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Speaker 1: Welcome to Wage You Talk today, the gold standard of

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sports betting shows, where we talk the talk and walk

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the walk. It's Monday, and we're starting the week with

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a loaded lineup. Johanny the Greek is here with the

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Steve Report. Crack Man gonna bring a Monday Night football prop.

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We're gonna react to week four, go over where the

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books won, where the public one, go over some props

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and fantasy football winners and losers, and Steve Merrill's gonna

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join us to talk Bengals Broncos, along with MLB playoffs

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including Red Sox and Yankees. If you're betting this week,

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this is where you get the sharpest edge. All right,

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that's our new intro for the show. Everybody did great

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submitting submitting some really really good intros. There were two

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that I really liked. The gold Standard of sports betting

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shows was good. And then talk the talk and walk

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the walk. But there were a couple of notables here. Dan,

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somebody said, are you ready for wager Talk. It's time

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to bang with Andy Lang. I thought it was a

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little good. It's the wager Talk after hours. Let's wager

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talk after hours. It was a touch aggressive, but but uh,

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now go. Stomper sent that one in This one was funny.

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Welcome to wager Talk today. Fade this guy. I got

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a kick out of that one. I gotta I gotta

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that one. But he always says, follow her faith. I

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hope you hope you cash him, don't trash him. I

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don't care if you're following her faith and you're watching

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baby do whatever. It's pretty it's pretty good. And Mark

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Valdez had a great one. I I kind of know Mark.

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It's it's it's as corny and great as it gets.

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Welcome the wager Talk. You know what time it is,

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it's lock oh clock.

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Speaker 2: Oh god, I know some I know some some Twitter

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accounts that I'm sure would be really happy about that.

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Speaker 1: It's so funny, so so funny. So anyway, thank you

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guys for all those emissions. They're great. We're gonna go

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with the gold standard to talk to the talk and

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walk the walk. But Bang with Andy Lang is an

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absolute Alzheimer. So all right, let's get started with with

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Yanni to go over the steam report. I saw you

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lat Bang with Andy Lang? Pretty so how are you

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on this Monday? Yanni?

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Speaker 3: Never better man. We had a great steam room yesterday

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ended up going ten to two in the NFL fourteen

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and seven week In college football, it's just been amazing.

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I'm three units shy of being up one hundred units

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already in the college football season, already out forty five

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units through three weeks of the NFL regular season. It's

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just been that kind of year so far, and it's

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what I expected. Again, not to tell, but I'm working

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right now with the sharpest groups I've been with in

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a long time, and as far as the major sports go,

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NBA college basketball, college football, NFL baseball, I have so

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much confidence and working with them and being able to

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filter the information because it's just so much. I'm getting

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that just being able to filter through it some things

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conflict and yeah, so far, so good man. And it's

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September's barely We're just that of September, so we used

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to have October, November, December, like the best is still ahead.

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So I'm just really excited about what's coming up for us.

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Speaker 1: Nice, let's talk steam report. Let's see where the action is.

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We can start with Monday night football. It doesn't look

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like a whole lot of big, big line moves. It

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looks like the money that came in on Denver's probably

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already been in there. So what are you seeing for tonight?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, And it's a perfect example of just how tight

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the NFL betting market is, how difficult it is. And

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once they have some data under them, the books are

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extremely confident in their numbers and you're not going to

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see big line movements, and that is the reflection of inefficiency.

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You want to look for markets where the lines are

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moving significantly. Again, that reflects an inefficient market. When they're

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tight like this, it makes it hard to beat. Here's

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what we're looking at with Miami. Miami's look ahead was

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minus two and a half. They went to three immediately,

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back to two and a half, back to three, back

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to two and a half, back to three. So currently

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sitting at two and a half juiced good two AA action.

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You would think it would be all one side in Miami,

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but that's just not the case because you're looking at

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two oh and three teams. And more importantly, if you

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look at point differential, the Jets look to be even

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like they're better. The Jets are zher and three, but

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they're two and one against the spread, so they've outperformed

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the betting market, they only have a minus fourteen point

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differential even though they've lost three games, so you know,

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chalk up some bad luck, some turnovers, some penalties, and

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they could be a one and two team, a two

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and one team, who knows. But Miami, they're minus thirty

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nine point differential in their three losses, so they have

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to figure some things out, and I think the market

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reflects that good two a action on the total as well.

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Always a little heavier on the over, but nothing really

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sticking out. In the second game Cincinnati and de you

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touched on it, the look ahead on Denver was minus six.

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That guy hit immediately to seven. Since then, it's just

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been sitting at around seven seven and a half and

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not getting much one sided action. Another good balance for

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the books. That's why they haven't really had to make

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much adjustment. And you're looking at a one in two

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team in Denver that has a plus four point differential,

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so again they're one and two, but they have a

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positive point differential. On the flip side, you have a

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Cincinnati team that's two and one with a negative thirty

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three point differential because they've gotten blown out in that

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one game. So two very different teams as far as

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how they've performed heading into this Monday Night football. But

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it shows you what the power ratings reflect in the NFL.

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And that's why we're looking at Denver being such a

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heavy favorite. The record be damned, the Vegas doesn't care.

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We kind of saw that in college football, where we

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could touch on that. You look at the rankings and

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you look at true power ratings and they just don't

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reflect each other in a lot of spots, and you

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were able to take advantage of it, like Alabama on Saturday,

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where most power ratings had them way well, not way above,

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but above Georgia. So yeah, I think this is a

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case of Monday Night football where two teams trying to

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figure it out, with Miami and the Jets, no one

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confident in either. And then in the second game, a

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one and two team at home that's a touchdown favorite.

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Hard to get attracted to that. But then Cincinnati again

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not world beither eithers. So I think these are two

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good games for the books where I don't think they're

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gonna have a need. I mean, they're always gonna prefer

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one side over the other, but because we have to

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lay eleven to win ten, I think they're gonna have

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good enough balance where regardless of outcome, throwing the teasers,

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throw in the parlays, throwing the negative v shit and

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they're gonna end up turning a profit when the dust settles.

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Speaker 1: Any I see the line has already moved on Thursday

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Night football. I'm assuming that's because of injuries and such

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to san Fran And then there's a line that makes

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no sense to me on Sunday. I'll tell this to

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you after because I'm curious if you landed on this

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as well. So what are you seeing for the week

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five lines?

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Speaker 4: Yeah?

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Speaker 3: And another thing that again we got to touch on.

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Pay attention to the look aheads because you're gonna it's

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gonna look like a lot of times like it's a

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big line movement. But after the opener today, what they

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put up today, then pay attention to there after that

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what it moves. And since that we haven't seen. I mean,

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you expected Dallas because Dallas looked good yesterday. We haven't

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seen the Jets play yet tonight. So immediately you saw

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some Dallas money come in off of that look ahead.

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You saw Houston money come in Baltimore being faded, which

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is a rarity. But they were almost a double digit favorite.

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Now they're below that key number of seven. Even at

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home against Houston and in Seattle. Seattle, Tampa, Bay, Philly

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went right through them, and Tampa was actually getting public

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money and a lot of love yesterday catching three and

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a half points against Philadelphia, and you're seeing them getting

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faded again and Seattle getting some money. So no big,

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big movements, kind of what you expect in the NFL.

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But unless there's key injuries or cluster injuries, you're not

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going to see much line movement until later in the

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week when somebody these totals get stemed.

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Speaker 1: It's that Baltimore line. I'm stunned by it. I'm stunned

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by Lamar Jackson has pulled a hamstring. The defense is

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completely decimated with injuries. I mean they're playing with here's

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what they're playing with, backups to the backups right now.

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Speaker 3: Power rating wise, I don't I think there may be

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five or six teams that would be favored over Baltimore

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on a neutral field. That's the key here that it's

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kind of like, like I said, record be damn. They're

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dealing with it in college football with Notre Dame, where

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Notre Dame power rating wise, they're a top five team,

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but they're a two and two football team still, you

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know what I mean. And I think that's what you're

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looking at with in the NFL too. Look at Kansas City.

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Kansas City, they're a five hundred team, they're two and two,

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and yet they'd be favored over you know, twenty five

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plus other NFL teams. And that's all going to play

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itself out as the season progresses, kind of like in

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college football, that will play itself out, and those phonies

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will Even though there it isn't a big enough season

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to really get progression and regression towards the mean, there's

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enough time that those phony teams tend to fall off.

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And I think we'll see it in college football and

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we'll see an NFL that you know, teams like Baltimore

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are better on paper right now than the record reflex,

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but they may catch up to it. Same thing we

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saw with Kansas City, and even with look at Detroit.

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After Week one, everybody gave up on Detroit.

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Speaker 4: Oh.

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Speaker 3: They lost their offense coordinator, lost the defensive coordinator. This

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team's done now, all of a sudden, they're number one

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power rated pretty much in most NFL. You know Sharp's

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power ratings, So it just shows you how things change

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NFL week the week. You just can't overreact. That's key.

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I think that to have success in NFL, you can't

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overreact because of the short season and because of all

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the focus. Like look at turn on TV, listen to

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sports radio. They're just going to talk about NFL, NFL, NFL.

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And you know with all that analysis again that that's

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what ends up happening.

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Speaker 1: That's why we do the right after you. We do

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the overreactions from the weeks. And I remember Week one

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was Detroit's done. They can't survive without their coordinators. Stick

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a fork in them. So it's a yeah, it's it's funny.

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Great way to make money in the markets though, take

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advantage of the people overreacting. So, uh, you're looking forward

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to MLB playoffs, any plays you look, you're looking at

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series wise or anything in there.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I was ready to jump on Detroit right out

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of the gate. I thought there would be a higher favorite,

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even though they're on the road. I thought there was

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a lot of recency bias to that series. Cleveland. You know,

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they they've owned them Cleveland and swept them in Detroit.

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They've had no problem with them, so I was hoping

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to get a little lower price than that, and I

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saw I didn'tmbedd it at minus one fifty, and now

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I'm looking at minus one sixty. So I'm kind of

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stuck sitting on my hands right there. And the other

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game that I liked was the Cubs. I like the

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Cubs at home in a queen flip. I'm hoping that

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line flips and you get enough san Diego love that.

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Maybe I could get the Cubs in Game one as

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a dog. But those are the two that stuck out

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at me. I thought Detroit is a little bit undervalued

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in the series, and I thought San Diego is going

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to come in a little bit overvalued in their series

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with the Cubs. But still I plan on breaking down

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the baseball a little deeper tonight.

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Speaker 1: All right, it's a great Monday. Tellround what you have

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up for class.

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Speaker 3: In the jump on board the college football NFL train's

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gonna continue. We have a lot of season ahead and

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today I'll have a pack job for the Monday night football.

