Speaker 1: We've got lots of primetime games, barking dogs of course,
the Steam report from VR, the deli, that doorbells ringing,
and we got a stinky sandwich for you guys.
Speaker 2: Best bets up next on bet on It.
Speaker 1: Kelly Stewart here VR front and center, Marco DiAngelo on
the right.
Speaker 2: Let's get right into these games.
Speaker 1: And I know there's Saturday primetime games, but we're gonna
skip over that. We're gonna stick with our original three
Thursday Night Football, Sunday Night Football, and Monday Night Football.
I'm gonna go first on Thursday Night. The Rams are
a one and a half point underdog at Seattle forty
three and a half.
Speaker 2: All right, guys, I'm going to tease the Rams. There's
my handicap.
Speaker 1: No, the teasers have been doing very well and that
is going to be part of my play.
Speaker 2: But kind of have to wonder here, what did we
see last week?
Speaker 1: Well saw the Rams having a monster second half led
by Pokin Nikua over the Lions.
Speaker 2: And what did Sam Darnald do?
Speaker 3: Ugh?
Speaker 1: Whoof they gave six field goals to be a Philip
Rivers led Colts team. Now they're a one and a
half point home favorite kind of makes you think this
might be a by low spot if you will on Seattle.
We know the last time these two played, the Rams
squeaked out a win at home twenty one at nineteen,
But the real story was Seattle out gaining the Rams
by one.
Speaker 2: Hundred and sixty five yards.
Speaker 1: They held twenty six to twelve edge in first downs.
You want to know why they lost that game because
Sam Darnald turned into a pumpkin and threw four interceptions
and they went one for four in the red zone.
I don't think that's gonna happen again. I do like
Seattle here this week, and I'm gonna throw away last
week because, like Marco D'Angelo said, that was a nothing game.
It was between big games. That game meant essentially nothing.
So sure they went through the motions as a two
touchdown favorite, but a lot of teams are gonna do
that over the next couple of weeks. I think Marco's
gonna kind of break down some of that in his
breakdown here as well.
Speaker 2: I think Sam Darnold has.
Speaker 1: A better game, and I trust Seattle's defense to get
the job here. Don excuse me, job done here at
home on Thursday night in a very important NFC West game.
I'll lay the one and a half with Seattle. Let's
just hope they can't win that game by more than
a touchdown and we hit both sides. Marco D'Angel is
gonna take over Sunday Night football. New England is a
three point underdog at Baltimore forty eight and a half.
Speaker 2: Marco, we were.
Speaker 1: Talking off air, a lot of us are kicking ourselves
for not taking Baltimore last week, and boy, oh boy,
did all the things that we said about that team
just magically disappear. Everybody looked healthy, they played a hard
fought game. Now they're back here at home in a
game that does mean something.
Speaker 2: So break this one down for us.
Speaker 4: Yeah, Kelly, Well, I did have Baltimore last week, But
what I was kicking myself about was I made it
my four percent game of the week. It came very
close to being a five percent. But you know, we
don't toss those out all the time, and that's why
we have that forty and seventeen run on those. But
the knee jerk reaction this week is going to be.
Everybody saw the New England game last week, and even
though New England lost. They lost looking good when you
look at the final score. It was a thirty five
thirty one shootout, and you say, hey, you know what,
they're going to bounce back this week. They've been good
all year. But yes, they've been good all year, but
they haven't been believed even though they've had the best
record in the AFC. Everybody says it's a young team
and they've played a soft schedule, and we saw Bufalo
beat them last week. But the narrative is it was
twenty one nothing New England. Buffalo came all the way
back and won that game. Might you know, I'll tell
you exactly. My thoughts is that game's going on? When
New England went up twenty one to nothing, I was
in a bar with a plate of chicken wings in
front of me and I literally had to wipe the
wing sauce off to go to my iPad and see
who they were playing next week. I said, I'm going
to be going against New England next week because this
was their statement game. This was the you know, to
prove everybody we are the new kids on the block,
We're the king of the AFC East, and I'm going
to go against them so they were playing Baltimore, I said, perfect.
