Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.
If you are new, we do always start the show
by being transparent, and yesterday ended up being another good day.
Cash the Magic plus three and a half. They went
out right and cast the over on the Clippers. I
forget who they even play now the Clipper game. Clippers
did most of the heavy lifting anyway, Minnesota. Yeah, easy
winners yesterday. You know, what's up? How you doing?
Speaker 2: We're good. I mean it's the second time I think
that we tag team the Clippers game total over. And
as long as the odds makers are going to give
us numbers like two twenty six and a half, we're
going to go ahead and try and capitalize Tyler's offense
one hundred and fifty three or whatever it was. Just
say it's something crazy, but it was easy. We'll take it.
We'll move out to I feel there's something I had
yesterday that did not win one money because we had
the Clippers big, but oh it was the Pelicans and
Raptors over too. Thirty four got the two thirty three.
That's the one that frustrated me. But nonetheless successful day
because Clippers did the right thing.
Speaker 1: All right, let's get to today's lay quite a bit
of games. We will start at the top. Phoenix and
Indiana opened up minus eight, not the most movement, looks
like eight and a half. Toto did come down a
little bit from two twenty five and a half as
low as two twenty three. For the injuries, you have Grayson, Allen,
height Smith both questionable, Dylan Brooks and Williams out. For
the Pacers, you have McConnell and nim Hart and Nie
Smith questionable, Zubac as well. No Siakam tonight. Yeah, you know,
it's a lot of stinkers towards this back end of
the season. This looks like one of them. I'm completely
un interested, Ravino, But if I had to play, I'm
not laying with the Suns. What do you think?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I feel like I want to trust the Suns
team total again against a bad defense. I did the
other night. They scored one twenty seven Indiana last eight
games one thirty one allowed, one thirty four, one thirty five,
one thirty three, one twenty five, one thirty one, twenty
eight one thirty one. It's crazy. They just don't care
to stop the other team from scoring, and the phoenix number,
of course, because their phoenix is in a doable range
one sixteen and a half. That's a lot less than
you know, eight consecutive one thirties until their last game.
Pacers only gave up one fourteen in their most recent game.
But I think I might try the Suns team total
over here and forget the rest. It looks like a
good spot for their offense to continue to get on tracked.
Speaker 1: All right, I'm gonna keep going down the list. This
next one is Wizards. Magic opened up thirteen and a
half for the Magic. They did get us pay yesterday.
Now it looks like fourteen or fourteen and a half
total is going up open two thirty as how as
two thirty four and a half right now for the
injury report, you have ad Keishawn, George and d Lo
all out for the Magic. Franz Wagner, Anthony Black rode
out right now could add to that injury report as
it is the second of a back to back for them,
although they didn't have to travel. So I think that
a lot of what I said yesterday about the Magic. Yes,
they still need wins, but they need to win by
fifteen here off, You know, I just they haven't been
great in this row and as many points this season.
I have a hard time thinking that they're going to
be good in that row tonight. So, especially after the
Wizards kind of got embarrassed last game, I think the
Wizards are the right side here. What do you think?
Speaker 3: You know?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree with everything Ski. There's really for Orlando.
The job was last night against Cleveland, and they got
it right. They won that game. Now, like you said,
they need wins. I talked yesterday about how they were
at a flat footed tie or they have fallen behind
in the division and in the conference standings. But with
that win, they managed to tie themselves up again with Miami.
Now they can move ahead of Miami. So I do
think they'll win. I think they'll try enough to win.
But you know, this could be one of those where
we just I won't do it, but I think if
I had to, it would be one of those hold
your nose, take that filthy dog with fourteen points and
you know, watch the Magic win by seven or something
and we don't really care enough to cover, but we
care enough to win type of effort.
Speaker 1: I could absolutely see that we have next up sixers
and Pistons another huge point spread open fourteen and a
half looks like fifteen and a half total hasn't moved
that much. Everybody out for the six Ers team maxi
Oubra and b Paul George Bona drumming is questionable. I mean,
the Piston side does have LeVert Thompson and Clintman all out,
but it's looking like there will be no rem protection
for the Sixers. Pistons should be able to name their number.
