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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It is Tuesday. It is time

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for total Bases.

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Speaker 2: I'm here with Brian Leonard Tokyo Brandon, your go to

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show for Major League Baseball free picks on the wager

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Talk YouTube channel. We've got day baseball on a Tuesday,

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which is actually tremendous. It's not even part of a

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double header. It's just a random day game on a Tuesday.

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Yankees Blue Jays will talk about that. We're going to

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get right into it though. Fifteen games, no time to

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mess around. I want to start and talk about Red's

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Red Sox. But first I want to talk about what

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we saw last night, which was Chase Burns in a

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compromising spot, giving up a touchdown in the first inning

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in his second big league start. It begs the question,

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Brian Leonard, did they rush him up? Should he have

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been in that situation? And where does he go from here?

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So talk to me about that.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I talked about that yesterday. How that was the

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game to watch and it didn't take long to realize

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what was going on. Even the Red Sox announcers were

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mentioning it. They said, they're swinging as if they know

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what pitch is coming. Obviously, they talked about that. They

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said he was tipping his pitches. And I'm no expert,

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but when you're throwing you're known to throw a really

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fast you're great fastball pitcher. You're dominating that regard, and

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he's throwing sliders and curveballs and it's the first pitch

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of the bat and they're right on it. I've never

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seen a game open up with that many first pitch

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swings and they obviously, when you're facing a guy like that,

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you don't want to get behind in the count. We

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saw that with the Brewers rookie. They've been swinging early

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in account with him too, but it was clear that

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something was up, So don't downgrade him based on that start.

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Obviously he didn't pitch well, but when somebody catches that

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early on in your career, you he was he's obviously

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stunned because he doesn't he hadn't been hit like that before.

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So uh yeah, don't don't think that he stucks now

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and he's going down to the minors. They'll correct that

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the next time out, and then he'll probably be back

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similar to where he was in his first start.

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Speaker 2: Tokyo Brandon is a TV as a scout as a scout,

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how how how many?

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Speaker 1: How often did you come across something like that? Like

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where a guy?

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Speaker 2: I mean, I don't think people truly understand how gifted

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and talented these guys are that they could see. They

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can literally see, Okay, so he's squeezing his glove when

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he's gonna throw a slider.

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Speaker 1: He's not when he's gonna throw a fastball.

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Speaker 2: And they can take that information and turn it into

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a four hundred foot rope the other way, like did

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you see a lot of that during your time dealing

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with players?

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Speaker 4: Yes, a lot. And you know, most of the games

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I was watching, we're not, we're not. Most of the

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games I was going to, we're not, you know, top

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level games. They were like double A, triple A in Japan.

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So but yeah, Japanese pictures, though, there are a lot

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more I don't know what the word is, more discipline,

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I guess. So they're a lot less tells and sign

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stealing in Japan because they're really good at like hiding

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that stuff. So uh, yeah, in Japan, not quite as prevalent,

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But the pregame notes are quite important, and I guarantee

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you there were pregame notes on swing he's gonna throw

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a fastball right up the middle on pitch number one

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and swing your ass off. And I guarantee that was

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the pregame notes in that game, and that's what they did.

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And a young guy can't adjust to that, you know,

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he just couldn't adjust to it.

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Speaker 2: Why yeah, and the other the other thing to point

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out to like and just goes back to Brian's point,

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Do not think that that's going to happen next time out,

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because now it's social media, the whole world.

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Speaker 1: Knows you'll have pitching.

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Speaker 2: Pitching Ninja will tell him what he's done wrong in

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a couple hours, right, like he's this used to be like.

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Speaker 1: Oh is he tipping pictures? Like would it would be whispers?

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Speaker 2: Now some dude on social media has broken down how

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he's tipped the pitches before the game's even over. So

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rest assured he will correct that he's not gonna be

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tipping going into going into the next game. I'm going

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to have an apology text thread to all of our

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Canadian friends, Prez mckinnis, Carmi, Freddie Mills, all my Canadian guys.

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Speaker 1: It's Canada Day.

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Speaker 2: That's why there's a day game in Canada, not a

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random day game, but we will get to that one.

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Speaker 1: I want to stay here first.

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Speaker 2: Let's go back to Brian Reynards, Brian Leonard, Jesus Christ,

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Brian Leonard.

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Speaker 1: It's Red.

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Speaker 2: I was trying to say Brady Singer and Brian Leonard

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at the same time, and that's what came out.

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Speaker 1: Anyway, Red's Red Sox.

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Speaker 2: Now we have the Reds coming off of a blowout loss,

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but actually a pitching matchup that I think is somewhat

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appealing to the visitors.

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Speaker 1: So how are you seeing this one at Fenway?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, the way Brady Singer has been pitching lately, it

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could be Brian Leonard. He started in a season all

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with a great effort as for time out and we thought, well,

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maybe his fly ball tendencies wouldn't hurt him in Cincinnati.

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But it comes in with a four point three one era,

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four point seven one expected, one point three to three whip.

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It's got great extension ninety first percentle. But if you

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take a look at the stackcast page, everything else is

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blue chase rate six percentile barrel rate twelve percent, tile

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average ex velocity eleventh. That means he's getting hit and

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he's getting hit hard, and he's going up against Richard

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fitz here, who's a guy that really showed in spring training.

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The team really liked what they saw. But because of

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injuries and because of other pitchers that they're fighting for

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the position, he hasn't got much of a chance to pitch.

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He's only thrown six games and he hasn't looked that

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great when you take a look at his numbers, four

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point six to eighty RA, five point eighty eight expected,

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one point two eight whip. His chase rate is elite

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ninety third percentile. But you've got to get the uh,

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You've got to get ahead of the count to get

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them to chase. And right now his barrel rat is

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in the first percent ile, expected a third percentile. So

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he's a better pitcher than what he has shown based

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on the way Boston was talking about him coming into

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the season. But it would not surprise me here if

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both teams do some damage. We've got in this one

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we're looking at. Fits is now basically about a one

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eleven favorite. Ah, your totals ten. Anytime you get a

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ten in Boston, you know that they're expecting some offense

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and the pitchers are not elite, so I even though

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the line or the nine is ten here, I still

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would expect this game be one of the higher scoring

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games on the day. The only problem is that the

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line is ten, meaning you got to get eleven to win.

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And Boston, as we pointed out just a minute ago,

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kind of knew what was coming yesterday, which is why

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the offense looks so good. But this Boston team seemed

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to be good. Yeah, yes today, then I think their

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hitting is better than what they've shown. I'm not so

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down on their offense since the trade. So yeah, if

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my first luck on this one would be the over.

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Speaker 4: I'm definitely not playing this game, so I'll make it

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quite brief. Both bullpens. I have them both ranked twenty

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four out of thirty in current form, so not very good.

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I agree with Brian's assessment on Singers, there should be

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a lot of blue. Have him ranked in the bottom

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one third of all starting pitchers. His career average in

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forty at bats against this team is quite high, but

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his OPS is not. So it means he gives up

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a lot of hits, but not a lot of It

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means he gives up a lot of singles, but not

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a lot of doubles and home runs. He's given up

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zero home runs to them, actually, so I don't really

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know what to read from that or what to expect

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regarding fits. I don't have enough information for him to

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log into my database. But he doesn't go deep into games,

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that's for sure. And he's only what He went six

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innings twice five innings once the beginning of the season,

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but since then he's gone three innings, one inning, four innings.

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He doesn't walk a lot of people, which is good,

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but I just don't know what to expect from him.

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So I'm gonna pass on this one.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, there's gonna be there's gonna be a lot of

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runs in this game.

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Speaker 2: In my opinion, I've been very disappointed in Singer.

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Speaker 1: He was someone that I was high on coming into

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the season. If you listen to sort of or if

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you watched any of Red spring training and kind of

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followed them coming into the year, they really talked up

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his improved pitch mix and and you know, coming over

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from from Kansas City, how they tweaked some things and

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it was all very encouraging. And then you watched his

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first couple of starts and you started to see some

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of that with increased strikeout numbers if you go back,

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like he had a pretty good April, you know, right

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out of the gate, but since then it's just you know,

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I guess, I guess the strikeouts have come back around

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the last couple starts nine against the Yankees, seven against

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the Red against the Cardinals, But in the subsequent starts

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it was all for a strikeouts, hard contact, like not

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not something that I really want to go in and

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go to, you know, go into Fenway and put on

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the line right because like Brian said, this Red Sox

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offense is not that bad. I know people are still

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hung up on Devors not being in the lineup. Listen,

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when it's all said and done.

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Speaker 2: I truly believe that we're like Dev's Roman Anthony, you

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know what I mean, Like, I think Roman Anthony is

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gonna end up being a superstar when it's all said

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and done.

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Speaker 1: So so I don't.

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Speaker 2: Think paving the way to make room for him to

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hit third and then for William or Breu to come

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back in and get at that. I just don't think

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like the Dever's absence makes that big of a deal.

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And so therefore I'm not down on the Red Sox offense.

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Richard Fitz not someone that I under I don't understand

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the hype based on what I've watched with my own eyes.

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With minor league baseball, I watch a ton of it.

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I've seen him pitch plenty at Worcester. I've seen him

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pitch in person I think twice, you know, during his

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time in TRIPAA. I've never really fully got the like

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he's gonna be a quality big league pitcher for a

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long time and on a forty man roster. I don't

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know that he's ever really truly in a big league rotation.

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That that's where the disconnect is for me. I think

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the Reds can definitely get to him. So my number

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is more than ten. Is that what this is right now?

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Brian Leonard?

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Speaker 1: Ten?

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Speaker 3: Yeah?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Listen, this.

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Speaker 2: Is one of those scenarios where I feel like both

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teams get to five, Like I think you're gonna have

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both teams get to five. It's like a seven to

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five type game. I do lean toward the over all, right,

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get Brian Leonard? Do you think like is Canada Day

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like his pres out in his backyard set and fireworks

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off and shit, like how does that work?

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Speaker 3: But I have a quick story, and I've said this before.

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I once went up when I was Canada, back when

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they played an exhibition stadium, and I went up on

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the fourth of July with some friends of mine and

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it's the fourth of July. It's in the United States.

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You celebrated that, you know, you set up the fireworks

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and everything. My buddy turns to the Canadian behind us.

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He goes, so, when is your fourth of July? And

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the guy looks at me, goes fourth. What he meant was,

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when do you celebrate your independence? And yeah, it is

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a big deal up there. And they have Boxing Day

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also up there in Canada, and yeah, it's a very

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important day. And yeah, with Toronto playing at home here

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against the Yankees, with the Yankees ace on the mound,

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you would think that sellout crowd, big big deal here

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in Toronto for this one Freed against Gousman. Right now,

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Freed is basically a one fifty three favorite and we're

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looking at an eight. And my first thought of this

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was Toronto's done against lefties. Let me see what Toronto's

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done the last month here. Toronto's ninth in baseball with

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a one oh four WRC plus. So they've hit lefties

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pretty well lately, and even though the Yankee starter Freed

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is having a tremendous year, he's been a little bit

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lucky in that regard. His ERA comes in at one

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point nine two, but he's expected ERA is three point

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three to zero. His whip's excellent, zero point nine four.

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That's the best he's had in a while. Last year

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was one point one six, So I see some regression

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coming for Max Freed. He doesn't walk anybody, which is great.

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Last year he walked eight eight percent and this year

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he's down to four point nine eight. Was kind of

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an outlier early in his career nine point nine fourteen

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point one in his first two seasons, didn't pitch much obviously,

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but he's gotten better in that. I think he'll walk

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more people as it goes on. I kind of like

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Toronto in this one, Goffsmith's pretty well three. It's gonna

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be four point two on e r A three point

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eight two expected one point zero six whip. He's not dominant,

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but he's not blown you away in any any categories.

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To chas right in the eightieth percentile, walk right seventy fifth,

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so he's uh, he's been a solid pitcher, and uh,

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you're getting him head home in this in this day

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game where there's probably gonna be a lot of people there.

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And of course Yankees fans travel and they've always gone

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to Toronto. They're always going to Cleveland, Detroit in that area.

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There'll be a lot of Yankees fans there too. But uh,

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I kind of like Toronto as a home underdog in

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this situation.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, Freed, Freed freed to is elite, but can he

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keep it up is the question? And the way I

268
00:13:43,720 --> 00:13:48,360
have these two teams set up, men, Uh, I got

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Freed a lot better than Gusman, but I have both

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bullpens struggling a bit. Uh, and man, the Yankees' bats

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are really struggling. So I would love to back the

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00:13:59,240 --> 00:14:04,279
Yankees here, but being the fact that they're facing a

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really good picture. Well it hasn't been so great this season,

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but but generally speaking, Gousman is a reliable guy. Uh,

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two bad bullpens, one lineup that's totally struggling right now,

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So I'm not going to play this one. Unfortunately, I

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00:14:20,159 --> 00:14:24,000
did look at Freed and Gousman's strikeout props and outs props,

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and I didn't see anything. I liked there either, so

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unfortunately I have to stay off it.

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Speaker 1: Someone's asking if the roof's going to be open.

