Speaker 1: Welcome to Way to Talk Today, the gold standard of
sports betting shows where we talk to Talk and walk
the Walk. Football Friday, one of the biggest slates of
the season, College Football Playoffs Round one is here. NFL
matchups are here, joined by my good friend and co
host Dan Dan. Let's run through the lineup. Who we
got today?
Speaker 2: The absolutely loaded show. I mean, are the Round one
games that exciting? Maybe not, but they're exciting that they're here.
And we have a couple that we're gonna be talking
about Alabama and Oklahoma. This is one that we've had
some data drawing. Teddy Covers going to be breaking that
down for us. He's also going to talk Packers and Bears.
Marco DiAngelo. He's gonna come a little saucy, as you know.
He'll talk wing sauce of the week. In addition to
Miami taken on Texas A and m do we have
a barking dog in that one? And then the Steelers
lines will get his take on his Steelers that somehow
are they going to be snatching a defeat from the
jaws of victory as far as the division is concerned.
But Andy, what do we do every Friday? We lead
it off with our man, the myth, the legend, the Gianni,
the Greek gambler. That's right, Yanni in the house, man,
and you have to be busy as hell.
Speaker 3: This Friday. We were doing our little our pre show
meeting here.
Speaker 2: Teddy even in the back end getting excited, and we
all just saw there was a different look in your.
Speaker 3: Eye this morning. Yanni, you have to be firing like crazy. Brother. Yeah,
there's some just.
Speaker 4: Bad lines, man, this early in the morning. I couldn't
believe it. That's I was just telling Teddy a guy
was one and a half points off market on the total.
How could I not punish him win or lose? I
got to place that bet. It's just a bad number.
And it's just that time of year. Coming off of
nice winning night. We cash two of our three football
bets hit the NFL hit the Arkansas State side lost
on that total. That was the only loser. So we're
rolling into the weekend off some winners, which is always good.
It's all about football. I didn't even put out a
steam sheet today because there's just nothing really to talk
about in baskets. I'll just tell you real quickly. It's
been the public that's firing. And in NBA they're on
Oklahoma City, the Spurs and the Knicks. That's the parlay,
that's the teaser. You're seeing Oklahoma City Spurs, Knicks, Spurs Knicks,
Oklahoma City Knicks, Oklahoma City Spurs in one of those
three ways with the overs, overs in San Antonio and
over in Oklahoma City. So rest assured. Any line movement
there has been public money related, and like they've been
doing in the NBA of late, don't be surprised if
the public moves these lines too much, the sharps will
come in and sweep up some of the value. On
the other side. They already did. They took the points
with Philadelphia over the Knicks. In college basketball. No sexy games. Really,
we didn't even fire, I mean anything that I would
release through subscribers. It's kind of more some totals that
they got out ahead of you're starting to sa if
you look at the Odds logic screen, it's probably lightening
up right now. But it's all about football. It's all
about football. With the playoffs starting and what we have
tomorrow Sunday, like next week with the Christmas holiday, it's
all about football. Man, that that's again, the other markets
will all give us some value because of all the
attention on the football. But with such an influx of
recreational betters, that's where the money is right now to
be made in the bowls and in the NFL over
the next ten days.
Speaker 1: Johanni, do we learn anything from the game last night,
such as don't overreact to the wind?
Speaker 4: Yeah, you can't. You can't. I mean, you know, I
had Seattle, I like the Seattle sign. Not going to
adjust my power ratings at all. Rams are still the
number one power rated team in the NFL. It finished
exactly the way it should random over time, one team one.
He couldn't script it any better. We talked about it
letting into that game. These two teams are a mirror
image of each other stat wise, with the differentiator being
strength of schedule, which the Rams had the more respectable
strength of schedule. But then you got a factor in
home field advantage for Seattle, which made it an absolute
coin flip. And that's what it came down to, man.
So yeah, it was just one of those games, like
we talked about. Was good to be a bookie able
to just sweep up all that big because there was
good two way actions. So I didn't learn anything, just
that the power ratings played out well. And we are
looking at the number one and number two teams in
the NFL right now. Hard to argue that. And followed
by Detroit, Buffalo, Green Bay. You know, it's all on FC.
The only AFC team in the top five is Buffalo. Like,
Houston's near there, Kansas City's near there, Baltimore's near there.
But the rest it's all NFC. Man, you're talking Philly,
Green Bay, Detroit, Seattle, San Francisco, all NFC teams top
power rated right now.
Speaker 1: Titans shout out Titans, Greek Any thought on Pats plus
three Ravens. This is the most curious line of the
week for me personally. I am gonna go I'll go
over why I like the Pats plus three in my
pick five. I don't understand the line, and I'm here
to be a big loser here.
Speaker 4: Now Here's here's the thing. It's all comes down to.
You got to remember when it comes to the NFL,
just like with college football and Marquee, the sportsbooks aren't
really worried that much about what the narrative is. Their
goal is to put out the number based on their
power rating, And right now what we're looking at is
Baltimore ahead of New England, even though the records wouldn't
reflect that. In the reason is this, like the numbers
don't lie. New England has arguably the easiest schedule in
the NFL, number thirty two, okay, and yet when you
look at them offensively in defense, they're only fifteenth, like
they they're not twelfth, tenth, eighth in any of the
metrics that really matter to me offensively or defensively, like
they're right there mid range. With a thirty second strength
of schedule and an eleven and three record, you should
be top five, if not at least top ten in
some of those. And here's what I mean, Rams number
one in offensive efficiency, number six in defensive efficiency, with
the hardest strength of schedule, and all of the NFL,
that's what a power rated team looks like. Seattle number four, offense,
number six defense, fourteenth strength of schedule. And then you
look at team like Buffalo with a real easy strength
of schedule the twenty third, but look at their stats
their third offensively, like when you have an easy strength
of schedule, that's what you should get with New England.
We didn't. We're not getting that. That's why the Sharps
fading New England. But they're winning games. That's the disconnect.
But there's a lot of randomness to one score football games.
The plus side for New England is it's the NFL.
It's a short season. The long term usually doesn't get
here a lot. We don't have a big sample size,
so they could continue to win football games even though
you know they may be underperforming against the betting market,
because that's the bottom line. Like New Eng's on the
eleven and three team and they're barely what a game
above five hundred ats because of that, Like they're not
winning with margin obviously here they don't have to do that.
They just have to not lose by more than a
field goal, and they're going to be motivated. They're coming
off a loss against Buffalo. Only thing on deck is
the Jets. Yes it's a divisional game, but it's still
the Jets, followed by Miami, so this is their big game.
Even though Baltimore is only seven to seven, there's still
this is a big game for them. So yet they're
gonna get their full attention. And then you have the Ravens.
They're coming off a nice win at Cincinnati, shut Cincinnati out.
But yeah, listen, it's gonna stay on three. I don't
think this line's gonna move off of three right now.
The early risk seems to be a little more on
the New England side because they're the eleven and three
sidne But I think that'll start the balance out and
you'll get you know, good two way action. Yeah, I don't.
