Speaker 1: Happy Monday, guys. Welcome to Puck Time on wager Talk TV.
We've got some picks for you, guys. We've got some sides, totals,
some props, a play of the day, some system plays
here for today, a lot of good stuff here.
Speaker 2: On the show.
Speaker 1: And it's shockingly a decent slate here on a Monday,
January twelfth. Hope you guys all had a fantastic weekend.
Shout out to all of you guys in the chat box,
all of you guys that ask questions, and of course
all you guys that tune in and share your picks.
Of course, you know, Carl and I we love to
hear from you, and Carl, you know one of those weekends.
I'm not gonna be too upset, man, because you know
what I'm it was a pretty good weekend.
Speaker 3: You know.
Speaker 1: I ended the weekend with a Saturday Night NFL five
percent loss. But Friday, Saturday, Sunday, you know what, overall
we were in the win column more than we were
in the lost column. And I will take that and
I'll feel pretty good about it. And yesterday I have
big news to announce. Sarcastic, but I have finally hit
a first period over again, and I'm very excited about that.
The Mammoth and the Blue Jackets went first period over.
I thought about it, and I said, this is the
perfect spot for it. After the Columbus got blanked in
their game the night before against Colorado.
Speaker 2: Carm.
Speaker 1: We never can really keep track of the NHL schedule
makers with what they're doing, but here they go today
providing with us US with a pretty good Monday slate.
Speaker 2: How are you, carm How is your weekend?
Speaker 3: The weekend was? Weekend was good? Yeah, a huge slate
of games. I only had two plays yesterday, hockey play
which won and five percent play on the Buffalo Bills
and that one got there. When you have the best
player on the field, just sometimes he just takes you,
takes the team on his back, and that's what Josh
Allen did in that game. And now they're off to Denver.
I got to talk to Kelly after the show, because
I know Kelly's a Broncos fan, whether she's going to
the game or not, or maybe just a friendly wager
between the two of us. But Bill Bill's Mafia alive
and well heading into the divisional round. Some great games
on the weekend as well to two and one on
Saturday in the NHL, as well to a profitable day
in NHL, and five and one so close the Minnesota
Wild losing ot that's the only loser on the six
and sixty. We went five and one, could have gone
six and oh the first six and oh of the season.
But we'll take five and one and we will move on.
I'm probably more happy the fact that the Pod play
one on Friday Night. The Pod the new graphic the
cold Calm comes through man ice cold Fresh, just like
COR's lights. Andrew. With that said, man, let's talk about
the defending Stanley Cup champions playing one of the hottest teams,
if not the hottest team in the NHL, the Buffalo Sabers. Yes,
you heard it here. I keep waiting, and you keep
waiting for for the uh for like the roof to
fall in on the Buffalo Sabers, and it just doesn't happen.
I thought, after that ten game losing streak or winning
streak or they lost to Columbus, that we might see
a couple of losses. But man, they just they have
bounced back on watching this team play, and they play
such a such an organized game in their own zone
limiting teams o zones. They're playing some phenomenal hockey and
they're gonna have to do tonight to beat this Florida
Panthers team a Buffalo minus one fifteen Florida Panthers minus
one oh five total of six. Andrew, how are you
playing this one?
Speaker 1: You know, Carmen, it's very hard not to look towards
some goals in this one here, And you know, I'm
just shocked looking over at this year, the fact that
Sergeybbrovski has a two to ninety goals against average. But
when's the last time we can say on a pretty
good side sample that Serdigey Brabrovski has.
Speaker 2: An eight eighty save percentage.
Speaker 1: Like, don't look now, but there's a couple Buffalo goaltenders
that are outperforming Serdigie Brabrovski. And this is the guy
that's won back to back, you know, Stanley Cup championships.
He was, you know, potentially going to be a guy
that could have been a Consmith winner, but then Sam
Bennett just took off for them last year in the postseason.
But you know, this team is they're kind of leaking
a little bit more goals and I kind of thought
they would on a larger scale. And then the games
that they have been able to kind of limit teams,
they haven't worked out for them either themselves. Now they're
coming off a win against the Ottawa Senators. But I
talked about it with you last week about that ridiculous
schedule the schedule makers gave the Ottawa Senators that should
have been a play for us, for sure. I don't
know if you were on it or not, but that
this is to me a spot where we look for
some goals. We have had this Florida Panthers team bouncing
around a little bit here. You know, they're in town
to take on the Leafs, in town to take on
my Canadians. They're taking on the Senators. Now here, they
are Monday Night Hockey taking on the Buffalo Sabers. The
funny thing is they still have actually a couple more
games left of their road trip. After that, they'll take
on the Hurricanes and then the Capitals before they return
home to host the San Jose Sharks.
Speaker 2: But I'm looking towards the over six in this game. Here.
Speaker 1: I'm looking at the Sabers right now, and their offense
is humming you know, you got fifteen goals your last
three games. You got a lot of guys that are
making noise for this team. A lot of the advanced
metrics talking about how weak and leaky the Florida Panthers
defense can be.
Speaker 2: But you said it yourself, Carmen.
Speaker 1: All jokes aside, like, we're a little bit surprised by
the level of consistency this Buffalo Sabers team has been
able to maintain.
Speaker 2: The question is can they do it defensively? Now?
Speaker 1: The Ducks are struggling a bit. They still got three
goals on them. The Rangers, we know how bad they
can be at home, they scored two on them. You know,
the Canucks or the Canucks, the Jackets of the Jacks.
