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Speaker 1: You're live, my friend. Welcome to the best sports betting

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show on the planet. This is Wager Talk Today. I

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am your host, Andy Lang. It is five dollars Tuesday,

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and we are jam packed. We are looking ahead to

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NFL Week one. We got to try and get out

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ahead of these numbers. We're gonna dive deep into college

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football again. We got to get out ahead of these numbers.

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And we're gonna take a look at the MLB slate today.

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So if we're trying to lock in the best numbers

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and when early, this is where you need to be.

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Johnny's recording with Contender Series, So I'll give you the

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steam report from what I can see. Ralph Michaels is

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gonna join us. We're gonna talk Boise State, USF. We're

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gonna look at the Eagles and Cowboys, and then we're

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gonna look at a chart involving Week one NFL underdogs.

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Brian Power is gonna join us. We're talking Miami, ohiwe

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versus Wisconsin. We're gonna do Phillies and Mets. I'll do

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a recap and I'll do the Dana White Contender series

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making a case for the underdogs. For tonight's Contender Series.

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So thanks so much for joining us live. Hit the

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like button, leave us a comment in the comment section,

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and make sure you are subscribed to the wager Talk

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join the wager Talk family. Get notified when all of

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these videos go live and when they're released. So it's

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five dollars Tuesday, guys. You know that it is the

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best value in all of sports betting. Every single capper

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has our top play up for just five bucks. Same

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best bets or firing on for the price of a

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cup of coffee. I got my cup of coffee here,

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stack a mix and try someone new, Try your favorite

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Haiti capper. Whatever you do, do not miss out my

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five dollar bet. Every Tuesday is Contender series or fresh

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off a win last week. It is locked in and

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sore dozens more. You take advantage of Ralph Michaels, take

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advantage of Brian Power, anybody you want your favorite Haiti

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capper or try somebody new. Five dollars Tuesday is live.

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All right, Let's bring in Ralph Michaels. Let's talk Boise State,

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USF Eagles, Cowboys and the chart. Ralph Happy Tuesday, man,

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how are you hey?

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Speaker 2: I hope everyone celebrated the birthday yesterday. Wager Talk is

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now eleven years and one day.

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Speaker 1: It's amazing, amazing. So all right, Ralph, Let's get to

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Boise State in USF. This is an interesting game. I mean,

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Boise pretty much has lost most of the not most,

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like ninety percent of their rushing yards from last year

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ash Genty, But they are returning their quarterback USF. They're

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replacing running backs and wide receivers with the transfer portal,

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but their coaching staff is still going to be a

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little bit consistent. We got Boise State a little movement

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here down to minus six. I know this was at

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one point seven and six and a half over under

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a sixty three. What's your take on Boise State in

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South Florida.

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Speaker 2: Well, listen, even with the loss of Ashton Genty, who

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came up twenty seven yards short of Barry Sanders all

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time single season rushing record, the Broncos are still one

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of eleven teams in the FBS to have their entire

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full time coaching staff back. That is a lot of continuity.

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Now missing is going to be a big deal, but

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this offensive line is not only the best in the

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Mountain West. It's one of the top O lines in

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the country. Four returning starters are back, including an All American,

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and the one starter they have to replace is from

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a player who started thirteen games two years ago, only

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started three games last year and got injured. To me,

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that is basically returning your entire offensive line again. Now

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you have to understand that Maddox Madson's numbers likely are

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going to go down a bit when you have a

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guy that's rushing for that much. When you run the playoftion,

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there's a lot of open receivers. That's going to be

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the toughest thing for them to focus. I do say

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they have a solid running back and with this O line,

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I have no question he is still going to top

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one thousand yards. So not quite the drop off that

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you would expect. But I look at USF and this

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is a team I like very much. So you look

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at Alex Skolish. He took over a team that had

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I think seven wins out of forty prior to him

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taking though there were four and twenty nine going back

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for the last three years. But getting under seven to

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six back to back years has been a step this year.

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They have solid returning people, including a quarterback. Now, remember

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their quarterback who two years ago threw for twenty three

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hundred yards, twenty six touchdowns, eleven interceptions, and rushed for

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eight hundred yards was injured after a couple of starts

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last year. I think there's going to be positivity there.

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Two years ago he also had thirty eight sacks. The

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O line much improved this season. Now, I did go

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to the database and it does tell us that in

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game one in college football, if it's an FBS versus

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FBS team home dog since twenty fourteen, are fifty eight

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and thirty six sixty one percent A very positive number there.

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And then you look at Boise, this is a five

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to thirty start. They moved it to five point thirty

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to kick off the college football season on thirty couple

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hours early. Boises made making that trip from Boise, Idaho

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to Tampa, Florida, where it's going to be ninety plus degrees,

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eighty plus humidity, and it's going to feel like one

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hundred and fifteen degrees.

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Speaker 3: That's a tough that's a tough.

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Speaker 2: Situation for a team wearing dark blue jerseys on the

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road in Florida in August. USF is a team I

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have on the on the rise up this year. I

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feel comfortable taking the six points in this game. The

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underdog my best bet, first best bet in college football.

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Speaker 1: All Right, I like this. So Ralph talk to us

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about what the handicapping is like these days. Now. I mean,

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this is going into the season, this is completely different

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than what it was ten years ago. Heck even five

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years ago, trying to how are you doing this research,

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trying to figure out this transfer portal? And nil? Or

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is this just we're taking it one step at a

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time because it is so new.

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Speaker 3: No, and a great point.

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Speaker 2: And I think the biggest difference is my power ratings.

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You know, I come back from old school working for

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Phil Steele and North Coast Sports and Power Sweep and

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with Mark Lawrence and the gold Sheet, and I have

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learned to do a very good set of power ratings.

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Three or four years ago, Andy, I would use my

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power ratings week one religiously. Well, now I throw those

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power ratings out the first three or four weeks of

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the season. I still do them, I still update them,

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but until I actually get to see these teams play

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or study them enough, I don't use those power ratings.

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So it's much more important to look at nil the

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transfer kids in the upper conferences because they have many

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more transfer than the lower conferences.

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Speaker 3: The lower conferences only lose people.

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Speaker 2: They're going to get very few upgrades and positions because

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very few players transfer down. So it's just a different

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way we hand to handicap. I look at form, I

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look at returning units. I look at those that do

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have cohesiveness. But again, throw out the power ratings the

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first few weeks, at least in my book, I do.

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But to me, I'm conservative week one and I'll continue

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to get more involved with deeper cards as the season

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regresses through the first few weeks.

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Speaker 1: Let's move to NFL. Let's take a look at week one.

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I know you got a chart coming up. Let's talk

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about this. How about them Cowboys? Have you watched the

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Cowboys doc by the way on Netflix? Have you watched it?

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Speaker 3: I have not.

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Speaker 2: I think I watched the first year it was out,

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I watched it. But I don't like watching those things

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because it affects you so much the way you handicap,

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So I like not watching them.

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Speaker 3: Put the blinders on and just go on.

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Speaker 2: But you know in this game, Andy, you know, you

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look at what these teams did last year, and you

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think this line should be probably higher.

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Speaker 3: Super Bowl champs.

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Speaker 2: Let me run down these rankings offense and defense yards

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per game Dallas seventeen and twenty eight, Philly eight and

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one points per game, Dallas twenty one and thirty one,

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Philly five and one yards per Playdallas twenty and twenty eight,

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Philadelphia eleven and one. That kind of team with a

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Philadelphia Eagles offense that's returning ten of their starters, seems

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to me they should be favored by more than a touchdown.

