Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.
If you are new, we do always start this show
by being transparent. And yesterday I only had one play.
It was my five dollars Tuesday play and it was
a winner under one seventy seven and that Sparks game,
and man, it got a little bit sweaty there, but
we got the cash, so I'll take it. You know,
it's good to be back with you. Yesterday profitable for
you as well. How are you doing today?
Speaker 2: I'm good Ski. Yesterday was profitable one play, five dollars play.
I actually used it here on the show as the
best bet. But it was the Seattle Indiana game over
the one sixty eight caught the tail end of the
line but still got there. Got to one seventy Indiana
just tremendous offensive Forum Ski without a lot of their players,
but the players that they've acquired, I mean Odyssey Sims
just push push, pushed the basketball up the floor. It's
fast style and they continue to score. So, you know,
Seattle maybe a little travel weary. It's not going to
get me easier for them. I think they go on
the road for their next one too. But we got cash,
so we like it.
Speaker 1: Yeah, Seattle plays Minnesota tomorrow, so definitely have a tough
goal of things in that that game. But we have
two games to talk about here today and let's see
if we can find some ways to make some money.
We'll go in rotation order. That means six twenty seven
six eight, Las Vegas Aces Atlanta Dream opened up, Dream
on us one Lyne keeps moving their way. I see
three and a half pretty much everywhere total open one
sixty two and a half. Don't see a whole lot
of movement there. As far as who's available, everybody for
the Ass. Jordan Canada is still out for the Dream.
The Aces are at a little bit of a rest disadvantage.
They have one day rest compared to three for the
Dream here. But the ASS is their last game until September,
so until next Thursday. They got a whole week off
after this game today, so they can either go into
it with the what is it a twelve game win
streak or you know, with the win streak ended. You know,
the Dream have also been playing really good basketball. I
mean I backed them a few times. No, Jordan, Canada,
there has been no problem. They beat the Liberty, they
beat Minnesota. They did fall to these Aces on the
nineteen seventy four to seventy to a really close game.
But man, I really honestly don't want to go against
either team here dream playing really good Aces, playing their
best ball of the season. Do you agree with the
line movement or can you? Can you get involved in
this game?
Speaker 2: Well, my first look was Atlanta's ski, but at three
and a half, I don't know that I can get
involved anymore. For what it's worth, Asia Wilson has had
her way with this team last two game. Le's two
times Atlanta played Las Vegas. You mentioned one of them,
but they've only scored seventy two in each of those games.
And we know Las Vegas has been an up and
down defensive team, but against this particular squad, they've been
good defensively. And I think I'm just looking back here
real quick. Jordan Canada was involved. It was Ryan Howard
who was out when they lost eighty seven to seventy two.
Then when they just lost recently seventy four seventy two,
it was Jordan Canada who was out. If she was involved,
I think I would play Atlanta in this game. But
you talked about Las Vegas having a lot of time
off after this. And I'll tell you what, if they
win this, they're the number two seed. They move right in.
Both teams are six games out right now, they're tied virtually.
Las Vegas has played a couple of extra games, but
it's huge for both sides. I think the best way
to look here might be under in this game. I mean,
eighty seven to seventy two a couple of games ago
is one fifty nine. The seventy four seventy two was
one forty six. And you know the most recent one
ski that's seventy four seventy two that was played on
the nineteenth of August. Wasn't terrible shooting. I mean, it
was about average shooting on both sides, but it was
just lack of possessions. That game slowed down and there
weren't a lot of free throws in that game. And
I just wonder if these two haven't seen enough now.
And Atlanta, by the way, has been playing incredible defense
as of late two. So to me, I think that
this one sixty three or one sixty two, whatever the
number is now you're asking for, I don't know, eighty
one a side eighty two eighty one to get yourself
there if you play over. I love to play overs,
but I could see this one as being a playoff, intensity,
defensive minded game.
