Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It is Tuesday. It is time
for total Bases.
Speaker 2: I'm here with Brian Leonard Tokyo Brandon, your go to
show for Major League Baseball free picks on the wager
Talk YouTube channel. We've got day baseball on a Tuesday,
which is actually tremendous. It's not even part of a
double header. It's just a random day game on a Tuesday.
Yankees Blue Jays will talk about that. We're going to
get right into it though. Fifteen games, no time to
mess around. I want to start and talk about Red's
Red Sox. But first I want to talk about what
we saw last night, which was Chase Burns in a
compromising spot, giving up a touchdown in the first inning
in his second big league start. It begs the question,
Brian Leonard, did they rush him up? Should he have
been in that situation? And where does he go from here?
So talk to me about that.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I talked about that yesterday. How that was the
game to watch and it didn't take long to realize
what was going on. Even the Red Sox announcers were
mentioning it. They said, they're swinging as if they know
what pitch is coming. Obviously, they talked about that. They
said he was tipping his pitches. And I'm no expert,
but when you're throwing you're known to throw a really
fast you're great fastball pitcher. You're dominating that regard, and
he's throwing sliders and curveballs and it's the first pitch
of the bat and they're right on it. I've never
seen a game open up with that many first pitch
swings and they obviously, when you're facing a guy like that,
you don't want to get behind in the count. We
saw that with the Brewers rookie. They've been swinging early
in account with him too, but it was clear that
something was up, So don't downgrade him based on that start.
Obviously he didn't pitch well, but when somebody catches that
early on in your career, you he was he's obviously
stunned because he doesn't he hadn't been hit like that before.
So uh yeah, don't don't think that he stucks now
and he's going down to the minors. They'll correct that
the next time out, and then he'll probably be back
similar to where he was in his first start.
Speaker 2: Tokyo Brandon is a TV as a scout as a scout,
how how how many?
Speaker 1: How often did you come across something like that? Like
where a guy?
Speaker 2: I mean, I don't think people truly understand how gifted
and talented these guys are that they could see. They
can literally see, Okay, so he's squeezing his glove when
he's gonna throw a slider.
Speaker 1: He's not when he's gonna throw a fastball.
Speaker 2: And they can take that information and turn it into
a four hundred foot rope the other way, like did
you see a lot of that during your time dealing
with players?
Speaker 4: Yes, a lot. And you know, most of the games
I was watching, we're not, we're not. Most of the
games I was going to, we're not, you know, top
level games. They were like double A, triple A in Japan.
So but yeah, Japanese pictures, though, there are a lot
more I don't know what the word is, more discipline,
I guess. So they're a lot less tells and sign
stealing in Japan because they're really good at like hiding
that stuff. So uh, yeah, in Japan, not quite as prevalent,
But the pregame notes are quite important, and I guarantee
you there were pregame notes on swing he's gonna throw
a fastball right up the middle on pitch number one
and swing your ass off. And I guarantee that was
the pregame notes in that game, and that's what they did.
And a young guy can't adjust to that, you know,
he just couldn't adjust to it.
Speaker 2: Why yeah, and the other the other thing to point
out to like and just goes back to Brian's point,
Do not think that that's going to happen next time out,
because now it's social media, the whole world.
Speaker 1: Knows you'll have pitching.
Speaker 2: Pitching Ninja will tell him what he's done wrong in
a couple hours, right, like he's this used to be like.
Speaker 1: Oh is he tipping pictures? Like would it would be whispers?
Speaker 2: Now some dude on social media has broken down how
he's tipped the pitches before the game's even over. So
rest assured he will correct that he's not gonna be
tipping going into going into the next game. I'm going
to have an apology text thread to all of our
Canadian friends, Prez mckinnis, Carmi, Freddie Mills, all my Canadian guys.
Speaker 1: It's Canada Day.
Speaker 2: That's why there's a day game in Canada, not a
random day game, but we will get to that one.
Speaker 1: I want to stay here first.
Speaker 2: Let's go back to Brian Reynards, Brian Leonard, Jesus Christ,
Brian Leonard.
Speaker 1: It's Red.
Speaker 2: I was trying to say Brady Singer and Brian Leonard
at the same time, and that's what came out.
Speaker 1: Anyway, Red's Red Sox.
Speaker 2: Now we have the Reds coming off of a blowout loss,
but actually a pitching matchup that I think is somewhat
appealing to the visitors.
Speaker 1: So how are you seeing this one at Fenway?
Speaker 3: Yeah, the way Brady Singer has been pitching lately, it
could be Brian Leonard. He started in a season all
with a great effort as for time out and we thought, well,
maybe his fly ball tendencies wouldn't hurt him in Cincinnati.
But it comes in with a four point three one era,
four point seven one expected, one point three to three whip.
It's got great extension ninety first percentle. But if you
take a look at the stackcast page, everything else is
blue chase rate six percentile barrel rate twelve percent, tile
average ex velocity eleventh. That means he's getting hit and
he's getting hit hard, and he's going up against Richard
fitz here, who's a guy that really showed in spring training.
The team really liked what they saw. But because of
injuries and because of other pitchers that they're fighting for
the position, he hasn't got much of a chance to pitch.
He's only thrown six games and he hasn't looked that
great when you take a look at his numbers, four
point six to eighty RA, five point eighty eight expected,
one point two eight whip. His chase rate is elite
ninety third percentile. But you've got to get the uh,
You've got to get ahead of the count to get
them to chase. And right now his barrel rat is
in the first percent ile, expected a third percentile. So
he's a better pitcher than what he has shown based
on the way Boston was talking about him coming into
the season. But it would not surprise me here if
both teams do some damage. We've got in this one
we're looking at. Fits is now basically about a one
eleven favorite. Ah, your totals ten. Anytime you get a
ten in Boston, you know that they're expecting some offense
and the pitchers are not elite, so I even though
the line or the nine is ten here, I still
would expect this game be one of the higher scoring
games on the day. The only problem is that the
line is ten, meaning you got to get eleven to win.
And Boston, as we pointed out just a minute ago,
kind of knew what was coming yesterday, which is why
the offense looks so good. But this Boston team seemed
to be good. Yeah, yes today, then I think their
hitting is better than what they've shown. I'm not so
down on their offense since the trade. So yeah, if
my first luck on this one would be the over.
Speaker 4: I'm definitely not playing this game, so I'll make it
quite brief. Both bullpens. I have them both ranked twenty
four out of thirty in current form, so not very good.
I agree with Brian's assessment on Singers, there should be
a lot of blue. Have him ranked in the bottom
one third of all starting pitchers. His career average in
forty at bats against this team is quite high, but
his OPS is not. So it means he gives up
a lot of hits, but not a lot of It
means he gives up a lot of singles, but not
a lot of doubles and home runs. He's given up
zero home runs to them, actually, so I don't really
know what to read from that or what to expect
regarding fits. I don't have enough information for him to
log into my database. But he doesn't go deep into games,
that's for sure. And he's only what He went six
innings twice five innings once the beginning of the season,
but since then he's gone three innings, one inning, four innings.
