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<v Speaker 1>You are listening to Redefining Energy.

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<v Speaker 2>Your co hosts from Berlin Gerard Raid and from London

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<v Speaker 2>Laurent Segalam. Today on Redefining Energy, we're going to talk

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<v Speaker 2>about decarbonizing buildings, Laura.

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<v Speaker 3>Yes, Jaden. There's a lot of action going on. Probably

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<v Speaker 3>first award from my.

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<v Speaker 4>Partner, Redefining Energy sponsored by a Mundi, the leading European

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<v Speaker 4>asset manager, your trusted partner to accelerate the transition to

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<v Speaker 4>a low carbon future. Leading asset manager based on the

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<v Speaker 4>IPE ranking. Investing involves risk, can solt your financial advisor.

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<v Speaker 3>Yes, Jada. It's an important topic because the sector of

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<v Speaker 3>buildings accounts for thirty seven percent of all emission, so

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<v Speaker 3>it's a third pilar of decarbonization next to a generation

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<v Speaker 3>and transportation.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and it's always been the one that has been

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<v Speaker 2>regarded as really hard to decarbonize. And my own view

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<v Speaker 2>is that's changing, and it's changing because of rapid technology

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<v Speaker 2>change which actually enables us to decarbonize buildings. But that's

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<v Speaker 2>only my opinion. So we decided let's bring on an expert.

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<v Speaker 3>And that expert you met him at the World Economic Forum,

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<v Speaker 3>and I will explain in the conclusion why you are invited,

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<v Speaker 3>but never me.

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<v Speaker 2>I got to know Vincent Petite, who is senior vice

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<v Speaker 2>president at Schneider and he's really in charge of their

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<v Speaker 2>sustainability research institute, and we've we've been talking for a long,

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<v Speaker 2>long while in and around what's needed, and what he

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<v Speaker 2>felt was needed was just a publication of data in

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<v Speaker 2>and around buildings, and no better company to do that

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<v Speaker 2>than Schneider given the fact that they've got energy management

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<v Speaker 2>systems and buildings across the world.

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<v Speaker 3>Good Look, it's a good moment because there are a

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<v Speaker 3>lot of regulation coming online. In Europe. We have something

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<v Speaker 3>called as usual in Europe, it's a mouseful, the Energy

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<v Speaker 3>Performance of Building Directive EPBD. What do you want to

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<v Speaker 3>say about that?

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<v Speaker 2>Well, I think this is a game changer. The reason

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<v Speaker 2>I think it's a game changer is because what you've

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<v Speaker 2>got is a binding target across Europe to reduce carbon

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<v Speaker 2>emissions by sixteen percent by twenty thirty and up to

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<v Speaker 2>twenty two percent by twenty thirty five. So it's a

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<v Speaker 2>little bit like we had before a row on this

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<v Speaker 2>redewble energy target, but now it's in buildings and that

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<v Speaker 2>means you have to invest in energy performance, whether that's

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<v Speaker 2>solar batteries, artificial intelligence, energy management systems, you name it.

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<v Speaker 2>That's where we're going.

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, so let's bring versus Computy on the show to

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<v Speaker 3>discuss that regulation and a lot of other things. Vincent,

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<v Speaker 3>Welcome to the show.

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<v Speaker 1>It'll all so Vincent first, it is great to have

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<v Speaker 1>you on the show.

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<v Speaker 2>We're really interested to sort of dig into building efficiency

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<v Speaker 2>and what we can do there in terms of decarbonization.

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<v Speaker 5>And what you seem to see is huge.

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<v Speaker 2>Change going on in the building area, where what you're

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<v Speaker 2>seeing is a current approach, which is governments are incentivizing changes,

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<v Speaker 2>but there's also a stick. You know, your carbon tax

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<v Speaker 2>is coming in, etcetera. So it feels as if the

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<v Speaker 2>next part of the energy transition is all going to

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<v Speaker 2>be about buildings. Do you agree with that or how

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<v Speaker 2>do you see the future there in terms of the

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<v Speaker 2>energy transition and the role of buildings in it.

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<v Speaker 1>Yes, buildings. I think the next two pick we've seen

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<v Speaker 1>tre among those progress will either as decayed or saw

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<v Speaker 1>in some sectors like boil generation and mobility and the

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<v Speaker 1>next order of business buildings. My view is that it's

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<v Speaker 1>not completely started yet. It's started, but it's not completely

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<v Speaker 1>started to run up yet. However, the route is pretty

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<v Speaker 1>clear because we see a lot of things emerging. And

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<v Speaker 1>if you walk by the strait of where you live,

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<v Speaker 1>you start to see more and more households equipped with

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<v Speaker 1>solar panels. You start to see evs on the road, which,

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<v Speaker 1>by the way, are charging inside the homes and the buildings.

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<v Speaker 1>You start to see a lot of new solutions to

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<v Speaker 1>electrify buildings, to remove fussy fuels from buildings. You live

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<v Speaker 1>in buildings, and you have more and more digital capabilities

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<v Speaker 1>inside buildings. So all those things are here and they're

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<v Speaker 1>starting to perlate the building market, and when you start

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<v Speaker 1>to combine them, you see really buildings transforming in the

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<v Speaker 1>foreseeable future.

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<v Speaker 2>I was very struck by recently being in Japan and

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<v Speaker 2>if the Japanese approaches, you just knock the building down

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<v Speaker 2>and restart.

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<v Speaker 5>While we in Europe and North America we.

