1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:03,000 Speaker 1: NFL Week four is here. We're gonna hit on all 2 00:00:03,040 --> 00:00:07,440 those primetime games, including that doubleheader on Monday Night Football. 3 00:00:07,639 --> 00:00:10,160 We're gonna check in with VR see what he's got 4 00:00:10,199 --> 00:00:13,519 for the Steam Report. Those barking dogs are gonna keep 5 00:00:13,560 --> 00:00:17,760 on barkin this week. Is the deli still open? It's 6 00:00:17,800 --> 00:00:20,199 been red hot. Maybe Marco is gonna mix it up 7 00:00:20,199 --> 00:00:22,079 and give us a trap game, And of course we're 8 00:00:22,120 --> 00:00:24,480 gonna follow it all up with those best bets on 9 00:00:24,519 --> 00:00:42,439 the next episode of bet On It. Kelly Stewart here 10 00:00:42,479 --> 00:00:46,799 with Marco DiAngelo and Yanni the Greek. Good morning to 11 00:00:46,840 --> 00:00:49,119 all of you out there on the West Coast. It's 12 00:00:49,119 --> 00:00:52,359 a beautiful day and it's NFL Week four. I know 13 00:00:52,399 --> 00:00:54,240 I'm pretty happy because I went four and won last 14 00:00:54,240 --> 00:00:57,159 week in my super contest place, and the one loser 15 00:00:57,679 --> 00:01:01,880 was just that Marco play, and that came to the 16 00:01:01,920 --> 00:01:06,040 hands of the Seattle Seahawks. I played against him, thinking, hey, 17 00:01:06,079 --> 00:01:10,239 short week divisional game on deck Thursday Night football. But 18 00:01:10,359 --> 00:01:12,879 I was dead wrong. That game got out of control, 19 00:01:12,920 --> 00:01:16,439 and it got out of control early. Now Seattle heads 20 00:01:16,560 --> 00:01:19,000 to Arizona as a one and a half point favorite 21 00:01:19,000 --> 00:01:22,040 on Thursday Night. Total forty three and a half. Talk 22 00:01:22,120 --> 00:01:25,200 to me about why you like the home underdog here. 23 00:01:26,159 --> 00:01:29,359 Speaker 2: Well, Kelly, everybody's gonna overreact to you know what they 24 00:01:29,439 --> 00:01:32,640 saw with Seattle winning in a blowout. The week before that, 25 00:01:32,719 --> 00:01:36,040 they went on the road in Pittsburgh. So now all 26 00:01:36,079 --> 00:01:39,319 of a sudden, Seattle is a world beater. Let's just 27 00:01:39,400 --> 00:01:42,959 pump the brakes there. Arizona, you know, put them on 28 00:01:43,079 --> 00:01:45,959 that long list of teams last week that took a 29 00:01:46,040 --> 00:01:48,599 gut punch at the end of the game. I mean, 30 00:01:48,799 --> 00:01:52,760 I can't remember an NFL Sunday where more games were 31 00:01:52,799 --> 00:01:56,319 decided on, you know, final plays of the game. And 32 00:01:56,359 --> 00:02:01,319 we had some absolutely bizarre endings to these games, and 33 00:02:01,560 --> 00:02:04,120 Arizona was one of them. They were in position to 34 00:02:04,120 --> 00:02:09,319 beat San Francisco in a key division game, and generally speaking, 35 00:02:09,400 --> 00:02:12,479 when you lose a game like that, you worry about 36 00:02:12,919 --> 00:02:16,039 losing the same game twice. But the fact that this 37 00:02:16,159 --> 00:02:19,199 game is back at home, it is a Thursday night, 38 00:02:19,479 --> 00:02:23,599 it is a division game, and it is a game 39 00:02:23,680 --> 00:02:27,560 that they absolutely need. I mean, obviously, anytime you're playing 40 00:02:27,560 --> 00:02:31,479 a division game, the need is there for both teams. 41 00:02:31,800 --> 00:02:35,639 But given the fact that they lost last week to 42 00:02:35,719 --> 00:02:39,199 San Francisco, a division opponent. This makes this game a 43 00:02:39,240 --> 00:02:42,840 little bit more sense of urgency for Arizona because if 44 00:02:42,840 --> 00:02:46,000 you lose to both of your division rivals out of 45 00:02:46,039 --> 00:02:48,000 the gate, it's going to put you behind the eight 46 00:02:48,000 --> 00:02:51,159 ball for the rest of the season looking up at 47 00:02:51,199 --> 00:02:54,680 those other teams. Arizona did struggle to move the ball 48 00:02:54,759 --> 00:02:58,560 last week as it was a low scoring game. But 49 00:02:59,560 --> 00:03:05,039 let's not confuse the Seattle defense with the San Francisco defense. 50 00:03:05,680 --> 00:03:07,919 We know the forty nine Ers have had their problems 51 00:03:07,919 --> 00:03:10,319 on offense this year because of all of the injuries, 52 00:03:10,479 --> 00:03:13,319 but that is still a very stout defense with the 53 00:03:13,360 --> 00:03:17,639 forty nine ers. Seattle has had back to back easy wins, 54 00:03:17,680 --> 00:03:21,039 as I alluded to, and part of it was one 55 00:03:21,159 --> 00:03:23,960 they played probably one of the two worst teams in 56 00:03:23,960 --> 00:03:26,319 the NFL this year at the Saints, and then the 57 00:03:26,319 --> 00:03:30,159 week before you talk about gift wrapping a game for them, 58 00:03:30,240 --> 00:03:33,960 that's what the Pittsburgh Steelers did. Now they've got to 59 00:03:34,000 --> 00:03:36,319 play on a short week on the road. We know 60 00:03:36,439 --> 00:03:39,000 that the home team has the advantage on these Thursday 61 00:03:39,080 --> 00:03:41,960 night games on short week Now, given that it is 62 00:03:42,000 --> 00:03:45,280 a division game, that is neutralized a little bit because 63 00:03:45,280 --> 00:03:48,680 you know your opponent well you face them twice a year. 64 00:03:49,080 --> 00:03:52,599 I'm not going to buy into the Sam Darnold experience 65 00:03:52,960 --> 00:03:56,120 just yet. Let's see what he does in a primetime game. 66 00:03:56,199 --> 00:03:59,439 We've seen him here footsteps and see ghosts and everything 67 00:03:59,439 --> 00:04:03,599 else in big games before. And for Arizona, they did 68 00:04:03,639 --> 00:04:07,199 suffer a little bit of a setback last week offensively, 69 00:04:07,479 --> 00:04:09,719 as they lost James Connor the running back for the 70 00:04:09,759 --> 00:04:13,319 rest of the season, which means Kyler Murray's gonna have 71 00:04:13,360 --> 00:04:15,439 to step it up. And by stepping it up, I 72 00:04:15,560 --> 00:04:19,079 mean we're gonna need both his arm and his legs 73 00:04:19,120 --> 00:04:20,959 in this one, and I think he can get that 74 00:04:21,120 --> 00:04:24,360 job done. I'm gonna take the home team here. I 75 00:04:24,439 --> 00:04:27,600 think the wrong We've seen this line cross over, and 76 00:04:27,639 --> 00:04:32,000 that's because of what people saw last We've seen history 77 00:04:32,040 --> 00:04:34,759 has shown us that's a mistake when you overreact to 78 00:04:34,800 --> 00:04:38,240 one ballgame. Arizona opened to favorite and now as a 79 00:04:38,279 --> 00:04:41,240 slight underdog. I am on Arizona in this one. I 80 00:04:41,240 --> 00:04:44,839 think they get the job done and I'm sure later 81 00:04:44,879 --> 00:04:47,879 in the week VR will be talking about it if 82 00:04:47,879 --> 00:04:49,959 this line stays the way it is and gets to 83 00:04:50,000 --> 00:04:53,040 that one and a half or two on the Seattle side, 84 00:04:53,879 --> 00:04:56,720 you know, that there'll be teasers with Arizona as well 85 00:04:56,759 --> 00:04:59,519 for me on Sunday, or excuse me on Thursday if 86 00:04:59,560 --> 00:05:02,759 we stayed till Thursday, hooking with something till Sunday. But 87 00:05:02,879 --> 00:05:06,199 it's Arizona twenty four to twenty for Thursday night and 88 00:05:06,279 --> 00:05:08,199 I'll have them in teasers. 89 00:05:07,759 --> 00:05:09,720 Speaker 1: All right, guys, I appreciate you hanging out with us 90 00:05:09,800 --> 00:05:11,399 here every single week. I'm bet on it. And if 91 00:05:11,439 --> 00:05:13,560 you like the show, give us the thumbs up, hit 92 00:05:13,600 --> 00:05:16,720 that subscribe button so you never miss another episode. Something 93 00:05:16,759 --> 00:05:18,600 you want to see done differently, drop it in the 94 00:05:18,600 --> 00:05:22,160 comment section. Love a play, hate it, tell us all 95 00:05:22,199 --> 00:05:24,240 about it. We'll all jump in the comment section and 96 00:05:24,240 --> 00:05:26,959 get in there with you, guys. Let's go Sunday night football. 97 00:05:27,040 --> 00:05:30,519 Green Bay now up to a seven point favorite at Dallas. 