Speaker 1: A ton of college football right in front of us.
Games tonight games tomorrow is Slate of NFL on Sunday.
We're going to tell you how to make money. That's
what the show is about. How do you bet these
games so your bank account can increase. Welcome everyone to
the best betting show ever. I'm Lawrence Presman, co hosts
Joe Rnarii Art de Caesar joining us and still a
bit upset over the game last night, guys, I got
to tell you full disclosure. I had the Rams on
a money line parlayed, and then I had the Rams
under forty seven. That extra mispoint cost me both games,
and I did not sleep as well as I should have.
But it happens. Art, how much money did you guys
make on last night's game? Because, mother of God, was
everybody wrong.
Speaker 2: Everybody was wrong, and you know, just because show you.
I think we all said it kind of on the show.
The number got so out of whack you almost had
to kind of look at the Niners at that point. Obviously,
the Rams are gonna kill everyone's moneyline. Parlays, people who tease,
the people who tease the early Survivors stuff. I mean,
the RAMS was just a big kick and that you
know what for a lot of people last night.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and Joe, what does that say about the Baltimore
Houston game? We having the same similar kind of overreaction.
I mean, there are pros in Baltimore.
Speaker 3: These guys all make you know, paychecks the same. So
it's you know, tread carefully here, because I think we
were all reminded again last night, Art there are no
sure things in the NFL here, so tread carefully.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and we we sort of spoke about this during
the week Art whereas like which money line, which big
favorite is going to lose this week? Sunday hasn't come
and we found it already. I'm thinking there's still another
to go, Art, which one would you pick? Yeah, I mean.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I could see New England hanging tough in that game.
I mean, Buffalo has been a little underwhelming. And yeah,
I'll say this, I don't think it's the Lions. I
can't trust the Bengals. You know, the Bengals are just
that that is a bad football team. I don't know.
I've told you. You know, we did see sharp money
on the Raiders at plus seven from two separate people
that we respect. You know I could the cult trip
up here. Hard to back Gino on the road, but
it has been kind of one way as far as
the Raider cult.
Speaker 3: Money.
Speaker 1: That's interesting. Let's talk about money and where it is going.
We're going to start with NFL and get to our
college football. So Cowboys, Jets, Vikings, Dolphins and Panthers. Where's
the money going on all these games? All right?
Speaker 2: Well, you look at the Cowboys two and a half
point road favorite against the Jets, who are in the
group of you know, three or four of the worst
you know teams in the league. And Dallas, even though
they didn't win last week. I think a lot of
people are gonna be very happy to bet Dallas. That
look aheadline was minus one and a half. Dallas gonna
be very popular with the public this week. They always are,
but they will especially be this week. Totals got up
from forty six and a half to forty eight, so
keep that in mind. And that was really just us
moving with the market. Nothing really sharp on that. Vikings Browns.
This game is in London. Obviously, Browns make the switch,
which we had talked earlier in the week. One of
the Browns gonna make the quarterback switch, they go to
the rookie. Vikings are three and a half point favorite
in the game. Browns defense is good enough. What do
they get out of the rookie? You've seen the total
go down from thirty eight to thirty six. That was sharp,
and then Dolphins and Panthers. Dolphins we had as a
slight dog in the game. We opened Carolina one, took
shirt money on Miami at one. It's now flipped to
Miami minus one. In Carolina. Total's also gone down from
forty five and a half to forty four and a half.
Speaker 3: Oh god, Miami is a favorite on the road there.
I can't think of anything worse to have to watch
this weekend art, for sure, But what do we think
We still haven't had that one weekend where oh, you
don't think Tennessee's gonna win a game? Ah, you don't
think Carolina is gonna win a game. Ah, you didn't
think the forty nine ers are gonna win? Like it
feels like we're being set up here in week five. Well,
I'm worried there could be there could be a lot
of people out of the survivor pool art when it's
all said and done.
