1 00:00:00,440 --> 00:00:03,160 Speaker 1: Last call Saturday, everybody, it's the prop Queen Arie. I 2 00:00:03,240 --> 00:00:06,440 lefteen Billy in for Kelly in Vegas this summer. I 3 00:00:06,480 --> 00:00:07,679 think this is. 4 00:00:07,639 --> 00:00:10,640 Speaker 2: My last last call on a Saturday. 5 00:00:11,640 --> 00:00:14,039 Speaker 1: Week zero starts basically by the time I get back 6 00:00:14,039 --> 00:00:16,719 from Boston next week, so that's when we get the 7 00:00:16,760 --> 00:00:17,440 takeover again. 8 00:00:17,440 --> 00:00:18,120 Speaker 2: But I'll let you know. 9 00:00:18,519 --> 00:00:20,719 Speaker 1: We are live on your various social channels, cack Rumble 10 00:00:20,839 --> 00:00:23,079 and Way to Talk YouTube channels, so if you are 11 00:00:23,120 --> 00:00:25,399 new here, hit the subscribe button. 12 00:00:25,480 --> 00:00:26,719 Speaker 2: So you never miss another show. 13 00:00:27,079 --> 00:00:29,280 Speaker 1: On today's show, we've got Yanni the Greek, as we 14 00:00:29,359 --> 00:00:31,239 always do on Saturdays. He's going to give us a 15 00:00:31,280 --> 00:00:33,640 look behind some of the back ends of the sharpest 16 00:00:33,640 --> 00:00:36,679 and squarest the counts out there in all of sports. 17 00:00:37,039 --> 00:00:40,560 Ralph Michael's for NFL preseason games, and we've got Ronald 18 00:00:40,640 --> 00:00:44,920 Kbang joining us for some great WNBA insights. So if 19 00:00:44,960 --> 00:00:47,560 you have any questions for our wayger Talk handicappers, drop 20 00:00:47,560 --> 00:00:50,240 it in the comment section on your platform and we 21 00:00:50,280 --> 00:00:52,359 will make sure to get all your questions answered. We've 22 00:00:52,359 --> 00:00:54,039 got Dan in the back and he's going to make 23 00:00:54,039 --> 00:00:56,399 sure that we pop those questions up from the chat 24 00:00:56,759 --> 00:00:58,880 Odds logic If you want to know how all the 25 00:00:58,880 --> 00:01:01,679 lines move across all the different platforms, all the different 26 00:01:01,679 --> 00:01:04,680 sports books. Make sure to go to odds Logic dot 27 00:01:04,719 --> 00:01:08,599 com slash prop Queen and have your odd Odds Logic 28 00:01:08,640 --> 00:01:10,879 screen open while we're doing all this so you can 29 00:01:10,920 --> 00:01:13,200 follow along. Because I know Yanni is going to tell 30 00:01:13,239 --> 00:01:15,799 us a lot about where these sharp groups have been betting. 31 00:01:15,840 --> 00:01:18,319 And I've got some sides in Major League Baseball that 32 00:01:18,439 --> 00:01:21,760 are a little fishy. For example, there's one team you 33 00:01:21,840 --> 00:01:24,000 probably don't actually maybe even two teams if you really 34 00:01:24,040 --> 00:01:26,560 don't want to bet on, because they think we might 35 00:01:26,599 --> 00:01:29,200 have to do it today. Odds Logic created by Don 36 00:01:29,239 --> 00:01:31,879 Best and sports option Guys. It is the ultimate real 37 00:01:32,000 --> 00:01:35,000 time odds screen. It offers comprehensive sports betting data from 38 00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:38,959 sports books worldwide. It's got cutting edge technology and delivers 39 00:01:39,000 --> 00:01:42,799 unparalleled customization, lightning fast updates, and gives you the winning edge. 40 00:01:42,799 --> 00:01:45,959 So send game rotation numbers along with your questions and 41 00:01:46,000 --> 00:01:49,840 we will get them answered. Oddslogic dot Com slash prop 42 00:01:49,959 --> 00:01:53,599 Queen coming up. Let's bring him on. He is known 43 00:01:53,760 --> 00:01:57,280 as the Vegas Runner, Yanni, the Greek lad from Las Vegas, 44 00:01:57,319 --> 00:01:58,879 wearing a Phillies hat yet again. 45 00:01:59,000 --> 00:01:59,680 Speaker 2: What's up, Yanne? 46 00:01:59,680 --> 00:02:03,680 Speaker 3: Happy Saturday, Happy Saturday, Great Saturday. Busy, busy, busy. I've 47 00:02:03,680 --> 00:02:07,040 been up since five am, firing away. There's just so much. 48 00:02:06,879 --> 00:02:09,000 Speaker 2: I'm glad that you are, guess, because there's just so. 49 00:02:09,000 --> 00:02:13,319 Speaker 3: Many markets, and I'm not having money to fit you up. 50 00:02:13,719 --> 00:02:14,759 So this is great for me. 51 00:02:15,879 --> 00:02:20,199 Speaker 1: We've got Greasey's in NFL, Major League Baseball, WNBA, UFC 52 00:02:20,280 --> 00:02:20,759 this weekend. 53 00:02:21,199 --> 00:02:23,960 Speaker 3: Yeah, tonight three nineteen in Chicago. 54 00:02:24,159 --> 00:02:28,039 Speaker 4: Huge huge card, really really really good card, very betible 55 00:02:28,080 --> 00:02:28,680 card as well. 56 00:02:28,800 --> 00:02:31,560 Speaker 1: So okay, so I know that when everyone sees Janni 57 00:02:31,599 --> 00:02:34,120 the Greek, they say we need to get in on 58 00:02:34,159 --> 00:02:35,199 some UFC actions. 59 00:02:35,240 --> 00:02:37,400 Speaker 2: So let's start there with UFC. What do you want 60 00:02:37,439 --> 00:02:38,159 to give us today? 61 00:02:38,520 --> 00:02:41,000 Speaker 4: All right, let me give you a total that I 62 00:02:41,159 --> 00:02:43,680 just actually released to my subscribers. 63 00:02:44,039 --> 00:02:45,919 Speaker 3: I'm actually a four percent place. I'm going to give 64 00:02:45,960 --> 00:02:46,960 that to you guys for free. 65 00:02:47,080 --> 00:02:47,520 Speaker 5: Right here. 66 00:02:48,319 --> 00:02:51,479 Speaker 4: We're going to go to Chase Hooper and Alex Hernandez, 67 00:02:51,560 --> 00:02:54,800 Chase Hooper, Alex Hernandez, and we're going to go over 68 00:02:55,039 --> 00:02:57,879 two and a half at even money good to minus 69 00:02:57,919 --> 00:03:01,599 one ten, minus one fifteen. I'm surprised it's not a 70 00:03:01,639 --> 00:03:03,680 minus one fifty line. I mean six out of ten 71 00:03:03,719 --> 00:03:06,879 times this one does go over, but we have a 72 00:03:06,919 --> 00:03:09,919 little recency bias. Chase Hooper three of his last four 73 00:03:10,240 --> 00:03:14,479 have finished inside the distance. He's the favorite in this fight, 74 00:03:14,599 --> 00:03:18,400 obviously a heavy favorite, but even if he gets the 75 00:03:18,599 --> 00:03:21,280 w here, he's just a tough aut Hernandez is tough, 76 00:03:21,400 --> 00:03:24,439 tough as nails. He's got that wrestling background as well, 77 00:03:25,400 --> 00:03:28,439 so he should be able to avoid the submissions from 78 00:03:28,560 --> 00:03:31,039 Chase Hooper, which is the threat for the finish there. 79 00:03:31,400 --> 00:03:33,919 So I agreed with that over that came in like 80 00:03:33,960 --> 00:03:37,360 I always do, I already have my sides and totals circled, 81 00:03:37,759 --> 00:03:39,879 and any of my originators come in on one of 82 00:03:39,919 --> 00:03:41,960 those sides, I'm going to fire, and they came in 83 00:03:42,080 --> 00:03:43,039 on that over. 84 00:03:44,120 --> 00:03:45,479 Speaker 3: So I bet that as well. 85 00:03:45,560 --> 00:03:49,479 Speaker 4: And as everybody knows, it's no secret UFC on the 86 00:03:49,479 --> 00:03:53,039 line put out clips the gambler's perspective, put out clips. 87 00:03:53,960 --> 00:03:56,319 Speaker 3: You know I'm on TREMAIAV in the main event. I 88 00:03:56,360 --> 00:03:58,639 know there's a lot of betters opposite me that see 89 00:03:58,680 --> 00:04:03,280 the champ DDP as the value side. I completely disagree. 90 00:04:03,560 --> 00:04:07,520 Speaker 4: I just think we have fights we could compare where 91 00:04:07,560 --> 00:04:10,800 both of these guys fought the same opponent. Regardless of 92 00:04:10,840 --> 00:04:13,599 the outcome. I'm more interested on how those lines opened, 93 00:04:13,599 --> 00:04:16,360 how they closed. Based on those alone, it looks like 94 00:04:16,439 --> 00:04:20,800 Chamiav's a discount, but just the way they match up 95 00:04:21,480 --> 00:04:22,959 just too much alike on the chamaiavs. 96 00:04:22,959 --> 00:04:23,120 Speaker 1: Side. 97 00:04:23,160 --> 00:04:26,240 Speaker 4: I think when we look back, we'll realize just how 98 00:04:26,399 --> 00:04:29,560 cheap this line actually was. I released it two subscribers 99 00:04:29,720 --> 00:04:33,079 at minus two hundred. Let me see where it is 100 00:04:33,160 --> 00:04:35,639 right now. It's up to minus two fifty two fifty five. 101 00:04:35,879 --> 00:04:39,079 So we got a great line on that fight. If 102 00:04:39,120 --> 00:04:41,199 you think it's a little bit too late since we 103 00:04:41,240 --> 00:04:43,319 got down at two hundred and it's now two fifty. 