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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It's time for total bases. Adam

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Trigger here. Brian Leonard, two man Show today. Brian, I'm

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all fired up this morning. It's not just the caffeine.

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It's the fact that the d Backs walked it off

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late for me. Last night, I went to an oh

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in Major League Baseball. We hit the three team Parlay show.

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Parlay is back up.

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Speaker 2: Five units on the season, and.

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Speaker 1: I gotta I gotta say, like, this is the first day,

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probably in about three weeks, where I've really been like

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excited about the Major League Baseball slate.

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Speaker 2: I think I commented on it yesterday.

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Speaker 1: I feel like the last month or so is maybe

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the last three weeks has been very, very difficult to handicap.

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I definitely lost units in that stretch. So getting the

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two and zero, we're hitting the home stretch. I feel

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like I found some of the teams I want to

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target going forward. I feel great this morning. How about you,

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Brian Leonard?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, we oh, we hit her a big play. We

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had a five percent a few days. A couple days ago,

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we hit a big play. Yesterday we went to and one.

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I did give a small one and a half unit

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on Colorado and I had written that off as the

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loser of the day, and then I look and they

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only lost by a run. So maybe I wasn't so

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far off in the game, is what I thought. But yeah,

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other than that, just about everything we talked about on

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the show, I think, at least from my memory, from

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my perspective, I thought we did pretty well. So I

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like it when we not only hit our best plays,

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but the games that we talk about on the show,

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that we seem to be on the right side of that.

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So I will take many of those days and that way,

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if you have one of those and you get a

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bad luck loser like we almost had on Cleveland yesterday,

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we can deal with it a little bit better knowing

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that overall we were on the right side of the

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games that we discussed.

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Speaker 1: Did you happen to catch the final out of the

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Rockies game? If you didn't, you probably don't want to

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relive it right now, but I will. I got to

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bring it up since I've up a Hunter Goodman about

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one hundred and fifteen miles an hour off the bat

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directly at the third basement's head of foot higher and

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its game over. Rockies are celebrating walking it off so

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Marlin's very, very very fortunate to survive that sort of

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late in and collapse. I couldn't even believe they were

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still playing. I thought they were gonna call it when

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it was six nothing and they almost walked it off.

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Speaker 2: I'll stay out West. I'm gonna start as you see.

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Speaker 1: I showed up with my hat this morning, partially because

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I was running late, didn't have time to do the hair,

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which is getting long and needs to get cut. But

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also I said, you know what, I've thrown all that

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I've been shown up in the minor league hat. I

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got to give some love to one of the MLB teams.

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I mean the MLB parks that I've been to, and

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the Arizona Diamondbacks who cashed for me last night, and

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Brian Leonard. I might have to go right back to

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them today because this is one of the teams right now.

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I feel like when you look at just energy, the

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way they're going up day in and day out, relative

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to some of the bad baseball we've seen the past

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few weeks.

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Speaker 2: I'm kind of in on this team right now. They

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host the Giants.

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Speaker 1: It's Verlander, Fott, two guys we haven't loved really, but man,

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the Diamondbacks in the desert.

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Speaker 2: They're tough out. Do you like them?

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Speaker 3: This afternoon portagage the game since twenty five on the side?

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Is that on your hat?

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Speaker 2: Oh? This was? Yeah?

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Speaker 1: This was the I think last year or two years

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ago when they had the twenty fifth anniversary or something.

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Speaker 3: Yes, I collect a lot of those for my Cleveland

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teams one hundred years in the America League. Got kind

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of whatever all that is. But yeah, Arizona's the closest

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stadium to my house in Las Vegas. So we've gone

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there many times and we've been treated very well there.

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We actually had a gambling trip to Laughlin, Nevada one time,

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and a bunch of you know, Marco and myself and

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Chris Sanook and Ralph Michaels all went and we got

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back stage, we got to, you know, be on the field.

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It was a lot of fun. They treat this pretty well,

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especially if you're losing money in Laughlin. Okay, let's get

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to today's game. We have got Arizona in this game.

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Where did they put Okay, there we go that game

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nine O five lander and fought. It's basically a pick

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him right now. With a total of nine slightly to

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the under. I trust Ferlander a little bit more in

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this than Fought. Verliner has pitched a lot better, and

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he's a veteran. He's put in a lot of innings.

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He's got one hundred and thirty four innings this year,

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ninety last year because of injuries, one sixty two of

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the year before. Uh he has not been great, but

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he's got zero on under four three point nine four

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with a four point two seven expected one point three

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to seven whip, which is not him, but the last

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two years he's been in that same basic area. He

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does give up balls, which is a concern in this ballpark.

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He's only in the fourteenth percentile of ground ball rate

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hard he rais been pretty good seventy fifth percentile. We

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know all about Verlander. His even at his age forty two,

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his fastball still at ninety four miles an hour, which

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is only one mile an hour worst than a normal

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right hander. Brandon Fought a guy that he waiting for

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and just still hasn't put it together. Three five point

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three one era, five point seven to five expected one

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point four all whip, and that's been a major problem

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in his three seasons. He's got a one point three

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to three whip and he came into the league with

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a devastating arsenal where he was supposed to have been

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a big strikeout guy. Well, last year he struck out

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over one an inning, which is a little bit better

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than league average. But this year he's only got one

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hundred and thirty one strikeouts and one hundred and fifty

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seven to two thirds innings. His expected batting average fifth

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percentile excuse me, second percentile, expected dra fifth, barrel rayed

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eighth or hit twelve, So I am concerned anytime he's

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on the mound. He does throw six pitches overall, and

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his four seamer at sinker at twenty four percent. I

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like the way he uses a lot of pitches. The

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problem is they have not been good pitches this year.

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When you take a look at the bullpens here. San

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Francisco has Paguero's pitched to in the last three days,

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but Casey's pitched the last two days, and they got

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a couple of guys they called up. Tristan Beck started.

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He went forty two pitches after going twenty eight on Saturday.

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So I think that's his role right now was give

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him a couple ex ratings and Trey McDonald they brought

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up from Triple A last year or last night and

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he went thirty four pitches. I'll send him back down

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and brings somebody up, I'm sure in that regard. But

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if you take a look at the hitting situations San

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Francisco still they were very good for a long time

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and hitting now they're at ninety six the last two

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weeks in that regard, and Arizona is a team that

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seems to be hitting better there at one to eleven

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right now. So, uh, the first thing that I think

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I think of is the over and but we'll see

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how it goes. It's tough to play. It's tough to

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play over nine in a game with playoff positioning here,

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so they're going to be treated like a playoff game.

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But still, I'm not a big fan of either one

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of these guys, especially Fought. I think he can get

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hit here. So we'll see what happens.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I gotta tell a quick story.

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Speaker 1: My favorite team in the my favorite team in any sport,

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any season, was a two thousand and one Arizona Diamondbacks.

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Will never come close. That is my If you were that,

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I don't know if I've ever disclosed this on the show.

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Not really a fan at this point, I don't really have.

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I'm a fan of Santa College basketball because I went there.

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That's different, but like I'm not really like a fan

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of like like professional teams.

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Speaker 2: But that was like my favorite team.

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Speaker 1: Every two thousand and one, Arizona Diamondbacks they won the

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World Series. If you're into like last night before the

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game and this is up on Arizona social media, they

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had Bob Melvin and Bob Brentley and Bob Melvin sit

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in the dugout and watch the ninth inning of that

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game on the JumboTron.

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Speaker 2: Very cool.

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Speaker 1: Go go to Arizona Diamondbacks YouTube. It's on there. It's

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only like four minutes long. I was in tenth grade.

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It was obviously right after nine to eleven.

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Speaker 2: I grew up in New York.

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Speaker 1: I think, like, I mean, this is I had my

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history teacher who was probably like in his twenties at

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the time.

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Speaker 2: I wore a.

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Speaker 1: Diamondbacks hat to class after they like won Game two

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of the World Series. He was like, dude, you're like

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basically a terrorist for rooting against the Yankees. Ballsy thing

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to say right after nine to eleven, but it was

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all in good fun.

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Speaker 2: Probably couldn't get away with that today, but just the back.

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Speaker 1: And forth and then Arizona winning that series on the

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walk off again, go watch Melvin and Brentley sort of

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like rewatch it.

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Speaker 2: It's awesome. Love that team.

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Speaker 1: Not sure I love this team as much, but man,

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I am in on this Diamondbacks team right now.

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Speaker 2: This is gonna be my parlay leg And you know what, I'm.

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Speaker 1: In such a good mood today, Brian Leonard, this is

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a four percent play for me. I'm basically running it

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back from last night and I'm just gonna give it

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out on the show. That's because I'm probably gonna have

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more than one play today. But let me break down

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why I love the Diamondbacks in this spot and why

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I think they're a great bet going forward. So right now,

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I think they're gonna win games in spite of their pitching.

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This was part of my write up yesterday. I was

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let I knew Eduardo Rodriguez might get hit a little bit,

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and I was willing to just deal with it because

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I felt like their lineup was in a good chance

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to produce. And what happened, They went out thirteen hits,

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had the leadoff man on it like seven of nine innings,

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and actually they should have won by more because I'm

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pretty sure they stranded the leadoff runner five or six

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times in the game, still put up six runs, Still

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thirteen hits. Kettle Marte's really been struggling of late, if

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you sort of like he has had a poor second half.

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I mean, this is a guy that had to deal

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with someone like talking about his dead mother, had had

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his house broken into, He's had a tough go in

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a personal life this season, and the last couple of weeks.

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Like even Tory Lavello yesterday before the game came out,

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was like, SE's just off, hasn't really found his swing,

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you know, made some like sort of comments like, yeah,

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he's just not all there right now.

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Speaker 2: What does he do?

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Speaker 1: Goes out and gets two huge hits for them last night,

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double in a single, big RBI to tie to the game,

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absolutely smoke the ball like three times. I think he's

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like gonna go off. So if you're a if you're

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a prop person, if you're into props, look at Kettle

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Marte maybe taking Verlander deep today, because that's that's the

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basis of my handicap here. I think Verlander's gonna get

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crushed at some point. I I was on him in

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his last start, and I feel like I've I've met

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him a couple of times on this run. I think

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I've milked him for all I can right now. Like

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he's when you look at that profile, you throw him

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in this ballpark, you know, knowing that he's gonna give

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up some fly ball, and then you throw like kettle Martin,

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maybe he's you know, he hit the ball really really

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hard three times yesterday. Like I just feel like someone's

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hitting the ball out of the ballpark against Verlander. Brandon Fought.

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I don't really care for him. He's We've talked about

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him on this show a ton. He's not my you know,

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he's not a guy I really want to back. But

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can he be good enough just to match Verlander and

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keep them in the game. I think so he actually

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tends to pitch better at this ballpark. I'm not quite

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sure how, but he does. Uh you know, for five,

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he still has at night, he still has an okay fastball.

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He throws strikes, So you're gonna, you know, if you're

240
00:11:51,600 --> 00:11:54,799
talking about like this Giants lineup, I think they lost

241
00:11:54,840 --> 00:11:56,919
their juice a little bit, Brian. This was a team

242
00:11:56,960 --> 00:11:59,679
that last week all the energy, like they had all

243
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the energy. The last three days they've had no energy whatsoever.

244
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And even in that game last night they go up

245
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four nothing, they did nothing for the last like six

246
00:12:07,759 --> 00:12:11,399
seven innings of that game. Terrible at bats, couldn't get

247
00:12:11,399 --> 00:12:15,279
anything going offensively. Meanwhile, Arizona just continue to chip away,

248
00:12:15,360 --> 00:12:18,399
chip away. I'm all in on the Diamondbacks right now,

249
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and if you're talking about them wanting to have any

250
00:12:20,799 --> 00:12:23,600
chance at making the playoffs, this home game against the

251
00:12:23,639 --> 00:12:27,080
Giants again is pretty much a must win because look

252
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at their schedule coming up. It's Phillies, it's Dodgers, it's Padres.

253
00:12:31,000 --> 00:12:33,000
I feel like they have to have this one. I

254
00:12:33,039 --> 00:12:34,799
think Lavella is going to empty the clip if he

255
00:12:34,840 --> 00:12:38,279
gets to the bullpen today. There's just no one off limits.

256
00:12:38,279 --> 00:12:40,120
He threw south flank out there last night with a

257
00:12:40,159 --> 00:12:42,639
bad shoulder. It's just like, I really feel like the

258
00:12:42,639 --> 00:12:45,840
whole team's like, whatever you need, we want to get there.

259
00:12:46,159 --> 00:12:48,799
Love the energy. Jordan Lawler running around the field with

260
00:12:48,840 --> 00:12:51,799
a double bubble bucket on his hat after getting that hit.

261
00:12:52,039 --> 00:12:54,159
He's had a terrible run at the big league level.

262
00:12:54,440 --> 00:12:56,200
So for him to hit a ball that goes thirty

263
00:12:56,200 --> 00:12:59,360
feet and turns into a walk off RBI single, massive

264
00:12:59,600 --> 00:13:03,559
love the Energy, Diamondbacks minus one ten play and will

265
00:13:03,559 --> 00:13:06,919
always also be my uh A client play for me,

266
00:13:07,000 --> 00:13:09,360
but also my parlay late. So what are we looking at?

267
00:13:09,360 --> 00:13:10,960
I think I locked it in for clients at like

268
00:13:11,000 --> 00:13:11,879
minus one o eight.

269
00:13:12,519 --> 00:13:16,639
Speaker 3: I see one oa out there, I will I will talk.

