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Speaker 1: Happy Sunday. There's not many of these big slates left

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on the prop. Queen Aria Epstein taking you through the

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next forty minutes or so. We've got a slew of guests,

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and as usual, it's Danny the Greek joining us to

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tell us where all the steam is the sharp sides,

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and apparently after this show, Yannie's going to have a

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free steam room New Eastern Time if we do miss

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any of the games. We've got John Murray con on

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from the Westgate. He's gonna tell us who the sharps

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are on what the book needs. So if you want

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to be on the same side as Vegas, which is

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why they have really tall buildings, John Murray's your guy. Last,

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certainly not least Andy Lang from here at we we're

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talking to join the show as well, and we are

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going to tap props, so many props to get to,

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a lot of contract incentives to get to, and we'll

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see what Andy says about how to play those contract incentives.

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I've got some props as well, some contract incentives that

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stood out. The thing for me about contract incentives, you

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really can't bet them in week seventeen per se unless

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it's a really good matchup for the incentive to I

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don't like just randomly blindly batting contract incentives. I know

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that's fun to do. That's more of a week eighteen

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thing or a thing when teams are kind of out

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of it or out of it. For me, it's it's

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the matchup working. Does this team need the game? Do

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they not? Those are the things to look forward with

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contract incentive props, and we'll get to those towards the

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end of the show. Coming on now, we're gonna be

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joined by Yanni, the Greek leave from Las Vegas. He's

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wearing the Phillies hat. He's in it. It's time to

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win some money, Yanni. How are you on this Sunday?

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Speaker 2: Never better? I'm firing right now, actually firing some props.

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I could give them to you guys.

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Speaker 1: Hell yeah, let's hear speak all right, let me just

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uh hold on. We love when you have props. It's

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so rare that they come in so early. I mean you, huh.

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Speaker 2: I'm about to give you a bunch of them, five

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of them. Actually, hold on, let me just send this

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one of my subscribers first. They got to get it first.

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Speaker 1: Totally fair, that's fine. They totally deserve to get it first.

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And it's crazy because I feel like towards the stretch

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of the season, where we're in the final stretch, the

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last couple of weeks, props start to come in. In

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the playoffs, we always end up seeing a lot of

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different props come in as well seeing the chat too. Okay,

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first of all, the Jeffrey Epstein daughter comments have to stop.

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I have addressed it multiple times. It's an old joke

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and too many people have made it. It's not even

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funny anymore. It's stupid. Sean Michael, the Ravens are going

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to the super Bowl, not me. I actually made a

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video saying that the Ravens missing the playoffs would be

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the best thing to happen to them. Now, if the

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Ravens end up potentially because the Ravens need the Stealers

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lose today, would it be fun to have the Ravens

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in a meaningful game next week. Absolutely, but they still

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need the Stealers to lose for them to be in it. Yann,

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are you ready for us?

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Speaker 3: Yeah?

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Speaker 2: I'm ready for you. Thank you, thank you. All Right,

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here's three that I sent out to subscribers. Here's three

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of them. Okay, Trey McBride over seven and a half receptions. Yep,

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good to minus one thirty Aaron Rodgers longest completion under

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thirty one and a half under thirty and a half.

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So we bet that one twice Aaron Rodgers' longest completion

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under And this last one I was just sending out

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right now, Dylan Sampson over two and a half minus

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up to good up the minus one fifty over two

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and a half reception. Now there's two more that I

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haven't sent to subscribers. I did move it for these groups,

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but I only send the props to subscribers that I

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get multiple confirmations on. Otherwise, a lot of times they're

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middle attempts their scalps and it's Tyler so passing yards

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over to twenty one and a half they laid minus

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one twenty and then Chris olaive receptions over five and

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a half they laid minus one ten, so over five

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and a half receptions and then over to twenty one

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and a half passing yards. That's some sharp props that

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came in right now as we're we're doing this.

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Speaker 1: I love I love Aaron Rodgers unders today, and not

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because I'm a Ravens fan, it's just what the numbers say.

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Trey McBride is getting a defense in Cincinnati that is absolutely,

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absolutely horrible against tight ends this year, so he's definitely

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a volume monster for this slate. Yanni, I know that

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you've got the free steam room coming up at new

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and Eastern time today, which is super exciting for anyone

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that misses any games on the slate here on the show,

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So make sure to go check in bet with a

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steam Room brought to you by wager Talk neon Eastern time.

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It is free today and usually you would have to

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pay for that, so really good to know. Cleveland Browns

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and Steelers, we might as well start there. We're talking

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Aaron Rodgers unders the Browns. Their defense is still dealing.

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It's a question of Ken Shador Sanders get the job done.

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That line moved from five and a half to three

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throughout the week. Have we missed the boat? Is it

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the Steelers?

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Speaker 2: Now?

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Speaker 1: We still have the key number three? How do you

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see that game with the Browns and the Steelers?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, listen, you would have liked to get

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down earlier, but you're we're gonna get that chance again

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because the Steelers are getting steamed this morning. That much.

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I can tell you. I received the buy order on

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the Steelers. I know other guys are getting buy orders

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on the Steelers as well. I know all the talk

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was the sharp side was Cleveland, and it was earlier

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in the week, but they came back really strong on

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the Steelers off screen about fifteen minutes ago, and I'm

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pretty sure it's gonna appear on screen within the next

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thirty minutes. That's always how it works, and you're gonna

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get a lot of that over these next two weeks.

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This is that time of the year where if you're

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trying to read line moves to draw conclusions, if you

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don't have definitive sources to confirm, you're guessing, and that's

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a bad position to be in. You're better off being

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extremely selective and just waiting for the playoffs because there's

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a lot of manipulation going on, because these lines are

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going to move significantly, and like I said, there's gonna

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be a lot of moves early that then you see

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take back later like the Steeler. Today, we're laying three

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off screen all morning. I didn't use that with subscribers because,

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like I said, I bet both signs of his game.

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I bet Cleveland earlier in the week for a group,

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and then today they three four five exit off off

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screen first, and I'm pretty sure it's showing up on

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screen if you pull up your lot there it is. Yeah,

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Pittsburgh's up the four four and a half, Yeah exact.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I'm waiting for that thing to bounce back

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because it just seemed I mean, I know that there

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was a lot of that line moved from five and

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a half to three even before we saw the DK,

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even sorry, even after the DK Metcalf, after the TJ.

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Watt news, that line was moving in favor of Cleveland.

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So no surprise to see the Sharps bouncing back that

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line to four.

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Speaker 2: Four Cleveland's There's only two teams that are below Cleveland

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on my power ratings, and that's the Jets in Vegas. So,

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I mean, other than fading the public, what was the

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argument the bet? Really Cleveland? Pittsburgh's not motivated playing for

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like those are the arguments you're making.

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Speaker 1: But they are motivated because they don't want to have

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to play next week. If the Steelers win today, they

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don't need to play next week. They eliminate the Ravens.

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But if they lose, then the game against the Ravens

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is meaningful and whoever wins that game would end up

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moving on and the loser goes home. So it is

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a huge game for the Steelers. The Browns could just

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you know, have that incentive to bring down the Steelers,

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Like that's really it.

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Speaker 2: So guys are making their their girlfriends or wives or

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booking flights the Bahamas already. You think they care about

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ruining the Steelers this season. That's what they're focused on

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right now. If that's your motivation to play football, Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Well, as a Ravens fan, I guess I should

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hope that the Ravens can root for the Browns today.

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But gosh, you know what's gonna happen. Chris Boswell is

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gonna kick a sixty plus yarder and the game is

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gonna land like three three and a half, Like it'll

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land right there on the line between two and four.

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It's gonna be a close game. That's just how these

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games play out. You mentioned in the Vegas Raiders Johnny

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Vegas Giants a very ugly game. Someone in the chat

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was asking about it, who do you like?

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Speaker 2: Let me see what I have the latest info on

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this game, like it's one you see me going back

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and forth like stuttering, because it's that kind of game,

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Like I feel like if I'm guessing, if I feel that,

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I shouldn't be laying eleven the win ten. That's the

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bottom line. And if you feel like that today, you

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should be passing or betting for entertainment. And and with

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this game, that's the problem right now. There's one side.

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It's Vegas or pass because you could have got Giants

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as a dog when the line opened, and then you

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could have got them at minus one, minus two, minus

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two and a half minus three. So it's like what

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were you waiting for up until today? So you can't

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bet the Giants. That's negative ev even if they go

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out there and win by thirty points, it's just the

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bad habit to bet that late. So the only choice

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is to bet the Raiders. But what's attractive about the Raiders.

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They are the worst team in all of the NFL.

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So again, the Giants are only a couple positions above it.

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But at least with the Giants, like I have a

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little more confidence in them. Yeah, these are games that

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I'm passing on. Like again, I bet for I use

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sports betting as an investment vehicle. I don't do it

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for fun. I don't I don't like I don't really

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watch the games. I don't like root in teams or players.

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So for me, it's all about do I find an

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inefficient line and I just don't see it. I don't

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see it in the Giants Vegas game, And uh yeah,

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some of these games are just ugly. Again, I don't

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mean to uh discourage the viewers, but this is uh

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at wager talk. We're here to try to steer you

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to do sharp and uh plus TV kind of sports

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betting approach and not just for entertainment and free picks.

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And unfortunately on games like that, they're just ugly. Like

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I said, it's Vegas or pass, and for me, it's

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a pass.

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Speaker 1: A game that's not that ugly. Two good teams actually

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going head to head. Eagles Bills. This one's in the

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four pm Eastern Timeslate. This line's bounced around a bit.

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I've seen it go bills minus two and a half,

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bills minus one and a half. Now it's back to

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minus two and a half. Total forty four and a half.

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It is cold here in New York and Manhattan. I

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can't imagine how freaking cold it is in Buffalo. What

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do you see here?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, we bet the under. We bet that under at

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forty four. You're starting to get over money from the

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betting public. That's why it's not really reflected in the market.

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But rest ashore, the under did get steamed, and I

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think it's because mostly you're looking at overreaction. You have

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the Buffalo number one offense, You're usually going to get

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an inflated price there. I think you have Philly coming

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off high scoring games. They put up thirty one and

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twenty nine, you know, back to back games, but the

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defense has showed up. That's why I do like the

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game under. I was leaning in Philadelphia because I did

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think this was power rated wise. This was very close.

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Like I would make Buffalo maybe a half point favorite,

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not even to pick them with Philadelphia on the neutral.

