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Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Dude podcast. I'm your host,

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Corey Evans. This week's show is titled Sunk Costs in

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Dynasty Fantasy Football. I have ten players who are at

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that point of becoming a sunk cost or that threshold

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in value has now passed, And by that I mean

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you're left holding the bag. There is a very slim

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chance you will be able to get an ROI return

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in investment that is anywhere near what their peak value was,

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so you've either waited.

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Speaker 2: Too long or more likely to not.

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Speaker 1: Their dynasty market has rapidly changed, and unfortunately you and

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now I left the sunk cost. But there is still

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some name recognition that could salvage value and it's better

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to cash out for twenty five cents to.

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Speaker 2: Fifty dollar ben pennies and a dollar.

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Speaker 1: So these are in a cent ten sell candidates or

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drop if needed some more than others. And I came

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about this exercise by going through my Dynasty leagues prior

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to the offseason kicking off post Super Bowl and seeing

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if I had any easy cuts or players a pivot

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off of that I think are in this sunk cost label.

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Before I get to that, we had a review left

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by Joe Luken's thirty two on Apple five stars title

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great show it read. Loved the show, would love a

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longer show with other great analysts, but overall a very informative,

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smart and entertaining show. If you got someone funny on

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here with you, this could be a top independent podcast

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in this industry. Overall, keep it up. Thanks for that, Joe.

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I appreciate the feedback and the five star review. When

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I actually started this podcast, gosh nine, ten years ago,

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to this point, I did have guests on. But it's

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so difficult and you'll know this if you're in the

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podcast industry to coordinate with a guest every single week

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that I had to just put it in my own

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hands and make it my own schedule each and every

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week to deliver a consistent product to you.

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Speaker 2: But I do.

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Speaker 1: Understand who you're coming from there and the funny aspect.

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I try to bring some humor to this show, but

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it's difficult when it's more of a straightforward to the

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point conquer your analysis. I know what you mean though, Joe,

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and thanks again for taking the time to write that

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quick review. Anyone else listening if you want to shout

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out on a future episode do the same thing. Five

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stars and written on Apple Podcasts equals a direct shout

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out that I will read aloud whenever you leave that review.

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One last housekeeping note before we get things started is

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my roster calls on Google Meet thirty bucks thirty minutes,

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fifty dollars one hour. A great time of the offseason

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to now reach out and coordinate those with me to

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get a good pulse and feel for your team entering

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the off season process. We talk about trade ideas, roster cuts, strategy.

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Reach out if interested to Dinasty do pod on all

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social media platforms, or even send me an email to

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dynastydupodgmail dot com. We'll get that locked in and set

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up a sap. Some costs in Dynasty Fantasy Football these

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are no specific order.

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Speaker 2: Add all up.

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Speaker 1: First is Kyle Pitts, who will be twenty five in October.

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In twenty twenty four, he went forty seven for six

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zho two and four touchdowns twelve point eight yards per

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catch across seventy four targets.

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Speaker 2: Underwhelming. That's become the overriding.

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Speaker 1: Theme with Kyle Pitts, whether it's a lack of usage

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in consistency. His annual PPR Titan finished. This is becoming

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a pro are six thirty three, thirteen and fifteen six

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being the outlier.

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Speaker 2: Otherwise he's been a tight end two or worse.

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Speaker 1: Pitts did go sixty eight ten to twenty six and

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one scores a rookie in twenty twenty one, yet has

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not surpassed fifty three catches, six hundred and sixty seven

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yards receiving, or ninety targets in three seasons since that

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standout first years of pro Sure, there's the speculation or

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the rumor mill of Pitts being a trade candidate for

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Atlanta perhaps defects offensive line help or defensive side of

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the football with a loaded offensive group with Bjon Robinson obviously,

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Drake London, Darnold Mooney. Time will tell at this point,

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though Kyle Pitts is a sunk cost compared to what

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it cost you to draft him in a rookie's yard

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of draft years ago.

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Speaker 2: Up next is Jayden Reid.

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Speaker 1: He's twenty five in April twenty twenty four, fifty five

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eight fifty seven and six, scores fifteen point six yards

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per catch as a receiver, seventy five targets, and chipped

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in twenty rushes for one hundred and sixty three yards

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on the ground and a touchdown. He was the PPR

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wide receiver twenty nine overall, which is good not great

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compared to all the puff and buzz and the hype

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from his rookie to software campaign, and quite honestly, Jayden

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Reid was fairly close to his twenty twenty three rookie output,

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which as a reminder, was sixty four seven ninety three

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to eight ninety four targets and eleven rushes one to

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nineteen in the ground two scores as the PPR wide

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receiver twenty five, again good not great. There is room

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for improvement, however, it has to come in the form

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of counting stats, receptions, yardage, touchdowns. He had eight as

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a receiver and two as a rusher in year one

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that's ten, and then as a sophomore six and one

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eagling seven. He is extremely dependent upon finding the end zone.