104 00:04:43,639 --> 00:04:45,720 One of the props that I also sent to my 105 00:04:45,759 --> 00:04:50,480 subscribers one percent play only small little sprinkle. It's chimaiav 106 00:04:50,560 --> 00:04:53,480 in the first round at plus three ten. It's a 107 00:04:53,560 --> 00:04:57,199 valuable plus three hundred in a lot of spots. Again, 108 00:04:57,639 --> 00:05:00,560 I think this one finishes inside the distance. Favored the 109 00:05:00,560 --> 00:05:06,560 finish inside the distance. As every round passes, the probability 110 00:05:06,560 --> 00:05:09,759 of a finish gets cut in half, so usually finishes 111 00:05:09,920 --> 00:05:13,519 happened early. We know Chamaiev comes all out in the 112 00:05:13,560 --> 00:05:16,399 first five minutes. I think it's going to be a 113 00:05:16,480 --> 00:05:19,920 tough five minutes for DUPLESSI I think Chamaiav's able to 114 00:05:19,920 --> 00:05:22,480 take him down, secure that rear naked choke and get 115 00:05:22,519 --> 00:05:23,040 the w. 116 00:05:23,959 --> 00:05:25,360 Speaker 3: Does he make it look that easy? 117 00:05:25,720 --> 00:05:27,680 Speaker 4: I think at plus three hundred, I have to sprinkle 118 00:05:27,680 --> 00:05:30,240 a little something because again he's a finisher, he's. 119 00:05:30,079 --> 00:05:34,000 Speaker 3: A closer, and he closes usually early. And that plus three. 120 00:05:33,839 --> 00:05:35,519 Speaker 4: Hundred got to win that det one out of four 121 00:05:35,560 --> 00:05:37,800 times to break even at plus three ten, even turn 122 00:05:37,800 --> 00:05:39,920 a profit one out of four times. I think that's 123 00:05:40,000 --> 00:05:43,160 very doable. Give me Chamayav, give me Chamaiev in round one. 124 00:05:44,319 --> 00:05:46,759 Speaker 1: Look at that some free action from Yanni, who I 125 00:05:46,800 --> 00:05:49,000 know has some stuff up here on the wager Talk 126 00:05:49,040 --> 00:05:52,079 platforms that you can definitely check out for some more action. Tonight, 127 00:05:52,759 --> 00:05:55,680 we've got NFL preseason as well. How have you been 128 00:05:55,720 --> 00:05:57,319 doing in NFL preseason? 129 00:05:57,360 --> 00:05:57,399 Speaker 3: No? 130 00:05:57,519 --> 00:05:59,439 Speaker 2: No, the overs last week we're insane. 131 00:05:59,759 --> 00:06:01,879 Speaker 4: Yeah, and we actually lost the betting SyncE that gets 132 00:06:01,920 --> 00:06:06,319 lost in the first week of preseason, which is actually 133 00:06:06,360 --> 00:06:07,160 good for now. 134 00:06:07,279 --> 00:06:08,319 Speaker 3: In week two. 135 00:06:09,720 --> 00:06:14,040 Speaker 4: And what we saw was that outlier with the overs 136 00:06:14,519 --> 00:06:18,560 and the market. I think overreacting to those I want 137 00:06:18,600 --> 00:06:21,959 to stress real quickly that you have to get to 138 00:06:22,000 --> 00:06:26,399 this position to make money in preseason. You got to 139 00:06:26,439 --> 00:06:30,120 get to the point that when the line moves so significantly, 140 00:06:30,839 --> 00:06:35,800 you either have to conclude there's value on the opposite 141 00:06:35,839 --> 00:06:38,040 side of the move or let it go. And here's 142 00:06:38,040 --> 00:06:40,600 what I mean. Yesterday was a perfect example of that. 143 00:06:41,279 --> 00:06:44,680 Tennessee was a five to five and a half point favorite. 144 00:06:44,879 --> 00:06:46,800 They got bet down to a two and a half 145 00:06:46,800 --> 00:06:50,240 point favorite. If you're following lines and you're looking at 146 00:06:50,240 --> 00:06:53,800 the screen, you're thinking, wow, the dog's the side. 147 00:06:53,879 --> 00:06:55,120 Speaker 3: The dog got steamed. 148 00:06:55,439 --> 00:06:58,360 Speaker 4: The problem is a lot of betters were betting that 149 00:06:58,480 --> 00:07:01,839 dog at plus two and a half. All the values 150 00:07:01,879 --> 00:07:06,240 been extracted, we went opposite. We actually laid the two 151 00:07:06,240 --> 00:07:09,839 and a half on Tennessee even with all that steam. 152 00:07:10,000 --> 00:07:14,120 Opposite Tennessee for one reason only that the line has 153 00:07:14,160 --> 00:07:17,680 now moved so much that the values on the other 154 00:07:17,839 --> 00:07:21,199 side you can't be afraid to change your opinion when 155 00:07:21,279 --> 00:07:25,439 the line moves so significantly. Again, you're betting numbers, not teams, 156 00:07:25,720 --> 00:07:28,680 So Tennessee minus five and a half and Tennessee minus 157 00:07:28,680 --> 00:07:31,360 two and a half are completely different bets. Just like 158 00:07:31,399 --> 00:07:32,959 taking the dog at plus five and a half and 159 00:07:33,000 --> 00:07:36,040 two and a half are completely different bets. So if 160 00:07:36,040 --> 00:07:39,240 you're messing with the preseason, you have to look at 161 00:07:39,240 --> 00:07:41,480 the opening line. You have to look at where it 162 00:07:41,519 --> 00:07:45,000 sits right now, and if it moves three four five points, 163 00:07:45,240 --> 00:07:46,519 you can no longer. 164 00:07:46,560 --> 00:07:48,879 Speaker 3: Look at that side that's laying those points. 165 00:07:49,199 --> 00:07:51,839 Speaker 4: Even if they win that game and cover, it just 166 00:07:52,040 --> 00:07:54,160 wasn't a good bet. And if you get in the 167 00:07:54,199 --> 00:07:57,199 habit of doing that, when the regular season comes around, 168 00:07:57,319 --> 00:07:59,560 you're gonna get destroyed. 169 00:08:00,439 --> 00:08:03,920 Speaker 3: You just can't chase steam that way. Again. 170 00:08:04,000 --> 00:08:07,600 Speaker 4: There's a reason we stop betting signs. The goal when 171 00:08:07,639 --> 00:08:10,120 they give me a play, my job is to get 172 00:08:10,120 --> 00:08:13,959 them down as much money as possible, because they don't 173 00:08:13,959 --> 00:08:15,600 know how much money we're going to be able to 174 00:08:15,600 --> 00:08:18,879 get them down. So the only goal is get me 175 00:08:19,000 --> 00:08:22,920 as much as possible at that number, knowing that the 176 00:08:22,959 --> 00:08:25,680 market's going to move. So once we unload on that number, 177 00:08:26,199 --> 00:08:28,240 then they look and they say, Okay, how much did 178 00:08:28,240 --> 00:08:31,480 we get down. Do we need to hedge a little 179 00:08:31,759 --> 00:08:34,039 limit some of our risks or are we looking for 180 00:08:34,080 --> 00:08:37,440 even more even now than it adjusted? But you have 181 00:08:37,519 --> 00:08:40,240 to remember, once a line moves that much, there's a 182 00:08:40,320 --> 00:08:43,759 reason they stop betting it, and that's because the value 183 00:08:43,759 --> 00:08:44,559 has been extracted. 184 00:08:44,759 --> 00:08:45,919 Speaker 3: So keep that in mind. 185 00:08:46,360 --> 00:08:49,240 Speaker 4: Make sure you're looking at the Odds Logic screen or 186 00:08:49,320 --> 00:08:52,559 at minimum the wager Talk Free odd screen, and make 187 00:08:52,600 --> 00:08:56,360 sure you click and see where that line opened, where 188 00:08:56,360 --> 00:08:58,480 it originated at, and where it sits right now. And 189 00:08:58,519 --> 00:09:01,440 if you're if you're late to the party, let it go. 190 00:09:01,480 --> 00:09:03,679 There'll be a better bet coming up. Break from behind. 191 00:09:04,559 --> 00:09:07,799 Speaker 1: We've got eleven preseason games in the NFL today, Yanni, 192 00:09:08,000 --> 00:09:10,720 what have your groups been getting some action down on? 193 00:09:10,799 --> 00:09:13,000 Speaker 4: All right, I'm going to read off everything that so 194 00:09:13,120 --> 00:09:18,399 far that's sharp confirmed. Indianapolis over green Bay Indianapolis at 195 00:09:18,440 --> 00:09:20,919 minus four and a half and minus fine. That's why 196 00:09:20,960 --> 00:09:23,240 you're looking at minus six right now. The only reason 197 00:09:23,360 --> 00:09:26,960 that's not seven, only reason it's not seven is because 198 00:09:26,960 --> 00:09:29,519 of the heavy public money on green Bay. So you 199 00:09:29,600 --> 00:09:32,519 have one sided green Bay money from the public and 200 00:09:32,559 --> 00:09:37,360 you have one sided wise guy money on the Indianapolis side. 201 00:09:37,399 --> 00:09:39,200 Speaker 3: So you have a difference of opinion there. 202 00:09:39,519 --> 00:09:42,639 Speaker 4: And every single one of these totals from top to 203 00:09:42,720 --> 00:09:46,200 bottom have been bet over by the recreational betters. I'm 204 00:09:46,200 --> 00:09:50,919 talking it's ninety plus percent overs. It's not even close. 205 00:09:51,159 --> 00:09:54,879 The only game that I'm even seeing some under money, 206 00:09:55,080 --> 00:09:56,960 and it's still heavy towards the over, but at least 207 00:09:56,960 --> 00:10:00,639 there's some under money. It's Arizona Denver. That one at 208 00:10:00,799 --> 00:10:04,480 least is getting some under bets from the recreational betters, 209 00:10:04,639 --> 00:10:08,320 which is why it has it moved up. But be cautious. 210 00:10:08,360 --> 00:10:10,960 A lot of these totals have moved. Let's keep going. 211 00:10:13,759 --> 00:10:16,159 Moved down to the New York Giants. New York Giants, 212 00:10:16,200 --> 00:10:18,039 they took them at plus one and a half and 213 00:10:18,080 --> 00:10:20,120 they laid them all the way up the minus one 214 00:10:20,159 --> 00:10:23,279 and a half. Right now it's minus three, gone three 215 00:10:23,279 --> 00:10:27,399 and a half, gone value, gone over. Got steamed as well, 216 00:10:27,679 --> 00:10:31,000 from thirty seven and a half, thirty eight and a half, 217 00:10:31,039 --> 00:10:34,320 even thirty nine. That's one of those that anything better 218 00:10:34,360 --> 00:10:37,519 than forty. They think the over is the right side. 219 00:10:37,759 --> 00:10:41,879 Keep moving down, La Chargers, obviously that game's gone. Perfect example, 220 00:10:42,080 --> 00:10:44,039 if you got charges minus two and a half or three, 221 00:10:44,200 --> 00:10:47,039 great bet, maybe even four, it's a decent bet. 222 00:10:47,200 --> 00:10:49,039 Speaker 3: But right now it's six and a half and seven. 