Then the collapse started and I'm saying, oh, man, really
they're going to lose this game. They ended up losing it,
So now I'm saying, wow, I got to back off that.
And then I go, oh, no, I don't. This is
the poster child for lose the same game twice because
they were that close to having the division clinched last
week they beat Buffalo, they owned the tiebreaker, they have
a monster lead in the AFC East, and they would
be looking at the number one seed. Instead, they lost
that game. Buffalo's still there, and even though they'll probably
still win the divisions, they got to have Buffalo living
rent free in their minds. I think they have the
carryover this week. I think Buffalo or excuse me, Baltimore
will get the job done. Baltimore played a perfect game
last week, probably their best game of the season. They
took care of Cincinnati and the Joe Burrow. Remember just
a couple of weeks ago, on Thanksgiving Night, Cincinnati went
into Baltimore and beat them, but it was five turnovers
that beat Baltimore that night. The next week, Baltimore lost
to Pittsburgh in a key game, but they out gain
Pits by over one hundred yards and they had a
touchdown controversial touchdown reversed in the final three minutes. They
very easily could have and should have beaten Pittsburgh. They
got to take care of business, Baltimore because they got
to stay within one game of Pittsburgh to make that
last game of the season when they go to Pittsburgh
for all of the marbles to win the division, because
that's the only way they're going to get in. They're
not going to get in as a wild card. I
like Baltimore here. They take care of business. Let's go
ahead and lay the three with Baltimore. I think you
see a big effort on Sunday Night Football.
Speaker 1: V Are you been doing some YouTube shorts as we
like to call them over here on the Wager Talking
YouTube channel regarding power ratings here, So I'm generally curious
how you have these two teams power rated. Well, I
only care about one of them because I have them
twenty to one to win the Super Bowl. Monday Night Football,
San fran minus six at Indianapolis forty six and a half.
Speaker 2: You gave elt Seattle last week. You said, Hey, guess
what Daniel Jones and his leg are not worth this
many points. Now we got the Niners who.
Speaker 1: Struggle to put together back to back wins and are
very frustrating on the road and basically a meaningless game.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I got San Francisco number ten on my power ratings.
I had Indianapolis number thirteen on my power ratings, so
very close. And Indianapolis actually has the tougher strength of
schedule and the more efficient offense. San Francisco's got the
more efficient defense and obviously not Philip Rivers at quarterback.
That's the situation we're looking at now. I got it
always to let you know, as I before I start.
Here's where we're sitting at college football thirty five and
eleven on bed on It, NFL twenty six, eighteen and one.
That's a combined sixty one twenty nine and one overall
sixty seven percent on bet on It over this season
for my TV game, I haven't gotten to the window yet.
You know how I've done on these Sunday nights and
Monday night footballs twenty three to ten over the last
five or six weeks. I've been able to do some
solid confirmation based on how the market reacts because these
primetime games are different. You have one game attracting all
the volume. It's not spread out, and because of that,
books are forced sometimes to adjust for the risk, and
that creates an inefficient number. Now I'm going to look
to the total in this game because we have some
recency bias to take advantage of. First, you have San
Francisco coming in off a thirty seven point offensive performance.
In fact, they've scored twenty six or more in four
of their last five games. In fact, sorry, five out
of their last six games, so the offense has been
clicking and they're a top ten offense. Indianapolis also, like
I said, top ten offense. They were only able to
put up sixteen last week and actually havingt cracked twenty
in three straight games. But the public's betting this one
over and I think the totals a little bit too high.
And here's why. When you look at why Indy kept
it close against Seattle. Rivers didn't have a phenomenal game,
he just didn't lose it. He had a seventy three
point one QBR. They were able to rush the football
thirty times, they handed the ball off for almost one
hundred yards, but it was the defense that held Seattle.
They held them the six field goals number one, so
they kept them out of the end zone. They held
them the fifty yards rushing and only two hundred and
sixty yards all right. So it was the defense of
Indianapolis that knew they had to show up. And I
think you're going to see the exact same type of
effort from the Colts defense this week. And I don't
think that San Francisco is going to be able to
put up as many points. Flip side of that coin.