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Was just waiting to confirm to see what I'm gonna

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have a two pack or just a single play, right,

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now looks like a single play should be up with

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in next thirty minutes. Let's just keep rolling, man manage

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your risk correctly, and we'll do some damage. Thanks for

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having me in. Best of luck this.

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Speaker 1: Week, Yanni the Greek. Everyone is off to a fantastic

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start on the spreads, in totals, in college football and NFL.

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His plays are up at wager Talk. All right, let's

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go ahead and do the overreactions, Dan, I was so

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happy we had a We had a great one after

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Sunday night football. So we'll go ahead and do the overreactions.

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We'll talk about where the books one, talk about where

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the public one. The week four we overreacted. I only

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got four of them. The Chiefs. It's amazing, Dan, One

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00:12:47,759 --> 00:12:50,519
week the Chiefs are are lost, They're dead to the world.

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Now all of a sudden, they're back to being Super

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Bowl contenders. That's an obvious overreaction. I'm already seeing cam

249
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Ward as a bust, even though we're four games in

250
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and he has one of the worst coaching situations I

251
00:13:01,399 --> 00:13:04,200
could remember for a rookie. The Saints won't win a

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game this season. I saw that one. What they throw

253
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for one hundred and twenty six yards yesterday, and then

254
00:13:10,200 --> 00:13:12,960
the Packers are overrated. We're literally two weeks away from

255
00:13:13,080 --> 00:13:16,200
a talk of an undefeated season from the Packers, and

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now we've moved into the Packers are overrated. Now you

257
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do have to question the mentality of a team that

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settles for a tie. Good lord, all right, let's go

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to where the books won and where the public one.

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Where the books won. Books won big on the Bills

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minus the points, Washington and Lanta the under, and the

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Chargers minus the points. Those were big wins for the books. Public.

263
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Did I mean this Titans team is the ultimate fade

264
00:13:41,639 --> 00:13:44,639
wagon right now? Public's taking advantage. Texans minus the points

265
00:13:44,679 --> 00:13:48,759
was big. Buffalo and New Orleans under, Chargers and the

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Giants under and the Rams minus the points. If you

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had Rams minus the points, thank your lucky stars. But

268
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I guess that's like the I guess it's like karma

269
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for what happened to in the Eagles game. But how

270
00:14:01,720 --> 00:14:04,320
the Colts didn't not only did they not win that game,

271
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but they didn't cover is truly insanity. There was a

272
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long touchdown run that got called back from holding penalty,

273
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and then the poor guy drops the ball as he's

274
00:14:12,320 --> 00:14:14,159
entering the end zone, it goes out of the back.

275
00:14:14,200 --> 00:14:18,240
So just an absolutely absolutely crazy finish to that one.

276
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But Ram's minus appoints was big for the public. And

277
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let's go to props. In fantasy football, big winners and

278
00:14:25,480 --> 00:14:28,279
losers got a lot of winners. Kenneth Gainwell took advantage

279
00:14:28,279 --> 00:14:30,519
with Jalen Warren being out. He had a big game.

280
00:14:31,000 --> 00:14:34,720
The Falcons rebounded. They finally looked back on track. Bijon

281
00:14:35,200 --> 00:14:38,720
Big game, Drake London Big game. James Cook continues to

282
00:14:38,720 --> 00:14:42,039
be arguably the best running back in fantasy and props wise.

283
00:14:42,080 --> 00:14:45,879
He's scoring, he's getting all the work, and they're not

284
00:14:45,919 --> 00:14:48,039
taking him off the field in big situations like they

285
00:14:48,039 --> 00:14:50,759
did last year. The Lions. Jamior Gibbs, Amon Ross, Saint

286
00:14:50,759 --> 00:14:52,960
Brown looked good. Stephan Diggs we had a stuff on

287
00:14:53,000 --> 00:14:56,279
dig sighting flies over any props totals that you had

288
00:14:56,279 --> 00:15:00,120
with him. Pooka Nakua arguably the best wide receiver in football,

289
00:15:00,159 --> 00:15:02,879
just taking into account all his quarterback situation. The guy's

290
00:15:02,919 --> 00:15:06,759
over forty catches already. Travis Etn cemented himself as by

291
00:15:06,759 --> 00:15:09,320
far the number one in Jacksonville. Patrick Mahomes looks back

292
00:15:09,360 --> 00:15:12,320
and Ashton Jens had his breakout game, so big props

293
00:15:12,360 --> 00:15:18,759
winners and the losers. Ladd McConkie, I don't know if

294
00:15:18,759 --> 00:15:21,840
he's number three right now, but he's performing like it.

295
00:15:21,960 --> 00:15:25,240
So Ladd mccaukie, unders continue to hit everybody on the

296
00:15:25,279 --> 00:15:28,519
Titans is just brutal. There's nothing, there's nothing they can

297
00:15:28,559 --> 00:15:31,279
do on offense right now. It's just a fantasy points

298
00:15:31,279 --> 00:15:35,159
wasteland props unders galore, and brock Bauers is clearly not

299
00:15:35,279 --> 00:15:38,279
one hundred percent. But until further notice, he's either a

300
00:15:38,279 --> 00:15:40,279
stay away or a fade. And I just don't know

301
00:15:40,399 --> 00:15:42,399
how much information we're going to be gginting on how

302
00:15:42,440 --> 00:15:44,960
hurt he truly is, but does not pass the eye

303
00:15:44,960 --> 00:15:48,360
test at all. So bummer for brock Bauers, especially on

304
00:15:48,399 --> 00:15:51,919
fantasy football teams. All right, let's bring in crack Man.

305
00:15:52,000 --> 00:15:56,879
Let's talk a Monday night football prop bill, Happy Monday hours.

306
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The weekend.

307
00:15:57,960 --> 00:16:01,720
Speaker 4: Good, No, okay, I didn't win flipping Hamburgers over here.

308
00:16:02,120 --> 00:16:05,039
Speaker 5: You know that's one of those weekends where you just

309
00:16:05,720 --> 00:16:08,519
that that one game that you know, it's amazing. I

310
00:16:09,080 --> 00:16:12,039
don't even have a losing weekend, really, and I'm still

311
00:16:12,080 --> 00:16:14,759
mad about certain things in the NFL.

312
00:16:14,799 --> 00:16:16,720
Speaker 4: It's so hard to beat this NFL. Guys.

313
00:16:16,960 --> 00:16:20,679
Speaker 5: I talk about this all the time. You know, the

314
00:16:20,799 --> 00:16:22,840
Rams again, two weeks in a row. I don't want

315
00:16:22,840 --> 00:16:25,240
to know how much in total they cost me. In

316
00:16:25,279 --> 00:16:29,080
two weeks, I had the Colts at the Colts plus

317
00:16:29,120 --> 00:16:33,320
three and a half and it's another terrible loss. Guy

318
00:16:33,360 --> 00:16:35,679
trying to celebrate in the anti lifting up the ball.

319
00:16:36,480 --> 00:16:40,519
I got to tell you something, these guys everything, you

320
00:16:40,600 --> 00:16:43,639
have teams losing my thirty points that are celebrating a

321
00:16:43,720 --> 00:16:47,519
tackle like it's all about individual achievement. It's not about

322
00:16:47,519 --> 00:16:51,240
a team effort no more. There's no you know, Walter

323
00:16:51,399 --> 00:16:55,039
Payton's out there anymore. Just you know, hand the ball

324
00:16:55,080 --> 00:16:58,559
to the ref and listen. Of course you deserve vacolate,

325
00:16:58,600 --> 00:16:59,399
you just got a touchdown.

326
00:16:59,440 --> 00:16:59,720
Speaker 4: Stuff.

327
00:16:59,720 --> 00:17:03,720
Speaker 5: But I just sometimes there's just no common sense. There's

328
00:17:03,720 --> 00:17:09,039
no really, these guys are all about styling and profiling,

329
00:17:09,079 --> 00:17:12,759
and there's just no teamwork. Remember al Capone and the

330
00:17:13,119 --> 00:17:16,119
narrow role in al Capone and the Untouchables with teamworker's

331
00:17:16,160 --> 00:17:17,400
walking around the baseball bat.

332
00:17:17,680 --> 00:17:19,720
Speaker 4: First, guys, teamwork got smashed in the head.

333
00:17:20,000 --> 00:17:22,480
Speaker 1: I mean, can I can I defend? Can I defend

334
00:17:22,480 --> 00:17:26,839
the Colts wide receiver guy. He wasn't like high stepping

335
00:17:26,920 --> 00:17:29,960
into the end zone like like he was just moving

336
00:17:29,960 --> 00:17:31,920
the ball from one hand to the other. He didn't

337
00:17:32,000 --> 00:17:35,519
drop it too soon. It wasn't as egregious as some

338
00:17:35,599 --> 00:17:38,279
of the other plays that. It wasn't as bad.

339
00:17:38,920 --> 00:17:40,640
Speaker 4: Didn't he like put the ball in the air like

340
00:17:40,680 --> 00:17:43,039
I'm number one? Like I wasn't even like just holding

341
00:17:43,039 --> 00:17:43,319
the ball.

342
00:17:44,119 --> 00:17:47,200
Speaker 1: Doesn't everybody kind of do that. It wasn't like DeShawn Jall.

343
00:17:47,359 --> 00:17:49,400
Speaker 5: You know, no, no they don't.

344
00:17:49,880 --> 00:17:53,839
Speaker 4: They scored a touchdown first, then do it? Yeah, no, no, no,

345
00:17:53,920 --> 00:17:56,039
the answer is no, and they don't. I love you

346
00:17:56,079 --> 00:17:56,720
to death.

347
00:17:57,400 --> 00:17:59,960
Speaker 1: Trying to defend my Colts guy. I felt bad for him,

348
00:18:00,079 --> 00:18:05,200
felt terrible for him because idiots, Yeah, you're the one

349
00:18:05,240 --> 00:18:07,200
carrying the baseball bat this morning. I see no.

350
00:18:07,519 --> 00:18:09,359
Speaker 5: And then well I just someone just sends me his

351
00:18:09,480 --> 00:18:13,519
video too, just now. Todd Furman, who I like, I've

352
00:18:14,119 --> 00:18:17,480
Todd with his video for this guy on a DraftKings

353
00:18:17,480 --> 00:18:21,279
show saying you should buy down the college game from

354
00:18:21,799 --> 00:18:23,519
three and a half to two and a half and

355
00:18:23,599 --> 00:18:27,240
lay a dollar fifty eight at DraftKings. First of all,

356
00:18:27,480 --> 00:18:31,079
who buys points in college football. Second of all, it's

357
00:18:31,160 --> 00:18:33,519
the money line is only like a dollar seventy. Yeah,

358
00:18:33,599 --> 00:18:35,319
let's lay two and a half instead of for a

359
00:18:35,319 --> 00:18:38,359
dollar fifty eight. And third of all, the guy said,

360
00:18:38,359 --> 00:18:41,559
oh yeah, I think I recommend betting this. The guy

361
00:18:41,599 --> 00:18:43,359
probably never put a bet in his life, but he

362
00:18:43,400 --> 00:18:46,400
looks good on camera. I just I feel bad for

363
00:18:46,440 --> 00:18:50,519
the people out there that have to watch these talking

364
00:18:50,640 --> 00:18:54,000
heads on these sites talk about things and they have

365
00:18:54,119 --> 00:18:56,839
no skin in the game. They don't know anything about

366
00:18:56,839 --> 00:18:58,079
the analytics of the game.