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<v Speaker 2>Have a different approach, which is we say, let's keep

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<v Speaker 2>us and renovations. It seems to be expensive and difficult.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, you're right. I mean, if we look at the

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<v Speaker 1>global landscape, we tend to say in the Western world

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<v Speaker 1>that seventy percent of the buildings will still be here

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<v Speaker 1>in twenty fifty or something like that. It's actually a

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<v Speaker 1>Western perspective. I mean, if you look at it at

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<v Speaker 1>global level, it's not exactly the figures figure is more

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<v Speaker 1>around thirty to forty percent. Why because in many regions

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<v Speaker 1>of the world, the building stuck is actually about to

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<v Speaker 1>considerably increase, So it's going to be buildings of the

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<v Speaker 1>future versus buildings of the past that we try to renovate. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>coming to your point on renovation and the fact that

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<v Speaker 1>we traditionally consider that renovation is expensive, it's true, but

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<v Speaker 1>it depends on what renovation we're talking about. If we're

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<v Speaker 1>talking about rebuilding the walls, rebuilding the roof, rebuilding all

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<v Speaker 1>the insulation inside the building, that's true that it's expensive.

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<v Speaker 1>It brings a lot of efficiency, and don't get me wrong,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's true it's expensive. Now, what I was saying

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<v Speaker 1>right before about deploying period deploying electric solutions and on

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<v Speaker 1>integrating EV's and so on is a very different story.

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<v Speaker 1>And we could talk about this right because we've been

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<v Speaker 1>doing a lot of projects around the world and so

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<v Speaker 1>we have a little bit of experience on that. We

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<v Speaker 1>were also doing some research, some modeling research, on the topic.

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<v Speaker 1>So we see the benefits and the paybags and actually

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<v Speaker 1>well some issues, but the bottom line is it's not

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<v Speaker 1>that expensive.

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<v Speaker 5>Then that's a very good point to start with.

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<v Speaker 2>So you've done obviously a lot of research and modeling,

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<v Speaker 2>as you said, in this area. Maybe you could just

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<v Speaker 2>talk a little bit about your findings are. In other words,

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<v Speaker 2>if I want to go and renovate or upgrade a

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<v Speaker 2>building in terms of its energy grade, what should I.

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<v Speaker 1>Do To walk around the street? What do you see?

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<v Speaker 1>You see more and more homes with PVY, more and

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<v Speaker 1>more homes with hitt bombs, more and more home with

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<v Speaker 1>TV's and so so the interesting question is if you

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<v Speaker 1>combine all those changes together, what are the economics. Let

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<v Speaker 1>me talk about the research and the modeling we've done,

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<v Speaker 1>because it's interestingly enough, there's not been a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>research from the topic. Most of the result is actually

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<v Speaker 1>focused on the old way of doing things, and in fact,

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<v Speaker 1>what are the finding So long story short, when you

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<v Speaker 1>look at your annual bills, how much energy you pay,

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<v Speaker 1>what's the savings you make once you've clubbed all those

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<v Speaker 1>transformations together. Well, the savings you get range between twenty

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<v Speaker 1>and eighty percent across different types of buildings and across

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<v Speaker 1>different regions. In the research we do, we look at

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<v Speaker 1>commercial buildings and residential buildings, and we look at that

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<v Speaker 1>across different regions in US, in Europe, in China. Mostly

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<v Speaker 1>this is what we've been looking at so far. There

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<v Speaker 1>are obviously a lot of differences across regions and building

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<v Speaker 1>types because the buildings are not the same, so the

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<v Speaker 1>capacities are not the same, the regions are not the same,

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<v Speaker 1>the weather is different on the tariffs are different on,

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<v Speaker 1>the local tonations are different. The cost of the technology

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<v Speaker 1>is also different. But overall you save up to eighty

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<v Speaker 1>percent of your bill. In the lower range you will

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<v Speaker 1>find a very large, tall buildings, like large office buildings

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<v Speaker 1>that you see in city centers. And in the higher range,

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<v Speaker 1>toward the eighty person, you will find your single family

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<v Speaker 1>household or big retail street mall and that kind of

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<v Speaker 1>thing that's for the bill. Now, if you look at

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<v Speaker 1>the payback, because obviously all this as a cost, it's

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<v Speaker 1>interesting already when we start discussing about payback to differentiate

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<v Speaker 1>about new construction and renovation, because you still have new

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<v Speaker 1>constructions happening even in Western economies. Even if it's a

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<v Speaker 1>small portion, but like I was saying before, you've got

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<v Speaker 1>a lot in new economies going on. When you look

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<v Speaker 1>at new constructions, the additional cost on the total cost

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<v Speaker 1>of construction is between two and eight percent, So that's

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<v Speaker 1>the bottom line, and actually the capex is going down,

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<v Speaker 1>so it's probably going to go further down going forward.

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<v Speaker 1>And when you look at renovations, the payback vary quite

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<v Speaker 1>greatly today between five years for some applications like for instance, hotel,

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<v Speaker 1>strip malls, schools, and so. Commercial buildings are actually much

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<v Speaker 1>better paybacks, and you have paybacks that are much higher.

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<v Speaker 1>For residential they can go up to twenty years or above.

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<v Speaker 1>In certain conditions. It varies, but in general the paybacks

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<v Speaker 1>remain quite acceptable. And we see as well happening and

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<v Speaker 1>you know that much better than I do, JR. Is

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<v Speaker 1>that actually the capex for all those technologies is going

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<v Speaker 1>down at rapid pace. On top of that, the value

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<v Speaker 1>chain is not yet completely structured to tackle those projects,

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<v Speaker 1>and the hassle factor, as we say, is still pretty important.

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<v Speaker 1>So you can expect those paybacks to improve dramatically.

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<v Speaker 3>Can you give me one or two example of major

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<v Speaker 3>renovation you've done and I guess I'm changing the light bulbs.

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<v Speaker 3>That's probably an easy one, but it's all about the

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<v Speaker 3>h FI heating system probably where there is the most

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<v Speaker 3>energy demand.

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<v Speaker 1>There's this project we did in Finland a couple of

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<v Speaker 1>years ago, so Biso and not necessarily the sunniest place

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<v Speaker 1>in the world in a city in nam Lipula, Java.

