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Speaker 1: What's going on? Everybody, Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.

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If you are new, we always start this show by

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being transparent. Yesterday ended up being a good day, six

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and three overall in the association. I got there with

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a lot of stuff as the day went on, Raveno,

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I know I was, you know, I'm still sick. I'm

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feeling a little better today, but yesterday it was like

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I was, I was slow getting there, But by the

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end of the day I felt more confident. So Blazers

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plus four and a half, Lakers money line, Nuggets minus

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nine and a half, Calves minus ten and a half,

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Jazz teams total under one, eleven and a half, Pistons

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minus nine and a half. Those were all the winners,

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and then the losers were Keyshawn George over thirteen and

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a half points. He can't stay out of foul trouble.

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He's in foul trouble every game, and I know he

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still gets it. You know some of those games, or

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you know most of those games, but not yesterday. Grizzlies

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was a disaster, and the Mavericks they just sucked. So

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six and three overall. We'll try to keep that going

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here today. How you doing, ROBIEO, I'm doing good skiing.

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Speaker 2: I I knew something was up because on X I

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saw you post the clip is loaded, so that's shooters

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shoot here we go, you know, load up tonight.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I had a two in one yesterday in the NBA.

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Speaker 4: What we left for the audience was the Sixers team

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total over one twelve and a half. They got their

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pretty easily high scoring game. We got there with the

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Portland team total last night, big fourth quarter out of them.

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I think the number was one twelve and a half

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they got over.

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Speaker 3: The bad was really bad.

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Speaker 4: I mean, what was I think in laying eight and

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a half with the Dallas Mavericks. I got to be

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out of my mind and.

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Speaker 1: It started, but he stuck it up.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean it was not good.

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Speaker 4: You can't lose at home to the Pelicans on the

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stand when the Pelicans are in the second of back back,

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but they did so it cost us there two in

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one NBA only one NBA game tonight, which is kind

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of lame for a Thursday night, but we'll get to it.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, well we'll deal with it. What Gilbert said. Yeah,

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the Pelicans had so many injuries they were forced to

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play Queen. He ended up playing well for them and

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they got the w so that was interesting. We'll see

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if he starts to get some more minutes. He should

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after that performance. All right, you know, let's get to it.

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One NBA game, like you said, that is Clippers going

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into Phoenix. That's to face the Suns open up minus

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or the opener I have is five and a half

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for the Clippers as a favorite, but we know Kawhi

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James Harden got rolled out. Now we see Phoenix at

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minus three total open two twenty six and it looks

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like it's as low as two twenty three and a half.

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Jalen Green is probable for the speeding side. They will

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not have Dylan Brooks, and then you have Grayson Allen

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also questionable. A couple of different ways I feel about

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this game, Robino, that total makes sense. I mean, how

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you're missing a hell of a lot of points. You're

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taking out Kawhi and James Harden. I mean you're missing

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playmaking too, just from that aspect, and you know you

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probably will see you'll see more CP three and he's

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not gonna play super up tempo. I would I would

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agree with the total coming down, So starting there. How

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do you feel about that?

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Speaker 4: I would agree, and I'll tell you at first I

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didn't because when I saw no Harden, no Kawhi, I thought, okay,

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maybe the Clippers will get a little quicker without them

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on the floor. And then you just go through the

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Clippers top ten and you realize they're not getting quicker

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no matter who's out those there's they got ten guys

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that don't move yet. Bradley Beale, now a little more

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of him, Like you say a little more Chris Paul,

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probably some brook low Pez. I mean it just it

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goes on and on. So it's a slow footed team, obviously.

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I like this quote and a couple of things here.

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I was reading somebody who wrote, since Tyleru's face was

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seen at a poker game, the Clippers are one and

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four against the spread. Like that's going good for Tyer Lou,

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who I guess berated his team. I'll read you the quote.

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You might have heard it already. After the game, Lou

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said he was sick of the same old shit over

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and over after they lost that home versus Miami. He

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was referring to their turnover problem. The next game, LA

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was waxed at home by Oka se and they turned

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it over nineteen times. So obviously whatever he's saying, they're

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not listening at I think to start the year we

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might have had him pegged. At least I followed your lead.

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A team that's real slow, that's not gonna do all

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that much. I don't know what the preseason hype about

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them really was. It's a chance for Phoenix to take

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advantage Ski if nothing else. I think they're fifth in

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the league in steals. They get beat. Somebody just posted

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right there, Phoenix revenge. They get beat one four to

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start the season, maybe the second game or so, so

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you could throw that in there too. I just don't

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like the fact that this game has moved eight and

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a half points. You know, you really want to get

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on the wrong end of that. But I could build

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a case for the Phoenix Suns here, we'll see. I

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didn't play. I gotta be honest, I didn't play either way.

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After hearing what you said, I think maybe the undersounds

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the most reasonable of things that that we've talked about.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, not only is it, you know, double digit revenge,

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Well actually yeah, it's the third game in four nights

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for the Clippers too, right, So I mean, you see

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all the guys out already, it looks real easy to

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go take the Suns. I'll tell you that whoever has

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been at home in Sons games have covered the spread eight. No,

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it looks it looks very, very easy to go and

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bet the Suns. But like you said, after that huge

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line move, I don't really want to be on that side,

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and I don't want to be on the side that

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everybody's running to the window with. So what you were

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saying about, ty Lou, the last game they played was

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versus Thunder. So the game before that was Miami, Right.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, he was mad they turned it over too much,

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yielded the team, and then they turned it over just

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as much against the Casey.

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Speaker 1: Well, okay, see, I mean they're the champs. They're a

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really good defensive team. That's what they do. They turn

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people over. So I think, if I'm not mistaken, well,

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actually Kawhi and James Harden I think both played, or

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maybe it was just James Harden. No, Kawhi didn't play. Yeah,

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I'm not putting too much into that Thunder one. You know,

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the Thunder can run anybody out the gym. The Sun's team,

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we gotta talk about it when they start laying points.

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I know they've been good at home, right but I

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just don't view this as that good of a team.

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You're also gonna get another high usage player coming back

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into the lineup with Jalen Green playing his first game.