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So maybe give Buffalo two points for home field advantage

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and now being able to get three at even money

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on Philly. That looks like the side. But the Buffalo

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action has been short and I always try to respect

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that a little bit. So I haven't bet decide at all,

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but I like Philadelphia power rated wise. That makes sense

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to me, but I like the under a lot more.

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I just don't like that the lines up the forty

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five in some of the books that you know, I respect.

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I would have liked to see that total show around

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forty three and a half right now, But you know,

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I already placed the bets. So we'll see what happens.

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Speaker 1: A game that really matters for that Bills team. It's

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the Patriots because the Bills. If both teams if somehow

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the Patriots, I think the whole playoff implication is that

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next week would matter if both win today. I think

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that's how it is. But if the Bills lose to

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the Eagles, then the Patriots could win the division out

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like are done and they win the division. So I

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think both have to win today in order for next

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week to matter for the division. But we've got a

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double digit favorite, the Pats on the road, laying thirteen

246
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and a half at the Jets. Obviously, the Jets nothing

247
00:12:42,399 --> 00:12:45,000
to play for for weeks now. Can they cover a

248
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double digit spread?

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Speaker 3: Yeah?

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Speaker 2: And New England's owned the Jets in this series. I

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mean the Jets covered earlier and I think they've covered

252
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three of their last four. But you go you know,

253
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zoom out a little bit and you'll see New England's

254
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dominated that series. But I think this line's a little

255
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bit too high. What we're looking at now, like power

256
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rated wise, it's not going to come out to that

257
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where New England should be a two touchdown favor on

258
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the road against the Jets. But New England just continues

259
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to win football games. That's the bottom line. You know,

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on paper, they don't really get too much respect from

261
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you know, the wise guys because power rated wise, they're

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barely a top fifteen team because they had such an

263
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easy strength of schedule, and yet statistically they're barely top

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fifteen offense, barely top fifteen defense efficiency wise, and I

265
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just think this way too many points. I get it,

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Jets are the bottom at the bottom. The only team

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below the Jets are Vegas on my power ratings. But

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the spread becomes the great equalizer. I say that all

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the time, but it really does. And when you're talking

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about you know, upwards of two touchdowns at home, for me,

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it's a dog or pass situation. I'm hoping to get fourteen.

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That's the key. Can I get fourteen? Now? It's sitting

273
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at thirteen and a half, and I don't want to

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pay juice to get fourteen on the Jets. That to

275
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me sounds crazy. So hopefully I get a fourteen and

276
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I'll take it. Otherwise, it's a stay away from me, a.

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Speaker 1: Team that also has nothing to play for facing a

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team that has a lot to play for. It's that

279
00:14:17,360 --> 00:14:20,120
Jags Colts game. And even though the Colts got eliminated

280
00:14:20,200 --> 00:14:23,000
yesterday the Jags, they're on the road laying four and

281
00:14:23,039 --> 00:14:25,440
a half. I also saw that line move against the

282
00:14:25,519 --> 00:14:29,480
Jaguars throughout the week. Old Man Philip Rivers is final

283
00:14:29,519 --> 00:14:32,559
swan song. Maybe in the next couple of weeks, maybe

284
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there's a team that wants to play for them. But

285
00:14:34,919 --> 00:14:37,360
how do you handicap games like this where you've got

286
00:14:37,360 --> 00:14:39,480
a team playing for a lot versus a team playing for.

287
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Speaker 2: Nothing or nothing? Yeah, that does become difficult. And more importantly,

288
00:14:43,559 --> 00:14:46,320
look at the line. It's moving in.

289
00:14:46,320 --> 00:14:49,720
Speaker 1: Favor of the Colts, even though they lined exactly.

290
00:14:50,320 --> 00:14:52,559
Speaker 2: But the key is the Colts have played really good

291
00:14:52,600 --> 00:14:56,159
at home. If you look at them, the split is significant.

292
00:14:56,200 --> 00:14:58,039
I mean there are two and five team on the road,

293
00:14:58,039 --> 00:15:00,320
there are six and two team at home. So you

294
00:15:00,399 --> 00:15:02,559
got to, you know, give them the nod for a

295
00:15:02,600 --> 00:15:07,120
home field advantage in this spot, and even though they

296
00:15:07,159 --> 00:15:10,919
haven't won football games, like this is a divisional game

297
00:15:11,000 --> 00:15:15,600
with Jacksonville, you expect them to, you know, maybe show up.

298
00:15:15,759 --> 00:15:18,639
They got blown out by them earlier in the year, right,

299
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just a couple of weeks ago, what thirty six to nineteen,

300
00:15:21,759 --> 00:15:25,759
So there is a little bit of revenge there. But

301
00:15:25,960 --> 00:15:32,600
it's another spot where it's tough to argue betting Indianapolis. Like,

302
00:15:32,840 --> 00:15:38,159
if a team like this finds themselves behind, where's the motivation.

303
00:15:39,120 --> 00:15:40,080
Speaker 3: For that back door?

304
00:15:40,360 --> 00:15:43,320
Speaker 2: That's the problem I have with betting some teams like

305
00:15:43,399 --> 00:15:46,879
them that are eliminated that yeah, they're at home, the

306
00:15:46,919 --> 00:15:50,799
split looks good, that's where they've played better power rated wise,

307
00:15:51,600 --> 00:15:54,519
it doesn't really make sense. But are they you know,

308
00:15:54,559 --> 00:15:57,320
going to try to play spoiler? Those are a lot

309
00:15:57,360 --> 00:15:59,600
of factors that are so difficult to quantify.

310
00:15:59,679 --> 00:16:00,159
Speaker 4: Areas well.

311
00:16:01,039 --> 00:16:04,240
Speaker 2: I rather pass. I don't mean to be boring, but

312
00:16:04,320 --> 00:16:07,600
again I do this for money, and I think anyone

313
00:16:07,639 --> 00:16:10,720
out there should look to protect their cash. There's a

314
00:16:10,799 --> 00:16:14,480
lot of betting opportunities coming up. There's these bowl games,

315
00:16:14,679 --> 00:16:18,879
the playoffs in college football, the NFL playoffs around the corner.

316
00:16:18,960 --> 00:16:22,639
There's college basketball, there's NBA, there's NHL. Like, there's so

317
00:16:22,919 --> 00:16:30,039
many opportunities for you to find value, you can't force it.

318
00:16:30,320 --> 00:16:33,080
And I think that's what we're doing in the last

319
00:16:33,080 --> 00:16:36,519
two weeks of the NFL. Yes, there's spots to make money,

320
00:16:36,799 --> 00:16:40,159
and the line moves reflect that. Anytime you see line

321
00:16:40,200 --> 00:16:43,600
moves two, three, four, five points in the NFL, that's

322
00:16:43,600 --> 00:16:46,200
a money making opportunity because that tells you the market's

323
00:16:46,279 --> 00:16:50,279
not very efficient right now. But with that said, most

324
00:16:50,399 --> 00:16:52,799
recreational betters are not able to get out ahead of

325
00:16:52,840 --> 00:16:56,080
this information. Let's just keep it real. They're not doing that.

326
00:16:56,120 --> 00:16:59,559
They're betting it late after the market's already factored in,

327
00:17:00,159 --> 00:17:03,799
priced in all the news. And that's the difficulty. And

328
00:17:03,840 --> 00:17:07,599
if that's where you stand today, bro let it go. Relax.

329
00:17:07,720 --> 00:17:12,119
There's better places to get your money down. Bet the

330
00:17:12,119 --> 00:17:15,200
positions you like, Like I have two positions already, probably

331
00:17:15,200 --> 00:17:18,519
gonna have three or four more between now and kickoff.

332
00:17:18,839 --> 00:17:23,160
But I'm in no rush to, you know, lose profit

333
00:17:23,519 --> 00:17:26,079
that we've worked so hard to gain in the NFL

334
00:17:26,119 --> 00:17:29,599
regular season and in college football. So for me, it's

335
00:17:29,640 --> 00:17:33,279
it's take my time and find those good spots, but

336
00:17:33,319 --> 00:17:36,119
I'm not forcing anything today.

337
00:17:37,079 --> 00:17:39,319
Speaker 1: Someone in the chat mentioned the Seattle Seahawks game, and

338
00:17:39,319 --> 00:17:41,799
it's crazy that they're on the road in Carolina laying

339
00:17:41,799 --> 00:17:44,480
a touchdown. Carolina needs to win in order to have

340
00:17:44,519 --> 00:17:46,519
a shot to get in the playoffs, win the division.

341
00:17:47,839 --> 00:17:50,559
So I'm curious your thoughts on Seattle laying that hefty

342
00:17:50,640 --> 00:17:53,160
number of seven, and Mike and Molly two forty eight

343
00:17:53,480 --> 00:17:55,720
has a thought on the under for that team for

344
00:17:55,759 --> 00:17:56,160
the total.

345
00:17:56,720 --> 00:18:00,839
Speaker 2: I like the under. I lean under as well. I

346
00:18:00,880 --> 00:18:04,799
think that's a good bet, especially at forty three. There's

347
00:18:04,799 --> 00:18:08,000
some forty three's out there. I like Seattle. I don't

348
00:18:08,000 --> 00:18:11,400
think this line's high enough. Based on my power ratings,

349
00:18:11,480 --> 00:18:14,559
Seattle should be higher than a seven point favorite. And

350
00:18:14,599 --> 00:18:17,880
I'm actually working on that side, trying to confirm it

351
00:18:17,920 --> 00:18:19,960
for a premium play. And if you're in the steam room,

352
00:18:20,000 --> 00:18:22,920
you'll know if we're going to fire, because again, the

353
00:18:23,000 --> 00:18:26,759
must win situation's got to remember. Yes, you're motivated to win,

354
00:18:26,880 --> 00:18:28,880
but there's a reason you're in a must win spot.

355
00:18:29,440 --> 00:18:31,839
More times than not, it's because you must not be

356
00:18:31,920 --> 00:18:35,440
all that good. Like teams that have already clinched, they're

357
00:18:35,480 --> 00:18:38,000
the elite. They're not in this position. We know who

358
00:18:38,039 --> 00:18:41,039
they are. But if you're scrambling the last week because

359
00:18:41,079 --> 00:18:44,400
you have to win, then there's some problems on that team.

360
00:18:44,680 --> 00:18:48,880
And then you add the pressure of having to win.

361
00:18:49,279 --> 00:18:51,599
That's a lot on their plate. Where the other team

362
00:18:51,599 --> 00:18:54,039
it's a free roll. More or less, you're free rolling.

