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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It's time for Total Bases Thursday morning.

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This is your Major League Baseball. I've been calling it

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Free Pick Show, but it really is like the Deep

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Dive show where we're going to really get into like

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six or seven games on the slate, but we are

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going to give out some free picks for the for

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the people that are like, where are the picks. We

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always give a couple out and you know, we'll see

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what we'll see what comes about. But uh, it is

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Yankees Red Sox rivalry Day and Brian Leonard, it's kind

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of as high as the stakes have been in this rivalry.

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Speaker 2: In a minute, I would say.

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Speaker 1: You know, both teams are right in the mix there

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really battling out for a wild card spot because I

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don't think either are going to catch the Blue Jays.

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That's just my opinion. So, Yankees Red Sox start of

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a four game set. How are you seeing this one tonight?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, yesterday we mentioned that a lot of teams would

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be off today, so it was a getaway day. There's

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still a couple of getaway day games today, but this

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isn't one of them. Lucas joll Leido on amount here

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for Boston. Luis Heel going for the Yankees, yank it's

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about a looking about a one forty five favorite eight

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to the slightly over in this one, which looks like

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to me a little bit low if you ask me

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when it comes to the totals, because we've had a

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lot of shootouts between Boston the Yankees in the past,

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and the Yankees are hitting really well right now. Giolito

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going for Boston comes in with a three point sixty

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three ERA, but his expected ERA is a whopping five

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point twenty seven. A lot of negative regression on the

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way for Gilito one point twenty five whip and if

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you take a look at his setcast page, the only

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thing he's really good on is his extension seventy eight

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percent six point six makes a lot of sense, but

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he's got a lot of weakness in his game this year,

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and I think the Yankees could get to him. Expected

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DRA twelve percent ile expected bat and you average thirteenth

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jags velosity every jacks at velocity fifteenth parrel right twenty second.

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He only throws four pitches and he throws the curve

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of four percent, so with a four singer of fifty

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percent when he's less than league average in that regard

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and only throwing three pitches. This is the Yankees team

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that I think he's going to get to him a

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little bit here. Also, Luis gil Heel, excuse me, five

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point one four ERA, five point one six expected one

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point sixty four whip. That's been his problems in his career.

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In four seasons he got one point twenty six whip.

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But this year it's bad. It was bad in twenty

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twenty two in a small sample size. Also by twenty

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twenty four, uh, he got it down to one nineteen.

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His basketball velocity eighty first percentile extension eighty eighth percentile

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very good in those and those, but once again he

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only he's only a three pitch pitcher. I was four

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seen forty four percent of the time. But he does

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throw it a nice mile per hour of ninety six

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point two. Two guys with limited repertoires here going against

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two good hitting teams. Although the Red Sox aren't quite

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as hot as the Yankees are right now. If you

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take a look at the the last two weeks in

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WRC plus, we've got the Yankees third at one thirty

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seven and Boston struggling a little bit at eighty eight,

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but this is one of the weaker pitchers that Boston's face.

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I like the over here getting this at eight, and

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it's not a getaway game. We talked about that yesterday

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and that that was the one winner. I had three plays,

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a lost. The Brewers give up four hits in the

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game and lost and left the bases loaded. Kansas City

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fell apart in extra innings. But I did have that

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easy under in the Atlanta game, and I talked about it.

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When the teams score a lot of runs. I see

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it all the time, been around a long time. I

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should have made that one a higher price than a

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rated play, as I did. But this one here, I

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think Boston, New York over is a pretty good bet here.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, what a weird day yesterday. I mean, if you

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had the Pirates and Rockies in a parlay, it was

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probably like plus one thousand. How many times are those

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guys going to beat the Blue Jays and Dodgers on

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the same day. It was just a weird day. A

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lot of a lot of big favorites lost. The Brewers lost,

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the Royals lost, and they were all, well, the Royals

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weren't big favorites. But just a weird day. And this

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is gonna happen. When you have one hundred and sixty

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two or one hundred and sixty five games season with

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a bunch of teams playing, You're gonna have these weird games,

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weird days, And yesterday was an anomaly. So let's get

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back on track today. It wasn't a good day for

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me either. So how do I break this game down?

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I have the Yankees pretty much better than Boston at

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almost everything, which I'm kind of surprised because they're the

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worst defensive team probably in all of Major League Baseball.

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But I do have them hitting a lot better. I

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actually have the Yankees hitting number two in MLB in

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current form, where I have the Red Sox twenty one.

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Big discrepancy there, and Bullpen got the Yankees ten Boston seventeen.

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The only thing I don't have the Yankees better than

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Boston at is starting pitcher. But I got g Alito

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on a curve of thirty ranked eighteen and heel ranked twenty,

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so they're pretty close. So how do they perform against

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the batters they're facing today? Throughout their career, gi Alito

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a two fifty six average against and a seven to

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fifty five ops. Not terrible but not great. But heel

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twenty eight at bats against these Boston batters one hundred

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and forty three average with a three forty three o PS.

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That's like unreal. So I, given the fact that the

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bullpen and the hitting is better for the Yankees, I

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will go with the Yankees here. I haven't made it

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an official play yet. And you know what even backs

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is even better is the Yankees are a great home

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team and Boston's not so great on the road. They

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have a new using records, So yeah, I think I

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think the Yankees can do it. It's minus one sixty

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where I'm seeing it a little steep. You could take

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a minus one and knock about thirty cents off that price.

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Get the Yankees for like minus one thirty on a

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minus one. I think that's a good play.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, not surprising to me that the Yankees took some money.

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They've now won five straight, seven of their last eight.

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They're they're kind of rolling. I grew up in so

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all my friends are Yankees fans for the most part.

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All all the Sianna guys are from down near the city,

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and the majority of them are Yankee fans, and I

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can always tell when this team's gonna get like unnecessarily hot,

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because you gotta like if you're not if you didn't

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grow up in New York or with Yankee fans, you

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can't understand like the irrational confidence that that a Yankee

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fan has.

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Speaker 2: But then it happens, which is the most annoying part.

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Speaker 1: Like like once they get going and you go go

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back to any year. Once the Yankees get a little

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juice and get going on a run like this, it's it.

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They're hard to stop, they get the timely hit. It's

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just I just I know what's coming. They'll probably have

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a really good weekend this weekend because if I remember correctly,

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and someone can can check me on this, because I

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don't have it in front of me, that the Red

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Sox played pretty well in this series the previous two.

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I know that the Red Sox went in the Yankee

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Stadium when their season was like on the ropes, it

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looked like it was about to be over, and took

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two of three. That was basically the turning point in

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the Red Sox season. They called up Rome and Anthony

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like a couple days later, and that was a huge

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result for them, So you know the Yankees, remember that

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they're I mean, these two teams are essentially they could

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both make the playoffs, but they're gonna be battling it

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out for a wild card spot.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, it's a huge series.

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Speaker 1: And listen, like the Red Sox kind of lost their

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momentum a little bit. I think they might have been

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looking ahead a little bit, but to lose to the

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Orioles and to lose in the fashion they did basis

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loaded no outs, couldn't get it done, lose the game

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in extra innings. I think they had a chance again

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and grounded into a double play. I don't know if

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the Red Sox with Giolito get off the mat here,

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especially with gi Alito, because he's kind of the one

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guy in this rotation that I really don't trust at all.

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Speaker 2: We talk about the stat cast page a lot of blue.

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Speaker 1: I really can't quite fathom how he went on the

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run he did prior to the All Star break, and

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his full season numbers are good. But he's someone that

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I'm fine playing against. I know he had the good

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outing against the Marlins last time. Remember that's a Marlins

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team now down Kyle Stowers, so that lineup's not gonna

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pack as big of a punch anymore. Prior to that

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knocked around by the Padres, he sprinkled into really good outings.

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But this Yankee lineup is hitting right now and it's

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in the Bronx not going to not an easy sort

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of task for a guy like ge Alito, in my opinion,

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and then he'll know he's someone that can he comes

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back from injury. I don't think we've really seen a

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full like like he's gonna build to probably being his

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best self. And last time out at Cardinals five and

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a third, one run on four hits, I thought he

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looked pretty good. So I'm kind of with you guys.

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I think the Yankees are the right side here TV

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and then also Brian, I wouldn't be surprised to see

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runs in this game because both of these pitchers are

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certainly vulnerable, and I think especially the Yankees, I feel

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like very capable of the timely hit right now. This

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has one where I like, if the Red Sox are

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up like four to three, like you can like rest

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assured that some someone's getting a timely hit, because that's

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just how it goes when the Yankees are playing well,

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Ethan says, you're right, Adam. Red Sox are five and

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one first. The Yanks this season drop game one in

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New York, took games two and three, and then swept

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them a week later. Yeah, so the Red Sox and

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and mind you, the Red Sox needed those games. Those

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were huge games for the Red Sox at the time

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because they were like in danger of being like ten

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games under five hundred. So don't well, the Yankees did not,

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will not forget that. I think you're gonna get a

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big time effort from a team that's got all the

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momentum right now.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, I'm with you guys on I like the Yanks.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's move on, let's move on to uh,

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I guess we gotta let's let's talk this game for

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a second, because there's some interesting stuff going on here.

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So a couple of people got burned on the Dodgers yesterday.

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Speaker 2: Yeah that was I.

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Speaker 1: Wasn't expecting that the Rockies got him not only once,

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but twice in this series, Brian Leonard. And now it

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looks like shoe Hey Otani is out of the lineup today,

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so it's like we've got to get away day out

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and cours Chase Dolander's kind of the one guy that

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I feel like has a little bit of upside when

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you're talking about Rockies pitchers where he might not be

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a total like grease.

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Speaker 2: Fire like the rest of the rotation. But it's Clayton Kershaw.

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Speaker 1: Who's it's Clayton Kershaw who's been kind of good, kind

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very good. I think he's been very good all things considered,

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for where he was supposed to be this year. So

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Dodgers Rockies Game four of four? Can the Rockies steal

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another one at Coursefield today?

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Speaker 2: Brian, I am.

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Speaker 3: Going to make this game part of this game my

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parley piece for today, Dodgers Kershaw going against Orlander. A

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lot of money's come in on Colorado here because of

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the situation. Right now, you're getting Kershaw probably about a

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two forty favorite with a total of twelve. This is

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a getaway game. And talked about this yesterday and we've

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already established that the Dodgers are going to get up

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for division rivals that are competitive. They got to fly

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back to LA and they host the Padres again, So

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this is a meaningless game for them. I know they

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lost two out of three here in Colorado, but they

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have to score eight runs to go over their team

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total eight runs in this game, in a game that's

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a getaway game, and they've got to fly back home

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to play San Diego. I don't see that happening, especially

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without their best player, the best hitter who's out of

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the lineup. That's going to be my best bet. Here.

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We're looking at the team total, excuse me, not the

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team total. Yes, the team total on the Dodgers under

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seven and a half. You can get anywhere from minus

239
00:12:30,720 --> 00:12:33,639
one nineteen to minus one pint thirty five, but basically

240
00:12:33,679 --> 00:12:36,639
it's about one to twenty seven. So I'm gonna play

241
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that the La Dodgers team total under seven and a

242
00:12:40,480 --> 00:12:44,399
half minus won twenty seven, meaning they've got to score

243
00:12:44,480 --> 00:12:47,480
eight runs to lose that game. I don't think it's

244
00:12:47,480 --> 00:12:50,960
gonna happen, even in Colorado. And so that's my play

245
00:12:51,000 --> 00:12:53,240
on this one. And on a day that we've got

246
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a limited amount of games, I'm gonna get that up.

247
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That one I had circle coming in, So we'll see

248
00:12:58,240 --> 00:13:00,960
how that one goes. It's ex of balls to play

249
00:13:01,000 --> 00:13:04,919
the Dodgers lineup under in in Colorado. Keep in mind

250
00:13:05,120 --> 00:13:09,639
months he's still out of the lineup and without their

251
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best hitter and one of the best hitters in baseball?

252
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Speaker 4: Yeah, who would have thought a team total of seven

253
00:13:16,879 --> 00:13:21,720
and a half? That's that's pretty unreal. I mean, Freddy

254
00:13:21,799 --> 00:13:23,600
Freeman and Nuki Bets are gonna have to hit a

255
00:13:23,639 --> 00:13:26,879
lot to Askar Hernandez hasn't quite been the same guy

256
00:13:26,919 --> 00:13:31,960
as last year since the beginning of the season, and

257
00:13:32,200 --> 00:13:38,320
Comforto invisible. You know, they're bringing up They got some

258
00:13:38,360 --> 00:13:41,799
young guys in their lineup that we haven't really heard

259
00:13:41,879 --> 00:13:44,679
much of, and they're starting to play them because the

260
00:13:44,720 --> 00:13:48,480
Dodgers have the worst manager in baseball and they probably

261
00:13:48,679 --> 00:13:51,000
feel like they're in the playoffs no matter what, So

262
00:13:51,039 --> 00:13:56,159
why not just let some guys get some at bats? Right? Yeah,

263
00:13:56,200 --> 00:13:59,720
I couldn't argue with that, that seven and a half under.

