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Speaker 1: Welcome to Way did You Talk today?

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Speaker 2: The gold standard of sports betting shows, where we talked

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the Talk, Walk the Walk. It's Monday, diving into sharp

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market movement. We have to talk to Carmine about the

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Olympic fallout, NHL futures. We got a lot of college basketball,

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only three NBA games that we're gonna break down all

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of those, Dan, come on in here.

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Speaker 1: Pretty incredible weekend.

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Speaker 2: Of sports like that was a lot of fun. You

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had a lot of fun with your lacrosse plays. But

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who do we have on today's show and what was

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your takeaway from the weekend?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, a great weekend. We'll get into that in just

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a moment.

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Speaker 4: But as you alluded to there, we have brought on

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karm I saw he's able to lick his wounds after

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USA beats Canada. Him and Prez had a great preview

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on that video. Unfortunately didn't go their way, but Andy,

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everyone was a winner who tuned into that game Saturday morning.

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I mean, it was just a hell of a hockey game,

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A great way to kind of put a cap on

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what was a fun Olympic hockey season here for us. So, yeah,

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we'll talk about the fallout there and then also, folks,

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NHL is back, baby, which means put time is back.

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So Karl's going to talk a little bit about that.

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He's also got a future you should be betting now

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in NHL action. Steve Merrill's also coming on, Andy.

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Speaker 5: It's a small but mighty hoops board.

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Speaker 4: We have three NBA games we're gonna have Steve talk

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about the Spurs and Pistons. You're gonna give plays on

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all three of them. And then a very small college

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basketball board as far as the Marquee matchups go. Steve's

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talking the doubleheader that's on the ESPN tonight. So you

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want to play in Louisville taken on UNC, you got

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it here. You want to play on Houston versus Kansas,

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you got it here. So the small but mighty board, Andy,

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we're hitting every game that's on it. So and for

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you soccer fans, we'll have a play for you an

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EPL action as well. It's a great Monday here, Andy,

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on what is on the heels of a great weekend?

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Two and zero in the lacrosse department for us, how

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the rest of the team do, How the clients do

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this weekend?

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Speaker 1: We had a pretty good weekend. UFC was not that good.

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Speaker 2: Oh and two on two we had two small plays

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that that should have told me right there.

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Speaker 5: It's a weird carr well car.

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Speaker 2: We didn't like a big play, so we just put

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in two small plays. They didn't go well, but we

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swept the board on golf and that's a uh. We

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lost our pre tournament play, but one, two live ones

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Rugby department continues to keep kicking ass, so we ended

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up with a really nice, nice one. I think we're

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up eight units over the last seven days, so pretty

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happy with how everything went.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, we're up thirty two units for the year. So

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anytime you're profitable, so it's a it's good for this business.

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So eight Yeah, it's.

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Speaker 5: In eight units in a week. Andy, I will say.

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Speaker 4: You know, we're well, well, we'll hold on to this,

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but we could approach we could be approaching absolute wagon tory.

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Speaker 5: That's all.

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Speaker 4: As all I'm saying, we're nearing absolute wagon territory.

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Speaker 5: That's as Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, let's bring on Yanni here, let's uh, let's let's uh,

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let's talk Yanni.

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Speaker 1: You had a nice MMA weekend. Oh yeah, you are

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the only one in my in my circle that that

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had a weekend. Yeah, pre fight did well.

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Speaker 2: I'll be honest, I was not doing well and then

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being able to get Strickling at plus money live, what

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do we talk about, UFC? I got I got shown

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Strickland big at plus money in the second round. It

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absolutely saved my card. But congratulations, man, nice mem a weekend.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, it was a really nice card.

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Speaker 7: And I felt going in because I do the notes,

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A lot of betting notes I send into the UFC

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every week that they use throughout, like different broadcasts and stuff.

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Speaker 6: Make a long story short.

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Speaker 7: I always sending how many favorites so far, how many

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dogs based on the.

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Speaker 6: Closing line, how many overs, how many youngers?

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Speaker 7: And every year it's kind of down the same sixty

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five sixty six percent favorites, you know, thirty two thirty

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three percent dogs, and then there's like that half to

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one percent that are the no contest And whenever it

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gets way ahead one way or the other, it usually

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has enough of a sample size to regress progress towards

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the mean. Well, we started off the first two or

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three events with favorites way ahead. I said, man, is

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this that dog card? Because we are going to see

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more dogs than we've seen the first few cards, that's

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for sure.

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Speaker 6: That doesn't mean it's going to happen overnight.

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Speaker 7: So I was zeroed in on a couple of dogs,

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but again I kept my volume slow. This was one

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of those nights that I wish I fired fifteen plays

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to subscribers because I was just throwing point. I even

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have right now in one account where I have a

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parlay that's still live where I put Strickling plus two

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twenty mattage plus one eighty Spivoc plus one twenty two

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and an open spot. So it's a four team parlay.

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I have to find that one open spot. So the

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next five percent in college basketball goes in there because

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I fired the first five percent on Saturday with Duke.

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I've been harping about Duke for the last three weeks

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that they are the best team in the country, and

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I got so much pushback from Arizona fans, from Houston fans,

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from Michigan fans. I said, Dude, for me, I'm just

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telling you what the numbers tell me, that no one

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should be favored over Duke.

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Speaker 6: And then I look at the line Saturday and.

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Speaker 7: I see Duke's a home dog to Michigan, I said,

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I got to fire my first five percent, but I'm

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going to wait an hour or so into the morning

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to see if any of the guys I work with

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come in opposite me. The last thing I want to

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do is fire five percent on Duke and have them

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come in on Michigan. And I waited a little bit,

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did last call, and then I said, you know what, man,

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I gotta trust my numbers. I gotta fire. I'm betting

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it that much. I got to give it to my

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subscribers like that. So I gave out Duke and they

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got it done. But honestly, I felt comfortable that even

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if they lost that game. That's the kind of bet

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I like placing where I felt confident I was getting

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the best of it. With Strickling, I thought I was

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going to throw that ticket out. I thought Fluffy was

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gonna eventually grind him out by taking him down and

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not controlling him for long. But that would be the

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difference maker. But yeah, the value ended up coming in.

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Speaker 6: So far, so good. Not to go on.

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Speaker 7: But it's a very slow day to day, and I'm

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okay with that because it was a really good week.

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Speaker 6: It's been a great twenty twenty six.

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Speaker 7: We're on we're ahead of schedule towards my goal, and

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uh yeah, everything's good as we head into the March

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badness which is ahead, and uh yeah, power ratings are

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ready to go. So yeah, and we got MMA coming.

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A lot of good stuff, a lot of good stuff.

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Speaker 1: Anytime I see these these wrestlers.

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Speaker 2: That are like, I'm gonna box, Oh, it's just like

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it's just a live bet. It's I don't understand it.

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I wonder if there was if he wasn't one hundred

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percent healthy, But.

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Speaker 1: What a horrible it's just a horrible look for him.

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He looked terra like Strickland dog walked him and knocked

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him out.

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Speaker 7: So it reminded me when I I I thought of

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the betters that had Fluffy felt like me a few

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weeks back, when I had what's it called that didn't

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go for uh, when I had uh Patty the Battie,

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and I.

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Speaker 6: Was expecting Yeah, yeah.

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Speaker 7: I was expecting him. He's the grappler, he's the wrestler.

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He's he's gonna at least do that, and he did

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none of that. So I feel your pain if you

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had Fluffy and you expected him to grapple and you feel.

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Speaker 2: Like a dope, don't you Like you're you're watching Patty

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just get his ass kicked.

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Speaker 6: Watching You're like everyone sees it, like, yeah, unless unless

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it's just so hard to do, you know what I mean.

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Speaker 7: Like it's easy for me to say do it, but

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maybe he just couldn't get it done, you know what

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I mean? Gage was just that hard to take down

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for him. Maybe I don't know, but at least try,

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was my argument.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, just give it a shot, just make make us,

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make us just for optics trying to me.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, so I sleep good, Patty, that's it, that's it.

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Just give me two attempts. That's all.

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Speaker 2: Well, let's talk your updated college basketball rankings. Yeah, you

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trusted your numbers, paid off in a five percent place.

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Speaker 1: So what are we looking at teams to bet on?

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Teams to bet against?

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Speaker 6: Yeah? Great question.

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Speaker 7: And and uh still Duke still at the top. Obviously

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nothing's changed there. I haven't downgraded Michigan because I had

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them third anyway, going into last week, I had Houston

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above them. Houston is still there, but I have moved

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Arizona up above Florida. So now Florida's number five for me,

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So it goes Duke Houston Michigan, Arizona, Florida in my

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top five. Now, uh the bet on bet against. Here's

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some of the teams that I have ranked that the

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AP does not. I have Tennessee, They're in my top fifteen.

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I have Connecticut, Oh no, no, I have Auburn, Auburn,

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they're in my top fifteen. I have who else is

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in there? Kentucky in my top fifteen. I have Arkansas

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in my top twenty. Those are teams that I think

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are really undervalued even BYU, that the AP doesn't have.

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And then some of the AP teams that I think

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are overvalued, none bigger than Nebraska, not even in my

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top twenty. You know, they're a top seven eighteen in

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the AP. Kansas is a top ten team, barely in

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my top twenty. They go tonight against Houston. We could

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cover that real quickly. And then who else was there?

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Iowa State they have highed. I have high Iowa State

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top five. I have them out of my top ten.

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They're an eleventh best team. And oh one other team

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I wanted to talk about that I have top ten

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and is nowhere even in the top twenty. Tennessee, Tennessee's

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dangerous team Top three defense, and they play a top

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ten strength of schedule. That's a team that I've continued

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to move up over the last three weeks. Every single

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week they've climbed higher, higher higher. They're now one slot

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away from breaking into my top ten. That Tennessee team.

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So yeah, again, my ratings aren't perfect, but they've produced

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enough to produce a profit. They their results have produced

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a profit, so they're good enough to overcome me laying

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eleven to win ten.

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Speaker 6: If you pick your spots.

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Speaker 7: Again, they're not always going to be right, but they

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do prove themselves, like Alabama's better than the pollsters thing

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teams like that, and I love taking advantage of that.

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And if you want to cover real quickly tonight, here's

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what I got. Louisville North Carolina. AP has Louisville twenty first,

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North Carolina sixteenth.

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Speaker 6: I have North Carolina not in the.

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Speaker 7: Top twenty, but I have them Louisville and North Carolina

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a lot closer. I have Louisville as the twenty fourth

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best team in the country. I have North Carolina as

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the twenty third best team in the country. So I

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have them pretty much identical in power rating. Probably give

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North Carolina maybe a half a point, but you got

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to give North Carolina about two and a half for

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home court advantage. So I made North Carolina the favorite

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in this game. Louisville now three point favorite. That has

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me all over North Carolina.

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Speaker 6: But North Carolina got steamed.

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Speaker 7: I mean Louisville got steamed from one of the guys

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that I trade with, accounts with a group he works

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with bet the Louisville side. That's why you're looking at

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three now. So I got to sit that one out

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unless I see it's just manipulation or you know, there's

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other kind of information as the day goes on. And

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the same thing with Houston Kansas, where like I said,

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I have Kansas barely in my top twenty.

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Speaker 6: They have them eighth, So I have Houston actually.

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Speaker 7: Offering a little bit of value even though you know

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their road favorites. I have Houston winning that game by

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about three to three and a half, but we're looking

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at one and a half in Houston. Whye, because Kansas

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got steamed this morning. So whyse guys disagree with my

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at least what my power ratings show on both these matchups.

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So I got to dig deeper and seat is their

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matchup difficulties, is their injuries or our numbers just disagree,

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and then I'll follow the line as the day goes

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on and see is does the market prove them to

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be right for me to be right? And if it

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doesn't support me betting, I'm forced to sit those two

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out and probably just attack the added board games. Again,

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I trust my numbers and I'm not but I'm not

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going to go ahead to head when I know how

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hard it is to win long term, and when I

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see a long term winner opposite me, I tend to

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respect that.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's that is kind of interesting.

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Speaker 2: So when you make official plays, it's only if if

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you get confirmation on your opinions.

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Speaker 5: Is that right?

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Speaker 6: Correct? Correct? I'll fade sharp stuff.

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Speaker 7: I joke all the time where I say, why Scott

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Schman's got I'm fading it like I have that much

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trust in what I like. I'll do that, But I'm

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very selective when I do that, because you know, you

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stick your head up too much, it's gonna get slapped occasionally,

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and I have been slapped occasionally doing that.

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Speaker 6: So I stay very selective, but I will do it

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on occasion.

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Speaker 7: I will never fade mine and just piggyback theirs because

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it puts me in a no win situation. So I'll

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never do that, Like I'll never now take Louisville tonight

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just because they took Louisville if my numbers show North Carolina,

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And I won't take Kansas just because they did if

275
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my number is so Houston. But what I like is

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for me on Houston, them on Houston, me on Carolina,

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them on Carolina, or them idle kind of like with

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the duke game in Michigan. They were idle, nothing on

279
00:14:30,240 --> 00:14:33,799
the sides, firm the betting syndicates. So I was like,

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I'm good there. It didn't make me nervous before the game.

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Speaker 5: Nice. Nice.

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Speaker 1: What what is your definition of sharp wise guy these days?

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In twenty twenty, there's two.

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Speaker 7: I'm so glad you said that I separate sharp and

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wise guy. To me, they're two different.

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Speaker 6: Betters.

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Speaker 7: There's a ton of sharps out. There was a I

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was a sharp better for U from a long long

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time ago. I knew I was sharp, but I wasn't

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00:15:08,440 --> 00:15:12,200
a wise guy. You don't get that a status until

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you actually do produce profit with your knowledge, your sharp knowledge.

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Speaker 6: You know what I mean?

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Speaker 7: Like where you're actually making money doing it or moving markets,

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one of those two things.

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Speaker 6: As a wise guy.

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Speaker 7: As a sharp, yeah, I know a lot of sharp

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guys out there that unfortunately have not Unfortunately.

298
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Speaker 6: It is what it is.

299
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Speaker 7: I was sharp, and I still had to sometimes go

300
00:15:34,879 --> 00:15:38,039
hustle as a bartender, hustle, as a taxi driver, hustle.

301
00:15:38,320 --> 00:15:41,159
I knew, I knew not to take bad numbers. I

302
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knew all the sharp things to do, but I couldn't

303
00:15:46,399 --> 00:15:48,080
do them. I was able to preach them, but I

304
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couldn't practice them. And that's when you step into the

305
00:15:51,200 --> 00:15:55,200
wise guy category because again, like you know, there's betting

306
00:15:55,279 --> 00:15:58,159
syndicates wise guys. I consider them the same thing more

307
00:15:58,279 --> 00:16:01,200
or less, but sharp's there's a lot of sharp betters

308
00:16:01,240 --> 00:16:04,120
out there. Not all of them are profitable. Like I

309
00:16:04,240 --> 00:16:07,320
know a lot of guys even on social media not

310
00:16:07,440 --> 00:16:11,559
calling anyone out that is extremely sharp or the industry

311
00:16:11,639 --> 00:16:15,360
considers them very sharp, but they're not. Uh, they don't

312
00:16:15,399 --> 00:16:18,240
have positive lifetime earnings. Betting sports put it that way,

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00:16:19,440 --> 00:16:20,799
that that's like a rare class.