363
00:18:54,480 --> 00:18:57,200
And I think a loose twelve to three Seattle team,

364
00:18:57,400 --> 00:19:00,599
which is so much better on paper and played so

365
00:19:00,799 --> 00:19:03,839
well on the road as well this year, what's the

366
00:19:03,920 --> 00:19:07,160
fade with Seattle. I'm only mad that this isn't seven

367
00:19:07,160 --> 00:19:09,559
and a half, so I could tease them fifty seven

368
00:19:09,599 --> 00:19:13,519
different ways. That's what I'm hoping for, that this goes

369
00:19:13,519 --> 00:19:16,240
to seven and a half and that they get steamed

370
00:19:16,279 --> 00:19:18,920
and that happens. Probably not going to happen because the

371
00:19:18,920 --> 00:19:22,160
public's coming in on Carolina. But if this gets the

372
00:19:22,200 --> 00:19:23,920
six and a half, and I'm already seeing six and

373
00:19:23,960 --> 00:19:26,960
a half at the Square shops, I'm taking Seattle. I

374
00:19:27,079 --> 00:19:28,440
like the Seahawks.

375
00:19:28,799 --> 00:19:31,039
Speaker 1: We've got about a minute left, so I guess what

376
00:19:31,079 --> 00:19:36,000
are you seeing? Real quick? Just for sharp sides, totals

377
00:19:36,480 --> 00:19:38,039
and sides that we haven't seen.

378
00:19:38,240 --> 00:19:40,960
Speaker 2: All right, A couple of this sharp plays earlier and

379
00:19:41,039 --> 00:19:45,079
throughout this week was I told you Seattle Carolina under

380
00:19:45,119 --> 00:19:48,240
at forty three four point fifteen, New York Giants plus

381
00:19:48,240 --> 00:19:51,559
one to minus one. They flipped that favorite Cleveland earlier

382
00:19:51,720 --> 00:19:55,319
in the week, but Pittsburgh today and under thirty four

383
00:19:55,480 --> 00:19:59,240
and a half double sided New Orleans minus one, Tennessee

384
00:19:59,279 --> 00:20:02,160
plus three. I talked about that earlier. This is gonna

385
00:20:02,160 --> 00:20:04,839
happen a lot over these two weeks, so be careful.

386
00:20:04,920 --> 00:20:08,799
You're gonna hear sharp sides on both sides. In the

387
00:20:09,039 --> 00:20:11,079
under forty seven and a half and forty six and

388
00:20:11,119 --> 00:20:15,240
a half Jacksonville, Indianapolis over New England minus nine and

389
00:20:15,279 --> 00:20:17,880
a half, and the opener, excuse me, an eleven and

390
00:20:17,920 --> 00:20:20,799
a half Philadelphia at plus three. But that looks like

391
00:20:20,839 --> 00:20:24,640
Buffalo came back and under forty five, and then Chicago

392
00:20:24,759 --> 00:20:27,440
and San Francisco the over. But I don't know if

393
00:20:27,440 --> 00:20:29,160
that was getting out ahead of the public, because we're

394
00:20:29,160 --> 00:20:32,559
seeing some under money come back today. So that's pretty

395
00:20:32,640 --> 00:20:34,440
much some of the sharper moves. Join me in the

396
00:20:34,519 --> 00:20:37,680
steam room. And of course, the premium package is up

397
00:20:38,160 --> 00:20:40,400
only four percent. Number one in the NFL in the

398
00:20:40,400 --> 00:20:43,240
regular season in profit, Number one on four and five

399
00:20:43,279 --> 00:20:47,240
percent in the NFL, number one in college football profit.

400
00:20:47,880 --> 00:20:49,599
And wait till you see what's gonna happen in twenty

401
00:20:49,640 --> 00:20:52,519
twenty six. Huge year, jump on board. Join me in

402
00:20:52,519 --> 00:20:55,039
the steam room in about forty minutes. We're gonna do

403
00:20:55,079 --> 00:20:55,920
some damage.

404
00:20:56,200 --> 00:20:58,119
Speaker 1: Love to hear a free steam room today with the

405
00:20:58,160 --> 00:21:00,480
on of the Greek Catch and my Greek underscore Gambler,

406
00:21:00,519 --> 00:21:02,480
and he'll be in the stame room on wager Talk

407
00:21:02,720 --> 00:21:06,119
platforms at noon Eastern. Yanni, good luck today. We'll see

408
00:21:06,160 --> 00:21:09,599
it going on the show now and before I bring

409
00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:11,720
on our next guest. You were saying this in the

410
00:21:11,799 --> 00:21:14,240
chat that there wouldn't be a last call again before

411
00:21:14,240 --> 00:21:17,319
the college football playoff. I just spoke to Kelly in Vegas.

412
00:21:17,400 --> 00:21:19,880
There will be one. That's why I did not address it.

413
00:21:20,319 --> 00:21:22,720
Kelly said there will be a last call right before

414
00:21:22,759 --> 00:21:25,079
the college football playoffs, so don't worry. She'll let you

415
00:21:25,119 --> 00:21:27,160
know when that is coming up. I don't know if

416
00:21:27,200 --> 00:21:30,119
it's Wednesday or Thursday, but I will make sure she

417
00:21:30,240 --> 00:21:32,119
lets you guys know. But you will get some action

418
00:21:32,519 --> 00:21:35,079
here on wager Talk's last Call before the college football

419
00:21:35,119 --> 00:21:38,079
playoff coming up on New Year's Eve and New Year's

420
00:21:38,200 --> 00:21:41,519
Day bringing on John Murray, who I know definitely is

421
00:21:41,519 --> 00:21:44,119
a New Year's guy like you definitely love New Year's Eve.

422
00:21:44,160 --> 00:21:46,160
You definitely seem like the guy that loves to sit

423
00:21:46,200 --> 00:21:50,319
in the room with all your favorite people kids at midnight,

424
00:21:51,359 --> 00:21:53,519
Happy New Year. That sounds like you.

425
00:21:54,680 --> 00:21:57,559
Speaker 5: New Year's Eve is kind of like Saint Patrick's Day.

426
00:21:57,559 --> 00:21:59,319
It's kind of an amateur night, isn't it.

427
00:21:59,359 --> 00:22:00,720
Speaker 2: Oh, you know what I mean?

428
00:22:00,799 --> 00:22:02,720
Speaker 5: I think so. I think it's like a lot of

429
00:22:03,240 --> 00:22:04,480
people that don't know what they're doing.

430
00:22:05,599 --> 00:22:08,960
Speaker 1: I had the best time, my favorite Saint Patrick's Day

431
00:22:09,000 --> 00:22:12,240
moment ever. I was in Vegas and it was the

432
00:22:12,279 --> 00:22:16,599
first time that I watched somebody get taken out of

433
00:22:16,599 --> 00:22:19,960
a casino by two cops, one on each or security

434
00:22:20,000 --> 00:22:22,079
whatever it was, one on each arm of this guy.

435
00:22:22,400 --> 00:22:25,160
He couldn't even stand up. He was in his green

436
00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:28,559
for Saint Patrick's Day. It was March madness, and he

437
00:22:28,640 --> 00:22:32,160
got dragged on his knees out. He couldn't even stand.

438
00:22:32,200 --> 00:22:34,559
He was sleeping on his knees like out of a movie,

439
00:22:34,599 --> 00:22:36,440
getting dragged by his shoulders out.

440
00:22:36,640 --> 00:22:39,440
Speaker 5: So it wasn't like in the movie Casino where they

441
00:22:39,480 --> 00:22:41,319
take him out and they use his head to open

442
00:22:41,359 --> 00:22:41,759
the door.

443
00:22:42,440 --> 00:22:44,559
Speaker 1: They might have used his head to open the door,

444
00:22:44,640 --> 00:22:47,440
but I didn't see them leave. I just saw them

445
00:22:47,640 --> 00:22:48,640
exit the casino.

446
00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:50,039
Speaker 3: Got it.

447
00:22:50,039 --> 00:22:52,960
Speaker 1: It was pretty cool sight. And that's an amateur for sure.

448
00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:55,440
Speaker 3: Were you was this the guy that you were with?

449
00:22:55,960 --> 00:22:57,799
Or was this just a random I don't know or

450
00:22:58,079 --> 00:22:59,400
a random that.

451
00:22:59,519 --> 00:23:04,799
Speaker 1: Was sober day? We love you, Kelly and Brett Okay,

452
00:23:05,200 --> 00:23:07,680
Needs of the Day. It's a weird week because we're

453
00:23:07,720 --> 00:23:09,759
at the point of the season where we've got teams

454
00:23:09,759 --> 00:23:12,960
that care and teams that don't. What does the Westgates

455
00:23:13,039 --> 00:23:15,400
Superbook need today, John.

456
00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:21,559
Speaker 5: Murray, we need we need Miami their homes. Oh yeah,

457
00:23:21,799 --> 00:23:23,359
they have a very good team this season.

458
00:23:23,440 --> 00:23:27,000
Speaker 3: We need Miami. We need stop me. If you've heard

459
00:23:27,039 --> 00:23:29,599
me say this before every week we've done the show together.

460
00:23:29,759 --> 00:23:32,079
Speaker 1: We need Vegas or do you need New Orleans?

461
00:23:32,319 --> 00:23:35,160
Speaker 3: We need the Raiders, the Raiders, We need the Raiders.

462
00:23:35,519 --> 00:23:40,839
Speaker 5: Yet again, they're at home against your Giants.

463
00:23:39,000 --> 00:23:43,759
Speaker 1: Or giants I would winners, but I don't that they

464
00:23:43,799 --> 00:23:44,599
won last night.

465
00:23:45,720 --> 00:23:48,559
Speaker 3: I feel like I feel like your social media this week.

466
00:23:48,599 --> 00:23:51,240
Speaker 5: I want to I wanted to talk to you about

467
00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:53,279
this and I'm glad I picked this for him to

468
00:23:53,319 --> 00:23:55,240
do it instead of just texting you. I feel like

469
00:23:55,240 --> 00:23:57,319
your social media this week has been like a weird

470
00:23:57,400 --> 00:24:03,960
mix of like professional photos and videos ranting about the Ravens.

471
00:24:04,119 --> 00:24:05,799
Speaker 3: That's all I've seen from you all week.

472
00:24:06,200 --> 00:24:10,039
Speaker 5: We need we do need the Raiders against your Giants,

473
00:24:10,119 --> 00:24:14,200
and it looks like we're gonna need uh Philadelphia in

474
00:24:14,240 --> 00:24:15,440
the afternoon, and.

475
00:24:15,359 --> 00:24:18,160
Speaker 3: We need I'll tell you a weird one. We need

476
00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:21,920
the Steelers. So we took a lot of money on

477
00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:22,599
Cleveland that.

