Speaker 1: Hello and welcome to the Dynasty Dude Podcast. I'm your host,
Corey Evans. This week's content is centered around both overrated
and underrated players. I will talk about five overrated players
right now on the free show, and then five underrated
players over on my Patreon content.
Speaker 2: Overrated underrated is subjective.
Speaker 1: It could vary person to person based on their opinion
or outlook on a player. I look at overright underrated
as assessine prior fantasy finishes per season compared to ADP,
and then identify market gaps from there. So again, five
overrated players for free right now, and then don't forget
over on Patreon bonus episode per week weeks is five
underrated players. If you want to become a member, three
tier levels, different benefits of perks at five, twelve or
twenty five dollars per month, simply scroll down in your
episode show notes now find a link or head to
Patreon dot com or the Patreon mobile app as the
Dynasty do defind me on there.
Speaker 2: Let's get right to it up. First.
Speaker 1: For an overrated player, it is Rashi Rice. He's twenty
six point one years old, and in terms of labeling
overrated underrated, I'll give you where I think that threshold
is at overrated value in my opinion for Rashid Rice
is looking at him as a top twelve wide receiver
or a wide receiver one in a twelve or even
ten team league for that matter. The data we have
so far indicates that Rice has been the PPR wide
out twenty seven, ninety nine to forty from twenty twenty
three to twenty twenty five. He is in fact not
finished better than as a wide receiver three to date.
So we're assessing him on a points per game basis
or straplating those stats or pace as a wide receiver
one or wide receiver two in fantasy, which sure makes
sense when he's available on the field. Yet there's been
so many peaks and values of production for Rice based
on a lack of availability, durability issues, or off field suspension.
Speaking of games played per year have been sixteen, four
and eight. He's averaged, as I alluded to, Rashi Rice,
seventeen point nine PPR points per game with eight point
nine targets per game and his twelve games played over
the past two seasons. That is Fantasy gold and it
puts him on the wide receiver one or wide receiver
two map that borderline.
Speaker 2: The issue I have is that he very well.
Speaker 1: Could be serving another suspension after he had that thirty
days in jail. NFL discipline could come down any points,
and it's due to prole violations, So that's TBD. Not
to mention Rice also recovering from arthroscopic knee surgery where
he's not one hundred percent from last season or even
this offseason. As we head in a training camp. All
of those factors done the table Rashi Rice. If he
stays healthy, if he plays a full game, we could
guarantee that. Sure, I value him as a wide sheever one,
but that's not a guarantee. Hence I think he's overrated
if you are treating him as a top ten to
twelve asset among wideouts entering this season. Diving a bit deeper,
Rashie Rice does all or most of his damage when
it comes to yard after the catch or short intermediate routes.
He does not offer Kansas City much as a vertical threat,
with only four prereceptions of twenty plus yards to date
in his NFL tenure. Therefore, I am pivoting or fading
Rice as a top ten and twelve ove receiver, and
I prefer other options with similar floors or higher ceilings
just looking at the range of outcomes. Up next, let's
talk about a quarterback, Jaden Daniels. He's twenty five point
five years old. I am going to label Daniels overrated
if he is treated as a top five quarterback, which
we can put in the elite quarterback one territory. I
am out on Daniels at that price tag. He was
a quarterback five and twenty twenty four as a rookie,
Ben regrest to the quarterback thirty four last year in
twenty twenty five as a sophomore in a mere seven
games played, he dealt with a variety of injuries. As
we all know by now, rist, knee, hamstring, elbow is
not a good durable season for Jading, Daniels and Washington.
The reason why I am out on Dandaniels being a
top five quarterback is we can all assume, based an
ADP and just pure assumption right that it's Josh Allen,
Lamar Jackson, Drake May and Joe Burrow as a top
four that group that tier is.
Speaker 2: In a league of their own.
Speaker 1: But there's so many other quarterbacks that could become quarterback
five through ten through twelve if you will. But I'm
not sure that Jaden Daniels is worth the premium or
costs required to put him in that top four to
five tier. And it's hard to imagine with the injury
issues that Jaden has dealt with that Washington allows him
to rush as much as he did in twenty twenty
four where he was a top five quarterback in fantasy.