Like I said, Rivers didn't go out there. He wasn't phenomenal,
He just didn't go out there and lose the game.
Indy needs to try to keep this close with a
chance to win at the end. The last thing you
want is to get into any kind of shootout, any
kind of position where your offense now has to play
from behind. So I think a lot slower paced game
from Indianapolis. And I like the under. It was forty seven,
forty seven and a half. You saw some sharp money
come in on under. I agree with that move. Again,
having gotten to the window, don't want to paint myself
in a corner between now and Monday, But I do
think there's some value on the under, especially when you
look at what the totals have been for both these
teams over the last couple of weeks. The market has
adjusted and corrected itself, and I think now it's just
going too high the other way.
Speaker 1: All right, you mentioned some of these moves, and that's
kind of what's made you famous here o. Our wager
talk over the last few years is really sharing these
sharp plays. Tell everybody about the Steam sheet VR, where
they can get it, who has access to it, and
of course.
Speaker 2: This week's Steam report.
Speaker 3: Yeah, all my subscribers already get it. The long term
guys and I joked about it since Thanksgiving and since
we came up with this that we're now fishing with dynamite, like,
I'm able to really stay so selective with my premiums
and still share a ton of solid, sharp winning information
that I actually want to see do well because it
comes from the accounts I have a percentage of. But
a lot of you guys are excellent in hand in decapping,
have your own opinions, and this is gonna help guide you.
Perfect example, there's over fifteen plus NFL moves in there already.
It's Wednesday. Those have been in there since like Monday Tuesday,
so you get way ahead of the market, helps you
confirm why things move, and later I even go in
there and update when we come back the other way,
or if we even confirm one of them into a
premium play. So I mean, it's just so much information
and almost priceless, to be honest with you, and we're
giving it away to subscribers. It comes with your subscription
for the long term guys, and I try to put
the package up every single day. Here's some of the
steam moves that are on there. Can't give them all because,
like I said, there's fifteen plus. Here's a couple sides
and then a few totals one oh five Philadelphia minus
four and a half and five obviously the look Ahead
one ten, Saints minus two and a half and minus three.
That was my five percent last week, Go Saints one
fourteen Baltimore. Marco touched on Baltimore. They're at that key
number of faith because they did a Trent sharp money
at the opener and then a double digit dog for
you Tennessee at plus ten and a half. Then they
hit it at the look Ahead obviously down the four
and a half and four total go one seventeen under,
look ahead forty and a half case Tennessee then followed
through and went under through thirty eight and a half,
and then Dallas and the Chargers. Looks like they're getting
out ahead of the public here.
Speaker 4: Uh.
Speaker 3: One nineteen over, forty seven and a half and forty
eight and a half Chargers and Dallas. So uh, that's
some of the sharp stuff already for some day's action.
Speaker 2: All right, let's get into some of those barking dogs.
Speaker 1: Of course, this is my favorite, but our dogs are
pretty puny this week. Marco, Barco, you got the smallest one,
so you're going first.
Speaker 4: Againks Kelly, I got the smallest one. All right, We're
gonna go with Arizona plus the two and a half
against Atlanta. Atlanta has the advantage of having three extra
days because they did play on Thursday night last week.
But here's the thing. This is a five and nine
team that has nothing to play for. I tell you
over and over again, when you get to this time
of the season, teams that are out of the playoffs
are gonna show up for two types of games. It's
gonna be a division game where they can play spoiler
or it's going to be a standalone TV game. Well,
Atlanta checked both of those boxes last week on Thursday
Night football against Division rival Tampa Bay, who was deadlocked
with Carolina for the Division league. What Atlanta do. They
went into Tampa last week on primetime and beat the Bucks.
