1 00:00:02,439 --> 00:00:05,559 Speaker 1: What's up everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks. 2 00:00:05,759 --> 00:00:08,039 If you are new, we always start the show by 3 00:00:08,080 --> 00:00:11,759 being transparent. And yesterday I didn't make any play, so 4 00:00:12,320 --> 00:00:17,120 don't really have anything to report. You know, did you 5 00:00:17,160 --> 00:00:19,239 get to the window with anything yesterday? And also it's 6 00:00:19,239 --> 00:00:20,480 good to be back with you here today. 7 00:00:22,120 --> 00:00:24,320 Speaker 2: I did get to the window, and somebody should have 8 00:00:24,359 --> 00:00:26,399 stood in front of me and stopped me from getting 9 00:00:26,399 --> 00:00:29,960 to the window because I had the college football game 10 00:00:30,039 --> 00:00:35,000 Delaware and boy, they were so bad I can't remember 11 00:00:35,000 --> 00:00:38,880 them now. Louisiana Delaware and Louisiana over the total, very 12 00:00:38,920 --> 00:00:42,159 low scoring game. Louisiana quarterback gets hurt in the second 13 00:00:42,280 --> 00:00:44,640 quarter of that one, plays on one leg the remainder 14 00:00:44,640 --> 00:00:48,000 of the way, so that did not work out well. 15 00:00:48,039 --> 00:00:50,159 But certainly a huge card today and a couple of 16 00:00:50,159 --> 00:00:53,960 things already up and posted for clients, so look forward 17 00:00:54,000 --> 00:00:54,880 to a big day today. 18 00:00:56,039 --> 00:01:01,479 Speaker 1: Yeah, we have a humongous NFL slate and have Thursday 19 00:01:01,560 --> 00:01:05,359 night football as well, so let's get to it first. Up, Robno, 20 00:01:05,439 --> 00:01:09,480 we have the Hawks and the Hornets. This one opened 21 00:01:09,519 --> 00:01:12,079 up minus four and a half, looks like five and 22 00:01:12,120 --> 00:01:14,439 a half now, but open two thirty two and a 23 00:01:14,439 --> 00:01:17,280 half up as high as two thirty nine. You do 24 00:01:17,359 --> 00:01:23,239 have Trey Young questionable for zingis out, Dante questionable for 25 00:01:23,319 --> 00:01:26,920 the Hornets, LaMelo's questionable. There will be no contitent Trey 26 00:01:27,000 --> 00:01:32,680 man Sexton or Grant Williams. You know, Trey Young has 27 00:01:32,719 --> 00:01:37,200 been out for for so long. Even if he does 28 00:01:37,239 --> 00:01:39,159 come back, he's probably not going to play a whole 29 00:01:39,200 --> 00:01:41,840 lot of minutes. And I would worry about you know, 30 00:01:42,239 --> 00:01:44,640 we try to integrate how you sus player like that, 31 00:01:44,719 --> 00:01:48,560 it could mess up whatever you had going. So just 32 00:01:48,560 --> 00:01:50,760 because of that, it makes me want to look towards 33 00:01:50,799 --> 00:01:54,120 the Hornets plus the points, How do you feel about 34 00:01:54,120 --> 00:01:54,400 this one? 35 00:01:54,439 --> 00:01:58,079 Speaker 2: You know, I kind of agree the team hasn't been 36 00:01:58,120 --> 00:02:01,200 that bad without Trey Young, tell you the truth. Thirteen 37 00:02:01,200 --> 00:02:05,760 and nine straight up. Seven of those losses actually were 38 00:02:05,799 --> 00:02:08,759 to really good teams above five hundred, So no shame 39 00:02:08,800 --> 00:02:11,639 there for Atlanta. But they keep their head above water 40 00:02:12,039 --> 00:02:16,599 by four games without Tray Young certainly pretty impressive. The 41 00:02:16,719 --> 00:02:21,639 Hawks also ski best road record straight up in the 42 00:02:21,759 --> 00:02:26,199 NBA ten and six. You know, they've played a lot 43 00:02:26,199 --> 00:02:28,639 of road games, but they've still been good on the road. 44 00:02:28,759 --> 00:02:33,319 Now Here, you're asking them to win by margin against Charlotte. 45 00:02:33,599 --> 00:02:37,280 I would think, as you said earlier, that Tray Young 46 00:02:37,319 --> 00:02:39,639 getting back into the lineup is going to be totally 47 00:02:39,680 --> 00:02:44,199 different for this team. Got to readjust get Rea customers, 48 00:02:44,240 --> 00:02:48,080 and these aren't teams that have played a lot of 49 00:02:48,120 --> 00:02:50,840 basketball as of late. You and I talked yesterday off 50 00:02:50,879 --> 00:02:56,360 air about how disruptive that Cup tournament can be to teams. 51 00:02:57,000 --> 00:02:59,360 We see a couple of changes and results over the 52 00:02:59,439 --> 00:03:01,719 last couple of age when teams actually did play. So 53 00:03:01,759 --> 00:03:04,520 for me, it would probably be Charlotte plus the points 54 00:03:04,520 --> 00:03:08,360 they've gotten somewhat healthier here. I mean the top three 55 00:03:09,800 --> 00:03:14,280 ball Kinnipple and Brandon Miller certainly and Miles Bridges the 56 00:03:14,280 --> 00:03:18,159 top four certainly able to score points here. Total up 57 00:03:18,159 --> 00:03:20,560 bet up to two twenty five and a half. Not 58 00:03:20,599 --> 00:03:23,639 sure I disagree with that whatsoever. In fact, in a 59 00:03:23,719 --> 00:03:27,039 game between these two, it seems somewhat low to twenty 60 00:03:27,039 --> 00:03:29,080 five and a half. We know there's gonna be a 61 00:03:29,120 --> 00:03:31,319 little bit of tempo out of the Charlotte's side, for sure. 62 00:03:31,400 --> 00:03:34,599 So I didn't play, but I would probably look that way. 63 00:03:35,800 --> 00:03:38,080 For total, I would look over and for side, I'd 64 00:03:38,080 --> 00:03:40,680 be looking at Charlotte, all right. 65 00:03:40,520 --> 00:03:42,360 Speaker 1: Next game up. You know, we have the Knicks and 66 00:03:42,400 --> 00:03:44,479 the Pacers. Says it opened three and a half, looks 67 00:03:44,479 --> 00:03:46,280 like four and a half right now, total open two 68 00:03:46,280 --> 00:03:49,120 twenty one and a half up to about two twenty 69 00:03:49,120 --> 00:03:52,599 five and a half for the nick Still a lot 70 00:03:52,599 --> 00:03:58,719 of question marks. We have Art and Anobi down, Mitchell, Robinson, 71 00:03:59,520 --> 00:04:03,520 all McBride and Shammitt remain out for the Pacers. No 72 00:04:03,599 --> 00:04:10,199 nice Smith, no Shepherd, no Obi Toppman. Next just one 73 00:04:10,319 --> 00:04:12,680 cut Rov you know, not to go fly to Indiana. 74 00:04:13,159 --> 00:04:16,000 Do we think they'll give their best effort here tonight 75 00:04:16,040 --> 00:04:16,800 on the road. 76 00:04:19,160 --> 00:04:24,399 Speaker 2: That's celebration after the game. And again we were talking yesterday. 77 00:04:24,439 --> 00:04:26,160 I had read that the Knicks will not hang a 78 00:04:26,199 --> 00:04:31,160 banner inside Madison Square Garden to signify this championship. But 79 00:04:31,319 --> 00:04:34,160 that aside. I can only treat this as they're the 80 00:04:34,240 --> 00:04:36,439 Daryl's putting it up there right there as a letdown 81 00:04:36,480 --> 00:04:39,160 situation for New York and it's across a couple of 82 00:04:39,160 --> 00:04:43,839 time zones. Obviously you're in Las Vegas, now you're in Indiana. 