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Speaker 1: Alright, welcome to wa Did You Talk Today?

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Speaker 2: The gold standard of the sports betting shows, where we

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talk the talk and walk the walk.

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Speaker 1: It's Thursday. We got a loaded show lined up.

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Speaker 2: We got football, we got hoops, we got market insights,

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joined by Dan, who's back after his Wednesday hiatus. Dan's

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gonna walk us through who we got in today's lineup? Dan,

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who are we talking to today?

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Speaker 3: Yes, Andy, I missed you yesterday. Buddy, good to see

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you here. Yes, I know, I know the bromance is

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real here, but yeah, man, awesome Thursday show that we

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got for you. Obviously, Thursday night football tonight, big time matchup,

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major playoff implications in this Rams and Seahawks game. So

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Steve Merril's gonna give us a full breakdown of the game.

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Andy and I have some props for you. Of course,

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Andy's going all around the world before we're done. So

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when there's little lulls and you're saying, where the hell

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are our free picks? Trust me, you're getting an insane

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amount of free picks throughout the show.

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Speaker 4: Here. We always lead the show off.

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Speaker 3: Outside of Tuesday and Wednesdays with Yanni the Greek. He's

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gonna break down what we're seeing some steam coming up

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in college football bowl games, the college football playoffs, and

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which is one guest. Today, we're gonna get a nice

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deep dive with Steve Merrill, two NBA free plays, Magic Nuggets,

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Warrior Sons, all that and more Andy, all that in

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a bag of tricks, as they once said, coming on

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the Thursday edition, here a wait to talk today, Buddy,

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I'm pumped.

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Speaker 1: I'm glad you said tricks.

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Speaker 2: There's there's yes, it was another word that rhymes with

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tricks that I was like, whoa, Dan.

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Speaker 3: You're like, please know this is the intro. Dan, don't

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get us canceled in the intro. Now, we at least

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save the cancelable stuff till the back end of the show.

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Speaker 2: As you well know, absolutely absolutely, let's bring in Yanni

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and yeah, okay, give.

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Speaker 4: You's about to teach you how to fish. Get your notepad.

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Yanni's about to teach you how to fish. Come on, uh, Yanny.

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Speaker 2: Some really crazy matchups here to start bull season. Last night,

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the Raging Cajuns were anything but rage and they were

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they were the Sleeping Caguns. I know that the over

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a lot of people up before that we had the

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Kim Cook. You know, kind of just last second, Oh,

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I'm not gonna play. What do we make a Bull

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season so far? I know it's only a couple of games,

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but are the markets scared at all? As their volatility

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is their movement?

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Speaker 1: What are we doing?

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Speaker 5: No, you haven't seen heavy volume yet. That's gonna start

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to pick up Friday. That's when you get Alabama playing,

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you start talking playoffs, people start to get more into

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that holiday where now just a week away. I think

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you're really gonna start feeling it this weekend. Instead, it

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kind of felt like Mac games. That's how these Bowl

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games felt like those Tuesday Mac games during the regular season.

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You know, personally, I love Bullseason. I think there's a

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ton of value. I'd set it from Thanksgiving, since Thanksgiving

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coming into Thanksgiving week that there is so much opportunity,

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and since we sat down and put it all together

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with Johnny, we're gonna do a lot of damage. And

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since Thanksgiving, I actually just check, I'm up seventy five

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units bro over ten percent, ROI two hundred plus bets

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close to sixty percent. And that's the opportunity that we're

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going to have over the next six weeks. As well,

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like my family knows until the end of January, I'm

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just working like this is that time of year where

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there's just so much value on the board if you're

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patient and you're not afraid to fire. Like this morning,

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I had no idea I was going to get involved

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in this Bowl game and the Thursday night game. But

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next thing you know, I got a side in total

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on the Bowl game. I'm already involved on the Thursday

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Night NFL game because again it's that time of the

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year where even the betting syndicates are getting involved in

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these marquee matchups because there's so much public money outweighing

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sharp money that the books are forced to adjust for

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this risk and towards that narrative, which we know is

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always you know, more or less an overreaction. So not

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sure what you want to go over first, because I

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got a lot of stuff for you guys, whatever you

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want to talk about. We're loaded for bear today.

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Speaker 2: All right, Well, football is king, So let's start with

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the big time game, the Thursday Night NFL. What are

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we seeing there, and then let's segue into Bowl season.

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Speaker 5: Well, you're looking at a coin flip type of game,

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and that's exactly what this line's telling you. We're gonna

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let the market decide and as long as we don't

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get middled we should be able to sweep up the veig.

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That's the books approach to this game. They had Seattle

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was a one point favorite in the look ahead. Rams

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went through about a one point favorite early in the week.

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Now Seattle's back to a one point favorite. The flip

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of the favorite has nothing to do with wiseguy money

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early in the week. It has all to do with

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the confirmation or unconfirmed injuries. Key for the Rams obviously

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the Bonte Adams's touchdown leader in twenty twenty five, not

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one hundred percent for sure hamstring issues hasn't been ruled out.

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It will be a game time decision based on the

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betting line. I don't think he's gonna play Seattle, though

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their left guard will be out also, so I think

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there was a little reaction to that midweek with the

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talk of Adams not being ruled out yet. So I

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think that's why you saw it swayed towards the Rams

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and now it's swaying back the other way. But it's

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a coin flip type of game. Even power rating wise,

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you have the number one and number two teams in

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the NFL playing each other. And let me break this

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down for you.

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Speaker 4: You have the.

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Speaker 5: Rams top five offense, top five defense, with the sixth

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toughest schedule in the NFL. That's very impressive. That's why

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they are undoubtedly the number one power rated team and

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on a neutral field, no one should be favored over

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the La Rams. Now they're playing Seattle, which is the

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number two power rated team as far as my power

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rating goes, who also has a top five offense, top

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five defense. Difference is strength of schedule. They have the

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twenty second most difficult strength of schedule, so only ten

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teams had an easier go of bit than Seattle has.

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That's where you're looking at the difference. In very similar statistics. Again,

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we have the Rams third on offense, fifth on offense

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for Seattle. We have the Seattle defense about third and

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the Rams defense about fifth. So there are mirrors of

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each other except for strength of schedule. So let's give

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the Rams the edge for strength of schedule. But uh oh,

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they're playing this one in Seattle. Home field advantage for

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Seattle about one point eight the two point one depend

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on who you talk to. We'll just make it two points.

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So I think that's why you're looking at the line

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where it is. Power rating wise, neutral field rams should

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be about a one one and a half point favorite.

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We add in the home field advantage for Seattle, and

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that's why you're looking at this betting line more or

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less a coin flip. I don't think that's gonna change

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because the next key number is three. It will not

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reach their in either direction. The totals dropped significantly. It's

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starting to creep back up because the recreational betters are

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starting to get involved. But the wise guys steam the

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under immediately. They steam the under as soon as the

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look ahead went up at forty seven and a half,

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they steamed the under forty six and a half. When

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it got adjusted, they hit the under forty six on Monday,

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they hit the under forty four. On Tuesday, they got

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it down to forty two and a half yesterday. This morning,

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we're starting to see forty three. As recreational betters, they're

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not as comfortable betting unders, especially in primetime games, so

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that'll start to balance that out again. This is the

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kind of game where you're booking, you're in a good position,

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you're not gonna get middled maybe on the total, not

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on the side, and you're getting good two way action

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from the public looking at the back end right now.

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That's exactly what I'm seeing my boys book right now.

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It's almost he's got probably like booked about one hundred

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and twenty something bets on it already and he barely

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has a risk of a nickel on one side. So

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balanced action right down the middle, which for a book

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you can't get better than that.

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Speaker 2: I'm planning my flag on this hill that the Seattle

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Seahawks are the frauds of the NFC.

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Speaker 1: I don't buy this team.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, okay, listen to their last and I get it.

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You have to be you have to beat who's in

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front of you. They can't do anything.

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Speaker 1: About their schedule.

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Speaker 2: But they just beat Philip Rivers before that, Kirk Cousins,

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before that Brasmer, and before that cam Ward in the

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game before that they lost to the Rams. I'm just

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these all were top five offense, were top five defense. Again,

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not their fault, but I just think these power ratings

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are off with Seattle.

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Speaker 1: I don't think they're good.

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Speaker 2: And Sam Darnold is the ultimate uh oh, it's a

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big game and he threw four interceptions. And I say

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that because that's what he did against this Rams team

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last time they played. Did he threw four interceptions? This

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is this is this is an eleven and three team.

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I would be terrified to put my money on. So

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there's gonna be a team that falls apart.

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Speaker 1: That people don't expect.

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Speaker 2: And I don't know what people's expectations are of Seattle,

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but for me, I'm completely out.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, what's crazy is they are like similar except for that,

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Like is we all think the Rams really are legit,

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but is Seattle like even like you said, with Donald

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he's top five in passing success rate, Like he's actually

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ranked top five with a fifty one point seven. Matthew

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Stafford's number one at fifty five point four. But in

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between them is like Mac joh Drake May, Daniel Jones.

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So he's like in the pack with the top five

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guys of this season. But you're saying that's strength of

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schedule related more than anything else, and that's going to

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play out. That's the beauty that'll play out as the

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season progresses and they make the playoffs and the level

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of competition starts stepping off. We're gonna find out for sure.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I just I watched them struggle mightily against

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Philip Rivers last week, and.

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Speaker 1: Maybe I just can't get that one image out of mind.

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Speaker 5: Here's one and a halbs now. I think the Rams

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at plus seven and a half makes a great teaser

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with a total that's down at forty two and a

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half forty three, I think that is a plus e

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b bet if you can find someone that tied into

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and right now you have like the Chargers or an

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option if that doesn't move off otherwise that's the problem.

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Like I'm looking for someone to tie that into, and

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I have to ume Detroit goes to seven and a

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half or eight to make this play, or take the

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Chargers and hope they Dallas doesn't go to like three,

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which I don't think that's gonna happen. So I think

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that may be the move, tying them in with the Chargers.

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We'll see, we'll see.

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Speaker 2: Uh yeah, Rob asks if there's wind in Seattle tonight.

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Speaker 1: Weather is always difficult to pray settle up there up there,

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it's hourly.

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Speaker 2: I checked it this morning, rain throughout the day, but

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will be stopping before the game like it's supposed to

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stop in the mid afternoon, late afternoon temperatures will be fine,

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so and wind good luck, good luck guessing the wind

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up in.

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Speaker 4: That part of the part of yeah, yeah, especially when

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it's gusts.

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Speaker 3: But it's a good point there by the comment or two,

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because wind is one of the factors that actually matters.

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Like people blow up, rain and snow and all of

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these weather factors way too much. The one that matters

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is whin And like Andy said, even when you're trying

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to handicap how wind affects a stadium, sometimes there will

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be whirling in the south end. Does that affect what

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happens on the north end of the field. You know,

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it's a very tough thing to handicap, but wind is

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the number one thing that's affecting, especially when you're talking

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about totals how to bet them.

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Speaker 2: In my opinion, I think wind is overrated. I think

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I think people will put way too much into wind.

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I don't pay attention until it's over twenty It needs

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to be over twenty mile an hours sustained. They always

238
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do this thing where they say it's windy, and what

239
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do they do.

240
00:12:29,279 --> 00:12:31,559
Speaker 1: They show the flag on top of.

241
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Speaker 2: The stadium, that's fair, and they're like, look how windy

242
00:12:34,840 --> 00:12:36,559
it is, and then they cut down to the players

243
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who are just throwing. Do you know why because the

244
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stadiums are made of walls, and there's walls.

245
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Speaker 1: Not like the flag way up there.

