Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It's time for Total Bases Thursday morning.
This is your Major League Baseball. I've been calling it
Free Pick Show, but it really is like the Deep
Dive show where we're going to really get into like
six or seven games on the slate, but we are
going to give out some free picks for the for
the people that are like, where are the picks. We
always give a couple out and you know, we'll see
what we'll see what comes about. But uh, it is
Yankees Red Sox rivalry Day and Brian Leonard, it's kind
of as high as the stakes have been in this rivalry.
Speaker 2: In a minute, I would say.
Speaker 1: You know, both teams are right in the mix there
really battling out for a wild card spot because I
don't think either are going to catch the Blue Jays.
That's just my opinion. So, Yankees Red Sox start of
a four game set. How are you seeing this one tonight?
Speaker 3: Yeah, yesterday we mentioned that a lot of teams would
be off today, so it was a getaway day. There's
still a couple of getaway day games today, but this
isn't one of them. Lucas joll Leido on amount here
for Boston. Luis Heel going for the Yankees, yank it's
about a looking about a one forty five favorite eight
to the slightly over in this one, which looks like
to me a little bit low if you ask me
when it comes to the totals, because we've had a
lot of shootouts between Boston the Yankees in the past,
and the Yankees are hitting really well right now. Giolito
going for Boston comes in with a three point sixty
three ERA, but his expected ERA is a whopping five
point twenty seven. A lot of negative regression on the
way for Gilito one point twenty five whip and if
you take a look at his setcast page, the only
thing he's really good on is his extension seventy eight
percent six point six makes a lot of sense, but
he's got a lot of weakness in his game this year,
and I think the Yankees could get to him. Expected
DRA twelve percent ile expected bat and you average thirteenth
jags velosity every jacks at velocity fifteenth parrel right twenty second.
He only throws four pitches and he throws the curve
of four percent, so with a four singer of fifty
percent when he's less than league average in that regard
and only throwing three pitches. This is the Yankees team
that I think he's going to get to him a
little bit here. Also, Luis gil Heel, excuse me, five
point one four ERA, five point one six expected one
point sixty four whip. That's been his problems in his career.
In four seasons he got one point twenty six whip.
But this year it's bad. It was bad in twenty
twenty two in a small sample size. Also by twenty
twenty four, uh, he got it down to one nineteen.
His basketball velocity eighty first percentile extension eighty eighth percentile
very good in those and those, but once again he
only he's only a three pitch pitcher. I was four
seen forty four percent of the time. But he does
throw it a nice mile per hour of ninety six
point two. Two guys with limited repertoires here going against
two good hitting teams. Although the Red Sox aren't quite
as hot as the Yankees are right now. If you
take a look at the the last two weeks in
WRC plus, we've got the Yankees third at one thirty
seven and Boston struggling a little bit at eighty eight,
but this is one of the weaker pitchers that Boston's face.
I like the over here getting this at eight, and
it's not a getaway game. We talked about that yesterday
and that that was the one winner. I had three plays,
a lost. The Brewers give up four hits in the
game and lost and left the bases loaded. Kansas City
fell apart in extra innings. But I did have that
easy under in the Atlanta game, and I talked about it.
When the teams score a lot of runs. I see
it all the time, been around a long time. I
should have made that one a higher price than a
rated play, as I did. But this one here, I
think Boston, New York over is a pretty good bet here.
Speaker 4: Yeah, what a weird day yesterday. I mean, if you
had the Pirates and Rockies in a parlay, it was
probably like plus one thousand. How many times are those
guys going to beat the Blue Jays and Dodgers on
the same day. It was just a weird day. A
lot of a lot of big favorites lost. The Brewers lost,
the Royals lost, and they were all, well, the Royals
weren't big favorites. But just a weird day. And this
is gonna happen. When you have one hundred and sixty
two or one hundred and sixty five games season with
a bunch of teams playing, You're gonna have these weird games,
weird days, And yesterday was an anomaly. So let's get
back on track today. It wasn't a good day for
me either. So how do I break this game down?
I have the Yankees pretty much better than Boston at
almost everything, which I'm kind of surprised because they're the
worst defensive team probably in all of Major League Baseball.
But I do have them hitting a lot better. I
actually have the Yankees hitting number two in MLB in
current form, where I have the Red Sox twenty one.
Big discrepancy there, and Bullpen got the Yankees ten Boston seventeen.
The only thing I don't have the Yankees better than
Boston at is starting pitcher. But I got g Alito
on a curve of thirty ranked eighteen and heel ranked twenty,
so they're pretty close. So how do they perform against
the batters they're facing today? Throughout their career, gi Alito
a two fifty six average against and a seven to
fifty five ops. Not terrible but not great. But heel
twenty eight at bats against these Boston batters one hundred
and forty three average with a three forty three o PS.
That's like unreal. So I, given the fact that the
bullpen and the hitting is better for the Yankees, I
will go with the Yankees here. I haven't made it
an official play yet. And you know what even backs
is even better is the Yankees are a great home
team and Boston's not so great on the road. They
have a new using records, So yeah, I think I
think the Yankees can do it. It's minus one sixty
where I'm seeing it a little steep. You could take
a minus one and knock about thirty cents off that price.
Get the Yankees for like minus one thirty on a
minus one. I think that's a good play.
Speaker 1: Yeah, not surprising to me that the Yankees took some money.
They've now won five straight, seven of their last eight.
They're they're kind of rolling. I grew up in so
all my friends are Yankees fans for the most part.
All all the Sianna guys are from down near the city,
and the majority of them are Yankee fans, and I
can always tell when this team's gonna get like unnecessarily hot,
because you gotta like if you're not if you didn't
grow up in New York or with Yankee fans, you
can't understand like the irrational confidence that that a Yankee
fan has.
Speaker 2: But then it happens, which is the most annoying part.
Speaker 1: Like like once they get going and you go go
back to any year. Once the Yankees get a little
juice and get going on a run like this, it's it.
They're hard to stop, they get the timely hit. It's
just I just I know what's coming. They'll probably have
a really good weekend this weekend because if I remember correctly,
and someone can can check me on this, because I
don't have it in front of me, that the Red
Sox played pretty well in this series the previous two.
I know that the Red Sox went in the Yankee
Stadium when their season was like on the ropes, it
looked like it was about to be over, and took
two of three. That was basically the turning point in
the Red Sox season. They called up Rome and Anthony
like a couple days later, and that was a huge
result for them, So you know the Yankees, remember that
they're I mean, these two teams are essentially they could
both make the playoffs, but they're gonna be battling it
out for a wild card spot.
Speaker 2: So yeah, it's a huge series.