83 00:04:44,480 --> 00:04:46,920 So I think for the Knicks, there's a little bit 84 00:04:46,920 --> 00:04:51,120 of travel fatigue. There's obviously a letdown situation played a 85 00:04:51,160 --> 00:04:54,240 tremendous fourth quarter, because remember they trailed by at least 86 00:04:54,240 --> 00:04:57,480 eleven or twelve in that third, and we're trailing entering 87 00:04:57,519 --> 00:04:59,680 the fourth, so they exerted a lot of energy in 88 00:04:59,720 --> 00:05:02,240 that f quarter. I'm not sure you know, Indiana is 89 00:05:02,279 --> 00:05:05,800 no great shake Ski, but sometimes, as you say, we 90 00:05:05,920 --> 00:05:07,839 kind of have to look for those dirty dogs. And 91 00:05:07,879 --> 00:05:10,079 I know they're not dirty in terms of being a 92 00:05:10,120 --> 00:05:14,079 double digit underdog, but still it's hard at times to 93 00:05:14,199 --> 00:05:17,160 get to the Indiana side and place money on them. 94 00:05:17,160 --> 00:05:19,279 But if there's ever an opportunity, it would have to 95 00:05:19,279 --> 00:05:21,560 be here. I kind of disagree with this line move 96 00:05:21,600 --> 00:05:24,079 went from three and a half to four and a 97 00:05:24,160 --> 00:05:27,399 half fives. You know, if you shop really well, you 98 00:05:27,399 --> 00:05:29,480 can even catch a five and a half. For me, 99 00:05:29,560 --> 00:05:33,519 it would be Indiana in some capacity, whether it be 100 00:05:33,600 --> 00:05:36,920 their offense. The team total here for them is only 101 00:05:37,000 --> 00:05:39,720 one ten and a half modern NBA that doesn't seem 102 00:05:39,839 --> 00:05:42,040 very difficult to get to. But more than that, I 103 00:05:42,040 --> 00:05:46,319 think the points Indiana could probably eke out a win 104 00:05:46,399 --> 00:05:48,639 here against New York, which is a team that's just 105 00:05:48,639 --> 00:05:49,600 not in a great situation. 106 00:05:52,160 --> 00:05:56,639 Speaker 1: We're in agreement on that. I like the Pacers, I 107 00:05:56,639 --> 00:05:59,240 don't think everybody's gonna play. Even if they do play, 108 00:06:00,439 --> 00:06:03,399 I just think it's a big leaddown spot. After winning 109 00:06:03,399 --> 00:06:07,000 the NBA Cup, our next game is Heat and Nets 110 00:06:07,240 --> 00:06:09,360 opened up six and a half. Looks like seven and 111 00:06:09,399 --> 00:06:11,279 a half right now. Try to open two twenty six 112 00:06:11,360 --> 00:06:13,920 and a half looks like two twenty eight. As far 113 00:06:13,920 --> 00:06:17,680 as the injury report, Hi Smith and Cam Thomas out 114 00:06:17,720 --> 00:06:22,000 for the Nets. No hero Jovich, Lartson or Rosier for 115 00:06:22,120 --> 00:06:27,959 the Heat. Norman Powell is in though, so both of 116 00:06:27,959 --> 00:06:30,639 these teams, well, actually the Heat been stinking it up more. 117 00:06:30,720 --> 00:06:35,720 He'd have lost at least five in a row. The 118 00:06:35,759 --> 00:06:38,079 Nets honestly been playing a little bit better than their 119 00:06:38,160 --> 00:06:42,600 number two defensive rated team last five games. It just 120 00:06:42,639 --> 00:06:46,360 screams to me, Rovie know like this, the Heat have 121 00:06:46,399 --> 00:06:48,480 lost five in a row and they're laying seven seven 122 00:06:48,519 --> 00:06:51,639 and a half. I feel like their favorites for a reason. 123 00:06:51,920 --> 00:06:54,959 And to me, you know, they got called out by 124 00:06:55,079 --> 00:06:58,720 d Wade once on TV for the effort level in 125 00:06:58,800 --> 00:07:02,079 that Magic game. You got Bam now talking about the 126 00:07:02,160 --> 00:07:04,279 defense and how they need to be able to rely 127 00:07:04,399 --> 00:07:07,959 on the defense even if they're not making shots. Because 128 00:07:08,000 --> 00:07:11,120 we talked about you know, they're barely making it to 129 00:07:11,240 --> 00:07:14,560 one eleven, one ten lately, so I think you get 130 00:07:14,600 --> 00:07:17,360 a really good defensive effort from them. I think their 131 00:07:17,399 --> 00:07:19,120 favorite in this game for a reason. I like the 132 00:07:19,160 --> 00:07:21,079 heat and I like the under. What do you like? 133 00:07:23,399 --> 00:07:26,560 Speaker 2: I'll give you my theory on the Miami Heat could 134 00:07:26,839 --> 00:07:30,920 and it's only mid December, skis, so you wonder how 135 00:07:30,959 --> 00:07:32,959 this could happen. But I kind of feel this way. 136 00:07:33,560 --> 00:07:36,040 Miami was one of the slowest paced teams in the 137 00:07:36,160 --> 00:07:40,680 NBA for years under Spolstra. This year they decide they 138 00:07:40,680 --> 00:07:43,519 want to be the fastest paced team. And the other 139 00:07:43,600 --> 00:07:45,839 night we talked to it was against Toronto. I think 140 00:07:45,920 --> 00:07:48,319 right where we were suggesting maybe play the under, because 141 00:07:48,360 --> 00:07:50,519 Miami just hasn't scored. They're won eleven or less in 142 00:07:50,560 --> 00:07:53,920 their last five. They're won eleven or less than nine 143 00:07:53,959 --> 00:07:56,759 of them or seven of their last nine, and I 144 00:07:56,800 --> 00:07:59,879 think maybe they might have ran themselves out of gas early. 145 00:08:00,240 --> 00:08:03,439 You can't just go from thirtieth in pace or twenty 146 00:08:03,519 --> 00:08:05,920 ninth in pace to first in pace one hundred and 147 00:08:05,959 --> 00:08:09,279 four possessions per game or whatever it was every single 148 00:08:09,399 --> 00:08:13,120 night and not feel some effect. Could they bounce back 149 00:08:13,120 --> 00:08:16,000 from that? They may just be hitting a wall at 150 00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:19,000 this point in time, But I'm not willing until I 151 00:08:19,120 --> 00:08:22,600 see it to go ahead and risk anything on their 152 00:08:22,639 --> 00:08:25,800 offense suddenly turning things around. And maybe the lack of 153 00:08:25,959 --> 00:08:30,480 defense correlates to they've just been running so much in 154 00:08:30,519 --> 00:08:33,799 every single game that there's no energy on defense as well. 155 00:08:34,080 --> 00:08:36,919 Now that being said, there's been a lot of time 156 00:08:37,000 --> 00:08:40,360 space in between games, as we mentioned already, due to 157 00:08:40,399 --> 00:08:44,159 the Cup, some blank days where you can rest sometimes 158 00:08:44,240 --> 00:08:47,799 two three four days off for these teams. Still, I 159 00:08:47,840 --> 00:08:49,639 want to see Miami get back to it because it 160 00:08:49,679 --> 00:08:51,679 doesn't in what I've read today, it doesn't look like 161 00:08:51,759 --> 00:08:55,080 coach Spolster is going to change what they've been doing 162 00:08:55,120 --> 00:08:57,039 this year. It doesn't look like they're going to go 163 00:08:57,080 --> 00:08:59,039 back to being a slow possession team. There are number 164 00:08:59,039 --> 00:09:02,159 of possessions per game has dropped from one oh four 165 00:09:02,200 --> 00:09:06,480 to one hundred four per game. Maybe indicates that they 166 00:09:06,519 --> 00:09:08,519 are just a little bit out of gas at this 167 00:09:08,639 --> 00:09:10,600 current point in time. We'll see how it goes tonight. 168 00:09:11,279 --> 00:09:15,200 If that's the case, I would probably lean with you 169 00:09:15,399 --> 00:09:18,879 on under in this game, but I don't know that 170 00:09:18,919 --> 00:09:21,120 I could get to Miami until I see them pick 171 00:09:21,120 --> 00:09:22,879 it back up and do what they were doing early 172 00:09:22,919 --> 00:09:26,960 on up muted. 173 00:09:27,799 --> 00:09:30,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll be proactive here, Rob. You know, I think 174 00:09:30,159 --> 00:09:35,200 that the break does them justice. I mean, yeah, you 175 00:09:35,320 --> 00:09:37,159 could look at that. I mean you can look at the 176 00:09:37,159 --> 00:09:39,519 game versus the Raptors too. I mean, that's a bad 177 00:09:39,600 --> 00:09:42,120 loss right after six days off. They've had another couple 178 00:09:42,080 --> 00:09:46,279 of days off after that. So second game in like 179 00:09:46,519 --> 00:09:49,399 eight or nine days, that's enough to think about and 180 00:09:49,440 --> 00:09:51,720 fix what's going wrong. And you know, have all this 181 00:09:51,799 --> 00:09:54,679 stuff marinate as to why you've been playing so bad 182 00:09:54,759 --> 00:09:58,519 and everybody talking about you. On the other side, net's 183 00:09:58,559 --> 00:10:01,759 just one by forty five. Hey, they're chilling. 