Speaker 2: This week absolutely, even another mom when you talk about
you know, people are gonna bet Arizona. Oh, I mean Arizona.
They're gonna be big on Arizona at that seven seven
and a half, they'll be probably popular and Tea and
Survivor too, because when are he ever gonna use Arizona.
So you're right, this is one of those weeks where
it could really blow up.
Speaker 1: I luckily have already used Arizona and they're behind me.
I'm gonna go with Buffalo as my Survivor pick for
this week. I charted out the whole year. If everything
stays the way it is, this is what I'm gonna do.
I'm just gonna stick to my chart. Buffalo is this
week survivor against New England. Will there be better spots
to take Buffalo? Yeah, but I don't know if there's
gonna be much better spots. They are still at home.
It is a primetime game, and you know Josh Allen
loves beating up on this New England team. So that
was that's my survivor pick. Let's turn our attention to
some college football. We have six games, five games going tonight.
I'm actually in play on two of them. Clients art.
Where's the money going for tonight's college football games? And
you take the same type of bets tonight as you
will tomorrow, is like way more bets tomorrow per game.
Speaker 2: Oh way more bet, way more bets. And honestly, these
are ugly games. I mean, this is no Florida State
Virginia tonight. I mean, really, I'm only going to hit
on two out of the five. Charlotte goes to South Florida.
South Florida is now a four touchdown favorite twenty eight,
but we saw people lay twenty seven and twenty seven
and a half. That's what's moved us to the twenty eight.
There West Virginia at BYU. West Virginia's quarterback is gonna play,
so that kind of you know, it was early BYU money,
then there was West Virginia money. We've kind of been
bouncing back and forth between nineteen and nineteen and a half.
Even saw a twenty pop this morning. We have not
gotten there yet. We'll need West Virginia in the game
and a game that we haven't touched on all week
for Saturday, but we seem pretty good movement here. Boise
goes to Notre Dame. Notre Dame now three touchdown favorite
minus twenty one at home Sharp Slade seventeen and a
half and nineteen and a half in that game. So
Boise will be a big need for us on Saturday.
Speaker 3: All right, I got it. We talked about it earlier
in the week over at the Westgate. You guys don't
release those team totals still right around today. So the
team total of the week is Kent States. We saw
what two and a half? Three, three and a half?
Where did the Westgate land opening up the team total
for Kent State versus o U two.
Speaker 2: And a half?
Speaker 3: Oh?
Speaker 1: What mat You're gonna take that? So gross?
Speaker 2: You know present, It's funny. We've talked about this before,
not a ton. It's those markets are you know even two?
We try to now put up some first quarters in
college football. Those in team totals. Really, I'll say this,
they rarely see any like Paul like general public action.
That never happens. Anyone who's normally coming in and betting
a team total or a first quarter is usually someone
we indicate as a sharp player, or they could be
looking for middles, they could just be looking for a number.
There's just so many factors that go into when they
bet those smaller markets.
Speaker 1: All right, let's look at some baseball. I mean, obviously
you don't set the schedule. I am baffled at why
the Yankees and the Blue Jays are playing against each other.
This is See one and two. Basically, I don't understand.
But whatever it is, what it is, We've beat up
on them all year. So bring them on series prices.
Anything we need to know about any big bets you've taken.
Speaker 2: Absolutely, we'll go through all four of them real quick.
The one that really hasn't moved at all is Brewers,
a slight favorite minus one fifteen against the Cubs. Mentioned
yesterday that Dodger number. We opened minus one twenty against
the Phillies. We're now up to a dollar twenty five
on the Dodgers. Seattle's been the big move for us.
We open minus one sixty five. We're now up to
a dollar eighty on Seattle. Against Detroit Yankees, we open
minus one forty five, we're now minus one fifty on
That really just moved with the market on that Seattle.
We saw a little bit of action come in there.