367
00:18:58,440 --> 00:19:00,720
Speaker 4: They know nothing. All they know is they look good

368
00:19:00,759 --> 00:19:01,240
at a you.

369
00:19:01,160 --> 00:19:04,039
Speaker 5: Know, a forty two long suit or whatever, and they

370
00:19:04,079 --> 00:19:05,000
just look good for the camera.

371
00:19:05,119 --> 00:19:06,359
Speaker 4: This is men and females.

372
00:19:07,119 --> 00:19:10,079
Speaker 5: I just can't take it because these poor kids they

373
00:19:10,200 --> 00:19:12,519
love this stuff, they love this stuff, and they say,

374
00:19:12,559 --> 00:19:15,400
oh my god, yeah that's a good idea, let me

375
00:19:15,440 --> 00:19:16,880
buy it two and a half. First of all, there's

376
00:19:16,920 --> 00:19:20,559
no buying in college football, none on anything, you know,

377
00:19:20,720 --> 00:19:23,119
even in the NFL. I'll tell you right now, the

378
00:19:23,200 --> 00:19:26,160
buying is so expensive. Unless you have some shops that

379
00:19:26,200 --> 00:19:28,799
you could buy on or off of the three for

380
00:19:28,880 --> 00:19:32,880
an extra fifteenth or I'll go twenty cents, then there's

381
00:19:32,880 --> 00:19:34,880
no buying in the NFL because the three and seven

382
00:19:34,960 --> 00:19:36,720
is not worth what it was. I'm going off on

383
00:19:36,839 --> 00:19:39,200
rants here, but I just know, because I've been doing

384
00:19:39,200 --> 00:19:41,599
this andy professionally thirty years.

385
00:19:41,880 --> 00:19:43,880
Speaker 4: I know the.

386
00:19:43,680 --> 00:19:47,000
Speaker 5: Margins and how tight things are and NFL, how efficient

387
00:19:47,039 --> 00:19:47,799
these markets are.

388
00:19:47,839 --> 00:19:50,200
Speaker 4: And these people have nothing.

389
00:19:49,960 --> 00:19:53,160
Speaker 5: To talk about on air, so they just make up

390
00:19:53,200 --> 00:19:54,799
stuff and they say, oh, I'm gonna bet this.

391
00:19:55,160 --> 00:19:57,279
Speaker 4: Meanwhile, they got their own they got their own cemetery

392
00:19:57,319 --> 00:20:01,000
that they buried everybody in. I mean, it's just terrible anyway. Sorry,

393
00:20:01,160 --> 00:20:03,559
I don't mean to come off a little salty this morning.

394
00:20:04,400 --> 00:20:06,599
Speaker 1: No, No, you're good. You're good.

395
00:20:07,240 --> 00:20:09,799
Speaker 5: We got two games, to be honest with you having

396
00:20:09,839 --> 00:20:13,400
a great season, I mean, having an unbelievable college season

397
00:20:13,440 --> 00:20:14,920
when when it making money.

398
00:20:15,799 --> 00:20:17,799
Speaker 4: I got two games tonight. You're right ahead. I'm gonna

399
00:20:17,799 --> 00:20:19,359
stop talking, man, I just can't help it.

400
00:20:19,960 --> 00:20:22,799
Speaker 1: No, you're good, You're good. I gotta I want to.

401
00:20:22,839 --> 00:20:24,799
I want to do your prop. And then I got

402
00:20:25,200 --> 00:20:27,720
a hilarious photo to show you it is. It's right

403
00:20:27,799 --> 00:20:29,720
up your alley. You're gonna laugh your ass off when

404
00:20:29,720 --> 00:20:31,839
you see this photos here. But what what's your what's

405
00:20:31,839 --> 00:20:33,799
your Monday night football? Prop for tonight. What do you like?

406
00:20:34,359 --> 00:20:36,200
Speaker 5: So I just went over to make sure the wine's

407
00:20:36,240 --> 00:20:39,599
still the same about ten minutes ago. I'm sure it is.

408
00:20:39,640 --> 00:20:44,480
I just actually released it. But it's it's not gonna move, okay, JK.

409
00:20:44,680 --> 00:20:48,960
Dobbins under Rushing Yards. It is sixty five and a half.

410
00:20:48,960 --> 00:20:51,240
I'm looking at MGM sixty five and a half. So

411
00:20:51,400 --> 00:20:53,440
I think Denver is gonna get these running backs more

412
00:20:53,440 --> 00:20:58,000
involved this week, so that that under sixty five and

413
00:20:58,000 --> 00:21:00,480
a half and listen, I will tell you to get

414
00:21:00,480 --> 00:21:02,920
to it now because it will move. I'm gonna talk

415
00:21:02,920 --> 00:21:04,799
about it on a couple of shows today, so I'm

416
00:21:04,839 --> 00:21:05,680
sure it's gonna.

417
00:21:05,440 --> 00:21:08,640
Speaker 4: Go down a little bit. Dobbin's under, and I'm gonna

418
00:21:08,640 --> 00:21:09,119
have another.

419
00:21:08,960 --> 00:21:11,640
Speaker 5: One later on also Andy, but for the people that

420
00:21:11,720 --> 00:21:13,759
wag your talk, but that there's a free one that

421
00:21:14,759 --> 00:21:18,000
to be real blunt now that I'm thinking about it,

422
00:21:18,200 --> 00:21:21,319
forgot to bet it. I'm going to but I just

423
00:21:22,200 --> 00:21:24,079
I came in went a head full of steam about

424
00:21:24,160 --> 00:21:27,599
some a couple of subjects. But yeah, Dobbin's under. Okay,

425
00:21:27,640 --> 00:21:29,599
I bet MGM right now, which I'm probably gonna bet

426
00:21:29,720 --> 00:21:31,519
right there. So I'm gonna give you guys. Give you

427
00:21:31,559 --> 00:21:33,680
guys a minute or two, a couple of minutes to

428
00:21:33,720 --> 00:21:37,079
bet that has not moved Dobbin's under sixty five and

429
00:21:37,119 --> 00:21:39,440
a half. So yeah, and I'm gonna bet a lot

430
00:21:39,440 --> 00:21:44,519
of these, a lot of these props. I usually I

431
00:21:44,559 --> 00:21:46,279
release them for the customers first, so I don't front

432
00:21:46,359 --> 00:21:49,440
run customers. I don't give out under sixty five and

433
00:21:49,440 --> 00:21:51,160
a half when I bet under sixty eight and a half.

434
00:21:51,279 --> 00:21:52,920
Speaker 4: That I don't do. And I'm not.

435
00:21:52,839 --> 00:21:55,200
Speaker 5: One of these people that say, oh, you could bet

436
00:21:55,240 --> 00:21:57,720
this line at ESPN better, you can bet it that

437
00:21:57,799 --> 00:21:59,039
a certain sports book.

438
00:21:59,160 --> 00:22:00,200
Speaker 4: And I don't give that.

439
00:22:00,240 --> 00:22:03,000
Speaker 5: I give had an obtainable line. Andrew, what was that comment?

440
00:22:03,119 --> 00:22:04,759
Just went by someone? U?

441
00:22:05,559 --> 00:22:08,799
Speaker 1: Sports betting is changing? Worst lately is the price hike

442
00:22:08,839 --> 00:22:12,359
on NFL teasers? Yeah, DraftKings doing minus one thirty five.

443
00:22:13,440 --> 00:22:15,799
Speaker 5: You can't bet it, don't you notice, guys, I haven't

444
00:22:15,839 --> 00:22:17,880
given that any teasers one on the line. I don't

445
00:22:17,920 --> 00:22:19,920
think it's fair to give out teasers to you guys

446
00:22:20,119 --> 00:22:23,559
now if you're playing with a local, yes, I'm told

447
00:22:23,599 --> 00:22:25,920
the local guys and the software still have six point

448
00:22:25,960 --> 00:22:28,839
teasers at a dollar twenty. But I'm dealing to a

449
00:22:28,880 --> 00:22:31,400
crowd that plays the DraftKings, Fanduels and big you know,

450
00:22:31,440 --> 00:22:33,839
the big sports books of the world that that are

451
00:22:34,000 --> 00:22:35,640
new to the United States here in the last seven

452
00:22:35,640 --> 00:22:40,920
eight years, and they're price gouging on these DraftKings was great.

453
00:22:40,920 --> 00:22:43,440
They were minus a dollar twenty and they were getting

454
00:22:43,440 --> 00:22:44,839
a lot of action. I'm sure they were making a

455
00:22:44,880 --> 00:22:47,359
ton of money on it. But someone said, hey, we

456
00:22:47,359 --> 00:22:49,440
can make more if we charge a dollar thirty five.

457
00:22:49,559 --> 00:22:51,839
Let's charge double the juice. So they charge of seventy

458
00:22:51,839 --> 00:22:55,119
five percent more juice, eighty percent more juice on that

459
00:22:55,200 --> 00:22:55,759
same bet.

460
00:22:56,000 --> 00:22:58,160
Speaker 4: So I'm sure they'll beat all these.

461
00:22:58,079 --> 00:23:00,000
Speaker 5: Kids up that are that don't care what they lay,

462
00:23:00,079 --> 00:23:03,039
don't respect the line, they don't respect the market. Six

463
00:23:03,039 --> 00:23:05,680
point teaser I was. I was betting even money for

464
00:23:05,759 --> 00:23:09,960
a decade, even teasers for a decade, literally, and then

465
00:23:10,000 --> 00:23:11,440
all of a sudden, some one s should be minus

466
00:23:11,440 --> 00:23:14,599
one ten for a six point teaser. Okay, even minus

467
00:23:14,640 --> 00:23:17,119
twenty you can beat, but it cuts into the profits.

468
00:23:17,160 --> 00:23:22,200
Minus one thirty five unbeatable, unbeatable, You cannot win betting

469
00:23:22,240 --> 00:23:25,160
six point teasers minus one thirty five. Going through the

470
00:23:25,240 --> 00:23:28,319
key numbers, going through it's unbeatable unless you're just a

471
00:23:28,359 --> 00:23:29,079
short term.