This is a flat spot for Atlanta. This week they
travel for a second week in a row. They have
the number one unseed in the NFC, the Rams coming
to their house next week. When oh, on Monday Night football. Yeah,
you want to talk about a sandwich, Well, it's a
primetime sandwich from Thursday to Monday night football. This is
just a bad spot for them. Arizona, I know has
look terrible, but Arizona, you know, they faced some good
teams the last two weeks, getting blown out. They face
the Rams, and they faced Houston. One of the most
explosive offenses in the Rams and one of the best
defenses in the league. Houston. Jacoby Brissett, He's been putting
up big numbers in the passing game. The running game
has struggled, but in fairness, three of their last four
games they face Jacksonville, the Rams in Houston. All three
of those teams are in the top ten at stopping
the run. I'm gonna go ahead Atlanta's bottom ten stopping
the run. I think Arizona will have a little more
balanced this week. They're gonna get the job done. Give
me air zone plus the points. I don't think you're
gonna need the points. This is a dog that's gonna bark, all.
Speaker 3: Right, VR.
Speaker 1: You guys mentioned off air while we were getting ready
to start the show that you both liked this team,
and I thought, all right, last week, you and I
both liked green Bay and they had many opportunities to
win that game in Denver. But Denver keeps finding ways
to win at home. Why are you stepping in front
of the freight train.
Speaker 3: In my defense, I did not release a premium the
subscribers on Green Bay. I couldn't confirm it. Again, I
was leaning that way. I like that side is also,
I just couldn't pulled the trigger. So I'm glad I
was able to stay off it for my subscribers, and
Denver got the win that helps us and gives us
that extra value on Jacksonville. Here's the bottom line. Let
me do that that UH and power rating really quick
and share that with you. These teams are very close.
In fact, Jacksonville is is three spots ahead of Denver
on my power ratings, even though Denver has the better
record and on a neutral field, I would actually make
Jacksonville about a point and a half favorites. I give
Denver two points for home field advantage. So this one's
a pick them, with Denver maybe a minus one fifteen
one twenty favorite at the most. So being able to
get Jacksonville at plus three that key number of three.
In fact, I took it up to three and a half,
gave it out through subscribers because it's discounted at three
and a half as a four percent move, and I
am gonna sprinkle that money line. I'm just waiting to
get plus one point fifty because they got to win
this game four out of ten times. That's the break even.
And that's definitely doable because I do think I have
the better football team number one power rating wise, I
have them above and here's why. I have a top
ten offense going against offense that's not even in the
top twenty. More importantly, I have a defense in Jacksonville
that's just outside the top ten against the Denver defense
that's just inside the top ten. But here's the biggest differentiator. Denver.
Only one team has a weaker strength of schedule than Denver.
They had the thirty first toughest strength of schedule. So
you should be twelve and two. That's it. The reason
you're six and seven and one ATS is because you
haven't been able to helperform the betting market. The reason
you haven't done that is because you're as phony as
a three dollars bill. You're a phony twelve and two
football team with mediocre stats at best and a very
very easy strength of schedule that happens to win a
bunch of one score games, and eventually that luck runs
out because it's just not sustainable. It's not Jacksonville comes
in here, hoh. Usually, here's the thing. When a team
wins five in a row, covers five in a row,
comes in, haven't scored thirty six points, forty eight points, dude,
I'm looking to fade them nine out of ten times.
They are so overpriced I'm forced to fade them. No,
because luckily that who I just read off was the
Jacksonville Jaguars who covered five to three, who just scored
eighty four points, over their last two games and held
their opponents the thirty nine. Yeah, I get that team
at a discount because the Denver Broncos have been so
red hot straight up, and they come off beating a
very good Green Bay Packer team. The recency bias on
my side. Give me the Jags plus the three to
three and a half. That's a gift. Sprinkle the money
line because they win the game.
Speaker 1: All right, another team that I think is gonna win
the game, and that's why they're in the barking dog segment.
But I also think they're gonna the NFC South. And
if you guys, remember I told you back in August
everybody wants the Bucks. I said, no, no, no, give me
the Carolina Panthers to win the NFC South. And it
starts with this game right here, because they play this
week and then they turn around to play each other
again in week eighteen.
Speaker 2: I guess the NFL couldn't have scripted it any better.
Speaker 1: That being said, Tampa Bay one in five straight up
oh and six against the spread over the last six games.
Speaker 2: The bottom has fallen out.
Speaker 1: Sure, the Bucks have a little bit of extra time
to prep for this one because they got their asses
kicked by the Falcons on Thursday night. The Panthers also
blew an opportunity to take the lead in the NFC
South because they lost in overtime to New Orleans last week.