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Who knows how he throws off whatever whatever rhythm they

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have going on over there in Phoenix. So what I

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am going to play here? I'll play Chris Paul over

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fifteen and a half pr And I mean I'll give

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Russ credit. You know, he's playing well right now. He

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looked damn good yesterday versus the backups and whatever. Maybe

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Chris Paul can turn the clock back too. I mean,

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he's getting dogged on Twitter. They're saying Chris Paul can

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go anywhere, but Westbrook was blackball and Chris Paul can

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only score two points. And everybody's talking about Chris Paul,

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you know, in this game or I'm sorry they played

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once already, right that was with Kawhi and James Harden.

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CP three only played or he played nineteen minutes. That's

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the most he's played all season. He had eight assists

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and he had three rebounds. He didn't score. I mean

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between Kawhi and James Harden. I think they had fifty seven,

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but there's no Kawhi, there's no James Harden. Today, there's

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a lot more opportunities to be had to score. And

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I think he'll get even more minutes than that nineteen

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he got in that first meeting they had because it's

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not enough bodies, not enough playmaking. So I can see

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him getting to the mid range. I can see him

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pick and roll, you know, find everybody. He grabs these

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rebounds and pushes it, you know, kicks it up ahead

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in transition to I think this is a game where

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Chris Paul turns back the clock. You can look at

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him versus Phoenix. Since he's left, I think he averages

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eighteen point eight PR, and that's with the game before

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last year only had one PR. And he still averages

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eighteen point eight, So he's capable. He'll have the minutes.

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I'm not like everybody else who thinks he's absolutely done,

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can't do anything. I think he gets sixteen PR tonight.

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What do you think about that and anything else on

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this one? Upper says Chris Paul's goingly the tennis balls

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in the locker room today.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, that's fantastic.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it's hard to argue you offer that ski, especially

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since I don't play a ton of player props, so

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I won't put up too much resistance against the Chris

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Paul play. I would love to have been on Phoenix.

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I think the point being made when I was reading

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about the Tylo quotes was that Phoenix is the fifth

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is number five in the NBA and steels and if

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LA's turning it over that much, maybe Phoenix can capitalize

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on that because they were a Steel team to not

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quite the okay see pressure team nobody.

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Speaker 3: Is, but maybe they.

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Speaker 4: But again, I just don't feel like laying three points

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with the Phoenix Suns at this point, so we'll see

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how it goes.

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Speaker 1: Yup bad shout out to Ukapa reminded everybody to hit

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the like button. Yeah, you guys don't want to hear

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me over here coughing and clearing my throat, so I

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got to hit that mute button. But if you guys

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could hit the like button, it would help out the

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show quite a bit. We would appreciate it. Brian Is

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asked about Grayson Allen assists he's questionable first of all,

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so whatever injury, he's dealing with not a good and

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outside of that, I mean, he's been hitting his assist number,

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but a lot of those minutes are gonna be taken

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from him tonight with Jalen Green coming back into the lineup.

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So I would think a little bit more towards under

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on Grayson Allen if I was not over anything else,

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was there another question on this game? I don't think so,

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Gilber says Derrick Jones Jr. Derrick Jones Junior. Threes don't

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have any opinion there, and I think, uh, Gilber says

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Gillespie threes. I think we can move on unless you

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have anything else on Clipper Sons.

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Speaker 3: Let's go Ski. I never play on it, so I'm done,

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all right.

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Speaker 1: Raiders and Broncos Thursday Night Football open as a nine

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and a half point favorite for your boys. Over there,

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Ravino looks like nine. I mean it's all over the place.

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I see an eight and a half, I see a nine,

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I see a nine and a half, I see a ten.

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I mean, just pick whatever you want in this game.

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You can get it. The total open forty two and

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a half, and that looks like forty three. I have

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all right. So here's how I feel about this from Ravino.

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These Broncos and the words of my Gudjay Money, they

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are teetering on a loss. They just keep finding a

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way to barely pull it out. Like I feel like,

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I feel like it's overvalued the right word. I mean,

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they've almost been losing these games. Now you lose certain

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I mean, that's gonna hurt that defense. I know you

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can get pressure, but you're not gonna have that coverage,

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or you know, you're not gonna be able to shut

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off the side of the field or lock down whoever

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he locks down. I just I think that the Broncos

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passing defense can be had. I know Gino's look bad

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as far as you know, He's stolen a lot of pigs,

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all that stuff. But nine and a half points here

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for a Broncos team. Who let's take a look at

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their game log. The only team that they beat by

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margin was the Cowboys, who have like almost the worst

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defense in the league, if not the worst, probably the worst.

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They beat the Texans by three, They beat the Giants

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by one and an epic fourth quarter comeback, scoring thirty

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three points. They beat the Jets by two. They beat

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the Eagles. Beyfore, I mean that's a good win. But

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the point is they're not winning these games by margin.

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And I know that the Raiders are not the greatest,

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but division game giving me, you know, two scores, I'm

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looking towards the Raiders here? Can you talk me off

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of the Raiders?

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Speaker 4: Now, I'm gonna ask you, can we start a rob

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Veno if you know you know category? Because I probably

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repeat myself too much on this run total. There a

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bully offense team total. Listen, it's such a step down

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in class from last week. Remember we talked about the

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Broncos Texans and we talked about how the pass rush

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on both sides was going to affect both quarterbacks. Denver

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winds up Adam you know it's personal file. But they

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did knock see J. Stroud out of the game. Davis

247
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Mills came in, Denver did not a Patrick Sutana in

248
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that game. Didn't matter. They only allowed fifteen points. You

249
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could argue maybe if CJ was in the game, they

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could have scored twenty, but that game wasn't going up

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and down the field, is my point at all. So

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for Denver, they faced a really good defense one more time.

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They did nothing on offense, absolutely nothing. I say it

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all the time, but here get the Raiders, a team

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that allows twenty six and a half points, a team

256
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that inside the division this year has been beaten by

257
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double digits by the Chargers twenty to nine, has been

258
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beaten by the Chiefs thirty one to nothing.

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Speaker 3: We had the Chiefs team total that day.

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Speaker 4: They scored the first five times they had the ball,

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had that ticket cash in the third quarter. They've scored

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nine points total against AFC West defenses this year, Case

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and La and now Denver's just as good of a defense.

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So I don't want to divert to the side because

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I'm not even looking at the side. I'm looking totally

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at Denver's team total over twenty six and a half.

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I'll say one last thing. That trade deadline came and went,

268
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and all the talk of Denver beat Riders, of Denver media,

269
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et cetera, et cetera, was they have to go out there.