Speaker 1: And listen, like the Red Sox kind of lost their
momentum a little bit. I think they might have been
looking ahead a little bit, but to lose to the
Orioles and to lose in the fashion they did basis
loaded no outs, couldn't get it done, lose the game
in extra innings. I think they had a chance again
and grounded into a double play. I don't know if
the Red Sox with Giolito get off the mat here,
especially with gi Alito, because he's kind of the one
guy in this rotation that I really don't trust at all.
Speaker 2: We talk about the stat cast page a lot of blue.
Speaker 1: I really can't quite fathom how he went on the
run he did prior to the All Star break, and
his full season numbers are good. But he's someone that
I'm fine playing against. I know he had the good
outing against the Marlins last time. Remember that's a Marlins
team now down Kyle Stowers, so that lineup's not gonna
pack as big of a punch anymore. Prior to that
knocked around by the Padres, he sprinkled into really good outings.
But this Yankee lineup is hitting right now and it's
in the Bronx not going to not an easy sort
of task for a guy like ge Alito, in my opinion,
and then he'll know he's someone that can he comes
back from injury. I don't think we've really seen a
full like like he's gonna build to probably being his
best self. And last time out at Cardinals five and
a third, one run on four hits, I thought he
looked pretty good. So I'm kind of with you guys.
I think the Yankees are the right side here TV
and then also Brian, I wouldn't be surprised to see
runs in this game because both of these pitchers are
certainly vulnerable, and I think especially the Yankees, I feel
like very capable of the timely hit right now. This
has one where I like, if the Red Sox are
up like four to three, like you can like rest
assured that some someone's getting a timely hit, because that's
just how it goes when the Yankees are playing well,
Ethan says, you're right, Adam. Red Sox are five and
one first. The Yanks this season drop game one in
New York, took games two and three, and then swept
them a week later. Yeah, so the Red Sox and
and mind you, the Red Sox needed those games. Those
were huge games for the Red Sox at the time
because they were like in danger of being like ten
games under five hundred. So don't well, the Yankees did not,
will not forget that. I think you're gonna get a
big time effort from a team that's got all the
momentum right now.
Speaker 2: So yeah, I'm with you guys on I like the Yanks.
Speaker 1: All right, let's move on, let's move on to uh,
I guess we gotta let's let's talk this game for
a second, because there's some interesting stuff going on here.
So a couple of people got burned on the Dodgers yesterday.
Speaker 2: Yeah that was I.
Speaker 1: Wasn't expecting that the Rockies got him not only once,
but twice in this series, Brian Leonard. And now it
looks like shoe Hey Otani is out of the lineup today,
so it's like we've got to get away day out
and cours Chase Dolander's kind of the one guy that
I feel like has a little bit of upside when
you're talking about Rockies pitchers where he might not be
a total like grease.
Speaker 2: Fire like the rest of the rotation. But it's Clayton Kershaw.
Speaker 1: Who's it's Clayton Kershaw who's been kind of good, kind
very good. I think he's been very good all things considered,
for where he was supposed to be this year. So
Dodgers Rockies Game four of four? Can the Rockies steal
another one at Coursefield today?
Speaker 2: Brian, I am.
Speaker 3: Going to make this game part of this game my
parley piece for today, Dodgers Kershaw going against Orlander. A
lot of money's come in on Colorado here because of
the situation. Right now, you're getting Kershaw probably about a
two forty favorite with a total of twelve. This is
a getaway game. And talked about this yesterday and we've
already established that the Dodgers are going to get up
for division rivals that are competitive. They got to fly
back to LA and they host the Padres again, So
this is a meaningless game for them. I know they
lost two out of three here in Colorado, but they
have to score eight runs to go over their team
total eight runs in this game, in a game that's
a getaway game, and they've got to fly back home
to play San Diego. I don't see that happening, especially
without their best player, the best hitter who's out of
the lineup. That's going to be my best bet. Here.
We're looking at the team total, excuse me, not the
team total. Yes, the team total on the Dodgers under
seven and a half. You can get anywhere from minus
one nineteen to minus one pint thirty five, but basically
it's about one to twenty seven. So I'm gonna play
that the La Dodgers team total under seven and a
half minus won twenty seven, meaning they've got to score
eight runs to lose that game. I don't think it's
gonna happen, even in Colorado. And so that's my play
on this one. And on a day that we've got
a limited amount of games, I'm gonna get that up.
That one I had circle coming in, So we'll see
how that one goes. It's ex of balls to play
the Dodgers lineup under in in Colorado. Keep in mind
months he's still out of the lineup and without their
best hitter and one of the best hitters in baseball?
Speaker 4: Yeah, who would have thought a team total of seven
and a half? That's that's pretty unreal. I mean, Freddy
Freeman and Nuki Bets are gonna have to hit a
lot to Askar Hernandez hasn't quite been the same guy
as last year since the beginning of the season, and
Comforto invisible. You know, they're bringing up They got some
young guys in their lineup that we haven't really heard
much of, and they're starting to play them because the
Dodgers have the worst manager in baseball and they probably
feel like they're in the playoffs no matter what, So
why not just let some guys get some at bats? Right? Yeah,
I couldn't argue with that, that seven and a half under.
Here's an interesting stat. Clayton Kershaw has amazing numbers against
the Colorado Rockies, a one ninety three average against and
a five forty oh ps. But not all of those
numbers were accumulated in that monkey ballpark. And you know,
he's not the same picture he was when he put
probably most of those career numbers up. He's always been
one of those amazing regular season guys. And he's not
that anymore. He's an innings Zeter though he's a he's
a respectable inning Zeter, a lot like Louis Castillo, and
you know he's got respectable numbers. I think man though, Adam,
that young guy, that warmer guy for Colorado. Man, he's
he's he's electric, he's fun to watch. Man. They got
some good talent on in that lineup. I hate to
say it, I'm not touching this game with a ten
foot poll. I have no idea what to expect. The
Rockies have the better bullpen, and the Rockies are hting better.
Plus the Dodgers are lose, are missing the best one
of the either number one or number two best hitter
in all of baseball. So yeah, I'm staying way away
from this.
Speaker 2: I agree with Brian.
Speaker 1: I would I would be inclined to find a way
to back the Rockies here.
Speaker 2: I don't know if it's like the alternate line.
Speaker 1: Maybe you can find a two or a two and
a half, take the plus money with the plus one
and a half, or just play Brian's under team total.
Because you know, Sean in the in the chat, he
basically was like, why why would you want to play
the Dodgers right now? And I agree with that they're
not playing well. They they they haven't played well all series.
They have they they really have a huge series coming up.