You know, listen, if you like New England, it's hard
to argue. Again, they're on eleven and three team catching points,
and Buffalo's putting themselves in must win situations more or
less every week, and that's not a good position to
be in. If you're in a must win, you must
not be all that good. That's the question mark. But
on paper, Baltimore is legit, and as long as they
have their QB healthy, you know, this is a top
ten team power rating wise for sure, even at seven
and seven, like they'd be favored on a neutral over Denver,
which is twelve and two, just power rating wise. Again,
not saying that's what the books would do, because the
book's job is to manage risk, not to predict outcomes.
Speaker 5: But if they had a.
Speaker 4: Neutral field in Denver, was the favorite, which they would
make them the favorite because that's what the public would expect.
The Sharps would come in and take the dog because
their numbers would reflect Baltimore is the value signed because
on paper, again top ten offense, top ten defense, respectable,
strength of schedule, not to tell you know, it's again
not respectable, it's not even mid range. But their stats
are legit considering, you know, the quarterback situation they've dealt
with this year. Sonday night interesting, Sunday night.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I want to get to this, Jake, Paul, Anthony,
Joshua five. Yeah, the books are at a precarious situation.
We'll talk about that. But before we let you go,
before we get to that bowls, what are we seeing
action on bowls? Because we got a huge weekend of
bowl games.
Speaker 4: Oh yeah, yeah, I'll just go into the yesterday's steam
sheet because again today didn't have it, not enough information
out there to share. Here's some of the stuff that
is in there for the upcoming bowl games. Oh, this
one's today. Memphis plus six plus five and a half.
That numbers gone. Obviously we're on the Memphis side. My
subscribers are down at plus six I believe for four percent.
Miami plus four and a half. I heard you're going
to be talking about that with Marco against Texas A
and m Miami got shot money as well. Central Michigan
plus twelve and a half, New Mexico plus three and
a half and three. Again, keep in mind, as the
guys that get the steam sheet have seen I have
come in and put the opposite side days later. That's
why I leave the place still in there, because this
lets you see the manipulation happening in real time. We
saw that with Arkansas State yes today, where we had
Missouri State up there earlier in the week and then
I came in noted like we're three four five xing
it on the Arkansas State side. So keep your eye
out for that. If you got a steamsheet earlier in
the week, Oklahoma plus two plus one and a half,
that's today. Also, we talked about that a lot. That
was the first playoff game that got hit against Alabama.
Hawaii plus three plus two and a half against cal
I kind of disagree now that to pick them Clemson
Clemson minus three and pit plus four and a half.
So there's a ton of college football action for you
over the next ten days or so.
Speaker 1: All right, let's let's talk to s Anthony, Joshua Jake
Paul fight.
Speaker 4: Uh.
Speaker 1: All the recreational betters are on Jake.
Speaker 4: Paul, their own Paul. They're on Paul. They're on Paul.
And I'll tell you right now, my main guy, East
Coast dude bets a lot of money. That's why he
reached out to me right now and asked me if
I could find him. Joshua be a ko tko d.
He's willing to lay up to minus three eighty seventy
six thousand to win. Twenty thousand is what he's willing
to lay. So he wants me to try to get
him down seventy six dimes between now and that fight.
That Joshua does it inside the distance. It's the guy
that had like six figures on Mayweather against McGregor. That's
the kind of guys that are going to come in
on the Joshua side. Everyone else is going to be
on the Poll side. And so Polka go out there
and win this fight. Like again, it's boxing, it's a fight.
Anything could happen. When you're talking about power, big men
landing flush anything can happen, but value wise, the sharp
better see that you're talking about two different class of
athlete when it comes to boxers. One took up the sport,
the other one is the sport like that has been
his thing his whole life. This is who he is,
and we're gonna find out what happens with Jake Paul
when he steps up into that class Like this could
be a big fight for Jake Paul. If he lasts
like he doesn't have to win this fight to get credibility,
he just can't. Let if Francis and Ganu moment happen,
that's why this total is so low. Where you know,
he goes in there and looks like he has no
business being across the ring from a real boxer. That
can't happen. If that happens, all the legacy, all this
nonsense we've witnessed for the last two or three years
is all laughed at. But if he goes in there
and he fights and puts up a fight considering the
experience differences, then I think he gets his just respect
that he's looking for, and I think that's why he's
taking this fight. Besides the money, he already has money
but it's the this chance for him to actually get
his name recognized without any you know, negativity from the
combat sports that he's always going to get. Like you
go in there and you put up the night, bro,
it's over. No one's gonna talk shit about he's the YouTuber,
the Mickey Mouse, you know that kind of nonsense. It's
like this guy, he's a fighter, he's a fighter, but
that's not gonna happen.
Speaker 6: Dude.
Speaker 3: Joshua was just too skilled.
Speaker 4: Like if he was going in there with a puncher,
I'd say yeah, but he's going in there with a
boxer that's just gonna outclass. That's the difference. Going there
with a with a puncher, like I'd say, you got
a shot, just don't get hit flush early. But against
a boxer, I think he's just gonna be too He's
gonna be able to hit to land anything big on
on Joshua. That's the problem.
Speaker 1: These fights could be really, really hard because you know
there are two minute rounds. It's yeah, I don't want
to say it's a gimmick, but it's it's a gimmick fight.
Speaker 4: I can you tell your subscribers to lay a thousand
to win a Hunter on Joshua, I can't, and I like, exactly,
exactly exactly.
Speaker 2: Guys we have I mean, this is multiple people that
have asked chat, including David to Tokarski, who's he's one
of our guys who won three three day flex past.
People are gonna have a chance to do that coming
up here and sell me. But a lot of folks
here in the chat are just talking about over rounds,
over rounds, So that's kind of tying into what you're
talking about, Yanni, right there is can j Paul hold
his own and have this not be not be finished?
Speaker 3: Any thoughts for either of you guys?
Speaker 2: I guess we'll start with you, Yanni on on the
over here for two and a half rounds. It seems
like everybody's tying that in what this person's betting over
two and a half and then Josh you would have
get to win.
Speaker 3: What do we think about any round betting?
Speaker 4: I don't like it. It's fishy to me. That's the problem.
If you look at the recency of Jake Paul, even
with like Mike Tyson, like those weren't in quick fights.
That's the problem I have. And this total though you're
seeing a lot of money on the over was two
and a half at bet online. Now it's three and
a half with the overjuice. Now I mean now the
juice in the under a little bit, but they moved
it from two and a half to three and a half,
so there's a lot of over money. It just looks
too easy to me, that's the problem you have, like
the two minute rounds. Anything that looks like that easy,
I just stay away and knowing that someone that I
really respect likes Joshua to do it inside the distance
finishes here's the difference. That's the problem. In mma, I
would say, no, you go strictly under because finishes happen
early with every passing round. The probability of a finish
cut gets cut in half. But in boxing it's kind
of different because of the gloves, because of the two
minute rounds, they systematically break their opponent down. You don't
really get that one shot knockout as much. That's where
I'm struggling with that. So if you guys like the over,
bet it, bet it. I'm not on the under. I'm
telling you that, but it's just a little fishy to me.
I would think over would be minus two hundred you
know what I mean, Like, hmmm, it's just juice enough
for my for my liking at two and a half. Yeah,
because he's saying he's got last five minutes. That's it, right,
five minutes. Just don't get enough for five minutes.
Speaker 1: Can I throw a conspiracy theory here at you withdraw no?
No Draft Kings. DraftKings has a boost on Anthony Joshua
to win in rounds one or two and Yanny, those
are the kiss of death when you see it Draft
Kings on the front on the front page of Draft
Kings where they're like bet.
