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Speaker 1: What's going on?

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Speaker 2: Everybody, Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks. If you

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are new, we do always start this show by being transparent.

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And there was no show yesterday. There were no games.

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I talked it out on Tuesday by myself, and I

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couldn't really make a firm decision on the show. But

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I did make a little wager on over in that

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Commissioner's Cup game and it was a disaster. So things

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have got a little chilly since I think of what

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last Wednesday or Thursday, something like that. So I need

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to get back on track here today. When I say that,

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sounds a little bit worse because it's been some days

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with no games, but still you need to do a

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little bit better here. You know, it's good to be

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back with you. How are you doing today? How's everything

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going for you?

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Speaker 3: Things are good? Ski apologize to the chat for the

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technical difficulties the other day. Just couldn't find my couldn't

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get any hearing in my headsets. But today we're all good.

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I was somewhat with you the other night. I had

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the Minnesota Links first half total over forty three and

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a half twenty in the first quarter, looked okay, like

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we had a shot. But the second quarter as well

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not turned into a disasters seven points fifteen straight possessions

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without a score, and that was the end of that.

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But the month of June was good. The month of

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June was sixty percent in the WNBA with plus fifteen

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points something units, so still rolling pretty good in the

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w and we got a nice card tonight. It happened

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to like a few things. So glad we're here to

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talk about.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, we have quite a bit to talk about today.

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Let's get to it.

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Speaker 2: Five games, none need to waste any time. First, let's

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get that onscring back up. We'll do Sparks and Liberty.

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This one did open up twelve and a half. For

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the Liberty is down as low as ten. I see

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on the I screen here total open one to sixty

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nine and a half, and I see it up as

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high as one seventy one. As far as who's available,

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we still have Cameron brinkout and John could Jones out.

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Those are the two who will be continue to be

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out for a while. But other than that, I mean,

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they got Phoebus back for the Liberty and they got

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Alamann back for the Sparks, So pretty much as healthy

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as these teams are going to be in the near future, Vino.

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These Liberty, I think it's seven games now since they've

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covered one. They have not been playing good basketball. They've

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looked kind of light on the boards.

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Speaker 1: I think that's an area the sparks thriving.

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Speaker 2: I think the line could be moving in the right

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direction here, you know, curious how you see it.

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Speaker 3: Well, I think downfall for New York has been kind

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of twofold, maybe threefold. One of the absence of john

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Quell Jones is immediately noticeable every game they play without her.

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She got hurt the first half of I think the

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Phoenix game back when they were at home, maybe four

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or five games ago, and they weren't right offensively. After that,

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the poor shooting of Sabrina Yunescu. She's been bad offensively

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for maybe four straight games. I mean, it's it's kind

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of in that Caitlin Clark Territory field goal percentage wise,

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both of those shooters who are usually very dependable haven't

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been dependable. And then I think you mentioned it. Leoni

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Phoebish is back tonight and without her. From the outside,

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you know, I've often said about the Liberty when I

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play there, overs. It's because they have five starters that

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can shoot the three and they can play inside. And

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when you don't have Yenescu shooting well, when you don't

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have Jones available at all, and when you have Phoebish

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over playing euro Basket, there goes three of your top options,

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and it makes their offense a little bit different. I'd

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be interested to see how Phoebe sh integrates back into

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the starting lineup here. We never know, right, it's always

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second guess nature. Is it going to be a little

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bit disjointed working her back in after playing overseas for

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a while, or does it just become smooth right away.

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I'm not so sure. To your point, La should be

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able to do a little bit of something inside. New

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York hasn't stopped anybody ski Defensively. They had great defensive

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numbers until John Quell Jones got hurt, and if you

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take their defensive numbers from that point on, they're not good.

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They're basically getting outscored by people so or by teams.

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I would you know, it's hard to play a Sparks

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game under Ever, this one's up one seventy and a half.

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It scared me away a little bit so I don't

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have a solid stance on this game. But to me,

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I would think that it probably finds its way real

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close to that. If I had to play the side,

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it might take a half for New York to get going,

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so I might try LA right away first half. But again,

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I just don't have a real good feel for either

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team or total in this game.

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Speaker 2: Well, I think that it is still too many points.

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I mean, I understand and I agree with the point

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of you getting another shooter back on the floor. That's

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what they desperately need, especially if you're gonna win by margin.

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But I mean, it wasn't one of the last five games.

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Can you at least just show me you could win

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first before you lay double digits here. That's just kind

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of how I feel about this one.

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Speaker 3: Real quick to ski on the sparks waving odyssee Sims

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and shave Petty Bolt because Julie Alamon is back. We'll see,

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if you know, maybe Kelsey Plum just plays thirty minutes

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and not happy with me leaning a little bit here.

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Maybe Kelsey Plum just takes over at the point for

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the most part here, We'll see. But I was surprised

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that they cut both point guards. I guess you have

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to make room for Alaman's presence. But that's I know

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you had said before. Maybe OT see Sims trying to

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force the way out. She did come back and play

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seventeen minutes most recent game, but now they're without a

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couple of point guards.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: She uh, that's what we call it now, right she

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little bonner, you don't want to play no more.

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Speaker 1: That's that's what we see from Odyssey Sims.

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Speaker 2: I think maybe there, But questioning the chat, I've seen

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it two times now from City by the Bay says

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want to hear everybody's favorite w NBA player, I'll tell

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you really quick. His favorite is Kelsey Pum. My favorite

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is sau Sobii and uh, if I have to give

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you a couple more, I like Page Beckers, and I

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like I like Jackie Young.

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Speaker 1: You know, any favorite for you.

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Speaker 3: I'm always going to be pro Yu kon Ski because

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being from that area and and following the Huskies program

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for so long, So I think the Kylire definitely. She's

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just all around game is And I know you're picking

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the w n B A m v P real hard

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to pick her, but she's a Connecticut Connecticut husky and

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she does play both ends of the floor, which really

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spirit of five. I too think Page probably one of

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the better players. But I'll say this just for a

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a player that I really like that's not necessarily the

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star of the team, but as a secondary player's Kelsey

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Mitchells think Kelsey Mitchell's phenomenal shooting the basketball instant offense

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gets to the rack. I kind of like her as well.

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Speaker 1: So there you go.

