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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It is Wednesday. It's time for

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full court press.

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Speaker 2: Rob.

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Speaker 1: Last night was the first night in a while that

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I landed on the wrong ones, meaning.

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Speaker 2: It had I played more, it would have it would

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have gone better for me.

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Speaker 3: Uh.

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Speaker 1: I think I was like three and one on the

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plays I left off, and of course the uh the

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plays I ended up on were zero and two. I

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always find it funny. I'll get your rebuttal to this.

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I find Listen, I get it. People are gonna get

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you know, I've been winning for like six straight weeks.

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Speaker 2: Yet the people.

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Speaker 1: That bought the five percent play last night are gonna

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get pissed. It's just the business we're in. I do

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find it a little funny that, like people lose their

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minds over getting blown out like on a play. Like

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for me, listen, you're gonna be right in this business,

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and you're gonna be wrong, Like you're not gonna be

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right every time. In my opinion, I would rather get

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dusted by forty like Notre Dame did last night, then

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lose one. I felt like I should win and like

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get hooked by a half point or lose on a

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couple free throws or like earlier this year, I had

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a big play on Boston College plus seven and a half.

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Speaker 2: They go to overtime lose by eight.

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Speaker 1: Like, just being straight up wrong like I was last

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night is so much easier to stomach for me than

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it is like just the the excruciating like loss where

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your handicap was correct and you feel and you really

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should have won. Yet I find that's not the case

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for the for our buyers, because I got it. I

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got my share of hate DMS last night for the

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Nordre Dame play.

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Speaker 3: Well, all right, well you know what I was on

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the other end of that last day, because as most know,

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it'd have been on the package. I have not played,

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but I don't know maybe one handful of three percent

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plays in college hoop this year, and last night I

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dove into that pool. With the Iowa State team total

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over seventy six and a half get to seventy five,

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and I have just been Now that you bring it up,

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I mean, I don't know one hundred and summer days

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into college basketball, and I think I had had fourteen

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fifteen consecutive weeks of winning and then the last seven

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days I'm being hooked, as you called it, or getting

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so close and not getting over because the mislayups, miss retrows, whatever,

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so it is more excruciating to lose it that way.

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The Iowa State game was painful last night. I wasn't

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even really close on the play I left here for

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our parlay. Michigan team total over never really had a chance,

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so that was a bad call on my part. But

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I was up. I tell you, I'm one of those guys.

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It's been going really good. And again, Adam, I think

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we have to just reiterate we bet these games every

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single day of the year. I mean, my accounts wind

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up going down the same anybody else as we're lucky.

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I had a lot of equity built up so far

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this season, up until the last I would say seven

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eight days. But I was up at three forty eight

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this morning. It's like when things are just you know,

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when when that one ball, when that one layup, when

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that one three pointer, like Milisicivitch had a three pointer

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at the wire last night, they could have sent Iowas

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date over. When they're falling, great, when they're not falling,

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you wind up getting up early and saying, listen, we

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got to get back to work here and that's kind

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of the way I treated this day, three forty eight,

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this morning, wake up, get in this office, and I'm like,

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I got to get back to winning myself some money here.

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So we're back at it again, you know, to the

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guys that are on the package, it's been so profitable

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over the course of the last two and a half months.

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I don't know. I get maybe you come in one

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day and it was not good for either one of

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us yesterday, but that type of day has been so

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few and far between over the course of one hundred

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plus days of college basketball.

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Speaker 1: Then, you know, yeah, And I've been basically saying, you know,

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I for me, it does like after that happens, I

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typically will I'll find something to switch up. So for me,

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the last like couple of weeks, I've I've have had

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very good results sort of trimming the card down to

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those couple of plays.

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Speaker 2: And I've even texted you.

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Speaker 1: You know, thank god it in play plays three through

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seven today or four through eight right like it.

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Speaker 2: You know, we've talked about it.

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Speaker 1: And so I tend to tend to switch it up,

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like after a night like last night, oh and two,

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especially with a result like dorder Dame which just ended

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up not really like being close. But then you know,

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we talked about Baylor on the show yesterday, that one

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just never came back into range for me.

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Speaker 2: Now, in hindsight, they end up covering all numbers.

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Speaker 1: But I do think I do think you keep yourself

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disciplined to a number like long term that that's gonna

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make you're gonna do better than just like, Okay, well

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I love Baylor, and ten never came back around, so

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you know, what the hell with it, Let's just take eight, like, yeah,

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it worked out last night, but long term that that's

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probably not probably not gonna work out. The last thing

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I'll say about like Notre Dame getting blown out by

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by forty is like, listen, it was you know, it's

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I look to play against Duke coming off of Michigan

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State when knowing they have Virginia Tech on the weekend,

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and you know the fact that they were on the

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road in what should have been like a sleepy spot

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for them. Listen, Notre Dame comes out, can't get a

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three to fall, has a couple of calls go against

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them in the early going. Shrewsbury picks up an early

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technical because he's basically like he basically walked up to

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the ref and told the ref like, Hey, if you're

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gonna call the game like this, I have no chance.

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Speaker 2: I was basically, you know, reading his lips.

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Speaker 1: He got teed up four minutes into the game and

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he's like, if you're not gonna call that the same way, like,

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we have literally no shot. And that's just how it went.

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So I typically don't dwell on plays either way.

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Speaker 2: Win or lose. When we win, we move on. I

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you know, but I just found it. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I don't understand why people lose their shit over a

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losing by forty Like to me, when you lose by

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a half point and you should have won, it is

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so much worse.

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Speaker 2: But anyway, wanted to we address listen.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if the other shows do this, but

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every single day, the first five minutes of our show

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is sort of talking about the day previous because that's

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what you guys asked us to do. So here to

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recap it top Foho and two for me last night,

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and we look to regroup today. Let's get into the

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feature game today. Robbino I was at the first meeting

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between these two teams at Madison Square garden.

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Speaker 2: What an electric environment it was.

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Speaker 1: Saint John's and their fans showed out for that game,

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way more Saint John's fans than I expected to be, because,

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of course we know over the years, even Rick Patino,

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you like your quotes, right, what did he say, Well,

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there's gonna be ten thousand of us and nine thousand

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of them at the garden And it wasn't that. It

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was all Saint John's fans, a tremendous atmosphere, and Saint

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John's played as they played their game to perfection in

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that game.

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Speaker 2: What do I mean by that?

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Speaker 1: They in my opinion, they took Seaton Hall's blueprint. You know,

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we've we've talked on this show about how successful Seaton

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Hall has been against Yukon over the years, and that's

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basically what Saint John's did in that game. Ball pressure

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right off the bat, Yukon couldn't get into the flow

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of their offense at all, and it totally disrupted the

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game to the point where then Saint John's could really

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feed off of the crowd.

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Speaker 2: You know, they just had Yukon flustered.

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Speaker 1: Rob for lack of a better way to describe it,

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Yukon was flustered right off the bat and never could

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really settle into the game.

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Speaker 2: Now that's we like we've seen.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna make the parallel Yukon Seaton Hall Yukon Saint

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John's because of course we've seen Yukon strugg with Seaton

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Hall for a couple of years. We've actually now seen

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Yukon struggle with Saint John's for a couple of years.

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Rob because last year Saint John's got the better of

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this matchup, and even that really really good, dominant Yukon

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team that won the year before, I believe their toughest

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game on their stretch. Of those I think they they

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won every game by double digits down the stretch except

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for the Saint John's game in the Big East Tournament

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at Madison's Square Garden, where Saint John's was playing for

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a tournament bid, and they were right there in that game.

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So here's the sort of conundrum here. You now have

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Saint John's being good priced into the number. This is

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very similar to when Yukon played Seaton Hall earlier this

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year and they were only a five and a half

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point road favorite, but Seaton Hall ended up covering that number.

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So my question to you is is Saint John's just

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do they match up so well here with Yukon that

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they're the right side or are you on the other

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side where you're like man, Yukon's awfully cheap at home

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in this spot.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, a little of both, right, I mean for Yukon,

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I would like to do you know what went wrong

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the first time round? Before Yukon they get beat on

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the free throw line by seventeen points twenty two to five.

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Saint John's outscored Yukon on the free throw line in

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that game thirty one attempts to twelve, and then over

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twenty one percent of Yukon's possessions turned into turnovers. And

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Danny Hurley as well as they played Villino against Villanova

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the other night, which was really a low price to

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lay with Yukon one and a half two points against Nova,

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we did cash that one. Danny Hurley even mentioned after

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that game, you know, team was great. Turnovers reared their

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ugly head again. Those are the things that Saint John's

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presents to Yukon that they'll have to handle this time. Right.

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It's the physical toughness that Yukon has to stand up to,

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and it the turnover issues because Saint John's defensively is

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predicated on forcing you to turn the ball over so

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you can you know, it's funny Hurley. How about Hurley

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and Mick Cronin. I'll throw him in the in the

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loop here. Both heavily critical of their teams after poor performances,

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and both of the teams responded. Yukon responded, the performance

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u Kon had against Villanova the other night was really

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good up twenty one, second half looked like Villanova never

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had a chance, easy cover. And for UCLA ever since

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McK cronin got nationally crucified UCLA's come out and trash

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two teams in a row. So teams that are responding

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to coaches criticism, teams that are good that are responding

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to it. I think you kind of at home will

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respond here again. Saint John's doesn't do an awful lot

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really well, Adam, and they're not especially deep talent wise,

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but what they do well, they do really really well.

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The first game, Yukon didn't let it get out of

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hand tempo wise, there's really nothing, like I say, beyond

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the free throws in the turnovers that caused Yukon to

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lose that game, and I would think the home atmosphere.

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I would think their ability to shoot threes. Remember, Yukon's

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got three guys. They shoot forty percent from beyond the arc.

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Saint John's doesn't have that their shooting ability, and they're

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statistically the better defensive team as far as field goal

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percentage allowed two point three points, et cetera. So get

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to the free throw line a little bit more, be

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a little more physical Yukon's deeper. I do think Yukon

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wins this game, but you're right it would be I

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think it would be four losses in a row to

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Saint John's tonight if they lose this one as well.

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But I think that Stores is going to be ready

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for this gamble and Yukon probably comes out on top.

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That would be my look. I also tell you the truth.

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I took a long, long look at the under here.

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I think could be a defensive battle. It's going up

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to one forty six and a half. Someone forty seven's

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out there one forty seven and a half. I see

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a couple as I look now, maybe an under in

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this instance, the game went over the first time round Yukon.

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The thing that stopped me at him really quick. Here

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last night games, Yukon has played eight and one over

239
00:12:19,120 --> 00:12:22,200
the total and their team total is eight and one

240
00:12:22,240 --> 00:12:25,600
to the over last night. Scorting hasn't been the problem.

241
00:12:25,759 --> 00:12:28,799
It's been the defensive end, like Danny Hurley has said consistently,

242
00:12:28,879 --> 00:12:30,600
and I think they probably show up the way they

243
00:12:30,639 --> 00:12:31,960
did against Philanova here tonight.

244
00:12:35,559 --> 00:12:39,159
Speaker 1: Yeah, we have so, Richie Action says in Vino we

245
00:12:39,240 --> 00:12:40,679
trust best hoops Kapper.

246
00:12:41,039 --> 00:12:41,759
Speaker 2: Thank you, Richie.

247
00:12:41,799 --> 00:12:47,159
Speaker 1: You appreciate the encouragement there and the donation to the chat.

248
00:12:47,279 --> 00:12:51,320
You know, see, as as much as I think Saint

249
00:12:51,440 --> 00:12:55,480
John's matches up well with Yukon with their ability, like

250
00:12:55,759 --> 00:12:58,720
we pretty much now know that Yukon struggles a little

251
00:12:58,720 --> 00:13:01,960
bit with teams that can really get after them from

252
00:13:02,000 --> 00:13:05,360
on the defensive end, put pressure on their guards, force,

253
00:13:05,720 --> 00:13:08,159
you know, force Demriy to have to handle the ball

254
00:13:08,200 --> 00:13:10,120
a little bit. He had a really bad game against

255
00:13:10,120 --> 00:13:14,799
Saint John's from a turnover standpoint, that that is definitely

256
00:13:14,919 --> 00:13:19,399
the path to defeat this Yukon team. But you kind

257
00:13:19,440 --> 00:13:22,360
is still a very good basketball team and they still

258
00:13:22,399 --> 00:13:27,080
have what I consider to be, if they're not the

259
00:13:27,120 --> 00:13:30,080
best coaching staff in the country, rob they're certainly up there.