The Stars were struggling. And I know you don't want
to hear this from me, Karen, because they have been playing,
I mean, how they won ten games in a row.
But is it fair to say a little bit when
you look at the last six games the Buffalo Sabers
have played, they haven't really played elite guys, elite teams
at the time that they played the Stars, even the
Stars were struggling. Is it fair to say that you're
going to get a really motivated Florida team, and although
they got some injuries, that's going to be a little
step up from you know, the Blues or the Rangers
and a little bit of a different type of team
here tonight.
Speaker 3: Yeah. No, I think you can only beat the teams
they put in front of you, you know, And we're
going to talk about that a little later on when
we discussed the third game on today's slate for us.
But I think it's the way in which they're winning.
I think sometimes you look at I look at analytics
a lot when I'm updating power ratings and such, and
I'm just surprised by i like, high danger chances from
the sabers O zone defending or lower O zone in
time that they're giving teams and they just they're making
that extra pass in the defensive zone to alleviate pressure.
They're keeping pucks to the outside, shots to the outside,
which obviously help goalies, and they're cleaning to the front
of the net, which is a good thing. So yeah,
they're winning games. You know, the game against Anaheim, I
think I remember somebody on Friday when I did the
six and sixty said there's no way I'm taking an
over and a Sabers game. They're a dead under team
right now, whether or not. But sometimes a team like
Anaheim drags you into a game. And Anaheim's one of
the better teams right now to the over unders. And
we'll talk about that a little later on with a stat.
It's just the way that the Sabers are playing right now.
The game is essentially a coin flip Florida. Florida will
get healthy at some point, you know, Matthew to Chuck
obviously back on the ice. Who else barof back on
the ice, but in uh just briefly skating. This guy
is gonna. I don't think this guy returns prior to
the playoffs. He probably could. For me Andrew, I would
probably look at the under in this game. The Sabers
beat them earlier this season three nothing in a game.
Why not again another low scoring game. Colton Colton Ellis
is supposed to be the starter as of this morning.
The news I got that is he was in the
starter circle. So it won't be Uko Peca lucan In,
but it'll likely be Colton Ellis. And he played well
in that five to two game against the Rangers, so
you know, with that. With that said, I'd probably lean
to the under here the sixes. I think the sixes
may in fact turn into maybe five and a half's.
If there was a six and a half, I would
I would bang the under right away on that one.
But I seem to believe. You know, there's some teams, Andrew,
I think are gonna be fine as the season progresses,
and they're not. The New Jersey Devils are not. The
New York Rangers are not. There are so many teams
that I thought would turn it around. It's not happening. Andrew.
I'm gonna give you a little bit of a surprise here.
The Florida Panthers are in the midst of getting a
player from the New York Rangers. You know who that
player is. It's the bread Man. But Andrew, the Rangers
are gonna have to eat a lot of that salary,
a lot of that cap space in order to make
this deal work. Just give Florida another good player.
Speaker 1: What do you think that better not happen? Krm, that
better not happen. I hope your sources are wrong about
that one. But we'll see, because look around the league
right now, ask yourselves, Okay, this team Would I rather
be this team or the New York Rangers. Would I
rather be this team or the New York Rangers. And
I'll tell you what, I would rather be a lot
of teams in the NHL right now besides the New
York Rangers, because they're in a very unique situation, like
they've got a mix of younger guys and older guys.
But let's be honest, they're not meeting up to their expectations.
And everybody knows that I'm cheering for Canada at the Olympics,
but I'm telling you, Jason Robertson should be on that team.
A couple other guys should be on that team. They
took j T Miller and Vincent Trocheck. They lost ten
to two over the weekend to the Boston Ruins, and
Jake Miller did not look good. Vincent Trocheck did not
look good. You know those guys. I think it's a
really weird situation. So I think you're right, KRM, But
I think it's they don't want to go into a rebuild,
but they can't really afford to. They're not going to
probably make the playoffs this year. I don't think this
Rangers team, No.
Speaker 3: They've lost, they've lost your Stirka, and they've lost Adam Fox.
You know, at what point do you say that this
team's in trouble? You know, I mean like Jonathan Quick
is confirmed to start tonight, but he allowed six goals
in that Bruins game. You know, I mean, I think
you can call it a one off, but the fact
is the team isn't playing. And if we get some
more troubling results, if they lose to the Seattle Kraken
tonight on home ice, and lose a couple more games,
and you know, once you fall that far behind at
near the bottom of the standings, it is tough to
leap frogs so many other teams because he needs so
much to go your way. And we talked about being,
you know, ten or eleven points out of a playoff spot.
Now in January, it is almost impossible to make up
those points on either side of the ledger, whether in
your the Western Conference or the Eastern Conference, it is
extremely tough. So I could see them selling off some pieces,
and Paneren could very well be one of them. So
we'll see where he ends up. But what the hell
give Florida just another good player to deepen that team
that deal only works if there's some kind of a
prospect that goes obviously that way, but if the New
York Rangers eat up almost all of that salary because
Panerion wants a longer term deal, and I think I
saw some numbers being bounced around, like eight point five
A V V or AA V or whatever those three
letters are. But that said, I don't think the Rangers
are ready to give him a long term deal. So
we'll see what happens there.
Speaker 1: I'll guarantee you annual average value there you go AA V.
Speaker 3: AAV Okay, Well, there's so many of the c AA here.