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But let's hold on a second. I think Michael Parsons

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is probably the most Michael Parsons to the Dallas Cowboys

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in that run game. It's probably the most important defensive

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player in the NFL. I think he's at least worth

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a point, maybe a point and a half. Philadelphia ran

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over chicag ran over the Dallas Cowboys last year. By

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the way, Philly has covered five or six in the series,

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and if Michael Parsons isn't there, that is a big

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concern for me. Philly, of course, outscored Dallas seventy five

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to thirteen. The last two meetings last season. Now those

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numbers are strong. Dallas is the train wreck. Dallas has

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a new head coach, and remember Jerry Jones only hires

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new coaches that will do exactly what he tells them

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to do. So it's a very lame duck head coach

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in a situation. Heck, Brian Schottenheimer couldn't get couldn't get

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hired as an oc anywhere, yet he gets a Dallas

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Cowboy head coaching job. Big concern to me, the thing

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that stops me from using Philly in this are some trends.

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We're gonna talk about Division. We're gonna talk about Week

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one dogs, but I want to.

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Speaker 3: Bring this up as well.

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Speaker 2: When Division teams play each other in Week one, you're

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familiar with the stadiums, you stay in the same hotels,

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you haven't had any film on this year's changes. So

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if you just blindly bet Andy teams in Week one

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that are in a division game with double revenge sixty

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three point five percent. If you look at road teams,

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Division road teams with double revenge seventy percent, and Division

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road teams like the Cowboys as a away dog a

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four and a half or more twenty one to five

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eighty one percent. So this is the situation where I've

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got a lot of great trend Dallas. My eye test

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and numbers tell me Philly. So I'm gonna lay off

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the side. What I am gonna do is we talked

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about this Dallas defense, We've talked about this Philadelphia offense,

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and I think is a very fair price at the

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Philadelphia Eagles team total over twenty seven and a half

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as they get their Super Bowl rings next Thursday.

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Speaker 1: I'm a huge Phillies Paraphillies. I'm a huge Eagles fan.

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I think they're always underrated. I can't think of a

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Super Bowl team that just talked about less than this

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team in terms of expectations. It's just like everyone's being like, ah,

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they're gonna regress. It starts with Jalen Hurts. I'm a

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huge Jalen Hurts fan. Again, how many times are we

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gonna count this guy out? All he does is win

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literally everywhere he goes. But hey, I'm gonna follow the trends,

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and yeah, touchdown is a lot, It's a lot. I

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don't know, Andy, Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Since two thousand and four, there has not been a

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repeat winner of the any NFC East.

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Speaker 1: I know, I know, I just I can't wrap my

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head around that they're so good. They're so good, they're

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built for the regular season, playoffs, whatever, whatever. I just yeah, yeah, chat,

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they're underrated. You go look at power rankings. Don't They're

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not even the top three or four. It's like this

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team beat everybody last year. All right, Ralph, it is

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five dollars Tuesday. What do you have up for everyone?

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Speaker 2: I do have a five dollars ner fee playloaded and

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make sure you check out my ner fee plays every

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day on TikTok and YouTube TV. I do the free

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guide as well on my homepage, w T Buzz backslash RM.

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Speaker 1: All right, great stuff from Ralph Michaels. Yeah. So the

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big takeaway, Ralph is we got to look at these

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underdogs in week one. That's that's kind of the thet's

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looking at Andy and let's show just show how much

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we have to look at those underdogs.

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Speaker 2: This shock the heck out of me. And you know,

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there's a couple of things I want to say here.

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You know, I put out a lot of trends. I

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put out a lot of angles, but these trends and

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angles are probably only twenty percent of my handicapping. So

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don't fall in love because you see one number on

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one chart for one team.

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Speaker 3: It's still is only going to be You got to

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look at situations.

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Speaker 2: You gotta look at matchups, you gotta look at history,

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you gotta look at you know, a group injury. So

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but when you look at NFL Week one dogs, what

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impresses me about this chart is I went from two

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thousand and nine on the left hand side, since twenty

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twelve on the right hand side, and you're consistent in

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all four categories. And it's been even better since twenty twelve.

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Since two thousand and nine, But take a look at

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the top line, Andy, if you blindly bet every Week

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one dog since two thousand and nine, you've cast fifty

246
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four percent, fifty five percent since twenty twelve. I talked

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about division dogs. If you blindly played every division dog

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in the NFL since two thousand and nine, sixty five percent,

249
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sixty six percent since twenty twelve, Division home dogs twenty

250
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four and seven, seventy seven percent, eighty two percent since

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twenty twelve, and division home dogs of one and a

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half or more Andy seventy nine percent and eighty five

253
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percent going seventeen and three since twenty twelve. Basically, I'll

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say this, friends don't let friends bet many week one

255
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NFL Division home dogs.

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Speaker 1: So when we look at this chart, you're not saying, like,

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blindly bet it, oh may, Maybe you're saying blindly bet

258
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History tells us this, but it's more of just a

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tool in your toolbox to look at get Like, if

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there is a division home dog that you like, you

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know that this is kind of one of your reasonings

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for it.

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Speaker 3: Well, you got to be number one.

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Speaker 2: There's times like cherry pick numbers right to get a

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wow number in beteen, but you could see these are

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just basics. There is no cherry picking here. So when

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you have this type of sample size for this type

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of length, when I start looking at division dogs and

269
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Division home dogs, I may not bet those teams blindly,

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but it'll be a hell of a hell of a

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long shot for me to bet it that trend. So

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you're not always having the bet trends. But remember, leaving

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a loser off versus putting a winner on is advantageous

274
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because you're saving that ten percent. So if there's two

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games you wanted to use and they are both division

276
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favorites away favorites, and you say I'm gonna leave them

277
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both off the board and they split, you still saved

278
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yourself ten percent. So you may not want to play

279
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them all, but be very careful playing against those solid

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trends of those percentages with that length of time.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's so important. What do we say, Sometimes the

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best bets you make are the ones leave off the card.

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So if yeah, those charts, if it talks you out

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of a play that you were on the fence about,

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it's worth its weight in gold. So great stuff from

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Ralph Michael's here. So one more time, Ralph, five dollars Tuesday,

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tell us about it.

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Speaker 3: Five dollars Tuesday.

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Speaker 2: But I do want to mention I do have a

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five percent up at wager Talk for college football this Friday.

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My college football five percents went four to o. Last year,

292
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I finished number two in college football on the season

293
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behind mister Ross Benjamin and my NFL and college football

294
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regular season bets bets seventeen and two ninety percent. Check

295
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it out WT buzz backslash r M.

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Speaker 1: All right, Ralph Michaels, thanks so much for joining us.

297
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Good stuff, good stuff. Take a take a screenshot of

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that chart helps your handicapping in week two. So all right,

299
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let's do the steam Report. Literally right before we were

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gonna go to the steam Report to start the show,

301
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my feed went out. I'm just joking. Gianni's was sending,

302
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Johnny was just reminding us he does the Steam Report.

303
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We're just we're just posers here. All right, Let's take

304
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a look here at Thursday college football. See if we

305
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missed any key numbers here. NC State looks like we

306
00:15:41,039 --> 00:15:42,720
missed that key number. If you haven't bet that when

307
00:15:42,759 --> 00:15:45,799
it opened up minus twelve, that's up to minus fourteen.