260
00:13:31,840 --> 00:13:34,320
You know, Danny Hurley and staff is as good as

261
00:13:34,320 --> 00:13:37,480
it gets and at some point, I, you know, I

262
00:13:37,519 --> 00:13:41,360
do think he's probably gonna make the adjustments to uh,

263
00:13:41,840 --> 00:13:44,519
you know, to offset some of the issues they've had

264
00:13:45,000 --> 00:13:47,600
with all the ball pressure against teams like Seaton Hall

265
00:13:47,840 --> 00:13:50,679
and Saint John's. Now, you know, Yukon was kind of

266
00:13:51,039 --> 00:13:54,840
even even with Saint John's playing well, Yukon was right

267
00:13:54,879 --> 00:13:57,200
there in that game. Saint John's made a couple of

268
00:13:57,200 --> 00:13:59,519
big shots late to sort of put it over the edge.

269
00:13:59,799 --> 00:14:02,679
It if you go back to the game against Seaton Hall,

270
00:14:02,759 --> 00:14:05,399
and the only reason I keep bringing up the Seaton

271
00:14:05,440 --> 00:14:09,120
Hall game is because it is the true, like if

272
00:14:09,120 --> 00:14:11,440
we were to look for another comp game, Rob you

273
00:14:11,480 --> 00:14:15,159
love to talk about, you know, comparison type games to

274
00:14:15,720 --> 00:14:18,200
the first meeting with Seaton Hall or the first meeting

275
00:14:18,240 --> 00:14:21,360
with Saint John's, it is that Seaton Hall game. Because

276
00:14:21,399 --> 00:14:24,879
of course Shaheen Holloway is all about like on the

277
00:14:24,919 --> 00:14:28,279
ball pressure, making you uncomfortable and is really not going

278
00:14:28,360 --> 00:14:30,320
to beat you at the offensive end. You know, that

279
00:14:30,440 --> 00:14:32,600
ended up being a sixty nine to sixty four Yukon

280
00:14:32,759 --> 00:14:36,279
win on the road at the Prudential center. But I

281
00:14:36,320 --> 00:14:38,559
think Yukon led if I'm going off memory, by as

282
00:14:38,639 --> 00:14:41,159
much as eighteen in the second half of that game

283
00:14:41,639 --> 00:14:44,919
and really just kind of like, you know, missed feat

284
00:14:45,120 --> 00:14:47,519
They couldn't hit a three, they went to sleep, and

285
00:14:47,559 --> 00:14:50,360
suddenly Seaton Hall was like right there down one.

286
00:14:50,960 --> 00:14:52,720
Speaker 2: That's one thing that I don't think is going to

287
00:14:52,759 --> 00:14:53,360
happen tonight.

288
00:14:54,039 --> 00:14:58,320
Speaker 1: I just don't think after losing the first meeting, Hurley

289
00:14:58,559 --> 00:15:02,120
is just not going to let this team like not

290
00:15:02,360 --> 00:15:04,759
step on their throat if given the chance.

291
00:15:05,159 --> 00:15:07,679
Speaker 2: And so for me, my number here is seven point six.

292
00:15:08,559 --> 00:15:12,679
Speaker 1: It's absolutely enough to justify playing Yukon at the opener

293
00:15:12,720 --> 00:15:14,440
of five. I haven't I haven't looked at where it

294
00:15:14,480 --> 00:15:16,960
is since we hopped on the show. But for me,

295
00:15:17,200 --> 00:15:21,519
I do still see those redeeming matchup qualities where I'm

296
00:15:22,399 --> 00:15:26,000
not going to make the bet on Yukon here because

297
00:15:26,039 --> 00:15:29,720
I do think Saint John's has those matchup advantages to

298
00:15:29,799 --> 00:15:32,519
at least stay in this game. If I was forced

299
00:15:32,519 --> 00:15:35,519
to play it, I'm definitely playing Yukon. And to your

300
00:15:35,519 --> 00:15:40,039
point about the under rob it, I think if Yukon

301
00:15:40,120 --> 00:15:43,840
does bring that intensity, they are probably keeping Saint John's

302
00:15:43,840 --> 00:15:47,120
from scoring a little bit. Whereas we know that Yukon

303
00:15:47,200 --> 00:15:49,000
is going to struggle a little bit with Saint John's

304
00:15:49,000 --> 00:15:50,519
in the way they like to pressure the ball, So

305
00:15:50,559 --> 00:15:53,480
maybe you are onto something with an under in that game.

306
00:15:55,399 --> 00:15:57,279
Speaker 3: Yeah, and real quick, I'll just say one last thing,

307
00:15:57,360 --> 00:16:01,879
beyond Bobby Hurley not allowing Yukon or at least having

308
00:16:01,919 --> 00:16:05,519
game plans devised a you know, I think even the

309
00:16:06,919 --> 00:16:10,320
same weight needs to be put on the Yukon players.

310
00:16:10,320 --> 00:16:13,080
It was important to me Saturday to see how they

311
00:16:13,159 --> 00:16:17,440
responded to coach criticism, and they did, and so the

312
00:16:17,519 --> 00:16:20,120
team knows they're better than what they've performed, and the

313
00:16:20,200 --> 00:16:23,879
team wants this revenge game against Saint John's. It's approving ground.

314
00:16:24,720 --> 00:16:26,759
I don't know, Adam. Edge of Ford gets into foul

315
00:16:26,759 --> 00:16:30,159
trouble and Saint John's to me is toast in any game.

316
00:16:30,720 --> 00:16:32,519
I don't know that they can come back off of that.

317
00:16:32,600 --> 00:16:34,559
And Yukon does have ten fouls to give there. They

318
00:16:34,559 --> 00:16:36,440
should play them a little more physical here today. It's

319
00:16:36,440 --> 00:16:37,960
a got to have to because edge of four really

320
00:16:38,000 --> 00:16:39,639
was a deciding factor in the first game.

321
00:16:41,840 --> 00:16:44,039
Speaker 1: All right, let's move it along, Let's go to Garth here,

322
00:16:44,120 --> 00:16:47,600
he says, I wasn't keeping track with this is good Garth,

323
00:16:47,639 --> 00:16:51,120
He says, six, and oh run on chap plays three

324
00:16:51,159 --> 00:16:53,519
and zher on picking bottom dwellers. Oh yeah, he did

325
00:16:53,519 --> 00:16:57,000
have a Garth did win his over in that seat

326
00:16:57,159 --> 00:17:00,759
San Jose State Air Force game yesterday, which I actually

327
00:17:00,799 --> 00:17:02,759
think air Force ended up covering if you go back

328
00:17:02,759 --> 00:17:05,000
to the conversation we had about that, when I think

329
00:17:05,039 --> 00:17:06,440
we kind of said dog and over.

330
00:17:06,759 --> 00:17:09,599
Speaker 2: Certainly the over over got there easily, Garth.

331
00:17:09,680 --> 00:17:11,440
Speaker 1: Maybe I'll throw you in the Maybe I'll throw you

332
00:17:11,480 --> 00:17:13,279
in the parlay today and make it a three teamer,

333
00:17:14,240 --> 00:17:16,000
just to just to switch that up a little bit.

334
00:17:16,039 --> 00:17:17,640
But let's see if we can. Let's see if we

335
00:17:17,799 --> 00:17:20,079
like your side here first. If Rob and I agree

336
00:17:20,079 --> 00:17:22,400
on your side, maybe that's what we'll do. So what

337
00:17:22,440 --> 00:17:24,839
Garth says is, let's try it again. Thoughts on the

338
00:17:24,880 --> 00:17:29,400
Citadel plus fifteen and a half against Furman. Citadel won

339
00:17:29,440 --> 00:17:32,559
the first meeting seventy seven to seventy five in overtime. Yeah,

340
00:17:32,559 --> 00:17:34,559
they did win the first meeting in overtime.

341
00:17:34,200 --> 00:17:34,920
Speaker 2: And that was kind of a.

342
00:17:36,640 --> 00:17:40,799
Speaker 1: Historic result for Citadel to win that game and to

343
00:17:40,839 --> 00:17:44,319
beat Furman. I do believe that they had so they

344
00:17:44,960 --> 00:17:46,920
they already had started to turn the corner. So if

345
00:17:46,960 --> 00:17:49,680
you go back to the beginning of the year, I

346
00:17:49,920 --> 00:17:53,200
was very much out on Citadel doing anything. I think

347
00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:55,599
I said that, you know, I went as far as

348
00:17:55,599 --> 00:17:58,400
to say that this team might not win a conference game.

349
00:17:58,599 --> 00:17:58,880
Speaker 2: Now.

350
00:17:59,079 --> 00:18:02,440
Speaker 1: They hadn't want to conference game last year, and on paper,

351
00:18:02,759 --> 00:18:07,279
their roster was heavily like non D one talent, which

352
00:18:07,319 --> 00:18:10,519
caused me to, you know, to make that assumption that

353
00:18:10,559 --> 00:18:12,920
they might be the worst team in the league. Two

354
00:18:13,000 --> 00:18:15,160
things have happened for that not to be the case.

355
00:18:15,200 --> 00:18:18,279
Now they're still near the bottom. But six and ten

356
00:18:18,319 --> 00:18:22,759
is massively impressive for this Citadel team this season in

357
00:18:22,839 --> 00:18:25,839
conference play, coming from where they were last year in

358
00:18:25,880 --> 00:18:28,440
conference play and what they were projected to be this year.

359
00:18:28,880 --> 00:18:31,119
But I think there's two reasons for that. One, I

360
00:18:31,119 --> 00:18:35,039
think they are better than anyone anticipated, including the market.

361
00:18:35,200 --> 00:18:37,119
So if you've been betting Citadel to this point, you're

362
00:18:37,119 --> 00:18:40,200
probably doing yourself, probably doing pretty well because they've been

363
00:18:40,279 --> 00:18:43,000
underdogs in pretty much every game and a cover machine.

364
00:18:43,359 --> 00:18:47,400
But the other thing is they are playing into as

365
00:18:47,480 --> 00:18:51,240
bad of a SoCon as you've had in recent memory.

366
00:18:52,079 --> 00:18:53,799
Speaker 2: It's it's very Nji t.

367
00:18:54,119 --> 00:18:56,200
Speaker 1: Esque and the way they're doing well in the America

368
00:18:56,240 --> 00:18:58,599
East this year, Well, the America East is as bad

369
00:18:58,640 --> 00:19:01,519
as it's been maybe since it's in and the SoCon

370
00:19:01,720 --> 00:19:03,599
is is not far behind. I mean, you've got some

371
00:19:03,680 --> 00:19:07,000
teams rob like East Tennessee and Mercer who are having

372
00:19:07,079 --> 00:19:10,480
nice seasons. But you know, Samford ran this league with

373
00:19:10,480 --> 00:19:13,039
Bucky McMillan for years. They've taken a step back. Just

374
00:19:13,160 --> 00:19:16,119
nine and seven in the league. Chattanooga was a team

375
00:19:16,160 --> 00:19:18,519
that many thought would win this league. This year they

376
00:19:18,519 --> 00:19:21,640
are also six and ten, lost some key players at

377
00:19:21,680 --> 00:19:24,200
the outset and have just not been the same team.

378
00:19:24,440 --> 00:19:27,480
VMI is a bad team. NC Greensboro is a bad team.

379
00:19:27,599 --> 00:19:31,759
Western Carolina is a bad team. So you know, that's

380
00:19:31,880 --> 00:19:34,480
kind of the thing with citadel I think is you

381
00:19:34,519 --> 00:19:37,640
know they've they're equal parts taking advantage of playing weaker

382
00:19:37,680 --> 00:19:40,759
teams this year, but they've also improved. Now you can't

383
00:19:40,880 --> 00:19:45,160
argue with that first score, like they beat this Furman team,

384
00:19:45,799 --> 00:19:48,880
but they also beat them on their home floor. And

385
00:19:48,920 --> 00:19:51,920
now they head to Furman. You know, Citadels two and

386
00:19:51,920 --> 00:19:54,319
eleven on the road this year, and they head to

387
00:19:54,359 --> 00:19:58,960
a Furman team that I I guess I'll lean on

388
00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:01,559
you here a little bit, Robbie, because at one point

389
00:20:01,559 --> 00:20:03,839
I was going to make a case that Furman was improving.

