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Speaker 1: UFC Fight Night, gamra Oute, Olivera, Andy and Jim from

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Winning in the Shadows is gonna break down all of

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the fights four pm Eastern start. We are in Brazil.

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I got to tell you, very disappointed in the Brazil crowds.

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They do not bring the excitement. It's very disappointing. I

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would think it'd be a madhouse. But then UFC goes

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to Iowa and the place is packed when the when

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the when the fights start, just uh really bummed. I

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expected more from from Brazil, but.

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Speaker 2: We get Canada next weekend. That's one of the best

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crowds as far as that's a great crowd fight.

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Speaker 1: They're coming around, They're coming around. So all right, Jim,

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let's get into it. Simon Olivera and Juan Leserrada. We

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have made a lot of money fading mister Simon Olivera.

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I guess the question is are we going to do

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it again with lauan Li Serrada? What do you think?

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Speaker 2: Uh? Simon oliver is one of the worst fighters in

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the UFC roster. He's he's right there with all of

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our perennial faith. The thing about him is that when

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he's losing, I know we have a split against Gravely,

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but Gravely's not a finisher or a decision against Greg Graveley,

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He's not a finisher. No, so Daniel Marcos, he's not

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a finisher destroyer, right, true, You're right destroyed David Martinez.

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We we already know about David Martinez. He's losing badly.

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Is the thing I'll like in it to my zero

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to five Jets is that not only are they losing,

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they're losing in horrible fashion.

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Speaker 1: So I think the only way we can look is

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lecerta note it down, folks the one minute and thirty

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four second mark. Jim has already talked about how bad

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the Jets are.

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Speaker 2: There's uf a couple of them through this.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, you know oli Aras, What are those things?

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Speaker 2: Where?

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Speaker 1: What does he do good?

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Speaker 2: He's a good submission artist, but he doesn't have any

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of the physical tools to back it up. His cardio

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is not good, his gin's not good. His grappling is good,

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but is his wrestling And he can't get it there

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in a dominant position. You're in deep shit. And these

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losses to Black Cheer and Cody Stamen, they're not bad

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losses by any use. What is the black cheer due

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to Alivera.

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Speaker 1: That's a great way to put it black. Sheear nukes

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him as probably a minus eight hundred favorite.

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Speaker 2: Does Cody Staman finish Olivera? I think there's a shot

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pillow if is Cody Steaemen, because he's gonna run him

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into the ground. The guy's got no cardio. Round two,

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round three, Okay. I think you just have to go

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with Leserta and hold your nose and hope that this

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guy does what he's supposed to do and olive Air

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agets his walking papers.

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Speaker 1: The two year layoff is a little concerning. We talk

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about it. Is there an injury from Laserta? Is it

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that maybe just he's gotten a lot better? Nothing is

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off the table, but I'll have to do a little

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bit of research in here. But yeah, this is Olivera's

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worst opponent in UFC, so proceed with caution. But this

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just falls into you know what, we like, betting the

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bad and ride the streaks, and oliver has been pretty

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pretty bad in a good fade. So Julia Palastri and

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Carolina cold kaevit's cold kaevit's almost forty years old. What

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do you think, Jim, she gotta I got one more

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in me. Did you think she's got another one in her?

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Speaker 2: Well? Rule number one with this fight is we need

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to find out about retirement. So I would hold off

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on betting this fight all around because we gotta know

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when they get to the age. You have to do

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your research. You have to do your social media stalking.

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You have to know if they're talking about hanging it

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up or are actually hanging it up. It is number

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one handicap retiring fighter bet against the retiring fighter, and

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they have to announce it beforehand. There has to be

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some kind of talk about it beforehand. That's the other,

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you know important thing. Other than that, I'll use one

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of our catchphrases. I don't care who wins, give me

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fight doesn't. Fight goes the distance, fight go, fight goes

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that's it. Okay, not put my money on either girl

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unless I find out the R word. That's it. I

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had nothing else to say. I I don't really see

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any danger coming from either side. Pilastre, he's one of

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the worst fighters on the roster. Kk's forty take. Fight

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goes the distance.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. Polastree had a pretty exciting moment in the third

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round when Lupy got tired and they were going blow

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to blow and Lupy still got the win. But I mean,

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when you're one, UFC is a split decision. When to

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Corey McKenna, I think it's dogger pass on this one.

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I mean, okay, so Felice Harrig, Saboy Warrez, Demopolis Bolbita

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not very impressive fighters, but talk about big time step

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ups and competition Liscindo and Nisi Gomes that those are

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real top notch fighters that are younger, that are more

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powerful than Carolina, And I just don't think Pilaster is

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all that. I don't think she should be this big

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of a favorite. Do dogger on this one. But if

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you're looking for underdogs women's fight, if you think it

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goes the distance, you got a couple Like if there's

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a couple of close rounds and you're holding a Pilastere ticket,

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you're gonna be terrified if it goes the distance. So

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Carole didn't have power, but you know, if she increases

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the volume a little bit, she can pepper up Pilastery.

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I actually do think Pilastery is gonna have a little

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bit more power her than her, But skill set wise,

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I think it's close enough, agree goes to distance and

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it's Carolina or nothing. One of the most incredible streaks

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in all of sports is Walter Walker and the heel hooks.

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I know that's what everyone is gonna talk about with

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Walter Walker. So we'll get down. Let's just start with Usman.

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Let'slet's shake it up. Every video that every video that

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is out there in the space. See when Nick come

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to that fight, they're gonna bring out the heel hooks.

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So let's talk about Ousman and how bad we think

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he is.

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Speaker 2: The Thomas Peterson fight was aggravating. I thought that Peterson

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won that fight against Now I'm not going by a

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whole lot of great technique and action and moments in

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that fight. That was kind of one of those fights

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where the judges probably all looked at each other and

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we're like, we really have to pick a winner.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, we have to. You couldn't have felt amazing as

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a judge picking the winner of that fight, like you

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could not have felt big time conviction.

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Speaker 2: No, I don't think either guy felt like they won.

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It was just really just a downer Handy. We've been

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on record a million times that this guy Handy is

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just an absolute fraud, and he proves it time and

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time again. The next time Handy fights, if anybody talks

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about his wrestling, I'm gonna just turn the video off.

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Stop talking about the wrestling. When has he wrestled? When

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has he wrestled? The guy's had, however, many fights at

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the UFC, We always talk about his Olympic wrestling. He

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never wrestles. He stands there and gets punched in the face,

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and he's got a brick for a head. Uzman did

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have to dig deep and come back in that fight.

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More power to him, But he's going up against a

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guy who can grad and is gonna hang on his

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skinny legs. If you look at Usman, he's built just

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like his brother. From the waist up. They are just monsters.

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But both of them have these really skinny legs, and

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I don't see the balance from Usman, this Usman at all.

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It is not gonna take much for Walter Walker to

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get him to fall over. He might even fall over

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by himself. Walker might not have to do anything. We've

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seen him do it. And once this hits the mat,

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it is a rap. It is over. It is a

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total rap. He is not gonna let him back up

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the top pressure is gonna be too much. I don't

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know if it's gonna be a heel hook again. You

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said it last time, and I freaking agree with you.

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He is for sure gonna roll for the heel hook

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if he gets the opportunity.

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Speaker 1: It's gonna try it. It's coming, He's gonna He's certainly

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gonna try it.

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Speaker 2: I think Walt Walter Walker Wilson at some point gets

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the submissioning.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, if you're gonna play Walker, I think you can

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take him by finish. I don't think you need to

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mess with mess around with the money line. The worry

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would be is if Usman somehow does keep it on

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the feet and it becomes a very boring striking match.

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But I've said again, I've been very impressed with Walter Walker.

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Like his debut against uh Lucas Dreski, My god, was

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that a horrible look. We were like, where'd they dig

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this guy up at? He's been good? I mean fight, No,

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it really isn't. He's just had a new focus and

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he's had a new plan of attack, and he just

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physically has looked better. Go look look what he looked

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like in that Resky fight with what he looks like.

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Now it's really bad. So now Junior Taf up, it's

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gonna be a it's we're gonna be basically taking a

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pay cut when Junior Tafa is no longer in the UFC,

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because that's just easy. But he looking Dante Dante A Mays.

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But Kennedy is a real fighter. That was a that

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was a real win. And Kennedy's got some grappling uh skills.

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So I think Walter gets him on the ground. And

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you're right about usman, there was something off about his

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gait in the last like he's it's awkward. The way

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he like moves, it's like you could really get him

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off balance pretty easy. So I think it's Walter Walker.

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I think it's Walker by finish. I wouldn't take I mean,

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I wouldn't take submission because we always say if you're

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gonna take it, if you're gonna take a finishing property,

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you just take inside the distance, don't mess around with it.

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I will tell you this. I have this picture of

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my head of Walker at some point getting knocked out

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because he goes for the heel hook and doesn't get it.

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One tho like dives at the heel doesn't get it,

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and Nelson the guy just wallops him off the crowd

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big elbow or hammer piss, So he's got It's got

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to be well timed and now people are ready for it.

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Like if Kennedy wasn't ready for it, Now everyone's gonna

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be ready for it. Can they stop? But who knows?

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But it'll be Walker, uh, Lucas Roca. I think it's Roca.

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I don't know if it's Rocha a Roca. We'll go

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with against Roca against Stuart Nickel. What's your take on

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this fight.

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Speaker 2: I'm very perplexed about this fight. I'm very perplexed about

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this fight. It is in Brazil, yep, so of course

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we're going to have a Brazilian. He is a slight

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favorite minus one beating Clayton Carpenter. Are we going to

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clarify that as losing the Clayton Carpenter. I don't know

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if I call that a ball drop, but in that matchup,

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I don't think Clayton Carpenter's stock is very high. I

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feel like the UFC wanted him to win that.

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Speaker 1: I like Clayton Carpenter. They either after that fight.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, So that's kind of my point is that they

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have that and they give him this buzz sut. So

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I don't think the UFC is high on Clayton Carpenter,

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so losing. I have questions now Stuart Nickel, only eight

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and one from Australia, what does he do great? You know,

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we love Jesus agular, but he's limited and he gets

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the submission on him. So we have two guys that

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I have kind of questions about. I don't know, do

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you have a strong opinion in this fight. I can

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see the time going to It could be a decision,

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it could be an under it could be I'm really

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struggling to find something heavy to lean on. I just

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I'm kind of out on both guys.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if I'll bet it, but I really

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like Stuart Nicol in this mout. Okay, here's why it

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goes down as a loss to Hayesi's aguilar, and it

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goes down as guillotine. Go back and watch that first round.

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Nichol was dominating. Nicol was on top of him and

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was controlling him and one itdy bity mistake he got

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shaken off and Haysi's Aguilar grabbed an insane guillotine and

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if there's one thing that hus Aguilar can do. It's

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grabbing insane guillotine pound for pound, probably the best, maybe

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one of the best. Like it's pretty good. I mean,

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Jim Miller always has been great at the four loco

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or you do the jump Gilly. I don't worry when

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he does it, and I don't worry when Hazu's Aguilar

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does it. I worry when everyone else does it because

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you know it's not gonna work. So yeah, I went

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back and watch it. Nichol is strong, He's he's powerful.

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I've seen him knock guys out and he's faced good

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competition before coming up there. I like his skill set

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a lot. I think the seventeen and two record is

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throwing people off the scent a little bit here. Some

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of these promotions that he was fighting in the amazonis regional.

240
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Come on, give me break, he's good. Can you imagine

241
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what would happened to him if he would have faced

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Josh Man April twenty twenty four. I think Nicol gets

243
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him on the ground, and Nichol's better on the ground.

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I think Nicol can get the finish. It's a close

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fight on the feet, and in the end, I think

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Nicol gets it to the ground. I think is I

247
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think you're going to see him with a little bit

248
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more no no holes in his ground game. He made

249
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one mistake in Hazu's Aguilar made him pay for it,

250
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and last one I don't think we see it again.

