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Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.

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If you are new, we do always start this show

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by being transparent. And yesterday I only had one play.

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It was my five dollars Tuesday play and it was

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a winner under one seventy seven and that Sparks game,

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and man, it got a little bit sweaty there, but

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we got the cash, so I'll take it. You know,

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it's good to be back with you. Yesterday profitable for

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you as well. How are you doing today?

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Speaker 2: I'm good Ski. Yesterday was profitable one play, five dollars play.

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I actually used it here on the show as the

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best bet. But it was the Seattle Indiana game over

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the one sixty eight caught the tail end of the

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line but still got there. Got to one seventy Indiana

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just tremendous offensive Forum Ski without a lot of their players,

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but the players that they've acquired, I mean Odyssey Sims

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just push push, pushed the basketball up the floor. It's

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fast style and they continue to score. So, you know,

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Seattle maybe a little travel weary. It's not going to

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get me easier for them. I think they go on

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the road for their next one too. But we got cash,

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so we like it.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Seattle plays Minnesota tomorrow, so definitely have a tough

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goal of things in that that game. But we have

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two games to talk about here today and let's see

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if we can find some ways to make some money.

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We'll go in rotation order. That means six twenty seven

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six eight, Las Vegas Aces Atlanta Dream opened up, Dream

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on us one Lyne keeps moving their way. I see

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three and a half pretty much everywhere total open one

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sixty two and a half. Don't see a whole lot

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of movement there. As far as who's available, everybody for

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the Ass. Jordan Canada is still out for the Dream.

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The Aces are at a little bit of a rest disadvantage.

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They have one day rest compared to three for the

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Dream here. But the ASS is their last game until September,

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so until next Thursday. They got a whole week off

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after this game today, so they can either go into

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it with the what is it a twelve game win

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streak or you know, with the win streak ended. You know,

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the Dream have also been playing really good basketball. I

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mean I backed them a few times. No, Jordan, Canada,

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there has been no problem. They beat the Liberty, they

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beat Minnesota. They did fall to these Aces on the

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nineteen seventy four to seventy to a really close game.

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But man, I really honestly don't want to go against

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either team here dream playing really good Aces, playing their

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best ball of the season. Do you agree with the

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line movement or can you? Can you get involved in

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this game?

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Speaker 2: Well, my first look was Atlanta's ski, but at three

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and a half, I don't know that I can get

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involved anymore. For what it's worth, Asia Wilson has had

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her way with this team last two game. Le's two

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times Atlanta played Las Vegas. You mentioned one of them,

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but they've only scored seventy two in each of those games.

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And we know Las Vegas has been an up and

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down defensive team, but against this particular squad, they've been

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good defensively. And I think I'm just looking back here

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real quick. Jordan Canada was involved. It was Ryan Howard

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who was out when they lost eighty seven to seventy two.

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Then when they just lost recently seventy four seventy two,

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it was Jordan Canada who was out. If she was involved,

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I think I would play Atlanta in this game. But

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you talked about Las Vegas having a lot of time

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off after this. And I'll tell you what, if they

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win this, they're the number two seed. They move right in.

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Both teams are six games out right now, they're tied virtually.

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Las Vegas has played a couple of extra games, but

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it's huge for both sides. I think the best way

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to look here might be under in this game. I mean,

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eighty seven to seventy two a couple of games ago

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is one fifty nine. The seventy four seventy two was

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one forty six. And you know the most recent one

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ski that's seventy four seventy two that was played on

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the nineteenth of August. Wasn't terrible shooting. I mean, it

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was about average shooting on both sides, but it was

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just lack of possessions. That game slowed down and there

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weren't a lot of free throws in that game. And

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I just wonder if these two haven't seen enough now.

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And Atlanta, by the way, has been playing incredible defense

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as of late two. So to me, I think that

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this one sixty three or one sixty two, whatever the

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number is now you're asking for, I don't know, eighty

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one a side eighty two eighty one to get yourself

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there if you play over. I love to play overs,

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but I could see this one as being a playoff, intensity,

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defensive minded game.