Because that's concerned is that it raised his florence seeing
them respectively with the one forty eight eight ninety one
six touchdown effort in twenty twenty four. There's just so
much baked in to Daniels as a rusher that if
that is not in line with expectations, then you're simply
putting more eggs in the Daniels passing basket than what
we're hoping for as a rusher. A new interesting quote
when Jay is asked about oc David Blouse scheme is
that quote long way to go end quote when it
comes to understanding the concepts and that it's going to
be more snaps under centers opposed a shotgun or RPOs.
So that's an adjustment, let alone Daniels reportedly losing a
bit of weight this offseason, playing skinnier and or lighter.
There's a lot of factors or possible red flags here
that have me more concerned than excited about Daniels and
his outlook in twenty twenty six, especially because Washington has
not had a ton of playmakers not named Terry McLaurin
chigacon Quo possibly in twenty Williams as a rookie, and
the running back room that has a lot to be
desired and or a lot to prove. So therefore, jading
Daniels I am out at cost of being an elite
QB one top five status. I prefer others in that range,
or quite honestly, just wait to see you could draft
after those top five if you're in a donee, startup
a redraft league, or if you want to sell Daniels
for a quarterback in a similar tier but get a
pick on top of it, so swap QBS and try
to get a profit with SEB rookie draft pick in
twenty twenty seven. That's the way that I look at
it while assessing the current, in my opinion, overrate of
value of Jadon Daniels up next is a wide receiver
Jamison Williams twenty five point two years old. I'm going
to put his overrated value as a wide receiver one
or wide receiver two in twenty twenty six, so a
top twenty four wide receiver in twelve team leagues. Jamison
has been consistent surprisingly the past two campaigns for the Shroits,
with back to back one thousand plus yard receiving campaigns.
He was the PPR wide out twenty two and twenty
twenty four and the wide out twelve and twenty twenty five,
so he's actually been in the territory that I am
deeming overrated for him, And the reason I say that
is I think he's more in that top twenty four
to top thirty six range aka wide receiver three. Because
Williams benefited from Sam Laporta missing time at twenty twenty
five substantially. Jamison in fact saw four point eight targets
per game across the Lions first nine games, compared to
seven point four targets per game when Laporta missed most
of the second half of last season. So I don't
believe across a full season if he's averaging roughly five
targets per game that Jamison is going to carve out.
Whyde receiver one, let alone consistent or reliable wide receiver
two numbers. There's also the factor of Isaac Tesla expecting
to take on a larger role. I'm on row Saint
Brown locked in, as is Jamior Gibbs, possibly Isaya Pacheck
go not to mention Sam Laporta. Him being back in
the picture is huge for how Detroit will run its offense.
Not to say I don't want shares of Jamison. I
do not at a wide receiver one or wide receiver
two cost, which is how he's performed the past two seasons,
but more at what I think his true value is
wide receiver three. So outside of the top twenty four
again in a twelve team formats where I'm comfortable. Otherwise,
I think Jamison is more overrated than underrated. Quick break
me back with two more overrated players and what I'm
doing with shares of them, or how I'm looking to
a Pro Sdraft season. Accordingly, before I get to that,
do not hesitate to reach out for a roster call.
Offer them in thirty minute or one hour mins, thirty minutes,
thirty dollars one hour fifty dollars. You can hit me
up on email dynastydopottergymail dot com to lock in and
schedule a call. Or if you're on social media x
Instagram or Facebook, I'm on mal as well, Dynasty do
pod send me a message and we can talk about
your team strategy, all factors inside of that evaluation, as
if I were in your shoes during that roster call.
Be right back after a short break. Let's talk about
QJ quin Johnston. There's so much buzz, a lot of
steam rising around his value that I think this is
the perfect time to sell high or just simply fade
the hype train. Twenty four point eight years old, I
think his overrated value would be assuming he's going to
finish's a top twenty four or wide receiver two at
his position.
Speaker 2: This year, QJ is delivered as DPPR.
