Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It's time for total bases. Adam
Trigger here. Brian Leonard, two man Show today. Brian, I'm
all fired up this morning. It's not just the caffeine.
It's the fact that the d Backs walked it off
late for me. Last night, I went to an oh
in Major League Baseball. We hit the three team Parlay show.
Parlay is back up.
Speaker 2: Five units on the season, and.
Speaker 1: I gotta I gotta say, like, this is the first day,
probably in about three weeks, where I've really been like
excited about the Major League Baseball slate.
Speaker 2: I think I commented on it yesterday.
Speaker 1: I feel like the last month or so is maybe
the last three weeks has been very, very difficult to handicap.
I definitely lost units in that stretch. So getting the
two and zero, we're hitting the home stretch. I feel
like I found some of the teams I want to
target going forward. I feel great this morning. How about you,
Brian Leonard?
Speaker 3: Yeah, we oh, we hit her a big play. We
had a five percent a few days. A couple days ago,
we hit a big play. Yesterday we went to and one.
I did give a small one and a half unit
on Colorado and I had written that off as the
loser of the day, and then I look and they
only lost by a run. So maybe I wasn't so
far off in the game, is what I thought. But yeah,
other than that, just about everything we talked about on
the show, I think, at least from my memory, from
my perspective, I thought we did pretty well. So I
like it when we not only hit our best plays,
but the games that we talk about on the show,
that we seem to be on the right side of that.
So I will take many of those days and that way,
if you have one of those and you get a
bad luck loser like we almost had on Cleveland yesterday,
we can deal with it a little bit better knowing
that overall we were on the right side of the
games that we discussed.
Speaker 1: Did you happen to catch the final out of the
Rockies game? If you didn't, you probably don't want to
relive it right now, but I will. I got to
bring it up since I've up a Hunter Goodman about
one hundred and fifteen miles an hour off the bat
directly at the third basement's head of foot higher and
its game over. Rockies are celebrating walking it off so
Marlin's very, very very fortunate to survive that sort of
late in and collapse. I couldn't even believe they were
still playing. I thought they were gonna call it when
it was six nothing and they almost walked it off.
Speaker 2: I'll stay out West. I'm gonna start as you see.
Speaker 1: I showed up with my hat this morning, partially because
I was running late, didn't have time to do the hair,
which is getting long and needs to get cut. But
also I said, you know what, I've thrown all that
I've been shown up in the minor league hat. I
got to give some love to one of the MLB teams.
I mean the MLB parks that I've been to, and
the Arizona Diamondbacks who cashed for me last night, and
Brian Leonard. I might have to go right back to
them today because this is one of the teams right now.
I feel like when you look at just energy, the
way they're going up day in and day out, relative
to some of the bad baseball we've seen the past
few weeks.
Speaker 2: I'm kind of in on this team right now. They
host the Giants.
Speaker 1: It's Verlander, Fott, two guys we haven't loved really, but man,
the Diamondbacks in the desert.
Speaker 2: They're tough out. Do you like them?
Speaker 3: This afternoon portagage the game since twenty five on the side?
Is that on your hat?
Speaker 2: Oh? This was? Yeah?
Speaker 1: This was the I think last year or two years
ago when they had the twenty fifth anniversary or something.
Speaker 3: Yes, I collect a lot of those for my Cleveland
teams one hundred years in the America League. Got kind
of whatever all that is. But yeah, Arizona's the closest
stadium to my house in Las Vegas. So we've gone
there many times and we've been treated very well there.
We actually had a gambling trip to Laughlin, Nevada one time,
and a bunch of you know, Marco and myself and
Chris Sanook and Ralph Michaels all went and we got
back stage, we got to, you know, be on the field.
It was a lot of fun. They treat this pretty well,
especially if you're losing money in Laughlin. Okay, let's get
to today's game. We have got Arizona in this game.
Where did they put Okay, there we go that game
nine O five lander and fought. It's basically a pick
him right now. With a total of nine slightly to
the under. I trust Ferlander a little bit more in
this than Fought. Verliner has pitched a lot better, and
he's a veteran. He's put in a lot of innings.
He's got one hundred and thirty four innings this year,
ninety last year because of injuries, one sixty two of
the year before. Uh he has not been great, but
he's got zero on under four three point nine four
with a four point two seven expected one point three
to seven whip, which is not him, but the last
two years he's been in that same basic area. He
does give up balls, which is a concern in this ballpark.
He's only in the fourteenth percentile of ground ball rate
hard he rais been pretty good seventy fifth percentile. We
know all about Verlander. His even at his age forty two,
his fastball still at ninety four miles an hour, which
is only one mile an hour worst than a normal
right hander. Brandon Fought a guy that he waiting for
and just still hasn't put it together. Three five point
three one era, five point seven to five expected one
point four all whip, and that's been a major problem
in his three seasons. He's got a one point three
to three whip and he came into the league with
a devastating arsenal where he was supposed to have been
a big strikeout guy. Well, last year he struck out
over one an inning, which is a little bit better
than league average. But this year he's only got one
hundred and thirty one strikeouts and one hundred and fifty
seven to two thirds innings. His expected batting average fifth
percentile excuse me, second percentile, expected dra fifth, barrel rayed
eighth or hit twelve, So I am concerned anytime he's
on the mound. He does throw six pitches overall, and
his four seamer at sinker at twenty four percent. I
like the way he uses a lot of pitches. The
problem is they have not been good pitches this year.
When you take a look at the bullpens here. San
Francisco has Paguero's pitched to in the last three days,
but Casey's pitched the last two days, and they got
a couple of guys they called up. Tristan Beck started.
He went forty two pitches after going twenty eight on Saturday.
So I think that's his role right now was give
him a couple ex ratings and Trey McDonald they brought
up from Triple A last year or last night and
he went thirty four pitches. I'll send him back down
and brings somebody up, I'm sure in that regard. But
if you take a look at the hitting situations San
Francisco still they were very good for a long time
and hitting now they're at ninety six the last two
weeks in that regard, and Arizona is a team that
seems to be hitting better there at one to eleven
right now. So, uh, the first thing that I think
I think of is the over and but we'll see
how it goes. It's tough to play. It's tough to
play over nine in a game with playoff positioning here,
so they're going to be treated like a playoff game.
But still, I'm not a big fan of either one
of these guys, especially Fought. I think he can get
hit here. So we'll see what happens.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I gotta tell a quick story.
Speaker 1: My favorite team in the my favorite team in any sport,
any season, was a two thousand and one Arizona Diamondbacks.
Will never come close. That is my If you were that,
I don't know if I've ever disclosed this on the show.
Not really a fan at this point, I don't really have.
I'm a fan of Santa College basketball because I went there.
That's different, but like I'm not really like a fan
of like like professional teams.
Speaker 2: But that was like my favorite team.
Speaker 1: Every two thousand and one, Arizona Diamondbacks they won the
World Series. If you're into like last night before the
game and this is up on Arizona social media, they
had Bob Melvin and Bob Brentley and Bob Melvin sit
in the dugout and watch the ninth inning of that
game on the JumboTron.