98 00:05:30,800 --> 00:05:32,600 Total forty seven and a half. And I had to 99 00:05:32,639 --> 00:05:35,160 go to my friends at the gold Sheat for this one. 100 00:05:35,480 --> 00:05:38,000 By the way, the gold Sheat right now nine bucks 101 00:05:38,040 --> 00:05:44,879 for everyone, no coupon code required, wt Dot buzz backslash GTS. 102 00:05:45,519 --> 00:05:46,959 And the reason why I went to the gold Sheet 103 00:05:47,079 --> 00:05:49,160 is because if you guys, remember last week, I told 104 00:05:49,199 --> 00:05:51,480 you to take Cleveland and this is the exact same 105 00:05:51,519 --> 00:05:55,959 situation they gave me to play Cleveland. But this week 106 00:05:56,040 --> 00:05:58,439 is a play on the Cowboys. When playing in the 107 00:05:58,480 --> 00:06:01,680 first half of the season, home underdogs of at least 108 00:06:01,720 --> 00:06:05,879 seven points have gone nineteen one and two over against 109 00:06:05,879 --> 00:06:09,000 the spread over the last three seasons. Now, I know 110 00:06:09,040 --> 00:06:10,800 a lot of you guys are gonna go, oh, Kelly, 111 00:06:11,920 --> 00:06:14,839 you're too optimistic on this Cowboys team. George Pickens was 112 00:06:14,839 --> 00:06:17,959 supposed to be great. He's supposed to compliment Ceedee Lamb, 113 00:06:17,959 --> 00:06:20,360 who's now out for the next three to four weeks. 114 00:06:20,639 --> 00:06:25,079 They've got injuries on the offensive line. Diggs wasn't able 115 00:06:25,120 --> 00:06:28,839 to finish against Chicago. That defense got gashed by Caleb 116 00:06:28,879 --> 00:06:33,079 Williams and the Bears, but Javonte Williams is able to 117 00:06:33,079 --> 00:06:36,959 get the running game going. I do think that the 118 00:06:37,000 --> 00:06:41,519 Cowboys offensive line is going to be better this week 119 00:06:41,639 --> 00:06:45,839 against the Packers. I know it looks scary take a 120 00:06:45,879 --> 00:06:47,959 team that just got the crap beat out of them 121 00:06:48,279 --> 00:06:50,720 by a mediocre Bears team, but this is the spot 122 00:06:50,800 --> 00:06:53,240 to take them here at home. Make sure you get 123 00:06:53,279 --> 00:06:56,279 the seven shop around, and hey, maybe this one even 124 00:06:56,279 --> 00:06:58,439 gets to seven and a half and you can tease 125 00:06:58,480 --> 00:07:00,800 down the Packers and hope for that middle and hit 126 00:07:01,160 --> 00:07:05,319 both sides. V R. We're gonna let you start off 127 00:07:05,319 --> 00:07:08,639 with the first Monday Night football game. The Jets are 128 00:07:08,680 --> 00:07:11,680 a three point underdog at Miami and the total is 129 00:07:11,720 --> 00:07:12,439 three and a half. 130 00:07:12,920 --> 00:07:15,680 Speaker 3: Yeah, five, three and one heading into this week on 131 00:07:15,720 --> 00:07:20,120 the show, hopefully we turn a little profit this week. 132 00:07:20,160 --> 00:07:21,759 This is gonna be a tough one to bet, but 133 00:07:21,920 --> 00:07:24,720 I see absolutely no reason to not take the Jets 134 00:07:24,759 --> 00:07:26,800 on Monday Night. This is one of those coin flips 135 00:07:26,800 --> 00:07:30,000 that you get plus money on. Again, it's hard to 136 00:07:30,759 --> 00:07:34,480 argue for either of these teams, so I don't want 137 00:07:34,480 --> 00:07:37,240 to waste a lot of your time. But you're looking 138 00:07:37,319 --> 00:07:40,279 at two teams that have allowed a ton of points defensively, 139 00:07:41,480 --> 00:07:44,319 so look at the other for sure, especially with the 140 00:07:45,000 --> 00:07:49,120 recency bias on both of them. But with that said, 141 00:07:49,279 --> 00:07:52,720 the difference is number one. You look at the passing 142 00:07:53,560 --> 00:07:56,759 success rate. These quarterbacks are right next to each other. 143 00:07:57,560 --> 00:08:01,360 Make sure you check the seed that what's it called 144 00:08:02,399 --> 00:08:05,800 Taylor starting for the Jets because of the injury situation, 145 00:08:05,920 --> 00:08:09,360 but so far it's pretty much confirmed that he will. 146 00:08:09,480 --> 00:08:13,879 But just make sure a bit. With that said, again, 147 00:08:14,399 --> 00:08:17,000 passing success rate, they're right next to each other forty 148 00:08:17,000 --> 00:08:20,040 five point three and forty six point four. Okay, again, 149 00:08:20,079 --> 00:08:24,360 the biggest difference between these two teams has the Jets 150 00:08:24,920 --> 00:08:28,279 could realistically be a two to one football team. Both 151 00:08:28,279 --> 00:08:31,240 of their losses come by a combined four points. There's 152 00:08:31,279 --> 00:08:35,200 a lot of re there's a lot of randomness involved 153 00:08:35,200 --> 00:08:38,720 with that, whether it's turnovers, penalties. But when you have 154 00:08:39,279 --> 00:08:42,919 two losses by combined four points, again, the Jets on 155 00:08:43,039 --> 00:08:46,759 paper are better than the record reflects, and that's the 156 00:08:46,840 --> 00:08:48,639 kind of team you want to back, especially in the 157 00:08:48,679 --> 00:08:54,159 dog position where a team like Miami owing three out 158 00:08:54,440 --> 00:08:58,879 they've underperformed against the betting market. There's absolutely zero reasons 159 00:08:58,919 --> 00:09:01,720 you should get excited about wanting the late points with Miami. 160 00:09:01,919 --> 00:09:04,639 You're more or less paying for the name because and 161 00:09:05,240 --> 00:09:07,600 the fate of the Jets, where we're just so conditioned 162 00:09:07,600 --> 00:09:09,840 to expect the Jets to just suck, and they do 163 00:09:09,919 --> 00:09:12,200 at oh and three, But the Dolphins are not any 164 00:09:12,240 --> 00:09:15,440 better also sitting in oh and three and again well 165 00:09:15,559 --> 00:09:20,200 underperforming the betting market. So yeah, I like the Jets. 166 00:09:20,240 --> 00:09:22,559 I think this is a money line bet. Again, it's 167 00:09:22,600 --> 00:09:24,720 a key of three key numbers, so you got to 168 00:09:24,759 --> 00:09:27,600 take it, but I think it's a coin flip game. 169 00:09:28,000 --> 00:09:31,080 Miami's got less than a two point home field advantage, 170 00:09:31,440 --> 00:09:34,759 so I just don't see why they're that key three favorite. 171 00:09:34,759 --> 00:09:37,440 Give me the Jets as the TV pick for a week. 172 00:09:37,919 --> 00:09:41,799 Speaker 1: All right, Marco DiAngelo, this is going to be an 173 00:09:41,840 --> 00:09:44,480 interesting one. Speaking of teaser spots, Cincinnati up to a 174 00:09:44,559 --> 00:09:47,720 seven and a half point underdog at Denver forty four 175 00:09:47,720 --> 00:09:50,639 and a half. Here, talk to me about why you 176 00:09:51,240 --> 00:09:52,200 like the under. 177 00:09:53,000 --> 00:09:56,279 Speaker 2: Yeah, Kelly talked about a teaser spot. How many teasers 178 00:09:56,320 --> 00:09:59,240 are going to be tied to Denver getting them down 179 00:09:59,320 --> 00:10:01,759 to one and a half. I think this line will 180 00:10:01,759 --> 00:10:03,879 probably go up during the week as they try to 181 00:10:03,879 --> 00:10:07,600 get the teaser blocker in play to slow that down 182 00:10:07,600 --> 00:10:10,159 because there'll be so many teasers tied to Monday Night 183 00:10:10,240 --> 00:10:14,039 and moneyline parlays to the Broncos. And why not, because 184 00:10:14,080 --> 00:10:18,279 the public's gonna look at Cincinnati and they just remember 185 00:10:18,320 --> 00:10:20,440 the last thing they saw, and the last thing they 186 00:10:20,519 --> 00:10:26,360 saw was Cincinnati just absolutely get blown out in Minnesota 187 00:10:26,440 --> 00:10:28,720 forty eight to ten. I enjoyed that when that was 188 00:10:28,759 --> 00:10:31,919 our best bet here on the show. Last week Minnesota, 189 00:10:32,000 --> 00:10:34,559 we had a good five and one with the big 190 00:10:34,639 --> 00:10:37,960 six plays between the college and NFL show. So let's 191 00:10:38,080 --> 00:10:40,440 keep it going this week. But I look at this 192 00:10:40,480 --> 00:10:43,440 one in Cincinnati. You know they are going to be 193 00:10:43,679 --> 00:10:47,720 up against it now. That score last week, Yeah they 194 00:10:47,759 --> 00:10:50,919 got killed. But five turnovers are gonna do that. You 195 00:10:51,080 --> 00:10:53,360 go on the road and you turn the ball over 196 00:10:53,399 --> 00:10:56,120 five times, you're gonna get blown out. And that's what happened. 197 00:10:56,879 --> 00:11:01,440 Cincinnati has had zero running game through the first three games. 198 00:11:01,679 --> 00:11:04,759 They've rushed the ball for forty six, forty eight, and 199 00:11:04,840 --> 00:11:08,240 fifty three yards. I don't care who your quarterback is. 200 00:11:08,720 --> 00:11:12,039 When you are that one dimensional, you're gonna have problems 201 00:11:12,120 --> 00:11:15,840 moving the football. Now throw in that you've got backup quarterback. 202 00:11:15,879 --> 00:11:19,320 Because Joe burrows out. This offense is going to struggle. 