Speaker 1: I can see it too, and I'm just gonna double
check here. But I feel like a lot of dream
games have been going under a one, two, three, four, six, seven, eight,
maybe more than that, but aid in a row unders
for the dream here. That's the style basketball. They're playing
second slowest pace, second best defensive rated team, last five
games in the ass number one defense. So I mean
that makes sense to me. I can definitely understand that.
I'm looking up some more stats here and let's see.
Actually I was, Let's see if I can get this
on the screen for us. I was working something here.
Yea b man says double revenge. I was looking that
up as well. So here we go, you know, screen
share boom, and I know that I have to add
it once more. So we should all be able to
see this now and let me just take the well, no,
it's good enough. We can see it all right, So
pretty much what this is saying. It goes back to
twenty twelve, just home teams with rest advantage seeking same
season double revenge sixty two thirty seven and one to
the under that would be about what sixty two point
six percent says. Take this under that you just talked
about here between these two teams, and I mean, it
does make a lot of sense. So I'm gonna think
about that. I didn't push the trigger, but I mean
that makes a lot of sense to me. Anything else
before we move on with up Garmo, anything else before
we move on here Robe.
Speaker 2: No, Now, I think we covered it as well, at
least from all my notes. We can move on to
Connecticut Dallas.
Speaker 1: All right, And this one, which is six twenty nine,
six thirty opened as Dallas minus two and a half.
I want to say it flipped to like Connecticut minus three,
and now we see it depends where you shop. It
is either pick them or minus one for Connecticut. As
far as the total, not a whole lot of movie
with their open one sixty five and a half. And
it looks like that's still the consensus injury report. A
lot of the line move was based off page. She
didn't go through practice I think yesterday because of an illness,
but she was that shoot around this morning, and noa
rique for Dallas for Connecticut. I don't see anybody on
the injury report. And for me, when I was looking
at this game, you know, I mean, whoever was laying
I really would have want to fade. I don't think
either one of these teams, you know, I don't want
to back either of these teams in a favorite role.
That's just how I think about it. I do think
Page plays Connecticut has been playing really good too. It's
a really tough game. Maybe uh maybe, I mean it's
not too many unders that you like, Bravvino, is this
one where you like more points?
Speaker 2: Well, we don't like either defense, right, so we could
start there. But the Dallas offense, and Dallas really has
been hit hard by offensive minded injury. I mean when
I look at their team, I see Page obviously, and
if she's one hundred percent, that's one thing. If she's
not one hundred percent, I don't know that it's all
that helpful. But you look at the you've lost Quinnerly,
you've lost the rique. Aziah James has potential, Maddy Segerst
has potential, but they don't do it consistently night in
and night out. And therefore, Dallas has been way up
and down with their totals, and mostly because it's that
side that hasn't been producing, but Connecticut's red hot. I
wouldn't go against the Connecticut train here six straight wins
and covers. We talked about that game the other night
where a lot of the technical trends that you presented
in the show. A couple of days ago, Ski pointed
right at New York and they were healthy again, and
Connecticut still played them to within two points. So it's
really hard to not look at the Connecticut side. First. Dallas,
for what it's worth. You know, the power ratings that
I keep, they are the one team in the entire
league in Chicago's close where there's absolutely no difference power
rating wise between home and away. Dallas's home floor brings
them nothing as far as their results are concerned this year.
So I can't even list home floor as a reason
to play Dallas. I think, if it's me, I have
to play Connecticut or nothing at all. I think they've
just found something here late in the season, and they
seem to be playing as a united group because scoring
on each night, when you go up and down the
box score, mostly you're going to get Tina Charles. But
there's been different pieces each and every night that have contributed.
So like the way Connecticut's going, I think I would
look their side.
Speaker 1: I can't argue against that. Yeah, I think this is
a game where I will not be involved. Been if
I'm betting it's going to be the first game people
in the chat dropping dimes as the Sun first half
money line. It's been a wagon the last ten. Mark
agrees that the Sun had been a better team on
paper and eye test. He says, but I'm assuming that
is saying it is the Sun, though you never know.