So it is a getaway type day where historically this
would not be a spot where you would probably get
their best effort, and at least for the Rockies, so
you know, they're a young teams. So I've kind of
talked about this with some of the other teams. When
you get these young teams that don't know better and
they play one good game, or in this case for
the Rockies, couple good games, they start to believe a
little bit they're not. They don't know that they're bad,
right because a lot of these guys have just come
up through the miners and they're just they're just happy
to be playing big league ball. Warming Bernabelt is the
gentleman that Tokyo brand in reference. He's just a he's awesome,
like he's gonna end up being a good player, but
he hasn't been around for all the losing, and a
lot of them haven't. So it's like it's just a
different attitude than a team of guys that have just
been getting their teeth kicked in all year, right, Like
a lot of these guys just came up. They're thrilled
to be Like, how excited do you think some of
those guys are getting their first, you know, one of
their first cracks at the Dodgers. Like, that's gotta be
fun for them. All the energy is gonna be on
the Rocky side. Then you talk about a guy like
Chase Dollanders. So I think what will be the key
to Brian's under I mean, this is a former first rounder,
this was a ninth overall pick in twenty twenty three.
He's not I mean, it's not his fault that the
Rockies drafted him and are doing their best to ruin him.
That's not his fault, right, Like, he's still a guy
that came in with the the big time skill set,
first round pick, and you know, you look at he's throwing.
You know, he throws a ninety eight mile an hour fastball.
He's going to have to figure out the problem with
him is like the curve ball doesn't probably doesn't do
what he expects it to do at altitude, and he's
got to figure out whether his pitch mix is He's
also got a command better he's he's been. He's been
all over the place, and that's why he's gotten sent
down at times. I don't think they're sending him down
because they don't think he's like MLB caliber or MLB ready.
They're sending him down because he goes through stretches where
he doesn't throw strikes. But this is I think the
third time he's been called up this year pretty much
at this point, that's probably going to start to improve.
And like, I mean, stick listen. If you can throw
ninety eight with movement and it's a decent bastball, you're
gonna at least like go look at Brandon Fott yesterday,
like or his whole career, like, you can hang around
as a starter in the big leagues. So where he's
getting priced at this point, I feel like they're pricing
him like the other bums in this Rockies rotation. The
sensateela is the Yeah, I know Tanner Gordon pitched okay yesterday,
but I think that was more on the Dodgers. You know, Gomber,
those are not really big league guys. Chase Dollander is
very likely a MLB pitcher, like even if he doesn't
end up being that in Colorado. Like this guy is
a is a major leaguer. He's got the sort of
upside of being like a top, you know, like it
like someone that ends up in a rotation for a
long time. So I think you can bet on the
Dollander upside. And for that reason, I'm just gonna I
guess I'll echo Brian sentiment on that under because I
wouldn't be surprised to be pitched well. And I also
wouldn't be surprised Sean. Yeah, why do keep people keep
betting the Dodgers.
Speaker 2: I don't know.
Speaker 1: I'd probably run it back with the Rockies, especially if
you've been playing the Rockies all series. No reason to
try to reinvent the wheel at this point. So yeah,
I'm kind of kind of with you guys there. All right,
let's talk about this one. Markinson says, Royals had you know,
that was a tough one. Felt like the Royals had
it when even when it was tied, it did feel
like the Royals were gonna get it done.
Speaker 2: You know.
Speaker 1: I know they had five straight wins, but man, did
they need that game in terms of getting back in
the mix in that or staying in the mix in
that wild card race. But they get another chance today
day game Today. Two of our favorite guys on the
show here, Brian Leonard, it's Patrick Corbyn Michael Lorenzen. Royal's
a slight favorite. Are you running it back with Kansas
City here?
Speaker 3: I think I may be. I think there's some value
here on Kansas City. You know, the Royals are now
in second place, they've passed up Cleveland their second place
in the division. They still think they can make the playoffs.
I believe they have about a twenty percent chance of
making the playoffs at this point. Just about everybody's lot in.
There's like one spot available in each league. But uh,
they're they're a team that if you remember, they've had
some success in the past getting to the playoffs on
teams we didn't expect to be that good and they've
had They've done very well. Corbyn going for Texas against
Lorenzen not the two best pitchers we could look to
play on. But Corbyn. The longer this season goes, the
closer his number gets to where it was the last
couple of years. He looked really good coming over, uh
to this team. But he still comes in with a
four point four five e r a four point five
too expected one point three to eight whip. His his
stack gass pages a little bit better. He's turning out
to be about an average pitcher this year. He does
throw three pitches the majority of the time, his slider,
his sinker, and his cutter. But he's he's been pretty good,
but he's not as good as he was earlier in
this season. Michael Lorenzen is a guy who's an innings eater.
We talked about the all the time. Comes out with
a four point four to three ERA four point two
six expected one point three to zero whip in his career.
He's been around for eleven seasons. He's not somebody that
anybody ever searches for to put in their rotation, but
he's an arm that is going to get you innings.
Last three years, one fifty three, one thirty in this year,
one oh three innings so far, and you can make
a good career out of doing that. Like I said,
eleven seasons in Major League baseball. He's got a five
hundred record, So he does throw a lot of pitches.
He got seven different pitches, none of them more than
twenty four percent of the time. So I really like
that Kansas City. If you look at the two teams
based on the way they're playing now and what's going
on in Kansas City's clearly the better team. Texas two
weeks ago, they thought they were going to be in
the playoffs. They have fallen apart. This is a lot
of veteran players on this Texas team. You mentioned that,
especially the pitching staff is a lot of veterans for Texas.
They were two weeks ago they had a chance to
make a nice season. I don't think they have it now.
They did get that victory and extra innings yesterday. I
think Kansas City bounces back here, and if you're looking
at the numbers, it would show, you know, if you
give Kansas City a normal home field advantage, it would
show these teams are equal. I don't think they are.
I think at this point can't say is a much
better team. I prefer the Royals in this game.
Speaker 4: Guys, go to our page atwayjertalk dot com. All three
of us have a page. Click Experts and you'll find
what we're offering. We put up free plays almost every day.
This show is more of a analysis and sharing knowledge
and giving you guys information to make better judgments. But
we actually give free plays on that website, So go
to wajatalk dot com and check out what we got.
I have my MLB play out today, and I'm sure
these guys will if they don't already. So I don't
have these teams even at all. I have Kansas City
much better than Texas, and I like Lorenzo a lot
better than Corbin. I know corbyin hate is overrated because
he did pitch really well at the beginning of the season.
He's not terrible, but I like Lorenzo. Not a lot
of people like him, but I actually kind of like him.
If you look at how he's pitched against these Rangers
in his career's got twenty five at bats against a
two forty average and a six to sixty five OPS.