314
00:16:22,000 --> 00:16:25,279
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, it's all right, So we're we're we got

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00:16:25,399 --> 00:16:26,759
to be a sharp and then we got to be

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a wise guy.

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Speaker 1: I get yeah, I get it.

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Speaker 7: Yea most most most just stay sharp and you know,

319
00:16:35,480 --> 00:16:37,840
their whole lives, and if they get to work with

320
00:16:37,960 --> 00:16:41,679
wise guys, it helps out. But it's hard to get there, man.

321
00:16:41,960 --> 00:16:44,879
You know that by how few even with winning information

322
00:16:45,840 --> 00:16:48,879
propt Fit. Just think of your subscribers. You have winning years,

323
00:16:49,080 --> 00:16:50,960
but how many of them turn in a winning year

324
00:16:51,000 --> 00:16:53,159
because you're not able to bet for them. You can't

325
00:16:53,240 --> 00:16:56,240
manage their risk, you can't manage their emotions, you can't

326
00:16:56,480 --> 00:16:59,159
brush all them demons off those shoulders that you have

327
00:16:59,279 --> 00:17:01,120
to do to your own self every day, you know

328
00:17:01,159 --> 00:17:03,879
what I mean. So that's where it becomes difficult, where

329
00:17:03,960 --> 00:17:05,160
even if you're sharp.

330
00:17:05,359 --> 00:17:09,839
Speaker 6: Like you still then have to survive all those the

331
00:17:10,160 --> 00:17:14,079
demons we face every day in this racket.

332
00:17:14,480 --> 00:17:17,559
Speaker 7: That's the difficulty of it because again, most get into

333
00:17:17,599 --> 00:17:19,920
it because they have some gamble in them, Like at

334
00:17:20,000 --> 00:17:22,720
least back in the day, like anyone that got into

335
00:17:22,759 --> 00:17:25,839
this industry was in it because they had gamble in them,

336
00:17:25,920 --> 00:17:27,319
like my you know, it's not we're not in it

337
00:17:27,400 --> 00:17:30,599
by accident, where now it's a little different. Even math

338
00:17:30,640 --> 00:17:32,960
guys get in it because they see edges and it's

339
00:17:33,000 --> 00:17:38,000
a little bit. You know, it's changed with legalization and

340
00:17:38,119 --> 00:17:40,640
the widespread of you know, sports betting.

341
00:17:40,680 --> 00:17:42,720
Speaker 6: You look at like poly market and all those things.

342
00:17:42,960 --> 00:17:47,319
Speaker 7: Now you have like brokerage guys that just do did

343
00:17:47,400 --> 00:17:50,759
nothing but four x and stock and crypto. Now seeing, wait,

344
00:17:50,839 --> 00:17:54,039
there's an efficiencies in sports betting market. And wait, all

345
00:17:54,079 --> 00:17:57,839
of a sudden, there's liquidity as well because of polymarket

346
00:17:58,000 --> 00:18:02,319
and call sheet. Now our competition is about to get harder. Boys,

347
00:18:02,319 --> 00:18:04,759
I don't know if you guys know this all everyone

348
00:18:04,880 --> 00:18:09,559
watching right now. Our trading like it's who you're trading

349
00:18:09,640 --> 00:18:14,599
against more or less dictates your success and how good

350
00:18:14,599 --> 00:18:16,279
of a trader you are and who you're going to

351
00:18:16,319 --> 00:18:21,960
trade against. And now with the liquidity of Calshi and polymarket,

352
00:18:22,079 --> 00:18:23,920
it's about to get harder. I used to talk about

353
00:18:23,960 --> 00:18:26,039
this back at the start US when they were saying

354
00:18:26,079 --> 00:18:28,240
offshore is going to explode, and I said, I don't

355
00:18:28,240 --> 00:18:30,359
know if that's a good thing, because what if all

356
00:18:30,440 --> 00:18:34,359
those Wall Street guys start to dabble into our market

357
00:18:34,640 --> 00:18:38,440
and start creating the algorithms and the fiber optic cables

358
00:18:38,480 --> 00:18:40,880
to beat by a split of a billionth of a

359
00:18:40,960 --> 00:18:43,440
second to a move like that shit's going to happen

360
00:18:43,480 --> 00:18:46,200
if there's liquidity in the market. But because these guys

361
00:18:46,319 --> 00:18:50,279
move seven to eight figures and we only could move

362
00:18:50,400 --> 00:18:52,880
six figures if we're lucky, they're not going to mess

363
00:18:52,960 --> 00:18:56,400
with our market. But if there's enough liquidity where they

364
00:18:56,400 --> 00:19:02,440
could start moving seven figures easily eight figures, eventually, dude,

365
00:19:02,519 --> 00:19:05,279
rest as short, the institutions are coming and then that's

366
00:19:05,319 --> 00:19:06,480
who we'll be trading again.

367
00:19:06,599 --> 00:19:07,920
Speaker 6: So let's make our money.

368
00:19:07,759 --> 00:19:11,920
Speaker 1: Now, all right, this is a topic we need to explore.

369
00:19:11,960 --> 00:19:13,440
We need to get into later in the week, the

370
00:19:13,519 --> 00:19:16,640
polymarket and cal sheets because there's a there's a lot

371
00:19:16,720 --> 00:19:18,759
to digest there. So but for now, what do you

372
00:19:18,799 --> 00:19:20,000
have up for everyone? A wager talking?

373
00:19:20,319 --> 00:19:22,559
Speaker 6: Yeah, as of right now, we just got my long

374
00:19:22,720 --> 00:19:24,079
term packages.

375
00:19:24,680 --> 00:19:27,079
Speaker 7: If you're joining with me for the week, the month,

376
00:19:27,359 --> 00:19:29,920
or even better twenty twenty six, you know our goals

377
00:19:30,319 --> 00:19:32,119
what they are, and if they're aligned, you will not

378
00:19:32,240 --> 00:19:33,079
be disappointed.

379
00:19:33,599 --> 00:19:35,720
Speaker 6: Because I haven't been able to confirm anything for a

380
00:19:35,799 --> 00:19:37,880
premium to even put the steam sheet off.

381
00:19:38,039 --> 00:19:39,640
Speaker 7: That's why, real quick, I'll just tell you what I

382
00:19:39,720 --> 00:19:42,960
got nba U TOAL plus fourteen college basketball. I told

383
00:19:43,000 --> 00:19:45,599
you Kansas plus the two and a half three MOI

384
00:19:45,640 --> 00:19:47,799
though minus to one and a half extra board games

385
00:19:47,839 --> 00:19:50,400
Mississippi dow only plus seventeen and a half New Orleans

386
00:19:50,480 --> 00:19:53,519
plus thirteen McNeese minus nine and a half and over

387
00:19:53,680 --> 00:19:56,000
one forty four in McNeice. You just got the steam

388
00:19:56,039 --> 00:19:57,880
sheet right now for free. I didn't want to charge

389
00:19:57,880 --> 00:20:00,680
anyone nineteen dollars for that because that's all the information

390
00:20:00,759 --> 00:20:03,799
I have up until now, and I don't have a premium.

391
00:20:04,079 --> 00:20:07,240
I'm not going to fire a premium unless it's confirmed.

392
00:20:07,519 --> 00:20:09,559
I said, I only have one goal in twenty twenty six.

393
00:20:09,680 --> 00:20:12,480
That's to make sure I make money and uh we

394
00:20:12,640 --> 00:20:15,599
turn a profit. So hopefully I am able to confirm

395
00:20:15,680 --> 00:20:18,000
between now and then Andy, but nothing so far brother

396
00:20:18,160 --> 00:20:21,359
for Monday, But luckily there's seven days in the week

397
00:20:21,440 --> 00:20:22,359
and we got tomorrow.

398
00:20:23,519 --> 00:20:23,880
Speaker 1: All right.

399
00:20:24,079 --> 00:20:27,200
Speaker 2: I can't wait to talk Calshi polymarket and this ridiculous

400
00:20:27,279 --> 00:20:30,319
UFC card that's coming up where everybody's a minus five

401
00:20:30,440 --> 00:20:31,240
hundred favorite.

402
00:20:32,480 --> 00:20:36,480
Speaker 1: If it even happens, grab your water bottle, baby, swallow

403
00:20:36,559 --> 00:20:37,039
that chalk.

404
00:20:37,160 --> 00:20:38,400
Speaker 6: That's how it goes. Sometime.

405
00:20:39,119 --> 00:20:41,799
Speaker 2: Have you been notified about if if it's gonna take place,

406
00:20:42,200 --> 00:20:44,880
because this is UFC Mexico and this is scary.

407
00:20:45,200 --> 00:20:47,319
Speaker 7: Yeah, that's what I was just gonna figure. I'm not

408
00:20:47,400 --> 00:20:50,559
too too sure, bro, uh that's gonna take place. They

409
00:20:50,599 --> 00:20:53,160
don't have World Cup scheduled for Alasco. I think, so

410
00:20:54,440 --> 00:20:56,160
not a place you want to be, uh going for

411
00:20:56,279 --> 00:20:57,440
your your your resort.

412
00:20:57,920 --> 00:20:58,440
Speaker 6: I don't know.

413
00:20:58,880 --> 00:21:01,599
Speaker 7: Yeah, that's a great question. I would think it's they're not.

414
00:21:02,079 --> 00:21:04,039
If I have to tell you, I would pretty sure.

415
00:21:04,799 --> 00:21:07,400
I would bet the know. If it's on poly market

416
00:21:07,519 --> 00:21:10,000
right now, I would definitely like, let's look, if there's

417
00:21:10,319 --> 00:21:13,319
any action on Folling point.

418
00:21:13,279 --> 00:21:15,799
Speaker 6: That there will not be a UFC card on Saturday,

419
00:21:15,839 --> 00:21:16,839
I like it. Yeah, I don't.

420
00:21:17,000 --> 00:21:20,640
Speaker 2: I mean, there's a there's there's tennis tournament down there,

421
00:21:21,319 --> 00:21:24,079
and the test players are already there, and I was

422
00:21:24,160 --> 00:21:26,920
reading that. I was reading the officials said if they were,

423
00:21:27,079 --> 00:21:28,640
if they were the w t A and a t P,

424
00:21:28,839 --> 00:21:30,680
get a couple of plays down there and get everyone

425
00:21:30,759 --> 00:21:31,200
out of there.

426
00:21:32,319 --> 00:21:35,079
Speaker 7: If I just watched the video of someone getting blowtorks

427
00:21:35,119 --> 00:21:37,839
while tied to a tree, you don't want to go

428
00:21:38,079 --> 00:21:39,680
there for for a UFC.

429
00:21:39,559 --> 00:21:43,200
Speaker 6: Card, Like it ain't the place for M M A.

430
00:21:43,319 --> 00:21:46,720
Speaker 7: I'm not sure Paramount wants to launch the first Paramount

431
00:21:47,319 --> 00:21:49,039
in Mexico during that week.

432
00:21:49,000 --> 00:21:50,599
Speaker 1: And great start for Paramount.

433
00:21:52,920 --> 00:22:01,640
Speaker 6: Now kidnapped fighters. Yeah, we don't need that, all.

434
00:22:01,599 --> 00:22:06,960
Speaker 1: Right, Johnnie, thank you very much. Look later later this week.

435
00:22:07,599 --> 00:22:11,039
Speaker 3: Oh man, poun Paramount's like wave what what?

436
00:22:11,359 --> 00:22:12,039
Speaker 5: What's happening?

437
00:22:12,119 --> 00:22:12,279
Speaker 8: Now?

438
00:22:13,400 --> 00:22:17,000
Speaker 2: That's Paramount's fault, though, I like to be upset. To

439
00:22:17,119 --> 00:22:19,640
be upset already.

440
00:22:21,640 --> 00:22:24,319
Speaker 5: There be you knew what you were getting.

441
00:22:24,960 --> 00:22:28,319
Speaker 4: There is one thing that you can say about mister

442
00:22:28,400 --> 00:22:30,640
Strickland other than the fact that you know he had

443
00:22:30,680 --> 00:22:33,279
an incredible performance this weekend, and that is he he will.

444
00:22:33,599 --> 00:22:36,920
He will speak his mind whether whatever whatever that is

445
00:22:37,039 --> 00:22:39,880
that is on his mind. Uh you know, he will.

446
00:22:39,920 --> 00:22:41,440
You put a microphone in front of his face, and

447
00:22:41,519 --> 00:22:43,279
you're you're gonna get Sean Strickland quotes.

448
00:22:43,319 --> 00:22:45,000
Speaker 5: That's that's that's what you're gonna get.

449
00:22:45,119 --> 00:22:45,279
Speaker 7: Man.

450
00:22:46,200 --> 00:22:51,200
Speaker 1: Yea for Paramount to be upset and played with fire,

451
00:22:51,200 --> 00:22:51,920
younna get burned?

452
00:22:52,039 --> 00:22:54,160
Speaker 5: Yes, yeah, exactly. You can't.

453
00:22:54,200 --> 00:22:57,440
Speaker 4: You can't go crying wolf. Now we got Carmine Bianco

454
00:22:57,519 --> 00:22:59,759
coming up. He's gonna give you some NHL action here.

455
00:23:00,200 --> 00:23:03,839
But first Andy three games on the NBA card here tonight.

456
00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:06,279
You have thoughts on all three of them. Here for

457
00:23:06,359 --> 00:23:09,359
the folks, it's Andy loves you have folks, all three games,

458
00:23:09,480 --> 00:23:11,839
small card. Andy's got plays for all of them. What

459
00:23:11,920 --> 00:23:14,400
do we think of an NBA action here tonight? And

460
00:23:14,440 --> 00:23:15,960
then we'll let folks know what we got going for

461
00:23:16,039 --> 00:23:16,519
the clients.

462
00:23:17,119 --> 00:23:19,319
Speaker 2: All right, Well, I think that we should try and

463
00:23:19,359 --> 00:23:23,599
give away three day pass. Oh so if I uh so,

464
00:23:23,799 --> 00:23:26,279
let's do every Let's do everyone put their wager Talk

465
00:23:26,400 --> 00:23:28,960
user name in the comment section. If I go three

466
00:23:29,039 --> 00:23:31,839
and zero, we'll pick a free three day pass winner.

467
00:23:31,920 --> 00:23:33,160
So only three last night.

468
00:23:33,519 --> 00:23:36,880
Speaker 3: Let's try and comment below after the video goes live.

469
00:23:36,960 --> 00:23:39,920
Speaker 4: Folks, if your wager Talking user name is included on it,

470
00:23:40,440 --> 00:23:41,559
free three day flex pass.

471
00:23:41,599 --> 00:23:43,359
Speaker 5: When Andy hits these, here we go, baby.

