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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in everyone in this Monday.

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Speaker 2: Hope everyone had a fantastic weekend, got to watch some baseball,

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maybe watch some NFL or college football as well, or

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some WNBA.

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Speaker 1: I know Marco went to the game yesterday. Still going.

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Speaker 2: Hope everyone had a great weekend, and we are here

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to talk NLDS.

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Speaker 1: The two games today are both from the National.

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Speaker 2: League, but Brian Leonard, I wanted to go to you,

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and then we'll go to Tokyo, Brandon, and then I'll

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wrap it up as people file in here. Takeaways from

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the American League games. The Blue Jays swept Tigers. Mariners

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are one one. We're going to talk about those games

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tomorrow because they of course don't play today, but any takeaways, betting, observations,

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anything that you kind of want to throw out there

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as you watch the games this weekend.

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Speaker 3: Well, it's tough to.

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Speaker 4: Lay big favorites because, as we said going into the playoffs,

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all these teams have been able to win on the road.

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Speaker 3: They've been good team games. But I got to say

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the Yankees id been a no show.

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Speaker 4: I mean, I know Toronto and Philadelphia have the two

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best home records in baseball, but Toronto having that series

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off and the Yankees being in a little bit of

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a run there, I thought the Yankees were going to

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come out and play them a little bit better. I

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actually gave my clients a small play all the Yankees to.

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Speaker 3: Win the series. I did that in the first series

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and they won it.

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Speaker 4: I'm just about to give that money back because I

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don't see how the Yankees are going to come out

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and win three in a row here. The same problems

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they've had all season long, both pen problems and defense

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and base running have been their downfall. So yeah, I've

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never been a Yankees fan anyway, coming from Cleveland, and

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anytime we had good players, they always seem to go

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up to the Yankees after after they left us. But

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I'm excited for Toronto. I'm excited for our friends in Toronto.

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I know President uh and Carmine live up there and

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they're huge Blue Jays fans. So hey, maybe we'll see

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Toronto making it to the next level. And as for

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the Detroit Tigers, nice comeback last night. I know it

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was in them the entire game and they finally got

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to the bullpen. But give it back up at the

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bottom of the eight. It's been a good series. I

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think it'll continue to be a good series, So we'll

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see how it goes.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I amber herded the bed yesterday. I thought the

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Yankees were gonna stand for something and be men, but

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they weren't. I also thought that game would go under,

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and it definitely did not go under. But man, that

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rookie for Toronto, Holy cow, his split his what is

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that a split change that he's throwing. That's incredible. He

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could call that pitch and they wouldn't be able to

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hit it. That stuff was incredible. If he can do

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that consistently, he's going to be He's going to be

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better than Gaussman was when in his prime. Uh. If

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he can keep it up, man, he looked electric. What

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were you gonna say, Brian.

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Speaker 4: I'm just gonna say that Trigg had pointed him out

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months ago. Yeah, along with it, along with the Mets starters,

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I mean, it's great having somebody obviously you uh, handicapped

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Japanese League and in the Green League, but you know,

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having guys, having somebody who handicaps the minor leagues like

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Trigg does is a big advantage for those that have

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been following on this show.

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Speaker 2: And Guy Camp how about our guy, Cam Schlitzler. We

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were talking about him and and TB props to you.

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That was a great call. Brian and I both kind

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of lean the other way and he came out and.

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Speaker 1: Good of that was.

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Speaker 2: That was as impressive of a start that I think

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we'll see this entire playoffs from anyone just given the situation,

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given the fact that he you know, I mean, I

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think that will go down, and there's still a lot

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of playoffs left. I'm confident that goes down as when

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regardless of what happens to the Yankees, of course, it's

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a different series. That that was really impressive stuff right there.

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You talk about Trey Savage start of the year in

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low A, and that's just like it's becoming more important

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to really, like, I think kind of handicap the miners

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now as opposed to maybe ten years ago, because so

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many of these guys not only are they getting up

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and getting a chance, but like teams are just like,

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all right, you're here, game three starter, right, like even

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the Red soxefs, I mean, game three of your season

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was on the line, Yankees, Red Sox Game three, your

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two starters, Cam Schuitzler, Connolly Early both were in Double

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A at the beginning of the season, and that's just

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the norm. Now, that's just that for most teams, that's

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the norm. You got a guy that can is showing

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that kind of upside and it's like, we can't afford

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to leave leave him off the playoff roster. Brian, remember

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when the Cardinals did it with Adam Wayne right and

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everyone was like, what are they doing? Right when they

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kind of called him up? What was what year was that, oh,

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six oh two?

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Speaker 4: Maybe he was one of the an options in the

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game yesterday. I didn't even know he was going into

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that field, but he was. He was out there talking

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about the game yesterday, and uh, yeah, he was a

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great pitcher. Unfortunately had some injuries at the end. But yeah,

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you get these guys that came up and uh, you

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might as well let them go. I mean it's in uh,

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in the NBA and some other places, your rookies play

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all the time. Why can't your rookies and your younger

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guys play. Yeah, so that's different thing that used to be.

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Speaker 5: It's something I thought about regarding Major league from a

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long time ago. It's like, you know, in football, when

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you draft a guy, you throw him into the Lions,

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then you let him play. You know, Aaron Rodgers had that.

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You know, many of the great ones went in right away. Dan,

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you know, I always wondered why they don't give their

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rookies a little bit more of a shot in MLB.

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I understand that you need to groom them a little bit,

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but I think Schlitzler's case and you Savage's case kind

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of show that some of these guys are ready right

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off the bat. They don't need to be to be groomed.

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You know, Schlitler, he pitched almost eighty innings this season,

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and he was really solid, especially at home. But let

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me make a point about the Yankees that fielding is terrible.

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They really. I mean, you can just count on an era.

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You can count on at least one or two errors

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every single game, and it's coming to haunt them because

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they're not hitting. They're hitting, they're hitting only when it

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doesn't count. You know, you have a statistic for average

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with runners in scoring position, average risk, Right, they should

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have a statistic for average when it doesn't mean anything,

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because Aaron jo would be king of that. He gets

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singles when they're down thirteen to nothing every single game.

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You can count on it. But when the bases are

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loaded with no outs like yesterday, he struck out. That's

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judge in the pro season. That's that's really what he

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has been. I mean, he's a he's an awesome player,

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he's a generational talent, but man, he just chokes. He's

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the Woosye with the p in that respect, because when

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you got guys on third base with less than two outs,

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he just cannot perform. And you noticed the Blue Jays

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every time, well not every time. I noticed one time

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they had bases loaded with one out and they didn't connect,

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but every other chance they had, they connected. So that's

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really tulling. I mean, yeah, that was really my observation

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from that.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll comment one, well two comments. So SF Niner. Yeah,

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we're we are retiring the parlay. We went out with

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a win on Friday, put us at plus five point

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three five units on the season, not going to give

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you a three team or when we only have two games.

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We did decide if if it gets later in the

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week and we get one of those days where we've

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got like four games because all the series go along,

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maybe we'll well we'll get one back, but we're still

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here to break down the games. You're still gonna get,

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you know, the picks for both games from all of us.

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My one betting betting takeaway before we move into to

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Dodgers Phillies and get the first game of the day going,

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My my betting takeaway is I still think that the

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Tigers are the value in that series, even even with

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the fact that they lost with schooble last night and

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it kind of goes off something Brian said, like I

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played the Tigers on Saturday Cash with them, I felt

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like the series was very much set up for them.

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Of course, they have three schoobl on the mound last night,

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they don't end up getting it done. But that's my

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biggest takeaway of the weekend is that is a very

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tough matchup for the Mariners. That just the fact that

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like the Mariners have no left handed pitchers pretty much

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other other than the two guys on the bullpen that

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really helps carry Carpenter Riley Green, and those are the guys.

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Speaker 1: Like it's it's the regular season.

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Speaker 2: You can look and say, oh the Tigers have you know,

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they've been decent against left handed pitching, But that's accumulating

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stats over the course of the season. When you're playing

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games like you're playing teams like the Twins and the

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Royals in the in the playoffs, and this goes back

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to Tokyo Brandon's point.

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Speaker 1: In the playoffs, you need your big players.

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Speaker 2: To step up like That's typically what wins playoff series

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is your superstars showing up and getting the big hits.

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And Riley Green and Carry Carpenter can do that against

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right handed pitching. If all of a sudden they're seeing

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a ton of lefties, probably not gonna happen. Of course,

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who gets the big hit in Game one? Carry bonds

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That ball hasn't landed yet like that. That's my biggest

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takeaway right there. So I'll be looking for ways to

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play the Tigers. But we're going to talk about that

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tomorrow because the American League is off tonight.

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Speaker 1: So uh, now that we've.

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Speaker 2: Got the juices flowing, we've got some people in here

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ready to break down these games. Let's go to tonight.

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National League. First, it's Game two. Brian Leonard the Dodgers.

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Is it safe to say they stole Game one? How

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about PA has given him the sign that's illegal that

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is listen if Matt Strom's gonna hold hits glove. I

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happen to have a baseball on my desk signed by

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all of our summer league kids. These are the college

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kids that stay with us over the summer. Listen, if

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he's just gonna hold the ball out here and show

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the guy at second base the grip. That's not sign stealing.

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That's just part of the game.

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Speaker 1: And that's what it looked like happened, Phillies.

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Speaker 5: Yankees are masters at that. The Yankees are and it's.

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Speaker 1: Gets yeah, it's legal.

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Speaker 2: Ta Oscar gets the big hit and suddenly the Phillies

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are up against it. Similar similar to what the you know,

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not really similar to the Jays because they were at home.

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Of course, Philly's losing at home in game won's a

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big deal. I thought the Dodgers were the better team

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coming into this series. Now they get the road win.

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Would you go back to them tonight? How are you

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seeing Dodgers Phillies.

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Speaker 4: We'll start off with the park factors. The wind's blowing

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out to center field in Philadelphia about seven or eight

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miles an hour, but it should end up with a

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nice home run percentage. They've got it listed its park

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factors over at ballpark, pal excuse me, as it at

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twenty more than a normal game, runs at seven percent

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more than the normal and the other game is going

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to the domes closed tonight, so it's slightly advance, a

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slight advantaged home runs, but lesser for the runs minus

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eight percent on the runs. Yeah, we got bikes now

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to In fact, we're going with all lefties today, So

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keep keep track of the lineups a lot of times

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these teams, at least at least Chicago, the Dodgers in Philadelphia,

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they don't play the lefty righty as much as Milwaukee does,

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but it's still He's going to cost probably Max Muntzy

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his spot in the lineup today and that will have

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an effect on him at least less power. But he

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hasn't been hitting it all lately anyway, it's time time

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for Brandon to talk about him again.