264
00:14:00,840 --> 00:14:04,360
Here's an interesting stat. Clayton Kershaw has amazing numbers against

265
00:14:04,360 --> 00:14:07,679
the Colorado Rockies, a one ninety three average against and

266
00:14:07,759 --> 00:14:10,600
a five forty oh ps. But not all of those

267
00:14:10,679 --> 00:14:16,840
numbers were accumulated in that monkey ballpark. And you know,

268
00:14:16,919 --> 00:14:18,759
he's not the same picture he was when he put

269
00:14:18,879 --> 00:14:21,720
probably most of those career numbers up. He's always been

270
00:14:21,759 --> 00:14:26,759
one of those amazing regular season guys. And he's not

271
00:14:26,840 --> 00:14:29,279
that anymore. He's an innings Zeter though he's a he's

272
00:14:29,279 --> 00:14:34,200
a respectable inning Zeter, a lot like Louis Castillo, and

273
00:14:34,519 --> 00:14:38,879
you know he's got respectable numbers. I think man though, Adam,

274
00:14:38,919 --> 00:14:42,120
that young guy, that warmer guy for Colorado. Man, he's

275
00:14:42,159 --> 00:14:45,639
he's he's electric, he's fun to watch. Man. They got

276
00:14:45,639 --> 00:14:48,279
some good talent on in that lineup. I hate to

277
00:14:48,320 --> 00:14:51,879
say it, I'm not touching this game with a ten

278
00:14:51,919 --> 00:14:54,200
foot poll. I have no idea what to expect. The

279
00:14:54,279 --> 00:14:57,879
Rockies have the better bullpen, and the Rockies are hting better.

280
00:14:58,120 --> 00:15:02,720
Plus the Dodgers are lose, are missing the best one

281
00:15:02,759 --> 00:15:06,120
of the either number one or number two best hitter

282
00:15:06,159 --> 00:15:09,279
in all of baseball. So yeah, I'm staying way away

283
00:15:09,279 --> 00:15:09,600
from this.

284
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Speaker 2: I agree with Brian.

285
00:15:12,919 --> 00:15:16,240
Speaker 1: I would I would be inclined to find a way

286
00:15:16,519 --> 00:15:17,759
to back the Rockies here.

287
00:15:17,879 --> 00:15:20,360
Speaker 2: I don't know if it's like the alternate line.

288
00:15:20,360 --> 00:15:21,799
Speaker 1: Maybe you can find a two or a two and

289
00:15:21,840 --> 00:15:23,600
a half, take the plus money with the plus one

290
00:15:23,600 --> 00:15:26,320
and a half, or just play Brian's under team total.

291
00:15:27,000 --> 00:15:30,559
Because you know, Sean in the in the chat, he

292
00:15:30,639 --> 00:15:33,000
basically was like, why why would you want to play

293
00:15:33,240 --> 00:15:36,840
the Dodgers right now? And I agree with that they're

294
00:15:36,879 --> 00:15:40,559
not playing well. They they they haven't played well all series.

295
00:15:40,600 --> 00:15:44,120
They have they they really have a huge series coming up.

296
00:15:44,639 --> 00:15:48,679
So it is a getaway type day where historically this

297
00:15:48,759 --> 00:15:51,120
would not be a spot where you would probably get

298
00:15:51,120 --> 00:15:54,679
their best effort, and at least for the Rockies, so

299
00:15:55,399 --> 00:15:57,279
you know, they're a young teams. So I've kind of

300
00:15:57,279 --> 00:15:59,240
talked about this with some of the other teams. When

301
00:15:59,279 --> 00:16:02,440
you get these young teams that don't know better and

302
00:16:02,480 --> 00:16:05,080
they play one good game, or in this case for

303
00:16:05,120 --> 00:16:09,000
the Rockies, couple good games, they start to believe a

304
00:16:09,039 --> 00:16:11,639
little bit they're not. They don't know that they're bad,

305
00:16:11,759 --> 00:16:13,840
right because a lot of these guys have just come

306
00:16:13,919 --> 00:16:16,559
up through the miners and they're just they're just happy

307
00:16:16,559 --> 00:16:19,120
to be playing big league ball. Warming Bernabelt is the

308
00:16:19,759 --> 00:16:24,080
gentleman that Tokyo brand in reference. He's just a he's awesome,

309
00:16:24,240 --> 00:16:26,639
like he's gonna end up being a good player, but

310
00:16:26,759 --> 00:16:29,200
he hasn't been around for all the losing, and a

311
00:16:29,240 --> 00:16:32,000
lot of them haven't. So it's like it's just a

312
00:16:32,039 --> 00:16:34,440
different attitude than a team of guys that have just

313
00:16:34,480 --> 00:16:36,320
been getting their teeth kicked in all year, right, Like

314
00:16:36,360 --> 00:16:38,679
a lot of these guys just came up. They're thrilled

315
00:16:38,720 --> 00:16:40,679
to be Like, how excited do you think some of

316
00:16:40,720 --> 00:16:42,879
those guys are getting their first, you know, one of

317
00:16:42,919 --> 00:16:45,080
their first cracks at the Dodgers. Like, that's gotta be

318
00:16:45,120 --> 00:16:47,519
fun for them. All the energy is gonna be on

319
00:16:47,559 --> 00:16:49,720
the Rocky side. Then you talk about a guy like

320
00:16:49,799 --> 00:16:52,200
Chase Dollanders. So I think what will be the key

321
00:16:52,279 --> 00:16:55,600
to Brian's under I mean, this is a former first rounder,

322
00:16:56,039 --> 00:16:58,639
this was a ninth overall pick in twenty twenty three.

323
00:16:59,240 --> 00:17:02,399
He's not I mean, it's not his fault that the

324
00:17:02,559 --> 00:17:05,920
Rockies drafted him and are doing their best to ruin him.

325
00:17:06,079 --> 00:17:08,640
That's not his fault, right, Like, he's still a guy

326
00:17:08,680 --> 00:17:13,160
that came in with the the big time skill set,

327
00:17:13,480 --> 00:17:17,720
first round pick, and you know, you look at he's throwing.

328
00:17:19,079 --> 00:17:21,480
You know, he throws a ninety eight mile an hour fastball.

329
00:17:22,240 --> 00:17:23,960
He's going to have to figure out the problem with

330
00:17:24,079 --> 00:17:27,039
him is like the curve ball doesn't probably doesn't do

331
00:17:27,119 --> 00:17:29,880
what he expects it to do at altitude, and he's

332
00:17:29,880 --> 00:17:32,480
got to figure out whether his pitch mix is He's

333
00:17:32,519 --> 00:17:35,920
also got a command better he's he's been. He's been

334
00:17:35,960 --> 00:17:37,920
all over the place, and that's why he's gotten sent

335
00:17:37,960 --> 00:17:40,240
down at times. I don't think they're sending him down

336
00:17:40,880 --> 00:17:44,880
because they don't think he's like MLB caliber or MLB ready.

337
00:17:44,960 --> 00:17:47,119
They're sending him down because he goes through stretches where

338
00:17:47,119 --> 00:17:49,519
he doesn't throw strikes. But this is I think the

339
00:17:49,599 --> 00:17:51,839
third time he's been called up this year pretty much

340
00:17:51,839 --> 00:17:55,079
at this point, that's probably going to start to improve.

341
00:17:55,720 --> 00:17:58,839
And like, I mean, stick listen. If you can throw

342
00:17:59,359 --> 00:18:03,319
ninety eight with movement and it's a decent bastball, you're

343
00:18:03,319 --> 00:18:05,960
gonna at least like go look at Brandon Fott yesterday,

344
00:18:06,119 --> 00:18:08,920
like or his whole career, like, you can hang around

345
00:18:08,960 --> 00:18:11,799
as a starter in the big leagues. So where he's

346
00:18:11,839 --> 00:18:14,920
getting priced at this point, I feel like they're pricing

347
00:18:14,960 --> 00:18:17,319
him like the other bums in this Rockies rotation. The

348
00:18:17,400 --> 00:18:20,880
sensateela is the Yeah, I know Tanner Gordon pitched okay yesterday,

349
00:18:20,880 --> 00:18:23,759
but I think that was more on the Dodgers. You know, Gomber,

350
00:18:23,960 --> 00:18:26,880
those are not really big league guys. Chase Dollander is

351
00:18:27,079 --> 00:18:31,279
very likely a MLB pitcher, like even if he doesn't

352
00:18:31,359 --> 00:18:34,039
end up being that in Colorado. Like this guy is

353
00:18:34,039 --> 00:18:36,680
a is a major leaguer. He's got the sort of

354
00:18:36,799 --> 00:18:40,359
upside of being like a top, you know, like it

355
00:18:40,480 --> 00:18:42,440
like someone that ends up in a rotation for a

356
00:18:42,480 --> 00:18:44,440
long time. So I think you can bet on the

357
00:18:44,480 --> 00:18:47,200
Dollander upside. And for that reason, I'm just gonna I

358
00:18:47,240 --> 00:18:49,960
guess I'll echo Brian sentiment on that under because I

359
00:18:49,960 --> 00:18:52,279
wouldn't be surprised to be pitched well. And I also

360
00:18:52,279 --> 00:18:54,599
wouldn't be surprised Sean. Yeah, why do keep people keep

361
00:18:54,640 --> 00:18:55,480
betting the Dodgers.

362
00:18:55,599 --> 00:18:56,079
Speaker 2: I don't know.

363
00:18:56,200 --> 00:18:59,319
Speaker 1: I'd probably run it back with the Rockies, especially if

364
00:18:59,319 --> 00:19:02,359
you've been playing the Rockies all series. No reason to

365
00:19:02,400 --> 00:19:05,519
try to reinvent the wheel at this point. So yeah,

366
00:19:05,599 --> 00:19:10,079
I'm kind of kind of with you guys there. All right,

367
00:19:10,119 --> 00:19:12,720
let's talk about this one. Markinson says, Royals had you know,

368
00:19:13,400 --> 00:19:15,599
that was a tough one. Felt like the Royals had

369
00:19:15,599 --> 00:19:18,920
it when even when it was tied, it did feel

370
00:19:18,920 --> 00:19:20,440
like the Royals were gonna get it done.

371
00:19:21,960 --> 00:19:22,200
Speaker 2: You know.

372
00:19:22,319 --> 00:19:25,039
Speaker 1: I know they had five straight wins, but man, did

373
00:19:25,079 --> 00:19:27,960
they need that game in terms of getting back in

374
00:19:28,079 --> 00:19:30,359
the mix in that or staying in the mix in

375
00:19:30,359 --> 00:19:33,319
that wild card race. But they get another chance today

376
00:19:33,440 --> 00:19:35,640
day game Today. Two of our favorite guys on the

377
00:19:35,680 --> 00:19:39,640
show here, Brian Leonard, it's Patrick Corbyn Michael Lorenzen. Royal's

378
00:19:39,640 --> 00:19:41,799
a slight favorite. Are you running it back with Kansas

379
00:19:41,799 --> 00:19:42,279
City here?

380
00:19:43,240 --> 00:19:45,319
Speaker 3: I think I may be. I think there's some value

381
00:19:45,359 --> 00:19:47,920
here on Kansas City. You know, the Royals are now

382
00:19:47,920 --> 00:19:51,000
in second place, they've passed up Cleveland their second place

383
00:19:51,000 --> 00:19:53,880
in the division. They still think they can make the playoffs.

384
00:19:53,920 --> 00:19:56,279
I believe they have about a twenty percent chance of

385
00:19:56,319 --> 00:20:00,240
making the playoffs at this point. Just about everybody's lot in.

386
00:20:00,519 --> 00:20:04,599
There's like one spot available in each league. But uh,

387
00:20:04,680 --> 00:20:07,640
they're they're a team that if you remember, they've had

388
00:20:07,680 --> 00:20:10,480
some success in the past getting to the playoffs on

389
00:20:10,480 --> 00:20:12,519
teams we didn't expect to be that good and they've

390
00:20:12,559 --> 00:20:16,039
had They've done very well. Corbyn going for Texas against

391
00:20:16,079 --> 00:20:19,359
Lorenzen not the two best pitchers we could look to

392
00:20:19,400 --> 00:20:23,160
play on. But Corbyn. The longer this season goes, the

393
00:20:23,200 --> 00:20:25,279
closer his number gets to where it was the last

394
00:20:25,319 --> 00:20:28,599
couple of years. He looked really good coming over, uh

395
00:20:28,799 --> 00:20:32,079
to this team. But he still comes in with a

396
00:20:32,119 --> 00:20:34,279
four point four five e r a four point five

397
00:20:34,319 --> 00:20:38,000
too expected one point three to eight whip. His his

398
00:20:38,039 --> 00:20:41,440
stack gass pages a little bit better. He's turning out

399
00:20:41,480 --> 00:20:45,519
to be about an average pitcher this year. He does

400
00:20:45,559 --> 00:20:48,960
throw three pitches the majority of the time, his slider,

401
00:20:49,039 --> 00:20:52,880
his sinker, and his cutter. But he's he's been pretty good,

402
00:20:52,880 --> 00:20:55,279
but he's not as good as he was earlier in

403
00:20:55,319 --> 00:20:59,240
this season. Michael Lorenzen is a guy who's an innings eater.