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Speaker 2: You got a few of everybody's looks and people in

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the chat chiming in as well. A lot of different

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players in the chat that people like out there and

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shout out to my guy, you kapper he's tapping in.

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Got a chance to hang out with him while he

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was in Vegas for a little bit. Hopefully he made

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it back home safely.

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Speaker 1: And it's always good to kick you with you. We'll

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get it going again next time as well.

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Speaker 2: All right, next game up here, we're gonna go Aces

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and Fever. And this one big move open minus one

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and a half for the Aces. Now see it pretty

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much born and a half as the consensus total. Not

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so much movement there open one sixty three and a half,

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and I mean I can call it that saying maybe

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one sixty three right now. As far as who's available,

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no Caitlin Clark, no demirz Danches for the fever and

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the same two. I mean, Gustavson is game time at

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least now, but Parker Tyas is out.

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Speaker 1: You know, it's a new day.

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Speaker 2: Hopefully they think it might have cut out there, but

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it's a new day in Las Vegas. We no longer

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have to rely on pink shoes play the whole game.

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I mean, they traded for Melissa Smith, so that should

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be good, should balance them out a little bit.

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Speaker 1: Over there you have the fever.

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Speaker 2: I mean both teams are eight and eight, the fever

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coming off that big Commissioner's Cup win. I don't know,

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do you think they have a little bit of a

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letdown here or are you still looking towards their way.

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Speaker 3: I do think we're intensity and entergy is concerned out

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of the fever. You would have to expect to let down.

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They put everything into that game the other night to

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win the Commissioner's Company. Look at some of those locker

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room scenes, champagne dancing as if they had won the title.

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So I would expect that, you know, the effort they

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gave the other night. Maybe you get eighty percent of

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that tonight in front of the home crowd, seventy five percent,

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but it'd be less than what they did against Minnesota,

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which was phenomenal. Which which defense do you like, ski,

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Las Vegas or Indians?

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Speaker 2: Well, oh my bad, I was muted there. I definitely

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do not trust the Fever defense. I know they played

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good in that last game, but I don't trust them

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to do it again here tonight. And I think the

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Ases are more focused. And I mean before that last game,

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Becky was calling out their effort.

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Speaker 1: Asia.

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Speaker 2: When I see ass, all I gotta do is look

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at Asia when she shows up to the arena.

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Speaker 1: I know what type of game is going to be.

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And so when I.

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Speaker 2: Saw those two things, I think the Aces are focused.

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I think they made that trade for a reason. They're

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supposed to be better than what they look like right now.

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I would trust them more on defense, to answer your question.

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And I like them in his game.

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Speaker 3: All right, so we trust them a little more. I

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don't trust either one of them yet. We'll see Melissa

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Smith works out into that lineup plus Vegas here's a

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bad matchup, and we'll see again. Her presence could make

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a difference here. But here's a bad matchup. Las Vegas

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last in the league in points in the paint allowed.

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They give it the most points in the paint of

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any team in the league thirty eight per game. Indiana's

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number one scored points in the paint. Be a key

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matchup here, So I think Indiana. You know, I had

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said about Las Vegas that I'm gonna fade their defense

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until further notice. I would still remain in that camp.

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They've given up eighty one to eighty one, ninety ninety

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four and four of their last five's. Last game was

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a good one. But Leah Boston, Natasha Mack and the backcourt,

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like I just said about Kelsey Mitchell, they get to

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the room pretty good. Eric McDonald, for anybody who's noticed,

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is playing really good basketball at the point for Indiana.

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She was good the other night. So I don't know

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that they really of course they miss Caitland Clark, but

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I don't know if it's as pronounced as we thought.

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It might have been pretty fast paced here. Teams are

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five and six in the league in tempo, so we'll

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probably get our opportunities. And if I just start to

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describe the Indiana defense, which you said you don't trust

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at all. They've given up eighty five or more in

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five or if they had given up eighty five or

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more and five street games prior to that Minnesota game.

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And I'm gonna say that the fifty nine they gave

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up against Minnesota is attributed way more to Minnesota missing

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shots than it is Indiana playing great defense. So I

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combo them together and I look at that one sixty two,

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and I think these Indiana fever totals are low because

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of Caitlin Clark. W's sixty two to me in an

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Indiana game just doesn't team right. And the Aces they

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scored eighty four against Phoenix the other night, even though

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they gave up eighty one, that was a one sixty

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five final. I think this one gets over Ski, I

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really did. I think one sixty two is just too low.

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It might have gone up since then, but when I

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played this morning it was one sixty two. I think

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you're good up until one sixty four one sixty five.

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So that's a play that I made this particular game,

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fading both defenses over one sixty two.

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Speaker 2: You know, I see in the chat, and I'm going

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to check this line. Now, Mark thinks the first half

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will be lower scoring, and.

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Speaker 1: I see he has eighty right here.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I can understand that first half it Maybe

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you'll get some more points in the second half, you know,

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But I mean, one, it open eighty one and a

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half is down to eighty. So a lot of people

248
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do agree on this, but down as low as seventy

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nine and a half.

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Speaker 1: Actually, But if I'm.

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Speaker 2: Thinking there's a little bit of a commissioner's cup hangover

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for the fever, probably likely it's gonna come in that

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first quarter, first half, you know, as far as scoring

254
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is concerned there. So I think that's pretty interesting.

255
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Speaker 1: I think that could be.

256
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Speaker 2: A good look from Mark there on the first half

257
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under you know, thinks full game gets up and over.

258
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I think the ass give them a little spank spank tonight,

259
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That's what I think.

260
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Speaker 1: All right, next game up mystics and links. We'll go.

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Speaker 2: I'm sorry that's wrong, but we'll go to mystics and

262
00:13:34,720 --> 00:13:37,200
links anyway. My bad, I skip one or I skipped

263
00:13:37,200 --> 00:13:40,080
a couple, but we'll do it anyway. It opened minus

264
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eleven and a half for the links, and I'm sorry

265
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it open minus twelve and a half for the Links,

266
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and it looks like eleven and a half total open

267
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one fifty nine and a half and it's as low

268
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as one fifty five injury report, have to look at that.

269
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For the Mystics, shook sudden, it's still game time decision.

270
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That's a big piece for them. One of the guards

271
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who can shoot score, she's just a big piece for

272
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them in my opinion. And then for the Links there

273
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they are missing Carly Saminson and then Griffin there for them.

