1
00:00:03,799 --> 00:00:06,440
Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It is time for Total Bases.

2
00:00:06,480 --> 00:00:10,839
Speaker 2: It's Wednesday, and it's also it's kind of like it's

3
00:00:10,960 --> 00:00:13,560
it's not the it's not the last show, of course,

4
00:00:13,560 --> 00:00:15,599
as I said, we're gonna be with you guys for

5
00:00:15,880 --> 00:00:19,160
the entire playoffs, but it's kind of like the unofficial

6
00:00:19,199 --> 00:00:21,239
last Total Basis Show because it's the last day that

7
00:00:21,280 --> 00:00:23,800
we're gonna have more than two games to talk about.

8
00:00:23,879 --> 00:00:27,120
So in honor of that, we're bringing back the parlay

9
00:00:27,239 --> 00:00:30,079
one day only. It's like, you know, one night only

10
00:00:30,879 --> 00:00:35,000
parlay no matter what win or lose. We can't lose

11
00:00:35,039 --> 00:00:37,399
on the parlays this year, plus five point three five

12
00:00:37,479 --> 00:00:40,880
units on our show parlays, we'll try one more. So

13
00:00:41,200 --> 00:00:43,759
stick around for that. We're gonna go through all four games.

14
00:00:43,920 --> 00:00:47,119
Brian Leonard is back. We got Tokyo Brandon here, and

15
00:00:47,479 --> 00:00:50,600
we'll get to all four games. But stay around at

16
00:00:50,600 --> 00:00:51,960
the end of the show because we will have our

17
00:00:52,000 --> 00:00:55,399
final parlay of the day of the season. All right,

18
00:00:55,479 --> 00:00:58,119
let's get right into it. Let's go out to Detroit.

19
00:00:58,159 --> 00:01:02,280
They've got the day game. It's Mariners Tigers TV. And

20
00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:05,040
I talked about this series yesterday. Of course, as after

21
00:01:05,079 --> 00:01:08,959
we get off, the show kind of becomes becomes apparent

22
00:01:08,959 --> 00:01:10,840
that Josh Naylor will make it to the game.

23
00:01:11,280 --> 00:01:11,799
Speaker 1: He did.

24
00:01:12,519 --> 00:01:15,519
Speaker 2: I still managed to get myself onto the Tigers. That

25
00:01:15,680 --> 00:01:18,359
was a bad bet. Fortunately Yankees came through for me.

26
00:01:18,480 --> 00:01:21,359
But the Tigers news yesterday Brian Leonard and now their

27
00:01:21,400 --> 00:01:24,480
backs are against the walls. Casey Mice is Bryce Miller.

28
00:01:24,519 --> 00:01:26,439
Do you think this is a better spot than yesterday

29
00:01:26,439 --> 00:01:28,400
for the Tigers? And do you think that this series

30
00:01:28,680 --> 00:01:29,760
heads back to Seattle?

31
00:01:30,400 --> 00:01:35,799
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm glad to be back today. The uh the

32
00:01:36,120 --> 00:01:38,799
big news yesterday for at least for myself and maybe

33
00:01:39,079 --> 00:01:43,079
maybe Brandon is Rush is going to tour a little

34
00:01:43,079 --> 00:01:48,879
small tour. They've got become a drummer and I saw

35
00:01:49,079 --> 00:01:51,799
some of her stuff and she looks awesome.

36
00:01:52,079 --> 00:01:52,920
Speaker 4: She's amazing.

37
00:01:53,599 --> 00:01:56,400
Speaker 3: Anything to replace Neil Neil peart and try to keep

38
00:01:56,480 --> 00:01:59,599
up with that. I'm excited about that they're not coming

39
00:01:59,599 --> 00:02:02,400
to Vegas. Might have to go to Cleveland or La

40
00:02:02,519 --> 00:02:04,319
or something to see him, but I've seen him many

41
00:02:04,400 --> 00:02:07,439
times and I'm very excited about that. And I'm also

42
00:02:07,519 --> 00:02:10,680
excited about the hockey season, which charged yesterday, got off

43
00:02:10,680 --> 00:02:13,039
to a nice start with the Pittsburgh Penguins. I think

44
00:02:13,080 --> 00:02:14,680
I was the only person on the planet that was

45
00:02:15,039 --> 00:02:17,759
depending on the Penguins. That was nice, and we split

46
00:02:17,759 --> 00:02:20,759
our baseball We had the Tigers yesterday there's a small play,

47
00:02:20,879 --> 00:02:23,080
and also the Yankees, so I was very happy to

48
00:02:23,120 --> 00:02:27,159
split those. But yeah, looking for a strong card. Today

49
00:02:28,080 --> 00:02:33,080
We're going to Detroit and Seattle. Miller against Mies. It's

50
00:02:33,080 --> 00:02:36,080
basically a pickham right now. Depending on what side you like,

51
00:02:36,479 --> 00:02:39,240
you can get pretty much minus one hundred either way.

52
00:02:40,919 --> 00:02:43,759
I guess Mice probably in most places right now, a

53
00:02:43,840 --> 00:02:46,719
slight favorite of maybe a one ten, maybe something in

54
00:02:46,759 --> 00:02:50,120
that range. But when you take a look at the

55
00:02:50,159 --> 00:02:55,719
bullpen usage in this game, I think it definitely favors Detroit.

56
00:02:57,520 --> 00:03:02,400
We've seen obviously they had Monday off, but we've seen Munez.

57
00:03:03,039 --> 00:03:06,280
Munez now going three at the last four, brash three

58
00:03:06,319 --> 00:03:08,840
at the last four. I started all the three at

59
00:03:08,879 --> 00:03:11,879
the last four. He had us fire through thirty pitches.

60
00:03:11,879 --> 00:03:13,319
But he's had the last two days off, so that

61
00:03:13,319 --> 00:03:15,599
will help a little bit. But the main guys, the

62
00:03:15,639 --> 00:03:19,800
main three guys that back there, pitching four out of

63
00:03:19,800 --> 00:03:22,800
five days is tough, and now I know the relief

64
00:03:22,840 --> 00:03:24,919
pitcher is not only gonna throw, you know, twenty pitches

65
00:03:25,000 --> 00:03:28,280
or whatever. But still that's something I'm concerned about with

66
00:03:28,400 --> 00:03:32,840
Seattle here. And obviously Bryce Miller has not been the

67
00:03:32,919 --> 00:03:35,439
same strength as he has been in the past because

68
00:03:35,479 --> 00:03:38,599
of his injuries. Comes into the five point six eighty RA,

69
00:03:38,879 --> 00:03:41,759
five point twenty nine expected one point four to one whip.

70
00:03:42,400 --> 00:03:45,719
Everything on his that gast card is below league average,

71
00:03:45,759 --> 00:03:49,960
cept for his fastball velocity of fifty six percentile, and

72
00:03:50,000 --> 00:03:52,080
he does throw a lot of pitches seven pitches. I

73
00:03:52,240 --> 00:03:58,159
like that, but really he sticks with his his top pitches.

74
00:03:58,680 --> 00:04:02,199
Maybe maybe maybe he's tough four or five pitches. But

75
00:04:02,560 --> 00:04:04,960
he's a guy that I've liked in the past, but

76
00:04:05,039 --> 00:04:07,879
obviously because of injuries, he has struggled this year. Casey

77
00:04:07,960 --> 00:04:11,199
Mais season goes on, It's started to become a little

78
00:04:11,240 --> 00:04:12,879
bit of a believer in him. Comes in with a

79
00:04:12,960 --> 00:04:14,800
very nice three point eighty seven e r A three

80
00:04:14,800 --> 00:04:18,360
point sixty nine expected one point two seven whip, doesn't

81
00:04:18,399 --> 00:04:22,439
walk anybody, He's got great extension. That's his best two properties.

82
00:04:22,560 --> 00:04:26,040
He's uh on those five pitches, and everything else is

83
00:04:26,079 --> 00:04:29,279
pretty much league averaged, pretty close to it. Our hit

84
00:04:29,360 --> 00:04:32,360
rate thirty second percent tile every Jackson velocity thirty third.

85
00:04:32,360 --> 00:04:35,439
That's his worst. So he's not really bad at anything.

86
00:04:37,160 --> 00:04:40,759
Not a huge strikeout guy, although he has he's even

87
00:04:40,759 --> 00:04:44,560
though he's below one point zero per inning, better than

88
00:04:44,600 --> 00:04:47,680
he had been in his previous two years. So I

89
00:04:47,800 --> 00:04:51,240
kind of like Detroit in this one, and it's it's

90
00:04:51,279 --> 00:04:55,199
obviously it's a must win situation. But if you take

91
00:04:55,199 --> 00:04:58,439
a look at Detroit, I think they match up a

92
00:04:58,480 --> 00:05:01,040
little bit better with Miller. We'll have to see how

93
00:05:01,079 --> 00:05:04,839
this goes, but slightly to Detroit in this price range.

94
00:05:04,879 --> 00:05:07,759
If I got them at a plus money somewhere, I

95
00:05:07,759 --> 00:05:10,439
think I may be on him. That's the side I prefer.

96
00:05:12,480 --> 00:05:14,800
Speaker 4: Yeah, guys, you can thank me for Brian being here.

97
00:05:14,800 --> 00:05:21,040
I bailed him out, so just kidding. Brian's probably never

98
00:05:21,120 --> 00:05:23,199
done a bad thing in his life. He's one of

99
00:05:23,240 --> 00:05:27,800
the nicer guys I know. So wayser Talk allows us

100
00:05:27,879 --> 00:05:31,160
to price our malb bets anything other than a five

101
00:05:31,160 --> 00:05:34,319
percent play at nine dollars. So go to wayser talk

102
00:05:34,319 --> 00:05:36,160
dot com and see what we have to offer. If

103
00:05:36,160 --> 00:05:39,800
you like our handicapping, our plays are available for nine bucks,

104
00:05:39,920 --> 00:05:42,959
which is just four dollars more than five dollars Tuesday.

105
00:05:43,000 --> 00:05:45,560
That's pretty crazy that they let us do that. But

106
00:05:46,399 --> 00:05:49,160
we're not complaining, So go check out what we got

107
00:05:49,199 --> 00:05:53,720
minds up already Regarding this series, I don't like either

108
00:05:53,759 --> 00:05:57,439
picture here. I don't like either picture's matchup. Myz is

109
00:05:57,480 --> 00:05:59,560
a guy that I've been fading almost all season and

110
00:05:59,680 --> 00:06:03,680
made quite a lot of money doing it. My rankings

111
00:06:03,680 --> 00:06:06,519
have him ranked fifteen on a curve of thirty, so

112
00:06:06,600 --> 00:06:12,639
he's he's exactly mediocre. But Bryce Miller, my numbers hate him.

113
00:06:12,879 --> 00:06:15,160
I got him ranked twenty four out of thirty for

114
00:06:15,319 --> 00:06:18,839
his season. Granted, the playoffs are not the regular season,

115
00:06:19,000 --> 00:06:25,319
I understand that, but it's like we are the ugly

116
00:06:25,360 --> 00:06:30,040
step child, but today everything was produced properly. So anyways,

117
00:06:31,839 --> 00:06:36,360
Bryce Miller has decent numbers against the Tigers, but not great.

118
00:06:36,759 --> 00:06:38,600
But he's not a guy that I have a lot

119
00:06:38,600 --> 00:06:42,480
of faith in. But I have less faith in Casey

120
00:06:42,560 --> 00:06:46,040
my even though my numbers like him more. Seattle is

121
00:06:46,079 --> 00:06:49,079
just raking right now. They're getting production from a Rosarania.

122
00:06:49,160 --> 00:06:54,199
They're getting production from I mean, their catch is not

123
00:06:54,920 --> 00:06:57,959
Rally's not hitting home runs, but he's getting hits. He's

124
00:06:58,000 --> 00:07:00,920
getting doubles and singles, which is good enough to get

125
00:07:01,000 --> 00:07:05,680
runs across, and man, Mariners are cranking it right now.

126
00:07:05,720 --> 00:07:08,160
I like the Mariners first five over one and a half.

127
00:07:09,199 --> 00:07:12,600
I think that's kind of a no brainer. But every

128
00:07:12,600 --> 00:07:14,639
time I say that I'm gonna get, I'm gonna lose.

129
00:07:15,839 --> 00:07:18,399
But I think that's a pretty decent bet. You know,

130
00:07:18,439 --> 00:07:20,439
their team total for the game is four and a half.

131
00:07:20,480 --> 00:07:22,920
There's no reason one and a half of the first

132
00:07:22,959 --> 00:07:26,000
five seems odd to me. Tiger's bullpen's not that bad.

133
00:07:26,319 --> 00:07:29,399
That number seems a little off. It might have switched

134
00:07:29,399 --> 00:07:31,720
to two and a half while we were talking, but

135
00:07:31,879 --> 00:07:34,120
I got a one and a half and I played it,

136
00:07:34,240 --> 00:07:35,800
So that's where I'm going to go.

137
00:07:37,319 --> 00:07:39,800
Speaker 3: You can get one and a half in the one

138
00:07:39,879 --> 00:07:44,560
sixty five ranch minus one sixty five or under, or

139
00:07:44,639 --> 00:07:46,560
the two and a half at plus money. It's on

140
00:07:46,600 --> 00:07:50,439
a two and a half one seventy, so I agree

141
00:07:51,199 --> 00:07:54,879
on that a little bit. I think Seattle could have

142
00:07:54,920 --> 00:07:57,759
a little success against Mayes, so I wouldn't be against

143
00:07:57,839 --> 00:07:58,439
him that one.

144
00:08:00,879 --> 00:08:03,959
Speaker 1: So I like the Tigers. Again.

145
00:08:04,040 --> 00:08:06,879
Speaker 2: Here, maybe I'm a little bit stubborn, but we're going

146
00:08:06,920 --> 00:08:08,839
to go back to the beginning of the series and

147
00:08:08,920 --> 00:08:11,120
just how these teams sort of match up with each other.

148
00:08:11,519 --> 00:08:14,079
I felt like coming into this series, I felt like

149
00:08:14,639 --> 00:08:19,079
the matchup was favorable for Detroit because of all the

150
00:08:19,160 --> 00:08:21,839
right handed pitching on the Seattle side. I think in

151
00:08:21,920 --> 00:08:25,560
the playoffs, we'll we'll talk about it as we go along.

