred and thirty nine dollars for me or VR,

1047
00:48:24,639 --> 00:48:27,280
but if you buy us together, you can get us

1048
00:48:27,320 --> 00:48:31,000
through the super Bowl for eleven and ninety eight dollars.

1049
00:48:31,480 --> 00:48:34,360
That is the best offer going right now. And then,

1050
00:48:34,440 --> 00:48:36,800
of course, if we just want to look for the weekend,

1051
00:48:37,039 --> 00:48:39,679
we still have that sight wide. Any of the cappers

1052
00:48:39,880 --> 00:48:42,480
at wager talk, you can pick up that weekend Warrior

1053
00:48:42,760 --> 00:48:47,199
get all of your favorite cappers Saturday and Sunday plays

1054
00:48:48,000 --> 00:48:51,920
in college and pro football for forty nine dollars going

1055
00:48:51,960 --> 00:48:55,079
back to last year the past two seasons. I'm number

1056
00:48:55,079 --> 00:48:57,920
two and money one at wager Talk in college and

1057
00:48:57,960 --> 00:49:02,960
pro combined, So highly recommend jumping on board for my place.

1058
00:49:03,719 --> 00:49:05,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, just some great offers right now at wager talk

1059
00:49:05,920 --> 00:49:09,400
dot com. And one's gonna catch Marco in VR Yanni.

1060
00:49:09,480 --> 00:49:11,760
We had him on earlier on bet on It every

1061
00:49:11,840 --> 00:49:13,960
Wednesday and it's your archive twenty four to seven. And

1062
00:49:14,000 --> 00:49:15,840
speaking of bet on It, Kelly Stewart's also on the

1063
00:49:15,880 --> 00:49:17,800
show and she's been waiting patiently in the wings here

1064
00:49:17,800 --> 00:49:20,599
as we finish off this Friday wager Talk today. And

1065
00:49:20,599 --> 00:49:22,599
there's so many great offers right now wager Talk, I

1066
00:49:22,599 --> 00:49:24,559
can't list them all. Just go to the website check

1067
00:49:24,599 --> 00:49:27,639
them out. I forgot to mention yesterday nine dollars Baseball

1068
00:49:27,679 --> 00:49:29,440
best bets for every day for the rest of the

1069
00:49:29,480 --> 00:49:32,719
seat this weekend for the regular season. And I also

1070
00:49:32,800 --> 00:49:35,599
believe a nine dollars gold sheet special this week seven

1071
00:49:35,639 --> 00:49:38,440
dollars at Picks and Parlays dot net. Kelly, what else

1072
00:49:38,480 --> 00:49:40,480
am I missing? I know we got like ten other specials.

1073
00:49:40,639 --> 00:49:41,599
We'll mention them this weekend.

1074
00:49:41,599 --> 00:49:43,360
Speaker 8: On last call, I didn't come on here to talk

1075
00:49:43,400 --> 00:49:43,960
about specials.

1076
00:49:44,000 --> 00:49:46,199
Speaker 9: I can't talking about all the stuff that I'm doing,

1077
00:49:47,360 --> 00:49:49,639
I said, Steve, ask me, what's going on this weekend

1078
00:49:49,840 --> 00:49:51,159
on the Wager Talking YouTube channel.

1079
00:49:51,280 --> 00:49:53,519
Speaker 8: No, Wager Talk's got a ton of great stuff.

1080
00:49:53,559 --> 00:49:57,679
Speaker 9: You mentioned Picks and Parlays dot net today seven dollars Friday.

1081
00:49:58,079 --> 00:50:01,280
Something new they're trying out over there. Obviously, the weekend

1082
00:50:01,320 --> 00:50:05,360
Warrior package has been doing great over the last few weekends.

1083
00:50:05,400 --> 00:50:09,039
And of course, if you're looking for a longer term promotion,

1084
00:50:09,159 --> 00:50:11,960
you can join up with VR and Marco and their

1085
00:50:12,000 --> 00:50:14,320
bet on It promotion. Save yourself a few hundred bucks

1086
00:50:14,320 --> 00:50:16,039
there by getting both kaffers.

1087
00:50:17,079 --> 00:50:19,239
Speaker 2: It's good stuff. And I had Joe Vernaire on yesterday

1088
00:50:19,239 --> 00:50:21,599
and I said it was surreal the interviewing Joe because

1089
00:50:21,639 --> 00:50:23,400
he'd been the host for hundreds of shows i'd done

1090
00:50:23,400 --> 00:50:25,039
with him, and I don't think I've technically ever had

1091
00:50:25,079 --> 00:50:26,800
you on as a guest, but it's been the other

1092
00:50:26,840 --> 00:50:30,280
way around quite often. So we've completed the circle two

1093
00:50:30,360 --> 00:50:32,800
days in a row. Joe Vernari and Kelly Stewart the guest,

1094
00:50:33,119 --> 00:50:34,840
Steve Merril the host. I don't know, it's all right.

1095
00:50:35,000 --> 00:50:37,239
I'm fine either way, as I'm sure you are. We

1096
00:50:37,400 --> 00:50:40,039
Rocket and you've got some NFL games, it's fitting that

1097
00:50:40,039 --> 00:50:43,079
we are talking Survivor, a strategy you and I have

1098
00:50:43,119 --> 00:50:46,480
talked about before. You don't necessarily have to pick the

1099
00:50:46,559 --> 00:50:48,440
right game every week. You just have to stay off

1100
00:50:48,440 --> 00:50:50,800
some games and hope that the game theory kicks in

1101
00:50:50,840 --> 00:50:52,960
and that you get what was it eighteen hundred and

1102
00:50:53,000 --> 00:50:57,039
seventeen people eliminated? As Marco said, we'll talk about some

1103
00:50:57,119 --> 00:50:58,760
Survivor in a moment. Also, I think Dan's going to

1104
00:50:58,840 --> 00:51:00,480
jump onto the end and give us his ever picked

1105
00:51:00,480 --> 00:51:03,199
for the week. Some other NFL games. You've mentioned the

1106
00:51:03,280 --> 00:51:05,480
Raiders as a game you liked. Marco liked them as well.

1107
00:51:05,519 --> 00:51:07,239
What else are you looking in the NFL this week?

1108
00:51:07,559 --> 00:51:09,880
Speaker 9: Yeah, there's a couple of games that I didn't hear

1109
00:51:09,920 --> 00:51:13,320
you guys talk about so I apologize if they are redundant,

1110
00:51:13,320 --> 00:51:14,679
but I like the Colts this weekend.

1111
00:51:15,119 --> 00:51:16,320
Speaker 8: I really like what we've.

1112
00:51:16,159 --> 00:51:19,679
Speaker 9: Seen from Daniel Jones here, and more importantly, I think

1113
00:51:19,679 --> 00:51:21,559
this is a spot that's kind of one of those

1114
00:51:21,599 --> 00:51:24,679
left down spots for the Rams. Right, they were back

1115
00:51:24,719 --> 00:51:26,280
to back games, are on the East Coast.

1116
00:51:26,599 --> 00:51:29,400
Speaker 8: How do they put.

1117
00:51:28,719 --> 00:51:32,960
Speaker 9: That Philadelphia loss behind them? I don't really know. That

1118
00:51:33,159 --> 00:51:35,920
was just absolutely bananas. If you saw me and Pres

1119
00:51:35,960 --> 00:51:38,760
on End Zone Live, he and I had the Eagles

1120
00:51:38,920 --> 00:51:41,000
hand up. Did not deserve the cash that ticket In

1121
00:51:41,079 --> 00:51:44,199
the slightest I told Pres the entire show, stop watching

1122
00:51:44,239 --> 00:51:45,480
the game, it's over.

1123
00:51:45,719 --> 00:51:48,559
Speaker 8: No one cares. I even text some of my friends live.

1124
00:51:48,639 --> 00:51:50,920
Speaker 9: It was like go birds because the weekend before I

1125
00:51:50,960 --> 00:51:53,280
had the Chiefs and they wouldn't shut up about my

1126
00:51:53,360 --> 00:51:56,360
Chiefs bet So I was trying to mush it anyway

1127
00:51:56,400 --> 00:51:57,840
possible and it worked.

1128
00:51:58,079 --> 00:51:59,760
Speaker 8: I'll take that one going my way.

1129
00:51:59,800 --> 00:52:02,679
Speaker 9: But that is a gut wrenching loss for the Rams

1130
00:52:02,840 --> 00:52:05,639
to lose in that kind of horrific fashion, to blow

1131
00:52:05,679 --> 00:52:08,400
that type of lead again, I know that the Colts

1132
00:52:08,400 --> 00:52:11,440
haven't really played anybody, or that's going to be the argument, right,

1133
00:52:11,679 --> 00:52:15,719
Titans and Dolphins and getting lucky against my Broncos. But

1134
00:52:16,559 --> 00:52:18,920
I don't think that they're fraudulent by any means right now,

1135
00:52:19,000 --> 00:52:22,079
number two in EPA per play, number two in success rate,

1136
00:52:22,159 --> 00:52:25,679
number one and EPA per pass attempt, number one pass

1137
00:52:25,719 --> 00:52:27,199
success rate and number five.

