Speaker 1: Our love.
Speaker 2: Welcome to the best sports betting show on the planet.
This is way to talk today. I am your host,
Andy Lang. It is five dollars Tuesday. We got a
great mix of action. Of course, we gotta talk a
little NFL preseason. We got a strong, strong slate in
MLB and w NBA. We're gonna break it all down.
Giann is gonna join us with the Steam Report. Howckey profits,
gonna join us to talk the links in the storm,
the on fire links, Can the storm get in their way?
And we got Steve Merrill to break down the Reds
and the Cubs. Also gonna look at the Colts and
Ravens and Dan and I are gonna break down these
stealers over or under eight and a half season win totals. So, guys,
today is a celebration. We're celebrating. More on that a
little bit later. But we're in a good mood and
we're loving life. Let's bring on Giohnny and let's get
into the Steam Report. Johnny, good morning, and another seven
point swing in WNBA total. See like, uh so, how's
the Steam Report looking? We busy or not?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I've got tons of information mostly in uh preseason football.
Speaker 4: Tons of moves in preseason football.
Speaker 3: We do have WNBA, we do have Major League Baseball
as well. Also, if you go over to my Instagram
or my TikTok, I released a premium play, a subscriber's
play for UFC three nineteen.
Speaker 4: That's two weeks away.
Speaker 3: But while doing a production meeting for the UFC, we
were going over a fight. I got some good information
confirmations that I like, so I said, I gotta bet
this now. I released it yesterday on social media at.
Speaker 4: Plus two forty.
Speaker 3: It's now down the plus two hundred, so getting a
little respect on that play. It's still up and available.
I know it's two weeks away, but again, sometimes got
to get out ahead of that market if you feel
it's going to move in that direction. But baseball, WNBA, NFL,
where do you want to start?
Speaker 2: Let's do WNBA real quick, because I see we have
that huge line move in the total on a Dallas
in New York. Other than that, a little bit of
move Washington, Chicago. What are you seeing?
Speaker 1: Yeah?
Speaker 3: I talked about New York getting steamed yesterday as soon
as that line went up. That's why you're looking at
elevens now but the highest I saw on any account
was like minus nine minus nine and a half. Also
up to minus one seventy five, believe it or not
on the over in that Dallas and New York, they
just kept steaming it. Two more plays in WNBA Phoenix
minus to fourteen and then six fourteen under one fifty
seven and a half Minnesota and Seattle baseball. Small board
in baseball so far, but again it's very early. Baseball
should be coming in. Throughout the day, I've been very selective.
Haven't released a baseball yet. Went four and oh yesterday
number one over the last seven days in baseball, we're
just staying very selective.
Speaker 4: Here's what I got so far.
Speaker 3: Nine two Pittsburgh plus one thirty five plus one third
one That doesn't appear that way, but San Diego, San
Diego got steamed at the opener of minus one twenty.
Since then you've seen the line move up and down,
but I can tell you San Diego minus one twenty
was the legit side and the under in that game
as well. And then nine to sixty one Minnesota plus one,
forty nine to sixty five New York Yankees plus one twenty,
so we got three Dogs, Pittsburgh, Minnesota Yankees, and a
slight favorite on San Diego in baseball.
Speaker 4: So that's WNBA and baseball for today.
Speaker 2: Love it any lines kind of surprising you. I the
one that kind of jumps out to me is I
don't understand why Milwaukee is what is it hoving around?
Minus one forty five? I mean, Atlanta loses again yesterday
three to one. I had Milwaukee on the team total
over four and a half. They didn't even need four runs.
I'm surprised that this Atlanta Braids team is still not,
you know, plus two hundred on these, especially when you
got a team like Milwaukee. Miwaukee didn't even play yesterday
and beat him three to one.
Speaker 3: Yeah, and Milwaukee was a four percent play for me.
Long a Milwaukee yesterday fading the Braves. But money's coming
in right now on the Braves. You're seeing some Atlanta money,
but that could again. We're seeing a lot of manipulation early.
You gotta remember some of my even credit outs, they
won't take above five hundred dollars limit until after like
noon part time. So like that, when it comes to baseball,
you gotta remember they don't just don't They're not just
they're not writing enough action. On the other side. You know,
this is that time of the year where it just slow.
It's kind of the sharps versus the books, and you're
seeing that the line reflect that. And what we're seeing
also is somebod These lines will trickle down and then boom.
