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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It is time for total basis.

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Opening weekend is in the books. Of course, we have

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NFL Week two levels of overreactions after three games, but

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it also makes this, in my opinion, one of the

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best weeks to bet Major League Baseball, not that there's

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ever a bad week.

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Speaker 2: So we're gonna talk Mariners Yankees.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna get into the chat and talk about what

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you guys want to talk about.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna go to Brian Leonard.

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Speaker 1: First and we're gonna get right into this big game,

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and then we'll go to Tokyo Brandon Mariners Yankees for me,

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Brian one aversus one B. As far as I have

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the American League rated, I think a lot of people

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would probably agree with that. We are out in the

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Pacific Northwest tonight to open up this series, and the

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Yankees are gonna put a guy on the mound that

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you talked about a lot last year, and you had

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had sort of a beat on this guy last year.

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So kick us Yankees, Mariners. How are you seeing this

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matchup tonight?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? Left, Ryan Weather's gone to the Yankees, and as

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long as he's on the mound, you want to take

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advantage of it because he does have some injury problems

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in the past. He's going against Luis Castillo Castillo at home. Obviously,

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with Seattle. I'm seeing lines out there about Seattle about

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one minus one ten, sort of like a pick him game.

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In a total of a seven and a half. I've

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seen some eighths under minus one twenty. Interesting game for

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myself obviously because there are two teams that are really good.

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But also and I'll talk about Seattle a little bit

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later when we get to our segment where we talk about,

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you know, what's been going on with us and what

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we've got up. But we've got Lewis SiO going for

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the Yankees. He's a righty and uh normally wrighty's. You know,

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you see a lot of times where I had the

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lefty righting situation for the starting pitchers. It's interesting how

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good last year Luis Castillo was against righty's compared to lefties.

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Not tonight. He's probably going to face only three rdies

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and six lefties. Well last year, I guess right handed pitchers,

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and I'm a real big believer in strikeout minus walk ratio.

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His strikeout ratio is twenty five point two percent. His

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walk three point three gives him a twenty one point

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nine strikeout minus walk ratio against righty's, which is awesome.

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It's awesome. Well, look at him against lefties. He faced

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eighty four lefty batteries last year in the Inks, pitched

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eighty four to eighty four innings. His strikeout ratio eighteen

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point fours compared to twenty five point two, his walk

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ratio compared to three point three nine point zero. So

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his strikeout minus walk ratio was only nine point four

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percent against lefties. And as I said before, like twenty

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one point nine or whatever. I guess right is, lefties

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can hit him, and the Yankees got some good left

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handed hitters here. I think that's going to be a difference.

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I've been looking to Fade Castillo the last few years,

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and he's getting older, and I think after playing a

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night game last night on National TV, it's a little

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bit of a nuts here for the Yankees, I believe.

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So I like the Yankees in this game.

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Speaker 2: Oh, I mean, I'm muting.

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Speaker 1: You know, I'm getting good at muting myself when other

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people are talking. Kelly has been on me for that,

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and sometimes I'm too good at it. And then I

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forget to unumute myself. I was trying to bring Tokyo

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Brandon into the conversation, and what I was saying when

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I was muted was TV, you had a couple of

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good calls on the Yankees first weekend. They go and

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get the sweep out at the Bay Area. Now they

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head up to the Pacific Northwest. So how are you

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seeing this one? Yankees Mariners?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, this one interesting?

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Speaker 1: Uh.

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Speaker 4: Weathers is interesting picture. If you look at his game

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law from last year, man, he's seven strikeouts, one strikeout,

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two strikeouts, six strikeout. He's just all over the place.

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And one thing that's consistent about him is he hardly

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ever pitches six innings in his starts. He's very low inning,

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a low out sky. So the first thing I did

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was to look at his his outs and strikeout props.

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His his strikeout prop right now is over under five

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and a half and it's minus one sixty five to

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the under. So that number will probably change to four

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and a half.

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Speaker 2: But he doesn't.

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Speaker 4: He's not a real strikeout guy. I would kind of

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lean on his under there. Louis Castillo looking at him,

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older guy, but he's still, you know, fairly dependable his numbers.

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His OPS is around six eighty against the Yankees, which

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means he has had a decent h The problem is

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he's got a long, long history. Brian's trying to say something,

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but he's muted. Oh no, okay, sorry, never mind. So

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it's a long history though, so some of those numbers

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were probably acquired a long time ago. Judge has ten

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at bats against him at thirteen ops. Rosario has twenty

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at bats and a one thousand OPS against him, But

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aside from that, none of the other batters really do

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damage against him. I think Castillo will be okay in

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this game. I don't know if I'm going to play

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the Mariners, but I don't like the Yankees with Weathers

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on the mound. Unfortunately, I think he has a possibility

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to He's just so erratic. I really don't know what

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to expect from him, but I do know he's not

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going to well. No, but I assume he's not going

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to finish six innings and I assume he's not going

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to get six strikeouts. So I would take unders in

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any of those props. I'm more confident about that than

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I am on the side. But if I had to

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take this, it would probably be Seattle.

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Speaker 3: Uh.

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Speaker 1: Tough part about Weathers is he was coming off of injury.

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So it's like to me, you know, you're looking at

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last year. Brian, correct me if I'm wrong. He missed

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some time?

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Speaker 2: Was he.

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Speaker 1: What was his injury? I know he came into the

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year last year battling injury.

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Speaker 2: Was that? Is that correct?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? I don't remember exactly what the injury is. One

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season switches to the other. I tried it. Yeah, how

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many as are injured anymore?

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Speaker 4: You know?

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Speaker 3: But he was. He did a big part of the.

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Speaker 2: Season, missed a part of the season. Started the year.

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Speaker 1: I know he spent a little bit of time in Jacksonville,

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probably for that reason, I think sort of, you know,

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I think he was down here, down there on a

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rehab stint or two so TV, I think I'd be

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more if I had to pick between those two markets,

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outs or strikeouts, I'd probably be more inclined to go

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with an outs under, just because, like I was making

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this point to Brian off air before we came on, like,

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you know, I felt like my approach to Opening Weekend,

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even though I didn't get the results that I wanted personally,

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was pretty good. Where it was like, hey, starting pitching

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probably shouldn't be weighted as much in your handicap of

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the team as it will be two months from now,

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one month from now, we'll say, one month from now.

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Speaker 2: Give him a start or two to get in the mix.

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Speaker 1: A lot of erradic stuff from starters, and a lot

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of starters not working very deep into games.

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Speaker 2: Just natural. Right we're in March.

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Speaker 1: And then so you look at a guy like Weathers,

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I think he could get the strikeouts because he's got

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the stuff, but.

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Speaker 2: Maybe he doesn't work deep in the game.

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Speaker 1: I'd be more inclined to go with the under outs

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and the other strikeout.

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Speaker 2: Just that's just my personal you know, a take on

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the game there.

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Speaker 1: How about the side, Yeah, as far as the side

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is concerned, you know, I'm very close on what I

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make the number. I like I said coming out when

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I came on to the show, one AVERS, one B

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for me in the American League, I personally lean toward.

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Speaker 2: The Mariners for my ratings standpoint.

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Speaker 1: I have the Mariners one, I have the Yankees two,

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but there's other things to take into consideration. Mariners did

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play last night. I don't know how much that matters.

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At this point in the season. I'll Mariners, you know,

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and this will will segue this into the next game.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna talk about. I'm gonna go to Brian here.

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You know, Mariners can't You can't overreact to one weekend.

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But I have to say I was.

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Speaker 1: I was a little bit more impressed with the Guardians

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than I expected to be. So shout out to you

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because you you had offered a pro Guardian's take on

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our very first show of the year. I'm not gonna

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overreact and say the Mariners aren't still the best team

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in the American League or right near the top because

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they went to and two. But shout out to your

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Cleveland Guardians. That was a pretty impressive weekend series for them,

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even getting blown out last night.

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Speaker 2: So kick us off.

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Speaker 1: I'll go to you on Guardians Dodgers, and then I'm

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gonna go to the chat and we'll find the next

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game for TV. But talk to me about Guardians Dodgers,

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and if you think that carries over to this series.

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Speaker 3: Well, first of all, I played the Guardian's team total

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under early on, so I'm not a pro Guardian's guy.