Not bad, a little bit better than average. But Corbin
against these Royals in his career, he's got eighty three
at bats against. They have crushed him to eighty nine
average against an eight twenty eight OPS. So definitely starting
pitcher is in favor of Lorenzo. And it take it
even further. Corbin at home is where he's actually looked
good with a three six five ERA at home, but
a five seventeen Era on the road. Lorenzen great home pitcher.
He's got a three forty er at home and a
five on the road. So everything points to the Royals here.
It did yesterday too and they lost. But you know,
this is gambling. You're not gonna win every single game
that you bet, but you have to bet based on
probability and which way you think the wind's going to
blow today. And I think the wind's going to blow
in favor of Kansas City. They have the much better
bullpen and they have the much better lineups, So it's
all systems go for Kansas City in my opinion. As
a matter of fact, I'm going to make that my parlay.
Speaker 3: Leg.
Speaker 4: I don't know what the number is right now, hang on,
I'm seeing minus one twenty, almost no juice at all.
That's great. That's a great number for Kansas City, the
better team. What do you see, Brin?
Speaker 3: The only concern I have is the bullpen sets up
a little bit better for Texas than it does for
Kansas City here. But I still it's a bargain to me.
At one twenty you can get. I agree, one fifteen's
out there right now.
Speaker 1: So yeah, I was gonna say, I actually see quite
a few minus one fifteen. I think I see more
minus one fifteen minus won sixteen than minus went twenty.
Speaker 2: We'll give you minus one fifteen there.
Speaker 4: Although the bull the bullpen situation might be better for Texas,
I think the bullpen talent is much better in Kansas
City's Favorite. I got Kansas City ranked eight in Current
Form and I got Texas ranked twenty five. So no
matter what the situation, I think Kansas City has has
a leg up in that.
Speaker 1: In that department, Greg Greg Carpet. Greg Carpert just says,
why is my comment pinned? Well, because I want because
I had to comment on it, he says. Love when
Trigger goes on his opinionated rants for two minutes, it's
like that, that's the show.
Speaker 2: That's what we're doing that we wouldn't have to show.
So I like. I like because I like it.
Speaker 4: I have no opinion.
Speaker 2: I pinned it because I liked the comment. I want
to remember to grab it.
Speaker 1: So we we love you tuning in Greg and and everyone,
and yeah, that's the show, is us sort of ranting
for an hour and hopefully somebody to turn into good
opinions that are actionable info, Clock Cage, Red Sox Yankees
open the show. So as always, if you missed the
any part of the show, you can go to the
Wager Talking YouTube channel. The show will always be up
on demand and we opened the show with Red Sox Yankees.
So while you're over there finding the on demand show,
feel free to like and subscribe, especially subscribe if you
haven't subscribed already. That helps the show tremendously. Tokyo Brandon
was talking about the wind blows, well, I hope the
wind is blowing out here because I think over makes
the most sense in this game. The only thing so
I agree with the Royals. The only thing that like
maybe gives me a little bit of pause is that
the Royals are not great against left handed pitching. W
RC plus has been in the bottom of the league
all year against lefties, but Corbin has This is my guy,
This is my guy, Clay Nick Klin, New York native
Patrick Corbyn from right here in my backyard. I've rooted
for him his entire career. I've watched him his entire career. Sadly,
I think he's running out of gas on the season.
He has not made it out of the fifth inning
in god since like mid July, like last four, I
don't think he's gone longer than five innings in any
of his last four starts. Last start was to get
got totally bombed by the by the Blue Jays start
before that, the Phillies were on him. They kind of
pulled him before the real damage happened. Three innings against
the Yankees, six hits. Again, probably a little bit fortunate
to only give up three runs in that game.
Speaker 2: So even though.
Speaker 1: The Royals do struggle against left handed pitching, I could
see them getting something here. And if they can't get
it here, they can at least probably get him out
of the game by the fourth or the fifth. And
you know, both bullpens were used a little bit last night,
so maybe you get some runs at the end of
this game. On the other side, I really don't want
Michael Lorenzen. I know he's you know, he kind of
like what. So, here's the deal with both of these guys.
On a given day, they can be great, right Like,
like they're both veterans, they've both been around forever. On
a given day, they can be great. Most days they're
not gonna be as great. That's the thing like right now,
most days the rest of the year, I don't think
Lorenzen's gonna be great. I don't think and I especially
don't think Corbin's gonna be great. If you're looking at
like here to the end of the season. My gut
tells me that Corbin gets bombed more often than he
goes out and throws a gem. So you know, Lorenzen, like,
I just root for him because we don't listen, Central
New York doesn't produce many like like arms fifteen year
ten fifteen year big leaguers, so you know, you root
for the hometown guy.
Speaker 2: But I'm also just being realistic.
Speaker 1: I wouldn't be surprised if the Royals found a way
and then there was runs late and at the same token,
like we saw runs late yesterday. You know, That's something
I've said about the Rangers all season. Collection of bullpen
arms is good, but high leverage not so good. Right,
So it's like they don't have guys that I trust
in like that big time leverage spot, which is why
it was surprised they were able to win last night.
I kind of think you're gonna get runs here, so
I'm not gonna lock this in yet.
Speaker 2: But what's what's our current total on this one? Brian?
Do you have it up right now?
Speaker 3: Looking at nine, you can get nine minus one, ten
up to minus one fifteen to the over.
Speaker 1: Yeah, like a nine flat here makes a ton of
sense to me. I could absolutely see both of these
teams getting to four. And if you have a four
to four game at any point, you're free rolling. I mean,
you're you can't lose it. So yeah, I'll call this
one over. I'm not I'm not willing to like close
out the parlay yet, but I'll i'll for for I think,
you know, I think this is a pretty solid over.
Speaker 2: Sorry TV, TV, were you gonna say something?
Speaker 4: No, No, I was scratching my tin.
Speaker 3: I will say that the wind is blowing in, but
it is supposed to be a hot day and overall
your runs expected are going to be ten percent higher
than a normal game. So even though the winds blowing in,
I we still see some runs.
Speaker 1: There and argue, yeah, I think we're going to see
some runs.
Speaker 2: All right, let's go to a day game.
Speaker 1: I lost the comment, but there are there are some
people that really like this spot for the A's and
I really can't agree.
Speaker 2: I can't disagree with them.
Speaker 1: The Twins have had sort of you know, they go
out and play hard every day, but this organization clearly
is not worried about winning right now. If they were,
they would have other they would have guys like mick
Abel would be in the majors, Taj Bradley like. Instead,
they continue to who are they running out there today?
Speaker 2: Brian? Is it Arena? Is he going to start? I
knew what are we doing? What are we doing? Why
are we trading?
Speaker 1: Why are we trading for mick Abel and then having
him just start at Saint Paul when he was basically
in the Phillies rotation earlier this year. So explain that
to me and then talk to me about the A's
because when this team gets going, they.