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Rashid Shahid is the guy they were looking at.

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Speaker 3: They want. Jalen Waddle was another.

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Speaker 4: What they needed a wide receiver to add to this

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00:14:54,200 --> 00:14:57,559
offense because it's just not as explosive. Sean Payton's answer

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to that, we have everything we need to win right

275
00:15:00,279 --> 00:15:04,039
in this building. If you believe that, you better go

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out and prove it two days after the trade deadline ended.

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So I'd expect Denver one more time ski like they

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did against Cincinnati, like they did against Dallas, to score

279
00:15:12,919 --> 00:15:17,600
their points. Whether they win by ten, that's in question

280
00:15:17,759 --> 00:15:20,720
for sure, but I think they'll get over twenty six

281
00:15:20,759 --> 00:15:23,759
and a half. I played it already. It's kind of

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00:15:23,799 --> 00:15:26,639
systematic for me at this point. Play them team total

283
00:15:26,759 --> 00:15:30,639
under against the really good defenses, the elite defenses, play

284
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them over against the poor defenses, which is La or

285
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Las Vegas. Why do I keep calling them La Las Vegas?

286
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Speaker 1: Yeah? Yeah, if you know, you know for sure that's

287
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the Rob Veno, like U Capra says Rob Team total

288
00:15:46,440 --> 00:15:49,879
Veno like that one.

289
00:15:51,759 --> 00:15:51,960
Speaker 3: You know.

290
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Speaker 1: And I'm just looking at these prop numbers because I

291
00:15:54,440 --> 00:15:56,720
was waiting for them to move or just seeing where

292
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they have moved. Let me ask you a question here, Rob.

293
00:16:00,039 --> 00:16:02,000
You know this is a general question, not specifically for

294
00:16:02,080 --> 00:16:07,879
this game. Do quarterbacks tend to run more in your opinion,

295
00:16:08,360 --> 00:16:10,159
versus man coverage.

296
00:16:09,799 --> 00:16:11,879
Speaker 3: Or zone man?

297
00:16:12,600 --> 00:16:16,840
Speaker 1: No question, because everybody's covering somebody that got their back turn.

298
00:16:17,039 --> 00:16:19,879
They're just following them right versus his own. They're just

299
00:16:19,919 --> 00:16:21,559
looking at you and looking at who's in front.

300
00:16:21,399 --> 00:16:22,399
Speaker 3: Of them, right right.

301
00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:28,080
Speaker 1: It hasn't necessarily been the case for bon Knicks and

302
00:16:28,159 --> 00:16:32,080
the Broncos. Like Sean Payton has said that he wants

303
00:16:32,200 --> 00:16:37,720
bo Nicks to pretty much go through your progressions. Don't

304
00:16:37,759 --> 00:16:39,159
be trying to look to get out early and run

305
00:16:39,320 --> 00:16:40,960
or else you're going to miss the big play. And

306
00:16:41,000 --> 00:16:43,399
he said that too. And if you look at what

307
00:16:43,480 --> 00:16:46,320
he's done, should pull it up here. If you look

308
00:16:46,320 --> 00:16:50,799
at what he's done the first half of I guess

309
00:16:50,879 --> 00:16:54,320
the first four weeks, I'll say rather he was running

310
00:16:54,480 --> 00:16:58,519
a lot like eight Russians seven Russias, like he was

311
00:16:58,600 --> 00:17:01,720
running all the time whenevery he could or wanted to.

312
00:17:02,360 --> 00:17:05,559
But in the past five weeks, not so much. He's

313
00:17:05,599 --> 00:17:08,279
sitting there taking his time seeing who he can find,

314
00:17:08,359 --> 00:17:12,119
going through his progressions. And I asked you that question

315
00:17:12,200 --> 00:17:14,720
because look, and I can't pull it up here for

316
00:17:14,759 --> 00:17:17,079
some reason. My thing is tripping. But I went through

317
00:17:17,079 --> 00:17:22,000
the numbers and he's the opposite. Maybe it's just because

318
00:17:22,000 --> 00:17:24,880
of what Sean Payton said and what he said, but

319
00:17:25,400 --> 00:17:29,960
he's not running verse man coverage like he hasn't cleared

320
00:17:32,640 --> 00:17:34,440
the five and a half that we were looking at

321
00:17:34,680 --> 00:17:37,640
last night and earlier this morning. He hasn't cleared that

322
00:17:37,839 --> 00:17:43,839
versus man coverage, but he does clear it versus zone,

323
00:17:44,000 --> 00:17:46,319
and I just thought that that was interesting to me.

324
00:17:46,799 --> 00:17:49,960
So maybe does this make sense? You can tell me

325
00:17:49,960 --> 00:17:54,200
if I'm wrong. He's going through his progressions and he

326
00:17:54,319 --> 00:17:56,119
just knows, like when you're in zone, it's not like

327
00:17:56,200 --> 00:17:58,000
they're following the guy around. They can break open. He

328
00:17:58,039 --> 00:17:59,920
knows when everything's over and he has to get out

329
00:17:59,920 --> 00:18:02,960
of there. I think those are the only times he's

330
00:18:03,000 --> 00:18:06,519
choosing to run. And the Raiders our team that plays

331
00:18:06,519 --> 00:18:08,880
ahead of out of the zone. I think mostly zone

332
00:18:08,960 --> 00:18:12,359
the Raiders play. So yesterday his prop was five and

333
00:18:12,400 --> 00:18:15,359
a half. It was juice to the under minus one seventy.

334
00:18:16,599 --> 00:18:19,839
Now it's dropped to four and a half. The over

335
00:18:20,039 --> 00:18:23,640
is minus one forty three and the under is.

336
00:18:25,200 --> 00:18:25,519
Speaker 3: My bad.

337
00:18:25,599 --> 00:18:27,759
Speaker 1: Let me get it back here. The under is plus

338
00:18:27,799 --> 00:18:31,000
one ten on four and a half. I'm gonna pull

339
00:18:31,000 --> 00:18:34,759
this up on my phone just because my computer is

340
00:18:35,079 --> 00:18:38,440
tripping right now. But I'm pretty sure he cleared four

341
00:18:38,480 --> 00:18:40,640
and a half in all of those games versus team

342
00:18:41,720 --> 00:18:45,000
in zone. So I was waiting for it to drop.