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But I will say the moves they made at the

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end of spring training. The people they kept up at

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people that they dropped down. They just said, you know,

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Nolan Jones was yeah, he had he's been lousy for

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the for the Guardians. They let him go. Logan Allen,

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they let him go down. So they kept Messick. And

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Messic is the guy on the mound today for Cleveland,

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and he could be the best pitcher in this lineup.

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And they started rotation for Cleveland. I really like if

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he's a lefty, he's going against Rocky or Rookie Sazaki today,

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Who's got a guy who if you've watched him in

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the in the preseason, you you want to fade him.

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So we've got to bet on with Cleveland with messake

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a bet against with the Dodgers with Sasaki. That said,

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this Cleveland offense is terrible and the Dodgers offense is

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so much better. So we're getting the Dodgers and roughly

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the one ninety range here, I mean, I'm saying from

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eighty five to two dollars and the total is eight

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and a half to the over, nine to the under.

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So but the reason why I'm interested in this game

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is because I think we've got a situation where if

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you're going to play this game, we would have to

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look at the first five. If you like Cleveland, we're

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getting if you're if you're a Cleveland fan, in this game,

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you're getting about a one sixty five back. You look

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at the first half, you're getting a one thirty five back,

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and that thirty cents is probably a bargain because once

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the Dodgers go to the bullpen and Sazaki is out

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of the game, Dodgers just good as Cleveland, probably better

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in the bullpen. So if I'm looking to play it,

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I would look to play Cleveland in the first five.

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But I don't know if I trust the Cleveland offense,

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so I want to Faceasaki. But Cleveland did not look

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as good to me as they did to you. And

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since photoking Cleveland, i'll talk about it now.

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Speaker 2: C J.

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Speaker 3: Caaphas yesterday is a first baseman and a right fielder.

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Because Cleveland is trying to get any offense they can,

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they put him out in the left field yesterday. For

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some reason, he misplayed three balls in left field in Tacony.

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Was was playing, pitching a great game, two outsitting and

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that I believe it was the fourth fly ball to

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the left field he had to run for it. He

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slid ford instead of diving and it falls for a

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double chock up to Cony. Then he gets bombed that

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ding in the next inning, and there's bad move by

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the manager to put him out in left field. I've

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never seen him play left field before, at least of

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the majors, And it's a situation that they're trying to

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be too cute with this, and they cost him the

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game yesterday, and it cost me my play. I had

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a three percent on that, so I'm a little frustrated.

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But yeah, the managers try to get too cute, and

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it really affects these, especially young pitchers. If you think

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you're hardly ending on a guy, the guy makes a mistake,

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it really affects them.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: I mean, listen, I think you could say this just

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about anything that happened opening weekend.

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Speaker 2: If it happened in the middle of July, no.

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Speaker 1: One would notice, right, No one would care. It would

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just be run of the mill. I don't think the Guardians,

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you know, for me, I'm not anymore like, I'm not

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any more pro Guardians necessarily. I was just impressed that

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they were able to split a series with you know,

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go on the road split a series. But and I'll

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come to you for this one, Tokyo Brandon, the Nats

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went into.

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Speaker 2: Wrigley and won a series.

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Speaker 1: Are the have you bumped the Gnats like significantly on

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their power ratings? I'm guessing probably no, So TV, I

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want to come to you.

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Speaker 2: We're going back to Wrigley Field.

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Speaker 1: They've got another team that Brian Leonard said was gonna

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flirt with one hundred losses in the building. Tonight the

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Angels are coming to town Wrigley Field. Are you finding

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a way to get involved with the Cubbies at all

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in this series?

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Speaker 2: And how about tonight?

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Speaker 4: Well, one thing you can say about the Angels is

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they're really hitting right now. And Mike Trout's hitting like

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almost five hundred right now, So I mean, yeah, it's opening,

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you know, the season just opened up, and so obviously

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he's not going to hit five hundred for the season,

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and obviously he's not going to be healthy for the season.

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But man, the Cubs have a good lineup. Though the

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Cubs have been putting up runs as well. If anything,

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I would I would thinking over in this game. But

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I don't think the line's out yet. Because of that

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stupid Chicago wind theory, So if anything, I would thinking

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over right away. I don't know much about Ryan Johnson,

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but I do know that Edward Cabrera has decent stats

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against the Angels in his career, which would if it's

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a nine and a half, might hold me off the

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over Mike Trout one for two against Cabrera. None of

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the other guys really have decent numbers against him, and

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the Angel's bullpen is trash. Cubs have are one of

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the money teams that can spend money, so any team

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that spends money generally will have a decent bullpen. So

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the Cubs, I'll have to see what they got, but

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their bullpen is definitely better than the Angels. I can

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say that without any hesitation. I think the Cubs. You know,

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I got burned by the Cubs yesterday though, because I

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took him, But I shouldn't have taken him on the

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third game they after they won two. I took the

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Cubs minus one and a half, and that was a mistake.

286
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I think the Cubs bounce back here and trounced the Angels. Actually,

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Cabrera's got decent numbers against these Angels. Is his ops

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is like six point fifty in his career against him,

289
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and he's actually a decent pitcher. I don't know much

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about the Ryan Johnson, though some you guys follow minor

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leaguers more than I do, so you might know more

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about him than I do. But the Angels bullpen, I

293
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think the Diamondbacks and the Angels probably have the two

294
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worst bullpens in Major League Baseball. And maybe I'm forgetting one,

295
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but you can't bet that. You can't bet those teams

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to win a game. You just can't do it until

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they show you. The Diamondbacks don't even have a lefty

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in their bullpen. I mean, you have to fade those teams,

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in my opinion.

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Speaker 1: TV hold that thought on the d Backs for one second.

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I want to bring Brian into this game because we

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can't talk Wrigley Field weather without bringing Brian Leonard in.

303
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So I don't hate the idea of a Cubs like Listen,

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you're still paying a premium for the Cubs, no question

305
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about it.

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Speaker 2: But I like Edward Cabrera. I think the Marlins kind

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of had to.

308
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Speaker 1: They have a lot of pieces and and you know

309
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we've talked about the Marlins just like there's so there's

310
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so many different pieces in the organization they felt like

311
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they could let this one go get something back for him,

312
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so on and so forth. But like Cabrera is a

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guy I'm excited about. But Brian, you're always all over

314
00:16:07,240 --> 00:16:10,720
the Wrigley Field weather situation. So any opinion here?

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Speaker 2: What's the weather like? And how are you looking at

316
00:16:12,519 --> 00:16:13,480
Angels cups?

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Speaker 3: Well, right now, the total in this game is nine

318
00:16:17,919 --> 00:16:21,559
and a half, which means win. It's not blowing in,

319
00:16:22,279 --> 00:16:27,159
so it's not blowing out terribly, but it should have

320
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some runs scored in this game. And Ryan Johnson was

321
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brought up by the Angels. He was a reliever last

322
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year only through fifteen mints, but he's basically he's been

323
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a starter, and that's where they want to use him.

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I've heard some good reports about Ryan Johnson and and

325
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so he may surprise you here. I don't know how

326
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long he's going to go because he'd only pitched a

327
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relief in the majors last year, but he's got some

328
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big differences against lefties and righties. Last year in fifteen

329
00:17:01,200 --> 00:17:04,559
innings he pitched ten basically tenning is worth against varieties,

330
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and he had a twenty two excuse me a twenty

331
00:17:07,839 --> 00:17:11,319
three point four strikeout min schwalk ratio, which is fantastic.

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But if you take a look at the lefties, you

333
00:17:13,799 --> 00:17:16,799
had a four point one he played, he faced lefties,

334
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you know, one third of the time a four point one,

335
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and the Cubs are gonna use six lefties against him today.

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So I think the Cubs are going to get to

337
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him today. Maybe a team total over on the on

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the Cubs maybe the better way to go about it,

339
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because that is kind of an expensive price. A lot

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of people out there like the Cubs started a little

341
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bit more than I do. Hey, hey have one good year.

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Did make some changes. We'll see if it carries on

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this year.

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Speaker 1: All right, Tokyo, Brandon, I want to I said, hold

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that thought because I wanted to dig in a little

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deeper with the Diamondbacks.

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Speaker 2: They're oher and three start.

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Speaker 1: You know, I look at a team just to make

349
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a segue here and we'll shut down that Angels Cubs game.

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You know you said the eight like, yeah, the Angel's

351
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bullpen is probably bad. They were awful last season.

