Speaker 1: What's up everybody. Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks,
or welcome back.
Speaker 2: Rather.
Speaker 1: We haven't been live since Tuesday, so it's been a
little bit here, but we do always start this show
by being transparent. While I was away from the show,
I wasn't really doing too much betting no shows over
the weekend. I don't really have too much to talk about.
Things have been going pretty well though. I mean, I
think twenty eight and seventeen run in all sports, so
try to keep that going here today and we're back
with my good friend mister Rob.
Speaker 2: You know, how are you doing today? Hopefully everything's been
okay for you.
Speaker 3: Yeah, things have been good, Ski. You know, this year
long almost run stays pretty much intact up about one
hundred and I think it was one hundred and one
and a half units since I'm dating way back to
the college tournament. But it's been the best at wager talk.
So been good. A little disappointed Saturday for those of
you who were college football better Saturday had a little
overplay on Kansas State Iowa State. It looked like I
won the game, Ski, until the review people came into
play and decided that I wasn't gonna win the game
and landed about three inches away from an over when
in that one is Iowa State chose to kneel on
the ball three times and crush my heart? But other
than that, it's been good. Can't complain and glad to
get back with some WNBA here today. It's kind of
a weird schedule right there. A couple of days where
no games were played at all, and then five games
no games, But it looks like we're a little steadier
here through the rest of the season.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and that, uh, I mean I didn't get involved
in that that Iowa Iowa State versus Kansas State.
Speaker 2: Yeah, Kansas Date. I didn't get involved.
Speaker 1: That one was in Ireland, right, it was involved in
that game, but I should have because I would have
had a winner.
Speaker 2: But it's all good.
Speaker 1: We'll get we'll kick off college football this week, the
week one, but we're not here to talk college football yet.
We'll touch on it later in the week. For right now,
get to a little bit of WNBA and we have
two games.
Speaker 2: On the slate. We'll go in rotation order like we
always do.
Speaker 1: That means first up is six nineteen six twenty Connecticut,
New York opened up Liberty minus fourteen and a half.
It is still sitting at fourteen and a half at
most shops. Total open one sixty six and a half,
and I mean, this has to be this has to
be a mistake. I see it one sixty seven and
a half at most shops one shot though, I'm seeing
one seventy and a half, and that just seems so
far off. So I'm guessing that's a mistake. As far
as injuries are concerned, for Connecticut, no Layla, that's a
big deal. She's been playing really well. Marshall's also out
for Connecticut. For New York, I'm pretty sure Natasha Cloud
was not as shoot around this morning. She's listed as
questionable for this game. So it's easy and you do
get Sabrina back in the lineup and Brianna through her
back into the lineup. They've desperately needed her. I'm pretty
sure the Liberty have lost floor the last five games
and their last one, pretty sure they got blown out.
So it's a chance for them to get back in
the win column. For the Sun, Rob you know, they've
been over achieving. They've won back to back games as underdogs.
They come in here as a fourteen and a half
road dog. You know again, do you think they can
keep up the good play and keep this one respectable?
Speaker 3: Well, I think you have to ski. Obviously, they found
a little something that has clicked. I don't want to
say since the All Star break because it was a
little further along than that, but let's just say the
last couple of weeks. I mean, this team is five
and zero against the spread in their last five, six
and one over the course of their last seven, and
that dates back to early August. So this month has
been good for Connecticut again, looks like something is clicked
here with this team. Kind of youthful, obviously reached this year.
Talk about the line here for a minute, though, and
it just seems to me that again this line gets
a little bit too big for my liking as far
as the favorite is concerned. Just based on the return
of Breonna Steuart. We say it all the time, We'll
say it again when you have an extended absence, and
I guess I guess before I say this, I will
say that Nafisia Klger is the is the outlier in
this experiment because she comes back with thirty plus. It
doesn't matter. She has done too sixty games. But I
wonder how how well this New York Liberty machine runs,
especially first half with Stuart getting back into the lineup
after such an extended absence. I do like the fact
that she brings the defense to the table, though I've
talked about that a little bit during her absence. I
think that New York will become a better defensive team.
And I like the word you used when you say desperate,
because New York's falling all the way to the five seed.