Speaker 6: Yeah block so over money, over it is asked in
the chart, over it is, and Dave Mason moved it
from two and a half to three and a half.
Speaker 4: So over it is, bro And maybe that is what's
going to happen Mayweather, Like Mayweather played with McGregor for
a little bit.
Speaker 1: That's I can see that completely being the script he has.
Speaker 3: Yeah, if you want to put the tinfoil hat on
even more. You know, Yanni said it.
Speaker 2: Everybody knows it, Like, like, what's Jake Paul trying to
get out of this fight? It's trying to be taking
a little bit more legitimate than oh, you're fighting jobbers.
Speaker 3: You know, it's everybody just to get a purse. So
how does he do that?
Speaker 2: He hangs around for a couple of rounds or it
goes decision even better. So if we're tinfoil hatting this thing,
you know that is.
Speaker 4: My tenth twelve fifteen professional fight. I went toe to
toe with an Olympic gold medalist, former world champion of
the world. I'm legit. So yeah, I think if you're
if you, if you, if you like the pull side,
you gotta sprinkle a little something with the over that.
I think it's cold. I think it's cool.
Speaker 3: Said, we did a good amount on this fight.
Speaker 2: But if you want to really deep dive from one
of the best boxing handicappers out here, Kevin Dolan, Yes,
the Yeah, there's a video on the channel right now
where you can get a full breakdown from a guy
who handed caps boxing low level fights, top level fights.
If you want a great boxing breakdowns on the channel
right now, check out Kevin Dolan's breakdown on this week
out there.
Speaker 1: Andy, Yannie, what do you have up for clients on
this Friday?
Speaker 4: I got the package for today's has three college football
plays in it. Two four percent and at three percent
the Memphis game and tonight's Oklahoma Alabama game is in there.
I have Saturday College Football BOWLD package up Sunday, NFL
going for the third thrate five percent winner there. Number
one in NFL profit regular season, number one in college
football profit overall. So we're gonna close strong. Twenty twenty
five and twenty twenty six is going to be unbelievable. Uh,
jump on board for the next couple weeks, We're gonna
have a lot of fun. And don't forget. I'll have
my NFL package for tomorrow to just confirm Saturday games.
So good couple of days to do some damage. Best
of luck to all, stay safe, get your holiday shopping
out of the way, and do some damage.
Speaker 1: Thank you so much, Johnny. Have a great weekend. We'll
catch up on Monday. It's a really really good segment
from Yanni. Speak of boxing, we do have Dan. We
have our boxing pack that is up. About six weeks ago.
We decided to Yeah, we decided to put start putting
in our boxing plays. We're four and one. We're pretty
low volume, but we have two plays. Tonight we do
have a play on that Joshua Paul fight, and we've
got the strongest play is on one of the prelimbs,
and that's that's where we can do all the damages
these fights that people really aren't talking about. That's where
the best lines are. So excuse me. Yeah, we have
a boxing pack up and five percent NFL play just
went up. Nice cash last night we had plus money
on Matt Stafford go over one and a half touchdown passes.
I don't want to say easy cash, but Dan, we
talked about it. People were overblowing this, overblowing the wind.
Speaker 3: Ada, how is he gonna score a touchdown? It's windy? Andy?
Speaker 4: Uh?
Speaker 3: There was about Actually they just scored another time, right right.
Speaker 1: So yeah, any anytime we get overreactions from the weather,
we're gonna take advantage of that. So five percent NFL
play went up. Boxing pack is up, so very very
excited about tonight and this weekend. All right, let's bring
in Teddy covers. Oh, you gotta talk some Alabama Oklahoma.
We gotta talk some packers and bears. We gotta do
sell me. But Teddy real quick. I always bounce some
NBA off you. And you did what you did. You
did what experts do you faded the Knicks coming off
of the NBA Cup against my Pacers, and it was
it was perfect. You cashed a bet my Pacers lost,
were improving our draft position. But I do want to
get your take on the Knicks and the Spurs the
NBA Cup teams. I can't put the Spurs as legit
title contenders. The West is just too strong for me.
But I think this Knicks team has a has a
real chance. What's your take moving forward on these two
teams coming out of the NBA Cup.
Speaker 7: So a seven game series, I don't think either one
of the two teams will beat Oklahoma City should not
a healthy Oklahoma City. That being said, in the Western Conference,
I think san Antonio is the team that can give
the Thunder the biggest battle because that in the NBA
caught my clients. And I can't ticket with the Spurs
as double digit dogs to Oka.
Speaker 4: See.
Speaker 7: They're deep, they have veteran talent, and they're really good.
Don't underestimate san Antonio. And in a Western conference that
has Houston or as Denver obviously, as other you know,
and as the Lakers as other legit contenders, san Antonio
is in that group as a team that could come
out of the West and could beat okac. As for
the East, I mean, there's no one good in the East.
Leaves the Knicks very live and the Knicks depth. You know,
why did TIBs get fired? You know why did Tom
Thibodau get fired? Because you wouldn't develop the Knicks bench
this year. The rotation's going eleven twelve deep on a
night in, night out basis, they're deep. That makes a
better regular season team and that could pay real dividends
in the hosts as well.
Speaker 1: I was, I was, I had there's a scenario where
the Knicks are just the healthiest team going into the finals,
and what if the Western Conference champ just goes through
this rock fight of a series and seven games. I mean,
you could have two brutal series in a row for
whoever comes out of the West. I expected to be
the thunder, but I was just kind of going over that, Like,
what if the Knicks are oddly the healthiest team going
into the finals, if they waltzed through the East.
Speaker 7: Well, when we look at the other Eastern Conference contenders,
there's nobody right now. I mean, we'll see what Orlando
looks like in May. You know, we'll see what you
know Boston looks like or Detroit. I mean Detroit from
a powerty standpoint, is the only Eastern Conference team I
have near the Knicks right now. That said, in the postseason,
I don't look at the Pistons the team ready to
go to the finals yet or whereas the Knicks. I've
been dancing around it, and you know they're the favorites
come out of the East for a good reason.
Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, Mico ogically is.
Speaker 8: Struggling in every way. I mean the Cavs right now,
we're awful.
Speaker 1: I was gonna say rip to my over wins total
on the Cleveland Cavaliers. I mean, who knows what's going
on with them? All right, let's talk some football. We're
going to college football playoff. We got Alabama Oklahoma. Interesting game.
I don't know, do any of these teams put a
lot of confidence in.
Speaker 3: You to bet on?
Speaker 1: How do we break down this game? I think the
books are kind of telling us a story with the
line here over unders at forty one, pretty low total.
How do you break down Alabama and Oklahoma?
Speaker 7: So one of the benefits of watching Wader Talk today
each and every day is you get free client plays.
You're gonna get a free client play for me in
the NFL. We're gonna get a free client play for
me in college football. And that would be on this
game my clients and I well, let's save it. Make
you guys watch my analysis. But this is a big
deal in Norman. You think you know they canceled all
classes on Friday, including final exams.
Speaker 8: All right, The whole day is football and pageantry.