274
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So this is a little bit of the other side,

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right the team that lost the Commissioner's Cup, and I

276
00:14:21,360 --> 00:14:24,000
mean the Mystics, they're coming off a pretty poor game too,

277
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just really poor effort at the gate versus the Wings

278
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and just couldn't really rally back from being down twenty four.

279
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So both teams should be motivated to bounce back here.

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The team that loses Commissioners Cup usually does win the game,

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but doesn't mean they cover. Don't usually don't have to

282
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win by eleven and a half. And that's that's kind

283
00:14:46,559 --> 00:14:48,240
of what I'm worried about here, if you know, I

284
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do think the Links are the better team, but eleven

285
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and a half is just such a big number.

286
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Speaker 1: I lean that way. I'm curious if you can get

287
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to the window on that.

288
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Speaker 3: Well, I can get to the window. But my focus

289
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on this game was singular ski. I just zero in

290
00:15:06,159 --> 00:15:08,679
on the Minnesota Lynx. I cannot believe what I saw

291
00:15:08,759 --> 00:15:10,840
shooting wise out of them. This is the number one

292
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offensive rated team in the league, number one in field

293
00:15:15,080 --> 00:15:18,279
goal percentage, number one and three point field goal percentage,

294
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and they run out there and score fifty nine points

295
00:15:22,440 --> 00:15:25,919
in a meaningful game on their home floor and have

296
00:15:26,039 --> 00:15:30,960
a two quarter a two quarter spread the second and

297
00:15:31,080 --> 00:15:35,200
third quarters. Where they go out there and they shoot

298
00:15:36,840 --> 00:15:39,480
where the heck's my number here? AT tell you in

299
00:15:39,480 --> 00:15:43,600
a second twenty five percent from three in the second,

300
00:15:43,720 --> 00:15:47,799
twenty percent from three in the third. Overall, they shot

301
00:15:47,960 --> 00:15:51,799
twenty three percent combined from the field in the second.

302
00:15:52,000 --> 00:15:54,679
It just doesn't happen with this team that the numbers

303
00:15:54,679 --> 00:15:57,879
were so bad. I can't see it happening again. For Washington,

304
00:15:57,879 --> 00:16:00,759
at least they have some justification. Brittany's didn't play it

305
00:16:01,480 --> 00:16:04,360
and then s Sutton got hurt, so their starting backcourt

306
00:16:04,440 --> 00:16:07,279
last game was really it wasn't available for forty minutes,

307
00:16:07,279 --> 00:16:11,360
and I can understand why Washington's offense was deterred a

308
00:16:11,360 --> 00:16:14,799
little bit, But I don't think there's any defense in

309
00:16:14,840 --> 00:16:18,360
this particular league that's good enough to stop a motivated

310
00:16:18,440 --> 00:16:21,120
Minnesota offense. And I can't think of a better spot

311
00:16:21,799 --> 00:16:24,879
for them to be motivated to get back on track

312
00:16:24,919 --> 00:16:28,240
and score points here. The total was eighty three and

313
00:16:28,279 --> 00:16:30,360
a half, went down to eighty two and a half,

314
00:16:30,399 --> 00:16:32,200
and then came back to eighty three and a half.

315
00:16:32,240 --> 00:16:34,600
That's where I played it. I think they can get

316
00:16:34,600 --> 00:16:37,320
to eighty four pretty easily in this game. You asking

317
00:16:37,399 --> 00:16:39,120
for twenty one a quarter out of a team that

318
00:16:39,200 --> 00:16:42,440
scores basically when they want to, And there's a kind

319
00:16:42,480 --> 00:16:46,919
of a double a double atonement spot, so to speak.

320
00:16:46,960 --> 00:16:48,879
Of course, you want to get back on your home

321
00:16:48,919 --> 00:16:50,679
floor in front of your home fans to make up

322
00:16:50,720 --> 00:16:54,440
for what happened Tuesday night, But they also lost in Washington.

323
00:16:54,519 --> 00:16:56,679
They didn't have to fea Shakalli here nine days ago

324
00:16:56,720 --> 00:16:59,320
when they played, but Washington beat this team sixty eight

325
00:16:59,360 --> 00:17:01,399
to sixty four. You know, at that point, Ski, it

326
00:17:01,480 --> 00:17:05,519
was the worst offensive performance of the year by Minnesota.

327
00:17:05,880 --> 00:17:08,880
They bounced back the very next game against Atlanta and

328
00:17:08,880 --> 00:17:11,920
scored ninety six eighty six in regulation, fifty two in

329
00:17:11,960 --> 00:17:13,960
the first half. That's kind of what I'm playing here too,

330
00:17:14,079 --> 00:17:16,000
is I saw that bounce back and think you'll get

331
00:17:16,359 --> 00:17:18,839
the same type of bounce back after what now is

332
00:17:18,880 --> 00:17:23,599
their worst offensive performance again you stay at home. I

333
00:17:23,599 --> 00:17:27,240
think it's their third in a string of five consecutive

334
00:17:27,240 --> 00:17:28,799
home games. They're gonna be home for a while, and

335
00:17:28,799 --> 00:17:32,079
they're gonna be playing a lot now through Sunday. But

336
00:17:33,119 --> 00:17:35,880
I think Minnesota, regardless of which way the game goes,

337
00:17:35,920 --> 00:17:38,200
whether or not Washington hangs with them or they don't,

338
00:17:38,279 --> 00:17:40,519
I just think Minnesota's gonna get the eighty four points tonight.

339
00:17:40,559 --> 00:17:41,480
So that's the way I played it.

340
00:17:43,119 --> 00:17:46,599
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean that sounds very, very doable. I'll tell

341
00:17:46,640 --> 00:17:51,400
you that I worry in this game for the Mystics.

342
00:17:51,480 --> 00:17:53,039
Speaker 1: Now. I think about it like.

343
00:17:55,119 --> 00:17:58,000
Speaker 2: It could be one of those games where the links

344
00:17:58,039 --> 00:18:00,279
are a little bit more in rhythm. I mean, sticks

345
00:18:00,279 --> 00:18:04,000
have been off for what four days now, Link's just

346
00:18:04,000 --> 00:18:06,240
playing the other day and coming off a bashoot to

347
00:18:06,319 --> 00:18:07,880
night could be quick, you know.