Speaker 2: Very cool.
Speaker 1: Go go to Arizona Diamondbacks YouTube. It's on there. It's
only like four minutes long. I was in tenth grade.
It was obviously right after nine to eleven.
Speaker 2: I grew up in New York.
Speaker 1: I think, like, I mean, this is I had my
history teacher who was probably like in his twenties at
the time.
Speaker 2: I wore a.
Speaker 1: Diamondbacks hat to class after they like won Game two
of the World Series. He was like, dude, you're like
basically a terrorist for rooting against the Yankees. Ballsy thing
to say right after nine to eleven, but it was
all in good fun.
Speaker 2: Probably couldn't get away with that today, but just the back.
Speaker 1: And forth and then Arizona winning that series on the
walk off again, go watch Melvin and Brentley sort of
like rewatch it.
Speaker 2: It's awesome. Love that team.
Speaker 1: Not sure I love this team as much, but man,
I am in on this Diamondbacks team right now.
Speaker 2: This is gonna be my parlay leg And you know what, I'm.
Speaker 1: In such a good mood today, Brian Leonard, this is
a four percent play for me. I'm basically running it
back from last night and I'm just gonna give it
out on the show. That's because I'm probably gonna have
more than one play today. But let me break down
why I love the Diamondbacks in this spot and why
I think they're a great bet going forward. So right now,
I think they're gonna win games in spite of their pitching.
This was part of my write up yesterday. I was
let I knew Eduardo Rodriguez might get hit a little bit,
and I was willing to just deal with it because
I felt like their lineup was in a good chance
to produce. And what happened, They went out thirteen hits,
had the leadoff man on it like seven of nine innings,
and actually they should have won by more because I'm
pretty sure they stranded the leadoff runner five or six
times in the game, still put up six runs, Still
thirteen hits. Kettle Marte's really been struggling of late, if
you sort of like he has had a poor second half.
I mean, this is a guy that had to deal
with someone like talking about his dead mother, had had
his house broken into, He's had a tough go in
a personal life this season, and the last couple of weeks.
Like even Tory Lavello yesterday before the game came out,
was like, SE's just off, hasn't really found his swing,
you know, made some like sort of comments like, yeah,
he's just not all there right now.
Speaker 2: What does he do?
Speaker 1: Goes out and gets two huge hits for them last night,
double in a single, big RBI to tie to the game,
absolutely smoke the ball like three times. I think he's
like gonna go off. So if you're a if you're
a prop person, if you're into props, look at Kettle
Marte maybe taking Verlander deep today, because that's that's the
basis of my handicap here. I think Verlander's gonna get
crushed at some point. I I was on him in
his last start, and I feel like I've I've met
him a couple of times on this run. I think
I've milked him for all I can right now. Like
he's when you look at that profile, you throw him
in this ballpark, you know, knowing that he's gonna give
up some fly ball, and then you throw like kettle Martin,
maybe he's you know, he hit the ball really really
hard three times yesterday. Like I just feel like someone's
hitting the ball out of the ballpark against Verlander. Brandon Fought.
I don't really care for him. He's We've talked about
him on this show a ton. He's not my you know,
he's not a guy I really want to back. But
can he be good enough just to match Verlander and
keep them in the game. I think so he actually
tends to pitch better at this ballpark. I'm not quite
sure how, but he does. Uh you know, for five,
he still has at night, he still has an okay fastball.
He throws strikes, So you're gonna, you know, if you're
talking about like this Giants lineup, I think they lost
their juice a little bit, Brian. This was a team
that last week all the energy, like they had all
the energy. The last three days they've had no energy whatsoever.
And even in that game last night they go up
four nothing, they did nothing for the last like six
seven innings of that game. Terrible at bats, couldn't get
anything going offensively. Meanwhile, Arizona just continue to chip away,
chip away. I'm all in on the Diamondbacks right now,
and if you're talking about them wanting to have any
chance at making the playoffs, this home game against the
Giants again is pretty much a must win because look
at their schedule coming up. It's Phillies, it's Dodgers, it's Padres.
I feel like they have to have this one. I
think Lavella is going to empty the clip if he
gets to the bullpen today. There's just no one off limits.
He threw south flank out there last night with a
bad shoulder. It's just like, I really feel like the
whole team's like, whatever you need, we want to get there.
Love the energy. Jordan Lawler running around the field with
a double bubble bucket on his hat after getting that hit.
He's had a terrible run at the big league level.
So for him to hit a ball that goes thirty
feet and turns into a walk off RBI single, massive
love the Energy, Diamondbacks minus one ten play and will
always also be my uh A client play for me,
but also my parlay late. So what are we looking at?
I think I locked it in for clients at like
minus one o eight.
Speaker 3: I see one oa out there, I will I will talk.
Martell has an ankle problem, and that's that's the deal.
Because he got second base yesterday and even the announcer said,
I'm surprised he made it so easily because of his album.
Yeah yeah, and so he could be a guy. I mean,
he still got speed, but he could be a guy
that made close up clog up the bases a little bit.
But you were mentioned favorite teams, and it's for myself.
I like to travel. I want to see every ball
I want to go to every ball club and see
their stadiums. And I used to usually go with my wife,
and so it's a lot of it is how we
are treated by the opposing fans. If if Cleveland's playing out,
will wear a Cleveland hat. And I was really impressed
by the people in San Francisco. I thought San Francisco
it was very nice people. Uh Saint Louis, Kansas City.
Not the same deal when I was in Boston for
the Red Sox. But that's I think a lot of
the fandom comes out of that, because you've got a
lot of Yankees haters, got a lot of Red Sox hitters,
got a lot of Dodgers haters, and a lot of
it is because it's tough to go to those ballparks
and enjoy yourself as a family. I understand fandom. I
understand the whole soccer situation, and a lot of teams
are like that, but it does put a bad taste
in a lot of the fans that may be coming
there just to see your stadium and may not even
have anything to do with your ball club, but want
to see the stadium and then enjoy it. Yes, it's
only baseball, man, it's don't go crazy about it.
Speaker 2: All right, We'll move on.
Speaker 1: I just had that one, had to go longer, but hey,
you got a free four percenter out of it.
Speaker 2: Collins said something about the total.
Speaker 1: Hard to talk you off the over if you're gonna
do a total in that game. It's it's almost those
two pictures with the way that the Diamondbacks are hitting, almost.
Speaker 2: Has to be an over aod says, I need that wager.
Talk Cuddie.
Speaker 1: We might be able to do something about that. DM
me on on Twitter. I'll see what I can do.
We were just talking about we might have some some
merch playing around. I'll see what I can do. Hit
me with a twitter dm uh wolf Eyes Gaming said,
I tried to do Koreean baseball for once pick three
games and hard Rock BET's avoided two of the games.
That's because it's raining big time in career right now.