472
00:23:28,920 --> 00:23:31,079
Speaker 4: Guy you win to and quick for the year or

473
00:23:31,119 --> 00:23:33,359
something like that. It's that hard.

474
00:23:33,920 --> 00:23:36,880
Speaker 1: Can I I want to have this conversation with you,

475
00:23:36,880 --> 00:23:39,640
because we got time today. I was just having this

476
00:23:39,759 --> 00:23:42,680
conversation with one of my one of my betting partners.

477
00:23:42,720 --> 00:23:45,400
We're not having a good year. We are down units

478
00:23:45,400 --> 00:23:49,119
for the year, coming off of two incredible years, but

479
00:23:49,200 --> 00:23:52,160
this year, you know, we're down. And I was saying

480
00:23:52,160 --> 00:23:56,359
to him, the prices have really made it tough to

481
00:23:56,359 --> 00:24:00,000
turn a profit now, like some of these lines. I'm

482
00:24:00,279 --> 00:24:01,839
I'm gonna get to the Ryder Cup. I was out

483
00:24:01,839 --> 00:24:03,519
in New York. I went there. This is where I

484
00:24:03,559 --> 00:24:04,720
got this picture to show you.

485
00:24:04,839 --> 00:24:07,200
Speaker 4: I've seen you on video yelling at one of the dolfers.

486
00:24:09,319 --> 00:24:12,000
Speaker 1: Not me, not me. I was in a suite, but

487
00:24:12,440 --> 00:24:15,599
they had like forty cent lines. It was like minus

488
00:24:15,759 --> 00:24:17,880
like I had to head matchup minus one twenty, minus

489
00:24:17,880 --> 00:24:20,319
one twenty. It was like it didn't used to be

490
00:24:20,559 --> 00:24:23,079
like this, Like even just a few years ago, it

491
00:24:23,079 --> 00:24:24,720
didn't used to be like this. But I look at

492
00:24:24,720 --> 00:24:27,519
some of these lines in UFC, and you're getting fights

493
00:24:27,519 --> 00:24:30,119
that should be pick'ems and that they're minus two hundred,

494
00:24:30,319 --> 00:24:32,839
and then these teasers, now that minus one thirty five,

495
00:24:33,079 --> 00:24:35,279
and now you throw the tax thing in there, like Bill,

496
00:24:36,000 --> 00:24:39,319
when is it enough? Like at what point are we

497
00:24:39,359 --> 00:24:40,960
gonna get to where everyone just says, you know, this

498
00:24:41,039 --> 00:24:43,319
is not only is this not beatable, it's not even

499
00:24:43,440 --> 00:24:46,559
fun like how much how much money can you take

500
00:24:46,559 --> 00:24:48,640
from us? And how much value can you take out

501
00:24:48,759 --> 00:24:51,200
these lines? It's getting to be with these domestic books.

502
00:24:51,200 --> 00:24:52,119
It's not a fair fight.

503
00:24:52,960 --> 00:24:55,880
Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, it's funny you say that.

504
00:24:56,880 --> 00:24:58,559
Speaker 5: I'm not gonna throw the book under the bus, because

505
00:24:58,559 --> 00:25:00,200
they're very good to me, and they're very good on

506
00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:02,079
a lot of lines, and they offered a lot of

507
00:25:02,079 --> 00:25:07,480
the different diversity and there's so many different things they offer.

508
00:25:08,079 --> 00:25:10,559
But I noticed they went to minus one fifteen on

509
00:25:10,640 --> 00:25:13,039
prophesis this year on both sides.

510
00:25:13,240 --> 00:25:15,599
Speaker 4: And I still have to terrorize the line manager. Why

511
00:25:15,640 --> 00:25:16,000
did you guy?

512
00:25:16,240 --> 00:25:19,920
Speaker 5: You guys were one ten for years just because people

513
00:25:19,920 --> 00:25:21,240
don't really care what they like?

514
00:25:21,400 --> 00:25:23,680
Speaker 4: That was his answer. I said, you're right, you're right,

515
00:25:23,799 --> 00:25:25,680
you're right, you're right, and I'm still gonna play.

516
00:25:25,799 --> 00:25:28,799
Speaker 5: I'm still betting into it, So you're right. Now we're

517
00:25:28,960 --> 00:25:34,839
referring to as in golf. Golf is used to be

518
00:25:34,960 --> 00:25:37,839
minus one ten on both sides of golf matchups and stuff.

519
00:25:38,079 --> 00:25:40,759
Are you sing I know if matchups are now one

520
00:25:40,920 --> 00:25:42,000
twenty both sides.

521
00:25:42,039 --> 00:25:42,440
Speaker 4: No way.

522
00:25:43,079 --> 00:25:44,799
Speaker 1: They were out in New York when I was in

523
00:25:44,880 --> 00:25:48,240
DraftKings they opened up some matchups at thirty set lines

524
00:25:48,279 --> 00:25:50,279
and while we were watching in real time, they went

525
00:25:50,319 --> 00:25:53,000
to thirty five set lines and then forty set lines. Yes,

526
00:25:53,160 --> 00:25:55,839
that that that really happened. It was on Singles on Sunday.

527
00:25:56,160 --> 00:26:00,000
It was crazy. Yeah, Chad, I love this comment. These

528
00:26:00,079 --> 00:26:02,680
corporations are greedier than the old school mob bookies.

529
00:26:03,920 --> 00:26:04,240
Speaker 4: Listen.

530
00:26:04,319 --> 00:26:08,400
Speaker 5: I'll tell you right now, Chad is spot on spot

531
00:26:08,480 --> 00:26:10,799
on mob guys know how the massage things give you

532
00:26:10,799 --> 00:26:14,720
a little value for the money. These corporations, man, I'll

533
00:26:14,720 --> 00:26:16,720
tell you they just want to listen.

534
00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:17,000
Speaker 4: Listen.

535
00:26:17,519 --> 00:26:19,640
Speaker 5: It might be better off just having to us a

536
00:26:19,640 --> 00:26:21,799
mask and a gun. Just take the money, get get

537
00:26:21,799 --> 00:26:22,599
it over with quicker.

538
00:26:23,079 --> 00:26:26,960
Speaker 4: I mean, that's unbelievable that they I mean, and you

539
00:26:27,000 --> 00:26:27,240
know what.

540
00:26:27,880 --> 00:26:31,519
Speaker 5: It'll never stop and it's only gonna get worse. And

541
00:26:31,559 --> 00:26:33,880
you want to know why, because they still get the

542
00:26:34,000 --> 00:26:38,039
volume they do. It's because we are so close to

543
00:26:38,079 --> 00:26:40,480
the sun here at wager Talk and these type of shows,

544
00:26:40,680 --> 00:26:42,480
and these shows I do. I do a dozen shows

545
00:26:42,480 --> 00:26:45,400
a week on different networks talking about the smart advantage,

546
00:26:45,400 --> 00:26:47,880
sports betting, responsible gambling, different things.

547
00:26:48,200 --> 00:26:49,559
Speaker 4: We're too close to the sun.

548
00:26:50,279 --> 00:26:55,279
Speaker 5: We represent a little little fraction so tiny you can't

549
00:26:55,279 --> 00:26:56,839
even see it on a radar screen.

550
00:26:57,359 --> 00:26:58,960
Speaker 4: Of the sports betting community.

551
00:26:59,519 --> 00:27:02,119
Speaker 5: It's all these kids in college and these kids that

552
00:27:02,160 --> 00:27:06,160
are watching things on TV and they watch ESPN, and

553
00:27:06,920 --> 00:27:09,920
you know, they go through all these different media sources.

554
00:27:10,039 --> 00:27:13,480
Murderers row and then they just have no chance and

555
00:27:13,519 --> 00:27:14,119
they don't.

556
00:27:13,920 --> 00:27:15,559
Speaker 4: Care, they don't respect, they just fire.

557
00:27:15,960 --> 00:27:20,079
Speaker 5: So what we know for us being around and me

558
00:27:20,200 --> 00:27:22,440
being you know, old school knock around guy from thirty

559
00:27:22,519 --> 00:27:25,359
years ago, bet in sports with locals, I know what

560
00:27:25,440 --> 00:27:27,480
it is, and I know what it is to bet

561
00:27:27,519 --> 00:27:30,480
even with the offshore world in the late nineties early

562
00:27:30,519 --> 00:27:34,440
two thousands, I know what it was juice wise and

563
00:27:34,480 --> 00:27:36,160
how they made lots of money.

564
00:27:36,200 --> 00:27:37,079
Speaker 4: Everyone was happy.

565
00:27:37,559 --> 00:27:41,240
Speaker 5: And I've seen these new corporations coming and they use

566
00:27:41,319 --> 00:27:45,759
the excuses they have to overcome these marketing expenses. They

567
00:27:45,799 --> 00:27:48,319
got to pay Lebron and all these guys two million

568
00:27:48,400 --> 00:27:52,720
five million a year and all these ads everywhere, stadiums everywhere,

569
00:27:52,880 --> 00:27:56,079
So they spend all this money on this stuff, and

570
00:27:56,160 --> 00:27:59,640
meanwhile they already have the customer this is Are you

571
00:27:59,680 --> 00:28:04,759
doing it for customer retention? Maybe branding? Maybe I know

572
00:28:04,799 --> 00:28:08,799
one thing. Us betters pay the price. We're the ones

573
00:28:08,799 --> 00:28:11,519
that pay in the end by paying. You're telling me

574
00:28:11,559 --> 00:28:14,920
about this golf juice. I mean, it's so tough to

575
00:28:14,960 --> 00:28:17,559
beat minus one ten lines and now you want to

576
00:28:17,599 --> 00:28:19,920
go to one fifteen, one eighteen, and even one twenty.

577
00:28:20,440 --> 00:28:23,920
It's it's really really frustrating that we have to put

578
00:28:23,960 --> 00:28:27,319
up with this stuff. But let me be blunt, I'm

579
00:28:27,359 --> 00:28:29,880
still gonna beat it because I'm dealing with the sharpest

580
00:28:29,880 --> 00:28:33,640
syndicate guys in the world. You know, I'm dealing with

581
00:28:33,680 --> 00:28:36,119
guys that are that have a better line than the

582
00:28:36,200 --> 00:28:40,400
sports books that you could play in. That's a perfect example.

583
00:28:40,440 --> 00:28:42,559
So now just now, I just want to go put

584
00:28:42,559 --> 00:28:44,640
a bet in the Dobbin's bet.

585
00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:46,839
Speaker 4: I gave it. I told you guys, and I bet after.

586
00:28:46,960 --> 00:28:48,440
I just bet it. Just now, so I go to

587
00:28:48,440 --> 00:28:51,799
put a pen and I try to bet thousands and

588
00:28:51,839 --> 00:28:52,680
thousands of dollars.