478
00:24:24,200 --> 00:24:25,839
Speaker 1: The line moved back to Ford.

479
00:24:26,640 --> 00:24:27,599
Speaker 3: That that's the thing.

480
00:24:27,680 --> 00:24:30,000
Speaker 5: We're actually in good shape because we took all these

481
00:24:30,000 --> 00:24:34,880
bets on Cleveland and plus three before the game last night.

482
00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:38,119
So all of our liability, or most of our liability,

483
00:24:38,119 --> 00:24:41,440
i'll say, is on Cleveland plus three and and to

484
00:24:41,480 --> 00:24:43,480
your point, right now, the game is four and a half.

485
00:24:43,640 --> 00:24:48,160
So in theory, we would be in a favorable physician

486
00:24:48,440 --> 00:24:50,519
in this game. And we'll see how it plays out.

487
00:24:51,640 --> 00:24:52,559
Speaker 1: What about totals?

488
00:24:53,759 --> 00:24:57,519
Speaker 5: Totals, we need the under in the Bengals Cardinals game.

489
00:24:57,599 --> 00:24:58,240
Speaker 3: That should be a.

490
00:24:58,160 --> 00:25:00,880
Speaker 1: Good one to play for there.

491
00:25:01,039 --> 00:25:02,119
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, it's a good game.

492
00:25:02,240 --> 00:25:05,279
Speaker 5: And it looks like we'll need not a surprise, we'll

493
00:25:05,319 --> 00:25:07,160
want the under in the Eagles Bills game.

494
00:25:08,000 --> 00:25:09,039
Speaker 3: That's the big big game.

495
00:25:09,279 --> 00:25:13,200
Speaker 1: It's kind of shocking because it's cold weather and I

496
00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:14,880
feel like a lot of people might be betting that

497
00:25:14,960 --> 00:25:18,359
under because they feel it's cold and it might snow

498
00:25:18,440 --> 00:25:19,359
and ritten.

499
00:25:19,839 --> 00:25:20,680
Speaker 3: Is that what they're saying?

500
00:25:21,400 --> 00:25:22,519
Speaker 1: Is that saying?

501
00:25:22,880 --> 00:25:25,599
Speaker 3: Is that how the customers talk? They use that voice,

502
00:25:25,759 --> 00:25:28,519
that inflection. Never heard that You're not.

503
00:25:28,440 --> 00:25:30,319
Speaker 1: Going to make fun of people, because I've gotten in

504
00:25:30,359 --> 00:25:31,480
trouble for making fun.

505
00:25:31,279 --> 00:25:33,079
Speaker 3: Of people with with who what? People?

506
00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:35,559
Speaker 1: I don't want to lose fans for the wager Talk crowd.

507
00:25:35,599 --> 00:25:38,240
Speaker 3: It's fine, No, no, I'm sure you're You must be

508
00:25:38,319 --> 00:25:40,000
very well liked by the fan base.

509
00:25:39,960 --> 00:25:44,160
Speaker 1: Most people, okay, yeah, most people. There are people in

510
00:25:44,200 --> 00:25:45,640
the chat that are mad at me still, but I'm

511
00:25:45,640 --> 00:25:46,440
going to win them back.

512
00:25:46,880 --> 00:25:47,039
Speaker 2: Well.

513
00:25:47,119 --> 00:25:51,519
Speaker 5: Kelly Kelly thrives on the people being mad at her

514
00:25:52,039 --> 00:25:55,200
like she welcomes it right, like I don't really people

515
00:25:55,640 --> 00:25:59,559
or the Bears people, because Kelly hates the Bears right,

516
00:25:59,759 --> 00:26:02,960
and she hates Texas Football.

517
00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:05,400
Speaker 1: Right, the Bears all season?

518
00:26:05,759 --> 00:26:06,960
Speaker 3: Oh how's that been going for?

519
00:26:09,519 --> 00:26:10,319
Speaker 1: You should ask her?

520
00:26:10,680 --> 00:26:11,640
Speaker 3: Oh, I will ask her.

521
00:26:11,680 --> 00:26:13,599
Speaker 5: Well, Kelly Kelly is one of those people that like

522
00:26:13,759 --> 00:26:16,960
she'll just she'll say this team's not that good, and

523
00:26:17,000 --> 00:26:18,519
then she'll just fade them every week.

524
00:26:18,559 --> 00:26:21,200
Speaker 3: And then, yes, eventually the Bears will probably lose a game.

525
00:26:21,279 --> 00:26:22,359
I recognize that.

526
00:26:22,759 --> 00:26:26,119
Speaker 5: And then in the playoffs, well maybe they will, but

527
00:26:26,240 --> 00:26:28,759
they they'll have already beat her like ten times by then.

528
00:26:28,920 --> 00:26:31,640
Speaker 3: So what was that she did?

529
00:26:31,799 --> 00:26:33,759
Speaker 5: She told me she teased them last week against Green

530
00:26:33,799 --> 00:26:36,160
Bay and they should They should have lost that game.

531
00:26:36,359 --> 00:26:38,000
Speaker 3: They should have lost the Green Bay but they didn't.

532
00:26:38,319 --> 00:26:42,160
Speaker 1: Right, which team has had success this season that you're

533
00:26:42,240 --> 00:26:44,880
expecting to be a one and done in the playoffs.

534
00:26:46,000 --> 00:26:48,160
Speaker 3: That's a good question. Is that your question or is

535
00:26:48,160 --> 00:26:48,920
that one of your people?

536
00:26:49,119 --> 00:26:49,839
Speaker 1: That's my question.

537
00:26:50,039 --> 00:26:50,759
Speaker 3: That's a good question.

538
00:26:50,880 --> 00:26:52,200
Speaker 1: That's that's why it's my question.

539
00:26:53,319 --> 00:26:55,279
Speaker 5: Let's see who's going to be a one and done

540
00:26:55,359 --> 00:26:57,200
in the playoffs. I mean, of course, it's just going

541
00:26:57,279 --> 00:27:01,279
to depend on who plays who the brackets, But I

542
00:27:01,519 --> 00:27:04,319
think to me, New England and Chicago are both more

543
00:27:04,359 --> 00:27:06,839
real than Denver. Is I just that's just how I

544
00:27:06,839 --> 00:27:10,119
feel about it. Denver seems to just barely scrape by

545
00:27:10,480 --> 00:27:13,680
so frequently, but it's all going to just come down

546
00:27:13,720 --> 00:27:16,319
to who plays who. You know, if Denver gets the

547
00:27:16,359 --> 00:27:18,440
right opponent in the first round and they're at home.

548
00:27:19,119 --> 00:27:21,039
I wouldn't be surprised at all if they won the game.

549
00:27:21,279 --> 00:27:22,920
Speaker 3: But I think I think.

550
00:27:22,920 --> 00:27:27,240
Speaker 1: Chicago, you believe in the past more so.

551
00:27:27,200 --> 00:27:30,480
Speaker 3: Than I do in Denver. Yeah, because I think I

552
00:27:30,480 --> 00:27:33,680
think Drake May is just really a special player. I

553
00:27:33,680 --> 00:27:39,799
think he's really good. What's that going to mean in

554
00:27:39,880 --> 00:27:41,480
his first playoff game?

555
00:27:41,839 --> 00:27:44,599
Speaker 5: I mean, we'll find that out, right, but I do

556
00:27:44,640 --> 00:27:46,480
think he's a He's a very good player.

557
00:27:46,640 --> 00:27:48,960
Speaker 1: I just want to warn you that Kelly is listening

558
00:27:49,000 --> 00:27:52,079
because she already wrote the needs in the leave the

559
00:27:52,160 --> 00:27:53,000
Canoli chat.

560
00:27:53,720 --> 00:27:56,599
Speaker 3: Doesn't she have anything to do? You know? Or is

561
00:27:56,640 --> 00:27:59,079
this what she's doing? Like she's producing this show, she's

562
00:27:59,119 --> 00:27:59,720
the boss.

563
00:28:00,119 --> 00:28:02,680
Speaker 5: Yeah, that's too che you know what. That was unfair

564
00:28:02,680 --> 00:28:06,000
of me, Kelly. I'm sorry, she's working. No, she's working

565
00:28:06,079 --> 00:28:06,359
right now.

566
00:28:06,400 --> 00:28:09,799
Speaker 1: I'm sorry. I can see Kelly in the background with

567
00:28:09,880 --> 00:28:13,000
the shocked look, wondering why this show is about her.

568
00:28:13,200 --> 00:28:17,119
Also non in an agreement. I think that's definitely disagreeing

569
00:28:17,160 --> 00:28:20,720
with us. The show is always so Badly insert herself

570
00:28:20,720 --> 00:28:24,480
into this video right now, probably and talk back.

571
00:28:25,079 --> 00:28:27,559
Speaker 5: I think the segment is kind of always about her

572
00:28:27,680 --> 00:28:30,640
and I I do. I do a show on Fridays

573
00:28:30,680 --> 00:28:33,440
with one of your Wager Talk colleagues, Marco D'Angelo, and

574
00:28:33,559 --> 00:28:36,640
ye that that that, Yeah, he's a very very good guy.

575
00:28:36,680 --> 00:28:39,480
And that segment usually becomes about Kelly because Marco and

576
00:28:39,559 --> 00:28:43,720
Kelly are good friends, so that that usually devolves into

577
00:28:43,720 --> 00:28:44,240
that as well.

578
00:28:44,599 --> 00:28:47,119
Speaker 3: So I get it. But I think we ran through.

579
00:28:47,240 --> 00:28:49,480
We ran through probably the critical needs here. We do.

580
00:28:51,240 --> 00:28:53,640
I think we'll probably I mean, I know we're gonna

581
00:28:53,640 --> 00:28:54,759
need Atlanta tomorrow night.

582
00:28:55,119 --> 00:28:57,000
Speaker 5: Okay, right, so I land out right now is seven

583
00:28:57,000 --> 00:28:59,519
and a half point Monday night football. They are at

584
00:28:59,519 --> 00:29:03,559
home again the Rams. How much will we need Atlanta

585
00:29:04,039 --> 00:29:06,359
will depend a lot on what happens today. You know,

586
00:29:06,400 --> 00:29:09,920
we're gonna see a lot of parlays, parlay teasers. Excuse me,

587
00:29:10,319 --> 00:29:14,240
how many of them will survive today's morning games and

588
00:29:14,319 --> 00:29:17,039
make it to tomorrow. Well, I don't know that yet, folks,

589
00:29:17,119 --> 00:29:21,480
but if all the favorites win this morning, then we'll

590
00:29:21,599 --> 00:29:22,920
we'll need Atlanta probably pretty big.