223 00:10:49,159 --> 00:10:52,159 You can only look through the rams or pass. That's it. 224 00:10:52,279 --> 00:10:55,399 Speaker 4: So it makes your job as a handicapper easily easy. 225 00:10:55,559 --> 00:10:58,240 Because you can't bet the chargers right now. They went 226 00:10:58,279 --> 00:10:59,919 through that key number of three and they're about to 227 00:11:00,000 --> 00:11:03,559 go through that key number seven. What else do I 228 00:11:03,639 --> 00:11:06,440 have for you? There was one more? Oh it was 229 00:11:06,480 --> 00:11:10,279 the total was the total Tampa Pittsford over. That's public 230 00:11:10,480 --> 00:11:13,480 and sharp. Be careful of those. Some of these totals. 231 00:11:13,759 --> 00:11:16,879 The wise guys knew that the public was going to 232 00:11:16,960 --> 00:11:19,080 bet over. Okay, So if you know they're going to 233 00:11:19,159 --> 00:11:21,919 go over, and they're not going to do it till Saturday, 234 00:11:22,200 --> 00:11:25,679 you start betting over six days prior, you go over 235 00:11:25,759 --> 00:11:28,360 thirty six and a half. By Saturday it's thirty eight 236 00:11:28,399 --> 00:11:31,120 and a half, thirty nine and they're still betting it over. 237 00:11:31,600 --> 00:11:33,960 Now you have a situation where they're going to come 238 00:11:33,960 --> 00:11:36,759 in and bet somebody's unders. So watch the on screen 239 00:11:36,879 --> 00:11:40,039 line or like I said, the minimum wager, talk freance 240 00:11:40,320 --> 00:11:46,480 and pay attention. Pay attention to any resistance these totals 241 00:11:46,480 --> 00:11:49,759 that moved up if you start seeing them coming back 242 00:11:49,799 --> 00:11:53,320 the other way. The late money is always the sharpest money, 243 00:11:53,720 --> 00:11:56,799 rest the short early money and late money is usually 244 00:11:56,840 --> 00:11:59,840 the sharpest. But with the late money, you could confirm 245 00:12:00,080 --> 00:12:03,720 because there's no time to manipulate there's no time to maneuver. 246 00:12:04,039 --> 00:12:06,440 So if they're coming in ten minutes fifteen minutes before 247 00:12:06,519 --> 00:12:09,320 a game and steaming it under after that line had 248 00:12:09,320 --> 00:12:13,919 gone over, rest ashore. If it's not a middle opportunity, 249 00:12:13,960 --> 00:12:16,879 like they're not trying to middle, the under is the side, 250 00:12:17,159 --> 00:12:21,480 and the movement up was just dummying it early in 251 00:12:21,480 --> 00:12:23,720 the week because remember, for a couple of nickel bets, 252 00:12:23,759 --> 00:12:26,279 you could domby those lines so easily and get them 253 00:12:26,320 --> 00:12:27,799 moving in the right direction. 254 00:12:28,559 --> 00:12:29,399 Speaker 3: So that's some of the. 255 00:12:30,919 --> 00:12:33,879 Speaker 4: NFL for today, and of course there's some Major League 256 00:12:33,919 --> 00:12:37,159 Baseball that schwamps have already gotten involved in. 257 00:12:38,039 --> 00:12:41,000 Speaker 1: That's obviously why I saved it for last, because it's the. 258 00:12:40,960 --> 00:12:42,879 Speaker 2: Regular season games that we've got on the slate. 259 00:12:42,919 --> 00:12:45,240 Speaker 1: We've got a big slate of Major League Baseball. Ralph 260 00:12:45,279 --> 00:12:47,200 Michaels is going to talk later on in the show 261 00:12:47,200 --> 00:12:50,120 here on Last Call about some more NFL preseason actions, 262 00:12:50,159 --> 00:12:51,000 so we'll get that in. 263 00:12:51,519 --> 00:12:52,200 Speaker 2: Michael Leone. 264 00:12:52,279 --> 00:12:56,720 Speaker 1: Yes, we did cover UFC already, But for Aya Alisandro 265 00:12:57,360 --> 00:13:00,600 MLB series bets, I know Yanni that you're like that. 266 00:13:00,840 --> 00:13:03,120 Speaker 2: So what you see for those series bets. 267 00:13:03,080 --> 00:13:07,000 Speaker 4: Only one was bet before Game one that I have 268 00:13:07,159 --> 00:13:09,000 access to the groups that I work with. Again, I 269 00:13:09,000 --> 00:13:12,080 don't work with every originator out there, but that we 270 00:13:12,159 --> 00:13:16,519 got down with Cincinnati Cincinnati plus one thirty. Problem is 271 00:13:16,559 --> 00:13:21,200 Cincinnati's down two games against Milwaukee. So to push that bet, 272 00:13:21,480 --> 00:13:24,440 we now have to win Cincinnati today and we now 273 00:13:24,519 --> 00:13:29,120 have to win with Cincinnati tomorrow. Fortunately, sharp money on 274 00:13:29,480 --> 00:13:34,320 Cincinnati today Cincinnati plus one ten opposite public heavy public 275 00:13:34,360 --> 00:13:37,960 Milwaukee money. No surprise, they're getting bet every night, but 276 00:13:38,039 --> 00:13:41,000 there is sharp money nine oh six Cincinnati nine oh 277 00:13:41,159 --> 00:13:44,279 one over Pittsburgh and the Cubs at eight and a half. 278 00:13:44,480 --> 00:13:47,480 So the nine is a key number. It got dummied 279 00:13:47,519 --> 00:13:51,799 down for very little money on the overnights, got down 280 00:13:51,840 --> 00:13:55,120 to eight and a half at minus one oh five. 281 00:13:55,200 --> 00:13:57,799 I think that's when the heavy steam came in on 282 00:13:57,840 --> 00:13:59,799 the over eight and a half. Believe it or not 283 00:13:59,799 --> 00:14:02,159 paid Burg Chicago. So if you're looking on the screen, 284 00:14:02,200 --> 00:14:05,639 it looks like the under was the sharp play. Gotta 285 00:14:05,679 --> 00:14:09,159 be careful. That just didn't happen there. Moved down to 286 00:14:09,559 --> 00:14:13,480 nine oh four. Washington big dog, you know, getting them 287 00:14:13,480 --> 00:14:15,919 against the Phillies. It's kind of like they do with Colorado. 288 00:14:16,080 --> 00:14:18,799 They bet Colorado because they figure with Colorado. If we 289 00:14:18,879 --> 00:14:20,879 win one out of the three games, we're gonna break 290 00:14:20,919 --> 00:14:23,200 even or maybe turn a little profit. We win two 291 00:14:23,240 --> 00:14:25,320 out of the three games, like Colorado did in their 292 00:14:25,360 --> 00:14:27,799 last series, we're gonna make a score. So that's what 293 00:14:27,799 --> 00:14:29,879 they're kind of doing with some of these teams that 294 00:14:30,120 --> 00:14:31,960 you're afraid of late in the season. 295 00:14:32,399 --> 00:14:35,039 Speaker 3: Washington's one of them. I'm seeing bets on nine oh. 296 00:14:34,879 --> 00:14:37,759 Speaker 4: Eight Colorado as I touched on Colorado plus one fifty 297 00:14:37,759 --> 00:14:40,440 five and under twelve up to minus one twenty five, 298 00:14:41,159 --> 00:14:45,360 San Diego Dodgers under eight up to minus one twenty five, 299 00:14:46,000 --> 00:14:50,279 nine to twelve, Toronto minus one forty nine thirteen, White 300 00:14:50,279 --> 00:14:54,799 Sox plus one forty plus one thirty five, Athletics minus 301 00:14:54,840 --> 00:14:58,039 one fifteen, and the over ten good to minus one 302 00:14:58,080 --> 00:15:01,639 twenty five, Mets again nine to twenty four New York Mets. 303 00:15:01,679 --> 00:15:03,759 They came in with the Mets yesterday, they're coming right 304 00:15:03,759 --> 00:15:06,399 back with the Mets today plus one ten and finally 305 00:15:06,559 --> 00:15:10,960 Tampa Bay plus one ten. So mostly dogs in Major 306 00:15:11,000 --> 00:15:13,919 League Baseball today, which is mostly what you see down 307 00:15:13,960 --> 00:15:15,840 the stretch at the end of the season, and you're 308 00:15:15,840 --> 00:15:19,279 gonna see a lot of dogs steam especially in late 309 00:15:19,320 --> 00:15:23,919 August in early September, when the must win situations come in, 310 00:15:24,120 --> 00:15:27,960 when those teams that are jockeying for position or to 311 00:15:28,039 --> 00:15:32,639 make the playoffs, make the Wild's Card, they start becoming overvalued. 312 00:15:32,919 --> 00:15:35,799 And that's when you'll start seeing a lot of dogs 313 00:15:35,840 --> 00:15:39,080 getting steamed. And those are gonna be scary dogs, you 314 00:15:39,080 --> 00:15:41,080 know what I mean. Most recreational betters don't want to 315 00:15:41,159 --> 00:15:44,559 bet these bad teams down the stretch, but rest ashore 316 00:15:44,679 --> 00:15:48,360 those bad teams will be undervalued, and it's gonna be 317 00:15:48,399 --> 00:15:52,480 hard making money off the good teams when football gets here, 318 00:15:52,559 --> 00:15:55,159 because they're going to be parlaying a lot of the 319 00:15:55,240 --> 00:15:58,360 baseball earlier in the week, trying to build a little 320 00:15:58,399 --> 00:16:01,759 bank roll for Sunday NFL Saturday College football, and they 321 00:16:01,799 --> 00:16:04,080 do that by parlaying. 322 00:16:03,559 --> 00:16:05,080 Speaker 3: Those big money line favorites. 