152
00:08:25,839 --> 00:08:28,279
You need, you need your big guns to produce in

153
00:08:28,319 --> 00:08:31,199
the playoffs. It's it's it's really hard to win to

154
00:08:31,240 --> 00:08:35,120
see a playoff series without getting the production from the

155
00:08:35,200 --> 00:08:36,919
Riley Greens and the Kerry Carpenters.

156
00:08:36,960 --> 00:08:39,519
Speaker 1: Of course they've struggled against left handed pitching. Well.

157
00:08:40,000 --> 00:08:42,519
Speaker 2: The one nice thing about this matchup for the Tigers

158
00:08:42,720 --> 00:08:45,200
is the Mariners don't have a left handed starter.

159
00:08:45,000 --> 00:08:46,600
Speaker 1: And they only have two lefties out of the bullpen.

160
00:08:47,240 --> 00:08:50,120
Speaker 2: What I think is so important about yesterday it'll go unnoticed,

161
00:08:50,159 --> 00:08:52,600
but the fact that the Tigers made that little run

162
00:08:52,639 --> 00:08:55,039
at the end of the game forced Munnos to come

163
00:08:55,039 --> 00:08:59,120
in and throw nine pitches. So Brian talked about his usage. Yeah,

164
00:08:59,240 --> 00:09:01,600
nine pitches, no big deal. Is a somewhat of a

165
00:09:01,639 --> 00:09:04,440
stress free and in of course, if that bullet Riley

166
00:09:04,480 --> 00:09:07,320
Green hit managed to get down the right field line

167
00:09:07,320 --> 00:09:10,320
instead of into Josh Naylor's glove, maybe maybe it's a

168
00:09:10,360 --> 00:09:13,799
little bit of a different scenario, but relatively like nine pitches,

169
00:09:13,840 --> 00:09:17,080
he did his job. Prior to that, Caleb Ferguson got

170
00:09:17,120 --> 00:09:19,240
blown up to the point where I don't know if

171
00:09:19,279 --> 00:09:21,759
the Mariners would would necessarily want to put him back.

172
00:09:21,639 --> 00:09:24,279
Speaker 1: Out here in a big spot.

173
00:09:24,720 --> 00:09:26,919
Speaker 2: What that means is you're now down to one lefty

174
00:09:27,200 --> 00:09:29,360
right like, if you're not going to use Ferguson, I

175
00:09:29,399 --> 00:09:31,879
think Spire is the only other lefty on the roster

176
00:09:32,000 --> 00:09:34,279
right now for the Mariners. So I think that is

177
00:09:34,840 --> 00:09:39,799
favorable for the Tigers because it's more likely that Green

178
00:09:39,840 --> 00:09:42,440
and Carpenter late in the game aren't going to get

179
00:09:42,480 --> 00:09:44,600
sort of like you know, matched up with and put

180
00:09:44,600 --> 00:09:47,200
the lefty out there. The other thing that I think

181
00:09:47,279 --> 00:09:50,399
is important here for me as as someone that was,

182
00:09:50,480 --> 00:09:54,000
you know, watch a game yesterday on the Tigers, trying

183
00:09:54,000 --> 00:09:55,559
to figure out that I make a bad bet. What

184
00:09:55,679 --> 00:10:00,519
you know, they just beat themselves in a lot of cases,

185
00:10:00,679 --> 00:10:02,000
a couple errors.

186
00:10:02,200 --> 00:10:03,799
Speaker 1: Not hitting cutoff guys right Like.

187
00:10:03,840 --> 00:10:05,840
Speaker 2: I'm not saying it changes the outcome of the game,

188
00:10:06,159 --> 00:10:09,759
but that was a sloppy game from the Tigers, and

189
00:10:09,759 --> 00:10:11,799
and I expect I feel like if you've watched the

190
00:10:11,840 --> 00:10:15,720
Tigers all year that you can expect better than that.

191
00:10:15,799 --> 00:10:18,679
They're typically a very good base running team, They're typically

192
00:10:18,679 --> 00:10:21,840
a pretty good defensive team. So I just I'm gonna

193
00:10:21,879 --> 00:10:24,600
chalk yesterday up to maybe just not being their best effort.

194
00:10:24,600 --> 00:10:27,759
Who knows, three hour rain delays affect everyone a little

195
00:10:27,759 --> 00:10:30,279
bit differently, so you really just don't know. But my

196
00:10:30,399 --> 00:10:33,639
gut says, hey, let's let's just give them a pass

197
00:10:33,679 --> 00:10:37,679
on on the overall game play there. It shouldn't deter

198
00:10:37,879 --> 00:10:40,320
you from like liking them here now, I think this

199
00:10:40,399 --> 00:10:42,960
is a much more favorable pitching matchup for the Tigers

200
00:10:42,960 --> 00:10:46,240
than yesterday was. Logan Gilbert, I've talked about him being

201
00:10:46,279 --> 00:10:49,159
maybe being injured a little bit, and I still believe

202
00:10:49,200 --> 00:10:51,159
that to be true. But that that dude just goes

203
00:10:51,200 --> 00:10:54,960
out there in battles. I still think if you watch Gilbert,

204
00:10:55,600 --> 00:10:58,039
I don't I don't think he's the I don't think

205
00:10:58,039 --> 00:11:00,399
he's his best self right now. I don't think he's

206
00:11:00,440 --> 00:11:02,519
the guy that we expect to be in the Cy

207
00:11:02,600 --> 00:11:05,519
Young conversation, running up a lot of three and two counts.

208
00:11:05,519 --> 00:11:08,600
That's something like when Gilbert is on, he's usually much

209
00:11:08,639 --> 00:11:12,200
more economical than that. But hey, credit to him. Make

210
00:11:12,360 --> 00:11:15,360
me he just makes every big pitch, got them out

211
00:11:15,399 --> 00:11:17,960
of a couple of spots, and like to me, I

212
00:11:17,960 --> 00:11:21,399
mean Bryce Miller not even right, especially this year. Bryce

213
00:11:21,399 --> 00:11:24,320
Miller with all the injuries, Uh, not even close to

214
00:11:24,399 --> 00:11:27,000
the caliber of right handed pitcher they faced yesterday with

215
00:11:27,039 --> 00:11:30,720
Logan Gilbert, whereas Casey Myies and Flarerty at this point,

216
00:11:31,000 --> 00:11:35,039
I mean, Flerity's better, not that different in my opinion.

217
00:11:35,200 --> 00:11:37,919
Speaker 1: And the other thing here is, I don't think Hinch.

218
00:11:38,480 --> 00:11:41,039
Speaker 2: I think Hint is gonna go to Casey Myes and say,

219
00:11:42,000 --> 00:11:44,799
get me through the order once and will win this game.

220
00:11:45,039 --> 00:11:47,039
I really believe that's the plan. I think if Casey

221
00:11:47,080 --> 00:11:49,840
Mice can come out, get through this Mariner's order once

222
00:11:49,879 --> 00:11:53,440
without giving up damage, the Tigers are going to be

223
00:11:53,440 --> 00:11:56,559
in a great position here because you know, I think

224
00:11:56,600 --> 00:12:01,159
it was the last round that Maz pitched in against

225
00:12:01,200 --> 00:12:04,399
the Guardians where it's like I think that was a plan.

226
00:12:04,679 --> 00:12:06,679
I think he ended up getting maybe a fourth inning

227
00:12:07,320 --> 00:12:09,279
out of him, and he was out before he even

228
00:12:09,279 --> 00:12:11,639
gave up any damage. If I remember correctly, I think

229
00:12:11,759 --> 00:12:14,360
Hinch pulled him maybe like once a guy got on

230
00:12:14,440 --> 00:12:17,600
first base before he could like implode. I think that's

231
00:12:17,639 --> 00:12:20,440
what you'll see out of the Tigers again here. If

232
00:12:20,480 --> 00:12:22,960
you're gonna give me a J. Hinch season on the line,

233
00:12:23,200 --> 00:12:25,960
I'm gonna use every resource available type game.

234
00:12:26,399 --> 00:12:28,639
Speaker 1: And it's a home game, and it's an early start.

235
00:12:28,879 --> 00:12:31,840
Speaker 2: Remember, the Tigers just played an entire series with the

236
00:12:31,840 --> 00:12:36,840
Guardians in this time slot relative timeslot the Mariners. They

237
00:12:37,360 --> 00:12:40,440
just traveled to this time zone, and then yesterday I

238
00:12:40,480 --> 00:12:42,279
think got bailed out a little bit by having that

239
00:12:42,320 --> 00:12:44,960
game delayed three hours. Now they have to turn around

240
00:12:45,080 --> 00:12:47,919
play the early start. Tiger's much more accustomed to that.

241
00:12:48,039 --> 00:12:50,879
So I'll run it back with the Tigers hereies, and

242
00:12:51,080 --> 00:12:52,799
I think we're gonna get five in this series. My

243
00:12:52,879 --> 00:12:55,799
gut has said the whole time that this is a

244
00:12:55,799 --> 00:13:00,639
five game series, and I think it finds a way. Okay, well, uh,

245
00:13:00,879 --> 00:13:02,799
we'll move on. We can you know, if someone wants

246
00:13:02,840 --> 00:13:05,639
to lock in a parlay leg as we go, we can.

247
00:13:05,799 --> 00:13:07,320
Speaker 1: But we can also do that at the end of

248
00:13:07,320 --> 00:13:09,240
the show. We're gonna talk about all four games.

249
00:13:09,240 --> 00:13:12,919
Speaker 2: So no reason to force it out unless you're just like, yeah,

250
00:13:13,000 --> 00:13:13,840
I gotta have this.

251
00:13:14,120 --> 00:13:15,759
Speaker 1: I don't want someone else to steal it from me.

252
00:13:15,799 --> 00:13:16,320
Type deal.

253
00:13:16,799 --> 00:13:18,879
Speaker 2: But we move on and we go let's head over

254
00:13:18,879 --> 00:13:21,639
to the National League. We'll keep it in time order

255
00:13:21,639 --> 00:13:24,039
for the OCD folks in the chat that love it,

256
00:13:24,039 --> 00:13:27,039
in in order of the way the games are gonna

257
00:13:27,039 --> 00:13:29,480
be played, and that's gonna take us out to Wrigley Field.

258
00:13:29,480 --> 00:13:30,679
Speaker 1: Brian Leonard another game.

259
00:13:30,799 --> 00:13:34,080
Speaker 2: So this is one of the one of two series

260
00:13:34,080 --> 00:13:36,639
that could end in a sweep today. Do the Cubbies

261
00:13:36,679 --> 00:13:39,080
have any juice or is this one gonna gonna end here?

262
00:13:39,120 --> 00:13:43,759
Speaker 3: In your opinion, We've got priest sir. Oh, they were

263
00:13:43,799 --> 00:13:46,519
able to save a little bit going up against Tayan here.

264
00:13:47,320 --> 00:13:49,679
The Cubs are about a one twenty favorite total of

265
00:13:49,720 --> 00:13:52,559
six and a half to the over. I do want

266
00:13:52,600 --> 00:13:55,399
to touch on the ballpark factor here in Wrigular Field.

267
00:13:55,440 --> 00:13:59,600
The wind is blowing straight in. Let's look at the midlin. Yeah,

268
00:13:59,639 --> 00:14:03,960
and I'm an hour blowing straight in, and I think

269
00:14:04,000 --> 00:14:09,440
that will have an effect on this game. It should

270
00:14:09,759 --> 00:14:12,720
lower home runs by thirty four and runs by twenty

271
00:14:12,799 --> 00:14:16,120
five percent. So we've already got two teams that are

272
00:14:16,320 --> 00:14:20,120
probably going to use the bullpens very any chance they

273
00:14:20,159 --> 00:14:23,279
can in this game, since they did have yesterday off.

274
00:14:23,960 --> 00:14:28,559
Milwaukee did use their bullpen really heavily on Monday when

275
00:14:28,600 --> 00:14:30,679
they did throw a lot in as they went with

276
00:14:30,679 --> 00:14:34,080
the bullpen game. But I think this should be in

277
00:14:34,120 --> 00:14:37,799
pretty good shape other than Ashby who got the start,

278
00:14:37,919 --> 00:14:41,279
and Msowski who came in. Those two guys mine to

279
00:14:41,360 --> 00:14:44,639
throw one hundred pitches in that game, So everybody else

280
00:14:44,639 --> 00:14:47,960
I think should be should be available here. And when

281
00:14:47,960 --> 00:14:54,279
we take a look at the situation here for Milwaukee

282
00:14:54,639 --> 00:14:59,200
with Quentin Priester, Quinn Priester on the mound terrific season

283
00:14:59,200 --> 00:15:01,080
thirteen to three. Although we don't pay a lot of

284
00:15:01,080 --> 00:15:02,960
attention to wins, not a lot of attention to the

285
00:15:03,120 --> 00:15:06,120
ra either, but still three point three two ERA, three

286
00:15:06,120 --> 00:15:08,159
point six to two expected, one point two to four

287
00:15:08,200 --> 00:15:11,960
a whip ground ball rate ninety third percentle may not

288
00:15:12,039 --> 00:15:14,559
even come into account in this one with the wind

289
00:15:14,600 --> 00:15:16,679
blow anything like that, but it'll be pretty hard to

290
00:15:16,720 --> 00:15:18,480
hit a home run off of him in this ballpark,

291
00:15:18,879 --> 00:15:22,679
for example. So if you're playing Cubs home runs, if

292
00:15:22,720 --> 00:15:24,799
you're able to get them no home runs, maybe a

293
00:15:24,840 --> 00:15:27,960
better bet. But he's had a pretty good season. Throws

294
00:15:28,000 --> 00:15:31,000
five different pitches, and he throws a sinker a lot,

295
00:15:31,039 --> 00:15:35,480
which is why his ground ball rate is so high,

296
00:15:35,519 --> 00:15:38,080
so we really like pries He's been in really good

297
00:15:38,080 --> 00:15:42,399
shape on the season, eleven and seven record three point

298
00:15:42,440 --> 00:15:45,120
six to eighty RA, three point eighty eight expected one

299
00:15:45,159 --> 00:15:49,600
point oh six. Whip doesn't walk anybody. That's his best

300
00:15:50,320 --> 00:15:55,200
statistic extension eightieth percentile average Texas velocity seventy fifth. But

301
00:15:55,279 --> 00:15:57,799
he is a fly ball pitcher, so his ground ball

302
00:15:57,879 --> 00:16:00,600
rate is only thirteen percent hel so the wind blowing

303
00:16:00,639 --> 00:16:04,759
in probably favors him more than it does.