He doesn't walk a lot of people, which is good,
but I just don't know what to expect from him.
So I'm gonna pass on this one.
Speaker 1: Yeah, there's gonna be there's gonna be a lot of
runs in this game.
Speaker 2: In my opinion, I've been very disappointed in Singer.
Speaker 1: He was someone that I was high on coming into
the season. If you listen to sort of or if
you watched any of Red spring training and kind of
followed them coming into the year, they really talked up
his improved pitch mix and and you know, coming over
from from Kansas City, how they tweaked some things and
it was all very encouraging. And then you watched his
first couple of starts and you started to see some
of that with increased strikeout numbers if you go back,
like he had a pretty good April, you know, right
out of the gate, but since then it's just you know,
I guess, I guess the strikeouts have come back around
the last couple starts nine against the Yankees, seven against
the Red against the Cardinals, But in the subsequent starts
it was all for a strikeouts, hard contact, like not
not something that I really want to go in and
go to, you know, go into Fenway and put on
the line right because like Brian said, this Red Sox
offense is not that bad. I know people are still
hung up on Devors not being in the lineup. Listen,
when it's all said and done.
Speaker 2: I truly believe that we're like Dev's Roman Anthony, you
know what I mean, Like, I think Roman Anthony is
gonna end up being a superstar when it's all said
and done.
Speaker 1: So so I don't.
Speaker 2: Think paving the way to make room for him to
hit third and then for William or Breu to come
back in and get at that. I just don't think
like the Dever's absence makes that big of a deal.
And so therefore I'm not down on the Red Sox offense.
Richard Fitz not someone that I under I don't understand
the hype based on what I've watched with my own eyes.
With minor league baseball, I watch a ton of it.
I've seen him pitch plenty at Worcester. I've seen him
pitch in person I think twice, you know, during his
time in TRIPAA. I've never really fully got the like
he's gonna be a quality big league pitcher for a
long time and on a forty man roster. I don't
know that he's ever really truly in a big league rotation.
That that's where the disconnect is for me. I think
the Reds can definitely get to him. So my number
is more than ten. Is that what this is right now?
Brian Leonard?
Speaker 1: Ten?
Speaker 3: Yeah?
Speaker 1: Yeah, Listen, this.
Speaker 2: Is one of those scenarios where I feel like both
teams get to five, Like I think you're gonna have
both teams get to five. It's like a seven to
five type game. I do lean toward the over all, right,
get Brian Leonard? Do you think like is Canada Day
like his pres out in his backyard set and fireworks
off and shit, like how does that work?
Speaker 3: But I have a quick story, and I've said this before.
I once went up when I was Canada, back when
they played an exhibition stadium, and I went up on
the fourth of July with some friends of mine and
it's the fourth of July. It's in the United States.
You celebrated that, you know, you set up the fireworks
and everything. My buddy turns to the Canadian behind us.
He goes, so, when is your fourth of July? And
the guy looks at me, goes fourth. What he meant was,
when do you celebrate your independence? And yeah, it is
a big deal up there. And they have Boxing Day
also up there in Canada, and yeah, it's a very
important day. And yeah, with Toronto playing at home here
against the Yankees, with the Yankees ace on the mound,
you would think that sellout crowd, big big deal here
in Toronto for this one Freed against Gousman. Right now,
Freed is basically a one fifty three favorite and we're
looking at an eight. And my first thought of this
was Toronto's done against lefties. Let me see what Toronto's
done the last month here. Toronto's ninth in baseball with
a one oh four WRC plus. So they've hit lefties
pretty well lately, and even though the Yankee starter Freed
is having a tremendous year, he's been a little bit
lucky in that regard. His ERA comes in at one
point nine two, but he's expected ERA is three point
three to zero. His whip's excellent, zero point nine four.
That's the best he's had in a while. Last year
was one point one six, So I see some regression
coming for Max Freed. He doesn't walk anybody, which is great.
Last year he walked eight eight percent and this year
he's down to four point nine eight. Was kind of
an outlier early in his career nine point nine fourteen
point one in his first two seasons, didn't pitch much obviously,
but he's gotten better in that. I think he'll walk
more people as it goes on. I kind of like
Toronto in this one, Goffsmith's pretty well three. It's gonna
be four point two on e r A three point
eight two expected one point zero six whip. He's not dominant,
but he's not blown you away in any any categories.
To chas right in the eightieth percentile, walk right seventy fifth,
so he's uh, he's been a solid pitcher, and uh,
you're getting him head home in this in this day
game where there's probably gonna be a lot of people there.
And of course Yankees fans travel and they've always gone
to Toronto. They're always going to Cleveland, Detroit in that area.
There'll be a lot of Yankees fans there too. But uh,
I kind of like Toronto as a home underdog in
this situation.
Speaker 4: Yeah, Freed, Freed freed to is elite, but can he
keep it up is the question? And the way I
have these two teams set up, men, Uh, I got
Freed a lot better than Gusman, but I have both
bullpens struggling a bit. Uh, and man, the Yankees' bats
are really struggling. So I would love to back the
Yankees here, but being the fact that they're facing a
really good picture. Well it hasn't been so great this season,
but but generally speaking, Gousman is a reliable guy. Uh,
two bad bullpens, one lineup that's totally struggling right now,
So I'm not going to play this one. Unfortunately, I
did look at Freed and Gousman's strikeout props and outs props,
and I didn't see anything. I liked there either, so
unfortunately I have to stay off it.
Speaker 1: Someone's asking if the roof's going to be open.
Speaker 2: I think it'll I think it's based on how hot
it is out So if it if it like starts
to approach like ninety, or if it's going to be
a very hot day, I think they typically would keep
it closed. I would have to see what the roof
open does to total runs. Like so, I'm actually leaning
toward another over here. That's that's scary. We've talked two
games and I have like two overs that I can't
see that ending well.
Speaker 1: But you know, I kind of look at these two teams.
Speaker 2: Blue Jays are rolling offensively right now, timely hits there,
They're just I love the way this team is playing.
Speaker 1: I don't want to bet against them.
Speaker 2: I do think maybe a familiar face in Gossman could
get the Yankees lineup going a little bit. He's a
guy that's been around forever, which means the Yankees everyone
in this Yankees lineup for the most part, has seen
him a ton.
Speaker 1: I think that could maybe help the Bats get going.
Speaker 2: That The thing I think really helps the Yankees bats
is at the end of this game, when the Blue
Jays suddenly don't have many bullpen arms because we remember
there's still you know, Hawkmins pitched a couple of days
in a row. They're still without Garcia, right like I
don't They're still without Garcia at the end of games there, Brian.
Speaker 1: Is that correct? He's been out? Yeah think yeah, yes.
Speaker 2: So I've praised the Blue Jays bullpen numerous times. But
the one thing I think they do lack is a
little bit of depth, like once you get past those
couple high leverage guys. So for that reason, I think
there could be runs or late. I don't think the
Blue Jays are are just gonna get shut out by
free Like I could see them generating some offense off free.