308
00:15:47,200 --> 00:15:50,720
Akron has taken some money they were Let's see, Wyoming

309
00:15:50,799 --> 00:15:52,960
was minus nine and a half now down to minus seven,

310
00:15:53,200 --> 00:15:55,639
so if that dips below that touchdown, you could probably

311
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see some buyback. A lot of money has come in

312
00:15:57,600 --> 00:15:59,759
on Rutgers. They opened minus ten and a half. They're

313
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all the we have to minus fifteen and a half.

314
00:16:01,679 --> 00:16:04,000
So they've gone through that thirteen, thirteen and a half

315
00:16:04,080 --> 00:16:07,039
and fourteen. I even see a book at minus sixteen.

316
00:16:07,720 --> 00:16:10,240
And if we want to look ahead to Friday, if

317
00:16:10,240 --> 00:16:11,440
you guys want to try and get out of some

318
00:16:11,480 --> 00:16:13,840
of those moves, money is coming in on San Jose State.

319
00:16:14,159 --> 00:16:15,840
They opened minus ten and a half. It's just a

320
00:16:15,919 --> 00:16:18,799
one point move, but you're seeing eleven and a half

321
00:16:18,960 --> 00:16:22,559
pop up against Central Michigan. Money has come in on Charlotte.

322
00:16:22,600 --> 00:16:25,000
Appalachian State is down to minus six and a half.

323
00:16:25,039 --> 00:16:27,679
We went through that key number seven, so we went

324
00:16:27,720 --> 00:16:29,799
from minus eight and a half down to minus six.

325
00:16:30,360 --> 00:16:34,159
And the other big move is on sam Houston State.

326
00:16:34,240 --> 00:16:36,720
They opened up at thirteen and a half point dogs.

327
00:16:36,840 --> 00:16:38,360
They're now down to ten and a half. So if

328
00:16:38,360 --> 00:16:40,440
you like sam Houston State, I would get on them

329
00:16:40,440 --> 00:16:43,159
before that thing moves to ten. And we have a

330
00:16:43,159 --> 00:16:46,720
one point move on Georgia Tech against Colorado minus three

331
00:16:46,759 --> 00:16:48,600
and a half. That's now up to minus four and

332
00:16:48,639 --> 00:16:51,200
a half. I guess there's a big move in Michigan State,

333
00:16:51,240 --> 00:16:53,639
but it's a huge number. Seventeen and a half they opened,

334
00:16:53,679 --> 00:16:55,720
it's now twenty and a half. So you want to

335
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lay the wood, you gotta get those those three touchdowns.

336
00:16:58,720 --> 00:17:01,440
So we can look at baseball here, not a lot

337
00:17:01,480 --> 00:17:04,519
of movement that I see when we go over baseball.

338
00:17:04,680 --> 00:17:06,440
It's just not a lot of bets have been made

339
00:17:06,519 --> 00:17:09,440
at this point, so only only moves I really see

340
00:17:09,480 --> 00:17:11,880
some money has come in on Saint Louis, Some money

341
00:17:11,880 --> 00:17:15,240
has come come in on the Cubs. Fading Verlander here,

342
00:17:15,279 --> 00:17:18,559
who I believe is one to ten this year, absolutely

343
00:17:18,640 --> 00:17:21,440
stunning for Landers one and Teddy hadn't pitched that bad.

344
00:17:22,039 --> 00:17:24,480
The athletics of all teams are taking a little bit

345
00:17:24,480 --> 00:17:27,279
of money. I guess people don't like Morton here. Detroit

346
00:17:27,319 --> 00:17:30,039
opened minus one forty they're down to minus one twenty five,

347
00:17:30,599 --> 00:17:36,279
and Houston opened at minus three p forty one. Book

348
00:17:36,279 --> 00:17:39,200
now has him at minus three seventy five. I would

349
00:17:39,279 --> 00:17:43,519
just say, be careful laying minus three seventy five against

350
00:17:43,519 --> 00:17:46,039
this Colorado Rockies team that ends up winning like one

351
00:17:46,039 --> 00:17:50,799
out of three games and just crushes everyone's everyone's parlay,

352
00:17:50,920 --> 00:17:53,000
So be careful on that one. And then there's some

353
00:17:53,039 --> 00:17:56,160
movement on the over on the Seattle and San Diego

354
00:17:56,240 --> 00:17:58,079
game seven and a half that's up to eight. I

355
00:17:58,119 --> 00:17:59,759
see an eight and a half popping up there as well.

356
00:17:59,839 --> 00:18:02,640
So those your MLB steam if you want any w

357
00:18:03,000 --> 00:18:07,839
NBA over in Phoenix and Los Angeles, over in Seattle

358
00:18:07,839 --> 00:18:09,920
and indian I feel like every time we talk about

359
00:18:09,920 --> 00:18:12,200
steam in WNBA, it's just like the overs, like six

360
00:18:12,240 --> 00:18:16,119
to seven point moves. So, all right, Chris, let's go

361
00:18:16,200 --> 00:18:18,359
to all around the world. Let's give the people some

362
00:18:18,400 --> 00:18:22,319
free plays. Had some fun yesterday. We missed the Asia Wilson,

363
00:18:22,640 --> 00:18:24,440
but we hit that three to one over on the

364
00:18:24,480 --> 00:18:27,119
alt line on the Brewers game, and then we hit

365
00:18:27,160 --> 00:18:29,559
the soccer free play on Sola to have a point,

366
00:18:29,640 --> 00:18:32,160
so that it was a good day for all around

367
00:18:32,160 --> 00:18:34,400
the world. All right, let's go to the Mercury and

368
00:18:34,440 --> 00:18:36,680
the Sparks where Kia Jackson over one and a half

369
00:18:36,759 --> 00:18:39,400
made threes. This is the best prop that is going

370
00:18:39,400 --> 00:18:41,519
in sports right now, and nobody knows about it. She's

371
00:18:41,559 --> 00:18:44,279
gone over in eight games. The books have not moved

372
00:18:44,319 --> 00:18:46,839
this number. Her volume of shooting is way up. She's

373
00:18:46,880 --> 00:18:50,839
averaging seven three point attempts this month, and the shooting

374
00:18:50,880 --> 00:18:53,319
percentage is through the roof. She's been on fire. This

375
00:18:53,359 --> 00:18:55,079
has been one of the easiest bets you can make

376
00:18:55,359 --> 00:18:58,440
this month. So is she gonna continue this into ten

377
00:18:58,519 --> 00:19:00,599
straight made games twelve? I don't But if you've been

378
00:19:00,640 --> 00:19:02,920
making off for Kia Jackson, keep going back to her

379
00:19:03,319 --> 00:19:04,920
raise at the Guardians. This one comes off of the

380
00:19:04,960 --> 00:19:07,839
wager Talk Free picks page. Look at the raised money

381
00:19:07,839 --> 00:19:11,480
line here. The Rays one, they're three and zero. Last

382
00:19:11,519 --> 00:19:15,119
week they won nine to nothing, and this is crazy. Guardians,

383
00:19:15,160 --> 00:19:17,119
they've lost six straight when they have zero runs and

384
00:19:17,200 --> 00:19:19,200
like the last twenty eight innings or something like, the

385
00:19:19,279 --> 00:19:22,599
Guardians' bats have just been a mnemic. So getting raise

386
00:19:22,599 --> 00:19:25,319
at plus money is interesting. And then we mentioned the

387
00:19:25,359 --> 00:19:28,279
Diamondbacks and Brewers yesterday. I'm going right back to this

388
00:19:28,319 --> 00:19:30,759
Brewers team. Over four and a half on their team

389
00:19:30,799 --> 00:19:34,960
total fat for Arizona, eighteen earned runs last twenty eight innings.