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Speaker 2: Well, I say.

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Speaker 1: Probably because they went out and got some guys that

354
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are at least are interesting to me that could be

355
00:18:13,799 --> 00:18:17,559
potential good arms out of the bullpen, but it's really

356
00:18:17,640 --> 00:18:20,480
hard to tell what we'll see how like who falls

357
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into what role there. I think I'm with you in

358
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saying my gut says, especially going back to last year,

359
00:18:27,119 --> 00:18:29,839
something that came up a few times, the Angels seem

360
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to find a way to mess pitchers up more and

361
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more often than not, Like they don't they don't necessarily

362
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develop pitchers in that organization, Like seems like you get

363
00:18:39,240 --> 00:18:42,920
there and you get worse. So I'm not disagreeing with

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the Angel's bullpen potentially being bad.

365
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Speaker 2: But where I really agree with you the Diamondbacks.

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Speaker 1: There, it's not a skill thing as much as it's

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like they're coming into the season extremely banged up in

368
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the bullpen. It was already a pretty rough pen last

369
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year into this year. Now they start zero to three.

370
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Like I'm trying not to overreact here, but like the

371
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Diamondbacks might not be very good, like I think there was.

372
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There's people that are higher on this team than I

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Like you know, and you look in the context of

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the NL West, and I'll let you talk about Tiger's Diamondbacks,

375
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but in the context of the NL West, like I

376
00:19:20,720 --> 00:19:24,319
still prefer just about everyone other than the Rockies to

377
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this Diamondbacks team, obviously the Dodgers. I think people probably

378
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knock the Giants down a few pegs. I don't necessarily

379
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think that's fair based off one weekend. So now you've

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00:19:34,039 --> 00:19:36,720
got the Tigers coming to town, a team that'll you know,

381
00:19:37,240 --> 00:19:38,599
probably wins their division.

382
00:19:38,839 --> 00:19:40,240
Speaker 2: How are you looking at this one tonight?

383
00:19:40,240 --> 00:19:44,920
Speaker 1: Tiger's d Backs, Verlander, Soroka, couple couple of veterans here.

384
00:19:45,920 --> 00:19:48,240
Speaker 4: I'm going to take just two seconds and tell everyone

385
00:19:48,279 --> 00:19:50,920
that we have a double play thing out. I know

386
00:19:51,039 --> 00:19:52,480
we should do this at the end, but I want

387
00:19:52,480 --> 00:19:54,480
to do it right now. Double play you can pick

388
00:19:54,519 --> 00:19:56,960
two of us for three days for forty nine bucks

389
00:19:57,039 --> 00:19:59,799
two of us. So it's a great deal. Check it

390
00:19:59,799 --> 00:20:02,799
out at wagertalk dot com. It's just in my blood.

391
00:20:02,799 --> 00:20:05,440
I gotta do it. So I made a free video

392
00:20:06,119 --> 00:20:09,799
on wager talk about this game. So I'm very prepared

393
00:20:09,839 --> 00:20:13,119
to talk about it. So Justin Verlander not only has

394
00:20:13,279 --> 00:20:17,359
a really hot wife, but he's got good stats against

395
00:20:17,359 --> 00:20:21,119
these Diamondbacks. Last year in twenty twenty four, he got

396
00:20:21,160 --> 00:20:23,680
blown up by the Diamondbacks. That last year he had

397
00:20:23,720 --> 00:20:26,079
two starts against him. He went seven innings and shut

398
00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:28,200
him out. And then in another start, I think he

399
00:20:29,079 --> 00:20:31,000
off the top of my head five innings and he

400
00:20:31,039 --> 00:20:34,720
gave up two runs, So he has good stats against

401
00:20:34,720 --> 00:20:37,000
these guys. I have no idea why the Tigers are

402
00:20:38,079 --> 00:20:40,279
underdogs in this game. Makes no sense to me. I

403
00:20:40,279 --> 00:20:42,160
got him for plus one hundred and I put it

404
00:20:42,200 --> 00:20:47,119
out as a client. Play better bullpen, and let's not

405
00:20:47,240 --> 00:20:50,519
forget until the Tigers basically tanked at the end of

406
00:20:50,559 --> 00:20:53,759
the year last year. They had the best record in

407
00:20:54,000 --> 00:20:57,480
MLB for a good portion of the season last year

408
00:20:57,559 --> 00:21:00,960
until the Brewers made their surgeon and the Tigers started

409
00:21:01,000 --> 00:21:05,359
to vomit. But they got the better bullpen by far.

410
00:21:06,079 --> 00:21:08,480
They've got, in my opinion, the better starter. I mean,

411
00:21:08,519 --> 00:21:14,599
Soroka is not bad, but I don't trust him. And actually,

412
00:21:14,640 --> 00:21:17,880
if you look at twenty twenty five, Verlinder actually had

413
00:21:17,920 --> 00:21:20,720
a better season. He had more starts, he had more innings,

414
00:21:20,759 --> 00:21:22,559
and he had a better season in my opinion. So

415
00:21:23,000 --> 00:21:26,799
better pitcher, better bullpen. They might not have the better hitters.

416
00:21:26,880 --> 00:21:31,200
The Diamondbacks have been putting up runs despite getting destroyed,

417
00:21:31,720 --> 00:21:34,839
but I think with those two factors are good enough

418
00:21:34,839 --> 00:21:36,640
to take plus money on the Tigers today.

419
00:21:38,599 --> 00:21:40,119
Speaker 2: I can't argue with you on the number.

420
00:21:40,160 --> 00:21:42,319
Speaker 1: I mean, my number kind of came out right in

421
00:21:42,359 --> 00:21:45,920
there in that range. Arizona does hit at home, so

422
00:21:46,400 --> 00:21:50,799
you know, yeah, that's that is Their splits tend to

423
00:21:50,799 --> 00:21:52,559
be better at home if you were look like last

424
00:21:52,559 --> 00:21:56,039
three years or so, and that's quite often kind of

425
00:21:56,279 --> 00:21:58,839
widely considered. If you listen to big leaguers talk, they

426
00:21:58,880 --> 00:22:01,839
love hitting it at Chase Field. It's kind of one

427
00:22:01,839 --> 00:22:04,839
of the better hitting backdrops you're gonna find in the league. Brian,

428
00:22:04,880 --> 00:22:07,279
I'm gonna go to Ge Hurt in the chat for you,

429
00:22:07,359 --> 00:22:09,039
and then we'll go to Garth and I'll kick it

430
00:22:09,079 --> 00:22:11,240
back to Tokyo Brandon. But I'm gonna give you this one.

431
00:22:11,680 --> 00:22:16,359
Uh Ge Hurts has any thoughts on Orioles Rangers. I'll

432
00:22:16,400 --> 00:22:19,000
just kick it off by saying I'm pretty pro Jack Whier.

433
00:22:19,880 --> 00:22:23,359
This was interesting to me, so talk me off the Rangers.

434
00:22:23,359 --> 00:22:25,000
Here is what I'll give to you.

435
00:22:26,039 --> 00:22:29,839
Speaker 3: All Right, We've got lighter against Bassett. Baltimore is a

436
00:22:29,839 --> 00:22:32,440
home we're looking at about a one twenty five favorite and nine.

437
00:22:33,000 --> 00:22:35,319
I did want to ask opinion, if you guys have

438
00:22:35,400 --> 00:22:39,079
a chance Tokyo talked about it. When a pitcher no

439
00:22:39,359 --> 00:22:42,359
picture plays that team a lot the year before as

440
00:22:42,400 --> 00:22:44,759
opposed to another picture, is add an advantage to the

441
00:22:44,799 --> 00:22:48,119
hitters or the pictures. I know Tokyo made that advantage

442
00:22:48,519 --> 00:22:50,880
to the picture, but just wondering if you had an

443
00:22:50,880 --> 00:22:52,720
overall opinion. But we'll wait and get to that in

444
00:22:52,759 --> 00:22:57,279
a minute. Lighter against Baltimore, Lighter was really good in

445
00:22:57,319 --> 00:22:59,079
the second half. He found himself in the second half

446
00:22:59,160 --> 00:23:02,880
last year. Will that continue? Will have to see. Bassett's

447
00:23:02,880 --> 00:23:05,119
a guy. This is the first game with his new team.