If you only need to get to eight here, that
seems reasonable. I kind of I make this one closer
to nine. Again, not a huge edge, but I think
I'd be on. I think i'd be on the over.
This is another one I said. I said, maybe Reds
and Red Sox both get to five.
Speaker 1: Kind of feel like both find their way to four
at some point here, and if that happens, you've gotten over.
Speaker 3: Brian. Did you just add Yeah, Toronto's team total is
three and a half to the under thirty five. Sure
getting paid plus money for them to score four runs,
that might not be a bad bet either.
Speaker 2: So HB Sports Video was the person that reminded me
it was Canada Day and he says the dome will
be open. So first thing I would do if I
was gonna bet that game from a totals perspective is
just try to go get splits on on runs total
runs with the roof open against the roof closed. I
got to imagine the roof open makes it makes the
ball carry a little bit better. Is that usually how
it goes, especially if it's kind of I don't know,
I'm not good at I don't know. I don't want
to like, I don't want to like say uh, something inaccurate.
But again, I would check that. I'm sure it's out
there where you can see Toronto. Total runs with the
roof open Steven balances over does make sense. So we'll see,
we'll see if we get uh, if we get that one,
all right, Jose Perez as a roof open ball definitely carries.
Speaker 1: Okay, gotta do this one.
Speaker 2: Everyone's favorite team on this on this show, Tiger is
the Tigers apparently. But I have an opinion here today
and I kind of want to talk about this team today,
and I think my opinion is going to please the
masses today.
Speaker 1: A little teaser. Uh So, we have the Detroit Tigers.
Speaker 2: They are taking on They are hitting the road, heading
to Washington, DC to take on the Washington Nationals.
Speaker 1: Brian Leonard start us off. Tiger's man.
Speaker 3: Flirty on the road. He's had major splits this year.
His home games three point eight three e r A
one point one to one whip, road games six point
one seven ERA one point four all whip. That is
a concern here. The current line on this game is
Detroit one. Basically about a one to fifty favorite, maybe
one fifty one in a total of nine and a
half with Williams going for Washington. Williams is a guy
that I usually find value in, but this year he
just saysn't pitch very well. He comes in with a
five point sixty five ERA four point two to one
expected one point four to seven whip. He's whip in
his career is one point three seven. That's been his
major problem. He does if he gets behind on on
a good hitter, he'll not try to challenge him, he'll
he'll just put him on. And there's a few guys
that do that night. I fully understand that one of
the injured Padres pitchers is one of the guys that
does that, is with the Dodgers now. So, yeah, Williams
doesn't walk anybody eighty six percent tile extension eighty third percentile.
But he does get hit hard fastball velocity in the
first percentile, and he still throws that fastball forty two
percent of the time. If you don't have a good fastball,
don't throw it. This is the major leagues. That's where
he gets into trouble. He's got some other pitch. He
got four other pitches he throws nine percent or more
mixed more of those in. You just can't. You cannot
have a bad fastball in major league baseball and succeed.
If you could throw ninety five and higher, you can
have some success. We'll get to the Cleveland game a
little bit later, and that's the situation that Williams is in.
But yeah, in this one here, don't I don't want
to lay the number on Flairty on the road because
he does struggle on the road. Washington's got good young hitters.
We like them, we'd like them like Miami's young hitters.
We've found some success that way here. So if I
was to play anything in this one may be a
Washington team total over. Currently the team total on this
one is three and a half to the over on forty.
So you get four runs in this one out of
the host, you got a chance. That's a lean for me.
It probably won't make my card, but that's the way
I would look at her this one.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I actually have Williams rank higher than Flarity, which
is kind of surprising me because I don't like Williams
at all. I guess I mean strikeouts wise, Flarity's strikeouts
is five and a half here. It's pretty hard to
get six strikeouts. I mean he did it his last
game against the Athletics. Before that he got three, and
he's really up and down. He does get five here,
but you know that would be one way to go
otherwise other than that he walks people leson Williams. But
Tigers are better at everything besides the starter, and the
starter discrepancy is not that big in my opinion. Bullpen wise,
Tigers have a huge advantage batting. They're both hitting really well,
I guess. I guess I might even go with a
Tiger's team total over here, going with the team total theme.
Maybe not enough for me to play it, but I
would either go Tigers or a Tiger's team total here.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I see a pretty considerable edge here for the Tigers.
Speaker 2: I'm not sure that I want to pay the price
for it, think by just one fifty probably price is
about the line is about right here in my opinion.
But you've got a Tigers team that didn't play yesterday,
that played on Sunday, and it was schoolble for seven
and then pretty.
Speaker 1: Pretty easy inning for Kinley, pretty easy inning for will
for vest I don't see Williams limiting the damage enough
where the Tigers aren't in position to win this game late.
And so the only thing I see, the only thing
I could see being an issue here for the Tigers
is if if they if they give Flarerity too long
of a leash, because he's like a veteran guy and
he's kind of I guess he's earned the right to
like go out there and throw a hundred pitches if
he if he can, right, because like aj Hinch doesn't
mess around with certain people, right, some some guys, it's
like the second he thinks he wants to play bullpen matchup,
he's gonna do it. But I do feel like Flarity
gets that like veteran respect sometimes where like they're gonna
they're gonna sort of let him stay in right like
he's he's a little bit he's not as quick to
yank him as he is, like maybe pretty much anyone
other than Triaks Google who can do whatever he wants.
That's fine.
Speaker 2: So for me here, if I knew the second Flarity
was going to get into trouble in this game that
he was out, I'd be all in on the Tigers here,
because this is again I don't think. I don't think
Williams limits the damage enough where the Tigers aren't into
the sixth or the seventh inning either tied or in
the lead. So maybe maybe this is something Brian Leonard
likes to talk about where you kind of watch and
see how it's going, and then if it's a close game,
maybe Tiger's down one where you know you're going to
get bullpen arms. I would say the Tigers have a
considerable advantage at the end of this game, So I
lean Tigers don't know if it will make my client card,
but I really just truly feel that they're just far superior,
and Williams is not the guy that I want to
go to war with with the Dats. There are guys
on this rotation that I'm fine with backing. Williams is
not one of them. So Tigers are passed for me.
Speaker 1: Titan cet. It's July first, we have to talk about them.
Speaker 4: Oh, go ahead, Sorry, let me interrupt real quick before
you get to the next game. Everyone that it's five
dollars Tuesday, five dollars Tuesday. If you see, yeah, I
just did. If you look down there, all of us
probably will have a five dollars playout. I already have
one out. But let's do a quick promo here. We
are the best baseball cappers probably on the planet. You
can get a play from us for five dollars. In
baseball is pretty much the only thing going on right now.
So go down there to the scroll bar. You'll see
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up too, so there is value in taking the five
seconds to go check our web pages out.
Speaker 1: Sorry, go ahead.