404
00:20:59,359 --> 00:21:01,240
We talked about the all the time. Comes out with

405
00:21:01,240 --> 00:21:03,319
a four point four to three ERA four point two

406
00:21:03,480 --> 00:21:08,200
six expected one point three to zero whip in his career.

407
00:21:08,279 --> 00:21:11,400
He's been around for eleven seasons. He's not somebody that

408
00:21:11,519 --> 00:21:15,240
anybody ever searches for to put in their rotation, but

409
00:21:15,559 --> 00:21:18,240
he's an arm that is going to get you innings.

410
00:21:18,799 --> 00:21:21,599
Last three years, one fifty three, one thirty in this year,

411
00:21:21,599 --> 00:21:24,799
one oh three innings so far, and you can make

412
00:21:24,839 --> 00:21:27,039
a good career out of doing that. Like I said,

413
00:21:27,200 --> 00:21:30,000
eleven seasons in Major League baseball. He's got a five

414
00:21:30,079 --> 00:21:33,799
hundred record, So he does throw a lot of pitches.

415
00:21:34,599 --> 00:21:37,440
He got seven different pitches, none of them more than

416
00:21:37,480 --> 00:21:39,759
twenty four percent of the time. So I really like

417
00:21:39,839 --> 00:21:43,000
that Kansas City. If you look at the two teams

418
00:21:43,240 --> 00:21:45,960
based on the way they're playing now and what's going

419
00:21:46,000 --> 00:21:49,759
on in Kansas City's clearly the better team. Texas two

420
00:21:49,759 --> 00:21:51,559
weeks ago, they thought they were going to be in

421
00:21:51,559 --> 00:21:55,160
the playoffs. They have fallen apart. This is a lot

422
00:21:55,240 --> 00:21:57,519
of veteran players on this Texas team. You mentioned that,

423
00:21:58,200 --> 00:22:01,279
especially the pitching staff is a lot of veterans for Texas.

424
00:22:02,279 --> 00:22:04,799
They were two weeks ago they had a chance to

425
00:22:06,880 --> 00:22:09,279
make a nice season. I don't think they have it now.

426
00:22:10,000 --> 00:22:12,200
They did get that victory and extra innings yesterday. I

427
00:22:12,240 --> 00:22:15,000
think Kansas City bounces back here, and if you're looking

428
00:22:15,000 --> 00:22:17,079
at the numbers, it would show, you know, if you

429
00:22:17,119 --> 00:22:20,759
give Kansas City a normal home field advantage, it would

430
00:22:20,759 --> 00:22:23,359
show these teams are equal. I don't think they are.

431
00:22:23,440 --> 00:22:25,039
I think at this point can't say is a much

432
00:22:25,079 --> 00:22:27,680
better team. I prefer the Royals in this game.

433
00:22:29,640 --> 00:22:32,519
Speaker 4: Guys, go to our page atwayjertalk dot com. All three

434
00:22:32,559 --> 00:22:35,000
of us have a page. Click Experts and you'll find

435
00:22:35,079 --> 00:22:38,680
what we're offering. We put up free plays almost every day.

436
00:22:39,319 --> 00:22:43,279
This show is more of a analysis and sharing knowledge

437
00:22:43,319 --> 00:22:47,519
and giving you guys information to make better judgments. But

438
00:22:47,559 --> 00:22:50,720
we actually give free plays on that website, So go

439
00:22:50,759 --> 00:22:52,839
to wajatalk dot com and check out what we got.

440
00:22:54,000 --> 00:22:56,279
I have my MLB play out today, and I'm sure

441
00:22:56,960 --> 00:23:02,440
these guys will if they don't already. So I don't

442
00:23:02,440 --> 00:23:04,480
have these teams even at all. I have Kansas City

443
00:23:04,759 --> 00:23:08,519
much better than Texas, and I like Lorenzo a lot

444
00:23:08,519 --> 00:23:14,839
better than Corbin. I know corbyin hate is overrated because

445
00:23:14,839 --> 00:23:17,079
he did pitch really well at the beginning of the season.

446
00:23:17,519 --> 00:23:20,839
He's not terrible, but I like Lorenzo. Not a lot

447
00:23:20,839 --> 00:23:22,960
of people like him, but I actually kind of like him.

448
00:23:23,480 --> 00:23:26,880
If you look at how he's pitched against these Rangers

449
00:23:26,880 --> 00:23:29,200
in his career's got twenty five at bats against a

450
00:23:29,240 --> 00:23:31,640
two forty average and a six to sixty five OPS.

451
00:23:31,640 --> 00:23:35,680
Not bad, a little bit better than average. But Corbin

452
00:23:36,480 --> 00:23:38,960
against these Royals in his career, he's got eighty three

453
00:23:38,960 --> 00:23:41,519
at bats against. They have crushed him to eighty nine

454
00:23:41,559 --> 00:23:46,799
average against an eight twenty eight OPS. So definitely starting

455
00:23:46,839 --> 00:23:51,000
pitcher is in favor of Lorenzo. And it take it

456
00:23:51,039 --> 00:23:55,519
even further. Corbin at home is where he's actually looked

457
00:23:55,519 --> 00:23:57,480
good with a three six five ERA at home, but

458
00:23:57,559 --> 00:24:03,000
a five seventeen Era on the road. Lorenzen great home pitcher.

459
00:24:03,559 --> 00:24:06,079
He's got a three forty er at home and a

460
00:24:06,160 --> 00:24:10,279
five on the road. So everything points to the Royals here.

461
00:24:10,559 --> 00:24:12,960
It did yesterday too and they lost. But you know,

462
00:24:13,039 --> 00:24:15,200
this is gambling. You're not gonna win every single game

463
00:24:15,240 --> 00:24:18,400
that you bet, but you have to bet based on

464
00:24:18,480 --> 00:24:20,839
probability and which way you think the wind's going to

465
00:24:20,880 --> 00:24:23,039
blow today. And I think the wind's going to blow

466
00:24:23,039 --> 00:24:25,599
in favor of Kansas City. They have the much better

467
00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:29,440
bullpen and they have the much better lineups, So it's

468
00:24:29,519 --> 00:24:31,920
all systems go for Kansas City in my opinion. As

469
00:24:31,960 --> 00:24:33,759
a matter of fact, I'm going to make that my parlay.

470
00:24:33,839 --> 00:24:34,079
Speaker 3: Leg.

471
00:24:34,960 --> 00:24:37,119
Speaker 4: I don't know what the number is right now, hang on,

472
00:24:37,440 --> 00:24:41,079
I'm seeing minus one twenty, almost no juice at all.

473
00:24:41,200 --> 00:24:44,119
That's great. That's a great number for Kansas City, the

474
00:24:44,160 --> 00:24:46,359
better team. What do you see, Brin?

475
00:24:46,839 --> 00:24:49,799
Speaker 3: The only concern I have is the bullpen sets up

476
00:24:49,839 --> 00:24:52,240
a little bit better for Texas than it does for

477
00:24:52,319 --> 00:24:56,079
Kansas City here. But I still it's a bargain to me.

478
00:24:56,279 --> 00:24:59,519
At one twenty you can get. I agree, one fifteen's

479
00:24:59,519 --> 00:25:00,240
out there right now.

480
00:25:00,319 --> 00:25:02,599
Speaker 1: So yeah, I was gonna say, I actually see quite

481
00:25:02,640 --> 00:25:05,200
a few minus one fifteen. I think I see more

482
00:25:05,279 --> 00:25:07,880
minus one fifteen minus won sixteen than minus went twenty.

483
00:25:07,960 --> 00:25:09,720
Speaker 2: We'll give you minus one fifteen there.

484
00:25:09,880 --> 00:25:13,400
Speaker 4: Although the bull the bullpen situation might be better for Texas,

485
00:25:13,440 --> 00:25:17,480
I think the bullpen talent is much better in Kansas

486
00:25:17,480 --> 00:25:20,599
City's Favorite. I got Kansas City ranked eight in Current

487
00:25:20,640 --> 00:25:25,119
Form and I got Texas ranked twenty five. So no

488
00:25:25,160 --> 00:25:27,599
matter what the situation, I think Kansas City has has

489
00:25:27,640 --> 00:25:28,559
a leg up in that.

490
00:25:28,759 --> 00:25:34,640
Speaker 1: In that department, Greg Greg Carpet. Greg Carpert just says,

491
00:25:34,640 --> 00:25:37,960
why is my comment pinned? Well, because I want because

492
00:25:38,000 --> 00:25:40,599
I had to comment on it, he says. Love when

493
00:25:40,599 --> 00:25:43,079
Trigger goes on his opinionated rants for two minutes, it's

494
00:25:43,119 --> 00:25:44,559
like that, that's the show.

495
00:25:44,880 --> 00:25:47,279
Speaker 2: That's what we're doing that we wouldn't have to show.

496
00:25:47,599 --> 00:25:50,319
So I like. I like because I like it.

497
00:25:50,400 --> 00:25:51,359
Speaker 4: I have no opinion.

498
00:25:52,799 --> 00:25:54,680
Speaker 2: I pinned it because I liked the comment. I want

499
00:25:54,759 --> 00:25:56,160
to remember to grab it.

500
00:25:56,240 --> 00:25:59,359
Speaker 1: So we we love you tuning in Greg and and everyone,

501
00:25:59,640 --> 00:26:02,599
and yeah, that's the show, is us sort of ranting

502
00:26:02,640 --> 00:26:06,319
for an hour and hopefully somebody to turn into good

503
00:26:06,319 --> 00:26:11,119
opinions that are actionable info, Clock Cage, Red Sox Yankees

504
00:26:11,160 --> 00:26:13,839
open the show. So as always, if you missed the

505
00:26:14,599 --> 00:26:16,400
any part of the show, you can go to the

506
00:26:16,400 --> 00:26:18,599
Wager Talking YouTube channel. The show will always be up

507
00:26:18,599 --> 00:26:21,799
on demand and we opened the show with Red Sox Yankees.

508
00:26:21,920 --> 00:26:24,839
So while you're over there finding the on demand show,

509
00:26:25,079 --> 00:26:28,039
feel free to like and subscribe, especially subscribe if you

510
00:26:28,039 --> 00:26:33,119
haven't subscribed already. That helps the show tremendously. Tokyo Brandon

511
00:26:33,200 --> 00:26:34,920
was talking about the wind blows, well, I hope the

512
00:26:34,920 --> 00:26:38,279
wind is blowing out here because I think over makes

513
00:26:38,319 --> 00:26:43,359
the most sense in this game. The only thing so

514
00:26:43,480 --> 00:26:46,359
I agree with the Royals. The only thing that like

515
00:26:46,720 --> 00:26:48,839
maybe gives me a little bit of pause is that

516
00:26:48,880 --> 00:26:51,759
the Royals are not great against left handed pitching. W

517
00:26:52,039 --> 00:26:54,200
RC plus has been in the bottom of the league

518
00:26:54,240 --> 00:26:58,039
all year against lefties, but Corbin has This is my guy,

519
00:26:58,279 --> 00:27:00,920
This is my guy, Clay Nick Klin, New York native

520
00:27:01,119 --> 00:27:04,599
Patrick Corbyn from right here in my backyard. I've rooted

521
00:27:04,599 --> 00:27:08,440
for him his entire career. I've watched him his entire career. Sadly,

522
00:27:08,559 --> 00:27:10,799
I think he's running out of gas on the season.

523
00:27:11,599 --> 00:27:13,720
He has not made it out of the fifth inning

524
00:27:13,920 --> 00:27:17,960
in god since like mid July, like last four, I

525
00:27:17,960 --> 00:27:20,720
don't think he's gone longer than five innings in any

526
00:27:20,759 --> 00:27:23,319
of his last four starts. Last start was to get

527
00:27:23,400 --> 00:27:26,200
got totally bombed by the by the Blue Jays start

528
00:27:26,200 --> 00:27:28,240
before that, the Phillies were on him. They kind of

529
00:27:28,279 --> 00:27:32,720
pulled him before the real damage happened. Three innings against

530
00:27:32,759 --> 00:27:36,119
the Yankees, six hits. Again, probably a little bit fortunate

531
00:27:36,200 --> 00:27:38,480
to only give up three runs in that game.

532
00:27:38,599 --> 00:27:40,559
Speaker 2: So even though.

533
00:27:40,559 --> 00:27:44,039
Speaker 1: The Royals do struggle against left handed pitching, I could

534
00:27:44,039 --> 00:27:46,119
see them getting something here. And if they can't get

535
00:27:46,160 --> 00:27:48,960
it here, they can at least probably get him out

536
00:27:48,960 --> 00:27:51,079
of the game by the fourth or the fifth. And

537
00:27:51,400 --> 00:27:53,839
you know, both bullpens were used a little bit last night,

538
00:27:53,839 --> 00:27:55,799
so maybe you get some runs at the end of

539
00:27:55,799 --> 00:27:58,319
this game. On the other side, I really don't want

540
00:27:58,720 --> 00:28:01,920
Michael Lorenzen. I know he's you know, he kind of

541
00:28:01,960 --> 00:28:04,079
like what. So, here's the deal with both of these guys.