390
00:19:35,000 --> 00:19:38,119
The Brewers put up seven last night against Arizona after

391
00:19:38,160 --> 00:19:40,839
losing two straight. Maybe their offense is back on track.

392
00:19:40,960 --> 00:19:43,480
I'm willing to believe it. So let's take a peek

393
00:19:43,519 --> 00:19:47,720
at the Brewers here. All right, Yeah, Roger, we mentioned

394
00:19:47,720 --> 00:19:49,240
there's a little bit of steam on the Cubs. I

395
00:19:49,279 --> 00:19:51,319
would expect a lot of steam to come in throughout

396
00:19:51,319 --> 00:19:53,240
the course of the day. You gotta remember, when we're

397
00:19:53,240 --> 00:19:56,039
recording this right now, it's twelve twenty Eastern time. It's

398
00:19:56,079 --> 00:19:58,519
only nine to twenty out in Vegas and out out West,

399
00:19:58,559 --> 00:20:01,160
So you gotta believe that there's gonna be a lot

400
00:20:01,160 --> 00:20:03,400
of money on a on a public team like the

401
00:20:03,440 --> 00:20:06,599
Cubs and then fading that Verlander. So let's bring in

402
00:20:06,640 --> 00:20:09,599
Brian Power here. Let's talk some college football, let's talk

403
00:20:09,720 --> 00:20:13,519
some MLB, and we also got to talk the Blitz. Brian. Uh,

404
00:20:13,920 --> 00:20:17,279
first show was last week. It was great. So tell

405
00:20:17,319 --> 00:20:18,839
us real quick about the Blitz. It's going to be

406
00:20:18,839 --> 00:20:20,680
every Thursday, right after this show.

407
00:20:21,200 --> 00:20:25,079
Speaker 3: Yes, every Thursday to Ive at one p m. Eastern.

408
00:20:25,119 --> 00:20:27,599
We take your guys questions. I see some questions actually

409
00:20:27,920 --> 00:20:30,039
rolling in right here about college football. Guys, if you

410
00:20:30,039 --> 00:20:32,079
want to get if you want your question on this

411
00:20:32,119 --> 00:20:35,079
week's college mostly guaranteed to be answered, tune into The

412
00:20:35,079 --> 00:20:39,799
Blitz one pm Eastern Thursday, immediately following Andy and Wage Talk. Today,

413
00:20:40,039 --> 00:20:43,759
I'll be joined by Ralph Michaels you just heard. Uh.

414
00:20:44,039 --> 00:20:45,720
I'm not sure who the other persons, but we'll have

415
00:20:45,880 --> 00:20:47,759
it will be another one of our top college football

416
00:20:47,759 --> 00:20:51,640
handicappers and uh, we'll just again what this is a

417
00:20:51,680 --> 00:20:53,720
special week too. It's a great week to watch if

418
00:20:53,759 --> 00:20:55,759
you missed last week because last week we went in

419
00:20:55,880 --> 00:20:58,400
depth on all five games. This week we want to

420
00:20:58,400 --> 00:21:02,759
cover as much. There's games Friday, there's game Saturday, there's

421
00:21:02,799 --> 00:21:04,880
game Sunday, there's games Monday. Anything you want to know

422
00:21:04,880 --> 00:21:07,799
about ask away. We'll get to it. Obviously. Some big

423
00:21:07,839 --> 00:21:11,920
matchups Ohio State, Texas, LSU, Clemson got Notre Dame Miami

424
00:21:11,960 --> 00:21:13,160
on Sunday. Even if you want to know about the

425
00:21:13,160 --> 00:21:16,799
smaller matchup, that's what we're here for. One live. You

426
00:21:16,839 --> 00:21:19,240
gotta live if you want that question answer.

427
00:21:20,200 --> 00:21:22,680
Speaker 1: Oh man, I can't wait to come with some bizarro

428
00:21:22,880 --> 00:21:24,720
questions for the panel. You guys, there's gonna be some

429
00:21:24,799 --> 00:21:27,039
questions coming out of nowhere from me. Bro, you just

430
00:21:27,119 --> 00:21:29,759
guaranteed that you have to answer them. No, I'm just kidding.

431
00:21:32,599 --> 00:21:35,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, thank you. The answer is hand, Thank you very much.

432
00:21:35,480 --> 00:21:37,200
I don't need a collmar brush. You know, we just

433
00:21:37,240 --> 00:21:39,480
take a little, take a little jel use the hand.

434
00:21:39,559 --> 00:21:42,680
Leave it all messed up. That's the answer, buddy. The

435
00:21:42,680 --> 00:21:44,480
hair's going a little gray, but I was blessed with

436
00:21:44,519 --> 00:21:46,279
a lot of it. Andy, That's so at least I

437
00:21:46,319 --> 00:21:47,400
got something going for me in that.

438
00:21:47,400 --> 00:21:50,319
Speaker 1: For Hey, that's that's the big win. That's the big

439
00:21:50,359 --> 00:21:53,119
win right there. So all right, let's jump let's jump

440
00:21:53,160 --> 00:21:56,000
into some Let's start with college football here. Let's take

441
00:21:56,039 --> 00:22:00,839
a look at the Wisconsin in Miami of Ohio team.

442
00:22:01,000 --> 00:22:03,960
I mean, this is a Miami team, Correptman. They lost

443
00:22:04,000 --> 00:22:10,359
all eleven offensive starters. They only have three defensive starters.

444
00:22:11,039 --> 00:22:16,119
It's a brand new team. This is crazy, Wisconsin. I

445
00:22:16,160 --> 00:22:19,039
know they got that new transfer quarterback from Maryland. They do.

446
00:22:19,200 --> 00:22:22,759
They are returning some offensive linemen. I was reading that

447
00:22:22,799 --> 00:22:25,160
the history is terrible for Miami when they faced out

448
00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:27,799
of conference opponents early in the season, like they beat

449
00:22:27,920 --> 00:22:29,839
like one of them in the last like twenty years.

450
00:22:31,079 --> 00:22:33,200
What's your take on this game here? This has got

451
00:22:33,200 --> 00:22:36,000
to be a tough one today, Haiticap. I mean, how

452
00:22:36,039 --> 00:22:38,240
can you possibly predict what we're gonna get from Miami

453
00:22:38,279 --> 00:22:38,759
in this one?

454
00:22:39,319 --> 00:22:41,079
Speaker 3: Well, I'm gonna try. I think that's why you're having

455
00:22:41,160 --> 00:22:43,359
me on, so hopefully we all learn a little something.

456
00:22:43,359 --> 00:22:45,200
I have gone to be hung out at both of

457
00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:48,039
these campuses, by the way, in a long time ago.

458
00:22:48,119 --> 00:22:51,480
Both fun places, Madison, Wisconsin and Oxford, Ohio, if you

459
00:22:51,839 --> 00:22:54,160
had a chance. But let's tell you what's gonna happen.

460
00:22:54,319 --> 00:22:55,640
Let me tell you what's gonna happen in the football

461
00:22:55,680 --> 00:22:58,279
game here, Wisconsin. What do you need to know? Twenty

462
00:22:58,400 --> 00:23:02,079
two year bull streak was snapped last season. Andy. They

463
00:23:02,119 --> 00:23:05,440
finished just five and seven straight up improving on that

464
00:23:05,480 --> 00:23:08,640
win total here in twenty twenty five gonna be pretty tough.