1138
00:52:27,320 --> 00:52:30,679
Speaker 8: EPA rush attempt. I think this team is still underrated

1139
00:52:30,880 --> 00:52:32,480
and not getting enough respect.

1140
00:52:33,239 --> 00:52:35,320
Speaker 9: I looked on the odd Logic screen a little earlier.

1141
00:52:35,360 --> 00:52:37,480
We saw some threes coming. So hopefully you guys na

1142
00:52:37,639 --> 00:52:39,480
that three and a half three and a half's in

1143
00:52:39,519 --> 00:52:41,199
the contest will make my card.

1144
00:52:42,039 --> 00:52:43,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's on that key number three and a half

1145
00:52:43,519 --> 00:52:44,960
in a lot of spots. By the way, we're not

1146
00:52:44,960 --> 00:52:46,880
necessarly gonna talk about this game, but if you check

1147
00:52:46,920 --> 00:52:49,079
the Odds Logic Live odd screen, you'll see as about

1148
00:52:49,280 --> 00:52:51,840
ten minutes ago that the Atlanta Washington game is lightening up.

1149
00:52:52,239 --> 00:52:54,239
That's gone from two to two and a half. Atlanta

1150
00:52:54,280 --> 00:52:57,719
the home favored against not my Washington Commanders, and Pinnix

1151
00:52:57,760 --> 00:53:01,000
was announced. It's still the starter earlier this week or yesterday.

1152
00:53:01,519 --> 00:53:04,079
That's not why it's rising because Jayden Daniels has been

1153
00:53:04,159 --> 00:53:06,239
ruled out again this week. I don't think that was

1154
00:53:06,280 --> 00:53:08,119
a huge surprise, but I guess it's enough killing to

1155
00:53:08,159 --> 00:53:09,079
move in a half a point.

1156
00:53:09,280 --> 00:53:09,480
Speaker 4: Yeah.

1157
00:53:09,519 --> 00:53:12,400
Speaker 9: Look, you can find some stale lines, Steve, you should

1158
00:53:12,440 --> 00:53:14,280
be taking advantage of those in your contest.

1159
00:53:14,400 --> 00:53:17,159
Speaker 8: I certainly did. I also tease the Falcons.

1160
00:53:16,679 --> 00:53:19,880
Speaker 9: Early in the week last night with the Cardinals, with

1161
00:53:20,000 --> 00:53:22,840
the Steelers there on Sunday morning in Dublin, and then

1162
00:53:22,840 --> 00:53:25,320
the line was gone. I know VR says not to

1163
00:53:25,360 --> 00:53:27,840
do that, but of course I did that because, well,

1164
00:53:27,880 --> 00:53:30,000
you know, sometimes I like to break the rules. I

1165
00:53:30,039 --> 00:53:32,360
do think I have a nice advantageous number for a

1166
00:53:32,400 --> 00:53:33,800
Falcons team that.

1167
00:53:34,000 --> 00:53:35,280
Speaker 8: Just got their doors blown off.

1168
00:53:35,360 --> 00:53:37,960
Speaker 9: Speaking of Survivor, I was watching with karm I know,

1169
00:53:38,039 --> 00:53:40,360
Andy who regular hosts the show. Thought they were gonna

1170
00:53:40,400 --> 00:53:43,239
get a little creative and take Atlanta last week. I

1171
00:53:43,559 --> 00:53:47,119
was floored to see how many other people did that

1172
00:53:47,159 --> 00:53:50,320
in the circuit contest as well. I understand wanning to

1173
00:53:50,400 --> 00:53:53,840
zig when others zag, but when there is such a

1174
00:53:53,880 --> 00:53:57,079
massive favorite, double digit favorite, lots of touchdown favorites, I

1175
00:53:57,079 --> 00:54:00,960
don't understand taking that smaller favorite this week.

1176
00:54:01,079 --> 00:54:02,079
Speaker 8: Kind of feel the same way.

1177
00:54:03,400 --> 00:54:05,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, the biggest one on the board here

1178
00:54:05,039 --> 00:54:08,039
is Buffalo, New Orleans. I have a feeling that we do. Yeah,

1179
00:54:07,920 --> 00:54:10,400
when Dan jumpson to have a field, we'll be talking

1180
00:54:10,440 --> 00:54:11,199
about that as well.

1181
00:54:11,480 --> 00:54:14,079
Speaker 9: The argument is, you want to keep these teams for

1182
00:54:14,119 --> 00:54:18,480
as long as you can. Right, Why Josh Allen is

1183
00:54:18,559 --> 00:54:21,920
not wrapped in bubble wrap. We don't know what's going

1184
00:54:21,960 --> 00:54:25,960
to happen. We saw Joe Burrow go down right out

1185
00:54:26,000 --> 00:54:28,239
of the gate. Similar years, We've seen the same things

1186
00:54:28,239 --> 00:54:30,840
start to happen. So why would I save Cincinnati?

1187
00:54:30,920 --> 00:54:31,000
Speaker 4: Right?

1188
00:54:31,039 --> 00:54:32,679
Speaker 9: They ended up winning that game in Cleveland, but I

1189
00:54:32,719 --> 00:54:34,440
know a lot of people who did advance with them.

1190
00:54:34,920 --> 00:54:36,159
Speaker 8: Probably the right move.

1191
00:54:36,599 --> 00:54:38,679
Speaker 9: It's kind of tough to say, oh, I got to

1192
00:54:38,719 --> 00:54:40,199
save Kansas City for Christmas?

1193
00:54:40,280 --> 00:54:40,599
Speaker 8: Okay.

1194
00:54:40,840 --> 00:54:43,320
Speaker 9: Patrick Mahomes has been healthy his entire career. What if

1195
00:54:43,320 --> 00:54:47,159
he's not? I think having certain games where you save it. No,

1196
00:54:47,320 --> 00:54:49,519
I think you take the easy win with Buffalo and

1197
00:54:49,559 --> 00:54:51,880
you get the hell out of Dodge Well.

1198
00:54:51,920 --> 00:54:53,159
Speaker 2: And the other thing too is you got to look

1199
00:54:53,159 --> 00:54:55,039
at like when will you have a better opportunity even

1200
00:54:55,079 --> 00:54:56,880
if he stays healthy. And I'm looking at the advanced

1201
00:54:56,880 --> 00:54:58,840
schedule here, They're gonna be about a ten point favorite

1202
00:54:58,840 --> 00:55:01,239
against New England next week, and then there are eight

1203
00:55:01,239 --> 00:55:02,920
and a half and nine and a half point favorites

1204
00:55:02,920 --> 00:55:05,639
in December against the Browns and Jets. If that holds up,

1205
00:55:05,760 --> 00:55:07,840
we have no clue what the situation will be. There

1206
00:55:07,840 --> 00:55:09,960
could be less of a touchdown favorite in every game,

1207
00:55:10,000 --> 00:55:11,320
like seven straight games after that.

1208
00:55:12,039 --> 00:55:14,840
Speaker 9: I had Johnny Detroit and I cannot remember what year

1209
00:55:14,880 --> 00:55:16,480
it was. It hadn't been five or six years ago,

1210
00:55:16,519 --> 00:55:19,480
maybe first or second year of CIRCA. We had the

1211
00:55:19,639 --> 00:55:23,119
Ravens as thirteen and a half point favorites in week

1212
00:55:23,280 --> 00:55:25,960
seventeen and all they had to do was win the

1213
00:55:26,000 --> 00:55:30,599
game and guess what they lost Like they lost the

1214
00:55:30,719 --> 00:55:34,039
game because it did not matter to them and as

1215
00:55:34,079 --> 00:55:36,360
far as their playoff standing goes, So those things happen

1216
00:55:36,400 --> 00:55:38,880
as well, Like now we've added an extra week on

1217
00:55:39,280 --> 00:55:42,320
what if Buffalo clinches the playoffs really earlier? I mean,

1218
00:55:42,400 --> 00:55:46,679
this AFC East Division has not been anything to write

1219
00:55:46,719 --> 00:55:48,800
home about in any former fashion.

1220
00:55:49,599 --> 00:55:50,480
Speaker 8: They clinch early.