343
00:18:45,680 --> 00:18:48,279
I think at the minus one forty three at four

344
00:18:48,279 --> 00:18:50,400
and a half could be a reason to get in

345
00:18:50,680 --> 00:18:53,160
any thoughts while I look at this number really quick.

346
00:18:54,519 --> 00:18:56,920
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'll say a couple of things on that, and

347
00:18:56,960 --> 00:18:58,960
I'm just looking here. Last week he only carried the

348
00:18:59,000 --> 00:19:01,119
ball three times against the Houston pass rush.

349
00:19:01,160 --> 00:19:02,279
Speaker 3: That's really, really good.

350
00:19:03,279 --> 00:19:05,079
Speaker 4: I tried to look it up while you were talking

351
00:19:05,119 --> 00:19:07,279
Ski and I can't find out exactly when it was,

352
00:19:07,319 --> 00:19:08,599
but I know it was back at the beginning of

353
00:19:08,640 --> 00:19:10,759
the year. Bo Nicks took off and ran and got

354
00:19:10,839 --> 00:19:14,240
dinged and wound up in the concussion tent. Didn't have

355
00:19:15,000 --> 00:19:17,759
to sit out a week, got through the protocol. But

356
00:19:17,799 --> 00:19:20,319
I think it was at that point where Sean Payton

357
00:19:20,359 --> 00:19:23,160
stood up and said, you know, obviously we can't afford

358
00:19:23,200 --> 00:19:26,680
to lose you. You gotta sit back, read the progressions,

359
00:19:26,720 --> 00:19:28,640
and you go if you have to go, but you're

360
00:19:28,680 --> 00:19:30,960
not going to go at the rate you were going

361
00:19:31,480 --> 00:19:33,559
to start the season. I forget which game it was,

362
00:19:33,640 --> 00:19:35,400
exactly like I said, I was trying to look it up,

363
00:19:35,599 --> 00:19:37,599
but it happened back towards the start of the season,

364
00:19:38,640 --> 00:19:40,880
and it kind of correlates with the numbers that you had,

365
00:19:40,880 --> 00:19:43,599
where the drop off occurs. You know, it's a lot

366
00:19:43,640 --> 00:19:44,839
of runs, a lot of runs, and all of a

367
00:19:44,839 --> 00:19:47,000
sudden it's not many runs anymore.

368
00:19:47,480 --> 00:19:48,319
Speaker 3: Got to be chased.

369
00:19:48,079 --> 00:19:51,960
Speaker 4: Around a little bit by Max Crosby tonight. Maybe if

370
00:19:51,960 --> 00:19:53,960
you have to get out, you have to get out sometimes.

371
00:19:54,000 --> 00:19:57,640
I think there was a game where they were coming

372
00:19:57,680 --> 00:20:01,759
from behind, the Eagles game, and I don't think he

373
00:20:01,920 --> 00:20:04,480
ran in that one much either, though I'm trying to remember.

374
00:20:04,519 --> 00:20:06,519
They remember they were down like fourteen in the fourth

375
00:20:06,599 --> 00:20:08,720
quarter and they wound up winning that game against Philly

376
00:20:08,759 --> 00:20:11,519
in Philly, So I could see your point, I think,

377
00:20:13,720 --> 00:20:16,839
And I won't say it's not because of man or zone,

378
00:20:17,279 --> 00:20:19,279
but I will say I think it's because of the

379
00:20:19,319 --> 00:20:23,920
game where he got into the concussion tent and Sean

380
00:20:23,960 --> 00:20:26,720
Payton kind of put his foot down.

381
00:20:26,559 --> 00:20:28,119
Speaker 3: So to speak, and said, we're not going to do

382
00:20:28,200 --> 00:20:28,759
this all season.

383
00:20:28,799 --> 00:20:30,880
Speaker 4: Well, because you're not going to be around for seventeen games,

384
00:20:31,000 --> 00:20:34,640
and that may be the reason why he doesn't take

385
00:20:34,680 --> 00:20:37,559
off as much as possible. So yeah, that's a huge

386
00:20:37,640 --> 00:20:39,799
drop on a sack total. Though for the number from

387
00:20:40,240 --> 00:20:42,240
five and a half down a full sack to four

388
00:20:42,240 --> 00:20:42,799
and a half.

389
00:20:42,599 --> 00:20:44,880
Speaker 1: To rush rushing rushing rush attempts.

390
00:20:44,960 --> 00:20:47,599
Speaker 4: Yeah, they're giving you plus money on it now, But

391
00:20:48,319 --> 00:20:51,440
to see it fall a rushing attempt number to fall

392
00:20:51,480 --> 00:20:54,079
by one full is I don't know.

393
00:20:54,160 --> 00:20:55,880
Speaker 3: I don't study him that much, but it seems like

394
00:20:55,920 --> 00:20:56,240
a lot.

395
00:20:57,400 --> 00:20:59,960
Speaker 1: Well it's because I mean people like to bet the street.

396
00:21:00,440 --> 00:21:02,319
And he stayed under five and a half in five

397
00:21:02,359 --> 00:21:06,079
straight games, right, And like you said, they've been focused

398
00:21:06,079 --> 00:21:13,000
on that running two of those games landed exactly on five. Yeah,

399
00:21:13,039 --> 00:21:15,000
maybe this is what I'll think about a little bit more.

400
00:21:15,319 --> 00:21:21,000
But I'm definitely looking at bo knicks rushing prop one

401
00:21:21,000 --> 00:21:23,079
way or the other. And even in the games like

402
00:21:23,200 --> 00:21:26,599
he's been running less but he's been more efficient, Like

403
00:21:26,759 --> 00:21:29,240
the Texans game, I had him over twenty and a

404
00:21:29,279 --> 00:21:32,119
half rushing yards. He only ran three times, but he

405
00:21:32,200 --> 00:21:36,960
cleared that, you know. So Yeah, I'm gonna think about

406
00:21:36,960 --> 00:21:38,599
it a little bit longer, but just wanted to talk

407
00:21:38,599 --> 00:21:39,519
it out a little bit here.

