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Speaker 1: Welcome away.

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Speaker 2: You talk today the gold standard of sports betting shows

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where we talk to talk and walk the walk. It's Monday.

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We are loaded. We got Game seven baseball tonight. We've

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got two Monday night football plays. Yanni's gonna kick it

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off with the Steam Report, Crackman's gonna give us a

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Monday Night Football prop, and Steve Merrill's gonna join us.

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We're gonna break down both games and we're gonna talk

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about Game seven. It's a big, big day for betters

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across every sport. We got you covered. Let's bring in

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Yanni and you guys please hit that like button algorithm

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boots boost time. It's time to time to boost that algorithm. Yanni.

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I know you're tired. Thanks for getting up. That's a long,

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long traveling day out to Vancouver.

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Speaker 3: Yes, sir, but I starting a new weekend, coming off

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a losing Sunday man. I had a los An NFL

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day was ugly after such a great day in college

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football Wolston MMA. Having a losing year in MMA after

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coming off one of my best years in MMA. Twenty

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twenty five has not been good. But luckily college football

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still number one had another winning week. I think I've

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won now eight of the last eight of nine weeks

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or nine to ten weeks wherever we are in college football.

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Like I said, coming off a losing NFL week, but

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last week was my first college football losing week. Bounced

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back this weekend with a huge week, so I'm excited

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about the NFL ahead. We got two games tonight as well,

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got a game seven. So yes, a big, big weekend.

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Real quickly going to dive into the game seven. First,

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we're in uncharted territory like this, wins losses. The way

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it's gone down hasn't happened before. I think only one

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other time in all of the Major League Baseball rounds

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has it a series ever played out like this. Remember

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the road team won the first two games in both series.

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Dodgers won the first two in Milwaukee and Seattle won

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the first two in Toronto. That had happened fifteen times

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in Major League Baseball playoffs. Fourteen of those times, the

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team that won the those two games on the road

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won the series, like Seattle was able to do. But

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that just hasn't happened. It happened for the Dodgers. They

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got it done. But Seattle right now is not in

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a good spot. We know Game sevens home teams. You know,

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they're usually in that sixty percent sixty plus percent win

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rate long term. Obviously, home field advantage matters a lot.

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So this is a band spot for Seattle. I'm biased.

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I have a future on Seattle. But more importantly, I've

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played this future horrifically. I didn't the hedge before the

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season the series started. Instead, I said, let me take

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it getting by game I hedged by taking Toronto in

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game one, a little bit, Seattle won. That's a good thing.

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Took Toronto and game two a little bit Seattle won.

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Speaker 1: Game two.

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Speaker 3: That's a good thing. I said, Now we're historically we're

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in such a good spot. Let's just sit back and

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let Seattle win this series. Well, that hasn't happened. And

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every time I went and hedged a little bit, I

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ended up losing. So now I'm in a difficult I

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find myself where I have forty units pending on Seattle,

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but I've already lost about twelve to fifteen of those

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trying the hedge. So I'm in a tough spot in

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game seven where I shouldn't be. And this is just

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a perfect example that no matter how much experience do

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you have, how seasoned you are at doing this like that.

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The market's gonna throw curveballs at you and you just

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got to try to minimize losses and maximize profit when

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that time comes. So I have a couple hours to

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figure out tonight's game. Here's what's happening. It's all one

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side of Toronto money from the recreational betters, and no surprise,

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they're the hot team right now. All the pressure is

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now back on Seattle more or less because Toronto's not

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even supposed to be in this spot, having lost, you know,

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those first two games. It's being bet Toronto and the

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over as well. I haven't seen any betting sin to

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get money. So this line moving off from that one

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twenty two to one twenty eight, one twenty five, one

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point thirty. It's all public money related. It's all risk

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that's starting to mount on the Toronto side and the

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over as well, but both both are public money related.

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Recreational better is getting involved and we haven't seen the

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bettingston to get step up yet. It'll be interested to

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see if we get any sharp money yet, but I

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haven't seen it. If anything, it'll probably be on some

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player prompts, it'll probably be on maybe a run in

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the first standing. That's that's the kind of stuff I've

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been seeing the accounts late. I haven't seen many signs.

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I haven't seen many totals at all in Major League

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Baseball playoffs. So again I'm cheering in for Seattle. But

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those are for bias reasons, not a handicap.

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Speaker 2: Are you Are you in a hedge? We're gonna have to.

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Speaker 3: You're exactly I'm forced to now because of the way

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I approached it, just to even even if Toronto wins,

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just to limit some of that hedge loss. You know,

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I probably should have just took in Toronto when the

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season series started because I had so much equity. But

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to have that kind of equity forty units and not profit,

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that's amateur hour, Like I really failed myself and my subscribers.

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If we don't turn a profit like now, I'm hoping

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to beat a product of good luck and have Seattle win.

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That's not a position, as the sport's better you ever

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want to be in where where you're you're hoping like,

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we're not in the hope business. We try to be

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in the certainty business, and the hope business is not

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a good thing to be in. And tonight Yanni's in

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the Hope business.

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Speaker 2: It's very well, very well said. Yeah, I feel like

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I've been in the Hope business for the last last

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few months. It's it's not been a good run. I

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was terrible in UFC. WE I mean, I don't know

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anybody that made money on that card.

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Speaker 3: It was that kind of part.

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Speaker 2: It was an ugly cars card.

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Speaker 3: The closing line value didn't matter even when you had

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the right side. The judges messed it up or the

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ref messed it up, like it was just one of

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those cards and you just got to sweep it under

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the rug. You've crushed mma like you just got it.

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Like I always say, when in doubt, zoom out. Whenever

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you get buried like that and have a bad day,

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zoom out. Look at your results. It puts everything back

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in perspective that you know what you're talking about. There's

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just a lot of randomness in the short term. Move

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on to the next one. Oh real quickly, star, I

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don't forget. There's three free tennis moves up at Wage

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to Talk. I released three tennis bets to my subscribers.

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Those lines move a lot, so I only put them

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out for like two or three percent plays and share

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it with them. We're gonna have a little release for upcoming,

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a little announcement on some of those steam moves with

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Johnny probably later this week, so you guys could get

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more access to them. But they're up there for free.

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There's three premiums that I sent to subscribers. There's three

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percent plays in tennis that go off late tonight or

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tomorrow morning. Now nfl Andy favorites in over no surprise.

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In the Lions and Buccaneers. The Lion's risk just continues

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to mount. What's weird is the look ahead was five

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to five and a half I think, and fifty three

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and a half we saw the line come down a

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little bit then boom boom, nothing but Detroit money. The

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total hasn't moved all that much from that look ahead,

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even though it's really one sided. So you're getting a

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lot of Detroit and over money. I think there's also

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a lot of Detroit risk for moneyline parlays and teasers

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probably from yesterday. Favorites did okay, So it's gonna be

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interesting to see if they bump this up to that

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key seven. I doubt it I don't think that's gonna happen,

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But the total not moving up is kind of telling.

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Like to see some of the a Circa have fifty

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two and a half and DraftKings have fifty three and

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a half, it kind of tells you, at least where

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the sharper opinion seems to be on a lower scoring game,

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where the recreational betters tend to bet these games over,

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so it looks like they're getting a little short money

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on that under in that first game. In the second game,

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it's sitting on that key number of three, and we've

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seen nothing but Seattle money early on. Again, that's the

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later of the two games, so that usually split money

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comes in as the day progresses, even after that first

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game kicks off. But I don't think that's gonna change.

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I think you're gonna continue to get Seattle money. I

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think you're gonna continue to see Detroit money. The only

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key is will they come off that key three or

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will they ever get the seven with Detroit where I

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don't think so. I think as long as one of

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those dogs stick their head out, the books will end

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up doing just fine. Again, personally, I haven't taken a

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position on either of these games. Yet I kind of

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like Detroit. That's what I used for bet on It

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when we did the show. That was the game they

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gave me, the TV game, the Breakdown. I thought the buckety,

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I thought the Lions decent spot to bounce back. But

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I mean, I don't know that. I don't I don't

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like where it's sitting at six. I think that line

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should have probably moved already a little bit higher, if

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you got any respect. So that worries me.

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Speaker 2: With the paper, there's one massive, massive concern with Detroit

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a Monday night game that the public is all over

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one side. That's that's a recipe for disaster. I get it.

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I know the stat Dan Campbell and the Lions are

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insanely good after a loss and home and Monday night.

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But I'm pretty I'm pretty surprised that the Bucks aren't

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getting I mean, Baker Mayfields like there's MVP talk. You know,

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I just figured there'd be a lot of hype around

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this Bucks team's not but it's been one way track.

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Speaker 3: And could I just mention because I know we got

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Crack coming up behind and I actually stick around to

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listen to what he's got to say. So I'm interested,

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especially with a Monday, But we got to talk about

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college football really quick because I hate to say I

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told you so, but I kind of told you so. Eventually,

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the cream's going to rise to the top, and you

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got to really pay attention to strength of schedule. I've

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never got so much pushback as I did when I

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talked about how Texas was better than Oklahoma at least

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power rating wise, and they looked at me like I

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was crazy, Like I don't even watch the sport. And

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then when I talked about the Texas Tech not be

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that big of a favorite. They've had a very easy schedule,

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that's why they're undefeated. Again, I was talked like I

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was an idiot. I don't watch this stuff. I can't

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express this enough. The rankings in college football are based

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on a record and nothing else, especially early on in

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the season. The fact that I looked up today and

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saw that Georgia Tech is the seventh team in the

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nation tells you everything you need to know right there.

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Do you know that Georgia Tech's not even in my

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top thirty Right now? Ohio State, I'm telling you, right now,

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Ohio State would be a three touchdown favorite at least

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over Georgia Tech. So the fact Georgia Tech is in

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the top ten is ridiculous. But they're seven and oh

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that tells you everything. Miami, how fake? Was Miami a

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number two? Why? Because they were five and oh? That's

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how you take advantage of college football, these overrated teams

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that are ranked based on their schedule. And then I

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look and I see Notre Dame, Notre names down it

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like number twelve, number thirteen proa. There's only like two

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teams that would be favored over No. To Dame on

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a neutral Ohio State, Oregon and maybe Alabama's a pick

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them to them. But the record means nothing like those teams.

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The Texas is the Georgia's.

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Speaker 4: Penn State three and four Penn State would be favored

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over Georgia Tech by more than ten points. I'm telling

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you that a three and four Penn State team would

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be favored.

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Speaker 3: Now that's maybe the books wouldn't make them a ten

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point favorite because they got to manage risk. But if

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they brought them out at like a seven point favorite,

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rest of short, they would get steamed up with ten

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point favorite because most power ratings would reflect that. But

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I'm telling you teams like Utah, teams like LSU teams

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like Iowa Washington, those two loss teams would all be

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favored over Georgia Tech. So be careful paying attention to

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those rankings. Use them, use them to take advantage of

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the narrative. Texas A and M number three team in

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the country. Are we smoke? What are we talking about?

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Are we? Are we serious? Right now? Texas Tech's barely

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in the top ten. I mean Texas A and M.

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I'll tell you right now, I have them like fifteenth, sixteenth.

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So yeah, sorry, I just had to. I just had

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to bring that out because I've gotten so much pushback

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the last two weeks, pushing back against these undefeated teams

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that I thought were phonies.