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<v Speaker 1>What it is is a net zero city center, so

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<v Speaker 1>it's a city center, so it's retail offices all together,

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<v Speaker 1>and they built it net zero and the payback was

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<v Speaker 1>five years. And with this the actual source fifty percent

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<v Speaker 1>of their energy demand from what they've got on their howtop.

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<v Speaker 1>So that's one example. I could give you another one.

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<v Speaker 1>It's also about the speed of chain. Those projects can

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<v Speaker 1>go very fast. So there's this project so this time

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<v Speaker 1>in US that we've done in the Montgomery County of Marylands.

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<v Speaker 1>You've got the city which has all these bus fleets,

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<v Speaker 1>so they've got like eighty public buses. They wanted to

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<v Speaker 1>decarbonize and to electrify their buses, which they did in

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<v Speaker 1>less than a year. We were actually able to have

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<v Speaker 1>them electrify their bus fleet and then to create a

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<v Speaker 1>full micro gride on their bus depot, which means that

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<v Speaker 1>probably all their charging is done with solar panels that

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<v Speaker 1>are on the canopies of the bus depot. And that

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<v Speaker 1>was a project that was done in a very short timeframe, right,

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<v Speaker 1>and then maybe a last one also because those are

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<v Speaker 1>relatively smaller applications, but that this is actually quite scalable

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<v Speaker 1>to build larger applications. We're currently working with the gfkare Port.

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<v Speaker 1>They're rebuilding their terminal one. The terminal one's going to

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<v Speaker 1>you full of microgrids, even megawats micro grids, but eight

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<v Speaker 1>megawetts of panels. They've got five megawets of storage. And

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<v Speaker 1>the target, which has been model simulated, validated one is

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<v Speaker 1>a reduction of emissions of about forty percent. And obviously

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<v Speaker 1>there will be fully resilient. There was a reason why

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<v Speaker 1>they did that was not a medical organization. Was also

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<v Speaker 1>resiliency in case you have a storm, they want the

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<v Speaker 1>terminal to still be operting and so on, and so

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<v Speaker 1>with this there sure this happens.

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<v Speaker 2>So I really understand this, and when I'm listening to

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<v Speaker 2>what you're talking about is really putting generation behind the

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<v Speaker 2>meatia And I understand you might say heat pumps is

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<v Speaker 2>not because it's a place is obliged.

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<v Speaker 5>But could you explain the energy efficiency benefits?

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<v Speaker 2>After all, you know, I can understand from a like

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<v Speaker 2>I'm a sharp I put soll on my roof, I

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<v Speaker 2>reduce my carbon emissions. But when I think of it

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<v Speaker 2>efficiency for me, it's lorentzop. Maybe earlier on it's LEDs.

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<v Speaker 2>You put LEDs in reduce consumption. So does the technology

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<v Speaker 2>talk about reduce consumption or the reducing emissions there as

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<v Speaker 2>a power?

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<v Speaker 1>It's both in fact, but probably I insisted a bit

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<v Speaker 1>on the generation behind the meter as you put it,

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<v Speaker 1>because I think it's a game changer. But in what

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<v Speaker 1>we do, it's a combination of things. It's about local generation,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's also about the hitt pont as you mentioned, which,

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<v Speaker 1>by the ways, bringing efficiency. And it's also about the

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<v Speaker 1>digital infrastructure because anyhow, once you've put that in place,

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<v Speaker 1>you know those two components, you need some level of

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<v Speaker 1>control locally in order to be able to manage that.

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<v Speaker 1>And those controls they do not only manage the generation,

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<v Speaker 1>they also manage the demand and the uses in a

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<v Speaker 1>whom the benefits are what they are. The are typically

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<v Speaker 1>between eight to ten percent of energy efficiency. But if

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<v Speaker 1>you go in a commercial building, if you go in

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<v Speaker 1>an office building, is the savings are actually much larger.

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<v Speaker 1>They are own ound twenty to thirty percent of energy demand.

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<v Speaker 1>And this is fairly simple because what you do people

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<v Speaker 1>leave a meeting, hold, you shut down the light, you

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<v Speaker 1>shut down the AC not everyone is coming at the office.

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<v Speaker 1>Nowadays we have some chromofice and so on not to

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<v Speaker 1>shut down parts of the buildings. That way you make

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<v Speaker 1>actually very significant energy efficiency saving. And by the way,

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<v Speaker 1>it's a different form of savings than you were mentioning

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<v Speaker 1>in the introduction Real insulation work and traditional renovation. Traditional

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<v Speaker 1>renovation is really about its passive efficiency if you want so,

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<v Speaker 1>it's really about braining down the baseline. What we're talking

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<v Speaker 1>about here is more active energy efficiency. So it's complementary,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's making sure that you optimize the uses of

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<v Speaker 1>the given building, getting to the law the minimum of

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<v Speaker 1>the baseline. And it's also about preventing rebond effects right,

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<v Speaker 1>which we have upseller with traditional efficiency measures as well. Well.

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<v Speaker 3>Vincent, listening to you, I believe that we have all

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<v Speaker 3>the necessary tools, whether it's heat pumps, hevise, solar batteries,

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<v Speaker 3>digital your name made, so can you expand a bit

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<v Speaker 3>on solar place.

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<v Speaker 1>Yes, thanks Lauren for the question, And I think that

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<v Speaker 1>ties up well with the previous questions from there or deficiency,

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<v Speaker 1>because there are other efficiencies beyond what you can actually

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<v Speaker 1>get inside the building. There are efficiencies that are more

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<v Speaker 1>at a system level, and PV is a good example

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<v Speaker 1>because we are in a race of supply and demand,

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<v Speaker 1>So how much fast can we ramp up the supply,

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<v Speaker 1>how much fast can we decarbanize the demand or electrifize

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<v Speaker 1>the demands. So we've got all this thing going on,

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<v Speaker 1>but the potent shoal of distributed generation, so host of

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<v Speaker 1>PV is much larger than we think in some research

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<v Speaker 1>we've done. But it's not only US. We've seen some

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<v Speaker 1>research in the US saying that forty percent of current

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<v Speaker 1>electricity demand could be provided by distributed generations. Imagine that.

