Speaker 1: You are lah. Welcome to the best sports betting show
on the planet. This is wager Talk Today. I am
your host, Andy Lang. It is Friday, and we are
setting you up for the weekend. Ton of NFL preseason
coming your way. MLB, We've got a little bit of
UFC Shanghai with Andrew Babikiitas from the West Gate. He's
gonna tell us where all the sharp money is going
Giohn He's gonna join us first to get us started
with the Steam Report. Tell us where some money's coming
in on all the sports. Teddy covers is gonna break
down the Vikings and the Titans, and also give us
a little little insight into the Red Sox and Yankees.
Marco's gonna join us. We've got Ravens and Commanders tomorrow,
and we got Dodgers and Padres coming up. Don't forget
to hit the like button, Guys, subscribe to the wager
Talk YouTube channel. Just cross two hundred and twelve thousand subscribers,
so thank you very much. And listen, we got college
football and NFL. These these these videos are coming out
at breakneck speed, guy, so subscribe to the channel. Hit
the bell that way you get notified when all these
individual game breakdowns come out. That way you get the
best of the number when these videos come out. All right,
let's bring on, Giohnny. Let's suck steam report. Shout out
to everyone in the chat. Uh see Block says he's
been on fire this week. Awesome, what a great week.
All right? Uh well, Gianni, assuming this is gonna be
a busy, busy Friday going in the weekend, we got
so many sports, surely they're firing away on a lot.
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, yeah, just today, I mean for Friday, we
have such a big board. Tonight late night you got
m M A with UFC going off at midnight Pacific time.
You have NFL preseason continuing tonight, Major League Baseball. I mean,
it's a it's a good day, and it's gonna be
a good weekend of action, that's for sure. I think
we even got what's it called tonight.
Speaker 1: W n B A because yeah, w well, Giohnny, we
just had road to UFC, like this morning, there was
already overnight fights and stuff. So let's let's let's try.
Uh let's let's start with football here, which let's talk
a little NFL preseason, little college football, any lines of note,
any bigger bets coming in public. What's going on here?
Speaker 2: Yeah, in the Jets, Philadelphia Jets got steamed immediately on
the money line, and he saw a little bit of
take back on Philadelphia because he got up to his
highest three and that's where you saw Philadelphia plus three
come in. And it's just one of those key numbers
that you're going to get groups that are going to
take it. And it didn't sit at three. And now
it's back to you know, two to two and a half.
But definitely definitely shark money on the New York Jets.
But again there's take back at plus three on Philadelphia.
The under also got steamed. That's I'll share that here.
I released a premium to my subscribers. We went under
thirty six and a half I believe, or thirty six.
That's now thirty four, so a lot of the value
has been extracted. I probably wouldn't piggyback it at thirty four,
to be honest with you. What else can I share? Tennessee,
I'll give you that one too. Gave that house to subscribers,
but that was at minus two and a half. It's
now up to minus five again. I just think when
you're looking at a total of thirty seven and not
only has the favorite flip, but it's going through the
key number of three. I just don't think you could
piggyback it at this point. Your only choice is dogg
or pass. You know, like, if you think now that
Minnesota at plus five five and a half over some
value that you know it's a different story. But I
just think Tennessee is a little bit going right now.
The other game that got steam was Chicago Chicago at
plus three the key number of three and over thirty
nine over forty, and finally Atlanta Dallas under thirty six
and a half. So jetson under Chicago and over Tennessee
and the under in Atlanta Dallas all attracted sharp money.
But pay attention to later line moves odds logic.
Speaker 1: That's what I use.
Speaker 2: They've saved me so much money just being up to
the second Again, if you're taking it seriously, you need
up to the second lines.
Speaker 3: If not, wager talks are just fine.
Speaker 2: They're about five minute delay, But for me, like I
need that because if I see some kind of take back,
I got to pay attention to it. So that's pretty
much what's going on. In football for today, as we
wait for the regular season.
Speaker 1: This line in the total in the Jets Eagles is
down to thirty three at some place. And I will
tell you I watched the Jets last week because apparently
I hate myself and I don't value my time. I
have no idea why I was watching a Jets preseason game.
Their receivers cannot catch. There's like the quarterback's actually pretty good, Martinez,
He's not bad. He was throwing the ball to the
right spot. Everyone was dropping the passes. Philadelphia doesn't seem
to care. It's so low at thirty three, and yet
I'm certainly not playing the over on those two offenses.
So yeah, it looks like, yeah, it looks like the
steam came through pretty big last night. Giants. Yeah, yeah, whoever, Yeah,
I think it was a giant. It's whoever was the
big steam last night? Anything college football on Saturday, I
don't see much big any, any big movements.
Speaker 4: No.
Speaker 2: I mean we took our positions early, like I said yesterday,
Kansas State, Iowa State, it's sitting at three. They're letting
the betters decide. It's getting good two way action at three.
There's groups that won't plus three and a half. There's
other ones that would lay the two and a half.
That's what's beautiful with the books being able to leave
it on three. This is this is a good game
to book, being first college football game of the season
more or less. You know, high profile over there in Ireland,
and they got a key number of three and it's
sitting on three. As a book maker, you're happy, Like
you just say, writing writing bets on both sides. It
doesn't get any better than that. Western Kentucky and Sam Houston. Obviously,
Western Kentucky took steam as soon as that line open.
Presno State in Kansas we talked about that. Presno State
was one of those summer steam plays. It was above fourteen.
They took the fourteen and a half south, they took
the fourteens out. It got down there about twelve twelve
and a half, and that's where you started seeing the
Kansas money come in. The total also got steamed under,
but there was enough public money over that you're not
seeing a significant move. See that's the key. Are they
writing bets on the other side. If they're writing on
the other side, then it's going to be hard to
just read the market and draw conclusions. But on those
matchups where they're not able to write bets on the
other side, that's where you're going to see some significant
line movements, especially in college football with a lot of
those you know, smaller divisions, those those extra board games
as we call them. Finally, Stanford Hawaii. Everybody likes Hawaii.
