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Speaker 1: What's up everybody. Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks,

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or welcome back.

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Speaker 2: Rather.

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Speaker 1: We haven't been live since Tuesday, so it's been a

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little bit here, but we do always start this show

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by being transparent. While I was away from the show,

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I wasn't really doing too much betting no shows over

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the weekend. I don't really have too much to talk about.

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Things have been going pretty well though. I mean, I

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think twenty eight and seventeen run in all sports, so

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try to keep that going here today and we're back

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with my good friend mister Rob.

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Speaker 2: You know, how are you doing today? Hopefully everything's been

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okay for you.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, things have been good, Ski. You know, this year

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long almost run stays pretty much intact up about one

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hundred and I think it was one hundred and one

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and a half units since I'm dating way back to

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the college tournament. But it's been the best at wager talk.

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So been good. A little disappointed Saturday for those of

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you who were college football better Saturday had a little

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overplay on Kansas State Iowa State. It looked like I

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won the game, Ski, until the review people came into

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play and decided that I wasn't gonna win the game

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and landed about three inches away from an over when

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in that one is Iowa State chose to kneel on

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the ball three times and crush my heart? But other

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than that, it's been good. Can't complain and glad to

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get back with some WNBA here today. It's kind of

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a weird schedule right there. A couple of days where

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no games were played at all, and then five games

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no games, But it looks like we're a little steadier

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here through the rest of the season.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and that, uh, I mean I didn't get involved

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in that that Iowa Iowa State versus Kansas State.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Kansas Date. I didn't get involved.

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Speaker 1: That one was in Ireland, right, it was involved in

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that game, but I should have because I would have

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had a winner.

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Speaker 2: But it's all good.

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Speaker 1: We'll get we'll kick off college football this week, the

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week one, but we're not here to talk college football yet.

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We'll touch on it later in the week. For right now,

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get to a little bit of WNBA and we have

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two games.

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Speaker 2: On the slate. We'll go in rotation order like we

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always do.

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Speaker 1: That means first up is six nineteen six twenty Connecticut,

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New York opened up Liberty minus fourteen and a half.

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It is still sitting at fourteen and a half at

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most shops. Total open one sixty six and a half,

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and I mean, this has to be this has to

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be a mistake. I see it one sixty seven and

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a half at most shops one shot though, I'm seeing

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one seventy and a half, and that just seems so

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far off. So I'm guessing that's a mistake. As far

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as injuries are concerned, for Connecticut, no Layla, that's a

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big deal. She's been playing really well. Marshall's also out

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for Connecticut. For New York, I'm pretty sure Natasha Cloud

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was not as shoot around this morning. She's listed as

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questionable for this game. So it's easy and you do

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get Sabrina back in the lineup and Brianna through her

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back into the lineup. They've desperately needed her. I'm pretty

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sure the Liberty have lost floor the last five games

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and their last one, pretty sure they got blown out.

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So it's a chance for them to get back in

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the win column. For the Sun, Rob you know, they've

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been over achieving. They've won back to back games as underdogs.

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They come in here as a fourteen and a half

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road dog. You know again, do you think they can

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keep up the good play and keep this one respectable?

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Speaker 3: Well, I think you have to ski. Obviously, they found

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a little something that has clicked. I don't want to

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say since the All Star break because it was a

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little further along than that, but let's just say the

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last couple of weeks. I mean, this team is five

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and zero against the spread in their last five, six

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and one over the course of their last seven, and

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that dates back to early August. So this month has

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been good for Connecticut again, looks like something is clicked

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here with this team. Kind of youthful, obviously reached this year.

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Talk about the line here for a minute, though, and

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it just seems to me that again this line gets

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a little bit too big for my liking as far

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as the favorite is concerned. Just based on the return

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of Breonna Steuart. We say it all the time, We'll

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say it again when you have an extended absence, and

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I guess I guess before I say this, I will

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say that Nafisia Klger is the is the outlier in

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this experiment because she comes back with thirty plus. It

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doesn't matter. She has done too sixty games. But I

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wonder how how well this New York Liberty machine runs,

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especially first half with Stuart getting back into the lineup

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after such an extended absence. I do like the fact

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that she brings the defense to the table, though I've

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talked about that a little bit during her absence. I

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think that New York will become a better defensive team.

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And I like the word you used when you say desperate,

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because New York's falling all the way to the five seed.