1221
00:55:51,199 --> 00:55:54,079
Speaker 9: He started seeing starters get rested, things like that. It

1222
00:55:54,119 --> 00:55:56,719
gets a little, it gets a little convoluted. I think

1223
00:55:56,800 --> 00:55:59,119
later in the season, I'm looking at teams maybe like

1224
00:55:59,119 --> 00:56:01,719
in Atlanta or a Tampa Bay who I think might

1225
00:56:01,800 --> 00:56:04,840
be fighting for that wild card spot or a great

1226
00:56:04,920 --> 00:56:08,000
spot into the into the playoffs. Those are the types

1227
00:56:08,000 --> 00:56:11,599
of teams I'm looking to save late, not these best teams. Yeah, sure,

1228
00:56:11,639 --> 00:56:13,400
we could argue, don't use Detroit this week?

1229
00:56:13,519 --> 00:56:13,840
Speaker 8: Save it.

1230
00:56:13,880 --> 00:56:16,280
Speaker 9: Sorry, I just realized I'm just hijacked Dan's entire segment.

1231
00:56:16,320 --> 00:56:18,280
We should just bring him in. We should all three

1232
00:56:18,400 --> 00:56:19,000
talk about it.

1233
00:56:19,119 --> 00:56:21,280
Speaker 2: I recommended that. I actually had a private chat with him.

1234
00:56:21,320 --> 00:56:23,920
I go, do you want to do this? Do you

1235
00:56:23,920 --> 00:56:25,440
want to jump guys?

1236
00:56:25,880 --> 00:56:27,519
Speaker 5: No, it's funny because Kelly.

1237
00:56:27,280 --> 00:56:29,559
Speaker 2: And I suggest jumping in with the three?

1238
00:56:29,719 --> 00:56:30,519
Speaker 6: Did it is?

1239
00:56:30,679 --> 00:56:31,559
Speaker 5: Steve isn't lying.

1240
00:56:31,599 --> 00:56:34,119
Speaker 7: Steve isn't lying, But no, Kelly and I we we

1241
00:56:34,199 --> 00:56:36,599
kind of already had this conversation off air before we

1242
00:56:36,599 --> 00:56:38,840
were recording bet on It because I was kicking around.

1243
00:56:38,880 --> 00:56:41,039
I was like, Kelly, do I just use Buffalo this

1244
00:56:41,079 --> 00:56:43,719
week for the exact same reason. It's like, what is

1245
00:56:43,760 --> 00:56:46,239
the point of saving these good teams? And I did,

1246
00:56:46,440 --> 00:56:48,280
you know, get a little cute. And Andy was one

1247
00:56:48,280 --> 00:56:51,119
of the people who did say I'm going with the Falcons,

1248
00:56:51,119 --> 00:56:54,639
And I said, dude, I like Carolina a lot last week.

1249
00:56:54,639 --> 00:56:57,079
That was one of my my circa picks. And and

1250
00:56:57,119 --> 00:56:59,119
you know, I didn't expect him win by thirty.

1251
00:56:59,400 --> 00:57:01,239
Speaker 5: But they get it. So when you get.

1252
00:57:01,079 --> 00:57:03,400
Speaker 7: Cute, when you get a little uh, you know, hey,

1253
00:57:03,599 --> 00:57:06,719
let's let's keep these teams alive, that's when you start

1254
00:57:06,719 --> 00:57:09,639
playing a dangerous game. So one that I kicked around

1255
00:57:09,679 --> 00:57:13,079
though even before the line move was Atlanta. I mean

1256
00:57:13,440 --> 00:57:16,880
it's more I want to play on a team that

1257
00:57:16,960 --> 00:57:20,639
got that badly beaten yet outgained the team. It wasn't

1258
00:57:20,840 --> 00:57:23,199
like the final score was such a liar in that

1259
00:57:23,199 --> 00:57:26,199
Falcons game. So I toyed around that, But I was like,

1260
00:57:26,480 --> 00:57:29,159
if Andy and I both get bounced on the Falcons

1261
00:57:29,199 --> 00:57:30,639
back to back weeks.

1262
00:57:30,800 --> 00:57:33,119
Speaker 5: I can never live with that. If I live with

1263
00:57:33,519 --> 00:57:35,679
losing to Spencer Spencer.

1264
00:57:35,400 --> 00:57:40,519
Speaker 7: Rattler on the road, Okay, you got me, Buffalo's.

1265
00:57:39,480 --> 00:57:41,320
Speaker 8: That's exactly it. And that's what I said last week

1266
00:57:41,320 --> 00:57:41,840
with Buffalo.

1267
00:57:42,000 --> 00:57:46,000
Speaker 9: If tuattago Ilaw plays his ass off, doesn't throw any interceptions,

1268
00:57:46,000 --> 00:57:47,480
which he ultimately.

1269
00:57:47,000 --> 00:57:50,159
Speaker 8: Did, and they go in and they beat their divisional.

1270
00:57:49,880 --> 00:57:53,039
Speaker 9: Arrival Thursday Night Football a double digit underdogs, I can

1271
00:57:53,039 --> 00:57:54,360
live with that. You know what, I could not live

1272
00:57:54,400 --> 00:57:57,400
with having the Falcons last week taking the Packers against

1273
00:57:57,400 --> 00:57:59,400
the Browns, like we all sat right here and said

1274
00:57:59,440 --> 00:58:01,119
those are things I can't live with myself.

1275
00:58:01,280 --> 00:58:02,559
Speaker 8: Taking the Bucks last week.

1276
00:58:02,639 --> 00:58:04,119
Speaker 9: Yes, they did end up getting the win, but I

1277
00:58:04,239 --> 00:58:07,199
played the other side the Jets, and I'm like, I

1278
00:58:07,360 --> 00:58:08,360
don't want.

1279
00:58:08,239 --> 00:58:10,239
Speaker 8: This this give and take.

1280
00:58:10,840 --> 00:58:12,880
Speaker 9: I'm gonna play the Texans in some of mine this week.

1281
00:58:13,159 --> 00:58:15,199
I was about to say, I don't like the Titans.

1282
00:58:15,239 --> 00:58:18,280
Plus the touchdown exactly. That was the other one that

1283
00:58:18,320 --> 00:58:20,119
I was gonna say. The only other one that jumps

1284
00:58:20,119 --> 00:58:23,000
off the board at you is Houston, and I can't

1285
00:58:23,039 --> 00:58:25,840
trust that team with a ten foot pull. Yes, Tennessee

1286
00:58:26,000 --> 00:58:29,679
completely embarrassed themselves last week, and they kind of embarrassed

1287
00:58:29,679 --> 00:58:32,920
themselves this entire season. But outside of the Broncos game,

1288
00:58:33,000 --> 00:58:35,280
Outside of the Broncos game, they have looked awful. Cam

1289
00:58:35,360 --> 00:58:38,599
Ward's receivers cost him that Broncos game, thankfully because I

1290
00:58:38,599 --> 00:58:42,280
had Broncos Week one. Outside of that, they have been atrocious.

1291
00:58:42,360 --> 00:58:43,840
Brian Callahan's gonna lose his.

1292
00:58:43,800 --> 00:58:44,840
Speaker 5: Job, yeah.

1293
00:58:44,880 --> 00:58:48,480
Speaker 7: And Houston offensive line issues. I mean they've had offensive

1294
00:58:48,480 --> 00:58:49,119
line issues.

1295
00:58:49,320 --> 00:58:49,559
Speaker 5: C J.

1296
00:58:49,760 --> 00:58:52,880
Speaker 7: Stroud's still getting by that rookie campaign. He's never looked

1297
00:58:52,920 --> 00:58:55,119
the same since then. So that one.

1298
00:58:54,920 --> 00:58:57,119
Speaker 5: Would be the other one. I would toy with.

1299
00:58:57,400 --> 00:59:00,400
Speaker 7: But again, it's week four now, it's just revive in

1300
00:59:00,440 --> 00:59:02,559
advance and then take it from that point, take some

1301
00:59:02,679 --> 00:59:04,800
risks later on rather than early.

1302
00:59:04,920 --> 00:59:07,559
Speaker 8: So do you do you want?

1303
00:59:07,679 --> 00:59:09,559
Speaker 9: I know we're up against it time wise, but do

1304
00:59:09,639 --> 00:59:13,960
you want to save the Lions for Thanksgiving or Christmas?

1305
00:59:13,960 --> 00:59:14,280
Speaker 8: Personally?

1306
00:59:14,360 --> 00:59:14,960
Speaker 5: I don't.

1307
00:59:15,239 --> 00:59:17,599
Speaker 8: I don't. You don't I don't because I'm gonna tell

1308
00:59:17,599 --> 00:59:17,960
you why.

1309
00:59:18,440 --> 00:59:22,280
Speaker 9: I don't want to take them on the road versus

1310
00:59:22,320 --> 00:59:23,559
the Vikings on Christmas Day.

1311
00:59:23,920 --> 00:59:24,920
Speaker 8: I don't. I think.