Speaker 2: Start to win games. I would run it back with
the ace here.
Speaker 3: What do you think, Well, here's a situation in Minnesota.
They don't care if they win or lose. The players
do that. The management doesn't exactly out of the playoffs
right now, they'll get a good chance to look at
some younger players, but that's not their priority. They're looking
for a couple of years down the road. Jack Perkins
is going for the A's four point two eight RA
three point one six expected one point one to three whip.
I really like him. He has not performed quite as
well as I thought he would do, but he's a
young pitcher and it takes a while. But he's got
a lot of red on his statcast page, even though
it's only thirty three point two thirds innings on the season.
But he's good and the only concern is his walk grade.
His walk grade is ten point one struck out right
twenty five point two, so that leaves them a fifteen
point one, which is slightly less than league average. But
I think he's got a bright future. One of the
few guys here in this the Sacramento A's or wherever
the is going to be playing. But in their future,
he's going to be around Jose Arena. There was an
article I read today, He's a fantasy guy. It goes
by John in Pittsburgh, j O n in Pittsburgh, and
he and he put out the worst Sierras from twenty
twenty one through now, and Jose Arena is in the
top ten. This guy continues to get jobs in Major
League Baseball despite eleven seasons. He's forty four and seventy seven. Granted,
wins losses don't mean that much, but he's got a
four point seventy four career ERA this year has expected
ara seven point two three. He's just not a good pitcher,
and he's got a good plass ball veloscily that's it.
But that's the He throws that the least amount of
his four pitches, so his basketball velocity's better league gaverage.
But yet he doesn't throw it enough only thirteen percent
of the time he doesn't have. His other pitches aren't
very good. A lot of blue on a stat cast page.
I think the A's are going to have some success here.
The problem is, I am not so sure it's gonna
go over this number. We're looking at a total of
you know, nine and a half, slightly to the under.
I do like the ace to score. Let's take a
look at this team total. Here, we're looking at the
A's team totally gotta score five runs for you to
get a winner, and you gotta lay maybe one twenty
five here. So can they score five runs in Minnesota
against You're probably, but that would probably be the way
I would look at this. Yeah, I don't have anything
in disagree with the A's, but I think the offense
will do better than the number. Slightly over here with
the five is what I would go with.
Speaker 4: Guys. I've released my MLB play for the day, and
I'm sure these two guys will have something up as well.
Go to wager talk dot com and see what we have.
Take the ten seconds to go to our pages and
see what free plays we're offering today. Leave a comment
on the replay of this too. We will engage with you,
and it's always fun because you guys are the most
knowledgeable audience of probably any wager Talk show that I've
ever seen. Regarding this game, I love the A's. Actually
Perkins is I don't know a lot about it, but
I looked at his tatts and he seems to be
pitching well. My numbers say he's mediocre, So mediocre, I'll
take mediocre any day over a Jose Arena. The A's
have the number four bullpen and the number three lineup
in MLB in current form. That's pretty impressive. You know,
I focus a lot of my numbers on current forms,
so some of the numbers may be skewed. With one
blow up game, if they score twelve runs in a
game or something, so it'll skew it a little bit,
but there's no doubt that the A's lineup is power packed,
and they have a lot of young guys and they're
an exciting team. And the bullpen surprisingly is performing well,
which has been this ball club's achilles heel in years past.
So I think the A's are firing on all cylinders
right now, and if Perkins can be average, I think
average will be good enough against a Minnesota Twins team
that traded forty percent of their roster at the break.
I love the A's in this situation. I haven't played
it yet, but I think I might. I forgot why
I didn't play it. It's only minus one twenty five.
It was a good number. I think I think you'd
be I mean, I might make this a play after
the show.
Speaker 2: That is that lower? Is A's up to minus win
twenty five or did they? Is it like?
Speaker 3: Actually you can get on it, you get on one
time wow online? But yeah, about.
Speaker 4: Overall the arena. Let me add this, Jose Arena actually
has been pitching well recently, which is probably why when
I looked at this I didn't play it yet. Uh,
but he's awful. I I what he pitched for the
Marlins before. He's he's awful. He's an awful pitcher. I
don't know how he's He must be putting these stringing
decent starts together with like scotch tape and and and
band aids, because uh, he's not a good pitcher.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, you know, I did notice that his
his numbers were like somewhat respectable this year.
Speaker 2: I mean, he is.
Speaker 1: He's been on like four different teams already this year.
I'm pretty sure like he was he was up here
in Syracuse in April because I saw him pitch at
a game. I think he ended up in like the
Blue Jays organization. I think this is literally his like
sixth team if you count like Triple A teams and
Major League teams. I think he's been on six different
teams this year, so he's bounced around a ton. He
surprisingly pitched. Okay, the thing is like, I don't I
don't think you're gonna see him go super deep into
the game. And the biggest issue right now, well the
biggest issue for both of these teams, but it's a
huge issue in my opinion for the Twins is their bullpen.
Why they traded their whole bullpen away, So all of
their top bullpen arms were traded away. And you talk
about like, you know, yeah, they were able to survive
last night, but this team doesn't have.
Speaker 2: Really any leverage bullpen arms.
Speaker 1: And even with the A's kind of being in the
same boat, I don't know, I still like, I still
think there's more upside to the arms the A's have,
because they really they really just traded Mason Miller away, right,
like they still have some of those other guys that
have been in the pen have been down there all year.
The other thing I like is the fact that like
Jack Perkins is probably gonna be a pretty good starter
in the big leagues. I mean, he's he's the one
with the upside twenty twenty five stats combined Big Leagues
and Triple A this year, a one point zero two WIP,
sixty eight strikeouts in forty four innings. Pitch like, this
guy is probably the real deal every all of my
I have a couple of buddies that are are big
time A's fans, and they.
Speaker 2: Are high on him.
Speaker 1: They really like Perkins, and you know, he kind of
you know, got bombed. I think it was the Diamondbacks game.
Maybe he didn't pitch particularly well, doesn't have the best
numbers at the big league level yet, but last time
out against the Angels five innings, three runs. The start
before I cashed a ticket with him against the Orioles
six innings, three runs, seven strikeouts. Last time out against
the Angels, I think he's trending in the right direction.
Speaker 2: And this Twins lineup right now is like mostly four
a guys right.
Speaker 1: Like, it's like they don't have a really like much
punch in this lineup either, So I think this is
a decent setup for Perkins. And then you get the A's,
who always seem to play better when they have a
little bit of momentum. That this team is so night
and day. When they're playing bad, it's really bad. When
they're playing good, it tends to be good for like stretches.