323 00:16:05,120 --> 00:16:07,279 Speaker 4: Rest assured they're going to be way over valued over 324 00:16:07,320 --> 00:16:08,600 these next couple of weeks. 325 00:16:09,399 --> 00:16:12,279 Speaker 1: I was about to ask you about literally all of 326 00:16:12,320 --> 00:16:15,240 those games, because I saw so much reverse line movement 327 00:16:15,320 --> 00:16:18,440 coming in on. I thought the Met's getting love, I 328 00:16:18,519 --> 00:16:21,159 saw the White Sox getting love, and I saw Colorado 329 00:16:21,200 --> 00:16:24,120 getting love. But Yanni, before I let you go, and 330 00:16:24,159 --> 00:16:25,879 I love that you mentioned all three of those teams, 331 00:16:25,879 --> 00:16:28,639 which we know likely all three probably aren't going to cash, 332 00:16:28,679 --> 00:16:30,480 but those are the ones that caught my eye for sure. 333 00:16:30,480 --> 00:16:33,240 With ten cent moves or more overnight public on the 334 00:16:33,279 --> 00:16:37,360 other side, I get worried that we get those buybacks 335 00:16:37,399 --> 00:16:40,279 because especially the later games, like we've got games coming 336 00:16:40,360 --> 00:16:42,360 up at seven which is the White Sox and Royals 337 00:16:42,399 --> 00:16:45,639 eight which is Arizona, Colorado. You always see that these 338 00:16:45,639 --> 00:16:47,799 groups will buy in on one side early and then 339 00:16:47,840 --> 00:16:49,879 come back on the other side late. How do we 340 00:16:49,960 --> 00:16:51,960 avoid being on the wrong side. 341 00:16:52,399 --> 00:16:55,120 Speaker 4: Yeah, that's when your handicap has to come into play 342 00:16:55,320 --> 00:16:57,279 and you have to trust your opinion a little bit. 343 00:16:57,320 --> 00:17:02,480 That's why I always tell my subscribers fire volume because 344 00:17:02,519 --> 00:17:04,799 I bet sized correctly and I've just that's how I've 345 00:17:04,799 --> 00:17:06,599 done it for so long. But you don't have to 346 00:17:06,640 --> 00:17:09,359 do the same thing. You need to narrow down your 347 00:17:09,400 --> 00:17:13,319 positions that you feel strongest about, and then when you 348 00:17:13,400 --> 00:17:16,920 see the market agree with you, don't be afraid to fire. 349 00:17:17,440 --> 00:17:21,400 If later you see some resistance, that's okay if you 350 00:17:21,519 --> 00:17:22,200 have conviction. 351 00:17:22,799 --> 00:17:24,960 Speaker 3: What you don't want to do in those cases is 352 00:17:25,000 --> 00:17:25,559 bet more. 353 00:17:25,960 --> 00:17:30,720 Speaker 4: Okay, But when the opposite happens, and you see confirmation. 354 00:17:31,279 --> 00:17:34,720 That's where it gives you an opportunity to bet more. See, 355 00:17:34,759 --> 00:17:37,480 you want to increase your bets when your edge increases. 356 00:17:37,880 --> 00:17:39,759 A lot of betters do it the opposite way. 357 00:17:39,839 --> 00:17:40,759 Speaker 3: They love a bet. 358 00:17:40,960 --> 00:17:43,119 Speaker 4: They're like, this is a lock, so they just unload 359 00:17:43,279 --> 00:17:47,359 off the start and along the day or sometime even days, 360 00:17:47,880 --> 00:17:51,359 information changes. Things change. You want to give yourself a 361 00:17:51,480 --> 00:17:54,240 chance to maneuver. So that's why I always say you 362 00:17:54,240 --> 00:17:56,160 don't have to go all in on a trade. 363 00:17:56,160 --> 00:17:56,720 Speaker 3: You don't have to. 364 00:17:57,400 --> 00:18:00,799 Speaker 4: You could always level in. So let's say you're going 365 00:18:00,839 --> 00:18:03,160 to bet a one unit. That's that's what you're betting. 366 00:18:03,160 --> 00:18:06,039 You're betting one units. If you're not one hundred percent 367 00:18:06,039 --> 00:18:08,640 confident because you're betting it early, go a half unit. 368 00:18:08,920 --> 00:18:10,599 Speaker 3: If you see the market agree. 369 00:18:10,319 --> 00:18:13,000 Speaker 4: With you and you feel a little more confident, boom 370 00:18:13,039 --> 00:18:15,160 fire that other half a unit. You already got in 371 00:18:15,359 --> 00:18:17,480 good at a best price, so now it's like almost 372 00:18:17,519 --> 00:18:18,759 like dollar cost averaging. 373 00:18:18,960 --> 00:18:20,359 Speaker 3: You might have got in at minus. 374 00:18:20,039 --> 00:18:22,400 Speaker 4: One twenty Okay, now you gotta lay minus one thirty 375 00:18:22,400 --> 00:18:24,440 for the other half of unit. But your average bet 376 00:18:24,480 --> 00:18:26,839 size is still minus one twenty five, so. 377 00:18:26,799 --> 00:18:28,240 Speaker 3: You're still getting some CLV. 378 00:18:28,400 --> 00:18:31,640 Speaker 6: You're still beating the closing line overall, but you were 379 00:18:31,720 --> 00:18:36,400 able to wait for that later confirmation, which now you 380 00:18:36,559 --> 00:18:40,240 got CLV and you're not as worried, so you don't 381 00:18:40,240 --> 00:18:42,279 have to go I know, like sometimes you're like, I 382 00:18:42,279 --> 00:18:44,519 don't want the market to get to move, so I 383 00:18:44,559 --> 00:18:44,839 got to. 384 00:18:44,839 --> 00:18:45,759 Speaker 3: Get my whole bet in. 385 00:18:46,359 --> 00:18:49,319 Speaker 4: You know now when there's time, you don't always have 386 00:18:49,440 --> 00:18:51,680 to do that, especially again, you're not you're not a 387 00:18:51,720 --> 00:18:53,480 betting Cindy. You're not working with these groups. You're not 388 00:18:53,519 --> 00:18:57,920 moving the markets, so you could be more reactionary. And 389 00:18:58,000 --> 00:19:00,200 like I said, don't go all in from the beginning 390 00:19:00,000 --> 00:19:02,839 and fire half of your bet, three quarters of your bet. 391 00:19:02,880 --> 00:19:05,519 When you get confirmation, you could fire some more. If 392 00:19:05,559 --> 00:19:08,119 it goes against you, It's okay, I only went half 393 00:19:08,119 --> 00:19:10,319 a unit. I'm not going to four unit and it 394 00:19:10,440 --> 00:19:12,599 was still my opinion. And you got to remember, these 395 00:19:13,039 --> 00:19:15,480 these sharp signs don't win all the time. They're one 396 00:19:15,519 --> 00:19:18,079 hundred percent right fifty five percent of the time at 397 00:19:18,079 --> 00:19:20,440 mines one ten. That's what I say. The best they 398 00:19:20,480 --> 00:19:23,279 do is fifty five percent. So don't be afraid if 399 00:19:23,319 --> 00:19:25,599 you see some sharp money opposite you. They're not going 400 00:19:25,640 --> 00:19:28,640 to go. You know they're not undefeated, so but when 401 00:19:28,640 --> 00:19:31,640 you get confirmation, fire a little bit more, just sprinkle away. 402 00:19:31,759 --> 00:19:33,720 Speaker 3: Don't be scared, Yanny. 403 00:19:33,799 --> 00:19:35,920 Speaker 1: I know you've got stuff posted here on wager Talk, 404 00:19:35,960 --> 00:19:37,039 and you've got the steam room. 405 00:19:37,519 --> 00:19:38,480 Speaker 2: Is that going on today? 406 00:19:38,519 --> 00:19:40,599 Speaker 3: And what al I had it yesterday because of how 407 00:19:40,599 --> 00:19:41,799 busy it is today. I got an. 408 00:19:41,799 --> 00:19:46,480 Speaker 4: NFL package up there with seven bets already may hire 409 00:19:46,519 --> 00:19:48,200 one more, but I'm going to try to keep it 410 00:19:48,279 --> 00:19:51,160 right around there. I got the UFC package, just added 411 00:19:51,240 --> 00:19:55,079 another play in there with a five percent. I've been 412 00:19:55,079 --> 00:19:57,720 selected with those five percents, having fired one in like 413 00:19:57,839 --> 00:20:01,079 three weeks, got one in the pay per view tonight, 414 00:20:01,720 --> 00:20:05,400 and the course the season package is up NFL College Football. 415 00:20:05,400 --> 00:20:08,240 Then I have my futures pass as well, so much 416 00:20:08,319 --> 00:20:09,599 volume in that future's past. 417 00:20:09,640 --> 00:20:12,359 Speaker 3: Don't let it scare you. But the ROI on those 418 00:20:12,400 --> 00:20:13,079 are so good. 419 00:20:13,400 --> 00:20:15,880 Speaker 4: I was actually comfortable, as I said, I'll high up 420 00:20:15,880 --> 00:20:17,519 twenty five percent of my bank. 421 00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:19,559 Speaker 3: Roll before the season starts, because I. 422 00:20:19,559 --> 00:20:24,480 Speaker 4: Think the ROI is so great that come December January, 423 00:20:25,279 --> 00:20:27,559 my future self is gonna thank my past self for 424 00:20:27,599 --> 00:20:30,519 placing those bets. So I always do it and I'm 425 00:20:30,519 --> 00:20:33,079 not afraid to. But again you could pick and choose 426 00:20:33,079 --> 00:20:34,640 the ones that you like at of it, because we've 427 00:20:34,640 --> 00:20:35,720 got a lot of volume in it. 428 00:20:36,640 --> 00:20:39,359 Speaker 1: Yanni the Greek Vegas Runner, whatever you love to call him, 429 00:20:39,480 --> 00:20:41,720 We love having him every Saturday here on last call. 430 00:20:41,759 --> 00:20:42,400 Speaker 2: Thanks so much for. 431 00:20:42,359 --> 00:20:45,920 Speaker 3: Hopping on, Thanks for having me blockade. Good luck today, brother, 432 00:20:46,000 --> 00:20:47,480 all you guys do some damage. 