Speaker 1: What's going on? Everybody? Welcome in to another episode of
Profit Picks. If you are new, we always start this
show about being transparent, and yesterday ended up being a
pretty good day for myself. I went five and oh.
The best bet for the show, I believe was Boston
and Brooklyn under twenty two and a half. Pretty high
schooling first half, died out in the second. That was
a winner. Steph over twenty six and a half points
ended up getting there later on in the day. I
was a winner by the third quarter. Lakers Utah over
two thirty eight and a half was relatively easy, Sons
plus two and a half, and Sons team total over
one seventeen. Those were all five of the winners, So
the clean sweep for myself. Nice to be back on
track one hundred percent. So we have a lot of
games today. It doesn't look like we'll get Robino. I mean,
he was having some internet troubles and you know, if
he's able to he'll pop in. If he's not, we
won't see them. But we'll talk the games out together
like we've done plenty of times. Let's take a look
at the chat really quick. People happy with the magic
money line? Yeah, rob had a little bit of tech issues,
Jojo the Gambler and not happy people. A lot of
people did like the Warriors. A lot of people did
like the Warriors hardcore casual Mma says sick. I didn't
go Orlando. Money Line Chat called it. It seemed a
little funny on that game. Definitely. But let's go through
today doing it in a rotation order like we always do,
so that means first up is Charlotte and Indiana opened
up minus one for the Pacers, Blip a favorite. We
now see Charlotte minus one and a half total for
this one has gone up. I showed the opener actually
two thirty seven, so maybe just slightly went up. I'm
seeing it as high as two thirty eight. Injury report
for Charlotte, I see Trey Man doubtful, Josh Green, McNelly, Miller,
Williams all out for Indiana, burfew, Jackson Jones, Neie Smith
topping all out. This will be the fourth game the
six nights for these Hornets and the Pacers, I mean,
regardless of the losing streak. I mean I can't even
remember the last time they covered the game. They just
haven't been playing well, so it's very hard for me
to bet them. Know in the game, even though you
know Charlotte hasn't been the best, I think they've been
a lot better than Indiana, and so just because of that,
I would probably trust Charlotte. But more than that, I
do think the Pacers, you know, they have Nim Hard,
they have TJ. McConnell. Those guys both push the pace
for that side. For Charlotte, LaMelo in the lineup, he's
gonna push the pace and create more offense. So I
would agree with the move towards the over. I think
that's the preferred way about this game. If we're taking
anything here, Cash ba Rican asking about matherin, I can't
talk to you off of mather He's the one guy
who needs to have a big day for Indiana to
you know, try to win this game. For sure, Matther
and mar Lamello will probably be go twos in this one,
all right. Next game, Raptors and seventy six ers opened
up sixers minus one and a half. Another game where
flip of favorites now see Raptors minus one and a half. Total.
Not a whole lot of movement there. Looking at two
thirty four to thirty four and a half. As far
as the injuries, Abaji is actually probable for this Raptors team.
Ceem b is doubtful for the Sixers. In Bad is doubtful.
Adam Bona, Paul George, and Ubre all out for this
Sixers team. So a lot of it's gonna fall on
Maxi Edgecombe, you know, et cetera. These teams did play
earlier in the season. It was the Raptors on a
back to back and the Sixers I believe had two
days rest. In that game, six Ers were able to win.
I believe the score was one thirty to one twenty.
So it's a chance for the Raptors to get some revenge.
It is the first game of a back to back
for the seventy six Ers as well for this Raptors team.
The difference in this game, I mean from the last game.
I mean mb was a big part of that win
for the Sixers. He had twenty nine points. I mean
they had Uber too, they didn't have Paul George. But
it's just a lot different this time around equal rest
if anything, and just a unhealthy Sixers team. So but
outside of that, I know the Raptors like to get
out and run Sixers are not good defending transition. I
would look towards the Raptors in this game. And if
I'm thinking like that, you know, the Raptors want to
get out of run. The Sixers are just fine playing
with pace, you know. I feel like they can play
to however their opponent likes to play, and we know
Max likes to, you know, play very up tempo. So
I would think that this one will go over to
two thirty four and look towards the Raptor's side. At
the same time, let's see what the comments think before
we move it along. Matt reminding everybody hit the like
button definitely helps out the show. Yeah, that's step Niner
definitely will be over there as well. All right, rockets
and calves open up minus one for the calves every
game phlip A favorites, right, we see the rockets now
minus one and a half put on from two thirty four.