I think if they get the three, you'll see the
Stanford plus three money come in. That is worry someome
Like I said, I had bet Hawaiian money line at
minus one fifteen, good bet because it's now probably about
minus one.
Speaker 3: Forty or so.
Speaker 2: But it worries me because they're not at three. And
when now a couple of threes have popped up on
credit shops, they all got taken out.
Speaker 5: So that kind of worries me.
Speaker 2: That we're all on one island with Hawaii.
Speaker 1: I'm on yeah, week zero, everybody on the same side.
What could possibly go wrong wrong? Yeah?
Speaker 3: Actually a great team like Hawaii.
Speaker 1: An unknown world beater.
Speaker 5: Yes?
Speaker 1: Why? Absolutely? Oh? Somebody asked about any word on McKee.
I do not believe Mckey's gonna play still dealing with
a finger injury. I believe he's still out, so uh
uh I don't don't expect to see him tonight, which
is another contributing factor to that low total in that
in that Eagles game. So let's do WNBA real quick.
Speaker 2: Actually, Robert Stamford opened as the favorite in that game. Yeah,
good call, Yep, yep, my man's absolutely right. Hawaii opened
is a plus two and a dogs, So that one.
Speaker 1: I see. We got a little bit of movement in
w NBA. We had a really nice prop winner in
WNBA last night, So it still has my attention because
there's there's money to be made in WNBA. I love books,
and the books are paying attention to the other sport.
WNBA is just sitting there. They're not moving these prop numbers.
You see movement on these totals and the spreads. I
already see Seattle's taking a bunch. So as the over
in that one, anything else of note.
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, no, exactly that the over in Seattle I've
seen in accounts. I had a lean coming in waiting
to see if there's any confirmation, because, like you, I
think there's a ton of value in WNBA because it's
it's actually getting attention now, and because of that, they're
writing again, writing bets on the other side. You know,
two three seasons ago, it was wise guys versus the books,
you know, and they're going to move the lines significantly
based on that action. Nowadays, though, because of all the
attention in the WNBA, you actually have recreational betters betting it,
which forces the book to factor in a lot of
that biases into those betting lines, which offers even more
value than ever before. In fact, a lot of the
groups that I'm working with right now, you know what
they're asking for live accounts? Can you get me live accounts,
accounts that we could bury live And the sport that
they're burying right now is they're bettering in WNBA, destroying
it in MMA live mma. Like they're willing to take
even just nickel accounts, Like if you could, if they
if they if I could get them a credit line
of ten grand with five thousand, I mean five hundred dollars.
Speaker 3: Bet they'll take it.
Speaker 2: There was a time where if you couldn't get them
down a dime two dimes, they didn't want the account.
Now they're willing to take it, even if they could
only get five hundred down, which they got to give
me half of. Like I take half of the accounts,
so they're willing to put in gold had throwly two
hundred and fifty dollars because that's how hard it is
to get down. But that's how good the advantages are
with those lives. So yeah, pay attention to WNB yay
right now because there's money to be made.
Speaker 1: Let's take a look at MLB quite a few games today.
What are we seeing of Note a lot of big
favorites here.
Speaker 2: I'm seeing I got five sides that already got hit
and a couple totals forty I even winning deep and
did a little work that moved the trash out of
the way, and make sure.
Speaker 3: We focus only goal.
Speaker 2: The weekend's here, so I got to help you make
a little bit of money. Nine oh five New York
Mets plus one oh five.
Speaker 5: They're good.
Speaker 2: Down to even money nine ten Arizona minus one twenty five,
nine to fourteen New York Yankees, a little Chalky at
minus one seventy nine to sixteen Baltimore minus one oh five,
and finally nine twenty one Cleveland Indians at plus one
forty three totals as well nine to twelve under eight
Dodgers San Diego nine to fifteen over nine Houston Baltimore
and nine twenty three under eight Athletics Seattle. So we're
on the Mets, Arizona, Yankees, Baltimore, Cleveland go under Dodgers
over Houston under Athletics.
Speaker 5: When the dust settles those that should be profitable.
Speaker 1: All right, great work, Johnny. Anything in UFC. I mean
the big thing is this Brian Ortego weight cut. Yeah,
that that's added like two dollars onto Sterling. I can't
believe he's even going to try and fight, but it
is the Comaine and Ortega is an absolute dog. So
if he could, just if he could be carried into
the ring, he's going to try and fight. So if
you're wondering why there was that huge line movement on Sterling,
it's because or taking miss weight. They said he almost
had to go to the hospital. Then they're like, oh,
the fight's off. No, it's back on at a catchweight.
Looked awful. So that's why you see that big line movement.
Speaker 2: I like the Sterling sign. I liked it before, and
this just adds to it. Obviously, a lot of the
value has been extracted since the line move but I
already thought Sterling was the right side. You know, there's
a good matchup for him, two solid grapplers, and I
just thought being a five round fight, you would see
or take a money come in because you know he's
able to pull off that that win even if he's
down on the cards, and I was hoping the line
would drop and I would get Sterling had a little
bit of a discount because he just doesn't get love
from the betting market or the fans. That just didn't
happen because of the weight miss. Otherwise, I like the
Sterling side in the main event. Real quickly, listen, this
is a showcase fight for Jang. He's done absolutely nothing wrong.
He's looked perfect in the UFC on the road to
the UFC, and now you get a big name in
Johnny Walker. But the problem is we just haven't seen
enough of Jang verse high level opposition to really lay
this kind of chalk. You're kind of betting potential over
credentials and not saying Johnny Walker's credentials are the best.
But when it comes to strength of schedule, these two
aren't even close. So I can't fall anyone for sprinkling
a little something on Johnny Walker because not only could
he grapple. We haven't seen Jang grample, but I think
he's also got pop. And at that weight class, you
land the big shot and all of a sudden, that's
the eraser, the great equalizer. So I leaned that side.