348
00:18:09,960 --> 00:18:10,720
Speaker 1: How do I say.

349
00:18:10,519 --> 00:18:15,519
Speaker 2: Progression as far as shooting better in this game here?

350
00:18:15,720 --> 00:18:18,279
And I could see the Mystics coming out rusty and

351
00:18:18,319 --> 00:18:20,839
they already didn't look good in that last game first

352
00:18:20,880 --> 00:18:24,279
the Wings, so mare I think about it more. I

353
00:18:24,319 --> 00:18:29,119
like the Lynks. Dan says it's a revenge game as well.

354
00:18:30,759 --> 00:18:32,519
I didn't look at I didn't look at that, but

355
00:18:32,680 --> 00:18:34,920
I mean, I guess there are even more reasons. Yeah,

356
00:18:34,920 --> 00:18:39,160
they lost on June twenty fourth, sixty I remember that

357
00:18:39,200 --> 00:18:42,039
game now, sixty eight sixty four. Yeah, I mean, and

358
00:18:42,079 --> 00:18:44,480
I think that game was without fee if I'm not mistaken,

359
00:18:45,279 --> 00:18:47,160
But yeah, a.

360
00:18:47,240 --> 00:18:50,440
Speaker 1: Revenge spot bounce back spot.

361
00:18:50,519 --> 00:18:55,359
Speaker 2: Seems pretty like it's like it's screaming links trifecta. Like

362
00:18:55,440 --> 00:18:58,079
Dan is saying here in the chat, we'll see if

363
00:18:58,079 --> 00:19:00,720
it if it comes to fruition, all right, next game

364
00:19:00,759 --> 00:19:03,359
we will go get back.

365
00:19:03,519 --> 00:19:08,079
Speaker 1: To Seattle and Atlanta.

366
00:19:08,119 --> 00:19:11,000
Speaker 2: Here opened up minus one for Atlanta. We've seen a

367
00:19:11,000 --> 00:19:13,480
flip of favorites one and a half now.

368
00:19:13,319 --> 00:19:14,039
Speaker 1: For the Storm.

369
00:19:15,200 --> 00:19:18,319
Speaker 2: Total opened one sixty two and a half and it

370
00:19:18,319 --> 00:19:21,799
looks like one fifty. I mean it's as low as

371
00:19:21,839 --> 00:19:25,000
one fifty seven and a half. Take a look at

372
00:19:25,039 --> 00:19:31,119
the injury report for the Storm. I don't see anybody

373
00:19:31,160 --> 00:19:35,400
on there for the Dream. Very meaningful. Ryan Howard is

374
00:19:35,440 --> 00:19:41,759
going to be missing this game and I expected her too. Yeah,

375
00:19:41,799 --> 00:19:43,799
I expected her too because her arm was in a

376
00:19:43,839 --> 00:19:46,920
sling a couple of days ago, so it wasn't expecting.

377
00:19:46,599 --> 00:19:50,079
Speaker 1: Her to be out there. You know. The first thing

378
00:19:50,119 --> 00:19:52,519
that stands out to me in this game is, well,

379
00:19:52,720 --> 00:19:54,319
I'll tell you like this, this is how I thought.

380
00:19:54,799 --> 00:19:58,240
Speaker 2: I said, man Storm coming off of a pretty bad

381
00:19:58,279 --> 00:20:02,279
loss to the Valkyries, right, and the Dream come off

382
00:20:02,279 --> 00:20:03,640
of a nice win versus Liberty.

383
00:20:04,000 --> 00:20:07,079
Speaker 1: Really wanted back to the Storm here. That was my initial thought.

384
00:20:07,359 --> 00:20:10,319
Speaker 2: And then I think a little bit more and I'm like, Ryan,

385
00:20:10,400 --> 00:20:12,160
I was not gonna play. Maybe I should better now

386
00:20:12,160 --> 00:20:13,160
I know the line's gonna move.

387
00:20:14,920 --> 00:20:16,880
Speaker 1: I don't know. Something just don't feel right. I feel

388
00:20:16,880 --> 00:20:18,599
like they're begging me to take the Storm at the

389
00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:21,279
current number. And then.

390
00:20:23,319 --> 00:20:25,160
Speaker 2: It starts to flip all the way to minus one

391
00:20:25,359 --> 00:20:28,720
one and a half. Then Ryan Howard is officially rolled out.

392
00:20:28,720 --> 00:20:30,440
It probably moved a little bit because she was questionable,

393
00:20:31,079 --> 00:20:35,039
but she's officially rolled out, and it doesn't it goes,

394
00:20:35,640 --> 00:20:38,559
it doesn't go up. It sits at one and a

395
00:20:38,599 --> 00:20:41,039
half and it just doesn't move at all.

396
00:20:41,400 --> 00:20:42,880
Speaker 1: I don't know everything about this game.

397
00:20:43,400 --> 00:20:46,160
Speaker 2: This feels like they're begging me to take the Seattle Storm,

398
00:20:46,400 --> 00:20:48,799
and you know, if you talk to me enough, I

399
00:20:48,839 --> 00:20:50,319
don't like going to the window and I feel like

400
00:20:50,359 --> 00:20:52,519
they're begging me to take it. The Dream have been

401
00:20:52,559 --> 00:20:56,599
really good at home. I mean, they're still talented. If

402
00:20:56,680 --> 00:20:59,359
the Storm overlooked them, and the Storm haven't been a

403
00:20:59,400 --> 00:21:05,240
good road team in previous years, so this season they're

404
00:21:05,319 --> 00:21:08,920
just five hundred. I don't know, Phil spishy, Phil's trappy

405
00:21:09,559 --> 00:21:11,880
for those reasons, I'll lean towards a Dream on the show.

406
00:21:12,319 --> 00:21:16,519
Speaker 3: What do you think of you know? Well, I'll lean

407
00:21:16,599 --> 00:21:18,839
on Seattle, but not to win the game. I'll lean

408
00:21:18,920 --> 00:21:23,680
on them to score eighty points. I could almost take

409
00:21:23,720 --> 00:21:28,559
what I said about Minnesota and substitute Seattle Seattle. Like

410
00:21:28,680 --> 00:21:32,319
you say that Valkyries game twenty of seventy four, twenty

411
00:21:32,440 --> 00:21:34,920
seven percent from the field against Golden State, I mean

412
00:21:35,279 --> 00:21:38,240
you have that forward tandem of Gabby Williams and Neka

413
00:21:38,279 --> 00:21:41,640
who had been on an absolute tear lately, but they

414
00:21:41,680 --> 00:21:44,440
only scored ten points combined. They go four of twenty one.