542
00:28:04,480 --> 00:28:07,640
On a given day, they can be great, right Like,

543
00:28:07,640 --> 00:28:10,440
like they're both veterans, they've both been around forever. On

544
00:28:10,480 --> 00:28:14,000
a given day, they can be great. Most days they're

545
00:28:14,039 --> 00:28:17,319
not gonna be as great. That's the thing like right now,

546
00:28:17,960 --> 00:28:19,799
most days the rest of the year, I don't think

547
00:28:19,839 --> 00:28:23,720
Lorenzen's gonna be great. I don't think and I especially

548
00:28:23,720 --> 00:28:25,839
don't think Corbin's gonna be great. If you're looking at

549
00:28:25,880 --> 00:28:28,440
like here to the end of the season. My gut

550
00:28:28,480 --> 00:28:31,559
tells me that Corbin gets bombed more often than he

551
00:28:31,599 --> 00:28:36,000
goes out and throws a gem. So you know, Lorenzen, like,

552
00:28:38,519 --> 00:28:40,759
I just root for him because we don't listen, Central

553
00:28:40,759 --> 00:28:45,039
New York doesn't produce many like like arms fifteen year

554
00:28:45,200 --> 00:28:47,960
ten fifteen year big leaguers, so you know, you root

555
00:28:48,000 --> 00:28:48,920
for the hometown guy.

556
00:28:48,960 --> 00:28:50,519
Speaker 2: But I'm also just being realistic.

557
00:28:51,039 --> 00:28:53,079
Speaker 1: I wouldn't be surprised if the Royals found a way

558
00:28:53,200 --> 00:28:55,279
and then there was runs late and at the same token,

559
00:28:55,359 --> 00:28:58,440
like we saw runs late yesterday. You know, That's something

560
00:28:58,480 --> 00:29:02,240
I've said about the Rangers all season. Collection of bullpen

561
00:29:02,319 --> 00:29:06,240
arms is good, but high leverage not so good. Right,

562
00:29:06,319 --> 00:29:09,720
So it's like they don't have guys that I trust

563
00:29:09,759 --> 00:29:11,960
in like that big time leverage spot, which is why

564
00:29:12,000 --> 00:29:13,960
it was surprised they were able to win last night.

565
00:29:14,799 --> 00:29:17,279
I kind of think you're gonna get runs here, so

566
00:29:17,960 --> 00:29:19,640
I'm not gonna lock this in yet.

567
00:29:19,640 --> 00:29:22,519
Speaker 2: But what's what's our current total on this one? Brian?

568
00:29:22,559 --> 00:29:23,519
Do you have it up right now?

569
00:29:24,119 --> 00:29:27,559
Speaker 3: Looking at nine, you can get nine minus one, ten

570
00:29:27,640 --> 00:29:29,200
up to minus one fifteen to the over.

571
00:29:30,799 --> 00:29:33,279
Speaker 1: Yeah, like a nine flat here makes a ton of

572
00:29:33,279 --> 00:29:36,799
sense to me. I could absolutely see both of these

573
00:29:36,799 --> 00:29:39,079
teams getting to four. And if you have a four

574
00:29:39,079 --> 00:29:41,960
to four game at any point, you're free rolling. I mean,

575
00:29:42,039 --> 00:29:44,640
you're you can't lose it. So yeah, I'll call this

576
00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:47,359
one over. I'm not I'm not willing to like close

577
00:29:47,359 --> 00:29:50,240
out the parlay yet, but I'll i'll for for I think,

578
00:29:50,359 --> 00:29:52,240
you know, I think this is a pretty solid over.

579
00:29:52,359 --> 00:29:54,160
Speaker 2: Sorry TV, TV, were you gonna say something?

580
00:29:54,880 --> 00:29:57,880
Speaker 4: No, No, I was scratching my tin.

581
00:29:59,319 --> 00:30:01,920
Speaker 3: I will say that the wind is blowing in, but

582
00:30:02,039 --> 00:30:05,400
it is supposed to be a hot day and overall

583
00:30:05,920 --> 00:30:08,640
your runs expected are going to be ten percent higher

584
00:30:08,680 --> 00:30:12,599
than a normal game. So even though the winds blowing in,

585
00:30:12,799 --> 00:30:15,799
I we still see some runs.

586
00:30:15,599 --> 00:30:19,440
Speaker 1: There and argue, yeah, I think we're going to see

587
00:30:19,480 --> 00:30:19,839
some runs.

588
00:30:19,880 --> 00:30:21,759
Speaker 2: All right, let's go to a day game.

589
00:30:22,079 --> 00:30:24,079
Speaker 1: I lost the comment, but there are there are some

590
00:30:24,160 --> 00:30:28,119
people that really like this spot for the A's and

591
00:30:28,200 --> 00:30:29,240
I really can't agree.

592
00:30:29,279 --> 00:30:30,440
Speaker 2: I can't disagree with them.

593
00:30:31,160 --> 00:30:34,920
Speaker 1: The Twins have had sort of you know, they go

594
00:30:35,000 --> 00:30:37,799
out and play hard every day, but this organization clearly

595
00:30:37,839 --> 00:30:40,279
is not worried about winning right now. If they were,

596
00:30:40,359 --> 00:30:42,880
they would have other they would have guys like mick

597
00:30:42,920 --> 00:30:46,480
Abel would be in the majors, Taj Bradley like. Instead,

598
00:30:46,519 --> 00:30:49,799
they continue to who are they running out there today?

599
00:30:49,839 --> 00:30:52,720
Speaker 2: Brian? Is it Arena? Is he going to start? I

600
00:30:52,759 --> 00:30:55,400
knew what are we doing? What are we doing? Why

601
00:30:55,400 --> 00:30:56,000
are we trading?

602
00:30:56,119 --> 00:30:57,960
Speaker 1: Why are we trading for mick Abel and then having

603
00:30:58,000 --> 00:31:00,559
him just start at Saint Paul when he was basically

604
00:31:00,599 --> 00:31:03,720
in the Phillies rotation earlier this year. So explain that

605
00:31:03,759 --> 00:31:05,279
to me and then talk to me about the A's

606
00:31:05,440 --> 00:31:07,559
because when this team gets going, they.

607
00:31:07,440 --> 00:31:09,519
Speaker 2: Start to win games. I would run it back with

608
00:31:09,599 --> 00:31:10,039
the ace here.

609
00:31:10,079 --> 00:31:12,440
Speaker 3: What do you think, Well, here's a situation in Minnesota.

610
00:31:12,480 --> 00:31:15,240
They don't care if they win or lose. The players

611
00:31:15,279 --> 00:31:18,039
do that. The management doesn't exactly out of the playoffs

612
00:31:18,079 --> 00:31:20,119
right now, they'll get a good chance to look at

613
00:31:20,119 --> 00:31:24,200
some younger players, but that's not their priority. They're looking

614
00:31:24,279 --> 00:31:27,200
for a couple of years down the road. Jack Perkins

615
00:31:27,279 --> 00:31:30,480
is going for the A's four point two eight RA

616
00:31:30,960 --> 00:31:35,039
three point one six expected one point one to three whip.

617
00:31:35,240 --> 00:31:38,759
I really like him. He has not performed quite as

618
00:31:38,759 --> 00:31:40,440
well as I thought he would do, but he's a

619
00:31:40,480 --> 00:31:43,200
young pitcher and it takes a while. But he's got

620
00:31:43,200 --> 00:31:45,039
a lot of red on his statcast page, even though

621
00:31:45,039 --> 00:31:48,400
it's only thirty three point two thirds innings on the season.

622
00:31:48,920 --> 00:31:53,200
But he's good and the only concern is his walk grade.

623
00:31:53,240 --> 00:31:55,599
His walk grade is ten point one struck out right

624
00:31:55,640 --> 00:31:58,839
twenty five point two, so that leaves them a fifteen

625
00:31:58,880 --> 00:32:02,039
point one, which is slightly less than league average. But

626
00:32:02,720 --> 00:32:05,200
I think he's got a bright future. One of the

627
00:32:05,200 --> 00:32:10,400
few guys here in this the Sacramento A's or wherever

628
00:32:10,440 --> 00:32:13,920
the is going to be playing. But in their future,

629
00:32:13,960 --> 00:32:17,400
he's going to be around Jose Arena. There was an

630
00:32:17,480 --> 00:32:20,279
article I read today, He's a fantasy guy. It goes

631
00:32:20,319 --> 00:32:23,240
by John in Pittsburgh, j O n in Pittsburgh, and

632
00:32:23,279 --> 00:32:28,319
he and he put out the worst Sierras from twenty

633
00:32:28,359 --> 00:32:32,400
twenty one through now, and Jose Arena is in the

634
00:32:32,400 --> 00:32:37,440
top ten. This guy continues to get jobs in Major

635
00:32:37,480 --> 00:32:44,000
League Baseball despite eleven seasons. He's forty four and seventy seven. Granted,

636
00:32:44,240 --> 00:32:46,200
wins losses don't mean that much, but he's got a

637
00:32:46,240 --> 00:32:50,880
four point seventy four career ERA this year has expected

638
00:32:50,920 --> 00:32:55,599
ara seven point two three. He's just not a good pitcher,

639
00:32:56,359 --> 00:32:58,799
and he's got a good plass ball veloscily that's it.

640
00:32:58,960 --> 00:33:02,279
But that's the He throws that the least amount of

641
00:33:02,279 --> 00:33:06,240
his four pitches, so his basketball velocity's better league gaverage.

642
00:33:06,240 --> 00:33:09,920
But yet he doesn't throw it enough only thirteen percent

643
00:33:09,920 --> 00:33:12,240
of the time he doesn't have. His other pitches aren't

644
00:33:12,319 --> 00:33:15,279
very good. A lot of blue on a stat cast page.

645
00:33:16,319 --> 00:33:21,440
I think the A's are going to have some success here.

646
00:33:21,599 --> 00:33:27,440
The problem is, I am not so sure it's gonna

647
00:33:27,440 --> 00:33:30,160
go over this number. We're looking at a total of

648
00:33:30,839 --> 00:33:33,680
you know, nine and a half, slightly to the under.

649
00:33:35,440 --> 00:33:38,599
I do like the ace to score. Let's take a

650
00:33:38,599 --> 00:33:41,759
look at this team total. Here, we're looking at the

651
00:33:41,759 --> 00:33:43,880
A's team totally gotta score five runs for you to

652
00:33:43,880 --> 00:33:46,440
get a winner, and you gotta lay maybe one twenty

653
00:33:46,480 --> 00:33:49,480
five here. So can they score five runs in Minnesota

654
00:33:49,720 --> 00:33:53,319
against You're probably, but that would probably be the way

655
00:33:53,359 --> 00:33:59,279
I would look at this. Yeah, I don't have anything

656
00:33:59,480 --> 00:34:03,000
in disagree with the A's, but I think the offense

657
00:34:03,079 --> 00:34:07,440
will do better than the number. Slightly over here with

658
00:34:07,480 --> 00:34:09,159
the five is what I would go with.

659
00:34:11,199 --> 00:34:14,159
Speaker 4: Guys. I've released my MLB play for the day, and

660
00:34:14,199 --> 00:34:17,239
I'm sure these two guys will have something up as well.

661
00:34:17,320 --> 00:34:19,719
Go to wager talk dot com and see what we have.

662
00:34:19,960 --> 00:34:21,960
Take the ten seconds to go to our pages and

663
00:34:22,000 --> 00:34:26,280
see what free plays we're offering today. Leave a comment

664
00:34:26,360 --> 00:34:28,880
on the replay of this too. We will engage with you,

665
00:34:29,039 --> 00:34:31,000
and it's always fun because you guys are the most

666
00:34:31,000 --> 00:34:33,960
knowledgeable audience of probably any wager Talk show that I've

667
00:34:34,000 --> 00:34:37,880
ever seen. Regarding this game, I love the A's. Actually

668
00:34:39,159 --> 00:34:42,039
Perkins is I don't know a lot about it, but

669
00:34:42,199 --> 00:34:43,880
I looked at his tatts and he seems to be

670
00:34:43,920 --> 00:34:50,800
pitching well. My numbers say he's mediocre, So mediocre, I'll

671
00:34:50,840 --> 00:34:55,320
take mediocre any day over a Jose Arena. The A's

672
00:34:55,360 --> 00:34:57,880
have the number four bullpen and the number three lineup

673
00:34:58,079 --> 00:35:03,400
in MLB in current form. That's pretty impressive. You know,

674
00:35:04,360 --> 00:35:06,599
I focus a lot of my numbers on current forms,

675
00:35:06,639 --> 00:35:09,920
so some of the numbers may be skewed. With one

676
00:35:10,000 --> 00:35:12,159
blow up game, if they score twelve runs in a

677
00:35:12,199 --> 00:35:14,239
game or something, so it'll skew it a little bit,

678
00:35:14,320 --> 00:35:18,079
but there's no doubt that the A's lineup is power packed,

679
00:35:18,199 --> 00:35:20,760
and they have a lot of young guys and they're

680
00:35:20,800 --> 00:35:25,599
an exciting team. And the bullpen surprisingly is performing well,

681
00:35:25,639 --> 00:35:29,159
which has been this ball club's achilles heel in years past.