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Speaker 2: I think it'll I think it's based on how hot

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it is out So if it if it like starts

283
00:14:36,720 --> 00:14:39,240
to approach like ninety, or if it's going to be

284
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a very hot day, I think they typically would keep

285
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it closed. I would have to see what the roof

286
00:14:46,480 --> 00:14:51,159
open does to total runs. Like so, I'm actually leaning

287
00:14:51,200 --> 00:14:53,879
toward another over here. That's that's scary. We've talked two

288
00:14:53,919 --> 00:14:56,039
games and I have like two overs that I can't

289
00:14:56,080 --> 00:14:57,120
see that ending well.

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Speaker 1: But you know, I kind of look at these two teams.

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Speaker 2: Blue Jays are rolling offensively right now, timely hits there,

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They're just I love the way this team is playing.

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Speaker 1: I don't want to bet against them.

294
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Speaker 2: I do think maybe a familiar face in Gossman could

295
00:15:11,480 --> 00:15:13,399
get the Yankees lineup going a little bit. He's a

296
00:15:13,440 --> 00:15:17,360
guy that's been around forever, which means the Yankees everyone

297
00:15:17,399 --> 00:15:19,399
in this Yankees lineup for the most part, has seen

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him a ton.

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Speaker 1: I think that could maybe help the Bats get going.

300
00:15:23,480 --> 00:15:25,759
Speaker 2: That The thing I think really helps the Yankees bats

301
00:15:25,799 --> 00:15:28,360
is at the end of this game, when the Blue

302
00:15:28,399 --> 00:15:31,399
Jays suddenly don't have many bullpen arms because we remember

303
00:15:31,440 --> 00:15:33,679
there's still you know, Hawkmins pitched a couple of days

304
00:15:33,679 --> 00:15:38,279
in a row. They're still without Garcia, right like I

305
00:15:38,320 --> 00:15:41,559
don't They're still without Garcia at the end of games there, Brian.

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Speaker 1: Is that correct? He's been out? Yeah think yeah, yes.

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Speaker 2: So I've praised the Blue Jays bullpen numerous times. But

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the one thing I think they do lack is a

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00:15:53,159 --> 00:15:55,639
little bit of depth, like once you get past those

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00:15:55,960 --> 00:15:59,240
couple high leverage guys. So for that reason, I think

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00:15:59,240 --> 00:16:02,159
there could be runs or late. I don't think the

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00:16:02,159 --> 00:16:05,279
Blue Jays are are just gonna get shut out by

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00:16:05,440 --> 00:16:08,720
free Like I could see them generating some offense off free.

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00:16:08,840 --> 00:16:11,080
If you only need to get to eight here, that

315
00:16:11,200 --> 00:16:14,080
seems reasonable. I kind of I make this one closer

316
00:16:14,120 --> 00:16:16,799
to nine. Again, not a huge edge, but I think

317
00:16:16,840 --> 00:16:18,360
I'd be on. I think i'd be on the over.

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00:16:18,440 --> 00:16:20,519
This is another one I said. I said, maybe Reds

319
00:16:20,519 --> 00:16:21,919
and Red Sox both get to five.

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00:16:22,240 --> 00:16:23,960
Speaker 1: Kind of feel like both find their way to four

321
00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:26,720
at some point here, and if that happens, you've gotten over.

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00:16:26,799 --> 00:16:30,960
Speaker 3: Brian. Did you just add Yeah, Toronto's team total is

323
00:16:31,000 --> 00:16:33,000
three and a half to the under thirty five. Sure

324
00:16:33,080 --> 00:16:37,279
getting paid plus money for them to score four runs,

325
00:16:37,279 --> 00:16:38,639
that might not be a bad bet either.

326
00:16:40,639 --> 00:16:44,519
Speaker 2: So HB Sports Video was the person that reminded me

327
00:16:44,559 --> 00:16:46,720
it was Canada Day and he says the dome will

328
00:16:46,759 --> 00:16:49,159
be open. So first thing I would do if I

329
00:16:49,200 --> 00:16:51,919
was gonna bet that game from a totals perspective is

330
00:16:52,120 --> 00:16:55,440
just try to go get splits on on runs total

331
00:16:55,519 --> 00:16:58,279
runs with the roof open against the roof closed. I

332
00:16:58,279 --> 00:17:00,519
got to imagine the roof open makes it makes the

333
00:17:00,559 --> 00:17:03,159
ball carry a little bit better. Is that usually how

334
00:17:03,200 --> 00:17:05,279
it goes, especially if it's kind of I don't know,

335
00:17:05,720 --> 00:17:08,599
I'm not good at I don't know. I don't want

336
00:17:08,599 --> 00:17:12,799
to like, I don't want to like say uh, something inaccurate.

337
00:17:12,839 --> 00:17:15,920
But again, I would check that. I'm sure it's out

338
00:17:15,920 --> 00:17:18,960
there where you can see Toronto. Total runs with the

339
00:17:19,039 --> 00:17:22,720
roof open Steven balances over does make sense. So we'll see,

340
00:17:22,960 --> 00:17:26,079
we'll see if we get uh, if we get that one,

341
00:17:27,720 --> 00:17:32,559
all right, Jose Perez as a roof open ball definitely carries.

342
00:17:34,440 --> 00:17:36,400
Speaker 1: Okay, gotta do this one.

343
00:17:36,440 --> 00:17:40,799
Speaker 2: Everyone's favorite team on this on this show, Tiger is

344
00:17:40,839 --> 00:17:43,119
the Tigers apparently. But I have an opinion here today

345
00:17:43,119 --> 00:17:44,960
and I kind of want to talk about this team today,

346
00:17:45,440 --> 00:17:48,079
and I think my opinion is going to please the

347
00:17:48,200 --> 00:17:49,799
masses today.

348
00:17:49,960 --> 00:17:53,799
Speaker 1: A little teaser. Uh So, we have the Detroit Tigers.

349
00:17:54,240 --> 00:17:56,359
Speaker 2: They are taking on They are hitting the road, heading

350
00:17:56,359 --> 00:17:59,400
to Washington, DC to take on the Washington Nationals.

351
00:17:59,400 --> 00:18:01,440
Speaker 1: Brian Leonard start us off. Tiger's man.

352
00:18:03,039 --> 00:18:07,119
Speaker 3: Flirty on the road. He's had major splits this year.

353
00:18:07,839 --> 00:18:10,799
His home games three point eight three e r A

354
00:18:11,000 --> 00:18:13,880
one point one to one whip, road games six point

355
00:18:13,960 --> 00:18:17,640
one seven ERA one point four all whip. That is

356
00:18:17,680 --> 00:18:21,720
a concern here. The current line on this game is

357
00:18:23,000 --> 00:18:26,279
Detroit one. Basically about a one to fifty favorite, maybe

358
00:18:26,319 --> 00:18:29,519
one fifty one in a total of nine and a

359
00:18:29,559 --> 00:18:33,400
half with Williams going for Washington. Williams is a guy

360
00:18:33,480 --> 00:18:37,160
that I usually find value in, but this year he

361
00:18:37,240 --> 00:18:39,200
just saysn't pitch very well. He comes in with a

362
00:18:39,240 --> 00:18:42,119
five point sixty five ERA four point two to one

363
00:18:42,200 --> 00:18:46,000
expected one point four to seven whip. He's whip in

364
00:18:46,000 --> 00:18:47,799
his career is one point three seven. That's been his

365
00:18:47,880 --> 00:18:51,880
major problem. He does if he gets behind on on

366
00:18:51,920 --> 00:18:55,000
a good hitter, he'll not try to challenge him, he'll

367
00:18:55,039 --> 00:18:57,079
he'll just put him on. And there's a few guys

368
00:18:57,119 --> 00:19:00,559
that do that night. I fully understand that one of

369
00:19:00,599 --> 00:19:03,079
the injured Padres pitchers is one of the guys that

370
00:19:03,160 --> 00:19:07,119
does that, is with the Dodgers now. So, yeah, Williams

371
00:19:07,240 --> 00:19:11,200
doesn't walk anybody eighty six percent tile extension eighty third percentile.

372
00:19:11,839 --> 00:19:14,839
But he does get hit hard fastball velocity in the

373
00:19:14,839 --> 00:19:18,960
first percentile, and he still throws that fastball forty two

374
00:19:19,000 --> 00:19:21,920
percent of the time. If you don't have a good fastball,

375
00:19:22,119 --> 00:19:24,640
don't throw it. This is the major leagues. That's where

376
00:19:24,640 --> 00:19:27,319
he gets into trouble. He's got some other pitch. He

377
00:19:27,359 --> 00:19:30,000
got four other pitches he throws nine percent or more

378
00:19:30,400 --> 00:19:33,680
mixed more of those in. You just can't. You cannot

379
00:19:33,720 --> 00:19:36,400
have a bad fastball in major league baseball and succeed.

380
00:19:37,720 --> 00:19:40,720
If you could throw ninety five and higher, you can

381
00:19:40,759 --> 00:19:43,119
have some success. We'll get to the Cleveland game a

382
00:19:43,200 --> 00:19:46,200
little bit later, and that's the situation that Williams is in.

383
00:19:46,319 --> 00:19:52,119
But yeah, in this one here, don't I don't want

384
00:19:52,119 --> 00:19:54,920
to lay the number on Flairty on the road because

385
00:19:55,400 --> 00:19:59,680
he does struggle on the road. Washington's got good young hitters.

386
00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:02,319
We like them, we'd like them like Miami's young hitters.

387
00:20:02,519 --> 00:20:06,359
We've found some success that way here. So if I

388
00:20:06,440 --> 00:20:08,039
was to play anything in this one may be a

389
00:20:08,160 --> 00:20:13,160
Washington team total over. Currently the team total on this

390
00:20:13,200 --> 00:20:17,680
one is three and a half to the over on forty.

391
00:20:17,799 --> 00:20:20,200
So you get four runs in this one out of

392
00:20:20,240 --> 00:20:22,640
the host, you got a chance. That's a lean for me.

393
00:20:22,799 --> 00:20:24,640
It probably won't make my card, but that's the way

394
00:20:24,640 --> 00:20:25,880
I would look at her this one.

395
00:20:28,920 --> 00:20:33,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, I actually have Williams rank higher than Flarity, which

396
00:20:33,279 --> 00:20:35,319
is kind of surprising me because I don't like Williams

397
00:20:35,319 --> 00:20:44,160
at all. I guess I mean strikeouts wise, Flarity's strikeouts

398
00:20:44,200 --> 00:20:47,240
is five and a half here. It's pretty hard to

399
00:20:47,240 --> 00:20:49,319
get six strikeouts. I mean he did it his last

400
00:20:49,319 --> 00:20:52,200
game against the Athletics. Before that he got three, and

401
00:20:52,279 --> 00:20:55,839
he's really up and down. He does get five here,

402
00:20:56,640 --> 00:20:59,960
but you know that would be one way to go

403
00:21:00,759 --> 00:21:07,119
otherwise other than that he walks people leson Williams. But

404
00:21:08,839 --> 00:21:12,960
Tigers are better at everything besides the starter, and the

405
00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:18,359
starter discrepancy is not that big in my opinion. Bullpen wise,

406
00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:22,079
Tigers have a huge advantage batting. They're both hitting really well,

407
00:21:22,480 --> 00:21:27,039
I guess. I guess I might even go with a

408
00:21:27,079 --> 00:21:32,240
Tiger's team total over here, going with the team total theme.

409
00:21:33,240 --> 00:21:35,640
Maybe not enough for me to play it, but I

410
00:21:35,680 --> 00:21:38,240
would either go Tigers or a Tiger's team total here.

411
00:21:40,400 --> 00:21:43,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, I see a pretty considerable edge here for the Tigers.

412
00:21:44,359 --> 00:21:46,319
Speaker 2: I'm not sure that I want to pay the price

413
00:21:46,359 --> 00:21:49,160
for it, think by just one fifty probably price is

414
00:21:49,200 --> 00:21:51,440
about the line is about right here in my opinion.

415
00:21:51,480 --> 00:21:54,799
But you've got a Tigers team that didn't play yesterday,

416
00:21:55,440 --> 00:21:58,519
that played on Sunday, and it was schoolble for seven

417
00:21:58,559 --> 00:21:59,680
and then pretty.

418
00:21:59,519 --> 00:22:02,640
Speaker 1: Pretty easy inning for Kinley, pretty easy inning for will

419
00:22:02,960 --> 00:22:08,279
for vest I don't see Williams limiting the damage enough

420
00:22:08,319 --> 00:22:10,960
where the Tigers aren't in position to win this game late.