390
00:20:04,480 --> 00:20:05,920
You know, if you go back to the beginning of

391
00:20:05,960 --> 00:20:07,720
the season, this team turned the ball over a ton.

392
00:20:07,759 --> 00:20:10,720
Speaker 2: It did not look like a Bob Richie type Furman team.

393
00:20:11,279 --> 00:20:13,200
Speaker 1: But when you look at their results over the over

394
00:20:13,240 --> 00:20:16,440
the month of February, they've lost four of six and

395
00:20:16,480 --> 00:20:20,480
they haven't been very impressive. So is Garth onto something

396
00:20:20,720 --> 00:20:23,319
taking the points here with a Citadel team that already

397
00:20:23,319 --> 00:20:25,119
hasn't win over the Paladins this season.

398
00:20:26,759 --> 00:20:30,759
Speaker 3: It's a tough call. The thing that would probably lean

399
00:20:30,799 --> 00:20:33,400
me toward Garth is the number fifteen and a half.

400
00:20:33,960 --> 00:20:35,680
But I do think Furman's gonna win this game. Remember

401
00:20:35,680 --> 00:20:38,880
the first time around Adam Ferber and I remember watching

402
00:20:38,920 --> 00:20:41,799
the Samford game and they beat Samford in that game.

403
00:20:42,039 --> 00:20:44,920
But they played a lot of games without Thomas and Bowser,

404
00:20:45,519 --> 00:20:47,640
and Citadel was one of the games that they played

405
00:20:47,640 --> 00:20:50,200
without Asa Thomas and without Bowser. And now that they're

406
00:20:50,240 --> 00:20:54,480
both back, you would have expected your last point that

407
00:20:54,559 --> 00:20:57,480
they would be on the move now, climbing the standings.

408
00:20:57,480 --> 00:21:00,440
And yet you know the first couple of games when

409
00:21:00,640 --> 00:21:02,680
asa Thomas came back, I was like, well, maybe he

410
00:21:02,759 --> 00:21:05,119
just needs to get reacclimated. He's been out so long,

411
00:21:05,640 --> 00:21:09,880
but they still haven't been churning out wins. Now they're

412
00:21:09,880 --> 00:21:12,680
two of their last three. Maybe things are going right now.

413
00:21:13,400 --> 00:21:16,720
But fifteen and a half is a little bit shaky.

414
00:21:16,839 --> 00:21:20,880
I will say this too. First game Furman without those

415
00:21:20,920 --> 00:21:24,559
two guys held a forty to twenty eight lead at halftime.

416
00:21:24,799 --> 00:21:27,000
They were up twelve in that game that they lost

417
00:21:27,000 --> 00:21:29,920
in ot so they let that slip away. But the

418
00:21:30,400 --> 00:21:33,359
lineup is whole, which scares me, especially at so Con

419
00:21:33,359 --> 00:21:37,160
tournament time, because when I watched the Samford game a

420
00:21:37,160 --> 00:21:41,279
few games back that the broadcast team was alluding to

421
00:21:41,359 --> 00:21:44,440
how much better Bob Ritchie's team would be when Thomas

422
00:21:44,440 --> 00:21:48,480
and Bowser got back, et cetera, et cetera. It hasn't

423
00:21:48,559 --> 00:21:51,720
quite developed yet, but I feel like it's going to

424
00:21:52,039 --> 00:21:54,640
He's too good of a coach. They probably have as

425
00:21:54,720 --> 00:21:56,680
much talent as anybody. Again, the only thing that would

426
00:21:56,720 --> 00:21:59,160
scare me if I was betting Furman would be your

427
00:21:59,240 --> 00:22:02,119
laying too much. So that's Garth's point. Let's take Citadel

428
00:22:02,160 --> 00:22:05,799
with fifteen and a half better than that, though, let's

429
00:22:05,839 --> 00:22:07,519
let's get off of the side for a second here.

430
00:22:07,559 --> 00:22:10,279
I think this total gets over. People have bet it

431
00:22:10,319 --> 00:22:13,799
that way. It's over one thirty eight. We're looking at

432
00:22:13,799 --> 00:22:15,480
one forty one and a half one forty two at

433
00:22:15,480 --> 00:22:17,440
this point in time. The first game had one thirty

434
00:22:17,440 --> 00:22:21,039
four at the end of regulation without Asa, Thomas and

435
00:22:21,079 --> 00:22:26,079
Bowser involved. Furman should score here at home. Citadels should

436
00:22:26,119 --> 00:22:28,240
do enough to help out. I just don't see how

437
00:22:28,279 --> 00:22:30,960
this game doesn't make one forty three. This may make

438
00:22:31,039 --> 00:22:34,359
my card for clients here today, this total over. I

439
00:22:34,359 --> 00:22:35,880
don't want to let the one forty one and a

440
00:22:35,920 --> 00:22:38,160
half slip away, so it would be sooner rather than

441
00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:42,359
later if it gets there. But I do see Furman

442
00:22:42,519 --> 00:22:48,079
as a team now that probably is easily I'll say

443
00:22:48,160 --> 00:22:52,839
easily a mid seventies type scoring team and above now

444
00:22:52,880 --> 00:22:55,359
that they're fully healthy for like the last five or

445
00:22:55,359 --> 00:22:57,400
six games, and we'll see where the Son tournament goes.

446
00:22:57,519 --> 00:23:00,920
But I can't disagree with Garth, but I would say

447
00:23:00,960 --> 00:23:05,279
my stronger feeling is on total going over. All.

448
00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:07,119
Speaker 1: Right, Garth, Let's let's do it. We got to get

449
00:23:07,119 --> 00:23:09,480
some we got to switch the mojo up in the parlay.

450
00:23:10,279 --> 00:23:12,680
I wanted to do a three teamer. Anyway, today we

451
00:23:12,720 --> 00:23:15,000
had we hit that three teamer with Brian Power, put

452
00:23:15,000 --> 00:23:18,559
ourselves ahead. Haven't won one since. And my number here

453
00:23:18,640 --> 00:23:23,720
on Citadel's is fourteen point one. So I've that to

454
00:23:23,799 --> 00:23:26,279
me and that right there is I trust that more

455
00:23:26,319 --> 00:23:28,160
because we're at the point in the year where I've

456
00:23:28,160 --> 00:23:32,079
pretty much like sucked any priors out for the most part,

457
00:23:32,279 --> 00:23:36,680
Like I have priors weighted very low in my in

458
00:23:36,720 --> 00:23:39,920
my figures now for because we're in the middle of

459
00:23:40,039 --> 00:23:43,000
you know, we're late February, so like at this point

460
00:23:43,319 --> 00:23:45,720
you really are what you are like looking at, like

461
00:23:45,799 --> 00:23:48,720
what a team was projected to be is is not

462
00:23:49,079 --> 00:23:54,279
as relevant anymore. And the reality is Citadel's played like

463
00:23:54,799 --> 00:23:58,319
pretty good basketball for this league. You know, they have

464
00:23:58,359 --> 00:24:02,200
the win over chat Nuga, they have the win they've

465
00:24:02,680 --> 00:24:05,079
you know, even in their last couple of games, they

466
00:24:05,440 --> 00:24:08,000
took Samford, who I still think is a pretty good

467
00:24:08,000 --> 00:24:12,000
team in this league to a three point final. You know,

468
00:24:12,119 --> 00:24:14,359
even you know, the Mercer game was very close to

469
00:24:14,400 --> 00:24:17,759
this number. They ended up losing it by sixteen. But

470
00:24:18,000 --> 00:24:20,880
like for me, like Mercer has has been far better

471
00:24:20,920 --> 00:24:23,079
than Furman has this year, and I think even with

472
00:24:23,119 --> 00:24:25,680
the guys back, I still have Mercer, you know, quite

473
00:24:26,519 --> 00:24:29,160
a cut above Furman in my my power ratings for

474
00:24:29,279 --> 00:24:33,160
this league. So let's do it fifteen and a half.

475
00:24:33,279 --> 00:24:35,599
I'm at fourteen point one here. That'll be the first

476
00:24:35,680 --> 00:24:38,119
leg of the Parleague. We're gonna throw Garth in the

477
00:24:38,160 --> 00:24:41,400
Parleague with the Citadel. But he said that the Cellar

478
00:24:41,480 --> 00:24:43,920
Dwellers have been hitting for him, So let's take to

479
00:24:43,960 --> 00:24:46,799
the points of the Citadel. They won the first meeting.

480
00:24:46,960 --> 00:24:50,440
We only need for them to keep it within fifteen. Here,

481
00:24:51,680 --> 00:24:54,799
I'm in agreement. I think it's a better game. And

482
00:24:54,799 --> 00:24:57,599
and here's the thing Furman is not.

483
00:24:57,680 --> 00:25:00,160
Speaker 2: Really they don't They don't really.

484
00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:04,000
Speaker 1: Do things right now to inspire confidence winning games by

485
00:25:04,000 --> 00:25:04,680
fifteen or more.

486
00:25:04,720 --> 00:25:06,599
Speaker 2: They turn the ball over a lot.

487
00:25:07,039 --> 00:25:10,119
Speaker 1: There's a lot of uh, what I think the term

488
00:25:10,160 --> 00:25:12,240
when I was playing basketball a long long time ago

489
00:25:12,400 --> 00:25:14,880
is game slippage, rob is what Furman has.

490
00:25:15,079 --> 00:25:17,359
Speaker 2: They make a lot of like what feels to be

491
00:25:17,480 --> 00:25:18,759
like unforced mistakes.

492
00:25:18,920 --> 00:25:22,200
Speaker 1: And it is very difficult to cover sixteen if you're

493
00:25:22,200 --> 00:25:24,880
gonna kind of, you know, keep keep teams in the

494
00:25:24,920 --> 00:25:26,319
game that way.

495
00:25:26,440 --> 00:25:31,319
Speaker 2: But Jacob says, we just we just jinxd Garth. Well,

496
00:25:31,359 --> 00:25:32,640
if you think we jinxd.

497
00:25:32,400 --> 00:25:37,160
Speaker 1: Garth, then then Furman probably scored a ton of points,

498
00:25:37,519 --> 00:25:40,119
so maybe you lean toward robs Over if that's the case.

499
00:25:40,480 --> 00:25:42,599
But we're gonna use Garth's leg in the parlay, so

500
00:25:43,200 --> 00:25:44,240
that'll be the first.

501
00:25:44,000 --> 00:25:46,359
Speaker 2: Leg you can blame me.

502
00:25:47,319 --> 00:25:51,119
Speaker 1: It's easier to blame me anyway because I'm co signing it.

503
00:25:51,160 --> 00:25:54,200
So we'll say the Citadel plus fifteen and a half.

504
00:25:54,799 --> 00:25:56,839
At the very least. I do think there's like a

505
00:25:56,839 --> 00:25:59,200
little bit of a numerical edge there. I think I

506
00:25:59,240 --> 00:26:02,039
think it should be those are to fourteen, so fifteen

507
00:26:02,039 --> 00:26:02,440
and a half.

508
00:26:02,440 --> 00:26:02,759
Speaker 2: It is.

509
00:26:05,960 --> 00:26:08,319
Speaker 1: All right, We're moving right along. Let's go to another

510
00:26:08,359 --> 00:26:13,160
game here. Let's get back to the super chat. We

511
00:26:13,200 --> 00:26:16,519
got a couple more starred. Mad Max appreciate the donation.

512
00:26:16,680 --> 00:26:19,000
This was one I was very interested to talk about.

513
00:26:19,240 --> 00:26:21,519
Actually almost made this our feature game, so I'm glad

514
00:26:21,559 --> 00:26:25,599
someone brought it up. Mad Max says Texas has a

515
00:26:25,640 --> 00:26:28,240
strong front court, can go toe to toe on the

516
00:26:28,240 --> 00:26:31,319
glass with Florida. They're sixth in the nation for adjusted

517
00:26:31,319 --> 00:26:34,400
offensive efficiency. Hold your nose, Texas plus six in the

518
00:26:34,440 --> 00:26:38,279
heaven six point five or some plus sevens I think

519
00:26:38,279 --> 00:26:40,000
we're there as we came onto the show. I don't

520
00:26:40,000 --> 00:26:43,000
know if it's moved off of seven or the team total?