591
00:29:22,920 --> 00:29:23,319
Speaker 2: To the more.

592
00:29:24,160 --> 00:29:26,720
Speaker 1: I know, props aren't really as big out there, But

593
00:29:26,799 --> 00:29:28,440
are there any props that will send out to you?

594
00:29:29,240 --> 00:29:29,400
Speaker 3: Oh?

595
00:29:29,519 --> 00:29:32,720
Speaker 5: Let's see here, let me see that they get bigger

596
00:29:32,839 --> 00:29:36,720
as the season goes on, and then you you don't

597
00:29:36,759 --> 00:29:41,279
want you don't want to see all these high profile

598
00:29:41,319 --> 00:29:44,119
players score touchdown. That's what really will hurt you is

599
00:29:44,160 --> 00:29:46,799
if you get like, because people love to parlay together

600
00:29:46,920 --> 00:29:48,440
all the players to score a touchdown.

601
00:29:48,759 --> 00:29:49,640
Speaker 1: Yeah they love that.

602
00:29:49,920 --> 00:29:51,720
Speaker 3: Oh they love it. So we don't not.

603
00:29:51,759 --> 00:29:56,039
Speaker 1: An any time touchdown person except next week. I will

604
00:29:56,079 --> 00:29:59,680
be betting Hollywood Brown next week against those Raiders to

605
00:29:59,680 --> 00:30:01,200
score touchdown for seven hundred?

606
00:30:01,319 --> 00:30:03,640
Speaker 3: Okay, who was the oh is that right?

607
00:30:03,720 --> 00:30:03,839
Speaker 1: Oh?

608
00:30:04,480 --> 00:30:07,039
Speaker 3: Who was the player that said he needed.

609
00:30:06,799 --> 00:30:09,240
Speaker 5: And wanted to score a touchdown today? Wasn't that Jamar Chase?

610
00:30:10,119 --> 00:30:12,359
I think I saw a quote like Jamar Chase's, like

611
00:30:12,559 --> 00:30:14,920
the only thing he cares about today is scoring a touchdown.

612
00:30:15,599 --> 00:30:19,440
Speaker 1: So I didn't say that it wasn't incentive list.

613
00:30:19,960 --> 00:30:22,559
Speaker 3: Uh, I don't know. I don't think it was financial.

614
00:30:22,839 --> 00:30:25,440
Speaker 1: I don't want one that he doesn't have to play

615
00:30:25,480 --> 00:30:26,960
next week, I think so.

616
00:30:27,519 --> 00:30:29,920
Speaker 3: Yeah. Probably. Uh.

617
00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:32,319
Speaker 5: It's tough for me because I don't play fantasy football anymore.

618
00:30:32,359 --> 00:30:33,960
So I've never heard of any of these players. But

619
00:30:34,000 --> 00:30:40,599
I'll do my best here. They bet a scheme, ay, okay, Yeah.

620
00:30:40,880 --> 00:30:42,599
Speaker 1: Running back exactly from my hometown.

621
00:30:43,039 --> 00:30:44,880
Speaker 5: Oh really, Well, you know I stopped playing I stopped

622
00:30:44,880 --> 00:30:47,519
playing fantasy football, so I don't know any of the

623
00:30:47,519 --> 00:30:48,119
play He's.

624
00:30:48,000 --> 00:30:50,279
Speaker 1: Also not really like a first string so it kind

625
00:30:50,279 --> 00:30:51,920
of makes sense. But did they bet him over running?

626
00:30:52,480 --> 00:30:54,240
Speaker 5: Yeah, they bet him over twenty seven and a half

627
00:30:54,359 --> 00:30:57,440
and they bet uh Buka. I don't I don't know

628
00:30:57,480 --> 00:30:59,079
how to pronounce his name, but I do remember him

629
00:30:59,079 --> 00:31:03,960
from the Buccaneers. You awesome, awesome at Ohio State, they

630
00:31:04,039 --> 00:31:07,319
bet him under thirty six and a half receiving yards.

631
00:31:08,000 --> 00:31:10,720
I'd say those with like the two big ones right

632
00:31:10,759 --> 00:31:12,839
now we got we got a decent amount of.

633
00:31:12,759 --> 00:31:13,559
Speaker 3: Time to go, though.

634
00:31:14,720 --> 00:31:16,880
Speaker 1: I love it, John Murray, who do you don't want

635
00:31:16,920 --> 00:31:18,079
to see win the Super Bowl?

636
00:31:18,920 --> 00:31:20,799
Speaker 5: Who do I not want to see you win Super Bowl?

637
00:31:21,920 --> 00:31:25,640
I know, I know we do really poorly on the EXACTA.

638
00:31:25,720 --> 00:31:27,920
If it's Rams and Bills.

639
00:31:27,799 --> 00:31:29,680
Speaker 3: Like the Super Bowl EXACTA.

640
00:31:29,920 --> 00:31:33,480
Speaker 5: If it's Rams and Bills, the guy who did it

641
00:31:33,559 --> 00:31:36,200
before the season, he quit and he got another job

642
00:31:36,440 --> 00:31:39,680
in season. I would have to rehire him and then

643
00:31:39,759 --> 00:31:45,319
fire him ceremonially. If the Rams beat the Bills, I'd

644
00:31:45,359 --> 00:31:47,160
have to bring him back to work just a fire

645
00:31:47,680 --> 00:31:48,880
in a big display.

646
00:31:49,000 --> 00:31:52,599
Speaker 3: That's how bad that would be. I think we're we're

647
00:31:52,599 --> 00:31:54,559
in pretty good shape in the super Bowl futures, and

648
00:31:54,599 --> 00:31:56,720
the college football futures are a little bit more of

649
00:31:56,720 --> 00:31:57,559
a focus for US.

650
00:31:57,599 --> 00:32:00,640
Speaker 5: We don't want Miami to win the national championship. That

651
00:32:00,720 --> 00:32:04,759
means very bad for US. And and Texas Tech. Texas

652
00:32:04,799 --> 00:32:09,480
Tech was a very popular team preseason and uh, hey,

653
00:32:09,880 --> 00:32:13,200
hold on, I got my dog right here, Texas. Yeah, Mario,

654
00:32:13,279 --> 00:32:16,319
so everybody come here, Come here, he's chewing on a box.

655
00:32:16,559 --> 00:32:18,519
Speaker 1: That's what they wanted to know. David Banks said, can

656
00:32:18,519 --> 00:32:20,880
we get the heart hitting questions? Is Mario in the office?

657
00:32:21,160 --> 00:32:23,039
Speaker 3: Oh, hold on a second, let me grab here. Here.

658
00:32:23,759 --> 00:32:26,559
Speaker 1: My dog's sleeping. Marley's asleep because she has to take

659
00:32:26,599 --> 00:32:29,440
anti nausea meds to come back in the car. And

660
00:32:29,480 --> 00:32:33,559
we had to drag that from the suburbs. Hi, I'm Mario, Mario.

661
00:32:34,039 --> 00:32:36,680
Speaker 5: Mario got a new Liverpool sweater for Christmas, so he's

662
00:32:36,720 --> 00:32:37,359
all decked out.

663
00:32:37,359 --> 00:32:39,319
Speaker 3: It's a little cold here. Uh yeah.

664
00:32:39,400 --> 00:32:42,319
Speaker 5: But Texas Tech was like one hundred and one pre season,

665
00:32:43,039 --> 00:32:45,240
and and they they took a fair bit of money.

666
00:32:45,640 --> 00:32:48,160
We're in very good shape on Georgia very good shape

667
00:32:48,160 --> 00:32:50,440
on Ohio State. We lose a little bit on India,

668
00:32:51,160 --> 00:32:52,880
but I think we're in pretty good. I think we're

669
00:32:52,880 --> 00:32:54,799
more I think we're more concerned about.

670
00:32:54,599 --> 00:32:55,319
Speaker 3: That right now.

671
00:32:55,880 --> 00:32:58,039
Speaker 5: I'll tell you what's keeping me up at night is

672
00:32:58,079 --> 00:33:02,039
we we get we get On Stafford winning MVP, which

673
00:33:02,079 --> 00:33:05,440
he's going to, which he should, so that that won't

674
00:33:05,440 --> 00:33:06,039
be good for us.

675
00:33:06,440 --> 00:33:08,960
Speaker 1: Should Philip Rivers wouldn't come back Player of the Year.

676
00:33:10,039 --> 00:33:12,920
Speaker 3: I think Philip. I think Philip Rivers is awesome.

677
00:33:12,960 --> 00:33:13,119
Speaker 1: Man.

678
00:33:13,279 --> 00:33:15,960
Speaker 5: I honestly like to just be living on some farm

679
00:33:16,079 --> 00:33:20,640
and like Alabama coaching high school football, raising this factory

680
00:33:20,680 --> 00:33:23,400
of future quarterbacks, and then it's like.

681
00:33:23,319 --> 00:33:25,319
Speaker 3: Hey Phil, we need a QB this week. Yeah, what

682
00:33:25,400 --> 00:33:28,720
the hell? He just comes in off the couch. I

683
00:33:28,759 --> 00:33:32,319
think Rivers amazing. I got nothing but a dog like

684
00:33:32,559 --> 00:33:34,480
Mario Mario.

685
00:33:34,599 --> 00:33:36,960
Speaker 1: Yeah all right, John Maurray, we're gonna let you go.

686
00:33:37,119 --> 00:33:39,039
Thank you as always for coming on the show and

687
00:33:39,079 --> 00:33:42,400
helping us pick some winners. Hopefully the needs end up winning.

688
00:33:43,440 --> 00:33:46,000
Speaker 3: I can't wait. Should be another fun NFL Sunday. Thank

689
00:33:46,039 --> 00:33:49,279
you for having me on. Tell Kelly Mario, Mario, Tell

690
00:33:49,359 --> 00:33:51,400
Kelly Mario said, Hello, I.

691
00:33:51,440 --> 00:33:54,160
Speaker 1: Will, She'll be She'll have Fomo only because of Mario,

692
00:33:54,480 --> 00:33:55,279
thanks to him.

693
00:33:55,799 --> 00:33:57,920
Speaker 3: Bye, guys, coming on the show.

694
00:33:57,960 --> 00:33:59,880
Speaker 1: Now, you guys know I love to talk about my props.