I think almost every game got rained out this morning
except for maybe one or two of them.
Speaker 2: And yeah, let's.
Speaker 1: Uh, let's move it along a lot of games to
get to today. Let's uh, let let's go to Brian.
You know what, I I know this isn't like a
game that has playoff implications, but you mentioned you kind
of like the Rockies yesterday. I kind of liked the
Rockies yesterday as well, and I looked at today's matchup
I kind of think that they have a shot to
win today. So I know it's not the playoff implication game,
but there might be a good betting opportunity here. If
you remember a couple of weeks ago, I talked about
mccaid brown, who's going to get the start for the
Rockies tonight. And he's a guy that got called up
directly from He got called up directly from a Double A.
Thought he had great stuff. My cousin has seen him
play as part of the Hartford yard Goats for a
couple on a couple of occasions, and I kind of
started to look into his Double A numbers that are
very good.
Speaker 2: Was surprised that.
Speaker 1: I'm not surprised with anything the Rockies do to their
young pitchers at this point. Just assume they're going to
do something to, you know, to hinder their progress. But
they brought him up. I thought he's thrown it pretty
well at times. Now he gets the Marlins. I think
that the Rockies were unlucky to not come back and
get over the hump and win that game. Do you
have any desire in going back to them today? Plus
money and you could get the plus one and a
half only minus one fifteen. I don't know what do
you think about the Rockies in this spot.
Speaker 3: I don't like the Rockies of the spot.
Speaker 2: I know you're a Weather's guy, though, so I get that.
Speaker 3: Yeah. I looked at this line and this is what
I was planning to use on my part of the parlay,
and I guess we're going to go ahead to head
in that one I have.
Speaker 1: I'm not I'm not on the rockets yet by any means.
So yeah, don't don't let me talk you off there.
Speaker 2: Go ahead.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm going to set this down right now. Is
my parlay leg get it over quick. They're about a
one to fifty five favorite on the road here. The
reason why I like him is Weathers is going for Miami.
He's a lefty. Love Weather's going against Brown totally is
about ten and a half on this game. Look at
Brown and he's twenty five years old, six or six,
so he's got a great extension ninety fifth percentile. But
other than his hard he rates not been bad. But
it's just it is a small sample size. He's pitched
four games, he's got to he's on four with a
nine point eight eight expected seven point oh two whip
of two point one two, So his results have been horrendous.
I don't think he's that bad. He does throw four pitches.
He uses his sinker, slider, curve, and change. I like
that repertoire, and especially in in for the Rockies to
somebody they don't have. The problem is these are all
breaking pitches, and as we know in Colorado, the balls
don't break as much, and that is a concern when
he's pitching at home on the road. I think he
may be a guy we find some value in, but
I don't. I do not like his numbers that he's
gotten so far. It's a small sample size, but he's
not pitched well. Ryan Weathers is a guy that you know.
He's been great lately the last couple of years. Last year,
in eighty six innings, he had a three point sixty
three ERA one point one eight whip. This year in
twenty nine innings, two point seven three ERA three point
oh four expected to one point oh four whip. He
does not have the extension. That's his worst part. His
chase rate and his extension are poor, but his fastball
veloses in the eighty eighth percentle He throws six pitches. Basically,
he's a four seam change and sweeper pitcher, but his
foresame he throws the most, which is probably good here
in Colorado because the breaking pitches don't break, and it's
ninety seven point one miles an hour, which is four
mile an hour faster than a normal lefty. His fastball
velocity eighty eight percent tole you see a lot small
Samul size because it's only twenty nine innings on the season,
but it's a lot of red when you take a
look at his stack cast page and when I took it,
take a look at the bullpens here, the Marlins come
in and they're a pretty good shape in the bullpen.
They had. They used three guys yesterday, Peterson a long
reliever for twenty nine pitches. Hernandez had to go twenty
one to get to save Phillip sixteen. But everybody else
has not pitched, you know, three days. I think that's
a big advantage here in Colorado. We've talked about them
in the past about their starting pitcher has been so
bad that they got to use the bullpen more than
a normal team. Well, their bullpen's not bad off right now.
They were off on Monday yesterday by at ten pitches,
Hill to Molina, long reliever for thirty one, so both
bullpens are in pretty good shape. Here, so I don't
want to go with the over. In fact, if I
played it, I may play the under. But either I
want to go with the Miami side, which is in
that one fifty five range, or I wouldn't be opposed
to taking the team total for Colorado under. And they's
sitting at four and a half, basically flat, so they'd
have to score five runs to beat you here. They
did get five last yesterday, but all caame in one inning.
They have not been hitting well at all lately. Anyway,
let me take a quick look at Colorado's scoring over
the last few days. Looking at the schedule, They've scored
five yesterday, six the day before three four zero zero
two one one. That's not something I expected're going to
score five runs here in the granted a lot of
those are all those games around the road. Now they're
playing at home, but still yesterday we saw them score
score five. I don't I don't think they get there today.
So either Miami in the game or I would not
have any problem with Colorado team total under and the
Miami said will be my part of the parlay. They're
one fifty five right.
Speaker 2: Now, Yeah, I'll tell you.
Speaker 1: I mean the Rockies said no business scoring five runs
in that game yesterday. There was no energy in the
ball I think everyone left the ballpark, to be honest,
there was early anyone there because there was a rain delay.
Speaker 2: I was shot.
Speaker 1: I was like, Oh, these two teams rain and death,
like they're gonna this is gonna be called six nothing.
All of a sudden my phone, I looked down. Mickey
Moniac's hitting a three run homer and then they've got
something going in the ninth. It was just like, you
know that that honestly really encompasses. I feel like what
a Marlins Rockies game third week of September right now
is going to look like? Uh so, let me let
me go back to mccaid brown, because I actually think
you might be onto something with the under. Yesterday's game
had no business getting to eleven runs. I don't think
today's is gonna get to eleven runs. I think the
one thing that personally would keep me off the Rockies
on the plus one and a half is Weathers. I
like him too. You've made a great case for him
pretty much all season. He's not a guy that I
necessarily want to go against, but but I I am
a somewhat. I do think mcaid brown might be the
best young R in their organization. Now, did they do
him any favors calling him up right from Double A?
Speaker 3: No?
Speaker 2: Why do I say that?
Speaker 1: Well, Albuquerque is is the way a lot of these
guys get acclimate to altitude, right, So it's like the
nice part about having Triple A in Albuquerque is it's
roughly the same altitude as Coursefield. So you get guys
that sort of get to figure out, Okay, this is
what altitude feels like. And then when you get called
up from from Albuquerque, you don't. It's not like, oh,
it's my first time at course Field. I've never felt
this way before. It's okay, this is the same as
playing in Albuquerque. When you go directly from Double A Hartford,
Connecticut to Coursefield, that's a little bit of a you know,
that's a little bit bit of a shock to the system. Now,
this will be his third go at course. The first
two weren't great, so you know that that's I guess
would be the anti mccaid brown. The good the pro
mcaid brown stuff is the fact that he's looked better
in the minors than any of these other guys. So
like when I've watched what I've seen from him so far,
which hasn't been much, has been more impressive than like
palm Quist a little bit and Dollander, I felt like,
I don't know, I just felt like when they were
called up, it was it was going to be somewhat
bad news, and it kind of was.