465
00:23:09,200 --> 00:23:12,119
Why because the Badgers face arguably the toughest schedule in

466
00:23:12,160 --> 00:23:14,799
the entire country this year. They draw eight of the

467
00:23:14,839 --> 00:23:17,720
top eleven teams in the Big Ten. Yes, let me

468
00:23:17,720 --> 00:23:19,400
repeat that, eight of the top eleven teams in the

469
00:23:19,400 --> 00:23:21,839
Big Ten, which is an eighteen team conference. College Football's

470
00:23:21,839 --> 00:23:24,400
in trouble with the map. That's okay, But they also

471
00:23:24,440 --> 00:23:27,640
face Alabama in the non time. Why do I bring

472
00:23:27,680 --> 00:23:29,880
that up? Well, I think it's pretty imperative for Luke

473
00:23:29,880 --> 00:23:32,079
Fickle to have a strong start these first two games,

474
00:23:32,119 --> 00:23:34,480
which against Miami Ohio or on them in just a second,

475
00:23:34,759 --> 00:23:37,400
and then Middle Tennessee next week, because if they want

476
00:23:37,400 --> 00:23:39,319
to get back to a bowl this year, they've got

477
00:23:39,319 --> 00:23:42,079
a You would expect they're gonna win regardless these first

478
00:23:42,079 --> 00:23:46,279
two weeks. But I think in terms of building confidence

479
00:23:46,319 --> 00:23:48,880
for the rest of the season, Andy, they need to

480
00:23:48,960 --> 00:23:52,960
look good. So you mentioned some of the history here

481
00:23:53,039 --> 00:23:56,079
and how it is not exactly smiling on Miami Ohio.

482
00:23:56,519 --> 00:23:58,759
More often than not, they take their lumps in the

483
00:23:58,799 --> 00:24:01,599
non conference portion of this sk schedule before ramping up

484
00:24:01,640 --> 00:24:04,160
and competing for a MAC title. I know the macwell,

485
00:24:04,160 --> 00:24:06,400
I went to a MAX school. Miami's just twelve and

486
00:24:06,400 --> 00:24:09,640
thirty straight up under Chuck Martin against non conference opponents.

487
00:24:10,079 --> 00:24:12,640
On top of that, how about zero to eight against

488
00:24:12,640 --> 00:24:15,720
the number their last eight road openers. And this one

489
00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:19,119
figures to go pretty poorly because Wisconsin, as you'd expect,

490
00:24:19,359 --> 00:24:22,160
has had the max number twenty three to zero straight

491
00:24:22,200 --> 00:24:24,319
up the last twenty three games against MAC opponents. They'd

492
00:24:24,319 --> 00:24:27,599
covered fifteen of those twenty three. So the question is

493
00:24:27,759 --> 00:24:30,559
you mentioned the big number here can Wisconsin covering It's

494
00:24:30,680 --> 00:24:32,480
very interesting. We have a seventeen and a half point

495
00:24:32,519 --> 00:24:35,880
favorite here. Let's not bury the total. Andy's well total

496
00:24:35,960 --> 00:24:37,599
thirty nine and a half. So we have a seventeen

497
00:24:37,640 --> 00:24:40,319
and a half point favorite at a total of thirty

498
00:24:40,440 --> 00:24:43,119
nine and a half. My view, Bad is probably gonna

499
00:24:43,119 --> 00:24:45,519
win pretty big here. Again, I think it's really important

500
00:24:45,519 --> 00:24:49,240
for that strong for a strong start, build confidence for

501
00:24:49,279 --> 00:24:51,240
the rest of the season given the schedule that awaits.

502
00:24:51,319 --> 00:24:53,720
I like you referenced this Andy at the top of

503
00:24:53,759 --> 00:24:56,839
the breakdown. I like what Fickle did in the transfer portal.

504
00:24:56,880 --> 00:24:59,519
The team got a lot stronger in the trenches on

505
00:24:59,599 --> 00:25:02,400
both side. The ball that Phil Longo higher when they

506
00:25:02,400 --> 00:25:04,319
brought him, and that was a kid nobody wants to

507
00:25:04,359 --> 00:25:06,799
run an air rate in Madison, Wisconsin. That was a

508
00:25:06,839 --> 00:25:08,960
curious higher. So I'm glad he's out of there. I

509
00:25:09,000 --> 00:25:11,119
think in Madison they're glad he's out of there. We're

510
00:25:11,119 --> 00:25:13,440
gonna see a return I think to a traditional style

511
00:25:13,480 --> 00:25:16,400
of Wisconsin football. And then you mentioned it Miami Ohio

512
00:25:16,480 --> 00:25:19,359
losing all eleven starters from last year on the offensive

513
00:25:19,359 --> 00:25:21,480
side of the ball makes it pretty tough sledding for

514
00:25:21,559 --> 00:25:26,000
game one. I would play Wisconsin both first half and

515
00:25:26,279 --> 00:25:28,759
full game here. I think they run away from him

516
00:25:28,759 --> 00:25:30,599
pretty quickly and then hold on for a big win,

517
00:25:30,799 --> 00:25:32,400
maybe about two percent on each.

518
00:25:34,720 --> 00:25:39,519
Speaker 1: You're right, an air raid in Madison, Wisconsin, and it's

519
00:25:39,559 --> 00:25:43,640
not gonna go very well in zero degree weather. Madison

520
00:25:43,839 --> 00:25:49,000
unbelievably fun party college town. Like yes, just unbelieve they

521
00:25:49,079 --> 00:25:51,599
know how to party. My family's are up there. Uh yeah,

522
00:25:51,599 --> 00:25:54,359
they know how to get down in Wisconsin. All right.

523
00:25:54,720 --> 00:25:59,160
A couple questions here while we have you on Carson Beck,

524
00:25:59,359 --> 00:26:03,720
any thoughts on Carson Beck? We got questions. Justin says

525
00:26:03,759 --> 00:26:06,279
he's looking to fade Miami against the spread as much

526
00:26:06,279 --> 00:26:09,799
as possible this year. Agreed? Disagree? Or is this just

527
00:26:09,839 --> 00:26:10,480
week one?

528
00:26:11,240 --> 00:26:14,839
Speaker 3: I'm gonna probably try to find a way to well.

529
00:26:14,880 --> 00:26:16,839
I think I talked about it last week Miami Florida?

530
00:26:16,880 --> 00:26:18,319
Was it last week? Two weeks ago? Is one of

531
00:26:18,319 --> 00:26:19,799
those two weeks that I was on We talked about

532
00:26:20,039 --> 00:26:21,920
Florida and how it is tough to invest your money

533
00:26:21,920 --> 00:26:24,960
in Mario Crystaball, especially in a big game. I get

534
00:26:25,000 --> 00:26:27,200
the trepidation with back in the Canes against the Notre

535
00:26:27,279 --> 00:26:30,119
Dame team that obviously played for a national championship last

536
00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:33,319
year but got part of me. I know when Sunday

537
00:26:33,400 --> 00:26:35,400
rolls around, I'm gonna be looking to probably get involved

538
00:26:35,400 --> 00:26:37,319
in the Miami side as a home dog. I think

539
00:26:37,480 --> 00:26:39,160
Order Dame takes a step back. Let's not forget their

540
00:26:39,240 --> 00:26:42,160
quarterback situation. I think that's more important in a true

541
00:26:42,240 --> 00:26:44,680
road game right off the rip, I would not be

542
00:26:44,799 --> 00:26:47,839
looking to go big on. No, That's what I'll say

543
00:26:47,839 --> 00:26:49,839
for this game. I have not made a decision, but

544
00:26:49,960 --> 00:26:52,880
I can tell you with ninety five percent confidence, I

545
00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:54,480
will not be on Notre Dame as a side.