246
00:12:46,000 --> 00:12:48,759
Speaker 2: You give me gusts over thirty five and sustained over

247
00:12:48,840 --> 00:12:51,360
twenty I'm interested. And by the way, I also didn't

248
00:12:51,559 --> 00:12:53,759
do you guys know this. The quarterbacks are allowed to

249
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throw spirals that cuts through said wind to the widers.

250
00:12:59,000 --> 00:13:01,600
I think we put too much. That's an eighty leane

251
00:13:01,720 --> 00:13:04,919
take for another day. All right, Johny, let's talk. Let's

252
00:13:04,919 --> 00:13:07,759
talk about the Bowl game's power ranking steam.

253
00:13:07,799 --> 00:13:09,240
Speaker 1: What do you got for the rest of the Bulls?

254
00:13:09,519 --> 00:13:12,240
Speaker 5: Well, well, the game today. These are What's funny is

255
00:13:12,279 --> 00:13:15,159
I have Missouri. My guy does every team, and he's

256
00:13:15,200 --> 00:13:20,960
got Missouri State in Arkansas State one number off each other.

257
00:13:21,039 --> 00:13:24,879
He's got Missouri State as the ninety eighth power rated

258
00:13:24,919 --> 00:13:28,039
team and he's got Arkansas State as the ninety seventh

259
00:13:28,320 --> 00:13:31,399
power rated team. And it kind of makes sense. One

260
00:13:31,480 --> 00:13:33,480
has like one hundred and tenth toughest schedule, the other

261
00:13:33,519 --> 00:13:36,120
one has the one hundred and fifteenth toughest schedule. And

262
00:13:36,200 --> 00:13:39,679
even offensively and defensively, one's like one hundred and five,

263
00:13:39,720 --> 00:13:41,879
the others one hundred and ten. Ones one hundred and five,

264
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the others one hundred and ten on offensive defense. So

265
00:13:44,679 --> 00:13:47,320
that's why it's funny you're seeing a coin flip type

266
00:13:47,360 --> 00:13:49,360
of game here. But like I said, it all picks

267
00:13:49,440 --> 00:13:54,960
up tomorrow with Oklahoma and Alabama. Oklahoma is now the favorite.

268
00:13:55,600 --> 00:13:58,159
Talked about them early as that was one of the

269
00:13:58,200 --> 00:14:02,360
first steam moves we soul when the bowl and playoff

270
00:14:02,399 --> 00:14:06,679
lines went off immediately in the steam sheet. For those

271
00:14:06,720 --> 00:14:10,120
that have it, they should have already seen Oklahoma plus

272
00:14:10,159 --> 00:14:13,440
two Oklahoma plus one and a half. They came back

273
00:14:13,480 --> 00:14:18,679
and hit it twice. That's why Oklahoma is now the favorite.

274
00:14:18,919 --> 00:14:23,399
Power rating wise, I have them one above the other

275
00:14:23,600 --> 00:14:27,840
I have I mean ranking wise, they have one above

276
00:14:27,840 --> 00:14:30,519
the other. Power rating wise, that's not the case. I

277
00:14:30,559 --> 00:14:35,720
have Alabama as the eighth best team. I have Oklahoma

278
00:14:35,840 --> 00:14:41,320
as the sixteenth best team. So my power ratings do

279
00:14:41,440 --> 00:14:46,679
not reflect what the rankings reflect, but the markets moving

280
00:14:46,960 --> 00:14:51,320
in the direction of the rankings, not of my power ratings.

281
00:14:51,480 --> 00:14:54,720
I would have preferred to see Alabama move up to

282
00:14:54,879 --> 00:14:56,399
a one and a half two two and a half

283
00:14:56,440 --> 00:14:59,559
three point favorite that didn't happen, which makes it tough

284
00:14:59,600 --> 00:15:02,759
for me. This morning, we have saw steam come in

285
00:15:02,840 --> 00:15:06,639
on the over at forty and forty and a half.

286
00:15:07,120 --> 00:15:09,519
The initial move opened at forty and a half, you

287
00:15:09,559 --> 00:15:13,039
saw down to like forty wasn't really getting any kind

288
00:15:13,080 --> 00:15:16,679
of action. That all changed this morning. Like I said,

289
00:15:16,960 --> 00:15:20,080
you're gonna start seeing a lot of the bulb bets

290
00:15:20,519 --> 00:15:25,799
coming in tonight through tomorrow. For the next seven ten days,

291
00:15:26,159 --> 00:15:31,240
limits start to increase. The paper heads that I deal

292
00:15:31,320 --> 00:15:35,960
with and the offscreen books all now up the limits

293
00:15:36,080 --> 00:15:40,120
all have signs and totals, even some props. So you're

294
00:15:40,159 --> 00:15:43,320
gonna start to see these groups firing, pay attention to

295
00:15:43,440 --> 00:15:46,120
line moves. Over the next twenty four to forty eight hours,

296
00:15:46,679 --> 00:15:49,200
you'll see a lot of the legit stuff get down.

297
00:15:49,360 --> 00:15:52,799
Like I said this morning with the Alabama and Oklahoma total,

298
00:15:55,679 --> 00:15:56,720
it's kind of.

299
00:15:56,559 --> 00:15:58,480
Speaker 2: A ways out on some of these bulls are the

300
00:15:58,600 --> 00:16:01,440
sharps and the syndicate. It's their timeframe on waiting for

301
00:16:01,519 --> 00:16:06,360
some of these like do they have like a timeline

302
00:16:06,360 --> 00:16:07,919
where we go. We got to pay attention to opt

303
00:16:07,919 --> 00:16:09,519
outs and who's going to play and who's not going

304
00:16:09,600 --> 00:16:11,679
to play or is it different from game by game

305
00:16:12,200 --> 00:16:12,919
it changes.

306
00:16:13,360 --> 00:16:17,399
Speaker 5: I've already played so many bets, but I don't release

307
00:16:17,519 --> 00:16:22,320
two subscribers and piggyback more for myself until I feel

308
00:16:22,399 --> 00:16:26,080
confident that it's a legit move and I have an

309
00:16:26,120 --> 00:16:28,840
opinion on that side. That's kind of the wait and see,

310
00:16:28,879 --> 00:16:31,360
which is why I've had to like I've already handicapped

311
00:16:31,399 --> 00:16:34,120
every single bowl game. I have what my power ratings

312
00:16:34,159 --> 00:16:37,000
shows the line should be. I have everything ready to go,

313
00:16:37,440 --> 00:16:40,399
so as the information comes, I could fire or pass.

314
00:16:40,519 --> 00:16:42,799
Kind of like what happened this morning with tonight's bowl game.

315
00:16:42,960 --> 00:16:44,720
I was like, I had an opinion on the side

316
00:16:44,720 --> 00:16:47,879
and the total, but no confirmation that changed this morning.

317
00:16:47,960 --> 00:16:50,440
I'm ready to fire. So that's kind of how I

318
00:16:50,559 --> 00:16:53,000
play it. But these guys already got down. Like anyone

319
00:16:53,039 --> 00:16:55,440
that's got the THEEAM sheet, I think there's fifteen sixteen

320
00:16:55,559 --> 00:16:59,399
plus college football, and I just put the sides in there.

321
00:16:59,399 --> 00:17:01,559
The totals I don't put till game day because there's

322
00:17:01,559 --> 00:17:05,680
so much manipulation. But what happens andy is then you'll

323
00:17:05,680 --> 00:17:09,079
see them come in on the other side today, perfect example,

324
00:17:09,160 --> 00:17:13,519
Missouri State plus two and a half, they flipped to

325
00:17:13,599 --> 00:17:18,240
the favorite today. They came in with Arkansas State without

326
00:17:18,279 --> 00:17:21,680
having access to good information and knowing whether it was

327
00:17:21,920 --> 00:17:25,319
being dummied up to get more down. It's tough for

328
00:17:25,400 --> 00:17:30,039
an average recreational better to decipher that movement. That's why

329
00:17:30,119 --> 00:17:32,519
I urge them not to try to figure it out,

330
00:17:32,680 --> 00:17:36,119
because the bold season line movements differ like we're playing

331
00:17:36,119 --> 00:17:39,440
with a different playing field right now, and a lot

332
00:17:39,480 --> 00:17:42,359
of stuff happens late that gets you guessing, like what's

333
00:17:42,400 --> 00:17:45,279
the side today, Missouri State or Arkansas State? I can

334
00:17:45,319 --> 00:17:49,799
tell you with certainty what side is the legit move

335
00:17:50,160 --> 00:17:53,319
and that gets harder to do because these lines have

336
00:17:53,359 --> 00:17:56,400
been up for so long. That's the problem.

337
00:17:56,920 --> 00:18:00,440
Speaker 2: Let's move to college basketball, potentially NBA. We got a

338
00:18:00,519 --> 00:18:03,799
huge slate in NBA, I would urge. I already saw

339
00:18:03,839 --> 00:18:06,200
this floating around on social media about why are the

340
00:18:06,279 --> 00:18:08,799
Knicks only like minus won seventy five money line against

341
00:18:08,799 --> 00:18:12,160
the Pacers. The team that has won the NBA Cup

342
00:18:12,160 --> 00:18:15,519
has come out flat as heck over the over.

343
00:18:15,400 --> 00:18:17,160
Speaker 1: The next couple of weeks both times.

344
00:18:17,160 --> 00:18:19,759
Speaker 2: So proceed with caution if you want to bet on

345
00:18:19,799 --> 00:18:22,440
the New York Nicks. So that's the story with that,

346
00:18:22,640 --> 00:18:25,160
But I'm going to you Steam Report. Let's start college basketball.

347
00:18:25,160 --> 00:18:25,880
What do you see in today?

348
00:18:26,359 --> 00:18:28,400
Speaker 5: Yeah, I'll just read off what I put in for

349
00:18:28,640 --> 00:18:32,319
the Steam Report already early seven thirty one firm and

350
00:18:32,400 --> 00:18:35,400
minus eight and a half seven twenty two, Eastern Illinois

351
00:18:35,440 --> 00:18:39,160
plus seven seven forty seven, Tennessee Martin plus four and

352
00:18:39,240 --> 00:18:44,359
a half seven forty six, Lindenwood minus eleven seven fifty

353
00:18:44,440 --> 00:18:49,279
two Southern miss minus the twelve and a half in

354
00:18:49,319 --> 00:18:53,039
the NBA total we got down on right away. Let

355
00:18:53,039 --> 00:18:55,480
me share that because it turned premium. But if you

356
00:18:55,559 --> 00:18:57,599
look at the betting line, it'll be hard to read

357
00:18:57,640 --> 00:19:00,720
it because it looks like the under. The under got

358
00:19:00,839 --> 00:19:04,160
dummy down last night and that was on Detroit Dallas.

359
00:19:04,480 --> 00:19:08,519
This morning, we came in off screen and steamed the

360
00:19:08,519 --> 00:19:12,279
shit out of the over in Detroit Dallas, not knowing

361
00:19:12,319 --> 00:19:14,400
whether it's gonna cash or not. But I can tell

362
00:19:14,440 --> 00:19:17,680
you that's exactly what happened, and that's why my guys

363
00:19:17,720 --> 00:19:22,880
got down the over as their premium play in that matchup. Also,

364
00:19:23,039 --> 00:19:25,599
Detroit got bet at minus five and a half and

365
00:19:25,720 --> 00:19:29,480
minus six in that game. Oklahoma City gets bet every

366
00:19:29,519 --> 00:19:33,240
single night. And then what happens is once it goes,

367
00:19:33,240 --> 00:19:37,519
the overnight gets bet up and then they wait and

368
00:19:37,559 --> 00:19:40,559
they bet it back down later after the public bets

369
00:19:40,559 --> 00:19:44,079
Oklahoma City as well, because they're just like blindly betting them.