Speaker 2: Whereas he's been really, really.
Speaker 1: Impressive at Double A, and I understand why they were
so sort of you know, why they were so eager
to be like, let's just put this kid out in
the big leagues and see what he can do now.
Last time out at San Diego, I thought he was
pretty good. I know, I know, it was like the
line isn't overly, doesn't jump off the page. He pitched
into the fifth inning in that game, only gave up
two runs. I want to say that was a two
nothing final and it was a pitcher's duel.
Speaker 2: Nothing. The Padres ended up winning that game. I thought
he threw it well.
Speaker 1: I still think he's got one really good outing in him.
He's probably gonna get two more starts this game and
whatever whoever he plays next, So he's someone I want
to play on.
Speaker 2: I think if I had to bet the side.
Speaker 1: I'd probably personally be taking the plus one and a
half of the Rockies, but maybe the under is the
better way to go because there was no energy in
that game until the very last inning last night. I
think you could get another sort of deflated type game,
especially if both pitchers are cruising under ten and a half.
You always get these inflated totals at course Field, so
maybe a full game under ten and a half. I
can't really like. I don't know if I have enough
conviction to like go head to head with you. I
know you like the Marlins and I like Weathers as well,
so I'll leave it with the total under ten and
a half, and Brian's going to put the Marlins on
the side in the parlay.
Speaker 2: So two teamers locked in.
Speaker 1: Who knows, maybe we'll agree on something and make it
a three teamer before the end of the show.
Speaker 3: Let me just point out from the winds direction right now,
the first hour of the game wins blowing in from
right to left twelve miles an hour and an hour,
two eleven miles an hour straight in hour three supposedly
slightly out to left a four. It's really early, so
it's hard to take any of that with you take
it all with a grand assault. But the wind is
let's just say, the win's not blowing out Colorado today,
which when in the weather's gets pretty hot there, anything
can fly. But now now that we're getting farther into
the season here and in September, you've got to worry
about more of the bad weather coming to Colorado. And
luckily I don't have to worry about that being in
Las Vegas right now.
Speaker 1: Rick Reynolds says, I'm going to miss the show so
much after October. I think you guys nailed every game
he analyzed yesterday a couple things.
Speaker 2: So we very much appreciate that.
Speaker 1: The days that we come on here and talk about
things and they all win, as always our our favorite
days even better when we win our own bets, which
I did yesterday at least, and I think Brian did
as well. And if you are into college basketball, I'm
bringing the same show back, same format, different panel, although
maybe we'll get Brian Leonard to to hop in every
once in a while. I have no idea if I'm
allowed to announce this yet or not, but I'm gonna
anyway because I don't see why not I mean that
we're going to do this show, but leave it will
be myself, Brian Power, and Rob Veno doing this same
show but for college Whoop. So if you don't like
college basketball, we'll see you in in March or April.
Now it's March, Mark, if we start the season in March.
But if you do like college who we'll be here
all winter. So we're not going anywhere. And yeah, we're
gonna we're gonna keep this exact same format. It is
going to be a much bigger undertaking with three hundred
and sixty teams, but we're prepared to do that.
Speaker 2: So Yeah.
Speaker 3: I've worked with Rob Veno for about twenty five years
out here in Vegas before he he moved to Pennsylvania.
And I've always loved listening to Mark or a Robbino.
I've always loved listening to you because you both explain
things so well. When when you're handicamist, many times I
will sit back and I agree when you when you
bring something up that I forgot about. You've read the
same things that I have. You've put in those same
work that I have. I just can't remember everything a
lot of times, And when I listened to Rob. He
breaks down games great. So yeah, and I've I've only
done a few segments with Brian Power over the years.
He's very good also, so I'm excited to see that
show from you.
Speaker 1: Now that Cocain is no longer with us. I think
Rob's got the biggest brain at wager Talk. I feel
like he's got more in that in that head than anyone.
Speaker 3: He thinks outside the box a little bit. And I've
always loved that Dave Molinsky was in our industry, and
unfortunately he passed, but Dave was like that. I always
learned something when I sit next to Dave. Always learned
when I sit next to Coke and and talk about things.
I just love having guys on the panels that I
really learned from myself, and I appreciate it.
Speaker 2: All right, Colin, we'll get back to the games.
Speaker 1: We've got some day Baseball on the South Side Orioles,
White Sox. These are haven't been able to find my
way into the series yet, Brian, because kind of two
teams I'm not dying to go against. You know, White
Sox were a team that I was sort of on
out of the gate in the second half, felt like
they maybe ran out of steam a little bit, but
you know they they still have a lot of young
guys fighting for spots. I love the way Will Venibules
managed that team very much like a developmental style team.
And then the Orioles have really been very, you know,
very game in every game they've played for the most
part since they called up the younger guys. Doesn't mean
they win every day, but they have been a tough out.
I would say both these teams have been tough out.
Speaker 2: Orioles.
Speaker 1: You know, they did get swept by the Blue Jays,
will give him a pass there. They bounce back when
the first two games of this series of the White
Sox were sort of red hot at the beginning of
this month. Then they ran into your Cleveland Guardians, who
are the hottest team in the league right now, and
now they've lost five straight since.
Speaker 2: So I'll go to you.
Speaker 1: Do you think the White Sox break their losing streak today?
Speaker 3: I'm I'm glad we're talking about this game. Obviously, it's
one of the day games. The Cubs in Pittsburgh started
at nine to thirty five. Keep that in mind, there's
a lot of day games today and they are starting
a little bit earlier. Wells and Prez I. Both these
guys have neither one has got a great reputation, but
they both pitched extremely well this year, both lefties. Wells
is about a one and maybe about a one eighteen
favorite right now total eight to the over eight and
a half to the under Tyler Wells. Keep in mind
this guy hasn't really pitched a lot innings since twenty
twenty three, had one hundred and eighteen innings, three point
sixty four IRA's ther up point nine nine whip. He
was very good at that point last year, only through
fifteen innings. This year he's at eleven, but because of injuries.
But he's been very good this year. Two point three
one era two point three expected zero point six whip.
Obviously that's not going to continue, but he's good. He's
a guy that doesn't have a high whip in his career.
At one point oh three throws five pitches is forour
seemer thirty five percent of the time, only ninety two
point nine miles per hour, so he doesn't have a
lot of velocity on that is only in the twenty
seven percent isle in velocity. But his walker rate's been great.