I'm a uh Costo Cortes fan. I thought he continued
to be undervalued in the betting market. I made some
money off of him, but I think this matchup just
does not vode well for him. Pavlich just has too
big of an advantage in the stand up, and I
don't think Cortez is going to be able to implement
any kind.
Speaker 5: Of grappling with him. Keep moving down.
Speaker 2: Steam came in against Loaner, but I think Loaner gets
it done.
Speaker 3: I like Loaner, and I'll.
Speaker 1: Go ahead to head with you on this one. Like Johnson,
Let's let's revisit this on on Monday. I like Charles Johnson.
Loaner hasn't fought a guy that's uh that has this
much movement. Charles Johnson is taller, He's got the reach.
Now if Loner decides to wrestle, Johnson's in trouble. But
Johnson's wrestling has gotten better. Yeah, give me the plus
one eighty dog. Let's revisit it.
Speaker 2: That the market's on your sign, that's for sure, And
that's what's scared me on loaner. Why I won't unload
because of the respect Johnson's getting. Yeah, there's some releasent fights.
I don't know if I'm going to stay up for him.
I'm gonna try, but just to do.
Speaker 1: Some can I also tell you a scary thought that
I have is I kind of like westn Wilson at
plus seven fifty. He can wrestle. He can't do anything else,
but he can kind of wrestle, and if he can
take this Yiza down, I think he might be live
plus seven fifty.
Speaker 3: He might be. He don't hate it at all.
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's you're betting on West and Wilson, which is terrifying.
But at the same time, if he gets this to
the ground, that that that plus seven to fifty is
going to be looking mighty mighty.
Speaker 2: That first fight of the night. Pay attention that the
line it got a juice. But d are that Diary
kid the dog in that first fight?
Speaker 1: Yeah?
Speaker 3: No, ufcd abu.
Speaker 2: But don't forget he was a minus four hundred plus
favorite that was a fight eight out of.
Speaker 3: Ten times the market.
Speaker 4: Concluded he should win and he didn't get the W
And usually guys like that, I want it back in
their next fight, especially since he looked really good in
the Contender getting that knockout in the second round, and
he just got caught.
Speaker 2: He got subbed, you know, by Hebero. But I just
think that betting line tells you a lot of the
potential of this kid, uh and seeing him as a dog,
I wasn't surprised he got steamed because remember Hibero had
like at least had the UFC experience, won the Contender series,
you know, one on that hades. But I think he
caught him after he beat col Machado.
Speaker 1: Yeah. Well, also, don't forget he got submitted, but he
was on top. He took Ribero down. Orberto got a
committee very very fluky, very fluky. So all right, all right,
we had a super busy weekend. What do you have
about for everybody on this Friday?
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, we were firing away College football Week zero
is in the books, that's already up and ready to go.
I'll have the package for tonight in the NFL. That's
all ready to go. Saturday one will be up later
on today. I have the UFC Shanghai package already up
with multiple bets in it. Of course, our season win
totals are out with division winners.
Speaker 3: Super Bowl winners, a lot of futures.
Speaker 2: I said, I'm tying up twenty twenty five percent of
my capital in these NFL and college football futures this
year because of the groups that I'm working with. I
had viral high conviction on those. And uh yeah, perfect
time to jump on board, head on overwageertalk dot com
and running hot right now as well.
Speaker 5: So good time to be on the team.
Speaker 1: All right, Giohnny, thank you so much for getting us
ready for the weekend. Hit that like button guys and
Giohnny have a great weekend. Let's bring on, Let's bring
on Teddy covers. We're gonna talk NFL preseason. We're gonna
talk uh MLB, Teddy. I have a quick little impromptu subject.
I don't know what my opinion is. I don't even
know what my thoughts are. You're you're you're great at this,
but uh breaking news, Malik Beasley no longer target of
gambling probe. We all jump, we all jump to that conclusion.
There were videos around here's Malik, you know, throwing it
on this play or trying to cover the spread on
this this play, and I'm just reading he is absolutely
uncharged and not the target of this investigation. That says,
an allegation with no charge, indictment, or conviction should never
have had the catastrophic consequence this has caused. Maleak. What's
your thoughts on this. I mean, we kind of did
the guilty until proven innocent thing.
Speaker 6: It cost him a forty two million dollar contract for Detroit,
and Detroit has moved on and signed someone instead.
Speaker 5: Of Malik Beasley.
Speaker 6: Personally, I would say it's probably lost you worthy for
Beasley and his and his compatriots. But a gambling allegation
is clearly enough to derail somebody's career. You know, We've
just seen it happen, and we've seen other guys where
the allegations have proved as some substance behind it, namely
John day Porter as a prime example for the NBA.
But there is a presumption of innocence in the legal system,
even if there isn't in the public eye, and Beasley
deserves an apology and may deserve to file a lawsuit.
Speaker 1: I will be the first to say, Malik, if you're watching,
I'm sorry. I did the same thing everyone else did.
I jumped to conclusion, Oh, if he's being investigated, that
means they got him. You know, I feel bad.
Speaker 6: It's definitely worth noting what investigators considered to be abnormal
betting patterns, because I don't know what they're considering.
Speaker 5: You don't know what they're considering. That's not public info.
Speaker 6: Certainly when you see the micro markets, and obviously it's
the micro markets that have the biggest issues. You know,
you see that in baseball obviously now with the Cleveland
Guardians losing a pair of relief pictures due to the
micro markets. And as a guy who doesn't bet those
markets regularly, I wouldn't be sorry to see him gone.
You know, if it's all I mean, it's it's all right.
You know, what's the next pitch going to be? How
do you handicap that? You know, where's your edge on at?
You know, when you talk about a guy coming off
the bench over under two and a half points, you know,
and I mean the the Jonte Porter numbers. I don't
mind if all that goes away, all right, I don't
care if it goes away. I like sides totals halfs
You know that that's my bread and butter. So to
see the stuff that can more easily be manipulated get
regulated higher or perhaps disappear. You know, the only reason
the sportsbooks like it because they're making a fortune off it.
Speaker 5: I better.