Speaker 7: That being said, the ticket prices have been plummeting, which
is a fef of a concern. And we talked about
that home field edge. I mean, Oklahoma lost a old
miss on this field this year. They had two home
losses last year. Obviously in the playoffs, we saw all
four home teams winning by double digits and covering the
points spread a year ago at this time. But I'm
not convinced that that is something. I'm not afraid to
take a road team, even though the home team's obviously
dominated last year in this spot. If we see two
years of that, maybe we'll talk about it. But I'm
not afraid to take a road team in this matchup. Now,
we do have a regular season rematch. Oklahoma went into
Tuscaloose and beat Alabama twenty three to twenty one. Now,
when you talk about what actually happened in that game,
let's see, Oh, you started the game with a pick
six by Eli Bowen. Then Bama fumbled a punt return
I set up a short field for Oklahoma to get
a score. Then Bama had a field goal blocked on
the last play of the first half, a real deflator
right before halftime. They still put together three long touchdown
drives versus this you know, storied soooters defense, they took
the lead, but oops, they fumbled the football set up
a Sooners field goal. After another short drive, Bama got
sacked on their final drives set up a third and
twenty one end up losing by two. That said yardage
Bama four sixteen to two twelve, they outcate him almost
two to one. First downs twenty three to twelve Alabama
they out first down them almost two to one. Turnovers
Bama three, Oklahoma zero. If that happens again, Bama's not
gonna win. Bama's not gonna cover. I'm not convinced, however,
that's not That'll happen again and again. Bama, with the
minus three turnovers still almost won the game. Now, Alabama
did not look good on offense down the stretch. The
Auburn game wasn't pretty. Georgia in the SEC title game
was even worse. But hy Simpson was really banged up.
And from all reports, they're saying that Simpson is close
to or at one hundred percent. Right now, Bama had
as a team, looks pretty healthy for this playoff run.
Oklahoma's defense was so down the stretch they were unable
to win their last They were able to win their
last two games and even cover a points bread despite
the offense only scoring seventeen points both times. John Mattier
wasn't healthy either down the stretch. I'm not convinced he's
healthy now. I'm not convinced he's the better of these
two quarterbacks. And even though Oklahoma's defense has put up
some pretty impressive numbers, I'm really not convinced that's the
better of these two defenses either. Client play Bama plus
the points. I'm interested in Crimson Tide.
Speaker 1: Oh all right, all right, I like it.
Speaker 5: I like it.
Speaker 1: Yeah, these quarterbacks is I was listening to podcasts and
he was like, something's up with Alabama. I don't know
what's going on. With Alabama, what's going on with the coaching.
But I think that's when you have that narrative. Yeah,
it's time to ride with Alabama.
Speaker 7: Let me jump in on the coaching for Alabama with
a Kaitlyn Debor's name being thrown out for this job
and throwing that for that job, the Michigan job.
Speaker 8: Oh, none of that came from Alabama.
Speaker 7: That's all reporters who need to have a story in
an hour and okay, Google, you know, hey, oh kaln
de Bor. None of that, in my mind is real.
That's all chirping and noise. It's not Calin de Boor
was says one foot out the door. You got you
have the freakin Alabama job. What job's better than that?
Speaker 2: Hard to disagree, hard to disagree there, Yeah, that's it's
It's what you gotta do at this time of year.
It's it's all stories. It's all getting people to click
and continue to read. That's the nature of the Beast Teddy.
We got to sell me coming up, but we can't
bury the lead in the fact that you mentioned we
have another client play that we're going to be getting
for free on the show. Well done by Chris Allen
the schedule maker deciding he was gonna get Teddy to
give away two free plays. Here, you have some thoughts
here in the green Bay Packers in Chicago Bears game.
Speaker 3: This is one that.
Speaker 2: I've kind of found found hard to figure out. This
is interesting spot where they played. Now it's gonna be
the twice in these three week stretch for both of
these teams. Here what do we think in Packers and Bears?
This game a Saturday action Teddy, So this is really
a fascinating game.
Speaker 7: And of course looking at the os Logic Live odd
screen right now, I'm seeing Chicago minus one and a half.
Speaker 8: There are Chicago minus two's out there. Total forty six
and a.
Speaker 7: Half for the Bears and the Packers in this short
turnaround rematch.
Speaker 8: Between these two teams.
Speaker 7: And the injury report for green Bay after the blown
ly loss at Denver last week, at first glance was
pretty ugly. Obviously you lose Michael Parsons. That matters, you know,
Michael Parson's an impact player. Christian Watson got hurt in
that ball game. He's got to take the top off
the defense look bad. Now it doesn't look quite as bad.
So don't know yet if he's going to play for
the Packers in this ball game. But from an injury standpoint,
they lost two stars in that ball game, and Blue
a big lead, and a lot of.
Speaker 8: It was red zone, you know. Dever went four to
four in the red zone. Green Bay went one to
four in the red zone.
Speaker 7: You know, And obviously this game likely to determine who's
going to win this division. If the Packers win, they're
in position to, you know, having swept the series and
now moving a half game ahead of the Bears.
Speaker 8: It's the Packers' vision to lose.
Speaker 7: Likewise, if Chicago wins, green Bay no longer has the
tie breaker edge and they've got a game and a
half lead in the division. So there's certainly urgency for
the Packers. Matt Lafleur after the loss last week, I
told the guys, no one's gonna feel sorry for us.
Everyone's gonna have to elevate their play. Chicago coming off
a nice win over Cleveland in which they weren't really tested,
you know, they're brown helled the nine first downs, but
make no mistake about it, the Bears defense is changing
the game week in week out. They have three more
takeaways last week. League leading thirty takeaways for the Chicago
Bears defense. That and Kayleb Williams improven is the story
of Chicago's season. That being said, initially the injury report
for green Bay looked ugly. Now that were twenty four
hours or you know, the kickoff is tomorrow.
Speaker 8: All of a sudden, it's the Bears in your report
that looks ugly.
Speaker 7: Right, Chicago is going to be without two of their
top wide receivers, all right, They're not gonna have Romeo Dunze.
They're not gonna have Luther Burton. And without that duo,
it's DJ Moore and what you know, Devin Duverney, you know,
George Johnny Walker. This is not a scenario where the
Bears are going to come in with anything resembling a
healthy receiving corps. So Ben Johnson certainly the type of coach.
Speaker 8: Who's gotten teams.
Speaker 7: You know, in Detroit, he got lots of production out
of let's call him the second tier receivers. But this
is not a scary group of wide receivers right now,
without Odonzay and Burton, I worry about the Bear's ability
to throw the football down the field in this ball game,
and It's also worth noting that for Green Bay, Parsons
goes on into reserve, but Cox Junior and Oliver are
two guys you know who in theory are going to
be able to take some of the pressure off the
defensive line. Both those guys reinforcements were full participants in
practice this week. Josh Jacobs may end up shooting up
and Watson may have shooting up for the more experienced
of these two teams, the team that's played very well
coming off a loss this season, and the Packers are
the way to go at the plus price and or
plus the points. No argument here with Green Bay. I've
got him in my pocket. I've advised my client to
make that same bet.
Speaker 3: Taddy.
Speaker 2: We got Ethan saying he thinks they're going to lose
on Saturday. Is Chicago? Are they in jeopardy of missing
out on the play off? If that's the thought for
even this, sounds like maybe he's a Chicago fan who's
a little bit jilted right now, is what that reads
to me.