But I mean, as long as they're interested. They played
good enough defense to cover this as well. But I
probably have well, actually, no, they probably can cover. What
do you think you're.
Speaker 2: Vo Yeah, I wouldn't say it normally, but I do
think because Detroit's been on a little bit of a
skid here as of late. Right, it hasn't gone as
well for them one in seven or two and seven
excuse me against the spread last nine games, but they
had four straight up losses until they pounded Brooklyn the
other that I had their team total. They did the
right thing. I kind of feel like that's what they
would try to do here if you're interested in props,
I mean, if Jalen Durhan doesn't grab twelve plus rebounds
against this team with this lineup out there, then that
would be a little bit head scratching. I don't know
exactly what his number is just through twelve out there
as a general number, but I think Duran will have
a big game inside, you know, like you said it
could because of the lack of improtection. Could be just
a parade to the hoop. I think Detroit if they
hadn't had those four losses in their last five game ski,
I probably don't think they would try all that hard here.
But they're going to want to get this right, I think,
and this is a good spot to get it right.
So b pistons are nothing for me. Like I say,
there's props out there to be had, I just don't
play them. Not interested in total here. But you know what,
Detroit could probably get the one twenty five pretty easy,
which would make this total kind of doable. The Sixers
might not have to get to one hundred to get
this thing over now that I look at the number,
But is what it is. I think Duran props and
maybe pistons if you have to.
Speaker 1: Play bucks in heat total dick off from two twenty
nine and a half Beside, it's two thirty four and
a half. The spread not a whole lot of movement.
KPJ is questionable along with Bobby Porters and Simms for
the heat Hero is questionable. There will be no.
Speaker 3: Yovich, Powell or Wiggins missing some offense could be missing
more with that Hero questionable. Coming off of a with
the BAM eighty three game, I don't know. I would
expect some kind of regression from Miami. The problem is
can we trust Milwaukee.
Speaker 1: Because they looked absolutely Patheticalately, I do like the idea
of them having the best player on the court. You're honest,
do like having Cam Thomas Steel. But why they look
so bad? It's Bucks or nothing? I mean, in this game,
how do you see it?
Speaker 2: You know? Yeah? Well, I mean I know where I've
I've been on Heat overs, Bucks overs, and I wanted
to get to this one over. But the problem was
so many people missing here kind of bothered me. I
don't know that I want to play this thing over
with so many people out. The way I would look
is kind of toward the Milwaukee team total over. But
I don't think I can get their ski because it's
just like we said about Orlando. Miamis the team that's
in the tie with them conference standing. So Miami needs wins.
So I can't really get to anything Milwaukee. Knowing that
Miami's gonna have the effort game, I scratched off my
board so we can move on.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that is a good point. Miami does need some wins.
There maybe a reason to hold off Nets and Hawks.
I mean, I'm willing to just throw this away. Probably
know we get to skip this ring mass Mas and
Grizzly Row. Yeah, man, I'm down. I don't want to
waste anybody's time. I mean, those are terrible games. All
these college games today, all these NBA games. What we
got to talk about those two Nuggets is Nuggets and
Spurs a lot better opened up minus six and a
half for San Antonio is down to five and a
half for six total open two thirty six, and that's
its highest two thirty nine and a half. Peyton Watson
is the only person I see on the injury report
for the Nuggets. For the Spurs, though Wimby is questionable, Harrison,
Barnes and Waters questionable. I know Weinby, you know, can
only miss so many games to be eligible for his awards.
I like to think that he still goes out there
and plays. You know, if he does play, I can
maybe come back in and at least consider better than
this game under. I mean, we know what he brings
to the defense, and I just can't help but think
in a matchup like this, like to the you know,
heavyweights in the West, if you want to call them
like that, I think they play play a good defensive game.
At the very least, maybe they'll make some tough shots,
but I do think they'll play defense as long as
Limby's on the court. What do you think Nuggets and
Spurs here?