And then to wrap it up, they profile better against
right handed pitching. So again, like it's really like the
perfect I feel like mixed to sort of want to
back the A's again, I'll throw that. That'll be my
parlay leg A's money line. What do we say we
can get minus one fifteen.
Speaker 3: Over?
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I may I may throw that in. Uh,
I may make that a client play too. I'll have
to think about it for a minute, but that is
going to be uh that that's going to be the
parlay leg So we act this might be a record.
Speaker 2: We have already locked the parlor.
Speaker 1: In when twenty minutes to spare, So yeah, well, I'll
read it and then I'll read it again at the
end of the show. We've got Royal's money line as
running line, Dodgers team total under. I'll read it with
the price at the end of the show as well.
But we're not going anywhere. We still have plenty of
show to go. Twenty minutes left.
Speaker 2: Go ahead, Brian, Can I throw a game out there? Absolutely?
What do you want.
Speaker 3: Let's take a look at this Houston Baltimore game. You
got Jason Alexander going against Brandon Young last time, Brandon
Young through the game of his career, and I we
saw the same thing coming out of Cleveland with Williams
the other day through t one hundred and twenty six pitches,
came close to a no hitter and he got bombed.
Just coming out the next game. I have a feeling
Young is a guy I want to go against here.
Jason Alexander is another guy who has been pitching better
than I think he is. The problem is Houston's offense
is dead in the water. They didn't score well again yesterday.
In fact, this is a quick rematch. They just played
at home against Baltimore just about a week ago, and
they played three games against this terrible Baltimore pitching staff,
and they scored a grand total of five runs, including
being shut out twice. So forty five years of doing
this tells me I think this game goes over. But
yet Houston is hitting so bad right now it's hard
to do it. In fact, this game opened up slightly
over to over nine, not you can get eight and
a half. Slightly over on the eight and a half,
I'm going to fade the line move here. I just
you get these feelings. Neither one of these pitchers are
very good, and Baltimore is a good hitting stadium. So
I'm going to play this over eight and a half.
Other than the situation, I don't have the numbers to
do it because Houston just not hitting well. Just got
one of those feelings that they've gone against the pretty
good pitchers in the past and now they get to
go against Young. They just played Baltimore a week ago
and we're embarrassed. I think Houston breaks out of their
slump today and we'll see how it goes the rest
a few days. But I like this game to go over.
Speaker 4: Everyone do us a huge favor and go to the
replay of this and give us a comment. It helps
the algorithm, It helps let Wayja Talk know that you
are interested in our show despite football season starting. Regarding
this game, I completely agree with Brian. When you've done
this for a long time, you notice certain things just
work out for some odd reason, and they work out
that way a lot. When a guy has a no
hitter or close to a no hitter, or pitches like
almost a perfect game or a perfect game, the next start,
he almost always gets bombed. I don't know why, but
it almost always happens. Not like Nolan Ryan, those type
of elite elite pitchers, but I'm talking like modern era pictures,
like maybe since the year two thousand. It always happens,
especially with a with like a virtual no name like
like Young. I don't say he's a no name, but
he's a young guy and not a lot of people.
He's not a household name. So these guys, when they
have a super super game like that, they usually come
back and get bombed. But I totally agree with Brian
again that I don't like the Astros lineup. If this
was any other lineup, if this was a lineup that
ranked in the top ten of Major League Baseball, I
would be all over their team total four and a half,
five and a half. I don't care. Give it to me,
but the Astros are hitting right now. They're hitting thirty
out of thirty team in current form. That's just awful.
I think what they had two games of zero and
then yesterday the day before yesterday they scored one, and
then yesterday they scored two or something like that. I mean,
they scored three runs in four games. That's really pathetic.
So I'm not going to bet it. But if I
were to, that would be the way I would go.
But given the fact that Houston couldn't hit their way
out of a wet paper bag right now, I'll probably
stay away from it.
Speaker 3: I will say that that game that he went eddying
and I just gave up one hit, six strikeouts, no walks,
that was against Houston, So Houston's gotting a chance to
stand twice in what six seven days? I know it.
Houston's offense is really struggling right now. But you've got
to think he can't do that again. We'll see. I
don't know, Like I said, I don't have a lot
of numbers pointing towards it. I've just seen this thing
happen so many times. So yeah, we'll see what happens.
But I think they get to him today.
Speaker 1: Memphis Money says, you can see Adam talk himself into
the age just now. Yeah, that'll happen sometimes and for
my next but for my next trick, watch me talk
myself into the Orioles. You know, I I now I
don't disagree with runs here that that is is it's
probable that there's runs in this one.
Speaker 2: And I don't disagree.
Speaker 1: With and over, but you know, yeah, and I would listen,
are you gonna get eight scoreless from Brandon Young?
Speaker 2: Again?
Speaker 1: Probably not, but listen, he's he was a guy. They
were gonna send him to a ball to work on
some mechanical stuff and then they needed him as part
of a doubleheader, so instant he was. He was optioned
to Aberdeen, which is high a in the Orioles organization.
Speaker 2: Uh, he was set to make a.
Speaker 1: Start and they said, crap, we got rained out doubleheader,
need a twenty seventh man.
Speaker 2: Brandon Young eure up, you're the guy.
Speaker 4: Uh.
Speaker 1: He went out to run on the six innings, two
runs on six hits against the Blue Jays, got to win.
And so right now, if you basically where Baltimore is
at with their rotation, if you do something good, you
get to hang around, like, there's not that many options.
Speaker 2: So you throw a.
Speaker 1: Game like that, and they're like, all right, let's just
let's we'll let you stay around right like. And so
he's I think he's worked through his mechanical stuff. I
still think they worked on his mechanics, but I kind
of think they've just done it at the big league
level because they haven't had the luxury of having someone
else and he was already up, probably didn't want to
use another move, so it was just it made sense
to sort of let him battle through it. So far,
since that day, he has a whip under one like
and his whip in August is one oh two batting
average against. And yeah, his whip since that Blue Jays
game where he was they clearly saw something that they
wanted him to go back to a ball and fix
his whip is under one six since then, and he
goes eight innings of one hit ball against the Astros
last time out. Now, do the Astros maybe have a
little bit of an advantage I guess having just seen him.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I guess they do. But they you know, they're
gonna have to figure it out.
Speaker 1: And the Orioles just saw Jason Alexander, so they have
the same edge. Because Jason Alexander actually pitched pretty well
against the Astros last time around two runs, six innings,
two runs, three hits, six strikeouts, no walk. So the
over makes a ton of sense from that standpoint. But
if I was going to pick a winner here, I'm
gonna go back to the Ools. I'm gonna go back
to what I said earlier this week. I think that
it might be too little, too late, But this team
dug themselves too big of a hole. They're playing their
best ball right now, and they went to Fenway got
two huge wins earlier this week. You know, taking that
two game set, the vibes are high. And what do
I always say about the Orioles. Where do you want
to back the Orioles? You want to back the Orioles
at home where they're playing five hundred ball this season,
as opposed to them being eight games under on the road.