Chase rate's been great, and uh, he's pitching very well
right now, and he has that abilities when he's when
he's healthy. Martin Perez comes in with a one to
five record and he goes, yeah, that's Martin Perez. But
think about Martin Perez in his fourteen year career. He's
ninety one to ninety two. He does have a four
point four to one ERA. One point four to three
whip is really the concern. But this year three point
two seven e RA five point two two expected, So
he's pitching with a lot of good luck one point
zero five whip, which is something we're not used to sing.
But as much as his numbers say, three point two
seven ray, oh, he's doing pretty well well. He's still
the same old numbers. If you look at his stack
gas page average Jackson velocity is seventy first percentile. That's
what's good. Everything else is poor. He's in barrel ray
first percentile, fastball velocity third expected, the IRA eleventh. He's
gonna get lit up eventually. And this Baltimore team does
have some young bats that I like here in this game,
as I I like Wells much better as a pitcher
than Perez. Uh, get a couple of lefties. I prefer
the lefties over the righty, especially forget for the younger
teams they seem most is a is a pretty good idea.
Mostly younger teams don't hit the lefties as well as readies,
so and these are two very young teams, So uh,
someone like Baltimore in this game, I would like to
play the under, but I'm not sure I trust Perez enough,
so I'll probably be sitting this one out.
Speaker 1: Yeah, my first sort of gut when I saw this
matchup was that's going to be a good under bet.
And I feel like the books kind of did their
job here making it eight flat. You might be able
to get a juiced under eight and a half, but
I don't really trust the bullpens enough to like want
to get involved with like laying juice on an under
eight and a half. Just too many ways to get
to four to four or have someone melt down in
the later stages of this game. So I just feel
like the books price that appropriately. I still think I
can make a case for the under. I just don't
think you've got enough wiggle room there at under eight.
Reason I would make a case for the under, and
maybe you could find something to do with this is
I think you got two pitchers where it feels like
may to them because they, you know, Tyler Wells. So
this is the nice thing that the Orioles did for
Wells and for Kyle Bradish. The Orioles knew very they've known,
they've been out of it for a long time. They've
got up, they got off to such a bad start
that the season has been kind of been over since June,
and so they really let Bradish and Wells have like
almost like a full spring training experience in terms of
their rehab, where it was like very drawn out, built
their arms back up. There was absolutely no rush to
get them back to the big league level. And now
they roll in late August when when everyone's exhausted, everyone's
getting the innings are piling up.
Speaker 2: Both of that. I mean, Wells looks like as fresh
as can be.
Speaker 1: Okay, I mean it's only been two stars, but you
even said it, Brian zero point six to zero whip.
Speaker 2: He's throwing the ball great. Bratishs throwing the ball great.
Speaker 1: I think the big reason a part of one of
the reasons both of them continue to throw it.
Speaker 2: Well, it's like the season's just starting for them.
Speaker 1: It's May fifteenth for them right now, whereas a lot
of these other guys, you're starting to get into the
one hundred and ten, one hundred and twenty, one hundred
and thirty hundred and forty innings.
Speaker 2: That's tough.
Speaker 1: It's a lot of innings, and you start to see
a decline in in you know, for some guys when
they when the innings start to build up. These two
guys are just they're letting it rip right now because
you know they're they're there. It's the throwaway season for them.
So a guy like Wells is just going out there,
he's letting it rip. He knows he's only got another
two weeks and he's going to shut it down. I
think he you know, he's pitching well. I think he
probably pitched fine regardless, but I do think that that's
helping him. Look the way he's looked through the two
starts since coming back. Now, Martin Perez a little bit different.
He started the year, had to shut it down, missed
a considerable amount of time and has come back. But again,
the White Socks were in no position to have to
rush him back. And since he's been back he's I
think he's thrown it well. He's a veteran. You know,
he's going to go out there. And that's one thing
about Martin Perez. I think he's no matter what team
he's been on, this guy always goes out and gives
you a professional effort, gives you like a good outing,
always prepared. I feel like he's one of those guys
that's done more with less in his career from like, uh,
you know what, He's got the talent that he has,
but he's always seemed to maximize it. So yeah, I
have no issues with the with an under eight. And
what I will say about the Orioles, as you know,
as much as I like this young group, they're still young.
Speaker 2: The lineup has looked bad at times, like.
Speaker 1: This particular lineup since you know, since like Jackson, like
some of the younger guys have come up. They've had
their moments like in like a game like last night
where they score eight runs, thirteen hits, win a game
eight seven, but then they've always they've also had games
where they just straight up gone cold and haven't done
much of anything. So if you get that today from
the Orioles, I don't think there's any way that this
gets to more than nine runs. I think I'm with you, though,
if I if you absolutely pin me down for a
side play here, I think it would just have to
be Wells and the Orioles, because I love the way
he's throwing the ball.
Speaker 3: Yeah, if you take it. I mentioned this yesterday with
Detroit with the lefty. Right thing is sure enough. Carpenter
comes in lefty, I guess already in the last inning.
It hits the home run to tie it with two
outs in the ninth. But because there is a lefty,
we're probably gonna get mile Castle and O'Neill as opposed
to Beavers and Beaver's and maybe Carl Center. We'll see
how it goes, but I trust the veterans a little
bit better in that regard. And O'Neil is hitting a
lot of barrels right now since he's come back from
the IL, and plus Jordan Westberg back yesterday not only
comes back his first game off the IL, he bats
clean up in the DHS, So they got a nice
bat back in the line up here. And I do
like the way some of these younger kids are starting
to play. Kobe Mayo, their number two organizational player last
two weeks or last seven days, the sixty eighth best
hitter in Major League Baseball according to Roster Resource and
BEAVERSUS fifty third. Henderson finally is starting to come out
of at seventy five holiday eighty seven, So some of
their younger guys are starting to get a little warmed
up here, and I've been looking to play place bets on.
Baltimore have done it a lot in the second half
of the season, and we've had a success in that.
So yeah, Leene Baldemar here, but probably not enough to
get to it.
Speaker 1: All right, let's go with Memphis money, he says. Boston
rolls again today. This is I believe are we are?
Speaker 3: We still?
Speaker 2: Is this another day game right here?
Speaker 1: I know there's a lot of day baseball today, and
I know that the folks like to ask about the
day game. So yeah, this is Oh no, I'm sorry,
this is this is the first one of the first
ones off the board on the night state. It's all right,
We're still going to talk about it. A's Red Sox
Meanphis Money, says The Red Sox roll again today? Do
you do you agree or disagree?
Speaker 3: Well, he didn't roll yesterday they rolled over. They lose
that game two to one to the White Sox or
excuse me to the to they.
Speaker 1: They did lose, Yes, so the the Red Sox lot. Yes,
they they rolled I think on on Sunday Night baseball
or Sunday Night eighties.
Speaker 3: But yes, that was a bit. That was a big
important win for them. And they turn around and play
a lesser team and and uh Sacramento on the road
and they only score one run. Uh this ball. I'm
concerned about this Boston team. Barnet's going against Gilito here.