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Not like they're separated by a bunch two games from

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them to Atlanta, who's in the two spot. But for

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New York to be looking up this morning and seeing

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that they're fifth, that's not good. When you get outside

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of that top four and moves all home floor advantage

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kind of tough. So certainly, having Sabrina back, I think

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she could have played Saturday. According to Sandy Brundello, she

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said if it was a playoff game, she would have

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had her right there on the floor. Maybe a little precautionary,

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but it cost them a game against the Dream I

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think the points are too many here Ski. Honestly, I

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think New York might feel their way through this game.

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You've got two games between these two teams this month

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where we could kind of base some things on. New

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York wins by nine and the other side of Connecticut

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won by sixteen. So they've played them tough. To play

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them within fourteen and a half fifteen points, I think

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they can do so. So for me, I would be

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looking toward the cannet aside and total wise, I don't know.

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My initial lead would be under, just because I like

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Stuart's defense back on the floor, and maybe the offense

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is a little bit rusty, and I don't know really

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quickly here you don't know this. Sabriten is one hundred

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percent here, so she has not been consistent on offense either.

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Maybe I would look at the under but I didn't

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play either.

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Speaker 1: Well, I can understand if you want to say, you know,

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she might come back a little rusty. We do know

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she'll help the defense. But at the same time, like

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you mentioned, we saw a Fee come back from a

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long absence put up thirty two. Seeing Kaitlyn Clark come

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back from a long absence and go crazy, I mean,

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it's possible. Not every situation is the same. Though you

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mentioned the two games that these teams have played recently.

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Are the two meetings, neither one was with Stewie. New

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York won both of them. Oh no, no, I'm sorry new

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York lost one. They won one, but both of the

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games were without Stuwie there. So it will be the

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first time they see them, you know. And the one

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time they did have study, I think they beat them

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one hundred to fifty two. So it's capable of going

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both ways. I'll say, looks really easy to go and

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just and take all these points with the Sun they've

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been covering every game. Just go to the window with

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them again and you know, expecting to keep it competitive.

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But a big part of why the Sun of being

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good is Layla Lakan. I think it's Lakan. Like I said,

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I don't watch the games with the with the sound

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on usually, but she's been playing really well for Connecticut

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for probably a month now, and she's a big part of,

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you know, the success that they've been having. So her

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being doubtful for tonight is a huge miss. And just

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trusting the Liberty after getting destroyed in their last game.

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Speaker 2: To come out here and play, like play up to

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their talent level.

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Speaker 1: When I look at Connecticut, I mean, are we really

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impressed with what they've been doing lately. They play the Sky,

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they play Domestics twice, they played a Fever team who

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are missing everybody with what ACL injuries. It seems like

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like so many players are done for the season. Are

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we really impressed with what Connecticut has done lately? I

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would say no. I mean, I know they've been a bottom.

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Speaker 2: Feeder, but.

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Speaker 1: Like I said, I'm just not impressed. I think the

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Liberty are clearly the much better team. I think the

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Liberty are in the spot standings wise where they gotta

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give it everything they need every single game, and they've

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already shown when healthy, you know, they can blow this

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team out by about fifty points. So I don't see

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any reason why they can't do that here tonight. I

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think the Liberty are to play in this game, all right?

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One more for today that is gonna be in my

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bad Get back to the odd screen. Six twenty one,

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six twenty two aces and Sky opened up aces minus

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ten and a half. Haven't really seen much movement total

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open one sixty two and a half. It looks like

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one sixty five and a half. And as far as

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injuries are concerned, usual, I mean she hasn't played it

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all year, Samne Parker Tyas is out once again, and

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then for Chicago they're actually pretty healthy. One person I

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see on the injury report is Aeriel Atkins and she's

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listed as probable. So Veno, I know how to stop

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in Aces Street. Let me go to the window and

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bet the Aces, and I guarantee you they will not

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look like the Aces of the past nine ten games.

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But yeah, they've been playing really good basketball ever since

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that what that fifty point blowout loss. You know, they've

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been playing with pride. They figure some things out, and

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they've been playing some better defense. I think that's a

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big part of why they've had some success. You know,

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they tinker with that starting lineup as well, and things

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are just they're in rhythm right now. It's a good

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time to end the season at this rhythm. The Aces

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applying that standings where they at now. I think, what

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fourth or third man, I'm not gonna lie. I didn't

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see a ten game win streak coming from these Aces,

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who have been inconsistent all season.

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Speaker 2: But here we are.

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Speaker 1: For Chicago, they haven't been great, but they're now healthy.