The legit move will come in a lot later. And
I mean you could see that happening where this line
creeps down a little bit and then boom, my Milwaukee
gets steamed before first pitch. So be careful to the
later line move. Those will will be more legit because
again there's no move, no room and time to maneuver
after that. So pay attention to a lot of the
later stuff. But yeah, I don't know why the they're
like in the Atlanta at the dog price. You've been
talking about fading Atlanta for a little while now, and
they just haven't been able.
Speaker 4: To win a game.
Speaker 3: They won two of their last eight, So again, I
don't see what the attraction is with Atlanta, even his
home dogs.
Speaker 2: We've talked about the magical number of sixty percent of wins.
Can the team win sixty percent of their wins? There's
only one team above sixty percent. I don't think anybody
had the Brewers at the beginning of the season as
a team. So, yeah, sixty point seven. The Dodgers are
at fifty seven and a half. I'm assuming maybe a
little buyback on the Brewers at some point, maybe not now,
with as hot as their bats have been.
Speaker 4: I think so.
Speaker 3: In fact, I have a future that we bet at
the half for the Cubs to win this Central and
that was when at the half at the All Star break,
I think they were tied or one was one game up.
You know what I mean That that they've been right
there and we laid some chalk actually that the Cubs
win that that division. Again, not looking all that great
the way Minnesota has come out over the last week
or two, but I think they're going to regress towards
the mean. I mean, they're they're winning more games than
they should based on run scored, runs allowed. That's what's good.
My guy sent me my thing yesterday. Wait, yeah, today's
Tuesday Senate yesterday. Here's what he actually still has as
of today. As up today, Okay, he has the Chicago
Cubs winning that division by two games, so he still
has even during this run, he has Chicago winning that division.
Speaker 4: So take that as you wish.
Speaker 2: Uh le, let me pull up the Cubs schedule here.
They got a couple more games against Red Saint Louis, Toronto, Pittsburgh, Milwaukee.
There's a wow, that's five games against Milwaukee. That's gonna
be a big good that'll decide a lot, that'll decide.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 2: Yeah, they got a bunch of games. Oh, they got
a big stretch against Colorado, Atlanta, Washington, and Atlanta again.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 2: I could see them going on a elation n run.
So yeah, absolutely, So all right, anything else in baseball
today that we need to be aware of, I don't
see much with weather or anything.
Speaker 4: No, it's all the excitement about this weekend in the NFL.
Speaker 3: We got Thursday game, Friday games, Saturday games.
Speaker 4: I'm excited too. I can't believe it. Preseason's here. Time
to go.
Speaker 2: Anything you notice with the lines at this point, Oh
my gosh.
Speaker 4: Yeah, four and a half Cincinnati line and a half
a lot of big moves. So far.
Speaker 3: I've given out four premium plays for week one preseason.
We got I think two plays on Thursday, one play
on Friday, one play on Saturday.
Speaker 4: The plays are coming.
Speaker 3: In and as they do, you gotta get down because
these lines are moving. I'm gonna give you the NFL
preseason moves right.
Speaker 4: Now, and in these moves, I'll add.
Speaker 3: The premiums that I released. Can't tell you which ones
are which you decide which ones you agree with or don't,
but the four premium plays that I did release through
subscribers are on this list.
Speaker 4: Here we go.
Speaker 3: Here's NFL preseason Week one, one oh five. Cincinnati minus one.
That's no longer there. You're looking at six right now.
I told you guys that yesterday I did send out
to my subscribers Cincinnati minus one. That's called the good bet.
So we have Cincinnati minus one. It's now minus six.
I probably wouldn't piggyback that one ten Carolina minus two,
minus two and a half and under thirty four, thirty
three and a half and thirty three. That's Cleveland, Carolina,
So Carolina, and the under one eleven Detroit minus one
and minus two one fifteen New York Giants at plus
two all the way down to pick the one twenty
three Tennessee minus two, minus two and a half, minus
three and the under thirty four in Tennessee Tampa Bay one, fourteen,
New England minus the two.
Speaker 4: You're now looking at minus three. They're forgive me.
Speaker 3: Tennessee was at minus two, it's now sitting at minus three.
So one twenty three Tennessee minus two, one fourteen, New
England minus two one eighteen Minnesota minus one and a
half and two and over thirty six one twenty nine Denver, Denver,
going through all the key number they went through three,
they're up to what minus five or so, interested to
see if it gets the six, But they laid the one,
they laid the two, they laid the three. They even
laid the four on Denver. And then finally New Orleans
minus the two and the over thirty five New Orleans
and the Chargers.