472
00:23:44,200 --> 00:23:46,880
Speaker 2: We'll start with the Pistons and the Spurs will take

473
00:23:46,880 --> 00:23:49,480
the over two twenty nine and a half. Last three

474
00:23:49,599 --> 00:23:52,720
away games for the Spurs, they've scored two thirty The

475
00:23:53,400 --> 00:23:57,559
totals have been two thirty nine, two fifty eight two

476
00:23:57,680 --> 00:23:59,759
games out of the All Star Break two thirty six

477
00:23:59,839 --> 00:24:02,680
and two thirty nine. The pace has increased the last

478
00:24:02,759 --> 00:24:06,640
couple months with this team actually both teams San Antonio

479
00:24:06,759 --> 00:24:09,519
especially though last ten games the Pistons are seven and

480
00:24:09,640 --> 00:24:12,640
three to the over, Spurs eight and two to the over.

481
00:24:12,880 --> 00:24:14,680
Let's take the over at two thirty two and a

482
00:24:14,720 --> 00:24:18,160
half in that one Grizzlies and Kings ugly game. But

483
00:24:18,640 --> 00:24:21,839
when you get ugly teams playing not a lot of

484
00:24:21,920 --> 00:24:24,559
non starters, you tend to not see a lot of defense.

485
00:24:24,599 --> 00:24:26,319
And that's what I'm gonna been on here. We're gonna

486
00:24:26,359 --> 00:24:29,480
take the over here. It's up to two thirty three

487
00:24:29,519 --> 00:24:31,640
and a half. Fine, I'll take it. Kings have lost

488
00:24:31,880 --> 00:24:35,480
sixteen games in a row. Dam The last time they

489
00:24:35,519 --> 00:24:36,799
won an NBA game.

490
00:24:37,519 --> 00:24:37,839
Speaker 6: C J.

491
00:24:38,079 --> 00:24:41,960
Speaker 2: Stroud was still alive in the NFL playoffs. That's wow,

492
00:24:42,440 --> 00:24:47,160
it feels like feels like a million years ago. Yeah,

493
00:24:47,839 --> 00:24:49,599
the last two wins they had, we're against the taking

494
00:24:49,680 --> 00:24:54,160
Jazz and the tanking Kings. So the opposing teams against

495
00:24:54,200 --> 00:24:56,160
the Kings, they've scored one hundred and twenty points in

496
00:24:56,279 --> 00:24:59,640
five straight. Opposing team against the Grizzlies have scored a

497
00:24:59,720 --> 00:25:04,319
hundred fourteen in ten straight. And it's just when these

498
00:25:04,440 --> 00:25:06,720
when these bench players are playing, they're trying to impress

499
00:25:06,799 --> 00:25:08,880
for next season, they're trying to pad stats.

500
00:25:08,960 --> 00:25:11,039
Speaker 1: There's not gonna be any defense that's played. So give

501
00:25:11,079 --> 00:25:12,400
me the over in this one, and.

502
00:25:12,480 --> 00:25:15,799
Speaker 2: The Rockets and the Jazz give me the Jazz the

503
00:25:15,839 --> 00:25:17,480
first half. It's plus seven and a half.

504
00:25:18,440 --> 00:25:20,240
Speaker 5: Here's what the Jazz due. They'll play hard in the

505
00:25:20,279 --> 00:25:20,680
first half.

506
00:25:20,720 --> 00:25:23,799
Speaker 2: They'll play their starters and then they'll bench guys. This

507
00:25:24,039 --> 00:25:27,680
is a Jazz team, Dan that is tanking. But they

508
00:25:27,720 --> 00:25:30,880
are five and oh ats first half in the last

509
00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:33,559
five games. That just tells you everything. They're playing hard

510
00:25:33,640 --> 00:25:35,599
in the first half and then they give it away

511
00:25:35,640 --> 00:25:37,799
in the second half. And I don't trust this Rockets team.

512
00:25:38,160 --> 00:25:40,920
The chemistry is bad. They're not blowing anybody out. So

513
00:25:40,960 --> 00:25:44,279
it'll take the Jazz first half plus seven and a half.

514
00:25:44,480 --> 00:25:46,839
So those are your three plays here after the show

515
00:25:47,039 --> 00:25:49,480
comments section, put your wage to talk to use a name.

516
00:25:49,519 --> 00:25:50,960
Speaker 1: If I go three and oho, we'll get the way

517
00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:52,160
a three day pass.

518
00:25:52,920 --> 00:25:56,079
Speaker 3: Boom and the absolutely love it.

519
00:25:56,279 --> 00:25:58,119
Speaker 4: And before we get to calm here, real quick, I

520
00:25:58,160 --> 00:25:59,759
want you to let folks know what we have because

521
00:25:59,799 --> 00:26:02,559
we have a lot of action. Rocking darts has been

522
00:26:03,279 --> 00:26:06,920
in absolute wagon territory. Real quick, Andy, before you let

523
00:26:06,960 --> 00:26:09,319
folks know what we have up, I'm going to give

524
00:26:09,359 --> 00:26:12,599
you something. I just got word that air Force and

525
00:26:12,799 --> 00:26:17,480
Siena Lacrosse tomorrow has been moved. It wasn't outdoor game.

526
00:26:17,599 --> 00:26:20,640
It's now going to be played at ten am indoors.

527
00:26:21,240 --> 00:26:23,519
The total should be twenty six and a half. At

528
00:26:23,680 --> 00:26:26,039
least the totals sitting at twenty four and a half.

529
00:26:26,160 --> 00:26:28,720
So the thought process behind this, folks, guys, and again

530
00:26:28,799 --> 00:26:30,599
this is I literally got it on my phone right

531
00:26:30,640 --> 00:26:33,559
now that the game was just moved. So the thought

532
00:26:33,599 --> 00:26:36,759
process is, both of these are solid offenses. They're also

533
00:26:36,839 --> 00:26:39,680
both playing against really bad defenses. So we already liked

534
00:26:39,759 --> 00:26:43,920
the over when these games are played indoors. Playing indoors

535
00:26:44,079 --> 00:26:47,319
is a nightmare for goalies because they're using white balls

536
00:26:47,599 --> 00:26:52,559
in white lights under in white arenas. So twenty four

537
00:26:52,599 --> 00:26:54,440
and a half, I think it's still too low. So

538
00:26:54,960 --> 00:26:57,319
breaking news there was a venue change. We like going

539
00:26:57,440 --> 00:27:00,559
over in these don't go crazy on this bet because

540
00:27:00,559 --> 00:27:02,799
it's two bad teams, but I think you should be

541
00:27:02,880 --> 00:27:06,680
betting Siena Lacrosse and air Force Lacrosse over tomorrow.

542
00:27:06,880 --> 00:27:07,359
Speaker 1: Ten am.

543
00:27:08,039 --> 00:27:08,880
Speaker 5: Just found out about the.

544
00:27:08,920 --> 00:27:11,640
Speaker 4: Venue change, So andy, now that folks see what they

545
00:27:11,759 --> 00:27:14,440
kind of get from the lacrosse department, hopefully we cash

546
00:27:14,519 --> 00:27:14,799
that one.

547
00:27:14,839 --> 00:27:18,400
Speaker 5: What do we got rocking for the clients tonight, Well.

548
00:27:18,279 --> 00:27:20,240
Speaker 2: Tonight we've got to pack up with a soccer and

549
00:27:20,319 --> 00:27:23,519
an NBA prop. Thursday, we have a five percent darts

550
00:27:23,599 --> 00:27:26,440
play that went up. We're now four and oh lifetime

551
00:27:26,519 --> 00:27:28,880
on them. And if it ain't broke, don't fix it.

552
00:27:28,880 --> 00:27:31,599
When you're seeing a sport really well, you trust your

553
00:27:31,640 --> 00:27:33,799
reeds and you go with it. Dan, You're you're on

554
00:27:34,000 --> 00:27:38,200
fire in lacrosse as well. So we're continuing success in

555
00:27:38,279 --> 00:27:40,359
the sports that we are really dialed in, and darts

556
00:27:40,480 --> 00:27:42,720
is one of them. So Johnny was nice enough to

557
00:27:42,799 --> 00:27:45,839
let me put up a half price again. So with

558
00:27:46,039 --> 00:27:48,559
some of these obscure sports, I get it. And then

559
00:27:48,680 --> 00:27:52,440
bet on darts, bet on lacrosse, Yes you should, Yes,

560
00:27:52,599 --> 00:27:53,640
you absolutely should.

561
00:27:54,160 --> 00:27:55,880
Speaker 1: But we put it up for half price last time,

562
00:27:56,079 --> 00:27:57,559
and we're gonna put it up for half price now.

563
00:27:57,599 --> 00:27:58,799
So that's available right now.

564
00:27:59,640 --> 00:28:02,279
Speaker 2: We got future in cricket, that is, I believe that

565
00:28:02,359 --> 00:28:04,519
one is still up, but you can really rock this

566
00:28:04,640 --> 00:28:07,680
ten days for the price of seven special that's going on.

567
00:28:07,920 --> 00:28:10,680
So we have a huge UFC card, five percent darts,

568
00:28:10,799 --> 00:28:13,839
We've got all of our NBA props, NHL props start

569
00:28:13,880 --> 00:28:17,720
up again soccer and the rugby department is absolutely kicking

570
00:28:17,799 --> 00:28:20,200
ass after a few wins this weekend, two and one

571
00:28:20,240 --> 00:28:22,799
weekend in rugby. So you get all those save six

572
00:28:22,920 --> 00:28:24,839
nine bucks ten days for the price of seven again.

573
00:28:25,279 --> 00:28:25,519
Speaker 5: Love it.

574
00:28:26,119 --> 00:28:27,920
Speaker 1: If you want just one play, that's fine, you want

575
00:28:27,920 --> 00:28:28,759
two plays, that's fine.

576
00:28:28,799 --> 00:28:31,079
Speaker 2: But it really makes all the sense in the world

577
00:28:31,119 --> 00:28:33,359
to get a seven day pass, ten day pass, three

578
00:28:33,440 --> 00:28:35,039
day pass so you can get all of these sports.

579
00:28:35,079 --> 00:28:36,920
Speaker 1: So we're up thirty two units this year.

580
00:28:36,960 --> 00:28:37,559
Speaker 5: I just checked.

581
00:28:37,599 --> 00:28:41,000
Speaker 2: So running really good, nice profitable weekend. So we keep

582
00:28:41,079 --> 00:28:43,279
chugging along and invite you to partner up with us.

583
00:28:43,400 --> 00:28:44,480
Speaker 1: So that's what we got up.

584
00:28:45,839 --> 00:28:49,759
Speaker 2: A couple questions about TGL tonight. There are two TGL events.

585
00:28:49,799 --> 00:28:54,240
We will definitely be live for one of them. Jake,

586
00:28:54,279 --> 00:28:57,519
I'm gonna I'm gonna lean the other side with Boston

587
00:28:57,680 --> 00:29:00,920
just because Justin Thomas makes his tryump from return after

588
00:29:01,319 --> 00:29:03,880
big surgery and big layoff. I can't wait till that

589
00:29:03,960 --> 00:29:06,240
guy plays actual golf. We're gonna fade that, you know

590
00:29:06,279 --> 00:29:11,119
what out of that guy. So he's just's just kind

591
00:29:11,160 --> 00:29:12,640
of a fade. But we will be live and we'll

592
00:29:12,640 --> 00:29:14,079
watch that show I have not bet it. I have

593
00:29:14,200 --> 00:29:16,640
not client bet it. So that tells you my level

594
00:29:16,680 --> 00:29:18,440
of confidence in there when I don't have my own

595
00:29:18,480 --> 00:29:21,960
money on it. That that that that says a lot.

596
00:29:22,160 --> 00:29:25,680
So we're gonna do all around the World and WTFLG

597
00:29:26,039 --> 00:29:29,039
later on here we talk with Carmine or are we

598
00:29:29,160 --> 00:29:30,240
talking with Steve Merrill?

599
00:29:30,640 --> 00:29:33,519
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's bringing Karm real quick talk, a little NHL

600
00:29:33,799 --> 00:29:34,480
action with.

601
00:29:34,559 --> 00:29:35,319
Speaker 5: Our man Karm.

602
00:29:35,480 --> 00:29:38,279
Speaker 4: Second half of the season is incoming here, Karm. But

603
00:29:38,599 --> 00:29:41,200
it's great to see you. I we we reached out

604
00:29:41,279 --> 00:29:43,359
to the north of the border. We were like, are

605
00:29:43,400 --> 00:29:46,160
any gonna come on here? Show your face after all

606
00:29:46,240 --> 00:29:48,799
the the smack talk that was done in the wager

607
00:29:48,880 --> 00:29:52,279
Talk slack channel, and Karm said, I ain't never scared boys,

608
00:29:52,400 --> 00:29:54,680
and he said World Cup is on the horizon.

609
00:29:54,759 --> 00:29:57,319
Speaker 5: So you're just you're Italian. You're not even representing the

610
00:29:57,359 --> 00:29:58,279
Canadians here today.

611
00:29:58,400 --> 00:30:01,160
Speaker 9: Yeah, I'm go'm officially you know, the World Cup starts, dude.

612
00:30:01,200 --> 00:30:04,759
It was a disaster up here. Man, It's just Molotov cocktails.

613
00:30:04,920 --> 00:30:11,759
They bombed Costco locations. It was just actually, that's Mexico here.

614
00:30:12,400 --> 00:30:12,720
Speaker 5: Nothing.

615
00:30:12,880 --> 00:30:15,480
Speaker 9: Not a peep man, not a peep they lost the game,

616
00:30:16,240 --> 00:30:19,519
and radio stations are just starting to talk about the

617
00:30:19,640 --> 00:30:22,160
Trono Maple Leafs and their chances of making the playoffs.

618
00:30:22,319 --> 00:30:26,359
I think it's absolutely hilarious. But yeah, it was a

619
00:30:26,400 --> 00:30:29,160
great listen. It was a phenomenal game. It is what

620
00:30:29,359 --> 00:30:32,799
the fans deserved. I said, I tweeted out about it

621
00:30:33,759 --> 00:30:37,559
that hockey is much better than basketball. There's no way

622
00:30:38,119 --> 00:30:42,920
even an occasional hockey fan, Okay can can watch the

623
00:30:43,079 --> 00:30:48,000
USA VERSUS Canada watch that game and and not have

624
00:30:48,160 --> 00:30:50,680
had a fantastic time. Regardless of the result. It would

625
00:30:50,680 --> 00:30:52,799
have been great if Canada would have won. They didn't,

626
00:30:53,200 --> 00:30:55,720
but the best player on the ice played for the US,

627
00:30:55,880 --> 00:31:00,279
and that was Connor Hellibuck. He absolutely stonewalled canad and

628
00:31:00,359 --> 00:31:03,200
the USA won, so great to them. I love the

629
00:31:03,279 --> 00:31:07,119
moment with the Johnny Goudreau USA jersey bringing that on

630
00:31:07,279 --> 00:31:09,720
the ice as well too, to honor him as well.