Speaker 6: I think it's very hard to beat. So the answer
is take it all with a grain of salt. Like
like with all information of the modern era, we got
to take it all with a grain of salt.
Speaker 1: I love the micro market, steady, you know me, give me,
give me those obscure bench players. I love them. I
love them. Well, let's let's step into the NFL preseason.
We're coming up on week three. We're gonna break down
this this Vikings and Titans. But I wanted to ask
you any trends or anything that you've used from the
first couple of weeks that we're now gonna use for
week three, or is this just a completely separate week
on its.
Speaker 5: Own, completely separate week on its own. Week three?
Speaker 6: Is you know, I could care less what happened week one,
Week two? You know, week three, you're going to find
a lot of backups versus backups. Certainly in the second half,
when many of these pointss are decided, you're gonna find
all the guys fighting for roster spots, you know, the
you know, the the you know, players forty eight through seventy.
Speaker 5: You know, I don't really pepper the board.
Speaker 6: Week three, I'm happy if I find one or two
good bets that were gonna haven't found one yet, haven't
played one yet, but I expect we will before all
that done. That being said, didn't play anything tonight, you know,
not not for the clients. Have slight opinions, but nothing
that I got involved with the wager yet. But week three,
expect randomness. You know, there's the stakes are the highest
for all the guys trying to make the rosters. It
takes huge and they tend to get ample playing time.
Certainly by the second quarter. Anyone you've heard of, anyone
who starts, anyone who's the second figure, not likely to
be involved in any of these games.
Speaker 1: All right, Well, let's go to the Vikings. Let's go
to the Titans. Titans big favorites, well, big favorites minas
four and a half. But I'm assuming we're expecting a
lot of Cam Warden this one. This is why when
we get the minus four and a half over under
sitting at thirty seven, how do you break this game down?
Speaker 6: Sure, we talked about Minnesota and Tennessee, and the markets
have made a big This line has moved.
Speaker 5: A touchdown off the open all Titans money.
Speaker 6: Minnesota actually opened the favorite in this ball game, and
it's been Tennessee money, Tennessee money, Tennessee money.
Speaker 5: Ever since, which you can understand why the markets aren't.
Speaker 6: Excited about Minnesota. I mean, the Viking starters are sitting
in this ball game. The backups are largely sity. We're
going to see a lot of Max Brosmer at QB,
although Brosma has had a good preseason so far, Sam
Howell has not. Sam Howell actually who's going to be
starting at QB I believe tonight? Then Ripped Ripping, then
Max brother how Is had a rough preseason. Ripping's playing
for a roster spot. So there's urgency for Minnesota at
the QB position. And boy, this team stunk it up
last week. I mean really both sides of the football,
and in a sense they had ten penalties, they had
the minus two and turnovers they went zero for four
in the red zone.
Speaker 5: They allowed twelve of twenty on third down.
Speaker 6: The Florist defense didn't give up any big plays, but
they couldn't get off the field on third down.
Speaker 5: And of course last week that was without all their starters.
Speaker 6: Most of their backups were not in the ball game,
and they ended up losing the game by more than
one score. So Minnesota from a yeah, we're interested in
winning the game standpoint isn't really there. But from do
we expect some of the stuff that was messy last
week to be cleaned up this week?
Speaker 5: Probably?
Speaker 6: You know, before we talk about Tennessee, simple favor you
guys like this type analysis, hit that like button, thank you,
comment below, tell us what you think, and don't be
shy about following wager. As Andy Lang just mentioned, more
than two hundred and twelve thousand of you are now
following us on YouTube. That's a huge number and it
goes up every day, So an instant alerts every time
these videos go live, like comment and subscribe.
Speaker 5: Thank you.
Speaker 6: We talk about Tennessee, and obviously you expect to see
a fair bit of cam Ward tonight. And by a
fair bit, I mean like maybe a couple of series really.
I mean, he's played five series in the first two
games of the preseasonings. Brian Callahan planned to only have
him played two series last week, but the offense didn't move,
so he went back out through a third series, and
the office didn't really move that well.
Speaker 5: Either. In addition, all right, Tennessee, it looks.
Speaker 6: Like most of the starting offensive line isn't gonna go
this evening, so it's gonna be the starting qv behind
backups at center. Young Kevin Steeler's gonna not gonna play,
Lord Kutchie Berry is not gonna play. The receivers, Calvin
Ridley isn't gonna play. We're gonna see lots of playing
time for the rookie receivers. You know, ayanam Or and
DK if you get extended playing time here, get Brandon
Allen a QB, and they just dine. Trevor Simeon last
week Simon laid one field, goes drive aland was pretty good.
Not sure how much those two what they're playing ratio
is for those two this evening, but Bryan Forest defense
a tough not to crack, even with all those issues last.
Speaker 5: Week where they score twenty against them. Vikings two and
out to the under.
Speaker 6: This preseason one on one straight up Tennessee also won
and one straight up went out.
Speaker 5: To the over.
Speaker 6: But we're talking about again a full touchdown line group here.
Speaker 5: I'm not willing to ask Tennessee to win games by
March at this price.
Speaker 6: Right now, with Tennessee laying four and a half even
five's out there, I can only take Minnesota plus and
I can only look at the under. But I think
Minnesota plus is probably the stronger of the two to
be the Vikings.
Speaker 5: And let's ask Tennessee not to blow them out.
Speaker 1: Come on, Tennessee, do your part here. Don't blow them out.
Take it easy on them in the second half. Teddy,
let's move to MLB talk Red Sox in the Yankees.
We got Freed for Yankees, who has not been great recently.
I'm pretty surprised that this minus one eighty five number
Socks get the win last night. That kind of poured
it on a little bit late. I don't know. I
can't say I agree with the Yankees being a minus
one eighty five when Freed has been so vulnerable. What's
your take on this game?
Speaker 6: I'm with you one hundred percent, Andy, and Vulnerable's not.
We need to start talking about it lightly, all right,
I mean realistically, I mean it's been It's not just
a week or a month. I mean they're sixteen and
seventeen since the weekend before the All Star break, and
go back further than that, they're a five hundred level team.