203 00:11:19,600 --> 00:11:22,200 So why don't I just go ahead and take Denver 204 00:11:22,279 --> 00:11:25,440 and lay the points because they should blow them out. Well, 205 00:11:25,799 --> 00:11:30,000 Denver's in a bad scheduling spot. They're coming off not one, 206 00:11:30,279 --> 00:11:33,440 but two gut wrenching losses back to back weeks. If 207 00:11:33,480 --> 00:11:36,399 you remember two weeks ago, they look like they had 208 00:11:36,399 --> 00:11:39,799 the game one against Indianapolis when Indianapolis missed the game 209 00:11:39,840 --> 00:11:43,399 winning field goal. Oh wait, there was a penalty Indy 210 00:11:43,480 --> 00:11:46,879 got to kick it again and won on the second kick. 211 00:11:47,159 --> 00:11:49,879 Then last week, you know they're winning the whole game 212 00:11:49,960 --> 00:11:54,559 against the Chargers, Chargers come back tie it went on 213 00:11:55,039 --> 00:11:58,519 the final play of the game field goal once again. 214 00:11:58,960 --> 00:12:03,240 So yeah, two devastating losses in Oh, by the way, 215 00:12:03,440 --> 00:12:06,159 look at who they play next week. They've got a 216 00:12:06,240 --> 00:12:10,399 game with the defending champs, the Philadelphia Eagles. And oh 217 00:12:10,559 --> 00:12:13,240 that game's on the road, off a short week, on 218 00:12:13,320 --> 00:12:17,080 a Monday night, and that's gonna be their third road 219 00:12:17,159 --> 00:12:21,799 game in four weeks start the season. That's pretty tough 220 00:12:22,360 --> 00:12:25,799 schedule for the Broncos. So what am I alluding to? 221 00:12:26,000 --> 00:12:30,399 I'm alluding to that the coach, Sean Payton's gonna want 222 00:12:30,399 --> 00:12:33,480 to get in and get out as quickly as possible. 223 00:12:33,840 --> 00:12:36,200 I see them running the football and if you look 224 00:12:36,200 --> 00:12:40,840 at this Denver offense, Bo Nicks, he's suffering the sophomore Jinks. 225 00:12:40,879 --> 00:12:44,759 There's no question about that. They have not moved the football. 226 00:12:45,200 --> 00:12:47,600 You don't want to lay over a touchdown with the 227 00:12:47,639 --> 00:12:50,279 team that in their three games so far scored twenty, 228 00:12:50,360 --> 00:12:53,879 twenty eight and twenty points. That's not a recipe for 229 00:12:54,039 --> 00:12:57,000 laying over a touchdown. But I don't trust the Bengals 230 00:12:57,120 --> 00:12:59,879 enough to grab them. So I'm gonna go under the 231 00:13:00,080 --> 00:13:03,320 total in this one. I don't see Cincinnati having success 232 00:13:03,519 --> 00:13:07,799 against the stellar Denver defense, and with the struggles that 233 00:13:07,840 --> 00:13:11,320 the Broncos have had and being satisfied with shortening the 234 00:13:11,399 --> 00:13:14,039 game and getting out and getting on to next week 235 00:13:14,080 --> 00:13:18,000 in the Philadelphia Eagles, I'm gonna go under the total here, Kelly, 236 00:13:18,559 --> 00:13:20,960 let's take this one under the forty four and a half. 237 00:13:21,720 --> 00:13:24,840 Speaker 1: All right, let's get right into the steam report VR 238 00:13:25,440 --> 00:13:28,960 Oddslogic dot Com back slash Kelly in Vegas. If you 239 00:13:29,000 --> 00:13:32,159 guys are looking, just sign up. You get a free 240 00:13:32,200 --> 00:13:34,879 week here. If you guys use my promo code, so 241 00:13:34,919 --> 00:13:38,399 make sure you do that and if not, like VR said, 242 00:13:38,799 --> 00:13:42,720 use the wager Talk free Live Odds page. VR. I'd 243 00:13:42,759 --> 00:13:44,200 like to ask you a question before you get into 244 00:13:44,240 --> 00:13:47,279 the NFL c report for week four? What should people 245 00:13:47,320 --> 00:13:48,320 do with this information? 246 00:13:49,759 --> 00:13:53,240 Speaker 3: Exactly what I do with it? All right, I already 247 00:13:53,320 --> 00:13:56,480 had put in my work, so I have everything circled 248 00:13:56,600 --> 00:13:59,799 on what I like, my sides and my totals, and 249 00:14:00,080 --> 00:14:03,240 then I wait for the information to come in to 250 00:14:03,279 --> 00:14:06,159 see what the groups that I provide accounts for are 251 00:14:06,200 --> 00:14:08,919 betting when they come in and bet one of the 252 00:14:08,960 --> 00:14:12,919 signs that I like, now I know gives me the 253 00:14:13,320 --> 00:14:17,159 confidence to release it as a premium play to my subscribers, 254 00:14:17,440 --> 00:14:21,279 gives me the confidence to add more risk for myself 255 00:14:21,279 --> 00:14:23,440 because I already get a percentage of the accounts that 256 00:14:23,480 --> 00:14:26,799 I bet for them, But these kind of plays I 257 00:14:26,799 --> 00:14:31,000 bet more on for myself, like considered premium plays, and 258 00:14:31,080 --> 00:14:35,360 I recommend that the betters out there do the exact 259 00:14:35,440 --> 00:14:38,200 same thing. You don't have to agree with everything. In fact, 260 00:14:38,279 --> 00:14:41,159 you should disagree with a lot of it, but it's 261 00:14:41,279 --> 00:14:44,919 what you agree on that you want to be getting 262 00:14:44,960 --> 00:14:47,159 down on, and more importantly, you want to make sure 263 00:14:47,200 --> 00:14:50,799 it's at the number as well, because again, if they're 264 00:14:50,879 --> 00:14:53,440 laying minus three and now it's minus four and a half, 265 00:14:53,679 --> 00:14:57,480 it's no longer the same bet. So it's all different 266 00:14:57,480 --> 00:15:00,000 pieces of the puzzle. But when you put those pieces together, 267 00:15:00,080 --> 00:15:03,240 when it all falls nicely, you get the perfect picture 268 00:15:03,240 --> 00:15:06,440 and you cash a ticket. So that's how the information 269 00:15:06,559 --> 00:15:08,279 has been valuable to me. That's why I tell my 270 00:15:08,320 --> 00:15:11,440 subscribers the exact same thing. And with the steam Room, 271 00:15:12,039 --> 00:15:15,159 I give enough volume that you don't have to piggyback everything. 272 00:15:15,919 --> 00:15:18,919 So as long as it's the numbers there, you're getting 273 00:15:18,919 --> 00:15:21,720 a good number and you agree with it, then you 274 00:15:22,000 --> 00:15:24,240 should be have the confidence you're placing a good plus 275 00:15:24,279 --> 00:15:27,120 e B bet. Again, it's been good, good in the 276 00:15:27,240 --> 00:15:30,559 NFL so far in the regular season. We didn't have 277 00:15:30,600 --> 00:15:33,360 a good preseason, which is rare. Usually preseasons when the 278 00:15:33,360 --> 00:15:35,639 betting steone gets do good. They just did not have 279 00:15:35,679 --> 00:15:37,399 a good season this year, at least the ones that 280 00:15:37,440 --> 00:15:39,799 I work with. But the regular season has been good. 281 00:15:39,879 --> 00:15:42,399 It's put me at number one in profit a wager 282 00:15:42,440 --> 00:15:45,080 Talk so far, so i'll take it. 283 00:15:45,440 --> 00:15:45,960 Speaker 1: So far. 284 00:15:46,080 --> 00:15:47,639 Speaker 2: This week, it's a little slow. 285 00:15:47,759 --> 00:15:50,360 Speaker 3: Most of the actions I talked about on wager Talk 286 00:15:50,399 --> 00:15:53,679 today and on Last Call comes in later in the week. 287 00:15:53,720 --> 00:15:58,759 With the NFL injury report is very key with a 288 00:15:58,759 --> 00:16:02,960 lot of the NFL steam and more importantly, very little 289 00:16:03,159 --> 00:16:06,879 of the volume is on sides and totals. The majority 290 00:16:06,879 --> 00:16:10,000 of the money starts coming in on those team totals, 291 00:16:10,720 --> 00:16:15,759 first quarter bets, second half bets, first half bets, those 292 00:16:15,960 --> 00:16:18,840 smaller market derivatives is where they do the majority of 293 00:16:18,840 --> 00:16:22,200 the damage. But here are some of the sides and 294 00:16:22,279 --> 00:16:24,960 totals that they got out ahead of for this week 295 00:16:25,879 --> 00:16:28,519 two fifty one Minnesota the look ahead at two and 296 00:16:28,519 --> 00:16:31,080 a half. Again, the limits are low, but they took 297 00:16:31,080 --> 00:16:32,879 the two and a half and here's what you want 298 00:16:32,919 --> 00:16:36,080 to look through. Follow through. They followed through and also 299 00:16:36,159 --> 00:16:38,519 laid the one and a half with Minnesota. That's as 300 00:16:38,600 --> 00:16:42,120 legit as you're going to get. Two fifty three Philadelphia 301 00:16:42,279 --> 00:16:44,440 laid the two and a half look ahead and laid 302 00:16:44,440 --> 00:16:49,080 the key three. Another key number they laid to sixty seven. Jacksonville, 303 00:16:49,080 --> 00:16:53,559 San Francisco, laid the over forty five look ahead, followed through, 304 00:16:53,600 --> 00:16:56,679 went over forty six as well. That's opposite the public 305 00:16:56,720 --> 00:17:00,360 I almost use that, but I did. It was able 306 00:17:00,399 --> 00:17:03,000 to get that forty six, and at forty seven, I said, 307 00:17:03,120 --> 00:17:05,880 let me wait till Sunday. Public money may push that 308 00:17:06,079 --> 00:17:09,359 down because I'm already seeing under money there to seventy 309 00:17:09,400 --> 00:17:12,279 six Green Bay the look ahead four and a half, 310 00:17:13,319 --> 00:17:15,480 got the six, and then laid the six and a 311 00:17:15,519 --> 00:17:18,599 half after the weekend, and also under forty eight there 