270
00:13:17,080 --> 00:13:20,840
Martell has an ankle problem, and that's that's the deal.

271
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Because he got second base yesterday and even the announcer said,

272
00:13:24,440 --> 00:13:28,320
I'm surprised he made it so easily because of his album.

273
00:13:28,360 --> 00:13:31,639
Yeah yeah, and so he could be a guy. I mean,

274
00:13:31,639 --> 00:13:33,399
he still got speed, but he could be a guy

275
00:13:33,399 --> 00:13:35,559
that made close up clog up the bases a little bit.

276
00:13:35,919 --> 00:13:39,960
But you were mentioned favorite teams, and it's for myself.

277
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I like to travel. I want to see every ball

278
00:13:42,759 --> 00:13:44,639
I want to go to every ball club and see

279
00:13:44,639 --> 00:13:47,679
their stadiums. And I used to usually go with my wife,

280
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and so it's a lot of it is how we

281
00:13:50,200 --> 00:13:54,440
are treated by the opposing fans. If if Cleveland's playing out,

282
00:13:54,440 --> 00:13:57,879
will wear a Cleveland hat. And I was really impressed

283
00:13:57,919 --> 00:13:59,960
by the people in San Francisco. I thought San Francisco

284
00:14:00,000 --> 00:14:03,480
it was very nice people. Uh Saint Louis, Kansas City.

285
00:14:04,799 --> 00:14:07,639
Not the same deal when I was in Boston for

286
00:14:07,679 --> 00:14:12,320
the Red Sox. But that's I think a lot of

287
00:14:12,320 --> 00:14:14,120
the fandom comes out of that, because you've got a

288
00:14:14,159 --> 00:14:16,279
lot of Yankees haters, got a lot of Red Sox hitters,

289
00:14:16,360 --> 00:14:18,440
got a lot of Dodgers haters, and a lot of

290
00:14:18,480 --> 00:14:21,440
it is because it's tough to go to those ballparks

291
00:14:21,559 --> 00:14:24,840
and enjoy yourself as a family. I understand fandom. I

292
00:14:24,919 --> 00:14:28,720
understand the whole soccer situation, and a lot of teams

293
00:14:28,720 --> 00:14:31,440
are like that, but it does put a bad taste

294
00:14:31,440 --> 00:14:33,480
in a lot of the fans that may be coming

295
00:14:33,519 --> 00:14:36,320
there just to see your stadium and may not even

296
00:14:36,360 --> 00:14:39,039
have anything to do with your ball club, but want

297
00:14:39,080 --> 00:14:43,559
to see the stadium and then enjoy it. Yes, it's

298
00:14:43,600 --> 00:14:46,799
only baseball, man, it's don't go crazy about it.

299
00:14:49,919 --> 00:14:51,559
Speaker 2: All right, We'll move on.

300
00:14:51,679 --> 00:14:53,799
Speaker 1: I just had that one, had to go longer, but hey,

301
00:14:53,799 --> 00:14:55,759
you got a free four percenter out of it.

302
00:14:56,080 --> 00:14:57,480
Speaker 2: Collins said something about the total.

303
00:14:57,840 --> 00:15:00,320
Speaker 1: Hard to talk you off the over if you're gonna

304
00:15:00,320 --> 00:15:03,240
do a total in that game. It's it's almost those

305
00:15:03,279 --> 00:15:06,399
two pictures with the way that the Diamondbacks are hitting, almost.

306
00:15:06,080 --> 00:15:10,720
Speaker 2: Has to be an over aod says, I need that wager.

307
00:15:10,720 --> 00:15:11,200
Talk Cuddie.

308
00:15:11,240 --> 00:15:13,159
Speaker 1: We might be able to do something about that. DM

309
00:15:13,159 --> 00:15:14,840
me on on Twitter. I'll see what I can do.

310
00:15:15,039 --> 00:15:16,879
We were just talking about we might have some some

311
00:15:16,960 --> 00:15:19,120
merch playing around. I'll see what I can do. Hit

312
00:15:19,200 --> 00:15:22,960
me with a twitter dm uh wolf Eyes Gaming said,

313
00:15:23,120 --> 00:15:25,240
I tried to do Koreean baseball for once pick three

314
00:15:25,279 --> 00:15:27,279
games and hard Rock BET's avoided two of the games.

315
00:15:27,399 --> 00:15:30,080
That's because it's raining big time in career right now.

316
00:15:30,080 --> 00:15:32,759
I think almost every game got rained out this morning

317
00:15:32,840 --> 00:15:35,000
except for maybe one or two of them.

318
00:15:35,440 --> 00:15:37,639
Speaker 2: And yeah, let's.

319
00:15:37,399 --> 00:15:39,840
Speaker 1: Uh, let's move it along a lot of games to

320
00:15:39,879 --> 00:15:44,159
get to today. Let's uh, let let's go to Brian.

321
00:15:44,240 --> 00:15:45,600
You know what, I I know this isn't like a

322
00:15:45,639 --> 00:15:50,080
game that has playoff implications, but you mentioned you kind

323
00:15:50,080 --> 00:15:52,879
of like the Rockies yesterday. I kind of liked the

324
00:15:52,960 --> 00:15:56,799
Rockies yesterday as well, and I looked at today's matchup

325
00:15:57,679 --> 00:15:59,240
I kind of think that they have a shot to

326
00:15:59,320 --> 00:16:02,679
win today. So I know it's not the playoff implication game,

327
00:16:02,679 --> 00:16:05,519
but there might be a good betting opportunity here. If

328
00:16:05,559 --> 00:16:08,159
you remember a couple of weeks ago, I talked about

329
00:16:08,240 --> 00:16:10,519
mccaid brown, who's going to get the start for the

330
00:16:10,600 --> 00:16:13,480
Rockies tonight. And he's a guy that got called up

331
00:16:13,519 --> 00:16:17,799
directly from He got called up directly from a Double A.

332
00:16:18,600 --> 00:16:21,840
Thought he had great stuff. My cousin has seen him

333
00:16:21,879 --> 00:16:24,559
play as part of the Hartford yard Goats for a

334
00:16:24,600 --> 00:16:27,519
couple on a couple of occasions, and I kind of

335
00:16:27,559 --> 00:16:29,559
started to look into his Double A numbers that are

336
00:16:29,679 --> 00:16:30,159
very good.

337
00:16:30,639 --> 00:16:31,480
Speaker 2: Was surprised that.

338
00:16:32,000 --> 00:16:34,799
Speaker 1: I'm not surprised with anything the Rockies do to their

339
00:16:34,840 --> 00:16:37,159
young pitchers at this point. Just assume they're going to

340
00:16:37,240 --> 00:16:40,759
do something to, you know, to hinder their progress. But

341
00:16:41,399 --> 00:16:43,399
they brought him up. I thought he's thrown it pretty

342
00:16:43,399 --> 00:16:46,519
well at times. Now he gets the Marlins. I think

343
00:16:46,559 --> 00:16:49,360
that the Rockies were unlucky to not come back and

344
00:16:49,399 --> 00:16:51,919
get over the hump and win that game. Do you

345
00:16:51,919 --> 00:16:54,440
have any desire in going back to them today? Plus

346
00:16:54,480 --> 00:16:56,559
money and you could get the plus one and a

347
00:16:56,600 --> 00:16:58,679
half only minus one fifteen. I don't know what do

348
00:16:58,679 --> 00:17:00,320
you think about the Rockies in this spot.

349
00:17:02,200 --> 00:17:04,039
Speaker 3: I don't like the Rockies of the spot.

350
00:17:04,680 --> 00:17:06,720
Speaker 2: I know you're a Weather's guy, though, so I get that.

351
00:17:07,400 --> 00:17:12,599
Speaker 3: Yeah. I looked at this line and this is what

352
00:17:12,640 --> 00:17:14,559
I was planning to use on my part of the parlay,

353
00:17:14,599 --> 00:17:16,000
and I guess we're going to go ahead to head

354
00:17:16,000 --> 00:17:17,319
in that one I have.

355
00:17:17,519 --> 00:17:19,799
Speaker 1: I'm not I'm not on the rockets yet by any means.

356
00:17:19,880 --> 00:17:22,480
So yeah, don't don't let me talk you off there.

357
00:17:22,519 --> 00:17:22,960
Speaker 2: Go ahead.

358
00:17:23,359 --> 00:17:25,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm going to set this down right now. Is

359
00:17:25,440 --> 00:17:27,839
my parlay leg get it over quick. They're about a

360
00:17:27,839 --> 00:17:31,359
one to fifty five favorite on the road here. The

361
00:17:31,400 --> 00:17:34,880
reason why I like him is Weathers is going for Miami.

362
00:17:34,960 --> 00:17:39,680
He's a lefty. Love Weather's going against Brown totally is

363
00:17:39,720 --> 00:17:43,359
about ten and a half on this game. Look at

364
00:17:43,359 --> 00:17:47,359
Brown and he's twenty five years old, six or six,

365
00:17:47,400 --> 00:17:51,039
so he's got a great extension ninety fifth percentile. But

366
00:17:51,319 --> 00:17:54,519
other than his hard he rates not been bad. But

367
00:17:54,720 --> 00:17:56,720
it's just it is a small sample size. He's pitched

368
00:17:56,720 --> 00:17:59,119
four games, he's got to he's on four with a

369
00:17:59,240 --> 00:18:03,880
nine point eight eight expected seven point oh two whip

370
00:18:03,920 --> 00:18:07,319
of two point one two, So his results have been horrendous.

371
00:18:07,640 --> 00:18:11,160
I don't think he's that bad. He does throw four pitches.

372
00:18:11,200 --> 00:18:14,519
He uses his sinker, slider, curve, and change. I like

373
00:18:14,559 --> 00:18:20,359
that repertoire, and especially in in for the Rockies to

374
00:18:20,400 --> 00:18:23,440
somebody they don't have. The problem is these are all

375
00:18:23,559 --> 00:18:28,319
breaking pitches, and as we know in Colorado, the balls

376
00:18:28,359 --> 00:18:30,599
don't break as much, and that is a concern when

377
00:18:30,599 --> 00:18:32,599
he's pitching at home on the road. I think he

378
00:18:32,640 --> 00:18:35,160
may be a guy we find some value in, but

379
00:18:35,279 --> 00:18:37,359
I don't. I do not like his numbers that he's

380
00:18:37,400 --> 00:18:40,440
gotten so far. It's a small sample size, but he's

381
00:18:40,440 --> 00:18:45,000
not pitched well. Ryan Weathers is a guy that you know.

382
00:18:45,599 --> 00:18:48,240
He's been great lately the last couple of years. Last year,

383
00:18:48,920 --> 00:18:52,079
in eighty six innings, he had a three point sixty

384
00:18:52,079 --> 00:18:54,759
three ERA one point one eight whip. This year in

385
00:18:54,799 --> 00:18:57,839
twenty nine innings, two point seven three ERA three point

386
00:18:57,839 --> 00:19:00,559
oh four expected to one point oh four whip. He

387
00:19:00,640 --> 00:19:03,720
does not have the extension. That's his worst part. His

388
00:19:03,799 --> 00:19:07,160
chase rate and his extension are poor, but his fastball

389
00:19:07,240 --> 00:19:11,319
veloses in the eighty eighth percentle He throws six pitches. Basically,

390
00:19:11,400 --> 00:19:14,440
he's a four seam change and sweeper pitcher, but his

391
00:19:14,559 --> 00:19:18,079
foresame he throws the most, which is probably good here

392
00:19:18,119 --> 00:19:21,519
in Colorado because the breaking pitches don't break, and it's

393
00:19:21,640 --> 00:19:24,000
ninety seven point one miles an hour, which is four

394
00:19:24,079 --> 00:19:28,319
mile an hour faster than a normal lefty. His fastball

395
00:19:28,400 --> 00:19:31,079
velocity eighty eight percent tole you see a lot small

396
00:19:31,079 --> 00:19:33,440
Samul size because it's only twenty nine innings on the season,

397
00:19:33,799 --> 00:19:35,279
but it's a lot of red when you take a

398
00:19:35,279 --> 00:19:38,519
look at his stack cast page and when I took it,

399
00:19:38,720 --> 00:19:44,640
take a look at the bullpens here, the Marlins come

400
00:19:44,720 --> 00:19:47,680
in and they're a pretty good shape in the bullpen.

401
00:19:47,759 --> 00:19:51,079
They had. They used three guys yesterday, Peterson a long

402
00:19:51,119 --> 00:19:55,960
reliever for twenty nine pitches. Hernandez had to go twenty

403
00:19:56,000 --> 00:19:59,160
one to get to save Phillip sixteen. But everybody else

404
00:19:59,200 --> 00:20:02,880
has not pitched, you know, three days. I think that's

405
00:20:02,880 --> 00:20:06,319
a big advantage here in Colorado. We've talked about them

406
00:20:06,319 --> 00:20:08,880
in the past about their starting pitcher has been so

407
00:20:09,000 --> 00:20:12,160
bad that they got to use the bullpen more than

408
00:20:12,240 --> 00:20:15,279
a normal team. Well, their bullpen's not bad off right now.