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If there's any regression negatively scoring touchdowns, Jayden Reed is

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going to barely be in the Fox conversation. That being said,

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in my opinion, it seems as if Reed has leveled

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out as a wide receiver two with that sort of

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ceiling and as more of a gadget player than true

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difference maker as a pass catcher. And if you don't

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want to take my word for it, look up what

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Josh Jacobs has said himself recent interviews over the past

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week or so that Green Bay needs a true alpha

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wide receiver one and that currently does not have one

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on it's roster. Bro that's reed Christian Watson, who could

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be out for half, if not most, of the next

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season with his knee injury, Romeo Dobbs with his concussion history,

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Downtavi Alwick's with the drop issues. The Packers have to

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get an improvement at that position because of all the

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expectations that were placed on Red and three twenty twenty four.

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He's more of a sunk cost than stable last set.

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The yards per catch of twelve point four and fifty

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point six over his first two years do showcase reads

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big playability. I'm just not sold that he's a perennial

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one hundred plus target option, and so far he has

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not been, with ninety four targets and seventy five targets

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in each of those first two seasons. Up next is

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Deontay Johnson. He turns twenty nine in July twenty twenty four,

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a thirty three to three, seventy five and three receiving

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efforts eleven point four yards per catch. It was a

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wild season, seven games to play with Carolina for Baltimore

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and one with Houston. Was at one point suspended by

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Baltimore for conduct detrimental to the team. Baltimore, funny enough,

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ended up claiming Johnson on waivers after Houston waived him,

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which was a brilliant move by the Ravens front office

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for a possible now competitory draft pick. More to come

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on that when all the dust settles. Johnson is unrestricted

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free agency candidates in twenty twenty five, hard envision on

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the NFL team committee a large contract due to his

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care concerns and unwillingness to participate even on the field

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during his time with Baltimore and even with Houston, both

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teams moved on accordingly, and outside of his PPR wide

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receiver eight season with Pittsburgh in twenty twenty one, Deontay

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has simply been overrated as the wide receiver forty one,

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twenty one, thirty, forty five, and eighty six. If you

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had I any shares remaining of Deonte, I'm would cash

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out for a twenty twenty five to third. A second

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is far affetched, borderline impossible. One have to settle for

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a fourth of this point unless he signs with a

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clear contender. Even at that point, though, what's the most

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you're going to get? Probably a second to a third.

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So why don't take that now and invest in a

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twenty twenty five rookie as opposed to being stuck with

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a sunk cost that is Deontay Johnson. Tank Dell is

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twenty six in October in twenty twenty four was a

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fifty one six sixty seven to three log thirteen point

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one yards perception eighty one targets. The injury history is

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the reason why I believe a sunk cost label fits

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Tank Dell.

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Speaker 2: He had a.

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Speaker 1: Concussion in twenty twenty three, a fibula fracture in twenty

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twenty three, a chest brain in twenty twenty four, and

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then the devastating knee injury in twenty twenty four that

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was an acl torn and dislocated kneecap, both of which

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required separate surgeries or will at some point for Tank.

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Based on early reports and rhetoric out of Houston. It

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sounds like It's going to be an uphill battle for

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Dell's return, if at all, in twenty twenty five, with

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the Texans unwilling to put a timeline on his return,

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which does cast some serious doubt into his role with

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Houston heading to twenty twenty six. Even assuming he's a

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field in twenty twenty five, he could be stashed in

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IR so he's not as detrimental to your roster as

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other sunk costs in this episode. Larger picture, however, it's

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clear that Tank Dell's stock is heading the wrong direction.

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Not talent based, it is, unfortunately his injury history and

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that smaller body stature.

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Speaker 2: Both of the.

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Speaker 1: Significant injuries a fibular fracture and the torn acl in

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this codneycap have been wrong place, wrong time. But again

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this reality in Tank Dell's unfortunately going to be having

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that injury prone label associate with his name, which inherently

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sinks his dynasty value and trademarket cost. How about Jermaine Burton.

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He turns twenty four in June. Last year as a rookie,

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four catches one hundred and seven yards twenty six point

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eight yards perception fourteen targets. He was a third rounder

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eightieth overall selection out.

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Speaker 2: Of Alabama to the Bengals.

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Speaker 1: Admittedly, the Bengals front office came clean and said it

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was a high risk, high reward pick based on his

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character issues that followed from Alabama to the pro level.