312 00:17:18,960 --> 00:17:24,279 and finally Monday night key number no surprise. Two eighty Denver, 313 00:17:24,319 --> 00:17:27,000 Broncosus six six and a half was the look ahead 314 00:17:27,319 --> 00:17:30,079 and then the seven when it opened up. That's why 315 00:17:30,079 --> 00:17:32,279 you're looking at seven and a half's right now, But 316 00:17:32,400 --> 00:17:35,359 pay attention and see later in the week or gain 317 00:17:35,480 --> 00:17:38,759 day more importantly, especially if the books need teaser protection 318 00:17:39,200 --> 00:17:42,880 and bump this up to that nine range, then rest 319 00:17:42,880 --> 00:17:44,880 a short. Those that laid the six six and a 320 00:17:44,920 --> 00:17:48,759 half should come back and attempt the middle with the 321 00:17:48,799 --> 00:17:49,880 other side VR. 322 00:17:49,880 --> 00:17:52,720 Speaker 1: I want to follow up on that really quickly, just 323 00:17:52,799 --> 00:17:56,119 because I've heard people tell me these lines don't matter. Right, 324 00:17:56,400 --> 00:17:59,519 So the super book puts out of graphic late August, 325 00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:02,359 and I like to use it for Survivor. Right, here's 326 00:18:02,400 --> 00:18:03,920 what the lines would have been. Here's what the lions 327 00:18:03,960 --> 00:18:07,359 are now. And you mentioned the look aheadline. So this 328 00:18:07,519 --> 00:18:11,160 line for the Packers game was green Bay minus one 329 00:18:11,200 --> 00:18:13,640 and a half. Right, let's call it August twenty fifth. 330 00:18:14,079 --> 00:18:16,119 Then you mentioned the look ahead was four and a half. 331 00:18:17,119 --> 00:18:22,440 Green Bay loses to Cleveland Dallas. It was fourteen fourteen 332 00:18:22,480 --> 00:18:25,039 in the second quarter. They just never scored again. Their 333 00:18:25,079 --> 00:18:28,559 defense gave up some long bombs to Caleb Williams. Now, 334 00:18:28,680 --> 00:18:32,599 the line's up to seven. Should we just completely discredit 335 00:18:32,680 --> 00:18:33,960 that line from August? 336 00:18:34,599 --> 00:18:39,240 Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, great, great question, because usually if that was 337 00:18:39,279 --> 00:18:42,119 the case, it would be dogger pass right now for us, 338 00:18:42,160 --> 00:18:45,759 as you know, looking for plus CV bets, it would 339 00:18:45,799 --> 00:18:47,920 be impossible for us to look at the green Bay side. 340 00:18:47,960 --> 00:18:50,319 If thinking just a few weeks ago, I could have 341 00:18:50,400 --> 00:18:54,240 laid minus one. But that's a completely different market. It's 342 00:18:54,279 --> 00:18:57,720 a completely different time, and the objective of those betters 343 00:18:57,799 --> 00:19:00,240 is also different. Like a lot of those guys that 344 00:19:00,319 --> 00:19:02,720 did get down on Green Bay, it wasn't even a 345 00:19:02,759 --> 00:19:05,319 handicap of green Bay. It was a handicap of where 346 00:19:05,799 --> 00:19:09,039 that line's going to be when game day rolls around. 347 00:19:09,359 --> 00:19:13,559 And obviously they were correct those that laid the Green Bay, 348 00:19:14,200 --> 00:19:18,799 but the limits are smaller. It's not like universal worldwide. 349 00:19:19,880 --> 00:19:22,960 So I don't put a lot of stock in it 350 00:19:23,400 --> 00:19:26,440 because they're just so awful. Lot of times like summer 351 00:19:26,680 --> 00:19:29,200 are pretty close and pretty accurate. But you see it 352 00:19:29,240 --> 00:19:31,319 in college football at the time where there's six seven, 353 00:19:31,440 --> 00:19:35,400 eight point differences by week four, five or six, just 354 00:19:35,400 --> 00:19:37,960 because things don't play out the way we project them, 355 00:19:38,160 --> 00:19:42,000 especially in football where there's just so many injuries and 356 00:19:42,119 --> 00:19:45,279 just so many different factors in play. You know, there's 357 00:19:45,359 --> 00:19:47,599 so many pieces of a puzzle of a football team, 358 00:19:48,440 --> 00:19:51,319 and I think you shouldn't put too much stock on 359 00:19:51,400 --> 00:19:55,519 those August numbers. Don't let that stop you from betting 360 00:19:55,559 --> 00:19:57,559 a team and thinking like, oh dude, that now it's 361 00:19:57,559 --> 00:20:00,000 a six point line movement. Now it's a line movement 362 00:20:00,400 --> 00:20:04,240 off the look ahead, not off the August number. 363 00:20:05,240 --> 00:20:08,200 Speaker 1: Awesome stuff. Let's get into those barking dogs. This has 364 00:20:08,200 --> 00:20:11,680 been our best segment, at least as a trio. Marco's 365 00:20:11,720 --> 00:20:14,000 Deli has been very very good. F R has been 366 00:20:14,039 --> 00:20:16,559 cashing those best bets. Me not so much, but I 367 00:20:16,720 --> 00:20:22,119 have been nailing these barking dogs. Marco last week, let's 368 00:20:22,119 --> 00:20:24,759 talk about it. Last week, you would have used this 369 00:20:24,839 --> 00:20:29,240 team for the Delhi, right, Why are you using him 370 00:20:29,319 --> 00:20:31,039 this week as a barking dog. 371 00:20:32,200 --> 00:20:34,960 Speaker 2: Well, you know, we want to get a dog that 372 00:20:35,000 --> 00:20:38,680 we think has a good shot of winning outright, and 373 00:20:39,160 --> 00:20:42,839 this is a team could have been a sandwich spot 374 00:20:42,920 --> 00:20:45,759 as well this week. And I'll explain later. But I've 375 00:20:45,759 --> 00:20:48,359 got a better game when we get to it later 376 00:20:48,519 --> 00:20:52,640 and tell you why we're using that one. But full disclosure. Okay, 377 00:20:52,759 --> 00:20:56,319 let's start this with Jacksonville. And I've got to say 378 00:20:56,599 --> 00:21:03,759 the Jacksonville Jaguars have been a colaw pain in my ass. Okay, 379 00:21:04,680 --> 00:21:08,640 two weeks ago, I go against them with Cincinnati, and 380 00:21:08,680 --> 00:21:13,160 Cincinnati did everything but win that game, to go up 381 00:21:13,160 --> 00:21:16,440 and down the field, turnovers end up killing them at 382 00:21:16,480 --> 00:21:20,640 the end, and we lose that game the only time, 383 00:21:20,680 --> 00:21:24,319 but we weren't covering it in the final eighteen seconds. 384 00:21:24,559 --> 00:21:28,000 Then last week, what happens. Well, I go against Jacksonville. 385 00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:31,599 I've got Euston and that full disclosure was my five 386 00:21:31,640 --> 00:21:36,079 percent play. The score was tied ten ten. We had 387 00:21:36,119 --> 00:21:39,319 just completed a pass that was going to give us 388 00:21:40,279 --> 00:21:43,720 first and ten inside the twenty yard line with under 389 00:21:43,720 --> 00:21:47,640 four minutes to play, but as he tried to extend 390 00:21:47,640 --> 00:21:51,599 the play, Nico Collins gets hit and fumbles the football. 391 00:21:52,599 --> 00:21:56,359 Jacksonville recovers. We could have ran the clock down, got 392 00:21:56,440 --> 00:21:59,319 game winning field goal or a touchdown. No, we turn 393 00:21:59,400 --> 00:22:03,279 it over and jack goes down and scores to beat 394 00:22:03,400 --> 00:22:06,720 us in that one. So why am I trying this again? Well, 395 00:22:06,759 --> 00:22:10,759 it's the spot and you look at this one. The 396 00:22:10,799 --> 00:22:14,960 forty nine ers, somehow, despite all the injuries that they 397 00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:20,119 have had, are sitting at three and oh. More importantly, 398 00:22:20,319 --> 00:22:23,279 they're two and oh in their division. And here's where 399 00:22:23,279 --> 00:22:26,119 the sandwich part comes up. They're two and oh in 400 00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:29,519 the division. They just got done beating Arizona last week. 401 00:22:29,799 --> 00:22:33,720 They already beat Seattle the first week of the season. 402 00:22:34,799 --> 00:22:38,440 They play their other division rival, the team that most 403 00:22:38,480 --> 00:22:42,519 people expect to challenge them for the division this year, 404 00:22:43,480 --> 00:22:47,880 the Rams next week. So definitely that's a look ahead spot. 405 00:22:48,200 --> 00:22:50,960 Oh when do they play them? Oh they play them 406 00:22:51,000 --> 00:22:53,640 on Thursday Night football next week, so they got to 407 00:22:53,680 --> 00:22:56,880 play in a short week. I think this is a 408 00:22:56,960 --> 00:23:00,680 great spot for Jacksonville to come in and they got 409 00:23:00,839 --> 00:23:03,519 a win that they didn't deserve last week. And I 410 00:23:03,559 --> 00:23:05,920 love taking teams. You hear me talk about it all 411 00:23:05,960 --> 00:23:07,920 the times. Oh, I want to go against the team 412 00:23:07,960 --> 00:23:10,920 that look good in losing. Well, there's a second half 413 00:23:10,920 --> 00:23:14,079 of that. I like to take a team that look 414 00:23:14,240 --> 00:23:17,440 bad in winning because people underestimate him. I'll go ahead 415 00:23:17,720 --> 00:23:19,519 and take Jacksonville plus the points. 