304
00:16:06,320 --> 00:16:06,679
Speaker 1: Priester.

305
00:16:07,919 --> 00:16:10,159
Speaker 3: When I look at this game and we're looking at

306
00:16:10,159 --> 00:16:14,799
the total right now, it's six and a half, somewhat

307
00:16:14,840 --> 00:16:19,440
like the under in that the Cubs continue to struggle

308
00:16:19,440 --> 00:16:22,399
a little bit. Offense, Wily Miwaukee can create We've seen

309
00:16:22,440 --> 00:16:25,879
it all along. Walkee can create some runs. I will

310
00:16:25,919 --> 00:16:31,240
point out since you mentioned defense, I've been watching every

311
00:16:31,320 --> 00:16:34,720
game and it's clear these all these teams are matched

312
00:16:34,799 --> 00:16:37,440
up very well. They're all they're all pretty close in talent.

313
00:16:38,200 --> 00:16:42,799
It's the team who doesn't commit errors that win. And

314
00:16:43,080 --> 00:16:44,799
one of you mentioned yesterday, I think it might have

315
00:16:44,799 --> 00:16:50,720
been TB that when one person commits an error, it

316
00:16:50,799 --> 00:16:53,080
shakes up the pitcher and then usually something bad happens

317
00:16:53,159 --> 00:16:55,559
after that, and that's there's a lot of that going

318
00:16:55,600 --> 00:16:59,679
around either either the defense has been bad. I know

319
00:16:59,720 --> 00:17:01,840
the win and the Yankees game was kind of crazy

320
00:17:01,919 --> 00:17:04,119
yesterday and that might have had effect on it, But

321
00:17:04,680 --> 00:17:06,839
Ronald didn't play good defense in that game, and that's

322
00:17:06,880 --> 00:17:11,559
what probably cost him the game. So defense is really

323
00:17:11,599 --> 00:17:14,680
important to make sure you're checking defense on these games.

324
00:17:14,720 --> 00:17:17,799
And the relief pitching obviously means a lot more now

325
00:17:17,839 --> 00:17:19,759
than it did earlier in the season because they're pulling

326
00:17:19,759 --> 00:17:23,839
the starters earlier. I give Chicago and Milwaukee are both

327
00:17:23,839 --> 00:17:27,400
excellent defensive teams, and with the wind blowing in, I

328
00:17:27,480 --> 00:17:29,759
kind of like the under here. You even get the

329
00:17:29,839 --> 00:17:33,519
under pretty much under six and a half. That's probably

330
00:17:33,559 --> 00:17:35,039
my best bet of this game so far.

331
00:17:36,720 --> 00:17:39,960
Speaker 4: Yeah again, guys, nine dollars for any MLB play that

332
00:17:40,039 --> 00:17:42,119
we put out. That's not a five percent play. It's

333
00:17:42,160 --> 00:17:45,440
a great deal. Go to wayjertalk dot com and we

334
00:17:45,519 --> 00:17:47,720
usually put up free plays almost every day. Go to

335
00:17:47,720 --> 00:17:50,400
wayjertalk dot com and click the free plays page to

336
00:17:50,400 --> 00:17:52,680
see what we got. I have one up right now,

337
00:17:53,160 --> 00:17:56,519
actually have two. One is baseball and one is basketball.

338
00:17:57,720 --> 00:18:00,559
Regarding this one, I like the pitching up for the

339
00:18:00,599 --> 00:18:02,799
Cubs here. I know Priester is a good picture, but

340
00:18:03,519 --> 00:18:08,359
I mean flat up. I'll take a guy. Look, Priest's

341
00:18:08,400 --> 00:18:10,599
whip is one two four on the season, and Tawn's

342
00:18:10,680 --> 00:18:13,759
is one o six. I don't think anyone would expects

343
00:18:13,839 --> 00:18:16,240
James and taone to have a one o six whip.

344
00:18:16,519 --> 00:18:18,720
He's just not that kind of guy. I've never backed

345
00:18:18,759 --> 00:18:22,039
him before, but this season he's just dealing. He's got

346
00:18:22,119 --> 00:18:27,279
decent stats against these Brewers, and his whole era is

347
00:18:28,119 --> 00:18:34,039
right at three. I think it's pretty good Priester. My

348
00:18:34,160 --> 00:18:37,559
numbers like him more so. That means his expected numbers

349
00:18:37,640 --> 00:18:40,359
are better, which means he's probably a little bit unlucky.

350
00:18:40,680 --> 00:18:44,039
He's probably better than his one two whip would indicate

351
00:18:45,519 --> 00:18:49,559
just that being the case. I like the Cubs lineup

352
00:18:49,559 --> 00:18:54,359
to bounce back a little bit. I don't really like

353
00:18:54,400 --> 00:18:58,720
their bullpen that much. But the problem with this game, though,

354
00:18:58,759 --> 00:19:01,759
is the books feel exactly the way I do. I

355
00:19:02,119 --> 00:19:04,400
expected the Brewers to be favored here, and when you

356
00:19:04,440 --> 00:19:07,680
look at the numbers, the Cubs are a slight favorite.

357
00:19:07,720 --> 00:19:09,599
At least what I'm looking at. The Cubs are like

358
00:19:09,680 --> 00:19:12,119
minus one oh five Brewers or like plus one oh

359
00:19:12,160 --> 00:19:15,519
five kind of thing in any In any case, the

360
00:19:16,279 --> 00:19:18,720
Cubs are a slight favorite, probably because they're at home.

361
00:19:19,839 --> 00:19:22,039
But Priest is a good picture. It's hard to bet

362
00:19:22,079 --> 00:19:26,559
against him. But I think I think the Cubs will

363
00:19:26,960 --> 00:19:30,119
take this one. If I was hoping they would be

364
00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:32,200
a big underdog and you could get them plus one

365
00:19:32,200 --> 00:19:34,400
and a half, but that unfortunately that's not the case.

366
00:19:35,400 --> 00:19:37,880
So maybe a Cubs team total something like that would

367
00:19:37,880 --> 00:19:39,079
be the way to go in this one.

368
00:19:41,319 --> 00:19:43,480
Speaker 2: I think the lines right where it should be tie

369
00:19:43,480 --> 00:19:45,839
on at home against Priest, Cubs. Cubs are going to

370
00:19:45,920 --> 00:19:48,799
be favored there that there that would be I would

371
00:19:48,799 --> 00:19:50,680
be shocking to me if they were like a dog

372
00:19:50,759 --> 00:19:53,319
in that scenario I'm talking about over the course of

373
00:19:53,400 --> 00:19:56,759
the like of the regular season. Now, I've noticed that

374
00:19:56,799 --> 00:19:59,839
the play like with the exception of books, really not

375
00:20:00,079 --> 00:20:01,559
wanting to give you the plus one and a half

376
00:20:01,640 --> 00:20:04,559
if they don't have to. The playoff lines I think

377
00:20:04,559 --> 00:20:07,640
have been like kind of similar pricing wise to like

378
00:20:07,759 --> 00:20:10,400
how we would see these games priced during the regular season.

379
00:20:10,440 --> 00:20:13,079
I think that might be where your edges a little

380
00:20:13,119 --> 00:20:16,880
bit as a handicapper betting these playoff baseball games. It's

381
00:20:16,920 --> 00:20:19,599
that okay, like we're gonna we're throwing out a line.

382
00:20:19,640 --> 00:20:22,039
We're seeing a line that if these two teams were

383
00:20:22,039 --> 00:20:25,160
playing a game in August, game would probably be priced

384
00:20:25,200 --> 00:20:26,519
similar literally to this.

385
00:20:26,720 --> 00:20:28,599
Speaker 1: But how's the game gonna go? Right?

386
00:20:28,680 --> 00:20:32,000
Speaker 2: Like, because there's there's other factors that are gonna determine

387
00:20:32,119 --> 00:20:34,920
how the game's gonna go. H. I got to imagine

388
00:20:34,960 --> 00:20:37,599
Pat Murphy's sitting there with the boys last night watching

389
00:20:37,599 --> 00:20:40,200
the Blue Jays Yankees games. In his head, he's saying, well,

390
00:20:40,240 --> 00:20:42,920
I know how I'm not gonna manage this game. I'm

391
00:20:42,960 --> 00:20:46,480
just gonna not do what John Schneider did right like panic,

392
00:20:46,799 --> 00:20:49,799
pull my starter, use my entire bullpen, and put myself

393
00:20:49,799 --> 00:20:51,920
into a situation where now I don't know what I'm

394
00:20:51,920 --> 00:20:53,599
gonna do with my pitching when I have a two

395
00:20:53,599 --> 00:20:54,720
to nothing lead in the series.

396
00:20:54,920 --> 00:20:58,200
Speaker 1: That's the other thing, like I think needs to that's the.

397
00:20:58,200 --> 00:21:00,480
Speaker 2: Better way, in my opinion, to look at the two

398
00:21:00,519 --> 00:21:03,759
to zero lead in the series. The step on the

399
00:21:03,799 --> 00:21:06,160
throat mentality is going to be there for the team. Like,

400
00:21:06,319 --> 00:21:08,200
don't get me wrong, like the Blue Jays do not

401
00:21:08,519 --> 00:21:10,359
I'm sorry, the Brewers do not want to give a

402
00:21:10,440 --> 00:21:13,079
game to the Cubs here in a five game series.

403
00:21:14,000 --> 00:21:17,640
So the whole concept that, oh, like, well they're up

404
00:21:17,680 --> 00:21:19,880
to nothing. No, the Brewers want to win this game.

405
00:21:20,039 --> 00:21:23,000
They're playing to win this game. They care very greatly

406
00:21:23,279 --> 00:21:26,400
about winning this game. But what you could see now,

407
00:21:26,480 --> 00:21:30,160
remember the Brewers are in a similar situation where Woodrof's

408
00:21:30,160 --> 00:21:32,440
not going to pitch in this series. So that's a

409
00:21:32,839 --> 00:21:35,720
starter down right like for the Brewers that they normally

410
00:21:36,119 --> 00:21:39,240
would have had. If you're the Brewers here, I don't

411
00:21:39,480 --> 00:21:41,799
I think you got to kind of just like, unless

412
00:21:41,839 --> 00:21:44,559
Priester is getting absolutely rocked or he doesn't have it,

413
00:21:45,319 --> 00:21:47,359
I think you got to ride him out a little bit.

414
00:21:47,400 --> 00:21:50,480
I think what they did. So here's what I think

415
00:21:50,680 --> 00:21:53,000
was the game plan. I think the game plan for

416
00:21:53,039 --> 00:21:55,079
the Brewers was always to go to Quinn Priester in

417
00:21:55,119 --> 00:21:59,559
game two in Bulk. Now at some point, now, what

418
00:21:59,680 --> 00:22:02,519
happened in game two was the Brewers were able to

419
00:22:02,960 --> 00:22:05,240
blow it open relatively.

420
00:22:04,799 --> 00:22:06,519
Speaker 1: Early, I think by the fourth or the fifth inning.

421
00:22:06,920 --> 00:22:09,680
Speaker 2: So at that point, I think, you know, Pat Murphy's

422
00:22:09,680 --> 00:22:11,960
probably looking like, all right, let me get out of

423
00:22:11,960 --> 00:22:14,680
this with my bullpen. Let's get the win here, and

424
00:22:14,720 --> 00:22:17,039
then we can let Priesters sort of go in Game three.

425
00:22:17,559 --> 00:22:19,319
I think he's going to stick to that. So like

426
00:22:19,400 --> 00:22:21,839
that's that to me gives the Cubs a very slight,

427
00:22:22,200 --> 00:22:25,720
slightest of edges because the clubs are in The Cubs

428
00:22:25,759 --> 00:22:28,359
have to be in win or go home mode, So

429
00:22:28,400 --> 00:22:31,039
the Cubs, anything the Cubs have has to be thrown

430
00:22:31,079 --> 00:22:32,599
at this game to extend the series.

431
00:22:32,799 --> 00:22:34,359
Speaker 1: Whereas the Brewers, in.

432
00:22:34,359 --> 00:22:37,960
Speaker 2: My opinion, how they should be managing this is let's

433
00:22:38,000 --> 00:22:40,960
play this game out. It's Priester's game until we have

434
00:22:41,039 --> 00:22:42,960
to go to someone else, and let's make sure that

435
00:22:43,039 --> 00:22:45,960
every pitcher we want in order for Game four in

436
00:22:46,039 --> 00:22:49,240
game five is set up perfectly because even if we

437
00:22:49,319 --> 00:22:51,640
lose here, we still have two chances to do it.

438
00:22:51,839 --> 00:22:53,559
One of them is going to be on our home field.

439
00:22:53,799 --> 00:22:55,799
That's how I think the game should be managed. That's

440
00:22:55,799 --> 00:22:58,799
how the We'll talk about Jay's Yankees in a second.

441
00:22:59,039 --> 00:23:00,720
That's where he messed up up a little bit in

442
00:23:00,759 --> 00:23:04,519
my opinion, yesterday and put himself into a spot for today.

443
00:23:04,559 --> 00:23:07,079
That would be Steider in the Blue Jays. So I

444
00:23:07,519 --> 00:23:09,200
think I got to give a slight edge to the

445
00:23:09,240 --> 00:23:13,240
Cubs here. They're at home. Ty On Priester is a

446
00:23:13,480 --> 00:23:15,599
wash in my opinion, it's really hard to say one

447
00:23:15,680 --> 00:23:18,519
is better than the other. I think the two teams

448
00:23:18,519 --> 00:23:20,920
are very even, and I think you'll get the council

449
00:23:21,119 --> 00:23:24,759
urgency set up. Whereas Pat Murph, he's got a little

450
00:23:24,799 --> 00:23:27,480
bit more house money to play with. He can kind

451
00:23:27,480 --> 00:23:29,759
of go and maybe use his depth arms to make

452
00:23:29,759 --> 00:23:32,079
sure that Game four and Game five are are a

453
00:23:32,200 --> 00:23:34,960
rap for how he wants the pitching. So because of that,

454
00:23:35,400 --> 00:23:38,240
I'll give the slightest ENSI to the Cubs in this game.