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Speaker 2: Well, I gotta tell you, on Tuesdays, I've made two

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bets in a row going I supported Georgia Tech going

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ahead to head against Jesse, and I won both of them.

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So I love my Georgia Tech team.

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Speaker 3: They've been Georgia Tech, Georgia Tech.

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Speaker 2: They've they've been cashing some some some made up tickets

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for me going ahead and to head against That's all that, Matt,

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It's just that's all it matters, no matter what else

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do you got for us, Johnny, anything else?

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Speaker 1: That's it?

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Speaker 3: No, no, no, I'm already getting getting my week ready, Gonna

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dig into the Monday night, see if I could confirm

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my strong leans and then start looking ahead to the

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rest of the week. Excited. Back back in Vegas, stability,

256
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don't have any trips planned, so it's back to the grind, baby,

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back to the grind that's had some profit and uh

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await to dodge a college basketball in NBA. That's what

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I'm excited about.

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Speaker 2: Tell the UFC story about the van.

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Speaker 3: Oh yeah, here, there's funny they have, Like, uh yeah,

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I had the best access I ever had in my life.

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Usually they have a ticket for you waiting at will Cole,

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but they did us a solid, Like they put me

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down in the front row, like right behind where they

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were calling the fights. Like you don't even have a

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ticket for those seats, Like they just put tape with

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your name on it, and like your badge lets you

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down there. It was amazing with that. I had car

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service back and forth to the arena. So they had

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a couple like uh tinted out Mercedes vans uh taking

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fighters families back and forth. Long story short, in front

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of the hotel is nothing but fans. I've never been

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on the road with the UFC, so I never saw

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anything like this before. Dude. There's so many people waiting

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at the hotel in the freezing cold, even if it's

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raining at two in the more, hoping to get a

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glimpse of a fighter, a picture with a fighter, assign something.

279
00:14:05,240 --> 00:14:07,159
And they're all right there at our hotel. Because we're

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staying at the host hotel. I get I have to

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go back to the hotel. I'm all by myself in

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this van. We're pulling up, Dude, I see like a rush,

283
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no lie, no exaggeration. Fifty plus people running to surround

284
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this van, all excited, cameras out, phones up, people like

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pens in hand. My driver comes out, opens that door.

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I've never seen such disappointment in the faces of so

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many people that it was me like they were waiting

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to see a world champion. They were waiting to see

289
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Joe Rogan type. Instead they got Yanni the Greek And

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if you saw the look of sheer, utter disappointment, Andy,

291
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my ego has never taken such a hit as on

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that night. It was unbelievable having to walk through that

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00:14:57,720 --> 00:14:59,960
crowd that was like just pushing you out of the way,

294
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hoping another van pulled up beside you. Was very humbling experience,

295
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very humbling.

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Speaker 2: Didn't I see that guy make a parlay on Contender

297
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Series last week or something? Who was that guy? What

298
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weight class does he fight in?

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Speaker 3: That's great, that's a.

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Speaker 2: That's a great story, all right, y'a. He's gonna be

301
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locked and loaded. Check back here in a little bit

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once against confirmation on everything, Y'aanni agreed. Glad to have

303
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you back, sir, have a great Monday, all right, we

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keep the show moving. Colin, I see you in the chat.

305
00:15:34,279 --> 00:15:36,639
You and I are ready for our bet tonight. Money

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00:15:36,759 --> 00:15:39,360
is coming your way. So you definitely got the best

307
00:15:39,360 --> 00:15:41,279
of the number. We're locked in at three and a half.

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Colin has the Texans three and a half. I got

309
00:15:45,039 --> 00:15:47,159
the Seahawks at three and a half. So we'll see

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if we can see see what happens after this game.

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00:15:49,799 --> 00:15:51,759
I can't believe it's so late. The game was. The

312
00:15:51,799 --> 00:15:54,039
game didn't start till late tonight. It's gonna stay up

313
00:15:54,080 --> 00:15:55,720
and watch that one just because Colin and I have

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00:15:55,759 --> 00:15:58,120
a bet going. All right, let's bring bring in Bill

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the crack Man. Bill, Happy Monday, How are you surf?

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00:16:03,120 --> 00:16:07,120
Speaker 1: Hey, good morning? Yeah boy, Yanni is smooth as silk.

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00:16:07,279 --> 00:16:09,799
Speaker 5: I think he is great on these shows, and uh,

318
00:16:10,320 --> 00:16:11,159
I've become a fan.

319
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Speaker 1: I admit I've.

320
00:16:13,080 --> 00:16:17,360
Speaker 5: Never watched shows his shows before, but you know, I

321
00:16:17,399 --> 00:16:20,200
know he's dealing with some of the biggest sindicts out

322
00:16:20,200 --> 00:16:23,399
there too, like myself. So you guys have a one

323
00:16:23,480 --> 00:16:26,120
two combination here. That's fantastic.

324
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Speaker 1: And I love his stories and his energy. Great, great deal.

325
00:16:32,600 --> 00:16:37,080
Speaker 2: Let's see Bill, let's talk real quick about Let's do

326
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a prop real quick. Let's get let's let's give people

327
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some actionable info. I got some props coming up later.

328
00:16:41,399 --> 00:16:43,120
You got a prop for tonight? Which one are you

329
00:16:43,200 --> 00:16:43,559
looking at?

330
00:16:43,960 --> 00:16:45,759
Speaker 5: I was actually gonna get a baseball prop, but I

331
00:16:45,799 --> 00:16:48,240
just got a football crop that I just put in.

332
00:16:48,440 --> 00:16:51,759
Speaker 1: So, h Baker Mayfield over is over his on his

333
00:16:51,919 --> 00:16:52,759
passing yards.

334
00:16:53,039 --> 00:16:55,720
Speaker 5: I'm looking anywhere from I see Westgates to forty two

335
00:16:55,720 --> 00:16:58,200
and a half to forty three and a half of

336
00:16:58,279 --> 00:17:00,720
the sight through forty five. I gotta go by the

337
00:17:00,759 --> 00:17:03,080
sites that are availability, so put it somewhere in the

338
00:17:03,080 --> 00:17:04,680
middle of there, over on it.

339
00:17:04,759 --> 00:17:06,279
Speaker 1: And I don't like playing overs.

340
00:17:06,319 --> 00:17:10,519
Speaker 5: Listen, I had graduated to the school of playing more

341
00:17:10,559 --> 00:17:14,119
and more over props. My props are still seventy percent

342
00:17:14,200 --> 00:17:18,240
under used to be maybe eighty eighty five percent. However,

343
00:17:18,880 --> 00:17:22,559
I think Baker's in a good spout here primetime football.

344
00:17:22,920 --> 00:17:26,119
All his wideouts are back. I think this is a

345
00:17:26,119 --> 00:17:32,200
great matchup for him. Yeah, you know, it's amazing because

346
00:17:32,839 --> 00:17:36,000
the sharps, I know, two different groups are both on

347
00:17:36,359 --> 00:17:41,559
Tampa Bay. Yet no why the money just keeps pouring

348
00:17:41,640 --> 00:17:46,119
in on Detroit. So I find it very interesting that

349
00:17:46,440 --> 00:17:49,359
this line is where it is and they just keep

350
00:17:49,359 --> 00:17:52,799
on pounding Detroit money. I know one of the shows

351
00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:55,559
I do, the sponsor of the show is a big

352
00:17:55,559 --> 00:17:58,240
sports book and they have a big presence in Michigan,

353
00:17:59,000 --> 00:18:01,880
and he said it's like eighty percent of the money.

354
00:18:01,720 --> 00:18:07,359
They cannot get anyone to bet Tampa. So I want

355
00:18:07,359 --> 00:18:10,200
to be on the sportsbook side. I want to tell

356
00:18:10,200 --> 00:18:11,599
you what else the sports books are going to be

357
00:18:11,640 --> 00:18:14,440
on tonight. The sports books are going to be begging

358
00:18:14,480 --> 00:18:16,920
for Seattle. You know, last night, I've seen the line

359
00:18:16,920 --> 00:18:21,119
come up, but my mine is a dollar twelve. It

360
00:18:21,480 --> 00:18:24,400
just because I have Seattle in a series.

361
00:18:24,480 --> 00:18:24,759
Speaker 1: Bet.

362
00:18:25,000 --> 00:18:27,839
Speaker 5: I'm to win the World Series. I'm not hedging anything tonight.

363
00:18:28,400 --> 00:18:30,079
I'm not even hedging anything, to be honest with you,

364
00:18:30,119 --> 00:18:33,160
in the World Series. So hopefully they get there and

365
00:18:33,200 --> 00:18:37,920
play the Dodgers. But I'll tell you I was contemplating

366
00:18:38,000 --> 00:18:41,599
laying that dollar twelve, just based on I know the public,

367
00:18:41,680 --> 00:18:44,319
I know the way they are. I know that they're

368
00:18:44,359 --> 00:18:46,559
going to lay the favorite And I actually said it

369
00:18:46,559 --> 00:18:48,480
to a friend of mine last night. I said, you

370
00:18:48,519 --> 00:18:50,559
know this will be a scalp by the time the

371
00:18:50,559 --> 00:18:52,400
game come now. I just see now, I see plus

372
00:18:52,400 --> 00:18:57,599
one seventeen eighteen. Silly on my on my behalf, I

373
00:18:57,640 --> 00:18:58,279
could have done.

374
00:18:58,119 --> 00:18:58,640
Speaker 1: That first guy.

375
00:18:58,680 --> 00:19:00,400
Speaker 5: I just know the public's gonna pass on them the

376
00:19:00,400 --> 00:19:05,480
next day, and we all know what happens. God protects

377
00:19:05,599 --> 00:19:09,240
the bookmaker, that's right. I know it sounds it sounds crazy,

378
00:19:09,279 --> 00:19:11,359
but God does protect the bookmaker.

379
00:19:11,400 --> 00:19:14,880
Speaker 1: INDI Ena, I've said that on multiple shows, multiple platforms,

380
00:19:15,279 --> 00:19:16,880
and yeah, so.

381
00:19:18,799 --> 00:19:21,920
Speaker 5: I'll just tell you I wouldn't be surprised to see

382
00:19:21,960 --> 00:19:26,119
Seattle pull this off tonight. But I know everyone that

383
00:19:26,240 --> 00:19:29,480
the momentum and everything is with Toronto, So I get it.

384
00:19:29,480 --> 00:19:31,440
Speaker 1: It's just one game. Anything can happen.

385
00:19:31,480 --> 00:19:34,160
Speaker 5: But so you have a couple of games here that

386
00:19:34,240 --> 00:19:37,759
the bookmakers are going to be on the favorites, Detroit

387
00:19:38,279 --> 00:19:39,079
and Toronto.

388
00:19:39,880 --> 00:19:41,960
Speaker 1: Let's see if we could just go one and one

389
00:19:42,000 --> 00:19:46,880
on those and with the dogs there, not really betting anything.

390
00:19:46,519 --> 00:19:50,160
Speaker 5: And just just just a conversational sake. What I am

391
00:19:50,200 --> 00:19:53,079
betting is I'm betting a baseball profits up on wager talk.