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Speaker 3: But we've got Snell in Olzari, two lefties.

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Speaker 4: We're looking at Snell about a one one twenty eight

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favorite total of seven and a half, slightly to the under.

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And when you look at Blake Snell, just a terrific

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pitcher when he is healthy. He's now pitched in ten

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seasons with a three point one five ERA. He's just

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00:12:47,799 --> 00:12:51,960
been terrific. The only downside is his walk rate eighteenth percentile.

238
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But as we know, if he wants to pitch around

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a batter, he can do it, and he has done it,

240
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and so with that, do you have to take that

241
00:12:59,440 --> 00:13:01,919
with the grandest all everything else is in the red

242
00:13:02,039 --> 00:13:05,159
is everything's better than fifty percent past ball velost. The

243
00:13:05,279 --> 00:13:07,240
sixty third is the worst. But he's only a four

244
00:13:07,840 --> 00:13:11,200
four pitch pitcher. Throws this four singer forty four percent

245
00:13:11,240 --> 00:13:14,600
of the time. It ninety five point one mile an hour,

246
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which is two miles an hour faster than a normal lefty.

247
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And he's going up against Jesus Lezardo, who's had a

248
00:13:23,279 --> 00:13:26,000
really nice season. Comes in at fifteen to seven on

249
00:13:26,039 --> 00:13:28,600
the season three point nine two ERA, three point three

250
00:13:28,639 --> 00:13:32,759
to expected, one point two to two. Whip doesn't have

251
00:13:32,799 --> 00:13:35,240
any extension. He's only in the seven percent tile. But

252
00:13:35,279 --> 00:13:39,240
everything else is in the positive. And he's not fantastic

253
00:13:39,279 --> 00:13:43,679
in anything, but he's very good in everything. Throws five pitches,

254
00:13:44,519 --> 00:13:46,879
including his four singer, thirty four percent of the time

255
00:13:46,960 --> 00:13:50,279
at ninety six point five miles an hour, which is

256
00:13:50,320 --> 00:13:52,759
really fast for a lefty. Three point four miles an

257
00:13:52,759 --> 00:13:55,679
hour faster than a normal lefty. So we've got two

258
00:13:55,720 --> 00:13:58,799
pitchers here that have I've had a lot of success,

259
00:13:58,919 --> 00:14:04,559
but I think both of these lineups are probably two

260
00:14:04,600 --> 00:14:06,240
of the best to go over, along with the Yankees

261
00:14:06,399 --> 00:14:11,159
in Major League Baseball, and because of the wind blown

262
00:14:11,200 --> 00:14:14,159
out slightly, home runs could be a little bit more of.

263
00:14:14,080 --> 00:14:15,320
Speaker 3: A factor in this one.

264
00:14:15,679 --> 00:14:18,600
Speaker 4: We're getting a total of seven and a half in Philadelphia,

265
00:14:18,600 --> 00:14:21,039
which we don't see very often, but I could see

266
00:14:21,080 --> 00:14:25,399
it with these two starters. Philadelphia, as I mentioned earlier,

267
00:14:25,480 --> 00:14:29,480
Philadelphia and Toronto have the best home record in baseball,

268
00:14:30,360 --> 00:14:34,440
with the Dodgers up onet to nothing. I'm slightly interested

269
00:14:34,519 --> 00:14:37,600
here with Philadelphia, and I'm going to try to find

270
00:14:37,600 --> 00:14:40,360
a way to best play that. Maybe a team total

271
00:14:40,440 --> 00:14:44,840
over or just take them at plus money as a

272
00:14:45,000 --> 00:14:48,320
home underdog, which seems to be a pretty good idea,

273
00:14:49,200 --> 00:14:51,240
But so far, that's way I'm looking at this one.

274
00:14:53,159 --> 00:14:55,120
Speaker 5: Well, I think I'm going to go against one of

275
00:14:55,120 --> 00:14:58,639
my golden rules, which is don't bet against Jesus. I

276
00:14:58,639 --> 00:15:01,879
think I'm going to go against him because I think

277
00:15:02,200 --> 00:15:06,200
playoff baseball, you've got your stud hitters right the Phillies,

278
00:15:06,559 --> 00:15:09,919
they have Turner, Schwarber, Harper. Those are their stud hitters.

279
00:15:10,559 --> 00:15:14,799
The Dodgers obviously have their big three Otani, Betts, and Freeman.

280
00:15:16,399 --> 00:15:19,440
So what you playoff baseball is all about. If you're

281
00:15:19,759 --> 00:15:23,159
seven eight nine, your six seven eight nine guys can

282
00:15:23,279 --> 00:15:24,879
can come through for you. And that's why the Blue

283
00:15:24,919 --> 00:15:28,279
Jays are crushing the Yankees, because there's six seven eight

284
00:15:28,360 --> 00:15:32,080
nine guys are crushing the ball. So take a look

285
00:15:32,120 --> 00:15:34,440
at the Dodgers six seven eight nine. I mean they

286
00:15:34,480 --> 00:15:40,399
got a Taskar Hernandez. They've got Max Munci, Pahez. Will

287
00:15:40,440 --> 00:15:42,759
Smith's actually back from injury. He went oh for two

288
00:15:42,799 --> 00:15:44,639
in the last game, but I think we're gonna see

289
00:15:44,639 --> 00:15:47,600
more of him. So would you take those guys or

290
00:15:47,639 --> 00:15:56,080
would you take Bader, Stott, Marsh and Kepler. So I

291
00:15:56,080 --> 00:15:59,120
think Dodgers advantage here. And if you take a look

292
00:15:59,279 --> 00:16:02,120
what has been the achilles heel all season, it's been

293
00:16:02,159 --> 00:16:05,600
their bullpen has been atrocious. But now they got Sasaki

294
00:16:06,159 --> 00:16:09,879
closing games and coming in relief. They got guys coming

295
00:16:09,879 --> 00:16:13,440
back from injury. Their bullpen's not quite as in tatters

296
00:16:13,519 --> 00:16:16,480
as it was during the regular season. And I've never

297
00:16:16,519 --> 00:16:19,679
been a big fan of Philadelphia's bullpen. I know they've

298
00:16:19,720 --> 00:16:24,759
won more games than the Dodgers, but honestly, the Dodgers

299
00:16:24,919 --> 00:16:27,399
they do this every year. They just kind of they

300
00:16:27,480 --> 00:16:29,600
just kind of pooh pooh the regular season and then

301
00:16:29,639 --> 00:16:32,080
when the playoffs come, they just turn up the heat.

302
00:16:33,519 --> 00:16:35,320
I don't know, it looks like a Dodgers win to

303
00:16:35,399 --> 00:16:37,639
me because I got the pitchers pretty even. Both of

304
00:16:37,679 --> 00:16:40,639
these pitchers perform really well against the battles are facing,

305
00:16:42,399 --> 00:16:44,919
so I think that's kind of a push there. Both

306
00:16:44,960 --> 00:16:48,480
lineups top three lineups in MLB, so I think that's

307
00:16:48,480 --> 00:16:50,960
a push there. I think the bullpen could be the

308
00:16:51,000 --> 00:16:54,639
difference here and the six, seven, eight, nine hitters could

309
00:16:54,679 --> 00:16:56,480
be the difference here, and in both of those, I

310
00:16:56,559 --> 00:17:00,759
kind of see a Dodger advantage here. Haven't bet it yet,

311
00:17:01,120 --> 00:17:03,279
but if I were to, I think that's the way

312
00:17:03,279 --> 00:17:05,319
I would go, and I might actually do it.

313
00:17:07,599 --> 00:17:08,839
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm kind of with you. TV.

314
00:17:09,480 --> 00:17:12,200
Speaker 2: I talked about Game one on a video that I

315
00:17:12,240 --> 00:17:14,920
posted to the wager Talk YouTube channel over the weekend,

316
00:17:15,319 --> 00:17:17,279
kind of said that the Dodgers.

317
00:17:17,279 --> 00:17:19,640
Speaker 1: Were the were the way I was looking in this series.

318
00:17:19,680 --> 00:17:22,720
Speaker 2: So from from a handicapping perspective, and I'll give you

319
00:17:22,720 --> 00:17:24,559
guys a chance to follow up to this just because

320
00:17:24,599 --> 00:17:27,720
I'm interested as what you have to say. I typically

321
00:17:27,720 --> 00:17:31,200
go into these series with a game plan of like,

322
00:17:31,920 --> 00:17:33,640
I think, I'm gonna want to find a way to

323
00:17:33,640 --> 00:17:36,759
play this team at some point, so it's like that's

324
00:17:36,799 --> 00:17:40,839
how I rather than try to like zigzag the series

325
00:17:40,839 --> 00:17:42,799
and be like, you know which which happens?

326
00:17:42,880 --> 00:17:44,880
Speaker 1: I mean, I you know it happens.

327
00:17:44,920 --> 00:17:47,480
Speaker 2: Like I think I played the Yankees at one point

328
00:17:47,519 --> 00:17:49,759
in their last series and then came back.

329
00:17:49,559 --> 00:17:52,079
Speaker 1: With the Red Sox, that it's possible for me that

330
00:17:52,119 --> 00:17:52,680
will happen.

331
00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:55,000
Speaker 2: But I think the further I get into the playoffs,

332
00:17:55,000 --> 00:17:57,720
for me, it's like, okay, here's the series.

333
00:17:58,200 --> 00:17:58,440
Speaker 1: I know.

334
00:17:58,519 --> 00:18:01,400
Speaker 2: I kind of like the Dodgers. Where can I find

335
00:18:01,400 --> 00:18:04,000
a place to play it. I thought that that spot

336
00:18:04,079 --> 00:18:06,960
might be over the weekend. I ended up with two

337
00:18:07,000 --> 00:18:09,200
other plays in the in the on Saturday, so I

338
00:18:09,240 --> 00:18:12,119
sort of left the Dodgers off. In my head, I

339
00:18:12,200 --> 00:18:14,279
was like, well, I think game two might set up

340
00:18:14,319 --> 00:18:16,279
a little bit better for them. But then, of course

341
00:18:16,599 --> 00:18:19,920
you have to take the outcome of the first game

342
00:18:19,960 --> 00:18:23,200
into account. Had the Dodgers lost that game, I think

343
00:18:23,240 --> 00:18:25,119
I might be more or let's say they lose a

344
00:18:25,119 --> 00:18:27,720
close game, Phillies burn a couple of leverage arms. I

345
00:18:27,720 --> 00:18:29,720
think I might be more inclined to play them here.