589
00:28:53,079 --> 00:28:55,759
Speaker 5: So they gave me seven hundred and forty bucks, but

590
00:28:55,839 --> 00:28:57,519
I'm still I'm happy with the seven forty.

591
00:28:57,799 --> 00:28:59,039
Speaker 4: You know, I'm happy with that.

592
00:28:59,119 --> 00:29:04,680
Speaker 5: But like if perfect example is, if that was such

593
00:29:04,720 --> 00:29:08,799
an efficient market, the prop market, then they would take

594
00:29:08,839 --> 00:29:10,640
what they would take on an NFL game, which is

595
00:29:11,359 --> 00:29:14,119
you know, twenty five fifty, one hundred times or whatever

596
00:29:14,160 --> 00:29:15,440
you can carry in your backpack.

597
00:29:15,440 --> 00:29:17,640
Speaker 4: I'd like to say at the counter.

598
00:29:17,559 --> 00:29:21,640
Speaker 5: Or on the app. So I know I'm still gonna

599
00:29:21,640 --> 00:29:24,200
be the I'm still gonna be even minus one fifteen

600
00:29:24,200 --> 00:29:27,000
both ways on props. I'm still gonna beat it because

601
00:29:27,240 --> 00:29:30,559
I'm dealing with guys that are better better that putting

602
00:29:30,599 --> 00:29:33,400
up the lines than the bookmakers themselves. A matter of fact,

603
00:29:33,640 --> 00:29:37,599
they couldn't pay them enough. These companies that run the

604
00:29:37,599 --> 00:29:39,720
book making shops, what do you think they pay their

605
00:29:39,799 --> 00:29:44,279
risk department. Honestly, it's embarrassing. They should pay them a

606
00:29:44,279 --> 00:29:48,400
lot more. It's embarrassing. The offshore book makers in the

607
00:29:48,480 --> 00:29:53,039
late nineties early two thousands were making double double the

608
00:29:53,039 --> 00:29:57,559
guys in risk. Then the legal companies are today over

609
00:29:57,599 --> 00:30:00,839
in Jersey and where they have these here DraftKings too.

610
00:30:00,960 --> 00:30:05,079
They have their office here to risk office here. They

611
00:30:05,119 --> 00:30:07,559
deserve to get paid more. There's a lot of responsibility

612
00:30:07,599 --> 00:30:11,559
on their shoulders of a public company. So I'm just

613
00:30:11,599 --> 00:30:13,599
telling you we're too close to the sun here. Like

614
00:30:13,680 --> 00:30:16,440
I said, we're a very small fraction of what goes

615
00:30:16,480 --> 00:30:19,440
on out there. But I'm still going to beat it,

616
00:30:19,640 --> 00:30:21,680
and the guys I'm dealing with, we're still going to

617
00:30:21,720 --> 00:30:24,559
overcome the juice and stuff. But it does hurt. You

618
00:30:24,599 --> 00:30:28,200
start shaking your head and say, wow, you know what

619
00:30:28,279 --> 00:30:30,640
has happened. Like you said, you're having a losing year

620
00:30:30,640 --> 00:30:34,799
this year. But what people don't realize out there is, mathematically,

621
00:30:35,359 --> 00:30:37,640
if you're a lifetime winning you got a couple of

622
00:30:37,680 --> 00:30:41,079
good winning years in a row. Mathematically, someone that's losing,

623
00:30:41,200 --> 00:30:45,640
if they're evolving and using the same formulas and models,

624
00:30:46,400 --> 00:30:50,720
they are still that lifetime fifty seven percent capper. If

625
00:30:50,720 --> 00:30:54,160
they're handicapping at fifty one percent, well then guess why

626
00:30:55,000 --> 00:30:56,799
they're going to return to the mean. And now's the

627
00:30:56,839 --> 00:30:59,920
time to jump on them. So if that makes any sense.

628
00:30:59,720 --> 00:31:04,519
Speaker 1: For no, it does I. I I appreciate that. Uh yeah,

629
00:31:04,559 --> 00:31:07,400
the confidence is confidence is still there in the reads.

630
00:31:07,400 --> 00:31:10,440
And so I just we got robbed on a fight

631
00:31:11,000 --> 00:31:13,480
last week. It was we lost on Contender series and

632
00:31:13,480 --> 00:31:14,960
even Dana White gets up there was like, yeah, the

633
00:31:15,000 --> 00:31:17,440
judge's got it wrong. Well they announced like, yeah, judge's

634
00:31:17,440 --> 00:31:19,400
got it wrong, like just stuff like that. But I

635
00:31:19,799 --> 00:31:21,200
want to show you this picture. I want to show

636
00:31:21,200 --> 00:31:22,759
this picture before I let you go. All right, So

637
00:31:23,519 --> 00:31:26,240
bucket bucket list here Bill. I got invited to the

638
00:31:26,319 --> 00:31:29,480
Ryder Cup and we had a suite. Okay, this is

639
00:31:29,519 --> 00:31:31,599
the suite that was next to the one I was

640
00:31:31,640 --> 00:31:35,839
in the Draft Kings VIP clubhouse. How much money are

641
00:31:35,880 --> 00:31:38,319
you down in your Draft Kings account to get invited

642
00:31:38,640 --> 00:31:41,440
to the VIP suite at the Ryder Cup.

643
00:31:42,240 --> 00:31:44,759
Speaker 5: Oh okay, I don't see it.

644
00:31:44,920 --> 00:31:46,359
Speaker 4: Photo supposed to be on there. Yeah.

645
00:31:46,440 --> 00:31:48,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, this is a picture of the Draft Kings VIP

646
00:31:49,039 --> 00:31:52,079
clubhouse at the Ryder Cup.

647
00:31:53,839 --> 00:31:56,039
Speaker 4: My screen set up, it's just orange to me.

648
00:31:56,720 --> 00:31:58,559
Speaker 1: That's all right, that's all right. Everyone else can see it.

649
00:31:58,599 --> 00:32:01,160
So how much do you have to be down to

650
00:32:01,200 --> 00:32:02,039
get invited to that?

651
00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:02,599
Speaker 4: Yeah?

652
00:32:02,799 --> 00:32:06,640
Speaker 5: Oh yeah, no, you're you're in big money, uh to

653
00:32:06,680 --> 00:32:09,680
get they listen, they take care of their VIPs for sure,

654
00:32:09,960 --> 00:32:12,160
the guys, and they're willing to lose you know, half

655
00:32:12,200 --> 00:32:14,240
a million, a million dollars a year. You're gonna get

656
00:32:14,279 --> 00:32:17,839
invited the Super Bowl sweets like that, and yeah, that

657
00:32:17,960 --> 00:32:20,400
was really cool, and that's that stuff's unbelievable.

658
00:32:21,279 --> 00:32:24,200
Speaker 1: I there's a there's a local, there's a guy that

659
00:32:24,319 --> 00:32:26,759
oversees everything in Indiana. Like if you have issues with

660
00:32:26,759 --> 00:32:28,599
your account, you reach out to I texted. I was like,

661
00:32:28,640 --> 00:32:33,559
why was it I invited? Never mind? I know I'm

662
00:32:33,599 --> 00:32:35,599
not inviting. So all right, Bill, what do you have

663
00:32:35,759 --> 00:32:36,960
up for everybody on this Monday?

664
00:32:37,039 --> 00:32:40,319
Speaker 4: Yeah? So over a wager talk? I just pulled it up.

665
00:32:40,920 --> 00:32:44,160
Speaker 5: Yeah, good season here, sixty two thirty two profits so far,

666
00:32:44,759 --> 00:32:47,880
we have a four percent play. Uh these four percent

667
00:32:47,920 --> 00:32:50,160
plays are four and one plus eleven points two.

668
00:32:50,039 --> 00:32:51,680
Speaker 4: Is are rare. We have a rare one up there today.

669
00:32:52,000 --> 00:32:53,319
And uh yeah, join us over.

670
00:32:53,200 --> 00:32:56,119
Speaker 5: A wager talk again, go into the weekly or the

671
00:32:56,160 --> 00:32:59,079
monthly package. That's what you want to do long term,

672
00:32:59,400 --> 00:33:00,640
you'll see the you're there.

673
00:33:01,480 --> 00:33:04,880
Speaker 1: All right, thank you, Bill, great segment today, Bill krack Man,

674
00:33:05,000 --> 00:33:09,119
everybody always a pleasure. So all right, only one play

675
00:33:09,119 --> 00:33:11,319
that is up for us. We just got done talking

676
00:33:11,319 --> 00:33:13,079
about how tough it is to win. We won last

677
00:33:13,160 --> 00:33:15,400
night big. We had two props in the Sunday night game.

678
00:33:15,720 --> 00:33:18,680
Did absolutely fantastic so I had a couple of frustrating

679
00:33:18,720 --> 00:33:21,000
losses earlier in the day, but we capped off the

680
00:33:21,079 --> 00:33:22,759
night with big win. And we only have one play

681
00:33:22,799 --> 00:33:25,440
tonight that is up grab that Monday night football play

682
00:33:25,480 --> 00:33:28,359
best bet. It's a prop. It's only fifteen bucks. We're

683
00:33:28,440 --> 00:33:30,799
up fifty units last three hundred and sixty five days

684
00:33:30,799 --> 00:33:33,039
and props. This is our bread and butter. This is

685
00:33:33,039 --> 00:33:35,759
what we do. Number one at wage of talking props

686
00:33:35,799 --> 00:33:38,759
last year. So and this year has been pretty good football.

687
00:33:38,920 --> 00:33:41,519
We're around that fifty five fifty six percent, so we've

688
00:33:41,559 --> 00:33:45,000
kind of been been treading water. But yeah, one good play,

689
00:33:45,359 --> 00:33:48,039
join us cash with us. Really really loved the prop.

690
00:33:48,039 --> 00:33:50,240
I think it's mispriced. I think there's a few things

691
00:33:50,240 --> 00:33:52,319
that the books are not taking into account with the

692
00:33:52,319 --> 00:33:55,440
game script. So one play, one winner tonight, WT Dot

693
00:33:55,480 --> 00:34:00,400
Buzz slash Al. All right, let's bring in Steve Merrill. Well, Steve,

694
00:34:00,400 --> 00:34:02,720
we're gonna talk some baseball, We're gonna talk some Monday

695
00:34:02,799 --> 00:34:07,119
night football. But first we did our overreactions for the

696
00:34:07,160 --> 00:34:10,719
week here, so I'm curious which ones you like the best.

697
00:34:12,679 --> 00:34:15,360
Just two weeks ago, the Chiefs were written off. They're done.

