Speaker 1: What's up, everybody? Welcome into another episode of Prophet Picks.
If you are new, we always start to show by
being transparent. Yesterday I went too and two. Let's see,
I had jk which is KAMINGA over five and a
half rebounds. That was just ridiculous. Like Steve Kirk, he
starts off the game with two rebounds to assist like
in the first couple of minutes. Then he gets taken
out for like twelve straight minutes, and then he puts
them back in with like the brain dead people who
can't do nothing, like you can't put Comena next to
Pods and Spencer to get like what are you doing?
And then he just takes him out at the end
of the game. So Steve Kurt doesn't like KAMINGA. That's
probably just a bad bet because of that. And Jalen
Johnson was the other loser. He was, uh, you know,
decided he didn't want to do anything yesterday. As far
as rebounding the two winners, I honestly cannot remember, but
it was a Juice two and two day veno. Hopefully
yesterday was better for you. How you doing today?
Speaker 2: I'm all right, Ski NBA was no better for me
a bad read down. Orlando thought maybe the defense was
playing better. It was not. Atlanta had them wired to wire,
so there was nothing good happening there nor in the
In the same game you just mentioned Golden State, I
had the total over two twenty five is where they
landed to thirty three is what I needed. Fourth quarter
slowed up a little bit, only got fifty points combined.
But again, these last couple of days have been a
rough stretch Monday Tuesday so far, So hopefully today snap
out of it a little bit and get back onto
the winning column.
Speaker 1: Yeah. The two winners I just looked it was Giddy
over his rebounds and assists that was fairly easy, and
the Pelicans to win. That was the two winners for yesterday.
Shout out to everybody in the chat. We appreciate you
tapping in. Anthony says, hello, Will House everyone. I felt
terrible and I think you can hear it in my voice,
and uh yeah, so I'm gonna do my best to
get through this. And Guppy says, got a live fee,
he's happy, he's ready for some winners. If it's your
first time, anybody out there watching the show today will
be a little bit different, just because, like I said,
I don't feel so great. So we won't touch every
single game, but we will get through a good amount,
all right, you know, let's get through it. First game
five thirteen, five fourteen, Philly and Cleveland opened up nine
and a half for Cleveland looks like ten. So it
opens two thirty three and a half looks like two
thirty five and a half. Garland Hunter, Alan Merrow all questionable,
strus out for the Sixers, McCain, George and b Barlow
all out. I would I mean, I know the Sixers
just played, but I'll be a little hesitant, you know,
laying the big number with you know, Garland's coming back
in this first game. Also, well you could be missing
all of these guys and I would still be hesitant
with that big number. So Sixers are past? What do
you think we know?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm going to lean on the same team, but
in a different way. Ski. I think if Philly, for
what it's worth, is like the third or fourth most
efficient offense in the NBA right now. Without Embiid out
there tonight, McCain doesn't matter. McCain hasn't played much, but
it's the core we talked about yesterday. I like when
Adam Bone is on the floor for Philadelphia, his energy
level is about one hundred times what Joel embiids is.
So I thought one twelve and a half team total
was a little low here. Cleveland hasn't really shown defensive
capability this season. Philly, all they do is score and run,
even on back to backs. I think these the sixers
that'll be present tonight on the floor. We'll get up
and down. We'll see what Cleveland brings to the table.
Like you say, the injury report when we get it later.
That's that's four key guys right there for Cleveland. But
for me, it's gonna be Philadelphia. I'm zeroing in on
their team total one twelve and a half.
Speaker 1: Over, You're not worried about them being on the back
to back as far as like just looking at them specifically,
not including the Cavs.
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I'm really not, only because I've seen these
guys just go, go go. They've been in a back
to back already this year. I don't see a lack
of energy in Philadelphia. Ski with Edgecomb and Maxie and
Ubra and like I say, Bona on the floor is
even a bigger bonus. He'll start tonight in all likelihood
with them beat out, So I'm going to go that route.
Speaker 1: All right. There is a lot of young guys over
there in Philly, so maybe it won't affect them as
much as you know, some other guys. Jazz and Pistons
not a whole lot of moving on the side of total.
Kesler remains out. No Sasser, no Harris, no Ivy. I
feel like, I mean, the Jazz have been pretty scrappy.
They're still catching ten points here Detroit. I mean, are
they taking that next step up? They're five and two
to start this year. I love Kay Cunningham as a
player nine and a half. Like, I don't know when
the last time we saw Pistons minus nine and a half.