409
00:20:15,319 --> 00:20:18,720
They were off on Monday yesterday by at ten pitches,

410
00:20:19,119 --> 00:20:23,079
Hill to Molina, long reliever for thirty one, so both

411
00:20:23,119 --> 00:20:26,160
bullpens are in pretty good shape. Here, so I don't

412
00:20:26,200 --> 00:20:28,279
want to go with the over. In fact, if I

413
00:20:28,440 --> 00:20:33,119
played it, I may play the under. But either I

414
00:20:33,160 --> 00:20:37,640
want to go with the Miami side, which is in

415
00:20:37,680 --> 00:20:41,960
that one fifty five range, or I wouldn't be opposed

416
00:20:42,759 --> 00:20:47,279
to taking the team total for Colorado under. And they's

417
00:20:47,279 --> 00:20:49,920
sitting at four and a half, basically flat, so they'd

418
00:20:49,920 --> 00:20:52,319
have to score five runs to beat you here. They

419
00:20:52,319 --> 00:20:55,240
did get five last yesterday, but all caame in one inning.

420
00:20:55,680 --> 00:20:59,000
They have not been hitting well at all lately. Anyway,

421
00:21:00,680 --> 00:21:05,000
let me take a quick look at Colorado's scoring over

422
00:21:05,039 --> 00:21:12,799
the last few days. Looking at the schedule, They've scored

423
00:21:12,839 --> 00:21:17,720
five yesterday, six the day before three four zero zero

424
00:21:18,079 --> 00:21:22,519
two one one. That's not something I expected're going to

425
00:21:22,519 --> 00:21:24,400
score five runs here in the granted a lot of

426
00:21:24,440 --> 00:21:26,559
those are all those games around the road. Now they're

427
00:21:26,559 --> 00:21:30,839
playing at home, but still yesterday we saw them score

428
00:21:32,759 --> 00:21:35,440
score five. I don't I don't think they get there today.

429
00:21:35,799 --> 00:21:39,160
So either Miami in the game or I would not

430
00:21:39,279 --> 00:21:42,599
have any problem with Colorado team total under and the

431
00:21:42,640 --> 00:21:44,839
Miami said will be my part of the parlay. They're

432
00:21:44,920 --> 00:21:45,960
one fifty five right.

433
00:21:45,880 --> 00:21:47,960
Speaker 2: Now, Yeah, I'll tell you.

434
00:21:48,039 --> 00:21:50,640
Speaker 1: I mean the Rockies said no business scoring five runs

435
00:21:50,640 --> 00:21:52,680
in that game yesterday. There was no energy in the

436
00:21:52,680 --> 00:21:54,680
ball I think everyone left the ballpark, to be honest,

437
00:21:54,759 --> 00:21:57,640
there was early anyone there because there was a rain delay.

438
00:21:57,880 --> 00:21:58,799
Speaker 2: I was shot.

439
00:21:58,839 --> 00:22:01,720
Speaker 1: I was like, Oh, these two teams rain and death,

440
00:22:01,759 --> 00:22:03,799
like they're gonna this is gonna be called six nothing.

441
00:22:03,799 --> 00:22:07,119
All of a sudden my phone, I looked down. Mickey

442
00:22:07,119 --> 00:22:09,880
Moniac's hitting a three run homer and then they've got

443
00:22:09,920 --> 00:22:12,400
something going in the ninth. It was just like, you

444
00:22:12,440 --> 00:22:16,880
know that that honestly really encompasses. I feel like what

445
00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:20,039
a Marlins Rockies game third week of September right now

446
00:22:20,079 --> 00:22:22,559
is going to look like? Uh so, let me let

447
00:22:22,559 --> 00:22:24,720
me go back to mccaid brown, because I actually think

448
00:22:24,720 --> 00:22:27,759
you might be onto something with the under. Yesterday's game

449
00:22:27,799 --> 00:22:30,240
had no business getting to eleven runs. I don't think

450
00:22:30,240 --> 00:22:32,720
today's is gonna get to eleven runs. I think the

451
00:22:32,759 --> 00:22:35,319
one thing that personally would keep me off the Rockies

452
00:22:35,400 --> 00:22:37,920
on the plus one and a half is Weathers. I

453
00:22:38,039 --> 00:22:40,079
like him too. You've made a great case for him

454
00:22:40,240 --> 00:22:42,119
pretty much all season. He's not a guy that I

455
00:22:42,200 --> 00:22:45,319
necessarily want to go against, but but I I am

456
00:22:45,400 --> 00:22:47,839
a somewhat. I do think mcaid brown might be the

457
00:22:47,880 --> 00:22:51,319
best young R in their organization. Now, did they do

458
00:22:51,440 --> 00:22:53,880
him any favors calling him up right from Double A?

459
00:22:54,319 --> 00:22:54,400
Speaker 3: No?

460
00:22:55,279 --> 00:22:56,240
Speaker 2: Why do I say that?

461
00:22:56,319 --> 00:22:59,039
Speaker 1: Well, Albuquerque is is the way a lot of these

462
00:22:59,079 --> 00:23:02,880
guys get acclimate to altitude, right, So it's like the

463
00:23:03,000 --> 00:23:06,759
nice part about having Triple A in Albuquerque is it's

464
00:23:06,839 --> 00:23:10,680
roughly the same altitude as Coursefield. So you get guys

465
00:23:10,680 --> 00:23:12,759
that sort of get to figure out, Okay, this is

466
00:23:12,799 --> 00:23:15,039
what altitude feels like. And then when you get called

467
00:23:15,119 --> 00:23:17,960
up from from Albuquerque, you don't. It's not like, oh,

468
00:23:17,960 --> 00:23:20,279
it's my first time at course Field. I've never felt

469
00:23:20,279 --> 00:23:22,559
this way before. It's okay, this is the same as

470
00:23:22,559 --> 00:23:26,160
playing in Albuquerque. When you go directly from Double A Hartford,

471
00:23:26,200 --> 00:23:30,559
Connecticut to Coursefield, that's a little bit of a you know,

472
00:23:30,599 --> 00:23:32,759
that's a little bit bit of a shock to the system. Now,

473
00:23:32,960 --> 00:23:36,039
this will be his third go at course. The first

474
00:23:36,079 --> 00:23:39,039
two weren't great, so you know that that's I guess

475
00:23:39,079 --> 00:23:42,759
would be the anti mccaid brown. The good the pro

476
00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:46,319
mcaid brown stuff is the fact that he's looked better

477
00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:48,119
in the minors than any of these other guys. So

478
00:23:48,200 --> 00:23:50,559
like when I've watched what I've seen from him so far,

479
00:23:50,599 --> 00:23:53,640
which hasn't been much, has been more impressive than like

480
00:23:53,720 --> 00:23:56,839
palm Quist a little bit and Dollander, I felt like,

481
00:23:57,640 --> 00:23:59,400
I don't know, I just felt like when they were

482
00:23:59,400 --> 00:24:01,359
called up, it was it was going to be somewhat

483
00:24:01,440 --> 00:24:03,079
bad news, and it kind of was.

484
00:24:03,720 --> 00:24:05,400
Speaker 2: Whereas he's been really, really.

485
00:24:05,279 --> 00:24:08,559
Speaker 1: Impressive at Double A, and I understand why they were

486
00:24:08,559 --> 00:24:11,079
so sort of you know, why they were so eager

487
00:24:11,359 --> 00:24:13,440
to be like, let's just put this kid out in

488
00:24:13,480 --> 00:24:15,640
the big leagues and see what he can do now.

489
00:24:15,839 --> 00:24:17,680
Last time out at San Diego, I thought he was

490
00:24:17,720 --> 00:24:19,799
pretty good. I know, I know, it was like the

491
00:24:20,200 --> 00:24:23,920
line isn't overly, doesn't jump off the page. He pitched

492
00:24:23,960 --> 00:24:26,240
into the fifth inning in that game, only gave up

493
00:24:26,279 --> 00:24:28,880
two runs. I want to say that was a two

494
00:24:29,000 --> 00:24:32,240
nothing final and it was a pitcher's duel.

495
00:24:32,519 --> 00:24:35,119
Speaker 2: Nothing. The Padres ended up winning that game. I thought

496
00:24:35,119 --> 00:24:36,480
he threw it well.

497
00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:39,400
Speaker 1: I still think he's got one really good outing in him.

498
00:24:39,440 --> 00:24:41,720
He's probably gonna get two more starts this game and

499
00:24:41,799 --> 00:24:45,880
whatever whoever he plays next, So he's someone I want

500
00:24:45,880 --> 00:24:46,440
to play on.

501
00:24:47,440 --> 00:24:49,119
Speaker 2: I think if I had to bet the side.

502
00:24:49,160 --> 00:24:51,680
Speaker 1: I'd probably personally be taking the plus one and a

503
00:24:51,680 --> 00:24:54,680
half of the Rockies, but maybe the under is the

504
00:24:54,720 --> 00:24:57,480
better way to go because there was no energy in

505
00:24:57,519 --> 00:25:00,240
that game until the very last inning last night. I

506
00:25:00,279 --> 00:25:02,720
think you could get another sort of deflated type game,

507
00:25:03,079 --> 00:25:06,559
especially if both pitchers are cruising under ten and a half.

508
00:25:06,599 --> 00:25:09,279
You always get these inflated totals at course Field, so

509
00:25:09,359 --> 00:25:12,680
maybe a full game under ten and a half. I

510
00:25:12,720 --> 00:25:15,119
can't really like. I don't know if I have enough

511
00:25:15,119 --> 00:25:17,079
conviction to like go head to head with you. I

512
00:25:17,119 --> 00:25:19,519
know you like the Marlins and I like Weathers as well,

513
00:25:19,720 --> 00:25:21,440
so I'll leave it with the total under ten and

514
00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:24,319
a half, and Brian's going to put the Marlins on

515
00:25:24,400 --> 00:25:25,759
the side in the parlay.

516
00:25:25,880 --> 00:25:28,519
Speaker 2: So two teamers locked in.

517
00:25:28,519 --> 00:25:30,240
Speaker 1: Who knows, maybe we'll agree on something and make it

518
00:25:30,279 --> 00:25:31,839
a three teamer before the end of the show.

519
00:25:32,559 --> 00:25:35,480
Speaker 3: Let me just point out from the winds direction right now,

520
00:25:36,279 --> 00:25:39,880
the first hour of the game wins blowing in from

521
00:25:39,960 --> 00:25:42,519
right to left twelve miles an hour and an hour,

522
00:25:42,599 --> 00:25:46,519
two eleven miles an hour straight in hour three supposedly

523
00:25:46,920 --> 00:25:50,559
slightly out to left a four. It's really early, so

524
00:25:50,680 --> 00:25:53,279
it's hard to take any of that with you take

525
00:25:53,319 --> 00:25:57,880
it all with a grand assault. But the wind is

526
00:25:58,119 --> 00:26:00,920
let's just say, the win's not blowing out Colorado today,

527
00:26:00,960 --> 00:26:04,759
which when in the weather's gets pretty hot there, anything

528
00:26:04,799 --> 00:26:08,359
can fly. But now now that we're getting farther into

529
00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:11,920
the season here and in September, you've got to worry

530
00:26:11,920 --> 00:26:14,279
about more of the bad weather coming to Colorado. And

531
00:26:16,160 --> 00:26:18,599
luckily I don't have to worry about that being in

532
00:26:18,680 --> 00:26:19,640
Las Vegas right now.

533
00:26:21,119 --> 00:26:23,160
Speaker 1: Rick Reynolds says, I'm going to miss the show so

534
00:26:23,240 --> 00:26:25,279
much after October. I think you guys nailed every game

535
00:26:25,319 --> 00:26:27,599
he analyzed yesterday a couple things.

536
00:26:27,599 --> 00:26:29,720
Speaker 2: So we very much appreciate that.

537
00:26:31,200 --> 00:26:33,160
Speaker 1: The days that we come on here and talk about

538
00:26:33,200 --> 00:26:35,799
things and they all win, as always our our favorite

539
00:26:35,880 --> 00:26:38,920
days even better when we win our own bets, which

540
00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:40,799
I did yesterday at least, and I think Brian did

541
00:26:40,839 --> 00:26:44,799
as well. And if you are into college basketball, I'm

542
00:26:44,799 --> 00:26:48,680
bringing the same show back, same format, different panel, although

543
00:26:48,680 --> 00:26:51,319
maybe we'll get Brian Leonard to to hop in every

544
00:26:51,319 --> 00:26:53,799
once in a while. I have no idea if I'm

545
00:26:53,839 --> 00:26:55,640
allowed to announce this yet or not, but I'm gonna

546
00:26:55,640 --> 00:26:58,279
anyway because I don't see why not I mean that

547
00:26:58,359 --> 00:27:00,599
we're going to do this show, but leave it will

548
00:27:00,640 --> 00:27:04,759
be myself, Brian Power, and Rob Veno doing this same

549
00:27:04,839 --> 00:27:08,799
show but for college Whoop. So if you don't like

550
00:27:08,839 --> 00:27:12,000
college basketball, we'll see you in in March or April.

551
00:27:12,279 --> 00:27:15,160
Now it's March, Mark, if we start the season in March.

552
00:27:15,359 --> 00:27:17,680
But if you do like college who we'll be here

553
00:27:17,720 --> 00:27:21,279
all winter. So we're not going anywhere. And yeah, we're

554
00:27:21,279 --> 00:27:24,400
gonna we're gonna keep this exact same format. It is

555
00:27:24,440 --> 00:27:27,839
going to be a much bigger undertaking with three hundred

556
00:27:27,880 --> 00:27:30,440
and sixty teams, but we're prepared to do that.

557
00:27:30,559 --> 00:27:31,640
Speaker 2: So Yeah.

558
00:27:31,799 --> 00:27:35,119
Speaker 3: I've worked with Rob Veno for about twenty five years

559
00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:39,200
out here in Vegas before he he moved to Pennsylvania.