546
00:26:55,480 --> 00:26:58,680
Speaker 1: All right, Well, let's move to MLB here and let's

547
00:26:58,720 --> 00:27:03,079
talk the Phillies and the Mets. Lozardo for Philly, Manea

548
00:27:03,079 --> 00:27:05,799
by the Mets. Manaia has absolutely been lit up the

549
00:27:05,880 --> 00:27:09,880
last four starts. You know me, I love team totals.

550
00:27:09,920 --> 00:27:13,000
I am staring hard about this team total to fade Manea.

551
00:27:13,279 --> 00:27:14,720
But what's your breakdown on this game?

552
00:27:15,359 --> 00:27:17,960
Speaker 3: Well, maybe a little bit different here. Let's talk about

553
00:27:18,240 --> 00:27:22,319
what we saw yesterday first before we talk about today.

554
00:27:22,720 --> 00:27:25,400
Phillies took money yesterday in the market. I don't know

555
00:27:25,440 --> 00:27:27,000
if that was on the Steam report or not, and

556
00:27:27,039 --> 00:27:28,920
that did not work out too well. Because the Phillies

557
00:27:28,960 --> 00:27:32,160
lose the series opener by a score of thirteen to three.

558
00:27:32,200 --> 00:27:34,279
There's not gonna be a lack of motivation on either

559
00:27:34,319 --> 00:27:37,559
side here, guys. Obviously, some teams have fallen out of contention.

560
00:27:37,680 --> 00:27:40,319
That's a big part of the handicap as we roll

561
00:27:40,319 --> 00:27:42,559
into September in Major League Baseball. Some teams just do

562
00:27:42,640 --> 00:27:46,720
not care. But the Phillies, they're looking to expand their

563
00:27:46,759 --> 00:27:48,720
leading the division. Not to mention they're also competing for

564
00:27:48,759 --> 00:27:51,359
a first round by come playoff time. But even after

565
00:27:51,359 --> 00:27:53,160
the big win last night, I think the Mets still

566
00:27:53,160 --> 00:27:55,759
probably the more motivated team here. And it doesn't necessarily

567
00:27:55,799 --> 00:27:59,400
guarantee victory obviously, but not only are they chasing the

568
00:27:59,400 --> 00:28:01,279
Phillies in Thesi, but the Mets have to worry about

569
00:28:01,279 --> 00:28:02,880
the Reds too. Are only two and a half games

570
00:28:02,920 --> 00:28:05,119
in the rear view in the race for that last

571
00:28:05,240 --> 00:28:09,400
NL wild card, so similar to yesterday. I actually disagree

572
00:28:09,400 --> 00:28:11,519
with the way this line is moving. I think at home,

573
00:28:12,240 --> 00:28:14,400
where they have a four four, pardon me, a forty

574
00:28:14,440 --> 00:28:16,799
two and twenty four record, the Mets should be slight

575
00:28:16,839 --> 00:28:19,599
favorites in this game. This is a team that, remember,

576
00:28:19,880 --> 00:28:22,119
had the best record in all of baseball back on

577
00:28:22,240 --> 00:28:24,759
June twelfth. I know that was a while ago. Okay,

578
00:28:24,759 --> 00:28:27,240
they were forty five and twenty four overall at the time,

579
00:28:27,680 --> 00:28:30,480
just twenty five and thirty seven since. But overall, you

580
00:28:30,559 --> 00:28:32,880
have to keep a big picture mind, you cannot. I

581
00:28:33,000 --> 00:28:36,119
always preach us on these breakdowns. I do here on

582
00:28:36,160 --> 00:28:38,519
the wage Talk YouTube channel. You can't fall victim the

583
00:28:38,519 --> 00:28:40,440
recency bias. I know two months is kind of a

584
00:28:40,480 --> 00:28:42,640
long time, but overall, I think the Mets are still

585
00:28:42,640 --> 00:28:44,319
a lot closer to the top than they are the

586
00:28:44,319 --> 00:28:46,119
bottom of the league. I still have them power rate

587
00:28:46,200 --> 00:28:48,319
in the top ten. Now will they go eleven for

588
00:28:48,440 --> 00:28:50,880
nineteen with runners in scoring position again like they did

589
00:28:50,960 --> 00:28:55,160
last night. No, probably not, but worth noting Philly stumer

590
00:28:55,200 --> 00:28:58,000
Jezus Lazaro. And this is where I'm willing to get

591
00:28:58,039 --> 00:29:00,759
involved with the Mets. Andy why Bizarre has been guilty

592
00:29:00,799 --> 00:29:03,839
at times of tipping pitches, and he's had four starts

593
00:29:03,839 --> 00:29:05,599
where he's allowed six or more runs and five or

594
00:29:05,599 --> 00:29:08,079
fewer innings, So I think the offense could be there

595
00:29:08,119 --> 00:29:11,519
for the Mets. You mentioned minea. He has absolutely struggled

596
00:29:11,519 --> 00:29:14,000
in August. Team's zero to four his last four starts.

597
00:29:14,000 --> 00:29:16,799
But you loill get expected versus actual ERI. I know

598
00:29:16,799 --> 00:29:19,319
the commoners love when I bring up expected ERA. He

599
00:29:19,359 --> 00:29:21,680
has a three point seven to seven expected ERA versus

600
00:29:21,680 --> 00:29:24,720
five point one to five actually ERA, so that's a

601
00:29:24,759 --> 00:29:26,440
sign he's pitched actually a little bit better than what

602
00:29:26,480 --> 00:29:28,559
some of the traditional numbers will tell you. Also, he's

603
00:29:28,559 --> 00:29:31,759
a lefty, and this is key because since the break,

604
00:29:31,880 --> 00:29:36,680
Phillies bottom ten both batting average and WRC plus against lefties. Furthermore,

605
00:29:36,960 --> 00:29:40,160
twenty three point three percent strikeout rate against South Bass

606
00:29:40,640 --> 00:29:44,119
for the season. And yes, the Mets have done well

607
00:29:44,200 --> 00:29:47,599
at home against the Phillies this season and beyond. So

608
00:29:48,200 --> 00:29:50,720
I'd like to take a small flyer on the New

609
00:29:50,799 --> 00:29:53,839
York Mets. Here. This is a three percent client play.

610
00:29:54,880 --> 00:29:56,960
Speaker 1: Oh nice, good for all right, So we just got

611
00:29:56,960 --> 00:29:59,000
a free three percent client play on the Mets. There,

612
00:29:59,039 --> 00:30:02,119
all right, Going to look at that Phillies team Phillies

613
00:30:02,200 --> 00:30:04,279
team total over. Maybe they can win big.

614
00:30:04,960 --> 00:30:09,799
Speaker 3: Yeah, we're all happy. Yeah, exactly, There we go, there

615
00:30:09,839 --> 00:30:10,160
we go.

616
00:30:10,880 --> 00:30:13,000
Speaker 1: All right, Brian, once again, tell us about the Blitz

617
00:30:13,279 --> 00:30:16,680
one more time. It's live, it's interactive. You guys go

618
00:30:16,759 --> 00:30:18,640
on there and ask as many questions as you want

619
00:30:18,640 --> 00:30:20,920
about the college football slate one more time. Tell us

620
00:30:20,920 --> 00:30:22,240
about the Blitz and tell them what you have up

621
00:30:22,240 --> 00:30:23,119
for five dollars Tuesday.

622
00:30:23,640 --> 00:30:26,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, any we're gonna start with the biggest games obviously,

623
00:30:26,119 --> 00:30:28,160
such as Texas, Ohio State, but any game you want

624
00:30:28,200 --> 00:30:30,640
to know about, jump in there, one pm Eastern. Like

625
00:30:30,680 --> 00:30:34,920
Andy just said, immediately following wage you talk today on Thursday.