698
00:34:15,400 --> 00:34:17,119
Now they're all of a sudden back to Super Bowl

699
00:34:17,119 --> 00:34:21,039
contenders a week. That's an overreaction for four weeks in

700
00:34:21,159 --> 00:34:23,400
cam Ward is a bust. I've seen that start to

701
00:34:23,440 --> 00:34:27,119
pop up. I've seen Saints aren't gonna win a game

702
00:34:27,280 --> 00:34:31,599
this season. They were particularly atrocious on offense yes today,

703
00:34:32,039 --> 00:34:34,400
and then the Packers were two weeks removed, Steve, don't

704
00:34:34,400 --> 00:34:37,400
forget two weeks remove from can the Packers go undefeated?

705
00:34:37,800 --> 00:34:40,719
To now the Packers are overrated because they lost to

706
00:34:40,760 --> 00:34:43,199
the Browns and then they tied. Which one is your

707
00:34:43,199 --> 00:34:44,199
favorite overreaction?

708
00:34:45,400 --> 00:34:47,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean it's still the Packers. We've talked about

709
00:34:47,480 --> 00:34:50,280
them a lot each week. It's amazing they blew a

710
00:34:50,320 --> 00:34:52,760
ten nothing lead, dominating most of the games clean and

711
00:34:52,760 --> 00:34:55,480
what was one of the worst scheduling spots ever. As

712
00:34:55,480 --> 00:34:57,880
I've talked about numerous times here on the channel. It's

713
00:34:57,920 --> 00:34:59,119
one of the reasons we had a best bet on

714
00:34:59,119 --> 00:35:01,360
the Browns. One of the reasons I told everybody in

715
00:35:01,400 --> 00:35:03,639
my Fade the public video last week, do not use

716
00:35:03,639 --> 00:35:05,840
the Packers and your survivor picks. Do not use them

717
00:35:05,840 --> 00:35:08,559
in teasers. And that was the same advice I gave

718
00:35:08,599 --> 00:35:11,599
to people this week with the LA Chargers the Giants.

719
00:35:11,840 --> 00:35:13,840
I didn't use the Giants. I wasn't bold too much

720
00:35:13,880 --> 00:35:16,800
uncertainty with the new quarterback. But I told people, this

721
00:35:16,880 --> 00:35:20,199
is another terrible scheduling spot for the Chargers and the

722
00:35:20,239 --> 00:35:22,280
reason I actually didn't play against the Chargers.

723
00:35:22,320 --> 00:35:23,719
Speaker 3: I really liked them this year, and I still like

724
00:35:23,760 --> 00:35:24,239
the Packers.

725
00:35:24,280 --> 00:35:25,400
Speaker 4: I liked them last night.

726
00:35:26,119 --> 00:35:28,239
Speaker 2: And they ended up tying still and that was with

727
00:35:28,400 --> 00:35:31,280
a blocked extra point returned. Otherwise they win the game

728
00:35:31,280 --> 00:35:34,840
in regulation most likely, So that's an overreaction. As far

729
00:35:34,880 --> 00:35:37,800
as cam Ward goes, I wasn't expecting a lot from him.

730
00:35:37,800 --> 00:35:39,719
He wasn't the best player in the draft. But because

731
00:35:39,760 --> 00:35:42,400
everyone has to take a quarterback, you're always chasing your tail.

732
00:35:42,960 --> 00:35:45,639
We saw the Browns do it for decades. He's on

733
00:35:45,679 --> 00:35:47,920
a bad team and he could be a good quarterback.

734
00:35:47,960 --> 00:35:50,159
We'll never know until maybe he goes somewhere else if

735
00:35:50,159 --> 00:35:52,599
they don't ruin him in the meantime, and then, the

736
00:35:52,760 --> 00:35:54,800
Saints were expected to be the worst team coming into

737
00:35:54,800 --> 00:35:57,400
the NFL. They will win a couple of games. I'll

738
00:35:57,400 --> 00:35:59,920
win two or three most likely, so that's probably an overreaction.

739
00:36:00,000 --> 00:36:03,480
I'm not gonna go winless, but yeah, it's amazing to me, Andy,

740
00:36:03,519 --> 00:36:06,239
how the Packers and the Commanders. Let's not forget not

741
00:36:06,400 --> 00:36:09,639
my Washington Commanders. That was the NFC Championship preview a

742
00:36:09,639 --> 00:36:12,400
couple of Thursday nights ago. I didn't feel that way.

743
00:36:12,400 --> 00:36:14,599
In fact, I really liked the Falcons yesterday. I gave

744
00:36:14,599 --> 00:36:16,480
that free to everybody in the fade the public video,

745
00:36:16,920 --> 00:36:19,360
and you know I love to fade those public dogs.

746
00:36:19,679 --> 00:36:21,480
I thought Atlanta was a really good spot coming off

747
00:36:21,480 --> 00:36:24,440
the shutout loss. Do the Titans do we bear back that?

748
00:36:24,639 --> 00:36:27,760
Do we dare back? We don't bear back? We dare

749
00:36:27,800 --> 00:36:29,159
back the Titans.

750
00:36:29,280 --> 00:36:29,800
Speaker 4: Off the set?

751
00:36:30,039 --> 00:36:32,280
Speaker 2: Look at that, Andy Lang or the odds of me

752
00:36:32,360 --> 00:36:33,400
saying that on Live TV.

753
00:36:35,760 --> 00:36:38,960
Speaker 1: Well, we debuted a new open for the show. I

754
00:36:39,000 --> 00:36:41,800
asked people to give suggestions, and one of the suggestions

755
00:36:41,880 --> 00:36:44,440
was welcome to Wager Talk. It's time to bang with

756
00:36:44,480 --> 00:36:45,199
Andy Lang.

757
00:36:45,800 --> 00:36:48,719
Speaker 2: Wow, and they can use the little That's one of

758
00:36:48,760 --> 00:36:50,639
my favorite emojis. By the way I went, because I

759
00:36:50,679 --> 00:36:52,280
do reply back to all the comments. Is you know

760
00:36:52,320 --> 00:36:54,239
I love the little. If you type in boom, it

761
00:36:54,280 --> 00:36:57,480
gives you that whenever we cash, I love putting boom

762
00:36:57,519 --> 00:36:59,840
with the money sign or the happy phase of the

763
00:37:00,320 --> 00:37:03,079
Bill Nol. Yeah, the Titans have been getting bare backed

764
00:37:03,079 --> 00:37:05,280
all season, so it wasn't appropriate common in hindsight.

765
00:37:08,000 --> 00:37:09,880
Speaker 1: That's sorry, not clip that, don't clip that.

766
00:37:09,880 --> 00:37:10,760
Speaker 2: This is a family show.

767
00:37:11,440 --> 00:37:15,440
Speaker 1: Let's talk Bengals and Broncos tonight. What do you got

768
00:37:15,480 --> 00:37:17,440
on this game? This is an interesting one. You got,

769
00:37:17,519 --> 00:37:20,000
Jake Browning? What's your read on this game?

770
00:37:20,599 --> 00:37:22,519
Speaker 2: Good for the NFL doing two Monday night games. They're

771
00:37:22,519 --> 00:37:24,320
doing this quite often. It's like every other week. I

772
00:37:24,320 --> 00:37:25,760
don't know what the game plan is, but I looked

773
00:37:25,760 --> 00:37:27,480
at the schedule for October. We have a few more

774
00:37:27,480 --> 00:37:29,760
of these double headers, and they got it right. We

775
00:37:29,840 --> 00:37:32,360
got the OO to six combined Jets and Dolphins leading

776
00:37:32,400 --> 00:37:35,079
us off with the one and two and two and

777
00:37:35,159 --> 00:37:37,719
one Bengals and Broncos. So combined to four teams tonight,

778
00:37:37,760 --> 00:37:39,480
I think are three and nine straight up in my

779
00:37:39,519 --> 00:37:42,400
math is right. So maybe the experiment's not working, but

780
00:37:42,440 --> 00:37:44,840
I like this concept. I don't like the European games,

781
00:37:44,840 --> 00:37:47,159
but I do like the nine thirty am the nighttime game.

782
00:37:47,199 --> 00:37:48,079
Speaker 3: Let's spread it out.

783
00:37:48,079 --> 00:37:48,440
Speaker 4: Why not?

784
00:37:48,559 --> 00:37:51,360
Speaker 2: You know, why have seven games at one o'clock Eastern?

785
00:37:51,440 --> 00:37:55,239
Nowadays it's becoming more spread out. What I will say, though,

786
00:37:55,280 --> 00:37:56,960
is if you say who's two and one, who's one

787
00:37:56,960 --> 00:37:58,960
and two? Everybody would jump and say the Broncos are

788
00:37:58,960 --> 00:38:01,280
the two and one team because they are the better

789
00:38:01,320 --> 00:38:03,639
team and they're more than a touchdown favor for that reason.

790
00:38:04,360 --> 00:38:07,719
So it's green Bay, green Bayer pass, Denver or passed.

791
00:38:07,920 --> 00:38:09,519
Just like last night, he was green Bay or pass

792
00:38:09,559 --> 00:38:11,320
because I wanted nothing to do with the Cowboys, but

793
00:38:11,360 --> 00:38:14,280
that line was inflated and it did make a difference.

794
00:38:14,440 --> 00:38:17,079
Dallas didn't win, but they covered, and I say it's

795
00:38:17,079 --> 00:38:18,800
the same thing here tonight. Once again, I don't want

796
00:38:18,800 --> 00:38:20,760
anything to do with the Bengals. As you mentioned, Browning

797
00:38:20,760 --> 00:38:23,239
is starting. Burrow is out for several months. What was

798
00:38:23,280 --> 00:38:26,480
it toe surgery, I believe, and Browning didn't look too good.

799
00:38:26,719 --> 00:38:29,719
He's the third year quarterback out of University of Washington.

800
00:38:30,119 --> 00:38:31,960
Now the teams have a little time to prepare. I

801
00:38:31,960 --> 00:38:34,480
don't expect much from him, But do we really want

802
00:38:34,519 --> 00:38:36,000
to lay seven and a half in this game? I

803
00:38:36,000 --> 00:38:38,159
could see the Broncos winning by exactly seven. It's a

804
00:38:38,239 --> 00:38:40,960
key number. I did mention this in my video for

805
00:38:40,960 --> 00:38:42,480
this and by the way, I did a standalone two

806
00:38:42,519 --> 00:38:44,840
for one special a deep dive into the Jets, Dolphins,

807
00:38:44,880 --> 00:38:47,159
and the Cincinnati Denver game, so check that out after

808
00:38:47,159 --> 00:38:49,480
the show. Here it's our wager Talk TV from a

809
00:38:49,480 --> 00:38:52,079
few days ago. I did mention I thought the Broncos

810
00:38:52,119 --> 00:38:54,800
make a nice teaser selection tonight. A six point teaser

811
00:38:55,159 --> 00:38:56,719
taking them down to one and a half puts them

812
00:38:56,760 --> 00:38:59,639
in a pretty much straight up one situation. Now, obviously

813
00:38:59,679 --> 00:39:02,760
we have games left from yesterday to tie that up with.