421
00:22:11,799 --> 00:22:14,680
And so the only thing I see, the only thing

422
00:22:14,720 --> 00:22:17,680
I could see being an issue here for the Tigers

423
00:22:18,160 --> 00:22:21,519
is if if they if they give Flarerity too long

424
00:22:21,559 --> 00:22:23,559
of a leash, because he's like a veteran guy and

425
00:22:23,599 --> 00:22:25,720
he's kind of I guess he's earned the right to

426
00:22:25,839 --> 00:22:27,559
like go out there and throw a hundred pitches if

427
00:22:27,559 --> 00:22:30,759
he if he can, right, because like aj Hinch doesn't

428
00:22:30,799 --> 00:22:33,359
mess around with certain people, right, some some guys, it's

429
00:22:33,400 --> 00:22:36,759
like the second he thinks he wants to play bullpen matchup,

430
00:22:36,799 --> 00:22:40,000
he's gonna do it. But I do feel like Flarity

431
00:22:40,039 --> 00:22:44,079
gets that like veteran respect sometimes where like they're gonna

432
00:22:44,079 --> 00:22:46,799
they're gonna sort of let him stay in right like

433
00:22:46,880 --> 00:22:49,519
he's he's a little bit he's not as quick to

434
00:22:49,640 --> 00:22:53,000
yank him as he is, like maybe pretty much anyone

435
00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:56,039
other than Triaks Google who can do whatever he wants.

436
00:22:56,559 --> 00:22:57,160
That's fine.

437
00:22:57,400 --> 00:23:01,000
Speaker 2: So for me here, if I knew the second Flarity

438
00:23:01,079 --> 00:23:03,039
was going to get into trouble in this game that

439
00:23:03,119 --> 00:23:05,759
he was out, I'd be all in on the Tigers here,

440
00:23:06,200 --> 00:23:08,880
because this is again I don't think. I don't think

441
00:23:08,960 --> 00:23:12,000
Williams limits the damage enough where the Tigers aren't into

442
00:23:12,039 --> 00:23:14,440
the sixth or the seventh inning either tied or in

443
00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:18,119
the lead. So maybe maybe this is something Brian Leonard

444
00:23:18,200 --> 00:23:19,880
likes to talk about where you kind of watch and

445
00:23:19,880 --> 00:23:22,960
see how it's going, and then if it's a close game,

446
00:23:23,000 --> 00:23:24,920
maybe Tiger's down one where you know you're going to

447
00:23:25,000 --> 00:23:27,839
get bullpen arms. I would say the Tigers have a

448
00:23:27,839 --> 00:23:31,119
considerable advantage at the end of this game, So I

449
00:23:31,240 --> 00:23:34,400
lean Tigers don't know if it will make my client card,

450
00:23:34,440 --> 00:23:38,400
but I really just truly feel that they're just far superior,

451
00:23:38,640 --> 00:23:41,240
and Williams is not the guy that I want to

452
00:23:41,279 --> 00:23:43,680
go to war with with the Dats. There are guys

453
00:23:43,720 --> 00:23:47,079
on this rotation that I'm fine with backing. Williams is

454
00:23:47,880 --> 00:23:50,400
not one of them. So Tigers are passed for me.

455
00:23:50,759 --> 00:23:55,599
Speaker 1: Titan cet. It's July first, we have to talk about them.

456
00:23:55,839 --> 00:23:58,880
Speaker 4: Oh, go ahead, Sorry, let me interrupt real quick before

457
00:23:58,920 --> 00:24:01,079
you get to the next game. Everyone that it's five

458
00:24:01,119 --> 00:24:06,680
dollars Tuesday, five dollars Tuesday. If you see, yeah, I

459
00:24:06,759 --> 00:24:09,279
just did. If you look down there, all of us

460
00:24:09,319 --> 00:24:11,680
probably will have a five dollars playout. I already have

461
00:24:11,799 --> 00:24:16,400
one out. But let's do a quick promo here. We

462
00:24:16,440 --> 00:24:19,880
are the best baseball cappers probably on the planet. You

463
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can get a play from us for five dollars. In

464
00:24:22,640 --> 00:24:24,880
baseball is pretty much the only thing going on right now.

465
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So go down there to the scroll bar. You'll see

466
00:24:27,119 --> 00:24:30,400
all of our sites and we usually put free plays

467
00:24:30,440 --> 00:24:33,400
up too, so there is value in taking the five

468
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seconds to go check our web pages out.

469
00:24:35,640 --> 00:24:36,480
Speaker 1: Sorry, go ahead.

470
00:24:36,960 --> 00:24:38,880
Speaker 3: Brandon only had a little bit of confidence.

471
00:24:40,200 --> 00:24:45,079
Speaker 2: Yeah, probably in the world I would say so and

472
00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:47,680
also like and subscribe, appreciate it.

473
00:24:49,319 --> 00:24:49,599
Speaker 1: Again.

474
00:24:49,720 --> 00:24:51,960
Speaker 2: It goes, Yes, it goes a long way for us.

475
00:24:53,079 --> 00:24:56,960
The replays and subscribes are are huge. Okay, we're getting

476
00:24:56,960 --> 00:25:00,640
back to baseball. Chat is July first, Titans. We have

477
00:25:00,759 --> 00:25:03,440
to talk about the Mets because they're writing a one

478
00:25:03,440 --> 00:25:06,799
point one million dollar check to Bobby Bonia again today.

479
00:25:07,960 --> 00:25:10,759
I believe there's ten more years of this. I believe

480
00:25:10,759 --> 00:25:13,720
we've got ten more years of Bobby Bonia collecting one

481
00:25:13,759 --> 00:25:17,359
point one ninety three million dollars on July first. But

482
00:25:17,400 --> 00:25:19,960
that's no big deal. Money is no option to that organization.

483
00:25:20,000 --> 00:25:23,519
They're paying want Sodo and trillion dollars as well. So

484
00:25:25,200 --> 00:25:29,160
you know, to this point though Brian Leonard hasn't hasn't

485
00:25:29,200 --> 00:25:32,400
fully paid off yet, but it's still kind of early.

486
00:25:32,519 --> 00:25:35,880
Speaker 1: That being said, the Mets after this past.

487
00:25:35,640 --> 00:25:37,880
Speaker 2: Weekend, I don't know where they like well, I don't

488
00:25:37,920 --> 00:25:40,079
know what needs to happen. I think you got to

489
00:25:40,079 --> 00:25:43,440
bring Grimace back out for a first pitch, get something going,

490
00:25:43,519 --> 00:25:46,559
because uh, I gotta be honest, that was I know

491
00:25:46,640 --> 00:25:48,680
you you you took a tough loss with the Mets

492
00:25:49,200 --> 00:25:50,200
for a five percenter.

493
00:25:50,920 --> 00:25:52,240
Speaker 1: That was so baffling to me.

494
00:25:52,400 --> 00:25:55,279
Speaker 2: I thought for sure that off of those two braves

495
00:25:55,319 --> 00:25:59,119
wins the Mets. This was a dream spot for the

496
00:25:59,160 --> 00:26:01,720
Mets to just take off. And not only did they

497
00:26:01,759 --> 00:26:05,880
not win your game on Friday, they got absolutely smacked

498
00:26:05,920 --> 00:26:06,839
around all weekend.

499
00:26:06,920 --> 00:26:10,359
Speaker 1: It is hard to wrap my head around it. Where

500
00:26:10,440 --> 00:26:12,480
do they go and what do you expect to see

501
00:26:12,480 --> 00:26:13,000
from them here?

502
00:26:13,759 --> 00:26:17,160
Speaker 3: Bobby Bennia hasn't played for the Mets in decades and

503
00:26:17,200 --> 00:26:19,160
he's still the only guy on this team who earned

504
00:26:19,200 --> 00:26:25,000
his paycheck this month. This team's been horrendous. It's I'm

505
00:26:25,079 --> 00:26:27,480
dumbfounded by the talent on this team and the way

506
00:26:27,480 --> 00:26:30,839
they have played. They have done everything possible. They brought

507
00:26:30,880 --> 00:26:33,400
up guys from the miners, they've sent some guys down,

508
00:26:33,640 --> 00:26:36,519
they changed the pitching chef, They've had other guys coming in,

509
00:26:37,079 --> 00:26:41,240
they've had team meetings. Nothing has changed here for the Mets.

510
00:26:42,599 --> 00:26:44,960
And to be totally honest with you, the first thing

511
00:26:45,000 --> 00:26:46,960
I looked at last night was how can I go

512
00:26:47,039 --> 00:26:52,319
against the Mets today? Unfortunately, everybody, including the lines maker

513
00:26:52,440 --> 00:26:56,079
knows a lot of the Mets fans have fallen off

514
00:26:56,119 --> 00:26:57,960
the side of the boat and they're not getting back

515
00:26:58,000 --> 00:27:01,960
on the game opens up homes against Peralta, Holmes is

516
00:27:02,000 --> 00:27:05,640
about a one twenty favorite. Parolta catching about a you know,

517
00:27:05,759 --> 00:27:08,119
one ten the other day the other way total of

518
00:27:08,160 --> 00:27:10,759
eight and a half. If this game had been played

519
00:27:11,079 --> 00:27:14,920
two weeks ago, Holmes is probably about a one fifty

520
00:27:14,960 --> 00:27:18,759
favorite U. So you've lost a lot of value. By

521
00:27:19,359 --> 00:27:23,759
the way, this is gone for Milwaukee, and I would

522
00:27:23,759 --> 00:27:26,160
still play Milwaukee at the bad number rather than play

523
00:27:26,200 --> 00:27:30,079
the Mets. Freddy Parolta two point nine ora a three

524
00:27:30,119 --> 00:27:34,000
point seven four expected, so some luck on his side

525
00:27:34,039 --> 00:27:37,720
one point one to three whip. He's a flyball pitcher

526
00:27:38,440 --> 00:27:40,680
seventy seven percent of the time. It's a flyball to

527
00:27:40,720 --> 00:27:43,880
parted to the ground ball ground ball twenty third percentile,

528
00:27:44,480 --> 00:27:49,680
So this is a pretty good pitcher's ballpark, so I

529
00:27:49,720 --> 00:27:52,160
don't think that'll affect him. This is one of those

530
00:27:52,200 --> 00:27:56,240
guys that still throws the four seamer a lot fifty

531
00:27:56,279 --> 00:28:00,720
eight percent, but his fastball off a lot. He's still

532
00:28:00,880 --> 00:28:06,640
about leg average sixty first percentile average eggs velocity seventy six,

533
00:28:06,720 --> 00:28:10,160
so he still has that dominant fastball and some other

534
00:28:10,200 --> 00:28:13,160
guys just don't have it. Clay Holmes, he's been lucky.

535
00:28:13,319 --> 00:28:15,440
He's been very lucky, and I've got them on a

536
00:28:15,440 --> 00:28:19,440
few of my fantasy teams, and I'm waiting for the

537
00:28:20,359 --> 00:28:23,440
acts to fall as they say, two point ninety seventy

538
00:28:23,519 --> 00:28:26,480
or a four point one to two expected one point

539
00:28:26,480 --> 00:28:32,039
two far whip, great ground ball pitcher ninetieth percentile, terrible extension,

540
00:28:32,160 --> 00:28:37,119
seventh percentile. He's he's one of those bend but don't

541
00:28:37,119 --> 00:28:39,680
break guys so far this year, and I'm afraid it's

542
00:28:39,720 --> 00:28:43,519
going to break pretty soon. I prefer Milwaukee in this game.

543
00:28:43,720 --> 00:28:46,519
Maybe let's take a look at the team total here

544
00:28:46,559 --> 00:28:50,480
for the Brewers three and a half over thirty five.

545
00:28:50,880 --> 00:28:53,440
So they get to four, they get a winner. Yeah,

546
00:28:53,480 --> 00:28:56,279
I can do that. Milwaukee team total probably my best

547
00:28:56,519 --> 00:29:00,279
play on this game. Yeah.

548
00:29:00,319 --> 00:29:04,119
Speaker 4: I glad to hear Brian saying that, because when I

549
00:29:04,160 --> 00:29:06,240
looked at this line, the first thing I thought is

550
00:29:06,839 --> 00:29:10,680
why are the Brewers underdog here? It doesn't make sense

551
00:29:10,680 --> 00:29:15,759
to me. So I looked at badding Brewer's huge advantage.

552
00:29:16,759 --> 00:29:21,960
The Mets are doing nothing these days, you know, just

553
00:29:22,079 --> 00:29:27,440
terrible bullpen. Mets ranked twenty three, Brewers rank eight, and

554
00:29:27,640 --> 00:29:33,960
Peralta is ranked higher than Clay Home. So I look

555
00:29:34,079 --> 00:29:36,480
for something to talk me out of it. You know,

556
00:29:36,559 --> 00:29:40,000
I'm kind of like an alcoholic waiting for someone to

557
00:29:40,039 --> 00:29:42,480
take the bottle out of my hand. Right. So I

558
00:29:42,559 --> 00:29:46,920
go to Peralta's career numbers against the Mets, and they're stellar.

559
00:29:47,160 --> 00:29:49,920
A one forty three average against in sixty three at bats,

560
00:29:50,519 --> 00:29:54,559
A six four ops amazing. So the only red flag

561
00:29:54,599 --> 00:29:57,519
I saw on the Brewers today is the fact that

562
00:29:57,559 --> 00:30:00,839
Perlta is his numbers are pretty pour on the road

563
00:30:00,880 --> 00:30:02,799
compared to his home. His home numbers has got like

564
00:30:02,880 --> 00:30:05,319
a one four two era and on the road it's

565
00:30:05,359 --> 00:30:08,240
like four oh two four one something like that. So

566
00:30:08,680 --> 00:30:10,480
that was the only thing I saw. But I think

567
00:30:10,519 --> 00:30:14,799
the fact that against these batters he has held them down,

568
00:30:14,920 --> 00:30:17,960
I don't really care if he's in New York or not.