455
00:23:39,480 --> 00:23:40,119
Speaker 1: What do you guys?

456
00:23:40,680 --> 00:23:42,960
Speaker 2: Is that like how you guys are looking at like

457
00:23:43,119 --> 00:23:46,160
these types of spots, the two o's and stuff like that.

458
00:23:47,680 --> 00:23:50,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, you want to look and see who's available, And yeah,

459
00:23:50,519 --> 00:23:55,519
I agree. Once the blow up started yesterday, it never stopped.

460
00:23:55,519 --> 00:23:57,319
It didn't matter who he brought in. But he brought

461
00:23:57,359 --> 00:23:59,559
in some arms that he probably little.

462
00:24:00,119 --> 00:24:05,119
Speaker 2: Yeah, what is it, Let's go right there, let's well,

463
00:24:05,160 --> 00:24:08,599
let's go let's go right to that. Because that was

464
00:24:08,599 --> 00:24:11,640
a that was a I give John Schneider a one

465
00:24:11,680 --> 00:24:14,279
out of ten yesterday. I mean that was just like

466
00:24:14,640 --> 00:24:17,240
he literally that was how to not manage a game

467
00:24:17,440 --> 00:24:19,000
when you're up to nothing in the series.

468
00:24:19,720 --> 00:24:24,880
Speaker 4: Dave Award, he what His thought.

469
00:24:24,640 --> 00:24:27,720
Speaker 2: Process was in that game was I don't have a

470
00:24:27,759 --> 00:24:30,680
Game four pitcher, so I'm you know what, I've got

471
00:24:30,680 --> 00:24:33,119
a six to three lead, and I'm just gonna go

472
00:24:33,240 --> 00:24:35,599
for it. That that is that was the thought process.

473
00:24:35,680 --> 00:24:38,319
I got a six to three lead, I'm gonna try

474
00:24:38,319 --> 00:24:40,160
to win it right here. If I win it right here,

475
00:24:40,200 --> 00:24:42,039
I don't have to worry about a pitcher for tomorrow.

476
00:24:42,599 --> 00:24:45,680
He takes Shane Bieber out with fifty four pitches. Now,

477
00:24:46,599 --> 00:24:49,680
who knows, maybe Bieber gives up runs there, maybe he doesn't.

478
00:24:49,960 --> 00:24:53,079
But by doing that, he pretty much put himself into

479
00:24:53,079 --> 00:24:57,119
a situation where he had to win yesterday. He doesn't

480
00:24:57,160 --> 00:24:59,279
win yesterday, and is Brian, I'll go to you because

481
00:24:59,319 --> 00:25:01,960
you started to bring this up. He doesn't win, he

482
00:25:02,079 --> 00:25:05,400
falls behind. Then he's using guys like little. I think

483
00:25:05,400 --> 00:25:10,119
he brought a nance at the end. I think he

484
00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:13,559
totally screwed himself for Game four because you don't have

485
00:25:13,640 --> 00:25:16,440
that other starter on the roster. So what is the

486
00:25:16,440 --> 00:25:19,160
Blue Jays game plan today? Where do they go from

487
00:25:19,200 --> 00:25:20,920
what they did yesterday? In Game four?

488
00:25:21,000 --> 00:25:21,440
Speaker 1: Right here?

489
00:25:21,799 --> 00:25:25,200
Speaker 3: Well, right now, it says that Varlin's pitching and this

490
00:25:25,200 --> 00:25:28,200
will be the third game in four days for Ireland,

491
00:25:30,759 --> 00:25:32,920
so I can only imagine anning out of him today.

492
00:25:32,960 --> 00:25:37,000
Schlittler going for the Yankees, big favorite here in the

493
00:25:37,119 --> 00:25:41,039
one to eighty five range. Eight and a half is

494
00:25:41,079 --> 00:25:46,079
on the total. Yeah, Toronto's hurting, no doubt about it.

495
00:25:47,119 --> 00:25:51,599
I like Louis Varlin, and despite the either the most

496
00:25:51,599 --> 00:25:54,920
depressive or the luckiest home run I've ever seen hitting

497
00:25:54,920 --> 00:25:58,359
that one out, the guy's had a great year two

498
00:25:58,480 --> 00:26:01,240
ninety seven ERA four point zero to expect it one

499
00:26:01,279 --> 00:26:04,559
point two a whip. He's in the ninetieth percentilear better

500
00:26:04,599 --> 00:26:08,680
in ground ball rate, extension and fastball velocity. He's got

501
00:26:08,680 --> 00:26:11,119
an eighty six percent chase. Right, I just get hit

502
00:26:11,119 --> 00:26:14,839
a little bit. It's hard hits in the twenty third

503
00:26:14,880 --> 00:26:17,119
barrel thirty six. So when they do get him like

504
00:26:17,559 --> 00:26:22,680
Judge did yesterday, the ball will travel. But I I

505
00:26:22,759 --> 00:26:25,839
was reading when I believe I saw. The first person

506
00:26:26,240 --> 00:26:29,880
that pointed out that Barlin was starting was Underdog. It's

507
00:26:29,920 --> 00:26:32,880
a great follow on Twitter, and there was a lot

508
00:26:32,920 --> 00:26:35,039
of people say, oh, this is an untamentic wins for

509
00:26:35,079 --> 00:26:38,079
the Yankees that Barlin's going. But it's a good picture.

510
00:26:38,640 --> 00:26:41,480
He just didn't have it yesterday. But he'll onlygo about

511
00:26:41,480 --> 00:26:45,279
an inning, so they're gonna have to deal with their bullpen.

512
00:26:46,160 --> 00:26:49,480
And like I said yesterday, man, they'll have Hoffmann, who

513
00:26:49,519 --> 00:26:52,039
hasn't pitched in three days. They'll have to make guess

514
00:26:52,279 --> 00:26:55,759
they held him out the last two days. And Rodriguez

515
00:26:55,799 --> 00:26:58,680
is available. But you know, Louis Varlin has got three

516
00:26:58,680 --> 00:27:02,400
out of four and he'll only going in little is

517
00:27:02,400 --> 00:27:04,720
a good a good reliever. He didn't have it yesterday.

518
00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:07,559
I only through nine pitches. He'll be available, So they're

519
00:27:07,559 --> 00:27:09,720
gonna have to go with another bullpeny game here. And

520
00:27:09,920 --> 00:27:14,680
luckily Varlin at twenty pitches was the one that threw

521
00:27:14,759 --> 00:27:20,160
the mass yesterday. So the good news for or Toronto

522
00:27:20,519 --> 00:27:22,119
is they didn't throw a lot of pitches. The bad

523
00:27:22,200 --> 00:27:25,319
news is because not all we're effective. That's what you

524
00:27:25,480 --> 00:27:29,000
get it take into account. Eric Lauer is the starter.

525
00:27:29,079 --> 00:27:32,640
He's a lefty. He threw sixteen pitches on Sunday. They

526
00:27:32,680 --> 00:27:36,039
may try to go with him as the piggyback here.

527
00:27:36,119 --> 00:27:39,920
See what happens that. That makes a little bit of sense,

528
00:27:41,200 --> 00:27:43,880
So we'll see what happens there. But that's why I

529
00:27:43,880 --> 00:27:51,160
think it'll go for the pitcher for the Yankees obviously Schlittler.

530
00:27:51,359 --> 00:27:53,799
Once I knew how to pronounce his name, he's really

531
00:27:53,839 --> 00:27:55,640
gone off. So I've been able to say it pretty

532
00:27:55,640 --> 00:27:58,880
well without screwing up. Two point ninety six c ra

533
00:27:58,920 --> 00:28:01,279
a three point nine and not expected at one point

534
00:28:01,319 --> 00:28:04,319
two two. Whip was fantastic his last time out, and

535
00:28:04,359 --> 00:28:08,799
people remember that, and people remember what you did recently.

536
00:28:09,079 --> 00:28:12,279
He's got a fastball velost a ninety fifth percent strike

537
00:28:12,319 --> 00:28:16,279
out for eight eighty second, but his walk read eighteenth

538
00:28:16,279 --> 00:28:20,640
percentile Round Bowl eight twentyth Yes, he looked great last

539
00:28:20,640 --> 00:28:24,640
time out, and he has been very good, but he

540
00:28:24,799 --> 00:28:28,079
is still a rookie. He's only thrown seventy three innings

541
00:28:28,079 --> 00:28:30,400
in the majors this year. He kept him down for

542
00:28:30,440 --> 00:28:32,319
a while, so his innings have been built up a

543
00:28:32,319 --> 00:28:35,880
little bit. I think right now, the way the Yankees

544
00:28:35,920 --> 00:28:38,640
left the field yesterday and the way this is this

545
00:28:38,720 --> 00:28:43,039
is set up, I kind of like the over here.

546
00:28:43,160 --> 00:28:45,559
I think we're getting a total. You can either go

547
00:28:45,720 --> 00:28:48,480
eight to the over or basically eight and a half.

548
00:28:49,000 --> 00:28:52,160
I think varlin I may struggle a little bit. Third

549
00:28:52,279 --> 00:28:56,559
game in four days already, fourth and five now, and

550
00:28:57,200 --> 00:28:59,640
he's gonna have to face the top of that Yankee order,

551
00:29:00,359 --> 00:29:04,759
and Toronto's hitters are still good hitters. They've they performed

552
00:29:04,759 --> 00:29:09,799
well yesterday they were obviously they're hitting with many. Scoring

553
00:29:09,799 --> 00:29:13,000
position has been tremendous in the series versus why they've

554
00:29:13,039 --> 00:29:15,319
gotten off to a great start. But I think they

555
00:29:15,359 --> 00:29:17,079
may get to Schlitler a little bit here. I think

556
00:29:17,119 --> 00:29:19,440
people are asking a little bit too much from this rookie.

557
00:29:19,799 --> 00:29:23,480
The line's a little high here, So let me take

558
00:29:23,519 --> 00:29:26,960
a look and I'll look at the team totals and

559
00:29:27,000 --> 00:29:29,079
we'll see Toronto at three and a half. I'm going

560
00:29:29,160 --> 00:29:31,480
to play that over, is my part of the parlay.

561
00:29:32,160 --> 00:29:36,319
I am going to take Toronto team total over three

562
00:29:36,359 --> 00:29:40,240
and a half and it's basically minus one ten wherever

563
00:29:40,279 --> 00:29:43,799
you go DraftKings. I don't know if it's a good

564
00:29:43,839 --> 00:29:45,319
line or a bad line. They got a two and

565
00:29:45,359 --> 00:29:48,680
a half minus one twenty. Obviously that's a better line

566
00:29:48,680 --> 00:29:51,119
to play. But half the time I think those lines

567
00:29:51,160 --> 00:29:54,880
are fake because there's no way they would get all

568
00:29:55,000 --> 00:29:57,599
sharp money if they actually had that number out there.

569
00:29:58,079 --> 00:29:59,839
So let's go with that. Let's go with Toronto t

570
00:30:00,160 --> 00:30:02,759
total over three and a half at minus one ten,

571
00:30:03,519 --> 00:30:05,359
and I'll use it as my partly piece.

572
00:30:06,640 --> 00:30:10,039
Speaker 4: I love that play. I think that's great. Let me

573
00:30:10,039 --> 00:30:11,839
make a couple points, But first I want to go

574
00:30:11,839 --> 00:30:13,920
on a little ramp here. I was watching that game

575
00:30:14,000 --> 00:30:18,200
last night. Listening to those announcers stroke Aaron Judge just

576
00:30:18,279 --> 00:30:19,640
made me want to throw up.

577
00:30:19,720 --> 00:30:21,799
Speaker 1: He went serve stroking.

578
00:30:22,319 --> 00:30:27,000
Speaker 4: Okay, I'm gonna finish here. He went three for four

579
00:30:27,039 --> 00:30:31,680
with four rbi. Okay, okay, he had the game tying

580
00:30:31,720 --> 00:30:32,160
home run.

581
00:30:32,240 --> 00:30:32,519
Speaker 1: Good.

582
00:30:32,680 --> 00:30:35,000
Speaker 4: It's the first game of the entire playoffs. He had

583
00:30:35,000 --> 00:30:38,319
a meaningful hit and Clement went four for four. The

584
00:30:38,920 --> 00:30:42,039
announcers were saying Judge's game was historic. Give me a

585
00:30:42,119 --> 00:30:45,119
freaking break. That was not a historic game. Three for

586
00:30:45,200 --> 00:30:48,640
four with four RBIs is not a historic game. I'm sorry,

587
00:30:48,680 --> 00:30:52,240
it's not. If he played for the Brewers, nobody would

588
00:30:52,279 --> 00:30:57,119
have even mentioned it. So I'm really tired of announcers

589
00:30:57,160 --> 00:31:00,200
stroking the Yankees. It's just making me sick. He had

590
00:31:00,200 --> 00:31:02,160
a great game. It was a wonderful game. It was

591
00:31:02,200 --> 00:31:06,079
a memorable game. It's not a historic game. Clement went

592
00:31:06,119 --> 00:31:08,960
for four for four? Is that historic? If he was

593
00:31:09,000 --> 00:31:12,799
a Yankee, would it have been historic. It's just ridiculous. Anyways,

594
00:31:13,200 --> 00:31:15,519
it was a good game, and the Yankees pulled it out.

595
00:31:15,599 --> 00:31:20,000
They came back from behind. I'm gonna make another point here.

596
00:31:20,039 --> 00:31:22,640
How many times have we seen a guy throw like

597
00:31:22,680 --> 00:31:26,359
a no hitter, have a no hitter into the ninth inning,

598
00:31:26,440 --> 00:31:29,559
and the next game he comes out and chokes. I

599
00:31:29,599 --> 00:31:33,160
think there's a little too much recency bias with Schlitzler here.

600
00:31:34,559 --> 00:31:37,480
He is a good picture. He had a good season. Frankly, though,

601
00:31:37,519 --> 00:31:42,640
my numbers had him ranked twelve. Let's see, hang on, no,

602
00:31:42,799 --> 00:31:47,960
that's Taeon Schlitler. My numbers have him ranked fourteen out

603
00:31:48,000 --> 00:31:51,599
on a curve of thirty, so with expected numbers included,

604
00:31:52,279 --> 00:31:55,400
he's a pretty average picture or he was over the season.