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Speaker 1: I can see it too, and I'm just gonna double

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check here. But I feel like a lot of dream

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games have been going under a one, two, three, four, six, seven, eight,

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maybe more than that, but aid in a row unders

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for the dream here. That's the style basketball. They're playing

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second slowest pace, second best defensive rated team, last five

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games in the ass number one defense. So I mean

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that makes sense to me. I can definitely understand that.

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I'm looking up some more stats here and let's see.

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Actually I was, Let's see if I can get this

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on the screen for us. I was working something here.

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Yea b man says double revenge. I was looking that

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up as well. So here we go, you know, screen

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share boom, and I know that I have to add

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it once more. So we should all be able to

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see this now and let me just take the well, no,

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it's good enough. We can see it all right, So

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pretty much what this is saying. It goes back to

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twenty twelve, just home teams with rest advantage seeking same

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season double revenge sixty two thirty seven and one to

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the under that would be about what sixty two point

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six percent says. Take this under that you just talked

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about here between these two teams, and I mean, it

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does make a lot of sense. So I'm gonna think

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about that. I didn't push the trigger, but I mean

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that makes a lot of sense to me. Anything else

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before we move on with up Garmo, anything else before

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we move on here Robe.

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Speaker 2: No, Now, I think we covered it as well, at

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least from all my notes. We can move on to

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Connecticut Dallas.

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Speaker 1: All right, And this one, which is six twenty nine,

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six thirty opened as Dallas minus two and a half.

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I want to say it flipped to like Connecticut minus three,

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and now we see it depends where you shop. It

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is either pick them or minus one for Connecticut. As

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far as the total, not a whole lot of movie

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with their open one sixty five and a half. And

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it looks like that's still the consensus injury report. A

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lot of the line move was based off page. She

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didn't go through practice I think yesterday because of an illness,

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but she was that shoot around this morning, and noa

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rique for Dallas for Connecticut. I don't see anybody on

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the injury report. And for me, when I was looking

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at this game, you know, I mean, whoever was laying

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I really would have want to fade. I don't think

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either one of these teams, you know, I don't want

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to back either of these teams in a favorite role.

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That's just how I think about it. I do think

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Page plays Connecticut has been playing really good too. It's

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a really tough game. Maybe uh maybe, I mean it's

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not too many unders that you like, Bravvino, is this

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one where you like more points?

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Speaker 2: Well, we don't like either defense, right, so we could

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start there. But the Dallas offense, and Dallas really has

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been hit hard by offensive minded injury. I mean when

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I look at their team, I see Page obviously, and

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if she's one hundred percent, that's one thing. If she's

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not one hundred percent, I don't know that it's all

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that helpful. But you look at the you've lost Quinnerly,

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you've lost the rique. Aziah James has potential, Maddy Segerst

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has potential, but they don't do it consistently night in

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and night out. And therefore, Dallas has been way up

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and down with their totals, and mostly because it's that

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side that hasn't been producing, but Connecticut's red hot. I

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wouldn't go against the Connecticut train here six straight wins

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and covers. We talked about that game the other night

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where a lot of the technical trends that you presented

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in the show. A couple of days ago, Ski pointed

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right at New York and they were healthy again, and

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Connecticut still played them to within two points. So it's

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really hard to not look at the Connecticut side. First. Dallas,

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for what it's worth. You know, the power ratings that

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I keep, they are the one team in the entire

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league in Chicago's close where there's absolutely no difference power

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rating wise between home and away. Dallas's home floor brings

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them nothing as far as their results are concerned this year.

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So I can't even list home floor as a reason

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to play Dallas. I think, if it's me, I have

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to play Connecticut or nothing at all. I think they've

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just found something here late in the season, and they

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seem to be playing as a united group because scoring

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on each night, when you go up and down the

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box score, mostly you're going to get Tina Charles. But

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there's been different pieces each and every night that have contributed.

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So like the way Connecticut's going, I think I would

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look their side.

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Speaker 1: I can't argue against that. Yeah, I think this is

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a game where I will not be involved. Been if

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I'm betting it's going to be the first game people

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in the chat dropping dimes as the Sun first half

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money line. It's been a wagon the last ten. Mark

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agrees that the Sun had been a better team on

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paper and eye test. He says, but I'm assuming that

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is saying it is the Sun, though you never know.