392
00:19:53,359 --> 00:19:54,640
Speaker 1: I'm betting some other things.

393
00:19:54,680 --> 00:19:57,880
Speaker 5: And and Andy, it's been one of those seasons in

394
00:19:57,920 --> 00:20:00,880
the NFL. And I had a great day yesterday. Was

395
00:20:01,039 --> 00:20:02,559
it was eight and two. I think it was eight

396
00:20:02,599 --> 00:20:04,920
and two on wager talk. I had a great day yesterday.

397
00:20:05,799 --> 00:20:08,680
Speaker 1: And another winning week on waiger talk. Nice winning week.

398
00:20:09,480 --> 00:20:12,519
Speaker 5: College having a great college season, you know, up like

399
00:20:12,559 --> 00:20:16,799
twelve thirteen, and it's an NFL again. Nice nice, Another

400
00:20:16,880 --> 00:20:20,440
nice day. So it's it's tough, though, man, betting those

401
00:20:20,519 --> 00:20:23,400
NFL sides. People want them, No, I know I did

402
00:20:23,400 --> 00:20:24,640
go too and oh on them yesterday.

403
00:20:24,680 --> 00:20:26,240
Speaker 1: I think I went too and oh last week too.

404
00:20:26,759 --> 00:20:29,279
It's just tough betting NFL sides.

405
00:20:29,480 --> 00:20:31,440
Speaker 5: I know everyone wants the bet sides, though, I know

406
00:20:31,519 --> 00:20:32,359
that's the thing to bet.

407
00:20:32,720 --> 00:20:34,279
Speaker 1: I focus more on prop betting.

408
00:20:34,559 --> 00:20:36,799
Speaker 5: I'm gonna put a larger percentage of my bank roll

409
00:20:37,160 --> 00:20:40,319
on the NFL player props. And I'm a broken recorder.

410
00:20:40,359 --> 00:20:42,440
I say it every week. I go to the counter

411
00:20:42,720 --> 00:20:45,240
and what can I bet on a player prop? I

412
00:20:45,279 --> 00:20:47,119
give you a perfect example of my buddy John Murray

413
00:20:47,119 --> 00:20:47,960
over there at Westgate.

414
00:20:48,319 --> 00:20:51,680
Speaker 1: They're really good to me. You know. I'm a max

415
00:20:51,720 --> 00:20:53,039
bet guy on player props.

416
00:20:53,039 --> 00:20:56,319
Speaker 5: Sign same thing with CIRCA max bet bet MGM max Bet.

417
00:20:56,519 --> 00:20:58,119
Speaker 1: I'm betting whatever they take.

418
00:20:58,240 --> 00:21:01,680
Speaker 5: So it's a perfect example out of all three of

419
00:21:01,720 --> 00:21:04,880
those giant sports books. You can go there with a

420
00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:07,880
bag full of money dumping on the counter and say

421
00:21:07,880 --> 00:21:10,119
you want to bet the Lions tonight, and if you

422
00:21:10,119 --> 00:21:12,519
have a million bucks on the counter, they're probably gonna

423
00:21:12,519 --> 00:21:14,200
take a million bucks. They have enough time to work

424
00:21:14,240 --> 00:21:16,880
with it, they're probably gonna take it. Now what happens

425
00:21:16,880 --> 00:21:19,920
on an NFL player profit? I dump all that money out, sir,

426
00:21:20,839 --> 00:21:23,559
put all that away. You only can bet a thousand bucks.

427
00:21:24,160 --> 00:21:26,279
Speaker 1: That's a fact. And that's just not only those three

428
00:21:26,319 --> 00:21:29,039
sports books. Most sports books you gotta you get a

429
00:21:29,079 --> 00:21:30,720
Mickey Mouse joint like DraftKings.

430
00:21:31,319 --> 00:21:34,200
Speaker 5: If I show up there and I show that my

431
00:21:34,319 --> 00:21:37,599
eyes are open and they take my pulse, and I

432
00:21:37,599 --> 00:21:41,119
have a pulse. Sorry, sir, you only get ten dollars.

433
00:21:41,200 --> 00:21:44,359
That's what I'm allowed to better DraftKings, so you know,

434
00:21:44,400 --> 00:21:45,759
and that's what I know a lot of people that

435
00:21:45,880 --> 00:21:48,000
have that same thing. And I know I say that

436
00:21:48,039 --> 00:21:50,400
at the risk with them, you know, having to worry

437
00:21:50,440 --> 00:21:52,920
about a future show. My God, be careful, crack. Don't

438
00:21:52,920 --> 00:21:55,319
say that. Thank God in life I'm good, and that

439
00:21:55,400 --> 00:21:58,000
I'll need your money draft kings, thank God, thank God,

440
00:21:58,000 --> 00:22:03,480
I'll need your response money. So anyway, I'm just giving fact.

441
00:22:03,599 --> 00:22:06,079
Just tell him about how the reason why I say

442
00:22:06,119 --> 00:22:10,119
all these things, I'm just saying, when it comes to

443
00:22:11,559 --> 00:22:13,039
prop limits.

444
00:22:12,880 --> 00:22:15,160
Speaker 1: There's so much more beatable. That's why they take so

445
00:22:15,279 --> 00:22:17,839
much less. So there you have it.

446
00:22:18,680 --> 00:22:21,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, DraftKings is a necessary part of my art, Like

447
00:22:21,759 --> 00:22:23,599
I have to have them, you know. Living here in Indianapolis,

448
00:22:23,599 --> 00:22:25,720
I got a couple of casinos, but those are Caesars

449
00:22:25,759 --> 00:22:28,400
that they don't offer some of the things on DraftKings.

450
00:22:28,440 --> 00:22:30,759
But I will tell you this story, Bill, this is

451
00:22:30,759 --> 00:22:35,880
a funny one. So we hit Contender Series big the

452
00:22:35,960 --> 00:22:41,119
last two weeks on DraftKings, and there's a rep here

453
00:22:41,119 --> 00:22:43,200
in India. I guess he's a VIP thing or whatever.

454
00:22:43,240 --> 00:22:45,400
I never hear from him. Yeah, So we hit Contender

455
00:22:45,440 --> 00:22:47,720
Series really big, and the next day he was like, hey,

456
00:22:47,759 --> 00:22:51,759
I put some boosts for the NFL in for you.

457
00:22:51,799 --> 00:22:55,079
Oh we went this guy to bet NFL at least

458
00:22:55,359 --> 00:22:57,119
sides and totals.

459
00:22:57,160 --> 00:22:59,000
Speaker 1: You can still bet at least you can still bet

460
00:22:59,000 --> 00:22:59,599
in your account.

461
00:22:59,799 --> 00:23:03,720
Speaker 2: It's true, it's true. I'm pretty careful with my draft.

462
00:23:04,160 --> 00:23:06,519
I'm pretty careful with all my accounts about how I

463
00:23:06,599 --> 00:23:08,799
do props and stuff to not get limited, because if

464
00:23:08,799 --> 00:23:10,640
I get limited here in Indian.

465
00:23:10,480 --> 00:23:13,440
Speaker 1: Know you you have to massage accounts.

466
00:23:13,480 --> 00:23:16,880
Speaker 5: Unfortunately, to keep them open, you have to bet NFL

467
00:23:16,960 --> 00:23:19,359
on Sunday. You have to bet things that look a

468
00:23:19,400 --> 00:23:22,960
little more square, maybe throw some parlays in there, throw

469
00:23:23,000 --> 00:23:25,240
some things that look like sucker bets. But when they

470
00:23:25,279 --> 00:23:28,119
look at your account, they say, hey, this guy's giving.

471
00:23:27,880 --> 00:23:31,400
Speaker 1: Us a little of everything. Unfortunately, that's the way you

472
00:23:31,400 --> 00:23:32,559
have to keep accounts open.

473
00:23:32,799 --> 00:23:35,599
Speaker 2: Yeah, yes, yeah, yeah. If you if you go on

474
00:23:35,640 --> 00:23:37,519
a good run on props, you better throw like an

475
00:23:37,599 --> 00:23:40,720
NBA money line parlay or an MLB money line parlay

476
00:23:40,759 --> 00:23:43,039
on like the Yankees and the Dodgers, just to throw

477
00:23:43,079 --> 00:23:44,920
them off the scin a little could do.

478
00:23:44,880 --> 00:23:47,519
Speaker 5: That too, Andy, because if you just market cap, just

479
00:23:47,559 --> 00:23:49,920
to let you know, for people that are listening here,

480
00:23:50,240 --> 00:23:53,839
if you just market cap, just look at DraftKings lines

481
00:23:54,160 --> 00:23:59,720
against like Circa Pinnacle Chris, which is you know on

482
00:24:00,079 --> 00:24:02,599
the screen there's sports for one one, but there's a

483
00:24:02,640 --> 00:24:06,799
couple other sportsbook just look against even Fandle. The Fandel

484
00:24:06,799 --> 00:24:09,519
and market guys are pretty sharp there. Fandel's definitely had

485
00:24:09,599 --> 00:24:13,960
sharp numbers, way sharper than DraftKings. So if you just

486
00:24:14,039 --> 00:24:17,720
want to make your account look better, just market cap

487
00:24:18,000 --> 00:24:20,680
and bet some things. Maybe even take a couple cents

488
00:24:20,720 --> 00:24:22,519
loss on something on Sundays.

489
00:24:22,720 --> 00:24:24,039
Speaker 1: You want to give them action on.

490
00:24:24,039 --> 00:24:27,599
Speaker 5: Sunday's NFL Sunday's side too. You want to give side

491
00:24:27,880 --> 00:24:30,279
you want to look like a you know, a complete

492
00:24:30,799 --> 00:24:31,799
you know, a piker.

493
00:24:32,319 --> 00:24:36,839
Speaker 2: Yeah, go put in the Lions tonight. That'll be a

494
00:24:36,839 --> 00:24:39,240
good one to check for the public. Like wait right

495
00:24:39,279 --> 00:24:43,279
before get the worst of the line. That that kind

496
00:24:43,279 --> 00:24:46,920
of thing.

497
00:24:45,720 --> 00:24:48,480
Speaker 5: That I just gotta you know, I still gotta bet

498
00:24:48,519 --> 00:24:52,400
something of some value I feel anyway, But these companies,

499
00:24:52,440 --> 00:24:54,440
to all of them, this goes for all of them.

500
00:24:54,480 --> 00:24:58,599
Anyone that throws anybody out. How dumb are you?

501
00:24:58,640 --> 00:24:59,000
Speaker 1: Guys?

502
00:24:59,759 --> 00:25:03,559
Speaker 5: Were we're all back in anyway, just under someone else's name.

503
00:25:04,079 --> 00:25:04,759
Speaker 1: How stupid.

504
00:25:05,200 --> 00:25:07,559
Speaker 5: Now you have to figure out who we are. You

505
00:25:07,640 --> 00:25:10,000
have to give us a nice bonus. You may even

506
00:25:10,000 --> 00:25:11,240
get a call from a rep.

507
00:25:11,599 --> 00:25:14,640
Speaker 1: Do this, do that. You're just gonna be paying to

508
00:25:14,720 --> 00:25:16,640
let us play again. Thank you for that.

509
00:25:18,039 --> 00:25:20,680
Speaker 2: What do you have for everyone on this Monday bill?