408
00:21:40,279 --> 00:21:43,799
Speaker 4: Raiders pressure rates ski real quick. The Raiders quarterback pressure

409
00:21:43,839 --> 00:21:46,440
rate is one of the lowest in the league. And

410
00:21:46,519 --> 00:21:49,200
if he's got time to sit back there tonight, maybe

411
00:21:49,319 --> 00:21:52,480
it does stay under his rushing attempt total. Because they're

412
00:21:52,599 --> 00:21:55,319
likely to run against Las Vegas, which doesn't play good

413
00:21:55,359 --> 00:21:58,880
run defense. So you know, fundamentally, maybe it sets up

414
00:21:58,920 --> 00:22:00,680
as a rush attempt under game.

415
00:22:01,759 --> 00:22:02,400
Speaker 3: But we'll see.

416
00:22:02,440 --> 00:22:05,400
Speaker 4: I know that Peyton doesn't want him getting hurt, that's.

417
00:22:05,200 --> 00:22:10,440
Speaker 1: For sure, all right. You know, I don't think we're

418
00:22:10,480 --> 00:22:13,160
gonna get too in depth today, but let's just see

419
00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:14,839
if there's anything that stands out a little bit and

420
00:22:14,880 --> 00:22:16,440
talk a little bit of things out for week ten,

421
00:22:16,559 --> 00:22:17,319
if that's cool with you.

422
00:22:17,960 --> 00:22:22,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, all right, my bad.

423
00:22:22,559 --> 00:22:25,279
Speaker 1: Let me pull up the NFL on my high screen

424
00:22:25,319 --> 00:22:28,559
here without even pulling it up. I mean, you know

425
00:22:28,559 --> 00:22:37,160
who we got to talk about robo Chargers laying them

426
00:22:37,160 --> 00:22:38,200
points again, Man.

427
00:22:39,039 --> 00:22:44,359
Speaker 3: That's your category. I learned that over the years.

428
00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:47,759
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, it keeps open three and a half.

429
00:22:47,799 --> 00:22:52,079
It's come down. I understand why it's coming down. I mean,

430
00:22:53,480 --> 00:22:58,240
this Chargers team, they look really good. They look good.

431
00:22:58,240 --> 00:23:00,720
How do you want to call it when Joe Joe

432
00:23:01,079 --> 00:23:04,000
is on the field, when he's not, Oh my god,

433
00:23:04,200 --> 00:23:06,400
Joe Herbert got a run for his life. He got

434
00:23:06,400 --> 00:23:10,960
about one point five seconds to throw. The opposing team

435
00:23:11,039 --> 00:23:13,720
is living in the backfield. The Chargers have won one game,

436
00:23:15,079 --> 00:23:18,039
without Joe, I think they've lost three or four something

437
00:23:18,079 --> 00:23:20,559
like that. Three I think actually they lost three without

438
00:23:20,599 --> 00:23:30,039
him one one. I just I would ask how good

439
00:23:30,519 --> 00:23:32,880
Pittsburgh's d line is. Are they gonna be able to

440
00:23:32,920 --> 00:23:37,119
take advantage and get after them? If they are, it's

441
00:23:37,119 --> 00:23:38,880
hard to look at any other way than the Steelers.

442
00:23:39,119 --> 00:23:42,079
If they can't, maybe the Chargers can win. Stand for

443
00:23:42,119 --> 00:23:42,440
a game.

444
00:23:42,759 --> 00:23:45,440
Speaker 3: What do you think, Well, you have TJ.

445
00:23:45,559 --> 00:23:48,039
Speaker 4: Watt on the other side, and nobody is after it

446
00:23:48,119 --> 00:23:50,359
like TJ Watt, and if he's gonna pick on a

447
00:23:50,559 --> 00:23:53,920
you know, it's a shame for the Chargers' ski because

448
00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:58,359
they can hold up when it was only Joe Walt.

449
00:23:58,400 --> 00:24:00,839
You know, they lost for Shawn Slater and that was

450
00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:03,079
bad news to start the season, but they still had

451
00:24:03,160 --> 00:24:05,680
Joe Watt as the other tackle. Then they lost him,

452
00:24:05,759 --> 00:24:08,279
Like you say, we saw what happened, got him back,

453
00:24:09,039 --> 00:24:13,240
Better lose them again. That offensive line has to be

454
00:24:13,359 --> 00:24:17,279
reshifted and they just don't protect. To your point without

455
00:24:17,359 --> 00:24:19,680
either one of those guys. You could pick on either

456
00:24:19,720 --> 00:24:23,319
side of that offensive line right now wherever they want

457
00:24:23,359 --> 00:24:25,920
to line it. I'm sure listen, Mike Tomlin's a hell

458
00:24:25,920 --> 00:24:27,480
of a lot smarter than I am when it comes

459
00:24:27,519 --> 00:24:30,200
to devising a defense. But you're gonna go right to

460
00:24:30,240 --> 00:24:32,680
that film and figure out where to put TJ. Watt

461
00:24:32,720 --> 00:24:36,640
and where they're gonna overload pressure if they come with

462
00:24:36,759 --> 00:24:42,480
corners or you know, out linebackers, whatever. I agree with you,

463
00:24:42,559 --> 00:24:44,720
it's gonna be figured out. And Pittsburgh's not the greatest

464
00:24:44,759 --> 00:24:46,759
defense in the world. We've seen it, but I think

465
00:24:46,799 --> 00:24:49,200
what's the worst thing about them is their past defense.

466
00:24:49,759 --> 00:24:52,960
And if Justin Herbert doesn't have the time, it's gonna

467
00:24:52,960 --> 00:24:57,720
be difficult. So I can totally see your point. I

468
00:24:57,799 --> 00:25:01,759
will say this, I'm a little surprise that the total

469
00:25:02,119 --> 00:25:05,960
has come down to forty four and a half. It

470
00:25:06,039 --> 00:25:08,279
seems to me the Chargers have been involved in higher

471
00:25:08,319 --> 00:25:10,960
scoring games this year. Pittsburgh definitely has been involved in

472
00:25:11,039 --> 00:25:14,839
higher scoring games. But it could be that they just,

473
00:25:14,960 --> 00:25:17,920
you know, the market doesn't think or expect LA to

474
00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:22,240
meet offensive expectations here, so beat and under, there's no

475
00:25:22,279 --> 00:25:23,440
way we're laying points.

476
00:25:23,160 --> 00:25:24,000
Speaker 3: With the Chargers.

477
00:25:24,480 --> 00:25:27,279
Speaker 1: Nope. And I would just say if they can't block,

478
00:25:27,960 --> 00:25:29,680
how they're going to score so.