631
00:31:10,039 --> 00:31:15,039
So kudos to the US. They're fantastic game. The numbers

632
00:31:15,759 --> 00:31:18,200
were slanted in Canada's favor as far as like the

633
00:31:18,279 --> 00:31:20,759
post game numbers, but that doesn't matter. The goalie wins

634
00:31:20,799 --> 00:31:25,599
you games, and Connor Hellibuck did it. Man. Kudos kudos

635
00:31:25,640 --> 00:31:29,839
to them. And my only thing is is just keep

636
00:31:29,960 --> 00:31:33,000
hockey about hockey. I think people try and mix in

637
00:31:33,119 --> 00:31:35,319
like a bunch of other stuff like politics or whatever

638
00:31:35,400 --> 00:31:38,079
that doesn't come into it. Hockey is hockey, man uh

639
00:31:38,279 --> 00:31:39,920
And at the end of the day, that's all that

640
00:31:40,079 --> 00:31:43,640
really matters. People will survive here north of the border, Dan,

641
00:31:43,799 --> 00:31:47,440
there's no igloos melting, there's no sled dogs running wild.

642
00:31:47,680 --> 00:31:48,680
Everything is fine.

643
00:31:50,039 --> 00:31:53,519
Speaker 2: Well, Carl, I do have something that hopefully will make

644
00:31:53,599 --> 00:31:56,039
you and everybody else feeling, oh god.

645
00:31:56,480 --> 00:32:04,799
Speaker 5: Here you go, what are they doing? Who's who?

646
00:32:04,920 --> 00:32:08,119
Speaker 1: Was like, you know, we should give the losing hockey

647
00:32:08,200 --> 00:32:09,599
team stuffed?

648
00:32:09,640 --> 00:32:11,839
Speaker 5: It is it is.

649
00:32:12,319 --> 00:32:14,359
Speaker 9: I saw it when they did the women's one, and

650
00:32:14,440 --> 00:32:16,759
I thought, oh my god, are they gonna do that?

651
00:32:16,839 --> 00:32:19,200
And the men's one as well too, Like what guy

652
00:32:19,480 --> 00:32:22,279
wants to be handed a stuffy along with his silver

653
00:32:22,440 --> 00:32:23,440
medal is just.

654
00:32:25,839 --> 00:32:28,279
Speaker 5: Thanks for putting it all on the line and coming

655
00:32:28,400 --> 00:32:28,920
up short.

656
00:32:30,240 --> 00:32:32,720
Speaker 9: Thanks for having your teeth knocked out during the game,

657
00:32:33,559 --> 00:32:36,960
as happened to one of the USA guys that four

658
00:32:37,000 --> 00:32:39,720
minute penalty. Here's the stuff you to make you feel better,

659
00:32:39,839 --> 00:32:43,880
but so listen. Khudos to the US. The US women

660
00:32:43,960 --> 00:32:46,559
were phenomenal. I don't understand how that game was only

661
00:32:46,599 --> 00:32:49,000
the USA game was only a one goal game with

662
00:32:49,119 --> 00:32:51,680
the women the women, and I'm just gonna talk about

663
00:32:51,680 --> 00:32:55,160
this Dan real quick. The women in twenty twenty two,

664
00:32:55,279 --> 00:33:00,599
Canada absolutely Canadian women absolutely dominated the Beijing olymp They

665
00:33:00,880 --> 00:33:05,200
just ran steamrolled everyone, and the USA from twenty twenty

666
00:33:05,240 --> 00:33:09,720
two one said we can't let this happen anymore. They

667
00:33:09,839 --> 00:33:12,039
brought in one of the one of the guys that

668
00:33:12,160 --> 00:33:17,720
worked for the US men's development developmental team that the

669
00:33:18,039 --> 00:33:21,200
Chuck Brothers, Boldy. Like all of these guys, he made

670
00:33:21,240 --> 00:33:27,359
the US women's team faster, stronger, better. This team. Nobody

671
00:33:27,440 --> 00:33:29,920
was going to beat the USA team. And I think

672
00:33:29,960 --> 00:33:32,160
that the twenty thirty Olympics.

673
00:33:31,799 --> 00:33:33,039
Speaker 5: Are in the US.

674
00:33:33,640 --> 00:33:35,799
Speaker 9: There's no one's going to beat the US women's team.

675
00:33:36,160 --> 00:33:39,160
They are. Canad's gonna have to get that. Canna's an

676
00:33:39,160 --> 00:33:43,839
aging team. They're the Canadian women's team. Sixteen players from

677
00:33:43,880 --> 00:33:46,359
the twenty twenty two Olympics, four holdovers from the twenty

678
00:33:46,440 --> 00:33:50,200
eighteen Olympics. You got to get younger and you got

679
00:33:50,319 --> 00:33:52,480
to retool your team. USA did it, and kudos to

680
00:33:52,519 --> 00:33:55,319
that women's team. Man, they are absolute monsters.

681
00:33:56,799 --> 00:33:59,160
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm right there with yeah. I mean it was

682
00:33:59,359 --> 00:34:02,319
it was definitely Leah a crazy run there. And as

683
00:34:02,440 --> 00:34:03,960
Pres kind of said when he was on the show

684
00:34:04,000 --> 00:34:05,680
last he was like, don't be shocked at this gold

685
00:34:05,759 --> 00:34:09,039
medal game is a little bit closer than expected. So yeah,

686
00:34:09,199 --> 00:34:11,119
I'm with you their karm. But now we can turn

687
00:34:11,199 --> 00:34:13,760
the page. Man, NHL is going to be back all

688
00:34:13,840 --> 00:34:15,400
the time. I mean, you've been here in the wager

689
00:34:15,480 --> 00:34:17,800
talk today chat here while you guys had your little

690
00:34:17,840 --> 00:34:21,280
brief you know, puck time recess and the folks need

691
00:34:21,360 --> 00:34:24,239
puck time backcarm and it's coming back. But let's talk

692
00:34:24,280 --> 00:34:27,480
a little bit about the playoff picture as you move

693
00:34:27,559 --> 00:34:29,400
forward here, I guess you could call it the second

694
00:34:29,480 --> 00:34:32,400
half of the NHL season. You know, it's really the

695
00:34:32,440 --> 00:34:35,599
playoff push that's on. Now, how do you attack betting

696
00:34:35,719 --> 00:34:38,559
some of these teams? And do any team stand out

697
00:34:38,599 --> 00:34:39,960
to you as hey, this is a team you need

698
00:34:40,039 --> 00:34:42,280
to be betting on or betting against. It's not like

699
00:34:42,400 --> 00:34:45,000
NHL where you really see teams full on tanking or

700
00:34:45,000 --> 00:34:47,960
anything like that. But how as you approaching the playoff

701
00:34:48,000 --> 00:34:50,800
picture comes in the frame any teams that you're betting

702
00:34:51,079 --> 00:34:52,800
or how do you just bet at more high level too.

703
00:34:53,960 --> 00:34:56,079
Speaker 9: Yeah, the Olympic break wasn't a break for me because

704
00:34:56,119 --> 00:34:58,880
I was going through pretty much, well not pretty much,

705
00:34:58,960 --> 00:35:02,559
every single team schedule, seeing how many home games they

706
00:35:02,599 --> 00:35:04,519
have left, how many away games they have left, back

707
00:35:04,559 --> 00:35:09,440
to back situations, their strength of schedule coming in for

708
00:35:09,559 --> 00:35:14,960
the remainder of the year, and then comparing their chances

709
00:35:15,000 --> 00:35:17,159
to make the playoffs with prices that are being offered.

710
00:35:17,159 --> 00:35:19,960
And this is another reason why you should have multiple books.

711
00:35:20,119 --> 00:35:22,360
And I'm going to look at one of them right now,

712
00:35:22,559 --> 00:35:25,360
and we'll start it right off with the top of

713
00:35:25,400 --> 00:35:28,559
the alphabet, and that's the Anaheim Ducks. You look at

714
00:35:28,599 --> 00:35:30,360
the Anaheim Ducks right now, they're holding on to the

715
00:35:30,400 --> 00:35:33,599
final playoff spot. If you look at a couple of

716
00:35:33,639 --> 00:35:36,320
sites like Moneypuck gives them a seventy five percent chance

717
00:35:36,360 --> 00:35:39,639
of making the playoffs, Hockey Reference gives them a seventy

718
00:35:39,679 --> 00:35:42,800
seven point one percent chance of a playoffs. You look

719
00:35:42,880 --> 00:35:46,719
at it, and we talk about implied odds. There's different books,

720
00:35:46,840 --> 00:35:48,440
and this is why you have to have multiple outs.

721
00:35:48,880 --> 00:35:51,119
You can find the animi in ducks Anaheim Ducks to

722
00:35:51,159 --> 00:35:53,760
make the playoffs at minus two forty, which the implied

723
00:35:53,800 --> 00:35:57,920
probability is seventy point four of that happening. Much below

724
00:35:58,119 --> 00:36:01,199
that number, there's books as high two eighty, where you're

725
00:36:01,239 --> 00:36:06,679
paying the implied probability is seventy three point seven odds.

726
00:36:06,960 --> 00:36:08,920
On the price that they're giving you never take the

727
00:36:09,000 --> 00:36:11,400
two eighty because it is pretty much bang on with

728
00:36:11,599 --> 00:36:16,760
what the what the statistical sites are telling you is

729
00:36:16,840 --> 00:36:20,840
going to happen. So you look at the Ducks, and

730
00:36:22,519 --> 00:36:24,559
this is a team that has what twenty six games

731
00:36:24,639 --> 00:36:28,239
left in the regular season. They start at home seven

732
00:36:28,320 --> 00:36:33,480
straight games, a seven game home stand Edmonton, Winnipeg, Calgary, Colorado,

733
00:36:33,559 --> 00:36:36,559
New York, Colander's, Montreal, Saint Louis, hit the road for four,

734
00:36:36,760 --> 00:36:39,119
and then it's sort of home away, home away, home away.

735
00:36:39,559 --> 00:36:41,760
Seven of the eleven teams they play on the road.

736
00:36:41,880 --> 00:36:44,280
Eleven games on the road is what they have left.

737
00:36:44,559 --> 00:36:47,239
Seven of those teams are not in the playoffs and

738
00:36:47,400 --> 00:36:50,239
have tough strength of schedules, So you have to look

739
00:36:50,280 --> 00:36:54,119
at that is it's a very good road schedule for them.

740
00:36:54,679 --> 00:36:58,039
Only three back to backs, which you would think there's

741
00:36:58,239 --> 00:37:00,719
there's some teams with a ton of back to in

742
00:37:00,800 --> 00:37:01,880
their last twenty one games.

743
00:37:01,920 --> 00:37:02,639
Speaker 5: They only have three.

744
00:37:02,760 --> 00:37:05,320
Speaker 9: Two of those come at home, so those are the

745
00:37:05,360 --> 00:37:08,679
easiest ones because there's no travel. The only back to

746
00:37:08,760 --> 00:37:10,639
back on the road is when they're in Ottawa and

747
00:37:10,679 --> 00:37:12,960
then they play in Montreal the very next night. That

748
00:37:13,119 --> 00:37:16,800
is a one hour trip from Ottawa to Montreal. So

749
00:37:17,719 --> 00:37:20,440
it's very important to take travel into it. But Anaheim

750
00:37:20,519 --> 00:37:23,559
right now and then the final factor of this is

751
00:37:23,800 --> 00:37:25,800
this is a team that can make a move at

752
00:37:25,840 --> 00:37:27,920
the trade deadline because they have twelve million dollars worth

753
00:37:27,920 --> 00:37:30,800
the cap space, so they can go out and pick

754
00:37:30,880 --> 00:37:33,960
up a veteran player that can help this team not

755
00:37:34,079 --> 00:37:36,599
only in the dressing room but on the ice. The

756
00:37:36,679 --> 00:37:39,519
Anahem Ducks are going to make the playoffs minus two forty.

757
00:37:39,519 --> 00:37:40,920
You got to take them at minus two forty. I

758
00:37:41,039 --> 00:37:44,079
know that sounds like a weird price, but when you

759
00:37:44,199 --> 00:37:46,639
look at the probability of this team making the playoffs,

760
00:37:46,760 --> 00:37:49,559
the setup for them, it is a play that I

761
00:37:49,639 --> 00:37:50,480
think you have to make.

762
00:37:52,679 --> 00:37:55,760
Speaker 4: Love the breakdown there, karm and plenty more to come

763
00:37:55,880 --> 00:37:58,719
here on puck time. You and Andrew McGinnis left folks.

764
00:37:58,760 --> 00:38:01,159
Now when the returns come in, Karen, also, let folks

765
00:38:01,199 --> 00:38:03,039
know what you got rocking over at your page as

766
00:38:03,079 --> 00:38:04,360
we move forward here, brother.

767
00:38:05,559 --> 00:38:08,679
Speaker 9: Yeah, so a couple things. First of all, put Time

768
00:38:08,760 --> 00:38:12,119
returns officially with the NHL schedule on Wednesday, but on

769
00:38:12,239 --> 00:38:14,719
Tuesday's show, we're going to talk about I'm going to

770
00:38:14,760 --> 00:38:17,320
host a show I've invited some of the other capers

771
00:38:17,400 --> 00:38:19,199
to come on where we are going to talk about

772
00:38:19,599 --> 00:38:23,280
how each individual capper is going to attack the rest

773
00:38:23,320 --> 00:38:27,079
of the NHL season to get their thoughts because everyone

774
00:38:27,159 --> 00:38:31,800
has a different way of getting value out of a number.

775
00:38:31,920 --> 00:38:37,320
So Brian Lender will be there, the pen, Ralph Michaels

776
00:38:37,480 --> 00:38:39,360
is going to be there with some stats as well too.

777
00:38:40,280 --> 00:38:41,000
Speaker 5: Andrew mckinnis.

778
00:38:41,760 --> 00:38:44,639
Speaker 9: I've yet to hear back from the pres and from

779
00:38:44,760 --> 00:38:47,039
a Buster, but hopefully they can make it. I know

780
00:38:47,119 --> 00:38:49,760
there's their schedules a little tough and Busters in Mexico,

781
00:38:50,280 --> 00:38:52,519
so I just want to hear from a Buster to

782
00:38:52,599 --> 00:38:56,199
start with. We'll see if he's still okay. That's gonna

783
00:38:56,199 --> 00:38:59,880
be Tuesday eleven am. Tune in on a Wager Talk TV.

784
00:39:00,079 --> 00:39:01,960
And then as far as my page, there was a

785
00:39:02,000 --> 00:39:04,239
couple soccer plays for today. I think they might have

786
00:39:04,360 --> 00:39:06,719
gone off right now. I have a five percent play

787
00:39:06,840 --> 00:39:10,920
up in Champions League on Wednesday, back to back, back

788
00:39:10,920 --> 00:39:14,480
to back winners Champions League last week and an MLS

789
00:39:14,599 --> 00:39:17,719
winner on Saturday as they kicked off the new season.