Speaker 4: So a lot of.
Speaker 3: Preseason movement shows you just how much value is in
the preseason. And that's a perfect example of getting the
best of it and knowing you're placing good bets. Preseason
gives you that opportunity that you will not get during
the regular season unless.
Speaker 4: There's a huge injury.
Speaker 3: I will never be able to send out an NFL
play for four percent of my subscribers at minus one
and have it get the minus six two days later,
that's just not going to happen without like huge key injuries.
But in the preseason you will see the lines are
very inefficient, and as information comes in, you'll see just
how much they're willing to keep moving these lines, Like
the fact that moves two points sometimes isn't scaring them.
As a perfect example, Denver, they're laying Denver minus two,
They're still laying Denver minus four through a key number
of three. So it tells you just how much value
preseason offers. I know guys will be like, there you
bet preseason you're degenerate, bro. There's some of the most
advantageous positions are going to be over these next couple
of weeks in the NFL, that's for sure.
Speaker 2: Absolutely. Hey, you know I make my living on props
and obscure bets and things like that. We got to
we have a tennis and soccer parlay to close out today.
Speaker 4: Why not?
Speaker 2: The numbers numbers are there, The numbers are there. So Giohnny,
it is five dollars Tuesday, What do you have up
for five hours?
Speaker 4: I'm trying to decide, man, I haven't put it on.
Speaker 3: I'm gonna put it right when we get off of
this call because I have NFL, I have UFC, I
got WNBA, and I got Major League Baseball.
Speaker 4: It's like, I want to.
Speaker 3: Try to give them a winner for tonight because I
know a lot of guys buy that five dollar play.
Speaker 4: So just given me be like ten minutes.
Speaker 3: And I'll narrow down which switch markets the strongest for
you guys.
Speaker 2: All right, checking ten minutes, we're gonna hold you that.
Thank you, Gianni. Have a great Tuesday. We'll see tomorrow.
Speaker 4: Oh, I'm back Contenders next Tuesday.
Speaker 2: Oh oh, we'll talk. We're gonna talk Contender series next Monday.
We'll get into Contender series when those lines come out.
Absolutely so, all right, let's just keep moving. Guys, hit
the like button while you're watching. Make sure you subscribe
to the channel. We blasted through that two hundred and
ten thousand subscriber mark two hundred and thirty. It's gonna
be our next celebration for that one. Let's bring in
Ski Profit. I mean, if you can't hit the like button,
Ski profit bringing down a WNBA game? What are we
doing here?
Speaker 5: Ski?
Speaker 2: How you doing?
Speaker 5: I can't complain at all. I'm feeling good today. It's
good to be back on the show with you. I
appreciate you having me absolutely.
Speaker 2: Let's take a look at this Links in Storm game.
I mean, we're late in the season and the Links
are still number one in offense and defensive rating this season. Insane.
For twenty four and five, the Storm have lost too
in a row. I noted the Storm they are getting
crushed on the boards. We had a nice play on
one of their opponents to go over her rebounds and
it flew over. So we got pretty big number here
the Links in the Storm. But what's your breakdown on
this game?
Speaker 5: Yeah? Pretty well.
Speaker 6: First of all, I mean, you mentioned how good the
Links are so far this season. I believe they're twenty
four and five, they're comfortably in first place, and they're
coming off of a what fifty three point win, so
I'm looking at this as a little bit of a lead.
Speaker 5: Down spot for them.
Speaker 6: They also are down the piece of Collier. She'll be
out for a couple of weeks afterweaking her ankle. Without her,
they're oh and two straight up and against the spread.
Speaker 5: I'm sorry, not without her. After winning by thirty.
Speaker 6: Plus this season, they're owing two straight up in against
the spread, So I think it's a big letdown spot
for them.
Speaker 5: And on the other side, and then you already kind
of mentioned it.
Speaker 6: Seattle's off back to back losses at home, and just
looking at the standings, I mean, they're barely hanging on
to that sixth seed right now. They have the Aces
and the Valkyries right behind them. So I think it's
a very important game for Seattle.
Speaker 5: They're at home.
Speaker 6: They've already beaten this Minnesota team once this season when
the Links were fully healthy, so why can't they beat
them in a desperation spot without the Link's best player.
So I'm looking towards their side, you know. And as
far as the total is concerned, I think I heard
Yanni say under I can understand it. I mean, the
Storm's identity all season long has been defense more than offense.