448
00:23:06,000 --> 00:23:08,680
Had a lot of success in Toronto last year, and

449
00:23:09,119 --> 00:23:11,160
it looked really good in the playoffs. And he looked

450
00:23:11,160 --> 00:23:12,680
so good in the playoffs, and a lot of teams

451
00:23:12,880 --> 00:23:15,119
could have signed him as a as a middle of

452
00:23:15,200 --> 00:23:18,039
late reliever and thought of that might be the way

453
00:23:18,039 --> 00:23:19,880
it goes. But he doesn't want. He wants to start,

454
00:23:20,319 --> 00:23:23,960
and so we got Texas here against Baltimore. When I'm

455
00:23:24,000 --> 00:23:28,319
looking at Bassett from what he did last year, his

456
00:23:28,640 --> 00:23:32,920
strikeout to walk ratio in there against righties was over

457
00:23:32,960 --> 00:23:35,839
twenty percent. Against left he's about twelve percent, So he's

458
00:23:35,839 --> 00:23:39,759
been actually pretty good in that regard. Overall. He did

459
00:23:39,759 --> 00:23:43,359
throw one hundred and sixty nine innings and his last

460
00:23:43,400 --> 00:23:45,359
time he's taken them on was seven days ago, so

461
00:23:45,640 --> 00:23:50,000
I expect a pretty good effort out of Bassett. Baltimore,

462
00:23:50,039 --> 00:23:52,720
on the other hand, with Jack Leader going up against him.

463
00:23:52,880 --> 00:23:55,000
Jack Ledder last year one hundred and fifty one innings

464
00:23:56,359 --> 00:24:00,960
for lefty righty's he strick out. My walk for righties

465
00:24:01,119 --> 00:24:06,319
was about eleven percent. Left he's about thirteen and a half,

466
00:24:06,839 --> 00:24:09,960
both of them pretty pretty low compared to the league average,

467
00:24:10,160 --> 00:24:13,839
although he's able to get out both lefties and righties equally,

468
00:24:13,880 --> 00:24:20,160
and we expect we expect Baltimore to have five rights

469
00:24:20,200 --> 00:24:23,960
today and four lefties as opposed to what we were

470
00:24:24,000 --> 00:24:29,839
saying earlier with the other pitcher. We'll see what that

471
00:24:29,960 --> 00:24:32,599
happens there. But in this game, I think the alliance

472
00:24:33,200 --> 00:24:37,079
pretty much what I expected it to be, so you know,

473
00:24:37,200 --> 00:24:40,240
we'll have to see that. So far the Baltimore stadium,

474
00:24:40,359 --> 00:24:42,960
I think he's played a little bit sports the under

475
00:24:43,039 --> 00:24:45,480
even though they brought those benches in a little bit.

476
00:24:45,480 --> 00:24:48,240
We'll see how this goes. But nine's are pretty high,

477
00:24:48,759 --> 00:24:51,960
pretty high total with the guys that have this ability,

478
00:24:52,079 --> 00:24:53,400
So we'll have to see how this goes.

479
00:24:55,160 --> 00:24:58,200
Speaker 1: I think, you know, to answer your question, I'm typically

480
00:24:58,240 --> 00:25:02,079
going to give exposure. I'm gonna give hitters the nod

481
00:25:02,279 --> 00:25:05,039
when it comes to exposure, So like, if you've had

482
00:25:05,599 --> 00:25:08,759
a long history against a pitcher, I'm usually gonna give

483
00:25:08,759 --> 00:25:12,440
it to the hitters. That being said, the more veteran pitchers,

484
00:25:12,480 --> 00:25:16,680
the more cerebral pitchers, I'm less inclined to do that.

485
00:25:17,079 --> 00:25:20,079
And you know, say what you want about Verlander being

486
00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:23,079
at the end of his career, gonna be hard pressed

487
00:25:23,079 --> 00:25:27,279
to find a more you know, at this point, not

488
00:25:27,319 --> 00:25:29,559
gonna be many more cerebral pitchers than him in terms

489
00:25:29,559 --> 00:25:33,480
of like just totally understanding how to pitch, in the

490
00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:37,680
psychology of pitching, something that's probably getting lost on in

491
00:25:37,720 --> 00:25:40,119
the game today. I think I think there's some of them,

492
00:25:40,359 --> 00:25:42,400
but I do think we have a lot more throwers

493
00:25:42,839 --> 00:25:46,079
than pitchers. I'm gonna kind of use this to I'm

494
00:25:46,079 --> 00:25:49,240
gonna get to TV in a second with with Garth's question,

495
00:25:50,119 --> 00:25:52,920
but I want to close down the Rangers Orioles thing

496
00:25:52,960 --> 00:25:55,720
by saying this for Gee Hurt, just to give a

497
00:25:55,720 --> 00:25:59,440
pick on this game, this is the exact setup that

498
00:25:59,480 --> 00:26:01,680
I've been kind of looking for now, I agree with Brian.

499
00:26:01,720 --> 00:26:05,519
Then the respect my number is actually I show value

500
00:26:05,519 --> 00:26:07,599
to the Rangers as a dog, slight value to the

501
00:26:07,680 --> 00:26:11,359
Rangers as a dog. But we've got a starter and

502
00:26:11,440 --> 00:26:14,640
Jack Wider, who I'm personally I think higher than the

503
00:26:14,640 --> 00:26:18,400
market on that doesn't really affect the line. He's not

504
00:26:18,480 --> 00:26:21,000
like a front end guy, so he's not really like

505
00:26:21,119 --> 00:26:23,799
having a huge effect on the number, which means I'm

506
00:26:23,839 --> 00:26:27,240
not really betting on a starting pitcher, which I'm trying

507
00:26:27,279 --> 00:26:30,200
not to do. And then an Orioles team that I

508
00:26:30,240 --> 00:26:32,960
think you want to talk about bullpens. I think the

509
00:26:33,039 --> 00:26:35,279
jury is still out on the Oriols bullpen. Remember they

510
00:26:35,319 --> 00:26:37,920
traded a lot of their pieces away last year. Yes,

511
00:26:37,960 --> 00:26:41,000
they did improve in the offseason on paper, but this

512
00:26:41,160 --> 00:26:43,279
is not a bullpen that I'm like totally in love

513
00:26:43,319 --> 00:26:46,680
with at this point. So Rangers plus money plus one

514
00:26:46,799 --> 00:26:49,319
ten plus one fifteen got some thought for me. Not

515
00:26:49,480 --> 00:26:52,640
something that I've bet yet, but I am pretty high

516
00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:55,720
on this Rangers team, so in just in general, so

517
00:26:55,799 --> 00:26:59,279
that would be a Rangers or pass for me. Tokyo

518
00:26:59,359 --> 00:27:01,759
Brandon Garth is donated to the show, so shout out

519
00:27:01,799 --> 00:27:04,519
to Garth very much appreciate that, and he also has

520
00:27:04,559 --> 00:27:08,839
a question, and I'm actually gonna gonna I'm gonna go

521
00:27:08,920 --> 00:27:10,759
to Brian after this, but I want you to talk

522
00:27:10,799 --> 00:27:14,279
about another game in addition to the ones he's talking about.

523
00:27:14,319 --> 00:27:18,039
So Garth's sets this up like this, he said, already

524
00:27:18,039 --> 00:27:21,799
played Dodgers and Cubs to not bat in the ninth.

525
00:27:22,279 --> 00:27:24,920
Found this play and it helps cut down on the

526
00:27:25,000 --> 00:27:27,000
juice and not lay the minus one and a half.

527
00:27:27,440 --> 00:27:30,279
I actually find that very interesting. That's that's an interesting

528
00:27:30,319 --> 00:27:33,880
market obviously if you dig on some of you know,

529
00:27:33,920 --> 00:27:36,200
I'm I'm I'd imagine like DraftKings or some of the

530
00:27:36,279 --> 00:27:40,319
legals maybe have this. So I'm gonna bring another game

531
00:27:40,480 --> 00:27:43,400
into the mix that I think could be used as

532
00:27:43,519 --> 00:27:46,279
as you know that that could probably fit the profile

533
00:27:46,319 --> 00:27:48,400
of a game that you could use in this same

534
00:27:48,640 --> 00:27:52,039
same sort of context. And that's gonna be the Blue

535
00:27:52,119 --> 00:27:56,279
Jays and the Rockies with our guy Cody ponce Kbo

536
00:27:56,640 --> 00:27:59,880
had a phenomenal year last year. He comes over to

537
00:27:59,920 --> 00:28:02,960
the State TV. I'm kind of high on Cody pots.