Speaker 8: Teddy, So somebody good is gonna miss the miss the player.
Speaker 2: Yeah, in the NFC, because the NFC is just so
top heavy.
Speaker 7: You look right now, Detroit is the team that's on
the outside looking in from this Packers Bears, Lions trio.
Will that be the case three weeks from now? I
think the Lions are still very live to make the postseason,
So that leaves room for one of these teams, Bears
or Packers to have a bit of a late season meltdown.
Speaker 2: All right, guys, sell me time. I'm tired of talking
about all these good football teams. Let's talk about some disgustingness.
Speaker 3: You know, I was doing it.
Speaker 2: I know Marco's probably back there throwing some tombs and
some ant acid in he's saying, Dan, there's all these
great NFL games, all these great call and we're talking
Jets and Saints. I'm sorry, Marco. I hope you have
that air freshener red. That's what we're doing here, guys.
I mean, here's the funny thing, too, is if you're saying, oh,
this game, you know it's a joke. Why there's all
these great games on the board. Well, fifteen out of
the thirty two NFL teams this year, guys have losing records.
Speaker 3: So if you only want good teams, the pickings are
a little bit slim here. But you thought for me.
Speaker 2: As I preface this one, Guys, this line has just
gotten a little bit out of control. So Teddy, you're
gonna be letting us know the New York Jets, who
are now six and a half in some spots, six
and a half point underdogs in some spots on the road.
This just seems like a little bit too much. But
Andy Tyler Shaw and the New Orleans Saints are they
rolling because they're six and a half point favorites.
Speaker 3: Now, Teddy, you got the dog.
Speaker 2: But first, Andy, this favorite that was around a two
and a half three point favorite, that's now six and
a half point favorite.
Speaker 3: You gotta sell me on that side. New Orleans Saints, Andy.
Speaker 1: Okay, New Orleans Saints. Yeah, listen, they're rolling. They've won
two in a row against the two best teams in
their division, the Buccaneers and the Panthers. Nothing to shuck
your head at there, Dan, and sorry, it was really bad.
This is a New York Jets team. Their defense has
single handedly changed fantasy football leagues and champions. This team
gave up a record number of points to Trevor Lawrence
and Travis Etn. Before that, they gave up thirty four
points to the Dolphins. This defense has completely mailed it in.
I have a Jets fan in my life who actually
said with a straight face that he thought Brady Cooked
looked pretty decent last week. I said, when did he
look good on his first, his second, or his third interception?
The man didn't get to two hundred yards passing. Their
leading rusher was Isaiah Davis with nine carries, Bresee Hall
averaged one point nine yards per carry. I think the
Saints have found their quarterback. This is weird to say,
but I think they have a little bit of momentum.
Tyler Schuck I think has this job. And I don't
think they're going to be drafting a quarterback. This is
a team that's playing a little loose, and this is
the Jets team that is just a perennial disaster. Who
knows what they're gonna do at the quarterback, But all
I know is this is a defense that has given
up eighty two points the last two weeks. When you
give up eighty two points and you only score thirty
six and a half set, it's a little drop in
the bucket a touchdown. Yeah, this is no problem for
the Saints, all.
Speaker 3: Right, Teddy New York Jets.
Speaker 2: Well, the Jets rush defense specifically is historically bad. However,
no Alvin Kamara likely, no Devin Neil as he's on
the irs. He got Evan Hole and Odric Estimee. Could
that be the factor that keeps the That's a live
taddy sell me on this New York Jets side.
Speaker 3: I'm sorry, buddy.
Speaker 8: Did Lang just say, oh, no problem for the Saints
to cover? Saints cover a touchdown?
Speaker 3: No problem, no problem.
Speaker 7: So every handicap for me. This is the way I start.
You start with the favorite, all right? Can the favorite?
Do the favorite merit this.
Speaker 8: Point spread range? All right?
Speaker 7: This is a Saints team with a rookie quarterback, coming
off back to back December Division wins, as underdog, as
fat and happy as they get. All right, They've won
what four games this season? This isn't a let's lay
points with them kind of team. This isn't a oh
when we lay point to them. I'm super confident the
Saints are gonna win games by margin kind of team. Yes,
the Jets are rough, but the Jets are not the
team that has to win this game by margin. The
Saints are the team that has to win this game
by margin, and they were very I had I cash
stick with them last week.
Speaker 8: All right, we're running good in the NFL. I didn't
consider New Orleans.
Speaker 7: You know, you like to ride these teams, and I'm like,
I can't lay it at four. I'm like maybe as
soon as I got the four and a half, I'm like,
I can't lay it at six, six and a half.
Speaker 8: Seven, not a chance. Jets are live.
Speaker 2: It's gotten a little bit out of control, says Teddy Covers,
as he had to try and sell you on the
New York Jets side. We're gonna grade it at six, guys.
Since there's some sixes, there's six and a half. We'll
grade this one at six. We call it that. And
comment below and let us know. Comment below Teddy and
your wager talk user name, or comment below Andy and
your wager talk user name. Have that be the side
that you think is going to cover. Your guy wins,
your guy covers wind, doesn't matter nine to ninety nine.
If that's your we love that one. But comment below,
and then you have a chance here to win a
three three day flex pass that you can use here
at wager talk dot com. But to be entered, you
gotta let us know who's covering, who you're riding with,
and your wager Talk user name. No entries without a
wager talk user name, count Teddy. People with a wager
talk username, they can head on over to WT dot
buzz slash TC to see what Teddy has cooking and
what are they gonna find over there?
Speaker 8: Brother, So we're running good right now. It's been a
great couple of weeks.
Speaker 7: Sixty all sports run three and oh sweep last night
NFL seven to one with the last eight, And admittedly
I have no fricking I watched the game and I
still don't know how I cashed with Seattle last night.
Speaker 8: Well, I can't punk return was how we catched and.
Speaker 7: A missed field goal and multiple two point conversions being good.
But I don't mind running lucky, running good in an NFL,
running good at the NBA, running good across sports. Get
on board right now at my homepage wt dot buzzbacks
last TC, we got Weekend Warrior Football passes, we got
Weekend three day the Hoops passes, we got the ten
days for nine bucks a day.
Speaker 8: I mean good deals right now.
Speaker 7: Let's get on board, uh and check out the homepage
wt dot buzz Back to last TSAR is the website
wagertalk dot com.
Speaker 2: You love to see it big Thanks Teddy covers w
T dot buzz slash tc is where you can find him.
Speaker 3: And again, guys comment after the video goes live.
Speaker 2: Andy and your wage you talk using name are Teddy
and your wage of talk user name your side covers
You're entered to win their big All right, I'm gonna
break in Marco D'Angel and then I'm gonna hide because
I know he's like, what the hell are we doing?
Sane say, like like at least at least Marco with
the sell me segment. You never have to be worried about,
you know, the opening act being worse than what is
to follow, because I always headed in with a stinker
for you, brother, How you doing?
Speaker 3: Marco doing good?
Speaker 5: You know in uh you know, thanks to Chris. I mean,
he gave me the Steelers in Detroit a good game
to break down, saved me having to talk about Green
Bay in Chicago because we know how that's worked out
when we talked to Chicago games on bed on it Dan, So,
uh that from Chris, But yeah, that was you know,
that was an interesting breakdown of those two teams. We
got to do this time of the season, and this
is the fun time of the season when you get
to those final few games where teams, you know, you're
trying to break down analysis, do they want to win,
do they want to not win to protect their draft
you know, status where they're at, and then throwing weather
conditions on the East Coast game. It's a fun time
to be looking at trash games. So thanks for including me.