605
00:31:56,759 --> 00:32:02,400
And I think the blue Jays yes. Look in his career,

606
00:32:02,440 --> 00:32:04,519
he has twenty three at bats against the Blue Jays.

607
00:32:04,519 --> 00:32:06,640
They have a four to thirty five average and a

608
00:32:06,759 --> 00:32:09,640
nine to fifty three OPS against him. So I love

609
00:32:09,680 --> 00:32:12,319
Bryan's play. I think the Blue Jays will get to him.

610
00:32:12,720 --> 00:32:16,240
I think Schlitler will come out very early, uh and

611
00:32:16,480 --> 00:32:18,720
the Yankees might be forced to put Nuke Weaver in

612
00:32:18,720 --> 00:32:21,880
the game because he hasn't pitched for a couple a

613
00:32:21,920 --> 00:32:25,440
couple of games here, I think I think the Blue

614
00:32:25,519 --> 00:32:28,279
Jays are going to close it out today. But I

615
00:32:28,319 --> 00:32:30,200
do like the blue Jays team totally in the first

616
00:32:30,279 --> 00:32:32,759
five or in the full game, and I like the

617
00:32:32,759 --> 00:32:36,039
blue Jays to win it. So that's how I feel.

618
00:32:37,839 --> 00:32:41,759
Speaker 2: The only thing that deserved the stroke, if you will, TV,

619
00:32:42,839 --> 00:32:45,480
is the fact that he turned on an one hundred

620
00:32:45,519 --> 00:32:48,880
miles an hour pitch with the movement inside and hit

621
00:32:48,960 --> 00:32:52,519
it not only fair, he hit off the foul bow.

622
00:32:52,759 --> 00:32:55,400
Like there's like two people on planet Earth that can

623
00:32:55,440 --> 00:32:58,480
probably hit that pitch for a home run fair and

624
00:32:58,480 --> 00:33:00,519
he and he's one of them that.

625
00:33:00,119 --> 00:33:04,519
Speaker 4: That you don't expect him to have one meaningful game

626
00:33:04,559 --> 00:33:06,359
out of the whole playoffs, so you expect that from

627
00:33:06,480 --> 00:33:08,400
him at least once a game.

628
00:33:09,119 --> 00:33:11,680
Speaker 2: So, like I agree with you, it's like it was

629
00:33:11,759 --> 00:33:15,480
long overdue and and the Blue Jays still made many

630
00:33:15,559 --> 00:33:18,039
mistakes to lead up to that point. I'm talking like

631
00:33:18,240 --> 00:33:21,519
the hit itself probably the most impressive thing I've seen

632
00:33:21,599 --> 00:33:22,240
all playoffs.

633
00:33:22,279 --> 00:33:27,480
Speaker 1: For me, it I like the over with you guys here.

634
00:33:27,559 --> 00:33:30,200
Speaker 2: I I I am in the sort of so I

635
00:33:30,240 --> 00:33:32,319
thought I would come back right back and play the Yankees.

636
00:33:32,359 --> 00:33:34,000
Speaker 1: I played the Yankees minus one yesterday.

637
00:33:34,039 --> 00:33:35,960
Speaker 2: I thought I would like be a no brainer to

638
00:33:36,000 --> 00:33:37,279
just run it back with the Yankees.

639
00:33:37,319 --> 00:33:39,240
Speaker 1: But I do agree with you with Schlittler.

640
00:33:39,359 --> 00:33:42,039
Speaker 2: I don't know that it's like I mean, he had

641
00:33:42,079 --> 00:33:44,440
control issues at times during the year. There's not a

642
00:33:44,519 --> 00:33:48,160
huge sample that Red Sox lineup without Roman Anthony is

643
00:33:48,440 --> 00:33:50,880
it really leaves little to be desired in my opinion,

644
00:33:50,880 --> 00:33:53,640
and it really showed in that game. You know, taking

645
00:33:53,680 --> 00:33:57,559
Anthony out against the right handed pitcher makes that lineup

646
00:33:57,599 --> 00:33:58,160
far worse.

647
00:33:58,400 --> 00:33:59,160
Speaker 1: And he had it going.

648
00:33:59,240 --> 00:34:03,559
Speaker 2: Let's not let's also forget like sometimes guys when you

649
00:34:03,559 --> 00:34:06,160
know he just had it working and he was able

650
00:34:06,240 --> 00:34:08,400
to ride it for seven to eight innings, So you

651
00:34:08,480 --> 00:34:09,760
definitely can't.

652
00:34:09,480 --> 00:34:11,920
Speaker 1: Count on getting that here from him.

653
00:34:12,320 --> 00:34:15,320
Speaker 2: With that being said, I'll go back to yesterday's game

654
00:34:15,440 --> 00:34:18,239
that the Blue Jays really sort of manage themselves into

655
00:34:18,280 --> 00:34:21,199
a not a less than desirable spot for Game four.

656
00:34:21,559 --> 00:34:23,559
As we said, Louis Varlan I didn't even know if

657
00:34:23,559 --> 00:34:26,719
he would come back out for that next inning. So

658
00:34:26,760 --> 00:34:28,559
if you know, Louis Varland was the guy they got

659
00:34:28,559 --> 00:34:31,719
from the Twins, he was a starter, they turned him

660
00:34:31,719 --> 00:34:34,960
into a reliever. Suddenly he throws a hundred, didn't know

661
00:34:35,000 --> 00:34:37,239
he had that, and Brian Leonard I watched him all

662
00:34:37,639 --> 00:34:39,440
for a long time in Minnesota. I didn't know he

663
00:34:39,440 --> 00:34:43,400
had one hundred in him. But it's it's it goes quickly, right.

664
00:34:43,440 --> 00:34:46,599
You don't see him with many multi inning outings anymore.

665
00:34:46,639 --> 00:34:48,679
So the fact that they brought him back out, they

666
00:34:48,719 --> 00:34:50,920
clearly had the matchup they wanted against Judge.

667
00:34:51,320 --> 00:34:51,639
Speaker 1: Again.

668
00:34:51,679 --> 00:34:54,400
Speaker 2: You could say he made a great pitch one hundred

669
00:34:54,559 --> 00:34:57,880
inside and somehow Judge gets the barrel on it. I

670
00:34:57,920 --> 00:34:59,800
think that that's why he's gonna start this game. I

671
00:34:59,800 --> 00:35:02,880
think they want they still like the matchup with him

672
00:35:02,880 --> 00:35:05,119
against Judge. He will not be in for more than

673
00:35:05,119 --> 00:35:07,320
an inning. What I think you're gonna see happen here

674
00:35:07,320 --> 00:35:09,079
for the Jays, and it doesn't mean they can't win.

675
00:35:09,679 --> 00:35:11,639
I think you're you're just gonna see them go one

676
00:35:11,639 --> 00:35:14,199
reliever after another. It's gonna be one inning, one inning,

677
00:35:14,320 --> 00:35:17,199
one inning, one inning, and it's just gonna be there

678
00:35:17,320 --> 00:35:20,880
there whoever there. He's gonna mix and match and play

679
00:35:20,960 --> 00:35:24,320
nine relievers. Why because if they lose, they can go home.

680
00:35:24,360 --> 00:35:26,880
In Game five, give the ball to Kevin Gosman and

681
00:35:26,920 --> 00:35:28,880
if he's and if he can't do it, or if

682
00:35:28,920 --> 00:35:30,639
he has to come out of the game, it'll be

683
00:35:30,679 --> 00:35:33,280
Trey a Savage good night. That that's the plan for

684
00:35:33,320 --> 00:35:36,360
game five. That's what the Blue Jays will do. So here,

685
00:35:36,519 --> 00:35:38,920
it's like the stakes aren't as high, I think, And

686
00:35:38,960 --> 00:35:41,639
that's why I think uh uh Schneider did what he

687
00:35:41,679 --> 00:35:43,599
did because he's like, all right, let's just go.

688
00:35:43,559 --> 00:35:44,119
Speaker 1: For it here.

689
00:35:44,440 --> 00:35:46,880
Speaker 2: If it doesn't work out tomorrow is gonna might be

690
00:35:46,880 --> 00:35:49,159
a little bit of an issue. But we're gonna be

691
00:35:49,199 --> 00:35:51,280
able to go Gossman the Savage in game five and

692
00:35:51,320 --> 00:35:53,320
have the matchup we want at home. I think that's

693
00:35:53,320 --> 00:35:55,719
got that has to be his thought process to take

694
00:35:55,719 --> 00:35:59,199
Bieber out where he did. So the problem, the problem

695
00:35:59,239 --> 00:36:01,119
with the whole the bolt that game can be effective.

696
00:36:01,559 --> 00:36:03,920
The problem is for the Blue Jay's your Bullpenny ra

697
00:36:04,239 --> 00:36:08,119
since Jimmy Garcia got hurt on July second spin about five. Okay,

698
00:36:08,320 --> 00:36:12,119
so that's the issue. My gut says, this game, this

699
00:36:12,199 --> 00:36:16,599
series goes back to Toronto. But this price is absolutely inflated,

700
00:36:16,639 --> 00:36:19,159
and I'm not sure that, Like I want a bank

701
00:36:19,199 --> 00:36:21,280
on Schlitzler locking it.

702
00:36:21,239 --> 00:36:22,880
Speaker 1: Down and then who knows.

703
00:36:22,920 --> 00:36:24,880
Speaker 2: I mean, anything can happen if the Blue Jays have

704
00:36:24,920 --> 00:36:27,599
a great lineup, so if they put a sixth spot

705
00:36:27,679 --> 00:36:29,960
up bos Schlittler, there's a good chance they see it

706
00:36:29,960 --> 00:36:30,480
out today.

707
00:36:30,639 --> 00:36:32,400
Speaker 1: That's what makes it hard to take the Yankees at

708
00:36:32,440 --> 00:36:33,960
this price. So I with you, guys. I like the

709
00:36:34,760 --> 00:36:35,400
I like the open.

710
00:36:35,519 --> 00:36:42,840
Speaker 4: It was Judges game last night, historical, Adam.

711
00:36:40,440 --> 00:36:45,440
Speaker 2: It wasn't a historical game, but that that hit will

712
00:36:45,639 --> 00:36:47,599
be played for a very long time. That was a

713
00:36:48,559 --> 00:36:51,719
That was a I mean to do that at home

714
00:36:52,280 --> 00:36:54,559
the stadium, to put it off the file, pull the

715
00:36:54,599 --> 00:36:57,719
turn on one hundred in that spot was a historical

716
00:36:57,760 --> 00:36:58,599
at that Yes.

717
00:36:58,559 --> 00:37:01,800
Speaker 4: Next question, if Greenhost had to hit that home run,

718
00:37:01,880 --> 00:37:04,159
would announcers be calling it historically.

719
00:37:04,599 --> 00:37:06,360
Speaker 2: No, because no one gives a shit about the Brewers.

720
00:37:06,360 --> 00:37:08,360
It's it's more historically when the Yankees doing.

721
00:37:08,440 --> 00:37:10,760
Speaker 4: Yeah, that's my point. That's my point.

722
00:37:11,400 --> 00:37:13,599
Speaker 2: Yeah, if it was or here's here, as we make

723
00:37:13,599 --> 00:37:16,519
a segue into our last game, if it was Otani,

724
00:37:16,920 --> 00:37:17,920
it would be the same thing.

725
00:37:17,960 --> 00:37:20,199
Speaker 1: It would be a bigger deal. That's just listen that.

726
00:37:20,360 --> 00:37:22,559
Speaker 2: That's just how it is when you are a superstar

727
00:37:22,599 --> 00:37:24,440
in a big market. But you don't get to be

728
00:37:24,480 --> 00:37:26,960
a superstar in a big market without being the guy.

729
00:37:27,039 --> 00:37:29,760
So it's like, yeah, I mean, it's more forgettable if

730
00:37:29,800 --> 00:37:31,519
if someone on the Royal does it. It's just how

731
00:37:31,559 --> 00:37:34,280
it is. That's just that's just that's just how it is.

732
00:37:34,440 --> 00:37:37,159
Speaker 4: Yeah, that was the first game Judge made a difference

733
00:37:37,199 --> 00:37:39,519
in the outcome, and he should be making a difference

734
00:37:39,599 --> 00:37:41,159
a lot more often with his talent.

735
00:37:42,199 --> 00:37:43,639
Speaker 1: And he's still the best hitter in the game.

736
00:37:43,800 --> 00:37:46,360
Speaker 4: But yeah, in the playoffs.

737
00:37:47,440 --> 00:37:50,199
Speaker 2: Anyway, we move we move on to two big, big

738
00:37:50,280 --> 00:37:53,199
market teams and one that could be suffering a pretty

739
00:37:54,280 --> 00:37:57,159
but a pretty unceremonious exit from the playoffs. That's the

740
00:37:57,159 --> 00:38:01,400
Philadelphia Pilies, who are looking a three to zero sweep

741
00:38:01,400 --> 00:38:03,440
in the face. And Vegas is telling you it's likely

742
00:38:03,519 --> 00:38:07,199
to happen because Brian Leonard, we've got Yamamoto on the

743
00:38:07,199 --> 00:38:08,119
mound for the Dodgers.

744
00:38:08,119 --> 00:38:10,760
Speaker 1: We've got Aaron Nola for the Phillies.

745
00:38:10,920 --> 00:38:14,440
Speaker 2: It's it's it's in Dodgers Stadium, and the Dodgers are

746
00:38:14,559 --> 00:38:17,039
approaching being a two dollars favorite. I think minus one

747
00:38:17,159 --> 00:38:21,159
seventy five minus one eighty most places right now. Is

748
00:38:21,199 --> 00:38:24,719
there any chance the Phillies are playing baseball tomorrow at this.