560
00:27:39,559 --> 00:27:44,359
And I've always loved listening to Mark or a Robbino.

561
00:27:44,480 --> 00:27:49,200
I've always loved listening to you because you both explain

562
00:27:49,319 --> 00:27:54,839
things so well. When when you're handicamist, many times I

563
00:27:54,880 --> 00:27:57,559
will sit back and I agree when you when you

564
00:27:57,599 --> 00:28:00,400
bring something up that I forgot about. You've read the

565
00:28:00,440 --> 00:28:02,319
same things that I have. You've put in those same

566
00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:05,319
work that I have. I just can't remember everything a

567
00:28:05,319 --> 00:28:07,960
lot of times, And when I listened to Rob. He

568
00:28:08,039 --> 00:28:12,039
breaks down games great. So yeah, and I've I've only

569
00:28:12,079 --> 00:28:15,880
done a few segments with Brian Power over the years.

570
00:28:15,319 --> 00:28:18,359
He's very good also, so I'm excited to see that

571
00:28:18,720 --> 00:28:19,359
show from you.

572
00:28:21,440 --> 00:28:23,279
Speaker 1: Now that Cocain is no longer with us. I think

573
00:28:23,359 --> 00:28:26,319
Rob's got the biggest brain at wager Talk. I feel

574
00:28:26,359 --> 00:28:28,680
like he's got more in that in that head than anyone.

575
00:28:29,359 --> 00:28:32,000
Speaker 3: He thinks outside the box a little bit. And I've

576
00:28:32,000 --> 00:28:34,319
always loved that Dave Molinsky was in our industry, and

577
00:28:34,440 --> 00:28:37,519
unfortunately he passed, but Dave was like that. I always

578
00:28:37,559 --> 00:28:40,240
learned something when I sit next to Dave. Always learned

579
00:28:40,240 --> 00:28:42,319
when I sit next to Coke and and talk about things.

580
00:28:42,839 --> 00:28:46,440
I just love having guys on the panels that I

581
00:28:46,599 --> 00:28:49,799
really learned from myself, and I appreciate it.

582
00:28:51,440 --> 00:28:53,359
Speaker 2: All right, Colin, we'll get back to the games.

583
00:28:53,400 --> 00:28:57,640
Speaker 1: We've got some day Baseball on the South Side Orioles,

584
00:28:57,680 --> 00:29:00,400
White Sox. These are haven't been able to find my

585
00:29:00,440 --> 00:29:03,599
way into the series yet, Brian, because kind of two

586
00:29:03,640 --> 00:29:06,599
teams I'm not dying to go against. You know, White

587
00:29:06,680 --> 00:29:09,200
Sox were a team that I was sort of on

588
00:29:09,359 --> 00:29:11,680
out of the gate in the second half, felt like

589
00:29:11,720 --> 00:29:13,640
they maybe ran out of steam a little bit, but

590
00:29:14,440 --> 00:29:16,640
you know they they still have a lot of young

591
00:29:16,680 --> 00:29:19,279
guys fighting for spots. I love the way Will Venibules

592
00:29:19,359 --> 00:29:22,400
managed that team very much like a developmental style team.

593
00:29:22,440 --> 00:29:25,880
And then the Orioles have really been very, you know,

594
00:29:26,599 --> 00:29:29,119
very game in every game they've played for the most

595
00:29:29,119 --> 00:29:31,680
part since they called up the younger guys. Doesn't mean

596
00:29:31,680 --> 00:29:35,480
they win every day, but they have been a tough out.

597
00:29:35,720 --> 00:29:37,599
I would say both these teams have been tough out.

598
00:29:37,759 --> 00:29:38,279
Speaker 2: Orioles.

599
00:29:38,519 --> 00:29:40,319
Speaker 1: You know, they did get swept by the Blue Jays,

600
00:29:40,319 --> 00:29:42,680
will give him a pass there. They bounce back when

601
00:29:42,680 --> 00:29:45,440
the first two games of this series of the White

602
00:29:45,480 --> 00:29:48,799
Sox were sort of red hot at the beginning of

603
00:29:48,799 --> 00:29:51,759
this month. Then they ran into your Cleveland Guardians, who

604
00:29:51,759 --> 00:29:53,880
are the hottest team in the league right now, and

605
00:29:53,920 --> 00:29:55,599
now they've lost five straight since.

606
00:29:55,640 --> 00:29:56,480
Speaker 2: So I'll go to you.

607
00:29:56,519 --> 00:30:01,119
Speaker 1: Do you think the White Sox break their losing streak today?

608
00:30:01,240 --> 00:30:04,440
Speaker 3: I'm I'm glad we're talking about this game. Obviously, it's

609
00:30:04,759 --> 00:30:07,880
one of the day games. The Cubs in Pittsburgh started

610
00:30:07,880 --> 00:30:09,680
at nine to thirty five. Keep that in mind, there's

611
00:30:09,680 --> 00:30:12,079
a lot of day games today and they are starting

612
00:30:12,119 --> 00:30:16,720
a little bit earlier. Wells and Prez I. Both these

613
00:30:16,720 --> 00:30:21,400
guys have neither one has got a great reputation, but

614
00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:26,240
they both pitched extremely well this year, both lefties. Wells

615
00:30:26,319 --> 00:30:28,680
is about a one and maybe about a one eighteen

616
00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:31,519
favorite right now total eight to the over eight and

617
00:30:31,559 --> 00:30:35,839
a half to the under Tyler Wells. Keep in mind

618
00:30:35,880 --> 00:30:38,039
this guy hasn't really pitched a lot innings since twenty

619
00:30:38,079 --> 00:30:41,200
twenty three, had one hundred and eighteen innings, three point

620
00:30:41,200 --> 00:30:43,400
sixty four IRA's ther up point nine nine whip. He

621
00:30:43,440 --> 00:30:46,319
was very good at that point last year, only through

622
00:30:46,319 --> 00:30:50,279
fifteen innings. This year he's at eleven, but because of injuries.

623
00:30:50,359 --> 00:30:52,759
But he's been very good this year. Two point three

624
00:30:52,799 --> 00:30:57,240
one era two point three expected zero point six whip.

625
00:30:57,799 --> 00:31:01,839
Obviously that's not going to continue, but he's good. He's

626
00:31:01,839 --> 00:31:04,599
a guy that doesn't have a high whip in his career.

627
00:31:04,640 --> 00:31:08,240
At one point oh three throws five pitches is forour

628
00:31:08,319 --> 00:31:11,279
seemer thirty five percent of the time, only ninety two

629
00:31:11,279 --> 00:31:14,400
point nine miles per hour, so he doesn't have a

630
00:31:14,440 --> 00:31:16,200
lot of velocity on that is only in the twenty

631
00:31:16,200 --> 00:31:19,599
seven percent isle in velocity. But his walker rate's been great.

632
00:31:19,720 --> 00:31:23,039
Chase rate's been great, and uh, he's pitching very well

633
00:31:23,079 --> 00:31:25,240
right now, and he has that abilities when he's when

634
00:31:25,240 --> 00:31:29,920
he's healthy. Martin Perez comes in with a one to

635
00:31:29,960 --> 00:31:33,200
five record and he goes, yeah, that's Martin Perez. But

636
00:31:33,279 --> 00:31:37,200
think about Martin Perez in his fourteen year career. He's

637
00:31:37,279 --> 00:31:39,519
ninety one to ninety two. He does have a four

638
00:31:39,519 --> 00:31:42,000
point four to one ERA. One point four to three

639
00:31:42,039 --> 00:31:45,400
whip is really the concern. But this year three point

640
00:31:45,400 --> 00:31:48,319
two seven e RA five point two two expected, So

641
00:31:48,359 --> 00:31:50,759
he's pitching with a lot of good luck one point

642
00:31:50,799 --> 00:31:53,799
zero five whip, which is something we're not used to sing.

643
00:31:54,680 --> 00:31:58,000
But as much as his numbers say, three point two

644
00:31:58,079 --> 00:32:00,960
seven ray, oh, he's doing pretty well well. He's still

645
00:32:01,000 --> 00:32:02,519
the same old numbers. If you look at his stack

646
00:32:02,559 --> 00:32:07,400
gas page average Jackson velocity is seventy first percentile. That's

647
00:32:07,440 --> 00:32:10,480
what's good. Everything else is poor. He's in barrel ray

648
00:32:10,799 --> 00:32:16,599
first percentile, fastball velocity third expected, the IRA eleventh. He's

649
00:32:16,599 --> 00:32:19,839
gonna get lit up eventually. And this Baltimore team does

650
00:32:19,880 --> 00:32:23,519
have some young bats that I like here in this game,

651
00:32:24,039 --> 00:32:29,799
as I I like Wells much better as a pitcher

652
00:32:29,799 --> 00:32:33,119
than Perez. Uh, get a couple of lefties. I prefer

653
00:32:33,160 --> 00:32:35,839
the lefties over the righty, especially forget for the younger

654
00:32:35,839 --> 00:32:39,559
teams they seem most is a is a pretty good idea.

655
00:32:39,640 --> 00:32:41,920
Mostly younger teams don't hit the lefties as well as readies,

656
00:32:41,960 --> 00:32:44,960
so and these are two very young teams, So uh,

657
00:32:45,720 --> 00:32:48,000
someone like Baltimore in this game, I would like to

658
00:32:48,039 --> 00:32:51,000
play the under, but I'm not sure I trust Perez enough,

659
00:32:51,559 --> 00:32:53,240
so I'll probably be sitting this one out.

660
00:32:54,680 --> 00:32:58,599
Speaker 1: Yeah, my first sort of gut when I saw this

661
00:32:58,720 --> 00:33:02,839
matchup was that's going to be a good under bet.

662
00:33:02,920 --> 00:33:04,519
And I feel like the books kind of did their

663
00:33:04,599 --> 00:33:07,839
job here making it eight flat. You might be able

664
00:33:07,880 --> 00:33:09,759
to get a juiced under eight and a half, but

665
00:33:10,319 --> 00:33:12,519
I don't really trust the bullpens enough to like want

666
00:33:12,519 --> 00:33:15,000
to get involved with like laying juice on an under

667
00:33:15,039 --> 00:33:18,240
eight and a half. Just too many ways to get

668
00:33:18,279 --> 00:33:21,279
to four to four or have someone melt down in

669
00:33:21,319 --> 00:33:25,039
the later stages of this game. So I just feel

670
00:33:25,039 --> 00:33:27,240
like the books price that appropriately. I still think I

671
00:33:27,240 --> 00:33:29,119
can make a case for the under. I just don't

672
00:33:29,119 --> 00:33:31,880
think you've got enough wiggle room there at under eight.

673
00:33:32,160 --> 00:33:34,079
Reason I would make a case for the under, and

674
00:33:34,119 --> 00:33:36,559
maybe you could find something to do with this is

675
00:33:37,160 --> 00:33:40,039
I think you got two pitchers where it feels like

676
00:33:40,240 --> 00:33:43,440
may to them because they, you know, Tyler Wells. So

677
00:33:43,480 --> 00:33:45,319
this is the nice thing that the Orioles did for

678
00:33:45,440 --> 00:33:49,880
Wells and for Kyle Bradish. The Orioles knew very they've known,

679
00:33:49,920 --> 00:33:51,480
they've been out of it for a long time. They've

680
00:33:51,480 --> 00:33:53,759
got up, they got off to such a bad start

681
00:33:53,920 --> 00:33:57,440
that the season has been kind of been over since June,

682
00:33:57,839 --> 00:34:01,160
and so they really let Bradish and Wells have like

683
00:34:01,680 --> 00:34:05,920
almost like a full spring training experience in terms of

684
00:34:05,960 --> 00:34:10,480
their rehab, where it was like very drawn out, built

685
00:34:10,519 --> 00:34:13,519
their arms back up. There was absolutely no rush to

686
00:34:13,559 --> 00:34:15,679
get them back to the big league level. And now

687
00:34:15,719 --> 00:34:19,199
they roll in late August when when everyone's exhausted, everyone's

688
00:34:19,199 --> 00:34:20,920
getting the innings are piling up.

689
00:34:21,559 --> 00:34:24,079
Speaker 2: Both of that. I mean, Wells looks like as fresh

690
00:34:24,079 --> 00:34:24,519
as can be.

691
00:34:24,599 --> 00:34:26,239
Speaker 1: Okay, I mean it's only been two stars, but you

692
00:34:26,320 --> 00:34:28,760
even said it, Brian zero point six to zero whip.

693
00:34:29,000 --> 00:34:31,760
Speaker 2: He's throwing the ball great. Bratishs throwing the ball great.

694
00:34:31,800 --> 00:34:34,239
Speaker 1: I think the big reason a part of one of

695
00:34:34,280 --> 00:34:36,599
the reasons both of them continue to throw it.

696
00:34:36,599 --> 00:34:39,960
Speaker 2: Well, it's like the season's just starting for them.

697
00:34:40,400 --> 00:34:43,079
Speaker 1: It's May fifteenth for them right now, whereas a lot

698
00:34:43,079 --> 00:34:45,119
of these other guys, you're starting to get into the

699
00:34:45,159 --> 00:34:46,800
one hundred and ten, one hundred and twenty, one hundred

700
00:34:46,800 --> 00:34:48,000
and thirty hundred and forty innings.

701
00:34:48,599 --> 00:34:49,119
Speaker 2: That's tough.