569
00:30:18,400 --> 00:30:20,720
Another thing that scares me a little bit is the

570
00:30:20,759 --> 00:30:23,519
Mets are a really good home team, but I think

571
00:30:24,359 --> 00:30:27,759
they're they're stuck in the mud right now, and I

572
00:30:27,799 --> 00:30:31,119
think that trumps the fact that their home record's really good.

573
00:30:31,640 --> 00:30:35,880
So yeah, I mean, when when when teams are having

574
00:30:35,960 --> 00:30:38,519
team meetings and then go out and get outscored thirty

575
00:30:38,519 --> 00:30:42,359
four to four in a three game series after after

576
00:30:42,440 --> 00:30:47,319
a player only team meeting that tells you there, I

577
00:30:47,359 --> 00:30:50,519
don't see him shaking it. They're they're going to eventually,

578
00:30:51,039 --> 00:30:53,599
But is it gonna be today against Peralta. I doubt it.

579
00:30:53,920 --> 00:30:56,160
So I like Milwaukee on plus money.

580
00:30:58,599 --> 00:31:02,519
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take two comments from the chat and that's

581
00:31:02,519 --> 00:31:05,319
gonna be my breakdown for this game, because that's that's

582
00:31:05,359 --> 00:31:07,119
exactly what I agree with, and I don't have much

583
00:31:07,160 --> 00:31:07,720
more past this.

584
00:31:07,839 --> 00:31:10,519
Speaker 1: Ethan says, like the spoper both teams in this one.

585
00:31:10,759 --> 00:31:12,519
Speaker 2: Gut tells me the Mets get the w but don't

586
00:31:12,519 --> 00:31:14,200
want to take them as a favorite right now. Yeah,

587
00:31:14,279 --> 00:31:16,880
that's kind of how I feel. My gut says they

588
00:31:16,920 --> 00:31:19,759
find a way here. I'm not laying the minus one

589
00:31:19,799 --> 00:31:22,279
twenty five. I also agree with Chad. If this was

590
00:31:22,319 --> 00:31:24,559
fourteen days ago, and this is pretty much what Brian said.

591
00:31:24,880 --> 00:31:26,839
If this was fourteen days ago, we'd be like, why

592
00:31:26,839 --> 00:31:29,039
are the Mets only minus one twenty five against the Brewers?

593
00:31:29,559 --> 00:31:32,400
Speaker 1: It is a scary one and I'm with you guys.

594
00:31:32,720 --> 00:31:35,759
Speaker 2: I think Sean commented about Baralta in the chat like

595
00:31:36,119 --> 00:31:39,039
I don't mind playing against the Brewers at some point

596
00:31:39,039 --> 00:31:39,759
in this series.

597
00:31:40,400 --> 00:31:43,200
Speaker 1: The one guy I don't really care to play against.

598
00:31:42,880 --> 00:31:45,000
Speaker 2: On this in this Brewer's rotation right now, well other

599
00:31:45,039 --> 00:31:48,279
than Misorowski, I suppose. But like Peralta has just been

600
00:31:48,279 --> 00:31:50,559
good for a long time. Now, how do the Mets

601
00:31:50,599 --> 00:31:52,799
win this game? Probably hit a couple of home runs.

602
00:31:52,880 --> 00:31:54,960
That's the one area Peralta will give up the fly

603
00:31:55,079 --> 00:31:57,920
ball and if they could get a If the Mets

604
00:31:57,920 --> 00:32:00,599
can hit a couple that leave the ballpark, I wouldn't

605
00:32:00,640 --> 00:32:03,680
be surprised if Holmes, you know, they find a way

606
00:32:03,720 --> 00:32:04,839
with with homes.

607
00:32:04,880 --> 00:32:06,680
Speaker 1: Good comment. I don't know. I got to see if

608
00:32:06,680 --> 00:32:07,200
this is uh.

609
00:32:07,839 --> 00:32:11,680
Speaker 2: If this is a I'm still getting called out in

610
00:32:11,680 --> 00:32:13,519
the chap for not knowing today it was Canadaday.

611
00:32:13,519 --> 00:32:17,079
Speaker 1: That is that is totally on me hand up to

612
00:32:17,119 --> 00:32:17,799
better our.

613
00:32:17,839 --> 00:32:20,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, you are dual some ship? I mean I would

614
00:32:20,480 --> 00:32:20,799
know that.

615
00:32:21,079 --> 00:32:22,559
Speaker 1: I mean I could be.

616
00:32:22,759 --> 00:32:24,400
Speaker 2: I could be at the Canadian border in less than

617
00:32:24,440 --> 00:32:25,440
two hours from where I live.

618
00:32:25,480 --> 00:32:26,519
Speaker 4: Are you a dual citizen?

619
00:32:27,799 --> 00:32:28,440
Speaker 3: No?

620
00:32:28,440 --> 00:32:32,400
Speaker 4: No, okay, we're Why do we have to know other countries? Holidays?

621
00:32:32,559 --> 00:32:37,519
Speaker 3: Okay, here's here's a uh. Without looking for all the viewers,

622
00:32:37,759 --> 00:32:38,880
when is best your day?

623
00:32:40,279 --> 00:32:43,079
Speaker 4: Exactly? We don't need to know other countries?

624
00:32:43,200 --> 00:32:43,680
Speaker 1: Howadays?

625
00:32:43,720 --> 00:32:45,119
Speaker 4: Give me a break. We're not Canadian.

626
00:32:45,200 --> 00:32:47,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, but like, don't I should be ridiculous, you guys.

627
00:32:47,799 --> 00:32:50,119
It's more about it's more about being a baseball fan.

628
00:32:50,960 --> 00:32:53,440
It happens every year. I should know that that that

629
00:32:53,680 --> 00:32:57,480
random Tuesday Day game in July is Canada Day anyway,

630
00:32:57,759 --> 00:32:58,079
Chris B.

631
00:32:58,240 --> 00:32:59,079
Speaker 1: Says, Chris P.

632
00:32:59,200 --> 00:33:02,680
Speaker 2: Says, fy I, that's twenty seven to nine as home favorites,

633
00:33:03,160 --> 00:33:08,920
seventy percent win right well fits that today. Okay, I

634
00:33:08,920 --> 00:33:11,319
mean that's still a pretty that's still a pretty glaring,

635
00:33:11,519 --> 00:33:14,839
uh sort of number right there, if I if I

636
00:33:14,920 --> 00:33:17,799
remember correctly, they had no problem beating the Braves last

637
00:33:17,839 --> 00:33:20,160
week as a home favorite, so now they're back as

638
00:33:20,200 --> 00:33:22,720
home favorites here Lean Mets. But I'm not going to

639
00:33:22,799 --> 00:33:26,319
waste any more time on it. That is, uh, it's

640
00:33:26,440 --> 00:33:28,039
just not the spot that I.

641
00:33:28,000 --> 00:33:30,960
Speaker 4: Personally want, guys. Get I did not say Canada. I

642
00:33:31,039 --> 00:33:33,519
did not say Canada sucks. I like Canada and I

643
00:33:33,559 --> 00:33:36,039
have a lot I have Canadian friends. I'm just saying,

644
00:33:36,240 --> 00:33:38,400
when you're an American, you don't have to know other

645
00:33:38,480 --> 00:33:44,000
country's holidays. I'm sure Mexicans don't know, uh, you know,

646
00:33:44,240 --> 00:33:47,240
the holidays in Holland. Who cares seriously.

647
00:33:47,440 --> 00:33:49,119
Speaker 1: Well, I mean, Mexicans laugh.

648
00:33:49,599 --> 00:33:52,440
Speaker 2: Anyone of Mexican descent absolutely like just gets a good

649
00:33:52,519 --> 00:33:55,480
chuckle at the fact that we celebrate Sinko.

650
00:33:55,240 --> 00:33:56,880
Speaker 1: Da Mayo as a holiday in this country.

651
00:33:56,920 --> 00:34:01,119
Speaker 2: I know, I know, Like, Yeah, Yonce's family lived in

652
00:34:01,440 --> 00:34:04,119
Mexico for a few years while her dad was like

653
00:34:04,640 --> 00:34:07,880
running a factory or something down there, had to move

654
00:34:07,920 --> 00:34:09,960
there for a few years, and they they get a

655
00:34:09,960 --> 00:34:13,320
good laugh at the fact that we celebrate sinkle debaio.

656
00:34:13,000 --> 00:34:15,519
Speaker 3: Here we anything or you can drink is basically what

657
00:34:16,440 --> 00:34:17,039
pretty much.

658
00:34:18,400 --> 00:34:21,960
Speaker 2: Okay, let's get let's grab another game, huge slate. Uh,

659
00:34:22,039 --> 00:34:25,760
we gotta okay, I'll we'll talk about this one.

660
00:34:26,400 --> 00:34:28,360
Speaker 1: We'll talk about this one. We have to.

661
00:34:29,519 --> 00:34:33,159
Speaker 2: Yeah, the Giants are just I don't know, I can't

662
00:34:33,159 --> 00:34:34,519
believe how wrong I've been.

663
00:34:37,079 --> 00:34:39,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's it's my guy, g hurt.

664
00:34:39,400 --> 00:34:41,480
Speaker 2: He said, we need to we need to talk about

665
00:34:41,519 --> 00:34:45,440
how the Giants are actually a bad team. I don't,

666
00:34:45,480 --> 00:34:47,960
I can't. I can't really defend myself at this point.

667
00:34:48,119 --> 00:34:51,320
The team can't hit. They traded for a three hitter

668
00:34:51,519 --> 00:34:54,679
that should have made their lineup. They had no problem

669
00:34:54,760 --> 00:34:58,199
winning games before this guy showed up, and now they

670
00:34:58,280 --> 00:34:59,280
just can't get it done.

671
00:35:00,119 --> 00:35:02,159
Speaker 1: So this is another one where like I'd like to.

672
00:35:02,119 --> 00:35:04,119
Speaker 2: Think that things are going to turn for them because

673
00:35:04,159 --> 00:35:08,039
they were ten games over five hundred without rap Field Devers.

674
00:35:08,719 --> 00:35:12,199
He signified on paper he should improve their lineup tenfold.

675
00:35:12,679 --> 00:35:13,519
Speaker 1: They gave up No.

676
00:35:13,599 --> 00:35:16,159
Speaker 2: One that they really needed to get him, and now

677
00:35:16,199 --> 00:35:17,360
they can't win a baseball game.

678
00:35:17,360 --> 00:35:22,000
Speaker 1: Make it makes sense, Brian Leonard.

679
00:35:21,519 --> 00:35:25,480
Speaker 3: That was one on one yesterday. I did lose Texas

680
00:35:25,519 --> 00:35:28,360
and x Ra innings, but my winner was San Francisco

681
00:35:28,440 --> 00:35:31,280
first half hunder and they were shut out through the

682
00:35:31,320 --> 00:35:35,440
first five. They did tie the game later on. But yeah,

683
00:35:35,800 --> 00:35:38,239
it's not that John's are a bad team. It's just

684
00:35:38,320 --> 00:35:41,400
their hitters are not hitting well right now. They'll begin

685
00:35:41,519 --> 00:35:46,440
in their third baseman back in the next few days.

686
00:35:47,599 --> 00:35:50,840
Matt Chapman took batting practice yesterday. He's an All Star

687
00:35:50,920 --> 00:35:53,960
type of player, obviously great defender, but to he'll be

688
00:35:54,039 --> 00:35:55,920
back in there and they won't have to use some

689
00:35:55,960 --> 00:35:58,800
of their other guys. And Carcillon's another guy that keeps

690
00:35:58,800 --> 00:36:01,639
getting hurt. He's a big bat for this offense to

691
00:36:01,639 --> 00:36:04,519
swing some messes a lot, but he gives them some power.

692
00:36:05,400 --> 00:36:07,840
But yeah, I'm in agreement with the Giants right now.

693
00:36:07,880 --> 00:36:11,679
They're not hitting at all this game. We took a

694
00:36:11,679 --> 00:36:16,360
look at the line San Francisco Birds hung against Gallen

695
00:36:17,559 --> 00:36:20,840
Gallon a one thirty favorite and a total of nine,

696
00:36:21,480 --> 00:36:24,360
and for Gallon to be favored in a baseball game

697
00:36:24,440 --> 00:36:27,320
tells you how bad the San Francisco offense is playing

698
00:36:28,440 --> 00:36:32,920
Zach Gallon. If he was on the Dodgers, he would

699
00:36:32,960 --> 00:36:36,320
be coming out of the bullpen at this point and

700
00:36:36,400 --> 00:36:38,719
be lucky to be on the team. He has not

701
00:36:38,760 --> 00:36:42,119
played well all season long, and he comes in this

702
00:36:42,199 --> 00:36:45,320
game with a five point seven five ERA, four point

703
00:36:45,400 --> 00:36:48,440
nine to seven expected, one point four to one whip.