510
00:25:21,240 --> 00:25:23,920
Speaker 5: Well, I have, as we can see here on the

511
00:25:23,960 --> 00:25:27,440
wager Talk site. I'm there the passes. That's what I'm

512
00:25:27,440 --> 00:25:29,359
gonna tell you, the guys to go, not even seven days,

513
00:25:29,400 --> 00:25:33,359
seven days, ninety nine bucks, but the long term passes

514
00:25:33,799 --> 00:25:36,799
thirty days to ninety nine get You should get the

515
00:25:37,400 --> 00:25:39,279
up to the super Bowl. That's what you really need.

516
00:25:39,400 --> 00:25:43,759
I mean that includes super Bowl props. You should get

517
00:25:43,880 --> 00:25:47,000
a full package like that. But you know, anything can

518
00:25:47,039 --> 00:25:49,200
happen in one day, anything can happen.

519
00:25:48,960 --> 00:25:50,279
Speaker 1: In three days.

520
00:25:50,440 --> 00:25:53,079
Speaker 5: Now, I understand people like to do that. So it's

521
00:25:53,079 --> 00:25:56,119
a lower percent day, it's a lot less money. But

522
00:25:56,640 --> 00:25:59,480
like perfect example, I'm forty four and thirty one sixty

523
00:25:59,519 --> 00:26:00,359
percent on.

524
00:26:00,440 --> 00:26:02,640
Speaker 1: Wave your tuck. You could have cut some of those

525
00:26:02,640 --> 00:26:04,279
thirty one if you only want one day.

526
00:26:04,720 --> 00:26:07,799
Speaker 5: So my thing is is like I said, I having

527
00:26:07,839 --> 00:26:09,680
a great season on these things and I'm going to

528
00:26:09,720 --> 00:26:13,160
continue too. Here we have we have college basketball rolling around,

529
00:26:13,559 --> 00:26:17,440
we have you know, NBA player props, some great stuff

530
00:26:17,480 --> 00:26:18,200
in the works here.

531
00:26:18,440 --> 00:26:20,119
Speaker 1: You guys should get on for the long term. That's

532
00:26:20,160 --> 00:26:20,839
all I could tell you.

533
00:26:22,160 --> 00:26:25,000
Speaker 2: Bill crack Man, thank you very much. Congratulations on the

534
00:26:25,000 --> 00:26:28,000
eight and two day in the in the NFL. It's

535
00:26:28,000 --> 00:26:29,960
a great day. Can't wait to see again next Monday.

536
00:26:29,960 --> 00:26:32,319
Good luck on that prop tonight. Thank Hill. Take care

537
00:26:32,359 --> 00:26:34,759
of Bill. Thank you very much. Bill joining us every

538
00:26:34,799 --> 00:26:38,400
single week. We're gonna do some overreactions where the books

539
00:26:38,400 --> 00:26:40,759
won for the public one. We'll do some prop and

540
00:26:40,960 --> 00:26:44,039
fantasy winners and losers. Only one play in the NFL

541
00:26:44,160 --> 00:26:47,240
up for me tonight we're five and four over the

542
00:26:47,240 --> 00:26:49,720
weekend and on Thursday night. Real bummer that we lost

543
00:26:49,759 --> 00:26:53,079
on Jayden Daniels because he got hurt. Otherwise we would

544
00:26:53,119 --> 00:26:55,599
be looking at six and three going into Monday night.

545
00:26:55,640 --> 00:26:57,119
But we do have our Monday night best bet. If

546
00:26:57,160 --> 00:26:59,960
you didn't have the weekly pack, we always put our

547
00:27:00,079 --> 00:27:02,279
week pack up early so you get all plays. I

548
00:27:02,319 --> 00:27:04,039
recommend that. But if you missed out on that, grab

549
00:27:04,079 --> 00:27:05,759
the prop that's up for tonight, and we have a

550
00:27:05,799 --> 00:27:08,880
four percent cricket bet that goes off around midnight. What's

551
00:27:08,960 --> 00:27:11,920
hilarious is I thick that Monday night football game still

552
00:27:12,000 --> 00:27:15,119
might be going on while we have a bet on

553
00:27:15,160 --> 00:27:17,480
a cricket game on the other side of the planet.

554
00:27:18,359 --> 00:27:21,119
So if you want four percent cricket best bet. I

555
00:27:21,160 --> 00:27:23,359
know it's not the most exciting sexy thing, but man,

556
00:27:23,440 --> 00:27:26,079
those cash at a big rate. We're in a thirty

557
00:27:26,160 --> 00:27:27,880
seven and twenty one run in those. We hit our

558
00:27:27,920 --> 00:27:30,359
last four percent winner four and one on those. If

559
00:27:30,400 --> 00:27:32,799
you want something in the NFL game, grab that. We're

560
00:27:32,799 --> 00:27:35,160
having a pretty decent year and props really want that

561
00:27:35,200 --> 00:27:37,279
percentage up a little bit. Tell you every week Raymond

562
00:27:37,279 --> 00:27:39,519
for fifty eight fifty seven percent. We're at fifty six

563
00:27:39,559 --> 00:27:42,720
percent right now. That's over at wager talk dot com.

564
00:27:42,759 --> 00:27:46,039
Let's have a big Monday tonight, all right? Let us

565
00:27:46,200 --> 00:27:50,759
do are we overreacting? Pretty calm, slow week with are

566
00:27:50,799 --> 00:27:55,680
we overreacting? The Chiefs are Super Bowl favorites. I think

567
00:27:55,720 --> 00:27:58,079
they actually are in the betting markets now. I don't

568
00:27:58,119 --> 00:28:00,200
know how much of that's an overreaction. If that's just

569
00:28:00,240 --> 00:28:03,720
a reacting to what we're seeing Dolphins should fire the coach.

570
00:28:03,880 --> 00:28:07,599
That's by far the biggest reaction from today. And then

571
00:28:07,640 --> 00:28:11,960
the Jets should start Tyrod Taylor. Again, I don't even

572
00:28:11,960 --> 00:28:15,839
think those are that controversial, but those are the three

573
00:28:15,880 --> 00:28:18,119
that I came up with, but not that big of

574
00:28:18,200 --> 00:28:21,799
an overreacting week. So let me know in the chat

575
00:28:21,839 --> 00:28:24,640
in the comments section, what's your favorite? Are we overreacting?

576
00:28:24,720 --> 00:28:26,799
Let's take a quick look at where the books one,

577
00:28:27,319 --> 00:28:29,640
where the public one. There wasn't a whole lot of

578
00:28:29,960 --> 00:28:33,119
big time everyone's on this certain play, but I will

579
00:28:33,119 --> 00:28:35,319
tell you Lions are gonna be a big one. Where

580
00:28:35,319 --> 00:28:37,279
the books won, where the public one, depending on what

581
00:28:37,319 --> 00:28:40,599
happens there. Packers minus the points, Books one big on

582
00:28:40,680 --> 00:28:45,279
that one. Giants and the Broncos under wow. Kind of

583
00:28:45,279 --> 00:28:48,559
a tough beat thirty three points from the Broncos in

584
00:28:48,599 --> 00:28:52,000
the fourth quarter to get that way over the total

585
00:28:52,400 --> 00:28:56,920
public one on the Los Angeles Rams and Jacksonville under everything,

586
00:28:57,519 --> 00:29:03,039
Chiefs Everything, Patriots everything, Panthers, Jets on the under. So

587
00:29:03,680 --> 00:29:05,759
there was a lot of really good winners here for

588
00:29:05,920 --> 00:29:10,000
moneyline parlays. We got some survivor and Dan, I see

589
00:29:10,039 --> 00:29:15,000
you there, Dan. We both made it through in Survivor congratulations.

590
00:29:15,759 --> 00:29:18,319
Dan went with the Chiefs. I went with the Patriots.

591
00:29:18,400 --> 00:29:21,680
Even though I won an advance, I still have a regret.

592
00:29:21,839 --> 00:29:25,559
It was always the Browns. It was always fading to

593
00:29:25,759 --> 00:29:31,839
a in Cleveland in rain and wind. He was laughingly

594
00:29:32,000 --> 00:29:35,880
bad that one. I'm and remember I was beating the

595
00:29:35,920 --> 00:29:38,359
drum about the Panthers. I could have won that one.

596
00:29:38,640 --> 00:29:40,960
But just watching that Browns Dolphins game, you could tell

597
00:29:40,960 --> 00:29:43,119
real quick it was just like, God, this one's over.

598
00:29:43,279 --> 00:29:47,480
Speaker 6: But hey, yeah, but do you understand how heartbroken Andy,

599
00:29:47,599 --> 00:29:51,880
you would have been if you lost in Week seven

600
00:29:52,200 --> 00:29:56,000
on the Cleveland Browns on Dylan on Dylan Gabriel's Cleveland Browns,

601
00:29:56,000 --> 00:29:58,640
Like you wouldn't have been able to accept that. So

602
00:29:59,160 --> 00:30:01,599
I go with the biggest favorite. You take a little

603
00:30:01,640 --> 00:30:03,720
bit more of a cheeky play, But that was the

604
00:30:03,799 --> 00:30:07,119
right side the whole time. Now, were you nervous when

605
00:30:07,119 --> 00:30:09,440
the Titans jumped out to a lead in that game

606
00:30:09,559 --> 00:30:11,759
or were you just like, now the cream shall rise

607
00:30:11,839 --> 00:30:12,440
in the hop here.

608
00:30:12,920 --> 00:30:14,799
Speaker 2: No, it was one of those where you could tell

609
00:30:14,839 --> 00:30:18,680
the scripted plays looked great. And what I loved was

610
00:30:18,720 --> 00:30:21,039
how the Patriots just didn't get this is this is

611
00:30:21,119 --> 00:30:24,440
the difference between a good coach like Veryble and what

612
00:30:24,480 --> 00:30:26,839
they had last year. They didn't crack under that pressure.

613
00:30:26,920 --> 00:30:29,640
Tennessee came out with that the energy and the Patriots

614
00:30:29,640 --> 00:30:31,359
were like, no, no, no, we're gonna answer you. And

615
00:30:31,400 --> 00:30:33,920
when they answered right back, I was like, oh, Tennessee's

616
00:30:34,000 --> 00:30:37,319
just emptied out everything they have and it was it

617
00:30:37,400 --> 00:30:41,160
was gone. I'll tell you where I was laughing Dan was.

618
00:30:41,359 --> 00:30:43,039
I was like, what if I would have taken the

619
00:30:43,039 --> 00:30:45,680
Panthers to fade Justin Fields and then they pull him

620
00:30:45,880 --> 00:30:48,519
and I lose to Tyrod Taylor would have been well,

621
00:30:48,559 --> 00:30:50,759
I don't that would have been the world would have

622
00:30:50,839 --> 00:30:51,480
been funny.