538
00:28:02,960 --> 00:28:04,400
I think he's gonna have a good year. I think

539
00:28:04,400 --> 00:28:08,480
his stuff's gonna play. So talk to Garth about that

540
00:28:08,839 --> 00:28:11,440
and the whole you know, trying to circumvent laying minus

541
00:28:11,440 --> 00:28:13,240
one and a half. If you think that's a good idea,

542
00:28:13,559 --> 00:28:15,920
and also, would you consider doing it with the Blue

543
00:28:16,000 --> 00:28:17,720
Jays arguably the big you know, I think the biggest

544
00:28:17,720 --> 00:28:19,000
favorite on the board today.

545
00:28:20,160 --> 00:28:23,519
Speaker 4: So the Rockies and Blue Jay's game today. It's interesting

546
00:28:23,559 --> 00:28:26,319
because we got two pitchers who pitched in Japan. Cody

547
00:28:26,359 --> 00:28:28,680
Ponts pitched in Japan before he went to the KBO.

548
00:28:29,000 --> 00:28:31,599
He's pretty average over here in Japan. He was pretty

549
00:28:31,839 --> 00:28:36,240
h up and down. Uh And Sugano pitched obviously in Japan,

550
00:28:36,359 --> 00:28:41,720
same team as Okamoto. Uh And Sagano is a guy

551
00:28:41,759 --> 00:28:44,200
that I don't really like that much, so I agree

552
00:28:44,240 --> 00:28:46,160
I would go Blue Jays are nothing in that game.

553
00:28:46,160 --> 00:28:49,920
But I'll cut that short and address his question. I

554
00:28:49,920 --> 00:28:51,839
think that's a great idea. I never thought of that.

555
00:28:51,960 --> 00:28:55,799
But essentially, Uh, you're knocking all the juice off and

556
00:28:55,839 --> 00:28:58,279
taking the Cubs to win the game, because if they're winning,

557
00:28:58,319 --> 00:29:00,759
they don't bat in the ninth, right, But you're also

558
00:29:01,279 --> 00:29:04,200
you also have to be wary of if it goes

559
00:29:04,200 --> 00:29:09,240
into extra innings, then you lose. So but overall, I

560
00:29:09,240 --> 00:29:12,200
think extra inning games are about five percent. If I'm

561
00:29:12,240 --> 00:29:16,160
not mistaken. I could be wrong on that, but how

562
00:29:16,160 --> 00:29:21,440
many hats do I own? I own about twenty five hats. Anyways,

563
00:29:22,519 --> 00:29:24,960
I think it's a great way to take Cubs to

564
00:29:25,000 --> 00:29:28,200
win the game. On the money line, it's more like

565
00:29:28,240 --> 00:29:30,160
a three way. It would be more like a three

566
00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:32,720
way money line, but depends on what the odds are.

567
00:29:32,720 --> 00:29:34,839
If the Cubs are minus two hundred and you can

568
00:29:34,880 --> 00:29:37,119
take them to not baden the ninth inning and knock

569
00:29:37,160 --> 00:29:39,880
it down to like minus one fifty, I think that's great.

570
00:29:40,400 --> 00:29:42,480
It's even better value than a minus one.

571
00:29:43,960 --> 00:29:48,359
Speaker 1: Brian, same question to you, same game, So obviously you

572
00:29:48,400 --> 00:29:51,160
know the concept here from Garth is an interesting one.

573
00:29:51,240 --> 00:29:53,960
I'm all for trying to get out of laying minus

574
00:29:53,960 --> 00:29:56,960
one and a half, So it's an interesting sort of

575
00:29:57,039 --> 00:29:59,680
viewpoint for me. And then talk to me. You know,

576
00:29:59,839 --> 00:30:02,680
you and I think are are both higher than most

577
00:30:02,720 --> 00:30:05,720
on the Rockies. But are they up against it north

578
00:30:05,720 --> 00:30:06,480
of the border here?

579
00:30:07,240 --> 00:30:10,839
Speaker 3: Yeah, for this one, I do. The Hockey Show starts

580
00:30:10,880 --> 00:30:14,839
at an hour after this one finishes. I'm not on today,

581
00:30:14,880 --> 00:30:18,039
but the guys in hockey they call it winning and regulation,

582
00:30:19,000 --> 00:30:22,039
and you find a lot of times, especially during with

583
00:30:22,119 --> 00:30:23,920
the rules in hockey where you play a three and

584
00:30:23,960 --> 00:30:27,359
three and then do the shootout. Certain teams Pittsburgh and

585
00:30:27,680 --> 00:30:31,920
Vegas are terrible and in overtime because of that. So

586
00:30:32,240 --> 00:30:34,440
all you have to do is find out how many

587
00:30:34,519 --> 00:30:37,400
times games go to overtime and how many times these

588
00:30:37,440 --> 00:30:41,319
teams what their winning percentage would be based on going

589
00:30:41,319 --> 00:30:43,720
to overtime, And that's how you find it out. So

590
00:30:44,440 --> 00:30:47,440
no bet in the night this minus want forty? I

591
00:30:47,680 --> 00:30:49,839
what's what's the what was the full line on that one?

592
00:30:50,440 --> 00:30:52,240
Let me go back and look again. But if you're

593
00:30:52,279 --> 00:30:55,000
saving forty to fifty cents, yes, that's it's better to

594
00:30:55,039 --> 00:30:57,599
do it that way. But without knowing the numbers, I

595
00:30:57,640 --> 00:31:01,000
can't comment on it. But I haven't seen that before.

596
00:31:01,119 --> 00:31:05,759
But I like it. And I was the Orioles what

597
00:31:05,799 --> 00:31:09,359
game was it? What game was?

598
00:31:09,839 --> 00:31:10,039
Speaker 2: Oh?

599
00:31:10,319 --> 00:31:14,720
Speaker 1: He was asking specifically and Dodgers, and then I just

600
00:31:14,839 --> 00:31:17,400
I threw the for just for another talking point and

601
00:31:17,519 --> 00:31:20,400
other to hit another game. I threw the Blue Jays

602
00:31:20,440 --> 00:31:22,319
in the mix because they're such a big favor today

603
00:31:22,799 --> 00:31:26,240
and they're you know, I'm pretty high on Ponts, even

604
00:31:26,480 --> 00:31:28,880
even as a guy that that was really pumping the

605
00:31:28,960 --> 00:31:31,359
Rockies plus one and plus one and a half last week,

606
00:31:31,519 --> 00:31:33,559
which won every game, by the way, even though they

607
00:31:33,559 --> 00:31:35,480
didn't hit it, they didn't win a single game. But

608
00:31:35,480 --> 00:31:37,799
they're three and oh on the spread. I don't even

609
00:31:37,799 --> 00:31:39,519
know if I could get down with Rockies plus one

610
00:31:39,519 --> 00:31:41,599
and a half here. I think they might. I think

611
00:31:41,599 --> 00:31:43,880
they might get dusted in this one. But yeah, I

612
00:31:43,960 --> 00:31:45,079
finished that up, Brian.

613
00:31:45,279 --> 00:31:50,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree, Sigano, I can't. I was really surprised

614
00:31:50,160 --> 00:31:54,160
by the guys Colorado, the veterans they brought in to

615
00:31:54,279 --> 00:31:57,039
pitch in Colorado, guys that I don't think our good

616
00:31:57,039 --> 00:31:58,319
pitcher was in the first place. And that's one of

617
00:31:58,359 --> 00:32:02,000
all of them, is Sigano. Yes, the total in this

618
00:32:02,119 --> 00:32:04,559
game is eight and a half. If I'm looking to

619
00:32:04,599 --> 00:32:07,599
play this game, I'm looking to play Toronto on the

620
00:32:07,640 --> 00:32:09,519
team total. Let's take a look at what that is,

621
00:32:09,680 --> 00:32:12,160
because I want to go against the Gano uh And

622
00:32:12,200 --> 00:32:15,599
of course it makes sense. Toronto is a you got

623
00:32:15,640 --> 00:32:17,720
to get him to score six runs. You're getting plus

624
00:32:17,720 --> 00:32:19,519
money back. If you just get him to score six

625
00:32:19,559 --> 00:32:23,480
it's five and a half to the under one under

626
00:32:23,519 --> 00:32:26,319
one forty. But if they score six runs, you're getting

627
00:32:26,400 --> 00:32:29,400
nice money back. And in a game, total is this

628
00:32:29,920 --> 00:32:33,640
number that's a little bit of a I mean they

629
00:32:33,640 --> 00:32:36,119
have to win six, six to two and a half,

630
00:32:36,200 --> 00:32:41,079
six to whatever. But Ponce's guy is Brandon talked about

631
00:32:41,359 --> 00:32:43,640
came over. I've heard nothing but good things about him.