And that's after going seven to one and eight games
before facing Boston and who they play, Minnesota stink. Saint
Louis is very playing good ball. Tampa's not playing good ball.
That little winning streak maybe something of a fraud. And
last night what we see obviously a ton of mistakes
from the Yankees. You know, they made four errors, they
couldn't get a timely hit. It was a tight game
into the ninth and then Roman Anthony get a bomb.
Speaker 5: Seen the replay.
Speaker 6: You know, when you're watching the games on TV with
the soundown, like it was with this game last night.
Speaker 5: I had the sound off.
Speaker 6: And for the fly balls, you track how fast the
outfielders are moving. You know, if the outfielders are running,
all right, but this bass got a chance, not so much.
Speaker 5: If the outfielders are kind of walking, then you're like,
all right, that's a fly ball.
Speaker 6: Well, Anthony hit the bomb, and he just stood there
at home plate and admired it. I'm like Siya flew
out of the ballpark, And of course it turned the
tight game into a comfortable Boston victory in the ninth
Red Sox now six and one against Yankees this season.
Speaker 5: They lost the first matchup.
Speaker 6: Now six straight w's and they're beating the Yankees all
kinds of ways. Two of the six wins Boston be
held the two runs are less. Two of the six
wins the Yankees got to seven, but Boston scored double
digits in those games. So is this a fraud, a
mirage and the Stretsox dominance against the Yankees?
Speaker 5: I don't think so. I think Boston's better than the
Yankees right now.
Speaker 6: The standings say so too, for what it's worth. And Boston,
unlike the Yankees, winning baseball since the All Star break.
Bello showing signs of fatigue that is a concern. He's
not notched more than five strikeouts only once in his
last nine starts, to give a couple of dingers against
Miami last night. He was pulled last time out, I
should say pulled after only seventy eight pitches.
Speaker 5: He did throw more than one hundred pitches in each.
Speaker 6: Of his previous two starts, and he did throw seven
innings of three hit, shut out ball and his only
start against the Yankees so far this season. That said,
last year, three starts against the Yankees, none of them
are quality, couldn't eat innings and he was hit hard
in two of the three. We talked about Max Freed
and his struggles since July first, zero quality starts. He's
given up four to three four six, four, four, four
seven in his last eight starts. That's thirty six runs
allowed in forty four innings of work. That's not as
level Aaron Boone after he got lit up by Saint Louis.
Speaker 5: Saint Louis can't hit and they beat up Free last
time out.
Speaker 3: Quote.
Speaker 6: I do feel like it's something hopefully he can click,
because he's probably been searching for a little bit out
there and fighting.
Speaker 5: Himself a little bit. That's not a bet on quote.
Speaker 6: So last night's game got to nine runs that cashed
over bets by the hook total was eight and a half,
just quite everywhere. Despite the fact that the two teams
won five of twenty six with runners in the squard position.
I left twenty four runners on bait, no cashovers, so
we have two starters I don't really trust necessarily tonight.
Both teams use up their bullpens last night. Neither team
hit particularly well in clutched spots last night. With the
twenty four runners left on base, we have perfect baseball
weather temps, the seventies, light wind blowing out.
Speaker 5: This is a client play for me.
Speaker 6: We're on me over eight and a half Yankees Red
Sox Friday Night baseball.
Speaker 1: Yeah, the four errors last night, it was just man man,
just hamorrhaging runs. Oh, that's got to be that's gotta
be frustrating for the starting pitcher to watch your guys
just waffle the waffle ground balls and such. So I'm
with you, Teddy. I like the runs in that one.
I love that breakdown. Here, what do you have it
for everybody this weekend? We got college football? You mentioned
nothing yet preseason. That's a really good point. We don't
have to play NFL preseason just because there's games. So
what do you have up for everyone this weekend?
Speaker 5: Yeah?
Speaker 6: NFL presets is all about information. So as soon as
I get off air here, we're gonna start digging into
Mars game. See what we find surely the latest info.
We didn't put it out anything earlier in the week
this week because week four, you week three, you really
got to know what the coaches are seeing. We're involved
in MLB for tonight. I have not posted anything for
weeks here. There's only four games and weeks zero college
football and the shorts the right sides all got hit,
not getting the best of the numbers. So we'll see
if a line moves enough in the next twenty four
hours to get involved. But I do expect to be
posting NFL Week one. I expect to be posting college
football Week one baseball every day. Part two of the
NFL Season Winter Report comes out on Wednesday next Wednesday
noon Pacific times. You haven't gotten on board with Part one,
not too late to do.
Speaker 2: So.
Speaker 6: The lines are all still available or close to what
at least close to what I gave them out as so. NFL,
College Football, MLB and lots of research, lots of computer
time this weekend. Friend, that's what we do at this
time of the year. So that's what's going on my page.
WT Dot buzz backslash TC. I mean, do have one
great offer if you guys want to partner up, because
this is a partner up offer. This is through every
play every day through December thirty.
Speaker 5: First, twenty twenty five. We get all the.
Speaker 6: Baseball, all the NBA, all the college hoops, all the
college football, all the NFL, all the five percents, no
bait and switch, no nonsense, everything included, every play every day,
seven seven seven seven or seventy seven bucks. I think
it's a ridiculous deal. It's like half price. Get on board,
wt dot, buzz backslash TC. Let's partner up and make
some money over the last four plus months of this
twenty five years.
Speaker 1: Teddy Covers. Have a great weekend, can't wait too? Uh
made it? That's almost an NFL season. We get to
talk with Teddy every Friday.
Speaker 5: We got NFL games tonight. It's NFL, you know, but.
Speaker 1: It's regular season slaps a little different. You know that.