I mean total didn't really move open two thirty four
and a half. If anything, I see some two thirty
three and a halves out there. Definitely need to line
shop depending what you like. For injuries, I see and
let's refresh this. We know time it is the injury reporters.
You know, changes are coming out. Sam Merrill is still
questionable for Cleveland. They will be without Garland Strews and
Tyson for the Rockets, Frevan Fleet during Finny Smith, Tarry
Easton all out. Jabari Smith Junior looks like he's questionable. Man.
When I look at these two teams, first of all,
my bad. Let me get to the schedule situation. For
the Cavaliers, they are coming off of well, no, Cavaliers
do have some rest here. It's the Rockets. They do
have a couple of days off, but they are coming
off of that overtime game. You know, when I think
it is Cavaliers team, I keep saying the same thing.
This is a team that we can trust to score.
You know, they can score, but they can't get any stops.
And the Rockets, I feel like they I would trust
them more to get a stop than the Cavaliers. And
the Rockets offense has been good too. I think my
preferred side would be the Rockets, just because I think
they're playing better basketball right now. That's just the team
that I trust a little bit more. As far as
the total I would want to see marrow in. I
would like to see Jabari Smith Jr. In I would
look towards an over. I mean, the Rockets road games
have been very high scoring, and I just talked about
the Calves who we can't really trust to get stops.
So this is pretty much seems like an over game
to me. And just the team I think is playing
better right now. Team that I trust a little bit
more right now is absolutely Houston. That's if nine on
these Calves, and like in Spider to go off, I
think Spider absolutely can go off. Matt likes the Rockets,
so a little bit different opinions in the chat. We'll
keep going down the list Warriors and Heat, and I
think a lot of changes are happening as we're speaking. Yeah,
I see, not very long ago Steph was rolled out.
Jimmy is questionable with then illness. So this open six
and a half for the Heat, I'm seeing it as
high as nine and a half. There are still some
eight and a halfs out there. Total open two thirty
and a half and it looks like it's as high
as two thirty three and a half. So I mentioned
Steph out. They'll also be without Horford, Kaminga and Melton. Yeah,
Buddy Hill Draymond and Jimmy Butler all questionable for the heat.
Jovic and Ban look like they're both questionable. Still no
hero of course, still no Rods here. Second of it
back to back. We know, we just saw the Warriors
last night versus the Magic third. That makes it third
game and four nights for them, fourth and six as well.
For the heat. They are the rested, more rested team
I feel like, and I'm gonna double check here. Yeah,
this is the last game of a six game road
trip for the Warriors. So not only have they been
playing all these games playing on the back to back,
they've all been on the road. I know this one
stays in Florida, but you know, last game of that
road trip, second on back to back, just doesn't seem
like the greatest of spots for this Warriors team. You
see already with some of these guys being rolled out
for the heat. It's only their second game in five days.
And yeah, they didn't have to travel from their last one.
They stayed right here at home. So big spot you
can say for the heat. And honestly, you know, I
would like to think it's a big Jimmy game versus
the heat, but I mean, Jimmy played a big game
yesterday and they didn't win. So if I'm doing anything
for the Warriors right now, it's just Jimmy props and
if he plays, you know, I would expect him to
play really well versus old team doesn't play, you get
your money back. Outside of that, it's hard to look
any other way than the Miami Heat. It this is
just the perfect spot for the Heat here. So let
me clean said a couple more things really quick. See
if maybe is there any reason to look at the
heat early? I mean the Heat four and one HS
their last five in the first half, compared to three
and two full game Warriors a little bit, I mean
two and three in the first half of HS. Maybe
early is a look before? Maybe I mean no on
the second of it back to back. Dude, think it's
you know, you want the entirety of the game to
just wear them out. Maybe it's a smack City spot
that my guy j Money would say somewhat shape or form.