And you want to back them against right handed pitching
because this lineup is so much better against right handed pitching,
and here you get both of them. So listen, the
Orioles are a team that you know they're they're still
they're not going.
Speaker 2: To play their way back in from eight games out.
Speaker 1: But I just think that this team with the younger
guys that were just called up, the Basalos, the Jackson
Dylan Beavers, there's good vibes around this team, and they're
at home and they have a nice setup. Orioles minus
one oh five. Again, I may have just talked myself
into that one as well.
Speaker 2: We're not.
Speaker 1: We'll see how the day goes. That one's a little
bit later, but look at that. We have a Nova
Palette depot new member. Appreciate you guys doing it midshow.
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We very much appreciate it. We still have time. Let's
get another game in here. Okay, I hate well, let's
let's let's talk about it. Ryan Leonard unfortunately lost with
the Brewers last night. It was a tough loss. I
know you had a big play on them. If you
didn't watch the game, it was, in my opinion, somewhat
unfortunate because someone hit I forget who was at that,
but they hit an absolute laser off Palencia that if
it was hit anywhere else, wins that game for the Bruers.
Speaker 2: And it happened to go right at Nico Horner.
Speaker 1: And if you watch the at least I was watching,
I think the Cubs broadcast Brian, they like kind of
didn't show it till late. I thought it was a
hit like that. I didn't think there was any way
that that ball wasn't a hit, And somehow it was
in his glove and Polentcya is out there like he
won the World Series. Just made a great pitch even
though that was probably one ten off the bat. So
give the Cubs credit where credit is due. They have
battled back. They've taken three straight games in this series.
One more and maybe we have to put them back
in the conversation in the NL Central. But the Brewers
could shut that down today if they can win. How
are you seeing the finale, Cubs, Brewers?
Speaker 3: You know, like you said that, Chicago's still got a
ninety one percent chance to make the playoffs, so I
don't think they'll pass up Milwaukee in the division. But
they are in really good shape to make the playoffs here,
so the urgency is not there for Chicago. The urgency
obviously is not there for Milwaukee. I'm a little bit surprised.
I know, I know the win the park factor today,
the wins blowing in at Wrigley. It should be eighteen
percent less friends than normal, and it is. You know,
it's an afternoon getaway situation. But they brought this line.
It opened to seven, they brought it down to six
and a half. Now six and a half to the over.
But pretty sure in Imanaga, good pictures, but I don't
consider an them asis and you only need seven runs
to go over here. Somewhat interested in that if you're
taking a look at the pictures. Uh Priester three point
four eight e ra A three point eight four expected
one point two four whip. Very he's great in the
ground ball, So there's I can I can virtually say
with a lot of confidence, if you're playing home runs
for any of the the Cubs batters today, I would
not do it because the wind is blowing in and
getting a total of six and a half and priests
in the ninety six percentile and ground ball right. So
if you do have a book that you can bet
against those guys, those are this is probably a good
thing to do. And of course Brandon will always tell
you not to bet home runs over. He's smitted he
said about that that about all year long. He thinks
it's a sucker bat, although other guys have a little
bit of successful with it. But anyway, so priests going
for the visitor we got, Imanaga comes in with a
three point zero sixty or a three point five eight
expected zero point ninety five whip on the opposite side,
he's only in the fourth percent in the ground ball right,
so he can be beat by the long fly, but
it helps him when the wind blows in. He's in
the ninety five percent on the walk right. In his
two seasons in the majors, last year four walks percent
and this year four point seven. He doesn't put a
lot of people on base. He's not going to beat
you with his fastball, only eight percent on the fastball velocity,
but he does throw it fifty percent of the time.
That's is a concern for me. And he does it
two miles an hour lower than the league average. Actually
a three pitch pit, three pitch pitcher. I'm probably not
going to get involved here. Overall, it's just smaller card,
but it's it's interesting that the line has gone down,
and I think it's all because of the wind blown
in We'll see what happens. I don't want to play
under six and a half. I'll tell you that with
these two guys on the mound, I think they can
struggle a little bit.
Speaker 4: I agree with Brian here. I think the Chicago winds
a little overrated. The fact that they hold the lines
until they get the weather reports, it's just kind of
a I don't know. I think it's a little overblown.
But so maybe you know, they are less home runs,
but that doesn't mean they're not going to hit a
lot of singles. And both of these pictures have pretty
awful numbers against the batters they're facing today in their history,
they both have ops is over eight point fifty and
batting average is near three hundred against. So I totally
agree that we're looking at an over in this one.
The Cubs have not been hitting lately, and Tucker's not
was in the lineup yesterday. I think the whole they
might hold him out again today. Not sure, but Suzuki
and Crow Armstrong have great numbers against Priester, so I
don't really care if they hold him out. I think
the Cubs bounce back a little here. I wouldn't take
him on the money line, though, maybe an over here
or a first five over, because both bullpens are performing
really well, so if you can get a first five
over three that would be a nice one. It's probably
three and a half, though I might not do three
and a half, but I certainly would do three over
in the first five because both pitchers have pretty bad
numbers against the batters of facing.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I can't argue with an over, and I almost
like i'd prefer the over if the wind is blowing
in and they're going to give you the discount on
the number, because I mean.
Speaker 1: I think you could see some hit strung together off
Priester Imanaga can get you know, he can give something up.
But Cobbies might be in trouble late in this game
with the bullpen arms they've they've really used. And remember
they want a doubleheader two days ago close and then
last night leverage innings at the end of that game
to squeeze out a four to three win. So you
want to talk about like sort of hidden value like that,
there could be there could be far more runs late
in this game than maybe normally would be in a
Cubs Brewers type game of you know, with I was
gonna say this magnitude, it's certainly this magnitude for the Cubs.
I still don't buy that this is like a big
game for the Brewers. And so that's why I'm like
not dying to back them as an underdog here, because
they might just feel like getting out of town even
if they like, what does this do if the Brewers
lose this game? Like, what are they still up six
games in the division. It's really not like a whereas
like it. I mean, listen, this win for the Cubs
would would get them back in the mix. Am I
really like six and a half seems crazy here?
Speaker 2: Like that.
Speaker 1: That seems like a crazy like you can get six
and a half dim I reading that right, six and
a half minus one twenty on this total.
Speaker 3: Yeah, and if you take a look at the Cubs.
You mentioned the Cubs one, two, three, four, five of
the guys have pitched two of the last three days. Polential,
it won't be able to be throwing forty five pitches,
coler thirty four, field bar thirty. They're gonna be hurting
when it comes. If they're If they're leading this game late,
Milwaukee will never be out of it.