346
00:18:30,160 --> 00:18:33,039
But now that they they've won, I've got to look

347
00:18:33,079 --> 00:18:35,519
at it and say, all right, you know the Phillies,

348
00:18:36,200 --> 00:18:38,519
they're going to manage this game like it's the season,

349
00:18:38,559 --> 00:18:41,160
because it is. If the Phillies lose this game, I

350
00:18:41,160 --> 00:18:43,400
don't think they go to LA and win two.

351
00:18:44,759 --> 00:18:47,880
Speaker 1: You go to the bullpens. I kind of like, I

352
00:18:47,960 --> 00:18:48,799
kind of agree TV.

353
00:18:48,960 --> 00:18:52,440
Speaker 2: I don't think the Dodgers have like the bullpen issues

354
00:18:52,480 --> 00:18:54,559
that they maybe had during the regular season, or that

355
00:18:54,559 --> 00:18:57,359
that we maybe thought they had. One thing I think

356
00:18:57,440 --> 00:18:59,400
is interesting about the bullpens, and I think I was

357
00:18:59,440 --> 00:19:03,000
listening to ever May talk about this. Trevor May was

358
00:19:03,039 --> 00:19:06,559
a just sort of a journeyman reliever. He was on

359
00:19:06,599 --> 00:19:09,480
a couple of different teams, solid for the Twigs.

360
00:19:12,079 --> 00:19:12,799
Speaker 3: He's also.

361
00:19:15,440 --> 00:19:20,160
Speaker 4: If you follow I love less to him, yeahs to him.

362
00:19:20,599 --> 00:19:22,799
Speaker 2: I was listening to him on YouTube and he was saying,

363
00:19:22,920 --> 00:19:26,319
and someone asked him about bullpens, and he said, without

364
00:19:26,359 --> 00:19:30,160
a doubt, hands down, the best experience coming out of

365
00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:33,519
the pen in his career was was the Dodgers, and

366
00:19:33,559 --> 00:19:37,160
he said, the reason for that is they were so

367
00:19:37,240 --> 00:19:40,880
specific about about what you were going to do, whereas

368
00:19:40,920 --> 00:19:44,119
a lot of other teams sort of change the plan.

369
00:19:44,839 --> 00:19:47,240
And and this is going back to the regular season, right,

370
00:19:47,640 --> 00:19:49,920
I'm not talking about what's gonna I think everyone changes

371
00:19:49,960 --> 00:19:51,799
the plan a little bit in the playoffs. Okay, that's

372
00:19:51,920 --> 00:19:55,400
that's normal people. You know, guy like the playoff. Managing

373
00:19:55,440 --> 00:19:57,359
a playoff game is going to be totally different. But

374
00:19:57,400 --> 00:19:59,480
I think if you want to speak to like maybe

375
00:19:59,480 --> 00:20:02,519
the bullpen during the regular season, and of course it's

376
00:20:02,559 --> 00:20:04,400
been the same probably since he was there. It's been

377
00:20:04,440 --> 00:20:06,759
Dave Roberts for a long time, and in the same

378
00:20:06,880 --> 00:20:10,119
sort of front office management has been in place. The

379
00:20:10,200 --> 00:20:13,680
Dodgers know how good they are there. If they tell you, hey,

380
00:20:13,960 --> 00:20:16,519
today's your we want you, Today's gonna be your day,

381
00:20:16,720 --> 00:20:18,440
You're probably gonna face this batter.

382
00:20:18,279 --> 00:20:19,240
Speaker 1: This better, and this batter.

383
00:20:19,680 --> 00:20:21,680
Speaker 2: They're really not worried if it's gonna cost them a

384
00:20:21,680 --> 00:20:24,920
game in April and May. Why because that that is

385
00:20:25,039 --> 00:20:27,160
just the caliber of team they've had for a very

386
00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:29,920
long time, and they I just don't think that they're

387
00:20:30,440 --> 00:20:35,440
trying to like worry about winning a game in June.

388
00:20:36,480 --> 00:20:39,160
Speaker 1: In in in.

389
00:20:38,720 --> 00:20:41,839
Speaker 2: Like worry about winning a game that's gonna like put

390
00:20:41,880 --> 00:20:44,880
their pitchers off of schedule. So what he was saying

391
00:20:44,920 --> 00:20:47,160
as someone that pitched there and came out of their boat,

392
00:20:47,240 --> 00:20:48,920
and he was like, that was the best experience I

393
00:20:48,920 --> 00:20:52,559
had because I always knew that, hey, we're going to

394
00:20:52,599 --> 00:20:54,480
look to get you in between this stenning and this inning,

395
00:20:54,640 --> 00:20:57,440
and you're gonna face these three or four hitters. And

396
00:20:57,480 --> 00:20:59,559
it was always the same. So I think you get

397
00:20:59,559 --> 00:21:02,079
to the post season now it's a little bit different. Now,

398
00:21:02,440 --> 00:21:06,119
now they're going to be more inclined to, like, you know,

399
00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:08,839
go it's all hands on deck, right, It's we might

400
00:21:08,880 --> 00:21:10,599
have to go. Let's say Blake Snell doesn't have it.

401
00:21:10,680 --> 00:21:12,839
Let's say he's walking a few matters, Maybe we have

402
00:21:12,880 --> 00:21:15,960
to go get them early. But I think everyone there understands, like, hey,

403
00:21:16,000 --> 00:21:18,519
now it's the playoffs. And I think that, like, if

404
00:21:18,559 --> 00:21:21,599
you're judging the Dodgers on their full season sort of

405
00:21:21,640 --> 00:21:25,720
bullpen metrics, I think that might be you know that

406
00:21:25,720 --> 00:21:28,599
that might not tell the whole story. And I look

407
00:21:28,599 --> 00:21:31,119
at the Phillies. I'm with you, TV. I wasn't like

408
00:21:31,279 --> 00:21:33,640
sold on this bullpen either. So I don't know that

409
00:21:33,640 --> 00:21:35,720
the Phillies have a big edge there. Then I look

410
00:21:35,759 --> 00:21:37,960
at the series as a whole, I think the Dodgers

411
00:21:38,000 --> 00:21:40,119
are a better team. So the only way I think

412
00:21:40,160 --> 00:21:42,200
I could play this would be to lay the minus

413
00:21:42,240 --> 00:21:44,279
one to twenty five of the Dodgers. The only reason

414
00:21:44,279 --> 00:21:46,839
I haven't done it yet is because I'm sitting here

415
00:21:46,880 --> 00:21:50,039
asking myself did I miss the better spot to do it?

416
00:21:50,400 --> 00:21:51,079
Speaker 1: In Game one?

417
00:21:51,480 --> 00:21:54,400
Speaker 2: So I lean toward the Dodgers, but because they have

418
00:21:54,519 --> 00:21:57,039
that win, because the Phillies have been so so good

419
00:21:57,079 --> 00:22:00,440
at home now going on you know what, two three seasons. Now,

420
00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:02,200
I think if you go back to the beginning of

421
00:22:02,240 --> 00:22:05,680
the year they ended up getting knocked out by the Diamondbacks,

422
00:22:05,920 --> 00:22:08,640
they probably have the best home record in baseball that

423
00:22:08,839 --> 00:22:10,759
I don't think it's close. I mean, I think they've

424
00:22:10,799 --> 00:22:14,519
literally had the best home record in baseball since the

425
00:22:14,519 --> 00:22:18,519
beginning of that season. Do I want to play against

426
00:22:18,559 --> 00:22:20,359
him in that spot here? It's kind of the same

427
00:22:20,799 --> 00:22:24,200
sort of dialogue I had internally with myself about the

428
00:22:24,240 --> 00:22:26,920
Mariners last night. They get I got the win with

429
00:22:27,000 --> 00:22:29,200
the Tigers in Game one. Yes, it's scooble.

430
00:22:29,319 --> 00:22:29,519
Speaker 1: Yes.

431
00:22:29,559 --> 00:22:32,279
Speaker 2: This kind of sets up nicely for the Tigers. Do

432
00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:34,279
I want to fade the Mariners in this sort of

433
00:22:34,279 --> 00:22:37,359
do or dive spot at home? Thankfully I didn't Mariners

434
00:22:37,359 --> 00:22:39,720
get the win kind of the way I feel about

435
00:22:39,759 --> 00:22:42,640
about this series, so I still lean Dodgers though. And

436
00:22:42,680 --> 00:22:44,720
that's just a little insight into how I'm looking at

437
00:22:44,759 --> 00:22:48,240
these any any follow ups to that in terms of

438
00:22:48,279 --> 00:22:51,319
like the plan you guys go into, like betting a

439
00:22:51,400 --> 00:22:53,759
series once we get to the postseason, I'll go to

440
00:22:53,799 --> 00:22:54,400
Brian first.

441
00:22:55,720 --> 00:22:57,880
Speaker 4: I just look for value where I think I can

442
00:22:57,920 --> 00:23:04,119
find value, will play it. And yeah, there's there's certain

443
00:23:04,160 --> 00:23:06,440
pictures I like to go against or certain teams like

444
00:23:06,480 --> 00:23:08,640
to go against. But if I don't get the number

445
00:23:08,720 --> 00:23:12,359
that I want, I'm pretty strict on that I won't

446
00:23:12,359 --> 00:23:14,680
play it, or I'll find a different way to play it.

447
00:23:16,000 --> 00:23:20,039
You know, both both Brandon and I like team totals.

448
00:23:20,039 --> 00:23:23,519
We've done team totals and and that's worked out Brandon

449
00:23:23,599 --> 00:23:26,160
with with his props about picture innings and things like that.

450
00:23:27,759 --> 00:23:30,359
It's just just different ways to go about about it.

451
00:23:30,400 --> 00:23:32,039
And we're trying to get the best value as we

452
00:23:32,079 --> 00:23:35,079
possibly can, at least I do, uh so uh and

453
00:23:35,319 --> 00:23:38,519
and you know, like sometimes your your thought process changes

454
00:23:38,559 --> 00:23:41,359
as the series goes on. We talked about the Yankees.

455
00:23:41,839 --> 00:23:44,039
They've given us no reason to want to back them

456
00:23:44,079 --> 00:23:46,920
at this point. We'll have to see what the line

457
00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:51,200
is tomorrow. But if it's it's it's it's value on

458
00:23:51,200 --> 00:23:54,359
the Yankees, and I think there there's some value, I'll

459
00:23:54,359 --> 00:23:54,759
play it.

460
00:23:54,799 --> 00:23:56,920
Speaker 3: But it's gonna be one of those holder nose type

461
00:23:56,920 --> 00:23:57,359
of games.