1312
00:59:25,280 --> 00:59:27,519
Speaker 9: I think Kevin O'Connell is an excellent coach. I don't

1313
00:59:27,519 --> 00:59:29,480
think it doesn't matter who's the quarterback for that team.

1314
00:59:29,840 --> 00:59:32,800
And let's not forget just a few short years ago,

1315
00:59:33,039 --> 00:59:37,079
the Packers ruined my Thanksgiving on my birthday because we's

1316
00:59:37,239 --> 00:59:41,199
the Lions and the Packers go in and upset the Lions.

1317
00:59:41,199 --> 00:59:43,039
I'm like, no, I want no part of that. I'm

1318
00:59:43,039 --> 00:59:45,639
gonna go Birds for Thanksgiving.

1319
00:59:45,679 --> 00:59:48,159
Speaker 8: I'm saving That's what I was about to say. And

1320
00:59:48,199 --> 00:59:50,880
they won't ruin your Thanksgiving because that's the stupid.

1321
00:59:50,519 --> 00:59:53,440
Speaker 7: Amazon Prime Friday game, So your Thanksgiving is safe.

1322
00:59:53,840 --> 00:59:55,360
Speaker 5: The Birds are the are the pick on.

1323
00:59:58,440 --> 01:00:02,480
Speaker 7: Use Friday for your Thanksgiving technically is the Thanksgiving game

1324
01:00:02,559 --> 01:00:03,239
slate as well.

1325
01:00:03,320 --> 01:00:06,679
Speaker 9: Yeah, so that's my point, like now saying that, like

1326
01:00:06,800 --> 01:00:09,760
let's hope knock on wood, all of the all of

1327
01:00:09,800 --> 01:00:12,159
the Eagles players are fully healthy in there, there's I'm

1328
01:00:12,159 --> 01:00:14,639
gonna have a couple other options that are still available

1329
01:00:15,400 --> 01:00:16,039
just in case.

1330
01:00:16,079 --> 01:00:18,480
Speaker 8: But the Lions is not one of the teams that

1331
01:00:18,559 --> 01:00:19,119
I want to keep.

1332
01:00:19,159 --> 01:00:22,360
Speaker 9: Maybe Baltimore, maybe I keep Baltimore, maybe I keep Philly.

1333
01:00:22,840 --> 01:00:24,360
I know what I'm gonna use the Packers, So I'm

1334
01:00:24,360 --> 01:00:27,000
gonna keep that in my side pocket. But that being said,

1335
01:00:27,119 --> 01:00:30,039
like I don't want one of these really like tough

1336
01:00:30,079 --> 01:00:33,440
divisional matchups that we know you're gonna get the best.

1337
01:00:33,239 --> 01:00:33,960
Speaker 8: From the underdog.

1338
01:00:34,400 --> 01:00:36,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, right now, the projected to be about a two

1339
01:00:36,840 --> 01:00:38,760
and a half point favorite in both the Thanksgiving and

1340
01:00:38,840 --> 01:00:41,960
Christmas games against the Packers and Vikings, So you're talking

1341
01:00:41,960 --> 01:00:45,119
about fifty five fifty chance the best to win either one.

1342
01:00:45,280 --> 01:00:47,079
Speaker 8: I think you can use the Lions this week.

1343
01:00:47,920 --> 01:00:49,639
Speaker 9: We're gonna go Chris and I use the Lions a

1344
01:00:49,639 --> 01:00:51,480
couple of weeks ago, because we already knew weren't going

1345
01:00:51,519 --> 01:00:53,559
to save them for Thanksgiving. In Circa and the five

1346
01:00:53,639 --> 01:00:56,000
km playing a little more conservative. I know a lot

1347
01:00:56,000 --> 01:00:58,000
of people think, oh, you just use Texans, it's the

1348
01:00:58,039 --> 01:00:58,880
only week you can use them.

1349
01:00:58,920 --> 01:01:00,360
Speaker 8: I'm using Lions over there.

1350
01:01:00,400 --> 01:01:03,960
Speaker 9: I'm gonna do probably double Texans in Circa because I

1351
01:01:04,000 --> 01:01:06,599
do think Circa, because the pool is so much bigger,

1352
01:01:07,000 --> 01:01:09,199
you you really do have to take some more risks

1353
01:01:09,280 --> 01:01:11,519
in the five k. We're down to less than ninety people,

1354
01:01:11,920 --> 01:01:14,280
So I'm gonna be play a little bit more conservative

1355
01:01:14,280 --> 01:01:16,119
and find other spots to take risks.

1356
01:01:16,159 --> 01:01:17,239
Speaker 8: This week isn't one of them.

1357
01:01:17,440 --> 01:01:19,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, they're only projected, but Houston's only projected to be

1358
01:01:19,920 --> 01:01:22,280
more than a four point favorite. There could be a

1359
01:01:22,280 --> 01:01:23,840
four and a half point favorite twice the rest of

1360
01:01:23,880 --> 01:01:25,639
the season and a dog or less than that every

1361
01:01:25,639 --> 01:01:28,880
other game. So this is your chance to use Houston.

1362
01:01:28,920 --> 01:01:32,119
And if you took Buffalo less Thursday night, you might

1363
01:01:32,199 --> 01:01:34,320
actually be in a good spot this week because you'll

1364
01:01:34,360 --> 01:01:37,760
have to kind of take Houston or Detroit. And if

1365
01:01:37,800 --> 01:01:40,480
you get that Buffalo upset, it's gonna be like christ, Yeah, that.

1366
01:01:40,440 --> 01:01:43,480
Speaker 9: Will be absolutely bananas. That will be one of the

1367
01:01:43,519 --> 01:01:46,079
bigger upsets we've seen in the last ten years.

1368
01:01:46,159 --> 01:01:48,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, fifteen point hope. The one thing I'll point out

1369
01:01:48,400 --> 01:01:50,920
real quick too, is I mean, I know, technically mathematically

1370
01:01:51,000 --> 01:01:52,800
and the money lines are maybe a little skewed less,

1371
01:01:52,840 --> 01:01:54,519
but like a seven point road favorite should be the

1372
01:01:54,519 --> 01:01:57,119
same as a seven point home favorite. But with Survivor,

1373
01:01:57,519 --> 01:02:00,239
since we're talking about straight up wins and not covers, allways,

1374
01:02:00,239 --> 01:02:03,039
hesitant to take those road favorites as opposed to a

1375
01:02:03,039 --> 01:02:04,920
home team, and we saw that with the Packers last time.

1376
01:02:04,920 --> 01:02:09,440
Speaker 9: I would much rather take a home divisional favorite than

1377
01:02:09,519 --> 01:02:11,239
ever take a team on the road.

1378
01:02:11,360 --> 01:02:11,760
Speaker 2: Correct.

1379
01:02:12,239 --> 01:02:17,400
Speaker 9: Every time I've ever lost in Survivor, it's been Minus Detroit,

1380
01:02:17,480 --> 01:02:21,440
ruining my birthday. It has been an international game where

1381
01:02:21,480 --> 01:02:23,519
Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers were up double

1382
01:02:23,800 --> 01:02:27,000
digits over the New York Giants lost. It was last

1383
01:02:27,079 --> 01:02:29,920
year the team decided, Okay, we're gonna take the Saints

1384
01:02:29,960 --> 01:02:31,800
against the Panthers, and I thought, I hate this, I

1385
01:02:31,880 --> 01:02:33,320
hate this, I hate this. So not only was a

1386
01:02:33,400 --> 01:02:36,920
road favorite road favorite in the division, they lose like

1387
01:02:36,960 --> 01:02:38,559
those are the types of spots where I feel like

1388
01:02:38,559 --> 01:02:41,039
you're setting yourself up for failure. You may advance, but

1389
01:02:41,119 --> 01:02:46,159
eventually that stupid divisional home underdog is going to get you.

1390
01:02:46,320 --> 01:02:48,480
So yes, there are some spots where you can use

1391
01:02:48,480 --> 01:02:50,320
a road favorite. Yes, there's some spots where you can

1392
01:02:50,440 --> 01:02:53,840
use a divisional home favorite, but I think using it's

1393
01:02:53,840 --> 01:02:57,559
like a Falcons last week double whammy. That road divisional

1394
01:02:57,599 --> 01:02:59,199
favorite is gonna get you every time.

1395
01:02:59,480 --> 01:02:59,639
Speaker 4: Yeah.