But I do think this Tampa Bay team is just
not built to blow anybody out. They're not built to
win games by margin. They've only won two games by
more than three points this season. And Bryce Young taking
over that Panthers offense back in the middle of last
season as a home underdog eight and one against the
spread with six outright upset wins.
Speaker 2: That is the name of the game.
Speaker 1: Here in the Barking Dog segment, give me Carolina on
the money line, maybe if you use them for Survivor
this week. Marco DiAngelo, we'll see Marco's Deli is up next,
and Marco has been doing well, nothing short of phenomenal
forty and thirty on the season. You're betting one units,
that's ten units by just getting Marco's free Deli right
here on the wager talking YouTube channel. Marco, let everybody
know what's going to be on deck for the deli
this week when the video is gonna come out, and
who you.
Speaker 4: Like, Yeah, it'll be out late on Thursday. And if
you're you know, wager Talk insideer, remember you'll get it
before everybody else, So be sure to check out the
wager Talk Insider program. And Kelly, we're looking at this
one here. We got to see it. Which spot. We
got the Giants in Minnesota. Minnesota's coming off back to
back wins, the last one being on Sunday Night Football
against the Cowboys. Now coming off that big Sunday Night
football win, they got to travel for a second week
in a row. But look who they got on deck.
They got the Lions and Minnesota. You know, disappointing season,
they've had a bunch of injuries, but they can play
spoiler next week to the Lions. And wouldn't they love
to stick it to the Lions, the team that they
battled right to the final week of the season last
year for the division title. Yeah, they want to play
spoiler next week. Washington. I know they have not looked good.
They've lost eight in a row, but in fairness, you
know they've had their own injuries. They finally made it
official they're shutting Daniels down for the season, so we
don't have to worry. Is he gonna play. Is he
not going to play? And if he does play, should
he even be playing because he's playing hurt. We're gonna
at Marcus Mariota. But that eight game losing streak, if
the season ended today, six of those eight teams in
that eight game losing streak would be in the playoffs.
One of the other ones that's not currently in the
playoffs would have been the Lions game in which the
Giants went to Detroit and did everything but win that game.
Is they blew a big fourth quarter lead. This is
a spot where I think they get right at home
against Minnesota. And I trust Jackson Dart more than I
trust JJ McCarthy. You know, I don't know what it
is about McCarthy, just the you know, the way he
show voted going into for the touchdown. And this is
the guy that's done absolutely nothing so far in his
young career, and man, is he cocky. I like Jackson
Dart better. I am gonna go ahead take them, give
me the points again. Minnesota. Yeah, their defense can carry
them some, but they're not playing indoors this week. They're
playing outdoors against the Giants cold weather. I'll go ahead
take the Giants for my sandwich spot in. Of course,
we're sprinkling on the giants.
Speaker 1: All right, let's get into those best bets. VR, you're
gonna be up first, and well, this one should come
as no surprise to any of you guys if you
guys know VR, we're faining the narratives, we're bucking the trends,
we're going straight power ratings.
Speaker 3: Yeah, absolutely, and I love this play. Best bet record
on the show is six and nine dog and best
bet I've usually tried to use premiums. Those two combined
are sixteen and thirteen with a push, So that's fifty
five percent pretty much what we should be in the
NFL if you're winning again. So I don't want people
to think like this is his best best bet, because
I'm firing another five percent on that's the best best bet.
But I love this side. This is a four percent
two subscribers, and that's the Kansas City Chiefs forgiving it
to us for free. How can I not bet it?
Bottom line? We know what the look ahead was. Fortunately,
John Murray and the guy's over at Westgate don't keep
it a secret. They let us know well in advance,
and they had this one up at minus ten and
a half. That's seven and a half half point difference.
And we get to go through the key number of seven,
We get to go through the key number of six
down to three through a four even And why why
because Mahomes isn't playing well? What do we know? We
got to look at what the dropoff is from number
one to number two. Like if it was Tom Brady
and his prime, but behind him was Rogers in his prime.
What's the drop off?