623
00:30:51,599 --> 00:30:54,559
Speaker 6: But as one of the commenters pointed out, you know,

624
00:30:55,119 --> 00:30:58,200
Tyrod Taylor might have been worse than Justin Fields, which

625
00:30:58,240 --> 00:31:03,640
which actually feels like that would be physically impossible to

626
00:31:03,680 --> 00:31:07,200
be worse than Justin Fields, who had a net negative

627
00:31:07,519 --> 00:31:10,880
ten yards when he was over the pond. Yeah, not

628
00:31:10,880 --> 00:31:14,480
not too great there, But but Andy, I mean, this

629
00:31:14,680 --> 00:31:18,279
was just one of those weeks where it just felt

630
00:31:18,319 --> 00:31:23,599
like what was supposed to happen happened. Except the teams

631
00:31:23,599 --> 00:31:26,960
who I decided to lay points with, like the Broncos,

632
00:31:27,039 --> 00:31:30,119
they win they don't cover, you know, so, so it

633
00:31:30,200 --> 00:31:32,839
was just like it was a really good, Oh, this

634
00:31:32,880 --> 00:31:34,720
is the week when everything's gonna happen the way that

635
00:31:34,759 --> 00:31:37,599
way that it should. However, it did not happen in

636
00:31:37,640 --> 00:31:41,039
the fashion it was expected to happen, if that makes sense,

637
00:31:41,119 --> 00:31:44,079
And that's why the point spread is that ultimate equalizer.

638
00:31:45,119 --> 00:31:48,720
Speaker 2: Absolutely. How many tickets had denver So in the contest,

639
00:31:48,799 --> 00:31:51,920
Dan and Iron about nine percent advance, So that would

640
00:31:51,920 --> 00:31:54,240
have been a sizeable Yeah, it would have been a

641
00:31:54,319 --> 00:31:56,880
nice that would have been a really nice little cash

642
00:31:56,920 --> 00:31:59,200
on that one. But it was all Patriots. It was

643
00:31:59,240 --> 00:32:02,279
all Chiefs when you know, pretty.

644
00:32:02,000 --> 00:32:04,720
Speaker 6: Each Yeah, and look ahead for this week, and then

645
00:32:04,720 --> 00:32:07,079
we'll get Steve Marilyn here because I know people want

646
00:32:07,079 --> 00:32:07,480
to get.

647
00:32:07,319 --> 00:32:09,880
Speaker 2: His thoughts on the Game seven action tonight.

648
00:32:10,079 --> 00:32:12,960
Speaker 6: And if you really want some some deep dives by Steve,

649
00:32:13,000 --> 00:32:14,759
you can also check out the channel because he has

650
00:32:14,839 --> 00:32:18,039
a double gamer on the Monday night football games that

651
00:32:18,079 --> 00:32:19,839
we have recorded last week, so you can get thoughts

652
00:32:19,920 --> 00:32:21,680
on both of them. I'll give you some thoughts on

653
00:32:21,680 --> 00:32:23,799
one here, but a little bit of a look ahead Andy.

654
00:32:24,920 --> 00:32:27,559
This one kind of feels like an easier week to

655
00:32:27,680 --> 00:32:31,880
pick survivor So you know what one that kind of

656
00:32:31,920 --> 00:32:35,240
stands out to me and maybe taken a shot, is

657
00:32:36,240 --> 00:32:38,000
I think the Ravens are gonna win out of the

658
00:32:38,000 --> 00:32:39,440
buy here against the Bears.

659
00:32:39,839 --> 00:32:42,119
Speaker 2: I think I think maybe you maybe you.

660
00:32:42,160 --> 00:32:45,880
Speaker 6: Want to see a week where do we know if

661
00:32:45,880 --> 00:32:48,160
the Ravens are going to have a second half emergence.

662
00:32:48,160 --> 00:32:50,279
But if there's one team who I think is going

663
00:32:50,319 --> 00:32:52,240
to look much different than the first half of the

664
00:32:52,240 --> 00:32:54,079
season for him, I think it's going to be the

665
00:32:54,079 --> 00:32:58,039
Baltimore Ravens. And it's a really good sell high spot

666
00:32:58,079 --> 00:33:00,519
on a Bears team. This is the hottest run that

667
00:33:00,519 --> 00:33:03,839
the Bears have had probably in recent memory.

668
00:33:04,160 --> 00:33:05,240
Speaker 2: I mean, when was the last time.

669
00:33:05,160 --> 00:33:07,759
Speaker 6: You were talking about a winning streak for a Chicago

670
00:33:07,759 --> 00:33:09,920
Bears team and a winning streak where they look pretty good.

671
00:33:10,960 --> 00:33:12,960
So I think this could be a good fade spot

672
00:33:13,000 --> 00:33:16,599
for him. I'm certainly going to be having Baltimore Ravens

673
00:33:16,640 --> 00:33:19,200
down and some teasers, but I think they might even

674
00:33:19,240 --> 00:33:22,519
be a play for me as a circle type great one.

675
00:33:22,920 --> 00:33:25,079
Speaker 2: It's a great one. I actually want to save Ravens

676
00:33:25,200 --> 00:33:27,559
roll the dice that I get that, because see if

677
00:33:27,559 --> 00:33:30,039
they really do have that, if they start winning games,

678
00:33:30,039 --> 00:33:32,640
they are going to be a juggernaut later on. And

679
00:33:32,680 --> 00:33:36,160
they got home. They got home at Brown's home Jets

680
00:33:36,160 --> 00:33:38,880
in week twelve and the big one. You know, if

681
00:33:38,920 --> 00:33:41,359
you're worried about that. Thanksgiving week they are home to

682
00:33:41,400 --> 00:33:44,440
the Bengals. You know, the Bengals is okay, whatever, But

683
00:33:44,599 --> 00:33:48,039
Joe Flacco in December, I'm not really sure about that one.

684
00:33:48,480 --> 00:33:51,440
Colts are going to be the huge one for the Titans.

685
00:33:51,480 --> 00:33:54,519
We've used them though, but yeah, there are falcons off

686
00:33:54,519 --> 00:33:57,839
of a loss home to the Dolphins. I kind of

687
00:33:57,880 --> 00:33:58,200
like that.

688
00:33:58,960 --> 00:34:01,720
Speaker 6: I can't believe it's Monday morning and Mike McDaniel still

689
00:34:01,759 --> 00:34:04,240
has a job. Like that feels like they're just punched state,

690
00:34:04,400 --> 00:34:05,680
you know what I mean. It's like, what's the point

691
00:34:05,680 --> 00:34:07,480
of firing them? What are we gonna do? Go out

692
00:34:07,519 --> 00:34:09,840
and start our hiring spree here in week eight? No,

693
00:34:09,960 --> 00:34:12,920
it's not gonna happen. So I don't know. They looked

694
00:34:13,000 --> 00:34:15,719
so disinterested in that game, man, and not only because

695
00:34:15,760 --> 00:34:18,800
it was raining. I mean, there there's a locker room

696
00:34:18,840 --> 00:34:21,320
that doesn't believe in their quarterback, and there's a coach

697
00:34:21,360 --> 00:34:25,760
who I have zero expectations or thoughts that if there's

698
00:34:25,800 --> 00:34:27,480
a guy who could bring a team back to a

699
00:34:27,519 --> 00:34:28,760
fold who's completely lost.

700
00:34:29,000 --> 00:34:32,280
Speaker 3: Mike McDaniel and his capri pants, aren't you guys wearing?

701
00:34:32,519 --> 00:34:32,960
Speaker 2: Yeah?

702
00:34:34,119 --> 00:34:36,079
Speaker 6: They lost so bad because he didn't get to wear

703
00:34:36,119 --> 00:34:38,559
his joggers. That's why they were because he wasn't in

704
00:34:38,599 --> 00:34:39,360
his joggers.

705
00:34:39,400 --> 00:34:40,400
Speaker 1: That's why they looked.

706
00:34:40,199 --> 00:34:43,320
Speaker 2: So big ass hood in the sunglasses. He looked like

707
00:34:43,360 --> 00:34:44,079
the bomber.

708
00:34:44,199 --> 00:34:47,239
Speaker 6: He looked like and all he has done is bomb Miami.

709
00:34:48,519 --> 00:34:55,079
Speaker 2: He's a point spread bomber. Here's a sneaky one. I

710
00:34:55,119 --> 00:34:58,679
wanted to take the Panthers. What about the Bengals home

711
00:34:58,719 --> 00:35:02,400
to the Jets. Team looked like a brand new team,

712
00:35:02,679 --> 00:35:03,519
brand new life.

713
00:35:04,039 --> 00:35:07,079
Speaker 6: It's so funny because we always are like, well, you know,

714
00:35:07,159 --> 00:35:09,599
this team isn't gonna go oh in seventeen.

715
00:35:09,199 --> 00:35:09,719
Speaker 2: You know what I mean?

716
00:35:09,760 --> 00:35:11,719
Speaker 6: Like we always say that about that time when you're

717
00:35:11,719 --> 00:35:14,519
trying to find the spot exactly are we sure that

718
00:35:14,719 --> 00:35:15,440
the Jets.

719
00:35:15,159 --> 00:35:17,000
Speaker 3: Aren't gonna go seventeen?

720
00:35:18,159 --> 00:35:19,639
Speaker 6: Can do good there in New York.

721
00:35:19,920 --> 00:35:21,400
Speaker 2: I'm gonna wait and see what the health is of

722
00:35:21,440 --> 00:35:24,039
Garrett Wilson. If there's no Garrett Wilson, I think I

723
00:35:24,119 --> 00:35:27,360
am taking the Bengals. They cannot move the ball at

724
00:35:27,519 --> 00:35:30,840
all in the slightest but we survive in advance. We're

725
00:35:30,880 --> 00:35:33,719
down to just under eight thousand people in that contest.

726
00:35:34,119 --> 00:35:37,400
I believe we started with pointing out I don't think.

727
00:35:37,519 --> 00:35:40,840
Speaker 6: I don't think Corey Hart's sunglasses at night had a

728
00:35:40,880 --> 00:35:44,760
refrain of he wears his sunglasses in the rain, in.

729
00:35:44,679 --> 00:35:50,840
Speaker 2: The rain in forty degrees overcast rain, just so so ridiculous.

730
00:35:50,880 --> 00:35:55,360
So all right, let's bring in Oh, somebody asked about

731
00:35:55,559 --> 00:36:00,639
is there a book proxy? Is they're a book where

732
00:36:00,679 --> 00:36:02,880
your players get hurt on a player prop, it cancels

733
00:36:02,920 --> 00:36:06,119
the bet. As much as I despise this rule, it's

734
00:36:06,159 --> 00:36:08,639
not just a couple of books. Draft Kings does it,

735
00:36:08,679 --> 00:36:12,159
bet MGM does it. I believe somebody said Prize Picks

736
00:36:12,199 --> 00:36:14,639
does it and such, and yeah, it's kind of thrown

737
00:36:14,679 --> 00:36:18,360
some chaos. We had unofficial client play that had to

738
00:36:18,360 --> 00:36:21,360
be voided because it got played on Draft Kings. That

739
00:36:21,440 --> 00:36:23,639
was where he pulled the prop, and they voided it, like,

740
00:36:23,760 --> 00:36:27,480
let's bring in Steve Merrill on this one. H Steve

741
00:36:29,639 --> 00:36:32,320
this and it should have been a loss. Our player

742
00:36:32,360 --> 00:36:35,480
got hurt early, and yet we had to put it

743
00:36:35,519 --> 00:36:39,079
down as a void because that's what DraftKings and BETEMGM

744
00:36:39,239 --> 00:36:42,360
and all these other ones did. I really, I really

745
00:36:42,360 --> 00:36:44,480
hate that books can just decide when to avoid a

746
00:36:44,519 --> 00:36:47,920
bet randomly, because that gives them permission to do whatever

747
00:36:47,920 --> 00:36:51,440
they want randomly. They can just change the rules. That's

748
00:36:51,480 --> 00:36:54,480
the that's the that's the dirty secret about when they

749
00:36:54,519 --> 00:36:55,599
get to do stuff like that.