1396
01:02:59,639 --> 01:03:01,639
Speaker 2: I just say you get more outline results with road

1397
01:03:01,639 --> 01:03:03,960
teams like that Packer Brown's game last week, the home

1398
01:03:04,000 --> 01:03:06,079
teams find a way to will out the win by

1399
01:03:06,119 --> 01:03:08,320
the way. Next week, Detroit's projected to be over a

1400
01:03:08,360 --> 01:03:11,800
touchdown favorite at Cincinnati, and then in late November before

1401
01:03:11,840 --> 01:03:13,719
the Thanksgiving A game, they were gonna be about touchdown

1402
01:03:13,719 --> 01:03:16,239
home favorite and more against the Giants. Those are your

1403
01:03:16,239 --> 01:03:18,639
other only other two spots where you could probably use them.

1404
01:03:18,719 --> 01:03:21,480
So if you haven't used Detroit yet, i'd say Detroit,

1405
01:03:21,519 --> 01:03:24,599
Houston or Buffalo. Kind of all in agreement. Dan and

1406
01:03:24,639 --> 01:03:26,400
I are doing NFL videos after this, so I know

1407
01:03:26,440 --> 01:03:28,119
we're fine. I don't want to keep Kelly.

1408
01:03:27,840 --> 01:03:29,239
Speaker 4: You Oh no no.

1409
01:03:29,480 --> 01:03:32,199
Speaker 7: And partially the reason why I love doing the Survivor

1410
01:03:32,280 --> 01:03:35,559
segment is because of this so bad that it's good

1411
01:03:35,599 --> 01:03:37,599
graphic that we have of the boys.

1412
01:03:37,639 --> 01:03:39,280
Speaker 5: Major talk today, I will survive.

1413
01:03:39,719 --> 01:03:44,679
Speaker 7: This is Andy's Gloria Gainer unfortunately, and yeah, you'll never

1414
01:03:44,760 --> 01:03:48,280
unsee this, Steve. But unfortunately Andy did not survive last week.

1415
01:03:48,480 --> 01:03:51,480
But he bought us like forty entries or something like

1416
01:03:51,519 --> 01:03:56,960
that into the Bed Online Survivor contest, so one of

1417
01:03:56,960 --> 01:04:00,679
his entries is still alive. So technically Andy will still survive.

1418
01:04:00,760 --> 01:04:03,440
And now I got to share that horribly beautiful.

1419
01:04:03,000 --> 01:04:04,880
Speaker 2: Gratic one thing. I'll leave it on this segment. I

1420
01:04:04,880 --> 01:04:06,400
want to ask Kelly about like one other game on

1421
01:04:06,440 --> 01:04:09,199
the way out. But you know, Kelly, also, you can

1422
01:04:09,440 --> 01:04:10,920
use every team once. I think the one thing that

1423
01:04:10,920 --> 01:04:13,679
gets really overlooked in Survivors is that you can play

1424
01:04:13,679 --> 01:04:16,440
against the same team multiple times. And that's another thing.

1425
01:04:16,880 --> 01:04:19,159
Played against the Saints this week, their projecting will probably

1426
01:04:19,159 --> 01:04:20,400
be the worst team in the NAT.

1427
01:04:20,559 --> 01:04:23,280
Speaker 9: You can play against the Jets, you can play against

1428
01:04:23,280 --> 01:04:25,679
the Giants, I mean Titans.

1429
01:04:25,719 --> 01:04:26,480
Speaker 8: I have a whole list.

1430
01:04:26,719 --> 01:04:28,079
Speaker 9: Let me pull it up really quick. These are the

1431
01:04:28,079 --> 01:04:29,960
teams that I literally have on my list.

1432
01:04:30,480 --> 01:04:30,559
Speaker 6: Now.

1433
01:04:30,599 --> 01:04:33,199
Speaker 2: It's easier so than done, because but if you can

1434
01:04:33,239 --> 01:04:36,199
project who's gonna be that three or four win team preseason, like,

1435
01:04:36,239 --> 01:04:38,800
you can almost really do well in Survivors all long.

1436
01:04:39,239 --> 01:04:41,159
Speaker 9: I mean, those teams are going to win games. You've

1437
01:04:41,159 --> 01:04:43,400
got to find spots within that. But those are the

1438
01:04:43,400 --> 01:04:46,960
teams I'm looking about against every single week. Remember in

1439
01:04:47,000 --> 01:04:48,679
the five K at Westcate, you only have to play

1440
01:04:48,679 --> 01:04:51,800
eighteen teams. In Circle, you only have to play twenty teams.

1441
01:04:51,840 --> 01:04:53,119
Speaker 8: I'm in some where we.

1442
01:04:53,079 --> 01:04:55,519
Speaker 9: Have a bunch of double pick weeks, so that's where

1443
01:04:55,559 --> 01:04:58,519
those strategies then have to adjust those double pick weeks,

1444
01:04:58,519 --> 01:05:00,079
Like this is one of my first double pick week

1445
01:05:00,480 --> 01:05:02,719
in one of my other leagues, and they've seen almost

1446
01:05:02,760 --> 01:05:06,400
nobody taken out yet I'm a little nervous because I

1447
01:05:06,400 --> 01:05:09,400
have Detroit and the Texans right Like, if one of

1448
01:05:09,400 --> 01:05:12,199
those teams loses, I'm now out of that. Whereas one

1449
01:05:12,199 --> 01:05:14,000
of those teams loses, I'm only out of half of

1450
01:05:14,039 --> 01:05:16,679
my survivor pools here headed into week five?

1451
01:05:17,159 --> 01:05:18,920
Speaker 2: How long do those go? I mean, even with seven

1452
01:05:18,920 --> 01:05:21,440
and ten point favorites this week, you're probably just barely

1453
01:05:21,480 --> 01:05:23,639
above fifty five percent or so. I'm doing the quick

1454
01:05:23,639 --> 01:05:25,719
math in my head that they both went straight up.

1455
01:05:25,800 --> 01:05:27,280
Speaker 8: Yeah, it's tough. It's tough.

1456
01:05:27,320 --> 01:05:29,119
Speaker 9: Those double pick weeks will get you some of the

1457
01:05:29,119 --> 01:05:31,559
spots I'm on in Splash, and that's why John Murray

1458
01:05:31,559 --> 01:05:34,880
and I created the mini Losers one because then you

1459
01:05:34,920 --> 01:05:37,119
can only play against the Saints one time, you.

1460
01:05:37,039 --> 01:05:37,920
Speaker 8: Can only play again.

1461
01:05:38,880 --> 01:05:42,079
Speaker 9: Yeah, so I like that because then there's actual strategy.

1462
01:05:42,159 --> 01:05:44,079
Of course, we're gonna use the Saints this week across

1463
01:05:44,079 --> 01:05:46,440
the board. Bill's just gonna get us an easy win.

1464
01:05:46,679 --> 01:05:48,840
Last week we use the Dolphins against the Bills. So

1465
01:05:48,880 --> 01:05:52,639
there are spots where you can just keep playing against

1466
01:05:52,679 --> 01:05:55,159
the bad team playing the good team. So that's the

1467
01:05:55,199 --> 01:05:58,440
inverse of it. But man, it's uh, it's different because

1468
01:05:58,840 --> 01:06:00,800
of course last week he told me, how how do

1469
01:06:00,880 --> 01:06:02,760
you not take Seattle? You woosted out on Seattle?

1470
01:06:02,800 --> 01:06:05,119
Speaker 8: I did. I like the Saints.

1471
01:06:05,159 --> 01:06:08,800
Speaker 9: I thought, hey, Spencer Rattler, maybe, just maybe he's gonna.

1472
01:06:08,559 --> 01:06:10,199
Speaker 8: Get his receivers to make some of these sketches.

1473
01:06:10,280 --> 01:06:12,719
Speaker 9: No, it was over before it started, So congratulations to

1474
01:06:12,719 --> 01:06:15,840
everybody used Seattle there. After watching them last night, there

1475
01:06:15,840 --> 01:06:18,280
maybe some other spots I can use Seattle though, now oh.

1476
01:06:18,280 --> 01:06:19,800
Speaker 2: Yeah no, no, I said him. I fade the public

1477
01:06:19,880 --> 01:06:21,599
video last week. It was one of the outlier games

1478
01:06:21,599 --> 01:06:23,159
with the Saints were a little public. But I thought

1479
01:06:23,159 --> 01:06:26,000
it was also a decent setup for him, and I said,

1480
01:06:26,039 --> 01:06:28,119
do not use the packers, do not use the Seahawks.