814
00:39:02,800 --> 00:39:04,639
If you watched that video earlier in the weekend, as

815
00:39:04,639 --> 00:39:06,840
you should have, but now we can look ahead to

816
00:39:06,880 --> 00:39:09,559
next week's games. I haven't talked about this anywhere. Some

817
00:39:09,639 --> 00:39:13,280
games that maybe qualifies decent teasers. Jets right now getting

818
00:39:13,280 --> 00:39:16,320
about two points at home against the Cowboys. Cowboys have

819
00:39:16,400 --> 00:39:19,400
not stopped anybody this year defensively, and they're coming off

820
00:39:19,480 --> 00:39:22,320
a tough game last night. As we've talked about, Jets

821
00:39:22,360 --> 00:39:24,480
up to plus eight probably make a decent teaser that's

822
00:39:24,480 --> 00:39:26,320
off the board in many spots. My guess would be

823
00:39:27,000 --> 00:39:30,239
quarterback situation. There a lot of nine and a halves,

824
00:39:30,320 --> 00:39:32,159
so we'll see if those come down lower this week.

825
00:39:32,199 --> 00:39:35,320
And also the Lions right now about an eight and

826
00:39:35,360 --> 00:39:38,440
a half point favorite at Cincinnati, who plays tonight, of course,

827
00:39:39,360 --> 00:39:41,960
and also Buffalo on Sunday night and eight point home

828
00:39:42,000 --> 00:39:44,320
favorite against the Patriots, who had a blowout win. That

829
00:39:44,360 --> 00:39:46,880
was actually my free play of the day yesterday at

830
00:39:46,880 --> 00:39:50,039
wager talk dot com. So Bronco's in a teaser tonight,

831
00:39:50,039 --> 00:39:51,599
and now that we're looking ahead to next week, those

832
00:39:51,639 --> 00:39:53,199
are some teams you can tie it up with. Oh,

833
00:39:53,199 --> 00:39:55,840
by the way, real quick, Andy. Last year, first year

834
00:39:55,840 --> 00:39:57,920
with bo Nicks, the Broncos were a perfect eight, and

835
00:39:58,000 --> 00:40:00,000
those straight up and against the spread is a favorite.

836
00:40:00,159 --> 00:40:04,159
Last year they won but failed to cover ish by

837
00:40:04,239 --> 00:40:06,800
eight in that opener this year against Tennessee and then

838
00:40:06,800 --> 00:40:08,920
technically they lost as a one point favorite against your

839
00:40:08,920 --> 00:40:12,159
Indianapolis Colts. But otherwise they've been winning by margin. I

840
00:40:12,159 --> 00:40:14,840
think eight of those nine games have been by eight points.

841
00:40:15,119 --> 00:40:17,960
Actually everyone's by been eight points or more, and eight

842
00:40:18,000 --> 00:40:20,199
of the nine have been by double digits or eight

843
00:40:20,239 --> 00:40:22,320
of the ten, whatever it is. Now, they've been a

844
00:40:22,320 --> 00:40:24,599
really good favorite. So once gain, Broncos are passed, but

845
00:40:24,719 --> 00:40:26,039
the teaser is probably the best option.

846
00:40:27,559 --> 00:40:30,800
Speaker 1: Let's move to MLB here. We got playoffs coming up,

847
00:40:30,880 --> 00:40:35,000
of course, the Red Sox and the Yankees rivalries. What's

848
00:40:35,000 --> 00:40:37,880
your take on MLB playoffs, and in particular those teams.

849
00:40:38,000 --> 00:40:40,000
I believe Red Sox are about five games behind the

850
00:40:40,079 --> 00:40:42,880
Yankees at this point. So what do you look? What

851
00:40:42,920 --> 00:40:44,559
are you what are you looking at? In the playoffs here.

852
00:40:45,000 --> 00:40:47,199
Speaker 2: It's just always amazing to me, right that they play

853
00:40:47,239 --> 00:40:49,320
one hundred and sixty two games, which is twice as

854
00:40:49,360 --> 00:40:52,440
many as hockey plays or the NBA plays, and then

855
00:40:52,480 --> 00:40:54,280
they had these quick little you know, three to five

856
00:40:54,320 --> 00:40:57,960
whatever game series. They get to seven game series. It's

857
00:40:58,039 --> 00:40:59,599
kind of crazy. And then these are two teams that

858
00:40:59,679 --> 00:41:01,960
had to play hard through the final day of the season.

859
00:41:02,039 --> 00:41:04,920
I mean, Yankees entered the three game series this weekend

860
00:41:04,960 --> 00:41:07,480
dead even with Toronto for the division title. The Red

861
00:41:07,519 --> 00:41:09,880
Sox entered Friday night the three game series this week

862
00:41:09,920 --> 00:41:12,239
in one game up for the wildcard. You have the

863
00:41:12,280 --> 00:41:15,239
Tigers and Guardians tied for the division, maybe on the

864
00:41:15,239 --> 00:41:18,280
outside looking in for the wildcardhading into the weekend after

865
00:41:18,320 --> 00:41:20,400
one hundred and fifty nine games, it's just amazing to

866
00:41:20,400 --> 00:41:23,119
me how tight it becomes. And it's a shame we

867
00:41:23,159 --> 00:41:24,519
can't maybe come up with a little bit of a

868
00:41:24,559 --> 00:41:27,199
better concept. But the Yankees in a red hot nine

869
00:41:27,239 --> 00:41:29,639
in one their last ten, twenty two and eight their

870
00:41:29,679 --> 00:41:31,079
last thirty. And keep in mind, this is a team

871
00:41:31,079 --> 00:41:32,760
that was playing five hundred baseball for a couple of

872
00:41:32,760 --> 00:41:37,039
months before that. Red Sox seventeen and thirteen their last thirty,

873
00:41:37,119 --> 00:41:40,159
six and four their last ten found their way in though,

874
00:41:40,920 --> 00:41:43,199
two teams that are really good against lefties. And I

875
00:41:43,280 --> 00:41:45,920
bring that up because on the surface, they both have

876
00:41:46,039 --> 00:41:48,840
good left handed pitchers. Going tomorrow night on Tuesday, with

877
00:41:48,880 --> 00:41:52,320
Crochet and Freed totals at seven though, you know, and

878
00:41:52,320 --> 00:41:54,039
that's such a key number, and it's just a little

879
00:41:54,079 --> 00:41:56,880
bit to the over at seven or less, I think

880
00:41:56,880 --> 00:41:59,559
we might see more runs and expect it. And yes,

881
00:41:59,599 --> 00:42:02,679
starting pitching is the key to the playoffs. But both

882
00:42:02,679 --> 00:42:05,079
of these offenses are more than capable. And if you

883
00:42:05,119 --> 00:42:07,360
look at some of these pitchers in recent years, you know,

884
00:42:07,400 --> 00:42:09,320
I don't think Crochet's come out of the bullpen until

885
00:42:09,360 --> 00:42:10,920
about a year ago with the White Sox he became

886
00:42:10,960 --> 00:42:13,360
a starter. He's a guy to be careful with. He's

887
00:42:13,400 --> 00:42:15,280
never pitched this late in the season as the start

888
00:42:15,280 --> 00:42:17,519
of this many innings. He's had a nice season, but

889
00:42:17,519 --> 00:42:19,679
I wouldn't be shocked if he wears down at some point,

890
00:42:20,119 --> 00:42:21,800
and I do think the Red Sox overall in this

891
00:42:21,880 --> 00:42:23,760
series hold the pitching edge or the Yankees hold the

892
00:42:23,800 --> 00:42:27,159
offensive edge, so it's probably pretty important that Boston gets

893
00:42:27,199 --> 00:42:29,920
Game one. Oddsmakers are saying that's not as likely, though.

894
00:42:29,920 --> 00:42:33,039
They're about a dollar twenty dog Yankees right now, about

895
00:42:33,039 --> 00:42:35,239
a dollar thirty five favor It should be a great series,

896
00:42:35,239 --> 00:42:36,880
and it is cool to see these two teams playing

897
00:42:36,920 --> 00:42:37,480
the playoffs.

898
00:42:39,239 --> 00:42:44,840
Speaker 1: Steve Merrill, were you on that Colts Rams game any kids?

899
00:42:45,360 --> 00:42:47,199
Speaker 2: I haven't been on either Rams game the last two

900
00:42:47,199 --> 00:42:50,920
weeks luckily, so that's fine with me, all right.

901
00:42:50,960 --> 00:42:52,880
Speaker 1: So Bill and I got no an argument. I didn't

902
00:42:52,920 --> 00:42:55,800
think the guy dropping the ball going into the n

903
00:42:55,920 --> 00:42:58,719
zone in the ball, I didn't think it was that agreed,

904
00:42:58,800 --> 00:43:00,920
Just yeah, it was a mistake, like he was doing

905
00:43:00,960 --> 00:43:04,320
some crazy dance or celebration. Like it wasn't like, you know,

906
00:43:04,519 --> 00:43:09,159
Deshaun Jackson, like dropping the ball and stuff. Bill says, no,

907
00:43:09,239 --> 00:43:12,719
he's a moron. Where do you stand on it?

908
00:43:12,719 --> 00:43:15,119
Speaker 2: It's funny. Sorry the way Mary Head coach was talking

909
00:43:15,159 --> 00:43:16,639
about this at the college level because a guy got

910
00:43:16,679 --> 00:43:19,880
a celebration penalty the other week because he flipped the

911
00:43:19,880 --> 00:43:21,519
ball right away and then like went to the crowd

912
00:43:21,559 --> 00:43:23,760
in the end zone and he's saying, what they teach

913
00:43:23,840 --> 00:43:26,079
the players is to bring the ball to the official.

914
00:43:26,159 --> 00:43:28,639
This is at the college level, so that is a

915
00:43:28,679 --> 00:43:30,880
good way to prevent that from ever happening. I guess,

916
00:43:30,920 --> 00:43:33,320
you know, unless you're literally fumbled, and that's a different story.

917
00:43:33,360 --> 00:43:36,719
But yeah, I mean it's just like, run to the official.

918
00:43:36,880 --> 00:43:38,559
What would happen Andy in the NFL? If you run

919
00:43:38,639 --> 00:43:40,280
up to the official, you spike it right in front

920
00:43:40,320 --> 00:43:43,440
of him. That would be very interesting. I mean, you're

921
00:43:43,440 --> 00:43:43,960
allowed to.

922
00:43:43,880 --> 00:43:45,960
Speaker 4: Spike it in the NFL? Would that be taunting?