695
00:34:00,039 --> 00:34:02,279
There was nobody better to talk about props with on

696
00:34:02,359 --> 00:34:06,480
this ugly weird, very hard to handicap, sometimes late, with

697
00:34:06,559 --> 00:34:09,599
teams that may care, may not care. Contract incentives. Andy

698
00:34:09,760 --> 00:34:12,960
Lang at Bump Sports joining the show. It's probably the

699
00:34:13,000 --> 00:34:15,440
first time this year I think that we've got Andy

700
00:34:15,519 --> 00:34:17,719
Lang on to talk props. How are you, my friends?

701
00:34:18,760 --> 00:34:19,199
Speaker 3: I'm good.

702
00:34:19,320 --> 00:34:21,400
Speaker 6: You started off by saying ugly and weird, and I

703
00:34:21,400 --> 00:34:23,679
thought you were describing me, and I'm like, geez, I

704
00:34:23,760 --> 00:34:26,519
volunteered to come on your show and start off with ugly.

705
00:34:26,719 --> 00:34:31,960
No it is it was probably Yes, it is an ugly,

706
00:34:32,000 --> 00:34:34,920
weird week of props. There's a lot of them that

707
00:34:34,920 --> 00:34:38,039
we can that we'll go over, but tread lightly this week.

708
00:34:38,559 --> 00:34:40,639
Speaker 1: Okay, So first I want to get your thoughts on

709
00:34:40,679 --> 00:34:43,480
contract incentives. At the top of the show, I said

710
00:34:44,039 --> 00:34:48,519
I only bet contract incentives before week eighteen if it's

711
00:34:48,559 --> 00:34:51,559
against a team defensively that matches up well against that

712
00:34:51,639 --> 00:34:55,320
position player. How do you approach contract incentives prior to

713
00:34:55,360 --> 00:34:55,920
week eighteen.

714
00:34:56,920 --> 00:35:00,239
Speaker 6: Okay, so here's the history of contract incentives. You got

715
00:35:00,239 --> 00:35:02,599
to understand the progression of it.

716
00:35:02,679 --> 00:35:06,480
Speaker 4: So years ago, somebody.

717
00:35:06,000 --> 00:35:09,880
Speaker 6: I don't know who it was, somebody discovered these contract incentives,

718
00:35:09,920 --> 00:35:13,320
and then somebody discovered, oh, these teams and quarterbacks and

719
00:35:13,320 --> 00:35:16,320
skill positions actually try to get these in the last week.

720
00:35:16,400 --> 00:35:18,639
So it started off very small with a small number

721
00:35:18,679 --> 00:35:22,119
of people knowing about this. Then it grew, and then

722
00:35:22,159 --> 00:35:24,199
it hit social media and more and more of the

723
00:35:24,199 --> 00:35:26,000
public knows about contract incentives.

724
00:35:26,039 --> 00:35:28,679
Speaker 4: Well, guess who else knows about contract incentives? The books.

725
00:35:29,360 --> 00:35:31,480
Speaker 6: So now you have more and more people wanting to

726
00:35:31,880 --> 00:35:35,639
sound smart talking about contract incentives, and the books know this.

727
00:35:36,320 --> 00:35:38,360
Now the next progression is now we're going to talk

728
00:35:38,400 --> 00:35:41,719
about contract incentives in weeks before the final week.

729
00:35:42,199 --> 00:35:44,679
Speaker 4: Yeah, which is a gigantic mistake.

730
00:35:45,079 --> 00:35:48,719
Speaker 6: I heard people talking about contract incentives last week with

731
00:35:48,800 --> 00:35:54,199
three games to go. You're setting yourself up for disasters. So, honestly,

732
00:35:54,719 --> 00:35:56,639
I think it's jumped the shark and I do not

733
00:35:56,719 --> 00:35:58,760
pay attention to many contract incentives.

734
00:35:58,920 --> 00:35:59,599
Speaker 4: The books know it.

735
00:35:59,599 --> 00:36:02,000
Speaker 6: It's bag into the lines. You don't have the edge

736
00:36:02,039 --> 00:36:05,320
that you used to anymore. So I think contract incentives

737
00:36:05,360 --> 00:36:08,119
are are on the way out. I remember last year

738
00:36:08,159 --> 00:36:12,679
they had Mike Evans priced perfectly at one thousand yards

739
00:36:12,719 --> 00:36:15,599
and it was tough. There was no value in betting it.

740
00:36:15,599 --> 00:36:17,079
So people are gonna bet it because it's a fun

741
00:36:17,159 --> 00:36:19,719
it's a novelty. But I promise you you're not smarter

742
00:36:19,760 --> 00:36:21,679
in the books with contract.

743
00:36:21,320 --> 00:36:24,679
Speaker 1: Incentives, absolutely, which is why I've got a few different

744
00:36:24,679 --> 00:36:28,400
approaches this week that isn't necessarily about hitting contract incentives.

745
00:36:28,639 --> 00:36:30,679
Maybe making a little dent in it, but it all

746
00:36:30,719 --> 00:36:33,239
has to do with matchups and Andy laying tell us

747
00:36:33,239 --> 00:36:34,719
what you're looking at on the board today.

748
00:36:35,840 --> 00:36:37,599
Speaker 6: Okay, well, since I knew I was coming home with you,

749
00:36:38,039 --> 00:36:39,880
let's do a prop in every single game.

750
00:36:39,960 --> 00:36:40,480
Speaker 4: So here we go.

751
00:36:40,559 --> 00:36:44,239
Speaker 6: Rapid fire yep, Tampa Miami Jalen Wattle over fifty eight

752
00:36:44,280 --> 00:36:47,119
and a half receiving. I think quit yours is actually

753
00:36:47,199 --> 00:36:49,800
not bad. And this is a Tampa Bay defense that

754
00:36:49,840 --> 00:36:51,639
you can throw all over. And if you're Miami, you

755
00:36:51,679 --> 00:36:53,599
need to know what you have in Quinny yours. He's

756
00:36:53,599 --> 00:36:55,800
gonna throw a lot. He had thirty attempts last week.

757
00:36:56,039 --> 00:36:58,800
I see another big attempts game from him. If he's

758
00:36:58,800 --> 00:37:01,079
gonna do well, Wattle's going to do well as well.

759
00:37:01,079 --> 00:37:04,239
So wattle Over is receiving. Here's a fun one for

760
00:37:04,239 --> 00:37:06,440
the Jets and the Patriots do a same game parlay.

761
00:37:06,480 --> 00:37:09,000
If Brady Cook will throw an interception, plus Drake May

762
00:37:09,039 --> 00:37:11,519
will not throw an interception, that gets you to plus

763
00:37:11,559 --> 00:37:14,840
one thirty. Brady Cook's got an interception in three in

764
00:37:14,840 --> 00:37:17,119
a row. My worry about the Drake May will not

765
00:37:17,159 --> 00:37:20,000
throw an interception is I discovered this Jets don't have

766
00:37:20,039 --> 00:37:21,760
an interception about five weeks ago.

767
00:37:22,239 --> 00:37:25,480
Speaker 4: Now everybody knows it. So everybody knows.

768
00:37:25,280 --> 00:37:27,480
Speaker 6: That the Jets don't have an interception. That's normally when

769
00:37:27,480 --> 00:37:30,079
it blows up. But for fun, that one's pretty good.

770
00:37:30,800 --> 00:37:33,840
Steelers Jalen Warren. I was worried about his health. He's

771
00:37:33,880 --> 00:37:37,239
off the injury report. I'll take his over rushing fifty

772
00:37:37,280 --> 00:37:39,480
four and a half, it's gonna be wet wetfield. No

773
00:37:39,559 --> 00:37:42,760
DK metcalf in Cleveland's defense, you can run all over

774
00:37:42,800 --> 00:37:46,079
him at one sixty three and a half rushing allowed

775
00:37:46,079 --> 00:37:48,400
the last three games. So I think Warren is gonna

776
00:37:48,440 --> 00:37:50,880
get get most of the carries game. Well's become the

777
00:37:51,159 --> 00:37:53,599
pass catcher. Jalen Warren's become the rusher there.

778
00:37:54,199 --> 00:37:56,559
Speaker 4: I'm gonna go back to a goodie this year.

779
00:37:56,679 --> 00:38:00,079
Speaker 6: Chase Brown over eighty two and a half rushing plus receiving.

780
00:38:00,119 --> 00:38:02,679
I want both of these categories in this era. It's

781
00:38:02,760 --> 00:38:05,559
Maddy Yeah, ninety plus and eight out of the last

782
00:38:05,639 --> 00:38:06,320
nine games.

783
00:38:06,880 --> 00:38:09,320
Speaker 4: He just gets there in one category each week.

784
00:38:09,320 --> 00:38:11,199
Speaker 6: You don't know which one it is, and the books

785
00:38:11,199 --> 00:38:13,440
still haven't caught up to this one. So I'll take

786
00:38:13,440 --> 00:38:15,280
a Chase Brown over rushing receiving.

787
00:38:15,559 --> 00:38:16,239
Speaker 4: I'll give you two.

788
00:38:16,280 --> 00:38:18,920
Speaker 6: In the Colts and the Jags, Trevor Lawrence to throw

789
00:38:18,960 --> 00:38:22,599
two plus touchdown passes. Sauce Gardner is back for the

790
00:38:22,599 --> 00:38:25,159
Colts for some unknown reason. I don't think he's one

791
00:38:25,239 --> 00:38:27,079
hundred percent healthy. He's got a calf injury. If he

792
00:38:27,079 --> 00:38:29,719
tweaks it again, he's going to be out. Colts lost

793
00:38:29,960 --> 00:38:32,079
the Forrest Buckner. He's gone for the year. This is

794
00:38:32,119 --> 00:38:35,280
a Colts defense that is trash right now. Alec Pierce

795
00:38:35,320 --> 00:38:37,679
over two and a half receptions. It was one and

796
00:38:37,679 --> 00:38:40,199
a half last week and he got to four receptions.

797
00:38:40,239 --> 00:38:42,320
I don't think they adjusted this high enough. Philip Rivers

798
00:38:42,320 --> 00:38:44,800
will hit him a couple of times. Their indoors should

799
00:38:44,800 --> 00:38:49,199
be good conditions for throwing for this game. For the Colts,

800
00:38:49,239 --> 00:38:50,519
I think they're going to be down. I think they

801
00:38:50,519 --> 00:38:52,679
get stomped on this week. So Pierce over two and

802
00:38:52,679 --> 00:38:56,400
a half. For receptions, New Orleans, Tennessee, ty j Spears.