But I think obviously that Dodger Philly series and that
Yankee Blue Jay series. Those will be the two that
attract the most betting action Seattle. Now, the fact that
it's approaching two dollars, approaching a dollar ninety, I think
you'll see some buyback on Detroit because it's just a
big number, and people want to take a dog in
a short series, especially with the chance of Schooble getting
two starts. They'll pitch game two and if there's a
game five, you'll know he'll come back on short rets
and pitch that type of game.
Speaker 3: All right, I got an asktard though. It's I saw
the numbers this morning. So the team that has the
best record of Major League Baseball is the fourth choice
to win the National League pennant? Is that what your
numbers show as well?
Speaker 2: Yeah, and you know it's well, well, you know how
you know how it goes everyone. Yeah, well that's the thing.
And nobody has bet Milwaukee all year. And you know,
a team like that, who had the run they had,
we can normally get killed on a team like that
if we weren't quick enough to adjust the numbers throughout
the season. But nobody bet the Brewers because it's the Brewers,
the Dodger, Philly kind of series. They have penciled in
the winner of that going to the World Series. And
the Cubs are the Cubs. They always see money because
they're the Cubs. So yeah, the Brewers are the forgotten
team in the NL.
Speaker 3: All right.
Speaker 1: The Caesar joining us, guys, hit that like button please
if you don't mind, also make sure to comment. A
word of the day is subscribe. There you go. The
word of the day is subscribe. Uh, subscribe to our channel, Joe.
Everybody loves your reactions all the time.
Speaker 3: Just you know, my raction is based upon your planning
for this show, the way you you think the word
of the day, the way it's the way you pre
planned the start.
Speaker 1: Yes, you know, you know the old saying for every
hour on air is three hours of prep. And then
there's my saying for every hour on air, there's three
hours of nap time. Yes, show, we get into the
parlay of the day, which is an f L. I
just want to make mention that, uh, your fearless, hard
working leader, mister Trump, uh did sign an executive order
to call the Department of Defense the Department of War.
So this Canadian was right.
Speaker 3: You're not right. You're not right. It's still the Department
of Defense because his executive order doesn't mean squat unless
Congress votes on it to legally change.
Speaker 1: They're having a knap right now.
Speaker 3: Well that's my push. So as of right now, Pres,
it is still the Department of Defense.
Speaker 1: One of our listeners does point out, Joe that you
remind them that your dating profiles should be an orangutang.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I got no problem with that, Pres, I got
no problem with that. Yes, listen, I've dated a few
orangutangs in my day, so not proud of it, but
there is you know that's Jaegermeister is a very dangerous alcohol.
I will say that.
Speaker 1: Yes, well said okay, Art, I know you got a rod.
You got a busy freaking weekend ahead of you. It's
time for our NFL parlay of the day. I'll go first.
I'm gonna play the over in the Dallas New York
Jets game, and I will explain why in the press
NFL Best Bets section that is leg one over in
the Dallas New York Jets game, and that number is
forty seven and a half.
Speaker 2: All right, I'm gonna take Denver plus three and a half.
I think the way Philly has performed all year, and
I know it's a short week for Denver. Philly's just
been out gain. It's just I don't know. There's just
something about this Philly team where I think they can
get tripped up. I like the three and a half.
Give me Denver.
Speaker 3: You guys are brutal here, all right. I'm gonna go Seattle,
and I'm gonna lay it with them. I think Seattle
at home. I think it's the big ass spot here
for Tampa to go across the country. I though Baker's
been great as an underdog with Tampa. I think Seattle
in post is their will in this one. So I'll
lay the three and a half the press.
Speaker 1: There, we know, and that is art to Caesar's time
for this week. Thanks brother, lots of love. I hope
you win every bet except for the bets me, Joe
and our clients. Make correct marsh this, Caesar, everyone, Joe
ran Ai. I'm running out of golf days, dude. I'm
going today, I'm going tomorrow, and I think that might
be the end of golf for the summer. What do
we gotta do, dude, We gotta promote. So you've got
a five percent play up for Sunday. I've got a
five percent play up tomorrow in college football. It's a total.