251
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So yeah, I really like Stuart Nicol in this one,

252
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especially at this price. Oh boy, our girl. Uh, Arena

253
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alex Eva facing the debut of Beatrice miss Keita Arena.

254
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Alexeva has really good grappling in a good ground game.

255
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If you watched her last fight, you would never know it.

256
00:13:17,039 --> 00:13:21,360
I have not seen. I've never seen. We've seen wrestlers,

257
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Grapplers decide they want to try and strike. Okay, I've

258
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never seen anyone swing as wild and tired themselves out

259
00:13:27,519 --> 00:13:30,639
and land no punches like alex Eva did. That was

260
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an embarrassment. Uh, to watch like it was. I don't

261
00:13:35,759 --> 00:13:38,200
I don't know what she was doing. We bet it,

262
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we bet on her and going this this Sogoula has

263
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got a terrible growd game. Alex Seva should get her

264
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on the ground and wrap her up, and all of

265
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a sudden she's just swinging for the fences. Also, she's

266
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not gonna look like this fight.

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Speaker 2: What happened.

268
00:13:53,519 --> 00:13:56,559
Speaker 1: It's our favorite thing about alex Eve's when whenever we

269
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scrolled there's this picture here that she shows up. I

270
00:13:58,960 --> 00:14:03,080
was like, wait a minute, is that the same person? Yeah,

271
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Beatrice Mosquita a lot of buzz around her coming off

272
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of LFA. She's a grappler. You're gonna see a shitload

273
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of of of grapplers. She's fought some really good ones.

274
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There's Jenna Bishop in there, Juliana Miller she beat, so

275
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she's she's no stranger to combat sports, despite you know,

276
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just you know, having five professional fights. I don't know

277
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what to make of this because alex Eva was so

278
00:14:31,679 --> 00:14:34,679
bad last time, but I think Mosquita is way too

279
00:14:34,720 --> 00:14:37,759
overpriced here. Yeah, if she gets it on the ground,

280
00:14:37,879 --> 00:14:40,720
she can be good, but her striking is not very good.

281
00:14:40,799 --> 00:14:44,279
Her takedowns are okay. She's gonna be way smaller and

282
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shorter than alex Eva. Alex Eva does have the reach,

283
00:14:48,879 --> 00:14:51,039
and in order for Mosquito to beat alex Eva, she's

284
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going to have to get inside. And if alex Eva's

285
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swinging as wild as she did last time, I think

286
00:14:55,720 --> 00:14:58,159
Mosquito is going to have real trouble now if she

287
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does get it on the ground, she's a world champ.

288
00:15:02,080 --> 00:15:05,879
Was world champ jiu jitsu, but I can't remember whatever

289
00:15:05,879 --> 00:15:06,200
it was.

290
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Speaker 2: But she's a very player.

291
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Speaker 1: I don't know, man, these some of these females that

292
00:15:14,799 --> 00:15:17,320
come in, it's like, oh, it's credential grapplers, and then

293
00:15:17,600 --> 00:15:21,039
all of a sudden, it's different fighting in UFC. You're

294
00:15:21,039 --> 00:15:23,840
looking for dogs. I think it's Alex ever nothing. And yes,

295
00:15:23,919 --> 00:15:25,879
I'm willing to have my heart broken to her one

296
00:15:25,879 --> 00:15:29,080
more time. I'm just not willing to risk this much

297
00:15:29,159 --> 00:15:31,679
on a fighter that I just don't think her striking

298
00:15:31,919 --> 00:15:33,440
is all that good. And by the way, one of

299
00:15:33,480 --> 00:15:36,440
her wins was because the opponent illegally upkicked her and

300
00:15:36,480 --> 00:15:38,759
it wasn't even that hard of an upkick. Now, I

301
00:15:38,759 --> 00:15:42,039
don't know, Maybe that's me not being I've never been

302
00:15:42,120 --> 00:15:45,360
illegally upkicked. Maybe it's way more damaging, but I don't know.

303
00:15:45,440 --> 00:15:48,559
There's little weak sauce on on that fight. What's your take.

304
00:15:49,279 --> 00:15:51,600
Speaker 2: You can be upkicked, but it's no harder than getting

305
00:15:51,679 --> 00:15:53,320
kicked in the head when you're on your feet.

306
00:15:53,600 --> 00:15:55,600
Speaker 1: Okay, okay, fair.

307
00:15:55,480 --> 00:16:00,000
Speaker 2: It's it sucks, but yeah, getting blasted in the face,

308
00:16:00,120 --> 00:16:02,399
sort of head kicked while you're standing kind of sucks

309
00:16:02,440 --> 00:16:07,639
just as much. I just think this is a live bet.

310
00:16:07,919 --> 00:16:10,559
That's all I can do. I need to know what

311
00:16:10,799 --> 00:16:13,399
the hell Alexeva's plan is going to be.

312
00:16:13,440 --> 00:16:13,480
Speaker 1: It.

313
00:16:15,080 --> 00:16:17,279
Speaker 2: I agree, there is no way in hell you're laying

314
00:16:17,320 --> 00:16:20,559
this juice on a debuting five and zero MMA fighter.

315
00:16:21,360 --> 00:16:25,879
This script has not gone very well this year, and

316
00:16:25,919 --> 00:16:29,559
when you follow trends, you really should follow trends. Uh,

317
00:16:29,600 --> 00:16:31,960
that's been one that's been really good. Is these credentialed

318
00:16:32,080 --> 00:16:35,720
especially these women. Who is the one Perreira? Right?

319
00:16:36,600 --> 00:16:37,879
Speaker 1: A couple of calls, yeah.

320
00:16:38,039 --> 00:16:41,279
Speaker 2: Right, yeah, Younger, better, faster or stronger? All these kick

321
00:16:41,360 --> 00:16:43,279
But I've got all the I've been fighting, you know,

322
00:16:43,840 --> 00:16:48,440
since I was thirteen. It was awful, horrible, Okay, so

323
00:16:48,559 --> 00:16:52,200
much for that. I just think you have to wait

324
00:16:52,200 --> 00:16:53,919
and live bet and see what alex Eva can do

325
00:16:53,960 --> 00:16:58,120
if she gets stuff the takedowns. She is on live

326
00:16:58,559 --> 00:17:00,320
to win this fight, if she can get her own

327
00:17:00,440 --> 00:17:04,319
control up against the cage and wear this girl out. Uh,

328
00:17:04,400 --> 00:17:07,000
Beatrice has not seen a ton of resistance. And the

329
00:17:07,000 --> 00:17:09,839
one thing about alex Eva is she is a dog.

330
00:17:09,960 --> 00:17:13,119
She will take a beating and keep on coming. It's

331
00:17:13,119 --> 00:17:14,920
just a question if she can land her own offense

332
00:17:14,920 --> 00:17:17,119
in this fight. For me, So if I can watch

333
00:17:17,119 --> 00:17:19,279
the first two minutes and get a read on it,

334
00:17:19,359 --> 00:17:21,720
I will live bet Irena. That's where I'm gonna stand

335
00:17:21,720 --> 00:17:22,279
on that one.

336
00:17:22,680 --> 00:17:25,039
Speaker 1: If you take out the name Arena alex Eva, you

337
00:17:25,240 --> 00:17:28,839
just like you're you're You're having to lay minus five

338
00:17:29,000 --> 00:17:33,400
twenty on a debuting grappler who's only had five, you know,

339
00:17:33,599 --> 00:17:37,079
MMA fights. It's it's a ridiculous price, it really is.

340
00:17:37,240 --> 00:17:40,680
Speaker 2: So now that being said, being in Brazil, we know

341
00:17:40,720 --> 00:17:43,759
who they want to win, but we don't.

342
00:17:43,279 --> 00:17:47,119
Speaker 1: Always what we want doesn't always doesn't always happen that way.

343
00:17:47,359 --> 00:17:51,759
So all right for the next fight, moving on. Vtor Patrino,

344
00:17:52,000 --> 00:17:56,559
Big Vtor Patrino, uh marshmellow. Vtor Patrino against our boy

345
00:17:57,119 --> 00:18:00,240
Thomas Peterson. I'll let you go first. You want to

346
00:18:00,279 --> 00:18:01,559
tackle Patrino or Peterson.

347
00:18:01,960 --> 00:18:04,119
Speaker 2: I don't want to tackle either guy. I'm probably bounce

348
00:18:04,160 --> 00:18:09,119
off him like a pig pong ball, especially Petrino. It's

349
00:18:09,119 --> 00:18:12,279
so funny because Vitor Petrino, that last name just sounds small,

350
00:18:12,759 --> 00:18:14,799
but now we have like the inflow. Look at that. Oh,

351
00:18:14,839 --> 00:18:17,319
it's so tiny. It's Petrino, and now we have this

352
00:18:17,440 --> 00:18:18,400
giant blown up.

353
00:18:18,839 --> 00:18:22,519
Speaker 1: Yeah, he don't look anymore. He does not look like

354
00:18:22,559 --> 00:18:23,279
that anymore.

355
00:18:23,799 --> 00:18:27,240
Speaker 2: In his last fight, what we saw was that the

356
00:18:27,400 --> 00:18:31,960
man didn't do the heavyweight the right way. He's just big,

357
00:18:32,720 --> 00:18:37,480
like that was it. He's big. He fought the bottom

358
00:18:37,480 --> 00:18:40,759
of the dumpster in Austin Lane and got an absolute gift.

359
00:18:41,400 --> 00:18:43,680
I firmly believe that he showed up in that shape

360
00:18:43,720 --> 00:18:47,480
against anybody notable. He was about to get his ass kicked. Really,

361
00:18:47,920 --> 00:18:51,000
he did the old I'm just gonna lift weights and

362
00:18:51,039 --> 00:18:55,240
eat steaks, and he got through Austin Lane in round one.

363
00:18:55,799 --> 00:19:00,680
We have no idea what heavyweight Patrino is after round

364
00:19:00,759 --> 00:19:04,400
two in round three. UFC's doing him a real big

365
00:19:04,440 --> 00:19:06,720
favor in this fight because they're putting him against somebody

366
00:19:06,759 --> 00:19:10,799
who has no danger at all. Thomas Peterson's path to

367
00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:15,720
victory here is to survive round one and somehow end

368
00:19:15,799 --> 00:19:19,880
up on top in round two and somehow get another

369
00:19:20,000 --> 00:19:23,880
takedown in round three. On the feet, he is a

370
00:19:24,039 --> 00:19:27,640
dead man walking against Petrino. There's no power behind Thomas

371
00:19:27,680 --> 00:19:31,319
Peterson strikes. It's pitter patter. He doesn't have good defense,

372
00:19:31,359 --> 00:19:34,440
he doesn't have good head movement. His wrestling is very

373
00:19:34,480 --> 00:19:37,440
limited against someone who can physically out muscle him, and

374
00:19:37,519 --> 00:19:40,480
Petrino is going to be out able to outmuscle him.

375
00:19:40,519 --> 00:19:44,000
So as much as I want to see this Petrino

376
00:19:44,079 --> 00:19:47,559
tested against somebody legit, I think he rolls over Thomas

377
00:19:47,559 --> 00:19:51,079
Peterson in this spot. This is a handmade matchup for

378
00:19:51,160 --> 00:19:51,880
him at heavywey.

379
00:19:52,680 --> 00:19:56,640
Speaker 1: We've had such a great read on Thomas Peterson. This

380
00:19:56,759 --> 00:19:59,759
guy that they gave him on Contender series was laughable

381
00:20:00,920 --> 00:20:03,039
half his size. It was an easy one. It was

382
00:20:03,079 --> 00:20:05,440
an easy win, but he couldn't even get it done

383
00:20:05,440 --> 00:20:08,039
in round one. Remember it took him to round two.

384
00:20:08,039 --> 00:20:12,279
He couldn't get this guy out. Yeah worried, Yeah yeah.

385
00:20:12,319 --> 00:20:14,039
We had a huge bet on him in that fight.

386
00:20:14,119 --> 00:20:15,880
It came through, but it was like, wait a minute,

387
00:20:15,880 --> 00:20:17,880
You're not gonna finish him in round one. Come on, man.