702
00:34:49,159 --> 00:34:51,119
Speaker 1: It's a lot of innings, and you start to see

703
00:34:51,119 --> 00:34:54,159
a decline in in you know, for some guys when

704
00:34:54,199 --> 00:34:56,719
they when the innings start to build up. These two

705
00:34:56,719 --> 00:34:59,519
guys are just they're letting it rip right now because

706
00:35:00,199 --> 00:35:02,679
you know they're they're there. It's the throwaway season for them.

707
00:35:02,840 --> 00:35:04,840
So a guy like Wells is just going out there,

708
00:35:05,000 --> 00:35:07,039
he's letting it rip. He knows he's only got another

709
00:35:07,039 --> 00:35:09,320
two weeks and he's going to shut it down. I

710
00:35:09,320 --> 00:35:11,880
think he you know, he's pitching well. I think he

711
00:35:11,960 --> 00:35:14,400
probably pitched fine regardless, but I do think that that's

712
00:35:14,440 --> 00:35:17,559
helping him. Look the way he's looked through the two

713
00:35:17,599 --> 00:35:20,639
starts since coming back. Now, Martin Perez a little bit different.

714
00:35:20,920 --> 00:35:24,239
He started the year, had to shut it down, missed

715
00:35:24,360 --> 00:35:27,440
a considerable amount of time and has come back. But again,

716
00:35:27,480 --> 00:35:29,039
the White Socks were in no position to have to

717
00:35:29,119 --> 00:35:32,159
rush him back. And since he's been back he's I

718
00:35:32,159 --> 00:35:34,840
think he's thrown it well. He's a veteran. You know,

719
00:35:34,920 --> 00:35:36,440
he's going to go out there. And that's one thing

720
00:35:36,480 --> 00:35:39,000
about Martin Perez. I think he's no matter what team

721
00:35:39,039 --> 00:35:41,119
he's been on, this guy always goes out and gives

722
00:35:41,119 --> 00:35:43,840
you a professional effort, gives you like a good outing,

723
00:35:44,039 --> 00:35:47,280
always prepared. I feel like he's one of those guys

724
00:35:47,280 --> 00:35:49,880
that's done more with less in his career from like, uh,

725
00:35:50,199 --> 00:35:53,000
you know what, He's got the talent that he has,

726
00:35:53,039 --> 00:35:55,599
but he's always seemed to maximize it. So yeah, I

727
00:35:55,639 --> 00:35:57,880
have no issues with the with an under eight. And

728
00:35:57,920 --> 00:36:01,639
what I will say about the Orioles, as you know,

729
00:36:01,679 --> 00:36:03,880
as much as I like this young group, they're still young.

730
00:36:04,280 --> 00:36:07,519
Speaker 2: The lineup has looked bad at times, like.

731
00:36:07,519 --> 00:36:10,719
Speaker 1: This particular lineup since you know, since like Jackson, like

732
00:36:10,760 --> 00:36:12,920
some of the younger guys have come up. They've had

733
00:36:12,960 --> 00:36:16,199
their moments like in like a game like last night

734
00:36:16,239 --> 00:36:19,239
where they score eight runs, thirteen hits, win a game

735
00:36:19,239 --> 00:36:22,000
eight seven, but then they've always they've also had games

736
00:36:22,000 --> 00:36:23,960
where they just straight up gone cold and haven't done

737
00:36:24,039 --> 00:36:26,840
much of anything. So if you get that today from

738
00:36:26,880 --> 00:36:28,840
the Orioles, I don't think there's any way that this

739
00:36:28,960 --> 00:36:31,320
gets to more than nine runs. I think I'm with you, though,

740
00:36:31,320 --> 00:36:33,719
if I if you absolutely pin me down for a

741
00:36:34,079 --> 00:36:36,280
side play here, I think it would just have to

742
00:36:36,360 --> 00:36:37,960
be Wells and the Orioles, because I love the way

743
00:36:37,960 --> 00:36:38,679
he's throwing the ball.

744
00:36:39,199 --> 00:36:41,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, if you take it. I mentioned this yesterday with

745
00:36:41,920 --> 00:36:45,559
Detroit with the lefty. Right thing is sure enough. Carpenter

746
00:36:45,639 --> 00:36:48,760
comes in lefty, I guess already in the last inning.

747
00:36:48,800 --> 00:36:50,880
It hits the home run to tie it with two

748
00:36:50,920 --> 00:36:54,639
outs in the ninth. But because there is a lefty,

749
00:36:54,760 --> 00:36:57,440
we're probably gonna get mile Castle and O'Neill as opposed

750
00:36:57,480 --> 00:37:03,239
to Beavers and Beaver's and maybe Carl Center. We'll see

751
00:37:03,280 --> 00:37:06,480
how it goes, but I trust the veterans a little

752
00:37:06,480 --> 00:37:11,320
bit better in that regard. And O'Neil is hitting a

753
00:37:11,320 --> 00:37:13,360
lot of barrels right now since he's come back from

754
00:37:13,400 --> 00:37:17,199
the IL, and plus Jordan Westberg back yesterday not only

755
00:37:17,239 --> 00:37:20,840
comes back his first game off the IL, he bats

756
00:37:20,840 --> 00:37:25,039
clean up in the DHS, So they got a nice

757
00:37:25,039 --> 00:37:27,639
bat back in the line up here. And I do

758
00:37:27,800 --> 00:37:29,639
like the way some of these younger kids are starting

759
00:37:29,639 --> 00:37:34,760
to play. Kobe Mayo, their number two organizational player last

760
00:37:34,800 --> 00:37:38,199
two weeks or last seven days, the sixty eighth best

761
00:37:38,280 --> 00:37:41,719
hitter in Major League Baseball according to Roster Resource and

762
00:37:42,119 --> 00:37:45,480
BEAVERSUS fifty third. Henderson finally is starting to come out

763
00:37:45,480 --> 00:37:49,039
of at seventy five holiday eighty seven, So some of

764
00:37:49,079 --> 00:37:52,239
their younger guys are starting to get a little warmed

765
00:37:52,280 --> 00:37:55,840
up here, and I've been looking to play place bets on.

766
00:37:55,880 --> 00:37:58,480
Baltimore have done it a lot in the second half

767
00:37:58,519 --> 00:38:00,760
of the season, and we've had a success in that.

768
00:38:00,920 --> 00:38:05,000
So yeah, Leene Baldemar here, but probably not enough to

769
00:38:05,000 --> 00:38:05,480
get to it.

770
00:38:06,960 --> 00:38:09,960
Speaker 1: All right, let's go with Memphis money, he says. Boston

771
00:38:10,039 --> 00:38:13,199
rolls again today. This is I believe are we are?

772
00:38:13,199 --> 00:38:13,519
Speaker 3: We still?

773
00:38:13,559 --> 00:38:15,000
Speaker 2: Is this another day game right here?

774
00:38:15,199 --> 00:38:17,480
Speaker 1: I know there's a lot of day baseball today, and

775
00:38:17,519 --> 00:38:19,360
I know that the folks like to ask about the

776
00:38:19,440 --> 00:38:21,840
day game. So yeah, this is Oh no, I'm sorry,

777
00:38:21,840 --> 00:38:23,719
this is this is the first one of the first

778
00:38:23,760 --> 00:38:25,519
ones off the board on the night state. It's all right,

779
00:38:25,519 --> 00:38:28,280
We're still going to talk about it. A's Red Sox

780
00:38:28,840 --> 00:38:32,079
Meanphis Money, says The Red Sox roll again today? Do

781
00:38:32,119 --> 00:38:33,760
you do you agree or disagree?

782
00:38:34,480 --> 00:38:38,000
Speaker 3: Well, he didn't roll yesterday they rolled over. They lose

783
00:38:38,039 --> 00:38:39,719
that game two to one to the White Sox or

784
00:38:39,760 --> 00:38:41,880
excuse me to the to they.

785
00:38:41,760 --> 00:38:44,920
Speaker 1: They did lose, Yes, so the the Red Sox lot. Yes,

786
00:38:45,000 --> 00:38:48,880
they they rolled I think on on Sunday Night baseball

787
00:38:48,960 --> 00:38:50,679
or Sunday Night eighties.

788
00:38:50,760 --> 00:38:52,760
Speaker 3: But yes, that was a bit. That was a big

789
00:38:52,840 --> 00:38:55,559
important win for them. And they turn around and play

790
00:38:55,559 --> 00:38:59,599
a lesser team and and uh Sacramento on the road

791
00:39:00,320 --> 00:39:05,280
and they only score one run. Uh this ball. I'm

792
00:39:05,320 --> 00:39:08,800
concerned about this Boston team. Barnet's going against Gilito here.

793
00:39:09,519 --> 00:39:13,719
Giulido's about a one to fifty five favorite. Yeah, one

794
00:39:13,760 --> 00:39:18,199
fifty five. I'd say a total of nine. Barnett's going

795
00:39:18,360 --> 00:39:25,760
for Mason Barnett going for the A's. Got three games, started,

796
00:39:26,039 --> 00:39:28,920
only gone twelve innings. His whip's been real high one

797
00:39:29,239 --> 00:39:31,360
point eight nine. Got an eight point five to three

798
00:39:31,559 --> 00:39:34,440
RA three point four to two expected though, so his

799
00:39:34,559 --> 00:39:36,599
numbers are a lot better than what he has shown.

800
00:39:37,360 --> 00:39:40,480
Throws four pitches his four singer fifty two percent of

801
00:39:40,519 --> 00:39:43,199
the time, but it's a little bit less than a

802
00:39:43,719 --> 00:39:47,440
league average for a right hander. That's probably not good

803
00:39:47,440 --> 00:39:49,639
when you're twenty four years old and you're not even

804
00:39:49,679 --> 00:39:52,679
a league average from a right hander. So I have

805
00:39:52,760 --> 00:39:55,880
some doubts about Barnett. But his heart hit rates so

806
00:39:55,920 --> 00:39:58,440
far has been pretty good. Average X philosophy has been

807
00:39:58,480 --> 00:40:01,000
pretty good. So maybe he's got something. Maybe he's got

808
00:40:01,000 --> 00:40:04,480
some little bit deception that can work for him today

809
00:40:05,760 --> 00:40:10,719
or tonight. Look as Gioledo still pitching, I believe he

810
00:40:10,840 --> 00:40:14,519
got to one of his UH spots that he needed

811
00:40:14,559 --> 00:40:17,119
to get so many innings or whatever to get bonuses

812
00:40:17,119 --> 00:40:20,000
and all these guarantees and stuff. And if also wasn't

813
00:40:20,000 --> 00:40:22,719
in the playoffs. In the playoff run, I think they

814
00:40:22,719 --> 00:40:24,800
probably would have benched you Aledo so they wouldn't have

815
00:40:24,840 --> 00:40:26,360
to pay that money. I know a lot of teams

816
00:40:26,360 --> 00:40:26,679
would have.

817
00:40:26,960 --> 00:40:29,119
Speaker 2: Cleveland would have hired, the Pirates certainly would have.

818
00:40:29,239 --> 00:40:33,360
Speaker 3: PRIs would have, Miami would have. Yeah, but he comes in.

819
00:40:33,360 --> 00:40:35,280
It's got that nice ten to four record three point

820
00:40:35,280 --> 00:40:38,119
three one ERA, but is expected as five point zero two,

821
00:40:39,480 --> 00:40:41,400
one hundred and thirty six innings, only one hundred and

822
00:40:41,400 --> 00:40:44,519
thirteen strikeouts. His extension is very good at seventy two percent,

823
00:40:44,920 --> 00:40:47,800
but everything else is in the blue, which means not good.

824
00:40:48,119 --> 00:40:51,119
He only throws four pitches. In fact, basically three pitches

825
00:40:51,440 --> 00:40:54,159
for seamer, slider and change ninety six percent of the time,

826
00:40:54,880 --> 00:40:57,320
and his for seemer that he throws the most forty

827
00:40:57,360 --> 00:41:00,400
eight percent is only ninety three point three percent. So

828
00:41:00,679 --> 00:41:02,760
we've got a couple guys here that I think can

829
00:41:02,800 --> 00:41:07,719
get hit, and so that would be the first thing

830
00:41:07,760 --> 00:41:10,559
I would look at, is possibly playing this game over.

831
00:41:10,599 --> 00:41:14,679
It's sitting at nine. Boston's a very good hitting ballpark,

832
00:41:15,119 --> 00:41:17,880
and of course we've seen some of these athletic bats.

833
00:41:17,920 --> 00:41:23,559
They got some good young talent on that team. Slightly

834
00:41:23,599 --> 00:41:26,880
into the over here, I can't lay this number with Boston.

835
00:41:26,880 --> 00:41:30,800
I just don't trust this Boston offense right now. And

836
00:41:31,320 --> 00:41:34,599
Burnett's he's got some stuff. He could come out and

837
00:41:34,599 --> 00:41:37,079
give him a good game. But the way Boston's playing,

838
00:41:37,320 --> 00:41:39,719
just because they need to win doesn't mean they're going

839
00:41:39,760 --> 00:41:42,239
to win, and so I can't get behind them here.

840
00:41:42,559 --> 00:41:45,599
But I somewhat like the over slightly.

841
00:41:47,800 --> 00:41:52,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, So I'm with you on the being out on

842
00:41:52,320 --> 00:41:54,960
the Red Sox until Roman Anthony comes back.

843
00:41:55,360 --> 00:41:57,639
Speaker 1: I'm out on this team. I talked about this right

844
00:41:57,679 --> 00:42:01,199
around the time he got hurt. He is I truly

845
00:42:01,239 --> 00:42:04,599
believe he was was the I know that the run

846
00:42:04,800 --> 00:42:07,239
started like a couple of days before he got called up.