803
00:38:56,440 --> 00:38:58,440
This has been a great one for clients over seventeen

804
00:38:58,440 --> 00:39:00,719
and a half receiving. He's over this nine out of

805
00:39:00,760 --> 00:39:02,800
the last ten, and he has two or more catches

806
00:39:02,800 --> 00:39:07,679
and ten straight arial Tyzie Spears has been a fantastic one. Seattle, Carolina.

807
00:39:07,880 --> 00:39:10,480
I don't know what to do with this one. I

808
00:39:10,519 --> 00:39:11,960
wanted to give you a prop in every game, so

809
00:39:12,000 --> 00:39:13,679
we'll go chew A. Hubbard over eight and a half

810
00:39:13,719 --> 00:39:16,480
longest rush. He's done it in four straight, but he's

811
00:39:16,519 --> 00:39:18,880
only gotten ten yards in four straight, so it's not

812
00:39:18,920 --> 00:39:19,760
like he's blowing this but.

813
00:39:19,760 --> 00:39:21,320
Speaker 4: Out of the water. But that number could be a

814
00:39:21,320 --> 00:39:21,920
little bit low.

815
00:39:22,239 --> 00:39:26,559
Speaker 6: Favorite under no surprise Giants Raiders is my favorite under

816
00:39:26,599 --> 00:39:29,039
of the week. It's Jackson Dart under thirty and a

817
00:39:29,039 --> 00:39:32,000
half rushing. I think they finally got to him last

818
00:39:32,000 --> 00:39:34,199
week Ariel and they were like, no more trips to

819
00:39:34,199 --> 00:39:36,599
the blue tent. Man Like y slide, you go out

820
00:39:36,599 --> 00:39:38,280
of bounds or you throw the ball away, and he

821
00:39:38,280 --> 00:39:40,559
had seven rushing yards last week in a game that's

822
00:39:40,599 --> 00:39:43,719
meaningless for both of these teams as far as winning.

823
00:39:43,880 --> 00:39:48,559
I think Dart doesn't take off running very much. Philadelphia Buffalo.

824
00:39:48,719 --> 00:39:51,639
I want to exploit this Bill's rush defense, or lack

825
00:39:51,679 --> 00:39:53,599
of rush defense, and I'll do it with Jalen Hurts

826
00:39:53,679 --> 00:39:56,000
over twenty nine and a half rushing. He's actually gone

827
00:39:56,000 --> 00:39:58,119
over in five out of the last six. The Bills

828
00:39:58,119 --> 00:40:01,679
are bottom three rush defense by Metric. All the attention

829
00:40:01,760 --> 00:40:04,079
is gonna be on Saquon Barkley in a nasty weather game.

830
00:40:04,159 --> 00:40:06,719
Jalen Hurts is gonna be fantastic taking off and running.

831
00:40:06,760 --> 00:40:10,119
Take us over there, and then Chicago San Francisco. I'm

832
00:40:10,119 --> 00:40:12,840
gonna lean kayleb Williams over one and a half passing touchdowns.

833
00:40:12,840 --> 00:40:15,079
You're getting a great price, and he's done this in

834
00:40:15,119 --> 00:40:17,440
three straight games, four out of five. This is a

835
00:40:17,440 --> 00:40:20,360
San Francisco team that's really overchieved, but you can score

836
00:40:20,400 --> 00:40:22,719
on him. So Kayla Williams over one a half passing touchdowns.

837
00:40:22,840 --> 00:40:24,440
There's one prop in every game.

838
00:40:24,800 --> 00:40:27,119
Speaker 1: Whooh, when you did that so quickly. I'm on the

839
00:40:27,159 --> 00:40:30,679
same page as you though talking about the Jalen Hurts

840
00:40:30,760 --> 00:40:33,280
rushing usually he runs a lot more at home, which

841
00:40:33,320 --> 00:40:36,199
is the only thing that scares me. Bill struggle a

842
00:40:36,199 --> 00:40:41,400
lot against the run, especially running backs. But I was torn.

843
00:40:42,159 --> 00:40:44,719
I wanted to bet Hurts over. But again, on the road,

844
00:40:44,760 --> 00:40:46,400
it's not as much as at home.

845
00:40:48,159 --> 00:40:48,440
Speaker 4: I know.

846
00:40:48,599 --> 00:40:51,639
Speaker 6: I just when I look at these props, there's some

847
00:40:51,719 --> 00:40:53,880
really bad defenses that I want to exploit. And the

848
00:40:53,920 --> 00:40:56,000
Bills rush defense, I feel like I'm gonna be upset

849
00:40:56,039 --> 00:40:57,840
if I don't make money off of fading.

850
00:40:57,599 --> 00:40:58,480
Speaker 3: The Bills defense.

851
00:40:58,559 --> 00:41:01,639
Speaker 6: So Saquan Over his longest rush could be a look.

852
00:41:02,679 --> 00:41:06,679
I just these bad defenses are you know Arizona, Cincinnati,

853
00:41:06,880 --> 00:41:10,000
Dallas like their cash cows to fade these horrible defenses.

854
00:41:10,599 --> 00:41:13,679
Speaker 1: Another question I have for you reacting to your props late.

855
00:41:14,280 --> 00:41:16,519
So I liked Chase Brown, and I know we said

856
00:41:16,519 --> 00:41:19,559
contract incentives isn't necessarily something we talk about, but these

857
00:41:19,599 --> 00:41:22,800
are two teams that are playing for nothing, Arizona and Cincinnati.

858
00:41:23,159 --> 00:41:25,920
Samaji p Ran can earn one hundred K by hitting

859
00:41:25,920 --> 00:41:28,719
five hundred rushing yards. He's at three thirty five. I

860
00:41:28,800 --> 00:41:30,840
was curious if you think that he could bite into

861
00:41:30,920 --> 00:41:33,039
some of Chase Brown's workload.

862
00:41:35,199 --> 00:41:38,400
Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean he already does. He already does get

863
00:41:38,440 --> 00:41:40,880
some pretty good That's a hefty number for Samaji p

864
00:41:41,039 --> 00:41:42,760
Ryan to get over it, Like there would have to

865
00:41:42,800 --> 00:41:46,280
be a long run, some kind of broken play. And

866
00:41:46,400 --> 00:41:49,000
you know, Samaji p RAN's not a bellcown. I don't

867
00:41:49,000 --> 00:41:50,679
know how much they would give him he would need.

868
00:41:51,159 --> 00:41:54,159
He would need to get to seventy today and then

869
00:41:54,280 --> 00:41:56,280
maybe they give him a shot to get one hundred

870
00:41:56,320 --> 00:41:58,599
next week if nobody else is trying.

871
00:41:58,639 --> 00:42:00,400
Speaker 4: That would be a tough What is his what is

872
00:42:00,440 --> 00:42:01,360
his rushing number?

873
00:42:02,119 --> 00:42:02,360
Speaker 2: Half?

874
00:42:04,800 --> 00:42:08,679
Speaker 4: Yeah? Lean over? These are two horrible defenses. Like this

875
00:42:08,719 --> 00:42:11,039
isn't over. This is an over machine. I looked at

876
00:42:11,079 --> 00:42:14,159
the weather. It's it's kind of gusty, but the sustained

877
00:42:14,199 --> 00:42:15,119
wins are not that bad.

878
00:42:15,119 --> 00:42:17,320
Speaker 6: I don't think it affects the game that much. This

879
00:42:17,400 --> 00:42:19,840
is this could easily be a high scoring game where

880
00:42:19,880 --> 00:42:20,760
everybody goes over.

881
00:42:20,800 --> 00:42:21,880
Speaker 4: And yes, John Moyer was right.

882
00:42:21,880 --> 00:42:24,920
Speaker 6: It was Jamar Chase that set out my My goal

883
00:42:24,960 --> 00:42:26,719
for week seventeen is the scoring touch.

884
00:42:29,119 --> 00:42:31,280
Speaker 4: Week seventeen sad.

885
00:42:31,719 --> 00:42:32,880
Speaker 3: It really is sad.

886
00:42:33,920 --> 00:42:37,719
Speaker 1: Tropical Farm, says Adam feeling over two and a half receptions.

887
00:42:37,800 --> 00:42:38,880
He wants to know your thoughts.

888
00:42:40,159 --> 00:42:48,039
Speaker 4: Oh boy, Adam feeling. I oh, I know he had

889
00:42:48,079 --> 00:42:51,559
four last week? Yeah, sure, why not?

890
00:42:51,679 --> 00:42:56,360
Speaker 6: It's not confident, but no DK there, it's just thinking dunk.

891
00:42:56,559 --> 00:42:58,400
I just think it's going to be a tight ends game.

892
00:42:58,760 --> 00:43:01,679
I don't, I don't, I can't. I'm not gonna put

893
00:43:01,719 --> 00:43:03,639
money on it. If you're gonna play it, sure, go

894
00:43:03,639 --> 00:43:05,679
ahead and play over just because DK is out. But

895
00:43:06,320 --> 00:43:08,239
I don't think there's really much value there. To me,

896
00:43:08,280 --> 00:43:11,280
it sounds like a Darnel Washington Kenneth Gainwell type of game.

897
00:43:12,079 --> 00:43:17,599
Speaker 1: And then Jersey Tuggins sports games Jacoby Brissett over one

898
00:43:17,639 --> 00:43:20,159
and a half passing or Sam Darnold he also likes

899
00:43:20,199 --> 00:43:20,599
as well.

900
00:43:21,199 --> 00:43:22,679
Speaker 4: Yeah, Jacoby Brissett, for sure.

901
00:43:22,760 --> 00:43:25,400
Speaker 6: I had a honestly, Ariel I had my five percent

902
00:43:25,440 --> 00:43:28,079
play was on preset to throw over one and a

903
00:43:28,119 --> 00:43:29,360
half touchdowns last week.

904
00:43:29,559 --> 00:43:31,239
Speaker 4: Michael Wilson has an amazing catch.

905
00:43:31,360 --> 00:43:32,960
Speaker 1: I like him over passing yards today.

906
00:43:33,239 --> 00:43:35,360
Speaker 6: Yeah, Harrison drops one that he should have caught in

907
00:43:35,400 --> 00:43:38,320
the end zone. McBride allerg I like he had all

908
00:43:38,360 --> 00:43:41,960
the opportunities in the world to try. The worry with

909
00:43:42,039 --> 00:43:44,119
the Cardinals is they are so banged up on defense

910
00:43:44,159 --> 00:43:46,440
that the other team holds the ball for so long.