790
00:39:18,239 --> 00:39:21,559
Number one in NHL, sorry, number one in soccer in

791
00:39:21,599 --> 00:39:26,760
twenty twenty six, and I finished the NHL prior to

792
00:39:26,840 --> 00:39:30,039
the break on a seventeen and five NHL run. So

793
00:39:30,360 --> 00:39:32,440
the powers that be put up a nice little offer

794
00:39:32,679 --> 00:39:34,679
because the World Cup is right around the corner and

795
00:39:34,760 --> 00:39:36,559
it is the Cup to cup special. You can get

796
00:39:36,599 --> 00:39:39,679
the rest of the NHL season plus the playoffs and

797
00:39:40,559 --> 00:39:42,840
then the World Cup that goes on this summer as well,

798
00:39:42,880 --> 00:39:46,719
to get every single game. I'm going to seven different

799
00:39:46,760 --> 00:39:49,519
games during the World Cup and hopefully more. I am

800
00:39:49,559 --> 00:39:52,119
looking forward to it. I will be doing free plays

801
00:39:52,199 --> 00:39:54,519
throughout the World Cup, but client plays as well too,

802
00:39:54,639 --> 00:39:57,239
of course, and we're looking for another winning World Cup.

803
00:39:57,320 --> 00:40:00,000
The last three years I've all been winning World Cup

804
00:40:00,119 --> 00:40:03,039
up for us, so we'll try and continue that trend.

805
00:40:04,320 --> 00:40:06,840
Speaker 4: Love it, karm and I'm glad to know that. The

806
00:40:07,400 --> 00:40:11,880
Canadians said the demise was was greatly exaggerated. Carmine, a

807
00:40:12,039 --> 00:40:15,400
representative north of the border, says, uh, we're all.

808
00:40:15,320 --> 00:40:17,760
Speaker 5: Good and yeah, man, I'm just gonna chat. The chat

809
00:40:17,840 --> 00:40:24,079
has had that is great. I'm just gonna stay one. Yeah,

810
00:40:24,559 --> 00:40:27,360
like this is my thing. And every time he's like, god,

811
00:40:27,480 --> 00:40:27,760
damn it.

812
00:40:28,960 --> 00:40:29,559
Speaker 8: You know what I did.

813
00:40:29,880 --> 00:40:32,559
Speaker 9: I took a nap after the game and then I

814
00:40:32,760 --> 00:40:35,239
ordered myself a pizza and cracked open a bottle of

815
00:40:35,280 --> 00:40:37,599
wine and I just watched Netflix.

816
00:40:38,960 --> 00:40:43,559
Speaker 5: That's all. It takes a little bottle, bottle of wine.

817
00:40:43,679 --> 00:40:45,800
Speaker 4: Some Netflix. There's not much. It can't care a karm

818
00:40:45,880 --> 00:40:48,599
so KRM. Always a pleasure, buddy. Glad to see him,

819
00:40:48,639 --> 00:40:49,599
and then.

820
00:40:49,519 --> 00:40:52,519
Speaker 5: I'll talk to you soon. Brother, all right, take care.

821
00:40:54,119 --> 00:40:56,519
I'm trying. I was just trying to like what.

822
00:40:56,599 --> 00:40:58,719
Speaker 1: Would have been worse than this stuff the animal, because

823
00:40:58,719 --> 00:40:59,960
that that was the most awkward.

824
00:41:01,039 --> 00:41:04,360
Speaker 3: Like I don't know, like a muffin, No, the muffin

825
00:41:04,400 --> 00:41:05,960
has a benefit, you know what I mean.

826
00:41:06,119 --> 00:41:08,840
Speaker 5: The muffin has a benefit. Have a blueberry muffin. You're

827
00:41:08,880 --> 00:41:10,760
feeling right his rain, you know what I mean? Like

828
00:41:10,840 --> 00:41:14,440
this is this is I think AWB nailed it.

829
00:41:14,480 --> 00:41:16,039
Speaker 4: Where it's like, you know, you give it to your kid,

830
00:41:16,079 --> 00:41:17,840
you're just like, you know, a screw it, and then

831
00:41:17,880 --> 00:41:19,679
every time you walk in they're.

832
00:41:19,519 --> 00:41:21,840
Speaker 5: Like this is my favorite, my favorite stuff.

833
00:41:21,880 --> 00:41:21,960
Speaker 7: Dan.

834
00:41:22,079 --> 00:41:24,679
Speaker 4: Remember this, Dad, when you got worked by the USA

835
00:41:24,760 --> 00:41:26,719
Hockey team in overtime, it's.

836
00:41:26,639 --> 00:41:27,559
Speaker 5: Just it's brutal.

837
00:41:27,840 --> 00:41:30,559
Speaker 1: Remember when you dominated time of possession and lost it

838
00:41:30,639 --> 00:41:31,440
in three v three?

839
00:41:31,599 --> 00:41:34,079
Speaker 5: Remember Dad, because you played.

840
00:41:33,960 --> 00:41:36,960
Speaker 4: You played the hottest goalie that I've ever seen in

841
00:41:37,119 --> 00:41:37,880
any sport.

842
00:41:38,000 --> 00:41:38,360
Speaker 8: The dude.

843
00:41:38,880 --> 00:41:41,800
Speaker 4: How about that where the goal was completely open, Andy,

844
00:41:41,880 --> 00:41:44,800
he leans back like he's in the matrix.

845
00:41:44,639 --> 00:41:47,239
Speaker 5: Gets it just on like the hair of the stick.

846
00:41:47,880 --> 00:41:51,320
Speaker 4: I mean, absolutely, absolutely incredible effort, and that if that

847
00:41:51,440 --> 00:41:53,559
net mining doesn't happen, Andy, you're not talking.

848
00:41:53,400 --> 00:41:54,760
Speaker 5: About the USA IS champions.

849
00:41:54,880 --> 00:41:58,400
Speaker 4: I mean it was an absolute domination as far as

850
00:41:58,440 --> 00:42:01,599
you said, and the time of possession scoring chances, you know,

851
00:42:01,840 --> 00:42:05,400
threatening as well. But all that matters is who gets

852
00:42:05,440 --> 00:42:07,719
in in the back of the net at the right time. Man.

853
00:42:08,519 --> 00:42:08,719
Speaker 5: Yeah.

854
00:42:09,320 --> 00:42:12,480
Speaker 2: Also, I mean Nathan McKennon missing the I mean the

855
00:42:12,559 --> 00:42:16,559
widest open net he's gonna see probably for the rest

856
00:42:16,599 --> 00:42:20,639
of his less unless unless he has an empty netnor.

857
00:42:20,440 --> 00:42:23,119
Speaker 1: But oh yeah, that one. That's that's the kind that

858
00:42:23,159 --> 00:42:25,039
will keep you up at night. So uh.

859
00:42:28,119 --> 00:42:30,760
Speaker 5: Again, you got you might be able to use it.

860
00:42:30,920 --> 00:42:33,760
Speaker 2: And the stuffed animal like he was saying in the chat,

861
00:42:33,880 --> 00:42:36,599
like there's a lot of athletes that were thrilled to

862
00:42:36,599 --> 00:42:38,599
get a bronze or a silver, so it like it

863
00:42:38,719 --> 00:42:39,320
made sense.

864
00:42:39,480 --> 00:42:41,679
Speaker 1: But just like in the moment, you're like, oh no,

865
00:42:41,840 --> 00:42:44,199
they're not off over time. They're not going to give

866
00:42:44,239 --> 00:42:46,639
the stuffed animals, are they?

867
00:42:46,840 --> 00:42:49,639
Speaker 5: Oh they are? Oh god, oh they are? Oh no,

868
00:42:51,519 --> 00:42:54,679
all right, Well let's bring in Steve Merrill. Steve, did

869
00:42:54,719 --> 00:42:56,519
you get up? Watch the hockey? The hockey game?

870
00:42:57,440 --> 00:43:01,079
Speaker 8: So, I'm a big fan of THEVR in games, and

871
00:43:01,519 --> 00:43:03,719
as you know, Andy like watching NASCAR and fast forward.

872
00:43:03,719 --> 00:43:05,119
I did that with the dayto one of five hundred

873
00:43:05,199 --> 00:43:07,079
last week. I don't watch much NASCAR anymore, but I

874
00:43:07,159 --> 00:43:09,800
literally did not see the result Sunday night last week.

875
00:43:09,880 --> 00:43:11,880
Was able to fast forward to the last three laps,

876
00:43:11,920 --> 00:43:14,280
knowing that's all that was gonna matter. Watched it all

877
00:43:14,360 --> 00:43:17,320
so busy man yesterday on Sunday, so I was not

878
00:43:17,360 --> 00:43:19,239
getting out. I was up a little after eight am,

879
00:43:19,320 --> 00:43:21,239
but I wanted to do stuff, so I knew there

880
00:43:21,280 --> 00:43:23,119
was no way I could avoid the result. But I'm

881
00:43:23,159 --> 00:43:26,360
out and about went to the gym late morning. Didn't

882
00:43:26,440 --> 00:43:28,719
check the slack threads. I knew not to check wager

883
00:43:28,760 --> 00:43:31,920
talk for me the slap threads never that, and one

884
00:43:31,960 --> 00:43:34,800
of the realist Americans I know, my buddy, Justin Briski

885
00:43:34,880 --> 00:43:36,360
is in a chest thread with my sister and some

886
00:43:36,440 --> 00:43:38,840
other people knew I couldn't check that chat thread because

887
00:43:38,840 --> 00:43:40,880
he was freaking out. He didn't sleep all night, and

888
00:43:42,079 --> 00:43:44,119
so I was pretty good and I saw some stuff

889
00:43:44,159 --> 00:43:46,480
pinging about ten fifty eleven o'clock, so I figured the

890
00:43:46,519 --> 00:43:49,840
game had ended. I'm still at the gym and like,

891
00:43:50,000 --> 00:43:52,119
I'm pretty much offline here. I'm like, I'm gonna be

892
00:43:52,119 --> 00:43:53,519
able to get home and watch this and not know

893
00:43:53,639 --> 00:43:55,480
what happened. And I see a guy just never talk

894
00:43:55,559 --> 00:43:57,440
sports betting with me in a million years, and I'm

895
00:43:57,480 --> 00:44:00,360
talking about some other stuff, skiing or whatever, and I'm

896
00:44:00,440 --> 00:44:02,320
like stretching out about to leave. I hear him talking

897
00:44:02,320 --> 00:44:04,800
to his buddy like, yeah, had the two team parlor

898
00:44:04,960 --> 00:44:06,400
USA and the under. I've never even heard this guy

899
00:44:06,440 --> 00:44:08,719
talk about betting before. He's probably like a five dollar bet.

900
00:44:08,960 --> 00:44:11,199
So I kind of had a feeling that's what had happened.

901
00:44:11,679 --> 00:44:14,239
I accidentally glanced at Twitter on my phone to update

902
00:44:14,320 --> 00:44:16,599
my tweets. It's all Ian Rappaport had a us I'd

903
00:44:16,639 --> 00:44:18,280
like a gold medal picture, but I didn't see it.

904
00:44:18,320 --> 00:44:20,159
But I was like, he's an NFL guy. That's probably

905
00:44:20,239 --> 00:44:22,639
not good. And the kicker, some guy never seen in

906
00:44:22,719 --> 00:44:24,800
my life walks from the front desk. Asked the guy checking,

907
00:44:24,840 --> 00:44:26,960
and he's like, blah blah blah. Oh, I didn't watch

908
00:44:26,960 --> 00:44:28,880
the game. What he's like, first time since nineteen eighty

909
00:44:28,880 --> 00:44:31,400
I'm like mother, So that was a question. So I

910
00:44:31,480 --> 00:44:33,639
went from like fifty percent to seventy percent to like

911
00:44:33,719 --> 00:44:35,679
ninety five percent. I thought I knew what happened. I

912
00:44:35,760 --> 00:44:37,480
still watched it, but man, that would have been fun

913
00:44:37,559 --> 00:44:39,400
to watch because I could have you know, it's hard

914
00:44:39,440 --> 00:44:41,159
to watch hockey fast forward. I kind of go to

915
00:44:41,280 --> 00:44:43,320
like power plays and then watch and then, but I

916
00:44:43,320 --> 00:44:45,360
would have gotten down to the last three minutes watch live.

917
00:44:45,400 --> 00:44:47,599
And when I watched the overtime live and had no clue.

918
00:44:48,239 --> 00:44:50,119
What I will point out though, is, you know, basically

919
00:44:50,199 --> 00:44:53,119
it was a three on one break to score the

920
00:44:53,199 --> 00:44:55,239
deflection at the other end is the announcers were saying

921
00:44:55,239 --> 00:44:57,119
it was going to be a Canadian two on nothing break.

922
00:44:57,320 --> 00:45:00,400
That's how close it was, which no one's talking about,

923
00:45:01,159 --> 00:45:03,480
but Canada wins that if that puck doesn't get tipped

924
00:45:03,519 --> 00:45:05,280
the other way to the US. I love the three

925
00:45:05,360 --> 00:45:08,840
on three the NHL, and you know they do four

926
00:45:08,920 --> 00:45:10,639
and four now, right, isn't that what they move to

927
00:45:10,719 --> 00:45:11,880
a while agoing overtime?

928
00:45:12,400 --> 00:45:13,079
Speaker 5: Is am I correct?

929
00:45:13,079 --> 00:45:14,639
Speaker 8: I don't watch a lot of NHL anymore.

930
00:45:15,920 --> 00:45:17,840
Speaker 1: I believe it's still it's still the three on three.

931
00:45:17,880 --> 00:45:18,880
I love the three on three.

932
00:45:18,960 --> 00:45:21,039
Speaker 5: I saw that on the NHL three on three.

933
00:45:22,320 --> 00:45:24,119
Speaker 4: Like a lot of people, a lot of people are like,

934
00:45:24,320 --> 00:45:27,079
I can't believe, you know, three on three hockey is

935
00:45:27,119 --> 00:45:29,000
what decides it. However, you know what I mean, Like,

936
00:45:29,039 --> 00:45:32,800
it's not like I would I would way rather have

937
00:45:32,960 --> 00:45:35,800
that than a shootout one thousand percent times. Yeah, because

938
00:45:35,800 --> 00:45:38,599
it's it's still okay, the ice is more open, but

939
00:45:38,679 --> 00:45:41,239
it's still hockey in its essence, you know what I mean.

940
00:45:41,320 --> 00:45:44,559
Speaker 8: So I think it's ninety nine pers I think it's

941
00:45:44,760 --> 00:45:46,719
one hundred percent real hockey. It's the same reason like

942
00:45:46,840 --> 00:45:49,000
rugby sevens is better than a real rugby. I mean,

943
00:45:49,039 --> 00:45:53,280
I love watching the rugby sevens in the summer Olympics. Yeah,

944
00:45:53,280 --> 00:45:54,920
I think it's a legit way to win. I think

945
00:45:54,960 --> 00:45:56,679
nothing is worse than the World Cup that they go

946
00:45:56,760 --> 00:45:59,719
to a shootout. It's just an elimination games in World

947
00:45:59,800 --> 00:46:03,599
time games, and yet another reason why soccer has issues.

948
00:46:04,480 --> 00:46:06,679
And they need an off sideline by the way in soccer.

949
00:46:06,559 --> 00:46:07,239
Speaker 5: Like they have in hockey.

950
00:46:07,360 --> 00:46:10,159
Speaker 8: Something we've talked about hockey. Maybe soccer could solve it, Andy,

951
00:46:10,239 --> 00:46:12,559
by taking the goals and smushing them to half field

952
00:46:13,559 --> 00:46:16,440
and then going like shrinking. Yeah, because I say soccer

953
00:46:16,480 --> 00:46:18,119
could do it. But the field's too big, right, you

954
00:46:18,480 --> 00:46:21,159
take forever? Oh see, I've.