184 00:10:04,200 --> 00:10:05,200 Speaker 2: It had to be Doc. 185 00:10:05,960 --> 00:10:09,159 Speaker 1: Yeah, they're chilling over there. They're they ain't worried about 186 00:10:09,159 --> 00:10:11,679 nothing right now. I like the heat and I like 187 00:10:11,720 --> 00:10:17,480 the under in this game, Rob. Clippers in Thunder opened 188 00:10:17,519 --> 00:10:20,200 up fifteen looks like seventeen and a half total. Not 189 00:10:20,320 --> 00:10:23,600 really moving too much. As far as the injury report, 190 00:10:23,879 --> 00:10:35,480 Cam Christie questionable, James harden Jones out, Neitherhauser out, Hardenstein out, 191 00:10:35,519 --> 00:10:40,720 topic out, Jalen Williams not j dub though. I think 192 00:10:40,759 --> 00:10:47,080 that it's never been no night robe. It's never ever 193 00:10:47,159 --> 00:10:49,759 been no night these Clippers. I want nothing to do 194 00:10:49,799 --> 00:10:53,639 with them right now. I mean, Harden's not playing. It 195 00:10:53,679 --> 00:10:55,639 looked like he should have stayed out the other game too. 196 00:10:55,679 --> 00:10:57,639 He didn't look like he wanted to be out there. 197 00:10:58,960 --> 00:11:00,720 I just don't like anything about what I'm saying from 198 00:11:00,759 --> 00:11:02,759 his Clippers team. There isn't no reason to like them. 199 00:11:03,120 --> 00:11:04,840 You know how good the Thunder have been all year. 200 00:11:05,360 --> 00:11:08,080 Under are off of a loss, you know, maybe feeling 201 00:11:08,120 --> 00:11:11,080 like they should have won, should have won the Cup two. 202 00:11:12,759 --> 00:11:14,600 I could only look towards the Thunder here, But I'm 203 00:11:14,600 --> 00:11:16,559 gonn chop it in half and go first half. I 204 00:11:16,559 --> 00:11:19,799 think they'll be up by double digits after twenty four minutes. 205 00:11:19,879 --> 00:11:22,080 What do you think you're of? You know, Thunder and Clippers. 206 00:11:22,600 --> 00:11:24,039 Speaker 2: I think, and I don't have the numbers in front 207 00:11:24,080 --> 00:11:27,799 of me. Maybe we can get those while I go 208 00:11:27,919 --> 00:11:31,159 through this quick hereski of Thunder first half. I feel 209 00:11:31,159 --> 00:11:35,759 like they do get the teams fairly quickly. You know, 210 00:11:35,799 --> 00:11:39,080 we've talked about how the Clippers just cannot get up 211 00:11:39,080 --> 00:11:43,919 and down the floor, and Chris Dunne to replace James Harden. 212 00:11:43,960 --> 00:11:46,039 We're not gonna say that James Harden gets up and 213 00:11:46,080 --> 00:11:48,159 down the floor, but when he's on the floor, he 214 00:11:48,240 --> 00:11:50,960 scores points. Chris Dunn is not going to replace James 215 00:11:51,000 --> 00:11:55,759 Harden's points. And that entire Clippers starting lineup that's projected 216 00:11:55,799 --> 00:12:02,480 tonight done, Bugdanovich, Kawhi Collins, and Zubats. Oklahoma City, the 217 00:12:02,519 --> 00:12:04,799 way they played could run circles around them, and this 218 00:12:04,840 --> 00:12:08,480 could get ugly, really really fast. So there's no way 219 00:12:08,759 --> 00:12:10,960 I would be playing Clippers here. I don't even know 220 00:12:11,000 --> 00:12:13,960 if their point total is gonna make it to what 221 00:12:14,000 --> 00:12:16,879 the suggested price is here, what market price is here? 222 00:12:17,360 --> 00:12:21,240 Because Oklahoma City, I agree with you just in reading 223 00:12:21,320 --> 00:12:25,519 some stuff prior to Cup and reading some quotes after Cup, 224 00:12:25,559 --> 00:12:29,279 Oklahoma City really was in fact trying to get it 225 00:12:29,320 --> 00:12:32,039 this year after being knocked out by Milwaukee last year. 226 00:12:32,120 --> 00:12:36,039 Last year they felt like they kind of self imploded 227 00:12:36,120 --> 00:12:40,320 on themselves in that game and probably could have beat Milwaukee. 228 00:12:40,320 --> 00:12:43,200 This year, they wanted to go out and prove I 229 00:12:43,240 --> 00:12:45,840 think we might have said a few days ago that 230 00:12:46,240 --> 00:12:48,120 Oklahoma City just looks like a team that wants to 231 00:12:48,159 --> 00:12:50,879 win every single game, right. They want to go eighty 232 00:12:50,879 --> 00:12:53,679 and two, They want to win a Cup trophy, a 233 00:12:53,679 --> 00:12:57,320 Finals trophy, etc. And that's kind of what they said 234 00:12:58,120 --> 00:13:02,720 to a man after that loss, I would say, okaysee 235 00:13:03,039 --> 00:13:06,320 in some way, shape or form. First half, Like I mentioned, 236 00:13:06,360 --> 00:13:08,200 I don't know the exact numbers, but I do feel 237 00:13:08,240 --> 00:13:12,200 like they at least they sixteen or nine, sixteen and 238 00:13:12,320 --> 00:13:16,279 nine there you go, pretty solid numbers there. So I 239 00:13:16,279 --> 00:13:18,399 don't know how you could look at the Clippers. 240 00:13:19,600 --> 00:13:22,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, them them tennis balls, and Walker is gonna get 241 00:13:22,240 --> 00:13:26,000 right off the court tonight. Good luck back in the 242 00:13:26,039 --> 00:13:30,200 Clippers next game. Raptors and Bucks, I'm gonna just keep 243 00:13:30,240 --> 00:13:33,159 dishort and sweep. You know. I want nothing to do 244 00:13:33,200 --> 00:13:38,679 with either one of these teams. Honestly, I'm considering Mamu 245 00:13:39,279 --> 00:13:42,240 props whether it probably rebounds, because I don't think Pardo's 246 00:13:42,240 --> 00:13:45,840 gonna play. He was downgraded to questionable. But other than that, 247 00:13:46,000 --> 00:13:50,200 I'm not really interested anything for you for Raptors and Bucks. 248 00:13:51,200 --> 00:13:55,000 Speaker 2: Eighty two points against the Nets Milwaukee, and it led 249 00:13:55,080 --> 00:13:58,159 Doc Rivers to say this, This is basically genius as 250 00:13:58,159 --> 00:14:01,440 far as quotes go. Guy's been around forever. Here's what 251 00:14:01,519 --> 00:14:04,679 he comes up with. Either we're not executing well enough 252 00:14:05,039 --> 00:14:09,519 or we're not good enough. What is that supposed to mean? 253 00:14:11,159 --> 00:14:16,360 It's unbelievable that that guy could come up with that 254 00:14:16,600 --> 00:14:20,159 type of quote. Raptors, to their credit, did bounce back 255 00:14:20,200 --> 00:14:22,679 and win the other day against Miami. After they run 256 00:14:23,240 --> 00:14:25,519 I think it was like an oh to eight points 257 00:14:25,519 --> 00:14:29,600 spread run. They bounced back and one played pretty good defense. 258 00:14:30,320 --> 00:14:32,440 Milwaukee's just the team I want nothing to do it. 259 00:14:32,440 --> 00:14:34,120 Didn't bet the game, but if I was gonna bet, 260 00:14:34,120 --> 00:14:36,919 i'd be on Toronto. Here. I could see Toronto at 261 00:14:37,000 --> 00:14:41,000 least being charged up after breaking their losing streak in Milwaukee. 