Speaker 2: You know, yeah, to that point, if Victor Wimenyama plays,
We've seen it twice in a row now where he
ramped up his play when the other side featured somebody
that you know, he could be thought of as in
the elite category of When he played against Jalen during
that center he dominated. And then when they played the
Celtics the other night, it was late, it was fourth
quarter where they really pulled away, but still san Antonio
did the job for me. I think we had Denver
pretty well pegged last night against the Rockets six and
a half, seven point favorite. There was never any doubt
about that game and in you know, naturally I would
like to play against Denver here, having to travel to
see Antonio and take on the Spurs who seemed to
want to beat anybody in this elite category. But Denver's
minutes were kept way down last night's ski. Nobody played
excessive minutes and they weren't taxing minutes, so Denver should
be fresh. And of course, like we said yesterday, Denver's
now moved up to fifth barely, but they were on
the verge of not being a playoff team but a
play in team yesterday. They still need wins. Leads me
to believe that both of these sides are going to
play really hard here because you have to love what
you've seen out of the Spurs when they've had to
ramp it up against the top competition in the NBA.
And I think when Denver's called upon now that they're healthy,
when they're called upon to ramp it up, this could be,
you know, could be an absolute preview of something deep
into the Western Conference playoffs. So I'm kind of at
a little here, but I somewhat would agree with you
that maybe an under let me just add this as
I close out here, Every day. When we talk about Denver,
we talk about head coach Adelman's desire for them to
pick it up on the defensive end for a playoff push.
And last night against Houston they played really good defense.
So when you were mentioning under, I think that could
be a look here because we know seeing in tone
can play it. And if Denver has their mindset on, hey,
Aaron Gordon's back, we're healthy. Now we got our guys,
I could see them playing defense here as well.
Speaker 1: Yeah, just I'm out. If Wemby's out, Weinby's out going
to do a defense. So I'm putting waiting, but I'm
absolutely looking that way. Celtics and thunder six was the opener.
Seven and a half is what we see right now
for okay, see total right around the opener of two
sixteen injury report. Carlson, Harderstein and jadab all out for okay.
See for the Celtics, you have Derek White questionable, not
Tatum Novusevich for this one tonight, okay, see hasn't I
don't know did they cover a spread yet? They've been
I know they've been bad. If they did, it's like
one of their last six or seven. But Celtics. They've
been playing good basketball. Could be pretty short handed tonight,
you know, with with the people already out and Derek
White questionable, it's very hard to look their way. I
think I would I would almost prefer an under yeah
to sixteen. It is a little bit low, but two
teams that are very capable of playing defense. I would
think under here, Rob, you know, how about you?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I just want to get you the numbers on
your okay see points spread stuff. Oh, in six last
six games against the spread haven't covered winning games. They're
five and one in those six games straight up. But
it just shows you that they're generally overpriced. I really
wanted to play Boston here in this game. Skied the
injuries obviously keep me off because they had you know,
they come out here to play San Antonio and Oka.
See they get beat by san Antonio. I know Boston's
a prideful bunch. I figured, well, they'll probably play Oklahoma
City really tough. And then you get not Tatum and
you get possibly no Derek White, which is a ton
of defense on the Boston side, and you know Vussovich
out for the three weeks or whatever, he's going to
be out for doesn't help them at the rim either
in this case. So knowing that you know, Oklahoma City
is such a you know, two point range lane penetration,
get to the rim type team, that this could be
problematic for Boston. Like I say, I understand the movement
upward toward OKC. The oh to six against the spread
last six games obviously doesn't help out. But you know,
I just feel like they'll be motivated here against Boston,
and Boston it's the last game of a road trip.
It almost seems to me like Boston is saying, let's
just keep everybody healthy and get back home. I don't
know where the interest level is. I would have hoped
that they wanted to play this game, but it seems
to me that they're going to play hard, but they're
just not all that intent on winning this game. So
probably Oklahoma City if I was going to play.
Speaker 1: I think that's a good analysis, all right, Last game,
Bulls and Lakers open ten and a half looks like
eleven total? Is this the opener two twenty nine and
a half all the way up to two thirty eight
and a half almost ten points there? Nine point move
on the total and you have a lot on the
injury report. Bozelli's Giddy Smith are probable. Okoro, Sexton, Williams,
Yabuselli are questionable. Ivy and Simon's are out for the Lakers.