370
00:19:44,079 --> 00:19:46,559
The public just looking for reason to bet Oklahoma City

371
00:19:46,880 --> 00:19:49,839
and you know minus twelve, thirteen, fifteen, that's not going

372
00:19:49,920 --> 00:19:53,319
to stop them. The Knicks, like you touched on, jumps

373
00:19:53,319 --> 00:19:59,200
out Toronto. That's sharp and the public's opposite. I'm seeing

374
00:19:59,200 --> 00:20:03,960
the public taken Milwaukee, but the sharp took Toronto. That's

375
00:20:03,960 --> 00:20:07,599
in multiple counts. And the Lakers Lakers, Lakers Lakers. Not

376
00:20:07,640 --> 00:20:09,880
sure if that's getting out ahead of the market because

377
00:20:09,880 --> 00:20:13,119
they also played it with the Over, which seems correlated.

378
00:20:14,480 --> 00:20:16,519
But yeah, they got down on the Lakers and Over

379
00:20:16,720 --> 00:20:20,480
and finally something that actually right now they're gonna go

380
00:20:20,599 --> 00:20:24,359
over in Golden State and Phoenix. They sprinkled over in

381
00:20:24,400 --> 00:20:27,119
the overnight and they're following through this morning. I don't

382
00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:33,960
really like it, but yeah, that's somebody NBA stuff already.

383
00:20:34,960 --> 00:20:36,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, there's a lot going on.

384
00:20:37,160 --> 00:20:40,160
Speaker 2: We've gone a long YADI, so we're gearing up for

385
00:20:40,160 --> 00:20:42,720
football Friday tomorrow. But on this Thursday, Tillerroom, what you

386
00:20:42,759 --> 00:20:43,039
have up.

387
00:20:43,680 --> 00:20:46,480
Speaker 5: Yeah, I got the Bowl game signed in total both

388
00:20:46,519 --> 00:20:49,640
four percent that's in there, the Xbox Bowl, I got

389
00:20:49,680 --> 00:20:52,359
the Thursday Night Football package. Those prime time games have

390
00:20:52,480 --> 00:20:57,240
been on fire, Saturday's Bowl game, Friday Bowl package. I'll

391
00:20:57,599 --> 00:21:01,079
Sunday NFL going for my third straight five percent, big

392
00:21:01,119 --> 00:21:04,960
move that's already in there. Yeah, just a lot over

393
00:21:05,000 --> 00:21:07,440
there at wager Talk. So jump on board for long

394
00:21:07,559 --> 00:21:10,079
term again. If you like money, you're already on board.

395
00:21:10,559 --> 00:21:13,119
Between now and the Super Bowl, it's a great opportunity

396
00:21:13,160 --> 00:21:15,880
to do some damage. And with the holidays up around

397
00:21:15,880 --> 00:21:18,640
the corner, let's pill then pockets up. Head on over

398
00:21:18,640 --> 00:21:20,359
to wagestalk dot com. I'll try to throw in some

399
00:21:20,400 --> 00:21:21,440
free stuff for you too.

400
00:21:22,319 --> 00:21:25,039
Speaker 4: You'd love to see it. Andy, Just a beautiful thing.

401
00:21:25,160 --> 00:21:29,240
Speaker 3: I mean, twenty minutes of Yannie Gold. We did the

402
00:21:29,559 --> 00:21:31,880
Thursday Night football game. He talked side in total, what

403
00:21:31,920 --> 00:21:36,279
they bet, college football bowls, college football playoff action, college basketball,

404
00:21:36,319 --> 00:21:38,960
and NBA team. If that doesn't earn us alike, and

405
00:21:39,000 --> 00:21:41,759
if you haven't already subscribed at the top of the show,

406
00:21:41,920 --> 00:21:43,880
all of that info, I mean, what the hell are

407
00:21:43,880 --> 00:21:48,039
we doing, man, what the hell are we doing? I know, Andy,

408
00:21:48,279 --> 00:21:51,279
so so I missed you yesterday, as you well know,

409
00:21:51,559 --> 00:21:55,240
and also as you well know, even though we plagiarized

410
00:21:55,359 --> 00:22:00,680
our Tuesday play for WTF and LFG, Luckily I didn't

411
00:22:00,799 --> 00:22:04,400
mush Jim Root. He gave us South Carolina. They ended

412
00:22:04,440 --> 00:22:06,039
up keeping the game close. They actually had a lead

413
00:22:06,079 --> 00:22:08,319
at one point. They end up you know, getting pulled away,

414
00:22:08,319 --> 00:22:10,000
but they were twelve and a half point underdogs.

415
00:22:10,039 --> 00:22:12,359
Speaker 4: I think they only ended up losing by a handful

416
00:22:12,400 --> 00:22:13,119
of points there.

417
00:22:13,319 --> 00:22:15,559
Speaker 3: So that has made it Andy after starting zero to

418
00:22:15,599 --> 00:22:20,359
two four straight on the WTF or LFG plays where

419
00:22:20,400 --> 00:22:22,839
I give Andy one play and he says, in my tailing,

420
00:22:23,119 --> 00:22:25,759
am I fading? Is this a WTF or is this

421
00:22:25,839 --> 00:22:29,240
an LFG? Well, Andy, in honor of going four straight,

422
00:22:29,559 --> 00:22:36,680
we finally have a graphic. Think about WTF or LFG.

423
00:22:36,799 --> 00:22:39,200
Speaker 4: Are we going down in flames? Or are we cashing

424
00:22:39,559 --> 00:22:40,160
some tickets?

425
00:22:40,200 --> 00:22:42,599
Speaker 3: Comment below and in the live chat what we think

426
00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:44,960
of our new graphic here. But Andy, what I have

427
00:22:45,079 --> 00:22:48,200
for you today Thursday Night Football prop is what we're

428
00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:53,319
going with here for the WTF or LFG, I'm actually

429
00:22:53,359 --> 00:22:57,960
taking a look at one that just feels a little auspiciously.

430
00:22:57,319 --> 00:22:59,680
Speaker 4: Low, and that is sious.

431
00:23:00,359 --> 00:23:02,880
Speaker 3: I thought you would like that, And that is Sam

432
00:23:02,960 --> 00:23:04,880
Darnald's rushing yard total.

433
00:23:05,599 --> 00:23:08,440
Speaker 4: Now, typically when I see when I see.

434
00:23:08,160 --> 00:23:12,559
Speaker 3: Totals for players that are low, I kind of lean

435
00:23:12,640 --> 00:23:14,599
towards letting the line lead the way. Like when you

436
00:23:14,640 --> 00:23:17,240
have a quarterback who has a half yard rushing total,

437
00:23:17,440 --> 00:23:20,680
it typically means the dude ain't leave in the pocket. Right, Well,

438
00:23:20,720 --> 00:23:23,759
Sam Darnald is sitting here at over four and a

439
00:23:23,839 --> 00:23:24,839
half rush yards.

440
00:23:24,880 --> 00:23:28,160
Speaker 4: This is around minus one thirteen is what you have

441
00:23:28,240 --> 00:23:28,480
to do.

442
00:23:28,960 --> 00:23:31,319
Speaker 3: Yeah, he's only averaging on the season five and a

443
00:23:31,359 --> 00:23:34,319
half rush yards per game, so it's right around that number.

444
00:23:34,759 --> 00:23:38,000
But the interesting thing when I started diving into this

445
00:23:38,079 --> 00:23:43,200
one is burst the Division Andy. He kind of pulls

446
00:23:43,200 --> 00:23:45,000
out the stops a little bit more. As far as

447
00:23:45,000 --> 00:23:47,720
a running perspective. He's had eleven or more yards in

448
00:23:47,920 --> 00:23:50,759
all of the games against the Division. He's played four

449
00:23:50,839 --> 00:23:53,759
so far but one, and the one that he didn't

450
00:23:53,799 --> 00:23:55,559
was when they blew out the Cardinals, so he didn't

451
00:23:55,599 --> 00:23:59,240
really need to expend much much extra energy. And if

452
00:23:59,240 --> 00:24:02,200
people remember, Donald was a backup quarterback in San France.

453
00:24:02,200 --> 00:24:04,039
So I don't know if it's the familiarity with some

454
00:24:04,079 --> 00:24:06,480
of these teams. But when he plays the NFC West,

455
00:24:06,720 --> 00:24:09,279
even going back to last year, I about he is

456
00:24:09,400 --> 00:24:13,160
average of fifteen rush yards per game against the NFC West.

457
00:24:13,160 --> 00:24:14,920
And it's not a small sample side. You have eight

458
00:24:14,960 --> 00:24:18,240
games to draw in and he's gone over this number

459
00:24:18,279 --> 00:24:20,960
in all of those eight games but one, and that

460
00:24:21,079 --> 00:24:23,400
was the one I referenced earlier. This season, he's also

461
00:24:23,440 --> 00:24:26,519
cashed in on this specific number in two straight week Andy,

462
00:24:26,839 --> 00:24:29,440
it's do or die time, major game.

463
00:24:29,960 --> 00:24:32,200
Speaker 4: No stops being put on, Sam Darnald.

464
00:24:32,200 --> 00:24:35,240
Speaker 3: Tonight, I'm going over four and a half rush yards,

465
00:24:35,480 --> 00:24:39,319
Sam Donald? Are we fading or are we tailing? WTF

466
00:24:39,400 --> 00:24:40,400
or LFG baby?

467
00:24:41,400 --> 00:24:43,480
Speaker 2: Oh well, honestly I would wait just a little bit

468
00:24:43,480 --> 00:24:46,240
because three and a half's are popping up as I'm

469
00:24:46,240 --> 00:24:47,359
looking at my churt.

470
00:24:47,440 --> 00:24:49,680
Speaker 4: So you're gonna get blown back by the wind? Is

471
00:24:49,720 --> 00:24:50,839
this a wind fade?

472
00:24:50,880 --> 00:24:53,200
Speaker 3: The wind is going to slow him down, he won't

473
00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:56,599
be his aerodynamic Is this why this number is going down?

474
00:24:56,680 --> 00:24:57,839
Speaker 4: That's a good poll there.

475
00:24:57,680 --> 00:25:01,640
Speaker 1: Man, that's it. I will ride on the over with

476
00:25:01,680 --> 00:25:02,200
this one.

477
00:25:02,279 --> 00:25:05,680
Speaker 2: I love these short totals when you can get over

478
00:25:05,720 --> 00:25:08,480
in just one play. And the fact is he's gone over.

479
00:25:08,519 --> 00:25:11,960
He went he had eleven yards against the Rams, and

480
00:25:12,000 --> 00:25:14,519
this is a defense that will get after him and

481
00:25:14,559 --> 00:25:16,240
we'll put pressure on him, and we just need a

482
00:25:16,279 --> 00:25:18,880
couple of plays where he gets outside the pocket. He's

483
00:25:18,920 --> 00:25:22,000
gone under in some games where you know, let's face it,

484
00:25:22,039 --> 00:25:26,000
the competition was not that great. Like Tennessee's not putting

485
00:25:26,039 --> 00:25:28,240
a lot of pressure on you to plush you out

486
00:25:28,279 --> 00:25:33,440
of the pocket. So neither is Arizona. So you look

487
00:25:33,440 --> 00:25:35,400
at some of the teams that he has gone over,

488
00:25:35,440 --> 00:25:38,119
and yeah, some teams that put pressure, So all right

489
00:25:38,200 --> 00:25:40,079
with you on this one. Also, his rush attempts have

490
00:25:40,119 --> 00:25:43,519
been pretty good, even though it was with different teams.

491
00:25:43,720 --> 00:25:46,400
Last four games against the Rams, he's gone over. So yeah,

492
00:25:46,680 --> 00:25:48,759
I think this is a LFG.