433 00:20:48,240 --> 00:20:50,279 Speaker 2: Good luck today, Yanni joming up. 434 00:20:50,359 --> 00:20:52,759 Speaker 1: Now, we've got two of the best teams in the 435 00:20:52,799 --> 00:20:55,799 WNBA going head to head as the soul game in 436 00:20:55,880 --> 00:20:58,440 the w today. It's starting a little after two pm 437 00:20:58,480 --> 00:21:01,759 Eastern time, so let's bring on wager Talk's best at 438 00:21:01,839 --> 00:21:05,799 capping the w NBA. We've got mister Ronald Kabang joining 439 00:21:05,880 --> 00:21:06,319 the show. 440 00:21:06,400 --> 00:21:07,119 Speaker 2: What's going on? 441 00:21:07,319 --> 00:21:10,880 Speaker 7: RCA harvery thing is good on my end. Had another 442 00:21:10,920 --> 00:21:13,000 winning day yesterday, so. 443 00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:14,480 Speaker 2: It was a pretty big slate yesterday. 444 00:21:15,000 --> 00:21:19,200 Speaker 7: Yesterday was a big slate. Went three and one now 445 00:21:19,480 --> 00:21:22,519 back over seventy five, seventy six units in the WNBA, 446 00:21:22,599 --> 00:21:25,680 so things are going well. Hoping to close it out 447 00:21:26,079 --> 00:21:28,400 pretty strong here and then you know, obviously build that 448 00:21:28,440 --> 00:21:29,759 bankroll for the NFL season. 449 00:21:30,319 --> 00:21:33,680 Speaker 1: Absolutely and w continues to be profitable here at wager talk. 450 00:21:33,799 --> 00:21:36,480 Speaker 2: So kabang, what do we got today? 451 00:21:36,519 --> 00:21:38,880 Speaker 1: We've got the Links and the Liberty, the two best 452 00:21:38,880 --> 00:21:42,200 teams in the w going head to ahead. I'm seeing 453 00:21:42,279 --> 00:21:44,960 currently that the line moved a point against the Links. 454 00:21:44,960 --> 00:21:46,640 I saw them yesterday at minus two and a half 455 00:21:46,680 --> 00:21:48,240 and now they're at minus one and a half. 456 00:21:48,440 --> 00:21:49,240 Speaker 2: What do you make of it? 457 00:21:50,000 --> 00:21:53,039 Speaker 7: Yeah, this one's pretty interesting because from a schedule perspective, 458 00:21:53,680 --> 00:21:55,680 the Links. The last time the Links played, they played 459 00:21:55,680 --> 00:21:58,680 the Liberty. In the meantime, the Liberty have played. 460 00:21:58,839 --> 00:21:59,480 Speaker 3: Back to back. 461 00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:03,160 Speaker 7: So as far as like rest goes and then schedule whise, 462 00:22:03,200 --> 00:22:05,599 the Links seem like the right side. This is the 463 00:22:05,720 --> 00:22:09,079 Liberty's third road game, eighth road game in the last ten. 464 00:22:09,559 --> 00:22:12,519 They've only covered one game over the previous ten games 465 00:22:12,519 --> 00:22:14,640 as well. A lot of it has to do with, obviously, 466 00:22:14,880 --> 00:22:18,480 you know, having to adjust with Messaman in and Brianna 467 00:22:18,480 --> 00:22:21,240 Stewart out. But the most part they've had to change 468 00:22:21,279 --> 00:22:24,519 their pace and their offense runs a lot differently with 469 00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:26,920 Messaman there instead of Brianna Stewart, So I think that's 470 00:22:26,960 --> 00:22:29,839 just more of an adjustment period. It's gonna be interesting 471 00:22:29,839 --> 00:22:32,799 to see how things happen when you know Stewart. Stewie 472 00:22:32,839 --> 00:22:35,839 comes back. On the Licks side, they are well wrested. 473 00:22:35,880 --> 00:22:38,880 They haven't played since the tenth you know, like I said, 474 00:22:38,920 --> 00:22:41,039 they the Liberty has played it back to back in 475 00:22:41,079 --> 00:22:44,920 the West Coast in the same timeframe that the Links 476 00:22:44,920 --> 00:22:48,400 had six days of rest, so and from a winning perspective. 477 00:22:48,400 --> 00:22:50,400 From a record perspective, they're nine to one over the 478 00:22:50,480 --> 00:22:52,720 last ten seven too, and one ATS in that span, 479 00:22:52,839 --> 00:22:57,000 so ats wise, they're on the opposite ends. Liberty is 480 00:22:57,000 --> 00:23:02,359 still without Stuart Harrison sabily Links will be without the 481 00:23:02,400 --> 00:23:05,599 Pisa choir. She's doubtful, but I mean, obviously I don't 482 00:23:05,640 --> 00:23:08,759 think she's gonna play. So for the Links, you know, 483 00:23:08,799 --> 00:23:11,799 they've won the last two matchups. I mentioned the bad 484 00:23:11,839 --> 00:23:15,160 situational spot, but also from a trend perspective, as road 485 00:23:15,319 --> 00:23:17,759 underdogs like the Liberty are today they're zero and five 486 00:23:17,799 --> 00:23:20,799 straight up and at the number you're really asking to see, 487 00:23:20,880 --> 00:23:22,960 you know, who's gonna win this game? And the Links 488 00:23:22,960 --> 00:23:25,519 on the other side as home favorite sixteen and one 489 00:23:25,519 --> 00:23:28,799 straight up, So trend perspective. Looking to the Links situationally, 490 00:23:28,920 --> 00:23:31,839 Links were looking at stats, the Links the last five 491 00:23:31,880 --> 00:23:36,000 games and recent form better offensively and defensively, they're averaging 492 00:23:36,079 --> 00:23:40,119 ninety three per game. The Liberty are adjusting to their 493 00:23:40,160 --> 00:23:42,319 new pace. Their defense has taken a hit ninth and 494 00:23:42,359 --> 00:23:45,720 defensive ating over the last five. The only edge that 495 00:23:45,759 --> 00:23:48,119 I see that the Liberty have is really from the 496 00:23:48,160 --> 00:23:51,920 three point you know from the above, the break three. 497 00:23:52,240 --> 00:23:55,680 That's where the Links have struggled to defend recently. But 498 00:23:56,240 --> 00:23:58,160 like I said, at this number, we're really asking who's 499 00:23:58,160 --> 00:24:00,200 gonna win this game, and a lot of things are 500 00:24:00,200 --> 00:24:01,279 really pointing towards the Links. 501 00:24:01,279 --> 00:24:05,880 Speaker 1: Here I saw the total kabang sitting at one sixty 502 00:24:06,000 --> 00:24:06,960 six and a half. 503 00:24:07,119 --> 00:24:08,359 Speaker 2: Any thoughts there. 504 00:24:08,759 --> 00:24:10,839 Speaker 7: Yeah, from a trend perspective, a lot of things are 505 00:24:10,839 --> 00:24:14,039 pointing towards the Over. The Links are really strong over 506 00:24:14,119 --> 00:24:17,079 team for the most part, just because of their offense. 507 00:24:17,119 --> 00:24:19,759 But to me, I know, you know, they're missing both 508 00:24:19,759 --> 00:24:22,720 of their top key players. The Liberty are playing a 509 00:24:22,759 --> 00:24:24,839 slower pace. I still think that this is going to 510 00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:27,359 be more of a playoff atmosphere type game, and when 511 00:24:27,359 --> 00:24:30,200 that happens, we're typically looking at a slower pace, more 512 00:24:30,240 --> 00:24:34,039 defensive minded game flow. So I would actually look towards 513 00:24:34,039 --> 00:24:36,599 the Under in this one. I didn't play it, but 514 00:24:36,960 --> 00:24:40,759 you know, whenever there's conflict between a play, you know, 515 00:24:40,920 --> 00:24:43,799 trends looking towards the over situation to the under, it's 516 00:24:43,839 --> 00:24:45,960 obviously a no go for me. 517 00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:47,480 Speaker 2: Kbang. 518 00:24:47,640 --> 00:24:49,680 Speaker 1: There's only one game on the late tonight, but I 519 00:24:49,720 --> 00:24:51,359 know you have a lot of other stuff going on 520 00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:52,200 here at wager Talk. 521 00:24:52,319 --> 00:24:53,359 Speaker 2: What are you provoting today? 522 00:24:53,880 --> 00:24:55,759 Speaker 7: Yeah, I do have a Premier League games that it's 523 00:24:55,839 --> 00:24:59,480 match week one. I do have one there. I mean 524 00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:03,359 from a Trent perspective, just looking since twenty twelve, road 525 00:25:03,359 --> 00:25:06,200 teams in match week one are hitting at a I 526 00:25:06,240 --> 00:25:09,200 think sixty two percent rate. But there's one team specifically 527 00:25:09,240 --> 00:25:11,680 that's eight and one during this time frame. So that's 528 00:25:11,720 --> 00:25:13,680 the play that I have today. I have two five 529 00:25:13,680 --> 00:25:16,599 percent plays. If you've been following my five percent plays, 530 00:25:16,599 --> 00:25:19,839 they've been really good over the last two years forty 531 00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:22,799 three and fourteen. That's over seventy five percent since November 532 00:25:22,880 --> 00:25:26,079 twenty twenty three. There's a five percent in the NFL and. 533 00:25:25,960 --> 00:25:26,880 Speaker 3: In college football. 