Not like they're separated by a bunch two games from
them to Atlanta, who's in the two spot. But for
New York to be looking up this morning and seeing
that they're fifth, that's not good. When you get outside
of that top four and moves all home floor advantage
kind of tough. So certainly, having Sabrina back, I think
she could have played Saturday. According to Sandy Brundello, she
said if it was a playoff game, she would have
had her right there on the floor. Maybe a little precautionary,
but it cost them a game against the Dream I
think the points are too many here Ski. Honestly, I
think New York might feel their way through this game.
You've got two games between these two teams this month
where we could kind of base some things on. New
York wins by nine and the other side of Connecticut
won by sixteen. So they've played them tough. To play
them within fourteen and a half fifteen points, I think
they can do so. So for me, I would be
looking toward the cannet aside and total wise, I don't know.
My initial lead would be under, just because I like
Stuart's defense back on the floor, and maybe the offense
is a little bit rusty, and I don't know really
quickly here you don't know this. Sabriten is one hundred
percent here, so she has not been consistent on offense either.
Maybe I would look at the under but I didn't
play either.
Speaker 1: Well, I can understand if you want to say, you know,
she might come back a little rusty. We do know
she'll help the defense. But at the same time, like
you mentioned, we saw a Fee come back from a
long absence put up thirty two. Seeing Kaitlyn Clark come
back from a long absence and go crazy, I mean,
it's possible. Not every situation is the same. Though you
mentioned the two games that these teams have played recently.
Are the two meetings, neither one was with Stewie. New
York won both of them. Oh no, no, I'm sorry new
York lost one. They won one, but both of the
games were without Stuwie there. So it will be the
first time they see them, you know. And the one
time they did have study, I think they beat them
one hundred to fifty two. So it's capable of going
both ways. I'll say, looks really easy to go and
just and take all these points with the Sun they've
been covering every game. Just go to the window with
them again and you know, expecting to keep it competitive.
But a big part of why the Sun of being
good is Layla Lakan. I think it's Lakan. Like I said,
I don't watch the games with the with the sound
on usually, but she's been playing really well for Connecticut
for probably a month now, and she's a big part of,
you know, the success that they've been having. So her
being doubtful for tonight is a huge miss. And just
trusting the Liberty after getting destroyed in their last game.
Speaker 2: To come out here and play, like play up to
their talent level.
Speaker 1: When I look at Connecticut, I mean, are we really
impressed with what they've been doing lately. They play the Sky,
they play Domestics twice, they played a Fever team who
are missing everybody with what ACL injuries. It seems like
like so many players are done for the season. Are
we really impressed with what Connecticut has done lately? I
would say no. I mean, I know they've been a bottom.
Speaker 2: Feeder, but.
Speaker 1: Like I said, I'm just not impressed. I think the
Liberty are clearly the much better team. I think the
Liberty are in the spot standings wise where they gotta
give it everything they need every single game, and they've
already shown when healthy, you know, they can blow this
team out by about fifty points. So I don't see
any reason why they can't do that here tonight. I
think the Liberty are to play in this game, all right?
One more for today that is gonna be in my
bad Get back to the odd screen. Six twenty one,
six twenty two aces and Sky opened up aces minus
ten and a half. Haven't really seen much movement total
open one sixty two and a half. It looks like
one sixty five and a half. And as far as
injuries are concerned, usual, I mean she hasn't played it
all year, Samne Parker Tyas is out once again, and
then for Chicago they're actually pretty healthy. One person I
see on the injury report is Aeriel Atkins and she's
listed as probable. So Veno, I know how to stop
in Aces Street. Let me go to the window and
bet the Aces, and I guarantee you they will not
look like the Aces of the past nine ten games.
But yeah, they've been playing really good basketball ever since
that what that fifty point blowout loss. You know, they've
been playing with pride. They figure some things out, and
they've been playing some better defense. I think that's a
big part of why they've had some success. You know,
they tinker with that starting lineup as well, and things
are just they're in rhythm right now. It's a good
time to end the season at this rhythm. The Aces
applying that standings where they at now. I think, what
fourth or third man, I'm not gonna lie. I didn't
see a ten game win streak coming from these Aces,
who have been inconsistent all season.
Speaker 2: But here we are.
Speaker 1: For Chicago, they haven't been great, but they're now healthy.