521
00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:46,640
Is the team total safer? Max, I'm with you on

522
00:26:46,759 --> 00:26:49,720
the handicap. I definitely, But the thing is, and I

523
00:26:50,160 --> 00:26:52,720
Rob will probably make this point. I won't steal his thunder.

524
00:26:53,039 --> 00:26:56,799
I'll just tee him up. If they don't follow Florida,

525
00:26:56,839 --> 00:27:00,880
they probably hang around. But if the titus is like

526
00:27:01,119 --> 00:27:04,039
in foul trouble and not on the court, then you

527
00:27:04,119 --> 00:27:08,039
might have trouble with Florida's front court and the concern.

528
00:27:08,119 --> 00:27:10,839
Speaker 2: I don't know, Rob, Florida's starting to make some shots.

529
00:27:10,880 --> 00:27:13,720
Speaker 1: Do you think that this is like a don't poke

530
00:27:13,839 --> 00:27:16,200
the bear moment for Florida because their guards are starting

531
00:27:16,200 --> 00:27:16,960
to play well too.

532
00:27:17,400 --> 00:27:18,680
Speaker 2: Talk to me about Texas Florida.

533
00:27:20,000 --> 00:27:21,599
Speaker 3: Yeah, Well, the first thing I'll say is six and

534
00:27:21,640 --> 00:27:24,319
a half is no longer available. I'm looking at five

535
00:27:24,400 --> 00:27:25,200
and a halfs now.

536
00:27:25,319 --> 00:27:28,599
Speaker 2: Wow, Okay, so someone else last Texas look at that.

537
00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:33,599
Speaker 3: Five and a half just popped sixes down from six

538
00:27:33,680 --> 00:27:38,640
and a half. There's a one six and a half

539
00:27:38,680 --> 00:27:41,160
or forget that. Yeah, five and a half is the

540
00:27:41,240 --> 00:27:44,000
board keeps switching here, so again ridding that window where

541
00:27:44,039 --> 00:27:49,759
action is action is coming across the screen here. So yeah,

542
00:27:49,839 --> 00:27:52,400
five and a half. A lot of Texas love here,

543
00:27:53,200 --> 00:27:56,359
and the point is well made because you want to

544
00:27:56,359 --> 00:27:58,839
have a team that can deal with Florida's front court obviously,

545
00:27:58,880 --> 00:28:04,519
and then the back court. Even with Florida having both

546
00:28:04,519 --> 00:28:07,720
of their guys Boogie Flander, Xavi and Lee playing better

547
00:28:08,160 --> 00:28:10,920
in the backcourt, I think Texas backcourt still matches up

548
00:28:11,119 --> 00:28:14,079
fairly decent as well. It's not like that's a blowout

549
00:28:14,119 --> 00:28:17,039
situation in favor of Florida, but those guys make the

550
00:28:17,079 --> 00:28:20,640
Florida engine really rev on all eight cylinders when they're

551
00:28:20,640 --> 00:28:26,359
playing good. I think what's probably sold short a little

552
00:28:26,359 --> 00:28:29,559
bit here, Adam is Florida because they score so many points.

553
00:28:29,640 --> 00:28:31,759
What gets lost in the shuffle is how good they

554
00:28:31,799 --> 00:28:37,039
are defensively. They're the number one defensive efficiency team inside

555
00:28:37,119 --> 00:28:41,319
the Southeastern Conference, which is a huge accolade because there's

556
00:28:41,319 --> 00:28:45,440
so many good offenses inside this league. They don't let

557
00:28:45,519 --> 00:28:48,559
you score at the rim. Texas will probably have to

558
00:28:48,599 --> 00:28:52,279
score at the rim. And two Mad Max, I think

559
00:28:52,279 --> 00:28:55,759
it was to his point Texas does have interior players

560
00:28:56,039 --> 00:29:00,319
Voca Titus, especially that can't finish at the rim against

561
00:29:00,359 --> 00:29:03,039
these guys, but it's not going to be easy. So

562
00:29:05,279 --> 00:29:08,160
the total here, I'm gonna get off track just a

563
00:29:08,160 --> 00:29:10,480
little bit because we've mentioned that a lot of money

564
00:29:10,519 --> 00:29:13,519
loves Texas, and I'm not going to talk anybody off

565
00:29:13,519 --> 00:29:16,279
of Texas. The total here at one fifty seven and

566
00:29:16,319 --> 00:29:20,519
a half would have to include a ton of pace,

567
00:29:21,400 --> 00:29:24,960
and it's at this time of year. This time of

568
00:29:25,000 --> 00:29:26,880
year a lot of times will get me into trouble.

569
00:29:27,680 --> 00:29:29,720
I'll put it that way. Because the total is better,

570
00:29:29,759 --> 00:29:32,240
I like overs, and the defenses start to clamp down

571
00:29:32,279 --> 00:29:35,119
because seedings are so important now as games are running

572
00:29:35,119 --> 00:29:38,279
out heading into conference tournament time, whether it be postseason

573
00:29:38,319 --> 00:29:41,200
resumes or whether it be conference tournament seatings. For Texas

574
00:29:41,680 --> 00:29:44,119
in a four way tie at eight and six, the

575
00:29:44,200 --> 00:29:46,119
game does become huge for them. I mean, if you're

576
00:29:46,119 --> 00:29:51,839
looking for a situational meaningful mindset, focus, motivation, all that

577
00:29:51,960 --> 00:29:55,000
type of stuff, the exterior stuff, Texas has all of

578
00:29:55,039 --> 00:29:58,880
that here. Florida's got a two game lead inside the league.

579
00:29:58,960 --> 00:30:00,759
If they blow one, it really it doesn't matter. They're

580
00:30:00,759 --> 00:30:02,839
still the one seed. Could it affect them from being

581
00:30:02,839 --> 00:30:06,559
on the one line tournament time, maybe, but it doesn't

582
00:30:06,599 --> 00:30:09,759
mean you have to win by six. So all this

583
00:30:09,880 --> 00:30:12,920
to say that maybe the total is a tick too

584
00:30:13,000 --> 00:30:14,799
high here at one fifty eight. I don't know that

585
00:30:14,839 --> 00:30:17,519
I'm willing to bet it because the offenses are explosive

586
00:30:17,960 --> 00:30:21,000
and the tempo could get pretty high in this one.

587
00:30:22,319 --> 00:30:24,400
But I would expect both of these teams to bring

588
00:30:24,400 --> 00:30:26,640
a little bit of defense to the to the table here,

589
00:30:27,119 --> 00:30:29,839
and as you said, Adam evoke the tightest foul trouble

590
00:30:29,920 --> 00:30:32,920
just cross your fingers and hope he doesn't see the

591
00:30:32,920 --> 00:30:36,079
bench because Sean Miller doesn't really have a guy to

592
00:30:36,119 --> 00:30:38,079
match up with any of those Florida front court players

593
00:30:38,079 --> 00:30:39,839
once if you ask to leave the game.

594
00:30:41,359 --> 00:30:44,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think the whistle is so is going to

595
00:30:44,759 --> 00:30:47,119
be so impactful to like both side and total here

596
00:30:47,160 --> 00:30:50,720
because it's like if it becomes I mean, it could

597
00:30:50,799 --> 00:30:54,279
theoretically become a filefest and then you're you're talking about

598
00:30:54,559 --> 00:30:56,240
you know, if both teams are just living at the

599
00:30:56,240 --> 00:30:59,440
free throw line, it's probably gonna go over even though

600
00:30:59,599 --> 00:31:02,480
even at at that high number of like fifty seven

601
00:31:02,799 --> 00:31:06,079
fifty eight, because I do think Texas probably scores some

602
00:31:06,079 --> 00:31:10,160
points in this game. That so the thing is if

603
00:31:10,200 --> 00:31:12,920
Texas is taking money, I think that would correlate to

604
00:31:12,960 --> 00:31:15,200
the over a little bit because I don't think Texas

605
00:31:15,240 --> 00:31:17,799
is covering seven and a half. Forget seven and a half,

606
00:31:18,039 --> 00:31:21,039
they're certainly not covering five and a half or you know,

607
00:31:21,519 --> 00:31:26,400
if they're not scoring the basketball, because like Florida, we

608
00:31:26,440 --> 00:31:29,680
know that they can score even if they're not hitting shots,

609
00:31:29,720 --> 00:31:31,799
and then when they are hitting shots, they can really score.

610
00:31:32,039 --> 00:31:34,880
Because this was an offense that was still rating near

611
00:31:34,960 --> 00:31:39,319
the top top of you know, many efficiency sort of

612
00:31:40,160 --> 00:31:43,079
leader boards earlier this year when Xavier and Lee and

613
00:31:43,319 --> 00:31:46,720
Boogie Flann were both like in terrible shooting slums, and

614
00:31:46,759 --> 00:31:48,359
now they're starting to shoot the ball a little bit.

615
00:31:48,400 --> 00:31:52,599
So I don't have like tons of faith in Texas

616
00:31:52,640 --> 00:31:54,799
like being able to just get like stop after stop

617
00:31:54,839 --> 00:31:57,440
against Florida. But I do think that they can score,

618
00:31:57,839 --> 00:32:00,319
which makes me lean toward the over. But if I

619
00:32:00,319 --> 00:32:03,440
had to, you know, my number was was seven point one.

620
00:32:03,720 --> 00:32:07,160
So I was right on market here initially, and that's

621
00:32:07,200 --> 00:32:09,119
why I kind of like moved on from this game.

622
00:32:10,680 --> 00:32:13,480
I don't have any interest in like punching back though

623
00:32:13,559 --> 00:32:16,799
with Florida, because my initial lean was Texas at the

624
00:32:16,880 --> 00:32:19,400
number of seven, So like, just because it's moved a

625
00:32:19,480 --> 00:32:21,480
point and a half doesn't really make me want to

626
00:32:21,519 --> 00:32:24,079
go with the other side. And I do think that

627
00:32:24,119 --> 00:32:27,000
in a game like this, you will absolutely see Florida

628
00:32:27,039 --> 00:32:29,559
money come in at five and a half. There is

629
00:32:29,599 --> 00:32:32,079
gonna be a segment of the market that is going

630
00:32:32,119 --> 00:32:34,079
to see Florida minus five and a half and will

631
00:32:34,279 --> 00:32:37,279
pounce at that. So I wouldn't be surprised if that

632
00:32:37,839 --> 00:32:40,240
ends up back at like six and a half relatively soon,

633
00:32:41,000 --> 00:32:44,680
maybe it even gets back to seven. I would be

634
00:32:44,720 --> 00:32:47,640
on the Longhorns because Rob, as you know, if you've

635
00:32:47,720 --> 00:32:50,359
watched this show, I've been pretty pro Texas for the

636
00:32:50,440 --> 00:32:54,400
last couple months. I took Texas City. So here's the thing, though,

637
00:32:54,519 --> 00:32:56,480
you know, I took Texas now they were on the road.

638
00:32:57,079 --> 00:33:00,519
I took Texas plus seven against Kentucky. They're hang around

639
00:33:00,519 --> 00:33:03,200
and win that game. So I guess now they're getting

640
00:33:03,240 --> 00:33:06,240
seven at home against Florida. But Florida is like much

641
00:33:06,319 --> 00:33:09,000
much better, Like this is a much much better team.

642
00:33:09,319 --> 00:33:11,119
So I think it comes down to, like how much

643
00:33:11,119 --> 00:33:14,480
you're waiting home court here. It's kind of a tricky one.

644
00:33:14,559 --> 00:33:17,400
I leaned toward the longhorns. I guess I agree with

645
00:33:17,440 --> 00:33:20,079
that money move, but you're not gonna see me bet it.

646
00:33:20,079 --> 00:33:21,920
I would probably need more like eight and a half

647
00:33:22,000 --> 00:33:25,720
or nine to bet Texas here at seven six, six

648
00:33:25,759 --> 00:33:30,240
and a half. It's just gonna be a lean for me. Okay,

649
00:33:31,839 --> 00:33:35,359
let's continue on. I will go to.