682
00:35:29,320 --> 00:35:32,480
So I think the A's are firing on all cylinders

683
00:35:32,559 --> 00:35:36,039
right now, and if Perkins can be average, I think

684
00:35:36,119 --> 00:35:40,119
average will be good enough against a Minnesota Twins team

685
00:35:40,119 --> 00:35:43,360
that traded forty percent of their roster at the break.

686
00:35:44,119 --> 00:35:46,239
I love the A's in this situation. I haven't played

687
00:35:46,239 --> 00:35:49,239
it yet, but I think I might. I forgot why

688
00:35:49,360 --> 00:35:52,400
I didn't play it. It's only minus one twenty five.

689
00:35:52,400 --> 00:35:55,079
It was a good number. I think I think you'd

690
00:35:55,159 --> 00:35:58,119
be I mean, I might make this a play after

691
00:35:58,159 --> 00:36:01,719
the show.

692
00:36:00,119 --> 00:36:03,000
Speaker 2: That is that lower? Is A's up to minus win

693
00:36:03,039 --> 00:36:04,519
twenty five or did they? Is it like?

694
00:36:05,000 --> 00:36:07,199
Speaker 3: Actually you can get on it, you get on one

695
00:36:07,239 --> 00:36:10,639
time wow online? But yeah, about.

696
00:36:12,079 --> 00:36:15,519
Speaker 4: Overall the arena. Let me add this, Jose Arena actually

697
00:36:15,599 --> 00:36:19,440
has been pitching well recently, which is probably why when

698
00:36:19,480 --> 00:36:21,760
I looked at this I didn't play it yet. Uh,

699
00:36:22,199 --> 00:36:25,480
but he's awful. I I what he pitched for the

700
00:36:25,519 --> 00:36:30,559
Marlins before. He's he's awful. He's an awful pitcher. I

701
00:36:30,599 --> 00:36:33,880
don't know how he's He must be putting these stringing

702
00:36:34,199 --> 00:36:38,559
decent starts together with like scotch tape and and and

703
00:36:38,719 --> 00:36:41,440
band aids, because uh, he's not a good pitcher.

704
00:36:43,400 --> 00:36:46,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, you know, I did notice that his

705
00:36:46,320 --> 00:36:50,400
his numbers were like somewhat respectable this year.

706
00:36:50,400 --> 00:36:50,960
Speaker 2: I mean, he is.

707
00:36:51,239 --> 00:36:53,400
Speaker 1: He's been on like four different teams already this year.

708
00:36:53,599 --> 00:36:56,079
I'm pretty sure like he was he was up here

709
00:36:56,280 --> 00:36:59,440
in Syracuse in April because I saw him pitch at

710
00:36:59,440 --> 00:37:01,960
a game. I think he ended up in like the

711
00:37:02,000 --> 00:37:05,880
Blue Jays organization. I think this is literally his like

712
00:37:06,119 --> 00:37:09,320
sixth team if you count like Triple A teams and

713
00:37:09,400 --> 00:37:11,320
Major League teams. I think he's been on six different

714
00:37:11,360 --> 00:37:14,440
teams this year, so he's bounced around a ton. He

715
00:37:14,559 --> 00:37:17,679
surprisingly pitched. Okay, the thing is like, I don't I

716
00:37:17,679 --> 00:37:19,920
don't think you're gonna see him go super deep into

717
00:37:19,960 --> 00:37:22,679
the game. And the biggest issue right now, well the

718
00:37:22,679 --> 00:37:25,280
biggest issue for both of these teams, but it's a

719
00:37:25,360 --> 00:37:31,079
huge issue in my opinion for the Twins is their bullpen.

720
00:37:31,360 --> 00:37:34,320
Why they traded their whole bullpen away, So all of

721
00:37:34,360 --> 00:37:38,679
their top bullpen arms were traded away. And you talk

722
00:37:38,760 --> 00:37:41,360
about like, you know, yeah, they were able to survive

723
00:37:41,480 --> 00:37:43,320
last night, but this team doesn't have.

724
00:37:43,280 --> 00:37:45,039
Speaker 2: Really any leverage bullpen arms.

725
00:37:46,199 --> 00:37:48,320
Speaker 1: And even with the A's kind of being in the

726
00:37:48,360 --> 00:37:51,800
same boat, I don't know, I still like, I still

727
00:37:51,840 --> 00:37:54,159
think there's more upside to the arms the A's have,

728
00:37:54,559 --> 00:37:57,320
because they really they really just traded Mason Miller away, right,

729
00:37:57,360 --> 00:37:59,000
like they still have some of those other guys that

730
00:37:59,000 --> 00:38:01,320
have been in the pen have been down there all year.

731
00:38:01,440 --> 00:38:03,360
The other thing I like is the fact that like

732
00:38:03,679 --> 00:38:05,800
Jack Perkins is probably gonna be a pretty good starter

733
00:38:05,840 --> 00:38:08,079
in the big leagues. I mean, he's he's the one

734
00:38:08,079 --> 00:38:11,679
with the upside twenty twenty five stats combined Big Leagues

735
00:38:11,719 --> 00:38:14,599
and Triple A this year, a one point zero two WIP,

736
00:38:15,000 --> 00:38:18,320
sixty eight strikeouts in forty four innings. Pitch like, this

737
00:38:18,400 --> 00:38:24,800
guy is probably the real deal every all of my

738
00:38:25,079 --> 00:38:27,199
I have a couple of buddies that are are big

739
00:38:27,239 --> 00:38:30,079
time A's fans, and they.

740
00:38:29,960 --> 00:38:31,360
Speaker 2: Are high on him.

741
00:38:31,639 --> 00:38:34,400
Speaker 1: They really like Perkins, and you know, he kind of

742
00:38:34,480 --> 00:38:37,920
you know, got bombed. I think it was the Diamondbacks game.

743
00:38:37,920 --> 00:38:41,400
Maybe he didn't pitch particularly well, doesn't have the best

744
00:38:41,519 --> 00:38:44,320
numbers at the big league level yet, but last time

745
00:38:44,360 --> 00:38:47,880
out against the Angels five innings, three runs. The start

746
00:38:47,920 --> 00:38:50,400
before I cashed a ticket with him against the Orioles

747
00:38:50,760 --> 00:38:54,440
six innings, three runs, seven strikeouts. Last time out against

748
00:38:54,480 --> 00:38:57,039
the Angels, I think he's trending in the right direction.

749
00:38:58,280 --> 00:39:01,199
Speaker 2: And this Twins lineup right now is like mostly four

750
00:39:01,239 --> 00:39:02,800
a guys right.

751
00:39:02,679 --> 00:39:04,880
Speaker 1: Like, it's like they don't have a really like much

752
00:39:04,920 --> 00:39:07,599
punch in this lineup either, So I think this is

753
00:39:07,599 --> 00:39:10,159
a decent setup for Perkins. And then you get the A's,

754
00:39:10,320 --> 00:39:12,519
who always seem to play better when they have a

755
00:39:12,559 --> 00:39:15,920
little bit of momentum. That this team is so night

756
00:39:15,920 --> 00:39:18,719
and day. When they're playing bad, it's really bad. When

757
00:39:18,719 --> 00:39:21,760
they're playing good, it tends to be good for like stretches.

758
00:39:22,639 --> 00:39:26,719
And then to wrap it up, they profile better against

759
00:39:26,800 --> 00:39:30,719
right handed pitching. So again, like it's really like the

760
00:39:30,880 --> 00:39:34,719
perfect I feel like mixed to sort of want to

761
00:39:34,760 --> 00:39:37,400
back the A's again, I'll throw that. That'll be my

762
00:39:37,440 --> 00:39:40,440
parlay leg A's money line. What do we say we

763
00:39:40,440 --> 00:39:42,000
can get minus one fifteen.

764
00:39:45,159 --> 00:39:45,320
Speaker 3: Over?

765
00:39:45,440 --> 00:39:49,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I may I may throw that in. Uh,

766
00:39:50,039 --> 00:39:51,880
I may make that a client play too. I'll have

767
00:39:51,920 --> 00:39:53,280
to think about it for a minute, but that is

768
00:39:53,320 --> 00:39:55,440
going to be uh that that's going to be the

769
00:39:55,440 --> 00:39:57,639
parlay leg So we act this might be a record.

770
00:39:58,519 --> 00:40:00,239
Speaker 2: We have already locked the parlor.

771
00:40:00,440 --> 00:40:04,639
Speaker 1: In when twenty minutes to spare, So yeah, well, I'll

772
00:40:04,639 --> 00:40:05,960
read it and then I'll read it again at the

773
00:40:06,000 --> 00:40:08,239
end of the show. We've got Royal's money line as

774
00:40:08,320 --> 00:40:11,840
running line, Dodgers team total under. I'll read it with

775
00:40:12,199 --> 00:40:14,199
the price at the end of the show as well.

776
00:40:14,880 --> 00:40:17,559
But we're not going anywhere. We still have plenty of

777
00:40:17,599 --> 00:40:20,360
show to go. Twenty minutes left.

778
00:40:20,480 --> 00:40:24,320
Speaker 2: Go ahead, Brian, Can I throw a game out there? Absolutely?

779
00:40:24,360 --> 00:40:25,320
What do you want.

780
00:40:25,440 --> 00:40:28,199
Speaker 3: Let's take a look at this Houston Baltimore game. You

781
00:40:28,320 --> 00:40:33,159
got Jason Alexander going against Brandon Young last time, Brandon

782
00:40:33,199 --> 00:40:38,760
Young through the game of his career, and I we

783
00:40:38,840 --> 00:40:42,519
saw the same thing coming out of Cleveland with Williams

784
00:40:43,000 --> 00:40:44,960
the other day through t one hundred and twenty six pitches,

785
00:40:45,039 --> 00:40:47,800
came close to a no hitter and he got bombed.

786
00:40:47,960 --> 00:40:50,719
Just coming out the next game. I have a feeling

787
00:40:51,079 --> 00:40:53,440
Young is a guy I want to go against here.

788
00:40:53,639 --> 00:40:56,960
Jason Alexander is another guy who has been pitching better

789
00:40:57,000 --> 00:41:01,079
than I think he is. The problem is Houston's offense

790
00:41:01,440 --> 00:41:07,400
is dead in the water. They didn't score well again yesterday.

791
00:41:07,440 --> 00:41:09,840
In fact, this is a quick rematch. They just played

792
00:41:10,360 --> 00:41:13,960
at home against Baltimore just about a week ago, and

793
00:41:14,000 --> 00:41:17,440
they played three games against this terrible Baltimore pitching staff,

794
00:41:18,239 --> 00:41:20,599
and they scored a grand total of five runs, including

795
00:41:20,639 --> 00:41:26,199
being shut out twice. So forty five years of doing

796
00:41:26,280 --> 00:41:30,679
this tells me I think this game goes over. But

797
00:41:30,840 --> 00:41:34,159
yet Houston is hitting so bad right now it's hard

798
00:41:34,199 --> 00:41:37,239
to do it. In fact, this game opened up slightly

799
00:41:37,280 --> 00:41:39,440
over to over nine, not you can get eight and

800
00:41:39,519 --> 00:41:42,440
a half. Slightly over on the eight and a half,

801
00:41:43,039 --> 00:41:46,760
I'm going to fade the line move here. I just

802
00:41:47,320 --> 00:41:50,079
you get these feelings. Neither one of these pitchers are

803
00:41:50,159 --> 00:41:55,280
very good, and Baltimore is a good hitting stadium. So

804
00:41:55,400 --> 00:41:57,360
I'm going to play this over eight and a half.

805
00:42:00,800 --> 00:42:05,559
Other than the situation, I don't have the numbers to

806
00:42:05,599 --> 00:42:08,360
do it because Houston just not hitting well. Just got

807
00:42:08,360 --> 00:42:11,400
one of those feelings that they've gone against the pretty

808
00:42:11,400 --> 00:42:13,800
good pitchers in the past and now they get to

809
00:42:13,840 --> 00:42:17,159
go against Young. They just played Baltimore a week ago

810
00:42:17,519 --> 00:42:20,280
and we're embarrassed. I think Houston breaks out of their

811
00:42:20,320 --> 00:42:22,840
slump today and we'll see how it goes the rest

812
00:42:22,880 --> 00:42:25,599
a few days. But I like this game to go over.