Giulido's about a one to fifty five favorite. Yeah, one
fifty five. I'd say a total of nine. Barnett's going
for Mason Barnett going for the A's. Got three games, started,
only gone twelve innings. His whip's been real high one
point eight nine. Got an eight point five to three
RA three point four to two expected though, so his
numbers are a lot better than what he has shown.
Throws four pitches his four singer fifty two percent of
the time, but it's a little bit less than a
league average for a right hander. That's probably not good
when you're twenty four years old and you're not even
a league average from a right hander. So I have
some doubts about Barnett. But his heart hit rates so
far has been pretty good. Average X philosophy has been
pretty good. So maybe he's got something. Maybe he's got
some little bit deception that can work for him today
or tonight. Look as Gioledo still pitching, I believe he
got to one of his UH spots that he needed
to get so many innings or whatever to get bonuses
and all these guarantees and stuff. And if also wasn't
in the playoffs. In the playoff run, I think they
probably would have benched you Aledo so they wouldn't have
to pay that money. I know a lot of teams
would have.
Speaker 2: Cleveland would have hired, the Pirates certainly would have.
Speaker 3: PRIs would have, Miami would have. Yeah, but he comes in.
It's got that nice ten to four record three point
three one ERA, but is expected as five point zero two,
one hundred and thirty six innings, only one hundred and
thirteen strikeouts. His extension is very good at seventy two percent,
but everything else is in the blue, which means not good.
He only throws four pitches. In fact, basically three pitches
for seamer, slider and change ninety six percent of the time,
and his for seemer that he throws the most forty
eight percent is only ninety three point three percent. So
we've got a couple guys here that I think can
get hit, and so that would be the first thing
I would look at, is possibly playing this game over.
It's sitting at nine. Boston's a very good hitting ballpark,
and of course we've seen some of these athletic bats.
They got some good young talent on that team. Slightly
into the over here, I can't lay this number with Boston.
I just don't trust this Boston offense right now. And
Burnett's he's got some stuff. He could come out and
give him a good game. But the way Boston's playing,
just because they need to win doesn't mean they're going
to win, and so I can't get behind them here.
But I somewhat like the over slightly.
Speaker 2: Yeah, So I'm with you on the being out on
the Red Sox until Roman Anthony comes back.
Speaker 1: I'm out on this team. I talked about this right
around the time he got hurt. He is I truly
believe he was was the I know that the run
started like a couple of days before he got called up.
But I believe, I believe when he got called up,
Devers was still there. So like the whole thing, like
calling up Roman Anthony, they moved Devers I was I
didn't mind that because it was going to basically open
up the spot for him to play every day. Remember
at the time they still had Marcelo Mayer like that,
that was like the lineup.
Speaker 2: I wanted to get behind.
Speaker 1: And then even though Mayer got hurt, Roman Anthony is
just I think he's gonna be sort of like the
next Bryce Harper, if you will, like that type of
guy for the next decade. So to lose him at
this time of the year, I just don't think has
been sort of priced into the number enough. Like I
truly believe he is that important to this Red Sox team,
specifically their offense.
Speaker 2: Now.
Speaker 1: Doesn't mean they're not gonna get runs today, no, Because
I'm not super high on Barnett. This is someone that
the A's were very high on him coming into the year.
He was awful, awful, awful awful at triple A to
start the year. He did make a little bit of
an adjustment started to throw the ball better. You know,
maybe right out of the All Star break. But this
is not a guy that I've been impressed with at
all this season. Kind Of I think they called him
up because why not, A's are out of it. They
probably just want to, you know, maybe want to see if,
like the big league pitching coaches can can help him
or do anything with him. I mean, he is a
pretty high draft pick. I know that the A's had
high hopes for him. He was one of the better
minor leaguers at Double A last year for them. He's
shown me very little at Triple A, and he really
has shown me nothing yet in the big leagues. I mean,
you know, it hasn't been great yet for him in
the bigs either, So I don't I don't know that
I love him going into Fenway and just dealing. So
I think even with even though I'm not high on
the Red Sox offense at all, nine reduced juice on
the over seems like the play because we know the
A's can hit.
Speaker 2: We know they're gonna swing out a lot.
Speaker 1: You know, if Giolito's in the zone, which he usually is,
the A's can can make some contact and drive in
some runs, and even with Anthony out of the lineup,
which has made me downgrade the Red Sox considerably, They're
still gonna probably find their way to some runs here
because I'm just not high on Barnett. So I'll give
you the over over nine. Not something I'm gonna play
for clients, but wouldn't be surprised if the runs that
didn't come last night come tonight at Fenway.
Speaker 2: Okay, let's keep it going. Let's get another one.
Speaker 1: We've already we've already got the parlay locked in, but
we still have fifteen minutes left, so let's get to
a couple guys asked about this game.
Speaker 2: I'll go here, Brian Leonard.
Speaker 1: The other day, you were talking about maybe wanting spots
to fade the Angels Turnbuckle. Tommy loves the Angels today,
he says, I love the Angels first five plus a half,
may even sprinkle the first five money line.
Speaker 2: Now.
Speaker 1: I feel like the Brewers are a team that we
haven't haven't necessarily been dying to back because of course
they've kind of had things wrapped up. But they're a
pretty big favorite against this Angels team today. So out
in Milwaukee tonight Brewers, Angels. Do you want to comment
on Tommy's first five and do you have anything for
this game?
Speaker 3: Well, let's take a look at with Lanya's on the
first five forum. We're looking at the first five. We've
got Woodroff about a one sixty favorite comeback about one
forty on Soriano. Total is four slightly to the under.
That's probably not enough to get me involved. I would
need a little bit more if I wanted the Angels here.
The Angels are a team, as you had mentioned, I'm
looking to fade. If you followed the Angels, they did
get that nice run early on, and they have done
nothing since they They had been special, especially a team
I'm looking to fade. Problem is the lines are usually
too high to do so, and they find ways to lose,
and who finds ways to win? The Milwaukee Brewers the Brewers.
I don't care who you're a fan of in Major
League Baseball, you have to enjoy watching The Milwaukee Brewers
are the most fun team that you could tell. The
love and the camaraderie in the dugout. They love the coach,
they love playing for Milwaukee, and it's a smaller town
area similar to the Clevelands and the Pittsburgh's and you
know in the Baltimorees where you get that love affair
with the fans, and obviously the Bob Yuker stuff is
really risen this this team to new levels. So if
a game is in balance, who do you want? If
the Angels have a one run lead going into the
Let's say that going into the eighth inning, the Angels
have a one run lead, You've got to think the
Brewers are still favored in the game. So I can't
get behind the Angels here. I know Soriano is a guy.
I like his groundball percentage hundred percent tile. He doesn't
give a lot of home runs, but this is somewhat
of a middling home run park, maybe maybe slightly better
than normal. But Soriano four point one three Ira four
point one to Ozho expected one point three a whip.