416 00:23:19,519 --> 00:23:19,720 Speaker 1: Here. 417 00:23:19,960 --> 00:23:24,240 Speaker 2: The forty nine ers rushed for seventy seven and seventy 418 00:23:24,240 --> 00:23:26,920 three yards in the last two games. You can't be 419 00:23:27,079 --> 00:23:30,680 one dimensional in the NFL in win, especially with a 420 00:23:30,720 --> 00:23:34,119 backup quarterback. And oh, by the way, yeah they won 421 00:23:34,160 --> 00:23:37,200 with a backup quarterback last week. Mac Jones, what do 422 00:23:37,279 --> 00:23:42,079 we always say about injured player theory? When you lose 423 00:23:42,119 --> 00:23:44,680 a quarterback. I like to take the injured team the 424 00:23:44,720 --> 00:23:47,640 first week. Well, they got the win last week with 425 00:23:47,839 --> 00:23:50,960 mac Jones. Now they got to win a second one 426 00:23:51,000 --> 00:23:54,559 without with mac Jones. I'll go against them. Gimme Jacksonville. 427 00:23:55,160 --> 00:23:57,160 Let's see if they stick it to me one more time, 428 00:23:57,599 --> 00:23:59,359 Jacksonville twenty seven to twenty. 429 00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:04,039 Speaker 1: Like Youjacksonville to Marco, they ohs this one. VR, You've 430 00:24:04,119 --> 00:24:06,160 got the I'm gonna call it the wise Guy game 431 00:24:06,200 --> 00:24:07,559 of the week. I think this is going to be 432 00:24:08,160 --> 00:24:09,960 All of the sharts are gonna be on one side, 433 00:24:10,160 --> 00:24:11,799 all of the squares are gonna be on the other. 434 00:24:12,440 --> 00:24:15,599 But I don't know if I trust the New York Giants. 435 00:24:15,640 --> 00:24:17,480 Can you please break this down a little bit and 436 00:24:17,519 --> 00:24:19,759 then I may give you some pushback afterwards. 437 00:24:20,039 --> 00:24:23,039 Speaker 3: Listen, I'm gonna keep it this simple. It's as simple 438 00:24:23,079 --> 00:24:27,519 as this. Bring me Jackson Dart. The Jackson Dark Era 439 00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:32,880 begins on Sunday. That's the key here. I'm coupled with 440 00:24:34,640 --> 00:24:39,759 the Chargers getting some injuries that are starting to mount off, 441 00:24:39,799 --> 00:24:42,359 and this is coming from someone that has a future 442 00:24:42,359 --> 00:24:45,480 on the Chargers. So I have overseason win totals on 443 00:24:45,519 --> 00:24:47,839 the Chargers I have a future on the Chargers to 444 00:24:47,880 --> 00:24:50,759 win the Super Bowl, so it benefits me for the 445 00:24:50,880 --> 00:24:53,799 Chargers to be biased towards them. 446 00:24:54,039 --> 00:24:55,640 Speaker 2: But this is just a really good. 447 00:24:55,480 --> 00:24:58,680 Speaker 3: Spot for the Giants. Also, if you listen to the 448 00:24:58,759 --> 00:25:02,519 narrative of how over the five last five plus years, 449 00:25:02,759 --> 00:25:05,799 West coast teams flying to the East coast, how that 450 00:25:06,000 --> 00:25:09,240 used to be a disadvantage. That's no longer the case now, 451 00:25:09,279 --> 00:25:15,640 how they're covering all that's juice. This line up too 452 00:25:15,920 --> 00:25:18,559 much higher than it should be. The Giants at home 453 00:25:18,599 --> 00:25:21,319 should not be catching six and a half points, almost 454 00:25:21,440 --> 00:25:25,440 a full touchdown through the Chargers, especially with Jackson Dark 455 00:25:25,519 --> 00:25:29,480 coming in. Here's the key that from going from a 456 00:25:30,400 --> 00:25:34,160 your one quarterback to year two, the points is based 457 00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:36,880 on the drop off, not just like who that first 458 00:25:36,920 --> 00:25:42,599 quarterback is and the drop off between what's it called 459 00:25:42,720 --> 00:25:48,319 Dark and what's Russell Wilson right now? 460 00:25:48,839 --> 00:25:51,240 Speaker 2: What is it? Is it really a loss? 461 00:25:51,319 --> 00:25:54,359 Speaker 3: Is it really a negative? Maybe the Russell Wilson if 462 00:25:54,359 --> 00:25:57,319 you look at his whole career. It may be if 463 00:25:57,319 --> 00:26:00,240 we in the future, but as of today, right now, 464 00:26:00,279 --> 00:26:03,680 the way Russell Wilson's playing, how's this a dropoff? His 465 00:26:03,880 --> 00:26:07,119 quarterback rating in The last game was forty three point eight. 466 00:26:07,599 --> 00:26:08,839 Speaker 2: He threw thirty. 467 00:26:08,559 --> 00:26:14,440 Speaker 3: Two attempts eighteen completions for fifty six percent. Against Washington, 468 00:26:14,720 --> 00:26:17,000 he had a fifty nine quarterback rating. 469 00:26:17,480 --> 00:26:19,240 Speaker 2: He threw the ball thirty. 470 00:26:18,880 --> 00:26:25,240 Speaker 3: Seven times, had seventeen completions for forty five percent completion percentage. 471 00:26:26,200 --> 00:26:30,079 Where again, where's the dropoff? And that's what this line reflects, 472 00:26:30,240 --> 00:26:33,519 A big drop off. I get it Darth doesn't have 473 00:26:34,000 --> 00:26:38,000 the pro experience, but he's not there by accident. He's 474 00:26:38,160 --> 00:26:42,119 number their number one pick good career with all miss 475 00:26:42,240 --> 00:26:45,240 USC so you know he's bread to be a starting 476 00:26:45,319 --> 00:26:49,799 quarterback in the NFL. And I think it's it's something 477 00:26:49,839 --> 00:26:53,799 I've learned from Marco almost the injured player theory, where 478 00:26:53,839 --> 00:26:56,920 everyone else knows they have to step up because now 479 00:26:56,960 --> 00:26:59,759 we don't have our starting quarterback. We don't have our 480 00:26:59,799 --> 00:27:02,839 our stud, even though he hasn't been a stud this year. 481 00:27:03,319 --> 00:27:06,000 So I like this, oh and three verse three and oh. 482 00:27:06,000 --> 00:27:08,440 I like the Giants at home. It's only their second 483 00:27:08,440 --> 00:27:12,319 home game, and I think that the Chargers, as well 484 00:27:12,319 --> 00:27:15,680 as they played, the injuries are starting to pole up. 485 00:27:16,119 --> 00:27:19,559 And Hayber, she's gonna regress a little bit to the mean, 486 00:27:19,599 --> 00:27:22,119 he can't, he can't stay perfect. So give me the 487 00:27:22,160 --> 00:27:25,079 six and a half with the Giants. Sprinkle that money line. 488 00:27:25,119 --> 00:27:27,559 This is gonna be the teaser special of the week. 489 00:27:28,720 --> 00:27:31,880 Chargers will be on every teaser and it's a terrible bet. 490 00:27:32,640 --> 00:27:36,200 Even at seven. It's a terrible teaser even if it wins. Uh, 491 00:27:36,240 --> 00:27:39,240 So give me the give me the Giants, New York Giants. 492 00:27:39,240 --> 00:27:41,400 So we're on the Jets and the Giants there, Oh 493 00:27:41,480 --> 00:27:43,319 my gosh, New York parlay. 494 00:27:43,599 --> 00:27:46,599 Speaker 1: Yeah, the New York gross of parlay. 495 00:27:46,880 --> 00:27:47,000 Speaker 2: Uh. 496 00:27:47,440 --> 00:27:48,759 Speaker 1: I'm going to push back to this a little bit. 497 00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:51,319 I do agree with you here on the Giants. I 498 00:27:51,440 --> 00:27:53,920 understand this is a terrible spot to lay it with 499 00:27:54,079 --> 00:27:59,119 the Chargers. Here's my problem. Seventeen thirty five and one. 500 00:27:59,519 --> 00:28:04,799 That is the record of NFL rookie starting quarterbacks in 501 00:28:04,960 --> 00:28:08,119 their debut. I understand the pushback is gonna be, we 502 00:28:08,160 --> 00:28:10,480 don't need the Giants to cover, We just or we 503 00:28:10,519 --> 00:28:11,839 don't need the Giants and win. We just need the 504 00:28:11,839 --> 00:28:16,440 Giants to cover. But does that rookie record maybe it 505 00:28:16,640 --> 00:28:19,599 just is like looming in the background, you know what 506 00:28:19,640 --> 00:28:21,160 I mean, Like that's what's going on in the back 507 00:28:21,200 --> 00:28:21,640 of my head. 508 00:28:21,920 --> 00:28:23,319 Speaker 3: I know, no, it's scared. 509 00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:23,599 Speaker 1: Listen. 