Speaker 4: Right?
Speaker 3: So you got to compare the number one to who's
stepping in, and value over replacement player is also a
very high correlation to winning, just like passing success rate.
It's not as high of a correlation, but it's up there.
It's a very good method if you're able to find
those overvalued undervalued spots. And here's why this is so
undervalued because when you look at Mahomes. Okay, again, it's
not a knock on Mahomes. He's a Hall of Fame
quarterback and we know that with all everything he's done.
But when I look over his last ten ten games,
his QBR is eighty nine point six. Eighty nine point six.
Now that's over this season, Okay, So who's coming in
for him Minshew. Right, Minshew has a lot of experience,
a lot of starting experience, been at multiple teams, and
let's look at his QBR rating, right, he hasn't started.
He has started. So we got to go past another year,
another year. Well, I go back to twenty twenty four
twenty five in Vegas and eighty one twenty three, twenty
four eighty four point six. I go back to twenty two,
twenty three eighty three point four. Ur, I go back
a little further one oh four point eight, Like they're
all up there above eighties. So where's the drop off
in quarterback based on statistics of Mahomes this year compared
to a big sample size for Minshew. It isn't that big.
And I expect again there's gonna be a drop off Minshew's.
I'm not saying Minshew is Mahomes or is playing as
well as Mahomes is gonna play as well as Mahomes
can do what Mahomes can do. What I'm saying is
production wise, production wise, over this last ten games of
this season, it hasn't been the Mahomes. That's the Hall
of Fame Mahomes. That's just the truth. That's why Kansas
City's not making the playoffs this year, so I don't
think the dropoffs warranted. Kind of like I talked about
last week in Indianapolis, this is the Tennessee Titans we're
talking about. Okay, they have zero home wins. Zero that's
how many times they've beaten a team at home. Okay,
they statistically twenty. There's only two teams worse than them
offensively and two teams worse than them defensively in efficiency. Now,
granted they had the toughest schedule in all of the NFL,
but they've gotten beaten down because of that schedule. I
look at Kansas City, it's not the offense's that that's
been their main weapon. In fact, they're not even in
the top fifteen inefficiency offensively. It's the defense that's top five.
And that's what this Tennessee offense has to face. A
top five defense that knows they're starring quarterbacks. Not there.
You think, okay, and you're gonna say, oh right, well
that's the drop off. Maybe you're right, But what about
the motivation these what about the motive? Case's playing for nothing?
What's Tennessee playing for to go to to get home field?
Advantage throughout the playoffs. Are we serious? The pride of
not losing the Tennessee is what Kansas City's playing for.
Not losing the Tennessee Titans. Not allowing Tennessee to get
their first home win against Kansas City just because their
quarterback's not playing. I could go on and on and
on and on for reasons why that's so stupid to think. Okay, now,
because they're not making the playoffs, they have nothing else
to play for. Well, fortunately they're playing a Tennessee team
that had nothing to play for since Week three of
the season. So let's put that nonsense to bed. And again,
Case's got a top fifteen strength of schedule KSE minus three.
That's a give four percent of subscribers already. I don't
think that three will be there comes someday. So if
you agree with me, you may want to get down.
Speaker 1: All right, Marco DiAngelo, let me know what you got
going on over at wager talk dot com and tell
me why you like the Lions to bounce back this week.
Speaker 4: All right, Well, I'll promote for Ace as well. We
both got our specials going this week, same deal we
ran last week. The response was great, and if you
haven't taken advantage. We're giving you a second chance to
do so. You can pick up either VR or myself
secret link. For me, it's wt dot Buzz, backslash Marco
three sixty five. For Ace, just do the same thing
except backslash Ace three sixty five. You can pick up
a full season three hundred and sixty five days for
just the eleven eighty eight regular price is nineteen ninety nine.