Speaker 5: If you look at the.
Speaker 6: Storm off of a loss so far this season, opponent's
team totals are nine and three to the under. If
you look at the Storm off back to back losses
since the beginning of last season, opponent's team totals are six.
Speaker 5: And zero to the under off back to back losses.
Speaker 6: They just respond playing good defense and the Links, like
I said, coming off that huge win.
Speaker 5: They shot I think above sixty from three.
Speaker 6: I'm looking for a lot of regression in that regard.
So if you put them together, that means links team
total under. So either storm or under, or you can
put them together and you got a Lynks team total under.
Speaker 5: That's the way I'm looking at this game.
Speaker 2: Nice Uh. Any other WNBA teams you got your eye on,
I've had a good read on the on the Sky
and the Fever with some of their player props. I mean,
the Sky have been as predictable as you can get
without Angel Rees in the lineup. Just take their team
total under. Uh, they've been a disaster. So any teams
you've you've been you've been keeping your eye on, you've
been having success with, not.
Speaker 6: Really locked on on a specific team, I'll say I
think New York is going to trend in the right direction.
Speaker 5: After they had their team meeting.
Speaker 6: They had a couple of losses after that, but I
liked what I saw from them in the last game.
I think they'll get it together and start to win
and cover some games. As far as Chicago, they're getting
a little healthier. Everybody except for Angel Reese is playing
and and they did inspire the coach. So you know,
across all sports, when tea inspired the coach, we see
a little bit of a boost in the near.
Speaker 5: Future, So I would look maybe for that from them.
Speaker 6: I think Phoenix has been they've been playing like their
schedule has been really tough, and because of it, they've
looked so bad. But in the near future, their schedule
gets a lot easier. So I think you can buy
low on the Mercury right now. In general, I mean,
those are some things that I'm looking at.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I keep trying to figure out a
way to they just keep blaming these huge numbers on
the Connecticut Sun and they're so bad ski I mean,
they're really bad. But it's just like, man, can you
lay fifteen every single night against them? And then the
money line is blown way out of proportion. So I've
had my eye on them. I just can't figure out
a way to fade them.
Speaker 5: Well, the Sun, they've gotten better.
Speaker 6: They started off the season absolutely pathetic, but they started
to get some chemistry and some rhythm into the All
Star break and since they still looked, okay, you get
Marina maybe back in the lineup. That's a lot more offense, Okay,
it's not too many times, and I'm the way they're
playing right now at least that I'm running to the
window to you know, lay fifteen against them. But I
do think the Mercury are desperate for a really good game,
and I like what I saw, and I believe it
was the second half of their last game, so I
think they'll hit the.
Speaker 4: Switch, all right.
Speaker 2: Torren says, Andy looks like Jimmy Kimmel. No, Jimmy Kimmel
looks like me. Make no, no, no, they look like me.
I'm the original. They they copied me, so Jimmy Kimmel
and our guys.
Speaker 7: Ski.
Speaker 2: Uh, you guys, guys got jokes today, Ski, Is anything
I was gonna ask you about NBA, anything kind of
uh you got your eye on, or anything that you've
been surprised by, or any offseason moves. It's kind of
a kind of taking you by surprise. Any thoughts on
NBA at this point.
Speaker 6: Honestly, nothing big has happened in the past week or two,
and I haven't really been too focused on the NBA.
I've been looking more at Tennis, WNBA, doing my football
research last season at college football research too, NFL and
college football I was one thirty eight and one O
nine fifty five point nine percent about like plus twenty
three three units. So I'm just really trying to focus
on getting prepared for football, and then after that I'm
deep dive into the NBA.
Speaker 2: Love it, love it. What's your finding in football? Anything
anything surprise you?
Speaker 6: Well, I'm gonna be honest. Last year I had I
did a process for the first time, like preparing early
and going through every team before I really make a decision,
and I had a lot of success. My futures were
five and one. So next Tuesday, I'll have some stuff
I can share with you. For NFL, I haven't finished yet.
I think I need like eight more teams.
Speaker 2: So okay, all right, a tease for next week Green
to get Ski profits NFL thoughts Ski, It's five dollars Tuesday.
What do you have about for everyone?
Speaker 6: Yeah, I do have a best bet in the association.
I do have a trend in the back it as well.