462
00:23:59,240 --> 00:24:01,839
Speaker 5: Yeah, when the play off start, those props kind of

463
00:24:01,880 --> 00:24:06,279
go out the window because there's so much uncertainty about

464
00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:10,240
pitchers getting pulled early. Like I had no idea Schlittler

465
00:24:10,319 --> 00:24:14,240
would go seven innings, had no idea that a Savage

466
00:24:14,240 --> 00:24:17,240
would get pulled with a no hitter in the sixth inning.

467
00:24:17,599 --> 00:24:20,599
It's very hard to predict these things, let alone that

468
00:24:20,640 --> 00:24:23,640
he would strike eleven guys out. So the props I

469
00:24:23,720 --> 00:24:26,200
kind of throw the props away when the playoffs start

470
00:24:26,240 --> 00:24:31,519
because it's just so random. But yeah, regarding playoffs, I

471
00:24:31,519 --> 00:24:34,799
don't think about series. I really don't. I have. I

472
00:24:34,839 --> 00:24:38,480
don't think I've ever bet a series bet in my life.

473
00:24:38,799 --> 00:24:40,799
I go game by game, and I'm one of those

474
00:24:40,799 --> 00:24:43,839
guys who tends to think that the last game really

475
00:24:43,880 --> 00:24:46,240
doesn't have much impact on this game as far as

476
00:24:46,240 --> 00:24:52,000
the result. It does as far as personnel and managerial decisions.

477
00:24:52,680 --> 00:24:55,480
But I don't think because a team lost Game one,

478
00:24:55,480 --> 00:24:57,880
they're gonna try harder in game two. I've never really

479
00:24:57,880 --> 00:25:00,319
thought that way because they're trying hard in game one. Well,

480
00:25:01,400 --> 00:25:05,200
talent is talent, whether you try hard. If if you're

481
00:25:05,359 --> 00:25:09,880
the if you're the Colorado Rockies, you can try as

482
00:25:09,920 --> 00:25:12,119
hard as you want, but you still suck. So I

483
00:25:12,160 --> 00:25:16,640
don't really buy the try harder thing, but in certain

484
00:25:16,680 --> 00:25:22,119
situations I do. But without rambling on any longer. Yeah,

485
00:25:22,160 --> 00:25:24,160
I treat playoffs game by game pretty much.

486
00:25:25,200 --> 00:25:28,519
Speaker 2: Well, yeah, And I mean i'd like to think that

487
00:25:28,559 --> 00:25:32,319
we're all every team is giving their absolute one hundred

488
00:25:32,319 --> 00:25:35,559
and ten percent all in the playoffs, I think, And

489
00:25:35,640 --> 00:25:37,759
I'm with you, TV. I don't bet series either. I

490
00:25:37,799 --> 00:25:39,039
have no interest in a series.

491
00:25:39,039 --> 00:25:39,279
Speaker 1: Bet.

492
00:25:39,440 --> 00:25:41,279
Speaker 2: I'm when I'm saying, and I think it's just good

493
00:25:41,319 --> 00:25:43,400
for the viewers and the listeners to get a couple

494
00:25:43,400 --> 00:25:46,559
of different perspectives on because it really is it's a

495
00:25:46,680 --> 00:25:49,960
it's it's an entirely different handicap than what we do

496
00:25:50,079 --> 00:25:53,680
during the regular season. Like the regular season is such

497
00:25:53,680 --> 00:25:58,119
a monotonous, long grind where it's like and for me

498
00:25:58,640 --> 00:26:01,200
specifically going back to something Brian said, you know, I'm

499
00:26:01,759 --> 00:26:05,720
I'm mostly handicapping minor league baseball, minor league players, and

500
00:26:05,759 --> 00:26:08,200
then during the during the season, I'm like, where can

501
00:26:08,279 --> 00:26:10,640
I sort of find an edge on the books that

502
00:26:10,720 --> 00:26:14,240
maybe something is a little bit unknown here too. To

503
00:26:14,319 --> 00:26:17,000
the books, there's no unknown at this point, or at

504
00:26:17,039 --> 00:26:19,880
least there's very little unknown. And that goes just to

505
00:26:19,920 --> 00:26:23,599
tie it back in to Dodgers Phillies. It's like, you know,

506
00:26:23,839 --> 00:26:26,799
most of mostly know what you're gonna get from Snell Lozardo.

507
00:26:26,880 --> 00:26:30,000
The books mostly know what they're what they can expect

508
00:26:30,000 --> 00:26:32,039
to get from these two us. So I so so

509
00:26:32,160 --> 00:26:34,920
for me, I'm just saying that, like I typically have

510
00:26:35,000 --> 00:26:37,720
a plan going into the series. Okay, I want to

511
00:26:37,720 --> 00:26:39,559
find a spot to play the Dodgers because I think

512
00:26:39,680 --> 00:26:43,400
because my numbers are are showing me that there's a

513
00:26:43,400 --> 00:26:46,680
little bit of value on them relative to the Phillies. Hey,

514
00:26:46,720 --> 00:26:48,880
it might not happen. That's the other thing. I might

515
00:26:48,920 --> 00:26:51,519
not bet this a game in this whole series. And

516
00:26:51,519 --> 00:26:53,799
that's another thing. It's just you know, we're getting to

517
00:26:53,799 --> 00:26:56,240
the playoffs. Two games a day. You might go three

518
00:26:56,319 --> 00:26:59,559
days without an actual bet. Because of that, I'll go

519
00:26:59,599 --> 00:27:04,720
back to so just to transition to Cubs Brewers like

520
00:27:04,799 --> 00:27:06,720
for me, this is a series that I have. I

521
00:27:06,759 --> 00:27:10,200
don't really have that plan for this series. I think

522
00:27:10,200 --> 00:27:12,359
this is as even as it gets. You've got two

523
00:27:12,440 --> 00:27:14,920
division rivals. I think they know each other very well.

524
00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:17,720
I think during the regular season they matched up kind

525
00:27:17,759 --> 00:27:20,240
of kind of like that, and so for me, I

526
00:27:20,680 --> 00:27:23,319
may find some value at some point in the series

527
00:27:23,359 --> 00:27:26,119
to play aside, but I don't have that plan here.

528
00:27:26,359 --> 00:27:28,920
I really don't favor one of these teams over the others.

529
00:27:29,319 --> 00:27:32,720
So I'm hoping you two can maybe convince me into

530
00:27:32,720 --> 00:27:35,839
a play here. Brewers Cubs. Let's start with you, Brian.

531
00:27:35,880 --> 00:27:38,519
Do you see any edge for one of these two teams?

532
00:27:38,559 --> 00:27:39,799
And do you have something for tonight.

533
00:27:40,359 --> 00:27:42,240
Speaker 4: I think the Cubs are in a little bit of

534
00:27:42,319 --> 00:27:46,480
trouble here. First of all, Kate Orton, Justin Steele, they've

535
00:27:46,519 --> 00:27:50,119
lost many innings for Justine Steel out for the season.

536
00:27:50,559 --> 00:27:53,079
Kate Horton, we don't know when he's coming back. And

537
00:27:53,319 --> 00:27:57,480
Matthew Boyd, I've talked about this, you know, for the

538
00:27:57,559 --> 00:28:00,680
last month or so about his innings and they brought

539
00:28:00,720 --> 00:28:02,559
him in and he didn't have it the other day

540
00:28:02,599 --> 00:28:07,119
and they pulled him, which leaves them with Imanaga, who

541
00:28:07,240 --> 00:28:11,240
has really struggled down down the stretch, and Jameson tie On,

542
00:28:12,000 --> 00:28:15,799
who for the most part has been basically an average pitcher.

543
00:28:16,799 --> 00:28:19,400
When it took a look at the Cubs lineup, they

544
00:28:19,440 --> 00:28:21,720
throw the same lineup out there just about every day.

545
00:28:22,200 --> 00:28:23,519
You take a look at what they've done in the

546
00:28:23,599 --> 00:28:27,240
last you know, a couple of weeks here last week

547
00:28:27,440 --> 00:28:31,279
they had Balistaios played one game, Castro played one game.

548
00:28:31,400 --> 00:28:33,559
Other than that, everybody else has been in the lineup

549
00:28:34,119 --> 00:28:39,039
for the entire time. Michael Bush, Kyle Tucker, and Pete

550
00:28:39,079 --> 00:28:42,480
Crow Armstrong going against a pretty tough lefty in this one.

551
00:28:43,039 --> 00:28:46,759
And when you take a look at the Brewers, Brewers

552
00:28:46,759 --> 00:28:49,480
are a team that I like because they've got keep

553
00:28:49,599 --> 00:28:54,279
the manager, keeps everybody on on guard. They're always ready

554
00:28:54,319 --> 00:28:58,640
to play, and they may see some other guys going today.

555
00:28:59,319 --> 00:29:02,559
Jake Bowers is normally in a line he probably won't

556
00:29:02,559 --> 00:29:05,680
play here against the Leffie and he hasn't played the

557
00:29:05,759 --> 00:29:09,519
last two times, so maybe we can get you know, Isaac.

558
00:29:09,200 --> 00:29:09,920
Speaker 3: Collins in there.

559
00:29:10,519 --> 00:29:13,680
Speaker 4: Who's had a really nice seasons, not as great down

560
00:29:13,680 --> 00:29:15,960
the stretch as he was earlier, but I'd rather have

561
00:29:16,039 --> 00:29:18,440
him the Jake Bauer. So I'm given a little bit

562
00:29:18,480 --> 00:29:22,119
of an edge for the hitters here in Milwaukee. The

563
00:29:22,160 --> 00:29:25,400
line on this game is about it looks like Milwaukee

564
00:29:25,440 --> 00:29:26,240
just got hit a little bit.

565
00:29:26,279 --> 00:29:26,359
Speaker 2: Now.

566
00:29:26,400 --> 00:29:30,079
Speaker 4: It was probably about a one twenty four. I just

567
00:29:30,119 --> 00:29:32,200
saw one thirty one of DraftKings. I don't know how

568
00:29:32,240 --> 00:29:34,720
long that'll last, but about it one twenty four here

569
00:29:34,720 --> 00:29:38,680
from Milwaukee with Ashby against Amanaga and the total of eight.

570
00:29:39,599 --> 00:29:43,319
And I'm not a big fan of in Monaga right now.

571
00:29:43,359 --> 00:29:45,160
You take a look at what he's done on the season.