650
00:33:37,440 --> 00:33:37,640
Speaker 2: Rob.

651
00:33:37,680 --> 00:33:40,519
Speaker 1: Have you ever eate alligator? The chat has has gone

652
00:33:40,559 --> 00:33:45,000
off tangent. I didn't love it. I had it like once.

653
00:33:45,079 --> 00:33:46,880
But maybe it's because I had it like fried and

654
00:33:46,960 --> 00:33:49,000
like bredded or something, and it just kind of tasted

655
00:33:49,240 --> 00:33:52,039
like anything else that was put into like a deep frier.

656
00:33:52,720 --> 00:33:53,640
Speaker 2: I don't know. It didn't do.

657
00:33:54,079 --> 00:33:56,200
Speaker 1: I didn't feel like I had to go get alligator

658
00:33:56,240 --> 00:33:59,119
again after I tried it, So maybe I need to

659
00:33:59,319 --> 00:34:02,839
Maybe I need to have it prepared differently. Yeah, that's see,

660
00:34:02,839 --> 00:34:07,359
that's what right here? Joe Joe, Yeah, Joe Joyner, that's

661
00:34:07,400 --> 00:34:08,920
the same thing. He goes, I had gator bites to

662
00:34:08,960 --> 00:34:11,960
taste like rubbery chicken. Yeah, that's that's where I'm at.

663
00:34:13,679 --> 00:34:16,840
Speaker 3: Can't it wouldn't buy you be an expert in how

664
00:34:16,880 --> 00:34:18,079
to prepare alligator.

665
00:34:18,360 --> 00:34:22,679
Speaker 1: Probably that seems like it's up his alley. Maybe, Yeah,

666
00:34:22,960 --> 00:34:24,800
I don't know. If Bayous he might be in here

667
00:34:24,880 --> 00:34:28,480
listing or whatever. But yeah, by you let us know

668
00:34:29,000 --> 00:34:31,119
if you've ever made alligator and if you if that's

669
00:34:31,159 --> 00:34:36,880
a you know, Andy Lang is here, he said, He said,

670
00:34:36,880 --> 00:34:40,360
he can't be breaded, properly, seasoned and grilled. It's delicious. Okay,

671
00:34:40,559 --> 00:34:43,920
I'll give it. Okay, he's back. Bayou's back.

672
00:34:43,960 --> 00:34:44,360
Speaker 2: He says.

673
00:34:44,480 --> 00:34:51,599
Speaker 1: Uh, it's about the sauce. Yeah, okay, all right, let's uh,

674
00:34:51,719 --> 00:34:53,639
all right, let's let's go to this one. We had

675
00:34:53,679 --> 00:34:55,559
a couple of sorry, I don't mean to get off

676
00:34:55,599 --> 00:34:58,280
tangent here. We got an eleven a m tip today.

677
00:34:58,320 --> 00:35:01,239
Robbino out in the Patriot League, and we have had

678
00:35:01,480 --> 00:35:04,599
some success talking Patrio League basketball on the show. There's

679
00:35:04,679 --> 00:35:06,880
quite a few people that have brought this up. This

680
00:35:07,079 --> 00:35:09,559
was not supposed to be an eleven am game. I

681
00:35:09,639 --> 00:35:10,639
believe this was.

682
00:35:11,320 --> 00:35:13,679
Speaker 2: I think this one was moved up a couple of times.

683
00:35:14,679 --> 00:35:17,360
Speaker 1: I know it was like a few days back, it

684
00:35:17,400 --> 00:35:20,199
was a three o'clock start. Now I don't know if

685
00:35:20,199 --> 00:35:21,719
it was moved up from three or they were going

686
00:35:21,760 --> 00:35:24,840
to originally play at three o'clock game today, but now they're.

687
00:35:24,639 --> 00:35:25,719
Speaker 2: Playing at eleven am.

688
00:35:26,440 --> 00:35:31,480
Speaker 1: So Colin Gregory says, buck Nell or nothing at the number.

689
00:35:31,559 --> 00:35:32,639
Speaker 2: I kind of agree.

690
00:35:33,119 --> 00:35:36,840
Speaker 1: So this opened Army minus two, it's moved to Army

691
00:35:36,880 --> 00:35:41,880
minus three and a half. I agree with the sentiment

692
00:35:42,000 --> 00:35:45,079
that it does feel like you're getting a little value

693
00:35:45,719 --> 00:35:48,000
with buck Nell at the number of three and a half.

694
00:35:48,679 --> 00:35:51,880
But then there's also the problem that, like, these are

695
00:35:51,920 --> 00:35:57,400
just two bad basketball teams, and from just an effort standpoint,

696
00:35:57,480 --> 00:36:01,679
I do like I've liked Army from an effort standpoint

697
00:36:01,719 --> 00:36:04,320
and a game in a game out basis more than

698
00:36:04,360 --> 00:36:07,639
I've liked buck Noll. Now these two teams are playing

699
00:36:07,639 --> 00:36:10,360
for something Robino. In the Patriot League, everyone makes the

700
00:36:10,400 --> 00:36:16,519
conference tournament and they are host site games, which means

701
00:36:16,960 --> 00:36:19,880
the opening round of the Patriot League tournament is going

702
00:36:19,960 --> 00:36:23,880
to be seven hosting ten and eight hosting nine. So

703
00:36:24,679 --> 00:36:27,199
you really, if you're in that bottom group and you

704
00:36:27,280 --> 00:36:30,199
have to play in the opening round, obviously you would

705
00:36:30,239 --> 00:36:32,119
much rather have a home game.

706
00:36:32,519 --> 00:36:34,880
Speaker 2: And both of these teams still.

707
00:36:34,679 --> 00:36:38,360
Speaker 1: Control their own destiny to hosting a game in the

708
00:36:38,760 --> 00:36:41,960
seven to eight window. I think there's even a scenario

709
00:36:42,000 --> 00:36:44,480
where they could if they win out. Either of these

710
00:36:44,480 --> 00:36:47,960
teams win out, they could win their way, eh, It

711
00:36:48,039 --> 00:36:49,840
might be tough for them to win their way out

712
00:36:49,840 --> 00:36:53,280
of seven through ten, but they can certainly win their

713
00:36:53,320 --> 00:36:56,199
way into hosting and opening round games. So it is

714
00:36:56,239 --> 00:36:59,639
a game of importance here. This is at West Point

715
00:37:00,039 --> 00:37:02,159
at eleven am, which means it goes up in twenty

716
00:37:02,199 --> 00:37:02,800
three minutes.

717
00:37:03,239 --> 00:37:04,079
Speaker 2: I'm with Colin.

718
00:37:04,320 --> 00:37:07,000
Speaker 1: If I was absolutely forced abt this game, it'd be

719
00:37:07,039 --> 00:37:11,559
Bucknell plus the points. But I haven't set like. Neither

720
00:37:11,599 --> 00:37:13,800
team gives me a warm, fuzzy feeling. So my question

721
00:37:13,840 --> 00:37:16,199
to you is, what about the total anything for an

722
00:37:16,239 --> 00:37:18,199
eleven am start down in West Point.

723
00:37:19,239 --> 00:37:21,199
Speaker 3: Well, the first thing for me, and this has nothing

724
00:37:21,239 --> 00:37:23,920
to do with fundamentals, but situationally, if I'm going to

725
00:37:23,960 --> 00:37:27,039
play either of these teams at eleven am, it's going

726
00:37:27,119 --> 00:37:29,400
to be the Service Academy. I gotta figure they're wide

727
00:37:29,440 --> 00:37:31,679
awake at eleven am. Buck Nell could sleep through a

728
00:37:31,719 --> 00:37:36,280
half at eleven am, so I would look maybe army early.

729
00:37:36,360 --> 00:37:39,559
And the first time around was eighty seven, eighty seven,

730
00:37:39,599 --> 00:37:41,280
eighty four something like that in overtime, but it was

731
00:37:41,320 --> 00:37:43,639
eighty eighty at the end of regulation, one hundred and

732
00:37:43,639 --> 00:37:46,119
sixty points by these two teams both shot it well.

733
00:37:46,159 --> 00:37:48,960
Another team plays defense, so we're staring at one forty

734
00:37:48,960 --> 00:37:51,480
two and a half year. I can understand the movement

735
00:37:51,559 --> 00:37:54,480
up in the total open one forty one, even seeing

736
00:37:54,519 --> 00:37:57,800
a a couple of stray one forty threes kickup now

737
00:37:57,840 --> 00:37:59,840
as we get closer to game time. So I wouldn't

738
00:37:59,840 --> 00:38:04,960
just agree with that. And if I'm going to somewhat

739
00:38:05,119 --> 00:38:10,239
lean Army, I guess team total wise, might I'd be

740
00:38:10,320 --> 00:38:13,079
more favorable to taking the Navy to the Army side,

741
00:38:13,119 --> 00:38:15,360
excuse me, team total over. But I think you wouldn't

742
00:38:15,360 --> 00:38:20,440
want to exclude buck Nell from this, even though, like

743
00:38:20,480 --> 00:38:22,360
I say, there is some thought in my mind that

744
00:38:22,440 --> 00:38:26,800
buck Nell could not be all their energy wise first

745
00:38:26,840 --> 00:38:29,360
half of this game. Now, to your point, both tied

746
00:38:29,360 --> 00:38:31,639
at five and eleven inside the league, both need to

747
00:38:31,679 --> 00:38:34,239
win the Holy Crosses with them at five and eleven,

748
00:38:34,559 --> 00:38:36,559
so certainly huge game if you're trying to get a

749
00:38:36,559 --> 00:38:40,440
home spot inside the conference tournament. But I would think

750
00:38:40,519 --> 00:38:43,440
the game probably goes over based off of what we

751
00:38:43,480 --> 00:38:45,760
saw the first time around, and based off the fact

752
00:38:45,760 --> 00:38:49,000
that neither team has played much deepense so far this season,

753
00:38:49,800 --> 00:38:51,239
and a half doesn't seem like too steep of a

754
00:38:51,280 --> 00:38:55,360
hill to climb, and last thing here is we saw

755
00:38:55,440 --> 00:38:57,440
overtime the first time she play over. At least she

756
00:38:57,480 --> 00:38:59,719
got overtime in your pocket here, it could happen again.

757
00:39:00,800 --> 00:39:03,039
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know what, I kind of I think I'm

758
00:39:03,039 --> 00:39:06,360
gonna just back out of making an opinion on the side.

759
00:39:06,400 --> 00:39:07,320
Speaker 2: You make a good point.

760
00:39:07,559 --> 00:39:11,360
Speaker 1: The eleven am start probably does benefit Army just I mean, yes,

761
00:39:11,960 --> 00:39:15,559
they're probably more rigid in their daily schedule, but also

762
00:39:16,239 --> 00:39:19,000
you know, being at home when when these games and

763
00:39:19,000 --> 00:39:22,239
the scheduling and stuff gets moved around, and I feel

764
00:39:22,280 --> 00:39:24,360
like it typically is going to affect the traveling team

765
00:39:24,480 --> 00:39:27,519
a little bit more of the road team, whereas Army

766
00:39:27,559 --> 00:39:29,440
they're gonna go about their day and just sort of

767
00:39:29,480 --> 00:39:31,800
move stuff up. They're still you know, sleeping in their

768
00:39:31,840 --> 00:39:35,559
own beds and stuff like that. Neither of these teams

769
00:39:36,039 --> 00:39:38,639
can test shot very well like you're gonna. So that's

770
00:39:38,639 --> 00:39:40,920
the thing that helps Army out big time here is

771
00:39:41,719 --> 00:39:44,679
Army does not get to the rim or get to

772
00:39:44,719 --> 00:39:47,840
the free throw line. They are very jump shot reliant,

773
00:39:48,239 --> 00:39:51,880
but buck Nell will will pretty much give you like

774
00:39:52,159 --> 00:39:54,920
whatever you want from a from a jump shot standpoint,

775
00:39:55,199 --> 00:39:58,199
Army is probably gonna get quite a few open threes here. Remember,

776
00:39:58,239 --> 00:40:01,559
this Bucknell team last year was so good because Noah

777
00:40:01,559 --> 00:40:05,800
Williamson was a generational talent, rim defender.