He does have that problem with the getting too many
players on base avera Jacksonville lost a six percentile hard
hit rate, fifth walk grade sixteenth. There's parts of Sorriano
I like, but it's been a long season. Let me
check his innings here before I leave his place. He's
in one hundred and sixty seven innings. That's more than
he's had the last two years combined. It may start
be starting to add up to him him, So I'm
not standing in line to bet on him in this game.
Woodruff guy who comes in with a three point three
two ERA, two point twenty six expected expected the last
the last year he pitched was twenty twenty three. He's
expected that year was two point seventy nine to two,
and he was two point two eight on his actual ERA.
This is a guy. He's got a great whip in
eight seasons, one point oh four whip, and he's got
a fifty two to twenty eight record three point one one.
He's an elite pitcher, and he's because of not pitching
last year and only throwing sixty seven innings in twenty
twenty three, he's a fifty nine point two and as
you talked about, he's the guy that is starting to
reach mid season form for himself because he waited so
long to bring him up. They wanted to be sure.
And he's got a lot of red on a SaaS
cast page throws six different pitches and he doesn't throw
the fourth singer that much, only thirty two percent of
the time. Which is basically with that with his sinker,
are the two that he throws the most. I like Milwaukee. Now,
I'm not gonna lay this two to one, two to
one line here, but maybe I could play the Angels
team total under. Let me take a quick look at
that ange team total under three and a half to
the under one fifty. Quick look at the Milwaukee bullpen.
Let me do that real quick here. Breweries, Okay, from
a bullpen standpoint, they're in really good shape. Ureba hasn't
pitched in three days. County the last two Ashby, last two, Meyers,
the last three. Yeah, they're really set up on bullpen.
So I think the under three and a half team
total here for the Angels is probably the way I
would go. And that's basically a minus one forty five.
I like that better than having to lay the full
number on, laying two dollars or whatever here on that team.
Speaker 1: So, and I see to you, Tommy first five money line,
I'm talking about full game. Yeah, I I don't think
i'd want any part of the Angels full game. So, like,
here's the thing, I get where Tommy's coming from when
you look at Soriano, Because this dude will get crushed
for a couple of games and then he comes out
and it's like seven scoreless, eight strikeouts, just total wipeout effort.
I would be terrified to back Soriano against the Brewers,
and the reason why is because he is bottom five
percent in the league in hard hit and exit velo.
And we know when when Soriano is on, he's getting
ground balls. He is one of the highest groundball rates
in the league, but he still gets up a lot
of hard hit. That's not what you want against the
Brewers because they are fast as hell.
Speaker 2: They have great team speed.
Speaker 1: Like I don't know how to quantify this, but they're
they're they're so blessed this year.
Speaker 2: Every ball they hit has eyes, it finds a hole.
Speaker 1: I've never you know, they're they're just like they like
it's not really like a great handicap, but like I
have one of my best friends is like a die hard,
die hard Cubs fan. So but I end up in
a lot of NL Central conversation just you know, because
I talk to a Cubs fan that that follows the
team die hard every day, and I just hear him
complain about how how you know the horseshoe up the
butt for this Brewers.
Speaker 2: Team essentially this year, where it's like.
Speaker 1: Every hit is timely, Oh two outs, guy in second,
you know that ball is getting through grounders infield singles,
they're they're fast, they steal bases. That concerns me against
a guy that gives up a lot of hard hit
on the ground, because that's kind of what.
Speaker 2: The Brewers are going to do to you.
Speaker 1: They want to get a guy on, they want to
put him in motion, hit through, hit through the hole,
steal a base. So that that to me is not
the best matchup for Soriano. That's being said, I see
where he's coming from. Like Soriano a couple of bad outings,
this is kind of where he comes out and throws
six scoreless because that's what he does. So if you're
looking at the first five, you know this is a
tough game. I will say this, I want no part
of fading the Brewers in the full game. Right now.
I think they think they can get to one hundred wins.
Like when I watch this team play. I watched a
little of that game last night they blew the Angels out.
I think that they might have one hundred wins in
their sights as like a maybe a goal. Now, if
they lose the next couple, that that's done. But if
they were to finish off this sweep against the Angels
and need six wins in the final, like what nine
games to get to one hundred, that could be something
that motivates them a little bit.
Speaker 2: It's kind of a milestone again.
Speaker 1: I just think that like they're still playing for something
even though they have nothing to play for, and kind
of goes back to what Brian said. So, yeah, that's
an interesting game. Tommy says he's not taking Angels full game. Listen,
I think you're gonna know very quickly whether you're on
the right side with Soriano first five or not, because
he's either gonna come out throw five scoreless or he's
gonna get Nickel and dime to. I have to be
down for nothing in the first inning. Be interesting to watch,
that's for sure. Okayjave Cash says Reds today, Well, I
went I was on the Cardinals yesterday. I was right
about that. But this has been a very competitive series
so far. And Mike McGreevy, he said it came out
and threw a great game last night. I'm not winning
that game on the Cardinals without Mike McGreevy going something
like seven innings, totally shut them down, made so many
good pitches and Cardinals got it done three Nothing. That
being said, you got Brady Singer Palente today.
Speaker 2: I don't know Howvey.
Speaker 1: I think this one might set up a little bit
better for the Reds too, But I think I'm out
right now because this has been a really good series
and the Cardinals.
Speaker 2: I like the way they're playing. Brian Leonard. Anything for you,
Red's Cardinals for Hobby.
Speaker 3: Yeah, the Reds only a three percent chance to make
the playoffs. Now, they have a losing record, three games behind,
and they've they've fallen behind the Diamondbacks and they're tie
with the Giants. Right now, we're looking at basically ten
games left in the regular season. It's going to be
very tough for the Reds to get there. And I
will say they they dropped the shortstop down in the
order the other day, and I like it because he's
he's been horrendous in the second half of the season.
He's your team leader, he's your future, and he has
not lived up to it. I don't want any part
of the Reds here from the standpoint of the line
where we're looking at Singer against Polante. Here, Singer is
about a one to fifteen favorite. He's pitched very well.
He's been a nice signing for them in the offseason.
Polontes normally not a guy I'm looking to. Back total
is eight and a half here, and when you're taking
a look at Cincinnati for Singer, I prefer him in
this game. I think he is the better starter in
this game. Comes up with a three point ninety four.
He are a four point one six expected, but yet
his extension is in the ninety first percentile, and everything
else is blah good, slightly good. I mean he's he's
not great, and uh so we may it some runs here.
Polonte five point two to three e er a four
point three three expected. It's got a terrible whip. He's
pitched four seasons. His whip is one point four to
one in his career. He's a big ground ball pitcher,
and but and it keeps him off balance with his
barrowt a little bit. But fifth percentile strikeout rate. He
chased rate eighteenth with twenty four. So we've got two
pitchers I would prefer to go against in this game.
We're getting a total of eight and a half in
Saint Louis, which is a pretty decent Headeri's Park. We
talked a little bit about that yesterday. Light link into
the over. Probably won't get there. I hate to put
on money on Cincinnati right now. They look like they
may have may have basically gotten to the point now
where it's time. They've been in such a battle to
try to get in this up playoff position and they're
they're not somebody that I want to trust right now.