749
00:38:24,760 --> 00:38:28,960
Speaker 3: Point, Well, one of the good things about the playoffs

750
00:38:29,039 --> 00:38:31,079
is if we know who the starter is, they'll get

751
00:38:31,119 --> 00:38:33,679
to the lines up early. And I gave this out

752
00:38:33,719 --> 00:38:36,760
as a free play yesterday. Excuse me to my clients,

753
00:38:37,079 --> 00:38:40,159
and I use the Dodgers might as one sixty. Uh,

754
00:38:40,519 --> 00:38:42,559
I like get a lot better at one sixty than

755
00:38:42,639 --> 00:38:45,000
one eighty. And that was the whole point is I

756
00:38:45,039 --> 00:38:48,119
knew money will come in on the Dodgers. Aaron Nola

757
00:38:48,440 --> 00:38:53,119
in a game that you need to have here not

758
00:38:53,360 --> 00:38:56,440
the way Philadelphia had planned it. He comes in with

759
00:38:56,519 --> 00:38:59,960
a six point zero one ERA four point two fourpect

760
00:39:00,119 --> 00:39:03,880
to one point three to five whip chase rate excellent,

761
00:39:03,960 --> 00:39:07,719
ninety third percentile extension a eighth percentile. He's six foot

762
00:39:07,719 --> 00:39:10,639
two gets a lot out of that, But his fastball

763
00:39:10,719 --> 00:39:14,760
velocity is only in the twelfth percentile and he throws

764
00:39:14,840 --> 00:39:17,000
that thirty percent of the time. That's his multi use

765
00:39:17,079 --> 00:39:22,480
pitch in the majors. If you don't have his fastball

766
00:39:22,599 --> 00:39:24,800
is at ninety one point nine. The average laty is

767
00:39:24,880 --> 00:39:28,880
ninety five. So if you throw a fastball for the

768
00:39:28,920 --> 00:39:33,920
majority of your pitches and you are not one of

769
00:39:33,960 --> 00:39:37,639
the better fastball pitchers, you're going to get hit and

770
00:39:37,679 --> 00:39:40,559
that's been the problem with him. Hard hit rate twenty fifth, percentile,

771
00:39:40,960 --> 00:39:46,840
barrel rate thirty six. As much as Nole's had a

772
00:39:46,840 --> 00:39:49,159
great career in eleven seasons, he comes in with a

773
00:39:49,199 --> 00:39:51,280
three point eight three ar A one o nine and

774
00:39:51,440 --> 00:39:54,880
eighty nine record. He's been very good for Philadelphia over

775
00:39:54,880 --> 00:39:57,079
the years. He has not been good this year because

776
00:39:57,119 --> 00:39:59,280
of injuries, and now that they have to use him

777
00:39:59,320 --> 00:40:03,320
in this game, it is a concern, and because of that,

778
00:40:04,920 --> 00:40:06,519
you need to find a way to play the Dodgers,

779
00:40:06,559 --> 00:40:08,760
at least in my opinion, Yama model has been terrific

780
00:40:08,760 --> 00:40:12,360
all year long in the majors. Two seasons in the

781
00:40:12,360 --> 00:40:14,400
majors right now, he's got a nineteen to ten record,

782
00:40:14,440 --> 00:40:17,599
two point sixty six ERA, one point zero three whip.

783
00:40:18,280 --> 00:40:23,079
The guy has been fantastic. You look at the eightieth

784
00:40:23,119 --> 00:40:26,760
percent dollar better in baseball expected thera ninety fourth, expect

785
00:40:26,760 --> 00:40:30,559
A batting average ninety first, strikeout rate eighty ninth, barrel

786
00:40:30,639 --> 00:40:33,320
right eighty seventh, round ball rate ninety first. So not

787
00:40:33,360 --> 00:40:36,639
only he's a strikeout guy, he doesn't give up a

788
00:40:36,639 --> 00:40:39,480
lot of home runs and his for singer, which he

789
00:40:39,519 --> 00:40:42,039
does use out of most of his pitches thirty six

790
00:40:42,039 --> 00:40:44,840
percent is a little bit over lega average for a

791
00:40:44,920 --> 00:40:48,119
right handers, So I prefer the Dodgers here. From a

792
00:40:48,119 --> 00:40:51,639
bullpen perspective, Philadelphia is not in bad shape at all.

793
00:40:51,840 --> 00:40:54,480
They did had to use Duran on Monday for twenty

794
00:40:54,480 --> 00:40:57,400
six pitches. Brother than that, the bullpen's in pretty good shape.

795
00:40:57,480 --> 00:41:01,280
So it may be a bullpeg game or Philadelphia. You

796
00:41:01,280 --> 00:41:06,440
would expect that if Nola rudgs into trouble early, he

797
00:41:06,480 --> 00:41:09,159
won't be around long and they'll use the bullpen the

798
00:41:09,159 --> 00:41:11,360
rest of the way out. And I actually like the

799
00:41:11,400 --> 00:41:15,480
Philadelphia bullpen, which isn't bad. But when you take a

800
00:41:15,519 --> 00:41:19,239
look at the opposition here with the Dodgers, the bullpen

801
00:41:19,320 --> 00:41:22,559
has looked great in the playoffs, but they've had a

802
00:41:22,599 --> 00:41:25,440
lot of talent that regard a lot of experience, but

803
00:41:25,599 --> 00:41:28,400
still these guys have struggled a little bit during the

804
00:41:28,400 --> 00:41:33,960
regular season. Sazaki has been great. You talked about bringing

805
00:41:34,039 --> 00:41:36,760
trenton in a TV talked about this. I don't even

806
00:41:36,760 --> 00:41:40,360
know why China was still on the on the roster

807
00:41:40,639 --> 00:41:42,360
throw twelve pitches, got to be in the trouble and

808
00:41:42,400 --> 00:41:46,119
had to use Sazaki in that last game Monday. Yeah,

809
00:41:46,280 --> 00:41:50,079
it's he's not a good coach. He's a really bad coach.

810
00:41:50,079 --> 00:41:53,199
He just happens to be in an organization that buys players,

811
00:41:53,239 --> 00:42:01,719
and it really overshadows they He he and Boone should

812
00:42:01,800 --> 00:42:05,239
not be around as coaches next year on this part

813
00:42:05,280 --> 00:42:08,400
in the playoffs, but yet they will be. And that's

814
00:42:08,440 --> 00:42:11,119
why they continue to have to fight for everything they've

815
00:42:11,159 --> 00:42:17,599
got because manager marriage are bad. But anyway, the Dodgers

816
00:42:17,639 --> 00:42:20,519
offense months. He hasn't played the last two days because

817
00:42:20,519 --> 00:42:27,239
they've played against lefties. Today, we'll see hot Like I said, yes,

818
00:42:27,320 --> 00:42:29,440
the last time I was on, he hadn't been hitting

819
00:42:29,440 --> 00:42:33,880
ball anyway, Rojas, he's been playing three at the last

820
00:42:33,920 --> 00:42:37,360
seven days. So I liked the Dodgers here. If you

821
00:42:37,440 --> 00:42:39,679
got it early at the one sixty, that would be

822
00:42:39,719 --> 00:42:44,679
my play right now. Maybe it's a Philadelphia team total

823
00:42:44,760 --> 00:42:47,320
under or something to that effect, but I think the

824
00:42:47,360 --> 00:42:50,480
season ends today in Philadelphia. Unless Nola comes out and

825
00:42:50,599 --> 00:42:54,599
pitches his best three innings of the season, then they

826
00:42:54,639 --> 00:42:56,840
may have a chance here. But don't like laying that

827
00:42:56,880 --> 00:43:00,000
price with the Dodgers at this current moment.

828
00:43:01,880 --> 00:43:03,920
Speaker 4: I think Nola's going to have a good game here,

829
00:43:03,920 --> 00:43:07,039
and actually in his last seven starts. He's gone into

830
00:43:07,039 --> 00:43:10,079
the sixth inning in six of them. He's been pretty

831
00:43:10,079 --> 00:43:14,760
good lately, and he's got pretty good numbers against these Dodgers. Now,

832
00:43:14,880 --> 00:43:16,800
the problem is he's got to go on the road

833
00:43:16,840 --> 00:43:20,000
and face the best one of the best lineups in

834
00:43:20,119 --> 00:43:22,559
Major League Baseball, but he's backed by one of the

835
00:43:22,559 --> 00:43:28,320
best lineups as well. Yamamoto has been extremely good this season,

836
00:43:28,360 --> 00:43:31,400
and the stats that Brian pointed out to even pile

837
00:43:31,480 --> 00:43:34,519
on those, he was pretty bad last year actually, so

838
00:43:35,119 --> 00:43:37,840
most of those stats are skewed towards this season. He

839
00:43:37,960 --> 00:43:41,000
was actually that much better this season. I've made a

840
00:43:41,039 --> 00:43:43,880
point in past shows that Japanese pitchers when they come over,

841
00:43:43,920 --> 00:43:47,559
they always struggle in year one because the ball is different,

842
00:43:47,639 --> 00:43:49,519
the texture is different, and the size of the ball

843
00:43:49,639 --> 00:43:53,480
is different, plus the pressure the language barrier. Year one

844
00:43:53,519 --> 00:43:57,599
for a Japanese pitcher is very difficult. And Yamamoto's just

845
00:43:57,639 --> 00:44:00,760
coming into his form now. And expect him to get

846
00:44:00,800 --> 00:44:04,280
even better from now on because the confidence expects Sasaki

847
00:44:04,719 --> 00:44:07,519
after this year because technically this is his first year.

848
00:44:09,559 --> 00:44:13,079
Well technically, let's face it, he didn't really play, so

849
00:44:13,360 --> 00:44:15,880
I consider this his rookie year. Next year he's gonna

850
00:44:15,960 --> 00:44:18,280
he's gonna break out, I think. So anyways, that's a

851
00:44:18,280 --> 00:44:21,159
different topic. I think no one's gonna pitch pretty well.

852
00:44:21,199 --> 00:44:23,639
I think this is going to and I think he's

853
00:44:23,639 --> 00:44:31,679
gonna go out of five innings. Actually so, I think, uh, yeah,

854
00:44:31,840 --> 00:44:34,199
judges leading the playoffs and hits, Yeah, how many of

855
00:44:34,199 --> 00:44:38,440
those hits meant anything? He gets he gets crappy. I'm sorry, Okay,

856
00:44:38,519 --> 00:44:41,360
never mind, he gets crappy singles when they're down thirteen

857
00:44:41,400 --> 00:44:44,880
to nothing. Those don't count. Sorry, guys, sorry.

858
00:44:44,880 --> 00:44:46,079
Speaker 1: Just say the sea.

859
00:44:47,119 --> 00:44:50,760
Speaker 4: Yeah, well, yesterday he did finally. Uh he had a

860
00:44:50,800 --> 00:44:55,440
game that meant something finally yesterday. So anyways, back to

861
00:44:55,480 --> 00:44:57,519
this game. I think the Phillies can keep it close,

862
00:44:57,639 --> 00:45:00,880
and I think, uh, we're talking about day Roberts being

863
00:45:00,920 --> 00:45:05,320
the Angel Hernandez of managers. I think he might do

864
00:45:05,360 --> 00:45:08,039
something stupid like put trinan or someone in the game.

865
00:45:08,239 --> 00:45:11,039
And I think this will be a close game. Yamamode

866
00:45:11,119 --> 00:45:14,559
will probably go five or six innings, but I think

867
00:45:14,639 --> 00:45:16,440
Nola will go five innue. I think there's gonna be

868
00:45:16,480 --> 00:45:18,440
a tight game. I think Phillies plus one and a

869
00:45:18,480 --> 00:45:21,880
half is a decent play. It's only minus one thirty

870
00:45:22,360 --> 00:45:27,000
taking the team with the second or more wins than

871
00:45:27,039 --> 00:45:30,079
the Dodgers this season for plus one and a half runs,

872
00:45:30,079 --> 00:45:32,280
I think is a decent bet. I think people are

873
00:45:32,280 --> 00:45:34,599
getting a little caught up in how good Yamamoto is.

874
00:45:34,639 --> 00:45:40,440
He is good. His eer at home is over three,

875
00:45:40,519 --> 00:45:44,920
though over three is still good, but it's not the two, six,

876
00:45:45,000 --> 00:45:47,159
sixth that we were talking about. So I think the

877
00:45:47,159 --> 00:45:48,280
Phillies can keep it close.

878
00:45:51,079 --> 00:45:53,760
Speaker 2: I think this is the most lopsided game in this

879
00:45:53,880 --> 00:45:55,960
round of the playoffs. I think the only lot more

880
00:45:56,079 --> 00:46:00,960
lopsided playoff game we've seen was Red's Dodgers in that

881
00:46:01,039 --> 00:46:05,400
Wildcard series, and of course those both ended in Dodgers' blowouts.

882
00:46:05,840 --> 00:46:09,199
I'm with Lou Dodger's definitely the team to beat, super talented.

883
00:46:09,199 --> 00:46:12,199
If you haven't figured out that this is the best

884
00:46:12,199 --> 00:46:14,599
team in Major League Baseball right now, they are. They

885
00:46:14,639 --> 00:46:16,760
are the team to beat. They will likely be in

886
00:46:16,760 --> 00:46:19,280
the World Series, they'll probably win it. I'm not saying

887
00:46:19,280 --> 00:46:23,079
they can't be beat, but to me, it is it

888
00:46:23,199 --> 00:46:25,519
is clear as day that this is the best of

889
00:46:25,519 --> 00:46:29,559
the eight teams left, and I have no interest in

890
00:46:29,599 --> 00:46:31,800
going against them. I think, you know, kind of like

891
00:46:31,840 --> 00:46:34,239
going back to a point that Brian made, how are

892
00:46:34,280 --> 00:46:37,559
you even in the Wildcard series with this team? It's like,

893
00:46:38,679 --> 00:46:42,079
how is that even possible that they were not one

894
00:46:42,119 --> 00:46:45,119
of the two top teams in the National League this year.

895
00:46:45,599 --> 00:46:47,719
I think that's created a little bit of value, Like

896
00:46:47,760 --> 00:46:51,400
I think there's still some people lagging behind on and

897
00:46:51,480 --> 00:46:54,119
the markets lagging behind a little bit on just how

898
00:46:54,119 --> 00:46:58,400
good this Dodgers team is. This matchup right here, Dodgers

899
00:46:58,440 --> 00:47:01,360
should be on the other side of two dollars uh

900
00:47:01,440 --> 00:47:05,400
Yamamoto at home. Nola has has really not I mean,

901
00:47:06,480 --> 00:47:09,159
you know, who knows if he's even starting a postseason game.

902
00:47:09,199 --> 00:47:11,840
If if Wheeler's not hurt, he's probably on the roster somewhere.

903
00:47:11,880 --> 00:47:12,679
Speaker 1: He hasn't been good.