1481
01:06:28,159 --> 01:06:29,400
One of these tour is going to go down, and

1482
01:06:29,400 --> 01:06:31,239
one of them did. But there again, if you use

1483
01:06:31,280 --> 01:06:34,079
something else and you cash with Buffalo Thursday night, you've

1484
01:06:34,079 --> 01:06:36,280
eliminated a good amount of people with that packer over

1485
01:06:36,320 --> 01:06:38,960
eighteen hundred eliminated. With doing nothing, you could just sit

1486
01:06:39,000 --> 01:06:41,119
back and kind of pray or hope for some good

1487
01:06:41,199 --> 01:06:44,000
luck from the betting gods. Hey, one game we haven't

1488
01:06:44,039 --> 01:06:45,079
touched on. I want to get on the way ou

1489
01:06:45,079 --> 01:06:46,719
because I know you have an opinion on it. Jacksonville,

1490
01:06:46,760 --> 01:06:49,880
San Francisco, four h five Eastern Sunday afternoon, sitting on

1491
01:06:49,920 --> 01:06:52,800
that key number of three. If you like the Niners,

1492
01:06:52,840 --> 01:06:55,320
you laid the three. It's three minus one twenty. South

1493
01:06:55,320 --> 01:07:00,239
Point has three Flato were public books. Jacksonville has moved.

1494
01:07:00,480 --> 01:07:02,320
It has moved to three and a half minus money

1495
01:07:02,320 --> 01:07:04,679
on Jacksonvillet Pinnacle maybe the sharpest book in the world.

1496
01:07:04,719 --> 01:07:07,119
So I don't know a little bit of a sharp

1497
01:07:07,159 --> 01:07:09,199
square divide maybe right now if you're using south Point

1498
01:07:09,199 --> 01:07:10,920
and Pinnacle, which I like to look at, you've got

1499
01:07:10,920 --> 01:07:13,320
the best number on San fran At south Point, and

1500
01:07:13,360 --> 01:07:14,960
you've gotten a three and a half showing now with

1501
01:07:15,039 --> 01:07:18,239
Jacksonville Pinnacle. So what are your thoughts on this one?

1502
01:07:18,360 --> 01:07:18,920
Speaker 8: That's interesting.

1503
01:07:18,960 --> 01:07:20,639
Speaker 9: I was just looking to see if John Murray gave

1504
01:07:20,719 --> 01:07:24,119
me Jacksonville last night on his list.

1505
01:07:24,159 --> 01:07:26,079
Speaker 8: He did not Atlanta Detroit Flat.

1506
01:07:26,280 --> 01:07:29,039
Speaker 2: They're threezhwaight because they're doing away juice, I think right now.

1507
01:07:29,119 --> 01:07:31,880
So they're yeah, all shore. I guess there's a little

1508
01:07:31,920 --> 01:07:33,880
bit of a sharp lean offshore with san Fray. But

1509
01:07:33,880 --> 01:07:35,199
I have a feld. I know you're a dog lover.

1510
01:07:35,480 --> 01:07:37,199
I have a feel, and you might disagree a little bit.

1511
01:07:37,480 --> 01:07:37,679
Speaker 1: Yeah.

1512
01:07:37,679 --> 01:07:39,840
Speaker 9: Look, I can understand why everybody wants to back san

1513
01:07:39,920 --> 01:07:43,000
fran right, this is the reality.

1514
01:07:43,079 --> 01:07:45,360
Speaker 8: You've got rock Party.

1515
01:07:45,119 --> 01:07:47,559
Speaker 9: Coming back in for Mac Jones, You've got the injured

1516
01:07:47,559 --> 01:07:48,880
player theory with Nick Bosa.

1517
01:07:48,920 --> 01:07:51,039
Speaker 8: A lot of people think this defense is gonna step up.

1518
01:07:51,639 --> 01:07:54,559
Speaker 9: I think this Jags g This Jag team should absolutely

1519
01:07:54,559 --> 01:07:58,599
be undefeated. That Bengals game was painful, and Marco talked

1520
01:07:58,639 --> 01:08:00,599
about it on Beat on it this was his barking dog,

1521
01:08:00,639 --> 01:08:02,480
and I said, hey, Marco, I agree with you here.

1522
01:08:02,760 --> 01:08:04,800
I like it as well. That was just kind of

1523
01:08:04,800 --> 01:08:07,280
one of those wonky games that the end result did

1524
01:08:07,320 --> 01:08:10,079
not go our way. I think that We're getting a

1525
01:08:10,079 --> 01:08:13,199
lot of overvalued here for a hurt rock party coming

1526
01:08:13,280 --> 01:08:16,720
back into play when the reality is he's still missing

1527
01:08:16,760 --> 01:08:19,359
his security blanket in George Kittle.

1528
01:08:19,520 --> 01:08:20,560
Speaker 8: That's not a good thing.

1529
01:08:20,680 --> 01:08:23,319
Speaker 9: And you have to think about this sometimes when you

1530
01:08:23,359 --> 01:08:25,920
take the guy away who's been wanting been the guy

1531
01:08:26,000 --> 01:08:28,880
making the plays, bringing back in your star quarterback, can

1532
01:08:28,920 --> 01:08:29,600
we call him a star?

1533
01:08:29,760 --> 01:08:30,039
Speaker 8: Maybe?

1534
01:08:30,079 --> 01:08:32,520
Speaker 9: Maybe not it sometimes it kind of screws with the

1535
01:08:32,520 --> 01:08:35,159
offense a little bit. I like Trevor Lawrence coming in

1536
01:08:35,159 --> 01:08:38,359
here and getting the win at in San Francisco.

1537
01:08:38,399 --> 01:08:40,279
Speaker 8: I think San Francisco was the team.

1538
01:08:40,800 --> 01:08:42,960
Speaker 9: I thought twenty to one had a lot of value

1539
01:08:42,960 --> 01:08:44,880
to win the Super Bowl. But again I think both

1540
01:08:44,880 --> 01:08:48,479
these teams should be three and zero. Jaguars better than advertised.

1541
01:08:49,199 --> 01:08:51,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, both these teams. I mean the Niners are averaging

1542
01:08:51,600 --> 01:08:53,800
three yards to carry, Jags are averaging less than six

1543
01:08:53,880 --> 01:08:55,159
yards of pass. I mean we're going to find out

1544
01:08:55,199 --> 01:08:57,960
a lot about both these teams on Sunday afternoon on

1545
01:08:57,960 --> 01:09:00,399
that list. Also, so you had the Chiefs and I

1546
01:09:00,439 --> 01:09:02,880
took opposite sides on that we were forced to, but

1547
01:09:02,960 --> 01:09:05,760
I thought we both made decent arguments. You're the tiebreaker.

1548
01:09:05,800 --> 01:09:08,039
You like Casey, but here again two and a half

1549
01:09:08,159 --> 01:09:11,039
juiced Baltimore. If you like Casey, I would wait. I

1550
01:09:11,079 --> 01:09:13,399
think some threes might show my kickoff on Sunday.

1551
01:09:13,680 --> 01:09:14,479
Speaker 8: Of course they are.

1552
01:09:15,319 --> 01:09:20,520
Speaker 9: Has a good team, right, we have public perceptions Kansas

1553
01:09:20,560 --> 01:09:24,039
City good, this team bad. Right, So Kansas City has

1554
01:09:24,119 --> 01:09:27,800
done what Travis Kelce cost him the game against Philly.

1555
01:09:28,520 --> 01:09:32,960
They lost Week one in Brazil, and well, Russell Wilson

1556
01:09:33,000 --> 01:09:35,920
basically gifted them that game last Sunday night. The Chiefs

1557
01:09:35,920 --> 01:09:38,760
are not any good, right? What is going on with

1558
01:09:38,800 --> 01:09:42,920
this Ravens defense? They are beyond exploitable. And I get

1559
01:09:42,960 --> 01:09:45,119
accused of being a Chiefs hater all the time, but

1560
01:09:45,159 --> 01:09:48,479
Patrick Mahomes as an underdog, is generally going to make

1561
01:09:48,520 --> 01:09:50,920
my list. I think Kansas City in a teaser spot

1562
01:09:51,000 --> 01:09:54,159
is excellent alrity tease them. As I mentioned with the Steelers,

1563
01:09:54,279 --> 01:09:58,279
the Falcons, the Cardinals and the Broncos earlier in the week.

1564
01:09:58,680 --> 01:10:02,000
I think Kansas City gets this when this Ravens defense

1565
01:10:02,079 --> 01:10:06,119
is going to get exposed. Unless Lamar Jackson has the

1566
01:10:06,159 --> 01:10:09,359
best game of the season. I just don't see this

1567
01:10:09,520 --> 01:10:13,319
Baltimore team having the cohones to go into Kansas City

1568
01:10:13,359 --> 01:10:16,399
and get the win. They have not showed me any

1569
01:10:16,640 --> 01:10:19,880
grit in whether that second half versus Buffalo, whether in

1570
01:10:19,960 --> 01:10:21,479
that second half versus Detroit.

1571
01:10:21,640 --> 01:10:23,199
Speaker 8: There is something missing this team.