750
00:36:56,119 --> 00:36:57,400
Speaker 7: It's a slippery slope.

751
00:36:57,519 --> 00:37:00,440
Speaker 2: Slippery slope exactly, that's exactly right.

752
00:37:00,559 --> 00:37:03,119
Speaker 7: So don't catch falling knives and don't step on slippery

753
00:37:03,119 --> 00:37:05,440
slopes or don't interact. Yeah, I mean it's always been

754
00:37:05,440 --> 00:37:08,039
if a guy starts or plays even right in a

755
00:37:08,079 --> 00:37:10,840
game like the prop is action and that's where a

756
00:37:10,880 --> 00:37:13,039
Porter's brother that's banned from the NBA. You know he

757
00:37:13,039 --> 00:37:14,440
would play for what a couple of minutes for the

758
00:37:14,519 --> 00:37:17,400
Raptors and yes, say under the total. And that's that's

759
00:37:17,440 --> 00:37:18,719
just how it is. I mean, I think you got

760
00:37:18,719 --> 00:37:20,920
to have uniform The one nice thing about when Vegas

761
00:37:21,000 --> 00:37:23,000
was the only shop in town for decades is that

762
00:37:23,079 --> 00:37:26,400
they had the gaming commission and everything was kind of uniformed.

763
00:37:26,840 --> 00:37:30,000
But like you said, FanDuel DraftKings, well, Ben MVM still

764
00:37:30,039 --> 00:37:31,480
is kind of Vegas, but you know they've gotten so

765
00:37:31,599 --> 00:37:33,440
big now that they can kind of do what they want.

766
00:37:33,719 --> 00:37:35,079
And as you know, Andy, a lot of it's just

767
00:37:35,159 --> 00:37:38,239
customer service, customer retention. You know, they'll give a little

768
00:37:38,239 --> 00:37:40,320
bit of a refund on that's known that they'll come

769
00:37:40,360 --> 00:37:42,280
back and play again. So there's a lot of marketing

770
00:37:42,280 --> 00:37:44,079
involved as well.

771
00:37:44,480 --> 00:37:48,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean even tennis. Different sports books have different

772
00:37:48,960 --> 00:37:51,360
rules for tennis, so you have to play them on

773
00:37:51,400 --> 00:37:53,559
the right books. It's it's ridiculous. All right, let's get

774
00:37:53,599 --> 00:37:57,199
into some actionable information. We're going to talk about the

775
00:37:57,239 --> 00:37:59,440
Mariners and Blue Jays, but first let's talk about this

776
00:37:59,519 --> 00:38:02,320
Texans in Seahawks. I will tell you I have a

777
00:38:02,360 --> 00:38:05,800
bet going with Colin in our chat. I bet I

778
00:38:05,880 --> 00:38:08,159
have three and a half. I love the Seahawks. He

779
00:38:08,360 --> 00:38:10,559
likes the Texans. I am two and two in the

780
00:38:10,559 --> 00:38:13,320
pick five contest. I'm bet online this will determine if

781
00:38:13,360 --> 00:38:16,440
I go three and two or two and three. Money

782
00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:19,719
has come in kind of making a big statement here.

783
00:38:19,760 --> 00:38:21,800
Seattle's down to minus three with the over under a

784
00:38:21,840 --> 00:38:23,360
forty one. How do you break this game down?

785
00:38:24,599 --> 00:38:26,639
Speaker 7: So this was the most public player of the week.

786
00:38:26,639 --> 00:38:28,519
And let me just disclaim first of all by saying

787
00:38:28,519 --> 00:38:30,199
that the public finally did well this week. They had

788
00:38:30,239 --> 00:38:32,519
lost five of the first six weeks. In my video fading,

789
00:38:32,559 --> 00:38:35,119
the public had gone eighteen and nine sixty seven percent

790
00:38:35,159 --> 00:38:37,880
this season and the five years I've been doing that video.

791
00:38:37,920 --> 00:38:39,880
And I pointed this out, is that it was the

792
00:38:39,960 --> 00:38:43,199
least public week I've ever seen. The public consensus across

793
00:38:43,199 --> 00:38:46,199
the board. It was very minimal, leaning towards several dogs

794
00:38:46,239 --> 00:38:48,519
even and lo and behold, what did the public do?

795
00:38:48,599 --> 00:38:51,760
They went three and zero on Sunday, so they were

796
00:38:51,840 --> 00:38:54,400
due for a good weekend andy, But once again, the

797
00:38:54,400 --> 00:38:57,199
consensus was at a really eight a five year low

798
00:38:57,239 --> 00:38:59,880
this weekend with that set. Of the four games that

799
00:39:00,079 --> 00:39:03,000
republic the most public this week was the Seahawks, so

800
00:39:03,039 --> 00:39:04,280
we'll see if they go for the four to oh

801
00:39:04,360 --> 00:39:06,960
sweep tonight. And here's what's funny. Of the four public

802
00:39:07,039 --> 00:39:08,760
plays this week, this is the one I didn't really

803
00:39:08,760 --> 00:39:11,239
disagree with. I don't know if that's good or bad.

804
00:39:11,960 --> 00:39:15,840
I really couldn't come up with a case for the Patriots, Texans, Patriots, Titans.

805
00:39:16,559 --> 00:39:18,440
Public was all over New England. I wanted nothing to

806
00:39:18,440 --> 00:39:19,920
do with Tennessee and when they were up early, I

807
00:39:19,920 --> 00:39:21,639
was like, ah, maybe we should have faded the public there,

808
00:39:21,639 --> 00:39:24,440
and we saw how that turned out. Saints Bears was

809
00:39:24,480 --> 00:39:27,119
the other public was on the Bears. I actually did

810
00:39:27,199 --> 00:39:28,599
think that was a spot to fade them. That did

811
00:39:28,639 --> 00:39:30,000
not work out. I went two and zero my other

812
00:39:30,079 --> 00:39:32,519
NFL best bets on Sunday, by the way, and then

813
00:39:32,559 --> 00:39:36,440
Broncos Giants. Giants were a real public dog Sunday, and

814
00:39:36,480 --> 00:39:38,480
I was tempted by the Broncos. I ended up putting

815
00:39:38,480 --> 00:39:40,280
it up as a free opinion only for everybody, and

816
00:39:40,280 --> 00:39:42,239
I was kind of glad I did, because obviously they

817
00:39:42,239 --> 00:39:44,519
were never close to covering. So we'll see if the

818
00:39:44,559 --> 00:39:46,320
public goes four and O. And I actually agree with

819
00:39:46,320 --> 00:39:48,000
the Seattle side, But as I pointed out in my

820
00:39:48,079 --> 00:39:50,760
video this weekend, it really depends on the number. And

821
00:39:50,760 --> 00:39:52,639
you just kind of hinted at that. We've had three

822
00:39:52,719 --> 00:39:54,599
and three and a half's popping back and forth all

823
00:39:54,639 --> 00:39:55,840
weekend long endo Monday.

824
00:39:55,880 --> 00:39:56,159
Speaker 1: Here.

825
00:39:56,760 --> 00:39:59,480
Speaker 7: If you like Houston, you can get a plus three

826
00:39:59,519 --> 00:40:02,480
and a half. If you like Seattle, you lay minus three,

827
00:40:02,960 --> 00:40:04,719
and there's about a nine to Actually I'll say there's

828
00:40:04,760 --> 00:40:08,159
a ten percent chance Seattle wins by exactly three to nine.

829
00:40:08,159 --> 00:40:09,679
The reason I say that is because this is a

830
00:40:09,800 --> 00:40:12,920
very low total. It's forty one, very low total, and

831
00:40:12,960 --> 00:40:15,000
by the way, forty one is an extremely key number

832
00:40:15,039 --> 00:40:17,519
with over unders about a three to four percent chance

833
00:40:17,519 --> 00:40:20,599
this game lands on exactly forty one points, so you

834
00:40:20,679 --> 00:40:22,719
really need to shop around. There are some forty one

835
00:40:22,760 --> 00:40:24,400
and a half's out there for the total as well,

836
00:40:24,440 --> 00:40:25,840
So if you like the under, you get a forty

837
00:40:25,840 --> 00:40:27,519
one and a half. You like the over, you get

838
00:40:27,519 --> 00:40:29,760
a forty one. I would not be shocked if either

839
00:40:29,760 --> 00:40:31,880
the side or total lands exactly on the number tonight.

840
00:40:32,519 --> 00:40:34,639
As you can tell, I'm not huge on this game.

841
00:40:34,920 --> 00:40:37,159
I would lean Seattle at minus three or less. I

842
00:40:37,199 --> 00:40:41,039
think they're the better team. Texans defense has been fantastic.

843
00:40:41,039 --> 00:40:42,960
What are they giving up like twelve point two points

844
00:40:42,960 --> 00:40:46,800
per game this season? I think that increases Tonight looks

845
00:40:46,840 --> 00:40:49,440
like a good spot for Seattle at minus three or less.

846
00:40:49,519 --> 00:40:51,000
It's just I'm a little hesitant because they are a

847
00:40:51,079 --> 00:40:51,760
very public side.

848
00:40:51,800 --> 00:40:52,119
Speaker 1: Tonight.

849
00:40:54,360 --> 00:40:56,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, this will be an interesting game. I just I

850
00:40:56,760 --> 00:40:59,280
watched the Houston Texans a lot, and this isn't even

851
00:40:59,280 --> 00:41:01,159
a crunching numbers, just the eye test. I don't think

852
00:41:01,159 --> 00:41:03,679
they're that good. They've beaten a couple of chump teams

853
00:41:03,719 --> 00:41:06,000
and I'm just not sold on them. So the offensive

854
00:41:06,000 --> 00:41:09,159
line is a wreck, so I will see how that goes.

855
00:41:09,960 --> 00:41:13,360
Game seven. We all love Game sevens. It's huge. Did

856
00:41:13,360 --> 00:41:15,880
a show with Andrew mcginnits earlier. He was wearing his

857
00:41:15,960 --> 00:41:19,239
Toronto Blue Jay's shirt, so we got Mariners who got

858
00:41:19,239 --> 00:41:21,599
blue Jay's yon. He talked about how he's got a

859
00:41:21,679 --> 00:41:25,639
Mariner's ticket that's got forty units pending. He's tried to

860
00:41:25,639 --> 00:41:28,280
figure out how to hedge on it. He got Kirby

861
00:41:28,320 --> 00:41:31,559
for Seattle, who absolutely got shelled last start, but he

862
00:41:31,599 --> 00:41:33,599
was decent the previous two starts. I went back and

863
00:41:33,599 --> 00:41:36,400
looked kind of fifty to fifty. How he rebounds. He's

864
00:41:36,440 --> 00:41:39,920
done okay after a bad start, but a lot of

865
00:41:39,920 --> 00:41:41,960
pressure here. And then he got Bieber for Toronto. Eight

866
00:41:41,960 --> 00:41:44,239
point two innings pitched in the playoffs. He's only allowed

867
00:41:44,559 --> 00:41:47,920
four earned runs. You got Toronto as a favorite, not surprisingly,

868
00:41:48,159 --> 00:41:51,880
they have the momentum if you believe in momentum coming

869
00:41:51,920 --> 00:41:54,119
into the game, big game. How do you break this

870
00:41:54,159 --> 00:41:54,559
one down?