I think you you bet on the heat in this game.
All right, let me take a look at a couple
of comments, then we'll keep it going. Let's see. Let's
see in case he says powellin Willigins might get twenty
five thirty a piece, and Draymond don't want to play
without stuff. Yeah, thanks for that reminder. I do think
Draymond will be rolled out. If he's not rolled out,
I would look at Draymond unders. I'm pretty sure that
was the thing without Steph. I could go and look
it up, but I know I've looked it up before.
And you know, if you watched basketball for a while,
you know Draymond doesn't want to play without Steph. So
we don't want to expect him out there. If he
does go out there, he probably want to get kicked out.
He might barely even play. Kings and Thunder opened up
seventeen for the Thunder looks like eighteen and a half.
Hold open two thirty three and a half as low
as two thirty one right now. As far as an
injury report, you have Kick and Murray and Sabonis both
out for OKAC my bad here for Oka. See you
have jdubb Kenrick Williams, Aaron Wiggins and Topic all out
for the Kings. They have had a couple of days off,
so I have you know they're well arrested. Rest advantage, however,
you want to call it. They have already played this
Thunder team and they can't be respectable. They played them
on October twenty eighth. Oh no, they played them, my bad.
They played them twice this year. One time. The first
time they lost by six. Second time they lost by
thirty one. And I believe that thirty one was a
Cup game as well. So Indiana wanted to I mean,
I'm sorry, Oklahoma City wanted to really run it up.
So I transferred them to get back at them after
that blowout. I just don't know how much I can
trust them. You know, I've kind of come to the
point where I don't really want to step in the
front of Okac. It's just just like that, like they've
been too dominant to step in front of him. The
Kings haven't covered the game, and I mean, at the
minimum five games, they haven't been playing well at all.
I know this number is humongous, but okay, all okay
see has shown us lately is you know, they play
hard every single night. They have enough guys on the
roster to go out there and blow teams out on
a nightly basis. So I don't want to step in
front of that it's still okay, see or nothing for me,
And that might just mean nothing. I know Westbrook versus
old team, he might play a hard game. Maybe look
at Westbrook props financially free and focuses over his rebounds
and assists. Definitely can understand and play on that. All right,
let's see if we can keep going to Washington and Minnesota.
I'll keep this one short. I don't feel very strong
about this game. It's a huge spread. Washington, you know,
can get blown out by anybody, and Minnesota has been
playing really well lately, so I'll lean Minnesota. But I
just don't really want to get involved with the sixteen
spread in that game. So we'll save some time on
that one and move it on over to the Nuggets
and Pelicans for another Humanuggets spread open thirteen and a
half looks like fourteen total open two thirty two and
a half went up to two thirty four, and I
feel like we can do the same thing here. Nuggets
coming off of I mean, they should be embarrassed after
losing to the Bulls. Bulls run the back to back
double overtime after double overtime game and they just booked
on the Nuggets. Nuggets look like they didn't even want
to be there. The Pelicans, they've already beat them by
this margin a couple of times. They can absolutely, you know,
blow them out as long as they care. I think
they should care after that last performance, so Lean Denver.
But don't want to sit on this game too long
for you know something I don't feel strong about. In
a big points spread game, New York and Dallas open
four and a half for New York looks like seven
and a half or eight and total from two twenty
eight and a half to two thirty and a half
for the Mavericks. Big injury report Nimhar Kyrie xham ad out.
You have Black and Martin both questionable. Lively and gaff
are both probable for the Knicks. Bronson is questionable. I
believe he was at shooting around and Anobi is out.
I'll be interested to see how much Bronston plays, how
well he plays, but I think when he does see Dallas,
you know it's a game where he wants to have
a really big game. I just Dallas at home catching
this many points. I mean, I'm gonna lanto something. It
is the third game in fortnites for Dallas, fourth and six.
It's just been so bad it's hard to put your
money on anything other than expecting him not to score.