534 00:25:26,920 --> 00:25:29,519 Speaker 7: So those are available right now and wager Talk has 535 00:25:29,559 --> 00:25:32,039 a deal going on right now for the rest of 536 00:25:32,119 --> 00:25:36,000 twenty twenty five, so you're able to get WNBA, NBA, NFL, 537 00:25:36,079 --> 00:25:38,440 college football, college basseball, all that, all that for the 538 00:25:38,440 --> 00:25:40,960 rest of the year at a discounted rate. That's over 539 00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:46,519 at my Capper page wt Dot buzz Backslash RCD. 540 00:25:45,200 --> 00:25:45,880 Speaker 2: Love to hear it. 541 00:25:45,920 --> 00:25:48,119 Speaker 1: Thanks so much Ronald Gobang for coming on today and 542 00:25:48,119 --> 00:25:52,119 giving us some WNBA, hopefully some winners with this huge 543 00:25:52,119 --> 00:25:54,119 matchup between the Liberty and the Links to do best 544 00:25:54,119 --> 00:25:56,720 teams in the w That game starting a little after 545 00:25:56,960 --> 00:25:59,440 two pm Eastern time. So I have made it the 546 00:25:59,559 --> 00:26:02,599 entire where I have been doing Last Call for Kelly 547 00:26:02,599 --> 00:26:07,440 in Vegas. This is the first time all summer. Then 548 00:26:07,480 --> 00:26:11,119 I get to bring this legend onto the screen. And 549 00:26:11,160 --> 00:26:13,119 of course I know him and I've spoken to him 550 00:26:13,119 --> 00:26:15,519 and I've been on bed on it, but I haven't 551 00:26:15,519 --> 00:26:17,599 gotten to bring him on Last Call. So I get 552 00:26:17,640 --> 00:26:21,359 him to myself. So let's bring on the great Ralph 553 00:26:21,440 --> 00:26:24,640 Michaels talking off things NFL preseasons. We get your questions 554 00:26:24,680 --> 00:26:27,359 down in the chat because we're gonna answer all questions 555 00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:31,920 about the eleven NFL preseason games going on today. Ralph, 556 00:26:32,000 --> 00:26:34,680 I hope you're not muted because the logo there you are. 557 00:26:35,200 --> 00:26:36,240 Speaker 2: I love the background. 558 00:26:36,279 --> 00:26:37,880 Speaker 1: I feel like I'm at the beach. I wish I 559 00:26:37,920 --> 00:26:39,680 was at the beach. I wish I was with Kelly 560 00:26:39,720 --> 00:26:43,200 in Vegas at in Ireland right now, enjoying some case 561 00:26:43,240 --> 00:26:45,440 state week zero in a couple of weeks. But I 562 00:26:45,519 --> 00:26:47,960 am here with you, and that's the second best option. 563 00:26:48,039 --> 00:26:51,119 I've got no offense. Ralph NFL preseason. How's it been 564 00:26:51,119 --> 00:26:51,359 for you? 565 00:26:52,359 --> 00:26:52,720 Speaker 7: Huh? 566 00:26:52,759 --> 00:26:55,519 Speaker 8: Indifferent? I had a couple bad beach yesterday, now three 567 00:26:55,559 --> 00:26:58,359 and three. This preseason still number one over the last 568 00:26:58,400 --> 00:27:02,440 eleven years. The way you're talking, and by the way, Ariel, 569 00:27:02,480 --> 00:27:05,759 the picture is very appropriate. I am down in Daytona 570 00:27:05,799 --> 00:27:09,799 Beach for the winners, so enjoying the view out the ocean. 571 00:27:10,400 --> 00:27:11,839 Speaker 5: You brought up the. 572 00:27:11,680 --> 00:27:16,000 Speaker 8: Overs to start this preseason arial fourteen and three. Let 573 00:27:16,000 --> 00:27:19,319 me put that in perspective. Last year in the preseason 574 00:27:19,440 --> 00:27:22,920 there were forty five games. There were fifteen overs and 575 00:27:23,039 --> 00:27:26,519 thirty unders, so it was sixty seven percent. 576 00:27:26,200 --> 00:27:26,720 Speaker 5: To the under. 577 00:27:27,599 --> 00:27:31,359 Speaker 8: This far, in seventeen games, we've had fourteen overs, so 578 00:27:31,920 --> 00:27:33,039 it is an anomaly. 579 00:27:33,440 --> 00:27:36,039 Speaker 5: I do want to mention this as well. This would 580 00:27:36,079 --> 00:27:36,480 really be. 581 00:27:36,440 --> 00:27:39,000 Speaker 8: If Kelly was sitting here, because it would be like, 582 00:27:39,519 --> 00:27:43,400 why take the points in preseason over the last three years, 583 00:27:43,799 --> 00:27:49,200 the outright winner is now one, two and seven ninety 584 00:27:49,279 --> 00:27:53,119 four percent including seventeen and oh this year. So if 585 00:27:53,119 --> 00:27:55,960 you're thinking about taking the dog, I'll steal one of 586 00:27:56,039 --> 00:27:59,200 vrs lines, perhaps split that and sprinkle some on the 587 00:27:59,240 --> 00:27:59,880 money line. 588 00:28:00,960 --> 00:28:02,799 Speaker 1: We've got a question in the chatter ready for you. 589 00:28:02,880 --> 00:28:06,000 Ralph Titan CT said, any thoughts on Viking's pass? 590 00:28:07,119 --> 00:28:11,559 Speaker 8: Yeah, you know, preseason is such an interesting situation because 591 00:28:11,599 --> 00:28:13,920 you really can't make your decisions earlier in the week. 592 00:28:13,960 --> 00:28:15,759 You've got to read the quotes the morning of. You 593 00:28:15,880 --> 00:28:18,279 got to know who they're playing. And this is a 594 00:28:18,359 --> 00:28:21,519 game where I lean New England, but I'm really not 595 00:28:21,599 --> 00:28:25,599 sure how much Vrabel wants this now again new coach 596 00:28:25,640 --> 00:28:28,000 in New England. But we could go back to Rabel 597 00:28:28,160 --> 00:28:31,599 in Tennessee. He went seven to three straight up his 598 00:28:31,759 --> 00:28:35,319 last ten preseason games, showing the ability to want to 599 00:28:35,400 --> 00:28:41,680 win on Minnesota. You know, McCarthy started last week, he 600 00:28:41,720 --> 00:28:42,720 had a good practice. 601 00:28:42,720 --> 00:28:46,440 Speaker 5: This week he's not playing. The starters are playing, and. 602 00:28:46,319 --> 00:28:48,839 Speaker 8: Dobbs is going to get a lot of action today, 603 00:28:49,079 --> 00:28:52,240 and Dobbs has had a miserable preseason. 604 00:28:52,799 --> 00:28:56,039 Speaker 5: The only way I can lean with this is New England. 605 00:28:56,359 --> 00:28:58,720 Speaker 8: But it did not get to the window because I 606 00:28:58,799 --> 00:29:02,119 needed able to say something positive or show me the rotation, 607 00:29:02,599 --> 00:29:05,039 and when they are vague or don't tell you anything, 608 00:29:05,440 --> 00:29:08,240 it's basically a no play for me, but clear lean 609 00:29:08,400 --> 00:29:11,960 for me with the Patriots. 610 00:29:12,960 --> 00:29:14,799 Speaker 1: Okay, I'm looking at the chat, but I did have 611 00:29:14,799 --> 00:29:17,160 a question because we had some news today from the 612 00:29:17,160 --> 00:29:20,799 Cleveland Browns that we're gonna see Dylan Gabriel under center 613 00:29:20,839 --> 00:29:23,920 for the Browns, and I'm seeing the Browns line at 614 00:29:24,200 --> 00:29:26,279 plus three and a half against the Eagles. Now, I 615 00:29:26,359 --> 00:29:29,480 just saw go down live to three that game, starting 616 00:29:29,519 --> 00:29:33,319 one pm Eastern. Thoughts on the Browns quarterback situation Dylan 617 00:29:33,319 --> 00:29:34,279 Gabriel now starting. 618 00:29:35,119 --> 00:29:37,440 Speaker 8: Well, you know, on a radio show last week, they 619 00:29:37,440 --> 00:29:40,359 were asking me about Sanders playing the majority of the game, 620 00:29:40,519 --> 00:29:43,079 is that a positive or a negative? And I said 621 00:29:43,160 --> 00:29:46,279 this for last week's game when the Browns won thirty 622 00:29:46,319 --> 00:29:49,480 to ten, I said, even if your second or third 623 00:29:49,519 --> 00:29:53,799 string quarterback, you remember Flacco's not getting many reps. Pickett 624 00:29:53,839 --> 00:29:57,160 was hurt, Gabriel was hurt last week. So you had 625 00:29:57,240 --> 00:30:01,400 Sanders taking almost all of the snap ups in the 626 00:30:01,440 --> 00:30:04,720 team versus team scrimmages and in the game. That's a 627 00:30:04,799 --> 00:30:08,559 positive no matter what quarterback you are well now, Sanders. 628 00:30:08,240 --> 00:30:10,440 Speaker 5: Got hurt, Pickett is still banged up. 629 00:30:10,960 --> 00:30:13,640 Speaker 8: Flaco not going to see any action, and they had 630 00:30:13,640 --> 00:30:16,200 a signed Tyrod Taylor, so you're going to see another 631 00:30:16,400 --> 00:30:19,240 quarterback in Dylan Gabriel get a ton of snaps. 632 00:30:19,279 --> 00:30:20,440 Speaker 5: I don't care if you're a rookie or not. 633 00:30:20,519 --> 00:30:22,680 Speaker 8: If you're going to play three quarters against the defense, 634 00:30:23,039 --> 00:30:26,920 you usually can have success. But you know, when I 635 00:30:27,000 --> 00:30:31,599 look at this situation, Cleveland, by the way, under Stefanski 636 00:30:32,400 --> 00:30:36,480 six and oho Ats is an away dog. Sirianni did 637 00:30:36,519 --> 00:30:40,240 win last week against Cincinnati. Prior to that, though, he 638 00:30:40,400 --> 00:30:44,799 was and e Ats at home after that thirty four 639 00:30:44,839 --> 00:30:47,839 to twenty seven win. So while the Browns are playing 640 00:30:47,839 --> 00:30:51,960 and nobody Pittsburgh is a team that has excuse me, Philadelphia, 641 00:30:51,960 --> 00:30:55,400 team that's has success doesn't care to win. So not 642 00:30:55,519 --> 00:30:57,480 to the window again, but I do have a clear 643 00:30:57,559 --> 00:30:59,200 lean on the Browns in this situation. 