Speaker 1: Wide out seventy four, thirty nine and thirty four to
date with the Chargers from twenty twenty three to twenty
twenty five either been a wide receiver three or a
flex or even outside that territory. Per game basis, there's
peaks and valleys, there's some week winning performances, as well
as some Goose egg week losing performances, all mixed in
which makes sense. Would you consider that Johnson has not
surpassed fifty five catches, seven or thirty five yards receiving
or ninety one targets in a single season, yet has
found his success in fantasy and the NFL like by
scoring touchdowns exactly eight touchdowns in twenty twenty four and
twenty twenty five. That is possibly sustainable, but I'm not
banking on it. New OC Mike McDaniel is the conductor
of the QJ hype train right now, and it's driving
his ADP up accordingly, high praise for Johnson for McDaniel,
who wants QJ to be utilized more where he was
thriving at TCU and that's yards after the catch. And
if that does become the role utilization, then sure I
could see a top twenty four finish for QJ in
twenty twenty six coming true. But I'm not spending at
that valuation. Could be buying in at his ceiling or
at his cost, not at a cheap or discounter rates.
With that in mind, I prefer to bet on Lad
mccackey at cost or even take a flyer on Trey
Harris and Dynashy league's for cheap making a sophomore leap.
If it means investing in QJ as wide receiver two instead,
I'm pivoting again. I'd rather have Lad or Trey Harris
at cost. Or if I can get QJ from someone
who is also like me, not buying the hype, but
you buy low such as a wide receiver three or
flex cost, then sure that makes a lot more sense
for a late first or a second anywhere to buy QJ,
but in early to mid first, which is most of
the time what it takes to acquire a wide receiver
two or top twenty four in a twelve teen league.
The position I'm out last, but not least Cuba Hubbard.
I think he is also overrated or on that value
trajectory for twenty twenty six.
Speaker 2: He's twenty seven years old.
Speaker 1: The volume is accumulating the my league in the NFL,
not to mention Oklahoma States have me concerned overrate of
value in my opinion is if you are treating Chuba
Hubbard as an RB two or top twenty four in
a twelve team league, Hubbard has emerged for Carolina as
a lead back over the past three seasons.
Speaker 2: That is not disputable.
Speaker 1: It's true PPRB twenty seven, fourteen, and thirty eight eight
from twenty twenty three to twenty twenty five. As I
mentioned volume, it's been working in Cuba's favor. It's on
his side with rushers of two thirty eight, twoin fifty
and one thirty four, not to mention decent reception totals
of thirty nine, forty three, and thirty over that span
of time of twenty twenty three to twenty twenty five. Efficiency, though,
that's always a key marker while evaluating running back week
to week, let alone annual reliability.
Speaker 2: That's where Cuba does not excel.
Speaker 1: His efficiency has been upper carry averages of three point seven,
four point seven, and three point eight the past three seasons.
You know where I'm headed here. I am very vocal
about my support for Jonathan Brooks. If health cooperates, he
has set up for a sizeable role in twenty twenty
six and could easily flip this backfield the favorite Brooks
over Cuba ric o'dowdell in Pittsburgh. Now there's plenty of
role and opportunity up for grabs, not to mention another
sleeper in the backfield, Trevory Tien, who out of Georgia
it was a solid running back prospect. There is a
lot of uncertainty in Carolina's offense in terms of the
running back room, but the team is ascending and Dave
Canalis seems to be another offensive mastermind or guru. I
want shares. I simply think that Chewba Hubbard as a
top twenty four running back is a bit expensive, whereas
if he's an RB three or reflect, sure that makes
more sense in Dynasty, more of a cell high, and
if Jonathan Brooks does remain healthy, the dividends.
Speaker 2: Could be far superior than that of Chewba Hubbard.
Speaker 1: That does hope you enjoyed my five overrated players episode. Again,
overrated just means, at least for my evaluation, looking at
prior finishes or ADP, what that cost is relative to
others in the same territory. I'm not going to avoid
these players, but if the cost doesn't align with my
perspective on them, then they're overrated for.
Speaker 2: The sake of my strategy.
Speaker 1: Those were Rashid, Rice, Jaden Daniels, Jamison Williams, Quentin Johnston
and Chewba Hubbard. Thanks again until next time. This is
the Dynasty you check it out. Hope you all enjoy
the week, and of course don't forget check out the
flip side of this five underrated players over on my
Patreon content this week.
Speaker 2: Talk to you all soon, see you ageps Popple