It's hit I believe seventy five percent twenty eleven, so
it's uping available on my page. And yeah, just getting
ready for football. So if you want to rock with me,
you know where to find it. I'll have a college
football playoff in the next few days, and then, like
I said, next week, I have some good NFL for
you guys. So appreciate you having me Andy, and I'll
see you guys next week.
Speaker 2: Love it, ski profit everyone, great breakdown in WNBA. We
mentioned it is five dollars Tuesday. Every capper can put
a play up for just five bucks. Perfect time to
try someone new, stack your card, grab a play from WNBA,
from MLB, even UFC. My particular play is in WNBA.
I'm seeing the sport really well. Only had two plays
last week and we hit both of them, So got
a WNBA play with I was so excited that put
it up last night, so I didn't want to wait
for today. So just five bucks you can get Skis
played Giotti's play, Steve Merrill's play. Grab as many as one.
But again we always say this on Tuesday, bet responsibly.
We don't want to have a huge chunk of our
bank roll just in one night. So great way to
experiment with some new cappers to take advantage of five
dollars Tuesday. All right, let's go all around the world.
Let's get some free plays here. We're gonna start with
this Brewers and Braves. This is on the free picks page.
We gotta go back to the Brewers. Brewers won four
straight seven out of eight forty one runs the last
four games. They even play great last night they won.
Braves are three and nine the last twelves and Peralta's
pitching for the Brewers. He had a bad outing last time,
so we expect a nice, nice regression back positive to
the mean. So Brewer's money line still reasonable price. FedEx
Saint Jude PGA Playoffs starts this week. In fact, tea
time just went up with myself and Nick Borman break
it down the first round of the Golf playoffs. Really
good betting opportunities. Let's go to Matthew Fitzpatrick finish top
twenty including ties, five top twenty finishes in a row,
four top tens in a row, second best total strokes
gained in the field the last three months. He is
catching fire at the exact right time. This is one
of those guys that comes out of nowhere and wins
the entire thing. So Matthew Fitzpatrick just to get in
the top twenty only minus won twenty five and this
is a short field there's only seventy guys in it,
and we mentioned some of these WNBA props. Let's do
Sophie cunning him over eight and a half points. She's
gone over in eight out of the last ten. She
doesn't take a lot of shots, but she hits a
lot of them, over fifty five percent from the field
in eight out of the last ten games, and the
last seven games of the Sparks are ninth worst in
defensive ratings. So Sophie Cunningham has been really good from
behind the three point line and she makes her free throw.
So still getting this eight and a half hit eighty
percent in the last ten games. Those are your free plays.
All right, Let's bring on Steve Merrill. We got to
talk a little MLB and NFL preseason Steve Happy five
dollars Tuesday? How are you?
Speaker 7: Yes, Andy, Happy five dollars Tuesday.
Speaker 3: Here?
Speaker 2: It is there, it is.
Speaker 7: It's the best Tuesday of the week every week, this
five dollars Tuesday.
Speaker 2: Yes, I want to talk about I want to talk
about this. This Cubs team. We talked about them earlier.
How there are a few games behind Milwaukee, but Gihanny
likes them to win the division. They've got a really,
really nice schedule coming up. They're in this series with
the Reds. Reds squeak out a three to two winner yesterday,
which your breakdown on this game, we look at another
low scoring one. Are you looking at the side.
Speaker 8: You know, if we weren't sports handicapfers, we'd be weathermen,
probably right, because you had like fifty two to fifty
three percent. In sports, you make money. You have fifty
three percent of the weather forecast, you get to stay
on the air for decades. You could be a weatherman
with Chicago cub home games. The reason I bring that
up is all you have to do is look at
the total. When you see tens and elevens, you know
which way the wind is blowing in Wrigley. When you
see an opening line of eight that's now down to
seven and a half, juice to the under, well, you
kind of know which way the wind is probably blowing tonight.
And yes, it is blowing in And I do like
the under in this game, not only for that reason,
but some other reasons as well. We'll dig a little
bit here into the pitching matchup in a moment. As
you know, I always talk about offensive momentum for both teams.
I think you know, starting pitching still makes up the
large majority of how lines are set nowadays in baseball,
even though these guys only go about half a game.
So I always like to look at how these teams
are hitting the ball recently. You mentioned the game yesterday
fairly low scoring as well, so I don't think either
team is going to crush the ball, especially with the
wind blowing in tonight on Tuesday and Wrigley this game,
by the way, eight h five Eastern start. And the
Cubs have had a great season. They've had one of
the best run differentials all year in baseball. They've been
the best team probably the National League throughout the season.