I'm seven and two in those. I also have two
college football plays going tonight. What do you got going
with the clients this weekend?
Speaker 3: Yeah? I got also a two pack right now, as
you can see on the screen there for twenty nine dollars.
You can go get them both here for a little
Friday night lights action. I love both of those plays.
And then I'm locked and loaded with four college up
all plays tomorrow. And like you said, got that five
percent ready to go in the NFL, the first one
of the season for Sunday.
Speaker 1: I got it. I don't even know what it is, dude,
I should go look you no, I should stay.
Speaker 3: You should stay possible.
Speaker 1: Okay, Okay, what am I gonna do with my circa picks? Joe,
let's do that live on air together. Okay. So I
need five circa picks? So Minnesota is going to be one,
Baltimore is going to be two. So I've got too
locked in. Where do we go from here? I need
three more, and I just I can't come up with
ship bro.
Speaker 3: It's not a great NFL.
Speaker 1: The other three are just range of guesses.
Speaker 3: It's not a good card at all. I would say, though,
pres I wouldn't be up. I don't know where are
we at right now. With Minnesota tomorrow three and a half.
Speaker 1: I'm hoping it goes down to three and I can.
I will release the three to my clients. But I mean,
even if minus three and a half, Joe, it might
be my favorite side of the week. So you know,
I can't. I can't get there on Miami Carolina game.
Dallas Jets is horrific. Vegas in Indianapolis. I mean maybe
the seven there with with Vegas might be one of
the three. I will not play against Philadelphia no matter what.
I don't know. You what, Yes, I have no affinity
towards the team. I just won't play against them.
Speaker 3: I could.
Speaker 1: I could take the Giants, Joe. A lot of people
are leaning on New Orleans. We saw what happened last
night when a lot of people like one side. I
could take the Giants. Maybe his number three Seattle worries me.
I don't like the whole I don't know, dude. Maybe
Washington with Alt out, maybe Jacksonville.
Speaker 3: No McLaren in that game either. I don't like Washington. Plus,
I don't like Daniels. He hasn't look great. You can
look great the first two games anyway, So and how
is that neat exactly? How mold is he going to be?
So I don't know. I still think the chargers at
home are there probably right side there. Two and a half.
If you can get two and a half.
Speaker 1: I think I think if I can get two and
a half, that's probably gonna be at four. All you
guys who buy my plays, I do put my circle
bets in there so you'll find out which five I'm
going with. But right now I am absolutely struggling to
come up with five ats bets white price.
Speaker 3: Wait, let go ahead, guys, drop it in the comments
session we had about the dating profiles. Tell the press
what is five best bets should be here in the
circle and let's see. Uh, let's see if you guys
are on the same page.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and we're starting a new quarter at the circa
three hundred grand up. Last win last quarter seventeen and
three was the record that won that. So let's start
with a nice five and zero. Let's you know what, guys,
I'll do. We're going with many and we're going with Baltimore.
The rest of the three, I'll do a consensus of
what you guys put up, because I'm just gonna guess anyway.
So let's do it together, Joe, we got the four
more segments. They're all on the clock two minutes each.
My NFL Best Bets, Your NFL best bets. You're gonna
run down tomorrow's baseball action, and we're gonna look at
the mail bag at the end of the show. I
told you survivor, that's Buffalo. We're all gonna help with
the circa. Other than that, queue the clock and let's
get to our NFL Best bets two minutes too. NFL bets,
let's get to it. Philadelphia hosting Denver, and I'm going
to look to take over the total in this game.
It's forty three and a half. And this is one
of my favorite totals on the board. And let's bottom
line this. Firstly, this Denver team twenty eight, twenty, twenty eight,
and twenty they've put up twenty or more points in
all four games. They scored four touchdowns last week. Now,
from a defensive perspective, I understand that everybody thinks they're
really good. They allowed the Chargers to put up twenty
three on them. They allowed Indianapolis to put up twenty
nine on them. And let's be honest, who the hell
is going to stop this Philadelphia Eagles offense. They put
up thirty one last week, thirty three the week before,
they put up twenty on Kansas City, twenty four on Dallas.