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<v Speaker 1>In some studies we've done, we're thinking that we at

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<v Speaker 1>global level it's about twenty twenty five percent of electricity

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<v Speaker 1>demand that could be provided by distributed generation. So this

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<v Speaker 1>is a big accelerator of the transition. And coming back

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<v Speaker 1>to efficiency is also efficiency of use, lend use and

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<v Speaker 1>more very the role of distributed generation in the realm

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<v Speaker 1>of the electrification of building. You know, there are a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of discussions and people claiming that we're gonna need

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<v Speaker 1>to electrifize those buildings if we want to take organize them. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>fair enough, but when we do that, we're going to

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<v Speaker 1>have a massive impact on the power raid because obviously

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<v Speaker 1>the demand for electricity is going to rise very significantly.

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<v Speaker 1>When in fact, when you start to put PIV on

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<v Speaker 1>your rooftop to a large extent, you mitigate that issue.

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<v Speaker 1>And we've done some simulation about this and it's clear

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<v Speaker 1>that in some areas you will face problems and there

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<v Speaker 1>may be local areas where you need to upgrade the

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<v Speaker 1>distribution in crastal jobs. But one thing that came up

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<v Speaker 1>in our work and that was actually quite a surprise

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<v Speaker 1>to us, is typically for commercial buildings, what we found

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<v Speaker 1>out is that for commercial buildings, if you've got the

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<v Speaker 1>right amount of PV, you actually mitigate the impact of

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<v Speaker 1>the electrification from the standpoint of the power raid. And

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<v Speaker 1>that's another big, big efficiency gainst for the system.

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<v Speaker 3>As all, I can now introduce one of my favorite

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<v Speaker 3>concepts jars and all of it the Jevons paradox.

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<v Speaker 5>You like that job, don't you we do the rebound effect.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, exactly. So the Gevens paradox means the more energy

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<v Speaker 3>efficiency you put in a system, the.

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<v Speaker 1>More energy is being consumed.

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<v Speaker 3>And I empathize with your thesis that discribution grid is

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<v Speaker 3>going to be okay because we're going to do a

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<v Speaker 3>lot of local generation. But when the suns are shining,

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<v Speaker 3>if you not have enough batteries, it's probably going to

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<v Speaker 3>work eighty percent of the time or eighty percent of

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<v Speaker 3>the time. But the problem are always the last ten percent.

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<v Speaker 3>And I don't think we have a problem on average,

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<v Speaker 3>but that system needs to work twenty four seven, three

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<v Speaker 3>sixty five, And of course the problem is it's the

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<v Speaker 3>total heat wave or the blizzard, and maybe it's going

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<v Speaker 3>to happen thirty days a year. That's how big the

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<v Speaker 3>system needs to be designed, plus a little margin. So

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<v Speaker 3>are we just running on a treadmill?

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<v Speaker 1>Appear on your point on a rebound effect, which is

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<v Speaker 1>a very good point because I look a bit at

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<v Speaker 1>the history of past energy transitions. You've always had a

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<v Speaker 1>rebound and at least a nature of things. That's very

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<v Speaker 1>very true. Two points maybe on that when we discuss

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<v Speaker 1>on energy efficiency The point on using digital technologies, which

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<v Speaker 1>are modern technologies to manage the energy used, is really

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<v Speaker 1>a way to prevent rebound effects in energy among inside buildings.

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<v Speaker 1>So that's one point I think we should keep in mind.

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<v Speaker 1>And this is very different from traditional uncontrolled efficiency solutions

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<v Speaker 1>which do not prevent you from a remom. But that's

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<v Speaker 1>a very specific point. I fit. Your question about rebund

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<v Speaker 1>is larger than that, and you're right, if you deploy

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<v Speaker 1>more generation capacity, well you may have more energy uses.

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<v Speaker 1>But this is also a synonym of abundance law. We

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<v Speaker 1>feel we live in a period of scarcity, but nothing

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<v Speaker 1>prevents us from living in a period of abundance. If

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<v Speaker 1>we develop enots energy and clean energy obviously supply the

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<v Speaker 1>topic of rebond it's a complicated one. I think there

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<v Speaker 1>are technologies that can help you to prevent it on

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<v Speaker 1>specific aspects. After the larger question, which is the one

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<v Speaker 1>you're raising, is the one of building a society of

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<v Speaker 1>abundance of energy, and to do that we need to

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<v Speaker 1>deploy a lot of energy capacities, and beyond the meter

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<v Speaker 1>or behind the meter, we've got a huge reservoir that

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<v Speaker 1>we can tap into a new question of residence, which

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<v Speaker 1>is also a very good one. You're absolutely right, law,

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<v Speaker 1>and if it's not going to be a one hundred

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<v Speaker 1>person residience. Now, in some of the examples they give you,

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<v Speaker 1>like the JFK Terminal one airport, why did they build it.

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<v Speaker 1>They did not build it only because they wanted to

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<v Speaker 1>reduce emissions. They built it because they wanted to increase

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<v Speaker 1>the resilience of the airport of the terminal in case

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<v Speaker 1>of large weather incident. And you know that in these

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<v Speaker 1>regions it happens that there are quite a few over winter.