This just stands out to me. Makes me think that,
you know, they'll run them off the court at home here,
Any thoughts from you?
Speaker 2: Long road trip for the Jazz, right, They've been on
the road for a while now. We'll see if they
wear down. The other night, the shooting was horrendous against Boston.
Their three point shooting was terrible. Boston's was terrible as well,
but that whole offensive performance out of Utah a little
bit uncharacteristic. I don't know if it's a product of
not having everybody on the floor or not, but Detroit
is in that sit probably a little bit better, I
would say, than Boston defensively when they want to be
second game out of Mexico City. Detroit played pretty well
the other night. I'm with you. I don't know that
i'd want to lay nine and a half, but I
did look toward total here at two thirty two. Didn't
play it, but I was looking for a bounce back
out of Utah, and Utah defensively has been an absolute sieve.
I mean, the only reason Boston scored as few as
they scored the other night is because I think they
were It's summer in the vicinity of eleven for fifty
one from three point range. Jalen Brown, I know, was
oh for nine and he's still at thirty six going
oh for nine from three. So Utah doesn't defend. Could
be just one of those up and down playground styles.
I could look over Ski, but like I said, I
haven't bet it yet.
Speaker 1: Bad over Pistons, k props. I can see any of
those dropping. Don says Jazz. I have not broke one
o three in any of their road games. He likes
their team total under tonight. Good stuff. Next up Wizards
and Celtics, and they go up to twelve and a
half from eleven, and the total went up about three points.
I'm seeing two thirty three thirty three and a half Celtics.
I mean, I feel like they should be embarrassed. I mean,
we know they're missing a lot from last year, but
still that was that was pretty embarrassing last game. Washington
will be without Middleton, and Washington hasn't been looking great lately.
One person I trust for Washington Kyshawn George, especially with
Middleton out. His point prop was thirteen and a half
this morning. I'm almost certain that's gone up fourteen and
a half. Like he's getting fifty. He averages a little
bit over seventeen. He's getting fifteen, you know, every single night,
as long as he doesn't get in foul trouble or
file out. Even when he does get in foul trouble,
he still makes it a lot of times. But all
I'm saying is he'll have a lot of opportunity without
Middleton on the court. Boston not the best defensive team.
I think he can get fourteen to fifteen points. So
Kishawn George over on his point prop for me, what
do you think? You know?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think they'll score, you know, like I I'll
just take what I said earlier and apply it here.
Boston eleven for fifty one, twenty one point six percent
from three. Not great for the Celtics. I would expect
to bounce back here against this defense of the Wizards,
fifth worst in the league in defensive efficiency. Yet they're
this second fastest pace. This game is going to go
up and down. I'll go back to what you said
about Jalen Brown, thinking he's on a track team more
than a basketball team. This game should have plenty of
opportunity to score.
Speaker 1: I gotta stop you right there, you know, go ahead,
I got to stop you. Jaylon Brown is a liar, bro.
I don't know what the hell he was talking about.
They're not running. They're playing at the slowest pace in
the league. Whatever he said, throw it out the window
to me.
Speaker 2: I got him here pace twelve, but it is slow.
Speaker 1: Maybe I'm mistaken. That's my bad. But I don't know.
Maybe I don't know what I saw.
Speaker 2: My bad. Jalalen Brown, You're a damn.
Speaker 1: No, I have the Celtics at twenty eighth for pace
twenty eight.
Speaker 2: That's how do I have them twelve? Okay, I don't know.
This one goes by possessions per game. Maybe we're going
off different figures, but we'll straighten it out. But let's
just say there for sake being their their bottom bottom tier.
The Knicks are also bottom tier and he lying about
his hair. Gotta love the chat. The Knicks are bottom
four in paces. Well, they got one nineteen the other
night against this team, So for me, Boston shoots a
little bit better than eleven fifty one. It's interesting to
watch these guys Sky Peyton Pritchard. Here's something that entered
my mind. These guys like Peyton Pritchard and Sam Hauser
that came off the bench and shot threes as role players,
now thrown into extra minutes roles not really shooting as
well as they had. It might be an adjustment period
for them. Not sure, but I know Washington will push.
They do it to everybody. Like I say, they allowed
to slow Nicks to get to one nineteen the other night,
so it could be an overplay for me over this
two thirty three and a half, they pushed it from
two thirty to two thirty three and a half. A
little bit of a move there. We'll see if I
get to the window with.
Speaker 1: It, I'll be rooting for you, Robi, you know. But
Jayalen Brown, you a damn lie.