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All Right, this one's gonna be a quick and easy show.

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I have to say, Man, have some travel stuff going on,

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and I am whooped. I'm tired. So my apologies. If

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today's show wasn't like a normal show, we're gonna move

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it over or I'm sorry, Rob, did you have anything else?

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Speaker 2: No, but I can't wait to see where you move

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it over to because the wage your talk deals today

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are one of your favorites.

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Speaker 1: Oh no, we're not. We're not putting any no pictures today, Rob.

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You know, we'll just we'll move right into best bets.

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Ask you if there's anything you'd like to promote, and

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if you have a best bet for the show, we

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would love to hear it.

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Speaker 2: If not, no worries, yeah, I would say quickly obviously

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this is a WNBA show. But college football does start

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in earnest tomorrow. A couple of plays up already where

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college football is concerned, so if you're going to get

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involved in that sport as well, go over and visit

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wager talk dot com and I will say once again skip.

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For those of you who are on top of this

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on a daily basis and want to get the fastest

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updated lines, the fastest injury updates, you can go over

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to wagertalk dot com and get yourself a seven day

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free subscription trial subscription to odds Logic, which actually posts

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it's somewhere around thirty different outlets. What the lines are,

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You get the instantaneous movement, you'll see the faster injury reports.

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So if you're involved seriously on a daily basis, you

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might want to take a look seven day free trial

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oddslogic dot com and visit wager talk dot com to

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get it. A man, you know, I haven't bet it

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yet geese, so it's hard for me to say best bets,

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so I won't say best bet, but I will say

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I do lean toward the under. In the Las Vegas

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Atlanta game. We gave the you know, the basic reasons why.

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Like any other sport, any other game, it's a game

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with a lot of playoff implications. It's a game where

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you got a couple of very hot sides coming in here,

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and you've got a couple of teams that have leaned

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on Atlanta definitely defense and Las Vegas. You know, Becky's

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asked for it all season long, and more often than not,

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they've been good on the defensive side. Their history last

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two results are under this particular total. So I can't

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give it as best bet because like you always say,

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we want to play it to recommend it. But I

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will say I'm leaning heavily that way, and probably we'll

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get to the window with Atlanta Las Vegas under, and

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I'm looking here, you can still find one sixty three,

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which is pretty tempting at this point in time.

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Speaker 1: I like it, Rob, you know, you know what we

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need to go ahead. And first, I mean I'm gonna

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stand up straight. You know what I'm saying. We're seeing

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some good things on this show. I see some data

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backing it up. I mean it's has just shot like

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forty from three should regress a little bit, especially versus

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good Atlanta defense slow second slowest pace for Atlanta lately.

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Two top defenses playoff positioning to play for. I mean,

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they're not gonna play no defense in this game. We

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might not see until playoffs. I gotta stand up straight here, Rovino.

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And my best bet for the show Asis Dream under

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one sixty three is the best number that I can

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find right now, and that is at Caesars. So I

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will mention though tomorrow I'm very close at least a

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four percent play, but very close to having a five

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percent play in the w and it will be released

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sooner than later, so be on the lookout for that. Vino.

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Always appreciate you taking the time breaking these games down

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with me. You know I enjoy doing it and you,

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I mean, you see today you brought that under up

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and I like what I'm hearing. I started digging a

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little more and find myself at the window opening up

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that wallet. So appreciate what you bring to the show.

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Everybody in the chat, we appreciate you as well. Here

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to go rout, stand up bro with your chest. We

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appreciate the chat room, great people, great cappers, all just

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trying to have good time and help cash, help each

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other cash some tickets. So appreciate you guys, everybody else,

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Twitch x, Spotify, Apple, Kick much Love. Will be back

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again tomorrow. Will have three games to talk about in

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the W and you know we have college football. We

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can talk a little bit of college football. We probably

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won't go through all the games. We can talk a

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little something, so we'll see you guys again tomorrow. Best

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of luck on all your action tonight.