778
00:40:05,840 --> 00:40:06,840
Speaker 2: Post scorer.

779
00:40:07,559 --> 00:40:10,639
Speaker 1: Like I remember games last year where Williamson would would

780
00:40:10,639 --> 00:40:12,199
be not be on the court, you would get in

781
00:40:12,199 --> 00:40:14,360
foul trouble or so on and so forth, and Bucknell

782
00:40:14,360 --> 00:40:16,880
would be a completely different team for the worse obviously.

783
00:40:17,639 --> 00:40:19,559
And I think that's just what we've seen play out

784
00:40:19,679 --> 00:40:23,119
in like long form this year. Is this Bucknell team

785
00:40:23,360 --> 00:40:27,400
had last year, they just had a insane talent that

786
00:40:27,800 --> 00:40:30,079
could almost dominate the Patriot League on his own. Right,

787
00:40:30,119 --> 00:40:34,000
Noah Williamson, He's now at Alabama, right, Rob, Like, how

788
00:40:34,280 --> 00:40:36,719
often can you say that, Oh, Bucknell, they lost their

789
00:40:36,760 --> 00:40:39,800
best player to Bama, right, Like, it just doesn't really

790
00:40:39,800 --> 00:40:44,679
happen that often from this league. So again, Bucknell is

791
00:40:44,719 --> 00:40:47,760
sort of regressed into just a you know, a sort

792
00:40:47,800 --> 00:40:50,079
of nothing bad basketball team.

793
00:40:51,000 --> 00:40:53,159
Speaker 2: Army is kind of a nothing bad.

794
00:40:53,000 --> 00:40:55,639
Speaker 1: Basketball team too, but they will play hard, and one

795
00:40:55,639 --> 00:40:58,559
thing Army will do is just jack shots up. So

796
00:40:58,760 --> 00:41:01,800
they could they really like ramp up the pace of

797
00:41:01,840 --> 00:41:04,760
this game on their own, because like you'll see Army

798
00:41:05,320 --> 00:41:07,920
get down the floor and sometimes it's Ryan Curry just

799
00:41:07,920 --> 00:41:11,239
pulling a three. It's like, you know they they are

800
00:41:11,280 --> 00:41:14,280
not shy when it comes to shooting now, making them

801
00:41:14,360 --> 00:41:17,280
a whole different story, like that's why they're five and

802
00:41:17,320 --> 00:41:19,519
eleven and near the bottom of their league. But they

803
00:41:19,559 --> 00:41:23,159
will the shot volume will probably be there, and in

804
00:41:23,199 --> 00:41:27,519
a game like this, I do I just I neither

805
00:41:27,559 --> 00:41:30,920
team block shots or contest shots. So if you get

806
00:41:30,920 --> 00:41:34,599
some shots falling early, this one could get up near

807
00:41:34,639 --> 00:41:37,280
the total of last game, which was I think in

808
00:41:37,320 --> 00:41:38,719
the one sixties, and.

809
00:41:38,679 --> 00:41:41,480
Speaker 2: You only need low one. You only need low one forties.

810
00:41:41,159 --> 00:41:44,199
Speaker 1: To get it done here, So I can't disagree with Colin,

811
00:41:44,239 --> 00:41:46,719
though if you from a numbers perspective, I do think

812
00:41:46,760 --> 00:41:49,039
three and a half is forcing you to pay a

813
00:41:49,079 --> 00:41:52,000
premium to back Army. But Rob, I also kind of

814
00:41:52,039 --> 00:41:55,199
agree with you where maybe the premium is warranted. So

815
00:41:55,280 --> 00:41:57,840
I'm gonna like take myself out of the side and

816
00:41:57,920 --> 00:42:01,679
I'll lean toward the over. If you feel inclined to

817
00:42:01,719 --> 00:42:04,480
have yourself some eleven am hoop action on a on

818
00:42:04,519 --> 00:42:11,440
a Wednesday afternoon, All right, let's I am gonna give out.

819
00:42:11,360 --> 00:42:13,920
Speaker 2: A client play for the for the parlay, So if you.

820
00:42:14,000 --> 00:42:16,679
Speaker 1: Want me to go first, I'll go first, it's up

821
00:42:16,760 --> 00:42:19,079
to uh, it's up to you if you want to go,

822
00:42:19,280 --> 00:42:19,920
or I can go.

823
00:42:20,599 --> 00:42:21,519
Speaker 2: If you want a second to.

824
00:42:21,519 --> 00:42:23,559
Speaker 1: Think about it, I'll throw my game out, but I

825
00:42:23,599 --> 00:42:25,599
have two, so I don't want to steal yours.

826
00:42:25,599 --> 00:42:26,920
Speaker 2: So if you know you can go.

827
00:42:26,920 --> 00:42:29,000
Speaker 3: First, No, go ahead, because I would have more than

828
00:42:29,039 --> 00:42:30,760
one anyway, So go ahead.

829
00:42:30,599 --> 00:42:35,760
Speaker 2: All right. So you know, again, we literally never script

830
00:42:35,760 --> 00:42:36,079
the show.

831
00:42:36,119 --> 00:42:38,159
Speaker 1: We come on and say all right, we got a

832
00:42:38,159 --> 00:42:40,719
feature game, and then it really is just off the

833
00:42:41,239 --> 00:42:42,920
off the dome for the next hour.

834
00:42:43,360 --> 00:42:45,639
Speaker 2: We go based on where you guys want to go.

835
00:42:47,079 --> 00:42:51,000
Speaker 1: I have two plays locked in so far for today,

836
00:42:52,320 --> 00:42:55,400
so I'm just gonna give. I don't think either has

837
00:42:55,440 --> 00:42:57,920
been asked about in the chat, so I'm just gonna give.

838
00:42:58,239 --> 00:43:00,719
You know, I'll give one of them out. Let's talk

839
00:43:00,920 --> 00:43:04,760
Arkansas and Texas A and M. Robino. I'm laying the

840
00:43:04,800 --> 00:43:08,360
points with the Razorbacks here. I laid seven and a half.

841
00:43:08,719 --> 00:43:11,320
I will put seven and a half minus one twenty

842
00:43:11,639 --> 00:43:14,320
in the parlay because I do see that it's tipped

843
00:43:14,360 --> 00:43:15,000
up a little bit.

844
00:43:15,519 --> 00:43:15,920
Speaker 2: I love.

845
00:43:16,000 --> 00:43:19,280
Speaker 1: I think the Razorbacks absolutely destroy Texas A and M.

846
00:43:19,320 --> 00:43:23,639
Tonight we talked about Arkansas over the weekend, Kelly brought

847
00:43:23,679 --> 00:43:25,960
up the Arkansas Missouri game. I said, the only way

848
00:43:26,559 --> 00:43:28,360
I could play that, and the only way I'm playing

849
00:43:28,400 --> 00:43:31,840
Arkansas games right now is Arkansas or Pass. We've been

850
00:43:31,840 --> 00:43:34,000
talking about them for a couple, like a couple months now,

851
00:43:34,400 --> 00:43:36,760
I think, I said, after Brian Power and I went

852
00:43:36,800 --> 00:43:39,480
to the Arkansas Michigan State game first week of the season,

853
00:43:39,920 --> 00:43:41,800
I said, this is a team that's going to continue

854
00:43:41,800 --> 00:43:43,800
to get better. They're gonna be a team that in

855
00:43:43,880 --> 00:43:46,400
February I'm gonna want to be on it. And so

856
00:43:46,519 --> 00:43:49,719
far there against the spread record in February is very good.

857
00:43:50,519 --> 00:43:52,519
I got a little bit scared off by the number

858
00:43:52,960 --> 00:43:55,119
on Saturday, and I'm glad I did, because of course

859
00:43:55,159 --> 00:43:58,360
that game, Arkansas led by fourteen with two minutes to

860
00:43:58,440 --> 00:44:01,599
go and ended up only winning by eight I believe,

861
00:44:01,880 --> 00:44:03,480
I think it was like eight and a half or nine.

862
00:44:03,519 --> 00:44:06,599
So Missouri uh snuck in and back doored them right

863
00:44:06,639 --> 00:44:08,559
at the end in a game that Arkansas had a

864
00:44:08,599 --> 00:44:12,280
fourteen point lead with two minutes to go. I think

865
00:44:12,320 --> 00:44:17,039
this matchup is better for Arkansas than Missouri. Was this

866
00:44:17,599 --> 00:44:20,840
the Bucky ball style? I think Arkansas is going to

867
00:44:20,880 --> 00:44:24,679
have a much easier time scoring the basketball they they

868
00:44:24,719 --> 00:44:28,320
than they theoretically should have against the Dennis gate Zone.

869
00:44:28,679 --> 00:44:31,760
So it's like to me, okay, so here's here's just

870
00:44:31,800 --> 00:44:35,239
a little comparison. Right, Arkansas was home over the weekend,

871
00:44:35,920 --> 00:44:38,519
laying more than this in what.

872
00:44:38,599 --> 00:44:40,280
Speaker 2: Was probably a worst matchup.

873
00:44:41,000 --> 00:44:44,079
Speaker 1: Now they're still home where we know the home road

874
00:44:44,119 --> 00:44:49,480
splits are considerable this year and historically, and they're laying

875
00:44:49,559 --> 00:44:52,719
less point against Yeah, what maybe is a little bit

876
00:44:52,760 --> 00:44:55,039
better of a team, but what should really be a

877
00:44:55,039 --> 00:44:58,239
better matchup for the Razorbacks. So I think if Arkansas

878
00:44:58,280 --> 00:45:00,199
gets that fourteen point lead in this one there, not

879
00:45:00,199 --> 00:45:03,039
giving a background Veino, I think they're gonna score potentially

880
00:45:03,079 --> 00:45:05,519
at will. I'm laying it with Arkansas, but do you

881
00:45:05,519 --> 00:45:06,840
have any interest on the total there?

882
00:45:08,880 --> 00:45:11,000
Speaker 3: I think it's a little bit and it's hard to

883
00:45:11,000 --> 00:45:14,280
say it's high in an Arkansas game, but with A

884
00:45:14,360 --> 00:45:16,400
and M combined, it is kind of high. So I

885
00:45:16,400 --> 00:45:18,960
would probably lay off, but I would not disagree at all.

886
00:45:19,119 --> 00:45:22,639
What we're seeing out of Arkansas right now is as

887
00:45:22,719 --> 00:45:25,559
good as I mean. Florida is obviously on a huge role,

888
00:45:25,639 --> 00:45:28,599
so I won't say Florida's probably been a little bit better.

889
00:45:28,599 --> 00:45:32,000
But Arkansas Florida right now playing like the two best

890
00:45:32,000 --> 00:45:34,760
teams in that particular conference. So you're not going to

891
00:45:34,800 --> 00:45:38,199
get any argument out of me against Arkansas. Here. They

892
00:45:38,199 --> 00:45:44,320
had a rough situational play against the Miszoo last game,

893
00:45:44,480 --> 00:45:46,920
and Maszoo did sneak in under the number. But credit

894
00:45:46,960 --> 00:45:48,880
to Arkansas for coming back home and winning that game

895
00:45:48,920 --> 00:45:51,559
off of the one seventeen one to fifteen doublet loss.

896
00:45:51,840 --> 00:45:55,039
So yeah, I would not argue against Arkansas in any way,

897
00:45:55,079 --> 00:45:56,760
shape or form. I would just be a little lenient

898
00:45:57,159 --> 00:45:59,679
of playing or a little LERI excuse me, a little

899
00:45:59,760 --> 00:46:02,639
leri of playing a total in that price range with

900
00:46:02,719 --> 00:46:03,119
these two.

901
00:46:06,400 --> 00:46:10,360
Speaker 1: All right, we are gonna let's do this. We'll mad

902
00:46:10,440 --> 00:46:13,119
Max as a donation. So let's go to his play

903
00:46:13,800 --> 00:46:16,320
and we'll go We'll go to mad Max, he says Veno,

904
00:46:16,360 --> 00:46:18,679
specifically Veno, So I'm gonna let you kick this one off.

905
00:46:18,920 --> 00:46:21,760
We're gonna stay an We're gonna stay in the SEC.