Speaker 2: And that I mean, you know about the condemned Deli
better than anybody, so you know stinky games just just
as good as anyone at a little cheese sandwich there.
Speaker 3: All right, Marco, you alluded to it there. So let's
start with this NFL game and.
Speaker 2: Then we'll talk college football, and then of course we
got wing Sauce of the Week. We got so much
more to come, and we're already forty two minutes in,
So why don't you lead us off here with these Steelers,
your Steelers taking on the Detroit It up seven.
Speaker 3: Marco.
Speaker 5: Yeah, they've won two games in a row and everybody's
starting to sip the kool aid again after the fire
Tomlin Chance three weeks ago. But guys, I'm gonna put
the stop sign out, the warning sign. This is a bad,
bad matchup for Pittsburgh for several reasons. One, they're coming
off a short week. They played on Monday Night Football,
kept Tomlin's record alive on Monday Night football. This team
never loses at home on Monday Night Football. But they're
traveling to Detroit this week. Okay, they're not playing a gutless,
heartless warm weather team playing in the cold, all right,
They're gonna be playing indoors against an offense on a
fast track. Just a bad scheduling spot for them in
that situation. Also throw in the fact that you've got
Detroit in a must win situation. And I know we
justly do not like to take teams in must win
situations because is you know, we always say, if you're
in a must win situation, you must not have got
the job done somewhere earlier in the season that you're
still in a must win. But this is a Detroit
team that's a good team. They've played a tough schedule,
They've played a lot of good teams, and it's just
the spot where they're just on the outside looking in.
But for Pittsburgh, winning on Monday Night. What people don't
realize is mentally this guarantees Pittsburgh that, no matter what
happens in the next two weeks, at worst, when they
play Baltimore on the final game of the season, that
would be for the division. So even if Pittsburgh loses
this week and loses next week, they still can win
the division on the final Sunday of the season. That
is very important because if you look at the two
games that they have before they play baldon more, they
played Detroit this week on the road on a short week,
and they played Cleveland following week. If they're going to
try to win a game before the Baltimore game and
shut Baltimore out, it's not this one. To me. This
is almost a throwaway game for Pittsburgh. And before you
get excited about that defense that's looked good the last
two weeks, I alluded to Miami was the most lifeless
team I ever seen play a football game on Monday night.
They didn't want to be there. They had no drive,
no fight, nothing, So throw that completely out and you
go two back to the Baltimore game. I'm a Steeler fan.
They should have lost that game. Baltimore dominated the game,
they had over one hundred yards more, they had a
touchdown taking off the board that I still say, even
being a Pittsburgh fan, was a Baltimore touchdown. They're gonna
get ripped by this Detroit offense. Go ahead and lay
the points with Detroit. Look at Detroit if you want
to look at a team total as well. I think
this is going going to be Katie bar the Door
game for the Lions. They're just gonna go from pillar
to post. And if you look at the streak the
Detroit's on last ten weeks, win, lose, win, lose, win,
lose the whole way. Guess what they're coming off a loss.
You know what that means this week? Lay it with
the Lions.
Speaker 1: Marco, you said something that crack me up. You said,
before you get excited about the Steelers defense, Dan, raise
your hand if you were excited about the Steelers defense,
A hand's not going on.
Speaker 2: Yeah, hide for them, man, Jacky and hide.
Speaker 1: All right, Marco, let's talk college football, Miami, Texas, A
and M. I'm interested in your take because I think
this Miami team actually has some bite to them. Just
throwing out there seven to one six to have the
one to make it to the final four. I'm just
throwing that out there. Texas A and m minus three
over under forty eight. What do you make of this game?
Speaker 5: Well, you start off, you know, we look at the
two quarterbacks in this game, and if you look at
their stats for this year, it's like looking at right
into a mirror. There are mirror imagies of each other.
They both had twenty five tds and ten interceptions. But
what I'm gonna look at is going into this game
and being in a playoff game. I've got to give
Carson Beck for Miami the nod over Marcel Reid just
because Carson Beck when the Titans that he was at Georgia,
he had more of the big game experience. So that's
gonna be a huge edge I feel for Miami in
this game. Another edge is I like the defense of Miami.
And I know the ACC got ripped this year. Okay,
everybody said how soft it was in the fiasco that
you ended up with Virginia and a duke in the
ACC championship game, But defensively, only one team all year
scored more than twenty four points on Miami. That team
was SMU and it took overtime to get over twenty
four points. It was twenty twenty at the end of regulation,
and SMU ended up winning twenty six to twenty. Texas
A and M. Defensively, they're not as good as Miami.
Miami held eight of its twelve opponents to under one
hundred yards rushing. I think that's key because if A
and M, if they can slow down the A and
M running game and make them have to pass the
football more. Again, that's where the experience is going to
come in with the difference in the quarterbacks. In Texas
A and M. Over the last six games, they allowed
two hundred yards on the ground. Two hundred or more
yards on the ground in three of the six Arkansas, Missouri,
and Texas all dominated them on the ground. And really
we should say last five games because one of those
games A and M had a little sister of the
poor team that they scheduled at the end of the
season for like a in season bye week. I just
think Miami had to listen to the last two weeks
the chatter that Diday belong, did notre Dame belong. You
know which one of them belonged?
Speaker 2: You know what?
Speaker 5: The ACC has only themselves to blame because everybody says, well,
Miami didn't even make their conference championship game, it's because
the ACC are idiots, all right, You had five teams
tied for second place in your idiotic tiebreaker system, put
in a seven to five Duke team over a ten
to two nationally ranked Miami team. How they were not
in the ACC championship game is beyond me. And if
they were in the ACC championship game and would have
won the ACC Championship game, they would be at home
in a big favorite in their first round game. How
good Miami is. I'm gonna go ahead and take Miami
plus the points here. Give me the better defense, give
me the more experienced big game quarterback, and you're gonna
give me three three and a half points. Sign me up, guys,
Miami plus the points.
Speaker 1: I love it, love it, Yes, yes, yes, the little
sisters of the poor team Marko. That was Samford, I
believe it was. I'm looking at I'm looking at Samford's record.
This is a team that got beat forty to thirteen
by the Citadel. This is a team that got boat
raced off the field by West Georgia. Not the Georgia
West Georgia. So very very well done by you. I'm
with you. Let's go Miami in a little of course,
sprinkle the money line there all right, Wing Sauce of
the week before you do Wing Sauce of the Week, televerone.
What you have up at wage you talk?
Speaker 5: Well, guys, We did it last week. We were running
a promotion over on our bed on It show and
a big response to both VR and myself, so we're
coming back with it this week. We've extended the offer
you guys that watch these shows. We appreciate you watching
all the shows we do wager Talk TV. You can
get a special It's not on the website. If you
go try to find it. It's hidden, but we'll give
you the secret link to get it. Go wt dot
buzz Backslash Marco three sixty five. You can pick up
instead of three hundred and sixty five day package of
all of my plays for nineteen ninety nine, you can
get it for eleven eighty eight if you use go
to that link. Guys, we've been absolutely rolling. We've been
on a seven week roll this season with all sports
or like seventy seventy seven and fifty to be exact
plus seventy four hundred dollars or seventy four units, however
you want to keep score. It's been a tremendous year
for us. We're cashing in all sports. We did have
Seattle last night. That one was very interesting. We had
Seattle on the money line and uh, that's why I
have no hair, guys, these games like that. But it
was fun to watch. So head on over if you
want to join me. You like the way I handicap
games and break them down for you here. You'll get
a lot more of that with a full season subscription.