You go back to last year, they had a fifty
five one week. This team regularly put forties on board.
This is a very, very low total. Both of these
teams are also although running the ball a lot, are
long bombing it all over the field. Bo Nicks will
throw it thirty forty yards five times a game. Well, Jalen,
I think this game gets into the low fifties. Take
over the total in the Philly Denver game. I like
the over again in the Indianapolis Vegas game. In the
bottom line here is Vegas has no secondary in Indianapolis
is gonna air the ball out all over the field.
They just put up twenty on LA. That was phony.
They had twenty seven. Technically, if brain Cramp wide receiver
held the ball, they put up forty one on Tennessee
twenty nine on the vaunted vaunted Denver defense. And thirty
three on Miami. We know Indianapolis is going to put
up points and Vegas they're gonna have no choice but
to keep keep pace. They put up twenty four on Chicago,
twenty four on Washington. I think both teams get us
into the mid twenties. I think this game also goes
into the low fifties. Take over the total in both
the Philly game and the Indianapolis game.
Speaker 3: Joan Airey, all right, prays good stuff there, A right,
these are odd, but let's go here. Let's start with
the early game again across the pond in Europe, with
the Vikings taking on the Browns. And to me, the
numbers don't lie in history tells us a little something
about this situation here, a situation in which Minnesota has
now been there for two weeks, and they chose actually
to be there for two weeks. They volunteered themselves to
go back to back in Europe. Why Because history tells
us that those teams that adjust their body clocks to
that time zone there and stay there do a pretty
good job, especially coming off a loss the first go
around there. So I think Minnesota and Carson Wentz are
better off having already played there and stayed there. And
then you've got a rookie quarterback in Dylan Gabriel starting,
And we all know rookie quarterbacks have been profitable to
back somewhat when they are in a home environment. They
are not profitable to back in or neutral site games
one twenty one two against the number forty six percent
over the years. Here, the bottom line to me is,
I think they're gonna make the adjustments necessary. Uh. I
think you're gonna watch them get the ball out of
Carson Wentz's hands early and often.
Speaker 2: Uh.
Speaker 3: I like Minnesota to get it done in that game.
And I like the over in the Raiders and Indie game.
Speaker 1: Uh.
Speaker 3: That secondary of Vegas is awful. I think Danny Dimes
and Shane stike In will have more than enough opportunities
to go over the top and score plenty enough points.
And I think the Raiders also are gonna have a
pretty good time throwing the ball around. Hopefully enough he'll
be able, Gino will figure it out that who's wearing
a Colt uniform and who's actually on his team press.
But I do think that we're gonna get some points
in this game in the Dome. I'm looking at the
over forty seven forty seven and a half between the
Raiders and the Colts.
Speaker 1: There we go, we both like the same pick. I
guess they should all bet.
Speaker 3: It under that's correct. I am with you, Joel.
Speaker 1: Mlb rundown brother. Before you get into the actual games,
the Jay is going to win this series?
Speaker 3: No, no, but well listen, we do have some nice
parting guests for you and the U and the rest
of the Toronto. The Toronto Blue Jays have about as
good a shot of winning this as the Maple Leaves
have of winning a Stanley Cup. How's that work? Not
about right?
Speaker 1: Okay? We've won eleven okay, and one most winning franchise
of all time.
Speaker 3: So who was the prime minister when that last happened?
Present you guys?
Speaker 1: Florida Panthers won the Florida Panthers Trophy is in history
as well?
Speaker 3: History is history?
Speaker 1: Joe.
Speaker 3: Yeah, No, I know, I do, I know, I know
it should be a great Yeah.
Speaker 1: Can we bet an eyebrow?
Speaker 3: And eyebrow Joe? And nobody wants your eyebrow? All right,
let's go here. We got a couple of series here.