Speaker 2: You gotta have one of those side, one of those
drop buttons where we can press that every now and again.
Speaker 1: Le Bron down, We're all right, Let's let's keep going.
We gotta we got some more games here. Houston and Grizzlies.
Not a whole lot of movement outside or total. Let's
check the injuries. Steven Adams, Javaris Smith Junior both questionable,
dfs out. We know Vanvleets out. Memphis, same four guys,
Clark Adie, Jerome Pippin out. No seeing uh Adams Andrew
Baris Smith. You know, it does give me a little
bit of hesitation. I mean, the Rockets that started off
a little shaky. They won four in a row, right,
They're supposed to be a really good defensive team, and uh,
I don't know. Something like my first initial thought when
I thought about this game was damn Grizzlies and John
Morant got to go against all that length, like it's
gonna be hard getting to the paint and scoring could
be minus some of that length that both Adams and
Jabari Smith don't play. And then I always say, you know,
to win by margin. For me, I like teams that
can shoot the three well defend the three. I don't
view Houston as a good three point shooting team. So
on the rod laying it's many points, it makes me hesitate. Now,
I understand a lot of people are gonna run to
the window and just immediately fade the Grizzlies because Grizzlies
haven't looked good. I don't think they've covered. They haven't
covered their last five games, that for sure. And John Morant,
you know, just all the drama that's going on. You
don't know if he's gonna be out there wanting to
play or what. Been a lot of different opinions on him.
There's been some x NBA players, some Hall of famers
talking about him, saying what he should do. I'm wondering
how it's gonna turn out. Man. I want to say that.
I mean, at some point, either it's gonna be like this,
you know, it's gonna be like when Jimmy Butler was
in Miami and he's just loafing around until they finally
trade him and keep you know, doing that route, or
they're gonna figure things out, and he's just gonna, you know,
come and show everybody that he's still that guy. I
have a tough time thinking that it could be the night,
but they're at home. I don't believe in laying with Houston.
I wanted to try to find reasons to back to Grizzlies.
What do you think about this game?
Speaker 2: Well, I generally don't play under Ski, but I played
it here that post game out of job the other night.
I mean, they asked him the question, is the relationship
between you and management irreparable? And he said, yeah, they
told you that, right, So he throws everything toward management,
but he was not happy. You watch the game the
other night, which was the game I wanted to see.
Whole offense looked disjointed. He didn't look all at engage
five of sixteen. His backcourt partner Jalen Wells was two
of fourteen. They scored one hundred and five one hundred
and six in that game. Honestly, I don't think he
wanted like you're saying, he doesn't want to be there
when he's out on the floor. I don't think it.
By the looks of the other night, and by the
looks by the sound of his comments afterwards in the
locker room in that post game with the reporter, it
sounds like his interest level here is zero. I didn't
play the Rockets for a couple of the reasons you mentioned,
injuries and whatnot. But two thirty two and a half
just looked way too high for this game to me.
I think it probably lands somewhere in the lower two twenties.
So I'm gonna get to probably the under in this
game and be interesting to keep an eye on what
goes on with Memphis here, because you know, when it
I tell you he can't repair the relationship between him
and the management, it's it's that far going. Then I
don't want to be on that any part of that.
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's tough, it's definitely tough. Maybe it's a wait
and see, but man, at some point, I mean it's hard.
You know, in the business, we always say, you know,
they're not gonna the books, the market, They're not gonna
let you beat them forever on the same thing. Like,
like I said, the Grizzlies have been covered in forever.
At some point they're gonna be getting too many points. Rights.
It's tough when you know you also got to think
about the effort the players are gonna give in that game.
So it's hard. I guess I need a little bit
more time with Memphis and Houston Pelicans and MAVs. Shout
out to the Pelicans. Yesterday I was on them. They
got the first win of the season, barely, but they
got it. They saved Willie Green's job. I know he's
happy tonight. Missy and Poor are both questionable. Zone out
for the the mass lively ad x M, Kyrie all out.
A lot missing in this one. You know, Pelicans on
the back to back. Can't look towards the Pelicans, absolutely not.
And it's just you know, I was on him yesterday
because they're finally playing a sorry team, No LaMelo, they're
at home, desperate fer whin. They finally got that way
and it could be satisfied now and on the back
to back could be missing some guys in the Mass.
They have been They have been playing up to how
everybody viewed. You know, this roster will perform this season
and a lot of it, you know, probably is Jason
Kidd just being an idiot. I mean, he's not dumb.