644 00:31:01,640 --> 00:31:04,359 Speaker 1: Tyrone Boyd, this question was for me, but I'm going 645 00:31:04,440 --> 00:31:06,400 to then relay it to you because I really don't 646 00:31:06,440 --> 00:31:10,000 bet preseason football. Last week, I'm going to tell you though, 647 00:31:10,799 --> 00:31:13,440 the Ravens catching six and a half last week was 648 00:31:13,960 --> 00:31:16,599 an absolute embarrassment for the book because they do. Always 649 00:31:16,640 --> 00:31:19,640 teams care about the preseason. I know last year was 650 00:31:19,640 --> 00:31:23,920 the first losing preseason that Ravens head coach John Harbaugh had. 651 00:31:24,319 --> 00:31:26,519 Last week, though, with the Ravens at home, I just 652 00:31:26,519 --> 00:31:28,880 thought it was way too much of an overreaction for 653 00:31:28,920 --> 00:31:32,519 a Oh, the Ravens aren't starting their starters like they're 654 00:31:32,559 --> 00:31:35,680 still a pretty deep team. But the Ravens in action 655 00:31:35,799 --> 00:31:40,400 again today for the preseason. Any thoughts here on Ravens 656 00:31:40,440 --> 00:31:43,200 at Cowboys, Ravens laying one and a half. Now, I 657 00:31:43,200 --> 00:31:45,480 feel like this is an overreaction with the Ravens winning 658 00:31:45,559 --> 00:31:46,200 last week. 659 00:31:46,960 --> 00:31:49,920 Speaker 8: Let's remember that Harpball was I think nineteen and two 660 00:31:50,000 --> 00:31:53,640 straight up over seven preseasons, but he went oh to 661 00:31:53,720 --> 00:31:56,359 six against the spread the last two years. There were 662 00:31:56,400 --> 00:31:58,759 so many people that lost so much money in twenty 663 00:31:58,839 --> 00:32:02,839 twenty three. Horriba every game, But you have to realize 664 00:32:03,400 --> 00:32:08,000 that quarterbacks and philosophy change. We've had many great preseason 665 00:32:08,079 --> 00:32:11,200 coaches that after their teams have success, they don't need 666 00:32:11,279 --> 00:32:14,000 to show anything. Houston's a team that comes to mind 667 00:32:14,039 --> 00:32:16,200 that I think is very similar to Baltimore a few 668 00:32:16,279 --> 00:32:20,359 years ago. Houston now has success. Ryan's was a preseason 669 00:32:20,400 --> 00:32:22,519 coach that needed to show his team how to win 670 00:32:22,839 --> 00:32:25,240 and give them confidence. Well, now that they've been there 671 00:32:25,240 --> 00:32:27,359 and done that, he's not playing anyone. It doesn't care. 672 00:32:27,880 --> 00:32:30,319 So for me, it's difficult to get to Baltimore. But 673 00:32:30,680 --> 00:32:33,200 Dallas is one of the number one play against teams. 674 00:32:33,200 --> 00:32:34,920 Speaker 5: I don't care who the coach is. 675 00:32:35,480 --> 00:32:38,759 Speaker 8: You have Milton playing majority of the game for the 676 00:32:38,799 --> 00:32:41,680 Cowboys today, so I lean Baltimore and I like the 677 00:32:41,799 --> 00:32:42,640 under in that one. 678 00:32:44,079 --> 00:32:47,839 Speaker 1: So I got invited to this game for Giants Jets 679 00:32:48,720 --> 00:32:51,359 Richard Lockhart. Sorry, I Dan, you put up the other 680 00:32:51,440 --> 00:32:53,359 question first, but I thought Giants are Jets. 681 00:32:53,680 --> 00:32:54,920 Speaker 2: He has Jets money line. 682 00:32:55,039 --> 00:32:57,119 Speaker 1: I was invited to this game today and I said, 683 00:32:57,559 --> 00:32:59,920 I literally could care less to go to my life 684 00:33:00,039 --> 00:33:02,519 to watch the Giants and the Jets preseason game. So 685 00:33:02,559 --> 00:33:05,880 I'm going to stay home. However, I might still watch it. 686 00:33:06,279 --> 00:33:08,640 What do you got here, Ralp, Well, I. 687 00:33:08,680 --> 00:33:10,519 Speaker 5: Really don't have much on this game, Aeriel. 688 00:33:10,640 --> 00:33:12,920 Speaker 8: And you know, guys, there's times, even if you come 689 00:33:12,920 --> 00:33:15,480 on a video, it's time to say you really don't 690 00:33:15,480 --> 00:33:19,119 have an opinion on each way. Now, I will say this, 691 00:33:19,880 --> 00:33:23,000 the Jets dominated those scrimmages. It was pretty embarrassing for 692 00:33:23,039 --> 00:33:25,119 what the Giants did when they went to mono a 693 00:33:25,160 --> 00:33:29,359 mono in their joint practices this week. But there are 694 00:33:29,480 --> 00:33:31,720 times if a coach wants to win and he was 695 00:33:31,759 --> 00:33:34,680 embarrassed in practice, he could get his team to focus 696 00:33:34,720 --> 00:33:37,599 and play well. Now I don't know the Giants situation 697 00:33:37,799 --> 00:33:41,000 well enough to know, you know, if that's going to 698 00:33:41,079 --> 00:33:43,480 be the case. But I look at the Giants, and 699 00:33:43,519 --> 00:33:44,960 you look at last week's game. 700 00:33:45,319 --> 00:33:47,000 Speaker 5: They didn't play well against the Chargers. 701 00:33:47,039 --> 00:33:47,960 Speaker 3: The Chargers are a. 702 00:33:47,880 --> 00:33:51,000 Speaker 8: Team that traditionally don't care that much hardball, changing it 703 00:33:51,000 --> 00:33:55,079 a little bit. But again, you have a new you 704 00:33:55,160 --> 00:33:58,640 have a third year head coach and Dabble and he 705 00:33:58,759 --> 00:34:01,440 is one in five ats going into this game, so 706 00:34:01,480 --> 00:34:05,119 that Dad was now one in six ats. The Jets 707 00:34:05,200 --> 00:34:08,559 need to show some positivity. They're getting a full field 708 00:34:08,559 --> 00:34:11,280 goal and now up to three and a half looking 709 00:34:11,320 --> 00:34:13,920 at the wager talk live on screen, So to me, 710 00:34:14,679 --> 00:34:17,360 Jets and the under again in this one and again, guys, 711 00:34:18,159 --> 00:34:21,639 I listened to VR segment and so many of these 712 00:34:21,679 --> 00:34:25,559 totals are inflated that if you like value, you're getting 713 00:34:25,559 --> 00:34:28,519 a point or two value on almost every game this week. 714 00:34:28,559 --> 00:34:29,679 Speaker 5: If you bet the under. 715 00:34:31,320 --> 00:34:35,679 Speaker 1: As F niner ol San Francisco Niner. Technically, he said, 716 00:34:35,719 --> 00:34:38,199 any thoughts on the Steelers game. They are home to 717 00:34:38,320 --> 00:34:41,159 night seven pm Eastern Time, getting two and a half 718 00:34:41,199 --> 00:34:42,719 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. 719 00:34:42,960 --> 00:34:45,079 Speaker 8: Wait a minute, if it's f to s four nine Ers, 720 00:34:45,119 --> 00:34:47,400 why am I looking at the Pittsburgh game. I started 721 00:34:47,440 --> 00:34:50,599 going to I started going to guy, I started going 722 00:34:50,599 --> 00:34:53,760 to my San Francisco notes, and again, Guys, I apologize, 723 00:34:53,760 --> 00:34:55,440 but a lot of this reading I just did right 724 00:34:55,480 --> 00:34:57,519 before the show, So I need to check my notes 725 00:34:57,559 --> 00:35:00,599 that I'm giving you accurate information. You know, in the 726 00:35:00,639 --> 00:35:04,000 Pittsburgh game, Tampa Bay a three point favorite. You know, 727 00:35:04,360 --> 00:35:07,679 there are so many people blowing smoke of Pittsburgh's butt. 728 00:35:07,760 --> 00:35:10,280 I mean, people are now saying this could be the 729 00:35:10,320 --> 00:35:13,280 best defense in the history of the NFL. Well, that's 730 00:35:13,280 --> 00:35:15,599 a lot to say in the preseason, but it does 731 00:35:15,760 --> 00:35:18,679 add pressure to the coaches and the players. Although many 732 00:35:18,679 --> 00:35:21,599 of them won't be playing here, Rudolph is going to 733 00:35:21,679 --> 00:35:24,159 get those to start this week. He is going to 734 00:35:24,199 --> 00:35:26,360 play a significant amount of time as they try to 735 00:35:26,400 --> 00:35:29,199 figure out who comes out of that quarterback trio. 736 00:35:29,760 --> 00:35:30,000 Speaker 5: You know. 737 00:35:30,039 --> 00:35:33,519 Speaker 8: And but for Tampa Bay, I do like Tampa Bay 738 00:35:33,519 --> 00:35:36,840 in this game, Bowle said his starters are gonna play. 739 00:35:37,559 --> 00:35:41,000 Teddy Bridgewater back with the team, will play a lot 740 00:35:41,079 --> 00:35:44,239 this week. Mayfield had the hand injury. They need to 741 00:35:44,280 --> 00:35:47,880 make sure he's ready. You thrash, who's a game time decision? 742 00:35:48,199 --> 00:35:51,360 So a lot of Teddy Bridgewater against the Pittsburgh team 743 00:35:51,400 --> 00:35:54,440 that really doesn't care to win. To me under and 744 00:35:54,559 --> 00:35:57,440 Tampa Bay for this matchup. 745 00:35:58,840 --> 00:36:02,920 Speaker 1: We've got on two, three, four, five one o'clock Eastern 746 00:36:03,000 --> 00:36:09,760 Time games coming up. Ralph Miami, Detroit, Carolina, Houston, Packers, Colts, Patriots, Vikings, 747 00:36:09,760 --> 00:36:13,800 and Browns Eagles. Out of those five games, which one 748 00:36:13,960 --> 00:36:16,079 do you like the best? I know that Andre Sellers 749 00:36:16,079 --> 00:36:17,440 asked about the Panthers. 750 00:36:18,039 --> 00:36:21,039 Speaker 8: Well, I do have a client play on Carolina Houston, 751 00:36:21,159 --> 00:36:22,719 so now it is yours for free. 752 00:36:23,320 --> 00:36:25,039 Speaker 5: This is my only client play. 753 00:36:25,079 --> 00:36:27,719 Speaker 8: Among the one o'clock games, we're getting a total of 754 00:36:27,800 --> 00:36:28,960 thirty nine thirty. 