572
00:29:46,880 --> 00:29:49,200
Last year two point nine to one ERA fifteen to

573
00:29:49,200 --> 00:29:52,839
three record, this year three point seven three ERA nine

574
00:29:52,880 --> 00:29:56,599
and eight record. Obviously it wins the losses, you can't

575
00:29:56,640 --> 00:29:58,920
depend on that. But if you take a look at

576
00:29:58,960 --> 00:30:01,680
his sad cast profile, well, he's very good in chase

577
00:30:01,759 --> 00:30:05,519
rate eighty fourth percentile and his walk rate ninety six percentile,

578
00:30:06,279 --> 00:30:10,480
but everything else is league average or below, and his

579
00:30:10,559 --> 00:30:14,240
ground ball rate fourth percentile, barrel rate sixth. Basketball ve

580
00:30:14,240 --> 00:30:17,440
lost the eighth average Exson Velost the eleven he throws

581
00:30:17,480 --> 00:30:20,920
five pitches, but his fourth seemer is forty nine percent

582
00:30:20,960 --> 00:30:22,839
of the time, and he only throws it at ninety

583
00:30:23,160 --> 00:30:25,880
point eight miles an hour, which is two point three

584
00:30:25,920 --> 00:30:30,400
miles an hour worse than a normal lefty. So when

585
00:30:30,440 --> 00:30:32,440
I'm taking a look at him and he's got to

586
00:30:32,599 --> 00:30:35,960
face these Milwaukee batters, I think it's a pretty sizable

587
00:30:35,960 --> 00:30:40,559
advantage here for Milwaukee. Also, Aaron Ashby is a guy

588
00:30:40,680 --> 00:30:43,640
that you know, he's one of those that very much

589
00:30:43,759 --> 00:30:45,519
like some of the other pitchers we've talked about. He's

590
00:30:45,519 --> 00:30:48,160
twenty seven now, but he's had a lot of injuries.

591
00:30:48,200 --> 00:30:50,000
But this is a guy in his career three point

592
00:30:50,079 --> 00:30:54,880
six two ERA, three point eight expected ERA this year,

593
00:30:55,000 --> 00:30:58,359
two point one six ERA on the season, so.

594
00:30:58,319 --> 00:31:01,519
Speaker 3: He's been really good all year long. He doesn't have.

595
00:31:01,519 --> 00:31:04,720
Speaker 4: Much extension in the first percentle case rate in the

596
00:31:04,759 --> 00:31:08,160
nineteenth percent ofle is kind of strange considering he's a

597
00:31:08,200 --> 00:31:10,920
sinker ball pitcher, throws those fifty one percent of the time,

598
00:31:11,480 --> 00:31:13,720
and he throws him fast at ninety seven point five

599
00:31:13,759 --> 00:31:15,880
miles an hour, where the normal left he's at ninety

600
00:31:15,880 --> 00:31:18,640
three point two, So you would expect a little bit

601
00:31:18,640 --> 00:31:20,559
more of a chase rate. He hasn't gotten to that,

602
00:31:20,759 --> 00:31:23,200
but that's really the only concern I have about him.

603
00:31:23,599 --> 00:31:27,559
Pass Ball velocity ninety first percentile, barrel rate ninety ninth percentile,

604
00:31:28,000 --> 00:31:32,240
ground ball rate ninety ninth percentile. So it'll be pretty

605
00:31:32,279 --> 00:31:36,359
tough for the visiting team here, the Cubs to get

606
00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:39,079
a lot of power in this game against Ashby. We

607
00:31:39,160 --> 00:31:40,720
don't know how long he's going to be in there.

608
00:31:40,839 --> 00:31:45,839
But I really like how this Milwaukee bullpen sets up here.

609
00:31:46,720 --> 00:31:49,440
They haven't they had three guys pitch, you know, basically

610
00:31:49,519 --> 00:31:51,160
twenty pitches on Saturday.

611
00:31:51,720 --> 00:31:52,839
Speaker 3: They hadn't pitched in a wall.

612
00:31:52,880 --> 00:31:55,480
Speaker 4: So they're very arrested here obviously because of those days

613
00:31:55,480 --> 00:31:59,960
off for the bye. But you got Trevor mcgillback, Uribay

614
00:32:00,160 --> 00:32:01,039
been closing for him.

615
00:32:01,319 --> 00:32:01,440
Speaker 1: Uh.

616
00:32:01,559 --> 00:32:04,799
Speaker 4: Coening's a guy I like, Miserowski is going to come

617
00:32:04,799 --> 00:32:07,079
out of the bullpen. That'll be a big help for them.

618
00:32:07,759 --> 00:32:09,920
And they got Nick Mirrors back, so they've got a

619
00:32:09,920 --> 00:32:12,200
lot of their guys back in the bullpen that are

620
00:32:12,240 --> 00:32:13,200
really going to help them here.

621
00:32:13,319 --> 00:32:15,319
Speaker 3: And I think the line's a little bit cheap on

622
00:32:15,400 --> 00:32:16,119
Milwaukee here.

623
00:32:19,559 --> 00:32:21,759
Speaker 4: ESPN dot just went to one thirty five, but you

624
00:32:21,920 --> 00:32:25,599
still get you know, it's it seems like I we

625
00:32:25,640 --> 00:32:27,160
should have went to first on this, We could have

626
00:32:27,160 --> 00:32:31,079
gotten this earlier. But I still think I still think

627
00:32:31,200 --> 00:32:34,799
that there's some betting advantages here. If you live in Veggage,

628
00:32:34,799 --> 00:32:37,279
you get a one twenty here on on Milwaukee, and

629
00:32:37,440 --> 00:32:40,559
I see you know some other places, So I like Milwaukee.

630
00:32:40,599 --> 00:32:42,200
Out of the two games, this is this is the

631
00:32:42,279 --> 00:32:45,359
one game where I'll probably gift to clients.

632
00:32:47,920 --> 00:32:51,440
Speaker 5: Guys. Wayga Talk is letting us price our and they'll

633
00:32:51,480 --> 00:32:53,680
be baseball plays for the rest of the year at

634
00:32:53,799 --> 00:32:57,400
nine dollars. Anything but a five percent play. So go

635
00:32:57,480 --> 00:33:00,200
to wayertalk dot com to see what we've got up.

636
00:33:00,240 --> 00:33:03,880
That's just a bargain. You know, four percent plays they

637
00:33:03,960 --> 00:33:05,920
make us charge twenty five dollars. You can get them

638
00:33:05,920 --> 00:33:10,000
for nine dollars now, so very good price. Tomorrow is

639
00:33:10,079 --> 00:33:12,920
five dollars Tuesday, So make sure you come back tomorrow

640
00:33:12,960 --> 00:33:16,319
and see what plays we have up for five dollars

641
00:33:17,000 --> 00:33:21,119
Tuesday tomorrow. One other thing that you don't see in

642
00:33:21,160 --> 00:33:23,200
the playoffs that you do see in the regular season

643
00:33:23,319 --> 00:33:29,279
is the monotony. So managers make quirky decisions sometimes in

644
00:33:29,319 --> 00:33:31,880
the playoffs that they never would make in the regular season,

645
00:33:32,039 --> 00:33:36,279
so that makes playoff handicapping a little tricky coming into

646
00:33:36,319 --> 00:33:40,119
this series. I don't know why Milwaukee is making this

647
00:33:40,240 --> 00:33:43,119
a bullpen game. Do you think Ashby's going to go

648
00:33:43,200 --> 00:33:46,079
more than two innings here? I don't, But what do

649
00:33:46,119 --> 00:33:46,720
you think, Brian?

650
00:33:47,079 --> 00:33:48,799
Speaker 3: You other stretched him out a little bit lately?

651
00:33:49,000 --> 00:33:49,200
Speaker 1: Yeah?

652
00:33:49,359 --> 00:33:52,880
Speaker 2: Really, Okay, I think he's got a I don't think

653
00:33:52,920 --> 00:33:55,440
he's got the longest of leashes, but I think if

654
00:33:55,440 --> 00:33:56,960
he's throwing the ball, well, he'll go.

655
00:33:57,079 --> 00:33:57,920
Speaker 1: More than that. Yeah.

656
00:33:59,319 --> 00:34:04,279
Speaker 5: So regarding this game, I finally I agree with Brian.

657
00:34:05,279 --> 00:34:09,880
We've disagreed a lot since the playoffs started. Friendly disagreements,

658
00:34:10,360 --> 00:34:12,519
but you know, when we disagree, it's an advantage for

659
00:34:12,599 --> 00:34:15,679
you guys listening because you can find out why we

660
00:34:15,800 --> 00:34:18,880
disagree and what our logic is, and you can base

661
00:34:18,960 --> 00:34:21,840
your captain on that. I like the Brewers here too.

662
00:34:24,039 --> 00:34:29,559
You know, it's a telling sign who teams are starting

663
00:34:29,679 --> 00:34:32,719
as their ace in the playoffs. I think the Cubs

664
00:34:32,760 --> 00:34:36,400
have probably the worst rotation of any teams left. When

665
00:34:36,519 --> 00:34:40,400
Boyd is your ace for Game one, I think you're

666
00:34:40,440 --> 00:34:43,320
in trouble. Look at other teams. They got Freed, Although

667
00:34:43,440 --> 00:34:47,320
Freed got bombed yesterday. You got Scooball, you got you know,

668
00:34:47,440 --> 00:34:51,719
Christopher Sanchez, You've got Blake snow elite pictures, and then

669
00:34:51,760 --> 00:34:56,639
you got BOYD, who's good above average picture, not an ace.

670
00:34:57,159 --> 00:34:59,280
So I think the Cubs are in trouble as well

671
00:34:59,440 --> 00:35:03,880
with this roation. Ema Naga has not looked very good lately.

672
00:35:03,960 --> 00:35:05,880
He's getting up there in age. I remember, like in

673
00:35:05,920 --> 00:35:10,119
twenty sixteen he won the Japanese version of the World Series,

674
00:35:10,199 --> 00:35:13,719
the Japan Series. That was like twelve years ago or

675
00:35:14,280 --> 00:35:17,000
eight years ago. So he's getting up there in age.

676
00:35:17,039 --> 00:35:20,320
I think it's wearing on him, and I think he's

677
00:35:20,400 --> 00:35:24,280
just finally getting old. You know when pictures get old,

678
00:35:25,000 --> 00:35:29,000
especially Japanese pitchers. They are agile enough to and they're

679
00:35:29,119 --> 00:35:35,519
cerebral enough to, you know, stay alive. But that's not

680
00:35:35,679 --> 00:35:38,639
going to cut it in the playoffs. And Milwaukee's just

681
00:35:38,719 --> 00:35:41,519
bombing the ball right now. They're probably the second best

682
00:35:41,559 --> 00:35:44,679
lineup of all teams in the playoffs right now in

683
00:35:44,800 --> 00:35:48,679
current form, behind the Blue Jays. I think the Cubs

684
00:35:48,719 --> 00:35:52,280
are in trouble as well. Bullpen wise, I actually have

685
00:35:52,440 --> 00:35:55,239
the cubs bullpen ranked a little higher than Milwaukee's, but

686
00:35:56,360 --> 00:35:59,639
I think Imanaga has the potential to get tagged here

687
00:36:01,000 --> 00:36:04,719
a lot more than Milwaukee's pictures do, so I think

688
00:36:04,760 --> 00:36:06,360
Milwaukee would be the way to go as well.