You know that when the games really really counts. So
thank you, Teddy. Have a great weekend. Let's say hi
to the fan for us. So all right, Teddy Covers,
everybody great great breakdowns here. We're gonna bring on Marco
in just second. Justin asked, why are we watching the
games without the sound. Uh, this is a very powerful
thing to do if you're haitiicapping. When I do my
UFC research, I the sound is always off. I don't
want the announcers to to mess with what my eyes
are telling me. A lot of times the announcers can
really really cloud your judgment. So you want an honest,
like representation of what the game is really like, turn
the sound off. It's completely it's completely different. Let's bring
on Marco. I would ask Marco this, Marco, do you
do you ever watch games with the with the sound off?
It's it's a completely different experience. I kind of like it.
Speaker 7: Sometimes it is, and especially if you're watching a game
from a local broadcast, you're gonna get tainted where you know,
the hometown, rose colored glasses. Everything's always the best that way,
so you don't want to hear all of that. So, yes,
that is a good way to handicap being non biased,
no back noise influencers.
Speaker 1: Well, also the announcers a lot of times they're not
very good at betting, So it happens in UFC all
the time where the announcers are like, well, this person's
clearly winning the fight, and I'm like, are you sure
about that, So Marco, we're gonna talk MLB, but first
I want to get to NFL because NFL is king.
You've got the Ravens and the Commanders. This game is tomorrow,
and I believe we've got enough information to make a
pretty good educated guess about this one. How do you
break down Ravens and Commanders. We've got Ravens minus two
and a half over under thirty five. What's your take
on this game?
Speaker 3: Well, we've got a unique situation here.
Speaker 5: Again.
Speaker 7: You know, we've changed everything in the last couple of
years because of going from four preseason games to three
preseason games. How different coaches attack their different games. Well,
game to last week for Washington was they're so called
dress rehearsal. The starter's got to play. Daniels got in
there and he actually, you know, ran for a touchdown
and you know, dove for it.
Speaker 3: They like seeing that. But that game was on Monday.
Speaker 7: Why are you making a team play a preseason game
on Monday and then turn around and play on a
short week on Saturday. So the fact that that's why
Week two was their dress rehearsal, so to speak, because
you're not gonna see anybody of any meaning for Washington
in this game, there's gonna be players, you know, there's
still meaning, and that's one thing sometimes people forget. And
when we get to these second half of these games,
in the final week, there are guys that are literally
fighting for their lives, you know, their careers, their livelihood,
trying to make a roster. And it's not only trying
to make the roster, maybe for the main roster, but
there's still money to be made if you make the
press squad and you know, and then get your chance,
maybe because of an injury, to get moved over. So
what I'm going to look at in this particular ballgame
is look at the first half, and I think first half,
Baltimore has a tremendous edge. We know the coach Harbaugh
has a winning tradition in preseason. Now, the last two
years he tapered off, but prior to that he had
won twenty four shape preseason games. He's back to his
old ways this year. He won his first two preseason games.
I think because of the schedule and what they did
last week and who you're going to see in this game.
In the beginning of the game, I think it's a
tremendous edge to Baltimore. And I just think the coaching
and the routines and the general concepts that he has
the winning attitude he has at Baltimore. I'm looking for
Baltimore first half. Now, this game is tomorrow, and because preseason,
they don't post the first half lines right away, so
that'll either be out later to you know, today or tonight.
Anything minus on a money line of one fifty or
less on Baltimore I think presents value with the Ravens
in the first half, the quarterback rotation, it favors of
Baltimore in this game as well.
Speaker 3: So we're just.
Speaker 7: Gonna go Baltimore and just you know, don't overthink it
with Washington.
Speaker 3: They don't care about this game, plain and simple.
Speaker 1: Love it does it get much easier than a breakdown
team doesn't care, team does care. Take team that cares.
Pretty easy. Let's go to well, let's go to let's
go to an MLB game where both teams are gonna care.
Dodgers and Padres. Here, all of a sudden, this Padres
team is only one game back in the division. To me,
it's just interesting how bad the Dodgers have been on
the road compared to at home. You've got Snell going
for Dodgers, You've got Darvish going for Padres. I'm interested
in your your breakdown of this game. And then after
that we got to a horse question for you after
this sem so uh break down the Dodgers and Padres
for us.
Speaker 7: Well, these two just played last weekend. And what I
really found funny about last weekend is is Dodgers, you know,
the sky was falling. They just got swept by the
Angels for the second time this season, the series before.
So all of the Padre backers, you know, they're salivating,
they're gonna they got their shot. They're you know, they
finally had the lead in the West and the Dodgers
are in total free for all.
Speaker 3: And then what happens what always happens, The Dodgers beat
the Padres.
Speaker 7: Not only did they win the series, they swept the
series from them. So now this is turns into basically,
you know, a must win series for the Padres. They
got them at home. You know they're in striking distance.
If they lose this series, you know, Dodgers open up
some ground again. Do the Padres get it done this weekend?
Speaker 3: Maybe? But I'm gonna look at tonight, and I'm gonna
look at the first five innings.
Speaker 7: We've got a pitching matchup tonight with Snell and Darks.
Both guys are coming off gems in their last game.
But I trust Snell more Snell since he returned from injury,
he's had two starts. First start, he went five innings,
three runs. Just like I always love making comparisons to
starting pitchers, like race horses, they come in and out
of form, and generally speaking, the horse is second start
back off of the layoff is going to be the
better start. Third start's going to be even better. Well,
what did Snell do? He pitched five scoreless innings in
his second start back. The other key number that tells
me Snell is, you know, dealing it right now. Eighteen strikeouts,
only three walks in those ten innings of work. So
he's just gonna get stronger. Darvish has been in and
out all year. You know, he's had some injury problems
as well. I don't trust the Dodger bullpen, that's obvious,
So why you know, risk the Dodger bullpen and maybe
the padres rally late, I think Snell out pitches garbish,
and I'm gonna go ahead and take the Dodgers, you know,
first five innings in this one, I'll lay the half
a run, you know, if you want to bring the
price down on it, I like it either way, but
I'm gonna go ahead officially take the Dodgers first five.
Speaker 3: Go ahead and lay the half a run first five.
Speaker 1: All right, let's get to question. Good friend Fortuneight has
wondering about the horse Niquist wanting to know if you're
a big a fan as he is, do you know
that horse?