632
00:32:44,319 --> 00:32:47,839
He's changed everything he's done since he was in the

633
00:32:48,279 --> 00:32:50,960
was in the Major league before, and he's got a

634
00:32:51,039 --> 00:32:53,680
totally different pitch mix. We saw that last night out

635
00:32:53,680 --> 00:32:57,200
of the Seattle pitcher. She totally changes pit pitch micks

636
00:32:57,279 --> 00:32:59,640
and the Cleveland Batters had no clue what to expect.

637
00:33:00,119 --> 00:33:02,799
It'll work early if they could continue to do that.

638
00:33:03,720 --> 00:33:05,799
I expect for him to get to start the season

639
00:33:05,920 --> 00:33:08,319
very well and we'll see how long it goes. But

640
00:33:08,359 --> 00:33:11,000
if you change like that, you'll have a lot of

641
00:33:11,000 --> 00:33:12,960
success for a couple of times out and then people

642
00:33:12,960 --> 00:33:15,680
will make the adjustments to you and they have to

643
00:33:15,720 --> 00:33:17,519
make the adjustment back and we'll see how good of

644
00:33:17,559 --> 00:33:18,160
a picture they are.

645
00:33:19,680 --> 00:33:23,039
Speaker 1: Me Mez says, so Toronto cooks the Rockies today? Yeah,

646
00:33:23,079 --> 00:33:24,680
I think so. I'd find a way to get on

647
00:33:24,680 --> 00:33:26,799
the Blue Jays. Of what we've talked about so far,

648
00:33:27,000 --> 00:33:31,079
that's probably my strongest opinion. Pont's stuff is insane, and

649
00:33:31,160 --> 00:33:33,559
I think the Big League. I think the MLV is

650
00:33:33,599 --> 00:33:37,079
about to find out just how good that is. Tokyo Brandon.

651
00:33:37,119 --> 00:33:39,799
It is best bets time, So I'm going to head

652
00:33:39,799 --> 00:33:43,079
over to you. We hit the parlay on Friday, shout

653
00:33:43,079 --> 00:33:45,759
out to us, second one of the year cash, so

654
00:33:45,799 --> 00:33:48,200
we are have a nice little cushion at least for

655
00:33:48,240 --> 00:33:49,759
a couple of days. We're going to try to do

656
00:33:49,799 --> 00:33:52,359
it again today. But what is your best bet for

657
00:33:52,400 --> 00:33:55,960
the show? Parlay Leg, you have the floor we rock.

658
00:33:57,920 --> 00:33:59,599
Speaker 4: Let me mention one thing about the Cubs. I've been

659
00:33:59,599 --> 00:34:01,640
trying to play them a lot. Their team total is

660
00:34:01,680 --> 00:34:03,359
five and a half every day. It's really hard to

661
00:34:03,400 --> 00:34:05,720
play a five and a half team total. But anyways,

662
00:34:06,119 --> 00:34:08,199
so I like, I like our chats suggestion. We have

663
00:34:08,239 --> 00:34:10,719
the best audience in all of the wager talk shows

664
00:34:10,760 --> 00:34:15,800
by far, I think in my opinion. So my parlay Leg,

665
00:34:15,920 --> 00:34:18,159
I'm gonna go back to the game I covered earlier,

666
00:34:18,199 --> 00:34:21,079
the guy with the hot wife. I'm gonna take the

667
00:34:21,199 --> 00:34:23,960
Tigers plus one and a half. Though, because it's a parlay,

668
00:34:24,039 --> 00:34:27,280
you can get it at minus two oh five, so

669
00:34:28,440 --> 00:34:30,440
I'm gonna go with that. I wouldn't bet that. I

670
00:34:30,440 --> 00:34:32,639
wouldn't put that out as a professional cap or as

671
00:34:32,679 --> 00:34:35,760
a as a standalone bet. But since we're doing parlay legs,

672
00:34:35,800 --> 00:34:39,400
I'm I'm gonna I'm gonna cheat. We'll take plus one

673
00:34:39,400 --> 00:34:40,880
and a half at minus two oh five.

674
00:34:42,280 --> 00:34:45,480
Speaker 1: Actually, seeing like minus one ninety five is pretty reasonable

675
00:34:45,559 --> 00:34:48,000
that you there's I'm gonna, I'm gonna give you minus

676
00:34:48,000 --> 00:34:51,239
one ninety five in the parlay because there is plenty

677
00:34:51,239 --> 00:34:56,159
of those out there for that game. Yeah, listen for

678
00:34:56,280 --> 00:35:00,000
a three teamer a little minus one ninety minus two hundred.

679
00:35:00,079 --> 00:35:01,880
I think on Friday, I can't remember one of the

680
00:35:01,960 --> 00:35:05,000
days I had the Mariners minus one sixty five, So

681
00:35:05,159 --> 00:35:08,800
that's that's not a problem at all. And yeah, you're

682
00:35:08,800 --> 00:35:10,679
getting the you know, I love my plus one and

683
00:35:10,719 --> 00:35:13,559
a half When they're with the road team, you kind

684
00:35:13,559 --> 00:35:15,920
of get that extra built in at that. So yeah,

685
00:35:15,960 --> 00:35:19,639
TD I, I can't really argue with that. Look, Brian Leonard,

686
00:35:19,639 --> 00:35:22,199
I'm gonna go to you best bet for the show

687
00:35:22,599 --> 00:35:24,360
parlay leg What are you looking at?

688
00:35:25,480 --> 00:35:28,159
Speaker 3: Oh? You know me, I like to play games and

689
00:35:28,199 --> 00:35:30,400
nobody really has much interest in So I'm gonna look

690
00:35:30,400 --> 00:35:34,239
at the Chicago White Sox and the Miami Marlins in

691
00:35:34,280 --> 00:35:37,840
this one. Davis Martin starting for the White Sox. He

692
00:35:37,960 --> 00:35:41,199
along with Eric Cometti, for some reason, they signed. These

693
00:35:41,199 --> 00:35:44,079
are two guys I'm looking to fade. I do like Smith,

694
00:35:44,440 --> 00:35:47,159
I like Kay, I like Burke. These two guys are

695
00:35:47,159 --> 00:35:51,000
two guys that I want to go against. Davis Martin

696
00:35:51,039 --> 00:35:53,880
has not really impressed me at all. You take a

697
00:35:53,920 --> 00:35:57,800
look at his what he has done so far in

698
00:35:57,840 --> 00:36:00,760
his career. I haven't seen anything where of a wager

699
00:36:00,840 --> 00:36:03,559
here and the White Sox. You know, they just played

700
00:36:03,559 --> 00:36:08,159
on the road and they're continuing to play on the road. Here.

701
00:36:09,000 --> 00:36:13,000
The closer, Sir Anthony Demingez, pitched the last two games.

702
00:36:13,360 --> 00:36:15,960
Grant Taylor, the best guy in the bullpen, pitched the

703
00:36:16,039 --> 00:36:18,920
last two games at Chris Murphy also pitched the last

704
00:36:18,920 --> 00:36:22,599
two games. When I'm taking a look at this game here,

705
00:36:22,760 --> 00:36:26,840
I much prefer, and I don't think I've said this

706
00:36:26,920 --> 00:36:31,400
much in my lifetime, I much prefer Chris Paddock over

707
00:36:31,719 --> 00:36:33,599
Martin in this game. Chris Paddock is not a guy

708
00:36:33,639 --> 00:36:35,760
you're gonna make money on the long run. He's a

709
00:36:35,760 --> 00:36:37,719
guy that's been a French player. He's never played up

710
00:36:37,760 --> 00:36:40,559
to his abilities. But if you saw him as spring

711
00:36:40,639 --> 00:36:43,400
training this year, he did make some changes. He looks

712
00:36:43,440 --> 00:36:47,599
so much better, and you're laying one thirty one thirty

713
00:36:47,639 --> 00:36:50,559
five here in Miami. To me right now is a

714
00:36:50,559 --> 00:36:55,079
slightly better team playing at home, and Chicago was already

715
00:36:55,079 --> 00:36:57,880
on the road and they didn't look very good. So

716
00:36:58,039 --> 00:37:00,280
let's go with Miami here. I think that's a bit

717
00:37:00,280 --> 00:37:02,760
of a bargain playing in the one thirty to one

718
00:37:03,159 --> 00:37:03,840
forty range.