We're doing a special for you guys that are loyal
viewers of bed on it for me for this game, Kelly,
I'm looking at Detroit and this is a bad matchup
for the Steelers. They don't have the luxury of facing
a warm weather team in the frigid cold of Pittsburgh
on Monday night football like they did last week. They
got to travel to play Detroit, who was coming off
the loss. They're going to be playing in perfect indoor
conditions on a fast track with that Detroit offense. Thetroit
offense is explosive, as we know. They can both run
and pass the football, which is going to exploit a
Steeler defense that is still bad. I know they look
good on Monday Night football, but come on, let's be honest,
what were the Miami Dolphins doing in that game? They
were absolutely lifeless. Even whenever they got a couple scores
in the fourth quarter, they were going like they had
like they were ahead instead of behind. They weren't going
with a hurry up offense anything that. It was just
a bad performance by the Dolphins. In the week before
when Pittsburgh beat Baltimore, Baltimore out gained them in that
game by over one hundred yards, and we talked about
that controversial touchdown that was overturned on Baltimore. This is
really a meaningless game for the Steelers. And what I
mean by that is the Steelers have a one game
lead over Baltimore. By winning on Monday Night, it guarantees
the Steelers, no matter what they do the next two weeks,
that the final game of the season is going to
be for the division at worst for the division title. Now, obviously,
if Pittsburgh wins a game along the way and Baltimore
drops one, then you know they'll have a two game cushion.
But this is of the three games they have left
traveling on a short week. They got Cleveland next week
and then that showdown with Baltimore. The following week. Not
a good setup for them. Detroit has scored thirty four
or more in four of their last six games. Pittsburgh's
going to try to run the football, shorten the game.
But what happens when you fall behind by two scores?
You got a band in the running game, and then
that's gonna make Pittsburgh one dimensional. And that offensive line
is still not great and Aaron Rodgers will be under
pressure if Detroit decides the blitz numerous times. I just
don't like this setup for Pittsburgh. And oh, look at Detroit.
What have they've done the last ten games? Win, lose, win, lose. Well,
if you follow that pattern that has happened for ten
straight weeks, this is the wind week. I'll go ahead
and take Detroit and lay the seven. I would go
ahead and grab that seven because I think this could
get to seven and a half come Sunday. Go ahead
and lay it with the Lions.
Speaker 1: All Right, we started trending upwards on our best bets
and then.
Speaker 2: We came crashing down last week.
Speaker 1: So we're just gonna not overthink it this week, and
we're gonna lay fourteen and a half points with the
Houston Texans. I know, I know, I'm not usually some
chalk eating weasel here, but what is happening to the Raiders?
Speaker 2: Cannot stop this momentum, right, just keep going.
Speaker 1: I get that crazy backdoor cover against the Broncos. Then
they go on the road and just get absolutely blown
out in Philadelphia. They have lost eight straight games and
now have to face the Houston Texas defense. Yeah, this
is not going to be good. It does not matter
what the Raiders try to do.
Speaker 2: This team has cashed it in for the season.
Speaker 1: And let's say this is about as short as the
amount of time the Raiders' offense spin on the field
on Sunday.
Speaker 2: A very short synopsis.
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna try to find you guys some more
reasons why we cannot bet the Raiders from.
Speaker 2: The gold sheet.
Speaker 1: Las Vegas is now responsible for two of the worst
offensive games in the NFL over the last decade, and oh,
by the way, they happen to have occurred in the
last two months. On October nineteenth, the Raiders generating ninety
five total yards and got three first downs against Kansas City.
They were on the field for only seventeen minutes and
fifty two seconds in that game and went oh for
seven on third down.
Speaker 2: Hi thought it couldn't get any worse. Well, guess what.
Speaker 1: They played the Eagles last week, where they finished with
seventy five total yards and one point eight yards per play.
Houston six game winning streak, they've covered five of those six.
We're laying it here with the Houston Texans to blow
out the Las Vegas Raiders. All right, guys, that was
your NFL edition of bet on It from myself, Marco DiAngelo,
Yanni the Greek. We'll see you guys for a week sixteen.
I cannot believe we're this far along in this NFL season.
Speaker 2: Up next week and.
Speaker 1: Of course, if you guys are looking for more stuff
on the college football playoff, look no further than right here. Also,
we'll see you guys Saturday and Sunday for WADOS talks.
Last call, Yanni the Greek, Marco DiAngelo. We've got a
star seted lineup