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That has truly become a murky situation. Based on most

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articles or piece of information I've read, it is far

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from a lock that Burden makes the team in twenty

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twenty five based on curfew gambling that led him being

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healthy and active, or scratch based on coach decisions in

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twenty twenty four, let alone him being linked to a

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domestic dispute. Bengals Director play personnel Duke Tobin about Burden

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one question of if he deserves a Roch spot or not.

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Quote He's done nothing and he's going to have to

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start doing something quickly.

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Speaker 2: End quote.

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Speaker 1: That is not good news for Jermaine Burton. I want

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out of the Burton business. I actually have no shares

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of him. If you do in Dynasty, take what I

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can get a third or fourth of this point, the

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odds that he is a relevant or be sustainable career

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arc with all these surrounding variables and issues off the

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field seem like a long shot. Think Martabos Bryant, as

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talented as he was, cannot keep it all together and

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unfortunately was a waste of talent for NFL purposes. Time

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for a quick break and I'll be right back with

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five more sunk costs in Dynasty Fantasy Football. If you

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want access to my my positional previews on Patreon for

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all rookies and eventually my predraft rankings, now's the time

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to sign up over on Patreon, link in episode show notes,

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or head to patreon dot com and find.

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Speaker 2: Me as a Dynasty dude.

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Speaker 1: Even in email or message to me on social media,

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I'll give you that direct link. This upcoming week is

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the quarterback preview, then the running back the following week

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wide receiver and tight end, and by that point the

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combine will be right here and I'll be able to

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publish my predraft rankings that are in episode, as well

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as tiered Google sheet form three tiers which grant you

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access to my content different levels of it. On Patreon,

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you have five hours, twelve dollars twenty five dollars per month.

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You can check that all out on my page and

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see what fits your budget. And interest the most be

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right back. Next player is Nick Chubb, who turns thirty

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in December. He tours ACL early in twenty twenty three

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twenty twenty four. He did come back in eight games,

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played a one, two, three, thirty two and three rushing log,

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three point three yards per tote, five catches one yards

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and a touchdown eleven targets. Then broke his foot in

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Week fifteen. So with back to back serious season ending injuries,

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free agent this offseason, Chubb has expressed his desire and

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interest to return to Cleveland. Can't say that Clevelands Runt

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Office agrees. Time will tell. Chubb was at one point

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a top rusher in the NFL and fantasy world alike,

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with PPR finishes of eight, eleven, thirteen, and six over

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the span of twenty nineteen to twenty twenty two. Due

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to the aforementioned injuries, that stretch has ended, along with

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what I believe his long term relevance.

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Speaker 2: And fans of football.

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Speaker 1: Even if he gets a veteran contract one to two years,

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Chubb's days of being a lead, volume driven back are

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likely over looking at a committee member who is losing

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a bit of his luster, not to his own faults

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of injuries, but that's reality of the running back position.

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Try to get out if you can. In Dynasty, Tyler

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Lockett is thirty three and September twenty twenty four was

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a forty nine six hundred and two touchdown season twelve

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point two yards per catch.

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Speaker 2: On seventy four targets.

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Speaker 1: His first season actually since twenty eighteen without at least

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one hundred target so from twenty nineteen to twenty twenty

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three he had at least one hundred targets to his name.

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Clearly took a back seat this year to JSN and

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DK Metcalf, Lockett had a dominant run, picking up where

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things left off from Doug Baldwin with Seattle for twenty

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eighteen to twenty twenty two, with wide out finishes in

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Fantasy of seventeen, thirteen, eight, fifteen, and thirteen even so,

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twenty twenty three and twenty twenty four are proof in

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the Pudding that Lockett is being phased out, if not

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already offensively as a PPR wide out thirty two and

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in twenty twenty four wide receivers C six, respectively, it

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is time to pass the torch to JSN and DK.

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If not others that we aren't even aware of yet

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via Fregancy or the upcoming twenty twenty five draft. Not

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saying that Lockett is washed or done, but his time

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in Seattle usage wise seems to have come close to

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an end. If not, there already more of a veteran

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present in a locker room than true on field contributor.

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Seattle does have an out or potential out this offseason

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for thirteen point eight nine to five million in debt

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cap space, and of course the trade or wave possible

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ability to then reunite with Pete Carroll in Las Vegas

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with the Raiders makes a lot of sense on paper,

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especially if someone like Russell Wilson ends up there and

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you get the whole band back together pre speculation. Even

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if that is the case and best outlook is locked,

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anything more than a wide receiver three at this stage

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of his career, probably not if you could take a

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third or a third and a fourth in separate classes

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twenty twenty five twenty six do so, Lockett is training

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in the wrong direction and ultimately it's probably worth no

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more than a fourth when it's all said and done.

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But there are people that will buy that name recognition

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Deebo Samuel. He turned twenty nine in January. He went

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fifty one, six seventy and three scores for thirteen point

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pint yards per catch and forty two totes for a

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butt thirty six and one Russian score for three point

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two yards per carry.