We know how poor they can be sometimes without Angel
Rees on the court.
Speaker 2: So this is tough. This is tough for me.
Speaker 1: I don't want to lay ten and a half with
the Aces.
Speaker 2: I just think.
Speaker 1: I don't like the matchup for Adrian Wilson, like going
to She can very well, you know, have another killer
game like she's been having, but I think Angel Reese's
defender Chicago does have some link there.
Speaker 2: This is really tough for me. You know, I guess
I'll go to you first.
Speaker 3: Well, I bet the game, and I bet what I
trust in this game, Ski, and the matchup that I
trust is the Aces offense against the Sky defense Angel
Rees or no Angel Rees. Since she's come back, they've
given up ninety four, eighty five, and ninety four. She
hasn't helped the defense whatsoever. But they've scored. I mean,
they have scored eighty eight, ninety one, and eighty four.
But when you give up ninety four to Connecticut, I mean,
and lose by ten, it's just Chicago doesn't seem to me.
And I will say this, this is the first time
these two teams are going to play this season. Amazing
Land went all the way back to the schedule and
said they must have met at some point, but they haven't,
and I think that Angel Reese, Asia Wilson, they have
a pretty friendly dynamic off the floor. I think that
that's going to be a pretty good battle here. It
could be tougher four Asia Wilson. But that being said,
it could be tough for for recent Cardoso to have
to play against Las Vegas. I'll get into some stat
numbers real quick here that may back that up, but
I will say that the Las Vegas backcourt, now four
deep against the Chicago backcourt, which we have ripped from
a defensive standpoint for quite a while now is really
no match in my estimation if I look at Let's
just look at the standings real quick. Right, you mentioned
Las Vegas has climbed their number three. There are half
a game behind Atlanta. If they win tonight, they're in
a tie with Atlanta. And you know who their next
game is Wednesday night. It's at Atlanta. So the Aces
could very well be in second place after this, or
they could be a game behind Atlanta. But the point
is they're moving closer to that two spot. Chicago's I
said ninety plus points allowed in four of their last
six for context, the Vegas team total that I bet
tonight is eighty seven and a half, so I need
eighty eight to win this game. So we got a
defensive side that's given up ninety plus four of their
last six during the ten game win streak. For the Aces,
these numbers are incredible. Ski number one in effective field
goal percentage, number one in offensive raiding, number one in
offensive rebound percentage, number three in points per game eighty
nine a pop number one mid range shooting team, number
two in corner threes, number two in points off turnovers.
In Chicago's backcourt is a turnover machine. They're twelfth last
ten games in turnover rate. All these things just screen
points for Las Vegas. That being said, I don't know
if I want to lay ten and a half with
them because up until recently they hadn't been winning by margin.
In this win streak, they've been winning close games. So
for me, again, I bet what I trust. The matchup
I trust here is the Las Vegas offense against the
Chicago defense. I'll go team total over eighty seven and
a half.
Speaker 1: All right, good stuff from Raveno man, and I just
I just tickled myself a little bit here because I
just remembering, Man, they've come a long way. I remember
that interview with Becky. She was not happy, to say
the least, she was letting the team have it. But
now they've woken up, so we'll see if they keep
it going. Veno thinks they will at least be able
to score in this match up here tonight. Mark says
Aces will open it up in the second half. We
shall see, all right, quick and easy two games here,
mister Rao. So on that note, actually, before we move
it to best bets, we'll put a little graphic on
the screen this time.
Speaker 2: You go, let's see.
Speaker 1: So let's let's actually remove this banner so we can
see it all. So happy birthday to wager talk right,
eleven years old today. So as a result, all daily
packages are eleven dollars. Looks like for forty eight hours,
which is from midnight that just passed until tomorrow midnight,
you can take eleven percent off every purchase. So a
couple of different ways to take advantage of this. You
use promo code eleven years to take advantage.
Speaker 2: Of this two day double bliss, I believe.
Speaker 1: But the daily package should already be priced to eleven dollars.
And you know, neither one of us you're looking enough
to make this graphic here today.
Speaker 2: We got uh, we got Dre looking pretty cool over
there on the.
Speaker 1: Left' that's a cool guy if I've ever seen one, Pavlos.