He's a smart guy. He's a good player, good coach.
But he's being dumb right now trying to put Cooper
Flag at point guard and not allowing the team to
thrive with a real point guard. So if you told
me Daniel Russell was starting tonight, I would feel a
lot more comfortable about laying the points with them. You
tell me Delo is starting, I'll be looking at his
props as well. Even without him starting, I'm interested in
his assists at five and a half. So that's where
I'm at with this game. Tell me Delo starting, I
think his MAVs and Delo props, what do you think.
Speaker 2: Of You know, I played, and I played the Dallas side,
and it's a lot of points, so I had to
kind of hold my nose and play it. But the
situation screams toward Dallas. You know that game last night
that the Pelicans won, It's one twelve, one oh eight
Charlotte with a couple of minutes left. It took an
eight to nothing run out of the Pelicans at the
end of the game to win that thing. So they
were almost they were actually in danger of losing that
game too. Before I open my mouth because I do
not want to quote role numbers, I show Dallas number
three in pace in the NBA. Where you got them?
Speaker 1: Oh you know that does? I mean, just thinking about
the Dallas team, that doesn't sound right. But I'm gonna
tell you right now, my bad. I have them at
Dallas third. That's correct.
Speaker 2: Yeah, So you got the third fastest team, and I
showed New Orleans again the second slowest team. And you're
in a back to back, you like to play slower.
The other side's gonna run because they know you're in
back to backs. I just think that at some point
in time Dallas can create a little bit of margin
here in this particular game over the course of forty
eight minutes, and probably sustainable because New Orleans just doesn't
have that. They showed it last night. So I won't
say they don't have it at all, because they showed
come back ability last night to win that game in
the end. But like you say, that was going after
their first win against a team that was severely hobbled.
I think Dallas is the right side of here situationally, Ski,
so minus eight and a half was one of the
things I played today.
Speaker 1: I like it all right, Let's keep going. Heat and
Nuggets went on from eight to nine and a half.
Total went from two thirty nine highest two forty two.
And looking at injuries here if I can get there,
Jamal Murray, Julian Strauther both probable, Ya questionable for the Heat.
No Hero, no Roseier, Heat coming back when they're gonna
take them off, I'm gonna keep saying his name, though
I don't keep the name alive. As long as they
put them on there, I'll keep saying it just because
it's funny to me. But the Heat, this is with
their third game in four nights. They played the Lakers,
they played the Clippers. Now they come into elevation and
play Denver. That just doesn't seem like a good spot
for this Heat team. Denver. I don't think of them like.
I never like them defensively really, but the pace that
Miami likes to play, I don't know. I feel like
Miami is gonna be worn out in this game. It's
just my thought up in Denver, like, I feel like
they can score really on anybody. So I'm leaning Nuggets here,
but nothing with conviction, right, now how about you.
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's funny because Miami continues to just play rapidly
no matter. But this is the fourth of a four
game road trip. Like you say, it's third and four nights.
It's fourth overall on the road at San Antonio, at
Lakers at Clippers. Not much travel there between Lakers Clippers,
and that back to back they scored one hundred and twenty.
They just seem to get their points no matter what
they do defensively. They may get their points here because,
like you said, Denver doesn't play any defense. I looked
immediately at their team total, but I shied away because
it was one sixteen and a half and I thought, well,
maybe they don't make one seventeen in this particular instance.
But it's the way i'd look if I had to play,
because Denver just seems to be fine beating teams, you know,
one thirty to. They don't mind giving them up as
long as they're scoring them. So it's just I like
the way Miami's played throughout so far. They've stuck to
their guns and played this fast paced still number one
in tempo. If I had to play, i'd look Miami
team total over but I do think that numbers set
a little bit too high. I would have preferred something
like thirteen and a half. Fourteen and a half in
that range appears a little high.
Speaker 1: Yeah, if you tell me Miami is getting over the
team total, I'm just betting the full game over because
I think Denver's gonna score. I worry about just the
travel fatigue, and just travel fatigue and playing so many
games lately. I worry Nuggets are over for me. Rob,
you know, all right, man? Finally, last game, last game
dying here, Spurs and Lakers opened up two and a half.
Still two and a half, open to thirty and a half.