955
00:46:21,360 --> 00:46:24,760
Speaker 2: I've thought I've always thought that the soccer overtime should

956
00:46:24,800 --> 00:46:28,519
be three v two starting at midfield, two defenders.

957
00:46:28,079 --> 00:46:29,760
Speaker 8: Three shootout.

958
00:46:29,800 --> 00:46:32,679
Speaker 1: You're saying, yeah, and you have like twenty five seconds

959
00:46:32,760 --> 00:46:33,119
to score.

960
00:46:33,679 --> 00:46:35,320
Speaker 8: That's a great call, Andy, I'm stealing that.

961
00:46:35,639 --> 00:46:36,039
Speaker 5: I thought.

962
00:46:36,159 --> 00:46:38,679
Speaker 4: Is you start, you take one player off, and then

963
00:46:38,719 --> 00:46:41,599
you have in like five minute increments, you remove a player,

964
00:46:41,760 --> 00:46:42,719
You remove a player.

965
00:46:42,880 --> 00:46:44,119
Speaker 8: Yeah, the field's too big though.

966
00:46:44,280 --> 00:46:46,159
Speaker 5: It's too big of a field though, that's the thing

967
00:46:46,280 --> 00:46:46,519
I guess.

968
00:46:46,639 --> 00:46:47,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, you would have to scale it down. You would

969
00:46:47,960 --> 00:46:50,280
have to people moving in the goals at the same time.

970
00:46:50,440 --> 00:46:51,199
Speaker 5: Yeah, you're you're right.

971
00:46:51,239 --> 00:46:53,920
Speaker 8: I like the shootout style with motion, Andy, that's a

972
00:46:54,000 --> 00:46:56,079
great call. Actually I've never heard that before.

973
00:46:56,119 --> 00:47:00,480
Speaker 2: I think maybe soccer photogenic looks good. You have that

974
00:47:00,599 --> 00:47:02,320
wide shot and it's a lot more exciting.

975
00:47:02,679 --> 00:47:02,800
Speaker 9: Uh.

976
00:47:02,920 --> 00:47:05,000
Speaker 8: And it's not a shootout. The bottom lines, it's not

977
00:47:05,360 --> 00:47:07,400
like a one oh one shootout, which is just insane.

978
00:47:07,440 --> 00:47:09,599
Plus a percentage on that is like what ninety percent,

979
00:47:09,800 --> 00:47:12,199
which people don't realize that the NHL is like ten percent.

980
00:47:12,239 --> 00:47:14,719
It's like the reverse opposite of it. It's very difficult

981
00:47:15,280 --> 00:47:17,480
to make shootouts in the NHL, which has always surprised

982
00:47:17,519 --> 00:47:19,519
me as well. Oh last thing on the stuffed animal,

983
00:47:19,559 --> 00:47:21,440
I didn't realize they did that. Actually missed that part.

984
00:47:22,079 --> 00:47:24,360
But the first thing I thought of this carvasold. That

985
00:47:24,519 --> 00:47:27,599
is one of my favorite movies Animal House. When they're

986
00:47:27,639 --> 00:47:29,599
calling up the guys to set them up for the

987
00:47:29,639 --> 00:47:31,719
date where they're gonna beat them up, and the guys

988
00:47:31,760 --> 00:47:33,639
holding the stuffed animals, holding the bear on the edge

989
00:47:33,639 --> 00:47:36,599
of the bed. He's choking it the whole time. When

990
00:47:36,639 --> 00:47:38,599
she gets thought, the pony just goes boom and she

991
00:47:38,679 --> 00:47:42,719
goes teddy. Gonna be like in all those Canadian households,

992
00:47:43,119 --> 00:47:45,079
that's freaking.

993
00:47:44,840 --> 00:47:49,800
Speaker 2: Close spots oh over under ten of them that got

994
00:47:49,880 --> 00:47:50,719
thrown away.

995
00:47:51,159 --> 00:47:53,039
Speaker 5: Like, oh yeah, most of them did not make them

996
00:47:53,079 --> 00:47:53,800
back on the plane.

997
00:47:54,000 --> 00:47:55,320
Speaker 1: They're not making the trip home.

998
00:47:55,599 --> 00:47:57,760
Speaker 8: There's no way they should have given him the missing tooth.

999
00:47:57,800 --> 00:48:01,519
They like blacked out the tooth or something on the stitches,

1000
00:48:01,599 --> 00:48:02,679
the old stitches, the cross.

1001
00:48:03,639 --> 00:48:07,079
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, Steve, you got some games of breakdown here.

1002
00:48:07,159 --> 00:48:08,239
Speaker 5: We're going to do three of them.

1003
00:48:08,440 --> 00:48:08,559
Speaker 6: Now.

1004
00:48:08,920 --> 00:48:11,119
Speaker 2: I'm interested to take on Spurs on Pistons. I've got

1005
00:48:11,159 --> 00:48:13,440
opinion on that game. But let's start with college basketball.

1006
00:48:13,760 --> 00:48:16,039
I'll let you do both games as one. We're gonna

1007
00:48:16,079 --> 00:48:19,840
do the ESPN doubleheader Louisville, North Carolina, Houston and Kansas.

1008
00:48:19,880 --> 00:48:21,239
Speaker 1: How do you break these two games down?

1009
00:48:22,000 --> 00:48:25,000
Speaker 8: Yeah, there are only two, only two college basketball games

1010
00:48:25,039 --> 00:48:27,559
on the main rotation tonight. There's like seven extra games,

1011
00:48:28,039 --> 00:48:30,880
but they're both big ones. ESPN Doubleheader. We're gonna look

1012
00:48:30,880 --> 00:48:33,559
at both free plays and analysis sides and totals, even

1013
00:48:33,639 --> 00:48:35,960
some team totals for you here, right here, right now.

1014
00:48:36,119 --> 00:48:38,639
Quick reminder if you are my personal best bets each day,

1015
00:48:38,639 --> 00:48:41,360
they're available on my page wager talk dot com Steve Merrill.

1016
00:48:41,599 --> 00:48:43,960
And also a bonus free play in the NBA tonight,

1017
00:48:44,599 --> 00:48:46,519
just three NBA games. I got one of your Peacock

1018
00:48:46,679 --> 00:48:49,400
games free for you on my page at wager talk

1019
00:48:49,480 --> 00:48:52,079
dot com. Steve merrillwager talk dot com, get there, quicker,

1020
00:48:52,280 --> 00:48:55,599
wt dot buzz, slash sm All right, it's your seven

1021
00:48:55,599 --> 00:48:58,639
o'clock Eastern game in Chapel Hill. You wouldn't see a

1022
00:48:58,719 --> 00:49:01,400
home dog. In fact, both big name teams Kansas and

1023
00:49:01,519 --> 00:49:03,920
you and see your home dogs night on Monday. And

1024
00:49:04,039 --> 00:49:06,599
North Carolina is shorthanded. They lost one of the most

1025
00:49:06,639 --> 00:49:08,920
important players in the country three and a half games

1026
00:49:09,000 --> 00:49:12,639
ago and he remains out, Caleb Wilson, great freshman six

1027
00:49:12,719 --> 00:49:14,960
foot ten freshmen averaging almost twenty points a game over

1028
00:49:15,079 --> 00:49:18,039
nine rebounds a game. And U and C has gone

1029
00:49:18,079 --> 00:49:20,320
two and one without him, alternated wins and losses. They

1030
00:49:20,360 --> 00:49:23,559
beat Pittsburgh at home, lost at n C State, and

1031
00:49:23,639 --> 00:49:25,960
then they had a nice win at Syracuse this past

1032
00:49:26,039 --> 00:49:29,000
Saturday by thirteen points. And I think that could be

1033
00:49:29,079 --> 00:49:31,519
actually the buy sign here for U and C. They're

1034
00:49:31,599 --> 00:49:33,360
learning to play without the big man. They still have

1035
00:49:33,400 --> 00:49:36,440
a lot of size another seven foot right behind them.

1036
00:49:36,800 --> 00:49:39,039
And Louisville is a team that relies heavily on the

1037
00:49:39,119 --> 00:49:41,800
three point shot. And you live by the three, you

1038
00:49:41,880 --> 00:49:43,599
died by the three, and that always makes handicap in

1039
00:49:43,639 --> 00:49:46,800
Louisville games a little difficult because obviously they're hitting the threes,

1040
00:49:47,519 --> 00:49:49,719
they're going to win, and it's hard to sometimes predict that.

1041
00:49:49,800 --> 00:49:51,360
But one thing you could start doing is looking at

1042
00:49:51,440 --> 00:49:53,760
road games against good teams. I think that's a difficult

1043
00:49:53,800 --> 00:49:56,280
spot for teams to make threes. And I remember we

1044
00:49:56,400 --> 00:49:59,480
talked about a game about a few weeks ago Miamia

1045
00:49:59,480 --> 00:50:01,880
of Florida at Miami back on the tenth of February,

1046
00:50:01,920 --> 00:50:04,400
as a slight road favorite. They lose that game outright

1047
00:50:05,239 --> 00:50:06,960
by nine. They only shot twenty nine and a half

1048
00:50:07,000 --> 00:50:10,159
percent from three. You look at another road game recently

1049
00:50:10,199 --> 00:50:13,079
at NC State on the seventeenth, lesson a week ago.

1050
00:50:13,159 --> 00:50:15,360
They lose that one, got blown out by twenty four.

1051
00:50:15,960 --> 00:50:18,679
And that's a situation North Carolina I'm talking about right now.

1052
00:50:18,719 --> 00:50:21,199
North Carolina was only fifteen percent from three in that game.

1053
00:50:21,719 --> 00:50:24,480
But on the road is a different story than at home.

1054
00:50:24,519 --> 00:50:26,960
In North Carolina does not rely heavily on the three

1055
00:50:27,039 --> 00:50:30,039
point shot like Louisville does. Louisville, meanwhile, as I mentioned,

1056
00:50:30,079 --> 00:50:31,400
realized heavily on the three, and you look at some

1057
00:50:31,480 --> 00:50:33,800
of their recent road games at Duke, a game I

1058
00:50:33,880 --> 00:50:35,960
talked about here a wager talk today a month ago,

1059
00:50:36,079 --> 00:50:39,800
late January. They lost that game by thirty one. They

1060
00:50:39,880 --> 00:50:42,119
shot just thirty two percent from three point range in

1061
00:50:42,199 --> 00:50:44,880
that game. They beat up a bad Pittsburgh team on

1062
00:50:44,960 --> 00:50:46,599
the road. They took care of Wake on the road

1063
00:50:46,639 --> 00:50:49,360
as a nine point favorite, but a neutral site game

1064
00:50:49,400 --> 00:50:52,239
against Baylor a nice win there. But then they regressed

1065
00:50:52,239 --> 00:50:55,519
against SMU recently, another acc road game, losing by ten.

1066
00:50:55,920 --> 00:50:58,320
Shot less than thirty eight percent from three in that range.

1067
00:50:58,360 --> 00:51:00,360
So I think there are going to be challenged night

1068
00:51:00,719 --> 00:51:03,320
because un C is a team that does not allow

1069
00:51:03,440 --> 00:51:05,719
a lot of three point shots. They have a mediocre

1070
00:51:05,800 --> 00:51:07,440
three point d but they don't give up a lot

1071
00:51:07,480 --> 00:51:09,559
of threes that defend the perimeter, and they're very strong

1072
00:51:09,719 --> 00:51:12,519
down low. Also, they do not allow teams to get

1073
00:51:12,519 --> 00:51:14,760
to the free throw line, So I think Louisville could

1074
00:51:14,760 --> 00:51:16,480
be limited tonight. You can look at you U and

1075
00:51:16,559 --> 00:51:19,360
C if you're worried about their star big man freshman

1076
00:51:19,480 --> 00:51:21,760
being out. You could also look at the under heres

1077
00:51:21,760 --> 00:51:23,519
a little bit of a hedge, and it's a big

1078
00:51:23,639 --> 00:51:26,480
number one sixty two here. Both teams play fast, but

1079
00:51:26,519 --> 00:51:28,599
if Louisville's not hitting those threes. I think the unders

1080
00:51:28,599 --> 00:51:30,320
in play. And of course if you lean you and

1081
00:51:30,440 --> 00:51:33,760
c and lean Louisville lean under, then the Louisville team

1082
00:51:33,880 --> 00:51:36,559
total under eighty two makes a lot of sense. Really,

1083
00:51:36,679 --> 00:51:39,400
like team totals in college basketball, some sportsbooks still don't

1084
00:51:39,400 --> 00:51:41,599
off from which tells you something right there that they're winnable,

1085
00:51:41,840 --> 00:51:44,679
they're beatable. I think Louisville team total under eighty two

1086
00:51:44,719 --> 00:51:46,559
makes a lot of sense. In your seven o'clock Eastern

1087
00:51:46,639 --> 00:51:49,639
game on ESPN, All right, well look at your late

1088
00:51:49,719 --> 00:51:51,199
game here in the Big twelve, and this is a

1089
00:51:51,239 --> 00:51:52,760
good one Kansas and Houston.

1090
00:51:52,800 --> 00:51:54,880
Speaker 5: And on the surface, whenever.

1091
00:51:54,599 --> 00:51:55,960
Speaker 8: You can get one of the best teams in the country,

1092
00:51:56,000 --> 00:51:59,159
the Houston Cougar's off back to back losses, you think

1093
00:51:59,199 --> 00:52:00,800
that would be worth the lie. But the thing is

1094
00:52:01,320 --> 00:52:03,280
Kansas is coming out of losses in two of their

1095
00:52:03,360 --> 00:52:05,800
last three games against a really good Iowa State team

1096
00:52:05,840 --> 00:52:07,159
on the road. And keep in mind, we talked about

1097
00:52:07,159 --> 00:52:09,000
they gave last Monday on Wait to Talk To Day

1098
00:52:09,000 --> 00:52:11,000
and I liked I was State in that one. And

1099
00:52:11,159 --> 00:52:13,800
also keep in mind, I'm sorry that was Saturday on

1100
00:52:13,880 --> 00:52:16,679
my Top twenty five video of previous Saturday on Valentine's Day,

1101
00:52:17,039 --> 00:52:18,960
came back with I was stayed on Monday last week

1102
00:52:18,960 --> 00:52:21,679
when they won again at home against Houston. So we've

1103
00:52:21,719 --> 00:52:23,400
talked about I was staated against both of these teams

1104
00:52:23,480 --> 00:52:25,880
in recent videos and shows. But one thing I pointed

1105
00:52:25,880 --> 00:52:27,480
out in that Iowa State video about a week and

1106
00:52:27,480 --> 00:52:30,079
a half ago was that Kansas embarrassed I was State.