1572
01:10:23,279 --> 01:10:26,439
Speaker 9: Our good friend Aaron Epstein went on an absolute tear

1573
01:10:26,560 --> 01:10:28,760
on TikTok about it. Go over there and check it out,

1574
01:10:28,760 --> 01:10:31,760
because she explains it so much better. As a Ravens fan,

1575
01:10:31,840 --> 01:10:34,199
this team is very frustrating. I don't trust him as

1576
01:10:34,199 --> 01:10:35,079
a road favorite.

1577
01:10:35,319 --> 01:10:38,039
Speaker 2: Yeah, Ariel's dial then with the Ravens. Was her grandfather

1578
01:10:38,439 --> 01:10:40,720
was a Ravens fan, or as a Baltimore person. I

1579
01:10:40,720 --> 01:10:42,920
think it's someone that's the connection for the New Yorker,

1580
01:10:43,359 --> 01:10:47,119
the Syracuse Crab Aaron Epstein Baltimore raven But she yes,

1581
01:10:47,159 --> 01:10:50,000
she follows them closely. And yeah, we'll find out a lot.

1582
01:10:50,039 --> 01:10:51,840
One of these teams, most likely, I said, could be one,

1583
01:10:51,880 --> 01:10:54,119
two and one. But ninety nine percent chance one of

1584
01:10:54,119 --> 01:10:56,760
these teams will be one in three after Sunday. By

1585
01:10:56,800 --> 01:10:59,000
the way, Kohona is five to one odds that would

1586
01:10:59,039 --> 01:11:00,800
be said today. I don't know how to spell.

1587
01:11:00,840 --> 01:11:02,199
Speaker 8: It should have made it way higher than that.

1588
01:11:02,319 --> 01:11:04,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, it probably is a lot higher. But once again,

1589
01:11:05,000 --> 01:11:07,319
they the futures don't let you take the other side.

1590
01:11:07,319 --> 01:11:09,119
That's why futures are bad bets, because there was no

1591
01:11:09,720 --> 01:11:12,479
minus one thousand on the no and we would have

1592
01:11:12,520 --> 01:11:14,399
taken advantage of that bet anyway. But I don't know

1593
01:11:14,439 --> 01:11:16,600
how to spell kahonas, but I've got them. I've got

1594
01:11:16,640 --> 01:11:19,039
a pair. Hey, look on that list, you got Raiders.

1595
01:11:19,119 --> 01:11:21,800
And we talked a couple of Marco mentioned the Raiders

1596
01:11:21,840 --> 01:11:24,199
as well, so you agree there. And then Teddy actually

1597
01:11:24,199 --> 01:11:25,680
liked the Bucks. I see you got the Bucks, so

1598
01:11:25,920 --> 01:11:27,000
quick thoughts on those.

1599
01:11:27,399 --> 01:11:30,159
Speaker 8: Yeah, the Raiders, Uh, the Raiders. Right.

1600
01:11:30,600 --> 01:11:35,239
Speaker 9: We saw this Bears team last week, right, everybody said

1601
01:11:35,239 --> 01:11:37,800
the line was fishy, no one could make sense of it,

1602
01:11:38,079 --> 01:11:39,880
and all of a sudden they win thirty one to fourteen.

1603
01:11:39,920 --> 01:11:42,399
But if you actually go back and you remember at

1604
01:11:42,399 --> 01:11:44,479
the end of the second quarter the game was tied

1605
01:11:45,079 --> 01:11:49,000
Ceedee Lamb hurt, Dak Prescott.

1606
01:11:48,479 --> 01:11:50,319
Speaker 8: Still thirty one to forty.

1607
01:11:50,479 --> 01:11:53,520
Speaker 9: Gravante Williams still able to get it going on the ground,

1608
01:11:54,000 --> 01:11:57,960
but that Dallas defense does what they do and they

1609
01:11:58,000 --> 01:12:02,279
fell apart. I think Smith, if he can not turn

1610
01:12:02,319 --> 01:12:04,319
over the ball, he did very well not doing that

1611
01:12:04,359 --> 01:12:06,479
in his loss last week nineteen to twenty nine. Two

1612
01:12:06,520 --> 01:12:09,840
hundred and eighty nine yards, three touchdowns. I think that

1613
01:12:09,840 --> 01:12:13,640
that Raiders team can get the win at home Bears

1614
01:12:13,840 --> 01:12:17,600
four and fourteen in September. Please do not overreact to

1615
01:12:17,680 --> 01:12:21,359
one good game by Caleb Williams, and the last one

1616
01:12:21,399 --> 01:12:25,600
is the Bucks against the Birds. I mentioned how I

1617
01:12:25,640 --> 01:12:28,640
was saving them for Survivor later on. This is an

1618
01:12:28,680 --> 01:12:32,319
interesting matchup, right. I've seen three of these games since

1619
01:12:32,319 --> 01:12:36,399
I've lived in Florida, and it's always nuts. Birds fans

1620
01:12:36,439 --> 01:12:40,159
come down here, can't behave themselves act like jerks. At

1621
01:12:40,239 --> 01:12:43,039
least the last playoff game they got really stifles and

1622
01:12:43,079 --> 01:12:45,199
that was a fun one. I had a considerable amount

1623
01:12:45,239 --> 01:12:47,680
of money on the Bucks there because it was one

1624
01:12:47,720 --> 01:12:50,760
of those situational spots where you want.

1625
01:12:50,479 --> 01:12:53,159
Speaker 8: To take this team. Now. I have questions about the

1626
01:12:53,199 --> 01:12:54,399
three and zero Bucks. Right.

1627
01:12:55,359 --> 01:12:58,000
Speaker 9: Every single game they've been in has been down to

1628
01:12:58,239 --> 01:13:00,319
the wire, whether it's a last minute field goal last

1629
01:13:00,319 --> 01:13:03,079
week versus the Jets, whether it was a missed field

1630
01:13:03,119 --> 01:13:07,079
goal by the Falcons, whether it was the Texans just

1631
01:13:07,199 --> 01:13:09,119
being Swiss Cheese on defense.

1632
01:13:09,600 --> 01:13:11,000
Speaker 8: But this is the spot you want.

1633
01:13:10,880 --> 01:13:12,800
Speaker 9: To take him here at home, Raymond James Stadium is

1634
01:13:12,840 --> 01:13:17,119
going to be absolutely hot, on fire, and I don't

1635
01:13:17,119 --> 01:13:19,079
mean the audience. It's going to be a hot weekend

1636
01:13:19,159 --> 01:13:22,119
in Tampa. The field projections are talking one hundred and.

1637
01:13:22,000 --> 01:13:24,159
Speaker 8: Three with humidity. So keep in mind.

1638
01:13:24,199 --> 01:13:26,880
Speaker 9: There we talked about the Colts and how the Rams

1639
01:13:27,800 --> 01:13:32,439
come back from that wonky loss. How does Philadelphia respond

1640
01:13:32,520 --> 01:13:36,199
after basically being gifted win number three on a silver

1641
01:13:36,279 --> 01:13:38,720
platter by the gambling guys. I think this line is

1642
01:13:39,159 --> 01:13:42,000
just a touch too high. I liked the Bucks plus

1643
01:13:42,000 --> 01:13:42,840
three and a half at.

1644
01:13:42,720 --> 01:13:46,079
Speaker 2: Home making history here on wager Talk TV. I think

1645
01:13:46,079 --> 01:13:49,079
I've officially run the longest wager Talk today ever. We're

1646
01:13:49,159 --> 01:13:51,640
like an hour sixteen in this our hour fourteen in

1647
01:13:51,720 --> 01:13:53,239
We started like two minutes lake cause I was coming

1648
01:13:53,239 --> 01:13:55,720
in hot. But the other thing that's made history is

1649
01:13:55,720 --> 01:13:58,720
this new show in Zone Live. Yeah Raise, did we

1650
01:13:58,800 --> 01:14:00,520
hit over ten k yet? And then we got like

1651
01:14:00,600 --> 01:14:01,640
ninety nine under that?

1652
01:14:02,079 --> 01:14:05,079
Speaker 9: It was pretty close on Sunday it was pretty fun.

1653
01:14:05,119 --> 01:14:07,680
I actually will admit I was wrong. I thought no

1654
01:14:07,680 --> 01:14:09,279
one's gonna watch the show. Why would you want to

1655
01:14:09,279 --> 01:14:10,199
watch a bunch of people watch?

1656
01:14:10,239 --> 01:14:11,960
Speaker 2: Do you have to come on? I didn't pencil it

1657
01:14:12,039 --> 01:14:13,560
in my schedule, and.

1658
01:14:13,439 --> 01:14:15,439
Speaker 9: Then then I did last week, and I was supposed

1659
01:14:15,439 --> 01:14:16,920
to leave it halftime, and I ended up saying for

1660
01:14:16,920 --> 01:14:19,600
the whole Dame. Basically, I just made fun of Pres

1661
01:14:19,600 --> 01:14:21,560
the whole time. It was wonderful, had a great time

1662
01:14:21,880 --> 01:14:24,199
about his crappy internet and him being on a delay,

1663
01:14:24,560 --> 01:14:26,680
and he was coming in giving us some live lines.