847
00:42:07,639 --> 00:42:10,800
But I believe, I believe when he got called up,

848
00:42:10,800 --> 00:42:14,239
Devers was still there. So like the whole thing, like

849
00:42:14,400 --> 00:42:17,360
calling up Roman Anthony, they moved Devers I was I

850
00:42:17,400 --> 00:42:20,599
didn't mind that because it was going to basically open

851
00:42:20,679 --> 00:42:23,920
up the spot for him to play every day. Remember

852
00:42:23,960 --> 00:42:26,800
at the time they still had Marcelo Mayer like that,

853
00:42:26,800 --> 00:42:29,199
that was like the lineup.

854
00:42:28,800 --> 00:42:29,719
Speaker 2: I wanted to get behind.

855
00:42:30,039 --> 00:42:33,320
Speaker 1: And then even though Mayer got hurt, Roman Anthony is

856
00:42:33,480 --> 00:42:36,079
just I think he's gonna be sort of like the

857
00:42:36,079 --> 00:42:38,159
next Bryce Harper, if you will, like that type of

858
00:42:38,199 --> 00:42:41,920
guy for the next decade. So to lose him at

859
00:42:41,920 --> 00:42:45,000
this time of the year, I just don't think has

860
00:42:45,039 --> 00:42:47,960
been sort of priced into the number enough. Like I

861
00:42:48,000 --> 00:42:51,239
truly believe he is that important to this Red Sox team,

862
00:42:51,360 --> 00:42:52,519
specifically their offense.

863
00:42:52,599 --> 00:42:52,760
Speaker 2: Now.

864
00:42:52,840 --> 00:42:56,599
Speaker 1: Doesn't mean they're not gonna get runs today, no, Because

865
00:42:57,360 --> 00:42:59,880
I'm not super high on Barnett. This is someone that

866
00:43:01,280 --> 00:43:03,559
the A's were very high on him coming into the year.

867
00:43:04,119 --> 00:43:07,880
He was awful, awful, awful awful at triple A to

868
00:43:07,960 --> 00:43:10,760
start the year. He did make a little bit of

869
00:43:10,800 --> 00:43:14,239
an adjustment started to throw the ball better. You know,

870
00:43:14,440 --> 00:43:16,760
maybe right out of the All Star break. But this

871
00:43:16,800 --> 00:43:18,639
is not a guy that I've been impressed with at

872
00:43:18,679 --> 00:43:21,800
all this season. Kind Of I think they called him

873
00:43:21,880 --> 00:43:23,800
up because why not, A's are out of it. They

874
00:43:23,840 --> 00:43:25,960
probably just want to, you know, maybe want to see if,

875
00:43:25,960 --> 00:43:28,840
like the big league pitching coaches can can help him

876
00:43:28,920 --> 00:43:30,320
or do anything with him. I mean, he is a

877
00:43:30,360 --> 00:43:32,840
pretty high draft pick. I know that the A's had

878
00:43:33,239 --> 00:43:35,400
high hopes for him. He was one of the better

879
00:43:36,199 --> 00:43:39,239
minor leaguers at Double A last year for them. He's

880
00:43:39,239 --> 00:43:41,840
shown me very little at Triple A, and he really

881
00:43:41,840 --> 00:43:44,199
has shown me nothing yet in the big leagues. I mean,

882
00:43:44,880 --> 00:43:47,159
you know, it hasn't been great yet for him in

883
00:43:47,199 --> 00:43:49,920
the bigs either, So I don't I don't know that

884
00:43:49,960 --> 00:43:54,159
I love him going into Fenway and just dealing. So

885
00:43:54,280 --> 00:43:56,880
I think even with even though I'm not high on

886
00:43:56,920 --> 00:44:02,000
the Red Sox offense at all, nine reduced juice on

887
00:44:02,039 --> 00:44:05,199
the over seems like the play because we know the

888
00:44:05,239 --> 00:44:05,920
A's can hit.

889
00:44:07,119 --> 00:44:08,400
Speaker 2: We know they're gonna swing out a lot.

890
00:44:08,440 --> 00:44:11,320
Speaker 1: You know, if Giolito's in the zone, which he usually is,

891
00:44:11,760 --> 00:44:14,559
the A's can can make some contact and drive in

892
00:44:14,639 --> 00:44:17,320
some runs, and even with Anthony out of the lineup,

893
00:44:17,360 --> 00:44:21,079
which has made me downgrade the Red Sox considerably, They're

894
00:44:21,119 --> 00:44:23,400
still gonna probably find their way to some runs here

895
00:44:23,480 --> 00:44:25,599
because I'm just not high on Barnett. So I'll give

896
00:44:25,639 --> 00:44:29,719
you the over over nine. Not something I'm gonna play

897
00:44:29,719 --> 00:44:33,119
for clients, but wouldn't be surprised if the runs that

898
00:44:33,199 --> 00:44:35,920
didn't come last night come tonight at Fenway.

899
00:44:37,360 --> 00:44:40,239
Speaker 2: Okay, let's keep it going. Let's get another one.

900
00:44:40,280 --> 00:44:42,320
Speaker 1: We've already we've already got the parlay locked in, but

901
00:44:42,360 --> 00:44:45,079
we still have fifteen minutes left, so let's get to

902
00:44:46,320 --> 00:44:48,480
a couple guys asked about this game.

903
00:44:48,719 --> 00:44:49,800
Speaker 2: I'll go here, Brian Leonard.

904
00:44:49,960 --> 00:44:54,239
Speaker 1: The other day, you were talking about maybe wanting spots

905
00:44:54,280 --> 00:44:58,280
to fade the Angels Turnbuckle. Tommy loves the Angels today,

906
00:44:58,280 --> 00:45:02,360
he says, I love the Angels first five plus a half,

907
00:45:02,559 --> 00:45:05,320
may even sprinkle the first five money line.

908
00:45:05,360 --> 00:45:05,599
Speaker 2: Now.

909
00:45:06,039 --> 00:45:07,960
Speaker 1: I feel like the Brewers are a team that we

910
00:45:08,039 --> 00:45:11,519
haven't haven't necessarily been dying to back because of course

911
00:45:11,559 --> 00:45:14,639
they've kind of had things wrapped up. But they're a

912
00:45:14,639 --> 00:45:17,159
pretty big favorite against this Angels team today. So out

913
00:45:17,159 --> 00:45:20,679
in Milwaukee tonight Brewers, Angels. Do you want to comment

914
00:45:20,719 --> 00:45:23,159
on Tommy's first five and do you have anything for

915
00:45:23,199 --> 00:45:23,599
this game?

916
00:45:26,079 --> 00:45:27,599
Speaker 3: Well, let's take a look at with Lanya's on the

917
00:45:27,639 --> 00:45:32,280
first five forum. We're looking at the first five. We've

918
00:45:32,320 --> 00:45:36,599
got Woodroff about a one sixty favorite comeback about one

919
00:45:36,800 --> 00:45:42,480
forty on Soriano. Total is four slightly to the under.

920
00:45:43,079 --> 00:45:45,719
That's probably not enough to get me involved. I would

921
00:45:45,840 --> 00:45:47,920
need a little bit more if I wanted the Angels here.

922
00:45:48,239 --> 00:45:51,760
The Angels are a team, as you had mentioned, I'm

923
00:45:51,800 --> 00:45:55,559
looking to fade. If you followed the Angels, they did

924
00:45:55,599 --> 00:45:59,239
get that nice run early on, and they have done

925
00:45:59,239 --> 00:46:03,440
nothing since they They had been special, especially a team

926
00:46:03,440 --> 00:46:05,599
I'm looking to fade. Problem is the lines are usually

927
00:46:05,599 --> 00:46:10,559
too high to do so, and they find ways to lose,

928
00:46:11,480 --> 00:46:15,840
and who finds ways to win? The Milwaukee Brewers the Brewers.

929
00:46:16,519 --> 00:46:18,920
I don't care who you're a fan of in Major

930
00:46:19,000 --> 00:46:22,760
League Baseball, you have to enjoy watching The Milwaukee Brewers

931
00:46:22,760 --> 00:46:25,679
are the most fun team that you could tell. The

932
00:46:25,800 --> 00:46:29,639
love and the camaraderie in the dugout. They love the coach,

933
00:46:30,199 --> 00:46:33,480
they love playing for Milwaukee, and it's a smaller town

934
00:46:33,599 --> 00:46:36,960
area similar to the Clevelands and the Pittsburgh's and you

935
00:46:36,960 --> 00:46:39,679
know in the Baltimorees where you get that love affair

936
00:46:39,760 --> 00:46:43,440
with the fans, and obviously the Bob Yuker stuff is

937
00:46:43,559 --> 00:46:50,440
really risen this this team to new levels. So if

938
00:46:50,440 --> 00:46:53,400
a game is in balance, who do you want? If

939
00:46:53,440 --> 00:46:55,599
the Angels have a one run lead going into the

940
00:46:56,199 --> 00:46:58,360
Let's say that going into the eighth inning, the Angels

941
00:46:58,360 --> 00:47:00,679
have a one run lead, You've got to think the

942
00:47:00,719 --> 00:47:04,440
Brewers are still favored in the game. So I can't

943
00:47:04,599 --> 00:47:09,719
get behind the Angels here. I know Soriano is a guy.

944
00:47:09,760 --> 00:47:13,880
I like his groundball percentage hundred percent tile. He doesn't

945
00:47:13,920 --> 00:47:17,079
give a lot of home runs, but this is somewhat

946
00:47:17,079 --> 00:47:20,440
of a middling home run park, maybe maybe slightly better

947
00:47:20,519 --> 00:47:23,639
than normal. But Soriano four point one three Ira four

948
00:47:23,679 --> 00:47:26,280
point one to Ozho expected one point three a whip.

949
00:47:26,960 --> 00:47:30,000
He does have that problem with the getting too many

950
00:47:30,000 --> 00:47:33,679
players on base avera Jacksonville lost a six percentile hard

951
00:47:33,760 --> 00:47:39,119
hit rate, fifth walk grade sixteenth. There's parts of Sorriano

952
00:47:39,159 --> 00:47:42,599
I like, but it's been a long season. Let me

953
00:47:43,039 --> 00:47:45,800
check his innings here before I leave his place. He's

954
00:47:45,840 --> 00:47:48,800
in one hundred and sixty seven innings. That's more than

955
00:47:48,840 --> 00:47:52,239
he's had the last two years combined. It may start

956
00:47:52,639 --> 00:47:56,519
be starting to add up to him him, So I'm

957
00:47:56,599 --> 00:47:58,840
not standing in line to bet on him in this game.

958
00:47:58,840 --> 00:48:02,159
Woodruff guy who comes in with a three point three

959
00:48:02,239 --> 00:48:05,960
two ERA, two point twenty six expected expected the last

960
00:48:06,400 --> 00:48:08,960
the last year he pitched was twenty twenty three. He's

961
00:48:09,000 --> 00:48:11,039
expected that year was two point seventy nine to two,

962
00:48:11,320 --> 00:48:14,880
and he was two point two eight on his actual ERA.

963
00:48:15,480 --> 00:48:17,280
This is a guy. He's got a great whip in

964
00:48:17,440 --> 00:48:20,679
eight seasons, one point oh four whip, and he's got

965
00:48:20,719 --> 00:48:22,920
a fifty two to twenty eight record three point one one.

966
00:48:23,400 --> 00:48:27,360
He's an elite pitcher, and he's because of not pitching

967
00:48:27,440 --> 00:48:29,880
last year and only throwing sixty seven innings in twenty

968
00:48:29,920 --> 00:48:32,960
twenty three, he's a fifty nine point two and as

969
00:48:33,000 --> 00:48:36,559
you talked about, he's the guy that is starting to

970
00:48:36,960 --> 00:48:40,679
reach mid season form for himself because he waited so

971
00:48:40,719 --> 00:48:42,400
long to bring him up. They wanted to be sure.

972
00:48:43,159 --> 00:48:44,880
And he's got a lot of red on a SaaS

973
00:48:44,960 --> 00:48:49,119
cast page throws six different pitches and he doesn't throw

974
00:48:49,880 --> 00:48:52,119
the fourth singer that much, only thirty two percent of

975
00:48:52,159 --> 00:48:55,719
the time. Which is basically with that with his sinker,

976
00:48:55,800 --> 00:49:00,519
are the two that he throws the most. I like Milwaukee. Now,

977
00:49:00,519 --> 00:49:03,320
I'm not gonna lay this two to one, two to

978
00:49:03,360 --> 00:49:07,440
one line here, but maybe I could play the Angels

979
00:49:07,440 --> 00:49:09,320
team total under. Let me take a quick look at

980
00:49:09,320 --> 00:49:12,119
that ange team total under three and a half to

981
00:49:12,199 --> 00:49:17,320
the under one fifty. Quick look at the Milwaukee bullpen.

982
00:49:17,440 --> 00:49:24,840
Let me do that real quick here. Breweries, Okay, from

983
00:49:24,880 --> 00:49:29,000
a bullpen standpoint, they're in really good shape. Ureba hasn't

984
00:49:29,000 --> 00:49:33,559
pitched in three days. County the last two Ashby, last two, Meyers,

985
00:49:33,639 --> 00:49:36,840
the last three. Yeah, they're really set up on bullpen.

986
00:49:37,000 --> 00:49:42,039
So I think the under three and a half team

987
00:49:42,079 --> 00:49:43,920
total here for the Angels is probably the way I

988
00:49:43,960 --> 00:49:48,079
would go. And that's basically a minus one forty five.