493
00:25:48,880 --> 00:25:50,119
Speaker 1: I think this is a right I love it.

494
00:25:50,519 --> 00:25:51,039
Speaker 4: I love it.

495
00:25:51,079 --> 00:25:54,319
Speaker 3: So we got the WTFBLFG. Put the check mark next

496
00:25:54,319 --> 00:25:56,599
to it. We got a tail here from Andy and

497
00:25:56,640 --> 00:25:58,359
on the show, we'll grade it four and a half.

498
00:25:58,359 --> 00:26:00,519
But like Andy said, shop around, there's and a half's

499
00:26:00,519 --> 00:26:03,160
out there. Obviously we want that lower number when we're

500
00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:06,160
talking about props. When it comes to props, sometimes I'll

501
00:26:06,200 --> 00:26:08,279
even lay more juice for the better number. You know,

502
00:26:08,359 --> 00:26:11,079
a lot of the times you're saying money line versus

503
00:26:11,480 --> 00:26:13,119
versus lay in one and a half things like that.

504
00:26:13,160 --> 00:26:16,400
There are times when you definitely want that to go

505
00:26:16,519 --> 00:26:18,960
the opposite way. But for me, props, give me the

506
00:26:18,960 --> 00:26:21,119
best number available, even if I got to eat some

507
00:26:21,240 --> 00:26:23,400
chalk on it. But we will grate it here four

508
00:26:23,400 --> 00:26:26,680
and a half and we want to have some differing opinions.

509
00:26:26,759 --> 00:26:28,839
Speaker 4: We have AWB my lax Man.

510
00:26:29,359 --> 00:26:33,640
Speaker 3: Obviously he's tailing with me, my NL King and SF Niner.

511
00:26:33,720 --> 00:26:35,720
I don't think he's ever tailed any of these. But

512
00:26:35,839 --> 00:26:40,960
we got a WTV. But it's okay, it's okay. I

513
00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:43,519
know what people will be saying, LFG FO andy. And

514
00:26:43,559 --> 00:26:46,519
that's the fact that we got Steve Merrill join in

515
00:26:46,559 --> 00:26:50,880
the program. Steve looking great brother. As always, we're gonna

516
00:26:50,960 --> 00:26:53,480
kick it off. Steve's got two NBA games. He's gonna

517
00:26:53,480 --> 00:26:56,319
be breaking down here for you. But Steve, let's segue

518
00:26:56,440 --> 00:26:59,119
right on in here to Thursday Night Football. Now, if

519
00:26:59,160 --> 00:27:01,279
you're subscribed to the channel and you're a fan of

520
00:27:01,319 --> 00:27:03,920
the solo videos that Steve does, you would be one

521
00:27:03,960 --> 00:27:09,759
of over thirty five thousand people that have watched Steve's

522
00:27:09,799 --> 00:27:13,519
Thursday Night Football game video already this dude breaks down

523
00:27:13,640 --> 00:27:16,079
or this dude, this dude, which way am I pointing this?

524
00:27:16,200 --> 00:27:20,440
Steve Merrill guy, he breaks down every single Prime game

525
00:27:20,680 --> 00:27:23,240
and these Bowl games that you've been breaking down, Steve.

526
00:27:23,279 --> 00:27:27,480
People love these videos. Thirty five thousand people can't be wrong.

527
00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:30,880
We got Amazon Prime tonight, Amazon Prime.

528
00:27:30,960 --> 00:27:33,359
Speaker 4: What are we betting in this one? Steve Howue breaking

529
00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:33,680
this one?

530
00:27:33,799 --> 00:27:35,519
Speaker 6: So you know, I tried to reply to all the

531
00:27:35,519 --> 00:27:37,319
comments I was laying to bet at like one thirty

532
00:27:37,359 --> 00:27:39,599
am Eastern last night, replying to comments, and it was

533
00:27:39,640 --> 00:27:42,480
at twenty seven thousand views. So we've gotten another eight

534
00:27:42,519 --> 00:27:45,799
thousand views in like, uh what eleven hours? So we

535
00:27:45,880 --> 00:27:49,119
got another eight hours to go, folks, let's hit forty thousand.

536
00:27:49,319 --> 00:27:51,559
That's the most ever for a Thursday night video. I

537
00:27:51,599 --> 00:27:53,640
don't think we've ever gotten to forty thousand. So check

538
00:27:53,680 --> 00:27:56,680
it out after this video. And not a surprise because

539
00:27:56,759 --> 00:27:59,400
the Prime, the pre free Prime. Look look what you

540
00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:02,160
did to me, Dan, You took it out of my point.

541
00:28:02,559 --> 00:28:04,279
I took it from me. Now I can't say it.

542
00:28:04,319 --> 00:28:05,200
You got to give it back.

543
00:28:05,240 --> 00:28:07,440
Speaker 3: But now justin yelling at me saying why is it

544
00:28:07,519 --> 00:28:09,000
Steve on already, I mean.

545
00:28:09,000 --> 00:28:12,599
Speaker 6: Yeah, the Prime videos are twelve and three twelve and

546
00:28:12,680 --> 00:28:15,480
three this season, and in fact, if you really want

547
00:28:15,480 --> 00:28:18,519
to get technical, if you take out Dan's Dan's damn Eagles,

548
00:28:18,519 --> 00:28:20,119
because I think I had the over in that Friday

549
00:28:20,200 --> 00:28:23,799
Prime game that missed, we're actually twelve and two on

550
00:28:23,880 --> 00:28:27,359
the Thursday Prime videos for technicalities, but yeah, look, I

551
00:28:27,559 --> 00:28:29,400
think the over is the play tonight. And I've mentioned

552
00:28:29,400 --> 00:28:30,920
this in the video. And you know, Dan and I

553
00:28:30,960 --> 00:28:34,720
recorded this back on Monday, and the weather was dropping

554
00:28:34,759 --> 00:28:36,920
the total a little bit at that point, from forty

555
00:28:36,920 --> 00:28:38,960
six down to forty four forty four and a half,

556
00:28:39,319 --> 00:28:41,240
and I gave a deep dive in the video why

557
00:28:41,279 --> 00:28:43,359
I think rain is overrated as far as totals, and

558
00:28:43,400 --> 00:28:45,119
then all of a sudden, it's forty two and a half.

559
00:28:45,400 --> 00:28:45,880
Speaker 4: Last night.

560
00:28:45,880 --> 00:28:47,720
Speaker 6: People are asking me in the comments, is it's still

561
00:28:47,720 --> 00:28:50,400
a playoff? Was like, yes, nothing has changed, and now

562
00:28:50,440 --> 00:28:53,359
it's forty three. Maybe we're going to see forty three

563
00:28:53,359 --> 00:28:55,119
and a half. And the reason being, I just checked

564
00:28:55,119 --> 00:28:58,279
the weather two minutes ago. It's expected to rain all

565
00:28:58,400 --> 00:29:01,519
day in Seattle half an inch and then stop this

566
00:29:01,599 --> 00:29:04,519
evening around six o'clock, so it's not going to be

567
00:29:04,559 --> 00:29:06,839
raining during the game, it looks like and then the

568
00:29:06,880 --> 00:29:08,960
win factor. You know, when I did the video, I

569
00:29:08,960 --> 00:29:11,160
said ten to twelve miles shri hours, like fifteen mile

570
00:29:11,200 --> 00:29:14,720
per hour, maybe seventeen at most. That's nothing extreme. So

571
00:29:14,799 --> 00:29:16,599
I really think that this total has dropped for the

572
00:29:16,599 --> 00:29:19,119
wrong reasons. I still like the over, and I think

573
00:29:19,160 --> 00:29:21,079
both offenses are capable of moving the ball. Now, these

574
00:29:21,079 --> 00:29:24,079
are two very good defensive teams as well statistically, but

575
00:29:24,200 --> 00:29:27,160
in recent years we see better offenses beat the good defenses.

576
00:29:27,200 --> 00:29:29,480
It wasn't like that back in the nineties when I

577
00:29:29,480 --> 00:29:31,440
started twenty nine and a half years ago as a

578
00:29:31,480 --> 00:29:34,400
full time professional handicapper smash mout football. In the eighties

579
00:29:34,400 --> 00:29:37,920
and nineties, defenses beat offenses. But now with the high

580
00:29:37,920 --> 00:29:41,319
precision passing attacks whether being okay tonight, I think there'll

581
00:29:41,359 --> 00:29:42,880
be some points. And the other thing I like about

582
00:29:42,880 --> 00:29:44,359
the points in this game is that Seattle had a

583
00:29:44,440 --> 00:29:47,720
terrible offensive game. Eighteen points, what was it? Six field goals?

584
00:29:47,720 --> 00:29:49,319
I mean, what do you do in Philip Rivers. He's

585
00:29:49,319 --> 00:29:51,960
a man, he's forty four, fifth oldest quarterback ever to

586
00:29:51,960 --> 00:29:54,960
start an NFL game, and they still barely beat him.

587
00:29:55,200 --> 00:29:57,920
So I looked for the Seahawks defense to offense to

588
00:29:57,960 --> 00:30:00,440
bounce back tonight and wouldn't be shot to the ram

589
00:30:00,519 --> 00:30:03,119
defense is a little fatigued after that comeback, high score

590
00:30:03,160 --> 00:30:06,160
and shootout against Detroit. Head coach McVeagh even said after

591
00:30:06,160 --> 00:30:09,160
the game Sunday like that was a physical game, and

592
00:30:09,240 --> 00:30:10,720
I do think the Rams are the best team in

593
00:30:10,759 --> 00:30:13,160
the NFL. I'm not disrespecting the Rams of the Super

594
00:30:13,200 --> 00:30:15,759
Bowl favor for a reason, but traveling on just three

595
00:30:15,839 --> 00:30:18,759
days of rest and travel, wouldn't be surprised to see

596
00:30:18,839 --> 00:30:19,480
some points tonight.

597
00:30:19,480 --> 00:30:20,319
Speaker 4: And the fact that this is.

598
00:30:20,240 --> 00:30:22,519
Speaker 6: Now down to forty three, which by the way, is

599
00:30:22,559 --> 00:30:24,880
a semi key number. There's some margins that can land

600
00:30:24,920 --> 00:30:27,000
on forty three. So if you still have that forty

601
00:30:27,039 --> 00:30:29,200
two and a half, grab the over. I think this

602
00:30:29,240 --> 00:30:31,480
line's gonna tick higher when people realize it ain't raining

603
00:30:31,519 --> 00:30:32,359
in Seattle tonight.

604
00:30:34,880 --> 00:30:38,240
Speaker 1: I we it's perfect timing because you weren't here.

605
00:30:38,279 --> 00:30:40,039
Speaker 2: We talked about how we thought the weather was a

606
00:30:40,119 --> 00:30:43,119
little overblown good for tonight, so without.

607
00:30:42,880 --> 00:30:43,960
Speaker 4: No pun intended.

608
00:30:47,319 --> 00:30:49,079
Speaker 3: Well, so the only win we want is the win

609
00:30:49,200 --> 00:30:51,839
to Sam Darnold's back, pushing him over four and.

610
00:30:51,839 --> 00:30:54,319
Speaker 6: A half three Andy, I gotta give John Huggle in

611
00:30:54,400 --> 00:30:57,000
one our great social media guy shout out. I'm assuming

612
00:30:57,000 --> 00:30:58,319
it was John, it might have been you, Dan, but

613
00:30:58,359 --> 00:31:00,240
I saw there was a YouTube sort. They to my

614
00:31:00,359 --> 00:31:02,440
my like ten minute video, made a short out of it,

615
00:31:02,960 --> 00:31:04,880
and I referenced the fog Bowl. I talk about, the

616
00:31:04,920 --> 00:31:07,720
only day it really affects scoring is wind and once

617
00:31:07,759 --> 00:31:10,000
a decade fog. So it's really just win and snow.