415
00:21:45,079 --> 00:21:47,480
It's not gonna happen again, at least in my mind,

416
00:21:47,519 --> 00:21:50,160
it won't happen again to them. That offense. We've said

417
00:21:50,200 --> 00:21:51,920
it a lot of times on this show since they

418
00:21:52,000 --> 00:21:56,480
inserted Erica Wheeler into the point guard role. There's some

419
00:21:56,640 --> 00:21:59,559
numbers on this team. Six of their last day eighty

420
00:21:59,640 --> 00:22:02,839
six plus. In those six Prior to that last game,

421
00:22:02,880 --> 00:22:06,359
they were averaging ninety points a game, win or lose.

422
00:22:06,559 --> 00:22:09,720
They were scoring and Atlanta hasn't been the stingiest defense

423
00:22:09,759 --> 00:22:11,599
of all, and Ryan Howard's one of their better defenders.

424
00:22:11,640 --> 00:22:15,599
Atlanta allowed eighty plus in five of their last six games.

425
00:22:15,599 --> 00:22:17,960
Atlanta's actually we talked about this last week too. They

426
00:22:18,000 --> 00:22:19,480
had made their way all the way to the top

427
00:22:19,519 --> 00:22:23,319
of three point makes per game in the league. All

428
00:22:23,359 --> 00:22:25,599
of a sudden, Atlanta was right up their top three

429
00:22:25,640 --> 00:22:27,480
and a lot of offensive categories because they have been

430
00:22:27,519 --> 00:22:29,119
on the offensive role. It really had nothing to do

431
00:22:29,200 --> 00:22:31,240
with their defense, had a lot to do with their

432
00:22:31,319 --> 00:22:35,880
offense and their scoring options. But you take Ryan Howard out,

433
00:22:36,559 --> 00:22:39,079
not only do they suffer a little bit offensively, but

434
00:22:39,160 --> 00:22:42,400
I do think it hurts them defensively, especially again when

435
00:22:42,440 --> 00:22:44,720
you're talking about the two forwards on the other side,

436
00:22:44,799 --> 00:22:47,279
Gabby Williams and Necke, It's hard not to have Ryan

437
00:22:47,359 --> 00:22:52,039
Howard in there. Defensively, I think Seattle again a team

438
00:22:52,079 --> 00:22:54,039
that's been averaging a lot of points, a team that's

439
00:22:54,079 --> 00:22:57,559
been scoring really really well bounces back. It's kind of

440
00:22:57,599 --> 00:23:00,480
the same exact thing I said about Minnesota. Anyhow, some

441
00:23:00,680 --> 00:23:06,079
nights the card will fall this way where you just

442
00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:08,839
get a lot of options to choose from and for

443
00:23:09,000 --> 00:23:11,519
me Seattle, and Seattle's gone down even more the team

444
00:23:11,599 --> 00:23:14,960
total like a you know, I didn't think I was

445
00:23:15,599 --> 00:23:17,880
getting robbed at over eighty and a half, but now

446
00:23:17,920 --> 00:23:19,680
I see seventy nine and a half, and it's all

447
00:23:19,839 --> 00:23:21,519
due to the fact that they have to keep lower

448
00:23:21,559 --> 00:23:23,519
in the line. They have to keep lower in the

449
00:23:23,640 --> 00:23:26,759
total because Ryan Howard's out, and we know how injuries

450
00:23:26,839 --> 00:23:31,359
go in any basketball league. Money comes in and plays

451
00:23:31,400 --> 00:23:35,799
against injuries. So Atlanta could win, but I don't believe

452
00:23:35,799 --> 00:23:38,240
they're going to hold Seattle. In my case, I need

453
00:23:38,319 --> 00:23:40,079
eighty one out of them. I don't think they'll hold

454
00:23:40,079 --> 00:23:42,359
Seattle under eighty one tonight. I think Seattle will bounce

455
00:23:42,440 --> 00:23:45,400
back with a pretty good offensive performance and their first

456
00:23:45,480 --> 00:23:48,119
half total Taota Truski is thirty eight and a half

457
00:23:49,160 --> 00:23:53,319
the Storm, And I mean I went in and doubled

458
00:23:53,359 --> 00:23:56,200
back on this game and played their first half total

459
00:23:56,240 --> 00:23:57,799
over thirty eight and a half, thinking they can get

460
00:23:57,839 --> 00:23:59,559
to thirty nine in the first half. It's a team

461
00:23:59,599 --> 00:24:02,680
that probably we is upset with the way they played

462
00:24:02,680 --> 00:24:05,319
against Golden State, and I think they'll score here against Atlanta.

463
00:24:05,319 --> 00:24:07,960
Atlanta hasn't been a great first half team, mostly second

464
00:24:08,000 --> 00:24:09,839
half for the Dream.

465
00:24:13,039 --> 00:24:18,319
Speaker 2: Hm, this is uh, this is a tough game. This

466
00:24:18,519 --> 00:24:20,960
is probably the toughest game on the slate today. I

467
00:24:21,079 --> 00:24:24,839
mean it is the shortest points press, so or yeah,

468
00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:27,319
it is the shortest points press, so it makes sense.

469
00:24:27,440 --> 00:24:30,880
But you guys know where we're looking at and we'll

470
00:24:30,920 --> 00:24:33,200
move it on over to the last game on the slate.

471
00:24:33,920 --> 00:24:35,000
Speaker 1: This one is a big move.