755 00:36:28,760 --> 00:36:29,400 Speaker 5: Nine and a half. 756 00:36:29,679 --> 00:36:32,760 Speaker 8: Now Carolina is going to play both their offensive and 757 00:36:32,800 --> 00:36:37,679 defensive starters for three for three series. That does give 758 00:36:37,760 --> 00:36:41,039 him against edd Houston. Houston didn't play their starters last week, 759 00:36:41,639 --> 00:36:44,320 likely not going to play their starters this week. You 760 00:36:44,360 --> 00:36:47,199 look at Denico Ryans as a head coach one in 761 00:36:47,360 --> 00:36:50,559 seven over under in preseason. He really doesn't care what 762 00:36:50,639 --> 00:36:53,880 his offense is doing now that they have success. To me, 763 00:36:54,400 --> 00:36:58,400 Lean Carolina, but the under is an actual client release. 764 00:36:59,400 --> 00:37:01,639 Speaker 2: Oh, we love to see that. 765 00:37:03,360 --> 00:37:07,039 Speaker 1: I don't do nurfes, unfortunately, Ralph, do you do nurfees? 766 00:37:07,079 --> 00:37:08,880 Speaker 2: I don't do nurfs in your I. 767 00:37:08,719 --> 00:37:11,360 Speaker 8: I you know, Ariel. That's why I haven't been on 768 00:37:11,400 --> 00:37:14,320 the show that much this year. All I've done are nursey's. 769 00:37:14,360 --> 00:37:18,320 In baseball, I do a daily nurfy report on my 770 00:37:18,440 --> 00:37:23,800 page for free wt buzzbackslash RM Monday through Friday. I 771 00:37:23,840 --> 00:37:27,719 do a daily wager Talk YouTube and TikTok videos on 772 00:37:27,880 --> 00:37:31,639 the best streaks the starters, what their no run first 773 00:37:31,639 --> 00:37:34,599 inning records are making you a better better I break 774 00:37:34,639 --> 00:37:37,000 down a segment. I give a free play every week. 775 00:37:37,039 --> 00:37:39,880 Five and one on those free plays last week. So yeah, 776 00:37:40,000 --> 00:37:42,039 do make sure you check out the videos Monday through 777 00:37:42,079 --> 00:37:45,199 Friday and head to my homepage and download the free 778 00:37:45,239 --> 00:37:48,159 Wager Talk First Inning report that is up by nine 779 00:37:48,199 --> 00:37:49,800 am Eastern Monday through Friday. 780 00:37:50,960 --> 00:37:52,800 Speaker 2: Anything else you want to promote today, Ralph, before we 781 00:37:52,880 --> 00:37:53,519 let you go here on this. 782 00:37:53,559 --> 00:37:55,280 Speaker 5: See now, how about we leave it at this. 783 00:37:55,440 --> 00:37:58,280 Speaker 8: You know, I am getting so excited for the NFL 784 00:37:58,320 --> 00:38:01,679 and college football. Last year in college football, I finished 785 00:38:01,760 --> 00:38:04,880 number two. I finished number four in the NFL after 786 00:38:04,920 --> 00:38:07,559 a bad start. But I want to leave you a 787 00:38:07,599 --> 00:38:11,679 little TNA aerial And we know TNA means exactly what 788 00:38:11,719 --> 00:38:15,480 you think it does, trends and angles. So how about this, 789 00:38:15,480 --> 00:38:19,559 this is regular season game one. If you have in 790 00:38:19,599 --> 00:38:22,719 a division opponent that has double revenge in game one 791 00:38:22,760 --> 00:38:26,320 in the NFL, you're forty seven and twenty seven sixty 792 00:38:26,360 --> 00:38:30,519 four percent against the spread. If that division team has 793 00:38:30,559 --> 00:38:33,400 double revenge and is on the road, they are twenty 794 00:38:33,440 --> 00:38:37,920 six and eleven seventy percent. If that team has double 795 00:38:38,039 --> 00:38:40,159 revenge and they're a road dog, a four and a 796 00:38:40,239 --> 00:38:43,519 half in higher ariel, how about twenty one and five 797 00:38:43,599 --> 00:38:46,760 against the spread eighty one percent. Oh yeah, by the way, 798 00:38:47,559 --> 00:38:50,119 the Giants and the Colts are the teams that fit 799 00:38:50,199 --> 00:38:54,199 in that twenty one and five ATS situation for game 800 00:38:54,239 --> 00:38:55,480 one of the regular season. 801 00:38:56,719 --> 00:38:59,400 Speaker 1: Ooh, we absolutely love to see it, and I know 802 00:38:59,440 --> 00:39:02,519 we'll have more those trends coming up on bet on 803 00:39:02,599 --> 00:39:04,559 It with Ralph, Michael says he's going to join the 804 00:39:04,599 --> 00:39:08,440 crew as always talking to my girl Kelly in Vegas 805 00:39:08,960 --> 00:39:10,119 and Sean Michael. 806 00:39:10,280 --> 00:39:13,039 Speaker 2: He is so loyal he is on every single show. 807 00:39:13,440 --> 00:39:15,639 Speaker 1: Ralph, thanks again, good luck with that thing's late of 808 00:39:15,719 --> 00:39:16,800 NFL preseason tonight. 809 00:39:17,159 --> 00:39:17,400 Speaker 5: Thank you. 810 00:39:19,079 --> 00:39:21,599 Speaker 1: We've got five minutes, and no, Dan doesn't have Premie 811 00:39:21,679 --> 00:39:25,719 Lacrosse today because Premie Lacrosse playoffs will start next week, 812 00:39:25,960 --> 00:39:29,119 so we will get that in action after. You know, PL 813 00:39:29,280 --> 00:39:31,599 was like, we just dealt with Kelly and Ariel all 814 00:39:31,679 --> 00:39:34,960 last weekend in Boston. We definitely do not need to 815 00:39:35,000 --> 00:39:36,679 deal with them again for a week. We need a 816 00:39:36,679 --> 00:39:38,920 week off and PL will be here in New Jersey 817 00:39:38,960 --> 00:39:41,320 for their championship weekend the week of my birthday, so 818 00:39:41,360 --> 00:39:43,920 I'm very excited about that as well. Before I let 819 00:39:44,000 --> 00:39:48,320 you guys go, I do have one pitcher prop that 820 00:39:48,360 --> 00:39:50,360 stood out to me today. It is at nine pm 821 00:39:50,360 --> 00:39:53,840 Eastern time, Justin Berlander under sixteen and a half out 822 00:39:53,880 --> 00:39:56,920 to minus one twenty. He's gone under in five of 823 00:39:56,960 --> 00:39:59,880 his last six games at home and Tampa Bay's only 824 00:40:00,079 --> 00:40:04,320 averaging fifteen outs per game against starters. This line also 825 00:40:04,400 --> 00:40:08,039 moved ten cents against the Giants since last night, so 826 00:40:08,239 --> 00:40:10,840 with Berlander at home, line moving against him, Tampa Bay 827 00:40:10,880 --> 00:40:14,760 averaging less than this number and including Orlander not getting 828 00:40:15,079 --> 00:40:17,400 to seventeen outs in five of his last six at home. 829 00:40:17,840 --> 00:40:20,480 I don't mind that under on outs, and I would 830 00:40:20,519 --> 00:40:23,599 also look to fade Arizona in some capacity today, as 831 00:40:23,599 --> 00:40:26,440 the line moved ten cents in favor of the Terrible Rockies. 832 00:40:27,239 --> 00:40:30,840 That's also a contrarian play since the public is ninety 833 00:40:30,880 --> 00:40:33,239 percent of action on Arizona, but that was a ten 834 00:40:33,239 --> 00:40:37,039 set move against them and Ryan Nelson. He allowed six 835 00:40:37,119 --> 00:40:39,639 runs in four innings in his last start against Cores, 836 00:40:39,679 --> 00:40:42,719 which was his only start in altitude at Cores. Nelson's 837 00:40:42,719 --> 00:40:45,159 also gone under his seventeen and a half outs in 838 00:40:45,199 --> 00:40:47,800 eleven of twelve road games. So with the fact that 839 00:40:47,800 --> 00:40:50,599 Nelson struggles on the road to begin with, plus he's 840 00:40:50,639 --> 00:40:55,199 going to coursefield and altitude, stay away from Arizona today. 841 00:40:55,360 --> 00:40:57,480 You can maybe bet the under on Nelson or fade 842 00:40:57,519 --> 00:41:00,000 him in some other capacity, but I would definitely be 843 00:41:00,280 --> 00:41:04,400 staying away from the Dbacks in Major League Baseball. I 844 00:41:04,440 --> 00:41:08,000 think that's all we've got for today's show. I think 845 00:41:08,159 --> 00:41:10,639 this is my last last call Saturday, but I think 846 00:41:11,159 --> 00:41:13,199 there is a plan for me to do Sundays in 847 00:41:13,239 --> 00:41:17,239 the NFL season, so we will see you there. Good 848 00:41:17,320 --> 00:41:19,000 luck to all your bets today. We've got a lot. 849 00:41:19,119 --> 00:41:21,239 We gave out UFC with Yanni, we gave out Major 850 00:41:21,320 --> 00:41:24,559 League Baseball with him, We've got MLB. We have NFL 851 00:41:24,559 --> 00:41:28,159 preseason with Ralph, the sole WNBA game we definitely had 852 00:41:28,239 --> 00:41:30,760 with Ronald Kbang. If you missed any of it, check 853 00:41:30,760 --> 00:41:32,840 out the Wager Talk YouTube page. If you are a 854 00:41:32,920 --> 00:41:36,079 new year, make sure to subscribe. We are very excited 855 00:41:36,119 --> 00:41:39,159 because the NFL season is almost almost here. In college 856 00:41:39,159 --> 00:41:41,960 football is almost almost here, which is why Kelly is 857 00:41:41,960 --> 00:41:45,159 out in Ireland. She's going a week zero of course 858 00:41:45,199 --> 00:41:47,480 for k State. Good luck everybody, We will see you 859 00:41:47,519 --> 00:41:50,760 again soon. I think we're gonna have Steve Merrilan next 860 00:41:50,760 --> 00:41:53,519 week filling in on Last Call again. 861 00:41:53,679 --> 00:41:55,000 Speaker 2: See you in the football season.