Speaker 3: Brandon only had a little bit of confidence.
Speaker 2: Yeah, probably in the world I would say so and
also like and subscribe, appreciate it.
Speaker 1: Again.
Speaker 2: It goes, Yes, it goes a long way for us.
The replays and subscribes are are huge. Okay, we're getting
back to baseball. Chat is July first, Titans. We have
to talk about the Mets because they're writing a one
point one million dollar check to Bobby Bonia again today.
I believe there's ten more years of this. I believe
we've got ten more years of Bobby Bonia collecting one
point one ninety three million dollars on July first. But
that's no big deal. Money is no option to that organization.
They're paying want Sodo and trillion dollars as well. So
you know, to this point though Brian Leonard hasn't hasn't
fully paid off yet, but it's still kind of early.
Speaker 1: That being said, the Mets after this past.
Speaker 2: Weekend, I don't know where they like well, I don't
know what needs to happen. I think you got to
bring Grimace back out for a first pitch, get something going,
because uh, I gotta be honest, that was I know
you you you took a tough loss with the Mets
for a five percenter.
Speaker 1: That was so baffling to me.
Speaker 2: I thought for sure that off of those two braves
wins the Mets. This was a dream spot for the
Mets to just take off. And not only did they
not win your game on Friday, they got absolutely smacked
around all weekend.
Speaker 1: It is hard to wrap my head around it. Where
do they go and what do you expect to see
from them here?
Speaker 3: Bobby Bennia hasn't played for the Mets in decades and
he's still the only guy on this team who earned
his paycheck this month. This team's been horrendous. It's I'm
dumbfounded by the talent on this team and the way
they have played. They have done everything possible. They brought
up guys from the miners, they've sent some guys down,
they changed the pitching chef, They've had other guys coming in,
they've had team meetings. Nothing has changed here for the Mets.
And to be totally honest with you, the first thing
I looked at last night was how can I go
against the Mets today? Unfortunately, everybody, including the lines maker
knows a lot of the Mets fans have fallen off
the side of the boat and they're not getting back
on the game opens up homes against Peralta, Holmes is
about a one twenty favorite. Parolta catching about a you know,
one ten the other day the other way total of
eight and a half. If this game had been played
two weeks ago, Holmes is probably about a one fifty
favorite U. So you've lost a lot of value. By
the way, this is gone for Milwaukee, and I would
still play Milwaukee at the bad number rather than play
the Mets. Freddy Parolta two point nine ora a three
point seven four expected, so some luck on his side
one point one to three whip. He's a flyball pitcher
seventy seven percent of the time. It's a flyball to
parted to the ground ball ground ball twenty third percentile,
So this is a pretty good pitcher's ballpark, so I
don't think that'll affect him. This is one of those
guys that still throws the four seamer a lot fifty
eight percent, but his fastball off a lot. He's still
about leg average sixty first percentile average eggs velocity seventy six,
so he still has that dominant fastball and some other
guys just don't have it. Clay Holmes, he's been lucky.
He's been very lucky, and I've got them on a
few of my fantasy teams, and I'm waiting for the
acts to fall as they say, two point ninety seventy
or a four point one to two expected one point
two far whip, great ground ball pitcher ninetieth percentile, terrible extension,
seventh percentile. He's he's one of those bend but don't
break guys so far this year, and I'm afraid it's
going to break pretty soon. I prefer Milwaukee in this game.
Maybe let's take a look at the team total here
for the Brewers three and a half over thirty five.
So they get to four, they get a winner. Yeah,
I can do that. Milwaukee team total probably my best
play on this game. Yeah.
Speaker 4: I glad to hear Brian saying that, because when I
looked at this line, the first thing I thought is
why are the Brewers underdog here? It doesn't make sense
to me. So I looked at badding Brewer's huge advantage.
The Mets are doing nothing these days, you know, just
terrible bullpen. Mets ranked twenty three, Brewers rank eight, and
Peralta is ranked higher than Clay Home. So I look
for something to talk me out of it. You know,
I'm kind of like an alcoholic waiting for someone to
take the bottle out of my hand. Right. So I
go to Peralta's career numbers against the Mets, and they're stellar.
A one forty three average against in sixty three at bats,
A six four ops amazing. So the only red flag
I saw on the Brewers today is the fact that
Perlta is his numbers are pretty pour on the road
compared to his home. His home numbers has got like
a one four two era and on the road it's
like four oh two four one something like that. So
that was the only thing I saw. But I think
the fact that against these batters he has held them down,
I don't really care if he's in New York or not.
Another thing that scares me a little bit is the
Mets are a really good home team, but I think
they're they're stuck in the mud right now, and I
think that trumps the fact that their home record's really good.
So yeah, I mean, when when when teams are having
team meetings and then go out and get outscored thirty
four to four in a three game series after after
a player only team meeting that tells you there, I
don't see him shaking it. They're they're going to eventually,
But is it gonna be today against Peralta. I doubt it.
So I like Milwaukee on plus money.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take two comments from the chat and that's
gonna be my breakdown for this game, because that's that's
exactly what I agree with, and I don't have much
more past this.
Speaker 1: Ethan says, like the spoper both teams in this one.
Speaker 2: Gut tells me the Mets get the w but don't
want to take them as a favorite right now. Yeah,
that's kind of how I feel. My gut says they
find a way here. I'm not laying the minus one
twenty five. I also agree with Chad. If this was
fourteen days ago, and this is pretty much what Brian said.
If this was fourteen days ago, we'd be like, why
are the Mets only minus one twenty five against the Brewers?
Speaker 1: It is a scary one and I'm with you guys.
Speaker 2: I think Sean commented about Baralta in the chat like
I don't mind playing against the Brewers at some point
in this series.
Speaker 1: The one guy I don't really care to play against.
Speaker 2: On this in this Brewer's rotation right now, well other
than Misorowski, I suppose. But like Peralta has just been
good for a long time. Now, how do the Mets
win this game? Probably hit a couple of home runs.
That's the one area Peralta will give up the fly
ball and if they could get a If the Mets
can hit a couple that leave the ballpark, I wouldn't
be surprised if Holmes, you know, they find a way
with with homes.
Speaker 1: Good comment. I don't know. I got to see if
this is uh.
Speaker 2: If this is a I'm still getting called out in
the chap for not knowing today it was Canadaday.
Speaker 1: That is that is totally on me hand up to
better our.
Speaker 3: Yeah, you are dual some ship? I mean I would
know that.
Speaker 1: I mean I could be.
Speaker 2: I could be at the Canadian border in less than
two hours from where I live.
Speaker 4: Are you a dual citizen?
Speaker 3: No?
Speaker 4: No, okay, we're Why do we have to know other countries? Holidays?
Speaker 3: Okay, here's here's a uh. Without looking for all the viewers,
when is best your day?
Speaker 4: Exactly? We don't need to know other countries?
Speaker 1: Howadays?
Speaker 4: Give me a break. We're not Canadian.