There's a A in Toronto, there's a GA for Gambler's anonymous,
AA for alcoholics Anonymous. Too many letters, man, And there's
PT for puck Time, which we're going to get back
to you right now as we discuss the Tampa Bay
lightning firing on all cylinders and do nine wins in
a row for this team Philadelphia at home? These teams
just played in Philly, so two games in three nights
in the same venue Tampa one sixty two Philly plus
one thirty three at home. Total here is at six
and a half, and it is dropping the total. Vadar,
who did not start in that game, the seven to
two loss on Saturday, gets to start tonight. Where are
you going with this one?
Speaker 1: I have not been doing this as much lately, Karen,
but I'm going to kind of go the opposite of
the way the first meeting went, and I'm going to
take the under here. Look, I know this Tampa Bay
team has been They've been sometimes pushing totals over all
by themselves in some scenarios. You know, they they've been
doing it all on their own. But when I look
at some of these numbers here, we'll look at the
expected goals against. Right now, this Tampa Bay team in
the last ten games, five on five, they're a top
three team and expected goals against. Now you look towards
expected goals four, well, you got it, bottom ten Philadelphia team. Now,
I do think that Philadelphia knows who they are.
Speaker 2: They know they can't go goal for a goal with them.
Speaker 1: They're going to clog it up and make it as
boring as a game as they possibly can. And if
they do get a goal, they're gonna sit on it.
They're gonna protect it. They're not gonna really need to
elevate it much much more. I think the key to
this game is thing out of the penalty box. Don't
let that Tampa Bay power play get to work. Look
it's dangerous. It's dangerous to look towards it, And if
you want to, you could look towards Maybe I would
be interested in a little sprinkle. I don't love the viig,
but Tampa Bay under three and a half. You know,
you can take Philadelphia's team total under two and a
half at a pretty good price. You guys know, I
prefer the plus money. But I think this is one
of those spots where you can look towards the opposite
total that you saw in the first meeting. I find
Karm's it's more common for the same team to win
twice than for the same total result to happen twice.
So maybe maybe Tampa Bay just keeps rolling. But maybe
tonight it's three to two or three to one, who knows.
But I'm leaning towards the under here. What do you think?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I definitely think that is a good play. I
think we sometimes we talk about the fact that teams
are playing like back to back in the same venue,
or even back to back in each in each team
city that you kind of want to go opposite of
what you saw in the first game, and now I
don't want to bet against Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay their
last nine games have scored four more goals in each
of their games, but yet their team total for tonight
andrew sits at three and a half even money to
the over, and it's shaded to the under nine straight
games where they've scored four more goals and the team
total is juiced to the under three and a half goals.
It's got to tell you something Vadar has been, you know,
despite some of the scores in the games, has been
good over his last ten games. I'm gonna get to
that stat later on in the pod when we discuss it,
but I would lean to the under here. I think
if you're gonna take the under, you need to grab
it now. Or a couple of books still have it
at six and a half, but I'm seeing six is
start to pop up on the board. And then you
have books like Fan Duel and DraftKings. And this isn't
something bad against the books. This is just their business practice.
Is they don't like even totals, six is, fives, sevens, whatever,
normally six. So let's look at six. If they have
a line at six that other books have at If
there's a line that should be six, they have it
at six and a half shaded juice to the under.
When other books drop the line, they go to a
five and a half and juice the over. So they
will never land on six. You're almost never gonna find
a six either one of those books. It's just they
want a winner at the end of the night. Someone's
gonna win betting the over under, or someone's gonna lose
betting the over under. It's not gonna be a push.
Books still make money on pushes, Andrew So's it's a
practice that they have. So I'm not speaking ill will
of either one of them. Because my VIP host at
VANDUA reached out to me this past weekend, and maybe
I'll get them to sponsor the six, sponsor the six
and sixty for the rest of the season. We'll see.
With that said, they have to make a nice donation
to some charity in order for that to happen. I'll
lean to the under with you on this one, Andrew,
and see if we get a different type of game tonight.
As the Lightning go for ten in a row to
try to tie the Sabers for the longest streak of
the season. So who knows, We'll see what happens there. Andrew,
Let's talk the game of the night where it's not
the line of the night, because this is minus two
sixty seven on the Colorado Avalanche. The Leafs plus two twelve,
six and a half is the total in this one.
And I will say this, Andrew, you made a good
point of when talking about the Buffalo Sabers of saying
look at some of the teams that they've played of late,
and that is my point, which torontald Toronto's playing extremely
well right now. They've had some games that have gone
to ot where they picked up points, but in their
last ten games, they've won six of them. Of those
ten games, they have only played four teams that are
currently sitting in a playoff position, and their record against
those four teams is one and three. So that has
got to tell you something that five of their six
wins have come against teams below the playoff line. They're
not playing one of those teams tonight. They're playing the
Colorado Avalanche and the Abs are at home nineteen Toho
to two twenty one game nineteen wins, two overtime losses,
all nineteen wins in regulation. Yeah, so you know where
I'm going.
Speaker 2: I don't blame you.
Speaker 1: I don't blame you, and you know that I've kind
of gotten off the regulation bets. But with a team
like Colorado right now, it's kind of hard to blame anybody.
If you like them to win, karm why not play
the regulation number because any time that they're losing, they're
not even they're losing it when it goes past extra time.