904
00:47:13,840 --> 00:47:16,280
Speaker 2: You know, they they lose two games in Philly, now

905
00:47:16,360 --> 00:47:20,079
they've got to go out to La I'm not saying

906
00:47:20,079 --> 00:47:22,400
that he can't have a decent start and navigate his

907
00:47:22,480 --> 00:47:25,079
way through five innings, but I will be very, very

908
00:47:25,079 --> 00:47:28,480
surprised if this Dodgers lineup doesn't blow someone up at

909
00:47:28,480 --> 00:47:31,079
some point. So, whether it's Nola, whether it's the next

910
00:47:31,079 --> 00:47:33,880
guy they put in, whether it's the eighth inning there,

911
00:47:33,960 --> 00:47:35,559
I think you'll get a crooked number out of this

912
00:47:35,599 --> 00:47:37,400
Dodgers team. I think that is going to be a

913
00:47:37,480 --> 00:47:42,000
theme in this playoffs where at some point this lineup,

914
00:47:42,079 --> 00:47:44,360
now that you've got Will Smith back, that's a that's

915
00:47:44,400 --> 00:47:47,719
another eight hundred eight fifty Oh ps, guy, that's now back.

916
00:47:47,760 --> 00:47:51,119
It's I use the term I used the term yesterday,

917
00:47:51,119 --> 00:47:54,239
embarrassment of riches. That's what the Dodgers are. I mean,

918
00:47:54,280 --> 00:47:59,880
it's just oh Tani bets Uh Ta, Oscar Freeman, Tommy

919
00:48:00,000 --> 00:48:02,400
I'm men who missed time this year. Keyk has been

920
00:48:02,400 --> 00:48:06,719
great in the playoffs. I mean, you know, bunci against

921
00:48:07,559 --> 00:48:09,719
with certain splits is very effective.

922
00:48:09,719 --> 00:48:11,000
Speaker 1: Someone you want to have in the lineup.

923
00:48:11,719 --> 00:48:14,920
Speaker 2: They just have so much talent and you know, now

924
00:48:15,000 --> 00:48:17,960
like yes, Dave Roberts will screw something up every once

925
00:48:18,000 --> 00:48:21,920
in a while, but you can't screw up just being

926
00:48:22,320 --> 00:48:24,800
that much better than your opponent.

927
00:48:25,079 --> 00:48:26,639
Speaker 1: That's what I see here out of the Dodgers.

928
00:48:26,679 --> 00:48:28,760
Speaker 2: I mean, I just don't I just don't have a

929
00:48:28,800 --> 00:48:31,159
ton of faith in Aaron Nola being able to go

930
00:48:31,239 --> 00:48:33,880
through the lineup twice and not give something up.

931
00:48:34,199 --> 00:48:36,199
Speaker 1: What I do have some faith in, though, is Yamamoto.

932
00:48:36,519 --> 00:48:40,320
Speaker 2: I think he's I think he's emerging as a legitimate ace. Listen,

933
00:48:40,840 --> 00:48:44,960
major League Baseball, it's having like, really good starting pitchers.

934
00:48:44,960 --> 00:48:46,840
Speaker 1: It's kind of a unicorn at this point. There's just

935
00:48:46,880 --> 00:48:48,920
not many of them. There's just not many of them.

936
00:48:48,920 --> 00:48:51,159
Speaker 2: It's like you're going to start to see these teams

937
00:48:51,719 --> 00:48:54,039
get to playoff series and a bullpen game is going

938
00:48:54,079 --> 00:48:56,400
to be the norm. And that's just because there's not

939
00:48:56,599 --> 00:48:59,920
many great starting pitchers in Major League Baseball. I think

940
00:49:00,000 --> 00:49:02,039
Albamoto might be one of them, and I think he's

941
00:49:02,039 --> 00:49:05,559
getting a little bit disrespected with this line, especially where open.

942
00:49:05,599 --> 00:49:08,159
So I'll throw Dodgers in the parlay. Brian, I agree

943
00:49:08,199 --> 00:49:10,519
with you. I think it's a good bet where you

944
00:49:10,559 --> 00:49:12,119
got it. But I think for the parlay we can

945
00:49:12,159 --> 00:49:14,360
put Dodgers in here at whatever the price is.

946
00:49:14,400 --> 00:49:15,599
Speaker 1: So what do we having?

947
00:49:15,639 --> 00:49:18,440
Speaker 4: Me mention that I hope the Dodgers win because I

948
00:49:18,480 --> 00:49:21,320
have a future on them to win the World Series. Uh,

949
00:49:21,360 --> 00:49:25,320
and getting Will Smith back is huge, huge, Yes, they

950
00:49:25,360 --> 00:49:27,719
have the better lineup. I'm not sure if they have

951
00:49:27,760 --> 00:49:31,719
the better bullpen, but with Sasaki back there probably they do.

952
00:49:32,840 --> 00:49:34,760
But I think the Phillies can keep it close. That's

953
00:49:34,760 --> 00:49:35,360
all I'm saying.

954
00:49:35,719 --> 00:49:37,119
Speaker 1: I want to point for three games.

955
00:49:37,880 --> 00:49:43,119
Speaker 2: Yeah, two similarly priced games today Yankees, Blue Jays, Dodgers, Phillies.

956
00:49:43,800 --> 00:49:47,440
In my opinion, those shouldn't be the same price, like,

957
00:49:48,159 --> 00:49:51,800
those should not be similarly priced games. The Dodgers have

958
00:49:52,599 --> 00:49:56,320
a greater edge against the Phillies here than the Yankees

959
00:49:56,360 --> 00:49:57,280
do against the Blue Jays.

960
00:49:57,320 --> 00:49:59,519
Speaker 1: But yet the books are telling you that that those

961
00:49:59,519 --> 00:49:59,960
are the same.

962
00:50:00,159 --> 00:50:03,079
Speaker 2: So I that's where I just like, I think there's

963
00:50:03,199 --> 00:50:06,159
there's even still some value in the Dodgers at this price.

964
00:50:06,360 --> 00:50:09,400
Speaker 1: I make this like minus two twenty. So what are

965
00:50:09,400 --> 00:50:12,079
we seeing the what are we seeing Brian for a

966
00:50:12,159 --> 00:50:13,159
money line on the Dodgers.

967
00:50:13,320 --> 00:50:15,599
Speaker 3: Yeah, you're looking anywhere from o' sely as low as

968
00:50:15,639 --> 00:50:18,039
one sixty nine up to as high as one eighty one.

969
00:50:18,159 --> 00:50:21,000
So something in the one seventy five range.

970
00:50:21,039 --> 00:50:24,199
Speaker 4: I would say, considering they won four more games than

971
00:50:24,239 --> 00:50:27,639
the Dodgers. Man Phillies are getting disrespected. They're a good team.

972
00:50:27,719 --> 00:50:31,079
Speaker 3: Phillies had to win, they care, they wanted, they wanted

973
00:50:31,079 --> 00:50:33,199
to win. The Dodgers, as I've said the last two

974
00:50:33,920 --> 00:50:36,440
off seasons, there's so much better than anybody else in

975
00:50:36,480 --> 00:50:38,440
that division that they can cruise to the season.

976
00:50:39,199 --> 00:50:39,400
Speaker 4: Uh.

977
00:50:39,440 --> 00:50:42,239
Speaker 3: And it's clear that when you see the Dodgers now playing,

978
00:50:42,280 --> 00:50:44,960
they're a whole lot better than they were earlier when

979
00:50:44,960 --> 00:50:47,119
they've got all the healthy guys back now and then

980
00:50:47,239 --> 00:50:51,880
they let them stewing the miners or let them have

981
00:50:51,920 --> 00:50:54,280
time off because of injuries. So it's a different Dodgers

982
00:50:54,280 --> 00:50:55,480
team now than it was earlier.

983
00:50:55,559 --> 00:50:58,280
Speaker 4: I agree they're better, but man, Phillis are a good team.

984
00:50:58,360 --> 00:51:01,840
Speaker 3: Phillis is a good team, but not done well in

985
00:51:01,880 --> 00:51:03,000
the playoffs, especially at home.

986
00:51:03,639 --> 00:51:06,159
Speaker 2: As I said at the time, there was zero chance

987
00:51:06,199 --> 00:51:08,719
the Phillies were gonna win a playoff series without Zach Wheeler,

988
00:51:08,880 --> 00:51:10,920
Like that was just far too big of a loss.

989
00:51:10,920 --> 00:51:13,519
Speaker 1: So you look at the regular season you're judging them.

990
00:51:13,559 --> 00:51:17,199
Speaker 2: You mean Zach Wheeler had a cy Young caliber campaign

991
00:51:17,280 --> 00:51:20,360
until he went down. I mean, just a monumental loss

992
00:51:20,400 --> 00:51:23,440
that I don't think got enough attention for how big

993
00:51:23,480 --> 00:51:24,320
of a deal that was.

994
00:51:24,400 --> 00:51:26,480
Speaker 1: And then of course here we are in the playoffs.

995
00:51:26,599 --> 00:51:29,880
Speaker 2: Phillies lose two games at home, and now they're gonna

996
00:51:29,880 --> 00:51:32,840
have to go probably they would have to win twice

997
00:51:32,880 --> 00:51:38,320
as essentially a close to two to close to plus

998
00:51:38,320 --> 00:51:41,239
one sixty underdog, probably just to get the series back

999
00:51:41,639 --> 00:51:42,199
to Philly.

1000
00:51:42,559 --> 00:51:43,840
Speaker 1: But I don't even think it comes to that. I

1001
00:51:43,880 --> 00:51:44,559
think it ends here.

1002
00:51:44,639 --> 00:51:46,719
Speaker 2: So Dodgers for the parlay, Tokyo, Brandon, we need a

1003
00:51:46,760 --> 00:51:49,400
parlay lake from you. Can you give us something from

1004
00:51:49,559 --> 00:51:51,119
one of the earlier two games?

1005
00:51:51,320 --> 00:51:57,519
Speaker 4: Yes, yes, I can, Jake, Yes. Hoppell tel Aviv is

1006
00:51:57,559 --> 00:51:59,960
a good parlay piece in my opinion there. I think

1007
00:52:00,119 --> 00:52:03,079
they're they're four point favorite. They should be like twelve

1008
00:52:03,119 --> 00:52:07,400
point favorites here. Anyways, Uh question, do you think Yamamono

1009
00:52:07,480 --> 00:52:09,519
has a chance to win the cy younger? Skeens has

1010
00:52:09,519 --> 00:52:17,719
it wrapped up? Just quick answer, yeah, you got yeahs

1011
00:52:17,719 --> 00:52:19,760
is gonna win. Yamamoto has no chance. I have a

1012
00:52:19,800 --> 00:52:27,039
future on that plus thirteen hundred. But anyways, okay, yeah,

1013
00:52:27,079 --> 00:52:30,079
Skiens probably has it wrapped up. So for my parlay,

1014
00:52:30,119 --> 00:52:31,840
I'm going to go back to the Seattle game. I

1015
00:52:31,840 --> 00:52:34,800
think Seattle Mariners over one and a half in the

1016
00:52:34,840 --> 00:52:38,519
first five is a good play. I think Brian said

1017
00:52:39,039 --> 00:52:41,679
it's one sixty five or something like that. That's fine

1018
00:52:41,679 --> 00:52:45,079
with me. Myes has been shaky all season and he

1019
00:52:45,119 --> 00:52:49,320
doesn't have good numbers against Seattle. Seattle's just been bombing.

1020
00:52:49,440 --> 00:52:51,039
So that's what I'm going to make my.

1021
00:52:51,079 --> 00:52:55,119
Speaker 1: Leg sorry, TV, say that again and just give me

1022
00:52:55,119 --> 00:52:55,519
the price.

1023
00:52:55,559 --> 00:53:00,599
Speaker 4: Bryan uh Seattle first five over one and a half.

1024
00:53:01,000 --> 00:53:03,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'd say about one sixty five.

1025
00:53:04,960 --> 00:53:07,760
Speaker 1: Over one point okay, minus one sixty five.

1026
00:53:09,079 --> 00:53:10,920
Speaker 2: I had to do, like I'm telling you my favor

1027
00:53:11,000 --> 00:53:14,320
I don't I know TV handicaps EuroLeague basketball. If that

1028
00:53:14,440 --> 00:53:16,360
is your thing, check him out because I know he

1029
00:53:16,360 --> 00:53:17,880
does extremely well in this league.

1030
00:53:18,320 --> 00:53:20,719
Speaker 1: I never watch ear League basketball. I know nothing about it.

1031
00:53:20,760 --> 00:53:22,960
Speaker 2: But one of my favorite things to do is just

1032
00:53:23,000 --> 00:53:26,199
pull up a EuroLeague roster. So I said, you know what, Hap,

1033
00:53:26,280 --> 00:53:28,719
well tel Aviv, let's go see who's on that team.

1034
00:53:29,199 --> 00:53:32,480
We've got former Syracuse Orange Tyler Ennis. I mean, it's

1035
00:53:32,519 --> 00:53:34,559
just great. It's all these guys in college that you

1036
00:53:34,599 --> 00:53:35,760
forget about and.

1037
00:53:35,679 --> 00:53:37,880
Speaker 4: Then it's like six years ago.

1038
00:53:38,599 --> 00:53:42,559
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's great. Ish Wayne Wright from Baylor.

1039
00:53:43,119 --> 00:53:45,960
Speaker 2: I mean, you know, you haven't I haven't seen some

1040
00:53:46,000 --> 00:53:47,239
of these names in a decade.

1041
00:53:47,599 --> 00:53:50,000
Speaker 1: And then it's like that's one of my favorite things

1042
00:53:50,039 --> 00:53:50,280
to do.

1043
00:53:50,440 --> 00:53:54,000
Speaker 2: I just another favorite guy, Jonathan Motley, another Baylor guy.

1044
00:53:55,199 --> 00:53:56,960
Speaker 1: But yeah, Tyler Ennis having't.

1045
00:53:57,000 --> 00:53:59,559
Speaker 2: He was a local guy for US here, played for

1046
00:53:59,599 --> 00:54:02,440
sarahe Use, And again, you don't even know these guys.

1047
00:54:02,440 --> 00:54:04,880
If you don't follow European basketball, you don't even know

1048
00:54:04,880 --> 00:54:07,159
if these guys still have a career, And there they are.

1049
00:54:07,199 --> 00:54:10,440
Speaker 1: Some of them have great, long careers over in Europe.