388
00:20:18,559 --> 00:20:22,200
Losing to Jamal Puggs is a really bad look. Mohammed Ousman.

389
00:20:22,599 --> 00:20:23,000
Speaker 2: That win.

390
00:20:23,880 --> 00:20:25,880
Speaker 1: We touched on it with Mohammed Ouseman. It was not

391
00:20:25,960 --> 00:20:30,480
exactly the most confident win ever, And uh I got

392
00:20:30,480 --> 00:20:32,200
pushed back on this one. I was like, I got

393
00:20:32,200 --> 00:20:36,599
Gussie by finish. We gonna, yeah, really, he's gonna nuke

394
00:20:37,200 --> 00:20:40,519
Thomas Peterson and he did. They give it. I was like,

395
00:20:40,640 --> 00:20:42,799
I can't wait to bet against Thomas Peterson again. And

396
00:20:42,839 --> 00:20:45,279
they give him Dantel Mates. We're betting on Thomas Peterson.

397
00:20:45,680 --> 00:20:48,720
And he couldn't get Downtail Mayes out of there. He

398
00:20:48,799 --> 00:20:51,799
got Dantel Mays down, but everybody does. And I'm with

399
00:20:51,920 --> 00:20:55,200
you on this. Read Peterson. When he wrestles somebody that's

400
00:20:55,200 --> 00:20:58,920
his size or his skill level, it doesn't go well striking,

401
00:20:59,720 --> 00:21:04,119
it's not great like it's it doesn't really scare anybody.

402
00:21:04,200 --> 00:21:09,359
And you're right, Petrino, So here's the thing.

403
00:21:09,480 --> 00:21:10,519
Speaker 2: Patrino can wrestle.

404
00:21:11,279 --> 00:21:15,200
Speaker 1: Oh absolutely he could. He's a better wrestler than Peterson is.

405
00:21:15,720 --> 00:21:17,799
I actually kind of liked I kind of liked Patrino

406
00:21:18,160 --> 00:21:20,880
his last one. I what's so funny is how big

407
00:21:20,920 --> 00:21:22,279
he was, and he was like, yeah, this is like

408
00:21:22,319 --> 00:21:25,279
my natural weight class night. I'm not dead, you know,

409
00:21:25,319 --> 00:21:27,640
with the weight cuts and everything. But he just can't

410
00:21:27,640 --> 00:21:30,440
make the stupid mistake. Made a stupid mistake against Anthony Smith,

411
00:21:30,440 --> 00:21:33,599
which we which we predicted, and he was doing great

412
00:21:33,599 --> 00:21:37,720
against Dustin Jacoby and gets caught in the third He's

413
00:21:37,839 --> 00:21:40,279
he's he's like Ricardo Ramos. So I believe we're gonna

414
00:21:40,319 --> 00:21:43,119
get to where it's like they make These two are

415
00:21:43,160 --> 00:21:47,640
the kings of costing themselves fights with one stupid mistake.

416
00:21:48,440 --> 00:21:50,160
He didn't make it against Austin Lane and it was

417
00:21:50,200 --> 00:21:52,200
a dominant victory as long as he just doesn't make

418
00:21:52,200 --> 00:21:54,039
the big mistake. But even if he does, is Thomas

419
00:21:54,079 --> 00:21:57,799
Peterson the guy to get him out of there? I'm not.

420
00:21:57,920 --> 00:22:00,599
I'm I'm struggling to make a case for Peterson. We've

421
00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:02,119
had a great read on him when to bet on

422
00:22:02,200 --> 00:22:05,359
him and win, to bet bet on him and against him,

423
00:22:05,400 --> 00:22:07,759
and to this week is definitely a bet against.

424
00:22:07,960 --> 00:22:11,039
Speaker 2: Petrino's gonna have to death gas. He's gonna have to

425
00:22:11,079 --> 00:22:15,279
have the death gas of all death gas in round three. Yeah,

426
00:22:15,400 --> 00:22:16,480
peterson't have a shot.

427
00:22:17,079 --> 00:22:19,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, And even then, Peterson not known for his cardio

428
00:22:20,279 --> 00:22:22,960
like like he can go the distance, but it's not

429
00:22:23,039 --> 00:22:27,400
like he's a killer in the third round. So all right, Uh,

430
00:22:27,839 --> 00:22:30,200
we have our five percent best bet that is up.

431
00:22:30,519 --> 00:22:35,559
We hit our five percent last Saturday, and we're gonna

432
00:22:35,559 --> 00:22:37,759
have another five percent next week. Just telling you guys

433
00:22:37,799 --> 00:22:40,759
right now, I'm looking at We're hoping three in a row,

434
00:22:41,079 --> 00:22:43,519
so jump on board with us. It's the bet that

435
00:22:43,559 --> 00:22:46,440
we have already locked in. Mine has moved a little bit,

436
00:22:46,480 --> 00:22:49,279
but it's still absolutely playable. We knew what this bet

437
00:22:49,359 --> 00:22:51,079
was gonna be last week, we just had to wait

438
00:22:51,160 --> 00:22:54,000
until Sunday to put it up. As soon as these

439
00:22:54,039 --> 00:22:56,480
lines got up everywhere, we were able to jump on it.

440
00:22:56,519 --> 00:22:58,599
So it's a five percent best bet. Any other players

441
00:22:58,640 --> 00:23:00,599
that we have on this card will be on there,

442
00:23:00,599 --> 00:23:03,480
but we may just need this one. Jim, I don't

443
00:23:03,480 --> 00:23:05,000
know if we're gonna have a whole lot more on

444
00:23:05,039 --> 00:23:07,119
the on this card for official bets. Maybe just a

445
00:23:07,119 --> 00:23:07,920
one and done and we.

446
00:23:07,920 --> 00:23:11,000
Speaker 2: Might either one or done. There's a couple of things

447
00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:12,640
that we're gonna eye up that we're waiting for a

448
00:23:12,720 --> 00:23:15,440
weigh in, but wait on some props. One and oh

449
00:23:15,599 --> 00:23:17,960
is better than one and one. I'll take one and

450
00:23:18,039 --> 00:23:18,759
oh every.

451
00:23:18,519 --> 00:23:22,279
Speaker 1: Week, absolutely absolutely So that is over a wager Talk

452
00:23:22,440 --> 00:23:25,680
wt Dot Buzz slash al So looking forward to cash

453
00:23:25,759 --> 00:23:28,440
another five percent best bet. All right, let's move on

454
00:23:28,480 --> 00:23:33,440
to Phil Filo and our boy Clayton Carpenter. What say you? So?

455
00:23:33,559 --> 00:23:35,480
Speaker 2: This is an interesting fight for me. So, I'm a

456
00:23:35,480 --> 00:23:39,319
big Filo fan. I think his skill set is great.

457
00:23:40,400 --> 00:23:42,880
Yes he's reckless, Yes his fights are volatile, but I

458
00:23:42,960 --> 00:23:46,440
love his fights. I love when this guy fights. Even

459
00:23:46,480 --> 00:23:49,279
in this loss to Nascimento, it's like, oh, there's grappling,

460
00:23:49,319 --> 00:23:52,559
but you can't ask for two more high level grapplers

461
00:23:52,599 --> 00:23:56,839
in there if you really enjoy technical grappling and position

462
00:23:57,559 --> 00:24:02,000
advancement and resecuring position and staying safe and moving the

463
00:24:02,279 --> 00:24:07,160
art of grappling. That was a great showing by both guys.

464
00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:11,559
The thing with him is I see fragile. Am I

465
00:24:11,680 --> 00:24:14,240
missing something here? I've heard so many people talk about

466
00:24:14,279 --> 00:24:18,279
how Filo's fragile. He can be gotten out of their fragile.

467
00:24:18,279 --> 00:24:21,039
He's always hurt, He's always hurt, even in his winds

468
00:24:21,599 --> 00:24:23,680
and bubba. I'm like, I don't see it. Man. To me,

469
00:24:24,200 --> 00:24:26,400
anybody can be hurt to the body first of all,

470
00:24:26,680 --> 00:24:30,240
So when he I believe it was Beres one of

471
00:24:30,279 --> 00:24:32,799
those two wins. He got hurt to the body bad

472
00:24:33,480 --> 00:24:35,720
in the first round and found a way to gut

473
00:24:35,720 --> 00:24:36,720
it out and.

474
00:24:36,680 --> 00:24:40,799
Speaker 1: It got early and then muscled through it, which is yeah,

475
00:24:41,119 --> 00:24:42,559
which is by the way, part of the game.

476
00:24:43,119 --> 00:24:45,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'd like to know if somebody can fight through

477
00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:49,119
a body shot, which he did. So I'm a really

478
00:24:49,160 --> 00:24:51,680
big fan of Felo. I'm not a big fan of

479
00:24:51,720 --> 00:24:54,720
Clayton Carpenter, so you would think I'd be running to

480
00:24:54,759 --> 00:24:56,680
the window to bet this. But this is a hair

481
00:24:56,720 --> 00:24:59,440
on the back of my neck sticking up here. They

482
00:24:59,440 --> 00:25:03,319
threw car there like you said to the wolves against Uhumbckoff.

483
00:25:04,480 --> 00:25:07,680
This should be Philo all day. This should be Philo,

484
00:25:08,640 --> 00:25:11,200
and for some reason I have not bet it. I

485
00:25:11,240 --> 00:25:15,240
don't see Carpenter having the skills on the ground. If

486
00:25:15,240 --> 00:25:18,680
Philo gets into a dominant position to stay safe, defend,

487
00:25:19,039 --> 00:25:22,119
have his own offense, it's gonna be Filo's world. But

488
00:25:22,200 --> 00:25:25,240
on the feet, we have seen Philo caught, and Clayton

489
00:25:25,519 --> 00:25:28,759
Carpenter is a tough guy. I don't see the knockout

490
00:25:28,799 --> 00:25:31,160
coming on the feet. So if anybody's gonna get her

491
00:25:31,160 --> 00:25:33,079
on the feet, I think it's gonna be Philo. So

492
00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:35,079
make some sense out of me here, because I'm tired

493
00:25:35,119 --> 00:25:37,440
of knots. I should be betting Philo, but I'm not.

494
00:25:37,920 --> 00:25:39,200
Something's just telling me not to.

495
00:25:41,039 --> 00:25:43,599
Speaker 1: It's a it's a it's a fair point because I

496
00:25:43,720 --> 00:25:46,160
like both guys, I'm higher than Clayton Carpenter than you are.

497
00:25:46,240 --> 00:25:48,000
I like his skill set, but I'm also with you

498
00:25:48,079 --> 00:25:51,319
that I like Filo. I don't know, can I interest

499
00:25:51,359 --> 00:25:53,720
you in a plus one forty at under two and

500
00:25:53,759 --> 00:25:57,079
a half and these these guys are These guys are action.

501
00:25:57,400 --> 00:25:59,119
Speaker 2: They do Feelo deck record for it.

502
00:25:59,480 --> 00:26:02,480
Speaker 1: I mean, look, if you're going by stats, and I

503
00:26:02,720 --> 00:26:04,599
mean of all the fighters that was gonna go in

504
00:26:04,640 --> 00:26:06,839
the distance, of course it was Nassi Mentel. You know,

505
00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:12,400
you know Odie Early, Barras Early he almost beat Makaia.

506
00:26:12,759 --> 00:26:18,240
He remember, he basically broke Makaya's knee with that. He's

507
00:26:18,279 --> 00:26:21,200
just finished his galore and he's gonna have a dance partner.

508
00:26:22,119 --> 00:26:25,759
Clayton Carpenter will oblige in the firefight, so there wasn't

509
00:26:25,799 --> 00:26:27,839
much he could do against Olin beck Off because Olden

510
00:26:27,880 --> 00:26:30,160
Beckoff does what you know he does and gets a

511
00:26:30,200 --> 00:26:34,279
lot of boring fights. But you know that's Roka rear naked.