689
00:36:07,960 --> 00:36:10,639
Speaker 2: A couple things, So, someone was talking about the pricing

690
00:36:11,039 --> 00:36:15,159
of the plays in the chat the everything that all

691
00:36:15,440 --> 00:36:17,880
non five percent plays should be nine dollars. So like

692
00:36:18,039 --> 00:36:20,199
someone was saying, they see a couple plays full price,

693
00:36:20,679 --> 00:36:22,960
you'll still see the five percenters at full price. We

694
00:36:23,039 --> 00:36:26,199
can't change the price on those, but four and lower

695
00:36:26,320 --> 00:36:29,559
we'll all be up for nine dollars. And if you

696
00:36:29,679 --> 00:36:32,840
see it and it's incorrect, just email customer support. It

697
00:36:32,920 --> 00:36:36,159
means the individual that put it up probably forgot to

698
00:36:36,280 --> 00:36:40,480
change the price. Another thing, as far as like, so

699
00:36:40,639 --> 00:36:43,079
I'll make before I get into my breakdown of this,

700
00:36:43,199 --> 00:36:45,559
I just like blanket statement. And this is kind of

701
00:36:45,599 --> 00:36:47,800
something that I you know, I think I may be

702
00:36:47,920 --> 00:36:51,159
mentioned on Saturday, and I'll mention it again. I don't

703
00:36:51,199 --> 00:36:53,679
think the I don't think the Phillies can win a

704
00:36:53,719 --> 00:36:56,719
playoff series against an opponent like the Dodgers without Zach Wheeler.

705
00:36:57,360 --> 00:36:59,360
I don't think the Cubs can win a playoff series

706
00:36:59,360 --> 00:37:02,760
against the Brewer without Kate Horton. So even though I said, well,

707
00:37:02,840 --> 00:37:04,360
I'm not really sure which way I want to go

708
00:37:04,440 --> 00:37:06,679
in this. I kind of, you know, as you two

709
00:37:06,719 --> 00:37:09,559
were talking, I meant to I want to make that point.

710
00:37:09,599 --> 00:37:09,880
Speaker 1: I think.

711
00:37:10,199 --> 00:37:14,280
Speaker 2: I think not having Horton really they were able to

712
00:37:14,320 --> 00:37:17,679
get around it last round, it really hurts them in

713
00:37:17,719 --> 00:37:18,760
a five game series.

714
00:37:19,320 --> 00:37:21,599
Speaker 1: I too, have not sold on on Imanaga.

715
00:37:21,719 --> 00:37:24,320
Speaker 2: He's He's someone that I've sort of looked to fade

716
00:37:24,719 --> 00:37:28,920
down the stretch, you know, bottom ten percent and.

717
00:37:28,920 --> 00:37:32,280
Speaker 1: Exit d low. He's get gets hit hard, doesn't give

718
00:37:32,360 --> 00:37:34,760
up many ground balls. I know that. I know the Brewers.

719
00:37:34,800 --> 00:37:38,440
Speaker 2: It's not like you've got I mean, I would say collectively,

720
00:37:38,559 --> 00:37:41,639
like one to nine, they're they're a threat to hit

721
00:37:41,719 --> 00:37:42,119
the ball.

722
00:37:41,960 --> 00:37:42,679
Speaker 1: Out of the ballpark.

723
00:37:42,920 --> 00:37:45,960
Speaker 2: They might they might not have cal Rawly in the lineup,

724
00:37:46,000 --> 00:37:48,920
but there's still there is still like plenty of guys

725
00:37:49,000 --> 00:37:50,840
on this on this Brewers team that can go deep.

726
00:37:51,440 --> 00:37:55,360
So that's, you know, definitely a concern to me, and

727
00:37:55,719 --> 00:37:58,639
I'll I like, so going back to your point, Tokyo, Brandon.

728
00:37:58,960 --> 00:38:01,800
Speaker 1: Ashby, Yeah, maybe he's not in this game long, maybe

729
00:38:01,840 --> 00:38:02,079
he is.

730
00:38:02,679 --> 00:38:04,760
Speaker 2: I tend to like guys like him in the playoffs

731
00:38:04,840 --> 00:38:07,920
where you've got a manager in Pat Murphy, who's got

732
00:38:08,000 --> 00:38:08,639
the better team?

733
00:38:08,760 --> 00:38:09,000
Speaker 1: Okay?

734
00:38:09,039 --> 00:38:10,519
Speaker 2: I look at the Brewers and I say, Okay, they

735
00:38:10,800 --> 00:38:13,039
definitely regardless of what you think is gonna happen in

736
00:38:13,119 --> 00:38:15,599
this series, I do think the Brewers probably have the

737
00:38:15,639 --> 00:38:17,960
better team, and I think it'd be hard to argue

738
00:38:18,000 --> 00:38:19,719
with that based on what we've seen all season.

739
00:38:19,760 --> 00:38:23,239
Speaker 1: They were they were the better team. You know.

740
00:38:23,760 --> 00:38:26,159
Speaker 2: I look at like this setup and it's like, okay,

741
00:38:26,480 --> 00:38:30,920
So Murphy doesn't really doesn't really have to commit to Ashby,

742
00:38:31,199 --> 00:38:33,000
And I'm not saying that counsel has to commit to

743
00:38:33,039 --> 00:38:35,960
him Inaga, but there are certain scenarios where I think

744
00:38:36,000 --> 00:38:39,719
a commit a pitcher maybe I guess has earned the

745
00:38:39,840 --> 00:38:43,440
right a little bit to go deeper, and maybe Imanaga

746
00:38:43,559 --> 00:38:46,280
is is that guy for the Cubs. Maybe he's not,

747
00:38:47,159 --> 00:38:48,920
but the Cubs have less in the way of like

748
00:38:49,480 --> 00:38:52,159
quality bullpen arms. So I do think that like he

749
00:38:52,320 --> 00:38:55,480
maybe has a longer leash than Ashby. So the reason

750
00:38:55,559 --> 00:38:57,960
I like betting on that in the playoffs is because

751
00:38:59,119 --> 00:39:02,639
you get a guy like maybe he goes once through, okay,

752
00:39:03,000 --> 00:39:05,039
and then they can go and now all of a sudden,

753
00:39:05,079 --> 00:39:07,760
if you're the Cubs, you're gonna get an entirely different

754
00:39:07,840 --> 00:39:10,320
look out of the bullpen middle of the game, right,

755
00:39:10,400 --> 00:39:12,199
and you might get that for three or four innings

756
00:39:12,519 --> 00:39:12,960
if he's.

757
00:39:12,880 --> 00:39:13,440
Speaker 1: Throwing the ball.

758
00:39:13,519 --> 00:39:16,599
Speaker 2: Well, Like I'm certain that that was the plan with

759
00:39:16,760 --> 00:39:19,480
Schlitler and the Yankees the other day, right, I think

760
00:39:20,480 --> 00:39:22,400
you know, if he had he gotten in trouble second time,

761
00:39:22,519 --> 00:39:25,559
you were ready to yeah, they would have taken him out.

762
00:39:26,199 --> 00:39:27,840
Speaker 1: But he's cruised and all of a sudden he's out

763
00:39:27,880 --> 00:39:28,559
there for eight innings.

764
00:39:28,639 --> 00:39:32,039
Speaker 2: So I think that ends up being favorable from a

765
00:39:32,119 --> 00:39:34,719
betting standpoint in the playoffs, because I still think the

766
00:39:34,800 --> 00:39:37,519
books kind of price these games like it's a regular

767
00:39:37,599 --> 00:39:38,119
season game.

768
00:39:38,599 --> 00:39:38,760
Speaker 1: Right.

769
00:39:38,840 --> 00:39:42,400
Speaker 2: I think the books look and say, okay, Brewers Cubs,

770
00:39:42,519 --> 00:39:43,519
at least at the open.

771
00:39:43,800 --> 00:39:46,280
Speaker 1: Now, maybe some of the sharper.

772
00:39:46,000 --> 00:39:47,719
Speaker 2: Betterers are starting to move the market a little bit,

773
00:39:47,719 --> 00:39:49,920
but at least at the open, they're looking at saying,

774
00:39:49,960 --> 00:39:54,159
Immenaga ashby Brewers at home, all right, we'll go minus

775
00:39:54,199 --> 00:39:57,519
one fifteen plus one oh five, right, And I think

776
00:39:57,559 --> 00:39:58,800
that's what they're doing at the open.

777
00:39:59,679 --> 00:40:01,360
Speaker 1: I think they did it a little bit with Schooble

778
00:40:01,440 --> 00:40:01,760
last night.

779
00:40:01,800 --> 00:40:04,199
Speaker 2: Now, that didn't end up working out, but that opened

780
00:40:04,199 --> 00:40:07,039
Schooble minus one thirty, which is what I would expect

781
00:40:07,119 --> 00:40:09,760
him to open on the road in that matchup in

782
00:40:09,880 --> 00:40:13,400
the regular season, when you, I think when people started

783
00:40:13,440 --> 00:40:15,400
to factor in the fact that, like, okay, we got

784
00:40:15,480 --> 00:40:17,480
Tarik School on the road, we got a J. Hinches

785
00:40:17,519 --> 00:40:20,360
the manager like, I think that's why you saw the

786
00:40:20,400 --> 00:40:22,760
Tigers money come in and push that up to minus

787
00:40:22,800 --> 00:40:25,840
one fifty. So I think I'm with you guys that

788
00:40:25,920 --> 00:40:28,239
have it'd very likely to be Brewers or passed for

789
00:40:28,360 --> 00:40:31,360
me here, I kind of him with Brian, I wish

790
00:40:31,519 --> 00:40:33,159
I wish I already did this. If I was gonna

791
00:40:33,199 --> 00:40:34,639
bet the Brewers, I kind of wish I took that

792
00:40:34,760 --> 00:40:38,039
minus one fifteen, minus one twenty. The final point I'll

793
00:40:38,119 --> 00:40:41,320
make right here, though, it's the playoffs. These are are

794
00:40:41,519 --> 00:40:44,920
the handle on these games is much much bigger. So

795
00:40:45,440 --> 00:40:48,519
what that means is you will likely see the Chicago

796
00:40:48,639 --> 00:40:52,000
Cubs contingent come in at some point today and push

797
00:40:52,119 --> 00:40:53,039
this price back down.

798
00:40:53,119 --> 00:40:54,280
Speaker 1: So don't panic.