479
00:25:29,640 --> 00:25:30,720
Speaker 3: But they can turn it over.

480
00:25:31,400 --> 00:25:36,880
Speaker 1: That's true, very very true, very very true. Let's see

481
00:25:36,880 --> 00:25:41,519
what else is standing out here. Very hard to look

482
00:25:41,559 --> 00:25:43,880
any other way than Detroit. They've been amazing off of

483
00:25:43,880 --> 00:25:47,079
a loss. They've been dominated in general. Back up quarterback

484
00:25:47,079 --> 00:25:49,279
Pro Washington, I mean, I don't think we got to

485
00:25:49,279 --> 00:25:52,480
talk about that too much, but Detroit, I mean, can

486
00:25:52,519 --> 00:25:53,240
you talk me off that?

487
00:25:54,559 --> 00:25:54,759
Speaker 3: No?

488
00:25:54,839 --> 00:25:58,039
Speaker 4: I mean I was wondering what Jaden Daniels was doing

489
00:25:58,079 --> 00:26:01,000
in a blowout game in the fourth quarter, and they

490
00:26:01,039 --> 00:26:03,400
got what they deserve. Kind Of, I hate to say

491
00:26:03,400 --> 00:26:06,240
it that way. It's probably a better way to say it,

492
00:26:06,319 --> 00:26:10,920
but dan Quinn, what were you thinking, dude? It's crazy?

493
00:26:11,079 --> 00:26:15,240
Speaker 1: Absolutely, the Cardinals and the Seahawks. Seahawks have been so

494
00:26:15,319 --> 00:26:19,400
good it's hard to fade them. But one thing I'll

495
00:26:19,400 --> 00:26:24,680
say is Seahawks past defense they can be had. Their

496
00:26:24,720 --> 00:26:32,799
run defense is pretty amazing. The thing is the Cardinals

497
00:26:32,799 --> 00:26:34,400
don't really have a run game, Like, yeah, they were

498
00:26:34,440 --> 00:26:36,519
running last game because they just got such a big lead.

499
00:26:36,519 --> 00:26:38,319
They're just trying to milk the clock. But all their

500
00:26:38,359 --> 00:26:44,519
running backs are hurt. Jacoby Brissett I do like him.

501
00:26:44,599 --> 00:26:46,960
I like him more than Kyler Murray. I think he

502
00:26:47,000 --> 00:26:50,119
makes the offense a hell of a lot better. It's

503
00:26:50,200 --> 00:26:52,480
just still and the Cardinals defense. I feel like they

504
00:26:52,519 --> 00:26:55,799
can stand up a little bit the slightest of leaning

505
00:26:55,839 --> 00:26:59,960
to the Cardinals. And also Jacobe pass attempts are pill

506
00:27:00,079 --> 00:27:02,759
enemy Seahawks allowing like a little bit over forty past

507
00:27:02,799 --> 00:27:05,559
tens per game. And I just told you pass defense

508
00:27:06,279 --> 00:27:09,559
not the best bottom ten, maybe run defense top five.

509
00:27:10,119 --> 00:27:12,640
I mean, if I'm the Cardinals, if I'm Jacoby Brissett

510
00:27:12,759 --> 00:27:16,279
on hearing that thing out. So either the Cardinals Jacoby

511
00:27:17,359 --> 00:27:19,559
attempts are ways I'm looking.

512
00:27:19,680 --> 00:27:20,359
Speaker 3: What you think.

513
00:27:23,160 --> 00:27:25,039
Speaker 4: What's gonna make it hard on the Cardinals is that

514
00:27:25,200 --> 00:27:27,519
Rashid Shahid will probably play in this game, and now

515
00:27:27,559 --> 00:27:30,079
you have JSN and him at wide receiver. It's a

516
00:27:30,079 --> 00:27:33,240
difficult assignment for their past defense. I think inside the

517
00:27:33,319 --> 00:27:36,000
division here with San Francisco six and two, with the

518
00:27:36,079 --> 00:27:39,200
Rams six and two, with Seattle six and two, you

519
00:27:39,279 --> 00:27:42,200
can't be losing to the Cardinals if you want to.

520
00:27:42,400 --> 00:27:44,200
You know, if this tie breaker is going to come

521
00:27:44,200 --> 00:27:46,880
into play, somehow, some way it would look at this

522
00:27:47,000 --> 00:27:49,599
point in time. Doesn't mean you have to win by seven.

523
00:27:49,759 --> 00:27:52,759
But I do think Seattle wins the game. I just

524
00:27:52,880 --> 00:27:55,359
wonder now the way Sam Darnold might be the hottest

525
00:27:55,440 --> 00:27:59,160
quarterback in the NFL right now, the way damn good

526
00:28:00,119 --> 00:28:02,319
up and down like you say, they're down to Arizona's

527
00:28:02,319 --> 00:28:04,920
down to de Mercado as the running back at this

528
00:28:05,000 --> 00:28:10,839
point in time. Mike McDonald, the head coach of Seattle,

529
00:28:11,319 --> 00:28:13,839
had said, I don't know if it was before week

530
00:28:13,839 --> 00:28:15,720
one or after week one, because.

531
00:28:15,440 --> 00:28:16,400
Speaker 3: He comes from Baltimore.

532
00:28:16,440 --> 00:28:19,119
Speaker 4: Remember he was the Ravens DC, and he said, we're

533
00:28:19,119 --> 00:28:21,000
going to make it so that you can't run against us.

534
00:28:21,079 --> 00:28:24,400
That was first and foremost, and it's been that way.

535
00:28:25,440 --> 00:28:28,319
You don't run on them so bad down in distance

536
00:28:28,359 --> 00:28:31,640
could hurt Jacoby here. I love the way he's played

537
00:28:31,720 --> 00:28:35,240
much better than how Kyler played to lead this team.

538
00:28:35,880 --> 00:28:36,759
Speaker 3: I just don't know.

539
00:28:37,039 --> 00:28:41,039
Speaker 4: Maybe Seattle it's hard to say that they're underrated at

540
00:28:41,039 --> 00:28:43,960
this price in the division game, but I do think

541
00:28:44,000 --> 00:28:45,799
they'll win the game. Whether or not they win by

542
00:28:45,839 --> 00:28:47,240
seven is a question mark.