262 00:14:41,519 --> 00:14:43,360 And you lose like that to Brooklyn, I don't know 263 00:14:43,360 --> 00:14:44,360 how you bounce back from that. 264 00:14:46,559 --> 00:14:49,759 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's I mean, I'm staying away from that one. 265 00:14:49,879 --> 00:14:50,039 Speaker 2: You know. 266 00:14:50,120 --> 00:14:55,240 Speaker 1: That's that's just ugly. Houston and New Orleans opened up 267 00:14:55,799 --> 00:14:58,080 ten down to nine and a half total. Hasn't really 268 00:14:58,120 --> 00:15:05,960 moved or the Rockets. Same three guys out who've been out, Pelicans, 269 00:15:06,240 --> 00:15:09,159 same guy Murray. Other than that, these teams are healthy. 270 00:15:09,639 --> 00:15:11,639 I feel like, and it's off the top of my head, 271 00:15:11,679 --> 00:15:13,799 I forget the last Rockets game, but I feel like 272 00:15:13,840 --> 00:15:16,919 it was an embarrassing game for them. Other than that, 273 00:15:18,120 --> 00:15:19,919 I'm gonna try to look it up here. Other than that, 274 00:15:20,279 --> 00:15:23,080 Pelicans have been playing really good basketball lately. Oh no, 275 00:15:23,159 --> 00:15:25,759 it wasn't too embarrassing. It was they that was the 276 00:15:25,799 --> 00:15:29,440 game that got cheated. Actually, yeah, the rest were where 277 00:15:30,279 --> 00:15:32,360 that was rest were terrible. He may said that they 278 00:15:32,399 --> 00:15:34,679 need to be working at McDonald's after that game. So yeah, 279 00:15:34,720 --> 00:15:40,360 I remember that game. Now, the Pelicans, they've been playing good. 280 00:15:40,399 --> 00:15:42,799 You know. I've taken them, I feel like a few 281 00:15:42,840 --> 00:15:46,080 times in a row almost, and they've been covering every 282 00:15:46,120 --> 00:15:49,799 single time. It's very hard to look at those ten 283 00:15:49,840 --> 00:15:52,399 points and not want to take them. Here again, how 284 00:15:52,440 --> 00:15:55,120 do you feel about Rockets and Pelicans? 285 00:15:55,440 --> 00:15:59,039 Speaker 2: It is crazy, right, it's a five and twenty two team, 286 00:15:59,240 --> 00:16:02,679 but yet they're third as I look here in covering 287 00:16:02,759 --> 00:16:05,639 numbers in the NBA, sixty one and a half percent 288 00:16:05,720 --> 00:16:08,639 cover rate by the Pelicans. So as bad as they 289 00:16:08,679 --> 00:16:12,360 are at not winning games in our line of business, 290 00:16:12,399 --> 00:16:14,639 they do win right for us, they're like one of 291 00:16:14,679 --> 00:16:16,600 the better teams in the league. We don't care about 292 00:16:16,639 --> 00:16:21,080 their five and twenty two so it's hard to ignore points. 293 00:16:21,759 --> 00:16:27,080 Zions in the lineup tonight, I believe, which we talked 294 00:16:27,120 --> 00:16:29,879 about Trey Young earlier. I don't know that that would 295 00:16:29,919 --> 00:16:32,519 be as the Zion's been in and out, in and out, 296 00:16:32,519 --> 00:16:35,120 in and out. Not not quite as long as Trey 297 00:16:35,279 --> 00:16:38,879 was out. But you know, I think it all depends 298 00:16:38,879 --> 00:16:42,159 on Houston's level of interest. If Houston's really interested off 299 00:16:42,200 --> 00:16:44,360 that Denver game, that overtime game was the one you 300 00:16:44,399 --> 00:16:46,559 were speaking of, the one twenty eight one twenty five 301 00:16:46,639 --> 00:16:51,000 where a referee whistle got the game to one seventeen 302 00:16:51,039 --> 00:16:54,080 one seventeen at the end of regulation and force that overtime. 303 00:16:54,200 --> 00:16:56,240 I think if Houston's interest level is there, I'd be 304 00:16:56,279 --> 00:17:00,480 afraid to play New Orleans. But if it's just you know, 305 00:17:00,679 --> 00:17:03,639 it's New Orleans and we're supposed to whack them, and 306 00:17:03,799 --> 00:17:06,480 they just come in to do the job and nothing more. 307 00:17:07,319 --> 00:17:10,039 New Orleans is going to be scrappy for forty eight minutes. 308 00:17:10,319 --> 00:17:13,680 They've shown that they can play even without Zion. They 309 00:17:14,160 --> 00:17:16,240 can get the job done. So it's hard to bet 310 00:17:16,279 --> 00:17:19,680 against a team that's covering at that rate. I'll say that. 311 00:17:19,759 --> 00:17:21,400 I mean, if you do, you do so at your 312 00:17:21,440 --> 00:17:26,799 own risk. Houston's one of those teams that could you know, 313 00:17:27,559 --> 00:17:29,440 there is a scenario where they can blow this team 314 00:17:29,480 --> 00:17:32,240 out of the water. I didn't play this game. You 315 00:17:32,319 --> 00:17:34,359 thought the previous one was too ugly to play. I 316 00:17:34,400 --> 00:17:36,440 kind of feel like this one is as well, but 317 00:17:36,960 --> 00:17:38,680 I think it can make a case for both sides. 318 00:17:41,640 --> 00:17:47,119 Speaker 1: Yeah, I would agree. Pistons and Mavericks open five and 319 00:17:47,160 --> 00:17:48,960 a half looks like seven or seven and a half 320 00:17:49,119 --> 00:17:51,200 total came down from two thirty one and a half 321 00:17:52,079 --> 00:17:57,200 as low as two twenty eight for the Pistons, see 322 00:17:57,240 --> 00:17:58,680 if you can find them here, and nobody on the 323 00:17:58,720 --> 00:18:04,839 injury report for the MAVs ad Najie Marshall, Gangelo Russell, 324 00:18:05,599 --> 00:18:12,519 Brandon Williams all questionable. I feel like I feel like 325 00:18:12,559 --> 00:18:14,480 the Pistons will be able to score whatever they want. 326 00:18:14,599 --> 00:18:19,240 I mean, no, a D does hurt the defense more 327 00:18:19,279 --> 00:18:21,720 than anything. I feel like they're still going to be 328 00:18:21,759 --> 00:18:25,000 able to well. Actually, no, the more I think about it, 329 00:18:27,920 --> 00:18:30,200 this is tough. This is tough, you know. I think 330 00:18:30,240 --> 00:18:32,839 that I do think the Pistons can score, and I 331 00:18:32,880 --> 00:18:36,759 do think that they can hold the Maps down. So 332 00:18:36,759 --> 00:18:38,400 I guess that makes me lean with the Pistons on 333 00:18:38,440 --> 00:18:40,680 the spread. How do you feel about Mavericks? 334 00:18:41,720 --> 00:18:44,920 Speaker 2: And I was gonna say this is a tough game 335 00:18:44,960 --> 00:18:48,759 for me. Ski Dallas had been playing really well until 336 00:18:48,799 --> 00:18:53,200 their most recent game. They lose to Utah. Of course, 337 00:18:53,279 --> 00:18:57,279 going to Utah and giving up the amount of points 338 00:18:57,279 --> 00:19:01,319 that they do that they did. Excuse me, A lot 339 00:19:01,400 --> 00:19:03,359 of teams do that, right. Utah scores on a lot 340 00:19:03,359 --> 00:19:05,039 of people at home. So I'm not too worried about that. 341 00:19:05,079 --> 00:19:06,759 We were worried the other day, and I would be 342 00:19:06,799 --> 00:19:10,599 worried again about Maverick rim protection. It's down to Daniel 343 00:19:10,599 --> 00:19:14,799 Gafford only because Derek Lively's gone for the year, because 344 00:19:14,839 --> 00:19:17,920 AD's out. So Detroit's a team that will get to 345 00:19:17,960 --> 00:19:22,720 the rim, and they're good at the rim, both defensively 346 00:19:22,799 --> 00:19:29,079 and offensively. There's probably nobody better, or at least you 347 00:19:29,119 --> 00:19:33,000 could argue he's one of the premiere guys on the 348 00:19:33,039 --> 00:19:35,880 offensive glass Jalen Duran. They get a lot of second 349 00:19:35,920 --> 00:19:38,359 chances with him. I like the way he plays. That's 350 00:19:38,400 --> 00:19:40,720 gonna be a big mismatch here for those playing props. 