Speaker 2: Yeah, but like, don't I should be ridiculous, you guys.
It's more about it's more about being a baseball fan.
It happens every year. I should know that that that
random Tuesday Day game in July is Canada Day anyway,
Chris B.
Speaker 1: Says, Chris P.
Speaker 2: Says, fy I, that's twenty seven to nine as home favorites,
seventy percent win right well fits that today. Okay, I
mean that's still a pretty that's still a pretty glaring,
uh sort of number right there, if I if I
remember correctly, they had no problem beating the Braves last
week as a home favorite, so now they're back as
home favorites here Lean Mets. But I'm not going to
waste any more time on it. That is, uh, it's
just not the spot that I.
Speaker 4: Personally want, guys. Get I did not say Canada. I
did not say Canada sucks. I like Canada and I
have a lot I have Canadian friends. I'm just saying,
when you're an American, you don't have to know other
country's holidays. I'm sure Mexicans don't know, uh, you know,
the holidays in Holland. Who cares seriously.
Speaker 1: Well, I mean, Mexicans laugh.
Speaker 2: Anyone of Mexican descent absolutely like just gets a good
chuckle at the fact that we celebrate Sinko.
Speaker 1: Da Mayo as a holiday in this country.
Speaker 2: I know, I know, Like, Yeah, Yonce's family lived in
Mexico for a few years while her dad was like
running a factory or something down there, had to move
there for a few years, and they they get a
good laugh at the fact that we celebrate sinkle debaio.
Speaker 3: Here we anything or you can drink is basically what
pretty much.
Speaker 2: Okay, let's get let's grab another game, huge slate. Uh,
we gotta okay, I'll we'll talk about this one.
Speaker 1: We'll talk about this one. We have to.
Speaker 2: Yeah, the Giants are just I don't know, I can't
believe how wrong I've been.
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's it's my guy, g hurt.
Speaker 2: He said, we need to we need to talk about
how the Giants are actually a bad team. I don't,
I can't. I can't really defend myself at this point.
The team can't hit. They traded for a three hitter
that should have made their lineup. They had no problem
winning games before this guy showed up, and now they
just can't get it done.
Speaker 1: So this is another one where like I'd like to.
Speaker 2: Think that things are going to turn for them because
they were ten games over five hundred without rap Field Devers.
He signified on paper he should improve their lineup tenfold.
Speaker 1: They gave up No.
Speaker 2: One that they really needed to get him, and now
they can't win a baseball game.
Speaker 1: Make it makes sense, Brian Leonard.
Speaker 3: That was one on one yesterday. I did lose Texas
and x Ra innings, but my winner was San Francisco
first half hunder and they were shut out through the
first five. They did tie the game later on. But yeah,
it's not that John's are a bad team. It's just
their hitters are not hitting well right now. They'll begin
in their third baseman back in the next few days.
Matt Chapman took batting practice yesterday. He's an All Star
type of player, obviously great defender, but to he'll be
back in there and they won't have to use some
of their other guys. And Carcillon's another guy that keeps
getting hurt. He's a big bat for this offense to
swing some messes a lot, but he gives them some power.
But yeah, I'm in agreement with the Giants right now.
They're not hitting at all this game. We took a
look at the line San Francisco Birds hung against Gallen
Gallon a one thirty favorite and a total of nine,
and for Gallon to be favored in a baseball game
tells you how bad the San Francisco offense is playing
Zach Gallon. If he was on the Dodgers, he would
be coming out of the bullpen at this point and
be lucky to be on the team. He has not
played well all season long, and he comes in this
game with a five point seven five ERA, four point
nine to seven expected, one point four to one whip.
There is not anything red on his savant page at all.
You take a look at his breaking ball run value
first percentele pitching run value first percentile, ball run value
fourth percentile, and yet he throws this forcing fastball forty
eight percent of the time. This is a guy who
is obviously at the end of his career and they
paid him a lot of money. They're trying to get
some innings out of him, and it's just not working.
Hayden birds on a young guy that we all like,
but a four point one three ERA four point one
two expected one point three to eight whip. We like
his future, but his current is not that great. So
we've got an Arizona team that should be able to
put some runs on the board against birds On here,
and they're going to need them with Gallon on the mount.
I think San Francisco. The one time I don't want
to play them under a team total is against Zach Gallon,
So I think Arizona Arizona. Maybe team total over would
be the way I would look at this one.
Speaker 4: Five dollars Tuesday, guys, get one of our plays for
five dollars. Our pages are all down there, and we
also put free plays up as well. I have two
actually specials going on seven days. Use code TB seven
seven days for sixty nine bucks and the rest of
two thousand and five for less than three dollars a day.
Go to our pages and check out the deals Adam
and Brian have as well. Onto this game first inclination.
The Giants pretty much do everything better than the Diamondbacks
except hit, So this is one of those games where
strength and weaknesses kind of cancel each other out. I mean, yeah,
Gallon's been horrible. He's given up twenty earned runs in
his last four starts, so that's not good. But the
Giants have not been producing. I got them ranked twenty
six out of thirty in run productions. So is facing
Gallon enough to wake their bats up? I tend to
be one of those guys who likes to ride a
streak until it's gone and then jump on it. So
until the Giants show me they can hit, I don't think.
I don't want to. You know, if you're betting something
because it's due so to speak, you're you're you're not
gonna win very much, so especially in baseball.
Speaker 1: Maybe football are.
Speaker 4: Other sports that I don't cap, maybe, but baseball I
found that that's not true. So uh So I don't
know how to play this one because I have the
bullpens both pretty mediocre, pretty average next to each other.
Uh and I got both starters not so good. The
Diamondbacks hit a lot better than San Francisco, but San
Francisco's facing a Tomato can today, So will their bats
wake up?
Speaker 1: Yes?
Speaker 4: Or no? I don't want to put my money on it, Adam.
Speaker 2: I mean, the Giants have a monster bullpen edge here,
monster bullpen edge for the Giants Giants have been one
of the best bullpens in the league all year. I
mean they raid out, they raid out, and basically the
top category of every relevant relief metric in Major League Baseball,
not even not even just the NL. I mean that
the Giants have had an elite bullpen all season. So
there's a big advantage there. The problem is that it
is the hitting. Now, if there was ever a scenario
where the Giants were gonna hit, it's probably against a
guy that's in their own division that they have a
big sample size against, like a Zach Gallen, a guy
that's struggling like a Zach Gallen.
Speaker 1: And the thing is like, I don't I don't care
who it is.
Speaker 2: I don't trust this Diamondbacks bullpen at all right now
in the leverage spots. Now, yes, Shelby Miller came in,
got to save yesterday, that's great, but they have no
they have no leverage depth. So it's like, if they
get in another close I don't think the Diamondbacks are
going to string together close wins going forward. That that's
gonna be a thing. Now, Can the Diamondbacks win games
ten to two? They can't, right like, they they've got
the explosiveness where they can string to wins together because
they're up big and they and they don't need the
the sort of leverage type arms to close things out,
but right here they probably will. Like that's that's the
one thing. Even even with the Giants playing poorly and
losing games of late, the Giants really don't get blown out.