Speaker 1: All right, Marco, it's time to have some wings. I
had some wings last night. Actually, flavor. I just went
hot there's a place that does. I've talked about how
gross happy hour is here in Indiana, how the bars
and restaurants don't get it. There's a place that they
start their happy hour at nine thirty at night, but
they that's like. But I was coming home late and
I was like, oh, I can actually stop it and
get their wings. So I just got their hot wings.
Speaker 8: They're delicious.
Speaker 1: What wings sauce are we going with this week?
Speaker 5: All right, we're gonna do it. And this is in
honor of your man and the Philip Rivers.
Speaker 3: Come on, we have.
Speaker 5: Forty four years old. Okay, what he did last week
is just short of remarkable. You know, he didn't lose
the game. Okay, he didn't win it, but he didn't
lose it. He had them in position with the lead late.
I had no dog in the fight, you know, for
my clients. We did give out the under you know
on actually Believe it was on this show last week,
and I was rooting so hard for them to win
that game. I wanted to see them, you know, win it.
What he did in let's give him credit.
Speaker 8: Now.
Speaker 5: Everybody talked about he stopped the clock. You know, he
reset his Hall of Fame clock another five years, and
they said, was it really worth doing that? And he
said that never crossed his mind. But you know what
else he reset the clock got. You know, if you
got ten kids, health insurance is pretty expensive. He's reset
the clock now for another five years on health insurance
for the kids. That's pretty good. So that's a nice
little bonus too. But in honor of what he did
coming off the couch five years, and I know Joe
Flacco come off the couch a few years back, but
he was only out of football for that season, not
five years removed. I got to give him honor credit whatever.
He's an NC state quarterback. So let's go to the
state of Carolina. Let's go with the basic, simple, what
you can count for. And that was the game plan
last week. Pretty simple, but he ran it well and
it tasted good. How about some just sweet Carolina barbecue.
Speaker 1: Comparison, please, I'm so in my fridge right now, and
it sounds delicious. It looked like Phil Rivers has been
enjoying some.
Speaker 2: Of the Carolina I was like, jacket things.
Speaker 3: I couldn't tell which was which.
Speaker 1: No, that was that was all Phil that Rivers, you know.
Speaker 2: The one that was rough, guys, was when he fell
down on the play, had to get up and then
he fell down again. Like That's where I was like,
this is kind of elderly abuse, like like having to
see him get up without using his hands like it was.
Speaker 3: It was rough to watch.
Speaker 8: It was rough to watch.
Speaker 1: He could have mailed a letter faster than what I'm
saying that.
Speaker 2: I'm had a pinnacle of fitness andy, you know, and
I'm just also.
Speaker 1: I'm not quarterback of an NFL team that we don't
expect that.
Speaker 3: Could be if Philip Rivers can be at this point.
Speaker 1: I mean, all right, Marco, thank you so much. Thanks weekend.
We'll see you next week.
Speaker 5: All right, good luck guy.
Speaker 1: All right, dan Uh, we're going to go to w
t F lf G.
Speaker 8: Yeah.
Speaker 1: Yeah, we're gonna go all around the world and we're
gonna go to the U Pick five guys, please hit
the like button. It's football Friday. We've earned your light.
Come on, we've earned your life.
Speaker 5: Yeah.
Speaker 1: And if you haven't subscribed to the channel, go ahead,
do that now, just do it now, all right.
Speaker 2: Yeah, it doesn't take much. She got, you know, almost
two thousand people watching live, so folcus, if you haven't already,
hit that like button and make sure you are subscribed
to channel. All right, Andy, we started zero and two
on the WTF the LFG. This is where I give
Andy one bet. It can be any sport, it could
be a prop. Andy lets me know if he's tailing
or if he's fading, and you let us know in
the comments as well. Started owing to Andy five straight winners.
So we're five and two here in the segment, and
I'm gonna give a shout out to to one of
our guys here who hopped in the chat earlier this week,
because he's the one who put.
Speaker 3: Me onto this play.
Speaker 2: It was AWB who was asking about some NLL action.
This was one we were gonna give to Andy's clients.
We're gonna give it out here free in WTF or LFG.
I like this one enough that it should be a
client play. Where taking the Las Vegas Desert Dogs against
the Ottawa Black Bears.
Speaker 3: We're going over twenty two and a half.
Speaker 2: And I know you guys don't care about NL handicaps,
so that is what the play is. Look Unders hitting
at sixty seven percent, that means regression of the mean
is coming.
Speaker 3: I think it comes in this game.
Speaker 2: And Ottawa's two games played this year, Andy forty eight
total goals scored. They could hit the over by themselves.
I think Las Vegas can contribute enough to go over
twenty two and a half. This game goes Saturday night.
I don't even have to ask Andy. I know this
one's an LFG, Baby, This is an LFG.
Speaker 1: Bad goaltending and bad defense is hard to get better.
So it doesn't happen overnight. It takes. It takes a while,
so If they're bad, they're probably gonna be bad for
a few more weeks. So let's go LFG on the.
Speaker 3: Over over in twenty two and a half.
Speaker 2: And again you can find that under the National Lacrosse
League tab on.
Speaker 3: Basically every sports book.
Speaker 2: So there you go, Andy, and so I gave my play,
how about you give some plays all around the world?
Speaker 3: Time, buddy, what do we got?
Speaker 1: All right, we're gonna start, but yeah, this is all NFL.
We're gonna go to the Bears Packers. I'm gonna ta
Kyle Manonguy over eleven and a half rush attempts. DeAndre
Swift is banged up. He's dealing with a growing injury.
Even if Swift plays, he might be limited. And manong
Guy eleven plus carries in four straight. That's with Swift
in the lineup. This is a Bears team that has
fully embraced the running game. They are a running team
and manong Guy has been a big, big part of that.
So we just need Swift to take a little bit
of a back seat on a few plays and Manonguy
should get over this one. Chiefs Titans Rashi Rice under
five and a half receptions. They're putting this line Dan
like Patrick Mahomes is playing and he's not Gardner Minshew
is playing Gardner, Minshew's playing. Rashie Rice has had the
drops all season. He's in some big, big hits. There's
little to no motivation for this Chiefs team. I'm it's
unders galore on this Chiefs team. And then let's go
Cam Little over one and a half field goals. Jags
Broncos over in five out of seven games. But here's
the key. This Broncos defense is really good. They keep
people out of the end zone, which creates more field goals.
They give up two point three made field goals per game.
So you take field goal kickers to go over this
one and a half against the Broncos. So we're going
call Kyle Mnungai over his attempts where she riis under
his receptions. Cam Little over field goals, Yes and tight
says yeah, Cam Little got a boot Yeah he's got
a lenk. This was to hit the seventy yard er
in preseason so.