626
00:30:34,920 --> 00:30:38,000
So Thursday, one pm Eastern. Get those questions ready. We'll

627
00:30:38,000 --> 00:30:41,920
talk Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday, even TCU North Carolina on Monday,

628
00:30:41,960 --> 00:30:45,400
if you are so inclined. Gave you a lot of

629
00:30:45,400 --> 00:30:47,680
great information on the program last week. I know that

630
00:30:47,759 --> 00:30:50,359
I did unfortunately get my big play wrong over the

631
00:30:50,400 --> 00:30:52,279
weekend on Kansas State. I thought they'll play it that

632
00:30:52,359 --> 00:30:54,680
Iowa State for the record, but no one cares because

633
00:30:54,680 --> 00:30:57,279
they lost the game. But every other game I think

634
00:30:57,279 --> 00:30:59,240
I was right on the show that we talked about.

635
00:30:59,319 --> 00:31:02,319
So and again I have a five of course we've

636
00:31:02,359 --> 00:31:03,839
been talking and you see on your screen right there,

637
00:31:03,880 --> 00:31:06,160
it is five dollars Tuesday at wagertalk dot com, my

638
00:31:06,240 --> 00:31:09,480
best bet, a four percent play is currently available for

639
00:31:09,519 --> 00:31:12,720
you guess at five dollars. I've won five straight in

640
00:31:12,880 --> 00:31:15,079
nlb any perfect five and over the last three days.

641
00:31:15,119 --> 00:31:16,839
I believe that has me a top the leader board

642
00:31:17,160 --> 00:31:20,599
over at wagertalk dot com, so WT dot buzz slash

643
00:31:20,799 --> 00:31:23,319
BP as we look. I gave you the Mets for free,

644
00:31:24,400 --> 00:31:26,240
got one more for you. We look to make it

645
00:31:26,440 --> 00:31:29,000
seven in a row after tonight on the Diamond.

646
00:31:29,720 --> 00:31:33,000
Speaker 1: All right, I'll be pulling for you seven seven seven,

647
00:31:33,119 --> 00:31:36,000
Let's go for it. Thanks Brian, have fun on the blitz.

648
00:31:36,000 --> 00:31:37,839
Can't wait to join you. Thanks so much for joining us.

649
00:31:37,960 --> 00:31:41,799
Great breakdowns. Let's go to contender series here real quick.

650
00:31:41,839 --> 00:31:44,680
We're gonna do this. We're do this every week where

651
00:31:45,000 --> 00:31:47,160
I will look at the Contender Series matchups and I'll

652
00:31:47,160 --> 00:31:50,880
try and make a case for the underdogs. So let's

653
00:31:50,920 --> 00:31:53,559
pull up the screen here. We'll start in the main

654
00:31:53,599 --> 00:31:57,480
event here with Ryan Godra and Trent Miller. The case

655
00:31:57,519 --> 00:31:59,119
for Trent Miller is that he can get this to

656
00:31:59,160 --> 00:32:01,000
the ground. He's much better on the ground. If he

657
00:32:01,079 --> 00:32:02,920
keeps it on the feet, he's gonna get blasted and

658
00:32:02,960 --> 00:32:06,000
he's gonna get knocked out. Gonjo's by far the better striker,

659
00:32:06,200 --> 00:32:09,119
but trit Miller has looked good on the ground at times.

660
00:32:09,160 --> 00:32:11,759
Does that translate to getting a contract on Contender Series?

661
00:32:12,640 --> 00:32:14,200
Not so much. But if he can get a finish

662
00:32:14,279 --> 00:32:16,319
on the ground, he'll get one. That's the case for

663
00:32:16,359 --> 00:32:19,880
trit Miller. I'm gonna come back to this next fight.

664
00:32:19,960 --> 00:32:22,599
Let's move to Christian Prez and Sosa. I actually really

665
00:32:22,680 --> 00:32:26,720
like Christian Prez in this one. Sosa has been around

666
00:32:26,720 --> 00:32:28,799
the block. He's fought in belitor, he's fought in PFL,

667
00:32:29,039 --> 00:32:31,680
He's fought really good level competition. But I think Perez

668
00:32:31,759 --> 00:32:34,119
has the better upside. He's taken basically a year and

669
00:32:34,160 --> 00:32:37,039
a half off from MMA. He did fight in karate combat.

670
00:32:37,359 --> 00:32:38,640
I love that he took a year and a half

671
00:32:38,680 --> 00:32:40,799
off this guy. It's like fourteen pro fights at age

672
00:32:40,839 --> 00:32:43,160
twenty six. His striking is good and if you watched

673
00:32:43,160 --> 00:32:45,640
face offs, my gosh, does he have a huge cheering

674
00:32:45,720 --> 00:32:48,559
section for him. He looks confident, looks like he's finally

675
00:32:48,640 --> 00:32:51,920
grown into his full you know man, powerful body. I

676
00:32:52,039 --> 00:32:55,200
like Pez to get it done by decision here Dante

677
00:32:55,319 --> 00:32:58,079
Johnson and Abby. The only case for Abby is if

678
00:32:58,160 --> 00:33:01,119
Dante Johnson tires himself out beating the you know what

679
00:33:01,279 --> 00:33:03,440
out of Abby in the first round, because that's what

680
00:33:03,480 --> 00:33:06,119
he's gonna do. Abby like this this Dario at Abby's

681
00:33:06,160 --> 00:33:09,279
not very good, but Dante Johnson's way shorter, but he's

682
00:33:09,319 --> 00:33:11,319
way powerful. He's gonna hit him a million times in

683
00:33:11,319 --> 00:33:14,400
the first round. If Abby does not get knocked out,

684
00:33:14,640 --> 00:33:17,160
he maybe he can get the win. If if Johnson

685
00:33:17,279 --> 00:33:22,240
tires out, but that one's tough. Damian Wilson, Mario Barbosa, Wilson,

686
00:33:22,319 --> 00:33:25,160
he has incredible knees in the clinch. He's knocked out

687
00:33:25,160 --> 00:33:27,119
two guys with knees in the clinch, which you don't

688
00:33:27,119 --> 00:33:29,960
see very often. But if this stays at range Barbosa

689
00:33:30,000 --> 00:33:34,559
all day, and then this this Alick Lorenz. I cannot

690
00:33:34,559 --> 00:33:38,160
make a case for him. I just I can't make

691
00:33:38,200 --> 00:33:42,880
a case for him. He's he's not good, striking isn't good,

692
00:33:42,880 --> 00:33:45,400
his takedowns are are not good. I think he gets

693
00:33:45,400 --> 00:33:47,480
melted in the first round. I mean, it's minus eleven

694
00:33:47,599 --> 00:33:51,160
hundred for a reason. But I cannot in good face say, yeah,

695
00:33:51,160 --> 00:33:53,880
sprinkle a little bit money on this dog. Just just can't.

696
00:33:53,960 --> 00:33:57,200
So that's your Contender Series breakdown of my five dollars

697
00:33:57,200 --> 00:33:59,559
best bet for today is in Contender Series. We hit

698
00:33:59,559 --> 00:34:02,880
our best bet last week, so we're looking to make it.