1050
00:54:10,480 --> 00:54:13,800
Speaker 2: So if you like euro League basketball, check out TV,

1051
00:54:14,679 --> 00:54:17,440
and if you like playoff baseball, you can get it

1052
00:54:17,480 --> 00:54:18,960
from all of us for nine bucks. I've got to

1053
00:54:18,960 --> 00:54:22,000
play up for today. I'm sure, Brian, Brian, do you

1054
00:54:22,079 --> 00:54:24,760
have something on the page yet? For today's games.

1055
00:54:25,360 --> 00:54:28,639
Speaker 3: I may be using a five percent play. I'm on

1056
00:54:28,679 --> 00:54:31,639
a twenty one and five baseball run on our four

1057
00:54:31,639 --> 00:54:34,719
and five percent. It won't be the same player that

1058
00:54:34,760 --> 00:54:38,079
I gave here, But yeah, there's a few couple games

1059
00:54:38,159 --> 00:54:39,880
I think have some value on today's card.

1060
00:54:40,199 --> 00:54:43,960
Speaker 2: So I do believe that Bases ninety nine coupon is probably.

1061
00:54:43,960 --> 00:54:44,480
Speaker 1: This is probably.

1062
00:54:44,480 --> 00:54:46,039
Speaker 2: I think this might be the last day for it,

1063
00:54:46,119 --> 00:54:47,960
or it's going to expire this week at some point.

1064
00:54:48,119 --> 00:54:49,519
Speaker 1: Hopefully I didn't misspeak.

1065
00:54:49,559 --> 00:54:52,039
Speaker 2: I don't know if it already expired, but we did

1066
00:54:52,079 --> 00:54:53,760
have a coupon code basis ninety nine.

1067
00:54:53,800 --> 00:54:55,119
Speaker 1: The reason I'm bringing that up.

1068
00:54:55,079 --> 00:54:58,800
Speaker 2: Is because if Brian's gonna use a five percenter, those

1069
00:54:58,840 --> 00:55:02,039
are still full price. So if you just get the

1070
00:55:02,039 --> 00:55:05,960
rest of his playoffs with the coupon code bases ninety nine,

1071
00:55:06,280 --> 00:55:09,280
you're almost you know, you're most of the way there.

1072
00:55:09,639 --> 00:55:11,840
If you are going to get his five percenter, just

1073
00:55:11,880 --> 00:55:13,760
go use the code basis ninety nine and you've got

1074
00:55:13,760 --> 00:55:15,480
everything from him through the World Series.

1075
00:55:15,519 --> 00:55:18,719
Speaker 1: It will. It's the value play in my opinion.

1076
00:55:18,840 --> 00:55:23,039
Speaker 2: So and I hope I didn't misspeak, because then people

1077
00:55:23,079 --> 00:55:24,960
are going to be emailing in the customer support, I'll

1078
00:55:24,960 --> 00:55:28,159
get yelled at. So hopefully that coupon still works Bases

1079
00:55:28,239 --> 00:55:31,920
ninety nine. It worked on the full the full postseason.

1080
00:55:32,079 --> 00:55:33,800
They didn't tell me when it was going to expire,

1081
00:55:33,920 --> 00:55:36,559
So hopefully I didn't just promote something that no longer

1082
00:55:36,679 --> 00:55:39,400
is it exists, But go to his page and try it.

1083
00:55:39,480 --> 00:55:42,559
We only know if we try, right, So check that

1084
00:55:42,599 --> 00:55:45,920
out if Brian uses a five percenter, otherwise we are

1085
00:55:46,639 --> 00:55:50,079
nine dollars for any of the best bets that aren't

1086
00:55:50,079 --> 00:55:51,000
five percent plays.

1087
00:55:51,320 --> 00:55:54,199
Speaker 1: I just haven't parlay punched in Go Ahead TV. I'm

1088
00:55:54,199 --> 00:55:54,679
trying to count.

1089
00:55:54,800 --> 00:55:57,719
Speaker 4: I'm sorry. I mean, I have this bad habit of interrupting.

1090
00:55:58,440 --> 00:56:01,719
We always put out free play is almost daily as well.

1091
00:56:01,880 --> 00:56:03,639
Some people in the chat are asking do you have

1092
00:56:03,639 --> 00:56:05,440
a free play up today? Why don't you just go

1093
00:56:05,480 --> 00:56:08,000
to waysertalk dot com and click free plays. I mean,

1094
00:56:08,320 --> 00:56:10,280
you know, if you're not willing to do that, then

1095
00:56:10,320 --> 00:56:12,719
you're probably not gonna win it, you know, so make

1096
00:56:12,760 --> 00:56:15,599
a little effort. Guys, we we do put free plays up,

1097
00:56:15,679 --> 00:56:18,159
so just go to the free free place page. I

1098
00:56:18,199 --> 00:56:21,119
have one up in euro League. Yes, your specific question

1099
00:56:21,320 --> 00:56:23,440
was is your free play your league? Just go check.

1100
00:56:23,599 --> 00:56:25,599
I do have it up, Yes, I certainly do.

1101
00:56:25,920 --> 00:56:29,760
Speaker 2: Each each handicapper has free picks on their page. But

1102
00:56:29,800 --> 00:56:32,239
also if you just go to the wager talk website,

1103
00:56:32,440 --> 00:56:35,199
right at the top bar free picks, it lists every

1104
00:56:35,199 --> 00:56:38,920
handicapper that put out a free play in order nice

1105
00:56:39,079 --> 00:56:39,679
right one.

1106
00:56:40,800 --> 00:56:42,559
Speaker 4: So it's usually like twenty out there.

1107
00:56:42,639 --> 00:56:45,440
Speaker 2: So yeah, yeah, and we we will put a couple

1108
00:56:45,519 --> 00:56:47,480
up a week. I will all throw something up there

1109
00:56:47,519 --> 00:56:49,920
today for sure, in one of the four games.

1110
00:56:50,440 --> 00:56:51,639
Speaker 1: And yeah, go ahead, TB.

1111
00:56:52,119 --> 00:56:54,800
Speaker 4: Sorry. Quick note about free plays. A lot of people

1112
00:56:54,920 --> 00:56:57,199
ask like what's your free play and things like that.

1113
00:56:57,320 --> 00:57:00,760
Most handicappers, what we'll do is we'll put a percentage

1114
00:57:00,800 --> 00:57:03,480
drank like five percent, three percent or something, and the

1115
00:57:03,480 --> 00:57:06,000
ones that are like one percent or two percent we'll

1116
00:57:06,039 --> 00:57:08,119
throw those in a free play. So a lot of

1117
00:57:08,159 --> 00:57:10,119
them are client plays, or a lot of them are

1118
00:57:10,239 --> 00:57:13,559
ones that missed our card. So the free plays are

1119
00:57:13,599 --> 00:57:17,119
a little bit less percentage wise than our high percent place,

1120
00:57:17,199 --> 00:57:20,800
but in many cases they still are client plays, so

1121
00:57:21,039 --> 00:57:23,280
there's value to go check our free places page.

1122
00:57:23,880 --> 00:57:26,239
Speaker 1: Something I always do personally. I don't know if others

1123
00:57:26,280 --> 00:57:26,519
do this.

1124
00:57:26,679 --> 00:57:29,440
Speaker 2: I always put a note if I give out a

1125
00:57:29,480 --> 00:57:32,239
free play, if i'll know if it's a client player

1126
00:57:32,280 --> 00:57:34,800
or not. I'll put the percentage ranking. So if mine

1127
00:57:34,800 --> 00:57:36,599
has a percentage ranking, you know it's a client play.

1128
00:57:36,599 --> 00:57:39,679
If it doesn't, then it's not, but it's still you know,

1129
00:57:40,320 --> 00:57:42,960
it's usually still something I have in a strong enough

1130
00:57:43,000 --> 00:57:47,039
opinion on where I think you should consider it. So yeah,

1131
00:57:47,239 --> 00:57:48,880
there's a lot of good there's a lot of good stuff.

1132
00:57:48,880 --> 00:57:51,719
And honestly, sometimes it's like i'll put something up in

1133
00:57:51,760 --> 00:57:54,320
the free plays it'll end up being like a three

1134
00:57:54,400 --> 00:57:56,000
or four percenter for me, and then I'll just go

1135
00:57:56,079 --> 00:57:58,599
back and say, well, you know, guy, I already gave

1136
00:57:58,639 --> 00:58:01,320
it out, can't you know, can't take it off the

1137
00:58:01,320 --> 00:58:03,360
free play section, So you end up getting one for free.

1138
00:58:03,440 --> 00:58:07,039
Speaker 1: So keep an eye on that. Very simple to get to.

1139
00:58:07,079 --> 00:58:09,039
Speaker 2: Go to the wager Talk website free picks right on

1140
00:58:09,079 --> 00:58:11,239
the top tap everyone's in the same page.

1141
00:58:11,239 --> 00:58:14,559
Speaker 1: It's a great little feature on the site. Go ahead, right.

1142
00:58:14,880 --> 00:58:17,519
Speaker 3: Just want to point out we did win our first

1143
00:58:17,559 --> 00:58:20,599
hockey play yesterday on the Pittsburgh Penguins. I will be

1144
00:58:20,800 --> 00:58:28,000
on the Hockey Show with Andrew and in Carmine tomorrow

1145
00:58:28,400 --> 00:58:32,519
and that's at eight o'clock Pacific, so I can sleep

1146
00:58:32,519 --> 00:58:33,480
in a little bit on that show.

1147
00:58:33,559 --> 00:58:33,840
Speaker 1: Suffer.

1148
00:58:33,920 --> 00:58:36,039
Speaker 3: We're going to be doing this show too, so going

1149
00:58:36,039 --> 00:58:38,360
for one or the other. So yeah, if you're interested

1150
00:58:38,360 --> 00:58:41,280
in hockey, the Golden Knight start my local team here.

1151
00:58:41,320 --> 00:58:44,400
I got the jersey on right now. But we played

1152
00:58:44,400 --> 00:58:47,239
tonight and it'll be the late game and I guess

1153
00:58:47,280 --> 00:58:50,400
it's gonna be on tn T or some major major

1154
00:58:50,480 --> 00:58:54,280
network with the hockey starting up. But number one, not

1155
00:58:54,320 --> 00:58:57,079
only in baseball for eleven years, number one in hockey

1156
00:58:57,159 --> 00:58:59,559
eleven years. This is the two sports I love, and

1157
00:58:59,599 --> 00:59:01,760
those are the ones that you should buy.

1158
00:59:03,519 --> 00:59:05,360
Speaker 1: All right, parlay one more time.

1159
00:59:05,639 --> 00:59:07,559
Speaker 2: Well, I actually haven't even read it yet, so let

1160
00:59:07,599 --> 00:59:09,800
me let me read off the parlay in case you

1161
00:59:09,840 --> 00:59:12,679
didn't put it together. We have I will go in

1162
00:59:12,840 --> 00:59:16,360
time order. So this should entertain you all day hopefully

1163
00:59:16,400 --> 00:59:19,119
because that would mean we hit it Tokyo. Brandon's going

1164
00:59:19,159 --> 00:59:22,480
Mariners first five team total over one and a half.

1165
00:59:22,519 --> 00:59:26,440
That's minus won sixty five odds. That's Mariners team total

1166
00:59:27,119 --> 00:59:29,440
over in the first five over.

1167
00:59:29,239 --> 00:59:29,960
Speaker 1: One and a half.

1168
00:59:30,559 --> 00:59:33,320
Speaker 2: Brian's gonna go Blue Jay's team total over three and

1169
00:59:33,320 --> 00:59:36,239
a half in that Yankees Blue Jays game, So that's

1170
00:59:36,239 --> 00:59:38,679
for the full game, Jay's team total over three and

1171
00:59:38,679 --> 00:59:41,079
a half. And I'll try to close us out with

1172
00:59:41,199 --> 00:59:44,000
Dodgers on the money line. That's plus three eighty one.

1173
00:59:44,440 --> 00:59:48,039
The parlays shout out to us one more time. We

1174
00:59:48,320 --> 00:59:51,480
did a three team parlay pretty much every day on

1175
00:59:51,519 --> 00:59:54,159
the show for the entire season, like six months worth,

1176
00:59:54,639 --> 00:59:57,159
and ended up plus five point three to five units.

1177
00:59:57,159 --> 00:59:59,679
So basically, if if you were to play them equally

1178
01:00:00,079 --> 01:00:01,280
for every dollar.

1179
01:00:02,679 --> 01:00:04,199
Speaker 1: Plus five dollars and thirty five cents.

1180
01:00:04,239 --> 01:00:07,360
Speaker 2: I'm actually when we decided to do this, I was

1181
01:00:07,400 --> 01:00:09,639
just like, I hope we just don't get crushed. So

1182
01:00:09,679 --> 01:00:11,719
the fact that we because of course, like hitting three

1183
01:00:11,760 --> 01:00:13,760
teamers is not an easy thing to do. So the

1184
01:00:13,760 --> 01:00:17,199
fact that we got through the season ahead shout out

1185
01:00:17,199 --> 01:00:17,719
to us like that.

1186
01:00:17,880 --> 01:00:19,599
Speaker 1: That's impressive in my opinion.

1187
01:00:19,440 --> 01:00:22,199
Speaker 2: And hopefully we can put a little cherry on top

1188
01:00:22,679 --> 01:00:25,480
with another one today. But this even if we lose today,

1189
01:00:25,920 --> 01:00:28,000
we'll still end up ahead. This will be the final

1190
01:00:28,280 --> 01:00:30,719
parlay of the day because of course, this is the

1191
01:00:30,800 --> 01:00:33,519
last day with more than two games for the rest

1192
01:00:33,559 --> 01:00:35,719
of the season. That being said, we will be with

1193
01:00:35,760 --> 01:00:38,360
you for a total basis every weekday that there is

1194
01:00:38,400 --> 01:00:41,320
playoff baseball, so we will see you back here tomorrow

1195
01:00:41,360 --> 01:00:42,000
no matter what.

1196
01:00:42,679 --> 01:00:43,440
Speaker 1: Good luck today.

1197
01:00:43,880 --> 01:00:46,599
Speaker 2: Check out our pages nine dollars baseball plays Brian might

1198
01:00:46,639 --> 01:00:49,679
have a five percenter and we'll see you guys back

1199
01:00:49,719 --> 01:00:51,840
in the morning nine am for more total bases