Three to two loss yesterday. They lost, of course, four
to three to the slumping Orioles last Saturday, so they've
dropped two out of three.
Speaker 7: They have now put up three runs or.
Speaker 8: Less than three of their last four games. Reds meanwhile,
have been alternating wins and losses for the past week.
They have also scored three runs or less now in
three straight games. So, as I mentioned, offensive momentum, nothing
special for either team. Win blowing in, and we have
two pitchers that are very capable in the mound tonight,
especially for Zach Ledl for the Reds. Is a guy
I want to talk about a little bit here. This
is a guy that's got a three point six ERA
for the season, but he's been even better over his
last seven starts. You go back to mid June, he
has a two point nine ERA his last seven outings.
Two decent pitchers on the mound, two overall with decent teams,
and two offenses that don't.
Speaker 7: Look like they're in good current form.
Speaker 8: I agree with the sharp money it's hit this line
from eight now down to seven and a half under fifteen,
but I still like the under here. Seven of course
is the key number in baseball, so as long as
you're getting seven and a half or more, they'll still
think there's some undervalue.
Speaker 7: With the Wrigley game tonight.
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, the wind in Wrigley is just I mean,
it's night and day different. Great, it doesn't end up
being blowing that hard, Like ten to fifteen miles an
hour doesn't sound like a lot. And yeah, it literally
makes a two or three run difference in the line.
It's crazy how that works. I was gonna ask you
about the Colts and the Ravens, my Indianapolis Colts. I mean,
I don't know what you do with this one, because
the line is, you know, we missed it. You know
it opened up pretty close to pick them or minus one.
Now it's up to four and a half. Somebody that
lives in Indianapolis, I can tell you that these quarterbacks
are gonna play like they're legit trying to figure out
who's gonna be the starter. This is not Anthony Richardson
or Daniel Jones locked in, So I'm guessing that's what
they're seeing here in this game. What's your take on
the Ravens and the Colts? Up to minus four over
under thirty six?
Speaker 8: Yeah, a couple of years ago, if you could have
gotten the Ravens as a dog, let alone a four
and a half point dog, you could have made a
small fortune.
Speaker 7: Our ball, what was it, seventeen straight wins.
Speaker 2: In the year, So it's great. It was the best
bet in all sports.
Speaker 7: It was.
Speaker 8: He never lost. But if you look, he's been below
five hundred gains to spread the last couple of preseasons.
Obviously the Betty Marcus caught onto that, and he hasn't
made the effort to win like he used to. On
top of that, Yeah, Baltimore Opland briefly as a one
point home favored in this game. This game is in Baltimore,
Indianapolis four and a half point favorite. Now it's not Indianapolis.
It's in Baltimore, Thursday night, seven o'clock Eastern. First game
on the board for this full week one of the
NFL preseason. But yeah, the mar kids move on information
in the preseason. Something that's interesting to Andy about these
two teams is they've had joint practices, a couple scrimmages already,
so they know each other fairly well. I find that interesting,
and some of the coaches have said that the scrimmages
have been even more important than this game will be.
At least that's how the Ravens feels. That's another reason
we've seen this line move heavy to Indianapolis. The quarterback
rotations aren't officially out yet, but once again, both Daniel
Jones and Anthony and Richardson, as you said, are fighting
for a spot to NFL starters. And whenever you see that,
it catches your attention, not just because you're gonna have
decent quarterbacks for probably the whole first half, but also
because you normally keep your starters in longer, especially the
offensive live, because first of all, you want to protect
these guys and second of all, you want to see
them both play with the starters to give them an
apples to apples comparison. So there's no question that's the
reason we've seen the line move so heavy for the Colts.
Baltimore obviously has no quarterback competition whatsoever. Lamar Jackson will
not play, not a surprise, and you know we have
seen Harball make an effort in the past, but we
haven't seen that much in recent years.
Speaker 7: Cooper Rush, though, is on the roster. Now.
Speaker 8: We got some experience here at quarterback, but I think
they're gonna want to look at the rookies and the
youngsters more so. You know, maybe an in game situation,
if it's close to early, you come in with the Colts.