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We know how poor they can be sometimes without Angel

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Rees on the court.

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Speaker 2: So this is tough. This is tough for me.

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Speaker 1: I don't want to lay ten and a half with

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the Aces.

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Speaker 2: I just think.

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Speaker 1: I don't like the matchup for Adrian Wilson, like going

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to She can very well, you know, have another killer

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game like she's been having, but I think Angel Reese's

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defender Chicago does have some link there.

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Speaker 2: This is really tough for me. You know, I guess

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I'll go to you first.

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Speaker 3: Well, I bet the game, and I bet what I

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trust in this game, Ski, and the matchup that I

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trust is the Aces offense against the Sky defense Angel

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Rees or no Angel Rees. Since she's come back, they've

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given up ninety four, eighty five, and ninety four. She

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hasn't helped the defense whatsoever. But they've scored. I mean,

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they have scored eighty eight, ninety one, and eighty four.

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But when you give up ninety four to Connecticut, I mean,

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and lose by ten, it's just Chicago doesn't seem to me.

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And I will say this, this is the first time

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these two teams are going to play this season. Amazing

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Land went all the way back to the schedule and

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said they must have met at some point, but they haven't,

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and I think that Angel Reese, Asia Wilson, they have

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a pretty friendly dynamic off the floor. I think that

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that's going to be a pretty good battle here. It

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could be tougher four Asia Wilson. But that being said,

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it could be tough for for recent Cardoso to have

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to play against Las Vegas. I'll get into some stat

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numbers real quick here that may back that up, but

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I will say that the Las Vegas backcourt, now four

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deep against the Chicago backcourt, which we have ripped from

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a defensive standpoint for quite a while now is really

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no match in my estimation if I look at Let's

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just look at the standings real quick. Right, you mentioned

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Las Vegas has climbed their number three. There are half

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a game behind Atlanta. If they win tonight, they're in

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a tie with Atlanta. And you know who their next

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game is Wednesday night. It's at Atlanta. So the Aces

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could very well be in second place after this, or

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they could be a game behind Atlanta. But the point

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is they're moving closer to that two spot. Chicago's I

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said ninety plus points allowed in four of their last

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six for context, the Vegas team total that I bet

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tonight is eighty seven and a half, so I need

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eighty eight to win this game. So we got a

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defensive side that's given up ninety plus four of their

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last six during the ten game win streak. For the Aces,

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these numbers are incredible. Ski number one in effective field

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goal percentage, number one in offensive raiding, number one in

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offensive rebound percentage, number three in points per game eighty

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nine a pop number one mid range shooting team, number

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two in corner threes, number two in points off turnovers.

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In Chicago's backcourt is a turnover machine. They're twelfth last

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ten games in turnover rate. All these things just screen

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points for Las Vegas. That being said, I don't know

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if I want to lay ten and a half with

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them because up until recently they hadn't been winning by margin.

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In this win streak, they've been winning close games. So

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for me, again, I bet what I trust. The matchup

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I trust here is the Las Vegas offense against the

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Chicago defense. I'll go team total over eighty seven and

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a half.

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Speaker 1: All right, good stuff from Raveno man, and I just

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I just tickled myself a little bit here because I

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just remembering, Man, they've come a long way. I remember

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that interview with Becky. She was not happy, to say

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the least, she was letting the team have it. But

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now they've woken up, so we'll see if they keep

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it going. Veno thinks they will at least be able

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to score in this match up here tonight. Mark says

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Aces will open it up in the second half. We

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shall see, all right, quick and easy two games here,

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mister Rao. So on that note, actually, before we move

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it to best bets, we'll put a little graphic on

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the screen this time.

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Speaker 2: You go, let's see.

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Speaker 1: So let's let's actually remove this banner so we can

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see it all. So happy birthday to wager talk right,

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eleven years old today. So as a result, all daily

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packages are eleven dollars. Looks like for forty eight hours,

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which is from midnight that just passed until tomorrow midnight,

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you can take eleven percent off every purchase. So a

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couple of different ways to take advantage of this. You

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use promo code eleven years to take advantage.

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Speaker 2: Of this two day double bliss, I believe.

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Speaker 1: But the daily package should already be priced to eleven dollars.

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And you know, neither one of us you're looking enough

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to make this graphic here today.

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Speaker 2: We got uh, we got Dre looking pretty cool over

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there on the.

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Speaker 1: Left' that's a cool guy if I've ever seen one, Pavlos.