So if you're gonna take them to win the regulation
with Colorado is a pretty good idea. Do you think
that when you look at this team though the Maple
Leafs as well, they've been excelling, you know, against poor
teams and then as well at home. I think that
the fact this is a home game, Colorado has been
such a good home team. You just talked about it,
but especially matchup wise, the fact of the matter is,
looking at some of my numbers here, they've still been
leaking defensively, this Maple Leafs team. There's still been a
lot of chance is given up. A lot of the
websites that I use a newer website that I started
to use. Looking at heat maps and looking at attention
in your own end. It's not pretty for them, you know,
and diving into deep stats here looking at some of
the numbers. This team is bottom ten right now in
possession per sixty when you look at Colorado right now,
whereas it Colorado is seventy point two five Coursey four
percentage per sixty, suppressing shots, twenty six point nine shots
on goal against per game, Toronto bleeding chances like this,
to me, is a team that's relying on goal toening.
Do you ever notice how when when the Maple Leafs lose,
the fans always blame the goalies, and then when they win,
nobody says anything about the goalies. It's like a coach.
When a team is playing bad, you want to fire
the coach. When a team is playing well, nobody says
anything good about the coach. That's how it is with
the Maple Leafs. And I'll tell you what. Brock Nelson,
he's been pretty solid lately for the Avalanche. Whether you
want to bet a goal or an assist for him,
he's been pretty solid. Are Terry lekinin you continue to
get a minus one thirty price with him to get
a player point, which is pretty solid. I wouldn't talk
you out of that car, but I'll tell you what
I think that we're going to see on the road.
The maple Leaves leak more goals than you will see
at home, just simply based on those matchups.
Speaker 2: What do you think about that?
Speaker 3: Yeah, no, listen, I can see it. I think for
the first time, Andrew, the first time this whole season,
the Colorado Avalanche are facing I'll call it adversity, but
it really isn't because it's such a lead that they
have in dealing with some injuries, because they have been
injury free all season long, and they've missed Landiskogg's missed
the last three games. They're two and one in those games.
The Avalanche DeVante's has missed what four games now, they're
two and two in the games that since he's been injured.
So obviously a little shuffling of the deck with players
in lines and what have you. There's still a deep team,
this Avs team, and they're a very good team. That's
just the one sort of little thing you always worry
about is when a team finally starts a little bit
of that luck starts to and I don't want to
call the Avs season luck, but luck in the sense
of no injuries all season long, and that starts to
dissipitate a little bit. And you get a couple injuries
on the team and you wonder how they're going to respond.
That's one of the things to look at, you know.
I think wash Redskins said in the chat, just take
the Avs on the puck line. And you know, I
did release the Avs on the puck line on Saturday
because eighteen home wins, fourteen of them in by two
or more goals, and they won that game four Nils
or for nothing. I'm using some soccer terms now, so
fifteen of their nineteen games by our goal and a half,
it's like minus one oh six. I you know, I
get it. I understand it. I always think that anytime
you take in a puck line, you should at very
least get a little bit of plus money going your
way because of those stats I showed you last week
on one goal games, so I think that's an important
part of it. And we'll see. This is the start
of a four game road trip for the Leafs and normally,
you know, you want to get off to a good
start on this trip. So we'll see what the Leafs do.
But I think regulation is better going to get priced
out of the regulation at some point because I think
that when people start looking at sixty seven, they start
looking at other ways of playing the Colorado Avalanche. So
they start looking at the puck line, you start looking
at regulation because they still want to be on the team.
They just don't want to lay minus two sixty seven
minus two seveny or what have you. So we'll see
where that where that number goes, but it should be
about one one fifty ish right now. I'm seeing some
one to fifty fives when sixties pop up in the
regulation as well too.
Speaker 1: And again, like it's one of those things where you
got to look at how when a team wins, how
are they winning. It's kind of like what I've been
I've been saying this for years about the Edmonton Oilers.
When that team wins, they're probably one of the more
consistent teams that when they win a game, you and
I both know it KRM that they score four goals.
It's very rare to see the Edmonton Oilers not hit
their team total when they win a game like they
are correlated long term with the over until you know
further notice, and some teams it's a little bit different.
And for this Colorado team right now, you can take
them a regulation, you can trust it. If they're going
to win regulation, you can take the puck line, different
spots like that.
Speaker 2: Want to give a shout out to Ghosts Wins Sports.
Speaker 1: Good to have you in here, Raven Ron as always,
so many guys in here with us as well. Comment
here about the Carol and Detroit game. We'll get to
that in just one second. Perlough, shout out to you
as well.
Speaker 2: TJ.
Speaker 1: Good to see you, Wash Redskin Ice ex. How so
many of you guys watching the show, and we appreciate
every single one of you.
Speaker 2: Guys.
Speaker 1: Uh dropping your plays and got some bills guys in here. Karen,
got some football talk going on, and hey, guys, we
welcome everything. We welcome everything, obviously, we want to encourage
mostly the hockey talk. We welcome everything, and I'm looking
forward to hopefully cashing some tickets in both football and
in the NHL tonight.
Speaker 2: Caren, we got that comment about the Red Wings game.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna say this and you tell me if I'm crazy, okay,
because I'm trying to be lettle headed here my habs.
I know I'm nuts, but my habs, they looked awful
on the weekend, and I know that's for a fact.
And when I say awful, it was an okay game.
They just they couldn't score. They couldn't get past Gibson.
Speaker 2: All right. So I need you to tell me.
Speaker 1: Is this a prototypical flat spot for Detroit even though
it's against a good team because they just won the
game that was for first place in the division? Do
you see a letdown here for them and Carolina with
the way they're playing defensively. I've been waiting for the
fade spot on Detroit all year long, and my friend
and I talk hockey with every day. He's been saying,
don't worry, it'll come. Regression will come for Detroit. We
haven't seen it yet, But could this be a spot
to go against them? And if it was a situational
angle for me, it would just be because they're coming
off that big win.
Speaker 2: What do you think?