618
00:31:10,039 --> 00:31:11,720
We've seen the snow games the last couple of weeks,

619
00:31:11,839 --> 00:31:14,880
high scoring, right, the snow and rain does not affect scoring.

620
00:31:15,519 --> 00:31:17,119
But John at the very end of that little like

621
00:31:17,160 --> 00:31:19,920
YouTube short put the fog ball video on. I saw

622
00:31:19,960 --> 00:31:22,759
that late last night. That made my night. So go

623
00:31:22,880 --> 00:31:25,400
check that one out too. But under shift, you might

624
00:31:25,400 --> 00:31:26,480
not remember you're an Eagle fan.

625
00:31:26,559 --> 00:31:27,279
Speaker 4: Dance of course you.

626
00:31:27,359 --> 00:31:29,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, no, you have to you have to know

627
00:31:29,480 --> 00:31:31,200
and respect the fog ball.

628
00:31:31,279 --> 00:31:31,519
Speaker 4: Andy.

629
00:31:31,559 --> 00:31:33,119
Speaker 3: I know that there will be no fog in these

630
00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:35,359
NBA games, correct. We don't have to worry about any

631
00:31:35,359 --> 00:31:39,000
weather affecting these these uh this doubleheader that we got

632
00:31:39,000 --> 00:31:40,799
for Steve No.

633
00:31:40,680 --> 00:31:45,279
Speaker 2: But there's there's apparently some fog for the Orlando Magic.

634
00:31:45,799 --> 00:31:47,960
Speaker 1: This team has just been decimated with injuries.

635
00:31:48,000 --> 00:31:51,599
Speaker 2: No, I'm serious, like this poor Magic team, Steve on

636
00:31:51,680 --> 00:31:55,599
paper when all teams are healthy, this Orlando Magic team's

637
00:31:55,640 --> 00:31:59,319
really good and they cannot get their guys to stay healthy.

638
00:31:59,400 --> 00:32:04,279
Wagner's tonight, Suggs is out, big Harrow was out earlier

639
00:32:04,359 --> 00:32:06,359
this year, and you're seeing it in the line here.

640
00:32:06,359 --> 00:32:10,079
Dennis is mine at Denver is minus seven over under

641
00:32:11,039 --> 00:32:14,279
two thirty seven. Interested in your take here, Denver. You know,

642
00:32:14,319 --> 00:32:16,759
they get bounced out of the NBA Cup and then

643
00:32:16,799 --> 00:32:19,359
they play that incredible game against Houston the other night.

644
00:32:19,400 --> 00:32:21,559
They have been rested, looks like they're going to have

645
00:32:21,559 --> 00:32:23,559
most of their guys outside of the guys that are

646
00:32:23,559 --> 00:32:25,759
injured Gordon and Braun. What do you break down on

647
00:32:25,799 --> 00:32:26,279
this game?

648
00:32:27,720 --> 00:32:29,160
Speaker 6: Well, mean, first of all, it's kind of like the

649
00:32:29,200 --> 00:32:31,759
many All Star break, and we're always cautious after the

650
00:32:31,759 --> 00:32:33,440
break when teams have been off for a little bit.

651
00:32:33,480 --> 00:32:35,880
And then we have that whole extra dynamic here with

652
00:32:35,920 --> 00:32:38,640
some of these squads. They were actually playing meaningful games

653
00:32:39,119 --> 00:32:41,240
into the playoff round, if you will, of they have

654
00:32:41,319 --> 00:32:44,240
the NBA Cup, So always a little tricky in that regard.

655
00:32:44,279 --> 00:32:46,279
But it is interestly what you say about the injuries

656
00:32:46,279 --> 00:32:48,920
with Orlando and it cracks me up because about a

657
00:32:48,920 --> 00:32:51,519
week ago, in fact, it was last Tuesday. It was

658
00:32:51,559 --> 00:32:53,359
one of the five dollars Tuesday plays I released a

659
00:32:53,359 --> 00:32:57,119
week ago. I had the Orlando Magic last Tuesday. That

660
00:32:57,160 --> 00:33:00,319
would have been back on December ninth, and and I

661
00:33:00,319 --> 00:33:02,680
always put you know, analysis with my plays. I always

662
00:33:02,680 --> 00:33:06,160
put line parameters in the plays as well. And customer

663
00:33:06,240 --> 00:33:10,160
support was message me all days saying, somebody's asking, Wagner's out,

664
00:33:10,200 --> 00:33:11,400
is it still a plian It's like, well, he missed

665
00:33:11,440 --> 00:33:13,400
the last game and he's out tonight, Like that was, now,

666
00:33:13,400 --> 00:33:15,680
that's why Orlando's a home underdog. Yes, it's still a play.

667
00:33:15,720 --> 00:33:17,759
And then Orlando went from plus one to minus one.

668
00:33:18,240 --> 00:33:19,880
Somebody's like, is it still a players? Like, well, on

669
00:33:19,920 --> 00:33:21,519
the line parameters said it minus one and a half

670
00:33:21,599 --> 00:33:23,799
or less, it's still a play. So like, I didn't

671
00:33:23,799 --> 00:33:25,440
want to, like get too cocky, but I knew at

672
00:33:25,440 --> 00:33:28,319
this point the Magic or a slam dunk lock because

673
00:33:28,319 --> 00:33:30,079
when people are looking for a reason not to play

674
00:33:30,079 --> 00:33:32,240
one of my best bets, that's usually a good sign.

675
00:33:32,799 --> 00:33:35,759
And the Magic did win that game on two on

676
00:33:35,880 --> 00:33:38,559
five dollars Tuesday a week ago. And by the way,

677
00:33:38,599 --> 00:33:40,759
that was against the Miami Heat. They won that game

678
00:33:40,799 --> 00:33:43,920
one seventeen, one oh eight. They have alternate wins or

679
00:33:43,960 --> 00:33:46,279
losses of their last five, just two and three straight

680
00:33:46,359 --> 00:33:48,799
up overall, still five and three their last eight. But yeah,

681
00:33:48,839 --> 00:33:51,279
this is a deep team. Yes they're banged up, but

682
00:33:51,359 --> 00:33:53,000
in the game which both teams are coming off some

683
00:33:53,039 --> 00:33:56,559
meaningful games recently. And Denver did have that game against

684
00:33:56,559 --> 00:33:59,079
Houston of course, the other night on what was it

685
00:33:59,200 --> 00:34:02,000
Monday after the Cup, they did win that one by three.

686
00:34:02,039 --> 00:34:03,880
That was a high profile game against the Rockets. We

687
00:34:03,920 --> 00:34:05,599
talked about it here on Waterer Talk today. I think

688
00:34:05,599 --> 00:34:07,160
this could be a little bit of a flat spot

689
00:34:07,200 --> 00:34:10,880
form because they also have the Rockets on deck this Saturday.

690
00:34:10,880 --> 00:34:15,400
This is a non conference sandwich situation for the Denver Nuggets,

691
00:34:15,400 --> 00:34:17,320
and we don't necessarily need Orlando to win this game

692
00:34:17,320 --> 00:34:20,320
out right. They're catching a full seven points right now.

693
00:34:20,679 --> 00:34:22,920
And I know this isn't football, but seven is somewhat

694
00:34:22,920 --> 00:34:25,960
of a key number still even in basketball, because that's

695
00:34:26,000 --> 00:34:28,679
where teams foul or stop falling is around that seven

696
00:34:28,679 --> 00:34:30,880
point mark lading game. So whenever I get a dog

697
00:34:30,880 --> 00:34:32,400
a seven or more that I think is capable of

698
00:34:32,480 --> 00:34:36,239
keeping name close maybe pulling the upset. They're worth a look. Yes,

699
00:34:36,280 --> 00:34:38,000
they're banged up, and I think the Magic are for real.

700
00:34:38,079 --> 00:34:39,480
And by the way, there's been some sharp money on

701
00:34:39,519 --> 00:34:41,880
the over in this game. Open two thirty two and

702
00:34:41,880 --> 00:34:43,760
a half, it's up to two thirty six and a

703
00:34:43,800 --> 00:34:46,760
half mostly two thirty sevens Now does look like some

704
00:34:46,800 --> 00:34:48,360
sharp money was on the over. I would agree with

705
00:34:48,360 --> 00:34:49,880
that move. I do like the over in this game

706
00:34:49,880 --> 00:34:52,239
tonight between Orlando and Denver. I think there'll be some

707
00:34:52,280 --> 00:34:53,760
points scored at nine o'clock Eastern.

708
00:34:56,239 --> 00:34:57,599
Speaker 1: Couldn't talk you off of that one.

709
00:34:57,880 --> 00:35:01,000
Speaker 2: This is Orlando team that was built on def last

710
00:35:01,079 --> 00:35:04,920
year and not so much this year. You know, all right,

711
00:35:04,920 --> 00:35:07,440
we're going to go to the Warriors and the Suns.

712
00:35:08,760 --> 00:35:13,119
Warriors they just look old, Steve, They're just look old.

713
00:35:13,159 --> 00:35:16,360
They are old by NBA standards. And then you've got

714
00:35:16,360 --> 00:35:19,599
this Phoenix Suns team that they've been a weird surprise.

715
00:35:20,000 --> 00:35:23,039
Dylan Brooks Is he's kind of like the new Robert Ry.

716
00:35:23,079 --> 00:35:25,760
Wherever everywhere he goes, they just kind of like win

717
00:35:25,920 --> 00:35:29,719
and he just puts his He's this little gnat, this

718
00:35:29,960 --> 00:35:32,000
like bully that gets in the head of other teams.

719
00:35:32,039 --> 00:35:34,719
He's hilarious to watch. I think it's I think it's hysterical.

720
00:35:35,280 --> 00:35:38,400
Now I'm surprised at this line. Devin Booker is playing tonight.

721
00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:40,840
Phoenix has been good with Booker, Golden State's going to

722
00:35:40,880 --> 00:35:44,079
have their full roster. They're a very, very slight favorite here,

723
00:35:44,119 --> 00:35:46,000
so it's basically a pick them over under a two

724
00:35:46,119 --> 00:35:47,079
thirty one and a half.

725
00:35:47,159 --> 00:35:48,199
Speaker 1: How do you see this game going?

726
00:35:49,000 --> 00:35:50,679
Speaker 6: Yeah, mostly one and a halves out there, but then

727
00:35:50,719 --> 00:35:52,800
you look around. I mean DraftKings is dealing a two

728
00:35:52,800 --> 00:35:54,960
and a half, little extra juice on Phoenix. One of

729
00:35:54,960 --> 00:35:57,039
the Global books says it too, So you definitely shop

730
00:35:57,079 --> 00:35:59,280
around on this one regardless of what side you like,

731
00:35:59,800 --> 00:36:01,360
as this line is really one and a half to

732
00:36:01,400 --> 00:36:03,440
two and a half range, even some two's out there.

733
00:36:03,519 --> 00:36:06,519
So I think this is a situation once again, with

734
00:36:06,559 --> 00:36:10,559
all these teams coming off the mix, Max Mismash scheduled

735
00:36:10,559 --> 00:36:13,079
the last few weeks and whatnot. I always kind of

736
00:36:13,159 --> 00:36:14,679
leaned towards the dogs here, and I do think there's

737
00:36:14,719 --> 00:36:17,079
some reasons, like Phoenix as a home dog a couple

738
00:36:17,119 --> 00:36:18,840
of weeks ago, if you recall here on a Monday

739
00:36:18,840 --> 00:36:21,719
Show about two weeks ago, gave everybody. The Phoenix Suns

740
00:36:21,719 --> 00:36:24,119
against the Lakers. That was way back on December first,

741
00:36:24,639 --> 00:36:27,880
and once again Phoenix was short handed some injuries in

742
00:36:27,880 --> 00:36:29,480
that game, and then I think the Lakers had some

743
00:36:29,519 --> 00:36:32,159
announce didn't matter. Phoenix went from being a big dog,

744
00:36:32,239 --> 00:36:34,039
like a ten point dogged about a five point dog

745
00:36:34,079 --> 00:36:37,199
at tip off. They still won the game outright by seventeen.