Speaker 7: I do know that horse in uh, you know, I
don't have the you know, so many horses that I
look at, so I don't have the reason and where
he's racing that next, But yes, he is a good horse,
good horse to have, you know, to follow. But uh again,
you got to handicap each at the distance, at the competition,
at the post, you know, post position draw. Is there
other speed in the race. Is it a race that's
going to set up for closers? All of those factors,
just like any sporting event, you know, you've got to
break down all of the factors that involved in there.
And then again the odds, you know, are you getting
value on horses, the horse over bet in that particular race.
Is there value in playing it? Which way you want
to go? Do you want to go with a win
bet or do you want to go with the exotics?
Or use a horse as a key and a pick
three or a pick four a lot of I know
that's not the answer he wanted. But yes, I like
the horse, Yes, but don't just fall in love with
the horse and bet them every time.
Speaker 1: I love it. I love it, Marco, nice run last
nine days looks like seventeen and seven run And yeah,
you know we're running a really good special right now
by September, and you get the rest of August for free.
It's instant assets, access to every play you could use
it on. You know, so some one like Marco who's
running really hot. So Marco, tell us what you have
up for this weekend? Tell us about this nice little run.
Has it been in particular?
Speaker 2: Sport?
Speaker 1: A little bit of everything? What's been your success?
Speaker 7: It's been a little bit of everything right now. You know, Well,
we've been hot on WNBA all summer long. Baseball had
a very good first half. We had a little bit
of a you know, a month there that wasn't you know,
my best and now we're back clicking again, so looking
to finish out the baseball season strong. Had a big
winner last night, you know, easy winner with the Astros,
a four percent play. We're coming back with another four
percent tonight. I've got my National League Game of the week.
You can pick that play up by itself for twenty
five dollars, But why would you want to do that?
You can pick up the rest.
Speaker 3: Of August for free if you sign up for September.
Speaker 5: Now.
Speaker 7: In September, you're gonna get all the football. You're gonna
get all our WNBA got college and pro football.
Speaker 3: It's the best time of the year. We love football.
Speaker 7: Last year we were number two at wager Talk in
football college and pro combined money one and we're ready
to do it again this year. So by September now,
you know you're gonna want to be getting those football plays.
And guys, it includes all of the five percent plays.
My five percent place thirty one and thirteen the last
forty four. Every time we have a five percent play,
you know, those sell by themselves for thirty five dollars.
You're picking up all of September for two ninety nine,
and you're gonna pick up the rest of August three.
That's a great deal going right now at wager Talk.
And I just want to throw something out. Let people know.
On Monday at wager Talk, we've got a special deal
going for the site wide. It's gonna be our eleventh anniversary.
Hard to believe, already eleven years wager Talk. We celebrate
our birthday next Monday, and all picks will be eleven
dollars that one day only on Monday.
Speaker 5: Check it out.
Speaker 3: Make sure you come back Monday for that special all.
Speaker 1: Right, Marco, Justin in the chat has jokes. Do you
guys know where horses go when they get hurt? The hospital?
Oh my god.
Speaker 7: Okay, that's a good bad dad joke.
Speaker 1: Yeah, well done to Justin and his niece. Well done.
That got me, It got me, Marco TAngelo. Everyone have
a great weekend Marco. And uh yeah, just great stuff
from Marco. You get to get a little horse racing information,
get the MLB, get NFL. So take advantage of these
specials that were running. And yeah, uh, he's absolutely right.
You could run that special onto any handicapper. You buy September,
you get the rest of August it's less than seven
dollars a day, locking in asap. That way you're getting
plays for this weekend. Guys. My best bet today we're
coming off a great day yesterday swept golf two and
o one to oh in WNBA. Best bet that is
on the board, in my opinion, is an MLB team total.
I have that up. We also have a cricket play
and we've got a UFC best bet. But this MLB
team total I absolutely love. We're hitting over sixty percent
on our totals in twenty twenty five. We do not
fire off a lot of them officially for clients, but
when we do, these things are hitting it over sixty percent.
So MLB team tootal is UPWT Dot Buzz slash al
or get yourself a three day pass. That way you
get our cricket, you get our golf, you get our soccer,
you get everything. We' running really really hot this week,
so looking for a big, big weekend. All right, let's
do all around the world. Then we're gonna bring in
Andrew Babekiitts to talk UFC Shanghai. Yeah, destratagist. Of course,
we got team totals, so I went too and oh
on the team totals in NFL yesterday. Tread lightly on
these because trying to go four and oh is pretty tough.
So if you followed the ones yesterday, maybe just take
those profits at run. But let's go to the Bears
over nineteen and a half. Caleb Williams is gonna to
get a couple possessions. Beajo was really good last week.
This is a guy that's a good preseason quarterback on
hundred and ninety six yards and the touchdown. Chiefs have
given up twenty of the Cardinals thirty three to the Seahawks.
I like the Bears to have a nice offensive night.
The Jets over sixteen and a half. Apparently I hate
money if I'm betting on the Jets over. But this
Eagles defense gave up twenty two to twenty seven against
the Browns and the Bengals. Martinez I mentioned this earlier.
He was better than the numbers suggests for the Jets.
A lot of great throws, drop passes. There's gonna be
an emphasis on keeping it clean on offense, and the
Jets were just flat out and barrassed last week against
the Giants, so I look for their backups to play
with a little bit of hunger fighting for some roster
spots against an Eagles team that has not shown any
type of motivation in the preseason. And then we'll go
to mob Cardinals in the Rays. I love this one.
This one is on the Wager Talk Free Picks page,
going with the raised money line. Howser great start last
time out this season two point six to seven ERA,
fourteen starts Mikolas for the car is struggling six. He's
six and nine the season four point nine to nine
ERA on the road six point four to seven ERA.
But here's the big thing. Three starts for Miglas against
the Race. He's oh and three with a six point
oh e er. You're getting a good price here on
the Rays on the money line. So those are your
team totals and MLB free play for all around the world.