989
00:49:48,480 --> 00:49:51,679
I like that better than having to lay the full

990
00:49:51,760 --> 00:49:56,079
number on, laying two dollars or whatever here on that team.

991
00:49:56,440 --> 00:50:00,000
Speaker 1: So, and I see to you, Tommy first five money line,

992
00:50:00,079 --> 00:50:03,400
I'm talking about full game. Yeah, I I don't think

993
00:50:03,440 --> 00:50:05,440
i'd want any part of the Angels full game. So, like,

994
00:50:05,559 --> 00:50:08,519
here's the thing, I get where Tommy's coming from when

995
00:50:08,559 --> 00:50:12,000
you look at Soriano, Because this dude will get crushed

996
00:50:13,320 --> 00:50:15,360
for a couple of games and then he comes out

997
00:50:15,400 --> 00:50:20,320
and it's like seven scoreless, eight strikeouts, just total wipeout effort.

998
00:50:20,559 --> 00:50:24,280
I would be terrified to back Soriano against the Brewers,

999
00:50:24,320 --> 00:50:28,159
and the reason why is because he is bottom five

1000
00:50:28,199 --> 00:50:31,800
percent in the league in hard hit and exit velo.

1001
00:50:32,480 --> 00:50:36,840
And we know when when Soriano is on, he's getting

1002
00:50:36,840 --> 00:50:38,880
ground balls. He is one of the highest groundball rates

1003
00:50:38,880 --> 00:50:41,639
in the league, but he still gets up a lot

1004
00:50:41,639 --> 00:50:44,559
of hard hit. That's not what you want against the

1005
00:50:44,559 --> 00:50:46,280
Brewers because they are fast as hell.

1006
00:50:46,719 --> 00:50:48,159
Speaker 2: They have great team speed.

1007
00:50:49,679 --> 00:50:51,760
Speaker 1: Like I don't know how to quantify this, but they're

1008
00:50:51,800 --> 00:50:53,840
they're they're so blessed this year.

1009
00:50:53,880 --> 00:50:56,679
Speaker 2: Every ball they hit has eyes, it finds a hole.

1010
00:50:57,159 --> 00:50:59,719
Speaker 1: I've never you know, they're they're just like they like

1011
00:51:00,039 --> 00:51:02,760
it's not really like a great handicap, but like I

1012
00:51:03,280 --> 00:51:05,519
have one of my best friends is like a die hard,

1013
00:51:05,559 --> 00:51:08,199
die hard Cubs fan. So but I end up in

1014
00:51:08,239 --> 00:51:12,440
a lot of NL Central conversation just you know, because

1015
00:51:12,440 --> 00:51:15,159
I talk to a Cubs fan that that follows the

1016
00:51:15,199 --> 00:51:18,719
team die hard every day, and I just hear him

1017
00:51:18,719 --> 00:51:22,159
complain about how how you know the horseshoe up the

1018
00:51:22,159 --> 00:51:23,599
butt for this Brewers.

1019
00:51:23,280 --> 00:51:25,000
Speaker 2: Team essentially this year, where it's like.

1020
00:51:25,480 --> 00:51:28,119
Speaker 1: Every hit is timely, Oh two outs, guy in second,

1021
00:51:28,159 --> 00:51:31,920
you know that ball is getting through grounders infield singles,

1022
00:51:32,039 --> 00:51:36,239
they're they're fast, they steal bases. That concerns me against

1023
00:51:36,280 --> 00:51:37,800
a guy that gives up a lot of hard hit

1024
00:51:37,960 --> 00:51:40,280
on the ground, because that's kind of what.

1025
00:51:40,239 --> 00:51:41,320
Speaker 2: The Brewers are going to do to you.

1026
00:51:41,360 --> 00:51:43,440
Speaker 1: They want to get a guy on, they want to

1027
00:51:43,440 --> 00:51:45,400
put him in motion, hit through, hit through the hole,

1028
00:51:45,480 --> 00:51:48,400
steal a base. So that that to me is not

1029
00:51:48,559 --> 00:51:52,960
the best matchup for Soriano. That's being said, I see

1030
00:51:53,000 --> 00:51:56,639
where he's coming from. Like Soriano a couple of bad outings,

1031
00:51:56,920 --> 00:51:59,239
this is kind of where he comes out and throws

1032
00:51:59,280 --> 00:52:02,079
six scoreless because that's what he does. So if you're

1033
00:52:02,079 --> 00:52:04,400
looking at the first five, you know this is a

1034
00:52:04,440 --> 00:52:06,679
tough game. I will say this, I want no part

1035
00:52:06,679 --> 00:52:09,440
of fading the Brewers in the full game. Right now.

1036
00:52:10,440 --> 00:52:12,400
I think they think they can get to one hundred wins.

1037
00:52:12,639 --> 00:52:15,000
Like when I watch this team play. I watched a

1038
00:52:15,039 --> 00:52:17,480
little of that game last night they blew the Angels out.

1039
00:52:17,719 --> 00:52:20,000
I think that they might have one hundred wins in

1040
00:52:20,039 --> 00:52:22,320
their sights as like a maybe a goal. Now, if

1041
00:52:22,360 --> 00:52:25,320
they lose the next couple, that that's done. But if

1042
00:52:25,320 --> 00:52:27,679
they were to finish off this sweep against the Angels

1043
00:52:28,119 --> 00:52:31,199
and need six wins in the final, like what nine

1044
00:52:31,280 --> 00:52:34,800
games to get to one hundred, that could be something

1045
00:52:34,840 --> 00:52:36,039
that motivates them a little bit.

1046
00:52:36,320 --> 00:52:38,239
Speaker 2: It's kind of a milestone again.

1047
00:52:38,280 --> 00:52:41,559
Speaker 1: I just think that like they're still playing for something

1048
00:52:41,599 --> 00:52:43,960
even though they have nothing to play for, and kind

1049
00:52:43,960 --> 00:52:46,039
of goes back to what Brian said. So, yeah, that's

1050
00:52:46,239 --> 00:52:50,480
an interesting game. Tommy says he's not taking Angels full game. Listen,

1051
00:52:50,599 --> 00:52:53,119
I think you're gonna know very quickly whether you're on

1052
00:52:53,159 --> 00:52:55,920
the right side with Soriano first five or not, because

1053
00:52:55,960 --> 00:52:58,320
he's either gonna come out throw five scoreless or he's

1054
00:52:58,360 --> 00:53:00,440
gonna get Nickel and dime to. I have to be

1055
00:53:00,480 --> 00:53:03,320
down for nothing in the first inning. Be interesting to watch,

1056
00:53:03,599 --> 00:53:10,079
that's for sure. Okayjave Cash says Reds today, Well, I

1057
00:53:10,079 --> 00:53:12,079
went I was on the Cardinals yesterday. I was right

1058
00:53:12,119 --> 00:53:16,480
about that. But this has been a very competitive series

1059
00:53:16,519 --> 00:53:21,800
so far. And Mike McGreevy, he said it came out

1060
00:53:21,800 --> 00:53:24,119
and threw a great game last night. I'm not winning

1061
00:53:24,159 --> 00:53:27,199
that game on the Cardinals without Mike McGreevy going something

1062
00:53:27,280 --> 00:53:30,440
like seven innings, totally shut them down, made so many

1063
00:53:30,440 --> 00:53:34,920
good pitches and Cardinals got it done three Nothing. That

1064
00:53:35,079 --> 00:53:38,239
being said, you got Brady Singer Palente today.

1065
00:53:38,920 --> 00:53:39,679
Speaker 2: I don't know Howvey.

1066
00:53:39,760 --> 00:53:41,320
Speaker 1: I think this one might set up a little bit

1067
00:53:41,320 --> 00:53:43,519
better for the Reds too, But I think I'm out

1068
00:53:43,599 --> 00:53:45,599
right now because this has been a really good series

1069
00:53:45,719 --> 00:53:46,559
and the Cardinals.

1070
00:53:46,599 --> 00:53:48,800
Speaker 2: I like the way they're playing. Brian Leonard. Anything for you,

1071
00:53:48,920 --> 00:53:50,119
Red's Cardinals for Hobby.

1072
00:53:50,639 --> 00:53:52,679
Speaker 3: Yeah, the Reds only a three percent chance to make

1073
00:53:52,719 --> 00:53:56,920
the playoffs. Now, they have a losing record, three games behind,

1074
00:53:57,559 --> 00:54:00,000
and they've they've fallen behind the Diamondbacks and they're tie

1075
00:54:00,159 --> 00:54:03,119
with the Giants. Right now, we're looking at basically ten

1076
00:54:03,159 --> 00:54:05,079
games left in the regular season. It's going to be

1077
00:54:05,159 --> 00:54:08,800
very tough for the Reds to get there. And I

1078
00:54:08,920 --> 00:54:13,159
will say they they dropped the shortstop down in the

1079
00:54:13,239 --> 00:54:15,599
order the other day, and I like it because he's

1080
00:54:15,639 --> 00:54:18,239
he's been horrendous in the second half of the season.

1081
00:54:18,320 --> 00:54:20,840
He's your team leader, he's your future, and he has

1082
00:54:20,960 --> 00:54:23,000
not lived up to it. I don't want any part

1083
00:54:23,000 --> 00:54:27,440
of the Reds here from the standpoint of the line

1084
00:54:27,800 --> 00:54:31,239
where we're looking at Singer against Polante. Here, Singer is

1085
00:54:31,280 --> 00:54:34,280
about a one to fifteen favorite. He's pitched very well.

1086
00:54:34,320 --> 00:54:37,880
He's been a nice signing for them in the offseason.

1087
00:54:37,920 --> 00:54:40,480
Polontes normally not a guy I'm looking to. Back total

1088
00:54:40,559 --> 00:54:43,760
is eight and a half here, and when you're taking

1089
00:54:43,760 --> 00:54:49,239
a look at Cincinnati for Singer, I prefer him in

1090
00:54:49,280 --> 00:54:52,000
this game. I think he is the better starter in

1091
00:54:52,039 --> 00:54:53,960
this game. Comes up with a three point ninety four.

1092
00:54:54,000 --> 00:54:57,039
He are a four point one six expected, but yet

1093
00:54:57,079 --> 00:54:59,280
his extension is in the ninety first percentile, and everything

1094
00:54:59,280 --> 00:55:04,480
else is blah good, slightly good. I mean he's he's

1095
00:55:04,519 --> 00:55:08,239
not great, and uh so we may it some runs here.

1096
00:55:08,400 --> 00:55:11,679
Polonte five point two to three e er a four

1097
00:55:11,679 --> 00:55:14,960
point three three expected. It's got a terrible whip. He's

1098
00:55:15,039 --> 00:55:17,079
pitched four seasons. His whip is one point four to

1099
00:55:17,079 --> 00:55:19,960
one in his career. He's a big ground ball pitcher,

1100
00:55:20,519 --> 00:55:23,079
and but and it keeps him off balance with his

1101
00:55:23,119 --> 00:55:26,599
barrowt a little bit. But fifth percentile strikeout rate. He

1102
00:55:26,840 --> 00:55:30,960
chased rate eighteenth with twenty four. So we've got two

1103
00:55:31,000 --> 00:55:34,320
pitchers I would prefer to go against in this game.

1104
00:55:34,840 --> 00:55:36,280
We're getting a total of eight and a half in

1105
00:55:36,320 --> 00:55:40,559
Saint Louis, which is a pretty decent Headeri's Park. We

1106
00:55:40,639 --> 00:55:44,360
talked a little bit about that yesterday. Light link into

1107
00:55:44,400 --> 00:55:48,639
the over. Probably won't get there. I hate to put

1108
00:55:48,679 --> 00:55:50,719
on money on Cincinnati right now. They look like they

1109
00:55:50,800 --> 00:55:55,960
may have may have basically gotten to the point now

1110
00:55:56,000 --> 00:55:58,599
where it's time. They've been in such a battle to

1111
00:55:58,679 --> 00:56:02,039
try to get in this up playoff position and they're

1112
00:56:02,519 --> 00:56:04,760
they're not somebody that I want to trust right now.

1113
00:56:06,079 --> 00:56:09,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's that's kind of the vibe I got watching

1114
00:56:09,719 --> 00:56:12,519
them yesterday. Now, obviously I was I had my reasons

1115
00:56:12,519 --> 00:56:14,960
for being on the Cardinals. One of one of the things,

1116
00:56:15,000 --> 00:56:17,920
one of the things on that I like about the

1117
00:56:17,920 --> 00:56:21,199
Cardinals is they really have felt like one of these

1118
00:56:21,239 --> 00:56:23,480
teams that for the most part over the last few weeks,

1119
00:56:23,920 --> 00:56:26,400
they they've really brought a very solid effort on a

1120
00:56:26,440 --> 00:56:29,559
daily basis where it's like, you know, and that'll go

1121
00:56:29,599 --> 00:56:32,800
to last night, like McGreevey taking the ball there, you know,

1122
00:56:33,360 --> 00:56:36,639
seasons probably over as it is, but definitely over if

1123
00:56:36,639 --> 00:56:40,280
they lose, goes out, throws a great game, makes many

1124
00:56:40,320 --> 00:56:43,559
good pitches, and that's like you know, Nolan Arnado big

1125
00:56:43,599 --> 00:56:46,039
spot where he you know, gets a third to first

1126
00:56:46,039 --> 00:56:48,239
double play. Like they're just making plays and they're playing

1127
00:56:48,239 --> 00:56:51,079
good ball, much more so than the Reds, who I

1128
00:56:51,159 --> 00:56:53,519
really feel like find ways to beat themselves. This has

1129
00:56:53,519 --> 00:56:56,360
happened all year, Like with the talent that the Reds

1130
00:56:56,360 --> 00:56:59,039
have on this roster, that seventy five and seventy six

1131
00:56:59,079 --> 00:57:01,639
record is for one and one reason only, and that

1132
00:57:01,760 --> 00:57:03,000
is because they beat themselves.