Speaker 3: I think the last time I went to Detroit to
visit our front office and take them off for some
dinner and drinks, we went to watch the Red Wings
game and they were playing the Carolina Hurricanes, and the
Red Wings won that game. I believe in OT. I
think they wanted in OT three to two. The under
jersey ceremony tonight. One of my favorite players, Sergei Federoff
Andrew number ninety one, the only player ever to wear
number ninety one for the Detroit Red Wings. You can
look it up, but I am accurate on this one.
He's having his jersey or retired tonight. So obviously there'll
be a delay before this game gets going, and there's
no way of finding out a stat on how teams
perform when a jersey is retired, whether they're ready to go,
whether they're super psyched in that first period, or whether
they just it's just a normal hockey game. But that's
what's going on today with this one. Carolina's won four straight,
you know, three to the four, or you can look
at even all four Andrew, And we talk about it
playing against like some struggling teams in New Jersey Devils
who they are just they're beyond struggling. But we'll get
to that another day when we discuss when we discuss them,
But you know, wins against like Anaheim so and even
beating Dallas when Dallas was on a five game skid
before winning the following night in Washington. So it is
one of those ones where Detroit's playing extremely well and
you just want to what do you want to jump
off the boat just because Carolina is coming to town?
Like I don't, and I get it. You look at
you know, you look at any line movement in this game,
and it really hasn't happened. It opened at one fifty three.
It's at like one fifty. A couple of books like that.
I respect, like the global markets like Circuar down to
like one forty in this game one thirty eight at
a couple books. That means some Detroit money is obviously
coming in. Whether it's sharp action or not, I don't know.
But with that said, I think the Wings are playing
extremely well, and they have all season long. They've had
some spurts where they lost a few games and you think, okay,
well this is it. This is where they tank, not tank,
but the regression to the mean. But it doesn't come.
So that was a big win for them. I think
they come home on a night in which the a
Jersey goes in to the rafters. They get the win here,
they do it for uh bet off? What do you think? Man?
That guy was so fun, so much fun to watch
when you had to puck.
Speaker 2: I forgot about that. Yeah, you could be right. I
I just what about an under in this game? What
about just what about?
Speaker 1: What about this game being a little bit more of
a suffocating game and you know, a typical prototypical Carolina
Hurricane game here. For me, I just think that this
is one of those situational spots where you're coming off
a big game, you play very very well. You got
a Carolina team much starting to play much better and
get to their defensive metrics. Again, it's probably gonna be
a stay away from me. Honestly, I appreciate the comment.
We'll try and get this to you. We got the
comment there'll be lots of Red Wings royalty in the building,
so I expect a big show. Sometimes that stuff can
be a distraction, karm No, what do you think?
Speaker 3: Yeah? I'm sorry. While you were doing that, I was
trying to find the Detroit game that I went to
that I went to watch. I believe it was four
to three in overtime, with the game winning goal coming
by other than because we always had that guy in
the chat, Raymond getting the winning goal in overtime on
the power play. But I get it, They're all going
to be there tonight for this, for this ceremony. It
should be a great one and I'm going to watch it.
So maybe I'll be wearing my Mike Patrick Kane jersey
tonight while watching that game, so I won't have any
action on it, but I will be watching it. I
love these retirement ceremonies for players that you know, I mean,
I watched when I was younger, you know what I mean,
so before black and white TV, of course. But that said, Andrew.
With that said, Andrew, I want to talk a couple
just because we have a few moments before we do
the same game parlay and the pod I want to
talk about like some Ralph Michael's stad Daddy dropped us
a couple images and during this next month leading up
to the obviously leading up to the February fifth pause
in the NHL season, where we're going to see a
lot of or obviously for the Olympics, we're gonna see
a lot of teams that are playing like on one
day's rest that two days rest three days resting is gone.
These are the top ten records for when both teams
are on one day's rest. Andrew, if you can bring
that up and I'll just go through it in there,
you have it. Those are the top ten teams. So
you look at the Hurricanes when they're playing another team
on one day's rest, and I get these are You
can look at it and say, well, when do these
stats ever come into the play, Well, they come into
play when both teams are on one day's rest. You
don't base your bets solely on this this graphic or
these numbers, but it is some thing to add when
you're looking at analytics, when you're looking at teams. Who's
running hot, who's playing well at home, who's got playing
against a weak goalie or the number one goalie. There's
so many things that go into the narrowing down where
you're going to put your hard earned money on. This
is just another one to add to it. The Caines
obviously doing well, the Kracking look at the Kraken, who
may not be having the greatest of seasons but seem
to be playing a little bit better, and they're the
second best team up there as far as profitability goes
on with one day's rest, So this is a kracking
team that travels a lot Andrews, so I think that
comes into it as well too. And then the other
one is top ten teams as far as over runders
are overs in this case and the Anaheim Ducks. Look
at the Anaheim Ducks record here. This is based on
obviously on profitability. If you're betting the Ducks, they are
on a tremendous run, but you're up one thousand dollars
betting Ducks overs, so that is pretty good. There are
a lot of teams that are in that mix of
like barely being profitable or barely being a lost leader
or a loser. But with that said, the Ducks and
the Sharks, Man Andrew, the Ducks and Sharks have been
over moneymakers over the last little while. I think they're
both in and around that same eleven and one or
twelve and one type of record their last twelve games.
Do you equate that, Andrew to the teams are just
aren't playing well because because they're not winning games, but
they're losing games, but they're scoring goals. They're still competitive.
Other than the Sharks last night, I took the over
in that game and they got two, but Vegas got seven.