704
00:36:48,800 --> 00:36:52,679
There is not anything red on his savant page at all.

705
00:36:53,559 --> 00:36:55,599
You take a look at his breaking ball run value

706
00:36:55,760 --> 00:37:00,880
first percentele pitching run value first percentile, ball run value

707
00:37:00,960 --> 00:37:05,039
fourth percentile, and yet he throws this forcing fastball forty

708
00:37:05,079 --> 00:37:08,159
eight percent of the time. This is a guy who

709
00:37:08,280 --> 00:37:11,039
is obviously at the end of his career and they

710
00:37:11,039 --> 00:37:12,679
paid him a lot of money. They're trying to get

711
00:37:12,679 --> 00:37:15,400
some innings out of him, and it's just not working.

712
00:37:17,039 --> 00:37:19,519
Hayden birds on a young guy that we all like,

713
00:37:20,199 --> 00:37:23,039
but a four point one three ERA four point one

714
00:37:23,039 --> 00:37:27,400
two expected one point three to eight whip. We like

715
00:37:27,480 --> 00:37:31,719
his future, but his current is not that great. So

716
00:37:32,239 --> 00:37:34,320
we've got an Arizona team that should be able to

717
00:37:34,320 --> 00:37:36,480
put some runs on the board against birds On here,

718
00:37:36,800 --> 00:37:38,960
and they're going to need them with Gallon on the mount.

719
00:37:39,119 --> 00:37:42,199
I think San Francisco. The one time I don't want

720
00:37:42,239 --> 00:37:45,719
to play them under a team total is against Zach Gallon,

721
00:37:46,239 --> 00:37:50,360
So I think Arizona Arizona. Maybe team total over would

722
00:37:50,400 --> 00:37:52,280
be the way I would look at this one.

723
00:37:54,360 --> 00:37:57,320
Speaker 4: Five dollars Tuesday, guys, get one of our plays for

724
00:37:57,400 --> 00:37:59,679
five dollars. Our pages are all down there, and we

725
00:37:59,679 --> 00:38:02,559
also put free plays up as well. I have two

726
00:38:02,679 --> 00:38:06,519
actually specials going on seven days. Use code TB seven

727
00:38:06,639 --> 00:38:09,360
seven days for sixty nine bucks and the rest of

728
00:38:09,400 --> 00:38:12,280
two thousand and five for less than three dollars a day.

729
00:38:12,719 --> 00:38:14,880
Go to our pages and check out the deals Adam

730
00:38:14,880 --> 00:38:20,039
and Brian have as well. Onto this game first inclination.

731
00:38:20,440 --> 00:38:23,519
The Giants pretty much do everything better than the Diamondbacks

732
00:38:23,519 --> 00:38:26,440
except hit, So this is one of those games where

733
00:38:27,239 --> 00:38:31,320
strength and weaknesses kind of cancel each other out. I mean, yeah,

734
00:38:31,400 --> 00:38:34,119
Gallon's been horrible. He's given up twenty earned runs in

735
00:38:34,159 --> 00:38:40,039
his last four starts, so that's not good. But the

736
00:38:40,119 --> 00:38:43,360
Giants have not been producing. I got them ranked twenty

737
00:38:43,400 --> 00:38:46,760
six out of thirty in run productions. So is facing

738
00:38:46,840 --> 00:38:50,960
Gallon enough to wake their bats up? I tend to

739
00:38:51,119 --> 00:38:55,400
be one of those guys who likes to ride a

740
00:38:55,440 --> 00:39:00,360
streak until it's gone and then jump on it. So

741
00:39:00,519 --> 00:39:03,159
until the Giants show me they can hit, I don't think.

742
00:39:03,280 --> 00:39:06,239
I don't want to. You know, if you're betting something

743
00:39:06,280 --> 00:39:09,039
because it's due so to speak, you're you're you're not

744
00:39:09,079 --> 00:39:11,840
gonna win very much, so especially in baseball.

745
00:39:11,880 --> 00:39:12,800
Speaker 1: Maybe football are.

746
00:39:12,760 --> 00:39:15,719
Speaker 4: Other sports that I don't cap, maybe, but baseball I

747
00:39:15,840 --> 00:39:22,599
found that that's not true. So uh So I don't

748
00:39:22,599 --> 00:39:24,519
know how to play this one because I have the

749
00:39:24,519 --> 00:39:28,599
bullpens both pretty mediocre, pretty average next to each other.

750
00:39:29,280 --> 00:39:33,559
Uh and I got both starters not so good. The

751
00:39:33,639 --> 00:39:37,760
Diamondbacks hit a lot better than San Francisco, but San

752
00:39:37,760 --> 00:39:42,480
Francisco's facing a Tomato can today, So will their bats

753
00:39:42,519 --> 00:39:42,880
wake up?

754
00:39:42,960 --> 00:39:43,159
Speaker 1: Yes?

755
00:39:43,239 --> 00:39:49,239
Speaker 4: Or no? I don't want to put my money on it, Adam.

756
00:39:49,719 --> 00:39:52,000
Speaker 2: I mean, the Giants have a monster bullpen edge here,

757
00:39:52,559 --> 00:39:54,480
monster bullpen edge for the Giants Giants have been one

758
00:39:54,519 --> 00:39:56,159
of the best bullpens in the league all year. I

759
00:39:56,159 --> 00:39:58,719
mean they raid out, they raid out, and basically the

760
00:39:58,760 --> 00:40:04,039
top category of every relevant relief metric in Major League Baseball,

761
00:40:04,119 --> 00:40:05,599
not even not even just the NL. I mean that

762
00:40:05,639 --> 00:40:08,800
the Giants have had an elite bullpen all season. So

763
00:40:08,840 --> 00:40:12,159
there's a big advantage there. The problem is that it

764
00:40:12,239 --> 00:40:14,840
is the hitting. Now, if there was ever a scenario

765
00:40:14,920 --> 00:40:18,119
where the Giants were gonna hit, it's probably against a

766
00:40:18,199 --> 00:40:20,559
guy that's in their own division that they have a

767
00:40:20,559 --> 00:40:23,119
big sample size against, like a Zach Gallen, a guy

768
00:40:23,159 --> 00:40:24,719
that's struggling like a Zach Gallen.

769
00:40:25,320 --> 00:40:28,159
Speaker 1: And the thing is like, I don't I don't care

770
00:40:28,239 --> 00:40:28,760
who it is.

771
00:40:28,920 --> 00:40:31,119
Speaker 2: I don't trust this Diamondbacks bullpen at all right now

772
00:40:31,119 --> 00:40:34,000
in the leverage spots. Now, yes, Shelby Miller came in,

773
00:40:34,079 --> 00:40:37,159
got to save yesterday, that's great, but they have no

774
00:40:37,519 --> 00:40:40,280
they have no leverage depth. So it's like, if they

775
00:40:40,280 --> 00:40:43,840
get in another close I don't think the Diamondbacks are

776
00:40:43,840 --> 00:40:48,159
going to string together close wins going forward. That that's

777
00:40:48,159 --> 00:40:50,760
gonna be a thing. Now, Can the Diamondbacks win games

778
00:40:50,840 --> 00:40:53,599
ten to two? They can't, right like, they they've got

779
00:40:53,599 --> 00:40:57,239
the explosiveness where they can string to wins together because

780
00:40:57,239 --> 00:40:59,800
they're up big and they and they don't need the

781
00:41:00,000 --> 00:41:02,960
the sort of leverage type arms to close things out,

782
00:41:03,320 --> 00:41:06,480
but right here they probably will. Like that's that's the

783
00:41:06,480 --> 00:41:10,199
one thing. Even even with the Giants playing poorly and

784
00:41:10,440 --> 00:41:14,039
losing games of late, the Giants really don't get blown out.

785
00:41:14,119 --> 00:41:17,400
They lose games four to two, one to nothing. That

786
00:41:17,400 --> 00:41:20,000
that's how they lose games. So you got a Diamondbacks team,

787
00:41:20,440 --> 00:41:23,559
that's how and that's how they war games too.

788
00:41:23,599 --> 00:41:25,639
Speaker 4: That's a great Yeah, two to one, three to one

789
00:41:26,039 --> 00:41:27,760
exactly Arizona.

790
00:41:27,920 --> 00:41:30,480
Speaker 1: Last day, so remember no off day for for Arizona.

791
00:41:30,480 --> 00:41:31,440
They played on Monday night.

792
00:41:31,440 --> 00:41:33,920
Speaker 2: As we know, last four days, they were in a

793
00:41:34,039 --> 00:41:38,159
nine to eight game with the Marlins that they lost.

794
00:41:38,960 --> 00:41:41,239
I think they lost at the end. I think they

795
00:41:41,360 --> 00:41:44,599
rallied and then came short. On Friday night, Uh, they

796
00:41:44,639 --> 00:41:47,719
lost seven to eight and ten innings. On Saturday, they

797
00:41:47,800 --> 00:41:49,679
end up losing six to four in a game where

798
00:41:49,719 --> 00:41:52,679
they had their leverage arms out there and got blown

799
00:41:52,719 --> 00:41:54,800
up in the eighth inning with a lead. And then

800
00:41:54,880 --> 00:41:57,920
last night they yes, they do finally win one, uh,

801
00:41:58,079 --> 00:42:00,960
but they you know, they still burned arguably their best

802
00:42:01,039 --> 00:42:03,639
arm at this point in Shelby Miller. I don't know

803
00:42:03,639 --> 00:42:06,960
that they've burned him through fifteen pitches, but still, I mean,

804
00:42:07,880 --> 00:42:10,119
probably their best arm in the bullpen right now. Pitch

805
00:42:10,199 --> 00:42:12,800
last night. I think the Giants plus one twenty is

806
00:42:13,079 --> 00:42:16,119
an excellent price here. I actually think it's a good bet.

807
00:42:16,440 --> 00:42:18,199
Whether I'm going to do it for clients or not,

808
00:42:18,400 --> 00:42:21,199
I have to think about it, but it could only

809
00:42:21,199 --> 00:42:22,400
be the Giants here.

810
00:42:23,679 --> 00:42:24,440
Speaker 1: At that price.

811
00:42:25,280 --> 00:42:27,880
Speaker 2: How could you pass up the ability to fade gallon,

812
00:42:28,880 --> 00:42:32,360
the fact that you're probably gonna get I mean, worst

813
00:42:32,400 --> 00:42:34,880
case scenario, you're in a close game against the Diamondbacks

814
00:42:34,880 --> 00:42:37,840
bullpen with the best bullpen in baseball, or one of them.

815
00:42:38,800 --> 00:42:41,920
Strongly in Giants, I want to I'm gonna say, I

816
00:42:41,920 --> 00:42:43,760
know we got to lock parlay Legs in at some

817
00:42:43,880 --> 00:42:46,440
point here over the next twenty minutes. I'm not gonna

818
00:42:46,440 --> 00:42:48,760
lock it in yet, but I strongly am considering the

819
00:42:48,760 --> 00:42:49,800
Giants for that spot.

820
00:42:49,840 --> 00:42:52,360
Speaker 3: Go ahead, Brian, let me go to my game. Since

821
00:42:52,440 --> 00:42:54,559
we are go ahead, I don't want to have people

822
00:42:54,599 --> 00:42:57,280
have to wait the whole time. I am going to

823
00:42:57,320 --> 00:43:01,760
take a look at this Cleveland Chicago Cubs game it's

824
00:43:01,800 --> 00:43:05,679
Williams against Boyd. Boyd is currently about a hat one

825
00:43:05,760 --> 00:43:13,599
seventy favorite lines eight to the under minus fifteen. Cleveland,

826
00:43:13,719 --> 00:43:20,239
we know, is struggling terribly offensively, and they're also terrible

827
00:43:20,360 --> 00:43:23,920
against left handed pitchers. If you take a look, since

828
00:43:24,039 --> 00:43:26,760
June first, which would be a month now, Cleveland is

829
00:43:26,800 --> 00:43:31,639
twenty seventh in baseball with a WRC plus sixty eight over,

830
00:43:32,360 --> 00:43:36,159
which is very bad. Not as bad as the Mets,

831
00:43:36,159 --> 00:43:38,679
by the way, sixty two, but they're one of the

832
00:43:38,719 --> 00:43:40,679
worst in baseball. And that's just not this month. That's

833
00:43:40,679 --> 00:43:43,559
the way that's been all along for Cleveland. That's why

834
00:43:43,559 --> 00:43:46,199
they brought Thomas to the team. And they bring Thomas

835
00:43:46,199 --> 00:43:48,000
to the team and he doesn't hit the lefties like

836
00:43:48,000 --> 00:43:50,480
he did before the game here, so into Cleveland. But

837
00:43:52,079 --> 00:43:55,079
I really like the situation here. We've got the former

838
00:43:55,199 --> 00:44:00,239
Cleveland guardian, Matthew Boyd on the mound. He played for

839
00:44:00,679 --> 00:44:03,039
this team last year. He knows the team, The team

840
00:44:03,079 --> 00:44:07,079
knows him. It's an advantage for him because regardless of

841
00:44:07,119 --> 00:44:09,320
the team knows him, if you can't hit a lefty's

842
00:44:09,440 --> 00:44:11,760
it's not going to change anything. The only thing I

843
00:44:11,800 --> 00:44:15,559
don't like about him is he still throws too many fastballs,

844
00:44:16,119 --> 00:44:20,440
and we've already talked about that so far on this show.