They lose games four to two, one to nothing. That
that's how they lose games. So you got a Diamondbacks team,
that's how and that's how they war games too.
Speaker 4: That's a great Yeah, two to one, three to one
exactly Arizona.
Speaker 1: Last day, so remember no off day for for Arizona.
They played on Monday night.
Speaker 2: As we know, last four days, they were in a
nine to eight game with the Marlins that they lost.
I think they lost at the end. I think they
rallied and then came short. On Friday night, Uh, they
lost seven to eight and ten innings. On Saturday, they
end up losing six to four in a game where
they had their leverage arms out there and got blown
up in the eighth inning with a lead. And then
last night they yes, they do finally win one, uh,
but they you know, they still burned arguably their best
arm at this point in Shelby Miller. I don't know
that they've burned him through fifteen pitches, but still, I mean,
probably their best arm in the bullpen right now. Pitch
last night. I think the Giants plus one twenty is
an excellent price here. I actually think it's a good bet.
Whether I'm going to do it for clients or not,
I have to think about it, but it could only
be the Giants here.
Speaker 1: At that price.
Speaker 2: How could you pass up the ability to fade gallon,
the fact that you're probably gonna get I mean, worst
case scenario, you're in a close game against the Diamondbacks
bullpen with the best bullpen in baseball, or one of them.
Strongly in Giants, I want to I'm gonna say, I
know we got to lock parlay Legs in at some
point here over the next twenty minutes. I'm not gonna
lock it in yet, but I strongly am considering the
Giants for that spot.
Speaker 3: Go ahead, Brian, let me go to my game. Since
we are go ahead, I don't want to have people
have to wait the whole time. I am going to
take a look at this Cleveland Chicago Cubs game it's
Williams against Boyd. Boyd is currently about a hat one
seventy favorite lines eight to the under minus fifteen. Cleveland,
we know, is struggling terribly offensively, and they're also terrible
against left handed pitchers. If you take a look, since
June first, which would be a month now, Cleveland is
twenty seventh in baseball with a WRC plus sixty eight over,
which is very bad. Not as bad as the Mets,
by the way, sixty two, but they're one of the
worst in baseball. And that's just not this month. That's
the way that's been all along for Cleveland. That's why
they brought Thomas to the team. And they bring Thomas
to the team and he doesn't hit the lefties like
he did before the game here, so into Cleveland. But
I really like the situation here. We've got the former
Cleveland guardian, Matthew Boyd on the mound. He played for
this team last year. He knows the team, The team
knows him. It's an advantage for him because regardless of
the team knows him, if you can't hit a lefty's
it's not going to change anything. The only thing I
don't like about him is he still throws too many fastballs,
and we've already talked about that so far on this show.
I'm not a big guy that likes the fastballs. Gavin
Williams to pitch much better as of late. He's even
got an ERA belowpour now three point six to eight,
but a four point three five expected one point four
to three whip career whip one point three to five.
That's the problem. He's in the fifth percentiland walk rate.
Everything else looks pretty good, but if you give free
reign on the base pass when you've got too many walks,
that's something that hurts him. But he's been pretty good
as of late. Matthew Boyd another really good season in Cleveland.
He had a two point seven to ERA one point
one to three whip. In Chicago, he's got a two
two point sixty five R one point one zero whip.
This is a guy who knows how to pitch. He
is a fly ball pitcher. But that's not a concern
today because the wind is blowing in and to towards
third base at about eight miles an hour, and so
I don't think we're gonna see many home runs in
this game. What I like here is The Cleveland team
total under three and a half a minus one twenty eight.
Cleveland's going to score four runs in Chicago against the
lefty who is a crafty lefty, and they've got to
be able to do that with the win slightly blowing in.
I don't see it. I don't see this Cleveland offense
waking up right now. And if you've watched them, they
a lot of bats, wings and not Stephen Kwan's not
playing well. There's been talk out there with the trade
deadline coming up that they may have to trade Stephen Kwan.
This is a tight knit group of players in this
locker room. Anytime you start talking about trading your best players,
that makes them nervous. And if a bad If a
player is nervous, a team is nervous, they get tight
and they don't hit. And I think that's kind of
why they're playing so bad right now. So that's going
to be my part of the parlay. The Clayland team
total under three and a half am ius one twenty eight.
Speaker 4: Oh sorry, yeah, I'm just reading the comments. I'm zoning out.
I'm tired tonight, so yeah, looking at this. Agree with
Brian Gavin Williams is the number one chronic walker in
all of Major League Baseball. If you can get his
walks over one and a half, definitely take it. But
the book is wise to it. They're putting him out.
They're putting only him out at two and a half
these days. I would not take two and a half,
but if you can get one and a half, I
would take it. So BOYD, Yeah, great command. He doesn't
walk people. He's under thirty percent in walks to strikes ratio,
which is pretty rare. Galvin Williams is more like sixty.
So we got a walker here. Cubs have been smashing it.
Top ten lineup, top ten bullpen, top ten starter. What
else can you say? Cleveland is one of the few teams.
Let's see, I got three teams here that rank twenty
or worst in batting and bullpen. There's only three teams
in MLB. Cleveland is one, the Athletics or the other,
and actually Philadelphia Phillies or another. So those three teams
I would like to fade as much as I can,
So I think Cubs would be the only way to
go here. Maybe a minus one, maybe a minus one
and a half. I certainly would not argue with Brian's
team total under for Cleveland as well.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't have much to add. I'm kind of
with chat in the chat.
Speaker 2: I don't know if I would lay a minus one
and a half of the home team, but it certainly
feels like the Cubs could lay it on the Guardians tonight.
I just not super confident in Gavin Williams. I've said
this on a number of occasions, and Brian's talked about
this at length. He he just has not been the
same pitcher that he was prior to getting hurt. I
felt like last year was almost like a lost season
for him in a lot of cases.
Speaker 1: He got he got in late, he.
Speaker 2: Was down in the minors for a while, sort of
like rehabbing his way back, but also kind of ended
up down there for a while, never really made it
back to what he was the season before. So I thought,
coming in, like, Okay, this is this is gonna be
a big potential bounce back year for him. Really hasn't
been in the e RA is like deceiving in my opinion,
his his three six eight e R should be far higher.
He he he's walking three four guys pretty much minimum
three walks to start, like I look at some of
these games recently. Uh managed to get out of that
Blue Jays game five and a third with only three runs.
That could have been worse, right, Like, he definitely wiggled
out of a spot in that one that could have
been worse. Six shoutout innings against the Giants, which we
know right now that team is just not hitting, you know,
only lasted four against the Mariners. Again, three runs, six
innings against the Astros. It's another game that probably could
have been worse. There was traffic. On the basis, he
got out of it, So I wouldn't be surprised that
there's a blow up in his future. And what better
place for a blow up Brigley Field with a Cubs
team that has fantastic at bats one through nine, even
when they're struggling a little bit. It's good at bad
after good at bat. I don't know that Gavin Williams
can survive that. So Cubs are passed for me for sure.