So back Vegas has beaten them twice in the last
a few weeks by seven by seven two score lines.
Speaker 1: There's a possibility that they were relying on maybe a
couple players. Like I always say, this is kind of
like the dog days of the NHL season right now,
we're leading up to the Olympic February two week break.
You know, the junior team I cover where I live,
we talk about that as well. Where you're a couple
months into the season, the excitement is kind of over
with now of the start of the year, playing every
team once you know, you go through the holiday season,
once you get into January, it's a little bit boring,
and I feel like that's kind of the lull that
they ended up hitting with KRM. I apologize based on
how you're reading it. I thought I had the right
one up for you, but I had the wrong one.
That's my mistake. I had it back good for you,
But here we go. Yeah, but we have it now,
of course, but the Bowl teams on one day's rest.
You know what I noticed though about this, the the
top ten over teams based on over under profit. I
noticed that a lot of these teams are are potentially
some of the older teams in the league. Like the
Florida Panthers are someone of one of the older teams.
I believe the Kings one of the older teams, you know,
the peng I think the I think the Blue Jackets
and the Penguins are older. The Blues might be a
little bit older. I'm not sure about the Oilers, Red Wings.
I think they could be a mixed bag.
Speaker 2: I don't know.
Speaker 1: It's funny because sometimes people equate time off with the age,
but I like, look at this one day's rest right,
Hurricanes cracking Canadians, Islanders, Flyers, Lightning Devils Like this, to
me is one of those charts where you kind of
look at and you say, okay, so what do all
of these teams really have in common? And I do
think that a lot of these teams actually have some
youth on their team. For the both teams straight up record,
but this one here, they actually have a lot of
older players, So you know, like maybe carm When it
comes down to it, when you look at the older players,
there's a lot of uh. When you have a lot
of time off, you look towards the under when you
have only one day off, maybe you look towards the
over like they Maybe it's kind of like some goaltenders
that are that are older or younger, they prefer a
certain amount of time off between games, like they might
perform very very well if like you know how some
backup goalies are just meant to be backups, but when
they end up being a starter, they look a lot different.
Sometimes that works out for them because they've had so
much time off they're fresh. But some goalies don't work
well when they've played just two days ago. So kind
of interesting to look at. I like looking at that
stuff a lot, because it is important to see how
a team does. Like if you have a team today
on Monday and they played yesterday, but the other team
didn't play since Friday, how much of a difference does
that really make? And I think it's actually an underrated
thing to look at.
Speaker 3: Yeah, no, I think, you know. I mean, as we
get into it, and I said, we have what I'm
just looking at my calendar here we have basically three
weeks of NHL left before the the Olympic pause, and
they're they're just mashing in this schedule I would for
you guys, for you guys in the live chatter watching
a little later on my Saturdays and Sundays, are already
putting the schedule together for who are guests are going
to be. And I look at the schedule from Monday
to Friday because I don't want to schedule any guests
on a day in which there's only like one or
two games. We haven't seen the one or two games
all season long. It's like minimum five a night, and
the travel schedules and those eventually will catch up to you.
I think after the Olympic break will be extremely interesting
because that is done. There's a lot of players who
don't go to the Olympics who will have had twenty
days of rest, and you know, maybe we see a
reversal of fortunes for some of the teams in the
bottom half of the NHL standings that start to make
their push into a playoff spot. So the second half
is going to be interesting. But I've been charting, I
pretty much this whole weekend charted every single game for
every single team. One day's rest, two days rest, three
and four nights, five and seven nights. Is unbelievable. How
the NHL is matching these together. And the one thing
that scares me, Andrew, is with a congested with a
congested schedule, it opens the possibilities. It happens in pretty
much every sport except for obviously football. They play once
a week of injuries occurring, players getting injured. When you're
playing like five and seven nights and you're playing like
six and eleven nights, these guys are on the ice,
These guys are picking up like twenty to twenty five
thirty minutes. Some of these defensemen, there's a chance of
getting injured. Your body just not recovering, and you don't
want to see a guy go down with an injury.
Speaker 1: But there's just no denying it, Karm that the schedule
has had a factor in the injuries. There's nobody in
the NHL right now, none of the management can deny
the fact that this condensed schedule for the Olympics has
not played a factor in the Like, you know what
they should have done. If they're gonna do so much
so many games in a row, you should be allowed
more roster spots. You should be allowed more roster spots
this year because you have to, like how much I
bet you We're gonna set a record this year for
the number of players that have been called up from
the American Hockey League.
Speaker 2: And speaking of the American.
Speaker 1: Hockey League, karm we hit the play we gave out
on Friday on puck Time, Big buck line winner. Gotta
love that plus one ten Ohio State, Michigan State, the
Michigan State got it done.
Speaker 3: Love to hear it. I'd love to hear one quick thought.
I just want to talk about like some struggling teams, Andrew,
before we get into the saying game, Parlay and Pod
and then close this out Andrew, and feel free to
jump in on this conversation. The New Jersey Devils. Yes, guys,
I have bounced back from that horrendous New Jersey Devils
bet I had, but they have not bounced back. This
is a team in which you know I talked about,
you know, Peter de Bores is waiting for a job,
the New Jersey Devils and TJ Salvador. I know you're
somehow somewhere you're watching this and listening to this because
you're a Devils fan. This team needs to fire Sheldon
Keith because he just cannot play, he cannot coach. What
ailed him with the Leafs, is ailing him with New Jersey.
He just his style of play just does not win games.