All right, let's bring in Andrew Babikiitis. We'll talk UFC Shanghai.
Find out where all the sharp money is going on
this card that starts at the the dead of night. Here, Andrew,
uh So you had this weird? I mean, yes, this
is the showcase for Zang they're giving. He knocks everybody
out in the first round and they're giving him like
the chinniest guy in the division in front of his hometown,
Like this could not be a more obvious setup fight.
But I'm wondering, are are you taking money on Johnny Walker?
Because this would be the ultimate contrarian play. Do you
have contrarian betters coming in?
Speaker 5: Yeah?
Speaker 8: I mean and actually our sharpest UFC better did come
in and played Johnny Walker yesterday at plus two ninety.
So we're sitting a little bit lower on the market
on Minyang, just trying to write some money back. We
know that with the parlay liability, he's still sitting over
three dollars, So it's not like we're trying to give
the price away because we know there's gonna be obviously
a ton of parlay liability. But yeah, it's it's kind
of promising to know that there's some sharp action on
a couple of the dogs this week, and yeah, the
main event.
Speaker 1: I always give you a violence parlay some fights not
to go the distance. So I mean, we got to
start with that one minus three thousand I'm looking at,
So we'll have a little fun with that one. We'll
also have some fun with Yiza on West and Wilson
Western Wilson can absolutely submit Eas on the ground. If not,
he's a sitting duck and he will get knocked into
next week. I don't see anyway that that fight goes
to distance. And then here's an interesting one. Give me
this Michelle Pereira Kyle Dawcas fight. Michelle Pereira looked horrible
last time out, and his takedown defense is bad. If
Daucas wants to grapple, I think it could. If Michelle
Prera is asleep, Daucas can get this on the ground
and he can submit him. But if Daucas is back
to his old ways where he's plodding forward and walking
into punches, Pereyer is gonna knock him out. I think
this minus one seventy is an interesting one to parlay.
What's your take on this? Pereira and Daccas fight.
Speaker 8: Yeah, I mean, I'm glad they're giving Dawcas a second
chance in the UFC. I mean, if Pereira comes out sleepwalking,
like you said, Doucas might have a pulse, and you know,
on this kind of card, we're gonna need a couple
of the dogs.
Speaker 9: So I'm hoping Dawcas can make this one competitive.
Speaker 8: Maybe, you know, get a couple of takedown start the
gas and now wear on the gas tank and maybe.
Speaker 9: Get a later finish.
Speaker 8: But yeah, that's one of the dogs will certainly would
be useful for a winning day.
Speaker 9: Here.
Speaker 1: What are some other dogs we mentioned Johnny Walker, you
mentioned Kyle Daccas. What are some other dogs you're you're needing?
Speaker 9: We got hit on.
Speaker 8: Nurgose, Yeah, yeah, yeah, that was an early sharp play.
Speaker 9: I mean, that's one of the closer to pick them
fights on the card.
Speaker 8: But we got hit at plus one thirty there, so
you know we've done our best to you know, make
that a winning side for us. A favorite that we
got hit on early was Sergey Pavlovich. We got hit
on him at minus two hundred and minus two twenty
by one of our more respected betters. So you can
see that's kind of been one way action the way
that line has moved this week. So I know that's
a favorite, but that's still a sharp play.
Speaker 1: All right. So the strategist keeps asking us all week
question for Babekitos, anything sharp on the Big Three All
Star Game and finals? Do you even have lines on that? Andrew?
Speaker 9: I don't let me.
Speaker 8: Let me see if we got any Big Three action.
I don't think we're booking the Big Three.
Speaker 1: I would be stunned if you did. I will just
say that you guys have a lot, but even you
guys have a limit.
Speaker 8: You we are, but we're just doing are you really
we're booking the championship game?
Speaker 9: Yeah.
Speaker 8: Jeff Sherman's kind of a sicko and he likes to
get these these markets up, but looking at the action,
it's very limited.
Speaker 1: You don't say, all right, we'll tell everyone about us
some of the contests that you guys are running and
coming up, because this UFC Shanghai fight ets pretty decent,
car but we know football is king, so tell her
what about your contest?
Speaker 8: Absolutely? So, yeah, we have the college contest going on.
The signups have been really really strong for that so far.
It's the first year we're running a college football contest.
So yeah, if you're interested in changing it up and
getting involved in some college football, yeah, this is the
only book offering that right now, so come here before
it starts. It's gonna just keep picking up. The sign
ups per day has been going up and up with
this uf UFC Shanghai card. I hope you guys are
betting it because I'll be back working overnight tonight to
keep the book open and take action on these fights.
Speaker 9: So if you're trying to bet in Vegas, at least
do and do it with us for do me a favor.
Speaker 8: But as always, thanks for having me on love talking
fights with you. I know we missed out last week.
It was a great card, but I'm always thankful for
you guys.
Speaker 1: Yeah, Andrew, thank you. Get the coffee ready man, grab
a nap before tonight. And you Babiketas uh doing the
lord's work working overnight for UFC Shanghai, and you Babiketas,
thanks so much for joining us. So all right, that's
gonna do it for us. Great week of shows, great
week of segments, great week of picks. Let's close it
out strong here with some winners. My bet today is
an MLB team total. Go grab that thing. We're having
a fantastic week. We swept the card for clients yesterday
three and zero. Looking at a really really strong weekend.
And we do have one UFC best bet that is up.
That's up at wt dot Buzz slash al Also, don't
forget if you want a little bit more longer term,
you can lock in all of September and get the
rest of August absolutely free. That's on the individual handicappers page.
You can use it for myself or the handicapper of
your choice. It's a no brainer, coming down to about
seven or eight dollars a day. You lock it in
today and you're gonna start getting plays immediately for this
busy weekend. So thank you so much to the chat,
and thank you so much for the comment section. Make
sure you're leaving a comment below. Sending out some positive
vibes to the world really helps us out, helps youugor
them out, So hit the like button, subscribe to the channel.
Great week of shows and I can't wait to get
started again on Monday. Good luck on all your bets,
have a great weekend and take care