719
00:37:05,840 --> 00:37:10,199
Speaker 1: Yeah, let me, you know, I'll chime in just real

720
00:37:10,280 --> 00:37:13,840
quickly on this, you know, on this White Sox team.

721
00:37:14,440 --> 00:37:18,000
I still think they're a team that you probably want

722
00:37:18,039 --> 00:37:21,400
to look to back like at some point, like in

723
00:37:21,519 --> 00:37:23,679
terms of like, I'm not going to judge.

724
00:37:23,400 --> 00:37:25,440
Speaker 2: Them for the Brewers series.

725
00:37:25,480 --> 00:37:27,159
Speaker 1: I mean, I think we could look at Milwaukee down

726
00:37:27,159 --> 00:37:29,079
the road and be like, this is a pretty elite

727
00:37:29,159 --> 00:37:31,920
team when it's all said and done. But yeah, I

728
00:37:31,960 --> 00:37:35,400
mean the Marlins, there's so much to like about what

729
00:37:35,440 --> 00:37:37,920
they've got going on in that organization. Peter Bendix just

730
00:37:37,960 --> 00:37:42,800
an absolute just wizard, gets own Casey walk off Homer,

731
00:37:42,880 --> 00:37:45,400
I mean, like the guy just I don't know why, Brian,

732
00:37:46,719 --> 00:37:49,039
they got to be They're becoming like the Rays like

733
00:37:49,159 --> 00:37:51,000
of a year of a decade ago, where it's like

734
00:37:51,039 --> 00:37:53,000
why would you give them a player. You should if

735
00:37:53,039 --> 00:37:54,639
they want one of your players, you should give that

736
00:37:54,639 --> 00:37:55,320
player a raise.

737
00:37:55,360 --> 00:37:57,679
Speaker 3: At this point, well they don't know it yet, but

738
00:37:57,719 --> 00:37:58,280
they will know.

739
00:37:58,280 --> 00:38:02,039
Speaker 2: It, right, Yeah, so that's Marlins.

740
00:38:02,079 --> 00:38:04,280
Speaker 1: You want Marlins on the money line, we can call

741
00:38:04,320 --> 00:38:06,599
it minus one thirty five for for the sake of parlay.

742
00:38:09,239 --> 00:38:10,599
Speaker 2: All right, let's.

743
00:38:12,000 --> 00:38:13,760
Speaker 1: I want to go to the chat here real quick

744
00:38:14,079 --> 00:38:16,280
before before I get into my best bet for the show.

745
00:38:16,360 --> 00:38:20,440
A couple of quick things. One, we have the double

746
00:38:20,440 --> 00:38:22,280
play package that Tokyo Brandon.

747
00:38:21,960 --> 00:38:23,239
Speaker 2: Brought up earlier in the show.

748
00:38:23,719 --> 00:38:23,920
Speaker 3: Uh.

749
00:38:23,960 --> 00:38:27,840
Speaker 1: You can choose any two of us uh for a

750
00:38:27,880 --> 00:38:29,960
three day period. It's a it's a it's a large

751
00:38:29,960 --> 00:38:33,199
discount as opposed to just buying one, pretty much a

752
00:38:33,280 --> 00:38:36,599
two for one. Someone in the chat said, Fade Trig, Yeah,

753
00:38:36,599 --> 00:38:39,360
if you did last weekend, you did, Okay, did not

754
00:38:39,480 --> 00:38:42,360
have the best opening weekend of baseball, but I I

755
00:38:42,400 --> 00:38:46,039
did offset most of that last week with with college hoops,

756
00:38:46,079 --> 00:38:48,920
so you know, it's it's very early in the season.

757
00:38:49,000 --> 00:38:52,039
But yeah, look listen that that two for one. If

758
00:38:52,039 --> 00:38:54,000
that's how you're looking at it, you can just get

759
00:38:54,400 --> 00:38:57,079
TV and and Brian and and then that you don't

760
00:38:57,119 --> 00:38:59,159
even have to deal with me. That's the beauty of

761
00:38:59,239 --> 00:39:02,760
being able to to choose too. But if you think

762
00:39:02,800 --> 00:39:05,000
I bounce back from a three to five opening weekend

763
00:39:05,039 --> 00:39:08,400
in baseball, then that then come on over and uh,

764
00:39:08,519 --> 00:39:11,119
you know, hopefully we'll have a couple of better days

765
00:39:11,119 --> 00:39:13,159
this week. I've got to hit the chat for one more.

766
00:39:13,280 --> 00:39:16,320
Jack Bulk says a trig. You might appreciate this. I

767
00:39:16,360 --> 00:39:18,159
coughed up a large stack of money to go watch

768
00:39:18,199 --> 00:39:19,960
my ALIONI in India next weekend.

769
00:39:20,280 --> 00:39:20,519
Speaker 2: Jack.

770
00:39:20,639 --> 00:39:22,800
Speaker 1: I will be there too, So I will be at

771
00:39:23,119 --> 00:39:26,519
the I'm there to cover the n I T on Thursday,

772
00:39:27,039 --> 00:39:29,960
and then I may kind of hang out and if

773
00:39:30,000 --> 00:39:32,760
I can, if I can weasele my way into the

774
00:39:32,760 --> 00:39:34,000
final four, I will.

775
00:39:34,280 --> 00:39:34,960
Speaker 2: I will do that.

776
00:39:36,159 --> 00:39:39,320
Speaker 1: So hit me up DM ME love to love to

777
00:39:39,559 --> 00:39:42,519
buy you a beverage of your choice, whatever that might be.

778
00:39:42,960 --> 00:39:45,599
And uh love meeting you guys out in the wild.

779
00:39:45,679 --> 00:39:49,360
So yeah, I will be in Indianapolis. I'm gonna try.

780
00:39:49,440 --> 00:39:51,280
I don't know if the weather's gonna allow me to

781
00:39:51,320 --> 00:39:53,599
do this. I'm gonna try to go watch Connor Griffin

782
00:39:53,639 --> 00:39:58,119
play on my way in Columbus, But unfortunately the weather

783
00:39:58,360 --> 00:40:00,880
is such that they might not play. I don't know

784
00:40:00,880 --> 00:40:03,079
if they're playing any baseball in the Northeast this weekend.

785
00:40:03,159 --> 00:40:07,440
It is a not looking promising for the weather there.

786
00:40:07,440 --> 00:40:08,880
But hey, if they play, I'll be in the ell

787
00:40:09,039 --> 00:40:09,400
in the mix.

788
00:40:09,440 --> 00:40:12,320
Speaker 4: Go ahead, TV, Can I mention something before we end

789
00:40:12,360 --> 00:40:12,760
the show?

790
00:40:13,280 --> 00:40:14,639
Speaker 2: Yeah? Go ahead, you got time.

791
00:40:15,440 --> 00:40:19,719
Speaker 4: Yesterday on my Twitter, I put out an OPS ranking

792
00:40:19,840 --> 00:40:21,719
for pictures. I just wanted to get this out before

793
00:40:21,719 --> 00:40:23,920
the show's over. It's probably a bad lead in, but

794
00:40:25,760 --> 00:40:28,880
number one on my list ops was Emerson Hancock, and

795
00:40:28,920 --> 00:40:32,960
he went six innings of no hit yesterday. Today, I

796
00:40:33,000 --> 00:40:36,360
put out another list on my Twitter of ops listed

797
00:40:36,440 --> 00:40:41,199
number one of Ferris Bueller. Walker Bueler is number one,

798
00:40:41,320 --> 00:40:45,760
So just a reference, But yeah, just wanted to myself.