845
00:44:20,519 --> 00:44:23,119
I'm not a big guy that likes the fastballs. Gavin

846
00:44:23,159 --> 00:44:26,079
Williams to pitch much better as of late. He's even

847
00:44:26,079 --> 00:44:28,639
got an ERA belowpour now three point six to eight,

848
00:44:29,159 --> 00:44:32,079
but a four point three five expected one point four

849
00:44:32,079 --> 00:44:35,360
to three whip career whip one point three to five.

850
00:44:35,639 --> 00:44:38,599
That's the problem. He's in the fifth percentiland walk rate.

851
00:44:39,679 --> 00:44:43,679
Everything else looks pretty good, but if you give free

852
00:44:44,559 --> 00:44:47,599
reign on the base pass when you've got too many walks,

853
00:44:48,039 --> 00:44:50,880
that's something that hurts him. But he's been pretty good

854
00:44:50,920 --> 00:44:55,199
as of late. Matthew Boyd another really good season in Cleveland.

855
00:44:55,239 --> 00:44:57,599
He had a two point seven to ERA one point

856
00:44:57,679 --> 00:44:59,920
one to three whip. In Chicago, he's got a two

857
00:45:00,159 --> 00:45:02,880
two point sixty five R one point one zero whip.

858
00:45:03,800 --> 00:45:05,920
This is a guy who knows how to pitch. He

859
00:45:06,000 --> 00:45:08,239
is a fly ball pitcher. But that's not a concern

860
00:45:08,320 --> 00:45:11,639
today because the wind is blowing in and to towards

861
00:45:11,679 --> 00:45:15,440
third base at about eight miles an hour, and so

862
00:45:15,920 --> 00:45:18,719
I don't think we're gonna see many home runs in

863
00:45:18,760 --> 00:45:22,840
this game. What I like here is The Cleveland team

864
00:45:22,880 --> 00:45:27,000
total under three and a half a minus one twenty eight.

865
00:45:27,880 --> 00:45:31,559
Cleveland's going to score four runs in Chicago against the

866
00:45:31,639 --> 00:45:35,719
lefty who is a crafty lefty, and they've got to

867
00:45:35,719 --> 00:45:38,239
be able to do that with the win slightly blowing in.

868
00:45:38,960 --> 00:45:41,199
I don't see it. I don't see this Cleveland offense

869
00:45:41,320 --> 00:45:44,719
waking up right now. And if you've watched them, they

870
00:45:45,840 --> 00:45:49,880
a lot of bats, wings and not Stephen Kwan's not

871
00:45:50,039 --> 00:45:52,840
playing well. There's been talk out there with the trade

872
00:45:52,880 --> 00:45:56,519
deadline coming up that they may have to trade Stephen Kwan.

873
00:45:57,320 --> 00:45:59,639
This is a tight knit group of players in this

874
00:45:59,719 --> 00:46:03,599
locker room. Anytime you start talking about trading your best players,

875
00:46:04,039 --> 00:46:06,599
that makes them nervous. And if a bad If a

876
00:46:06,639 --> 00:46:09,480
player is nervous, a team is nervous, they get tight

877
00:46:09,639 --> 00:46:11,599
and they don't hit. And I think that's kind of

878
00:46:11,599 --> 00:46:13,639
why they're playing so bad right now. So that's going

879
00:46:13,679 --> 00:46:16,119
to be my part of the parlay. The Clayland team

880
00:46:16,159 --> 00:46:18,559
total under three and a half am ius one twenty eight.

881
00:46:22,280 --> 00:46:25,960
Speaker 4: Oh sorry, yeah, I'm just reading the comments. I'm zoning out.

882
00:46:26,159 --> 00:46:31,480
I'm tired tonight, so yeah, looking at this. Agree with

883
00:46:31,519 --> 00:46:34,840
Brian Gavin Williams is the number one chronic walker in

884
00:46:34,920 --> 00:46:37,559
all of Major League Baseball. If you can get his

885
00:46:37,760 --> 00:46:40,320
walks over one and a half, definitely take it. But

886
00:46:40,400 --> 00:46:43,280
the book is wise to it. They're putting him out.

887
00:46:43,400 --> 00:46:45,679
They're putting only him out at two and a half

888
00:46:45,760 --> 00:46:48,079
these days. I would not take two and a half,

889
00:46:48,119 --> 00:46:49,280
but if you can get one and a half, I

890
00:46:49,320 --> 00:46:53,320
would take it. So BOYD, Yeah, great command. He doesn't

891
00:46:53,320 --> 00:46:58,320
walk people. He's under thirty percent in walks to strikes ratio,

892
00:46:58,639 --> 00:47:02,599
which is pretty rare. Galvin Williams is more like sixty.

893
00:47:02,840 --> 00:47:07,679
So we got a walker here. Cubs have been smashing it.

894
00:47:08,119 --> 00:47:12,639
Top ten lineup, top ten bullpen, top ten starter. What

895
00:47:12,719 --> 00:47:15,480
else can you say? Cleveland is one of the few teams.

896
00:47:15,519 --> 00:47:19,480
Let's see, I got three teams here that rank twenty

897
00:47:19,639 --> 00:47:24,199
or worst in batting and bullpen. There's only three teams

898
00:47:24,199 --> 00:47:28,119
in MLB. Cleveland is one, the Athletics or the other,

899
00:47:28,599 --> 00:47:33,519
and actually Philadelphia Phillies or another. So those three teams

900
00:47:34,199 --> 00:47:36,519
I would like to fade as much as I can,

901
00:47:36,679 --> 00:47:38,880
So I think Cubs would be the only way to

902
00:47:38,960 --> 00:47:41,719
go here. Maybe a minus one, maybe a minus one

903
00:47:41,800 --> 00:47:45,119
and a half. I certainly would not argue with Brian's

904
00:47:45,199 --> 00:47:48,159
team total under for Cleveland as well.

905
00:47:50,119 --> 00:47:52,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't have much to add. I'm kind of

906
00:47:52,000 --> 00:47:53,559
with chat in the chat.

907
00:47:54,079 --> 00:47:56,159
Speaker 2: I don't know if I would lay a minus one

908
00:47:56,159 --> 00:47:58,000
and a half of the home team, but it certainly

909
00:47:58,000 --> 00:48:01,440
feels like the Cubs could lay it on the Guardians tonight.

910
00:48:01,559 --> 00:48:05,920
I just not super confident in Gavin Williams. I've said

911
00:48:05,960 --> 00:48:08,360
this on a number of occasions, and Brian's talked about

912
00:48:08,400 --> 00:48:11,119
this at length. He he just has not been the

913
00:48:11,119 --> 00:48:14,679
same pitcher that he was prior to getting hurt. I

914
00:48:14,719 --> 00:48:17,239
felt like last year was almost like a lost season

915
00:48:17,320 --> 00:48:18,440
for him in a lot of cases.

916
00:48:18,480 --> 00:48:20,760
Speaker 1: He got he got in late, he.

917
00:48:20,679 --> 00:48:22,840
Speaker 2: Was down in the minors for a while, sort of

918
00:48:22,880 --> 00:48:25,840
like rehabbing his way back, but also kind of ended

919
00:48:25,920 --> 00:48:28,559
up down there for a while, never really made it

920
00:48:28,599 --> 00:48:32,880
back to what he was the season before. So I thought,

921
00:48:32,920 --> 00:48:35,039
coming in, like, Okay, this is this is gonna be

922
00:48:35,079 --> 00:48:39,159
a big potential bounce back year for him. Really hasn't

923
00:48:39,199 --> 00:48:41,480
been in the e RA is like deceiving in my opinion,

924
00:48:42,039 --> 00:48:45,679
his his three six eight e R should be far higher.

925
00:48:47,000 --> 00:48:50,679
He he he's walking three four guys pretty much minimum

926
00:48:50,679 --> 00:48:54,679
three walks to start, like I look at some of

927
00:48:54,719 --> 00:48:58,360
these games recently. Uh managed to get out of that

928
00:48:58,400 --> 00:49:01,559
Blue Jays game five and a third with only three runs.

929
00:49:01,599 --> 00:49:04,079
That could have been worse, right, Like, he definitely wiggled

930
00:49:04,079 --> 00:49:06,239
out of a spot in that one that could have

931
00:49:06,280 --> 00:49:10,000
been worse. Six shoutout innings against the Giants, which we

932
00:49:10,559 --> 00:49:14,760
know right now that team is just not hitting, you know,

933
00:49:14,880 --> 00:49:19,440
only lasted four against the Mariners. Again, three runs, six

934
00:49:19,480 --> 00:49:22,360
innings against the Astros. It's another game that probably could

935
00:49:22,360 --> 00:49:24,280
have been worse. There was traffic. On the basis, he

936
00:49:24,320 --> 00:49:28,119
got out of it, So I wouldn't be surprised that

937
00:49:28,199 --> 00:49:30,599
there's a blow up in his future. And what better

938
00:49:30,679 --> 00:49:33,239
place for a blow up Brigley Field with a Cubs

939
00:49:33,239 --> 00:49:37,239
team that has fantastic at bats one through nine, even

940
00:49:37,239 --> 00:49:40,039
when they're struggling a little bit. It's good at bad

941
00:49:40,079 --> 00:49:41,960
after good at bat. I don't know that Gavin Williams

942
00:49:42,000 --> 00:49:44,239
can survive that. So Cubs are passed for me for sure.

943
00:49:44,760 --> 00:49:47,800
Speaker 3: I will point out that eight of the sixteen starts

944
00:49:47,840 --> 00:49:49,599
he has walked three or more batters.

945
00:49:51,079 --> 00:49:57,039
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, chronic walker TV. And he's the number one.

946
00:49:57,519 --> 00:49:59,760
Speaker 4: He's the number one chronic walker. And while we're on

947
00:49:59,800 --> 00:50:03,119
the Let me just give give you guys who my

948
00:50:03,199 --> 00:50:08,880
chronic walkers are. Gavin Williams, Walker Buehler, Grant Holmes, Edward Cabrera,

949
00:50:08,920 --> 00:50:11,960
and Jose Kintana are my biggest chronic walkers on my list.

950
00:50:12,440 --> 00:50:14,639
Speaker 3: Walker Buehler says, write in his name. We should have

951
00:50:14,639 --> 00:50:15,639
figured that out a long time.

952
00:50:16,360 --> 00:50:19,679
Speaker 4: Yeah, his parents named him.

953
00:50:19,800 --> 00:50:24,519
Speaker 2: There's listen, guys, guys can pitch around walks like it's

954
00:50:24,559 --> 00:50:28,239
it's you know, I have no problem with I mean,

955
00:50:28,280 --> 00:50:31,159
back in the day, you had guys that were good

956
00:50:31,280 --> 00:50:33,320
enough to straight up walk someone because they just didn't

957
00:50:33,360 --> 00:50:34,800
want to face it because they knew they could get

958
00:50:34,800 --> 00:50:35,519
the next guy out.

959
00:50:35,800 --> 00:50:38,800
Speaker 1: Yep, you can't just walk batters against the Cubs.

960
00:50:38,920 --> 00:50:42,159
Speaker 2: That's one team that is going to, like nine times

961
00:50:42,159 --> 00:50:44,840
out of ten, is gonna make you pay for the

962
00:50:44,840 --> 00:50:45,440
free pass.

963
00:50:45,519 --> 00:50:48,440
Speaker 1: Not every team. The Giants won't do it right.

964
00:50:48,519 --> 00:50:50,840
Speaker 2: So I could see how Gavin Williams can put a

965
00:50:50,880 --> 00:50:52,960
couple guys on and get through six score less against

966
00:50:53,000 --> 00:50:56,079
the Giants. Rest assured the Cubs are gonna make you

967
00:50:56,119 --> 00:50:59,280
pay for free base runners, and I would be shocked

968
00:50:59,280 --> 00:51:01,039
if they don't make him hey in some fashion here,

969
00:51:01,119 --> 00:51:02,199
So I'm with you.

970
00:51:02,320 --> 00:51:04,920
Speaker 1: Chad. Yeah, I'm with you, Chad.

971
00:51:04,960 --> 00:51:08,920
Speaker 2: Jo Cubs are passed without a doubt, all right, and

972
00:51:09,039 --> 00:51:11,239
yeah the only and he's like, well, the Giants bullpen

973
00:51:11,280 --> 00:51:12,280
didn't help him last night.

974
00:51:12,320 --> 00:51:13,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's why I haven't locked it in yet.