871
00:41:55,159 --> 00:41:56,760
Speaker 7: Well, I was kind of hoping. I didn't have anything

872
00:41:56,840 --> 00:41:58,480
last night, but I was kind of hoping Seattle close

873
00:41:58,519 --> 00:42:00,719
it out so we could talk about World Ties instead

874
00:42:00,719 --> 00:42:02,679
of Game seven here, because it's hard not to like

875
00:42:02,719 --> 00:42:04,679
the Dodgers first of all in the World Series, and

876
00:42:05,239 --> 00:42:07,960
there are some advanced prices by the way, they have

877
00:42:08,079 --> 00:42:11,719
the matchups for both series at bet online, and Dodgers

878
00:42:11,760 --> 00:42:15,519
are minus two forty five against either Seattle or Toronto.

879
00:42:15,559 --> 00:42:17,760
If Faniel's got a much better price on the futures,

880
00:42:17,760 --> 00:42:20,079
they've got the Dodgers at minus two to ten overall,

881
00:42:20,559 --> 00:42:22,760
minus two to fifteen against the Blue Jays, minus two

882
00:42:22,840 --> 00:42:24,679
hundred against the Mariners. I guess the thought there is

883
00:42:24,679 --> 00:42:27,280
if Seattle pulls the upset here in Game seven, they're

884
00:42:27,320 --> 00:42:29,800
a slightly stronger opponent. But this is gonna be one

885
00:42:29,800 --> 00:42:31,800
of the biggest mismatches we've seen in the World Series.

886
00:42:31,800 --> 00:42:33,480
And I'm actually shocked that we can get the Dodgers

887
00:42:33,480 --> 00:42:35,760
at like minus two ten right now. So I will say,

888
00:42:36,199 --> 00:42:38,440
despite whoever wins this game tonight, go and lock in

889
00:42:38,480 --> 00:42:41,239
the Dodgers at minus two ten. One of the best

890
00:42:41,280 --> 00:42:43,840
teams in baseball ever coming into the season, they underachieved

891
00:42:43,920 --> 00:42:46,519
quite a bit, but as my Dodger insider in a

892
00:42:46,519 --> 00:42:48,679
great American Justin Brisky keeps pointing out to me they

893
00:42:48,719 --> 00:42:50,760
are on a roll. He looked it up and said

894
00:42:50,840 --> 00:42:53,039
it was the best lowest era in the history of

895
00:42:53,079 --> 00:42:55,440
September ever for a team. I haven't looked that far,

896
00:42:55,519 --> 00:42:58,039
but they were pretty damn good. And now that Otani

897
00:42:58,079 --> 00:43:00,199
is available to pitch, as we saw in game four

898
00:43:00,280 --> 00:43:03,119
the other night, better look out as far as this

899
00:43:03,239 --> 00:43:05,960
game goes to night game seven once again, I feel

900
00:43:06,000 --> 00:43:07,639
like these two teams are playing for runner up, but

901
00:43:07,639 --> 00:43:09,719
they want to win the American League Championship Series. And

902
00:43:09,719 --> 00:43:13,119
I'm not a conspiracy guy, but if I was, I'd

903
00:43:13,159 --> 00:43:16,360
have to say MLB probably wants a Canadian USA matchup.

904
00:43:16,400 --> 00:43:19,280
I can't imagine they want Seattle La. Toronto La is

905
00:43:19,320 --> 00:43:22,039
a huge matchup. I'm not gonna say they're gonna get

906
00:43:22,039 --> 00:43:24,320
some beneficial calls, but the Blue Jays are favored for

907
00:43:24,320 --> 00:43:25,960
a reason, and that's also because they've had a strong

908
00:43:26,000 --> 00:43:28,880
home field. Both these teams have had losing records in

909
00:43:28,880 --> 00:43:30,599
the regular season on the road, and they both were

910
00:43:30,599 --> 00:43:33,719
like forty games above five hundred combined at home. So

911
00:43:33,840 --> 00:43:35,519
of course, what happened while the road team won the

912
00:43:35,519 --> 00:43:37,519
first four games in this series, but we have seen

913
00:43:37,559 --> 00:43:39,800
things get back to normal a little bit of the

914
00:43:39,880 --> 00:43:43,280
last few games. Toronto one game actually, I'm sorry, Seattle

915
00:43:43,320 --> 00:43:45,840
one game five at home, Toronto one game six at

916
00:43:45,840 --> 00:43:47,800
home last night, of course, so the home team is

917
00:43:47,800 --> 00:43:49,880
now two to zero after going zero to four. I

918
00:43:49,880 --> 00:43:52,559
think that continues. If you're gonna play this, you want

919
00:43:52,559 --> 00:43:54,400
to lay with the Blue Jays. The big concern for

920
00:43:54,440 --> 00:43:56,000
Toronto and the reason they've had to go to a

921
00:43:56,000 --> 00:43:58,920
game seven here in their ten playoff games, their bullpen

922
00:43:58,960 --> 00:44:02,679
has been horrendous this postseason, and it's really remarkable they're

923
00:44:02,679 --> 00:44:04,280
even in a spot to play in the World Series.

924
00:44:04,320 --> 00:44:06,599
They're just five and five straight up in the ten

925
00:44:06,679 --> 00:44:09,480
playoff games and they have a bullpen era of over

926
00:44:09,599 --> 00:44:13,960
six point zero in the postseason. Seattle three point nine seven,

927
00:44:14,039 --> 00:44:15,880
not great, but their whip is one point one to eight.

928
00:44:16,079 --> 00:44:18,559
Toronto's is one point five nine, which is a terrible whip.

929
00:44:18,599 --> 00:44:20,639
So you could hedge the Blue Jays a little bit

930
00:44:21,280 --> 00:44:24,360
with the over tonight over seven and a half over eight.

931
00:44:24,920 --> 00:44:27,239
We're not getting that key number of seven though. As

932
00:44:27,239 --> 00:44:30,000
far as the pitchers in this game, George Kirby, as

933
00:44:30,039 --> 00:44:32,519
Andy Lang mentioned, is coming off a terrible start, giving

934
00:44:32,599 --> 00:44:35,800
up eight runs and just four innings pretty solid before that,

935
00:44:35,880 --> 00:44:37,800
something I point out a lot in my late season

936
00:44:37,920 --> 00:44:40,280
baseball videos and analysis. I like to look at pitch

937
00:44:40,320 --> 00:44:43,239
count or more more importantly, innings pitched at this point,

938
00:44:43,400 --> 00:44:45,159
because some of these guys have never gone this deep

939
00:44:45,199 --> 00:44:48,519
into a season. Kirby last year in the regular season,

940
00:44:48,559 --> 00:44:50,320
win one hundred and ninety one innings, win one hundred

941
00:44:50,360 --> 00:44:52,199
and ninety the year before that. This year in the

942
00:44:52,239 --> 00:44:54,360
regular season, he only pitched one hundred and twenty six,

943
00:44:54,400 --> 00:44:56,440
so I do think he'll probably have a decent outing tonight.

944
00:44:56,800 --> 00:44:59,639
And then Shane Bieber twelve innings last year and only

945
00:44:59,679 --> 00:45:01,480
forty this year after coming back from the injury when

946
00:45:01,480 --> 00:45:03,559
he had one hundred and twenty eight innings in twenty

947
00:45:03,599 --> 00:45:05,400
twenty three. So I'm a little lukewarm in the over

948
00:45:05,480 --> 00:45:08,119
for that reason, because I think both pictures have solid

949
00:45:08,119 --> 00:45:11,000
outings here tonight. Therefore, I would rather have this side

950
00:45:11,000 --> 00:45:12,840
in this game, and I just feel like Toronto's going

951
00:45:12,920 --> 00:45:15,960
to advance. And while home field advantage in baseball might

952
00:45:16,000 --> 00:45:19,039
be a little overrated, it's only about batting ninth, batting last,

953
00:45:19,039 --> 00:45:21,480
and the ninth strategically, there will be a little bit

954
00:45:21,519 --> 00:45:22,880
of a crowd element and those of you that are

955
00:45:22,880 --> 00:45:25,119
old enough to remember the early nineties, I remember the

956
00:45:25,119 --> 00:45:28,800
old SkyDome, Joe Carter and company. That place was rocking,

957
00:45:29,119 --> 00:45:31,239
and I think it will be a substantial home field

958
00:45:31,280 --> 00:45:34,000
advantage to Night in Game seven, plus the strategic edge

959
00:45:34,039 --> 00:45:36,119
of batting last in what could be a tight game.

960
00:45:36,400 --> 00:45:37,639
If you're going to play it, I would lay it

961
00:45:37,639 --> 00:45:39,559
with the Toronto Blue Jays minus a dollar twenty five

962
00:45:39,599 --> 00:45:42,320
minus a dollar thirty a bigger picture, lay it with

963
00:45:42,360 --> 00:45:44,400
the Dodgers minus two ten to win the whole thing.

964
00:45:44,679 --> 00:45:46,199
I thought that price is going to be three or

965
00:45:46,199 --> 00:45:48,760
four to one. By the way, real quick, if you're

966
00:45:48,760 --> 00:45:51,320
liking these videos, thumbs up, like, if you're liking the

967
00:45:51,360 --> 00:45:54,800
show's thumbs up like, subscribe over two hundred and twenty

968
00:45:54,840 --> 00:45:57,679
six thousand subscribers to wager Talk TV. Can't be wrong,

969
00:45:58,000 --> 00:46:00,320
and click that bell for an instant alert. I've got

970
00:46:00,360 --> 00:46:03,039
a double Monday Night football video up here, give you

971
00:46:03,079 --> 00:46:05,400
both the Niners and the Under and Sunday Night for free.

972
00:46:05,480 --> 00:46:08,559
We cashed again on Thursday with the Bengals Steelers easy

973
00:46:08,599 --> 00:46:11,519
over now seven and one of the Thursday Night Prime videos.

974
00:46:11,679 --> 00:46:14,679
I'll have every weeknight college football game this week and

975
00:46:14,800 --> 00:46:16,920
all the primetime NFL games for free here. All you

976
00:46:16,960 --> 00:46:18,880
got to do is subscribe and click the Bill and

977
00:46:18,920 --> 00:46:21,000
hey a thumbs up, like keeps these videos coming as

978
00:46:21,039 --> 00:46:22,960
well here And if you want my personal best bets,

979
00:46:22,960 --> 00:46:25,199
including a strong Monday night best bet between the Bucks

980
00:46:25,199 --> 00:46:28,480
and Lions, check out my page Steve Merrill wager talk

981
00:46:28,519 --> 00:46:30,840
dot com and get there quicker w T dot buzz

982
00:46:30,840 --> 00:46:33,440
slash sm So.