746
00:36:37,440 --> 00:36:40,159
They've gone just one and three right up since, but

747
00:36:40,199 --> 00:36:42,679
they've played a really tough schedule. Looking do they played

748
00:36:42,679 --> 00:36:45,440
since then. In fact, even go back before that Laker game.

749
00:36:45,760 --> 00:36:48,559
The last seven games, the Phoenix Suns have played the

750
00:36:48,639 --> 00:36:53,840
Houston Rockets twice, the Lakers twice, Oklahoma City twice, and

751
00:36:53,920 --> 00:36:56,280
oh at Minnesota, which they won out right as an underdog.

752
00:36:56,400 --> 00:36:58,559
So they've played maybe the toughest seven games stretch you'll

753
00:36:58,599 --> 00:37:01,719
see all season for any NBA squad, and I think

754
00:37:01,760 --> 00:37:03,639
that's made them battle tests, and I think there's also

755
00:37:03,679 --> 00:37:05,880
some value with them because of that. And as you said,

756
00:37:05,880 --> 00:37:08,440
Golden State is aging. I'm not in a hurry to

757
00:37:08,519 --> 00:37:10,519
lay points on the road, which a team that's just

758
00:37:10,599 --> 00:37:13,039
three and five straight up and just three and five

759
00:37:13,039 --> 00:37:15,760
against the spread their last eight games. I do think

760
00:37:15,800 --> 00:37:17,719
Phoenix is a live dog in this one and another

761
00:37:17,760 --> 00:37:19,880
game in which we've seen some money on the over

762
00:37:20,000 --> 00:37:22,320
under open two twenty eight and a half, it's up

763
00:37:22,320 --> 00:37:24,320
to two thirty one, even two thirty one and a

764
00:37:24,360 --> 00:37:26,440
half at two thirty one. I think there's still some

765
00:37:26,519 --> 00:37:28,119
value with the over. I like the over in both

766
00:37:28,159 --> 00:37:30,599
games tonight. I think teams are well rested after the

767
00:37:30,639 --> 00:37:32,679
many buye over the last week or so, and we're

768
00:37:32,679 --> 00:37:34,559
going to see some good offense in these games this evening.

769
00:37:34,599 --> 00:37:36,679
That one, by the way, also goes at nine o'clock Eastern.

770
00:37:38,599 --> 00:37:40,199
Speaker 2: Do you have any before I let you go, Steve Dodet,

771
00:37:40,199 --> 00:37:45,360
any quick dots college football playoff first round, any interesting spots,

772
00:37:45,400 --> 00:37:47,039
games you're more interested in than others.

773
00:37:47,679 --> 00:37:49,760
Speaker 6: Well, Andy, I'm gonna do a deep dive videos for

774
00:37:49,800 --> 00:37:51,960
all of these starting today. Actually I'm going to record

775
00:37:52,000 --> 00:37:54,000
them in the next hour so so another reason to

776
00:37:54,000 --> 00:37:56,400
click subscribe click the bell here a Wager Talk TV.

777
00:37:56,480 --> 00:37:58,480
As you know, I'm doing every single Bowl game I've

778
00:37:58,480 --> 00:38:00,639
done so so far. This week got off to the

779
00:38:00,679 --> 00:38:03,199
perfect four ohs start with the first four bowl plays,

780
00:38:03,559 --> 00:38:05,679
and now we have another one going tonight. By the way,

781
00:38:05,719 --> 00:38:08,800
the Missouri State, Arkansas State, game that free play videos

782
00:38:08,840 --> 00:38:10,920
up here once again, four os so far, my first

783
00:38:10,920 --> 00:38:11,920
four Bowl sides.

784
00:38:12,199 --> 00:38:13,159
Speaker 4: I've given you every game.

785
00:38:13,239 --> 00:38:14,760
Speaker 6: Let's see how many we can win here, see if

786
00:38:14,760 --> 00:38:17,320
we can mass that prime record, that twelve and three record.

787
00:38:17,639 --> 00:38:19,599
With that said that, we have two early games tomorrow

788
00:38:19,599 --> 00:38:21,039
on Friday, so I'm going to do a double video

789
00:38:21,119 --> 00:38:23,360
for those, and then I'm going to do a standalone

790
00:38:23,440 --> 00:38:26,239
video for the Alabama Oklahoma game, the Big Boy Game,

791
00:38:26,679 --> 00:38:28,960
and what jumps out to me is how bad Bama

792
00:38:29,000 --> 00:38:31,639
was a week or so ago in the title game

793
00:38:31,679 --> 00:38:34,559
against Georgia. We'll see if they can get back on track,

794
00:38:34,559 --> 00:38:35,920
but I do have a take on that game. And

795
00:38:35,920 --> 00:38:38,679
then of course Saturday, we have three games, include the

796
00:38:38,679 --> 00:38:41,880
two big lines with Oregon and Mississippi. Yes I'm in

797
00:38:42,000 --> 00:38:44,440
Virginia and James Madison country, but I will say this,

798
00:38:44,480 --> 00:38:47,800
I'll mention in the video nobody thinks James Madison has

799
00:38:47,800 --> 00:38:50,000
a chance, and I don't disagree. I kind of like

800
00:38:50,000 --> 00:38:51,639
Oregon in the game as well. And it was twenty

801
00:38:51,639 --> 00:38:53,159
one and a half. It's back to that key number

802
00:38:53,159 --> 00:38:56,039
of twenty one. But everybody I talked to is like Steve,

803
00:38:56,079 --> 00:38:58,039
Oregon blows them out right and now that granted, these

804
00:38:58,039 --> 00:39:00,519
are people that know James Madison's a one double lay school.

805
00:39:00,519 --> 00:39:02,840
Speaker 4: Over the years, we'll see what the nationwide.

806
00:39:02,639 --> 00:39:06,159
Speaker 6: Public consensus is. But that's a tricky game because you've

807
00:39:06,159 --> 00:39:08,239
got the James Madison coach leaving, you got the Tuwange

808
00:39:08,239 --> 00:39:11,800
coach leaving, You've got the Florida coach coming in to

809
00:39:11,880 --> 00:39:13,719
James Madison. But you know, so there's a lot of

810
00:39:13,800 --> 00:39:15,840
dynamics with these big dogs. But I will say Andy,

811
00:39:16,119 --> 00:39:18,519
last year, we all know the home teams did extremely well.

812
00:39:18,840 --> 00:39:20,920
It's a different format. Now we also know those teams

813
00:39:20,960 --> 00:39:22,960
with the bye did not do well. But the better

814
00:39:22,960 --> 00:39:24,719
teams have the buy this year. So it'll be very

815
00:39:24,719 --> 00:39:26,239
interesting to me for me to see over the next

816
00:39:26,239 --> 00:39:28,519
few weeks if we get the same type of outcome

817
00:39:28,519 --> 00:39:30,199
we did last year, where these teams that win in

818
00:39:30,239 --> 00:39:33,480
this round this weekend had the edge next week when

819
00:39:33,519 --> 00:39:35,960
they played the rest at teams. Once again, it's not

820
00:39:36,000 --> 00:39:38,000
like Arizona States getting the buy this year and some

821
00:39:38,039 --> 00:39:39,599
of those week wings that had it last season.

822
00:39:40,840 --> 00:39:42,280
Speaker 1: All right, Steve merrolew what do you have up for

823
00:39:42,280 --> 00:39:42,760
everyone today?

824
00:39:42,760 --> 00:39:47,280
Speaker 6: At wager Talk, we have four countum four College Football

825
00:39:47,280 --> 00:39:49,480
Bowl best bets loaded right now for over the next week,

826
00:39:49,559 --> 00:39:52,320
so it's a great reason to get in early. Lock

827
00:39:52,440 --> 00:39:54,119
in the best lines. I mentioned that four to oh

828
00:39:54,199 --> 00:39:55,960
started the side they've given you free in the videos.

829
00:39:55,960 --> 00:39:58,719
Most of those moved against us because we're on the

830
00:39:58,719 --> 00:40:00,639
sharp side. So it's an other reason to get a

831
00:40:00,639 --> 00:40:03,159
direct subscription. You also can get the NFL, which is

832
00:40:03,199 --> 00:40:04,880
number one in units one over the past year, up

833
00:40:04,880 --> 00:40:07,800
over seventy units in the NFL over the past year.

834
00:40:08,360 --> 00:40:10,960
College and Pro basketball NBA sitting over seventy percent this

835
00:40:11,000 --> 00:40:12,559
month in December. It's just a great time to be

836
00:40:12,599 --> 00:40:17,199
an all sport, all access client. Single day, weekly, monthly packages,

837
00:40:17,199 --> 00:40:20,480
and of course seasonal packages and daily free plays. Steve

838
00:40:20,480 --> 00:40:23,519
merrillwager Talk dot com, WT dot buzz slash sm But

839
00:40:23,559 --> 00:40:26,079
don't forget, I've got a special website right now for

840
00:40:26,159 --> 00:40:28,719
the lowest price I've ever offered this year on a

841
00:40:28,719 --> 00:40:30,840
one year all access for about a dollar a play,

842
00:40:31,119 --> 00:40:34,320
and that's WT dot Buzz slash Steve three sixty five.

843
00:40:34,719 --> 00:40:36,719
It's a special site. You see it on your screen.

844
00:40:37,000 --> 00:40:38,679
It's the only way to get the lowest price I've

845
00:40:38,719 --> 00:40:41,159
offered all season. Get everything for about a dollar play.

846
00:40:41,400 --> 00:40:43,199
Go to that page if you're ready to take a

847
00:40:43,239 --> 00:40:47,360
consistent investment approach. WT Dot Buzz Slash Steve three sixty

848
00:40:47,400 --> 00:40:49,039
five gets it done.

849
00:40:50,039 --> 00:40:52,679
Speaker 2: All right, Steve Merrill, great stuff. Can't wait to watch

850
00:40:52,679 --> 00:40:54,960
those free play videos. You can check all them out here.

851
00:40:55,320 --> 00:40:58,280
The wager Talk YouTube channel got to be subscribed that way,

852
00:40:58,320 --> 00:41:02,320
you get notified every time these videos come up. So really,

853
00:41:02,320 --> 00:41:04,920
really good stuff from Steamer. I'll always appreciate.

854
00:41:08,599 --> 00:41:11,159
Speaker 1: Some darts updates right after this. We'll do all around

855
00:41:11,159 --> 00:41:11,480
the world.

856
00:41:11,480 --> 00:41:13,559
Speaker 2: But we do have one play that I love for

857
00:41:13,639 --> 00:41:18,039
tonight's game Dan Thursday Night Football. We lost by the

858
00:41:18,039 --> 00:41:21,320
hook in excruciating fashion on Monday Night Football, but I'm

859
00:41:21,360 --> 00:41:23,719
still convinced the Reid was right there, so I'm not

860
00:41:23,760 --> 00:41:26,440
deterred by our primetime run. It's twenty five and thirteen

861
00:41:26,840 --> 00:41:28,960
this season, so there's one best bet in that game.