Jackson Hayes is probable. Lebron and Maxi Cleba are questionable.
Marcus Smart is doubtful. Yeah, I mean taking away some
defense from Marcus Smart. Lakers still can Lakers can score
words anybody, and they're not the best defensively. I can
understand why this total has moved up here. It's just
a matter of, you know, at what point has it
moved too much. I don't have a lot of interest
in laying double digits with the Lakers here. I think
it would be bulls plus and I don't know, I
can't get the ass into that over, you know, so
probably just bulls plus here. What do you think?
Speaker 2: Yeah? And I you know, I tried to isolate it
just in my thought process. Let me try Lakers team
total over what we talked about the other day when
I asked you if you subscribe to the theory that
Reeves and Luca on the court together is makes the
LA offense, or that at least it works a little
bit better it has worked better lately, but they want
one twenty five for a team total here, and I
don't want to play the Lakers to have to get
to one twenty six in this game. If it ends
up being some kind of route, then I don't know
what I'm going to get late out of LA. So
it's a hard game to play here. Ski for me,
at least total wise and sidewise. Again. I always like
to repeat what you tell me on other shows, but
if we can't trust you to get stops, we can't
trust you to lay eleven, that's for sure. So I
don't know I laid off this game. There's a couple
others I like better, So I'm not going to play,
and I'll be up till eleven thirty at night rooting
for college basketball. I don't need another NBA game to
have to root for it.
Speaker 1: I feel you on that, all right. That is the
NBA car for today. So before we get the best bets,
let's go ahead and do a little bit of this
promo that we do the three days, buy three days,
get three free six days for just sixty nine dollars.
That's still going good way to be involved. Yeah, last
week I went one eleven and seven so far this week,
I think I'm five and one. Were making some money,
and Robert's been doing well was you know as well?
If you want to go longer, you can do the
full year all access passed. It comes out to under
four dollars per day and you'll get a twenty five
percent bonus. Keep on and use on whatever else you
would like on the site. It's a lot of different
ways to get involved, you know. On that note, I'm
going to pass it to you. If there was anything
else you would like to promote, feel free and if
you have a best bet for the show, we would
love to hear it. If you don't, it's all good.
Speaker 2: Yeah, let's go ahead and get right to the best
bet here. SKI got a couple to choose from here
before the for the chat, I'm going to leave the
Phoenix team total over. I just Indiana has no interest
in defending anybody last ten games, and Phoenix showed some
signs of offensive life the other night with their one
twenty seven. So odds of bakers are asking me for
one sixteen and a half. I think that's doable. Lot
of the Suns. That's the way I played it, so
since I played it, I can leave it as the
best bet Phoenix team total over one sixteen and a half.
Speaker 1: All right, good stuff from Robno For myself, I will
we'll do something a little different today. So I only
have so far at least one play in the NBA
and one play in college basketball, and the player in NBA.
It is my top play and it's the play that
I have up for a package. So I just feel
like it's not right to give it out here. But
like hardwood has been good. We're up like sixty five
units on the hardwood. So what I will do is
just give everybody a reminder. Good old Houston is playing today.
They played by us, the real Cougars versus the fake
and BYU has not been the best first half team.
I don't have the exact numbers in front of me.
It was a stretch whatever, really poor for like maybe
ten games, but haven't been the best first half team
in general. Houston opposite now this year has been you know,
not as strong as previous but they're still twenty and twelve,
I believe in the first half, so I expect them
to come out throw the first punch, and honestly, I
think they'll cover the full game, but the best bet
I'll leave for the show's Houston Cougar's first half minus
five and a half in college basketball. We no always
appreciate you taking the time to do the show. That's
my process. We talk out some of these winners, and
I'm sure we help out everybody else as well. Chat
We appreciate you good people, good vibes, good insight, and yeah,
we all help. You have to get to the window.
So best of luck everybody on all your action. We
will be back again tomorrow