813
00:42:27,480 --> 00:42:29,440
Speaker 4: Everyone do us a huge favor and go to the

814
00:42:29,480 --> 00:42:32,480
replay of this and give us a comment. It helps

815
00:42:32,880 --> 00:42:35,960
the algorithm, It helps let Wayja Talk know that you

816
00:42:36,039 --> 00:42:42,039
are interested in our show despite football season starting. Regarding

817
00:42:42,039 --> 00:42:45,440
this game, I completely agree with Brian. When you've done

818
00:42:45,760 --> 00:42:49,679
this for a long time, you notice certain things just

819
00:42:49,800 --> 00:42:52,360
work out for some odd reason, and they work out

820
00:42:52,360 --> 00:42:55,760
that way a lot. When a guy has a no

821
00:42:55,880 --> 00:42:59,519
hitter or close to a no hitter, or pitches like

822
00:42:59,639 --> 00:43:04,519
almost a perfect game or a perfect game, the next start,

823
00:43:04,679 --> 00:43:09,199
he almost always gets bombed. I don't know why, but

824
00:43:09,320 --> 00:43:13,519
it almost always happens. Not like Nolan Ryan, those type

825
00:43:13,559 --> 00:43:17,800
of elite elite pitchers, but I'm talking like modern era pictures,

826
00:43:17,880 --> 00:43:21,000
like maybe since the year two thousand. It always happens,

827
00:43:21,119 --> 00:43:25,159
especially with a with like a virtual no name like

828
00:43:25,480 --> 00:43:27,480
like Young. I don't say he's a no name, but

829
00:43:27,880 --> 00:43:29,519
he's a young guy and not a lot of people.

830
00:43:29,559 --> 00:43:33,199
He's not a household name. So these guys, when they

831
00:43:33,199 --> 00:43:36,880
have a super super game like that, they usually come

832
00:43:36,920 --> 00:43:39,360
back and get bombed. But I totally agree with Brian

833
00:43:39,519 --> 00:43:44,280
again that I don't like the Astros lineup. If this

834
00:43:44,480 --> 00:43:46,679
was any other lineup, if this was a lineup that

835
00:43:46,840 --> 00:43:50,239
ranked in the top ten of Major League Baseball, I

836
00:43:50,280 --> 00:43:52,920
would be all over their team total four and a half,

837
00:43:52,960 --> 00:43:54,760
five and a half. I don't care. Give it to me,

838
00:43:55,199 --> 00:43:58,760
but the Astros are hitting right now. They're hitting thirty

839
00:43:58,960 --> 00:44:02,360
out of thirty team in current form. That's just awful.

840
00:44:02,679 --> 00:44:05,239
I think what they had two games of zero and

841
00:44:05,280 --> 00:44:08,920
then yesterday the day before yesterday they scored one, and

842
00:44:08,960 --> 00:44:11,960
then yesterday they scored two or something like that. I mean,

843
00:44:11,960 --> 00:44:15,119
they scored three runs in four games. That's really pathetic.

844
00:44:15,840 --> 00:44:18,239
So I'm not going to bet it. But if I

845
00:44:18,320 --> 00:44:20,079
were to, that would be the way I would go.

846
00:44:20,159 --> 00:44:24,519
But given the fact that Houston couldn't hit their way

847
00:44:24,519 --> 00:44:26,440
out of a wet paper bag right now, I'll probably

848
00:44:26,440 --> 00:44:27,239
stay away from it.

849
00:44:28,039 --> 00:44:31,920
Speaker 3: I will say that that game that he went eddying

850
00:44:31,960 --> 00:44:35,159
and I just gave up one hit, six strikeouts, no walks,

851
00:44:35,280 --> 00:44:38,320
that was against Houston, So Houston's gotting a chance to

852
00:44:38,320 --> 00:44:44,239
stand twice in what six seven days? I know it.

853
00:44:44,280 --> 00:44:47,159
Houston's offense is really struggling right now. But you've got

854
00:44:47,199 --> 00:44:50,920
to think he can't do that again. We'll see. I

855
00:44:51,639 --> 00:44:53,519
don't know, Like I said, I don't have a lot

856
00:44:53,559 --> 00:44:56,159
of numbers pointing towards it. I've just seen this thing

857
00:44:56,199 --> 00:45:01,039
happen so many times. So yeah, we'll see what happens.

858
00:45:01,039 --> 00:45:02,280
But I think they get to him today.

859
00:45:05,880 --> 00:45:08,400
Speaker 1: Memphis Money says, you can see Adam talk himself into

860
00:45:08,400 --> 00:45:10,880
the age just now. Yeah, that'll happen sometimes and for

861
00:45:11,000 --> 00:45:13,480
my next but for my next trick, watch me talk

862
00:45:13,480 --> 00:45:16,760
myself into the Orioles. You know, I I now I

863
00:45:16,880 --> 00:45:21,320
don't disagree with runs here that that is is it's

864
00:45:21,480 --> 00:45:23,360
probable that there's runs in this one.

865
00:45:23,719 --> 00:45:26,000
Speaker 2: And I don't disagree.

866
00:45:25,760 --> 00:45:30,159
Speaker 1: With and over, but you know, yeah, and I would listen,

867
00:45:30,400 --> 00:45:32,920
are you gonna get eight scoreless from Brandon Young?

868
00:45:32,960 --> 00:45:33,239
Speaker 2: Again?

869
00:45:33,320 --> 00:45:36,679
Speaker 1: Probably not, but listen, he's he was a guy. They

870
00:45:36,679 --> 00:45:40,599
were gonna send him to a ball to work on

871
00:45:40,679 --> 00:45:43,840
some mechanical stuff and then they needed him as part

872
00:45:43,840 --> 00:45:46,920
of a doubleheader, so instant he was. He was optioned

873
00:45:46,920 --> 00:45:50,000
to Aberdeen, which is high a in the Orioles organization.

874
00:45:50,639 --> 00:45:51,880
Speaker 2: Uh, he was set to make a.

875
00:45:51,800 --> 00:45:55,239
Speaker 1: Start and they said, crap, we got rained out doubleheader,

876
00:45:55,320 --> 00:45:56,639
need a twenty seventh man.

877
00:45:56,840 --> 00:45:58,400
Speaker 2: Brandon Young eure up, you're the guy.

878
00:45:58,800 --> 00:45:59,000
Speaker 4: Uh.

879
00:45:59,039 --> 00:46:02,920
Speaker 1: He went out to run on the six innings, two

880
00:46:02,960 --> 00:46:05,360
runs on six hits against the Blue Jays, got to win.

881
00:46:05,880 --> 00:46:09,039
And so right now, if you basically where Baltimore is

882
00:46:09,079 --> 00:46:12,519
at with their rotation, if you do something good, you

883
00:46:12,559 --> 00:46:14,920
get to hang around, like, there's not that many options.

884
00:46:15,000 --> 00:46:16,239
Speaker 2: So you throw a.

885
00:46:16,199 --> 00:46:19,000
Speaker 1: Game like that, and they're like, all right, let's just

886
00:46:19,079 --> 00:46:21,880
let's we'll let you stay around right like. And so

887
00:46:22,199 --> 00:46:25,599
he's I think he's worked through his mechanical stuff. I

888
00:46:25,599 --> 00:46:28,079
still think they worked on his mechanics, but I kind

889
00:46:28,079 --> 00:46:29,800
of think they've just done it at the big league

890
00:46:29,880 --> 00:46:33,320
level because they haven't had the luxury of having someone

891
00:46:33,360 --> 00:46:35,880
else and he was already up, probably didn't want to

892
00:46:35,960 --> 00:46:39,519
use another move, so it was just it made sense

893
00:46:39,559 --> 00:46:42,239
to sort of let him battle through it. So far,

894
00:46:42,760 --> 00:46:45,960
since that day, he has a whip under one like

895
00:46:46,079 --> 00:46:49,000
and his whip in August is one oh two batting

896
00:46:49,039 --> 00:46:53,400
average against. And yeah, his whip since that Blue Jays

897
00:46:53,440 --> 00:46:56,679
game where he was they clearly saw something that they

898
00:46:56,679 --> 00:46:58,880
wanted him to go back to a ball and fix

899
00:46:59,519 --> 00:47:02,960
his whip is under one six since then, and he

900
00:47:03,000 --> 00:47:06,719
goes eight innings of one hit ball against the Astros

901
00:47:06,760 --> 00:47:09,079
last time out. Now, do the Astros maybe have a

902
00:47:09,119 --> 00:47:13,000
little bit of an advantage I guess having just seen him.

903
00:47:13,360 --> 00:47:15,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, I guess they do. But they you know, they're

904
00:47:15,280 --> 00:47:16,320
gonna have to figure it out.

905
00:47:16,400 --> 00:47:19,639
Speaker 1: And the Orioles just saw Jason Alexander, so they have

906
00:47:19,760 --> 00:47:23,679
the same edge. Because Jason Alexander actually pitched pretty well

907
00:47:23,719 --> 00:47:27,119
against the Astros last time around two runs, six innings,

908
00:47:27,159 --> 00:47:30,519
two runs, three hits, six strikeouts, no walk. So the

909
00:47:30,679 --> 00:47:34,159
over makes a ton of sense from that standpoint. But

910
00:47:34,199 --> 00:47:36,280
if I was going to pick a winner here, I'm

911
00:47:36,280 --> 00:47:37,960
gonna go back to the Ools. I'm gonna go back

912
00:47:37,960 --> 00:47:40,639
to what I said earlier this week. I think that

913
00:47:40,679 --> 00:47:43,280
it might be too little, too late, But this team

914
00:47:43,679 --> 00:47:46,199
dug themselves too big of a hole. They're playing their

915
00:47:46,199 --> 00:47:50,480
best ball right now, and they went to Fenway got

916
00:47:50,480 --> 00:47:53,800
two huge wins earlier this week. You know, taking that

917
00:47:53,880 --> 00:47:56,559
two game set, the vibes are high. And what do

918
00:47:56,599 --> 00:47:58,440
I always say about the Orioles. Where do you want

919
00:47:58,440 --> 00:48:00,599
to back the Orioles? You want to back the Orioles

920
00:48:00,679 --> 00:48:03,519
at home where they're playing five hundred ball this season,

921
00:48:03,559 --> 00:48:05,800
as opposed to them being eight games under on the road.

922
00:48:06,039 --> 00:48:08,000
And you want to back them against right handed pitching

923
00:48:08,119 --> 00:48:11,320
because this lineup is so much better against right handed pitching,

924
00:48:11,360 --> 00:48:14,280
and here you get both of them. So listen, the

925
00:48:14,320 --> 00:48:17,320
Orioles are a team that you know they're they're still

926
00:48:17,480 --> 00:48:18,079
they're not going.

927
00:48:18,039 --> 00:48:20,320
Speaker 2: To play their way back in from eight games out.

928
00:48:20,880 --> 00:48:23,400
Speaker 1: But I just think that this team with the younger

929
00:48:23,440 --> 00:48:26,199
guys that were just called up, the Basalos, the Jackson

930
00:48:26,519 --> 00:48:30,119
Dylan Beavers, there's good vibes around this team, and they're

931
00:48:30,159 --> 00:48:32,559
at home and they have a nice setup. Orioles minus

932
00:48:32,599 --> 00:48:35,880
one oh five. Again, I may have just talked myself

933
00:48:35,880 --> 00:48:37,199
into that one as well.

934
00:48:37,239 --> 00:48:37,480
Speaker 2: We're not.

935
00:48:38,039 --> 00:48:39,679
Speaker 1: We'll see how the day goes. That one's a little

936
00:48:39,679 --> 00:48:44,400
bit later, but look at that. We have a Nova

937
00:48:44,599 --> 00:48:48,440
Palette depot new member. Appreciate you guys doing it midshow.

938
00:48:49,159 --> 00:48:53,480
That's huge. Again, I can't stress it enough. The subscribes

939
00:48:53,559 --> 00:48:56,679
to the YouTube channel are huge for us and so

940
00:48:57,000 --> 00:48:59,880
and it's free and it takes two seconds. So if

941
00:48:59,880 --> 00:49:02,480
you can just give us those subscriptions on the YouTube channel,

942
00:49:02,760 --> 00:49:06,000
the bosses are happy and it really helps the show.

943
00:49:06,039 --> 00:49:10,480
We very much appreciate it. We still have time. Let's

944
00:49:10,519 --> 00:49:15,559
get another game in here. Okay, I hate well, let's

945
00:49:15,679 --> 00:49:19,119
let's let's talk about it. Ryan Leonard unfortunately lost with

946
00:49:19,199 --> 00:49:21,719
the Brewers last night. It was a tough loss. I

947
00:49:21,760 --> 00:49:23,559
know you had a big play on them. If you

948
00:49:23,639 --> 00:49:26,639
didn't watch the game, it was, in my opinion, somewhat

949
00:49:26,719 --> 00:49:30,000
unfortunate because someone hit I forget who was at that,

950
00:49:30,199 --> 00:49:33,760
but they hit an absolute laser off Palencia that if

951
00:49:33,760 --> 00:49:36,320
it was hit anywhere else, wins that game for the Bruers.

952
00:49:36,840 --> 00:49:38,840
Speaker 2: And it happened to go right at Nico Horner.

953
00:49:39,159 --> 00:49:41,480
Speaker 1: And if you watch the at least I was watching,

954
00:49:41,519 --> 00:49:45,159
I think the Cubs broadcast Brian, they like kind of

955
00:49:45,320 --> 00:49:47,000
didn't show it till late. I thought it was a

956
00:49:47,079 --> 00:49:49,000
hit like that. I didn't think there was any way

957
00:49:49,480 --> 00:49:51,920
that that ball wasn't a hit, And somehow it was

958
00:49:51,920 --> 00:49:55,119
in his glove and Polentcya is out there like he

959
00:49:55,159 --> 00:49:57,199
won the World Series. Just made a great pitch even

960
00:49:57,239 --> 00:49:59,639
though that was probably one ten off the bat. So

961
00:50:01,159 --> 00:50:03,320
give the Cubs credit where credit is due. They have

962
00:50:03,519 --> 00:50:06,639
battled back. They've taken three straight games in this series.