512
00:26:35,119 --> 00:26:37,160
This was a great fight on Contender Series. It went

513
00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:40,319
the distance. But Edgar shire As that was a fantastic fight.

514
00:26:41,279 --> 00:26:42,759
I like you not to go to the distance. I

515
00:26:42,759 --> 00:26:44,920
don't care. I don't care who wins just give me

516
00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:47,000
the fight not to go, because I think because it's

517
00:26:47,039 --> 00:26:49,839
under two and a half right now, is plus one forty.

518
00:26:50,079 --> 00:26:52,400
I would just wait and just get the entire fight

519
00:26:52,440 --> 00:26:53,920
to not go. In case there's a late finish where

520
00:26:53,920 --> 00:26:57,119
you're gonna get about plus plus one twenty plus one ten.

521
00:26:57,039 --> 00:27:00,160
Speaker 2: Chase plus money in it, then yeah, if that was

522
00:27:00,160 --> 00:27:03,160
was minus on twenty, it's like ah. But the fact

523
00:27:03,200 --> 00:27:05,480
that you're getting plus money on that much finish equity

524
00:27:05,960 --> 00:27:07,640
from both guys, I like it.

525
00:27:07,680 --> 00:27:12,000
Speaker 1: I like to look Lucas Almida and Michael as well,

526
00:27:14,359 --> 00:27:18,319
which guy are we less or which guy and we

527
00:27:18,400 --> 00:27:22,160
have lesser opinion on that'll like either one of these guys.

528
00:27:23,440 --> 00:27:25,160
I'll let you go first on this one because this

529
00:27:25,200 --> 00:27:28,880
is when I have no idea. Well, okay, okay, I'll

530
00:27:28,920 --> 00:27:31,559
simplify it. Ain't no way in hell I'm laying minus

531
00:27:31,599 --> 00:27:36,119
one fifty on Michael as well. There's no world in

532
00:27:36,160 --> 00:27:38,960
which this guy gets my minus one fifty money. We'll

533
00:27:39,000 --> 00:27:39,839
start with that as well.

534
00:27:39,920 --> 00:27:42,599
Speaker 2: There is no bet that is placed in this fight.

535
00:27:42,839 --> 00:27:45,880
If it's not plus money, I don't care what it

536
00:27:45,960 --> 00:27:50,640
is a total aside, this fight is gross. These are

537
00:27:50,680 --> 00:27:53,279
two guys that we are dying to fade, and they

538
00:27:53,319 --> 00:27:54,960
went and threw them against each other.

539
00:27:55,480 --> 00:27:55,880
Speaker 1: Not fair.

540
00:27:56,000 --> 00:27:58,640
Speaker 2: So to me, what do we do with those fights?

541
00:27:58,720 --> 00:28:02,559
We don't bet them. You don't fade doo doo doo doo.

542
00:28:03,240 --> 00:28:05,279
This is how you get hurt. I'll keep it PG.

543
00:28:05,960 --> 00:28:10,279
You don't fade duty with duty. Okay, So let's wait.

544
00:28:10,400 --> 00:28:13,559
Let's see. Maybe there's a chance to jump on it live.

545
00:28:14,359 --> 00:28:17,119
Maybe if you realize that both guys are horrible, you

546
00:28:17,240 --> 00:28:20,440
jump on fight goes to decision or something like that.

547
00:28:20,519 --> 00:28:23,640
I know some books offer those live, but I have

548
00:28:23,720 --> 00:28:26,240
to see something with my own eyes in this fight

549
00:28:26,759 --> 00:28:31,079
to really decide what we're gonna do here. Danny Silva

550
00:28:31,160 --> 00:28:34,279
is a good fighter. It's a split, but Danny Silva

551
00:28:34,359 --> 00:28:37,359
is not super impressive. I'm not banging down the door

552
00:28:37,440 --> 00:28:40,720
to drop my money on Timmy on Danny Silva, Timmy

553
00:28:40,799 --> 00:28:43,400
Kwamba super Limited Fighter.

554
00:28:43,839 --> 00:28:50,960
Speaker 1: What a disappointment series. And he no he is isox

555
00:28:51,079 --> 00:28:53,039
striker with no power. What a great combo?

556
00:28:54,519 --> 00:28:58,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, submitted by Pat Sabattini. When your one

557
00:28:58,279 --> 00:29:01,440
job was to not get taken to out by Pat Sepatini,

558
00:29:01,799 --> 00:29:03,240
Like we've said, you just stay on the feet with

559
00:29:03,240 --> 00:29:05,240
Pat Sabatini and you're gonna win the fight. You have

560
00:29:05,319 --> 00:29:07,279
one job, Andre Feely.

561
00:29:07,559 --> 00:29:11,960
Speaker 1: This is the concerning one. Yeah, that's the concerning one.

562
00:29:12,599 --> 00:29:17,319
Speaker 2: It's terrifying. This is an Andre Feely that is just

563
00:29:18,319 --> 00:29:19,119
not demand.

564
00:29:19,960 --> 00:29:21,640
Speaker 1: It doesn't knock people out.

565
00:29:22,559 --> 00:29:26,559
Speaker 2: He doesn't have that KO power, and boy did he

566
00:29:26,720 --> 00:29:29,200
that night. So it has to be the opponent we

567
00:29:29,279 --> 00:29:35,519
talk about as well. It doesn't do anything well, what

568
00:29:35,599 --> 00:29:41,480
does aswell do well? This Oakie fight. We're very firm

569
00:29:41,599 --> 00:29:44,480
in our stance that we're out on Oki. This oak

570
00:29:44,720 --> 00:29:48,039
experience here. Every time the man steps up, he's going

571
00:29:48,079 --> 00:29:53,559
to have a problem. Dori and Ramo split Fury bopd

572
00:29:53,599 --> 00:29:57,039
in Grod losing a Grod. We saw some good moments

573
00:29:57,079 --> 00:30:01,799
from Grod okay, and it was actually on Contender where

574
00:30:01,839 --> 00:30:05,480
we got this aggressive march forward Bogden Grod. Then he

575
00:30:05,480 --> 00:30:07,519
gets to the UFC and he goes back to the boring

576
00:30:07,640 --> 00:30:12,039
stay on the outside Bogdan Grod. So I just don't know.

577
00:30:12,279 --> 00:30:13,880
It's just got to be a lie bet. I don't

578
00:30:13,920 --> 00:30:16,400
think either of these fighters are good. I have to

579
00:30:16,400 --> 00:30:18,519
see something with my own eyes to get my money

580
00:30:18,519 --> 00:30:18,759
on it.

581
00:30:19,640 --> 00:30:23,759
Speaker 1: So UFC is not high on this guy. I mean,

582
00:30:23,960 --> 00:30:28,400
so Contender series loses a split, then he goes to Fury.

583
00:30:28,480 --> 00:30:30,680
Then they bring him in short notice. He's half the

584
00:30:30,720 --> 00:30:34,960
size of Oki and just kind of gets pummeled for

585
00:30:35,039 --> 00:30:38,079
three rounds. He survived, didn't get knocked out, but that's

586
00:30:38,200 --> 00:30:40,359
that's an okie issue, not of Michael as well as

587
00:30:40,400 --> 00:30:43,519
well as Okay in the third round and you're thinking, okay,

588
00:30:43,680 --> 00:30:46,640
they as well did him a favor, came in short notice,

589
00:30:46,720 --> 00:30:48,319
surely they're gonna give him a fight. Well, then he

590
00:30:48,440 --> 00:30:51,160
goes and takes another fight in Fury that gets canceled.

591
00:30:51,720 --> 00:30:54,920
What's like, yeah, so it's not like UFC is like,

592
00:30:55,160 --> 00:30:57,799
thank you so much, we love you. Here's another fight.

593
00:30:57,880 --> 00:31:00,839
Put it on your books. So as well. Striking is

594
00:31:00,920 --> 00:31:03,839
very limited, lucas Al made. It is just slow. It's

595
00:31:03,680 --> 00:31:06,400
a it's just I'm not impressed with either guy. It's

596
00:31:06,400 --> 00:31:09,319
a complete pass. We'd rammed on about these two guys.

597
00:31:09,599 --> 00:31:11,640
The biggest takeaway is just don't bet on this fight.

598
00:31:11,880 --> 00:31:14,119
There's there there's no way you can possibly say I

599
00:31:14,160 --> 00:31:16,519
have a strong feeling on anyone in this fight. And

600
00:31:16,559 --> 00:31:19,039
if you do think you have a strong feeling, I

601
00:31:19,079 --> 00:31:22,079
would say no, he don't, all right, moving on to

602
00:31:22,720 --> 00:31:28,279
Ricardo Ramos and Kan Awfully, my boy, Khan awfully? What

603
00:31:28,279 --> 00:31:32,759
do I say about con Awfley Jim? He is awfully bad.

604
00:31:34,559 --> 00:31:40,880
This guy's been a cash cow to bet against. He

605
00:31:41,000 --> 00:31:42,680
was he was, Yeah, he was on the Ultimate Fighter,

606
00:31:42,799 --> 00:31:48,039
gets nuked by Myron Santos and then really dominated by

607
00:31:48,240 --> 00:31:50,920
naim Off. I was kind of surprised that Naimof didn't

608
00:31:50,920 --> 00:31:54,319
get the finish, but awfully he seems to be undersized

609
00:31:54,319 --> 00:31:58,759
a little bit with striking doesn't scare anybody. Yeah, you

610
00:31:58,799 --> 00:32:00,920
had him beating Nathan Fletch, who I'm not that high on,

611
00:32:00,960 --> 00:32:03,640
and then he just gets a really quick random What's this?

612
00:32:03,839 --> 00:32:08,279
Has this guy done anything? Uh? Since? Then? Okay, he's

613
00:32:08,359 --> 00:32:13,119
one in one, but awfully striking doesn't strike me as good.

614
00:32:13,160 --> 00:32:15,440
His striking defense is not that good. I don't think

615
00:32:15,480 --> 00:32:20,279
he's powerful on the ground at this level. Riccardo Ramos.

616
00:32:20,440 --> 00:32:23,079
I think Riccardo Ramos sits in a tear all by

617
00:32:23,119 --> 00:32:25,720
himself of making the stupid mistake that that literally costs

618
00:32:25,759 --> 00:32:28,319
some fights. I mean this, Charles jordaane Erosa back to

619
00:32:28,359 --> 00:32:30,799
back losses by guillotine when he just stuck his neck

620
00:32:31,240 --> 00:32:37,000
where it didn't belong was unforgivable. I'm not high on

621
00:32:37,160 --> 00:32:40,400
Kouli Boo, so barely beating Kouli Boo is bad and

622
00:32:40,480 --> 00:32:44,119
Chepe Chepe just kind of bullied him. But I like Chepe.

623
00:32:44,240 --> 00:32:46,119
I think Jepe is a good fighter. I didn't think

624
00:32:46,160 --> 00:32:48,039
there was a shame in that loss. He gave a

625
00:32:48,079 --> 00:32:52,319
pretty decent account of himself. If Almost doesn't make the

626
00:32:52,359 --> 00:32:56,079
big mistake, awfully, is gonna be in big trouble. I

627
00:32:56,079 --> 00:32:58,519
think Ramos beats the shit out of him. If Almost

628
00:32:58,519 --> 00:33:01,359
does make the mistake, is awfully guy that can take advantage.

629
00:33:01,680 --> 00:33:06,880
It's just Ramos's mistakes are so bad, like so bad,

630
00:33:07,559 --> 00:33:10,240
like oh I'm dominating a guy, here's my neck, like

631
00:33:10,240 --> 00:33:14,279
like just terrible mistakes. The pick is Ramos. I'm just

632
00:33:14,359 --> 00:33:16,440
not sure I can be that confident in because the

633
00:33:16,599 --> 00:33:19,160
the man's fight IQ and the mistakes in the heat

634
00:33:19,160 --> 00:33:22,240
of the moment are just too bad. But Awfully, this

635
00:33:22,359 --> 00:33:24,119
may fall in the category when you got a bad

636
00:33:24,119 --> 00:33:26,599
fighter that you just think is not UFC caliber, you

637
00:33:26,680 --> 00:33:31,480
just keep going against him. And it is in Brazil.