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's that's kind of the vibe I got watching
them yesterday. Now, obviously I was I had my reasons
for being on the Cardinals. One of one of the things,
one of the things on that I like about the
Cardinals is they really have felt like one of these
teams that for the most part over the last few weeks,
they they've really brought a very solid effort on a
daily basis where it's like, you know, and that'll go
to last night, like McGreevey taking the ball there, you know,
seasons probably over as it is, but definitely over if
they lose, goes out, throws a great game, makes many
good pitches, and that's like you know, Nolan Arnado big
spot where he you know, gets a third to first
double play. Like they're just making plays and they're playing
good ball, much more so than the Reds, who I
really feel like find ways to beat themselves. This has
happened all year, Like with the talent that the Reds
have on this roster, that seventy five and seventy six
record is for one and one reason only, and that
is because they beat themselves.
Speaker 2: They do not.
Speaker 1: This Reds team is just doesn't play like winning winning baseball.
They do sometimes they do, and it's when they do
it's fun to watch because you're like, man, there's a
lot of talent on this team. You just look at
the run differentials Reds plus twenty two, Cardinals minus fifty four.
Like the Reds are probably the better of these two teams,
but you just don't always get that, like like big.
Speaker 2: Time effort from the Reds.
Speaker 1: If anything, they beat themselves and it's not exactly what
I want to bet on, especially now after they lose yesterday.
Now they're three back. I'm kind of with you there, Brian,
Like do that how do they get off the mat? Here?
Speaker 2: They're on the road. It's a day game.
Speaker 1: But if we're just talking about matchup and we're just
talking about like this this team versus this team, this
team versus this pitcher, I'd much rather have singer. Polente
is a guy that I think is one of these
guys that the organizations love to have a guy like
this because, like they've talked about this on Memphis Redbirds
broadcast before, he will do anything that's asked of him.
He does it with a smile on his face. He's
all he prepares, he's a he's a professional, and like
you'll you'll see, like if you can find guys like this,
like they probably don't have to pay him much, they can.
If they need him to go out of the bullpen,
he'll do it. They need him to start a game,
he'll do it. They need him to go back to
Memphis and be a starter and just chill, he's gonna
do it. He's not gonna complain. Organizations love having a
guy like this that they can just rely on. I
think that's what Plente has become for the Cardinals. Doesn't
mean he's very good, no, Like he's probably what he
is five e r A you know era mid five
uh one four three whip the guy's got fourteen losses
on the air. I don't think it's I don't think
he's at this point in his career. I don't think
you're gonna like kill his confidence. I think he just
understands what his job is and his role is in
the organization, and the Cardinals know that right now they
don't have a better option. I'm surprised that they call
Quinn Matthews up for this spot, but he kind of
had injuries, and I feel like the Cardinals that might
be another thing that's telling you the Cardinals kind of
know it's not their year this year, because I feel
like they would have made that move another one of
their young pitchers is hurt. So that's why Polante is
pitching a game of this quote unquote magnitude right now.
Speaker 2: And that's not someone I want to back either.
Speaker 1: So reluctantly, I'll say the Reds here, but they don't
really give me the warm, fuzzy feeling. Brian Leonard, I
just I don't know. It's tough to get behind them.
But the Cardinals did use a couple of key bullpen
arms and big spots last night.
Speaker 2: Jojo Romero was in for.
Speaker 1: The eighth and then I think it's O'Brien that continues
to sort of go out and close games for them. Yeah,
I guessjave reds if I absolutely had to, but I
don't feel great about it. What I do feel great
about is the four percent play that I gave on
the show for free. I'm I'm probably going to have
another one, so I don't think that'll be the one
up for sale. If it is, though, I mean you'll
know by three o'clock because it'll fall off to day game.
But yeah, I just I'm in a good mood today.
Two and oh you sweep for me yesterday, Brian Leonard.
So I gave it to the people for free. And
that's our first parlay leg. So we're at the end
of the show. Let's recap the parlay Tokyo. Brandon is
en route to Las Vegas right now. He's on the road,
so he's not with us today. He'll be back tomorrow
live from the Westgate. I think that's pretty cool. John
Murray should put him in the clubhouse and have a
you know, just really broadcast him live from the West
Gate six am.
Speaker 2: Probably no one up there except for him.
Speaker 1: But anyway, we have two team or today, Diamondbacks money line,
Marlin's money line, nice and easy, very simple, two full
game sides, one day game, one night game, DBAX money line,
Marlin's money line, and the Diamondbacks is also a four
percenter for my clients that you got here for free
just for tuning in. I won't be tweeting that out.
I won't be putting it up for free on my page.
So the only way you're getting that if you're not
one of my clients is because you watch the show today.
Speaker 2: And we appreciate you tuning in on a daily basis.
We'll be here.
Speaker 1: I think we've got to go ahead to do this
all playoffs for the most part or most of the playoffs,
at least the weekdays. So that's pretty cool. We'll be
with you most of October. And yeah, look, keep an
eye out for the show announcement. We're going to basically
do this for college hoop as well. Very much looking
forward to that. And I know, Brian, you've got a
couple of things going on, but maybe we can get
you on a college basketball show at some point too.
Speaker 3: Did you mention the price that we're getting on a parlay?
Speaker 1: No, way too much. Caffeine for me this morning. Brian,
hold on one second, can you just what do we say?
Minus one o eight.
Speaker 4: And minus one await minus one fifty five that is
plus two sixteen, so plus two sixteen.
Speaker 3: And with the win yesterday, we're now up plus five
point two four yes on this season, grab this when
and go on into the last week of the season.
We were in pretty good shape to show a profit, which,
to be totally honest with you, I never thought that
would be something that we could do. When we started
talking about it, I said, this could get ugly when
you're playing three team parleys. Uh, but I've been pretty
proud about the way it's gone. Now. Once we get
to the playoffs, when there's only one or two games there,
we're not going to give you our plays, so but
we will talk about the games and hopefully you'll be
able to make something. Hey, we got to make some money.
Speaker 1: To guys, So yeah, yep, well yeah, I mean listen,
if we can get to the end of the regular
season turning a profit on a daily three teamer, I
will be thrilled about that. And like and like Brian
said after yesterday's win, plus five point two four units
on the season. All that means is, if you're for
every dollar that you've risked on these, assuming that you've
risked the time amount on all of them, one dollar
returning five dollars and twenty four cents doesn't seem like
a lot, But again, that's that's pretty good. We've been
we've been firing these out since April, and the fact
that we're still up, I think is pretty impressive. So yeah,
let's uh, we'll leave it on that note. D Backs
Marlins two team or today. Uh well, we'll have TV
back in the morning and we'll see you.
Speaker 2: Guys nine am tomorrow. Good luck today, enjoy your day
and cash all your tickets. Will see you tomorrow.