862
00:41:29,039 --> 00:41:32,119
It is a prop WT up buzz Slash al back

863
00:41:32,320 --> 00:41:35,639
with a huge slate of NBA. We laid off last night.

864
00:41:35,679 --> 00:41:37,880
Glad I did the two plays that I leaned towards

865
00:41:38,239 --> 00:41:40,440
wouldn't win, but we had way too many games to

866
00:41:40,519 --> 00:41:42,880
pass up. We got two best bets tonight, so that's

867
00:41:42,920 --> 00:41:46,719
gonna be up at WT dot Buzz slash al really

868
00:41:46,760 --> 00:41:49,559
looking forward to get back intoto WNBA. I think it's

869
00:41:49,559 --> 00:41:52,519
eleven and five run before the NBA Cup, so pretty

870
00:41:52,519 --> 00:41:55,039
proud of that. One quick darts update and then we'll

871
00:41:55,079 --> 00:41:58,000
do all around the world. None of the main like

872
00:41:58,039 --> 00:42:00,280
what I would say, guys that can push to the

873
00:42:00,280 --> 00:42:03,079
final four are have been eliminated.

874
00:42:03,119 --> 00:42:04,599
Speaker 1: There have been some upsets.

875
00:42:05,440 --> 00:42:07,639
Speaker 2: I don't want to nerd out, but the I think

876
00:42:07,719 --> 00:42:10,199
it was the biggest upset in dart's history. This guy

877
00:42:10,280 --> 00:42:12,599
was minus three thousand. He had never left the country

878
00:42:12,599 --> 00:42:15,639
of Africa. This was the first time he had left.

879
00:42:15,760 --> 00:42:17,559
He gets down two sets to zero and then he

880
00:42:17,599 --> 00:42:19,559
comes up to win. The odds were so big live

881
00:42:19,599 --> 00:42:21,599
that they just took him down off the board like

882
00:42:21,679 --> 00:42:25,039
he was just such a it was such a shoe

883
00:42:25,039 --> 00:42:27,280
in to lose, and he comes back. The crowd went

884
00:42:27,360 --> 00:42:31,400
absolutely nuts. What you're seeing is outside the upset here there,

885
00:42:31,480 --> 00:42:34,920
the favorites are really mopping the floor and the stage

886
00:42:34,920 --> 00:42:37,880
with these guys. They Dan They added more games to

887
00:42:37,960 --> 00:42:41,079
the first round of this tournament, so it's taking forever,

888
00:42:41,760 --> 00:42:45,599
Like the second round doesn't even start till like Saturday,

889
00:42:46,000 --> 00:42:48,000
So these guys have been sitting they're gonna be sitting

890
00:42:48,079 --> 00:42:49,679
for like three or four days, so there's a lot

891
00:42:49,679 --> 00:42:52,760
of time in between these matches, which, yeah, it kind

892
00:42:52,760 --> 00:42:53,280
of makes it.

893
00:42:53,239 --> 00:42:56,719
Speaker 1: A little bit, a little bit, a little bit annoying.

894
00:42:56,320 --> 00:43:01,119
Speaker 2: But whatever, Yeah, bets, we still have bets pending. Be honest,

895
00:43:01,159 --> 00:43:03,440
I won't even check bets. I won't even check record

896
00:43:03,440 --> 00:43:07,920
of bets until after Christmas. So yeah, yeah, So it's

897
00:43:07,960 --> 00:43:09,760
been good. Like I said, the main guys that I

898
00:43:09,760 --> 00:43:13,599
would say are contenders to win have not struggled at all.

899
00:43:13,639 --> 00:43:15,960
Speaker 1: So a few upsets here there, but all right, you're

900
00:43:15,960 --> 00:43:16,840
ready to do all around the world.

901
00:43:16,920 --> 00:43:18,440
Speaker 4: And then we just say, oh, I'm ready to do

902
00:43:18,480 --> 00:43:20,440
all around the world. Man, what have we got here tonight?

903
00:43:21,320 --> 00:43:26,119
Speaker 2: Well we gotta make it rams Seahawks addition, so I'll

904
00:43:26,159 --> 00:43:29,119
go with Kyen Williams over fifty five and a half rushing.

905
00:43:30,360 --> 00:43:33,519
If you follow Fantasy Football podcast, Blake korm is this

906
00:43:33,719 --> 00:43:37,559
like really like oh the sleeper, He's like the sexy

907
00:43:37,599 --> 00:43:40,519
guy that, oh I'm gonna pick up Blake Koran. Don't

908
00:43:40,519 --> 00:43:43,079
get it wrong, Kyen is the number one back there.

909
00:43:43,119 --> 00:43:45,519
Easy on the Blake Korum love. Kyen's gone over this

910
00:43:45,559 --> 00:43:47,920
total in three straight eleven out of fourteen games. He

911
00:43:47,920 --> 00:43:51,559
had ninety one against Seattle the season, so I think

912
00:43:51,639 --> 00:43:54,840
this number is pretty low. I'm going Darnald over half

913
00:43:54,880 --> 00:43:57,840
an interception. He only has one interception the last four games.

914
00:43:58,079 --> 00:44:00,440
We went over who their opponents were, and he threw

915
00:44:00,480 --> 00:44:02,800
four against the Rams earlier this season.

916
00:44:02,840 --> 00:44:04,480
Speaker 1: It just sets up for Sam.

917
00:44:04,320 --> 00:44:07,079
Speaker 2: Darnold to throw a couple pretty bad ones and then

918
00:44:07,760 --> 00:44:09,119
I'm a sucker for this one.

919
00:44:09,199 --> 00:44:11,559
Speaker 1: Dan, this is another sexy one. It's public.

920
00:44:11,920 --> 00:44:15,000
Speaker 2: Everyone that picks this one thinks they're being cute. Listen,

921
00:44:15,000 --> 00:44:18,480
everybody that follows the Rams and NFL knows. Colby Parkinson

922
00:44:18,559 --> 00:44:21,239
has been catching touchdowns. It's five out of six games.

923
00:44:21,800 --> 00:44:22,119
Speaker 1: Uh.

924
00:44:22,159 --> 00:44:25,840
Speaker 2: He has as many receiving touchdowns as Pooka Nakua. By

925
00:44:25,840 --> 00:44:29,239
the way, Pooka Nakua not a great week in the

926
00:44:29,800 --> 00:44:34,880
In the social media podcast for him, he called out

927
00:44:34,920 --> 00:44:35,519
the Rafts.

928
00:44:35,559 --> 00:44:37,800
Speaker 4: Then he was streaming with Aiden Ross. People are like,

929
00:44:37,840 --> 00:44:39,760
what are you doing on a short week. It's been

930
00:44:39,840 --> 00:44:41,400
a rough week here for.

931
00:44:42,440 --> 00:44:45,119
Speaker 1: Yeah, not a great look for the for Pooka Nkua.

932
00:44:45,320 --> 00:44:45,559
Speaker 6: Uh.

933
00:44:46,000 --> 00:44:49,159
Speaker 2: He tried to sneak in those guys to the game

934
00:44:49,400 --> 00:44:51,519
and the coach told him no.

935
00:44:51,679 --> 00:44:52,360
Speaker 1: What are you doing?

936
00:44:52,440 --> 00:44:55,039
Speaker 2: So, uh, I'm gonna keep my eye on that, Dan.

937
00:44:55,280 --> 00:45:00,199
Distracted Professional athletes are one of the best fades I

938
00:45:00,440 --> 00:45:02,599
don't like if there's something I don't like what I'm

939
00:45:02,639 --> 00:45:05,920
saying about Pooka here so uh yeah, and his brother

940
00:45:06,039 --> 00:45:07,880
just got arrested for stealing an suv?

941
00:45:08,960 --> 00:45:10,559
Speaker 1: What is going home with the nikoua.

942
00:45:10,320 --> 00:45:12,480
Speaker 4: Family household man?

943
00:45:13,000 --> 00:45:17,119
Speaker 2: Quite the Christmas Mom and dad are like, so, how

944
00:45:17,159 --> 00:45:21,880
are things?

945
00:45:20,960 --> 00:45:24,960
Speaker 1: All right? Let's do let's do.

946
00:45:26,480 --> 00:45:26,760
Speaker 4: Quick.

947
00:45:26,880 --> 00:45:29,639
Speaker 3: You got the same game parlay for the folks. You

948
00:45:29,960 --> 00:45:31,000
have one for tonight's game?

949
00:45:31,039 --> 00:45:31,440
Speaker 4: Correct?

950
00:45:32,000 --> 00:45:32,239
Speaker 1: Yeah?

951
00:45:32,800 --> 00:45:33,159
Speaker 4: All right?

952
00:45:33,159 --> 00:45:35,440
Speaker 3: All right, Well, before we do that, we want to

953
00:45:35,559 --> 00:45:38,719
embrace the debate. We love commenters, whether we're live or not. Here,

954
00:45:39,280 --> 00:45:41,599
I got hit with this one, and I've I've heard

955
00:45:41,599 --> 00:45:44,199
it before and I have been afflicted by it as well.

956
00:45:44,199 --> 00:45:46,480
If folks are fans of Shrek, you know, let me

957
00:45:46,519 --> 00:45:47,519
pull this up here for you.

958
00:45:48,119 --> 00:45:49,519
Speaker 4: Do you see the.

959
00:45:49,440 --> 00:45:54,079
Speaker 3: Resemblance with me and the mascot there. I think it's

960
00:45:54,119 --> 00:45:56,679
the fact that the hair curls. It's on the back

961
00:45:56,840 --> 00:46:01,360
end a little lord bar quad ask. So so we

962
00:46:01,360 --> 00:46:04,079
we we have a new name.

963
00:46:04,440 --> 00:46:06,239
Speaker 4: You got do lock Dan for the folks.

964
00:46:06,280 --> 00:46:09,960
Speaker 2: Here the hat also adds to it like I need

965
00:46:10,880 --> 00:46:12,199
I need to find a red hat.

966
00:46:12,239 --> 00:46:14,480
Speaker 4: I'm gonna I'm gonna find one and go full Lord

967
00:46:14,519 --> 00:46:17,840
farquad on one of these days. But now full disclosure.

968
00:46:17,840 --> 00:46:19,440
Speaker 3: The one time when I got my haircut iny, and

969
00:46:19,440 --> 00:46:21,679
that's what happens sometimes, you know, bunch is up here

970
00:46:21,679 --> 00:46:24,960
at the bottom. And I literally I was saying to

971
00:46:25,559 --> 00:46:28,400
my girlfriend, my now my now wife. I was literally

972
00:46:28,440 --> 00:46:31,320
like having an existential crisis in the mirror. I was like, God,

973
00:46:31,400 --> 00:46:33,679
damn it, I looked like Lord Farquat. And she was like,

974
00:46:33,719 --> 00:46:36,000
you don't look like Lord Parquat. And I pulled up

975
00:46:36,039 --> 00:46:38,320
a picture and she was like, shit, you kind of

976
00:46:38,320 --> 00:46:44,199
look like Lord Farqua. Okay, So so embrace the debate.

977
00:46:44,840 --> 00:46:46,280
It's not that dad, there.

978
00:46:46,199 --> 00:46:48,599
Speaker 2: D because most people are looking in the mirror like

979
00:46:48,639 --> 00:46:49,880
you can make it through today.

980
00:46:50,400 --> 00:46:52,760
Speaker 1: You are a winner. You can make it through today.

981
00:46:52,840 --> 00:46:55,800
Speaker 2: Life could be worse, not much worse, but life could

982
00:46:55,840 --> 00:46:56,400
be worse.

983
00:46:56,599 --> 00:47:00,599
Speaker 1: Like you're you're christ is looking into me. Here's a

984
00:47:00,719 --> 00:47:02,599
little bit, a little bit.