638
00:33:31,680 --> 00:33:34,599
It is in Brazil. You got Ricardo Ramos there. Who

639
00:33:34,640 --> 00:33:37,400
can we get Ricardo Ramos that he should beat. Call

640
00:33:37,480 --> 00:33:40,680
con Awfley, what do you think you nailed it with.

641
00:33:40,720 --> 00:33:44,240
Speaker 2: That last statement? This is the matchmaker's going we have

642
00:33:44,440 --> 00:33:47,480
to all right, we gotta get a brazil Let's call Ramos.

643
00:33:47,960 --> 00:33:53,920
Who can he be? Sign up con off There you go,

644
00:33:54,680 --> 00:33:59,839
that's the guy. Look at some point, Awfully he's gonna

645
00:34:00,240 --> 00:34:07,359
Ramos and we're all gonna go this happens, right, or

646
00:34:07,400 --> 00:34:09,639
he's gonna take a leg kick in like round one

647
00:34:09,679 --> 00:34:11,920
and he's gonna collapse from the first leg kick and

648
00:34:11,920 --> 00:34:14,880
we're gonna think it's over. But somehow it goes the distance.

649
00:34:16,400 --> 00:34:16,599
I think.

650
00:34:17,119 --> 00:34:19,719
Speaker 1: Can I go with arm barrow triangle, Ramos on top,

651
00:34:19,760 --> 00:34:21,719
All of a sudden, Awfully throws up the leg and

652
00:34:21,840 --> 00:34:23,480
there's Rogan or whoever.

653
00:34:23,280 --> 00:34:27,679
Speaker 2: Like, yeah, it's in deep. Oh no, meanwhile, it's not

654
00:34:27,719 --> 00:34:33,079
even an actual submission, Yeah, huggin. I don't think Awfully

655
00:34:33,239 --> 00:34:35,960
has the offense to get Ramos out of there. So

656
00:34:36,000 --> 00:34:41,079
if you're the finishing upside is on Ricardo Ramos, he

657
00:34:41,159 --> 00:34:44,159
should be the more physical guy in this, which is

658
00:34:44,199 --> 00:34:47,880
I think a rarity for him. I just think it's

659
00:34:47,880 --> 00:34:51,280
a tailor made matchup for for somebody like him. The

660
00:34:51,400 --> 00:34:55,679
chepe loss. You can't design a worse fighter for Ricardo

661
00:34:55,800 --> 00:34:59,119
Ramos to fight than Chepe Mariskol. That that was a

662
00:34:59,159 --> 00:35:03,199
big regret for me. Was not that a huge play

663
00:35:03,239 --> 00:35:05,760
because as soon as that fight started, you're like, oh no,

664
00:35:05,880 --> 00:35:11,639
he's too physical, he's too tough, he can walk through throw,

665
00:35:11,719 --> 00:35:14,480
he's got the wrestling to stay safe. It should have

666
00:35:14,480 --> 00:35:17,639
been him all day long. This is not the same

667
00:35:17,639 --> 00:35:20,920
matchup by any means. What does Chepe do to Awfley?

668
00:35:21,159 --> 00:35:24,920
Speaker 1: I think gets oh my god, Oh my god.

669
00:35:25,480 --> 00:35:29,480
Speaker 2: Like so, I don't think we're gonna have the same

670
00:35:29,480 --> 00:35:31,880
firepower coming back from con And like I said, it's

671
00:35:31,880 --> 00:35:36,519
in Brazil. Ramos is still a young guy, still has

672
00:35:36,559 --> 00:35:39,159
some potential and some growing so I think they're gonna

673
00:35:39,159 --> 00:35:40,800
try to get him a win. Here go with Ramos,

674
00:35:42,280 --> 00:35:43,880
a little sprinkle of fight doesn't go.

675
00:35:45,119 --> 00:35:48,159
Speaker 1: It's a it's a Confley fight here, right, Yeah, you're right.

676
00:35:48,159 --> 00:35:51,239
And Ramos does make the stupid mistake Ramos at some

677
00:35:51,280 --> 00:35:54,320
point it Romos makes stakes where he just instantly gets finished. Yeah,

678
00:35:54,400 --> 00:35:56,280
Like there's not too many other fighters where it's like, oh,

679
00:35:56,280 --> 00:35:58,400
he made a big mistake. Well he recovered. That's Ramos

680
00:35:58,519 --> 00:35:59,920
is like I made a mistake. I'm in a choke.

681
00:36:01,159 --> 00:36:04,159
So all right, So so we go from a Brazilian.

682
00:36:04,159 --> 00:36:07,000
It was like, let's get this guy in cal con Offley.

683
00:36:07,840 --> 00:36:10,000
Now we go to a Brazilian. He's like, I'm fighting

684
00:36:10,000 --> 00:36:19,159
who Jonathan John Janada, Denise, I I butchered this guy's name.

685
00:36:19,199 --> 00:36:23,199
I'm sorry. Yes, you can leave the comment Janada Denise, Okay.

686
00:36:23,320 --> 00:36:30,559
Versus Mario Pinto, we love Mario Pinto. He does he

687
00:36:31,360 --> 00:36:35,599
can get clipped. Mario Pinto has some growing to do

688
00:36:35,840 --> 00:36:39,760
at this level. We watched him get clipped in the

689
00:36:39,800 --> 00:36:42,920
last fight against Austin Lane, but in the end his

690
00:36:43,320 --> 00:36:47,480
it was his debut. If you finish anybody in your

691
00:36:47,599 --> 00:36:50,320
USC debut, that's that's good. I mean, the nerves, the

692
00:36:50,880 --> 00:36:54,119
step up, you know, I know it's Austin Lane. Mario

693
00:36:54,199 --> 00:36:58,440
Pinto is a He's a very powerful fighter. And this

694
00:36:58,519 --> 00:37:02,199
fight right here, the decision. That was a five round fight.

695
00:37:02,679 --> 00:37:05,639
He managed his cardio very well and he went five

696
00:37:05,719 --> 00:37:08,960
full rounds and still had enough energy in round five.

697
00:37:09,519 --> 00:37:12,880
This is not your guy that's just coming into UFC

698
00:37:13,039 --> 00:37:15,159
and O we don't know what to get out of him.

699
00:37:15,199 --> 00:37:16,800
I think we do know what we're getting out of him.

700
00:37:16,800 --> 00:37:19,840
You're getting big time length, you're getting big time power,

701
00:37:20,239 --> 00:37:22,639
You're getting some striking defense that leaves a little bit

702
00:37:22,679 --> 00:37:25,079
to be desired. I think the sky is the limit

703
00:37:25,199 --> 00:37:29,039
for this guy. Twenty seven ten to zero in a heavyweight.

704
00:37:29,360 --> 00:37:33,360
He's gonna lose eventually. But I think this is a

705
00:37:33,519 --> 00:37:37,960
terrible matchup for Dene. Terrible matchup for Dannie. He's not

706
00:37:38,000 --> 00:37:40,679
gonna he's good. His arms are not nearly as long

707
00:37:40,679 --> 00:37:45,719
as Pinto. Pinto's gonna work that jab and listen, you

708
00:37:45,840 --> 00:37:49,920
go through. Denise gets the weight on Contender Series, fights

709
00:37:49,920 --> 00:37:52,920
Austin Lane, so he did exactly what Pinto does. He

710
00:37:52,960 --> 00:37:55,480
beats Carl Williams. This was the infamous Carl Williams. The

711
00:37:55,519 --> 00:38:00,199
wrestler decides to strike and Denise beats him up. He's

712
00:38:00,239 --> 00:38:03,440
absolutely murdered by Tabora. Tobora gets on top of him

713
00:38:03,480 --> 00:38:05,920
and puts a cut above his eye so bad they

714
00:38:06,000 --> 00:38:10,000
had to stop it. And then he fights an engineer

715
00:38:10,760 --> 00:38:12,679
that was on all the steroids and he couldn't get

716
00:38:12,719 --> 00:38:14,880
him out of there. Now, maybe he couldn't get him

717
00:38:14,880 --> 00:38:16,840
out of there because he was Alvin Hines was on

718
00:38:16,960 --> 00:38:21,880
horse steroids. But I don't think Denise is that guy

719
00:38:22,000 --> 00:38:25,679
to take out Pinto. It's not Pinto's time to lose here. Denise,

720
00:38:26,440 --> 00:38:29,320
what is russell Pinto? Okay, maybe a little bit can

721
00:38:29,440 --> 00:38:32,639
outstrike Pinto. I don't think. I don't see where Denise

722
00:38:32,760 --> 00:38:36,400
is better than Pinto. The only thing is can he

723
00:38:36,440 --> 00:38:41,159
get that big shot when Pinto leaves his chin, leaves

724
00:38:41,159 --> 00:38:45,559
his chin you know, exposed, which will happen and Pinto

725
00:38:45,800 --> 00:38:48,519
can't get knocked down. But it hasn't got him yet.

726
00:38:49,000 --> 00:38:51,440
I think Pinto's the pick here, and I'm stunned that

727
00:38:51,519 --> 00:38:54,119
Pinto is now the betting underdog. He's even money and

728
00:38:54,159 --> 00:38:57,800
Denise's minus one twenty. I don't get it. I'm missing something.

729
00:38:57,840 --> 00:39:00,360
Either I'm gonna look like a genius or a complete fool.

730
00:39:00,679 --> 00:39:03,440
I love Pinto in this spot. What do you think, well,

731
00:39:03,480 --> 00:39:03,960
I think.

732
00:39:03,760 --> 00:39:05,719
Speaker 2: You're pretty safe to take this fight not to go

733
00:39:05,800 --> 00:39:06,320
the distance.

734
00:39:07,079 --> 00:39:09,239
Speaker 1: Yes, that would. They don't even have the lines up

735
00:39:09,320 --> 00:39:10,800
yet on this fight.

736
00:39:10,960 --> 00:39:14,800
Speaker 2: That now it'll be they'll be getting fleeced all week

737
00:39:14,840 --> 00:39:17,079
on that this fight not to go. So I think

738
00:39:17,199 --> 00:39:19,719
unders on the under two and a half fight doesn't go,

739
00:39:19,880 --> 00:39:23,280
doesn't start round three, maybe under one and a half.

740
00:39:26,239 --> 00:39:29,079
The reason why Pinto got clipped against Lane is because

741
00:39:29,159 --> 00:39:33,199
Lane is a very different striker than than Denise. Lane

742
00:39:33,239 --> 00:39:38,239
is a long armed, lanky fighter that is not Denise.

743
00:39:38,960 --> 00:39:44,239
Denise is a square compact power kickboxer, so very very

744
00:39:44,239 --> 00:39:46,679
different striking. And if you go back and you watch

745
00:39:46,719 --> 00:39:48,800
the Pinto fight against Lane, the shots that he was

746
00:39:48,880 --> 00:39:52,239
hit with were big looping shots when Austin Lane was

747
00:39:52,679 --> 00:39:55,360
all over the place in the ring like Austin Lane is.

748
00:39:55,840 --> 00:39:58,519
So it has been a very unorthodox thing to have

749
00:39:58,559 --> 00:40:01,239
to deal with for Pinto, never seen something like that

750
00:40:01,280 --> 00:40:07,280
before with painto He's patient, sometimes to a fault. Uh,

751
00:40:07,639 --> 00:40:09,440
But I think his patients helped him in that fight.

752
00:40:09,920 --> 00:40:12,440
You know, he did get clipped, he weathered it and

753
00:40:12,480 --> 00:40:15,639
then it was over. I don't know if Denise is

754
00:40:15,639 --> 00:40:17,079
going to have the range to be able to get

755
00:40:17,079 --> 00:40:19,159
to Pinto. I think the speed advantage will be there

756
00:40:19,159 --> 00:40:21,880
for Pinto. The length advantage is going to be there

757
00:40:21,920 --> 00:40:26,159
for Pinto. And if Pinto wants to wrestle, you get

758
00:40:26,159 --> 00:40:29,159
Pinto on top of Denise and Denise can't get up.