351 00:19:40,720 --> 00:19:42,519 Maybe you take a look at Duran here because his 352 00:19:42,599 --> 00:19:45,640 counterpart is Gafford, and I don't think Gafford, you know, 353 00:19:45,960 --> 00:19:49,720 he rarely goes thirty minutes, so maybe you're looking at 354 00:19:49,759 --> 00:19:51,559 twenty eight minutes out of Gafford. And then the rest 355 00:19:51,759 --> 00:19:55,720 with the Mavericks going very very small Detroit should be 356 00:19:55,759 --> 00:19:58,519 able to get theirs. It could lead me to a 357 00:19:58,559 --> 00:20:01,000 team total. Let me just say this the real quick 358 00:20:01,039 --> 00:20:04,440 while I have this in front of me. Dallas is 359 00:20:04,599 --> 00:20:07,839 eight and oher over their team total in their last 360 00:20:07,839 --> 00:20:11,400 eight games. Kind of crazy, but they've been scoring on 361 00:20:11,440 --> 00:20:16,960 their own. They Yeah, they've you know what, you put 362 00:20:17,039 --> 00:20:19,160 an M hard in there and you're a okay if 363 00:20:19,160 --> 00:20:23,200 you're in college or in the pros, it works. So 364 00:20:23,240 --> 00:20:25,960 they've been scoring a lot. We think Detroit will score 365 00:20:25,960 --> 00:20:27,960 a lot at they collectively. We think Detroit will score 366 00:20:27,960 --> 00:20:30,920 a lot. Perhaps you could look at an overplay in 367 00:20:30,960 --> 00:20:34,640 this game, but Dallas is going to have difficulties, no 368 00:20:34,720 --> 00:20:36,000 doubt at the rim in this one. 369 00:20:38,400 --> 00:20:42,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, i'd have to. Man. I do think the Tray 370 00:20:43,119 --> 00:20:47,599 defense solid. It's the one thing hauled me back here. 371 00:20:48,240 --> 00:20:52,839 But math offense has looked good. I can't deny that. Tough, 372 00:20:52,880 --> 00:20:56,519 tough game. Next game we'll look at will be Magic 373 00:20:56,519 --> 00:21:01,559 and Nuggets and end up seven and a half in 374 00:21:01,640 --> 00:21:04,000 the six and a half or seven, depending where you shot. 375 00:21:04,359 --> 00:21:06,160 Total going up though from two thirty two and a 376 00:21:06,200 --> 00:21:08,319 half as high as two thirty six and a half. 377 00:21:09,200 --> 00:21:14,839 Hardaway questionable, Watson questionable, bron and Gordon out, the Silva questionable, 378 00:21:15,279 --> 00:21:21,359 No Castleton sucks, Mo Wagner or Franz Vagner. Magic have 379 00:21:21,440 --> 00:21:24,400 been playing well, but I don't like all the injuries 380 00:21:24,400 --> 00:21:30,039 for them, And honestly, I'm just ah the Nuggets. They 381 00:21:30,200 --> 00:21:33,480 just find a way to keep winning and game. I 382 00:21:33,519 --> 00:21:35,000 just don't want to step in front of it right now. 383 00:21:35,000 --> 00:21:40,519 It's kind of how I feel. But the market I 384 00:21:40,519 --> 00:21:43,720 don't know is this game. I can't bet against the 385 00:21:43,799 --> 00:21:46,759 Nuggets and Nuggets games right now. I want to bet over. 386 00:21:47,000 --> 00:21:49,119 I know we talked about, you know, the quotes for 387 00:21:49,440 --> 00:21:51,240 with the guys on the court, they're playing faster, but 388 00:21:51,279 --> 00:21:56,599 Watson is questionable missing some points also from the Magic. 389 00:21:58,079 --> 00:21:59,799 I have a feeling you like the over though. 390 00:22:01,640 --> 00:22:05,400 Speaker 2: And inspecific skig. I would like the Nuggets team total over. 391 00:22:05,480 --> 00:22:07,400 You take a look at this number that they're giving 392 00:22:07,480 --> 00:22:10,880 us here, one twenty one and a half. Denver scored 393 00:22:10,960 --> 00:22:13,640 one twenty one or better in seventeen of their last 394 00:22:13,640 --> 00:22:16,480 twenty that's eighty five percent. They get to at least 395 00:22:16,519 --> 00:22:21,559 one twenty one. Orlando plays with pace. They haven't really 396 00:22:21,599 --> 00:22:24,000 backed off of that philosophy change this year, so you're 397 00:22:24,000 --> 00:22:26,079 going to get a little extra, and then I just 398 00:22:26,119 --> 00:22:29,119 bring it to play the altitude for Orlando. If you're 399 00:22:29,119 --> 00:22:32,119 going to get into a semi pace game in altitude 400 00:22:32,119 --> 00:22:34,319 and you're a little bit depth shy because of injury, 401 00:22:35,119 --> 00:22:38,759 that can only hurt your defense. So to me, it's 402 00:22:38,880 --> 00:22:42,599 almost a mechanical knee jerk reaction to play Denver over 403 00:22:42,839 --> 00:22:45,160 their team total at this point in time, especially at 404 00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:48,720 this number, you know, I get scared, or I've gotten 405 00:22:48,720 --> 00:22:51,440 scared a few times during this recent run when it's 406 00:22:51,480 --> 00:22:54,319 posted at you know, one twenty five and a half, 407 00:22:54,319 --> 00:22:56,319 one twenty six and a half. After start thinking can 408 00:22:56,319 --> 00:22:58,240 they really get to one twenty seven, But at one 409 00:22:58,279 --> 00:23:00,599 twenty one and a half, the low end of the 410 00:23:00,640 --> 00:23:03,720 one twenties at home just seems to me like they 411 00:23:03,759 --> 00:23:06,200 get their routine lead. So I'll be there on that 412 00:23:06,319 --> 00:23:10,240 play Denver team total over one and a half. And 413 00:23:10,279 --> 00:23:13,359 I don't think that I could argue anybody off a 414 00:23:13,359 --> 00:23:16,359 full game, because if we've said it once, we've said 415 00:23:16,359 --> 00:23:19,839 it a hundred times. They're just not really that interested 416 00:23:19,880 --> 00:23:22,000 on the defensive end. In most of these games, they 417 00:23:22,039 --> 00:23:23,079 give up a lot of points. 418 00:23:24,599 --> 00:23:27,559 Speaker 1: Lakers and Jazz opened up minus six and a half 419 00:23:27,640 --> 00:23:31,519 except to nine total, about where it opened. We will 420 00:23:31,559 --> 00:23:36,519 not have marketing and kneeing for the Jazz. Eighton Reeves 421 00:23:36,559 --> 00:23:41,240 and Vincent are out for the Lakers. I think this 422 00:23:41,440 --> 00:23:44,440 one moved in the right direction. I mean, no marketing. 423 00:23:45,400 --> 00:23:47,519 That's a lot missing from the Utah team. They're probably 424 00:23:47,559 --> 00:23:49,960 gonna are. They are going to struggle a lot more 425 00:23:50,000 --> 00:23:54,279 than the Lakers with the score tonight without Reeves, and 426 00:23:54,359 --> 00:23:56,440 we've seen the Lakers play a couple of times without Aiden, 427 00:23:56,839 --> 00:24:01,039 They've still been able to cover both both games did 428 00:24:01,079 --> 00:24:03,519 also go over. So I look at this game like 429 00:24:05,559 --> 00:24:07,720 the Jazz just won't be able to keep up offensively. 430 00:24:07,920 --> 00:24:11,359 That's kind of how I feel. And then the Lakers, Oh, 431 00:24:11,400 --> 00:24:14,200 you're missing Ayden, you know, which is a big deal. 432 00:24:14,640 --> 00:24:21,200 But they've gotten challenged recently by coach Reddick, to be specific, 433 00:24:22,240 --> 00:24:25,160 Luca and Lebron as far as on the defensive end. 434 00:24:25,480 --> 00:24:28,480 So if you're telling me the Lakers gonna try on defense, 435 00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:32,119 and you know the way that the Jazz look without marketing, 436 00:24:32,279 --> 00:24:34,519 I think they can win this game by double digits. 