Speaker 3: I will point out that eight of the sixteen starts
he has walked three or more batters.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, chronic walker TV. And he's the number one.
Speaker 4: He's the number one chronic walker. And while we're on
the Let me just give give you guys who my
chronic walkers are. Gavin Williams, Walker Buehler, Grant Holmes, Edward Cabrera,
and Jose Kintana are my biggest chronic walkers on my list.
Speaker 3: Walker Buehler says, write in his name. We should have
figured that out a long time.
Speaker 4: Yeah, his parents named him.
Speaker 2: There's listen, guys, guys can pitch around walks like it's
it's you know, I have no problem with I mean,
back in the day, you had guys that were good
enough to straight up walk someone because they just didn't
want to face it because they knew they could get
the next guy out.
Speaker 1: Yep, you can't just walk batters against the Cubs.
Speaker 2: That's one team that is going to, like nine times
out of ten, is gonna make you pay for the
free pass.
Speaker 1: Not every team. The Giants won't do it right.
Speaker 2: So I could see how Gavin Williams can put a
couple guys on and get through six score less against
the Giants. Rest assured the Cubs are gonna make you
pay for free base runners, and I would be shocked
if they don't make him hey in some fashion here,
So I'm with you.
Speaker 1: Chad. Yeah, I'm with you, Chad.
Speaker 2: Jo Cubs are passed without a doubt, all right, and
yeah the only and he's like, well, the Giants bullpen
didn't help him last night.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's why I haven't locked it in yet.
Speaker 2: I'm I'm having some I'm having a hard time getting
to the window with the Giants, even though a lot says, oh,
Giants plus one twenty, you should do it. Jean in
the chat, let's go to this game and we'll get
the other two parlay legs. We've got ten minutes left,
so don't worry. We'll have a three teamerer locked in
for you by the end of the show. But I
want to talk about this one because Jean and a
couple others have brought this up. He says, well, he's
saying Tokyo, Brandon, but we're gonna go to Brian first
and then TV can follow up Emerson Hancock under three
and a half case he really likes this, talk me off.
That's Royals Mariners out West tonight. Royal's getting slapped around
by the Mariners last night. It's Lorenzen, It's hancocked Brian Leonard.
Do you see anything in this one?
Speaker 3: Current line. We're looking at Seattle one thirty four total
of eight. I wish I pressed the Kansas City offense
a little bit because I think there's a little value there.
I'm not a big Hancock fan. Lorenzen gives you any
He's not the greatest pitcher, but he's You gotta have
those kind of guys on your staff every once in
a while. I don't have much to play on this one.
I just I would have considered in a little bit better.
I think i'd look that side, but I'll be passing.
Speaker 4: I'm going to pass on this one too. Unfortunately, Hancock
doesn't register in my database. Maybe he doesn't have enough innings.
In the last thirty days, Lorenzen got him ranked twenty
three out of thirty on a curve of thirty. Both
bullpens pretty good. Cases is performing a little bit better.
But Kansas City can't hit their way out of a
paper bag. I told you guys in the chat yesterday,
Kansas City can't hit, and everyone said they just scored
NYE runs yesterday. Look, Kansas City can't score. They just
scored two yesterday again, and that's who they are. So
maybe you'll have an outlier where they where they where
they where they are winning a game, and the other
team just throws their their crappy pitchers out there and
lets them tee off on them. That that's what you
saw when they scored nine runs. They're not a nine
run team, and they're they're a terrible offense. So under
would probably be the only way I go on this,
But the fact that I don't have numbers on Hancock
makes me stay off it.
Speaker 2: So here's here's why I'll put these two games next
to each other. And these are not going to be
my parlay legs. I'm gonna give mine out in a second.
I think if I think if you take the Royals
and the Giants tonight, you're you're making money.
Speaker 1: That that is my gut.
Speaker 2: I think both of those teams at plus money is value.
I don't see you doing worse than a split at
which case you know Royals and the plus one twenty
five range plus one twenty three Giants around plus one
twenty I think you're probably splitting with the upside of
two to zero and two plus money dogs.
Speaker 1: I have no idea which one is gonna win.
Speaker 2: They very well could go oh and two, But my
gut says the Royals and the Giants are both very
undervalued based on what they've done recently, and they would
be good bets at plus money. Emerson Hancock has been
very inconsistent. He shows flashes, but he is not someone
that I'm not willing to play against.
Speaker 1: Gene. I'm with you.
Speaker 2: I don't know that he comes in and just racks
up a bunch of strikeouts, So I don't dislike that.
I really am fine with anything correlated to Hancock having
a bad start, because he's a four A type guy
for me at this point, I don't. I just don't
know that he's really, you know, gonna do much in
a big league rotation if he's in the rotation regularly.
I think when he's down in Tacoma and he dips
in comes up like he can have a good start.
Speaker 1: But he's not someone that I think is gonna.
Speaker 2: Consistently have good starts at the big league le well,
at least not yet. So I'm totally fine with playing
the Royals in some capacity here. I just again, I
don't I'm not overly confident in the Royals right now.
How can you be saying thing with the Giants? But
I do think the recent form has watered down their
profile and off where you've got to start thinking about
taking them at plus one twenty five.
Speaker 1: And Brian Leonard has talked about this numerous time.
Speaker 2: The Mariners, they're just not quite as appealing at home
where they can't where they're not, you know, it's harder
to hit home run. So I like the Royals. I
agree with you Emerson. I agree with you, Gene Emerson.
Hancock probably a fade tonight. Okay, I'm gonna throw a
game to you two. I'm gonna use this as my
parlay leg. I was very disappointed last night. I had
Rangers as a five percent play. They stranded a runner
on third with less than two outs in the eighth
and ninth inning. They tied the game in the tenth
only to go on and lose in the eleventh inning.
A tough way for a five percent er to go
and a tough way to end a month that was
really good month for me. Aside from that, my parlay
leg today will be the Rangers. Jacob de grom, So
a couple of things I took away from that game
last night. Listen, the Rangers have faced a lot of
on field adversity.
Speaker 1: This year. They've had guys that have have.
Speaker 2: Been in career like literally the worst slump of the career,
of Josh Peterson's career, the worst slump of Marcus Simian's career.
Speaker 1: They've had Corey Seger out of the.
Speaker 2: Lineup on multiple occasions, you know, and but yet last
night they still made so many winning plays in that
game of a team. Michael Hellman tremendous base running play
to have the wherewithal when that ball trickled into center
field when he went to steel that he could probably score,
and knowing that there was two outs in the leadoff
guy would be up the next inning, he forced the
Orioles to make a play he was safe at home.
