Speaker 1: Top ink Club. Pard, Yes, sir, yes, sir. We back.
Good evening, Good evening, and you're tuned in to top
inc World News.
Speaker 2: And we got some information and we got some news
reports of course by ABC News, and it's about Iran
and I'm launching one hundred missiles towards Israel.
Speaker 1: We're gonna give you the exclusive news.
Speaker 2: About what's going on with Israel and also just keep
you on the up and up with these updates again
see your fortune, top inc World News.
Speaker 1: Yes, let's get into it.
Speaker 3: So I want to bring in a retired Army Colonel
Seth Cromrick as well, a colonel before I ask you
overall kind of step back and take an overall look
at what we could see in the region moving forward
as this volley of attacks continues now between Israel and Iran.
Your thoughts on the US role here, Why we're not
hearing from our president. We know that you did have
the phone call with the UK's Prime Minister, but still
nothing out on social nothing out. Formerly we heard from
Benjamin Nett and Yahoo how he said to the Iranian people,
this is your time to rise up and rebel. We
are with you, We want to help you take down
this regime. But what do you think is happening in
addition to what Louie is now able to tell us
on behalf of the United States and we know it
supports Israel, how do you think it's playing a part
in what we're seeing right now?
Speaker 4: Absolutely, Curat, it's great to be on today. There's two
answers to this question. First, from the political side, your
deputy's committees, your Principal's committees are working on their strategic messaging.
And this is really important because you want to be
methodical and deliberate with how you message not only the
United States but the world in what's going on and
what roles are being played. So I'm very confident that
the administration is thinking through what is going to be
put out and making sure it's synchronized with the overall
campaign that's unfolding here. And then more on the operational
tactical level, when we look at the air defense, it's
an integrated air defense of all the countries in the region,
not just Israel in the United States. The ballistic missiles,
which can move from twelve to twenty minutes between Iran
and Israel have to fly over a number of Middle
Eastern countries, So there's places in there and allies that
will have an opportunity to attempt to intercept these missiles
as they fly over their airspace, and we have agreements
with those countries to assist. So there's a very delicate
balance that's being played now between strategic, messaging, operational aspects
of this and then those detailed tactical level activities. Talking
about the commanders on the ground and the drones and
that domestic street in Iran.
Speaker 3: So, you know, spending so much of your career in
the Middle East, do you think we could actually see
a regime change here in Iran.
Speaker 4: Anything's possible, But after studying them for over twenty five years,
I always meet my expectations. Iran is run by a
very intelligent man. I don't agree with them, but no
one's done more with less in my experience in the world.
So I always look at this from a very calculated perspective.
But here's what we do know. The number one threat
to Iran is the domestic street. It's not Israel or
the United States. And there has been a lot of
discontent a lot over the last months and years as
we look at a failing power infrastructure, rolling blackouts, and
the average Aranian is saying, hey, wait a minute, why
are you sending a bunch of money to Hamas and
HESBLA and these nuclear dreams when I can't even get
my air conditioner work when it's ninety five degrees outside,
and I can't get social services to work. So you
have this disc that's brewing. You layer on top of
it all of the protests that you've seen, and you
see that in time there are more more indicators that
the regime will collapse under its own way. But the
question is when this is a savvy regime. Could be
a year, could be ten years, Maybe it could be
two months. I think the next seventy two to ninety
six hours are going to be telling, But I wouldn't
bet my next paycheck that it's going to happen immediately.
I think it's just getting looser and looser, and more
opportunities are coming up for that organic revolution, because regime
change will not happen from a foreign power in Iran.
It has to be organic. It has to come from
the Iranian street.
Speaker 3: Do you see the straits of Iran rising up?
Speaker 4: At this point, I think people are taking a look
at risks right, and it's they're going to see what's happening.
There was a great point made by the previous reporter
that you know, back in July twenty four there was
a very sensational assassination of Hanya right after the presidential inauguration,
of which the Iranian streets said, wait a minute, how
could Israel penetrate something that's so near and dear in Tehran.
Now we find out that they've had commandos and they've
been shipping in drones for a long time, and they've
been biding their time and putting everything in place. The
average Iranian has to look at their government and go,
you're incompetent. You can't protect us. We have these foreign
agents working all over our country, dropping all of our defenses.
You can't keep power going, you can't keep logistics going.
There's all sorts of breakdowns. You can't do security, Hey,
what can you do? And that is going to create
more and more of an instability, and I like to
think of it as more and more opportunity for governmental
change inside of Iran.
Speaker 3: Do you see a broader regional war about that to
take place, or do you see at some point someone
you know slapping the hand on the mat and getting
back to the negotiating table.
Speaker 4: I think in the short term you're going to see
spasm of spasms of emotional violence because Iran sees the
threat at home, knows they have to strongly respond, as
you're seeing with the ballistic missiles. But do I see
emotions sway from other countries to support Iran.
Speaker 1: No.
Speaker 4: People made up their minds about Iran and the Iatolas
regime a long time ago. There's no sort of centrious
votes out there for you to go get at this point.
So at this point I don't see necessarily a regional
war breaking out. But what I do see is Iran
is going to fight as much as they can, even
though they have very degraded options now. But at some point,
as the emotions die down and they have to look
at the longevity or what their number one goal is,
which is survival, I believe it will shape them back
to the negotiating table and they will be in a position,
a much weaker position to have to negotiate exactly where
they don't want to be. But they're going to be
out of options. Frankly, Kira, and I'm not sure exactly
what they think they can do. Outside of that, the
question is going to be how long is it going
to take them to get to the table. I would
be shocked if it's any time in the next few weeks.
I think that there is going to be a lot
of internal issues going on there and a lot of
attempts to strike Israel. I'm not sure we're going to
see a lot of success. Hamas is degraded, hesbloods degraded,
the drones are all knocked down. Yes, ballistic missiles will
be able to get through and onesise Tuesdays, but that
will have no subsident effect on Israel because Israel is
absolutely focused on winning and taking away that nuclear capability
from Wrong and again, when you look at the Jewish nation,
there was a concerted effort to annihilate them three generations ago.
They have not forgotten about it. They've been very clear
on their strategic messaging and they are not gonna allow
Ron to have nuclear capabilities.
Speaker 3: Colonel Seth Cromer, great to have your insight and your experience.
Appreciate you.
Speaker 1: Thank you, top Ink Clube Park. It's talk