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<v Speaker 1>The way they see this kind of technology and particularly

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<v Speaker 1>generations behind the meter, is a way to increase their

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<v Speaker 1>residience because by the way they have that, they have

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<v Speaker 1>some local generation capacity may not work one hundred of

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<v Speaker 1>the time, but if they don't, they rely on the

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<v Speaker 1>power grade and there are incidents on power grids as well,

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<v Speaker 1>especially when there are harsh weathers. So actually you could say,

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<v Speaker 1>for shots, I'm going to solve one hundred percent of

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<v Speaker 1>the issue. No one is saying that, but it's actually

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<v Speaker 1>improving the residience of the total system.

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<v Speaker 2>Vincent, can I ask you a little bit of a

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<v Speaker 2>cheeky question, what we've got in Europe is we've got

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<v Speaker 2>a new energy performance directive in the buildings area, and

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<v Speaker 2>what this means is that governments across Europe have to

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<v Speaker 2>go and look at their building stock and decide how

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<v Speaker 2>best to decarbonize them. My question to you is, you're

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<v Speaker 2>the minister in charge of buildings in France. What's your

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<v Speaker 2>policy is going to be to actually ensure that we

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<v Speaker 2>improve efficiencies in buildings over the next decade?

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<v Speaker 1>Thank you, Ah, that's a cheeky question.

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<v Speaker 3>Or I can answer. I can answer second million bureaucrats.

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<v Speaker 1>Let me frame my own self this way. So there

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<v Speaker 1>are two things. The first one in French, right, So

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<v Speaker 1>it's a good question about the Minister of Francis. I

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<v Speaker 1>also live in Boston in the US, and I walk

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<v Speaker 1>by the streets on the weekends with my daughters and

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<v Speaker 1>my girls, and I look at the new homes being built,

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<v Speaker 1>and I'm getting nervous because what I see is that

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<v Speaker 1>they're installing a lot of gas boilers. So I have

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<v Speaker 1>a first recommendation, which is, when you build a new home,

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<v Speaker 1>and you build a new building, how come that we

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<v Speaker 1>continue to build them with technologies from the twentieth century

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<v Speaker 1>that we know that we don't want anymore by twenty fifty,

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<v Speaker 1>So are we serious or are we're not serious? So

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<v Speaker 1>my first thing would be what do we do about

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<v Speaker 1>new construction. My subbumn thing is more looking at it

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<v Speaker 1>from the standpoint of company corporation which is involved in

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<v Speaker 1>the field, and it's a case of Snider Rectrick that

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<v Speaker 1>it's a case of many others. Sometimes I'm inside meetings

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<v Speaker 1>where people discuss about why is it not happening faster,

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<v Speaker 1>what's blocking? Why is it that companies are not getting

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<v Speaker 1>into this failed and so there's a lot of discussions

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<v Speaker 1>and reflection training with government or on what to be

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<v Speaker 1>done in terms of incentive, carrot and sticks. Like you

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<v Speaker 1>said earlier, the are what the private sector. It is

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<v Speaker 1>a business case. They need customers. When you start to

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<v Speaker 1>have customers, you have the private sector that get in

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<v Speaker 1>and that invests. And the reality is in many regions

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<v Speaker 1>of the world we still don't have that market or

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<v Speaker 1>it's still not structure. And so this is probably where

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<v Speaker 1>I would could focused rather than you're putting a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of money on the table, but other focus on how

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<v Speaker 1>do we cread the condition of the market. There are

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<v Speaker 1>also a lot of discussions around skills. Okay, do we

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<v Speaker 1>have the skills available, where the technology is available, with

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<v Speaker 1>the manufacturing capacity available. All of this can be solved

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<v Speaker 1>by the private sector. This is what the private sector

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<v Speaker 1>is doing. They're scaling stuff. That's what the private sector

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<v Speaker 1>is known for. But in order to scale, you first

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<v Speaker 1>need to start. In order to start, we need to

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<v Speaker 1>have a business case insight, and so maybe a recommendation

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<v Speaker 1>I would make in order to create that market is

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<v Speaker 1>maybe also to show the way, what do we do

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<v Speaker 1>about public buildings as an example, Maybe we could start

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<v Speaker 1>with public buildings and that would be a market.

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<v Speaker 5>Incent That probably leads to a good end question, which

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<v Speaker 5>is about the market. How do we createe and scale

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<v Speaker 5>up the mark?

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<v Speaker 1>It's a fundamental question. So I think we have to

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<v Speaker 1>create that demand. So regulation, by the way you were

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<v Speaker 1>mentioning the IPIBID, I did not extend on that. But

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00:22:08.039 --> 00:22:11.079
<v Speaker 1>that's going definitely into this way, right, So it's helpful.

421
00:22:11.759 --> 00:22:13.880
<v Speaker 1>Is it going to be enough? Well, time will tell.

422
00:22:14.119 --> 00:22:17.200
<v Speaker 1>But like I was saying, in new constructions, public buildings,

423
00:22:17.240 --> 00:22:18.880
<v Speaker 1>there's a lot of things that could be done in

424
00:22:19.039 --> 00:22:22.160
<v Speaker 1>order to launch that market and make the case. It's

425
00:22:22.200 --> 00:22:24.920
<v Speaker 1>a little bit like what happened in the mobility sectors

426
00:22:25.160 --> 00:22:27.359
<v Speaker 1>and when it starts to romp up that after its scales.

427
00:22:27.519 --> 00:22:29.640
<v Speaker 1>We are just at this moment and we need to

428
00:22:29.680 --> 00:22:33.279
<v Speaker 1>be attentive to that. Now. When the market is here

429
00:22:33.440 --> 00:22:36.160
<v Speaker 1>and starting to grow, then it's the time to scale up.

430
00:22:36.480 --> 00:22:39.119
<v Speaker 1>And here the private sector will have to play a

431
00:22:39.200 --> 00:22:43.160
<v Speaker 1>key role. It's about structuring the value chain, training the channel,

432
00:22:43.480 --> 00:22:45.920
<v Speaker 1>recruiting people. It's going to take a lot of people.