Their general manager has to go. They looked terrible against
the Pittsburgh Penguins after that nine to nothing defeat. This
is a team that went into Winnipeg the other night
and lose four to three. They finally scored three goals
in a game. Give them credit that they lost to
a Winnipeg team that had lost twelve prior games and
was on a one game win streak and now it's
a I think a two or a three game win streak.
The Devils are not making the playoffs. They have benched
and made Dougie Hamilton a healthy scratch, which that doesn't
play well with other players as well too. They're going
to move Dougie Hamilton. He has a ten ten team
clause no trade clause in his contract. You'll only go
to ten teams. His agent says that they are going
to open up that clause to include more teams, which
means Douggie Hamilton is on his way out of New Jersey.
The Devils are in deep deep doo doo.
Speaker 1: Andrew thoughts, Yeah, we got to get the fire fits
each ending on Twitter hashtag fire Fitsie. I mean, the
thing is Sheldon Keith, maybe he deserves to go, but
at the end of the day, he didn't sign Dougie
Hamilton to that contract.
Speaker 2: You know, he didn't sign some of these depth players
to the deal.
Speaker 1: If you look across the board, whenever this team has success,
karm it's a handful of players, and that's it. It's
Timo Meyer, it's Nico Hiescher, it's Dawson Mercer, it's a
couple of the guys. It's Jack Hughes of course.
Speaker 2: And that's about it.
Speaker 1: And I think on every single respectable good team you
need to have depth. And I think that that Fitzie
has done an awful job with managing the cap.
Speaker 2: We're living in a cap world like you and.
Speaker 1: I talk about a sport a league every day where
there's cap. Like we're not on a We're not on
a baseball podcast where it's just like, hey, go and
get this player. And it's a little bit different for
what you're going to you know, like, this is a
GM that I think has made some stakes. Yeah, Purlos
says he didn't hire himself. Well, yeah, I think it's
just for me. They've just made a lot of mistakes.
But I'll tell you, I think they can do some retooling.
I don't think this team is going to be a disaster.
I think they could make some right trades, some right decisions,
and it could help the team overall. I look forward
to seeing kind of what this team does over the
next couple of games. But the problem is that they
have is that the Philadelphia Flyers got better, the Pittsburgh
Penguins somehow got better, the New York Islanders certainly got better.
Everybody around them got better, so that makes it a
little bit difficult for them. Here, karm, I got a
quick same game parlay for us, or two parlay legs here,
karm I'll just bring it up on the screen for
us if I can get that, and bang, we got
to here guys. And the funny enough, they're both even money,
all right. We're not going crazy, not knocking your socks
off with some plus seven hundreds. Here we're just pairing
two guys in two different parlays. Here we got Slavkovski
and Demeatov, both them on the second line together. Demidov
did well last time he played against the Vancouver Canucks.
I believe slap Kostk will have a bounce back game.
He was not very good on Saturday Night, but he's
had the best run, the best probably two month stretch
of his career.
Speaker 2: You guys know how it goes.
Speaker 1: Hopefully I can cash a ticket with my Montreal Canadians tonight,
Colorado and Toronto karm. When it comes to this matchup,
I think when you look at the Avalanche, you can
take McKinnon over one and a half points, you can
take Natchez with his stuff, but it's nice to look
at the next tier of options, and I think Natchushkin
and brock Nelson at plus one hundred, it's worth it
to get me involved. If you guys want to bet
the game. Look at that number we had a guy
talking about in the chats. It's minus like what was it,
karm two twenty. So people will say, hey, look, you're
putting two players together to get a point and it's
only plus one hundred. While I'll take that plus one
hundred over a plus or minus two hundred or two twenty.
I think if they have success. I think those two
players will have success and hopefully it will lead us
to a winner Tonight two plus one hundred plays and
I'm betting that same game parlay with my own money.
I think that's good. I think it's plus three hundred.
I think all four of those guys can have a
good night tonight.
Speaker 3: Well, who else is money? Would you bet with?
Speaker 2: Preds?
Speaker 3: Press?
Speaker 2: Come on? I always take Press. And you know he's
got the company account for us.
Speaker 3: I told him to transfer me a couple of bitcoin,
but he just he just gave me the haha moji
and the text but kind of friends, just two little
bitcoins's they're nothing until you cash them in. Okay, Andrew,
Just before I get to the same Game party, just
to finish my last final thoughts for the guys in
the chat talking about the Devils and who can score
the Devils? You know who else can score in the Devils?
Luke Hughes. He scored two goals against his own team
in that three to one loss to Carolina. Both to
the goals were Luke Hughes scoring into his own nets.
So hey, I wonder if there's a prop for that,
will this players score in his own goal? And for
the guy who's asking me for a soccer play, I'll
give you a goal scorer and he's going to have
to score in the other team's net. The Juventus Kremonese
game today. Take Canadian Jonathan David, who got the monkey
off of his shoulders, whatever you want to call it.
He scored a goal last time out plus one twenty
five anytime goal Juventus today for Jonathan David. As we
get ready for the World Cup, and I'm heating up
in soccer. Football's gone well college football Andrew number two
College football for me, I wager talk during the playoffs
and the balls sixteen to five and one absolutely phenomenal.
With that said, you guys have been waiting for the pod,
so let's put it up Andrew Today's pod. Yes, I'm
using the frigid background again. I am taking the under
in the Philadelphia Tampa Bay game six and a half
minus one twenty five. When I put it in, I'm
seeing the numbers drop to six. Here Vadar starting in
goal tonight. Ten straight games where he's allowed three or
fewer goals, but eight of those ten games he's allowed
two or fewer goals. He wasn't in net for that
seven to two loss on Sunday or sorry, Saturday at
home to Tampa Bay. He's in net tonight. We'll look
for the flyers to keep this game under the total
under six and a half is your pod play.