510 00:28:25,000 --> 00:28:27,759 Speaker 3: Getting a rookie quarterback in the NFL in his first 511 00:28:27,799 --> 00:28:32,559 start is usually a handicappers fade. But I just think 512 00:28:32,680 --> 00:28:35,559 that the spread is the great equalizer here, and I 513 00:28:35,680 --> 00:28:37,799 think that at the very least, the back door is 514 00:28:37,839 --> 00:28:40,000 going to stay open the entire game. 515 00:28:40,559 --> 00:28:43,160 Speaker 1: Listen, I can rest assure you that in the red zone, 516 00:28:43,200 --> 00:28:46,119 he's not going over. Okay, he's not going If Jackson 517 00:28:46,200 --> 00:28:48,440 Dart takes off and his name isn't Russell Wilson, that's 518 00:28:48,480 --> 00:28:51,200 a touchdown that I agree. I agree with the move 519 00:28:51,319 --> 00:28:55,160 to Jackson Dart. I just have some concerns that Russell 520 00:28:55,240 --> 00:28:57,960 looked so good against that awful Dallas defense and this 521 00:28:58,839 --> 00:29:03,480 one day game. I'm with you, all right, let's get 522 00:29:03,519 --> 00:29:06,640 into my barking dog. And I went back and forth 523 00:29:06,799 --> 00:29:10,400 to kind of decide which barking dog I wanted to use, 524 00:29:10,960 --> 00:29:12,480 what I was going to use for my best bet, 525 00:29:12,640 --> 00:29:16,519 and ultimately I decided that the that the Cleveland good 526 00:29:16,559 --> 00:29:20,920 Degree that was last week, that the Indianapolis Colts was 527 00:29:21,039 --> 00:29:23,359 going to be my play. Look, we just talked about 528 00:29:23,400 --> 00:29:27,160 how bad the Giants have looked. Maybe somebody, ohs Daniel 529 00:29:27,240 --> 00:29:30,160 Jones an apology. We'll see how that ends up playing. 530 00:29:30,200 --> 00:29:32,880 But this is more of a play against the Rams. 531 00:29:33,000 --> 00:29:36,160 They're back home now after back to back road games 532 00:29:36,200 --> 00:29:40,680 in that eastern early window. How quickly can they put 533 00:29:40,920 --> 00:29:42,759 that loss behind them. I don't know if you guys 534 00:29:42,799 --> 00:29:45,240 watched End Zone Live with me and the pres and 535 00:29:45,319 --> 00:29:49,720 everybody else on Sunday, but that was that was incredible. 536 00:29:49,839 --> 00:29:52,880 That was a crazy game where millions of dollars change hands. 537 00:29:53,160 --> 00:29:55,000 And I know, I come on here and I complain 538 00:29:55,039 --> 00:29:58,359 about my losses and never say, holy crap, I should 539 00:29:58,400 --> 00:30:01,960 go buy a lotto ticket. I should Cashing that Philadelphia 540 00:30:02,000 --> 00:30:05,240 Eagles ticket was an absolute utter miracle. But I don't 541 00:30:05,279 --> 00:30:08,680 know how quickly Los Angeles can move on from that. Right, 542 00:30:09,440 --> 00:30:11,519 Let's start off with who they've played so far besides 543 00:30:11,559 --> 00:30:15,480 the Eagles, the Titans, and the Dolphins. I think that 544 00:30:15,680 --> 00:30:19,519 their metrics might be a little skewed, but the Colts 545 00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:23,680 unoffened so far. Number two and EPR EPA per play 546 00:30:23,799 --> 00:30:26,200 number two in success rate, number one in EPA per 547 00:30:26,279 --> 00:30:29,599 pass tipt number one in passing success rate, and number 548 00:30:29,880 --> 00:30:35,799 five in EPA per rush attempt. I know that there 549 00:30:35,960 --> 00:30:38,799 is a whole argument that's gonna say, oh, this is 550 00:30:38,880 --> 00:30:41,839 not the time to take the Colts. They're way too overrated. 551 00:30:42,319 --> 00:30:43,880 I think this is the time to take the Colts. 552 00:30:44,079 --> 00:30:45,599 I think you take the Colts, plus they're gonna have 553 00:30:45,680 --> 00:30:50,519 and I think you sprinkle them on that money line. Now, Marco, 554 00:30:50,720 --> 00:30:54,759 normally I would write you a letter and say or 555 00:30:54,759 --> 00:30:57,079 a text message excuse me and say, Marco, you can't 556 00:30:57,160 --> 00:30:59,559 use the same game the VR used or VR you 557 00:30:59,559 --> 00:31:01,880 got to check because Marco had it in the script first. 558 00:31:02,640 --> 00:31:04,960 But I gotta make you answer to this New York 559 00:31:05,039 --> 00:31:07,559 Giants play as well, because again it is the sharp 560 00:31:07,640 --> 00:31:10,519 square play of the week. You both like it. I 561 00:31:10,680 --> 00:31:13,279 know Teddy talked about it on Opening Line Report this week, 562 00:31:13,319 --> 00:31:15,359 didn't say he was gonna necessarily play it, but mentioned 563 00:31:15,880 --> 00:31:19,400 the tough spot here for the Chargers. Tell me why 564 00:31:20,480 --> 00:31:23,839 the deli is closed and you're going with the trap 565 00:31:23,920 --> 00:31:25,880 game of the week here, Well. 566 00:31:26,039 --> 00:31:29,240 Speaker 2: The deli's closed because if I used the Giants as 567 00:31:29,359 --> 00:31:32,519 the sandwich game the health Department, it would have closed 568 00:31:32,559 --> 00:31:35,960 this down. But man, this is the classic trap situation, 569 00:31:36,559 --> 00:31:41,279 and it's all about scheduling and what is in store 570 00:31:41,880 --> 00:31:44,359 for the Chargers, and God bless them if they can 571 00:31:44,400 --> 00:31:48,359 go across country this week and win in New York 572 00:31:48,759 --> 00:31:53,079 after the gauntlet of their first three games of the season. 573 00:31:53,799 --> 00:31:56,000 Then you know what, maybe you better run to the 574 00:31:56,079 --> 00:31:58,440 window and grab some future tickets on them for the 575 00:31:58,519 --> 00:32:02,440 Super Bowl, because that will be quite the accomplishment. And 576 00:32:02,759 --> 00:32:05,920 let's look at what they've had to do. They opened 577 00:32:05,960 --> 00:32:09,559 the season against the Kansas City Chiefs. Okay, the team 578 00:32:09,599 --> 00:32:11,680 that's gone to the Super Bowl three years in a row. 579 00:32:12,240 --> 00:32:14,480 They had to give up a home game to go 580 00:32:14,640 --> 00:32:19,240 to Brazil to play a division game. That should never happen, 581 00:32:19,880 --> 00:32:22,599 that any of these games that you play out of 582 00:32:22,680 --> 00:32:25,839 the country is a division game. Well, that was the 583 00:32:25,920 --> 00:32:30,000 first check mark for getting screwed. Then they come back 584 00:32:30,079 --> 00:32:33,319 after playing the Brazil game, they had to play Monday 585 00:32:33,400 --> 00:32:37,680 night football on the road against the Raiders in Pete 586 00:32:37,759 --> 00:32:43,680 Carroll's coaching debut home debut. Okay, they handled business there, 587 00:32:44,000 --> 00:32:47,400 or maybe we should say the Raiders lost that game 588 00:32:47,400 --> 00:32:50,440 because the Raiders were pathetic in that game. Then what 589 00:32:50,599 --> 00:32:52,559 they have to do after that, They finally get to 590 00:32:52,599 --> 00:32:55,680 get a true home game. They got to play the 591 00:32:55,799 --> 00:33:00,000 Denver Broncos. Everybody's other darling who was going to challenge 592 00:33:00,319 --> 00:33:03,480 Kansas City this year. Well, there was a dogfight. It 593 00:33:03,599 --> 00:33:05,839 was a physical game and way right down to the end, 594 00:33:06,359 --> 00:33:09,160 and they come from behind and kick the game winning 595 00:33:09,240 --> 00:33:12,640 field goal at the gun. How do you pick yourself 596 00:33:12,759 --> 00:33:16,079 up after three grueling games like that? Not to mention, 597 00:33:16,880 --> 00:33:21,160 those were three division games. They have such a leg 598 00:33:21,279 --> 00:33:25,119 up in the AFC West. It isn't funny you beat 599 00:33:25,200 --> 00:33:29,680 all three teams already in your division. Now you go 600 00:33:29,839 --> 00:33:33,359 on the road to play in the Eastern time zone 601 00:33:33,759 --> 00:33:37,200 against an NFC team. How many times have I told 602 00:33:37,240 --> 00:33:41,119 you the least important game on a team schedule every 603 00:33:41,200 --> 00:33:45,640 year is a non conference road game. That's the bottom 604 00:33:45,680 --> 00:33:47,880 of the list. When they get two tie breakers at 605 00:33:47,920 --> 00:33:51,000 the end of the season. There's just no way that 606 00:33:51,359 --> 00:33:54,079 I can see. And if Harbaugh has them ready to play, 607 00:33:54,160 --> 00:33:57,640 God bless him. He's a better motivator then I give 608 00:33:57,720 --> 00:34:00,359 him credit for. But this is just an absolute flat 609 00:34:00,680 --> 00:34:04,400 spot for them. Now there is gonna be a little 610 00:34:04,400 --> 00:34:06,640 bit of a hooplah. Maybe that is what he can 611 00:34:06,839 --> 00:34:10,880 use to get his team sparked. With the fact that 612 00:34:11,079 --> 00:34:14,480 Jackson Dart is starting. You know, it's an unknown commodity 613 00:34:14,880 --> 00:34:17,239 and you say, hey, guys, we can't take them for granted. 614 00:34:17,559 --> 00:34:21,599 But here's the reality of that starting a rookie quarterback. 