433
00:22:46.400 --> 00:22:49.359
<v Speaker 1>We did a study with Boston University the Institute of

434
00:22:49.359 --> 00:22:53.640
<v Speaker 1>Global Sustainability last year about the specific set of solutions.

435
00:22:53.640 --> 00:22:56.279
<v Speaker 1>We found out that it would require two million jobs

436
00:22:56.319 --> 00:22:58.880
<v Speaker 1>across the US and Europe in the coming years. That's

437
00:22:58.880 --> 00:23:00.880
<v Speaker 1>what it's going to take. So there are a lot

438
00:23:00.920 --> 00:23:03.640
<v Speaker 1>of positive sides to this kind of transition as well,

439
00:23:03.640 --> 00:23:05.440
<v Speaker 1>by the way, but it's going to take a lot

440
00:23:05.480 --> 00:23:08.319
<v Speaker 1>of effort from the private sector to grow his competency,

441
00:23:08.440 --> 00:23:11.160
<v Speaker 1>creates the channel structure, revalue channel, and as we do that,

442
00:23:11.400 --> 00:23:14.200
<v Speaker 1>as the private sector manages to do that, costs are

443
00:23:14.240 --> 00:23:17.119
<v Speaker 1>going to go down. You can better it because all

444
00:23:17.160 --> 00:23:19.599
<v Speaker 1>of the administrative burden will probably disappear.

445
00:23:19.880 --> 00:23:21.920
<v Speaker 5>And what you're saying is there's a great opportunity and

446
00:23:21.960 --> 00:23:23.559
<v Speaker 5>growth opportunity in front of us.

447
00:23:23.799 --> 00:23:26.640
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, it's actually the future. I don't think it's an opportunity.

448
00:23:26.640 --> 00:23:30.720
<v Speaker 1>I think it's inevitable. I think it's inevitable. Question is

449
00:23:30.759 --> 00:23:33.079
<v Speaker 1>the time it will take to get there and how

450
00:23:33.200 --> 00:23:35.079
<v Speaker 1>early we want to be in there, you know, in

451
00:23:35.079 --> 00:23:38.319
<v Speaker 1>different regions, and we could draw a parallel with mobility

452
00:23:38.400 --> 00:23:40.240
<v Speaker 1>and electric bakers on that way.

453
00:23:41.039 --> 00:23:43.759
<v Speaker 5>Very interesting, keep very much, vincent.

454
00:23:44.000 --> 00:23:48.359
<v Speaker 1>Really, that was excellent you guys, very much. It's a pleasure, pleasure, super.

455
00:23:48.400 --> 00:23:52.960
<v Speaker 3>Super so job. I guess you had a great moment

456
00:23:53.079 --> 00:23:53.960
<v Speaker 3>with that discussion.

457
00:23:55.279 --> 00:23:56.440
<v Speaker 5>You have to tell me why.

458
00:23:58.160 --> 00:24:02.440
<v Speaker 1>I'm laughing, because I don't know. I never know what's

459
00:24:02.440 --> 00:24:06.200
<v Speaker 1>compable with you.

460
00:24:02.920 --> 00:24:08.079
<v Speaker 3>You really want to have my opinion?

461
00:24:08.839 --> 00:24:10.000
<v Speaker 1>Yes, okay.

462
00:24:10.799 --> 00:24:17.119
<v Speaker 3>At first I found the conversation uninspiring. That's why I

463
00:24:17.200 --> 00:24:22.200
<v Speaker 3>crack stupid jokes, you know about French bureaucrats. Then I

464
00:24:22.279 --> 00:24:29.759
<v Speaker 3>really listened to the interview and I had an epiphany. Yeah,

465
00:24:29.839 --> 00:24:33.160
<v Speaker 3>I understood something. So let me share my thoughts with

466
00:24:33.200 --> 00:24:38.720
<v Speaker 3>you all that the commonization of buildings are great solutions,

467
00:24:39.240 --> 00:24:43.039
<v Speaker 3>but looking for an economic model, and the problem with

468
00:24:43.119 --> 00:24:46.640
<v Speaker 3>these engineers, in my opinion, is that they build nice products,

469
00:24:47.119 --> 00:24:49.680
<v Speaker 3>but you know, the guys say, you need twenty years

470
00:24:49.720 --> 00:24:54.319
<v Speaker 3>to amortize this, so in fact they need ether enormous

471
00:24:54.359 --> 00:24:58.240
<v Speaker 3>sticks or enormous carrots to go to market.

472
00:24:59.160 --> 00:25:00.880
<v Speaker 5>Agreed, Absolutely great.

473
00:25:01.079 --> 00:25:05.799
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, And sometimes I go to conferences and I see

474
00:25:05.839 --> 00:25:08.799
<v Speaker 3>those type of engineers with those technology, and I ask

475
00:25:08.920 --> 00:25:13.839
<v Speaker 3>the simple question, what is the most powerful sentence in

476
00:25:13.960 --> 00:25:16.839
<v Speaker 3>business when you are selling a new tech? What is

477
00:25:16.880 --> 00:25:17.440
<v Speaker 3>that sentence?

478
00:25:17.519 --> 00:25:19.079
<v Speaker 5>Jihad, I have no idea.

479
00:25:19.119 --> 00:25:22.920
<v Speaker 3>Tell me that sentence is you'll see your money back

480
00:25:22.920 --> 00:25:26.960
<v Speaker 3>in three years. But the problem is with those decarbonization

481
00:25:27.039 --> 00:25:29.480
<v Speaker 3>of buildings, you don't see your money back in three years.