963
00:50:08,480 --> 00:50:10,119
One more and maybe we have to put them back

964
00:50:10,159 --> 00:50:13,039
in the conversation in the NL Central. But the Brewers

965
00:50:13,079 --> 00:50:15,159
could shut that down today if they can win. How

966
00:50:15,159 --> 00:50:16,920
are you seeing the finale, Cubs, Brewers?

967
00:50:17,320 --> 00:50:20,760
Speaker 3: You know, like you said that, Chicago's still got a

968
00:50:20,800 --> 00:50:23,639
ninety one percent chance to make the playoffs, so I

969
00:50:23,679 --> 00:50:26,480
don't think they'll pass up Milwaukee in the division. But

970
00:50:26,480 --> 00:50:28,639
they are in really good shape to make the playoffs here,

971
00:50:29,559 --> 00:50:35,119
so the urgency is not there for Chicago. The urgency

972
00:50:35,159 --> 00:50:39,000
obviously is not there for Milwaukee. I'm a little bit surprised.

973
00:50:39,039 --> 00:50:42,639
I know, I know the win the park factor today,

974
00:50:42,679 --> 00:50:45,360
the wins blowing in at Wrigley. It should be eighteen

975
00:50:45,360 --> 00:50:48,440
percent less friends than normal, and it is. You know,

976
00:50:48,639 --> 00:50:52,760
it's an afternoon getaway situation. But they brought this line.

977
00:50:52,800 --> 00:50:54,880
It opened to seven, they brought it down to six

978
00:50:54,920 --> 00:50:56,440
and a half. Now six and a half to the over.

979
00:50:57,559 --> 00:51:04,039
But pretty sure in Imanaga, good pictures, but I don't

980
00:51:04,039 --> 00:51:07,639
consider an them asis and you only need seven runs

981
00:51:07,639 --> 00:51:12,639
to go over here. Somewhat interested in that if you're

982
00:51:12,679 --> 00:51:15,800
taking a look at the pictures. Uh Priester three point

983
00:51:15,800 --> 00:51:18,320
four eight e ra A three point eight four expected

984
00:51:18,400 --> 00:51:22,360
one point two four whip. Very he's great in the

985
00:51:22,360 --> 00:51:27,440
ground ball, So there's I can I can virtually say

986
00:51:27,480 --> 00:51:30,280
with a lot of confidence, if you're playing home runs

987
00:51:30,800 --> 00:51:35,000
for any of the the Cubs batters today, I would

988
00:51:35,519 --> 00:51:37,920
not do it because the wind is blowing in and

989
00:51:37,960 --> 00:51:40,960
getting a total of six and a half and priests

990
00:51:41,000 --> 00:51:43,559
in the ninety six percentile and ground ball right. So

991
00:51:43,960 --> 00:51:46,440
if you do have a book that you can bet

992
00:51:46,440 --> 00:51:49,599
against those guys, those are this is probably a good

993
00:51:49,599 --> 00:51:53,800
thing to do. And of course Brandon will always tell

994
00:51:53,840 --> 00:51:57,400
you not to bet home runs over. He's smitted he

995
00:51:57,519 --> 00:52:00,880
said about that that about all year long. He thinks

996
00:52:00,920 --> 00:52:02,840
it's a sucker bat, although other guys have a little

997
00:52:02,840 --> 00:52:06,360
bit of successful with it. But anyway, so priests going

998
00:52:06,639 --> 00:52:10,440
for the visitor we got, Imanaga comes in with a

999
00:52:10,440 --> 00:52:12,639
three point zero sixty or a three point five eight

1000
00:52:12,719 --> 00:52:17,480
expected zero point ninety five whip on the opposite side,

1001
00:52:17,519 --> 00:52:20,119
he's only in the fourth percent in the ground ball right,

1002
00:52:20,159 --> 00:52:22,880
so he can be beat by the long fly, but

1003
00:52:22,960 --> 00:52:25,800
it helps him when the wind blows in. He's in

1004
00:52:25,840 --> 00:52:28,760
the ninety five percent on the walk right. In his

1005
00:52:28,880 --> 00:52:33,480
two seasons in the majors, last year four walks percent

1006
00:52:33,679 --> 00:52:35,800
and this year four point seven. He doesn't put a

1007
00:52:35,800 --> 00:52:37,920
lot of people on base. He's not going to beat

1008
00:52:37,920 --> 00:52:42,320
you with his fastball, only eight percent on the fastball velocity,

1009
00:52:42,440 --> 00:52:44,239
but he does throw it fifty percent of the time.

1010
00:52:44,320 --> 00:52:47,199
That's is a concern for me. And he does it

1011
00:52:47,239 --> 00:52:50,079
two miles an hour lower than the league average. Actually

1012
00:52:50,119 --> 00:52:56,119
a three pitch pit, three pitch pitcher. I'm probably not

1013
00:52:56,159 --> 00:53:00,760
going to get involved here. Overall, it's just smaller card,

1014
00:53:00,840 --> 00:53:04,039
but it's it's interesting that the line has gone down,

1015
00:53:04,039 --> 00:53:05,840
and I think it's all because of the wind blown

1016
00:53:05,880 --> 00:53:08,400
in We'll see what happens. I don't want to play

1017
00:53:08,480 --> 00:53:10,079
under six and a half. I'll tell you that with

1018
00:53:10,280 --> 00:53:11,840
these two guys on the mound, I think they can

1019
00:53:11,880 --> 00:53:12,719
struggle a little bit.

1020
00:53:15,320 --> 00:53:19,280
Speaker 4: I agree with Brian here. I think the Chicago winds

1021
00:53:19,320 --> 00:53:22,599
a little overrated. The fact that they hold the lines

1022
00:53:22,679 --> 00:53:25,480
until they get the weather reports, it's just kind of

1023
00:53:25,519 --> 00:53:28,400
a I don't know. I think it's a little overblown.

1024
00:53:28,480 --> 00:53:34,199
But so maybe you know, they are less home runs,

1025
00:53:34,239 --> 00:53:36,000
but that doesn't mean they're not going to hit a

1026
00:53:36,000 --> 00:53:40,239
lot of singles. And both of these pictures have pretty

1027
00:53:40,360 --> 00:53:43,639
awful numbers against the batters they're facing today in their history,

1028
00:53:43,679 --> 00:53:46,440
they both have ops is over eight point fifty and

1029
00:53:46,519 --> 00:53:51,400
batting average is near three hundred against. So I totally

1030
00:53:51,440 --> 00:53:54,599
agree that we're looking at an over in this one.

1031
00:53:55,400 --> 00:53:59,320
The Cubs have not been hitting lately, and Tucker's not

1032
00:53:59,840 --> 00:54:02,000
was in the lineup yesterday. I think the whole they

1033
00:54:02,079 --> 00:54:06,719
might hold him out again today. Not sure, but Suzuki

1034
00:54:06,840 --> 00:54:11,119
and Crow Armstrong have great numbers against Priester, so I

1035
00:54:11,159 --> 00:54:14,039
don't really care if they hold him out. I think

1036
00:54:14,039 --> 00:54:16,679
the Cubs bounce back a little here. I wouldn't take

1037
00:54:16,719 --> 00:54:19,480
him on the money line, though, maybe an over here

1038
00:54:19,639 --> 00:54:22,280
or a first five over, because both bullpens are performing

1039
00:54:22,360 --> 00:54:26,239
really well, so if you can get a first five

1040
00:54:26,440 --> 00:54:29,480
over three that would be a nice one. It's probably

1041
00:54:29,519 --> 00:54:31,960
three and a half, though I might not do three

1042
00:54:32,000 --> 00:54:34,679
and a half, but I certainly would do three over

1043
00:54:35,000 --> 00:54:37,880
in the first five because both pitchers have pretty bad

1044
00:54:37,960 --> 00:54:39,519
numbers against the batters of facing.

1045
00:54:41,199 --> 00:54:43,679
Speaker 2: Yeah, I can't argue with an over, and I almost

1046
00:54:43,800 --> 00:54:47,760
like i'd prefer the over if the wind is blowing

1047
00:54:47,760 --> 00:54:49,280
in and they're going to give you the discount on

1048
00:54:49,320 --> 00:54:52,000
the number, because I mean.

1049
00:54:52,719 --> 00:54:55,159
Speaker 1: I think you could see some hit strung together off

1050
00:54:55,199 --> 00:54:59,440
Priester Imanaga can get you know, he can give something up.

1051
00:54:59,480 --> 00:55:03,199
But Cobbies might be in trouble late in this game

1052
00:55:03,360 --> 00:55:06,000
with the bullpen arms they've they've really used. And remember

1053
00:55:06,280 --> 00:55:10,800
they want a doubleheader two days ago close and then

1054
00:55:10,960 --> 00:55:14,360
last night leverage innings at the end of that game

1055
00:55:14,440 --> 00:55:17,239
to squeeze out a four to three win. So you

1056
00:55:17,280 --> 00:55:21,039
want to talk about like sort of hidden value like that,

1057
00:55:21,119 --> 00:55:23,920
there could be there could be far more runs late

1058
00:55:24,000 --> 00:55:26,840
in this game than maybe normally would be in a

1059
00:55:26,880 --> 00:55:30,440
Cubs Brewers type game of you know, with I was

1060
00:55:30,480 --> 00:55:34,320
gonna say this magnitude, it's certainly this magnitude for the Cubs.

1061
00:55:34,559 --> 00:55:36,719
I still don't buy that this is like a big

1062
00:55:36,800 --> 00:55:39,559
game for the Brewers. And so that's why I'm like

1063
00:55:39,880 --> 00:55:42,360
not dying to back them as an underdog here, because

1064
00:55:43,119 --> 00:55:45,280
they might just feel like getting out of town even

1065
00:55:45,280 --> 00:55:47,599
if they like, what does this do if the Brewers

1066
00:55:47,639 --> 00:55:49,519
lose this game? Like, what are they still up six

1067
00:55:49,559 --> 00:55:53,719
games in the division. It's really not like a whereas

1068
00:55:53,760 --> 00:55:56,920
like it. I mean, listen, this win for the Cubs

1069
00:55:57,119 --> 00:55:59,320
would would get them back in the mix. Am I

1070
00:55:59,440 --> 00:56:01,880
really like six and a half seems crazy here?

1071
00:56:02,320 --> 00:56:02,639
Speaker 2: Like that.

1072
00:56:02,719 --> 00:56:04,519
Speaker 1: That seems like a crazy like you can get six

1073
00:56:04,519 --> 00:56:07,599
and a half dim I reading that right, six and

1074
00:56:07,639 --> 00:56:09,480
a half minus one twenty on this total.

1075
00:56:10,079 --> 00:56:11,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, and if you take a look at the Cubs.

1076
00:56:11,960 --> 00:56:17,639
You mentioned the Cubs one, two, three, four, five of

1077
00:56:17,719 --> 00:56:22,400
the guys have pitched two of the last three days. Polential,

1078
00:56:22,400 --> 00:56:24,639
it won't be able to be throwing forty five pitches,

1079
00:56:25,119 --> 00:56:29,400
coler thirty four, field bar thirty. They're gonna be hurting

1080
00:56:29,480 --> 00:56:31,719
when it comes. If they're If they're leading this game late,

1081
00:56:31,920 --> 00:56:33,280
Milwaukee will never be out of it.

1082
00:56:35,679 --> 00:56:38,440
Speaker 1: I mean that's insane. Like, first of all, that's not

1083
00:56:38,480 --> 00:56:40,519
gonna be around much longer. Like that, six and a

1084
00:56:40,519 --> 00:56:43,519
half minus one twenty will be seven everywhere soon. There's

1085
00:56:43,559 --> 00:56:46,199
no no way that that lasts till game time.

1086
00:56:46,800 --> 00:56:49,119
Speaker 4: Three game gets you a win, right, a three to

1087
00:56:49,119 --> 00:56:52,440
three game you win? That seems really low. That means

1088
00:56:52,719 --> 00:56:55,679
team totals two and a half over a team total

1089
00:56:55,719 --> 00:56:58,679
for each team. That seems like an easy, easy win,

1090
00:56:58,760 --> 00:56:59,199
doesn't it.

1091
00:56:59,719 --> 00:57:01,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't care if they have fans set up

1092
00:57:01,800 --> 00:57:04,239
in center field blowing the ball in like these are

1093
00:57:04,280 --> 00:57:08,599
good line like these, you have decent hitters, good numbers

1094
00:57:08,599 --> 00:57:12,480
against the opposing pitcher clubs are gonna have no relievers.

1095
00:57:12,519 --> 00:57:14,760
You know, priest are still someone that on a given day,

1096
00:57:14,800 --> 00:57:17,000
can can I feel like get knocked around and im

1097
00:57:17,079 --> 00:57:18,679
Mon Augus shown the ability.