All Right, this one's gonna be a quick and easy show.
I have to say, Man, have some travel stuff going on,
and I am whooped. I'm tired. So my apologies. If
today's show wasn't like a normal show, we're gonna move
it over or I'm sorry, Rob, did you have anything else?
Speaker 2: No, but I can't wait to see where you move
it over to because the wage your talk deals today
are one of your favorites.
Speaker 1: Oh no, we're not. We're not putting any no pictures today, Rob.
You know, we'll just we'll move right into best bets.
Ask you if there's anything you'd like to promote, and
if you have a best bet for the show, we
would love to hear it.
Speaker 2: If not, no worries, yeah, I would say quickly obviously
this is a WNBA show. But college football does start
in earnest tomorrow. A couple of plays up already where
college football is concerned, so if you're going to get
involved in that sport as well, go over and visit
wager talk dot com and I will say once again skip.
For those of you who are on top of this
on a daily basis and want to get the fastest
updated lines, the fastest injury updates, you can go over
to wagertalk dot com and get yourself a seven day
free subscription trial subscription to odds Logic, which actually posts
it's somewhere around thirty different outlets. What the lines are,
You get the instantaneous movement, you'll see the faster injury reports.
So if you're involved seriously on a daily basis, you
might want to take a look seven day free trial
oddslogic dot com and visit wager talk dot com to
get it. A man, you know, I haven't bet it
yet geese, so it's hard for me to say best bets,
so I won't say best bet, but I will say
I do lean toward the under. In the Las Vegas
Atlanta game. We gave the you know, the basic reasons why.
Like any other sport, any other game, it's a game
with a lot of playoff implications. It's a game where
you got a couple of very hot sides coming in here,
and you've got a couple of teams that have leaned
on Atlanta definitely defense and Las Vegas. You know, Becky's
asked for it all season long, and more often than not,
they've been good on the defensive side. Their history last
two results are under this particular total. So I can't
give it as best bet because like you always say,
we want to play it to recommend it. But I
will say I'm leaning heavily that way, and probably we'll
get to the window with Atlanta Las Vegas under, and
I'm looking here, you can still find one sixty three,
which is pretty tempting at this point in time.
Speaker 1: I like it, Rob, you know, you know what we
need to go ahead. And first, I mean I'm gonna
stand up straight. You know what I'm saying. We're seeing
some good things on this show. I see some data
backing it up. I mean it's has just shot like
forty from three should regress a little bit, especially versus
good Atlanta defense slow second slowest pace for Atlanta lately.
Two top defenses playoff positioning to play for. I mean,
they're not gonna play no defense in this game. We
might not see until playoffs. I gotta stand up straight here, Rovino.
And my best bet for the show Asis Dream under
one sixty three is the best number that I can
find right now, and that is at Caesars. So I
will mention though tomorrow I'm very close at least a
four percent play, but very close to having a five
percent play in the w and it will be released
sooner than later, so be on the lookout for that. Vino.
Always appreciate you taking the time breaking these games down
with me. You know I enjoy doing it and you,
I mean, you see today you brought that under up
and I like what I'm hearing. I started digging a
little more and find myself at the window opening up
that wallet. So appreciate what you bring to the show.
Everybody in the chat, we appreciate you as well. Here
to go rout, stand up bro with your chest. We
appreciate the chat room, great people, great cappers, all just
trying to have good time and help cash, help each
other cash some tickets. So appreciate you guys, everybody else,
Twitch x, Spotify, Apple, Kick much Love. Will be back
again tomorrow. Will have three games to talk about in
the W and you know we have college football. We
can talk a little bit of college football. We probably
won't go through all the games. We can talk a
little something, so we'll see you guys again tomorrow. Best
of luck on all your action tonight.