Mavericks covered one of their last five games. Mavericks. Oh,
this is interesting. Mavericks first half team total is five
to oh to the under, but the full game is
four and one to the over. So they've just been
very slow out the gate and then figure it out
after halftime. That's what that's telling me. That is very interesting. Yeah,
this one is ah, this one is tough. Both teams
kind of equal defensive rating. The last five games, MAVs
have been the second worst offense. In the last five games,
Knicks have been top five. I just don't like getting
the assend of the line for you know, a row
favorite here from four and a half to seven and
a half. I feel like the only way to play
this right now is Dallas or play the total. And
I'm just I mean, pace wise the Mavericks. This is surprising.
Mavericks at the fastest pace last five games, next top ten.
So if Mavericks all of a sudden want to run
next offense has been playing, well, maybe they're just assuming
if we play faster we can get some of these
easy baskets and help the offense. That's kind of not
just analyzing the data. That's kind of what it seems
like to me. They need to do something because that
offense thinks. Yeah, I mean, I can understand looking at
the pace our teams have been playing pace wise, why
this total is going up a little bit. So maybe
a lean towards over trying to give you guys something here,
but a tough game to bet for me anything else here?
All right, we can keep going Bulls and Blazers. The
last game on the slate. We did just see the
Blazers last night. This one opened up Bulls minus one
and a half looks like two and a half or
three depending where he shot. Total went from two forty
three and a half to two forty four and a half.
We have Drew and Jeremy Grant both questionable, scoop with
teas Tybo and Wesley look like they're all out for Chicago.
Smith probable, Jones questionable, Collins out. Like I mentioned, second
of the back to back, third and fourth for the Blazers,
fourth and six as well. It is third and fourth
for the Bulls, but they do have the rest advantage.
It's just I mean, for one, I think it's telling
that the Bulls are a favorite. I mean, we know
the situation, but I I don't think the Blazers, especially
without Drew, are that good. I know he's questionable today,
he was out for sure last game. But if they
don't have Drew, I just can't trust him at all.
That's just kind of what it's boiling down to for me.
So with him his status up in the air, you know,
Chicago being the more rested team, I would roll with
them as the slight real favorite and just expect them
to get the dub here. So don't have too much
on this game, but I try to give you a
little something on each one, and I would recommend Chicago
Bulls if I'm bettering this one right now. All right,
So we made it through all the games in the slate.
I don't really love talking to myself, but we made it.
It is what it is. Before we get to best bets,
let me do what I usually do here. If you
guys want to rock with the three Day Pass, you
can sign up with the full court All Access, get
three days of college basketball and NBA fly forty nine bucks.
You want to do a little bit longer than that.
Ten days of picks for less than ten dollars per day,
that's available as well. You want to do a little
long term, more long term than that, we're still doing
the five hundred dollars off the one year past comes
out to just win twenty five a month. And let's
say you signed up for mine, you get a twenty
five percent bonus. Keep on, you can go and you know,
check out Robino as well. Now outside of that, I
will remind everybody that I do have a five percent
best bet in association tonight. I played it yesterday. I
love this play. It makes a lot of sense to me.
So if you want to be involved, you want to
rock with me today on that five percent, you know
you can find it over at wager Talk. Best bet
for the show Man. I want to go with one
that I want to go with one that we talked out. Well,
you know what, I'm just gonna leave it alone today
because I haven't added yet. Honestly, it's a good time
to get the full court all access. I'm sorry when
I have the place. I gave you a winner yesterday,
you know when I had multiple already in mind. But
it's not fair for me to give you the one
that I've played so far, and you know people have
already bought it, so we'll be adding throughout the day.
I just don't like to share bets that I don't
have money on myself. So hopefully you guys understand that
you've heard me break down the car. You know ways
that I'm looking. I will show up these looks a
little bit later and subscribers, you'll see them soon. So
be back here tomorrow with Robno. We'll run through the
NBA card. We have four games there. We'll talk out
the football card as well, and we'll try to find
those winners. So best of luck everybody on all your
action tonight, and I'll catch you guys tomorrow