437 00:24:35,079 --> 00:24:38,480 How do you feel about Lakers Jazz? You know, I. 438 00:24:38,400 --> 00:24:41,400 Speaker 2: Feel like I need to ask you, do you trust 439 00:24:41,440 --> 00:24:43,640 that Luke and Lebron are gonna play defense, and they 440 00:24:43,720 --> 00:24:46,799 just tell JJ Riddick, we're Luke and Lebron. We do 441 00:24:46,920 --> 00:24:49,160 what we do and we don't have to really. I 442 00:24:49,160 --> 00:24:52,160 know Lebron's good friends with JJ Redick. Maybe they listen. 443 00:24:52,240 --> 00:24:55,680 Maybe they try not really good defenders to begin with, 444 00:24:55,920 --> 00:24:57,920 I put a big red X through this one to 445 00:24:57,920 --> 00:25:01,319 start with. Swall tail with you and trust your opinion 446 00:25:01,359 --> 00:25:04,680 on this one, because I thought that there was too 447 00:25:04,759 --> 00:25:07,799 much missing from each side to come up with a 448 00:25:07,839 --> 00:25:10,079 real good play, at least my line of thinking. And 449 00:25:10,160 --> 00:25:12,920 I will say this for what it's worth. DeAndre Yayton, 450 00:25:13,799 --> 00:25:16,359 I mean, and you watch the Lakers as closely as anybody, 451 00:25:16,359 --> 00:25:19,799 but to me, it looks like DeAndre Yton has really 452 00:25:19,839 --> 00:25:23,480 gotten more involved in a positive way offensively, and now 453 00:25:23,480 --> 00:25:26,480 he's gonna sit down, So maybe it takes a little 454 00:25:26,519 --> 00:25:32,000 bit away. I really wouldn't argue points in this game. 455 00:25:32,200 --> 00:25:34,480 I mean, the Lakers still have plenty of firepower and 456 00:25:34,519 --> 00:25:36,920 the Jazz still don't play a lot of defense, and 457 00:25:37,680 --> 00:25:41,319 in Utah you usually get high scoring games. But maybe 458 00:25:41,359 --> 00:25:43,680 I would look at it from the Lakers perspective, only 459 00:25:43,720 --> 00:25:47,400 their team total. But like I say, I'll listen to 460 00:25:47,440 --> 00:25:51,720 you on this one because I have no good look and. 461 00:25:51,839 --> 00:25:54,279 Speaker 1: I would be the Lakers team total if you're looking 462 00:25:54,319 --> 00:25:56,799 for some points on this one for me. Warriors and 463 00:25:56,839 --> 00:25:59,480 Phoenix opened up one and a half point favorites for 464 00:25:59,519 --> 00:26:03,039 the Warriors still sitting around there. Total went up from 465 00:26:03,039 --> 00:26:05,359 two twenty eight and a half to two thirty one 466 00:26:05,440 --> 00:26:10,160 and a half. As far as injuries, Horford out, Spencer 467 00:26:10,240 --> 00:26:15,519 out for the Suns, Grayson Allen questionable, Livers questionable, Jalen 468 00:26:15,559 --> 00:26:21,039 Green out this Warriors team. Just I can't trust him. 469 00:26:21,119 --> 00:26:25,759 Rovino Kerr he doesn't know what he's doing right now. 470 00:26:27,039 --> 00:26:31,839 Yeahs no, like it's just malpractice from what I see 471 00:26:31,839 --> 00:26:34,079 for this Warriors team. I could talk about it for 472 00:26:34,480 --> 00:26:37,920 a good five minutes probably, but he just doesn't know 473 00:26:37,920 --> 00:26:39,640 what he's doing right now. And Curry has been a 474 00:26:39,680 --> 00:26:43,119 good coach, so I have no clue why it looks 475 00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:46,839 like this right now. But I can't put my money 476 00:26:46,880 --> 00:26:51,160 on that Steph Curry scores forty six and they still lose. No, 477 00:26:51,640 --> 00:26:55,000 absolutely not Rovino, So it's Phoenix or nothing for me. 478 00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:57,079 Sounds like you agree. 479 00:26:58,039 --> 00:26:59,599 Speaker 2: I do agree, And I'm going to ask you this 480 00:26:59,599 --> 00:27:01,960 because I I didn't realize this until this morning when 481 00:27:01,960 --> 00:27:05,240 I read it that this is the final year in 482 00:27:05,319 --> 00:27:09,480 Steve Kerr's contract, and some people think that he's just 483 00:27:09,559 --> 00:27:14,000 gonna go out as coach of the Golden State Warriors, 484 00:27:14,039 --> 00:27:17,680 not really re signed. Now, if that's the case and 485 00:27:17,720 --> 00:27:20,480 a guy's just playing out the final year as head coach, 486 00:27:21,240 --> 00:27:23,799 I mean that could halfway explain what you're seeing with 487 00:27:23,839 --> 00:27:26,079 your eyes, the way he's operating as the head coach, 488 00:27:26,119 --> 00:27:28,559 and say're like, you know what I'm done here anyway? 489 00:27:28,640 --> 00:27:33,680 So who really cares? But they've had nine different lineups 490 00:27:33,680 --> 00:27:35,759 in the last nine games. How do you build any 491 00:27:35,799 --> 00:27:39,079 continuity with nine different lineups in nine games? Make no sense? 492 00:27:39,960 --> 00:27:43,519 I do for what it's worth. And I didn't think 493 00:27:43,559 --> 00:27:45,599 Phoenix was gonna be all that good this year, but 494 00:27:45,640 --> 00:27:47,799 I do at least respect what they've done this season. 495 00:27:47,799 --> 00:27:50,960 They're playing hard, they're off back to back losses, so 496 00:27:51,000 --> 00:27:53,160 the hunger will be there to get a victory here tonight. 497 00:27:54,079 --> 00:27:56,440 I think Phoenix is probably the right side here. Ski. 498 00:27:56,480 --> 00:28:01,319 I'm with you. Golden State is really Golden State in 499 00:28:01,440 --> 00:28:03,960 name and reputation only. At this point you have to 500 00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:06,880 sweep that aside and realize that it's just not that 501 00:28:07,000 --> 00:28:07,880 team right now. 502 00:28:09,079 --> 00:28:14,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, definitely not the Warriors of Ode and could only 503 00:28:14,200 --> 00:28:19,519 look towards the Suns in his game. All right, last game, 504 00:28:19,839 --> 00:28:22,519 another game. I want absolutely nothing to do with Ravino, 505 00:28:22,640 --> 00:28:24,599 so I'm gonna waste his time. If you want to 506 00:28:24,640 --> 00:28:27,720 talk about Kings and Blazers, feel free. I got nothing 507 00:28:27,759 --> 00:28:31,279 for you, guys. 508 00:28:29,759 --> 00:28:33,599 Speaker 2: Just really quick. The difference in Portland home court play 509 00:28:34,680 --> 00:28:37,359 seven and zero against the spread. Is a home underdog 510 00:28:37,480 --> 00:28:41,319 last seven, but yet zero to three at home when 511 00:28:41,319 --> 00:28:44,119 they're asked to lay points. Seems pretty simple, right, take 512 00:28:44,119 --> 00:28:47,160 points with Portland at home? Good bet? Lay points with 513 00:28:47,240 --> 00:28:51,319 Portland at home? Nine points? Why? Because Zach Lavine is out? 514 00:28:53,079 --> 00:28:55,079 Makes no sense to me? So I would be laying 515 00:28:55,160 --> 00:28:57,440 nine with Portland here. I think the numbers, the point 516 00:28:57,480 --> 00:29:00,559 spread numbers speak for themselves. You can't lay nine with Portland. 517 00:29:00,599 --> 00:29:04,599 I would probably, you know again, if it was the 518 00:29:04,640 --> 00:29:07,640 only game on the board and somebody forced me to bet, 519 00:29:07,680 --> 00:29:09,920 I guess I would be with Sacramento. But I won't play. 520 00:29:11,880 --> 00:29:14,119 Speaker 1: Yeah, you couldn't pay me to bet this game or 521 00:29:14,200 --> 00:29:17,079 watch it. Now, you can pay me to watch it, 522 00:29:17,079 --> 00:29:21,759 but not bet it. All right, it. 523 00:29:21,880 --> 00:29:25,440 Speaker 2: Comes if it comes with a couple of tequila and pineapples. 