1133
00:57:03,079 --> 00:57:03,559
Speaker 2: They do not.

1134
00:57:04,119 --> 00:57:10,119
Speaker 1: This Reds team is just doesn't play like winning winning baseball.

1135
00:57:10,360 --> 00:57:12,199
They do sometimes they do, and it's when they do

1136
00:57:12,320 --> 00:57:14,800
it's fun to watch because you're like, man, there's a

1137
00:57:14,840 --> 00:57:17,320
lot of talent on this team. You just look at

1138
00:57:17,320 --> 00:57:20,760
the run differentials Reds plus twenty two, Cardinals minus fifty four.

1139
00:57:20,800 --> 00:57:23,199
Like the Reds are probably the better of these two teams,

1140
00:57:23,679 --> 00:57:26,559
but you just don't always get that, like like big.

1141
00:57:26,320 --> 00:57:27,480
Speaker 2: Time effort from the Reds.

1142
00:57:27,760 --> 00:57:32,639
Speaker 1: If anything, they beat themselves and it's not exactly what

1143
00:57:32,679 --> 00:57:35,760
I want to bet on, especially now after they lose yesterday.

1144
00:57:36,239 --> 00:57:38,320
Now they're three back. I'm kind of with you there, Brian,

1145
00:57:38,760 --> 00:57:41,440
Like do that how do they get off the mat? Here?

1146
00:57:41,480 --> 00:57:43,079
Speaker 2: They're on the road. It's a day game.

1147
00:57:44,159 --> 00:57:46,800
Speaker 1: But if we're just talking about matchup and we're just

1148
00:57:46,840 --> 00:57:49,119
talking about like this this team versus this team, this

1149
00:57:49,119 --> 00:57:52,760
team versus this pitcher, I'd much rather have singer. Polente

1150
00:57:52,800 --> 00:57:54,519
is a guy that I think is one of these

1151
00:57:54,559 --> 00:57:58,000
guys that the organizations love to have a guy like

1152
00:57:58,039 --> 00:58:01,079
this because, like they've talked about this on Memphis Redbirds

1153
00:58:01,159 --> 00:58:05,679
broadcast before, he will do anything that's asked of him.

1154
00:58:06,000 --> 00:58:08,159
He does it with a smile on his face. He's

1155
00:58:08,159 --> 00:58:11,079
all he prepares, he's a he's a professional, and like

1156
00:58:11,320 --> 00:58:13,920
you'll you'll see, like if you can find guys like this,

1157
00:58:14,079 --> 00:58:16,840
like they probably don't have to pay him much, they can.

1158
00:58:17,000 --> 00:58:19,079
If they need him to go out of the bullpen,

1159
00:58:19,159 --> 00:58:20,719
he'll do it. They need him to start a game,

1160
00:58:20,760 --> 00:58:22,199
he'll do it. They need him to go back to

1161
00:58:22,280 --> 00:58:25,960
Memphis and be a starter and just chill, he's gonna

1162
00:58:25,960 --> 00:58:28,480
do it. He's not gonna complain. Organizations love having a

1163
00:58:28,480 --> 00:58:30,679
guy like this that they can just rely on. I

1164
00:58:30,679 --> 00:58:33,599
think that's what Plente has become for the Cardinals. Doesn't

1165
00:58:33,639 --> 00:58:37,119
mean he's very good, no, Like he's probably what he

1166
00:58:37,280 --> 00:58:40,880
is five e r A you know era mid five

1167
00:58:41,599 --> 00:58:44,440
uh one four three whip the guy's got fourteen losses

1168
00:58:44,440 --> 00:58:46,559
on the air. I don't think it's I don't think

1169
00:58:46,559 --> 00:58:48,519
he's at this point in his career. I don't think

1170
00:58:48,519 --> 00:58:51,000
you're gonna like kill his confidence. I think he just

1171
00:58:51,159 --> 00:58:53,880
understands what his job is and his role is in

1172
00:58:53,920 --> 00:58:57,119
the organization, and the Cardinals know that right now they

1173
00:58:57,119 --> 00:59:00,360
don't have a better option. I'm surprised that they call

1174
00:59:00,440 --> 00:59:02,679
Quinn Matthews up for this spot, but he kind of

1175
00:59:02,719 --> 00:59:05,079
had injuries, and I feel like the Cardinals that might

1176
00:59:05,519 --> 00:59:08,559
be another thing that's telling you the Cardinals kind of

1177
00:59:08,599 --> 00:59:10,679
know it's not their year this year, because I feel

1178
00:59:10,679 --> 00:59:12,760
like they would have made that move another one of

1179
00:59:12,760 --> 00:59:15,639
their young pitchers is hurt. So that's why Polante is

1180
00:59:15,679 --> 00:59:18,599
pitching a game of this quote unquote magnitude right now.

1181
00:59:18,960 --> 00:59:21,000
Speaker 2: And that's not someone I want to back either.

1182
00:59:21,079 --> 00:59:25,519
Speaker 1: So reluctantly, I'll say the Reds here, but they don't

1183
00:59:25,599 --> 00:59:28,079
really give me the warm, fuzzy feeling. Brian Leonard, I

1184
00:59:28,599 --> 00:59:33,360
just I don't know. It's tough to get behind them.

1185
00:59:33,360 --> 00:59:36,559
But the Cardinals did use a couple of key bullpen

1186
00:59:36,679 --> 00:59:38,079
arms and big spots last night.

1187
00:59:38,360 --> 00:59:39,719
Speaker 2: Jojo Romero was in for.

1188
00:59:39,679 --> 00:59:42,920
Speaker 1: The eighth and then I think it's O'Brien that continues

1189
00:59:42,960 --> 00:59:47,480
to sort of go out and close games for them. Yeah,

1190
00:59:47,559 --> 00:59:50,800
I guessjave reds if I absolutely had to, but I

1191
00:59:50,840 --> 00:59:54,519
don't feel great about it. What I do feel great

1192
00:59:54,559 --> 00:59:57,159
about is the four percent play that I gave on

1193
00:59:57,199 --> 01:00:00,320
the show for free. I'm I'm probably going to have

1194
01:00:00,360 --> 01:00:02,800
another one, so I don't think that'll be the one

1195
01:00:02,840 --> 01:00:05,880
up for sale. If it is, though, I mean you'll

1196
01:00:05,880 --> 01:00:08,280
know by three o'clock because it'll fall off to day game.

1197
01:00:08,800 --> 01:00:12,119
But yeah, I just I'm in a good mood today.

1198
01:00:12,400 --> 01:00:14,480
Two and oh you sweep for me yesterday, Brian Leonard.

1199
01:00:14,559 --> 01:00:17,159
So I gave it to the people for free. And

1200
01:00:17,199 --> 01:00:19,119
that's our first parlay leg. So we're at the end

1201
01:00:19,159 --> 01:00:22,480
of the show. Let's recap the parlay Tokyo. Brandon is

1202
01:00:22,679 --> 01:00:25,639
en route to Las Vegas right now. He's on the road,

1203
01:00:26,039 --> 01:00:28,159
so he's not with us today. He'll be back tomorrow

1204
01:00:28,599 --> 01:00:32,360
live from the Westgate. I think that's pretty cool. John

1205
01:00:32,440 --> 01:00:34,719
Murray should put him in the clubhouse and have a

1206
01:00:34,960 --> 01:00:37,360
you know, just really broadcast him live from the West

1207
01:00:37,360 --> 01:00:38,199
Gate six am.

1208
01:00:38,840 --> 01:00:40,800
Speaker 2: Probably no one up there except for him.

1209
01:00:41,039 --> 01:00:45,119
Speaker 1: But anyway, we have two team or today, Diamondbacks money line,

1210
01:00:45,280 --> 01:00:49,079
Marlin's money line, nice and easy, very simple, two full

1211
01:00:49,159 --> 01:00:52,800
game sides, one day game, one night game, DBAX money line,

1212
01:00:52,840 --> 01:00:56,039
Marlin's money line, and the Diamondbacks is also a four

1213
01:00:56,079 --> 01:00:58,800
percenter for my clients that you got here for free

1214
01:00:58,840 --> 01:01:01,039
just for tuning in. I won't be tweeting that out.

1215
01:01:01,119 --> 01:01:03,039
I won't be putting it up for free on my page.

1216
01:01:03,039 --> 01:01:05,239
So the only way you're getting that if you're not

1217
01:01:05,280 --> 01:01:07,920
one of my clients is because you watch the show today.

1218
01:01:07,760 --> 01:01:11,000
Speaker 2: And we appreciate you tuning in on a daily basis.

1219
01:01:11,039 --> 01:01:11,599
We'll be here.

1220
01:01:12,320 --> 01:01:13,920
Speaker 1: I think we've got to go ahead to do this

1221
01:01:14,000 --> 01:01:16,320
all playoffs for the most part or most of the playoffs,

1222
01:01:16,360 --> 01:01:19,599
at least the weekdays. So that's pretty cool. We'll be

1223
01:01:19,920 --> 01:01:23,159
with you most of October. And yeah, look, keep an

1224
01:01:23,199 --> 01:01:26,079
eye out for the show announcement. We're going to basically

1225
01:01:26,079 --> 01:01:29,239
do this for college hoop as well. Very much looking

1226
01:01:29,239 --> 01:01:32,800
forward to that. And I know, Brian, you've got a

1227
01:01:32,800 --> 01:01:34,440
couple of things going on, but maybe we can get

1228
01:01:34,440 --> 01:01:36,840
you on a college basketball show at some point too.

1229
01:01:37,679 --> 01:01:40,760
Speaker 3: Did you mention the price that we're getting on a parlay?

1230
01:01:42,079 --> 01:01:44,440
Speaker 1: No, way too much. Caffeine for me this morning. Brian,

1231
01:01:44,440 --> 01:01:47,320
hold on one second, can you just what do we say?

1232
01:01:47,360 --> 01:01:48,400
Minus one o eight.

1233
01:01:48,239 --> 01:01:56,840
Speaker 4: And minus one await minus one fifty five that is

1234
01:01:56,920 --> 01:02:00,000
plus two sixteen, so plus two sixteen.

1235
01:02:00,760 --> 01:02:03,639
Speaker 3: And with the win yesterday, we're now up plus five

1236
01:02:03,639 --> 01:02:08,280
point two four yes on this season, grab this when

1237
01:02:08,320 --> 01:02:10,400
and go on into the last week of the season.

1238
01:02:10,679 --> 01:02:13,119
We were in pretty good shape to show a profit, which,

1239
01:02:13,760 --> 01:02:15,960
to be totally honest with you, I never thought that

1240
01:02:16,039 --> 01:02:20,480
would be something that we could do. When we started

1241
01:02:20,519 --> 01:02:22,440
talking about it, I said, this could get ugly when

1242
01:02:22,440 --> 01:02:26,159
you're playing three team parleys. Uh, but I've been pretty

1243
01:02:26,159 --> 01:02:28,400
proud about the way it's gone. Now. Once we get

1244
01:02:28,440 --> 01:02:32,480
to the playoffs, when there's only one or two games there,

1245
01:02:33,000 --> 01:02:35,039
we're not going to give you our plays, so but

1246
01:02:35,239 --> 01:02:37,239
we will talk about the games and hopefully you'll be

1247
01:02:37,280 --> 01:02:39,760
able to make something. Hey, we got to make some money.

1248
01:02:39,480 --> 01:02:43,599
Speaker 1: To guys, So yeah, yep, well yeah, I mean listen,

1249
01:02:43,639 --> 01:02:45,840
if we can get to the end of the regular

1250
01:02:45,880 --> 01:02:48,960
season turning a profit on a daily three teamer, I

1251
01:02:49,039 --> 01:02:51,400
will be thrilled about that. And like and like Brian

1252
01:02:51,480 --> 01:02:55,000
said after yesterday's win, plus five point two four units

1253
01:02:55,000 --> 01:02:56,800
on the season. All that means is, if you're for

1254
01:02:56,840 --> 01:02:59,559
every dollar that you've risked on these, assuming that you've

1255
01:02:59,639 --> 01:03:01,840
risked the time amount on all of them, one dollar

1256
01:03:01,960 --> 01:03:05,000
returning five dollars and twenty four cents doesn't seem like

1257
01:03:05,039 --> 01:03:07,760
a lot, But again, that's that's pretty good. We've been

1258
01:03:07,800 --> 01:03:11,320
we've been firing these out since April, and the fact

1259
01:03:11,320 --> 01:03:14,880
that we're still up, I think is pretty impressive. So yeah,

1260
01:03:14,960 --> 01:03:17,400
let's uh, we'll leave it on that note. D Backs

1261
01:03:17,679 --> 01:03:21,239
Marlins two team or today. Uh well, we'll have TV

1262
01:03:21,440 --> 01:03:23,039
back in the morning and we'll see you.

1263
01:03:23,039 --> 01:03:25,280
Speaker 2: Guys nine am tomorrow. Good luck today, enjoy your day

1264
01:03:25,599 --> 01:03:27,480
and cash all your tickets. Will see you tomorrow.