At halftime, maybe you come in with the Colts. Even
because I think the Ravens, even the second half of
the backups in there, are going to be the weaker
quarterback rotation. We do not have any team totals yet
this a couple of days before the game. But obviously
you could also look at the Colts over team total
would make some sense. This is a fairly hefty total
for a Week one NFL preseason game. You know, I
gave you the over last week here on the show
over thirty three in the Hall of Fame game. It
got there, but that's because the Chargers did all the
heavy lifting. It was thirty four to seven. This totals
price did thirty six. It's opened a bit. It opened
if thirty five, it's been bumped up a bit to
thirty six. If you just do some quick math, that
would make it twenty to sixteen the projective final. So
you're talking about a Colts team total likely in the
twenty point range. So Colts team total over twenty maybe
makes some sense here with the quarterback rotation first half over.
But I'll pause on both of those just due to
the fact that these teams have scrimmaged. They've probably have
been pretty vanilla so far this week, and both teams
have had a feel for each other. So it's a
tough call here. But yes, sharp money is definitely on
the Colts. That looks like the preferred side in this game.
Speaker 2: I haven't seen too many videos of a training camp fights.
Remember do you used to have.
Speaker 8: Guys are so soft Nowadays they don't even make an
effort to fight in training camp anymore.
Speaker 2: It was always stupid. It was like guys, guys literally
fighting for roster spots. It's like, why why are you fighting?
Let's show the coaches we can't control our emotions even
in preseason. I'm sure they'll love that. And then then
it's like, no, no passion, they're just passionate really training camp.
But yeah, those videos, I haven't seen any this season.
Speaker 8: So it's usually it's usually a couple of three hundred
pounders grab at each other by the face mask and ripping,
and then the little like scatbacks get a little shot
in there and they get out real quick.
Speaker 7: So they are to watch.
Speaker 8: But a lot of it's also not only they're fighting
for spots, but they're out there two days without They
probably don't even do two a days anymore. But you know,
the heat, the humidity, it's so hot, awesome, it's pretty brutal.
You've got a lot of pads and helmets on. Obviously
for those who play football, it's not the most pleasant
sport in July and August to be outdoors.
Speaker 2: Oh Titan says, there was a fight yesterday at pass camp.
There we go go, there we go picked over cast
the over half of a fight at training camp video.
So I'll have to look that up. All right, David's
five dollars Tuesday, What do you have about for everyone?
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Speaker 2: Love it, Steve, thanks so much for joining us. Can't
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Just lock in three months or about two and a
half months at this point. So all right, Dan, I'll
suck the Steelers here breaking down Aaron Rodgers' next team.
Does this really come down to do you believe in
Aaron Rodgers?
Speaker 1: Is?
Speaker 2: Is it literally that simple?
Speaker 1: So? Yes and no, because here's the thing is, the
Steelers have just routinely what we got eight and a
half is basically the market number on their season win total,
and what ed ten wins, ten wins, nine wins, nine wins,
twelve wins. So the last time they didn't go over
this was twenty nineteen. So on its face, you say,
what do we know about Mike Tomlin. He goes over
five hundred every single year. That's essentially the number that
they're putting it right around. Does he go over five hundred? Well,
he does every year. However, for me, Andy, is it
as simple as hey, here's what Aaron Rodgers is. Here's
the thing with the Steelers. They routinely go over this number,
but every damn year they end up making the playoffs.
They just lose in the wildcard round and it's rinse.
Speaker 7: Wash, repeat.
Speaker 1: And so much of the Steelers success is because they
have one of the best defensive units in the league.
But one Aaron Rodgers had a defense that was one
of the best in the league as well with the
New York Jets.
Speaker 7: What did he do there?
Speaker 1: The thing for me is you're trying to dispel what
has been what the Steelers have done for the past
half a decade plus, and that's make the playoffs, lose
early in the playoffs outside of the Super Bowl run.
What playoff success have you seen from Aaron Rodgers. You've
seen him choke at home, You've seen him choke on
the road. So for me, Andy, when you're trying to
undo a losing culture, a winning yet ultimately losing culture,
probably the grim Reaper, who all he does is get
head coaches fired, isn't the guy you want to bring
in to resurrect your franchise. I'm done with the Aaron
Rodgers song and Dan, so does it all matter about
Aaron Rodgers? Sure it might, but I think this is
the year that Tomlin finally goes under five hundred. I
think the grim Reaper is coming for Tomlin. Fans are
already sick of him, and now they're going to have
it out because Aaron Rodgers is going to botch this
situation up. I think they go under this season win total.
I don't think they make the playoffs, and I would
take Mike Tomlin if you can find a prop out there.
I no bet online offers at all the time. I
wouldn't say first head coach fired because they probably won't
fire him in season, but if there's a prop out there,
will Mike Tomlin be fired this season? I'm hammering the yes.