759
00:40:29,440 --> 00:40:33,360
This is gonna look identical to the Tabora fight, Absolutely identical.

760
00:40:33,639 --> 00:40:36,159
The man has absolutely zero ground game. If you go

761
00:40:36,239 --> 00:40:41,519
to Denise's record please and his profile, you will sill.

762
00:40:42,039 --> 00:40:44,679
Speaker 1: The only difference is Pindo doesn't have that Tobora belly.

763
00:40:44,840 --> 00:40:49,159
Just rubbing rubbing on Denise is that hairy old belly.

764
00:40:49,320 --> 00:40:51,639
Speaker 2: It was a beautiful thing to watch, just we couldn't

765
00:40:51,719 --> 00:40:55,159
but to borrow a live fast enough in that fight's funny. Great,

766
00:40:56,199 --> 00:40:59,760
So he beats Carl Williams. So what do they do?

767
00:41:01,000 --> 00:41:02,920
All right, we got this guy who beat Carl Williams.

768
00:41:02,960 --> 00:41:05,960
He beat Austin Lane. All right, beautiful, we got some momentum.

769
00:41:06,000 --> 00:41:08,519
What do we do? We throw him to the knockout king.

770
00:41:09,360 --> 00:41:14,519
Oh okay, okay, that fight falls out. Let's give him

771
00:41:14,519 --> 00:41:17,159
a shot against Tobora, old man to Borro. What happens?

772
00:41:17,199 --> 00:41:21,239
Speaker 3: He gets smoked by old man old man to hell? Right,

773
00:41:22,000 --> 00:41:24,599
So then what do they do with him? You know what,

774
00:41:24,760 --> 00:41:29,039
Petrino is making his debut at heavyweight. Let's give him Petrino.

775
00:41:30,159 --> 00:41:33,199
Fight gets canceled. Okay, now what do we do with

776
00:41:33,280 --> 00:41:33,679
this guy?

777
00:41:34,119 --> 00:41:38,000
Speaker 2: At this point? We're sold. Let's give him Atafa. We're

778
00:41:38,000 --> 00:41:40,840
sold on him. We're just out. Let's give him Matafa.

779
00:41:41,159 --> 00:41:45,440
Tafa pulls out. They don't find how is there nobody

780
00:41:45,480 --> 00:41:48,239
else on a UFC roster that wasn't willing to take

781
00:41:48,280 --> 00:41:52,840
a short notice fight against the knees. I would have

782
00:41:53,039 --> 00:41:55,440
jumped at that chance if I was a heavyweight who

783
00:41:55,480 --> 00:41:58,320
had any wrestling whatsoever. They throw him this guy Hines,

784
00:41:58,360 --> 00:42:00,440
he's on all the Jews and he goes to the

785
00:42:00,480 --> 00:42:05,000
decision with him. So you tell me, if you're running UFC,

786
00:42:05,440 --> 00:42:08,719
who were you out on in this fight? You're out

787
00:42:08,760 --> 00:42:12,320
on Denise. He's foud on because he's from Brazil and

788
00:42:12,360 --> 00:42:15,599
it's in Brazil and they need a heavyweight. It's from

789
00:42:15,639 --> 00:42:18,519
Brazil willing to fight. So the throwing him to a

790
00:42:18,559 --> 00:42:21,559
ten and oer guy on Contender series who looked impressive

791
00:42:21,800 --> 00:42:24,320
and made his debut and did the deed. I think

792
00:42:24,360 --> 00:42:27,159
Pinto smokes this guy. I Am not going to be

793
00:42:27,159 --> 00:42:30,320
surprised to see Pinto on top of Denise in round one,

794
00:42:30,920 --> 00:42:33,480
just pounding his face through the canvas. I'm on Pinto

795
00:42:33,679 --> 00:42:34,920
Pinto by finish.

796
00:42:36,000 --> 00:42:44,440
Speaker 1: Move on to Sinte Luke against Joel Alvarez. Did Sente

797
00:42:44,599 --> 00:42:52,599
Luke insult the mother of the matchmaker? Did Vincent? Did

798
00:42:52,679 --> 00:42:58,280
Luke's management not understand who he was fighting when they

799
00:42:58,679 --> 00:43:03,400
agreed to this? Uh? There there is there is no

800
00:43:03,559 --> 00:43:08,159
world in which said to Luke, A should have accepted

801
00:43:08,320 --> 00:43:11,719
this fight. I actually worry for him in this fight.

802
00:43:13,800 --> 00:43:18,440
This is a guy that beat rda ground and pound

803
00:43:18,440 --> 00:43:22,199
against Buckley. He has suffered a brain injury. He choked

804
00:43:22,199 --> 00:43:26,360
out THEMBA Grimbo and then Kevin Holland just kind of

805
00:43:26,360 --> 00:43:29,360
made mincemeat out of him. Like Holland was so cocky

806
00:43:29,400 --> 00:43:32,599
and confident, he was yelling and screaming at him in

807
00:43:32,639 --> 00:43:36,079
the first round and then chokes him out. So they

808
00:43:36,079 --> 00:43:42,719
were gonna give him Pons and nibbio Ponds, Okay, old Ponds,

809
00:43:43,199 --> 00:43:47,880
who has the cardio of a toddler. This is a

810
00:43:48,039 --> 00:43:50,960
Pons that got knocked out by Daniel Rodriguez, who doesn't

811
00:43:51,039 --> 00:43:54,679
knock anybody out. That's who they were gonna give a fight.

812
00:43:55,519 --> 00:43:58,199
No Ponds, who are we going to give him a

813
00:43:58,239 --> 00:44:02,400
step down? No, we're gonna give him an animal whose

814
00:44:02,480 --> 00:44:05,760
last seven wins have been by violent finishes.

815
00:44:07,920 --> 00:44:10,679
Speaker 2: There's nothing about this doesn't do it justice.

816
00:44:11,760 --> 00:44:17,400
Speaker 1: He's been he's been killing guys, like absolutely killing guys,

817
00:44:17,519 --> 00:44:19,519
and we've been making a lot of money on it.

818
00:44:19,559 --> 00:44:23,079
By the way, this is a this is a Joel

819
00:44:23,239 --> 00:44:27,360
Alvarez ass kicking if I've ever seen it. Unless Alvarez

820
00:44:27,440 --> 00:44:29,119
is like, hey, take it easy on him, but this

821
00:44:29,239 --> 00:44:35,000
Vicince Luke Man, he's thirty three. Yeah right, I'm no way,

822
00:44:35,199 --> 00:44:38,119
I'm sorry, I'm in on this. I gotta shout out

823
00:44:38,119 --> 00:44:42,039
Cody Safftick. He started this trend against with Michelle Pereira.

824
00:44:43,639 --> 00:44:46,320
I'm starting to think he's right that some of these guys,

825
00:44:46,639 --> 00:44:49,719
it just doesn't make any sense, like thirty three years old,

826
00:44:49,840 --> 00:44:52,800
all the wear and tear, his best days are way

827
00:44:52,880 --> 00:44:56,079
behind him. To me, he looked like it was forty

828
00:44:56,119 --> 00:44:58,880
in his last fight against Holland. I think Alvarez gets

829
00:44:58,920 --> 00:45:01,119
him out of there by any way, he thinks ground

830
00:45:01,119 --> 00:45:04,000
and pound, knocks him down, chokes him out. What is

831
00:45:04,039 --> 00:45:06,719
the Vicente Luca gonna do on offense to scare Joel

832
00:45:06,719 --> 00:45:09,079
Alvarez in the slightest gym, I ask you.

833
00:45:10,000 --> 00:45:13,239
Speaker 2: Well, Luca still has good offense, so let's not get

834
00:45:13,239 --> 00:45:17,360
it twisted. He offensively, he's very good. His grappling is

835
00:45:17,360 --> 00:45:23,400
some of the more underrated submission grappling in the welterweight division.

836
00:45:24,039 --> 00:45:28,000
That's where I'm gonna lead into that word welterweight. This

837
00:45:28,039 --> 00:45:32,639
is Joel Alvarez at welterweight. This is a guy whose

838
00:45:32,719 --> 00:45:37,119
frame is built for welterweight and he's been cutting down

839
00:45:37,159 --> 00:45:41,840
to lightweight having trouble making the weight. Look at the

840
00:45:41,920 --> 00:45:42,960
power that he had.

841
00:45:43,079 --> 00:45:45,000
Speaker 1: Then that's a good point.

842
00:45:45,679 --> 00:45:49,639
Speaker 2: Now you're gonna slap fifteen more pounds on this guy.

843
00:45:52,039 --> 00:45:54,599
I mean, he was killing himself to make this weight

844
00:45:55,039 --> 00:46:00,960
and still had the ability to murder guys in round one. Uh,

845
00:46:01,039 --> 00:46:02,760
this is out with the old, in with the new.

846
00:46:04,000 --> 00:46:06,159
We haven't heard it yet, but I have a sneaking

847
00:46:06,239 --> 00:46:12,280
suspicion that the R word might be said after this

848
00:46:12,440 --> 00:46:18,039
fight again. You know, still got a lot to do.

849
00:46:18,400 --> 00:46:20,719
Speaker 1: Do it again, let's see it, let's see it, let's

850
00:46:20,719 --> 00:46:22,519
see it again on the other and we might.

851
00:46:22,440 --> 00:46:28,639
Speaker 2: Have the R word. That's do right now, the R

852
00:46:28,719 --> 00:46:32,480
word coming up. He's not going to say it. Before

853
00:46:32,480 --> 00:46:34,519
the fight, he said he doesn't want to retire. He's

854
00:46:34,519 --> 00:46:37,239
still got more to do. But your health is your health,

855
00:46:37,360 --> 00:46:43,320
and why would you accept this fight? Those props to Luke,

856
00:46:43,960 --> 00:46:47,480
eternal props to Visente Luke, But there is no way

857
00:46:47,519 --> 00:46:49,840
in hell I'm stepping in the cage with Joel Avarice.

858
00:46:50,480 --> 00:46:52,679
Not at this point in my career, did I see right,

859
00:46:52,719 --> 00:46:59,719
that Alvarez was supposed to fight Ponzinibbio, no Luke, no

860
00:46:59,800 --> 00:47:00,519
so Luk.

861
00:47:00,519 --> 00:47:02,880
Speaker 1: Was supposed to fight Pons, That's what he was supposed

862
00:47:02,880 --> 00:47:06,239
to fight on this one. Pons is out so that

863
00:47:06,280 --> 00:47:07,440
they bring in Alvarez.

864
00:47:08,519 --> 00:47:12,840
Speaker 2: Alvarez didn't have another opponent, right, Alvarez was supposed to

865
00:47:12,880 --> 00:47:16,280
fight in May So.

866
00:47:16,519 --> 00:47:19,159
Speaker 1: But but but Alvirez did not have a fight scheduled

867
00:47:19,199 --> 00:47:24,199
for this card. I just I don't I do not remember, seriously, Jim,

868
00:47:24,239 --> 00:47:27,039
I do not remember somebody going from someone the level

869
00:47:27,079 --> 00:47:30,360
of Ponds to someone the level of Joel Alvarez, like

870
00:47:30,480 --> 00:47:34,079
that is that's wild man going for my guys gett

871
00:47:34,119 --> 00:47:36,000
knocked out by Deanie Rodriguez to a guy who's got

872
00:47:36,039 --> 00:47:37,519
seven wins by finish in a row.

873
00:47:38,360 --> 00:47:41,960
Speaker 2: But the thing that makes Alvarez great is that he's

874
00:47:42,079 --> 00:47:47,079
so patient. He's never flustered in that cage. Even when

875
00:47:47,239 --> 00:47:51,119
Armand Serukian was elbowing his face through the canvas, he

876
00:47:51,239 --> 00:47:54,079
was there. He was in the fight. You know, he

877
00:47:54,199 --> 00:47:56,559
was there. That was a referee stoppage. It was not

878
00:47:57,159 --> 00:48:00,559
Joel Alvarez unconscious on the ground. He was trying to defend.