906
00:46:23,079 --> 00:46:24,880
I think this is a good transition here. We'll go

907
00:46:24,880 --> 00:46:28,000
ahead and stay in the SEC. Mad Max's Veno. I

908
00:46:28,119 --> 00:46:32,559
love the Alabama team. Total tonight, boy over ninety four

909
00:46:32,599 --> 00:46:33,119
and a half.

910
00:46:34,239 --> 00:46:35,719
Speaker 2: That is an awfully big number.

911
00:46:36,239 --> 00:46:40,280
Speaker 1: But then again, maybe it's warranted because can Alabama name

912
00:46:40,360 --> 00:46:43,480
their score tonight against Mississippi State, rob What do you think?

913
00:46:44,840 --> 00:46:48,519
Speaker 3: Well, generally they could name their their side of the

914
00:46:48,519 --> 00:46:52,599
scoreboard against anybody. Really, they're gonna play at that speed,

915
00:46:52,639 --> 00:46:55,519
They're gonna play, They're gonna make their shots. What's what's

916
00:46:55,599 --> 00:46:59,400
interesting here, Adam, is the money toward Mississippi State and

917
00:46:59,599 --> 00:47:03,440
people who obviously think that Mississippi State has turned some

918
00:47:03,760 --> 00:47:06,280
form of a corner at this point in time. I'm

919
00:47:06,280 --> 00:47:09,320
not so sure that I agree, But here's what I

920
00:47:09,360 --> 00:47:14,079
will say. Chris Jans has this team playing slightly better

921
00:47:14,159 --> 00:47:18,239
defense that haven't played really good defense all season long. But

922
00:47:18,360 --> 00:47:21,239
I would agree in the fact that it's going to

923
00:47:21,280 --> 00:47:24,239
get out of hand for them, and it could get

924
00:47:24,239 --> 00:47:28,199
out of hand quickly as far as point production for

925
00:47:28,239 --> 00:47:32,320
Alabama is concerned, if you're playingside, you have to try

926
00:47:32,320 --> 00:47:34,480
and guess if Mississippi State is going to match points

927
00:47:34,480 --> 00:47:39,840
with Alabama. But Mississippi State's going to do zero defensively,

928
00:47:39,960 --> 00:47:41,840
even though they've been playing better lately, They're going to

929
00:47:41,920 --> 00:47:46,199
do zero defensively. That's going to deter Alabama from scoring

930
00:47:46,239 --> 00:47:49,960
points in this game. Biggest questions you have here. Again,

931
00:47:50,199 --> 00:47:53,400
you don't worry about scoring opportunities, You're going to get those.

932
00:47:54,199 --> 00:47:57,599
You don't worry about Alabama reaching high eighties. You're probably

933
00:47:57,639 --> 00:47:59,639
going to get it. You're trying to climb over ninety

934
00:47:59,639 --> 00:48:02,119
four and half here, and you need them to shoot

935
00:48:02,119 --> 00:48:06,360
it fairly well to get to that point. So oddsmakers

936
00:48:06,400 --> 00:48:09,960
haven't made it easy matth hacts with this one because

937
00:48:10,119 --> 00:48:13,599
ninety five is a tall mountain declimb. We saw last

938
00:48:13,639 --> 00:48:18,199
week that you know, when a team can score with

939
00:48:18,360 --> 00:48:21,480
them and push them like Arkansas did, you can wind up.

940
00:48:22,280 --> 00:48:24,320
Obviously that game went double overtime, but I think at

941
00:48:24,360 --> 00:48:26,519
the end of regulation they were still in the one eighties.

942
00:48:29,280 --> 00:48:32,079
Question would become will NATO's led up if it's a

943
00:48:33,400 --> 00:48:35,559
if there's a wide margin at the end of the game.

944
00:48:35,920 --> 00:48:37,599
My answer to that would be no. I think I

945
00:48:37,599 --> 00:48:39,239
said yes, they would try and keep a little notebook

946
00:48:39,280 --> 00:48:42,400
on these coaches and ones that take their foot off

947
00:48:42,440 --> 00:48:45,000
the pedal and are nice to the opponent, and others

948
00:48:45,000 --> 00:48:47,039
that just keep scoring. I forget which team we were

949
00:48:47,039 --> 00:48:48,639
referring to yesterday, but that's kind of the way I

950
00:48:48,639 --> 00:48:51,400
see Natos. So I'm not going to disagree with it.

951
00:48:51,440 --> 00:48:54,320
I think it's in a delicate spot for me to

952
00:48:54,400 --> 00:48:58,039
ask for ninety five here because I could see, you

953
00:48:58,079 --> 00:49:00,719
know what, ninety four loses that bet, and ninety four

954
00:49:00,719 --> 00:49:03,079
would be a really good offensive night for Alabama. So

955
00:49:03,320 --> 00:49:05,199
when I think of it in those terms, again, I

956
00:49:05,239 --> 00:49:07,880
wouldn't talk you off because Alabama's more than capable. I

957
00:49:07,960 --> 00:49:09,280
just don't know that I would be on it.

958
00:49:11,519 --> 00:49:15,159
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, listen, I do think the I think

959
00:49:15,280 --> 00:49:19,719
maybe the opener was probably a little bit high, Like

960
00:49:20,360 --> 00:49:24,840
I don't. Okay, So I like Alabama. I would only

961
00:49:24,840 --> 00:49:28,440
play Bama in this game. But I can see where

962
00:49:28,639 --> 00:49:32,320
people are coming from from a numbers perspective, saying, okay,

963
00:49:32,360 --> 00:49:33,760
fifteen and a half at the open?

964
00:49:34,360 --> 00:49:35,320
Speaker 2: What was too high?

965
00:49:35,400 --> 00:49:37,920
Speaker 1: Now, this is one where I would punch back a

966
00:49:37,920 --> 00:49:41,239
little bit, especially if that hit thirteen. I was right

967
00:49:41,280 --> 00:49:44,800
around thirteen personally, so I don't think it's going to

968
00:49:44,840 --> 00:49:45,920
go lower than thirteen.

969
00:49:45,960 --> 00:49:47,599
Speaker 2: I doubt you see like a twelve and a half.

970
00:49:48,519 --> 00:49:50,480
Speaker 1: But if you had a book moving a little too

971
00:49:50,559 --> 00:49:53,519
far and got to like thirteen, maybe even like thirteen

972
00:49:53,559 --> 00:49:55,639
and a half, I guess is fine. I think that's

973
00:49:55,679 --> 00:49:59,480
where you can consider to start playing Alabama for me,

974
00:49:59,760 --> 00:50:03,760
I but I would much rather have Bama minus thirteen

975
00:50:03,800 --> 00:50:06,559
and a half than need ninety five points.

976
00:50:06,599 --> 00:50:07,199
Speaker 2: That's just me.

977
00:50:07,480 --> 00:50:10,559
Speaker 1: I think you need a fairly I think you need

978
00:50:10,559 --> 00:50:14,119
a very efficient scoring night from Bama to get ninety

979
00:50:14,119 --> 00:50:17,679
five in this one. And like you said, like Arkansas

980
00:50:18,320 --> 00:50:21,320
is gonna pretty much push that tempo throughout because Arkansas

981
00:50:21,400 --> 00:50:24,039
is gonna be able to stay in that game. My

982
00:50:24,199 --> 00:50:28,599
concern here, Rob would be Bama gets themselves a pretty

983
00:50:28,599 --> 00:50:32,159
big lead and suddenly, even if it's subconscious, maybe they

984
00:50:32,159 --> 00:50:34,480
take the air out of the ball a little bit. Right,

985
00:50:34,559 --> 00:50:38,079
Like over the weekend, they only put up ninety against LSU.

986
00:50:38,159 --> 00:50:40,679
It's not that they probably can't score more than that

987
00:50:40,719 --> 00:50:44,760
against LSU, it's that the win didn't require them to

988
00:50:44,840 --> 00:50:47,559
do more than like what they did. So, like that's

989
00:50:47,599 --> 00:50:50,199
my fear, Like you're saying, like they could they could

990
00:50:50,199 --> 00:50:54,639
win this game, Like they could drop ninety three winning

991
00:50:54,679 --> 00:50:57,559
a blowout and still have had a very good offensive night.

992
00:50:57,639 --> 00:51:00,679
That's my only concern going back to the original question

993
00:51:00,719 --> 00:51:04,199
on the team total. But I definitely like Bama. It

994
00:51:04,199 --> 00:51:08,159
would be Bama or nothing. So how how you play

995
00:51:08,199 --> 00:51:11,480
that is up to you. Me personally, I would take

996
00:51:11,639 --> 00:51:15,960
the discount on the opener and just lay the thirteen

997
00:51:16,000 --> 00:51:20,000
and a half if I was gonna play this one, okay,

998
00:51:21,000 --> 00:51:22,880
and just to go back to the first meeting. I mean,

999
00:51:23,519 --> 00:51:27,840
you know it was ninety seven eighty two. I don't

1000
00:51:27,840 --> 00:51:30,159
think I see like that different of a game, but

1001
00:51:30,280 --> 00:51:32,360
that you're still so you might be asking for it.

1002
00:51:32,360 --> 00:51:36,400
Either way, it could very well land near the number

1003
00:51:36,519 --> 00:51:37,519
and near the team total.

1004
00:51:37,559 --> 00:51:39,119
Speaker 2: We know the books are very good at.

1005
00:51:38,960 --> 00:51:42,079
Speaker 1: This, and it would not be out of the out

1006
00:51:42,119 --> 00:51:45,320
of the question. All right, rob Bina, what about what

1007
00:51:45,400 --> 00:51:46,960
about closing out this three teamer?

1008
00:51:47,039 --> 00:51:47,800
Speaker 2: What are you looking at?

1009
00:51:48,719 --> 00:51:50,880
Speaker 3: Let's do Let's go out to the mountain West tonight, Adam,

1010
00:51:50,920 --> 00:51:52,800
and what is the most important? Game? Could have been

1011
00:51:52,800 --> 00:51:55,039
a feature game for Sir San Diego State at home

1012
00:51:55,079 --> 00:51:59,280
against Utah State. Both teams enter in here on losing notes.

1013
00:52:00,039 --> 00:52:02,159
Toss State beat by Nevada the other night. How about

1014
00:52:02,159 --> 00:52:05,159
Nevada wins over Utah State in New Mexico back to

1015
00:52:05,199 --> 00:52:08,519
back in Reno, putting themselves back into contention here. But

1016
00:52:08,559 --> 00:52:12,599
this game is first place or the number one seed.

1017
00:52:13,079 --> 00:52:15,639
It would allow San Diego State to get back into

1018
00:52:15,679 --> 00:52:18,840
a tie with Utah State. Utah State did win the

1019
00:52:18,880 --> 00:52:21,760
first meeting by five points, and I think there's a

1020
00:52:21,800 --> 00:52:24,320
good revenge angle here for the San Diego State team.

1021
00:52:24,599 --> 00:52:28,880
And I have to tell you, I love the construction

1022
00:52:29,599 --> 00:52:34,440
of the Utah State team and when they start hitting shots, man,

1023
00:52:34,519 --> 00:52:38,320
they create separation better than anybody inside this conversation. You know,

1024
00:52:38,440 --> 00:52:42,960
Utah States unique because there are times when Jared Calhoun

1025
00:52:43,000 --> 00:52:45,440
will go to lineups with four ball handlers on the

1026
00:52:45,440 --> 00:52:48,440
floor and you don't see that very often with four

1027
00:52:48,480 --> 00:52:52,440
guys that can shoot and handle the ball. However, for

1028
00:52:52,639 --> 00:52:56,360
San Diego State, here we know, the tradition is the tradition.