911
00:43:46,599 --> 00:43:48,960
Like you worry about the Cardinals with the time of possession,

912
00:43:49,199 --> 00:43:51,079
but today it could be just up and down the field,

913
00:43:51,079 --> 00:43:53,280
the big play after big play. So yeah, Jacoby Brissett

914
00:43:53,360 --> 00:43:55,199
over for sure. They don't have a running game.

915
00:43:55,760 --> 00:43:56,800
Speaker 1: How about Sam Darnald.

916
00:43:58,599 --> 00:44:01,480
Speaker 4: That's the game. I do not have a few. There's

917
00:44:01,519 --> 00:44:02,440
there's better spots.

918
00:44:02,440 --> 00:44:05,440
Speaker 6: It's the one game that I like, Seattle at Carolina.

919
00:44:05,480 --> 00:44:07,360
I have no idea what to do with that game.

920
00:44:07,480 --> 00:44:11,840
No props jump out, but I would lean no. I

921
00:44:11,880 --> 00:44:13,000
would lean no on that one.

922
00:44:13,559 --> 00:44:17,599
Speaker 1: King Kat says Waller, Hill or Strange, who would you start?

923
00:44:17,960 --> 00:44:21,119
I love the Strange over receiving yards today. It's one

924
00:44:21,199 --> 00:44:23,480
of my best bets on the slate. What do you think?

925
00:44:25,000 --> 00:44:28,800
Speaker 6: So this is fantasy football question? I believe so Taysom Hill,

926
00:44:29,159 --> 00:44:32,440
Brent Strange. If you depending on what the score is

927
00:44:32,440 --> 00:44:35,880
in your in your in your game right now, if

928
00:44:35,920 --> 00:44:38,119
you have a lead, I would take Brenton Strange. If

929
00:44:38,119 --> 00:44:40,360
you need a hail Mary, I would go Taysom Hill.

930
00:44:40,960 --> 00:44:43,719
There's something weird going on in New Orleans with Taysom Hill.

931
00:44:43,719 --> 00:44:46,480
They're like using them a bunch like he's gonna retire

932
00:44:46,599 --> 00:44:48,599
or he's not gonna be with the Saints next year.

933
00:44:48,639 --> 00:44:49,440
Speaker 4: And they love him there.

934
00:44:49,480 --> 00:44:51,679
Speaker 6: They gave him a ton of work. So if you

935
00:44:51,760 --> 00:44:54,480
need a if you need like a big upside swing,

936
00:44:54,559 --> 00:44:57,400
go with Taysom Hill. If your game is pretty close

937
00:44:57,480 --> 00:44:59,840
and you just need kind of a you know, steady floor,

938
00:44:59,840 --> 00:45:00,519
it's Breton.

939
00:45:00,320 --> 00:45:02,760
Speaker 1: Strange, Andy Lang. What are you promoting today?

940
00:45:04,039 --> 00:45:05,519
Speaker 6: We had a lot of plays that are up five

941
00:45:05,519 --> 00:45:07,559
percent best bet and that comes with all the plays

942
00:45:08,119 --> 00:45:09,239
that come out today.

943
00:45:09,360 --> 00:45:11,199
Speaker 4: So two weeks in.

944
00:45:11,199 --> 00:45:13,239
Speaker 6: A row, we've had a winning record and but we've

945
00:45:13,280 --> 00:45:15,800
lost our big play. So let's let's keep up the

946
00:45:15,800 --> 00:45:18,159
winning record and let's finally hit our freaking big big

947
00:45:18,199 --> 00:45:19,119
play today.

948
00:45:19,360 --> 00:45:21,360
Speaker 4: But the good news is you can flat bet if

949
00:45:21,400 --> 00:45:21,719
you want.

950
00:45:21,880 --> 00:45:23,440
Speaker 6: All the all the props that we've played with our

951
00:45:23,480 --> 00:45:26,159
own money are out today. So really like the slate

952
00:45:26,239 --> 00:45:28,360
in a lot of these games. And you're gonna see

953
00:45:28,360 --> 00:45:30,519
a couple games where we have multiple props in those games.

954
00:45:30,559 --> 00:45:32,920
So we found some good matchups, we found some good numbers.

955
00:45:33,039 --> 00:45:35,159
I think the books are sleeping on some of these games.

956
00:45:35,159 --> 00:45:38,239
So let's catch five percent, continue our winning ways and

957
00:45:38,440 --> 00:45:39,880
NFL and thanks so much, for having me on.

958
00:45:40,320 --> 00:45:42,400
Speaker 1: Thanks so much, Andy, good luck today and make sure

959
00:45:42,400 --> 00:45:45,599
to follow Andy Lang at Bumps Sports. And we've also

960
00:45:45,639 --> 00:45:47,840
got remember Yanni the Greek coming on in the steam Room.

961
00:45:48,119 --> 00:45:52,199
It's free today new in Eastern time. I've got let's

962
00:45:52,239 --> 00:45:54,760
see what props I want to tell you guys. I've

963
00:45:54,760 --> 00:45:56,840
got props out on the prop queen dot com. But

964
00:45:56,880 --> 00:45:59,119
I'm also going to go live on my YouTube page

965
00:45:59,159 --> 00:46:02,559
prop Queen Media. Right after this, I'll go live on

966
00:46:02,599 --> 00:46:07,039
YouTube and I will go through my entire list of props.

967
00:46:07,079 --> 00:46:09,960
It's free, nothing to pay for. Just if you want props,

968
00:46:09,960 --> 00:46:13,000
come to me. Right after the show at prop Queen Media.

969
00:46:13,159 --> 00:46:15,440
We will go live on YouTube and discuss a prop

970
00:46:15,440 --> 00:46:18,440
for each game. Janni the Greek will be live doing

971
00:46:18,480 --> 00:46:20,320
sides and totals, telling you where the steam is at

972
00:46:20,360 --> 00:46:23,400
noon Eastern on the steam Room. I'm gonna try to

973
00:46:23,440 --> 00:46:27,440
do it quickly so that doesn't have to overlap with him.

974
00:46:27,559 --> 00:46:30,039
Let's see what prop do I like, though Amander and

975
00:46:30,119 --> 00:46:33,639
I liked. Jacoby Bris said over passing yards. He's averaging

976
00:46:33,639 --> 00:46:36,320
two hundred and ninety four passing yards against bottom ten

977
00:46:36,400 --> 00:46:40,199
pass defenses. Road games averaging two seventy eight in the air.

978
00:46:40,440 --> 00:46:42,480
He's gone over in four or five road games since

979
00:46:42,480 --> 00:46:46,079
he's allowing the fifth most passing yards per game quarterbacks.

980
00:46:46,400 --> 00:46:49,119
Yanni mentioned that the sharp side he liked his sharps

981
00:46:49,119 --> 00:46:51,719
are betting Trey McBride over seven and a half receptions.

982
00:46:51,960 --> 00:46:55,239
That's because Trey McBride's averaging just over eight receptions a

983
00:46:55,239 --> 00:46:58,719
game against teams bottom ten against tight ends. Cincinnati's allowing

984
00:46:58,840 --> 00:47:01,719
the most receiving yards per game to tight ends this year.

985
00:47:02,760 --> 00:47:04,760
Sixty three percent of tight ends have gone over their

986
00:47:04,800 --> 00:47:07,360
reception prop, which is the most if you're looking at

987
00:47:07,400 --> 00:47:11,119
receptions receiving yards longest reception. Sixty three percent went over

988
00:47:11,119 --> 00:47:13,920
their receptions against Cincy, and that's the highest percentage of

989
00:47:14,079 --> 00:47:17,599
those three props to go over against the Bengals. I

990
00:47:17,639 --> 00:47:20,440
mentioned I love Breenton Strange also over thirty seven and

991
00:47:20,480 --> 00:47:23,719
a half receiving yards. He's faced four defenses that are

992
00:47:23,719 --> 00:47:27,159
bottom ten against tight ends. Two of the three on

993
00:47:27,199 --> 00:47:30,119
the road did go over. He had ninety three against Arizona,

994
00:47:30,239 --> 00:47:34,000
thirty nine against Denver, and seventeen against Cincy. He's gone

995
00:47:34,039 --> 00:47:36,760
over in four or five road games overall this year, Strange,

996
00:47:37,000 --> 00:47:39,280
and he's allowing the second most receiving yards per game

997
00:47:39,320 --> 00:47:41,559
to tight ends, with sixty three percent of tight ends

998
00:47:41,559 --> 00:47:45,239
going over their receiving yard prop. So I would definitely

999
00:47:45,239 --> 00:47:47,440
take a look at Breton Strange today in a game

1000
00:47:47,480 --> 00:47:51,079
that's meaningless for the Colts. Can't imagine defense really shows

1001
00:47:51,159 --> 00:47:53,360
up to play, but maybe the offense does just a

1002
00:47:53,360 --> 00:47:56,719
little bit. And then I said, I like Jacoby Brissette

1003
00:47:56,760 --> 00:48:03,039
as well, because against a really bad pasty and Jacoby

1004
00:48:03,079 --> 00:48:06,639
Brissett up against bad pasties this year, I said, oh sorry,

1005
00:48:06,719 --> 00:48:09,320
I mentioned that with a be over on the passing yards,

1006
00:48:09,679 --> 00:48:11,920
let me see Kita and also has a good matchup

1007
00:48:11,920 --> 00:48:14,440
as a tight end over. In six of eight road games,

1008
00:48:14,719 --> 00:48:17,320
he's averaging thirty five receiving yards a game on the road,

1009
00:48:17,880 --> 00:48:20,800
twenty eight at home, Miami's allowing the third most receiving

1010
00:48:20,880 --> 00:48:23,320
yards per game to tight ends. So make sure to

1011
00:48:23,400 --> 00:48:26,000
check me out on the prop Queen Media YouTube page,

1012
00:48:26,039 --> 00:48:29,039
Subscribe and tune in to the live show right after this,

1013
00:48:29,519 --> 00:48:32,119
and I will go through a prop in every game

1014
00:48:32,199 --> 00:48:35,400
and also try to answer your questions as best as

1015
00:48:35,440 --> 00:48:38,679
I can. Good luck today, everybody, Thanks for joining in

1016
00:48:38,679 --> 00:48:40,679
on Way to Talk last call. We'll be back next

1017
00:48:40,719 --> 00:48:43,599
week talking NFL. But also remember Kelly and Vegas said,

1018
00:48:43,639 --> 00:48:45,920
stay tuned. They will be doing a last call for

1019
00:48:46,000 --> 00:48:48,159
the college football Playoff coming up for New Year's Eve

1020
00:48:48,199 --> 00:48:50,320
and New Year's Day. See you guys next week