923
00:43:46,119 --> 00:43:47,280
Speaker 3: Can you taunt the official?

924
00:43:47,599 --> 00:43:51,239
Speaker 1: I don't know? Oh yeah, I mean I don't know.

925
00:43:51,280 --> 00:43:54,119
Someone needs to explain how like if a guy like

926
00:43:54,239 --> 00:43:56,960
flips the ball and it's not in the right area,

927
00:43:57,119 --> 00:44:00,199
or if he flips it towards a player, that's a penalty.

928
00:44:00,480 --> 00:44:05,119
But if there's an interception, the entire defense can sprint

929
00:44:05,239 --> 00:44:08,639
the entire length of the field, get in a pose

930
00:44:08,800 --> 00:44:12,159
in the end zone, pose for and that's perfectly fine.

931
00:44:12,840 --> 00:44:16,400
And I don't understand why one is a fifteen fifteen

932
00:44:16,440 --> 00:44:17,880
yard penalty is a backbreaker.

933
00:44:18,239 --> 00:44:20,519
Speaker 2: Yeah, as you all, I grew up as a huge

934
00:44:20,519 --> 00:44:22,840
Redskin fan in the early eighties during their Super Bowl

935
00:44:22,920 --> 00:44:25,639
era and as you probably recall, the fun Bunch came

936
00:44:25,719 --> 00:44:28,159
like around Superball seventeen, Super Bowl eighteen, and for those

937
00:44:28,239 --> 00:44:30,639
viewers that are under forty, they probably don't ever know

938
00:44:30,639 --> 00:44:32,760
about it, but google the fun Bunch, you know, Redskin

939
00:44:32,840 --> 00:44:35,679
super Bowls whatever. They would form a circle, they do

940
00:44:35,760 --> 00:44:38,199
the swing that the high five, which was a great

941
00:44:38,239 --> 00:44:40,199
It wasn't Shawny the other team, and it was cool,

942
00:44:40,239 --> 00:44:41,840
you know, they dropped the bomb and it was awesome.

943
00:44:41,960 --> 00:44:44,400
They had the Smurfs. So I've grown up with that,

944
00:44:44,599 --> 00:44:48,079
just loving a good celebration. And the college football stuff's

945
00:44:48,079 --> 00:44:50,280
the worst. Like they're allowed to shoulder bump, but if

946
00:44:50,280 --> 00:44:52,360
they hug, I think it's a penalty. So that's why

947
00:44:52,360 --> 00:44:54,679
they all do this shoulder bump. It's like, hey, look,

948
00:44:54,719 --> 00:44:57,639
we have a play clock right for a reason, so

949
00:44:57,880 --> 00:45:00,599
if it's melking, it delay of game. If you're getting

950
00:45:00,599 --> 00:45:03,519
in a guy's face and doing that, maybe, but even that,

951
00:45:03,559 --> 00:45:05,679
like I don't care. It's like the Matumbo thing got

952
00:45:05,679 --> 00:45:08,639
out lawed, right, It's like, who cares he's waving his finger.

953
00:45:09,280 --> 00:45:11,480
It's like, what's the problem.

954
00:45:11,159 --> 00:45:13,079
Speaker 1: Of all the things in the game, Like really, that's

955
00:45:13,079 --> 00:45:16,239
like like who, by the way, who's against celebrations? What

956
00:45:16,840 --> 00:45:17,840
fan at home is like?

957
00:45:19,559 --> 00:45:21,840
Speaker 2: And it's what's funny is you know football in the

958
00:45:21,880 --> 00:45:25,280
lesser leagues they embrace betty, They embrace celebration, you know,

959
00:45:25,519 --> 00:45:28,320
because they need to. So these these high and toddy,

960
00:45:28,360 --> 00:45:30,480
big time leagues like the NCAA and the NFL are

961
00:45:30,800 --> 00:45:33,400
too good for fun. The NFL but not for fun.

962
00:45:33,320 --> 00:45:36,800
Speaker 1: League right for decades? They should they should do it.

963
00:45:36,840 --> 00:45:40,000
The award somebody for the best dance of the week,

964
00:45:40,039 --> 00:45:40,639
the best selling What.

965
00:45:40,639 --> 00:45:42,360
Speaker 2: Are they always showing the highlight reels? They score and

966
00:45:42,440 --> 00:45:44,079
they do a creative like the dice roll with the

967
00:45:44,079 --> 00:45:45,840
football is one of my favorites. They show it all

968
00:45:45,880 --> 00:45:47,880
the time, so it kind of tells you that people

969
00:45:47,920 --> 00:45:49,079
want to see it, right if it's on the.

970
00:45:49,079 --> 00:45:54,000
Speaker 1: High Absolutely, Chad Johnson, everybody's seen just Chad Johnson celebrations.

971
00:45:54,159 --> 00:45:55,679
Oh well, all right, Steve, what do you have about

972
00:45:55,679 --> 00:45:56,599
for everybody on Monday?

973
00:45:57,320 --> 00:45:59,719
Speaker 2: So Monday's kind of quiet time, right because baseball playoffs

974
00:45:59,719 --> 00:46:01,440
starts to We got the two Monday night football games,

975
00:46:01,480 --> 00:46:03,480
but I've got two advanced NFL best bets. First time

976
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I've done this all year for next week. I love

977
00:46:05,440 --> 00:46:07,239
these two games. I think the lines will move, so

978
00:46:07,280 --> 00:46:09,679
get them early. And it's also the last chance, I

979
00:46:09,760 --> 00:46:12,480
believe tonight on Monday to get the one year all

980
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981
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released for the next three hundred and sixty five days

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gonna get every football, baseball, basketball best bet I released.

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But how about one of Andy Lang's golf best bets

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Speaker 4: Need it.

995
00:46:47,760 --> 00:46:50,440
Speaker 2: Check it out. Steve Merrill, wager Talk dot com and

996
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get there quicker WT dot Buzz, slash sm.

997
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Speaker 1: Steve Merrill, great work can't wait to talk to you

998
00:46:57,360 --> 00:47:01,360
next week. Steve Merril, everyone over wage All right, let's

999
00:47:01,400 --> 00:47:03,559
do all around the world. We'll get a couple free

1000
00:47:03,559 --> 00:47:07,599
props here for everyone. So Jets and the Dolphins. I

1001
00:47:07,639 --> 00:47:10,039
like Braylan Allen over nineteen and a half rushing. This

1002
00:47:10,119 --> 00:47:12,159
opened at seventeen and a half. It's already moved up

1003
00:47:12,199 --> 00:47:15,760
to I haven't made this an official client play, and

1004
00:47:15,800 --> 00:47:18,800
I think it's just because I got a small sample size.

1005
00:47:18,840 --> 00:47:22,960
But this Jets and Dolphins teams, they're bad against the run,

1006
00:47:23,159 --> 00:47:25,199
and I just feel like the Jets and the Dolphins

1007
00:47:25,239 --> 00:47:27,679
are gonna run a lot. I like Braylan Allen over

1008
00:47:27,760 --> 00:47:29,599
nineteen and a half. He wasn't used a whole lot

1009
00:47:29,920 --> 00:47:32,000
in the first two weeks, but he got over this

1010
00:47:32,039 --> 00:47:34,239
total last week, and I think it's just gonna be

1011
00:47:34,239 --> 00:47:36,800
a lot of running from Breeze Hall, Braylon Allen and

1012
00:47:36,920 --> 00:47:39,559
Justin Fields included. So Braylan Allen over nineteen and a half.

1013
00:47:39,599 --> 00:47:42,920
You could also look at Ali Gordon from the Miami

1014
00:47:43,000 --> 00:47:45,039
I think he gets he had nine carries last week.

1015
00:47:45,039 --> 00:47:47,159
He flew over his total. So I would look at

1016
00:47:47,239 --> 00:47:49,800
running plays and Jets and Dolphins, and then Bengals and Broncos.

1017
00:47:49,800 --> 00:47:52,320
Who's another rushing prop? Bo Nicks over five and a

1018
00:47:52,360 --> 00:47:55,039
half rush attempts. He has nineteen rush attempts this year

1019
00:47:55,199 --> 00:47:58,239
two games he's had eight. Don't forget Neil downs are

1020
00:47:58,320 --> 00:48:01,199
included as rush attempts, so if they're up and he's

1021
00:48:01,280 --> 00:48:03,480
last on the field, you could get a sneaky couple

1022
00:48:03,840 --> 00:48:06,440
of attempts. But yeah, I like this, but I like

1023
00:48:06,760 --> 00:48:09,199
bo Nicks to get over the rush attempts. Last time

1024
00:48:09,199 --> 00:48:12,159
he played Cincinnati had seven for thirty one yards. So

1025
00:48:13,000 --> 00:48:15,159
all right, guys, that's gonna do it for us great

1026
00:48:15,280 --> 00:48:18,239
Monday show. My best bet for tonight is a prop.

1027
00:48:18,320 --> 00:48:20,440
Of course, it's prop. It's all I play in the NFL.

1028
00:48:20,519 --> 00:48:22,960
I think it's the most beatable lines. So our best

1029
00:48:23,000 --> 00:48:24,719
bet is up tonight. Coming off a really nice two

1030
00:48:24,760 --> 00:48:27,320
and o night and Sunday Night Football cash two props

1031
00:48:27,360 --> 00:48:30,000
on Jordan Love. This is another quarterback prop tonight, so

1032
00:48:30,280 --> 00:48:32,880
join me for another winner on Monday Night Football. We're

1033
00:48:32,920 --> 00:48:35,000
two and one on Monday Night Football, so hoping to

1034
00:48:35,039 --> 00:48:36,960
move this to three and one. Should be a great

1035
00:48:37,039 --> 00:48:38,639
night of football, and I can't wait to see you

1036
00:48:38,679 --> 00:48:42,000
guys tomorrow. It's five dollars Tuesday. Hit the like button

1037
00:48:42,000 --> 00:48:43,440
to make sure you leave us a comment on the

1038
00:48:43,440 --> 00:48:45,320
way out. If you're not subscribed to the YouTube channel,

1039
00:48:45,320 --> 00:48:46,719
what are you doing? We're almost a two hundred and

1040
00:48:46,760 --> 00:48:49,920
twenty thousand people that are subscribed to the channel. You

1041
00:48:49,960 --> 00:48:53,239
get notified on all breakdown videos, all of these shows

1042
00:48:53,280 --> 00:48:57,199
when they start live. And don't forget Wager Talk, YouTube Insiders,

1043
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wt dot Buzz slash Insiders. It's only two ninety nine

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a month. You get a five dollars coupon at the

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beginning of each month along with some really cool special content.

1046
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Thanks for joining us, Good looking, all your bets to night.

1047
00:49:08,159 --> 00:49:10,599
Remember to bet responsibly and see tomorrow. Take care