I think that are gonna be a whole lot of
fun to watch. We'll start, of course, with that Yankee
series against Toronto, and listen, Pres, it's Toronto owned them
this year. Sort of eight and five, I think, is
what the series total was this season. The pitching matchup
Game one doesn't exactly favor the Yankees. Looks like they're
gonna have to go with Will Warren up against whoever
Toronto wants to throw. At that point, there probably beaber,
I'm thinking. But then it'll get interesting because the Yankees
will be able to restart with Freed Rodan and everyone's
new favorite pitcher, Kim Schlittler. Schlittler, Okay, Pres, say that quickly.
I told you learn this kid's name. He is an
absolute stud. I do think this goes six games, but
ultimately I think the Yankees get it done in that one.
We talked art earlier about the Brewers and the Cubs.
You know the Cubs. Actually we won the season series
against the Milwaukee Brewers. But I don't know, call me crazy.
A team that does not shoot itself in the foot,
which is the Milwaukee Brewers. They do all the little
things right. To me, this is a very dangerous team
in a long series. Because they won't. They'll take the
extra pitch, they'll move the runner over. They got healthy
in the bullpen again. I think the most value on
a board is backing Milwaukee, not just in this series,
but to represent the National League, the Dodgers in Phillies.
I think the Phillies are gonna miss Zach Wheeler. I
think that's gonna be a problem. Everybody is betting the Dodgers.
I would look to back Philly at home though in
this series. I think they'll you'll find some value in
that one. And Seattle should have no problem dismissing Detroit,
who was just fortunate enough to finally have an ending
in which they can score enough runs to actually win
a game against the Guardians. I think they're in for
a router waken here. I think Seattle has the easiest path.
I think they get it done in five friends in
that series.
Speaker 1: There we go. Yeah, Seattle does have the easiest path
because for some reason, the Yankees are playing the Blue Jays.
Speaker 3: Yep, anyway, yep, sorry, anyway, Joe.
Speaker 1: Let's get to the mailbag section of the show, and brother,
we had a listener yesterday, Blake P Person, Congratulations counterintuitive
betting usually wins. He writes, he took san fran on
the alternate line at minus two and a half. That's
what we want to hear, Blake, well done, Brock, very nice. Yes,
another gentleman took a teaser, seven point teaser and had
the rams in that teaser. So obviously it lost. But
the reason I wanted to mention that teaser, Joe, is
that in his seventh point teaser he was able to
bring Detroit from ten to three. Oh, Austin Gun, Oh,
Austin Gun, do not do that again, my brother. That
is that that mistake is so high level. I probably
would slap you if we were next to each other.
It would be like a love slap, you know, like
one of those like tough love bam across the face. Firstly,
you didn't get it through two key numbers. That's the
one mistake. But Joe, the biggest mistake is that teasers
don't push correct. They lose on ties. You cannot have
a team at minus three and a taser take the
extra half and make it a seven and a half pointer. So, Austin,
I wanted to signal that out and I know you
lost already. The other thing is he took Dallas to
four and a half, which is another major mistake when
betting teasers. You can never cross zero. If you cross
zero in a teaser, you're giving up a point a
seven team. A seven point teaser when you cross zero
is a six point teaser. Let's not give the books
any extra help, Joe, anything else before we call it
it in.
Speaker 3: You're taking you somewhat positive ev bets and you're making
them negative, and that is never good in the long run.
You might get lucky and win one here or there,
but to think that you're going to get rich by
going with that, you are sadly mistaken. I know math
is hard, but that math doesn't work in your favor.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and we're trying to help you, guys. So tough love,
that's what it is.
Speaker 3: Yep.
Speaker 1: And speaking of that, lots of love everyone, Let's all
have a monster weekend. See you got hey, Sunday end zone.
We have sixteen thousand people watching the live stream. Make
sure to tune in Sunday one pm Eastern. We're gonna
watch the show together. Other than that, see you guys
on Monday. Lots of love,