985
00:47:02,400 --> 00:47:06,400
Speaker 2: Better than in the average Joe.

986
00:47:07,119 --> 00:47:08,440
Speaker 4: This is why we love the comments.

987
00:47:08,440 --> 00:47:10,559
Speaker 3: You never know what you're gonna get here, especially once

988
00:47:10,599 --> 00:47:12,760
the guests are done here. Andy but I know we're

989
00:47:12,760 --> 00:47:15,119
gonna be getting same game parlay, and I like this

990
00:47:15,159 --> 00:47:15,880
one quite a bit.

991
00:47:15,920 --> 00:47:18,719
Speaker 4: What he got for the folks in night's game. Yeah.

992
00:47:18,719 --> 00:47:22,119
Speaker 2: And by the way, I haven't seen David in the chat. David,

993
00:47:22,159 --> 00:47:24,719
you won the three day past, but we'll we'll put

994
00:47:24,760 --> 00:47:27,199
the graphic up tomorrow when when I see you in

995
00:47:27,239 --> 00:47:30,559
the live chat. David was the one that won on Tuesday.

996
00:47:30,840 --> 00:47:33,159
Speaker 3: Okay, And for what it's worth, Andy, if he's if

997
00:47:33,159 --> 00:47:38,360
he's watching, but he hasn't been commenting. Customer service, absolutely incredible,

998
00:47:38,400 --> 00:47:42,320
I believe, David. They also have added it to your

999
00:47:42,360 --> 00:47:45,440
account already, so what you can double check me if

1000
00:47:45,440 --> 00:47:48,599
that's incorrect. But David, if you are watching, congrats how

1001
00:47:48,599 --> 00:47:49,239
did he win this?

1002
00:47:49,320 --> 00:47:49,679
Speaker 4: Folks?

1003
00:47:49,960 --> 00:47:52,159
Speaker 3: We do some different segments where some of the cappers

1004
00:47:52,159 --> 00:47:53,760
who come on here, if they go head to head

1005
00:47:53,760 --> 00:47:56,440
with either I or Andy, we let people comment below

1006
00:47:56,480 --> 00:47:58,559
with their wage Er Talk user name, and then they're

1007
00:47:58,679 --> 00:48:01,679
entered in if they're sign wins. If their capper wins

1008
00:48:01,719 --> 00:48:03,840
the head to head match up, they win a free

1009
00:48:04,000 --> 00:48:06,079
three day flex pass. We'll be doing that tomorrow with

1010
00:48:06,159 --> 00:48:09,159
Teddy's sell Me segment. Andy, so you know you can

1011
00:48:09,159 --> 00:48:10,840
always be winning free stuff here. You just got to

1012
00:48:10,880 --> 00:48:11,639
be engaged and be.

1013
00:48:11,639 --> 00:48:17,000
Speaker 4: Commenting below after the video. But SGP time, Andy, all.

1014
00:48:17,039 --> 00:48:20,119
Speaker 2: Right, we're gonna go with Cooper Cup twenty five plus receiving.

1015
00:48:20,599 --> 00:48:22,440
They made a concerted effort to try and get him

1016
00:48:22,480 --> 00:48:27,800
some catches against his old team, and I like, we're

1017
00:48:27,800 --> 00:48:30,719
to the point in the season where teams are just like, listen, JSN,

1018
00:48:30,880 --> 00:48:33,599
you're not going to you're not gonna beat us. If

1019
00:48:33,639 --> 00:48:36,440
you do, it's gonna because you beat double coverage or something.

1020
00:48:36,480 --> 00:48:40,119
I think Cooper Cup's gonna be a reliable target tonight.

1021
00:48:40,320 --> 00:48:44,960
I'm going Kyron fifty plus rushing for the reasons before

1022
00:48:45,079 --> 00:48:48,679
I mentioned, like Blakecorm's good, Kyroen's still the mand there,

1023
00:48:48,679 --> 00:48:51,199
So fifty plus rushing, and then I'm gonna add the

1024
00:48:51,239 --> 00:48:53,719
alt line of the first half under twenty six and

1025
00:48:53,760 --> 00:48:56,119
a half. These are division rivals, these teams know each other.

1026
00:48:56,440 --> 00:48:58,800
This was a Seattle team that struggled to score against

1027
00:48:58,840 --> 00:49:00,519
the Colts last week. I think I think this is

1028
00:49:01,079 --> 00:49:03,719
a pretty good back and forth and trying to see

1029
00:49:03,719 --> 00:49:05,880
both these teams get a couple of touchdowns or have

1030
00:49:05,960 --> 00:49:09,360
this beat fourteen fourteen seems like a tall order.

1031
00:49:09,440 --> 00:49:11,599
Speaker 1: So I'll add that, and that gets us to plus

1032
00:49:11,679 --> 00:49:12,519
two twenty six.

1033
00:49:12,559 --> 00:49:16,000
Speaker 2: So Cup twenty five plus receiving Kyron fifty plus rushing

1034
00:49:16,039 --> 00:49:18,400
in the first half ault line under twenty six and

1035
00:49:18,400 --> 00:49:21,920
a half gets us to plus to twenty six. So

1036
00:49:22,800 --> 00:49:25,519
uh Sean wants to add who has the best walkout

1037
00:49:25,519 --> 00:49:27,199
in darts? If you guys haven't watched darts, they all

1038
00:49:27,239 --> 00:49:30,559
have walkouts. Some of them are laughably bad and some

1039
00:49:30,639 --> 00:49:35,840
of them are just insanely good. Bunting's walkout is iconic.

1040
00:49:36,039 --> 00:49:40,800
It's it's just incredible. He comes out to the song Titanium,

1041
00:49:40,920 --> 00:49:43,639
and if you know, Bunting is this older guy.

1042
00:49:43,719 --> 00:49:45,920
Speaker 1: He's to fifty three hundred.

1043
00:49:45,719 --> 00:49:48,800
Speaker 2: Bounds big glasses, So him coming out to Titan, he's good.

1044
00:49:49,880 --> 00:49:54,480
My personal favorite is I think it's lou Coumphrey's. He

1045
00:49:54,559 --> 00:49:59,719
comes out to uh Riot and the cheerleaders just put

1046
00:49:59,719 --> 00:50:02,280
a little little bit of something extra into the way

1047
00:50:02,320 --> 00:50:04,400
they dance to that song. Yes, they have cheerleaders. They

1048
00:50:04,480 --> 00:50:07,400
dance to every song. It's just it's easy to sing along,

1049
00:50:07,440 --> 00:50:08,480
it's easy to dance to.

1050
00:50:08,760 --> 00:50:10,159
Speaker 1: That's my favorite walkout.

1051
00:50:10,639 --> 00:50:12,599
Speaker 2: Sadly, the number one player in the world I think

1052
00:50:12,679 --> 00:50:14,800
has one of the weakest walkouts.

1053
00:50:14,840 --> 00:50:15,639
Speaker 1: It's a travesty.

1054
00:50:16,039 --> 00:50:18,440
Speaker 2: It's an absolute travesty that Luke Litler has one of

1055
00:50:18,480 --> 00:50:20,800
the worst walkouts. It's a song nobody can get right

1056
00:50:21,039 --> 00:50:24,800
when singing. It's kind of lame. The guy's an absolute

1057
00:50:24,880 --> 00:50:28,360
killer and he comes out to this. So what a

1058
00:50:29,320 --> 00:50:34,119
English guy coming out to pit Bull.

1059
00:50:34,480 --> 00:50:37,599
Speaker 3: Mister worldwide? He is worldwide, so he's allowed to He's

1060
00:50:37,599 --> 00:50:40,360
allowed to. H it does ross over the pond there

1061
00:50:40,360 --> 00:50:41,400
he's mister Worldwide.

1062
00:50:42,119 --> 00:50:46,079
Speaker 2: No, it doesn't. It doesn't make sense me personally. I

1063
00:50:46,119 --> 00:50:48,400
think it's Humphreys. But yes, I would say you pulled

1064
00:50:48,400 --> 00:50:52,000
out darts audience and Bunting is probably the runaway clear favorite.

1065
00:50:52,079 --> 00:50:54,679
So all right, that's gonna do it for us. We

1066
00:50:54,760 --> 00:50:58,280
got football Friday tomorrow, Dan, we always do our pick five.

1067
00:50:58,320 --> 00:51:00,360
Speaker 1: Are you using tonight's game? I'm not.

1068
00:51:01,199 --> 00:51:03,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not using tonight's game if I had to,

1069
00:51:03,440 --> 00:51:04,119
okay tonight.

1070
00:51:05,280 --> 00:51:07,280
Speaker 4: I kind of like the Rams. I'm with you.

1071
00:51:07,360 --> 00:51:09,199
Speaker 3: I think that you maybe have a little bit not

1072
00:51:09,320 --> 00:51:12,440
full on fugaisy with the Seahawks. But there's there's the

1073
00:51:12,599 --> 00:51:14,880
script out on how to beat the Seahawks, and I

1074
00:51:14,880 --> 00:51:15,880
think the Rams.

1075
00:51:15,599 --> 00:51:19,280
Speaker 4: Have the do that the only way I would bet

1076
00:51:19,320 --> 00:51:21,039
it though, you're getting one and a half. This is

1077
00:51:21,039 --> 00:51:23,239
a great teaser leg I'm getting seven and a half

1078
00:51:23,239 --> 00:51:24,559
with the rams. That's a good one.

1079
00:51:25,320 --> 00:51:27,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's a good one.

1080
00:51:28,079 --> 00:51:28,320
Speaker 4: Yeah.

1081
00:51:28,320 --> 00:51:29,159
Speaker 1: I would lean that way.

1082
00:51:29,199 --> 00:51:32,400
Speaker 2: But as far as the actual official Pick five Super

1083
00:51:32,400 --> 00:51:34,880
Contest picks not going to be official, so we will

1084
00:51:34,880 --> 00:51:35,360
go with those.

1085
00:51:35,360 --> 00:51:35,800
Speaker 1: Tomorrow.

1086
00:51:36,039 --> 00:51:37,800
Speaker 2: Teddy's going to join us. We had to sell me

1087
00:51:38,199 --> 00:51:40,840
where when you guys are free three day past. Marco

1088
00:51:40,920 --> 00:51:42,599
is going to join us. He's got his breakdowns and

1089
00:51:42,599 --> 00:51:44,559
sauce in the week Yanni of course is going to

1090
00:51:44,639 --> 00:51:46,519
do the Steam report and then we'll get you all

1091
00:51:46,719 --> 00:51:50,079
worked up for the weekend for these pick five All right, guys,

1092
00:51:50,079 --> 00:51:52,599
thank you so much. Happy Thursday. Let's have a good

1093
00:51:52,639 --> 00:51:54,719
Thursday night. We got a bowl game, we got Thursday

1094
00:51:54,760 --> 00:51:57,840
Night Football, get a huge NBA slate. Good luck on

1095
00:51:57,880 --> 00:52:00,400
all your bets. Don't forget our best bet for tonight

1096
00:52:00,440 --> 00:52:03,159
Thursday Night Football is up at WT dot bus slash al.

1097
00:52:03,159 --> 00:52:05,880
It's a prop that I think they've royally screwed up

1098
00:52:05,960 --> 00:52:06,559
on the line.

1099
00:52:06,679 --> 00:52:07,440
Speaker 1: Stunned to get it.

1100
00:52:07,679 --> 00:52:09,679
Speaker 2: Happy to share it with all you over there at

1101
00:52:09,800 --> 00:52:10,880
WT dot bus slash ale.

1102
00:52:10,880 --> 00:52:12,599
Speaker 1: Good Luck on your best night. We'll see him tomorrow.

1103
00:52:12,639 --> 00:52:13,000
Take care,