I think this is the year that the grim Reaper
finally comes. I'm very bearish here on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Yes,
they got the job done with what that's excellent. They
should still have a solid defense, but it doesn't matter,
you know, I like the offseason addition. Sure, could Aaron
Rodgers be able to get the ball down the field the.
Speaker 7: DK Metcalf maybe?
Speaker 1: But all I know is year after year we keep
doing this dance with Aaron Rodgers when the best years
are solely behind the Mandy, I'm pretty strong towards the
under on this one.
Speaker 7: What do you think about the Steelers?
Speaker 2: All right, well, let's do the schedule and then I
have the PFF rankings, which just sums up what Pittsburgh
has been for like their entire well, I'll just go
through it. They have the number one ranked defensive line,
thirteenth ranked linebackers, sixteenth secondary on offense, twenty first offensive line,
twenty ninth wide receivers, and twenty six running back. All
defense can upgrade the offense haven't been able to do
that for twenty years. At Jets, Seahawks at Patriots, Vikings
is an overseas game, then a bye. You know, I
hate to early buy they do. Browns at Bengals, Packers,
Colts at Chargers, Bengals at Bears, Bills at Ravens, Dolphins
at Lions at Browns Ravens. They got schedule gets tough.
Here's what I don't like about their schedule. It's gonna
take Rogers in this offense a few games to click,
and that's when they have to get their wins. They
need to get their wins early. They need Jets, they
need Seahawks, they need Patriots I mean, you got the
Ravens twice towards the end of the season, you got
at Lions on their home turf, You've got Bills. Is
an easy under for me. Aaron Rodgers is forty two,
He's forty two years old. What are we doing here? Like, yeah,
I can't believe that this was their play and going
into the season was let's get Nan Rodgers.
Speaker 1: Dude, oil and water. Is going to be Mike Tomlin
and Aaron Rodgers personalities, you know what I mean? Like
Tomlin is a coach guy, but Aaron Rodgers is the
ultimate my shit, don't stink kind of player and that
doesn't vibe with what Mike tom and looks to go
and do.
Speaker 2: So yeah, you know going to be amazing, Yo, No,
they will be to be amazing like Mike, they will
be electric. Mike Tomlin is gonna come out and say,
you know, it starts with the coaching staff. That falls
on me. I gotta get these players, you know, ready
to go, And Aaron Rodgers is going to be like, yeah,
it falls on the coaching staff. They got to get
us ready to go, like no responsibility whatsoever.
Speaker 1: So like I just I would look towards Aaron Rodgers
like under props, I would just I'm I think the
defense is going to be just fine. But also, you know,
you get rid of Minka Fitzpatrick, you bring in Jalen Ramsey,
and again Jalen Ramsey is another guy who on reputation alone,
he keeps getting all of these accolades and all these loves.
Like what his defenses that he have he has been
on shore is just a cornerback.
Speaker 7: What have they won? Not a much handy.
Speaker 1: So you know, I just I I think this number
is kind of alluding to the fact that the bottoms
finally following out falling out on the the the five
hundred or better every year for Tomlin, and I think
this is finally the year the fans get to scapegoat him.
Speaker 2: Love it, love it, love the hot takes on Tomlin,
Tomlin Guinea our.
Speaker 1: Man Eric Garcia not happy, not happy with with with
the last hurrah for Aaron unfortunately, uh e G. I
think the last Hurrah might have happened like seven years ago,
a few years something like that, when when Das caught it.
Das caught it.
Speaker 2: Oh all right, great, great breakdown. Yeah, Dan and I
are easy under on the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Speaker 7: All right, quick.
Speaker 2: Reminder, my five dollars play is w NBA prop. We
went two and oh on those last week, so looking
forward to making that three and oh. Go grab that
five dollars play. It's a beautiful line of beautiful number.
I had that thing sniffed out yesterday, so I put
it up last night. So take advantage of my w
NBA five dollars play. I am off tomorrow. Kelly is
going to be hosting, and like I said, we're celebrating today.
Tomorrow is gonna be a tough one for me. I'm
always open and honest with you guys. We're gonna say
goodbye to our dog tomorrow, so I'm gonna take the
day off spend it with him. It's been fifteen amazing years.
So if you guys could send some positive vibes my
way in the comment section, I could surely use it.
But we're gonna enjoy the day. We're gonna get out
and get some fresh air. So all right, good luck
on your bets. Everyone, take care