615 00:34:21,639 --> 00:34:23,679 And Kelly, you put that stat out there, and that 616 00:34:23,960 --> 00:34:28,519 is true. But here's the difference. They have been grooming 617 00:34:28,679 --> 00:34:32,159 him to start. He's seen action, they've brought him in 618 00:34:32,519 --> 00:34:36,360 certain plays the last few games. They've had plays in 619 00:34:36,519 --> 00:34:39,280 their arsenal for him to get his feet wet. You 620 00:34:39,360 --> 00:34:41,960 knew this day was coming. It was just a question 621 00:34:42,119 --> 00:34:45,280 of when, Well the win is now, what do you 622 00:34:45,400 --> 00:34:48,559 prepare for? Yeah, they showed a couple of things on 623 00:34:49,119 --> 00:34:51,840 the gimmick plays they ran with them. Did he even 624 00:34:51,960 --> 00:34:54,760 throw a pass? Everything was a running play. You don't 625 00:34:54,840 --> 00:34:57,320 know what plays they're going to call for him as 626 00:34:57,480 --> 00:35:01,039 the starting quarterback, and I think that gives them an 627 00:35:01,079 --> 00:35:05,199 a little bit of surprise. And also they're playing with 628 00:35:05,599 --> 00:35:08,719 free money here because nobody's gonna expect anything. You're already 629 00:35:08,800 --> 00:35:11,719 zero and three. Give me the Giants. This is a 630 00:35:11,840 --> 00:35:15,480 trap game for the Chargers. I'll take the six points 631 00:35:16,159 --> 00:35:18,440 six and a half, and as VR said, I expect 632 00:35:18,519 --> 00:35:22,599 it to get to seven by Sunday with the public 633 00:35:22,719 --> 00:35:24,760 is only going to bet this game one way. If 634 00:35:24,760 --> 00:35:26,679 you got to hold your nose to get to the window, 635 00:35:27,079 --> 00:35:30,719 go ahead. But I'm taking the Giants all right. 636 00:35:31,480 --> 00:35:34,800 Speaker 1: Oh boy, I'm gonna hold my nose all right, Marco, 637 00:35:34,960 --> 00:35:39,639 because that one makes me very very nervous. That being said, 638 00:35:40,079 --> 00:35:42,639 I don't disagree with both of you guys there. If 639 00:35:42,679 --> 00:35:44,960 you don't disagree with Marco and VR, we have a 640 00:35:45,079 --> 00:35:48,000 bet on It all access football special for you guys 641 00:35:48,519 --> 00:35:51,239 right now. That means you get every NFL every college 642 00:35:51,280 --> 00:35:54,320 football play they release through the Super Bowl, including those 643 00:35:54,559 --> 00:35:58,360 five percent best bets. If you purchase each package separately, 644 00:35:58,480 --> 00:36:01,119 pay seven or thirty nine bucks eat, but with this offer, 645 00:36:01,159 --> 00:36:03,280 you get all their plays for eleven ninety eight. That 646 00:36:03,400 --> 00:36:05,920 makes it five ninety nine each. Not that great at math, 647 00:36:05,960 --> 00:36:09,039 but it looks close to being a three hundred dollars savings. 648 00:36:09,559 --> 00:36:13,320 You get full access to both handicappers at an unbeatable value. 649 00:36:13,639 --> 00:36:16,920 Marco five percent plays thirty two and thirteen. Since February 650 00:36:17,039 --> 00:36:20,400 twenty twenty four, VR right now number one in college 651 00:36:20,400 --> 00:36:24,400 football season, up sixty eight units. Make sure you guys 652 00:36:24,440 --> 00:36:28,760 get on board over at wager talk dot com. Let's 653 00:36:28,800 --> 00:36:30,079 get into those best bets. 654 00:36:30,159 --> 00:36:30,400 Speaker 2: VR. 655 00:36:30,440 --> 00:36:34,199 Speaker 1: I'm gonna let you go first here, per usual. Tell 656 00:36:34,280 --> 00:36:36,679 me why we're taking the Chiefs. 657 00:36:36,719 --> 00:36:38,880 Speaker 3: I like this yeah, and I actually sent that out 658 00:36:39,000 --> 00:36:40,440 today to subscribers. 659 00:36:40,480 --> 00:36:41,320 Speaker 2: That's why I changed it. 660 00:36:41,480 --> 00:36:44,199 Speaker 3: Made this my best bet four percent. 661 00:36:44,239 --> 00:36:46,440 Speaker 4: If you can get threes out there, if you even 662 00:36:47,920 --> 00:36:52,039 one fifteen at Westgate, but even the two and a 663 00:36:52,039 --> 00:36:55,480 half that are at minus one oh five's again, if 664 00:36:55,519 --> 00:36:57,440 you're not laying more than one thirty, you're good. 665 00:36:57,840 --> 00:37:00,360 Speaker 3: Otherwise take the two and a half. But I don't 666 00:37:00,360 --> 00:37:03,480 think we're gonna need it here with the Chiefs. Bottom line, 667 00:37:03,960 --> 00:37:08,239 this Baltimore team, these are two one in two teams, 668 00:37:08,519 --> 00:37:11,920 but they're both top ten still power rated. That's why 669 00:37:12,000 --> 00:37:13,039 this game really matters. 670 00:37:13,079 --> 00:37:15,199 Speaker 2: The team that goes to two and two is. 671 00:37:15,960 --> 00:37:17,719 Speaker 3: Like still has a season. The one that goes to 672 00:37:17,760 --> 00:37:19,400 one and three, it's going to be really hard to 673 00:37:19,480 --> 00:37:22,760 bounce back. Ford. This is a big, big game, and 674 00:37:23,320 --> 00:37:27,119 we have a Chiefs team even though they're on the road. 675 00:37:27,320 --> 00:37:30,119 You know how Mahomes tends to do. I mean, what's 676 00:37:30,159 --> 00:37:33,840 it called playing at home? Mahomes in a big game. 677 00:37:34,559 --> 00:37:39,519 He's gotten it done for us time and time again. 678 00:37:39,880 --> 00:37:43,519 If you look at the defense of Baltimore, Okay, they 679 00:37:43,599 --> 00:37:46,880 gave up thirty eight to Detroit, a right forty one 680 00:37:47,000 --> 00:37:50,960 to Buffalo, seventeen the Cleveland and you know the most 681 00:37:51,119 --> 00:37:54,679 that Cleveland scored so far this season, seventeen, that was 682 00:37:54,719 --> 00:37:58,360 against Baltimore. Kansas City's gonna be able to finally put 683 00:37:58,440 --> 00:38:01,960 up some points. And this offense isn't as bad as 684 00:38:02,000 --> 00:38:04,480 they're being made out to be. They're still near top 685 00:38:04,559 --> 00:38:08,159 ten in most of the metrics that matter, and I 686 00:38:08,239 --> 00:38:12,079 think against this defense, they're really gonna shine. On the 687 00:38:12,119 --> 00:38:16,119 flip side, I think they're gonna be just fine. Kansas 688 00:38:16,159 --> 00:38:20,039 City top five inefficiency. In fact, they're number three right now, 689 00:38:20,599 --> 00:38:22,400 so I get it. Baltimore is one of the best 690 00:38:22,480 --> 00:38:25,559 offenses in all of the NFL, top five every year, 691 00:38:26,920 --> 00:38:30,039 but they're going on the road and they're playing a 692 00:38:30,159 --> 00:38:33,679 top five defense in the Chiefs. I love Kansas City 693 00:38:33,800 --> 00:38:38,119 in this spot. I think even last week against the Giants, 694 00:38:38,519 --> 00:38:41,079 it was a win where their stock didn't really rise, 695 00:38:41,519 --> 00:38:43,559 like I mean, the Giants were a touchdown away from 696 00:38:43,599 --> 00:38:48,239 back door covering it for a quarter plus. So yeah, 697 00:38:48,880 --> 00:38:51,400 I think this offers a lot of value for the Chiefs. 698 00:38:51,880 --> 00:38:55,639 I will go even as far as saying I think 699 00:38:55,719 --> 00:39:00,519 this should be a pick them at worse. So take 700 00:39:00,599 --> 00:39:03,960 the Chiefs, sprinkle that money line and let's cash your 701 00:39:04,000 --> 00:39:06,280 best bet with the homes in Kansas City on Sunday. 702 00:39:07,199 --> 00:39:10,000 Speaker 1: I do like that side, get to get ahead of 703 00:39:10,039 --> 00:39:12,199 that number. Guys, if you can find a three, check 704 00:39:12,239 --> 00:39:14,760 out oddslogic dot com backslash Kelly in Vegas. If you 705 00:39:14,800 --> 00:39:18,239 guys are looking for a seven day free trial over there, 706 00:39:18,599 --> 00:39:22,199 Marco DiAngelo. I know I mentioned that you and VR 707 00:39:22,400 --> 00:39:25,320 have a promo package up together. What about somebody who's 708 00:39:25,320 --> 00:39:28,840 looking for something for this weekend over at wager talk 709 00:39:28,880 --> 00:39:30,440 dot com and then give me your best bet for 710 00:39:30,559 --> 00:39:31,320 NFL Week four. 711 00:39:32,079 --> 00:39:36,039 Speaker 2: Well, Kelly, the Weekend Warrior package. People absolutely love it. 712 00:39:36,559 --> 00:39:40,239 You get your favorite Kapper forty nine dollars. It locks 713 00:39:40,280 --> 00:39:44,679 you in for every college and NFL play Saturday and Sunday, 714 00:39:44,960 --> 00:39:47,800 and as a bonus, you'll get if they have a 715 00:39:47,880 --> 00:39:50,840 Monday Night football selection as well. Guess what, there's two 716 00:39:50,880 --> 00:39:54,679 Monday Night games this week, not exactly the best Monday 717 00:39:54,719 --> 00:39:56,840 Night games, but you get two of them. I guess 718 00:39:57,480 --> 00:40:01,239 quantity or quantities better than quality for this Monday Night. 