482
00:25:29.680 --> 00:25:36.359
<v Speaker 3>So it requires a very very strong external push. Now,

483
00:25:36.359 --> 00:25:39.319
<v Speaker 3>of course, when putting in wades, price goes through the

484
00:25:39.400 --> 00:25:42.960
<v Speaker 3>roof and bank everybody is installing a roof top solar.

485
00:25:43.599 --> 00:25:46.839
<v Speaker 3>But there are a lot of those cases where technology

486
00:25:46.880 --> 00:25:50.279
<v Speaker 3>is great, but nobody wants to pay for it unless

487
00:25:50.319 --> 00:25:55.319
<v Speaker 3>you've got those supercards or the superstixel. Of course, we

488
00:25:55.440 --> 00:25:58.079
<v Speaker 3>talked about the energy directive, and I'm sure there are

489
00:25:58.079 --> 00:26:01.759
<v Speaker 3>a lot of states in the US, mostly democrat I guess,

490
00:26:02.119 --> 00:26:06.279
<v Speaker 3>have this type of strategy. But let's talk about the carrots,

491
00:26:06.920 --> 00:26:10.519
<v Speaker 3>and I have a good example of the carrots. Is

492
00:26:10.559 --> 00:26:14.559
<v Speaker 3>a program which was launching Italy called the superb Bonus

493
00:26:15.000 --> 00:26:18.400
<v Speaker 3>one hundred and ten, So ern tell.

494
00:26:18.319 --> 00:26:19.519
<v Speaker 5>Us a little bit about that pall us.

495
00:26:20.240 --> 00:26:24.920
<v Speaker 3>That program was launed in to twenty one and it

496
00:26:25.160 --> 00:26:28.960
<v Speaker 3>was a tax credit scheme aimed at making homes more

497
00:26:29.079 --> 00:26:34.799
<v Speaker 3>energy efficient. So the Superbonus one hundred and ten entitled

498
00:26:34.839 --> 00:26:37.319
<v Speaker 3>the home owners to a tax credit up to one

499
00:26:37.359 --> 00:26:40.839
<v Speaker 3>hundred and ten percent of the cost of upgrading their property.

500
00:26:41.519 --> 00:26:44.920
<v Speaker 3>That's a great idea, that's the best scrut. But guess

501
00:26:45.000 --> 00:26:48.480
<v Speaker 3>what after three years, dared to scrap it because do

502
00:26:48.599 --> 00:26:52.599
<v Speaker 3>you know how much it costs? That program cost one

503
00:26:52.680 --> 00:26:56.960
<v Speaker 3>hundred and ten billion euro. Okay, there were a lot

504
00:26:57.000 --> 00:26:59.920
<v Speaker 3>of upgrades to be done, but guess what the cost

505
00:27:00.160 --> 00:27:03.720
<v Speaker 3>of building went through the roof because everybody cheated on

506
00:27:03.759 --> 00:27:07.119
<v Speaker 3>the pogut and there were frods and everything. So you

507
00:27:07.200 --> 00:27:09.920
<v Speaker 3>have a great program, but it's a super car out

508
00:27:10.440 --> 00:27:13.839
<v Speaker 3>and guess what the Superbonus hundred and ten cost one

509
00:27:13.880 --> 00:27:18.359
<v Speaker 3>hundred and ten billion. That demonstrate that it is not

510
00:27:18.599 --> 00:27:24.599
<v Speaker 3>simple to put together an incentive which gives society a

511
00:27:24.960 --> 00:27:28.319
<v Speaker 3>reasonable amount of value for the money which is invested.

512
00:27:29.240 --> 00:27:33.319
<v Speaker 2>Let's go back fifteen years ago and I was listening

513
00:27:33.359 --> 00:27:37.160
<v Speaker 2>to a fossil fuel relic and I was talking about

514
00:27:37.160 --> 00:27:39.599
<v Speaker 2>renewables and how we were going to put in feed

515
00:27:39.640 --> 00:27:42.000
<v Speaker 2>in tariffs and we're going to put tax credits in place,

516
00:27:42.039 --> 00:27:44.839
<v Speaker 2>and that. The other thing what I would have got

517
00:27:44.880 --> 00:27:49.160
<v Speaker 2>back was all the economics of it. This don't make sense. Oh,

518
00:27:49.200 --> 00:27:52.960
<v Speaker 2>it's really difficult. And and and actually what you saw

519
00:27:53.240 --> 00:27:57.200
<v Speaker 2>was the exact tops you saw that actually freedom tariffs

520
00:27:57.279 --> 00:28:01.519
<v Speaker 2>very expensive, kicked off, the Markush call went down, and

521
00:28:01.559 --> 00:28:04.759
<v Speaker 2>you suddenly put yourself in a different situation. And I

522
00:28:04.799 --> 00:28:07.039
<v Speaker 2>want to say that start with that, because if I

523
00:28:07.160 --> 00:28:09.799
<v Speaker 2>just take what the numbers for example that Schneider gave,

524
00:28:10.359 --> 00:28:13.680
<v Speaker 2>what there is is there's a lot of very interesting

525
00:28:14.599 --> 00:28:17.839
<v Speaker 2>that's called under five year payback without any form of

526
00:28:17.880 --> 00:28:20.759
<v Speaker 2>incentive scheme in place. And you take the case of

527
00:28:21.319 --> 00:28:23.880
<v Speaker 2>just taking the shopping center and putting sola on the roof.

528
00:28:24.240 --> 00:28:26.880
<v Speaker 2>There's loads and loads of these. Now, the interesting thing

529
00:28:26.920 --> 00:28:30.440
<v Speaker 2>about it is these technologies are getting cheaper and cheaper

530
00:28:30.480 --> 00:28:33.640
<v Speaker 2>and cheaper. So for me, that economic side of it

531
00:28:33.680 --> 00:28:36.400
<v Speaker 2>is much about the playback periods are coming down basically

532
00:28:36.480 --> 00:28:41.119
<v Speaker 2>right across the world because of you know, massive technology improvement.