983
00:46:33,440 --> 00:46:35,480
Speaker 2: What Otani did the other I was trying to think

984
00:46:35,519 --> 00:46:36,840
of a comparison.

985
00:46:36,360 --> 00:46:38,519
Speaker 7: Steve Insane. I was going to ask you about that.

986
00:46:39,000 --> 00:46:42,960
Speaker 2: Okay, So here's what I came up with. Patrick Mahomes

987
00:46:42,960 --> 00:46:46,599
throws for three hundred and fifty yards and three touchdowns

988
00:46:46,639 --> 00:46:49,960
against the Bills in the playoffs. But then he plays

989
00:46:50,000 --> 00:46:54,039
middle linebacker and leaves the Chiefs and tackles exactly as.

990
00:46:55,519 --> 00:46:57,840
Speaker 7: Better as the second pick six. Right, I was gonna say, well,

991
00:46:58,119 --> 00:46:59,960
you know, we might actually see that if the jag

992
00:47:00,039 --> 00:47:01,840
wires ever get good enough, which we don't think is

993
00:47:01,840 --> 00:47:04,880
coming anytime soon, right, we could possibly see that with

994
00:47:04,960 --> 00:47:07,559
one guy that's in the NFL right now. For Jacksonville Hunter,

995
00:47:07,960 --> 00:47:08,679
it's too hard.

996
00:47:08,719 --> 00:47:11,559
Speaker 2: You cannot play. It is ridiculous play both sides of

997
00:47:11,559 --> 00:47:13,800
the ball. In the NFL, most guys can't even complete

998
00:47:13,800 --> 00:47:15,679
a season on one side of the ball. This guy's

999
00:47:15,679 --> 00:47:17,519
supposed to do it on two sides of the ball.

1000
00:47:17,800 --> 00:47:19,159
No way, and.

1001
00:47:20,800 --> 00:47:22,920
Speaker 7: Great comment. He said, why is Merrill wearing a Washington

1002
00:47:22,920 --> 00:47:25,880
Command's not his Washington Commander's shirt. I'd never thought about that.

1003
00:47:25,920 --> 00:47:26,679
Speaker 1: How great is that?

1004
00:47:27,199 --> 00:47:29,800
Speaker 7: And then I realized Wager Talk's eleven years old. So

1005
00:47:30,000 --> 00:47:32,239
the commanders are infringing. I think this is how we're

1006
00:47:32,239 --> 00:47:34,199
getting back to Redskins. Finally we're gonna have a big

1007
00:47:34,239 --> 00:47:36,679
old lawsuit. Gonna get Johnny to try and know Johnny

1008
00:47:36,679 --> 00:47:38,679
Detroit knows some shisty lawyers he has to, so we're

1009
00:47:38,679 --> 00:47:41,079
gonna get in on this. But the reason I bring

1010
00:47:41,079 --> 00:47:42,360
this up, you see all the Redskins and stuff in

1011
00:47:42,400 --> 00:47:44,199
the background. When I used to go games in the eighties,

1012
00:47:45,119 --> 00:47:47,880
there'd be an electric energy at RFK Stadium when Darryl

1013
00:47:47,920 --> 00:47:50,239
Green would occasionally go back to run a punt. And

1014
00:47:50,280 --> 00:47:52,920
I joked about that Bear's Commander's breakdown last Monday night.

1015
00:47:52,960 --> 00:47:55,119
I said, I remember Green hurtling the guy pulling the

1016
00:47:55,159 --> 00:47:57,800
rib and winning the playoff game at Soldier Field. But

1017
00:47:58,000 --> 00:48:00,360
Gibbs didn't do it that much because of the end risk,

1018
00:48:00,400 --> 00:48:02,719
even on a punt return for one of the greatest

1019
00:48:02,719 --> 00:48:05,840
defensive backs at the time ever. But yeah, it's it's

1020
00:48:05,840 --> 00:48:07,079
a rarity of what Otai did.

1021
00:48:07,119 --> 00:48:07,280
Speaker 3: You know.

1022
00:48:07,280 --> 00:48:09,760
Speaker 7: It's a shame that these guys don't go complete games anymore,

1023
00:48:09,760 --> 00:48:12,000
because he probably would have had a complete game shutout

1024
00:48:12,440 --> 00:48:14,719
on top of that, but they pull him in six

1025
00:48:14,760 --> 00:48:16,920
innings on what like two hits or something, just because

1026
00:48:17,000 --> 00:48:18,840
they're going to have him for the World Series. But

1027
00:48:18,880 --> 00:48:21,400
that's another element. You know, the Dodgers underachieved all season,

1028
00:48:21,880 --> 00:48:24,320
but they've beaten quote unquote the two best teams already

1029
00:48:24,320 --> 00:48:28,159
in the Phillies and Brewers, and now Otani's available and

1030
00:48:28,199 --> 00:48:30,519
he my son point my son, Daniel pointed this out

1031
00:48:30,519 --> 00:48:33,119
to me. He didn't even go to the dugout after

1032
00:48:33,159 --> 00:48:35,599
what was it, three strikeouts in the first inning. He

1033
00:48:35,760 --> 00:48:39,000
was handed his equipment to wore them up hitting and

1034
00:48:39,079 --> 00:48:42,199
hits a home run. It's beyond insane. And we keep

1035
00:48:42,239 --> 00:48:44,159
saying like no one's ever done this, and he keeps

1036
00:48:44,239 --> 00:48:47,400
doing it. It's really remarkable, and it makes it kind

1037
00:48:47,400 --> 00:48:49,280
of like if you don't even follow baseball, gives you

1038
00:48:49,280 --> 00:48:50,599
a reason to follow the World series.

1039
00:48:51,480 --> 00:48:54,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I know we're talking about it, but I

1040
00:48:54,800 --> 00:48:57,840
don't think people are talking enough about how truely.

1041
00:48:57,880 --> 00:49:00,000
Speaker 7: Of course, I don't know the sixth inning with ten strikeout,

1042
00:49:00,199 --> 00:49:01,719
like you got the only pitch two thirds of a

1043
00:49:01,760 --> 00:49:05,360
game like ten years ago. That's a complete game, right,

1044
00:49:05,400 --> 00:49:07,199
I mean, it's just like what else could he have done.

1045
00:49:07,000 --> 00:49:10,559
Speaker 2: In that game? It's pretty amazing. It's pretty amazing. So

1046
00:49:11,000 --> 00:49:13,079
all right, Steve Merril, thank you very much. Good luck

1047
00:49:13,119 --> 00:49:16,119
on your bet tonight. Have a great Monday, great breakdowns. Yeah,

1048
00:49:16,159 --> 00:49:18,280
you can follow Steve on all of his solo videos

1049
00:49:18,320 --> 00:49:21,280
on this wager Talk YouTube channel. I haven't a Monday

1050
00:49:21,360 --> 00:49:23,360
night football best bet that is up. It's a prop,

1051
00:49:23,440 --> 00:49:25,559
my favorite prop that is on the board. It's one

1052
00:49:25,639 --> 00:49:28,719
hundred percent hit rate this year, so we're loving this bet.

1053
00:49:28,800 --> 00:49:30,320
Go grab that one. And we also have a four

1054
00:49:30,360 --> 00:49:33,039
percent cricket best bet. I know cricket. You guys probably

1055
00:49:33,039 --> 00:49:35,679
aren't gonna watch it. It's perfect. You set it and

1056
00:49:35,719 --> 00:49:38,679
forget it. You wake up and there's the money in

1057
00:49:38,719 --> 00:49:41,599
the account, So go grab that. It's a parlay. It

1058
00:49:41,679 --> 00:49:45,199
is on DraftKings Fan, It's on all the domestic books,

1059
00:49:45,239 --> 00:49:47,440
so you guys can grab that and we're four and

1060
00:49:47,480 --> 00:49:50,519
one on our last five four percent cricket place. Let's

1061
00:49:50,519 --> 00:49:53,840
do all around the world. Let's do some props for

1062
00:49:54,000 --> 00:49:57,239
tonight's game. And I believe we went over these on

1063
00:49:57,440 --> 00:50:01,559
myself and Andrew McGinnis's show Props with Parlays that is

1064
00:50:01,639 --> 00:50:03,760
up right now on the wager Talk YouTube channel. We

1065
00:50:03,880 --> 00:50:05,639
go through a ton of different props in all the

1066
00:50:05,880 --> 00:50:08,199
categories and we give you a nine to one same

1067
00:50:08,440 --> 00:50:11,360
game parlay for you guys. We talked about Jared Goff

1068
00:50:11,480 --> 00:50:15,079
over two hundred and sixty passing. Tampa is a top

1069
00:50:15,119 --> 00:50:18,400
five rush defense, but a bottom eleven pass defense. Goff

1070
00:50:18,480 --> 00:50:21,960
loves playing the Bucks three hundred and ten yards average

1071
00:50:22,239 --> 00:50:25,519
in three games against Tampa. I love this one. This

1072
00:50:25,559 --> 00:50:27,840
is my sneaky one of an AJ Barner over one

1073
00:50:27,880 --> 00:50:30,440
and a half receptions. He only had four catches the

1074
00:50:30,440 --> 00:50:33,199
first three games combined, but the last three games three

1075
00:50:33,440 --> 00:50:37,320
seven and three thirteen targets thirteen catches. Texans give up

1076
00:50:37,320 --> 00:50:39,519
four point four receptions per game to tight ends and

1077
00:50:39,559 --> 00:50:42,280
he's been working close with Cooper Cup. Cooper Cup has

1078
00:50:42,280 --> 00:50:44,599
taken him under his wing. You're starting to see the results,

1079
00:50:45,000 --> 00:50:47,239
and then we're gonna go with CJ. Shroud over to

1080
00:50:47,239 --> 00:50:50,480
twenty six and a half passing. CJ. Shroud's gone over

1081
00:50:50,519 --> 00:50:52,519
this in the last two games after going under the

1082
00:50:52,559 --> 00:50:55,840
first three games. Seattle's defense in the secondary is a

1083
00:50:55,840 --> 00:50:59,119
little banged up. The last two quarterbacks against Seattle have

1084
00:50:59,599 --> 00:51:02,440
gone over. I like the game script. I think the

1085
00:51:02,480 --> 00:51:04,800
Texans are going to be throwing if the Seahawks are up,

1086
00:51:05,000 --> 00:51:08,000
so this number seems a little bit too low. All right,

1087
00:51:08,039 --> 00:51:09,840
that's going to do it for us. Hit the like button,

1088
00:51:09,920 --> 00:51:11,800
leave us a comment in the comment section, and thank

1089
00:51:11,800 --> 00:51:14,119
you so much for you guys joining us. Hopefully we're

1090
00:51:14,119 --> 00:51:15,719
getting you ready for a week. It's a new week,

1091
00:51:15,880 --> 00:51:19,079
new betting opportunities. Let's get the week started off with

1092
00:51:19,119 --> 00:51:21,519
some winners tonight. We're going to be back tomorrow, same place,

1093
00:51:21,800 --> 00:51:24,679
same time. Hope to see then. Good luck on your

1094
00:51:24,679 --> 00:51:25,519
best tonight. Take care