472
00:24:35,240 --> 00:24:40,279
Speaker 2: Mercury at the Dallas Wings opened up minus six for Phoenix,

473
00:24:41,079 --> 00:24:43,920
now as high as twelve and a half out there,

474
00:24:45,440 --> 00:24:49,240
total open one sixty seven still around there, one sixty

475
00:24:49,279 --> 00:24:52,240
six and a half. There are some injuries in this game,

476
00:24:53,319 --> 00:24:58,720
so for the Wings, Maddy Secrets been out, Rique gumballes out,

477
00:24:58,880 --> 00:25:03,599
Djna is outful, my Yasha heinz Auten looks like she's

478
00:25:03,640 --> 00:25:08,039
truly questionable. And for Phoenix, Hell has been out and

479
00:25:08,400 --> 00:25:14,119
Moosa game time decision. I think that Phoenix, I mean

480
00:25:14,480 --> 00:25:16,200
it's a prime spot for doing to bounce back. I

481
00:25:16,200 --> 00:25:18,359
don't even know how many players the Wings have available

482
00:25:18,400 --> 00:25:22,359
out there tonight, and I just really don't think they

483
00:25:22,400 --> 00:25:24,599
can defend anything Phoenix is doing. As long as Phoenix

484
00:25:24,680 --> 00:25:26,359
is focused with they should be off of a loss.

485
00:25:26,920 --> 00:25:28,480
They should be able to name their numbers.

486
00:25:28,559 --> 00:25:31,240
Speaker 1: So I can't bet it now at you know, the

487
00:25:31,319 --> 00:25:34,000
spread has doubled, you know, I don't really want to

488
00:25:34,039 --> 00:25:35,200
get into that, but.

489
00:25:35,440 --> 00:25:41,880
Speaker 2: Maybe a team total or something of that nature. I

490
00:25:42,119 --> 00:25:43,920
can't look at the Wings in this game.

491
00:25:44,240 --> 00:25:45,000
Speaker 1: What do you think here of you?

492
00:25:45,119 --> 00:25:50,079
Speaker 3: No, Well, for the Wings, it gets a little tricky Ski,

493
00:25:50,240 --> 00:25:52,920
because they're going to incorporate two players back into the

494
00:25:52,960 --> 00:25:58,119
lineup from euro Basket right Tierra mccowan's back. They activated her.

495
00:26:00,039 --> 00:26:05,039
Is Soder the center also back for this game. So

496
00:26:05,160 --> 00:26:07,839
you get two bigs back into the lineup. But how

497
00:26:07,920 --> 00:26:11,559
they how they fare right off the bat is questionable.

498
00:26:11,839 --> 00:26:17,039
We don't know. It's funny that when Page Beckers was out.

499
00:26:18,480 --> 00:26:21,559
I know the line moved in games where Page was out,

500
00:26:21,599 --> 00:26:22,920
but I don't think it moves six to six and

501
00:26:22,960 --> 00:26:24,799
a half points like it has for a Rikay And

502
00:26:24,920 --> 00:26:29,640
maybe the offense can be a little bit smoother. That's

503
00:26:29,680 --> 00:26:32,200
hard to say, because the rikue does. She's such a

504
00:26:32,240 --> 00:26:34,759
big part of that offense, even if it's just shot taking.

505
00:26:36,240 --> 00:26:38,279
But I could see Dallas having a little bit of

506
00:26:38,359 --> 00:26:42,759
offensive trouble here with two new players having to play

507
00:26:42,839 --> 00:26:47,640
tonight in the lineup because of some absences and key

508
00:26:47,720 --> 00:26:52,519
absences as well. Where As you mentioned Phoenix, perfectly healthy,

509
00:26:53,559 --> 00:26:55,720
little bit of a get back situation for them. Not

510
00:26:55,839 --> 00:26:57,720
happy with that eighty four to eighty one lost to

511
00:26:57,839 --> 00:27:00,720
Las Vegas where they were favored I don't know, six

512
00:27:00,799 --> 00:27:03,200
and a half seven points in that game, so I

513
00:27:03,240 --> 00:27:06,680
could definitely see Phoenix everything they had showed us up

514
00:27:06,759 --> 00:27:11,200
until that game. Obviously, it was enough to get you

515
00:27:11,319 --> 00:27:13,079
to the window to play them to win the entire

516
00:27:13,200 --> 00:27:16,839
NBA Championship. I don't disagree with that at all. I

517
00:27:16,960 --> 00:27:19,400
do agree that they should probably bounce back here pretty

518
00:27:19,400 --> 00:27:25,279
strong offensively. Dallas just doesn't have enough defensive capability. It'll

519
00:27:25,319 --> 00:27:28,000
be a fast paced game because Phoenix has found their

520
00:27:28,079 --> 00:27:31,160
way into I think that either they're the number one

521
00:27:31,279 --> 00:27:33,720
or they're the number two tempo team in the league now,

522
00:27:34,319 --> 00:27:37,559
and you watch their games and the commentators, the hometown

523
00:27:37,640 --> 00:27:40,400
commentators will tell you that's all part of the player. Now.

524
00:27:41,400 --> 00:27:43,799
They tried to speed up Las Vegas the other day.

525
00:27:44,599 --> 00:27:46,559
It kind of worked, but they just didn't shoot well

526
00:27:46,680 --> 00:27:49,039
enough to win. So I'd find some way to play

527
00:27:49,119 --> 00:27:52,640
Phoenix here. I haven't yet, but it wouldn't be laying

528
00:27:52,680 --> 00:27:55,359
twelve and a half, even though you know this team

529
00:27:55,440 --> 00:27:58,079
has the capability to get to ninety five and maybe

530
00:27:58,119 --> 00:28:00,440
once you get to ninety five and ninety five, one

531
00:28:00,519 --> 00:28:03,119
game something like that is a cover. So it's hard

532
00:28:03,160 --> 00:28:07,000
to eliminate that possibility entirely. But I'd probably find a

533
00:28:07,039 --> 00:28:07,839
way to play Phoenix.

534
00:28:10,000 --> 00:28:13,480
Speaker 2: Well, I think that that way should probably just be

535
00:28:13,599 --> 00:28:18,279
that team total. I mean, I'm looking here for one.

536
00:28:18,720 --> 00:28:20,920
I mean, I'll start with the history. I know the

537
00:28:21,000 --> 00:28:25,119
players change, but one thing doesn't change. Dallas defense is

538
00:28:25,160 --> 00:28:29,200
always ass doesn't change year after year after year, ninety

539
00:28:29,279 --> 00:28:31,880
three for Phoenix, last game versus Dallas one hundred, the

540
00:28:32,000 --> 00:28:35,559
time before that, one hundred and four before that, ninety

541
00:28:35,640 --> 00:28:37,079
seven before that, ninety two.

542
00:28:37,160 --> 00:28:37,839
Speaker 1: You get the point.