543
00:28:49,440 --> 00:28:53,160
Speaker 1: Fair enough. I am looking at the playoff situation here

544
00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:56,160
before I move to his next game, I want to

545
00:28:56,160 --> 00:29:00,880
ask him. I mean Patriots and Bucks good, but I

546
00:29:00,920 --> 00:29:04,279
know their schedule has been so easy, their past defense

547
00:29:04,400 --> 00:29:07,920
is ass and I mean Baker Mayfield on the other side,

548
00:29:07,960 --> 00:29:10,720
coming off for buy. This was a team that desperately

549
00:29:10,720 --> 00:29:13,440
needed that buy right they were I mean, I know

550
00:29:13,720 --> 00:29:15,880
we don't have Mike I'm saying we. I know they

551
00:29:15,880 --> 00:29:19,599
don't have Mike Evans anymore, but the other guys get

552
00:29:19,640 --> 00:29:23,319
a little bit healthier, and their second in the NFC,

553
00:29:25,000 --> 00:29:27,119
I'm pretty sure they would like to maintain that. I

554
00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:29,440
think the Bucks are just better than the Patriots. I

555
00:29:29,480 --> 00:29:33,119
just like the Patriots. They're just they're looking like this

556
00:29:33,200 --> 00:29:36,119
because they're playing bums or their schedule is just so easy.

557
00:29:36,599 --> 00:29:40,000
So I'm trying to find ways to back the Buccaneers.

558
00:29:40,400 --> 00:29:41,279
How do you feel about it?

559
00:29:42,079 --> 00:29:44,519
Speaker 4: I agree, I really do. It's on their home field.

560
00:29:44,960 --> 00:29:48,119
I think the bye week was important. You probably get

561
00:29:48,200 --> 00:29:52,839
Godwin back at Buka is back, and Baker Mayfield has

562
00:29:52,839 --> 00:29:55,319
shown that he can go they can go three four

563
00:29:55,359 --> 00:29:58,680
receivers deep and he can still be effective. Because these

564
00:29:58,720 --> 00:30:01,920
guys have been injured in some shape, way, shape or

565
00:30:01,960 --> 00:30:06,799
form collectively all season long. But the offensive line is

566
00:30:06,799 --> 00:30:09,000
back and as healthy as it's been the entire season.

567
00:30:09,039 --> 00:30:11,759
There was some problem with Tristan Werfs left tackle early.

568
00:30:12,039 --> 00:30:15,799
I think this offense ski to me, moves on anybody.

569
00:30:15,880 --> 00:30:17,839
I think New England will have a tough time against

570
00:30:17,839 --> 00:30:21,440
this offense. Defensively, this is another team that you don't

571
00:30:21,519 --> 00:30:25,480
run against. And for what it's worth, I mean, Drake

572
00:30:25,559 --> 00:30:28,200
may has been great, but if you can't get a

573
00:30:28,240 --> 00:30:30,799
running game, go and these quarterbacks tend to struggle a

574
00:30:30,839 --> 00:30:31,279
little bit.

575
00:30:31,440 --> 00:30:33,200
Speaker 3: So I agree with you.

576
00:30:33,279 --> 00:30:36,039
Speaker 4: I thought under a field goal on their home field

577
00:30:36,279 --> 00:30:40,440
in need of a victory coming off a bye, Carolina

578
00:30:40,519 --> 00:30:43,599
is actually at least supplying a little bit of pressure

579
00:30:43,720 --> 00:30:45,640
where the division is concerned. I think they're five and

580
00:30:45,720 --> 00:30:48,000
four right now, so you got to have a win

581
00:30:49,039 --> 00:30:52,640
non conference game for the Patriots and the same for

582
00:30:52,680 --> 00:30:54,440
the Bucks. But I think Tampa Bay is the right

583
00:30:54,480 --> 00:30:57,039
side and under a field goal, I could totally see that.

584
00:30:58,519 --> 00:31:01,640
Speaker 1: All right, is it? I mean I took the Ravens

585
00:31:01,759 --> 00:31:04,680
from the game before Lamar came back. We know they

586
00:31:04,680 --> 00:31:08,039
need to keep winning for these playoff chances, et cetera.

587
00:31:08,400 --> 00:31:11,920
They're on the road in Minnesota. Is there any reason

588
00:31:11,960 --> 00:31:14,519
to talk me off of continuing the back Baltimore once

589
00:31:14,559 --> 00:31:15,680
again at the short number.

590
00:31:18,119 --> 00:31:20,480
Speaker 4: I love their offense and I think we you know what,

591
00:31:20,720 --> 00:31:24,359
somebody defense healthier? Yeah, because I remember somebody in the

592
00:31:24,400 --> 00:31:29,279
comments section last week and then you pointed out first,

593
00:31:29,359 --> 00:31:32,039
and I followed you that, you know what, they are

594
00:31:32,079 --> 00:31:34,359
not giving up points now. Last week was a little

595
00:31:34,359 --> 00:31:37,160
bit as a little bit shaky because they gave up

596
00:31:37,160 --> 00:31:39,880
a lot of yards. They didn't give up points, but

597
00:31:39,960 --> 00:31:42,400
they gave up a lot of yards in that game

598
00:31:42,519 --> 00:31:44,480
last week. So I don't know if the defense is

599
00:31:44,519 --> 00:31:48,519
fully there yet. Minnesota certainly can take advantage with their

600
00:31:48,599 --> 00:31:52,039
receiving corps. To me, it seems like a high scoring game.

601
00:31:52,079 --> 00:31:55,119
I always trust the Ravens offense ski if nothing else,

602
00:31:55,160 --> 00:31:59,880
I totally trust that with Henry Lamar the passing game,

603
00:32:00,559 --> 00:32:03,160
they're gonna get theres no matter who it's against. This

604
00:32:03,200 --> 00:32:05,200
total has been bumped from forty six and a half

605
00:32:05,240 --> 00:32:08,240
all the way to forty nine right now. I just

606
00:32:08,279 --> 00:32:11,319
want to check real faster. You know, raven team total

607
00:32:11,359 --> 00:32:14,880
here is twenty four and a half. For that matter,

608
00:32:15,079 --> 00:32:16,799
Minnesota is only twenty one and a half.

609
00:32:16,960 --> 00:32:17,359
Speaker 3: I don't know.