799
00:40:54,760 --> 00:40:57,840
Speaker 2: In the playoffs, there's always someone that wants the other

800
00:40:57,960 --> 00:41:02,679
side almost almost always, even yesterday that Mariners, that's Scooba

801
00:41:02,800 --> 00:41:05,480
line I think got as high as minus one fifty

802
00:41:05,559 --> 00:41:08,920
five minus one sixty and still came back down as

803
00:41:08,960 --> 00:41:10,199
it got closed at a game time.

804
00:41:10,639 --> 00:41:11,559
Speaker 1: So don't chase.

805
00:41:11,960 --> 00:41:13,760
Speaker 2: I really don't think you have to chase numbers in

806
00:41:13,800 --> 00:41:16,199
the playoffs. They almost always come back a little bit.

807
00:41:16,360 --> 00:41:17,880
Have you guys kind of seen that as well?

808
00:41:18,559 --> 00:41:19,079
Speaker 3: I can see that.

809
00:41:20,480 --> 00:41:23,079
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean teams with bigger fan base Let's face it,

810
00:41:23,280 --> 00:41:26,519
ninety nine percent of the betting public are betting because

811
00:41:26,559 --> 00:41:30,159
they like the Yankees or they're Boston Red Sox fans.

812
00:41:30,679 --> 00:41:30,840
Speaker 1: Right.

813
00:41:31,159 --> 00:41:34,400
Speaker 5: They have no logic and no like you know, price

814
00:41:35,199 --> 00:41:37,719
mentality or anything. They just like the Red Sox. So

815
00:41:38,440 --> 00:41:40,800
teams with bigger fan bases, you'll see those lines go

816
00:41:40,960 --> 00:41:45,079
in their favor, especially up the game time. The Yankee

817
00:41:45,159 --> 00:41:48,639
tax gets even more tax right before a Yankees game.

818
00:41:49,199 --> 00:41:52,400
Speaker 2: Well, and I just think that there's there is so

819
00:41:52,599 --> 00:41:56,079
much more recreational money in the play like probably this

820
00:41:56,239 --> 00:42:01,320
is probably bigger more than any other sport where you

821
00:42:01,440 --> 00:42:05,039
basically have like pros betting baseball all summer, right like,

822
00:42:05,320 --> 00:42:07,920
and then I'm not saying like that there's not recreational

823
00:42:07,960 --> 00:42:11,760
baseball betters, but they're far fewer. Okay, Then you get

824
00:42:11,760 --> 00:42:14,039
to the playoffs, and these every game is a standalone

825
00:42:14,079 --> 00:42:16,480
game on national TV. Now we get to the point

826
00:42:16,559 --> 00:42:19,679
of the week where football's you know, maybe not today

827
00:42:19,679 --> 00:42:21,920
because you have Monday night football, but like you'll get

828
00:42:21,920 --> 00:42:24,320
to the middle of the week and suddenly you'll have

829
00:42:24,360 --> 00:42:26,840
people that didn't bet baseball all year trying to fire

830
00:42:27,679 --> 00:42:31,000
on the standalone televised Major League Baseball games.

831
00:42:31,280 --> 00:42:34,760
Speaker 1: That is like something that can't really be like, we shouldn't.

832
00:42:34,320 --> 00:42:38,280
Speaker 2: Be glossing over that, because that's really your edge in

833
00:42:38,320 --> 00:42:38,840
the playoffs.

834
00:42:38,880 --> 00:42:40,239
Speaker 1: I truly believe that. I don't.

835
00:42:40,239 --> 00:42:42,440
Speaker 2: I don't think you're gonna beat the books on a number.

836
00:42:42,679 --> 00:42:44,199
I don't think you're gonna beat the books on a

837
00:42:44,320 --> 00:42:48,559
number when you've got Snell against Lozardo, Dodgers Phillies. Where

838
00:42:48,599 --> 00:42:51,320
you're gonna probably make some money and find some edges

839
00:42:51,960 --> 00:42:55,400
is when there's an overreaction that's gonna move a line

840
00:42:55,519 --> 00:42:58,440
thirty cents, because I'll tell you right now, a playoff

841
00:42:58,519 --> 00:42:59,159
line should not.

842
00:42:59,199 --> 00:43:01,360
Speaker 1: Be moving to forty cents, and just should it.

843
00:43:02,639 --> 00:43:04,679
Speaker 5: And if there's a team that you have your heart

844
00:43:04,800 --> 00:43:08,480
set on betting because you like them, but the price

845
00:43:08,599 --> 00:43:11,559
is too much and a minus one is a good way,

846
00:43:11,679 --> 00:43:14,360
a nice little trick to do as well, because if

847
00:43:14,400 --> 00:43:16,239
they win by one, you get your money back. It's

848
00:43:16,320 --> 00:43:19,679
kind of like pigal poker, but it's much safer than

849
00:43:19,719 --> 00:43:21,599
a minus one and a half. So that's a trick

850
00:43:21,639 --> 00:43:23,800
that I use when I like a team but it's

851
00:43:23,880 --> 00:43:26,119
minus one eighty, I can bring it down to minus

852
00:43:26,199 --> 00:43:28,800
one forty by doing a minus one TB.

853
00:43:28,960 --> 00:43:31,519
Speaker 2: I thought of you the other day, because the books

854
00:43:31,679 --> 00:43:34,360
really don't want to give you that plus one and

855
00:43:34,400 --> 00:43:38,880
a half. In the playoffs, your minus one prices are

856
00:43:38,920 --> 00:43:40,960
a lot better than they were during the regular season.

857
00:43:41,159 --> 00:43:44,679
You're actually like, you're starting to get like fifty cents

858
00:43:44,719 --> 00:43:47,280
instead of thirty, and so I'm with you. In the

859
00:43:47,320 --> 00:43:50,280
playoffs there is minus one has become a much more

860
00:43:50,400 --> 00:43:51,599
viable option in my opinion.

861
00:43:51,760 --> 00:43:54,000
Speaker 5: Do you think the absence of the ghost runner has

862
00:43:54,079 --> 00:43:54,880
anything to do with that?

863
00:43:55,000 --> 00:43:57,800
Speaker 1: I don't know, but no, I think.

864
00:43:57,719 --> 00:43:59,400
Speaker 2: These books don't want to give you plus one and

865
00:43:59,440 --> 00:44:02,400
a half, and the playoff games, I think they're very.

866
00:44:02,519 --> 00:44:05,480
Speaker 5: They're all tight because all the teams are pretty even, right.

867
00:44:06,280 --> 00:44:11,039
Speaker 4: It does have an effect when it comes to totals, obviously,

868
00:44:11,280 --> 00:44:13,480
if you've got a six total or a five and

869
00:44:13,519 --> 00:44:16,199
a half and it goes into extra innings during the

870
00:44:16,239 --> 00:44:17,239
regular season.

871
00:44:18,000 --> 00:44:22,920
Speaker 3: You're screwed, U is now. It's it's specially old olden ways.

872
00:44:22,960 --> 00:44:25,199
Speaker 4: So yeah, there has there has been about a one

873
00:44:25,719 --> 00:44:28,920
to a one and a half run differential on the

874
00:44:29,239 --> 00:44:31,360
Unders in this in these playoffs.

875
00:44:32,320 --> 00:44:36,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, Adam Westbury says, Dodgers World Series ticket plus two

876
00:44:36,039 --> 00:44:39,840
boardy listen like, I can't. I can't argue with that.

877
00:44:40,480 --> 00:44:42,760
I still think that I think they're probably the best

878
00:44:42,800 --> 00:44:44,920
team right now. If I had if you were like

879
00:44:44,960 --> 00:44:47,519
to pin me down, who is the best team currently

880
00:44:47,639 --> 00:44:50,360
left in the leade? You know, we have eight teams left.

881
00:44:50,639 --> 00:44:53,480
Who's the best, it's it would be hard for me

882
00:44:53,559 --> 00:44:55,519
to not say the Dodgers, and that's probably.

883
00:44:55,480 --> 00:44:56,559
Speaker 1: It is really good.

884
00:44:56,639 --> 00:44:59,360
Speaker 5: But blue Jay's rotation, I don't think it's going to

885
00:44:59,400 --> 00:45:02,280
hold up. But man, they look good at home.

886
00:45:02,559 --> 00:45:04,199
Speaker 2: Let me let me ask you this, because we got

887
00:45:04,199 --> 00:45:06,239
a couple of minutes left. Do either of you have

888
00:45:06,559 --> 00:45:08,559
do either of you have any interest in it in

889
00:45:08,639 --> 00:45:10,719
a Yankees ticket to win this series right now?

890
00:45:11,960 --> 00:45:16,840
Speaker 4: Yes, I played it earlier and it was a bad

891
00:45:16,920 --> 00:45:19,599
decision on my part. Luckily I only played a small one.

892
00:45:20,400 --> 00:45:24,440
But yeah, i't and I'm not saying I want bet

893
00:45:24,480 --> 00:45:26,760
on them tomorrow if if we get a good line.

894
00:45:26,840 --> 00:45:29,360
But uh yeah, to win three in a row or

895
00:45:29,440 --> 00:45:34,320
whatever they need to win, I don't think that's gonna happen.

896
00:45:35,000 --> 00:45:37,920
Speaker 5: I wish they gave you because I would take Yankees

897
00:45:38,000 --> 00:45:39,519
over two and a half every game.

898
00:45:40,480 --> 00:45:43,519
Speaker 2: The only reason I I I would sprinkle on it.

899
00:45:43,559 --> 00:45:45,280
If listen, if you went here's what let me tell you.

900
00:45:45,320 --> 00:45:47,159
Let me say this, if you went into this series

901
00:45:47,480 --> 00:45:48,360
liking the Yankees.

902
00:45:48,760 --> 00:45:49,880
Speaker 1: Now I didn't.

903
00:45:50,000 --> 00:45:52,000
Speaker 2: But I'm just saying if you went into the series

904
00:45:52,079 --> 00:45:54,920
thinking that the Yankees were the play in the series,

905
00:45:55,880 --> 00:45:58,639
I would absolutely throw something on them right now because

906
00:45:59,119 --> 00:46:01,239
you're going to get them in the Bronx back to

907
00:46:01,320 --> 00:46:04,239
back games, and they are going to have the pitching

908
00:46:04,440 --> 00:46:07,360
edge most likely in both games, or at least they're not.

909
00:46:07,480 --> 00:46:08,960
Let's put it this way, they're not going to be

910
00:46:09,599 --> 00:46:12,599
at a pitching disadvantage in either game you're looking at

911
00:46:13,159 --> 00:46:16,119
right now, you're looking at Game three tomorrow, Redon against

912
00:46:16,159 --> 00:46:18,679
Shane Bieber. I'm still gonna give Redon the edge at

913
00:46:18,719 --> 00:46:20,599
home there. The Yankees will be favored.