543
00:28:38,480 --> 00:28:41,000
Speaker 2: They put up ninety plus versus team every time they

544
00:28:41,039 --> 00:28:43,079
see him, just because the defense is so terrible. Doesn't

545
00:28:43,119 --> 00:28:46,480
matter who the players are for Phoenix, Dallas defense is

546
00:28:46,519 --> 00:28:50,319
just so terrible they can score. Phoenix is coming off

547
00:28:50,359 --> 00:28:53,440
of a down game they lost. They scored eighty one,

548
00:28:53,799 --> 00:28:58,200
but prior to that one o six first the Liberty

549
00:28:58,720 --> 00:29:03,480
one oh seven verse Chicago eighty nine versus Liberty team

550
00:29:03,559 --> 00:29:07,599
total is eighty eight and a half tonight, and man,

551
00:29:07,920 --> 00:29:10,000
I feel like Dallas can give that up in your sleep.

552
00:29:11,559 --> 00:29:13,559
Any last thoughts on that we know before we uh

553
00:29:13,799 --> 00:29:14,440
move it over to bed.

554
00:29:14,759 --> 00:29:17,279
Speaker 3: A couple of things, because when you said it doesn't

555
00:29:17,319 --> 00:29:20,039
matter who the players are, it probably matters that Satu

556
00:29:20,240 --> 00:29:22,799
is coming back to Dallas for the first time this year.

557
00:29:23,160 --> 00:29:25,599
They played in Phoenix the first time, so she may

558
00:29:25,720 --> 00:29:28,359
want to and and her teammates love hes. It may

559
00:29:28,480 --> 00:29:31,480
just be a run it up type of game. It's

560
00:29:31,519 --> 00:29:34,240
the first of you know, back to backs between these two.

561
00:29:34,279 --> 00:29:36,200
They don't play for another four days, but they will

562
00:29:36,240 --> 00:29:40,599
play this game right back again in Phoenix on the seventh,

563
00:29:40,720 --> 00:29:43,480
so they're both in that back to back against each

564
00:29:43,480 --> 00:29:45,920
other situation. But I would think with Soberly coming back

565
00:29:46,759 --> 00:29:51,359
to Dallas that that only increases the thought process of

566
00:29:52,000 --> 00:29:53,839
Phoenix scoring a lot of points here. Whether you want

567
00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:55,680
to play props, I mean, if you want to play props,

568
00:29:55,720 --> 00:29:57,359
probably get in on sa too. I'm sure she'll have

569
00:29:57,400 --> 00:30:02,680
a big night. But Phoenix in general, it's a team

570
00:30:02,759 --> 00:30:05,079
that likes each other, and it's a team that probably

571
00:30:05,119 --> 00:30:07,559
wants to go out for their teammate and do some

572
00:30:07,720 --> 00:30:08,839
damage in Dallas tonight.

573
00:30:10,160 --> 00:30:12,279
Speaker 1: Yeah, Sato's petty too. She definitely want to have a

574
00:30:12,319 --> 00:30:14,759
good night back there in Dallas. I don't know.

575
00:30:14,880 --> 00:30:16,839
Speaker 2: I just had a random thought about it was some

576
00:30:17,440 --> 00:30:19,599
interview or something, and she was like, I don't eat

577
00:30:19,640 --> 00:30:20,400
wings anymore.

578
00:30:23,519 --> 00:30:27,440
Speaker 3: That's petty. Yeah, giving up wings, that's tough.

579
00:30:28,920 --> 00:30:32,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think she'll have a good night tonight. All right,

580
00:30:33,839 --> 00:30:37,240
that's all the games for today. So actually, before we

581
00:30:37,359 --> 00:30:39,480
move it over the Best Bets, we do a little

582
00:30:39,519 --> 00:30:43,319
bit of promo. We'll get to see this one more

583
00:30:43,400 --> 00:30:50,039
time here. You know, we removed this ticker the fourth

584
00:30:50,079 --> 00:30:52,200
of July, I think, yeah, last time, because fourth of

585
00:30:52,279 --> 00:30:55,519
July is uh, it's tomorrow and there are no games

586
00:30:55,519 --> 00:30:59,519
tomorrow anyway, So yeah, fourth of July blowout sale. You

587
00:30:59,559 --> 00:31:02,680
can get seven days of all access or flex picks,

588
00:31:02,680 --> 00:31:04,960
where you can, you know, pick a different handicap ery day.

589
00:31:04,960 --> 00:31:07,039
Speaker 1: You can try me one day, try and Rob one day.

590
00:31:07,640 --> 00:31:08,680
However you would like to do it.

591
00:31:08,920 --> 00:31:11,119
Speaker 2: You can do it for only sixty nine dollars for

592
00:31:11,240 --> 00:31:13,400
this port of July sell if you would like to

593
00:31:13,519 --> 00:31:17,920
rock with us a little bit longer. They did put

594
00:31:17,960 --> 00:31:21,039
a deal together for both Rob and my WNBA season.

595
00:31:21,599 --> 00:31:26,720
The original season prices is too believe it's two fifty

596
00:31:27,599 --> 00:31:30,599
somewhere around there for one, so it's pretty much just

597
00:31:30,680 --> 00:31:32,720
like forty nine more dollars to get the second person.

598
00:31:32,799 --> 00:31:34,480
Speaker 1: It comes out to under three dollars a day.

599
00:31:34,920 --> 00:31:37,799
Speaker 2: And you can get these games these lines before they move.

600
00:31:39,559 --> 00:31:41,920
As soon as we send them out, you will get

601
00:31:41,960 --> 00:31:45,079
them in your email. So that's how you can be involved.

602
00:31:46,000 --> 00:31:48,839
I'll put it back up there. The link to both

603
00:31:48,880 --> 00:31:50,880
of our profiles are on the bottom of the screen

604
00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:54,799
right there. Now, with that said, you know, we'll move

605
00:31:54,839 --> 00:31:57,119
it over the best bets. I'll ask you if there's

606
00:31:57,480 --> 00:31:59,480
anything I missed, if there's anything else you would like

607
00:31:59,519 --> 00:32:01,640
to promote, and if you have a best bet for

608
00:32:01,720 --> 00:32:02,640
the show, we'd love to hear it.

609
00:32:02,720 --> 00:32:04,119
Speaker 1: If you don't, it's all good.