879
00:48:00,760 --> 00:48:03,679
He just had brain matter pouring into his eyeballs, which

880
00:48:03,960 --> 00:48:05,800
kind of hard to fight when that's happening when you

881
00:48:05,800 --> 00:48:08,800
have a gash in your forehead. So the guy is game.

882
00:48:08,880 --> 00:48:11,159
He is there. I'm not worried about the cardio. I

883
00:48:11,159 --> 00:48:16,519
think this is an early violent finish by Alvarez. I

884
00:48:16,559 --> 00:48:19,239
am going to say in Alvarez submission, I think he

885
00:48:19,360 --> 00:48:22,639
hurts Luke, and we've seen him be so opportunistic with

886
00:48:22,639 --> 00:48:25,840
his submissions and so slick that he's gonna lock something up.

887
00:48:25,880 --> 00:48:27,920
I don't believe that he is going to want to

888
00:48:29,079 --> 00:48:31,639
add to the damage of Vicente Luka at this point.

889
00:48:31,880 --> 00:48:35,679
But yeah, Joel Alvarez at welterweight. To say I'm excited

890
00:48:36,079 --> 00:48:38,400
is an understatement. I can't wait to see what this

891
00:48:38,440 --> 00:48:42,480
guy looks like at welterweight. Cannot wait once again.

892
00:48:42,519 --> 00:48:45,320
Speaker 1: If you guys, hey, bit the like button. Please really

893
00:48:45,360 --> 00:48:46,880
helps us out and leave us a comment. Tell us

894
00:48:46,880 --> 00:48:48,519
if you agree or disagree with us, tell us what

895
00:48:48,559 --> 00:48:52,719
your best bet is. Love reading the comments. I'm getting

896
00:48:52,760 --> 00:48:55,800
better at I'm getting better when people leave negative comments.

897
00:48:56,480 --> 00:48:57,960
I used to I used to just like get all

898
00:48:58,000 --> 00:49:00,719
up in arms about it. Now I'm much better about it.

899
00:49:00,760 --> 00:49:04,719
So I give you permission to leave bad comment, bring

900
00:49:04,760 --> 00:49:06,840
it no, but please try and be positive with the

901
00:49:06,840 --> 00:49:08,519
comment section. We love you all and we all want

902
00:49:08,519 --> 00:49:11,639
to make money here, and we can make money by

903
00:49:11,840 --> 00:49:13,840
getting our five percent best bet. How is that for

904
00:49:13,880 --> 00:49:17,880
a segue? Jim Nice went to journalism school Before five

905
00:49:17,880 --> 00:49:20,719
percent best bet is up? It is hammer time again.

906
00:49:20,880 --> 00:49:22,960
We cashed our five percent last week. We got one

907
00:49:23,000 --> 00:49:25,880
this Saturday, and we will have one next Saturday. Just

908
00:49:25,920 --> 00:49:28,519
the cards are just too good to pass up. So Davidson,

909
00:49:28,559 --> 00:49:32,440
Figuretto and Mantel Jackson. Great fight, absolutely great fight. I'm

910
00:49:32,519 --> 00:49:35,400
very excited to bet this one. Or I'm sorry, I'm

911
00:49:35,440 --> 00:49:37,440
I'm I'm excited to watch this one. I am not

912
00:49:37,519 --> 00:49:40,880
excited to bet this one. I do not have a

913
00:49:40,960 --> 00:49:45,480
read on this one. You have fig who come out

914
00:49:45,480 --> 00:49:48,159
of a knee injury against san Haagen. Make no mistake,

915
00:49:48,199 --> 00:49:51,559
he was getting his ass kicked by Corey Skinhagen, so

916
00:49:51,639 --> 00:49:53,760
that means he was getting dominated by Yon. He was

917
00:49:53,800 --> 00:49:57,559
getting dominated by Sana Haagen. No real shame in that,

918
00:49:58,400 --> 00:50:00,920
but he did win. You know, pre once he's moved

919
00:50:01,000 --> 00:50:05,920
up is Montal Jackson for real? I went back and

920
00:50:05,960 --> 00:50:07,800
watched this Marcos fight. You know, I'm a big Daniel

921
00:50:07,800 --> 00:50:10,320
Marcos fan made a lot of money on Marcos, did

922
00:50:10,320 --> 00:50:12,639
not bet him on that fight, and Marcos looked asleep.

923
00:50:12,719 --> 00:50:15,360
And my question is did Montel Jackson do that to him?

924
00:50:15,400 --> 00:50:18,440
Or was something wrong with Daniel Marcos because to me,

925
00:50:18,480 --> 00:50:20,760
it just didn't look like the same Marcos. What do

926
00:50:20,840 --> 00:50:22,679
we take away from the Black Shaar fight? Just the

927
00:50:22,719 --> 00:50:25,199
fact that the fight started. Montel Jackson wasn't scared of

928
00:50:25,239 --> 00:50:28,599
Black Shehear's striking in the slightest But then we're back

929
00:50:28,599 --> 00:50:34,159
to Ronnie yah yah and yeah, well, JP Bays, I

930
00:50:34,159 --> 00:50:36,159
don't know what to make with Montel Jackson. I just

931
00:50:36,280 --> 00:50:40,360
know that fig is on his way out. They gave

932
00:50:40,440 --> 00:50:43,119
him two killers. And if you're gonna bet on this fight,

933
00:50:43,159 --> 00:50:46,559
you just you have to is Montel Jackson that guy?

934
00:50:46,719 --> 00:50:49,559
Is he him? Is he a killer? Is he now?

935
00:50:49,639 --> 00:50:52,760
Because Montal Jackson would go We always said this about Monto,

936
00:50:52,800 --> 00:50:55,559
which would see more of him. He would only fight

937
00:50:55,599 --> 00:50:58,039
like every so often. So I'm glad we saw him

938
00:50:58,400 --> 00:51:00,199
a year ago, we saw him in May, and now

939
00:51:00,239 --> 00:51:02,320
he's you know, taking another one. So I'm glad we

940
00:51:02,360 --> 00:51:04,440
have him in our lives because I enjoy his fights.

941
00:51:04,920 --> 00:51:07,199
You just got to decide if Montel Jackson's guy, because

942
00:51:07,199 --> 00:51:10,679
if he's a fraud, FIG's gonna put a veteran performance

943
00:51:10,719 --> 00:51:14,079
on him. FIG's gonna work leg kicks and all that stuff.

944
00:51:14,280 --> 00:51:16,840
I have no opinion, so I'll let you tell us

945
00:51:16,840 --> 00:51:17,960
if you have an opinion on this.

946
00:51:19,320 --> 00:51:21,239
Speaker 2: Oh it's a tough one, man. This is This is

947
00:51:21,280 --> 00:51:23,039
one of the harder ones on the car to figure out.

948
00:51:23,079 --> 00:51:24,639
First of all, I hate the fact that Fig is

949
00:51:24,679 --> 00:51:28,079
coming back after a knee injury. We don't know what

950
00:51:28,119 --> 00:51:30,559
that knee injury was, but in the moment it looked

951
00:51:30,599 --> 00:51:35,079
pretty gruesome. So I was shocked to see that he's

952
00:51:35,079 --> 00:51:37,320
got a fight right now. You have to assume it's

953
00:51:37,320 --> 00:51:42,360
not a major ligament or tendon. Got lucky if that's

954
00:51:42,400 --> 00:51:45,519
the case, because when his leg got tangled with Corey,

955
00:51:45,559 --> 00:51:48,239
we saw him grimace and grab at it and be

956
00:51:48,440 --> 00:51:51,000
down on the ground for so I think Robot kind

957
00:51:51,000 --> 00:51:54,719
of thinking a c L MCL you know, not meniscus.

958
00:51:56,920 --> 00:52:02,000
So he's back against Montel. We have the younger fighter,

959
00:52:02,199 --> 00:52:08,119
we have the naturally bigger fighter. He is great striking.

960
00:52:08,679 --> 00:52:11,599
I don't know about the wrestling. So are we gonna

961
00:52:11,599 --> 00:52:14,840
see We're gonna have to see d one Fig in

962
00:52:14,880 --> 00:52:17,000
this fight. I don't think he's gonna hang on the

963
00:52:17,000 --> 00:52:21,639
feet because that murderous power which made Fig fig, it's

964
00:52:21,679 --> 00:52:22,800
gone at this weight class.

965
00:52:22,920 --> 00:52:24,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah's here.

966
00:52:25,159 --> 00:52:29,039
Speaker 2: So if we're not again. I harp on this all

967
00:52:29,079 --> 00:52:31,280
the time, but you got to take fights that were

968
00:52:31,280 --> 00:52:33,599
six years ago and just forget about him, Just put

969
00:52:33,639 --> 00:52:35,800
him out of your mind, because this is a fight

970
00:52:35,840 --> 00:52:38,320
in the here and now take all those fights with Moreno,

971
00:52:38,400 --> 00:52:42,559
throw them away, Just throw them away right very well side.

972
00:52:42,559 --> 00:52:45,239
It's not the same weight class, it's not the same

973
00:52:45,280 --> 00:52:47,960
silk skin. It's not the same point in your life either.

974
00:52:48,079 --> 00:52:51,280
So I mean he's obviously on the decline. You can

975
00:52:51,280 --> 00:52:53,519
only stay at the top for so long before you drop.

976
00:52:54,199 --> 00:52:58,400
I think this is John most certainly montell Shot to

977
00:52:58,440 --> 00:53:01,599
become a name. This is a name on your on

978
00:53:01,639 --> 00:53:05,800
your belt. This is in Brazil. Was this fight proposed

979
00:53:05,840 --> 00:53:09,199
to Fig? Where, Hey, we don't go to Brazil a lot?

980
00:53:09,360 --> 00:53:12,800
You got a chance to fight in Brazil, doctor said,

981
00:53:12,840 --> 00:53:14,679
I need a couple you know what, take the fight.

982
00:53:17,039 --> 00:53:19,840
Think about it. How many more chances are you gonna

983
00:53:19,880 --> 00:53:20,800
have to fight in Brazil?

984
00:53:21,719 --> 00:53:24,719
Speaker 1: So it's a good point, But I don't I don't

985
00:53:24,760 --> 00:53:31,880
know if these guys would knowingly, knowingly with a bad

986
00:53:30,360 --> 00:53:35,199
never what am I talking about? Yes, if they had

987
00:53:35,239 --> 00:53:37,880
a gambling we had a gambling fiasco where they knowingly

988
00:53:37,880 --> 00:53:39,079
put a hurt fighter out there.

989
00:53:39,239 --> 00:53:42,440
Speaker 2: Start come on. Of course they're gonna take it. You

990
00:53:42,480 --> 00:53:45,239
have a chance to fight at home for good money.

991
00:53:45,880 --> 00:53:51,440
At his point for his career, is he top billing?

992
00:53:52,960 --> 00:53:57,039
This is Jackson's chance, and I'm rooting for him. I'm

993
00:53:57,039 --> 00:53:59,519
gonna pick him to win. I think he's gonna have

994
00:53:59,599 --> 00:54:03,639
more in round three. I'm gonna say even split decision

995
00:54:04,119 --> 00:54:05,880
Montel Jackson. I think this is gonna end up being

996
00:54:05,920 --> 00:54:10,320
a close fight. Fig survives round two, round three, maybe

997
00:54:10,400 --> 00:54:13,880
takes round one. Let's go Mantel Jackson for the.

998
00:54:13,800 --> 00:54:17,840
Speaker 1: Win his minus two ninety Montel Jackson about it.

999
00:54:17,920 --> 00:54:19,039
Speaker 2: That's why we're not betting it.

1000
00:54:19,519 --> 00:54:20,079
Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah.

1001
00:54:20,280 --> 00:54:23,960
Speaker 2: Predictions versus batskis two up things all right?