975
00:51:13,920 --> 00:51:17,519
Speaker 2: I'm I'm having some I'm having a hard time getting

976
00:51:17,559 --> 00:51:21,920
to the window with the Giants, even though a lot says, oh,

977
00:51:22,000 --> 00:51:25,159
Giants plus one twenty, you should do it. Jean in

978
00:51:25,199 --> 00:51:27,239
the chat, let's go to this game and we'll get

979
00:51:27,239 --> 00:51:29,360
the other two parlay legs. We've got ten minutes left,

980
00:51:29,400 --> 00:51:31,360
so don't worry. We'll have a three teamerer locked in

981
00:51:31,400 --> 00:51:33,079
for you by the end of the show. But I

982
00:51:33,119 --> 00:51:35,000
want to talk about this one because Jean and a

983
00:51:35,000 --> 00:51:37,800
couple others have brought this up. He says, well, he's

984
00:51:37,920 --> 00:51:40,039
saying Tokyo, Brandon, but we're gonna go to Brian first

985
00:51:40,039 --> 00:51:43,239
and then TV can follow up Emerson Hancock under three

986
00:51:43,280 --> 00:51:46,360
and a half case he really likes this, talk me off.

987
00:51:46,519 --> 00:51:51,599
That's Royals Mariners out West tonight. Royal's getting slapped around

988
00:51:51,599 --> 00:51:55,360
by the Mariners last night. It's Lorenzen, It's hancocked Brian Leonard.

989
00:51:55,400 --> 00:51:57,159
Do you see anything in this one?

990
00:51:58,159 --> 00:52:08,360
Speaker 3: Current line. We're looking at Seattle one thirty four total

991
00:52:08,400 --> 00:52:13,679
of eight. I wish I pressed the Kansas City offense

992
00:52:13,719 --> 00:52:16,119
a little bit because I think there's a little value there.

993
00:52:16,159 --> 00:52:19,519
I'm not a big Hancock fan. Lorenzen gives you any

994
00:52:19,760 --> 00:52:21,880
He's not the greatest pitcher, but he's You gotta have

995
00:52:21,920 --> 00:52:23,639
those kind of guys on your staff every once in

996
00:52:23,679 --> 00:52:26,679
a while. I don't have much to play on this one.

997
00:52:26,880 --> 00:52:30,440
I just I would have considered in a little bit better.

998
00:52:30,519 --> 00:52:32,960
I think i'd look that side, but I'll be passing.

999
00:52:34,400 --> 00:52:37,440
Speaker 4: I'm going to pass on this one too. Unfortunately, Hancock

1000
00:52:37,480 --> 00:52:40,599
doesn't register in my database. Maybe he doesn't have enough innings.

1001
00:52:40,599 --> 00:52:44,679
In the last thirty days, Lorenzen got him ranked twenty

1002
00:52:44,679 --> 00:52:47,760
three out of thirty on a curve of thirty. Both

1003
00:52:47,800 --> 00:52:51,480
bullpens pretty good. Cases is performing a little bit better.

1004
00:52:51,480 --> 00:52:53,880
But Kansas City can't hit their way out of a

1005
00:52:53,920 --> 00:52:56,719
paper bag. I told you guys in the chat yesterday,

1006
00:52:57,079 --> 00:52:59,719
Kansas City can't hit, and everyone said they just scored

1007
00:52:59,840 --> 00:53:03,639
NYE runs yesterday. Look, Kansas City can't score. They just

1008
00:53:03,639 --> 00:53:06,960
scored two yesterday again, and that's who they are. So

1009
00:53:07,199 --> 00:53:09,760
maybe you'll have an outlier where they where they where

1010
00:53:09,760 --> 00:53:12,159
they where they are winning a game, and the other

1011
00:53:12,199 --> 00:53:14,840
team just throws their their crappy pitchers out there and

1012
00:53:14,920 --> 00:53:17,280
lets them tee off on them. That that's what you

1013
00:53:17,360 --> 00:53:19,960
saw when they scored nine runs. They're not a nine

1014
00:53:20,039 --> 00:53:23,360
run team, and they're they're a terrible offense. So under

1015
00:53:23,440 --> 00:53:25,639
would probably be the only way I go on this,

1016
00:53:25,880 --> 00:53:29,559
But the fact that I don't have numbers on Hancock

1017
00:53:29,599 --> 00:53:30,559
makes me stay off it.

1018
00:53:33,239 --> 00:53:36,840
Speaker 2: So here's here's why I'll put these two games next

1019
00:53:36,880 --> 00:53:38,920
to each other. And these are not going to be

1020
00:53:38,920 --> 00:53:41,000
my parlay legs. I'm gonna give mine out in a second.

1021
00:53:41,920 --> 00:53:43,559
I think if I think if you take the Royals

1022
00:53:43,559 --> 00:53:45,960
and the Giants tonight, you're you're making money.

1023
00:53:46,119 --> 00:53:47,079
Speaker 1: That that is my gut.

1024
00:53:47,159 --> 00:53:50,880
Speaker 2: I think both of those teams at plus money is value.

1025
00:53:50,960 --> 00:53:53,400
I don't see you doing worse than a split at

1026
00:53:53,440 --> 00:53:55,679
which case you know Royals and the plus one twenty

1027
00:53:55,679 --> 00:53:58,599
five range plus one twenty three Giants around plus one

1028
00:53:58,679 --> 00:54:02,440
twenty I think you're probably splitting with the upside of

1029
00:54:02,519 --> 00:54:04,239
two to zero and two plus money dogs.

1030
00:54:04,440 --> 00:54:06,239
Speaker 1: I have no idea which one is gonna win.

1031
00:54:06,599 --> 00:54:08,280
Speaker 2: They very well could go oh and two, But my

1032
00:54:08,360 --> 00:54:11,119
gut says the Royals and the Giants are both very

1033
00:54:11,199 --> 00:54:13,800
undervalued based on what they've done recently, and they would

1034
00:54:13,840 --> 00:54:16,840
be good bets at plus money. Emerson Hancock has been

1035
00:54:16,960 --> 00:54:20,239
very inconsistent. He shows flashes, but he is not someone

1036
00:54:20,599 --> 00:54:22,920
that I'm not willing to play against.

1037
00:54:23,039 --> 00:54:24,000
Speaker 1: Gene. I'm with you.

1038
00:54:24,079 --> 00:54:26,320
Speaker 2: I don't know that he comes in and just racks

1039
00:54:26,400 --> 00:54:28,840
up a bunch of strikeouts, So I don't dislike that.

1040
00:54:28,920 --> 00:54:32,360
I really am fine with anything correlated to Hancock having

1041
00:54:32,400 --> 00:54:36,000
a bad start, because he's a four A type guy

1042
00:54:36,039 --> 00:54:38,880
for me at this point, I don't. I just don't

1043
00:54:38,880 --> 00:54:43,440
know that he's really, you know, gonna do much in

1044
00:54:43,440 --> 00:54:46,199
a big league rotation if he's in the rotation regularly.

1045
00:54:46,599 --> 00:54:49,000
I think when he's down in Tacoma and he dips

1046
00:54:49,039 --> 00:54:51,480
in comes up like he can have a good start.

1047
00:54:51,519 --> 00:54:53,760
Speaker 1: But he's not someone that I think is gonna.

1048
00:54:53,519 --> 00:54:55,440
Speaker 2: Consistently have good starts at the big league le well,

1049
00:54:55,440 --> 00:54:58,679
at least not yet. So I'm totally fine with playing

1050
00:54:58,719 --> 00:55:02,960
the Royals in some capacity here. I just again, I

1051
00:55:03,360 --> 00:55:06,519
don't I'm not overly confident in the Royals right now.

1052
00:55:06,519 --> 00:55:08,239
How can you be saying thing with the Giants? But

1053
00:55:09,159 --> 00:55:11,639
I do think the recent form has watered down their

1054
00:55:11,639 --> 00:55:13,800
profile and off where you've got to start thinking about

1055
00:55:13,840 --> 00:55:15,840
taking them at plus one twenty five.

1056
00:55:17,280 --> 00:55:19,159
Speaker 1: And Brian Leonard has talked about this numerous time.

1057
00:55:19,239 --> 00:55:22,920
Speaker 2: The Mariners, they're just not quite as appealing at home

1058
00:55:23,159 --> 00:55:24,880
where they can't where they're not, you know, it's harder

1059
00:55:24,920 --> 00:55:27,119
to hit home run. So I like the Royals. I

1060
00:55:27,159 --> 00:55:29,760
agree with you Emerson. I agree with you, Gene Emerson.

1061
00:55:29,800 --> 00:55:32,800
Hancock probably a fade tonight. Okay, I'm gonna throw a

1062
00:55:32,840 --> 00:55:34,599
game to you two. I'm gonna use this as my

1063
00:55:34,639 --> 00:55:38,440
parlay leg. I was very disappointed last night. I had

1064
00:55:38,559 --> 00:55:42,400
Rangers as a five percent play. They stranded a runner

1065
00:55:42,440 --> 00:55:44,360
on third with less than two outs in the eighth

1066
00:55:44,400 --> 00:55:47,119
and ninth inning. They tied the game in the tenth

1067
00:55:47,480 --> 00:55:50,159
only to go on and lose in the eleventh inning.

1068
00:55:50,239 --> 00:55:52,920
A tough way for a five percent er to go

1069
00:55:53,119 --> 00:55:54,599
and a tough way to end a month that was

1070
00:55:54,639 --> 00:55:58,159
really good month for me. Aside from that, my parlay

1071
00:55:58,239 --> 00:56:01,880
leg today will be the Rangers. Jacob de grom, So

1072
00:56:02,000 --> 00:56:03,639
a couple of things I took away from that game

1073
00:56:03,760 --> 00:56:06,480
last night. Listen, the Rangers have faced a lot of

1074
00:56:06,559 --> 00:56:07,679
on field adversity.

1075
00:56:07,760 --> 00:56:10,119
Speaker 1: This year. They've had guys that have have.

1076
00:56:10,159 --> 00:56:14,519
Speaker 2: Been in career like literally the worst slump of the career,

1077
00:56:14,559 --> 00:56:18,320
of Josh Peterson's career, the worst slump of Marcus Simian's career.

1078
00:56:18,360 --> 00:56:21,239
Speaker 1: They've had Corey Seger out of the.

1079
00:56:21,159 --> 00:56:25,119
Speaker 2: Lineup on multiple occasions, you know, and but yet last

1080
00:56:25,199 --> 00:56:28,000
night they still made so many winning plays in that

1081
00:56:28,039 --> 00:56:32,039
game of a team. Michael Hellman tremendous base running play

1082
00:56:32,400 --> 00:56:35,559
to have the wherewithal when that ball trickled into center

1083
00:56:35,559 --> 00:56:38,639
field when he went to steel that he could probably score,

1084
00:56:38,760 --> 00:56:40,840
and knowing that there was two outs in the leadoff

1085
00:56:40,840 --> 00:56:42,880
guy would be up the next inning, he forced the

1086
00:56:42,920 --> 00:56:45,159
Orioles to make a play he was safe at home.

1087
00:56:45,239 --> 00:56:47,800
It's why I'm surprised the Rangers could not win that game,

1088
00:56:47,840 --> 00:56:50,960
because they just scratched a claw to get back into it,

1089
00:56:51,199 --> 00:56:53,800
put themselves in position to win, and just came up

1090
00:56:53,840 --> 00:56:56,280
a little short. The reason I'm bringing that up is

1091
00:56:56,320 --> 00:56:58,559
this team is three games under five hundred, yet that

1092
00:56:59,599 --> 00:57:01,679
everything that's gone against them so far this year, they

1093
00:57:01,679 --> 00:57:05,400
should be ten games under five hundred. They have fantastic

1094
00:57:05,480 --> 00:57:09,800
starting pitching, and I think this game where it falls

1095
00:57:10,119 --> 00:57:14,199
Jacob deGrom at home up against Brandon Young and the

1096
00:57:14,320 --> 00:57:17,840
Orioles bullpen, which has been used up. I really think

1097
00:57:17,880 --> 00:57:20,559
this is a spot where de Gram comes out and says,

1098
00:57:20,599 --> 00:57:22,519
you know what, I'm not holding anything back tonight.

1099
00:57:22,559 --> 00:57:23,360
Speaker 1: My team needs me.

1100
00:57:23,800 --> 00:57:26,239
Speaker 2: This is a this minus will be a playoff game

1101
00:57:26,239 --> 00:57:28,480
for us in terms of, like we have to win

1102
00:57:28,519 --> 00:57:31,079
this game. I'm gonna give one hundred of the best

1103
00:57:31,079 --> 00:57:34,079
pitches I can give tonight, and I really would be

1104
00:57:34,159 --> 00:57:37,519
surprised if the Orioles can put together nine innings with

1105
00:57:37,679 --> 00:57:40,280
Brandon Young to a tired bullpen that doesn't have a

1106
00:57:40,320 --> 00:57:40,920
ton of depth.

1107
00:57:41,119 --> 00:57:42,719
Speaker 1: I've said this about the Rangers bullpen.