It's like to twenty seven and a half. Olynic so
high waters all questionable. Let me just refresh this. It says, yeah, okay,
dearon Fox, Dylan Harper, Luke Cornett out for the Lakers,
Jackson Hayes is probable, Austin Ridge is questionable. Lebron Kleva
thero Vincent out. I mean I heard Winby say, you
know how much he respects Luca, and he doesn't think
he's ever one versus Luca. I also know that winby'
is a lot better this year than he has been
in the past couple of years. With that said, miss
Dylan Harper, that's a big loss at point guard for
this team. Not getting Darren Fox. I know we haven't
seen him yet, but it's gonna be a lot on Castle.
So I can see Castle scoring tonight. I mean, you
don't have the best unless it's market Smart or somebody.
I mean Lakers defense, especially that the guard position is
just not great, and his usage is so high without
Harper or without anybody else there, you know, at the
point guard. So Castle props I can understand. Outside of that,
I don't know whether A Reeves plays or not. I'm
kind of thinking that the Lakers. The Lakers are gonna
be able to score too. Luca Orst. The guards over there,
they're not gonna have anything for him. Reez vversus the
guards over there, He's gonna be able to score and
get to the free throw line if he does play.
You just got to worry about wind Be down there
in the paint. I could see, you know, maybe they
I mean, if you put a shooter out there a center,
obviously we can take advantage of him on the other end.
But I see the Lakers trying to get Windby away
from the paint, and just I think they could score
on his Spurs team. So I over or Lakers for me,
really more so Lakers, Luca, I think he gets a
job done today. Can you talk me off the Lakers?
Speaker 2: Well, I would say there's a huge gap in defenses here,
seeing in Tone the number one rated defensively fish team
in the league. A lot of that obviously has to
do with Wenby at the rim and being such a
good rim protector. So when you said you'd like to
see them draw him away from the rim, makes a
lot of sense. Whether they can or not remains to
be seen, but they are the number one defensive efficiency
team in the league. They're also against Ski I'll check
with your numbers. I show San Antonio the slowest paced
team in the NBA, just not getting up and down,
and the Lakers, although they score a lot of points,
they're efficient, but they're fairly slow too. My first look
here again, it's come out of my mouth once already
today was towards the under. They bet it that way
down to two twenty seven and a half. But I
think San Antonio defensively is just good enough to get
this done. We're gonna see something else creeps into my
mind where the other night Luca doesn't play, Austin Reeves
doesn't play, the Lakers win. Now Luca's back, it's the NBA.
They probably don't tonight. But for me, it would probably
be a look. And it's the exact opposite of what
you said. And very seldom do we disagree as much
as we've done today. But I think that I would
look seeing Antonio because the defensive edge that they have
and also probably a little bit under still haven't played,
might get their injury reports important here to me, especially
where Austin Reeves is concerned.
Speaker 1: RUI all right, yeah, Jojo like really points and rebounds.
All right? You know we made it, didn't I didn't.
I made it to the end, all right. I'm just
gonna pass it to you, Robie, and I'm not putting
anything up on the screen. If there's anything you would
like to promote, feel free. If you have a best
bet for the show, we love to hear.
Speaker 2: It real quick. We'll just tell everybody. Weekend Warrior Football
package up and available wager talk dot Com Saturday, Sunday, Monday,
all football just forty nine dollars. If you're into the football,
you obviously want to get involved there. One last thing
I will say is that those involved in college basketball,
you can check me out with Brian Power and Adam
Trigger ten am every morning on Wager Talk's Full Court
Press College Hoops Show. Let me go back to where
we started. I like the Sixers team total over one
twelve and a half. It's going to be my best bet,
one of the two things that I did bet today,
the other one being Dallas. So if you want to
take that into consideration as well, you can. But again
I explain the reasons why I like Philadelphia. I just
I like the energy on this team right now. They
don't play a lot of defense. They push pace, and
they do score. And if Cleveland's injury list has even
a couple of those guys off, especially Jared Allen, they
probably will score more than one twelve and a half.
So that's my play here. Best bet, Philly, Philadelphia seventy
six ers team total over one twelve and a half.
Speaker 1: Good stuff from Ralphino. For myself, my best bet will
be Keishawn George over thirteen and a half, fourteen and
a half points, whatever you can get. He's had fifteen
plus five at a seven game names. No, Middleton will
have a lot more on his play tonight, and I
don't I don't fear. I don't think they feared that
Celtics defense over there, so I think he'll be able
to get fifteen plus tonight. That's Keyshawn George for the
Washington Wizards. You know, appreciate you taking the time to
catch these games with me. We'll be back doing it
again tomorrow. Everybody in the chat. Appreciate you guys tapping
into good look everybody on all your action and we
will catch you guys tomorrow