719 00:40:02,280 --> 00:40:06,719 And Kelly, we are the last two seasons number two 720 00:40:07,000 --> 00:40:11,880 college and pro combined money one, So check it out. 721 00:40:12,079 --> 00:40:15,800 In five percent plays, we've been dead on. We did 722 00:40:15,920 --> 00:40:18,559 lose one last week, rare one, as we mentioned in 723 00:40:18,639 --> 00:40:23,440 the other show, with the Houston Texans fumbling the game 724 00:40:23,480 --> 00:40:26,760 away for US three turnovers. But we will bounce back 725 00:40:26,840 --> 00:40:29,920 this week. We had a great college week last week, 726 00:40:30,119 --> 00:40:33,599 and let's keep it going. Speaking of keeping it going, 727 00:40:33,960 --> 00:40:36,079 five and one last week with the plays here on 728 00:40:36,199 --> 00:40:38,679 the show, and we're gonna go with the best bet. 729 00:40:38,800 --> 00:40:41,599 And before you start putting in the comments section, oh 730 00:40:41,800 --> 00:40:45,320 he's a homer, No he ain't, because I went against 731 00:40:45,320 --> 00:40:48,320 the Steelers the first two weeks of the season. We 732 00:40:48,400 --> 00:40:51,760 didn't have a play last week with them, but we're 733 00:40:51,760 --> 00:40:55,159 two to zero going against the Steelers. But this week 734 00:40:55,199 --> 00:40:59,119 I'm gonna go with the Pittsburgh Steelers and they're playing 735 00:40:59,599 --> 00:41:02,480 in Now I gotta figure out if I'm gonna get 736 00:41:02,559 --> 00:41:05,239 up at the crack of dawn to watch the Steelers 737 00:41:05,280 --> 00:41:09,320 here on the West Coast on Sunday morning. But this 738 00:41:09,519 --> 00:41:12,920 is a spot where it's as much going against the 739 00:41:13,039 --> 00:41:18,039 Minnesota Vikings as it is taking Pittsburgh. We've seen the 740 00:41:18,360 --> 00:41:21,960 market move in this game. And I always say no 741 00:41:22,119 --> 00:41:24,079 team is as good as their best game, nor are 742 00:41:24,119 --> 00:41:26,119 they as bad as their worst game. And the market 743 00:41:26,320 --> 00:41:30,039 is overreacting to that forty eight to ten win by 744 00:41:30,079 --> 00:41:33,079 the Vikings last week. And remember we had the Vikings 745 00:41:33,199 --> 00:41:35,840 as our best bet, so I enjoyed it. But I'll 746 00:41:35,880 --> 00:41:38,960 be the first to tell you, Yeah, they dominated the game. 747 00:41:39,119 --> 00:41:42,360 Yes they won by a landslide, but that game was 748 00:41:42,440 --> 00:41:48,159 won because of five turnovers by the Cincinnati Bengals. Carson 749 00:41:48,199 --> 00:41:53,519 Wentz filled in for JJ McCarthy, and before everybody starts 750 00:41:53,639 --> 00:41:57,800 making the Minnesota coach the quarterback whisper, let's see another 751 00:41:57,880 --> 00:42:00,920 game from Carson Wentz. There's a reason. And Carson Wentz 752 00:42:01,079 --> 00:42:05,840 is playing for his sixth NFL team in six years. Okay, 753 00:42:06,840 --> 00:42:10,079 I don't buy that he'll have that same type of 754 00:42:10,159 --> 00:42:13,199 game this week. He's not going to be gifted goodfield 755 00:42:13,239 --> 00:42:19,079 position all over the place. Aaron Rodgers is not Jake Browning. 756 00:42:19,760 --> 00:42:22,440 He will not be rattled. Plus the fact, let's not 757 00:42:22,639 --> 00:42:26,400 forget how many times Aaron Rodgers has faced this Minnesota 758 00:42:26,519 --> 00:42:30,480 defense from his days with Green Bay. You've seen the 759 00:42:30,599 --> 00:42:35,239 market take Pittsburgh from a small favorite to now a 760 00:42:35,440 --> 00:42:39,199 two and a half point underdog. Everybody wants Minnesota, and 761 00:42:39,239 --> 00:42:41,920 I know VR mentioned it in his Steam report, but 762 00:42:42,239 --> 00:42:45,440 I think it's an overreaction to one week. I'll take 763 00:42:45,519 --> 00:42:49,239 the Steelers here, and as I said in an earlier game, 764 00:42:49,599 --> 00:42:52,599 let's not forget that injured player theory. The way we 765 00:42:52,719 --> 00:42:54,960 work that system as we take the injured team in 766 00:42:55,119 --> 00:42:59,199 week one, because everybody rises the occasion, steps up to 767 00:42:59,440 --> 00:43:02,920 compensate for the loss of your quarterback. But if they 768 00:43:03,000 --> 00:43:06,800 get the win in week one, it's a two part system. 769 00:43:06,880 --> 00:43:09,519 We go against that team the next week because they 770 00:43:09,559 --> 00:43:13,320 don't have that same intensity. I'll go ahead, take Pittsburgh. 771 00:43:13,639 --> 00:43:17,000 Let's call it twenty seven to twenty. Pittsburgh gets the win. 772 00:43:18,199 --> 00:43:21,039 And one other thing of playing in Dublin and traveling, 773 00:43:21,599 --> 00:43:24,440 there's not a team in the NFL that travels better 774 00:43:24,559 --> 00:43:27,840 with their fans than the Pittsburgh Steelers. How many times 775 00:43:27,920 --> 00:43:30,000 you see them in road games, no matter what city 776 00:43:30,119 --> 00:43:33,199 they're in. You see those terrible tiles. A lot of 777 00:43:33,320 --> 00:43:36,880 people made this trip to Dublin. They'll be there in 778 00:43:36,960 --> 00:43:37,559 full force. 779 00:43:37,960 --> 00:43:40,760 Speaker 1: Take the Steelers, all right, Steelers look like a nice 780 00:43:40,800 --> 00:43:43,199 teaser option. Mark. I'll leave it at that. I may 781 00:43:43,280 --> 00:43:45,239 be here even on the East Coast, not up early 782 00:43:45,360 --> 00:43:47,800 enough for that game. I don't know why we keep 783 00:43:47,840 --> 00:43:51,840 doing things internationally, but we are so God bless all 784 00:43:51,880 --> 00:43:53,159 of you that are willing to get up at six 785 00:43:53,239 --> 00:43:57,599 am Pacific to watch the Steelers play. All right, I 786 00:43:57,800 --> 00:44:01,119 will get into my best bet here. This is just 787 00:44:01,199 --> 00:44:03,599 as gross as watching the Steelers flight. Actually, it's probably 788 00:44:03,679 --> 00:44:07,000 even worse. And I'm wearing a purple jacket, So sorry 789 00:44:07,079 --> 00:44:09,400 Marco if it looks like I'm cheering for Minnesota in 790 00:44:09,519 --> 00:44:14,840 that one. All right, the Raiders, Yeah, I know no 791 00:44:14,920 --> 00:44:17,639 one wants to take the Raiders DraftKings is holding a 792 00:44:17,960 --> 00:44:20,679 plus one and a half minus one twenty while the 793 00:44:20,760 --> 00:44:23,239 rest of the market on odds logic screen is at 794 00:44:23,280 --> 00:44:26,679 a pick um. I think that's very very interesting. They're 795 00:44:26,800 --> 00:44:30,239 begging for Raiders' money and I don't blame them. How 796 00:44:30,320 --> 00:44:35,039 good did the Cowboys make Caleb Williams look last week? Yeah, 797 00:44:35,119 --> 00:44:39,079 that's exactly how it panned out thirty one fourteen when 798 00:44:39,119 --> 00:44:42,719 it was fourteen fourteen and the Dallas Cowboys defense just 799 00:44:43,000 --> 00:44:46,280 absolutely let the wheels fall off and then no CD lamb. 800 00:44:46,920 --> 00:44:50,239 But Dak Prescott still completed thirty one to forty attempts 801 00:44:50,320 --> 00:44:52,800 and Javonte Williams still got seven point six yards per 802 00:44:52,840 --> 00:44:56,480 carry on the ground. Gino Smith looked awful on that 803 00:44:56,599 --> 00:44:59,480 Monday night football game against the Chargers and did not 804 00:45:00,000 --> 00:45:03,480 look great last week? Or did he last week? Versus 805 00:45:03,559 --> 00:45:06,320 the Commanders. The Raiders offense five point seven yards per 806 00:45:06,360 --> 00:45:09,760 play Gino Smith nineteen of twenty nine, almost three hundred yards, 807 00:45:09,840 --> 00:45:15,360 three touchdowns and yay, finally no interceptions. Raiders defense has 808 00:45:15,440 --> 00:45:19,079 some holes, but the Bears are still four and fourteen 809 00:45:19,239 --> 00:45:23,239 in September. Do not overreact to one good game against 810 00:45:23,239 --> 00:45:27,039 that Dallas defense. Raiders win this game. Look, take the 811 00:45:27,079 --> 00:45:28,920 one and a half minus one twenty. Take the pick them. 812 00:45:29,639 --> 00:45:32,920 Maybe even wait, maybe the Raiders will move to one 813 00:45:32,960 --> 00:45:34,880 and a half plus one and a half here at 814 00:45:34,960 --> 00:45:36,960 home across the board and you can put him in 815 00:45:37,000 --> 00:45:39,159 a teaser. I don't think that's gonna be the case, though. 816 00:45:39,199 --> 00:45:42,719 I think Raiders right now are the play as a 817 00:45:43,199 --> 00:45:46,320 pick them to bring back in the guys for this 818 00:45:46,559 --> 00:45:50,599 recap of NFL Week four. Appreciate you guys hanging out 819 00:45:50,639 --> 00:45:53,639 with us here every single week here un bet on again, 820 00:45:53,880 --> 00:45:56,559 like give us that thumbs up, hit that subscribe button 821 00:45:56,559 --> 00:45:59,199 so you never miss another episode. Let's get that recap 822 00:45:59,320 --> 00:46:02,239 graphic up for everybody who's asked for it. If you guys, 823 00:46:02,280 --> 00:46:03,960 have something else you want to see here on bet 824 00:46:04,000 --> 00:46:06,480 on It, drop it in the comment section. 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