1108
00:57:43,039 --> 00:57:46,880
Speaker 2: The Rangers lack elite high leverage arms, but they're very

1109
00:57:46,960 --> 00:57:50,360
deep in the bullpen. It's like our number one and

1110
00:57:50,400 --> 00:57:53,000
two are not that much different than our number six

1111
00:57:53,079 --> 00:57:55,280
and seven in the Rangers bullpen. I think that's very

1112
00:57:55,320 --> 00:57:58,559
important in a game like this where no one has

1113
00:57:58,599 --> 00:58:01,360
a bullpen because they've been very used up. So I'm

1114
00:58:01,400 --> 00:58:03,599
gonna take Jacob de Gram and the Rangers to win

1115
00:58:03,639 --> 00:58:05,320
this game. Yes, I know I could go the first

1116
00:58:05,400 --> 00:58:07,440
five route, but I think this is such a big

1117
00:58:07,480 --> 00:58:09,800
game for the Rangers to win. I think the Gram's

1118
00:58:09,840 --> 00:58:12,000
going seven, and I think they're gonna get this done.

1119
00:58:12,320 --> 00:58:14,280
And the Orioles have been bet a little bit, so

1120
00:58:14,360 --> 00:58:16,440
I actually think I'm getting a favorable price to do. So,

1121
00:58:16,519 --> 00:58:18,559
Brian Leonard, what do I get for Rangers money line

1122
00:58:18,639 --> 00:58:18,920
right now?

1123
00:58:20,320 --> 00:58:23,719
Speaker 3: Just to touch on this, it's currently about one seventy six.

1124
00:58:24,280 --> 00:58:27,119
Brandon Young they sent back down to the minors, and

1125
00:58:27,159 --> 00:58:29,480
then when Efflyn got hurt the other day and they

1126
00:58:29,519 --> 00:58:33,159
had to bring him back. He's pitched three major league games,

1127
00:58:33,320 --> 00:58:35,679
go on four innings and all three of them giving

1128
00:58:35,760 --> 00:58:41,519
up three four and uh in three runs. So he's

1129
00:58:41,559 --> 00:58:44,360
somebody that can get hit. If Texas is coming out

1130
00:58:44,400 --> 00:58:47,480
of that hitting slump, they can do it here. Although

1131
00:58:48,559 --> 00:58:51,360
you gotta admit Jacob Dagram's not used to getting a

1132
00:58:51,360 --> 00:58:56,800
lot of offensive support in his career. But yeah, I

1133
00:58:56,840 --> 00:58:59,559
was on Texas. That was my loser last night, So yeah,

1134
00:58:59,599 --> 00:59:02,280
I can. I can do that too. I think you're

1135
00:59:02,320 --> 00:59:03,400
on the right side of that one.

1136
00:59:05,039 --> 00:59:08,599
Speaker 4: Yeah, Rangers offense is just horrible. I mean, Corey Seager

1137
00:59:08,599 --> 00:59:12,119
wouldn't even start on the Dodgers. Their highest average guy

1138
00:59:12,199 --> 00:59:13,559
hits seventy seven.

1139
00:59:14,079 --> 00:59:15,159
Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't agree.

1140
00:59:15,239 --> 00:59:16,960
Speaker 1: I'll give you I'll give you a chance to take

1141
00:59:17,000 --> 00:59:20,320
that back. Corey Seeger would be like a Cory Seger

1142
00:59:20,400 --> 00:59:21,480
hits two forty four.

1143
00:59:21,320 --> 00:59:22,199
Speaker 4: Or ten home runs.

1144
00:59:22,239 --> 00:59:27,119
Speaker 3: I mean, come on V just about every year the play.

1145
00:59:29,000 --> 00:59:32,440
Speaker 4: All right, Well, that's their highest average guy hits to

1146
00:59:32,440 --> 00:59:35,800
seventy seven. Their highest average guy hits two seventy seven.

1147
00:59:35,840 --> 00:59:39,119
I mean, this team cannot score, and I don't see

1148
00:59:39,159 --> 00:59:43,480
it changing. Uh, I don't see it changing. Got them

1149
00:59:43,519 --> 00:59:45,920
ranked nineteenth right now, which is probably the highest they've

1150
00:59:45,960 --> 00:59:50,679
been all season. Bullpen not performing well either. The gram

1151
00:59:50,760 --> 00:59:55,519
is great. The Orioles are smashing though, so I would

1152
00:59:55,519 --> 00:59:59,599
approach this one with caution. Uh Oriols. Bullpen is horrible though. U.

1153
01:00:00,079 --> 01:00:03,280
So yeah, I'm not gonna play it just because I

1154
01:00:03,320 --> 01:00:05,960
don't have enough information on Young. But I'm definitely not

1155
01:00:06,000 --> 01:00:06,960
a Corey Seeger fan.

1156
01:00:08,400 --> 01:00:11,760
Speaker 2: Steven fallon a lot of good go play play power Ball,

1157
01:00:12,119 --> 01:00:14,199
the or the or Mega millions whenever you gotta do that.

1158
01:00:14,280 --> 01:00:17,119
That is a that is a lot of ticket type win,

1159
01:00:17,239 --> 01:00:19,400
right if you if you cash with the over in

1160
01:00:19,480 --> 01:00:21,679
that game last night, that's one of those ones where

1161
01:00:22,239 --> 01:00:25,039
you gotta go go test your try, try your luckout somewhere,

1162
01:00:25,079 --> 01:00:26,840
because that's one of those ones where it's just like

1163
01:00:27,519 --> 01:00:28,159
found money.

1164
01:00:28,199 --> 01:00:29,639
Speaker 1: I know someone that had the.

1165
01:00:29,639 --> 01:00:33,119
Speaker 2: Under and and they were just like, I don't think

1166
01:00:33,159 --> 01:00:35,800
they got much sleep last night. Let's put it that way.

1167
01:00:36,079 --> 01:00:38,199
Rangers had the chance. I mean, there was really not

1168
01:00:38,360 --> 01:00:41,559
much offense in that game until late. Rangers had multiple

1169
01:00:41,639 --> 01:00:44,119
chances to win it, and then you lose your under

1170
01:00:44,800 --> 01:00:47,559
on just the fireworks that happened when there's a ghost runner,

1171
01:00:48,119 --> 01:00:50,920
which is a rule that we need to My goal

1172
01:00:50,960 --> 01:00:53,280
is to make this listen like and subscribe. I need

1173
01:00:53,320 --> 01:00:55,719
this show to get big enough so I have a

1174
01:00:55,760 --> 01:00:58,599
big enough platform to campaign against getting rid of the

1175
01:00:58,599 --> 01:01:01,239
ghost runner, the worst rule in professional sports.

1176
01:01:01,280 --> 01:01:02,159
Speaker 1: Go ahead, Brian Lenon.

1177
01:01:02,480 --> 01:01:05,000
Speaker 3: Also, if you're getting and I know we're getting close

1178
01:01:05,000 --> 01:01:07,000
to the end, if you if you're giving out role changes,

1179
01:01:07,679 --> 01:01:12,679
any any stats you'll accumulate against a non pitcher should

1180
01:01:12,679 --> 01:01:14,119
not count on your records.

1181
01:01:15,079 --> 01:01:17,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's I hate that too.

1182
01:01:18,400 --> 01:01:21,079
Speaker 2: Orioles on Friday Night twenty two runs right like it

1183
01:01:21,199 --> 01:01:23,719
just can't I get why they're doing it, but it's

1184
01:01:23,719 --> 01:01:25,159
it's happening far too often.

1185
01:01:25,199 --> 01:01:26,320
Speaker 1: In my opinion, I.

1186
01:01:26,280 --> 01:01:30,119
Speaker 3: Think some guys gonna win an MVP. There's one of

1187
01:01:30,159 --> 01:01:32,599
these years, whether he gets four or five games against

1188
01:01:32,599 --> 01:01:36,400
somebody shortstop and he bets a thousand against him, and

1189
01:01:36,480 --> 01:01:39,239
he's gonna win the MVP. It's it's they gotta do

1190
01:01:39,280 --> 01:01:39,960
something about.

1191
01:01:39,800 --> 01:01:41,519
Speaker 1: It, all right.

1192
01:01:41,599 --> 01:01:45,639
Speaker 2: We have a three teamer to close out right now, Tokyo, Brandon,

1193
01:01:45,679 --> 01:01:47,239
what is your parlay league for.

1194
01:01:47,360 --> 01:01:52,599
Speaker 4: To Dodgers money line? I'm cheating, all right, Dodgers money line. Look,

1195
01:01:52,639 --> 01:01:54,599
the Dodgers have Yama Malta. I'm not gonna get too

1196
01:01:54,679 --> 01:01:57,679
much into the analysis. I think it's pretty self explanatory.

1197
01:01:57,880 --> 01:02:00,599
The Dodgers Achilles heel is their bullpen. But I expect

1198
01:02:00,639 --> 01:02:03,559
Yama Moto to go maybe seven innings in this game,

1199
01:02:03,800 --> 01:02:06,360
so it shouldn't be much of a factor. Scott's been

1200
01:02:06,400 --> 01:02:08,920
a good closer, so they really only have to patch

1201
01:02:08,920 --> 01:02:11,880
out one inning there if Yama Molto can go seven.

1202
01:02:12,280 --> 01:02:14,880
I like Dodgers on the money line. I know it's cheating.

1203
01:02:15,480 --> 01:02:18,400
You guys can throw your tomatoes at me, but hey,

1204
01:02:18,519 --> 01:02:21,039
it's a three leg parlay. I'll take them back three hundred.

1205
01:02:21,960 --> 01:02:24,000
Speaker 2: I have no issues. I have no issues with that.

1206
01:02:24,119 --> 01:02:27,280
I mean, Brian, what is what is the price on that?

1207
01:02:27,320 --> 01:02:30,639
Speaker 3: Though we look at it or something with a high line,

1208
01:02:30,719 --> 01:02:34,840
you can get anywhere from Pinnacle, which is usually pretty good.

1209
01:02:34,880 --> 01:02:37,320
There are three or seven all the way up to

1210
01:02:37,360 --> 01:02:40,880
you know, three, three forty at DraftKings.

1211
01:02:40,960 --> 01:02:44,880
Speaker 1: So yeah, yeah, yeah, I see.

1212
01:02:45,800 --> 01:02:47,360
Speaker 4: I better not be the reason we lose.

1213
01:02:49,119 --> 01:02:53,239
Speaker 3: We have not. Let's on these big favorites. By the way, I.

1214
01:02:55,480 --> 01:02:58,159
Speaker 1: Have no problem with that. I have no problem with that.

1215
01:02:58,280 --> 01:03:02,400
Speaker 2: It is a again, it's a three teamer, and so

1216
01:03:02,480 --> 01:03:04,599
far this year, I'm gonna read it off one more time.

1217
01:03:04,639 --> 01:03:06,320
So far this year, even with a little bit of

1218
01:03:06,320 --> 01:03:09,320
a dip lately, for every dollar, if you were to

1219
01:03:09,320 --> 01:03:12,760
play these equally for the same amount, every dollar would

1220
01:03:12,760 --> 01:03:17,440
have returned so far eleven twenty four. And listen, sometimes

1221
01:03:17,480 --> 01:03:19,400
you got to throw some favorites in there. We need

1222
01:03:19,440 --> 01:03:22,559
to get one. And I actually think this is I

1223
01:03:22,639 --> 01:03:24,760
like this one right here. It is a two plus

1224
01:03:24,840 --> 01:03:28,760
two sixty six. We have Rangers money line. Listen, TV,

1225
01:03:28,880 --> 01:03:31,079
I picked a big favorite. So is what it is,

1226
01:03:31,400 --> 01:03:34,920
Rangers money line, Dodgers money line. And then Brian's giving

1227
01:03:35,000 --> 01:03:37,920
us a little bit of odds here with Guardians team

1228
01:03:38,000 --> 01:03:40,239
total under three and a half. So one more time.

1229
01:03:41,039 --> 01:03:44,480
Today's parlay for the show A three teamer plus two

1230
01:03:44,599 --> 01:03:49,920
sixty six odds. We have Rangers money line, Dodgers' money line,

1231
01:03:50,000 --> 01:03:53,639
and then Brian Leonard's got the Guardians team total under

1232
01:03:53,880 --> 01:03:56,599
three and a half. All right, we've made it to

1233
01:03:56,639 --> 01:03:59,800
the end of the show. Again, I want to point

1234
01:03:59,800 --> 01:04:02,400
out we will be here Friday, so fourth of July.

1235
01:04:03,360 --> 01:04:05,840
I think it's the only show on wager Talk on Friday.

1236
01:04:06,360 --> 01:04:08,199
Everyone else is taking the day off. We're like, no,

1237
01:04:08,280 --> 01:04:10,440
it's too big of a baseball day. We gotta do

1238
01:04:10,519 --> 01:04:13,480
the show. So we will be completing the week every

1239
01:04:13,559 --> 01:04:19,159
day right here, nine am on nine am Eastern. Sorry,

1240
01:04:19,199 --> 01:04:22,039
I was looking at the comments. Nine am Eastern, right here,

1241
01:04:22,079 --> 01:04:24,519
every day. We'll be back tomorrow morning. It is five

1242
01:04:24,559 --> 01:04:27,159
dollars Tuesday at wager Talk. We'll all have plays up

1243
01:04:27,159 --> 01:04:31,719
for five bucks. But more importantly, like subscribe and leave

1244
01:04:31,760 --> 01:04:33,559
a comment and we'll see you guys in the morning

1245
01:04:33,679 --> 01:04:38,639
nine am.