1098
00:57:18,320 --> 00:57:22,360
Speaker 2: To sort of, you know, get knocked around to day. Yeah,

1099
00:57:22,639 --> 00:57:25,119
like three to three being a win here, that is Yeah,

1100
00:57:25,199 --> 00:57:28,519
Mark Kinson, that is way too low. And I'm still

1101
00:57:28,559 --> 00:57:31,159
seeing six and a half minus one twenty in six

1102
00:57:31,199 --> 00:57:33,639
and a half minus one twenty five that at many books,

1103
00:57:33,679 --> 00:57:36,559
I would I would grab that if you if your

1104
00:57:36,599 --> 00:57:39,960
totals better, that's a good bet. In my opinion, I

1105
00:57:40,000 --> 00:57:43,840
think Kyle Tucker has been getting some needed time off.

1106
00:57:43,960 --> 00:57:46,079
Speaker 1: I don't think he's hurt. I think he was sent

1107
00:57:46,159 --> 00:57:48,519
home to chill for a couple of days. Get his

1108
00:57:48,679 --> 00:57:50,159
line right mental.

1109
00:57:50,880 --> 00:57:54,440
Speaker 3: I believe he was hurt. He took a okay, I

1110
00:57:54,480 --> 00:57:56,760
think a bone in his hand or something like that.

1111
00:57:57,079 --> 00:58:00,800
Always goes back to months ago. I think it was

1112
00:58:00,880 --> 00:58:04,000
June or July when it happened, and nobody knew anything

1113
00:58:04,000 --> 00:58:08,280
about it. So that's why he's he's really struggled. If

1114
00:58:08,280 --> 00:58:10,519
you do have a draft games or a fanatics, you

1115
00:58:10,559 --> 00:58:12,760
can get over two and a half team total from

1116
00:58:12,800 --> 00:58:16,599
Milwaukee in the minus one fifty range, which is a

1117
00:58:16,639 --> 00:58:18,760
pretty good bet. Other than that, you'd have to take

1118
00:58:18,800 --> 00:58:23,480
over over three and a half at plus money. So yeah,

1119
00:58:23,480 --> 00:58:25,960
different ways to look at it. And despite the small

1120
00:58:25,960 --> 00:58:28,519
card today, I think there's some betting opportunities out there.

1121
00:58:29,480 --> 00:58:32,159
Speaker 1: I mean, that's like a couple of timely hits. Well

1122
00:58:32,519 --> 00:58:34,440
you know what I mean, Like, what's what's the only

1123
00:58:34,480 --> 00:58:35,400
way you lose that game?

1124
00:58:35,519 --> 00:58:36,039
Speaker 2: Three? Too?

1125
00:58:36,199 --> 00:58:38,800
Speaker 1: Like I said, I feel like the only way two

1126
00:58:39,960 --> 00:58:40,519
go ahead?

1127
00:58:40,880 --> 00:58:41,599
Speaker 4: Sorry, that's it.

1128
00:58:41,679 --> 00:58:42,679
Speaker 2: No, that's all I had to say.

1129
00:58:43,480 --> 00:58:45,480
Speaker 4: Yeah, Like I said, it's a two and a half

1130
00:58:45,599 --> 00:58:48,760
over team total for both teams, seems like you could

1131
00:58:48,760 --> 00:58:48,960
get this.

1132
00:58:49,400 --> 00:58:51,480
Speaker 3: It's three and a half under promost.

1133
00:58:51,599 --> 00:58:53,760
Speaker 4: No, No, what I mean is what I mean is basically

1134
00:58:53,800 --> 00:58:57,119
you're betting both teams to score three, which is over

1135
00:58:57,159 --> 00:59:00,199
two and a half. Seems like it could get there,

1136
00:59:01,760 --> 00:59:04,800
oh like a team total. Yeah, what I mean is

1137
00:59:04,840 --> 00:59:08,559
it's the same thing as both teams getting over two

1138
00:59:08,599 --> 00:59:10,079
and a half runs a three to three game, you

1139
00:59:10,119 --> 00:59:10,960
win your bad, right.

1140
00:59:11,039 --> 00:59:13,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, but you got to have both teams to do that.

1141
00:59:14,000 --> 00:59:17,079
Speaker 4: Yeah, right, But I would bet two and a half

1142
00:59:17,119 --> 00:59:19,079
over for either one of those teams, right.

1143
00:59:19,519 --> 00:59:21,639
Speaker 1: Yeah, And I don't think I don't think you're gonna

1144
00:59:21,679 --> 00:59:25,199
like need necessarily need both teams to get the three,

1145
00:59:25,239 --> 00:59:27,400
Like why why did why do we think priest Or

1146
00:59:27,519 --> 00:59:30,280
can't get slammed? Or why do we think Imaga can't

1147
00:59:30,280 --> 00:59:33,320
get knocked around by a Blue Brewers lineup that's knocked

1148
00:59:33,320 --> 00:59:36,239
pretty much anyone they've wanted around this season. Like, I

1149
00:59:36,239 --> 00:59:38,719
know they haven't had the best sort of last couple

1150
00:59:38,719 --> 00:59:43,360
of days, but I doesn't overpower anyone, so.

1151
00:59:43,320 --> 00:59:46,480
Speaker 4: If they've not leave around in his past right exactly.

1152
00:59:47,039 --> 00:59:49,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, very interesting game. I couldn't believe. I'm not a

1153
00:59:49,480 --> 00:59:52,199
I'm not a huge totals better, but that line being

1154
00:59:52,239 --> 00:59:52,519
six and.

1155
00:59:52,519 --> 00:59:55,679
Speaker 4: A half seems very very I mean, you don't need

1156
00:59:55,719 --> 00:59:58,159
home runs to score runs. You can. You can hit

1157
00:59:58,239 --> 01:00:02,000
a lot of singles and doubles with with wind blowing anywhere.

1158
01:00:02,480 --> 01:00:05,639
Speaker 3: So an actuality on that website I use, which is

1159
01:00:06,239 --> 01:00:10,679
a ballpark Pale, they've got singles right on average it's

1160
01:00:10,800 --> 01:00:14,679
zero percent, So really there, it's the home runs with

1161
01:00:14,719 --> 01:00:16,639
the wind blown in is going to be the factor.

1162
01:00:17,119 --> 01:00:20,679
But uh, you know, look look for look for maybe

1163
01:00:20,920 --> 01:00:24,599
maybe hits over or something. I know they have things

1164
01:00:24,639 --> 01:00:26,039
like that out there for a lot of you guys

1165
01:00:26,039 --> 01:00:29,000
that are able to play those in the offshore market.

1166
01:00:29,559 --> 01:00:32,079
Speaker 1: It's not like the Brewers are a home runner lion team.

1167
01:00:32,119 --> 01:00:34,440
They're They're one of the best base stealing teams in

1168
01:00:34,480 --> 01:00:37,199
the league. They do they do it in other ways

1169
01:00:37,239 --> 01:00:38,719
as good as any team in the league. That's a

1170
01:00:38,960 --> 01:00:41,679
It's a really interesting game that'll be fun to watch

1171
01:00:41,719 --> 01:00:42,440
and track.

1172
01:00:42,480 --> 01:00:42,880
Speaker 2: Today.

1173
01:00:43,480 --> 01:00:46,440
Speaker 1: Jack Barco says, can we talk about why the Twins

1174
01:00:46,440 --> 01:00:49,760
have not brought Mick up? That's insane to me, and

1175
01:00:49,880 --> 01:00:51,280
we're not going to talk about it because we're at

1176
01:00:51,320 --> 01:00:53,079
the end of the show, but I will sort of

1177
01:00:53,119 --> 01:00:55,920
talk about it very quickly when I recap the parlay

1178
01:00:56,039 --> 01:00:58,000
because one of the reasons my leg is the A's

1179
01:00:58,239 --> 01:00:59,960
is I just and it goes back to a Brian

1180
01:01:00,039 --> 01:01:03,159
and said, I just don't think the Twins organization is

1181
01:01:03,239 --> 01:01:06,480
prioritizing winning at this point. And so for that reason

1182
01:01:06,960 --> 01:01:09,440
and all the reasons I mentioned earlier. So if you

1183
01:01:09,480 --> 01:01:11,639
missed it and you're tuning in late, going over to

1184
01:01:11,639 --> 01:01:13,880
the YouTube and you can watch the entire show on

1185
01:01:13,960 --> 01:01:16,440
demand where all three of us went in depth in

1186
01:01:16,480 --> 01:01:19,920
this game. That's why the A's is my parlay league

1187
01:01:20,280 --> 01:01:23,639
and Tokyo Brandon went with the Royals minus one point fifteen,

1188
01:01:24,400 --> 01:01:28,239
and then we've got Brian Leonard Dodgers team total under

1189
01:01:28,559 --> 01:01:32,000
seven and a half. So let me run that quickly,

1190
01:01:32,239 --> 01:01:36,239
and you should have already had this done. It looks

1191
01:01:36,320 --> 01:01:40,199
like we are let's see, looks like that's about plus

1192
01:01:40,280 --> 01:01:44,119
five thirty. So plus five thirty we hit our parlay

1193
01:01:44,360 --> 01:01:48,840
on Monday. We are now still clinging to up three

1194
01:01:48,880 --> 01:01:51,719
point three six units on the season. So if you

1195
01:01:51,760 --> 01:01:54,800
were to play these equally since we started doing these

1196
01:01:54,880 --> 01:01:58,519
way back in April, you'd be up three dollars and

1197
01:01:58,599 --> 01:02:01,239
thirty six cents for every dollar. Listen, the fact that

1198
01:02:01,239 --> 01:02:03,880
we're putting out two or three teamers every day and

1199
01:02:03,920 --> 01:02:04,760
we're still ahead.

1200
01:02:05,239 --> 01:02:06,440
Speaker 2: I think that's pretty impressive.

1201
01:02:06,440 --> 01:02:08,920
Speaker 1: Hopefully we can run it up a little bit more,

1202
01:02:09,000 --> 01:02:10,480
but I think it's pretty impressive.

1203
01:02:10,480 --> 01:02:11,800
Speaker 2: We're still ahead. There, go ahead, Brian.

1204
01:02:12,360 --> 01:02:13,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, I just want to get this in. I read

1205
01:02:13,920 --> 01:02:16,400
this right before we did the show today. If you're

1206
01:02:16,440 --> 01:02:20,519
a Pirates fan, the good news is Bubba Chandler is

1207
01:02:20,559 --> 01:02:23,280
coming up to the major leagues. The bad news is

1208
01:02:23,320 --> 01:02:26,280
they're going to put him in a bulk relief for all. Yeah,

1209
01:02:26,440 --> 01:02:29,039
that's what they's what they the Pirates would.

1210
01:02:28,800 --> 01:02:31,039
Speaker 2: Do bad news for Trigg though.

1211
01:02:31,400 --> 01:02:33,320
Speaker 1: I was all set to go see him pitch this

1212
01:02:33,440 --> 01:02:37,239
week in Syracuse and I thought, I thought I was

1213
01:02:37,280 --> 01:02:40,559
gonna get Chandler versus Tong in the same game, and

1214
01:02:40,840 --> 01:02:41,440
I was very.

1215
01:02:41,400 --> 01:02:44,079
Speaker 2: Excited about that. And Bubba Chandler gets called up.

1216
01:02:44,719 --> 01:02:46,800
Speaker 1: But they you know what it It kind of worked

1217
01:02:46,800 --> 01:02:50,559
for Brax and Ashcraft, so maybe they're just like.

1218
01:02:49,880 --> 01:02:52,280
Speaker 2: Like I think he's I think he benefited from some

1219
01:02:52,320 --> 01:02:54,239
time in the bullpen, so maybe there's something to that.

1220
01:02:54,920 --> 01:02:57,760
Speaker 1: But yeah, I was a little disappointed when they did

1221
01:02:57,760 --> 01:02:59,679
it this week because I would have gone and seen

1222
01:02:59,719 --> 01:03:02,239
him pitch. But I will get to see tog on Saturday,

1223
01:03:02,280 --> 01:03:06,880
so looking forward to that for sure. One more time

1224
01:03:06,960 --> 01:03:09,840
before we sign off, give us the likes and subscribes

1225
01:03:09,840 --> 01:03:15,000
on the YouTube replay. It really really does help plays

1226
01:03:15,079 --> 01:03:16,679
up on all of our pages and the parlay.

1227
01:03:16,719 --> 01:03:17,440
Speaker 2: One final time.

1228
01:03:17,480 --> 01:03:20,679
Speaker 1: Brian Leonard Dodgers team total under seven and a half

1229
01:03:21,119 --> 01:03:24,440
Tokyo Brandon's on Royals minus one fifteen and I'm gonna

1230
01:03:24,440 --> 01:03:27,840
go A's minus one fifteen. That's plus five thirty. Hopefully

1231
01:03:27,920 --> 01:03:30,679
it's a winner either way. We'll see you in the morning.

1232
01:03:30,920 --> 01:03:33,920
We'll be back tomorrow nine am Eastern for more total basis.

1233
01:03:34,079 --> 01:03:36,239
Have a great day everyone, Cash all your tickets and

1234
01:03:36,480 --> 01:03:37,559
we'll see you guys in the morning.