It's why I'm surprised the Rangers could not win that game,
because they just scratched a claw to get back into it,
put themselves in position to win, and just came up
a little short. The reason I'm bringing that up is
this team is three games under five hundred, yet that
everything that's gone against them so far this year, they
should be ten games under five hundred. They have fantastic
starting pitching, and I think this game where it falls
Jacob deGrom at home up against Brandon Young and the
Orioles bullpen, which has been used up. I really think
this is a spot where de Gram comes out and says,
you know what, I'm not holding anything back tonight.
Speaker 1: My team needs me.
Speaker 2: This is a this minus will be a playoff game
for us in terms of, like we have to win
this game. I'm gonna give one hundred of the best
pitches I can give tonight, and I really would be
surprised if the Orioles can put together nine innings with
Brandon Young to a tired bullpen that doesn't have a
ton of depth.
Speaker 1: I've said this about the Rangers bullpen.
Speaker 2: The Rangers lack elite high leverage arms, but they're very
deep in the bullpen. It's like our number one and
two are not that much different than our number six
and seven in the Rangers bullpen. I think that's very
important in a game like this where no one has
a bullpen because they've been very used up. So I'm
gonna take Jacob de Gram and the Rangers to win
this game. Yes, I know I could go the first
five route, but I think this is such a big
game for the Rangers to win. I think the Gram's
going seven, and I think they're gonna get this done.
And the Orioles have been bet a little bit, so
I actually think I'm getting a favorable price to do. So,
Brian Leonard, what do I get for Rangers money line
right now?
Speaker 3: Just to touch on this, it's currently about one seventy six.
Brandon Young they sent back down to the minors, and
then when Efflyn got hurt the other day and they
had to bring him back. He's pitched three major league games,
go on four innings and all three of them giving
up three four and uh in three runs. So he's
somebody that can get hit. If Texas is coming out
of that hitting slump, they can do it here. Although
you gotta admit Jacob Dagram's not used to getting a
lot of offensive support in his career. But yeah, I
was on Texas. That was my loser last night, So yeah,
I can. I can do that too. I think you're
on the right side of that one.
Speaker 4: Yeah, Rangers offense is just horrible. I mean, Corey Seager
wouldn't even start on the Dodgers. Their highest average guy
hits seventy seven.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't agree.
Speaker 1: I'll give you I'll give you a chance to take
that back. Corey Seeger would be like a Cory Seger
hits two forty four.
Speaker 4: Or ten home runs.
Speaker 3: I mean, come on V just about every year the play.
Speaker 4: All right, Well, that's their highest average guy hits to
seventy seven. Their highest average guy hits two seventy seven.
I mean, this team cannot score, and I don't see
it changing. Uh, I don't see it changing. Got them
ranked nineteenth right now, which is probably the highest they've
been all season. Bullpen not performing well either. The gram
is great. The Orioles are smashing though, so I would
approach this one with caution. Uh Oriols. Bullpen is horrible though. U.
So yeah, I'm not gonna play it just because I
don't have enough information on Young. But I'm definitely not
a Corey Seeger fan.
Speaker 2: Steven fallon a lot of good go play play power Ball,
the or the or Mega millions whenever you gotta do that.
That is a that is a lot of ticket type win,
right if you if you cash with the over in
that game last night, that's one of those ones where
you gotta go go test your try, try your luckout somewhere,
because that's one of those ones where it's just like
found money.
Speaker 1: I know someone that had the.
Speaker 2: Under and and they were just like, I don't think
they got much sleep last night. Let's put it that way.
Rangers had the chance. I mean, there was really not
much offense in that game until late. Rangers had multiple
chances to win it, and then you lose your under
on just the fireworks that happened when there's a ghost runner,
which is a rule that we need to My goal
is to make this listen like and subscribe. I need
this show to get big enough so I have a
big enough platform to campaign against getting rid of the
ghost runner, the worst rule in professional sports.
Speaker 1: Go ahead, Brian Lenon.
Speaker 3: Also, if you're getting and I know we're getting close
to the end, if you if you're giving out role changes,
any any stats you'll accumulate against a non pitcher should
not count on your records.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's I hate that too.
Speaker 2: Orioles on Friday Night twenty two runs right like it
just can't I get why they're doing it, but it's
it's happening far too often.
Speaker 1: In my opinion, I.
Speaker 3: Think some guys gonna win an MVP. There's one of
these years, whether he gets four or five games against
somebody shortstop and he bets a thousand against him, and
he's gonna win the MVP. It's it's they gotta do
something about.
Speaker 1: It, all right.
Speaker 2: We have a three teamer to close out right now, Tokyo, Brandon,
what is your parlay league for.
Speaker 4: To Dodgers money line? I'm cheating, all right, Dodgers money line. Look,
the Dodgers have Yama Malta. I'm not gonna get too
much into the analysis. I think it's pretty self explanatory.
The Dodgers Achilles heel is their bullpen. But I expect
Yama Moto to go maybe seven innings in this game,
so it shouldn't be much of a factor. Scott's been
a good closer, so they really only have to patch
out one inning there if Yama Molto can go seven.
I like Dodgers on the money line. I know it's cheating.
You guys can throw your tomatoes at me, but hey,
it's a three leg parlay. I'll take them back three hundred.
Speaker 2: I have no issues. I have no issues with that.
I mean, Brian, what is what is the price on that?
Speaker 3: Though we look at it or something with a high line,
you can get anywhere from Pinnacle, which is usually pretty good.
There are three or seven all the way up to
you know, three, three forty at DraftKings.
Speaker 1: So yeah, yeah, yeah, I see.
Speaker 4: I better not be the reason we lose.
Speaker 3: We have not. Let's on these big favorites. By the way, I.
Speaker 1: Have no problem with that. I have no problem with that.
Speaker 2: It is a again, it's a three teamer, and so
far this year, I'm gonna read it off one more time.
So far this year, even with a little bit of
a dip lately, for every dollar, if you were to
play these equally for the same amount, every dollar would
have returned so far eleven twenty four. And listen, sometimes
you got to throw some favorites in there. We need
to get one. And I actually think this is I
like this one right here. It is a two plus
two sixty six. We have Rangers money line. Listen, TV,
I picked a big favorite. So is what it is,
Rangers money line, Dodgers money line. And then Brian's giving
us a little bit of odds here with Guardians team
total under three and a half. So one more time.
Today's parlay for the show A three teamer plus two
sixty six odds. We have Rangers money line, Dodgers' money line,
and then Brian Leonard's got the Guardians team total under
three and a half. All right, we've made it to
the end of the show. Again, I want to point
out we will be here Friday, so fourth of July.
I think it's the only show on wager Talk on Friday.
Everyone else is taking the day off. We're like, no,
it's too big of a baseball day. We gotta do
the show. So we will be completing the week every
day right here, nine am on nine am Eastern. Sorry,
I was looking at the comments. Nine am Eastern, right here,
every day. We'll be back tomorrow morning. It is five
dollars Tuesday at wager Talk. We'll all have plays up
for five bucks. But more importantly, like subscribe and leave
a comment and we'll see you guys in the morning
nine am.