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Speaker 2: This past season forty nine ers GM.

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Speaker 1: John Lynch has cast aside all the trade request and

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or possibilities and made it clear that he wants Debo

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to return in twenty twenty five. Samuel is under contract

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to keep in mind with the team until twenty twenty six. Listen,

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Deebo's had one Elite seed in his EnnL ten year

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as the wide receiver three and Fantasy in twenty twenty one,

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and one above average campaign wide receiver fifteen and twenty

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twenty three. Otherwise, Samuel has performed as the wide receiver

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thirty two, ninety six, forty and forty four. That is

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more boombust that meets the eye, and Deebo is perhaps

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one of the most overrated assets in the fantasy game,

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not saying he's a bad talent, but the usage is

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sporadic and he benefits on the ground. Only one Christian

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mccafrey mi his time Deebo has plenty of durability woes

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he's dealt with on the forty nine Ers. This is

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a classic case of Debo being a popular player in

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the sports great to his actual cost in ADP or

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draft capital not aligning with the actual.

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Speaker 2: Stats he produces.

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Speaker 1: If you can get a late first, early mid second

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in twenty twenty five draft capital, I would take that

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and run for Deebo and not question it even if

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he has another bounce back campaign. Ricky Pier saw Brandon Ayyuk.

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There's a lot of pieces, even Juwan Jennis. Perhaps that

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could usurp or make Debo less relevant with the forty

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nine Ers franchise Step found he turned thirty.

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Speaker 2: Two in November.

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Speaker 1: In twenty twenty four, he went forty seven to four

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ninety six three scores ten point six yards per catch

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in eight games played. His usual possession skill set was

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on full display, but he did tear his ACL in

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Week eight with Houston. He's a UFA to test reagancyed

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his offseason. Another top tier season is not out of

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the realm up possibilities for Diggs, who registered a one

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hundred bus perceptions from twenty twenty to.

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Speaker 2: Twenty twenty three while with Buffalo.

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Speaker 1: He was even on pace for another one hundred catch

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campaign in twenty twenty four prior to the injury with

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the Texans.

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Speaker 2: The issue now is twofold free.

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Speaker 1: Agent market, is it positive, negative, or neutral? And then

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the projected target share coming off of a tourney ACL

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Entering his age thirty two season, I highly doubt that

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Diggs will command a wide receiver one workload. He could

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be a two or a high end three for an

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NFL team. It's not a great free agent class or

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rookie wide receiver class, so Diggs has that working in

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his favor. I don't foresee though, a blockbuster package being

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sent his way to sign, even with a contender. Therefore,

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Digs more on the wide receiver two to three worst

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case flex borderline, whereas we're accustomed to that one hundred

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catch threat. So, like Deebo, plenty of name recognition baked

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into Digs and his profile and fantasy cash out for

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a late first, early mid second if you can, he

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might have more leverage with Diggs than Deebo, depending on

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your league and interest level. Finally, last Banal least clyde

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evergeu Lair turns twenty six. In April, he only had

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thirteen totes for forty six yards three and a half

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yards per rush, three catches twenty four yards, five targets,

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and two games played with the Saints this season no

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production with the Chiefs. He was a thirty second overall

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pick two k C in twenty twenty, and that rookie

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year was the PPR RB twenty two, which at the

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time seemed very bright in terms of the future. It's

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a shame because his rookie season was a joy to

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watch in what seemed like a near perfect fit for

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the Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes. It's a reminder of that

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running back shelf life is fragile and something to change

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year after year. Out side of a few players of

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the position. Since that rookie season, as the RB twenty

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two in fantasy, Cech has paced as RB forty five,

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forty six, fifty eight and one oh four. He is

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no longer a must roster in NACI formats and can

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be dropped if needed to clear space for twenty twenty

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five draft picks or better alternatives. Even now on the

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waiver wire, Cech is unfortunately a sunk cost and he's

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a roster Clogger would not be shocked if he latched

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on with another team, becomes a committee member or a

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backup in twenty twenty five, but the days of his

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rookie potential are long gone.

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Speaker 2: Thanks for listening.

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Speaker 1: Hope you enjoyed this sunk Costs episode. For players the

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ten that I brought to the table. I'm sure there's

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a lot more, if any really hit home with you

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as candidates to include for this topic than when I

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post this episode on social media. Comment so I'm aware

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and can see how I might have missed them, or

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even reach out to men social media. It's always fun

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to engage with you, my audience, that communication back and forth.

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Thanks again, until next time, this is the Dynasty checking out.

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Speaker 2: We'll have a great rest of the week. You soon

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see Yao

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Speaker 1: Boo boo