1664
01:14:26,720 --> 01:14:28,920
Teddy coming in and giving you guys some live bets.

1665
01:14:28,960 --> 01:14:32,399
Those are great. Mad Russian ended up pushing his live bet.

1666
01:14:32,439 --> 01:14:37,960
He gave Pres Eagles minus seven. I'm sorry, Eagles plus

1667
01:14:38,159 --> 01:14:40,479
seven live or ram supposed to someone I don't remember.

1668
01:14:40,560 --> 01:14:45,000
It was hilarious. The comments Harry was absolutely electric. I'm

1669
01:14:45,000 --> 01:14:47,199
excited again for this Sunday. I do have to head

1670
01:14:47,279 --> 01:14:49,640
up to my dad, so I probably will not pop

1671
01:14:49,680 --> 01:14:52,119
on until the second half. We'll see what's going on.

1672
01:14:52,640 --> 01:14:54,760
But yeah, Sunday, as soon as the game skick off.

1673
01:14:54,840 --> 01:14:56,560
Right here on the way to talk to YouTube channel,

1674
01:14:56,720 --> 01:14:58,680
you guys can also hang out. Ariel is gonna be

1675
01:14:58,720 --> 01:15:02,359
hosting last call on Sunday, and then followed up with

1676
01:15:02,520 --> 01:15:04,119
VR in his steam room.

1677
01:15:04,560 --> 01:15:07,199
Speaker 8: It's gonna be just an electric Sunday. On the way

1678
01:15:07,239 --> 01:15:08,119
you're talking YouTube channel.

1679
01:15:08,399 --> 01:15:10,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, once again, if you click subscribe, we have over

1680
01:15:10,560 --> 01:15:13,079
two hundred and twenty thousand subscribers. Now I think we

1681
01:15:13,119 --> 01:15:15,199
picked up like over six k in the last month,

1682
01:15:15,399 --> 01:15:18,199
which is insane. Thank you to everybody. Just double check

1683
01:15:18,199 --> 01:15:20,359
if you haven't clicked to click it, but consider clicking

1684
01:15:20,359 --> 01:15:22,479
that bell as well, because you'll get an instant alert

1685
01:15:22,840 --> 01:15:25,399
when these shows go live throughout the weekend. When my

1686
01:15:25,439 --> 01:15:28,279
fade the public video goes up this weekend and you'll

1687
01:15:28,319 --> 01:15:31,479
never miss out here on wager Talk TV. Kelly great

1688
01:15:31,520 --> 01:15:34,560
seeing you. Are you doing Last Call tomorrow on Saturday?

1689
01:15:34,600 --> 01:15:35,439
Speaker 4: Or is so?

1690
01:15:35,560 --> 01:15:38,840
Speaker 9: I will be doing Last Call tomorrow on Saturday, so

1691
01:15:39,000 --> 01:15:40,920
you guys can catch me. It's gonna be me Ralph

1692
01:15:41,000 --> 01:15:43,520
Michaels Art to Caesar from the Westgate Superbook, and of

1693
01:15:43,520 --> 01:15:45,960
course Yanni the Greek giving us all of that last

1694
01:15:45,960 --> 01:15:48,960
minute steam. And then Sunday you gotta look and see

1695
01:15:49,000 --> 01:15:51,600
who's on the Sunday schedule. I make this schedule. You'd

1696
01:15:51,640 --> 01:15:53,319
think that I would have it memorized by this point

1697
01:15:53,319 --> 01:15:56,720
in time. Spreadsheet John, Yeah, I have a spreadpee girl.

1698
01:15:56,720 --> 01:15:58,920
If we didn't know that, if we've learned anything in

1699
01:15:58,960 --> 01:16:01,920
the last year that I'm a gee girl. Sunday it's

1700
01:16:01,960 --> 01:16:03,560
going to be Ralph.

1701
01:16:03,720 --> 01:16:04,279
Speaker 8: No excuse me.

1702
01:16:04,279 --> 01:16:06,199
Speaker 9: It's going to be VR, It's going to be John

1703
01:16:06,399 --> 01:16:09,159
Murray from the Westgate Super Book, Carmin and Bianco gonna

1704
01:16:09,199 --> 01:16:12,279
come on and talk some NFL with Ariel as well,

1705
01:16:12,319 --> 01:16:14,520
So it should be a fun filled Sunday, and then

1706
01:16:14,560 --> 01:16:16,640
of course Monday Night Football, Joe Madden's gonna be hosting

1707
01:16:16,680 --> 01:16:19,680
Last Call there before the Monday Night football game.

1708
01:16:19,920 --> 01:16:21,640
Speaker 2: Well, if you need to fill at the very end tomorrow,

1709
01:16:21,680 --> 01:16:23,399
let me know. I'm off Sunday. I won't be able

1710
01:16:23,399 --> 01:16:25,600
to jump on End Zone Live again. I thought maybe

1711
01:16:25,600 --> 01:16:27,000
I was going to make a segment, but I won't

1712
01:16:27,000 --> 01:16:29,000
be able to do it Sunday either. But if you

1713
01:16:29,000 --> 01:16:31,760
need someone late tomorrow Saturday to close out or to

1714
01:16:31,760 --> 01:16:34,479
put a record show a last Call over noon eastern kickoff,

1715
01:16:34,520 --> 01:16:35,000
so let me know.

1716
01:16:35,199 --> 01:16:38,600
Speaker 9: No, I need that last ten minute buffer with you,

1717
01:16:39,319 --> 01:16:42,800
last minute bets that may or may not have have

1718
01:16:43,199 --> 01:16:46,600
been given to me by the Westgate Super Book. Steve,

1719
01:16:46,880 --> 01:16:48,760
We'll keep you in mind. We'll see how that goes.

1720
01:16:48,800 --> 01:16:50,159
I'll send you a text tomorrow morning.

1721
01:16:50,239 --> 01:16:52,279
Speaker 2: I'm good. I think, I think when it all added up,

1722
01:16:52,279 --> 01:16:55,079
I've done about fifteen sixteen free play videos. Dan Alexander

1723
01:16:55,079 --> 01:16:57,319
and I are knocking out the NFL videos right after

1724
01:16:57,359 --> 01:17:01,680
this Friday afternoon. Thank you to Kelly's Stewart, Marco DiAngelo, Janni,

1725
01:17:01,720 --> 01:17:03,960
the Greek Teddy covers. I feel like we had half

1726
01:17:03,960 --> 01:17:06,399
a wager Talk on today, Dan Alexander jumping in and

1727
01:17:06,680 --> 01:17:09,279
as I mentioned, do the NFL videos this afternoon, including

1728
01:17:09,319 --> 01:17:11,279
Fade the Public. He'll be up later tonight and Saturday,

1729
01:17:11,319 --> 01:17:13,960
so click the bill when you subscribe here for instant alerts.

1730
01:17:14,000 --> 01:17:16,439
All the college football content is up for the week,

1731
01:17:16,439 --> 01:17:19,439
including my Top twenty five video which went up this morning.

1732
01:17:19,960 --> 01:17:22,640
Six games broken down in that Top twenty seven video

1733
01:17:22,960 --> 01:17:25,079
to be exact. And then, of course you can get

1734
01:17:25,119 --> 01:17:27,600
my personal best bets at wager talk dot com Steve Merril,

1735
01:17:27,680 --> 01:17:30,000
including today's free play. Go check out the bonus free

1736
01:17:30,039 --> 01:17:32,239
play that I post every day on my page Steve

1737
01:17:32,239 --> 01:17:35,680
merrillwager talk dot com. Get there quicker with shortcut wt

1738
01:17:35,720 --> 01:17:38,399
dot buzz slash sm and while you're there, whether you're

1739
01:17:38,439 --> 01:17:40,079
on my page or anybody else is at wager talk,

1740
01:17:40,199 --> 01:17:42,520
check out all the special offers too many to name here.

1741
01:17:42,560 --> 01:17:45,640
We've got one month, one year specials, even the Weekend

1742
01:17:45,640 --> 01:17:47,319
Warrior for just forty nine dollars gets you all the

1743
01:17:47,319 --> 01:17:51,399
football Saturday, Sunday and Monday wagertalk dot com and follow

1744
01:17:51,479 --> 01:17:55,199
us also at wager talk on X. Thanks to Dan

1745
01:17:55,239 --> 01:17:58,399
Alexander for producing and running overtime here, and stay tuned

1746
01:17:58,399 --> 01:18:00,279
to wager Talk TV because you know there's more free

1747
01:18:00,279 --> 01:18:01,640
play videos coming up next