610
00:32:05,599 --> 00:32:08,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, real quick. Just on the on the combo package

611
00:32:08,400 --> 00:32:10,160
that they put together for a ski, there's a lot

612
00:32:10,200 --> 00:32:14,960
of WNBA left. I was just reading the promo type

613
00:32:15,000 --> 00:32:16,599
as you had to post it up there one hundred

614
00:32:16,599 --> 00:32:19,160
and twelve days at the time when they open this pest,

615
00:32:19,279 --> 00:32:22,559
so maybe one hundred and ten days left of WNBA basketball,

616
00:32:22,599 --> 00:32:25,359
which is say a ton of times. So you want

617
00:32:25,440 --> 00:32:28,000
to get in, you guys, hear us on this on

618
00:32:28,119 --> 00:32:31,359
Ski Show every day. Go ahead and hop in. My

619
00:32:31,480 --> 00:32:34,319
month of June was pretty good here plus about fifteen

620
00:32:34,440 --> 00:32:37,359
units sixty percent. So just to thought if you want

621
00:32:37,359 --> 00:32:39,839
to get involved with the plays and get them as

622
00:32:39,880 --> 00:32:41,960
soon as we release them. Like Ski said, hop on

623
00:32:42,079 --> 00:32:49,119
that package. Now, careful, you know, careful, hop on, hop

624
00:32:49,240 --> 00:32:53,079
on that package? Where are you Casey? Oh my god, Robert,

625
00:32:54,039 --> 00:32:56,240
I can't get through a show with him. This is

626
00:32:56,319 --> 00:33:03,519
saying something yeah, oh my two boys in one package.

627
00:33:03,559 --> 00:33:08,519
Yeah wow. She makes it hard to focus because I

628
00:33:08,599 --> 00:33:12,119
catch myself with this stuff. I'm I'm gonna go back

629
00:33:12,119 --> 00:33:14,440
to the Minnesota game. I really think Minnesota bounces back

630
00:33:14,480 --> 00:33:16,160
on their home floor with what we saw the other

631
00:33:16,279 --> 00:33:20,599
night was just not links like terrible offensive performance and

632
00:33:20,880 --> 00:33:22,920
you just don't expect back the backside of them. It's

633
00:33:22,960 --> 00:33:27,759
a professional team in every regard, and I think eighty

634
00:33:27,839 --> 00:33:30,400
four points against Washington is just not allowed. To ask

635
00:33:30,559 --> 00:33:32,599
Washington's been on the road for a while too. If

636
00:33:32,599 --> 00:33:34,720
you just go back and check, it's only three road games,

637
00:33:34,799 --> 00:33:37,920
but they've been there since like the twenty sixth of June,

638
00:33:38,480 --> 00:33:40,640
just traveling around and waiting for this game to be

639
00:33:40,720 --> 00:33:43,599
played as well. So I'm gonna use that as the

640
00:33:43,640 --> 00:33:47,000
best bet on the show's Ski Minnesota Links team total

641
00:33:47,079 --> 00:33:48,119
over eighty three and a half.

642
00:33:50,160 --> 00:33:56,039
Speaker 1: I like it, and man, I the chat's going crazy.

643
00:33:56,480 --> 00:33:59,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's why I don't look at it.

644
00:34:01,440 --> 00:34:02,960
Speaker 1: I want to try to give a best bet or

645
00:34:03,000 --> 00:34:03,880
I like to give a bet.

646
00:34:04,359 --> 00:34:07,039
Speaker 2: I give bets that I've actually placed in the two

647
00:34:07,079 --> 00:34:10,679
bets that I have right now have moved and uh,

648
00:34:11,440 --> 00:34:12,639
I mean I don't like. I like to give you

649
00:34:12,760 --> 00:34:14,960
numbers that I've taken. I'm looking at a few more

650
00:34:15,519 --> 00:34:17,440
and just just give me one second here.

651
00:34:17,559 --> 00:34:20,719
Speaker 1: You know, on this show on Prophets Picks, we will

652
00:34:20,760 --> 00:34:22,119
hold up the show for a second to make a

653
00:34:22,199 --> 00:34:27,559
bet to open up our wallet. Got bet, it will

654
00:34:27,599 --> 00:34:34,639
take a second, Sayski still on Cocks Internet. Yeah, my fault,

655
00:34:34,679 --> 00:34:36,119
you guys. I don't know if you know it is

656
00:34:36,159 --> 00:34:40,280
still here? You know still here? That's my bad man. Man,

657
00:34:40,480 --> 00:34:44,360
You guys know how to go. I couldn't even finish

658
00:34:44,440 --> 00:34:47,679
looking at my bet. All right, you guys know what

659
00:34:47,719 --> 00:34:48,519
I want to make my bet.

660
00:34:48,559 --> 00:34:50,239
Speaker 2: We'll just leave it like that before I get kicked

661
00:34:50,239 --> 00:34:52,800
off again looking for eighty eight and a half for

662
00:34:52,880 --> 00:34:55,639
Phoenix Sreen total over and I think it's very good.

663
00:34:55,960 --> 00:34:57,880
Speaker 1: We've done it in the past five times they've played

664
00:34:57,880 --> 00:34:58,199
each other.

665
00:34:59,480 --> 00:35:01,840
Speaker 2: I told you how bad dollars defense is, and Phoenix

666
00:35:01,920 --> 00:35:04,000
been hitting his mark every game or the past few

667
00:35:04,039 --> 00:35:06,159
games lately, besides the previous one.

668
00:35:07,480 --> 00:35:08,960
Speaker 1: So that's what I'll leave you guys with. VE know

669
00:35:10,119 --> 00:35:12,760
my bad for leaving you hanging. I always appreciate you

670
00:35:12,920 --> 00:35:15,320
taking it to do to show me anything else you

671
00:35:15,360 --> 00:35:16,480
got before we get out of here.

672
00:35:17,159 --> 00:35:20,239
Speaker 3: Because while you were out of Commissioner, I started reading

673
00:35:20,320 --> 00:35:24,559
the chat and Jesus, I mean, she does say she

674
00:35:24,679 --> 00:35:28,559
can't hop on both, but there's some action going on

675
00:35:28,719 --> 00:35:31,119
in the chat. It's pretty funny. That's why I can't

676
00:35:31,159 --> 00:35:34,760
look at it during the show. You guys are all right,