914
00:46:20,320 --> 00:46:20,800
Speaker 1: In that game.

915
00:46:21,599 --> 00:46:25,159
Speaker 2: And then in Game four, you're looking at Schlitler against

916
00:46:25,480 --> 00:46:30,639
probably they'll come back, probably with Gossman, I mean pretty close.

917
00:46:31,440 --> 00:46:33,519
I don't think that the Blue Jays necessarily have an

918
00:46:33,639 --> 00:46:37,679
edge there all of a sudden, Like I'm just saying

919
00:46:38,760 --> 00:46:39,360
the fact.

920
00:46:39,159 --> 00:46:41,360
Speaker 5: They got blown out with their best pitcher out there,

921
00:46:41,400 --> 00:46:42,199
it just makes.

922
00:46:43,039 --> 00:46:46,440
Speaker 2: That doesn't mean that's one game that doesn't matter. I'm

923
00:46:46,480 --> 00:46:49,079
talking about the way these are set up. Listen, the

924
00:46:49,199 --> 00:46:51,159
way that these five game series are set up. And

925
00:46:51,239 --> 00:46:53,800
this is just to just to speak to series prices,

926
00:46:54,199 --> 00:46:56,719
series betting, because I think a lot of people will

927
00:46:56,760 --> 00:46:58,920
get involved in that, so we might as well.

928
00:46:59,000 --> 00:47:00,719
Speaker 1: We'll talk about it a couple of minutes.

929
00:47:01,719 --> 00:47:03,920
Speaker 2: I still think there's an element of, like you're holding

930
00:47:04,039 --> 00:47:06,079
serve at home a little bit. So I don't think

931
00:47:06,119 --> 00:47:08,480
you should just abandon the Yankees because they went and

932
00:47:08,599 --> 00:47:10,599
lost a couple of games in Toronto. They haven't even

933
00:47:10,639 --> 00:47:13,159
played a home game yet. If they win tomorrow, it's

934
00:47:13,280 --> 00:47:15,280
like very much gonna be serious.

935
00:47:16,519 --> 00:47:17,119
Speaker 3: Yeah it's game.

936
00:47:17,840 --> 00:47:19,440
Speaker 2: You don't you mean to tell me you wouldn't get

937
00:47:19,480 --> 00:47:21,800
to Game five with Freed and feel like pretty good

938
00:47:21,840 --> 00:47:24,119
about yourself, Like it's yeah, he had a bad start,

939
00:47:24,199 --> 00:47:26,800
but I mean he's an all right elite.

940
00:47:27,000 --> 00:47:27,599
Speaker 1: It's kind of like.

941
00:47:27,719 --> 00:47:29,920
Speaker 5: Tennis you know, if you can win, If you can

942
00:47:30,079 --> 00:47:33,360
win you know a set, you changed the whole match.

943
00:47:33,440 --> 00:47:35,480
So yeah, you're right. If the if the Yankees can

944
00:47:35,519 --> 00:47:39,000
win tomorrow's game, it's series is on. You're right.

945
00:47:40,159 --> 00:47:42,719
Speaker 2: It'd be different to me if the if the Blue

946
00:47:42,800 --> 00:47:45,159
Jays were sitting on like a like a Zach Wheeler

947
00:47:45,320 --> 00:47:47,159
or like a like a schoobl or someone that they

948
00:47:47,199 --> 00:47:50,039
were really gonna have to then come out and beat

949
00:47:50,119 --> 00:47:52,159
in that game. That's what I think the undoing is

950
00:47:52,400 --> 00:47:54,880
of the Blue Jays at some point is that they

951
00:47:54,920 --> 00:47:57,519
don't have that guy. And yes, the Savage is very

952
00:47:57,519 --> 00:48:00,239
good yesterday, but I don't think he's that guy yet.

953
00:48:00,360 --> 00:48:03,880
I mean, he's still he's not going to pitch.

954
00:48:04,079 --> 00:48:06,599
Speaker 5: He's not going to pitch that way every game. But

955
00:48:06,840 --> 00:48:09,000
he is uber talented, no doubt.

956
00:48:09,440 --> 00:48:09,599
Speaker 2: Man.

957
00:48:09,760 --> 00:48:13,440
Speaker 5: That one pitch he has I think he got. I

958
00:48:13,519 --> 00:48:16,400
think he got fifty five percent of his strikeouts with

959
00:48:16,519 --> 00:48:19,440
that what was it a split change or whatever?

960
00:48:19,719 --> 00:48:22,920
Speaker 2: Man, that basically his splitter and it is I mean,

961
00:48:22,960 --> 00:48:24,440
if he could throw that for a strike at the

962
00:48:24,480 --> 00:48:26,119
bottom of his own there's no one's going to hit

963
00:48:26,159 --> 00:48:26,840
it hotly.

964
00:48:27,400 --> 00:48:29,639
Speaker 5: He could, like I said, he could call that pitch

965
00:48:29,719 --> 00:48:35,199
and they can't hit it. Yeah, but yeah, you're you're

966
00:48:35,239 --> 00:48:37,719
probably right if the price was like plus three hundred.

967
00:48:38,360 --> 00:48:40,519
If the Yankees win tomorrow, they're back in this series.

968
00:48:40,559 --> 00:48:43,320
There's no doubt about that. And Rodin is probably the

969
00:48:43,440 --> 00:48:46,119
advantage pitcher over over Bieber. But we can cover that

970
00:48:46,199 --> 00:48:47,239
tomorrow's show.

971
00:48:48,119 --> 00:48:49,639
Speaker 1: That's right, we will. Uh yeah.

972
00:48:49,679 --> 00:48:51,280
Speaker 2: So while while we have him been and I'm gonna

973
00:48:51,320 --> 00:48:53,840
promo a couple of things. One, we'll be back tomorrow

974
00:48:54,000 --> 00:48:57,599
nine am Eastern. Toward the end of the month, we

975
00:48:57,719 --> 00:49:00,960
are going to start doing the College Bass Football Show myself,

976
00:49:01,039 --> 00:49:04,719
Brian Power, and Rob Veno, and we're going to do

977
00:49:04,760 --> 00:49:07,880
a couple of live preview shows in this format. So

978
00:49:08,719 --> 00:49:11,559
if you're like me and you're gonna get off this

979
00:49:11,679 --> 00:49:15,199
stream and start researching the American Conference, which I think

980
00:49:15,280 --> 00:49:17,400
is probably what I'm going to do for the rest of.

981
00:49:17,719 --> 00:49:21,360
Speaker 1: The next couple hours. That's we're going to try to

982
00:49:21,400 --> 00:49:22,280
do some preview shows.

983
00:49:22,440 --> 00:49:24,119
Speaker 2: If you remember the last couple of years I did

984
00:49:24,159 --> 00:49:26,679
all these preview videos, I said, I don't know if

985
00:49:26,760 --> 00:49:27,880
enough people are watching them.

986
00:49:27,880 --> 00:49:29,039
Speaker 1: I'm not going to do that this year.

987
00:49:29,119 --> 00:49:31,719
Speaker 2: I think we're going to go just live shows and

988
00:49:31,880 --> 00:49:34,079
let you guys, we're going to do like the Power

989
00:49:34,159 --> 00:49:37,000
for show and then just let you ask questions kind

990
00:49:37,039 --> 00:49:39,440
of in this format, because that's what we're going to

991
00:49:39,480 --> 00:49:42,079
try to do, is take this show the same format

992
00:49:42,559 --> 00:49:45,000
and then do it during college basketball, which is kind

993
00:49:45,039 --> 00:49:47,199
of insane because there's three hundred and sixty four Division

994
00:49:47,199 --> 00:49:50,159
I college basketball teams. But you know what, we got

995
00:49:50,239 --> 00:49:53,159
Rob Veno and the guy's brain is an encyclopedia.

996
00:49:53,400 --> 00:49:55,239
Speaker 1: So I think we're gonna be. I think we're going

997
00:49:55,320 --> 00:49:56,360
to be just fine right there.

998
00:49:56,880 --> 00:49:58,880
Speaker 5: So Brian, do you be college basketball?

999
00:49:59,519 --> 00:50:01,800
Speaker 4: I do basketball and I've had a lot of success

1000
00:50:01,920 --> 00:50:07,559
on it. And tomorrow's hockey hockey season starts, so real

1001
00:50:07,639 --> 00:50:09,559
excited about that. I don't know if they still have

1002
00:50:09,679 --> 00:50:13,559
my special going, but if you buy the hockey season

1003
00:50:13,760 --> 00:50:15,679
and a discount actually, and you get the rest of

1004
00:50:15,679 --> 00:50:17,800
the baseball for free, it's still up on the site.

1005
00:50:17,960 --> 00:50:20,360
If it's not there, just talk to the girls and

1006
00:50:20,440 --> 00:50:21,519
they'll honor that for you.

1007
00:50:22,320 --> 00:50:22,440
Speaker 5: Uh.

1008
00:50:22,519 --> 00:50:24,840
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm really excited about everything else going on right now,

1009
00:50:25,239 --> 00:50:29,800
and I'm gonna have to run, but yeah, let's let's

1010
00:50:29,880 --> 00:50:32,440
get uh let's get some good baseball going today and

1011
00:50:32,480 --> 00:50:33,519
hopefully we'll get some winners.

1012
00:50:34,920 --> 00:50:38,360
Speaker 5: Yep, nine dollars. MLB plays none to five percent. MLB

1013
00:50:38,440 --> 00:50:42,199
plays nine dollars for the rest of the season. Uh So,

1014
00:50:42,679 --> 00:50:45,320
go to wagtalk dot com. Tomorrow is five dollars Tuesday.

1015
00:50:45,400 --> 00:50:46,880
We'll promote that in tomorrow's show.

1016
00:50:48,400 --> 00:50:50,039
Speaker 2: Yeah, and if you missed any part of the show,

1017
00:50:50,119 --> 00:50:53,800
we did pretty thorough breakdowns of both tonight's games, Phillies, Dodgers,

1018
00:50:54,440 --> 00:50:57,599
Brewers Cubs. If anyone's got to play up today, since

1019
00:50:57,599 --> 00:51:00,000
I don't think anyone's got a five percenter in baseball today,

1020
00:51:00,199 --> 00:51:03,000
it will be nine dollars on our respective pages and

1021
00:51:03,159 --> 00:51:04,840
we will see you guys back here in the morning

1022
00:51:04,960 --> 00:51:05,719
nine am Eastern.

1023
00:51:06,119 --> 00:51:07,800
Speaker 1: Enjoy the games tonight, see you guys tomorrow