799
00:40:45,760 --> 00:40:49,320
Speaker 3: You're trying to say, what's that? Well, by the names

800
00:40:49,360 --> 00:40:53,239
you're painting those teams, Walker Buehler and No.

801
00:40:54,280 --> 00:40:56,760
Speaker 4: According to my list, he has the best ops against

802
00:40:56,760 --> 00:40:59,079
the batteries he's facing today in the minimum of twenty

803
00:41:00,920 --> 00:41:03,719
yesterday was Emerson Hancock. So if you if you guys

804
00:41:03,760 --> 00:41:07,000
looked at my list yesterday and went with Emerson Hancock,

805
00:41:07,039 --> 00:41:09,239
you would have made some money. So I'm putting that

806
00:41:09,280 --> 00:41:11,960
list out again today, So just want to maybe.

807
00:41:11,880 --> 00:41:16,079
Speaker 1: I love that Emerson Hancock is that high on your list,

808
00:41:16,119 --> 00:41:19,920
because I what they did last year with him is

809
00:41:20,159 --> 00:41:22,760
they sent him down a triple A. And this is

810
00:41:22,760 --> 00:41:24,840
a guy that never pitched out of the bullpen, not

811
00:41:25,039 --> 00:41:28,679
one single time in his entire career, and they just said,

812
00:41:28,719 --> 00:41:31,559
you know what, we need a bullpen arm.

813
00:41:32,119 --> 00:41:32,880
Speaker 2: Why not him?

814
00:41:33,079 --> 00:41:35,199
Speaker 1: He never throw an inning of relief in his entire

815
00:41:35,239 --> 00:41:36,480
time in the Mariners.

816
00:41:36,119 --> 00:41:38,239
Speaker 2: Organization, and I think it.

817
00:41:39,079 --> 00:41:42,199
Speaker 1: I think he now understands like it forced him to

818
00:41:42,239 --> 00:41:45,519
throw harder and suddenly his velocity was up, and I

819
00:41:45,519 --> 00:41:47,639
think he sort of carried that into this year. I'm

820
00:41:47,840 --> 00:41:51,559
very very high in Emerson Hancock and kicking myself that

821
00:41:51,880 --> 00:41:55,400
I was Mariners last night was just out of range

822
00:41:55,480 --> 00:41:58,280
from a price I wanted to lay, and in hindsight,

823
00:41:58,320 --> 00:42:00,480
I should have just done it because it was easy win.

824
00:42:00,679 --> 00:42:03,320
But I too, am very high at Emerson Hancock. So

825
00:42:03,360 --> 00:42:10,159
I think you're probably onto something there in the chat

826
00:42:10,239 --> 00:42:12,000
what's the best pick for the show, Well, we just

827
00:42:12,039 --> 00:42:15,159
gave out two. We're gonna recap it in a second.

828
00:42:16,079 --> 00:42:18,199
I'm gonna put the Blue Jays in the parlay minus

829
00:42:18,239 --> 00:42:21,480
one and a half that that bet is not my style.

830
00:42:21,760 --> 00:42:24,679
For a straight bet, I can't. I can't give a

831
00:42:24,760 --> 00:42:27,719
minus one and a half that's minus one thirty as like,

832
00:42:27,760 --> 00:42:30,559
I can't condone betting that straight just because again it's

833
00:42:30,599 --> 00:42:33,400
not that it's not a winning bet, but like to

834
00:42:33,519 --> 00:42:35,320
me that that's a little bit out of my price

835
00:42:35,440 --> 00:42:37,880
range or something that I want to like give to

836
00:42:37,960 --> 00:42:41,079
clients A home team laying one and a half and

837
00:42:41,199 --> 00:42:43,559
you have to lay minus one thirty. But as far

838
00:42:43,559 --> 00:42:46,519
as the parlay is concerned, I think the Blue Jays

839
00:42:46,599 --> 00:42:48,880
might hang a couple crooked numbers on the Rockies tonight.

840
00:42:49,360 --> 00:42:52,119
And I'm so I am so high on Cody Pont's

841
00:42:52,159 --> 00:42:56,000
Tokyo Brandon. I'm convinced that what we watched every fifth

842
00:42:56,159 --> 00:42:59,880
or sixth day in Korea last year is going to translate.

843
00:43:00,159 --> 00:43:04,000
His pitch mix is incredible. He looked awesome in the spring.

844
00:43:04,840 --> 00:43:07,400
I think he's gonna I think the league might be

845
00:43:07,960 --> 00:43:10,880
in for a root awakening having to go up against him.

846
00:43:11,400 --> 00:43:13,760
And you want to talk about I mean, we have

847
00:43:13,800 --> 00:43:16,079
the league and then there's the Colorado Rockies. I think

848
00:43:16,119 --> 00:43:18,760
the Rockies are going to be better this year, but

849
00:43:18,800 --> 00:43:23,360
the reality is this team, even in massive improvement would

850
00:43:23,400 --> 00:43:26,639
still be winning like sixty games, fifty five games, and

851
00:43:26,960 --> 00:43:29,280
they started owing three in games that they could win,

852
00:43:29,599 --> 00:43:31,920
and now they've got to go and face the Blue Jays.

853
00:43:32,119 --> 00:43:36,559
Travel from South Florida to north of the border just

854
00:43:36,639 --> 00:43:39,480
does not seem like a good scenario for the Rockies.

855
00:43:39,519 --> 00:43:41,159
So give me the Blue Jays minus one and a

856
00:43:41,199 --> 00:43:45,760
half minus one thirty and that will be my best

857
00:43:45,760 --> 00:43:49,440
bet for the show. So to answer your question, the

858
00:43:49,440 --> 00:43:54,480
parlay for today, you've got three plays, so Tokyo. Brandon

859
00:43:54,519 --> 00:43:57,119
is going with Tigers plus one and a half minus

860
00:43:57,119 --> 00:43:57,920
one ninety five.

861
00:43:58,480 --> 00:43:59,400
Speaker 2: That's for the parlay.

862
00:43:59,400 --> 00:44:01,920
Speaker 1: If you want him opinion on that game, and probably

863
00:44:01,920 --> 00:44:03,599
a way to just bet it as a straight bet,

864
00:44:03,840 --> 00:44:05,840
head on over to the wager Talk YouTube channel. He's

865
00:44:05,840 --> 00:44:09,199
done a video on that same game. But for the parlay,

866
00:44:09,199 --> 00:44:12,000
we're going Tigers plus one and a half minus one

867
00:44:12,119 --> 00:44:14,760
ninety five. Brian Leonard is going with the Marlins on

868
00:44:14,840 --> 00:44:17,639
the money line that's minus one thirty five, and then

869
00:44:17,679 --> 00:44:20,559
I will go Blue Jays minus one and a half

870
00:44:20,960 --> 00:44:25,000
minus one thirty. Again, I'm not gonna calculate the parlay

871
00:44:25,039 --> 00:44:27,599
odds on the show because it takes too much time. However,

872
00:44:28,039 --> 00:44:30,559
it will be based on those three odds. After the

873
00:44:30,639 --> 00:44:33,559
win on Friday, we are now plus three point seven

874
00:44:33,599 --> 00:44:37,440
to four units for the season after two plays, so

875
00:44:37,840 --> 00:44:40,239
you know, long, long way to go, but it's nice

876
00:44:40,239 --> 00:44:43,320
to start a little bit ahead. And that's the parlay

877
00:44:43,360 --> 00:44:45,480
for today, So one more time before we go out.

878
00:44:45,840 --> 00:44:50,000
Tigers plus one and a half Marlin's money line, Blue

879
00:44:50,079 --> 00:44:52,559
Jays minus one and a half. That is your parlay

880
00:44:52,559 --> 00:44:55,199
for the show. Remember, head on over to wager talk

881
00:44:55,239 --> 00:44:58,159
dot com. We've got the great double playspe special on

882
00:44:58,519 --> 00:45:01,119
all of our pages. You can pick any two of

883
00:45:01,159 --> 00:45:03,480
the handicappers that you see on your screen right now

884
00:45:03,760 --> 00:45:06,360
for the price of one, and we will be back

885
00:45:06,360 --> 00:45:09,360
to talk more bases with you nine am tomorrow morning,

886
00:45:09,440 --> 00:45:11,119
right here on the wager Talk to YouTube channel.

887
00:45:11,159 --> 00:45:11,840
Speaker 2: See you guys then,