533
00:28:41.200 --> 00:28:43.839
<v Speaker 5>So that's the first point. The second thing I would

534
00:28:43.880 --> 00:28:47.079
<v Speaker 5>say is there's no doubt we need a carrot.

535
00:28:48.039 --> 00:28:50.319
<v Speaker 2>And you just gave a very good example of the

536
00:28:50.359 --> 00:28:53.599
<v Speaker 2>Italian situation where they didn't give you just a carrot,

537
00:28:54.039 --> 00:28:55.240
<v Speaker 2>They basically gave you a goal.

538
00:28:55.200 --> 00:28:58.759
<v Speaker 5>Line and the rest is history didn't work out. But

539
00:28:58.799 --> 00:28:59.160
<v Speaker 5>if I.

540
00:28:59.240 --> 00:29:03.000
<v Speaker 2>Do look at the United States, all their renewables have

541
00:29:03.039 --> 00:29:05.240
<v Speaker 2>been based on tax credits and whatever, and you have

542
00:29:05.319 --> 00:29:07.839
<v Speaker 2>to put the proper systems in place to incentivize that.

543
00:29:08.519 --> 00:29:10.799
<v Speaker 2>And I do believe countries will do that the next

544
00:29:10.799 --> 00:29:14.319
<v Speaker 2>few years. In Europe, we will make mistakes like the Italians.

545
00:29:14.880 --> 00:29:18.119
<v Speaker 2>But I give you the really simple or if I

546
00:29:18.200 --> 00:29:22.720
<v Speaker 2>really wanted to decarbonize buildings, I do one thing, and

547
00:29:22.759 --> 00:29:26.519
<v Speaker 2>that is I make electricity everywhere as low costs as possible.

548
00:29:27.200 --> 00:29:30.359
<v Speaker 2>That means get rid of the taxes. Make a statement

549
00:29:30.519 --> 00:29:33.799
<v Speaker 2>to all of Europe and say, guys, from now on,

550
00:29:33.920 --> 00:29:37.839
<v Speaker 2>there's no vat, there's no government taxes on it. Electricity

551
00:29:37.920 --> 00:29:40.279
<v Speaker 2>is going to be your cheapest way to actually have

552
00:29:40.480 --> 00:29:43.720
<v Speaker 2>energy in the buildings. Now why do I say that,

553
00:29:43.759 --> 00:29:45.680
<v Speaker 2>Because the opposite approach is what we've been trying for

554
00:29:45.720 --> 00:29:48.200
<v Speaker 2>the last ten years, which is we make fossil fuels

555
00:29:48.279 --> 00:29:49.880
<v Speaker 2>more expensive and nobody likes that.

556
00:29:50.559 --> 00:29:52.759
<v Speaker 5>So that for me is the carrot that you would

557
00:29:52.839 --> 00:29:53.519
<v Speaker 5>need to do this.

558
00:29:53.680 --> 00:29:56.279
<v Speaker 2>And I believe these cars will come wrong, but I

559
00:29:56.319 --> 00:29:59.039
<v Speaker 2>will furnish about the stick because there's a stick which

560
00:29:59.079 --> 00:30:02.839
<v Speaker 2>is very interesting. The stick is the amount of regulations

561
00:30:02.839 --> 00:30:05.240
<v Speaker 2>that have come in across Europe in the last few

562
00:30:05.319 --> 00:30:09.200
<v Speaker 2>years is just so big that we don't realize the impact.

563
00:30:09.839 --> 00:30:13.480
<v Speaker 2>But I'll tell you who does. It's property owners. So

564
00:30:13.519 --> 00:30:15.640
<v Speaker 2>if I look at the German numbers actually this morning,

565
00:30:16.319 --> 00:30:18.920
<v Speaker 2>is that last year there is a difference between a

566
00:30:18.960 --> 00:30:21.599
<v Speaker 2>Grade A building and a gray building of twenty five

567
00:30:21.599 --> 00:30:22.519
<v Speaker 2>percent in evaluation.

568
00:30:23.240 --> 00:30:25.079
<v Speaker 5>And it's getting bigger and bigger and bigger.

569
00:30:25.119 --> 00:30:28.440
<v Speaker 2>Because the point about it is, did the property owner goes,

570
00:30:28.519 --> 00:30:31.960
<v Speaker 2>oh God, if somebody buys that building, they're going to

571
00:30:32.000 --> 00:30:33.680
<v Speaker 2>have to revamp it, or.

572
00:30:33.559 --> 00:30:35.200
<v Speaker 5>I is the property older have to revamp?

573
00:30:35.200 --> 00:30:38.200
<v Speaker 2>But so I think that also, although you might say

574
00:30:38.240 --> 00:30:40.880
<v Speaker 2>is a stick, it's also a carrot as well, because

575
00:30:40.880 --> 00:30:42.960
<v Speaker 2>you have to decide what to do with those buildings

576
00:30:43.079 --> 00:30:44.759
<v Speaker 2>that are there. So that's why I think there's a

577
00:30:44.759 --> 00:30:45.759
<v Speaker 2>pivotal moment.

578
00:30:46.440 --> 00:30:49.440
<v Speaker 3>John, what is a great looking to you? We thank

579
00:30:49.599 --> 00:30:53.240
<v Speaker 3>a Mundi for supporting the show. We thank Zombouti for

580
00:30:53.279 --> 00:30:58.839
<v Speaker 3>coming and how it took to you. Next week, Thank you, guys.

581
00:31:03.119 --> 00:31:06.839
<v Speaker 5>Thank you for listening to Redefining Energy. Don't forget to

582
00:31:06.920 --> 00:31:11.599
<v Speaker 5>rate the show and subscribe on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or

583
00:31:11.640 --> 00:31:13.319
<v Speaker 5>the platform of your choice.