699
00:34:02,920 --> 00:34:04,920
Make that two in a row. So all right, Chris,

700
00:34:04,960 --> 00:34:07,079
let's do the weekly recap here real quick and we'll

701
00:34:07,119 --> 00:34:08,519
get out of if you guys could hit the like

702
00:34:08,599 --> 00:34:13,199
button every week. You guys, Hey, let's let's talk recap,

703
00:34:13,239 --> 00:34:15,760
but let's talk our portfolio. So here we go. Last

704
00:34:15,760 --> 00:34:19,320
week was an incredible week. We went eighteen and six

705
00:34:19,360 --> 00:34:22,079
for plus twenty four units. That's if you flat bet,

706
00:34:22,119 --> 00:34:25,079
if you follow different percentages, calculate them all on your own.

707
00:34:25,519 --> 00:34:29,159
NFL was good, WNBA was good, MLB just lost little soccer.

708
00:34:29,320 --> 00:34:34,239
MMA was great, Golf was fantastic, Cricket was fantastic. I

709
00:34:34,280 --> 00:34:37,559
really don't have any any I don't have any problems

710
00:34:37,559 --> 00:34:39,920
with any bets that we did, so it was a much,

711
00:34:40,039 --> 00:34:43,679
much needed, big boost to the bankroll. So we have

712
00:34:43,719 --> 00:34:46,559
a thirty day special up. The promo code is Andy thirty.

713
00:34:46,760 --> 00:34:50,360
It gets fifty percent off thirty day special. So we're

714
00:34:50,400 --> 00:34:52,679
coming off of a huge, huge week looking to add

715
00:34:52,719 --> 00:34:54,719
to the profits this is. These are all bets that

716
00:34:54,719 --> 00:34:57,000
I bet with my own money. So that was a really,

717
00:34:57,039 --> 00:35:00,159
really nice week for all of clients. So we did

718
00:35:00,159 --> 00:35:02,360
our portfolio last week and people said they like looking

719
00:35:02,360 --> 00:35:06,360
at it. So all right, I'll share my personal portfolio

720
00:35:07,239 --> 00:35:09,480
where I am. Leave this comment if you're interested in

721
00:35:09,480 --> 00:35:11,320
this or if you want nothing to do with it.

722
00:35:11,360 --> 00:35:13,760
So we could pull that up real quick, Chris and

723
00:35:13,840 --> 00:35:15,880
I could show everybody where I'm at. One of the

724
00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:19,920
reasons why the week was big is I've had to

725
00:35:19,960 --> 00:35:21,960
pull money out of my sports betting bank role for

726
00:35:22,000 --> 00:35:24,719
my new business. I need to invest in my business.

727
00:35:24,920 --> 00:35:27,960
The production company is doing really good overall for the year.

728
00:35:28,000 --> 00:35:29,760
Stocks and crypto are good for the year, but the

729
00:35:29,760 --> 00:35:32,760
prices are going down and it's getting ready to be

730
00:35:32,800 --> 00:35:34,480
a good time to buy stuff. I got my eye

731
00:35:34,519 --> 00:35:36,840
on bitcoin This is not financial advice. I'm just an

732
00:35:36,880 --> 00:35:41,199
idiot on the internet. It's just really really expensive launching

733
00:35:41,280 --> 00:35:43,360
this new business. But I was able to take a

734
00:35:43,440 --> 00:35:46,079
chunk from last week's winnings and invest it into that.

735
00:35:46,239 --> 00:35:49,639
So I'm building my production company and my new businesses up.

736
00:35:49,679 --> 00:35:51,760
I'm going to continue to try and put money into

737
00:35:51,760 --> 00:35:54,679
those businesses and in the stocks and cryptos while it's

738
00:35:54,719 --> 00:35:56,440
dipping down now, and I'm gonna try to avoid as

739
00:35:56,519 --> 00:36:00,559
much personal spending as possible. I'm terrified but really excited

740
00:36:00,599 --> 00:36:03,119
over the next six months. But for me, it's buckle up,

741
00:36:03,159 --> 00:36:05,840
don't spend a lot of cash, and keep those investments coming.

742
00:36:05,960 --> 00:36:08,960
So but sports betting bank roll has been pretty good

743
00:36:08,960 --> 00:36:12,360
this year, down a little bit, but the last two

744
00:36:12,440 --> 00:36:14,599
years have been really really good, and we're coming off

745
00:36:14,639 --> 00:36:16,440
that big week, so I have high hopes for the

746
00:36:16,480 --> 00:36:18,880
rest of the year. So all right, yeah, Hobby, you

747
00:36:18,920 --> 00:36:20,800
said the same thing about bitcoin. Yeah, I mean this

748
00:36:20,880 --> 00:36:22,760
thing I'm looking right now. It's down to one oh nine.

749
00:36:22,840 --> 00:36:24,480
This is the lowest it's been in a month, and

750
00:36:24,519 --> 00:36:26,519
it tends to do this every fall. You go look

751
00:36:26,519 --> 00:36:28,480
at the fall, it just kind of dips below. So

752
00:36:29,280 --> 00:36:31,400
I'm trying to pick my spots. I don't have a

753
00:36:31,400 --> 00:36:34,000
lot of cash sitting aside ready to get in there.

754
00:36:34,000 --> 00:36:37,320
But I'm with you one hundred percent, Hobby, so we'll see,

755
00:36:37,400 --> 00:36:39,679
we'll see, all right, Thanks so much for joining us. Guys.

756
00:36:39,679 --> 00:36:41,800
It's five dollars Tuesday. We're gonna have a great Tuesday.

757
00:36:41,840 --> 00:36:44,039
I just know it. Get as many five dollars plays

758
00:36:44,079 --> 00:36:46,840
as you want. Make sure you're betting responsible though. We

759
00:36:46,920 --> 00:36:48,559
don't want a huge chunk of our bank roll a

760
00:36:48,599 --> 00:36:50,840
bunch of plays just on a Tuesday. But try out

761
00:36:50,880 --> 00:36:52,880
as many Haiti cappers as you want. Try your favorite,

762
00:36:52,920 --> 00:36:55,559
try your new one. Helps to see if you vibe

763
00:36:55,559 --> 00:36:57,599
with a Haiti capper, if you really like their write ups.

764
00:36:57,880 --> 00:37:00,639
But really appreciate everybody in the chat us a comment

765
00:37:00,679 --> 00:37:05,559
tell us what your best bets are. So uh, the

766
00:37:05,679 --> 00:37:08,480
kid Brian Power looks like a vacuum salesman? Do they

767
00:37:08,519 --> 00:37:12,280
even have those anymore? Chris? Is it a thing vacuum salesman?

768
00:37:12,440 --> 00:37:12,559
Speaker 3: Like?

769
00:37:13,079 --> 00:37:15,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, Like there used to be door to door vacuum

770
00:37:15,840 --> 00:37:17,519
salesman when I was a kid. I haven't seen a

771
00:37:17,519 --> 00:37:20,159
door to door vacuum salesman. Like, why would you need

772
00:37:20,360 --> 00:37:23,679
why would you need that? When there's Amazon and Walmart

773
00:37:23,719 --> 00:37:25,599
dot Com. I don't even know if they make vacuum

774
00:37:25,639 --> 00:37:28,920
salesman anymore, but appreciate the comment. He'll get a kick

775
00:37:28,920 --> 00:37:30,719
out of that. So all right, that's gonna do it

776
00:37:30,760 --> 00:37:33,159
for us. Have a great Tuesday. Everybody hit that like

777
00:37:33,199 --> 00:37:35,679
button on your way out. Much love, good luck on

778
00:37:35,719 --> 00:37:37,679
your bets night. We'll do it again tomorrow, same time,

779
00:37:37,760 --> 00:37:38,760
same place. Take care,