Speaker 1: You know, Karen, when you take unders for your player
of the day, it's not really as not.
Speaker 3: Really because you got to watch the game. And it's
just like when I take a soccer under, someone always
asks me, okay, you got the under in soccer. How
do you watch the game? I go, I don't I watch.
I know the game time, and I will check, like
twenty five minutes into the game a peek at the score,
hope that it still says nil nil. And then I
wait till about three or four minutes after the forty
five minutes because there's normally some added extra time injury time.
I want to see the halftime score neil nil. You
hope that it's there as well too.
Speaker 1: And it's just like this guy says here, losing money
isn't exciting. We need wins, and I agree winning is exciting.
You got a comment here from the Bean Show, and Car,
I don't want to put words in your mouth, but
the six and sixty is a look ahead. Carm's getting
you guys for the Saturday six thoughts and sixty seconds.
You know, we are handicapping games NonStop, Like you know,
when I'm gonna do some more work here for Monday
night football, get my stuff all figured out. I already
have a big play up tonight, four percent best bet,
Gonna figure out if the's anything else that sticks out
to me, round out my NHL card.
Speaker 2: But Karm, you know how it goes.
Speaker 1: We start looking towards the next day, right, We're handicapped
and looking towards the next day as well.
Speaker 2: So we always have thoughts. But just because we have a.
Speaker 1: Thought on something doesn't mean it's a play and it's
a best bet and it makes our record, you know. So, Carm,
you're doing these plays of the day, we're tracking them
one play of the day. You're not giving us six
plays the day every day.
Speaker 3: Yeah no, because the six and sixty is meant to
be a first look at games that stand out to
me prior to the betting line coming out. We do
the show at eleven o'clock on Fridays. Normally, the opening
lines will pop up for the Saturday games at around
twelve thirty one o'clock. And those are lines like not
from sharp books. Those are lines that are coming out
of like fan Duel Fanatics DK, and the totals aren't
true totals as I mentioned, because they like their six
and a halves and they're five and a halves. They
don't like even numbers, So as far as totals, that
goes out the way, and some of the favorites are shaded,
so it's a first look. And then some of those
games I may not want to play, some of them
actually end up making my card. So in a different variation,
you know, I had Colorado and the six and sixty
had Colorado on the regulation line, but as a client play,
I had them at minus one and a half because
that was the better play. The more I dived into it,
giving you guys a pod five pod plays or six
pod plays without an accurate line that you can actually
bet yourselves at your books would be irresponsible on my part,
So that's why I don't do it. And the more
games you bet, you can go four and two with
the six and sixty as pod plays in one night
and lose money depending on the wig. So one play
and that's how it's going to remain. One play a night,
the one I think best fits and hopefully this one
the under and this one fits. So they're obviously tough
games to watch. I'm not gonna be watching this game anyways,
but it's not on my card. But a couple of
plays up for me in the NHL right now, two
more plays going up. I just wanted to wait until
the goaltending matchups were announced because that is an important
part and the morning skate news is starting to come in.
One play will be up. In NFL football went two
in one to open up the wild card weekend, including
a five percent winner yesterday and the Buffalo Bills and soccer.
No plays for me today. There's only a couple of plays.
We're running really good across all sports. So we have
some great deals at wager Talk, and I still say
that twenty five percent off if it's available on the
one year all access is a great deal. Because I
have a ton of stuff going on, including the World Cup.
There's basically gonna be no passing all year long. Andrew's
that's how it is with me. Unfortunately, there's no passing
every single day. I will be working to put up
plays for my clients.
Speaker 1: When you look at this year, with how condensed the
NHL schedule is, then you look at this weekend. There
was Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday of college football and NFL
jam pat college basketball slates. You got all kinds of
good stuff going on, and before we know it, carm,
we're gonna have MLB pack again. You know, I love
handicapping the CFL. It's a full time gig and we
always tell you guys, if you're interested in grabbing our plays.
The seven day pass right now is still available up
and available for sixty nine dollars. I did lose my
play last night in the NFL, but I still went
two and one on the weekend, So it's a ten
and three run for me with NFL Best Bet Player props. Yes,
I'm not happy but last night's loss, but I got
to look at the bright side here, ten and three
thirteen picks, you know what. I'll take that all the time.
Feeling pretty good about that. So far, fast, so far,
it's a two pack for me. In the NHL, let's
rock and roll car meane, we'll try and get a
special going for both of us. With hockey, I'm starting
to see the board well, starting to get back on
track with it once again, which is always a great
feeling hopefully we can make some money here today.
Speaker 2: Guys.
Speaker 1: I love, love, love the fact that we get bigger
slates on a night like Monday. You know who, You know,
people don't really like Mondays. It's kind of a slow
start to your week. And now bang, we got a
bunch of games to handicap and to get to Wishing
you guys all the best of luck today. I hope
you guys have a fantastic Monday. Shout out to all
of you guys that join us live on the show.
But if you can't make the show, comment below. We'll
try and comment back and let you guys know we
appreciate you as well. Hit the like button guys, if
you can. We got to get past at least two
hundred and fifty likes on YouTube. I know it sounds funny,
but it does mean a lot to us. TJ appreciate it, brother,
I appreciate it. We'd love to have you here and
no problem at all. Take care, guys. We'll see you
next time right here on puck Time.