524 00:29:25,440 --> 00:29:26,359 Will watch anything. 525 00:29:26,640 --> 00:29:34,680 Speaker 1: We could talk Rams and the Seahawks. Yeah, wow, this 526 00:29:34,799 --> 00:29:38,519 is a big game, right they're tired at eleven and three. 527 00:29:39,880 --> 00:29:42,240 It opened as a pick them. We have Seattle minus 528 00:29:42,279 --> 00:29:44,720 one and a half. Now total did come down from 529 00:29:44,720 --> 00:29:47,559 forty six and a half looks like forty we'll call 530 00:29:47,599 --> 00:29:50,680 it forty three right now. Man, these teams played earlier 531 00:29:50,680 --> 00:29:56,200 in the year. You know that game was well before. 532 00:29:56,200 --> 00:29:59,680 I say that. If I was to just think of 533 00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:02,160 my head, which one of these teams I think are better, 534 00:30:03,240 --> 00:30:08,079 I would probably say the Rams. Then when I think 535 00:30:08,079 --> 00:30:12,000 about that last game, I mean they barely won twenty 536 00:30:12,039 --> 00:30:15,960 one nineteen. That's what four interceptions from Sam Darnald. I 537 00:30:15,960 --> 00:30:18,400 mean he barely squeaked out a way and he gave 538 00:30:18,440 --> 00:30:22,119 you four picks. That's I don't think you're getting four 539 00:30:22,160 --> 00:30:24,920 picks tonight. I'm just gonna say that. And then you 540 00:30:25,039 --> 00:30:29,839 have a Davonte Adams banged up, right, he could not 541 00:30:29,920 --> 00:30:33,160 play tonight. You have pookah out getting drunk every night. 542 00:30:33,319 --> 00:30:35,039 He's not going to play for the first drive of 543 00:30:35,039 --> 00:30:38,319 the game. I don't know, Ravino. It seems like a 544 00:30:38,359 --> 00:30:41,839 spot where Seahawks in a twelve man get a little 545 00:30:41,839 --> 00:30:44,839 bit of revenge and take the lead in the division. 546 00:30:45,319 --> 00:30:47,799 I think the Seahawks on the right side. Do you 547 00:30:47,880 --> 00:30:49,400 like the side? You like the total? How do you 548 00:30:49,440 --> 00:30:50,319 feel about this one? 549 00:30:51,039 --> 00:30:53,400 Speaker 2: Now? I bet the side ski I bet Seattle here. 550 00:30:53,480 --> 00:30:56,440 I've been talking about them for about the last five 551 00:30:56,640 --> 00:30:59,720 six weeks. Now I actually bet them to win the NFC. 552 00:31:00,200 --> 00:31:03,519 I came late to the party, as I always do, 553 00:31:03,599 --> 00:31:09,640 where these conference winners or Super Bowl winners are concerned, 554 00:31:09,799 --> 00:31:13,759 only because I'm scared to death of one injury ruining 555 00:31:13,799 --> 00:31:17,200 your team, something like what happened to Indianapolis and all 556 00:31:17,200 --> 00:31:19,200 of a sudden you're stuck with a forty four year 557 00:31:19,240 --> 00:31:21,680 old quarterback after you had such a great start this season. 558 00:31:21,680 --> 00:31:25,279 But about ten days ago, I bet Seattlet plus four 559 00:31:25,279 --> 00:31:27,880 p fifty to win the NFC. Honestly, I think I 560 00:31:27,880 --> 00:31:30,119 could make the case for them being the best or 561 00:31:30,160 --> 00:31:32,400 at least having a good opportunity to beat any of 562 00:31:32,440 --> 00:31:36,160 the top teams in that conference. To your point, Pooka's 563 00:31:36,200 --> 00:31:39,519 brother is also outstealing SUV, so we had a lot 564 00:31:39,559 --> 00:31:40,519 of stuff going. 565 00:31:40,319 --> 00:31:45,480 Speaker 1: On from the Lakers guard Yeah, and stole it and 566 00:31:45,519 --> 00:31:47,119 went to valet it as well. 567 00:31:50,119 --> 00:31:53,480 Speaker 2: It's absolute craziness. On a short week, they found a chance, 568 00:31:53,799 --> 00:31:57,759 the opportunity to do all of this. The Lakers' flights 569 00:31:58,319 --> 00:32:02,200 last night got all messed up. They got delayed, They 570 00:32:02,240 --> 00:32:04,960 got delayed twice. They had to fly separately to get 571 00:32:04,960 --> 00:32:08,359 to Seattle. So on a short work week with trouble 572 00:32:08,400 --> 00:32:11,799 getting to the venue makes it even worse. But I'm 573 00:32:11,839 --> 00:32:14,279 just gonna go back and I'll very quickly go over 574 00:32:14,319 --> 00:32:16,039 some of the things that you talked about in that 575 00:32:16,079 --> 00:32:18,960 game where they only lost twenty one to nineteen and 576 00:32:21,359 --> 00:32:23,640 Jason Myers had an opportunity. I mean, it's not a 577 00:32:23,640 --> 00:32:25,839 great opportunity, but it was a sixty one yard field 578 00:32:25,839 --> 00:32:28,640 goal chance to win the game for Seattle after for 579 00:32:28,839 --> 00:32:32,799 Sam Darnold picks. They had twenty six first downs to 580 00:32:32,880 --> 00:32:36,279 the Rams twelve plus four Rams twelve first downs doesn't 581 00:32:36,279 --> 00:32:39,079 even seem like that's possible, but it was true. They 582 00:32:39,160 --> 00:32:42,000 ran twenty nine more plays than the Rams did seventy 583 00:32:42,079 --> 00:32:44,200 nine to fifty. They had a fifteen and a half 584 00:32:44,279 --> 00:32:48,359 minute time of possession edge the Seahawks did four hundred 585 00:32:48,359 --> 00:32:50,839 and fourteen yards is the most LA's given up all 586 00:32:50,880 --> 00:32:54,519 season long. That was to Seattle two forty nine is 587 00:32:54,559 --> 00:32:57,880 the least they've gained all season long. That was against Seattle. 588 00:32:59,039 --> 00:33:03,720 For the sea Hawks in this game, I'll add this earlier. 589 00:33:03,759 --> 00:33:07,240 In that earlier meeting, Cooper Cup played on a snap count. 590 00:33:07,279 --> 00:33:09,759 He just came back off of an injury. Here he's healthy. 591 00:33:10,559 --> 00:33:13,880 It was the first game Rashid Shahed played for Seattle. 592 00:33:13,920 --> 00:33:16,680 He had just got traded for acquired, and he really 593 00:33:16,720 --> 00:33:19,640 didn't have any rapport with Sam Darnold. Now you saw 594 00:33:19,759 --> 00:33:21,440 last week they're throwing the bully. I think they threw 595 00:33:21,480 --> 00:33:24,119 it to him seven times last week. Got all these 596 00:33:24,160 --> 00:33:26,720 things working in favor of the Seahawks here and the 597 00:33:26,759 --> 00:33:30,480 twelfth man. Seattle didn't have to travel, right They were 598 00:33:30,559 --> 00:33:34,599 home against Indianapolis Sunday, so the short work week, you know, 599 00:33:34,880 --> 00:33:38,319 benefits them with no travel. I just thought this price 600 00:33:38,440 --> 00:33:41,519 was extremely low. The only concern I have here, Ski 601 00:33:41,640 --> 00:33:46,880 is that for the Seahawks, their left tackle Charles Cross 602 00:33:46,920 --> 00:33:50,839 is out of this game. Sam Donald's blind side protection. 603 00:33:51,000 --> 00:33:53,400 He's pretty good at his job, and they're going to 604 00:33:53,480 --> 00:33:56,599 go with a replacement there. But I'm with you, at 605 00:33:56,720 --> 00:33:58,759 least in the line of thinking that he won't throw 606 00:33:58,799 --> 00:34:01,200 four picks here. And I feel like once they go 607 00:34:01,240 --> 00:34:04,759 over film and stuff. At some point, Sam Donald's gonna 608 00:34:04,799 --> 00:34:09,079 correct that type of thing, because it's the only argument 609 00:34:09,159 --> 00:34:11,360 I ever hear against Seattle. I tell you the truth. 610 00:34:11,400 --> 00:34:15,000 People tell me, well, Sam Donald will fold when it counts. 