1107
00:52:30,119 --> 00:52:31,719
I was stayed lost by twenty one on the road

1108
00:52:31,719 --> 00:52:34,079
as a favorite back in January, so it was a

1109
00:52:34,119 --> 00:52:36,960
big revenge spot for Iowa State, and then Kansas got

1110
00:52:37,039 --> 00:52:39,440
back on track against Oklahoma State on the road NIC's

1111
00:52:39,480 --> 00:52:42,039
twelve point win last Wednesday. Thought it was a good

1112
00:52:42,079 --> 00:52:43,960
spot for them on Saturday. I went two and one

1113
00:52:44,000 --> 00:52:46,880
on Saturday. The only game I missed in college hoops

1114
00:52:46,880 --> 00:52:49,119
Saturday for my clients was on Kansas and they lost

1115
00:52:49,199 --> 00:52:53,039
outright as a good sized home favorite against Cincinnati. Not

1116
00:52:53,159 --> 00:52:54,599
a red flag for me either. I think this is

1117
00:52:54,639 --> 00:52:57,159
a bounce back spot tonight. And while Houston also back

1118
00:52:57,159 --> 00:52:58,960
to back losses, I think they're not as a good

1119
00:52:59,039 --> 00:53:01,559
current form and that is a concern here. And it's

1120
00:53:01,559 --> 00:53:03,800
also a difficult road trip on just one day's rest.

1121
00:53:03,880 --> 00:53:07,360
After that huge game at home against Arizona on Saturday.

1122
00:53:07,920 --> 00:53:11,519
Krueger's also often struggle offensively. We've seen that in recent games.

1123
00:53:11,559 --> 00:53:13,639
And here again, I think the team total is in play.

1124
00:53:14,360 --> 00:53:16,079
Houston currently about a one and a half to two

1125
00:53:16,119 --> 00:53:18,840
point road favorite. Totals around one thirty eight. It opened

1126
00:53:18,840 --> 00:53:20,920
one thirty six. We've actually seen some sharp money come

1127
00:53:20,960 --> 00:53:22,360
on in the over. I do not agree with the

1128
00:53:22,480 --> 00:53:25,559
over because I think this Houston offense is struggling right now.

1129
00:53:26,039 --> 00:53:28,840
In fact, Houston has scored in the sixties here in

1130
00:53:28,920 --> 00:53:30,599
most of their recent games. If you look at the

1131
00:53:30,599 --> 00:53:33,639
team total for this one, odds makers right now have

1132
00:53:33,760 --> 00:53:37,559
this one right around seventy and a half to sixty

1133
00:53:37,639 --> 00:53:38,960
nine and a half seventy a half, so we'll say

1134
00:53:39,000 --> 00:53:41,800
seventy for the Houston team total. I like the team

1135
00:53:41,880 --> 00:53:45,440
total for Houston under tonight. They have scored sixty seven

1136
00:53:45,519 --> 00:53:48,360
points or less in three of their last four games,

1137
00:53:48,760 --> 00:53:50,079
and we're getting them on the road in a tough

1138
00:53:50,119 --> 00:53:51,880
spot tonight with a team total of seventy. Take a

1139
00:53:51,920 --> 00:53:54,960
look at the Houston Cougars under seventy team total that

1140
00:53:55,079 --> 00:53:57,000
game at nine o'clock Easter and and I two really

1141
00:53:57,039 --> 00:53:59,599
good games for you on ESPN National TV.

1142
00:54:01,639 --> 00:54:07,000
Speaker 2: Let's get your take on this uh Spurs Pistons game tonight.

1143
00:54:07,199 --> 00:54:09,360
I had an opinion on the total, not going to

1144
00:54:09,400 --> 00:54:11,360
tell you what it is, so I want to get

1145
00:54:11,400 --> 00:54:13,800
your take. See if you dialed in on the spread

1146
00:54:14,079 --> 00:54:15,440
or the total.

1147
00:54:15,199 --> 00:54:15,719
Speaker 1: In this game.

1148
00:54:17,480 --> 00:54:17,679
Speaker 5: Yeah.

1149
00:54:17,719 --> 00:54:21,000
Speaker 8: So there are three three NBA games tonight, small NBA card,

1150
00:54:21,119 --> 00:54:22,719
three of them, but it's a good card. And two

1151
00:54:22,719 --> 00:54:24,880
of these three games are on National TV on Peacock

1152
00:54:24,960 --> 00:54:26,840
and the first one is Spurs Pistons. By the way,

1153
00:54:26,880 --> 00:54:29,320
I do have a bonus free play on the late

1154
00:54:29,400 --> 00:54:31,960
Peacock game Jazz Rockets for you right now on my

1155
00:54:32,079 --> 00:54:35,159
page Steve merrillwager Talk dot com. You go get that

1156
00:54:35,239 --> 00:54:38,639
late NBA free play at wt dot buzz slash sm

1157
00:54:38,719 --> 00:54:42,599
along with two college basketball best bets tonight on Monday.

1158
00:54:42,599 --> 00:54:45,360
But this is your first national TV game Spurs Pistons.

1159
00:54:45,400 --> 00:54:47,880
Both squad's pretty healthy and we have seen a little

1160
00:54:47,880 --> 00:54:49,559
bit of movement to the over under in this one,

1161
00:54:49,639 --> 00:54:52,079
currently sitting in about two thirty two after opening around

1162
00:54:52,079 --> 00:54:55,039
two thirty one. Piston's currently about a one and a

1163
00:54:55,079 --> 00:54:58,599
half point favorite that's held pretty steady all day long,

1164
00:54:59,039 --> 00:55:01,800
and this could have a playoff atmosphere. These teams play

1165
00:55:01,840 --> 00:55:04,199
again on March fifth, and these are two of the

1166
00:55:04,239 --> 00:55:06,400
best teams from each conference. Two young and up and

1167
00:55:06,480 --> 00:55:09,159
coming teams, and we often look for the under in

1168
00:55:09,199 --> 00:55:12,119
a playoff atmosphere, high intensity game, but the problem is

1169
00:55:12,159 --> 00:55:15,400
both offenses an excellent current form. In fact, the Spurs

1170
00:55:15,519 --> 00:55:17,840
enter this game having shot fifty two percent or better

1171
00:55:17,920 --> 00:55:20,840
now in four of their last five games. This is

1172
00:55:20,840 --> 00:55:22,960
a team that won six great straight games before the

1173
00:55:23,000 --> 00:55:25,559
All Star Break, and they did not regress any back

1174
00:55:25,599 --> 00:55:28,599
to back wins since the break. Pistons also entered the

1175
00:55:28,639 --> 00:55:31,280
break in good current form, winning six of their final seven,

1176
00:55:31,639 --> 00:55:33,719
and they've won back to back games as well. Pistons

1177
00:55:33,760 --> 00:55:36,400
have also, by the way, covered five straight going back

1178
00:55:36,440 --> 00:55:38,920
to the start of February. Another team that's an excellent

1179
00:55:38,960 --> 00:55:41,719
current form. Offensively, I'll lean towards the home team in

1180
00:55:41,760 --> 00:55:44,280
this one. These are two teams that really have a

1181
00:55:44,440 --> 00:55:46,440
chance to go deep in the NBA playoffs, even with

1182
00:55:46,679 --> 00:55:50,360
limited experience. In a basically straight up win situation, we'll

1183
00:55:50,400 --> 00:55:52,400
go with the Detroit Pistons here minus the one one

1184
00:55:52,440 --> 00:55:55,239
and a half on the strong home core tonight and

1185
00:55:55,360 --> 00:55:57,360
kind of hope Detroit wins this one, maybe by margin,

1186
00:55:57,360 --> 00:55:59,039
because then it won't set up actually a pretty good

1187
00:55:59,039 --> 00:56:02,320
revenge spot in a couple weeks next Thursday, I believe,

1188
00:56:02,440 --> 00:56:04,719
on March fifth, when they play in San Antonio. So

1189
00:56:04,760 --> 00:56:07,159
we'll keep it on the game tonight. I lean Pistons,

1190
00:56:07,400 --> 00:56:09,039
and it could set up a good bounce back spot

1191
00:56:09,039 --> 00:56:10,719
if we get the Pistons with the Spurs. These are

1192
00:56:10,719 --> 00:56:13,199
two solid teams in excellent current form, and I think

1193
00:56:13,239 --> 00:56:14,639
this one goes down to the wire tonight, but I

1194
00:56:14,800 --> 00:56:16,639
like Detroit to get it done at home as a

1195
00:56:16,679 --> 00:56:18,519
small favorite. And don't forget if you're liking the free

1196
00:56:18,559 --> 00:56:22,519
play videos, thumbs up like comment below, click subscribe and

1197
00:56:22,519 --> 00:56:24,079
click the bell for ins and alert so you never

1198
00:56:24,159 --> 00:56:26,400
miss out when a free play video is posted here

1199
00:56:26,440 --> 00:56:29,480
on wager Talk TV. And once again bonus NBA free

1200
00:56:29,519 --> 00:56:32,400
play in the late Peacock game Jazz rockets right now

1201
00:56:32,519 --> 00:56:35,159
Steve merrillwager Talk dot com and get there quicker, wt

1202
00:56:35,239 --> 00:56:36,599
dot buzz slash sm.

1203
00:56:37,880 --> 00:56:41,519
Speaker 1: Great work, Steve Merrill, Thank you very much. They were there.

1204
00:56:41,880 --> 00:56:44,840
It was an absolutely fantastic way to slide in that

1205
00:56:44,880 --> 00:56:45,559
you go to the gym.

1206
00:56:46,719 --> 00:56:48,360
Speaker 5: You know, I was getting up early.

1207
00:56:48,880 --> 00:56:51,840
Speaker 8: O ye, yeah, yeah, that's yeah, that's exactly what I Yeah,

1208
00:56:51,880 --> 00:56:54,039
exactly as you guys know, that's exactly what I was doing,

1209
00:56:54,159 --> 00:56:56,760
flexing it like this is flex money with the pres

1210
00:56:56,840 --> 00:56:57,880
going in here and doing like this.

1211
00:56:58,679 --> 00:56:59,880
Speaker 5: So I wanted to get some stuff.

1212
00:57:00,320 --> 00:57:00,480
Speaker 7: Yeah.

1213
00:57:00,599 --> 00:57:00,800
Speaker 5: Yeah.

1214
00:57:00,920 --> 00:57:02,760
Speaker 8: It just shows you can say something and a hundred

1215
00:57:02,760 --> 00:57:04,639
people take it one way, but one guy takes.

1216
00:57:04,480 --> 00:57:06,800
Speaker 5: It another way. Definitely not how I would have read that.

1217
00:57:07,199 --> 00:57:10,360
Speaker 8: That com that was about his nonchalant way of saying

1218
00:57:10,360 --> 00:57:11,559
I went to the gym, and I said, I was

1219
00:57:11,599 --> 00:57:15,159
stretching out. It's not like I was escalating myself. I

1220
00:57:15,280 --> 00:57:18,280
was stretching out and doing some poses and relaxing. Yeah,

1221
00:57:18,320 --> 00:57:19,880
I mean, I didn't think there was a chance i'd

1222
00:57:19,920 --> 00:57:21,679
get back home within a few hours and not have

1223
00:57:21,760 --> 00:57:24,519
heard the result or seen it somewhere in hindsight, though

1224
00:57:24,559 --> 00:57:26,760
it really wasn't those two guys. When I was trying

1225
00:57:26,800 --> 00:57:29,480
to update some tweets from my best bet side yesterday

1226
00:57:29,480 --> 00:57:32,679
on my phone, I accidentally had on the main page,

1227
00:57:32,719 --> 00:57:34,840
you know, and I saw like it you could see

1228
00:57:34,920 --> 00:57:36,960
like gold medal moment or something it said, and it

1229
00:57:37,039 --> 00:57:37,960
was Ian Rappaport.

1230
00:57:38,079 --> 00:57:39,199
Speaker 5: I just I glanced.

1231
00:57:39,519 --> 00:57:42,840
Speaker 8: I'm like, ah, I was like and that maybe he's Canadian,

1232
00:57:42,880 --> 00:57:44,159
but I was like, I'm pretty sure he's American.

1233
00:57:44,199 --> 00:57:45,159
Speaker 5: He's an NFL guy.

1234
00:57:45,320 --> 00:57:49,159
Speaker 2: So I was like, I was like, it's impossible these

1235
00:57:49,280 --> 00:57:52,079
days to try and not hear a score of a

1236
00:57:52,119 --> 00:57:52,840
sporting event.

1237
00:57:53,199 --> 00:57:54,840
Speaker 1: You could do it years ago, but you can't do

1238
00:57:54,920 --> 00:57:55,159
it now.

1239
00:57:55,360 --> 00:57:57,239
Speaker 5: So I almost got by with a women's game.

1240
00:57:57,320 --> 00:57:59,960
Speaker 8: And I was at my middle school, not basketball anymore now,

1241
00:58:00,000 --> 00:58:02,920
how it's baseball, and the coach told me he'd cast

1242
00:58:03,000 --> 00:58:04,159
with the USC women.

1243
00:58:04,000 --> 00:58:05,760
Speaker 5: Like at four o'clock of the afternoon the other day.

1244
00:58:06,000 --> 00:58:07,840
Speaker 8: There's no way I would have heard anything otherwise because

1245
00:58:07,880 --> 00:58:10,280
no one's talking women's hockey with me, and man, that

1246
00:58:10,320 --> 00:58:11,679
would have been a fun game. Not to know the

1247
00:58:11,719 --> 00:58:14,440
result is us fast forwarding through it that night. So man, yeah,

1248
00:58:14,440 --> 00:58:16,239
it's tough. It's tough when they're over.

1249
00:58:16,480 --> 00:58:21,079
Speaker 1: In Italy as well as all.

1250
00:58:19,639 --> 00:58:22,000
Speaker 2: Right, Steve, thanks very thanks luck on your place. Thanks

1251
00:58:22,039 --> 00:58:24,920
for joining us, Steve Merrill. We're gonna get to some

1252
00:58:25,000 --> 00:58:26,639
free places here real quick. But Dan, I wanted to

1253
00:58:27,119 --> 00:58:29,639
bring up a couple thoughts on NBA. You know, remember

1254
00:58:29,679 --> 00:58:31,840
how we talked about how the New York Knicks were

1255
00:58:31,880 --> 00:58:36,119
on an unsustainable streak for covering spreads.

1256
00:58:36,480 --> 00:58:39,800
Speaker 1: They were nine and one. Last five games they are

1257
00:58:40,519 --> 00:58:41,159
one and four.

1258
00:58:43,719 --> 00:58:48,519
Speaker 2: We also talked about the number one spread covering team

1259
00:58:48,760 --> 00:58:51,039
before the All Star Break for the whole season was

1260
00:58:51,119 --> 00:58:52,039
the Phoenix Suns.

1261
00:58:53,239 --> 00:58:55,719
Speaker 1: They are in big, big trouble. They just lost.

1262
00:58:56,280 --> 00:58:59,480
Speaker 2: Well, first off, they're one three and one against spread

1263
00:58:59,760 --> 00:59:02,360
and they are now out Devin Booker and they're out

1264
00:59:02,440 --> 00:59:04,679
Dylan Brooks. Philip Brooks is the heart and sold that team.

1265
00:59:05,519 --> 00:59:07,639
They I watched them last night because I had a

1266
00:59:07,679 --> 00:59:08,400
player prop in there.