1029
00:52:56,840 --> 00:53:00,400
The perception is the perception. They're the best defense team

1030
00:53:00,480 --> 00:53:03,079
in this league. And the first time around they did

1031
00:53:03,119 --> 00:53:09,760
lose by five in Logan, but they did contain MJ. Collins,

1032
00:53:09,760 --> 00:53:13,280
who is your biggest concern on Utah State. He got

1033
00:53:13,280 --> 00:53:15,199
to slow him down. They slowed him down. He only

1034
00:53:15,239 --> 00:53:19,320
scored twelve points, one of five inside the arc, two

1035
00:53:19,360 --> 00:53:21,840
of nine outside the arc. That's a three or fourteen

1036
00:53:21,920 --> 00:53:24,119
game combined on his own home floor. I think San

1037
00:53:24,159 --> 00:53:26,280
Diego State can do that again, Adam, and I think

1038
00:53:26,280 --> 00:53:29,679
they can improve the way that they shot the basketball

1039
00:53:29,760 --> 00:53:32,360
in that game, maybe a couple home whistles to go

1040
00:53:32,480 --> 00:53:37,760
with this. This game is basically pick them here. Let

1041
00:53:37,840 --> 00:53:41,880
me just get the current showing san Diego State minus

1042
00:53:41,920 --> 00:53:45,239
one one and a half in some spots, but minus

1043
00:53:45,280 --> 00:53:49,000
one here. I like the situation. I like the spot.

1044
00:53:49,079 --> 00:53:53,880
I like the fact that they shut Utah's best player

1045
00:53:53,920 --> 00:53:56,800
down the first time around. So I'm gonna go San

1046
00:53:56,840 --> 00:53:59,840
Diego State here at home to force a tie in

1047
00:54:00,119 --> 00:54:02,880
side the Mountain West. I think it's a good spot

1048
00:54:02,960 --> 00:54:05,679
for them, and for those who haven't seen a little

1049
00:54:05,679 --> 00:54:07,920
bit of San Diego State basketball this year, this team

1050
00:54:08,320 --> 00:54:12,239
is a their tick, better offensively than they've been in

1051
00:54:12,280 --> 00:54:17,599
the past. They do have ability to score. So I'm

1052
00:54:17,599 --> 00:54:19,679
going to try that side here, Adam. It's it's not

1053
00:54:19,719 --> 00:54:22,079
a total play today, guys, apologize for that, but it

1054
00:54:22,159 --> 00:54:23,800
is a side player that I think is pretty strong.

1055
00:54:23,920 --> 00:54:31,119
San Diego State minus one over Utah State muted.

1056
00:54:31,280 --> 00:54:34,239
Speaker 1: Do you know the last time that San Diego State

1057
00:54:34,320 --> 00:54:37,599
lost three straight games was way back in Brian Dutcher's

1058
00:54:37,599 --> 00:54:38,320
first season.

1059
00:54:38,840 --> 00:54:40,519
Speaker 3: Oh don't do that.

1060
00:54:40,559 --> 00:54:44,440
Speaker 1: They haven't lost because they had lost three straight games.

1061
00:54:45,159 --> 00:54:47,920
I know, I mean, listen, hey, it's just we were

1062
00:54:47,920 --> 00:54:49,239
gonna talk about it from all engles.

1063
00:54:49,239 --> 00:54:50,079
Speaker 2: No, that's like what.

1064
00:54:50,000 --> 00:54:53,639
Speaker 1: I'm saying is that supports your side. Like San Diego

1065
00:54:53,639 --> 00:54:58,599
State has been excellent off of a loss historically in

1066
00:54:58,639 --> 00:55:01,360
the Dutcher area, in the Dutcher era, they've been very

1067
00:55:01,360 --> 00:55:03,679
good off the loss. Off of two losses, they've been

1068
00:55:03,679 --> 00:55:08,000
almost automatic. Dutcher has not lost three straight since his

1069
00:55:08,079 --> 00:55:11,880
first year in charge. So what I'm saying is like,

1070
00:55:11,960 --> 00:55:14,840
from a spot standpoint, you have to like San Diego State.

1071
00:55:14,880 --> 00:55:16,880
The one thing I did, Like, here's the thing with

1072
00:55:16,960 --> 00:55:20,400
San Diego State for me, because this is one numbers wise,

1073
00:55:20,480 --> 00:55:23,360
I'm at three point seven, so my number leans pretty

1074
00:55:23,360 --> 00:55:26,880
hard to San Diego State from like where this opened

1075
00:55:26,880 --> 00:55:29,639
at pick and where it is now at minus one.

1076
00:55:30,639 --> 00:55:32,559
I guess another thing that I would look at, like,

1077
00:55:33,159 --> 00:55:35,599
I do think Utah State's probably the better team. But

1078
00:55:35,760 --> 00:55:40,280
the thing with Utah State is like they've uncharacteristic some

1079
00:55:40,320 --> 00:55:43,079
of the games that they've lost in the fashion that

1080
00:55:43,079 --> 00:55:45,599
they've lost this year, Like this team is not really

1081
00:55:45,599 --> 00:55:46,639
closing games out.

1082
00:55:47,760 --> 00:55:48,679
Speaker 2: They blew the lead.

1083
00:55:48,800 --> 00:55:50,519
Speaker 1: Was at UNLV, they blew a lead and they were

1084
00:55:50,559 --> 00:55:53,360
a pretty big favorite in doing so. I think it

1085
00:55:53,440 --> 00:55:56,639
was UNLV they were like a seventeen point favorite at

1086
00:55:56,639 --> 00:55:59,760
home and like found a way to blow that game that.

1087
00:56:00,280 --> 00:56:03,199
You know, that's something that I think like the elite

1088
00:56:03,280 --> 00:56:07,519
Utah State teams of past years would not have done. Yeah,

1089
00:56:07,559 --> 00:56:09,119
they ended up, oh, they ended up kind of getting

1090
00:56:09,119 --> 00:56:12,079
blown out in the end there, Just to just to clarify,

1091
00:56:12,159 --> 00:56:15,400
they lost that game by ten at home to a

1092
00:56:15,480 --> 00:56:20,039
bad Utah State team or UNLV team, and then like

1093
00:56:20,119 --> 00:56:23,960
over the weekend, it just felt like they it felt

1094
00:56:24,000 --> 00:56:25,800
like they were just gonna end up winning at some

1095
00:56:25,880 --> 00:56:28,119
point against Nevada and until they didn't.

1096
00:56:28,960 --> 00:56:29,559
Speaker 2: So it's like.

1097
00:56:31,320 --> 00:56:33,159
Speaker 1: And you could even you could even lump the Grand

1098
00:56:33,199 --> 00:56:35,280
Canyon game in there because it was a road game.

1099
00:56:35,639 --> 00:56:39,559
So now you've got, you know, you've got two examples

1100
00:56:39,800 --> 00:56:41,280
of San Diego State on the road.

1101
00:56:41,679 --> 00:56:43,760
Speaker 2: They were never really in that Grand Canyon game.

1102
00:56:43,800 --> 00:56:47,519
Speaker 1: I had Grand Canyon in that game, and Grand Canyon

1103
00:56:47,559 --> 00:56:49,400
took a lead and never really gave it back. I

1104
00:56:49,400 --> 00:56:52,079
mean they were up, they led pretty much that entire game,

1105
00:56:52,400 --> 00:56:55,239
and they dominated them pretty much that entire game. So

1106
00:56:55,840 --> 00:56:58,599
my only like criticism of San Diego State, and I

1107
00:56:58,599 --> 00:57:02,039
think what keeps me off person at least to this point,

1108
00:57:02,760 --> 00:57:06,760
they can be very inconsistent offensively, and if you get

1109
00:57:06,760 --> 00:57:09,960
the inconsistent performance where they have like one of these

1110
00:57:10,000 --> 00:57:11,920
games where no one could put the ball in the basket,

1111
00:57:13,000 --> 00:57:15,119
Utah State might be the team that's tough to beat

1112
00:57:15,159 --> 00:57:17,039
with your deep like San Diego State's as good as

1113
00:57:17,039 --> 00:57:19,320
anyone at Like, oh, we had a bad offensive game,

1114
00:57:19,519 --> 00:57:21,880
no problem, our defense will beat you. They've done it

1115
00:57:21,920 --> 00:57:25,320
so many times in Mountain West play. I don't know

1116
00:57:25,360 --> 00:57:27,119
if they can do that to Utah State. But if

1117
00:57:27,159 --> 00:57:28,960
they're if their offense is if this is one of

1118
00:57:29,000 --> 00:57:31,639
the games where the Aztecs offense shows up, I think

1119
00:57:31,679 --> 00:57:34,079
they're in like a very good spot to get a win.

1120
00:57:34,480 --> 00:57:36,280
So that's just my thoughts on it. I'm not going

1121
00:57:36,360 --> 00:57:39,519
to disagree with you and San Diego State. It is

1122
00:57:40,039 --> 00:57:43,760
so three sides in the three team are rob uh.

1123
00:57:43,880 --> 00:57:46,159
I you know, I didn't ask Garth's permission if I

1124
00:57:46,159 --> 00:57:48,199
could put him in, But that's okay. I'll take the blame.

1125
00:57:48,559 --> 00:57:51,960
So if Citadel covers all the credit to Garth. If

1126
00:57:52,039 --> 00:57:54,880
they don't, Trig will take the blame. That's how we'll

1127
00:57:54,920 --> 00:57:57,559
do this one. Because my numbers, my numbers actually very

1128
00:57:57,599 --> 00:58:01,400
much like all three games in this parlay I've got

1129
00:58:01,440 --> 00:58:04,440
a number edge on Citadel. I've got a pretty nice

1130
00:58:04,519 --> 00:58:07,079
number edge on your San Diego State play. And then,

1131
00:58:07,119 --> 00:58:09,440
of course one of my biggest number edges of the

1132
00:58:09,559 --> 00:58:12,800
day is a four percent play for me on Arkansas,

1133
00:58:12,840 --> 00:58:14,679
which I gave for free on the show and I

1134
00:58:14,719 --> 00:58:18,000
will use in the parlay. So our three teamer tonight

1135
00:58:18,760 --> 00:58:22,480
Arkansas minus seven and a half, San Diego State minus

1136
00:58:22,559 --> 00:58:27,559
one and Citadel plus fifteen and a half. Those are

1137
00:58:28,119 --> 00:58:33,280
I'll put minus one twenty juice on the Arkansas leg,

1138
00:58:33,400 --> 00:58:35,440
so it's minus one ten, minus one ten, minus one

1139
00:58:35,480 --> 00:58:38,719
twenty that will be the three teamer. I didn't do

1140
00:58:38,800 --> 00:58:43,320
much promoting during the show, but like always win or lose,

1141
00:58:43,440 --> 00:58:45,800
rain or Shine, Rob and I are here every day.

1142
00:58:46,159 --> 00:58:48,519
Rob and I have a package up every day. If

1143
00:58:48,559 --> 00:58:50,400
you want to ride with us for the rest of

1144
00:58:50,440 --> 00:58:52,760
the season, email in the customer support let them know

1145
00:58:53,000 --> 00:58:55,760
that you want the joint package and you'll get all

1146
00:58:55,800 --> 00:58:58,320
of our plays through I like to say through one

1147
00:58:58,320 --> 00:59:01,400
shining moment Rob when they're playing that horrible song on

1148
00:59:01,480 --> 00:59:06,400
Monday night after the after the final, which is amazing.

1149
00:59:06,440 --> 00:59:08,719
As much as they've changed, they took our they took

1150
00:59:08,719 --> 00:59:12,119
our court designs, away. They put people that know nothing

1151
00:59:12,159 --> 00:59:15,360
about college basketball on the broadcast at the NCAA tournament.

1152
00:59:16,079 --> 00:59:18,599
They will not change one shining moment. They're still gonna

1153
00:59:18,800 --> 00:59:21,119
fire that us A at like one in the morning

1154
00:59:21,440 --> 00:59:25,920
Eastern time after the championship game, no matter what. But yeah,

1155
00:59:25,960 --> 00:59:28,719
we listen. I've got two plays locked in already for today.

1156
00:59:28,719 --> 00:59:31,000
I expect to have more. I'm probably gonna come out

1157
00:59:31,039 --> 00:59:34,400
fire in today just to switch it up a little bit.

1158
00:59:34,800 --> 00:59:37,920
Rob's got plays locked in and we're ready to cash.

1159
00:59:37,960 --> 00:59:41,320
So let's finish February strong and uh yeah, win or lose.

1160
00:59:41,360 --> 00:59:43,840
Will be back ten am tomorrow morning to do it again.

1161
00:59:44,039 --> 00:59:45,960
Thank you guys for tuning in, and we'll see you

1162
00:59:45,960 --> 00:59:46,639
guys in the morning.