611 00:34:15,400 --> 00:34:17,519 I'm not so sure that's true here tonight, I got 612 00:34:17,519 --> 00:34:19,519 Seattle minus to one and a half. 613 00:34:20,519 --> 00:34:22,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, And in that last game versus what is it 614 00:34:22,880 --> 00:34:25,800 the Colts, I would argue they were looking ahead to 615 00:34:25,840 --> 00:34:28,679 this game versus the Rams. So I think the Rams 616 00:34:28,719 --> 00:34:32,320 have had their attention for a while, and I think 617 00:34:32,360 --> 00:34:37,280 we'll see that here tonight. So fino, man, I'm hungry. 618 00:34:37,360 --> 00:34:39,239 I still don't have time to go eat on things, 619 00:34:39,280 --> 00:34:41,719 but I'm gonna shut this down. Let me see if 620 00:34:41,719 --> 00:34:45,000 I can get a snack. Before I do that, let's 621 00:34:45,039 --> 00:34:48,079 toss some stuff up on the screen. A lot of 622 00:34:48,119 --> 00:34:52,599 different stuff going on nowadays, so let's see. We'll start 623 00:34:52,639 --> 00:34:56,159 with first of all, let's explain this. How about that 624 00:34:56,920 --> 00:35:01,840 because Weekend Warriors different now. Weekend Warriors now for Saturday 625 00:35:01,840 --> 00:35:04,880 and Sunday, and it involves every single sport. You can 626 00:35:04,920 --> 00:35:06,679 get it for forty nine dollars. That is a new 627 00:35:06,679 --> 00:35:10,079 Weekend Warrior. Seems like with football winding down, they changed 628 00:35:10,079 --> 00:35:13,840 it up. Outside of that, we do have the full 629 00:35:13,880 --> 00:35:17,480 court all access pass. If your guy doesn't care for football, 630 00:35:17,519 --> 00:35:20,639 doesn't want to bet football, get or you don't care 631 00:35:20,639 --> 00:35:23,280 about our football bets. You can get three days of 632 00:35:23,760 --> 00:35:26,800 NBA and college basketball for only forty nine bucks. If 633 00:35:26,800 --> 00:35:28,599 you like a little bit of everything, you can buy 634 00:35:28,679 --> 00:35:33,000 three days and get one free. They also have ten 635 00:35:33,119 --> 00:35:35,480 days for less than ten dollars per day, comes out 636 00:35:35,519 --> 00:35:38,079 to just ninety nine. I'll get you all plays from 637 00:35:38,400 --> 00:35:40,679 you can choose. You know we gonna choose Robber myself. 638 00:35:41,840 --> 00:35:46,000 Then you can always do the longer term, which is 639 00:35:46,039 --> 00:35:48,800 the year. You'll get five hundred dollars off of one 640 00:35:48,840 --> 00:35:51,159 year past comes out to just one twenty five a month. 641 00:35:51,480 --> 00:35:53,360 And for example, if you were to go get Robbino 642 00:35:53,440 --> 00:35:55,400 for a year, you will also get a twenty five 643 00:35:55,440 --> 00:35:58,079 percent bonus coupon. You can come back and check out 644 00:35:58,119 --> 00:36:00,320 on myself. And I asked for this last, so I'm 645 00:36:00,320 --> 00:36:02,320 going to put it up. If you want to rock 646 00:36:02,360 --> 00:36:04,840 with me for the NBA through the finals, you can 647 00:36:04,920 --> 00:36:06,320 get it at at this kind of rate for only 648 00:36:06,400 --> 00:36:10,480 four ninety nine And I'm still number one. Dating back 649 00:36:10,519 --> 00:36:14,239 to December twenty twenty one in the association, and I 650 00:36:14,239 --> 00:36:16,239 did lose the last couple of days, but we've been 651 00:36:16,239 --> 00:36:18,079 hot for a few weeks and we're gonna get back 652 00:36:18,079 --> 00:36:20,480 on tracks. So a lot of different ways to get 653 00:36:20,480 --> 00:36:23,239 involved if you would like to. You know, I'd like 654 00:36:23,280 --> 00:36:26,199 to think I did an okay job on the promos, 655 00:36:26,599 --> 00:36:32,079 So I'll pass to you and I'll ask you if 656 00:36:32,079 --> 00:36:34,039 there's anything else that I miss or that you would 657 00:36:34,079 --> 00:36:36,400 like to promote. Feel free. If you have a best bet, 658 00:36:36,559 --> 00:36:37,400 we'd love to hear it. 659 00:36:38,800 --> 00:36:41,239 Speaker 2: I would just say really quick to everybody watching any 660 00:36:41,280 --> 00:36:45,960 of those all inclusive packages for sports college hoop, NBA, 661 00:36:46,119 --> 00:36:49,559 college football, NFL football, because there's going to be college 662 00:36:49,559 --> 00:36:52,800 football every single day for like the next twenty something days. 663 00:36:53,800 --> 00:36:56,880 It makes those packages pretty valuable. So if you're looking 664 00:36:56,920 --> 00:37:01,800 to cover all bases, those are really good deals. Ski Is, 665 00:37:01,880 --> 00:37:04,760 I've got to be simplistic here. Sometimes simple wins. We 666 00:37:04,960 --> 00:37:06,920 like to go to logic school. But to me, there's 667 00:37:06,960 --> 00:37:10,280 no reason not to play. Denver's team total over one 668 00:37:10,360 --> 00:37:13,079 twenty one and a half. I said earlier that they've 669 00:37:13,159 --> 00:37:16,599 gotten to this number seventeen of the last twenty games, 670 00:37:16,639 --> 00:37:19,079 one twenty one at least seventeen to the last twenty 671 00:37:19,519 --> 00:37:22,239 sixteen of twenty if you want to say one twenty 672 00:37:22,280 --> 00:37:24,800 two or better, which is what we need tonight. That's 673 00:37:24,840 --> 00:37:27,559 an eighty percent trend and it's it's not a small 674 00:37:27,599 --> 00:37:31,719 sample sized twenty games. They just score and I don't 675 00:37:31,719 --> 00:37:33,679 know that Orlando's going to be able to stop them 676 00:37:33,679 --> 00:37:36,079 from scoring here. So for me, best bet the game 677 00:37:36,119 --> 00:37:38,599 I did bet already Denver team total over one twenty 678 00:37:38,599 --> 00:37:41,400 one and a half and go get some cheese. 679 00:37:42,599 --> 00:37:44,599 Speaker 1: Just go ahead and just go all the way. Yeah, 680 00:37:46,320 --> 00:37:50,119 go all in on the g For me my bet, 681 00:37:50,199 --> 00:37:53,119 I'll go with okay, see first half, I did get 682 00:37:53,199 --> 00:37:56,400 nine and a half minus one twenty I mean well, 683 00:37:56,440 --> 00:37:59,039 we listed there was sixteen and nine ats in the 684 00:37:59,079 --> 00:38:02,480 first half this year at home. Their differential, I believe 685 00:38:02,639 --> 00:38:04,960 was thirteen point see the thirteen point one or thirteen 686 00:38:05,000 --> 00:38:09,639 point six. When they're motivated, which is usually every night, 687 00:38:09,880 --> 00:38:13,360 especially at home, especially after losing the game and losing 688 00:38:13,360 --> 00:38:15,760 the cut that they wanted to win, I think they'll 689 00:38:15,880 --> 00:38:21,639 spank those old tennis balls and walkers Los Angeles Clippers. 690 00:38:21,880 --> 00:38:25,679 So first half nine and a half per okay se 691 00:38:25,800 --> 00:38:27,840 will be my best bet for the show. You know, 692 00:38:28,840 --> 00:38:30,880 it's been a long show, but it's always great breaking 693 00:38:30,920 --> 00:38:33,360 the games down with you. Appreciate you taking the time 694 00:38:33,360 --> 00:38:35,760 to do it. Everybody in the chat, we appreciate you 695 00:38:35,800 --> 00:38:37,880 as well. If you enjoyed the show, hit the like 696 00:38:37,920 --> 00:38:40,199 button for us. It helps us out. We will be 697 00:38:40,280 --> 00:38:43,400 back again tomorrow. We do have we have a decent 698 00:38:43,400 --> 00:38:47,079 amount of games, so we'll talk about the NBA, will 699 00:38:47,079 --> 00:38:49,480 maybe break down some ore NFL for the weekend, and 700 00:38:49,519 --> 00:38:54,039 we will catch you all day