1002
00:54:24,039 --> 00:54:27,920
Speaker 1: Last fight Charles Olivera and Matte's Gamrot. We'll run a

1003
00:54:27,960 --> 00:54:30,360
little bit long on time, so I will make my

1004
00:54:30,599 --> 00:54:34,840
opinion pretty quick here. I like Olivera. I think this

1005
00:54:34,920 --> 00:54:39,760
is actually a pretty good matchup for him. Gamrot goes

1006
00:54:39,800 --> 00:54:43,440
the distance quite a bit and he's just not that active.

1007
00:54:43,480 --> 00:54:46,880
He's got incredible control. I think this is a really

1008
00:54:46,920 --> 00:54:51,480
bad matchup for him because OLIVERA is Gopher broke. They

1009
00:54:51,920 --> 00:54:55,760
against Serukian, that was just two world class grapplers, and

1010
00:54:56,159 --> 00:54:58,480
they did their thing, and they probably enjoyed it more

1011
00:54:58,519 --> 00:55:01,679
than we all did watching it. Chandler went the distance,

1012
00:55:01,719 --> 00:55:05,199
but there was violence and knockdowns and all over the place.

1013
00:55:05,280 --> 00:55:07,320
And then you know, get knocked out against a poia.

1014
00:55:08,000 --> 00:55:10,159
This is a This is a good matchup for him.

1015
00:55:10,199 --> 00:55:12,239
He's you don't want to drop down and fight a

1016
00:55:12,239 --> 00:55:15,800
bunch of chumps. But Gamrot, are you scared of Gamrox striking?

1017
00:55:15,920 --> 00:55:17,960
I wouldn't be. And what do we see in OLIVERA fights?

1018
00:55:17,960 --> 00:55:20,559
He always gets dropped because Gamrock gonna drop him. I

1019
00:55:20,599 --> 00:55:24,000
don't know. Gamrox is gonna try and wrestle him. He's

1020
00:55:24,039 --> 00:55:26,159
probably gonna have some success. Do not be surprised of

1021
00:55:26,199 --> 00:55:28,760
Olivera versus him a couple of times and we get

1022
00:55:29,079 --> 00:55:33,079
a weird, weird scramble where OLIVERA ends up on top

1023
00:55:34,599 --> 00:55:37,239
gam Rock. Look at who he's fought, Okay, Ludivivit Klein,

1024
00:55:37,440 --> 00:55:42,760
Dan Hooker, the Aging RDA physio Jaalen Turner. None of

1025
00:55:42,800 --> 00:55:45,519
these guys fight like Charles Olivera. This is a very

1026
00:55:45,639 --> 00:55:52,079
very different style. He lost against Darry USh. I just

1027
00:55:52,159 --> 00:55:53,800
I think this is a good spot for Olivera. I

1028
00:55:53,840 --> 00:55:56,239
think everyone's gonna be on Gamrot and just because of

1029
00:55:56,280 --> 00:56:00,360
the recent losses. But Oliver's thought fought absolute killers, and

1030
00:56:00,639 --> 00:56:01,760
I like him to get the win here.

1031
00:56:01,800 --> 00:56:03,920
Speaker 2: What do you think, Well, both these guys a lot

1032
00:56:03,920 --> 00:56:09,159
of fights, a lot of mileage, Charles, especially Charles Miles,

1033
00:56:10,000 --> 00:56:13,440
a lot of violence with Charles as well. It's not

1034
00:56:13,519 --> 00:56:17,079
just the fight numbers, it's the violence factor that Charles

1035
00:56:17,079 --> 00:56:21,239
Olivera has been living in, which was grown in when

1036
00:56:21,280 --> 00:56:25,840
he was a teenager. Fighting real simple for me to me,

1037
00:56:25,920 --> 00:56:29,639
this is Charles Olivera early or it's Gamroth late. I

1038
00:56:29,719 --> 00:56:32,519
do not think this fight goes the distance. I think

1039
00:56:32,559 --> 00:56:35,440
that Gamrock can make him will And we've seen Charles

1040
00:56:35,440 --> 00:56:38,639
that when things go wrong, they go wrong very quickly.

1041
00:56:39,280 --> 00:56:41,239
You know. Charles is like that friend that you go

1042
00:56:41,239 --> 00:56:43,519
out to the bar with and by the third drink

1043
00:56:43,559 --> 00:56:45,239
you already know what kind of night you're gonna have.

1044
00:56:45,840 --> 00:56:48,599
You're like, oh no, things are going south really quick.

1045
00:56:48,840 --> 00:56:50,679
When you get to the bar and he's like Jaeger.

1046
00:56:50,840 --> 00:56:54,039
Now we're like, okay, it's that kind of night. That's

1047
00:56:54,119 --> 00:56:57,559
Charles Man. I throw out that Chandler fight because it's

1048
00:56:57,599 --> 00:57:00,880
just every Chandler fights an absolute fucking circus. That's just

1049
00:57:00,920 --> 00:57:04,400
what he is. Now, I think this is a fight

1050
00:57:04,440 --> 00:57:07,239
doesn't go. It's a lot of pressure on Charles being

1051
00:57:07,280 --> 00:57:10,360
in Brazil, and he's either going to show up and

1052
00:57:10,440 --> 00:57:13,000
show out or that pressure is going to get to him.

1053
00:57:13,440 --> 00:57:16,199
And not even pressure outside of the fight, but pressure

1054
00:57:16,199 --> 00:57:18,119
in the ring. Gamrood's gonna get to him. So give

1055
00:57:18,159 --> 00:57:21,159
me a fight. Doesn't go lean Charles with you. I

1056
00:57:21,199 --> 00:57:23,039
think Gamrod's not ready for the violence.

1057
00:57:24,159 --> 00:57:27,480
Speaker 1: Would a, could have, should a. This is where we

1058
00:57:27,559 --> 00:57:30,800
pick a bet or fight whatever you want on the card,

1059
00:57:30,840 --> 00:57:32,360
where at the end of the night we're like, man,

1060
00:57:32,400 --> 00:57:34,400
why didn't we bet that? Would it, could have, should have,

1061
00:57:34,440 --> 00:57:36,719
should have made a lot more money on that. Do

1062
00:57:36,800 --> 00:57:37,280
you have one?

1063
00:57:37,679 --> 00:57:40,320
Speaker 2: Yes? Walter Walker by submission over Kamara Oos.

1064
00:57:42,360 --> 00:57:44,480
Speaker 1: It's a really good one when Walker submits him on

1065
00:57:44,519 --> 00:57:48,000
the ground and you're like, really an unbalanced, oversized usman.

1066
00:57:48,239 --> 00:57:50,480
We didn't we didn't take that, Okay.

1067
00:57:50,280 --> 00:57:52,440
Speaker 2: John a weeble wabble and submitted him. Good job.

1068
00:57:54,199 --> 00:57:57,719
Speaker 1: I'm going Mario Pinto as even money or plus money

1069
00:57:57,719 --> 00:58:01,079
against Janada Denise when he's got the the wrestling and

1070
00:58:01,119 --> 00:58:04,840
he's got the reach and the power. Denise is coming

1071
00:58:04,840 --> 00:58:08,199
off of a decision win against a roided up engineer.

1072
00:58:08,280 --> 00:58:10,880
That's what it could have should have, all right, parlay buster,

1073
00:58:11,159 --> 00:58:14,199
what's everyone gonna take that we think is going to

1074
00:58:14,559 --> 00:58:17,800
uh to wreck everybody. I'll go first, and I think

1075
00:58:17,800 --> 00:58:21,599
it's this mosquito. I think you're asking for trouble in

1076
00:58:21,679 --> 00:58:25,159
this one. I get it. Alex ev has looked terrific

1077
00:58:25,639 --> 00:58:27,920
in your last fight, but if her striking is even

1078
00:58:28,000 --> 00:58:30,920
remotely improved, she may be the better striker in this one.

1079
00:58:31,000 --> 00:58:34,239
She still has the ground game skills and uh a

1080
00:58:34,320 --> 00:58:39,199
five and zero. You know, LFA debutante should never be

1081
00:58:39,320 --> 00:58:42,199
this big of a absolutely never be this big of

1082
00:58:42,239 --> 00:58:44,480
a favorite. So that's my parlay buster. What about you?

1083
00:58:45,199 --> 00:58:48,280
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with Michael aswell. The two the lowest

1084
00:58:48,360 --> 00:58:51,800
level fight on the card. Take the favorite. That's the

1085
00:58:51,800 --> 00:58:55,519
guy who's gonna wreck everyone. Nobody should have a bet

1086
00:58:55,599 --> 00:58:58,880
on a minus. Anything in this fund is pretty bad,

1087
00:58:59,000 --> 00:59:03,800
but they will, but they will. It is an undercard fight. Oh,

1088
00:59:03,960 --> 00:59:07,119
actually it's kicking off the main card, so that's looking at.

1089
00:59:07,239 --> 00:59:09,199
Speaker 1: Yeah, you gotta have Michael aswell to kick off your

1090
00:59:09,239 --> 00:59:09,679
main card.

1091
00:59:10,079 --> 00:59:15,320
Speaker 2: So that kicks. Where do your parlay start? Everybody you

1092
00:59:15,440 --> 00:59:18,079
know tunes in for the main Let's take the first fight,

1093
00:59:18,159 --> 00:59:22,719
I'll take the favorite. Let's parlaying with Luke here. You go,

1094
00:59:22,840 --> 00:59:23,480
have fun.

1095
00:59:23,239 --> 00:59:26,639
Speaker 1: With that, all right, Thanks very much for watching. Don't

1096
00:59:26,639 --> 00:59:28,880
forget to leave a comment, hit the like button. Thanks.

1097
00:59:29,039 --> 00:59:30,880
Let's have a great Saturday. We will be live on

1098
00:59:30,880 --> 00:59:32,880
the Winning in the Shadows YouTube channel to watch all

1099
00:59:32,880 --> 00:59:37,599
the fights live live bets. Guys, we've made more on

1100
00:59:37,719 --> 00:59:41,079
live bets than we have pre fights. It's just a fact.

1101
00:59:41,119 --> 00:59:43,159
If you've been following us on our live shows, you

1102
00:59:43,199 --> 00:59:45,800
know they've just been to the real gem for bank. Well,

1103
00:59:45,880 --> 00:59:48,519
so come hang out with us, four o'clock Eastern start.

1104
00:59:48,519 --> 00:59:50,280
Thanks for watching, Good luck on your bets we go.

1105
00:59:50,440 --> 00:59:53,000
Speaker 2: Before we go, we got to tell the people gas

1106
00:59:53,079 --> 00:59:58,480
station snacks. Saturday night. Go to your gas station, get

1107
00:59:58,559 --> 01:00:01,760
your snacks. We're gonna have some good ones. Weird gas

1108
01:00:01,760 --> 01:00:03,119
station snacks coming up.

1109
01:00:03,440 --> 01:00:05,599
Speaker 1: Yeah, so you guys know we date. We do taste

1110
01:00:05,639 --> 01:00:09,920
tests every Saturday and yes, we've decided we've been holding

1111
01:00:09,960 --> 01:00:12,000
off on gas station snacks to save it for a

1112
01:00:12,000 --> 01:00:13,880
big one. This is it, but we want you to

1113
01:00:13,960 --> 01:00:16,960
join us. So go get two gas station snacks. They

1114
01:00:17,000 --> 01:00:18,920
could be great. You could have them before and not

1115
01:00:19,000 --> 01:00:20,960
have them before. Whatever. Jim and I will have about

1116
01:00:20,960 --> 01:00:23,320
four or five, but we rank all of them, and

1117
01:00:23,719 --> 01:00:25,920
we want to hear your guys' comments. This is gonna

1118
01:00:25,920 --> 01:00:28,920
be an epic, epic night of taste testing your gas

1119
01:00:28,920 --> 01:00:31,440
station snacks. It's great. So all right, guys, good luck

1120
01:00:31,440 --> 01:00:32,440
on your bets. We'll see it later.

1121
01:00:32,519 --> 01:00:35,639
Speaker 2: Take care of it's see Saturday.