610
00:32:17,440 --> 00:32:19,440
Speaker 4: I think it's gonna be a higher scoring game, I

611
00:32:19,480 --> 00:32:21,519
really do. I think it gets up and down here

612
00:32:23,000 --> 00:32:26,039
JJ McCarthy, I tell you what, I'm not a believer,

613
00:32:26,839 --> 00:32:28,759
but he did pull it out last week and he

614
00:32:28,839 --> 00:32:32,319
looked fairly decent doing it, So I'm gonna stick by

615
00:32:32,400 --> 00:32:34,319
over in that one. I hadn't really looked at that

616
00:32:34,359 --> 00:32:36,759
game thoroughly, but I think that game is going to

617
00:32:36,799 --> 00:32:38,640
get up and over the total because I really trust

618
00:32:38,640 --> 00:32:39,480
the raven offense.

619
00:32:44,880 --> 00:32:45,519
Speaker 3: Up you're muted.

620
00:32:46,559 --> 00:32:48,559
Speaker 1: Yeah, we both will probably be trusting the Ravens in

621
00:32:48,559 --> 00:32:51,000
that one. I mean, that's all I think I'll want

622
00:32:51,039 --> 00:32:54,119
to talk about today, unless there's anything else that's catching

623
00:32:54,160 --> 00:32:54,640
your attention.

624
00:32:55,200 --> 00:32:56,759
Speaker 4: Yeah, we can get it tomorrow if we think of

625
00:32:56,880 --> 00:32:58,079
something looks good.

626
00:32:59,000 --> 00:33:01,799
Speaker 1: All right, cash Bill, He's reminded everybody hit the like,

627
00:33:01,799 --> 00:33:04,079
butne it says, one hundred plus live viewers with a

628
00:33:04,119 --> 00:33:07,720
disrespectful amount of likes, make it happen. Man, appreciate you.

629
00:33:08,160 --> 00:33:12,839
Cashville definitely will help the show, all right. You know,

630
00:33:13,119 --> 00:33:15,759
I need to go drink some water, some tear or something,

631
00:33:15,759 --> 00:33:20,640
so it's time to get to best bets. You know.

632
00:33:20,680 --> 00:33:23,519
I will put this up here because it expires, I

633
00:33:23,559 --> 00:33:26,920
think in a couple of days. Right weekend Warrior, and

634
00:33:27,519 --> 00:33:29,079
if you want to rock with either of us, you

635
00:33:29,079 --> 00:33:31,880
can get every football play we make Saturday, Sunday and

636
00:33:32,119 --> 00:33:35,720
Monday night football included, or no college plays on Monday.

637
00:33:35,720 --> 00:33:38,359
I think are included in that as well, only forty

638
00:33:38,480 --> 00:33:42,759
nine dollars. So with that said, Rovino, I'm going to

639
00:33:42,799 --> 00:33:45,319
pass it to you. I'll ask you if there's anything

640
00:33:45,319 --> 00:33:47,000
else you would like to promote, and if you have

641
00:33:47,039 --> 00:33:48,640
a best bet for the show. We love to hear it.

642
00:33:49,759 --> 00:33:53,160
Speaker 4: Yeah, the Weekend Warrior obviously, Ski, So I won't repeat that.

643
00:33:53,839 --> 00:33:55,880
You know, we got one game. It's an NBA show.

644
00:33:55,880 --> 00:33:59,119
We got one game here that we're staring at. So

645
00:33:59,160 --> 00:34:01,799
I'll go back to the NFL if it's okay with everybody,

646
00:34:01,799 --> 00:34:03,640
and just tell you what I bet. I bet the

647
00:34:03,640 --> 00:34:07,160
Broncos team total over twenty six and a half. I

648
00:34:07,160 --> 00:34:09,960
think it probably gets the twenty seven plus against the

649
00:34:10,079 --> 00:34:14,159
Raiders here. They couldn't stop k C got beat by

650
00:34:14,159 --> 00:34:16,280
eleven by the Charger. I think the Chargers only got

651
00:34:16,320 --> 00:34:17,920
the twenty in that game, but it was a little

652
00:34:17,920 --> 00:34:20,679
more the Chargers stubbing their toe than the Raiders defense.

653
00:34:20,719 --> 00:34:24,440
So give me Broncos until you know, until they prove

654
00:34:24,519 --> 00:34:27,760
me wrong, Skim, I'm gonna play Broncos team total against

655
00:34:27,760 --> 00:34:29,960
these bad defenses over twenty six and a half.

656
00:34:31,400 --> 00:34:34,519
Speaker 1: All right for me, I'll go to the association. I'm

657
00:34:34,519 --> 00:34:36,440
gonna rock with Chris Paul tonight Man fifteen and a

658
00:34:36,480 --> 00:34:39,000
half pra He's gonna have a lot of minutes, a

659
00:34:39,039 --> 00:34:41,559
lot of opportunity out there, a lot of scoring missing,

660
00:34:41,559 --> 00:34:43,440
a lot of playmaking missing as well. With no heart

661
00:34:43,440 --> 00:34:46,000
in no Kauhi, I think he will take advantage. So

662
00:34:46,360 --> 00:34:48,800
Chris Paul fifteen and a half points, rebounds and assists

663
00:34:49,320 --> 00:34:52,159
will be my best bet for the show. And also

664
00:34:52,679 --> 00:34:54,599
if you're interested, I didn't I forgot to say, but

665
00:34:54,840 --> 00:34:57,079
I do have a five percent prop up in available

666
00:34:57,079 --> 00:35:00,360
for this weekend in my NFL props this season seven

667
00:35:00,360 --> 00:35:02,920
and two. So yeah, if you'd like to be involved,

668
00:35:03,320 --> 00:35:05,400
you can find it on my page or get the

669
00:35:05,400 --> 00:35:08,199
Weekend Warrior that's included. It's only fourteen dollars more. You'll

670
00:35:08,199 --> 00:35:12,320
get whatever else I release. Vino, I appreciate you taking

671
00:35:12,320 --> 00:35:15,400
the time to cap these games with me. We'll be

672
00:35:15,440 --> 00:35:18,400
back doing it again tomorrow. Everybody in the chat. Appreciate

673
00:35:18,400 --> 00:35:21,079
you guys as well, and best of luck on all

674
00:35:21,079 --> 00:35:23,199
your action. I'm gonna go get better and I'll see

675
00:35:23,239 --> 00:35:23,960
you guys tomorrow.