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Speaker 2: He's celebrating with his cupcake.

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Speaker 1: Teddy.

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Speaker 3: Teddy looks like he spent a little extra time on

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the rooftops.

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Speaker 2: Oh, man, gotta love Teddy.

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Speaker 3: Man.

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Speaker 2: That's a dumb if I ever seen one.

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Speaker 3: Right there, boy, since he took off the hat, he

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makes all the pictures something.

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Speaker 1: And our good friend mister Brian Leonard, I got nothing

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more Brian Leonard.

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Speaker 2: Good to see him on there. Hopefully he's doing well. Yeah.

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I give everybody a hard time usually, but Brian, for

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some reason, I never I never end up giving him.

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Speaker 1: A hard time about anything. So we'll leave that alone

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and now let's see production.

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Speaker 2: Get it together. Get it together.

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Speaker 1: It's been a little bit, all right, We'll move it

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over the best bets, so you know, I'll ask you

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if there's anything else that you would like to promote,

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and if you have a best bet for the show,

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we would love to hear it.

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Speaker 2: If not all good.

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Speaker 3: There was another promotion I think ski that still stands

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by the by September, get the rest of August free,

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and as I think we mentioned the last time we

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talked last week, September is just a loaded month with

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everything that's ahead of us. So you're going to get

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an awful lot for your money here. So again, visit

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wager talk dot com. I think in all access package

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for the month of September, we'll get you the remainder

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This last full week of August four three, which does

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include the first full week of college football. I'm going

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to go back to where I started. One thing I

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didn't mention because I'm not going to go through this

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analysis all over again. I like Las Vegas team total

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over eighty seven and a half, but the last couple

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of game ski out of Dana Evans very quickly seven

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of nine, eight of eleven, six of seven from three

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to fifteen of twenty from the four seventy five thirty

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eight points. They get that kind of production out of

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her to go along with everybody else. And I'm not

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saying she's going to do that every night, but they've

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opened up a new scoring option from the perimeter. And again,

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a lot of my analysis was based on bad perimeter

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defense out of the sky, so I'm going to play

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Las Vegas. I have played Las Vegas. Team total up

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and over eighty seven and a half is the best bet.

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Speaker 1: All right, good stuff there, And to what you're saying, yeah,

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I mean earlier in the season, they know not playing well.

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I mean maybe it was the lineup that she was

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being put out there with, but she was not playing good.

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But lately she's figured it out. She's being aggressive, she's scoring,

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she's doing all the right things. So got nothing but

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praise for Dana lately. And I mentioned that because I

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was dogging her out in the beginning of the year.

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So I gotta give credit. What credit is do we

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would play bad? I'm I'm gonna let you have it.

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If you play good, I'll give you credit. That's just

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how it goes.

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Speaker 2: My best bet for the show.

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Speaker 1: I mean, you can't get the number as me anymore.

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And I don't like to give anything that I haven't played.

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But New York did go down to minus eleven and

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a half. I got it at minus twelve. I think

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that they're gonna win this one by closer to twenty points, honestly.

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And I'll share this about this in the entire database.

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Rested Road Dogs off back to back wins as dogs

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eight ats first teams who got blown out in their

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last game. Those opponents by average sixteen point one points

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per game. Says that we should still be able to

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cover this number that we're looking at for today. So

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my best bet for the show will be Liberty. I

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still think they cover the fourteen and a half. Like

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I said, I will be graded at minus twelve, but

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I can only share what I bet with you guys,

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or at least that's all I believe in doing.

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Speaker 2: So Veno, good to be back with you.

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Speaker 1: Knocked out another one of these shows. We'll be back tomorrow.

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I'm pretty sure we have basketball. We should have two games,

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so best of luck to everybody out there, Vino. Like

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I already said, I appreciate you taking time to capt

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these game with games with me. We appreciate everybody in

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the chat, whether it's YouTube, YouTube, shorts, twitch x kick.

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Speaker 2: For some reason, people laugh at kick. Look even you laugh.

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Speaker 3: Now, Yeah, because I think I'm with the chat here.

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First of all, I don't even know what kick is,

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so I guess I could laugh. I'm laughing at nothing.

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I don't even know what it is, but I'm glad

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we're around board.

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Speaker 1: With Yeah, Apple, Spotify, a couple of places you can listen,

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so and look there there goes right there.

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Speaker 2: You know, be man.

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Speaker 1: Best, look everybody on all your action today. We'll be

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back again tomorrow and we'll see you all there