Speaker 2: He's celebrating with his cupcake.
Speaker 1: Teddy.
Speaker 3: Teddy looks like he spent a little extra time on
the rooftops.
Speaker 2: Oh, man, gotta love Teddy.
Speaker 3: Man.
Speaker 2: That's a dumb if I ever seen one.
Speaker 3: Right there, boy, since he took off the hat, he
makes all the pictures something.
Speaker 1: And our good friend mister Brian Leonard, I got nothing
more Brian Leonard.
Speaker 2: Good to see him on there. Hopefully he's doing well. Yeah.
I give everybody a hard time usually, but Brian, for
some reason, I never I never end up giving him.
Speaker 1: A hard time about anything. So we'll leave that alone
and now let's see production.
Speaker 2: Get it together. Get it together.
Speaker 1: It's been a little bit, all right, We'll move it
over the best bets, so you know, I'll ask you
if there's anything else that you would like to promote,
and if you have a best bet for the show,
we would love to hear it.
Speaker 2: If not all good.
Speaker 3: There was another promotion I think ski that still stands
by the by September, get the rest of August free,
and as I think we mentioned the last time we
talked last week, September is just a loaded month with
everything that's ahead of us. So you're going to get
an awful lot for your money here. So again, visit
wager talk dot com. I think in all access package
for the month of September, we'll get you the remainder
This last full week of August four three, which does
include the first full week of college football. I'm going
to go back to where I started. One thing I
didn't mention because I'm not going to go through this
analysis all over again. I like Las Vegas team total
over eighty seven and a half, but the last couple
of game ski out of Dana Evans very quickly seven
of nine, eight of eleven, six of seven from three
to fifteen of twenty from the four seventy five thirty
eight points. They get that kind of production out of
her to go along with everybody else. And I'm not
saying she's going to do that every night, but they've
opened up a new scoring option from the perimeter. And again,
a lot of my analysis was based on bad perimeter
defense out of the sky, so I'm going to play
Las Vegas. I have played Las Vegas. Team total up
and over eighty seven and a half is the best bet.
Speaker 1: All right, good stuff there, And to what you're saying, yeah,
I mean earlier in the season, they know not playing well.
I mean maybe it was the lineup that she was
being put out there with, but she was not playing good.
But lately she's figured it out. She's being aggressive, she's scoring,
she's doing all the right things. So got nothing but
praise for Dana lately. And I mentioned that because I
was dogging her out in the beginning of the year.
So I gotta give credit. What credit is do we
would play bad? I'm I'm gonna let you have it.
If you play good, I'll give you credit. That's just
how it goes.
Speaker 2: My best bet for the show.
Speaker 1: I mean, you can't get the number as me anymore.
And I don't like to give anything that I haven't played.
But New York did go down to minus eleven and
a half. I got it at minus twelve. I think
that they're gonna win this one by closer to twenty points, honestly.
And I'll share this about this in the entire database.
Rested Road Dogs off back to back wins as dogs
eight ats first teams who got blown out in their
last game. Those opponents by average sixteen point one points
per game. Says that we should still be able to
cover this number that we're looking at for today. So
my best bet for the show will be Liberty. I
still think they cover the fourteen and a half. Like
I said, I will be graded at minus twelve, but
I can only share what I bet with you guys,
or at least that's all I believe in doing.
Speaker 2: So Veno, good to be back with you.
Speaker 1: Knocked out another one of these shows. We'll be back tomorrow.
I'm pretty sure we have basketball. We should have two games,
so best of luck to everybody out there, Vino. Like
I already said, I appreciate you taking time to capt
these game with games with me. We appreciate everybody in
the chat, whether it's YouTube, YouTube, shorts, twitch x kick.
Speaker 2: For some reason, people laugh at kick. Look even you laugh.
Speaker 3: Now, Yeah, because I think I'm with the chat here.
First of all, I don't even know what kick is,
so I guess I could laugh. I'm laughing at nothing.
I don't even know what it is, but I'm glad
we're around board.
Speaker 1: With Yeah, Apple, Spotify, a couple of places you can listen,
so and look there there goes right there.
Speaker 2: You know, be man.
Speaker 1: Best, look everybody on all your action today. We'll be
back again tomorrow and we'll see you all there