1267
00:59:08,519 --> 00:59:12,840
Speaker 1: They cannot score. They scored seventy seven points in the.

1268
00:59:12,920 --> 00:59:16,280
Speaker 2: Whole game in the NBA, in the NBA, in a

1269
00:59:16,320 --> 00:59:19,079
whole game, and the game before that it took two

1270
00:59:19,159 --> 00:59:21,920
overtimes for them to get to one hundred and thirteen points.

1271
00:59:22,039 --> 00:59:25,519
They are in rough shape. That is an under team,

1272
00:59:25,639 --> 00:59:28,079
that is a fade against the spread type of team.

1273
00:59:28,159 --> 00:59:29,880
Like I said, I watched them last night, boy or

1274
00:59:29,920 --> 00:59:32,880
they got real trouble coming along. So all right, let's

1275
00:59:32,920 --> 00:59:34,519
do some free plays before we get out of here.

1276
00:59:35,400 --> 00:59:40,320
Let's do WTFLFG for the people. Nice big winner on

1277
00:59:41,440 --> 00:59:43,840
the lacrosse Scotti Scheffler came up short.

1278
00:59:43,920 --> 00:59:45,840
Speaker 1: Did not finish in the top five so I believe

1279
00:59:45,880 --> 00:59:47,920
we're twenty six and eighteen.

1280
00:59:48,719 --> 00:59:51,840
Speaker 5: That's what I have. I hold it up for yeap No.

1281
00:59:52,119 --> 00:59:56,000
Speaker 4: Twenty six eighteen is where we stand at here, Andy,

1282
00:59:56,239 --> 00:59:59,039
And yeah, I was thinking, Hey, do we go lacrosse?

1283
00:59:59,079 --> 00:59:59,400
Speaker 5: Do we not?

1284
00:59:59,639 --> 01:00:02,559
Speaker 3: I've been thanks though, folks were hopping in here. Hey

1285
01:00:02,679 --> 01:00:03,719
you won on Harvard.

1286
01:00:03,800 --> 01:00:04,079
Speaker 5: Great.

1287
01:00:04,239 --> 01:00:07,960
Speaker 4: We called outright the fourteenth team in the nation, beating

1288
01:00:08,000 --> 01:00:10,039
the number one team in the nation. We said, bet

1289
01:00:10,159 --> 01:00:12,559
the money line plus two seventy. It was around that

1290
01:00:12,719 --> 01:00:14,480
we got at home. So I'm glad we helped you

1291
01:00:14,559 --> 01:00:16,199
cash over the weekend, folks, and we gave it to

1292
01:00:16,280 --> 01:00:19,079
you free here on wager Talk. So all you ask

1293
01:00:19,159 --> 01:00:21,800
you to do, folks like interact with the show, comment,

1294
01:00:22,000 --> 01:00:24,199
tell folks about the show, share it, and if you

1295
01:00:24,280 --> 01:00:27,400
haven't already subscribed, So Andy, we're gonna do a little

1296
01:00:27,519 --> 01:00:31,880
epl action here for the folks. I talked with Karen,

1297
01:00:32,000 --> 01:00:35,039
my soccer guy, and he Lukewarm gave me a thumbs

1298
01:00:35,119 --> 01:00:38,880
up on taking the half goal today. Guys, with Everton,

1299
01:00:39,320 --> 01:00:42,480
Everton's playing man you here's the thought process for me,

1300
01:00:42,880 --> 01:00:45,920
is Everton how they've been hanging around for a playoff spot?

1301
01:00:45,960 --> 01:00:46,079
Speaker 5: Here?

1302
01:00:46,119 --> 01:00:49,199
Speaker 4: Andy, they're right around at their eighth and they're playing

1303
01:00:49,239 --> 01:00:51,280
a man You team who's ranked fifth right now here

1304
01:00:51,440 --> 01:00:54,679
in the EPL table. How it's worked out for Everton

1305
01:00:54,800 --> 01:00:57,280
is they have been road warriors. Most of their successes

1306
01:00:57,360 --> 01:00:59,840
come on the road, so now they're actually playing at

1307
01:00:59,840 --> 01:01:02,159
home home, that's usually a bet against or at least

1308
01:01:02,400 --> 01:01:05,719
a pass for Everton. However, the team that they're facing

1309
01:01:05,760 --> 01:01:08,920
today menu sitting in that fifth spot. They have been

1310
01:01:09,280 --> 01:01:14,400
absolute dogs at home Man You plus ten on the

1311
01:01:14,440 --> 01:01:17,440
goal differential in their home games. However, on the road

1312
01:01:17,679 --> 01:01:19,880
they've scored twenty two Andy and they've.

1313
01:01:19,719 --> 01:01:22,239
Speaker 5: Allowed twenty two. They are a draw.

1314
01:01:22,840 --> 01:01:26,199
Speaker 3: They are a you know, keep close games kind of team.

1315
01:01:26,239 --> 01:01:28,000
Speaker 5: They don't dominate teams on the road.

1316
01:01:28,079 --> 01:01:30,679
Speaker 4: So if I'm Everton and we're saying, hey, if we

1317
01:01:30,880 --> 01:01:33,199
really want this playoff spot, we are going to need

1318
01:01:33,280 --> 01:01:36,159
to finally figure out something in our own home stadium,

1319
01:01:36,800 --> 01:01:37,079
this is.

1320
01:01:37,119 --> 01:01:38,639
Speaker 5: The kind of team you can do it against.

1321
01:01:38,800 --> 01:01:41,480
Speaker 4: So you know the full on play won't be take

1322
01:01:41,519 --> 01:01:44,199
that plus two eighty five plus two to ninety money line.

1323
01:01:44,280 --> 01:01:46,719
I would sprinkle that for sure, but I would probably

1324
01:01:46,760 --> 01:01:49,800
bet my my flat unit on taking the half goal.

1325
01:01:49,920 --> 01:01:53,239
With Everton, it's around minus one ten, minus one fifteen,

1326
01:01:53,280 --> 01:01:55,679
as high as minus one twenty. Take the half goal

1327
01:01:55,760 --> 01:01:57,800
because if we tie in this game, which I could

1328
01:01:57,800 --> 01:01:59,760
see a one to one tibee in the final, you're

1329
01:01:59,800 --> 01:02:02,079
still cash in your ticket there, Andy, and you have

1330
01:02:02,239 --> 01:02:04,639
chance to get that money line home. So I'm taking

1331
01:02:04,679 --> 01:02:06,880
the half goal with Evertt and that is our WTF

1332
01:02:07,039 --> 01:02:08,159
or LFG play.

1333
01:02:08,280 --> 01:02:11,039
Speaker 5: Let us know, folks if you are following or fading

1334
01:02:11,280 --> 01:02:11,880
in that one.

1335
01:02:13,000 --> 01:02:13,199
Speaker 4: Like it?

1336
01:02:13,840 --> 01:02:14,039
Speaker 5: Like it?

1337
01:02:15,559 --> 01:02:16,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm gonna chat.

1338
01:02:16,360 --> 01:02:16,679
Speaker 5: Brought up.

1339
01:02:16,719 --> 01:02:19,719
Speaker 2: I saw this that Phoenix plays Boston tomorrow. Boston could

1340
01:02:19,800 --> 01:02:23,480
run them out of the gym. The Boston Boston does

1341
01:02:23,559 --> 01:02:26,559
not stop shy threes that one could get out of control.

1342
01:02:26,679 --> 01:02:29,840
Be interested to see what the line suttles at tomorrow.

1343
01:02:29,960 --> 01:02:32,599
So all right, let's do some free plays all around

1344
01:02:32,599 --> 01:02:34,360
the world. Then we're gonna get out of here. So

1345
01:02:34,400 --> 01:02:37,159
we'll do a couple of player props here. Grizzlies, Kings

1346
01:02:37,280 --> 01:02:39,880
Russell Westbrook. We're gonna take his under twenty and a

1347
01:02:39,920 --> 01:02:41,639
half points, rebounds and assists.

1348
01:02:42,079 --> 01:02:45,719
Speaker 1: There's a Kings team that is tanking. They're not interested

1349
01:02:45,719 --> 01:02:46,159
in winning.

1350
01:02:46,280 --> 01:02:48,960
Speaker 2: In two games since coming back from the All Star Break,

1351
01:02:49,400 --> 01:02:52,079
his usage and minutes are down. He only played seventeen

1352
01:02:52,119 --> 01:02:55,719
and twenty two minutes. He had six and twelve points, rebounds,

1353
01:02:55,760 --> 01:02:58,119
and assists in those two games. Shot attempts are down,

1354
01:02:58,199 --> 01:03:02,880
field goal percentages down. His body language looks terrible. He

1355
01:03:03,039 --> 01:03:03,559
doesn't care.

1356
01:03:03,679 --> 01:03:07,039
Speaker 1: Why should he? The team doesn't care. Dan he has

1357
01:03:07,239 --> 01:03:12,119
three total rebounds the last two games and three total

1358
01:03:12,199 --> 01:03:16,719
assists the last two games. This is starting point guard three.

1359
01:03:16,639 --> 01:03:19,880
Speaker 2: Assists totally the last two games. So Russell Westbrook is

1360
01:03:19,920 --> 01:03:22,519
a fade. I'm also fading Amen Thompson. I know it's

1361
01:03:22,559 --> 01:03:25,320
a great matchup tonight, but he plays a ton of minutes.

1362
01:03:25,400 --> 01:03:27,960
He doesn't get very many shots. He shoots about eight

1363
01:03:28,039 --> 01:03:30,480
per game. He's shooting forty seven percent from the field.

1364
01:03:30,760 --> 01:03:32,800
He has not hit a three in his last three games,

1365
01:03:32,840 --> 01:03:35,000
and he doesn't shoot too many free throws. So I'm

1366
01:03:35,039 --> 01:03:36,719
gonna take the under sixteen and a half points.

1367
01:03:37,280 --> 01:03:38,440
Speaker 1: This is a client play.

1368
01:03:39,039 --> 01:03:39,800
Speaker 5: You can put it in.

1369
01:03:40,199 --> 01:03:43,679
Speaker 2: I'm a little worried about the second leg not being

1370
01:03:43,719 --> 01:03:46,039
played because they're playing at Mexico. I don't know if

1371
01:03:46,039 --> 01:03:48,079
they're gonna continue to play these games, but I'll just

1372
01:03:48,199 --> 01:03:50,679
reach you the write up. This is a women's doubles

1373
01:03:50,960 --> 01:03:54,639
parlay here Hunter and Townsend. I have them winning two

1374
01:03:55,079 --> 01:03:58,840
zero over Sterns and Williams. This is Venus Williams Dan,

1375
01:03:59,039 --> 01:04:03,719
She's forty five. She's forty five years old playing doubles.

1376
01:04:04,480 --> 01:04:07,239
Her last two matches her team got drubbed to zero.

1377
01:04:08,000 --> 01:04:11,079
Stearns has only played one doubles tournament since January, one

1378
01:04:11,159 --> 01:04:13,599
hundred Towns and huge big edge. Townsend is the number

1379
01:04:13,639 --> 01:04:14,719
three ranked doubles player.

1380
01:04:14,800 --> 01:04:17,519
Speaker 1: So I like one hundred towns and to win two zero.

1381
01:04:17,920 --> 01:04:22,159
Speaker 2: And then Busa and Jiang over Stevens and Sanchez. Steven

1382
01:04:22,199 --> 01:04:25,000
Th and Sanchez they have zero experience playing together, and

1383
01:04:25,119 --> 01:04:27,519
Stevens pretty much only wins on doubles when she's with

1384
01:04:27,639 --> 01:04:29,320
a really top ranked player.

1385
01:04:29,480 --> 01:04:31,519
Speaker 1: Sanchez is not the other team.

1386
01:04:31,719 --> 01:04:35,559
Speaker 2: Jiang and Buska their thirty six top thirty six ranked

1387
01:04:35,559 --> 01:04:38,960
players tons of experience. Buska has won five out of

1388
01:04:39,039 --> 01:04:41,880
six first round matches this year. Jiang has not been

1389
01:04:41,920 --> 01:04:44,920
playing with great players, but it looks like she's decided to.

1390
01:04:45,559 --> 01:04:48,280
We'll step up the quality of my doubles partner in

1391
01:04:48,360 --> 01:04:50,519
this tournament. So you parlay those together gets you about

1392
01:04:50,559 --> 01:04:53,239
minus one twenty, but again fifty to fifty.

1393
01:04:53,280 --> 01:04:55,719
Speaker 1: Whether that second leg even takes place. If it does,

1394
01:04:55,920 --> 01:04:58,280
I like where we're sitting, so love.

1395
01:04:58,119 --> 01:04:58,639
Speaker 5: It all right?

1396
01:04:59,320 --> 01:05:01,760
Speaker 1: That is that is gonna do andy.

1397
01:05:01,840 --> 01:05:05,360
Speaker 2: Any thoughts on Phoenix winning forty five point five games.

1398
01:05:06,119 --> 01:05:08,639
I'd have to see what their NBA standings are at.

1399
01:05:08,719 --> 01:05:12,000
That is a great question. I think I need confirmation

1400
01:05:12,119 --> 01:05:15,320
on what Dylan Brooks's final injury is. It's a broken hand.

1401
01:05:15,400 --> 01:05:18,480
I don't know if he's gonna be out. But like listen,

1402
01:05:18,719 --> 01:05:21,960
Dylan Brooks, he's kind of won the battle of what's

1403
01:05:22,000 --> 01:05:24,920
his reputation. Everywhere he goes, they win and they get better,

1404
01:05:25,199 --> 01:05:27,719
which is weird because he's a villain. But for whatever reason,

1405
01:05:28,440 --> 01:05:31,159
they just do really, really well. They have thirty three now,

1406
01:05:31,280 --> 01:05:35,519
so that means they would have to Devin Booker better

1407
01:05:35,599 --> 01:05:37,639
get his behind in the starting lineup. But he's out

1408
01:05:37,679 --> 01:05:40,599
for another He's out for another week or so, so

1409
01:05:40,880 --> 01:05:42,239
this is not looking good for Phoenix.

1410
01:05:42,480 --> 01:05:43,079
Speaker 5: I'll look it up.

1411
01:05:43,239 --> 01:05:45,320
Speaker 2: We'll decide what we're gonna do with Boston tomorrow in

1412
01:05:45,360 --> 01:05:48,239
the season win totals great quest. I'll have that as

1413
01:05:48,280 --> 01:05:49,840
a free play tomorrow one with the other. All right,

1414
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thanks for joining us, guys. Remember put your wager Talk

1415
01:05:52,440 --> 01:05:54,960
user name in the comment section. If I go three

1416
01:05:55,000 --> 01:05:57,480
and zero on my NBA picks that I did at

1417
01:05:57,519 --> 01:05:59,679
the beginning of the show, somebody will win a free

1418
01:06:00,159 --> 01:06:03,440
day pass. Please like and subscribe, good look on all

1419
01:06:03,440 --> 01:06:05,519
your bets, and we will be back tomorrow, same time,

1420
01:06:05,599 --> 01:06:06,119
same place.

1421
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Speaker 1: See you tomorrow. Take care,