Speaker 1: I mean that's insane. Like, first of all, that's not
gonna be around much longer. Like that, six and a
half minus one twenty will be seven everywhere soon. There's
no no way that that lasts till game time.
Speaker 4: Three game gets you a win, right, a three to
three game you win? That seems really low. That means
team totals two and a half over a team total
for each team. That seems like an easy, easy win,
doesn't it.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't care if they have fans set up
in center field blowing the ball in like these are
good line like these, you have decent hitters, good numbers
against the opposing pitcher clubs are gonna have no relievers.
You know, priest are still someone that on a given day,
can can I feel like get knocked around and im
Mon Augus shown the ability.
Speaker 2: To sort of, you know, get knocked around to day. Yeah,
like three to three being a win here, that is Yeah,
Mark Kinson, that is way too low. And I'm still
seeing six and a half minus one twenty in six
and a half minus one twenty five that at many books,
I would I would grab that if you if your
totals better, that's a good bet. In my opinion, I
think Kyle Tucker has been getting some needed time off.
Speaker 1: I don't think he's hurt. I think he was sent
home to chill for a couple of days. Get his
line right mental.
Speaker 3: I believe he was hurt. He took a okay, I
think a bone in his hand or something like that.
Always goes back to months ago. I think it was
June or July when it happened, and nobody knew anything
about it. So that's why he's he's really struggled. If
you do have a draft games or a fanatics, you
can get over two and a half team total from
Milwaukee in the minus one fifty range, which is a
pretty good bet. Other than that, you'd have to take
over over three and a half at plus money. So yeah,
different ways to look at it. And despite the small
card today, I think there's some betting opportunities out there.
Speaker 1: I mean, that's like a couple of timely hits. Well
you know what I mean, Like, what's what's the only
way you lose that game?
Speaker 2: Three? Too?
Speaker 1: Like I said, I feel like the only way two
go ahead?
Speaker 4: Sorry, that's it.
Speaker 2: No, that's all I had to say.
Speaker 4: Yeah, Like I said, it's a two and a half
over team total for both teams, seems like you could
get this.
Speaker 3: It's three and a half under promost.
Speaker 4: No, No, what I mean is what I mean is basically
you're betting both teams to score three, which is over
two and a half. Seems like it could get there,
oh like a team total. Yeah, what I mean is
it's the same thing as both teams getting over two
and a half runs a three to three game, you
win your bad, right.
Speaker 3: Yeah, but you got to have both teams to do that.
Speaker 4: Yeah, right, But I would bet two and a half
over for either one of those teams, right.
Speaker 1: Yeah, And I don't think I don't think you're gonna
like need necessarily need both teams to get the three,
Like why why did why do we think priest Or
can't get slammed? Or why do we think Imaga can't
get knocked around by a Blue Brewers lineup that's knocked
pretty much anyone they've wanted around this season. Like, I
know they haven't had the best sort of last couple
of days, but I doesn't overpower anyone, so.
Speaker 4: If they've not leave around in his past right exactly.
Speaker 1: Yeah, very interesting game. I couldn't believe. I'm not a
I'm not a huge totals better, but that line being
six and.
Speaker 4: A half seems very very I mean, you don't need
home runs to score runs. You can. You can hit
a lot of singles and doubles with with wind blowing anywhere.
Speaker 3: So an actuality on that website I use, which is
a ballpark Pale, they've got singles right on average it's
zero percent, So really there, it's the home runs with
the wind blown in is going to be the factor.
But uh, you know, look look for look for maybe
maybe hits over or something. I know they have things
like that out there for a lot of you guys
that are able to play those in the offshore market.
Speaker 1: It's not like the Brewers are a home runner lion team.
They're They're one of the best base stealing teams in
the league. They do they do it in other ways
as good as any team in the league. That's a
It's a really interesting game that'll be fun to watch
and track.
Speaker 2: Today.
Speaker 1: Jack Barco says, can we talk about why the Twins
have not brought Mick up? That's insane to me, and
we're not going to talk about it because we're at
the end of the show, but I will sort of
talk about it very quickly when I recap the parlay
because one of the reasons my leg is the A's
is I just and it goes back to a Brian
and said, I just don't think the Twins organization is
prioritizing winning at this point. And so for that reason
and all the reasons I mentioned earlier. So if you
missed it and you're tuning in late, going over to
the YouTube and you can watch the entire show on
demand where all three of us went in depth in
this game. That's why the A's is my parlay league
and Tokyo Brandon went with the Royals minus one point fifteen,
and then we've got Brian Leonard Dodgers team total under
seven and a half. So let me run that quickly,
and you should have already had this done. It looks
like we are let's see, looks like that's about plus
five thirty. So plus five thirty we hit our parlay
on Monday. We are now still clinging to up three
point three six units on the season. So if you
were to play these equally since we started doing these
way back in April, you'd be up three dollars and
thirty six cents for every dollar. Listen, the fact that
we're putting out two or three teamers every day and
we're still ahead.
Speaker 2: I think that's pretty impressive.
Speaker 1: Hopefully we can run it up a little bit more,
but I think it's pretty impressive.
Speaker 2: We're still ahead. There, go ahead, Brian.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I just want to get this in. I read
this right before we did the show today. If you're
a Pirates fan, the good news is Bubba Chandler is
coming up to the major leagues. The bad news is
they're going to put him in a bulk relief for all. Yeah,
that's what they's what they the Pirates would.
Speaker 2: Do bad news for Trigg though.
Speaker 1: I was all set to go see him pitch this
week in Syracuse and I thought, I thought I was
gonna get Chandler versus Tong in the same game, and
I was very.
Speaker 2: Excited about that. And Bubba Chandler gets called up.
Speaker 1: But they you know what it It kind of worked
for Brax and Ashcraft, so maybe they're just like.
Speaker 2: Like I think he's I think he benefited from some
time in the bullpen, so maybe there's something to that.
Speaker 1: But yeah, I was a little disappointed when they did
it this week because I would have gone and seen
him pitch. But I will get to see tog on Saturday,
so looking forward to that for sure. One more time
before we sign off, give us the likes and subscribes
on the YouTube replay. It really really does help plays
up on all of our pages and the parlay.
Speaker 2: One final time.
Speaker 1: Brian Leonard Dodgers team total under seven and a half
Tokyo Brandon's on Royals minus one fifteen and I'm gonna
go A's minus one fifteen. That's plus five thirty. Hopefully
it's a winner either way. We'll see you in the morning.
We'll be back tomorrow nine am Eastern for more total basis.
Have a great day everyone, Cash all your tickets and
we'll see you guys in the morning.