Speaker 3: And confirmed bootage. Yes.
Speaker 1: All right, let's do the pick five, two and three
for me last week, I believe so again I'm nowhere
close near the lead, but if but I'm like hitting
like fifty five percent, Like this is a good record.
Speaker 2: Horrific record, but nowhere near cashing, dude. That's that's the
thing with these these contests. You know, there's no possible
way that we can catch the leader either. This This
Potato Commission guy who was leading in the circum millions
contest just blown it away.
Speaker 3: That's the thing with this contest is you can.
Speaker 2: Have a great fifty five sixty percent year if you
don't catch a horseshoe up your ass and get lucky. Andy,
it's not happening as far as winning these eighteen weeks.
Speaker 1: It's not just one week, it's all eighteen weeks.
Speaker 2: Yeah, And obviously I'm not saying that the people who
win aren't good, but you know, there is there is
a handicapping and luck factor to it, especially when you're
when you're talking about these kind of contests. Picking five
NFL sides a week, dude is tough. You're hitting fifty
five percent, you take that as the win, you know
what I mean?
Speaker 1: Yes, all right, I'm going Dolphins plus the points for Bengals,
two bad teams. I actually think the Dolphins have a
little bit more motivation. We know, Joe Burrow doesn't have
any motivation. This poor guy looks like a shell of himself.
Two against bench. He got Quinn Ewers coming in, and
I kind of want to support this Dolphins team, who
they're gonna play till the final snap because they want
to see what they have in Ewers. So they're gonna
run the ball a lot. They're gonna let him throw.
Plus four too many points, and it's I believe that's
that's in Miami. So yep, the heat in December doesn't
bode well for some of these Northern teams. Chargers plus
two at Cowboys. Again, here's a Cowboys team that doesn't
have much motivation. Chargers do. So this offensive line for
the Chargers is in shambles. Speak of shambles justin Herbert's
non throwing hand isn't shambles. But plus two points at
a Cowboys team that isn't playing for much, I'll take that.
The Saints. I do love the Saints, and I get
I got four and a half on this one in
the contest, so I went over why I like the Saints.
The Jets team is horrendous. Dan, I've been fading the
Raiders and they can't put this line high enough. If
it ain't broke, bro fix fourteen, sign me up. This
team laws thirty one nothing, and now they get an
injured g They were like Gino Smith's been cleared, he's
gonna play. It's oh against the Texans. Have fun against
that defense. And then the Patriots plus three versus the Ravens.
I know the power ranking or power ratings, and I
know the Patriots schedule has been bad. Something's wrong with Lamar.
He's really injured. This is one of those things when
the season gets over and it's like Lamar undergoes surgery
to repair like three things. I don't necessarily believe in
the talk about Harball on the hot seat, but there
is talk about it. There's something off about this Ravens team.
So I don't know if the Patriots win, but I
certainly don't want to be laying points on the Ravens.
So those are my five.
Speaker 2: Yeah, and for me with that Ravens game, I'm kind
of looking at it more from the let the line
lead the way perspective.
Speaker 3: Andy, I like the play there.
Speaker 2: I wrote New New York Knicks on my one, so
I'll have to correct that one in the New Orleans game,
because I'm going with the New York Jets, but they
might as well be the New York Knicks. There's a
world Andy where the five and a half five point
win for New Orleans and we both win that one,
So why not will middle that one? I just I
don't think New Orleans should be a five and a
half point six point favorite to anyone, even the fact
with how well they're playing, it's just crazy to me.
And that Baltimore games, it's just a case where you know,
if New England is so good, if they are a
top team in the NFL, and Baltimore really is struggling
all that much. I get it that they're at home,
but there isn't this oh we give home teams three
points for being at home anymore like the power ratings
Yanny kind of alluded to it. Baltimore is a respected
team and it's something that I kind of agree with. Also,
Lamar Jackson, as far as the straight up number goes
month of December and onward twenty three and five straight up?
Speaker 3: So could Lamar.
Speaker 2: Jackson, who hasn't really been Lamar find something in a bottle.
That's the way that I'm looking at that one. Another
one where Atlanta should be road chalk versus no one
give me the three points with Arizona, And we talked
about with Marco, like what teams do at this time
of year. Wouldn't it be the most Arizona Cardinals thing
in the world to win this game outright? Yeah, so
that Atlanta leaps them in the in the draft pick category.
Speaker 3: It just feels too crazy to me.
Speaker 2: Also against the NFC South, this is a team that
Arizona and John Gannon have matched up well against seven
to seven and two against the spread run. I'm with
you on Miami. One thing I'll add in Miami. You
mentioned how Miami is the home team. Obviously that heat
in Cincinnati. Miami doesn't travel to Cincinnati well, and Cincinnati
doesn't travel to Miami well. No matter who's the players,
no matter who's the coaches, the host in this series
is on a seven to zero against the spread run.
So who's ever hosting? And typically you're going to be
having the home team as the favorite. We're getting points.
I don't care if it's Quinn yours. We shouldn't have
road chalk here and then old Man rivers I'm sorry, buddy,
San Francisco.
Speaker 3: Yeah, especially.
Speaker 2: I know this is chalky, but it's around six six
and a half in some spots. I'm fine laying under
a touchdown San Francisco, especially with that loss for the
Rams last night. They will be dialed in and Andy.
At this point in the season, this just feels like
two teams going opposite directions. So see San Francisco minus
the five and a half. And yes, we're taking the
New York Knicks plus five and a half against the
New Orleans Saints there. So how about that one, Andy,
that's my pick five. Me and Adam Rosenberg are gonna
be breaking them down in just a few minutes. Right
here on the channel not live, you can find our circle.
Let's make millions show. We've been hitting around that same
Marc as Andy around fifty three to fifty four percent
coming off a two and three week.
Speaker 1: All right, let's gonna do it for US football. Friday
is done. Five percent. NFL Best Bet Boxing pack is up.
We got two plays to cash in on boxing tonight.
One of them is in the Joshua Paul fight, and
then we got one that I just love that is
in the in the prelimbs. We're four and one since
we started putting in boxing plays. So big Big Weekend.
That's over at WT Dot buzz slash al thank you guys,
great job chat, great job guest. Absolutely fantastic show next week,
Big week Dan. Not because it's Christmas, it's my birthday.
Speaker 3: When's your birthday?
Speaker 8: Andy?
Speaker 1: My birthday is December twenty third, And for what it's worth,
one of the more depressing things that happens on my
birthday is, for whatever reason, my birthday is not in
the wager Talk system. So whenever someone has a birthday
in the Big Slack, everybody says happy birthday. On December
twenty third, nobody says happy birthday.
Speaker 2: Making sure, let's make this the biggest birthday yet for
Andy Lang. Well, we got your back here on wager
Talk today, Andy, don't you worry And programming note, guys,
only two shows next week. We may be back on Friday,
so maybe three shows. We're gonna talk with Andy c
what we're gonna do. But we certainly are off on
Christmas Eve. Certainly off on Christmas, one of the only
days that we get off here. So maybe I should
have said it a little different way there. But we're
getting off next week. Andy, We're getting off. This does
it for the Football Friday edition. Always a good time, buddy,
Best of luck this weekend man, have a big weekend.
Speaker 1: Guys, good look under your bets. We'll see everyone Monday.
Take care,